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Google Faces Wall Street Revolt

Fred Flange wrote to mention a Times of London article, which explains a minor rebellion against GOOG on Wall Street. The company, which has always refused to offer guidance for its stock, is now being peppered with requests to do just that. From the article: "Sergey Brin and Larry Page, Google's founders and biggest shareholders, made plain in their listing prospectus that the company would reject many of the orthodox methods of doing business with Wall Street and instead adopt a mantra to encourage its employees to do good and not 'evil'. Other Wall Street analysts last night were also preparing reports that agreed with RBC, The Times has learnt. 'The time has come for Google to step into line,' one analyst said. 'It is in the interest of all shareholders, including the company's employees and officers, that the share price achieves some stability.'"

445 comments

  1. Beside the point. by TripMaster+Monkey · · Score: 1, Insightful

    From TFA:
    Sergey Brin and Larry Page, Google's founders and biggest shareholders, made plain in their listing prospectus that the company would reject many of the orthodox methods of doing business with Wall Street and instead adopt a mantra to encourage its employees to do good and not "evil".
    Whether or not Google is actually adhering to that mantra is debatable, but beside the point. When Google went public, they became obligated to the stockholders, regardless of any preexisting 'mantras'.
    --
    ____

    ~ |rip/\/\aster /\/\onkey

    1. Re:Beside the point. by Phanatic1a · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Being obligated to the stockholders is not at all the same thing as being obligated to stock analysts. When Google's prospectus says "We're not going to be providing the forecasts you're used to," you have the choice to become a stockholder, or not. If you choose to buy stock, well, you've been forewarned that your stock doesn't hold much voting power, and that you're not going to get the kind of forecasts you used to, and those are matters between you and Google.

      Google has no responsibility that I can see towards providing analysts with all the information they'd like to have.

    2. Re:Beside the point. by ndogg · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And if the shareholders also say "do no evil?" I would imagine that a majority of the shareholders understand what they are getting themselves into. If they didn't, then they're buying into the wrong company. It's not as though someone is holding a gun to their head telling them to buy GOOG. That is the idea of the free market, though, right?

      --
      // file: mice.h
      #include "frickin_lasers.h"
    3. Re:Beside the point. by AKAImBatman · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Exactly! The shareholders bought what they bought. They were under no false pretenses, and Google doesn't have to do a damn thing to change their practices. If the shareholders don't like it, I'd like to see them sell. I seriously doubt that many of them will actually want to take losses in the hundreds of thousands range and higher, just to make a point to Google.

    4. Re:Beside the point. by Otter · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Obligated to the stockholders" means that the board can't pillage the company to line their own pockets. It doesn't, despite what everyone seems to think, forbid them from taking at least reasonably justifiable long-term stances. They're not obligated to operate on analysts' terms any more than they were obligated to operate on China's terms.

    5. Re:Beside the point. by LeonGeeste · · Score: 0

      When Google went public, they became obligated to the stockholders, regardless of any preexisting 'mantras'.

      Actually, to borrow from Fight Club, you choose their level of involvement. If you issue stock with the explicit caveat that you're not going to listen to stockholder pressure for short-term gain, and you're going to limit their ability to control the company, that's exactly what stockholders get, and indeed deserve, for buying in. They have every right to set the terms of their issuance of stock. If you didn't want that kind of deal, you were under no obligation to buy in. No one was bait-and-switched. It's just that Google's operation style does fit in the old-boys' paradigm. (Sorry for using that word, I couldn't help it.)

      --
      Rank my idea: http://www.sinceslicedbread.com/node/531
    6. Re:Beside the point. by advocate_one · · Score: 1

      Pensions funds don't have this luxury... if their rules tell them to invest in a particular stock because of its position, then they have to buy shares in it. It's the big fund holders who're upset over Google, not the little guys.

      --
      Donald 'Duck' Dunn: We had a band powerful enough to turn goat piss into gasoline.
    7. Re:Beside the point. by metlin · · Score: 4, Interesting

      See, you buy stock in a company hoping that it would not go bust, and that your share's price would increase.

      Now, for someone to adequately know whether or not a particular stock is good or bad, they would most certainly need to know what the company has planned, and provide such data. You might argue that a stock-holder knew what s/he was getting into while buying the stock, but not providing enough data defeats the primary purpose that one buys the stock for.

      By not providing such information, Google is leaving folks uncertain - now, honestly, if your data was good you'd release it because it would do good to your stock price. If you aren't, I'd be worried about what else is going on, and that is most definitely not a good sign.

      Google's prospectus claims that the only reason they do not give quarterly guidance is because it encourages short term thinking - now, the analysts and investors would have no problem with it if Google's annual results were as good as they'd hoped. But it was not, so the analysts are claiming that if they had more information (i.e. the quarterly guidance) then this would not have happened.

      Ultimately, the analysts are saying, "By not giving quarterly guidance you are not letting us do our jobs properly." While the long term investors (the kind GOOG wanted in their prospectus) may not need quarterly statements (long term investors can look at annual statements and either dump or buy), however if Google needs to survive in Wall Street, they may need to do both, since not giving quarterly statement introduces a lot of uncertainty.

      Ultimately, it depends on how they want to grow. Schmidt has indiciated that they want to be a $100bn company, so for fast growth they may have to disclose such information.

      Long term investors are going to be very minimal, and they seldom provide the kind of muscle that Google is looking for.

    8. Re:Beside the point. by BVis · · Score: 1
      Pensions funds don't have this luxury... if their rules tell them to invest in a particular stock because of its position, then they have to buy shares in it. It's the big fund holders who're upset over Google, not the little guys.
      Disclaimer: I'm a contractor for Google. I own no stock.

      If the "rules" force the pension administrators to buy GOOG soley on its price, then the "rules" are retarded and need to be changed. Do the pension funds seriously have no component in their investment decisions that allows for consideration of a companies' viability and/or practices that affect the stock price?

      Remind me to invest more in my 401k. Pensions in the USA are dead.
      --
      Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.
    9. Re:Beside the point. by JWW · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And that is what is wrong with business in this world today.

      Nowhere, in your entire comment, is the word customer mentioned once. Companies are now beholden ONLY to stockholders. Analysts game the system quarter to quarter to make sure they GET the short term gains. Companies look to the last and the next three months, no further.

      and.....

      Customers everywhere scratch their heads and wonder why customer service on nearly every level for nearly every industry is absolutely abysmal. Well look no further, there is no driver anywhere in the corprate world that says they need to care.

      We all know that media companies and their obsession with DRM is leading to a dangerous and eventually (in the HDTV realm anyway) huge conflict with their customers. But we can't place all the blame on them, Wall Street has told them in the loudest possible voice they have that no customer matters and all thats important is shareholder value. Its very easy to see then how the media companies (and many other companies) can go from trying to please their customers, to treating their customers like theives or like their subjects and not their true reason for being.

    10. Re:Beside the point. by AKAImBatman · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Ultimately, the analysts are saying, "By not giving quarterly guidance you are not letting us do our jobs properly."

      And Google is saying, "you're not the people who were supposed to buy our stock. Either learn to accept long term profits, or sell now and go away."

      While the long term investors (the kind GOOG wanted in their prospectus) may not need quarterly statements (long term investors can look at annual statements and either dump or buy), however if Google needs to survive in Wall Street, they may need to do both, since not giving quarterly statement introduces a lot of uncertainty.

      What does Google need to do to "survive Wall Street?" Unlike many companies, Google is highly profitable and has no need for Wall Street's money at this time. The original shareholders have already made their tidy profits, so now Google can sit and wait while the market fumes over their long term strategy. The market will adjust the price of GOOG if they feel it's too high, then they'll get used to the way Google does business and continue their long term holdings.

      Wall Street only has power over a company if a company needs their money. For the first time in a very long time, Wall Street is suddenly finding itself powerless. All Google has to do is not blink, and keep the prefferred shareholders happy.

    11. Re:Beside the point. by stinky+wizzleteats · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I admit I don't know much about the stock market, but if you don't like a company's reporting or business practices, don't you have the choice not to invest in them?

    12. Re:Beside the point. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you think they are unaccountable, then don't buy their stock.
      The real issue is not whether they should be a publicly traded stock, but whether they should be listed. The only leverage getting them to provide "guidance" is in listing.

    13. Re:Beside the point. by MikeBabcock · · Score: 4, Insightful

      *beep*, wrong.

      That's why you (and many other) people buy stocks.

      Some people buy them for philisophical reasons (think ethical funds). They hope their money goes up, but if it turns out they just invested in 'good' companies, they're happy (think charity with potential profits).

      Some people buy the shares simply to own a piece of history (many did, I'm sure, in Google's case). This is why Tim Horton's in Canada went partly public (to make money, but because people would want to own shares, whether it earned them money or not).

      Some people buy shares to get the dividends on a long-term basis, whether the share price goes up or down.

      Don't assume everyone buys shares for the same reaons.

      Larry was very clear -- buy Google shares because you want to give us cash to keep doing what we've always done.

      --
      - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
    14. Re:Beside the point. by Todd+Knarr · · Score: 0, Redundant

      No, the rules aren't retarded. Suppose a pension fund is set up to mirror the S&P 500. That fund then must buy exactly the stocks that make up the S&P 500 in exactly the same proportions. This should cause the fund's value to exactly mirror the movement of the S&P 500. This means, though, that if they don't like Google's policies but Google's stock is part of the S&P 500, they have to buy Google's stock anyway to keep the fund mirroring the index.

    15. Re:Beside the point. by ergo98 · · Score: 1, Troll

      Exactly! The shareholders bought what they bought. They were under no false pretenses, and Google doesn't have to do a damn thing to change their practices.

      Are you kidding? Clearly you have never traded stocks, nor do you own a red penny in stocks. I find it difficult to believe you would ever say something so absurdly naive otherwise.

      Firstly, stock analyst work for stockholders -- They aren't some magical group that just likes to analyze stocks for the fun of it. Their purpose is to give an external evaluation of a company's health to help guide stockholders on whether to buy, up their investment, or sell. It's hard to do that when a company is as secretive as Google is.

      If the shareholders don't like it, I'd like to see them sell. I seriously doubt that many of them will actually want to take losses in the hundreds of thousands range and higher, just to make a point to Google.

      Another pearl of infinite naivety.

      I'm glad you're not a stock broker or analyst.

    16. Re:Beside the point. by AKAImBatman · · Score: 4, Insightful

      All of what you said has ZIP to do with Google. Whether Wall Street likes it or not, they can't do anything about Google's stance.

      Shareholders can whine and complain if they want. They're still going to be presented with three options:

      1. Sell
      2. Don't sell
      3. Buy more

      (Of course, they could short/put it to offset their losses, but that's beside the point.)

      Traditionally, shareholders have weilded a lot of power over a company, because a drop in price significantly inhibits a company's ability to raise capital. The problem here is that Google doesn't need to raise capital. Let me repeat that, Google doesn't need to raise capital. Until a time arrives that they do need to raise capital, Google can continue to ignore the demands of analysts and shareholders alike. (Save for the preferred shareholders, that is, who are directing the company.)

    17. Re:Beside the point. by B'Trey · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The absurd naivity is on your part, not GPs.

      You think that because this is the way everyone else does it, then Google HAS to do it that way too. If they refuse, you sputter and spit and insist "But...but...but... you HAVE too....!!!!"

      No, they don't. If you don't like it, don't buy their stock. If the analysts don't like it, they can issue "sell" recomendations or decline to issue a "buy" recommendation. But the fact that analysts want information to make their decisions on doesn't ethically or leagally compell Google to offer it. The fact that some people chose to buy Google stock doesn't ethically compel Google to act in a manner that those shareholders find proper. If those same stockholders feel that Google is going to lose money or market value, they'll abandon Google in a heartbeat and recoup whatever portion of their investment they can get back. They certainly feel no obligation to stick with Google. Why, then, should Google feel any obligation to satisfy them? Google simply offers a chance for people to ride on their coat tails. That doesn't require them to offer a chance to decide where those coat tails are going.

      (You might argue that this conflicts with certain laws, and you'd be right in some sense. The problem, however, isn't with my analysis. It's with the laws which interfere with the free market.)

      --

      "The legitimate powers of government extend only to such acts as are injurious to others." Thomas Jefferson.

    18. Re:Beside the point. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      to keep the fund mirroring the index

      In which case, the guidance these analysts are screaming for won't help them one bit. If the stock is on the S&P 500, and GOOG tells the analysts "hay doodz we're taking our stock straight down the shitter!" all they can do is hang on for the ride.

      Incidentially this is why those indexes exist: in the hopes that on average the total value will rise.

    19. Re:Beside the point. by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 1
      however if Google needs to survive in Wall Street, they may need to do both, since not giving quarterly statement introduces a lot of uncertainty.

      Maybe they just don't want the Wall Street investors. Perhaps that's the whole idea. That instead of being at the mercy of large pension companies who will, at a will expect one of two actions - acquire or reorganise, they want to be owned by people who take a view based on good fundamentals, like whether they are making good products.

    20. Re:Beside the point. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually not so much. They're still the largest stakeholders so first and foremost they're still beholden to their vision. If they ever get out of line to the point that the other stockholders ban together and can out vote them...THEN they'll be beholden to the markets...also the market will fix the problem at that point anyway since they'll be booted out of management.

    21. Re:Beside the point. by deltx · · Score: 2

      "I'm glad you're not a stock broker or analyst" You must be one. Stock analyst work for themselves. The provide their "guesses" and then want the companies earnings to confirm their predictions. For some companies having their business decisions affected by people who have never run a business is important. It is good to see a company that has chosed not to play the game. The honesty in the IPO could have restrict the sale - it didn't. Google should continue along the path they have chosed. The analyst have made their money by now.

    22. Re:Beside the point. by jaypifer · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What are you talking about? You entirely miss the point of why companies issue equity. Now that Google is flush with cash, they could care less what the stock does. The price of the stock is now only relevant for taking over other companies (eg. AOL) and enriching the internal executives. If they don't pander to analysts, so much the better.

      What analysts and investors think or project is not only meaningless but harmful. If they were good at running companies, they'd open their own Google.

      Google is correct in not getting into the short term thinking game. Try checking Warren Buffet's negligent record in cowtowing to analyst's with Berkshire Hathaway and tell me his track record is poor.

      --
      Never go to sea with two chronometers; take one or three.
    23. Re:Beside the point. by CaptKilljoy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      >Companies are now beholden ONLY to their owners

      I fixed it for you. In case you've forgotten, the stockholders are the owners of the company.

      Even if that weren't the case, *you* are not their customer. Your clicks are what they sell to their customers, advertising companies.

    24. Re:Beside the point. by Shihar · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Google's position is that it doesn't want people gambling off of their stock. Google has thumbed its nose at the short term speculative market that tries to ride the temporary highs and lows of a stock. Google's position is that it is going to happily give long term forecasts and describe the health of the company, but it isn't going to do it in such a manner that people can speculate form quarter to quarter. They have no intention of setting and meeting quartly goals. They have stated that their goals are not quarterly and so will not be held to quarterly milestones.

      In many ways, this is a GOOD thing for the health of a company. As anyone who has been apart of a publicly traded corporation knows, you are tied into the quarterly system. When you can buy supplies, capital equipment, and sell product is entirely based upon the quarterly system. There has been more then one instance where I was prevented from moving forward with a project because they didn't want to spend the money that quarter. They happily let me spend to my hearts content the day after the quarter ended though. That is NOT a healthy attitude for a company to have, but it is the attitude you NEED when your stock price is tied to quarterly reports.

      Personally, I think that there is a lot of merit in what Google is trying, especially if it results in a company that is significantly more capable of long term planning. It might not work for some companies, but it might very well work for Google. Cutting themselves free from the quarterly mentality might very well give them the edge set much longer term plans and goal then their competition can.

    25. Re:Beside the point. by ergo98 · · Score: 1

      You must be one. Stock analyst work for themselves. The provide their "guesses" and then want the companies earnings to confirm their predictions.

      Analysts want corporate guidance because it's a bit of a window into inside information -- e.g. inside Google, they know far more than they release, but as it is they release this information in BAM all at once suprizes on earnings report days, exposing the shares to unnecessary panic/euphoria. Guidance helps even out and manage expectations, and to give a bit more transparency into the business.

      No one likes that sort of opacity in a business, especially one with such a vulnerable stock price as Google.

      The honesty in the IPO could have restrict the sale - it didn't.

      Yeah, those poor founders, innundated with crazy money that they don't want. Thanks to them for not restricting it, which would have enormously reduced the liquidity and value of the shares. So incredibly selfless.

    26. Re:Beside the point. by rah1420 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Companies are now beholden ONLY to stockholders.

      Not necessarily.

      At least one company puts the stockholders LAST in the priority list.

      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens.
    27. Re:Beside the point. by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      The shareholders knew the companies mantras before buying stock. If they didn't like those mantas, they should not have purchased stock.

      No one forced these people to buy stock in the first place!! Don't like it, then sell!

    28. Re:Beside the point. by Monkeyboy4 · · Score: 1

      Stock analysts do not work for stock holders. They work for stock speculators. Mark cuban has an intereisting article about speculating in the current market - like many here, he does not believe that there are many investors anymore. http://blogmaverick.com/entry/1234000173073470/

    29. Re:Beside the point. by plague3106 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No one forced the stockholders to become owners. Indeed, owners that only own fora short time shouldn't have any real voice at all anyway. The short term thinkings are the ones that would destroy the company.

      A real owner would be concerned about the viablity of the company, not quarterly gains. Every one of the 'owners' of google knew what they were buying into before hand. If they didn't like it, they shouldn't have bought.

    30. Re:Beside the point. by The+Snowman · · Score: 1

      Holy shit, a company (Google) interested in the long term! Part of the problem with our economy is the intense focus on short term profits and constant growth. That's like running a marathon, always trying to sprint because all that matters is the next few seconds. Eventually they'll run out of gas and fall out of the race. It may take a while, but it is inevitible.

      --
      24 beers in a case, 24 hours in a day. Coincidence? I think not!
    31. Re:Beside the point. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wish into one hand and spit into the other and see which one fills up first, 'cause that's not the way the world works.

    32. Re:Beside the point. by shotfeel · · Score: 1

      Let me requote part of that,

      Sergey Brin and Larry Page, Google's founders and biggest shareholders.

      So in fact, they are doing what their stockholders want them to do. Right?

    33. Re:Beside the point. by ergo98 · · Score: 1

      Traditionally, shareholders have weilded a lot of power over a company, because a drop in price significantly inhibits a company's ability to raise capital. The problem here is that Google doesn't need to raise capital. Let me repeat that, Google doesn't need to raise capital.

      http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/inside r/trans.asp?view=All&Symbol=GOOG

      Google founders, insiders, and employees all like to "raise capital", clearly evident by the torrent of sells. Secondly, Google is almost certainly maturing, and that will mean mergers and acquisitions -- usually done through share equity -- COMPLETELY dependent upon the share price staying elevated.

      Just because a company has enough money in the bank to pay the bills doesn't mean they don't care about share price. Google is certainly desperate to keep a bloated valuation.

    34. Re:Beside the point. by planetmn · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Companies look to the last and the next three months, no further.

      Exactly, because that is what the owners want (by way of shareholder voting, boards, etc.). If the owner of a private company wants to look into the long term, fine. If the stockholders (read: owners) want to look for long term gains, great, and that's the direction the company should be pointed in.

      Customers everywhere scratch their heads and wonder why customer service on nearly every level for nearly every industry is absolutely abysmal

      And for the answer, they should look into the mirror. Customer service is performed when it presents an advantage to a company. Customer service is not free. It requires people, resources and training. If customers were willing to pay more for service, then more companies would provide it. But fact of the matter is, most people buy based on price.

      Car sales are probably the best example. How many people buy the car from the dealer that gives them the best price rather than the best service? I paid a few hundred dollars more to buy my last vehicle from another dealer because they provided better service and I could trust them. If you aren't willing to pay more for better service, then you shouldn't expect better service.

      We all know that media companies and their obsession with DRM is leading to a dangerous and eventually (in the HDTV realm anyway) huge conflict with their customers.

      Then don't buy from those companies. Make sure your friends don't buy from those companies. But don't give a business money, then turn around and say, "but you aren't giving me what I want."

      -dave

      --
      /., where "Apple and Google provide Iran with nukes" will be refuted with "But Microsoft is a convicted monopolist"
    35. Re:Beside the point. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful
      In case you've forgotten, the stockholders are the owners of the company.

      Curious, that. Of all the people associated with a company, the stockholders are the least likely to have invested anything into the company that it can use for the long term. The money is useful for market capitalization, but any sane company knows, or should know, that depending on your share price for financial clout is idiocy.

      A stockholder owns a small piece of a company. A piece of paper. They don't do the work that makes the company go, they don't make decisions that make the company go, and they don't have to buy the product. So why is this piece of paper so damn important?

      Also, if you'd read TFA, you'd know it wasn't a stockholder puling and whining about this -- it was an analyst. Someone whose real stake in the company's long-term prospects is even smaller, and whose contribution to a company's success or failure is even less important. Also, after the last several years of corporate accounting/stock scandals, analysts belong to a class of society whose credibility is severely strained.

    36. Re:Beside the point. by cnkurzke · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The window at which highlevel executives can sell shares is extremely small, and pre-regulated in advance. Those guys cant just call a broker and sell on a dime (unless they want to spend some time with Martha in the slammer) but they have to pre register their intent with the SEC. believe me - if there was any chance that Sergey knew or could foresee the dip at the time he registered his sale, he'd be in the Menlo Park PD in handcuffs right now. 'cause if anything - that is what the damn anal-ysts would love to see the most!

    37. Re:Beside the point. by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      Google founders, insiders, and employees all like to "raise capital", clearly evident by the torrent of sells.

      Indeed. Sells that have already happened.

      They've made their money. Now they're sitting down, all fat and happy. We'll see if the sells continue if Google's price drops too far.

      Secondly, Google is almost certainly maturing, and that will mean mergers and acquisitions -- usually done through share equity -- COMPLETELY dependent upon the share price staying elevated.

      Stock swaps are a way of using Monopoly(TM) money to purchase Monopoly(TM) goods. Google has made precious few aquisitions to date, and in those aquisitions they are believed to have paid cash.

      You don't seem to be following the fact that Google isn't doing business the way that Wall Street expects. (Which is to say, reckless and fiscally irresponsible.) Google is performing the market version of putting its credit cards and loan applications away, and paying cash for its new car. If and when Google needs to purchase a new home (i.e. merge with a multi-billion dollar company), we'll see if they start worrying about their stock price.

    38. Re:Beside the point. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you're not comfortable with the opacity and the instability in the stock price, the solution is simple. Don't buy stock in Google.

    39. Re:Beside the point. by RockyPersaud · · Score: 1

      As someone entering the online video market, perhaps I can offer a different perspective. Advertisers pay money to content distributers; who make their content available to the public at a subscription or for free. Advertisers are not paying for distribution, but for access to the viewers. Those viewers are customers of both the media companies and the advertisers. Viewers are also like part-time employees of the advertisers, because the viewers are agreeing to view the ads at about $2/hour for 15-18 minutes of commercials, which the media companies collect in exchange for access to their programs. It is a barter system for the viewers, trading their attention to ads for their right to entertainment. It's the world's most efficient barter system.

    40. Re:Beside the point. by JWW · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Then don't buy from those companies. Make sure your friends don't buy from those companies. But don't give a business money, then turn around and say, "but you aren't giving me what I want."

      But that's my point. When customers do this, then a situation develops where there isn't anything the shareholders can do to get their money out of the company other than selling off the pieces and shutting things down.

      Look at Ford, they're having a hell of a time serving the best interests of their stockholders. But why is this? Its because they're not serving their customers. There's only one way out of this mess (long term) for Ford and that will be to make better cars that more people want. But for short term investors, liquidating enourmous chunks of the company works just as well (and is actually less costly) than building better cars. Short term investors (lumping the anlysts in this one) only want to make sure they don't lose money now (or next week), they really don't care whether the company is around in 1, 2, 5, 10 years from now.

      Its just not the way I think business should work. Sure paying attention only to shareholder value is easy, but it won't make great companies. Those that pay attention to other factors as well are the ones that will succeed in the long term. Google knows that. They know the shell game the analysts want to play, and they don't want to play along. They want to be judged on other factors, not quarter to quarter results. I say, good for them.

    41. Re:Beside the point. by ergo98 · · Score: 1

      If you're not comfortable with the opacity and the instability in the stock price, the solution is simple. Don't buy stock in Google.

      Let me make this strong because the Google-fans have been falling over themselves to say this: ISN'T THAT THE ENTIRE POINT? Analysts are expressing distaste for the opacity of Google, and they're voicing their displeasure. The next step will be that they start rating Google unfavourably, reducing the liquidity of the stock and probably hurting the price (which hurts all of the unloading Google insiders).

      Why do people keep saying this nonsensical bit of tripe? Is it a sort of "Don't dare criticize Google" sort of thing?

    42. Re:Beside the point. by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      And I would say that if I bought the stock on the promise that they were not going to provide forecasts, then they would be violating their promise to me if they started providing them.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    43. Re:Beside the point. by bcattwoo · · Score: 1
      Some people buy them for philisophical reasons (think ethical funds). They hope their money goes up, but if it turns out they just invested in 'good' companies, they're happy (think charity with potential profits)......

      Larry was very clear -- buy Google shares because you want to give us cash to keep doing what we've always done.

      But in both of these cases you are only really giving money to the company if you buy the stock from the company through an IPO or later new stock offering. Otherwise, you may be "investing" in that company, but the only one benefitting from your investment is the person who sold the you the stock.

      The idea of investing in a restaurant chain just to say that you did, whether it is profitable or not, blows my mind.

    44. Re:Beside the point. by ergo98 · · Score: 1

      Indeed. Sells that have already happened.

      They've made their money. Now they're sitting down, all fat and happy. We'll see if the sells continue if Google's price drops too far.


      Are you seriously trying to imply that the insiders are done selling, when the sells have continued from the removal of the trading block to the last submitted SEC insider sales report? Give me a break. I assure you that they continue to unload at a torrential pace.

      You don't seem to be following the fact that Google isn't doing business the way that Wall Street expects. (Which is to say, reckless and fiscally irresponsible.)

      I am amazed, and disturbed, by your enormously clouded, idealistic vision of Google.

    45. Re:Beside the point. by cylcyl · · Score: 1

      > Even if that weren't the case, *you* are not their customer. Your clicks are what they sell to their customers, advertising companies.

      I think that's a slightly narrow view of what constitutes customers. People who use google products are consumers of google products, when they click on the Adwords, they are effectively "purchasing" the ad that google is shown, meaning that a fractional cent that is represented by that click is paid to google by the advertiser. Without the consumer, the transaction cannot be completed. So, the google users are, in effect, customers too.

    46. Re:Beside the point. by Shadow+Wrought · · Score: 1

      The problem Wall Street has with Google has nothing to do with opacity. Its a red herring. The problem is that Google is not beholden to them like just about every other company is. All of the recent spate of coporate scandals can be traced to trying to appease Wall Street. Google isn't buying into it, for which many of us applaud them. That doesn't mean we're fanbois or are looking the other way, it means that finally, finally a company is doing things the right way and not doing things the Wall Street way. Amen.

      --
      If brevity is the soul of wit, then how does one explain Twitter?
    47. Re:Beside the point. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Naive?
      First, stock analysts do not work for stockholders. In general, they work for brokerage houses.
      I'm not going to try to fully educate you, since that's too big a job. Instead, I'll just point out that Google's issue with providing "guidance" to analysts, is that the whole guidance system is a game. And analysts' earnings forecasts, based on this guidance, are jokes. The "real" earnings number, which a company has to beat to see it's price rise, is the "whisper number". And that doesn't come from company "guidance".
      Google has just said, it doesn't want to play the game.

    48. Re:Beside the point. by DotWarner · · Score: 1

      Two companies.

      And it seems to be working for them... even if Wall Street doesn't believe it.

    49. Re:Beside the point. by LeonGeeste · · Score: 0

      By not providing such information, Google is leaving folks uncertain - now, honestly, if your data was good you'd release it because it would do good to your stock price. If you aren't, I'd be worried about what else is going on, and that is most definitely not a good sign.

      Wow, I never thought I'd see someone who either knew this little, or this much game theory. You wouldn't necessarily release data that was good *for the precise reason that you just gave* -- it causes "no data" to signal "bad". By never giving any data, you provide no signals. If you just provide good data, any time you don't, it will be assumed the data is bad.

      --
      Rank my idea: http://www.sinceslicedbread.com/node/531
    50. Re:Beside the point. by ergo98 · · Score: 1

      First, stock analysts do not work for stockholders. In general, they work for brokerage houses. I'm not going to try to fully educate you, since that's too big a job.

      Wow. You couldn't have packed more ignorance into those few sentences unless you perhaps denied the holocaust in there.

      Look, I appreciate that Slashdot has become the den of the religious zealots that see no faults in Google, and I'm sure the founders really appreciate it as they indulgently fly around the world in their 767. Keep up the good work, brother. ALL HAIL GOOGLE!

    51. Re:Beside the point. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Traditionally, shareholders have weilded a lot of power over a company, because a drop in price significantly inhibits a company's ability to raise capital. The problem here is that Google doesn't need to raise capital.

      Holy shit you're an idiot, and it's an indictment of the Slashbot fanatacism for Google, and inability to see Google do wrong, that this nonsense is modded up.

      Let's say tomorrow that Microsoft announces that they've got their own dark fibre plan, and they're going to start rolling it out nationwide, but it'll include no access to Google. Google then realizes they need to get to-the-door access lines for their enormous pool of lines, so they want to merge with AT&T, or maybe they want the mobile capacity of Verizon or Cingular, or whoever. Their ability to acquire or merge as a larger partner relies 100% upon market capitalization. It means EVERYTHING.

      Maybe share price didn't matter when Google was just fucking around, but now they're becoming old economy and they're starting to get desperate. You're a fucking idiot if you think they don't care about it now, and any groupthink sheeple that moderates up this shit is just as dumb.

    52. Re:Beside the point. by Skreems · · Score: 2, Interesting

      This is basically an argument against companies going public, isn't it? Unless the government instituted minimum times to hold stock before you can sell it again, which they aren't going to do, there's no way to stop traders from descending on a stock, voting to pump as much perceived value into it in a short period as possible, and then ditching. As long as you allow publicly traded ownership in a company, the result is going to be an attention to the short term rather than long term.

      --
      Slashdot needs a "-1, Wrong" moderation option.
      The Urban Hippie
    53. Re:Beside the point. by pclminion · · Score: 1
      Customers everywhere scratch their heads and wonder why customer service on nearly every level for nearly every industry is absolutely abysmal. Well look no further, there is no driver anywhere in the corprate world that says they need to care.

      That's the customers' fault. If customer service was really an important factor, then customers would choose which companies to do business with based on their service, and those companies with poor service would do poorly. A company's money does not appear magically from the air, it comes from the customers.

      There's really no problem here at all. Customers are saying, loud and clear, that service doesn't matter. Corporations respond, quite rationally, by not devoting resources to good service. All is as it should be.

      If you don't like it, start convincing the millions of consumers that service is something they should care about. Good luck.

    54. Re:Beside the point. by Skreems · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well, that, or they can get sued by irate shareholders, for not keeping their interests first in their plans. It's happened before, and it will definitely happen again (although not necessarily to Google).

      --
      Slashdot needs a "-1, Wrong" moderation option.
      The Urban Hippie
    55. Re:Beside the point. by SydShamino · · Score: 1

      Whether or not Google is actually adhering to that mantra is debatable, but beside the point. When Google went public, they became obligated to the stockholders, regardless of any preexisting 'mantras'.

      Absolutely incorrect. This is in their business plan, which was made a public document before the stock went public.

      Anyone who purchased stock did so with the knowledge and understanding that Google was limiting its business practices to those events which "do no evil". This is no different from a McDonald's business plan which says that they are a retail food vendor. If the stock purchaser didn't read the company's public documents, it is not the fault of the company.

      In either case, if the company strays from its business model, it is the duty, nee the responsibility, of the board and the stockholders to force the company back in line. In the case of Google, if the company did do something that was arguable "evil", the stockholders could sue, claiming the executives were acting against their business model, and possibly lowering company value as those who bought Google for its "goodness" dump shares.

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
    56. Re:Beside the point. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree that Google doesn't have to offer quarterly earnings advice, if it isn't required by law. But I'm not sure you understand the idea of free markets.

      For a free (and efficient) market, you need to have as much transparency as possible. Hidden information (even the appearance of hidden information) leads to market inefficiencies. People who believe they are in possession of hidden information will try to game the system.

      A free market doesn't exist in nature. It has to be created through law and institutions. The beauty of the law is that it tries to guarantee uniform rules throughout the market - without uniform rules, there is no market. With the same rules, stock becomes interchangable, liquid. Without the rules, we get "might makes right" policies. Whoever has 51% of the stock could make all the decisions. Instead, minority stockholders are protected - the majority stockholders can't leave them completely in the dark. Like democracy, it's not about the majority making the law. It's about the rights of the minority.

    57. Re:Beside the point. by wmaker · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I wish I had a few shares of BRK.A! BRK.A BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC DEL CL A (NYSE) Data provided by MarketWatch $89,500.00 +800.00(+0.90%)

    58. Re:Beside the point. by aussie_a · · Score: 1

      Point me to the relevant law please, where it says a public company must do everything it legally can to maximise it's profit, or the law that says the closest thing.

    59. Re:Beside the point. by Risen888 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Nonsense. It's a common misconception that public companies are required to maximize share vaule. This is not the case. A public company is legally obligated only to abide by their prospectus and charter. Which Google does.

      --
      Hey, I finally got my first freak! Took you long enough!
    60. Re:Beside the point. by planetmn · · Score: 2, Interesting

      But that's my point. When customers do this, then a situation develops where there isn't anything the shareholders can do to get their money out of the company other than selling off the pieces and shutting things down.

      So you want to baby everybody? If someone (or in this case, a large group of shareholders) makes bad decisions, he or she (or they) have to face the consequences. Basically it because a game of musical chairs. Somebody gets caught losing money eventually (maybe even a large pyramid scheme). But it's based on the decisions they made. I don't think we let people fail enough, so they never learn. If you live in a flood zone and don't have flood insurance, well, in the words of Bill, "Here's your sign." If you vote for short term gains and get caught losing money, well, maybe you've learned something and you'll change.

      And personally, I don't think Ford's problem isn't that they aren't serving their customers (according to Edmunds, for 2003 Ford had the following cars on the top ten best sellers: F-Series, Explorer, Taurus). Their problem is that they are reselling the same car to the same buyer and not bringing in new buyers. What they need to do is to get more people to test-drive their cars.

      And lumping analysts in with short-term stockholders is a bad idea. It really depends on who is the analysts customer (yes, they are in fact serving a customer). My mother managed mutual funds for large investors, investors who bought funds and planned on keeping them for decades. Her analysts were to give her the data to determine good long term investments, but in order to make money, you don't forego a good short term investment.

      -dave

      --
      /., where "Apple and Google provide Iran with nukes" will be refuted with "But Microsoft is a convicted monopolist"
    61. Re:Beside the point. by B'Trey · · Score: 0

      In other words, by "free," you mean "a market that is compelled to operate in the manner that I think is fair." Interesting use of the word "free."

      --

      "The legitimate powers of government extend only to such acts as are injurious to others." Thomas Jefferson.

    62. Re:Beside the point. by ergo98 · · Score: 1

      In other words, by "free," you mean "a market that is compelled to operate in the manner that I think is fair." Interesting use of the word "free."

      The Google-implant must be overpowered in you or something.

    63. Re:Beside the point. by qcomp · · Score: 1

      Now, for someone to adequately know whether or not a particular stock is good or bad, they would most certainly need to know what the company has planned, and provide such data. You might argue that a stock-holder knew what s/he was getting into while buying the stock, but not providing enough data defeats the primary purpose that one buys the stock for. By not providing such information, Google is leaving folks uncertain - now, honestly, if your data was good you'd release it because it would do good to your stock price. If you aren't, I'd be worried about what else is going on, and that is most definitely not a good sign. But Google is giving all the information it is required to give in its quarterly and annual reports. It just doesn't give the analysts a hand in predicting/guessing the future - which is after all the analysts' job, and the get paid very nicely for it. Instead of just lazily relying on "guidance" they'll have to do the math and the guesstimates themselves - or they can just stop covering Google. Who would care? I think Google should just let them whine and get on with business!

    64. Re:Beside the point. by Rolgar · · Score: 1
      A company is still ultimately answerable to and must look after the interests of the shareholders. If it doesn't, the shareholders can boot the board of directors, and from there replace rebuild the company from the top down, although that is not always the best way to do such a thing.

      What they are doing is putting their immediate or short term emphasis on the customer, which helps the company build a good name and customer relationships which should ultimately help build the best quality company in the long term, which means that this is just a different, but hopefully a more customer-centric model of delivering profits to the shareholders. This is something I learned in my management classes in college. Unfortunately many business people never learned this, and chose to use shortsighted methods that might yield the most money next week, but not necessarily for 10 years down the road.

    65. Re:Beside the point. by ergo98 · · Score: 1

      At least one company[J&J] puts the stockholders LAST in the priority list.

      And here's where it gets circular -- just like Google choosing to corner the market by ultra simplifying their search page, J&J looks after their customers, employees, and the community...for the health of the company...to protect the investment of the shareholders.

      Just because they gave you a list doesn't mean that it's legitimate, otherwise J&J wouldn't expect a profit on their products, would they? If they wanted to look out for their customers, they'd just give it away.

    66. Re:Beside the point. by Karl+Cocknozzle · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Analysts want corporate guidance because it's a bit of a window into inside information -- e.g. inside Google, they know far more than they release, but as it is they release this information in BAM all at once suprizes on earnings report days, exposing the shares to unnecessary panic/euphoria. Guidance helps even out and manage expectations, and to give a bit more transparency into the business.

      While guidance may give you a little bit of insight into a company, without any context, that information is worse than useless. Stock "analysts" demand guidance because it gives them a way to generate income for their second jobs as talking-heads for CNBC, CNN/Money, and all the other business talk shows out there. Guidance is nothing more than a guess dressed up in corporate-speak and marketing glitz. And in the long-term, guidance is a lose-lose-lose proposition for a public company.

      - An accurate guess' only affect is to move the price drop (or increase) to the day they issue the guidance and away from the day they announce the actual results.
      - If the guess is inaccurate on the high-side your stock will still plummet when you fail to "meet expectations", and you'll probably get sued by the short-term-gains monkeys who are pissed you didn't give them the profit you "promised" in the guidance.
      - If the guess is low, (or, when you intentionally "Guess low,") you will see higher stock prices at end of quarter because they "exceeded expectations." For a while, anyway... But if you do this consistently, analysts will simply label you as "sandbaggers" and hold you to a higher goal than your guidance, and punish you accordingly when you don't meet THEIR expectations which are above and beyond your "sandbagged" guidance.

      Look at these three scenarios: They are lose-lose-lose for the corporation, which all lead to the company losing some percentage of its share value. Of course, since the company loses, that means the shareholders are all losing too... Wasn't that who you were "protecting" with guidance in the first place?
      --
      Who did what now?
    67. Re:Beside the point. by cp5i6 · · Score: 1

      Why else would you buy a share into a company
      if you didn't think they were viable?

      Buying a stock makes you very much a partial owner in the company
      by giving quarterly gains you get an idea of what you own is worth
      And while I agree with the if they didn't like it, they shouldn't have bought
      why not just do away with money completely. We would all live in a better world
      where I can trade my sheep for your cow.

    68. Re:Beside the point. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >So, the google users are, in effect, customers too.

      If you believe that, then would you not believe that corn is the customer of a corn farmer?

    69. Re:Beside the point. by LeonGeeste · · Score: 1

      A stockholder owns a small piece of a company. A piece of paper. They don't do the work that makes the company go, they don't make decisions that make the company go, and they don't have to buy the product. So why is this piece of paper so damn important?

      Yeah, and what's the deal with money, anyway? Why does Walmart give you stuff just for pieces of green cotton paper? You didn't grow the crops. You didn't drive the products to the store. You didn't build the items. So why are they giving away that stuff to people who *never* did any work for them, simply cause they shovel green at them? Or sign little slips with some numbers on them? Why are those green pieces of paper so damn important?

      Reductionism: destroying understanding since 200 BC.

      I'd explain to you how savings, investment, entrepreneurism, and financial markets work, but come on -- shouldn't you have done that first before saying something so asinine?

      --
      Rank my idea: http://www.sinceslicedbread.com/node/531
    70. Re:Beside the point. by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      You might argue that a stock-holder knew what s/he was getting into while buying the stock, but not providing enough data defeats the primary purpose that one buys the stock for.

      If the product offered by a company does not fulfill your requirements then don't buy it (or would you buy a TV that has no screen?). If Google's conduct defeats the primary purpose you'd buy their shares for then don't buy their shares. There are enough other shares available for you to buy so you can stay clear of the ones that don't provide what you want in a share.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    71. Re:Beside the point. by MagikSlinger · · Score: 1
      Just because they gave you a list doesn't mean that it's legitimate, otherwise J&J wouldn't expect a profit on their products, would they? If they wanted to look out for their customers, they'd just give it away.

      You obviously didn't read the credo:

      We believe our first responsibility is to the doctors, nurses and patients, to mothers and fathers and all others who use our products and services. In meeting their needs everything we do must be of high quality. We must constantly strive to reduce our costs in order to maintain reasonable prices. Customers' orders must be serviced promptly and accurately. Our suppliers and distributors must have an opportunity to make a fair profit.
      --
      The bitter lessons of a veteran coder: http://bitterprogrammer.blogspot.com
    72. Re:Beside the point. by bigpicture · · Score: 1

      "Caveat Emptor" let the buyer beware. Google has lots of cash and does not need to suck up to Wall Street to sell shares and raise funding. Share price is determined by the offers to buy versus the for sale volumes and price acceptance.

      If the idiots want to offer too much, then where is the "Caveat Emptor"?

    73. Re:Beside the point. by Gooba42 · · Score: 1

      And this type of investor is rewarding the wrong kinds of companies. I worked for one of those companies. We delayed shipments to manipulate quarterly revenues to make it look like business was steady and attract more VCs. It's illegal as hell *if* you're a publicly traded company but largely viewed as just the way business is done.

      My fiancee's company recently made some $600,000 in revenue which the managers got bonuses for and the stockholders enjoyed immensely. However, this $600k was, in fact, the fee for a big customer breaking contract. That quarter was great, bonuses were given to the people who bungled it so badly as to lose the customer, the year sucked because the month to month and quarter to quarter revenue wasn't maintained.

      This is precisely because companies who consider the stockholders most holy are screwing up on the customer service end of things, not to mention largely mismanaging their internal workings just to please stockholders who judge a company on nothing but the price of their shares.

      --
      I just found out there's no such thing as the real world. It's just a lie you've got to rise above. - John Mayer
    74. Re:Beside the point. by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Nope, believe it or not, there are quite a few long term investors out there. IIRC, they far outnumber those trying to make short term gains.

      I'm not arguing against companies going public as much as I am that some idiot shareholder thinks he knows more than the CEO and tries to tell the company how to act.

      Why should a company destroy itself just so some greedy prick off the street can make alot of money?

    75. Re:Beside the point. by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Buying a stock makes you very much a partial owner in the company
      by giving quarterly gains you get an idea of what you own is worth


      And there's no criteria to be a shareholder either is there? Should I be able to buy some stock and then expect the company to do whatever I see? Shareholders rarely ever understand how the business operates, yet they feel like they should be able to tell the company how to run or how much they think the company should make. Its insanity.

      And while I agree with the if they didn't like it, they shouldn't have bought

      So what exactly is your point?

      why not just do away with money completely. We would all live in a better world
      where I can trade my sheep for your cow.


      You go ahead and do that if you want; but don't try to imply that is what I was getting at. Nothing in my post even came close to saying that money was evil or even the problem here.

    76. Re:Beside the point. by MikeBabcock · · Score: 1

      That's great.

      The idea of day-trading with no thought to the consequence for the publically traded companies in question blows my mind.

      Oh well.

      --
      - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
    77. Re:Beside the point. by Thuktun · · Score: 1

      This is basically an argument against companies going public, isn't it?

      How is "Companies are now beholden ONLY to their owners" fundamentally different between a public and private company? As long as there's nothing illegal being committed, can't a company do things based on what its owners want?

      Granted, "the customer is always right" is generally sound advice if you want to keep your customers, but it's not a requirement.

    78. Re:Beside the point. by Skreems · · Score: 1

      The difference is, in a private company the owner is the guy that started the entire thing in his garage, and poured 15 years of his life into it. He's interested in keeping it strong and stable so he can pass it on to his kids when he's gone, and because he has pride in it. With shareholders, the "owner" is some dude halfway across the country who thinks he can make a quick buck. Like someone said elsewhere under this story, Ford right now has two options: make great cars that customers want to buy, or liquidate physical assets to get some quick cash. Guess which ones shareholders looking for quick stock price gains prefer?

      --
      Slashdot needs a "-1, Wrong" moderation option.
      The Urban Hippie
    79. Re:Beside the point. by cp5i6 · · Score: 1

      And there's no criteria to be a shareholder either is there? Should I be able to buy some stock and then expect the company to do whatever I see? Shareholders rarely ever understand how the business operates, yet they feel like they should be able to tell the company how to run or how much they think the company should make. Its insanity.

      Because these are large institutions with great big chunks of money, that know exactly how a business operates and would love to have some guidance on a company they collectively own more then 30+% of.

      I mention trading sheep for cows because you don't seem to grasp the concept of capital markets. A company trades at a certain share value BECAUSE people think it'll potentially make X amount. That's why there's such a thing called the P/E ratio. Price to Earnings. Otherwise that share price is meaningless and causing people who have invested money with the brokers/investors/hedge funds to potentially lose alot of money into something that might be artifically inflated. And, that is a bad thing because when your public loses money, the only people who come out on top of all of this is, the Wall st. brokers, and the top guys at google, who are paid their millions/multimillions who really don't care about whether you or I make a buck or two in investing with them.

    80. Re:Beside the point. by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Because these are large institutions with great big chunks of money, that know exactly how a business operates and would love to have some guidance on a company they collectively own more then 30+% of.

      I doubt any large inventment firm actually knows as much as the company itself. If said firm didn't like the terms of google's stock, they should not have bought it.

      I mention trading sheep for cows because you don't seem to grasp the concept of capital markets. A company trades at a certain share value BECAUSE people think it'll potentially make X amount. That's why there's such a thing called the P/E ratio. Price to Earnings. Otherwise that share price is meaningless and causing people who have invested money with the brokers/investors/hedge funds to potentially lose alot of money into something that might be artifically inflated. And, that is a bad thing because when your public loses money, the only people who come out on top of all of this is, the Wall st. brokers, and the top guys at google, who are paid their millions/multimillions who really don't care about whether you or I make a buck or two in investing with them.

      You don't seem to grasp that idea that you can have capitalism without a stock market at all.

      And nothing in that last paragraph has anything to do with the fact that Google's only obligation is to post actual results, not guess what the results might be. And you probably also missed that google isn't the only company which doesn't play this game.

      Sounds to me like people invested into something they didn't know about; well tahts their own damn fault.

    81. Re:Beside the point. by cp5i6 · · Score: 1

      I'm going to reply to you one last time because I hope you can learn something if you ever wish to get a job in the finance field.


      I doubt any large inventment firm actually knows as much as the company itself. If said firm didn't like the terms of google's stock, they should not have bought it.

      Firstly, how do you think google got the money they needed to even start a company? Some guy named the venture capitalist looked at their business and how it worked and said "Ok, let me give you some money to get started." Now after that stage, when google wishes to have an initial offering of stock. A big financial firm comes in and says, "fine, your business looks sustainable so we'll try and push it out to our clients/markets" At which point all the other big financial firms will say, let me see your business and your financials. Do you really think that ANY person in their right mind will throw over a few hundred million dollars at a company they don't know about?


      You don't seem to grasp that idea that you can have capitalism without a stock market at all.

      Don't tell that to your economist teacher.

      Capitalism

      An economic system based on a free market, open competition, profit motive and private ownership of the means of production. Capitalism encourages private investment and business, compared to a government-controlled economy. Investors in these private companies (i.e. shareholders) also own the firms and are known as capitalists.


      Okay, let's go back to sheeps and cows, you're right we don't NEED a stock market, but next time you wish to invest to google, feel free to ship them a bunch of sheeps and cows for their shares.


      And nothing in that last paragraph has anything to do with the fact that Google's only obligation is to post actual results, not guess what the results might be. And you probably also missed that google isn't the only company which doesn't play this game.


      Google's obligation is strictly to make money. It's not to post actual results. Them guessing results gives guidance as to what stock price the company should trade around. Without the guidance, your guess is as good as mine where this stock price should trade. This leads to inefficient markets and price discrepancies. In cases like this, it is inevitably, the individual investors who do not have the resources of a large corporation that get burned when there is a price correction. But feel free to find me some more companies that don't give guidance that trade anywhere near the level of google.

      Sounds to me like people invested into something they didn't know about; well tahts their own damn fault.

      This is meant to be informative and I hope you learn something.

    82. Re:Beside the point. by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Firstly, how do you think google got the money they needed to even start a company? Some guy named the venture capitalist looked at their business and how it worked and said "Ok, let me give you some money to get started."

      Where in there does it say said venture capitalist understood how the business worked? More likely, he said 'this sounds like it could work, i'll give some money.' I seem to recall quite a few VCs that lost out because they were taken in by some startups story.

      A big financial firm comes in and says, "fine, your business looks sustainable so we'll try and push it out to our clients/markets" At which point all the other big financial firms will say, let me see your business and your financials.

      Yes, they will say that, based on what they understand of the company. Do they always understand it? Doubtful. They may, but they may not. They may just be looking at a company and saying 'its been growing for a while now, seems like they can continue to grow.'

      Do you really think that ANY person in their right mind will throw over a few hundred million dollars at a company they don't know about?

      Are you saying that by google not guessing what their profits might be, you can't know anything about a company? What about past history and current performance? You're telling me these really smart people can't go without google guessing what their profits might be?

      Don't tell that to your economist teacher.

      You mean economic teacher of course. Its been a while since I had one, but I'm glad he wasn't so narrow minded as you.

      Okay, let's go back to sheeps and cows, you're right we don't NEED a stock market, but next time you wish to invest to google, feel free to ship them a bunch of sheeps and cows for their shares.

      Wow, you really are dumb aren't you? Having a system based on currency has nothing to do with buying stocks! You're right, we probably won't have a stock market without currency, but we currently can have currency without a market! Where the hell did you see me post that we shouldn't have currency? If you can't find it, then stop this idiotic sheeps and cows crap.

      Google's obligation is strictly to make money.

      I'd argue its not soley about making money. If my business plan included cutting costs by dumping toxic waste in a lake, i think i'd still be in trouble. So no, there only obligation isn't to make money.

      It's not to post actual results. Them guessing results gives guidance as to what stock price the company should trade around.

      When they went public, they agree to follow certain laws which govern the stock market. Posting actual results is one of those laws; posting guesses to 'give guidance' is not. The market will have to figure out other ways to determine what the price of the stock should trade around.

      Without the guidance, your guess is as good as mine where this stock price should trade.

      No, because there is alot of other information to use; past performance, what their vision is, the next product or service they are working on, etc. Its likely that google's guess would be as good as yours or mine as well. What exactly do you think they know that you can't find out?

      This leads to inefficient markets and price discrepancies.

      this leads to a bunch of lazy 'analysts' that don't want to put any real work into determining a fair price; they want to let google tell them what they think the price should be.

      In cases like this, it is inevitably, the individual investors who do not have the resources of a large corporation that get burned when there is a price correction.

      So what? Investing is risky. Invest at your own risk. Any investment firm will give you the same warning. At any rate, small investors aren't going to have enough cash to invest in google anyway, so your point is moot.

      But feel free to find me some more companies that don't give guidance that trade anyw

    83. Re:Beside the point. by cp5i6 · · Score: 1

      since we've both obviously have time to kill. I'm gonna keep this convo alive until you "see the light".


      Where in there does it say said venture capitalist understood how the business worked? More likely, he said 'this sounds like it could work, i'll give some money.' I seem to recall quite a few VCs that lost out because they were taken in by some startups story.


      A venture capitalist when they give money to a company owns usually 50+% in a company they've given money too, so it's in their best interest to find out exactly how a company works. Alot of VCs that lost out during the bust were simply people with money that didn't bother to find out what the company does. Google on the other hand was groomed by sequoia capital and kleiner perkins, two very well respected VC firms that defintiely do their research on the companies they invested in.

      Yes, they will say that, based on what they understand of the company. Do they always understand it? Doubtful. They may, but they may not. They may just be looking at a company and saying 'its been growing for a while now, seems like they can continue to grow.'

      If you seem to understand how google's business model works. I can't see why a multibillion dollar corporation couldn't either.


      Are you saying that by google not guessing what their profits might be, you can't know anything about a company? What about past history and current performance? You're telling me these really smart people can't go without google guessing what their profits might be?


      like you said.. Google will have the best idea on what their profits might be. If they don't give guidance, wall st will just have to guess as to where the profits might be leading to price instability. And any child knows that past history is never an indictation of future performance. You mean economic teacher of course. Its been a while since I had one, but I'm glad he wasn't so narrow minded as you.


      Since you wish to go off topic, it's acutally economics teacher. Economic being an adjective and economics being the subject.


      Wow, you really are dumb aren't you? Having a system based on currency has nothing to do with buying stocks! You're right, we probably won't have a stock market without currency, but we currently can have currency without a market! Where the hell did you see me post that we shouldn't have currency? If you can't find it, then stop this idiotic sheeps and cows crap.


      Moo moo. Perhaps you understand that a little better? I only mention sheeps and cows simply because you don't seem to understand what currency is. Since currency is simply a medium for exchanging goods. My cows and sheep are a perfectly valid replacement of such and I was hoping you'd see that companies like Google would not exist without the stock market. But because you seem to be dumber then me, I guess it's a moot point to further explain it to you. Sides my dick is bigger than yours anyway.


      I'd argue its not soley about making money. If my business plan included cutting costs by dumping toxic waste in a lake, i think i'd still be in trouble. So no, there only obligation isn't to make money.


      You start a company to make money. What else would they be striving for? World peace?


      When they went public, they agree to follow certain laws which govern the stock market. Posting actual results is one of those laws; posting guesses to 'give guidance' is not. The market will have to figure out other ways to determine what the price of the stock should trade around.


      Which once again comes back to price volatility.


      No, because there is alot of other information to use; past performance, what their vision is, the next product or service they are working on, etc. Its likely that google's guess would be as good as yours or mine as well. What exactly do you think they know that you can't find out?

  2. Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by aborchers · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If GOOG was up front with their way of doing business and it's acceptable by SEC and other relevant regulators and the analysts don't like it, then I say the analysts can kiss GOOG's multicolored ass.

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    1. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by BewireNomali · · Score: 0, Troll

      It's the other way around. Google might need to kiss analyst ass buddy. Two reasons: for the most part, a much of Google stock isn't owned by independent private investors, but by institutional investors like Legg Mason. So in this instance, Google needs to pony up and start talking or the ride might end early.

      Also, Google's reticense supports my assertion that the IPO was a a stock run-up. Markets are functions of mob behavior, and Google maximized buzz into a shitload of cash. The pendulum has swung, and Google can't have it both ways. Their money was good enough for you to take and use; accountability to their requirements is only appropriate.

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      un burrito me trampeó.
    2. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by quanticle · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Their money was good enough for you to take and use; accountability to their requirements is only appropriate.


      Yes, but I don't see the investors complaining. The only ones I see complaining are analysts. Do analysts represent the official corporate line of their investors? How many of these analysts actually hold Google stock?

      --
      We all know what to do, but we don't know how to get re-elected once we have done it
    3. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by aborchers · · Score: 3, Insightful

      As said by someone else on this thread, "noone held a gun to their head."

      The bottom line is they laid out the terms of how they did business and noone was obligated to buy. Likewise, Google is under no obligation to adapt their way of doing business because analysts don't like it. The majority shareholders set the terms, and they have the right to be risky, even stupid. They can ride the stock and the company right into the ground if they want to. The other possibility is they will turn out to be right. How many times has conventional wisdom from analysts lost people money?

      You're probably right about the run up IPO. That's another topic entirely...

      --
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    4. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by fistfullast33l · · Score: 4, Interesting
      How many of these analysts actually hold Google stock?

      For their sake, hopefully none. The SEC is really cracking down on analysts who give positive ratings to stocks in which they have a direct interest, i.e. pumping up investment funds their own company sells. The pressure on Google to talk straight with analysts is probably in response to this policy. If the analyst can't make a good judgement and he has some kind of direct interest in that company, he could get into big trouble if he advises the wrong way.

      That being said, I also think that Google doesn't have to play ball with these guys if they don't want to, but it might hurt them in the long run. Sure, it's nice public relations and all that, but pissing off the money people is not exactly something you do. Also, it seems like the analysts are whining more than anything. Google may think they're trying to change the way investors and companies interact and they kind of had the ball in their court for a while, but I think the recent fall in price probably are the investors indicating they want straight talk or else. It's russian roulette at $350 a bullet.

    5. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by AKAImBatman · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Two reasons: for the most part, a much of Google stock isn't owned by independent private investors, but by institutional investors like Legg Mason. So in this instance, Google needs to pony up and start talking or the ride might end early.

      Might end early? What would Legg Mason do with their shares? Sell them? That doesn't concern Google. They already have the money from the first sale. According to the information on their IPO, they've also been profitable since 2001. So they have no real need to raise capital at the moment, unless they're planning a massive expansion.

      Also, Google's reticense supports my assertion that the IPO was a a stock run-up.

      A lot of founders got rich on the IPO, just like every other company that smashed into the stock market in recent years. Is it really all that surprising that their stocks were received at a high price?

      As for this being a pump and dump scheme, there are a lot easier ways of doing this than setting up a multi-billion dollar company just to dump the stock. Hell, how do you think "financial analysts" make their money?

      Step 1: "I believe that stock WXYZ is so great, that I've invested millions in it! You should too!"
      Step 2: The analyst sells all his shares at the peak price, or on the downturn.
      Step 3: "I used to believe in stock WXYZ, but now I believe that they have some rough times ahead. I'm selling all my stocks, and you should too!"
      Step 4: Profit from the poor saps who lost money on your advice!
      Step 5: Hype your abilities by getting testamonies from the few people who didn't lose money, rinse, and repeat.

    6. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by coolgeek · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I agree with them holding the boundaries laid out in their prospectus, but I have to wonder how many stockholders actually read the prospectus before buying. I'd bet many of the large institutional investors did, but I'll bet many individuals just joined the frenzy and said "buy me some GOOG", without reading first, and now they are surprised to have a company that doesn't behave like the rest.

      What I see happening here is a crash in Google's stock because they stand their ground, causing one or more big investors to sell. If they don't stand their ground, then IMO, they are just another bubble stock, because the only reason they would kowtow to Wall Street would be because they really are just a paper tiger. It seems kind of interesting to me that Google lately is trying to demonstrate it is going new places (Google Video, Gmail for Domains, GDrive), but isn't really cutting the mustard. Google Video was a complete farce, and CBS' early withdrawal is a major blow to them, and the fact that the only major network they could sign being CBS is another major blow.

      I hate to say it but I think this is a lose/lose for Google, one of my favorite companies. They're screwed if they play ball, and they're screwed if they don't. The Wall Street guys have thought this through, and they believe the short term investor loss from Google crashing is worth the gain of making Google into an example that nobody else will ever contemplate following in the future. I also think perhaps the employees there have been indulging a bit too much in the salmon lunches, doing laundry, free massages, etc. and not enough busting their asses and making results. Anyone in a successful enterprise, no matter what size, will tell you hard work is an essential component of success.

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      cat /dev/null >sig
    7. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by BewireNomali · · Score: 1

      legg mason is an analyst that holds google stock. they might be google's largest single investor.

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      un burrito me trampeó.
    8. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by deviceb · · Score: 1

      I agree... I trust GOOG knows what they are about.. And the shareholders are all making $ atm so why change a thing. Im just wondering when the GOOG religion will surface. They are seeming more cultish every time i read something about google. If there are pointy hats in the future, im in.

      --
      Kill your TV
    9. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by aborchers · · Score: 1

      I don't know if I trust them or not, but I would trust them less were they to not stick to their guns and cave to analyst pressure.

      --
      Trouble making decisions? Just flip for it.
    10. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by nomadic · · Score: 1

      They can ride the stock and the company right into the ground if they want to.

      Not necessarily. Public companies are under certain legal requirements, and you can't just contract that away, and what the prospectus says is irrelevant, you go to the laws of the state in which it's incorporated.

    11. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by Anne_Nonymous · · Score: 1

      >>...Google stock isn't owned by independent private investors, but by institutional investors like Legg Mason...

      Actually Page and Brin control the majority of votes via the B-shares. There are reasons why they might want to kiss Bill Miller's ass, but they certainly aren't in a position where they have to.

    12. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by Imsdal · · Score: 1
      How many of these analysts actually hold Google stock?

      All of them. The question is: How many of them disclose their holdings properly?

    13. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by Bob9113 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes, but I don't see the investors complaining. The only ones I see complaining are analysts.

      Be that as it may, that is precisely what the analysts are trying to affect. By telling the stockholders that this is having a negative impact on shareholder value, they are attempting to foment a coup - to bring Google in line with Wall Street's mantra, "maximize profit regardless of evil."

    14. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by Imsdal · · Score: 1
      I have to wonder how many stockholders actually read the prospectus before buying. I'd bet many of the large institutional investors did, but I'll bet many individuals just joined the frenzy and said "buy me some GOOG", without reading first

      This differs from any other IPO how, exactly?

    15. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by nomadic · · Score: 1

      What would Legg Mason do with their shares? Sell them? That doesn't concern Google.

      I think you don't quite get what a stockholder is; its a co-owner of a company. They ARE Google, partly, and if the co-owner wants something to change well then the directors of the company are obligated to at least listen and give it some thought.

    16. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by quanticle · · Score: 1

      By telling the stockholders that this is having a negative impact on shareholder value, they are attempting to foment a coup

      Right. But, until that coup happens, Google isn't beholden to the analysts. That said, I'm not sure how Google ought to proceed on this. If they give in to the pressure for quarterly performance, they'll have to cut innovation. After all, you can't be investing in iffy things like GMail if you have to meet a certain revenue number every quarter. However, if they don't give some kind of earnings guidance the shareholders will revolt.

      --
      We all know what to do, but we don't know how to get re-elected once we have done it
    17. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by shaka999 · · Score: 1

      Google told them how they were going to do business before they bought the stock. They were very open about it. If someone bought the stock and isn't happy with the agreement they made then tough sh#$.

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      One should not theorize before one has data. -Sherlock Holmes-
    18. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by AKAImBatman · · Score: 4, Informative

      No, I understand the dynamics quite well. Legg Mason owns 4.3 million Class A shares, or about 2% of the company. Google insiders hold 271 million shares, of which 238 million are Class B "preferred". Class B shares get 10 votes to every 1 Class A share, making Legg's voting power 4.3 million votes to Google Insider's 2.4 billion votes.

      Thus Google is in a perfect position to tell each and every shareholder in the market to, "buzz off." Even Fidelity and Legg Mason.

    19. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by greendoggg · · Score: 3, Insightful
      That being said, I also think that Google doesn't have to play ball with these guys if they don't want to, but it might hurt them in the long run.
      Actually, it shouldn't hurt their stock price in the long run at all. Quarterly guidance is only useful for investors who trade in the very short term. They want to know what is going to happen during this quarter before the quarter ends and results are released. But in the end, no matter what guidance they gave, their earnings at the end of the quarter will be what they'll be, and the stock price will change accordingly. For long-term investors, quarterly guidance isn't really useful at all, unless they're about to sell. I mean, if you hold a stock for 10 years, do you really care what may happen during the next 3 months?
    20. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The vast majority of the states say the rules are "follow your charter". The vast majority of the charters say "publish an accurate prospectus".

    21. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by Colonel+Angus · · Score: 1
      Sure, it's nice public relations and all that, but pissing off the money people is not exactly something you do.

      I don't think Google really needs to give a rat's ass. The "money people" will be right back at Google's doorstep if/when Google's stock goes back on the rise. The "money people" will continue to follow the money.

      I think they'd have very short and selective memories if a cozy relationship with Google a year or two from now would net them more money.

    22. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Considering that there is probably more than 6 shares, Google doesn't have very good odds in that game of Russian Roulette.

    23. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by BewireNomali · · Score: 1

      but google is beholden to analysts. most of these analysts are google investors.

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      un burrito me trampeó.
    24. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by Johnny+Mnemonic · · Score: 1

      So in this instance, Google needs to pony up and start talking or the ride might end early.

      So what? I've never understood why a company would care about it's stock price--that stock has already been sold; they aren't going to see further income from the stock, regardless if the price is high or low. Is it because typically a company will hold some of it's own stock, and then sell that resource as need for funding comes up--so a high price on it's shares means that a company can generate more money/have to sell of less if the need arises? Or is it about the personal wealth levels of the principals?

      Can someone tell me why Google's CFO would care if the stock price is $400 or $40, except as a measure of his personal wealth as expressed by his own stock holdings?

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    25. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by enjahova · · Score: 1

      My question for you is, how do you know Google employees aren't working hard? Just because they have "frivolous" benifits that traditional companies don't have doesn't make them lazy.

      Also, it seems from my Google fanboy perspective, Google not delivering services you want in the way you want them right now does not mean they aren't working on a whole lot of good technology. The way they seem to work is they try a lot of things, with a lot of smart people, and a lot of computer resources just to see what happens.

      I suppose my point is that I believe in their alternative way of running a corporation, especially since a lot of the stuff I've been reading describes the problems in traditional corporations with bloat and bureaucracy.

      --
      "how can they call it a MINE if everything here is THEIRS?!?!" -Straight Jacket
    26. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by fistfullast33l · · Score: 1
      I mean, if you hold a stock for 10 years, do you really care what may happen during the next 3 months?

      That might be true for most stocks, but Google is trading abnormally high. I think that at this point the stock is more likely to crash and burn to under $100 rather than increase to $400, wouldn't you agree? And if it does crash, it's never going to get to $300 again. Normally I'd agree with you, but I think Google is kind of a special case being that it is (was?) everyone's favorite.

    27. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by CodeArtisan · · Score: 1

      I agree... I trust GOOG knows what they are about

      Well they know what they are about apart from the accidental posting of sales projections on the company's Investor Relations Web site during its analyst day presentation on March 2.

      If you are going to snub the Analysts, you either have to try and avoid these kind of mistakes, or hang on for the outbreak of Schadenfreude.

    28. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by aywwts4 · · Score: 1

      Because in most companies the shareholders have the controling share. Therfore they can vote on things, like the salaries of the CEOs, or... even to fire the CEO. Have your stock perform poorly -> Have a mob of angry shareholders out for blood -> Look for a new job with bootedfromcompany:httpenwikipediaorgwikiMichealEis ner on your resume.

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    29. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by guacamolefoo · · Score: 1

      Yes, but I don't see the investors complaining.

      Um...have you seen GOOG's chart lately?

      Something about Google is irritating investors, as they have been flocking away from GOOG lately. Obviously, there are many, many possible reasons for this (valuation issues, the disclosure of certain search data, etc., etc.), but disclosure/guidance issues may be part of the story.

      When a company has such a premium valuation as does GOOG, I would want asolutely clean books and as much transparency as can be managed while at the same time keeping strategic information protected. Admittedly, that is a tough line to walk, but if you want your company to justify an extreme valuation, you have to be perfect. Anything else is itself an excuse for a reduced multiplier.

      Managing investors is an essential part of managing any public or private company. If a company focuses only on its operations aspects without giving sufficient attention to investor issues, the company may end up with a suboptimal valuation that could hurt (1) credit facilities, (2) acquisition opportunities (stock deals are more costly, for instance), and (3) the brand, among others.

      GF.

    30. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by greenrd · · Score: 1
      So therefore analysts want Google to give guidance - so they trust Google to tell them if Google stock is going to crash? Even though they're not giving them any guidance right now?? WTF???

    31. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by ozbird · · Score: 1

      Do analysts represent the official corporate line of their investors?

      It stinks of Microsoft payola to me, unless you consider "Google shares: not a licence to print money" to be newsworthy.

    32. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by Knara · · Score: 1

      No, they aren't. As a matter of fact, since neither the analysts, nor the public holders at large own voting shares, they're not beholden to either population.

    33. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by ksheff · · Score: 1

      if the analysts and investors don't like how Google behaves, they are free to take their money somewhere else. If enough do, the stock will probably come down to sane levels.

      --
      the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs
    34. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For that matter, do you really care what the cost of the bullet is? Just charge it...

    35. Re:Analysts say "Boo Hoo" by coolgeek · · Score: 1

      It's not about Google delivering the services I want in the way I want them right now. I'd like to welcome you to the computer industry, where every day hundreds of opportunities are lost. Google has had plenty of time, and their aborted launch of their video service is an indication that even they think it's been too long without any significant new products. Not to mention the rumblings from the street as well as recent losses in their stock price are a clear indication that the investors think it has been too long as well.

      And I don't know for sure who works hard up there or not. All I have to judge by is their increasing number of employees and their number of offerings that is increasing at a snail's pace. And mostly those increases are through acquisitions, not innovations. The other thing I have to go on is how much the Google workosphere mirrors all the dotcoms that burst with the rest of the bubble. If it quacks like a duck...

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      cat /dev/null >sig
  3. Hmm by Doytch · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Maybe the analysts should do their own research on the company?

    1. Re:Hmm by ROOK*CA · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They already do, but as a shareholder it seems to me that it's far better to have the company issue guidance alongside what the analysts publish. Otherwise when the analysts get it wrong it just generates artificial volitility in the stock, if the company is providing guidance then you have a sanity check against what the street is putting out and vice versa.

      Don't get me wrong, I like the fact that Google is challenging the "status quo" practices of Wall Street, I just think that the way they are "challenging" this particular practice isn't the way to go about it, the suits on Wall Street have a point this time.

    2. Re:Hmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Analysts don't need to do the work, they just have to read Slashdot. Every time Google is mentioned anywhere from here to Uranus, a story gets posted here... hooray for fanboys.

    3. Re:Hmm by mwvdlee · · Score: 1

      Funny AND insightfull at the same time... how should we mod this?

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    4. Re:Hmm by Captain+Zep · · Score: 5, Insightful
      If the 'analysts' can't get it right most of the time without 'guidance', and this causes stock price instability, then perhaps they should stop making predictions and just admit that they don't know?

      Personally I'm convinced that they are just terrified of having to do their own research (maybe even do some analysis!) make their own predictions, and take the flak when they get it wrong.

      They only want guidance so that their 'predictions' will be right, and if they aren't they can blame it on bad guidance.

      Google should continue doing what it said it was going to do, regardless of what the analysts think of it. Screw them.

      Z.

    5. Re:Hmm by ROOK*CA · · Score: 1

      If the 'analysts' can't get it right most of the time without 'guidance', and this causes stock price instability, then perhaps they should stop making predictions and just admit that they don't know?

      That would be asking the analysts to stop doing what they do for a living, IMHO not going to happen. Far better that the company itself puts forth guidance as a sanity check than to have the stock buying public relying solely on the predictions of analysts (handicappers) which are often based on incomplete (or worse dead wrong) information and/or a desire to push a given stock because it's advantageous for their own portfolios to do so.

      Google is a public company now and current and prospective shareholders should expect their management to have the most insight as to how the company is going to perform in the future, it's not like guidance amounts to giving away the crown jewels of the company or anything.

    6. Re:Hmm by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 1
      I've always judged a company based on share price, market cap, previous returns, the state of the market they are in, and what their products and services are like now.

      I'd never bother with quarterly statements, or most of what is written in a company report. It's all designed to show the best picture, to keep people like analysts stating that a stock is worth buying. You can't hide staff being unhelpful and a horrible new clothes range in a store.

    7. Re:Hmm by rhendershot · · Score: 1

      and what is the "guidance" really worth? It's peppered with disclaimers and nuance of forward-looking, unreliable content. Truth is that companines that *have* to give guidance, usually provide only pablam that reassure shareholders, but that has not a lick of influence to their real future. Companies on solid footing are not giving guidance, they give reports. IMO, those speak for themselves. The value of analysts is to catch those situations where past performance is likely to change by a large amount; either up or down. I see very few analysts who can provide this kind of insight.

      IMHO...

    8. Re:Hmm by Angostura · · Score: 1

      Insightful, I think; it will be education to examine which analysts get the Google financials right and which fail abysmally. The analyst community would like to keep the proof of their own incompetence hidden from investors.

    9. Re:Hmm by witefro · · Score: 1

      Poor analysts, they might "get it wrong". Looks like the analysts will have no one to blame for poor research--pity. Also, Google's practice will eliminate "artificial volatility" by eliminating the guidance "middle man". Google is playing by the rules and volatility is part of investing. Anyone uncomfortable with there terms should look elsewhere with their investment dollars.

    10. Re:Hmm by Austerity+Empowers · · Score: 1

      Then Google will be compelled to explain differences between stated expectations and results. They expect 500% growth, get 450%, people bitch and moan about "falling short", even though it's still stunning growth. You think I exaggerate but I work at a company that has had steady growth for years, almost a decade except for one hiccup around 2000/2001, but if it's one cent off it's stated growth mark, people panic! The company is solid, well run, and generally managed with as much of a clue as can be had in a very competitive market. If Google wants to do things different, I'm all for it. Shareholders aren't owed anything except an honest reporting of company status and a vote. Otherwise buying stock continues to be a high risk investment. There are no guarantees, there should be no guarantees.

    11. Re:Hmm by zkwang · · Score: 1

      What you said is just part of the problem. Performance metrics are usually measured in percentages, but percentages cannot grow forever.

      Example:

      Company A makes $50 in 1999
      Company A makes $100 in 2000

      Growth is 100% -- This is what analyst and other investors look at

      Company A makes $175 in 2001

      Growth is 75% -- Company is thought to be dying, cause it didnt grow as fast as last year, even though it made more money than the other 2 years combined. As a result stock tanks.

      Last quarter Google add an increase of 81% in profit, yet stock dropped cause it was not 100%. Still shocked that some analyst are still expecting those 100% growth rates when Google's revenue has hit $10 billion.

    12. Re:Hmm by fallen1 · · Score: 1
      Google should continue doing what it said it was going to do, regardless of what the analysts think of it. Screw them.

      AGREED! Wholeheartedly. I believe that with the capital Google is sitting on as well as the revenue stream, they should look deep into Wall Street's eyes and utter the infamous phrase "Fuck you." Then they should issue a press release stating that they will stick to EXACTLY what they promised investors and the public at large in their prospectus and in their business dealings/motto. They should let the public know that Wall Street and Wall Street's "analysts" are trying to force them into a situation(s) where ethics that they, Google, wish to uphold may be challenged and compromised - even inadvertantly - and so Google will NOT play the Wall Street game.

      But, hey, that's just me and I'm definitely not in control of a multi-billion dollar corporation. If I was, I like to think I would stick to my guns regardless and let Wall Street rot in hell as I gave the public what it wanted - good products, convenience, and some actual service.

      --

      Dream as if you'll live forever.
      Live as if you'll die tomorrow.
      ~Anonymous~

    13. Re:Hmm by greenrd · · Score: 1
      Far better that the company itself puts forth guidance as a sanity check than to have the stock buying public relying solely on the predictions of analysts (handicappers) which are often based on incomplete (or worse dead wrong) information and/or a desire to push a given stock because it's advantageous for their own portfolios to do so.

      How about some personal responsibility here? Investors should look at the track-record of analysts, not just blindly trust them because of their job description or because they're on TV. Isn't this the self-correcting "hidden hand of the market" I keep hearing about?

    14. Re:Hmm by the_womble · · Score: 1
      Of course they should - but there are a lot of uncertainties in even short term forecasts about a company like Google (how much share have Yahoo and MSN taken? will the competitiona affect ad rates? how much has the web advertising market grown? etc.)

      This is actually a very good reason for Google not to issue guidance - because even they can not be sure of what will happen in the next quarter.

      From the analysts' point of view, the uncertainty means that THEY are likely to get it wrong and lose clients money. It is preferable for Google to get it wrong so it is not the analysts fault.

      In many other markets (including major ones like London) earnings guidance is not always given and analysts live with it. If you get guidance its good, if you do not you do your own forecast.

      Yes I have worked as an analyst. Mostly buy-side although I started on the sell-side many years ago.

    15. Re:Hmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the share price is based on 500% growth, and the company isn't growing that fast, than the price should go down. How hard is that to figure out?

  4. Stock is bad by Adolf+Hitroll · · Score: 0

    Sounds like it will soon get worse.

    --
    Smile, don't click...
  5. Question: by endrue · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Is Google the only company that does not give out this information? How common is this?

    --
    I meta-moderate because I care.
    1. Re:Question: by Zontar_Thing_From_Ve · · Score: 2, Interesting

      There aren't many companies who don't provide such guidance and offhand I don't know of any others. However, guidance is not a legal requirement. As others have said, Wall Street loves guidance because they hate uncertainty. But even the guidance is a scam. I've seen cases where companies made exactly what they predicted and then were punished in the market for not doing better. I've seen companies do better than expected and the stock drops. I've seen companies do worse than expected and the stock goes up. I have friends who are college educated and not conspiracy theorists who are absolutely convinced that the stock market is a scam and they have pulled all of their money out of it and won't go back. I am starting to become more and more skeptical about the stock market myself. Too much of it defies all rational thought.

    2. Re:Question: by Prophet+of+Nixon · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Of course its a scam. It has nothing to do with reality, and in particular it has nothing to do with the presense of actual physical or IP assets of a company, and thus nothing to do with actual value. Not to mention that since it has nothing to do with assets, a company can offer a bunch of stock, get real money in return, invest that money into assets held by another company they own, then declare bankruptcy and default on their stock, leaving them with profit (value holding assets) while their "investors" get nothing. Not that that scenario happens too frequently. I'd say its something akin to playing the lottery, albeit with a higher rate of return.

    3. Re:Question: by Maximum+Prophet · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Warren Buffet recomends this to all the companies he is on the board of. It's hard to go wrong following Warren's advice.

      --
      All ideas^H^H^H^H^Hprocesses in this post are Patent Pending. (as well as the process of patenting all postings)
    4. Re:Question: by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Many companies, particularly smaller ones and stocks in volatile industries, do not provide guidance or provide only limited guidance. The more they tell, the more likely they are too be sued when they miss estimates, "safe harbor" statements notwithstanding. Many companies even refuse to give historical information on individual divisions or product lines, considering that keeping this information private is a competitive advantage.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    5. Re:Question: by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1
      Not to mention that since it has nothing to do with assets, a company can offer a bunch of stock, get real money in return, invest that money into assets held by another company they own, then declare bankruptcy and default on their stock, leaving them with profit (value holding assets) while their "investors" get nothing.

      That's a good way to invite an SEC investigation into fraud.

      The truth is that it is the investors who make the money. Just not like you'd expect. The process works like this:

      1. Find a "buzzword compliant" venture. It doesn't matter how shakey the product is, it just has to sound good.
      2. Invest a few million into the "buzzword compliant" venture in exchange for preferred stock in the new company.
      3. Once the buzz from the new company reaches the ears of Wall Street, the company IPOs with non-sensical projections of profits.
      4. The preferred stock holders begin to slowly sell off their shares, gaining massive profits from the initial price surge.
      5. The company goes under, and the prefferred shareholders are able to write off their remaining stocks as "massive losses" for tax purposes, while holding huge sums of real cash in their hands. (Usually far more than the invested to begin with.)
      6. High risk investors lose money, and employees are screwed on their stock options. (IIRC. it takes 6 months or so before options can be sold.)


    6. Re:Question: by corbettw · · Score: 1

      4. The preferred stock holders begin to slowly sell off their shares, gaining massive profits from the initial price surge.

      Umm, no, I don't think so. Preferred stock has a par value which doesn't fluctuate, it's always $100 per share. You can buy/sell preferred for more or less than this, but due to the nature of the beast, it's not going to go wildly ballistic after an IPO. In fact, since the dividend rate from preferred stock is set in stone, even if the company triples its profits in a given year and pays out more in dividends to common stock holders, the preferred stock holders don't get an extra dime.

      So holders of preferred stock can't cash out and gain "massive profits". Preferred stock actually has more in common with bonds than common stock, except that in the event of bankruptcy the preferred stock holders get prior claim to the corporation's assets.

      Preferred stock is usually held by very conservative investors who are looking to stabilize their income. Think "retirees" and "pension funds".

      See, I knew getting that Series 7 would come in handy!

      --
      God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
    7. Re:Question: by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      Not if it's convertable preferred stock. The VCs are able to prevent their shares from being dilluted, then convert them to sellable shares. Depending on how things are setup, their stock may be split between different types of preferred shares.

      Granted, I'm not an expert in the market, so you may know more about some of the dynamics. (Series 7, you say? I'm surprised you didn't get a 63 and break into the market.) But what I do know is that VCs invest money in companies that are bound to fail, because they fully expect to make a profit from them. One avenue that seems to be common in recent years is to sell shortly after IPO.

    8. Re:Question: by corbettw · · Score: 1

      True, if the stock is convertible that's an option. It usually isn't, and the previous post didn't make it clear one way or the other.

      FYI, I got a Series 7 and Series 65 last year when I contemplated a career change from IT to finance. But I quickly got irritated with the other brokers and went back to computers. I think even a resident of Mos Eisley would be put off by the sort of scum and villany you find in any brokerage operation, let alone a certain one previously owned by the largest charge card and travel services company in the world...

      --
      God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
    9. Re:Question: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't believe you have a Series 7. Preferred stock can have any terms basically that the corporation decides to issue it with. I've seen convertible preferred (as another poster pointed out) but also participating preferred, where the preferred gets its return (let's say 12% yield) plus it participates in the upside with the common.

      Needless to say, you're taking a very narrow view of preferred.

      And for what it's worth, it's very easy to issue common with a yield that has all the same preferences as preferred but is still considered common stock and therefore not necessarily subject to the same voting requirements (e.g. class voting requirements to amend certificate of incorporation)

  6. They'll give in ... by Luscious868 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It may come as a shock but Sergey Brin and Larry Page don't own the universe and while they may be masters of search they aren't masters of Wall Street. You do what the Street expects or your stock price pays the price. Ultimately, they'll give in. Almost every "outsider" makes the transistion to an insider when the door opens, no matter their initial intensions.

    1. Re:They'll give in ... by aug24 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What do they care about the stock price? These guys have more personal cash than they'll ever need. As far as I can tell, they actually want to change the world.

      The mantra to 'maximise shareholder value' has never had a particular timescale defined, as far as I know.

      Justin.

      --
      You're only jealous cos the little penguins are talking to me.
    2. Re:They'll give in ... by smooth+wombat · · Score: 2, Insightful
      You do what the Street expects or your stock price pays the price.

      So what you're saying is, "It would be unfortunate if anything happened to your store one night. Like a fire. For a small fee I can ensure that doesn't happen."

      As a poster just up the way said, boo hoo. So long as Google isn't violating SEC rules or regulations they can do what they want regardless of the consequences. If they get hurt by it, that's their problem. If the shareholders get hurt, they will decide Googles fate, not the analysts.

      Maybe those analysts should earn their obscene pay for once and do their own legwork to find out how well or poor Google is doing. It's easy to ask the goose that lays the golden eggs, "When's the next egg coming?". It's another thing to watch the goose for signs of when it's going to lay an egg.

      --
      We will bankrupt ourselves in the vain search for absolute security. -- Dwight D. Eisenhower
    3. Re:They'll give in ... by EnderWiggnz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sergey and Brin hold a majority of voting shares. They absolutely, positivly DO NOT have to listen to whiney analysts.

      GOOG told the investing community, point blank, that they werent providing guidance. Dont like the ground rules, dont buy.

      --
      ... hi bingo ...
    4. Re:They'll give in ... by PenguinBoyDave · · Score: 1

      AMEN! They have been acting like the 800 pound gorilla for far too long now, and it is time they learned that even the strongest men can be brought down by a good swift kick to the knees.

      Don't get me wrong...I like Google, but the China deal and now this...I think it's time for some humbling.

      --
      I'm not a troll, but I play one on Slashdot.
    5. Re:They'll give in ... by wysiwia · · Score: 2, Funny

      Even Sergey Brin and Larry Page nor Bill Gates have enough money to change the world but they could have a rather large influence to certain aspects. I don't know what Sergey and Larry are up to, if the follow the line of Bill or if they go the route of Mark Shuttleworth. Maybe they alltogether finally take on the "Ubuntu Bug #1" (https://launchpad.net/distros/ubuntu/+bug/1) but Bill wouldn't like that very much. ;-)

      O. Wyss

      --
      See http://wyoguide.sf.net/papers/Cross-platform.html
    6. Re:They'll give in ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, in the story they don't ask the goose when the next egg is coming. They cut it open, but they don't find any gold....

    7. Re:They'll give in ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You, sir, are a cockgobbler.

    8. Re:They'll give in ... by radish · · Score: 1

      A few reasons:

      1) A lot of their best staff are rich via stock & options. Price falls, brains walk. Not good.
      2) Google are not adverse to buying out other companies, this takes cash or stock. Price falls, you have less of one and need more of the other. Not good.
      3) Google is investing at a huge rate (e.g. hardware etc). If they need a chunk of cash for a big project a stock or bond issue is a standard way of getting it. If you don't have the banks on your side that's going to be a lot harder to pull off.

      The stock price affects the company's health in many ways, and needs to be controlled.

      --

      ---- Den ene knappen er powerknapp, den andre er Bender voice knapp "Bite My Shiny Metal Ass"

    9. Re:They'll give in ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do what the Street expects or your stock price pays the price.

      In this case, Wall Street isn't expecting anything because Google hasn't told them what to expect. So Wall Street has to think. They seem to have forgotten how to do that.

    10. Re:They'll give in ... by aug24 · · Score: 1

      You're assuming that refusing to give guidance will result in a lower stock price - all I have read is it will result in greater volatility.

      Justin.

      --
      You're only jealous cos the little penguins are talking to me.
    11. Re:They'll give in ... by Eil · · Score: 2

      Why hasn't anyone yet pointed out the obvious possibility that perhaps it's because of Google's unorthodox methods that they're so successful rather than in spite of them?

      The big tech companies are very very afraid of Google, not because Google is going to eat into their market or revenues, but rather because Google is showing the world that it is possible to build a hugely successful business by doing good, making your employees happy, and challenging the status quo. These three things go completely against everything that big business has tried to build up over the last two and a half decades.

    12. Re:They'll give in ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      where's my "anti-shill" tag for the tagging beta when I need it?

    13. Re:They'll give in ... by sesshomaru · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You know, you sound just like Wesley Mouch. Or maybe Ellsworth Toohey.

      --
      "MIT betrayed all of its basic principles."
    14. Re:They'll give in ... by booch · · Score: 1

      I wish I had mod points to give you on that!

      Nobody is forcing investors to buy Google stock. Google is not violating any SEC or NASDAQ rules. You could make a (weak) argument that Google is hurting their stock price (and thus neglecting their fiduciary responsibility) by not disclosing more information. But there are 3 stronger counter-arguments: 1) it's not Google that's hurting the stock price -- it's the speculators; 2) Google is concentrating on long-term stock-holder value, and short-term fluctuations have no bearing on that; 3) long-term stock-holder value is based on the company's long-term performance, and little else.

      --
      Software sucks. Open Source sucks less.
    15. Re:They'll give in ... by Politburo · · Score: 1

      Except that's not really at all like Mouch. Sure, the attitude is similar, but I don't think the OP is calling for ridiculous profit-sharing laws or requiring Google to sign over their IP to the government, etc, etc, etc..

      Wesley Mouch, like most of Rand's characters in Atlas Shrugged, is a caricature.

    16. Re:They'll give in ... by sesshomaru · · Score: 1
      Wesley Mouch, like most of Rand's characters in Atlas Shrugged, is a caricature.
      Ok, well, would it be better if I compared him to Thomas Gradgrind?
      --
      "MIT betrayed all of its basic principles."
    17. Re:They'll give in ... by Politburo · · Score: 1

      Dunno, as I haven't read Hard Times.

    18. Re:They'll give in ... by sesshomaru · · Score: 1
      Well, it's a really good book... it's been a while since I read it too:
      'Girl number twenty,' said the gentleman, smiling in the calm strength of knowledge.

      Sissy blushed, and stood up.

      'So you would carpet your room - or your husband's room, if you were a grown woman, and had a husband - with representations of flowers, would you?' said the gentleman. 'Why would you?'

      'If you please, sir, I am very fond of flowers,' returned the girl.

      'And is that why you would put tables and chairs upon them, and have people walking over them with heavy boots?'

      'It wouldn't hurt them, sir. They wouldn't crush and wither, if you please, sir. They would be the pictures of what was very pretty and pleasant, and I would fancy - '

      'Ay, ay, ay! But you mustn't fancy,' cried the gentleman, quite elated by coming so happily to his point. 'That's it! You are never to fancy.'

      'You are not, Cecilia Jupe,' Thomas Gradgrind solemnly repeated, 'to do anything of that kind.'

      'Fact, fact, fact!' said the gentleman. And 'Fact, fact, fact!' repeated Thomas Gradgrind.

      'You are to be in all things regulated and governed,' said the gentleman, 'by fact. We hope to have, before long, a board of fact, composed of commissioners of fact, who will force the people to be a people of fact, and of nothing but fact. You must discard the word Fancy altogether. You have nothing to do with it. You are not to have, in any object of use or ornament, what would be a contradiction in fact. You don't walk upon flowers in fact; you cannot be allowed to walk upon flowers in carpets. You don't find that foreign birds and butterflies come and perch upon your crockery; you cannot be permitted to paint foreign birds and butterflies upon your crockery. You never meet with quadrupeds going up and down walls; you must not have quadrupeds represented upon walls. You must use,' said the gentleman, 'for all these purposes, combinations and modifications (in primary colours) of mathematical figures which are susceptible of proof and demonstration. This is the new discovery. This is fact. This is taste.'

      -- Hard Times

      Of course... that isn't Gradgrind speaking there but he has such a cool name...
      --
      "MIT betrayed all of its basic principles."
    19. Re:They'll give in ... by rolfwind · · Score: 1

      You silly maggot, cox are for mods.

      Stupid kok hore.

  7. Makes sense by metlin · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If the analysts can't predict, then the stock price would fluctuate.

    This introduces uncertainty, and the last thing that Wallstreet likes is uncertainty. Sometimes, companies have their stock prices going up even after they've lost a major deal simply because the period of uncertainty is over.

    So, this makes a lot of sense - Google is causing uncertainty in the price, and that is definitely not good for GOOG's shareholders (or for Wallstreet, for that matter).

    1. Re:Makes sense by Billosaur · · Score: 3, Insightful
      This introduces uncertainty, and the last thing that Wallstreet likes is uncertainty. Sometimes, companies have their stock prices going up even after they've lost a major deal simply because the period of uncertainty is over.

      But "Wall Street" doesn't know much about anything, whether they have information or not. They forcast that a company should make a profit of 27 cents a share, the company only makes 26 cents, and the stock price plummets! Two companies are going to merge, making them stronger and better able to compete in the marketplace, and their stock prices drop on news of the merger!

      Before you ascribe prognosticative powers to The Street, remember this is the same body that single-handedly created and destroyed the tech bubble because of their rabid need to invest in tech companies with no products, no marketing, and no major capital outlay. Wall Street doesn't have a clue what is really going on and the only people who seem to get rich in the stock market are a) people who are already rich and b) traders, brokers, and analysts and the comapnies they work for.

      --
      GetOuttaMySpace - The Anti-Social Network
    2. Re:Makes sense by aug24 · · Score: 1

      Why is it not good?

      Really, I don't understand why you state that, and so I don't accept it per se.

      Please explain.

      Justin.

      --
      You're only jealous cos the little penguins are talking to me.
    3. Re:Makes sense by MDMurphy · · Score: 1

      If the analysts do predict, stock price will still fluctuate.

      Uncertainty may cause volatility, and Wall Street *does* like volatility. When stock prices go up and down it's due to people buying and selling. Every broker and the exchange makes money on trades, not on stock value. More trades, more money for them.

      While it is possible for a company can cause price changes in the stock, much of the smaller ups and downs are caused by the analysts or just plain herd instinct from investors that cause changes of cents in price to become changes in dollars.

      Very often the reasons given for a stock going up or down after the release of a quarterly report is for how they did in relation to analysts expectations. If they fail to meet analysts expectations the stock is likely to go down, regardless if that quarter showed profitability or growth higher than the previous period. You never hear "Boy, the analysts blew it this time".

      Google has an obiligation to their stockholders and the founders are stockholders. The obligation is to increase profits and increase the value of the company. Sucking up to analysts isn't a obligation.

    4. Re:Makes sense by ScottCooperDotNet · · Score: 2, Interesting
      The time has come for Google to step into line,' one analyst said. 'It is in the interest of all shareholders, including the company's employees and officers, that the share price achieves some stability.'"

      Uncertainty is also produced by analysts going on TV and speculating.

      Worst of all are the short-sighted stock market gamblers who want ruinous long term tactics for short term profits.

      Just imagine this: "Google isn't leveraging their home page with advertisments like Yahoo and MSN, so I'm downgrading their stock!" and drives the share price lower. The fact is if these analysts knew how to run a company they'd do it instead of offering armchair advice.

    5. Re:Makes sense by Mr.+Flibble · · Score: 1

      But "Wall Street" doesn't know much about anything, whether they have information or not. They forcast that a company should make a profit of 27 cents a share, the company only makes 26 cents, and the stock price plummets! Two companies are going to merge, making them stronger and better able to compete in the marketplace, and their stock prices drop on news of the merger!

      Before you ascribe prognosticative powers to The Street, remember this is the same body that single-handedly created and destroyed the tech bubble because of their rabid need to invest in tech companies with no products, no marketing, and no major capital outlay. Wall Street doesn't have a clue what is really going on and the only people who seem to get rich in the stock market are a) people who are already rich and b) traders, brokers, and analysts and the comapnies they work for.


      You are so dead on with that. The behavior of "Experts" on Wall street is inane. I never could figure out what was going on until I read Peter Lynch's book: "Beating the Street" where he beats into your head that you should stop listening to the "experts" and then goes in to great detail why they are often wrong, and you can often be right.

      There is a very valid reason that the Motley Fool has that book as one of their 7 best books on investment of all time.

      --
      Try to hack my 31337 firewall!
  8. Google to Wall Street: by inkdesign · · Score: 5, Funny

    "I find your lack of faith disturbing"

  9. Well, good luck... by Zitchas · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Well, I wish both the best of luck in their endeavors. Wall street will deffinitly need it to get much in the way of change out of google, and on the other hand, one of the things that makes google so attractive is the fact that it doesn't play by the rules. So far, it's *not* just another computer company. I rather think that, once it stops being so distinctive and unique, it will likely stop being as successfull as it is now.

    Stay strong, Google! You may do things we don't like ocasionally, but you're still a wonderfull breath of fresh air in this rather stagnant world...

    --
    Z
  10. DotCom Collapse 2.0 by Eightyford · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Google stock is so unbelievably overvalued. This is what happens when there are more investors than investments, and when people buy stocks in the trendy companies. Ah well, "the rich get poorer" is always good.

    1. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by EnderWiggnz · · Score: 1

      Why is Google overvalued? THeir leading PE is only 30'ish...

      It, if anything looks undervalued to me.

      --
      ... hi bingo ...
    2. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The rich get poorer is always good? This isn't about that. The largest stockholders are institutional. The same that most people are likely to in one way or another have in their 401K, or an IRA, or through some other investment tool...

    3. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Google is overvalued because the have no product. They only have a service. There is some college kid right now working on a technology that will put Google to shame.

      There was search long before Google, there will be search long after Google and it seems Google is making the mistake that most tech companies make when they hit it big. They assume that nothing will change and they will continue to make money.

      There is no security in service companies, if liquidated, Google would have but a tiny fraction of its worth in assets.

      Information may be money in this day and age but our economy is based on material production. This whole web thing will eventually be replaced by something else, just as all technologies are and when it is, Google will realize it is fucked.

      Look at the companies that succeed and have been around for a long time, IBM for instance. Did you know that 50 years ago IBM made guns as well as other manufactured goods. They are not a one horse show and the bulk of their business is in deliverables.

      Google is about to feel the full impact of what will eventually be known as the second .com bubble burst.

      I give them 6 more years before they are obsolete.

      IANALBIAAWST
      (I am not a lawyer but I am a Wall Street trader)

    4. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by FigWig · · Score: 1

      The rich getting poorer is not always good. The stupid getting poorer, now that's always good.

      --
      Scuttlemonkey is a troll
    5. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by P3NIS_CLEAVER · · Score: 0

      Did you think maybe the majority stockholders at google don't want their brand ruined by an association to the internet bubble? Maybe they intend to let some air out of the google stock price so this doesn't happen.

      --
      Please sign petition to restore sanity to our banking system!!!

      http://financialpetition.org/
    6. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by EnderWiggnz · · Score: 1

      Google provides a targetted advertising medium.

      I can see how you think its limited, obviously advertising is not enough to support "free" programming. The failure of Television as a medium is obvious.

      --
      ... hi bingo ...
    7. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by kurokaze · · Score: 1

      30-ish? Try 69.7 as of 15 mins ago.

    8. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The failure of Television as a medium is obvious.

      First, even though your sarcasm is obvious, Television is failing. That is why we are seeing so much product placement.

      "product placement in films jumped 44% last year, with revenue topping $1 billion." (Center for Media & Democracy)

      "While many shows "still offer non-bought space," more TV producers are "adopting a pay-for-play model that could increase the time period's revenue for a station from between 50% and 100%" (Center for Media and Democracy)

      http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Product _placement (Center for Media & Democracy study)

      Television advertising has failed, the big 3 recognize that. They are changing their business model to sell product placement, not commercials.

      No that you sarcasm has shown to be based in ignorance rather then fact.

      Let me point out the HUGE difference between making millions for a 4 hours TV event (the super bowl) and making 11 cents per view for a system that is prone to abuse and fraud. (see the story below about the 91 million credit settlement)

      Any other invalid points you wish to make with sarcasm?

    9. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by azaris · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Google is overvalued because the have no product. They only have a service. There is some college kid right now working on a technology that will put Google to shame.

      Hate to break it to you but service-based business is nothing new nor will it go away.

      There was search long before Google, there will be search long after Google and it seems Google is making the mistake that most tech companies make when they hit it big. They assume that nothing will change and they will continue to make money.

      This is the company that introduces a couple of new services a year.

      There is no security in service companies, if liquidated, Google would have but a tiny fraction of its worth in assets.

      The same goes for just about company, considering the huge costs involved in liquidating real estate, machinery, etc. Staring at the assets is a fool's way of valuing a company. If anything, they can be a liability.

      Information may be money in this day and age but our economy is based on material production. This whole web thing will eventually be replaced by something else, just as all technologies are and when it is, Google will realize it is fucked.

      "I think this Interweb thingy is just a fad."

      Brilliant, fucking brilliant. Don't quit your day job. Unless your day job is really being a trader, in which case please please please please quit your day job.

    10. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by EnderWiggnz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      thats the trailing PE. The forward PE is 28.96.

      Besides, the growth rate was 80%, and the PE multiple should be (about) what the growth rate is.

      IT looks positively cheap to me. I think that people see a multi-hundred dollar price per share, and panic.

      I guess that BRK.A would be completely overpriced then.

      --
      ... hi bingo ...
    11. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hate to break it to you but service-based business is nothing new nor will it go away.

      I never said it was and never said it will.

      It does find its place though and there is not a service industry in the world that has stock valued like Google.

      The same goes for just about company, considering the huge costs involved in liquidating real estate, machinery, etc. Staring at the assets is a fool's way of valuing a company. If anything, they can be a liability.

      First off, the same does not go for just about ? company. I assume you meant to type every, or every other, or some other variation of that sentiment, and second, staring at the assets may not be your preferred way to valuating a company, but then again, you obviously are not an investor. Good, bad , or indifferent, that is often how it is done.

      This is the company that introduces a couple of new services a year.
      "I think this Interweb thingy is just a fad."

      It is not a fad it is a stepping-stone to the next tier of technology. Just like Gopher was not a fad, and IRC was not a fad. They were simply the next step in an ever-evolving landscape that changes not necessarily quickly but does change very suddenly.

      Goggle stock will be down where it belongs within 2 years, at maybe $100 to $150 a share.

    12. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by EnderWiggnz · · Score: 1

      91 million settlement for fraud, eh? Sounds like a minor accounting issue going forward, similar to keeping a reserve for product returns. Plus, its a drop in the bucket compared to overall revenue in the time frame in question. Completely acceptable.

      It took how long for the TV advertising model to fail? 60-70 years? I'd take that long of a run.

      Google solves one of the most basic problems with marketting, and that is how to measure success of the campaign. Superbowl commercials dont do that, but targetted ads do.

      --
      ... hi bingo ...
    13. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by kurokaze · · Score: 1

      Ok, that means that they expect their earnings to double while the share price remains the same in order to achieve that kind of PE towards 2007.

      If the earnings do double, there is no way the share price is staying at the same spot, thus making today's forward PE meaningless

      The BIG difference between BRKa and GOOG is that BRKa's trailing and forward PE is around low 20-ish. That and BRKa's EPS is 4,376 (4 THOUSAND+) vs GOOG's which is 5.

      BRKa is a freakin' steal in comparison to GOOG.

    14. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by EnderWiggnz · · Score: 1

      yes, brk.a is fairly valued, but it also has a 15% growth rate, as opposed to GOOG's 80%.

      Looking at the numbers, GOOG doesnt seem as horrifically overvalued as people are making it out to be, there are much, much worse examples, such as SIRI who cant even post a profit, but has a 6.5B market cap. Hell, MSFT is terribly overvalued with their 5% earnings growth. And RHAT... and.... etc etc etc...

      Google's valuation just doesnt look that out of whack. They're profitable, and growing at a tremendous rate. They've got a recurring revenue model with their advertising, and multiple vehicles to deliver it through.

      I dont understand everyone's concerns, truthfully, the company is well run, and making money .

      --
      ... hi bingo ...
    15. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by kurokaze · · Score: 1

      No doubt that the company is making money, but keep in mind that GOOG is still fairly young when compared to the likes of MSFT and BRKa.

      For a young company, experiencing double digit growth rates is not unheard of. The trick will be how well they do after a number years. Such growth rates are not sustainable if history teaches us anything. That's why I think that alot of the GOOG investors are looking at it with rose-tinted glasses.

      I'm not saying the GOOG is a bad company, but what I am saying is that investors are driving up the price so high up to a point where it has no where to go but down.

    16. Re:DotCom Collapse 2.0 by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 1

      "Wall Street is always the last one to the party, drinks the most, then has a huge hangover."

  11. Maybe the analysts should do a little work??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What do they get paid for? Regurgitating whatever the company says?

    A listed company doesn't have to provide guidance. However, they do have to make all information equally available to all investors.

    What Wall Street dislikes is that Google is pointing out how moronic they really are.

    1. Re:Maybe the analysts should do a little work??? by artg · · Score: 4, Funny

      Strangely enough, regurgitating what somebody else says is something Google is quite good at making money from.

      I wonder what those stock analysts would think of Stooooogle ?

      The threat 'Go away or I will replace you with a very small shell script' comes to mind ..

  12. Dear Larry and Sergei, by aug24 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Tell 'em to

    1) get bent
    and
    2) do their own work, the lazy bastards.

    Love,
    Justin.

    --
    You're only jealous cos the little penguins are talking to me.
    1. Re:Dear Larry and Sergei, by Kaellenn · · Score: 1

      Money talks and bullshit walks.

    2. Re:Dear Larry and Sergei, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Welcome to the real world now. Since you are a public company your share holders own you. Now, if we want information you give us the information. Otherwise we dump your ass. Here's the kicker the people who want the answers "wall street" analysts. Are the analysts for hedge funds and risk mgmt firms. Who via sdtock, futures , and options invest millions upon millions in your company. So yes you do have to answer to them, and no you cannot follow a "no evil" mantra to bypass this.

      And for the person who posted the question earlier. Yes all publicly traded companies do answer to their shareholders and analysts, if not the get a bad rating. bad rating = devaluation

    3. Re:Dear Larry and Sergei, by EnderWiggnz · · Score: 1

      Sergey and Brin own all the voting shares. You dont like the way its being run, dont buy, because your voice DOESNT MATTER.

      --
      ... hi bingo ...
    4. Re:Dear Larry and Sergei, by panthro · · Score: 1

      So Sergey developed multiple personalities and duped Larry Page into selling him (them?) his stock?

      --
      If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the precipitate.
  13. What I want to know ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ... is just how close to the mark this guy is?

  14. What you get for rocking the boat by IamGarageGuy+2 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It was a fun ride, but the Wall Street community is large and powerful. All the power to Google if they can hold out, they made all the right moves, but eventually the "can't fight city hall" mentality will creep into the workforce and stifle new creativity. The employees will start working for next quarters results instead of the grand plan envisioned by the company heads.

    --
    Stay tuned for new sig...
    1. Re:What you get for rocking the boat by panthro · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Nonsense. Don't just throw meaningless "don't rock the boat" and "can't fight city hall" and "it was a fun ride, but" statements at Google based on hype and buzz, just because you can't understand how they succeed without conforming. No one ever did anything great by sticking to the "rules" that are propped up by people riding on the coattails of the last person who did something great. Your can't-do attitude is a self-fulfilling prophecy of self-doubt that has killed more dreams in the history of humanity than any real obstacle.

      The next-quarter-result mentality comes from the top. It would require Google's management to cave to this Wall Street whining, which, as powerful as the "Wall Street community" thinks it is, doesn't mean squat to them. Larry Page and Sergey Brin own controlling stock in Google, and they're interested in long-term benefits (assuming they don't sell out). The only power the analysts have over them is a measure of influence on the most fickle of Google's investors, and any negativity resulting from that will blow over and balance out in a relatively short period of time. Google's got a good long-term plan, and if they stay the path there's no reason they can't prove you utterly wrong.

      --
      If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the precipitate.
    2. Re:What you get for rocking the boat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You might be onto something here ......

      What you described, about churning out product for next quarter, is one of the many PROBLEMS with THIS capitalist society, and the current market environment.

      Google is in it for the long haul. They have grand visions of trying to shape and mould the future of the Internet, and of Information Technology. I praise them for it.

      If the analysts and wall-street scabs can't recognize that this company WILL NOT be another hot TECH number, boo-f***ing-hoo. Uh-oh, this new company isn't playing like everything other company in the market. Mutiny on the bounty. Wall Street NEEDS to be shaken up at this point in the game, and they have OBSVIOUSLY been drinking the kool-aid way to long to not recognize it. STFU and GBTW or find a new job, SCABS!!!!!!

    3. Re:What you get for rocking the boat by bahwi · · Score: 1

      You'd be surprised though, the power of money motives Wall Street, and that's something Google has been good at making so far. It will be interesting to see how this plays out, if at all.

    4. Re:What you get for rocking the boat by Fishstick · · Score: 1

      >a measure of influence on the most fickle of Google's investors ...and really, who needs them anyways!? Seriously, the day-traders will dump google and refuse to touch them with a ten-foot-pole, and their shares will eventually fall in the hands of actual "investors". Right?

      --

      There is much cruelty in the universe, John.
      Yeah, we seem to have the tour map.

  15. It IS time by Kaellenn · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Simply put: when you become a publicly held company you have a responsibility to your shareholders. Until upper management learns this, their stock price is going to continue to decline sharply.

    How exactly is it an "evil" thing to be open and honest with your shareholders rather than asking them to trust in your "master plan?" That's like listening to the guy in the back alley who says "trust me, just close your eyes." Shareholders are going to become frustrated and begin to unload their shares as they realize that they own hugely inflated stock with no real idea of how the company intends to achieve that valuation on the books and not just in the eyes of stock market prospectors.

    1. Re:It IS time by ispeters · · Score: 1

      And how exactly is that a problem? As I understand it, Sergey and Larry together own a majority share in the company, so disconsolate shareholders can't stage a coup, and by selling shares in the first place, GOOG has its money. What does the current share price matter?

      Ian

    2. Re:It IS time by nierd · · Score: 1

      Being accountable to the shareholder is shuch a bullshit excuse.

      Being accountable to the shareholder doesn't mean 'you can only make a profit' - it means you are making business decisions that make the company viable - and protect it's core business - expanding the company as needed.

      These things do not require grovleing to Wall Street. If more CEO's realised this then we wouldn't have the problem of Tyco/etc.

      Remember an investor should look at a stock buy as a 30 year goal - not a short term get rich quick scheme.

      I think our current business practices (and rewarding CEO's based on stock performance) is building a house of cards in the US that will eventually take out a vast majority of the wealth in this country.

    3. Re:It IS time by syylk · · Score: 1

      Simply put: when you become a publicly held company you have a responsibility to your shareholders. Until upper management learns this, their stock price is going to continue to decline sharply.

      True indeed.

      Unless shareholders (or at least the ones holding the majority of share) are ALSO the upper management.

      Which is the case with GOOG, Brin & Page.

    4. Re:It IS time by slofstra · · Score: 1

      But the stock price IS inflated and the price must come down. A more cynical view is that so-called "guidance" would just support the analysts and mutual funds that have worked on pumping up this balloon. Isn't Google being MORE responsible by not buying in to the prevarication going on. Keep in mind that the share price has no direct immediate effect on the financial health of Google. Sure there is a long-term effect in terms of raising new capital. But if the company does well in the LONG TERM with the capital it has now, even that is still going to happen. The whole problem with TECH is that it just doesn't work on quarterly cycles, like Proctor and Gamble; the normal cycle is about ten years. Ten years to determine if they're winning or losing. Why is the price ticking up and down in huge percentiles based on "news"? By my very rough calculation, the proper valuation for Google right now is about $120 US with fairly optimistic growth prospects. That is, if you rely on the assumption that the value of the company is the net present value of all future earnings.

    5. Re:It IS time by BewireNomali · · Score: 1

      Ten year tech cycle? I find that hard to believe. Can you cite a source?

      --
      un burrito me trampeó.
    6. Re:It IS time by ChrisMaple · · Score: 2, Interesting
      One of the best measures for stock price is "trailing PEG", (Price/Earnings)/(Percentage_Annual_Earnings_Growt h). A figure of about 1.0 is generally considered fairly valued for a company that is growing at least moderately. Google's current trailing PEG is 0.85, so by this measure they are 15% undervalued.

      This concept contains a hidden assumption that the company can maintain its current growth rate for at least 3 years. Since Google has announced publicly that the growth rate is going to fall (which should have been obvious to everyone) they are selling at a discount by this measure.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    7. Re:It IS time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Google decided before listing on Nasdaq that it would not provide earnings guidance to Wall Street, and that investors would simply have to trust the company's strategy."

      Seems to me Google stated from the beginning that they would not be giving earnings guidance. If this is correct, then the investors just need to deal with it. You knew this before you invested, then its your own fault. Now if Google said they would be offering guidance and then decided to change their mind, the investor would have something to be a little bit upset about.

    8. Re:It IS time by slofstra · · Score: 1

      What I mean by this is that it takes about 10 years for a tech paradigm shift to work its way through the economy and become fully realized in terms of steady cash flow for its various inventors and contributors. The major paradigm shifts I've seen since I've worked in the industry have been: 3rd generation algorithmic languages, databases, on-line terminal processing (instead of batch), GUI interfaces, the Internet and wireless. These shifts aren't necessarily sequential - they can overlap. Everyone foresaw the impact of the Internet (more or less); but those impacts wouldn't manifest themselves in 1-2 years. It's still ongoing.

    9. Re:It IS time by Angostura · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Simply put: when you become a publicly held company you have a responsibility to your shareholders.

      And providing manipulative "guidance" in a desparate bid to stabilise stock prices by giving hints isn't one of them, which is why it is not mandatory. Presumably the shareholders had a duty to read the prospectus where it said the company would not issue guidance.

      Until upper management learns this, their stock price is going to continue to decline sharply.

      Come again? The stock price will change depending on each quarter's results combined with the investor's view on longer term prospects given the company's stated plan and management competence. Without guidance all that happens is that there is a greater divergence of opinion as to what next quarter's results will be.

      How exactly is it an "evil" thing to be open and honest with your shareholders rather than asking them to trust in your "master plan?"

      This has nothing to do with a master plan, this is all about analysts wanting to avoid looking foolish by using hints from Google on short-term results.

      That's like listening to the guy in the back alley who says "trust me, just close your eyes."

      Not really, unless the guy in the back alley also produces quarterly figures.

      Shareholders are going to become frustrated and begin to unload their shares as they realize that they own hugely inflated stock with no real idea of how the company intends to achieve that valuation on the books and not just in the eyes of stock market prospectors.

      I may agree, but guidance or the lack of guidance won't change that.

    10. Re:It IS time by slofstra · · Score: 1

      Price-Earnings is meaningless, when you figure where this company has to go to justify a market cap of over $100 billion, whith its current sales are only 6 billion. How did you calculate a PEG of only .8? I get a much better (i.e. lower) number based on P-E of 80 and current growth rate of 200%. But let's look at what could easily happen to the PEG in just 2 years. Margins WILL tighten on their click ad revenue. I don't think the moat is that great. If sales growth settles down to a still torrid 20-30% based on their other endeavours and margins tighten to a still healthy 15% (effectively doubling the P-E), the PEG works out to 8.0 - 5.3. Of course, that won't actually happen because the share price is going to come down.

    11. Re:It IS time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Simply put: when you become a publicly held company you have a responsibility to your shareholders. Until upper management learns this, their stock price is going to continue to decline sharply.

      Actually, the price has been fluctuating quite a lot recently and, yes, without guidance it will probably continue to do so because it's hard to tell what a good valuation should be. That tends to make short term shareholders and the analysts that they depend on nervous because it's harder for them to be sure of making a buck. However, it's probably good to scare those guys away early on. They primarily make their money by driving the stock price up quarter after quarter and after a while the stock price becomes dangerously over valued. At that point the long term investors get nervous and stop putting in money and all a company has left is it's hype. I think that Google is saying "no" to that. Google wants to attract investors who are in it for the long haul and their refusal to give short term guidance reflects that.

      Keep in mind that there are a lot of analysts out here. We're only hearing from the loudest right now. Google may not be playing their game but their's isn't the only game in town. In fact, it's kind of an unhealthy game and it's a good long term strategy to not play it. In the meantime, the only ones hurt by the volitility are the ones who are causing it. Sometimes the free market actually does work.

    12. Re:It IS time by Kaellenn · · Score: 1

      The argument that I'm attempting to make is that large-scale investors tend to rely heavily on information from analysts. That is, the type of large scale investors who have the ability to change a stock price with their own trades. Piss off those analysts, and the less than glowing reports will likely push those people to bail out.

  16. Pressure for short term profits by Alien54 · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Many investment firms, especially during the internet bubble, pushed companies to turn around quick profits at the expense of long term growth. This was fine for the cowboy investors, looking to make a quick buck, but very bad for long term prospects. With a strategy for long term interests, you can sometimes do things that are risky as far as short term profits go. Which makes all of the short term investors nervous.

    Sometimes it is better not to let these folks get a foot in the door, because otherwise you get a bunch of people second guessing what your intentions are, and advocating positions that are great for them, but not for the long term prospects of the company.

    --
    "It is a greater offense to steal men's labor, than their clothes"
    1. Re:Pressure for short term profits by panthro · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Couldn't have said it better myself (so I won't). This is precisely why Google's business model has been working so well, in my opinion. Investors calling for Google to go the traditional route (and thus open the ugly, ugly door to input from impatient and fidgety Wall Street suits) are a threat to the long term success of the company. I'm convinced it's in Google's long-term interest to stay the path and let the stock price reflect investments that benefit the future of the company.

      --
      If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the precipitate.
  17. So . . . by scottennis · · Score: 0, Insightful

    They'll toe the line for China, but not for Wall Street?

    1. Re:So . . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      They'll toe the line for China, but not for Wall Street?

      It may come as a surprise, but China is a country, can pass its own laws, and enforce them with its large military. If you want to do business in China, or any other nation, you have to obey that country's laws.

      Wall Street is not a country, does not pass laws, and has no military. The worst they can do is manipulate your stock price and buy a few congressmen.

      It may come as a surprise, but it is possible to do business without Wall Street.

    2. Re:So . . . by aug24 · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure they did 'toe the line'. I suspect the PRC wanted them to do just what MSN, Yahoo etc did: return search results from which some results were removed.

      At least Google insisted on putting 'some results have been removed due to local laws' or whatever it is (I don't read kanji!) on the bottom, and if it really was that or nothing, I'd rather the Chinese got at least a hint that there was something going on.

      (Yes you could call that google fanboyism. I don't)

      Justin.

      --
      You're only jealous cos the little penguins are talking to me.
  18. Revealing commentry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "..the company would reject many of the orthodox methods of doing business with Wall Street and instead adopt a mantra to encourage its employees to do good and not 'evil'."

    Which is tantamount to saying the stock market is evil. I don't know much about Wall Street, maybe someone would care to explain, in apolitical language, why this perception holds so widely. Is it time for a legislative revision of how these forces work in order to regulate the "profit trumps ethics" attitude of investors? Or does Google have enough might and integrity to tell Wall Street where to get off and go it independently. Can they unilaterally pull out and become a non-public company again?

  19. This is why Microsoft wins by Snap+E+Tom · · Score: 1

    See. Another one. WordPerfect, Netscape, etc. etc. Now we can add Google to the list. Sure, Microsoft illegally uses its monopoly, but their competitors keep doing stupid things.

    Great, Google. Piss off the DOJ, piss off Wall Street, get more bad press by sending Chinese to labor camps. You think you'll get more capital by being silent to instituational investors? How are you going to grow and expand when your stock price is at $5.00? When Microsoft starts leveraging their monopoly on your search and ad business, do you think the DOJ will give a rat's ass when you complain to them?

    That's great. The biggest hope we've had in 10 years for a valid competitor to Microsoft is now shooting themselves in the foot.

    1. Re:This is why Microsoft wins by finkployd · · Score: 1

      get more bad press by sending Chinese to labor camps

      I believe you are thinking of Yahoo, Google just censored some search results (still bad, but not as bad as Yahoo)

      Finkployd

    2. Re:This is why Microsoft wins by rmadmin · · Score: 1

      Wow.. Pretty quick to judge eh? Did you ever think that maybe Google has a few more tricks laying around?

      How many multi-national search and advertising businesses have you run that you know so much about the business?

    3. Re:This is why Microsoft wins by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Well there stock was up over 2$ this morning so who knows?
      Really this is very interesting. The SEC is not asking this. The request has no force of law behind it. It only comes from the "analysts" aka the old money boys in New York. As long as Google has the name and the profits it is very likely they will be just fine. This is a very interesting power struggle. I still think that Google shouldn't have sold out to the Chinese. I feel that was evil. However I still hope that Google does change the world for the better. They haven't done any major good yet but at least they are on the right track.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    4. Re:This is why Microsoft wins by oliverthered · · Score: 1

      "When Microsoft starts leveraging their monopoly on your search and ad business, do you think the DOJ will give a rat's ass when you complain to them?"

      I think that that would be the intergrated search feature in Vista.

      'Search
      Users can search documents, e-mail, contacts, and Web sites right from their desktop. Windows Vista searches are not limited to the local computer and can include shared folders, and other network resources. For all those times users think, "I know I've seen that somewhere, but where was it?" search capability makes it easy to find the content that user is looking for.'

      --
      thank God the internet isn't a human right.
    5. Re:This is why Microsoft wins by BewireNomali · · Score: 1

      Please mod parent up.

      This isn't the first time google has slipped up.

      -gmail: less than 1 million users. this is not a success by any means. using the invite method to generate demand backfired. Becasue uptake has been slow, all google is going to see is that the more successful webmails are going to incorporate some of google's good ideas, into their own solutions, preventing any erosion of their marketshare.

      -gtalk: less than 1 million users. google has no idea what the average im user wants; thus gtalk is not a viable alternative. Again, anything innovative gets folded into the borg.

      -google pack: is a disaster, especially considering the suite of tools microsoft has in beta at ideas.live.com. This the best google could do? google's main product is still search, and because they're painted into a corner, they're ripe to get shot down.

      -google video: I'm still not impressed, and neither is the market.

      Microsoft and Yahoo have dozens of products with which to leverage against google. Google just has google.com - and ironically, they refuse to monetize the front page (justifiably afraid that they'll lose their core customer if they clutter it up).

      --
      un burrito me trampeó.
    6. Re:This is why Microsoft wins by British · · Score: 1

      -google video: I'm still not impressed, and neither is the market.

      Youtube is now beating them, IMO. Youtube has a lot more interesting content(entire episodes of "The state", rare music videos, etc), a tag system like last.fm, more than 1 way to search, and a community system built in that's not hard to use. Google video is rather lacking in their site. I could spend hours sifting through the youtube content bin.

    7. Re:This is why Microsoft wins by jamar0303 · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry? I think that Gmail and Gtalk are not failures at all- my whole school uses both services, teachers and all, to communicate with each other. I find it hard to believe that there are less than 1 million users of Gmail when it has spread to so many countries. Maybe you are only counting the US, but if it's true, I find it sad that my school is even 0.01% of total Gmail usage. Also, on the note of other webmail services taking up the good features of Gmail, Yahoo China has a 1GB inbox, but I certainly am not going to take that... and no other services have as efficient of a system- integration of chat and e-mail.
      This post made from China late at night- I apologize for any spelling errors and lack of coherency in advance.

      --
      OSx86 FTW
    8. Re:This is why Microsoft wins by Alioth · · Score: 1

      RTFA. They aren't being silent to investors, they are being silent to analysts who are too lazy to do their own groundwork.

    9. Re:This is why Microsoft wins by Snap+E+Tom · · Score: 1

      Do you have any idea how Wall Street works? Who do you think the investors listen to? Maybe they're lazy, but an analyst has the power to change that rating into a sell.

      Incidentally, you with 100 shares does not count as an investor who matters. The analysts' buddy down the street who's a portfolio manager representing 50,000 shares? That's the investor that matters.

    10. Re:This is why Microsoft wins by bs7rphb · · Score: 1

      Will people please stop saying 'leverage' when they mean 'use'?! It's not a verb, morons!

    11. Re:This is why Microsoft wins by Alioth · · Score: 1

      The Google prospectus said beforehand they wouldn't be doing this. The investors themselves bought knowing this. It's now the analysts who are kvetching. Google isn't the only company that does this either.

      The investors who matter most in Google are the majority shareholders...who also happen to be Google's executives. Google is profitable at the moment and doesn't actually require a huge injection of cash (they already have it in the bank). Google doesn't care.

    12. Re:This is why Microsoft wins by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're gay for a whole bunch of reasons.

      -First, because you addressed "people" as opposed to GP. Homo!
      -Second, ur a usage nazi. butt bandit!
      -Third, you like fat cocks in ur greasy mouth! luser.

      You read that whole thing and that's all u had to say?!?!?! Fucking small minded homo. Ur disgusting. And ur getting fat so the closet must be getting pretty tight.

  20. Let them eat cake by aussersterne · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Google investors overbought a black box and they were willing to such a thing because of greed. Now that they're invested, they've decided they want to see inside that black box, despite their having known it was a black box when they bought it. Why? Greed.

    Let them stare their greed in the face for a while.

    --
    STOP . AMERICA . NOW
    1. Re:Let them eat cake by LaughingCoder · · Score: 1

      And the benficiaries are the pre-IPO Google shareholders (employees, pre-IPO investors and founders), who sold those shares at a grossly inflated price. Do you honestly believe they (Google) behave the way they do for altruistic reasons? They did a cold calculation and reasoned that this was how they could maximize their (shareholders pre-IPO) "take", which ultimately must come at the expense of the investors. Google is just another company acting in what it perceives is its self-interest and I, as a died-in-the-wool capitalist, have no problem with that. Don't ascribe anything more than that to their actions and you won't be disappointed.

      --
      The more you regulate a company, the worse its products become.
  21. Analysts are upset, should Google care? by digitaldc · · Score: 2, Insightful

    An analyst for RBC Capital Markets yesterday was the first to call for Google to step into line with the majority of US listed companies

    And who is this person to tell Google what to do? Just because they can not maximize their profit margins more easily, Google must change their ways?

    --
    He who knows best knows how little he knows. - Thomas Jefferson
    1. Re:Analysts are upset, should Google care? by My+name+isn't+Tim · · Score: 1

      you know what's even funnier http://www.rbc.com/RBC is a Canadian bank asking an American company to act more like other American companies

  22. Translation by Gryle · · Score: 1

    "The time has come for Google to step into line," one analyst said. "It is in the interest of all shareholders, including the company's employees and officers, that the share price achieves some stability."

    What he's really saying is "Hey, we want a sure thing. Give it to us!"

    I know very little about the stock market and corporate finance so take this with a grain of salt. Since they are a public company now, Google is answerable to the stockholders, but I don't see how Google is required to assist investors in figuring out what the stock is going to do. Playing stocks is, in essence, nothing more than high-stakes gambling. If you want something steady and reliable, find a different source of income.

    --
    Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not entirely sure about the universe - Einstein
  23. Screw Guidance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Serious investors should think long term, not what this quarters profit will be. One huge problem with U.S. companies is that their upper management folks are compensated with stock options (or grants) and are often based on current performance. Why make a long term investment when you can cut current costs to make a profit now? Wall Street thinks you're making money and the stock goes up up up and you can cash in.

    Google's doing the right thing telling "The Street" to fuck off.
    Wall Street is still pissed off that they missed out on the initial public offering by Google going with a "Dutch Auction" where individual investors set the initial price, not a fixed price where insiders who get alloted shares can rake in freebie big payday.
    Ya, I'm talking about you Goldman Sachs.

    Bottom line is Google shouldn't cater to these "analysts". They all have axes to grind and pandering to them is a waste of time and money. Google should pursue success in many paths and if one of them takes years or decades to pan out, so be it.

    Not that Google wasn't pulling a fast one the little guys who did invest in their company. The stock Google sold was "diluted voting rights stock". That's right, the original owners get special super duper voting power over you clowns with 100 shares.

    1. Re:Screw Guidance by drew · · Score: 1

      Not that Google wasn't pulling a fast one the little guys who did invest in their company. The stock Google sold was "diluted voting rights stock". That's right, the original owners get special super duper voting power over you clowns with 100 shares.

      That is indeed what they sold, but I fail to see how that is "pulling a fast one". They have been very forthright about their stock all along. Anyone who didn't know what they were getting either wasn't paying attention or shouldn't be investing in the stock market to start out with.

      --
      If I don't put anything here, will anyone recognize me anymore?
    2. Re:Screw Guidance by hopethisnickisnottak · · Score: 1

      I've read enough crap on this page.

      Serious investors should think long term, not what this quarters profit will be.

      And how the fuck is the serious investor supposed to estimate the growth potential for Google when all they get from Sergey and Brin (or whatever) is "Trust our masterplan," ???

      And who are you to define a serious investor? For that matter, who is GOOG's management to do that?

      As a long term and serious investor, I want to know where and how the company is headed. At the same time, I want to know if there are short term fluctuations in earnings around the corner (so that I can sell high and buy low, perhaps). Who are you to advise me not to do that?

      Short term traders fulfill a very important role in markets - arbitrage. They're the people who stabilise prices. Not the long term investors who buy and sleep on it.
      Because GOOG is pissing these people off, you're seeing less arbitrage and more volatility in its stock prices. And that's bad news for their investors.

      Google should pursue success in many paths and if one of them takes years or decades to pan out, so be it.

      Again, who are you to decide what is a reasonable timespan for a serious investor to get good returns on his money?

      Not that Google wasn't pulling a fast one the little guys who did invest in their company. The stock Google sold was "diluted voting rights stock". That's right, the original owners get special super duper voting power over you clowns with 100 shares.

      Yeah, Do no evil my ass. "Your money is good for us. Pay up and fuck off."

      --
      -Shaunak
  24. Let's nip that in the bud. by RealProgrammer · · Score: 5, Insightful
    When Google went public, they became obligated to the stockholders, regardless of any preexisting 'mantras'.

    Not.

    They are obligated to do precisely and only what their prospectus, corporate charter, and public writings and speech say they will do. They are not obligated to give analysts "guidance" or play any of the other foolish games Wall Street wants them to play.

    This talk of stability in stock price is just whining. It's also a key test for Google, who will now show that they are either sellouts or true idealists. While I don't hold the same ideals as they do, and don't think selling out for the kind of money they got is such a bad thing, I find the whole thing interesting as a study in human nature.

    --
    sigs, as if you care.
    1. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by dgrati · · Score: 1, Interesting

      A publically traded corporation is by law, required to uphold the interests of the shareholders foremost, above anything else. The above clause would be invoked if the majority shareholders demanded for forecasts. Half a dozen wall street analysts are not the majority shareholders, ergo, the law does not apply to Google as of yet. Furthermore, the wall street analyst is commiting a logical fallacy by declaring that somehow their own demand equates to the sharedholders' demands.

    2. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its also worth noting that its not Google that is causing the instability, it is the people buying and selling the stock. If they would bother to learn about Google there would be less instability. Besides, the instability is where money is to be made.

      I think we should call on Google to continue acting as they have been! Shake those old Wall Street farts out of their comas.

    3. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by EnderWiggnz · · Score: 1

      Google's shareholders dont have voting rights.

      --
      ... hi bingo ...
    4. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by mOdQuArK! · · Score: 2, Informative
      A publically traded corporation is by law, required to uphold the interests of the shareholders foremost, above anything else.

      IANAL, but as far as I know, a publically-traded corporation is, by law, only required to uphold what it says in its corporate charter. Most corporation charters say they will pursue shareholder's interests, but there can be other clauses in it which can allow the company to act in ways which might not directly benefit shareholders.

    5. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by lurker4hire · · Score: 5, Interesting

      You know not of which you speak.

      Google's majority shareholders are the founders, effectively they do what they want. The shares they sold have limited voting ability, thus limited ability to direct how the company operates. Investors knew, or should have known, those very important facts before investing.

      Wall St. is just very used to getting their way, so when an organization doesn't toe the line they get pissy, as another poster mentioned this is a test of Google's business ethic. Either they'll stick to their guns or fold. IMHO folding will be the first substantive sign that Google as a business is morphing into our next technology monopoly that 15 years from now will be the equilivant of MS now or IBM in the 80s.

      l4h

    6. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not quite. Public companies work for their current shareholders and thats it.

      Its one of the downsides of going public, and it happens all the time. Secondary investors come in, demand different results, install a new board of directors, and fire officers that don't perform to their standards. What the company orignally planned is irrelevant. Google is fundamentally no different than any other publically traded corporation. They can't have the advantages (access to public financing) without the downsides (shareholder demands/quarterly earnings pressure/ect.)

      As far as whining about share price stability, thats completely off. Share price stability is one of the key components in most stock valuation tools. Take the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). Its one of the more basic valuation techniques, and it is by no means perfect. Still, it describes why the institutional investors want earnings guidance.

      CAPM: E(r) = Rf + B(Rp)

      E(r) is the stock's expected return. Its the summary return you expect the company to provie.

      Rf is the risk free rate. Its a rate of return that an investor can buy without incurring any risk. Think government T-bills.

      Rp is the risk premium. People who want to invest in stocks (assume more risk) want a larger return than what T-bills are going to offer them. They wanted some payoff for their risker investment. Conceptually, this is usually the return on an index (tradiionally the S&P500)

      Here is the killer

      B is beta. It measures the individual stock in question (google) against the market premium. Beta over 1 means the stock is risker than the market and will provide greater returns in turn. Under 1 means the opposite.

      By not providing sufficient earnings guidance and limiting overall transparency, Google is driving its B through the roof. Investors will DEMAND higher and higher returns. When Google can't provide those, its going to get hammered. Stock prices will fall. Hard. Not because it doesn't have a good strategy, or because of poor operational results.

      Management owes its shareholders more than that. Google is in a different game now, and thinking that the company is somehow "bigger or better" than the market is naive at best.

    7. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by Uber+Banker · · Score: 1

      I absolutely hate stochastic modelling of the stock market, and 'freer' parametric modelling only a little less. But that's what most people roll with and isn't a bad tool to domonstrate the techniques.

      It is worth noting that the stock market as a whole has extgremely low volatility at present. That means really really low day-to-day/hour-to-hour changes in stock prices. Implied volatility has lagged realised volatility for the last couple of years, by a little, but by any measure, Google have a higher volatility at the moment and don't relate much to stock market volatility. Present low volatility is unusual, it may well change. And a CAPM measure is limited to historic volatility (or semi implied volatility, which is dependent on historic volatility), lest the Flying Spaghetti Monster get his way.

    8. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by ergo98 · · Score: 1

      If they would bother to learn about Google there would be less instability.

      Huh? What can someone "learn about Google" that tells them definitively whether or not a P/E of 70 is valid? Markets change and competitors appear and disappear -- Google's dominance is not forever, and could end next week, next year, or in ten years. Never will volatility disappear from the stock.

    9. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by ergo98 · · Score: 1

      This talk of stability in stock price is just whining. It's also a key test for Google, who will now show that they are either sellouts or true idealists.

      Adapting to a maturation of the business, and the honeymoon ending, makes them sellouts? Demands change over time, and with Google's honeymoon coming to an end some banks and analysts are making new requests. They're allowed to do that, you know. And Google may eventually decide that it's in their shareholder's interest to comply (for instance if the liquidity of the stock was hurt because the overwhelming bulk of institutional investors don't want to touch it), so they might adapt. Sellouts indeed.

      The idea that anyone still believes the "Google do not evil" thing absolutely amazes me. I don't think Google is inherently evil, or any more evil than any other corporation, but at their root they're an advertising company (similar to Doubleclick. Note that Google has added full-colour banner ads to their ad repertoire, and I belive have begun the steps to have animated ads) saturating the web with ads, and using a huge presence in one market (search) to stomp out lots of large and small competitors in others (messaging, email, calendaring, classified listings, video, maps, etc). What a great bastion of goodness.

      I really wonder what all of the Google fanatics have been drinking to believe the ridiculous, unfounded motto so deeply.

    10. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by Aspirator · · Score: 1

      When a company issues profit forecasts etc. It tends to perpetuate the
      illusion that things will carry on a steady growth path.

      This tends to make the stock more stable in the short term.

      However, when the actual performance deviates (as it will) from that
      simplistic model there comes a point where either:

      a) Their forecasts suddenly recognise reality, stock plunges.
      or
      b) They start cooking the books, like Enron, then when this comes to light.....

      Google are obligated to file their actual historical results, not to
      provide owners with a warm fuzzy feeling that all is great, and let
      the analysts have someone to blame when it isn't.

      Ever notice that stocks are downgraded immediately after a big drop, and
      upgraded immediately after a big rise.

    11. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by rah1420 · · Score: 1

      A publically traded corporation is by law, required to uphold the interests of the shareholders foremost, above anything else.

      Really? Izzat so?

      Then Johnson & Johnson's been violating the law since 1943.

      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens.
    12. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by mgbastard · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There's also something very different with Google's Balance sheet. No long-term debt. As for short term debt, they are carrying open payables reasonable for a company their size, so that's not a factor. Most public companies depend on their stock performance to influence their debt rating. This affects both what they can borrow, and current debt they are carrying.

      Google has no reason to fear any impact on their company operations due to their stock performance's affect on debt rating, because there is no long-term debt that can be called in. When a company like Enron has a public relations disaster, their stock price tumbles, and their debt rating sinks to junk status. That's the force that destroys a public company. As they are still not carrying any long-term debt, it seems unlikely they plan to take on any in the near future, so they can get away with "their way" until that situation changes.

      --
      Anyone seen my low uid? last seen 10 years ago while panning the #@$# out of Taco's 'web based discussion system'
    13. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by PitaBred · · Score: 1

      Google doesn't need it's shareholders money. It's just giving them a chance to ride along. "Profits are paramount" isn't Google's mantra, and that's all that's fucking with Wall St.'s collective head. They're just out to try to do good, interesting business, and have never said that they weren't. Deal with it.

    14. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by Seanasy · · Score: 1
      A publically traded corporation is by law, required to uphold the interests of the shareholders foremost, above anything else.

      In what law, exactly, is this obligation spelled out. People march out this argument every time these issues arise but no on ever cites a source. Please, cite the source. I want to look at the actual law. Thanks.

    15. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by flynt · · Score: 1

      The source is usually Business 101 at Podunk "University", USA, taught by "Dr." Somebody, "PhD".

    16. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by Bull999999 · · Score: 1

      Section 716 of the business corporation act states:

      ...the directors and officers of a corporation shall exercise their powers and discharge their duties with a view to the interests of the corporation and of the shareholders....

      This is quoted from an article written by a corporate attorney proposing a 'Code for Corporate Citizenship' in state law. It can be found at http://www.medialens.org/articles/the_articles/art icles_2002/rh_corporate_responsibility.html

      --
      1f u c4n r34d th1s u r34lly n33d t0 g37 l41d
    17. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by Seanasy · · Score: 1

      Thanks. That's for Maine so I'm guessing it's up to the state in which a company in incorporated. Is there any case law in which shareholders sue a corporation because they made decisions that didn't make enough money?

    18. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by Bull999999 · · Score: 1

      The author mentioned that many other jurisdictions have similar laws so it's just not for Maine.

      One recent shareholder lawsuit was against Merck due to Vioxx recall. http://www.mynippon.com/vioxx/2004/11/vioxx-recall -leads-so-shareholder.html

      --
      1f u c4n r34d th1s u r34lly n33d t0 g37 l41d
    19. Re:Let's nip that in the bud. by saikou · · Score: 1

      Which is exactly why, say, DowJones owned Marketwatch publishes "brilliant" pieces on how companies have to borrow money instead of having money in cash -- with Google and Microsoft being given as "prime examples of wrongdoing". Yes, in some cases leasing something short term is better than owning them, but no, with money it's better having them in the bank, rather than giving into public's cry "give us all your money reserves NOW! We own your stock!", after which a swift selloff will follow because company does not have enough cash for developing new product or not allowed to borrow more because something new is not "a sure hit" and they may loose money on it in the future.
      Wall Street is being run by fear, greed and herding instinct, so every time someone gives off those "Well you don't have to blindly follow advice of your [commission-paid] broker and [seemingly independent bank] analyst, you have to think for yourself" vibes, they get extremely unhappy. Why, next thing you know companies won't need to borrow cash just to survive, and won't depend on rating agencies "reviewing" their prospects.
      Microsoft and Google may antipodes in end user treatment, but both companies do what's good for them in the long run -- trying not to get too distracted by whines of people who are getting a free ride.

  25. Ethics are overrated. by Ivan+Matveitch · · Score: 0
    Example: a used car dealer refuses to sell you a car because he is full of brotherly love for you and wants you to ride a bicycle so that you will be healthy. (Suppose he came up with this noble idea while praying in church last week.)

    Or: a used car dealer sells you a car to make a profit of two hundred bucks, which he will spend on booze and hoes. He's never had an ethical thought in his life and cares only for his own pleasure.

    Which one serves you better? Obviously, the greedy, unethical dealer.

    1. Re:Ethics are overrated. by Prophet+of+Nixon · · Score: 1

      Well, if I sold booze and hoes then... oh, wait.

    2. Re:Ethics are overrated. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So I have the choice of getting off my lazy MMO gamer ass and riding a bike, or buying a worn-out car that's likely to break down and/or explode.

      The answer's pretty obvious when you aren't trying to spread propaganda, isn't it?

    3. Re:Ethics are overrated. by hey! · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, why are human beings ethical agents?

      In a nutshell, I think it's because they have a concept of themselves as agents, as distinct individuals acting in space and time. We are the stories we tell about ourselves.

      Now, if your brand of ethics is based on an idea of benevolence, you might think it is ethical to decide for those people, based on the most superficial observations, what is good for them to do or not to do. On the other hand, to my way of thinking, this is intruding on a story that does not belong to you, and harms (what I see as) the person. One might take such an action with an offspring, or an unusually close friend, but it extremely presumptuous otherwise.

      As a rule of thumb it's more ethical to my way of thinking to let people make their own decisions, even if they are mistakes. The first dealer to my mind is being an interfering busybody. How does he know that you don't have a medical condition that doesn't allow you to exercise? Or that you don't need the car for a job? The second dealer is more ethical to my way of thinking, although he may violate certain social norms. He's probably thinking, "it's none of my business whether this guy buys a car or rides a bike." Which I would say counts as "having an ethical thought".

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    4. Re:Ethics are overrated. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good thing they "do no evil" or they would just tell the analysts "we are going up! tell everyone to buy"
      The next day... "Hey.. we decided to sell all our stocks and resign. We need a permanent vacation."

    5. Re:Ethics are overrated. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I could be kind and say that you are confusing morality with ethics. But really, you don't know what ethics are, and would be better served by taking an intro philosophy class.

  26. unprecedented evile on its way out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    you can bet yOUR highly mortgaged .asp it will not leave without a big badtoll.

    for many of US, the only way out is up.

    don't forget, for each of the creators' innocents harmed (in any way) there is a debt that must/will be repaid by you/US as the perpetrators/minions of unprecedented evile will not be available after the big flash occurs.

    'vote' with (what's left in) yOUR wallet. help bring an end to unprecedented evile's manifestation through yOUR owned felonious corepirate nazi life0cidal glowbull warmongering execrable.

    some of US should consider ourselves very fortunate to be among those scheduled to survive after the big flash/implementation of the creators' wwwildly popular planet/population rescue initiative/mandate.

    it's right in the manual, 'world without end', etc....

    as we all ?know?, change is inevitable, & denying/ignoring gravity, logic, morality, etc..., is only possible, on a temporary basis.

    concern about the course of events that will occur should the corepirate nazi life0cidal execrable fail to be intervened upon is in order.

    'do not be dismayed' (also from the manual). however, it's ok/recommended, to not attempt to live under/accept, fauxking nazi felon greed/fear/ego based pr ?firm? scriptdead mindphuking hypenosys.

    consult with/trust in yOUR creators. providing more than enough of everything for everyone (without any distracting/spiritdead personal gain motives), whilst badtolling unprecedented evile, using an unlimited supply of newclear power, since/until forever. see you there?

    "If my people, which are called by my name, shall humble themselves, and pray, and seek my face, and turn from their wicked ways; then will I hear from heaven, and will forgive their sin, and will heal their land."

  27. But, a rebellion against all companies is going on by argoff · · Score: 1, Informative

    In all fairness, the US economy has more debt than it can pay off, and is very nicely positioned for a currency collapse, not to mention a recession at mininum. Google isn't the only company under attack, but is the most noticible because of it's very high P/E. The dollar, bonds, housing, and the stock market are in very high risk of a breakdown. The only safe sector left is commodities.

  28. Possibility for delisting? by trosenbl · · Score: 3, Informative

    I'm not a stock broker, but I do know that companies can be delisted from a stock exchange for a variety of reasons. Could Google get delisted for being too tight lipped? They've got to offer at least some guidance to stockholders in their annual reports.

    I'm not saying I don't respect what Brin and Page are trying for, but they're going into a well-established arena and trying to do things in what seems to be a very unique way, an arena which is largely satisfied with the way things work. Perhaps we might see some minimum disclosure requirements added to the requirements for being listed on NASDAQ.

    Frame it in the open source discussion, and some opinions might change. Isn't what analysts are calling for just like what the open source community calls for? We want to know how code works, to make sure it's doing the right things and not hiding wrong things. Isn't this what the Bush administration is criticized for, not giving guidance as to what they're doing? This is financial analysts wanting to get an idea of what's going on underneath the hood, rather than just guessing.

    Again, I respect what they do, and if they push gently, they'll get something put in motion. But, if they push too hard for what they want before the market is ready for their philosophy, something might break.

    1. Re:Possibility for delisting? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hm.

      * 0.00
        + Whiny flap with wall st.
        + immaterial specter of 'de-listing'
        + what sensible greedy stock exchange in the world would turn Google away
        + wall st. isn't the only solid or otherwise stock exchange in the world : China, Europe (count them), etc.
        + the doom chorus for the greenback
        + China
        + etc.
        bottom_line________________________
              kinda makes sense, doesn't it ?

    2. Re:Possibility for delisting? by bladesjester · · Score: 1

      I believe that Coca-Cola does the same thing and they're still doing quite well.

      Analysts just hate it when people don't play ball with them so they can't get rich(er) as easily.

      --
      Everything I need to know I learned by killing smart people and eating their brains.
    3. Re:Possibility for delisting? by drew · · Score: 1

      they're going into a well-established arena and trying to do things in what seems to be a very unique way, an arena which is largely satisfied with the way things work.

      Actually, this is not very unique at all. There are a large number of well established and well regarded companies on Wall Street that do the same thing as Google. You can find numerous examples listed in other comments but Coca-Cola and Berkshire Hathaway are some that are particularly notable. It may be somewhat unique in the technology sector, but I'm not sure about that. I suspect that the reason Google is catching so much heat for this right now is that, unlike many of the other companies that behave the same way, Google is young, and I suspect many veteran analysts expect that they can push Larry and Sergei around a bit more easily than, say, Warren Buffet. The other reason is that Google is a hot name right, something of a stock fad, and the analysts are most likely eager to try and cash in on some of the more casual investors.

      --
      If I don't put anything here, will anyone recognize me anymore?
    4. Re:Possibility for delisting? by hopethisnickisnottak · · Score: 1

      I'm not saying I don't respect what Brin and Page are trying for

      Ok, someone please tell me what the fuck are Brin and Page trying that is so admirable? Really, please, tell me. Reading slashdot, you'd think they were Martin Luther or someone.

      --
      -Shaunak
    5. Re:Possibility for delisting? by trosenbl · · Score: 1

      I'll take you seriously -- here's what: http://www.google.org/

      They offer a pretty decent deal to employees. They encourage their employees to work on non-assigned projects. Granted, the caliber of people Google has makes this deal work for them quite well, but I'd like to see it trickle down.

      From what I know of them, they're quite the idealists, and they don't seem to be corrupted by money just yet. They tend to handle themselves well (not providing search info to DoJ). Even with the Chinese-censored Google, they did the overall best thing. They censor their results, but they TELL people when results are removed. They also haven't bothered to try and block alternate routes to real Google. So far, they seem to do a good job of weighing factors and not screwing people over too badly.

      They seem more like scientists than businessmen, and even though society can't practically achieve the type of purity scientists tend to believe in, why not at least try to be the best? Something about aiming for the moon and landing among the stars. Cheesy, but there's something to it.

  29. Time to grow up and join the real world by dalewj · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    When they asked people to buy your stock they took their money. Now they need to grow up a touch and start acting like a real corporate entity. Although you are no longer getting your money from them, your stock price is determined by how the act. The last few weeks they have acted like a bunch of High school kids dropping hints, putting data on their website by accident, and making the market price of their stock take massive moves. One can't do this in a grown up world, give in Google and give us some nnumbers or at least clean up your outside look at the company. I havent touched their stock because i think its over valuated and because i see no stability in their actions.

  30. SELL SIDE Financial Analyst Mentality by Uber+Banker · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Firstly, these are predominantly 'sell side' analysts. That means they do analysis to pass to their salesmen or customers to increase their trading revenue/customer retention(attraction).

    It is nice to have your cake and eat it. It is nice to provide reliable analysis based on facts. Plug the snippets of information you receive into a spreadsheet and press the VBA button (because all such macros are in Excel, for better or for worse). You get a reliable forecast and lots of happy customers that compare your estimates to others' and think you're good. Except eveyyone else is doing the same thing, or rather, playing the same game.

    In Google's case, they play a different game. The analysts' spreadsheets don't work so well, in part because Google's business is slightly different, in part because Google take the approach to only report really important things, their methodology of re-evaluating guesses as Google's official announcement approaches doesn't happen. They twiddle their thumbs and complain about being made to play a different game.

    Now, I am somewhat sympathetic to them, and somewhat not. Variance of price is important in finance. Would you rather have a mean return of $5 per year with a variance throught the year of $2 or with a variance of $1? We're talking ex-post variance here, as a predictor of your portfolio's ability at maintining value at that instant you're ready to draw it down (or add more money to), not ex-ante picking over or underbought markets (and if you can, please let me know how so I can buy a tropical island with lots of native women ;) instead of posting to Slashdot for fun).Ironically, while sales side companies want to make predictable prices and promote information disclosure, they benefit most from markets with higher volatilities (or volumes, but they're extremely linked in practice).

    As variance is important, getting a steady newsflow is also important. But I'm also in favour of taking a long term view in finance: assessing the long term prospects of a company. As such, as an investor in Google I'd not be happy if they were spending their finance department resources nit-picking every last daily cent so they can tell the market something every day - focus on the big agenda and the long term outlook and make that the priority for the company.

    So it is with balance. I have no sympathy for trading sales funded wings of Investment Banks/Brokerages coming up with useless ideas daily to get more trading revenue (funded by people increasing trading), essentially creating news. But I also think steady prices are important, and if a signifant unpublicesed fact comes to light at Google, they should disclose it to their owners (as is required by the SEC). How significant is significant? Well, large enough for their long term shareholders (pension funds, insurance funds) to get upset, and well above the level of news-for-the-sake-of-it salesmen.

  31. Google by phlipski · · Score: 5, Interesting

    What bothers me about this is not that Google refuses to provide more earnings guidance, but that the investor are acting like little whiny bitches. Google told Wall Street this is exactly how they would run their company. I have no sympathy for anybody who bought Google stock expecting the company to act like the most other publicly traded company. If they don't like it they can sell the stock. Does everbody allready forget that Google told people not to expect regular earnings guidance BEFORE they went public? I'm not so sure Page and Brin car if the stock deflates all that much. The stock is over valued to begin with. But I guess in the end you can't fault wall street for trying. If they get Google to change they win. However if they don't, and Google holds strong then they just look like fools to me right now.

    1. Re:Google by happyfrogcow · · Score: 1

      Right on. If you don't like what the company is doing, if you don't trust what the company is doing, don't invest. I'd expect to see the price continue to drop as Wall Street loses patience. That might limit the number of aquisitions Google can make, but it won't limit the talent they attract. Google is the IBM and MS of the past, the company talented people want to work for. A few Wall Street analysts won't wrangle Google.

  32. Google's stock a big circus event by porkThreeWays · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The shareholders and stock analysts and 10x more fickle with google than any other stock. They have turned google's stock into a big circius. And none of it is google's fault!!!!!!! They've brought it upon themselves. Why? Because they don't understand google as a company. At every announcement google stock either goes up 10% or down 10%. Google's stock has become disconnected from their actual health as a company. When people get burned bad enough google's stock will go through an adjustment period (which we are somewhat seeing now). Eventually, when people get some damn common sense regarding google stock, it will see normal market prices. I laugh when I see "google honeymoon is over". You jackasses created this false honeymoon! The only ones you have to blame are yourselves.

    --
    If an officer ever threatens to taze you, say you have a pacemaker.
    1. Re:Google's stock a big circus event by duffbeer703 · · Score: 1

      It has been established that the insiders are unloading billions of dollars of stock every day. When the insiders are unloading their shares, and the company refuses give Wall St. the information that every other publicly traded company does, it looks fishy.

      5 years from now, Sergey & Larry could very easily be jetting around in their 767 after the public lost their shirt on Google.

      --
      Conformity is the jailer of freedom and enemy of growth. -JFK
  33. So.. by Turn-X+Alphonse · · Score: 1

    So basicly the stock market is used to companies hyping themselvs and giving people tips so their stock rises. In doing so they make the stock brokers quite rich.. but Google has gone "screw this" and made the brokers do their jobs without having their hand held.

    Good on Google, screw the corrupt stock market system and keep doing that geek thing!

    --
    I like muppets.
  34. The newspaper is called by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Times not "Times of London". It was the original Times so has the right to be refered to by The Times moniker.

    1. Re:The newspaper is called by frostw · · Score: 1

      Exactly. This error crops up again and again in the media. There is no such newspaper as the "Times of London". It's simply "The Times"

      --
      http://www.sydney-webcam.com
  35. Makes sense... or not by philblou · · Score: 1

    Actually, of all the mighty investors of the world, (the great) Buffet actually recommended many times to the company he owned shares of to not offer guidances anymore, since it creates useless fluctuation in the stock. Funny, isn't it? I think Coca Cola's CEO is one that accepted that and changed it's behavior. Guidances create movement that benefit the analysts who have a heads up on it, and people who PLAY the stock market. Long term investors do not gain from it. Google's "players" are frustrated because that's an overspeculated/inflated stock and there's big drops in those. Let them burn...

  36. What does it mean to "offer guidance"? by maillemaker · · Score: 1

    What does it mean to "offer guidance" about your stock?

    How about, "Please buy it!"

    Does that count as guidance?

    Steve

    --
    A work that expires before its copyright never enters the public domain and thus enjoys eternal copyright protection.
  37. Go hoarde your gold bars. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah, right. Stock up on barrels of oil and store 'em in your basement.

    Various sectors are at risk, especially residential real estate; but the US economy seems to keep chugging along.

    In the long run, stocks beat real estate, bonds and commodities.

    Go long and stay long on equities until your kids inherit your million dollars.

    Picking what sector is going underperform next quarter or year is fool's game.

    1. Re:Go hoarde your gold bars. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Yeah, right. Stock up on barrels of oil and store 'em in your basement.
      Like millions of other Americans, I do exactly that. 500 gallons in my fuel tank right now! What do they do on your planet?
      Various sectors are at risk, especially residential real estate; but the US economy seems to keep chugging along.
      The market value of most real estate is higher than what was paid for it. There is absolutely no indication that this will change. Now, the amount of money individual real estate agents are making, and the amount of money land speculators are making may be at risk, but these people are among the richest in the world and in no great financial hardship. With the exception of extreme idiots who assumed that the market would always accelarate upwards, and those people have always been too stupid to succeed in the long term
      In the long run, stocks beat real estate, bonds and commodities.
      You have a very lame definition of "long run". My great-grandfather's planning is still paying off, and the planning of George W. Bush's great-great-great-grandfather is still paying off. If you look at what investments work over the really long term - the investments that survive war and change of governments - you find real estate is king. That's why it's called real estate, it has physical existence beyond papers of ownership. You live on it, and if it's good land it's capable of supporting human life.
    2. Re:Go hoarde your gold bars. by argoff · · Score: 1

      In the long run, stocks beat real estate, bonds and commodities.

      I don't dispute that, but when a country has more debt than it can pay off at face value, it's stock and bond markets are not the place to be. This is way beyond trying to pick the next quarter, it is about fundamental structural problems that present a real danger until resolved.

  38. Responsibility to the company vs. the stock by vorwerk · · Score: 4, Insightful
    It is in the interest of all shareholders, including the company's employees and officers, that the share price achieves some stability.

    I feel that this is incorrect -- Google and its board of directors have a responsibility to ensure that the company remains stable and grows at a reasonable rate. By and large, Google is not responsible for ensuring that its share price become "stable" -- that is for the investors on Wall street to decide.

    It is not uncommon, incidentally, for companies not to offer quarterly guidance. This is particularly the case with companies and in industries that are cyclical (e.g., perhaps they sell more apples in May to August, but practically none in January to April). Berkshire Hathaway offers only a single, yearly report (no quarterly updates), for, as explained by Warren Buffett (its CEO), quarterly guidance merely serves to satiate the manic-depressive Wall Street than to give meaningful insight into company operations.

    I think that the fact that Google has chosen not to offer guidance is a good thing, since it is still growing its core business and may go several months with negative earnings (e.g., it might be expending lots on R&D, buying businesses, or building infrastructure) despite positive growth on a yearly basis.
  39. Don't worry by randyjg2 · · Score: 1

    I am still convinced that this whole flap is a CI operation against Google. I wonder if Stanfor analysts would like to weighed in on its thoughts in this area? Their China analysts are the best there is.

    Anyhow, Google seems to be responding about as best as could be hoped for. I really like the idea of them moving their servers to a safe nation. Regardless of other issues, the information in those servers is really dangerous to everyone regardless of nationality.

    Google still has to repair the damage done by falling for the Chinese censhorhip bait, but I don't think anything permanent is done yet.

    As far as the rest, they will have to play it by ear, but if they do it right, they should escape relatively unscathed. The important thing is to not fall for any more bait, A CI operations success usually depends upon targets that have knee jerk reactions.

  40. step into line? by gEvil+(beta) · · Score: 2, Insightful

    'The time has come for Google to step into line,' one analyst said.

    Oh yeah. Talk like that would surely get me to listen to what they're telling me to do. Boohooohooo. The analysts can't manipulate the stock as easily as they want...

    --
    This guy's the limit!
    1. Re:step into line? by Duhavid · · Score: 1

      Forgive my ignorance....

      How does guidance help analysts manipulate the stock?

      --
      emt 377 emt 4
  41. Short term goals by szembek · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I heard a segment on NPR this morning about this. Larry Page was saying that Google wants to stay focused on the long term and that releasing these quarterly estimates would be the equivalent of somebody who is trying to lose weight stepping on the scale every half an hour. I think this makes sense. When companies release quarterly data it can encourage business practices that boost short term profits.

    --
    nothing
    1. Re:Short term goals by hopethisnickisnottak · · Score: 1

      I heard a segment on NPR this morning about this. Larry Page was saying that Google wants to stay focused on the long term and that releasing these quarterly estimates would be the equivalent of somebody who is trying to lose weight stepping on the scale every half an hour.

      Nonsense! The guy working out to cut the flab is R&D and production. The guy stepping on the scale every 3 months is Finance. Specifically, it's the CEO and CFO. Almost every other company releases quarterly guidance. So is Google the only company focussed on the long term?

      --
      -Shaunak
  42. Capital markets are actually better. by Ivan+Matveitch · · Score: 1

    Because every point on the capital market line has a positive mean return. Gambling is always negative unless you're a competent hustler.

  43. Screw the analysts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    From first hand experience in the financial industry, I say "F_ _ _ the damn analysts". the amount of shady self-serving BS that goes on is phenominal. The stock market says one thing, but behind it all, they do all sorts of things like "timing trades." Just look at the huge fines the top 10 firms paid between 2002-2005. Some of the fines were in the billions because the analysts and fund managers were doing shady stuff. Even though there are regulations financial firms have to follow, many do not and their systems can't catch it. the end result is a lot of shady shit happens, which the SEC can't see.

    I for one stand by Google's decision to ignore the stock market analysts. they're mostly crooks anyways.

  44. You sure? by Ivan+Matveitch · · Score: 1

    I guess you must be writing a lot of calls then?

  45. Quick, somebody resurrect Shakespeare by hey! · · Score: 1

    Talk about a story! This would be perfect. A brave new company, vowing to do no evil, catches the eye of the sophisticated and worldly financial mentors. The company decides, through a bit of unconvincing sophistry (a soliloquy is called for I think), that being a teensy bit evil wouldn't hurt that much. Just to please its new financial "friends" you understand. A little profit clears of the deed.

    But, by the end of the play, the company finds out its financial mentors aren't the types to have any true friends. Our hero end up morally tainted, isolated, and reviled. In the play, death would simply be putting him out of his self-inflicted misery.

    I'm not generally a practicioner of Schadenfreude, but I'm particularly fond of this brand of catharsis. I always feel like leaping to my feet and cheering when Lady Macbeth loses her marbles. "That's what you get you stupid lummox!"

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  46. More to the point... by snowwrestler · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Google has no responsibility that I can see towards providing analysts with all the information they'd like to have.

    More to the point, earnings guidance is not even actual information. It is simply a guess. Google certainly has no responsibility to provide that to analysts or anyone else.

    --
    Build a man a fire, he's warm for one night. Set him on fire, and he's warm for the rest of his life.
    1. Re:More to the point... by tomhudson · · Score: 1
      The analysts at RBC Capital Markets just want to have more of an excuse to blame someone else because they haven't got a clue.

      Or has anyone else forgotten what another division of RBC - Baystar|RBC - has done, the SCO PIPE fairy?

      Besides, if they want the info, they can just google for it and actually do some ANALYSIS. Oh, right - they don't know how to analyse anything - its all "educated guesswork."

  47. Dodge v. Ford by max+born · · Score: 2, Informative

    I side with google on this. But their "do no evil" policy may be incompatible with the legal rights of the shareholders. Ever since Dodge v. Ford it's been pretty much accepted in the US that companies cannot practice philanthropy at the expense of shareholders.

    Though we all like the idea of "do no evil", when it comes to business the idea can be very subjective.

  48. Re:But, a rebellion against all companies is going by mmkkbb · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The US borrows in its own currency unlike the rest of the world, so if the currency is devalued, the guy we borrowed the money from suddenly gets paid a lot less.

    --
    -mkb
  49. Casino Capitalism by sesshomaru · · Score: 2, Interesting
    "And as an institution degenerates, so do the attitudes and habits of the people who run it. Investors, for example, come to think that they want companies to deliver 'shareholder value' - and deliver it right away. They want the easy money, the fast money. So, they only care about quarterly results and what happens to the share price. That's what those financial news programs on TV are all about. They report the latest quarterly results and then, they watch investors' reactions. If a company doesn't come up with good numbers, investors dump it. Is that capitalism? Well, maybe, but it's of a particular sort. It's a kind of casino capitalism where everyone hopes to get rich, but not by genuine work, investment or innovation.

    "The managers - who are rarely real capitalists or real entrepreneurs themselves - have the same attitude. They want to get as much as they can out of the business for themselves and then move on. So, it's no wonder that no one wants to make the hard, long-term investments necessary in order to compete in the auto business. Everybody just wants something for nothing...as soon as possible. The unions want their health and retirement benefits. The executives want their golden parachutes. Investors want the share price to rise. Who really cares about the auto business? So, everyone borrows, spends, refinances; they watch stock prices and want to know how much the house down the street sold for. Save money? Invest for the long term? They wouldn't dream of it.

    "And it gets worse. Gradually, the whole society becomes more and more corrupt - everyone has to lie and delude him or herself in order to keep up pretenses."
    -- Something Wicked This Way Comes -- Bill Bonner

    --
    "MIT betrayed all of its basic principles."
  50. Cobblers. by aug24 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    That's not breaking 'do no evil' that's "they didn't do some good that they could have done".

    By the same token, I only give to two charities: I could give to lots more, but failing to do so does not make me evil.

    Justin.

    --
    You're only jealous cos the little penguins are talking to me.
    1. Re:Cobblers. by Bombula · · Score: 0
      I disagree. There is no neutrality in action; you either act in a positive way or a negative way. If you are able to help but do not, that is complacency, and complacency is evil's bedfellow. Complacency in the form of inaction - like when you stand by while someone is mugged/raped/murdered - is clearly a bad thing. Complacency was, for example, on of the main targets of the civil rights movement: if you tolerate racism or sexism, you are gulity of it.

      Now if you actually do give $1 when you could just as easily give $10, that is not only complacent but righteous posturing - its purpose is as much to serve one's ego and advertise one's magnanimity as to actually bestow benefit upon another. That is giving with a personal agenda, and a gift with an agenda or with strings attached is no gift at all.

      Sure, Google is not supplying arms to Nigerian rebels or using child sweatshop labor - it's not in the same league as Shell or Nike - but given its mantra of 'do no evil' and the emphasis on philanthropy as stated by its founders, there is absolutely no disputing their hipocrisy here.

      Once again, following a private agenda under a masquerade of righteousness is a BAD thing. To take an extreme example, that is what suicide bombers do.

      Google is on a very slippery slope.

      --
      A-Bomb
    2. Re:Cobblers. by aug24 · · Score: 1

      So you've given everything you own to charity right?

      J.

      --
      You're only jealous cos the little penguins are talking to me.
    3. Re:Cobblers. by Bombula · · Score: 1

      No. I give everything I can.

      --
      A-Bomb
    4. Re:Cobblers. by panthro · · Score: 1

      A human can be expected to not intentionally act or fail to act resulting in someone else's loss (loss encompassing all causal negative effects), but only within reason. There's no way any person can live their entire life, or even a day of it, without somehow causing someone else loss. Just by buying food to eat, you have added yourself to the demand curve and thus helped increase food prices while there are people who can't afford food. So there's a line that takes into account the relative gain and loss of everyone involved and effects that propagate into the future; I won't tell you where it should be drawn, but it's not at either extreme.

      By the same token, a human can be expected to intentionally act or fail to act resulting in someone else's gain, but again only within reason. No one donates every penny of their disposable income and every free minute of their time to charities, and even if they did, to be efficient they'd have to figure out what charities or other actions on their parts would likely result in the best future outcome, a heuristic problem quite beyond the computing power of the human brain. There's a line here too, and again, I won't tell you where to draw it, but personally I don't think Google has crossed to the "evil" side of it quite yet (impressive enough for any company), especially considering there are reasons other than tax deductions to only donate to registered charities.

      Thinking in absolutes is evil.

      --
      If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the precipitate.
    5. Re:Cobblers. by aug24 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, you don't. You really don't. You give as much as you choose to while maintaining the standard of living you consider necessary.

      Unless you are living on the streets, eating out of dumpsters, wearing rags, you are not giving everything you can, and I don't think you can argue that anyone else should, no matter how much it would benefit your personal chosen cause.

      Justin.

      --
      You're only jealous cos the little penguins are talking to me.
    6. Re:Cobblers. by panthro · · Score: 1

      Bullshit. You could have spent the time you've spent posting on Slashdot working for a charity instead. Be reasonable. You're being hypocritical saying that Google is evil because they don't do everything they can, when you clearly don't. Your response may be that you do more somehow, but then we're not dealing with absolutes anymore and you're no more qualified to say where the line should be drawn than a Google exec. You're shooting yourself in the foot with your holier-than-thou self-righteous attitude.

      --
      If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the precipitate.
  51. Wall Street is not a function of how bus operates by ursabear · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Honestly, I think Wall Street is good for folks to make money - Retirement, investments, etc. However, Wall Street seems to think it is a function of everyday business in every company - a proxy Board Member, if you will. (Yes, I know I am a lowly software engineer and musician... but hear me out...)

    I think it is very important that publicly-traded companies are accountable for their actions. I also think that they have duty to both those inside the business and those who hold shares. However, I don't think that the generalists on Wall Street should be in the business of making a company run one way or another - it is not incumbent on investors to decide company policy. Market forces will take care of businesses that don't do the right thing. Said differently, the company needs to be the one minding its business - Wall Street will punish or reward based on the merits of the company.

  52. Live eviL by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The analysts should earn their own salaries by analyzing Google, instead of republishing corporate PR like they do for every other public company whose stock they resell to their clients. Getting "guidance" to determine the stock price from the company profiting from the stock is almost as corrupt as publishing the "research" based on it to sell the stock at a higher price than that at which the analyst's firm bought it.

    Since the brokers are demanding Google start to play their evil game, it's no surprise that the brokers also want Google to stop saying such bad things about "doing evil". Even though that "mantra" has no relevance to the stock, its info, its guidance or corporate performance whatsoever. They just want Google to stop being so different from the evil they do every day.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

  53. Some hair spiltting by AnonymousPrick · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Two companies are going to merge, making them stronger and better able to compete in the marketplace, and their stock prices drop on news of the merger!

    Usually, the purchasing company's stock price drops and the purchasee's stock price increases. A lot of folks risk arbitrage this position when news of a merger hits the street.

    Risk arbitrage goes like this: sell short the aquiring comanies stock, or buy the Puts and hedge with the stock. Buy the aquiree company's stock and or buy the Calls and short the stock as a hedge. It's not a one for one transcation. There's some ratios of how much to buy based on the volatility of the underlying stocks, risk free interest rates, and some guessing.

    Of course, every transaction is different.

    The reason the aquiring companie's stock goes down is because usually the merged company does worse. Synergy? Hah! Another reason is that when companies start buying others is because their earning are or have decreased and they're trying to boost performance by buying others. So either way, buying other companies is usually a hint of troubles ahead or now.

    Of course, everyone on Wall Street has their own opinions as there will be after my post.

    And you're right about Wall Street: in a nutshell, whatever their title is on Wall Street, their job function is sales period! That means th investor get fucked somehow!

    --
    Saturday is April 1. Slashdot will be shut down. Sorry for the inconvenience.
  54. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by MikeBabcock · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Many people only donate money to registered charities. Why? Because there are legal restrictions on how the charity operates. I could donate money to some idiot at my door claiming to run a charity, but without a registration number, he can go sit on the curb for all I care.

    This isn't Google being evil, its you not willing to file paperwork.

    --
    - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
  55. Uh, how about... by argStyopa · · Score: 3, Interesting

    'Caveat Emptor'

    They said from the beginning that they wouldn't provide typical forecasts.
    Nobody forced anyone to buy their stock.

    Predictably the stock is less stable, and will presumeably (according to simple capitalism) be valued slightly lower because Wall Street prefers stability.

    Done.

    Carping about "oh they should do this" or "should do that" is stupid. You bought it, you don't like the conditions or the company, you sell it. If you have lost value, well, you've just been bitchslapped by 'the invisible hand' (plus your own unrealistic expectations).

    --
    -Styopa
    1. Re:Uh, how about... by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      Nobody forced anyone to buy their stock.

      Of course if you did buy their stock you are now part owner of the company. Whups, the founders of Google now don't have the only say in how the company is run, and have to take push-back from the other owners.

      It seems to me that it is stupid to think you can make a public offering of ownership in the company and then ignore the fact that the money that you get from such an offering is string-free.

      It doesn't work that way.

    2. Re:Uh, how about... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the founders own a controlling share in the company then it's pretty damn easy to ignore push-back. Even assuming every last voteing stockholder had the same opinion, a 51% controlling interest could tell them to sod off

    3. Re:Uh, how about... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Brin and Page own 31%.

  56. Caveat Emptor by ausoleil · · Score: 4, Informative

    It's really simple: as long as Google follows the letter and spirit of the law, then they can manage their company as they see fit under the direction of their board of directors.

    Should investors prefer another philosophy they can replace the management team.

    If they cannot do that, then they can sell their stock and not be involved with Google any longer.

    It's really pretty simple. Analysts have no power within a company other than to make suggestions to management and to offer guidance to investors. They cannot compell Google to do anything whatsoever, so they may as well deflate their chests and get over themselves.

  57. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Boo-f*cking-hoo.

    Even though I assume that you do a great job on that website, what obliges anybody in the world to help you out based on the fact that you do non-profit work? You might just as well oblige me, or any other slashdot geek to support your cause one way or the other, just because /you/ are doing some non-profit work. And how much support would be enough?

    Google has no obligation whatsoever to help /anyone/. Just the fact that they /are/ helping people or organizations is laudable. And were I Google, I'd set a few requirements for people to receive my free and most welcome aid, otherwise I'd be helping everyone with everything, and I'd have to provide 24/7 call support as well as an added bonus.

  58. Wow by Nemi · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "They give, but won't give to me" makes them evil? They are not required to give to anybody. The fact that they give at all is fairly noble, imo.

  59. Hold the line by HangingChad · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I think Google should hold the line and keep doing exactly what they've been doing. Focus on building long term value for the user which will build value for the company and ultimately the stockholders.

    Wall St. doesn't like it, too bad. It's about time someone stood up for long term value in this country and pulled their head out of that quarterly numbers mind fuck that's all to common. I'm glad to see Google taking the lead.

    Stay out of that line. Focus on value. The share price is grossly inflated right now anyway. It'll go up, it'll go down. You pays your money and takes your chances.

    --
    That's our life, the big wheel of shit. - The Fat Man, Blue Tango Salvage
  60. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by radish · · Score: 4, Insightful

    We are not an incorpoated 501(c)3 NPO
    There's your problem - right there. I also only donate to registered charities, and it's not for the tax deduction it's for the accountability.

    --

    ---- Den ene knappen er powerknapp, den andre er Bender voice knapp "Bite My Shiny Metal Ass"

  61. What's obvious? by Ivan+Matveitch · · Score: 3, Insightful
    I'm not some big-time capitalist or a follower of Ayn Rand; I have no need to preach the invisible hand here.

    But I do wonder whether it is wise to base business transactions on "higher principles." I mean, when you hire a plumber, do you really want to discuss his personal views on the value of good pipes to society and so on?

    1. Re:What's obvious? by Pfhorrest · · Score: 1

      I mean, when you hire a plumber, do you really want to discuss his personal views on the value of good pipes to society and so on?

      No, but I do care that he knows and informs me that Brand X of pipe, while more expensive than Brand Y of pipe, will last significantly longer than Brand Y would, and that over the lifetime of Brand X pipes I would have to spend more than the difference between the two replacing or repairing the Brand Y pipes.

      Basically, I care that he's not just interested in selling me the product with the cheapest price tag (the best short-term value), but the product that will save me the most money in the end (the long-term value). And I might even be happy to pay a little more for his services (above and beyond the extra expense of Brand X pipes) to get these even greater long-term savings.

      --
      -Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
      "I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
  62. Google is in good company on this by snowwrestler · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Coca-Cola, Gillete, the Washington Post, McDonalds, and Berkshire Hathaway are just some of the companies that do not provide quarterly earnings guidance. In addition the CEO of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce recently called on businesses to end the practice in favor of better communication about long-term issues. The only reason Google seems to be singled out on this issue is because it's Slashdot.

    --
    Build a man a fire, he's warm for one night. Set him on fire, and he's warm for the rest of his life.
    1. Re:Google is in good company on this by IflyRC · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think Google is being singled out at this time not because of it being a slashdot article (after all, slashdot did not write the article but posted a link to it) due to the stock price. For a stock price so incredibly high, if I were a shareholder I would definitely want updates.

      Non-quarterly updates and only posting yearly results would in my opinion stabilize the stock. You wouldn't have major fluctuations 4 times per year and should the company get into trouble they still have the capital to attempt to get out of a bad situation

      If say the 2nd quarter report is incredibly bad and the stock price drops to almost nothing with shareholders selling it off there is potentially more damage being done from the stock sales than the actual financial problem in itself that was reported.

    2. Re:Google is in good company on this by kurokaze · · Score: 2, Informative

      Umm... in case you didn't notice, Berkshire Hathaway's Class A share price is 89 THOUSAND dollars a share. Hell of a lot more than Google's $350/share right now.

    3. Re:Google is in good company on this by IflyRC · · Score: 1

      That's fine. Show me Slashdot wrote the article and I'll agree with you that the focus from Walstreet is on Google because it's slashdot. However, I stand by the fact that the focus is on google for reasons other than anything related to slashdot.

    4. Re:Google is in good company on this by internetizen · · Score: 1

      what about INTC who used to give mid-quarter updates but that didn't really help "stabilize" the stock, if anything it drops bombs on the street like that 500 mil shortfall.
      GOOG should keep doing its thing, because I think no news is good news. Kudlow on CNBC questioned whether it is time to let the financial management be run by "adults". While I don't think they should give forecasts it does need some form of discipline, esp for a 100 bil (cap) company which will only have increasing sway on the market, when it gets indexed for example.

    5. Re:Google is in good company on this by GigsVT · · Score: 1

      That's because Buffet doesn't believe in stock splits.

      If google only sold a few hundred thousand shares, their price would be up there too. Cut a pie into less pieces and each piece is larger.

      This is kindergarten stuff guys.

      --
      I've had enough abrasive sigs. Kittens are cute and fuzzy.
    6. Re:Google is in good company on this by kurokaze · · Score: 1

      Exactly, but the big question is whether that price is justified, which I personally don't think so, especially when comparing to BRKa.

    7. Re:Google is in good company on this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You still dont get it. The price is *irrelevent* without knowing the number of outstanding shares.
      if the price was $200 but there were 2x the number of shares, would you suddenly think it was a bargain?

    8. Re:Google is in good company on this by Fulcrum+of+Evil · · Score: 1

      For a stock price so incredibly high, if I were a shareholder I would definitely want updates.

      Bullshit. Stock price is largely irrelevant to a company's worth. Market cap is what you're looking for. Thing is, Google has always said specifically what they intended to do, and they hold all the votes - you got into bed with your eyes open, so you have to deal with that.

      --
      "We returned the General to El Salvador, or maybe Guatemala, it's difficult to tell from 10,000 feet"
  63. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by Zephiria · · Score: 1

    Forgive me, but I fail to see how doing something that makes sence for the company is somehow, "evil".
    That said have you tried contacting them again, or by phone or have you just sent one letter and assumed they've ignored it?

  64. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by Otter · · Score: 2, Insightful

    1) Confining their philanthropy program to accredited non-profits instead of just giving free advertising to anyone claiming to be a charity seems entirely reasonable to me.

    2) A tax deductible donation is hardly cost free. Surely, as such an ardent philanthropist, you've noticed this on your own taxes.

    3) As someone else has pointed out, even in the worst light, not giving you free advertising doesn't remotely constitute "evil". Helping the Chinese government suppress information about Tibet does.

  65. Sigh. by RealProgrammer · · Score: 1
    Secondary investors come in, demand different results, install a new board of directors [...]

    Except to my knowledge Google hasn't issued voting stock yet.

    Until they do that, and until shareholders vote in different board members or in some other way Google's corporate charter changes, the fiduciary duty is to the current charter.

    They have to do what they said they'd do. If they started to behave in ways contrary to their charter, then the shareholders would have a case.

    --
    sigs, as if you care.
  66. Myth. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Stocks outperform real estate.

    Google it.

  67. Dear Wall Street: Please keep it the way it is by finnif · · Score: 1

    GOOG is one of the best trading stocks around in the last couple months. Ride it up, ride it down, up, down, over and over. Don't change a thing! Who cares about long term stock ownership anymore, anyway? Didn't we learn our lesson about that in 2000?

  68. Providing Guidance is Bad by wrook · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I fully support Google's stance on this issue. Providing guidance is just an invitation to cook the books. What they are asking is to forecast how much money the company is going to make or lose in the next quarter/year. And *then* they are asking the same company to report how close they came to the mark. If the estimate was wrong, the shareholders may have reason to launch a lawsuit.

    So what happens? The company does it's best to juggle the numbers so that they match the estimate. This is one of the reasons that accounting practices are as bad as they are -- there is a huge amount of incentive to mislead.

    But not only this conflict of interest, what does a company do if they have inside information that will affect their profits in the next quarter? They can't announce the information *and* they can't give accurate numbers (because they can't justify them). So if you are planning a big cash purchase and you know that earnings are going to be low because of it, you are stuck -- you either mislead the analysists or you give them a hint that something big is coming down the pipe. Both are really bad.

    But having listened to a number of analyst meetings, I am constantly shocked how clueless these analysts are. They aren't even aware of basic public information that is published in the newspaper. One company I worked for won a large lawsuit (several million dollars) from the federal government a month before the quartly results were released. It was big news in all the papers. At the analyst meeting for the results, the analyst from Merill Lynch asked where the money came from. "The government lawsuit" was the reply. "What government lawsuit?".

  69. Dear Analysts by reverendG · · Score: 3, Funny

    I think you're absolutely right. Google's way of doing things is completely unacceptable! They are obviously going to plunge their company into a financial morass of .... hold on, GOOG just dropped to my strike price. I need to go make a major purchase! Later, suckers!

    --

    Why should I argue rationally with someone being irrational? I'll just mock them instead.
  70. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Doesn't "tax deductible" mean that they can give money without having to pay taxes on that money? That way, all the money reaches the recipient, and not only some percentage of it? They don't wan to "waste" their money on taxes.

  71. My Guidance if I were one of the Google founders: by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Don't be stupid.

    I think this obsession with quarters is hurting the businesses that the stock market is supposed to be helping. I've seen several instances where a stock posts very impressive per share profits, in down times even, fall a few cents short of average analyst estimates and boom, the share price drops.

  72. RBC was one of the investors in SCO by VP · · Score: 1

    I wonder if the same analyst sold them the idea to bankroll SCO in their litigation with IBM over Linux...

  73. Amen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's become apparent that much of the reason companies go off half-cocked and start destroying their value to either the community or to their customers is not because their shareholders freak out, but because asshat analysts who have no skin in the game whatsoever decide that they should do these things. Thus we get companies that think in 3-month cycles and act destructively for short-term gain -- and then get absorbed in the long-term into even larger, less dynamic companies. Kudos to Google for having the nuts to break the cycle.

  74. B as usual by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I, for one, welcome our new financial ov.... er, privvy info financial priesth... er, too late. Never mind.

  75. Wall Street analysts are not always right.... by dudeX · · Score: 2, Informative

    One good example of analysts being wrong is when you look at Costco vs Walmart.

    Walmart has a high turnover rate, low customer satisfaction, and questionable business practices. Wall St. analysts constantly praise Walmart despite the fact their stock has been on the decline.

    Costco pays its employees very well, allows their workers to unionize, and tries to be socially conscionable. Analysts lament Costco's business practices and yet their stock has been steadily rising.

    Seems like some analysts are more into pushing political theory rather than what is profitable (and sane).

  76. Absolutely not by snowwrestler · · Score: 3, Informative

    There is no legal requirement for a public company to provide quarterly earnings guidance, and in fact a number of large, successful public companies do not provide such guidance. Google can easily meet their legal and fiduciary requirements without providing such guidance.

    Contrary to what the analysts would have us believe, companies do have some rights in what and how they communicate to the public. (Because of Regulation FD, communication to investors and communication to the public are one and the same thing.)

    --
    Build a man a fire, he's warm for one night. Set him on fire, and he's warm for the rest of his life.
  77. Quaterly guidance != Quarterly statements by VP · · Score: 4, Informative

    You either have diminished comprehension abilities, or you are trolling.

    Google cannot legally not publish quarterly statements - they are doing it, period. What they are not doing is predicting in advance what these statements will be, which has always been a guess. All the information you are talking about is available in the SEC filings every quarter.

    1. Re:Quaterly guidance != Quarterly statements by wiredlogic · · Score: 3, Informative

      What they are not doing is predicting in advance what these statements will be, which has always been a guess.

      The analysts aren't always guessing. They regularly engage in backroom deals where they get early notification about the content of the reports. In return, the analysts are expected to help put a positive spin on any negative news. There have been numerous cases where institutional analysts have pumped stocks on CNBC while their own company is dumping its shares. These guys are fuming because Google won't play their game.

      --
      I am becoming gerund, destroyer of verbs.
  78. Logic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Simply put: when you become a publicly held company you have a responsibility to your shareholders. Until upper management learns this, their stock price is going to continue to decline sharply.

    Since Google has NEVER implemented guidance that means their stock price has ALWAYS declined, right? Let's forget that it started at approx $100 and is now $350 in under 1.5 years. 1.5 years is a lloonngg time on the NASDAQ.

  79. I just think by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    It's funny. People with too fucking much money get their panties in a twist over "uncertainty." I wonder how they'd like to try living paycheck to paycheck, with the uncertainty that if some asshole analyst on Wall Street casts a jaundiced eye on their company, they could find themselves out of a job, and possibly a home.

    Just funny. I live with it every day, motherfuckers.

  80. They've had it out for Google since day one by maxxdogg · · Score: 1

    Wall Street has had it out for Google since they went public. Remember, Google went public using an auction style system and set a price based on that. Wall Street was upset because they couldn't sell the low priced IPO stock to their cronies...and therefore lost a lot of money (and control.) Furthermore, they had Google lower it's initial value saying it was too high. But right after the IPO the stock value shot through the roof. They looked like chumps!

    Basically Wall Street, now a public company, is just behaving like the RIAA and MPAA ..they are trying to protect the status quo and maintain their lucrative business model which they put in place. Screw'em!

  81. One might be true by blueZ3 · · Score: 1

    But two and three are right out. Google already has the money from the IPO. They are profitable, unlike a lot of newly-IPO companies that pay operating costs out of the cash raised, so the cash they raised isn't going anywhere. The price of Google's stock has no affect on Google's cash in hand, and no effect on their ability to buy technology, companies, or invest in hardware.

    It might have an effect on their ability to raise additional cash in the future by issuing more stock, but that's about it.

    --
    Interested in a Flash-based MAME front end? Visit mame.danzbb.com
  82. that's the problem... by zogger · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ....short term profits mentality. They buy into the casino game, and when the rules are different-just slightly-and they KNEW that in advance-they claim foul?

    Nope, it's their loot, they could have decided to go elsewhere in advance. This is sour grapes on steroids from the "greed is good" crowd.. Google was very careful upfront to say what they would or wouldn't do, just because they aren't acting like other corporations with short term profits mentality isn't Google's fault, it's Wallstreet's fault for thinking they would, based entirely on something they dragged out of their lardish butts, because it wasn't based on any actual data. I think it's funny really, because you could see those neurons all scrambling to throw money at google, they got completely coldcocked.

      Google said that they actually didn't know what they would be doing in the future, just exploring wild new technology and see what might work and what might not. It is loosely based on advertising sales, and that's it. Google is an *exploring new tech* company. Every single exploration left turn or right turn is not guaranteed to make some investor money. If the investors didn't understand that going in, perhaps they should have taken their money and started their own business and done something useful and productive instead, ie "get a job".

      Frankly, the entire idea of investing has just turned into wild ass speculation based on the really quick buck and frantic share turn arounds. They should pass a law requiring a minimum hold period on shares between trades anyway,like one or two years, not a few hours or days or weeks, to discourage short term profits casino mentality. Put the "invest" part back into "investing".

    I have zero sympathy for the stockholders and analysts in this case who were looking for the quick easy buck. None. There are plenty of other enron-esque companies out there for them to choose from if that is what they are looking for. It's like the bulk of the stockmarket,so there should be enough there for them to check out. The few companies who DARE to try something quite different in a business model and to perhaps follow at least semi ethical guidelines are *quite rare enough* without the jackals and hyena scavengers braying at them.

    1. Re:that's the problem... by kjart · · Score: 1

      How can you deride the short term mentality and then say "Google said that they actually didn't know what they would be doing in the future"? If Google has no long term strategy then how are they anything other than a short term gamble? Please stop drinking the koolaid.

    2. Re:that's the problem... by bzipitidoo · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I see this as the classic manager/tech worker conflict. Management always wants to know how long something is going to take, how successful it will be-- in short, management wants to know the future. And technical people are always telling them the future is impossible to predict. Trouble comes when management becomes angry at how "unhelpful" the tech people are, making life tough for the planners. Software design can be somewhat predictable, as in engineering, or very unpredictable as in science and research. Google is about science and research, not engineering. Sure they do engineering, but their focus is science. They are "software scientists", not just software engineers. Even software engineering, where the coders are trying various algorithms conceived by others rather than trying to come up with their own, is highly variable. To code and test some non-trivial functionality can take less than a day if one knows of or happens to have source code that does 95% of the heavy lifting, or take weeks or months if there is no such code. How does a plan account for that kind of variability? Bridge building doesn't work that way-- there aren't already built bridges lying around that are 95% of the length needed and all one has to do is drop one in place and extend it. But some people persist in trying to treat software engineering as if it was any other kind of engineering. Any code I haven't written yet can be found in 6 minutes with a Google search. Yeah.

      So, no, I don't see Google saying "we don't know what we'll be doing in the future" as evidence that they are short term thinkers, same as everyone else. They are much more aware of how difficult long term planning is in scientific endeavors than, evidently, these stock analysts. If Google tried to do what they want, I'm sure we'd just hear different whining: "your plans didn't work and you changed them and your predictions were wrong!" instead of "you aren't tellling us any plans or predicitions!" A public corporation comes with baggage and expectations a scientific laboratory does not have. Google is really more like a scientific lab than a corporation, and refuses to be tied in the straightjacket of short-term expectations.

      --
      Intellectual Property is a monopolistic, selfish, and defective concept. It is "tyranny over the mind of man"
  83. GOOG ?! by straybullets · · Score: 1
    I'm sorry but i find it ridiculous the way everyone sudendly calls google : GOOG .

    It's not because wall street morons do it that you should too .
    Now if it was called GOO i would find it sort of funny, but GOOG ?! C'mon that's just lame.

    --
    With that aggravating beauty, Lulu Walls.
    1. Re:GOOG ?! by PhreakOfTime · · Score: 1

      Isnt it funny how a lack of information makes you look like a total fool?

      Maybe everyone is 'suddenly' referring to google as GOOG because that is the NASDAQ symbol under which they are traded GOOG

      Now, go away. Or I shall taunt you a second time!

    2. Re:GOOG ?! by straybullets · · Score: 1

      ah ah isn't it funny how your self confidence is making you look like a wall street cocksucker ?
      Or maybe you don't know how to read ? Here, i'll quote myself, take attention :

      It's not because wall street morons do it that you should too .

      What i am saying is exactly that : suddenly using the yuppy NASDAQ symbol when you are not a trader makes you sound like a no brain moron . And when you're a trader too, of course, but then that is expected.

      Now sorry i have to go trade my ZKO warrants over the short term RTT market . Get your jumbo jet off my airport !

      --
      With that aggravating beauty, Lulu Walls.
    3. Re:GOOG ?! by PhreakOfTime · · Score: 1

      morons?

      You call people morons because they made 300% profit on their investment?

      Whatever makes you feel like your still the most important person in the world and everyone agrees with you... keep on keepin on.

      Some people actually have jobs, and are able to have something called 'savings'. And some of those people do research and invest in companies with that money expecting a return on their investment. This is how the world of money works. I guess you are holding out for social security to pay for your twilight years though...

      Personally, this moron will be happy when he can retire at 35, because I have been one of those 'morons' with a plan for my money.

      I think you would be surpised at how many people here DO own stock in GOOG. So, maybe people are referring to GOOG because thats how they see it in their holdings, not because its suddenly cool and everyone is supposed to be voluntarily as broke as you and look down their noses at the world of money.

      In other words, you are just as much of a weasel to look down your nose at someone with money, as someone with wealth would be too look down their nose at you. Tell me, why is your 'attitude' better? Im asking you a serious question. Whats it getting you? seriously. Class discrimination goes both ways, remember that the next time the guy in the BMW chuckles at you as he drives by, while you are doing the same at him...

      Is it fun being a walking contradiction?

    4. Re:GOOG ?! by straybullets · · Score: 1

      Who says i have no money ?

      The money i make i own it with my work, which is, in a way you seem unable to understand, very different from speculating in the "stock market" alongside the cocaine bmw call girl crowd you seem to admire so much . Try it : working, among other good and bad things, gives a sense of usefulness and will make you see the world in a different way

      The reality of the stock market is that while you retire at 35, drive a S.U.V and eat all you can, enjoying your life of leisure, the whole rest of the world is dying from disease, lack of water, oil wars, recycling your old computers, you name it, all in the name of NASDAQ, profits and your american way of life.

      So OK, you're not a moron. You're just a PIG.

      Enjoy it while it lasts .

      --
      With that aggravating beauty, Lulu Walls.
  84. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by rjstanford · · Score: 1

    Yup. Without that non-profit charter, there's nothing to stop them from taking your $1 million donation and going to Vegas with it. Or just disappearing for that matter - wouldn't be illegal in the slightest. Running a non-incorporated charity is just dumb if you want people to donate to it. And if you don't, well, then who cares?

    --
    You're special forces then? That's great! I just love your olympics!
  85. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by Bombula · · Score: 1
    To all of the above responders:

    1. NPO registration costs money and takes an enormous amount of time and upkeep - much more than designing and running a website. There is no reason for our organization to go to the trouble or expense of registering.

    2. Accountability makes sense if you're handing someone cash. If you're a search engine giving a cheritable website hits, all you have to do is look at the friggin website to do your due diligence - which you are going to do in any case.

    3. Complacency, duplicity, and hipocrisy lead to evil. Remember the civil rights movement? If you're complacent about racism, you're guilty of it. If you tolerate child sweatshops (by buying shoes from Nike, for example) you're guilty of supporting evil.

    4. Google is donating services in kind in exchange for tax benefits. The goal of helping others is secondary. It is common practice in all large corporations. Shell, for example, gives vastly more than Google does. But the company makes no claim to 'do no evil', nor does it place philanthropy above profits as part of its founders' vision. And shell is not considered a philanthropic organization. They give with an agenda, and so does Google - they are buying more than just the satisfaction of doing good; they are buying something that has a dollar value. That is not philanthropy or altruism.

    5. Nowhere did I complain that Google did not 'give' to my organization. I am pleased that they give at all, just as I am pleased that Shell and GM and Haliburton fund various NPOs. My problem is that Google is duplicitous and hipocritical about it (where the others mentioned are not), and if I didn't state that clearly enough in my first post it is because I overestimated the cognitive capacity of slashdot's readers.

    --
    A-Bomb
  86. I hope... by jtwJGuevara · · Score: 1

    That google doesn't provide guidance and the share price plummets as a result. This means I can finally buy Google at a reasonable P/E ratio.

  87. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by kanwisch · · Score: 1

    I know the Human Fund has been asking for free Google advertising....

  88. "that the share price achieves some stability." by bigpat · · Score: 1

    give me a break. Since when does "Wall Street" want "stability" in a share price? They would all be out of jobs. I agree with Google, forecasts end up being a company's publically stated goals for performance rather than merely a prediction and can drive the company to do stupid things just to meet an arbitrary number. Far too often key purchases are put off until after the end of quarter and companies go to great, sometimes harmful to future business, lengths to collect revenues before the last of the month just to meet "expectations"

    I've seen projects delayed by a week or two, just so a publically traded company didn't have to spend money at the end of the quarter so they could meet expectations. I'm with Google on this one. "Wall Street" can just wait for the actual results and act accordingly.

  89. correction by BewireNomali · · Score: 1

    correction. Value and Fidelity are the two biggest institutional investors of google. I think LEgg Mason is no. 3.

    --
    un burrito me trampeó.
  90. My two cents by f97tosc · · Score: 1

    So the reason that the Street wants these updates is that it will decrease the volatility; if you don't do this the stock will jump around a lot just after every quarterly report. There is nothing conspiratory about that, it is just a fact of life that if you learn a lot about some asset at one time, then your evaluation of that asset may change a lot at that point.

    I don't see a great deal of evil or harm in the reporting itself. The problem (some would say evil) arises if the company becomes very closely managed to the quarterly results. If this happens mid level management starts micromanaging things to make the quarterly reports look better (for example, shifting inventory and sales around to make it look better on the day of reporting). Invariably these actions are shortsighted and in the long run destructive.

    If senior management is strong maybe they could start with these reports but make it very clear(in words and actions), that they do not reward, and indeed do not accept, short-sighted behaviors to trim the quarterly report. I think that could be good for the shareholders without violating the "do no evil" ideal. There is nothing evil about simply telling the world how you are doing.

    Tor

  91. Re:But, a rebellion against all companies is going by mgblst · · Score: 1

    This has been true for a while, and a lot of people have said exaclty this. But it has not happened yet? And you want to know why. So do I.

  92. Analysts, shareholders and other fools by Roadkills-R-Us · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I don't know that google is taking the right approach, but I am 100% convinced that the traditional approach is wrong these days. The market is too focused on short term profits. It's like a male dog in the midst of hundreds of female dogs in heat. It forgets about everything but, "I want some! Right now!" and it'll starve to death in its lust-- and kill anything that tries to get in its way in the meantime.

    If we had reasonable analysts in a reasonable system giving reasonable LONG TERM analysis, the old system would work. But the rules have changed, and the old system is driving itself to destruction under the new rules.

    Until someone comes up with a reasonable approach, and the shareholders start acting responsibly for the long term, I think Google's protest is an effective way to go.

    Meanwhile, I'm starting to look at the average street analyst the way I do at the average lawyer who goes sniffing around for PC lawsuit material.

  93. define 'good' by ch-chuck · · Score: 1

    and 'evil' - those are not rigorously defined, widely recognized values like the length of a 'meter' in terms of wavelength, or (what once was) an ounce of gold is $32. Go by the mantra of 'do no evil' and you will eventually find that what is 'good' in the eyes of inventors is not always 'good' in the eyes of consumers. This is why so many wildly successfuly companies, in terms of investor capital gains, are usually so evil to their locked in customers.

    --
    try { do() || do_not(); } catch (JediException err) { yoda(err); }
  94. Re:But, a rebellion against all companies is going by ameoba · · Score: 1

    I wouldn't mind some massive inflation right about now - I have $60k in student loans with a fixed interest rate on repayments & no significant investments or assets.

    --
    my sig's at the bottom of the page.
  95. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by TubeSteak · · Score: 1

    Not to detract from your point, but it's also a crime to pretend you're colecting money for a charity... if you really aren't collecting it for a charity.

    In other words, collecting money for "The Mike Babcock Education Fund" is illegal unless there is really a registered charity in that name.

    --
    [Fuck Beta]
    o0t!
  96. Re:My Guidance if I were one of the Google founder by Pope · · Score: 1

    Every time Apple posts record profits above expectations, the stock drops. Thank about that one for a second.

    --
    It doesn't mean much now, it's built for the future.
  97. Hot damn, I was RIGHT?!? by Catbeller · · Score: 4, Interesting

    A week or so ago I posted hereabouts that it seemed like the analysts on Wall Street were intentionally punishing Google because it wasn't playing ball by giving inside information to analysts for their "projections". I thought it funny that so many news items started to crop up denigrating Google and its projects. Everywhere, even on DL.TV, there was widespread Google-bashing, or at least reporting that people were bashing Google. The stock price keeps plummeting. I speculated that analysts were at least refusing to lend a hand to stop the flood of bad news by speaking up about the company's strengths. Not attacks, just refusal to aid. I thought perhaps that they were passive-agressively sending a message to let them in. They are accustomed to the inside information. They need it to make money on the market consistently, something that normal cowpokes trading online don't do, lacking the information that the analysts hold so closely to themselves.

    Damned if the attack hasn't gone full-agressive and public. The message is clear: give us the information we want, or we will do our best to ruin Google. This is extortion.

    The analysts need to be regulated again. This is completely out of control.

    1. Re:Hot damn, I was RIGHT?!? by hobbes75 · · Score: 1

      How could the analysts "speak up about the company's strengths" if they are left in the dark about the skeletons in the closet and much more importantly about how the company intents to deal with them ?
      Even if you consider the "corrections" in the stock price this week, the stock price is still overrated with a P/E of 68 (by standards applied to mature companies). If the analysts have (fact based) reasons to be confident in a strongly growing (immature) company they can accept this P/E in hindsight of a lower forward P/E of currently 28 (or even a bit higher if they are very confident). But the slightest doubts in the growth of the company or unclear strategies let the analysts be careful. Even if the analyst-business is a lot like throwing dices they still try to be on the safe side wherever possible.
      So dont be too disappointed about the current stock price, it could be much worse. The near future will show if it trust returns or if the stock price will be "adjusted" to a P/E that requires less optimism.

    2. Re:Hot damn, I was RIGHT?!? by Edgester · · Score: 1

      Please, continue to bash google. The price will drop to a reasonable level, then the prudent investors will come in.

  98. Actually... by ichigo+2.0 · · Score: 1

    66.64

    As a sidenote, it will be 66.6 when GOOG hits $349.35.

  99. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by mph · · Score: 1
    1. NPO registration costs money and takes an enormous amount of time and upkeep - much more than designing and running a website. There is no reason for our organization to go to the trouble or expense of registering.
    Well, I think you've found at least one reason.
  100. Translated into WoW terminology: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wall street: Wah! I want free loot.
    Google:Orly? Cry more noob. Learn2Predict.

  101. Well, yes. by RealProgrammer · · Score: 1
    Adapting to a maturation of the business, and the honeymoon ending, makes them sellouts?

    In their own terms, yes. I don't drink the Google koolaid any more than you do. As I said, selling out for billions is, IMO, highly excusable. In fact, you could tell your friends "I beat the Man at his own game, and sold Wall Street a bag of vapor for the price of a small country. Let's go set up Utopia."

    But there's no need to mince words and say that it's not selling out. It's just doing it well.

    --
    sigs, as if you care.
  102. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by stienman · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I run a non-profit organization that is entirely web-based. [...] We are not an incorpoated 501(c)3 NPO.

    You have GOT to be kidding me. You expect a company to donate cash or services to your organization, without proving to them that you follow the law regarding non profit organizations?

    I could not donate to an organization that espouses even the purest of motives if that organization can't get its act together and file as a real non-profit, accountable to the law. I might as well be giving money to a con artist.

    There are a vast pool of eligible non-profit organizations that ask for Google's money. By only donating to 501(c)3 organizations, Google is protecting itself and has a better chance that the money/services will not be ill-used. The tax-free status of donations is intended to encourage giving, so both Google and the organizations they donate to get something out of the transaction. Were you an eligible 501(c)3 organization, you would hardly call it slimy - you would hail it as a progressive tax code.

    In giving money to non-profits, a company MUST look at the return on investment. If giving $1,000 worth of advertising to you helps 100 people, that's nice. If there's another organization that will help 500 people with that $1,000 investment, then that's better. You also need to look at whether the non-profit's goals are similar to your own. It could simply be that Google doesn't donate to any organizations regarding reproduction simply because they want to remain neutral. They don't have to publicize their policy, nor do they need to explain themselves. You are asking for money, and then suddenly you claim that you deserve it and they are such pigs for not donating to you? What rights, exactly, do you have to their money again?

    As far as your implication that donations of advertising are "free" and move moeny from one pocket in google to the tax free pocket, consider what you are asking. You are asking Google to give away free advertising to any organization that claims to be non-profit. If google does that, they will have more "free" ads shown than paying ads. Suddenly it won't matter what tax break they get - they won't have money in the first pocket to move to the other pocket. They have to set a limit (for financial and legal reasons) on the amount of "free" advertising they can donate to true non-profit organizations. That limit, I imagine, is reached and therefore they don't have money left over to give to organizations that merely claim non-profit status without actually being non-profit. This is merely one of the consequences of what you are asking them to do - it's much more far-reaching and complex than this, of course.

    If I were Google, I'd be wondering, "Is this an advertisement for Plan B? Should I be supporting an organization that claims to be non-profit, but will not take the legal steps necessary to demonstrate that commitment?" Actually, I'd probably not even get that far. "Oh, somone else wants money ear-marked for non-profits, but isn't a non-profit. Time for the round file."

    -Adam

  103. Actually, volatility decreases the values of stock by alexhmit01 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Without going too math heavy, there is a reason Wall Street hates volatility. While its true that 15 years ago, Wall Street made money from brokerage commissions, the main money maker is now asset management fees, etc... It used to be a fortune to do a trade on the street, now its $19.95 (or $7 with some deep discount brokerages).... that's not where the money is.

    If they manage an account and collect 1% as a fee, then the larger that account gets, they better they do. Now they could outperform the market to make extra money, but with only 1%, that's too much work. Market growth is the easiest way to grow.

    Also, there are two ways to grow a companies's stock (assuming you believe that earnings matter in the long run), increase the underlying company's earnings (but that's work), or increase the P/E ratio (or FCF, or whatever ratio you like).

    The assumption is that the price of the stock today is the NPV of all future cash flows (or dividends, which is theoretically the same but a harder model in the real world)...

    So to increase the value of the stock, you can increase future cash flows (work), or decrease the discount factor...

    Well, since most models of stock valuation demonstrate that Beta is a decent indicator of the "risk premium" (basically, discount factor = risk free rate (treasury bills) + Beta * (market premium)), so if we want to decrease the discount factor, we can decrease the rate of the treasury bill (out of our control), decrease the market premium, (out of our control), or decrease the Beta.

    If Wall Street convinces Google to disclose more which reduces volitility (an interesting assumption, but let's pretend), then Beta goes down, discount factor goes down, and Google's stock price goes up...

    With Magic, we've created value, our asset holding fees go up, we get a huge bonus, and most importantly, nobody had to do any ACTUALY work (like increase earnings) to get it done!

    Alex

  104. Re:My Guidance if I were one of the Google founder by Paradise+Pete · · Score: 1
    I think this obsession with quarters is hurting the businesses....fall a few cents short of average analyst estimates and boom, the share price drops.

    If you're not obsessed with quarters, then what do you care if the price drops? In the long run the price will reflect the proper value. Warren Buffet, for instance, doesn't care one whit about things like that.

  105. That's FUD by TubeSteak · · Score: 5, Informative

    All your comment shows is that you don't know how insider selling works or that you're purposefully trying to stir up a conspiracy.

    I suggest you read this article.
    http://news.com.com/2102-1030_3-6030223.html

    Summary: Their stock sales were planned over a year advance. They actually setup the schedule before Google went public, so that n00btards like you wouldn't be able to say "ZOMG, teh c0nsp1racy!"

    AFAIK, just about every corporate officer signs up for a 10b5-1 plan so that they don't have to deal with accusations of insider trading. The funny part, is that the linked article I gave you has some idiot analyst saying the same thing you are.

    Allow me to say this again: The stock sale was planned over a year ago. It is an unfortunate coincidence that their stock sale happened at the same time as any bad/good news.

    The fact that Google's stock dropped 60 dollars per share in less than 10 seconds is interesting, but the rest of your post is over rated.

    --
    [Fuck Beta]
    o0t!
    1. Re:That's FUD by MECC · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The question in my mind is whether or not the statement made by George Reyes about the stock tumbling could realistly cause such a drop, and to observe that of course while his stock sale was scheduled a year in advance, his statement about the comming tumble was not. Are there regulations preventing such a statement made by a significant shareholder just prior to a scheduled sale?

      --
      "We are all geniuses when we dream"
      - E.M. Cioran
    2. Re:That's FUD by prurientknave · · Score: 1

      so there's no probability that information was witheld until after the sale? convenient

    3. Re:That's FUD by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      You have to understand a company in Google's position in the market at that time. They were exceedingly expensive (to the point that the company had effectivly no chance of earning enough to justify their price). So the price was basically a popularity contest one which depends on a constant stream of good news and no bad news. The first bad thing that happens and the stock price will reverse. Why do they do this?
      The stock market becomes a great way to shift compensation onto others. Here's how it works. A high (preferably ascending stock price) allows option grants to provide a substantial portion of earnings. Say you had an good employee who was making $150,000, to steal him perhaps you would have to pay him $200,000. So our example firm offers him $100,000 and 1000 options on Google stock at $200. Each $100 that the share price increases earns our employee $100,000 and he can see the value in that so he leaves. As long as the stock price moves up his compensation increases and we have a very happy employee.
      Then after the stock price has fallen (and hopefully our employee cashed out before it got to the bottom). The company purchases the 1000 compensation shares for $50 which only requires $50,000 (the real value of which might only be $30-40k at that point). The extra earnings came from investors who paid higher prices (and sold at the lower price). Pretty sweet deal, and now you have an idea of why companies have taken on two roles (first operations and second selling the value of their stock as an investment).
      Even if they don't buy it back in the case of a company like Google, the nominal amount of new shares would not impact the control that the founders would have on the overall company. The downturn actually started when someone pointed out that their profit growth was partially the result of interest on the proceeds of their secondary offering.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
  106. Wow by GuloGulo · · Score: 1

    "2. Accountability makes sense if you're handing someone cash. If you're a search engine giving a cheritable website hits, all you have to do is look at the friggin website to do your due diligence - which you are going to do in any case."

    So, looking at a website constitutes due diligence to you? Perhaps you should reconsider this statement.

    --
    "The government grants you rights, not the other way around."-- beav007. Yes, these people really exist...
  107. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    If you care so much about your charity and organization you'd file for 501c3. This is a very simple thing.

    1. It'd allow for more businesses to donate to you. It's not only about a tax deduction but THEY need it for themselves so THEY don't get taxed on money they are providing. Otherwise you get LESS funds as they have to cover the taxes.

    2. There is a limit they can give if you're not a 501c3. A company just can't GIVE you a donation.

    You clearly aren't concerned about your charity or organization or you'd get it not for profitted. If you're a for profit charity then you really aren't practicing charity. In which case your major goal is PROFIT and that my friend, isn't what charity is about.

    In the case you feel you need a for-profit arm. You start a seperate organization and keep the books open and clean as to why your not for profit is hiring or using the services of your for profit for whatever reason.

    This isn't google being evil. On the surface it's you being incompetent and clearly ignorant to how these things work. You shouldn't be running any sort of volunteer/charity service.

  108. Guidance = Short-Term Focus by rabun_bike · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Google doesn't want to give guidance because it forces them to become short term focused to satisfy expectations they set for Wall Street. This is the bane of existence for many publicly traded companies. They give guidance and if they don't hit their numbers, they are punished by the analysts. It makes the analyst's job easier in that they can then put more pressure on the company (Google) and site them for the failure.

    The problem is that once a company becomes short-term focused they are beholding to hitting numbers and making bad business decisions simply to hit those numbers. This short-term focus trickles down from the CEO to all decision managers in the company who are given stock options. The company can no longer take long-term gambles because Wall Street will punish them for missing or not increasing their short-term outlooks. The decision makers will feel a real financial loss for not hitting those numbers and therefore reinforce short-term decision making.

    Conversly, long-term focus is the advantage of a privately held corporation. A private corporate can make long-term decisions that cost millions of dollars in hopes that it will pay 3, 5, 20 or even 20 years down the line. A short-term company can not make such decisions and therefore must focus on short-term growth or growth through acquisition (i.e. buying the competition to increase short-term revenue). A private company can not raise cheap capital to make these long term investments like a public company. Google wants the best of both worlds, they want to use cheap capital (i.e. stock sales) and use the money to make long-term investments.

  109. You overestimated your own "cognitive capacity" .. by Augusto · · Score: 1

    ... and managed to come off as a self righteous and immature jerk.

    Look, the minimum google requires is your NPO registration, you fail to meet that requirement. It seems like google is helping a lot of orgs that meet this requirement, but you just don't qualify.

    You can't prove they do this only for tax benefits, but even if they do, what's your objection. Obviously they can't help every organization in our world, if they have to pick some, they might as well pick those who also benefit them for tax purposes. This is perfectly understandable to any normal human being.

    In addition, it's already being mentioned that the registration at least provides some accountability to separate scammers from real charitable orgs. Even if google is only giving free ads and not money, that is giving something of value, and it would be irresponsible to give this to any quack with a website out there.

    --

    - sigs are for wimps.
  110. Real Estate outperforms Stocks... by alexhmit01 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Stocks grow faster than real estate, but with more volitility, and depending on your views of CAPM, that explains it or doesn't...

    That said, when you buy real estate, going 500% long (putting 20% down) is EXTREMELY conservative, and 1000% long is extremely common, even in business settings.

    In the stock market, you can at MOST go 200% long.

    In addition, the cost of capital (borrowing the money) is MUCH higher for stocks... You might be paying 7% or 8% of Margin Interest, vs. 6.5% on mortgage interest.

    Basically, the stock market DOES outperform real estate significantly... but it doesn't...

    In the long run, the "risk-free rate" is something like 4.5% with inflation of 3% (there are the gold standard years or 0%, plus hyper inflation, but whatever)...

    Long run rates:

    Inflation: 3%
    Risk Free: 1.5% over inflation
    Real Estate: .5% over inflation
    Stock Market: 8% over inflation (depending on time periods viewed of course)

    So while the stock market looks good...

    $1 invested in the stock market makes 8 cents in year 1 after inflation, or 11 cents if we went 200% long and paid our margin rate...

    $1 invested in real estate BOUGHT $10 of real estate, each of which grow by 3.5% before inflation, so we made 35 cents, lost 3 of them to inflation, and ended up 32 cents, so we made a 32% return. This requires ONE HUGE assumption, we were able to collect in rent enough from the real estate to cover the "holding costs" taxes + interest. If we don't, our return goes WAY down.

    Real Estate does out perform the stock market, because it is lower risk and people give you money at lower rates...

    Alex

    1. Re:Real Estate outperforms Stocks... by argoff · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Real Estate does out perform the stock market, because it is lower risk and people give you money at lower rates...

      Yeah, but the main thing that is driving real-estate is inflation (which BTW, is greatly understated). That is a very dangerous game to be betting on right now. People have always done well investing in realestate because the fed always pushes more money into the economy, which always creates inflation that drives up the value and also eventually drives up peoples pay. But today with wage pressures overseas, and information technology forcing "technology deflation" and driving down margin (eg, a 10 gb hard drive 20 years ago cost well over 10K) - that is an extremely dangerous bet to be making at this time - we are just comming off the internet boom.

      I could very easially see a scenaro that the current deflationary pressures make it impossible to pay down debts, so the Fed puts more liquidity in the economy, and that in turn drives up prices to record levels, but not pay. That would make it harder for people to pay on their already over-leveraged debts, it would dry up refinancing, and force the fed to put more liquidity into the economy - causing a snowball effect of out of controll inflation and massive defaulting debts.

      The bottom line is still, the US economy has more debt than it has capacity to pay off, and printing up money/adding liquidity to counter the deflationary forces will make things worse. It just kills me to see people debating between stocks, bonds, and housing when the dollar's very existence is at stake. IMHO, anyone who doesn't have a precious metals backup plan is just plain insane.

  111. Investing Basics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    A Long, Long Time Ago, In A More Moral Age . . ..

          Investing was about taking money that you have, and using it to help someone else do something you thought needed to be done. Usually, if they proved successful, this meant that the value of the effort you supported grew, and you could sell the portion of that business which you owned if you so chose.

          Oh, and if the endeavor was wildly successful, there would enough of a surplus of money you could get paid without losing any of your interest in the endeavor!

          Today's investment system doesn't care what the company being invested in is trying to do, all that anyone cares about is whether the stock will A) pay dividends which can be used as income (and this portion of the marketplace appears to be dwindling) or B) grow in value so quickly that you can sell your interest in a matter of days or weeks and make a profit.

          Investing used to be about creating products, services, business and livelihoods. Now it is about sucking everything out of a company you can, and moving on to the next company.

          Google said (my interpretation) that they want to cater to the original idea of what investing is about.

          The guys who drive the current version of investing are trying to force Google into the paradigm by which the analysts even exist in the first place . . ..

          What I don't understand is why any of this surprises anyone who's paying even the least bit of attention.

  112. This is fun by shotfeel · · Score: 1

    The whole "controversy" over wether Google should or should not being doing what it's shareholders want is kind of funny.

    To partake in the amusement remember that Google is doing what its current shareholders want. Including their two biggest shareholders, Sergey Brin and Larry Page.

  113. Wall Street Wants Its Percentage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    The bunch of crooks that have been skimming a percentages from every stock, bond, or security transaction in the U.S.A. for decades now has Google in their sights. If Google can show how obsolete these leeches are, then they'll all be out of jobs soon. So they cannot let Google stand. (And yes, even your broker is one of these charlatains.)

    Can you believe that in this day and age the NYSE still has humans in the loop? How is it that, on the NYSE stock exchange, purchases/sales are not handled entirely by machines? The answer is that to do so would eliminate the opportunities to

    • charge unconscionable rates for what should be sub-penney transaction fees and
    • manipulate markets out of view of the SEC.

    NASDAQ is automated and completely transparent; NYSE should be the same. But Wall Street will fight modernization tooth and nail because it endangers their jobs. Problem is, they're dead weight and a drag on the economy.

    Google should respond by developing an investment system that takes advantage of NYSE's built-in delays that arise from humans in the loop. Secondly they should build a "Google Exchange" and free the markets from Wall Street dominance.

  114. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1. NPO registration costs money and takes an enormous amount of time and upkeep - much more than designing and running a website. There is no reason for our organization to go to the trouble or expense of registering.

    The fee depending on if you get help or not is between 200-500 US dollars. For the lifetime of your NPO. I'm not sure what upkeep you're speaking of. There is little to upkeep..There are even companies that'll do the whole thing for you lock, stock and barrel.

    2. Accountability makes sense if you're handing someone cash. If you're a search engine giving a cheritable website hits, all you have to do is look at the friggin website to do your due diligence - which you are going to do in any case.

    Anything giving to you is a resource. Resources cost money.. You think anyone in the world including yourself is going to allow someone to use their resources without some accountability? You're gonna give emergency birth control to some dude just because he asks? How do you know hes then not going to turn around and ask for 500 units and BURN them becomes he's anti-abortion? Right.

    4. Google is donating services in kind in exchange for tax benefits. The goal of helping others is secondary. It is common practice in all large corporations. Shell, for example, gives vastly more than Google does. But the company makes no claim to 'do no evil', nor does it place philanthropy above profits as part of its founders' vision. And shell is not considered a philanthropic organization. They give with an agenda, and so does Google - they are buying more than just the satisfaction of doing good; they are buying something that has a dollar value. That is not philanthropy or altruism.

    ITS DEDUCTIBLE.. it's not a benefit. The money is coming from somewhere.. It just didn't drop out of a tree. They can spend the money in taxes, or they can spend the money in helping charitable organizations. They maybe able to rework some of the value if they really wanted but at the end of the day they still pay.

    Well unless they are Microsoft and rework to the point where they have a small unit in a tiny island somewhere making sure they don't pay anything.

    YOU ARE NOT A NPO UNTIL YOU FILE THE PAPERWORK. You're simply a guy with a website asking for donations.

  115. Slashdot didn't write the article by snowwrestler · · Score: 1

    There are plenty of articles on this subject that don't mention Google at all, and do mention the companies I listed (how do you think I learned about them--I'm not a stock broker) as well as others.

    What Slashdot did do was decide to post this article here, and not one of the articles about the other companies that don't (or are planning not to) offer quarterly guidance. Why? Because this is a tech site and Google is the highest-profile tech company facing this issue.

    Show me Slashdot wrote the article and I'll agree with you that the focus from Walstreet is on Google because it's slashdot.

    The focus from Wall Street is not (just) on Google, it is on the issue of quarterly earnings guidance in general. Google is simply the focus of this particular story, which was then posted on Slashdot. Don't assume that just because Google is the focus of this story and discussion, that it is somehow the lynchpin of the entire issue. It's not.

    --
    Build a man a fire, he's warm for one night. Set him on fire, and he's warm for the rest of his life.
  116. Re:But, a rebellion against all companies is going by mmkkbb · · Score: 1

    Start saving up some Euros then.

    --
    -mkb
  117. Re:But, a rebellion against all companies is going by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The US borrows in its own currency unlike the rest of the world, so if the currency is devalued, the guy we borrowed the money from suddenly gets paid a lot less.

    Yes, and so the guy we borrowed the money from (i.e. the lender) will ask for a higher interest rate next time. You know how the saying goes: "Fool me once..."

    Thus, a weakening currency means higher prices and higher interest rates. Please don't think we can inflate our debt away without any consequences...

  118. I'm no stock market person by shoptroll · · Score: 1

    But common sense tells me if you don't like how someone is running their business voice your opinion with your wallet. In other words, if you don't like Google rolls; drop their stock.

    --
    Insert Sig Here
  119. So Google has forecasts... by enjahova · · Score: 1

    ...but they're forecasts are just in Beta? ;)

    --
    "how can they call it a MINE if everything here is THEIRS?!?!" -Straight Jacket
  120. Under no obligation to provide "guidance" by jordandeamattson · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Ok, we have a major disconnect here.

    Companies are under no obligation to provide "guidance" on future earnings or growth of the company. A company is obligied to publish its 10K and 10Q forms as well as other required SEC filings. These documents - for those willing to do the work - provide more than enough to analyze a company and its business.

    In fact, the "guidance" you and the analysts are demanding has been the source of untold harm. Remember, it was Enron working to ensure that it hit its earning's guidance and estimates that led to the fruad to keep the numbers on track. It is trying to keep earnings estimates on track that leads many a company to dump staff to "cut costs", rather than accept "lumpy earnings".

    It should be noted that there are other companies that refuse to provide guidance. Companies like Berkshire Hathaway (i.e. Warren Buffett's company). What the analysts don't like is that they aren't in control here. That in analyzing Google they might actually have to do some work.

    Like many of those at the Motley Fool, I applaud those who refuse to give into the demands of the analysts and give earnings guidance. Of course, this could be a case of trying to "get even" with Google. Remember, they were the folks that selected the "Dutch Auction" for their IPO and had to deal with the investment bankers and analysts who were upset that at market rather than their experts got to set the price for Google shares.

    Yours,

    Jordan

  121. Go fuck themselves by RomulusNR · · Score: 1, Insightful

    GOOG's price today is just over double what it was a year ago. As a long investment (by long I mean more than 3 months), that's real fucking good, even for the dotcom boom days.

    This is why I hate stock traders. What sucks is that we willingly allow these short-sighted, instant-gratification, panicky, selfish fucktards to determine our economy.

    --
    Terrorists can attack freedom, but only Congress can destroy it.
  122. search engine users ARE customers! by kokos · · Score: 1

    > ..., *you* are not their customer. Your clicks are what they sell to their customers, advertising companies.

    Money is not the only valuable thing in the world. The time *he* spends on google's search portal, possibly clicking on an ad, is just as valuable. Because without its online visitors google wouldn't be what they are today.

  123. It's a free market by plopez · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If you don't like how Google is doing business, don't buy Google. Google fully discloses their corp. philospohy in their prospectus. If you are an analyst, you don't matter because despite what you say they are profitable.

    Investing in a profitable company? Horrors, we can't have that. Gives all the crap analysts and brokerage houses are pushing a bad reputation! You need to buy the blue sky buzz word of the month pump-and-dump being touted on TV. Not some innovative company with large sales and a good product line!

    I wonder. Google has pissed off DOJ and Wallstreet. It isn't the first time the Wallstreet crowd or the Bushites have played dirty.

    In addition, there is a tradition in business of demanding conformity. If you stand out in a corporate culture you are either pecked into conformity or eventually fired for trumped up reasons. Very much like high school in some ways.

    It will be interesting to see what happens. As long as they are profitable they do not have to change. Can they last long enough to change Wallstreet? Or are they doomed to cave in?

    --
    putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
  124. Wall street by MECC · · Score: 4, Informative

    Google is just following good business practices in refusing to adopt a short-term earnings business slanted model. Since wall street wants to predict and analyze something they have no fundamental clue about, even with guidance they'd make bad predictions, which is bad for everybody. For Google to do things 'the wall street way' would substancially hurt their profitability, and be irresponsible to their shareholders, to whom they actually are responsible. For a business to become so dependant on Wall street capitalization that they change how they do things to suit wall street is likely a death knell or a sign of a long downward slide. People who know nothing about how to run a business should have zero say, especially in terms of short term considerations, which are by definition what WS deals with.

    Other companies that run their own business without WS intervention (i.e. no earning guidance): Coca-Cola, Gillette and The Washington Post.

    --
    "We are all geniuses when we dream"
    - E.M. Cioran
    1. Re:Wall street by Forbman · · Score: 1

      Well, consider these "analysts". They have created a niche in the market where they have some sway and influence in how other people invest their moneys (through them, of course). They are being left out in the cold by Google. In a sense, the analysts are tails that have enjoyed wagging the dog for some time.

      Yes, I understand that when I buy shares in a company I'm getting some measure of "ownership", but my investment in the company is quite limited. My expectations for the company should be commensurate. The attitude of some shareholders (Carl Icahn, Kirk Trevorkian, et al) seems to be like they're mad at the state lottery commissions when they buy tickets that don't win. They're in it not only for the $$$, but for control, whether that means providing some sort of guidance for the company to organically make more money (which is probably good), or directing the company to bleed itself of cash for the benefits of the major shareholders (which is...bad) or debt holders.

      Gillette doesn't matter anymore, because it got bought by P&G...

      Analysts are kind of like mistletoe on an oak tree.

  125. You Idiot. by Run4yourlives · · Score: 1

    That rule exists to keep Google's books clean. Otherwise, my grandmother could set up a "charity" to funnel money out of google and into, oh say Larry's mother's pocket.

    Don't be such a tool. Register for the damn 501(c)3s and grow up.

  126. Re:Actually, volatility decreases the values of st by ThinWhiteDuke · · Score: 1

    Brilliant, so simple yet so real!

    A similar analysis can explain why Wall St. pushes so much for companies to replace capital with debt. A magical way to increase earning per share without doing any actual work.

    --

    It would be nice to be sure of anything the way some people are of everything.
  127. Why should they provide guidance? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Companies provide guidance, analysts disregard them and figure out what the company should have for numbers. I see this too often in that the analysts crucify a company for not meeting the analyst number, but, achieved the numbers that the company set for itself. Frankly every publicly traded company should as a collective tell the anal-cysts that here is our ANNUAL numbers and anything else is not official numbers for the company and for the anal-cysts to STFU.

    Of course some people will argue that these people perform a value function. Yes they do, but, they don't have enough knowledge of the internal operations of the comapnies to make a better estimate than the management of the company.

  128. GooGuidance Beta by Comboman · · Score: 1
    By not providing such information, Google is leaving folks uncertain - now, honestly, if your data was good you'd release it because it would do good to your stock price. If you aren't, I'd be worried about what else is going on, and that is most definitely not a good sign.

    Yeah but any information Google released would be Beta anyway. :-)

    --
    Support Right To Repair Legislation.
  129. Do any of you actually own any stock? by I'm+Don+Giovanni · · Score: 1

    So many of you are coming out to defend a company not providing any guidance leads me to believe that you own no stock. A public company, particularly one that doesn't pay dividends, has a responsibility to its shareholders and potential would-be shareholders to provide some info so they can determine whether to buy or sell. A stock that doesn't pay dividends is worthless in practical terms until it's actually sold. Investors need info so they can make buy/sell decisions.

    Some of you are saying, "screw the (short-term) investors, some buy stock not to make money, but because they believe in the company's ideals". That is lala-land talk. What percentage of GOOG shareholders today own that stock simply because it's "cool" or "righteous" and don't give a damn about loosing money? Yes some people buy a handful of shares in a company just because they like it, and since it's only a handful of shares they don't care whether the stock goes up or down because it's not a big deal. But GOOG's price ranges from $300-$500 per share on any given day. So it's very expensive to buy a handful of shares of GOOG just because you like the company. No, most of GOOG's shareholders do care about the stock price (particularly since GOOG doesn't pay dividends) and therefore the real financial state of the company.

    The funny thing is that if this same article were written about MSFT rather than GOOG, the Google sycophants around here would be taking the exact opposite stance.

    --
    -- "I never gave these stories much credence." - HAL 9000
    1. Re:Do any of you actually own any stock? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      A public company, particularly one that doesn't pay dividends, has a responsibility to its shareholders and potential would-be shareholders to provide some info so they can determine whether to buy or sell.

      Did you buy Google stock without reading their explicit, up-front statement that they would not be providing guidance? If you're too lazy to hunt for it, here it is:


      Although we may discuss long term trends in our business, we do not plan to give earnings guidance in the traditional sense. We are not able to predict our business within a narrow range for each quarter. We recognize that our duty is to advance our shareholders' interests, and we believe that artificially creating short term target numbers serves our shareholders poorly. We would prefer not to be asked to make such predictions, and if asked we will respectfully decline. A management team distracted by a series of short term targets is as pointless as a dieter stepping on a scale every half hour.

      Caveat Emptor. If you were too stupid to read that document before you bought stock, so solly, cholly. It took me about 3 seconds to find it.
    2. Re:Do any of you actually own any stock? by flajann · · Score: 1

      I think it's wonderful that Google refuses to provide guidiance. Finally a company takes a stand against the silly and inane games played on Wall Street every damned day.

  130. Nevermind, its ZONK by PhreakOfTime · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Damn!

    When is someone going to hand ZONK a clue stick? Doesnt it bother anyone at slashdot that he is single-handedly making the site look like a mouthpiece for paid shills?

    No wonder his 'articles' get the lowest repsonses. Most people are probably blocking his 'submissions' by now.

  131. Re:Actually, volatility decreases the values of st by rainmayun · · Score: 1

    Except you didn't really create any value, you only captured some of the value that wasn't already present in the stock price. It was a fine and nuanced explanation, but it confuses the price of the equity with its intrinsic value, which muddles the argument somewhat.

  132. That's part of the solution, not the problem by hawk · · Score: 1

    >One huge problem with U.S. companies is that their upper management
    >folks are compensated with stock options (or grants) and are often
    >based on current performance.

    Actually, the options and grants are part of the solution. They were aa reformist reaction to the complete disalignment of the interests of management (perks, such as gold faucets in the washroom) and ownership (profits).

    The *purpose* of the rise in options was to align the interests. Things didn't turn out as well as expected, however. Management attention was redirected towards profits, but only short-term profits. On top of that, options pay off for an increase, but have no penalty for a drop in price, encouraging excessive risk. Furthermore, as a practical matter, the executives need to either sell the stock from the options, or to come up with large amounts of cash to keep them. This brings things back to the short term, as does the loss of the options when leavintg hthe company.

    OK, and investors looking at short term results, rather than focusing on the long run, is a really serious problem--buying a company for the short term results is bubble behavior at its worst.

    My solution is to replace the options with outright grants that are restricted for longer periods, without regard to whether the recipient is still employed with the company. You will have this stock for the next ten years (and perhaps some tied to fifteen and twenty), so foucus on that. There are tax issues (the entire grant would be taxable; perhaps encumbering it with a non-forgiveable loan to reduce the value would help).

    hawk

  133. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by RESPAWN · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Honestly, why the hell haven't you filled out the forms to become an official 501(c)3 NPO? Yes, it's time consuming and requires much more management, not to mention the probable initial outlay of funds to a lawyer in order to get your 501(c)3 application completed properly. The only reason that I can see for you not to go through the process is that you are either 1) lazy or 2) not very committed to your cause, since you seem unwilling to make the necessary changes to your business in order to achieve NPO status.

    In another life, I was a founding member of a 501(c)3 corporation. Yes, it's a PITA to run things in the manner necessary to maintain your status, but it's necessary. The reality is, and keep in mind that this is born from experience gained while attempting to garner some minor intial donations to fund our application, the only way to actually be treated like an NPO is to be able to prove that you're an NPO. Otherwise, why should any corporation or private entity believe your word that you will not take their money and run when there are no legal restrictions to keep you from doing so. I happened to us on a few occasions, but we never got angry and claimed the company was evil on public message boards. Instead, we simply moved on until we achieved the necessary funds to receive our NPO status. After that, the companies that turned us down before had no problems donating to our cause.

    A not for profit company without 501(c)3 status asking for donations is akin to a bum on the street asking for money for food. Sure, he might be telling the truth, but how do you really know that he's not going to waste the money on crack?

    For the record I forwent modding your post down in order to post in this conversation in the hopes that you might realize the ridiculous nature of your comments.

    Besides, I'm sure somebody else will mod it down anyway.

    --

    If Murphy's Law can go wrong, it will.

  134. Why I don't like Google by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is one of tens-of-thousands examples of unjustified censoring.

    http://www.harrysnews.com/pgmenissues.htm

    NOTE

    Google provides free space on sites where hostile people can freely refer to non-white men as nig##rs. Google also places adverts in these spaces. However, Google has blocked all advertising on this Men's Issues page on the grounds that it is 'inappropriate'.

    In other words, as far as non-white men are concerned, the huge muscle of Google is used to support those who call them ni##ers - and Google, of course, also makes money from their activities - whereas a page like this which is intelligently concerned about the serious issues which such men face is deemed 'inappropriate content'.

    Alongside reams of text wherein women are referred to as cu*nts and wh*res, Google advertises, among other things - such as cars - a whole range of sex paraphernalia.

    But, according to Google, this Men's Issues page consists of 'inappropriate content'.

    You can email Google here ... press@google.com.

  135. Re:Wall Street is not a function of how bus operat by hopethisnickisnottak · · Score: 1

    However, I don't think that the generalists on Wall Street should be in the business of making a company run one way or another - it is not incumbent on investors to decide company policy.

    Wall street isn't telling them to run this way or the other. All they're asking is that Google tell them which way they're running and how fast they expect to run.

    They aren't trying to decide company policy.

    --
    -Shaunak
  136. byte me... by zogger · · Score: 1

    ...swinish one. Google *has* a "long term strategy", it is to explore new technologies. You don't know what that is until you get there, hence the word explore. Google is a company run by techs. They do tech. New cool tech is their primary focus. It is that simple, but apparently that is just too complex an idea for these sniveling analysts. If people want to give them money to do tech, that's their decision. If they can't read, they need to go back to school.

        Not google's fault or my fault if these perpetual quick buck hustling middlemen skimmers can't understand that part, or the "do no evil" part. Like I said, let them go find the next enron complete with megacrooked CEOs if that is what they want. They are so used to that's how business is usually done, when it's not they start whining like little babies. Tough noggies for them!

    I could care less about the profits of the wallstreet skimmers and hucksters, let THEM go do something unusual and useful and productive.

  137. Guidance is not always short term by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Many forget that guidance targets also help long term investors analyze the stock according to growth rates and trends projected within the company. Combine that with fundamental analysis they create discount models (dividend, abnormal earnings...etc) to predict the long-run fundamental value of a company.

    As seen from the swag guesses of 600 from analysts, they have no idea how to price a share of the company. Without some idea of growth rates or fundamentals GOOG is letting investors flap in the wind uncontrollably. This is both foolish and unethical, especially in a tech company that is hard enough to gauge.

    Many are forgetting that WallStreet isn't just a collection of ibankers looking to make a buck. It is also composed of sell-side analysts who sell research to pension, mutual, hedge funds, individual investors, large corporations...etc. They *NEED* that information to set a good market price.

    Essentially, what GOOG is doing is disintermediation of the financial markets. Trying to let the investors set their own price. However, without guidance from those who do this stuff full-time and have investment experience, the market is just a collection of ill-informed people trying to day trade, and doing poorly at that. We have seen what happens when investors are mislead, ignore, or abuse analyst reports.

    To the person who said CCE (coca cola) and others don't give earnings targets, you better check your facts.

    Finally, to those who say analysts are greedy and desire inside information. Regulation FD states that they cannot get inside material information but *CAN* formulate their own theories based upon the mosaic principal. The days of Grubman and Blodget are mostly over, analysts are now separate from ibankers in a much more stringent policy.

    GOOG is being very unethical in their practices.

  138. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by Bombula · · Score: 1
    I've covered every responder's objections in my earlier follow-up post, and won't rehash them here. There is only one other thing worth mentioning, which is that it was probably a mistake for me to call our website a non-profit organization. In too many (ignorant) people's minds, an NPO can only be an NPO with 501(c)3 status. There are half a dozen or more other legal non-profit structures (though contributions to them, coincidentally, are not all tax deductible...), not to mention a myriad of other forms of organizations (PTAs, fan clubs, little league teams) who exist for a purpose OTHER THAN FOR PROFIT. One of those structures happens to be websites whose purpose is cheritable, like mine.

    The reason why Google's policy is unfortunate is that it precludes contributing to any organization that does not have 501(c)3 status. That is a shame in the case of web-based organizations, since they stand to so readily benefit from Google's particular form of contribution: ad space on Google.

    So for example, an organization in Iran that publishes a women's rights website to help women avoid horrid oppression and abuse in the form of sexual slavery, genital mutilation, and so on, would have to register as a 501(c)3 in the United States in order to be eligible. Ahhh, suddenly the responders' objections and rationalizations are rendered in an entirely different light. It is more than slightly revealing that ALL posters have assumed I am an American living in the United States and operating our site from there - no longer true, though it was when the site was made several years ago. In the case of the Iranian women's rights site, common sense says that Google could quite easily look at the site for 30 seconds and determine whether or not it was worth contributing to - and follow up with periodic 5-second checks to prevent scamming - but that is against policy. Why? Does their policy exist for accountability? Does it exist as a filter or quality control measure? Does it exist for their own legal protection so they don't, as one laughable responder suggested, imbezzle 'funds' in the form of free ad space to inside interests? Of course not.

    Wake up people. It is for money in the form of tax deductions. It is simply a business decision guided by financial logic, and no more complicated than that. The other rationalizations responders are posting are like rationalizations for Bush's war in Iraq: naive, desperate, and sad. Google's CSR policy, guided by transparent non-philanthropic self-serving financial logic, is no different than that of any other major corporation. But that policy is inarguably hipocritical in the face of their saintly 'do no evil' mantra and their founders' claims that philanthropy is the primary concern, ultimate goal, and driving force behind Google.

    --
    A-Bomb
  139. step into line? by Bit_Squeezer · · Score: 1

    Owned

  140. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by macshit · · Score: 1

    "They didn't give us money, therefore they are evil!1!"

    Uhhh-huh. I suspect their policy has more to do with easily avoiding fake charities than anything else. You may think your cause is obvious, but there are many con-men out there who are skillful at putting up an attractive front.

    --
    We live, as we dream -- alone....
  141. GOOG is just one big pump and dump scheme... by RoboSpork · · Score: 1

    Well, what would you expect from a company that makes at least 50% of it's revenue from Click fraud. Refer to Googles recent settlement (gee slashdot, why wasnt this one on the front page?) foxnews.com/story/0,2933,187284,00.html

    What would you expect from a company with practically no revenue growth prospects?

    What would expect froma company whose IPO was nothing more than a 2.2 billion + pump-n-dump scam?

    What would expect from a company whose insiders have made billions off the sale of the stock WITHOUT EXPENSING IT?!?! Eric Schmidt recently sold about 100 million in stock in one day (Feb 22).

    What would you expect from a company whose has refused to comply with the new FASB rules requiring expensing of stock options?

    Google makes a great search engine and some other great products, but realize that none of that justifies a stock price of over $100 / share.

    If your pride can handle it, read this blog: http://www.fuckedgoogle.com/

    Do some research on Click Fraud, and realize how google really makes its $.

    1. Re:GOOG is just one big pump and dump scheme... by flajann · · Score: 1
      If you think GOOG is just a "pump and dump" scheme, you obviously don't understand much about the stock market -- the zero-sum nature of the stock market. Hello! Wake up! It's *all* pump and dump! Every IPO does this. Every damned one. After that, the battle of the Greater Fools takes over. All else is smoke and mirrors

      Alas, most investors harbor great titanic myths about the stock market. How sad. Day Trader, Investor, Speculator -- the goals of all are the same: Find a Greater Fool to take the stock off your hands at a price higher than your strike price (or just inverse that if you are shorting the stock). For every dollar one makes on an issue,someone else had to loose that dollar. All the fundamentals of a company are largely irrevelant to this.

    2. Re:GOOG is just one big pump and dump scheme... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Point taken, once stock is issued, the issuing company CAN have little interest in it from that point on if thats the route they want to go. I guess I am one of those idealists who believes a comnpany is accountable to it's stock holders, but thats probably old fashioned thinking.

      And while the SEC, FASB, and others have attempted to regulate public exchanges, corruption is still rampant. Unfortunately I feel that corruption is present to a very large degree in googles stock and its executives simply because the public has a such a wonderful impression of the company and its products. It makes it very easy to hide all that corruption. There was no reason for google to go IPO in the first place. The only thing that stock has been used for is for giving to executives for them to sell. They could have gone the more noble route and actually ran the dam company privately and still come out as very rich people. Shame on them I say, it is greedy behavior at its maximum. And maybe it is common, but I dont think it is common on this scale.

  142. Re:Actually, volatility decreases the values of st by qinglong · · Score: 1

    nice explanation, but are you saying that i can create money out of nothing ???

  143. Reveals true 'evil' by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So now we know who is the true 'evil' behind any company that plays by Wall Street rules...

  144. why does google need wallstreet? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    maybe google should start its own version of wallstreet.

  145. Maybe not Beside the point... by thoughtlover · · Score: 1

    FTA - "'It is in the interest of all shareholders, including the company's employees and officers, that the share price achieves some stability.'"

    Perhaps, it is, finally.

      Over $400 for one share is completely unsustainable when the company is mainly selling non-tangible items and giving away a plethora of expensive-to-maintain services. Companies that sell durable goods may have higher operating costs, but if demand exists, they can always profit. I don't see demand for Google and their advertising model remaining as strong in the next five years. I have a feeling that some other player will want a bite and try to offer the same thing. Microsoft was courting AOL heavily until Google beat them to the punch for more advertising markets. Google knows that they are reaching an end to how many strategic advertising partners they can reach lest they look like the next (evil) 800 lb. gorilla. Let's not forget the meteoric rise of many tech companies' stock values. They were completely overvalued. Thus, the 'bubble' burst.

    The many crises that Google now faces are its growing-pains (DOJ, Librarians, China, etc.)

      The truth is that money talks. When quarterly P/E reports are announced, then they are ultimately responsible to their shareholders.

    --
    No sig for you! Come back one year!
  146. Re:Do no Evil my a$$ by MikeBabcock · · Score: 1

    Oops, so much for that cup I had on top of my fridge in college.

    Honestly though, its a court-decided type issue.

    If you don't claim to be a charity, you probably won't have a problem.

    "We are a charitable organization ... " can get you into a lot of hot water though.

    --
    - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)