Slashdot Mirror


Vista the End of An Era?

mikesd81 writes "The Times Online has an article about the uncertain future of Windows. Even Microsoft, it seems is admitting that Vista will be the last OS of its kind. With the push towards a constant presence on the internet, and the churn that entails, the company has admitted that even with a two year delay 'it is not really ready'." From the article: "Security experts are acknowledging that Vista is the most secure of Windows to date. However, 'The bad guys will always target the most popular systems,' Mikko Hypponen, of F-Secure, the security group, said. 'Vista's vulnerability to phishing attacks, hackers, viruses and other malicious software will increase quickly.' But the current fear is that the Internet will kill Windows, with Google being Public Enemy No. 1: 'Microsoft is way behind Google when it comes to the internet,' Rupert Godwins, the technology editor at ZDNet, the industry website, said. 'Building Vista, Microsoft is still doing things the old way at the same time as it undergoes a big shift to catch up.'"

446 comments

  1. Not gonna happen by NineNine · · Score: 5, Insightful

    All of this "The Net IS the OS" stuff is just ridiculous. This kind of thing doesn't even have a chance until broadband is as ubiquitous and as reliable as electricity. I think that we're still a good 10 years out from this even beginning to happen.

    1. Re:Not gonna happen by Ngarrang · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This ignores the reality that old OSes never die and go away. As long as older computers continue to exist, the older OSes will continue to be used. The open-source community is also proof that the traditional OS will never die.

      --
      Bearded Dragon
    2. Re:Not gonna happen by grcumb · · Score: 2, Informative
      All of this "The Net IS the OS" stuff is just ridiculous. This kind of thing doesn't even have a chance until broadband is as ubiquitous and as reliable as electricity.

      Agreed. But consider that this is a failed conclusion from an observation which is emphatically true, and whose weight increases with every passing day: Microsoft Windows, as it is currently constructed, cannot compete in the long run with low- or no-cost software that is platform-neutral. The realisation that Microsoft is facing is this: The core of their entire business model will inevitably fail. Not today, not tomorrow, but sometime in the foreseeable future.

      Everybody, Microsoft included, knows this is true. But the pundits seem to be extrapolating too far into the future, and they don't realise just how silly a thing this is to do, especially in the eyes of those of us who know a thing or two about computers and the Internet.

      So let's just file this story in the same folder with our nuclear-powered flying car promises, and get back to the real question: How is Microsoft going to follow Vista?

      --
      Crumb's Corollary: Never bring a knife to a bun fight.
    3. Re:Not gonna happen by supremebob · · Score: 1

      Exactly. Companies like Sun and Oracle have been preaching the gospel of the "Network Computer" since 1996. Ten years later, very few people are using smart terminal environments at work, and even fewer people are using them at home. The cost advantage over cheap PC's still isn't there yet, and there are still network reliability issues.

    4. Re:Not gonna happen by zeromorph · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I agree it won't happen - and in my opinion GoogleOS won't happen either. But the article focuses more on MS's business strategies after Vista because producing OSes is getting less manageable, less profitable, not on the scenario of vanishing OSes as such.

      But what I would think is more interesting:

      How is the free software/open source community dealing with the changing landscape?
      (Is e.g. Linux heading into the same problems as Windows?)

      What is the future of free/open source software in a world with more and more advertisement financed, huge server based services?

      Don't you think that the fact that all search engines are proprietary and closed source is as bad as the situation in the OS-sector before Linux?

      To sum it up:
      MS is searching new ways, but what are the visions of the FOSS community?

      --
      "Hannibal's plans never work right. They just work." Amy/A-Team
    5. Re:Not gonna happen by slimey_limey · · Score: 1

      Don't forget that there's always going to be a need for hardware abstraction and a network protocol stack. Judging from the way things are going, it's not likely that we're going to be using net-booted machines with small firmware kernels anytime soon.

    6. Re:Not gonna happen by LionKimbro · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think what you, and the others who are saying things like you, are missing, is what the conversation is all about.

      Nobodies seriously arguing that "OS'es don't matter," or that OS'es will somehow magically, poof, up and disappear, somehow. If you think that's what the message is, you're almost certainly misinterpreting.

      There will always be stuff that people will only entrust to their own computer, and run on an OS, and so on. Like the fellow who replied to you first said: "I don't want to authenticate, just to edit a word document." Quite right.

      What they're saying, or one of the things they're saying, (since "they" are quite large and nebulous,) is that the era of the super-important dominance of the OS is at an end.

      That is, that software developers, around the world, are never going to go back to the heady days of 1995, where every new platform change to Windows or Apple was the compelling subject of the magazines.

      It's sort of like in Linux. Who cares what happens to the kernel anymore? It's all about the desktop efforts.

      Sure, the old stuff never went away: There are still innovations in the Linux Kernel, and, there are communities of people who keep up with what's happening in kernels and so on, and the myriad activities and so on. Even exciting things still happening there. But it isn't the focus of the discussion.

      The primary discussion, the things businesses and users and developers and so on are concerned about, is something different.

      So, this is the context in which you interpret: "The net is the OS."

      They mean something very big and complex, but when you put a message into the political sphere, it's gotta be short. You have to apply the context to decipher the message.

    7. Re:Not gonna happen by Chess_the_cat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Never is a long time. Or do you belive that in 100 years when we're all wired with processors in our heads there'll still be point and clickers? No? Well, 100 years isn't anywhere NEAR never.

      --
      Support the First Amendment. Read at -1
    8. Re:Not gonna happen by Loco+Moped · · Score: 1

      No, it's not gonna happen.

      The computer manufacturers won't let it happen. They depend heavily on Windows bloat to sell new high-end computers. And if they aren't selling new computers with Windows pre-installed, Microsoft isn't going to be selling many copies of Windows.

      One hand washes the other.

    9. Re:Not gonna happen by 0racle · · Score: 4, Insightful
      So let's just file this story in the same folder with our nuclear-powered flying car promises, and get back to the real question: How is Microsoft going to follow Vista?
      Simple, complete and ship everything that slipped from Vistas release.
      --
      "I use a Mac because I'm just better than you are."
    10. Re:Not gonna happen by True+ChAoS · · Score: 1

      Which should give MS just enough time to complete their offering!

      ...

      I'll get my coat...

      --
      WARNING: May contain traces of nut
    11. Re:Not gonna happen by Ajehals · · Score: 3, Interesting

      How is the free software/open source community dealing with the changing landscape?

      Sorry I'm only going to respond to this small part of your post :) . The open source community has the advantage that at present everything is much much more modular than in the world of windows. there is no requirement for any of the disto's to maintain the entire code base that their distro relies upon. Further more the producers and providers Open Source code are generally not looking at their product in terms of monetary value. Debian don't have to include features to entice SUSE or Red Hat users over to their distro, nor do they have to worry about Ubuntu using their code base and passing it off as something else entirely.

      In my opinion the open source landscape is so different from that which Microsoft inhabits that the issues facing Microsoft will simply not figure on the OSS radar. There will certainly be other issues to contend with (such as driver support, copyright and patents) but most of these are also issues for Microsoft. So in short, how is the FOSS community dealing with the changing landscape? well it deals with it in an asymetric way, it is made up of a huge number of small cells, each one more able to adapt to change than the monolith that is Microsoft. (Just realised that that makes the FOSS community sound like an insurgent / Terrorist group, but that may infact be more accurate than I would have thought.)

    12. Re:Not gonna happen by Merusdraconis · · Score: 2, Informative

      "Microsoft Windows, as it is currently constructed, cannot compete in the long run with low- or no-cost software that is platform-neutral."

      The fact that it's not doesn't mean it can't. The Internet as a platform is mostly successful because of its killer apps (Youtube, blogs, Wikipedia et al.) Consumers don't care about platforms nearly as much as IT professionals think they do or should.

      This doesn't change the fact that Microsoft is boned because it's losing to the Internet, and it doesn't change any of the arguments based on that premise. But it just wanted to make clear that it's not the inherent nature of the platforms but the apps for them that usually decide how the consumer responds.

    13. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >All of this "The Net IS the OS" stuff is just ridiculous.

      Shhhhh! Let Microsoft flail and fail.

    14. Re:Not gonna happen by Jessta · · Score: 1

      I agree. Also, 'The NET IS the OS" fails to take in to account that you need an OS to run your web browser, provide the base system libraries for your applications that you don't wish to write in javascript. Web applications are still way behind desktop applications in terms of portability and interoperation.

      --
      ...and that is all I have to say about that.
      http://jessta.id.au
    15. Re:Not gonna happen by grcumb · · Score: 1
      "Microsoft Windows, as it is currently constructed, cannot compete in the long run with low- or no-cost software that is platform-neutral."
      The fact that it's not doesn't mean it can't.

      Uhmmm, I think we're in screaming agreement here. That's the 'as it is currently constructed' part. 8^)

      But again, the question isn't 'Can Microsoft do anything?' That's silly. The question is 'What then, will Microsoft do, faced with a business model that is doomed to fail?' This story paints a picture of Internet pie in the sky, which, as the GP pointed out, is not going to be complete any time soon. You're asserting that Microsoft is not without options in the application space. So my question to you then, is 'what can MS do in the application space that will save it from itself?'

      --
      Crumb's Corollary: Never bring a knife to a bun fight.
    16. Re:Not gonna happen by evilad · · Score: 4, Funny

      Maybe not, but you can rest assured that somewhere in my head I'll be running DOS to play Full Throttle just one more time.

    17. Re:Not gonna happen by Daniel+Phillips · · Score: 1

      This kind of thing doesn't even have a chance until broadband is as ubiquitous and as reliable as electricity.

      Power has been out 6 times in the last 12 months, twice for over 20 minutes. Broadband has been out for a total of about 15 minutes in the same period. Major US metropolis. Draw your own conclusions.

      --
      Have you got your LWN subscription yet?
    18. Re:Not gonna happen by perlchild · · Score: 4, Insightful

      For microsoft, a company that makes no money on support, but on initial licenses, those older OSes haven't just ceased to exist, they are a threat to their business model.

    19. Re:Not gonna happen by StikyPad · · Score: 2, Insightful

      More importantly, people (and especially businesses) don't want their private data to be on "the internet." Ford doesn't want its latest CAD design on the net, Becky doesn't want her "Lilac Tears" on the net (ok, maybe she does, but she's too ashamed to put it there on purpose), Bob doesn't want his finances online (the fact that it's already there and his computer has been r00ted already aside), and GAMERS don't want their refresh rate to be a factor of their ping time. It may be in an intangible form, but having data on one's own system just feels more secure, and it's hard to change the way people feel, and keeping data offline IS important to many business and government entities. The current concept of the OS will only go away if desktop computing goes away, which is not bloody likely unless/until regulation requires it.

      Although I hear California is already proposing a 5 day waiting period for computer purchases.

    20. Re:Not gonna happen by Inner_Child · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Why run DOS? Just use the neural port of DOSBox.

      --
      Today is red jello day - all workers must eat all of their red jello. Failure to comply will result in five demerits.
    21. Re:Not gonna happen by IWannaBeAnAC · · Score: 3, Interesting

      How is the free software/open source community dealing with the changing landscape? (Is e.g. Linux heading into the same problems as Windows?)

      Well, F/OSS grew up with the internet, for us the landscape isn't changing, rather it is tending to validate the whole approach as being essentially correct. Microsoft have always had a problem with the way they design software, as monolithic intertwined, horrendously complex packages. In the past, the marketing (and black-ops?) departments at Microsoft were enough to gloss over these problems, but as the complexity of all software systems increases, the Microsoft approach must become unworkable. The stupid car analogy would be trying to build a modern hybrid by progressively adding bits onto a model-T until it looks, to an outside observer, like a Prius.

      Due to its essentially distributed nature, F/OSS software is inherently modular. This is its greatest strength, but also a problem as everyone can (and does!) choose their own slightly different way of integrating all of the parts together.

      What is the future of free/open source software in a world with more and more advertisement financed, huge server based services?

      Hmm, there may be a few such large servers around, but are they really going to dominate the industry? What is stopping a proliferation of home users running their own servers? 3 things: NAT, poor security, and asymmetric connections with poor upload rates. The solutions to this are, respectively, IPv6, anything-other-than-Microsoft, and customer pressure on ISP's (and to some extent technology will solve this problem anyway, as broadband rates improve generally the class of services that can be run on the bandwidth of a basic connection will increase).

      Don't you think that the fact that all search engines are proprietary and closed source is as bad as the situation in the OS-sector before Linux?

      Yes, it is unfortunate. It would be great if google's searching stuff was all Free Software. Imagine, instead of linking to a google.com search on your website, just use a mod_google extension to the webserver to automatically keep an up-to-date index of your website stored locally. But the history of Free Software suggests that eventually, someone will write a free replacement and, eventually, it will come to work better than the proprietary alternatives. But it isn't clear that something like a distributed database replacement for google is even technically possible, although in niche areas it surely is (for example: scholar.google.com is pretty good for searching journal articles - but this is something a consortium of universities could get together and provide themselves).

      MS is searching new ways, but what are the visions of the FOSS community?

      F/OSS doesn't need a vision. While programmers scratch their itch and write code, artists and designers improve the look and usability, and end-users give feedback, F/OSS will grow. It isn't any more complicated than that.

    22. Re:Not gonna happen by aetherworld · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You intend to live that long? ;)

      That's the main problem here. All this 'never' talk merely concerns our current generation. And maybe the generation after us. Do you think your grandchildren will know DOS?

      What would have happened if you told the people in 1800 that in 1876 bell would invent a telephone which would make it possible to talk with everyone in the world. Would they have believed you? No. What if you told them, that only 100 years later everyone would have such a telephone, only then it would be called cellphone and you could carry it around with you and even see the person you're talking to. They would have laughed at you. Would someone have believed you in 1900 when you would have told people that in only a few years, there would be television. Soon in color. Transmitted via satellites in the sky. And small silver discs where they could fit several movies on. They would have taken you for a poor lunatic.

      Do you believe people now when they say in 100 years you won't sit in front of computers anymore because they're wired into your neural system and use wireless power? Or that we will have colonized several planets? :) Probably not...

    23. Re:Not gonna happen by evilgrug · · Score: 1

      The neural port of ScummVM would be a better choice.

    24. Re:Not gonna happen by Foofoobar · · Score: 1
      I think that we're still a good 10 years out from this even beginning to happen.
      Oddly enough, that's the time it will take for Microsoft to build, test and release their next OS. See the relevance yet?
      --
      This is my sig. There are many like it but this one is mine.
    25. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Actually what's funny is that the whole availability and popularity of open source is made possible by the internet. Linux's collaborative development model is much more of an example of "the internet being the OS" than even Google could dream of.

    26. Re:Not gonna happen by The_Wilschon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So what you really mean is that instead of being about the details of the kernel, it is now about the userland apps that you use to actually Do Stuff(TM)? I think that this has been the case for a very long time already. Even in 1995, the details of the kernel were not that important. The important thing then was the user interface. Windows 95 had a GUI! weehoo! People got excited about Word 6.0, not about drivers. Since the very early days, it has been about the apps. At least ever since Visicalc.

      So, given that, tell me again, what is the fuss all about today? How is it new?

      --
      SIGSEGV caught, terminating

      wait... not that kind of sig.
    27. Re:Not gonna happen by NeMon'ess · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So maybe the /. crowd is the exception, but thanks to your examples, we ARE willing to seriously consider what you're suggesting. The immense technological gains of the past century have shown even everyday people that many things are possible that previously were unbelievable. With a combination of breakthroughs in physics and materials science we really could be colonizing several planets by 2106. Private enterprise would be doing far more in space right now if they could just get people and cargo up there more cheaply by an order of magnitude. Then they just need a better way to get to the planets.

    28. Re:Not gonna happen by Ajehals · · Score: 1

      Your broadband works without power? I want some. :)

    29. Re:Not gonna happen by jbrader · · Score: 1

      You wanna know what's really ridiculous? That you think ten years is a long time. Companies and individuals that plan in the long term win.

      --
      You are so boring that when I see you my feet go to sleep.
    30. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you weren't aware of it before, you probably know it by now. Anything interesting or useful that rears its head on Slashdot will likely be ripped to shreds by what has quickly become the nets most vicious and petty peanut gallery.

      Slashdottians know nothing, they accomplish nothing, and their opinions are worth nothing. They are uniformly bitter, small-minded geeks who overestimate their own importance and their own skillz. They are, for the most part, losers. Their biggest accomplishment is in insulting others' spelling and grammar, attacking the GPL license despite their grade level understanding of it, and tricking people into clicking on goatse.cx links. They are know-it-all blowhards who use their computers primarily for Pornography and online gaming, at which they cheat regularly to offset their complete lack of motor skills.

      Despite touting the wonderous greatness of linux and open source, they all use Windows and Internet Explorer. They like Macs because of OSX, but want it to run on X86 so they can steal a copy and give nothing back. They will eventually buy a Mac due to their inability to run Windows without crashing it constantly by their own stupidity, and become raving unbalanced lunatics who do more harm than good for the Mac community by claiming that the G4 is quadruple the speed of a dual 3Ghz Xeon box.

      They lie about their own experience to make their case, and when you win an argument with them, they post anonymously in order to tell you they've had sex with your mother.

      Don't become a regular there, you will become retarded.

      If you weren't aware of it before, you probably know it by now. Anything interesting or useful that rears its head on Slashdot will likely be ripped to shreds by what has quickly become the nets most vicious and petty peanut gallery.

      Slashdottians know nothing, they accomplish nothing, and their opinions are worth nothing. They are uniformly bitter, small-minded geeks who overestimate their own importance and their own skillz. They are, for the most part, losers. Their biggest accomplishment is in insulting others' spelling and grammar, attacking the GPL license despite their grade level understanding of it, and tricking people into clicking on goatse.cx links. They are know-it-all blowhards who use their computers primarily for Pornography and online gaming, at which they cheat regularly to offset their complete lack of motor skills.

      Despite touting the wonderous greatness of linux and open source, they all use Windows and Internet Explorer. They like Macs because of OSX, but want it to run on X86 so they can steal a copy and give nothing back. They will eventually buy a Mac due to their inability to run Windows without crashing it constantly by their own stupidity, and become raving unbalanced lunatics who do more harm than good for the Mac community by claiming that the G4 is quadruple the speed of a dual 3Ghz Xeon

    31. Re:Not gonna happen by abradsn · · Score: 1

      Good points here.
      I think that more people are understanding the idea that technology can improve beyond what we can currently invision. To be fair though, with the rate that technology is improving, people are invisioning crazier and wilder things. Some of them probably won't happen.
      Look at the ideas we had about outer space from old TV shows and movies. Some of it was just crazy. Some of it has happened already. And some of it won't happen for a very long time yet. In 80 years I hope to watch a Battlestar Galactica re-run and laugh at the small size of that BattleStar... but we probably won't have a Battle Star for another millenium or two... so that's just crazy on my part.

    32. Re:Not gonna happen by monoqlith · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think you're giving people way too much credit on the whole about their privacy sensitivities. You're forgetting that we're in a country where we allowed the Patriot Act to be signed. Do you really think people are, as a general rule, vigilant regarding their privacy? Not that this is a good thing, necessarily. People should worry about their privacy more. The fact is, they just don't. Some even eagerly give up their privacy in exchange for guarantees of safety and, more unsettingly, convenience. The number 1 selling point for software aren't higher-level concerns such as how well it protects privacy. The number one sellling point is how convenient and easy to use it is. People accept black boxes. It doesn't make a difference to them whether their data is on their own computer or stored somewhere in Southeast Asia on a RAID array.

      The average user isn't as much like us Slashdotters as we like to believe. The average user doesn't care about filesystems, directory structures, magnetic media, etc. The average user just wants it to work. This is a general rule, and of course there are exceptions.

    33. Re:Not gonna happen by presentt · · Score: 1

      Perhaps there is a giant conspiracy like you describe. Or, the river more likely flows the other way. Software companies add more features to their programs to make use of the added speed, memory, etc. The only exception to this that I've seen is, incidentally, Vista, where computer manufacturers are producing "Vista-ready" computers. However, these computers are being sold with XP, and once computers are actually being sold with Vista, this advertising tactic fails.

      It would be great if programmers innovated their programs, instead of just add to them. That way, as hardware performance increases and software requirements remain constant, software performance increases. Unfortunately, software designers are bloating their programs to make use of added hardware potential.

      --
      I decided to stop stealing cynical quotes to use as a signature line.
    34. Re:Not gonna happen by presentt · · Score: 1

      Not necessarily. Eventually, computers in your house may be "dumb terminals" like those used on old UNIX mainframes, but instead connect to the server with your net-based operating system. Already, net-based applications depend on server-side technologies such as Javascript.

      --
      I decided to stop stealing cynical quotes to use as a signature line.
    35. Re:Not gonna happen by Propaganda13 · · Score: 1

      Over 100 years ago, we were riding around in horse drawn carts.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Old_Order_Amish
      Over 100 years ago, we were fighting the Civil war or jousting.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_reenactmen t

      Personally, I don't want the Net to be the OS. I don't want to rely on the Net for things I don't need it for like OS,writing documents,etc.

    36. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny
      You intend to live that long?

      I plan to live forever.

      So far, so good.

    37. Re:Not gonna happen by briancnorton · · Score: 2, Interesting

      There's a couple problems even 100 years down the road that no technology on earth will solve. The first is that hardware will still need a software layer to GET to the internet, we refer to this layer as an operating system. the "Internet OS" is really an internet application suite. Semantics aside, what is the benefit to consumers? Corporations have IA concerns and they already do this in most places. (shared drives, sharepoint, etc) Trying to make a computer into a service is not only a bad idea technically, but customers think of computers as posessions, not services. Even xbox live has less than 10% paying customers, and it has solid, tangible benefits to subscribing.

      --

      People who think they know everything really piss off those of us that actually do.

    38. Re:Not gonna happen by Marcos+Eliziario · · Score: 1

      Unix Mainframes? Geez, there was never such a thing until recently with Linux. There was lot of mini-computers and Super Computers on the other side with Unix or Unix-like OSes, but not Unix mainframes.
      And what do you mean with "server-side technologies such as javascript", pardon my ignorance, but I am not aware of such a thing.

      --
      Your ad could be here!
    39. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      If the terrorists are right then it's called a rebellion. I think calling FOSS systems a rebellion against corporate shit is actually quite accurate. No dowbt M$ does view us as terrorists. I supose that it's all in the eye of the beholder.

    40. Re:Not gonna happen by aetherworld · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Assuming that the human race will survive for a while... After all, dinosaurs lived on this planet for several million years:

      We might not have a Enterprise or BattleStar in 80 years. But what about 2000 years? Humankind has come from arena fights with lions and bears to a super technological race in 2000 years. Or what about 50.000 years? In 50.000 years we have developed language, fire, the wheel, built houses, villages, cities. What about 100.000 years? 100.000 years is a long time. We looked like monkeys 100.000 years ago. Or half a million years. The face of the planet has changed a dozen times in the last 500.000 years. Races have emerged, others have become extinct. One million years. A timespan most of us can't even begin to imagine. Mammals exist for more than 70 million years. Round it up to 100 million years. 100.000.000 - just look at that number... It's 1000 times longer than mankind existed. And yet, considering the age of our planet, it's not much. The earth is nearly 50 times older - 4.570.000.000 years to be exact.

      Now think time. What mankind did in 2000 years is pretty amazing. Think about what happens in say 1 million years from now. That's a realistic timespan. Unless we kill ourselves, mankind will probably exist in 1 million years. And even that is veeeery far from "forever". We may be able to imagine what technology will be able to do in 50 years. We may even get a few things right when we look at technology in 100 years. But from there on it's pure speculation. And probably very very far from reality.

    41. Re:Not gonna happen by Jessta · · Score: 1

      interestingly enough ASP.NET pages can be written in javascript.

      --
      ...and that is all I have to say about that.
      http://jessta.id.au
    42. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey... FreeBSD/Linux and fvwm still exist, they haven't suddenly disappeared. Terminals still exist, vim hasn't suddenly gone away. By "software developers" you mean "Microsoft Office developers". Games use more and more processing power every year, but their is huge competition in that market to make the most of the hardware that we have at any given time. Sure they need newer machines all of the time, but their softare does ALOT more. I mean we're talking about realtime raytracing with particle level physical engines... shit! All the old softare is still out there and it's only getting MORE efficient, not less. I don't run java apps for exactly this reason. Given a Linux setup with a fvwm desktop and mostly non-graphical apps (gaim and mplayer being notable exceptions) I'm still perfectly happy on a 500MHz machine with 256Mb of ram. Admitadly that's more than I used to use, but that's just because I like the speed. I actually DO use a 206MHz ARM with 32Mb of ram and it works fine for me.

      Your copmlaining about the Java/C#/MS softare that so many people seem to be wedded to, the world were development speed is more important than software speed. Once you leave that world it's really not true anymore. Even the heavy softare like KDE is only getting faster. Sure KDE is slow, but it's faster than it's ever been, and people used to run it on 200MHz machines. I didn't because I like speed, same as I don't run it now, but it's really the same scene.

    43. Re:Not gonna happen by TaoPhoenix · · Score: 1

      So you're also posting as an AC, and you decided to paste the same rant twice? Why isn't that flamebait?

      --
      My first Journal Entry ever, in 8 years! http://slashdot.org/journal/365947/aphelion-scifi-fantasy-horror-poetry-webzine
    44. Re:Not gonna happen by Marcos+Eliziario · · Score: 1

      you're right. I apologize

      --
      Your ad could be here!
    45. Re:Not gonna happen by Evenstone · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I remember hearing somewhere that Microsoft considers the biggest competitor to Office to be the previous version of Office.

    46. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Microsoft has actually been heading toward a support model (vs a license model) for a while now. Their entry into the CRM and ERP markets, which command healthy support contracts, and their corprate "licensing" which eliminates most upfront costs in favor of monthly or annual contracts, is a significant percentage of their income.

      In addition, unlike their consumer OS, there are usually numerous good reasons to upgrade back office (Exchange, SQL, Share Point) and server products.

    47. Re:Not gonna happen by WhoBeDaPlaya · · Score: 1

      Grandchildren nothing! Do you know how many so called "computer engineers" are command-line retarded?!?!

    48. Re:Not gonna happen by LionKimbro · · Score: 1

      In terms of the Linux community, the desktop is where the excitement and interest is, rather than the kernel.

      But beyond just the Linux community, considering "the space" of programmers as a whole, the excitement is web-side.

      Automatic installation, no maintenance, etc., etc.; These things are exciting to people. Companies are all making deals with each other: "Oh, you can get the user to install something? Will you put this in there, too?" No install questions on the web based stuff.

      I've seen some efforts that are trying to make the bottleneck of the web browser a bit wider- there's that project the Firefox dev is working on (forget the name,) and I understand that Microsoft has some ideas, and then there's Flash, which already does that to a degree. But many people are trying to make that bottleneck a bit wider. Whether that "widening" is platform dependent, or platform independent, will mean a lot to whether the OS is important again, or not.

      But for the time being, the answer appears to be, "No, not very."

      Your point about Word 6.0 is fair, but I think it's still within my point: Its an app that runs on the OS, and the OS is the platform that the developers are concerned about. (Word is a special case, because the devs happen to belong to the same company as the OS platform manufacturer: Microsoft.) Developers across the board, all apps: "What OS do I write this to?" But most of the new exciting things, the assumption is: "This goes on the web." Or, "This goes on flash." Or whatever.

      "What is the fuss all about today? How is it new?" It's new in that the OS is hidden, because the focus is on the web browser, and the myriad semi-standards, such as HTML, XML, CSS, XHTML, DHTML, JavaScript, Java, and so on. (And things that aren't open standards, such as Flash, and so on.) All of these things are cross-platform. That wasn't the case nearly as much, before.

      What this means is that people care far less about Microsoft. They're mainly interested in: "How far can I stretch the web?" You go too far, and you have to start going OS specific again. (3D games, or real-time XYZ, Voice-over-IP, or anything where you don't want data to go over the wire.) Even with stuff that doesn't work via Internet, there are now so many mature capable cross-platform compatibility libraries, that the specific OS doesn't matter so much.

    49. Re:Not gonna happen by Jessta · · Score: 1

      The main problem with the 'Net OS' concept is that either all your software is provided by the vendor (eg. google) or web application developer/provides actually get their act together and allow the applications to interoperate. Lets say that I have my email hosted at gmail.com and I would like it integrated with a calendar application, but I really don't like google's calendar so I go in search of another calendar service. I find one that suits me, but because they don't have an interoperatability deal with gmail I can't integrate my email with that calender service.(even if they did have an interoperability agreement, I would still have to give the calendar service provider access to my confidental email account) Now on a desktop computer, the calendar program creator would just make the calendar program speak IMAP and fetch the emails from the email server. No issues with my privacy

      --
      ...and that is all I have to say about that.
      http://jessta.id.au
    50. Re:Not gonna happen by paniq · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think, the point wasn't that Windows would be replaced by the Internet, but that a certain brand operating system is no longer indispensable. It hints that there are chances people will be able to change operating systems, and still experience now big difference in the way their work since most of the stuff they work with and they consume is on the net.

      Of course, using traditional tactics, MS might thwart those attempts.

      --
      Do not trust this signature.
    51. Re:Not gonna happen by Almahtar · · Score: 2, Informative

      Makes no money on support?!?!?! Do you have any idea how much Microsoft charges for tech support? It's off the charts! Honestly, the more people need to call Microsoft for support, the better. The only point at which it's a good idea for Microsoft to pull the plug on a product is when it's so vastly inferior and horrible that the money they make from customer support will be less than the money they lose in sales, and given their rates it takes a LOT of sales to make that happen.

      It's my guess that this, not lack of ability or resources, is the primary reason that the Windows OS isn't the clear winner out there. Given an ungodly amount of resources which could hire the most brilliant minds, Microsoft still doesn't have the lead on a bunch of volunteers (Open Source) and a complete market underdog (Apple) technologically. Why? They make lots of money off of support.

    52. Re:Not gonna happen by Hooya · · Score: 1

      DSL - meaning, attached to the telephone service. with all computers/switches/router connected to a UPS. have had 2 or 3 power outages. but have broadband - no power required - at least for 15-20 minutes at a time until the UPS keels over.

    53. Re:Not gonna happen by tsajeff · · Score: 1

      If Microsoft starts development now and targets a launch in 5-6 years, the next gen should be ready in 10 years or so...

    54. Re:Not gonna happen by Douglas+Goodall · · Score: 1

      We are already there. Sure there are still unconnected computers lingering about, but the masses have web browsing capability and email. Modern computers, especially those running Unix or Linux, are now running the same code that "workstations" were fifteen years ago. Unix (Linux) and the X Window system. Networking and huge memory model. Getting eveyone network access is the next challenge. There is already a massive amount of wonderful information available to those who can issue a simple search engine query (google for instance). Scott McNealy was right. The combination of the workstations and the servers comprises the matrix of information that we use evey day. He probably wishes that we all bought Sun workstations, but in essence he had it right.

    55. Re:Not gonna happen by rh613 · · Score: 1

      I gotta tell you and everyone else here - I completely agree! I've thoguht the big-wigs at MS were all guilty of perhaps more than occasional lapses in judgement before (espeiclaly with all this nonsense over anti-piracy measures & product activation). But it's pretty kooky IMHO to be talking about Vista being the last Windows. Hopefully this isn't another Balmer-esque goof on the part of yet another MS exec and more a cynnical attempt at manipulating the media to throw off competitors. Google really isn't half the threat some of these journals make it out to be; and all one need to to reassure themselves of that fact is looking at the earnings reports & company valuations.

      MS is doing well enough; Google isn't even trying to compete to out-soft Microsoft...it's trying to drive up ad revenue for goodness sake. It hasn't even yet shown it can produce Office software that truly competes with MS Office yet, and already the nuts are falling out of the trees - 1 every minute - trying to say if MS doesn't shape up Google will kill 'em!

      Don't get me wrong, Google's doing well and certianly needs to bet watched...but kick MS's butt? Rubbish! And we've heard it all before - remember Netscape? Remember Sun and how Java was gonna "be the OS" and all that other hot air?

      Guess it'll never go away...and the real threat here is that MS will hire some kook who subscribes to ZDNet and believes everything printed. I say let's see this "Internet-based-OS" get off a drawing board first!

      --
      Ross Holder
    56. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Do you believe people now when they say in 100 years you won't sit in front of computers anymore because they're wired into your neural system and use wireless power?

      Yes. Why on earth would you be using wireless power when you can burn calories and lose weight to get all the power you need?

    57. Re:Not gonna happen by thopkins · · Score: 3, Funny

      Because it will have sound problems!

    58. Re:Not gonna happen by HorsePunchKid · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Whoops... just accidentally moderated that "Flamebait" instead of "Funny". Stupid javascript moderation widget. Anyway, replying just to undo my moderation.

      --
      Steven N. Severinghaus
    59. Re:Not gonna happen by hodet · · Score: 2, Interesting
      "Unless we kill ourselves, mankind will probably exist in 1 million years."

      Mankind could become extinct and a whole new form of intelligent life could evolve and surpass us. Then they could go extinct and the cycle starts again. Rinse lather repeat. A million years in incomprehensible.

      Unfortunately I would be surprised if mankind doesn't kill themselves off in the next couple of hundred years.

    60. Re:Not gonna happen by heinousjay · · Score: 1

      It's too make up for the fact that command line gurus are socially retarded.

      --
      Slashdot - where whining about luck is the new way to make the world you want.
    61. Re:Not gonna happen by csnydermvpsoft · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Do you believe people now when they say in 100 years you won't sit in front of computers anymore because they're wired into your neural system and use wireless power? Or that we will have colonized several planets? :) Probably not...

      Another lesson that goes parallel to the one that you mentioned, however, is that the predictions that are made tend to be unrealistic and way off base. I'm still waiting for my flying car, but few people in the 1950's were talking about anything resembling the Internet. One thing that we have learned is that the technologies that we think will exist in the future probably won't, at least in the form we think they will.

    62. Re:Not gonna happen by vtcodger · · Score: 1
      *** This kind of thing doesn't even have a chance until broadband is as ubiquitous and as reliable as electricity.***

      Too bloody right!!! Even with DSL that can down up or down load megabit files in a few seconds, trying to do stuff interactively on web sites is often excrutiatingly painful.

      In addition, 'they' simply have to fix caching. As far as I can tell specifying NOCACHE in HTML doesn't work reliably. For all I can see, it may not work at all in some browsers. As a result, users often end up staring at an old screen because their "updated screens" are loaded from cache (maybe, I'm told, on an intermediate server that doesn't even parse the HTML) rather than the newest page from the HTML server.

      I recently ran across a suggestion that turning caching off in the HTTP header may get around that. I sure hope so. But it still has to be implemented in the server software before a lot of web based 'applications' are anything close to usable by ordinary humans.

      BTW, before I retired, I pushed to put a project that looked ideal for a web based server onto our intranet. An interesting and enlightening experience. My conclusion: The internet is OK for distributing information, and marginal for some sorts of commerce. It's a loooooooooooonnnnngg way away from being a replacement for an operating system.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    63. Re:Not gonna happen by EgerOne · · Score: 1
      After reading down this thread, I had to come back up to the original points. There is so little recognition in this conversation and the many just like it for what the majority of computers do for a living.

      Sure, there are folks who buy computers solely for fun and that's fine. There are also those who have too little to do with their stunning intelligence so new computers and software are needed to waste time surfing, dulling fear they may be missing something.

      Applications and hardware are not what computers do in places that pay the rent. They use that technology to work productively. They do everything from handling what used to be simple drudgery to ecstatic art, all necessary and profitable uses for the machines and -- more to the point -- the folks who use them.

      The only reason professional and mature users care about what Vista will do is whether the new bells and whistles will bring money to the table -- or frustration.

      Haven't we all read the concensus that business will delay replacing XP with Vista until new hardware is bought. Well, there you have it. Presuming that's true, present systems are working just fine at their job of putting butter on the table and, yes, beautiful art on the wall.

      It might be that the attention tiny computer minutiae drains away keeps energy from important innovation! We have no idea what systems in the real world might do in day-to-day activities if that were the subject instead of this drumbeat about OS.

      The clear fact that Microsoft is a terrible failure financially -- and always has been -- leads me to think they will cobble up something AFTER Vista just to keep the Foundation liquid. Wouldn't you think so?

      Meanwhile the silliness about MY computer needing to be hooked up to anything -- as in 'Internet as OS' -- is both offensive and wrong. I'll be there just as I am here, to learn, visit and get my funny bone tickled. But it won't change what I do with my system which is very much the same as I did with my portable Smith-Corona for some forty years as a writer. Word is helpful in that chore, by the way. But not as much as the old WordStar was. And that's a fact of life.

      Have fun and stay alive to watch all this next year, too.

      --
      "Those who trade freedom for security soon have neither."
    64. Re:Not gonna happen by Technician · · Score: 1

      those older OSes haven't just ceased to exist, they are a threat to their business model.


      Even worse, as the old Windows 95 and 98 machines become targets online, the OS gets replaced by a Linuz distro such as Ubuntu which is easy to install and set up. The hardware is not new enough to run smoothly with XP, but runs great with Ubuntu.

      Lets face it, most Ubuntu installs are not put on new hardware but are installed on Windows 98 or ME machines. That's when people learn to like Linux. Instead of paying for a newer version of Windows and a version of Office, Ubuntu comes with Evolution E-mail and Open Office installed. The savings of $200 for an OS and $400 for an office suite start to look good. Add in WGA so you don't pirate XP and Office on older hardware only helps encourage more use of older hardware to new life with a non-MS OS.

      --
      The truth shall set you free!
    65. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      hey here is india electricity is unreliable but the OS is still popular.....kind of tells u u don't need reliability to make net OS a reality.

    66. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Well, F/OSS grew up with the internet, for us the landscape isn't changing, rather it is tending to validate the whole approach as being essentially correct.
      How so? Ten years ago, I had a fairly advanced laptop for the time, and I could run several distributions of Linux, along with FreeBSD, NetBSD or OpenBSD, and all of them "just worked". Today, I can't run any of them on my laptop and get all of the hardware to work. The only one that even comes close is Linux, and it has problems with my wireless adapater, with power management, etc. To me, then, the last ten years have seen open source go from being viable on laptops to being a joke. Open-source OSes can still run alright on the desktop, where power management is less important, but it may be only a matter of time before hardware evolution does the same thing to them there as it's done to them on the laptop.

      Microsoft have always had a problem with the way they design software, as monolithic intertwined, horrendously complex packages.
      Microsoft's software is anything but monolithic. Indeed, its modularity is one of the things that makes it so complex. The problem of complexity, however, is a general software problem, and not unique to Microsoft. Complexity is arguably why Linux ground to a halt on laptops some years ago, and has never been able to get started again.

      In the past, the marketing (and black-ops?) departments at Microsoft were enough to gloss over these problems, but as the complexity of all software systems increases, the Microsoft approach must become unworkable.
      Microsoft have never had the same sort of marketing genius as, say, Apple. Their marketing is alright, but it's certainly not industry leading. Microsoft's success is mostly down to selling what the market wants, instead of what some luminaries think is the technology of the future. Sometimes someone like Steve Jobs gets it right, and makes a killing, but he's often been wrong too.

      The stupid car analogy would be trying to build a modern hybrid by progressively adding bits onto a model-T until it looks, to an outside observer, like a Prius.
      Surely this applies far more to Linux than to Windows. The NT kernel has had most of the "modern" features (kernel threads, symmetric multiprocessing, loadable kernel modules, a journalled file system, kernel pre-emptability, kernel pageability, source code portability, et al) from the outset, whereas they've gradually been grafted onto Linux over the years. Windows 3.x/9x might have sort of fit your analogy, but only someone without the faintest knowledge of the architecture of NT would try to claim it applies to modern (NT-based) Windows.
    67. Re:Not gonna happen by Schemat1c · · Score: 3, Funny

      Unfortunately I would be surprised if mankind doesn't kill themselves off in the next couple of hundred years. "I'm guessing you're one of those 'glass is half empty' kinda guys"
      --

      "Nobody knows the age of the human race, but everybody agrees that it is old enough to know better." - Unknown
    68. Re:Not gonna happen by Fred_A · · Score: 1
      Assuming that the human race will survive for a while... After all, dinosaurs lived on this planet for several million years:
      There was a bit more than just one species of dinosaurs too. That helped quite a bit regarding their longevity. Not to mention that the birds are still around. :)
      Humans may survive. Or not. I'm not overly optimistic. I think greed will get them in the end.

      We may be able to imagine what technology will be able to do in 50 years. We may even get a few things right when we look at technology in 100 years. But from there on it's pure speculation. And probably very very far from reality.


      It's been tried time and time again, predictions more than a year or two away fail miserably (flying cars). And even then (Vista).
      --

      May contain traces of nut.
      Made from the freshest electrons.
    69. Re:Not gonna happen by Fred_A · · Score: 2, Funny
      Do you know how many so called "computer engineers" are command-line retarded?!?!
      "Oh a keyboard, how quaint !"
      --

      May contain traces of nut.
      Made from the freshest electrons.
    70. Re:Not gonna happen by Sique · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Another lesson that goes parallel to the one that you mentioned, however, is that the predictions that are made tend to be unrealistic and way off base.


      Stanislaw Jerzy Lek put it that way: Nothing is faster outdated than the future.
      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    71. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Net OS? So, if I'm sitting in a motel with no internet access or the internet access isn't working, the computer is dead? Or I'm sitting at the hunting cabin attempting to process digital photos with photoshop and can't boot because of no internet access for miles? Ain't gonna buy that...

    72. Re:Not gonna happen by BokLM · · Score: 1

      The thing is that now, almost everything is going to be cross-platform. Everything running in a web browser means we don't have to run Windows to use it, we don't care anymore about what OS we're running as long as a web browser is available. And that's good, because you can choose your OS because of its qualities, not because it runs the programs you need.

    73. Re:Not gonna happen by snarfbot · · Score: 1, Interesting

      well the way i see it, is that we can read very little from the past. those acheologists talk so much crap about what actually happened but they have very little evidence to support it, in fact anything couldve happened. we could have went through several iterations of technological epochs like the one were enjoying now, with out a shred of evidence that it even existed, look at the pyramids and such, they say that they were built with brute strength, piling dirt underneath those massive monoliths to raise them. ok maybe so, but maybe not. there isnt even any concrete proof that we are evolved from primates, as far as im concerned we may be evolved from pigs, or whales or whatever, or perhaps they evolved from us. the only reason we think that humanity has only been around 50k years is because thats what fossil evidence remains, well look at new york city for instance, how much fossil evidence remains that people lived there in 1850. i mean large lasting structures, that will tell the people of 52006 that there were people there in 1850. as far as im concerned we could be far more ancient as a race than we give ourselves credit. we live a very short time in the grand scheme of things, and keep very poor records. look at how fast other animals adapt, 50k years ago, we were probably so much different we wouldnt even recognize our ancestors fossils if we found them. there were probably millions of species that existed that didnt leave a shred of evidence that they ever lived. then there are people who think we came here from venus or mars, thats just as likely as well. it makes alot more sense to me than that we descended from apes. thing is about evolution is this, if the mutation makes the creature better suited for survival, it will compete with the old version and completely replace it, and so on. so why are there apes remaining? wouldnt we have replaced them before becoming so different that we couldnt reproduce? its all a crock of shit. will we survive, probably. there will be some great catastrophe and the majority will be wiped out, but some will live, hidden away, forgetting everything, and there will be just dust to remember our great civilization by, and in 52006 our distant counterparts will be considering the same thing, theyll find the eiffel tower, and make up some stupid theory on how their ancient ancestors lashed it together with nothing but grit and determination. ahh f it.

    74. Re:Not gonna happen by bfischer · · Score: 1

      Or maybe "The glass is half full (of poison)."

    75. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      the calendar program creator would just make the calendar program speak IMAP and fetch the emails from the email server. No issues with my privacy
      Unless I'm misunderstanding what you're writing, doesn't this still mean putting your email credentials into your calendar app? Thus being just as big a privacy/security risk as if it were web based? If someone wanted to do something malicious, they could just as easily do it in a clientside app as a web app.

      The only advantage is that IMAP is an established standard so it would make interoperability easier (no different interop protocols for GCal/Gmail, GCal/Hotmail, GCal/Yahoo Mail), I don't see how it really makes it any more secure?
    76. Re:Not gonna happen by LittleBigLui · · Score: 1

      "I'm guessing you're one of those 'glass is half empty' kinda guys"

      No, no! The glass is half full ... with poison!!!

      --
      Free as in mason.
    77. Re:Not gonna happen by hodet · · Score: 1
      Sometimes. :-)

      But I usually catch myself and fill her back up.

    78. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But tell them a bench has wet paint on it...

    79. Re:Not gonna happen by GNious · · Score: 1

      4.570.000.000 years to be exact.

      That is not really exaxt...

      /G

    80. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If it's gonna start happening in as little as 10 years, companies that are as tightly bound to operating systems as Microsoft had better drop everything else and get ready.

    81. Re:Not gonna happen by ppc_digger · · Score: 0

      I plan to live forever.
      Number One, Is that you?

      --
      Of all major operating systems, UNIX is the only one originally meant for gaming.
    82. Re:Not gonna happen by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      So you're also posting as an AC, and you decided to paste the same rant twice? Why isn't that flamebait? The first time it may be flaimbait. The second time it's simply redundant.
      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    83. Re:Not gonna happen by Andrewkov · · Score: 2, Informative

      That's because they are not happy with you just buying Office, then want you to buy it every year. Greedy bastards.

    84. Re:Not gonna happen by aetherworld · · Score: 1

      As exact as it can get.

      http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth

    85. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ..."ubiquitous and as reliable as electricity"... Living in California where we lose power every single summer for long stretches at a time, I think this is a bad comparison.

    86. Re:Not gonna happen by SteveFoerster · · Score: 1

      Why not? People have thought that flying cars are twenty years away since what, the '30s?

      --
      Space game using normal deck of cards: http://BattleCards.org
    87. Re:Not gonna happen by j_snare · · Score: 1

      I'm not so sure. As much as I enjoy having an OS I can fiddle with, I really think that the time for internet appliances has almost arrived.

      hardware will still need a software layer to GET to the internet, we refer to this layer as an operating system

      And the operating system still needs a software layer to get to the hardware. Considering that the OS is built on top of the BIOS, what's to say that they may not eventually add a little more to the BIOS so that you don't need an OS. Maybe put a web browser and basic network functionality in there, and you've got an appliance that can hook into all your apps online.

      As far as people thinking of computers as possessions and not services, all it takes is one simple appliance that takes care of itself, and allows someone to browse the internet, maybe has a link to all the relevant web applications. Provide it for a $10/month extra, or $20/month and it includes a light connection, maybe a small charge for the hardware "installation" (or sign up for a 2 year contract!). If it takes off, the home computer for most people as we know it will die out after 20 years or so.

    88. Re:Not gonna happen by MidnightBrewer · · Score: 1

      Depends on where you live. Here in Japan, broadband has already reached the necessary speed and reliability.

      --
      "Give a man fire, and he'll be warm for a day; set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life
    89. Re:Not gonna happen by vertinox · · Score: 1

      Do you believe people now when they say in 100 years you won't sit in front of computers anymore because they're wired into your neural system and use wireless power?

      Oh lets be a bit more imaginative.

      We probably won't "sit" in a front of a computer per say, but we could emulate whatever computer we ever wanted to be projected into our visual cortex even though we may be sitting at an empty desk.

      Heck... I could emulate everything from ENIAC, to Atari ST, Cray, or something more recent if I wanted to.

      I suppose if I was a collector of sorts I could could have the actual hardware, but due to repair and degradations of such systems, it would be better to emulate the computer rather than keep actual magnetic storage devices around.

      So yeah... In 100 years we won't need actual "computers" sitting on our desks. However, we could project whatever we feel like working with in our "Second Life" or whatever we are calling it then.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    90. Re:Not gonna happen by ccp · · Score: 1
      This kind of thing doesn't even have a chance until broadband is as ubiquitous and as reliable as electricity.I think that we're still a good 10 years out from this even beginning to happen.

      Well, for a lot of us it is so right now, and I'm talking about home, not only at work. I've been without connection maybe half an hour in three years.
      So, it's not like everybody's changing at once. Big news.

      And yes, once you become used to having always-on broadband you begin to transfer a lot of your activities to web apps, even without trying to do so.
      They're just convenient.
      I definitely see a trend, but, as always, YMMV.

      Cheers,
      CC
    91. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Excellent! I can see it now:

      woman-unit: "Stop browsing porn!"
      man-unit: "I'm not browsing porn! I'm EXERCISING! See? I'm losing weight even as we speak!"

    92. Re:Not gonna happen by aetherworld · · Score: 1

      Hi Boing, hi Airbus.

    93. Re:Not gonna happen by vertinox · · Score: 1

      What would have happened if you told the people in 1800 that in 1876 bell would invent a telephone which would make it possible to talk with everyone in the world. Would they have believed you? No.

      I forgot to reply to this part in my previous post...

      Better yet, explain to someone in 1906 (you know like 2006) that in 40 years (1946) we will have bombs that can destroy cities in one swoop, self guided rockets that can travel thousands of miles, jets that can almost break the sound barrier, and airplanes than can cross the Atlantic.

      Not to mention Autobahns, tanks, submarines, blood transfusions, TV, radar, and what else have you.

      Not to mention the amazing cryptography in electronics they have those days during WWII...

      So yeah, a lot of these technologies are far off, but keep in mind that we are about to see some amazing things in our life time.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    94. Re:Not gonna happen by Rhipf · · Score: 1

      This also ignores the fact that the computer will still need an OS just to connect to the network. I really doubt that computers will ever become complete dumb terminals.

    95. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not puttin' my lips on that.

    96. Re:Not gonna happen by LionKimbro · · Score: 1

      Yes, yes. Quite right.

    97. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But it probably will happen before M$ gets the next version of windows out the door.

    98. Re:Not gonna happen by jellomizer · · Score: 1

      Well in my area almost everyone who chooses to have internet normally has Road Runner by TimeWarner. Although I am not a big fan of TimeWarner, I really can't complain about the Road Runner Service. Compared to the Electrical Grid for the year. RR had 2 outages. EG had 8. One of the RR Outage was due to a large fire that burned the Cable Connection. The Power Grid goes down for what ever reason it feels fit. All in All I trust my Internet Connection more then the power grid. The only real issue to your statement is that there are spots in the USA that do not have Reliable Boadband but that is soon changing with MS taking 5 years for every new version. I can see Windows being obsolete when Vista life has ended.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    99. Re:Not gonna happen by jacem · · Score: 1

      I remember having this very conversation with Jebbadiah back in 18 aught 6.

      I think the real truth of articals like this is that the Open Source movement has really shown that the big OS and Software comapanies can't sustan themselves. I mentioned this on another down with M$ chat a few weeks ago. There really has not been any productivity ware innovation in over a decade that has gotten me excited.
      Most of them like clippy (do you remember clippy. I remember clippy ) have really just pissed me off. In 1991-92 my freashman non numerical computing term final project was to write a simple word proccesser with spell check. The hardest part was dealing with the screen. (we were band from using curses.)

      So with all of the graphics toolkits and widget libraries most modern word proccessors are little more than a text entry area and a lot of bloat.

      To throw some punches as linux. Tannenbaum wrote minix as a simple OS his students could poke at in class.

      Thats my incoherent rant

      JACEM

      --
      DOC Disinformation Obfuscation and Confusion
      The carrot to FUD's stick
    100. Re:Not gonna happen by vboulytchev · · Score: 1

      Completely agree... There will always be a RH 7.x box out there, just like an occasional Windows ME PC at your parents house. But the masses will generally move on to the better, and more stable systems. The only way you can guarantee that an OS will be around for a long time, is its stability. In the RH example, things are clear. But look how quickly people kicked ME out of the window. If users are offered a better solution, they will ditch their XP installations just as quick. Look at how popular Mac has gotten in the past few years

    101. Re:Not gonna happen by jonadab · · Score: 1

      > I think that we're still a good 10 years out from this even beginning to happen.

      Yeah, but do you really think Microsoft is going to be able to get Vista's successor done and otu the door in only ten years?

      --
      Cut that out, or I will ship you to Norilsk in a box.
    102. Re:Not gonna happen by jonadab · · Score: 1

      > "I'm guessing you're one of those 'glass is half empty' kinda guys"

      I'm one of those guys who doesn't believe the glass could really be half-full *or* half-empty, because how on earth would you really get it exactly halfway? It's almost certainly either a little more or a little less than halfway.

      We could assume for purposes of simplicity that the glass is half empty, but if you're going to do that you're in Physics Textbook World and might as well assume the glass is a point mass while you're at it.

      --
      Cut that out, or I will ship you to Norilsk in a box.
    103. Re:Not gonna happen by TonyTech · · Score: 1

      What is stopping a proliferation of home users running their own servers? 3 things: NAT, poor security, and asymmetric connections with poor upload rates.

      I've been running my own email server (Mercury) and web server (IIS) on WinXP Pro over a DSL connection with a dynamic IP behind a NAT router for years. I don't have any need or desire to put a fileserver out on the web where a lot of bandwidth would be required.

    104. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Me is the kind of the guy that says "What glass? there is no glass"

    105. Re:Not gonna happen by Kuros_overkill · · Score: 1

      I'm still waiting for my flying car

      http://www.moller.com/

    106. Re:Not gonna happen by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Humankind has come from arena fights with lions and bears to a super technological race in 2000 years.

      And used that technology to recreate those arena fights with special effects - ever watched "Rome" or "Gladiator" ?-) Or any action movie for that matter. We aren't really any different from a bloodthirsty Roman mob, we've just become good at making convincing fake blood. Kinda depressing, when you think of it...

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    107. Re:Not gonna happen by tehcyder · · Score: 1
      That's because they are not happy with you just buying Office, then want you to buy it every year. Greedy bastards.
      And why does this make Microsoft different from any other company?

      Car and TV manufacturers for instance would love you to buy a new model each year. I'm not saying that's good, but it's no different in principle from MS.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    108. Re:Not gonna happen by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      All of this "The Net IS the OS" stuff is just ridiculous. This kind of thing doesn't even have a chance until broadband is as ubiquitous and as reliable as electricity. I think that we're still a good 10 years out from this even beginning to happen.


      10 years? And the rest.
      Regardless of what the rest of the internet thinks, there are still going to be places where the internet doesn't reach because the people who own the connectivity have a real and definite need to not have people communicating without their control.
      To quote a previous supervisor of mine "I want to be able to walk up to that radio room with an axe, cut a cable, and know that no information is leaving this rig without me knowing about it." That's the phone system disconnected and under guard, mobile phones out of range of a network (in addition to being several hours flying time away, locked in a safe at the heliport), and radio transceivers issued on a need-to-use basis. Internet access is just an unnecessary luxury, and if it comes to a choice between internet access and information about the well leaking out, the internet link will get cut.
      Someone is going to bleat about "but I'll lose contact with my friends and family". Well that's fine - don't enter this business. Having to get a supervisor out of bed so that you can receive a call from the police informing you of a death in the family is nothing unusual (it's happened to me). "Leisure time" is fine - you can sleep, wank, eat, watch telly, play cards. And if you don't like the options, leave and don't collect your pay packet as the door hits you on the ass.
      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    109. Re:Not gonna happen by jonadab · · Score: 1

      Acrylic, polycarbonate, or whatever it's made from, I still say it's almost certainly either more or less than half full.

      --
      Cut that out, or I will ship you to Norilsk in a box.
    110. Re:Not gonna happen by GWBasic · · Score: 1
      All of this "The Net IS the OS" stuff is just ridiculous. This kind of thing doesn't even have a chance until broadband is as ubiquitous and as reliable as electricity. I think that we're still a good 10 years out from this even beginning to happen.

      Consider:

      • 10 years isn't a long time.
      • It took Microsoft 5 years to make Vista, which built upon more then 20 years of work with DOS & Windows

      Put simply, the best time to start moving toward "The Net IS the OS" is yesterday.

    111. Re:Not gonna happen by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Do you believe people now when they say in 100 years you won't sit in front of computers anymore because they're wired into your neural system and use wireless power? Or that we will have colonized several planets? :) Probably not...

      I don't think we'll have several colonized planets in 100 years. Is it possible, physically? Sure. But I don't think it'll happen (at least in 100 years) for the same reason that the movie "2001: A Space Odyssey" looks nothing like things really did in 2001. Humans just aren't very good at reaching their potential; they're too lazy, and governments are too corrupt and inept. We were on a small roll back in the 60s with our space program, but then we let it all go to pot with the idiotic Shuttle program (along with the stupid Vietnam War which wasted all our resources and disenchanted our people).

      Look at history. Humans had great technology and decent government back in Roman times, around 200 BC. But then they turned into an empire, the empire fell, and it took 1500 years to get back to a decent level of civilization again, and even longer to reach the same technological level. If humans hadn't screwed things up so bad 2000 years ago, we'd probably have reached our current level of technology back in 500 AD.

      Maybe in 2000 or 3000 years we'll have several colonized planets.

    112. Re:Not gonna happen by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      But what about 2000 years? Humankind has come from arena fights with lions and bears to a super technological race in 2000 years.

      You're badly representing things.

      2000 years ago, humankind was far more advanced than it was 1000 years ago. 2000 years ago (actually, a couple hundred years more), humans in Italy had aquaducts, running water, and one of the most important inventions of civilization: concrete. They also had democratic government (remember the Roman Senate?). Of course, they let this all go to pot and turned to Feudalism, totally forgot how to make concrete and aquaducts, started believing in witchcraft and other nonsense, and it took over 1000 years to get back to the same level of development. It wasn't that long ago that concrete was finally re-invented.

      As for arena fights, we still have them; check out "boxing", "professional wrestling", or "ultimate fighting". That part of humanity hasn't progressed at all.

    113. Re:Not gonna happen by aetherworld · · Score: 1
      You're badly representing things.


      I don't think so. Of course I omitted the "dark age" in order to simplify matters. But essentially it doesn't matter. If you look at the last 80.000 years for example, humanity did develop constantly. There will always be a few fallbacks but in the big picture it's going forward.
    114. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I'm still waiting for my flying car, but few people in the 1950's were talking about anything resembling the Internet."
      The point is, some people did. Remember Xanadu? And what about SAGE?

      Progress requires innovative minds to develop visionary ideas. Most of these ideas will fail, but a few of them will succeed, maybe even merge, and change our lifes. It's called evolution, and it has ruled progress since The Big Bang.

      So when Microsoft talks about the Internet as an OS, they just talk about one little sperm cell competing with millions of others. Whether it will be the one cell that survives the race and fertilizes the egg, only time can tell (i.e. a bunch of Slashdotters can't). But since Microsoft has a lot at stake, there is a fair chance that they have put a good deal of thought into the design of their particular cell.

      P.S. Apologies for the sperm metaphor.

    115. Re:Not gonna happen by Merusdraconis · · Score: 1

      Heh, if I knew that I wouldn't be telling people on Slashdot, I'd be out making megabuck$ from it.

    116. Re:Not gonna happen by abradsn · · Score: 1
      Okay, lets pick apart your arguments here.

      well the way i see it, is that we can read very little from the past. those acheologists talk so much crap about what actually happened but they have very little evidence to support it, in fact anything couldve happened.

      Not true. This is the mass media invoking its opinion on you so that you will believe anything. Indeed there are real facts and evidence that strongly support various viewpoints. Sometimes the evidence helps to completely eliminate the stupidest ideas entirely.
      It is true that there is little evidence from the past. However, it is still meaningful evidence and useful. For example modern genetics research helps scientists to know how animals have evolved and allows us to see which animals have a common ancestor.
      Before this revelation, predictions (about common ancestors for example) were made due to massive amounts of evidence. Now we have emperical data to make the result difinitive.

      we could have went through several iterations of technological epochs like the one were enjoying now, with out a shred of evidence that it even existed, look at the pyramids and such, they say that they were built with brute strength, piling dirt underneath those massive monoliths to raise them. ok maybe so, but maybe not.

      Actually not. There hasn't been enough time for humanity to accomplish that. And if I were wrong about that, then there would be evidence of it. Metal work, stone work, plastic, silicon or any other refined material at all. So far nothing except clay... and so far we have found 65 million year old fossils. So ... chance of this multiple epoch scenario you speak of ... 1.0 * 10^-10000000 percent. To be fair, the chance that we have lost useful technology over the years is %100.

      there isnt even any concrete proof that we are evolved from primates, as far as im concerned we may be evolved from pigs, or whales or whatever, or perhaps they evolved from us.

      Actually, the evidence points to a common ancestor. And yes there is a mountain of evidence supporting it.

      the only reason we think that humanity has only been around 50k years is because thats what fossil evidence remains, well look at new york city for instance, how much fossil evidence remains that people lived there in 1850. i mean large lasting structures, that will tell the people of 52006 that there were people there in 1850.

      The aluminum super structures and the piles of iron dust, perhaps stainless steel, and burried glass. Cement with rebar in it... (burried of course). Giant stone monuments, and buildings constructed out of 6 foot concrete walls. The aluminum blocks from cars. Underground subway systems. Insulated wiring.

      as far as im concerned we could be far more ancient as a race than we give ourselves credit. we live a very short time in the grand scheme of things, and keep very poor records. look at how fast other animals adapt, 50k years ago, we were probably so much different we wouldnt even recognize our ancestors fossils if we found them.

      This is only true if we indeed came from another planet. But the evidence is strongly against that. The evidence shows that we evolved here.

      there were probably millions of species that existed that didnt leave a shred of evidence that they ever lived. then there are people who think we came here from venus or mars, thats just as likely as well. it makes alot more sense to me than that we descended from apes. thing is about evolution is this, if the mutation makes the creature better suited for survival, it will compete with the old version and completely replace it, and so on. so why are there apes remaining? wouldnt we have replaced them before becoming so different that we couldnt reproduce? its all a crock of shit.

      This is a common theological misconception about the

    117. Re:Not gonna happen by abradsn · · Score: 1

      Every 10 years or so, this estimate basically doubles. If it holds this time for more than 10 years, then I'll be impressed.

    118. Re:Not gonna happen by snarfbot · · Score: 0
      well now.

      This is the mass media invoking its opinion on you so that you will believe anything.

      by mass media i suppose you mean, the life of brian or something? however i picked up most of these theories here and there on some type of media so conceeded.

      however this evidence can be interpreted to mean whatever anyone wants it to mean, to say that the amount of radioactive carbon isotope 14 in the fossils for instance indicates age, compared current life, but that comparison depends upon other factors, maybe the atmosphere was thinner and these fossils absorbed far more cosmic radiation than we do now. that would skew the results. my point is is that most of these theorys depend upon the results of other theories and so on. like a game of telephone, where each calculation is based upon the result of another, and the final result having little value or accuracy.

      The aluminum super structures and the piles of iron dust, perhaps stainless steel, and burried glass. Cement with rebar in it... (burried of course). Giant stone monuments, and buildings constructed out of 6 foot concrete walls. The aluminum blocks from cars. Underground subway systems. Insulated wiring.

      well even if there was anything left first off it would probably be discovered long before it could be identified. second even if someone did think it odd enough to make note of it, very little recorded information would survive to the time when they would be able to make sense of it. and they would probably just melt it and reuse it, or somehow recycle it, without thinking about it. like the ancient romans destroying cities and rebuilding them, or tearing down an old building and reusing the materials.

      and as for the analogy with ants, well ants arent even programmed to build ant hills, they just have a few basic functions and respond to a stimulus, and the ant hills just occur as a side effect. they dont deliberately set out to make them. there might not be a practical difference anyway.

      but then you have to consider if we as humans are just elaborate biological machines responding chaotically to stimulus, which over time appears to have some pattern which we cling to and call our soul.

      ants compared to humans, is a poor comparison anyway.

      the point i was trying to make is that its almost impossible to tell what happened anywhere before recorded history. and our ability to keep records longer than a couple thousand years is almost impossible as well, languages change, civilizations rise and fall. records are interpreted as fictin, parables.
  2. "Last of its kind"? Fooey by Scareduck · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If by that they mean software-as-a-service, well, good luck to them. I have no desire whatsoever to be forced into downloading their product whenever I need it, or authenticating myself to Redmond when I want to open a spreadsheet.

    --

    Dog is my co-pilot.

    1. Re:"Last of its kind"? Fooey by nametaken · · Score: 1

      We've already had a sickening number of discussions about how people just click OK to everything anyways.

      When the IT staff "deploys" a new app by just making a shortcut, never really has to admin anything except the building connectivity, and the user doesn't even see an OK box, all authentication is once-off... shit, it almost sounds perfect.

      I think you and i are a tiny minority about using something like an MS app online.

    2. Re:"Last of its kind"? Fooey by KingMotley · · Score: 1

      I think it'd be great for software as a service. I wouldn't mind paying to use Excel for 30 minutes a week (I don't do much spreadsheet work, but when I do, I prefer Excel over something like MS Works). Go ahead, charge me $2.00.

  3. deja vu? by ILuvRamen · · Score: 0, Troll

    wasn't a story by that exact title and pretty much identical posted a couple months ago? Anyway, all they have to do is design good security then design fancy features around it instead of the other way around where their marketing or possibly just "the dumbass department" desides to add in a features and just tells the security people to make it work. Either that or just stick with Vista and patch it until it works even if it takes a decade.

    --
    Google's Super Secret Search Algorithm: SELECT @search_results FROM internet WHERE @search_results = 'good'
    1. Re:deja vu? by alphasubzero949 · · Score: 2, Informative

      wasn't a story by that exact title and pretty much identical posted a couple months ago?

      Yup.

  4. Microsoft suck by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Their profitable OS and office software is now replacable with zero price commodity product. What else is there?

    If the DOJ had split the company in 2001, they wouldn't have a warchest of billions to continue damaging the industry as they fight their way into irrelevance. Now that the Democrats have the house, they should be asking why MS was let off so lightly by the Bush regime.

    1. Re:Microsoft suck by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If Microsoft had been split by the DOJ, it actually seems more likely to me that they'd have even more money. Sustaining big money losers like xbox and msn would not longer be possible. We'd probably be left with an Office company and a Windows company both with huge profits.

    2. Re:Microsoft suck by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Sustaining big money losers like xbox and msn would not longer be possible.

      Exactly.


      We'd probably be left with an Office company and a Windows company both with huge profits.

      What's wrong with huge profits?



      Microsoft knows it can't retreat to focus on it's core products, they're desperate to expand into other markets. We all know how MS do business and we all know how it's going to play out. I'd rather see 2 companies compete in the changing marketplace than witness one panicked, destructive monopoly.

  5. I have a hard time believing claims like this by porkThreeWays · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I have a really hard time believing any claims like this. As far as I can remember everyone (on both sides) has claimed that this one will be different. That it will either be the greatest windows release ever or the worst. And everytime it's somewhere in the middle. Every release of windows since windows 95 has been marginally better. Tack on service packs and updates. Release next version that's marginally better and different than the last service pack of the previous release. The next version of windows probably will be more modular, but I don't think it will be radically different than the final service pack of Vista.

    --
    If an officer ever threatens to taze you, say you have a pacemaker.
    1. Re:I have a hard time believing claims like this by theLOUDroom · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Every release of windows since windows 95 has been marginally better.

      What about Windows ME?

      I think you'd find a lot of people disagreeing with you on that one.

      --
      Life is too short to proofread.
    2. Re:I have a hard time believing claims like this by nine-times · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You're right. Microsoft has been talking about taking a radical new approach ever since Windows 95, which actually was a radical change from Windows 3.1. I remember when Windows 2000 was going to have a totally different interface, filesystem, etc. Little by little, news came out that the more radical changes were going to be pushed out until the next version, and Windows 2000 would focus on transitioning to the NT kernel. Same with XP, and same with Vista.

      You want to know, what? I don't think it's the worst thing. Really, I love it when someone comes up with something incredible and revolutionary and new, but incremental improvements are good too. Just so long as the improvements are real and helpful. It helps is the cost of upgrade is proportionate to the usefulness of the improvements.

    3. Re:I have a hard time believing claims like this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
      It helps is the cost of upgrade is proportionate to the usefulness of the improvements.

      Vista Ultimate full retail will be over 300 pounds in the UK. At that price I'd expect it to felate me, not bend me over the DRM barrel.

    4. Re:I have a hard time believing claims like this by Exatron · · Score: 1

      Every release of windows since windows 95 has been marginally better.
      Even Windows ME?

      --
      "I think so, Brain, but 'instant karma' always gets so lumpy." - Pinky
      "Decepticons FOREVER!!!" - Ravage
    5. Re:I have a hard time believing claims like this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Windows ME was not a step backwards. It was actually a worthwhile step forwards from Windows 98. The downside of course is that it was the end of life product for the crappy Win9x tree. By that time, anyone with a clue had already moved to the Windows NT tree.

      Windows 9x tree:

        1992: Windows 3.1
        1993: Windows 3.11
        1995: Windows 95 (4.0.950)
        1996: Windows 95A/SR1 (4.0.950A) +IE 2.0, +FAT32
        1996: Windows 95B/SR2 (4.0.1111) +IE 3.0
        1996: Windows 95B/SR2.1 (4.0.1212) +USB
        1997: Windows 95C/SR2.5 (4.0.1214) +IE 4.0
        1998: Windows 98 (4.10.1998)
        1999: Windows 98 SE (4.10.2222) +IE 5.0
        2000: Windows ME (4.90.3000) +IE 5.5, +WMP 7.0, +UPnP
        </LIFE>

      Windows NT tree:

        1993: Windows NT 3.1 +"Windows 3.x look and feel"
        1994: Windows NT 3.5
        1995: Windows NT 3.51
        1996: Windows NT 4.0, /SP1, and /SP2 +"Windows95 look and feel"
        1997: Windows NT 4.0/SP3
        1998: Windows NT 4.0/SP4
        1999: Windows NT 4.0/SP5 and /SP6
        2000: Windows 2000 (NT 5.0) +"Windows98 look and feel"
        2001: Windows XP (NT 5.1) +"Windows ME look and feel"

    6. Re:I have a hard time believing claims like this by theLOUDroom · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Windows ME was not a step backwards. It was actually a worthwhile step forwards from Windows 98.

      I disagree. Many people out there, given the choice between either win98 or winME would gladly choose 98. There are a variety of reasons, but they pretty much boil down to winME being an unstable POS.
      Perhaps this is because MS realized they was no future for that branch, but it doesn't change the bottom line that winME was an "upgrade" you were better off without.

      --
      Life is too short to proofread.
    7. Re:I have a hard time believing claims like this by TempeTerra · · Score: 1

      Although I'm a CS graduate, I found Windows ME to be a superior home user product to 98SE. It booted faster and had thumbnail previews in explorer. If you only use your computer to play games, browse the web and store your digital photos that's a bonus.

      I'm not saying that it wasn't craptacular in many ways, but for a lot of users it wasn't entirely without merit.

      --
      .evom ton seod gis eht
    8. Re:I have a hard time believing claims like this by geobeck · · Score: 1

      As far as I can remember everyone (on both sides) has claimed that this one will be different. That it will either be the greatest windows release ever...

      But this time it will be different! This time, the new OS will be completely ready for Web Two Point Oh(TM)! The new version of Windows, after Vista, will be Windows Two Point--

      Oh. Um. Yeah. Ok, forget I mentioned it.

      --
      Find environmentally and socially responsible products on http://buy-right.net
    9. Re:I have a hard time believing claims like this by jb.hl.com · · Score: 0, Redundant

      ME WAS marginally better than Win98.

      It was also monumentally worse in many different ways.

      --
      By summer it was all gone...now shesmovedon. --
    10. Re:I have a hard time believing claims like this by MojoStan · · Score: 1
      Many people out there, given the choice between either win98 or winME would gladly choose 98. There are a variety of reasons, but they pretty much boil down to winME being an unstable POS.
      There are also a variety of reasons to choose WinME, among them being features Win98 didn't have like System Restore, Windows Image Aquisition, and Windows Movie Maker (which were later added to WinXP). Why can't people accept the fact that some people benefited from these new features and didn't have considerably worse stability compared to Win98 (especially when the OS was tested and preinstalled by HP or Dell). Of course, for others (especially those upgrading older/untested computers) their loss of stability outweighed any useful new features.

      Microsoft's big mistake was releasing WinME as a retail/upgrade product. It should have been an OEM-only product.

      --
      TO START
      PRESS ANY KEY

      Where's the 'ANY' key? I see Esk, Kitarl, and Pig-Up...

    11. Re:I have a hard time believing claims like this by theLOUDroom · · Score: 1

      Why can't people accept the fact that some people benefited from these new features and didn't have considerably worse stability compared to Win98

      Perhaps because that's not a fact, it is merely your opinion and runs counter to the opinion of everyone I know and trust who has had actual experience with winME.

      Microsoft's big mistake was releasing WinME as a retail/upgrade product. It should have been an OEM-only product.

      Why? You make the implication that it was so buggy and unstable that only large OEM vendors could hope to keep it from crashing like Ted Kennedy with a liquor IV on a crotch rocket. Somehow this doesn't mean that it didn't have "considerably worse" stability? Yeah right.

      --
      Life is too short to proofread.
  6. I love my desktop by jfclavette · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Yeah, the internet is cool. Yadda Yadda. Standalone computers/OSes are a thing of the past and dumb-terminals/browsers/web services are going to kill them. I've heard that back in '95. At the end of the day I still prefer desktop apps for anything I do even remotely often. Graphics intensive games will always run on the desktop. If PC games get killed in favour of game consoles, then we've just switched to a different kind of desktop. Wake me up when it happens; I suspect I'll be long dead.

    1. Re:I love my desktop by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

      "Standalone computers/OSes are a thing of the past and dumb-terminals/browsers/web services are going to kill them."

      I've heard that back in '75...

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
  7. Its only the begining by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    its the begining of the end

  8. millions of lines of code? by erbbysam · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Vista's 50 million lines of code have cost an estimated $7.5 billion to assemble. I think that this is getting to a point where as the number of lines grow, there's a limit to the manpower that can be applied to make it secure, or even write it in the first place that is still profitable to the company.

    1. Re:millions of lines of code? by thc69 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Uh-oh...time to change my machine to run VMS, then. Linux is catching up to Windows, according to http://www.dwheeler.com/sloc/ which says of RedHat 7.1: "It includes over 30 million physical source lines of code (SLOC)."

      It also says: "They found that Debian 2.2 includes more than 55 million physical SLOC", and "Debian 3.1 ("Sarge") had grown to about 230 million source lines of code".

      And for other Windows versions: "Windows NT 5.0 (in 2000) was 20M SLOC, Windows 2000 (in 2001) was 35M SLOC, and Windows XP (in 2002) was 40M SLOC".

      Finally, it links to a Dilbert strip that describes other types of security vulnerabilities: http://www.unitedmedia.com/comics/dilbert/

      --
      Procrastination -- because good things come to those who wait.
    2. Re:millions of lines of code? by thc69 · · Score: 1
      Finally, it links to a Dilbert strip that describes other types of security vulnerabilities: http://www.unitedmedia.com/comics/dilbert/
      Er, well, actually, that link was to today's strip. I don't know why the link was described on the page as the August 26, 2003 strip. Today's strip is coincidentally relevant, though.
      --
      Procrastination -- because good things come to those who wait.
    3. Re:millions of lines of code? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1
      Netcraft confirms it - the OS is dead.

      Not very likely in general. Hell, my apps would work better with faster FSB and memory, Internet bandwith isn't even close. That said, there is probably some business case for a Joe Sixpack Internet Machine (JSIM) that boots something little and safe (obviously some form of linux....), Does email, browsing, games, wordprocessing, etc on the net and has some form of secure, encrypted net storage. The Googlebox.

      Not everybody spends their entire life doing email and web browsing. 3D graphics apps are not running on broadband in our lifetime.

      And I will keep my data to myself, thank you very much.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    4. Re:millions of lines of code? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Uh-oh...time to change my machine to run VMS, then. Linux is catching up to Windows, according to http://www.dwheeler.com/sloc/ which says of RedHat 7.1: "It includes over 30 million physical source lines of code (SLOC)." That article you are quoting from is including many things above and beyond the Linux kernel in it. I just download the 2.6.19 kernel and found that it contained at the most 26840 source files (C and assembly files) with a total of 12,982,514 SLOC. This includes ALL the architectures and drivers -- FAR more support than the Windows kernel provides. That 13 million lines were not stripped for comments and blank lines, so the real SLOC is probably closer to 10 million.
    5. Re:millions of lines of code? by Jerf · · Score: 1

      You are aware that "Debian Sarge", for instance, contains pretty much every bit of functionality a person could want? Whereas "Windows NT" contains... an operating system and a few crappy, useless apps?

      Your attempted comparison goes the wrong way; your own shows the OS in Windows is as large as entire Linux distributions, albeit old ones. And who installs and uses every program in a Linux distribution, anyhow?

      Your better comparision is something like "Linux Kernel + X11 + some simple window manager" vs "Windows NT".

      You pretty much can't compare a fully-loaded Windows system to a full Linux distribution because I don't think you can install all those programs onto one box anymore without the DRM and copy protection and virus checker and explorer extensions and programs that preload huge chunks of themselves at startup and all kinds of other anti-social behaviors basically destroying the Windows system.

    6. Re:millions of lines of code? by IWannaBeAnAC · · Score: 1

      A linux distribution contains much more than the operating system kernel, though. If you want to compare, take a typical Windows install, add Office, add some security tools, add some games, etc etc.

      The point is, take any 50M SLOC subset of a linux distro, and compare the complexity in terms of the number of interdependencies, with the Windows codebase (or Office, or any other MS software). The comparison would be similar to a subway system versus the space shuttle. Which one is more reliable?

    7. Re:millions of lines of code? by ATMosby · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So instead of building Windos Vista, Bill Gates could have funded the first and second Mars expeditions?

      LOL

    8. Re:millions of lines of code? by killjoe · · Score: 2

      It's interesting how your comparison of debian (linux + 3000 apps) to the bare install of windows codebase has been modded up to four despite being misleading and or ignorant.

      --
      evil is as evil does
    9. Re:millions of lines of code? by thc69 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The mods read between the lines to see my point, which was reiterated by every reply so far, all of which thought they were arguing against me.

      My point, which was obvious to nearly everybody who didn't reply, was that the post about lines of code was a rather shallow way to look at it and that there's definitely more to it.

      --
      Procrastination -- because good things come to those who wait.
    10. Re:millions of lines of code? by IWannaBeAnAC · · Score: 1

      We were arguing against you. Now you say you were being sarcastic? To differentiate 'sarcasm' from 'clueless', you need to do better than that! The 'interesting' mods are justified, because your post is interesting. Not because the mods somehow read between the lines to somehow divine a point that you didn't make.

    11. Re:millions of lines of code? by IWannaBeAnAC · · Score: 1

      And he would surely have thrown in the software to run the spacecraft, for free!

    12. Re:millions of lines of code? by killjoe · · Score: 1

      No the mods upmodded you because antything pro MS gets a lot of upmods.

      --
      evil is as evil does
    13. Re:millions of lines of code? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They could just shrink it down to one line. One...very long line...

    14. Re:millions of lines of code? by king-manic · · Score: 1

      You are aware that "Debian Sarge", for instance, contains pretty much every bit of functionality a person could want?

      You mean it comes with WOW?

      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    15. Re:millions of lines of code? by thc69 · · Score: 1

      I wasn't being sarcastic, as such. I saw a post oversimplifying the matter. I responded in kind, to point out that it was oversimplified. A demonstration is usually an effective way to make a point. I figured I didn't need to spell it out for folks like you who are endowed with less intelligence.

      Allow me to ease your mind: You don't have to worry, I wouldn't switch from Linux to VMS even if it was possible.

      --
      Procrastination -- because good things come to those who wait.
    16. Re:millions of lines of code? by GauteL · · Score: 1

      The "30 million physical lines" included a massive amount of code that is totally separate from the operating system and is not maintained and developed by Red Hat or Debian. They simply package them (and sometimes patch them).

      Each Linux distribution is the product of a combination of lots of independent and desentralised software groups. Yes, Microsoft consists of lots of departments operating semi-independently, but Red Hat does not have to pay for the efforts of these software groups.

      Desentralisation is normally the way to handle complexity.

    17. Re:millions of lines of code? by yuna49 · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I guess I'm underpaid. That works out to $150 per line. I'm happy making $150-200 per hour.

  9. I don't see an internet OS as the future by maetenloch · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There's a lot that Microsoft can learn from Google, but I just don't see Google competing with Microsoft at the OS level, especially with an OS based off the internet. Ulimately you need code executing on a local processor and here there are already several established competitors. Even if most applications are pulled from the network, there still are issues of performance, latency, and security. Plus not every system is always connected to a network. I can see Google possibly competing sucessfully with MS Office products, but not as an OS.

  10. Internet = OS? I think not by Rah'Dick · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Ok, they're pushing "software as a service" now everywhere. They already call upon the "end of operating systems", but I'm asking myself: if they say, the internet IS the OS, what will the internet run on? I don't think Microsoft will switch over to Linux. Or they could build an "OS" that is solely a web browser. IE-OS, anyone?

    If this software-as-a-service thing is going to be big in the future, what would they say if anyone would dig up an old machine from this era and find out, that it runs all of it's software without a net connection... Hell, it even BOOTS UP without internet! Awesome stuff, not?

    1. Re:Internet = OS? I think not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      IE-OS, anyone?

      Does it come with popup ads, rootkits and spam-relaying malware out of the box, or do I have to browse porn sites for five minutes before those features are activated?

    2. Re:Internet = OS? I think not by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      if they say, the internet IS the OS, what will the internet run on?

            Skynet? ;)

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  11. "Last of its kind"? Fooey-Ironing Boards. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "If by that they mean software-as-a-service, well, good luck to them. I have no desire whatsoever to be forced into downloading their product whenever I need it, or authenticating myself to Redmond when I want to open a spreadsheet."

    Steam.

    ---
    "Slashdot requires you to wait between each successful posting of a comment to allow everyone a fair chance at posting a comment."

    Which logged in people don't have to observe, so who are you fooling Taco?

    1. Re:"Last of its kind"? Fooey-Ironing Boards. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's a difference. Steam is designed for *games*. If I can't authenticate to steam for some reason I lose almost nothing.

      However, if I can't authenticate to a server that holds my accounts (or some other critical process), I am losing money.

    2. Re:"Last of its kind"? Fooey-Ironing Boards. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure. Good example.

      It is the sole reason I haven't bought Half Life 2.

      I'd rather keep playing the original Half Life or other games that don't shackle me to the vagaries of my network connection and fallible license validation.

      And that's just for a game -- non-critical stuff. For an OS to run the system at all? No @!$@# way. I'm not handing a company the software ability to remotely and temporarily turn my hardware into a useless brick, no matter how supposedly infallible the technique is. I'll buy a more reliable product without such a "feature".

    3. Re:"Last of its kind"? Fooey-Ironing Boards. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Steam.

      Ah yes, the reason I will never touch anything HL2 related again for a long time if ever. The thing was such a massive hassle to get running and installing HL2 took so damn long (yay its updating again, yay decrypting) it's not even funny. Let me put it bluntly: it'd have been faster and easier for me to download a cracked version than it was to install the original (and I was sorely tempted to do just that).

    4. Re:"Last of its kind"? Fooey-Ironing Boards. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even as a dead body i wouldn't touch the crappy Steam.

  12. After Vista, Windows will die by WilliamSChips · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Not even Microsoft has the resources to continue the desktop Windows line. The costs are ballooning.

    --
    Please, for the good of Humanity, vote Obama.
    1. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by N7DR · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Maybe I'm simple-minded.

      1. Compare XP and KDE on Linux circa 2001.
      2. Compare XP and KDE on Linux in 2006.
      3. Compare expectations for Vista and KDE 4 on Linux in late 2007.
      4. Extrapolate the relative improvements in Windows and KDE and Linux to 2010.

      I don't care what resources Redmond has. They simply cannot compete with a bunch of determined individuals. No one can. It's just a matter of time.

      KDE 4 running on Windows will probably speed things up, but even without it, Windows' days are truly numbered. The people at MS aren't stupid. They know this, which is why they've started fighting Linux more coherently this past year. They must be very, very worried about what Microsoft is going to look like 10 years from now. Any sensible person in their position would be.

    2. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by CaymanIslandCarpedie · · Score: 1

      Not even Microsoft has the resources to continue the desktop Windows line. The costs are ballooning.

      Yet it does still generate billions of profit every year. Higher costs certainly are the goal but even if a product costs 10 trillion to produce, as long revenue from the product exceeds that amount the company will be happy to continue it until they can find another method which will promise even more profit.

      --
      "reality has a well-known liberal bias" - Steven Colbert
    3. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by kmkz · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well Vista took $7.5 Billion to make. Windows XP made over $10 Billion last year ALONE. I can assure you that if Vista sells anywhere near the number of units that XP sold then Microsoft will still be rolling in cash. Everyone needs an OS, and if they supply it people will buy it.

    4. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by goldenratiophi · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I'm cruel.

      1. Compare Windows and BeOS circa 1991.
      2. Compare Windows and BeOS in 2001.
      3. Compare expectations for Vista and BeOS in late 2007.
      4. Extrapolate the relative improvements in Windows and BeOS to 2010. ====> BeOS is the winner!

    5. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by witte · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You all do realize what this means, right ? We are in serious shitcreek country here !
      Allow me to elaborate with events yet to happen :

      After trying to build a new, improved, secure OS, Microsoft slumps over and dies, suffocating on cancelled features (that no doubt would have "improved my productivity"), trying to compete with a fabled Google OS.

      One year on, we each get to maintain about 400 old Vista boxen at families and friends, that will be trojanbait faster than you can say "zero day exploit".

      Frustrated, we switch them over to linux which is a pain to support cause it's cruel and unusual for your average windows user to endure - the phone calls will pour in like headshots in a haxored counterstrike game, because people can't find Clippy in OpenOffice.

      In time we will look back at patch tuesdays as festive events, and burn our FSF membership cards. ThinkGeek will feature "Security thru Obscurity" T-shirts.
      Referring to linux will be regarded as thoughtcrime and result in in a trip to the Ministry of Love, and in the end we will have always been at war with eurasia.

      Let the Great Suffering begin. Thanks a lot, Google.

    6. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by Jerf · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'll accept your analogy when the company that owns all the source to KDE goes under and takes the source with it.

      I'm going to go out on a limb and guess that's somewhat unlikely.

      (Don't debate with analogies. A single relevant difference is enough to invalidate your argument. And this single relevant difference was a doozie. Also, it was obvious.)

    7. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm even more cruel.

      1) BeOS was mildly interesting when it came out. Had no multi-user support, but BeOS users considered that a feature apparently.
      2) Get over it, for fuck's sake. Everyone else has, except other BeOS losers.

    8. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by hitmanWilly1337 · · Score: 1

      Thats why OSS will eventually take over. You have a huge pool of coders and software engineers inputing changes into the code. Distributed development is the way of the future. Who cares if u have 30 million lines of code when you've got 3 million developers?

    9. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by strider44 · · Score: 1

      Considering that Trolltech (the owner of the QT source) has an agreement that QT goes under a BSD license if anything major happens - it's pretty unlikely that KDE will fall anytime soon.

    10. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by NorbrookC · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I don't care what resources Redmond has. They simply cannot compete with a bunch of determined individuals. No one can. It's just a matter of time.

      CP/M. DR-DOS. Amiga. BeOS. Ring any bells? No? A small selection of the OS's that were from groups of determined individuals and companies that were supposed to be major competition for an MS operating system. Somehow, Microsoft outcompeted them. Crushed, rended, destroyed. Remnant development and fond memories are pretty much what's left. What you just said constitutes wishful thinking, but based on past experience, that's all it is,

      I'd love it if Linux ever got its act together for a home-user, regular desktop with the ease of set up and use that, for the most part, MS has. Yes, every time they release a new OS, there's the round of stories about the security holes, the lack of drivers, etc. Yes, they're true, but in general they're solved pretty quickly. I have yet to have a Linux distro that hasn't given me some headache above and beyond that. It's never the same headache, either. Try this distro - why doesn't my mouse work? Try this other one - the mouse works, but why are my full graphics gone? Try another one - OK, the mouse and graphics work, but why can't it see the network card that the other two did? These were three different distros in the same generation. I was able to figure it out, and get them working, but it was a pain in the butt. Now put yourself in a home user's place, when you're trying Linux out for the first time. What about when you have have to apply patches, or install new software? You running Debian or Fedora? "Huh? I got Linux, not whatever you said."

      I like Linux a lot. I've seen drastic improvements over the past decade in ease of installation, hardware support, and applications. I no longer have to know (most of the time) the frequency of my monitor for example. I can actually use a USB port. I use it for a solid majority of my computing. That said, I also recognize what MS does well, and what Linux needs to improve on. Hopefully it will, but it isn't there yet. The other things that needs to happen are to a) break the "MS Tax" on computers (unlikely, but hope springs eternal); and b) get behind the LSB, which has been talked about seemingly forever, so that some things "just work" on any distro!

    11. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by bcrowell · · Score: 2, Informative
      I wish I was as optimistic as you are. Some factors working against us:
      1. Installing an OS is way too hard for most people, and MS has monopolistic deals with hardware comanies to keep them from preinstalling anything but Windows.
      2. People have their data locked up in proprietary file formats, which can't be easily migrated to Linux and OSS.
      3. The cost of Windows is hidden in the cost of the machine, so people don't even get presented with a price tag for $300. They don't realize that $300 of the purchase price for the machine was for Windows, and in any case, most people probably wouldn't consider that an unreasonable amount of money to pay for it.
    12. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by drsmithy · · Score: 2

      Extrapolate the relative improvements in Windows and KDE and Linux to 2010.

      You assume the rate of improvements will remain constant. A shaky assumption at best.

    13. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You sound like you are makeing stuff up, unless you are talking about random linux distros then I could see the problems you are describing. From my experince Ubuntu handles all of the above flawlesslly on just about any computer. Ubuntu dose "just work". I have personlly had members of my familly not relize the computer was no longer runing windows. Linux can "just work" now, it's only a matter of spreading the word.

    14. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by CatOne · · Score: 0, Troll

      Compare Windows and Linux with KDE on a Laptop. Try things like authenticating to a network that uses WPA for encryption. Try things like getting reliable suspend/resume and other power options.

      Now that you've revealed Linux for the turd that it is on a laptop... go back to Windows. Or better yet, buy a Mac, and get the only UNIX that runs well on a laptop.

    15. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 1

      I don't care what resources Redmond has. They simply cannot compete with a bunch of determined individuals. No one can. It's just a matter of time.

      I'm sure I'll get modded down for raining on the parade, but MS has a *lot* of developers, and I'll bet that as a result more man-hours are spent on windows than on KDE. This is one of the issues facing the open source development community going forward: while the notion of having this community built thing is great, most big projects aren't. There is a rather small group of developers, and for many projects, their time is sponsored by a corporation (like, say, Sun) that has a stake in the project's success. So to say that KDE has to succeed because of the hordes of developer volunteers out there, probably not.

      This of course ignores the more basic fallacy of the "mythical man month," as the amount of raw resources isn't always that important. Behemoth corporations are often killed by a more nimble opponent they can't catch. But to use the argument that KDE will win because there are more volunteers...it's a very unlikely proposition.

      Personally I can't stand windows, and won't use it. But last I checked, KDE was still buggy and very cluttered. I use fluxbox, but I haven't tried the latest KDE so I'll eventually check it out.

    16. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by Blue+Fox+USA · · Score: 1

      Do we really want to go back to DOS-on-a-chip and the TRS-80? If there's no OS, everyone can buy a gaming console with an "office productivity" disc. I like the PC culture. If they want to go to net based apps or gaming console pc's, I'm happy to be left behind.

    17. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by Whiney+Mac+Fanboy · · Score: 1

      GrandParent: Extrapolate the relative improvements in Windows and KDE and Linux to 2010.

      Parent: You assume the rate of improvements will remain constant. A shaky assumption at best.

      Hmmmmn, maybe the GP should have said:

      Extrapolate the relative improvements in Windows and KDE and Linux to 2010, assuming MS's rate of development slows down.

      Better?

      --
      There are shills on slashdot. Apparently, I'm one of them.
    18. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by wellingj · · Score: 1

      I run Linux on my Laptop. I don't recall it ever being a turd.
      And as far as I know yes, Mac OSX is the only UNIX that runs on a laptop...
      But Unix is Unix...Linux is Linux... POSIX they both may be...

    19. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by BokLM · · Score: 1

      They must be very, very worried about what Microsoft is going to look like 10 years from now.

      Maybe that's the reason why Bill Gates decided to leave :)

    20. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by BokLM · · Score: 1

      CP/M. DR-DOS. Amiga. BeOS. Ring any bells? No? A small selection of the OS's that were from groups of determined individuals and companies that were supposed to be major competition for an MS operating system. Somehow, Microsoft outcompeted them. Crushed, rended, destroyed. Remnant development and fond memories are pretty much what's left. What you just said constitutes wishful thinking, but based on past experience, that's all it is,

      Internet was not what it is today. The internet is what allows people to develop Linux so efficiently.

      Companies like Microsoft had a chance before the internet, but today they have to do open source if they want to be successful.

    21. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by olman · · Score: 1

      The cost of Windows is hidden in the cost of the machine, so people don't even get presented with a price tag for $300. They don't realize that $300 of the purchase price for the machine was for Windows, and in any case, most people probably wouldn't consider that an unreasonable amount of money to pay for it.

      Ha-ha.

      Bulk OEM licence is, what, more like $39.95?

    22. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by NorbrookC · · Score: 1

      From my experince Ubuntu handles all of the above flawlesslly on just about any computer.

      No, I didn't make any of that up, and the network card issue was a little known distro called "Ubuntu" (edgy). It turned out that the ndiswrapper needed to be updated, and a port scan added to the config. I had zero problems with this card in Fedora, Puppy, and DSL.

      That's just one example. Right now on another board, a couple of us are walking (and learning some things ourselves) others through the process of getting their Ubuntu to use media links, play music, and so on. Yes, it can be done, and it works. But the common refrain I'm seeing is "gee, this was so simple to do in Windows!" Until I don't see that from someone starting off in a Linux distro, I won't be the one saying "Oh, Linux is easy, no problems to install and get up and running, does everything Windows does and better." I'd like to, though.

    23. Re:After Vista, Windows will die by shaneh0 · · Score: 1

      First, it doesn't matter what your COSTS are. It only matters what your PROFITS are. As long as Windows still makes big PROFITS, it's not going anywhere.

      Second, most OSS is developed not by a confederation of independent-minded developers working in concert to advance a common idea. Most OSS is developed by professional developers being paid to develop it.

      Third, Operating Systems don't survive in the wild based on their merits. They survive based on their momentum. Do you think that nobody could dream-up a better Unix? I'm sure they could. But do you think all of a sudden that every mainframe, etc, would just switch because 'it's better?'. It's a FANTASY to think that KDE or ABC or PDQ or XYZ or anything else will replace Windows. Windows begets windows. It's not monopolistic: the same would be true if Ghandi was the Chairman of the Board. People just like what they're comfortable with.

      Windows is an interface to a complex world. It would be like changing the way a car functions. A lot of people have spent a lot of time and a lot of money training how to use something. That has a value. People aren't going to just throw it away.

      Fourth, I've seen Microsoft engineers recently blogging about this concept. The general crux is simple: The weight of a Windows release is its bloat cause by its need for backwards compatibility. Their solution is that each new version of windows is not backwards compatitable. That they'd spend NO TIME AT ALL trying for this. Instead, each install of, say, Vista2, would include a VM. That VM would be capable of running versions of Vista, XP, 2000, 98, 95, etc, that are installed with the OS. So when you click on an app that requires XP, a VM launches with XP in it, and the program is run in that context. I'm inclined to think that when Microsoft insiders talk about an 'end of an era' they mean something like this. I first read about it on a MSFT blog, but i'm not sure which one.

  13. Nonsense by JFMulder · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    And if the Net is the platform of the future for applications (and that's a very big IF I wouldn't put my money on, but hey, for the sake of the discussion, let's assume that what Google is offering is going to replace Office and whatever), you'll still need something to run your browser on. And your games. And store you stuff. Linux? Yeah right, I think I've read that Linux has been ready for primetime (meaning the desktop) like 5 years in a row now on Slashdot and it still isn't. Windows is going to be here for a while.

    1. Re:Nonsense by hitmanWilly1337 · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately. Everyone uses Windows because everyone uses Windows. What we need is for WINE to become stable and reliable enough to run 90% of windows apps at least as well as Windows, and to be fully integrated into the kernel. Once that happens, you will hear funeral bells from Redmond.

    2. Re:Nonsense by JFMulder · · Score: 1

      You also need to have better hardware support. Everytime I get a new computer, I have problems running Linux on it. There's always something. On my previous computer it was my integrated sound. This time it's my ATI video card. There's always something that needs tweaking and I lose hours trying to figure it out and lose patience and reinstall Windows where it takes me 2 or 3 hours to setup everything correctly, simply installing drivers and then letting Windows Update do it's thing. It's not quick, but patching and fixing Windows is a brain dead thing and you just have to go through the motions and it's done.

  14. Here we go again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The same was said about Windows XP. And Windows 2000. And Windows 98.

    We're also hearing the same tired old crap about users not having a compelling reason to upgrade to Vista, and that nobody will. Just as we heard the same about all previous MS OS.

    I predict that within a couple of months of its release, Vista will become the new OS standard. Just as the previous versions did the same.

  15. oh no, not again by rucs_hack · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Vista cannot be the last major OS of its type from microsoft. While it is likely that they might want to produce something significantly different, a major shift would take years to produce. A company that needs such a large team just to work on the shutdown menu isn't ready to innovate in the way they claim. Innovation is nothing more then a word they use to sound cool, they haven't managed it for years, all they do is patent minutiae

    Sure, microsoft *say* it would take les time to make the next windows iteration, the plain fact is that they are no longer working from the position of having no competition. Therefore they have to do a whole lot better then just improve security, they've got to move a long way forward beyond the competition, improving everything and introducing things people can't get elsewhere. Right now Gnome is catching up with the XP interface, I think it's better in fact, and that's free. KDE I don't know about, I barely use it.

    GNU/Linux, good though it is, is nowhere near ready to take on microsoft for home users. The simple reason being that in spite of its wealth of applications, it has shitbar games when compared to windows. Game producers aren't building their products in linux for a first iteration. That will be the big problem for linux for a fair few years.

    Once games creators switch, or rather, produce for linux too, hardware manufacturers will start working in linux more, and mmicrosoft will see a real challenge.

    Then there's Office. OpenOffice is good, but not as good as MsOffice. Well it does compare in many ways, but OpenOffice doesn't have salesmen ready to cajole existing customers and offer vast discounts. We're still at the stage were companies will mention thinking about switching just to get those discounts.

    Games are the only thing that keeps windows installed on my machine, I use linux for all serious stuff, but I won't give up my games, and I'm not alone. I gave up Office a long time ago. For simple docs I use Vim, and for complex docs I use Tex.

    1. Re:oh no, not again by Ajehals · · Score: 5, Interesting

      If we start seeing companies go down the software as a service model, we may well see vista as a cut down but free product, with Microsoft's revenue coming from on-line productivity services. Games will be relegated to the console (where they can also be locked to the hardware or only available on-line).

      This would be good for the companies that are currently seeing losses due to copyright infringement, just imagine if all your media was only available on-line - you could only rent it, it would be playable on your PC but only if the platform had sufficient technical measures in place to prevent you from copying it. You couldn't copy Office or Photoshop because its run directly from someone else's server. This would be a dream for software providers as they could charge you on a per use basis, and lock your data into their services. No more trying to sell upgrades as you wouldn't have a choice.

      The only thing that stands in the way of that is a decent and mostly feature complete open code base, something that would allow you to do what you want with your computer, your "Intellectual Property" and the media you buy, or already own. We are seeing the end of the huge revenue streams for those people who provide a product that is easily reproduced. Those providers are looking for ways to re-generate those revenue streams, and I dont think the scenario I have outlined above is too outlandish for them to consider.

    2. Re:oh no, not again by Captain+Jack+Taylor · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That would be fine, the open-source community would immediately boom again like it did a couple of years ago, and very quickly overtake the market, because the vast majory of people quite literally can't afford that type of computing environment unless the cost of everything drops considerably. This is, of course, what most companies attribute to "losses due to copyright infringement".

    3. Re:oh no, not again by pilgrim23 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      When Microsoft got started, two guys wiht a Basic were pedalling wears to hobbyists. Two other guys ina guarage we building a computer to runt h 1st two guys basic. None of these guys had an R&D budget. Today, Microsotft like most companies, feel that a huge R&D budget will inovate them out of their self dug hole. Look how well PARC servered Xerox after all....

      --
      - Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, minutus carborata descendum pantorum.
    4. Re:oh no, not again by chromatic · · Score: 2, Insightful
      GNU/Linux, good though it is, is nowhere near ready to take on microsoft for home users. The simple reason being that... I won't give up my games, and I'm not alone.

      Hey, look--a hasty generalization!

      Count the number of home desktops last year. Count the highest-selling PC game last year (sold-through, not sold-in). Compare. I bet the second number is at least an order of magnitude less.

    5. Re:oh no, not again by foamrotreturns · · Score: 1

      Ummm... OO.o doesn't need salesmen offering discounts - It's free.

    6. Re:oh no, not again by JFMulder · · Score: 1

      You are right. The problem is the other order of magnitude is pirating the games. Those are gamers too. And they love their Windows for that.

    7. Re:oh no, not again by canuck57 · · Score: 1

      Vista cannot be the last major OS of its type from microsoft. While it is likely that they might want to produce something significantly different, a major shift would take years to produce. A company that needs such a large team just to work on the shutdown menu isn't ready to innovate in the way they claim. Innovation is nothing more then a word they use to sound cool, they haven't managed it for years, all they do is patent minutiae

      True, and not true. This will likely be the last message passing 1960's type kernel though. With each version of Windows, it is being adopted slower, and slower and slower as it offers less. Each iteration is just getting fatter and fatter and it is not necessary. Some radical redesign of Windows is needed as it is now too complex fatware. People can't support Windows complexities and companies are starting to get wise, Windows costs plenty.

      M$ knows this, if they change the model T-Ford like kernel, applications will break. Worse yet, people will have to rewrite applications. Expensive in a business where people expect more for less with each passing year.

      Microsoft is on the edge of a cliff.

      Your next TV might come with a Linux OS inside, does cable, Internet, TV including HDTV, 500 GB storage with NFS/IPSec/Wireless, stereo with 30" wide flat panel for under $999. No Microsoft here... not needed.

      I would buy it.

    8. Re:oh no, not again by Ajehals · · Score: 1

      But then where does the head of IT get his free lunches and nights out from?

    9. Re:oh no, not again by rjdegraaf · · Score: 1
      OpenOffice is good, but not as good as MsOffice. Well it does compare in many ways, but OpenOffice doesn't have salesmen ready to cajole existing customers and offer vast discounts.
      You are right, it is very hard to give a discount on a product which is gratis :)
    10. Re:oh no, not again by killjoe · · Score: 1

      Games are important to the average slashdotter. They are not important to the average corporation in fact they are considered harmful. Neither are they important to the average soccer mom who would rather have her kids play outside.

      --
      evil is as evil does
    11. Re:oh no, not again by abradsn · · Score: 1

      The point was that (almost) nobody that matters even knows that Open Office is an alternative.

    12. Re:oh no, not again by Reziac · · Score: 2, Interesting

      At the Win2K road show in late 1999, M$ said pretty much the same thing -- their goal was to have everything done over the internet or network, very much as you describe. The audience of 1000 or so IT types all developed identical angry frowns.

      And it does appear that we're headed back to the dumb terminal for the desktop, and specialty appliances for everything else. Given another couple hardware/software iterations, it'll penetrate consumer-space as well as business-space.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    13. Re:oh no, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not exactly related, but everything is moving towards limiting usage. I had a bottle of water yesterday that had a non-removable lid (at least not without some serious effort). More than I could do at the time. I chuckled at first, but they are obviously pushing towards not allowing people to re-use water bottles so you buy more instead of refill.

      Welcome to the future, you don't own anything.

    14. Re:oh no, not again by suv4x4 · · Score: 0, Redundant

      You know, I'm sick of "but Linux has this: see Gnome, see Vim" talk.

      I'll acknowledge your attempts at proving Linux a viable desktop alternative, has any connection to reality, when you get a small-to-medium firm of lawyer consultants, for example, to use Vim and Tex for all their document related work.

      Otherwise what exactly are you doing telling you that you use Vim? Why should we care? How is it related at all to the subject in discussion?

      Are "simpler" folks supposed to look up to Those Skilled in The Vim and spend billions training their staff in the intricacies of running a Linux OS and software for casual daily activity?

      Read this: NOONE CARES Gnome has "same or better" GUI than Windows. NOONE CARES they can save $500/computer while rendering their staff incapable of handling their machines, NOONE CARES that you use Vim.

      :q!

    15. Re:oh no, not again by bismark.a · · Score: 1
      Your next TV might come with a Linux OS inside, does cable, Internet, TV including HDTV, 500 GB storage with NFS/IPSec/Wireless, stereo with 30" wide flat panel for under $999. No Microsoft here... not needed.

      I would buy it.
      Sounds like a very good idea. I would pay for it too ... Only I would prefer an Aqua OS X.
    16. Re:oh no, not again by drsmithy · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      M$ knows this, if they change the model T-Ford like kernel, applications will break.

      Uh, if the Windows NT kernel is a "Model T Ford", what does that make Linux ? A horse-drawn cart ?

    17. Re:oh no, not again by timeOday · · Score: 1
      And they love their Windows for that.
      Yeah, the love their pirated copies of Windows for that. But Microsoft would be just as happy without them. The difficulty of pirating a "service" as opposed to a .iso will be one of the factors driving software as a service.
    18. Re:oh no, not again by synx · · Score: 1

      while i agree with you about the move to rental/leasing instead of ownership...

      on the water bottle front, most water bottles are made from a plastic that cannot withstand multiple uses. Especially heat. The plastic starts releasing components into the water.

      You've probably heard about polymer estrogens that are causing problems for people. This is that!

    19. Re:oh no, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When yelling, please use words that exist. It's NO ONE. As in, no one single person.

    20. Re:oh no, not again by Bluesman · · Score: 1

      >Count the number of home desktops last year. Count the highest-selling PC game last year (sold-through, not sold-in).
      >Compare. I bet the second number is at least an order of magnitude less.

      While it's true that not everyone plays games, you'd really have to do a calculation on how many games were sold in aggregate, not just the most popular one. Not everyone who plays games buys the most popular game.

      I have no idea what the most popular game last year was. Let's say for the sake of example it was World of Warcraft. If you just go by those sales numbers, you're leaving out the people who stay on Windows to play Age of Empires III, or Civ IV.

      It only takes one great game to give a compelling reason to stick with Windows.

      --
      If moderation could change anything, it would be illegal.
    21. Re:oh no, not again by geobeck · · Score: 4, Insightful

      ...we may well see vista as a cut down but free product, with Microsoft's revenue coming from on-line productivity services.

      I can see it now: "Oh, you want to right-click? That's a $15 add-on feature. Can I interest you in a bundle that includes right-click, scroll bars, the Start button, and Excel for $150?... I'm sorry; the Start button is only available with the Excel productivity bundle."

      --
      Find environmentally and socially responsible products on http://buy-right.net
    22. Re:oh no, not again by suv4x4 · · Score: 1

      When yelling, please use words that exist. It's NO ONE. As in, no one single person.

      I hope the post didn't result in you crashing, erring or otherwise disrupting your brain activity while reading my poorly written rant.

      Thanks for your correction.

    23. Re:oh no, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And I, for one, am tired of the net slowing to a crawl because of spam from botnets based on windows machines owned by people who could, conceivably, use a secure OS but don't because it doesn't ... have their favorite friggin' computer game? Time to grow the hell up, folks.

    24. Re:oh no, not again by leabre · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There's something else that stands in the way of how widely software as a rent model will work: cost. Right now, most people know that if they pay for software then it'll work for at least as long as the OS is maintained in most cases and if they need an upgrade, they can wait until they are ready to pay for an upgrade.

      But if *all* software was "leasted", then there comes a point where people have to decide how much money to part with on a *regular* basis. A few lucky companies will remain popular in this model and will be wildly successful because they take the first part of people's money. But many other software companies will barely scrap buy. People won't pay $300 /mo for 20 pieces of software. They'll pay maybe $70-100 /mo for 5 pieces of software.

      If what you purchase on physcial media costs $200, then rental for a year must be about $30 in order for it to work. Otherwise what'll happen is the few successful software providers will starve the rest of the market of its revenue and then we'll see competitive advantages in physically installed media that doesn't expire (what a concept).

      Right now, we are moving towards the age of paying every year for updates. Its roughly the same thing except if you don't pay you don't get updates after your year expires. The only difference between this model and rental is that if you don't renew you don't use the software anymore.

      Can OSS compete in this market? Perhaps. If the trend leans towards web based software as a rental model, then OSS can only survive as long as they providers can support the bandwidth.

      Time will tell, but I for one won't pay $300 /mo. for all the software I use (I use a lot but I also pay for it when I see the need to).

      Thanks,
      Leabre

    25. Re:oh no, not again by rucs_hack · · Score: 1

      Large companies don't like cost free software. No cost means no accountability, no support.

      Oo would only be chosen if a service package could be purchased. Then all MS need to do is big up the relative costs, and they can swing back undecided people, or those using it as a cost reduction strategy. For that you need salesmen/persons.

    26. Re:oh no, not again by rucs_hack · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not a generalisation from my point of view. I know a lot of people who use linux, and they *all* keep windows as a gaming platform, just like me.

      Which sector of computer users is it that drives the creation of higher spec graphics cards? was it aol users? corporate desktop users? email/browsing only users? Nope, gamers.....

    27. Re:oh no, not again by Technician · · Score: 1

      Once games creators switch, or rather, produce for linux too, hardware manufacturers will start working in linux more,

      We are already seeing that. I stuck Ubuntu on a machine and dreaded the problems of windows only hardware. I was pleasently suprised. The PC found all hardware except a Win-Modem. Connecting to my network was very nice. I have a Simple Share net attached storage. It not only has SMB shares which Ubuntu found OK in the network neighborhood, but it supports Unix network shares. Nice! My printers are networked on my lan using some Hawking Tech printservers which has Windows Drivers.. Not a proplem. They support Internet Printing Protocol! Nice! I connected by IP address with no problems. Found Ubuntu supports my HP inkjet and Laser printers. Nice! Ubuntu found my USB memory card reader with no issues and no drivers needed. Nice!

      Other than a Win-modem the only thing that didn't work was a USB HP flatbed scanner. I plugged in a Cannon scanner and it worked with no setup!. This sure beat Windows 98 which required drivers for the Motherboard, Video card, Printers, Scanner, USB memory card reader, Printservers, Sound card, Modem, Lan Card....

      Overall, Not bad for a no drivers and no reboot install.

      --
      The truth shall set you free!
    28. Re:oh no, not again by Technician · · Score: 1

      This would be good for the companies that are currently seeing losses due to copyright infringement, just imagine if all your media was only available on-line - you could only rent it, it would be playable on your PC but only if the platform had sufficient technical measures in place to prevent you from copying it. You couldn't copy Office or Photoshop because its run directly from someone else's server. This would be a dream for software providers as they could charge you on a per use basis, and lock your data into their services. No more trying to sell upgrades as you wouldn't have a choice.

      There is a sector of the market where this model simply does not work and as such there is a market for installed software. Much of the rural area is on dial-up. Many road warriers have to carry the programs and data with them due to long periods of time with no connection. My folks have been doing the RV explore America for the last 20 years when the weather at home isn't nice. For them power is solar while parked between 2 trees on the shore of some nice lake somewhere. Software as a service is not an option.

      --
      The truth shall set you free!
    29. Re:oh no, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Had Xerox realized the value of stuff PARC came up with, the history would be different. But Xerox was in the business of making copiers; they did not understand the need for a "computer".

    30. Re:oh no, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      pedalling wears?

    31. Re:oh no, not again by rucs_hack · · Score: 1

      My SETA drive works perfectly in any linux, but XP needs a driver disk for it. However, my gForce card has only the experimental drivers in gentoo, not the bleeding edge ones I can get in windows.

    32. Re:oh no, not again by BokLM · · Score: 1

      GNU/Linux, good though it is, is nowhere near ready to take on microsoft for home users. The simple reason being that in spite of its wealth of applications, it has shitbar games when compared to windows.

      So an OS needs many games to be ready to take on MS for home users ?
      Most people don't give a shit about games. All they want to use their computer for is browse the web, read their emails, write documents, etc ... and they have a GameCube, Playstation or Wii for when they want to play games.

      Some people like to play games on their computer, but I doubt it's the majority. And it's still possible to use Cedega to play them on Linux. From what I heard, it's working pretty well for 90% of games.

      Also, when games creators decide it's time to release their games on Linux because there's enought people to buy them, it should not take too much time for them to do it. They're aldready doing that for the differents games consoles. Linux is just like an other new console, and there's everything you need to run games.

      So I'd say that Linux is ready for home users (at least as much as Windows is). Now we need it to be installed on the computers people buy.

    33. Re:oh no, not again by cyberkreiger · · Score: 1

      He means "peddling wares".

      --
      Stumbling in the dark
      I hear slavering of jaws
      Eaten by a grue.
    34. Re:oh no, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      I can see it now: "Oh, you want to right-click? That's a $15 add-on feature.

      Hmm, doesn't Apple already have a patent on something like that? :)

      *dodges flames*

    35. Re:oh no, not again by PastaLover · · Score: 1

      I don't know, just how much support do you need on this kind of software anyway? Accountability? What can you keep Microsoft accountable for? I know support is really handy when your sun server just went down because of a hardware issue and you need it back up within the hour, but for anything else I think a big enough company can just do in-house support.

      That and I thought Sun still offered staroffice, so you can go with that no?

    36. Re:oh no, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is simply untrue. Taking a quick straw poll in my office full of linux-loving geeks, almost all of them run windows at home for - gasp - games.

      Lots of people buy the big budget games - how on earth do you think they justify such massive budgets if the games don't sell by the bucket load?

      Granted, its small peanuts compared to consoles, but as a mac user, its the ONLY reason why I've bought and run windows in boot camp. I'd rather cut off all my fingers than play a linux game. The very idea that this is some day going to be a big games platform is enough to cause much laughter here.

    37. Re:oh no, not again by Sivaram_Velauthapill · · Score: 1

      I think there will be little difference between the service model and the shrink-wrapped product model when it comes to costs and the profits generated for the software company. Some companies profit more than others right now too so it's sort of the same thing. You are saying that you won't pay $300/month but what if it's $300/year? I think it is more likely that each software company will price their product differently. A specialized, high-end, software (say something targetted towards businesses) will likely charge more per month than a mass-market consumer oriented, low-end, product. The latter may charge $100/year whereas the former may charge $100/month.

      There is no reason to think that people are going to get ripped off or get charged even more than now. It may happen in some areas but I expect costs to be lower since distribution costs for the provider will be lower (CD pressing, boxes, shipping to retail outlets, profit for retailer, etc). In fact, don't forget that most retail products, software or not, are marked up 50%+ by the retailer.

      People always diss Microsoft and its so-called monopoly but I think online provider model will result in even more monopolies--contrary to what many think. It will be far easier to lock in customer by bundling things and making it easy for newbies and non-tech-savvy-people to stick with a single provider than now. For instance, how many people end up using Google, as an example (not dissing the company or anything), to do their search, e-mail, maps, etc. In the future, Google may lock in users for their future services (say maps, or who knows what). Similarly, Yahoo doesn't get a lot of respect on Slashdot but they own most of the top internet sites ("suite") on the web. How many people who start out using Yahoo stick with it?

      --
      Sivaram Velauthapillai
      Seeking the meaning of life... @slashdot of all places ;)
    38. Re:oh no, not again by dosguru · · Score: 1

      Quite a bit of enterprise software and hardware uses this model alrady. With Hitachi and Veritas we need a license key for every single little bit of the software, and often times another one to enable it per 1 or 10 TB of storage. Hitachi probably provides the hardware at a loss to them (still expensive to us), but they make their money on their software.

    39. Re:oh no, not again by rucs_hack · · Score: 1

      corporate/large company software procurement people don't like free stuff. Free stuff means there's no definate person you can call in the middle of the night if something awful happens. That's not the same as saying they don't like open source, but unless money changes hand there's a reduced liklihood of immediate help.

      Many companies offer support for linux software, but microsoft have a big team of sales people primed to talk people out of taking support contracts for free software products (remember that TCO rubbish?).

      I worked for a company once where microsoft flew in a group of techs literally in the middle of the night when a major server died and the company wide database was b0rked, that's what people want. Convincing them that Open Source can be supplied cheaply with that level of support is the issue here.

    40. Re:oh no, not again by chromatic · · Score: 1
      Not a generalisation from my point of view. I know a lot of people who use linux, and they *all* keep windows as a gaming platform, just like me.

      That's exactly what a hasty generalization is, unless you somehow know most or all of the people who use Linux.

    41. Re:oh no, not again by tomservo84 · · Score: 1

      He meant a lot of things he didn't spell correctly.

      --
      Agile Spaceport - You will never find a more wretched hive of scrum and villainy. We must be cautious.
    42. Re:oh no, not again by rucs_hack · · Score: 1

      One can only generalise based on ones personal experience. How could I possibly claim to represent people I don't know? Specific claims are impossible, everything is a generalisation to some extent or other.

      And I know, or have known over the past six years, tens of linux users, possibly more, (You lose track at uni, so many students) and found this to be a common reason for not dumping windows.

    43. Re:oh no, not again by mink · · Score: 1

      Sony TVs (At least my 36" 16:9 HD Tube) uses a version of Linux. TV taked 5 seconds to boot. Has a GPL license pack in with the manuals.

      --
      Well I've wrestled with reality for thirty five years doctor, and I'm happy to say I finally won out over it.
    44. Re:oh no, not again by _tognus · · Score: 1

      I am intrigued by your ideas and would like to subscribe to your newsletter. Were you high when you wrote that?

    45. Re:oh no, not again by tehcyder · · Score: 1
      Then there's Office. OpenOffice is good, but not as good as MsOffice. Well it does compare in many ways, but OpenOffice doesn't have salesmen ready to cajole existing customers and offer vast discounts. We're still at the stage were companies will mention thinking about switching just to get those discounts.
      How exactly would you offer a discount on free-as-in-beer software? Pay the customer to take it?

      However much you want to criticise MS for being monopolistic and therefore able to offer huge discounts, in this case it's irrelevant.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    46. Re:oh no, not again by rucs_hack · · Score: 1

      That was meant to say that Microsoft offer vast discounts on their software. Also corporate use of OpenOffice would be with a service/support contract, which is where the discount could be offered.

      However, Microsoft will undercut any deal to prevent OpenOffice getting a toehold, up to and including giving virtually free support.

  16. Its only an end of and era... by CrackedButter · · Score: 4, Funny

    when we use somebody else's face for the BillyBorg Slashdot Icon.

    1. Re:Its only an end of and era... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Steve's Chair?

  17. Netcraft confirms it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Windows is dying.

  18. Round and round we go by Ajehals · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So the future is the web, we will in the future all pay a monthly fee and access our documents and media on-line (where consequently it easier to control what we have access to). Then 10-20 years down the line the on-line model will be seen as legacy and we will all jump out and buy a new fangled computer that lets you keep your content locally again, without paying an access fee, all by just buying a software license of an OS and some applications...

    Or we could just not bother going with the latest fad designed to keep us spending, and preventing us from actually owning anything. As long as the good folks at Debian continue to produce a great distribution, and as long as people are willing to write software, I think I'll stick to what I know (and what I don't have to pay through the nose for.)

    1. Re:Round and round we go by mikesd81 · · Score: 1
      So the future is the web, we will in the future all pay a monthly fee and access our documents and media on-line (where consequently it easier to control what we have access to).


      That's an interesting point I never thought of. On top of that...who would get the money? The ISP? Google? MS? Imagine that cash flow. Or maybe all of them. We pay the ISP.....but to use Office now you pay MS too. And then to get your e-mail you pay Google? So your statement of paying through the nose (which I didn't paste here) brings on a whole new meaning?
      --
      That which does not kill me only postpones the inevitable.
  19. "Way behind"? by Durandal64 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "'Microsoft is way behind Google when it comes to the internet."

    What does this even mean?

    1. Re:"Way behind"? by Jugalator · · Score: 1

      I assume "Google's web services are way beyond Microsoft's".

      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
    2. Re:"Way behind"? by Cosmic+Debris · · Score: 1

      Several billion in market cap and a way bigger corporate jet.

    3. Re:"Way behind"? by davecarlotub · · Score: 1

      It means that Microsoft hasn't embraced, extended and exteriminated Google yet.

    4. Re:"Way behind"? by mikesd81 · · Score: 1

      So this is what it will boil down to in the end? The "Do All Evil" against the "Do No Evil"? Picture the end of the Matrix 3 as they SMith and Neo fly at each other. What an image this would be!

      --
      That which does not kill me only postpones the inevitable.
    5. Re:"Way behind"? by AVonGauss · · Score: 2, Insightful

      IMO, it means industry analysts just like most users don't really have a good concept of what the future will be for computers and communications in general. Personally, I would describe the article as possible FUD with taking things out of context and presenting it in a hype fashion so that it generates ad revenue. The IT industry has been changing quite a bit this decade, some of it deals with the Internet but a lot more of it deals with the incorporation of the technology in to practical uses.

    6. Re:"Way behind"? by Joe+The+Dragon · · Score: 1

      Google Earth Is lot better then live local 3D and It works on Windows, Mac OSX, and Linux

    7. Re:"Way behind"? by failedlogic · · Score: 1

      The "way behind" statement is very vague.

      The way I read it, they expecting MS to integrate more Internet technologies - or create new Internet technologies- and integrate it into Vista. If so MS is already underfire for security problems in Vista. Adding more Internet related programs/code help into Vista would only hinder the security. IMO, I wouldn't want more Internet bells and whistles integrated into any OS. And besides, more integration means more scrutiny under the EU and DOJ.

      From the article"Once installed in the post, Mr Ozzie wrote an internal company memo that mapped out the challenges that face Microsoft. The message was clear: get Google, get with the internet and wean Microsoft off Windows as we know it".

      Equally, you could also read this article to mean.... MS has been too dependent on Windows and Office for its business model. Duh! So now they're doing Zune, Xbox, Media Center, Windows Live and a whole bunch of other stuff. I don't see Windows dying anytime soon though. Its a money maker and its impossible to replace all the business/desktop apps running on it in less than 10 years.

    8. Re:"Way behind"? by Virgil+Tibbs · · Score: 3, Insightful

      one of the only things google is better at that M$ is not screwing around with what the customer wants...

      --
      www.tdobson.net #### Dare to Dream #### blog.tdobson.net
    9. Re:"Way behind"? by Bardez · · Score: 1

      c'mon Sorresso... you know MS aren't t3h cool as Google. Google is the good guy, and MS is the bad guy, so it's obvious that MS is behind...

      Wait, what's the word for that thinking... "fallacy?"

      In all seriousness, I think plenty of people just get the feeling that Google is ahead of MS, if nothing other than the fact that plenty of IE users change their default searches away from MSN (either by typing in google or actually changing it, if they are tech-literate enough).

      --
      Perception is the thin dividing line between reality and fiction.
    10. Re:"Way behind"? by HerrEkberg · · Score: 1

      It means that they have fewer tubes.

    11. Re:"Way behind"? by aldo.gs · · Score: 1

      It means that Microsoft is stuck in the pipes, obviously.

    12. Re:"Way behind"? by Cheapy · · Score: 2, Funny

      Google is on level 11 of the Internet. Microsoft is still stuck on the boss of level 3.

      --
      Would you kindly mod me +1 insightful?
    13. Re:"Way behind"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it means google wins teh internet

    14. Re:"Way behind"? by tehcyder · · Score: 1
      "'Microsoft is way behind Google when it comes to the internet."
      What does this even mean?
      It means you are reading slashdot.
      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  20. No one is going to store their porn remotely. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The hard drive is not the expensive part of a computer. They don't even use much power nowadays. The operating system, or at least the one I'm typing this on, is free. Moving from fat to thin clients doesn't make economic sense, even if many apps can be more conveniently delivered as web pages.

    1. Re:No one is going to store their porn remotely. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who the fuck bothers saving porn to their hard drive, are you on 1400 baud modem or something?

    2. Re:No one is going to store their porn remotely. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      "No one is going to store their porn remotely."

      I do.

      I used to have gigs and gigs, hard drives full. Then I realized I was always downloading new porn, free, from the web, never even glancing at the enormous archives that I had. So I got rid of the extra hard drives. And I still just keep downloading new porn, deleted stuff after 3 days or so.

    3. Re:No one is going to store their porn remotely. by BokLM · · Score: 1

      Yes, you might not be confident storing your porn remotly. But any OS can store porn, it doesn't matter what OS you're runny.

      The change is not that we won't be running an OS anymore, it's that it doesn't matter as much which one we're running.

  21. Wrong Interpretation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If by that they mean software-as-a-service, well, good luck to them.

    Vista IS the last great Windows release, but it's not because of Google or software-as-a-service. It's about getting rid of that idiot Alchin. Alchin didn't understand how to keep a project under control and ship what customers actually want/need. Going forward, the core OS division will be more about delivering what customers want/need in the next ~2 years. Releases will be more predictable from a feature and timeline standpoint. You won't see the type of delays that have plagued Windows for years.

    Or at least that's the plan. It seems like a good idea from a businees perspective, but I think it will keep us from delivering the "next big thing".

    1. Re:Wrong Interpretation by poopdeville · · Score: 1

      Interesting. From the sound of your description (and assuming you really work for MS), it sounds like Microsoft is trying to implement Apple's OS X release strategy. They put up a fairly significant effort to get the first OS X release, but ended up with a highly modular, easily maintained codebase. Now they work on implementing the "next big thing" and release just about every 18 months. Any idea if significant amounts of BSD code are going to make it into the next Windows?

      --
      After all, I am strangely colored.
    2. Re:Wrong Interpretation by WilliamSChips · · Score: 1

      The other problem is that Microsoft is simply too big. Paul Graham described it as a mountain that could walk--it's amazing they do anything at all. It's like the Roman Empire, they had to split that up.

      --
      Please, for the good of Humanity, vote Obama.
  22. Different business model, that's all. by glas_gow · · Score: 1

    I think the point of TFA is that a complete rollout of a new version of Vista will be unlikely in the future, simply because there is a limited desire by consumers to re-familiarise themselves with a new OS every couple of years, not to mention the prohibitive costs involved. As far as heralding in a new era, companies like Microsoft are likely, in future, to copy the update process of Linux vendors, opting to offer a more modular update process for specific functionality than the current wholesale update procedure being witnessed with Vista. As such MS will not be able to rely on the same quadrannual windfall to support their business.

    1. Re:Different business model, that's all. by zeromorph · · Score: 1

      Yeah, thanks.

      I think that is really the most likely scenario, but it will bring other, new problems.

      How to convince someone to buy a modular update? Most users won't even understand what this partial update will be.

      Can they combine their current business modell with a different production/release policy or have to change more?

      --
      "Hannibal's plans never work right. They just work." Amy/A-Team
  23. An Enquiring Mind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How come Microsoft is trying to reinvent the wheel? Why doesn't Microsoft do what Apple did and just retool some free/GNU operating system? I mean the GNU license does allow commerce and profit!
    Is this a matter of pride? Does Microsoft believe they are truly producing something new and innovative rather than something crufty that does the job 1/3 as well as existing apps?

  24. Ummm... WTF? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    WTF are these people smoking? Google? I can't get Google... OR anything on the internet... without a computer attached to the internet. So how exactly is Google a threat... to Windows? Google is NOT an operating system, last I checked.

    Oh wait... I'm forgetting where I'm at. Slashdot has been predicting the demise of Windows and the rise of Lunix on the desktop for what, over ten years already? News flash: Lunix is no closer to being "ready for the desktop" than it was ten years ago. Even less, if you take modern expectations of what an OS can do into account. How many years did it take for Lunix to even get USB capability?

    Windows will continue to be the #1 operating system for at LEAST 20 more years. First, they have no competition: no OS can do what Windows can do. OSX is a joke, especially regarding it's so-called security. If OSX were the primary desktop... the world would be one or two well-made viruses away from total meltdown.

    And second... MS is just too good a company, especially compared to their "competition".

    Have fun getting to Google without an operating system.

  25. When You are King of the Mountain... by BoRegardless · · Score: 1, Insightful

    The only way is down.

    The only way to stay on top is to defend all of the mountain. That is incredibly time consuming, maintaining and upgrading the fortifications.

    Warren Buffet said he would not invest in Microsoft, because he couldn't understand the long term future.

    Prediction: Microsoft will break itself up.

    1. Re:When You are King of the Mountain... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Prediction: Microsoft will break itself up.

      Prediction: Meaningless guesses will keep cracking us up!

  26. Chestnut squashing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    bad guys will always target the most popular systems

    I understand that it is customary, when someone claims that popularity breeds insecurity, to respond, "right - that's why apache is such a broken piece of crap"

    Glad we got that over with.

  27. God dammit it's true - I saw it on the Internet ! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful


    God dammit it's true - I saw it on the Internet !

    (just something to keep in mind)

  28. Microsoft and it's own history by salesgeek · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Back in the '80s MS built it's success by making computers accessible and usable by the masses. Prior to the 80s useful computers were usually leased mini or mainframes. Often they were timeshared services that were paid by monthly subscription. They were pushed aside by a model led by Microsoft: I own my computer and can use it how I see fit. Recently, they seem to feel because others build web service driven models, that they should too.

    Microsoft is now vulnerable because they believe things have went full circle. They see people building new ideas and new markets that don't include them - or need their software. What MS misses is that people don't want their software when it doesn't do something of great value. The days of people marveling at the convenience of a multitasking GUI or amazing their boss with a pivot table are over. Problem is that Microsoft's current innovation isn't being driven by customers or users, but by a bad combination of developer arrogance and greed. The result: you get products that people just don't want like Zune. You get a company selling out it's users for a buck they may never get from the music business. You get ideas like Live Update and Genuine Advantage that hurt legitimate users because your bean counters want to squeeze every dime out of their market. You get ideas like threatening patent litigation for ideas that are almost as old as most college grads instead of inventing something worth patenting.

    For MS to come back all they have to do is recognize reality: people actually do like and use their software. Focus on what you can add (or remove) that will make it better. And remember that USERS not the music, movie, media or any other industry makes the buying decision. When you add a feature to the OS, make it a benefit to the USER. Everyone is in love with the idea of being a landlord. MS would be wise to remember that they made their way to success by putting the landlords out of business.

    --
    -- $G
    1. Re:Microsoft and it's own history by Tony · · Score: 2

      They were pushed aside by a model led by Microsoft: I own my computer and can use it how I see fit.

      Uhm. Yeah. See, the Apple ][ was out a long time before the IBM PC. Did you get the memo?

      Microsoft didn't lead anything. Nothing at all. Back then, their best product was Flight Sim on the Apple ][. (I used to play that game for hours, flying up until the world was a postage stamp. Great game.) They had more popular products, of course, like various versions of BASIC and whatnot. I just liked Flight Sim.

      But Apple was way ahead of them. Commodore was way ahead of them. Atari was way ahead of them. Compucolor was way ahead of them. Radio Shack was. . . Well. You get the picture.

      Microsoft did not pioneer ease-of-use, nor the PC, nor anything like that.

      Yeah. I'll send you a copy of that memo.

      --
      Microsoft is to software what Budweiser is to beer.
    2. Re:Microsoft and it's own history by MeNeXT · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I have mod points and I generally agree with your comments that it's about the users but MS had nothing to do with the success of the PC.

      At the time the first IBM PC (8088) came out with "IBM DOS" (MS DOS), the home computer was already on it's way. Apple was already there, as were others. The reason the PC took off and surpassed the Apple ][ was due to IBM opening up the hardware specs, which permitted innovation and later competition with the arrival of clones. IBM the gorilla tried to impose it's will which opened the door for MS.

      As far as I can remember the software side was always about tie-in. WP, IBM, NOVEL, APPLE and especially MS. MS can't "come back". They never cared about the user. From the start they only cared about sales. They haven't changed and they don't know how to, or if you prefer, the markets will not allow them.

      FLOSS has come around to resolve the final issue. Users creating software for users.

      --
      DRM? No thanks, I'll just get it somewhere else...
    3. Re:Microsoft and it's own history by Myopic · · Score: 1

      "have went"? are you serious?

    4. Re:Microsoft and it's own history by salesgeek · · Score: 1

      Uhm. Yeah. See, the Apple ][ was out a long time before the IBM PC. Did you get the memo?
      Apple ][ was an important computer - but it was overwhelmed by products powered by MS operating systems. Much of this is due to the Apple /// disaster which opened the door to IBM. Incidentally, one of the ]['s most prolific competitors - the TRS-80 Models 1-4 were supplied with MS BASIC.
      Microsoft did not pioneer ease-of-use, nor the PC, nor anything like that.
      I agree with this 100%. What MS did do, though is supply a set of tools (windows, dos, programming tools) that were good enough that PC manufacturers didn't have to develop their own OS, GUI, development tools and so on. This allowed Compaq, Zenith, NEC, Dell, Northgate, IBM, and so on to have a real economic advantage against companies that wrote their own (Commodore, Apple, etc...). MS tools took control software development channels away from computer manufacturers while hardware compatibility (driven by the need to run MS operating systems) allowed third parties to service computers in competition with the manufacturer.

      --
      -- $G
  29. That's a silly statement by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "Security experts are acknowledging that Vista is the most secure of Windows to date."

    I realize this isn't a thought original to me, but - this would appear to be a ridiculous statement on its face. Only time will determine whether Vista is "the most secure Windows". We heard these sorts of statements at the release of XP as well; those were obviously incorrect until SP2 came around (after how many years?).

    Steve Gibson (I know, I know, right there people turn off) pointed out the problems Vista's rewritten stack encountered during Vista's beta testing. We really have no idea how good of a job Microsoft did right there - again, only time will tell. But the initial experiences don't appear to be encouraging.

    --
    #DeleteChrome
    1. Re:That's a silly statement by mikesd81 · · Score: 1

      You may be interested in How Much WIll Windows Security Matter which I posted as well, and is still pending as of this post. It sort of goes over the security fixes that MS has does for Vista and what not but it seems to stress on internet security...

      --
      That which does not kill me only postpones the inevitable.
    2. Re:That's a silly statement by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 1

      Sandboxing IE is such a huge improvement that they could make the rest of the system worse than XP and still come out ahead.

    3. Re:That's a silly statement by Megane · · Score: 1

      Security experts are acknowledging that Vista is the most secure of Windows to date."

      That's like saying the H3 is the most fuel-efficient Hummer to date.

      No, wait, actually it's really more like saying that a particular spaghetti strainer is the least leaky to date.

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
  30. $150 per line of code? by SurturZ · · Score: 5, Funny
    From TFA:
    Vista's 50 million lines of code have cost an estimated $7.5 billion to assemble.


    That's $150 per line of code! I reckon the Microsoft devs have been playing WoW on company time :-)
    1. Re:$150 per line of code? by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

      Much higher than that actually - consider that at least 90% of the code is re-used code from WinXP and was already paid for.

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    2. Re:$150 per line of code? by SurturZ · · Score: 2, Funny

      I want to be the guy that gets paid $150 to put in the right-braces lines. I could put in a few hundred in the morning, then go fishing for the rest of the day.

      I don't fish, but at $150 per character I could learn :-)

    3. Re:$150 per line of code? by Shadow-isoHunt · · Score: 1

      You still need the CR/LF to end the line after that close bracket, so really it's two characters... you should demand a pay raise.

      --
      www.isoHunt.com
    4. Re:$150 per line of code? by TheUni · · Score: 1

      If it's $150/line, they should save some money by taking out the comments. That would save them a good $450 easy...

    5. Re:$150 per line of code? by SEMW · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Much higher than that actually - consider that at least 90% of the code is re-used code from WinXP and was already paid for. I very much doubt that it's anything like 90%. The kernel was based on Server 2003 -- which was significantly different from XP in the first place -- and significantly rewritten, especially with regard to memory management. Driver framework is completely new. Graphics & Sound stacks are completely new. Window manager is completely new. Networking is completely new. Etc, etc, you get the idea -- it won't be anything like 90%.
      --
      What's purple and commutes? An Abelian grape.
    6. Re:$150 per line of code? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It kind of breaks down like this:

      input a right-brace: $0.01
      knowing where to put the right-brace: $149.99

  31. Windows is dying by iamdrscience · · Score: 4, Funny
    Even Microsoft, it seems is admitting that Vista will be the last OS of its kind.
    It is official; Microsoft now confirms: Windows is dying One more crippling bombshell hit the already beleaguered Windows community when Steve Ballmer confirmed that Windows' market share has dropped yet again, now down to less than a fraction of 100 percent of all servers. Coming close on the heels of a recent Microsoft survey which plainly states that Windows has lost more market share, this news serves to reinforce what we've known all along. Windows is collapsing in complete disarray, as fittingly exemplified by failing dead last in the recent Sys Admin comprehensive networking test. You don't need to be a Kreskin to predict Windows' future. The hand writing is on the wall: Windows faces a bleak future. In fact there won't be any future at all for Windows because Windows is dying. Things are looking very bad for Windows. As many of us are already aware, Windows continues to lose market share. Red ink flows like a river of blood. Windows Vista is the most endangered of them all, having lost 93% of its core developers. The sudden and unpleasant departures of long time Windows developer Bill Gates only serve to underscore the point more clearly. There can no longer be any doubt: Windows is dying.
    1. Re:Windows is dying by EnderWiggin99 · · Score: 1

      Does Netcraft confirm?

    2. Re:Windows is dying by Greg.Rodden · · Score: 1

      I think what Dr. Science is trying to say is that Windows is dying... ......

      --
      I have ridden the mighty moon worm!
  32. Migrate to GNU/Linux, not Vista by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Our company did last year, cities of Vienna and Munich did, it should work out very nicely for you too. Our former XP users love KDE.

    No need to put yourself through pains when you can improve security, save money and achieve a good deal of vendor independence all at the same time. Why support the Microsoft monopoly by paying ridiculous prices for bug ridden software with DRM restrictions, when you can run Free software on the industry standard (and thus inexpensive) hardware?

    Knowing everything I know now, I only regret that we did not migrate to GNU/Linux sooner.

    1. Re:Migrate to GNU/Linux, not Vista by rantdy · · Score: 1

      No need to put yourself through pains Unless you have an ATI card ;)
    2. Re:Migrate to GNU/Linux, not Vista by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have an ATI card and I had it installed and working in about 16 minutes.. you must be using the wrong distro ;)

  33. Mod parent insightful! by jleq · · Score: 1

    If I had mod points, i'd certainly give you a +1 insightful for that comment. That's a very valid and interesting way to look at the situation.

  34. Internet = OS? Missing the point? by thehustle · · Score: 1

    I don't see this as a debate over whether we will have local operating systems, or will we have an 'internet operating system', but more a question of how important local operating systems will be compared to the user applications sprouting up all over the internet. And by importance, I mean money making potential. If new applications and developments arrive continuously by way of URL, why go to the bother of (waiting years and years before) rebuilding your operating system to get transparent windows and other *major innovations*? Even if you like trouble, do you like paying for it too? Don't all of the new and hip websites work the same on Windows 2000 (or a Mac)?

    1. Re:Internet = OS? Missing the point? by The_Wilschon · · Score: 1
      Don't all of the new and hip websites work the same on Windows 2000 (or a Mac)?
      No. Not until IE and Safari and Firefox and Opera and everyone else all reach some sort of standards compliance. Until then, the only way that all of the new and hip websites will work the same on different platforms is if the web developers spend ages and ages making hacks and workarounds.
      --
      SIGSEGV caught, terminating

      wait... not that kind of sig.
  35. Summary misleading by proxima · · Score: 5, Insightful
    From the summary:

    [...]the company has admitted that even with a two year delay 'it is not really ready'.

    where "the company" is implied to be Microsoft. However, from the article:

    [...]but even after a two-year delay it is not really ready, Michael Silver, an analyst at Gartner, said.

    I think that's a rather important distinction.

    --
    "The universe seems neither benign nor hostile, merely indifferent." --Carl Sagan
  36. Most secure windows to date by MrCreosote · · Score: 4, Funny

    Whenever I hear or read someone saying that the latest version of Windows is 'the most secure to date' I am reminded of the Groucho Marx line from 'Animal Crackers' - "Why, you're one of the most beautiful women I've ever seen, and that's not saying much for you".

    --
    MrCreosote Meow!Thump!Meow!Thump!Meow!Thump! "You're right! There isn't enough room to swing a cat in here!"
    1. Re:Most secure windows to date by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Microsoft has a new version out, Windows XP, which according everybody is the 'most reliable Windows ever.' To me, this is like saying that asparagus is 'the most articulate vegetable ever.'" --Dave Barry

  37. Heard it before... by GeorgeMcBay · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Anyone who has been paying attention to the tech industry has heard this same argument in different forms since just about forever. Larry Ellison was going to sell us all network computers to replace our Windows 95 boxes, because Windows was obsolete. Sun seems to pull out this idea once a year to spit polish it, toss it out there, and hope somebody will pay some attention to them, etc. Even if there may be some truth to the argument behind this, after hearing it for so long and having all previous claims be proven completely wrong, you just can't help but filter it out, ala the boy crying wolf story... I look forward to reading about how Windows Vista 2010 Special Edition will be the last version of Windows when the time comes.

    1. Re:Heard it before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are so right. This 'end of an era' storyline is so old. I have heard this story since the 1990s. (if not earlier.) What was the end result? Windows still lives. Despite what some companies may say or think, the network is NOT the computer. And the internet is NOT the operating system. Each are merely conduits. Just mere conduits where computer-to-computer code and information exchange occurs.

      Microsoft may change the way it develops software to save on development costs, but Windows will still be around. Afterall, how many of you really want to trade-in your computer for a terminal or internet appliance?

    2. Re:Heard it before... by Euler · · Score: 1

      yeah, I totally agree. I've seen this idea every year for over 10 years; ignore it. These articles are written by people who never studied computer architecture. Every CPU needs a real operating system, not a virtual 'internet OS'. Maybe that OS will be very light and lack any application level code, but it will always be there. At the very least, you need the kernel, drivers, storage, memory management, process management, and communication software. That's most of what Windows does. Besides Internet Explorer, there isn't much application code provided with Windows.

      It would be possible to stream application code from the network, even boot the PC from the network. This is all totally possible right now, and has been since ethernet cards with boot ROMs were invented. Not too many people bother since hard drives are cheaper, faster, more reliable and can stand-alone. People like owning their systems for the most common applications that don't explicitly require the internet. i.e. Word processing, corporate databases, etc. Internet-based applications are here now, but they are not an OS. That model doesn't make sense. Applications on the Internet are just fancy server-based applications.

      To be honest, Google has a long way to go in the web-app business and they don't exist at all in the OS business. For all of their hype and capital, what do they have...? An e-mail application that is marginally better than what preceeded it for at least 5-7 years?? A map application with fancy scrolling, but still can't accurately locate a house within 500 ft (in my experience).. and has poor resolution satellite imagery for non-urban areas. Google spreadsheets are cool, but not revolutionary. I still use the old-fashioned spreadsheets on a daily basis. I'm not believing that Google is really even competing with any OS. Unless they have some major secret project to roll thier own OS from the ground up and compete head-to-head with a highly entrenched company like MS, why should we ever be thinking about a 'web OS.'

  38. Mark Andreessen was right by meburke · · Score: 1

    I'm not convinced that the article was right, but things are rapidly moving toward Mark Andreessen's prediction that the browser will be the desktop. As I look at the wealth of Internet apps, and envision the possibility of httpd being built into every NIC, with kernel functionality (microcode, anyone?) in every motherboard, and I see the traditional OS as being irrelevant. Y'know, LEGO could make a number of computer components about the size of a Linksys 5-port switch, and we could just stack our computers together at the corner of our desk...

    --
    "The mind works quicker than you think!"
  39. The present business model is certainly toast by Orange+Crush · · Score: 1

    I agree with the sentiment here--OSes will never be completely irrelevant. However, the profitability of making them soon will. It's only a matter of time until a Dell or an HP starts selling Linux boxes, fully supported, because they're sick of paying the MS Tax. Once MS is in an environment where it actually has to compete for its OS sales, they'll no longer have the luxury of blowing $7.5 billion over 5 years for their next version. The average consumer doesn't believe in paying for an OS. It came "free" with their computer.

    1. Re:The present business model is certainly toast by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

      Dell and HP already do sell Linux boxes. It is only North America that is behind the curve - as usual. Linux adoption in other countries is rather higher.

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    2. Re:The present business model is certainly toast by bazorg · · Score: 1

      When a Windows OS breaks down, gets pwned or becomes outdated, the whole computer is replaced without damaging the manufacturers' reputation. Why would the computer manufacturer want to change that? Paying US$100 of MS tax every 2 years may be a smaller loss than selling the same computers with twice the longevity.

  40. No, this is correct, it's about lifcycle time by gelfling · · Score: 1

    You simply cannot spend 2 years cranking out a dot level upgrade to an OS and expect thundering success. Because in the final analysis there isn't much new to Vista

    1. Re:No, this is correct, it's about lifcycle time by SEMW · · Score: 1

      You simply cannot spend 2 years cranking out a dot level upgrade to an OS and expect thundering success. Because in the final analysis there isn't much new to Vista I'm sorry -- 2001 to 2006 is "two years"?

      But it's rather unfair to say there's nothing new to Vista -- rewritten Windows Server 2003 kernel, new driver framework, new graphics & sound stacks, new window manager, new networking stack, new sudo-type user model... Full list at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Features_new_to_Windo ws_Vista.
      --
      What's purple and commutes? An Abelian grape.
    2. Re:No, this is correct, it's about lifcycle time by drsmithy · · Score: 1

      You simply cannot spend 2 years cranking out a dot level upgrade to an OS and expect thundering success. Because in the final analysis there isn't much new to Vista

      Vista is a solid 5.x ->6.x revision. The changes - particularly in the lower levels - are significant, on par with the updates Apple did to NeXT to get to OS X. That most people do not bother looking past the relatively minor GUI update does not change this.

    3. Re:No, this is correct, it's about lifcycle time by gelfling · · Score: 1

      OK two EXTRA years then. But that aside, What is the actual benefit to those tweaks? I mean it's plausible that it makes a better server, but the desktop? No probably not.

    4. Re:No, this is correct, it's about lifcycle time by gelfling · · Score: 1

      Again, to what actual benefit? The amount of time and money they spent om this they could have reverse engineered MVS from the ground up. In other OS's the difference between say 5.x and 6.x is typically DRAMATIC. How about filesystems that span physical volumes and allow for hot swapping expansion on the fly? How about real journaling? What about clustering and the ability to throw more processors into it in the 24-48 CPU range? Or fault tolerance/fault resilience? All these things exist right now and from firms that spent less time and money doing it than MS spends in a year on marketing vaproware.

      See these are only examples but the point is that they've already been done. It can't be impossible for MS to build real features that already exist into Windows. In fact the very roots of Windows NT were developed by Dave Cutler and Gordon Bell who ALREADY did all of this at Digital decades ago.

    5. Re:No, this is correct, it's about lifcycle time by SEMW · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But that aside, What is the actual benefit to those tweaks? I mean it's plausible that it makes a better server, but the desktop? Sorry, that doesn't make any sense. Three of the new features; the Avalon desktop window manager, graphics (DX10), and new sound stack especially would not have any relevence in a server at all! The new networking stack (especially the vastly better support for all types of wireless networks) will be heartily welcomed be anyone who's ever had to struggle with Windows networking (not that the other OSes have it much better). Obviously enough the kernel and driver framework improvements mostly won't be noticable; they're focussed on improving reliability, so if MS have done their job you shouldn't even know they're there. A lot of what remains is security changes; most of which probably won't impact the average Slashdotter much but should hopefully much improve the spyware situation with the average user. Some is just MS incorporating all the technological advances that have been made since 2001: e.g. you won't have to download Copernic to get decent searching because it'll be integrated into the OS. The features that'll give the most obvious benefit are the new window manager, the improved shell (start menu etc.), sound, graphics, and networking.
      --
      What's purple and commutes? An Abelian grape.
    6. Re:No, this is correct, it's about lifcycle time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You Linux nerds are so naive and self centered it is not even funny even more.

      Whatever just go back to your hole and the minority opinion you brought with you; just as valid as your claim about Windows.

  41. The browser is the network is the computer by Caesar+Tjalbo · · Score: 0

    And as long as MS dominates in the browser field with their products, the web isn't anything serious yet. Perhaps with web 7.0 or something.

    --
    "I'm not much interested in interoperability. I want substitutability. I want to be able to throw your software out."
  42. no... by Bluesman · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Google doesn't make Windows irrelevant. Windows is here to stay.

    It's here to stay because no matter how little their operating system changes or improves, it will always be at least a little bit better than the previous version, and as such it will always be the default on new machines.

    Microsoft is saved by the fact that PC's are now a commodity, and people don't mind throwing old ones away every couple of years for minor performance improvements. The newest version of Windows will always succeed, because it's the default. All Microsoft has to do is maintain backward compatibility.

    The only way Windows will ever be displaced is if another competitor offers something significantly better, which is unlikely. Operating systems are now a commodity, so the possibility that one could be significantly better than another on the same hardware is remote.

    Another possibility is that a new hardware platform could displace Intel, but that is so unlikely because the economies of scale almost guarantee that the Intel architecture will always dominate desktop computing.

    That is, until we hit a threshold where the hardware can't be made much faster. Then we might see some real innovation in hardware and software.

    But until then, learn to love Windows.

    --
    If moderation could change anything, it would be illegal.
    1. Re:no... by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      "people don't mind throwing old ones away every couple of years for minor performance improvements"

      Which 'people' would that be? My PC here was built in 2003 and will probably still be running until 2010; I don't expect to replace it until 2008 and after that it will be a second computer for basic stuff. My girlfriend's PC is several years older than that, and her mother's PC still runs Windows 3.1.

      I don't know which 'people' you know, but I don't know anyone who replaces a PC 'every couple of years for minor performance improvements'. Why does anyone need anything faster than a 500MHz P-III to use a web-browser or write letters in a word processor?

      Even corporations don't seem to be replacing their PCs anywhere near as often these days, and they're probably driven more by tax write-offs than performance issues.

    2. Re:no... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even corporations don't seem to be replacing their PCs anywhere near as often these days, and they're probably driven more by tax write-offs than performance issues.

      Whether they "seem" to or not, be assured it is happening. My place of business is a division of a $5B/yr, Fortune-500 company. The PC's are all leased and are replaced every three years. That is a butt-load of PC's. The users certainly don't need a new one that often; it has to do with the depreciation of the equipment -- the lease company needs to yank the hardware and sell it before it gets too old.

    3. Re:no... by Bluesman · · Score: 1

      Anecdotal evidence notwithstanding, the cheaper PC's get, the more people will be apt to replace them instead of upgrade or repair them.

      They will break, or become virus ridden, eventually. To say that computers will never be replaced is the same as arguing that nobody will ever need a new dishwasher because theirs work fine, and everyone you know hasn't needed a new dishwasher in years.

      And beyond that, there are people who will shell out good money to transfer images to digital cameras a few seconds faster, or have a prettier desktop (Mac users?). The demand exists, and always will.

      --
      If moderation could change anything, it would be illegal.
    4. Re:no... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think you understand the word 'commodity'.

    5. Re:no... by bwbadger · · Score: 1

      > But until then, learn to love Windows.

      What a depressing notion.

      I for one hope that there will be some competition in the future.

    6. Re:no... by arkhan_jg · · Score: 1

      The only way Windows will ever be displaced is if another competitor offers something significantly better, which is unlikely. Operating systems are now a commodity, so the possibility that one could be significantly better than another on the same hardware is remote.

      Given linux AND OSX run on the same hardware platform windows does (assuming you've got apple's TPM chip onboard) - you can even triple boot all three on the same computer - I beg to differ that OS choice can't make a significant difference in terms of usability. OSX and linux both offer significant advantages over windows in different areas, while windows is better in a few others. OS choice hasn't been so good since the early 90's.

      --
      Remember kids, it's all fun and games until someone commits wholesale galactic genocide.
  43. I honestly think... by Monoliath · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...the beast is too big, heavy and slow for keeping up with this lightspeed innovation, due to what has become reliant upon it. They are the "IBM" of operating system software, AND THEIR GIANT ROBOT HEART BEATS TO SLOWLY!!!

    Microsoft(r) has been on fire for a while, I don't think they're going to crash but I do think that some reorganization needs to take place or these swift, small and much more elite groups of talented individuals such as it was with Google(tm), will continue to stay focused and move products through the market much more efficiently, with respect to their development process and organizational structure while their products expand and user base grows along with that.

    I think the last rock solid thing to come from Microsoft(r) was Server 2003.

    Not that I'm ANY kind of business tycoon to say the least, I just use their products and I can tell when their attitude began to affect their product quality directly. They lost focus on what makes a good piece of software, and much like AOL, it plagues them with every release of software they produce.

    Vista has been nothing but a corporate sponsored spawn of monopolistic evil with a ridiculous amount of YOUR system resources being used to keep ridiculously idiotic counter-piracy measures. Microsoft is dancing to the tune of the media giants and the OWNERS OF THE COOKIE JARS they have their hands in, they're using their user base as advertising 'meat'.

    I think most of us can admit that the windows 2000 line was an amazing upshot in stability as far as a Microsoft product was concerned, yes previous NT was solid as well. Some will say that windows 98 was an incredible upshot, and yes it was, but perhaps we can consider the spot-light of this to be on networking configuration and accessibility.

    The Microsoft(r) today, doesn't innovate; it regurgitates.

    1. Re:I honestly think... by PenGun · · Score: 1

      No, NT 3.51 was the bomb. NT 4.0 was the original promiscuity upgrade and NT 5 and NT 6 were just more of the same, with bangles.

  44. I am not a Nazi! by dangitman · · Score: 2, Funny

    No. 1: 'Microsoft is way behind Google when it comes to the internet,' Rupert Godwins, the technology editor at ZDNet,

    Godwinized before it even began. When God wins, humans lose.

    --
    ... and then they built the supercollider.
  45. Attack most popular by EraserMouseMan · · Score: 1

    So if the shift occurs does that mean that hackers will prefer to target Google?

  46. It is happening, right now. by Colin+Smith · · Score: 0

    I don't know where you live, but where I live, broadband is pretty much "as ubiquitous and as reliable as electricity." It's also cheaper than electricity. I'd say you're about 10 years behind the times, and I'm betting my business on it.

    --
    Deleted
    1. Re:It is happening, right now. by NineNine · · Score: 1

      I'd say you're about 10 years behind the times, and I'm betting my business on it.

      Oooh. I'm really sorry. I'm posting this message via dial-up.

    2. Re:It is happening, right now. by Plaid+Phantom · · Score: 1

      Ubiquitous where you live, perhaps, but not across even the nation, let alone world. I can point to a number of areas within an hours drive of me where dial-up would be the only available net access. A sizable chunk of the USA is, as you put it, "10 years behind the times".

      --
      All comments are properties and trademarks of the voices in my head. Not like I'm gonna claim them.
    3. Re:It is happening, right now. by drsquare · · Score: 1

      Broadband is nowhere near as reliable as electricity. For one electricity doesn't cut you off if you use too much of it, and it doesn't go down when too many people are using it like on a Sunday night.

    4. Re:It is happening, right now. by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      "Ubiquitous as electricity" doesn't mean both happen to be available where you live.

      Broadband and electricity are both available where I am at the moment. Drive half an hour in any direction and broadband becomes an expensive, satellite provided, proposition. Oh, and dial-up for upstream (which would really suck for talking to your OS).

      My parents don't have broadband. Not available there. They have electricity though.

      On an airplane? Broadband is unavailable. When it was available it was extremely limited and very expensive. Leave your home? Broadband is expensive unless you happen to find a coffee shop or kind soul who gives it away.

      It's got a ways to go before it's as ubiquitous as electricity.

    5. Re:It is happening, right now. by cyphercell · · Score: 1

      Go to Mountain View California. There it is more ubiquitous than electricity. Who did that again? Oh, that's right it was Google.

      --
      Under the influence of Post-Cyberpunk Gonzo Journalism
    6. Re:It is happening, right now. by cyberkreiger · · Score: 1

      Actually electricity does cut off if you use too much of it. That's what fuses are for, for example.

      --
      Stumbling in the dark
      I hear slavering of jaws
      Eaten by a grue.
    7. Re:It is happening, right now. by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      And in ten years perhaps it will be as common as electricity pretty much everywhere, not just in one small city. That is, it will be ubiquitous.

  47. MS needs a change. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wow- since when has /. become the MS fanboy site? Funny how trends are on this site.

    The reason MS needs a change is because of the security flaws. They should embrace a Linux or OS X-like sudo/root admin system. There should not be web browser exploits that can go down to the kernel level. They should make a tight kernel, and some kind of *nix-like permission system, where the user is not the admin at all times.

    YOU slashdot readers don't deal with this. But look at your average Joe windows user: They are playing flash pop-up games (which are actually running spyware in the background), avoiding the stupid windows update icon that keeps bugging them, downloading all kinds of crap from who knows where, etc. Clicking on everything that pops up in front of them left and right.

    THIS is the problem of Windows. It is nothing about ram, vista, hardware, blah, fanboys, etc. That is NOT the issue. The issue is security problems, viruses, and malware. Many of which Vista is already NOT secured against, as the stories that have already come out confirm. Sad. THAT is why MS must change drastically.

    1. Re:MS needs a change. by Ajehals · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm not a MS fan, or really anti-MS - (read my other posts) but Microsoft are stuck here, they cant simply adopt a radical new operating system (even with virtualisation) and throw out all legacy support. They have gone as far as they can with Vista (which really isn't a re-write, its a mash up and an attempt to address some of their major problems). With legacy support they will continue to have the same security problems that have plagued them since the inception of windows.

      The reasoning is simple, if Microsoft adopted a *nix like kernel and re-wrote everything then they would have an OS with little or no software support, little or no Hardware support, and they would find themselves competing directly with Linux / Solaris / BSD etc...without the benefit of already having a huge installed user base with a clear upgrade path. There would be one additional exception, their offering would not be free (unless they would simultaneously go down the software as a service route and make their OS free.. which throws up even more issues see My other post)

      .Microsoft wont change their core OS not because they cant, but because if they do they are committing suicide. Even with coercion of hardware and software vendors, there will be a point when the Hardware and software vendors will simply have to decide whether it is cheaper for them to try and port / support the new Microsoft OS (which would be completely new, untested and unproven) or put the effort of supporting Microsoft's new offering into supporting a *nix, which already has all the features of this new Microsoft OS, and much longer pedigree and larger user base (assuming the initial Microsoft user base as 0 after all).
    2. Re:MS needs a change. by Marcos+Eliziario · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Sorry, but if Apple, with way less resources, was able to completely change their OS, change platform and still provide a migration path for developers, why microsoft, with vastly superior resources and cash, would not? I think that there's no economical reason for microsoft to do so, but I don't think that they couldn't if they wanted. There's really no much room for improvement left on the OS field, after more than 40 years of research. They could write a new OS, a new kernel, with Jesus Christ and Satan themselves as architects, but they would not be able to discover something so radically new that would make their OS an absurdely compelling value proposition for customers.

      --
      Your ad could be here!
    3. Re:MS needs a change. by masdog · · Score: 1

      They can, though, and they will probably need to in the near future. It will be difficult, but if Apple can build Rosetta to run software from previous non-*nix based versions of OS, then Microsoft can do it as well. They need to change some of their procedures and streamline their production if it ever intends to get into production, but it is, in theory, possible.

    4. Re:MS needs a change. by drsmithy · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but if Apple, with way less resources, was able to completely change their OS, change platform and still provide a migration path for developers, why microsoft, with vastly superior resources and cash, would not?

      Because firstly, and most importantly, Apple has fewer scruples about breaking/obseleting old hardware and software.

      Secondly, because Apple's user base is an order of magnitude smaller.

    5. Re:MS needs a change. by drsmithy · · Score: 1

      I'm not a MS fan, or really anti-MS - (read my other posts) but Microsoft are stuck here, they cant simply adopt a radical new operating system (even with virtualisation) and throw out all legacy support. They have gone as far as they can with Vista (which really isn't a re-write, its a mash up and an attempt to address some of their major problems).

      Microsoft's problem is not their codebase or technology, it's their development process.

      With legacy support they will continue to have the same security problems that have plagued them since the inception of windows.

      Any platform with the marketshare and userbase Windows does will have the same problems Windows does.

      The reasoning is simple, if Microsoft adopted a *nix like kernel and re-wrote everything then they would have an OS with little or no software support, little or no Hardware support, and they would find themselves competing directly with Linux / Solaris / BSD etc...without the benefit of already having a huge installed user base with a clear upgrade path. There would be one additional exception, their offering would not be free (unless they would simultaneously go down the software as a service route and make their OS free.. which throws up even more issues see My other post)

      They'd also be taking a technological step backwards or, at best, sideways.

      The Windows NT kernel is about the *last* thing Microsoft needs to be changing.

    6. Re:MS needs a change. by Ajehals · · Score: 1

      That's my view too, as well as the fact that Microsoft depend heavily on the appearance of legacy support, something that corporate customers certainly like, - (just think of all that probably not wonderfully written in house code that is flying about).

    7. Re:MS needs a change. by istewart · · Score: 1

      Apple did not, strictly speaking, completely change their platform in the same sense that the grandparent poster is describing. They bought NeXT and engineered Carbon as a bridge between NeXT's existing platform and the Mac OS. In other words, they didn't rebuild everything from the ground up. Their attempts to do this failed, as did Microsoft's pre-NT attempts to replace the DOS/Windows combination. So the question is, is there a (preferably closed-source) OS on the market today that Microsoft could "embrace and extend" in a similar way to what Apple did with NeXTSTEP/OPENSTEP? I don't think so. Plus what keeps Windows on top is its tremendous application base. There's not much reason for them to switch away from the NT kernel and Win32+.NET, especially since such a project would almost certainly be an engineering clusterfuck orders of magnitude larger than Vista.

    8. Re:MS needs a change. by nickos · · Score: 1
      There's really no much room for improvement left on the OS field, after more than 40 years of research.
      That's a pretty silly thing to say - how do you know what is possible until it has been invented?
  48. targeting a popular system makes less secure? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Windows is not insecure due to it's popularity. It is due to it's design. A secure system can withstand what comes at it because in it's design, these anomalies were accounted for. Stop pimping that excuse.

    1. Re:targeting a popular system makes less secure? by weicco · · Score: 1

      Care to explain that design, how it is flawed and how it is less secure compared to other desings (you probably could explain those other designs a bit too)? Or is this just another Slashdot bashing with plenty of speculation but only with few (or none) details?

      I personally know something about older Windows desing (XP and older), how it is flawed and how it is not flawed, but it's always nice to hear other people opinions and insights.

      --
      You don't know what you don't know.
    2. Re:targeting a popular system makes less secure? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Welcome to Slashdot, where total crap is moderated +5 Insightful.

    3. Re:targeting a popular system makes less secure? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      So ah do you know of any general purpose secure systems? I know of none that havn't been hacked at some point in their lives.

      I remember the good old days when Oracle and MacOS were concidered secure. With the advent of automated exploit tools even the less used systems are beginning to feel the same love reserved only for the likes of Microsoft.

    4. Re:targeting a popular system makes less secure? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, yet another troll from the Linux-and-OSX-has-no-vulnerabilities camp. Sheesh, when will the Slashdot moderators grow up?

    5. Re:targeting a popular system makes less secure? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Windows is not insecure due to it's popularity. It is due to it's design."

      I have to both disagree and agree with this statement, while windows design may have allowed insecurities, there are more people looking for these insecurities because its more popular and therefore more of them discovered, making the system insecure.

      If you had a less popular system with the same insecurities, chances are they wouldn't be discovered as fast as the more popular system, they'd still be there we just wouldn't know about it.

      AS for design, as far as I can see the only ways to have a secure system is to be able to check every possible input method and all possible input data to make sure they cant be exploited, not a simple task.
      Have multiple layers of authentication, key cards, passwords, PINs, biometrics, limited login times and session lengths, and limit access to all functions so only authorised users can do anything, the more potentially damaging (admin access) needs heavier security.
      Of coarse the way to make a system truly secure is to remove the inputs all together making it pretty much useless - you might as well remove the power.

  49. What about the Mac OS?? by riversky · · Score: 1

    Does this mean Mac OS X is doomed as well? Where then is Apple going with the Apple system? Some say Apple is going to be a consumer electronics company and not a OS company.....You can't say Windows (or desktop OS's) are dead and then expect Apple to exist in the same way. So is Apple's OS in it's final days as well? This line of thinking makes no sense to me.

    1. Re:What about the Mac OS?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can't say Windows (or desktop OS's) are dead and then expect Apple to exist in the same way. So is Apple's OS in it's final days as well? This line of thinking makes no sense to me.

      No, what's being said is the existing Windows code base is becoming too combersome to maintane, secure, and improve. It is a bloated mess, a monolithic block of code. Windows the OS in particular, NOT desktop OS's in general, is what is being discussed here. The current Windows code base is not modular enough, the new CTO Ray Ozzie (Bill's replacement) has admitted this on several occasions and stated that the next version of Windows will probably have to be built from the ground up. They will probably end up having to build a whole new kernel and underlying OS layers from scratch, then re-create their existing GUI look and feel ontop of that new platform. Just like Apple did.

      So it's funny that you mention Apple and how they are going to continue to exist. Because really this same exact thing happened to them years ago! They realized that their Mac OS was becoming too bloated, and in order to continue imporving their OS as a whole they needed to become more modular. They needed to abstract the GUI from the rest of the OS. So they looked at the many lessons the Unix community had learned over the decades about modularity, after all the design concepts behind Unix have outlived just about everything else and are proven and time tested. They dropped their own kernel in favor of a Unix based one (Darwin) and then built their GUI ontop of this new OS platform. And now they have a modular design that will be easier to maintane and allow their OS to thrive for many years to come.

      And when it comes to Linux distro's they are practicaly the definition of modularity! So they will continue to exist on the desktop and severs (and even super computers!) for many years to come.

      No, the need for a good desktop OS is not coming to an end any time soon. Just the way MS produces the next version of Windows, if they even bother keeping that name in the future. I would not be surprised if they follow what just about everyone else is doing, build a Unix-ish OS layer and re-create their GUI as a separate layer ontop of that. Or perhaps they will surprise and shock us all with some better design concept for a modular OS that provides even more inherent layers of security than the Unix approach, perhaps they will perfect the micro-kernel concept or move towards second generation stack based computing. Or maybe Vista will flop really bad and they won't be able to afford the costs of designing a new OS and will go out of business, who knows. But one thing is becoming fairly clear, Vista will be the last version of Windows built around their current monolithic ball of legacy code. This has been said or alluded to in various manners by many a MS coder, either in official statments such as some of Ray Ozzie's comments, or in unofficial blog posts by their devs.

      The problem this creates for Microsoft, and the reason people are saying Windows is "dead", is that the move to a freshly designed modular OS will most likely kill off backwards compatibility with existing Win32 applications. Apple had a major advantage on their side while making the move to OSX, their Unix based OS. They never tied their designs to maintaning forward/backward compatibility, so their user base was use to major changes between each platfrom upgrade as was the Mac software developer community. How ever, MS and Intel have always tried to maintane forward/backward compatiblity at both the hardware and software levels for as long as possible. So most Windows users expect to be able to run the same application across various versions of Windows. If MS has to drop the existing legacy API's that the Windows developer community has been using all this time, and radicaly change how you code for "Windows" (or what ever they end up calling their next OS/GUI), then it is no longer really the same product. They could still call it Windows, but it's not really the same thing any more. Hence the reason people are saying that what we know as Windows today will probably soon be dead.

  50. Heh by strider44 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Remember that people don't like risks that they don't control? I hereby predict that as soon as someone in a company like Google abuses the power of having and controlling documents then there will be an enormous backlash against it.

    Currently that's why I don't use Google's doc and spreadsheet programs. I can't stand not having control of my own documents.

    1. Re:Heh by Meatloaf+Surprise · · Score: 1
      Currently that's why I don't use Google's doc and spreadsheet programs. I can't stand not having control of my own documents.

      How do you not have control of your documents through Google's doc and spreadsheet programs? If anything, you have MORE control as you can access them from anywhere and can assign permissions to different docs so others can edit them too. You can also save the documents to your computer in practically any format you'd like. I cannot think of one problem with Google docs besides the fact that it doesn't offer some of the advanced features/settings that other programs do. Considering they are new to the scene and it's used in your web browser, I'd say it's pretty good. I can't imagine anyone using these web apps independently of other office suites, but I think it is a good addition as it does make things very accessible.

    2. Re:Heh by strider44 · · Score: 1
      No you don't have control over your documents at all if it is saved on Google's servers. Google has total access and control of your documents. They let you access your document from different computers but if they don't want to give you back your document they are under no obligation to. From their terms and conditions (bold is mine):
      Google reserves the right, but shall have no obligation, to pre-screen, flag, filter, refuse, modify or move any Content available via Google services.
      Your Rights

      Google claims no ownership or control over any Content submitted, posted or displayed by you on or through Google services. You or a third party licensor, as appropriate, retain all patent, trademark and copyright to any Content you submit, post or display on or through Google services and you are responsible for protecting those rights, as appropriate. By submitting, posting or displaying Content on or through Google services which are intended to be available to the members of the public, you grant Google a worldwide, non-exclusive, royalty-free license to reproduce, adapt, modify, publish and distribute such Content on Google services for the purpose of displaying, distributing and promoting Google services. Google reserves the right to syndicate Content submitted, posted or displayed by you on or through Google services and use that Content in connection with any service offered by Google. Google furthermore reserves the right to refuse to accept, post, display or transmit any Content in its sole discretion.
      Basically any document you save in Google Docs Google has full rights to (rights which include destroying the document).
    3. Re:Heh by Meatloaf+Surprise · · Score: 1

      That's very interesting, but that's nothing new/special. It's just a way to cover themselves in the unlikely event a server dies and someone's files are gone. They don't want people suing them because they lost a document or someone hacked the server and was able to view it. It doesn't seem very odd for a free service to have such an agreement. I think the bigger question is whether or not they would act on any of these terms. Is it in their best interest to randomly delete files or publish/distribute them? Absolutely not.

      A little offtopic: Does gmail have the same type of agreement? (just curious since I use it for most of my email accounts)

    4. Re:Heh by strider44 · · Score: 1

      Their current intentions don't really matter. What they could do in the future does. Give them the privilege of distributing and displaying it however and where ever they want then they can do just that. People who use Google Docs give Google control over who sees the document - even if Google are showing it to someone who the user doesn't want to see the document. On Gmail - I just looked at the terms and conditions and they're not as bad as the Google Docs terms and conditions. I don't see any statements that give Google the right to distribute and display your email how they wish. I might not be looking hard enough though.

    5. Re:Heh by Meatloaf+Surprise · · Score: 1

      If they were to say, post your documents to their homepage at google.com, you can sue them for reproducing your work as you still maintain copyright of the document. The terms of service allows them to host the file on their servers and display it to you or whom you see fit. I understand words can be twisted and loops can be jumped through..as with basically any legal document, but I don't understand why this is a concern. First off, it's google, who has a pretty good history and second off, what advantage could they possibly gain by redistributing your documents? For instance: WoW's TOS says that you do not own your account or any items that your account has, but Blizzard isn't going to randomly start taking things away from people and deleting accounts for no reason. This is bad business and anyone wanting to keep profits high would not backstab their customers like that.

      And I read through Gmail's TOS and found this at the top:

      Google may, in its sole discretion, modify or revise these terms and conditions and policies at any time, and you agree to be bound by such modifications or revisions. If you do not accept and abide by this Agreement, you may not use the Google Mail service.

      If you don't trust google docs, then you shouldn't trust gmail either since, according to this, they can change whatever they want to in the tos, without notifying you first, and then do anything they want with your email.

    6. Re:Heh by strider44 · · Score: 1

      By using Google Docs you give Google a world-wide nonexclusive license to your work. Now IANAL, but I take this to mean that they could publish it on google.com, give it to your competitors or the authorities without telling you and you couldn't do anything about it. They can also refuse to give the document back to you if they don't feel like it. I'm not saying anything against Google's record or what they have to gain since Google's current intentions are really only peripheral to my argument, but I most certainly do not trust them since, after all, trusting Google as a whole means trusting every single person who works for Google, and I haven't even met any of them.

      That said, I most definitely wouldn't put even a shopping list on Microsoft's servers. (Only slight exaggeration)

      I'm not sure about the specifics or legalities in Gmail's modification clause but it's not significant in this discussion anyway, and if it's true only gives further support to my argument. I don't use Gmail for anything that's even remotely personal (or even identifiable) so you don't have to say I shouldn't use Gmail!

    7. Re:Heh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      maybe a better solution would be if you could buy google office and run your own document server. then you could connect and edit documents form anywhere :P all in the knowedge the documents are on your machine and under your control.

  51. That's some expensive code by bbitmaster · · Score: 0, Redundant

    7.5 billion dollars for 50 million lines?
    That's $150 per line of code.

    How do the figures come to that? That is some expensive code.

    1. Re:That's some expensive code by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      That's $150 per line of code... That is some expensive code.

            It was actually $275/line of code until accounting decided to count the braces { } as separate lines of code...

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  52. software as a service model by nurb432 · · Score: 1

    Oh, you mean the way it used to be done, until that pesky PC came about.

    We are coming full circle, but for different reasons.

    --
    ---- Booth was a patriot ----
  53. What? by zogger · · Score: 1

    The web is a huge network, a network of networks, mostly accessed by lower powered "terminals" connecting to higher powered servers to "do stuff". Now we can quibble over the precise exact definition of what a terminal is, what constitutes a terminal or not hardware-wise, but the fact remains this is how they are used, as net-terminals, so let's call them that. The number one use of computers by joe and josephine six pack, directly, is to access the internet, and once there, what is online on the remote servers is then the most important thing to them. The look at web pages, use email and chat/IM primarily. You need the network to do that stuff. The internet browser is by far the "killer app" for those net-terminal computers. Games run entirely on the local machine are probably a distant number 2.

    I'd say they are a lot more right than wrong on what they saw in 96.

  54. The 'targeting' red herring: Vista's bad design by postbigbang · · Score: 2, Interesting

    is the big problem. It inherits all of the sludge of every Windows nightmare from 3.1.

    Even reducing the code base from Win3x and NT => Windows 2000/XP didn't do the job. It wasn't designed well, and doesn't hold up. Linux would have been a curiousity if Windows wasn't so inherently and poorly designed. The whole dot-Net debacle (like uh, what is it?) just pointed out how aimless Microsoft was, putting hold-cards in all kinds of places that they didn't have code or direction, just markers in case some one wanted a piece of their turf, which was the entire computing software business. This greed caused them enormous problems, and cost them veracity-- the truth. Now they're as easily trusted as the government. They've been sued successfully across the planet. The emporer Bill had no clothes then, and is naked to this day-- with Vista the crowning pinnacle of it.

    Mod me troll. But the 'targeting' thing is their egotistical propaganda and poor excuse for bad code and business practices.

    --
    ---- Teach Peace. It's Cheaper Than War.
  55. Not at all... by WheelDweller · · Score: 1

    Go look at the releases from each and every release of Windows since '95(a). 1. "Companies slow to embrace it" then 2."Problems abound, world ending" then 3. 101 tricks for the new OS"

    Seriously, guys, is this the first Windows release you've seen? Why do we have time for this?

    --
    --- For a good time mail uce@ftc.gov
  56. But not the last time we talk about it. by WhatDoIKnow · · Score: 1

    /. search for "Vista the Last of Its Kind?"

    On August 26th, 2006 with 337 comments
    An anonymous reader wrote to mention a TechWorld story about Windows Vista. According to the Gartner Group, Windows Vista is likely to be the last of its kind....

    :wq

  57. Re:God dammit it's true - I saw it on the Internet by Shadow-isoHunt · · Score: 1

    It's not true until you edit wikipedia to say it is! GET MOVING!

    --
    www.isoHunt.com
  58. keep coming ... by Magic+Fingers · · Score: 0

    where I live Vista will still cost me less than a dollar :)

  59. Dead giveaways by suv4x4 · · Score: 1

    "but the Google Docs & Spreadsheets product does much of what Microsoft's second-most important product, the Office suite of software, does."

    I'm glad the articles we're reading are written by well informed, competent journalists.

  60. Are we just going to use set top boxes for now on? by heroine · · Score: 1

    It sounds like everyone thinks they're going to abandon their desktop operating systems and just use set top boxes from now on. If you're worried about network security, it doesn't look like DLNA, Playsforsure, and UPnP are even working for the things they're supposed to let alone resisting attacks. Then again, someone with enough foresight would say these standards are going to become more reliable and replace the modern desktop in a few years.

  61. just ridiculous by arazor · · Score: 0, Redundant

    this whole net centric thing is ridiculous. The vast majority of USA still can not get more then dial up speeds with out paying for T1 and so forth. Each year they promise DSL or some form of wireless for the non urban USA but it never happens.

  62. BeOS? Re:After Vista, Windows will die by twitter · · Score: 1

    I'm cruel. ... Windows and BeOS to 2010. ====> BeOS is the winner!

    BeOS is better than XP and Vista, what's cruel about that? Is there any GUI that's not as good or better than Microsoft?

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

  63. Obligatory by BarlowBrad · · Score: 1

    'Old OSes never die, they just fade away.'

  64. Linux is a superb gaming platform. by massysett · · Score: 4, Insightful

    GNU/Linux, good though it is, is nowhere near ready to take on microsoft for home users. The simple reason being that in spite of its wealth of applications, it has shitbar games when compared to windows.

    First, most computer users don't care about games in the way that you care about games; second, Linux has the games that a vast majority of users care about; third, even if Linux had the sort of games that you care about, it won't see widespread adoption on home desktops in rich countries.

    Most computer users don't care about big budget games. They're too complex. They take too long to learn. They're too expensive. I know multitudes of computer users. None of them play big budget games like Half Life, Neverwinter Nights, WoW, or even the Sims. I don't play any of them either.

    When eliminating the big budget games that appeal to a small subset of users, Linux has great games. KDE and GNOME both come with the sorts of little puzzle games that people whittle away at for a few minutes each day. They are the analog to Solitare, probably the most popular Windows app of all time. My dad had never used Linux before in his life, but he sat down at my Gentoo box and within minutes had discovered one of the GNOME games on his own. Furthermore, lots of people pass the time at online games at places like Yahoo Games. These run just fine on Linux right inside Firefox.

    But, let's set aside the fact that Linux is an excellent gaming platform for the majority of people who just like a simple game every now and again. Even if Linux had a perfect port of every single bloated, big-budget, proprietary computer game out there, we still won't see widespread desktop Linux adoption on home desktops in rich countries. People in rich countries can afford Windows, and they see no compelling reason to switch away. Linux won't provide a compelling reason for most users to switch. They'll switch to Mac before they switch to Linux.

    In short, the lack of Linux desktop adoption has absolutely nothing to do with game availability.

    1. Re:Linux is a superb gaming platform. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "In short, the lack of Linux desktop adoption has absolutely nothing to do with game availability." ...you live in an interesting world. For me and many other Linux users games is the only reason we have Windows installed.

    2. Re:Linux is a superb gaming platform. by elphins.son · · Score: 1
      Furthermore, lots of people pass the time at online games at places like Yahoo Games. These run just fine on Linux right inside Firefox.

      When was the last time you tried to pull up Yahoo Games on Firefox? Quite a few of their games just plain refuse to work in Firefox. That's the reason I still keep IE around on my machine... to deal with the multitude of poorly-designed websites that require IE.

  65. 2010? Way Optimistic! by twitter · · Score: 1

    I look forward to reading about how Windows Vista 2010 Special Edition will be the last version of Windows when the time comes.

    It's taken them six years to get Vista out the door. You might want to push the next planned release back to at least 2013. Do you think that people are going to be satisfied with Vista's rather limited feature set that long?

    Vista is doomed. For most people, it's going to be a big step backward, doing less for them but requiring more hardware. They are tired of the upgrade train trashing their hardware without feature gain. This time, it's DOA.

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

  66. Microsoft behind Google? by runlevel+5 · · Score: 1

    Perhaps Microsoft's online offerings (eg. Office Live) don't have the marketshare of Google's Calender, Spreadsheet, and GMail, but think about how those users get to Google's services. A vast majority of the online population is surfing under some flavor of Windows and some version of the Internet Explorer browser. Sure, Firefox is increasingly popular [and so is Linux], but virtually all personal computers these days come with Windows XP and IE, and most users do not take the trouble to change that. The same will be true for Vista and MS's future offerings.

    If their codebase is growing too large to effectively maintain, they will do the wise thing and stabilize the interface while re-writing the underlying OS. It's not impossible to imagine MS going the Apple route and re-building their operating system on OSS, just adding some kind of compatability layer to provide a minimal amount of backwards compatibility.

    So, perhaps it will be the last Windows of based on that codebase, but certainly not the last of it's kind. Microsoft's various OS's play a key role as a brigde to the internet for a majority of users, and the company has enough pull with PC manafacturers to keep its position on the desktop for some time. Of course, the comments made by a number of other Slashdotters make sense, too. An online-OS (OOS?) relies too much on the persistence of the connection, and reduces productivity to zero when the link to the net goes down. This is something Microsoft's business and education customers are not going to go for.

  67. Re: Local Apps by TaoPhoenix · · Score: 1

    For a lot of people, Work means Documents. Businesses are not going to rent their documents. IF some silly service decides to charge you for access to your cover letters to bids, ... then businesses will grumble a little, then turn back to non-cash options. Open Office if they prefer the full suite approach, or simply hacked together in WordPad.

    I firmly believe that Net apps are a complete trap. "But what if you want to work remotely", you ask. Work... on what? You have your laptop with you, right? Your laptop would have a synched copy of your work. And at *worst* you can remote in to your desk box.

    On the security side, I would never trust my document on someone else's server. The security problems with *that* would shake Alcatraz.

    --
    My first Journal Entry ever, in 8 years! http://slashdot.org/journal/365947/aphelion-scifi-fantasy-horror-poetry-webzine
  68. oh no, not again-Being taken seriously by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Games are important to the average slashdotter. They are not important to the average corporation in fact they are considered harmful."

    Oh I wouldn't say that.

  69. My predictions: by erroneus · · Score: 1

    Remember WindowsME? No one actually used it. I predict that very few people will be using Vista over XP. They just will not want to waste their computer's horsepower on Vista when they can get the same functionality from XP. Furthermore, I predict some 3rd party addons to XP that gives the Vista look and feel (if they don't already exist) and some will be far better. (I use FC6 mainly and support XP at work. AIGLX was pretty cool eye-candy and from what I head Aero doesn't even get that close.)

  70. Support Pays by Crudely_Indecent · · Score: 1

    Believe you me, Microsoft makes money on support. Maybe not consumer releases when covered by warranty, but corporate customers pay dearly for support, as do shops that run older versions of Windows and are willing to pay for it. Custom development is a source of income as well as those stupid microsoft branded hardware devices (keyboards, mice, personal castration devices, etc...)

    The old OS doesn't die, it just continues to draw support revenue. Just because Microsoft announces end-of-life status on a product, doesn't mean they're not willing to take money to support the people still running it (and that have pockets deep enough to pay for that support)

    --


    "Lame" - Galaxar
    1. Re:Support Pays by SkaOMatic · · Score: 1

      ..microsoft branded hardware devices (keyboards, mice, personal castration devices, etc...)

      Is that a Zune in your pocket, or have you just been neutered?
  71. What's This? by TheVelvetFlamebait · · Score: 1

    A Microsoft/Vista story that isn't a shameless M$-bashing exercise?

    And, even more impressively, someone has already managed to tag this as fud!

    --
    You know, there is a difference between trolling and pointing out the flaws in your reasoning. Just saying.
  72. it's all about the games. by moerty · · Score: 1

    What's keeping MS products installed on many machines is gaming, i HAVE to keep a windows PC if i want to be assured that i can play any game that comes out in the market. so far vista and especially DX10 is failing to impress me, the biggest weakness being that there is no backwards compatiblity, an astoundingly stupid move that assures that coders will focus on DX9 for the next few years unless they want a segment their market even more. depending on how DX10 pans out and whether hardware makers and more importantly software makers support it vista could be a flop even for gamers, that windows 2000/XP CD may be usefull for the next 5-10 years.

  73. What you use the computer for by Tony · · Score: 1

    I think the concept is that people don't use the computer to run local applications these days. Most folks use apps to access services, like email, web browsing, shopping on-line, etc. Since we need one thing to use our computer effectively (a modern web browser), the OS isn't nearly as important as it used to be.

    I believe that's one of the reasons it's important for Microsoft to lock up various digital formats. If you can only download your music and movies in a Microsoft-approved format, you will only be able to use Microsoft-approved products to access those files. I believe the reason Microsoft is in bed with the MPAA and the RIAA is simple: they need to be the gateway to accessing pop culture. Otherwise, the only thing you need an operating system for is to display purty pictures, and to run your web browser. Linux and *BSD and the others do that very well, thank you very much.

    So I think the idea is that competition has moved out into a space Microsoft does not control. Whether this is true or not is debatable. But that seems to be the gist of TFA.

    --
    Microsoft is to software what Budweiser is to beer.
  74. Very telling article by Eric+Damron · · Score: 1

    "Through Google's focus they've gained a tremendously strong position," he said. "[Microsoft] must respond quickly and decisively . . . It's clear that if we fail to do so, our business as we know it is at risk."

    Respond "decisively?" And there you have the embodiment of Microsoft's narcissistic need to utterly destroy any competition.

    --
    The race isn't always to the swift... but that's the way to bet!
  75. Unsolicited advice for Apple by quixoticsycophant · · Score: 1

    Hey Apple --- Stevie-boy --- get off your ass and push compatibility testing. NOW.

    I understand that bundling the OS and the hardware together eliminates a whole category of problems. Supporting the wide variety of existing PC hardware will certainly not be a breeze, but it's a finite problem and it's do-able. And jeez, just think of the payoff.

    Suppose that, oh, for the sake of argument, folks aren't going to like Vista. Now, what if you gave them an OS X install disk for their new Dell? C'mon, you know this is the Right Thing for Apple to do. You may be closer than you think. Take that extra step.

    Incidentally, game developers (I speak for myself and all others I know) HATE DirectX and LOVE OpenGL. Putting aside DirectX entrenchment for a moment, and that a game company should have invested in properly abstracting the rendering subsystem in the first place, it is widely (universally?) true that developers prefer OpenGL.

  76. End of a dictatorial monopoly. by HermMunster · · Score: 1

    End of an era, end of a monopoly, end of highly over-inflated prices, end of dictatorial control of my content and how my computer works.

    --
    You can lead a man with reason but you can't make him think.
    1. Re:End of a dictatorial monopoly. by Shadyman · · Score: 1

      You forgot: End of BSOD, end of "Missing Windows File", end of "Please insert Windows CD", end of "Please activate your copy of Windows"...

  77. Vista is crap by Psx29 · · Score: 1

    Yeah I said it. there. It's bloated crap, I don't care how many whizbang features it has, it's just too damn big and a resource hog. It's something like 240% more resource intensive than XP, and for what? All I know is that everyone I talk to who has used vista, and who knows dick about computers just knows it's crap. It's bloated crap because they keep adding on and adding on and eventually if you keep building up too high the tower is going to fall right? Some of my friends are even considering switching to a mac for their next system. Personally, I'm sticking with XP for as long as I can and then moving to linux or OSX afterwords.

  78. You give them too little credit. by Kadin2048 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I think maybe you're not giving those folks back in centuries past too little credit. From the New York Times, December 17, 1906:
    [T]he telephone is a nuisance as well as a convenience and a blessing without which, it seems now, life would be almost impossible and business quite so. When we ourselves "call up," of course it is all right, but when others do it the rightness is often rather deeply veiled, and we resent not a few of the demands upon our time. And yet everybody "answers the 'phone," interrupting almost any occupation to do it. How will it be when we're told, not that somebody's "on the wire," but that somebody's "on the air," and we are exposed to answer calls from any part of the atmosphere?
    That statement was made an easy 80-90 years before cellphones became ubiquitous, but yet easily foresaw the convergence of two distinct and at the time emerging technologies (the telephone, just reaching critical mass at the time, and radio, relatively new).

    So anyway, a bright person a century ago would probably have believed, given sufficient explanations, most of the technology we have today. Cellphones are just radios plus telephones; televisions just small movie screens; automobiles are significantly faster but still easily recognizable for what they are. It is only when you start to drill down into the underlying technology and infrastructure that enables modern devices that they truly would astound someone living a century ago.

    The "futurists" of the late 19th and early 20th century predicted many of the technological developments of the past 100 years remarkably well (obviously not in detail, but conceptually in many cases they were right on). You would have to go back further than that, to eras when people were not used to continuous change -- where it was not expected that the world one grew up in would be different than the world one's children would inherit -- in order to find people who would be unable to conceive of our current state.

    To be perfectly honest, I think many a person from the early 20th century would be a little disappointed if they were suddenly transported forward to the current day. Although many things have changed, a great many other things have not or are at least recognizable equivalents of devices or activities present 100 years ago. Someone who expected the rate of progress seen during the period from 1800 to 1900 to continue and increase, might find life in 2000 startlingly familiar (and sadly devoid of flying cars).
    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    1. Re:You give them too little credit. by David+Off · · Score: 1

      It is a good point. By 1900 much of the basic physics behind current technologies was known so it was possible for a scientist or scientifically educated person to look at an idea and decide whether it made some sense. The other thing is many inventions over the past 50 to 100 years have been refinements or mass production of existing technologies. Think about what is important around the home... fridges, vacuum cleaners, cookers, cars, all existed in 1900. As the saying goes, plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose.

      At the same time things like DVDs would maybe have appeared as outlandish as say the colonisation of Mars. In 1900 we could accept that maybe it would be possible to store an entire library on a silver disk but the technology to do this such as the laser, was unknown. Same for coloniation, we know we can fly to other other planets but the technology that would enable pratical colonisation of those planets is unknown. My suspicion is that with the physics knowledge in 1900 the laser was probably less outlandish than some envisiging today a kind of motor that can transport a mass of several tonnes many hundreds of millions of km in say a month rather than 6-12 months.

    2. Re:You give them too little credit. by theStorminMormon · · Score: 1

      To be perfectly honest, I think many a person from the early 20th century would be a little disappointed if they were suddenly transported forward to the current day. Although many things have changed, a great many other things have not or are at least recognizable equivalents of devices or activities present 100 years ago. Like toilets. In the age of the Internet is that really the best we can do?

      -stormin

      --
      The Southern Baptist Convention has creationism. On Slashdot, we have porn.
    3. Re:You give them too little credit. by joss · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Go to Japan

      --
      http://rareformnewmedia.com/
    4. Re:You give them too little credit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Someone who expected the rate of progress seen during the period from 1800 to 1900 to continue and increase, might find life in 2000 startlingly familiar (and sadly devoid of flying cars).

      Sod flying cars, today we have flying BUSES! Given that the first powered heavier-than-air flight had not occured in 1900, I would suggest the fact that we can travel 1000's of miles in a few hours in a freaking flying bus would be pretty amazing to someone from 1900.

  79. Opening sentence double-negative correction by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

    The opening sentence contains an improper double-negative. It should read: "I think maybe you're not giving those folks back in centuries past enough credit."

    (Why is it I never notice these things in Preview?)

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    1. Re:Opening sentence double-negative correction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      (Why is it I never notice these things in Preview?) For the same reason that newspapers have copy editors. It is very difficult to spot your own mistakes since you are using the same brain that made them to find them.

      I realize it was a rhetorical question, but after reading the entirety of your post, plus a few of your journal entries, I don't think you should worry overmuch about your precision. If half the members of this website were half as erudite as yourself, there would be a much better Wheat/Chaff ratio.

      (posting as A.C. since this is SO off-topic!?
  80. I predict that they will rely on Linux by wtarreau · · Score: 1

    I predict that Microsoft will soon rely on Linux existence to change their economic model. They will sell their productivity applications (eg: office) as net services, and people will use cheap boxes with cheap OS to access them. Microsoft will then put money in one Linux distro to help it package the light client as they want, then later will give money to a major web browser to stop maintaining its own for free, and will buy a few games editors to still make revenues from per-seat licenses.

    With this, they will not need anymore to care about the hardware compatibility problems, software piracy nor any of their current problems. They will simply provide online services to customers. And they will possibly provide some server versions of their applications to run in large enterprises who want their users to work locally.

    In ten years, when PC will boot linux from a linuxbios, to run games, firefox, and microsoft's MSN and free document viewers, people will think it was stupid to embed such a large and complicated thing such as windows on every user's PC.

    Willy

  81. "End of an Error?" by davidsyes · · Score: 1

    Darn, I guess I saw what I WNATED to see...

    --
    Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
  82. Sales by Z34107 · · Score: 1

    Don't compare one OS with one game when there are only ~3 OSes and 3000 games.

    Compare desktop sales with game sales. I wonder which one of those figures is higher...

    --
    DATABASE WOW WOW
    1. Re:Sales by jZnat · · Score: 1

      But people buy one desktop and several games.

      --
      'Yes, firefox is indeed greater than women. Can women block pops up for you? No. Can Firefox show you naked women? Yes.'
  83. Can't lead when you're hell-bent on following. by Kadin2048 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    But, let's set aside the fact that Linux is an excellent gaming platform for the majority of people who just like a simple game every now and again. Even if Linux had a perfect port of every single bloated, big-budget, proprietary computer game out there, we still won't see widespread desktop Linux adoption on home desktops in rich countries. People in rich countries can afford Windows, and they see no compelling reason to switch away. Linux won't provide a compelling reason for most users to switch. They'll switch to Mac before they switch to Linux.

    Ding ding ding! Seriously, you should get a prize or something.

    You can't replace Windows with Linux, when a lot of Linux development seems to be centered around making Linux as much like Windows as possible. As bloated and generally inelegant as Windows is, most people just don't have a very compelling reason to switch away from it. And cost isn't a big factor, since most people don't 'see' the cost of Windows in any direct fashion anyway. (And the people who do see the cost directly -- principally barebones builders -- can just pirate it and always will.)

    As long as Linux is trying to 'catch up' to Windows, it can't ever surpass it and provide any convincing reasons for people to switch.

    Apple, over the past 5+ years, has done a good job of giving users reasons to switch to their platform, and they didn't do it by trying to emulate the market leader. They picked a few things that they thought they could do better (multimedia, "digital hub" functions, ease of use) and concentrated their effort there. When you use a Mac, you know you're using a Mac -- they don't attempt to 'out-Windows' Windows, and that's what I see a lot of Linux distros trying to do. (Look at KDE's default skin and tell me that's not the out-of-wedlock child of Windows 98 and XP.) The Mac OS, love it or hate it, makes a stand and seems proud to not be Windows-y; many Linux distros seem embarrassed and suffering an identity crisis by comparison.

    I'll end with one small anecdote: the most consistently impressive way I've found to show Linux to Windows diehards, is to show them a MythTV/Knoppmyth box. Why is it so impressive? Because it's something that their Windows PC just can't do (admittedly, I suppose MCE+SnapStream is close, but most people have never heard of it). You're not going to win admiration and envy by showing a Linux machine running OpenOffice and editing a spreadsheet; acting proud of that just makes Linux look like a joke. (Again, it's somewhat cool that it's all free, but not that impressive to most people.) But when you show a Linux machine doing something that most people's Windows desktops are just never going to do, and suddenly it looks a lot more interesting. And at that point, you can just drop in "oh yeah, it does all that Office-type stuff, too."

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    1. Re:Can't lead when you're hell-bent on following. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You have not seen MediaPortal, I take it. Open source, C# on .NET Framework, does everything MythTV does and more, and it's a simple install on an existing WinXP box. I messed with MythTV on FC 5, and the configuration just made me old. I was able to test out MediaPortal on my XP laptop, kicked the tires, then went for a vanilla XP install on my "media PC" (a Compaq Deskpro SFF 933MHz 512mb RAM), extra XP updates and crap, and had Media Portal on it 2 hours. Done.

    2. Re:Can't lead when you're hell-bent on following. by foamrotreturns · · Score: 1

      I show them my AIGLX + Beryl setup. They ask "Is that Windows Vista?" with a surprised, eager tone in their voices.
      "No," I reply, "It's better. And it's free."
      That's when they get really interested. Average Joes LOVE eye candy, and Beryl had Aero beaten before Vista was even out of beta.

  84. Say What? by Nom+du+Keyboard · · Score: 1
    But the current fear is that the Internet will kill Windows

    You say this like there's something wrong with it. Am I missing something?

    --
    "It's the height of ridiculousness to say for those 9 lines you get hundreds of millions."
  85. Preposturous! by nxtr · · Score: 1

    This "cell-phone" contraption you are foretelling sounds to be the tool of the devil. Next thing you will be telling me that the US Library of Congress that was just founded will have all its books stored in something the size of a horse stable!

  86. Service? Rental is more likely. by Xenographic · · Score: 1

    Honestly, I see them as being more likely to rent it out to you. That is, keep paying us or we deactivate your Vista XP 2010 install... I suppose they might offer "services" too, but I really expect them to be more likely to sell you the service of not crippling your computer for a fee.

    Still, I'm interested to see how some of these activation features will work out in Vista. How long before worms evolve to hold computers for ransom, too? Microsoft has apparently built that in as a "feature" already, and there's the BitLocker scheme, too... when Microsoft builds in all the tools to hold the user for ransom, what's to stop a greedy worm-making bastard from doing the same thing by hacking those tools?

    Hell, it should be easy enough to fool Vista into thinking someone's version is pirated when it's not, and offer to sell them a crack of some kind for half of what Microsoft would charge to reactivate you...

  87. the app is changing by Twillerror · · Score: 1

    I find it funny what is happening here. I think we are forgetting that the internet is just a medium to exchange data, not an application.

    The web browser is not the internet. The web browser is an application which read html and javascript instead of byte code to execute. Google's new spreadsheet thing is just a big javascript app that happens to save it's data on a server.

    MS is behind in that SharePoint is a piece of crap. They have not figured out how to replace the save dialog with one that works well. MS need Excel Server 2007. I don't have care if I have to install Office 2007 in order to access it, it has nothing to do with the client. In fact I'd prefer a thick client with some sort of caching so I could work on it from home.

    I've been Web developing for a while, and quite frankly the best internet enabled apps are still C++ apps that talk to the internet via HTTP or some other protocol. I wouldn't mind a google that was full bonified install this app.

    In the long run Ajax can only go so far. C++ is just a much more robust language then javascript will ever be. What I think we will see if Firefox as a module that you can manipulate with C++ code. DHTML is proving to be a great layout language...minus forms. I really don't think javascript is scaling...it works, but it only seems hacky to me.

  88. That depends where you live by msobkow · · Score: 1

    Saskatchewan is dealing with the last-mile problem for rural areas, but the major (and even minor) towns are wired. It's rumoured to be the best coverage in North America.

    Most of the Bell and cable affiliates in Canada have been dealing with the smaller towns, not just the big cities where ROI is maximized. China, India, and some other districts are going with high-speed wireless solutions.

    If you don't have high-speed and you're not at least 5-10 miles out of town, maybe you should talk to your local government to find out why you aren't getting service. At worst, you should be able to get an ISDN link of some kind without having to pay per-minute connect charges.

    --
    I do not fail; I succeed at finding out what does not work.
  89. Anyone else bothered by this line? by Wabbit+Wabbit · · Score: 1
    ...the technology editor at ZDNet, the industry website, said.

    The industry website???

    An industry website, yes. A lame industry website, also yes. But the industry website? Oh my, no.

    Unless of course the author actually meant "an" and this just a case of poor editing.
    --
    Nothing is inexplicable; only unexplained -Tom Baker, Doctor Who
  90. hmm... don't think so... by SuperDre · · Score: 0

    I think this is just pure BS, maybe some stupid people are willing to put up with Internet applications, but I (and I know a lot of people who feel the same) won't be using an online office kind of product. I still think the online products just plainly suck compared to their offline counterparts. I just don't want companies like Google to go through my things (like they do now with g-mail and their toolbar).. And what about using an online program when your connection is down? Maybe in 10 years or more it will be better, but the comming 5 years it certainly won't.. But then again, there are more then enough morons who are dumb enough to be persuaded by companies as google..

  91. Slashdot Irony by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

    Does anybody else find it amusing that on the same day we have a news article:

    Complaining about how slow boot times are.
    and
    Recommending a Net centric OS philosophy.

    If my boot times are bad from a highspeed disc array, I don't even want to imagine what it would be like to "boot" online.

    Speaking of which. What happens to your computer when the inevitable ISP crash happens? Whoops, no more computer. In my business, the internet is a funny little thing you play around with when you're not working, or when you're trying to find a problem. Any application that is more complex than Microsoft Word needs to be run from a local hard disk. Forever. Yes I said forever. Why? Because it will always be cheaper and faster. As the internet speeds up, so will Hard Drives. I need top of the line, just came out tommarow hardware and software, and that means some funky "universal" executable isn't going to cut it. It needs to be optimized and it needs to be fast. The internet won't deliver that.

  92. Spelling mistake by theeddie55 · · Score: 1

    Should the title not read "Vista, the end of an error?"?

  93. Yay! It's finally happening! Micro$oft is falling! by Terminus32 · · Score: 0

    Phew, praise Allah that it's nearly over!

    --
    http://nathanlindsell.blogspot.com/
  94. Nonsense by Money+for+Nothin' · · Score: 1

    So long as there must exist an interface between the user's hardware and their applications, and so long as both of those must be managed in a transparent, reliable way, there is a need for an OS.

    Saying "we don't need an OS!" is like saying we don't need TCP/IP to use the Internet. It's completely ignorant.

  95. Every OS is vulnerable to phishing by CastrTroy · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Vista's vulnerability to phishing attacks
    WTF does that mean? Every OS is susceptible to phishing attacks because it's not actually the OS that's the problem. It's the person operating the computer. How do you design an operating system that stops people from typing their password for one site into another site? It's not a software problem. It's a user problem. It's like trying to make a program language that doesn't let you make bugs in the code. It's impossible, and trying to solve it in software makes the users even more susceptible to the problem, because they figure they no longer have to learn anything. Passing the blame for phishing attacks on to the operating system, as well as viruses, and other malware, will only further the problem. Education of the users is all that's necessary. Apart from the worms that works it's way into the computer through an unnecessary open port, or browsers that allow code to be executed, or mail apps that execute stuff when they aren't supposed to, most of the blame falls on the user. So, there is some things that can be done to cut down the number of attack vectors, the stupid user will always be the easiest to exploit.
    --

    Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
  96. Chicken or Egg? by msobkow · · Score: 1
    The "futurists" of the late 19th and early 20th century predicted many of the technological developments of the past 100 years remarkably well...

    The more leeway you give to ideas when comparing them to cultures of the past, the farther back you can find a match. Check out the roots of the word "automaton", and you'll find a vision of robotics long before any of the current technology was feasible. "Science fiction" and "fantasy" have laid the foundations for centuries, if not millenia, pointing the creative thinkers of their times to ideas that seem plausible.

    Once someone tenacious latches on to a plausible idea and grasps the potential, it's a matter of time and sweat equity; a matter of "when", not "if".

    --
    I do not fail; I succeed at finding out what does not work.
  97. Intelligence is rare. by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 1

    We are the first species in the history of the planet with any technical ability.

    If we go away, there could be 200 or 300 million years without the reappearence of an intelligent creature, if at all....

    --
    IANAL but write like a drunk one.
  98. Get out of your basement for bunnies sakes. by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 1

    Who drives IT adoption are companies, big ones mostly.

    Gamers are a pitiful nice market. Now that Linux is starting to be installed in government offices and as thin clients in big coroporations people are going to get used to it and many will take the jump at home.

    The immense majority of computer users play games in their consoles, not in their home computers.

    --
    IANAL but write like a drunk one.
    1. Re:Get out of your basement for bunnies sakes. by rucs_hack · · Score: 1

      possibly true, but since I am neither a corporation nor a console owner, and no no-one who is especially keen on console gaming other then my kid, I can't speak for those demographics.
      Plus my kid is more keen on counterstrike then his console anyhow.

      I don't know about that majority though. I hear this bandied about, but I see no figures to prove it.

  99. Can OSS compete? by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 1

    Let me give you a clue. Most of it does not cost anything to the end user.

    --
    IANAL but write like a drunk one.
    1. Re:Can OSS compete? by leabre · · Score: 1

      Let me give you a clue. Most of it does not cost anything to the end user.

      But it does. Lets just talk cost and no other factors. If the user does not pay for usage of an OSS web application (managed by someone else, as that's normally what we're talking about when discussing web applications)... then how will the bandwidth bill be floated once it gets popular? The way I see it, there are numerous concerns at play here:

      1) The user pays nothing. The host must pay for bandwidth. If it gets too popular, the host must also provide the means to scale which costs money. The host, must find a way to pay such costs.

      2) Advertisers will not pay to get their message to every hosted OSS web application so, while a few will get the advertising dollars and the advertisers will get exposure, there won't be enough money to support the number of hosted web applications sans the number of sourceforge projects.

      3) While small and medium sized companies *might* use a hosted OSS web application, what'll most likely happen is that they'll take the source and install it on their own servers in which case its not really the same as a web application in the sense that someone else is hosting, maintaining, and looking after scaleability as users are daily added. Large companies may not use OSS hosted web applications for various reasons, but they'll have no problems using subscription web application ala' salesforce. 165,000 users each paying roughly $65 USD.

      4) Patents. I can foresee many hosted proprietary enforcing their patents and OSS being left in the dust. There may be forces to mitigate that in the future but I still see it as a threat from they eyes I have today. I mean, netflix has their queue patented so others can't compete using a queue... I would expect others to do the same.

      5) What might happen when some OSS web application grow too large and have hefty bandwidth expenses and advertising revenue is less than sufficient, there might end up being some companies that user their own datacenters to host the application and for a fee will provide you access. At the same time, they'll keep the source-code up-to-date with the latest changes and look after scaleability and so on. In that sense, there might be various companies hosting the same application but you have to pay. But when I think hosted OSS web applications, and in the context of your point about it costing nothing, I'm thinking that you won't need to pay a fee and can just use it without expense from your end. To that point, I don't know whether hostied OSS web applications (or rich internet applications) will truly work. Someone has to foot the bill, and if not the user, than who?

      But, considering Linux is free, I see a lot of companies (red hat, xandros, etc.) charging $200+ in the stores from their server editions. I thought they were free? But appearantly people (businesses) pay for something that should be free. So the same very well could happen with OSS web applications/rich internet applications.

      Thanks,
      Leabre

  100. Follow the Money. by ZugBonk · · Score: 1

    MS knows that the constant merry-go-round of operating systems is not, in the long run, sustainable. However, MS has no choice but to develop constant upgrades to bring in the dollars for the stockholders. This is also why so many applications are bloatware now. Add endless features to keep the users upgrading. A web based OS & Applcation suite with an always on broadband and "net device" would be a popular solution to casual home users who have small requirements. This would also offload most (not all) of the support problems MS faces. Be honest. How many of you have had to help relatives after the holidays because they accidently mucked up their computers with new softwar or upgrades. How many of them would be happier with a web device with no configuration needed. The concept of web based os and an application suite would also give MS the much needed option of charging monthly fee's for service. This would give MS the sustainable cash flow they so much desire without the massive overhead of continuous software upgrades. WebTV had the concept right, but lagged horribly (pun intended) in technical implementation. Google simply picked up on the idea of K.I.S.S. which is what the majority of casual users are looking for. Businesses on the other hand would be a hard sell for this, unless MS licensed the backend to the Web OS. Still, in the long run, how many of the slashdottians here see a time when they would abandon their existing computers for a web os? So in the future will we have to pay: A broadband fee, An OS fee, Applications fees, Printing fee's, and Storage fee's? That may not be your dream, but as a sustainable cash flow deam it certainly is Microsoft's.

  101. "...our business as we know it is at risk." by dpilot · · Score: 1

    That's the idea! Your business "as you know it" is SUPPOSED to be at risk. If in a dynamic field like computing and internet, your business "as you know it" is NOT at risk, you're holding everyone back. This stuff is still in a disruptive phase, and that means threatening existing business models.

    Look at the ??AA, for instance. Their whole beef is that "...our business as we know it is at risk." What has really happened is that the ??AA has 5 roles:
    1: Talent discovery and management
    2: Studio facilities and management
    3: Editorial
    4: Promotion
    5: Distribution
    In one fell swoop, the internet has made #5 almost completely obsolete, and has the easy potential to remove big chunks out of #4. Modern electronics makes #2 largely obsolete for the RIAA, and is starting to encroach on that for the MPAA.

    If the ??AA were thoughtful and wise, they would embrace this change and start learning to make lemonade out of the lemons. For instance, the disappearance of #5 means the ability to shed a lot of physical infrastucture and the attendant costs. It could completely change the face of a music store and its HUGE inventory.

    Instead, through legislation and judicial coercion they're trying to preserve "...our business as we know it" at the expense of innovation.

    Microsoft has classically behaved the same way, "managing innovation." What they really mean is that they're holding the pace of innovation back in check, so that they can remain on top.

    --
    The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
  102. Interesting you mention lasers. by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

    It's interesting that you bring up the laser.

    I once got into an argument with a theoretical physicist (who I really had no place arguing with, but he was kind enough to indulge me) over the relative utility of abstract theoretical investigation versus experimentalism. He brought up the laser as an example of a device which could have been invented much earlier, but wasn't because nobody would have predicted that it worked before the theory had been developed.

    It would not have been impossible to construct a simple gas laser in the late 19th century -- Tesla was working with neon lamps in 1893 or so, helium had been isolated a decade before that, and it's not a terribly hard jump from there to a laser assuming you can make a semi-silvered mirror (not hard assuming you have a vacuum system) -- but nobody ever did. All the parts were there, ready to be put together, but it took more than a half-century for anyone to combine them with the requisite theory and actually produce a usable apparatus. And of course, the now far-more-common diode lasers are a completely different story.

    So anyway, you are quite right that there are things around today which were in no way predictable 100 years ago. However, in order to appreciate the complexity of these devices, you have to know something about them. Where they are most amazing is in their subtlety; a 19th century person might look at a laser pointer and think they understand it (battery, light bulb, red lens, focusing lenses, right?) without realizing that the semiconductor laser inside represents more than 60 years of painstaking physics research. Not to mention the presence of the laser in such a mundane and inexpensive device; implying as it does the economies of scale and mass production that make it affordable.

    Again though, you can't really blame someone from the past for this attitude; we have enough people from our own time who fail to appreciate things that they use every day, because to truly appreciate them requires a deeper understanding of their workings than most people have.

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
  103. After Vista.. by StarfishOne · · Score: 1

    ... Microsoft will select the Darwin Kernel as the foundation for its next* OS ;D

    * not even any pun intended with the word 'next' this time..*g*

  104. It's the future by big+mike+kite · · Score: 1
    Is Vista the last OS?
    For end users I suspect the last OS that any body will pay for was XP. It's too costly to create a new OS and no-one is interested anyway. Can you name any advantages of this new OS?

    If every computer becomes the same
    All you really need is a browser on every public machine. An efficient modular array of drivers downloaded from the net for your hardware will hopefully enable games etc to run at near native speeds. The hardware and capablities of each computer will vary but the software they run will be the same and will come from the net. Who then cares if you're running GTA on a PC, a tablet, a game boy or a mainframe.

    Advantages for developers
    You reach 100% market all the time, all machines / all OS, everyone. People can try your software out with just a click and no one can copy it. Users would pick a payment method:
    • demo mode with reduced capability
    • micro payments based on usage
    • a one off charge to become a permanent user (from any machine)
    • or use it for free and put up with the advertising


    Advantages for end users
    Do you really care if you're editing via word or some new web based editor with the same interface and speed The only changes you notice is that
    • everything is now backed up with a history of changes
    • your stuff is available from any machine
    • upgrades will be automatic
    • and, if you want to spell check in Greek (OK I'm pushing it), then it's just a click away
    You be able to try any software before buying it You won't need to log in every time if you're using your own machine - it will recognise your ip address and cached id. You just switch a machine on (any machine) and see:
    • your latest docs in front of you - just click one and start editing
    • the games you like playing - click and play
    • the information it thinks you'll be interested in - feeds or web pages
    • media you might want to watch or listen to
    Virus's will be a thing of the past for end users Asking your neighbours 10 year old to come round and sort out your computer will be a thing of the past - it will just work.

    The future
    Obviously there will be problems but that's the fun of new directions. 3 years ago I was using a modem at home and now I have an 8Mb line and listen to internet radio on my stereo. If I was Microsoft I'd be very worried.
  105. what BS by jdcope · · Score: 1
    Security experts are acknowledging that Vista is the most secure of Windows to date.

    Then why do they need to sell us One Care?

  106. wrong by sponga · · Score: 1

    Have you even used Vista?

    People worried about their horsepower?
    Windows ME has come and gone with the problems of System Restore and bad drivers; people have moved on with their lives and that doesn't come up as an argument with common users as it was a different time in technology and came pre loaded on a lot of the hype of buying a new desktop.
    Vista actually runs a lot faster than XP when navigating and doing network activity; been running RC1, RC2 and now running Vista Ultimate RTM perfectly fine on all my old HP, Gateway and other customt built old computers. I loaded up all my extra computers with RC2 and backing up(Windows.old) has been very simple with Vista.

    Personally I am sick of having a million little icons in my quick launch for every little thing I need to do; don't mind having an all-in-one feature with Vista that runs seamlessly and as a tech user I am competent enough to maintain my OS securely. No DRM crap or anything getting in my way when I want to burn an episode of a show to my DVD burner like I did in XP except now it does it all automatically on Vista and adds chapters to it. Drag- Drop and press Burn thats it and it works perfectly on my DVD player; every media file I have works like it did on XP, Red Hat, Ubuntu with Media Player Classic and every other Open Source program I have that worked before.

  107. Too Late by YetAnotherBob · · Score: 1


    Read HG Wells War in the Air.

    He did predict all those things you mentioned, and he believed it would be the end of Civilization. Just like lots of people believed in the 1960's.

    --
    Everybody knows 3 people with my name.
  108. That's why I like Gnome by YetAnotherBob · · Score: 1

    It lets me do what I want with fewer clicks. Get out of the way is a great way to improve the desktop.

    Apple seems to be doing the same sort of thing, but I don't have one of those.

    --
    Everybody knows 3 people with my name.
  109. Apples and Oranges by YetAnotherBob · · Score: 1

    The Debian figure at '230 Million Lines of Code' is for the operating system plus around 20,000 applications. The Windows figure is for just the base operating system (plus solitare). Add in the code lines for Office, Photoshop, and around 100 or so games and other applications software to get a real Apples to Apples comparison. Also, each application is maintained separatly in Debian, so the huge undertaking is so spread out so much that in most cases one person can do it. Not usually so in Windows land.

    On the other hand, the Linux mantra of 'we'll release it when ready' is seen as a virtue for themselves. (Debian has a long history of this.) Why then is it a horrible thing when Microsoft does the same thing? (AKA Visa delays)? Personally, I hope that the system actually works when I get it on my next computer.

    Lots to think about there.

    P.S. You might like to look at the history. XP is built on a base derived from VMS (I think). so, if Apple is on Unix, Windows is on VMS. You don't have to change to go with VMS.

    --
    Everybody knows 3 people with my name.
    1. Re:Apples and Oranges by thc69 · · Score: 1
      XP is built on a base derived from VMS (I think). so, if Apple is on Unix, Windows is on VMS. You don't have to change to go with VMS.
      I would have to change, since I use Linux.

      That would be funny if XP could somehow be connected with VMS, but I doubt it, and a quick googling doesn't support it either.

      Windows, of course, has its origin in DOS. It was originally an add-on to DOS. According to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MS-DOS :
      "MS-DOS began as QDOS (for Quick and Dirty Operating System), [...] QDOS function calls were based on the dominant CP/M-80 operating system, written by Digital Research, but it used a different file system."

      So, as much as I'd like to see that, and be able to say "Hah! You like Windows? It's based on much-reviled VMS!", it appears to be false.

      Much to my surprise, VMS is still alive and well: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OpenVMS

      I used to use VMS on a VAX into which I dialed for my internet access. SLIRP was not available on it, so I had to do everything in a VMS shell -- and this was over 15 years ago, before I heard of Linux. If I wanted to download a file, I had to FTP it in the shell account and them zmodem it into my computer. Luckily it had zmodem, else I'd have had to use ymodem or -- god forbid -- xmodem (imagine, having to type in the filename!). Actually, ymodem-g was quick but I didn't have an error-correcting modem so I couldn't depend on anything transferred with ymodem-g to be uncorrupted.

      Thanks for the trip down memory lane. Until now, all I remembered of those days was that the VMS FTP client would tell you how much you've received and how much was left if you hit CTRL-I, a feature still not found in most operating systems' default FTP clients.
      --
      Procrastination -- because good things come to those who wait.
  110. Stupid hardware devices? by Nicolay77 · · Score: 1

    MS seem to be the only ones making the ergonomic keyboards I like to use. And they are high quality.

    That everybody hates MS for other reasons doesn't mean their hardware is bad.

    --
    We are Turing O-Machines. The Oracle is out there.
  111. answers by dna_(c)(tm)(r) · · Score: 1
    "4.570.000.000 years to be exact.
    That is not really exaxt..."


    The answer you are looking for is '42'

    You're welcome