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Afterlife Will Be Costly For Digital Films

Andy Updegrove writes "For a few years now we've been reading about the urgency of adopting open document formats to preserve written records. Now, a 74-page report from the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences warns that digital films are as vulnerable to loss as digitized documents, but vastly more expensive to preserve — as much as $208,569 per year. The reasons are the same for video as for documents: magnetic media degrade quickly, and formats continue to be created and abandoned. If this sounds familiar and worrisome, it should. We are rushing pell-mell into a future where we only focus on the exciting benefits of new technologies without considering the qualities of older technologies that are equally important — such as ease of preservation — that may be lost or fatally compromised when we migrate to a new whiz-bang technology." Here's a registration-free link for the NYTimes article cited in Andy's post.

395 comments

  1. Easy solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Store a copy on celluloid.

    1. Re:Easy solution by fyngyrz · · Score: 2, Interesting

      How about printing a few copies of a binary bar-code record in big books of archival quality paper for terms of a few centuries? Or how about blowing the bit pattern into any other format with some longevity on some nice passive substrate like a non-flowing glass if you'd like to keep them for a few millennia? Two hundred plus grand a year per film to maintain, my aching ass. Give me two million bucks - the supposed cost to archive just ten films - and I *guarantee or your money back* that I can design (and build a prototype) archive system that will reliably maintain digital films such that they can be recovered many centuries from now with no more "yearly archival cost per film" than a roof over its digital head. Error correction and all. All this story demonstrates is that someone isn't taking proper advantage of the technical community.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    2. Re:Easy solution by Dare+nMc · · Score: 1

      Give me two million bucks - the supposed cost to archive just ten films - and I *guarantee or your money back*

      Article says movie industry makes ~1/3 of their profit comes from the archives. With it costing $200 million to make these movies, you going to have to come up with a trillion $ guarantee if just half those movies are a hit and something goes wrong.

      $$$ does seam excessive, I think I see the issue. They want to archive the day after shooting, and forget about it for 15 years. Their are plenty of digital media that could survive that time, but the devices to play back the media won't survive that long in storage. A facility for all movies a sort of library of congress for movies could solve this cheaper (per movie anyway), but then security is a hassle, since copies would be so easy for the staff...
      Where as their film required such expensive equipment to play/copy, and no yearly upkeep needed, they need a new model.
    3. Re:Easy solution by fyngyrz · · Score: 2, Interesting

      No. The trick here is only half archival; the other half - and it's not complex, just apparently not obvious - is that it should take any half-competent tech no more than a day or so to rig up a reader using discrete components of current technology, the task having intentionally made simple. An optical diode, resistors, a transistor, maybe a lens system and an XY table. Not "drives" and metaconstructs like them. This way, the components can be emulated if required (doubtful, but possible) by higher technology. The format needs to be blind-dumb-simple, as does the error correction; row-column EC will allow recovery of single lost datums and is trivial to implement. If it is easy to do today, it will be easy to do tomorrow. Once that is done, you can construct as sophisticated a reader as you like, all the while knowing that if worst comes to worst, some half-smart high schooler can recover the data given enough time and $100 in parts.

      You misunderstood my guarantee, too; I was guaranteeing that I could get the job done and archive, and recover, a movie in this fashion, making a maintainance free storage method that did not suffer from unrecoverability. I was not guaranteeing the data; they have to provide physical security for it, and I have no control over that, so I couldn't possibly make any promises in that area. I *could* sell them some land in Montana; I just bought two city lots and the 5000 sq ft building on them for 25 grand. Taxes are low, too. ;-) There's plenty more where that came from - hundreds and hundreds of square miles. Thousands, even. Storage space isn't a problem unless they insist it be in LA, which - of course - would be stupid. It should be in a geologically stable area with a high speed pipe and reliable power, that's all.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    4. Re:Easy solution by Enlightenment · · Score: 1

      Well said--but I can see an argument, from their point of view, not to hook up such a treasure trove to the Internet at all.

    5. Re:Easy solution by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      They can put in a fast private pipe directly to LA if they like. They need access if they want to use the archive, that's all. Nothing stopping them from having a huge HD (or data storage device of the day) couriered to them, either. It'd still be cheaper than land in LA by a huge margin.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    6. Re:Easy solution by IvyKing · · Score: 1

      I *could* sell them some land in Montana; I just bought two city lots and the 5000 sq ft building on them for 25 grand. Taxes are low, too. ;-)


      You better have some good insulation on those buildings, eastern Montana has some pretty extreme temperature swings between winter lows and summer highs (my dad was from Miles City). The whole point of storing film underground is to minimize temperature swings - though digital media would presumably be a lot less sensitive.

    7. Re:Easy solution by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      I presume any facility designed - or retrofitted - for archival use will be properly insulated and environmentally controlled, of course. I'm about 120 miles from Miles city, further north.

      Anyway, this wouldn't be film or magnetic, and a good choice of media would survive huge temperature swings in storage. Which is not to say they should happen, just that they wouldn't be harmful.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    8. Re:Easy solution by McFadden · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Given the insane amounts of data involved, I would imagine hooking it up to the 'net would provide an immediate threat. In fact I'd deliberately go down that route. I'd probably start by calling Google, and saying "Hey Schmidt, we'll give you access to the entire history of American film, and a 10 year agreement into the future, the rights to index it and make it searchable in whatever way you see fit, and allow you to provide limited 30 seconds-at-a-time clip downloads (of Youtube quality) based on searches. All you have to do is maintain a master archive it for us to a standard we both agree on."

      I'd imagine the big G would fall over themselves to do it. And it would cost the movie industry zilch.

    9. Re:Easy solution by IvyKing · · Score: 1
      I checked your homepage and noticed the Glasgow address - did my check ride for my pilot's license from the Glasgow airport (back when Nixon was prez). Order of hazards there for a data warehouse would be windstorms, thunderstorms or a severe cold spell.


      Media that would survive large temperature swings would have to be fairly flexible, very hard material will have problems with cracking. OTOH, the media would have to be stored in a controlled environment - should be little to no expansion/contraction.

    10. Re:Easy solution by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      I think the thing would be underground, at least that's how I picture it. That ameliorates all of those hazards significantly. Heat and cold can be a non-issue, just insulate enough and dig down a story. The geology is good for that in a number of places around here, all megacheap, land wise.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  2. Linus has already solved this problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    "Only wimps use tape backup: real men just upload their important stuff on ftp, and let the rest of the world mirror it."

    - L. Torvalds

    1. Re:Linus has already solved this problem by mdmkolbe · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Only wimps use tape backup: real men just upload their important stuff on ftp, and let the rest of the world mirror it."
      - L. Torvalds I know that's moded funny, but that might actually be a very good argument for "open sourcing" movies.
    2. Re:Linus has already solved this problem by ianare · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The problem with this type of storage and distribution, is that it strongly favors only what is popular. This is exactly what happens with bittorrent sites like isohunt or pirate bay, and with usenet as well. You'll have no problems finding the latest and greatest blockbuster in HD (until the excitement wanes of course), but try finding some obscure independent film, or a foreign film and you'll be lucky to get a low quality version.

    3. Re:Linus has already solved this problem by DMoylan · · Score: 2, Informative

      we'd be missing a lot of dr. who episodes if it weren't for folks who copied the original broadcasts. not bad for the 60s.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doctor_Who#Missing_episodes

    4. Re:Linus has already solved this problem by Hymer · · Score: 1

      That could be a good argument for opening everything.
      We would however need massive storage and financing for the webarchive project (and a mirror of it at least two other places on earth).

    5. Re:Linus has already solved this problem by ricree · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The problem with this type of storage and distribution, is that it strongly favors only what is popular.
      This comment really hits the nail on the head. Even worse is that it only favors what is popular at a given moment. What is popular today might not be as popular tomorrow, and what is popular after that could be different still. If we relied on the interest of individuals to preserve content, then all it takes is one uninterested generation for valuable content to be lost forever. It doesn't matter if people for the next thousand years would love to have that content, since once it is gone it is gone forever.

      Systematic and planned archives are a way of normalizing out these sorts of temporary trends. When we take care to preserve the past, then we are making sure that future generations have the opportunity to decide what is and is not worth paying attention to.
    6. Re:Linus has already solved this problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Queen is a woman, you insensitive clod.

    7. Re:Linus has already solved this problem by dwater · · Score: 1

      Also, people would probably only want to keep stuff around for a little while - to minimize being spotted by the likes of the MPAA. Of course, if it were made explicitly legal, then perhaps this is realistic.

      --
      Max.
    8. Re:Linus has already solved this problem by Frozen+Void · · Score: 1

      Its like a karma at work:Most copyrighted stuff eventually goes extinct,while free information survives(if its popular).Given the rise of draconian anti-piracy laws in most of the world(and big business aiming to create more and more
      of them) the past movies would be as available as ancient manuscripts(in terms of number of surviving copies).

    9. Re:Linus has already solved this problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From an archival standpoint, it would be great to have a illegal digital copy "in the wild" upon release. That eliminates the problem of George Lucases continually rewriting your history.

    10. Re:Linus has already solved this problem by BigBlueOx · · Score: 1

      The problem with this type of storage and distribution, is that it strongly favors only what is popular

      One need only adopt the Oxian Program for Digital Immortality to overcome this problem.

      Step one: insert gratuitous picture(s) of Natalie Portman's boobies
      Step two: make available on BitTorrent

      Presto! This work will be available online forever

      Things are much simpler if you just relax and work within the system. Really.

  3. $208,569 by entertainment · · Score: 1

    Thats 416 1 TB drives - more than enough to backup the digital data for a few feature films several times....

    1. Re:$208,569 by Brian+Gordon · · Score: 1

      Um, you can't rely on a hard drive for long term storage. I'd try flash memory or maybe even a punch-card-type system with machine readable data printed/stamped/cut on paper. But their price quoted really is insane.. anyway who would even want to save the spew of garbage pouring out of studios these days?

    2. Re:$208,569 by MarkRose · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's not just the finished product, it's all the footage they keep around for different editions, remastering, deleted scenes, etc. And the source material is often not compressed in a lossy format. Sure, 4000 TB will store a lot of DVDs, but it won't store many movies in raw format. And only a fool wouldn't also have backups.

      --
      Be relentless!
    3. Re:$208,569 by thegnu · · Score: 5, Funny

      They had to hire an MSCE to migrate the data from proprietary Windows Long-Term Archival Backup Media Video format (.wltabmv) to the new, safer (from pirates and such, arrr) long-term Windows Long-Term Protected Archival Backup System Against Pirates And Intellectual Property Theft Format Media Video (.wltpabsapaiptfmv)

      And some, god help them, migrated to Apple's Almost Better Than The Competition So You Can Feel Better About Using A Proprietary Format For Only Three Dollars a Pop Codec (.aabttcsycfbauapffotdapc). Those Apple Engineers cost bocoup bucks.

      --
      Please stop stalking me, bro.
    4. Re:$208,569 by omeomi · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'd try flash memory or maybe even a punch-card-type system with machine readable data printed/stamped/cut on paper.

      Yes, a punch-card system is perfect...until somebody drops the deck...

    5. Re:$208,569 by Spudtrooper · · Score: 2, Funny

      A game of 52 Million Card Pickup, anyone?

    6. Re:$208,569 by Talez · · Score: 1

      I would have thought that after such technological leaps and bounds that putting the order number of each card at the bottom in some kind of Arabic numerals or at least Cuneiform writings would be within our reach...

      I thought wrong...

    7. Re:$208,569 by ducomputergeek · · Score: 1
      But the real question is, will it support Red-Ray, or HHD DWDD BVD..oh and can you play MP48's on them?

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZqWv7kDRy8

      --
      "The problem with socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money" - Thatcher.
    8. Re:$208,569 by Froboz23 · · Score: 1

      There is obviously a market for long term data storage that does not deteriorate. The best solution that comes to mind would be a durable plastic surface with tiny laser-burned holes to encode the data. If you keep that in a cold dark room, it should last for centuries. Someone's got to be working on this.

      --
      Take off every Sig. For great justice.
    9. Re:$208,569 by encoderer · · Score: 1

      In all seriousness, such media doesn't exist.

      Mass-produced optical discs are pressed or stamped.

      And "burnt" optical discs don't contain any pits/valleys at all. They contain a photosensitive dye sandwiched between inert plastic. The laser turns the die opaque, which absorbs the light, and simulates the pit/valley. This is why quality of blank optical media can vary so greatly. More expensive dye will retain its photosensitive qualities for longer than cheaper dyes.

    10. Re:$208,569 by rasper99 · · Score: 1

      You are supposed to punch a sequence number into the last six columns. If you dropped it you ran it through a card sorting machine. Sounds like you would have to use more than 6 columns for this amount of data.

    11. Re:$208,569 by Froboz23 · · Score: 1

      I know it doesn't exist. My point is that maybe it should exist. If you physically burn a hole in a surface made of a durable material, it's not going to degrade, as long as you keep it free from contamination.

      How did they store the data on the Voyager spacecraft? It's been in space for 30+ years, exposed to cosmic rays.

      --
      Take off every Sig. For great justice.
    12. Re:$208,569 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How did they store the data on the Voyager spacecraft? It's been in space for 30+ years, exposed to cosmic rays.


      And NOT exposed to wind, rain, daily and seasonal temperature swings, dust, dit, pollution, etc...

    13. Re:$208,569 by ThreeGigs · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The DPX format commonly used for digital post production uses about 35 megabytes *per frame*.
      My calculator says a 2 hour movie at 24 frames/sec will have about 175,000 frames.
      A few more button presses tell me that's a bit north of 6 terabytes of data.
      Let's quadruple that to include all the cut scenes and unused footage, to 25 terabytes.

      TB drives are available now for $400 or so each. They use under 10 watts idle.
      Building a 30 drive RAID would thus cost $12,000, and require perhaps 500 watts if run constantly, including cooling. Let's bump that to $15,000 to pay for controllers and chassis.
      Three such arrays (in case of earthquakes, etc... keep 'em at opposite ends of the continent) would cost an initial $45,000, take up perhaps 7u of rack space, and need 50 kWh per day for all three. At 30 cents per kWh, that's 15 bucks a day, or $5500 per year. Let's double that, assuming those 7u cost you $5500 a year.

      So... my numbers, triply redundant, come to an initial investment of $60,000 (profit, hey!), and a yearly cost of $20,000 (more profit!).

      How the hell they came up with $208k is beyond me. I'm thinking I should start a company that does this for the studios, it's looking quite lucrative.

    14. Re:$208,569 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And they use precisely 0 watts when un-powered and in storage...

    15. Re:$208,569 by Technician · · Score: 1

      and a yearly cost of $20,000 (more profit!).

      OK you have the first decade covered. Care to archive Sound of Music, Fiddler on the Roof, and Gone with the Wind? They are a tad over a decade old.

      20K/year X how many years?

      --
      The truth shall set you free!
    16. Re:$208,569 by Ochu · · Score: 1

      I'm sick and tired of all this anti-microsoft FUD. We all know the format would be called wbv.

    17. Re:$208,569 by leuk_he · · Score: 1

      It sounds like low amount if you calculate in pc hardware terms for 25 TB, really try to buy it. That kind of hardware is only build by high end manufacturers that put on a 600% profit margin.

    18. Re:$208,569 by wolfraem · · Score: 1

      The Voyager's data is stored on a gold record album. There's pictures on the craft to explain mathematically how to decode the data.

      http://voyager.jpl.nasa.gov/spacecraft/goldenrec1.html

    19. Re:$208,569 by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      It isn't exactly free, it has patent issues which many people ignore (just like with MP3) but your right it wasn't invented by apple.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    20. Re:$208,569 by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      Why would you need to run it through a card sorting machine. Just read them into the computer and have the computer sort the data. This might not work for the old computers that actually used punch cards as the memory wouldn't be large enough to contain all the cards (or was it?), but for new machines, it would be trivial to have the computer sort them.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    21. Re:$208,569 by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      That's just the data they want the aliens to decode. I Think your parent poster was actually talking about the computer programs that the actual voyager spacecraft is running.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    22. Re:$208,569 by paganizer · · Score: 1

      I think you have the solution; I'm surprised as hell no one is doing this.
      Change it a little, though. Take a Aluminum disc that physically resembles a vinyl LP, and use a relatively powerful laser, or heck, you could use a mechanical scribe, to burn or scratch (well, I think "mill" is the correct term) in the digital signal; then encase it in glass a couple millimeters thick. A little napkin math shows me you could store, mechanically, about 150-300MB per disc without much problem; a Laser process could take that as high as 10GB or so. Either leave it raw or use a lossless codec.
      Building a optical player would be simple and cheap, the discs would be cheap as hell, and would likely last 10,000 years without much problem. Even the writer would be pretty cheap, the most expensive part would be the glass coating process.
      We have obvious evidence all around us that people will pay ridiculous amounts for "Audiophile" quality recordings, I think the things would sell pretty well. I wouldn't mind having a direct-from-the-negative, lasts forever, PERFECT copy of Star Wars, myself, even if it did require me to change the disc 10 times.
      Hey! consider this "prior art", I release this idea into the public domain, yada yada.

      --
      Why, yes, I AM a Pagan Libertarian.
    23. Re:$208,569 by fbjon · · Score: 1

      AAC has less patent issues, actually, decoders are free from restrictions.

      --
      True confidence comes not from realising you are as good as your peers, but that your peers are as bad as you are.
    24. Re:$208,569 by TheGavster · · Score: 1

      Since the $200K was an annual figure, I suppose you could get a new 400TB array each year. If some portion of that is allocated for parity, you're not going to lose enough drives in any given year to lose data.

      --
      "Because Science" is one step from "Because old book". Try "Because of my experiment testing my falsifiable assertion".
    25. Re:$208,569 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Now that's the first good point I've heard all night!

    26. Re:$208,569 by OrangeTide · · Score: 2, Interesting

      flash memory is not really any more reliable than a harddrive for long term storage. At least if you're talking about the cheap high capacity stuff that you would need to store a Tbyte or two of raw data.

      A stack of archival CD-R or DVD-R, or actually pressing a master would let you hold the digital data for a few hundred years quite reliably. Just has a FORMAT.TXT on there to describe the encoding format(s) you used, just in case anyone forgets. And yes, a text file can be 1000 pages long, if it must be.

      And C programming language has been thriving for 30+ years, it might not be too much of an assumption to think someone could dig up a C compiler in 50 years and compile a straight ANSI C program. A program that converts My Weirdo Format(tm) to raw binary frames and audio with comments in the source code might be all that is necessary for transferring lost media. I suspect the source code for that could fit on your archival media and would take a tiny fraction of a percent of the space.

      I suspect that since CDs and DVDs are so prevalent and such an open format, that even a thousand years from now someone will be able to figure out how to read one and copy it to another medium. And CD's format is simple enough that it would be trivial to reverse engineer, if someone dug up our civilization in 10,000 years they could likely find the thousands of the various dictionary and language CDs out there as a sort of rosetta stone.

      obviously there would be data loss on 10,000 year old CDs, but theoretically you could pull something off the regular non CD-R kind.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    27. Re:$208,569 by compro01 · · Score: 1

      any particular reason why they need to be running? put the movies on the array, then stow the drives in a fancy climate controlled warehouse with their location indexed in a catalog system.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    28. Re:$208,569 by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 2, Insightful

      ...and then you need system administrators and a repair/replacement budget and technicians to do it plus a network connection and and extremely patient help desk support (given the MPAA's demonstrated understanding of technology). This will also mean you need a manager and a building to put the racks in, security staff etc etc etc. The staff and building can certainly be shared by multiple "films" but I can well imagine the costs of all these staff and there overheads will add considerably to the cost.

    29. Re:$208,569 by Windom+Earle · · Score: 1

      Okay, so the decoders are 'free' and the masses can watch their TeeVee and listen to pop tunes. I find it troubling that apparently the encoders aren't free. So what you're saying is that anybody can play 'em back for cheap, but there's an artificial 'royalty' type of cost to produce and distribute content. And not just a cost, but a licensing requirement. Hmmmm, that sounds a lot like some of the older technologies which sorta held a monopoly on content production in the past....

      Communications is a two-way process. Any open codec has to go both ways openly and for free. Though I guess people who own Apple stock might not agree.

    30. Re:$208,569 by svunt · · Score: 1

      So WTF does anyone but the guy trying to spin 73 different editions of one film into profit care? There's some big loss to the world if edited out material, bad takes, etc don't survive? And does anyone care if said dude (yes, I'm talking to you, Ridley "final edition, I promise" Scott) has to pay buckets of cash to preserve the bits that never made it to screen? I know I don't.

    31. Re:$208,569 by gnuman99 · · Score: 1

      The thing is, it will just become *cheaper* to keep that system running.

      Heck, even if you had 3 of these systems in 3 different geographical locations and moved data over Internet to sync it up, it would still be A LOT cheaper than 200k a year per movie TODAY and cheaper in future.

      Also, the 35MB per frame is probably uncompressed stuff. Compress it and you can probably save 50% or more with losing any quality - lossless compression.

      Finally, drives DO NOT need to run 24/7 to store data. There is that "powerdown" mode where the drive is still available, but not spinning and heads are parked. Makes failure a lot less likely and no money spent on wasting electricity for spinning drives and running AC.

      200k is a ridicules amount. It is a lot easier to store film in digital form than in analog - at least you can make lossless copies for storage in different data centers.

    32. Re:$208,569 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Today, they also store a lot of the uncut material. That's how we can get all those Director's Cut versions.

    33. Re:$208,569 by snoggeramus · · Score: 1

      All you really need is about 200 GMail accounts. Easy!

    34. Re:$208,569 by curmudgeous · · Score: 1

      How the hell they came up with $208k is beyond me.

      Their accountants used to work for RIAA.

    35. Re:$208,569 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You forgot to consider construction costs for the building, heating, maintenance, manpower, taxes, cost of checking the content, gathering the content, initial acquisition of content (gathering source materials, project files, and such from contractors). They are also NOT going to use DAS or NAS, they are going to use a very expensive SAN so the cost per TB has just gone up dramatically. They will proactively swap disks (every x hours of run time). Layer over the top of this the ever changing (and growing costs) of the intangibles such as electronic and physical security, access control, and as long as it is electronic they probably want multiple copies in multiple geographies so all of this is multiplied by n.

      I have no idea how they came up with the number but to 'cocktail napkin' a solution out of off the shelf components without taking any of the other factors into account is very naive.

    36. Re:$208,569 by Yvan256 · · Score: 2, Funny

      How the hell they came up with $208k
      Their system is for three backups with a cost of only 2666.67$ per backup, but since their two other backups are illegal copies of the first one, they added a 100 000$ fine on each of them.
    37. Re:$208,569 by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      Sure you can. You just have to maintain the system.
      While it might suck if we lose all of our feature
      films during the next dark ages, that won't suck
      nearly as much as actually being in the dark ages.

      Films simply aren't going to survive the worst case
      scenario: Too bad, so sad.

      Surviving the likely case is pretty easy.

      Robust storage devices and offsite mirroring.

      It's already being done for documents that are actually meaningful.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    38. Re:$208,569 by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      Don't worry. This is a longterm issue.

      In 17 years, you won't have to worry about that whole patent thing.

      Of course something much better will come along in that time but that's another issue.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    39. Re:$208,569 by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      What makes you think the audience hasn't already implemented
      PRECISELY what the MPAA needs. It's not like this is an unusual
      problem. The MPAA is not the only entity that ever wanted to
      archive documents. It's really not that complicated. There are
      already (outsourcing) companies setup to do this sort of thing.
      There are already companies doing this for themselves and IT
      hirelings that do this stuff as their day job.

      Some of them might even be right here right now.

      Shrek 3 is not exactly the most important or security critical
      thing that people are archiving these days. Like always, the
      MPAA is inflating it's own importance and thinks it's more
      special than it really is.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    40. Re:$208,569 by Big+Boss · · Score: 1

      That's a good point. Care to source a 30-channel SATA controller? :)

      I suppose you could use a large number of the available and cheap 4 or 8 channel variety and just use a lot of PCI/PCI-E slots. A single 7u size chassis should support that. Plus, if I were to try doing this, I'd spend some of the profit from the first year to have an EE work up a PCI-E board with a few of the standard SATA controller chips so I wouldn't need so many slots. The rest of the hardware is simple enough. You could buy 10 cases of drives at a time from Seagate, WD, etc.. The mobo, CPU, RAM are all standard and you don't need a huge box by today's standards to run a 30 disk RAID. Use software RAID so you can swap controller chips as they become outdated and you don't need to rely on company X producing the proprietary RAID cards forever. I'm willing to bet an Athlon X2 or C2D can run XOR fast enough to get the job done and still have enough left for the I/O you need. My Athlon64 server can have the RAID5 array going full speed without breaking 10% CPU.

      For more redundancy you could break up the size of the RAID into smaller RAID6 arrays and stripe them. Or use striped mirrors. In a single 30 disk array, I'd be concerned that I might actually lose more than 1 or 2 disks before even a hot-spare could be brought into the array. With redundant sites and fast pipes, that's a little less of a worry though.

    41. Re:$208,569 by headpushslap · · Score: 2, Informative

      Beaucoup. It is spelled Beaucoup.

      mod it 'informative', mes petits.

    42. Re:$208,569 by ThreeGigs · · Score: 1

      I budgeted $5500/year for all of the above under the bit "assuming those 7u cost you $5500 a year". Roughly equivalent to $500/month for lightly managed co-location. Not worth it for just one movie backup, although economies of scale would quickly make it profitable.

    43. Re:$208,569 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm pretty sure that 4000 TB would store a shitload of movies no matter what format they were in.

    44. Re:$208,569 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Better yet, burn it all to Bluray or HD DVD discs. Optical media is not vulnerable to the same things as magnetic media and has a shelf life of well over 100 years if stored properly. It also costs much less than buying a bunch of hard drives.

    45. Re:$208,569 by Chaos+Incarnate · · Score: 1

      Burning it as Blu-Ray- or HD-DVD-compliant video isn't a valid long-term solution, though; you lose significant amounts of resolution (the resulting disc's resolution would be as small as 1/16th of the original video, if it was a 4000-line source).

      It's possible that they could be used for raw data storage, but if we're talking about movies whose size is in the multiples of terabytes, juggling 100+ discs per movie is just a pain.

      --
      Benford's Corollary to Clarke's Law: "Any technology distinguishable from magic is insufficiently advanced."
    46. Re:$208,569 by swillden · · Score: 1

      extremely patient help desk support (given the MPAA's demonstrated understanding of technology)

      The MPAA is an organization, not an individual. In fact, it's an association of organizations (companies), collectively representing tens of thousands of people, a number of whom not only understand technology but are at its forefront. Like, for example, the guys who created and edited all of that digital footage, and managed its storage during production.

      Somehow I suspect that a movie shot and edited entirely digital will have a geek or two hanging around. And a studio that makes lots of purely-digital movies might just have one on staff. I don't think your help desk is going to be talking to the executives or their lawyers (well, not unless you screw up -- and in that case your help desk should immediately refer them to your executive and lawyers).

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
  4. Just imagine. by Veggiesama · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Imagine. A world without Alvin and the Chipmunks.

    Here's to hoping for a brighter future... for our children.

    1. Re:Just imagine. by pilgrim23 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Or, if they don't preserve Chicken Little, will the sky not fall?
      Seriously, IF the older films are an authentic art that deserves preservation, the why is most of it scrapped on the cutting room floor? why are all the really old films sitting still on their Nitrate Stock in archives in hollywood slowly turing from film to dust?
      AS others point out, released to the Net a movie is saved in various codecs, on various media (hard drive, tape CDR DVDR laserdisc even film FOR FREE just like music and most other data is. Horrible thought that; information in the hands of the people.... unsupervised, heck UN TAXED!
      In the 15th century the Church tried desperately to put an end to this new Printing Press because it was putting their scribes out of work. They even excommunicated printers. Now we do the same only we use Lawyers.
      I await the next turn of the wheel to see what damn foolishness humans are yet capable of..

      --
      - Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, minutus carborata descendum pantorum.
    2. Re:Just imagine. by CastrTroy · · Score: 2, Funny

      See, we don't need to archive the old ones, we can just make a new version of the old movies.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    3. Re:Just imagine. by swillden · · Score: 1

      why are all the really old films sitting still on their Nitrate Stock in archives in hollywood slowly turing from film to dust?

      In many cases, because it's illegal to copy them.

      Copyright on productions like film is often very complex, and on lots of those old films it's likely to be impossible to determine who, exactly, must give permission for copies to be made. It might be okay to make archival backups, but who is going to fund that? There are companies who'd love to resurrect that old material in order to see what money they can make from it, and they'd find it worth their while to preserve it, but not if as soon as they start using the footage someone pops up with documentation of the copyright interest in it they've inherited from their great-grandfather.

      This is what Eldred v Ashcroft was all about.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
  5. Why? by thygrrr · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Why is it more expensive to preserve a bunch of bits and bytes than, say, a reel with analog information, printed on some soon-to-be-brittle plastic? I'm very sure the latter will decay in a quicker fashion.

    1. Re:Why? by nurb432 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Because ultimately the digital storage is just a bunch of brittle plastic ( dvd ) and non permanent ferrous spots on metallic plates. Really its all the same thing, just now you have to also contend with a faster 'obsolesce' of your medium due to technologies lack of a long term memory and no respect for 'yesterdays' history.

      --
      ---- Booth was a patriot ----
    2. Re:Why? by hedwards · · Score: 1

      It depends what the specific file was. The original silent films were an absolute nightmare to maintain, the film material would break down relatively quickly, and was highly flammable.

      The reason why digital is so much less durable than analog films is that digital files are much easier to corrupt than analog. If you're storing your films in a cold and dry place, they can last a really long time, with digital it is somewhat hard to say how long it'll last.

      If you've ever seen the classic film Metropolis, chances are you didn't see a good 1/3 of the film, with digital, if they had been taken care of that poorly chances are you'd have nothing to watch.

      That being said, if the digital films are stored in a well documented format and are backed up using multiple media and kept separate from the other copies, regularly checked for changes, it should be significantly better in the long run as far as integrity of the film.

      Which is where the cost comes into it, it is a lot cheaper to keep a film cool and dry than it is to maintain a half dozen archives, complete with appropriate backup copies, and regular integrity checks.

    3. Re:Why? by xant · · Score: 1

      But the difference is you can make a perfect copy of a digital format. You can't do that with analog formats, there's always some loss.

      And since you can do that, you can also archive the environment and toolchain used to create and read it, so why the heck they don't do that I don't know. Store the Linux operating system it was rendered on, and an emulator for the cpu chipset, what's the difference? It's bound to be less data than the archival-format movie data they're already storing.

      --
      It's rare that you're presented with a knob whose only two positions are Make History and Flee Your Glorious Destiny.
    4. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    5. Re:Why? by tepples · · Score: 1

      Store the Linux operating system it was rendered on, and an emulator for the cpu chipset, what's the difference? Will you have a drive capable of reading the physical medium? Will you have a compiler for the language in which the emulator for the cpu chipset was written?
    6. Re:Why? by mj01nir · · Score: 3, Informative

      If you've ever seen the classic film Metropolis, chances are you didn't see a good 1/3 of the film, with digital, if they had been taken care of that poorly chances are you'd have nothing to watch.

      Actually, the damage to Metropolis is due in large part to editing rather than damage of the film stock. Metropolis was edited early and often; the only time the whole, original film was viewed was during its original (and brief) German first-run. Subsequent German, US, and other world-wide releases contained major deletions, reordering of scenes, and other changes which significantly changed the storyline of the film. The only reason that we now know the original order the scenes were meant to go in, and just how much has been lost, is due to the discovery of the original score and title cards.

      --
      the no .sig .sig
    7. Re:Why? by ILuvRamen · · Score: 1

      some video formats get a little confused when like 1 bit is bad in the wrong place *cough cough WMV* so if one cosmic ray hits that bit on magnetic media or it spontaneously flips or radio frequencies do something to it or whatever, then the whole thing is barely recoverable.
      btw they're gloom and dooming it up a little too much and I have to keep it real. If you put a non magnetic, plastic medium in an airtight, light proof box it will basically last forever. The shelf life out in open air for InPhase's holographic media is like 50 years or something so if you seal it in something, there's like 400 GB that will never degrade.

      --
      Google's Super Secret Search Algorithm: SELECT @search_results FROM internet WHERE @search_results = 'good'
    8. Re:Why? by roberthead · · Score: 1

      You might be very sure, but you're still mistaken. Yes, film decays, but it loses information very slowly and rarely *fails*, which is what every digital storage device will do within years or, at most, decades.

    9. Re:Why? by danilo.moret · · Score: 2, Insightful

      > Why is it more expensive to preserve a bunch of bits and bytes than, say,
      > a reel with analog information, printed on some soon-to-be-brittle plastic?
      > I'm very sure the latter will decay in a quicker fashion.

      Someone can throw the latter through the window from the fifth floor in case of fire and hope it will survive, while I had a HD worth tens of movies (just worth... cough, cough) that died from a 1,5 m fall. Plus, I can explain anyone how to take care of a reel (keep on a safely closed place, out of humidity, direct sunlight, check it periodically and don't torch it).

      You take money for a two hours course on how to take care of the place for six caretakers, salaries for three shifts a day with two caretakers at a time, payment for yearly visits of a security expert, investments in some fire prevention, security and environment monitoring material every five years, yearly bonuses, "update courses" and raises, good retirement plans and you can keep thousands of reels safe for decades at a relatively low cost.

      --
      ^[:wq!
    10. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Great, so the shelf life of the holographic media is forever. What's the shelf life of the holographic media READER? Even if the thing still works decades from now, who's going to be able to decode its output format? If you can decode its output format, what about calibrating its colorspace? What about decoding the Dolby audio?

      dom

    11. Re:Why? by noidentity · · Score: 1

      The key advantage of digital is that you can make exact copies, regardless of content). Surely this alone reduces the cost compared to anything entirely analog. And "loss" due to being in an unknown file format is at least possible to solve without losing any data. Obviously I didn't RTFA, so perhaps the format they use results in insanely huge files.

    12. Re:Why? by Dogtanian · · Score: 1

      Mod parent down, more MyMiniCity spam.

      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
    13. Re:Why? by Dogtanian · · Score: 1

      some video formats get a little confused when like 1 bit is bad in the wrong place *cough cough WMV* Video formats don't get "confused" per se, that'd be the decoder that has to display them. (*) And I don't know how difficult it would be to recover a damaged WMV *if* this was necessary and enough people were motivated to consider the problem of data recovery. It's probably considered not necessary because film studios and the like wouldn't use such formats for archival purposes; if your copy is corrupt you get another copy. And those using it for home movies are out of luck(!)

      (*) Disregarding that this is still anthropomorphisation, obviously :)
      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
    14. Re:Why? by rolfwind · · Score: 1

      Not really, with an analog signal -- you often need to very expensive equipment to get the best transfer results onto new media. You also often have to hand tune it just so at transfer time -- taking more human attention and thus money.

      With digital media, the 1s and 0s read and transfer rather easily (and infinitely). It will be expensive to keep multiple copies of masters -- but much less so than the old analog stuff.

    15. Re:Why? by Ksevio · · Score: 1

      I've delt with film that's several years old and it's in just as good condition as the new stuff, even just stuck in a cupboard with no environmental or humidity controls. Add those and I imagine modern film could last far longer than the digital medium.

    16. Re:Why? by Estanislao+Mart�nez · · Score: 1

      The key advantage of digital is that you can make exact copies, regardless of content.

      Unless the media goes bad, in which case, well, an exact copy of media that went bad isn't any consolation.

      The properties of analog that make it impossible to make exact copies are intimately related to why analog media can last longer: analog degrades more gracefully than digital. Film fades in a way that preserves many important properties of the original image, so that a faded film frame can still be very much useful. When digital fails, OTOH, it tends to do so in a more all-or-nothing manner.

    17. Re:Why? by rm999 · · Score: 1

      CDs are 27 year old technology, but it is still trivial to play anything on them; I don't understand the concern over obsolesce of digital formats.

    18. Re:Why? by supabeast! · · Score: 1

      Movie projectors are mechanical. Even if something breaks and new parts can't be found, new ones can be made. But what happens when video codec support gets lost over time? When new software simply will not play really old movies, but old software won't run on the current operating systems, old operating systems won't run on new hardware, all the old hardware is broken and the information needed to rebuild them was lost when some manufacturer went bankrupt and had it's headquarters demolished?

      The simple solution is just to only store video in lossless formats, and have teams of technicians constantly format-shifting films to new formats, check them for flaws, and repeat. That's going to get pricey. A lot pricier than just keeping films in temperature-controlled vaults.

    19. Re:Why? by ShieldW0lf · · Score: 1

      But the difference is you can make a perfect copy of a digital format. You can't do that with analog formats, there's always some loss.

      That's not loss. It's extra flavor.

      --
      -1 Uncomfortable Truth
    20. Re:Why? by harlows_monkeys · · Score: 1

      Will you have a drive capable of reading the physical medium? Will you have a compiler for the language in which the emulator for the cpu chipset was written?

      It depends on whether I'm a non-idiot or not. If I'm not an idiot, I'd remember that I had archived valuable information, and periodically I'd check all the copies, making sure I can handle them. If any are failing, they would be replaced by a copy made from one of the good copies. Also periodically, I'd note whether the media and technology of my archives is still well supported. If it was not, I'd copy the archives to something newer. I would not have to bother emulating old CPUs because, being a non-idiot, my archives would always be in a format easily used by current systems.

    21. Re:Why? by timeOday · · Score: 1
      It's a throwback to the earlier days of computers, when storage formats came and went much more quickly, and only a few hundred to a few thousand of each type were ever created.

      Millions of DVDs have been produced. They'll be readable for many years and can be easily duplicated.

    22. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but you can make a perfect copy of the digital plastic. The analog copy is the best copy you will ever see, the rest will be degraded further and further over time.

      This is a good argument for a RAID-like backup system.

    23. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Your second sentence deserves a +5 Informative; it's the short answer.

      [rant ON]
      Also, grandparent isn't seeing the big picture, but I'll assume it was a genuine question, as most people Just Don't Need To Know this stuff. How much does a piece of paper cost? Barring external damage and extremes of pH (like newsprint), that piece of paper and the information stored on it (like say, oh, a Constitution) is good to go for a few hundred years, maybe shy of a thousand if it was hand made without chemicals at all.

      I need three layers of technology just to spin up and read data from a 4 gigabyte IDE platter drive I bought 8 years ago, and that's just to access 8 year old pr0n! ;)

      Back to the topic, seeing as games like Doom3 involved terabytes of data for development, a digital motion picture like Star Wars with 4-5 hours of raw footage and god knows how many terabytes of ILM effects... well I can't really count that high, but RTFA for an idea of the level of complexity "born digital" masters involve. Do you really think they're going to "throw away the source code" and just keep the neat and tidy digital master? How will he make Han shoot first again, huh? Costs triple when you have to deconstruct it first!

      Okay, here's an example of how it was in 2000. Now, extrapolate data size and storage size and content creation for eight years... hmm, do you think there's a ceiling? What about the next eight years? Is that a logarithmic curve jumping off my page?

      Photography was invented 150 years ago, and we still have the first physical photographs ever taken. They may be boring, but I will personally kick the ass of anyone that says they're not important.
      [rant OFF]

      Bottom line is, technology and content is changing and growing so fast, we no longer have TIME to decide or realize what of it is actually important, or the BUDGET to actually save it all indefinitely.

    24. Re:Why? by edwardpickman · · Score: 1

      There are viewable films that are over a hundred years old. Nitrate stock was less stable than current safety film but there are still plenty of surviving films. The stock may degrade but there's stil a viewable image 50 to a 100 years later. Photos have even last longer with the oldest being nearly 200 years old. We're having trouble accessing data that's a few decades old. Storage is one problem given the rapidly changing formats but the single biggest problem is an utter lack of standards. If you want to watcha beta tape you need to hit Ebay for an aging player made in the 80s. The truly ironic thing is the earliest electronic broadcasts were all saved on film not in an electronic film. Film has been the best way to archive to date. The reason is all you have to do is pass a light through it to get an image. Analogue forms of storage are more straightforward. When record needles died people have been known to use a nail instead. It would destroy the medium on the first playing but you got out sound. Try that with a CD. It's why the Voyager recordings were made on a golden record disk. If an alien set us one we could figure out who to play it and on a galactic scale we aren't very bright. There are long term means so storing digital information but the real problem will always come back to standards. Until we commit to a single standard long term storage is hopeless. Just imagine film. Say everyone used different sizes much like they used to, 8mm, Super 8, 16mm, 35mm, 70mm. The problem gets more complicated when you add in all the different ratios for wide screen, there are far more standards there than you think. Imagine having to build a projector just to play an old movie? Already there are hundreds of different formats and compression senarios. I think we are at least a decade away from locking down any form of standard format. Economics are the primary thing holding that back. It's like the old days when NTSC was adopted, everyone has there own system they are pushing. We need a lossless achiving format that everyone can agree on. It's going to take the industry coming together and agreeing on a single organization to oversee it all to avoid one group hyjacking the process and trying to use it to their own advantage.

    25. Re:Why? by psued0ch · · Score: 1

      Digital hardware was much more reliable in the days of analog tapes. Not to mention the formatting conflicts and licensing that will ensue over who has the right to store what digital work. A single, globally recognized protocol for storing large digital packets of information would be nice...

    26. Re:Why? by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      Yes, because no roll of film has ever burst into flames simply by running it through the projector it was meant to be played on.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    27. Re:Why? by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      CDs are 27 year old technology
      25 according to wikipedia (taking their date for "first CD off the production line") but that is red book audio CD which is a special purpose format that can only store one particular audio format and has poor error correction so it isn't very relavent to a discussion of computer data storage media. Yellow book data CD is "only" 22 years old. Recordable CD is only 19 years old.

      but yes CD has been a sucessfull and enduring format. So has DVD (about a decade old). In the meantime many other formats have gone through their complete life cycle. Formats that are aimed at unusually large storage capacities or other unusual markets tend to be particularlly short lived.

      A filmmakers archive is going to be on high end media due to the sheer volume of data, that means it will be on a format that is relatively likely to dissapear and is likely be new enough that the media longevity is not well known.

      If a film is popular enough to sell a run of pressed DVDs (a format that is both well established and has low media degredation rates) it is unlikely to be lost completely in the next decade or so and probablly longer (look how long VHS has stayed arround) but that isn't what this is about.

      The bottom line is that if the studios don't do the archival job well enough some less popular films (particularlly those from before DVD took off that the studio hasn't bothered to re-release) are likely to be lost completely and for many others DVD quality may be the best that survives.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    28. Re:Why? by Sponge+Bath · · Score: 1

      I assume an archival film copy would not be frequently played and would hopefully be used with specialized copying equipment that is kinder than the average projector. When I worked as a projectionist I never saw film burst into flame, but the mechanical wear (Century projector and Christie platters) would chew up a print quick enough. A year old print of Chainsaw Massacre (1974 version) I had to deal with was more splice than film after repeated repairs.

    29. Re:Why? by Stewie241 · · Score: 1

      While in principal, this seems like a good idea, but we have had many standards, and the reasons that the standards have changed is because technology has changed. The standard for distributing software used to be 5.25" floppy disks. This then was moved to 3.5" disks. Then, we moved to CDs, and now DVDs are taking their place.

      This, all because technology has changed. A standard video format today will give way as technology advances - we are currently moving from SD to HD. The resolution that might be standard today will not be the resolution that is standard 50 years from now (perhaps sooner). With the rate technology changes, standards just don't last. It isn't the media that fail to stand the test of time, it is the technology.

    30. Re:Why? by N+Monkey · · Score: 1

      some video formats get a little confused when like 1 bit is bad in the wrong place *cough cough WMV* so if one cosmic ray hits that bit on magnetic media or it spontaneously flips or radio frequencies do something to it or whatever, then the whole thing is barely recoverable.

      That is simple to address: You simply "wrap" the entire movie with, say, Reed-Solomon error correction using a relatively large ratio of parity bytes to data bytes. That will provide you with a huge tolerance to errors.
    31. Re:Why? by usrusr · · Score: 1

      "and was highly flammable."

      that's one thing that digital media has in advantage over those really old films, of which many are lost (and of which much more would be lost if those not-so-much-profit-oriented communists in moscow would not have decided to run a huge film archive): harddrives are less likely to be abused as fuel.

      we don't know how digital long term archiving will turn out, but one thing we already know: the content lost will be lost for reasons quite different from the reasons for loss in the analog world. and the importance of people being aware of the problem can't be underestimated.

      --
      [i have an opinion and i am not afraid to use it]
    32. Re:Why? by usrusr · · Score: 1

      the software part (codec) of the formats should be easily solved as long as you can provide source code and the code does not do any fancy hardware related stuff. think along the lines of a reference implementation that values correctness and simplicity over performance. even if one day there won't be any compilers for that language it should be easy enough to build a proof-of-concept quality interpreter, or a translator, since the bit and maths operations that make up a basic media decoder don't need fancy library calls that might be difficult to recreate.

      and languages going fully extinct seems to be less of a problem than it might seem, we still have infrastructure to run ancient algol code for example and even the plankalkül seems to have an implementation now, more than half a century after it was invented (but not implemented).

      --
      [i have an opinion and i am not afraid to use it]
    33. Re:Why? by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      > Unless the media goes bad, in which case, well, an exact copy of media that went bad isn't any consolation.

      That's only a problem if you don't engineer the media to be fault tolerant. This is a pretty simple problem and it has been solved for a long time. You just have to avoid being a cheap bastard. Even making multiple copies would help.

      This is how a lot of written stuff survived the dark ages. ...so really the real problem here is the fact that the studios want to "sue the monastaries out of existence". If all of this stuff had reasonable copyright terms, the entire planet would be at liberty to protect this stuff.

      So the real problems are...

      a) The copyright terms are absurd.
      b) Any non-authorized 3rd parties interested in preserving the data will be sued into ruination.

      The technology part is pretty trivial actually.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    34. Re:Why? by usrusr · · Score: 1

      and what i really wanted to say (sorry, got lost a bit) is that the physical format is the bigger problem: a makeshift film projector is easy to build compared to a makeshift DVD reader (but the makeshift film projector would certainly be more likely to destroy the archive copy, so it's still a very good idea to keep some kind of film projector industry alive at all times).

      That's why it's so important to focus long term archiving efforts on the one point where digital is superior to analog and that is copying. even the most stable media won't be worth anything if you lack a working reader and the complexity of readers has long reached a point where recreation of the technology is more than unlikely and things will get worse with rising data density.

      Having said that, it might still be a nice idea to have ultra-durable media as well (for those aliens-find-traces-of-civilisation-on-dead-planet scenarios), but not as a replacement for "active archives".

      --
      [i have an opinion and i am not afraid to use it]
  6. That sounds high by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Didn't RTFA, but aren't hard drives pretty cheap nowadays? Original 1TB movie stored in RAID, plus two identical backups stored geographically apart, and a regular, periodic refresh should not cost an arm and a leg.

    Assuming that a digital movie can be stored in digital format, on digital media...

    1. Re:That sounds high by thygrrr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I agree. Even if there is gonna be some overhead (pay the guy who swaps out broken drives), it's never, ever gonna be over 200 Grand per movie.

      That's silly. I'm pretty sure some "Consultant" came up with that figure.

  7. Well mosty of it is crap anyway by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 3, Insightful
    ... so who cares?

    Preservation was a lot easier when the media lasted longer but by far the largest problem is the increase in the amount of data.

    What is interesting is that old analog film & tape also degrades, but does so more gracefully. They also get degraded by reading, not just by storage. Archives of old footage etc have largely been converted to digital to allow older signals to be accessed without damaging the originals.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:Well mosty of it is crap anyway by DreadPiratePizz · · Score: 4, Informative

      The original negative is rarely ever touched, except to make more intermediate positives. Even when they remastered the star wars trilogy, they did so from the intermediate positives made from the negative. The original negative should stay in good shape for a very long time, as it's really only accessed to make intermediate positives, usually 3 or so after the negative has been cut. You can always make more inter-negs and release prints from these, which means that the negative will probably NOT degrade due to usage, but from the natural wear of the dyes.

      Also, the line in the article regarding digital editing is incorrect. Films are edited in digital form on the computer, but the edit decision list is given to a negative cutter who cuts the negative. There is no loss of quality editing digitally.

    2. Re:Well mosty of it is crap anyway by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well mosty of it is crap anyway ... so who cares? Crap or not, it is modern mainstream culture and thus needs to be preserved for historical purposes if nothing else.
      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    3. Re:Well mosty of it is crap anyway by Windom+Earle · · Score: 1

      Well, from the point of view of historians, perhaps it should be preserved. But it doesn't _need_ to be preserved. We can't look backward forever, and indeed, in order to move forward we need to be able to let go of parts of the past that don't matter. I don't hear of anybody who is stockpiling all the unsolicited junk mail they receive. Is anybody archiving all the spam email they get? What if a historican fifty years from now _needs_ that spam to study our culture of today. Maybe we need to assign a few of the 'keep all information, forever' zealots to guard the archives of penis enlargement spam from 2004.

      I know how the thinking goes, because I am pretty anal myself about keeping copies and records of everything. I recently shredded a bunch of financial papers going back a decade, because it wasn't necessary to keep them any longer. You can easily lose the important stuff if you try to keep _everything_ so the important thing is to prioritize what you retain and keep it well.

      The notion that 'modern mainstream culture needs to be preserved' sounds a little desperate, in a way. Like the kind of thing a narcissist would insist. Like, uhhh, you'd feel less important if someone pointed out that lots of it is totally irrelevant drivel? A few samples of it can be canned and put away so people in the future can check back and say 'yeah, it was terrible, wasn't it?' and move on to something important.

      Yes, yes, I know. We can't possible decide what will be important in the future. So we need to stockpile and hoard and keep everything forever. Unfortunately such practices will insure that the future does NOT happen. I guess we can all just listen to Beatles albums, since all the resources are being used up to preserve them, and nobody can afford musical instruments now.

  8. Why not just... by msauve · · Score: 5, Insightful

    release the file into the public domain and put it out on bit torrent? You'll get lots of backups made, for free. It will get converted to new formats, and backed up again, for free. Oh, you want future profits? Then quityerbitchin about the archival costs.

    --
    "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    1. Re:Why not just... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      I'm doing my part to back up as much of what hollywood puts out as I can. I'm not a pirate - I'm actually saving them money!

    2. Re:Why not just... by MrWim · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Only wimps use tape backup: _real_ men just upload their important stuff on ftp, and let the rest of the world mirror it ;)

              - Torvalds, Linus (1996-07-20)

    3. Re:Why not just... by dabadab · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well, the question is: what do you want to preserve?

      If just a DVD-quality copy of the final cut, then it's certainly not a problem.
      If you are aiming at preserving the final cut in its glourious uber-HD, lightly compressed form, things get a bit trickier.
      If you want it all - all the shots, the various data (textures, models, etc) used in digital production in their raw, original form, well, in that case we are speaking of storage space well beyond what you found even in a heavy torrent user's computer.

      --
      Real life is overrated.
    4. Re:Why not just... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Someone should start a 'savehollywoodandbackupmovies.org'.
      Creative commons licensing, etc. Hollywood should thank us for doing free backups for them...hey, I wanna get paid for my work in preserving Hollywood films! No more slave conditions of tirelessly using one's own bandwidth, media, burners, etc. free for the use of backing up Hollywood! :-)

    5. Re:Why not just... by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      Actually, this would be an excellent idea. It would nicely
      highlight one of the great social costs of the current
      unbalanced copyright regime. Some of the mundanes and
      politicians might finally "get it".

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  9. Poor future people by linumax · · Score: 1

    Does this mean no vintage porn in future?

    1. Re:Poor future people by LucidBeast · · Score: 1

      Redundant storage, over wide geographic, political and technological domain will ensure your future viewing pleasure of grainy plum flesh in motion. School book example of data that will last as long as humanity is around and beyond.

    2. Re:Poor future people by Technician · · Score: 1

      If moths don't eat the original French postcards and ASCII printouts, they should last quite a while. The new digital stuff is the problem.

      Anyone with a good Underwood should be able to duplicate the ASCII stuff.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Underwood_Typewriter_Company

      --
      The truth shall set you free!
  10. Archiving to film by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Too bad no mechanism has been created for conveniently distributing around the world hundreds of thousands of copies of a digital film on old-fashioned analogue media, eh.

    1. Re:Archiving to film by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      True, but if that did happen, the resulting torrential flood of copyright infringement would destroy the entertainment industry. Or so we're told.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
  11. Two-hundred-eight-thousand five-hundred sixty-nine by thygrrr · · Score: 1

    $208,569

    That number is also awfully accurate for an estimate.

  12. Meh. by Mouthless+Wolf · · Score: 1

    "We are rushing pell-mell into a future where we only focus on the exciting benefits of new technologies without considering the qualities of older technologies that are equally important" I want my vinyl records back.

  13. Plus other costs by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 1
    Hiring a CIO of old recordings: $150k/pa. Office space etc,...

    Nobody writes a report like this just for the benefit of the hard drive manufacturers!

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
  14. So pretty much ... by Ralconte · · Score: 1

    ... the same story as this http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BBC_Domesday_Project digital document? The answer is simple, copy it over frequently. Granted, certain obscure works will be lost from time to time, if they're skipped over. But so what? I remember once seeing a documentary about some old silent picture, as an example of pictures made on film stock that was rapidly decaying. It was a comedy about newlyweds, pretty much the same story that's been told time and time again.

    1. Re:So pretty much ... by bcrowell · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The answer is simple, copy it over frequently.
      Yeah, from the article, are several silly things are going on here:

      1. They're stuck in a 1985 mindset where the internet doesn't exist, and hard disks are very small, so everything has to be archived on tape, and the tapes have to be preserved in a salt mine in Kansas.
      2. They're stuck in a 1985 mindset where computer formats aren't documented, or the documentation gets thrown out because someone retires and cleans out his file cabinets. Welcome to the 21st century: you document the format digitally, and preserve the digital document. People keep on bringing up this silly old chestnut about NASA tapes; in this article: "Thus, NASA scientists found in 1999 that they were unable to read digital data saved from a Viking space probe in 1975; the format had long been obsolete." Welcome to 2007: you save the documentation for the format in, say, html, and write it to the same archive where the actual data reside.
      3. They're stuck in a mindset where file formats are secret and proprietary. Solution: use a nonproprietary file format.
      4. They're not just talking about preserving the equivalent of the digital theater release of some bomb like The Golden Compass, they're talking about preserving vast amounts of ancillary cruft, like the time when the director left the (digital) cameras running between takes while he complained that his double frappucino was too sweet. The colossal Hollywood ego believes that this kind of stuff will one day be seen as a vitally important historical document.
    2. Re:So pretty much ... by Veggiesama · · Score: 1

      I feel that it is arrogant to dismiss certain works being lost to time with a simple "so what?" If we care about preserving our history for future generations to study (if we didn't care, this wouldn't be an issue at all), then it's important to preserve all data, or as much data as possible.

      If we want an accurate picture of a person's life, then we don't ask for their resume. If we want an accurate picture of a civilization, then we don't just look at their self-appointed "greatest works." The study of history used to be simply about studying the reigns of presidents and kings, military battles, etc. However, nowadays we like to understand prevailing attitudes and opinions: the role of women in domestic life, what tools a hunter used, or what language a shopkeeper used in early newspaper advertisements. No one thought to preserve this kind of information, but anthropologists and historians are able to dig it up and analyze it through various means.

      Basically, if we want to present an accurate picture of our world for future generations to understand and learn from, then selectively choosing what to preserve and what to ignore will only hamper the search for the truth. True, it would take a herculean effort to preserve EVERYTHING indefinitely... but, shit, we have consumer-grade terrabyte drives these days. Those can hold a lot of B-Movies.
    3. Re:So pretty much ... by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      Out of curiosity, what are these nonproprietary file formats for the data they could use? Because I assume they don't just use simple video formats.

    4. Re:So pretty much ... by Belial6 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Maybe they are living in 2007, where they are paying a $200,000 a year licensing fee to a patent troll who got a patent for "A business process which preserves digital motion pictures".

      In all seriousness, the biggest obstacle to preserving a history of our culture is copyright. If the owner of the copyright doesn't care to preserve the piece of our history that they have their monopoly on, the information will simply deteriorate and there is nothing legally that can be done about it. We can only hope that the evil dirty thieving pirates save our history for future generations.

    5. Re:So pretty much ... by znu · · Score: 2, Informative

      DPX or TIFF image sequences. (These are the standard formats for high-end digital post production already.)

      --
      This space unintentionally left unblank.
    6. Re:So pretty much ... by RAMMS+EIN · · Score: 1

      ``3. They're stuck in a mindset where file formats are secret and proprietary. Solution: use a nonproprietary file format.''

      Honestly, I feel this is the point that the vast majority of people are missing. Most people don't even know there _are_ proprietary and open formats. And yet, this is so vitally important for future proofing...

      --
      Please correct me if I got my facts wrong.
    7. Re:So pretty much ... by jabuzz · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Apart from the idea that you would not use tapes I am in complete agreement. I would add they are stuck in a 1985 mindset where the internet does not exist.

      It is a pretty simple problem to solve. You set up a smallish data centre on three continents. You install some LTO4 tape libraries and start replicating the data to each over the internet. With LTO4 you are looking at ~600TB per 19" rack, and when you are not accessing the data (most of the time) you are not consuming power. Add in some checksumming and patrol checking of the tapes and problem sorted. In 5,10 years time you migrate to some new tape tech. That involves sticking some more frames in, hooking them up and telling the software to copy the data to the new tapes.

      Remember as well this is a high assurance system not a high availability system, so some of the expense of a datacentre can be saved. No need for that diesel generator for example because it does not really matter if you cannot access the data today because of a power cut. What matters is that it is preserved and when the power returns you can access it.

    8. Re:So pretty much ... by Windom+Earle · · Score: 1

      If we care about preserving our history for future generations to study (if we didn't care, this wouldn't be an issue at all), then it's important to preserve all data, or as much data as possible.


      'All' is a pretty expensive word to be using the way you did.

      Are you saying that nobody should delete their spam, because someday historians might want to sift through the spam to learn it's historical significance? I guess everybody will just need to put out their old hard drive and put it in the closet and get a new one every time their computer becomes 'full' because there's no delete function in their email client anymore, now that the preservationists are enforcing the new 'retention for history' laws.

      It's very VERY important to prioritize what is kept. Othewise you lose the signal in a swamp of noise. It's ridiculous to assert that 'we have no way of knowing what will be important.' The whole meaning of human culture is the gathering of knowledge and wisdom, not just piling up information somewhere.

      Basically, if we want to present an accurate picture of our world for future generations to understand and learn from


      It's very narcissistic to assume future generations will want to understand and learn from EVERYTHING to do with our culture. There's tons of stuff well worth forgetting.
    9. Re:So pretty much ... by Marcos+Eliziario · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but I will call bullshit on that.
      We don't need to store everything. This is stupid beyond belief. Historians will need some context about our lives, but they wont be interested in every single bit of trash that we've produced. Probably they will be interested in knowing that some of our teenagers where stupid enough to have people like Britney Spears as a role model, but they won't care about every single record from said Mrs Spears. It will be useful for them to know that our generation is so self-indulging that millions of folks with virtually zero literaly talent like to play writers with their half-billion blogs, but saving said blogs for the future is not required beyond some bits of the most important ones, and one or other bit of the totally brain-dead ones.
      Try searching something in google nowadays and come back to talk about information pollution: Lessons learned? Not everything is relevant, and too much information sometimes is the greatest barriers to the building of knowledge.
      Btw, History *never" was the study of "the reigns of presidents and kings, military battles". Maybe some mediocre teachers may have created this impression, but to said that history was just that is nothing more than post-marxist blah-blah-blah. Even really ancient historians like Josefo doesn't fit your simplistic description.

      --
      Your ad could be here!
    10. Re:So pretty much ... by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      > We don't need to store everything. This is stupid beyond belief. Historians will need some context
      > about our lives, but they wont be interested in every single bit of trash that we've produced.

      Umm... you do realize don't you that archeologists do things like "dumpster diving". They will dig up old garbage dumps and find loads of useful information. Archaologists dig up whatever they can manage to get access to.

      Having more stuff around just means that it will be more likely that SOMETHING is left afterwards to be sifted through.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  15. how much? by PhreakOfTime · · Score: 3, Informative

    I cant help but relate some personal experience here. I know its not production quality, or lots of information, but I recently pulled out my Apple IIe from storage. It included the original 5 1/4 floppy disks and drives.

    There was also a cardboard box with ~150 floppy disks, some as old as 20+ years. NOT A SINGLE ONE WAS BAD. Yes, "Zork" still works!

    Could it possibly be that the quality of media just isn't up to the demands of a longer life of storage anymore? We all know how Cadillac runs that racket, as in sell the crappy car, and make the money off replacement parts. Has media storage gone the same way? As in 'sell the media, but just good enough to work for x years' before being replaced. And with the demands to increase revenue year over year for public companies, perhaps that time-frame has become shorter and shorter over the years to keep the money flowing in.

    Or am I just being too cynical? But you know, a world where such works as "Zork" can survive and "Legally Blonde" can not, on their respective media, might not be that bad.

    1. Re:how much? by johannesg · · Score: 1

      I have the same experience with old, single-sided 3.5" disk (that's 360KB per disk). I guess the quality of manufacturing for the first set of disks was higher (later disks had cheaper processes that resulted in worse-quality disk), and possibly the lower data density might help as well.

      So all my MSX stuff is still there, but the Amiga stuff is pretty much all gone... Sad.

    2. Re:how much? by FlatEric521 · · Score: 1

      I've often wondered who comes up with the numbers for how much stuff is going to go bad over time. Half of the DVDs might be bad in 15 years? Where did we get that number? Are we looking at CDs created in the 1990s and seeing how they lasted?

      I recall a negative message about burned CDs that was making the rounds a few years ago saying that the media might not last more than 5 years. Since I didn't want to lose any content, I went ahead and setup a Linux based RAID fileserver, and copied all the files to it in addition to keeping the CD-Rs. Now, 3-4 more years down the road, I was going through my CD collection, and still can't find any dead ones.

      We need to learn the difference between the worst case scenario that we see in the news and the likely scenario that we will actually see. Remember, the newspapers (like the New York Times) get more attention when it is all doom and gloom rather than "maybe a few crappy films will be lost in 20 years due to digital breakdown."

    3. Re:how much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you're lucky and none of your CDs have become unreadable. I have batches of CD-Rs from the early days of recordable CDs which have literally fallen apart (delamination of the reflective surface.) Others are only readable slowly and with many retries. Those were $20 a piece back then. CDs and DVDs are not some magical digital objects. They're made of coated plastic which has material properties that are tested to see how long it will probably keep its shape, clarity and everything else which is needed to have a readable disc. Some of those predictions are wrong because they concern the future of new materials and processes, but then some predictions are very solid because they concern material properties which have been known for quite some time before the material started being used for storage media.

    4. Re:how much? by jacquesm · · Score: 2, Insightful

      that's an easy one... the bigger the bits the longer it will take to get them to demagnetize spontaneously, simply because more particles got magnetized in a 360k floppy vs say a 20 MB bernoulli drive or a harddrive platter.
      So, higher density = shorter shelf life. I've tried to read in some 10 year old DAT tapes, and no luck at all (not that I needed the data, just to see if it would work).

    5. Re:how much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      your cynicism is not misplaced. we only need to look at the lightbulb as a reasonable example of planned replacement to encourage sales. the format wars are only slightly different in that instead of having to replace the bulb, the socket is now also different, even though it plugs into the same wall. if you had only recovered the disc's, but not the computer, the information on them would be just as lost until you managed to discover another way to decode them likely costing far more. it also explains why the only true 'plug and play' still exists, the wall socket for electricity. that hasn't changed for a very, very, very long time. why is that? because the current system is rather lossy isn't it? but, the capital costs for changing the particular format of 'a/c power' far exceeds the ability to recoup the costs on a corporate side. given enough opportunity for a buck, or lack thereof, determines the consumer cycle of technology.

    6. Re:how much? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Better yet, switch it out for non-magnetic media. People might complain about DVDs degrading - but most of the time they're talking about DVD-Rs. For stuff like this, not only would I demand a dozen or so duplicate DVDs, I'd also go after a glass master, along with numerous machines capable of reading it stored in secure fashion.

      Then have an IT staff with a binder - each year they go through all the formats stuff is stored on and give it a rating - Modern(HDDVD, blueray), Current(DVD, CD), Outdated(VHS), and Legacy(Betamax).

      When something shifts to outdated, it's time to start updating it to modern. Priority on anything that makes it into the Legacy category.

      Roughly speaking, my standard is that Modern is the 'latest and greatest'. Current is 'accepted industry standard, commercially available'. Outdated still has new equipment being manufactured, but is clearly leaving the market. Legacy is where you can't walk into a store and order something, and anything you do get is likely used and possibly even rebuilt.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    7. Re:how much? by Fweeky · · Score: 1

      I have batches from just a few years ago which are unreadable. Some of them even have holes in them. Mostly it's the crappy cheapo media, but even the fancy ones aren't exactly super reliable.

      And people use these to make *backups*?

    8. Re:how much? by m50d · · Score: 1

      I don't think there's any conspiracy - rather, it's just market demand. Back when floppies cost $2, you started getting cheap taiwanese ones for $1; three out of every ten went bad by the end of the month, but guess which variety sold? Media manufacturers have sacrificed quality for cost, because that's what the market wants.

      --
      I am trolling
    9. Re:how much? by TempeTerra · · Score: 1

      There was also a cardboard box with ~150 floppy disks, some as old as 20+ years. NOT A SINGLE ONE WAS BAD. Yes, "Zork" still works!

      I'm surprised to hear that. It's a well known fact that the high quality graphical images Zork used are extremely fragile against data corruption - a single incorrect bit could ruin the whole image. After all that time I'd expect you'd only have the descriptive text remaining with an image or two if you're really lucky. It's a shame, Zork was a pioneering effort in photo-realistic rendering but you'll pay through the nose for a copy in original condition.

      --
      .evom ton seod gis eht
    10. Re:how much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Quite so. And I think this applies to digital formats too. And for digital physical media at the personal use level, I would categorize:

                SATA (modern), PATA and more modern SCSI varietes (current), older SCSI types (outdated) and ESDI, RLL, MFM, and other older drive types (legacy)

                For most older SCSI types, in reality it's usually possible to hook up to much more modern controllers, but the adapter cable itself is tough to find. PATA is probably moving pretty quickly toward outdated if not already.

                For data formats, there's certainly that progression too. For just my personal videos, I would say

              Modern: maybe H.264 and MPEG4 advanced profile. Lossless would be great if video bitrates can be made reasonable.

              current would be the usual MP4 and MP3 personally, but ogg too.

                Outdated for me at least includes physical DVDs and MPEG2, but it seems MPEG2 will be around for a LONG time, and I doubt it'll ever move to legacy.

                Legacy, I've got a few avis with Intel Indeo, and old Realaudio files that are like version 2 era or so, that mplayer won't handle any longer. In general any of the multitude of old 1990's era videos I have usually use weird codecs, and I probably ought to move them to MPEG4 before they become unplayable.

    11. Re:how much? by redblue · · Score: 1

      Old media lasting longer than new media is not necessarily due to poorer engineering practices coming into vogue. On the contrary, higher data densities lead to higher chances of failure. Think of it this way: twenty years back it took 1 million small magnets to store 1 byte. Now they have it down to 10 magnets storing that same byte. In the past, your reading head could miss out over 700,000 magnets, and still read the byte, but the new head needs can't tolerate more than 5 missing magnets. In reality the tech has got better, but market demand for higher densities (aka competition) forces manufacturers to choose between tighter tolerances (i.e. more failure) or less capacity. Guess which one gets picked?

    12. Re:how much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I recently pulled out my Apple IIe from storage. It included the original 5 1/4 floppy disks and drives. There was also a cardboard box with ~150 floppy disks, some as old as 20+ years. NOT A SINGLE ONE WAS BAD. Yes, "Zork" still works! Could it possibly be that the quality of media just isn't up to the demands of a longer life of storage anymore?


      I used the 5.25" disks from the same boxes for my Apple II and my C=64. I never had a problem with the Apple II; the C=64 failed to read old disks about 1/2 the time. (The consequences of this were hilarious. My Apple II friends never cared what brand their disks were. My C=64 friends got downright superstitious about brands: Maxell! It must be Maxell!)

      The lesson here, I believe, is that there's more than one variable in this equation. The media, the drive that writes them, the drive that reads them, and the way information is encoded on the disk all matter.
    13. Re:how much? by mrmeval · · Score: 1

      Brand new 3.5" floppies do not last like the older media. It had gotten to the point that I could not count on writing a disk at work and getting it home intact. I'd write two and verify both of them and one would invariably be corrupted sometimes both. These were Sony disks. The first time I've bought disks in the last ten years has been to try and resurrect an old laptop for some physical computing uses. They worked long enough to do the job and one cost more than 10 CDRs

      --
      I'd go on a Vegan diet but the delivery time from Vega is too long. --brownkitty
    14. Re:how much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I cant help but relate some personal experience here. I know its not production quality, or lots of information, but I recently pulled out my Apple IIe from storage. It included the original 5 1/4 floppy disks and drives.

      There was also a cardboard box with ~150 floppy disks, some as old as 20+ years. NOT A SINGLE ONE WAS BAD. Yes, "Zork" still works!


      I had a different experience with my old 5 1/4 floppies (that I used with a IBM PCjr). Many of them quit working over a decade ago. I really wanted to restore all those BASIC programs I wrote when I was 9-11 yrs old, but I could not.

      Maybe you stored yours better than I did (I live in Florida so maybe the heat took its toll).

  16. Those who forget history... by RAMMS+EIN · · Score: 4, Insightful

    As jonadab once put it:

    > Those who do not study history are doomed to repeat it

    Yes, and those who do study history are doomed to watch in frustration
    as it is unwittingly repeated by those who do not :-)

    --
    Please correct me if I got my facts wrong.
    1. Re:Those who forget history... by dino213b · · Score: 1

      Not to criticize your humor (which is funny), but, from a historian's point of view:

      This cliché statement (..doomed to repeat..) relies on the supposition that progression of events is linear in history. In other words, it's the idea that there is a sequence of events that seemingly always leads to the nearly-same end result. Part of this statement also assumes that progression of events may be cyclical -- but -- it's arrogant to assume that this cliché applies to every situation. Often it does not.

      In other words, why do we assume that the cost of digital storage is always going to remain that high respective to economy? We are looking at the horizon of solid state hard drives that are actually affordable by the general public. Ten years ago this SSD concept seemed inconceivable - neither profitable for industry nor affordable by the consumers. Technologies will change and somewhere (or somewhen) out there - there may be a niche for a company to make digital preservation profitable.

      So the person (namely, article author) who yells [Why are we jumping on this technological bandwagon without thinking of the consequences???] is a classic case of a declensionist attitude (things are getting worse..). Standing opposite to that attitude is the progressive one (things are getting better) - but - I don't subscribe to it either. I think there is a healthy sinusoidal bounce between good and bad aspects of digital film storage and it's completely up to time to reveal the outcome.

    2. Re:Those who forget history... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And those who major in it are doomed to the same unemployment line as philosophy, english and liberal arts degree holders.

    3. Re:Those who forget history... by Phroggy · · Score: 1

      More concisely:

      Those who study history are doomed to know it's repeating.

      --
      $x='S24;r)>63/* h@<5+oZ)32"5cz';$me='phroggy'x$];
      $x=~y+ -xz+\0-Tx+;print$_^chop$me for split'',$x;
    4. Re:Those who forget history... by usrusr · · Score: 1

      I agree with your general points, but let me add this: history is full enough with concepts that failed repeatedly until at one point "the time was right" (who cares for real reasons anyway?) and a repeat of the concept was highly successful. So we can even learn the fact, that learning from history can sometimes be a bad idea, from -surprise- history.

      --
      [i have an opinion and i am not afraid to use it]
    5. Re:Those who forget history... by oddaddresstrap · · Score: 1

      The real problem is that even when people study history up the wazoo, if they want something bad enough they'll come up with rationalizations as to why history doesn't apply to their special case. Then they get all huffy when they discover that they are doomed.

  17. How much can they save by dropping DRM so any back by Joe+The+Dragon · · Score: 1

    How much can they save by dropping DRM so any backup system will work?

  18. do it Linus Way (TM) by wlodek_j · · Score: 1

    upload those films to FTP server (or torrent one ;) and let the world mirror contents.

  19. How to archive digital films cheaply. by thisissilly · · Score: 1

    Step 1: upload your complete digital master on p2p file sharing networks.
    Step 2: wait.

    1. Re:How to archive digital films cheaply. by andruk · · Score: 0

      You forgot:

      Step 3: Profit!

      lol, captcha: recast

  20. History Now by StupidPeopleTrick · · Score: 1

    300 years from now archaeologists will look back and see a sudden stop to music, documents, and film. This is what is at stake, our cultural place in history. - SPT

    1. Re:History Now by LiquidCoooled · · Score: 1

      This has all been weighed and considered by Hiro Nakamura.

      He decided that rather inflict Britney Spears upon the future it better to metaphorically all media from orbit.
      It was the only way to be sure.

      --
      liqbase :: faster than paper
    2. Re:History Now by LiquidCoooled · · Score: 1

      shit, of course I meant

      metaphorically nuke all media...

      --
      liqbase :: faster than paper
    3. Re:History Now by Pinckney · · Score: 1

      300 years from now archaeologists will look back and see a sudden stop to music, documents, and film. This is what is at stake, our cultural place in history. What fraction of ancient manuscripts do you think have been preserved? Sure, most of our media may be lost, but as long as human society flourishes as it has done for the past thousands of years, something will be preserved. Citizen Kane? Climate records? Zork? Lenna? As long as there is any interest in them at all (and with 6*10^9+ people on earth, nearly everything will have some interest), these things will likely be preserved simply through duplication and thus redundancy. It would take far more than the loss of, say, 90% of the centuries films to destroy our cultural place in history.
  21. Wear & Tear by Detritus · · Score: 1

    I would think digital would avoid the problems with conventional film where the distribution prints get scratched, faded, and lose segments where the film broke and was spliced back together. Plus the masters are subject to being lost and having the colors degrade in strange ways. Many films have been completely lost and others are only available in an incomplete form. At least with DVDs, a film is unlikely to be lost, even if the DVD version doesn't have the same quality as the master print.

    --
    Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    1. Re:Wear & Tear by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      The real problem is that centralized storage of important documents and media is convenient, but risky. From the great Library at Alexandria to modern times, central data stores get damaged or destroyed. Fire, theft, natural disaster, obsolescence ... we have the power to replicate our cultural heritage, every culture's heritage, on a truly global scale. By doing so we make it virtually impossible that civilization can suffer the kind of losses it has in the past. Of course, this all depends upon our maintaining a technological level capable of accessing that information.

      In any event, the copyright heavies complain about "theft" of their "intellectual property", but by their mishandling of old media they are risking the loss of much more. That should not be permitted.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
  22. Re:How much can they save by dropping DRM so any b by MR.Mic · · Score: 1

    We are talking about backing up originals.
    They only put DRM on the films before it gets to the consumer.

  23. Wondering about the figures ... by foobsr · · Score: 1

    ... it seems that the first (per movie) is about reasonable, the second is for justifying high prices, quote:" "Right now the best available cost estimate, when we look at our total cost of ownership for storing on disk, which is accessible all the time, is about $1,500 per terabyte per year," says Moore. The cost for archival tape is considerably less, about $500 per terabyte per year, with retrieval time (or latency) in minutes."

    CC.

    --
    TaijiQuan (Huang, 5 loosenings)
  24. Hard drives don't "degrade" by SuperBanana · · Score: 4, Informative

    The reasons are the same for video as for documents: magnetic media degrade quickly,

    The myth of bit rot on hard drives is just that- a myth. It's been perpetuated for two decades by the idiot Steve Gibson, selling his own snake oil (Spinrite), and unfortunately, not enough people are calling him on it. I thought it actually did something too, until I read that post from someone who actually knows how modern drives work. As the author points out, there's a track that can only be written at the factory, and if what Gibson claimed were true, ALL drives would be dying left and right after a few years. Funny how I've found drives made almost a decade ago working just fine now...

    The problem hasn't changed; it's mostly obsolescence in drive interfaces, and the drives themselves (for tapes.) PATA is common these days, but everything is going towards SATA, for example.

    Both DAT and 8mm were in common use as little as 6-7 years ago...but you'd be fairly hard pressed to find a place to but either now save eBay. And...do YOU want to entrust a backup to an ebay drive?

    1. Re:Hard drives don't "degrade" by silas_moeckel · · Score: 1

      Keeping drives around is pretty easy. Store files with added parity data to multiple hard drives at least 3 compare 2 hard drives at a clip a few times a year. Upgrade the drives every few years. Base cost about 400 for the best current best bang for your buck drives in 3 external enclosures. Tape generally works the same but the tape head cost needs to be amortized to save you money in the long run (500 GB HD about 100 bucks 400GB tape about 50 tape drive to use it 5k) The key is to differentiate backup from archive you archive things deemed important it's one of those librarian functions you backup everything in case things break. You need to figure out how to keep archives in perpetuity backups only need to be around for a few years.

      --
      No sir I dont like it.
    2. Re:Hard drives don't "degrade" by IvyKing · · Score: 1
      While bit-rot may not happen exactly as Steve Gibson explains, hard drives can gradually fail over time. The whole point of the scrubbing functionality of ZFS is to catch failing sectors when they're still readable (retries).


      Good point on the drive interfaces changing - though the problem isn't quite as bad as you make out, PATA started out a bit over 20 years ago as a proprietary Compaq interface. SCSI is still around, but in a much smaller niche than it used to be. USB should be readable for at least a decade (think how long it took for the Centronics interface to die off), although Firewire may face extinction in a few years (despite being a better interface for drives than USB).


      Unfortunately, you are right on the money about tape back-ups. Capability for reading CD-ROMS and DVD's should be around for at least another decade - but I wouldn't want to trust recordable media for that long of a time.

    3. Re:Hard drives don't "degrade" by RAMMS+EIN · · Score: 1

      ``Funny how I've found drives made almost a decade ago working just fine now... ''

      As if a decade is a long time.

      Especially compared to how long copyright lasts nowadays.

      --
      Please correct me if I got my facts wrong.
    4. Re:Hard drives don't "degrade" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yes a google search shows just how hard it can be to find.

      It's not like a reputable company such as CDW sells them or anything... I'm one for pulling ideas out of your ass, but come on...

    5. Re:Hard drives don't "degrade" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      WTF are you talking about? I just had a drive go bad last year. So all those errors and corruption I saw were just a myth?

  25. Pity by xant · · Score: 1

    You probably ruined all that media by running on your 20-year-old IIe, with its deteroriating drive. :-P

    --
    It's rare that you're presented with a knob whose only two positions are Make History and Flee Your Glorious Destiny.
  26. So don't use magnetic mediums anymore. by Sitnalta · · Score: 1

    What the studios could do is agree upon a universally adopted optical medium to store 4 hours of 8K video. Then store it in a humidity-free environment.

    The problem isn't as dire as the article may make it out to be. Sure, high-quality originals might be lost, but there're still be millions of copies in DVD, HD-DVD, Blu-Ray or even the digital formats theaters use. The greatest advantage to digital isn't the longevity, it's the redundancy. And as long as you keep the plans for the decoding machines/CODECs hanging around, they will never be unreadable.

    Whatever the limitations of the current archival formates have, it's still better than Nitrate film. That stuff would spontaneously combust if not taken care of, and would decay very quickly in non-perfect conditions. The stuff is literally made out of gun cotton (Nitrocellulose.) That's currently the archivist's major concern, is preserving all this volatile film from the 1900s thru the 1930s.

  27. Easy permanent preservation by graymocker · · Score: 1

    In the near future there will be an easy, hassle-free way to permanently preserve digital film.

    Release it to a DRM-free peer to peer file-sharing network (ie, what's commonly known as piracy). Honestly. Back when I had access to a fast on-campus i2 filesharing network, I was always amazed at the breadth and depth of the files being shared. I was also impressed by the redundancy, as even obscure or classic movies could be found on a large number of peers. Furthermore, the speeds were so ridiculously fast - 10 Mbits/s - that I pretty much considered any peer that was connected to the network an extension of my hard drive. On one occasion I chose to download a file that I already had backed up on disc off the network instead of actually copying from the disc, as it was less of a hassle and about as fast. Marveling at how quickly my roommates and I could pull down high bitrate pr0n, I wondered at the possibilities of such a network distributed across the world, the individual personal storage of entertainment files of the individual peers being effectively part of the communal global network.

    When the infrastructure exists to support i2-level speeds at the consumer level, the best way to preserve digital film files would be to release the film into public domain and distribute the file via peer-to-peer. Data loss is no longer an issue when your file is distributed to peers throughout the world. Natural disasters and other acts of God are similarly no longer an issue. In the event the Academy suffers data loss, they can just become another peer on the network.

  28. They are not crooks, they are fools? by RecycledElectrons · · Score: 0

    I've got some experience with this...I've been building a multi-terabyte library for over a decade now...the goal is a tablet computer that could teach someone to rebuild civilization.

    Let's assume they want to make certain the data is available, and not in an unusable format...that would mean using a few (very) standard formats. I would have lost my data if I had kept it in the latest, slickest formats. I deal with .TXT, .RTF, .PDF, & .DJVU for text files. I keep all audio in .MP3 format. Any original encoding is OK, but there must be a copy in 16KB/s, 16bits/sample, fixed sample size encoding - in stereo. Given that 99% is talk, that's OK. 8KB/s, 8 bits/sample, mmono are common, but do not play on ALL MP3 players. 16/16/stereo will play on all MP3 players.

    For movies, the codecs are a nightmare, so resample every frame into the best .TIFF you can get, and test the heck out of it on 100 random PCs and software packages. NOT THE PCs THAT MOVIE EXECS USE! Grab 100 off eBay and see how many support each of 5 image formats, then tweak the settings in PhotoShop when you save the files to see how to improve the reliability.

    For media, storing it all in one vault is stupid. Google figured out that you need to have 3 coppies in different locations. RAID is for idiots who want to loose data. One disk per file, and no exceptions. Use only standard file systems, and test them on the 100 PCs that we mentioned earlier. I can still plug in an early HDD, and use it in a modern system.

    Accessing the data regularly will discover defects before they destroy all your data. Then again, I think Hollywood' main purpose is to prevent people from watching their movies...so why would they ever want to access it?

    I'll stop wating my time here...Bye.

    Andy Out!

    1. Re:They are not crooks, they are fools? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      People who think raid is about backups are idiots. Raid is useful and legitimate for increasing MTBF. RAID is about keeping servers running in the face of hardware failures, not redundant file backups. Given the failure rate of harddrives, each backup site should be raided for system component redundancy.

    2. Re:They are not crooks, they are fools? by RecycledElectrons · · Score: 0

      The biggest problem will be the DMCA & other unconstitutional copyright laws - in 100 years, it will be illegal for even the movie companies to access their "own" movies.

      THE ONLY REASON TO COPY A MOVIE IS PIRACY!

      This entire conversation is illegal under the DMCA!

      Andy Out!

  29. How about using old media for storage? by VValdo · · Score: 1

    Would it not be cheaper to print the movie using a more traditional archiving method (paper, microfiche, analog tape)? Plenty of digital->analog methods are available, and surely some more could be invented if necessary. Might be a lot of pages, but hey-- paper is cheap and may not degrade as quickly.

    Just a thought.

    W

    --
    -------------------
    This is my SIG. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
  30. Is it really that hard to solve? by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If they want to permanently archive digital media, why not just keep the DVD glass masters around? They shouldn't degrade like plastic, and if carefully packaged it seems that they could last for millenia. If a special reader were developed that could optically scan the glass surface without the need for a rot-prone metal layer, then the information could be retrieved without having to risk damaging the master by making a new pressing.

    1. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by DigitAl56K · · Score: 4, Informative

      DVD's have a fraction of the resolution of the original digital video and have already undergone lossy compression (e.g. MPEG2 video, AC3 audio). HD DVD/Bluray is also lower resolution than the original, and the compression is still lossy. As some others have mentioned, you ideally want to store all the film's components (unedited footage, audio, etc.) at the highest quality possible for re-mastering to new formats in later years.

      Beyond that, single-bit errors in encoded data streams (e.g. MPEG2, AVC, MP3, AC3) can lead to large distortions in the decoded data. You really have to store everything raw in order to reduce the chances of severe corruption and increase the chances of recovery.

    2. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by Falladir · · Score: 0

      Haha, what's a DVD glass master?

    3. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Haha, what's a DVD glass master?

      Type "dvd glass master" in Google's search box and you'll find out.

    4. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      That's no good. Glass flows over time.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    5. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1

      Glass flows over time.

      Nope, that's an urban legend.

    6. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by Fweeky · · Score: 1

      Just because you're using a DVD doesn't mean you have to write MPEG2. People who backup to DVD-R don't convert their disk images to .ts before burning them do they?

    7. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by rebelcool · · Score: 2, Interesting

      But in 1000 years, what machine will be able to read the DVD?

      The problem isn't necessarily the medium of storage itself, its the whole of how the information is encoded. After awhile, the machinery and knowledge of the format will be lost.

      With normal film, hold it up to a light, the image is there. Suppose that in 200 years someone wants to play back the film - even if such a machine did not exist, it would be easy to construct.

      I recall reading a similar problem nasa ran into... they wanted to resurrect some data from very early rocket launches and move it to a new medium for historical preservation. The data was recorded onto a magnetic tape by an early computer, however all the machines that could read the tapes were long gone. Eventually they found a non-working machine in the basement of the smithsonian, and brought a couple guys in their 80s out of retirement to fix and run the thing. They were the only ones who remembered how it worked and how the data was structured.

      We run into the same problem today with digital file formats and storage media. Even if the DVD survives hundreds of years... there won't be any working machines to play it, and nobody will be around who understands the format and how to turn it from microscopic divots into meaningful information.... unless we figure something out.

      --

      -

    8. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1
      That's the advantage of physical pits: put it in any kind of scanning microscope, and you can read the patterns. A software transformation would recover the original info from there. (If civilization has deteriorated to where that's not possible, then they won't have much use of digital copies of blockbuster movies anyway.)

      The disk could be self-describing. Most low-level encodings aren't all that complex. You could probably engrave enough human readable text on the label side to describe how to read the first few disk blocks. Those blocks could contain an ASCII text file that hold the complete disk encoding and filesystem specs.

    9. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by RAMMS+EIN · · Score: 1

      ``If they want to permanently archive digital media, why not just keep the DVD glass masters around?''

      What, to have a collection of seemingly meaningless bits, and garbled by DRM, too? That's not very future proof...

      --
      Please correct me if I got my facts wrong.
    10. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      Because DVDs are compressed and edited, and they're talking about archiving unedited footage from the camera, amongst other things? That's a lot of DVDs...

    11. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1

      I'd rather make a few dozen HD-DVD glass masters to hold that raw data now than have to worry about recopying hard drives every couple of years for a few centuries.

    12. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by znu · · Score: 1

      But in 1000 years, what machine will be able to read the DVD?


      The machine that the civilization of 1000 years from now will be able to trivially build for that purpose.

      The notion that an archival format is unacceptable if a future civilization might have to actually expend some effort to read it is rather silly. People constantly confuse the economic inconvenience imposed by format obsolesce with some sort of "Oh no! Our entire civilization will be lost!" information apocalypse scenario. Starting with a DVD glass master, the future's "information archeologists" should be able to figure out how to read ones and zeros off of it it and how to decode many common file formats with relatively little effort. Encrypted or compressed formats might be tricky, but the most likely format for an archived film would be DPX or TIFF image sequences, which would be pretty simple to reverse engineer assuming you were familiar with the notion of storing images as collections of RGB pixels.
      --
      This space unintentionally left unblank.
    13. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by DigitAl56K · · Score: 1

      True. But let's do some math for a 4K frame with 4:2:0 color.

      4096w x 2160h x 1.5Bpp x 24fps = 310MB per second of video.
      96000hz x 3Bps x 7ch = 1.923MB per second of audio.

      2 hour post-production movie = ~2.2TB

      Now add all the original source (which is much more than will make the final cut) and project files, consider that they are maybe using 8K @ 4:4:4 instead of 4:2:0 for mastering, that there are all the "extra" features to store also, and you are realistically looking at well over 10TB.

      Seems like a lot to transfer to glass masters.

    14. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      You'd be making more than a few dozen, I'd think.

    15. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, DUH. Then just store the films on MULTIPLE GLASS MASTERS at NATIVE RESOLUTION, UNCOMPRESSED.

      Doofus.

      And 99% of modern films and television are Jew-produced bullshit anyway, which the world will not miss...

    16. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by m50d · · Score: 1
      Beyond that, single-bit errors in encoded data streams (e.g. MPEG2, AVC, MP3, AC3) can lead to large distortions in the decoded data. You really have to store everything raw in order to reduce the chances of severe corruption and increase the chances of recovery.

      Or, you can store things encoded and add some well-designed error correction. Rather like optical media already does, really.

      --
      I am trolling
    17. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by evilviper · · Score: 1

      The problem isn't necessarily the medium of storage itself, its the whole of how the information is encoded. After awhile, the machinery and knowledge of the format will be lost.

      How long has it been since the basic knowledge needed to read a mainstream storage format has been forgotten? Give me a set of punch cards for the ENIAC and I'll come up with a reader for them in a couple days. Digital is digital.

      And CDs/DVDs are even simpler. If you have a laser that can read the bits on the disc, it takes a tiny bit of detective work to figure it out. Even if you don't know about error correction codes, just arbitrarily specify increasing byte sizes until you get something that appears sane.

      Pretty quickly, you'll get an uncompressed video stream. It might have a lot of random digital noise, and completely wrong colors, but will clearly be comprehensible video. From that point, it will take a trivial amount of effort to figure out what (ECC) bits to drop, and what color-space conversion to use.

      People have no perspective. It's ridiculous to assume people, 100 years from now won't know EVERYTHING there is to know about CDs. Magnetic formats are difficult to handle, only because random variations in the field makes it look random, until you figure out the exact scan type, orientation, speed, etc. Binary optical discs, OTOH, may be the simplest format ever invented. Magnetic tapes have the additional drawback of commonly being proprietary, where CDs and DVDs are open standards, so millions of people around the world know exactly how to read them, and many hard copies of the full specs exist.

      It's only when you start talking about complicated compression, or file formats that there is even the possibility of losing the knowledge. With proprietary software, it can happen in a very, very short time. With open standards, it's difficult to say just how long the knowledge will remain, but you can be sure it's going to take well over a century before that knowledge is even hard to come by.

      And with uncompressed formats, I'd put the range at several centuries. Not only does everyone have to switch off of binary computers, but they also have to entirely FORGET that in ancient history, that short and fat race of people, known to string long thin pieces of metal on wooden poles, were using base-2 math to represent all their data.

      With normal film, hold it up to a light, the image is there. Suppose that in 200 years someone wants to play back the film - even if such a machine did not exist, it would be easy to construct.

      That's right, any idiot can play back film. Of course, they'll get no SOUND out of it, because that's encoded along the edges. And for the past couple decades, it has been stored in a digital format, no less.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    18. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by JetTredmont · · Score: 1

      Yes, you want to store the original data, not the edited and compressed MPEG2 copy on the DVD. This is obviously very true.

      However, the article posed the question of digital storage as an unanswerable conundrum: magnetic media degrades over time, and optical disks lose accuracy over time, they state, therefore we can't store data digitally encoded. I'm not sure how factory-burned optical media would degrade (granted, up-front costs are higher, but I'm not seeing any problems with my oldest CDs, which are nearing 20 years now, and which have hardly gotten the saltmine treatment). Still, you'd think that the answer would be simple enough: pay more up-front to encode the bits on a medium which will withstand the test of time.

      If "film" is really the most durable format we can come up with, then here you go: Encode all data onto "film" using bog-standard lossless modem technology. There's nothing saying that film has to be strictly analog: the digital bits can be encoded onto that as well, and likely encoded much more efficiently than the uber-redundant film format.

      Proposal: Double your budget. Store the entire film as analog film, including at most the "chosen" shot of each scene and one "alternate" shot. Alongside this, use the second half of your film to store all the "well this might be useful to someone someday" actor/director discussions using a fairly high level of compression (not necessarily lossy, but not as redundant as in film), and a couple of distinct endodings of the digital materials.

      And, here's a thought: if you believe that all the value of the movie is really in what you kept for film, then don't keep all the extra crap from digital either. Or, as has been suggested here: release all the "dubious value" bits to the public domain and let those who care about the movie care for the movie!

      Digital offers more choices, and more choices require someone with taste and a spine to make a decision. I can see why the movie industry hates this situation. Still, the failback is "just as good as analog" for just about no extra cost. Having the ability to preserve more data doesn't seem like a bad thing!

    19. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by dwater · · Score: 1

      I'm reading that now. The first point disturbs me and makes me not want to read the rest (but I will).

      He quotes Plumb who says :

      "there seem to have been no statistical studies"

      and

      "This author believes that the correct explanation lies...".

      From that, Florin Neumann feels it is ok to say :

      "In other words"...

      "there are no statistical studies",

      "variations in thickness ... has nothing to do with whether glass is a solid or a liquid",

      and

      "its cause lies in the glass manufacturing process employed at the time..."

      Quite how he can read what he's quoted and infer from that what he does, I have no idea.

      I guess he should have said, "In other completely different words...".

      It seems to me that he's setting out with the aim of disproving the myth, not finding out whether it's true or not. ...but I'll read on regardless.

      --
      Max.
    20. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      I guess we'll just have to wait a couple of hundred years and see if we can still read those glass masters. Glass is a funny substance (well, substances ... there are many kinds) and most of what I've read on the subject doesn't preclude the possibility of glass flowing over long periods of time.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    21. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by dwater · · Score: 1

      Yup, the rest of that page is unconvincing too.

      I'm not saying I agree or disagree with his belief that glass is not a liquid (or whatever), just that, on that web page, he presents a poor argument and shows little to no conclusive evidence to support his belief. Almost all of it is speculation - sometimes he even states as much.

      --
      Max.
    22. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by ivan256 · · Score: 1

      4096w x 2160h x 1.5Bpp x 24fps = 310MB per second of video.
      96000hz x 3Bps x 7ch = 1.923MB per second of audio.


      Trying to store data without realizing lossless compression exists: Priceless.
    23. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by DigitAl56K · · Score: 1

      Read the grandparent post (mine).

      Any form of compression increases the impact of errors and reduces the ease at which data can be recovered.

    24. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by DigitAl56K · · Score: 1

      Rather like optical media already does, really.

      AFAIK, optical media today (e.g. CD's, DVD's), provide error detection, not correction.

    25. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by Slippy. · · Score: 1

      Film = simple, yes. But how many pictures will be stored? How durable is that volume of data?

      You can protect a few small boxes of pictures, or negatives, pretty easily, but if you want a decent amount to store, you're screwed. And forget about easy searching. How much research of old stuff have you done? It's a pain.

      Instead, digitize it. If it's important, a few copies on many hard drives. I'm not a fan of CD or DVD storage myself. Too unwieldy, in my opinion.

      Even my job now deals in layers of storage. Copies, backup copies, offsite copies, archive copies, and finally (still) some tape backup copies (multiple levels here too). The active storage just keeps being upgraded, and the tapes get upgraded/replaced during rotation. Key word here: COPIES

      When Nasa stored their stuff, storage was expensive. Their research data volume is somewhat unique. Maybe also sensitive enough that easy access can be bad.

      --
      -- Life is good. Tastes like chicken.
    26. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by syukton · · Score: 1

      So you store them on glass masters of HD-DVD data discs. So what if it takes ten discs to back it up and it's extremely expensive to create those discs in glass; then you've got a copy of everything that lasts forever.

      I'm just stunned that we don't have archival-type data storage media that, even if it costs $20,000 to master each disc, isn't used more frequently or by more people.

      --
      Reinvent the wheel only at either a lower cost, greater effectiveness, or your own personal enrichment and satisfaction.
    27. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1

      Nope, they do error correction, and lots of it. That's how they can get away with leaving the disk surface exposed to scratches and dust.

    28. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by mako1138 · · Score: 1

      The difference with modern consumer formats is that there is a published specification which is widely (OK, maybe not widely) disseminated. For the various optical discs, there are ECMA docs.

    29. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by kd4zqe · · Score: 1

      DVD's have a fraction of the resolution of the original digital video and have already undergone lossy compression (e.g. MPEG2 video, AC3 audio). HD DVD/Bluray is also lower resolution than the original, and the compression is still lossy
      Then why not glass masters of DVD-ROMs? Store the data in its native digital lossless format as raw data on the disc and then preserve it in that method? Though I imagine that producing such a high quality medium might be a little expensive on the front end, it could be considerably less then $200k+/yr.

      As an alternative to that cost, is it possible to store that data on a DVD-R or higher capacity optical media in an inert gaseous or gasless, lightproof vault? Would that stop/reduce dye degradation enough to be considered viable? Seems intelligent to me. I also do not know the cost effectiveness of this strategy, but would a helium filled or vacuum sealed box do it?
      --
      You're not paranoid if they really ARE out to get you...
    30. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by ivan256 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Two things:

      A: That's an enormous load of bull. The average visual impact of a single block error on uncompressed video compared to theoretical 10x lossless compression would be effectively nil even before you take into account that the increased data loss from an error is canceled out by the increased likelihood of errors when you archive a larger amount of data.

      B: Even if you don't compress it, that kind of data can be archived indefinitely (including making new copies every few years) for prices in the sub-$5000 range. sub-$10000/year, it could be continuously and readily accessible on a mid-range SAN storage device including electricity.

      Even without lossless compression, the numbers you describe simply don't add up to very much data in today's terms. (310MB/sec * 3600 (seconds in an hour) * 3 (hours in a long movie) / 1024 (megabytes in a gigabyte) = 3270 / 1024 (gigabytes in a terabyte) = 3.2TB) A 6TB mid-tier (EMC Clariion, for example) SAN array will run you in the $8000 range after discounts. Archival storage only gets cheaper than that.

      This is just another bullshit number Hollywood can spit out to include in the shady math it does to tell everybody they're not making any profit on their $300million blockbuster.

    31. Re:Is it really that hard to solve? by devilspgd · · Score: 1

      So what?

      Store 10 DVD discs to store the original uncompressed movie. Or 100. As long as we're talking about a format that doesn't degrade, the number of discs isn't particularly relevant.

      --
      Give a man a fish, he'll eat for a day, but teach a man to phish...
  31. Surprising by C4st13v4n14 · · Score: 1

    I was very surprised to read the following in this article:

    "DVDs tend to degrade: according to the report, only half of a collection of disks can be expected to last for 15 years"

    For some reason, I thought that both CDs and DVDs each have a shelf life of around 100 years. I think that was one of the benefits of owning a CD over a tape. I remember reading that back in 1992 when I made the decision to buy a CD player and start buying music CDs. Tapes can get de-magnetised, twisted up, caught in tape players etc. But the real reason I started buying CDs is because of the revolutionary "next track" function! I suspect many kids thought the same. Why have to fast-forward when you can immediately get where you want to be on a CD? My apologies for this being a little off-topic, just got a bit nostalgic there.

    So film companies want their digital masters to last hundreds of years why? So they can capitalise on them again when our 15 year-old copies have "degraded" and are no-longer watchable? Or will they capitalise on our great-grandchildren in 100 years? If a 15 year shelf-life is indeed true, I feel sorry for all those who went out and purchased tonnes of DVD films. What's been bothering me are these "ultimate collectors' edition" re-packagings that the film companies have been selling. Yes, I love the film Blade Runner, but I swear I'm not going to go out and buy another copy of it. Please just release the original film, the way the director wanted it to be seen. I don't care about owning a six DVD collection of all the different versions of the film. I just want the longest, un-cut and uncensored version available! If they sold it this way, and all us Blade Runner lovers bought a copy, would they need to keep transferring the original to new media every year?

    Over 200 000$ a year to take care of one film's digital master seems like a ridiculous amount of money. I'll gladly take on the responsibility of a couple of films for them, and I'll only charge them half what they're paying now. One could build a pretty sweet rig with a nice RAID array for a fraction of the cost and keep a few digital masters there on the hard drives.

    1. Re:Surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For some reason, I thought that both CDs and DVDs each have a shelf life of around 100 years. When CDs first came out they used gold; hundred year life-spans could be expected from those discs. I know that today most optical media does not use gold, but at least Verbatim will still sell you "archival quality" gold-based CD-R and DVD-R media.
      Also, store your optical media horizontally, not vertically, as gravity will eventually have its way with the transparent adhesives holding the various layers of your media together.
    2. Re:Surprising by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      Perhaps the 15 year lifespan takes into account the moronic packaging that breaks the moronically designed, thin plastic DVD layers, or their moronic users who seem to drag the data side of the disc over rough surfaces.

    3. Re:Surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Store them vertically, not horizontally. If you store them vertically, gravity would eventually warp (uneven and wobbly) the disc much like the way a vinyl record may warp if stored horizontally.

      http://www.clir.org/pubs/reports/pub121/sec5.html http://www.gpo.gov/su_docs/fdlp/pubs/proceedings/97pro38.html

  32. My favorite part: by xant · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Where he compares salt mine storage of analog media to storage of digital media, and decides to just multiply his made-up $208k figure by 100 years to come up with.. wait for it... $208 million. I guess that's why he went into journalism and not the sciences.

    Leaving out the humongous math error, why can't you just store the digital fucking media in the same salt mine? The things that damage analog film are the same things that damage digital media.

    Is it any wonder we have the expression "lies, damned lies, and statistics"? This article is all three, with some incompetency thrown in.

    --
    It's rare that you're presented with a knob whose only two positions are Make History and Flee Your Glorious Destiny.
    1. Re:My favorite part: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not only that but he doesn't take into account another huge factor. Movies are a commodity that generate profits. If a film is considered important enough to archive (and to archive with maximum precautions and at best possible quality) then it will likely also generate sales of DVDs, play on cable, play in an occasional theater, and be beamed on holo-cube or whatever the next technology will be. Most "classic" movies can manage to generate the (completely bogus and inflated) figure of $208,000 a year.

      Of course there are always exceptions, but those that aren't worth archiving generally don't have enough of a fan base (whether popular or artistic) to warrant saving them.

    2. Re:My favorite part: by evilviper · · Score: 1

      why can't you just store the digital fucking media in the same salt mine?

      You can, but it won't help. Your hard drive will seize up, salt mine or no. Your CDs will oxidize, your tapes will begin to flake, etc.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  33. The answer is clear by stradofear · · Score: 2, Insightful

    1/ Draw each frame on a sheet of papyrus, staple the whole thing together on one edge, making a flip book, and hide the whole mess in jars in caves in the desert. Don't forget to include copies of the scripts.

    2/ Devise an obscure religion based on your film, spread it to as many people as possible.

    3/ Wait.

    As nearly as I can tell, the whole concept of recorded history probably ended when we developed means to record reality directly, rather than transcribing it to clay slabs, stone, and paper.

  34. RTFA by Tchaik · · Score: 1

    Where's that "-1 RTFA" moderation option when you need it? Oh right, it's called "+1 Insightful" on /.

  35. Capitalism to the rescue. by palegray.net · · Score: 2, Insightful

    With all the push by the various arms of media industry to keep finding ways to continue to generate revenue from their products, I'm sure they'll be pushing the envelope with long-term storage solutions. Large capacity storage used to be considered anything greater than 1 GB with technology that was available "way back when" (not that long ago, really). Nowadays, that's a ridiculously small amount of storage that I can (and do) carry around in my shirt pocket.

    Computing power used to be awfully expensive, too. Now we've got desktops that are capable of scientific computing sitting around at 99% idle all day. If it weren't for Vista, we wouldn't even be using a tenth of the memory built into them (sorry, had to stick a dig in there somewhere).

    My point is that as the market demands new capabilities, technologies emerge that satisfy those needs. As time goes on, the efficiency of these technologies increases while costs decrease. It's just how things work. Today's data retention problems for studios will contribute to tomorrow's advances in long-term storage technology.

    I can think of at least a couple of major companies that also have a vested interest in long term archival... Google... cough... Google...

    1. Re:Capitalism to the rescue. by CastrTroy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      How long until the market stops demanding more from their computers. I know people are just going to say that I'm being short sighted, but I think that in about 10-20 years, the computer will be fast enough that there won't be any demand from most people for them to be any faster. Sure there will still be industrial uses to have ever increasing speed and storage sizes, but as far as the home computer goes, I think it is coming close to hitting a plateau. Once you can edit HD video without the computer taking a hit, and have enough storage space for that, I can't imagine most people could find much else that would consume more resources. People aren't going to be running physics simulations to find the origins of the galaxy in their basement.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    2. Re:Capitalism to the rescue. by palegray.net · · Score: 1

      I don't think you're familiar with the way things work when it comes to technological advances. With each new advance comes a whole new barrel of ways to use the newly available computing power. Many times, people don't even know they want something until it becomes possible.

      I wager advances in computing and communications technology will start to slow when virtually everything on this planet is a computing device of some sort, massively interconnected with everyone and everything else in a sort of global mesh. Whether this gives you warm fuzzies or nightmares from a social sciences perspective is largely irrelevant, as it's already starting to happen. Reference "computronium" for additional ideas on this topic (credit to Charles Stross).

    3. Re:Capitalism to the rescue. by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      But 10 years ago, I was doing stuff on my computer that it just couldn't do well, because it wasn't fast enough. Editing video, encoding audio, playing graphically intense games. It's getting to the point that all the stuff I do, or would want to do with my computer could be done with a moderately priced system. Right now, the only thing I would like out of my computer would be a little more storage space, and possibly faster video encoding. However, if I just went out and bought a 500 GB drive like I've been meaning to, I wouldn't have much of a need for more space, and I only have an AMD 3200, so if I had a newer processor, I'm sure the video encoding would be up to where I want it to be. 10 years ago I could think of a lot of reasons that I would need more speed out or my home computer. With each passing day, I'm starting to wonder how long it will be before the computer is just fast enough.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    4. Re:Capitalism to the rescue. by palegray.net · · Score: 1

      Think in extra dimensions.

    5. Re:Capitalism to the rescue. by proudfoot · · Score: 1

      640k is enough for anyone.

    6. Re:Capitalism to the rescue. by toddestan · · Score: 1

      People were saying the same thing 20 years ago, I'm sure. The thing is, we currently use computers for things that they probably never imagined. Sure, the average computer now seems plenty powerful for the average user, but just wait until the next big thing comes around. One of those could be high DPI screens. I would like to make my 1600x1200 monitor a 16000x12000 monitor, with two orders of magnitude more pixels, you're going to need some serious computing power to back that up.

    7. Re:Capitalism to the rescue. by MarkRose · · Score: 1

      I'm still running a Duron 2000+ @ 1750 MHz with a 140 MHz system bus and less than a gig of RAM. It only feel slow when I use a faster system. The only thing I could use is more online storage. Even though some components of my system are 6 years old, it's still fast enough for my needs.

      --
      Be relentless!
    8. Re:Capitalism to the rescue. by Jehosephat2k · · Score: 1

      People aren't going to be running physics simulations to find the origins of the galaxy in their basement.

      Speak for yourself bucko...

    9. Re:Capitalism to the rescue. by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      20 years ago, the computer users that weren't clutching
      onto MS-DOS because they felt some pathalogical need to run
      Lotus123 were already aware of most of what people use their
      computers for now. Like another fellow said, we all knew it
      was out there. It was just that those machines didn't quite
      do it as well as modern machines do.

              Some of my own "media" files are 15 years old.

              As far as "QuadHD" goes, we're already at the point where
      many consumers can't tell the difference between the "old and
      ugly" TV format and the "pretty and new" TV format when
      displayed on a 50" set.

              Attempting to go much beyond 35mm probably won't get much
      traction.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    10. Re:Capitalism to the rescue. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can someone at Slashdot PLEASE fix the comments system so that people can't write 40-columns comments anymore?

      Thanks.

    11. Re:Capitalism to the rescue. by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Sure, it isn't hard to figure that over time, computers were going to get faster, and things like graphics capabilities were going to improve. But 20 years ago, you imagined the internet as it is today? Flash? Myspace? Youtube? eBay? eCommerce? The free software movement? Porn? Carrying around thousands of albums in the palm of your hand? Trading feature-length films with people on the other side of the planet? Sharing your photos with people all over the planet? Broadband? 1TB harddrives? Multi-GHz processors? Checking your email on your mobile phone? Maybe you were particularly imaginative, or maybe you're just talking out of your ass. 20 years ago, computers were for the hobbiests, video gamers, and business types. Most people, even the ones that used them, saw little reason for Joe Average to want a computer. Or are you telling me that 20 years ago, you imagined an age where every 14 year old girl could not live without her own personal computer?

    12. Re:Capitalism to the rescue. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think each pixel will have a high resolution of different possible colors when viewed from different angles. That would finally give real 3D without the need for goofy goggles.

  36. And yet by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Interesting

    analog also decays. The difference is that it is easier to pull SOMETHING out of it as it decays. The downfall of analog is that it is is MUCH more expensive to protect.

    Back in 90/91, I worked for a company that did burning of CDs and Laserdisc (compressed data for the DOD). The CDs cost something like 5 or 10 each, and the laserdiscs were a couple of hundred each. IIRC, These were based on gold, and would last something like 50 or 100 years without losing a single pixel. I would guess that hollywood could easily afford these.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:And yet by Jartan · · Score: 1

      analog also decays. The difference is that it is easier to pull SOMETHING out of it as it decays.


      This isn't true at all. If you actually plan for the decay you can make the digital copy keep far higher quality via error correction data.

      The study the article was based on sounds like the typical problems faced by people who just don't get it when it comes to protecting their data. I wouldn't be surprised if they don't even have the digital films stored in a format they can freely read without the use of proprietary software.

      The irony is no matter what they do most of the films (even the ones that suck) will never disappear due to being passed around the net constantly. Sooner or later they'll lose one due to their own ineptitude and end up downloading it off a torrent.
    2. Re:And yet by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      laserdiscs were a couple of hundred each. IIRC, These were based on gold, and would last something like 50 or 100 years without losing a single pixel.

      At least few problems here:

      1. That is only a claim, not proof. (And difficult to test for new media.)

      2. The company that made that claim is probably long gone.

      3. The readers/players may still be hard to come by in the future.

      4. When times get tough, management may be tempted to cash in the gold. This kind of thinking has doomed many other films that didn't survive the Great Depression. The image relied on silver compounds.

      Idea: make the medium out of Twinkies :-) It will last a hundred years, and if times get really tough, you can always eat your stock.

    3. Re:And yet by TubeSteak · · Score: 1

      Back in 90/91, I worked for a company that did burning of CDs and Laserdisc (compressed data for the DOD). The CDs cost something like 5 or 10 each, and the laserdiscs were a couple of hundred each. IIRC, These were based on gold, and would last something like 50 or 100 years without losing a single pixel. I would guess that hollywood could easily afford these. The problem isn't the gold, it's the organic dye that is used.

      The quality of the discs' plastic being equal, stamped discs stored alongside burned discs will last for much longer without data loss.
      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
  37. Re:Two-hundred-eight-thousand five-hundred sixty-n by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The last two digits are all that is important here...

  38. George Santayana is the correct author by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    [RAMMS+EIN wrote] As jonadab once put it:

    > Those who do not study history are doomed to repeat it

    Yes, and those who do study history are doomed to watch in frustration
    as it is unwittingly repeated by those who do not :-)


    The actual author of that quote is George Santayana, according to this source:

    Source: The New Dictionary of Cultural Literacy, Third Edition. 2002.
    URL: http://www.bartleby.com/59/3/thosewhocann.html

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it"

    Studying history is necessary to avoid repeating past mistakes. This saying comes from the writings of George Santayana, a Spanish-born American author of the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries.


    1. Re:George Santayana is the correct author by RAMMS+EIN · · Score: 1

      Ah, I should have clarified. The original quote ("...doomed to repeat it") isn't due to jonadab. But the part that says that those who do study history are forced to watch in agony is his.

      --
      Please correct me if I got my facts wrong.
  39. nonsense by nguy · · Score: 3, Informative

    The standard motion picture format is MJPEG2000. It's not a very efficient format, but it's well defined and going to be around for a long time: there's both a lot of hardware and software that relies on it, and it scales up to high resolutions.

    The consumer format wars between Microsoft, Apple, Sony, and other companies have no influence on this.

  40. Stupid article and stupider people by brunes69 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Once again repeat after me... the benefit of digital is not that it LASTS FOREVER or is EASIER TO PRESERVE. It is that it is EASY TO COPY.

    Who gives a rats ass if a given copy of a film will degrade in 10 years. I can make a 100% perfect copy of the thing in minutes. Copy the data every year. Hell copy it 100 times. Copying also makes the obsolescence of formats meaningless.

    I still have emails and RTF documents written in 1994. These are 100% perfect copies of the original data. Is that somehow to be interpreted by brain-dead fear-mongers that any day now my data will be "obsolete" since the obviously 15-year old media is almost degraded beyond recognition? Or are people a bit more intelligent and realize I have already copied this from hard drive to disc and back about 30 different times?

    1. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by rebelcool · · Score: 1

      You make the mistake of assuming that someone will be around and have the presence of mind to copy it.

      This is why they say that preserving digital is more expensive - you have to make frequent copies of it as time and technology marches on. You cannot simply put it in a climate controlled box, store it, and expect it to be readable in 100 years.

      --

      -

    2. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      I think their point is that copying the data huge amount when your talking about raw camera footage from 1000s of movies. Your e-mail and RTF documents are piddly-squat compared to uncompressed, hi-res video.

    3. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by jabuzz · · Score: 1

      You could replicate it on three continents for a dam sight less than the article suggests.

    4. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      I'm not commenting on the figures thrown around in the article, just that we are talking about quite a lot more data that many people seem to think.

    5. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by noidentity · · Score: 1

      I still have emails and RTF documents written in 1994. These are 100% perfect copies of the original data. Is that somehow to be interpreted by brain-dead fear-mongers that any day now my data will be "obsolete" since the obviously 15-year old media is almost degraded beyond recognition?

      Obviously, they'd say that you've spent $208,569*13 years = $2,711,397 on preservation.

    6. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by seriesrover · · Score: 1
      Well the comparitive size of email and docs to uncompressed video is only relevant if we're talking personal backups. And if we're talking personal backups then we're not typically talking uncompressed but HDV or something. A terabyte or two covers *most* personal backups easily enough at little cost. In 5 years duplicating personal video for backup will become even less of an issue - I would say $ per GB is shrinking faster than HD video is growing (in terms of space requirements).


      For video production houses or the big boys in Hollywood who do want uncompressed backup the parents point is pretty valid due to the same reason of storage costs - its only going to become cheaper - just look at storage changes over the last 10 years and exponentialize that (is that a word?) over the next 10, 20 or 50 years. Now factor in video storage demands...we've gone from 720x480 to 1920x1080 in the last 30 years - its taken 10+ years just to get switched over to HD. The red camera is supposed to give us what, 4Kx4K but when is that going to become the norm...20 years time? And doesn't the "who cares about mega-pixel" attitude with digital cameras prove that there is natural limit to rez? The problem with digital photography is organization, not how difficult is it to archive them.


      My point is that storage of uncompressed video will become utterly irrelevant in a fairly short order.

    7. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by evilviper · · Score: 1

      Who gives a rats ass if a given copy of a film will degrade in 10 years. I can make a 100% perfect copy of the thing in minutes.

      The guy who has to keep buying new storage media... He cares. He cares a lot.

      Copying millions of 1MB pictures is trivial. Copying thousands and thousands of multi-terabyte movies is not.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    8. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      For video production houses or the big boys in Hollywood who do want uncompressed backup the parents point is pretty valid due to the same reason of storage costs - its only going to become cheaper

      Cheaper, yes. But that doesn't necessarily make it cheap.

      And doesn't the "who cares about mega-pixel" attitude with digital cameras prove that there is natural limit to rez?

      There is a sort-of a natural limit to res, but it depends on how big you want what ever it is your are showing to be in the first place. The mega-pixel issue with digital cameras is more about the lack of importance placed on lenses to go with better sensors, not that today's sensors are overkill for developers/publishers.

      Anyway, while I'm sure this article is inaccurate, I still think that it's no trivial matter at the moment and in the short-term future, bar any breakthrough in storage technology.

      BTW, this is an unrealistic argument, but if you think the Red camera is high-res, then you should check-out UHDV, with its mind-boggling 3.2GBs a second. Of course, it will be a fair while (if ever) before general consumers will be touching uncompressed 7680 x 4320 at 60fps. With that kind res, you'd never need to go outside. 10 points if you can guess the Futurama quote I'm thinking right now.

    9. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by Frozen+Void · · Score: 1

      You assume everyone copies and backups the CDs.Most CDs just collect dust.
      Like my games back from 96.

    10. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      For the guy that does that sort of thing for a living,
      copying thousands of multi-terabyte movies is infact
      trivial. Serious storage arrays already do this
      automagically.

      These guys just need to get their heads out of their
      *ss and use the same tech that their accounting
      system is using.

      As soon as multi terabyte drives get on the market,
      many indivuals will be moving around terabytes of
      movie files on a regular basis. Many individuals
      already have their own RAID arrays for this purpose.
      Consumer multi-terabyte RAID arrays are even becoming
      cheap and plentiful.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    11. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And based on that, the NSA should be seen as *preserving* everyone's email, not spying on them.

    12. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by gknoy · · Score: 1

      Exactly. The cost comes not just from the cost of new media, but the cost to have operators making (and verifying) copies of data in perpetuity.

    13. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by GWBasic · · Score: 1

      Once again repeat after me... the benefit of digital is not that it LASTS FOREVER or is EASIER TO PRESERVE. It is that it is EASY TO COPY. Who gives a rats ass if a given copy of a film will degrade in 10 years. I can make a 100% perfect copy of the thing in minutes. Copy the data every year. Hell copy it 100 times. Copying also makes the obsolescence of formats meaningless. I still have emails and RTF documents written in 1994. These are 100% perfect copies of the original data. Is that somehow to be interpreted by brain-dead fear-mongers that any day now my data will be "obsolete" since the obviously 15-year old media is almost degraded beyond recognition? Or are people a bit more intelligent and realize I have already copied this from hard drive to disc and back about 30 different times?

      Part of the problem is that digital video formats change quickly. 35mm film has changed very little since it was invented. The biggest difference between old film and new film is that old film is highly flammable, and thus must be handled in environments that are flameproof. About every 4-5 years, a new video file format comes out on PC. I've used MPEG, ASF, AVI (XviD), WMV, MKV, M4V, ect, ect. Digital video isn't like film; a projector from the 1940s can essentially work with today's film stock*.

      I think there's a fear that, even if a film was copied to a new drive every year, it would be stored in a weirdo file format that's impossible to decode in the future.

      *Ok... A 1940's projector will probably need an anamorphic lense, but I hope you can understand my point.

    14. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by evilviper · · Score: 1

      It may be trivial to copy a few terabytes around between ONLINE ARRAYS. When the drives are all off-line, and physically need to be found, connected, thrown out, and their replacements installed in their absence, the difficulties add up fast.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    15. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by adolf · · Score: 1

      I think there's a fear that, even if a film was copied to a new drive every year, it would be stored in a weirdo file format that's impossible to decode in the future.

      Perhaps. But must it really be impossible?

      First step is, of course, using a simple format instead of something weird and complicated. Something which acts more like FLAC seems more appropriate than something which acts like MPEG4.

      Second: Add interleaved redundancy information, ala PAR files on Usenet, so that even if some (possibly huge) random portions are unreadable, the whole thing will still be able to be recovered without error.

      Third: Store a description of those video and parity data formats on each iteration of media. Write it in Z-80 assembler. Or C. Or Pascal. Or Perl. Or English. Or all of the above. It's a simple format (see step 1), and it shouldn't be that hard to document it adequately enough so that someone in the Mysterious Future who is armed with a computer and half a brain can write a fresh, accurate decoder. (Math isn't going anywhere.)

      Fourth: Store that same documentation in analog form (acid-free paper, microfilm, whatever) along with the media. Include byte offsets for the locations of the video and redundancy data, so that in the event that the media is largely trashed the recovery effort can begin right away. (Bytes aren't going anywhere, and neither are lenses.)

      What was the problem, again?

    16. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by brunes69 · · Score: 1

      And you're missing the point of progress.

      How long did it take to copy 4 GB of data 10 years ago. Days? Weeks?

      Now I can do it in minutes.

      In 10 years I will be able to do it in microseconds or less.

      And that is just in my home with residential-quality systems.

    17. Re:Stupid article and stupider people by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      Because of the laws of physics, there are limits to progress. I don't know the details, but I'm sure someone can chime in with some of the problems. And, in fact, disk speeds haven't increased nearly as much as the bus speeds have. You also forget that 10 years ago, any movies on your computer would have been very low quality, compared to what you can get today -- the more space you get, the more space people will find ways to fill it. So one again you have over-simplified the situation.

  41. It'll be up to us. Yes, that includes you. by TheRistoman · · Score: 1

    The way I see it, there's not going to be any official world organization for the preservation of content (in fact, anyone advocating this will be looking to make a quick buck). Rather, it'll be in the hands of each end-user to archive, maintain, and provide worthy content. The different whims and tastes of every single individual will combine into a true representation of what mankind deems valuable, even more so when deciding to upload. This is already happening with BitTorrent trackers (the oink.cd closing comes to mind - disgruntled users migrated to minor clones and took it upon themselves to make the music available again, mostly thanks to their process of selection). Over time, what is really worthy of archival and culturally relevant will still be sought after - especially by newer generations of users. I don't think they'll be talking about movies like Gigli and Glitter in 100 years. Ok, maybe for argument purposes on what's *not* to be done. But I can guarantee you people will still know of Led Zeppelin, Citizen Kane, 1984, and so on. Even a 20-something like myself has benefitted greatly from the people going through the hassle of ripping and providing content from way before when I was born - especially things like reels, lossless soundboard recordings, OCR and so on.
    The format issue is somewhat relative - as long as it works on what's commonplace at the time, and value preservation over quality improvement (I mean really, most movies today are fine in the non-HD format, even VHS would be a fine support for the crap Hollywood likes to spew). And if you're talking about content you created (things like family pictures and movies come to mind), I don't think it's worth the hassle of putting it out for the world to download... We're talking about content with a much higher cultural relevance.

  42. Print to film is probably a good fallback plan by davidwr · · Score: 2, Informative

    Current movies are already printed to film for viewing in theaters, so the problem isn't at a crisis point yet. The problem will come when major film manufacturers quit making movie film.

    If the major studios demand it and are willing to pay higher prices for low manufacturing runs, film manufacturers will still make the film. I predict this will happen for the forseeable future.

    By the way, nothing but cost says you can't take each element in a digital scene and print it out to its own frame in addition to or instead of printing out the movie frame-by-frame. Also, nothing says you have to use 35 or 70mm format: If your original digital image has more resolution than you can store on 70mm film you can use a larger format.

    You can also use microfilm techniques to print technical information such as the descriptions of camera angles and even computer data files and computer code in human-readable, hex, or some other form to film for archiving, along with the computer code for the programs and enough information to build a virtual computer to interpret that code. Sure, it's a lot of information but remember, the goal is to put all of the information in a storage box and be able to retrieve it in 100 years and make use of it.

    If they had done this level of preservation with old NASA computer data and data-descriptions we wouldn't have some of the problems we are having today with un-interpretable data.

    --
    Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
    1. Re:Print to film is probably a good fallback plan by sykopomp · · Score: 1

      The thing is... the current plan for digital filmmaking involves no more film, ever. They plan on having theaters buy digital projectors, which will receive (probably download?) data from the studio.
      Putting the movies on film for archiving isn't really an option, since too much of the quality would be lost. The HD quality we're talking about here is much higher 'resolution' than even 64-inch film, and preserving that data requires a new method, unlike the usual "preserve one of the early copies in tin cans for, like, forever" method.
      Also, as far as preserving the 'instructions' to make a film... film is an art. Simply preserving data on camera angles and having some kind of code will not do. Films aren't computer programs - they're art. Being able to reliably copy the Mona Lisa exactly the way it was originally painted will never replace the value of the actual Mona Lisa.

    2. Re:Print to film is probably a good fallback plan by davidwr · · Score: 3, Informative

      Putting the movies on film for archiving isn't really an option, since too much of the quality would be lost. Incorrect:

      For any given resolution, there is a size of film that beats that resolution. Figure on about 100 line-pairs per millimeter of film for still frames, less for movie frames, and you'll be in good shape. If you want a nice margin of error, quadruple the size or resolution of whatever you are copying to in each direction. If your film hits the silver screen at 4,096 pixels in the vertical dimension, this is roughly 2000 line pairs or 20 millimeters of film, well within the bounds of standard movie film. Quadruple that and you've got 80mm. Granted that isn't a standard movie-film size but it's technically doable.

      Color gamut may be an issue in edge cases, particularly if the digital color has a higher dynamic range than color film will support. Black and white film used for certain archival purposes has a dynamic range big enough to hold the 12-bits-per-color that digital cinemas use. Color film may be a problem though - either the dymanic range will have to be flattened a bit or the highlights or shadows sacrificed. Printing the film multiple times with different settings should preserve all the color information.

      References: Digital Cinema.

      The HD quality we're talking about here is much higher 'resolution' than even 64-inch film 64-inch film??? Most hollywood film movies are 35 or 70mm, which is less than 3 inches.

      Also, as far as preserving the 'instructions' to make a film... film is an art. Simply preserving data on camera angles and having some kind of code will not do. Films aren't computer programs - they're art.

      Being able to reliably copy the Mona Lisa exactly the way it was originally painted will never replace the value of the actual Mona Lisa. If this is true it is true only in a hyper-technical sense. For the average consumer and even the average scholar, an exact brush-stroke-for-brush-stroke reproduction using materials identical to the original materials would be more than adequate.
      When you watch a film-print movie you are not watching an original anyways. You are usually watching copy or even an nth-generation copy. Plus, if you watch any print played more than a few dozen times, the copy you are watching has scratches and other damage not intended by the artists.
      --
      Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
    3. Re:Print to film is probably a good fallback plan by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

      The color really isn't that hard. As long as you have black-and-white film that can hold the number of bits of each channel (R, G, and B) in the color image, you could just have three film frames for each color frame in the original. You don't actually need color film to record color images; three black-and-white ones will do fine, and are pretty easy to reconstruct.

      You could even use more frames in this manner to achieve greater bit depths per channel than the film supports (use one frame for the first 12 bits of the channel, then another frame for the last 12 bits -- thus, 24 bits per channel). Thus with six film frames per actual 'frame' in the digital version, you could get RGB at 72bpp, if you wanted such a thing. Used this way, gamut is not a problem. You could even throw in another frame with nothing but error-correcting data.

      The nice thing about the one-frame-per-channel encoding is that, in the very worst case, you can always rig up some sort of analog projector with three different colored lenses and get a crude color projection out of it: not even digital technology is required. But of course, if you make the pixels big enough relative to the grain structure of the film, you can always scan it and get a pixel-perfect digital version back.

      --
      "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
  43. According to? by TravisW · · Score: 1

    digital films are as vulnerable to loss as digitized documents

    Maybe that's because digital films are digital documents? How much was the consultant paid who sorted that one out?

  44. Degrading by Furrybeagle · · Score: 1

    If not operated occasionally, a hard drive will freeze up in as little as two years. Similarly, DVDs tend to degrade: according to the report, only half of a collection of disks can be expected to last for 15 years, not a reassuring prospect to those who think about centuries. Digital audiotape, it was discovered, tends to hit a "brick wall" when it degrades. While conventional tape becomes scratchy, the digital variety becomes unreadable.
    Oh really? As others have pointed out, hard drives usually last much longer than two years (in my case, a notebook hard drive has lasted well over ten years, plus survived sitting in boxes, moving across the country, etc.). Furthermore, they're obviously not going to be backing up on a single drive; they would have some sort of data redundancy/RAID, or even multi-location backup.

    And I am skeptical about the DVD rot I keep hearing about. Doesn't a DVD have to undergo so much degradation that a "1" on the disk becomes a "0"? Whereas on analog media, any bit of degradation starts to have an effect on the content of the media. In other words, all the "1" bits on a disk might become ".95", but binary data would still be intact, whereas small color changes would occur on analog media. I realize that even one incorrect bit could damage a compressed piece of data, but why in the world would they archive using a compressed format?
    --
    Yakelope Marisco
    1. Re:Degrading by Vegeta99 · · Score: 1

      Have you ever seen a CD that's been used a lot? Due to the way that a CD is made, it's more vulnerable up /top/ than on the bottom. Eventually, something will break the urethane "seal" on the label side, and cause the reflective layer to oxidize, or "rot". D'oh!

      This can even happen without wear if there are any imperfections in the seal of either side!

    2. Re:Degrading by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Discs can also be susceptible to bad chemical composition, causing the thing to fail entirely within a few years. I happen to have a batch (10 or so) of DVD-Rs that were burned, read once to confirm their correct operation, and then stored in a cool enviroment in the usual DVD case. Three years down the line, the discs are totally unreadable in any player or drive I've tried. They may as well have pudding stored between the plastic sheets, for all the good they do.

      This is less likely when using properly mastered discs, as opposed to the El-Cheapo brand discs that were used in this case, but having such "Disc Rot" is still far from impossible even from the best of disc makers.

  45. The model they're using for backups by mdenham · · Score: 1
    ...is presumably the same as the whole "golden record" on the Voyager probes, more likely than not. Which is pretty horribly inefficient.

    Simplest way to store these in a non-lossy format would be to use something like, say, a "linear DVD" - which would bear more of a resemblance to a punch card or the metal "cards" the Difference Engine would have used than anything else. Divide each "card" into 13 zones and use microscopic holes (rather than simple changes in brightness) to encode one channel (vR, vG, vB, aFL, aFC, aFR, aCL, aC, aCR, aBL, aBC, aBR, aSW) per zone, one frame per row (for the audio channels, an amount of 32-bit mono audio equivalent to one video frame's duration), at whatever the native (both pixel and time) resolution is.


    For those of you wondering how big these holes would be, they'd be roughly 7.5nm in size (for a card sized to match letter-size paper) - larger bits than even a CD. This leads to a capacity of about 13,000 hours per "card" - and the resulting system, due to being a primarily mechanical recording rather than primarily optical, is more resilient to changes over time.


    It's obviously not a format that's readily implemented for a home computer, but as for archival purposes, it'd work quite nicely.

  46. Firewire isn't a better interface by Rix · · Score: 1

    For the same reason (as you agree) it'll continue to fade away.

    The whole point of both interfaces is to allow external, portable interfaces. I know that any office I go to with a portable USB drive will be able to read it. Worst case scenario, it's over USB 1.1, but it's still usable.

    If I bring a firewire drive, I'll get funny looks, and it has a pretty good chance of not working. Even though most recent mid to high end motherboards have it, almost everyone has never used it. There's a very high chance that drivers aren't installed, or that the front panel jack isn't even plugged in. Of course, there's also the very high percentage of laptops without a jack at all, and lower end desktops.

    1. Re:Firewire isn't a better interface by Chris+Oz · · Score: 1

      Technically Firewire is better than USB particularly if you are after speed. Little point debating this. There is a good reason why Firewire is dominant on DV cameras. However, USB is cheeper and easier to implement so it does have some advantages. The price thing is something the main reason USB is king. Firewire will be around for a while yet although USB will most probably trump all until the next big thing.

    2. Re:Firewire isn't a better interface by IvyKing · · Score: 1

      You've pointed out (correctly) that USB is more common than Firewire, but offered nothing about how USB is a better interface than Firewire for disk drives. LaCie states that they get around 10% better throughput with fw400 than USB 2.0.

    3. Re:Firewire isn't a better interface by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      Unless you work around a lot of Macs, in which case FireWire is much better. And it seems that people like you are still clueless as to why FireWire isn't going anywhere for a while: A/V.

    4. Re:Firewire isn't a better interface by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You seem to have touched a nerve. Firewire may be technically superior, but it also seems to foster fanboys.

  47. Not a new problem by Skater · · Score: 3, Insightful

    First, what kind of film was it that had a tendency to burn? Nitrate-based film?

    Second, I just heard that the studio that produced Aerosmith's first album has lost the masters, so they're going to re-record it.

    This kind of problem isn't new, and blaming it on electronic media is silly.

    Yes, you do have to take steps to ensure the availability of it in the future - but the same is true of analog versions too. If you don't have a good filing system, or your 'vault' is the backseat of a car in southern California, the reels are going to get damaged/destroyed/lost, too.

    I was on a railroad photographers' list for a while, and I remember the digital/analog debate came up one time. Someone said, "I'll be laughing when you lose all your files because your hard drive crashed and don't have pictures any more!" Obviously he never considered he could easily lose his negatives/slides, or have them damaged in a flood or fire. Analog media has different risks and storage requirements, but they BOTH require proper storage. (And, frankly, digital has the additional advantage that it can be easily backed up at multiple sites with no loss in quality.)

    1. Re:Not a new problem by justleavealonemmmkay · · Score: 1

      There are still people caring about Aerosmith ? Did someone ever hear of them since the release of the music for that comet movie ?

      Arguably, Aerosmith was pop rock, a category of music audiophiles will never care about, if only because snobbery is mutually exclusive to popularity. Who cares if the original recordings are lost ?

    2. Re:Not a new problem by mcrbids · · Score: 1

      I was on a railroad photographers' list for a while, and I remember the digital/analog debate came up one time. Someone said, "I'll be laughing when you lose all your files because your hard drive crashed and don't have pictures any more!" Obviously he never considered he could easily lose his negatives/slides, or have them damaged in a flood or fire. Analog media has different risks and storage requirements, but they BOTH require proper storage. (And, frankly, digital has the additional advantage that it can be easily backed up at multiple sites with no loss in quality.)

      As somebody who's just had an important database server go down YESTERDAY due to a disk failure, I can assure you that, while photographs can be flooded out, or the building burned down, a HDD failure is LOTS AND LOTS more likely. So the guy has a point - unless you actually ARE taking advantage of the ability to copy to multiple sites...

      We are so set up, so the database server going down resulted in about 20 minutes of partial downtime while we brought up a snapshot on a hot failover server. (which was already pre-imaged, configured, and ready to go as a "just in case")

      --
      I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
  48. Egyptian archival method by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

    1. Build a pyramid 2. Paint copy of movie on walls of catacombs 3. ? 4. Profit

    --
    Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
  49. Advantages of digital media by SamP2 · · Score: 1

    One of the fundamental qualities of any digital media is the separation of abstract data from the means of it's storage and expression. Analog media is inevitably related to the physical way of expressing or recording it. Copying a vinyl disk is identical to copying the physical shape of the tracts on the disk; referring to analog "music" is identical to referring to the wavelengths we hear.

    With digital, data and medium are separate. By itself, data is just an abstract collection of ones and zeroes. While technically data cannot "exist" without a medium, we logically pretend that it can (much like we can refer to the mathematical integers, even though in nature there is no such thing as just "1", only "1 of something"). As long as any physical device is able to transmit and recieve the exact set of 1s and 0s, it doesn't matter what technology that device uses to store or reproduce the data. Of course, any two devices that share the data must use a protocol both understand. But this bears no restriction to the protocol the devices would each use with a 3rd party.

    The advantage of digital, therefore, is its liquidity. Data can long outlive any physical medium it is stored on, by simply flowing around different devices, and while physical technology of storage and expression can change from era to era, the data itself remains constant.

    On the downside, this opens a new set of challenges - degrees of -logical- as opposed to physical openness, and these include the question of open or closed media and restrictions placed on its use by the logical software that processes it (AKA DRM). While analog media is pretty much restricted to either available as is or not available at all (in the form of encryption for example), digital media can be much more manipulated with regard to what and how is available to access.

    Digital media relies on people (or devices) that are actually going to use it. If you dump a recording in a time capsule for generations, there is little advantage between digital and analog. Digital vs. analog is like abstract money vs. barter trade - it means nothing on its own, but it is a logical expression of a particular value (rather than the physical object itself), and works best when it is flowing around, able to represent the value of physical objects that are seemingly incomparable to one another, and requires people to have acceptance of that logical value and common ways of exchanging it for it to have any advantage.

    1. Re:Advantages of digital media by rebelcool · · Score: 1

      In order to really preserve digital data for long periods of time, you have to include some kind of rosetta stone that describes what machinery to use to read the data, and how to interpret it as it is read.

      --

      -

    2. Re:Advantages of digital media by SamP2 · · Score: 1

      Never underestimate human ingenuity.

  50. How much space does a feature length film take? by bennomatic · · Score: 1
    With normal DVDs taking 4 GB, Hi Def DVDs taking maybe 10 GB, I figure 100 GB is probably a safe bet. If you want to save all the discarded takes and everything, maybe 1 TB. Just for the fun of it, let's make it ten times that, at 10 TB. Using a commercial service like AWS, 10 TB would cost $18,000 per year, and I think that's pretty generous.

    --
    The CB App. What's your 20?
    1. Re:How much space does a feature length film take? by ThreeGigs · · Score: 1

      Typical post production is done in DPX format.

      It uses 20 to 50 megabytes _per frame_. 24-30 frames/sec.

    2. Re:How much space does a feature length film take? by bennomatic · · Score: 1
      Wow, thanks for the info.

      So that puts it at about 5.5 TB per hour on the outside (50 MB/F, 30 F/S, 3600 S/H), so my 10 TB was probably not all that generous, but rather just about right for a 90-minute movie.

      So to make sure that we're covering 3 hour movies, let's go to 25 TB. That's still less than $50K per year, without a bulk discount, still significantly less than $200K.

      --
      The CB App. What's your 20?
    3. Re:How much space does a feature length film take? by ivan256 · · Score: 1

      $50k per year if you want to copy it to a new dual-redundant Fibre Channel RAID array with hot-spares every year, counting the previous year's array as a complete loss, and assuming no change in the price/capacity of disk over the next few years.

      If you're comfortable with 6 or seven sets of tapes in geographically separated vaults, copying the data when the tapes have reached 5% of their archival expectancy to be extra careful you're talking somewhere in the $3000 + labor + storage range. In other words: Not much.

    4. Re:How much space does a feature length film take? by bennomatic · · Score: 1
      Absolutely. My point was that even with "outsourced" data storage, backup, etc, through the Amazon S3 service, it's still waaaaay under $200K.

      Additionally, can't they do something these days with etched glass? Store them bits on glass, and unless you break them, you'll never lose the data. Make 100 copies, store them all over the world, make copies whenever one breaks.

      Of course, this doesn't have to be done for all films. If I never see "House Sitter" again, it'll be too soon.

      --
      The CB App. What's your 20?
  51. preservation by sohp · · Score: 1

    So all my important communications I write by hand in archival black ink on acid-free 100% rag paper. For truly mission-critical stuff, I have some stone tablets.

  52. False Dichotomy by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    Nothing stops them from making a celluloid (analog) copy. That way you have at least the same preservation as the old stuff. Are there more options now? Yes. Is that bad?....

  53. Re:Two-hundred-eight-thousand five-hundred sixty-n by borg_cube · · Score: 1

    I think the word you were looking for is precise, not accurate.

  54. Microfilms? by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

    What about microfilms? I know this is a terribly old solution, but that's what was used in the 1940 time capsule that's scheduled to be opened in 8113. Surely, that's terribly old tech, but anyone can read microfilms.

    --
    You just got troll'd!
  55. Re:Two-hundred-eight-thousand five-hundred sixty-n by thygrrr · · Score: 1

    That's quite possible, thanks.

    English is not my native tongue. :-)

  56. CDs are not really that well protected by cheros · · Score: 1

    I'm no expert, but AFAIK the problem with CDs is that the data layer is actually on the outside, and is thus subject to anything you can think of: friction, corrosion, different expansion rates potentially promoting separation (that's why you have to be very careful what you use as marker - you're writing directly onto the data layer.

    With DVDs the data layer is a bit safer, but there you have the problem that it has to be properly sealed (and that's assuming the sealant itself is not in any way affecting the data layer).

    As for the figures, well, I suggest you treat them like statistics. Very decorative, but always in need of full validation..

    --
    Insert .sig here. Send no money now. Owner may sue, contents will settle. Batteries not included.
  57. Hmmm... by msauve · · Score: 1

    I think you underestimate the resources that some enthusiasts are willing to expend. Might be a problem for some films, though.

    --
    "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
  58. it's interesting... by rebelcool · · Score: 1

    i'm a photographer and this comes up in my day to day life...

    digital is easier for storage in the short term, negatives take up far more physical space and the threat of catastrophic physical damage from flood or fire is very real.

    but in the long term, negatives have a better chance of survival due to the fact that you can simply hold it up to a light to read the information. If I died today, in 100 years the images stored on my harddrives and DVDs would simply be lost, or at the very least, uneconomical to recover. A properly stored negative will still be around, and while perhaps not in perfect condition, it will still be readable with a very simple device - your eye, and a lightbulb.

    --

    -

    1. Re:it's interesting... by Skater · · Score: 1

      Properly stored digital images would also be around. That's my point.

  59. How about a digital storage format... by mattgoldey · · Score: 1

    that won't degrade. punchcards! Just don't make 'em out of paper. How about aluminum or something?

    1. Re:How about a digital storage format... by Dunbal · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If you plan to fight entropy, you're on the losing side. EVERYTHING degrades eventually.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  60. Analog film is extremely fault tolerant ... by AHumbleOpinion · · Score: 1

    Why is it more expensive to preserve a bunch of bits and bytes than, say, a reel with analog information, printed on some soon-to-be-brittle plastic? I'm very sure the latter will decay in a quicker fashion.

    Analog film is extremely fault tolerant. No compression or encryption to go wrong due to a bad bit. No key frames and deltas that can cause errors to perpetuate from one frame to the next for a while. Digital is great in that you can have perfect reproduction, but it is also vulnerable in the sense that it requires perfect reproduction (yes error correction bits can mitigate this to a degree).

  61. The problem is older and more extensive by dsgrntlxmply · · Score: 5, Interesting
    The article failed to mention that conventional integral tripack color films, especially print films of the 1960s-70s, degrade with dismaying speed.

    Technicolor dye transfer (imbibition) prints were much less fugitive. Color separations onto black and white film stock (often termed YCM for yellow, cyan, magenta) are much more robust. Production of these separations (and imbitition relief "matrix" films) was intrinsic to the Technicolor printing process (even if the film was shot in conventional tripack negative, then transferred to Technicolor for printing), and films where these intermediates were saved (or where someone presciently thought to have a set of YCMs made), are much safer for the future than anything kept only on color stock.

    In the 70s there were some photo places (especially in Los Angeles) that marketed Eastman Color Negative 5247 movie film (short-end remnants from the movie industry) as a cheaper alternative for 35mm color negative still photography, and printed this onto 5283 color print film (same as movie prints) for 35mm slides.

    I recently found a few boxes of these that I had shot back then (and stored under entirely careless, or Arrhenius/Murphy if you prefer, conditions). I am not good at evaluating color negatives by eye, but the positives were faded either to mutated colors or to almost nothing.

    Even simple technologies can have amazingly short shelf lives under conditions of disuse. I recently turned on my stereo system after close to 3 years of not being used. The amplifier, CD player, and LP turntable all failed to operate. Part of this might have been due to de-formed electrolytic capacitors; these appear to have more-or-less repaired themselves after a couple of hours with the power turned on. Both the CD player and the turntable suffered additional electromechanical problems that required a combination of manual exercise and cleaning to rectify.

    None of these devices have anywhere near the scary sophistication of a modern hard disk drive.

    Seeing as I cannot remember what I last set my external firewall password to, imagine the additional challenge of future Hollywood being bitten deeply in the butt by present Hollywood's favored time-bombed destined-to-be-lost-art proprietary DRM technologies, with the keys long since dissipated in Hollywood's perennial miasma of mergers, acquisitions, lawsuits, cocaine, and personal vendettas.

  62. yes and whocares - now for the cost by Animaether · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ..in that order.

    Yes - You don't need to have 5.25" drive now to read back data that you stored onto an 'old' IDE drive 2 years ago. And that's a bad example because you can still get 5.25" drives. 200 years from now when we're working with crystalline storage methods, we won't have to read back from HDD platters.. just from the holographic storage drives that things were transferred to with the last generation of storage devices.
    Will we still have film projectors 200 years from now? Possibly not.

    Whocares - because the formats used to store digital film aren't exactly H.264 or whatever fancyschmancy codec the copyright-infringent care about; google 'digital intermediate'. And yes, those formats do tend to change, but they all remain lossless and, again, things can be transferred with each generation.
    Will we still know what to do with film 200 years from now? Ahhh.. there's the kicker.. probably, yes.

    This is also where the cost comes in - you have to keep upgrading to the latest formats and the latest storage devices to ensure that there will be no 'digital divide', so to speak.

    With film, you don't incur this cost. It's lossy in an analog sense, but if somebody looks at a film reel 2,000 years from now - and we assume to still have the same visual system in our watersacks - it will be trivial for them to see, literally, that it is a series of pictures which, in succession, appear to animate. Even if there's no device to play them back then, it would be trivial to build one from scratch using very rudimentary knowledge.
    With digital, even if you have the latest format and the latest hardware to read the device it's stored on, it is non-trivial for the layman to read this file and be able to put it back into a picture; in fact, it tends to take people with intricate knowledge of the device and the storage format.

    Personally I'm all for doing both, costs be damned, if the material is important enough. That said, do we really need to hold on to all material forevermore? Like a history book, it should be enough to retain the highlights (be they positive or negative), and not cling onto minutiae, as a society. Similarly, like family archives, those who believe something to be well worth the preservation for future generations (either within the family or civilization as a whole), will - or at least should - do so on their own and have history prove them right, or wrong.

    1. Re:yes and whocares - now for the cost by timeOday · · Score: 2, Informative

      With film, you don't incur this cost. It's lossy in an analog sense, but if somebody looks at a film reel 2,000 years from now -
      - what you will see is a little pile of black powder. Preserving even the top few classic films from only 70 years ago is already a huge challenge, they're pretty far gone.
    2. Re:yes and whocares - now for the cost by cgenman · · Score: 1

      you have to keep upgrading to the latest formats...

      Really? We've got some pretty solid (though huge) lossless video formats out there, and some simple codec implementations. We're not talking about some magic mumbo-jumbo here. We're talking about simple ones and zeros representing colors that any first-level CS student could write a decoder for on a notebook. If storage space is no limit (and at 200 thousand dollars per day, it shouldn't be), then a straightforward lossless format should be fine.

      If you paid some intern to do a HDD switch to two copies in four locations, for eight colo machines total, it should cost at most 10,000 dollars per year. If you're willing to host yourself and have your own IT department, this repeating cost (representing primarily colo fees), should be much less, and can be amortized across many titles.

    3. Re:yes and whocares - now for the cost by Marcos+Eliziario · · Score: 1

      Really... People deciphered hieroglyphs. People deciphered Enigma encrypted messages.
      If our grand-grand-sons in 300 years won't be able to figure out how to read something like a stream of raw frames in an optical disk, it means that they will be pretty much retarded, and then, by definition, they will have no need to watch our current generation's movies or TV shows, because their productions will be essentially the same crap as ours.

      --
      Your ad could be here!
    4. Re:yes and whocares - now for the cost by jklappenbach · · Score: 1

      I was tempted to mod down, but then why not just respond:

      That said, do we really need to hold on to all material forevermore?

      That's simply narrow-minded. Yes, we should hold on to everything we possibly can. In the late 60's and early 70's, the BBC regularly re-used tapes on a regular basis. Tape was "expensive", and so to cut costs early BBC recording sessions of the Beatles and Rolling Stones were wiped out of existence. Now, while you may not care one whit about either band, they hold a special place in my heart (having been raised on them). The loss of these recordings is a really a loss of moments that defined a generation.

      Bottom line, who is *anyone* to decide what is disposable in the historical record of a civilization. We have the means, save it all...

      -jjk

    5. Re:yes and whocares - now for the cost by dosun88888 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And it's a lot more important than just getting to see a few bands that you just happen to really like. The select few who would end up deciding what the minutiae is will have it in their power to rewrite history, and by extension write the future.

      So yeah, we need to save every single thing that we possibly can.

    6. Re:yes and whocares - now for the cost by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      ...people deciphered hieroglyphs because some Greek
      conquerors were nice enough to litter Egypt with lots
      of copies of "cheat sheets" that we could then use to
      decipher hieroglyphics. Without that, we would still
      be nowhere.

            The same could be said of Enigma messages. We
      started out with a problem with a fairly constrained
      solution. That makes the problem a bit easier.

            It wasn't merely a matter of Champilion being oh so l33t.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  63. Would it work? by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1

    "Long tail" is even worse for movies and TV shows. The only way I really see this working is if it was also accompanied by a massive investment by, say, Google.

    --
    Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
  64. Re:How much can they save by dropping DRM so any b by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 1

    Quite a lot. I've had to pull apart proprietary formats to extract data from old tapes, and it's a sreious pain that wasted my time, and their time lying about how unique it was. (I'm sorry, but a tar file hidden by 10 blocks of header and chopped into chunks of 1023 blocks is not that hard to re-assemble.)

  65. Burn to archival DVD by joshv · · Score: 1

    Split an uncompressed copy across 10 or so archival quality DVDs. Do this a few dozen times - store the copies in various geographically dispersed locations and be done with it. Should last at least 100 years or so. If you are worried about degradation, make new copies every decade or so. Worried we won't have DVD players in 100 years? CD players are almost 30 years old already. When exactly are they going away?

  66. The obvious solution by Ernesto+Alvarez · · Score: 1

    There's an obvious solution to the problem.
    Why not just make a copy of the movie on 35mm film?

    Movies are just strings of pictures shown one after another (plus sound), there's nothing that prevents a computer from showing each of them and "burning" them into celluloid. After that, you've got a copy that can be preserved in case your digital copy fails (or your only copy, if you want to store then cheaply).

  67. I'm not sure I'd call it "open sourcing" but... by Xenographic · · Score: 4, Insightful

    > I know that's moded funny, but that might actually be a very good argument for "open sourcing" movies.

    I wouldn't call it "open sourcing" exactly, but let's just say that films won't soon go extinct, at least as long as there are people willing to copy them.

    Actually, that's how books survived. The only ancient books we have now are the ones people thought were important enough to copy regularly, plus a few random things that survived for a ridiculously long time.

    1. Re:I'm not sure I'd call it "open sourcing" but... by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      trouble is once the excitement fades films are likely to dissapear from P2P and even for those that don't the quality of films on P2P tends to be mediocre at best (the availiblity of HD rips may have changed things a bit but I bet things of DVD or lower quality still dominate).

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    2. Re:I'm not sure I'd call it "open sourcing" but... by Somecallmechief · · Score: 3, Informative

      Hypothesis: it can be as important to lose data as it is to retain it. If all knowledge were preserved, the human specie would be incapable of processing it (with our current technology) in a meaningful way. The problem becomes more advanced when you change 'knowledge' to 'data'. Natural selection occurs as fundamentally in our pursuit of knowledge, our collections of art, and our collective memories as it does in the survival of species. Data must be sacrificed for information to be gained. That we desire to preserve as much as possible is as admirable and honorable a goal as any, and that pursuit should continue unhindered; however, milk will be spilled, movies lost, and species vanished. Without a way to meaningfully index all of the data in all the genres of all the mediums present to date, the goal of preservation is somewhat hollow. This Utopian world in which the Library of Alexandria is preserved is without virtue unless I can find "What Would Jesus Wear to a Funeral on Thursdays?" in a timely fashion.

      --
      If it looks like a duck, let's call it a moose.
    3. Re:I'm not sure I'd call it "open sourcing" but... by Thomas+Shaddack · · Score: 1

      I think that what you are looking for is called "search engine".

    4. Re:I'm not sure I'd call it "open sourcing" but... by Somecallmechief · · Score: 1

      Absolutely not. In the first, no engine exists which can "search" anything beyond text. Most searches against images, sound, video or the other require some sort of textual tagging in order to deliver results; but this is outside the scope of my intended observation. Far more is written, filmed, recorded and observed than can possibly be usefully organized (currently). This is as true now as it has been historically. YouTube buries as many (if not more) videos than it escalates. The diaries of the century before us are now accessible via blog, but it is as difficult now to read about the life of an Alaskan fisherman as it was 10 or 100 years ago. There is too much information to process it meaningfully; and as we produce more content, it becomes easier to loose, harder to track and more difficult to maintain. The loss of information--films, ideas, words, data and/or/but etc. is inevitable and healthy.

      --
      If it looks like a duck, let's call it a moose.
    5. Re:I'm not sure I'd call it "open sourcing" but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Hear, hear, this is why I have 3.7TB (soon to be 6TB) of raid5 storage for my private "backups" :) On a more serious sidenote, some older shows are already ridiculously hard to get, legally or not... A good reason to archive them. An example is Chicago Hope (yes, I know the show sucks), I could only find one season on bitmetv, the rest is gone... even tho it sucked, what if someone wants to watch it again in X years?

    6. Re:I'm not sure I'd call it "open sourcing" but... by Thomas+Shaddack · · Score: 1

      I should've clarified I did not intend to limit the term "search engine" to fulltext nor metadata. There are already attempts to make automated systems for recognition of objects/activities in video, and automatic transcription systems for audio are already in use (with varying level of success). You are correct that there are huge amounts of data out there. You are correct that they are difficult to organize now. However you may not be aware about R&D trends leading to remedy of this situation.

    7. Re:I'm not sure I'd call it "open sourcing" but... by houghi · · Score: 1

      Do not forget that books from the middle ages where not printed on the same paper we have now, which leaves us with much more time to copy it, if we so desire. Paperbacks are not something that will survive that long.

      OTOH there a a lot more of them, so the chances of one or more surviving for a longer time is also larger.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    8. Re:I'm not sure I'd call it "open sourcing" but... by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      If it's worth archiving at all there will be enough enthusiasts around
      to make sure it's preserved. There's lots of old jazz that's like that.
      People "pirate it" because it's no longer in print and historically
      valuable.

      If you just allowed regular librarians to archive this stuff there
      would be plenty of interest and resources devoted to the problem.

      Just build a big digital archive of everything and replicate it
      between LA, Tokyo and Paris.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  68. Quantity vs quality by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 2, Interesting
    In the biggest limitation was the cost of and access to publication. Now cost is close to zero and access is close to unlimited which is why we have youtube etc.

    I'm not convinced we need to keep 90+% of youtube or Friends and similar crap for people to watch 100 years from now.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:Quantity vs quality by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      In the biggest limitation was the cost of and access to publication. No, in the past the biggest limitation was the ability to recover any records at all. Ask any archaeologist about just how little of previous civilizations has survived through the centuries.

      I'm not convinced we need to keep 90+% of youtube or Friends and similar crap for people to watch 100 years from now. We've already lost way more than 10x what we've kept of the web so far. It's easy to dismiss it as meaningless crap when you have no personal experience as a historian, but arguments from ignorance rarely hold any water.
      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    2. Re:Quantity vs quality by Windom+Earle · · Score: 1

      arguments from ignorance rarely hold any water.

      The practice of an ignorant person would be to 'hold onto absolutely every record we can.'

      The practice of a more educated person would be: 'rank and prioritize. keep what is important. but KNOW what is important.'

      We can't just dedicate an ever-increasing amount of our resources to stockpiling more and more and ever more collected detris and information so that some day a century from now some Scientist will have 'raw data' to root through and justify his grant funding by sorting through.

      Information hoarding is Ignorant. It's that simple.

    3. Re:Quantity vs quality by L7_ · · Score: 1

      the poetry that i wrote and put up on my geocities page in 1997 was lost, and unrecovereable. it was complete with blinking text and colored fonts.

      it wasnt meaningless, but you could sure as hell dismiss it as meaningless crap. i mean crap.

    4. Re:Quantity vs quality by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      The practice of a more educated person would be: 'rank and prioritize. keep what is important. but KNOW what is important.' And of course, mainstream culture like 'Friends' is not important, despite being a shared experience of hundreds of millions of people world-wide, according to the previous poster. No one in charge of 'ranking' would ever make a biased decision now would they?

      We can't just dedicate an ever-increasing amount of our resources to stockpiling more and more and ever more collected detris and information so that some day a century from now some Scientist will have 'raw data' to root through and justify his grant funding by sorting through. Actually, we can. The cost of 'stockpiling collected detritus and information' gets cheaper every day. And of course that useless scientist rooting through raw data to justify grant funding wouldn't be an attempt on your part to minimize the importance of a historical record. After all, the human race should just live in the now, forget anything unworthy of 'ranking' right?
      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    5. Re:Quantity vs quality by Windom+Earle · · Score: 1

      Why are you flipping back and forth from 'we must save everything' to 'we should save nothing'?

      Also, your accusation that I have some dark motive for 'minimizing the importance of a historical record' is pretty ridiculous. You know how you obscure history? You pile lots and lots and lots of trivia in with it so it's difficult to sort out.

      So go ahead and archive your junk mail and spam if you like. Just don't expect us to admire you for the practice.

  69. AVI? by LaptopZZ · · Score: 1

    Just use AVI... it's not proprietary... :)

    --
    -=LaptopZZ=-
  70. Rosetta Project by tyrione · · Score: 1

    http://www.rosettaproject.org/

    Whoever builds a technology to read/write the encoded information to/from the Rosetta Disk that includes both video and audio: http://www.rosettaproject.org/about-us/disk/concept will be a rich company.

  71. Hard Drives by Paul+Slocum · · Score: 1

    As somebody who runs an art gallery that shows and sells a lot of video art, this is something I think about and deal with regularly. My current solution is to keep DVD masters and back them up to hard drives. Some are playable DVDs, some are DVD-ROMs with Quicktime files (usually what we use for high-definition videos).

    Once everything is a on a hard drive, it's easy to migrate the work to other video formats. If DVD players become difficult to find, we can easily convert the MPEG2 video to MPEG4 or whatever.

    The current standard for archival video art is DigiBeta, but it's on its way out -- primarily because it doesn't support high def.

    Film is obviously much larger data, but with Moore's law, data volume will soon be a non-issue. There is a limit to how much resolution our eyes can see and films are not likely to start getting longer, so we are probably close to hitting the limit for digital film data size. According to wikipedia, the data rate for Redcode Raw (4096×2304) is 220Mbit/s. At this rate, a 90 minute film is about 150 gigs. In a few years, redundant backups of these should be trivial.

    -paul

  72. Store your digital films the old-fashioned way by radimvice · · Score: 1

    Hold up a white sign with a big black "0" painted on it. Record a frame of the sign with a movie camera onto archival-grade film stock.

    Next, hold up a white sign with a big black "1" painted on it and record a frame.

    Repeat several trillion times, alternating between the two signs with varying frequencies, and you can rest assured that your digital films may be safely preserved in their original high-definition quality while still using the traditional film archival techniques.

    However, be warned that even this archival method is several orders of magnitude less secure than the tried and true monkey media storage systems that have effectively preserved great literary works that date as far back as the English Renaissance.

  73. A decade? by jd · · Score: 1
    1997? Hell, magnetic formats were in widespread use in the 1960s! (The BBC used mag tape for recordings they didn't intend to preserve, so they could reuse the tapes.) Nor is the modern hard drive the sole storage format people will have used. You used any MLM hard drives recently? Drum drives? Laserdisks? (Remember the BBC's Domesday project, which can be accessed on a total of two or three machines today.) Bubble memory? 8" floppy disks? Variable-speed floppy disks? Cartridge drives? There were backup packages that could use VCR tapes - you think Betamax backups would be very usable today?

    Not that this is unique to digital formats. "Missing Presumed Wiped" often recovered recordings so old that only one or two machines still existed that could play them. I shudder to think of the technical complexities of the salvage efforts that were used to recover the Pathe Newsreels from the late 1800s. I've even got photographic negatives from a mining township in Africa from 1909, but you think it would be trivial for me to get reprints? I can't exactly take those down to Walmarts. Given how explosive old film was, I'm not even certain I can keep those negatives without violating fire and safety regulations.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  74. same answer by drDugan · · Score: 1

    The answer to the digital storage question has always been the same: "who cares"

    not in the flip teenager attitude way meaning that no one does, but in the "those who care will copy it" way. It is a decidedly social, non-technical answer to the issue.

    Preserving digital content will happen by those people an orgs who want to keep copies of it, because someone cares enough to use it periodically. Overall, the median rate of use (making a copy) has to be shorter than the median decay rate for the system storing the content. If this is the case, the media survives, if not, it dies.

    If no one cares enough to use and copy the digital content, then people will lose it.

    I don't see where the "problem" is. We keep that which people are interested in paying to archive because it is accessed regularly, and the rest will be lost.

  75. Analog still not dead by Bones3D_mac · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Although we are probably getting a little too carried away in making everything digital, there is a lot to be said for the long-term storage options of data in an analog form. Even if an item stored in an analog form is destroyed by 50% or more, it's not impossible to recover most of it with fairly reliable accuracy simply due to the amazing ability of the human mind to recognize common patterns and fill in the blanks. Even if the analog were warped out of it's original order, odds are good we could recover it.

    On the other hand, digital archival of data, which can offer incredible clarity and potentially 1:1 accuracy in restoration often becomes an all-or-nothing proposition if even a tiny bit of the data is lost or altered. Even with file formats/codecs that offer some form of error correction or redundancy, the final result we may end up seeing could be little more than randomized shifts between a blank screen and a perfect image... all of which are swapped in and out so quickly, we may not see the recoverable parts long enough to identify any usable pattern.

    For example, try comparing something like the "scrambled" channels (mostly the porn channels) on cable television back in the early to mid 90s to something like DirecTV during a heavy rain storm. Even though the cable stuff was typically visible warped and uncomfortable to look at, you at least had a good idea of exactly what was going on behind the scrambling, even without the audio channels. But, try watching a DirecTV signal under less than ideal weather conditions, and the best you get is a bounce between a random mosiac and pitch black, combined with severely degraded audio pops here and there. You're luck if you can even get a useful picture of anything on the screen, let alone being able to comprehend what is going on in the show itself.

    That said, how difficult would it be to create a micro-film drive (photosensitive analog scanner/burner) that could not only store any document on a computer in an analog form, but do so in a format that could be interpreted entirely by the human eye using a proper magnifying device. For that matter, why not create a hybrid device that would store both an easily visible analog form of a document as a high-resolution thumbnail, along with a digital version using pattern of dots similar to how data would be stored on an optical disc. This way, no matter what device you use to extract the information, you'd always have the means to access the data you need.

    --


    8==8 Bones 8==8
  76. AAD ADD DDD DDA by not_hylas(+) · · Score: 1

    Kodak will have the last laugh.

    AAD (Analog Analog Digital), ADD (Analog Digital Digital), DDD (Digital Digital Digital), DDA (Digital Digital Analog)

    The sad thing is you can't find Infrared film anymore (other than 35mm, and that may be in danger also) , because "everyone" is going digital.
    It's a double edged sword for me, as I'm snapping up all these Hasselblads:

    http://www.hasselbladusa.com/products/v-system.aspx

    - that everyone is discarding, $22,000. systems, tossed like yesterday's salad.
    (But, please don't listen to me - they ARE worthless, those lenses too, TRASH, I tell you! You need the latest:

    http://www.bhphotovideo.com/c/product/522927-REG/Hasselblad_70380530_H3DII_39_SLR_Digital_Camera.html

    There are experiments with holographic data storage systems:

    http://www.research.ibm.com/journal/rd/443/ashley.html

    http://www.research.ibm.com/journal/rd/443/ashle20.jpg

    -as long term storage.

    A generation of family / baby pictures will go down the tubes because no one thought about it.

    We shoot products on digital (no loss) - but, that's it, the rest, 220 Velvia, 35mm slides and a cool dark place, - yeah, and I LIKE it like that.

    --
    ~hylas
  77. Important Enough to Copy by AtomicSnarl · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Like Barbra Cartland? Or Penny Dreadfuls? Or the RFC Archive? Or YouTube?

    Huge amounts of fundamental culture simply disappears because it is so transparent or ordinary to those it affects. The next generation comes along and they forget about it because of that apparent mediocracy. For example, breast feeding was normal, ordinary, and public in America up through the 1950's. Movie and later Television rule-makers didn't allow showing it unless it was part of some National Geographic type presentation. Today, breast feeding is being re-discovered in a storm of controversy because an entire generation has not only forgotten, but confused the topic with beer commercials.

    Then again, how many people want to remember Phillippine Midget Snuff films? And why?

    --
    Pacifist paratroopers yell, "Ghandi!" when they jump.
  78. Buck Rogers has already solved this problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Film archival should not be a problem. I seem to recall an episode of "Buck Rogers" where Buck was suspected of some crime in the past, so the lawyers pulled out this five hundred year old videotape from a surveillance camera, put it into a wooden box with flashing lights, and it played fine, no problems at all. It was even better because the playback system was able to switch camera perspectives to get the most dramatic angles and stuff.

  79. What's the problem? by 3vi1 · · Score: 1

    I don't see the problem: Take all the original footage, and record it losslessly (a few times - so that they can be stored on multiple continents) to a few blue-ray DVD-ROMS (not chemical based RW), and keep the masters.

    Sure, it's expensive. Boohoo for the MPAA members that spend $200 million making a movie, charge theaters so much that they have to pass it on to me in the form of $7 popcorn, and can't spend (a one-time cost of) a couple dozen grand preserving their creation.

  80. don't worry by ILongForDarkness · · Score: 1

    50 years from now you won't care that you can't play your Crossroads DVD.

    1. Re:don't worry by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      50 years from now I will probably be torturing my great grandkids
      with "The Cat from Outer Space" playing a copy of the h264 rip
      that sits on my "media" drive right now. This will be played off
      of some piece of storage also labeled "media" in the future. This
      file may or may not be regenerated between now and then.

      The original may even be playable then since all it does is sit
      on a shelf in it's original case.

      My 10-15 year old mp3's are now replicated around the house.

      As soon as space is cheap enough, the same will be true of the avis.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    2. Re:don't worry by ILongForDarkness · · Score: 1

      "The Cat from Outer Space"

      lol, I loved that movie as a kid. We still had a black and white TV at the time, with one of those push button channel switchers on it, nice.

  81. Print a film by Sgs-Cruz · · Score: 1

    For that kind of money, just print it onto a film for the long-term archive? Hell, maybe they could encode the digital data on film as patterns of white and black squares?

    --

    Karma: pi (Mostly due to circular reasoning in posts).

  82. Harness Collector Power by TaoPhoenix · · Score: 1

    These clashing objectives are really getting out of hand.

    The only reason there is a problem is because studios are so terrified of extra copies siphoning off their revenue. Wholesale disappearance of material they are no longer interested in doesn't seem to bother them.

    Then they claim it costs $200,000 per item to store them? That would mean... *negative* revenues against sales of zero.

    Is it reasonable to say that modern hard drives can last some twelve years? So, every ten years you simply copy over your materials onto the newest spiffy drive.

    Someone talked about favoring popular materials... absolutely not. If there were *no penalties* involved, everyone would carve out a niche because the storage effort could be semi coordinated. Then you could find the French edition of Casablanca if you wanted to, because *someone* would have it.

    --
    My first Journal Entry ever, in 8 years! http://slashdot.org/journal/365947/aphelion-scifi-fantasy-horror-poetry-webzine
  83. How about warehouse cost and mainteancne cost ? by snackbull · · Score: 1

    Those figures can't be right. To keep old film media, you need a huge warehouse, with temperature and humidity control. Too hot and humid, fungus growth. Too cold, it brittle. And guess how much to run such warehouse? Building the warehouse, install temperature control equipment, maintenance, electricity bills,etc, it can easily cost millions. I bet it is an accountant that help make up the report. Many accountant refuse to change the mindset of inventory pile up and warehouse cost. Isn't it obvious, since transfer "new media" involved cost, but film media wont' incur much of it. Well, not before you took into account of the cost of running the super warehouse for old films. OTH, reducing the films reel to digital forms to DVDRAM/Blueray/HDDVD, Terabytes disk platter can shrink the medium and reduce warehouse size, and save millions on long terms maintenance bills.

  84. I've read that put another way... by Xenographic · · Score: 1

    > Yes, and those who do study history are doomed to watch in frustration as it is unwittingly repeated by those who do not :-)

    I've also seen it said that "Those who foresee misfortune suffer it twice."

  85. Analog anyone? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Perhaps we should just archive anything and everything on analog media. Chances are we'll always have a way of converting analog media to whatever happens to be the going digital format of the day.

  86. Re:Two-hundred-eight-thousand five-hundred sixty-n by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think you meant language, not tongue :-)

  87. Solutions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1. The very best data-retention method known involves the "Curie Point" of a magnetic material. When lava fresh out of a volcano cools below the Curie Point, the Earth's weak magnetic field is sufficient to align magnetic particles. Geophysicists can "read" 100-million-year-old lava, and determine the orientation of the magnetic grains. This data-retention property was combined with a special optical effect (the direction of the magnetic grain affects the way light reflects), and "magneto-optical" data storage was born. They pretty much guarantee 40+ years of reliability; the disks haven't been around long enough for anyone to know just how long they actually can retain data. Unfortunately, the technology is being phased out, because a 3-1/2-inch disk only holds 2.3GB, not enough. The 5-1/4-inch disks are still around; they hold about as much as a DVD (on each side of the disk). A few of these MIGHT be enough to hold all the data for a digital production.
    2. I think there's a rumor about hard-disk-drive technology planning on incorporating a combination of a tiny magnetic read-write head with a laser beam. The laser heats the disk surface to near the Curie Point when writing, the goal is extreme data density where neighboring bits CANNOT magnetically affect each other at room temperature --but a side-effect will be long-long-term data storage (at least until the drive mechanically fails).
    3. We might imagine a special variation on the previous theme. Start with stainless steel, a substance with a long long lifespan; most of them are non-magnetic, but a few are magnetic. We want a variety that has magnetic properties but does not magnetize easily (that's what the Curie Point is for; just below that temperature, it will magnetize much more easily than at room temperature). Let's make a long thin ribbon of this stainless steel, and wind it on a spool, very much like a more ordinary magnetic tape. Yes, I'm aware that "wire recorders" existed in the 1940s, but they used easily-magnetize-able wire. Basically, this notion is to separate the storage media from the read/write technology, so that if that hardware fails, the data-media can simply be moved to replacement hardware.
    4. Ordinary "flash" memory has a drawback in that it can only be re-written a limited number of times, but it is available in multi-GB sizes, and certain varieties of flash memory just happens to have a pretty long data-retention ability (40 years or more). Some of the new non-volatile memories coming down the R&D pipeline, such as MRAM, may offer even longer data retention ability. It seems to me that if a digital production was stored in such chips as these, simply READING the data should be fairly easy, modest hardware. All that remains to be standardized is the storage format.

  88. Lucky we back it up for them via p2p :) by JackMeyhoff · · Score: 1

    See, bit torrent is a backup medium :)

    --
    http://www.rense.com/general79/wdx1.htm
  89. What about historical value? by Nerdposeur · · Score: 1

    Seriously, IF the older films are an authentic art that deserves preservation, the why is most of it scrapped on the cutting room floor?

    I see your point, but in many cases, books and films may have historical value that isn't apparent right now. Very old movies that we'd hardly enjoy now still sometimes interesting because they contain propaganda or ideas that became influential.

    I have no interest in watching the "Saw" movies, for example, and would not personally choose to preserve them. But future historians may learn something important about our time period by seeing that people were entertained by such cruelty and suffering.

  90. british library by speculatrix · · Score: 1

    the British Library is a copyright repository and they turned down quite a few now famous authors and books as they felt they were too populist. Now, I think, they don't turn down anything - just in case.

    so, archiving things isn't just a problem for niche market things - quiet a lot of art is lost because it's not thought to be worthwhile at the time. Consider famous cave paintings - a few primitive daubs, now of immense value and interest.

  91. Open Format by euxneks · · Score: 1

    As long as the movie is encoded into open format, the point of passing codecs is moot. It doesn't matter if it goes out of style, there will always be software that will read the open source codec - if there isn't, it doesn't take much to code it. As for drive failure, all you need to do is to keep copying, or making backups of, the file to new drives or media. This article is alarmist at best.

    --
    in girum imus nocte et consumimur igni
  92. Dead torrents by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because torrents go stale and die.

  93. Digital Intermediates supplant Negative Cutting by igb · · Score: 1

    Increasingly, the edit decision list isn't given to a negative cutter; the final assembly is sent directly to a digital output device which generates film. I don't know if projection prints are individually struck like this or duplicated optically: I suspect it depends on the volume. The first film to do this starting from live-action shooting was O Brother Where Art Thou in 2000. It's obviously universal for projects shot on DV and then distributed on film, where there aren't negatives as such. This whole discussion will be dead within ten years, because anyone who has watched digital projection will be increasing dissatisfied with optical prints anyway. The only optical print I've ever seen that comes close to modern digital projectors is the dye sublimation print of Apocalypse Now done a few years ago. I used to go to the Stanford Cinema in Palo Alto and see clean prints of B&W classics: seeing the BFI's digital restoration of The Dam Busters a few months ago knocked those into a cocked hat.

    1. Re:Digital Intermediates supplant Negative Cutting by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      Until Spiderman 3 there were no wide-release films that I know of that were laser printed for every copy. However the company who printed Spiderman 3 (whose name is currently escaping me) had just figured out a way to dramatically reduce the time per frame (aka $ per frame) and is trying to make it economical for more films to go straight to stock without an optical dup process.

  94. More or less... by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

    Let's quadruple that to include all the cut scenes and unused footage, to 25 terabytes.

    Careful now - the historical archives, AFAIK (not much) don't store that much cutting-room-floor footage, so you've just imposed stronger requirements on digital than analog, and increased the cost.

    That said, cutting room floor footage can sometimes be as high as 200x the final product. So if you want to go that route, your estimate is way low.

    Again, we're making wild guesses without understanding requirements, so we know we're still on Slashdot. ;)

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  95. ZFS by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

    For more redundancy you could break up the size of the RAID into smaller RAID6 arrays and stripe them. Or use striped mirrors.

    Hey, you better be using ZFS for this job!

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  96. Nonsense by sjames · · Score: 1

    They MUST be making some fairly bad assumptions to come up with their numbers.

    I'll assume that no compression will be used at all (since this is for archival use) and that it takes 100 DVDs to store a full uncompressed archival master. For safety, we'll make 5 copies. That's a media cost of about $120. Now, store the media and a few computers capable of reading it for 10 years in several safe places. After 10 years, copy it to whatever storage is well documented and well known at that time. Assuming 5 computers w/ DVD drive and 5 copies of the film, decent pay for someone to make the copies, and that those computers will be dedicated to just that one film then rounding UP, we come to around $10,000 for 10 years. That leaves us with about $100,000 for 100 years.

    Of course, in real life, it will cost less because we want to archive more than just one film and so don't have to dedicate 5 brand new computers to each film. Also, the trend is going to be for each 10 year generation to get cheaper than the previous one since capacity is always increasing. By the end of 100 years, all of the films may be archived on a single holographic cube of some plastic like substance (of course, with 4 backup copies) and still looking exactly like they do right now.

    All of this assumes the only option is to use high end consumer grade hardware. Surely it's possible to come up with a DVD like format with much greater durability. Perhaps burning tiny holes into a sheet of stainless steel and encasing it in resin. It's not necessary that an archival format be capable of real-time recording or playback.

    It's not as if the old analog film has fared all that well anyway. A fair number of them on nitrocelulose stock spontaniously combusted years ago. Others turned into a mass of toxic and potentially explosive goo and were recovered and restored at great cost (and are NOT exactly like the original).

    On more than one occasion, archived video and film has been lost but was recovered from somebody's personal copy. The more widely distributed something is and the less DRM it has on it, the more likely it is to be preserved. Should a DRM mechanism that can't be cracked in a few months ever go into use, it will likely become the leading cause of lost media a few decades later.

  97. I wouldn't say there are a lot of formats... by SQLz · · Score: 1

    Cineon was the standard for a long time when it came to archiving or exchaning the final frames, but EXR has pretty much taken over. The problem really isn't archiving the final frames, its the fact you need to archive every element used to make those frames, and those files could be rla, exr, cin, jpg. This could be 1PB or more because people get really paranoid and just archive everything online when the shot is finaled.

  98. No one works exclusively with macs by Rix · · Score: 1

    As soon as you leave the walled garden, you have to use grown up tools.

    1. Re:No one works exclusively with macs by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      I know many people who work only in a Mac environment. Care to tell us what AV tools make FireWire redundant, then?

    2. Re:No one works exclusively with macs by k8to · · Score: 1

      So the substance of your post is "Macs are for babies"?

      --
      -josh
  99. Nothing to do with price or speed by Rix · · Score: 1

    It's ubiquity. USB is everywhere, firewire is not.

    1. Re:Nothing to do with price or speed by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      This still ignores that fact that FireWire can do things that USB can't, so no matter how common USB is, it still can't replace FireWire for certain things. Now, perhaps you will never use them, but that doesn't change that fact that many people do. Or is this simply a popularity contest, rather than one of practicality?

  100. And how fast is it... by Rix · · Score: 1

    If the system you need to connect to doesn't have a firewire interface? A lot more that 10% slower, I'd imagine.

    1. Re:And how fast is it... by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      My external drives have both USB and FireWire. This is quite a common feature for FireWire enclosures. So put that in your pipe and smoke it.

  101. Farce by twebb72 · · Score: 1

    This article is a farce. There will always be a market in content. Cost of storage will drop, archives and redundancies will become more prevalent. This article could have been written twenty years ago and instead of video being the focus, it could have been written about documents, encyclopedias, what have you. After video, what next? Preserving a digital model of the neural cortex of brilliant minds like Einstein's? Absolutely, it will happen (assuming the technology enables it). People generally have a tendency to save, make backups, etc. to document our history. This will not change.

  102. Like almost everyone by Rix · · Score: 1

    I neither use nor care one bit about AV tools.

    I guarantee the people you reference have their cheques signed by people using grown up computers.

    1. Re:Like almost everyone by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      Since when was this only about you? I'm not even sure what that last sentence is supposed to mean. Unless you can give me some real facts or show some sort of example of logical reasoning, then why bother replying?

  103. You have the memory of a goldfish by Rix · · Score: 1

    You asked for my personal experience with AV equipment. That's when it "became about me".

    1. Re:You have the memory of a goldfish by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      No. I assumed you knew something about AV, since you made a comment on the subject. Or perhaps you don't really know what you are talking about?

  104. Go read again by Rix · · Score: 1

    You'll find you're incorrect.

    1. Re:Go read again by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      I see no reason why, and you can't seem to prove to me otherwise. I seems to me that you simply don't have a real argument here, as evident by your last few posts that aren't backed up by anything. Telling me to re-read it is not an option, because I have done so, and I just see BS. You need to actually summarize your point, because if there is one here, it's been broken across several posts and doesn't make such sense anymore.

  105. Yep, it is a popularity contest by Rix · · Score: 1

    That's how we choose standards, for the most part.

    If you only intend to plug the drive into your own systems, there's scant reason for them to be external. You might as well throw them inside the case. If you're moving around too much data to be practical over a network (or over long distances) and you control both endpoints, eSATA is probably better.

    If you need portability, you need an interface that you can count on being everywhere. That's not firewire.

  106. I choose based on which is a better solution by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

    I use external drives because I have data that I don't need or want (backups) to keep on my main HDD, as well as for transporting data. iMacs don't have room for extra drives -- most people don't need them. Same goes for laptops, too, before you try to get me on that one.

    If you need portability, you need an interface that you can count on being everywhere. That's not firewire.

    Damn right. But not everyone is looking for those things; some people have other requirements. Otherwise, you could make the same argument for eSATA.

    At the moment, comparing USB to FireWire is still like comparing apples to oranges. They do have a large crossover in terms of what they do (hence our discussion), but the USB 2 spec, and AFAIK, the USB 3 spec, still hasn't made FireWire redundant. Maybe it will in the future -- who knows. If so, then perhaps FireWire will fade away.

  107. Suitability for purpose by Rix · · Score: 1

    I think you've granted that for portable media, USB is king, which was my original point.

    For non portable (or minimally portable) external drives, there are other superior interfaces to firewire. If multiple people need to access the data, NAS on a gigabit lan does the job better. If large amounts of data need to be moved around a few discrete locations, eSATA is superior.

    USB alone may not have made firewire redundant, but it is redundant none the less. I fail to see any real use cases were there isn't a better solution.

    1. Re:Suitability for purpose by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you should read up on it before saying that NAS, USB, or eSATA are viable alternatives?

  108. Deflate your ego by Rix · · Score: 1

    I know very well what it is.

    For all reasonable applications, one of NAS, USB or eSATA is superior to firewire.

    1. Re:Deflate your ego by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      So none of the video cameras with FireWire connections are reasonable?

  109. Not really by Rix · · Score: 1

    You're running back into the portability argument. What are you going to do with that camera when you're on vacation and need to use some netcafe with windows 98 boxen?

    1. Re:Not really by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      You do know that FireWire is common standard in video cameras because of its low latency designed specifically for streaming audio and video, right? You can do it across USB, but then you may face problems such as dropping frames/sync issues, etc.

      I've seen plenty of Mac internet cafes around, and Macs are even more common than they were before. I doubt finding a Mac (or Windows with FireWire) in case a laptop breaks during a trip is going to leave you any more high and dry than trying to get your video off your video camera using USB under some old Windows 98 box.

      Besides, just how many people download their video straight to the internet when they're on vacation? If your point is still about ubiquity, then I think you sadly overestimate the world's internet cafes bandwidth capability -- unless you like to spend your vacation waiting for stuff to finish down/uploading?

      And if you are referring to accessing the video camera as a mass storage device, or something similar, to copy the video data off, then I'm guessing most of those types will also have USB for doing just that, similar to how many FireWire enclosures on the market also have USB.

      Of course, if you are talking about high-end audio, "pro-sumer" grade MIDI instruments that have FireWire, most of them don't seem to have USB. But then again, you won't find many USB connections in those areas to begin with.

  110. How is that not a fringe case? by Rix · · Score: 1

    Why would you ever need to stream live footage from a camcorder? I think you've stepped way outside reasonable use cases.

    I've never seen a mac netcafe, and I seriously doubt they exist in any real numbers. Macs are still very much a niche product purchased largely by those with more money than sense.

    Lots of people pass around things like cameras expecting them to "just work". That doesn't happen with firewire.

    1. Re:How is that not a fringe case? by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      You obviously don't know much about AV, do you? Otherwise you wouldn't be make a fool of yourself.

      Ah, so this is an anti-Mac thing? Now it makes more sense. But you'd never admit to thinking FireWire is worthless simply because you hate the company associated with its creation, because that would be stupid, right?

      Your last point still doesn't make sense because you are ignoring the things I have told you. Or do you think that every person who buys a video camera places portability (as in the ability to download it using any computer in the world) above ease of use and reliability? Assuming your video camera portability argument actually made sense.

      Why do you assume that everyone needs the ability to upload their vacation videos in internet cafes? There are probably more FireWire capable net cafes than there are net cafes with the ability to upload hours of untouched HD video in a reasonable amount of time and money.

  111. AV is a side issue by Rix · · Score: 1

    This discussion was actually about portable media.

    This isn't an "anti-Mac" thing. I don't really care one way or another about Apple or it's products. Is it "anti-Mac" to ignore them?

    Portability is a prerequisite to ease of use and reliability. It's pretty hard to use an interface that doesn't exist on the systems you want to use.

    I don't imagine you'll find many netcafes that won't allow you to burn cds/dvds of data you bring in. You'll have to have a way to get that data on their systems though, and that isn't firewire.

    1. Re:AV is a side issue by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      Your point seems to be that FireWire has no value because it will eventually die. It can't just be ubiquity, because that is irrelevant as because many enclosures also have USB. So your point seems to be around the advantages of FireWire for enclosures aren't enough to save it, and I'd agree if that was the only use for FireWire. But since it still has uses that USB or whatever can't replace, it's not going anywhere anytime soon, so those of us who have FireWire can still benefit from it, even if we only use it for storage devices.

      I don't imagine you'll find many netcafes that won't allow you to burn cds/dvds of data you bring in. You'll have to have a way to get that data on their systems though, and that isn't firewire.

      And it isn't necessarily USB, either, because many video cameras still don't have USB. Many of Sony's tape-based video cameras, which include one of their high-end models, still use FireWire. You may think that tape is outdated, but it's not. It still provides the best quality in that range, and it's ubiquitous and cheap compared to an un-replaceable HDD, since you don't even need to transfer it to a computer when it gets full,

      Did you know that FireWire doesn't require a host? Meaning that if the devices support it, you can simply plug one device into another to transfer data, no computer necessary.

      And what about the audio industry? You still haven't told me why FireWire is hopeless in there.

  112. I'm not arguing on technical merit by Rix · · Score: 1

    USB host really isn't that tough. My mp3 player can act as one, and will snarf photos over a standard camera USB interface (mtp I assume, but I've never tried it).

    Firewire does have many advantages over USB. That isn't in question. Most of them are rather
    irrelevant, but not all of them. It probably will hang on in esoteric or high end niches, lots of stupid and irrelevant standards do (hello, minidisc).

    1. Re:I'm not arguing on technical merit by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      The fact that you think a niche market is irrelevant just goes to show how silly you are being. And you still don't get the fact that USB isn't an alternative to FireWire for many people, not just "esoteric or high end niches". I think you really underestimate what computers are used for in todays society. Not everyone is exactly the same as you, and that is a good thing. At the end of the day, computers and technology are all just tools, and if you're so foolish as to believe that you know everything on the subject because you also happen to be in the industry, then that is your problem. I think I'm done here, so feel free to get the last word in.

  113. I don't think you read the thread from the start by Rix · · Score: 1

    Here's the ancestor.

    Would you really want to find a firewire only external drive 15 years from now?