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Biofuels Make Greenhouse Gases Worse

vortex2.71 sends us to the Seattle Times for an account of two studies published in the prestigious journal Science pointing to the conclusion that almost all biofuels used today cause more greenhouse-gas emissions than conventional fuels if the full emissions costs of producing these "green" fuels are taken into account. "The benefits of biofuels have come under increasing attack in recent months, as scientists took a closer look at the global environmental cost of their production. These plant-based fuels were originally billed as better than fossil fuels because the carbon released when they were burned was balanced by the carbon absorbed when the plants grew. But that equation proved overly simplistic because the process of turning plants into fuels causes its own emissions — for refining and transport, for example. These studies... for the first time take a detailed, comprehensive look at the emissions effects of the huge amount of natural land that is being converted to cropland globally to support biofuels development."

506 comments

  1. Hm... by kmac06 · · Score: 4, Funny

    So an effort to fix global warming made things worse? How surprising.

    1. Re:Hm... by pizzach · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The closer to perfect something is, the easier to mess it up when you try to improve it. No wait...

      --
      Once you start despising the jerks, you become one.
    2. Re:Hm... by cayenne8 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      "So an effort to fix global warming made things worse? How surprising."

      You know....I'm willing to do this anyway...if it will still get us OFF the 'teet' of middle east oil.

      If we could just remove our dependency from oil and quit throwing money and worrying about the situation over there because of it....let that place dry up, and let them all do as they please over there. At the very least, it would be worth it in order to quit making peoples and countries wealthy that hate us in the western world.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    3. Re:Hm... by omeomi · · Score: 2, Informative

      So an effort to fix global warming made things worse? How surprising.

      Scientists have been saying all along that food-product based bio-fuels--corn-ethanol in particular--are a bad idea. It's the politicians and auto manufacturers that are too stupid to listen.

    4. Re:Hm... by graft · · Score: 1, Insightful

      You've apparently never studied any economics, or even arithmetic. This is how it works: America requires X amount of oil. We can replace that with biofuels; however, to produce 1 gallon of oil equivalent for ethanol requires inputs of, say, 1.1 gallons of oil. This means, in order to have an entirely ethanol-based fleet, I need inputs of 1.1X amount of oil. This means by converting to an entirely ethanol-based fleet, I AM INCREASING MY DEPENDENCY ON OIL. There are two ways to do this: either (1) you reduce your oil consumption outright (by, e.g., promoting efficiency of your vehicles), or (2) you develop a sound alternative energy source. Changing your fuel vector (ethanol, hydrogen, etc.) does not cut it. P.S. I'll throw in some obligatory caveats - obviously inputs into ethanol production won't overlap entirely with oil - it'll require some natural gas, some coal, etc., but these things don't come any cheaper or less dear than oil.

    5. Re:Hm... by Harmonious+Botch · · Score: 1

      You know....I'm willing to do this anyway...if it will still get us OFF the 'teet' of middle east oil. There are other ways of doing that: nuclear, or the massive oil fields in Alaska. But no politician seems willing to put them all on the table and compare the pros and cons of each.
    6. Re:Hm... by TubeSteak · · Score: 1

      The clearing of grassland releases 93 times the amount of greenhouse gas that would be saved by the fuel made annually on that land, said Joseph Fargione, lead author of the second paper, and a scientist at the Nature Conservancy. "So for the next 93 years you're making climate change worse, just at the time when we need to be bringing down carbon emissions." On what basis does he make that assumption?
      If we're going to be honest with ourselves, in the long view 93 years isn't a terribly long time.

      Maybe it's worth the 93 years of greenhouse gasses just to get everyone switched over to an ethanol system, even if we abandon those grasslands in 30 years because some other ethanol feedstock has become commercially viable.

      IMHO, whatever the US does won't make a huge difference unless China & India get onboard.
      They are going to be the main drivers of energy consumption, whether it is oil, coal, natural gas or [other].
      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    7. Re:Hm... by homer_s · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It is not the 'dependence on middle eastern oil' that is the problem. It is 'installing dictators and propping up theocracies' that is the problem.
      If America is willing to let countries own their oil fields and do what they please, oil prices would be sky high (loons like Hugo would make sure that happens) and people would've invested money in alternative fuels - money that is going to 'protecting oil interests' now.

    8. Re:Hm... by cayenne8 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Well of course at the beginning we will still need oil....we can't turn it off with the flick of a switch all at once...

      But, if we hit the problem with multiple alternative fuel methods....we can do it. We can at least get down to levels of oil we in the US produce ourselves. We have a great deal of natural gas, we have lots of coal, and if we went more nuke, especially with breeder reactors, raise oil producing algae, etc....we'd start on the path towards energy self-sufficiency, and rid ourselves of that middle east monkey on our backs.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    9. Re:Hm... by BorgCopyeditor · · Score: 1

      The problem wasn't that it was an effort; it was that it was a stupid effort.

      --
      Shop as usual. And avoid panic buying.
    10. Re:Hm... by msuarezalvarez · · Score: 2, Funny

      So you are assuming that the countries which own oil fields are filled with idiots that when left to their own devices would simply raise prices until no one would buy it from them, ruining themselves in the process. Great basis for any argument!

    11. Re:Hm... by cayenne8 · · Score: 1, Insightful
      "If America is willing to let countries own their oil fields and do what they please, oil prices would be sky high (loons like Hugo would make sure that happens) and people would've invested money in alternative fuels - money that is going to 'protecting oil interests' now."

      Well, if that had been the path taken years ago, ok. But, there is absolutely no way we could let that happen now...realistically. It would throw the US economy into a death spiral, which would of course have the same effect on pretty much the rest of the global economy.

      Man...can you imagine what life would be like, if energy were shut off? The death, destruction and pandemonium would not be something I'd like to see in my lifetime. I heard a bit of a George Carlin rant about something like this....

      If the power went out...and suddenly, the prisons and the psych wards were suddenly all opened. Think about the carnage as all those 'nifty' people came out...all ready for a good time with YOU or your wife and kids? There would be no police....they'd be doing their best to care for their families? How many people do you know could survive without grocery stores....hell, in the south...no AC...in the north, no heat during winter....we dont' know how to be pioneers anymore.

      No....with things like that...there IS no way to do what you said...and let the oil market go and be managed as some dictators would do.

      That paints a very scary picture...and I don't think there is a western politician/leader in their right mind that would entertain the thought of letting that happen on their watch. People might bitch and moan about this war or that.....or meddling in the wrong place, but, I'll bet you everyone's story would change immediately if you cut the power for a few days.....

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    12. Re:Hm... by Planesdragon · · Score: 5, Informative

      to produce 1 gallon of oil equivalent for ethanol requires inputs of, say, 1.1 gallons of oil. 1: Sorry, you got the ratio wrong. One gallon of oil produces, worst-case, the equivalent of 1.1 gallons of gasoline as ethanol.

      2: Even this slim ratio applies ONLY when you use corn kernels to produce ethanol. Not the stalk. Not the cob. Just the fracking kernel.

      Brazil gets a 300% energy efficiency for growing sugar cane to make ethanol. That's "spending 1 gallon of gas to get the equivalent of 3 gallons."
    13. Re:Hm... by misleb · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You know....I'm willing to do this anyway...if it will still get us OFF the 'teet' of middle east oil.


      And ON to a treeless North and South America. Yay!

      --
      "THERE IS NO JUSTICE, THERE IS ONLY ME." -Death
    14. Re:Hm... by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      I agree with you that dependence on foriegn sources of energy is a big mistake for the US. But, getting off of foreign oil and gas does not have to mean getting onto biofuels. Plants are just not all that efficient at turning sunlight into usable energy. We do much better doing that bit ourselves. It seems to me that the electrification of transportation and home heating make more sense. The place where we need liquid fuels is in aviation, and for that, using solar or wind power to produce the fuel directly from the atmosphere rather than going through plants makes much more sense to me. One can even find synergy between electric heating and fuel production I think.

    15. Re:Hm... by milsoRgen · · Score: 1

      How many people do you know could survive without grocery stores That's why I have this handy dandy rubber bound book.
      --
      I'm sick of following my dreams. I'm just going to ask where they're goin' and hook up with 'em later.
    16. Re:Hm... by qw0ntum · · Score: 5, Informative

      I'm not surprised that biofuels actually make the situation worse. I've been saying that all along; our nation's approach to biofuels (particularly using corn) was a poorly thought out political move to cater to the corporate farm lobby. It was really convenient in that it allowed politicians to act "green" and look like they were moving away from supporting big bad Middle East oil (which is in large part financed by American companies under American-supported governments... that's a discussion for another day). Maybe this report will finally start convincing people that biofuels really, really aren't a proper solution to environmental problems. The only way to REALLY hit the root of the problem is to reduce consumption of stuff. I'm not going to pretend that's easy or even practical, but this talk about biofuels, alternative energy, etc. is just pussy-footing around the real issue that we as a species are consuming more than this planet can support.

      It's also important to note that the VAST majority of our petroleum imports don't actually come from the Middle East! The DOE says so itself. Our top two petroleum importing countries are... Canada and Mexico!

      Biofuels were never about being a real solution. It was always about political capital for politicians and special interests. Now we at least have more science to show how messed up biofuels really are.

      --
      'Every story, if continued long enough, ends in death.' --Ernest Hemingway
    17. Re:Hm... by milsoRgen · · Score: 1

      your statement is flawed, otherwise i'd reply to it

      --
      I'm sick of following my dreams. I'm just going to ask where they're goin' and hook up with 'em later.
    18. Re:Hm... by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      People confused their own narrow political world view for science. Will they learn from this blunder? Of course not.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    19. Re:Hm... by Brandybuck · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Blame the environmentalists too. They're even worse than politicians when it comes to misunderstanding science. Their ideology causes them to discount any evidence contrary to their preconceived view of how the world should work. They're backtracking and spinning now, but a few years ago they were all gung-ho about biofuel farming.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    20. Re:Hm... by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      Remember the mantra of the global warming doommongers: "We've got to do something! Anything!"

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    21. Re:Hm... by kesuki · · Score: 5, Insightful

      there are a lot of factors involved, but actually in brazil they don't use close to 1 gallon of oil to produce 3 gallons of ethanol. for one thing, brazil has a large manual labor workforce. low paying, that means, brazil can hire on hands to plant, and harvest the cane. the only fuel used is the transport machinery.

      furthermore, the cane is burned to produce the ethanol, as well as electricity, the electricity created helps cover the cost of fuel to transport the cane, and ethanol around.

      but there is still tragically a huge negative, the burning of cane has caused a huge increase of smog in brazil, you see when you burn the cane a lot of small particulate gets into the air. that's why in the us, they burn natural gas to make bio-ethanol, instead of the stalk and husk.

    22. Re:Hm... by timster · · Score: 1

      I think your view is way excessive.

      Only a small portion of the total energy picture comes from foreign oil, and we only really need that to run internal combustion engines. There's no reason to speak of the "power going out" if there wasn't foreign oil. For that you're talking about coal, to a large extent, which is in fairly tremendous domestic supply.

      Secondly, the US economy is much better prepared to deal with a reduction in oil supply now than at any other time in the recent past.

      --
      I have seen the future, and it is inconvenient.
    23. Re:Hm... by grahamd0 · · Score: 4, Funny

      your statement is flawed, otherwise i'd reply to it Clearly, you're a powerful orator, skilled in the subtleties of debate. Have you considered running for public office?
    24. Re:Hm... by WilliamSChips · · Score: 0

      Sadly for you, there is no evidence that anything but government action will do anything against the destabilization of the global climate.

      --
      Please, for the good of Humanity, vote Obama.
    25. Re:Hm... by GregPK · · Score: 1

      Think about it this way. We need fuel consumption to pay fuel taxes. If we get more effecient, then we have lower tax revenues and the politicians will be forced to get it from somewhere else. Our economy is dependent on cheap oil because cheap oil pays taxes. More taxes give the government more power.

    26. Re:Hm... by WilliamSChips · · Score: 0, Troll

      "Doommongers"(do you even know what that means? It means somebody who has a sexual relation to doom, like a whoremonger does with whores.) like the AAAS and NAS(which consist of the most important scientists in the United States, and these two organizations would not say things like what they've said unless we were as close to certainty that can exist in science--we are more sure of it than gravity, but less sure than evolution), and just recently all the companies that have polluted and caused this problem, like GM, BP, Exxon, etc. The only people right now still denying it are Michael Crichton and you.

      --
      Please, for the good of Humanity, vote Obama.
    27. Re:Hm... by Lemmy+Caution · · Score: 1

      You missed the point of the article completely. Rather than walk you through it, I invite you to read it again, slowly.

    28. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      or, You screw up your economy so bad with sub-prime mortgages, getting into wars that you can't afford on borrowed money and outsource all your manufacturing jobs to China and your tech jobs to India. Then when your creditors finally wake up and cut off the cash flow, your entire country implodes and that leaves 25% more oil for the rest of the world.

      Mystery Babylon will soon fall.... in one day.

      Good luck with that.

      /flame on!

    29. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean to say that subsidizing biofuels encourages increased production of CO2, increased inefficiencies in the economy, and also raises the price of food in the middle of what could be one of the worst recessions in a decade or more? Who would have thought? The last time that urgent action was required to save the world, we ended up with the enormous Department of Homeland Stupidity and increased deficit spending. Suckers!

    30. Re:Hm... by grahamd0 · · Score: 1

      Maybe it's worth the 93 years of greenhouse gasses just to get everyone switched over to an ethanol system ...

      Possibly. But if you subscribe to the currently accepted beliefs of most climatologists, we don't have 93 years to make the problem worse before we make it better.

      Environmental issues aside, we already know that economically it's better to feed people with that corn (directly or indirectly through feeding livestock) unless you're a corn farmer collecting government subsidies.

      I'd rather not the take the chance of making the problem worse for a century just to subsidize corporate farmers using more energy to make less fuel.

    31. Re:Hm... by Oligonicella · · Score: 2, Informative

      "... our nation's approach to biofuels (particularly using corn) was a poorly thought out political move to cater to the corporate farm lobby."

      Yeah. Let's forget about the hundreds of thousands of people in general (and here on /.) screaming that "we must do something" and "better to do something than wait for destruction".

      Not just for the corporates it weren't. Think Al Gore.

    32. Re:Hm... by inviolet · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It was really convenient in that it allowed politicians to act "green" and look like they were moving away from supporting big bad Middle East oil (which is in large part financed by American companies under American-supported governments... that's a discussion for another day).
      POLITICS, n. A strife of interests masquerading as a contest of principles. The conduct of public affairs for private advantage. -- Ambrose Bierce, The Devil's Dictionary
      --
      FATMOUSE + YOU = FATMOUSE
    33. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Doommongers"(do you even know what that means? It means somebody who has a sexual relation to doom, like a whoremonger does with whores.

      You've got to be kidding. Have you ever heard of a fishmonger? Somebody who sells fish? Monger refers to selling things, not having sex with them.

    34. Re:Hm... by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      "I'm not surprised that biofuels actually make the situation worse. I've been saying that all along;"

      Does this sound familiar? Interesting juxtaposition.

      "That's actually a really good point. However, if I remember correctly, the plants with high THC levels are unfertilized female plants - if the plants are fertilized (by a male plant) then they don't have that high THC content. I feel like this problem could be relatively easily solved, either by legalization or by making sure there are plenty of male plants out there. And once the price starts rising due to demand for biofuel production the economic incentive will decline."

    35. Re:Hm... by cybernanga · · Score: 1

      Sorry to disappoint you Will, and I regret being a pedantic grammar-nazi here, but Brandybuck was correct in his usage of "Doommonger"

      -monger has no sexual connotations whatsoever. The sexual part of Whoremonger relates only the the whores.

      --------------
      -monger |mg|
      combining form
      denoting a dealer or trader in a specified commodity : fishmonger | cheesemonger.
        a person who promotes a specified activity, situation, or feeling, esp. one that is undesirable or discreditable : rumormonger | warmonger.
      ORIGIN Old English mangere, from mangian [to traffic,] of Germanic origin, based on Latin mango 'dealer.'
      ---------------

      This only sprung to mind because I visited an ironmongers yesterday.

      --
      www.Buy-Proxy.com - A "buyer-driven" global marketplace.
    36. Re:Hm... by qw0ntum · · Score: 1

      Wow, really doing some serious research there. Check your context though. You get much higher energy yields in hemp-based biofuels, and hemp is not a major component of most what we eat.

      I should have been more clear, yes. "Corn-based biofuels are clearly a bad thing. There might be others out there that are better, such as hemp." Thank you for pointing this out.

      --
      'Every story, if continued long enough, ends in death.' --Ernest Hemingway
    37. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Actually, the -monger suffix means "seller", as in someone who profits from the suffixed word. A whoremonger is someone who profits from whores, you know, a pimp. A "doommonger", or more typically "scaremonger" is someone who profits from spreading fear. A warmonger is a war profiteer.

      It amuses me to no end to ponder what you think a fishmonger is.

    38. Re:Hm... by Dirtside · · Score: 1

      Our top two petroleum importing countries are... Canada and Mexico!
      That's where we get the oil that we actually, physically use; but the oil market is global, and things that happen in the Middle East can affect the price of oil that we get from Canada and Mexico. Just because the gas your car burns wasn't dug out of the ground in Saudi Arabia doesn't mean we don't care what happens there.

      I'm totally on board with stopping the practice of installing dictators and propping up horrible theocracies in the Middle East just to try and keep oil cheap, though.
      --
      "Destroy science and religion. Science would re-emerge exactly the same; but not religion." - Penn Jillette, paraphrased
    39. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe this report will finally start convincing people that biofuels really, really aren't a proper solution to environmental problems. The only way to REALLY hit the root of the problem is to reduce consumption of stuff. I'm not going to pretend that's easy or even practical, but this talk about biofuels, alternative energy, etc. is just pussy-footing around the real issue that we as a species are consuming more than this planet can support. Or we could use nuclear power and run our cars, trains, etc. on electricity.
    40. Re:Hm... by DurendalMac · · Score: 2, Informative

      Not really. This article fails to take into account advancements that can create biofuel from almost any vegetable matter, not just specific crops. You could get biofuel out of your lawnmower bag.

    41. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Correction: An anti-alternative fuel article portrays the facts poorly, and gives false generalizations? How surprising!

      This article is the scientific equivalent of finding somebody's worst-ever test score, then claiming they failed college.

    42. Re:Hm... by myth24601 · · Score: 1

      poorly thought out political move to cater to the corporate farm lobby.


      OR, it could be a poorly thought out political move to cater to Iowa which produces a lot of corn and just happens to be the first US state vote for Presidential Nominations. No candidate for President wants to piss them off. If the first state were Florida then we would be pouring Orange juice into our cars.
      --
      No matter where you go, there you are.
    43. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It was really convenient in that it allowed politicians to act "green" and look like they were moving away from supporting big bad Middle East oil (which is in large part financed by American companies under American-supported governments... that's a discussion for another day).

      Biofuels were never about being a real solution. It was always about political capital for politicians and special interests. Now we at least have more science to show how messed up biofuels really are.
      There may be a ring of truth to that, but I am weary of all statements complaining about big bad American companies supporting some big bad policy. Had the government not supported bio-fuel, the claim would've been oil barons dictate American policy. If the government supports the reduction of fuel consumption, will there be claims that American policies are supported by footwear manufacturers and horse-buggy industry?
    44. Re:Hm... by Clay+Pigeon+-TPF-VS- · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What about the danish studies that show that global temperatures are tied to solar cycles, and that the sun is in a cool cycle currently?

      --
      Viral software licensing is not freedom, it is in fact GNU/Socialism.
    45. Re:Hm... by dbIII · · Score: 1
      It is very easy to win a rigged game if you set up the game.

      Stating the obvious that biofuels made with petroleum produced fertilizer give you diminishing returns in not news. Meanwhile back in the real world for the last few decades large numbers of people have been working on how to turn waste products into fuel. The answer in short is not to turn the sugar in cane into fuel, it is is use the bagasse (stalks roots and leaves etc). Where economists and powerful economic lobbies get involved things can sometimes get perverted and what was once a good idea can twisted to be a source of waste and just another way to fleece the taxpayer.

    46. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Energy efficiency is the percentage of energy input to a system that generates a usable output. It can't be over 100% without violating the laws of physics. Your calculations neglect the energy in the feedstock.

      You could say they get a 200% return on investment, if you like.

    47. Re:Hm... by donaldm · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So an effort to fix global warming made things worse? How surprising. You mean we had an effort in the first place? :-)

      The problem with liquid biofuels (what the article is alluding to) is not so much the actual production of the fuel itself since that is dependent on the Sun and the quality of the soil or media that is used grow the product, it is the overall energy equation from the actual production to delivery verses the energy that the fuel produces and if you look at ethanol which the Article covers, the cost to produce and deliver in some countries is more than what the energy of the fuel produces. Biodiesel on the other hand has a more positive energy equation and should have been covered, however even biodesel like ethanol requires land to grow the appropriate crops and this can be a major problem in some countries which have limited land to grow food much less biofuels.

      There is no easy "one size fits all" liquid energy solution and each solution must weigh all factors and come up with a professional (ie. try to keep politics out, which is impossible) and appropriate policy with regard to alternative energy. It may be possible that ethanol is appropriate in some countries and for other counties biodiesel is better, however for these type of fuels land is needed and then you have the problem of land required for food verses land required for biofuels. For some countries that is not an issue but for many with large populations it is.

      One thing the article did not cover is the pollution that each liquid energy source produces and that should also cover the petroleum industry as well. If you take that into account all fuels pollute and you need to weigh all factors.

      The debate on biofuels is only going to get hotter and it pays to have a basic understanding of the realities of the topic. For a good start point try here , but be warned this is just a primer. As for other energy solutions such a gas, coal, nuclear, wind, water (the list goes on) that is a major topic for another time and again "one size does not fit all".
      --
      There ain't no such thing as proprietary standards only proprietary formats. Standards are by definition open.
    48. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      which is in fairly tremendous domestic supply.

      And mined by equipment that's lubricated with graphite and runs on coal, right?

      That's the failure of people who won't do anything now because they think that "someday" we'll have alternative fuels when oil gets to be "too expensive to use". They never seem to "get" that the more they wait, the more expensive switching becomes.

    49. Re:Hm... by MadnessASAP · · Score: 3, Funny
      Bah! you need to kick it up a notch with this and this

      Now I am prepared for any eventuality.

      --
      I may agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to face the consequences of saying it.
    50. Re:Hm... by flyingsquid · · Score: 4, Informative
      There are other ways of doing that: nuclear, or the massive oil fields in Alaska. But no politician seems willing to put them all on the table and compare the pros and cons of each.

      Nobody's really sure how much oil is in ANWR, but the estimates run from 5.7-16 billion barrels, with a mean of 10.4 billion barrels. To put things in perspective, Saudi Arabia has about 250 billion barrels of reserves, and Iran and Iraq put together have about that much. Kuwait and the UAE each have about 100 billion barrels. Personally, I'm in favor of developing ANWR if we can ensure that a close watch is kept on the oil companies to make sure they don't screw up the environment, but there's no way it will end our dependence on the Middle East.

    51. Re:Hm... by jumpinp · · Score: 1

      If your goal is to "let that place dry up" then let me assure you, we are working on it as fast as we can.

    52. Re:Hm... by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      Bah. The most dangerous place a fact can ever be is between a businessman and a pile of money.

      It's a bad place to be a homeowner as well. Or a citizen of the third world. Or a tropical rainforest. Or an uncorrupted democracy.

      You seem absolutely convinced that the sin of delusional, self-serving thinking is committed exclusively by your opponents. FAIL!

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    53. Re:Hm... by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Maybe that will save everyone on whatever planet you denialists are living on. But back on Earth, we have to play the cards we've been dealt.

      Here. Take your pick.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    54. Re:Hm... by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Could you apply emission control devices to reduce the smog?

    55. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're a fucking idiot.

    56. Re:Hm... by milsoRgen · · Score: 1

      Thank god, I often lay awake at night in a cold sweat wondering if the person that lies next to me is a machine in disguise... Now I will finally find the answers!

      --
      I'm sick of following my dreams. I'm just going to ask where they're goin' and hook up with 'em later.
    57. Re:Hm... by maokh · · Score: 1

      Greenhouse gases aside, its important to point out that the big losers in corn ethanol lobby are the third world (or more PC, the developing world). The demand for ethanol, driven mainly by 10%, 20%, and E85 mixtures has driven corn commodity prices sky high. Remember, corn is still a food product that people eat! That corn you are burning in that E85 car of yours is quite literally starving women and children in a large part of Africa. They are completely priced out of the market. I am all for the environment, but there are much better ways to go about it. Here's a start: lets not use food, especially staples like corn.

    58. Re:Hm... by hvm2hvm · · Score: 1

      So are you suggesting that America should just impose everyone what to do? Well actually that already happens, one country at a time (all in the name of the war on terrorism and other propaganda crap).

      --
      ics
    59. Re:Hm... by Ex-MislTech · · Score: 1

      Vertigro Algae Oil by Valcent is soon to go beyond testing phase into full production.

      Corn for bio fuel is crap, Algae on the other hand ...

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bio_Diesel#Yields_of_common_crops

      Algae far exceeds all other crops, and grows in the desert
      and you can reduce water evaporation in a closed system.

      Valcent claims to have exceeded the aquatic species per acre ratio thru vertical
      stacking tubes of the Algae in something akin to a hydroponic setup,
      and claims an astounding 100,000 gallons per acre.

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8hioZ7C6HLs

      Hope for the future...

      And please let this get us out of the damn middle east,
      and all other countries that want to as well.

      Ex-MislTech

      --
      google "32 trillion offshore needs IRS attention"
    60. Re:Hm... by yoprst · · Score: 1

      There's no "proppung up theocracies". People who live there think about theocracy the way you think about democracy, probably even better. Now, installing dictators is a bit different matter.

    61. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only as a net.libertarian.

    62. Re:Hm... by linzeal · · Score: 1

      How much gas does it take to mow that grass and how much oil does it take to make the chemicals you spray on the lawn to keep it green?

    63. Re:Hm... by Znork · · Score: 2, Interesting

      oil prices would be sky high

      While I agree with your first conclusion, this one is doubtful. The loonies did try that once during the oil crisis (1973, iirc), and the result was simply a bunch of bankrupcies in the west and decreased sales and eventually lower price. As long as they actually want to maximize their income they cant raise the prices beyond certain levels (and that includes levels that would make alternative fuels more popular).

      So it's a mutual addiction; they want the money and the US wants the cheap energy, which keeps prices just below the pain limit but not lower or higher. The European way of enforcing a lower dependence through taxes seems smarter in retrospect, and at the very least offers a wider field of options when the oil runs out. (Though those perpetually higher prices also indicate that alternative fuels would not have been developed within past oil price ranges; adaption would have been accomplished through lower use of cars, less suburban sprawl and so on.

      And protecting oil interests is most likely a play on words anyway. As I've pointed out, it's unlikely that the actual end price to the US consumer would have fluctuated much due to economics, so the 'oil interests' in question are most likely the oil corporations rather than any nebulous national interest.

    64. Re:Hm... by dookiesan · · Score: 1

      This is a good point. Gasoline is about $8 per gallon in England and yet their cars still run on it. It will take more than an economic incentive to move away from gasoline powered vehicles; it will take a scientific breakthrough.

    65. Re:Hm... by localman · · Score: 1

      Hold on... I'm not going to let you take the word "environmentalist", which means "a person who advocates the protection of the environment" and turn it into "idiot who mindlessly jumps on to every green-tinted bandwagon, hates science, distrusts technology, etc."

      I'm an environmentalist. It means that I think that preserving our environment (literally, the environment required for our survival) is important. I don't have all the answers to our energy crisis. I never really liked biofuel because it seemed an odd use arable land. I think nuclear is a pretty good option. Maybe I'm wrong about that. I think we're cutting down trees too quickly. Maybe I'm wrong about that too. The only thing I know I'm right about is this: the earth is finite and there is a limit to the rate at which we can chew things up before we bring pain on ourselves.

      I do think that with technology and a little care we can all enjoy ourselves, be comfortable, and make this last for the foreseeable future.

      I'm an environmentalist, and I want to figure this stuff out together. Still hate me?

    66. Re:Hm... by kiddygrinder · · Score: 1

      no more than it did previously.

      --
      This is a joke. I am joking. Joke joke joke.
    67. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is no reason that we have no flying cars, nuclear-powered, since about 1960. That would have given Them way enough fcking time after the invention of the nukes.

      It's just as if th US wanted to subsidize the East with that monstrously stupid oil dependency, and there is no dependency, because other fuel sources are ust so much BETTER on all, all points. (Read : nuke. Clean and cheap and all good. Don't you even dare think to mention nuclear waste : it can be treated. Not profitable to do so? Include that cost in the price, then.)

    68. Re:Hm... by Bertie · · Score: 1

      And even that's pussyfooting around the real problem - there are too many people. Unfortunately, there's only one way that's going to resolve itself. I just hope I'm dead and gone before it happens.

    69. Re:Hm... by budgenator · · Score: 1

      It's not always a zero-sum game, even with corn ,

      right now we grow corn to feed to cows,

      tomorrow we are growing corn and extracting the starches for ethanol fuel and feeding the DDG, Distiller's Dried Grain, back to the cows,

      Next we run the manure from the cows through TDP Thermal Depolymerization

      after that we press out the corn oil for biodiesel, then the starches for ethanol or even butanol fuel.

      next step adds the stalks and husks to either cellulosic ethanol, butanol or TDP.

      in short these processes are going to evolve over time and with the present rate of research and development any study on efficiencies is going to be obsolete before it's published

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    70. Re:Hm... by vbraga · · Score: 3, Informative

      Disclaimer: I'm Brazilian.

      Manual labor is common on northeastern plantations, where most of production goes to sugar making. On the São Paulo state (the "modern" Brazil), especially Ribeirão Preto county, you're going to find modern agricultural practices.

      The smog from cane plantations is not from the ethanol making processes. It's from older sugar cane regions, ie. northeastern Brazil or NW Rio de Janeiro, where the can is burn before being harvested. This is, yes, a *big* producer of particulates. It's not common anymore in the more modern regions and is being phased out in Rio de Janeiro. It will probably last forever in the northeast if not made illegal, since they never cared about productivity and good practices, anyway.

      --
      English is not my first language. Corrections and suggestions are welcome.
    71. Re:Hm... by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Poor comment.

      Gasoline is $8 in England (and much of Europe) which is why they:
      1. Have great trains, buses, trams & subways, walkways, pedestrian bridges and tunnels and bicyclists.
      2. Less issue with obesity.
      3. Neighborhood grocery stores.
      4. Neighbors they meet regularly at Neighborhood stores.
      5. About half the energy consumption per person.

    72. Re:Hm... by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Actually the smog problem comes from the cane fields are burned to drive out venomous snakes and spiders and to blunt the razor sharp leaves so the workers don't get killed or cut to shreds in the fields. The stalks after sugar extraction aren't any different than burning wood for smog generation. Brazils biggest problem isn't smog but deforestation to grow the cane, the amazon river basin has experenced reduced rainfall because of it, in place the river is down a 100 feet! The output of the amazon used to make sea-water drinkable half-way to Africa.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    73. Re:Hm... by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Did You know that satellite imagery is show that forests are increasing in North America? In My town Port Huron MI, when you up on the Blue Water Bridge, the majority of the city is invisible in the trees. Managed forestry is expansive rather than contracting, normaly two or three trees are planted for everyone harvested.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    74. Re:Hm... by smallfries · · Score: 1

      Do you actually have anything worthwhile to add to the discussion or are you just going to post comments against environmentalists? Apart from your narrow stereotyping I wasn't aware that they were such a cohesive movement. They only thing that they all have in common (that I'm aware of) is that they don't want to fuck up the planet. Gee, how horrible of them. I can see why they've earnt your hatred so readily.

      --
      Slashdot: where don knuth is an idiot because he cant grasp the awesome power of php
    75. Re:Hm... by vegipowrd · · Score: 1

      This article and the Science article its based on are only looking at ethanol. Saying biofuel is a bit deceptive. Ethanol takes corn/switchgrass/cane and makes the food part into fuel. Biodiesel takes soy/rape seed/bacon drippings oil and makes it into fuel, keeping the actual food for either human or animal consumption. This has a very different effect on land use and food prices. This is the technology that Europe is now pushing, partly because it is a better fuel (you can put it in any diesel car) and because Europe never moved away from diesel to gas.

    76. Re:Hm... by neomunk · · Score: 1

      You -DO- know that nuclear power is/was the biggest monetary black hole that we've ever stumbled into... Right?

      Unlike a lot of other 'nuke isn't the answer' people, I do think it's possible to build SAFE nukes and properly store/process the used fuel. However, that fuel is -so much- rarer than oil, -so much- more energy intensive to get out of the ground, -so much- more energy intensive to process into usable fuel and mindnumbingly painful to store and handle correctly. I really don't think it's economically feasible. How many tons of ore need be processed for a fill-up?

      As long as we need to keep pulling energy sources from the ground that have taken millions or billions of years to 'collect' the energy in a dense enough state, we're going to hit walls in our energy production and we're going to disrupt the environment to a large degree for energy consumption.

      Cut all the middle-men (physics-wise) out and let's tap the power source of the Earth itself, the good ole' semi-local, massive, stable, hot fusion reactor parked conveniently just about 8 minutes out, as the photon flies.....

    77. Re:Hm... by AttillaTheNun · · Score: 1

      My home town of Sarnia, Ontario is on the other side of the Blue Water Bridge. When I look out from there, I see a lot of refineries dumping shit into the air and river.

    78. Re:Hm... by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      None, if the lawnmower and chemical processes were run on biofuel too!

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    79. Re:Hm... by toddhisattva · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Personally, I'm in favor of developing ANWR if we can ensure that a close watch is kept on the oil companies to make sure they don't screw up the environment, but there's no way it will end our dependence on the Middle East. Absolutely it could.

      The United States does not get much oil from the Middle East. eia.doe.gov, I've typed it so many times, they got the numbers, go and read.

      Texas produces as much oil for our Union as does Saudi Arabia (folding in Texas's share of the offshore production to get this number).

      When the United States protects the free flow of oil at market prices, it is a gigantic gift to Japan and the ungrateful scum of Europe.
    80. Re:Hm... by toddhisattva · · Score: 1

      Brazil gets a 300% energy efficiency for growing sugar cane to make ethanol. That's "spending 1 gallon of gas to get the equivalent of 3 gallons." And all they're doing is destroying the rainforest to get it!
    81. Re:Hm... by morcego · · Score: 1

      Not only that. Biofuels can be produced on each and every country. How many ecological accidents we had in the past 5 years during oil transport ?

      It is very easy to take only a piece of the information to prove ANY theory. Unless a study takes every single aspect into account, it is by definition biased. Oh wait ! An oil related study that is biased ? I'm socked.

      --
      morcego
    82. Re:Hm... by toddhisattva · · Score: 1

      They only thing that they all have in common (that I'm aware of) is that they don't want to fuck up the planet. Green is Red. Their idiotic socialism is the glue that binds them together, not any goodwill for "the planet."
    83. Re:Hm... by tylernt · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You forgot that

      6. Half of their passenger cars are diesel

      --
      DRM 'manages access' in the same way that a prison 'manages freedom'
    84. Re:Hm... by bay43270 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There is no causal relationship there, and you know it. The effects you describe are because of England's urban environment and existed long before gas was at $8.

      England has 10 times the population density of my home state of Missouri. You have subways because you can easily divide the cost among your population. Gas prices are artificially high in Europe, and artificially low in the US -- in both cases for political reasons. The US middle and lower class depend on gas, and must have it cheap, so it isn't taxed much. The European economy just uses it for shipping goods, which makes it a good way to tax transportation.

      While I agree that the urban lifestyle is much better for both the environment and human health, it costs at least 3 times as much to live in that environment here. If you find a solution to suburban sprawl (good luck), then maybe we can have all the benefits you mention in the US, and save the planet in the process.

    85. Re:Hm... by Jobe_br · · Score: 1

      Probably more accurately, an effort to profit from seeming to offer the same product that others devised to offset global warming hasn't actually helped. Once you factor big business and profit into it, indeed, its not surprising.

      Now, if I get biodiesel from my _local_ coop, which reuses the waste oil from _local_ businesses, instead of having biodiesel trucked from Louisiana, made from source materials shipped from Venezuela, using energy from fossil fuels -- yeah, I think my _local_ biodiesel probably is offsetting greenhouse gases.

      And am I surprised that the biodiesel or ethanol mix at the local BP or Mobil station isn't actually helping the environment? No. Its actually been well known that big-business ethanol production is extremely harmful. Now, supposedly GM has partnered with a company in Illinois (I think) that can produce ethanol with 80% less energy and 66-75% less water. That's a step in the right direction. It can also use any cellulosic src, not just corn, and that's really good, too (corn production in the US is extremely bad for the environment and uses a tremendous amount of fossil fuels, especially for fertilizer).

      And biodiesel can be produced locally in ways that don't have the impact described. Its also fairly easy to synthesize rurally with a comparatively small amount of land for src matter production.

      In the end, though, we need to stop looking for the *one* answer to our fossil fuel dependence. We need to balance, mix, diversify ... a heterogeneous fuel economy is what we need, and that won't be easy to achieve. Humans are not predisposed to this type of system/behavior.

      Cheers.

    86. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      quite literally starving women and children in a large part of Africa. They are completely priced out of the market
      No, women and children are starving in Africa because of the constant bloody civil wars and what government there is is corrupted. Fix that and Africans might actually be able to pull themselves out of the Middle Ages without America's corn.
    87. Re:Hm... by pelletron · · Score: 1

      This is wrong, the most productive cane farms use machines for harvesting cane. The mechanization creates the opposite problem, the unemployment of low qualified work force. The machine is very efficient, it cuts the leaves of cane and throw in the ground to protect them from erosion. The leaves works as seasoning for the next harvest.

    88. Re:Hm... by budgenator · · Score: 1

      but the Christmas lights on cracking tower and distillation columns are really pretty.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    89. Re:Hm... by 1u3hr · · Score: 1
      Green is Red. Their idiotic socialism is the glue that binds them together, not any goodwill for "the planet."

      Bullshit. I'm an environmentalist, and NOT a "socialist". Some of us try to reach a judgement on a scintific question based on the facts, not our political stance.

    90. Re:Hm... by cheesygrapes · · Score: 2, Informative

      Umm, no. Environmentalists were always huge opponents to Biofuel. The main reason I was skeptical about biofeul was because if all the Environmentalists are opposed to something that politicians say "will help the environment", something seemed pretty wrong. When Bush last visited Brazil there were Environmentalists protesting his visit. Why? Because Bush was supporting biofeul and biofeul companies were cutting down their rainforests for sugarcane. Here's an article about environmentalists opposing biofuel because it would damage the bay that I found in about 2 seconds, you can find stuff like this everywhere: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/07/16/AR2007071601845.html Environmentalists have always been the staunchest opponents of biofuel that I've seen (though of course probably not for the same reasons you may have opposed it). I know they tend to also be nuts and are easy to make fun of, but it looks like they got it right for once. At first I thought your post was probably meant as a troll but when you got a (5 interesting) from an ignorant rant about something you apparently know nothing about, it seems that you aren't the only one to base their perception of environmentalists on what politicians say rather than what environmentalists actually say.

    91. Re:Hm... by pjabardo · · Score: 1

      The cane is not burned to produce ethanol. It is burned on the fields to make manual harvest easier. It is actually illegal nowadays even though still common (at night it is beautiful sight). Actually, manual harvest is supposed to be phased out. Now, there is a catch: if manual harvest is eliminated, many will lose their main source of income. These workers com from all over the country during harvest time. So there are pressures to keep these workers employed.

      The ethanol production itself requires energy (heat) which comes often from the burning of the what is left of the sugar cane but conditions on the plants are much better than they used to be and this is not so big a problem compared to the burning of the fields.

      Smog? I haven't seen this around. You see smog in São Paulo but that is due to motor vehicles not sugar can plantations. In the regions that produce sugar cane during harvest time there is an increase in the rate of respiratory problems and you can see the ashes accumulating in the backyard but I haven't seen any smog yet.

    92. Re:Hm... by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Only a small part of the European Urban Transportation systems predate the industrial revolution, or more particularly, they advent of the automobile.

      Subways, trams, and electric trains are all recent adaptations.

      1. You have subways because they are an excellent hedge against cold weather. (and perhaps nuclear war according to FSU)
      2. Uncosting or subsidizing a resource doesn't lower its cost, it merely moves the cost in odd ways, for example, a person riding a bicycle to work in the US will end up paying for fuel even though they aren't using any - because certain fuel costs are folded into the general tax.
      3. In Europe, Bicyclists are fully entitled to the fuel savings they incur.
      4. Subsidization is a means of robbing consumers of the savings they could realize by being efficient.
      5. The real costs of living in a city, even in the US, may well be less, but the US taxes efficient living by subsidizing consumption and obesity.

    93. Re:Hm... by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      You seem absolutely convinced that the sin of delusional, self-serving thinking is committed exclusively by your opponents.

      Nonsense, I know full well what my limitations are. That's the biggest difference between me and my opponents!

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    94. Re:Hm... by Brandybuck · · Score: 0, Troll

      Maybe you "environmentalists" ought to start thinking about denouncing those who claim to speak for you. Your "brand" has become so diluted that most people mistake you for neo-luddites. I also notice that the term "conservationist" is coming back in style. SOME people are abandoning the tainted environmentalist label.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    95. Re:Hm... by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      Getting the "Dinosaur" out of the energy loop is a noble endeavor. Back in the early '70's Nuclear Power was all the rage. On the surface it looked great. No smog, lots of energy. Designs for Breeder plants as the hub of a system to help fuel other Non-Breeder plants were generated. There were 3 nagging problems that had to be addressed with nuclear power plants, and it appears that those problems still exist today. 1. Cost, units are in (B)illions of dollars. 2. Concrete has a useful life of 20 years. 3. Radio Active Waste, this IS the killer problem. There have been some very creative ways to reduce cost, smaller IS better. Concrete STILL needs to be engineered to be able to either easily replace aged parts, or rebuild from the ground up. But the most challenging problem that has YET to be effectively solved is, "How Does One Filter Out The Radio Active Waste?" The result should be 2 piles of "stuff", one is radio active,(which would make it recyclable for other power plants), and the other pile recyclable for something else useful,(auto parts?) Economics in the '70's indicated that that pile of radio active stuff would some of the most expensive stuff on this planet.

      But I think my solution is still superior to the above concept. Fuel Cells, using Solar/Wind Power for assisting in the separation process of Hydrogen. General Motors has the Chevy Equinox, other car companies will follow soon. In Norway, some folks have already begun analysis of using Fuel Cells just this way. The choke point here is the Batteries. Batteries have been a choke point in the Robotics industry for generations. Maybe now enough people will be interested in solving this issue? Dinosaurs in our fuel tanks cause smog, but Hydrogen causes Water. That to me sounds like an engineering problem worthy of addressing. And I have already started to walk down this path.

    96. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As you know, Shell, Suncor, Ontario Power Generation and Nova Chemicals dump pixie dust into the air and the St. Clair!

    97. Re:Hm... by smallfries · · Score: 1

      Your comment made me LOL ... until I realised that this slashdot and there is a danger of you representing a good portion of the audience. Scary really

      --
      Slashdot: where don knuth is an idiot because he cant grasp the awesome power of php
    98. Re:Hm... by tacocat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If you read through the article they make almost no mention of BIO-DIESEL which is significantly different in it's manufacturing methods and land use. This article is largely focused on the failures of Ethanol being a suitable fuel.

      Bio-Diesel can be grown from a variety of plants ranging from palm trees (Southern), Soy Beans (Norther) and Algae (non-land use) which gives you a extremely wide range of climates available for the production of Bio-Diesel and a variety of farm land as well. This doesn't even take into account the potential for reusing cooking oils to convert to Bio-Diesel. This flexibility allows you to intelligently work around the rain forests rather than cutting them down. Clearing rain forests for Palm trees was an economical decision and was not a good one.

      I think this story is accurate in it's assessment of Ethanol being largely a loser-fuel that is powned by Archer Daniels Midland, The Bush Administration, and a bunch of overly eager but short sighted farmers. However, it's completely unfair to lump ALL BioFuels into the same camp as Ethanol.

      One thing that needs to be understood about BioDiesel is this: It's not driving around on vegetable oil. It's vegetable oil that has been converted into diesel fuel via trans-esterfication of the oils. This process gives you diesel fuel that you can use today in todays diesel engines without refit. It's compatible with todays distribution, storage, and pumping systems for diesel fuel. Ethanol has little or no compatability with gasoline.

      I look forward to the day when someone actually looks into biodiesel as a real alternative. It's better because:

      • It's compatible with any diesel technology. So there is no new technology to develop for engines etc. Diesel technology is ubiquitous across the planet (economy of scale), is over 100 years old (proven), and used for transportation of vehicles, trains, ships, and electricity generation (diversified). Gasoline and Ethanol are not.
      • It's available from a wide range of sources, allowing for greater climatic and agricultural variances than corn. Wouldn't it be interesting if you took Ethiopia and converted it into a biodiesel plant growing nation. They could use the economy. The point is, production of bio-diesel is viable for many areas of the planet.
      • It's available today. Nothing needs to be invented or brought to market for it to work. Just scaling. Switchgrass doesn't do this.
      • It's flash point is so low it's approximately non-flammable. Ethanol is extremely volatile and nasty in this regard.
      • It's non-toxic. Really. It smells like fries and you can actually ingest it without death or illness. Ethanol it technically toxic and certainly not suitable for everyone.
      • It's biodegradable. If you spill it on the ground you don't have to call HazMat. It will clean up and if it doesn't, it will degrade gracefully into an environmentally friendly substance. Again, Gasoline and Ethanol don't do this very well.
      Unfortunately, BioDiesel doesn't have ADM pumping billions into the government trying to force the issue.
    99. Re:Hm... by WilliamSChips · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually I think most of those machines run on propane or methane. The real price of oil is plastics.

      --
      Please, for the good of Humanity, vote Obama.
    100. Re:Hm... by WilliamSChips · · Score: 1

      When is the last time you hadn't thrown your vote away? Ron Paul even if its write-in! Well, my first vote will be this year. And only a 4channer could think Ron Paul is anything but a total nutcase after reading about his newsletters--almost every single one had some sort of racism, anti-Semitism, etc. in it.
      --
      Please, for the good of Humanity, vote Obama.
    101. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      its actually government patents that kill us. Anyone ever hear of charles pogue?

    102. Re:Hm... by jafo_2001 · · Score: 1

      Of course to do this they have to sacrifice acre after acre of rain forest and after 3 or 4 seasons of sugar cane production the efficiency of the growth drops and you have to kill even more forest...

    103. Re:Hm... by Courageous · · Score: 1

      They never seem to "get" that the more they wait, the more expensive switching becomes.

      I disagree with this entirely. If imported oil becomes overly expensive, all the alternatives are proportionately cheaper, not more expensive. When that happens (which is a "when," not an "if"), then a vast swath of alternative energy technologies will kick off, their economies of scale will suddenly improve dramatically, and I'd say at that point, that will be the point of no return for Mid East oil as an energy source. It'll be for plastics from then on out.

      C//

    104. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why would the power going out cause the prisons and psych wards to open? Are their locks all based on electromagnets? If that is the case it is an extremely stupid design decision.

    105. Re:Hm... by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      I think the environment is like a box of chocolates. It's nice when it's there, but sooner or later it will be gone.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    106. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Absolutely it could.

      The United States does not get much oil from the Middle East. eia.doe.gov, I've typed it so many times, they got the numbers, go and read.

      eia.doe.gov also reports that the U.S. is a net importer of 12.220 million barrels per day. Developing ANWR to extract all ~10 billion barrels would only satisfy the import demand for less than 3 years. Keep in mind that total U.S. consumption of oil is 20.558 million barrels per day, so we're importing significantly more than half of it. While it may not largely come directly from the Middle East, it comes from the global oil market, and changes in global demand or supply have dramatic effects, as we've seen. We're dependent on Middle East oil production whether that exact oil is shipped here or not.

      When the United States protects the free flow of oil at market prices, it is a gigantic gift to Japan and the ungrateful scum of Europe.

      Ah, so you would prefer that oil not be free flowing at market prices? Government control of oil prices would lead to one of two things: oil/gas shortages (see the 1970s), or higher-than-free market prices. The latter, of course, is easily implemented with gas taxes. Those whom you call "ungrateful scum" in Europe do a much better job at raising the price of gas to give incentives for more efficient cars and alternative transportation, not to mention reduced pollution and other externalities of gasoline consumption (see Pigovian tax).
    107. Re:Hm... by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      I'm not a Ron Paul supporter but I think your confused. Those newsletters where written or endorsed by Ron Paul. They were the product of Fans and followers informing people of his doings.

      This is why he hasn't addressed them with anything more then an I don't know who wrote them. People seem to be presenting them as if Ron Paul typed them himself and that simply is not true. However, if you would want to criticize him for not saying more about them or not forcing more control of them, I could agree. But claiming he has any part of them outside a name on the paper is a little disingenuous.

    108. Re:Hm... by Smauler · · Score: 0

      Which is about 5% more expensive (and correspondingly about 5% more energy dense). I put £30 (over $60) of diesel in my car the other day, and it didn't get up to 1/3 full :P. Sometimes I hate having a big fuel tank. Also, if you think diesels are inherently better for the environment, think again.

    109. Re:Hm... by tylernt · · Score: 3, Informative

      Which is about 5% more expensive (and correspondingly about 5% more energy dense)
      But diesel engines are well over 5% more fuel efficient, so you still come out ahead.
      --
      DRM 'manages access' in the same way that a prison 'manages freedom'
    110. Re:Hm... by ConceptJunkie · · Score: 1

      Hey, in the 21st century, being Green is like being Congress. All that matters is that you look like you are Doing Something, and by the time people realize you've only made things worse, it will be someone else's problem.

      --
      You are in a maze of twisty little passages, all alike.
    111. Re:Hm... by dookiesan · · Score: 1

      That is the point.

      More expensive gas ten years ago wouldn't have resulted in cars that run on electricity or fuel cells today. The British have mass transportation, but they haven't developed more efficient cars as a result of the price of gas--just smaller cars.

    112. Re:Hm... by misleb · · Score: 1

      Did You know that satellite imagery is show that forests are increasing in North America? In My town Port Huron MI [wikipedia.org], when you up on the Blue Water Bridge, the majority of the city is invisible in the trees. Managed forestry is expansive rather than contracting, normaly two or three trees are planted for everyone harvested.


      I'm not talking about deforestation due to logging (or "management"). I'm talking about forests slashed and burned for cropland. This is a especially a problem in South America.

      --
      "THERE IS NO JUSTICE, THERE IS ONLY ME." -Death
    113. Re:Hm... by DurendalMac · · Score: 1

      Seeing as how countless tons of vegetable matter wind up in compost heaps every year, I'd think that taking what would otherwise be waste and using it as fuel is a good idea, don't you? The lawn was already going to be watered and mowed, you nincompoop. It's now a matter of what to do with the clippings.

    114. Re:Hm... by aevans · · Score: 1

      Wait, you're saying trees make it rain more? Or is it that sugar cane makes it rain less? This is up there with steam causing earthquakes and believing in God makes you stupid on the silly superstition scale.

    115. Re:Hm... by aevans · · Score: 1

      Surprise! Environmentalism is just a thin verneer for political partisanship. Next time Ribbentrop and Molotov get together, we'll be hearing how Ahmadinejad shouldn't get the nuke and we should run over baby seals with our SUVs to save the environment from those pesky Republicans who want to keep us from increasing Global Temperatures and making Canada a nice vacation spot.

    116. Re:Hm... by Tim+Doran · · Score: 1

      God, I was going to ask you for data to back up your assertion, but you don't even have an anecdote. Can you back this up at all, or are you just emoting?

    117. Re:Hm... by bay43270 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I didn't mean to imply that public transportation predated gas... just that it predated $8 gas. I think that's safe to say.

      Other than Ethanol, I'm not aware of gas subsidization in the US. Not taxing something isn't the same as subsidizing it; although I suppose you could argue that it has the same effect.

      When you talk about raising the price of gas as a solution to 'consumption and obesity', keep in mind that most Americans travel more than 20 miles to work and don't have access to public transportation. Raising gas prices doesn't force the average American to ride a bike to work. Best case: those who can afford to, will buy more fuel efficient cars. If the increase is too dramatic, many in the lower class will simply quit their jobs (many jobs wouldn't pay enough to cover travel expenses). Eventually many people would move to cities, but not before devastating the rural middle class. Far too many people depend on being able to drive to suburban factories from their low-cost rural housing.

      Before thinking that you can simply apply European solutions to American problems, you should consider that we are in a different situation. We aren't stupid. We are aware of what you're doing over there. It just isn't an option for us.

    118. Re:Hm... by WGR · · Score: 2, Informative

      Wait, you're saying trees make it rain more? Yes trees do make it rain much more than grass crops like sugar cane or corn.

      The evapotranspiration of any vegetation is proportional to the leaf area. Forests have vastly more leaf area than croplands.
      So the atmosphere over forests, rain forests, contains much more moisture, therefor it rains more.

      Study agrometeorolgy to learn how it works.

    119. Re:Hm... by agbinfo · · Score: 1

      Brazil gets a 300% energy efficiency for growing sugar cane to make ethanol. That's "spending 1 gallon of gas to get the equivalent of 3 gallons."
      And all they're doing is destroying the rainforest to get it!
      I agree that this is a huge cost but if everybody benefits from the rainforest, why should the countries were it's present be responsible to keep it intact? I live in Canada and in the province of Alberta, we are exploiting the oil sands and this has a large impact on air and land pollution. I'm sure other countries do similar things. When a country pollutes, they actually benefit from it. In Brazil, if they exploit something that everybody benefits from then Brazil wins - short term - and we all lose. If they don't exploit it, we all benefit but Brazil loses. What would you do?

      I'm sure there's a solution to this but it probably involves being good neighbors.

    120. Re:Hm... by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Yea.... A continent not particularly known for having excess food supplies is killing off the precious rain forests for cropland. And the interesting things is that all this report and people here are ignoring is that we have found gasification techniques that require a small portion of the land compared to crops like Corn with south america isn't using for ethanol. And the lands used with grasses can be dual use lands to boot.

      Despite this report being hogwash, the problems with deforestation have little to do with ethanol production. It has more to do with feeding the hungry and building things.

    121. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well of course at the beginning we will still need oil....we can't turn it off with the flick of a switch all at once...

      Exactly, it's a bootstrap problem. Unless it will always cost more than a unit of (any) fuel, to create & deliver a unit of biofuel, this is a non-argument. Another typical move of the detractors is to study the ineffcient corn -> ethanol ignoring the fact that a much more effcient sugar cane -> ethanol route exists. The world is full of contrarians, counter-contrarians, & infinitum.

      There's a problem (well two at least, AGW and Islam), there's a possible solution, but before the engineering has been properly worked out, you already have a lobby group trying to shoot it down. As a species we probably do deserve extinction.

    122. Re:Hm... by Deus.1.01 · · Score: 1

      Why. Why should he care for oppinions he never even defended. Its your job to differentiate the political arena, not his.

      --
      My -1 Troll is actually a +1 funny. And my -1 flame is actually a +1 insightfull.
    123. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, Canada is a nice vacation spot.

    124. Re:Hm... by DM9290 · · Score: 1

      So an effort to fix global warming made things worse? How surprising. you said "warming"! *giggle*
      --
      No one has a right to their *own* opinion. They have a right to the TRUTH.
    125. Re:Hm... by will_die · · Score: 1

      The 93 years does not matter make it 39 years if you want.
      What the problem is that according to majority of environmentalist scientists we only have a few more years, under 20, until we reach the turning point and after that it will not matter.

    126. Re:Hm... by ghyd · · Score: 1

      "rid ourselves of that middle east monkey on our backs"

      This is sad. I mean, because geopolitical interest have shredded those country to bits, no wonder there's even more extremism here than in Utah. Ever heard of the Oil curse ? it's really upsetting that someone that is on the good side of the militaro-economic Empire could say that kind of things. I'm appalled.

    127. Re:Hm... by ghyd · · Score: 1

      And when you're a monkey (an Arab I presume), no wonder that more than a few people want to take arms even against civilians, with the thought "hey! my country, well fuck my whole region, is the whore of Western money, real democratic attempt from the Arabs have been replaced by western-compliant half democracies in the bets of case, my children have no future exept for living in the country of the people that historically oppress us, so LET'S BLOW UP SOME SHIT. That's just very human.

    128. Re:Hm... by Teancum · · Score: 1

      While I will agree that solar radiation flux temperatures (aka the heat that hits the Earth due to solar energy) is perhaps one of the major driving forces for what is causing temperature changes to the overall climate of this planet, I can't claim that it is the primary cause of global warming/cooling.

      Nor can I suggest that anthroprogenic "greenhouse gas emissions" are the primary cause either.

      There are so many different things that can cause a heating and/or cooling of the Earth's atmosphere and influence climate that to single out a specific cause is just a shot in the dark at best.

      And just as there is a seasonal lag due to summer and winter (the winter and summer solstices are usually not the annual temperature extreme dates), there is also a lag in the environment due to overall global temperature changes that are impacted from various climatological influences.

      Shy of the sun just "shutting off" altogether, I highly doubt that you notice any substantial changes in solar radiation for perhaps several years. And this isn't taking into consideration that the atmosphere of the Sun itself also is a huge energy sink that can dissipate energy and act as a moderator to the activities in the solar core.

      The global climate is incredibly complex, and attempts to simplify the models and enact public policy or legislation based upon these models is incredibly naive on the part of environmental activists and simply can't be said to be based upon sound scientific foundations.

    129. Re:Hm... by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      A lot of the hemp alternatives and studies are done and presented by what you would consider advocates. That being said, double check what is presented and still take it with a grain of salt. I remember a friend who was convinced by these people that ropes can be made cheaper and stronger by hemp fibers and repeated a claim that during one of the world wars, the government decided to pay off their friends at 3m by using the artificial ropes and even made it into law to profit. But the reality was that natural ropes needed to be replaces every 6 months for use on ships because they rot and aren't as strong as they should be where the synthetic ropes could last 3 years or more if taken care of in the same way as hemp ropes. But they couldn't seem to think of why that would be important in a war or to keep operating costs down.

      There is a lot of research into using switch grass and other natural vegetations that don't or won't need deforestation, require plowing, tilling, fertilizer and or pest repellent applications, and many of the other steps associated with corn production. This study when reported by my local news station actually contests portions of it because of how much weight was put on the corn growing process and the low yields of energy from it. It does seem to not include the gasification processes that have been recently discovered that can refine almost any organic material into ethanol for about $1 or less a gallon while also increasing the productive energy output. Staying with corn, this new process can produce 7.7 times the energy require to produce the ethanol where normal distillation only produces 1.3 times the amount. This is important because the study showing how it is bad is considering a .3 multiple gain in energy compared to a 6.7 multiple.

      If Hemp does have a lot of extra energy that isn't something attributed to the distillation process differences, That technique I linked to would show it. I guess the issue then might be if the gains would be worth the hassles or would it end up over regulated with a good portion of it's costs going to regulations.

      Either way, it doesn't matter much. It seems that a lot of environmentalist just don't want us driving cars or having what "they" consider excess. We could probably turn ethanol production into something ten times safer then oil and with 20 times the efficiency and they would still be complaining. It's like that old joke about the california car dealer who decided not to stock SUVs and 4 wheel drive cars and anything not considered green because Sierra club members were prominent in his area. He then watched them go to his competitors because they needed the SUVs and all wheel drive and gas guzzlers to get close to nature.

    130. Re:Hm... by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Or it could just be a bunch of old politicians who have toured the Jim Beam and Jack Danial's distilleries and thought that is how you made alcohol which is what they are told ethanol is. Bush has been pushing since about 2004 or so, using switch grasses and other field grasses for ethanol. They grow naturally in most US areas, don't typically need plowing, replanting, pesticides, or fertilizers, relatively good for the environment in stopping soil erosion, giving wildlife a habitat, and given recent advances in refinery tech, they are just as viable as corn now.

    131. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Poor facts, AmericanInKiev. You are making too many generalizations.

      2. [England has] less issue with obesity.
      Looks like England is working hard to catch up with their American cousins, though.
      http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/42092.php

      And the rest of the EU appears to be bulking up, as well.
      http://www.guardian.co.uk/medicine/story/0,11381,1438700,00.html

      3. Neighborhood grocery stores.
      4. Neighbors they meet regularly at Neighborhood stores
      I'm in the United States, and there are enough grocery stores in my city that we can walk or ride our bikes a few blocks. If we really want or need to drive, the longest trip is a whole five minutes in the car. People at the grocery stores, including ourselves, regularly meet neighbors from around the city at the grocery store, too.

      5. About half the energy consumption per person.
      My power bill has been on a steady decline for the past several months. Energy conservation = loan payments.
    132. Re:Hm... by Jedi+Alec · · Score: 1

      3. In Europe, Bicyclists are fully entitled to the fuel savings they incur.

      The company I work for allows me to buy a new bicycle every 3 years in such a way that I don't have to pay income taxes over that amount. Then again, this is Holland, and bicycles are(for certain purposes at least) a valid form of transportation to and from work.

      --

      People replying to my sig annoy me. That's why I change it all the time.
    133. Re:Hm... by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 1

      If the purpose of the tax is to represent the external costs of consumption - for example, paving the roads, monitoring air quality, providing life support to children with asthma, oppressive wars against a few Oil countries to ensure that no oil countries git restless... Tax breaks for massively profitable oil companies.

      Then those taxes are a legitimate component of the true costs of consumption.

      The reason your Average American drives so far, doesn't have public trans, and lives 20 miles from work, the wallmart, the church, and the football is because the government forces them to pay for fuel whether used or not. That is what subsidies do, the force the cost of commodities equally on consumers and non-consumers.

      Life in Europe is not negatively impacted by living closer to work, stores, and each other. On the contrary, it is more human, more social, and more healthy and better for the environment and world peace. The decisions encouraged by gas subsidies are anti-life across the board.

      (I have lived in both Europe and the US - I don't own a car in Europe, in the US I own 2)

      P.S. We vote for Huckabee - I'm not sure we ain't stupid.

    134. Re:Hm... by FishinDave · · Score: 1

      Biofuel is not an effort to cure global warming. It is an effort to wean us from petroleum. Petroleum released greenhouse gases when it was created millions of years ago. Now it's the corn's turn. We cannot avoid making greenhouse gases when we make fuel.

    135. Re:Hm... by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I don't hate all environmentalists, and in fact with your definition, I perhaps consider myself a "conservative environmentalist". More to the point, I am totally supportive of initiatives like the Nature Conservancy and other private groups who seek to preserve natural resources with private money, and admire other similar efforts. Interesting relationships can be found when seeking protection in this manner, including traditional groups like the National Rifle Association, Ducks Unlimited, and other more "right-wing" groups that do have legitimate interests in terms of preserving outdoor resources. Many hunting groups, through licensing fees and membership dues, have also purchased private land holdings that are less likely to be sold for development purposes than even government lands that are adjacent to those properties. Also, most hunting groups... especially on "their own land" that they have a vested interest in preserving, will not over-hunt those properties and will engage in legitimate conservation measures that help to maintain a natural setting for those properties... or even re-forest previous agricultural lands.

      As for most commercial forestry (at least in North America), most of the land used by commercial logging companies is privately owned as well. In fact, private land tends to be much better maintained than public lands such as National Forests, and a properly managed forest can actually be more productive from an ecological standpoint by supporting more life forms, supply more wildlife food sources, and help reduce "greenhouse gasses" better by occasionally removing a part of the older growth forests and allowing a fresh start to younger seedlings. Yes, it can be overdone, but again if there is a vested interest in preserving the land, they won't be openly destroying huge swaths of forests to be left alone and ignored.

      As for developing countries and their blatant destruction of forests, including in the Amazon basin of Brazil that is getting substantial attention, I believe that is something that will eventually be resolved in some fashion similar to what is happening in North America. The people living in that region of the world vitally depend upon those forests, and hopefully they will awaken to the need for balance and develop a sustainable method of using those forests without abusing them.

      The key word here is stewardship, where you need to place people with a vested interest in preserving the land and the environment over specific parcels of land that are governed and managed by people tied to that land and not some government bureaucrat who is working and living in an urban environment thousands of miles away from the land that needs preservation and doesn't really understand the issues involved when new regulations are developed.

    136. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Smaller cars are more efficient.

    137. Re:Hm... by CFTM · · Score: 1

      So than we can go through this nonsense all over again when we need to get off biofuels? That's just stupid. We need to be working to create viable alternatives that meet our needs not catering to special interest groups (which is exactly what we do with oil in the Mideast and is what is beginning to occur with biofuels in the US and elsewhere). Not to mention that fact that if we come to only use biofuels than the cost of food will go through the roof. Hmmm, I can sell corn on the open market for human consumption at a pittance of what I can sell my corn to the people who make biofuel....which one shall I ever do?

      The only people who gain from this stuff are the farmers growing this stuff; EVERYONE else loses. The environment, the consumer, the future generations.

      I'm all for getting us off the mideast's teet but let's not trade speed in for heorin, let's just get off the speed :p

    138. Re:Hm... by msromike · · Score: 1

      I like suburban sprawl.

    139. Re:Hm... by kesuki · · Score: 1

      well, i may have been wrong, but it Is possible to use manual labor to produce sugarcane to produce ethanol. even if the leaves are razor sharp, they're still little more than paper, so protective gear that can resist the leaves wouldn't be that costly.

      since much of Africa lacks any form sustainable economy, it would be possible for say, Europeans to invest in sugarcane plantations in parts of Africa where there is little if any work available at all. I never knew the cane itself had razor sharp leaves, but cane sugar grown locally and converted to ethanol locally and then exported to Europe could reduce the cost of transit across the EU, using manual labor would be cheaper and create sustainable economies while reducing the EU's dependence on russian and middle-eastern oil.

      the main source of instability in africa is because they have no way to build sustainable economies to allow a stable government to keep corruption low. the main source of strife in the middle east is that the people themselves are poor, while the ruling class are wealthy beyond imagination due to oil exports. in china, there has been 5000 years of stability despite having a large poverty cast, simply because there were always jobs for them on the rice paddies.

      the environmental concerns aside, biofuels are really the only 'long term' solution other than hydrogen fusion, solar, wind, and hydroelectric power sources. the world is already running out of uranium due to water cooled reactors (reactor rod lifespans are 50x longer in sodium or liquid metal reactors.) and 'hydrogen fuel cells' use more energy and resource in production than the vehicle itself uses over a lifetime of use. The us may have a hundred years of useful coal, but eventually that too will run out.

      a more eco-friendly approach is to create 'forests' that are harvested every 10-15 years, and use wood fuels for production of biofuels, since 'forests' even of the new-growth variety put more rain into the atmosphere than crops, this method would be viable even in rain-forest areas. however, while that method could replace coal, it is very difficult to make a 'wood fired car.'
      http://64.233.167.104/search?q=cache:asHJaqko_ZsJ:www.angelfire.com/ak5/energy21/woodfire.htm+powering+cars+with+wood&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=1&gl=us&client=firefox-a

      Wood could be burned at factories to produce hydrogen fuel, which could be used either with fuel cells, or true hydrogen combustion engines. the latter of the two being more environmentally friendly. the problem of course is cost. i know that palm oil is used to make bio-fuels, but it can only be grown in existing rain-forest areas. growing other varieties of trees allows the trees to be farmed in ares further north or further south, in areas where it would have less of an environmental impact.

      and while tree farms do protect the hydrosphere, they tend to favor certain species of animals over others that prefer old growth forests. of course, forestry being the ancient art that it is, can be done entirely with humans, and beasts of burden. or it can be done modernly by robotic machines that can cut, de-branch, and load it to truck. of course there are also ways to do it halfway between, with humans using chainsaws, etc etc.

      it would be interesting to know just how expensive tree farming would be in africa, or south america, as opposed to the united states, canada, or europe. if enough forests were planted in previously grassland regions then it could be a major step forward in reversing damage to the hydrosphere caused by global deforestation.

    140. Re:Hm... by vbraga · · Score: 1
      Actually, they burn sugar cane before harvest to make it lose the "razor sharp" leaves. It's a very environmentally damaging process due to carbon particulates. If you're going to use protective gear, you're going to have a more lucrative plantation using modern harvest methods.

      the main source of instability in africa is because they have no way to build sustainable economies to allow a stable government to keep corruption low. Are you sure of this? Africa has great natural resources and cheap labor. Oil, in some parts of it. Maybe there's not a simple answer to why there aren't stable governments in most parts. Some countries may achieve a stable political equilibrium on a corrupt government: why not?

      There's no panacea for Africa. Actually, there's no panacea for any place.

      it would be interesting to know just how expensive tree farming would be in africa, or south america, as opposed to the united states, canada, or europe. This is a recipe for an environmental disaster. Rain forest trees grow slowly, so it's not practical. Trees from higher latitudes ofter cause more problems than they solve. This is know in Brazilian Portuguese as "Deserto Verde" (Green Desert, in a literal translation). It's an old and well know problem.
      --
      English is not my first language. Corrections and suggestions are welcome.
    141. Re:Hm... by entropiccanuck · · Score: 1

      In the UK there's a fuel tax which goes to the construction/upkeep of roads, unlike here in the US where significant parts of transportation costs are paid for from other taxes. So, the fuel itself isn't subsidized here, but road vehicle transportation costs are.

    142. Re:Hm... by kesuki · · Score: 1

      "Actually, they burn sugar cane before harvest to make it lose the "razor sharp" leaves. It's a very environmentally damaging process due to carbon particulates. If you're going to use protective gear, you're going to have a more lucrative plantation using modern harvest methods."

      I was more thinking along the lines of being less environmentally destructive, but when i realized how environmentally destructive cane is compared to other methods i decided it was moot to promote anything based on cane sugar as 'environmentally good.' Right now I'm more on the 'woodgas,' and 'cellulostic ethanol,' followed lastly by palm oil. since they're all based on trees, or shrubbery that tend to preserve the local aquifer, they are 'more desirable' although the palm oil craze is part of the Holocene Extinction event

      Palm oil, which currently is the number one cause of 'converting' rain-forest to 'bio-fuel' factories. The plus side is you're using a tree fruit, rather than a tree. so the tree growing slow is not a problem, it still bears fruit every year once mature. Also to the plus side, trees 'sustain' the local aquifer, crops, and clear cutting create periods of high run-off, which can cause groundwater to drop, and even dry up local lakes and rivers.

      Tree farming can be mitigate the run-off problem by harvesting in a 'staggered row' harvest, rather than clear cutting, but not all tree farms are run by environmentalists who'd use staggered harvesting even though it makes tree extraction slower, and thus less profitable.

      If the rain-forests of the world are cut down to make farms (exceptions being 'tree farms' and rice paddies') and cities, they will turn to dust, and become massive tracts of desert within a few centuries. Far worse than the dust-bowl, which was caused by moving large farming outfits into a region that was for a generation had much higher than normal rain fall, because of a change in the global weather patterns. that region was never know to have trees in large numbers, and oceanic rainfall is blocked by mountain ranges. so when the weather pattern went back to normal the farms dried up, and blew away, although some blame the lack of 'crop rotation' the 7 years of high heat caused by a change in global weather patterns was the primary blame. the farms in that area now use soil conservation techniques, but as deforestation reduces the amount of global freshwater, and global warming makes dry areas drier, that area is likely to get hit by a drought that even crop rotation can't save (probably not for 50- 100 years or so though).

    143. Re:Hm... by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      I rest my case.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    144. Re:Hm... by swingerman · · Score: 1
      Interesting.

      You -DO- know that this is the primary source of energy in France, as well as in other countries like Lithuania, Belgium, and Slovakia, right? If it is so horribly inefficient, would those countries rely on it for their primary source of energy?



      You also know that world use of nuclear energy is growing and is substantial, right?

    145. Re:Hm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In USSR there was a saying which roughly translates to: "Wanted things to turn out better, ended up like always" :)

  2. A No-Brainer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's because all choices (corn as the worst) make sure oil is included in production. And substituting one hydrocarbon for another can't realistically solve anything as long as usage keeps rising.

  3. Stupid Article by LaskoVortex · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The article cites no references nor names any of the "eminent" scientists. I smell political propaganda.

    --
    Just callin' it like I see it.
    1. Re:Stupid Article by Vectronic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You could be right, although it is just as likely that the scientists just dont want to be known, not because the information may be false or inaccurate, but because of the public lashing they may recieve.

    2. Re:Stupid Article by LaskoVortex · · Score: 5, Informative

      Here is one reference. Original references are usually much less alarmist than the stupid news stories created by journalists who don't understand what they are reporting. This is corn ethanol, which is known to be an inefficient source of energy, so the Science article comes as no great surprise--though it does contradict an earlier report in PNAS. The journalism mistakenly groups all biofuels with corn here (unless the article irresponsibly leaves out other references). Independent studies would need to be done for every biofuel source to warrant the sweeping generalizations of the Seattle Times article.

      There should be a law.

      --
      Just callin' it like I see it.
    3. Re:Stupid Article by smittyoneeach · · Score: 1

      How so? This topic has always been the subject of dispassionate, even-handed debate, and characterized by respectful, collegial differences of opinion.
      Truly a wonderful community.
      Oh we're not talking about Venezuelan Beaver Cheese Production in the pre-Spanish Years? Sorry.

      --
      Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
    4. Re:Stupid Article by cayenne8 · · Score: 1
      "Oh we're not talking about Venezuelan Beaver Cheese Production in the pre-Spanish Years? Sorry."

      Hmm...how about Japanese Sage Darby?

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    5. Re:Stupid Article by smittyoneeach · · Score: 1

      The essential paradigm of Japanese Sage Darby refers creating partially situated flavor identities out of actual or potential social cheese culture reality in terms of canonical forms of human contact, thus re-normalizing the phenomenology of fromage space and requiring the naturalization of the inter-subjective cognitive flavor strategy, and thereby resolving the dialectics of metaphorical thoughts and aromas, each problematic to the other, collectively redefining and reifying the paradigm of the parable of the model of the metaphor of the cheese.
      Since you asked.
      --
      Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
    6. Re:Stupid Article by SeePage87 · · Score: 1

      I don't think it's that big of a jump to include all biofuels. The energy efficiency of the best crops for biofuels is only ~15% better than corn, and this is coming from Brazil who's government is pushing this agenda in a big way (they'd love a world run on Brazilian biofuels), so I'm a little skeptical of their results. Regardless, if it's an improvement on fossil fuels, it's extremely modest at best, and the resources it takes up to produce (they're struggling to push the energy input below 80%) causes a ton more problems (e.g. government regulation forced demand for biofuels is already pushing the price of food up to the point that it's caused mild famine in poorer countries and some riots in Mexico).


      Alternative energy is a good idea, but people shouldn't blindly jump on some proposed solution without checking if it solves anything first. Unfortunately too many people believe it's a good idea, and most of them don't follow this stuff as religiously as /. readers, which is inciting politicians to stoke the proverbial fires to garner votes from all the people who are terrified by the media's ever-present fear mongering.


      Business as usual :-/

    7. Re:Stupid Article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's as plain as the nose on your face -- even if these are "fossil fuels" you'll _never_, _ever_ overcome the inefficiencies of growing alternatives.

      Duh.

    8. Re:Stupid Article by warmbowski · · Score: 1

      I want to second the comment to which I replied. The reporter indiscriminately uses the term 'biofuel' thus lumping biodiesel into these studies, which seem to only be about ethanol. Don't forget that the best way to get biodiesel would still involve algae grown using municipal waste streams for fertilizer. These won't necessarily need to displace arable cropland. Very misleading explanation of the studies. And I didn't see any references to the studies in the article.

    9. Re:Stupid Article by timeOday · · Score: 1
      Are you looking at the article linked from this story? "Cellulosic ethanol made in the U.S. from switchgrass, a fuel that has been singled out by President Bush as a way to reduce the country's dependence on oil, produces 50 percent more emissions than gasoline does, the study said... Searchinger said the only possible exception he could see for now was sugar cane grown in Brazil, which takes relatively little energy to grow and is readily refined into fuel."

      So, no, they're not just talking about corn, and the papers' authors (not a journalist) do make a sweeping statement about other biofuels, not just corn. Searchinger is the co-author of the paper at Princeton, not an overhyping journalist.

    10. Re:Stupid Article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a law. It requires billions of gallons of corn-based fuels to be in use by 2020.

    11. Re:Stupid Article by fishbowl · · Score: 1

      >I smell political propaganda.

      It bothers me that there are people out there who *can't* smell it, especially given the timing, the breathless summary of barely-cited sources, and the advertisers.

      --
      -fb Everything not expressly forbidden is now mandatory.
    12. Re:Stupid Article by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      OW MY BRAIN

      --
      Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
      Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
  4. Still works on a small scale though by Strider- · · Score: 4, Insightful

    While I've always thought that using cropland to produce biofuels is unethical and ineffective. On the other hand, small scale production can make a huge amount of sense.

    For example, the biodiesel I run in my Jetta is made locally at a rendering plant out of waste fats. So, not only am I being a little more carbon neutral compared to buying fossil fuels that have been transported long distances, I'm also keeping what would otherwise be wastes from going into the landfill.

    --
    ...si hoc legere nimium eruditionis habes...
    1. Re:Still works on a small scale though by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Agreed. I use waste cooking oil (processed into biodiesel) in a garage heater (that will burn kerosene, diesel, etc) as well as in a fairly large diesel generator. I would never want to use biodiesel made from farmland, but waste cooking oil is a different story.

    2. Re:Still works on a small scale though by cayenne8 · · Score: 3, Insightful
      "While I've always thought that using cropland to produce biofuels is unethical and ineffective. "

      Ok...I can see ineffective...but, unethical?? What does biofuel have to do with being ethical??? You got me on that one....

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    3. Re:Still works on a small scale though by Zach978 · · Score: 1

      burning food that starving people could be eating I guess

      --

      "I told you a million times not to exaggerate!"
    4. Re:Still works on a small scale though by Torvaun · · Score: 1

      Some people have the idea in their heads that if we have excess cropland to be used on biofuel, we could be using it to produce food that we could then send to developing nations that are having trouble feeding their people (Ethiopia comes to mind), or that could be distributed amongst the poor in this country. They might even think that artificially limiting the food supply by designating certain crop fields as being for biofuels will artificially inflate the price of food, thus making it even harder on the poor. Hence, ethical considerations.

      --
      I see your informative link, and raise you a pithy comment.
    5. Re:Still works on a small scale though by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1
      For example, the biodiesel I run in my Jetta is made locally at a rendering plant out of waste fats.

      Actually, this is OK and they recommend that the future biofuels should be created from waste rather than sources. So, instead of growing plants simply for fuel (in addition to the plants we grow to eat/use), we should grow plants to eat/use and convert the waste into fuel. Two birds w/one stone and all that. :-)

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    6. Re:Still works on a small scale though by cayenne8 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      "Some people have the idea in their heads that if we have excess cropland to be used on biofuel, we could be using it to produce food that we could then send to developing nations that are having trouble feeding their people (Ethiopia comes to mind), or that could be distributed amongst the poor in this country."

      I don't get that then..at least in the US, we actually PAY farmers subsidies $$$ to not farm parts of their land..etc. We give freakin' subsidies to corn farmers....so, it isn't like we don't have a ton of potential farmland out there we could use in addition to the excess of crops we already produce. In the US at least, there isn't anything remotely looking like a food shortage, I think we could easily work on raising bio-crops without depriving anyone. If we went more towards ethanol from wastes products....algae farms....hell, even things like sugar beets, we could be more efficient than with corn, and take the pressure off that crop for raising food prices.

      If we removed the subsidies right now, that would relieve the pressure we're starting to feel a little bit of already in the US. Do that and lower tariffs on imported cane sugar, and we could easily start making cheaper, more efficient fuels (not to mention maybe we could get cane sugar in real coke again and other foods rather than fattening ourselves with HFCS.

      But really, c'mon...we already have more than enough food raised as surplus, even with subsidies....so, it isn't like we'd be depriving someone of a meal.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    7. Re:Still works on a small scale though by maxume · · Score: 1

      Without objecting to the rest of what you said, organic waste isn't all that big a deal, it isn't bulky and it isn't very persistent. Better to burn it as vehicle fuel than have it rot into methane though.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    8. Re:Still works on a small scale though by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, but you are using waste cooking oil from a source much larger than your personal household. So your source is a fluke that will never scale to a large population. And in fact, as soon as it scales up at all (as soon as more than a few people start doing what you are doing) there will be competition for the waste cooking oil you use. I assume you are collecting it from restaurants or somebody else is doing so for you. As soon as ten times as many people in your locality want that cooking oil, it will start costing you instead of being 'waste' that you get for free.

      So your fuel source is not viable for the future, and in fact you should keep quiet about it if you want it to continue to be a viable source for yourself personally.

    9. Re:Still works on a small scale though by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yes, but it could be argued that dumping food on starving people stops them from starving, but they then grow dependent on the food they had no part in producing. They breed and create more people, which increases the number of people who starve. And local producers of food are wiped out of business and can no longer afford to even grow what food they were, let alone scale up to feed the local people. The ethics of food production and distribution is far more complex than airlifting it in to places where there is not enough food.

      A 'nutshell' illustration of the issue of food distribution is bird feeding. I put out bird seed in a feeder in the old orchard here. Since I choose to do so, I consider it my ethical responsibility to continue to put it out throughout the winter. I can't decide not to feed the birds for a week in February, the birds depending on that feeder would starve. Some people say that it's bad to upset the balance of nature by feeding birds at all. Others argue that a central feeding location draws in an unnaturally large population of birds, creating a central location for disease to spread from. There are many thoughtful issues regarding even something as simple as putting out a bird feeder. Feeding a human population is much, much more complex.

    10. Re:Still works on a small scale though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those people should consider the economic impact dumping free food on Africa has on its struggling economy with regard to African farmers. The market for whatever crop foreign farmers dump on developing nations goes to shit. Developing farmers can't sell their crop for a fair price because there is now 30,000 tons of it sitting on the block for free. Developing farmers see their enterprise wither and die, and their country becomes completely dependent on foreign aid in that market.

      Now you've got a starving nation with an increased unemployment problem. If you want to help a nation: Help the producers meet the demand themselves; don't bloat the supply and put them all under.

    11. Re:Still works on a small scale though by B3ryllium · · Score: 1

      Did you know that common garden grass can be converted into ethanol?

      That negates most of the things you just used as scattershot.

    12. Re:Still works on a small scale though by ardle · · Score: 1

      it isn't like we'd be depriving someone of a meal. You are correct: it isn't like depriving someone of a meal, it's actually doing it.
      But that's all right cos they hate the West anyway ;-)
    13. Re:Still works on a small scale though by Strider- · · Score: 1

      Ok...I can see ineffective...but, unethical?? What does biofuel have to do with being ethical??? You got me on that one....


      Other people have mentioned it already, but my ethical objections are primarily related to the fact that the increased demand for grains and other crops has caused the price of those staples to approach their equivalent energy value in fuel. Basically, last I checked, the price for corn was now worth roughly what that corn would be worth if converted into fuel. While this is obviously good for the farmers that produce these crops, I would argue that it's not benificial for the greater population.

      The first and most obvious example where this causes issues is in terms of forign aid, such as the world food program and the like. Now some below have said "well maybe dumping cheap food on them is bad?" and yeah, that's true (Look at what's happening to Mexican corn farmers now that the final protections have been ended for their local corn industry), a lot of places (Darfur, Chad, Etheopia (back in the day) simply have no capacity to grow enough of their own food right now, and/or may be tempted to switch to cash crops that maximize personal profit, but don't nessisarily work to feed their populations.

      This linking also has an effect locally to the rest of us. As this growth continues, we're going to see all our food prices increase. Even if the product is not corn based (or soy, or canola, or whatever other fuel crop), the rise in price of the fuel crops will shift demand for other grains, and raise their prices as well.

      In short, the net effect is that the cost of food, for everyone, will become much more strongly linked to the price of oil/energy.
      --
      ...si hoc legere nimium eruditionis habes...
    14. Re:Still works on a small scale though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is also the added benefit (for you) that the $$$ you are spending on the fuel stays in your local community.

    15. Re:Still works on a small scale though by grahamd0 · · Score: 1

      I don't get that then..at least in the US, we actually PAY farmers subsidies $$$ to not farm parts of their land..etc. We give freakin' subsidies to corn farmers....so, it isn't like we don't have a ton of potential farmland out there we could use in addition to the excess of crops we already produce.

      It's not a question of not having enough farmland (yet), the problem is that ethanol subsidies are artificially driving up the price of food corn. Farmers are trying to make a living, they're not going to sell cheap food when they could use the same product to sell expensive fuel. So even though there is more than enough corn to eat, it costs more than it should. Corn is also the primary food source for livestock, so raising the price of corn indirectly raises the price of meat because those animals now cost more to feed over the course of their lives.

      However, if we were to switch entirely from oil to corn ethanol there would not be enough farmland, even if we grew NO FOOD, to meet our fuel needs. We would have both a food and a fuel shortage.

      You make some good points about using other crops to create ethanol, which may turn out to be effective, but there is no sensible reason to use corn for fuel now or in the future. The entire process is simply too inefficient.

    16. Re:Still works on a small scale though by esome · · Score: 1

      My understanding as a layperson is that converting grass to ethanol is vastly less efficient than converting used oils into biodiesel. Besides, as the parent post noted, the oils would likely have gone to waste rather than be reused. That is not so for the grass. It's not clear to me how your grass comment even applies or, better yet, negates anything. Perhaps you could explain?

    17. Re:Still works on a small scale though by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      What does that have to do with the fact that as soon as enough people start converting waste cooking oil to fuel, the 'waste' oil will cease to be available at a cost-effective price for them to do so?

      That's all I was commenting on.

      As to what you mean by 'scattershot' I am unclear.

    18. Re:Still works on a small scale though by B3ryllium · · Score: 1

      The person I replied to stated that waste oil was not workable on a large scale. And grass is not workable on a small scale. Combine the two, and you have a viable course of action for both large and small scale biofuel resources.

    19. Re:Still works on a small scale though by B3ryllium · · Score: 1

      See above reply; essentially, the two complement each other. Grass works on a large scale, such as what is envisioned for corn-based biofuel, whereas waste oil works on a small scale.

    20. Re:Still works on a small scale though by Turn-X+Alphonse · · Score: 1

      Here in the UK we have fields known as "Set aside", which is a field not used to grow for a year or two which earns the farmer some funds from the government. The idea is that you rotate your fields so you get better crops in general rather than slowly drain the soil's nutrients until the land isn't worth planting on. People who don't grasp farming can't see the point of this, but it is an important part of not damaging the land and reducing our resources for the future.

      --
      I like muppets.
    21. Re:Still works on a small scale though by jfmiller · · Score: 2, Informative

      While you sentiment is in the right place, there is a huge flaw in your logic. Most food impoverished countries are that way because it is unprofitable to farm the land. Why? because the US is dumping huge amounts of excise food onto the markets. If you want to help feed starving people, it would be much better to supply them with cash that they can use to pay local farmers rather then putting those farmers out of business with highly subsidized US corn and soy beans

      --
      Strive to make your client happy, not necessarly give them what they ask for
    22. Re:Still works on a small scale though by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Oh, I completely agree with you. It will *never* scale up. There just isn't enough waste cooking oil to fulfill the kind of demand for energy the transportation sector demands. I was just putting forth an anecdote.

    23. Re:Still works on a small scale though by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      My understanding: Agricultural subsidies come mainly in the form of "price floors" and subsidies based on the amount being grown. Subsidies paid out to farmers for not farming certain areas are tiny in comparison, and usually are a result of the farmer having environmentally sensitive land, or land where farming is likely to cause a lot of topsoil erosion.

      I also think it's unlikely that we have enough potential new farmland to grow much new fuel. A lot of it has been paved and suburbanized (though in a real emergency, a family could grow a good chunk of their food on the land taken up by their own lawns). Given the high environmental cost of agriculture, we should be looking to *reduce* the amount of land under cultivation (and we could reduce it drastically if we cut back on our meat consumption).

      I agree that we should drop agricultural subsidies, starting with the biggest farms, and drop our tariffs on Brazilian ethanol.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    24. Re:Still works on a small scale though by jsiren · · Score: 1

      Without objecting to the rest of what you said, organic waste isn't all that big a deal, it isn't bulky and it isn't very persistent. Better to burn it as vehicle fuel than have it rot into methane though. How about have it rot into methane and burn that as fuel? (It's being done, but could be done at a much larger scale.)
      --
      Usage: km/h for speed (kilometers per hour); kph for very slow impulses (kilopond hours).
    25. Re:Still works on a small scale though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's utter gibberish. You've probably never been in a 3rd world country, have you? The price of corn and wheat has doubled this year because of bad harvests and of the tension created by agrofuels (don't use "bio" please). There were riots in Mexico, where corn is the main food source; and where I went in Africa, people can't even afford to buy corn or wheat anymore, so they're turning to less nutritive local crops and roots, and malnutrition is getting commonplace. Worse, the increase in the price of food means people have less money left to fuel their countries economies. As usual, the 3rd world pays for the foolishness of the 1st world.

      Every plant you put into your car's tank is a plant not going into someone's mouth. It's as simple as that.

    26. Re:Still works on a small scale though by Torvaun · · Score: 1

      Oh, this isn't my sentiment or logic. I am very much aware of the economics of farming and how dumping food doesn't make things better except in the short term. If we really wanted to help those countries, we'd do it best with donations of equipment, to let the farmers do their job better.

      --
      I see your informative link, and raise you a pithy comment.
    27. Re:Still works on a small scale though by Guipo · · Score: 1

      And I pretty much cancel you guys out with my 6.5 Diesel Blazer that I commute in. I go for the cheapest easiest fuel source. Yay Capitalism!

      Fishing for flamebait I am.

      --
      Theonlyuse of monkeys is to testthings onthem.Some peoplemay say"Hey That'scruel!"and myresponse is"I don't like monkeys
    28. Re:Still works on a small scale though by o'reor · · Score: 1

      The real problem here IMHO is the protection of domestic farming, particularly using trade barriers and protectionism. See that article (and the book it describes) and judge by yourself : asymmetric trade barriers helped Great Britain, the US and Japan achieve economic domination in their own times.

      Actually, if we really wanted to help those countries, we'd help them get rid of the strangleholds of the World Bank, the WTO and the IMF, three organizations that accept to lend money under conditions of massive deregulation. This is tantamount to destroying their developing industries by letting international corporations take away the markets and profits.

      --
      In Soviet Russia, our new overlords are belong to all your base.
    29. Re:Still works on a small scale though by SoulRider · · Score: 1

      This really bothers me when people start touting about farmers being paid not to farm crops. These are not the subsidies we need to get rid of. I would still be in favor of subsidies to farmers for not growing crops on a certain stretch of land. The reason farmers are paid to not grow crops is for land reclamaition purposes. Farming is really hard on the soil, the constant growing and harvesting of crops sucks many of the nutrients out of the soil, every few years a farmer will need to leave a bit of his land go fallow to allow the soil to regenerate itself. Crop rotation helps to reduce the need to let the land stand dormant but it does not eliminate the need. Over farming of the land was one of the causes of the dust bowl. When a farmer does this it affect his income because now he cannot bring as much product to market, so some of these subsidies actually do help people. Its the subisidies that the large corps are getting (think Con-Agra) that we have to look at.

    30. Re:Still works on a small scale though by qwer_tea · · Score: 1

      What does biofuel have to do with being ethical? Here's a hint: There are people in your country that can't afford all the food they need, or can't afford nutritious food like the kind that you suggest burning as fuel.
      Some people find that, under these circumstances, biofuel from edible crops is unethical.
    31. Re:Still works on a small scale though by Yartrebo · · Score: 1

      Those subsidies are on the way out with the recent sustained rise in farm prices. Also, the areas put aside are generally the most marginal and erosion-prone land. Putting it into cultivation of row crops might not be the wisest use of it in the long term.

      As far as food deprivation goes, it's already being felt around the world thanks to the markets. The prices of most foods has gone up. The effect personally has been quite negative (the extra amount spent on the ~40 gallons petrol equivalent of food I eat is much more than what I save on the 20-40 gallons of petrol I use as fuel each year (all of it indirectly)). If I'm feeling it here in the USA, I'm sure that people in poorer countries are feeling it a lot worse, and a decent number of people have been pushed from marginally fed to starving or adequately fed to marginally fed.

    32. Re:Still works on a small scale though by liquidf · · Score: 1

      but oils used for cooking and consumption are biodegradable. keeping them out of landfills isn't really helping, but putting them there doesn't really hurt either. now if you had took the stand that they would break down and the methane given off would be burned for energy at the landfill then you'd have a better point.

      --
      i've had just about enough of your vassar bashing.
  5. lose-lose game ? by C0vardeAn0nim0 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    so, either we kill ourselves by burning coal and oil, or we kill ourselves chopping forests.

    you know what ? fuckit!!!

    if we're so stupid we can't find a stable balance to ensure the survival of the specie, so be it. let mass extinction come. and in 60 million years from now, some form of land dweling squid will be unearthing our bones, just like we do with the dinosaurs.

    --
    What ? Me, worry ?
    1. Re:lose-lose game ? by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      and in 60 million years from now, some form of land dweling squid will be unearthing our bones, just like we do with the dinosaurs.

      I dunno ... I'm betting on intelligent cockroaches myself.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    2. Re:lose-lose game ? by Fulcrum+of+Evil · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We can always use nuke plants (until we figure out fusion). Get some decent train infrastructure and see what that does to our oil usage.

      --
      "We returned the General to El Salvador, or maybe Guatemala, it's difficult to tell from 10,000 feet"
    3. Re:lose-lose game ? by bendodge · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Clean energy was killed by the very environmentalists who tout it. I was talking to an engineer recently who worked on nuclear power plants, and he told me about a plant somewhere (can't remember the name) that planned to build 6 cores. I can't remember the exact numbers, but the cost went up exponentially every time they finished a core because of the paperwork and regulations. The first core cost millions; the last would have cost hundreds of billions. They had to quit building at three cores, but if the legislatures hadn't messed it all up, that state would be a power-exporting state today.

      Out here in Idaho, there are remnants of curiosities such as a regenerative reactor that worked once upon a time. (There's also a nuclear jet engine that didn't.) These reactors produce more energy for for the same amount of fuel and have less waste. But we can't use them, because (horrors!) they produce weapons-grade waste. I have a very simple solution to this dilemma: put it in a weapon.

      Now the environmentalists want to blow up the dams that supply almost all of the state! I mean, you can't get much greener than a dam. But I guess fish are more important than people. And it's not like there's shortage of uranium. There's a deposit under my house for goodness sake!

      If we could build more reactors at the real cost of building them, drill the oil in Alaska and give the tree-huggers desk jobs like everyone else, we'd be so much better off.

      -Super-cheap electricity would mean less dependence on foreign oil.
      -We have more oil here than in Saudi Arabia, so we could quit importing oil altogether.
      -We could have electric cars.
      -Less coal and oil burning would make the environmentalists happy and stop global warming (or global cooling, whatever it is this year).
      -Breeder reactors would produce little waste, and what little they do produce could make more nukes (best defense is a good offense; see "Cold War" on p. 187)

      Yes, I know I've posted this before, but it's worth repeating.

      --
      The government can't save you.
    4. Re:lose-lose game ? by Adriax · · Score: 1

      Screw Alaska, southwestern Wyoming has a huge shale oil deposit. Enough to cover the US for quite awhile AND it's pretty much sagebrush as far as the eye can see, closer to usage areas too.
      Tap that, crank up some breeder nukes, push some higher MPG requirements, get rid of the stigma over public transport, keep developing electrics. Then we can give the middle east the middle finger, and go back to shooting at eachother instead of them.

      --
      I don't suffer from insanity, I enjoy every minute of it!
    5. Re:lose-lose game ? by mwilli · · Score: 1

      We should all be buried with goatse pictures so that when they dig us up, they can be like, "What the fuck??".

      --
      My sig beat up your sig.
    6. Re:lose-lose game ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We Can, it's the middle class and treendy assholes that REFUSE to change.

      you gotta drive your 8 foot wide 16 foot long SUV that get's 6 miles to the gallon you HAVE TO HAVE 4 wheel drive you haveto have 390hp, omfg it takes me more than 17 seconds to get to 60mph from a stop OMFG OMFG OMFG!

      accept small cars, accept electric cars MOTHER FUCKING ACCEPT PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION.

      Its those FUCKING ASSHOLES that refuse to live in 450-750 sq feet homes , drive SANE cars and be mootherfucking responsibile.

      we can do it, All of you assholes REFUSE TO.

    7. Re:lose-lose game ? by ZOmegaZ · · Score: 1

      And then sixty million years after that, some form of giant super-intelligent penguin will think they're the only intelligent life to ever exist on Earth, having no ubersquid bones to analyze. Poor kids, having no dinosaur-equivalent toys to play with as children. Won't someone please think of poor super-Mumbles!?

    8. Re:lose-lose game ? by evilviper · · Score: 2, Informative

      Now the environmentalists want to blow up the dams that supply almost all of the state! I mean, you can't get much greener than a dam. But I guess fish are more important than people.

      A significant portion of the humans on this planet survive almost entirely on fish. A damn might give your state a slightly higher amount of clean electricity, while it causes 1 billion people around the planet to starve.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    9. Re:lose-lose game ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You should really look up exactly what dams do to the environment. Dams are known amongst the educated to be the most environmentally unsound "green" civil projects ever created. They divert huge amounts of water (aka dry up rivers, drain/collapse/flood water tables, etc.) and floods areas that weren't meant to support insane flooding.

      When we talk about such vast amounts of water being removed from where they feed into and regulate a finely tuned ecology, then we should see that we are actually disrupting ecological cycles to the extent that you might as well just burn down a forest or two for every dam you build. Basically, if you want to imagine what dams do to the environment, just imagine you suddenly went without water systems (which is what rivers are to the environment). You can't go to the bathroom, you can't cook/eat things properly, you dont have nutritional access to water, and overally, you wouldn't be a happy camper.

      I'm pretty sure that dams are as environmentally important as energy and fuels.

    10. Re:lose-lose game ? by bendodge · · Score: 1

      A damn might give your state a slightly higher amount of clean electricity, while it causes 1 billion people around the planet to starve. Are they going to march out here to fish the Snake River or something? The world isn't short on food, it's just in the wrong places.
      --
      The government can't save you.
    11. Re:lose-lose game ? by bendodge · · Score: 1

      you might as well just burn down a forest or two for every dam you build. Since when is burning forests a problem? Forests not burning is a problem. Yeah, you don't want all of them ablaze at once, but fire is part of a natural cycle, as are beaver dams. Yes, dams do mess up a lot or stuff. But which is worse: a dam or a strip mine and coal power plant?
      --
      The government can't save you.
    12. Re:lose-lose game ? by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      What is it that people respond with to such glib outlooks on our coming extinction?

      Oh yeah: you first.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    13. Re:lose-lose game ? by dubl-u · · Score: 1

      Clean energy was killed by the very environmentalists who tout it. [...]There's also a nuclear jet engine [...]

      Connect the dots here, pal.

      If there are engineers dumb enough to put a reactor on an airplane, it's no wonder the environmentalists don't believe that nuclear power can be safe. As if cleaning up Manhattan and the Pentagon wasn't enough of a problem without tons of piping-hot uranium dioxide (plus tasty fission byproducts) to deal with.

      If we could build more reactors at the real cost of building them [...]

      Real cost? Take a read through The Economist's last study of nuclear power. The only way people are talking about new nuclear plants in the US is because the government will heavily subsidize their insurance. Personally, I think nuke plants are pretty neat, but when they fail, they can fail big.

      If the nuclear plant operators would pay the real cost of their risks, I'd be much more partial to them. Instead, they talked Cheney into dumping the costs on taxpayers.

      if the legislatures hadn't messed it all up,

      Come now. You have heard of the S&L crisis, California's power crisis, Enron, and our unfolding mortgage/credit crisis? Tens of billions lost each time, while the gambler executives generally kept their winnings and retired. The legislatures are quite right to think "trust us" is not a reasonable regulatory plan when it comes to large businesses taking giant risks with other people's money.

      I'm an ardent free-market capitalist, with entrepreneurship going back generations in my family. But markets only work well when there are tight feedback loops, plenty of competition, and the opportunity to fail. Nuclear energy plants don't meet any of those: the feedback loops are decades long, there is very limited competition, and, assuming you like your water table where it is, the plants can't be allowed to fail.

      Blaming everything on the legislators and the environmentalists is sometimes completely right, but in the case of nuclear power, it's a lot of happy horseshit.

    14. Re:lose-lose game ? by evilviper · · Score: 1

      Are they going to march out here to fish the Snake River or something?

      No, but those fish migrate, and they also serve to drive other ocean ecology.

      The world isn't short on food, it's just in the wrong places.

      The ocean IS running short on fish. A combination of loss of habitat and over-fishing is greatly diminishing the populations of common stocks available, and causing difficulties for fishermen around the globe.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    15. Re:lose-lose game ? by Ed_1024 · · Score: 1

      if we're so stupid we can't find a stable balance to ensure the survival of the specie, so be it. let mass extinction come.

      I used to think that by becoming "greener" in the way I behaved was actually going to help. I fitted efficient light bulbs, changed to a car that used half the fuel, cut down on "unnecessary" energy expenditure, etc.

      Recently, I've had a change of mind. I travel regularly to all six (or seven) continents and a fair bit to the so-called Developing World. I now understand that my contribution is futile; whatever increases in energy efficiency I (and those living in industrialised nations) make, they are wiped out over a very short period by what's going on in the rest of the planet.

      I am now considering a counter-behaviour based on this logic:

      a) In terms of hydrocarbons, there are definite limits to the amounts that can be extracted and used.
      b) The global population is increasing with no end in sight.
      c) Quality of life reduces with growing numbers of humans.

      Therefore, it'll be better to run out of energy sooner rather than later as it might put a brake on the population increase - and those present then will have a greater individual share of whatever's left than would have been the case later on. That means we should go about our daily lives without any particular worry about efficiency and generally behave as though we were back in the time before the first oil crisis, because it doesn't really matter any more.

    16. Re:lose-lose game ? by yoprst · · Score: 1

      How can this crap be modded insightful? No means of energy production, however bad, are threat to survival of humans.

    17. Re:lose-lose game ? by o'reor · · Score: 1

      Thanks for that insightful comment. If all free-market capitalists shared your views on the conditions for markets to work well, the world wouldn't be such a fucked-up place. And I might consider free-market capitalism more favorably...

      --
      In Soviet Russia, our new overlords are belong to all your base.
    18. Re:lose-lose game ? by marzipanic · · Score: 1

      so, either we kill ourselves by burning coal and oil, or we kill ourselves chopping forests. you know what ? fuckit!!! if we're so stupid we can't find a stable balance to ensure the survival of the specie, so be it. let mass extinction come. and in 60 million years from now, some form of land dweling squid will be unearthing our bones, just like we do with the dinosaurs.


      Well the powers that be (in my humble opinion) could not find their arse with both hands. I am sure they could improve this with the right knowledgeable people!

      I mean look at the vast amount of pounds spent doing major research into obesity. After all that they come up with it is 1) because we eat to much or 2) because of genetics...

      They seriously spent all that money to state the bleeding obvious! Anyway I thought rocket fuel did the most damage to our already fragile atmosphere, I am not an expert on such things though.

      If we are still alive in a few millions years it will all be wearing "Sun Block 5000" and living in oxygen bubbles. We laugh but the prospect is frightening.
      --
      In the name of sticking up for someone with autism, f**k you! Prejudiced bastard.... that is unlawful and linuc for dumm
    19. Re:lose-lose game ? by dubl-u · · Score: 1

      Thanks for that insightful comment. If all free-market capitalists shared your views on the conditions for markets to work well, the world wouldn't be such a fucked-up place. And I might consider free-market capitalism more favorably...

      Thanks for the kind words. Honestly, pretty much everything has this problem. Take a great idea that works, and it instantly develops a bunch of fanboys who like the results but only have a surface understanding of what's going on, inevitably leading to snowdrifts of idiocy.

      You oughta see my super-green girlfriend cringe when some enviro-kook demonstrates their lack of basic math skills (or basic hygiene). The ones who get my goat are the libertarians and the objectivists: it's not that both sides don't have good points, but fundamentalist Randites are not appreciably saner than any other kind of fundie. Most of them are crazy enough that they'd have a hard time talking me out of a burning building, let alone into making major changes to our country.

      I put the a lot of the B-school blowhards in the same basket. Adam Smith is not somebody you pledge allegiance to. Markets are amazingly powerful tools for solving certain sorts of problems, not magic fairy wands. And they certainly shouldn't be the curtains you put up to hide your thievery from the people whose money you're gambling with. But that's what happened both with Enron and the current mortgage crisis.

      So don't let the idiots throw you off. There are a lot of great ideas out there; just scrape off the barnacles and put 'em to work.

    20. Re:lose-lose game ? by rhakka · · Score: 1

      did you ever come across any philosophers/schools of thought that exemplify the kinds of stances you are developing? Or that stand up to a pragmatic free market view like the one you are advocating?

      A counterpoint to the Randites, for example.

      I'm down, if so, and looking for some good reading.

    21. Re:lose-lose game ? by bendodge · · Score: 1

      If there are engineers dumb enough to put a reactor on an airplane, it's no wonder the environmentalists don't believe that nuclear power can be safe. If you leaned up against US a reactor for a year, you'd get less radiation from it than if you stood on the beach for a day. Modern reactors aren't bombs waiting to explode. You'd be hard pressed to make one explode. Nuclear FUD is the biggest reason that we are still dependent upon our enemies' oil supplies.

      Personally, I think nuke plants are pretty neat, but when they fail, they can fail big. Can you provide some examples of reactors failing big? The only one I know of is Chernobyl, and that used a design that had already been rejected by US engineers. Statistically speaking, nuclear power is the safest source.

      Three Mile Island was NOT a disaster. It showed that the safety mechanisms on reactors work, and nobody died or grew another arm.

      Real cost? Take a read through The Economist's last study of nuclear power. The only way people are talking about new nuclear plants in the US is because the government will heavily subsidize their insurance. Personally, I think nuke plants are pretty neat, but when they fail, they can fail big.

      If the nuclear plant operators would pay the real cost of their risks, I'd be much more partial to them. Instead, they talked Cheney into dumping the costs on taxpayers. I agree that government subsidies are bad. They shouldn't exist. However, all the regulations are also bad. Companies build reactors to make money, not to be hated or weird. It's in their best interests to make good reactors, and companies did (before regulations killed all new ones).

      The only good point you made was cleaning up the mess after a natural disaster or terrorist attack. That is a problem, but there aren't any examples of these problems happening, except for Chernobyl's inherently flawed design.

      France has the right idea on this. Capitalism works.
      --
      The government can't save you.
    22. Re:lose-lose game ? by Max+Littlemore · · Score: 1

      Clean energy was killed by the very environmentalists who tout it. I was talking to an engineer recently who worked on nuclear power plants, and he told me about a plant somewhere (can't remember the name) that planned to build 6 cores.

      Until you have a completely safe and reliable way of disposing of waste, as distinct from just reducing it, in fact handling the entire fuel chain from mining to waste disposal, don't call nuclear power clean. Fision is not clean and probably never will be.

      If you were making an argument about environmentalists impeding development of fusion, I might be interested in what you have to say, but given the way you started off in that post, then followed up with crap about "I guess fish are more important than people" (shows a complete lack of understanding of the big picture with all its complex dependencies) and then suggestions that drilling and burning more oil is going to solve anything, I lump you right in with rabid environmentalists.

      Sure, your supidity has an opposing direction, but the magnitude is roughly equal.

      --
      I don't therefore I'm not.
    23. Re:lose-lose game ? by dubl-u · · Score: 1

      Three Mile Island was NOT a disaster.

      Sure, they meant that to happen. Ditto for all the other civilian and military accidents. Oh wait, they're accidents, meaning something unexpected and bad happened.

      Companies build reactors to make money, not to be hated or weird. It's in their best interests to make good reactors, and companies did (before regulations killed all new ones).

      Look, I'm not against nuclear power. I think it's cool, and I don't have a problem with it. However, blaming its lack of adoption purely on FUD borders on the simpleminded.

      Companies do things to make money. So do their employees. People cut corners all the time, and sometimes they screw up big, which is why we have messes like Enron and the current credit crisis. If people do this with a coal plant, you get a bankruptcy. If they do it with a nuke plant, maybe you have to sacrifice a thousand square miles. Oopsie.

      Based on nuclear power's current track record, none of those sensible corporations that you're so fond of will give them insurance at low enough rates to make nuclear power viable. That means government subsidies. And I haven't noticed the US nuclear companies solving the disposal problem, either, so we're looking at more government subsidies.

      If we're going to subsidize something, I'd rather it be an alt-energy source where we're not gambling quite so heavily. About the worst thing that can happen with a solar panel is that it comes loose from the roof and falls on you.

    24. Re:lose-lose game ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's called nuclear power, and no, there are no downsides. It really is just fear mongering by coal and oil interests combined with bureaucracy.

      BUT SERIOUSLY!!!1 THIS TIME THEY REALLY MEAN IT!!!!1 THIS IS SRSLY IMPORTANT!!!!!1(aka: creating crisis out of thin air for the sake of vote whoring)

    25. Re:lose-lose game ? by dubl-u · · Score: 1

      did you ever come across any philosophers/schools of thought that exemplify the kinds of stances you are developing?

      Wow, great question. The short answer is "not exactly".

      One place to start would be the British newsweekly The Economist. I've been reading them for ages now, and I'm sure I've soaked up a lot from them.

      Aside from being an excellent way to get your news, they believe in free markets not for their own sake, but as a tool to make the world a better place. Some American progressives mistake them as a conservative outfit, but that's wrong. They're economically pretty conservative, and socially very liberal. From an American perspective, that can be confusing. Mainly, they're data-focused pragmatists.

      As far as using markets as tools, it's worth checking out the way a lot of greens have come to embrace them. A green pal tells me that they were anathema 15 or 20 years ago, but now they're pretty popular. She recommended Natural Capitalism as a good place to start.

      If it's more a question of how capitalism can avoid being evil, take a look at Let My People Go Surfing: The Education of a Reluctant Businessman. It's a memoir from the founder of Patagonia, and it's an enjoyable and inspiring read. It's the spiritual opposite of the grinchy Randite tone, but the guy is still a smashing success who started from zero, just like their heroes.

      Hope that helps!

    26. Re:lose-lose game ? by rhakka · · Score: 1

      go figure ;) I love the economist too, and consider myself a "social capitalist" though the term is largely self-defined.. I'll have to check out those books though for further reading. Thanks!

  6. Simplistic FUD piece... by BiggerIsBetter · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yes, corn ethanol has a very low yield and has no business being used for fuel - this is very well known. As the article states, "Searchinger said the only possible exception he could see for now was sugar cane grown in Brazil, which takes relatively little energy to grow and is readily refined into fuel." which is entirely unsurprising to anyone who's looked at this stuff before. Corn is only popular in the US, and only because it's subsidized.

    How about a discussion on SVO (Straight Vegetable Oil) from crops like Chinese Tallow, and the newer algae production processed instead.

    --
    Forget thrust, drag, lift and weight. Airplanes fly because of money.
    1. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by FooAtWFU · · Score: 1

      Yes, corn ethanol has a very low yield and has no business being used for fuel - this is very well known. As the article states, "Searchinger said the only possible exception he could see for now was sugar cane grown in Brazil, which takes relatively little energy to grow and is readily refined into fuel." which is entirely unsurprising to anyone who's looked at this stuff before. Corn is only popular in the US, and only because it's subsidized.

      How about a discussion on SVO (Straight Vegetable Oil) from crops like Chinese Tallow, and the newer algae production processed instead. Maybe because corn is used for ethanol in the United States, and it's a bigger more subsidized business than ever, and it's still clamoring for more money, and there are still assorted groups pushing for more of it used as fuel?

      I think that's worth a good chunk of criticism.

      --
      The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
    2. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by Fulcrum+of+Evil · · Score: 1

      The point of studying the alternate methods of ethanol production is that they might actually be energy positive. It's not a bad idea to try and grow our oil, but it requies a process that works and can fill our demands without making food massively expensive.

      --
      "We returned the General to El Salvador, or maybe Guatemala, it's difficult to tell from 10,000 feet"
    3. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by John3 · · Score: 1

      So many farmers have started growing corn for ethanol that other crops are skyrocketing in price. Wild bird seed has nearly doubled in price in the past year, and hops and grains used for beer production have also gone way up in price. Hop production will take a while to get back as it takes several years for a hop rhizome to develop a fully productive plant.

      --
      "We make our world significant by the courage of our questions and by the depth of our answers." Carl Sagan
    4. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 1

      On the contrary,
      Anyone who didn't see this coming hasn't been very acute.

      1. Corn Farmers in Red States suddenly get "Green" and ask for "Subsidies". Where have I heard that before.
      2. There isn't enough water in the world for people to drink, but suddenly there's enough to grow fuel for Hummers?

      This is an example of government picking winners. "Farmers" get extra votes in Washington (electoral college thing), so as soon as "Farmers" could benefit from a scientific theory, the theory get tested in the political arena, rather than peer review.

      In RE conventions, I've never seen the tough questions on BioFuels answered - particulalry corn.

      As for Sugar Cane, We once grew cane in Spreckles, Ca. got hit by blight, and hasn't been grown in 30 years or more. Again, I think the US doesn't have the climate and water for SugarCane-to-oil. Sugar's pretty valuable relative to corn, so the economics aren't as favorable. The reason "high-fructose corn syrup" is used is because sugar cane is more difficult to grow.

      Brazil may have a operating vehicle for every 6 people averaging 6K miles per year, and a family for every 20 acres in a tropical climate; trying to power the US from Sugar cane, simply because a developing economy can do it, is not good math. While I don't have the particulars, I'm reasonably sure the energy consumption per capita isn't within an order of magnitude of the US.

    5. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by graft · · Score: 1

      Whether or not it's "very well known", it is STILL being pushed as sound policy. Obama sez: "[I] will require 36 billion gallons of renewable fuels to be included in the fuel supply by 2022 and will increase that to at least 60 billion gallons of advanced biofuels like cellulosic ethanol by 2030." Clinton sez: "60 billion gallons of home-grown biofuels available for cars and trucks by 2030." And none of these people are making caveats about how corn doesn't cut it, and we need to ensure the efficiency of the energy cycle, blah blah blah. So, since this IS being pursued as a good environmental policy choice in the US, perhaps it's worthwhile to critique it?

    6. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by FooAtWFU · · Score: 1

      The point of studying the alternate methods of ethanol production is that they might actually be energy positive. It's not a bad idea to try and grow our oil, but it requies a process that works and can fill our demands without making food massively expensive. This is a point indeed. But giving midwestern agribusiness (like Archer-Daniels-Midland) $7 billion (in 2006) a year in subsidies to grow ethanol is largely unrelated to 'research' (unless you want to research politics and corruption).
      --
      The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
    7. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by cayenne8 · · Score: 1
      "and hops and grains used for beer production have also gone way up in price. Hop production will take a while to get back as it takes several years for a hop rhizome to develop a fully productive plant."

      Well, to be fair, there has been a shortage of hops due to some disease that hit some growing places pretty hard past year or two...hence, raising the prices. So, to be fair, that has nothing to do with growing fuel plants. I hear hops plants are coming back...and they do actually grow to productivity pretty quick. Plant the rizhomes....first year, they mostly grow....but they start producing in 2nd year on....

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    8. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by mechsoph · · Score: 5, Informative

      The reason "high-fructose corn syrup" is used is because sugar cane is more difficult to grow.

      No, the reason HFCS is in everything in the US is because our high sugar tariffs make the domestic sugar price double the global price. If it weren't for the tariff, we'd import cheap sugar from our friendly neighbors down south, and US Coke wouldn't taste so lousy.

    9. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      The mention of 'advanced biofuels like cellulosic ethanol' is an explicit acknowledgment that corn doesn't cut it.

    10. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by Anarchitect_in_oz · · Score: 1

      Careful what you say there or Sugar (and the addictive drug that it is) will go the way of hemp.

      --
      "Call us when the New age is old enough to drink" Beck
    11. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by sulimma · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately there is no link to the original story. I do not know alot about the topic at hand, but in other areas of global warming I have often seen a fallacy that works like this:

      A study is published that says: Wait a minute, when your burn 1MJ of energy in you car, you really use up more than that, because of refinement, transport, clearing of land, etc.
      This is than taken by the press or lobyy organizations that use it to "proof" that you emit more CO2 with bio fuel than with fossil fuels. While the conclusion might be correct, the proof is flawed.

      1. The energy provided for refinement and transport does not need to be provided by fossil fuels. (A nuclear power plant needs tens of Megawatts of power, and I never heard anyone complain that the solar cells to produce that amount are too expensive. When comparing energy technologies the analysis should allow the technologies to fuel themselves)

      2. Last time I checked fossil fuels were transported and refined as well (Crude oil SUV anyone?). Transport is usually over much longer distances than for bio fuel, so there should be a big plus for bio in the transport section. Instead, the article lists transport as a minus, which make me very suspicious about the other claims.

    12. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 1

      Sugar is more difficult to grow in the US, I know this first-hand having grown-up in a sugar beet blighted town.
      IIRC, Brazil had ideal growing conditions for Sugar.

      I'm not sure whether "tariffs" raise the price, or allocate the negative externalities of trade deficients correctly.
      Clearly, if Brazil were willing to accept products in exchange for Sugar, we might be more willing to import.

      (Insert Subsidy Farming Para Here)

      AIK

    13. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by mechsoph · · Score: 1

      Sugar is more difficult to grow in the US, I know this first-hand having grown-up in a sugar beet blighted town. IIRC, Brazil had ideal growing conditions for Sugar.

      Yes, that's why it's dumb to grow it in the US.

      I'm not sure whether "tariffs" raise the price, or allocate the negative externalities of trade deficients correctly.

      Then you don't probably understand economics. We wouldn't be buying so many imports if it weren't beneficial. Eventually, the dollar will fall (like it's currently doing), the global savings glut will dry up, and we'll stop importing so much. If the market decides, prices will reach efficient levels. If government decides, prices will be whatever some politican or lobbyist thinks they should be.

      Maybe tariffs will allow growth of a fledgling industry or protect industries where domestic production is a national security issue, but sugar fits neither of those cases. The tariff is nothing but a handout to sugar farmers. And don't give me any BS about job loss. Lowering trade barriers does not have any effect on long-term employment. We should eliminate the tariff and our inefficient sugar farmers should find something else to do. This would even help low-income families by reducing food costs.

      The only externality you could argue for Brazilian sugar is the destruction of the rainforest, but a tariff is probably not the best way to internalize that issue.

      Clearly, if Brazil were willing to accept products in exchange for Sugar, we might be more willing to import.

      Huh? Barter systems were given up a couple thousand years ago.

    14. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 1

      Suggesting that someone doesn't "understand" economics presumes hubrusly that anyone does; economies, like weather patterns are chaotic at best, and no two persons agree on their full and complete function.

      There are negative externalities to importing crops; most specifically an unhealthy reliance on foreign food, if we stop practicing the art of farming in the US - I shouldn't even have to explain this. Very few things are as important to a society as food and water. So we protect farmers - yes it's probably wasteful, nepotistic, and socialistic. I worry that those who perform badly are being encouraged to fail because we so often bail them out, but on the whole its difficult to argue the empirical value of domestic food production. Even if Chinese food were cheaper, permitting it to come in would drive domestic production out, and where would quality be then? who pays for the poisoning health care? Those who bought cheap - or everyone?

      I didn't give you BS about job loss, I gave you BS about food security.

      RE "Barter" I mean a balanced trade. If they don't want our products, then trade deficients create a conundrum - most probably the world is stealing or free-riding from the US economy - effectively taking services and hoarding dollars which the US pays for goods. Services include World Peace, Entertainment IP, Computer IP, and Medicinal IP. If China were to pay for the IP it consumes from the US, I suspect trade balance would be far more balanced.

      AIK

    15. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by mechsoph · · Score: 1

      if we stop practicing the art of farming in the US - I shouldn't even have to explain this.

      Yes you should. What happens if we stop growing sugar and oranges in the US? Brazilian farmers collude to raise prices? We'll just ship more from Mexico or Indonesia. It's unlikely we'd stop all domestic food production. The US has some very good farmland, and mechanized production should be competitive with cheap labor for some crops. It's just foolish to try to domestically produce crops that can be grown much more cheaply in other nations.

      Even if Chinese food were cheaper, permitting it to come in would drive domestic production out, and where would quality be then?

      Health wise, any minimally reasonable food standards would apply equally to both domestic and imported foods. Taste wise, if I could buy stringy chicken for half price, I probably would.

      If China were to pay for the IP it consumes from the US,

      One cannot consume an idea. Patents and copyright exist for the singular purpose of recovering the fixed costs of development; they are decidedly not for the purpose of extracting perpetual rents. If a US patent was developed without thought of selling to the Chinese market, the US firm would lose nothing if the patent were used by a Chinese firm for Chinese sale only, because the proceeds from "lost" Chinese sales would not have been factored into the initial development investment. Of course, now that we are in a global economy, it is sensible for patents and copyrights to have global scope.

      One area where the world is free-riding off the US is patented drugs. Other nations enact price controls putting prices barely above the marginal cost, while here in the US the drug companies are allowed to charge monopoly prices for the duration of the patent. Consequently, US consumers are left paying the vast majority of the development cost for the drug.

    16. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 1

      It's true that the US could sacrifice a commodity here or there to poaching, but it's a slippery slope problem, do you permit some, and then say - that's enough? no, you fight against the tide of dumping at the first turn.

      The US has decent farmlands, but labor is problematic (most is illegal now), and Brazil has presumably very low standards for labor (Think Chavez?). If we didn't protect farmers from under-regulated markets, we couldn't sustain the additional costs of post-chavez labor reforms.

      The ramble on IP is an op-ed, I'm sure many share your opinions; however, I'm a little unconvinced that IP isn't as important as you suggest. I think it is work in the same way that sewing jeans is work, and deserves not to be stolen. I am suggesting that an economy which trades in tangible goods, while "stealing" or otherwise free-riding less-tangible goods rather than participate in the free-flow of currency is "Hoarding" in the most classic meaning of the term, and this creates a moral dilemma which bears consideration.

      AIK

    17. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by mechsoph · · Score: 1

      It's true that the US could sacrifice a commodity here or there to poaching, but it's a slippery slope problem, do you permit some, and then say - that's enough? no, you fight against the tide of dumping at the first turn.

      Dumping/predatory pricing is certainly bad, and I don't think any free trade advocate would support it. But allowing the unrestrained import of fairly priced goods that can be more efficiently produced abroad will absolutely benefit the US.

      The US has decent farmlands, but labor is problematic (most is illegal now), and Brazil has presumably very low standards for labor (Think Chavez?).

      Chavez is Venezuela; Lula is Brazil.

      If we didn't protect farmers from under-regulated markets, we couldn't sustain the additional costs of post-chavez labor reforms.

      Yes, eventually the rest of the world will catch up to the US in terms of standard of living and labor costs. I've seen the beginnings of this happening in India, and the dropping dollar is another indicator. However, this process won't happen overnight, ie it will not be an economic shock. Even afterwards, the problem will still be one of scarce resource allocation. Free markets solve this problem very well and will determine the most efficient producers better than government would.

      The ramble on IP is an op-ed, I'm sure many share your opinions; however, I'm a little unconvinced that IP isn't as important as you suggest. I think it is work in the same way that sewing jeans is work, and deserves not to be stolen.

      If I take your jeans, you no longer have them. If I build a copy of your jet engine, it has absolutely no effect on your ability to build your own jet engines (joint markets aside). That is the fundamental difference between tangible goods and information. No question that both tangible goods and information cost money to develop, but the marginal cost of information after it is initially created is negligible.

      I am suggesting that an economy which trades in tangible goods, while "stealing" or otherwise free-riding less-tangible goods rather than participate in the free-flow of currency is "Hoarding" in the most classic meaning of the term, and this creates a moral dilemma which bears consideration.

      There would certainly be benefit in global patents as the larger market could support a larger development investment. It's tough to call appropriation of patents stealing or hoarding since it doesn't deny the original holder their use, though.

    18. Re:Simplistic FUD piece... by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 1

      Not Hugo, Ceasar. Ceasar Chavez unionized the agriworkers. This improves the lives of workers, but raises the costs; you seem to be arguing that we should bust unions by importing non-union products. I'm suggesting that isn't fair to workers in the US. If a forign government has a true advantage, ie a better climate, for production, and AND AANNDD they are willing to trade equally, then "Free" trade is a mutual benefit; however, if the advantage is fewer restrictions on worker and environmental exploitation, that is not a true benefit.

      If Free Markets are only figuring out the most exploitative environment of production, they are just cheating.

      You've misstated my ethical hypothesis: which is that the accumulation of currency is Hoarding under a trading scheme in which China, for example, trades tangible goods to the US for intangible currency, while declining to return that currency for the intangible goods it consumes /from/ the US.

      AIK

  7. So... less = more!?! haha. by slap20 · · Score: 0

    Its kind of surprising how many people don't realize this. The University I attend is extremely liberal and environmentally aware. They have banner and flyers and meetings about how E85 Ethanol and corn is going to save the world basically. They don't fully understand the complications of producing these things. They are so focused on the problem that they fail to see the big picture. And as stated above, the knee-jerk reactions rarely work.

    -Eric-

    --
    ~Liberalism Is A Mental Disorder~
  8. No kidding, Shirlock by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who didn't see this coming? Turning beans into greenhouse gases makes the whole global warming thing worse. Like duh!

    To confirm you're not a script, please type the word in this image: thinker

  9. Citation please by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The looks like propaganda.

  10. SciAM / NatGeo by milsoRgen · · Score: 1

    This has been mentioned in issues of Scientific American and National Geographic before. Personally I believe we need better power transmission technologies so that we can tap into various solar and wind sources and transport the energy where needed.

    But even realizing local benefits of such power generation seems far fetched in todays current political climate. Here in Idaho we have much unrealized potential for wind energy. However the person in charge of our "Office of Energy Resources", Paul Kjellander. Has publicly stated he only believes in, "The Three N's"... Natural Gas, Nuclear or Nothing.

    Even the state that has some of the highest potential of wind based energy in the U.S. is in the dark, so to speak. Thing are not looking good when it comes to energy policy here in the states.

    --
    I'm sick of following my dreams. I'm just going to ask where they're goin' and hook up with 'em later.
    1. Re:SciAM / NatGeo by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      Has publicly stated he only believes in, "The Three N's"... Natural Gas, Nuclear or Nothing.

      Aye, and there's the rub. Critical policies are being set by what certain people "believe", on what their "gut feelings" tell them.

      Forget the science, forget the facts. Who the hell needs those.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    2. Re:SciAM / NatGeo by milsoRgen · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Let me quote the october 2007 National Geographic:

      Brazil rivals the U.S. in ethanol production because sugarcane yields 600 to 800 gallons an acre, twice as much as corn. But there are also issues in the use of cheap labor, destroyed farmland/forests, and the use of petroleum based fertilizers. So even with the increase of of usable energy per acre in Brazil, that probably wouldn't translate to the U.S., as we have little things like a minimum wage and people who bitch loudly when vast amounts of land are razed for crop production. So either way you cut it, Biofuels are at best only a means of transition from a pure oil based energy network unto something more long term feasible.
      --
      I'm sick of following my dreams. I'm just going to ask where they're goin' and hook up with 'em later.
    3. Re:SciAM / NatGeo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And never mind climate. Just because sugar cane grows in Brazil doesn't mean it'll grow in Iowa or Kansas.

      Unless, of course, we get enough global warming. :-)

    4. Re:SciAM / NatGeo by mechsoph · · Score: 1

      Biofuels are at best only a means of transition from a pure oil based energy network unto something more long term feasible.

      So what's more a feasible way to power a trans-atlantic airliner?

    5. Re:SciAM / NatGeo by milsoRgen · · Score: 1

      So what's more a feasible way to power a trans-atlantic airliner? Nuclear, obviously.
      --
      I'm sick of following my dreams. I'm just going to ask where they're goin' and hook up with 'em later.
    6. Re:SciAM / NatGeo by mechsoph · · Score: 1

      My understanding was that the shielding made this impossible. You could barely get the thing off the ground, and since the shield was only enough to protect the passengers, it would irradiate everything else around it. This sentiment is echoed by the Wikipedia article.

      It's damn hard to beat the energy-to-weight ratio of liquid fuels. In 30 years, we'll probably all be driving battery-electric vehicles. We may even take an electric train from New York to LA. But we'll still probably fly in a liquid-fuel jet to get to London.

    7. Re:SciAM / NatGeo by milsoRgen · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But we'll still probably fly in a liquid-fuel jet to get to London. I agree, the fact of the matter is there is no catch-all energy source. It will take a diversified (and advanced) portfolio of energy resources for us to sustain our current energy rich lifestyles.
      --
      I'm sick of following my dreams. I'm just going to ask where they're goin' and hook up with 'em later.
  11. For small values of "most" by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Maybe I have a skewed perspective, but in New England 'most' biofuel is firewood. I've been heating my house with it for a couple years and have plenty of trees to burn. But even when I buy a cord from the woodsman a couple miles away the amount of fossil fuel used to generate a cord of wood is probably about five gallons of petrol. I heat the house on two cords a year, and the same heating can be achieved with 1200 gallons of propane. It's not even close.
    There is some additional point pollution but I run a catalytic stove from Woodstock Soapstone which reburns the smoke so you can barely smell the woodsmoke outside (and I own enough forestland to eat my share of pollution). Besides that most of that 'pollution' was sequestered from the environment within the past thirty years.
    If they want to argue against most fermentation-based biofuels, fine, but most cultures burn wood and have before 1830 when the planet started heating up.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    1. Re:For small values of "most" by mdsolar · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That is biomass rather than biofuel. The issue in the US is that taking up cropland here means plowing up marginal land elsewhere. This disturbs soils which hold carbon and thus that carbon is released. With your firewood, this is not the case. The soil is not disturbed and your use of the wood is not causing others to be hungry. You should mention the benefits of excercise in splitting and hauling wood as well.

    2. Re:For small values of "most" by Fjandr · · Score: 1

      Like many other solutions, the difference is scale. On a small scale, wood-burning has a relatively small carbon footprint. On a large scale, you end up with deforestation and much more carbon entering the atmosphere than can be sequestered in the same amount of time, in addition to less biomass available for said sequestration.

      As with everything, it's all about balance.

    3. Re:For small values of "most" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I heat the house on two cords a year, and the same heating can be achieved with 1200 gallons of propane. It's not even close.

      It's worth noting two cords is 1,900 gallons. I understand the wood is carbon neutral. I'm just putting those two cords into perspective.

    4. Re:For small values of "most" by corsec67 · · Score: 1

      And the biggest reason why using firewood is good for the environment:

      The forests in most of the US are overpopulated, due to our rabid "put out all fires NOW!" attitude that was prevalent for a long time. The overpopulation leads to smaller trees that are more like kindling, and burn quite well. Yellowsone in 1988 is a good example of what happens when a forest isn't thinned, either through logging for fire.

      --
      If I have nothing to hide, don't search me
    5. Re:For small values of "most" by Matt_R · · Score: 1

      using firewood is good for the environment Isn't firewood bad from an air pollution perspective?
    6. Re:For small values of "most" by corsec67 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Is it bad? Yes.

      Is it worse than the Smoke from a huge fire? No. The smoke in the air does make for pretty sunsets.

      Is it better than the pollution from natural gas/propane/fuel oil?

      Yes, smog is bad for people with athsma, and can irritate the respiratory system. Small fires are usually better than big huge ones, and are more manageable.

      Using the wood to make paper or something is probably better from an air-pollution prospective, sure. Taking trees out of forests to get back to a "natural" density of trees is good for the forests. Firewood is just one way to use that wood, and yes does create some pollution in the air. But, it is a very renewable, carbon-recycling source of heat.

      --
      If I have nothing to hide, don't search me
    7. Re:For small values of "most" by rizole · · Score: 1

      As the subject has come up; a paper brick maker is an excellent way of killing two environmental birds with one...erm...brick. Good for heating on a limited budget too.
      Ramdom googled brick maker link

    8. Re:For small values of "most" by pla · · Score: 1

      The issue in the US is that taking up cropland here means plowing up marginal land elsewhere.

      No, it doesn't.

      Pseudo-scientific "analyses" such as TFA can point out all the shortcomings of biofuels only because we, as a society, have this obsession with corn - More specifically, with the kernels themselves, which make up only a small fraction of the mass of the plant.

      Cellulose, however, contains quite a lot of energy. It just takes a bit more effort to get at it. Once we start looking at processing that (in the form of stalks, husks, straw from wheat, any form of grass clippings, etc), literally made up of material currently considered waste, we go from "wasting cropland to grow corn to make barely more energy than we put in", to an effectively free alternative to petroleum.

      Can our existing biowaste production satisfy 100% of our demand for oil? I honestly have no idea. But why turn down a free partial-solution???

      It sickens me that we have solutions to our energy problems all around us - The sun shines down on me daily (oh, but only for a few hours, boo hoo), the wind blows by (but think of the hundreds of birds caught in turbines - vs the millions dying from NOx, SOx, and particulate emissions from cars and coal power plants), the tides ebb and flow twice every 24 hours (oh, but you'll ruin the rich weirdo's scenic vista!), people pay to have their yard waste hauled away. Until we perfect fusion, we will never have a 100% solution to our energy needs; Let's stop ignoring the abundant partial soltutions nature has provided in the meantime.

    9. Re:For small values of "most" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is it not fuel? He's burning it to produce energy. Isn't that what you do with fuel?

    10. Re:For small values of "most" by toddhisattva · · Score: 1

      The issue in the US is that taking up cropland here means plowing up marginal land elsewhere. This disturbs soils which hold carbon and thus that carbon is released. With your firewood, this is not the case. The soil is not disturbed and your use of the wood is not causing others to be hungry. You mean, "thus some of that carbon is released." And the stump will decompose, releasing as much or more greenhouse gas as disturbed soil. So will the little branches that don't go in the woodpile.

      And deprived of the trunk and larger branches, whole generations of bugs and worms will be deprived of life. Where are our hearts in this? Oh the poor millipedes and billipedes....

      You should mention the benefits of excercise in splitting and hauling wood as well. Plus the medical costs incurred by the inevitable accidents. Which is why I've sworn off firewood (except mesquite for cooking).

      The cost of tire repair after aforementioned mesquite punctures it.

      The costs of medicine to treat the fire ant blitzkriegs. However, since the fire ants have killed off the scorpions and snakes, they may be a net benefit w.r.t. firewood.

      Cactus. Or whatever those little hell-plants with the inch-long segments bristling with poisoned spikes are (succulent + spiny = cactus, no matter what the botanists say). Prickly pear I can deal with. These little hell-plants need to die, all of them. I mean genocide!

      Since I'll not be using the trees for firewood, does anybody want to buy some carbon credits? Deep discount: $220 per unfelled cord!
    11. Re:For small values of "most" by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      The original poster mentioned living in New England where there has been a move towards sustainable forestry. Burning wood there tends to be carbon neutral. You sound like you have it pretty bad where you live.

    12. Re:For small values of "most" by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      The articles appear in a peer reviewed journal so that there methods are published. You'll want to give them a read to see if the methods are actually too flawed to be reliable. The point really is about land use, and in the case fo the US, using cropland to grow fuel. Switchgrass or sweet sorghum or tropical maize might get you more energy out, but it does not get you better emissions than gasoline if cropland is taken out of food production. Both papers do mention using ag waste as not having this problem, though I think you'd want to be sure that the waste is not diverted silage. It is the disturbance of new lands for agriculture that causes the emissions so the particular energy crop, with the possible exception of cane, can't overcome the extra emissions for several decades or more. The papers could be wrong, but they are surely scientific since you have the opportunity to look at how they are put together and attempt to falsify them.

    13. Re:For small values of "most" by pclminion · · Score: 1

      Using the wood to make paper or something is probably better from an air-pollution prospective, sure. Taking trees out of forests to get back to a "natural" density of trees is good for the forests. Firewood is just one way to use that wood, and yes does create some pollution in the air. But, it is a very renewable, carbon-recycling source of heat.

      Not to mention that because of 20th century forestry practices, we have enormous overburdens of down wood in our forests, particularly in the west. There is absolutely no reason not to burn this wood, because if we just let it sit in the forest, it is going to eventually burn anyway, and in a much more catastrophic fashion.

      In an undisturbed forest there is an equilibrium between decomposition of woody matter, and new growth. We are so far beyond this equilibrium that it would take centuries to balance itself naturally. In reality, massive forest fires will strike before that point.

  12. Not hard to believe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So long as this research isn't being funded (or bribed) by the oil industry or government officials who would rather stick with oil, I could be persuaded to believe this. Pretty much anything we use for fuel is going to have production and transport costs.

    As far as fuel goes, we will always these problems until we figure out a decent way to run our machines using air, water, or the Sun. The reason it will take forever to reach such a goal is that there is no money in it: once you've bought the machine that runs on air, water, or Sun, you don't have to buy the fuel. Companies have no real reason to pursue this goal. No money.

    1. Re:Not hard to believe by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      As far as fuel goes, we will always these problems until we figure out a decent way to run our machines using air, water, or the Sun.

      I have a special carburetor that will run your car on air, water and a small solar panel. I just can't seem to find anyone that will fund my research.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    2. Re:Not hard to believe by mikael · · Score: 2, Funny

      Me too, but so far I've only had success getting the system to work on downhill journeys. Uphill journeys are still unsolved. I've heard other people have had success using flywheels to capture the energy from braking, but the only solution seems to be to make the hills higher on one side than the other.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
  13. Names are easy... connecting the dots... by denzacar · · Score: 5, Informative

    Use of U.S. Croplands for Biofuels Increases Greenhouse Gases Through Emissions from Land Use Change
    Timothy Searchinger 1*, Ralph Heimlich 2, R. A. Houghton 3, Fengxia Dong 4, Amani Elobeid 4, Jacinto Fabiosa 4, Simla Tokgoz 4, Dermot Hayes 4, Tun-Hsiang Yu 4

    1 Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA. German Marshall Fund of the U.S., Georgetown Environmental Law and Policy Institute.
    2 Agricultural Conservation Economics, Laurel, MD, USA.
    3 Woods Hole Research Center, Falmouth, MA, USA.
    4 Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, USA.

    How Green Are Biofuels?
    Jörn P. W. Scharlemann and William F. Laurance

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    1. Re:Names are easy... connecting the dots... by Rei · · Score: 5, Interesting

      One thing that immediately jumps out at me:

      "Biofuels from switchgrass, if grown on U.S. corn lands, increase emissions by 50%."

      Huh? Why would you grow switchgrass on corn lands? The whole point of switchgrass it that you can grow it on marginal lands, freeing croplands for food production. On crop lands, cellulosic ethanol is to be made from corn stover and the like.

      Here's an interesting analysis of the studies from a member of the UC Davis faculty. He strongly disagrees with the methodology used.

      Well, either way, I think we can all agree that corn ethanol from the corn itself is lousy, cellulosic ethanol from waste streams is good, and everything else is up in the air.

      --
      Margaret Thatcher died the other day. It was a sad day, but I like to think that she's looking up at us right now."
    2. Re:Names are easy... connecting the dots... by toddhisattva · · Score: 1

      I think we can all agree that corn ethanol from the corn itself is lousy As a fuel. But the Wild Turkey I got for Christmas was far from lousy!
  14. If it weren't for corruption and ignorance by jdb2 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    we'd be selling fuel to the rest of the world by cracking H20 into H2 and O2 via nuclear power. While the initial construction costs of a reactor are large, it pays for itself in the energy it produces. Also, over half of our budget goes to defense. If we were to spend just a fraction of that , heck a fraction of the cost of the "war" in Iraq which is projected to reach into the *trillions* , we could spend it on research and development of modern advanced reactor designs to fasttrack the deployment of safe efficient high temperature gas reactors, while at the same time having enough money to build conventional reactors at a regular rate. All the nuclear "waste" that we've produced , mostly in the form of depleted fuel elements , could be exhumed and reprocessed at some remote site using a fast breeder reactor. In the future, the investment in research would produce much safer versions. But oh wait, I forgot, plutonium ( at least the fissile type ) is a no-no in the U.S. although other nations have no problems. Oh, and then there's that problem of Joe stupid American ( by the way, I'm American ) who thinks that "nucular" power is so dangerous when in reality you get more radiation in the vicinity of a coal plant because of trace amounts of U-235 or even when you eat a banana because of the abundance of radioactive potassium isotopes in nature. Nuclear power has been available since 1938-- that 70 years! We could have built thousands of them by now, but due to corruption and ignorance, which unfortunately is a self sustaining cycle ( unless there's a major shock to the system, like, uh, the planet going to hell ) I'm afraid the status quo will remain for the foreseeable future.


    jdb2

    1. Re:If it weren't for corruption and ignorance by tfiedler · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm Joe American and I've never though nuclear power was unsafe or stupid, not even when I had to suffer through my own flirtation with liberalism in college (thankfully I came to my senses).

      Nuke power is the most sane, environmentally safe method for us to meet our energy demands and we should be busy building plants now, not debating about it.

      Trouble is, you gotta convince all of the treehuggers and pseudo enviros, best start at a Starbucks since that's where they all are -- with their disposable cups and all.

      --
      Democrats and Republicans are like AIDS and Cancer, I want neither!
    2. Re:If it weren't for corruption and ignorance by tfiedler · · Score: 1

      Whoo Hoo! I got a troll moderation! Must have been one of the lefty tree huggers that didn't like what I said, so they decided to censor a dissenting voice. How typical.

      --
      Democrats and Republicans are like AIDS and Cancer, I want neither!
    3. Re:If it weren't for corruption and ignorance by mechsoph · · Score: 1

      Also, over half of our budget goes to defense.

      Where do you get that figure from? Defense is about 20% of our Federal budget. Smaller the Medicare, bigger than Social Security. Defense is about 50% of "Discretionary" (ie, not Entitlement) spending, though.

    4. Re:If it weren't for corruption and ignorance by timmarhy · · Score: 1

      treehuggers aren't interested in facts and figures, we need to somehow come up with a way to put a cute face on uranium or they aren't interested.

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    5. Re:If it weren't for corruption and ignorance by FlightlessParrot · · Score: 1

      You also gotta convince the insurance industry. Most policies ordinary folks can buy exclude anything with a nuclear or ionizing radiation aspect, and I think the US nuclear industry is only viable because of the Price-Anderson Act, that limits liability. It's a pity. I believe the arguments that nuclear is safe -- certainly compared with coal. But there is an industry that makes its living out of betting on risk, and they won't touch it. Do they really know something the rest of us don't know, or are they just scaredy-cats. Pretty sure they're not tree huggers, though.

    6. Re:If it weren't for corruption and ignorance by MadMidnightBomber · · Score: 1

      As a lefty, tree-hugging environmentalist, I agree. Nuclear power is the way to go, because dealing with radioactive waste in 200 years time beats being underwater in 200 years time. On the other hand, the fact that I bike to work and we only have a small diesel car between two of us is also helping. Nuclear power helps, but it's not the only answer either.

      --
      "It doesn't cost enough, and it makes too much sense."
    7. Re:If it weren't for corruption and ignorance by jdb2 · · Score: 1

      You're correct. I was thinking of "50 percent of global defense spending"
      and had a brain fart. :)


      jdb2

  15. Other possibilities by caseih · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Besides the problem of fertilizer production, irrigation, machines burning diesel fuel, the biofuel craze is increasing pressures on farm land, promoting deforestation, and contributing to global food price rises. But that doesn't mean we won't eventually get a biofuel that has more energy in it than we put into it. Once we reach this point, then the biofuel itself can fuel its production. But in the mean time there are some other intriguing alternatives.

    Just today I was listening to CBC's "Quirks and Quarks" talking to Sandia labs about using solar energy to convert CO2 and H2O into H2 and CO, which can be effectively combined to make hydrocarbons. Unlike bacteria or algae, this process uses a special solid substance that, when exposed to the intense light, has its oxygen molecules stripped off, releasing O2 into the atmosphere. Then this substance is taken out of the sunlight, exposed to CO2 and Water, and it rips the oxygen molecules out of those substances, leaving H2 and CO behind, both of which can be fairly economically combined into hydrocarbons like methanol and gasoline. What's intriguing is that the substance they are using to rip the oxygen out of the water and CO2 can do this over and over again. Right now they are using CO2 from sources other than the atmosphere, making this not carbon neutral. However they plan to work towards harvesting CO2 from the atmosphere. In the meantime, though, this is a great way of increasing the efficiency of energy extraction from, say coal. If, someday, we could capture all CO2 from coal plants and convert it to gasoline for use in autos, that would have an overall decrease in our CO2 emissions because the coal could now be used to generate electricity *and* drive cars, reducing the CO2 emissions from refined gasoline. Assuming we can control particulates, nitrous oxides, and sulfur dioxides from burning gasoline, in the future perhaps gasoline-burning cars will be the cleanest things on the planet! Certainly as the scientist pointed out, gasoline (hydrocarbons anyway) is the best way of storying energy. Generating electricity is nice, but we have to use it as we generate it. Batteries and H2 production aren't really that good at storing energy as densely. The radio program is http://www.cbc.ca/quirks/archives/07-08/feb09.html and the Sandia press release is http://www.sandia.gov/news/resources/releases/2007/sunshine.html

    If we are wise, then I think the push to biodiesel or solar gasoline will ultimately be our ticket.

    1. Re:Other possibilities by cgraves · · Score: 1

      The direct alternative to biofuels that you speak of, which does not depend on growing biomass, was the topic of a recent Slashdot discussion (the specific Sandia technology), and I wrote a response about it and that there are other means of achieving the same end. It is definitely a good idea to cut out the biomass and eliminate all of the associated environmental issues, land area constraints, and greenhouse gas issues that are the topic of this discussion.

      The journal articles that this current discussion refers to (regarding "biofuels make greenhouse gases worse") were both made available in Science a few of days ago: one, two, and they were also discussed in the New York Times.

    2. Re:Other possibilities by cgraves · · Score: 1

      Oops please ignore my last post- its links are fixed here.

      The direct alternative to biofuels that you speak of, which does not depend on growing biomass, was the topic of a recent Slashdot discussion (the specific Sandia technology), and I wrote a response about it and that there are other means of achieving the same end. It is definitely a good idea to cut out the biomass and eliminate all of the associated environmental issues, land area constraints, and greenhouse gas issues that are the topic of this discussion.

      The journal articles that this current discussion refers to (regarding "biofuels make greenhouse gases worse") were both made available in Science a few of days ago: one, two, and they were also discussed in the New York Times.

  16. I had a sneaking suspicion by thealsir · · Score: 1

    that biofuels actually increased carbon emissions. Namely because of the emissions costs of processing all the fuel. Now, something like the waste cooking oil I could see being useful, but the corn lobby will make sure that method is not widespread.

    How I love politics. Politics getting in the way of reason, in the way of human survival. Nothing new. Or, in the Slashdot lore, "Nothing to see here, move along."

    --
    Do not downmod posts "overrated" simply because you disagree with them.
    1. Re:I had a sneaking suspicion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      yeah, because waste cooking oil is available in such large quantities.

      stop acting like you have some insight into this issue. if you did you'd never have made such a ridiculous suggestion.

    2. Re:I had a sneaking suspicion by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      It is not that the biofuels themselves don't displace some fossil emissions, but rather that that the land use changes brought about by large scale production of biofuels releases carbon from soils and forests that would otherwise hold it. When US corn crops are diverted to fuel, more land needs to be put under cultivation around the world to make up for the missing grain. Or, in the other paper, when forests are converted to palm oil production for biodiesel, the peat in the soil rots and the carbon enters the atmosphere. Brazil, for example, expects to have only one 40th of the energy input for castor bean biodiesel coming from fossil inputs once they can get the transesterification to go using ethanol rather than methanol and they may get away with not using land in a way that releases more carbon dioxide or forces other land to be put to use for growing food. But, most North American and European biofuel use is boosting rather than reducing carbon dioxide emisions because it is forcing land use changes globally.

    3. Re:I had a sneaking suspicion by jamesh · · Score: 1

      Now, something like the waste cooking oil I could see being useful

      How much waste cooking oil are you using over there? I'm driving about 600-700km/week lately in a company vehicle, and going through quite a bit of fuel. At home, we (family of 6) use around 1L of cooking oil directly a week, and maybe another 1L indirectly (eg by buying foods that have been cooked in oil). Of that oil, probably only around 75% could actually be re-used. So that leaves a fairly large deficit...
    4. Re:I had a sneaking suspicion by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      So that leaves a fairly large deficit...


      You can easily make up that deficit by making arrangements with one of your local fast-food shops to take their waste frying oil off their hands. Yes, I realize that there's an obvious limit to how many people can do this, but there's lots of those places out there, and they all need to dispose of that oil. Most of them sell it to companies that recycle it in things like feedstock, and even if you have to outbid their current contact it's still going to be less than using petroleum.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
  17. Abstracts by mdsolar · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Both papers are published in Science Express rather than the regular journal yet. Here are the abstracts:

    Land Clearing and the Biofuel Carbon Debt
    Joseph Fargione Jason Hill David Tilman Stephen Polasky, Peter Hawthorne

    Increasing energy use, climate change, and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from fossil fuels make switching to lowcarbon fuels a high priority. Biofuels are a potential lowcarbon energy source, but whether biofuels offer carbon savings depends on how they are produced. Converting rainforests, peatlands, savannas, or grasslands to produce food-based biofuels in Brazil, Southeast Asia, and the United States creates a 'biofuel carbon debt' by releasing 17 to 420 times more CO2 than the annual greenhouse gas (GHG) reductions these biofuels provide by displacing fossil fuels. In contrast, biofuels made from waste biomass or from biomass grown on abandoned agricultural lands planted with perennials incur little or no carbon debt and offer immediate and sustained GHG advantages.

    Use of U.S. Croplands for Biofuels Increases Greenhouse Gases Through Emissions from Land Use Change
    Timothy Searchinger, Ralph Heimlich R. A. Houghton, Fengxia Dong, Amani Elobeid, Jacinto Fabiosa, Simla Tokgoz, Dermot Hayes, Tun-Hsiang Yu

    Most prior studies have found that substituting biofuels for gasoline will reduce greenhouse gases because biofuels sequester carbon through the growth of the feedstock. These analyses have failed to count the carbon emissions that occur as farmers worldwide respond to higher prices and convert forest and grassland to new cropland to replace the grain (or cropland) diverted to biofuels. Using a worldwide agricultural model to estimate emissions from land use change, we found that corn-based ethanol, instead of producing a 20% savings, nearly doubles greenhouse emissions over 30 years and increases greenhouse gases for 167 years. Biofuels from switchgrass, if grown on U.S. corn lands, increase emissions by 50%. This result raises concerns about large biofuel mandates and highlights the value of using waste products.

    While this work is very useful, the immediate concern would seem to be that grain carryover stocks are becoming quite low as a result of ethanol production. They are now at about 54 days worth of world consumption compared to over 100 days in 2000. Much lower stocks would mean making a choice between starvation of people or reducing feedlot operations and meat availability.

  18. Well, duh by 0123456 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's not as though people who actually considered the overall impact haven't been pointing this out for years.

  19. but, but, but, by overcaffein8d · · Score: 1

    what about getting cellulosic ethanol from algae/etc?

    it hasn't quite been perfected yet, but i don't see a problem with it once it does. get yeast or bacteria to convert it and do the dirty work for you.

    --
    Those of us who think they know everything annoy those of us who do.
  20. Studies please? by denzacar · · Score: 1

    I mean... its nice to see that they did them and all... but does anyone have access to the studies?

    You know... for those among us that find paying $10 per article that you can only have for 24 hours kinda steep.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  21. Biofuels' got carbon... by halivar · · Score: 1

    ...and carbon's what plants crave.

    Hey, wait! Biofuels' got what plants crave!

    1. Re:Biofuels' got carbon... by onemorechip · · Score: 1

      I wonder how many people here saw Idiocracy. Very funny movie, and I appreciate your reference!

      --
      But, I wanted socialized health insurance!
  22. From the Seattle Times... by Assassin+bug · · Score: 1

    "When you take this into account, most of the biofuel that people are using or planning to use would probably increase greenhouse gases substantially," said Timothy Searchinger, lead author of one of the studies and a researcher in environment and economics at Princeton University.


    Note that this lead author is quoted as stating "probably increase". I am taking note of this apparently overlooked qualification. I've yet to read the actual Science paper yet. Until I read the primary source, I'll take this news with a grain of salt.
  23. This is one of those studies... by WebCowboy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...that basically starts with a pre-conceived conclusion and looks for evidence to back it up, I suspect.

    The problem is that the net emissions from biofuel production cannot ever be determined accurately---it is totally impossible ot absolutely quanitfy it because it is always a moving target.

    The article goes on about rainforest being clear-cut to make way for the production of fuel plants. That kind of land makes really poor land for growing and there is no evidence at all that shows biofuel production has been cited as a reason for clearing a significant amount of new land. The "biofuel lobbyists" are right about one thing; the study is too simplistic to be an accruate assesment of the real net impact of biofuel production. What if the farm equipment itself was powered by biofuels? What if the waste biomass from preparing farmland and growing the crops was recovered and used for power generation? What if we used biomass from the ocean (this is already done on an experimental scale)? Have there been studies on the efficiency of biofuel-powered engines and on the overall emissions (sulphur, particulates and things that not only afect the climate but actually harm our health)? What about the impact of making fuel out of tarsands vs middle-east light sweet crude vs. crude drilled in the Gulf of Mexico? How can they put a number like "92 years of emissions"? It all smells pretty fishy to me.

    It's like the argument that biofuels threaten foodstocks. Well, we used Soybeans extensively for food products...and it makes a good biofuel...and plastic...and industrial lubricants...and a host of other things. What is wrong with doing that using corn too? Corn production in the US actually exceeds what the world NEEDS for food by quite a margin, as do the production of many other crops (wheat, etc). These crops have been very cheap since the depression (in fact for decades they went down significantly when adjusted for inflation) and only in the last few years have grain prices been coming up to where they really should be. Sometimes I wonder if there are lobbyists out there for the processed food undustry putting resistance out to any competing demand in order to ensure they can name their own bargain prices for high-fructose corn syrup, bleached and enriched white wheat flour and hydrogenated vegetable oil and keep the margins on twinkie sales up.

    Anyways, what is the big surprise here? Burning fuel creates emissions...surprise surprise! When you drive an electric car you are indirectly burning natural gas, or coal, or splitting uranium atoms. When you are using biodiesel you are burning soybeans or canola, along with whatever the equipment used to grow it uses. Same with ethanol except it's corn or switchgrass or sugarcane. Hello...if you want to reduce emmissions DON'T DRIVE SO DAMN MUCH! Get rid of your suburbans and buy a hatchback (a VW Golf diesel is better than a Prius if you don't live in a big city). Better yet, get off your ass and WALK once in a while.

    Actually having worked in power plants and refineries and such...I have a hard time believing ANY sort of fuel doesn't have a significant environmental impact. These guys obviously haven't seen how tarsands ar mined, or how much fuel an oil tanker uses, or how much power an offshore drilling platform uses.

    1. Re:This is one of those studies... by caseih · · Score: 1

      Sure, but if that tanker was powered by biofuel in the first place (presuming we can make it without a carbon debt), then that fact becomes moot. As for the tarsands, the process itself is very environmentally damaging. Of course the need to even use the tarsands would, in theory, be eliminated by the use of sustainable biofuels. So actually fuel can be very clean. Especially when that fuel is used in its own production, rather than fossil fuels.

    2. Re:This is one of those studies... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There have already been food riots in Mexico over corn shortages, which are attributable to ethanol production. Just saying "there is enough food in the world, it's a distribution problem" is a very "scientist" thing to say. The fact is that you can't ignore the distribution problem, or pretend that since there is enough food everyone will have something to eat. It's called capitalism, and it's probably not going to change any time soon. You can't pretend that biocrops aren't going to have the effect that they already are.

    3. Re:This is one of those studies... by trotski · · Score: 1

      [i]...that basically starts with a pre-conceived conclusion and looks for evidence to back it up, I suspect.[/i] I hate to tell you this, but every single study ever done works that way. It's called scientific method, look it up some time. See, you start with something called a 'hypothesis' and then you track down evidence that supports it. If you cannot find such evidence, then you throw away the hypothesis and start again. Welcome to science.

      --

      "Entropy is the bad-guy, and he is everywhere"
    4. Re:This is one of those studies... by Mspangler · · Score: 1

      "The article goes on about rainforest being clear-cut to make way for the production of fuel plants"

      That's where I lost interest. Under that criteria, solar cells are also net CO2 producers.

      The radical environmentalists want industrial civilization ended. So they are now fighting against biofuels, wind power, hydropower (including tidal power), and anything else that might enable industrial civilization to continue. Soon they will turn on some alleged crime of solar power too. Probably as soon as they figure out that solar power peaks at the same time as the demand for air conditioning, so Phoenix and LA won't have to return to deserts as soon as the oil and natural gas runs out.

    5. Re:This is one of those studies... by knightri · · Score: 0

      "Get rid of your suburbans and buy a hatchback (a VW Golf diesel is better than a Prius if you don't live in a big city)." I am sorry, but the safety factor in driving a larger vehicle outweighs ANY environmental concerns I have at this time. I would not risk my families life to limit emissions. When there are 3 Million accidents on average and 40k deaths per year in the US [car-accidents.com], having a vehicle with an actual frame in it, can be and IS a life saver. I will buy a eco-friendly car when everyone has one and tractor-trailers don't litter the highways. Just my two cents.

      --
      'Or else pizza is going to order out for you'
  24. Yes and No by Kagato · · Score: 1

    The problem is most of the plants build up till this time haven't taken transportation into account. Many were build by co-ops (though many have been bought up by very large petrochemical companies) out in the middle of nowhere. So everything gets trucked in and out. It's very inefficient. So yes, old plants bad.

    On the other hand, many of the larger biofuel plants on the drawing board have been placed on train lines. Which is crazy fuel efficient compared to trucks. Even more efficient is building out pipelines. So new well placed plants good.

  25. Ethanol at least raised awareness by sweet_petunias_full_ · · Score: 1

    I'm sure someone will point out that corn-based ethanol, if not grown using sustainable agriculture will destroy topsoil and use up valuable water, but don't diss ethanol in general, there's plenty of possible improvements that are on their way that will improve full-cycle efficiency, reduce topsoil impact, improve genetic diversity, improve soil quality... but I won't go into them all right now.

    I think one of the most valuable results of corn ethanol production has been the raising of the awareness level to the point where people understand that, yes, there is another way besides petroleum. They have witnessed at least some ethanol going into their fuel tanks and so Joe Public doesn't think ethanol or alternative energy is some sort of fringe idea.

    Now we just have to find the best solution or solutions and switch (rotate?) as necessary to what currently makes the most sense and improve, improve, improve.

    Time is of the essence because billions of people in the developing world are growing wealthy and will be trying to drive a car for the first time whether the planet likes it or not, and of course it's going to be much better if we have those choices worked out by that time.

    --
    You can't send a takedown notice to an already printed newspaper.
  26. Cellulosic ethanol by milsoRgen · · Score: 5, Informative
    U.S. Production:
    still in development; no current production

    Sources of Cellulosic Ethanol:
    • Agricultural residues (left over material from crops, such as the stalks, leaves, and husks of corn plants)
    • Forestry wastes like wood chips and sawdust from lumber mills, tree bark
    • Municipal solid waste (household garbage and paper products)
    • Paper pulp
    • Fast-growing prairie grasses, such as switchgrass, which require less energy (tractors, fertilizers, etc.) and can grow on marginal land


    Energy Balance
    Fossil-fuel energy used to make the fuel (input) compared with the energy in the fuel (output)
    1 to 2-36

    Greenhouse gas emissions (production and use)
    Gasoline=20.4, Cellulosic ethanol 1.9 (lbs/gallon)

    Sources: U.S. DOE; U.S. EPA; Worldwatch Institute
    --
    I'm sick of following my dreams. I'm just going to ask where they're goin' and hook up with 'em later.
    1. Re:Cellulosic ethanol by overcaffein8d · · Score: 1

      mr. fusion... haha

      but also algae, which, given enough food, doubles every few minutes. it can be grown really really quickly and fairly easily.

      --
      Those of us who think they know everything annoy those of us who do.
    2. Re:Cellulosic ethanol by milsoRgen · · Score: 1

      Yeah, from what I've read/heard algae is defiantly something worth pursuing at a high(er) priority. Since they do seem to be having trouble making a go of it on a large enough scale to compete with existing energy production infrastructure.

      --
      I'm sick of following my dreams. I'm just going to ask where they're goin' and hook up with 'em later.
    3. Re:Cellulosic ethanol by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Both articles make the point that producing biofuels from land that is not displacing crops or causing release of carbon from soil or forests does not suffer from the effects they are considering. The point is that using cropland or plowing up marginal land or cutting down forests causes more emissions than using conventional oil at least over the timescale of most interest for global warming. So, growing switchgrass on croplands causes about 1.5 times the emissions of using gasoline. Growing it on abandond agricultural land does not. It is not a matter of which ethanol technology is used (though this is also important) but how land is used.

    4. Re:Cellulosic ethanol by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    5. Re:Cellulosic ethanol by Anarchitect_in_oz · · Score: 1

      So if we considered the production of Biofuels as part of an overall framing system, such as using algee beds, reed beds and the like as a way of slowing down water flow improving absorption in to the soil structures and reducing the flow of farm chemicals in to the river systems, where they tend to trigger other problems.

      Then we be all good.
      While we look at in isolation we are just as stuffed as we where before.

      --
      "Call us when the New age is old enough to drink" Beck
    6. Re:Cellulosic ethanol by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      I think that is the main point. You need to look at biofuels in context and that context is a world argriculture system that needs to feed people. These papers are about land use pattern changes that are a consequence of biofuel use.

    7. Re:Cellulosic ethanol by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes. Nobody seems to be talking about cellulosic. It wasn't mentioned in the article as being "bad". I think cellulosic from forest wastes is a definite possibility. Full disclosure: I work for a company contracted to get around some of the engineering problems with processing forest wastes.

  27. Well by that logic ........ by edwardpickman · · Score: 1

    coal is the greenest fuel because it requires the least processing. The point is corn sucks as a fuel source and sugar cane requires vast amounts of land and fertilizer. Biofuels will never replace oil. Here's a big shocker, so what? We've never run our houses on one source of electricity so why should we expect to run our cars that way? Biofuels are a great way to offset oil use until something like electrics can take over. Just a reminder hydrogen isn't a fuel source it's a storage medium and it has a really low energy density so dont hold your breath on that one. Diesels can be run on blends of biodiesel and regular diesel and cars can handle alcohol blends without modification, flex fuel cars can run up to a 100%. Where's the problem? Biodiesel can also be made from waste products and there are processes for turning grasses and such into alcohol with far less energy than corn. Even the worst biodiesel can't be as bad as any fossil fuel simply because fossil fuels ALWAYS contribute to CO2 where as biofuels at least part of the year store CO2. Petroleum based fertilizer? Bad idea. Believe it or not there are alternatives it's just cost and convienence that determines the type of fertilizer used. Some bio crops do require little or no fertilizer. If we just added 5% biofuel to existing fuel sources it'd save millions of barrels a year. Wants really save? Try upping mileage to 50mpg. Can't be done? I'll call BS on that one. They made cars in the 70s that better than 35 mpg, I owned one, used but I owned one. Hybrids can get that without recharging and rechargables can get radically more. That'd cut our fuel usage down by half. Gee then biofuels are suddenly contributing 10% of our needs. Battery technology is already good enough for easily 90% of our needs so try that number on for size, suddenly biofuels could largely replace oil with current technology. Can't drive your monster SUVs? My heart bleeds.

  28. Several Things to Consider by KnightNavro · · Score: 2, Informative

    There are a few thing to consider before dismissing biofuels entirely.

    First, this study states that the break even point is 93 years. That's a reasonable timeframe when assessing anthropogenic global warming. Most of the time, the warming potential of gasses is measured using a 100 year potential. As a long term investment, biofuels still pay off.

    Second, the study looks at corn as a fuel. Nobody except Iowans and pandering politicians think corn is a good biofuel. The technology for cellulosic ethanol is just around the corner. Biodiesel far more energy efficient than ethanol. Sugar is a far more viable alternative than corn, where it will grow.

    Finally, it looks like the study considers only a monoculture. Multiple crops on the same area of land is more efficient. Of course, far too much of our agriculture is monoculture.

  29. Wake up and smell the METHANOL!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Methanol made from ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) is far and away the best option, especially if one factors in the benefit to the environment of having no emissions and renewable, non-polluting production. There's just no comparison. Current biofuels, especially corn-based ethanol, are an economic disaster and cause corn prices to rise so high that people starve.

  30. Biofuels also starve poor people... by TheNarrator · · Score: 1

    Bio-fuels make developing and developed world farmers switch from food crops to bio-fuels crops which drives up the price of food for the poorest members of society. In some cases farmers are even switching to thigns like Jatropha which are poisonous. It's really sick and twisted that we can drive our SUVs and feel good about being environmentalists by using corn that could be eaten by starving people in developing nations and be depleting topsoil at the same time.

    1. Re:Biofuels also starve poor people... by wwahammy · · Score: 1

      You've gotta work for Exxon-Mobil. Biofuels don't create hunger; an economic system that has winners and losers creates hunger. Couldn't demand for biofuels actually eliminate hunger? Farmers could grow crops for sale that previously were useless thereby creating actual wealth. Instead of a few countries that have large oil reserves, any country with even mediocre cropland will be able to participate in the global economy. Also take into account the fact that the effects of global warming will hurt the poorest more than the rich. We can't afford to keep burning fossil fuels and even more importantly the poorest of the poor can afford it even less. Additionally, corn should never be used as a main source of biofuel or food. It's incredibly inefficient spacewise, it destroys your soil quality which to repair requires crop rotation or high priced fertilizers and it doesn't contain all that much energy.

      And anyone who thinks driving an SUV with a biofuel makes you an environmentalist is absolutely nuts.

    2. Re:Biofuels also starve poor people... by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1
      I have to haul hundreds of pounds of datacenter equipment around a couple times a month. I need to use an SUV to do this (the other times I need to drive somewhere, I use a fuel-efficient car). I offset my carbon emissions from my Jeep (the SUV used to do the hauling) with Terrapass. Also, in the summer, I use only a motorcycle for transportation (30-40 mpg). Eventually, I will use biofuels for these vehicles when they're available and efficiently produced (net energy gain FTW). Also, I'll use my Tesla Roadster as much as possible once it arrives, as my power is generated by ComEd with a nuclear reactor (low carbon).

      My whole point of this diatribe is that I can only do so much to reduce my carbon footprint. And I'll keep going out of my way until I can get as close to carbon neutral as possible. Just because you drive an SUV doesn't mean you're not trying your damnedest to not be part of the problem.

    3. Re:Biofuels also starve poor people... by wwahammy · · Score: 1

      When I mentioned SUVs I was responding to the comment from the parent regarding SUVs. I felt the implication was we were referring to the crowd that drives SUVs everywhere even when they don't need it. You clearly don't fit into that category but I apologize for any offense caused. I commend you for your hard work as an environmentalist.

  31. Painfully obvious by mortonda · · Score: 1

    As I've said before on slashdot, burning carbon that we produce is no different than burning what we dig up. If the current plant life cannot scrub the air, we are not carbon neutral.

    The only interesting point in this is just the fact that ethanol is *worse* than oil, since it produces far more carbon in the manufacturing process.

    It's like stopping a leak in a major artery by poking lots of holes before the artery - sure, no blood is coming out of the artery, but you're still dead.

    1. Re:Painfully obvious by snl2587 · · Score: 1

      Although biofuels are constantly touted as better for the environment even though the net contribution is worse, what everyone seems to be missing is that the whole point of biofuel was to create an alternative for oil, which is poised to run out. End of story. Everyone keeps dicking around waiting for a better solution when the real problem is that, soon, there will be no oil left and a whole lot of stuff is going to stop running for a while.

      The irony is that when we run out of oil and find ourselves desperately trying to roll out a new system, greenhouse gas emissions will go down.

  32. A serious question... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    posted as AC because I know what tends to happen to karma with these kinds of issues.

    Doesn't distilling ethanol (disregarding other transport and growing costs) still take more energy than you get from burning it?

    I mean, can we burn ethanol to distill more ethanol than we burned to do it? And I realize that doesn't matter much if you use nuke power (or something) to distill, but I have a feeling that it would be mostly distilled using the same age old power sources or coal/oil/nat. gas/whatever the nearest power plant burns, thus making ethanol an answer only for energy storage, we still need a source, right?

  33. Vegetarians are bad for the planet too by goombah99 · · Score: 1, Interesting

    If you accept the arguments here then you must also accept that vegetarianism, as practiced in the west, is even worse for the planet.

    Each bite of vegetable travels on average 2000 miles. And the fuel used to power the travel came from even further away.

    Vegetarianism requires conversion of forest to crop land which this article points out has a 93 year carbon-debt payback time for fuel production and of course an infinite period payback for growing vegetable since they don't carbon offset anything.

    Vegetables use irritation which requires energy to move the water (most large scale irrigation is done in proximity to hydro electric dams for a reason: water+power.

    Vegetables use irritation which makes the land salty and eventually depletes the soil.

    Plowing weeding planting, ferilizing, storing and drying consume energy. In contrast with beef, the cows are self propelled, and can even deliver themselves to colllection points. 100% of the animal is used. And only the high density nutritious parts have to be shipped.

    Beef will graze in forests and other areas without destoying them. They don't need irrigation, there is no huge loss of water to evaporation. No pesticides enter the water stream.

    Most beef spends only a short portion of it's life cycle on a feedlot. And feed lot animals produce 1/3 of the methane as grain fed animals. The net methane production of cattle affecting the environment is a flawed notion when you consider there are half as many cows in the US as buffalo that used to roam.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    1. Re:Vegetarians are bad for the planet too by grahamd0 · · Score: 1

      I know you're just trolling, but I'll bite.

      Even if all your points were 100% correct, which they're not, are suggesting that all non-vegetarians are or should be entirely carnivorous and thus exempt from this environmental destruction? Unless you are, vegetables will still be grown. That flour for all those hot dog and hamburger buns has to come from somewhere, so do those potatoes sitting next to your steak.

      Vegetables use irritation which makes the land salty and eventually depletes the soil.

      Most all farms (with the recent exception of subsidized corn for ethanol) use crop rotation to keep the nutrients in the soil. It's been a common (and necessary) practice for centuries.

      Plowing weeding planting, ferilizing, storing and drying consume energy. In contrast with beef, the cows are self propelled, and can even deliver themselves to colllection points. 100% of the animal is used. And only the high density nutritious parts have to be shipped.

      Are you suggesting the refrigeration for meat lockers, shipping containers, rail cars and grocery stores requires no energy?

      Beef will graze in forests...

      Will they? Where have you seen that? I've certainly never heard of these magical forest-cows. Unless you're referring to deer, but they're usually called "venison", not "beef".

      Vegetables use irritation which requires energy to move the water (most large scale irrigation is done in proximity to hydro electric dams for a reason: water+power.

      Granted, irrigation certainly has its flaws, but you're conveniently ignoring the fact hydro-electric power doesn't produce greenhouse gases.

      I've grown bored of responding to your nonsense, so I'll leave it at that.

    2. Re:Vegetarians are bad for the planet too by tubapro12 · · Score: 1

      Troll and let troll be: That's irrigation , not irritation.

    3. Re:Vegetarians are bad for the planet too by jimmydevice · · Score: 1

      I'm setting in the middle of range land. I've had cattle and cowboys in my front yard when they bring them in in the fall. Yes, they still free range cattle in the west.

  34. More to the Story by MrCopilot · · Score: 1, Redundant
    I had serious doubts about this study. I contacted Joseph Fargione, one of the authors. He provided the data to me and It makes some pretty broad assumption and bases its conclusion on the absolute worst case scenario. PLus emphasizes not at all the positive data found about cellulosic ethanol.


    For more see Energy Biofuel and Carbon Emmisions

    Here is the cliff notes. Ethanol from switchgrass has zero to one year carbon debt payback. I asked Mr Fargione if he thought it was irresponsible to paint all biofuels with such a broad brush, go figure, No response.

    --
    OSGGFG - Open Source Gamers Guide to Free Games
  35. We already have the answers by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 2, Insightful

    1) Nuclear power
    2) Fully electric vehicles

    Nucler power technology has matured in Japan and France while we've sat on our butts for 25 years. Solar thermal is also a promising new technology.

    Electric vehicles are just waiting on batteries which should be just a year or two away.

    Cellulosic ethanol, wind power, and particular fuel cells, are pipe dreams.

    1. Re:We already have the answers by mechsoph · · Score: 1

      1) Nuclear power
      2) Fully electric vehicles

      When someone invents a fully-electric airplane, let me know so I can invest in their company.

      Electric vehicles are just waiting on batteries which should be just a year or two away.

      Agreed. This will probably shift quite a bit of gasonline consumption to grid power.

      Cellulosic ethanol, wind power, and particular fuel cells, are pipe dreams.

      Fuels cells, probably since it's been a few years off for the past 20. I'd give cellulosic ethanol a few more years before giving up on it. Wind power though, is ready here and now. It is quite economical and there is a very large build out currently going on.

    2. Re:We already have the answers by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Air travel accounts of less then 10% of oil use in the transportation sector. Most oil is used for cars and trucks. Displacing that oil use is a huge step. I have a lot of faith in commercial ventures exploring other options (i.e. Virgin Fuels).

    3. Re:We already have the answers by mechsoph · · Score: 1

      Air travel accounts of less then 10% of oil use in the transportation sector.

      True, but it will probably be hardest to eliminate liquid fuels from air travel because of weight issues.

      Most oil is used for cars and trucks. Displacing that oil use is a huge step.

      No argument, and I fully expect that to happen.

      I have a lot of faith in commercial ventures exploring other options (i.e. Virgin Fuels).

      Sounds like those folks are just another biofuels company. Maybe they'll push butanol instead of ethanol.

  36. no free lunch by fermion · · Score: 2, Insightful
    What the article and many others imply is there is no free lunch. Useful work comes at the cost of proportionately larger increases in entropy, and those increases are manifested often unpredictably.

    About a year ago Science also had a long analysis examining the impact of various plants to create biofuels. It concluded, essentially, that corn was the worst while natural weeds and crop waste was the best. This initial analysis did not effect US policy which is based on year over year profit rather than long term costs. The overcapacity we currently see in ethanol facilities is not a result of good analysis or market forces, but by the subversion of those market forces by government regulations, such as subsidizing the oil companies, for instance through the reduction of oil taxes, and the subsidy of corn as a biofuel over more advantageous plants.

    It is unlikely that greenhouse gasses are going to fall without a reduction of consumption. We are talking a higher fuel economy in all vehicles, and a large tax on those vehicles that do not meet those fuel efficiencies, as well as a loss of other tax benefits for such vehicles. We are talking large tax benefits for small businesses that meet rigorous emission standards. We are talking a reduction in consumption of product made in factories that have no concern for efficiency, and a willingness to pay more for products that are made in more environmentally friendly patterns.

    The only reason that such an article seems controversial is that consumers want a free lunch. People were hoping that corn would be a panacea, like nuclear power, too cheap to meter, with no negative consequences. It is like how some people drive on the freeway. With no regard to Newton's laws of motion. I guess they believe they drive fast enough so to be out of the domain of where such laws are valid.

    --
    "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
  37. Burning biofuels produces CO2, as does burning fossil fuels. The production of biofuels requires clearing land and driving tractors, both of which also produce CO2. Cleared land is worse for fixing carbon from CO2. The amounts probably are bigger than the amount of CO2 produced by fossil fuel extraction. This story has been big in the news, but the finding seemed obvious with minimal thought.

    1. Re:Duh by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      Your post is littered with quality quantification.

  38. Damn You! You're right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm sure you will get modded down for being politically incorrect but those are some seriously good points. Even though I have a few quibbles, I can't really say the net effect is not persuasive. Damn you! I now feel guilty eating those brazil nuts, tahini salad dressing, and frozen mangos. Over the years befor the new CFCs came to market, frozen peas alone probably cause huge releases of ozone destroying chemicals.

  39. Biofuels Bad if Done Wrong by Ranger · · Score: 1

    I heard an interview with one of the authors on Science Friday. He said that if done wrong biofuels are bad, but if biofuels are grown on marginal land with the non-food crops it'll be a good thing. Their criticism was the way biofuels are being made now like from corn and soy and clearing forests for palm.

    --
    "You'll get nothing, and you'll like it!"
    1. Re:Biofuels Bad if Done Wrong by milsoRgen · · Score: 1

      but if biofuels are grown on marginal land You mean places where wildlife is currently allowed to congregate? Yeah, let's make sure the wildlife are fucked so we can grow our energy intensive food supply and plant materials to fuel our transportation networks?

      I don't mean to sound harsh, but biofuels are causing us to lose site of the bigger picture. Namely efficient use of solar, wind, geothermal and tidal energies in which to power our homes as well as power hydrogen production for our transportation systems.
      --
      I'm sick of following my dreams. I'm just going to ask where they're goin' and hook up with 'em later.
    2. Re:Biofuels Bad if Done Wrong by Ranger · · Score: 1

      You mean places where wildlife is currently allowed to congregate?

      No. I suggest you listen to the interview. It's very good. What the author of the paper was referring to were lands already ruined by overfarming and no longer of any real agricultural value. He said studies using a mix of wild grasses and legumes like Indian grass and bluestem were the most productive and would put carbon back in the soil.

      I don't mean to sound harsh, but biofuels are causing us to lose site [sic] of the bigger picture.

      I couldn't agree more. The real problem is urban sprawl. Our cities need to be more compact with better public transportation. It has been suggested that the suburbs will be the ghettos of the not too distant future. Anyway it's all about finding sustainable solutions. And no one solution is going to be the answer. It'll have to be a mix of solar, wind, tidal, sustainable biofuels, and most important of saving energy.

      --
      "You'll get nothing, and you'll like it!"
  40. I wonder.... by KillerBob · · Score: 1

    I wonder if they're counting the positive impact that the plants they make fuels like Ethanol out of are having, too.... most of the carbon dioxide that gets released by burning something like corn-based Ethanol was carbon dioxide in the first place, and was scrubbed from the atmosphere by the plant you ultimately turn into alcohol. Yes, the fermentation process releases CO2. Yes, burning the resulting alcohol releases CO2. But unlike fossil fuels, this is CO2 that was removed from our atmosphere in living memory. The plants we're distilling and burning are ones that get cultivated for months, not millenia.

    Even granting the benefit of the doubt and admitting that burning fossil fuels may release less CO2 in the long run, the important point that TFA is ignoring is that it's CO2 that hasn't been part of our atmosphere for millions of years. It's not about eliminating greenhouse gases entirely. That's never going to happen without a fundamental shift in how we get energy in the first place. Switching to alternative fuels is about carbon neutrality, and that's something that has to be measured within the human lifespan. Actually, it's something that needs to be measured over as short a period of time as possible.

    --
    If you believe everything you read, you'd better not read. - Japanese proverb
  41. Steam Power!..... by IHC+Navistar · · Score: 1

    Maybe they could use the heat and methane collected from the massive piles of rotting political bullshit and use that to power, heat, and fuel the U.S.?

    Here in the U.S., we could free ourselves from the fat tits of the Oil Sheiks in the Middle East in no time!

    --
    Knowing Google's lust for data collection, the Soviet Union is still alive and well inside the psyche of Sergey Brin....
  42. Fossil fuels don't need too by ChromeAeonium · · Score: 2, Insightful

    refining and transport, for example. Last time I checked, fossil fuels needed those things too, and usually from longer distances than biofuels would need. Did they take that into account?

    I also find it interesting how the article kept talking about how biofuels were responsible for rainforest destruction, when they need not be, and they weren't talking about the most efficient biofuel methods. Also, of course, biofuel techniques are far from perfected at the moment, so even if it really is worse right now, I don't think the technology's potential shouldn't underestimated.
  43. What about solar? by vespacide2 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Would solar energy as an alternative be somewhat effective? I always pictured a worldwide solar grid connected all around the world. (the Sun would be shining somewhere)
    (I know I'm super-simplifying the idea --but I'm just asking; and you seem like you know what you're talking about)
    What percentage of the world's energy could possibly come from solar?
    (And what percentage after most of our cars are electric?) (if that ever happens)

    --
    Mever nind the typos.
    1. Re:What about solar? by qw0ntum · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Solar technology is about as good as it gets at this point and there are some really exciting developments coming out of it. Wind and sea-based power sources are all promising as well. But the problem with all these solutions is that they are treating the symptoms of overconsumption by reducing the impact of that behavior, rather than reducing overconsumption in its own right.

      I think the fundamental question is that if we were to find the hypothetical perfect clean, cheap, local, and renewable source of energy, would we be able to stop worrying about our energy consumption? I frankly have no idea and I think there is a lot of room for debate there. However, I'm becoming increasing convinced that even if our energy source was perfect, our species would still run into numerous other choke points, such as raw material shortages, food shortages, and so forth, not to mention the fact that many energy-consumption-facilitated activities can be seriously harmful to our health: driving (accidents), tv (sedentary lifestyle), etc. Plus, diminishing returns says it's going to be harder and more expensive to use technological means to reduce our energy consumption in the future.

      When I look at it that way it makes a whole lot more sense from a practical point of view to modify my behavior to simply use less energy. I could spend a few hundred bucks on a super-efficient water heater, or I could take shorter showers. I could invest in a fuel efficient car, or I could just drive less. I'm constantly amazed at how much energy I can save just by completely turning off my devices. Doing this is cheaper and easier than upgrading to newer technology, and fights the root of the problem of overconsumption. It's even better if I can do both.

      --
      'Every story, if continued long enough, ends in death.' --Ernest Hemingway
    2. Re:What about solar? by khallow · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But the problem with all these solutions is that they are treating the symptoms of overconsumption by reducing the impact of that behavior, rather than reducing overconsumption in its own right.

      There's no such thing as overconsumption. What you're really concerned about are externalities. Have the consumer pay correct cost for the impact of the behavior.

    3. Re:What about solar? by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      I think I speak for a great many people when I say, "huh"?

      First, because the externalized damages at issue are the result of... guess what... overconsumption of resources. Saying that overconsumption doesn't exist is like saying that chickens don't exist, only eggs.

      Second, if there really isn't enough to go around, then the "correct cost" is starving to death. At that point, civilized society breaks down, and you can forget about whatever regulatory mechanism you're using to internalize the externalities.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    4. Re:What about solar? by Kohath · · Score: 1

      When I look at it that way it makes a whole lot more sense from a practical point of view to modify my behavior to simply use less energy.

      Question: Why?

      Seriously, what's the point? How are you going to be better off if you use less energy? What do you gain? What does anyone gain?

      Sure, you'll save some money. But a normal, rational person already does that when it beats the alternative. I could save the gas I'd use to go buy groceries and walk to the store tomorrow. It'll be -10 degrees and high winds (it would be -11 except for the global warming), but it's only a 10 minute walk. And I might save 50 cents worth of energy. Is that a good trade?

      I could spend a few hundred bucks on a super-efficient water heater, or I could take shorter showers.

      If you really want to save energy, why not take cold showers? Or don't bathe at all? Saving energy has some value, right?

      You are artificially impoverishing yourself for no reason. How does it make sense to deprive yourself so you can die with a tiny bit of extra money in the bank or oil in the ground? Will you go to environmental heaven if you sacrifice enough?

    5. Re:What about solar? by khallow · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think I speak for a great many people when I say, "huh"?

      No offense, but most people don't understand economics. So I don't see how having a lot of people agree with you is relevant.

      First, because the externalized damages at issue are the result of... guess what... overconsumption of resources. Saying that overconsumption doesn't exist is like saying that chickens don't exist, only eggs.

      Bad analogy. "Overconsumption" is a conveniently vague term. It could be a chicken, could be an egg. How much consumption is too much consumption? Who gets to decide? The point is that the current markets already allocate scarce resources in a sensible manner. In a market without externalities, we don't need to care if someone consumes more because they automatically have paid for the cost of the additional consumption. It doesn't even make sense to speak of "overconsumption". There's no rational criteria for deciding a certain level of consumption is too much.

      Second, if there really isn't enough to go around, then the "correct cost" is starving to death. At that point, civilized society breaks down, and you can forget about whatever regulatory mechanism you're using to internalize the externalities.

      What do you mean "enough to go around"? That's the key problem here with your claims. Humanity has plenty of room for feeding itself. So "starving to death" isn't an issue. As I see it, if things did get that close, then there will be mass starvation due to the inefficient societies of the world that are already starving many of their citizens.

    6. Re:What about solar? by name*censored* · · Score: 1

      Answer: Because the world's western population is growing at an alarming rate - think "exponent". India and China (a third of the world's population between them) are westernising at an incredible speed - China adds a new city every month or so, and India's population growth is explosive. Becoming more efficient in energy use is about adapting to the likely future that there simply won't be enough resources to consume at current rates. I think technology has gone, and will go, a long way towards increasing the amount of resources per person, but at some point there will simply be too many people to keep up.

      --
      Commodore64_love: I don't comprehend people who're so frightened of death that they'll bankrupt themselves to stay alive
    7. Re:What about solar? by martyros · · Score: 5, Informative

      There's no such thing as overconsumption.

      "Overconsumption" is akin to "overspending". If you have an income of $2000 and $100K in the bank, and you're spending $10000 a month, you're overspending. You can get away with it until your "banked" resources run out, at which case you will be spending only $2000 a month. The only question at that point is whether you've prepared your finances for that sudden change, or whether things will crash and burn (i.e., your home and car get reposessed, you have to pay exhorbitant cancellation costs for cell phone contracts, &c).

      If your income is from your capital (i.e., if your income is dividends from stocks, &c), you have an even worse problem: that the more of your savings you spend, the less income you have. If you keep spending at your "overspending" rate, you'll eventually have no capital at all. Moderation early on may mean a sustainable income of $2000, but the longer you wait to adjust to your sustainable income, the lower your sustinable income will be when you finally get your head on straight.

      Oil, coal, copper, steel, and other non-renewable resources are like money in the bank. Right now our energy consumption, as a society, is several times what our "income" is from renewable energy sources. We're running on our "bank" of oil, coal, &c. What happens when the oil & coal run out, if we don't find a renewable energy source that can provide us energy at the rates we're used to? "The market will adjust", certainly, but it's likely that it will "adjust" by massive wars, anarchy, starvation, and societal collapse. (See "Collapse", by Jared Diamond for a history of many such past societies that have had exactly that happen.)

      Renewable resources like ocean fish, trees, and soil are like the stock market. If fishing and logging happen at replacement rate, then you have a sustainable renewable resource indefinitely. But if you fish or log at more than replacement rates, then your stock of reproducing fish or trees goes down, meaning a lower rate of the sustainable resource, until the resource is finally exhausted and cannot be renewed.

      With these kind of fixed resources, "overconsumption" definitely has a well-defined meaning that has nothing to do with "externalities".

      --

      TCP: Why the Internet is full of SYN.

    8. Re:What about solar? by mdarksbane · · Score: 1

      Well, all I can say is good luck telling all of Asia that they can't have cars and electronics now like we've been using for fifty years. I'm sure they'll be willing to listen for the good of the planet.

    9. Re:What about solar? by wrook · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I have to agree with you about overconsumption. However, I have learned that the word overconsumption is not well received by a large number of people (see one of your replies). It has the implication that people are doing something morally wrong. It's possible that you meant this, but reading your post, I doubt it.

      Instead of talking about how we over consume, I try to explain that life can be as good (or even better) if we use less. There's a sweet spot somewhere on the consumption curve where our life enjoyment is maximized. This is kind of a strange concept for a lot of people. If some is good, more is obviously better. But it's like eating candy. Eating a little bit of candy can really improve your day. Eating a lot of candy just makes you feel sick.

      I have made a lot of changes to my life that were a win-win situation. I started taking the bus instead of driving. Now instead of madly trying to rush around and get a million things done (stressing me out), I read a book. I intentionally say to myself, "I'm going to relax today. I'm not going to go shopping on the way home to pick up that one last thing. I'm not going to pick up the dry cleaning. Because I can't. I'm taking the bus today and reading my book." It turned out that virtually all of the things I did with the car were unimportant to me. In the very rare case where I absolutely need a car, I get a taxi. Doing this has improved my life, improved my finances and improved the environment (or at least not degraded it as much).

      Not every change is good for every person (some people really can't deal with mass transit for instance). But I think it's good to encourage people to find areas in their life where less is more. As more and more people do this, our society will change. It will become easier and easier to reduce and win. For instance, in many cities bicycle paths are becoming a useful part of the infrastructure. In the town I'm living in now I can do all my shopping on my bike, without having to compete with cars. And on a nice day one of my most hated jobs (shopping) has become an extremely pleasant activity. 20 years ago, this town had *no* bicycle paths and it would be extremely difficult/dangerous to go shopping on your bike.

      I think the very best thing to do to get people thinking is simply to try stuff yourself. Experiment. Have fun. Find out what you *really* need and what you don't (TV is always a good option to do without ;-) ). When you find something that makes your life better, invite your family and friends to try it with you (go shopping together by bike, go to a movie together on the bus, invite people over to your cold house with a cosy fire in the wood stove drinking hot chocolate, etc, etc.)

    10. Re:What about solar? by Bazer · · Score: 1

      I could spend a few hundred bucks on a super-efficient water heater, or I could take shorter showers. I could invest in a fuel efficient car, or I could just drive less.

      You could also do both: buy an efficient appliance and use it less. You'd have to wait longer for the investment to pay off because your using them less. But a little number crunching never hurt anyone (except the numbers in question).

    11. Re:What about solar? by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      It'll be -10 degrees and high winds (it would be -11 except for the global warming)

      Global warming doesn't mean all temperatures rise uniformly. What it means is that there's more extremes and volatility. In other words, instead of being slightly colder without global warming in your example, it might have been warmer and without the high winds!

      You are artificially impoverishing yourself for no reason. How does it make sense to deprive yourself so you can die with a tiny bit of extra money in the bank or oil in the ground? Will you go to environmental heaven if you sacrifice enough?

      Well, if you want to be a selfish asshole about it... but some of the rest of us care about not screwing over our children!

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    12. Re:What about solar? by Kohath · · Score: 1

      ...but some of the rest of us care about not screwing over our children!

      You want them to live lives of artificial poverty, just like you are. What a gift you're giving them! If it's wrong for you to use a resource, how will it be OK for them to use it?

      I see more and more resources being put off-limits to use as time passes. How well will your children live when they're not allowed by the governments you built to use any land or energy?

    13. Re:What about solar? by Kohath · · Score: 1

      So you're saying that people have a duty to make themselves artificially poor now so in a hundred years, someone on the other side of the planet can afford to have 3 children instead of 2? No sale.

      Look at a globe sometime. See Russia? It's a huge land mass. See Canada and Australia also. -- huge. These areas are very sparsely populated. There's more than enough land for several times the current world population, and the world population isn't going up very fast.

    14. Re:What about solar? by bangthegong · · Score: 1

      please mod khallow's comment up - the question raised of "overconsumption" is ridiculous. There is just consumption, "over" and "under" are words that do not have definition in this context. Unless you want to allow the government to decide who gets what energy and when, the market forces dictate where consumption happens by millions of small transactions occurring daily. We need to grow our way out of this mess, by allowing more consumption of energy, not less. Developing countries need to stay on the path of development, and that requires energy. Developing countries need markets and partners in development in the developed world, and those developed countries require energy. Moving to a more diversified mix of energy sources, especially nuclear which produces no carbon emissions and will enable other "green" technologies such as electric cars, is really the best option we have right now. Reducing energy use in the developed or developing world will only prolong the bad stuff that is happening (such as burning coal in homes for heating, which is prevalent in China) and delay the good stuff that could happen (such as hydrogen fuel cell cars, which need to get their energy input from somewhere.) It also takes energy and economic prosperity to work on future technologies, like beaming solar power from orbit down to earth, or creating massive wind farms at sea. You can't do that when you're dealing with government-mandated rolling blackouts.

    15. Re:What about solar? by Courageous · · Score: 1

      I always pictured a worldwide solar grid connected all around the world.

      A fine idea. Pointless without cheap (and likely room temperature) superconductors, however. The loss of energy due to transmission would be... intolerable.

      C//

    16. Re:What about solar? by xelah · · Score: 1

      There's no such thing as overconsumption. What you're really concerned about are externalities.


      It works just fine if you define overconsumption as 'consuming product at a level which is beyond that which maximizes human wellbeing, and therefore reducing consumption provides an economic benefit'. Of course, most people don't, not least because most people don't think deeply enough about what they're saying to realise they need a definition at all.
    17. Re:What about solar? by xelah · · Score: 1

      In a market without externalities, we don't need to care if someone consumes more because they automatically have paid for the cost of the additional consumption.


      I'm not sure I like this way of putting, though it's not exactly incorrect, because it can lead people to fallacies such as 'if we tax fuel to help the environment then it only works if we spend the revenue on abatement'. It's not OK because someone has paid, it's OK because the fact that he was willing to pay the social cost (ie, the production cost plus externalities) demonstrates that the benefit to himself exceeds the cost to third parties.
    18. Re:What about solar? by BlackPignouf · · Score: 0, Redundant

      You got it 100% right.
      It's refreshing to see such a POV in Slashdot.

      Thank you!

    19. Re:What about solar? by xelah · · Score: 1

      When I look at it that way it makes a whole lot more sense from a practical point of view to modify my behavior to simply use less energy.

      Question: Why?

      Seriously, what's the point? How are you going to be better off if you use less energy? What do you gain? What does anyone gain? You gain only the money you save. Everyone else in the world gains a tiny amount from the reduced emission of carbon and of locally dangerous pollutants. Precisely the problem of externalities is that the consumer (and supplier) has no rational self-interested incentive to reduce consumption if the benefits to himself from that consumption are lower than the benefits to everyone else from him not consuming. Overall humanity might experience greater welfare if we consumed less oil, coal and gas; individually we do not. (Though, of course, to define 'overall welfare' we have to make the impossibly difficult decision of how we combine individual welfare in to an overall measure: is my welfare more important than an African's? is mine now more important than mine in twenty years? is ours more important than our grandchildren's? etc).
    20. Re:What about solar? by aevans · · Score: 1

      It's only that the "sweet spot" of energy consumption is something like 99 times the current level of your typical Bill Gates type with a 50,000 square foot house, the entirety of which is kept at exactly 72 degrees all day, year round. Except the indoor swimming pool, the sauna, the ice skating rink, etc. which are kept at comparably appropriate temperatures. Even taking a helicopter to work (a couple miles), riding around in inefficient European sports cars, tooling around in your 20,000 ton yacht, and flying around the world all the time, you'd still wish for a faster boat & plane & car. And the only thing keeping you from having a suction tube elevator like at the drive through at the bank is that the energy to power it would be too expensive.

    21. Re:What about solar? by Kohath · · Score: 1

      Everyone else in the world gains a tiny amount from the reduced emission of carbon...

      This assumes anthropogenic global warming. For the sake of argument, let us assume that. It also assumes warmer is worse. No one has ever tried to make the case that warmer is worse with any kind of scientific cost-benefit analysis. So reduced carbon may be a gain, or a loss.

      It doesn't really seem like a good argument to make someone want to artificially impoverish himself.

    22. Re:What about solar? by khallow · · Score: 1

      I like that. Will try to remember it in my future slashdot exploits since this subject is sure to appear again.

    23. Re:What about solar? by aenimal · · Score: 1

      You've hit upon a very good way of accounting for how a stock of resources should be used. However, I think you need to think about the capital and income of a fixed resource in terms of dollar values. After all, that's what anyone who owns and sells such a resource would do. From what you've said, it seems like it would be "overconsumption" to consume any amount of a fixed resource. However, what actually happens is, as a unit of a fixed resource is consumed (and thus destroyed), the slight constriction in the supply raises the price of a unit of that resource. Thus, the value of the remaining capital stock of that resource goes up slightly with the price. In this way, you can essentially keep the aggregate capital value of a resource (in terms of money) constant as you consume portions of it. If you trust the economics (polylogists, stay back!), this is actually what would happen in the unhampered market.

      What this would mean is that gradually, although the total money spent on the it might stay about the same, the consumption of a fixed resource would always go down in the long long run as the price rose naturally. Obviously there are short term realities that change the prices and obscure this trend, and plenty of opportunities to mess with the prices of resource from a gov't level that could make this innate logic of the market fail to accomplish its natural conservation.

      I also have to respectfully disagree that we should reduce energy consumption. The response about externalities actually hits the nail on the head. If solar were cheap enough, why shouldn't we use as much of it as we can afford and desire? However, even if coal is cheap enough, we might still think we should reduce our use since any use of it implies degrading the air supply for others (what in economic mumbo jumbo is called a negative externality, essentially harm done to someone who isn't compensated in a way that they voluntarily accept).

      Actually one of the really cool things about solar is that if it really took off, there's such a ridiculously large amount of solar energy available that, if we can store it effectively, we can actually increase our energy consumption and do things that weren't previously possible.

    24. Re:What about solar? by wrook · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I know you're joking, but in all honesty I've tried being rich and I've tried being poor. Poor is actually better IMHO. Well, I lie. Because "poor" in the Western view isn't really all that poor. Right now I'm living on about $1250 a month US, which is $15000 a year. That's probably near the poverty line around here (Japan). But I've got a place to live, food to eat, clothes to wear. I've got a laptop computer and an internet connection (luxury!). So, it's hardly what real poor people would call "poor" -- I'm not starving or freezing or whatever.

      And if I compare my life at $15000 a year to my life at $100000+ a year, I'll take less any day. As long as you aren't in debt, or hungry, or freezing to death, having not very much money is totally fine. And it forces you to try things that you might not otherwise try. Sure, you *could* do it with extra money, but the fact that you can pay someone else to cook your food or clean your house or whatever means that you probably will. And I've found that life is infinitely more interesting if you live it rather than pay someone else to live it.

      I'm not explaining this very well. But it was quite a surprise to me to learn that I was happier with less. Now I'm trying to reduce even more. $15K per year still seems pretty fat to me. What else can I learn by cutting back more?

    25. Re:What about solar? by Bonobo_Unknown · · Score: 1

      Except that you can't easily live in 95% of Canada or Australia. If you could, people would be there by now.

      --
      We don't believe in radical loony monotheistic religions from the middle east -- we're Christians.
    26. Re:What about solar? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I dare you to name a major, fully industrialized country that has population growth at all.

      Russia? USA? EU? All of them have substantial population declines. The USA has population growth only because of immigration, and even that is expected to end... even with uncontrolled immigration from Mexico... by 2030.

      If you look at a list of countries by GDP and compare that to a list of country by birthrate, you can see a direct comparison between the two, with the lowest income countries having the highest birth rate. But that's not all! You also find that as countries industrialize and develop their economies, their birth rate drops as they go to higher income ranges for their population, and the urban and more highly paid workers tend to have substantially lower birth rates than rural and poorer regions of even the same country.

      Yeah, the population change in western countries is alarming... due to its negative growth rate! And I wouldn't worry about China or India as the overall trend of their birthrates is also declining at a substantial rate. Chinese birthrates have almost declined to a stable population right now, with admittedly draconian birth control measures in place to skew the picture on how much the wealth situation is impacting the birth rate. I believe that in time, China will be reversing their policies and be more like Russia that actually pays mothers to stay home and raise their children, with cash bonuses to bear children.

      Check your facts before you post such drivel next time.

    27. Re:What about solar? by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1

      I think you bring up a good point, though I'm not sure I agree with making less over making more.

      There's the old saw about rich vs poor: if you make 10 bucks and spend 9, you're rich. If you make 1000 bucks and spend 1001, you're poor. Barring that though, what's to prevent you from making 100K and living on 1250 a month? The only reason I can see why you would want to forgo the extra money is if you're not willing to do the jobs that pay hat much money, but that's a different story.

      The reason I bring this up is that I've gone through the rich/poor cycle as well... and what bothered me the most about the poor cycle was not that I wasn't able to eat out every day, or that I couldn't afford cool trips. It was that if shit hit the fan, I had zero savings (or close). Living in the US, you're pretty much on your own.... healthcare is expensive, and there's lots of things that can hit you for major money. And for that, you need your own savings. Outside of that though, I agree - the only thing that keeps people from living on a small income is all the crap they THINK they need.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    28. Re:What about solar? by vuffi_raa · · Score: 1

      Solar technology is about as good as it gets at this point and there are some really exciting developments coming out of it. Wind and sea-based power sources are all promising as well. I am all for solar, but I think that we would be better served using an intermediary- that is using solar to produce either the biofuels (though that may not be the most effecient way) or funneling the power to hydrogen producing technology- the sea power I am against until they can find an environmentally solvent way to do it- as it stands we are beating the crap out of the ocean and usually when people talk about sea power it involves gating and damming areas that tend to kill local reefs and screw up local ecosystems since you are diverting the waves that bring in plankton for local species and both decreasing oxygen levels and increasing salinity in these areas (imagine an aquarium where you suddenly put a cap on the pump- and dumped the sump into it instead of circulating the water). If some sort of rig or floating device that could translate the energy wiith piston power outside of local mouths could be constructed I would be in favor of it though. Wind has to be very carefully placed as well...migratory birds. Granted these all are good technologies, but if it comes to global warming or global warming and screwing up the ocean and reducing our oxygen levels- I would rather just have global warming.
    29. Re:What about solar? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      While I don't want to make light of what he did, nor show any approval over his actions that got him in trouble with the American legal system (which he was legitimately prosecuted over), I do admire the minimal lifestyle that Theodore Kaczynski lived while he was "evading" the police.

      IMHO this is about the minimal lifestyle that is currently possible for anybody still even remotely connected to the U.S. economy. He lived in a rural part of a large state that has relatively low property taxes, lived without electricity and other "utilities" (being essentially "off the grid" as it is sometimes said), used "public" transportation (mainly inter-urban buses in his case), and grew his own food.

      It could be argued that he lived this style because of some sort of psychosis or other mental disease, but I don't think that this has to be the case to live this sort of lifestyle. People, very sane and rational people, have been living like this for millenia throughout Europe... usually in monestaries. I will say, however, it is a lousy environment to raise children, who do need a certain amount of money in terms of being "plugged into society" a bit more in order to give them choices and options when they get older.

      On the other side of the coin, I also think that those who are billionaires don't really need the money, and are really pushing their lifestyles to an extreme of excess. This isn't to say that I necessarily think they should have their wealth confiscated by some stupid bureaucrat who thinks they have a better way to spend that money, but at the same time, after sitting on a solid gold toilet and eating Italian food flown in fresh from Rome, and Chinese food from Beijing the next day... how much can you possibly spend to stay alive? There does reach a point that you are simply throwing money away just for fun... or instead are playing some sort of perverse game with other billionaires.

      The one thing that wealth does provide that poverty doesn't is options... you can choose to live a lifestyle of meagerness and simplicity if you want to when you have wealth, but it is much harder to choose to live a lifestyle of unbounded freedoms that come with wealth if you don't have any. You also have the opportunity to do a whole lot of good in this world if you have wealth that otherwise you simply can't do if you are without access to resources otherwise.

      I should also add here that in spite of the minimalistic lifestyle of Ted Kaczynski, he caused far more resources of nearly every kind you can think of (including oil extraction, strip mining, paper production, etc.) due to the sheer number of people involved by the FBI to try and identify and later prosecute him due to his criminal actions. In terms of his impact on the environment of the Earth, it certainly was a larger negative impact than your typical American citizen... or perhaps even that of most billionaires.

    30. Re:What about solar? by Bob-taro · · Score: 1

      Answer: Because the world's western population is growing at an alarming rate - think "exponent". India and China (a third of the world's population between them) are westernising at an incredible speed - China adds a new city every month or so, and India's population growth is explosive.

      That's not what it looks like on this map. Also, "exponential" doesn't necessarily equal "alarming". A country could have a NEGATIVE exponential growth rate.

      --
      Prov 9:8 Do not rebuke mockers or they will hate you; rebuke the wise and they will love you.
    31. Re:What about solar? by mbius · · Score: 1

      "Overconsumption" is akin to "overspending". If you have an income of $2000 and $100K in the bank, and you're spending $10000 a month, you're overspending.

      In the analogy, "externalities" mean your actual monthly spending is $50K, and it only looks like $10K because of poor bookkeeping.

      Either way you need a lifestyle adjustment. One answer is to live cheaper. Another is to supplement your income.

      It was unclear you'd be okay with unlimited consumption of renewable energy. To the extent its costs are internalized (so renewable means 100%), you should be.

      --
      you can have my violent video games when you pry them from my cold, dead hands.
      Prime UID Club
    32. Re:What about solar? by jambox · · Score: 1

      Exactly right. The big flaw in how we are right now is that the global economy has got much, much too complicated for anyone to administer. That means the market rules all, with some minor (in theory) tweaks made by politicians. All those goods, all that money flying around in weird, abstract ways between billions of people, you can't imagine how complicated it is. Perhaps that's why democracy and a healthy market economy tend to go hand-in-hand; a dictator is a control freak and won't let markets do their thing.

      However the whole thing hinges directly on whether the market has the right information - to my mind it doesn't because it can't include the value of the planet and therefore the costs arising from resource consumption or damage to the ecosystem. It can never, ever do this because nobody knows how much the planet is worth and how much it costs to fix the damage. It seems trivial but you need these figures to make any of the equations work.

      It's human nature to press on and see how far we can take the current system because radically changing it is too risky - a lot of politics is just 'protecting the system'. Obviously if it does all end in Easter Island-style collapse into fiery death, then the survivors (if any) will eventually come up with a better system. But nobody has any sort of alternative to the market economy as yet and that's what's causing us all to get fat, spend time worrying about global warming and have wars over oily liquids.

      On a lighter note, AFAIK all the little mini-civs that have gone boobs-up due to chronic resource scarcity have been small and isolated, on a small island or on some sort of remote mountain plateau. That's mainly because it happened too quickly for the rather lumbering minds of the inhabitants to work out a way around it. It could happen to us, for we are equally lumbering, but it will take hundreds and hundreds of years to happen and we SHOULD be able to come up with something by then. Maybe a rocket ship to Gliese! :_)

      --
      You thought you could break the laws of physics without paying the PRICE?
    33. Re:What about solar? by deadweight · · Score: 1

      If food, shelter, and a laptop are your goals then you are doing well. I would go nuts with such a limited horizon.

    34. Re:What about solar? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This assumes anthropogenic global warming. For the sake of argument, let us assume that. It also assumes warmer is worse. No one has ever tried to make the case that warmer is worse with any kind of scientific cost-benefit analysis. So reduced carbon may be a gain, or a loss.

      Really? You'll find more articles on the cost of global warming if you bother to use Google.

    35. Re:What about solar? by Kohath · · Score: 1

      I don't see a cost-benefit analysis at that link. They didn't look at the benefit side at all.

    36. Re:What about solar? by Kohath · · Score: 1

      Except that you can't easily live in 95% of Canada or Australia.

      If we get some global warming, perhaps that will improve for Canada and Russia. If Australia starts getting more strong storms due to global warming, it might start to be wetter and somewhat more habitable too.

    37. Re:What about solar? by Bonobo_Unknown · · Score: 1

      Who knows? It might swing even more the other way, Australia seems to be getting dryer not wetter...

      --
      We don't believe in radical loony monotheistic religions from the middle east -- we're Christians.
    38. Re:What about solar? by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      Externality-free markets just don't exist in outside economics textbooks. The current economic system is so chock full of unaccounted-for externalities that talk of "market rationality" strikes me as wishful thinking.

      Overconsumption seems like a very clear concept to me. If you can harvest a thousand fish from a lake, and do the same in subsequent years, you're not overconsuming the fish. If harvesting 1200 fish this year means the lake can only replenish 900 the next year, the fish are being overconsumed. If another 1200 next year means that it only replenishes 700 the year after, then the overconsumption is even more obvious.

      Therein lies my point: "overconsumption" could very well be defined as a rate of consumption that inflicts externalized damage (in the form of diminished future value).

      Now there is some fuzziness and uncertainty when expanding the concept to encompass a huge, complex, interlocking system like the planet as a whole. But it's clear that we cannot give 7 billion people a first world standard of living on current technologies and current resource streams. Hell, giving that lifestyle to the wealthiest billion is overtaxing every natural system we rely on. Fisheries are collapsing, species are dying out at a hundred times the natural rate, aquifers are being sucked dry... the list can go on, and all that damage will be paid for by future generations. They'll be rightly pissed.

      But they're not here to complain, so it's easy to lay those burdens on them.

      I have to admire your ability to believe that, if things ever get difficult, the bulk of the suffering will be endured by those who showed their lack of foresight and character by not being born in a democracy. It's refreshing, like when you listen to a four year old tell you about Santa. Sadly, though, that belief won't last through those troubled times. Free markets have a nasty habit of breaking down when enough people realize that said market has marked them for starvation. Then they start trying to take stuff they didn't pay for, and hilarity ensues.

      I would also point out that we could feed far more people than currently live today, and on far less land than we currently cultivate, if we all just vastly reduced the amount of meat and dairy that we consume. But why engage in collective, shared sacrifice, when we could put every inch of topsoil into intense cultivation, or simply let poor people starve?

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    39. Re:What about solar? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Now there is some fuzziness and uncertainty when expanding the concept to encompass a huge, complex, interlocking system like the planet as a whole. But it's clear that we cannot give 7 billion people a first world standard of living on current technologies and current resource streams. Hell, giving that lifestyle to the wealthiest billion is overtaxing every natural system we rely on. Fisheries are collapsing, species are dying out at a hundred times the natural rate, aquifers are being sucked dry... the list can go on, and all that damage will be paid for by future generations. They'll be rightly pissed.

      There's two things to remember. First, resources have run out before. We figured out how to get along without beaver hats and whale oil. Second, what is a "first world standard" will change. The developed world has an advanced living standard despite running out of various resources in the past.

      I have to admire your ability to believe that, if things ever get difficult, the bulk of the suffering will be endured by those who showed their lack of foresight and character by not being born in a democracy. It's refreshing, like when you listen to a four year old tell you about Santa. Sadly, though, that belief won't last through those troubled times. Free markets have a nasty habit of breaking down when enough people realize that said market has marked them for starvation. Then they start trying to take stuff they didn't pay for, and hilarity ensues.

      That's the way things work. The functioning societies will find a way to survive while the disfunctional ones will do the lions share of the dying.

      I would also point out that we could feed far more people than currently live today, and on far less land than we currently cultivate, if we all just vastly reduced the amount of meat and dairy that we consume. But why engage in collective, shared sacrifice, when we could put every inch of topsoil into intense cultivation, or simply let poor people starve?

      Why do collective shared sacrifice that just brings everyone down when there are better solutions out there? As I point out, the current global economy is doing a lot more to elevate people out of poverty than "shared sacrifice" would. And you get to eat your meat too.

    40. Re:What about solar? by martyros · · Score: 1

      It was unclear you'd be okay with unlimited consumption of renewable energy. To the extent its costs are internalized (so renewable means 100%), you should be.

      I wasn't trying to make a judgement either way on how much we should consume; I was trying to show that "overconsumption" is a useful word. (The previous poster had said that "There's no such thing as overconsumption".)

      I guess there's lots of reasons why one might want to limit consumption of energy; to toss some out there:

      • Sustainability (To what degree are we using non-renewable resources, and what happens when we run out?)
      • Environmental impact of energy use -- i.e., heat and light damaging the environment
      • Moral considerations -- there's something just not right about being wasteful, even if a resource is plentiful. (But of course, what "wasteful" means depends on the circumstances.)

      But yeah, if we could find renewable resources that would provide us with energy / food/ &c at first-world levels to everyone in the world (including those in the current third world) indefinitely, then that would be great. But until we do have those resources in place, we need to do something. (And I'm definitely a first-world consumer of energy...)

      --

      TCP: Why the Internet is full of SYN.

    41. Re:What about solar? by wrook · · Score: 1

      I still have a long, long way to go.

      There was a quote from the old Kung Fu show with David Carradine. I wish I could remember it (and a quick google isn't giving me any good hits). But basically it goes something like: the only thing a man needs is food, shelter, work and love. That show had a lot of good quotes, but this is my favorite.

      I don't really see my horizon being limited. If I have happiness, health, mental stimulation and can spend time with those that I love, I'm not sure what else I should want. I love to program my computer. I'm not really all that good, but it's something that I do every chance I get. And it's pretty lucky that doing this is quite inexpensive. I actually quit my job as a programmer because I could never have the freedom that I have now. I guess you'd call me retired (even though I still have a "day job" -- outside of the computer industry). But I learn more of programming in the 4 hours a day I have on my own than I did in a week in the industry.

      The possibilities for me are endless as far as I can tell. It's a very interesting road, but surely it's not for everyone. Even still, it was a surprise to me how its working out, so I reckon that others can get some benefit as well. As long as each person does so within their own path, I'm certain that it will be at least interesting.

  44. Hm...Oiling up. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "It was really convenient in that it allowed politicians to act "green" and look like they were moving away from supporting big bad Middle East oil (which is in large part financed by American companies under American-supported governments... that's a discussion for another day). "

    Large part? Name the number of US oil companies. You'll find that the majority are foreign owned companies. You'll aslo find out that China and other countries are likewise funding "Middle Eastern Oil" with their purchases.

  45. Damn... by wtansill · · Score: 1

    ADM is going to be so pissed...

    --
    The contest for ages has been to rescue liberty from the grasp of executive power. -- Daniel Webster
  46. Limit the number of output sources? by squirrl811 · · Score: 1

    Perhaps I just don't understand, but even if an alternative energy source (biofuel or otherwise) generates more greenhouse gas, isn't there still an advantage if we can limit the use of these fuels in regards to geography?

    My point is this. We have all of these gasoline engines around the country pumping out greenhouse gas from our cars. There isn't a very good way to limit this output at the engine due to the life cycle of a vehicle, people bucking the system, and the fact there are just so many of them!

    If we produce an alternative fuel that burns cleaner at the automobile even if it is terribly dirty at the production factories, isn't this source of greenhouse gas easier to address? Couldn't the production factories have a sort of scrubber or way to capture/recycle/reduce this harmful output? I would think it would be easier to implement these measures in a few thousand plants than in millions of automobiles.

    Of course, this has just been the thought rattling around in my head when I read a story like this. It seems there isn't a magic solution to our environmental impact, but I would think stuff like this could at least make somewhat of a positive change.

  47. SVO... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think that the case for SVO is even clearer. The emissions from burning SVO in a conventional diesel engine are considerably worse than straight diesel pretty much across the board, and yet people claim that they are offset by the plant production process and are thus "carbon neutral."

    The thing that really gets me about this is that usually people are talking about reclaimed SVO -- so it's something that would not ordinarily be burnt and would instead end up in a landfill. I always say that if they *really* want to be environmentally conscious, what they should do is dumpster a gallon of SVO, then bury it in the soil so that nobody else can burn it, and burn a gallon of diesel instead. Less emissions, and their "carbon neutral" crap still applies.

  48. Better way to produce biodiesel is algae by leftie · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The key discussion is the current primary biodiesel production is on crop land. They're right. We're going to be needing all our crop land to grow food to feed a rapidly growing population.

    Biodiesel production from high oil content algaes doesn't need to use crop land. From a University of New Hampshire study...

    "...NREL's research focused on the development of algae farms in desert regions, using shallow saltwater pools for growing the algae. Using saltwater eliminates the need for desalination, but could lead to problems as far as salt build-up in bonds. Building the ponds in deserts also leads to problems of high evaporation rates. There are solutions to these problems, but for the purpose of this paper, we will focus instead on the potential such ponds can promise, ignoring for the moment the methods of addressing the solvable challenges remaining when the Aquatic Species Program at NREL ended.

    NREL's research showed that one quad (7.5 billion gallons) of biodiesel could be produced from 200,000 hectares of desert land (200,000 hectares is equivalent to 780 square miles, roughly 500,000 acres), if the remaining challenges are solved (as they will be, with several research groups and companies working towards it, including ours at UNH). In the previous section, we found that to replace all transportation fuels in the US, we would need 140.8 billion gallons of biodiesel, or roughly 19 quads (one quad is roughly 7.5 billion gallons of biodiesel). To produce that amount would require a land mass of almost 15,000 square miles. To put that in perspective, consider that the Sonora desert in the southwestern US comprises 120,000 square miles. Enough biodiesel to replace all petroleum transportation fuels could be grown in 15,000 square miles, or roughly 12.5 percent of the area of the Sonora desert (note for clarification - I am not advocating putting 15,000 square miles of algae ponds in the Sonora desert. This hypothetical example is used strictly for the purpose of showing the scale of land required). That 15,000 square miles works out to roughly 9.5 million acres - far less than the 450 million acres currently used for crop farming in the US, and the over 500 million acres used as grazing land for farm animals.

    The algae farms would not all need to be built in the same location, of course (and should not for a variety of reasons). The case mentioned above of building it all in the Sonora desert is purely a hypothetical example to illustrate the amount of land required. It would be preferable to spread the algae production around the country, to lessen the cost and energy used in transporting the feedstocks. Algae farms could also be constructed to use waste streams (either human waste or animal waste from animal farms) as a food source, which would provide a beautiful way of spreading algae production around the country. Nutrients can also be extracted from the algae for the production of a fertilizer high in nitrogen and phosphorous. By using waste streams (agricultural, farm animal waste, and human sewage) as the nutrient source, these farms essentially also provide a means of recycling nutrients from fertilizer to food to waste and back to fertilizer. Extracting the nutrients from algae provides a far safer and cleaner method of doing this than spreading manure or wastewater treatment plant "bio-solids" on farmland.

    These projected yields of course depend on a variety of factors, sunlight levels in particular. The yield in North Dakota, for example, wouldn't be as good as the yield in California. Spreading the algae production around the country would result in more land being required than the projected 9.5 million acres, but the benefits from distributed production would outweigh the larger land requirement. Further, these yield estimates are based on what is theoretically achievable - roughly 15,000 gallons per acre-year. It's important to point out that the DOE's ASP that projected that such yields are possible, was never able to come close to achieving such yields. Thei

    1. Re:Better way to produce biodiesel is algae by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Biodiesel from algea has great yield per area and fertilizer input statistics, however its overall energy yield is not so great. The problem is, separating algea from water is energy intensive. Vegetable oil is relatively easy to extract and process and readily dried. An enzymatic process that would work in plenty of water might solve the problem, but no such process is mature enough yet.

  49. Thank You by Maint_Pgmr_3 · · Score: 1
    I've posted this before........

    When the yeast first hits the wort, concentrations of glucose (C6H12O6) are very high, so through diffusion, glucose enters the yeast (in fact, it keeps entering the yeast as long as there is glucose in the solution). As each glucose molecule enters the yeast, it is broken down in a 10-step process called glycolysis. The product of glycolysis is two three-carbon sugars, called pyruvates, and some ATP (adenosine triphosphate), which supplies energy to the yeast and allows it to multiply. The two pyruvates are then converted by the yeast into carbon dioxide (CO2) and ethanol (CH3CH2OH, which is the alcohol in beer). The overall reaction is:

    C6H12O6 => 2(CH3CH2OH) + 2(CO2)

    http://recipes.howstuffworks.com/beer4.htm

  50. Re:So... less = more!?! haha. by tomhudson · · Score: 1

    With ethanol, its less all around ...

    Anyone who tracks their gasoline consumption (gee, with all this concern about the environment, you'd think tree-huggers would) knows that ethanol also makes a lousy fuel additive. My mpg dropped 15% when I tanked up with "gasahol.". 84,000 BTU per gallon as opposed to 115,000 BTU for gasoline - it takes 1.37 gallons of ethanol to produce the same energy as 1 gallon of gas, so your engine isn't running as efficiently on the ethanol-gasoline mix (lower peak cylinder temp/pressure), which explains the disproportionate drop in mpg.

    It's a rip-off.

  51. What if it is solar cyles after all? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What happens when it turns out to be solar activity driven? Thre is no causative relationship, only poor and parital correlation of so-called "greenhouse gasses" to warming events historically.

  52. right... by robisbell · · Score: 1

    I guess they forgot to consider the costs of continuing to rely on oil, and the costs of producing shipping, refining, transporting to gas stations, those are way worse than grow a plant. we have to pollute to just to get to the oil, and the destruction that's already happened, Prudoe Bay is still cleaning up form the Valdez spill, and other places are still dealing with oil spills that happened 10-50 years ago.

  53. Nuclear power only cheap using Dubya fuzzy math by leftie · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The only way that nuclear power production can be considered cheap is if you leave out the costs of building the reactors AND the cost of decommissioning the reactors after the facilities eventually they lose their licenses and have to be decommissioned. The cost of decommisioning nuclear reactors is ALWAYS left out of the equation by nuclear power advocates. ALWAYS.

    Including the multi-billion dollar cost of decommissioning nuclear reactors makes burning US currency to generate power look like a better idea.

    The nuclear power industry never pays this cost, either. The decommissioned reactors get spun off into separate corporations with only the shut-down reactor in the portfolio of assets, leaving the US Gov't to pay the multi-billion dollar price tag every single shut down nuclear reactor costs to decommission.

    1. Re:Nuclear power only cheap using Dubya fuzzy math by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you have a cite on that multi-billion figure? I'm not coming up with anything approaching a single billion.

    2. Re:Nuclear power only cheap using Dubya fuzzy math by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Something like this:

      In USA, utilities are collecting 0.1 to 0.2 cents/kWh to fund decommissioning. They must then report regularly to the NRC on the status of their decommissioning funds. As of 2001, $23.7 billion of the total estimated cost of decommissioning all US nuclear power plants had been collected, leaving a liability of about $11.6 billion to be covered over the operating lives of 104 reactors (on basis of average $320 million per unit). http://www.uic.com.au/nip13.htm

      Except with a "B"
    3. Re:Nuclear power only cheap using Dubya fuzzy math by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      The nuclear power industry never pays this cost, either. The decommissioned reactors get spun off into separate corporations with only the shut-down reactor in the portfolio of assets, leaving the US Gov't to pay the multi-billion dollar price tag every single shut down nuclear reactor costs to decommission.

      Let's assume it costs $15 billion to decommission a reactor. At the current Iraq war burn rate ($275 million/day), we could decommission a reactor every 45 days. As long as you build your build/decommission cost into the per/KwH rate of electricity, what's the problem?

    4. Re:Nuclear power only cheap using Dubya fuzzy math by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The US generated 787 billion KW/hours of nuclear power in 2006 out of 104 operating reactors according to a 2006 DOE report on their webpage and the NRC.

      The high estimate on the NRC page places the total cost to decom all 104 at 38.7 billion; or 372 million each. The documentation available seems to suggest the NRC requires a report every 6 months on each reactor's decomission fund.

      At that rate of generation, unless I misplaced a zero, it would cost half a cent per KW/h to provide for a decommission in 10 years.

      DOE power chart
      NRC 1999 report on decomissioning

    5. Re:Nuclear power only cheap using Dubya fuzzy math by leftie · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The cost of the War in Iraq is not $275 million a day we actually pay for. It's $275 million we are borrowing and going into debt for that isn't being figured into any actual year by year Federal Budget.

      If given the choice though, I'd rather that money was spent on schools, bridges in Minnesota, health care for kids, infrastructure to start making biodiesel from algae, etc. than either the War in Iraq or nuclear reactor decommissioning costs.

  54. Corn sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let's face it. Corn sucks. Of course there is a solution. Look for a better crop (switch grass). What about fats and oils? Nah, then the problem wouldn't be CO2 emissions. The obesity epidemic would get worse! Think about it. Americans gorge themselves on fast food. The waste oils and fats get turned into fuel. Many claim the fuels smell like fried food when burned. This makes you hungry so you eat more.

  55. No reason to be alarmed by Lord+Jester · · Score: 1

    The article specifically discusses forms of ethanol, which by 21st century standards is not cutting edge bio fuels.

    However, until such time as the production process matures and is, no pun intended, refined, there cannot be an equitable comparison to the petroleum industry.

    However, once you start getting into biodiesels refined from waste products or even algae, the overall impact may start to decrease. I am not saying there is no carbon foot print, but it seemed to be a fairly clean process from the show I watched on how biodiesel is made from waste cooking oils. It is not a simple process, but if the resources were invested into it on a large scale, I am fairly certain that the carbon footprint would be equal or less than that of petroleum refineries.

    We also need to work to harness other natural power resources to further offload our dependance on fossil fuels. Geothermal, solar, wind, etc. Hydro-electric is pretty well covere, but more efficient turbines might be a way to boost the power generated.

    Anyway, enough rambling.

    1. Re:No reason to be alarmed by timmarhy · · Score: 1
      your talking nonsense though because none of these processes can provide a meaningful amount of fuel.

      it's like the old days of intel releasing performance graphs for cpu's they aren't going to produce for 6 months, to current amd cpu's.

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    2. Re:No reason to be alarmed by Lord+Jester · · Score: 1

      Actually they can become effecient enough to provide meaningful amounts of fuel. Like I said, it is going to take an investment of time and money.

      Solar power is getting more efficient all the time. Will we see a giant solar collector for the entire city? No. But perhaps smaller clusters, perhaps community or neighborhood owned. Of course this is never going to happen as the people with the money to invest in the research, development and deployment are the ones that currently profit from fossil fuel based energy. There is no residual income in solar energy, or wind enery on that level. Only if you could create a source large enough to replace existing power plants will you see Public Utility District and electric companies putting forth the resources to tap this resource.

      Of course solar is not practical everywhere. I am not trying to say we can eliminate traditional power generating sources entirely, however, sincee therenough of a push, alternative energy sources can work.

  56. Not really. by leoxx · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The vast majority of the billions of animals grown for food out there are NOT fed by allowing them to freely graze "in forests and other areas". Most of them live out their lives in intensive factory farming operations. They are mostly fed vegetable and grain based diets, designed to make them grow quickly. So if you were to eat only meat, you would not avoid the need to grow vegetables. In fact, to grow a pound of beef in north america, it takes at least 2.6 pounds of grain (if you take the numbers from the beef industry at face value). And all this grain is not grown anywhere near the feed lots, either. It is shipped to the cows from all over the world, again requiring large amounts of fossil fuels. And I haven't even mentioned the methane that is produced by cattle in enormous quantities, or the methane produced by their manure. And this is just for cattle. You also need to factor in the billions more pigs, chickens, etc.

    Your only valid point is that too much of the vegetables we buy comes from too far away, and that is why it is not only important to eat less meat (note I didn't say NO meat), but it is also important to purchase as much seasonal, local produce as possible. One criticism you missed, however, is the popularity of heavily processed meat substitutes (eg: "Tofurkey"). They probably consume far more energy per pound than most meats.

    References:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Concentrated_animal_feeding_operation
    http://www.beeffrompasturetoplate.org/mythmeatproductioniswasteful.aspx#Sixteen%20pounds%20of%20grain
    http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1740-0929.2007.00457.x?cookieSet=1&journalCode=asj
    http://www.virtualcentre.org/en/library/key_pub/longshad/A0701E00.htm
    http://www.springerlink.com/content/h307k69711m5nh00/

    1. Re:Not really. by dubl-u · · Score: 2, Funny

      So if you were to eat only meat, you would not avoid the need to grow vegetables. In fact, to grow a pound of beef in north america, it takes at least 2.6 pounds of grain.

      Not so fast, Mr. Smarty Pants. You've left out a crucial factor in your calculations.

      A person consuming mainly factory-farmed beef, thanks to the massive cholesterol, hormone, and antibiotic intake, will die years, maybe decades earlier than the vegetarian. As their arteries clog up, they'll become sedentary, further reducing their energy consumption. Plus, once everybody gets fatter and wheezier, birth rates will go way down.

      So we can conclude that super-beefy diets are better for the planet. Even better, if we listen to people like the 'tard who proposed it, I'm pretty sure humanity will die out in short order, allowing the planet to recover nicely

    2. Re:Not really. by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      >Your only valid point is that too much of the vegetables we buy comes from too far away

      I bought a nice tray of tomatoes at Trader Joe's the other day and at home I saw "Product of Holland." WTF?
      Oil is obviously still way too cheap if that is economically viable.

  57. Original Article is Part Sophistry by StCredZero · · Score: 1

    Yes, we need liquid chemical fuels in Aviation. Liquid fuels are also useful wherever you need high power density in a portable form. I would guess that about 10% to 15% of current vehicular and power-tool use will continue to be based on internal combustion. But we should be able to sustain that using biofuels.

    The original article is simply a statement of the fact that ANY industrial process in our current economy uses lots of fossil fuels. So just about anything you do is going to result in carbon emissions. Duh. But there is no reason why 85% of the uses of fossil fuels couldn't be replaced by something else or reduced through recycling. See The Methanol Economy for one possible alternative.

    In a plausible future where all of out industrial processes have been changed to reduce carbon emissions, there won't be carbon emissions. In the present, where everything we do causes them, there are. Uh, Yeah!

  58. You know you're a hopeless academic when. . . by mosb1000 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You know you're a hopeless academic when you think a book can save your life in the face of a severe famine. No, my friend, a book can not tell you how to survive and live off the land. This is something you must learn in person.

    1. Re:You know you're a hopeless academic when. . . by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      It doesn't really matter if he can learn it from a book or in person. If we were pushed into a situation where that was the only thing keeping people alive, there will be massive amounts of people right there making it very slim pickings. And that is if someone doesn't just take the book from him when they put two and two together to realize that his not showing signs of starvation means more then he was just fat to begin with.

    2. Re:You know you're a hopeless academic when. . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      there will be massive amounts of people right there making it very slim pickings

      Hmm, if there are massive amounts of people about you at least have a good supply of meat >;)

    3. Re:You know you're a hopeless academic when. . . by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      As sad as it sounds, if we were in a situation because of oil where a book on survival in the woods was the saving grace, there would be more then one person thinking that. I can think back about the Donner party , that soccer team in the plane crash on the mountain, and I remember being told of a few other popular situations where people pushed to what they thought was starvation had resorted to cannibalisms.

    4. Re:You know you're a hopeless academic when. . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about a big chocolate book?

    5. Re:You know you're a hopeless academic when. . . by lareader · · Score: 1

      Indeed, I shall immediately throw away my mushroom book and "learn in person" what toadstools are good to eat!

      Books are repositories of data.
      Hopefully he can make the transformation of that data into actual knowledge - you are right in that he needs to do so by practising what the book is about - but to completely disregard books as a source of data and sometimes information? That is plain stupid.

      There are a number of excellent survival guidebooks out there, go take a gander - and if you find particularly useful/useless books, please do reply back!

  59. Algae by dannyastro · · Score: 2, Interesting

    A company called Solazyme was on NPR Science Friday last Friday talking about their next generation biofuel that is low net-carbon. They feed agricultural and industrial waste products or cellulosic sugars to algae to grow transportation fuels or food oils. Net carbon emissions come from the fossil fuels used in the biofuel production process (tractors, distillers, etc.) and the land use changes mentioned in the studies here. However, since Solazyme makes fuels that can be used in the tractors, etc. that part can be net zero carbon (the fuel gives off CO2 like fossil fuels do, but that carbon is taken out of the atmosphere during the growing process). Since Solazyme's algage can eat non-food crop sugars, that also will be net-zero carbon (as long as forests aren't cleared to grow the non-food sugars). They said they expect their fuels to be cost competitive with fossil fuels in 2 to 3 years.

  60. i don't care if they make 10x more co2 by circletimessquare · · Score: 1, Troll

    there is another issue: giving money to fundamentalist regimes (iran, saudi arabia) and authoritarian regimes (venezuela, russia)

    the west basically funds those who wish to see the downfall of the west via petrodollars. in what world does bankrolling your worst enemies makes sense?

    we need to get off fossil fuels because of the environment, yes. but there is also the issue of security. if we stop funding fundamentalism in the middle east, and we stop funding regimes which oppress the rights of their people like venezuela and russia, then we go along way to making this world a better place, with or without more smog

    i honestly think the security issue is more important than the environmental issue. it doesn't do our grandchildren any good to inherit a word with a pristine physical environment, and a fascist political one. so gung ho on biofuels, even if they pollute more than fossil fuels by an order of magnitude

    but even better, go nuclear and electric cars. then we win at the environment AND security. if we go nuclear and electric cars, we won't have to worry about chernobyl because of the newer failsafe nuclear tech (the staff can just walk away from a pebble bed reactor and it won't ever melt down), and we won't have to worry about the 10,000 year old waste if we use breeder reactors (which also means getting 10x more energy out of the fuel, with a tenth of the waste, that lasts only a century or two, at a much safer radiation profile). by using thorium as well as uranium, we can have enough fuel for centuries (btw: uranium and thorium isn't mostly buried in the land of vile regimes, like oil)

    and in a few centuries, we better have fusion finally figured out

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  61. Re:Abstracts - Shmabstracts by warmbowski · · Score: 1

    Wow, now that I've seen the abstracts it makes me think that this is all that Ms. Rosenthal of The New Your Times read of these studies before she wrote this article.

  62. Why advocate reducing consumption by KKlaus · · Score: 1

    When we have so many sources of clean and renewable energy? Those in the developing world, and many more in developed nations aren't interested in "making due with less" when there isn't any reason to do so. Ethanol from corn isn't a solution to our energy problems, but that doesn't imply that neither nuclear nor solar are. I for one, look forward to consuming ever greater amounts of energy, more cheaply and cleanly than ever, as time goes on and technology improves.

    The planet can clearly support (through the help of our friend Albert Einstein) FAR more energy than we're using right now. Ignoring that blindingly obvious fact is lazy and defeatist. And ignorant of history. When has the "just make do forever" crowd ever won out? Why would you want them to?

    --
    Relax I just want some peanuts.
  63. Algae based biodiesel fuel by googlebear · · Score: 1

    What about Bio-diesel produced from Algae sources?? -Ian

  64. So does recycling by mosb1000 · · Score: 1
    Recycling glass, plastic, and paper also increases our CO2 emissions. That hasn't stopped various state and local governments from initiating mandatory programs to recycle this garbage. And don't give me some nonsense about landfill space, we can bury it almost anywhere and it won't make any difference.

    As far as bio-fuels go, I thought it was pretty well understood that those in use today (either bio-diesel or ethanol) don't reduce CO2 emissions. Isn't that why there's an emphasis on finding ways to make ethanol from cellulosic material? In fact there was an article on slashdot a couple weeks ago about a company which had developed a technology that would make this possible http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=08/01/25/2313212. The article says that they'll have a pilot plant operating early next-year and if all goes well we could see commercial scale operations early next decade. I'm all for that.

  65. No, alt fuels make producing food *cheaper* by sweet_petunias_full_ · · Score: 1

    The price of corn (to use the most inefficient and expensive example) may go up from momentary demand, but that doesn't mean that the cost of other foods also goes up. I don't see any plans to make ethanol from legumes, food-grade grains and many other dietary staples. If people starve, it will be because they've been subsisting only on corn grown in the midwest U.S. and I don't believe that.

    Even corn ethanol can be produced for less than half the cost of gasoline. Thus, over time, the cost of producing all foods other than corn goes *down* because the energy costs for those (production & transportation) are chopped in half.

    It's even possible that it may cost less to bring corn itself to the table thanks to cheaper fuel, so I just don't buy the starvation argument. It looks to me like it would be the opposite, that economic opportunities everywhere would increase, and the result would be more food and more food transportation, not less.

    --
    You can't send a takedown notice to an already printed newspaper.
    1. Re:No, alt fuels make producing food *cheaper* by khallow · · Score: 1

      I don't think the price change will be significant in the long term, but yes, I think there's good reason to expect food prices to go up. First, fuel prices will go up due to the increased demand. Fueld does make up a significant portion of the costs. Second, it has caused some farmers to switch over from other agriculture products. That means a reduction in supply, which also pushes prices up.

    2. Re:No, alt fuels make producing food *cheaper* by sweet_petunias_full_ · · Score: 1

      "it has caused some farmers to switch over from other agriculture products"

      I really doubt this. Most likely what you're noticing is that the sharply increased price of *fossil fuel* ($100 a barrel) has increased transportation costs for all foods. The further we transport foodstuffs and the more refrigeration is used, the larger the price component of energy in the cost of food. In general, we're used to getting our food from far away instead of growing it locally and that's why you're seeing the price of various things increase.

      In general, a climate suitable for growing one crop (say a hillside good for grapes) can't be easily replanted with corn. Same goes for potatoes, barley and a host of other crops, especially orchards and groves of trees. I don't think all farmers in all climates will just uproot whatever they're planting in favor of corn, it's much more likely that otherwise idle acreage (you know, paying the farmer not to grow anything?) is instead being used for ethanol production.

      Of course, I'm not advocating all-out ethanol production from edible corn kernels, just saying that even the worst choice is not nearly as bad as some people make it sound, because the alternative that those people usually have in mind is to keep using petroleum, without accounting for the full environmental costs of *that*.

      --
      You can't send a takedown notice to an already printed newspaper.
    3. Re:No, alt fuels make producing food *cheaper* by khallow · · Score: 1

      I don't buy it. Yes, there is idle acreage being used for ethanol production, but there's plenty of evidence that ethanol subsidies are screwing up the agriculture markets. The obvious way is in substantially higher corn prices. Mexico has seen huge increases in corn prices (I heard it had doubled at one point). Animal feed also has gone up due to the redirection of corn stover to ethanol production. That in turn increases the cost of meat and milk products. Oil prices do account for a good portion of these costs, but keep in mind that oil prices form only a portion of the overall costs. Also keep in mind that ethanol subsidies serve to increase the cost of gasoline and diesel in the US, both by increasing demand for the product and shifting refinery production from a more optimal fuel blend.

      Of course, I'm not advocating all-out ethanol production from edible corn kernels, just saying that even the worst choice is not nearly as bad as some people make it sound, because the alternative that those people usually have in mind is to keep using petroleum, without accounting for the full environmental costs of *that*.

      Keep in mind that the worst choice is to implement policies that artificially increase the consumption of oil. I believe corn ethanol is one such policy. Even the most optimist are claiming 1.1-1.3 barrels of oil equivalent return for 1 barrel of oil input. I bet it's worse on that formerly idle land.

    4. Re:No, alt fuels make producing food *cheaper* by sweet_petunias_full_ · · Score: 1

      "Oil prices do account for a good portion of these costs, but keep in mind that oil prices form only a portion of the overall costs"

      Just a back of envelope calculation: if you buy enough corn cobs from a midwest farmer to fill your vehicle and transport it about 1000 miles (on average) and sell the corn cobs, what will be the largest price component in your selling price, the pittance you paid for the cobs themselves or your whopping fuel cost? An 18-wheeler can haul a lot more corn than a car but the principle is the same: the fuel cost is the killer. When you buy corn at the store your are paying much more for transportation and retail markup than you're paying the farmer for anything, and you haven't yet asked the farmer what the energy cost of producing that corn was. So, if it's only a portion, I would argue that it's a pretty *big* portion and getting bigger as oil goes over $100/barrel and keeps rising under the rising demand of developing economies.

      Food costs have gone up, but consider that they may have gone up even more if the much cheaper ethanol weren't there to exert downward pressure and regulate price volatility somewhat. The falling/inflated dollar also makes a difference in terms of price increases.

      "Even the most optimist are claiming 1.1-1.3 barrels of oil equivalent return for 1 barrel of oil input"

      Since ethanol is from one third to one half the cost of gas, this paints a pretty damn convincing picture of how the total energy cost going into the process versus the output obtained is a favorable ratio. If you needed a gallon of gas to make a gallon of ethanol, your end product after profits & overhead would *certainly* cost more than gas! You may mention something about subsidies in response to this, but you're not accounting for the subsidies and free passes that oil generally gets (in the U.S. at least). Then consider that when the one-time costs of gearing up for ethanol production are paid off, it keeps getting cheaper. Next, it is a process which lends itself to lots of possible efficiency improvements, *much* unlike oil development where we have been burning up the sweetest crude up to this point and now we will increasingly have to turn to dirtier wells, more expensive and/or energy-intensive extraction procedures, politically touchy situations.... Ethanol (and more efficient altfuels) will get better, cheaper and cleaner while oil will only get worse over time.

      Also, would you prefer that instead of receiving a subsidy that farmers be paid not to grow anything? Would you prefer that, as a result of a lack of ethanol capacity someone had to build an oil refinery close to where you live to pick up the slack? Or, are you OK with it as long as it's in someone else's backyard?

      Even at the current inefficiency and price distortions, I still prefer ethanol to oil. In time better solutions will come along, but one thing's for sure, fossil fuel isn't going to solve us any problems.

      --
      You can't send a takedown notice to an already printed newspaper.
    5. Re:No, alt fuels make producing food *cheaper* by khallow · · Score: 1

      Several problems with your claims. First, the energy of a barrel of oil is around 1.35 barrels of ethanol. That means using corn as feedstock, you are getting a bit less than 2 barrels of ethanol from a barrel of oil. Second, we ignore that a heavy ethanol blend doesn't burn as efficiently for its energy content. Third, the economics of corn ethanol are broken. We're converting an expensive barrel of oil into lower value ethanol.

      Fourth, there are far better plants for conversion to ethanol, including sugarcane, marijuana, switch grass, and algae. Fifth, growing the corn would take up a huge amount of land. Assuming generously that you can get 10 barrels of petroleum equivalent per year from an acre of corn, then you would need around 340 million acres (which apparently is roughly a third of the US's land area devoted to agriculture). Then taking into account that it takes at least 80% of that yield to grow the corn and process the ethanol, then you're looking at a prohibitive amount of corn. Sugarcane is the best by far, but you're still looking at an impressive amount of land area devoted to ethanol production.

      Also, would you prefer that instead of receiving a subsidy that farmers be paid not to grow anything? Would you prefer that, as a result of a lack of ethanol capacity someone had to build an oil refinery close to where you live to pick up the slack? Or, are you OK with it as long as it's in someone else's backyard?

      I'd prefer that there be no farm or oil subsidies at all. Let the market sort it out. And yes, bring on the oil refineries. The US's resistance to new oil refineries is a stupid source of problems for the US economy. Keep in mind also that there's plenty of land available for oil refineries. There's no reason to stick one in a suburb or crowded urban area.

    6. Re:No, alt fuels make producing food *cheaper* by sweet_petunias_full_ · · Score: 1

      No question, ethanol has a lower energy density. However, even adjusting for that, it remains much cheaper and also burns much cleaner. Cleaner than gasoline and with fewer particulates than diesel, not to speak of the other nasty byproducts of oil that people also burn or spill on their thousand mile journeys to delivering it. With ethanol, the midwest has a local energy supply that doesn't have to go through the usual refinery bottlenecks and that doesn't have to traffic-jam the existing distribution networks. Local production and local use is more efficient than thousand-mile delivery chains for something that can only be extracted far away.

      Next, you're making the assumption that expensive and dirty fossil petroleum will forever be the only energy input into ethanol production, and I don't see any reason why farm equipment has to use that fuel specifically. If farm equipment were converted to flex-fuel, or used biodiesel grown at the same location, the process would reduce petroleum inputs to a minimum. Done this way, if oil production grinds to a halt, ethanol production continues unaffected. That capability is worth something, I think. In the past countries that could maintain energy security won wars over those that couldn't. Our current approach is to spend a lot of money building giant tanks to store extra oil, but that's a large one-time cost and offers no real sustainability.

      "there are far better plants for conversion to ethanol"

      I never disputed this. I just think corn is a foot in the door and am optimistic that farmers will switch to something better as clear and obvious improvements are found.

      "you're still looking at an impressive amount of land area devoted to ethanol production."

      To replace all of the oil, yes. But I didn't say ethanol should be the only energy solution. I expect there will need to be a variety of sources. Some regions will do better with solar and biodiesel, others with wind and ethanol, others geothermal (etc.), whatever is best locally. Once the oil starts to run out we will have to switch forcibly anyway. We can still afford to start with something imperfect and fix it as we go along. If we only keep using fossil fuels, we will end up in a hole that's hard to get out of.

      "bring on the oil refineries...There's no reason to stick one in a suburb or crowded urban area."

      Well, you may be surprised to find that a lot of refineries are located near urban areas, smokestacks blazing and all. If you don't believe me, try to remember what happened after Katrina. Katrina was a lesson for us not to think only in the short term, to act more preventively, and not to put all our eggs in one basket, but I'm not sure we collectively learned our lesson.

      I agree with you that if subsidies were eliminated on both corn and petroleum, the free market might help sort things out. However, one could argue that we've already been waiting a long while for the free market to sort things out, and it doesn't seem very focused on solving our energy problems, or anything that requires a long-term approach.

      --
      You can't send a takedown notice to an already printed newspaper.
    7. Re:No, alt fuels make producing food *cheaper* by khallow · · Score: 1

      As I observed earlier, we're already consuming an expensive product, oil to make a cheaper product, corn-based ethanol. That's an indication to me that the subsidies are extremely irrational. Corn ethanol is not a stepping stone to something better. If government needs to subsidize biofuel production (and there's no indication to me that they need to), then the logical choices would be to subsidize something where you get more value out than you put in. In fact, I see that corn ethanol as currently implement, makes the problem worse. It increases oil consumption, occupies farm land that could be used for other purposes, and consumes public funds on a project with negative economic value. I also think you're glossing over some serious flaws with this scheme aside from that.

      I agree with you that if subsidies were eliminated on both corn and petroleum, the free market might help sort things out. However, one could argue that we've already been waiting a long while for the free market to sort things out, and it doesn't seem very focused on solving our energy problems, or anything that requires a long-term approach.

      Your assumptions are flawed. First, you assume there is a problem, at least large enough to justify a subsidy of this size. Second, you assume there is a free market. Third, you ignore the huge amount of research that has been going on for many decades.

      Energy isn't a problem. It remains cheap. The environment consequences of oil and other fossil fuels remain exaggerated. And we have options that we can switch to, when oil no longer is viable. I don't see the point of anticipating it.

      The free market isn't so free. We've already discussed subsidies and a long period of no new refinery construction. Even so, a substantial rise in the price of oil will fix the problem as demand is reduced. I don't see (especially with inflation in the US Dollar cutting into the price increase) the current rise in oil prices as a sufficient incentive to switch to other sources. I imagine in fact that there's a good chance the price will decline over the next 5-10 years once the price jujmp encourages an increase in supply.

      Finally, there's been considerable funds expended over the decades to every conceivable form of power production, storage, and transportation. I don't see a point to bad economic decisions on the grounds that we need some sort of "long term planning". We have plenty of options and we still don't know what will be the better choices when we need them. My humble opinion is that we should take a hands-off approach and only intervene when there's a clear externality (like air pollution). I'm inclined to set up carbon markets on the theory that there is a small amount of externality associated with carbon dioxide emissions. It can be increased, if evidence warrants it.

    8. Re:No, alt fuels make producing food *cheaper* by sweet_petunias_full_ · · Score: 1

      "As I observed earlier, we're already consuming an expensive product, oil to make a cheaper product, corn-based ethanol. "

      That's OK, because we are producing proportionately larger quantities of the ethanol in favorable locations that help alleviate some of the pressure of refinery bottlenecks. As closed-loop production arrives the input concern vanishes. Ethanol also replaces MTBE as a way of boosting octane. MTBE is a known carcinogen that was poisoning wells until it was discontinued as an additive.

      "subsidies are extremely irrational."

      Probably so, but it's not like we can change that overnight.

      "Corn ethanol is not a stepping stone to something better."

      Of course it is. At the very least to more efficient ethanol production. The leftover mash is excellent animal feed, by the way, so it is very flexible to local needs/markets.

      "the logical choices would be to subsidize something where you get more value out than you put in."

      Right... and if petroleum is so great, why do we need to subsidize it?

      "a project with negative economic value."

      I don't agree. As I already pointed out, it's positive as demonstrated by the large price advantage of ethanol over gasoline, and it becomes even more attractive due to the location, its cleanliness, and its higher octane rating. Its actual value should be compared to premium fuel.

      "Energy isn't a problem. It remains cheap."

      If you think energy is cheap but it costs orders of magnitude more than animal feed, then doesn't that undermine your complaint about the rising cost of animal feed in an earlier post?

      "The environment consequences of oil and other fossil fuels remain exaggerated. "

      Until it affects you personally, but by then it's too late.

      "And we have options that we can switch to, when oil no longer is viable."

      To replace all of the oil we use in vehicles? How quickly can these options be put in full use? Wouldn't all of them take some time to get going in the case of a major supply disruption?

      "My humble opinion is that we should take a hands-off approach and only intervene when there's a clear externality (like air pollution)."

      But the lobbyists who set up the subsidies you don't like don't use a hands-off approach. Their hands are constantly reaching into in the free market's cookie jar, and that isn't likely to stop any time soon.

      Don't be fooled, oil prices are not going to come down while India and China have growing populations and growing economies that also need oil. Basic supply and demand.

      --
      You can't send a takedown notice to an already printed newspaper.
    9. Re:No, alt fuels make producing food *cheaper* by khallow · · Score: 1

      As I see it, you give no compelling reason for ethanol *from corn* other than maybe it helps the transportation fuels supply chain a little and some sort of "everybody does it" argument on subsidies (just because someone is stealing from the cookie jar, doesn't mean everyone should - I'm for cookie theft reduction even if it means corn ethanol suppliers can't steal so many cookies). The final thing I have to say is that if you produce something of low value in the private world from something of higher cost, then you go bankrupt. What you call "price advantage" is a reflection both of the oversupply of corn ethanol and of its low value to refiners.

      If you think energy is cheap but it costs orders of magnitude more than animal feed, then doesn't that undermine your complaint about the rising cost of animal feed in an earlier post?

      I don't think nor said that.

      Until it affects you personally, but by then it's too late.

      I'm willing to anticipate risks. Someone has to show to me that they actually exist first. that hasn't been done and I've gone out of my way to look.

      To replace all of the oil we use in vehicles? How quickly can these options be put in full use? Wouldn't all of them take some time to get going in the case of a major supply disruption?

      That just makes the incentives to switch stronger.

      To sum up, corn subsidies remain a terrible idea. They produce less than they consume, increase the inefficiency of the US economy by diverting land, labor, and capital from food production and other legitimate economic activity, ignore far more efficient crops for ethanol production (and come to think of it, foreign suppliers like Brazil), consume public funds, and increase consumption of oil in the near term. Paltry benefits like maybe a slight gain in supply chain stability and improving the efficiency of ethanol production aren't worth it. I really don't understand your side of the argument. If I were whining about corresponding subsidies for sugarcane ethanol, at least I'd have to grant that sugarcane produces many barrels of oil equivalent compared to the energy input. But fundamentally, we're paying farmers and ethanol suppliers to destroy value. That is fundamentally illogical, like paying farmers not to farm.

  66. Re:So... less = more!?! haha. by terrymr · · Score: 1

    Is the inefficiency a failure of your engine or your fuel ? It seems odd that ethanol is so popular for racing engines if it produces less energy.

  67. Agri subsidies by gnuman99 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Come on guys. The politicians love the entire biofuel train and will disregard the negative consequences for as long as possible. The entire thing was so quickly accepted NOT because it will reduce emissions, but because it is a way to pump agricultural subsidies without actually saying you do.

    Agri subsidies have been a major problem between Europe+US vs. rest of the world. Due to subsidies, it is cheaper for people in Nigeria to actually buy corn and wheat from US/Europe than to actually grow it themselves. Agri subsidies are essentially screwing the third world for monetary, political and strategic reasons (ie. country can feed itself without imports - strategic advantage).

    The only problem is that all this is anti-WTO. Anti global free-trade. So, how can politicians fix the problem? How can they continue to subsidize agriculture without being contrary to the WTO agreements they want? They subsidize "new technology" called biofuels. Then the agri-subsidies take an extra step to get to farmer, but end result is the same. Subsidies continue while WTO is happy.

    The only problem is that this is again at the cost of the environment. More land cleared. More jungles and peat bogs destroyed to make "environmentally friendly" fuel. Subsidies are why bio-fuel from corn, sugar cane, wheat, even grass. But no bio-fuel from oily algae grown on treated sewage lagoons. No, that fertilizer is just dumped to kill lakes instead.

    Bio-fuels are just a cover to continue with agri subsidies in US and Europe. That's why politicians love it.

  68. Not news by vanyel · · Score: 1

    This has all been known for some time, that's why they're working on other sources for biofuels. I hope the people who are rushing to build corn processing plants are building them with some flexibility...

  69. wrong approach by Frozen+Void · · Score: 1

    The idea of being green is not creating Big Corn as alternative to Big Oil.

  70. How many good resources R left? by heroine · · Score: 1

    Eventually we'll be down to 1 thing which hasn't been blamed for destroying the environment: too many humans. Then the media will shift focus to Michael Jackson tabloids.

    1. Re:How many good resources R left? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well if we had to pick a scapegoat, we could pick that certain religion that came to existence recently that doesn't believe in birth control. I wouldn't be surprised if the average family for that religion has at least 5 children (many have 10 or more). TBH, I'm really infuriated by their "no birth control" beliefs because it gets to the point where they get so many tax credits they pay no taxes despite having a family that takes up proportionally more public resources than everyone else's.

      I mean, as a long term strategy for survival how is having "way more children than you need" a good one? If everyone had that many children given the current lifespan of people in our first-world nations, we'd all be starving in only a couple generations. We need to curb the amount of children we have right now so we aren't forced to be in China's situation later...

      Having such large family is nothing more than being selfish and using religion as an excuse. Same applies for those people who have like 7 kids when they only make $15,000/year, 1/3 of that spent on cigarettes and booze.

  71. well duh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    whenever i eat vegetarian my gases get worse

  72. 1st & 2nd Generation Only by bhima · · Score: 1

    These studies only apply to 1st & 2nd generation biofuel efforts. No one outside the United States is seriously pursuing them now. In fact the Germans have a pilot algae CO2 capture facility attached to a coal burning power plant that could safely be called 5th generation. No cutting down rainforests for the land and it's capturing nearly 80% of CO2 coming out of the plant during the day. Growth rates are hugely increased and they have an output of both BioDiesel, Ethanol.

    The EU has has already moved away from oil sources from former rain-forested lands and begun a series of next generation BioDiesel & SynGas plants which look very promising I'm not sure why the US is so stuck on Ethanol from corn sugars.

    --
    Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity.
  73. Plenty of ways to solve the problem. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think current economy gives good incentive for US to find a reasonable solution to solve the energy and environment problem. There are plenty solutions can be used:

    * use LED to replace light bulb. It is 10x more efficient and 20x longer life.
    * improve building efficiency to reduce heating and AC need.
    * let gas price reach $5 and people will be forced to drive efficient cars. Prius has 45 miles per gallon. Technically, it is possible to create 100 miles per gallon small commute car.
    * use more solar system for both heating and electricity.
    * use more nuclear power. Fast reactor can burn away most of nuclear waste.

    If gov gives enough incentive to open market, it will figure out ways to address the problem. During the process, American companies will develop many new technologies and become far more competitive than it is today.

  74. Hydrogen for storage. ??? for production by syousef · · Score: 1

    The only thing I can think that will work to store energy efficiently and without pollutents is hydrogen. You produce it from water (and yes you have to be careful not to ruin local environment, but the fact is there is so much sea water it's not hard). You store both hydrogen and oxygen from electrolysis or alternately you just release the oxygen. The hydrogen burns to produce water vapour that replaces the water you took from the ocean.

    Now there are problems with this
    1) storage problems for hydrogen (safety etc) exist I don't believe they're insurmountable.
    2) Desalination of seawater means there's more waste than optimal. Our fresh water is much scarcer so we shouldn't be using it
    3) The REAL problem is where do you get the energy originally.

    - Nuclear is dirty and I'm not convinced even a single large radioactive stockpile is acceptable or containable over the life of the material. I hear new breeder reactors etc are the answer but I don't know enough about it.

    - Solar is inefficent and you have to damage the environment digging up materials for the panels then use more energy producing them. Still solar cells have quite a long life, and there are other ways of collecting solar energy

    - Wind power, geothermal etc. aren't consistent or large scale and also require large structures to be created to collect the energy. These in turn require energy to produce.

    Bio-fuels are a dead end that continue to emit CO2 turning our planet into Venus. They're cheap to make so there's money in them.

    --
    These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
  75. There is a simple answer: biofuel from algae. by NimbleSquirrel · · Score: 2, Informative
    http://www.oilgae.com/

    Biodiesel from algae is not new, and algae doesn't use up land resources like converting farmland for ethanol production does. In fact growing algae utilizes waste water streams from sewage plants, making the water cleaner in the process. On top of that, the yield of oil from algae (and hence biodiesel yields) can be up to 200 times more per acre than the best performing vegetable oil crops. Biodiesel from algae isn't without it's faults: it is expensive to set up the infrastructure to produce it (although that is a one time cost), and extracting the oil can be difficult. However new technology in systems using supercritical fluid extraction (using a superfluid CO2 of all things) has been nearly 100% efficient. There are companies already doing this: http://www.aquaflowgroup.com/technology.html

    The problem is that people are still focussed on ethanol as the solution, being a quick and easy replacement for gasoline. Ethanol production from crops is nowhere near as efficient as producing biodiesel from crops, and ethanol production is expensive from both an economic and energy point of view. Many of the crops used to make ethanol only grow well in specific climates, meaning farmers outside those climate ranges who convert to ethanol crops can expect very low yields per acre. An eventual solution would be to move to diesel/biodiesel engines over gasoline/ethanol engines, and use ethanol is only an intermediate step to cover that conversion. Jets already make use of biodiesel blends with jetfuel, and progress is being made to jets using biodiesel only fuels. http://www.stuff.co.nz/4218411a10.html

    The problem I have with these studies is that they treat ethanol as the only biofuel available. There are other biofuels, from straight vegetable oil to biodiesel. They claim that it is more destructive than commonly made out, yet the do not mention it is nowhere near as destructive to the environment as fossil fuels (and related fuel processing). Once the infrastructure is in place, it is far better for the environment. The studies also make out that biofuel production has resulted in massive deforestation, yet massive deforestation has been happening for decades before biofuels became mainstream. The real culprits are primarily demand for wood, farmland (and not just biofuel crops) and resource mismanagement on an extreme level. While the studies have raise some important issues that must be considered, I can't help but feeling that somewhere along the funding chain for these studies is an oil company. On top of that oil companies' PR agents are having a field day, making sure these studies get published everywhere.

  76. Stupid inflammatory headline by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 5, Insightful
    This is a stupid inflammatory summary designed to troll.


    First off, the concerns raised by the original article only apply to some biofuels, not all. The corcerns only apply to some biofuel crops and to some farming practices.
    Secondly, the original article had a 'might' in it and was of the form "Biofuels might make greenhouse gases worse". Deleting 'might' combletely changes the meaning and esculates the threat.
    Slashdot editors are getting to be like regular journalists ((hint: this is not a compliment) and looking for a new inflammatory headline where they can. Junk journalism!

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:Stupid inflammatory headline by e.colli · · Score: 1

      You are right! I'm not new here, but I take the work of read TFA and i can't saw any news on it, just the same thing others researchers are saying: corn isn't suited for ethanol, sugar cane is.

    2. Re:Stupid inflammatory headline by oldhack · · Score: 1

      This is a stupid inflammatory summary designed to troll.
      GTFO!! Call the "editors"!!
      --
      Fuck systemd. Fuck Redhat. Fuck Soylent, too. Wait, scratch the last one.
    3. Re:Stupid inflammatory headline by Kohath · · Score: 1

      Secondly, the original article had a 'might' in it and was of the form "Biofuels might make greenhouse gases worse". Deleting 'might' combletely changes the meaning and esculates the threat.

      So they might, or they might not make greenhouse gases worse. Wow, those biofuels sound great. Let's all force everyone to buy them so we can experience this dubious benefit or harm.

  77. All our problems are solved! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm designing a car that runs on Islamic radicals and Christian fundamentalists.

  78. REAL math: UK decommission estimate 73 BIL pounds by leftie · · Score: 2, Informative

    Here's the real math from the UK where government contractors face a real threat of jail time if they are caught intentionally lowballing a cost estimate....

    "Total cost of closing down nuclear sites rises to £73bn

    The cost of decommissioning Britain's ageing nuclear power sites has risen from an estimated £61bn in 2005 to £73bn as the "start-stop" nature of the work is creating significant uncertainty for contractors, Whitehall's value-for-money watchdog reveals today.

    The report by the National Audit Office (NAO) into the Nuclear Decommissioning Authority will prove particularly uneasy reading for Prime Minister Gordon Brown, who earlier this month gave the green light to a new generation of nuclear power stations - albeit that none will be built in Scotland because of the anti-nuclear stance adopted by the Scottish Government.

    As well as reporting to the UK Government via the Department for Business, the authority also reports to Scottish ministers who agree its strategy and plans for sites in Scotland. By December 2007, 14 of 19 facilities across Britain had already shut down and were in the process of being decommissioned, which includes cleaning up the sites.

    http://www.theherald.co.uk/news/news/display.var.2003619.0.Total_cost_of_closing_down_nuclear_sites_rises_to_73bn.php

    That's 150 BILLION DOLLARS... ON JUST 19 UK reactors. That means the REAL US cost of decommissioning US nuclear reactors is going to be well over ONE TRILLION DOLLARS!

  79. And the Iraq war will pay for itself too... right? by leftie · · Score: 1

    Like I showed above, the UK estimate on decommissioning the 19 nuclear reactors there is 73 BIL pounds.

  80. TANSTAAFL by Chas · · Score: 1

    "Overly simplistic"

    Talk about understatement.

    So not only do we have to consume MORE biofuel to go the same distances as vehicles running standard petroleum products, it's per-gallon production-to-consumption greenhouse footprint is larger too.

    It's a magic bullet all right. Loaded in a gun and put right to our own head.

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
  81. Re:Hm... i work at ADM by minirock000 · · Score: 2

    i work at ADM we burn coal to produce the steam we need to make ethanol, and the corn syrup that you eat and drink to make us all fat. so dont forget to add that to the equation. also as a side effect of making the syrup we also burn carbon granules regenerating the carbon to filter the syrup. add that up too.... ya i have a little bit of guilt, but like any other blue collar person, its the best paying job wi9th or without an education. i make as much as a person with a bachelors there. (so does go to college to get a good job really mean anything? :D )

  82. Can we get environmentalists away from car design? by sethstorm · · Score: 1

    Good that they have not just taken the environmentalists at their word (hook, line, sinker). As for the automotive industry, they've been caught and filleted by them.

    Now what does it take to get back to a slightly larger (and saner) size for cars under $20-25k instead of stuff that is usually underpowered for the body that it occupies? It's not as if one can't find them after a while in quite good condition - it's that environmentalists are going overboard.

    No thank you, but there are some who know not what a US car is. It is not an underpowered Nippon import. It is not a Chinese knockoff. It is not a European inspired ultracompact. It is one that pulls no compromises on size, power and quality, but do not require a first-born for most of the population to afford.

    Environmentalists, go fly back to Aspen, Detroit does not want you(your presence is merely tolerated). You've been proven wrong many times over.

    --
    Twitter supports and protects racists - by smearing their critics with the "Hate Speech" label.
  83. Intensive farming, yes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    But what about land not suitable for growing crops? Say, african scrubland. Not enough rain to make a good consumable, but goats will "collect" a lot of grass and other poor nutrition and turn it into concentrated meat.

    Or marginal land, where you'd have to drain it. Feed birds on there and eat the birds.

    How about steep valley slopes like in south wales? Can't plough and the soil is too thin anyway, so let goats and sheep eat the crappy grass and get them to turn that grass into meat and walk it back to the farmer?

    1. Re:Intensive farming, yes. by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      How about steep valley slopes like in south wales?

      Or the Scottish Highlands. If the vegetarian lobby can come up with a good way for me to grow crops on a rocky 1-in-7 hillside covered in thin squelchy peat, then great, I'll try it. For now, it works *really really well* for grazing sheep.

    2. Re:Intensive farming, yes. by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      If the vegetarian lobby can come up with a good way for me to grow crops on a rocky 1-in-7 hillside covered in thin squelchy peat, then great, I'll try it.

      It's called a terrace.

      Now, I'm not a member of the "vegetarian lobby," and I don't have any problem whatsoever with you herding meat animals on your hill. But don't be stupid, please.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    3. Re:Intensive farming, yes. by Smauler · · Score: 1

      Right.... and how many terraces are farmed commercially? How much energy and cost does it take to farm them, as opposed to just letting sheep graze on them? I'm assuming the GP knew about terracing, but dismissed it because it is much much worse both economically and environmentally than just letting sheep graze and eating the sheep. Don't be stupid, please.

    4. Re:Intensive farming, yes. by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      [Terrace farming] is much much worse both economically and environmentally than just letting sheep graze and eating the sheep

      [citation needed]

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    5. Re:Intensive farming, yes. by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      Someone else has already posted about the difficult of actually doing anything with this labour-intensive method of growing stuff. Now where do you propose I get the fertiliser? Oh, wait, the petrochemical industry! Actually, I could gather a few hundred tonnes of seaweed and burn it to provide potash, but that's not particularly good for the environment either...

    6. Re:Intensive farming, yes. by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      Someone else has already posted about the difficult of actually doing anything with this labour-intensive method of growing stuff.

      Oh, great. "Somebody, somewhere, refuted your argument, but I'm not going to tell you who or where because I'm too cowardly to give you a chance to respond to it." Thanks a bunch!

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    7. Re:Intensive farming, yes. by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      Actually, I thought you might be able to read the other reply to my original post. You've even replied to it, with a snide little "[citation needed]" link.

      Since you're going to take that tack, perhaps you can provide examples of people using terraces for anything more than basic subsistence farming? Or, if you'd prefer, you could just come out and admit you don't know what you're talking about.

    8. Re:Intensive farming, yes. by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      Since you're going to take that tack, perhaps you can provide examples of people using terraces for anything more than basic subsistence farming?

      Too late. I challenged you first.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    9. Re:Intensive farming, yes. by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      "NO YUO!"

      -1, Troll. Come back when you've got a coherent argument.

    10. Re:Intensive farming, yes. by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      What are you, an idiot? Not only are you losing because the onus is on you, not me, to provide a coherent argument first, you can't even think up original rhetoric and instead try to copy me! Pathetic.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

  84. Fairness of the comparison? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nice to see the nay-sayers fall over each other with I-told-you-sos.

    Alright, suppose this has merit —not unlikely it has— is it then fair to compare this to what we're using now without its overhead calculated in? Fossil oils need to be refined and transported and whatnot, too, you know.

    Yes, the bio-crowd's proposed alternatives turn out to be no panacea. Whodathot? We still need (a) replacement(s) for all the fossil fuels we're using up ever more rapidly. Even if only as a contingency. Running out is simply not an option for our economy as it is; gambling on not running out is gambling with the continued feasability of most of our technology too.

  85. Miss Leading Me. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    From the article:

    "
    Almost all biofuels used today cause more greenhouse-gas emissions than conventional fuels if the full emissions costs of producing these "green" fuels are taken into account, two studies published Thursday have concluded.
    (...)
    Searchinger said the only possible exception he could see for now was sugar cane grown in Brazil, which takes relatively little energy to grow and is readily refined into fuel. He added that governments should focus on developing biofuels that did not require cropping, such as those from agricultural waste products. "This land-use problem is not just a secondary effect -- it was often just a footnote in prior papers," Searchinger said. "It is major."
    "

    So producing alcohol from bottle caps isn't viable, is it?

    Everytime I see this alcohol discussion, I get amazed at how late the US is coming to this.

    We have used alcohol as fuel for nearly 30 years now.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethanol_fuel_in_Brazil

    http://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C3%81lcool_combust%C3%ADvel_no_Brasil

    We do a lot of stupid things here in Brazil -- e.g. the non-saving "daylight savings time" -- but:

    1) this ethanol thing was supposed to get us out of dependence on foreign oil _and_ foreign currency (that means the US dollar)

    2) the real problem with growing anything to make ethanol is the area you use for the culture -- and no, it's not because there will be famine (at least, not yet!) -- it's because new areas are explored and habitats destroyed.

    I guess 30 years would be enough, even by our own moronic standards, to figure out whether ethanol is good or bad.

    So, the article is useful to show corn is a stupid thing to use for ethanol, but don't stretch it to make judgements on the whole ethanol use; also, the soybean is a serious problem and it affects the Amazon (I even fear these fools are using gm seeds, like Monsanto's, which would be very disturbing near a forest environment) .

    Please notice, though, that ethanol is not being grown in the Amazon, but rather much more to the South (the rosed area):

    http://www.brazadv.com/images/mapa_biomas.gif

    and

    http://www.fotosdocerrado.fot.br/MainCerradoEnglish.htm

    and

    http://www.conservation.org.br/onde/cerrado/

    especially:

    http://www.conservation.org.br/arquivos/Mapa%20desmat%20Cerrado.jpg

    The real problem is that it is very cheap to rape nature; we should make sure it costs an arm or a leg so people would be more prone to use human-powered bycicles, because using cars would be too damn expensive and thus such areas could be better protected.

    All rights belong to their legal owners.

  86. More importantly .... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    if cane sugar was plentiful we could get rid of the high fructose corn syrup that is being used to sweeten everything and have Coke that tastes normal again. Not to mention that fructose is about the worst sugar to metabolize (look at the growth curves in the use of fructose sweeteners and resulting obesity rates).

  87. Of course they are currently "worse" by dj42 · · Score: 1

    Does anyone realize how much money in the last 30-80 years has been spent making a perfected process for delivering gasoline for automobiles to consumers in the U.S.? Then, you point out that making "green" fuel sources is still somewhat behind in its ability to offset greenhouse gases? That's obscene. Give "green" fuel a chance to catch up with petroleum, and I challenge you (in 10-20 years) to say the same thing. It is absurd to suggest that in the END most green fuels (solar panels, wind turbines, bio-diesel, etc.) won't far exceed petroleum.

    --
    We are one consciousness experiencing itself subjectively. Back to you with the weather, Bob!
    1. Re:Of course they are currently "worse" by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Wind and solar already match petroleum in terms of energy returned on energy invested and certainly beat it if the end use is electricity. Biodiesel may match petroleum eventually as petroleum becomes harder to extract, but it won't come to the same scale. However, wind and solar can be used to produce liquid hydrocarbon fuels directly, so there may be no need to use plants at all and the scale issue would be less of a worry.

  88. Ethanol for Racing? by datadigger · · Score: 1

    It seems odd that ethanol is so popular for racing engines if it produces less energy.
    I think racing engines use methanol, not ethanol.
    --
    Aphorisms don't fix code. (Bart Smaalders)
    1. Re:Ethanol for Racing? by cloudmaster · · Score: 2, Informative

      Many non-top fuel racing engines are starting to use ethanol, partially due to the low cost (a gallon of nitromethane is pretty expensive) and ready availability (seen a nitro pump at the local gas station recently?). A gas engine can basically run a higher compression ratio and replace a few fuel fittings, and subsequently make more power on E85 than it could on gasoline. The growing commonality of turbocharging gives a pretty easy way to raise compression (or change the pulley on the supercharger already on that race car, whichever), and alcohol-compatible fuel systems have been common in racing for years.

    2. Re:Ethanol for Racing? by datadigger · · Score: 1

      Interesting, thanks.

      --
      Aphorisms don't fix code. (Bart Smaalders)
  89. Finally! by 386spart · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Just as I thought the entire world had gone crazy, a small glimmer of hope! The genuine care for the environment that people have is being made into a religion, with a hierarchy of money grabbing priests and cardinals in every political party...tax this, tax that - level the forests, just pay the tax for it!
    Somebody is actually selling the right to create carbon dioxide...it is so stupid I can't believe it is really happening.
    Toxic waste pouring into rivers, whaling, levelling the rain forests - these are real environmental issues that have completely disappeared from the agenda because of this windmill of a problem, the huge money-circus called "global warming".
     
    I fear that when people wake up and realise how they have been fooled, if they ever do, environmental causes will suffer for generations.

  90. i wrote this before by memnock · · Score: 2, Informative

    but i'll add anyway. David Tilman from U of MN has worked quite extensively with mono- and polycultures of plants/grass for purposes of productivity. his paper here talks about using switchgrass in combination with other plants to use degraded/poor ag. lands and still get better, even carbon negative, output than corn or soy beans for ethanol, without a lot of input. i don't know why this didn't get more press.

    1. Re:i wrote this before by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      I linked that paper here and it is cited in the Serchinger et al. paper being discussed right now. Another paper that might interest you was published by the National Academy of Sciences. Agrawal et al. (2007) propose overcome scale problems with biofuels by suplementing the energy input with other sources such as solar and wind. I think that we can skip the plants entirely and do much better than that.

  91. Energy problem by ANCOVA · · Score: 1

    I see a possible solution to the energy problem, and the developed world's obesity problem: free liposuction for everyone and turn that fat into biofuels! There's one problem though. According to my wife, who used to major in biochemical engineering, the technology to convert animal fat into fuels is just not there yet. Another possible solution that may be less efficient is to hook a generator to every freaking treadmill and stationary bike. Turn your fat into energy and stay away from foreign oil!

  92. One overlooked advantage... by WoollyMittens · · Score: 1

    Bio-fuels, grown and processed in the US, don't cause a trade-deficit. That alone makes up for a lot.

  93. Burning your food by JungleBoy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm a huge advocate of studying and reducing carbon emissions, I even work for one of the IPCC lead authors. But biofuels have never sat well with me. Something about burning our food for fuel makes me nervous and for some reason I start thinging about Easter Island. And now it looks like subsidised corn ethanol is one of the factors jacking up beer prices. Thanks jerks.

    --
    "You never know when some crazed rodent with cold feet might be running loose in your pants."
    -Calvin
  94. The einstein approach will still cause warming by zogger · · Score: 1, Insightful

    You can build thousands of new nuke plants, and eventually, all that past "trapped" heat in "fossil uranium" that is released in the fission process makes its way to the atmosphere as it is used in electrical devices all over. Uranium energy is just as much sequestered now left in the ground and ignored as coal or oil are, if they were left in the ground. And a lot (most of them?) of the nuke plants use water cooling, and guess which is a stronger greenhouse gas, even more than CO2? That's right, H2O, water vapor, and the hotter the water, the more it evaporates. So at point of origin for the water cooled nuke plants you get both massive heat release at either the cooling towers or at their downstream cooling water source, a river or ocean pipe, etc., plus extra "unnatural" water vapor release, a "greenhouse" gas, then downstream all the various devices that use the electricity produced dump heat by the ..x-megawatt, whatever the plant puts out that supplies them (do a conversion to a thermal equivalent). More heat + more greenhouse gas. Even the air cooled plants will still cause warming as the entire natural structure of the earth that already exists despite of any human additions works to trap in heat, the way the atmosphere is anyway.

      So unless they can come up with a way to make nuclear "cold" or even "heat-neutral" electricity, you'll still get a significant rise in global temps from using nukes, on a direct linear scale, as you add one, more global warming.

  95. Most likely the science is politically motivated by tjstork · · Score: 1

    I have to say that I genuinely do not believe in the so called science behind the article. I would not be surprised if this study was funded, like
    so many others are, by the oil industry.

    --
    This is my sig.
  96. Re:mod this man a karma point by bushwhacker2000 · · Score: 1

    funniest post I've read on /. in a long time...

  97. How would that be possible by Efialtis · · Score: 1

    Bio fuels are GROWN...they start out as plants...plants take CO2 and convert it into O2, CO2 is one of the "greenhouse gases" while O2 is NOT...
    So if we grow large quantities of plants to create bio fuels, HOW could they INCREASE greenhouse gases?

    --
    --E--
  98. oh please by zogger · · Score: 1, Informative

    Pointing out data is not trolling, it is just facts. Right now, there is no free lunch with energy, if you are discussing trapped heat. If you add excess heat-from any source at all, including nuclear, plus "trap" it more, you will get global warming to a larger degree than what would have been normal without any anthropocentric additions. Uranium in the ground gradually decays and gives off the heat, that isn't the issue really, the issue is the rapidity by which the heat is released and then trapped compared to normal human society evolution. Natural decay=zillions of years, whereas inside a fission reactor than down to the consumer = a few years = rapid rise in global temps if done on a huge scale. And it scales quite literally, one for one. Nuclear fission power is an anthropocentric addition to global warming. that huge amount of heat is *released*, that's all a reactor does is get "hot", we use turbines to make electricity and transfer that energy around, but it all gets back to just transferring the heat around. Just reality. Same with burning biomatter, whether dug up out of the ground, pumped out, or grown on the surface. The biological stuff on the surface though is a lot closer-not perfect but a lot closer- to being neutral in heat addition and the "trapping" effect with the gases compared to coal or oil or nuclear fission plants. Solar thermal is probably about the same level as purposefully grown biofuels.

    I repeat, no free lunch, and a massive addition of hundreds or thousands more nuke plants around the world will, without any doubt whatsoever, add to global warming in a significant degree, unless one suspends the laws of thermodynamics somehow, which I don't think is all that possible. And the faster it happens, the faster the warming happens, the less chance humans have of adapting to it in a non chaotic or socially destructive way.

  99. What about oil used to fight wars for oil? by FatSean · · Score: 1

    Bio-fuels consume (worst case) 1.1gallons of oil to produce energy equivalent to 1.0 gallons of oil.

    But if we didn't have to fuel a huge army....I think the net energy used would be less than now!

    I always smile when I see some huge SUV with one person in it, sporting a 'support the troops' ribbon.

    --
    Blar.
    1. Re:What about oil used to fight wars for oil? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is that smile, as in, "Hope that person dies horribly in the next few minutes"?

  100. Re:Hm... i work at ADM by WilliamSChips · · Score: 2, Insightful

    (so does go to college to get a good job really mean anything? :D ) Not to me, since I'd go to college even if it made it harder to get a good job.
    --
    Please, for the good of Humanity, vote Obama.
  101. algae by alex_guy_CA · · Score: 1
    I'm not surprised that growing crops for bio fuel is a bad idea. For example I often wonder about soil depletion, I never hear that talked about.

    However, that does not mean bio fuel is a bad idea, for example, using algae to make bio fuel has been covered again and again here on /.

    A short summary of the benefits:

    50x yield per acre over grown crops.

    Can scrub CO2 from power plants

    Can benefit from waste heat from power plants.

    Can be grown above ground in industrial settings.

    Can scrub pollution from agricultural water (fertilizers, feedlots) before the pollution makes it downstream.

    Mutant Algae to Fuel Cars of Tomorrow?

    Boeing Helping to Develop Algae-Powered Jet

    Newest Energy Source -- Pond Scum

    Bio-diesel Made from Sewage

    Algae That Cleans Emissions and Produces Fuel

    Filling Up On Algae

    Renewable Energy From Algae?

  102. Re:So... less = more!?! haha. by tomhudson · · Score: 1

    The # of BTUs doesn't lie - ethanol has almost 40% less energy. However, you can always burn MORE of it to make up the difference - and ethanol has an octane rating of 116, so you can go with much higher compresion ratios (and hence more power).

  103. Martyros is right by microbox · · Score: 1

    Matryros is 100% right about drawing down on resources, and that affecting the sustainable "income" of the future. There are two things at play here, and they've co-existed for as long as the world has existed with human society on it:
    + The economic system, based on growth
    + The matter-energy relationship humans have with the environment.

    So far the world has been big enough for perpetual growth to continue to this point, and a little beyond. However, it is *inevitable* that perpetual exponential growth with reach a choke point with the 2nd relationship. Many left-wing economics believe that the economy based on natural resources will be replaced with an information economy. That the economy can fundamentally do without natural resources. I believe this thinking is flawed. As a society, our information economy will resemble a sky-scraper with an eroding foundation. When people need heat, food and shelter, then the information economy will be meaningless.

    Thus one should consider the big picture: at what point will our current economic system become untenable. This is a serious question with horrific consequences. The only sane thing to do is plan for the future, but it remains to be seen if humanity can actually do that en masse.

    Personally I believe that the energy crisis will become the choke point that corrects perpetual growth. Rising energy costs will drive huge inflation, and every larger recessions that eventually never seem to end. At some point, investors will realise that there is no value in investing in a economy that fundamentally won't grow. Without investment money, an entirely new system will have to come about, and a scramble for economic reorganisation that should really be planned over lifetimes.

    If energy really is the choke point, then this will come about sometime in the next 50 years maximum. If we successfully transition away from an energy based economy, or alternatively, solve our energy problems, then a different choke point will present itself at some time, unless humanity becomes a space faring species.

    Over time, our growth-based economic system cannot fundamentally co-exist with our matter-energy relationship with the world.

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  104. Wrong! This study are based on false assumition by rbnunes · · Score: 1

    Sugar cane ethanol does not replace rain forest and does not replace food crops. Rain forest (north of Brazil) is simply not apropriate terrain to produce sugar cane, thus accounting the removal of rain forest agaist ethanol is simply wrong. Here in Brazil this have 29 years of production experience and acctually every region that starts to produce sugar cane also experience a grow in food crops production. Sugar cane requires culture rotation to increase cane productivity thus every sugar cane farm also produce large amounts of beans, soyl or other food crops. Remember this are high production highlty technological farms and all this technices are also used in this food crops. Most sugar cane farms today replaced old ineficiently cattle farms. Dont be afraid of ethanol, it is obvious that growing natural carbon is better them removing it from underground and releasing it in the atmosfeare.

  105. Sarcasm Extreme by Smoke2Joints · · Score: 1
    like everyone didnt see
    • this
    coming... a number of factors prevent biofuel from being the solution to our problems: 1. burning anything will produce undesirable side-effects 2. growing the amount of material we would need to power the world would take a big chunk out of the planets food production, not something we can afford in a world with an ever-exponentially increasing population. 3. why develop a technology that will be obsolete and/or too costly in the near future? go humans. in an attempt to get off fossil fuels, we just invent another product just as bad.
    1. Re:Sarcasm Extreme by Smoke2Joints · · Score: 1

      ohgodohgodohgodusethepreviewbutton! :(

  106. Re:REAL math: UK decommission estimate 73 BIL poun by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Those UK figures are 50x greater than the US figures, that's just troubling.

    There must be something else to factor in here besides simple dishonesty and incompetence. Surely the NRC isn't that dumb. England's waste disposal, for example, might be far more expensive due to its smaller size and greater "Not in my backyard!" concentration. Petrol prices for equipment, worker pay, different fees and regulations; these sorts of things might be responsible for a good chunk of that.

    Because, fuck, that's god damned crazy expensive at first glance.

  107. Excellent talk from last week's NPR Science Friday by AaronW · · Score: 2, Informative

    A very good talk on this was given last Friday, 02/08/2008 on NPR's Science Friday.

    --
    This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
  108. Is Europe less socialistic than the US on Energy? by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 2, Interesting

    No, the point is that Europe has reacted to higher costs by reducing consumption.

    You're more wrong than right to point out that Europe hasn't responded by producing a very specific solution at your command.

    Europe is not a command economy, in respect to energy it may even be a LESS socialistic economy - which opens a very interesting discussion.

    If you place the US - with its Universal Gasoline Plan and largely private pay-as-you-go Health care system, next to Europe with its Universal Health Care and pay-at-the-pump fuel system, it begins to explain the concentration of innovation in bot economies. We tend to innovate in health-care, while our energy and transportation sectors are third-world; while Europe has a largely second-rate health-care reputation - but many more leading energy companies and public transportation manufacturers.

    AIK

      next to Europes more of subsidized pump prices in a continuum with Europe

  109. Ummm... by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

    Don't conventional fuels have approximately the same cost of refining and transportation as biofuels? I mean, does the tanker that drives the BioDiesel to my house get worse mileage because it's carrying Bio instead of Dino?

    1. Re:Ummm... by psyder · · Score: 1

      I'd say it's a lot more, biofuels can be grown and processed locally. Dino has to be found, drilled, pumped, transported, refined and transported again before it gets to the pump.

  110. Are you joking? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He's a goddamn transportation researcher. His points are lame. Point one: It's okay because the CO2 emissions from soil decomposition will probably slow down over time? Yeah, and so will emission from fossil fuels as we run out of them. Point two is akin to saying that burning coal is okay because coal also creates soot to reflect heat and keep the atmosphere cool. And who can forget point three, there is no computer model for it... Well goddamn, somebody get right on a computer model for that man.

    The point of the research was to determine if bio-fuels, as they are being developed/deployed *right now* are accomplishing their stated goal of reducing atmospheric CO2. The research noted in the summary pointed out that, no, in fact, our bio-fuel initiatives are adding more CO2 to the atmosphere than if we had stayed with 100% fossil fuels. Oxidizing soil humus via tillage is effectively burning tomorrow's fossil fuels today. The global warming cult would rather bury their head in the sand than accept that they are wrong... again. Your "solution" is failing in spectacular fashion, and compounding the CO2 'problem' at the same time. Great job geniuses!

  111. Why use fossil fuels for production and refining? by White+Flame · · Score: 1

    Wouldn't those be moved over to being powered by biofuels as well? Seems stupidly obvious to me. It'd only be in the very beginning that the machinery used in production would still be running on petroleum products.

  112. Re:REAL math: UK decommission estimate 73 BIL poun by leftie · · Score: 1

    When you talk nuclear reactors, you've stepped into the realm of one of the most corrupt of all the Bush cronies, but yes the neo-cons as a whole are really are both this corrupt and this incompetent. For example, Paul Wolfowitz... the guy who was on camera on news outlets 24/7 before the war pushing the lie the Iraq War and Iraq reconstruction would pay for itself with Iraq oil proceeds, and was chased out the position of Pres. of the World Bank by all of Europe for corruption was just given another government job by Dubya last month.

    "Paul Wolfowitz, the former World Bank president and former deputy secretary of defense who was instrumental in the US decision to invade Iraq in 2003, has been named chairman of a panel that advises the State Department on arms-control issues..."

    http://www.boston.com/news/nation/washington/articles/2008/01/25/wolfowitz_appointed_chairman_of_arms_control_advisory_panel/

    US Government Contractors low-balling (low-balled, low-balling - To underestimate or understate (a cost) deliberately) bids is standard operating procedure with US Government Contractors, and the worst of them lined up to donate campaign money to Dubya and his neo-con cronies. Bechtel is consistently one of the worst of the worst. Bechtel has been getting singled out for corrupt practices since the Truman Commission in WW2.

    "Veteran observers of the klepto-plutocracy that has, lazar-like, long encrusted the American body politic were not surprised to see the hoary name of the Bechtel Group bobbing up in the swill of sweetheart deals now being doled out by the Corrupter-in-Chief for the "reconstruction" of his new fiefdom in Iraq. Decades before its comrade in cronyism, the Carlyle Group, made its meteoric, Bush-assisted ascent to global prominence, Bechtel had already perfected the dark art of milking intimate government connections for fat, risk-free contracts.

    Last week, while the notorious coward George W. Bush --who walked away from his National Guard duty during the Vietnam War, a criminal act known as "desertion" when committed by lesser mortals --was basking in the man-musk of a shipload of sailors, reciting his usual lies about al Qaeda's "alliance" with Saddam Hussein, and weasel-wording his "victory" declaration to avoid taking full legal responsibility for the consequences of the war of aggression he had unleashed, Bechtel was quietly pocketing a secret, closed-bid, open-ended Iraq contract that could give them almost $700 million in taxpayer money before the 2004 election --with the alluring prospect of untold billions to follow, Mother Jones reports.

    What's more, as the New Yorker reports, this public largess will also fill the coffers of a key Bechtel partner in Saudi Arabia --a well-connected global conglomerate that has also been a long-time financial partner of both George Bush I and George Bush II: the Bin Laden Group.

    Bechtel, which has served Saudi royalty for more than 60 years, bristles with heavyweight kleptoplute connections. During the 1980s, current Bush warlord Don Rumsfeld acted as a paid shill for a Bechtel pipeline project in the Middle East, operating with the blessing of the Reagan-Bush administration's secretary of state, George Schultz --Bechtel's former president (and now "senior counsel" to the company). Rummy conducted a passionate two-year courtship of a certain Saddam Hussein, plying him with trinkets, blandishments and sweetmeats to win his lordly favor for a Bechtel-built line from Iraq to Jordan, according to national security archives obtained by the Institute for Policy Studies.

    Rumsfeld's strenuous attempt to lay pipe with Saddam happened to coincide with the latter's most extensive use of poison gas in the Iran-Iraq war --gassing carried out with the exemplary assistance of U.S. military intelligence and technology provided by the Reagan-Bush administration and its "special envoy" to B

  113. Obligatory... by aquila.solo · · Score: 1

    If you're a slashdotter, the odds are the machine doesn't even bother with a disguise. :-)

  114. Crude Oil Addiction Causes World Drought by ImitationEnergy · · Score: 0

    What a great debate, complete with the usual cries to rape ANWR + drill more U.S. oil from underneath California where upward pressure happens to be HOLDING CALIFORNIA UP. The World drought is worsening. Hm, I wonder why. Could it be the oil companies' pumping water into underground oil fields to push out the remaining oil is where the water table is going? It doesn't matter where the oil comes from when it's taking water from the Earth's water cycle. So ethanol falls 2 years after I knew it was going to fall. Glad you guys are finally catching up to me some. What'cha gonna do now that your champion has fallen, hmm? Convert to all electric hybrids? Yes, great idea! Anybody hear about China, the country that's using the money from us to buy up all the copper mines in the world it can. Hmm. Copper, the new OPEC screw. Detroit, eh tu Brutus? Surely a Goliath made of copper will be able to stand longer than one made of liquid ethanol. BTW, anyone know how much electricity and fossil fuels it TAKES TO MINE COPPER? => Any carbon footprint savings from switching to electric hybrids is preceded by a tremendous copper mine explosion, an explosion under the front seat (where we're sitting) followed by a lot of butt salve? It's still going to fall ~right beside ethanol~ as we slowly go through all the possibilities the greatest scientists comes up with, anything to avoid using my air + steam engine solution (that fixed Virginia Tech's champion Abraham Hertzberg's air-powered 1997 failure): http://www.newpath4.com/enginewow.htm . Anyone have any idea how much water is used & polluted by mining copper? People telling me "you can't get something from nothing". Well? The same applies to crude oil and copper as those new reports have shown: they all came with a price tag. My system engages inertia from car motion to recompress the air on-the-fly, which means it uses an "outside force", which means it is not perpetual motion. But some people kept knocking my engine that it would only make a small amount of horsepower. I recall the early VW bug had only 63 hp or so. An engineer 3 years ago estimated a small version of my engine would develop 70 hp. Where's the BEEF?. The beef is that my engine process is a form of desktop fusion and the scientific community is squealing in agony at the idea a mere highschool graduate discovered it. Well, this HS graduate had a college level worth of courses that eclipsed previous generations: find another argument. My engine is a "closed system" that uses a small amount of recycled water expanded in steam, cylinder-condensed on contact with liquid air, drained out a hmm drain hole & flash-steamed again & injected again. The water less than 1/2 liter per vehicle is never altered, never used up, and NEVER PUMPED INTO THE GROUND. The scientific community's witches brew of failed ideas has led mankind into a World Drought condition >>> and they went to college. So, how long does it take all that underground water (H2O molecules smaller than crude oil) to escape the underground caverns through the cavern walls, allowing a supercavern collapse sliding Californians off into the Pacific? Ask Steven Forbes. NEWS FLASH: Seven months ago I finished designing the rest of the system around my engine, increasing horsepower well over 1000% => It can now push anything on wheels, RV's, SUV's, Hummers, Greyhound buses and tractor-trailers. That's where the beef is now, on my plate, while the "scientific community" is sinking in quicksand, rolling dice on the world trying to save its reputation from being aced by one they publicly brand a wacko independent inventor. Our world today was built by religious wackos, not think tanks. Religious Belief is a catalyst of the highest order. You can argue it caused some wars but you also have to admit a lack of it has contributed us this world drought with more to come. If a Bible believer is a fool, what excuse do the other fools have?

    --
    Industrial Age 2 + How-to Stop Malignant Cancers.
  115. Less is great -- if you're not getting fleeced by zooblethorpe · · Score: 1

    Right now I'm living on about $1250 a month US, which is $15000 a year.

    I'm quite interested -- Is that net, or gross? And where in Japan do you live?

    I lived in Tokyo for three years, and was appalled upon moving back to the US at how bloody expensive everything is -- and what crappy quality you get for all that extra cost.

    Take my internet connection, for instance -- I was paying $20 / month in Tokyo for 12Mbps DSL, the most basic package available when I signed up. By the time I left, I was paying -- see if you can guess -- $20 / month. The only thing that had changed was that the ground-level basic package had upgraded to 18Mbps. Meanwhile, the additional monthly landline telephone bill came to $22 / month. Here in the "We're Number One!" US, the best I can get is 5Mbps (on paper, usually more like 3-4Mbps on a good day), for $35 / month (up from $30 / month). It's been 5Mbps for all three years I've been back, with no speed upgrades at all. The additional landline connection fee also weighs in at $35 / month, and seems to include all these unexplained additional fees and taxes -- which investigation shows were part of that terrible congressional handout to the telcos, ostensibly to upgrade the infrastructure but actually just to pad their profit margins. :-\

    • Japan: $42 / month, 12Mbps -> 18Mbps
    • CA: $70 / month, 5Mbps (more like 3-4Mbps)
    • 67% increase in cost, ~75% decrease in service

    Or how about mobile phone service (extravagant, I know, but I actually need mine for business). In Japan, our combined monthly bill for two cell phones came to $92 / month, and we had very good service, even down in the tunnels of the Tokyo subway system. Here, we pay $150 / month and can't even keep a phone call going along arterial highway 101 between Palo Alto and San Mateo, right in the blooming heart of Geek Central -- driving right past Google's headquarters at Moffett Field.

    • Japan: $92 / month, good service even underground
    • CA: $150 / month, calls dropping even in wide-open urban areas
    • 63% increase in cost, decrease in service

    Or we could look at rent, an area where Tokyo is usually regarded as mind-bogglingly expensive. We pay 20% *more* in CA than we did in Tokyo, for a place that is just a biscuit bigger, but less centrally located and more inconvenient by almost any measure (shopping, amenities, entertainment, hiking, etc) -- and yet still cheaper than most other possibilities in the area. Hmm, what was all that talk again about Tokyo being so expensive...?

    • Japan: $1,500 / month, everything walkable or train-able
    • CA: $1,800 / month, very little walkable or train-able
    • 20% increase in cost, decrease in service

    And these are only a few examples. I'm not even going to really get into transportation -- about how it's pretty impossible to live in the US without a car, about how that's largely thanks to car company efforts to kill public transportation, combined with bad zoning and growth policies over the past several decades leading to community layouts that make cars a requirement, etc etc. Or healthcare -- about how prevalent pharmaceutical ads are, about how US healthcare seems to be all about covering the symptoms and less about fixing the underlying issue, about how private insurance for two healthy married people in our mid-30s costs more than our rent, etc etc. If it weren't for my job, and my naïveté about how expensive it actually is here, I'd have stayed in Tokyo. As it is, we'll be moving out this summer, in search of somewhere we can afford.

    One of the central conclusions I come to after sifting through my bills and various media (both USian and otherwise) is that the upper echelons of the American power structure, both corporate and governmental, are packed with crooks. Yes, power corrupts and all that, but it sure don't look like the US is going to be number one at much of anything (well, anything positive) for a while to come.

    I envy you your ability to function at lower income levels. I don't think that would work quite so well here in the US given the distorted economy.

    --
    "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
    "A four-foot prune."
    1. Re:Less is great -- if you're not getting fleeced by wrook · · Score: 1

      It's $15K gross. Actually, I'm actually making twice that, but I'm giving half of it away.

      Of course I live in the inaka :-) I really prefer to live in a small town (especially here in Japan). It's quiet and beautiful. And as you pointed out, there are few places in Japan where you need a car. The climate where I am is warm enough that I can bike all year round (although I'm a bit reluctant just at the moment -- brrr).

      However, I lived in Ottawa, Canada for 12 years prior to this so I understand what you are saying about North America. I ran a car for a good 15 years (a big part of the reason I can cut costs is giving up that damn thing). It is hard, but not impossible to live in North America without a car. But you have to move to a place where there is good transit.

      Since this thread is basically over (and you seem interested) I'll just type in a few things I've discovered about living on the cheap (even in Canada). The first is to live near work. Ideally walking distance. This really saves you a bunch of time. If you can't do that, then start at work and find a bus route that is reasonably good, but not too busy. Then follow the map back and look for places to live.

      Look for *small* places that are in reasonably good repair. Do some learning about construction and learn to recognize the difference between cosmetic and serious damage. Often a place that looks bad can be spruced up cheaply (and entertainingly) with some elbow grease. Make sure the place is walking distance to the supermarket. Those are the 2 places you will be going to *very* frequently -- work and supermarket. If you have kids you need to worry about safety, schools, etc. But if you don't (my case) then things are a lot easier.

      When decorating, less is more. Buy extremely high quality in extremely low volume. Furniture only makes your room smaller. The less you have the better off you are. But if what you have is of extremely high quality then the place will look and feel fantastic. Probably you will have to spend a lot of time buying furniture (years) since you don't want to spend too much money. Use the time to really research what you are getting and why you need it. XP rules are good here -- simplest thing that could possibly work and then refactor.

      What will happen is that you will buy a few really nice things. They may not be exactly right. That's OK, you can replace them (even though they are expensive). Spend the time to really understand what you need, while at the same time using what you've got. Then replace them when you can. Often you will find (if you are like me) that what you really needed was nothing (I actually don't have chairs anymore... or a bed... or a kitchen table... you get the picture -- of course Japanese lifestyle helps in this regard).

      Having a balcony or patio with a southern exposure is really helpful because it means that you can grow food. I've been amazed at how much food I can grow in containers in a really small area. It cuts the food budget a lot, is pretty to look at and is a nice hobby. Also the food is waaaaaay better than what you can buy at the super market.

      My one last tip is to cook. I learned to cook by watching TV shows (believe it or not). I just taped all of shows for a few years and watched them in my spare time. After a while I figured out which of the shows were crap, which saved me a lot of time :-). Also, Mastering the Art of French Cooking is a brilliant book that shows all the basic cooking techniques you're likely to need. Cooking saves ridiculous amounts of money. Having people over for dinner is also incredibly fun. If you cook *everything* from scratch (no convenience foods) you can save money like you wouldn't believe as well as have a much better lifestyle (the food is awesome!). I also usually cook vegan (although I'm not really vegetarian). Even if I'm being extravagant my entire food budget is less than $1500 a year, which is only 10% of my income.

  116. Biofuels - The Con of the Century by LinuxLuver · · Score: 1

    Critics of bio-fuels pointed out a long time ago that you can't grow enough to make much difference to fuels, but the effect of displacing food production would be to push food prices up and / or create local / regional food deficits. This is now coming to pass, as predicted......with a loaf of bread now over $4 where I live and most food items now much more expensive than last year.....in tandem with higher food prices. We should consider banning bio-fuels as socially irresponsible. I recently changed to the 1.3litre car and I now spend the same on gas as I used to back when it was half the price it is today. If the US car fleet were to downsize similarly, gas usage / demand could fall by over 30% within a year. Conservation makes more sense than continued wastage and displacing food production to support continued wastage.

    --
    Only boring people are ever bored.
  117. You can chill out here: by smittyoneeach · · Score: 1

    http://www.m4gw.com:2005/m4gw/multimedia.html
    The splendid "If we had some global warming" is the second video downpage.

    --
    Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
  118. Re:Hm...WGTMTM by wilec · · Score: 1

    "It's also important to note that the VAST majority of our petroleum imports don't actually come from the Middle East! The DOE says so itself. Our top two petroleum importing countries are... Canada and Mexico!"

    The argument about dependence on Middle Eastern oil fields is based on world supply. This area of the world still provides a considerable percentage of the total volume. If this volume is reduced then the products in Mexico and Canada will become more attractive to other buyers in the world, like say China, Europe or Japan, and thus more expensive for us all.

    I can see where this could be a reasonably valid argument. However I tend to think the root issue is what the root issue always is, ie: WGTMTM or Who Gets To Make The Money. There has been considerable investment in this part of the worlds oil fields by a few really big players that intend to extract every $ they can from said investment. Generally I don't blame them for the base premise, I just have a problem with the ethics and corresponding social fallout of the methods they often employ.

    It seems to me that this is a excellent argument against a unilateral approach in dealing with this area of the world. Despite what they are willing to pay in taxes I doubt the Europeans or Japanese want to pay a higher base price. I doubt the traditionally frugal Chinese would be fond of it either. Then again considering these players military history in the last century or two maybe we don't want them any more involved than absolutely necessary. See I can examine and see the good and bad of more than one view point, at least I can, unfortunately some it seems can't manage such.

    wabi-sabi
    matthew

  119. [OT] [METAMOD] Man, that is *_CRAZY_* by hummassa · · Score: 1

    Pointing out data is not trolling, it is just facts. Right now, there is no free lunch with energy, if you are discussing trapped heat. If you add excess heat-from any source at all, including nuclear, plus "trap" it more, you will get global warming to a larger degree than what would have been normal without any anthropocentric additions. Uranium in the ground gradually decays and gives off the heat, that isn't the issue really, the issue is the rapidity by which the heat is released and then trapped compared to normal human society evolution. Natural decay=zillions of years, whereas inside a fission reactor than down to the consumer = a few years = rapid rise in global temps if done on a huge scale. And it scales quite literally, one for one. Nuclear fission power is an anthropocentric addition to global warming. that huge amount of heat is *released*, that's all a reactor does is get "hot", we use turbines to make electricity and transfer that energy around, but it all gets back to just transferring the heat around. Just reality. Same with burning biomatter, whether dug up out of the ground, pumped out, or grown on the surface. The biological stuff on the surface though is a lot closer-not perfect but a lot closer- to being neutral in heat addition and the "trapping" effect with the gases compared to coal or oil or nuclear fission plants. Solar thermal is probably about the same level as purposefully grown biofuels.

    I repeat, no free lunch, and a massive addition of hundreds or thousands more nuke plants around the world will, without any doubt whatsoever, add to global warming in a significant degree, unless one suspends the laws of thermodynamics somehow, which I don't think is all that possible. And the faster it happens, the faster the warming happens, the less chance humans have of adapting to it in a non chaotic or socially destructive way. I have never seen such idiotic moderation in all my life.
    You are completely correct: human society un-traps chemical/nuclear energy currently stored in biofuels/nukefuels, transforms it into electricity, then into heat, that goes into the atmosphere... it's quite simple, especially if our atmosphere is _already_ full of greenhouse-effect gases, so the heat we release _stays_ in the atmosphere instead of dissipating into space.
    --
    It's better to be the foot on the boot than the face on the pavement. ~~ tkx Kadin2048
  120. Smile, as in, don't cry. by FatSean · · Score: 1

    If we had less of an oil addiction, the military might not be generating more terrorists over in Iraq because we wouldn't really need access to their oil.

    But I'm a cynic.

    --
    Blar.