Is a 'Katrina-Like' Space Storm Brewing?
pilsner.urquell writes "A newly released NASA report warns that the world has forgotten the power of the sun, creating a technological society susceptible like never before to large infrastructure damage from solar storms.
According to the report, the world has grown so dependent on modern technologies without respect of what the sun can and has done, that it's risking major communications, finance, transportation, government and even emergency services disruptions."
Space Carbon Credits are the answer. Make the check out to me.
I read that quickly and had a brief fear that zombie roalnd piquepioele was still submitting stories :(
Do you even lift?
These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.
Make the check out to me.
Manbearpig has a different idea.
"... risking major ... finance, ... disruptions."
who needs the sun for that?
We're all going to DIIIIIIIIEEEEEE!
Proud member of the American Non Sequitur Society. We might not make much sense, but boy do we love pizza!
"Space Katrina" sounds rather dramatic, but wouldn't the atmosphere lessen the damage? Granted, it's still a valid concern that should be considered, but TFA seems like it's a bit more "doomsday" and a little less "this could happen".
I guess there's only one thing to do - Destroy the sun!
A study funded by NASA has flagged up yet another terrible hazard for those no longer able to get excited about nuclear war, global pandemics, terrorism, climate change, economic meltdown and asteroid strike.
I for one welcome our weekly disaster overlords.
Do you D?
spacecraftconfirmsit
Nothing says "you screwed up" like a nice plague!
At the height of the cold war, this was one of the concerns. As I recall the detonation of a nuclear device in space would cause a massive EMF pulse (Electro-Magnetic force Pulse) that could trash electronics. (Yes, one on the ground is obviously much worse, but this would allow a government to "blind" an enemy without collateral damage.)
It seems that with the end of the cold war, and the fact that an EMP can occur naturally, has been forgotten.
Greg P
Quebec knows what they're talking about.
I'm god, but it's a bit of a drag really...
It really, really bugs me. A lot. I know they are only using it to give the impression of a powerful and disastrous storm. It just seems that likening a coronal mass ejection to a "katrina-like" event is as realistic as likening a tornado to that little swirl in your bathtub drain.
Given that (a) the average journey for food items from production to plate is supposedly over 1000 miles in my country, (b) I live in area with few farms, and (c) Space Katrina is going to knock out transportation and probably the electical grid (I have an electric stove and oven), I have to wonder: Can the smoker I got for Christmas be used to bake bread? And what other essentials should I stock up on?
Loose things are easy to lose. You're getting your hair cut. They're going there to see their aunt.
Hahah, yeah, somewhere on a distant world there's an alien Heinlein writing a novel about capturing the meatbags' top space brainboxes
Seriously guys, I figured this out ages ago... -Faraday
Screw cyberpunk, we're switching to steampunk!
If I remember they said there was a storm in the mid-19th century that interfered with _telegraph_ traffic. Which is to say, think about what it would do to microprocessors.
Man, New Orleans can't catch a freaking break!
You could always go Amish.
W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
What about my digital satellite TV? Hey, if I'm stuck at home w/o the internet access, I'll need something to keep my mind occupied while I starve to death and fend off the ravaging hordes!
Putting the "anal" back into "analyst"...
At least he didn't forget. One of the events he mentioned in his writings was the massive corruption of magnetically stored data. I believe it was his 2001 series (2001, 2010, etc...) where he mentioned a devastating solar storm that wiped out a vast majority of Earth's digital records.
Private and semi-private energy companies, like all lnstitutions promoted by competition to cut costs, suffer the malady of products and infrastructure "built by the lowest bidder".
Because of the nature of pure capitalism and even mixed economies, it is against the interests of any individual actor to create a more robust electronic infrastructure.
This is a role for the dreaded "R" word..ok i'll say it.. RRRegulation.
This is why i hope a solar storm like the one this article fear-mongers about happens.
When it does, various electronic infrastructure companies (power, telecom, etc) will happily welcome a law which sets a minimum level of EMP hardening and other standards.
It's important to note that, despite raising their costs a bit, it won't matter to them so long as their competition suffers the same way.
The cost will likely be passed on to the consumer, but "main street" will also be happy to pay an extra 3 bucks on a few bills knowing region-wide blackouts of power, phone, and internet will no longer be common, especially with a catastrophic failure fresh in their minds.
VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
"George Bush doesn't care about BlackBerries."
The world has become so covered by interconnecting copper wire, it has become a massive Faraday cage and is impervious to such threat.
One of our competitors trademarked the term "hypothesis". From now on, we will call them "boneheaded ideas".
With any luck a major space storm will wipe out any and all technology on earth. Maybe this would be the kick in the pants our species needs.
Well, aren't you just a ray of sunshine on this cloudy Monday topic...
Better hope you're not wearing your bluetooth-enabled, wifi-hooked, Pacemaker-3000 by the time your epiphany rings true...
Right. If people had lower taxes, the first thing they'd think of to spend the money on would be EMP-resistant electronics.
They would forgo extra vacations, faster cars, Jacuzzis, expensive Champagne and plastic surgery, so that they could upgrade to a rad-hardened TV set. They would show off their Faraday-enclosed gear at parties to impress their friends.
I'm 100% confident that's what everyone would do, and solar storms would be no longer be a risk to anyone.
Would communication still be so vulnerable? Most of the long distance shit uses fiberoptics, and a lot of the short distance stuff is underground... Your ADSL is obviously not going to do you much good if you have no power on the modem, but the backbone ought to cope reasonably...
10 ?"Hello World" life was simple then
And when it arrives, it will shake the universe!
In answer to the ridiculous summary:
No, a "Katrina-like" space storm is not brewing, because for a storm to remotely resemble an Atlantic Hurricane, it would need to occur inside of a frikkin' atmosphere.
Bad journalism should be painful to the perpetrator.
In Capitalist America, bank robs you!
Too much optimization and too much interdependency do lead to a Perfect Storm factory.
Rethinking email
A newly released NASA report warns that the world has forgotten the power of the sun....
Simon: My God, the sun!
Elaine: The sun? Simon, what is it?
Simon: A large, fiery ball at the center of our solar system.
Or Druid. Don't know if I've got the room for one of their clocks, though.
to save itself from being replaced by Obama's proposed NASA-military merge. This is fear-mongering to keep their bureaucratic pants pockets full.
According the report, the world has grown so dependent on modern technologies without respect of what the sun can and has done, that it's risking major communications, finance, transportation, government and even emergency services disruptions
That's why I keep a loaded AK by my home servers and my passport is right beside my 45.
Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
Because home computers create a lot of EMI, they're enclosed in metal boxes. Those same metal boxes help protect them from EMP strikes. The vulnerable components are those connected to the world outside the box: keyboard ports, monitor ports, printer ports, external USB, firewire, SCSI, modem, etc.. The parts likely to blow are those interface components, not the microprocessor, which is protected for a variety of reasons including its price. However, if the interface parts are gone, the computer is useless, so it's not much of a consolation that the micro won't be fried.
The most likely way to kill the micro is a surge on the AC causing a severe overvoltage to the micro.
Telegraph wires were exposed and extended over long distances, so it's no surprise that any sort of electrical storm could interfere with telegraphy. Modern telephone and electrical systems are designed to withstand most lightning strikes, so they stand a fair chance of holding up under a sunstorm. Time will tell.
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...in the World of Warcraft forums when this happens. I predict threats of cancellation for inadequate solar-storm protection and demands for a punch-card character-backup system.
:wq
Unfortunately Kodos and Kang were unavailable for comment.
Dyson Sphere time.
We could surely modify one to extinguish the sun in no time!
Boot Windows, Linux, and ESX over the network for free.
Big.
Doesn't care about black holes.
wouldn't the atmosphere lessen the damage?
I like the notion that pollutants in the air might dampen the effects of the "space storm." Then we could all say that we were doing our part for humanity by generating the largest carbon footprints possible. The general idea of pitting two different camps of Doomsday Cultists against each other in some kind of Texas Cage Match also holds appeal...
But seriously folkes.. if all the lights went out tomorrow, what shape would you be in..?
Cthulhu Saves -- in case He's hungry later.
I've been thinking about this a lot lately, who's making their gear ready for this sort of thing besides the U.S. Navy?
Cthulhu Saves -- in case He's hungry later.
...the answer is "not much". It affected telegraph traffic because telegraph lines were extremely long conductors, in which large currents could be induced by the electromagnetic interference. But the conductors in your computer are very short (engineers go to lots of trouble to make them as short as possible). Modern equipment is also rather better shielded from electromagnetic interference than antique telegraph systems.
Oolite: Elite-like game. For Mac, Linux and Windows
My current reading, Flare ( http://www.amazon.com/gp/offer-listing/067172133X ), contains a scenario remarkably similar to that dipped into in the article.
it's the taking apart that counts
Because good electrical insulation and overload protection circuitry was so common back then, right? I can definitely see a magnetically charged atmosphere being a big problem for electronic devices. I'm not sure if it's as big of a problem as it seems, though. Someone mentioned airplanes. Well, they're shielded against lightening strikes and stray electromagnetic fields.
Modern computers have heavy rubberizing on the wires going into the system, with protection circuitry on most powered ports. (e.g. USB) In addition, the heavy metal frame of the computer acts as a ground for excess electrical energy. Which should provide some protection against a charged atmosphere.
Cell phones and other wireless devices may become useless due to interference, but I doubt they'd be damaged en masse by the event. Going by the effects of EMPs, you usually you need a long stretch of metal (e.g. an antenna of 30 inches or longer) to provide sufficient conductance to burn out the device.
Cars are another area that would be less of a problem than you might think. My understanding is that recent government tests have shown that the protection of the car body means that far fewer modern cars and trucks are susceptible to EMP effects than originally thought. (Which actually makes an EMP weapon far less useful than originally thought.)
So when all is said and done, a solar storm would likely be a major PITA, but it's not the end of civilization as we know it. Satellites are almost certainly the greatest concern as they have very little protection from the elements of space. Of course, the electronics are also hardened for the environment, so the situation may not be as dire as one might think.
Javascript + Nintendo DSi = DSiCade
of Obama looking out the window of his space plane when he flies past earth?
this is the most important sig ever! In your face 446154!
Yes, this kind of hype comes up approximately every eleven years. Because the sun is on an eleven-year cycle. The last maximum was around 2003. We are now in a minimum. The next maximum should be 2014-2015, although there is some wiggle room, and this last cycle seems to have been exceptionally long.
So you can expect this hype about solar damage to come up in 2009 and last until 2012, by which time everyone will have forgotten it. Then there will be actual damage in 2014-2015 that very few people will notice. Then the media cycle of foretelling doom will repeat around 2020.
Genocide Man -- Life is funny. Death is funnier. Mass murder can be hilarious.
It better hurry! Only 8 more days to blame it on Bush! :p
I know, I know...troll / flaimbait but not funny. *sigh*
That would be funny, 'cause the grid would still go down. So your stuff may work, but you wouldn't be able to power it. And the cable TV system would not deliver content, so you could turn on your EMP protected TV, but only be able to get static.
--
$tar -xvf
Green Peace can stop protesting because even if we DO manage to 'save the earth from the evil companies' the fucking sun will nuke the whole fucking planet. Oh yea, and PeTA can stop their bitching too since all the animals will be turned into instant BBQ.
It's monday. I'm allowed to use the word 'fuck' liberally.
It's nice to hear about a dire environmental threat that for a change we can't make any worse by ignoring Global Warming.
Don't panic.
With Obama in the Whitehouse everything will be fine. They'll be rebuilding the Whitehouse dome within a few days of the disaster and as I have already mentioned in a previous post on a similar Pollyanna-ish topic, the Germans will of course rebuild civilisation in less time and with greater efficiency and to a much higher quality specification than the last couple of times they had to do it (Collapse of Rome, Black Death).
Posts, MyBio or Sig, may contain satire, sarcasm, bolded nouns be sardonic or even witty & be Church of SD
Maybe this would be the kick in the pants our species needs.
Not really. The dinosaurs didn't die out because their blackberries didn't work anymore. They died out because they didn't have a working space program.
Without sufficient technology to detect and deflect large incoming space objects, any long term chance of survival is 0%.
It might be 10, 100, or 100,000 or even a 1,000,000 years from now, but a species without sufficient technology will go extinct even if they simply live harmoniously with the Earth without figuring out the real problem of getting off Earth.
This place is a deceiving death trap if you don't look at the big picture.
The irony is that if we got hit say in 2012 by a sunstorm that knocks out most of our satellites and communications system, only to take finally recover in 2030 to realize that Apophis has only a few days to hit earth.
No we need all the time we can get.
"I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
-Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
Did anyone notice the predicted year of the storm is also the year that the Mayan calendar runs out?
I've been in the business of what's become known as "space weather" since 1972 (yeah, an Old Guy). One thing I've learned in this time is to ignore NASA when it comes to space weather issues. We in the community have been aware of this issue for decades, and it has been brought to the attention of The Decision Makers on many occasions at many levels with both government and commercial organizations. The lack of "leaping into action" has been stultifying, mainly because this disaster has never happened and so the bureaucratic take is that it can be safely ignored (same thinking that won't put a stoplight at an intersection until 10 people have died there). Recall that NASA is also the source of the lowest of the predictions for the upcoming solar cycle. So, on one hand they say "hey, the sky is going to fall" and on the other "hey, rainshowers at worst". All NASA cares about is publicity. The official organization for making these kinds of predictions is the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (I don't work there, or for them).
We must destroy the sun immediately to avoid these disasters (it will also correct global warming).
The Amish manage to live without electricity, perhaps we should learn how to live without it ourselves for a few weeks. That skill might come in useful in the future.
“Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
Modded insightful?
While posted on /. using a computer? Funny is more like it.
I lived through Hurricane Ike and have several relatives who lived through Hurricane Katrina. We went 14 days without electricity and I came really close to losing my mind. Two things I learned: 1. the worst part of not having electricity is not the lack of air condition (although that did very much suck). The worst part was the darkness at night. Basic tasks become impossible in the dark. Once the sun sets you go to sleep because there isn't much else to do. Flashlights are great until you forget where you put the flashlight and its pitch black. Cell phones are very useful for illumination until they lose their charge. 2. Ice is the most valuable commodity when you don't have electricity. Stores will eventually restock bottled water, canned food, ect... Ice was the one product that I saw people literally fighting over and huge pallets of it would disappear within minutes of being placed. Another thing - if you are involved in a massive disruption you are pretty much on your own in that you cannot rely on police or ambulance to come to your aid - they are overwhelmed. One good aspect of the whole ordeal was that I met and *gasp* actually talked to many of my neighbors. It was interesting to see that human beings are actually quite good at banding together during times of extreme duress. Of course, once the power was restored we went back to our indifferent ways but at least I know my neighbors now! Finally, contrary to popular belief, there was no mass hysteria, no large group of roving bandits breaking into stores or looting homes. I have a feeling that potential criminals knew they would have been shot on site because people were on edge. This is Texas after all.
"... they're shielded against lightening strikes and stray electromagnetic fields..."
Then why do we have to turn off all our shit when they want to land or take off?
-=[ Who Is John Galt? ]=-
The dinosaurs ... died out because they didn't have a working space program.
Says who? Maybe they just took off for the Delta Quadrant.
When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
I can understand the complexity of shielding every electronics piece in the telecom / power industry, but is there a reason in this day and age that cars are not shielded? You're insulated from the ground by the tires, just strap on some chicken wire and you've got a rolling faraday cage.
Just when you thought it was safe to move back to New Orleans...
It's supposed to be completely automatic, but actually you have to press this button.
Rather the solar storm will inexplicably only target poor planets. The Mercury, Venus, Mars will blame Earth for knowing about it all along yet doing nothing to prevent it. Saturn will blame her for actually perpetrating the entire thing. It will be a great cosmic conspiracy.
We in NZ get to watch Space Katrina tear apart Space Louisiana from a safe distance.
I've been thinking about this a lot lately, who's making their gear ready for this sort of thing besides the U.S. Navy?
The Chinese Navy?
Just another panic-of-the-day. Yes, it could happen. Yes, it HAS happened - in 1850-something, when telegraph offices caught fire from the induced current in the telegraph wires. Yes, it WILL happen again - someday. But not in the next 3 years, not with an extended Solar Minimum that still hasn't bounced up yet.
Well we do know that overpopulation, Starvation, and disease are self limiting feedback mechanisms, often proven positive to the overall system. . Should we now start examining truncated web access, excessive foot travel requirements, and inadequate gardening skills in the same light? Human beings are like cockroaches, no matter what you do, you'll never get that last ten percent.
"Be prepared for life." It's foolish to place all your trust in any one system, because it won't last forever (least of all this technological house of cards we're living in). Mind you, I've always been rather biased on this subject, believing people in general have become a bit too complacent about the comfortable lives they lead in this modern age. So, the Cosmic Katrina happens, and we all get sent back to the proverbial Stone Age. Dark outside? Light a fire. Hungry? Learn to hunt/gather/cultivate crops (not as hard as it seems). Got somewhere to go? Start walking. Need to send a message? Send a courier, or go there yourself. Men with guns trying to take your stuff? Learn to shoot/fight better than them. Injured? A military field survival guide will help with that. The point is, if you're at least somewhat prepared for a disaster or other adverse contingency, the idea of it actually happening becomes less dreadful, and your odds of surviving it increase dramatically.
Calling this Katrina-like seems to be like calling the Holocaust "9/11-like".
(*And now I wait for survivors of each of these three to tear me to shreds.)
Realistically, if this were to happen it wouldn't take THAT long to rebuild our technology. Sure, it'd take time, and it'd take money... but don't doubt that we are SO dependent on our technology today that we would definitely rebuild.
On the bright side, employment for technology people with a creative bent (creating solutions with minimal technology) will find great and very lucrative careers. Short term pain, long term gain.
Me, I welcome the coming apocalypse ;)
"Oh, please don't turn this into a zombie apocalypse survivalist fantasy! "
No! No! DO turn it into a Zombie Apocalypse Survivalist Fantasy!!! It'll be a heck of a lot more fun to read!
If I may put a vote in ... go find the movie "Fido". Easily the funniest Zombie movie I've ever seen. Stars Carrie-Ann Moss. Yep, that girl from the Matrix ... and she can actually smile! Set in 1950's America after a Zombie Apocalypse ... with a Zombie and a boy named Timmy ...
-- David
This may look like a signature, but it's only yet another buffer overrun.
The high altitude nuclear shots the U.S. did to study the effects (and try for an effective ABM) did indeed kill some early commercial satellites.
This was most embarrassing, even if it was an "effect" to study.
There was an informal understanding between the Soviet and U.S. space program that no one would fire off a megaton at high altitude when there was a spacecraft and crew up there.
I wasn't around for most of the 1950's, but I believe we also managed to EMP Hawaii dark, or at least kill a whole bunch of fuses. But in the 1950's we didn't use much transistor technology; we were busy learning about it and developing it. (Please, I know that some transistorized machines came out in this era; I'm saying we didn't use them to control main power switches.)
Thanks,
Dave
Yes, well we had better just get our asses in gear and send some breeding stock elsewhere for a while. eh?
After all is there another evolutionary driver that could justify all this very odd brain activity?
Specialization is for insects. -- Robert A. Heinlein