14 Years Later, Cold Fusion Still Gets The Cold Shoulder
segment writes "It has been 14 years since two little-known electrochemists announced what sounded like the biggest physics breakthrough since Enrico Fermi produced a nuclear chain reaction on a squash court in Chicago. Using a tabletop setup, Stanley Pons and Martin Fleischmann, of the University of Utah, said they had induced deuterium nuclei to fuse inside metal electrodes, producing measurable quantities of heat. That was the opening bell for one of the craziest periods in science. Cold fusion, if real, promised to solve the world's energy problems forever. Scientists around the world dropped what they were doing to try to replicate the astounding claim."
The linked AP story (carried on SFGate.com) is about the
Tenth International Conference on Cold Fusion, which took place in the last week of August.
Maybe it still gets the cold shoulder because there didn't turn out to be anything to it? Nah, stilly me, must be some kind of conspiracy.
What do you think powers my flying car?
"The number of Unix installations has grown to ten, with more expected." (Unix Programmer's Manual, 2nd ed.; june 1972)
Val Kilmer in "Saint" is about some bad guys in Russia trying to steal cold fusion tech from an american scientist in Britain.
New year Resolution: Don't change sig this year
This is from the good ole' fortune file. It really has an answer to everything!
- "Yo, Mike!"
- "Yeah, Gabe?"
- "We got a problem down on Earth. In Utah."
- "I thought you fixed that last century!"
- "No, no, not that. Someone's found a security problem in the physics program. They're getting energy out of nowhere."
- "Blessit! Lemme look... Hey, it's there all right! OK, just a sec... There, that ought to patch it. Dist it out, wouldja?"
-- Cold Fusion, 1989
Scientists for the International Society of Alchemy held their 284th annual conference next door to the cold fusion conference. Still under debate is: did Gaythorpe the Great really turn lead into gold?
Want to improve your Karma? Instead of "Post Anonymously", try the "Post Humously" option.
My neighbor had a cold fusion plant working like a charm, but he hasn't done much with it since the time he decided to connect to the electricity grid and give all his fellow Ohians free juice.
> Maybe it still gets the cold shoulder because there didn't turn out to be anything to it?
"If it sounds too good to be true, it probably isn't."
That's what I said to a friend the day after the "discovery" hit the news, and I haven't had any cause to reconsider my position since.
Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
Our intelligent designer has never created an animal that we couldn't improve by strapping a bomb to it.
I know the popular thing to do is bash psuedo-sciences, and cold fusion because of its shaky introduction into popular thought quickly falls into this quagmire. But, let the human race dream before summarily dismissing the entire concept. I for one dont believe that all I have to look forward to as i grow older is a greater dependence on big oil, old money, and the like. Many groups (and by that I mean countries, companies, and current presidents) would love to convince us that there is no better way to live than under our present conditions. Not giving cold fusion and other radical departures from our current system an honest chance is not far from why were are stuck with Windows as the dominant platform in computers and oil as the backbone of our way of life.
Im not saying that cold fusion itself is the future, but what we are presently using is certainly not the platform for all future generations. Hell, if Bush gets his way there might not even be enough sun left for solar energy so there has to be soemthing to fill the void.
---- The real Slashdot is still here. You just have to browse at -1 to read the comments.
by grabbing the www.iccf11.org domain before the 11th conference ;)
I read an ethnography about scientists and the detection of gravity waves. It described how scientists, after having decided that something was wrong, persisted in simply ignoring papers that continued the research despite the productivity and interesting results of the further research. It was interesting, too bad I don't have a reference.
Logic, macros, and more
No, the title for that article is:
"6 versions later and ColdFusion still gets the cold shoulder (And crashes now and then for some reason)"
"It has been 14 years"
It been at least that long since we were promised Hydrogen fuel cells. Where's my fuel cell powered truck?
I think consumers have been patient enough. Now it is time for companies to deliver something.
Saskboy's blog is good. 9 out of 10 dentists agree.
No win situation for their critics really. They are going to have a tough time getting any support.
I know this is flamebait, but I just have to point out what an idiot you are.
Suppose such a technology exists...big oil is in the best possible position to exploit it; they have the money, and the distribution networks. If they dominate the technology, they'd make much more money than the do through oil that they have to dig out of the ground or buy from an arab cartel.
Just a Fleisch in the Pons
This was always my favorite re-telling of the story... From David Goodstein at Caltech...
http://www.its.caltech.edu/~dg/fusion_art.html
[disclaimer: from memory]
The Pons and Fleischmann "cold fusion" experiment was thoroughly discredited shortly after the press conference (in which they grossly overstated their results). Apparently they were spooked by another researcher working in a similar area. They had signed an agreement with him not to release any results, but got paranoid that he was going to "claim the credit", and went ahead and announced - kind of an "announce and hope the results back you up" gamble. Well, the results *didn't* back them up, although it is interesting that many reputable teams who sought to replicate the results initially did so, but one by one retracted their findings when they discovered various flaws in their methodologies.
I think the basic problem with the original Pons and Fleischmann experiment was that their calorimeter (which they used to get their "excess heat" measurements) was either faulty, or inappropriate for the experiement they were performing, and they didn't control for it.
grib.
maybe
Using the techniques published in the paper, I've been developing a method a quantum communication over great distances. The possibilities of these innovations to the original deuterium breakdown system are staggering; among these breakthroughs are advances in communication.
We all know the typical objection to unlimited data compression. One needs only to Google for "counting argument" to realize that further compression of essentially random (e.g., binary) data is impossible. Searches for better compression algorithms at best have minimal returns (1-2% reductions are considered remarkable) or at worst ineffective or outright hoaxes.
My new technology builds upon quantum duality -- influence at a distance. From first year quantum physics we know that observation of a particle can fix its state. Should a particle and anti-particle be released, we can *at a distance* fix the identity of the opposite particle merely by observation. What does this mean? Well, for one, by sending a stream of anti-particles to a remote observer then observing its opposite, we can then fix the identity of the remote particles *no matter how much distance*. This means we can instantaneously send as a stream of quantum particles. Schroedinger's and Heisenbergs body of work more than amply addresses the mechanics of this remote communication so I won't bore you with the technical details here.
How does my method overcome the inherent randomness of quantum identity? It doesn't. I rely upon a remote lookup table. The receiver will only need to be sent a key of several bits. The remote receiver can then index the key to a table of longer values. For example, a key code of 001 would correspond to a larger sequence such as 00100111. By performing a lookup on this table the receiver can then expand the key to arbitrarily large bit sequences. How are the keys transferred? Our new technology -- Extended Schroedinger Particle (ESP) -- bases itself upon the aforementioned work by Mr. Schroedinger. Of course, trade secrets and corporate lawyers prevent me from revealing the exact method.
Anyhow, please send me money so that I can continue my research. It has the potential to obviate and obsolete all current telecommunications networks.
KLL
Stuff on the US Navy and Cold Fusion
s /t r/1862/tr1862-vol1.pdf
http://www.spawar.navy.mil/sti/publications/pub
And just who is this "they" that you speak of? Please clarify.
we will use it to boil water
(you have to know how a nukular power plant works to get this joke)
A Usenet Troll Triumphs on Slashdot
Hi - I just wanted to tell you that there is a guy - Jean-Louis Naudin - who performed many cold fusion experiments recently, using different setups, with different kinds of electrods.
It seems that he is successful in getting more power produced than power eaten (around 200%).
You'll like all his experiments (full description, RealPlayer videos and full results are publicly available) at:
http://jlnlabs.imars.com/cfr/index.htm
If there are real physicists here, please comment his results, it can be interesting.
Jean-Louis is also the guy who successfully replicated the Lifter (electrostatic propulsion).
Hot fusion is alive and working in experimental reactors. They are able to keep in 10^8 kelvins using a magnetic field. It also is powered using heavy water and will be available commercially in 50 years or less. http://www.fusion.org.uk/
yes and there's foolproof cure for cancer and aids too, and for aging too but they dare not bring it about since gwb might use it. you should be modded up as funny, not insightful.
think for a moment what amount of cold money could be made on such invention combined with hmm, patenting it? you think any party that had the chances to something like that would keep it under lid until someone else figures it out too, as is usually bound to happen in the way that such advances work out to happen nowadays? why would they do such research if they didn't want to do anything with it and especially would like it to be stuffed away?
world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
What the heck kind of shoulder did you expect cold fusion to get?
Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
Some quick facts:
Science by press release is almost never ever good science.
Big physics has been getting more money than big chemistry. Many chemists jumped on the bandwagon in the hopes of getting research grants in their discipline.
The nature of fusion makes the whole idea of "cold fussion" an oxymoron.
A lot of ameteur's have been getting closer to fusion in their homes than the cold fusion people have ever gotten.
See sig for final thoughts on this subject.
"Science is about ego as much as it is about discovery and truth " - I said it, so sue me.
Think about what Cold fusion or other low cost, high energy power source, would do internationally - This would cripple countries - namely, Middle East countries that rely soley on Oil Exports.
Would it not be possible that the impact of such fuel sources be too high for the world to bear, at the moment.
Coincidentally, it's been 14 years since my Introductory Physics professor blew off pretty much the entire second semester to try to replicate the Pons & Fleischman findings. It worked out well -- he got a cover article in Nature and I got an A+ after he reused all the previous years' exams verbatim.
(You'd think everyone else would have gotten old exams from their friends, but I, though hardly an Alpha Beta, was apparently one of the few students who _had_ friends. For that matter, I could never understand how people could be given a word problem with the force and mass, told to find the acceleration, and given the relevant equations, couldn't locate f=ma and plug the values in.)
The same guy, when he talked about the Tacoma Narrows Bridge collapse pronounced it "Tacomanaros". It was years before I learned that it wasn't in Uruguay or Bolivia...
What I'm listening to now on Pandora...
Maybe you shouldn't rely on your history teacher for anecdotal scientific stories about lasers...
So we'll have cold fusion. It's more convenient than hot fusion.
Doesn't solve a few problems.
#1 is it safe?
#2 will it pollute? Radiation is the 'obvious' one, but what about spent fuel? is it poisonous?
#3 where will we get the fuel for this? It won't run on nothing.
Why not focus on using less energy, and improving the efficiency of current sources. Solar cells have a LONG way to go both in efficiency and financial competativeness.
Some months after the original story I was at some dinner or other at which some Cambridge physicists were present, so we asked them their views.
"Well," they said, "we've set it up in the lab, and it gets hot." Then they shrugged and talked about something else. (I don't remember who this was or I'd maybe ask them what their views are now.)
To briefly summarize the tale of woe, Frank Rosenblatt invented the perceptron in 1957. It had one layer of artificial neurons and sparked an entire field of research in artificial learning. In 1969, Marvin Minsky at MIT wrote a book called "Perceptrons: An Introduction to Computational Geometry"; in it, he mathematically proved that the perceptron could not solve certain classes of problems. This book essentially decimated funding for neural-network research for about 15 years.
In 1982, John Hopfield at Caltech revived the field with the invention of the Hopfield Networks. Further, several researchers invented backpropagation as a way to train neural networks with 2 or more layers or artificial neurons and overcame the limitations that Minsky indicated. Now, the field of neural networks has plenty of money to do research.
So, there is a possibility that research into cold fusion will grow hot again.
... from the desk of the reporter
There are two things that could be at work here. First, scientists may hate everything to do with cold fusion and not want to see it go anywhere. And/Or, Two, the media may be fueling the perception that scientists don't want anything to do with it.
I spoke with a nobel laureate physicist about cold fusion. I found that while he didn't think there was much to cold fusion (it isn't his primary area of research, but if he can't comment on it, who can?), I didn't get the feeling he held the anomosity usually attributed to the scientific community at large. (I frankly don't either) I think that the media plays a significant role in blackening the field. Kind of like the kid on the playground who eggs on fights, but never participates in them.
Scientists believe in publication, in particular good ones. If cold fusion-ites publish interesting/good research on the subject, they will be recognized. As pointed out in the above link, there was a seemingly cold fusion-like experiment that was published in science quite recently (it isn't quite cold fusion, because the events themselves are hot and very small).
Most scientists deal with skeptical peers regularly, this isn't just a property of the cold fusion community. That said, just because there is a conference on it doesn't make it real or even interesting. I personally find it interesting, but I wouldn't bet on seeing commercial applications of this in our lifetimes.
-Sean
they would be dead right now.
Fusion produces lots of hard radiation. A slight detail that the believers tend to gloss over.
If they had discovered fusion in a bottle, they would have been well done a few moments later.
"Trademarks are the heraldry of the new feudalism."
Um, do "we"? What exactly - that there isn't other sites you can visit instead, by the way?
Trust the Computer. The Computer is your friend.
You had me going until I read: she closed them by using the normal technique *WHILE* jumping off her stool.
I wonder if she engages in some acrobatics in the sack. THAT would be interesting.
I don't read or respond to AC posts
Frankly, that's ridiculous--they'd take control of the process and make America even more powerful. Last I checked the coal lobby is not all that and a bag of chips\.
Can someone explain Cold Fusion to me in easy, "I took 'Physics for Poets' in College" terms?
What is it with the people in Utah and hoaxes? First, you have the Mormon religion, where some sheister named Joseph Smith makes up a ridiculous story about finding golden tablets that somehow only he can translate, but later loses them, and this actually starts a whole religion.
Later, in 1989, some "scientists" at the University of Utah make up a fraudulent claim about Cold Fusion.
And now in 2003, a company in Lindon, UT now calling itself SCO makes up ridiculous claims about owning the IP in Linux so they can pump up their stock price.
I'm sure there's more examples throughout Utah's history. Is there something about the culture in this state that makes it a breeding ground for crazy fraudulent get-rich schemes?
SCO has announced they sueing Stanley Pons and Martin Fleischmann.. "SCO owns all rights to bullshit from the state of UTAH. Cold fusion therefore meets our criteria for deritive works." Chris Sontag, VP of SCO..
Well I remember the time when high temperature superconductivity was announced (little pill of material magnetically levitated in a cooled environment). Scientists started spouting on about lossless power lines using superconductors. Engineers skeptically thought that the energy required for the refridgeration was way more than the losses with conventional wiring. High temperature superconductors have very few realworld applications beyond generating Nobel prizes.
Engineering is the art of compromise.
You're mixing up fission and fusion. When splitting heavy elements like Uranium and/or Plutonium into lighter ones, many of these are radioactive. This is, even while the products are lighter than Uranium, they are still very heavy elements which are mostly instable and thus radioactive.
The light elements produced by fusion (usually He) are mostly stable. Two Deuterium atoms (heavy hydrogen), for example, combine to Helium-4, which is stable. Tritium + Deuterium makes for Helium-4 plus a neutron (which can be a problem, for it may induce decay in other elements of the surrounding material.
I think fusion in general is a very worthwhile field of research. Even if cold fusion may not work, hot fusion (which is technically possible, but still horribly complicated) has a much better energy-output-to-danger ratio than traditional nuclear energy.
THE CRACKPOT INDEX by John Baez A simple method for rating potentially revolutionary contributions to physics. -5 point starting credit. 1 point for every statement that is widely agreed on to be false. 2 points for every statement that is clearly vacuous. 3 points for every statement that is logically inconsistent. 5 points for each such statement that is adhered to despite careful correction. 5 points for using a thought experiment that contradicts the results of a widely accepted real experiment. 5 points for each word in all capital letters (except for those with defective keyboards). 5 points for each mention of "Einstien", "Hawkins" or "Feynmann". 10 points for each claim that quantum mechanics is fundamentally misguided (without good evidence). 10 points for pointing out that you have gone to school, as if this were evidence of sanity. 10 points for beginning the description of your theory by saying how long you have been working on it. 10 points for mailing your theory to someone you don't know personally and asking them not to tell anyone else about it, for fear that your ideas will be stolen. 10 points for offering prize money to anyone who proves and/or finds any flaws in your theory. 10 points for each statement along the lines of "I'm not good at math, but my theory is conceptually right, so all I need is for someone to express it in terms of equations". 10 points for arguing that a current well-established theory is "only a theory", as if this were somehow a point against it. 10 points for arguing that while a current well-established theory predicts phenomena correctly, it doesn't explain "why" they occur, or fails to provide a "mechanism". 10 points for each favorable comparison of yourself to Einstein, or claim that special or general relativity are fundamentally misguided (without good evidence). 10 points for claiming that your work is on the cutting edge of a "paradigm shift". 20 points for suggesting that you deserve a Nobel prize. 20 points for each favorable comparison of yourself to Newton or claim that classical mechanics is fundamentally misguided (without good evidence). 20 points for every use of science fiction works or myths as if they were fact. 20 points for defending yourself by bringing up (real or imagined) ridicule accorded to your past theories. 20 points for each use of the phrase "hidebound reactionary". 20 points for each use of the phrase "self-appointed defender of the orthodoxy". 30 points for suggesting that a famous figure secretly disbelieved in a theory which he or she publicly supported. (E.g., that Feynman was a closet opponent of special relativity, as deduced by reading between the lines in his freshman physics textbooks.) 30 points for suggesting that Einstein, in his later years, was groping his way towards the ideas you now advocate. 30 points for claiming that your theories were developed by an extraterrestrial civilization (without good evidence). 40 points for comparing those who argue against your ideas to Nazis, stormtroopers, or brownshirts. 40 points for claiming that the "scientific establishment" is engaged in a "conspiracy" to prevent your work from gaining its well-deserved fame, or suchlike. 40 points for comparing yourself to Galileo, suggesting that a modern-day Inquisition is hard at work on your case, and so on. 40 points for claiming that when your theory is finally appreciated, present-day science will be seen for the sham it truly is. (30 more points for fantasizing about show trials in which scientists who mocked your theories will be forced to recant.) 50 points for claiming you have a revolutionary theory but giving no concrete testable predictions. Appendage: 100 points for anything involving cold fusion, tabletop fusion, or super fusion.
http://almostsmart.com
Seems there were a lot of complex things interacting, electrical, chemical, thermal and *mechanical*. The palladium electode absorbing hydrogen gets visibly larger as it pulls the ions in - there was speculation that a lot of energy was being stored this way via a spring-loading effect, but nobody on the forum knew or cared to calculate how much. Spontaneous collapse of many microscopic internal structures in the electrode could account for episodes of heat release IF enough energy is stored this way.
The CFers also claimed elevated radiation near the experiments once. It turned out they were measuring radon levels in the basement where the experiment was being conducted.
Wish I'd saved my Compuserve logs of this stuff, but I couldn't afford the floppies, $5 each at the time. :-)
Anyway, once it became apparent the experiments had many possible flaws and were failing to produce any clear positive results, researchers who valued their career would have been crazy to waste the time.
Anybody here participate in the Science & Math forum back then? I've always wondered what happened to the moderator, Emory Kimbrough.
"A worthy cause has never been harmed by the truth" - Gandhi
Cold fusion is impossible: it goes against the Second Law of Thermodynamics.
Every announcement of somebody getting cold fusion to work is only a fraud or a mistake.
There's a good book by Robert L. Park (Nobel Prize of Physics) dealing with cold fusion and other scientific frauds (such as perpetual movement engines): Voodoo Science
Robert Park also writes a column for the American Physical Society.
You would think that the scientists working on it would have been able to anticipate any risks and put themselves out of harms way when they needed to. Did the scientists of the manhatten project blow themselves up when they invented the first atomic bomb? No - it was detonated when they were far away. Duh.
Conserve Oil, Recycle, Boycott Walmart
but it looks to me like your friend's "reactor" is a simple corrosion mechanism. By placing a high DC voltage across the two terminals, he can eat away the metal from one (in this case, tungsten). As his own data shows, there is no nulcear radiation coming from his experiments; just light and heat. He just wrapped some college chemistry experiments in a container and called it a reactor.
Yes, many of us know how nuclear power plants work. No, he doesn't have one.
A Palladium lattice is porous enough to let hydrogen pass thru, but not other elements. I could see all sorts of scenarios where hydrogen accumulates in the paladium lattice, and burns off with simple oxygen in the air when proded enough. Depending on at what state you observe it, or how the palladium was handled before the experiment - it could easially appear to give off more energy that was put into it, no matter how accurate your temperature sensors are.
Conspiracy! Fear! Uncertainty! Doubt!
Nah, I don't buy it.
The first major auto manufacturer to come out with a significant improvement in fuel economy or type stands to make a killing in the market.
If someone comes up with a fabulous renewable energy source, and then can patent or otherwise control the market, they'd make a killing too. There is financial incentive to develop these technologies, which is why these companies are spending a lot on research.
A light bulb that lasts 20 years... could be sold for something like 10x the price of a regular light bulb. They'd sell like hotcakes, and make the company money. So, if they have one of these mythical things, they'd sell it. I don't buy this buried technology business without proof.
Non-addtictive cigarette indeed... they wouldn't sell very well, since your customer base is addicted to, well, the addictive drug in tobacco. So if you sell cigarettes without that drug, it wouldn't satsfy the needs/wants of your customers. No conspiracy.
- Peter
INsigNIFICANT
Theyre not rolling out cold fusion powered vehicles.Also fuel cell stacks are being used to generate intermittent power in more than a few cities.
The thing that got me about the coldfusion people was when they started doing the calorimetry to prove it worked.
The surest way you can spot bullshit power generation claims, is when their proponents pull out the calorimeter. Anything thats going to be a real power generation technology isn't going to need a calorimeter to prove it will work. The amount of heat that a calorimeters is orders of magnitude less than generating systems normally waste.
it would 'cripple' just few countries that are largely cripled already from my point of view(they don't control themselfs and get exploited silly already) as it is. 'cheap energy' is just small part of many of developing countries problems(of which some of the oil countries are), poor education being and lack of technical knowhow(which is also education) being the biggest problems. it could be arguead as well that having oil is their biggest problem, have you read any news about middle east and caucasus lately? of the other oil states(norway&etc), they would know to adapt to the situation.
but the main point still being that keeping technology like that under lid(and not going on patenting and using it) would be just insanely silly because what they've achieved is very probably achieved by somebody else soon.
oil and byproducts would have markets still for _decades_ anyways, even with alternative source for energy(like, nuclear power, and sometime in future true fusion).
and remember to use the tinfoil, just because inventing something would cause country x to loose something doesn't mean that thing is invented and country x is just hiding it(to some extent this has happened with exploiting developing countries but that is an another issue).
you could argue that paperless office is still fantasy because then paper companies would lose some income, or that universities are hiding machines that can cram information into peoples heads in seconds, but that's just similar nonsense.
world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
Here are a few different types I have found:
Tokamak Reactor:
Large size, Confines plasma in a toroid.
Stellarator reactor:
Large size, simmilar to a Tokamak.
Laser Ignition Reactor:
Fires extremly powerfull lasers at a target causing fusion.
Inertial Confinement Reactor:
Small size, uses high voltage to fling protons to toward a Tungsten cage. This type of fusion rector can be build easily by anyone with a decent workshop, and acess to a hi-voltage power supply.
Table-top fiusion:
there is evidence that sonoluminescent bubbles could reach temperatures and pressures where fussion can happen.
(my understanding is that cold fusion was an attempt to pull protons into a Palladium electrode increasing the pressure to this sort of level)
I also read that some powered neutron sources use a fusion reaction to create the neutrons.
The tough thing about fusion is not creating fusion, but getting more out than you put in.
-John Fenley
Johnny was a Chemest
Johnny is no more.
For what Johnny thought was H2O,
was H2SO4.
The problem I see with your scenerio is how far down the road to total IP lockdown the US has gone.
It's virtually impossible to invent ANYTHING that won't infringe on someone's patent or copyright, even if totally unrelated, someone can hunt through the piles of too broad patents and find something vaguely covering some aspect of what you invented.
Blammo! Lawsuit. Sell out for pennies on the dollar (if you get anything at all) because you can't afford to fight frivilous claims.
While I don't believe in conspiracy theroies, per se, It IS worth pointing out that any invention that threatened the oil-based energy nature of our economy WOULD no doubt have oil companies (and companies that make things that run on oil based fuel)would act against you.
Case in point: There really is no reason NOT to switch to hydrogen as an energy source. It's clean, it's abundant (most common element in the universe). Why hasn't this happened?
However, I DO feel that Hydrogen power will be the fuel of the 21st Century. Soon as we get sick and tired of kowtowing to tin horn religious jihader bandit kingdoms in an otherwise worthless desert..
.
Corporatism != Free Market
Anyone who presents their data to the popular press prior to being peer reviewed should be heavily criticized. Even the most senior and brightest scientist make mistakes, become too enthusiastic, or may fail to run the proper controls. Furthermore, given that their data changed over time (from one Watt in, four out to one Watt in, ten out) with no reasoning, backing or explanation, one has to question the accuracy of their data.
Great scientists sometimes make big mistakes, such as with Dr. Atassi and his experiment with pepzymes. Unlike the cold fusion scientists, Dr. Atassi went through the peer review process and later didn't play the ego game. Personally, I think Dr. Pons and Dr. Fleischmann were greatly mislead by their enthusiasm (I wouldn't go nearly so far as to call them frauds). Just as the mistakes of these two scientists don't invalidate the field of cold fusion, the successes of the field don't make their claims any more accurate.
Who knows, maybe 'they' have. All I know is that the discovery of a much more efficient energy source would be an incredible boon for all of humanity, and it would net the executives in charge of the company more money in licensing than selling oil ever would. With cold-fusion the air would be noticeably cleaner in the span of a few years, and all the jobs lost in the oil and generating industries would be folded into the rest of the now much-more-prosperous rest of the economy.
Almost every small business involved with food would be able to hire several more people if their energy costs were lower.
"Sometimes, I think Trent just needs a cup of hot chocolate and a blankie." -Tori Amos on Nine Inch Nails
Where are the neutrons? If there is really fusion, then there are neutrons. Are neutrons so hard to detect in 14 years?
Powered by FreeBSD! The Ultimate Windows XP Service Patch.
"Coldfusion (Score:0, Offtopic)
I use Coldfusion at work, and while I would possibly choose other methods of web application development if it were up to me, it still remains a good, solid Web application development tool, which is easy to learn and quite powerful.
It runs fine on linux, as well! "
It's not off-topic when it's a joke about the topic.
"Derp de derp."
One sleepless night I pondered the set-up everyone's been using to test cold fusion, with all its failings, and came up with a new experimental test to try and isolate the effect. After toying with the idea for a few weeks, I decided I'd never build it myself, and published it. I sent emails to a few places that do such research, and never heard back.
http://www.shambala.net/misc/hoffmancell.gif
If anyone wishes to play with this design, please do; I'd even be interested if you tried and didn't find anything.
Okay, now that was funny.
Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
Carl Sagan addressed this issue in his essay, "The Burden of Skepticism." (See also lecture version).
Sagan explained:
Only Women Bleed (Sex, Sharia remix)
http://jlnlabs.imars.com/cfr/index.htm
Actually, some scientists of the Manhattan project did indeed get themselves killed from assemblies of fissionable material going slightly supercritical. Scientists through the ages have poisoned, electrocuted, drowned, shot, burned, disemboweled and blown up themselves.
>>plus a neutron (which can be a problem
Can be a problem? It is one of the major problems. Most (hot) fusion reactions produce a 14.1 MeV neutron as a primary or secondary reaction. The neutron flux (initial current + reflected and slowed neutrons) is sufficient enough so that, at the power levels a commercial fusion reactor would probably operate, every-single atom in the first wall of the reactor containment would be displaced from its lattice every few months!
Plus, there is no way to deflect or stop a neutron without letting it run into something, and whatever it hits will become radioactive itself as its atomic structure is blown apart from the bombardment. This means that a large, radioactive shield structure could have to be replaced every few months, making fusion not very much better than fission.
One of the few reactions that does not produce the neutron is the helium-3 helium-3 reaction. (He-3 + He-3 -> He-4 + 2 protons) Of course, helium 3 isn't that easy to find either. This is where the stories about "mining the moon for helium" come from; the moon is constantly blasted with miniscule trace amounts of helium-3 from the sun.
Reference: Roth, J. R. Introduction to Fusion Energy. Ibis Publishing, 1986. Pages 210, 295-296.
It doesn't hurt to be nice.
I'm an electrical engineer; a chemist could give a better explanation of what's happening.
. htm
Source of reactor info:
http://jlnlabs.imars.com/cfr/html/cfrtiny2
Experimental setup:
Place tungsten welding rods in a corrosive solution of NaHCO3. Use a AC/DC rectifier to convert wall current to a high DC potential across the rods. Measure the input energy using a power meter. Calculate the output energy by measuring the evaporated water and increase in heat (like you would with a cheapo calorimeter). Compare.
Test and analysis:
Run the system for approximately 3 minutes. Note that, as the rods corrode, their conductance goes down, bringing down the Wattage as well.
This is easily predicted. Resistance (R) is roughly proportional to the rod corrosion. Current (I) equals the applied voltage (V) divided by the resistance; I=V/R. Power (P) is P=I^2*R; for our system, P=(V/R)^2*R=V^2/R. Therefore, as R goes up, the input power goes down. This agrees with the experiment.
The "researcher" then makes several obvious mistakes in calculating the output energy. First, he ignores the effect of the NaHCO3, and pretends the rods were dipped in pure water. Second, he forgets to subtract the 6mL of evaporated water from the 150mL of water that rose in temperature. He also ignores the chemical effect of eating away at the tungsten rods.
His experiment does show more energy output than input, and I believe his numbers are roughly accurate (barring the mistakes outlined above).
My analysis:
This experiment shows that exothermic chemical reactions exist. Other famous examples of exothermic chemical reactions which corrode metal are Energizer and Duracell batteries. Burning a match is also characteristically similar.
His experiment has nothing to do with nuclear reactions. Just chemical ones.
Yes, the unexplained anomalies they report sound interesting, but then again, there are millions of unexplained phenomena waiting for study, and a much smaller number of employed physicists. Without convincing evidence that there is indeed new physics to be explored, you'll have a hard time convincing a publish-or-perish-mode academic to gamble his reputation on this sort of still-born turd.
You'd even have trouble bothering one to look at it. Physics faculty and graduate students get bombarded with crackpot claims, frequently in mispelled pidgin English. They need a mail filter that would block emails with "wherin the boson-fermion are united to GONG PARTICLE" and "Dear Sir: Attached is summary of Megaphysics." Granted, I RTFA, and it sounds almost incomparably better. But parts like
"I, for one, would love to hear smart physicists explain why the excess heat from the deuterium-filled palladium reflects not nuclear fusion but the release of mechanical energy"
"I'd love to see a smart critique of a 2002 paper by Japanese scientists, published in a Japanese physics journal that few American scientists saw, describing (shades of medieval alchemists) the transmutation of elements through cold fusion"
smell a little. Some of the most pitiable crackpot theories come in the form,
"I know this must be wrong, because it contradicts [insert some venerated physical principle here] but I've spent years trying, and I can't understand why. I've even talked to a few experts, and they can't find anything wrong with it."
People of this sort journey for hundreds of miles, appearing unexpectedly at some unfortunate professor's door, and plead for a hearing. There is usually some "groundbreaking" document involved. The first paragraph or so of this document makes it obvious the author has no idea what in the hell he's talking about. At this point, the professor can a) spend a few weeks bringing the poor guy up to speed with a line-by-line explanation of the million things he got wrong, or b) tell him, "Huh... I don't know" and politely kick him out. In the real world, option b) is the only choice.
The way to get a physicist's attention is to get the damn thing working themselves and shove the trillion-dollar patent check in our faces. If they are capable of doing the correct experimental bookkeeping (as the article claims) they are capable of continuing their experiment on their own. They don't need any help.
First:
....
The Pons and Fleischmann "cold fusion" experiments where reproduced by several labs(including my university). However, it has nothing to do with cold fusion, that is the resume. As fusion, cold or not, creates measureable amounts of neutrons. Those did not get detected.
What remains is a heat producing aparatus with unknown reaction.
Second:
There are a lot of other ways to get a cold fusin reaction. And that is old science from the late 70th. One is "myon catalised fusion". In that case you bombard H atoms with myons. Myons are particls with similar behaviour likel electrons. Those can replace the electorns of an H atom. As a myon has about 300,000 times the mass of an electron it orbits the H atom very close. When two H atoms with their electrons replaced by myons form a mulecule, the two H cores are brought so close together that a fusion can happen.
There are likely other ways for "cold fusion".
Interesting, that a "geek net magazine" where posters/readers are supposed to have a clue about computers and related sciences behave like inquisitors when it goes about cold fusion and behave like experts when it goes about asteroid deflection or near earth misses
Probably it would be at least nice, if not wise, to open up your mind.
angel'o'sphere
Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
It was pseudoscience, the claims were nonsense, and the scientific community investigated the claims thoroughly to try to reproduce the claimed results and no one, including the original "researchers," could manage. It was bullshit, and was demonstrated to be bullshit. The rest of the world moved on.
Just because you want something bad enough doesn't make it real.
That's just like that one guy said, "What the hell are we going to do with something that weighs 30 pounds and make polarized light of the same wavelength?"
Is a machine thinking so hard to believe? You are a machine. Instead of electro-chemical, the 'AI' of today is electro-mechanical. People invent things like religion and philosophy so they don't have to feel so insignifigant, but you are still a machine by every sense of the definition.
Science isn't like pop culture which thrives on instant gratification. Some new idea may not be pratcical, but one idea leads to another idea leads to another... until you have the next greatest thing sitting in your garage. I can't wait until the day someone bitches about how making something the size of a baseball travel faster than light is going to effect him.
Anyone remember that short lived series where they had an episode about a guy who "discovered" cold fusion? Basically his professor was teaching the class that cold fusion was impossible but this one kid found the flaw in the equation and built a cold fusion bomb out of a few household materials...
Scary when you think about it: "They could have weapons of mass destruction! They must agree to give up water and electricity immediately!" Oy vey.
[o]_O
Not true--cold fusion is possible, just not like Pons and Fleischmann described. (Nothing like it, in fact.) The quantum mechanical description of the energy states of a hydrogen atom are identical whether you use electrons or muons; use either, the hydrogen atom doesn't care. (Now, when you ask the very important question "yeah, genius, now how do you create quintillions of muon-replaced hydrogen atoms?", I'll resort to the classic physicist's dodge: "that's an engineering issue; go ask an engineer.")
:)
QMech says that if you've got hydrogens with muon shells instead of electron shells, you'll see spontaneous fusion reactions at very low temperatures. The reasons why are hard to explain without going into a lot of math, but it's quite possible according to the Standard Model.
Of course, there's a world of difference between possible and feasible. But physicists are only concerned with the possible. Feasible is for engineers.
rotfl!!
fusion: noun the act or process of liquefying or melting
ice is considered to be cold to be cold right?
philcrissman.com.
Energy density - 1kg of petrol stores a lot more energy that a 1kg battery for your electric car.
There really is no reason NOT to switch to hydrogen as an energy source.
Except, of course, that we don't have a ready, cheap supply of it, or a distribution network for it.
We can extract hydrogen fairly cheaply from natural gas, but it's still cheaper just to burn the gas...
No, right now, hydrogen is not an energy source ! It is, however, a very nice energy transporter, and it might very well make environmental sense to replace all our internal combustion engines with hydrogen-burning ones, at least in urban areas.
- Peter
INsigNIFICANT
" It's a travesty for a scientist to say cold fusion is wrong because of his faith... Since when does peer review mean you only test things that fit into your view of the universe? "
It's always been this way. Theres a big difference between the scientific method, and Science, Inc. And while you're at it, realize that Science Inc is as much a religion as any other faiths. It has its orthodoxies just like anything else. The Atkins Diet has always had its detractors. It took them, what, over two decades to admit that you can lose weight with it? And even now some doctors refuse to acknowledge that it can work. It violated the dogma of low fat/high carbs. Yes, ladies and gentlemen, science has its dogmas. Stephen Hawking is considered a genius now, but back when he was starting his career, the Steady State theory was the reigning dogma of physics. Some scientists simply refused to acknowledge any other possibilities.
Revolutionary ideas in science are often met with skepticism at first.
Life is hard, and the world is cruel
Muon-catalyzed fusion is real and comes within a factor of 15 of being commercially viable--muon-catalyzed reactions became self-sustaining in a theoretical sense in the 1980s (generating more energy out than was put in), but there's a long way between theoretical and practical self-sufficiency.
They hit the theoretical; they're within a factor of 15 of practical. This makes muon-catalyzed fusion the closest to viability of any fusion method so far. On the other hand, people have been throwing themselves at it for 20 years now trying to close that factor-of-15 gap and haven't gotten anywhere. Nowadays it's thought that there are some physical limitations on muon fusion which will prevent it from closing that factor-of-15 gap, and muon catalysis is no longer considered to be the most promising light on the horizon.
Muons are not 300,000 times the mass of an electron; they're 207 times the mass of an electron (or appreciably close to the mass of a proton).
No, but hydrogen is has decent energy density, and without worries of efficient use of energy you could electrolyze water 'til the cows come home. As I recall, hydrogen (either in pressurized tanks or in powdered sodium borohydride form) has a decent energy density, and if not, I'm sure this would give someone sufficient reason to develop more economical H containment.
Ahem. The link goes to an experimental design that would require a lot less money to perform, since it's smaller and needs fewer materials; it also eliminates the problem of trying to calculate how much heat you're putting into the experiment by running a current between the electrodes and determining the amount of "excess heat", which would be a couple orders of magnitude lower. It's a serious design, not a "troll".
You mean "muons". Also: fusion isn't defined by neutron production, though that does occur in many fusion reactions. (A counterexample would be the fusion of two Helium-3 atoms.)
"'I pass the test,' she said. 'I will diminish, and go into the West, and remain Galadriel.'"
- JRR Tolkien.
While I attended Texas A&M, I spent 2 (93-94) years as a personal assistant (gofer, typist, etc) to James Bockris (Distinguished Professor of Electro-Chemestry - the first scientist to "confirm" Pons & Fleischmann). As such, I had full access to his corespondance (I had to open it all, sort it by subject, & reply to some of the simplier inquiries) & was able to learn quite a bit.
Although it's now been 10 years since I've done any serious research on the subject (every now & then I read the symposium notes), I can give you my opinions of the whole Cold Fusion uproar:
-There is something strange & new going on in these experiments
-This something strange & new has been very difficult to reproduce consistently (much of the research focuses on certain types of atomic level imperfections in the cathodes)
-Pons & Fleischmann screwed the pooch by announcing their results before they could reproduce them. This basically had the effect of turning 95% of the scientific community against them. This has led to many people assuming the entire field of study as bogus.
-Many scientist around the world have reported "good results" - ranging from melted cathodes (excess heat) to extra helium (fusion of hydrogen atoms?).
My guess is that there is some new type of reaction occuring in these experiments. It may or may not be able to produce excess heat. Regardless, I'd bet in 10-20 years, a paper will be published that will explain it all.
As a side note, Dr. Bockris was a very "interesting" fellow to work with - he was the epitomy of the absent minded professor; one day he came in to work with his button down dress shirt on INSIDE OUT (think about how much effort it would take you to button a dress shirt in such a fashion); he frequently would put a MARKER in his front pocket without the cap on - leading to a HUGE ink stain on many of his dress shirts. And yes, I know he's done some weird stuff in his life (alchemy, anyone?! - http://www.spectrometer.org/path/free.html).
and go for nano-fusion. How hard would it be to etch an accerator onto a chip?
I saw a paper once which even offered up the possibility of non-radioactive nano-fusion -- boron and carbon, I think.
Big Brother Bush is doubleplus ungood.
"No, we are still waiting for a peer-reviewed study to be published that shows something other than caloriesIn-caloriesBurned*0 = weightLoss, regardless of the type of caloric intake."
You mean like this one
and this one ?
Sorry abou the MSNBC link, but the New England Journal of Medicine's website seems to be down right now....the article discusses two studies on Atkins.
Life is hard, and the world is cruel
The 'heaviness' of the elements is meaningless.
Hydrogen-2 + Hydrogen-2 = Helium-4 + Energy
That energy, at least in the Sun, causes the Helium-4 to do one of the following:
1. Become Helium-3 and spit off a neutron.
2. Become Hydrogen-3 and spit off a proton.
3. Stay as Helium-4 and spit off gamma radiation.
The third case is the one that most physicists use to debunk this whole fusion thing.
And their apparattus was not shielded.
The fact that they were still alive proved that they had not succeeded in doing what they thought they had done.
Brackets contain world's first nanosig, highly magnified:[.]
Who controls the British crown?
Who keeps the metric system down?
We do! We do!
Whow leaves Atlantis off the maps?
Whot keeps the Martians under wraps?
We do! We do!
Who holds back the electric car?
Who makes Steve Guttenberg a star?
We do! We do!
Who robs the cave fish of their sight?
Who rigs every Oscar night?
We do! We do!
Why do I get the feeling that this fusion project has the codename "Duke Nukem Forever"
Some additional details:
h eavy.html ?&query=la ntern+mantles1 111/n1782_v297/ 21281407/print.jhtml
http://www.fusor.net/
Decent basic description: http://members.tm.net/lapointe/IEC_Fusion.html
Basic operational premise: Solar fusion operates by heating up the atoms until they reach a velocity where their random interaction results in enough nuclei hitting each other hard enough to overcome the repulsive force and fuse together.
In a fusor, rather then using heat energy to strip the outer electrons and speed up the nuclei, an electrostatic charge measuring in the upper tens of thousands of volts, up to several million volts is used to accelerate the nuclei directly toward each other.
It isn't currently commercially useful for producing energy - still getting out loads less then the amount of energy put in, and in inconvenient forms (xray, gamma, high energy neutrons, and no easy way to draw off the heat produced)
The point is that there may be a number of catalyzing methods for fusion that we simply don't know about yet.
One of the unsettling details that came out in cold fusion research at various universities over the last several years (check the newsgroup if you're really interested in the details) is that while consistent results could be achieved by different electrodes within a batch, (no results, some results for a short while, or "where the hell is all this helium coming from?!" type results) various batches of palladium (nickel too) gave different results - despite having >identicalsomething, but the results have been largely inconsistent. Until all the parameters that influence the interstitial diffusion and storage of hydrogen are known, we probably won't see any serious advances in small-scale, 'cold' fusion.
Nightmare:
http://www.fas.org/nuke/intro/nuke/
http://search.ebay.com/search/search.dl
http://www.findarticles.com/cf_0/m
Some omitted. You connect the dots.
: ) Thank God most Fundamentalist Crazies are so stupid.
I mean, I knew that other languages were more popular, but I didn't think Coldfusion was that bad, expecially MX :)
Check out the Focus Fusion Society for a promising solution to the world's energy woes.
They are developing a hot fusion device, called a plasma focus, which is small, inexpensive, simple (relatively), energetic, produces no long-term radioactive waste, and effectively converts fusion energy straight to electricity. A working prototype has already demonstrated sustained fusion. As a side-note, the plasma focus looks to be conveniently ideal for fusion space propulsion, producing much higher specific impulse than chemical rockets.
The development of usable fusion power, long prophesied by science fiction, will be a watershed event for human civilization.
Please visit the above link and look it over. I'm a member of the society. Join us and help change the world.
--Porkrind
Visit the best Liberal Blog: DU
Nobody uses Cold Fusion anymore, now that Macromedia bought it. Everyone has switched to PHP.
Software Wars
Cold fusion is the poster boy for what is wrong with modern science practice.
... call it what you will) can't serve a purpose in science.
Facts don't decide how to investigate ... people have to sift facts and decide how to pursue things.
That decision process is biased.
... as one other poster pointed out, doing "science by press release" is an extraordinarily bad practice.
It oozes political need while letting sharp investgation fall by the wayside.
... since once again, agenda oozed into the picture and certain scientists could milk grants on the basis of uncertainty and greed.
... on non-disclosure terms alone.
We should be relegating CF to the same graveyard of fraud.
Like the cart pulling the horse, agenda is leading all aspects of investigation. The end result doesn't function.
Now, I'm not densedly supposing that agenda (bias, philosophy
But
In addition, I often wonder if the majority of scientists today are simply too badly trained to even begin to address their serious lack of objectivity. As their mentors become progressively more whores for government and industry grants, that agenda-rich attitude can only pervade their students. The developing product is what we clearly see today: cold fusion is still an "I don't know" topic when all they had to do was run some arguably cheap and computationally simple experiments. Forgetting to take into account mass and heat loss from evaporation? These people aren't scientists.
Let's not forget the brouhaha over Pons's and Fle.'s legendary reluctance to be forthcoming about methods in order to have their experiment duplicated. That alone should have had the claim laughed off the press (non full disclosure is a hallmark of a hoax). But it wasn't
Cold fusion is right freakin' up there with perpetual motion. PM claims are easy to debunk
[You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
Personally I think Macromedia is the devil incarnate!!!
I'd be happier both without Flash and those damn Cold Fusion servers.
Can I get an eye poke?
Dog House Forum
Now that's comedy.
The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
It is unfair to critize the scientist saying that what they do doesn't have applications. Some of it does, some of it doesn't, but they ARE discovering new phenomena after all. You talk about High Tc Super Conductors, but forget about the transistor and many other. It is hard to predict what will be the big next thing. Scientist try to milk phenomenas as much as they can, sometimes with high hopes, and sometimes their expectations were not realistic. This happens in engineering too. The good thing about science that even if there isn't an immediate application, maybe in the far future there will be. And, you can always do science just because understanding the universe can't be a bad thing.
"There is no teacher but the enemy."-Mazer Rackham
Yet, it was a phenomenon worthy enough of a Keanu Reeves movie.
Small potatoes make the steak look bigger.
No, oil companies won't have the will, nor will politicians have the incentive, to block cold fusion if it were invented.
"The question of whether a computer can think is no more interesting than that of whether a submarine can swim" -EWD
Stanly Pons and Martin Fleischmann were both separately employeed by the University, but the research was not sponsored by the school. They were using some of the school's facilities with permission, basically because of the high cost of the equipment.
See http://www.chem.utah.edu/depthistory/ChemDept_Hist ory.pdf for some of this:
Because the original press conference was conveniend at the University, and because both professors were affiliated with the U of U, and that further research was taken up by the University at the time of the press conference, many journalists jumped to the conclusion that it was the University's project.Other than the /. error, the article iteself is rather interesting, including this answer from a professor: "The question I get more than any other is, 'Are you still doing this?', " says Prof. Jones. "The answer is yes, and what we are seeing is very difficult to explain outside of cold fusion. The repeatability of these experiments now approaches 80 percent." [Insert comparison to Microsoft here.]
frob
//TODO: Think of witty sig statement
Does your friend have a website? I'd like to know more about this plane/car.
"Crochety"
Other countries are still working on it, as the article states about Japan. What is the chance that it is just ostrasized in the US, or maybe even "blacklisted" media-wise? It's alot like the stem-cell debate in a way.
We are just ignoring something that might be possible "out of hand". The MIT prof said several times "I wish some physicist would prove us wrong now", but they don't. It's just completly ignored, even though there is some current evidence. But other countries continue work.
There is a vested intrest against cold-fushion and pro hot-fushion in the US. Hot fushion is a hard thing to do, therefor it's not really profitable as an energy source for the public. Plus, the US already is against nuclear plants after three-mile island and such. So, we stay dependent on...coal. Oil for the initial energy source.
Other countries don't need to be tied to oil like the US is, and are moving on. Just as our prohibition on stem-cell research is mostly religious based. Someone else will figure it out, and we will have some problems dealing with someone else with the upper technological hand for once...especially if they don't like us.
Maybe we DID take the blue pill. You wouldn't remember anyway.
Small high-power electric motors for ship propulsion are prime candidates for "high-temperature" superconductors.
The US Navy has funded demonstration projects for ship propulsion.
Indeed electric propulsion for surface ships and submarines, that use common components is a very big research item right now for all the obvious reasons.
Now how about we give Bogdan Maglich a few million to finish his Migma experiments?
Here's a scary thought: do you think some lines of fusion research have been suppressed because they could lead to "pure" fusion bombs (H-bombs without an A-bomb trigger)?
CHlittle tiny 4.
;-)
We don't have much hydrogen?
Saskboy's blog is good. 9 out of 10 dentists agree.
We are constantly redefining what physics is and thus to completly shun real science is ignorant. I know these researchers and scientists are not in the lab tossing around ficticious numbers and what they are finding should be replicated. This is so fundamental about how we progress towards a greater understanding of the universe. But alas it will be up to the underdogs to prove anything (but isn't that the way it always works?). Besides these stories always read better afterwards.
[[ the only 15 letter word that is spelled without repeating a letter is uncopyrightable: it may soon be, however. ]]
Cold fusion does not mean the electrodes or the .
,
water will be cold , in fact , they are
looking for excess heat from which to generate
electricity or other forms of energy trough diferent
means . http://jnaudin.free.fr/ some great info
on alternative research and other weird things
and for the love of god , keep your mind open
its because of closed minds that we live in this
crazy/stupid/disfunctional/inefecient world.
The organizers always schedule it to be coincident with the annual Perpetual Motion Machine conference.
The middle mind speaks!
There has been some talk in Cold Fusion circles (www.infinite-energy.com) about changing the name from Cold Fusion to something with less negative connotations. I think Crystal Power is an apt title. Some of these experimental cells (http://www.lenr-canr.org/Experiments.htm) look almost good to go! I'm hoping to one day use these power cells in a lab of my own.
Scientist sees a wee spark in a test tube and starts ranting about free energy etc.
From what I hear, George W Bush strongly advocates further research into free energy and antigravity.
In truth, 95% of so-called smart people who should have known better, instead demonstrated themselves to be first-class chumps who bought the lines, "Hoax", "Fraud", and "Quack Science", without a second thought. Skeptics can be such incredible twits! They seem to think that just because many non-orthodox claims are invalid, that ALL non-orthodox claims are invalid. Talk about a logical falacy! (All cows are animals, therefore all animals are cows). This is why we were given brains! -To sort this stuff out, not put up walls to everything except what corrupt corporations and politicians want us to think is real.
I sputtered in stunned amazement at the 95% back then, (I was in my late teens at the time and actually believed it impossible that everybody could be so bloody stupid,) and today I simply shake my head in jaded aquiescence. Nothing changes. --We were all taught many stories about this in school, where heros were time and again outcast by a small-minded populace, but even when this lesson is directly described, (Galileo, Tesla, Darwin), still virtually everybody goes out and fails the real test when it actually counts.
And yes, they say: "But those guys were eventually proven right."
Yeah. So? This only happened after years of fighting. --14 years before people start to admit that maybe there's something there after all to Cold Fusion, is pretty much in keeping with this pattern. It would be much, much faster if people weren't generally so incredibly cruel and dumb.
Sadly, I think that people truly deserve this burning world they have invested in. Let the blood spill. Learning is usually quite effective when it hurts like hell.
-FL
I liked your analysis. That said, I don't think cold fusion is necessarily impossible, but it would take some very specific molecular design to force two hydrogen nuclei to within a distance where a reasonable chance of tunnelling could be had.
... and then you'd have to be able to manufacture the darn thing. Not necessarily impossible, but highly improbable.
I'm guessing that you'd need an explosive bond that triggered two armatures, each with a H+ nucleus attached, to swing at each other. Each armature would have to have only 2 degrees of freedom, and so on, and so forth...
Aside from that, though, Don Lancaster pointed out a second, more important flaw of "free energy" theories, which would also apply to cold fusion: Anyone who comes up with a "free energy source", had better darn well come up with a "free energy sink" as well, or in releasing their discovery on the planet, they'll be the worst criminal in human history.
In line with this, I imagine a new invention that makes use of a wormhole tunnel 2/3 of the way into the Sun, to heat my apartment...
Correct Horse Battery Staple: 72 bits of entropy. Enter "Correct H" into google. When it generates the phrase, that's
One Word. BioDiesel. We've had a infinte, low pollution (97% less emissions vs. petro), Nontoxic(i could chug a gallon and still walk straight), super easy to produce(were talking your garage here) power source for a hundred years that could also completely replace petro in producing plastics. Its not insane to imply that there have possibly been break throughs that we havent heard about. I mean, Big oil has completely killed not only the idea of BioDiesel, but is determined to make sure it can control and future energy scource with its "5(15) year plan" for fuel cells. BioDiesel = Cheaper, Cleaner, Renewable, and would put the American farmer back on the map!
If this is fusion, and we look up the basic fusion definition, we should get helium (He-3 or He-4) from the fusion of hydrogen (unless they skip some steps and get something heavier).
The assumption that either neutrons or heat should be produced is based on our only working example of fusion, good ole Sol. Nice and hot, emits neutrons in bits.
Clearly, if cold fusion exists (and that is a big if), it wouldn't be a process remotely like what goes on in the Sun. The only part we can assume is the definition: helium as a product. Heat and neutrons are relatively easy to detect, but that's the wrong thing to hunt.
NPR mentioned, many years ago, someone attempting an experiment using a sealed stainless steel reaction chamber with a single gas sample port, hoping to find concentrations of helium greater than what would be found in the atmosphere, also compared against another control cannister heated with the same contents (minus the heavy water) to the same degree. This seems more reasonable.
Cold fusion (should it exist), may have some very unusual pathways that we might not know about to produce the result. Focus on the product, not the pathways.
Mod parent up to +10!
Great story.
and to top it off, the "excess heat gains" that got everybody's attention, the 2500 percent stuff, were hypotheticals on the order of "if we didn't have to charge the cell to make the effect happen, we'd get this much power."
that's like saying if I didn't have to spend a trillion dollars to fly to the moon, I'd do it monthly. if M$ didn't have bugs and undocumented exploits, they'd be putting out stable software. if I don't care about rules and science, I can convince myself that anything is possible, like making Buicks from shaving cream and squirrel hair.
it's a collection of failed experiments poorly calculated with no controls, and a few Jack Daniels insights.
read "Bad Science" by Gary Taubes, ISBN 0-394-58456-2, or "Voodoo Science" by Robert Park, ISBN 0-19-513515-6.
there is no wiggle room, Pons and Fleischman have been caught like shined deer in a scam. the "experiment" never was, the results never happened, and being non-reproduceable is the correct result.
"believers" need medical help and tutoring in 3rd grade science.
if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. Papers, or in the case of the cold fusion scientists - press conferences, that go against conventional thought must provide additional evidence, additional controls, and extremely meticulous record keeping. Simply because you are a fan of cold fusion, does not make Dr. Pons' and Dr. Fleischmann's experiments quality experiments. Cold fusion could be shown to be a reality tomorrow, and Dr. Pons' and Dr. Fleischmann's experiments still wouldn't be considered good science (nor would they win the Nobel prize). Likewise, just because some individuals made a mistake regarding cold fusion, doesn't mean that the field should be disregarded entirely.
You'll find that scientists in general are very open minded about accepting unconventional ideas, provided there is strong evidence to support those ideas. In fact, I know that both my peers and I would absolutely love to have papers which show some well accepted dogma to be incorrect. Similarly, you'll also find that after reading story after story of "Scientist finds amazing cure for cancer!!", scientists tend to give the mass media very little, if any, attention regarding scientific issues. We know the media doesn't know the first thing about science (though we'd like them to, and we work hard to educate them), and that our results are unfortunately often grossly over exaggerated and only half the story told (sometimes in our favor, sometimes painting us as unethical, evil beings).
You're absolutely correct - there are many stories where (now) heroes like Galileo, Tesla and Darwin who were outcast and discredited for their revolutionary ideas. However, simply being shunned and discredited for one's ideas doesn't make them a hero - Water memory, Vitamin O, polywater, and (dare I say) timecube. Should the people who came up with these ideas be regarded as heroes? For every hero, there are plenty of individuals who were forgotten, disregarded and even labeled as frauds - and rightfully so.
Scientists who disregard cold fusion do so, not because of Dr. Pons and Dr. Fleischmann, but for other reasons all together. As far as I can tell, the only people that are angry with the two scientists are those working in the field of cold fusion, who believe that it may be possible, and now have to work under a legacy of some poor experimental work. If cold fusion is shown to be true, it'll be despite of Dr. Pons and Dr. Fleischmann's work, not because of it.
It may have all been a hoax, but the idea gave us "The Saint" in which the guy from "True Genius" steals the secret of cold fusion.
You're probably right, but you should still RTFA. According to the article, these guys have spent millions of dollars making sure they get their temperature measurements just right and there's still some heat that (they claim) can't be explained by any simple mechanism. Is their claim bogus? Probably. But how can we actually know unless someone rips apart their argument properly?
Furry cows moo and decompress.
One of my jobs was sysadmin for a departmental computer lab that was in a big glass-fishbowl room (remember when computers were big?) I was heading off for a week to see a customer on another project, but I took a few minutes to print out a line-printer banner about "Cold Fusion Research Laboratory" and cobble together some random parts and wires and 5-gallon jars of liquid and set them up in the window before I left. They were gone by the time I got back :-)
Bill Stewart
New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
The title of this article, which was taken from the first article it links to, is biased in favor of cold fusion.
Furry cows moo and decompress.
A Wankel engine of course!
Stick Men
is creationism, argument from faith. The CF issue was and still should be concerned with a) is there excess energy, b) inexplicable particles, c) the magnitude of the effect if real. The experiments are apparently repeatable, but irregularly so. You have the ONR investigating it, but no "thoughful" critical study going on. Simply fiath based responses from "sceptics." The problem has been that the entire discussion has reduced to an "is so ... is not" form and a lot of the "psuedo" science is actually being practiced by "sceptics" arguing from authority rather than concerning themselves with the empirical issues.
------ The only greater hazard to your liberty than n politicians is n+1 politicians.
I thought it was something eskimos did.. :-)
"You lied to me! There is a Swansea!"
I remember reading that if they had been succesful then the gamma radiation given off would of made the holding of the test tube without any protection a very bad idea. Is this accurate?
the dreams of using cold fusion has been ...
replaced by an Iowan farmer that discovered
a new source of unlimited energy -- he
replaced his milk cows' feed with a mixture
of beans, habaneros chilis, and onions.
When he plugged the cows into the milking
machines, he got methane
For every Slashdotter who claimed to have "a friend at NASA", I'd be able to buy out Bill Gates.
Christ -- Americans even have to take credit for the best mistakes!
While Pons was from the University of Utah, Fleischmann was professor of electrochemistry at the University of Southampton (in the UK). He did visit Utah, and apparently first mentioned his ideas about it to Pons there, but basically it was a Southampton collaboration. Even the scriptwriters of The Saint got that right!
Incidentally, in spite of the subject heading, it isn't clear to me that it necessarily was a mistake. I listened to a talk by Fleischmann a couple of years ago (I did a PhD at Southampton), and he talked at length about how quantum electrodynamics is necessary to truly understand the physics. He appeared to imply that hot fusion physicists were making unfounded theoretical assumptions in their rubbishing of CF. Since Julian Schwinger, one of the creators of QED, apparently agreed, the theory surely cannot be as clear-cut as some of the alleged experts in this forum, and others, claim. While Fleischmann and Pons's mode of announcement -- essentially not waiting for refereed publication -- was unwise, the Stalinist anti-CF attitude of mainstream journals seems even worse.
Just been reading a bill bryson book (think its called a short history of everything) which is a short history of scientific discovery. it is full of examples of scientists being pooh-pooh by others but then the results turn out to be right. i say it may be competely wrong but at least give it ago
-- Karma Karma Karma Karma, Karma Chameleon - Boy George
People tend to forget that Texas A&M claimed to be able to produce Cold Fusion, too, shortly after the Utah "discoveries."
Folks in the lab had t-shirts that said "I might have discovered cold fusion and all I got was this lousy t-shirt"
Comment removed based on user account deletion
I've got a better idea. How about instead of going on about cold fusion, which has yet to yield any real results in 14 years, we concentrate on regular fusion.
Unlike cold fusion, normal fusion has the potential to be truly useful and it is just a matter of us developing better magnetic constriction metods, etc. before we can harness it completely.
Who knows, maybe if we got more people working on that we might actually be able to build some useful fusion power plants sometime in the near future.
Thanks for the link. It was a good article. I do realize that scientists occasionally f up and get themselves killed. However the comment I was replying to suggested that if they succeeded and did everything correctly they would die. I was saying that this wouldn't happen as they should anticipate risks under normal operation. I used the atom bomb example because the scientists of the Manhatten project knew what would happen under normal operations and were able to put themselves out of harm's way when appropriate.
Conserve Oil, Recycle, Boycott Walmart
The point is that it doesn't have to lead to power generation to be of scientific interest.
Lasers Controlled Games!
No, nuclear waste cannot be managed and contained safely. You're spouting exactly the kind of BS that the Yucca Mountain supporters want you to believe. Tool.
No, fossil fuel waste cannot be managed and contained safely. You're spouting exactly the kind of BS that the no nuclear anywhere crowd wants you to believe. Tool.
What woudl you rather deal with a few tons of solid nuclear waste? Or, millions of tons of gaseous waste?
Dastardly
And that's the problem right there.
I mean, who comes up with this stuff? What's wrong with just ordinary evidence? Why is it that when new ideas threaten the status quo that normal evidence must be overturned and ignored regardless of its value? (This is a rhetorical question, of course.)
Modern scientific 'methodology', which from what I have witnessed, and from what has been reported to me by the many professionals I have met who work in the sciences, consists largely of white papers peer reviewed by a scientific community riddled with ego-driven old-boy-clubbers terrified of losing respect and the ability to earn their next grant, corrupt science journals, and corporately sponsored labs with massive conflicts of interest, is a at its very best a limiting, but somewhat useful tool, and at its worst, a system, (designed or not), which has the peculiar ability to slow scientific advancement to a mis-directioned crawl or in many cases, a complete stop.
I don't recall Galileo, Tesla or Darwin getting any help from the respected research structures available in their times. --And I seriously doubt that they would have been aided today were they to come up with valid ideas which went against either the popular or the big-money grain.
Many of us lived through the times when Cold Fusion graced the scene. And I distinctly recall an overpowering negative bias which drowned out the signal. The idea was written off, and worse, it achieved the fine status of 'uncool' so that no 'real' scientists would lend their time to further examination of the idea, and no government would grant its money.
--And there was signal. There was also repressed signal in the case of MIT hot fusion people deliberately fudging their results.
Yes. There is a lot of kook science out there. But there is a stark, and what I would have thought to be an extremely obvious, difference between what happened, (some researchers getting the experiment to work, some not, some even losing their lives when a cell exploded, destroying an entire lab. --A military lab, as it happened. All this stuff went down within the first sixty days of the initial announcement.) --There is a big, big difference between this and, 'timecubes'.
But rather than the scientific community saying, "Hm. We didn't quite get it right the first time, but there is certainly something interesting going on here!" They scorned and feared and acted like a bunch of jr. high students. Female jr. high students, at that.
If science only worked within the narrow parameters of today's fear and greed driven model of acceptable research, then humans would still be living in mud huts.
Oh wait. A few billion of us still do. Hmmm.
-FL
An experiment that can only be replicated by believers isn't science, it's charlatanism.
Let us assume that a hypothetical physical effect depends on factors that are hard to control such as minute impurities, nealy flawless crystal structure or something similar. Furthermore, even when it occurs this effect may rather difficult to measure. Let us further assume that a first attempt at reproducing that effect would have a around 2%.
A "believer" would attempt it again and again until he perfects his methods and achieves a much better success rate (say, 80%) and larger magnitude of the effect that is easier to measure.
A "non believer", expecting the experiment to fail would find all the support he needs for his beliefs.
Note that such difficult-to-achieve effects are not unheard of in science. Some of them have later been tamed and mass produced once the process was perfected.
This is, of course, not a proof that cold fusion exists, but it does show that it *could* exist in spite of being rejected by the majority of the scientific community. A scenario where such an effect exists would not require any elaborate conspiracy theories to explain the apparent contradiction.
Stop worrying about the risks of nuclear power and start worrying about the risks of not using nuclear power.
Actually, I would prefer no waste at all.
"Come on, let's go drink till we can't feel feelings anymore."
Is it just me or did the pictures of the "conference" look more like a science fair project, complete with high school kids and the occasional assisting alumni building, displaying, and explaining the project to their teachers?
/.?
Is this site for real? Or did someone just put one over on all of
*** *** You're just jealous 'cause the voices talk to me... ***
Now, in a classic Teller-Ulam thermonuclear device, the fission trigger is physically seperated from the fusion device. In the microseconds before the blast wave from the detonating fission device reaches the fusion device (which would destroy it), the intense X-ray radiation pulse explosively collapses a container of deuterium and tritium, super-compressing it. The compression wave also sets off a second fission device inside this container which super-heats the already super-compressed hydrogen, triggering the fusion reaction. There are other designs.
IIRC, the largest nuclear bomb ever tested (a russian bomb) was a multi-stage variant of the tellar-ulam design, with 97% of the output energy produced by fusion. The comparatively low amount of fission in a thermonuke is one of the reasons they're considered 'clean' nukes.
Read my other post in this thread. If you can refute that, along with references to back up your refutations, then I'll consider what you're saying. Otherwise, you're arguing against FAS, and I trust them and their analysis a hell of a lot more than anything I read from J. Random Physics Wannabe on Slashdot.
Perhaps, but in this case the research wasn't shoddy, it is just that the amount of gravity waves that were detected were considered to be higher than was expected given the believed sensitivity of the device. The researcher then went on to show that the sensitivity of the measuring device was greater than believed and showed why.
Logic, macros, and more
This isn't exactly my area. However:
> The 'heaviness' of the elements is meaningless.
Heavy elements with more than 70 or 80 protons (dunno the exact number) are more likely to have instable isotops than lighter elements.
Neutron counts also towards instability of elements. Hydrogen-3 is highly instable, for instance.