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GE Microbes Make Ersatz Crude Oil From Many Sources

polymath69 writes "According to The Times Online, genetically modified microbes have been developed capable of turning surplus material such as wood chips, sugarcane, or others, not into ethanol, but into a substance which could substitute directly for crude oil. They claim it could be sold for about $50/bbl, and the production process would be carbon negative."

525 comments

  1. Why talk by afidel · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If they are right then they are instant Billionaires, if the process really worked they would be commercializing it and completely destabilizing OPEC. I'll believe it when I see it and the world will be rejoicing.

    --
    There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    1. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Yeah, but Obama wants to give them and their children microbes US citizenship. This poses a problem since we then have to build tiny ramps on all building for them to get in.

    2. Re:Why talk by ozmanjusri · · Score: 5, Interesting
      if the process really worked they would be commercializing it and completely destabilizing OPEC.

      The process is likely to work, though scaling up may be a problem, but they're very unlikely to have the field to themselves.

      There are a lot of companies looking at similar ways of producing fuels. Sapphire Energy claims to be able to make 91 octane gasoline directly from sunlight, CO2 and algae.

      Many fringe energy sources have become cost competitive with geological oil since it more than quadrupled in price. What will be interesting is how the oil giants respond to this competition.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    3. Re:Why talk by Ihlosi · · Score: 2, Insightful
      What will be interesting is how the oil giants respond to this competition.

      Buy it, of course. (Pick the right small company and buy some of their stock, now. :) )

    4. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      This is General Electric, not Fly-By-Night Inc. we are talking about.

      If they say they can do it, I believe them - if for no other reason than they'd be damaging their massive reputation by putting out press releases that turn into gotchas.

    5. Re:Why talk by afidel · · Score: 5, Informative

      Uh, the GE stands for Genetically Engineered, not General Electric....

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    6. Re:Why talk by Savage-Rabbit · · Score: 4, Informative

      Many fringe energy sources have become cost competitive with geological oil since it more than quadrupled in price. What will be interesting is how the oil giants respond to this competition. And the increased viability of alternative fuels seems to be a playing a role in scaring the Saudis into ramping up production.
      --
      Only to idiots, are orders laws.
      -- Henning von Tresckow
    7. Re:Why talk by oodaloop · · Score: 3, Interesting

      the process really worked they would be commercializing it and completely destabilizing OPEC Saudi Arabia alone produces more than 10 million barrels PER DAY. How on earth do you think these guys are going to compete with, let alone destabilize OPEC overnight? They've got to make some of it before they become "instant billionaires." Sheesh, give em a chance.
      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    8. Re:Why talk by dintech · · Score: 2, Funny

      Religion perhaps?

    9. Re:Why talk by Ihlosi · · Score: 4, Interesting
      And the increased viability of alternative fuels seems to be a playing a role in scaring the Saudis into ramping up production.



      They're not scared. They just want to keep the oil price at a level where it doesn't negatively impact their investments (which, by now, probably exceed the income they have from selling oil by an order of magnitude). They've probably invested quite a bit of their money into alternative energy, too. It's not like they're lacking spending money.



      And, heck ... they have (sea-) water, they have space ... they're probably going to stay an oil supplier even after the stuff gets made by algae instead of being pumped out of the ground.

    10. Re:Why talk by SnowZero · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yeah, but they both "bring good things to life".

    11. Re:Why talk by afidel · · Score: 1, Insightful

      At almost 300% profit it wouldn't take very long at all to refund venture capital, so if they can make it work on any kind of scale they won't know what to do with all the money flowing their way. IF what they say is in any way realistic they should have the demo plant finished next quarter, not in 2-3 years.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    12. Re:Why talk by Bonobo_Unknown · · Score: 3, Funny

      Great! Let's chip the Amazon!

      --
      We don't believe in radical loony monotheistic religions from the middle east -- we're Christians.
    13. Re:Why talk by silicone_chemist · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Or. 1. Buy company outright. 2. Complete development of technology. 3. Lock technology away in archive. 4. Pump and sell more oil. There is no benefit for the oil companies to develop and market an alternative technology until all the oil is gone. If an alternative technology becomes commercially viable the remaining oil reserves become nearly worthless. They must protect this value by blocking alternatives technologies so they can post record profits.

    14. Re:Why talk by jellomizer · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      You put to much faith in General Electric. You must be a MBA Professor in the Capital District Area. Where GE can do no wrong. While I have actually did work for them as a consultant and realized how unorganized penny wise pound foolish they are. I wouldn't put it pass them to do a press conference and promote a new tech that is barely in research and say it is possible just to get the stocks up... Not really caring what will happen if the tech doesn't come to life. Although as other posters pointed out the GE is for Genetically Engineered but still, I hate GE worship.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    15. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Oops, sorry then.

      But I'm sure half of slashdot took GE as General Electric. The editors were just stupid here and should have spelled the name out. They can't put "IBM announces Desktop Quantum Computer" either in the title, if by IBM they meant Internesting Busty Models Inc. and not Big Blue.

    16. Re:Why talk by Ctrl-Z · · Score: 0

      So you're saying that what they're saying is not realistic? FTFA: "Our plan is to have a demonstration-scale plant operational by 2010 and, in parallel, weâ(TM)ll be working on the design and construction of a commercial-scale facility to open in 2011."

      --
      www.timcoleman.com is a total waste of your time. Never go there.
    17. Re:Why talk by jamesh · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There is no benefit for the oil companies to develop and market an alternative technology until all the oil is gone.

      Are you kidding? If they can make oil using an alternate technology for cheaper than they can get oil out of the ground then there is every benefit. They could _bury_ the competition!

      1. Discover alternate technology
      2. Sell off existing oil assets while the alternate technology is unknown
      3. Pay politicians (using funds from step 2) to outlaw the use of crude oil extracted from the ground.
      4. Profit!
    18. Re:Why talk by Hognoxious · · Score: 5, Insightful

      There is no benefit for the oil companies to develop and market an alternative technology until all the oil is gone.
      Holy false dichotomy, Batman! There's no reason they can't sell both.

      If an alternative technology becomes commercially viable the remaining oil reserves become nearly worthless.
      Depends how close to crude the substitute is. It may be OK for fuel, but not useless as a feedstock for plastic production. Most oil companies have considerable downstream assets too.
      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    19. Re:Why talk by SkyDude · · Score: 2, Funny

      if the process really worked they would be commercializing it and completely destabilizing OPEC.

      The process is likely to work, though scaling up may be a problem....

      I seem to remember that when Yahoo was looking for capital investment, VCs started throwing money at a company that had no product and no sales. Same happened when they went public. So, here's a company that has a product that can replace fossil fuels at a time when fuel prices are sky-high and they're having problems scaling up?

      Maybe they should start sending spam to generate funds.

      --
      == First cross river, then insult alligator.
    20. Re:Why talk by Gerzel · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      "Many fringe energy sources have become cost competitive with geological oil since it more than quadrupled in price. What will be interesting is how the oil giants respond to this competition."

      The same way they always respond--Hulk Smash!

    21. Re:Why talk by heritage727 · · Score: 5, Funny

      What will be interesting is how the oil giants respond to this competition.

      DMCA takedown notices?
    22. Re:Why talk by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 1

      I think it's a little more like, you invaded Iraq, you pay the price.
      Ramping up production generally lowers prices by increasing supply.

      But as far as the price of oil goes -- its very much a result of supply and demand -- demand goes up, supply goes down, prices go up.

      And the Middle East supplies about only about 1/3rd of the oil in the United States. Most of the rest comes from Canada and homegrown sources, and even a little bit comes from Europe. Given the increased diversity of our oil supply since the 1970s, it's unlikely that Saudi Arabia alone could control the price of oil.
    23. Re:Why talk by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 1

      There's a length limitation for Slashdot article headlines. That's why the editors and article submitters tend to abbreviate so much.

    24. Re:Why talk by Thirdsin · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Water powered car one day, oil creating carbon negative microbes the next...What i want to know, WHERE IS MY DAMN FLYING CAR!?

      --
      No words of wisedom here.
    25. Re:Why talk by Ihlosi · · Score: 1
      I think it's a little more like, you invaded Iraq, you pay the price.

      The rulers of Saudi Arabia don't care about the invasion of Iraq. The population might, but the nice thing about an absolute monarchy is that the rules don't have to care about that, either.

    26. Re:Why talk by Anspen · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If they are right then they are instant Billionaires, if the process really worked they would be commercializing it and completely destabilizing OPEC. I'll believe it when I see it and the world will be rejoicing.


      As with all these kind of technologies it will take time (either 4-10 years or forever). But at 50$ per barrel it wouldn't exactly destabelize OPEC (production cost of most middle east crude is around 2-6 $).

    27. Re:Why talk by Kattspya · · Score: 1

      Is that a new acronym that substitutes GMO? GE implies an organism made from scratch or at least have parts of its genome directly engineered (as oposed to cut and paste from existing organisms).

    28. Re:Why talk by MrMickS · · Score: 3, Interesting

      During the dotcom boom my uncle developed an aseptic filling plant and had an order from Mars. In order to be able to fulfill the order in its entirety he needed additional funding in the region of £1m. He failed to secure the funding. This at a time when people where being given millions for just adding '...and its on the internet' to the end of any physical process.

      The reason he failed to get funding. In his case despite having a customer lined up the possible investors saw a greater potential return from other means. A single dotcom success would far outweigh the return they would get from this physical process.

      The point I'm trying to make is that until they've been able to prove the process on an industrial scale they are going to find it difficult to attract investment. Especially when speculation on the oil price is reaping such rich rewards at the moment.

      --
      You may think me a tired, old, cynic. I'd have to disagree about the tired bit.
    29. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except that GE is used a fair bit to mean genetically engineered. And it isn't a company name (since obviously they would be sued into oblivion since there's that other well known GE in the same field...)

    30. Re:Why talk by Candid88 · · Score: 1

      How do you know what the Saudi leader's think of the Iraq War? Are you trying to claim psychic abilities?

      Being devout muslims I doubt they are that keen on it regardless of the whole sect differences etc.

    31. Re:Why talk by umghhh · · Score: 1

      I have problems with your argument 'sell less oil=make less money' that is true only if the price is not catching up and costs are not falling. Small riots here and there are also not that bad they show up how important the industry is and allow to get more money from gullible and powerless taxpayer.

    32. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What will be interesting is how the oil giants respond to this competition. By killing the inventors ;)

      c-f - end of my signature
    33. Re:Why talk by JPLemme · · Score: 3, Funny
      You're obviously a sock puppet of the petro-industrial-military-capitalist-moon-landing complex who created your slashdot account to keep the truth suppressed.


      /But seriously, you're trying to use logic and common sense to reason with a conspiracy theorist. Good luck with that.

    34. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I don't think Shell et al are quite as evil as popularly supposed. Sure they're making virtually all their massive revenue from oil currently, but that's because it makes economic sense; they're not in denial about the bigger energy picture. See their scenarios document - I've only skim read it but it seems pretty fair and realistic. Amongst other things, they basically predict the start of peak oil around 2015.

    35. Re:Why talk by SomeoneGotMyNick · · Score: 1

      Modded; +1, Damn Straight!!!

    36. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Saudis and Saddam never got along. Iran is a Sharia state, and Iraq was ruled by a secularist. If you're right in your implications then it was a miracle that guy managed to keep Iraq on the map at all, which presents an odd paradox.

    37. Re:Why talk by Viper+Daimao · · Score: 1
      "if the process really worked they would be commercializing it"

      FTA:

      âoeOur plan is to have a demonstration-scale plant operational by 2010 and, in parallel, weâ(TM)ll be working on the design and construction of a commercial-scale facility to open in 2011,â says Mr Pal, adding that if LS9 used Brazilian sugar cane as its feedstock, its fuel would probably cost about $50 a barrel.
      --
      "In the game of life, someone always has to lose. To me, if life were fair, that someone would always be Oklahoma." -DKR
    38. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If they are right then they are instantly assassinated. Fixed that for you.

    39. Re:Why talk by alexgieg · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Being devout muslims I doubt they are that keen on it regardless of the whole sect differences etc. Not really. Contrary to the traditional versions of Islam, the branch followed by the Saudi princes, called Wahhabism, is one that appeared in the 18th century claiming that it's the only correct version of Islam, that all the others have been corrupted by human traditions (that's why they regularly destroy ancient Islamic shrines, such as Muhammad's house, old mosques etc.), that the only path for a true believer is a "return" (they believe it's a return, others obviously disagree) to a fundamentalist, literalist, "sola scriptura"-style understanding of the Koran, that thus all other Muslims are infidels and must be dealt with as infidels, etc.

      So, whatever bad things happens to non-Wahhabi Muslims isn't of much concern to them. Rather, they most probably see this whole mess as a good opportunity to spread Wahhabism even more, since it fits much better with anti-US sentiments than the older, more reasonable branches do.
      --
      Conservatism: (n.) love of the existing evils. Liberalism: (n.) desire to substitute new evils for the existing ones.
    40. Re:Why talk by Z34107 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Great! Let's chip the Amazon!

      Insightful?

      Instead, different types of agricultural waste will be used according to whatever makes sense for the local climate and economy: wheat straw in California, for example, or woodchips in the South.

      Right. Because it's cheaper to burn a rainforest and ship it back to the United States than it is to take what farmers are throwing out for free. And, if the point is to turn the woodchips to oil, I doubt you'll make more fuel from your Amazonian rain forest than you consumed shipping it.

      Nice try, though. Way to hate Western Civilization.

      --
      DATABASE WOW WOW
    41. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is no benefit for the oil companies to develop and market an alternative technology until all the oil is gone.
      Holy false dichotomy, Batman! There's no reason they can't sell both.

      If an alternative technology becomes commercially viable the remaining oil reserves become nearly worthless.
      Depends how close to crude the substitute is. It may be OK for fuel, but not useless as a feedstock for plastic production. Most oil companies have considerable downstream assets too. Gasoline is just one of MANY products that come from crude oil. People can't seem to understand that.
    42. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You put to much faith in General Electric. You mean "too".

      You must be a MBA Professor in the Capital District Area. Where GE can do no wrong. This would work better as a single sentence.

      While I have actually did work for them as a consultant You mean "done".

      I wouldn't put it pass them to do a press conference "past"
    43. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They can't put "IBM announces Desktop Quantum Computer" either in the title, if by IBM they meant Internesting Busty Models Inc.

      Now that sounds like a technology firm I'd like to partner with.

    44. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      you absolutely do not know what you are talking about.

      1) Saudi's are only appear to be devout
      2) Saudi's were actually at war with Iraq

      Do you think Muslims countries do not have wars or politics? Read some history.

    45. Re:Why talk by kabocox · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Many fringe energy sources have become cost competitive with geological oil since it more than quadrupled in price. What will be interesting is how the oil giants respond to this competition.

      Come on they'll pull a TimeWarner-AOL merger that actually makes sense for their industry. The Oil/Energy companies aren't going anywhere. Those that have only oil from a single source or subset of politically liable sources as their main energy source of product may die off. Those "energy" companies that were oil, but have invested in other forms of energy production will make the natural shift to what is more profitable, less political liable, and better for their company's long term bottom line.

      It's sort of like how none of the major car companies went all out for either electric or hybrid cars until some one else figured out how to profitable sell them. Then all the sudden all sorts of car makers have or are looking into hybrids. The same mindset is behind those in the "energy" companies. The really funny part is as far as the big boys in that field are concerned about, it may not affect them too much. Look it up, there is tons of companies competing in that field and as long as these types of companies can say we need X input to produce Y grade of oil, they'll likely fit right into the entire over all oil/energy industry. (Expect the big boys to buy ten percent of any given handful of these companies right before that really hit it big.)

    46. Re:Why talk by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

      I believe it was Isaac Asimov that once said in the future we could "build" almost any hydrocarbon fuel by using carbon dioxide gas as a base. The technology GE demonstrated shows that this far-fetched idea may not be so far-fetched within a few decades at the rate things are going.

      I remember reading in (I believe) Popular Science some months ago that several scientists have figured out how to at least produce gasoline from biomass; this could eventually make it possible to use oil-laden algae to "grow" almost any hydrocarbon fuel we want from methanol all the way up to diesel fuel and heating oil.

    47. Re:Why talk by Ihlosi · · Score: 1
      I believe it was Isaac Asimov that once said in the future we could "build" almost any hydrocarbon fuel by using carbon dioxide gas as a base.



      No, it was the French chemist Paul Sabatier.



      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sabatier_process



      And yes, you can build any hydrocarbon of your choice that way, but it takes energy to do so.

    48. Re:Why talk by sycodon · · Score: 1, Funny

      From TFA:
      "to substitute Americaâ(TM)s weekly oil consumption of 143 million barrels, you would need a facility that covered about 205 square miles, an area roughly the size of Chicago."

      I would have no problem with leveling Chicago.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    49. Re:Why talk by Zarf · · Score: 1

      If they are right then they are instant Billionaires, if the process really worked they would be commercializing it and completely destabilizing OPEC. I'll believe it when I see it and the world will be rejoicing. I don't know. The process takes 40 square feet for one barrel a week. The US uses ... 20,730,000 bbl/day ... so to produce 1 days worth of US consumption a week you need... what 829 million square feet? Is that 157,000 square miles? I think I fat fingered the calculator... still it sounds like the thing takes a huge amount of space.

      I think the process may need some refinement to subsume old oil production processes. In a way sinking money into this prolongs the old oil infrastructure allowing current oil mavens to profitably milk the last drops from their wells.

      Actually, it's a pretty good path forward. The old oil mavens don't have to feel threatened by the new oil mavens and can allow a peaceful transition of economic power.
      --
      [signature]
    50. Re:Why talk by mhall119 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The Saudis and Saddam never got along. Iran is a Sharia state, and Iraq was ruled by a secularist. If you're right in your implications then it was a miracle that guy managed to keep Iraq on the map at all, which presents an odd paradox. Well, Saddam did have quite a bit of help during the Iran-Iraq war.

      --
      http://www.mhall119.com
    51. Re:Why talk by mapsjanhere · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The problem with VC capital is that you some need to get it AND maintain control of your company/process. Most VC offers read like "well, we're putting up all the capital, and all you bring is a bit IP/knowledge. 80% of the shares for us sounds good." Your second problem is, if you don't go the VC route by try for classic loans, you might be first, but someone else might be willing to make the deal with the VCs. And suddenly that "second class operation down the road that's five years behind us" starts breaking ground on that crucial first commercial operation, and your fine superior technology becomes a /. anecdote.

      --
      I'm aging rapidly, I bought a new game and had no idea if my machine was good for it.
    52. Re:Why talk by Ihlosi · · Score: 2, Informative
      what 829 million square feet? Is that 157,000 square miles?

      (829,000,000 ft^2) / (5280 ft/mi)^2 = 29,74 mi^2

      You forgot another factor of 1/5280 in your calculations.

    53. Re:Why talk by Ronin+Developer · · Score: 4, Funny
      They could _bury_ the competition!



      And, if a billion years or so, we might find yet another use for them...as oil.

    54. Re:Why talk by jandrese · · Score: 2, Informative

      The point is that the oil from the ground is not what is expensive right now. The cost of pumping and refining has not changed drastically in the past few years, it is just demand and speculators driving the prices up through the roof. It won't be until we're forced to start extracting oil from oil sands and shale oil that technologies like this will become cost competitive on the production front.

      Most companies are wary about trying to commercialize technologies like this because they were burned in the 80s when they finally got started with alternative production and then the bottom fell out of the oil market. There are still ghost towns in the southwest that resulted from the local oil company closing its doors.

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    55. Re:Why talk by wonkavader · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You're assuming that it costs a lot to get it out of the ground. Prices have to do with

      demand -- meaning what the folks with oil think they can get)

      supply -- meaning (in this situation, and this isn't the usual meaning) how much oil they've got underneath their country -- when it's gone they're destitute, so they price accordingly

      And then there's speculation, which is pushing prices up. But honestly, I don't know where that is in the process.

      My point is not "crude actually costs $32 per barrel to get out of the ground" it's "it is certainly possible that crude costs $0.27 per barrel to get out of the ground, though it might be $49.95 to get out of the ground." Most of us don't know what the margins are on oil after extraction.

      A process like this MIGHT be cheaper than extraction. It certainly can be cheaper than our purchase price for extracted barrels from the sources we have today. That will drive such prices down.

      I LOVE your #3 idea -- if we come up with a system which is carbon neutral and costs only a little more to acquire than drilling, hell yeah, let's make it illegal to drill for oil! If we could force than down the world's throat everyone would win except the people who currently have oil. They would lose big time. I'm ambivalent about that. (Canada's a big producer -- they'd probably go into the manufactured crude business in a big way and it'd be a wash for them. That is, unless it really does cost $0.27 to pump a barrel of crude out of a well.)

      NB. I suspect that it DOES cost very little (a few bucks) to pull a barrel of oil out of the ground. It FINDING that oil that cost so much money.

      With a new process, oil becomes a SURE THING. That would make the oil companies' profits PREDICTABLE FOREVER. Part of the financial world would love that.

    56. Re:Why talk by wonkavader · · Score: 1

      Agreed, but I suspect that the minute they're producing anything in _real_ quantity, such that thousands of drooling investors and tens of countrys want to set up their own factories to do the same, oil prices will magically drop enough to make it a lot less attractive.

    57. Re:Why talk by mozzis · · Score: 0

      "none of the major car companies went all out for either electric or hybrid cars..."

      You mean, except for Toyota?

      --
      This is not a self-referential sig.
    58. Re:Why talk by Dekortage · · Score: 1

      There is no benefit for the oil companies to develop and market an alternative technology until all the oil is gone.

      Although the article does not speculate on it, I wonder if the oil companies could create "blends" of crude oil with this biochemically-produced "oil 2.0" (as the article calls it). If so, and biochem oil can be produced cheaply en masse, it could cut their production costs dramatically. Of course, they'd sell it at the same price they currently do. Big win for them, financially.

      --
      $nice = $webHosting + $domainNames + $sslCerts
    59. Re:Why talk by Usquebaugh · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If these microbes can produce stuff that is close to crude? Is it possible that nature has microbes that produce crude?

      So tell me again what the formula is for buried dinos/plants turning into crude?

      Lastly, the companies selling refined oil set the prices and determine the amount left? Obviously, no room for price fixing there then.

    60. Re:Why talk by mdielmann · · Score: 1

      Are you kidding? If they can make oil using an alternate technology for cheaper than they can get oil out of the ground then there is every benefit. They could _bury_ the competition!

      1. Discover alternate technology
      2. Sell off existing oil assets while the alternate technology is unknown
      3. Pay politicians (using funds from step 2) to outlaw the use of crude oil extracted from the ground.
      4. Profit! If the product is cheaper than pumping oil out of the ground, why bother with step 3?
      --
      Sure I'm paranoid, but am I paranoid enough?
    61. Re:Why talk by drsquare · · Score: 2, Interesting

      They could _bury_ the competition!


      The only way they'd bury the competition is if they sold it below the current price, and could meet demand. But why do that when they're selling every drop they drill at current prices?

      Oil companies are not interested in competition.
    62. Re:Why talk by drsquare · · Score: 1

      Iraq planned to invade Saudi Arabia during the gulf war, I doubt they shed many tears when Iraq was invaded.

    63. Re:Why talk by Bastard+of+Subhumani · · Score: 1

      During the dotcom boom my uncle developed an aseptic filling plant and had an order from Mars.
      They obviously though he was a loony, tryng to sell stuff to little green men.

      What are the chances? A million to one, I'd say.
      --
      Only three things are certain; death, taxes, and apocryphal quotations - Ben Franklin.
    64. Re:Why talk by Bastard+of+Subhumani · · Score: 1

      It makes more sense to say "Genetically Modified" - GM. No ambiguity there.

      --
      Only three things are certain; death, taxes, and apocryphal quotations - Ben Franklin.
    65. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not sure you know what this: ? is for.

    66. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      If the product is cheaper than pumping oil out of the ground, why bother with step 3?

      Because conspiracy theories about bought off politicians are a good way to get positive moderation?

    67. Re:Why talk by CowboyNealOption · · Score: 1

      I wonder how hard it would be to sell a product with almost no extraction at all? Just to play dressup with a tinfoil hat for a bit, what if Saudi Arabia already had this technology and was able to produce oil for cents per barrel, but was still selling it at current rates because we were too dumb to realize it? By the way if I disappear tomorrow, it won't be hard to guess what happened to me.

    68. Re:Why talk by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      Citation?

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    69. Re:Why talk by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      The problem with VC capital is that you some need to get it AND maintain control of your company/process. Most VC offers read like "well, we're putting up all the capital, and all you bring is a bit IP/knowledge.

      I know they usually get some control and a seat at the table but control of the whole company? Isn't that the exception rather than the rule?

      Google didn't wind up selling 80% of their shares to the VC partners they had, IIRC.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    70. Re:Why talk by daveryan · · Score: 1

      At the moment they can't compete, this is true. But then, everything starts small. Refined bacteria (breed bacteria batches separately, see which produces the most oil, keep the best producers, rinse and repeat) and other things will make the process more efficient. I hope this is for real, and i hope even more that it allows for a domestic (or even portable within a car boot) waste-to-oil converter.

    71. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is for putting at the end of sentences? Like a period?

    72. Re:Why talk by kroymen · · Score: 3, Interesting

      "If they can make oil using an alternate technology for cheaper than they can get oil out of the ground..."

      That's a pretty big "if" if you ask me. It seems to pre-suppose that the price of oil has something to do with the cost of production. It doesn't. It has to do with the demand for it, the weakness of the dollar, and the fact that any oil executive recognizes that it's more profitable to leave as much oil in the ground as possible to ensure that demand is as high as possible without being so high that it triggers development of things exactly like this. No conspiracy, just predictable human behavior.

    73. Re:Why talk by Candid88 · · Score: 0

      And everyone knows Iraq was about to nuke all the civilized countries in the world to ...oh wait, that bit was all a lie.

    74. Re:Why talk by Zerth · · Score: 1

      The test tank is only as tall as a fridge. Increase the height, reduce the square footage. Plus, I doubt they'd really want one big facility. Make it 4 stories tall and a thousand plants across the continent, each would only be 207,250 sq ft. A four story building 500 feet on a side isn't too bad.

      Hell, depending the relative efficiencies, you might just replace the barns/silos at the feedstock producers.

    75. Re:Why talk by ichigo+2.0 · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'm not sure what the current EROEI for oil is, but I've read estimates that it is in the area of 15ish. That would mean that the production cost of a barrel of oil is about 7% of the price of a barrel, at least in theory. This presumably includes all additional costs like oil exploration.

    76. Re:Why talk by MrNaz · · Score: 3, Funny

      Sounds reasonable, except that it overlooks many nasty facts that exist in the real world. Notably, the nature of monopolistic capitalism and the sheer malignancy of the petrochemical industry.

      While yes, they may be able to develop a new tech to synthesize oil cheaper than it costs to pump, but the problem isn't one of simply pushing their own costs down; their profitability is dependent upon the total domination of the entire global operation.

      A new technology could be held onto for a while. Once variants are developed (no tech monopoly lasts long, patent protection is a whack a mole game that patent holders can never win) they lose the position of total global domination that they enjoy now. Thus, they know that their best long term proposition is to hold onto the monopoly that they hold now, as it can and is physically enforced by a) insurmountable barriers to entry and b) a myopic US government willing to protect Big Oil's interests politically and if necessary, militarily.

      In other words, I see your tinfoil hat, and raise you a tinfoil codpiece.

      --
      I hate printers.
    77. Re:Why talk by cappadocius · · Score: 2, Insightful

      there is no benefit for the oil companies to develop and market an alternative technology until all the oil is gone.
      Yes, because why would anyone want to be able to produce a product entirely within the confines of the property-rights-respecting West when they could make massive investments in pumping oil out of 3rd world kleptocracies with the knowledge that there is always a chance of losing everything to Nationalization of the Petroleum industry?
      --

      omnia tua castra sunt nobis

    78. Re:Why talk by howlingfrog · · Score: 4, Interesting

      There is no benefit for the oil companies to develop and market an alternative technology until all the oil is gone.
      Are you kidding? If they can make oil using an alternate technology for cheaper than they can get oil out of the ground then there is every benefit. They could _bury_ the competition!

      Yes and no. It is in the best interests of any one oil company to be the first to switch over to an alternative energy source. But it is also in the best interests of all the oil companies (individually and collectively) for the status quo to continue as long as possible--they control a finite resource, which is destroyed by use and demand for which is increasing.

      Essentially, they have two conflicting motives:

      1. Be the first mover.
      2. Don't move until absolutely necessary
      To balance those two factors, the oil companies are playing chicken with each other. I suspect all the major players are in fact doing major R&D on renewable energy. When the price of oil increases to the point (I'm guessing $10-15/gallon) that the masses actually consider changing their habits--when the luxury SUV market is the entire SUV market, when the median distance from people's homes to their workplaces is three miles, when mass transit gets enough passengers to become financially self-sufficient--you'll see the big oil producers all roll out their replacement technologies at once.
      --
      The original Howling Frog is a fictional character and has no UID.
    79. Re:Why talk by camg188 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      If people think that oil companies are evil and greedy because of their profits, then they must think that the government is really, really evil and greedy:

      "Exxon earned 9.5 cents on every dollar of gasoline and oil sold, cashing in at every stage of the process." Yes, ExxonMobil cashed in by investing and working to get their product to the retail customer while the federal government collected 18.4 cents per gallon in tax for doing nothing. Federal, state and local taxes total an average of 46 cents per gallon -- significantly more than the 28 cents Exxon earned on a $3 gallon of gas." - http://newsbusters.org/node/5120
    80. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They already have...From Sapphire Energy's website:

      "About Venrock
      Venrock is a premier venture capital firm with offices in Menlo Park, New York, Cambridge, MA, and Israel. Originally established as the venture capital arm of the Rockefeller family, Venrock continues a seven-decade tradition of partnering with entrepreneurs to establish successful, enduring companies. Having invested $1.9 billion in 405 companies resulting in over 120 IPOs over the past 39 years, Venrockâ(TM)s investment returns place it among the top tier venture capital firms that have achieved consistently superior performance. With a primary focus on technology, healthcare, and energy, portfolio companies have included Adnexus Therapeutics, Apple Computer, Centocor, Check Point Software, DoubleClick, Gilead Sciences, Idec Pharmaceuticals, Illumina, Intel, Millennium Pharmaceuticals, Sirna Therapeutics, StrataCom, and Vontu."

    81. Re:Why talk by masterzora · · Score: 1

      Yes, no ambiguity at all. There's definitely no companies close to the car industry with the initials "GM"....

      --
      Remember, open source is free as in speech, not free as in bear.
    82. Re:Why talk by Tanktalus · · Score: 1

      Why would they need step 3? If they offered alternative-based gasoline that could power my smartcar, moped, and 1973 v8 pickup truck, without modification, for even 10% less than ground-based petroleum, NO ONE WOULD BUY CONVENTIONAL OIL-BASED GASOLINE AGAIN.

    83. Re:Why talk by Chuckstar · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "There is no benefit for the oil companies to develop and market an alternative technology until all the oil is gone."

      Yes there is. Some refineries can only refine high-quality crude ("lighter" in the parlance). It would be very expensive to upgrade such refineries. Heavier crude is cheaper and more readily available. This technology would allow a refiner to buy heavy(er) crude nad mix it with algae-produced light sweet crude, resulting in a cheaper costs while also not having to spend hundreds of millions (even billions) in refinery upgrades.

      Note that this is unusual in alternative energy technologies, in that oil companies really could see short-term benefit from the technology and the technology could be easily incorporated into the existing energy infrastructure.

    84. Re:Why talk by Khashishi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Insightful my ass. You seem to have some distorted view of oil industries as controlled by pure evil entities. Real oil companies spend money on alternative energies because they know that they will have to evolve and adapt to new circumstances if they want to continue making money in the long term. They aren't dead set on crude oil. If they can make more money by shifting to alternative sources. They can't block alternative technologies. They can only get in on the action.

    85. Re:Why talk by real+gumby · · Score: 1

      What will be interesting is how the oil giants respond to this competition. "Respond" isn't really the right word. The integrated firms (the "majors") operate at all levels of the distribution chain: discovery, shipping, refinement, retail etc. They buy and sell crude as it travels from the wellhead to the refinery depending on the behavior of the spot market and what goes into the refinery may or may not have been pumped out of the ground by them. So if this process works at scale it's merely another input.

      Think of these guys as financial companies with enormous cash flow who use a brick-n-mortar operation to get very good quasi-realtime information as to what's going on at the market at each stage.

      The non-integrated firms will suffer or not depending on what part of the market they work in. C'est la vie.

      To me what happens to these companies isn't interesting. What happens to the market is more interesting (if it's true that such a process works at volume outside the lab...most cool inventions don't as we all know well).

      -g

      PS: trivia question: who's the world's largest retailer of Coke? Answer: BP. As a guy I knew on the managing board put it to me: they're experienced at selling black sticky liquids -- which one doesn't matter as long as it's profitable.
    86. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the federal government collected 18.4 cents per gallon in tax for doing nothing
      That's just a plain stupid way to say it. That tax and other taxes pay for the roads. Without government funded roads, people wouldn't be buying that gas. Now you can argue that the government shouldn't fund roads and I agree with that, but the gas tax pays for the road, just like a toll road.
    87. Re:Why talk by Gibbs-Duhem · · Score: 1

      there's a really cool terrestrial (as oppose to aquatic) plant called misanthus giganteus which has biomass growth rates ~6 dry tons/acre. ( http://bioenergy.ornl.gov/papers/miscanthus/miscanthus.html )

      dry biomass contains ~17GJ/ton ( http://bioenergy.ornl.gov/papers/misc/energy_conv.html ), so if you assume no loss of energy in conversion, you get a maximum energy production there of ~100GJ/year per acre.

      The US fuel consumption is ~20,687,000 barrels/day ( http://www.eia.doe.gov/basics/quickoil.html ), which is 460 million acres of land.

      luckily, this doesn;t need to be grown on farmland (we have 450M acres of farmland in the US), but for comparison, doing this with corn would take about twice as much land, and much more nutritional fertilizer.

      algae is another possible way to sustainably grow that much biomass, but having researched it extensively, it;s too expensive, and requires a lot of labor. miscanthus only requires normal farming techniques, so is very cheap to produce (maybe cheaper than shipping the amazon up here?)

    88. Re:Why talk by Jardine · · Score: 1

      It won't be until we're forced to start extracting oil from oil sands and shale oil that technologies like this will become cost competitive on the production front.

      Where do you think the oil Alberta produces comes from?

    89. Re:Why talk by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Speaking of what farmers throw out for free, it sucks we don't already have this working for all the ruined-by-flood corn we've now got.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    90. Re:Why talk by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 0

      supply -- meaning (in this situation, and this isn't the usual meaning) how much oil they've got underneath their country -- when it's gone they're destitute, so they price accordingly

      OPEC is an oligopoly. Supply is dictated solely by their pricing curves.

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    91. Re:Why talk by bckrispi · · Score: 1

      Remember a mission called Operation Desert Shield?? Of course, the defense of Saudi Arabia may have just been a cover story to prepare for invasion. But that is what we were told.

      --
      Xenon, where's my money? -Borno
    92. Re:Why talk by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 2, Informative

      The formula for producing oil actually starts with microbes, in the form of algae. The process in a nutshell:

      1) (optional) Runaway global warming and high levels of CO2 in the atmosphere produce a global anoxic event, similar to the dead zone in the Gulf of Mexico but spanning the entire globe. Algae reproduce in vast numbers, die, and sink to the bottom of the ocean. Rather than decay, they form a thick black mud tens of meters deep.

      2) Over millions of years, the mud is folded under other rock layers.

      3) The mud gets deep enough so that it is under lots of pressure and correspondingly high heat (60 to 120 degrees C) which break down the molecular bonds of the organic compounds that make up the mud, producing straight-chain hydrocarbons (i.e. crude oil).

      4) (optional) The oil seeps upwards to the surface and gets trapped in a pocket of impermeable rock underneath the Middle East.

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    93. Re:Why talk by wonkavader · · Score: 1

      Cool word! But you're referring to the classic supply/demand sort of supply. How much is in the marketplace right now. I'm referring to how much oil THEY THINK their country is swimming on. Some heads of state won't give a rat's ass about providing for their countrymen when that oil is gone. Others do care. That influences what they decide their oil is worth.

      Oil's funny. We could be paying a lot more for it, but we're not. When you're pricing marshmallows, you decide on $1.59 a bag without having to think to yourself, "If I make it $2 a bag, a coalition of governments may invade my country."

    94. Re:Why talk by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      I dunno, I actually like Mars candy bars and they are not green.

    95. Re:Why talk by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      But that is what we were told.

      No, we were told that he COULD go into Saudi Arabia. I was looking for a citation that he actually intended to do so.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    96. Re:Why talk by bagsc · · Score: 1
      --
      http://www.accountkiller.com/removal-requested
    97. Re:Why talk by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      Any links for point three showing balanced equations, bonus point for lab re-creation papers.

    98. Re:Why talk by theguyfromsaturn · · Score: 1

      Correction. It would NOT destabilize OPEC. OPEC does not provide cheap oil. It provides cheap ENERGY (yes cheap, considering that a barrel of oil is said to represent the yearly labour of 12 people... how much would you pay THEM over the year? Probably more than 140$ How much do YOU make per year?). If you can produce crude oil by some process, it still requires ENERGY to produce. Where are you getting it from? There will undoubtely be losses. How many OPEC countries have not reached peak yet? Indonesia just abandonned OPEC because it is now a net importer of oil. Mexico is due to become a net importer by 2011. Countries hit peak way before they become net importers. The worse thing OPEC can do now is increase production (if they even physically can, how many countries other than Saudi Arabia have been wise enough to keep any slack?) as it steals away our only avenue of mitigating the impact of peak oil: TIME to develop and DEPLOY alternatives (because when an alternative is developped NOW, it won't replace 150 years of infrastructure TOMORROW). So this research has no bearing on OPEC countries (Saudi Arabia could develop huge solar farms in its desert, non-agricultural land surface for instance, and it still produces the energy NOW that people need). It does allow us to cut back on the need to deploy an entirely different infrasctructure to use the energy we obtain from alternative means (how many people will have electric cars tomorrow even if we sprang overnight the estimated 10 000 Nuclear Power plants that could produce the energy we get from oil ?). However, be prepared to sustain energy losses in the conversion of electricity (or heat, the two most likely forms of alternative energy collected) into the synthetic crude oil.

      --
      I like my dinosaurs feathery, and my pterosaurs hairy (or is it pycnofibery?)
    99. Re:Why talk by budgenator · · Score: 1

      f they are right then they are instant Billionaires
      no the speed of light keeps anything from being instant in the real world, but if it scales up well they probably will be billionaires and we'll be happy about it. The power-brokers in OPEC will have a lot less power to broker, and considering that the Columbians just caught Chavez dirty, things could get interesting in a couple hemispheres.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    100. Re:Why talk by PhotoGuy · · Score: 4, Interesting

      And the increased viability of alternative fuels seems to be a playing a role in scaring the Saudis into ramping up production.

      Wow, I know it's too late to get any mod points so people will read this, but for those who do drill down into replies:

      The Saudi's aren't scared, as another poster pointed out. They are merely trying to poke a bit of a hole into the rampant commodity speculation (and likely price manipulation) that has driven the price of oil (and other commodities) to the point where 60% (according to some estimates) of the price is purely due to speculation.

      Just like the .COM bubble (and the TV bubble and many other bubbles before it) drove stock prices unreasonably high, the same is happening with oil (and food and other commodities) now. The dollar is weak, creating piss-poor interest rates, so investors are flocking to these commodities. The normal trading prices for oil used to be subject to oversight and regulation (all major trades had to be reported), to ensure that the oil companies couldn't manipulate prices. Enron was key in creating a loophole where oil futures traded on the OTC (over the counter) market were not subject to tracking and oversight. So the oil companies are likely manipulating and driving prices high through that mechanism.

      Normally prices are driven by the economics of supply and demand. The Saudi's are effectively calling "bullshit" on the current prices (and unprecedented oil reserves held by the US), by showing they can easily up the supply. Yes, they are looking out for their interests, but if the poke a hole in the price speculation and price manipulation that is going on, the average consumer is going to benefit greatly (at the expense of big oil). They want to sell oil to us, and they know the current price isn't reasonable nor good for business. More power to them. Hopefully the current prices will scare us into more research of alternative fuels. But the reality is that the consumers, businesses, and general economy relies upon oil today, and is being seriously hurt by the oil companies' price manipulation.

      And the run-up of world food prices is supposedly due to a similar speculation in food futures (where greedy North American and European investors' commodity speculation is leading to starvation in some countries).

      Good article on it, here. I think I originally came across that via Digg, which seems to be more useful lately than /. Sigh...

      Will the oil bubble burst soon? Hard to believe the OTC loophole and other issues will be addressed as long as a man with oil interests, and from a Texan oil family is in the Whitehouse. Talk about a conflict of interest.
      --
      Love many, trust a few, do harm to none.
    101. Re:Why talk by theguyfromsaturn · · Score: 1

      Yes. I realize that they plan to use bugs to eat agricultural waste. But said waste will not go into the production of compost. Hence farms deprived of that compost will need chemical fertilizers, which requires energy from sources others than the "sun" that produced the raw material for the original waste. Ultimately, it is still a form of solar energy collector with chemical storage. I'm not saying it's a bad idea, but it can't compete with the shear concentrated energy value of petroleum. How much waste will have to be used for one barrel of oil? Transportation costs of the waste? That's what I mean by OPEC providing cheap ENERGY and not cheap OIL. It does not take away the value of the research. Not ahving to redo the infrastructure means that we get away from spending lots of energy upfront for the conversion. However we are still stuck the en environmental problems paused by gasoline leaks contaminating the groundwater table etc. It IS a wonderful discovery. It just is NOT free energy.

      --
      I like my dinosaurs feathery, and my pterosaurs hairy (or is it pycnofibery?)
    102. Re:Why talk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You missed a step. According to the Slashdot formula there's supposed to be a "???" step.

    103. Re:Why talk by afidel · · Score: 1

      They'd still have the oligopoly on transportation and refining, those are serious barriers to entry and so should ensure their continued existence. In fact I can think of nothing the oil companies would love better than for the energy source of the future to look like the energy source of today.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    104. Re:Why talk by afidel · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Well, depending on exactly which compounds come out of this process there might still be a market for dino-petrol, there are some very unique and valuable things that come out of crude that have little to do with fuel production. That market is of course a fraction of the fuel market, but it exists and it is a reason that future generations will hate us for simply burning the stuff.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    105. Re:Why talk by afidel · · Score: 1

      The amassing of forces along the border before the international coalition had a significant amount of forces in the region was probably a good indicator...

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    106. Re:Why talk by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      Point three is called cracking. A quick google search finds some more information pretty quickly, and if you have disposable funds,
      this or this seem like pretty good resources. There's also a Journal of Petroleum Geochemistry, if you're interested.

      Lab re-creation is not really necessary; the commercial form of cracking is called petroleum refining.

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    107. Re:Why talk by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1
      Some heads of state won't give a rat's ass about providing for their countrymen when that oil is gone. Others do care. That influences what they decide their oil is worth.

      Except the decisions are all made in a central location. OPEC doesn't decide on the final price, but the definately decide on the production per country. And storing oil in the ground is not necessarily the best long term plan either. Instead, you could use that money to buy huge amounts of real estate, or stocks, or even bonds. The basic plan is for them to liquid their oil at the slowest (thus maximizing the price) rate possible, without causing people to get too hung up on alternative fuels, or crippling their consumers economies, resulting in less ability to affored fuel in the near future.

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    108. Re:Why talk by Bonobo_Unknown · · Score: 1

      Agricultural surplus in the USA is based on a large amount of oil being used in agriculture to maximise yields. You want to make oil out of the surplus produce that we have due to the fact that we're using oil to produce it! TINSTAAFL The easy way out is to use the natural resources that already exist, and you know humans and easy ways seem to go hand in hand. BTW, No need to bring back wood chips from the Amazon, make the oil over there and ship it. That's something we do. Ship oil. You knew that right?

      --
      We don't believe in radical loony monotheistic religions from the middle east -- we're Christians.
    109. Re:Why talk by Bonobo_Unknown · · Score: 1

      Interesting... How much energy / water does farming misanthus giganteus require on a scale that involves 450M acres of land?

      --
      We don't believe in radical loony monotheistic religions from the middle east -- we're Christians.
    110. Re:Why talk by Z34107 · · Score: 1

      You seem to have missed my point. The parent I replied to was implying that turning woodchips into oil meant we would woodchip the amazon.

      My point was that we wouldn't be importing woodchips when we have plenty of our own here.

      I'll leave the net energy balance of either as an exercise to the reader.

      --
      DATABASE WOW WOW
    111. Re:Why talk by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      Cracking/Distillation I thought was part of the refining process. Your links seem to point that way as well.

      What I'm really interested in is how animal/plants breakdown to give oil. Is it simply heat+pressure or is something else involved?

      Lab recreation with formulas would prove that it's possible to use just heat + pressure to give oil.

      You could then walk through the numbers to see how much animal/plant is needed to give oil.

    112. Re:Why talk by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      The basic plan is for them to liquid their oil at the slowest (thus maximizing the price) rate possible, without causing people to get too hung up on alternative fuels, or crippling their consumers economies, resulting in less ability to affored fuel in the near future. And this is an important point.

      The high price of gasoline will change the buying habits of Americans for the next decade.

      Think of it this way: If the price of gasoline dropped to $1.50 per gallon tomorrow, would those people who bought hybrid cars just turn them in and go buy a gas guzzling SUV? At the very least, they'll probably stick with their hybrid for another 3-5 years.

      Most people I know with hybrids have no complaints with them. When they do go buy another car, they might consider another hybrid. Think the people who own SUVs and are currently getting burned will consider buying another SUV when it comes time to buy a new car?

      The OPEC people have a tough balancing act. Make oil too high and (a) people use less and (b) start looking for alternatives which will put OPEC out of business. Make oil too low and they make less money on what is a finite resource.
    113. Re:Why talk by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      Cracking is also part of the natural process. Basically, all fossil fuels start out as proteins, carbohydrates, and lipids; the basic building blocks for carbon-based life as we know it.

      What happens in step two is those carbon structures get broken down into smaller pieces. This is called diagenesis, which is a generic term that describes how sedimentary rocks change when you bury them under other layers of rocks. This process produces kerogens and bitumens from our original organic material.

      Step three is the same process as refineries use to turn relatively useless alkanes (those with more than about 30 carbon atoms) into useful ones, except they call it catagenesis when it happens naturally.

      Alkanes can be synthesized in a lab, but few people bother. The wikipedia article on alkanes provides several methods.

      For synthetic production of fuel, look up the Fischer-Tropsch process, which creates hydrocarbons from hydrogen and carbon monoxide, and thermal depolymerization, which is supposed to do to organic matter in hours what the planet takes millions of years to do.

      As far as how much plant matter it takes to create petroleum, a study by one Jeff Dukes of the University of Utah put the figure at 98 tons of plant matter per gallon of gas, as far as natural production is concerned. However, that figure is not very useful. Probably it would be best to say that one gallon of gasoline requires about five kilograms of carbon in the form of crude oil (depending on the crude), and the processes for getting from plant to crude are not efficient.

      Oh, and as for formulas, the natural production of petroleum is pretty complex, and easier to deal with as a group of parallel processes than with a specific formula (or many).

      There is lots and lots of information related to this on the internet. One good way to find information would be to look up presentations and materials from petroleum geochemistry or organic geochemistry courses, and check out books that they reference.

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    114. Re:Why talk by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      If the product is cheaper than pumping oil out of the ground, why bother with step 3? Because oil is evil.
      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    115. Re:Why talk by Bonobo_Unknown · · Score: 1

      The USA won't be importing wood chips from the Amazon, but hey if some industrious folk down there had fuel to sell then I'd bet there's going to be a market for it in the USA.

      You won't cut the trees down, but someone will.

      --
      We don't believe in radical loony monotheistic religions from the middle east -- we're Christians.
    116. Re:Why talk by Z34107 · · Score: 1

      Thing is if that was profitable, how do you think paper companies would go about procuring wood pulp? If "someone" in the Amazon can do it cheaper, it would already be done in the paper industry.

      Why again must everyone assume all new technologies will immediately start burning rainforests? They could make oil from cat litter and you'd be telling me it's animal abuse.

      --
      DATABASE WOW WOW
    117. Re:Why talk by lazy+genes · · Score: 1

      Humans tend to consume energy faster than it can be produced. Technology increases with global population. Technology and population size are linked together. This is a good thing. The problem is in our ability to transport information economically in a sustainable and safe way. The solution maybe way out of reach for the types of governments that are in place at this time. The magic in solving this problem starts by analyzing the safety issues. The altruistic approach is to put safety first at any cost. The solution is to mix Technology together with an infrastructure designed to eliminate HUMAN ERROR in our transportation system. The magical part to this type of system is in the amount of weight that would be reduced from our vehicles and at the same doubling the speed of the vehicle. The finished product would be a skinny but longer vehicle that would ride on a rail or in a groove driven by a computer system. The infrastructure would made out out current utility systems (gas lines, sewer, water, electrical, ect) for two reasons. The main reason is that utilities go everywhere that vehicles go. The second reason is that the utility lines decay and need to be replaced with the current system so why not design a system that incorporates all these into a transportation type conduit. The beauty of this altruistic approach is that it will pay for itself in less than ten years, save thousands of pounds from being transported from every vehicle, the vehicles would never have to stop for another vehicle, This system would reduce the energy needed to transport information 10 fold. But unfortunately even this type of system might not be enough to reach sustainability. Eventually every local area will have to produce its own energy in order to evolve. I do not blame the governments of this world for the problems that we face, I actually think that they are all doing a good job. But in order to keep the huge global population healthy, so it can produce the technology that is important for our evolution, some things may need to change. They may just magically Change by themselves without any problems, Kinda like a phase change. I personally don't care what type of government it becomes, as long as our health improves and our ability to transport our information is not reduced.

    118. Re:Why talk by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      4. Pump and sell more oil. There is no benefit for the oil companies to develop and market an alternative technology until all the oil is gone. If an alternative technology becomes commercially viable the remaining oil reserves become nearly worthless.
      A popular view. It's wrong, of course.


      What you're neglecting is that the product from this bacterial digestion is a relatively simple mix of chemicals, to paraphrase TFA "a few biochemical steps from long-chain fatty acids". While that's a large part of the dull and boring part of oil, it's by no means everything.

      Remember what your father was taught by his college chemistry lecturers back in the 1950s? That "oil is too good to burn"? Well, a lot of the reason for chemists having wasted their breath for the large part of a century saying that is the non-"few steps from fatty acid" hydrocarbon components of natural oils.

      Remember the big eruption of the chemical industry back in the 1850s, propelled by the "coal tar" byproducts of the town gas industry? well, again, it was the non-simple hydrocarbons that people were working on.

      Oil is still too good to burn ; if someone comes up with something cheaper and easier to burn, then there will be plenty of other markets for the interesting chemicals in oil.



      FWIW, what I notice missing from this "miracle cure" is the source of the sugars they feed their modified E.coli on. They don't mention a process for turning cellulosic biomass into sugars. Which is no great surprise, because that's the hard bit. That's why people are presently producing "biofuel" from human-edible foodstuffs, and all the consequent palaver.

      Termites can do it, and some fungi can do it (degrade cellulosic materials to simple oligosaccharides) ; but there isn't yet an industrial process that can do it. Yet.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    119. Re:Why talk by Zarf · · Score: 1

      thanks. Yeah that's pretty big. And 1/7th the gas for the US. 3k square miles is friggin' huge.

      --
      [signature]
    120. Re:Why talk by t0rkm3 · · Score: 1

      That's interesting. I work for one of the "big" oil companies and guess what? We've investment in alternative fuel sources as well as nuclear power.

      We are an energy company.

      Use the carbon negative energy source to power industrial processes and use the mineral crude to power cars and you'd have a huge net carbon output reduction without an artificial scarcity problem.

    121. Re:Why talk by Bonobo_Unknown · · Score: 1
      I'll put it another way, because you seem to be missing the point. If a significant oil deposit were found in Brazil do you think the world would be interested in buying some? Yes.

      From an external point of view an oil deposit in Brazil could be an underground deposit, or it could be using technology to break down wood chips and vegetable matter. When the shit hits the fan oil is oil, and people who need it will buy it.

      Brazil is a country that has many people living in poverty. Oil is a resource that is in great demand. It makes sense for Brazilians to set up small and large scale distilling operations from any vegetable matter that they can find. It makes sense that they would take this vegetation as cheaply as possible, and you don't get much cheaper wood than the Amazon jungle. It makes sense that they would then sell this product to the rest of the world.

      Thing is if that was profitable, how do you think paper companies would go about procuring wood pulp? If "someone" in the Amazon can do it cheaper, it would already be done in the paper industry. A quick search on google shows that the Brazilian paper industry is worth hundreds of billions of dollars. So yes, the precedent has already been set by the paper industry.

      Why again must everyone assume all new technologies will immediately start burning rainforests? I'm not assuming anything. I'm simply exploring some of the more obvious outcomes of this technology.

      They could make oil from cat litter and you'd be telling me it's animal abuse. Well, cat litter aside, I hope I've been able to explain why this new technology could lead to accelerated deforestation in Brazil (and any country with relatively poor people and extensive forests, eg. Indonesia, Vietnam, PNG etc. etc.).
      --
      We don't believe in radical loony monotheistic religions from the middle east -- we're Christians.
    122. Re:Why talk by Gibbs-Duhem · · Score: 1

      well, honestly a metric buttload. it's not going to be easy, but it has several thing going for it:

      -can be farmed using existing technology (vs algae)
      -high biomass growth rate in wild strain (10%+ of algae, i believe) -- GE strains may offer substantial route to improvements
      -needs comparably (to corn, soy, palm, etc) low soil quality, so good yields can be achieved even with suboptimal fertilizer/water availibility.

      i think algae is the best long term solution (only 60M acres estimated land usage, and mostly salt water), but the tech is hugely epensive because of:

      -state of the art growing methods (photobioreactors, bacteria digesters + fischer tropsch, etc)
      -high maintenance costs (need an engineer on site to manage the equipment)

      because of this, algae is impossible on a local scale, where with miscanthus you can have people grow it at their homes and send it to a nearby gasification plant (or just burn it) without many manhours of attention.

      (sorry about the lower case, i blew up my left hand last week and am still getting used to one handed typing)

    123. Re:Why talk by LilGuy · · Score: 1

      I have to wonder if it can turn out by-products as ubiquitous as crude can.

      --

      You're nothing; like me.
  2. Public perception by tomalpha · · Score: 4, Funny

    <science scare story hat>

    Two quotes FTA:

    • "...capable of turning surplus material ... into a substance which could substitute directly for crude oil."
    • "They start out as industrial yeast or nonpathogenic strains of E. coli..."

    E.Coli, usually harmless etc, commonly found in the gut and able to survive brief periods outside it's normal (animal intestine) environment. So if this escaped into the wild, and you accidentally consumed a small amount, would it turn you into crude oil?

    </science scare story hat>

    No seriously, I can see tabloid newspapers having a field day with this: "Genetic Frankenstein Bugs Ate My Grandmother!"

    1. Re:Public perception by ProppaT · · Score: 1

      I think the term for this is "natural selection."

      --
      Wise men say, "Forgiveness is divine, but never pay full price for late pizza."
    2. Re:Public perception by Ihlosi · · Score: 4, Funny
      So if this escaped into the wild, and you accidentally consumed a small amount, would it turn you into crude oil?

      Not likely. But it'd probably give you flatulence of unprecedented proportions.

    3. Re:Public perception by Shivetya · · Score: 1

      So now we have Soylent Green Oil?

      Oh yeah, time for Stephen King to right a new book.

      Then again, combine this with other stories about the possibility of real "Jurassic Parks" and we can do the whole dino to oil thing in a day.

      --
      * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
    4. Re:Public perception by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      E.Coli, usually harmless etc, commonly found in the gut and able to survive brief periods outside it's normal (animal intestine) environment. So if this escaped into the wild, and you accidentally consumed a small amount, would it turn you into crude oil? Ersatz Crude is people! Now the Matrix movies finally make sense!
    5. Re:Public perception by tomalpha · · Score: 3, Informative

      Not likely...

      True, but since when has rational debate held sway in the realm of reporting science stories?

    6. Re:Public perception by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dunno about that, but your turds would come shooting out of your ass like greased lightening. Or rather like greased turds.

    7. Re:Public perception by F-3582 · · Score: 1

      A healthy dose of Ciprofloxacin should well be able to off those little buggers, just in case.

    8. Re:Public perception by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 5, Funny

      Oh yeah, time for Stephen King to right a new book.

      He's wronged so many of his last books that it would be a good idea regardless.

      --
      "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
    9. Re:Public perception by dintech · · Score: 2, Funny

      I volunteer! I'd love to be a modern day golden goose.

    10. Re:Public perception by dintech · · Score: 4, Funny

      Actually, maybe that's what tubgirl was up to.

    11. Re:Public perception by dintech · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah, time for Stephen King to right a new book.
      I think we're in Michael Crichton territory here.
    12. Re:Public perception by SnowZero · · Score: 1

      Sure, but it'd make an awesome cautionary tale for other civilizations: Humans, on the brink of disaster due to peak oil, created an organism to solve their engery needs. Unfortunately, it got into the wild, and ended up consuming everything and drowning all surface life in oil.

    13. Re:Public perception by Grimbleton · · Score: 5, Funny

      Nah, this story needs some rampant sexual innuendo, pedophilia, and themes that would give serial rapists nightmares. Let's see... Is Piers Anthony in the middle of anything at the moment?

    14. Re:Public perception by Orlando · · Score: 1

      So if this escaped into the wild, and you accidentally consumed a small amount, would it turn you into crude oil?

      Not likely. But it'd probably give you flatulence of unprecedented proportions.


      I think we've stumbled across a secondary method for creating fuel!

      --
      -= This is a self-referential sig =-
    15. Re:Public perception by jollyreaper · · Score: 1

      So if this escaped into the wild, and you accidentally consumed a small amount, would it turn you into crude oil? Not likely. But it'd probably give you flatulence of unprecedented proportions. I shudder to think of the skid-marks.
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    16. Re:Public perception by garlicbready · · Score: 1

      A good name for a company marketing this product
      Solient Oil
      In Soviet Russia the Oil consumes you

    17. Re:Public perception by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So if this escaped into the wild, and you accidentally consumed a small amount, would it turn you into crude oil?



      Not likely. But it'd probably give you flatulence of unprecedented proportions.

      Now there's a film screaming to be made. Bioterrorist release a flatulence producing super bug in a baseball park full of people wolfing down hotdogs and guzzling beer. As the methane levels reach critical our hero tries to stop 20,000 rednecks from lighting cigarettes thus blowing up themselves and half the town. Samuel L. Jackson needs a hit movie right about now. He could even team up with M. Night again for a slow paced thriller called "The Belching". Ya gotta admit it'd be better than "Lady in the Water".
    18. Re:Public perception by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      lab E. coli strains != pathogenic E. coli

      I work w/ lab E. coli every day and have never gotten sick from it and I'm sure I've ingested a few of them in my lifetime.

    19. Re:Public perception by larry+bagina · · Score: 1

      So if this escaped into the wild, and you accidentally consumed a small amount, would it turn you into crude oil?

      Not likely. But it'd probably give you flatulence of unprecedented proportions.

      CowboyNeal has prior art on THAT.

      --
      Do you even lift?

      These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.

    20. Re:Public perception by jamesh · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, it got into the wild, and ended up consuming everything and drowning all surface life in oil.
      ... again.

      I think you may have stumbled upon what really happened to the dinosaurs.
    21. Re:Public perception by aurispector · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Tangentially, you may be interested to know that when the post office was going to murder all of us with anthrax and the media was trumpeting on about how Cipro was our only hope, a quick look at a the literature revealed that doxycycline is both 1) equally effective and 2) no longer covered by patent and about a hundred times cheaper.

      --
      I have mod points. The reign of terror begins now.
    22. Re:Public perception by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Soylent grey goo?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    23. Re:Public perception by Bloke+down+the+pub · · Score: 1

      Solient? Isn't that near the Isle of Wight?

      --
      It's true I tell you, feller at work's next door neighbour read it in the paper.
    24. Re:Public perception by ardle · · Score: 1

      Unnatural Gas

    25. Re:Public perception by DerWulf · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      peak oil is a lie.

      --

      ___
      No power in the 'verse can stop me
    26. Re:Public perception by TomGreenhaw · · Score: 1

      Wow - this adds whole new meaning to "I have gas!"

      --
      Greed is the root of all evil.
    27. Re:Public perception by garlicbready · · Score: 1

      Sorry I ment Soilent as in Soilent Green

    28. Re:Public perception by Zymergy · · Score: 1

      So there could be multiple combined alternative business models:
      (1) Develop Genetically Engineered strain of crude hydrocarbon-producing single-celled organisms similar to what humans have in their guts.
      (2) Patent/Copyright/Trademark their DNA/RNA sequences as well as Patent something obligatorily vague about their production methodology and their how to store them.
      (3) Seek FDA "Approval" after 'throughly testing' the new bugs in human 'field trails' in remote 3rd-world countries.
      (4) Produce several of each under shell companies funneling all profits into banks off-shore in non-extradition countries:
      -(a) Conversion Plants for Cellulose to syn-crude oil from (biomass, woods chips, and yard waste)
      -(b) An all new 'natural' and patented formula of stool softener/loosener. (No more drinking mineral oil, etc...)
      and
      -(c) The world's first truly effective, yet also intestineally-challenging, Fat Camps! (and you thought only too-much Olestra could give you "anal leakage" AKA "Steatorrhea" ) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steatorrhea
      (5) = PROFIT!

    29. Re:Public perception by SomeoneGotMyNick · · Score: 1

      Not quite. You'll probably create Castor Oil. At least then, you'll have a self regulating digestive system. Eat all the cheese you want without fear!!!

    30. Re:Public perception by SomeoneGotMyNick · · Score: 1

      I shudder to think of the skid-marks. If you're producing oil, you'll need to invest in heat shields for the Blue Flamer's Clubs.

      Call them, "Defends Undergarments"

    31. Re:Public perception by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Time for Stephen King to write a new book.

    32. Re:Public perception by Thelasko · · Score: 1

      So if this escaped into the wild, and you accidentally consumed a small amount, would it turn you into crude oil? So, that's what happened to the dinosaurs! It all makes sense now.
      --
      One of our competitors trademarked the term "hypothesis". From now on, we will call them "boneheaded ideas".
    33. Re:Public perception by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The one unwanted side effect of this "oil" creating microbe:

      It also happens to eat money.

      Therefore, as you will have much less money as a side effect, things should remain about the same as they are now.

    34. Re:Public perception by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      able to survive brief periods outside it's normal (animal intestine) environment. You mean "its" with no apostrophe.
    35. Re:Public perception by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's spelled Soylent.

      Here is a resource which could help prevent these sorts of situations in the future.

    36. Re:Public perception by mapsjanhere · · Score: 1

      Even more worrying, when do we all get forcefully inoculated with a new E. Coli, helping us all to excrete oil.
      Just imagine, your local sewage plant suddenly becomes a giant oil-water separator.
      Just don't smoke in the bathroom.

      --
      I'm aging rapidly, I bought a new game and had no idea if my machine was good for it.
    37. Re:Public perception by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You'd just become naturally lubricated.

    38. Re:Public perception by tobiasly · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah, time for Stephen King to right a new book.

      He's wronged so many of his last books that it would be a good idea regardless.

      I think you meant "it would be a good idea irregardless."

    39. Re:Public perception by z00_miak · · Score: 1

      What happens when the bacteria strains mutate and are able to escape and dominate in the wild, consuming forests and crops? It only took one string of E.Coli strain 31 500 generations to mutate and be able metabolize citrate.

    40. Re:Public perception by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's less to worry about than you think. All commonly used laboratory E. coli strains are auxotrophs. This means that they have been genetically modified so that they are deficient in the production of a necessary compound (a common strain, DH5alpha, can't make leucine or thymine, which are essential amino acids).

      Auxotrophy allows the growth of the bacteria to be constrained to the laboratory -- where they are grown in media supplemented with the required compound(s).

    41. Re:Public perception by TFloore · · Score: 1

      Nah, this story needs some rampant sexual innuendo, pedophilia, and themes that would give serial rapists nightmares. Let's see... Is Piers Anthony in the middle of anything at the moment?

      Hey, the author of Bio of a Space Tyrant could never write anything violent and disturbing.
      --
      This is my sig. There are many like it but this one is... Oops. Frank, I've got your sig again! Where's mine?
    42. Re:Public perception by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Great. Now I've got soda ALL over my keyboard....

    43. Re:Public perception by SpinyNorman · · Score: 1

      They're not changing what these microbes eat - they are changing what they shit.

      No doubt they would escape into the wild, and the effects of that are hard to guess, but there's no reason to worry specifically about anything getting eaten that isn't already getting eaten. There's plenty else to worry about though!

    44. Re:Public perception by operagost · · Score: 1

      So if this escaped into the wild, and you accidentally consumed a small amount, would it turn you into crude oil?
      No, but old jokes about using the emissions from one's butt to fill a gas tank would suddenly become ironic.
      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    45. Re:Public perception by Duncan+Blackthorne · · Score: 1

      It's a legitimate concern if you ask me. How the heck do they KNOW if these bugs are genetically stable or not? Imagine this: dust mites suddenly mutate into something that feasts on LIVE skin cells, instead of DEAD skin cells..

    46. Re:Public perception by SpinyNorman · · Score: 1

      Even more worrying, when do we all get forcefully inoculated with a new E. Coli, helping us all to excrete oil.

      I guess that would put an end to the recreational pastime of lighting farts, and/or it'd give Red Adair a whole new set of customers.

    47. Re:Public perception by Kagura · · Score: 1

      Cool, except peak oil has already happened in the United States in the 1970s when national production peaked. This was correctly predicted by Hubbert way back in 1956, using what we call "Hubbert peak theory". Now we're waiting on global production to peak, with nearly every estimate and quote being 2015. I don't want to believe it because it is a very bad thing, but that doesn't stop facts from being facts. :(

      You can find most of the above information and way more on the Peak oil page itself.

    48. Re:Public perception by philspear · · Score: 1

      Is this the reason for the everpresent "whatcouldpossiblygowrong" tag?

      The e-coli they would use would most likely be weakened strains that wouldn't stand a chance
      against your immune system.

      These modified bugs also would be starting off at a huge disadvantage to normal e-coli: the other ecoli are just making energy for their survival, a lot of the energy these modified bugs would be producing would be going to making oil. So if you were to ingest some, the bugs would probably very quickly get out-competed by their non-OPEC peers.

      There would be some introduced antibiotic resistance probably so that in the tank these bugs would be able to dominate over contaminating strains, but this is extremely common in research and hasn't caused any epidemics yet that I know of. I personally make antibiotic resistant e-coli on a weekly basis.

      Also, since this is (if it ever works) going to be a multi trillion dollar industry, you can bet that any bugs that do make oil will be guarded better than some nuclear weapons. The only way you're going to become exposed to these bugs are if you're trying to sneak into the lab to steal some, the armed guards pump you full of lead and you fall off the catwalk into a vat as you're dying.

      So to answer the "what could possibly go wrong," here are a few bad scenarios I could envision, from most likely to least likely:

      -This plan utterly fails, the bugs never make oil, we never get off fossil-based petroleum, and get into WWIII over it
      -A researcher accidentally spills a test tube full of the stuff on his new sneakers and it's gross and he has to throw away his shoes.
      -The plan works, we never invest in renewables or mass transit and keep getting bigger and bigger SUVs causing global warming and we all die of starvation in a worldwide traffic jam.

    49. Re:Public perception by Reziac · · Score: 1

      As I recall, one theory of how oil is created is that it is STILL being created, by bacteria down in the oil-bearing strata.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    50. Re:Public perception by level_headed_midwest · · Score: 1

      Uh, this *is* a renewable form of energy as it takes in plants and plant products, which are most certainly renewable. Just because the product is oil instead of a non-oil product doesn't mean that it is not renewable.

      And about the "global warming" bit- also no. Plants take in CO2 to form cellulose and sugars, and the bacteria turn these into the oil. The oil is burned, releasing said CO2. The process is zero-sum as far as CO2 is concerned as long as the plant sources regrow/are replanted (and they will be as they will be a crop of sorts.) Just because the product is oil instead of a non-oil product doesn't mean that it causes increased CO2 levels.

      --
      Just "gittin-r-done," day after day.
    51. Re:Public perception by Narpak · · Score: 1

      E.Coli, usually harmless etc, commonly found in the gut and able to survive brief periods outside it's normal (animal intestine) environment. So if this escaped into the wild, and you accidentally consumed a small amount, would it turn you into crude oil? Isn't that the plot of an episode of X-Files? (or maybe Doctor Who).
    52. Re:Public perception by slashdotlurker · · Score: 1

      Gives a new meaning to shitting into the car.

      Maureen to her father before breakfast :

      "Dad, you said you were going to shit in my car, not Jack's !"

    53. Re:Public perception by philspear · · Score: 1

      You're right, that would be renewable, I should have said something like non-carbon emitting. I should also have pointed out apperantly that all of those scenarios were just to make fun of the "whatcouldpossiblygowrong" tag. A researcher ruining his or her shoes is what could reasonably go wrong, these bugs will not create a horrible plague.

    54. Re:Public perception by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If this happens, I'd advise you not to opt for cremation!

    55. Re:Public perception by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Citation required, please

    56. Re:Public perception by One+Childish+N00b · · Score: 1

      'Irregardless' is not a word.

      --
      Dealing with lawyers would be a lot less tedious if they all looked like Casey Novak.
    57. Re:Public perception by DerWulf · · Score: 1
      From the very link you've posted:

      Cambridge Energy Research Associates authored a report [38] that is critical of Hubbert influenced predictions: " Despite his valuable contribution, M. King Hubbert's methodology falls down because it does not consider likely resource growth, application of new technology, basic commercial factors, or the impact of geopolitics on production. His approach does not work in all cases-including on the United States itself-and cannot reliably model a global production outlook. Put more simply, the case for the imminent peak is flawed. As it is, production in 2005 in the Lower 48 in the United States was 66 percent higher than Hubbert projected.

      So: peak oil is a lie. Especially when it's used in the sense that occurs Real Soon Now(TM) and will be a disaster to the global economy (Hubbert's graph itself doesn't support this assertion). In the very trivial sense of "there will be a time N where the amount of oil that can be extracted is lower than at N-1" it's right but boring.
      --

      ___
      No power in the 'verse can stop me
  3. Three Stooges by retech · · Score: 1, Troll

    There was an episode of the Three Stooges that did this very thing. I suspect this is just as legitimate too!

    Mo, Larry, the cheese!

  4. Microsoft Makes Ersatz Crude Oil From Many Sources by PjotrP · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    That's what I read the first time my eyes glanced at the topic. Microsoft patenting and controlling the answer to the worlds energy problems... very disturbing and scary thought...

    --
    PjotrP
  5. Fourth generation biofuel, yay. by Ihlosi · · Score: 1

    Now, if they can manage to beat second- and third generation biofuels to the market, that'd be something.

  6. that's the ideal by circletimessquare · · Score: 4, Insightful

    obviously, solar energy is the ultimate renewable energy source

    the ideal though is not to store or transmit that eletrically, but chemically (storage density, thermodynamic efficiency, etc)

    i'm looking for the guy who turns poor fishermen in the philippines and indonesia (or anywhere access to shallow seas is easy) into the next sultans of brunei:

    1. give them a bunch of specailly shaped clear plastic jugs, mini floating stills
    2. they put a little gm algae inside the jugs
    3. they throw the jugs in the ocean with anchors
    4. they come back a month later, pick up the jugs
    5. they are processed dockside directly into octane, in a low-tech facility

    the guy, or gal, who figures out how to get algae to directly produce octane saves the world from itself geopolitically, environmentally, developmentally. then we have enough breathing room to master fusion

    right now, the world is in an energy crunch. we will have more wars, the environment will suffer, there will be more poverty, until we get our act together on a truly large scale renewable energy source. too much renewable energy sources look at so far have been boutique, things that can never scale up

    the cheap dig-it-out-of-the-ground era is over. oh of course, there's still more of it to dig out. its just too damn deep, and getting deeper every day, to call it cheap anymore

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:that's the ideal by maxume · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Hopefully you can turn the algae oil into plastic, as they are going to need a lot of jugs. Millions or billions of them to give us any sort of 'breathing room'.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    2. Re:that's the ideal by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 5, Funny

      obviously, solar energy is the ultimate renewable energy source

      Actually, there's already a way to turn solar energy into crude oil : grow plants, bury dead plants deep underground, wait several millions years, extract oil.

      You do realize oil *is* solar energy right?

      --
      "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
    3. Re:that's the ideal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solar energy is not a renewable energy source. How can you replace the Sun when it burns out?

    4. Re:that's the ideal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You would never get any real yields from such a setup.

    5. Re:that's the ideal by jollyreaper · · Score: 4, Funny

      Actually, there's already a way to turn solar energy into crude oil : grow plants, bury dead plants deep underground, wait several millions years, extract oil. This is the society that produced instant oatmeal because people can't wait the five minutes it takes to make it normally. I don't think there will be enough patience to try it your way.
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    6. Re:that's the ideal by ozmanjusri · · Score: 3, Funny

      Wear a big glove?

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    7. Re:that's the ideal by Ihlosi · · Score: 1
      Solar energy is not a renewable energy source. How can you replace the Sun when it burns out?



      We have about a billion years (that's when the increasing luminosity of the sun will boil the oceans off Earths surface) to come up with an answer to that one. Or find ourselves another star to mooch energy off. Frankly, if we haven't at least colonized the outer edges of the solar system by then, we really deserve to die out.

    8. Re:that's the ideal by Bloke+down+the+pub · · Score: 3, Funny

      Or do it at night.

      --
      It's true I tell you, feller at work's next door neighbour read it in the paper.
    9. Re:that's the ideal by Framboise · · Score: 1

      obviously, solar energy is the ultimate renewable energy source ... ?? How do you want to renew the sun once it has exhausted its fusion power in 5 billions years? In reality there are no renewable energy sources, just differently large reservoirs.
    10. Re:that's the ideal by Bloke+down+the+pub · · Score: 1

      Frankly, if we haven't at least colonized the outer edges of the solar system by then, we really deserve to die out.
      We should learn the lesson and not go the way of the trilateral purple Q'pw'eheap of Klazk'mon VI.
      --
      It's true I tell you, feller at work's next door neighbour read it in the paper.
    11. Re:that's the ideal by mikiN · · Score: 1

      The Universe itself is the ultimate renewable energy source, assuming its existence is cyclic. It appears out of nothing and ends as nothing. Lather, rinse, repeat.

      --
      The Hacker's Guide To The Kernel: Don't panic()!
    12. Re:that's the ideal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why is this modded funny? It's 100% true! Oil is mostly solar energy.

    13. Re:that's the ideal by superyooser · · Score: 1

      Wait millions of years? Oil can be produced from organic material in 20 minutes (see bottom gray box).

    14. Re:that's the ideal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wait, you can make oatmeal in 5 minutes? It takes me 15!

    15. Re:that's the ideal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've heard about a Texas sized island of plastic waste in the pacific ocean... couldn't we use that?

  7. think of the children by theheadlessrabbit · · Score: 2, Funny

    These hippies are trying to destroy American oil companies!
    Think of all those poor oil companies...their employees have children, think of the children!

    --
    -I only code in BASIC.-
  8. Of Course by alexj33 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    *Sigh* Another daily miracle oil-solving remedy. How long before this "solution" drifts into the background, never to be heard from again?

    1. Re:Of Course by scubamage · · Score: 1

      Its sad, but these are my thoughts exactly. Just like every promising cancer treatment, nanotech solution, or AIDS vaccine that comes down the alley. It just never pans out.

  9. Everlasting Lightbulb? by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Expect this process, if viable, to be bought for billions by major oil companies, and stored away in a back room for the next 50 years.

    --
    Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
    1. Re:Everlasting Lightbulb? by Prune · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Buy this? The oil companies are too busy buying back their own stocks (preparing for solvency?). Wonder if their overstating of their supply has something to do with it...just one example: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A25717-2004Jul29.html

      --
      "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
    2. Re:Everlasting Lightbulb? by oodaloop · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Not likely. Oil companies need crude. International oil companies only hold about 8% of worls reserves; they are captial rich and resource poor, being limited mostly by poor host country infrastructure, quotas, and production capacities. If this new crude is available at $50/barrel, why wouldn't they buy it? They've been diversifying for years, getting into solar, natural gas, wind, and other industries.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    3. Re:Everlasting Lightbulb? by Lonewolf666 · · Score: 1

      Even if you're right about the oil companies' behavior, I doubt they could stop all innovative approaches of turning waste into oil. One of these is using the Fischer-Tropsch process on waste biomass, on which the original patents have long expired.

      Also, alternative technologies could win against the use of oil if it becomes too expensive. As an example, we have compact fluorescen lamps as alternative to lightbulbs, and LEDs are getting to a point where they are bright enough to be yet another alternative.

      --
      C - the footgun of programming languages
    4. Re:Everlasting Lightbulb? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Why? They have customers who want oil, they have increasingly small and hard to extract reserves of oil, and they have a lot of money to develop new techniques. Buy this, patent it and anything surrounding it you can, and you can gradually ram up production as oil reserves dwindle, keeping your price the same while your competitors all put theirs up (or, at least, put yours up more slowly).

      Oil companies have been energy companies for a while now. They know the oil won't last forever and want to be in control of whatever technology we end up switching to.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    5. Re:Everlasting Lightbulb? by Redlazer · · Score: 1
      Im not so sure... The oil companies know better than everyone that we're running out of oil.

      I can see how they would prefer to bleed the world dry of its money, but I cant imagine ending civilization as we know it would really be that good an idea, profit-wize.

      But, really, how much thinking are they really doing?

      --
      Guns don't kill people, "with glowing hearts" kills people.
  10. Looks interesting, but... by oodaloop · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I don't see anything in TFA about where the difference in input carbon and output carbon goes. I must be missing something. But if it really decreases the amount of carbon we put out, I'm all for it.

    There's another problem I see though. More crude. The real problem behind high gas prices isn't a lack of crude, but the lack of refineries. Global production of crude excedes demand by about 2 million barrels per day, but refineries are unable to keep up with demand for gasoline and other by-products. Besides which, we aren't running out of crude anytime soon anyway. By the time we get more refineries online, gas prices will drop, and demand for this kind of alternative "fuel" will drop as well. Until then, they have to figure out a way to refine it using infrastructure that's already maxed out.

    --
    Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    1. Re:Looks interesting, but... by ozmanjusri · · Score: 1
      I don't see anything in TFA about where the difference in input carbon and output carbon goes.

      Most likely into the cellulose and lignin that makes up the cellular structure.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    2. Re:Looks interesting, but... by oodaloop · · Score: 1

      So what do we have left after the crude is extracted? What's the waste? Some sludge made of dead bacteria?

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    3. Re:Looks interesting, but... by ozmanjusri · · Score: 4, Informative
      What's the waste?

      Cell walls tend to make up between 15 and 30% of the dry mass of an organism.

      The composition of it depends on what type of organism they use. Plant cells would result in cellulose waste, yeast cells, protein and chitinous material, bacteria would most likely be polysaccharides or lipids.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    4. Re:Looks interesting, but... by SpinyNorman · · Score: 1

      That makes no sense at all - if crude supply exceeds demand, then why are prices so high? If the problem is lack of refineries rather than lack of oil, then why is Bush begging the Saudis for more oil rather than giving tax breaks to his buddies to build more oil refineries?

      The real problem here is indeed oil - partly because demand is up from China, and partly because Iraq is currently producing about 2.5 Mbbls a day less than it was before Bush invaded (a discrepency which the short-term 0.5 Mbbls increase the Saudis are **hoping** to provide will do little to offset).

    5. Re:Looks interesting, but... by oodaloop · · Score: 1

      That makes no sense at all - if crude supply exceeds demand, then why are prices so high? Speculation mostly. When you hear that a barrel of Brent, WTI, Arabian light, or whatever is at 130, it means its traded at that price based on future prices. The oil market is just like the stock market; expectation of future prices affects current prices. There's also a lot of market psychology.

      Congress was just raking some oil executives over the coals recently because market supply indicated a price per barrel closer to 60. The 130 mark is not based on supply and demand, but other factors. Long term price expectations of oil based on supply point to a price per barrel of 18.
      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    6. Re:Looks interesting, but... by jcr · · Score: 1

      That makes no sense at all - if crude supply exceeds demand, then why are prices so high?

      It doesn't exceed demand, it exceeds consumption. When a commodities trader buys oil contracts, he's part of the demand, even though he has no intention of consuming the oil.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    7. Re:Looks interesting, but... by Ihlosi · · Score: 4, Insightful
      When a commodities trader buys oil contracts, he's part of the demand, even though he has no intention of consuming the oil.

      Solution to the current bubble: When the contract becomes due, pull up to the trader's office with a tanker truck and flood the building with the crude. That'll teach'em not to speculate.

    8. Re:Looks interesting, but... by locofungus · · Score: 3, Informative

      Solution to the current bubble: When the contract becomes due, pull up to the trader's office with a tanker truck and flood the building with the crude. That'll teach'em not to speculate.

      Erm.... That's what happens.

      Most of the time, the speculator closes out his contract before delivery, i.e. he finds someone else who wants delivery (or who is contracted to deliver but doesn't have any oil).

      But occasionally the speculator gets caught with his pants down. On the third of October 2006, the spot price for Natural Gas in the UK went negative. There were people contracted to take delivery of the gas and they had to pay someone else to take it off their hands.

      Tim.

      --
      God said, "div D = rho, div B = 0, curl E = -@B/@t, curl H = J + @D/@t," and there was light.
    9. Re:Looks interesting, but... by swillden · · Score: 1

      Global production of crude excedes demand by about 2 million barrels per day, but refineries are unable to keep up with demand for gasoline and other by-products.

      That explains high prices for refined products, but it doesn't explain the high price of crude.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    10. Re:Looks interesting, but... by JesseMcDonald · · Score: 2, Informative

      When a commodities trader buys oil contracts, he's part of the demand, even though he has no intention of consuming the oil.

      Solution to the current bubble: When the contract becomes due, pull up to the trader's office with a tanker truck and flood the building with the crude. That'll teach'em not to speculate.

      By the time the contract is due the oil has already been sold to someone who does intend to use it. The trader has no incentive to retain the contract through fulfillment, even if the price has dropped; they buy expecting the price to increase, but either way the money from selling the contract is more useful to them than a tanker full of crude oil on their doorstep.

      --
      "The state is that great fiction by which everyone tries to live at the expense of everyone else." - Bastiat
    11. Re:Looks interesting, but... by lifejunkie · · Score: 1

      At 150 dollars per barrel the crude oil itself costs around 3.50 per gallon.

    12. Re:Looks interesting, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The composition of it depends on what type of organism they use. Plant cells would result in cellulose waste, yeast cells, protein and chitinous material, bacteria would most likely be polysaccharides or lipids.

      So we sell the remains to Australians as vegemite! Everybody wins!
    13. Re:Looks interesting, but... by jambox · · Score: 1

      Good point well made. There is no shortage as such, which was what King Fahd was moaning about. He doesn't want to devalue his own product by overproducing it.

      --
      You thought you could break the laws of physics without paying the PRICE?
    14. Re:Looks interesting, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The real problem behind high gas prices isn't a lack of crude, but the lack of refineries. This does not seem accurate, if the real problem were really a lack of refinery capacity then the price of crude would not be so high.
    15. Re:Looks interesting, but... by camperslo · · Score: 1

      The real problem behind high gas prices isn't a lack of crude, but the lack of refineries. Global production of crude excedes demand by about 2 million barrels per day, but refineries are unable to keep up with demand for gasoline and other by-products.

      Several years ago PBS had a feature on NOW which mentioned a large California refinery that was shut down. Given the high output of the refinery, some concluded that it was done to deliberately constrain capacity. I found the transcript. (audio or video may be available too)

    16. Re:Looks interesting, but... by mdfst13 · · Score: 1

      I don't see anything in TFA about where the difference in input carbon and output carbon goes. I must be missing something. But if it really decreases the amount of carbon we put out, I'm all for it. From TFA: "The company claims that this Oil 2.0 will not only be renewable but also carbon negative -- meaning that the carbon it emits will be less than that sucked from the atmosphere by the raw materials from which it is made." However, what LS9 actually says: "LS9 DesignerBiofuels products approach carbon neutrality, with an equivalent amount of carbon dioxide consumed by the plant-based feedstocks as are generated from combustion of the fuels."

      It's not that production and consumption are carbon negative in total. Production (including growing the feedstock) is carbon negative and consumption is carbon positive. All that they are saying is that the carbon in the fuel was in the air recently rather than across the geologic time scales of traditional oil.
    17. Re:Looks interesting, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When a commodities trader buys oil contracts, he's part of the demand, even though he has no intention of consuming the oil.



      Solution to the current bubble: When the contract becomes due, pull up to the trader's office with a tanker truck and flood the building with the crude. That'll teach'em not to speculate.

      I've got a truck...
    18. Re:Looks interesting, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you're so sure, then sell short and get rich. Talk is cheap.

    19. Re:Looks interesting, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I must be missing something

      I think you're missing something commonly missed in discussions about biofuels. If the fuel is created by an organism that pulls CO2 out of the atmosphere to synthesize it, then the creation and use of that fuel is carbon-neutral (meaning that the creation is "carbon negative"). Put another way, the problem with fossil fuel use is that it puts long-sequestered carbon back into circulation.

    20. Re:Looks interesting, but... by Reziac · · Score: 1

      So... when we build new refineries, it would make sense to design them so they're flexible and can use both biogarbage and crude oil.

      BTW, throw the horse over the fence some hay ;)

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    21. Re:Looks interesting, but... by Reziac · · Score: 1

      "...bacteria would most likely be polysaccharides or lipids."

      Which sounds to me like a new source of raw materials for plastics.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    22. Re:Looks interesting, but... by ozmanjusri · · Score: 1
      Which sounds to me like a new source of raw materials for plastics.

      Some bacterial polysaccharides are already used commercially, though they tend to be used more for gums and edible films like xanthan gum, dextran, and pullulan.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    23. Re:Looks interesting, but... by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Yep... just a different manufacturing route. Point being this is potentially waste-free (or nearly so).

      Seems to me that combined with bacteria that concentrate various metals (notably toxics) this could be used for mining municipal garbage dumps. Grind it down fine, treat as needed, feed it to bacteria, and separate the slurry as it decomposes... We need to find a better way to dispose of that trash anyway, so why not maximize its usefulness?

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    24. Re:Looks interesting, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But why refine more when you can sit on your reserves and make big profits due to increased demand? (There's only so many players in the market, and they seem to be cohesive enough that none will greatly undercut any of the others.) Keeping artificial scarcity works pretty well in some business cases. (Debeers for instance.) And if this trend drives other business to be more efficient with your fuel, you now have a much longer time to profit off the fuel you do have. The trick might be knowing how far you can push this balance without wrecking the economy or driving everyone to the point of using a completely different resource.

  11. Re:Great by BarneyL · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Indeed, wouldn't it be terrible if everyone stopped sending their wood chips and grass cuttings to the starving in the third world and started turning them into oil instead.

  12. Re:Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Personally I love the taste of wood chips, wheat chaff and corn husks but if they can help solve our fuel problem I am willing to tighten my belt and limit my diet to steak, peas and mashed potatoes.

  13. Re:Great by oodaloop · · Score: 4, Informative

    Insightful, huh? TFA, and even TFS, clearly say they won't be using crops, but agricultural waste.

    --
    Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
  14. GE? by laggist · · Score: 1

    isn't genetically modified GM rather than GE? i almost thought that General Electric had a breakthrough in the field..

    1. Re:GE? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      GE = Genetically Engineered.

  15. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by Prune · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    The greens are pretty easy to figure out, really (from a psychological standpoint). The reason they are opposed to things like nuclear energy (and not just fission--they hate fusion too and green propaganda against fusion is part of the reason Canada pulled out of the ITER project) is because it takes resources away from development of their pet projects of solar, wind, tide, and other sources that can never hope to meet rising demand that progress requires (not to mention the tenfold jump in energy use we'll get as developing and third world countries become industrialized). But of course, therein is the true agenda of the greens--they want to hurt progress. At best they are go-back-to-nature Luddites, at worst fanatical misanthropes.

    --
    "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
  16. If? by DeanFox · · Score: 5, Interesting

    If they are right then they are instant Billionaires, if the process really worked they would be commercializing it and completely destabilizing OPEC. I'll believe it when I see it and the world will be rejoicing. Oh they're right and they will be billionaires but not instant. They've been working on this for years, invested 10's of millions of dollars and took huge risks. The American way (and dream). They're planning their first production sites within 2 years.

    This technology has been around for awhile although biofuels usually produce ethanol. Just a molecular side chain away from what these guys came up with. They get 1 barrel from 40sq feet of space. At our current rate of 143 million barrels a week it would take 205 sq miles of manufacturing plants to satisfy our current needs. About the size of Chicago. Probably about the same square footage it you total up all the Walmarts. Very doable.

    They got us here in spite of all the government roadblocks. IMHO we would have got here a lot sooner if we hadn't laughed Gore off the stage and I suspect progress will increase exponentially when Obama takes over.

    -[d]-
    1. Re:If? by SlashTon · · Score: 4, Interesting

      At our current rate of 143 million barrels a week it would take 205 sq miles of manufacturing plants to satisfy our current needs. About the size of Chicago. Probably about the same square footage it you total up all the Walmarts. Very doable. I could not resist... Using the average size of a Wal-Mart Supercenter and just for simplicity, assuming the Discount Stores and Neighbourhood markets are the same size (they are a lot smaller). We get (as of the start of this year): 3550 Wal-Marts times 18302 square metres = 65 million square metres (rounded up) = 25.1 square miles.

      So it actually takes eight times the square footage of all Wal-Mart stores in the USA.

      Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Walmart
      And using Google calculator for the conversion.

      Now go ahead, mod me anal-retentive (using the colloquial meaning of the term of course: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anal_retentive).
    2. Re:If? by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 1

      The only major roadblock is political -- you have a large number of very powerful corporations with a vested interest in keeping things exactly as they are. If these guys don't cut the British Petroleums, Exxon-Mobils, and Sunocos of the world in on this, you'll see it get buried in bureaucratic regulations.

    3. Re:If? by DeanFox · · Score: 1

      I could not resist... Using the average size of a Wal-Mart Supercenter and just for simplicity... Thank you for not resisting.

      Double the size of a typical Walmart and we need 4 times as many to completely get off oil? That's close enough for my definition of 'about' and still very doable.

      -[d]-
    4. Re:If? by edgr · · Score: 2, Informative

      They get 1 barrel from 40sq feet of space. At our current rate of 143 million barrels a week it would take 205 sq miles of manufacturing plants to satisfy our current needs. They need a 1000 litre fermenting tank to get 1 barrel(=160 litres) /week. So the prototype setup takes 40sq feet of space, including the control computer. Say in your manufacturing plant you had 100 000 litre tanks (that seems reasonable, a similar size to brewery fermentation tanks), each would have diameter roughly 5 metres (say 5m high). Each tank gives you 100 barrels/week.

      Assuming each tank therefore takes up, say 40 sq metres = 430 square feet (that gives you 50% space for access, control, supporting structure), you get 4.3 square feet per (barrel per week) required space. i.e around 22 square miles for total US oil production.

      But, since this is obviously not going to supplant all production straight away, better to look at it as (at $50/barrel that is quoted in the article) $600 revenue per square foot per year. Given that industrial rent is probably less than $10/square foot/year the land isn't going to be an issue. Construction cost will but that depends on the technology.

      Note all calculations are conservative but naive.
    5. Re:If? by rho · · Score: 3, Informative

      IMHO we would have got here a lot sooner if we hadn't laughed Gore off the stage and I suspect progress will increase exponentially when Obama takes over.

      That's an appeal to magic. Replace "Gore" with "God" and you're a fundamentalist.

      --
      Potato chips are a by-yourself food.
    6. Re:If? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are expecting too much from your little government. Or maybe I am wrong, your little government little accident screw up and caused oil price to shot up and give rise to new crop of funding for alt energy.

    7. Re:If? by Duncan+Blackthorne · · Score: 1

      Square feet of space? Let's talk cubic feet of space instead, please?

    8. Re:If? by Yewbert · · Score: 1

      Does that include the parking lot space?

    9. Re:If? by Bearpaw · · Score: 1

      Actually, it's an appeal to leadership. Though considering recent history, your lack of faith in it is understandable.

    10. Re:If? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if we hadn't laughed Gore off the stage So.. carbon negative is a good thing? I understand carbon neutral, but at first glance, I would think carbon negative is bad (pulling less carbon out of the air) and carbon positive would be good.
    11. Re:If? by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

      True, the parking lot space of Wal-Marts is nothing to be ignored!

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
    12. Re:If? by evilviper · · Score: 1

      Replace "Gore" with "God" and you're a fundamentalist.

      So when is Obama set to take over from God?
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    13. Re:If? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, and if you replace ovaries with testicles then your aunt is your uncle. So?

    14. Re:If? by rho · · Score: 1

      Leadership may be an important factor, but whether for success or failure is unclear. Obama could show phenomenal leadership championing the worst possible alternative-fuel option for perfectly good reasons. Good leadership, bad result. See Iraq for another example. GWB did a phenomenal job on many wrong things.

      --
      Potato chips are a by-yourself food.
    15. Re:If? by Peaquod · · Score: 1

      They get 1 barrel from 40sq feet of space. At our current rate of 143 million barrels a week it would take 205 sq miles of manufacturing plants to satisfy our current needs. About the size of Chicago. Probably about the same square footage it you total up all the Walmarts. Very doable. ummm... that may be the space required for fermentation, but where does the biomass grow?
    16. Re:If? by solferino · · Score: 1

      That's an appeal to magic. Replace "Gore" with "God" and you're a fundamentalist.

      Except that Gore demonstrably exists.

      And the poster did begin with IMHO.

      So, in summary, your rhetoric very overblown.

    17. Re:If? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most people aren't commenting on the size of the production area needed because of one simple reason. The current experiment is in a lab.

      In 5-7 years the technology will be far more advanced than what they are using in this lab now. I'd estimate the footprint at half of what they have now.

  17. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by aderuwe · · Score: 1

    Due to, of all things, money.


    Haha, you sounds so surprised it's truly funny. ;)
  18. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by niceone · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Well, this is a bit different. As the article says these organisms live in sealed vats, they are not out in the environment like GM crops. There is a chance of them escaping, but that's still different from deliberately releasing billions of GMOs into the wild.

  19. Peak oil... by Savage-Rabbit · · Score: 4, Interesting

    . Besides which, we aren't running out of crude anytime soon anyway. Read this. Theoretically we are not going to run out of fossil fuels any time soon. The problem is that we will start to feel the crunch well before we physically run out of oil. The rate of production will start to slow and with economies like China and India growing at the rate they are doing today, demand is going to outstrip vastly out strip supply well within our lifetimes. This is going to have major economic, social and political effects which in turn, sooner or later, is going to drive massive research into alternative fuels and the adoption of these alternatives. The question is really how long before we run out of sources of oil that are so cheaply exploitable that oil and gasoline remain a cheaper option than alternative fuels.
    --
    Only to idiots, are orders laws.
    -- Henning von Tresckow
    1. Re:Peak oil... by oodaloop · · Score: 3, Informative

      Yeah, the old peak oil spectre. Ya know, in the 1920's people thought that we would run out of oil in 20 years. Then there was a glut. People thought we were going to run out of oil in the 1970s. Then there was a glut. The life-index of oil (reserves/production) in 1948 was 20.5 years. In 1973 it was 32.2 years. In 2005 it was 38 years. We are not anywhere near peak oil, nor are we going to begin running out of oil anytime soon, not in our lifetime not in our children's lifetime.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    2. Re:Peak oil... by Kyokushi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sure. After all, if it doesn't happened in the past, it will never happens in the future, right?

    3. Re:Peak oil... by The+Master+Control+P · · Score: 4, Informative

      Well, except it's happened provably in two places and it's now happening to the world as a whole.

      Starting in 1974, oil output from Texas oil fields began declining 4-ish percent per year. Despite the deployment of every available technology and minimal to almost no drilling restrictions, the decline continues. The same thing happened in the North Sea in 2000: Production peaked, and now production there has been falling about 4 to 5 percent per year for 8 years.

      At this time, there is virtually no spare capacity in the middle east to pump more oil. Any that they can bring online will go more to covering rapid declines in North Sea output than increasing supply. The Saudis were hoping to increase production by about 1.2 million barrels/day this year, and it looks as if they'll be doing damn well to get another 500 thousand; We're looking at a loss next year.

      The peak is real and most likely imminent.

    4. Re:Peak oil... by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      Yeah, the old peak oil spectre. Ya know, in the 1920's people thought that we would run out of oil in 20 years. Then there was a glut. People thought we were going to run out of oil in the 1970s. Then there was a glut. The life-index of oil (reserves/production) in 1948 was 20.5 years. In 1973 it was 32.2 years. In 2005 it was 38 years. We are not anywhere near peak oil, nor are we going to begin running out of oil anytime soon, not in our lifetime not in our children's lifetime. the truth remains that it takes millions of years to create oil, and minutes to burn it. Sooner or later the supply is going to give out, and the crunches get worse and worse each iteration.

      Additionally, I'd much rather have extra oil around because petroleum based fertilizers are what keep the world fed atm, and I somehow don't think a synthetic will do the job in that regard. After all, fertilizing crops is a little more chemically complex than simply burning it.
      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    5. Re:Peak oil... by oodaloop · · Score: 2, Informative

      That's not the point. Peak oil advocates don't take into account increases in reserves due to increase in knowledge and technological advances. Our estimates of oil reserves, in retrospect, have been terribly conservative. Here's one example:

      The Kern River field in California was discovered in 1899. In 1942, its "remaining" reserves were 54 million barrels. By 1986, it had produced a total of 736 million barrels and still had 970 million barrels in reserves.

      Our estimates today, though better, are still mostly guess-work and very conservative.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    6. Re:Peak oil... by oodaloop · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yeah, in Texas, where over 1,000,000 oil wells have been sunk. By comparison, Saudi Arabia has 1,500. Texas was over-welled from the start, so oil pressure was reduced, and the total amount of recoverable oil is lower.

      There's no, or very little, spare capacity in SA and around the world because of the just-in-time business model from Japan. This made sense when oil prices were low, but now it's helping to drive prices up. And SA has been neglecting thir oil infracture for years since nationalizing it from the oil companies and are trying to modernize late in the game. They have plenty of oil, as does the North Sea. It's the infrastructure that's lacking.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    7. Re:Peak oil... by oodaloop · · Score: 1

      That's true. One day, we will run out. But not for a long long time. The total oil we have used on earth so far is about 700 billion barrels. There is at least another 1.1 trillion barrels recoverable. Total amount of oil (recoverable, unrecoverable, and estimated) is 7 trillion barrels. Our efficiency of use is going up, the growth rate has been modest (1.6% in recent years) depsite China's rise, and the estimates of reserves will only go up as they have been since the first days of oil wildcatters. ONE day, we will run out, but anytime soon.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    8. Re:Peak oil... by bakes · · Score: 3, Interesting

      They also don't properly take into account sources that are considered "not viable" because it's too expensive to extract the oil. When the price of oil goes up, suddenly it becomes economic to develop the resource.

      --
      Ho! Haha! Guard! Turn! Parry! Dodge! Spin! Ha! Thrust!
    9. Re:Peak oil... by hercubus · · Score: 1

      Yeah, the old peak oil spectre...

      demand for sweet crude is outstripping supply. hence the increase in the price of the fuels based on it (you may have noticed it yourself or heard other people talking about it)

      sure there may be trillions of barrels locked up in tar sands and oil shale. that's like saying there are plenty of programmers in the USA. true enough, but there is actually a lack of the newly graduated kids who work for peanuts -- they're the sweet crude of the development community

      so don't expect prices to drop suddenly. and don't expect the H1B argument to ever end...

      --
      -- How I want a drink, alcoholic of course, after the heavy lectures involving quantum mechanics.
    10. Re:Peak oil... by Hazelnut · · Score: 1

      oodaloop, how about putting some reasoning behind "we are not anywhere near peak oil, nor are we going to begin running out of oil anytime soon, not in our lifetime not in our children's lifetime."

    11. Re:Peak oil... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The rate of production will start to slow and with economies like China and India growing at the rate they are doing today, demand is going to outstrip vastly out strip supply well within our lifetimes. This is going to have major economic, social and political effects which in turn, sooner or later, is going to drive massive research into alternative fuels and the adoption of these alternatives.
      One might even argue that we're already there.
    12. Re:Peak oil... by Alioth · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's not a matter of there being plenty of oil, it's a matter of there not being plenty of CHEAP oil. The remaining recoverable oil is progressively more and more expensive to extract, at a slower and slower rate. The issue that's going to be upon us is the CHEAP, easy to extract, easy to refine oil peaking.

    13. Re:Peak oil... by ardle · · Score: 1

      How can we run out?
      Where does Oil come from?
      "The ground", I hear.
      How did it get there?
      Some of it came from above (carbon-based life forms, stars), some of it came from below (planetary material, material created by Earth's nuclear reactor, carbon-based life recycled through geological processes).
      Where is it going?
      Anywhere it'll fit.
      Seems to me that unless we find a way of collecting solid Carbon again, we will eventually end up with an atmosphere like Mars or Venus.
      Biology and geology had a nice thing going before we came along.
      We should send these bacteria to replace the ones that are currently creating a Methane bubble the size of the USA in Siberia and Alaska. Liquid HydroCarbons are easier to store than gaseous ones.

    14. Re:Peak oil... by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1
      Wow! Interesting figures there. 7 trillion barrels of oil, according to google (I LOVE google's math interpreter) "7 trillion barrels of oil in cubic miles" yields 267 cubic MILES of oil!!!


      That sounds like a lot, but spread out evenly over the Earth's 57,268,900 square miles of surface area, that's a layer only 1/3 of an inch thick.

      My family owns 13.64e-6 % of the Earth's surface. That means we're 'entitled' to 9550 barrels (401068 gallons) of oil, if you look at it that way. If that could be converted 100% to gasoline, at the consumption figures for gasoline (1.3 gal/day/person) that's 84.5 years of consumption for each of the 10 of us.


      For the math checkers: My family (my parents, their children and associated spouses/children), owns 50 acres and 10 of the 11 family members live on 'the compound'.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    15. Re:Peak oil... by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      there are other gases which, when injected into the upper atmosphere, cause global cooling.

      I believe it was sulfurous volcanic compounds from the toba eruption that caused a 10 year volcanic winter, caused the population of many animals, including early humans, to collapse to 1/100th their normal levels, and hastened the advancement of, or even triggered, the most recent ice age.

      get creative, spew some of that crap into the upper atmosphere to cancel it out.

      I hear yellowstone's getting ready to do just that, so maybe we should be accelerating our greenhouse emissions to cushion that.

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    16. Re:Peak oil... by oodaloop · · Score: 1

      So you like math. Here's some more. The current global comsumption rate is 86 million bpd, with the US at the top of the scale at about 21 in 2004. China is the next highest at 6.4 in 2004. The rest of the world pales in comparison to our rates, none of them coming close even to our 1980 rate of 17.5. So if everyone used oil like we do, then yes it would be a problem. Thankfully, this is not so. Also, oil's share in overall energy use is declining and its growth today is much than it used to be, even with China and India's growth.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    17. Re:Peak oil... by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the additional information. It's all interesting.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    18. Re:Peak oil... by hacker · · Score: 1

      demand for sweet crude is outstripping supply.

      If by "outstripping", you mean supply is drastically higher than demand, then I agree. The numbers are out there. We are extracting FAR more oil from the ground than we are using, by several million barrels a week.

      hence the increase in the price of the fuels based on it (you may have noticed it yourself or heard other people talking about it)

      Actually the price of oil is rising because it is now being traded as a commodity on the stock exchange, because it out-values the US dollar. $140/barrel is not because of demand or production, it is because it is worth more than the US dollar to trade it. Again, look it up.

    19. Re:Peak oil... by Ihlosi · · Score: 1
      We are extracting FAR more oil from the ground than we are using, by several million barrels a week.

      So where's all the extra stuff going, and when will those containers be full ?

    20. Re:Peak oil... by oodaloop · · Score: 1

      Spare capacity: http://hardware.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=584711&cid=23808057

      Basically, we don't know much there is, but we've used much more of it in the past, upwards of tens of millions of barrels per day. It's quite large.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    21. Re:Peak oil... by jambox · · Score: 1

      So what's the price climb all about? Could end up being $200 a barrel.
      Could be that the market knows that the previous price was based on the level of production being easily scalable. Seems that it's getting harder to scale them because the reserves are only so big and the owners don't want to run out too quickly.
      There is a shitload of oil left, but most of it is not of the nature of the Ghawar field, where all you have to do is hit the grouond with a shovel and oil comes out. It's not the amount of oil in reserve that will cause problems, it's the price going up with growing demand and rate of supply.

      --
      You thought you could break the laws of physics without paying the PRICE?
    22. Re:Peak oil... by jambox · · Score: 1

      Yeah but you're not factoring the extraction cost. Some oil is easy to get out, some is expensive. As I said, it's not the physical reserves but thge cost of extracting it.

      --
      You thought you could break the laws of physics without paying the PRICE?
    23. Re:Peak oil... by ardle · · Score: 1

      Greying-out the sky sort-of undermines the progress made with solar panels, tho.
      I'm not being pessimistic, just suggesting that we have to be very creative ;-)

    24. Re:Peak oil... by scubamage · · Score: 1

      You are missing the point. The fact is, eventually we will hit that point. Until then we are utilizing a non-renewable resource which ultimately WILL be depleted. Until it is, its going to have constant negative effects on the environment. The people in the 1920's shrugged it off, and figured their kids would fix the issue. Same with the baby boomers. Same with the vietnam generation. Now, my generation has the ball. I would like to see my generation actually take some responsibility and come up with a solution to what will ultimately be a problem as opposed to ticking our heads in the sand and ignoring the issue until it eventually blows up in our faces. Our parents screwed us over with a problem they didn't have the technology to fix. We have the technology now, so we better damn well fix it before we screw over yet another generation.

    25. Re:Peak oil... by doooooosh · · Score: 1

      oodaloop, you still haven't addressed why the amount of oil being pumped hasn't increased over the past 2-3 years. As it stands, for several years, global oil production has plateaued. Demand destruction as a result of higher prices accounts for the decline in oil demand growth. If there's so much oil, why isn't anyone increasing their production?

    26. Re:Peak oil... by kgskgs · · Score: 2, Informative

      http://mjperry.blogspot.com/2008/06/no-new-oil-refineries-since-1976.html
      Oil companies have not opened any new refinery since 1976. But they have continuously added small amounts of capacity to the existing refineries.
      This is what you do when you are not finding any new oilfields, but you make minor discoveries in existing reserves / technological improvements or when some more of your oil becomes marketable because of price increase.

    27. Re:Peak oil... by Scarblac · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No, it doesn't. The reason they "not viable" is because it takes more energy to extract the oil than you get from the oil; no matter where the price of oil goes, it'll stay not viable.

      --
      I believe posters are recognized by their sig. So I made one.
    28. Re:Peak oil... by Gibbs-Duhem · · Score: 2, Insightful

      you have to understand how reserves are defined. they are a function of price. at $140/bbl, we have more reserves than at $20/bbl, because more is economical to extract.

      the bigger issue is that the actual energy (ignoring economics because energy is more fundamental) ratio for oil has dropped from 100+:1 in the 70s to 10-18:1 now. cellulosic ethanol and this technology as well (because it uses the whole plant) are likely ~20:1!

      very soon, it will be a better thermodynamic investment to use biofuels than to use dug up oil. digging and exploring take energy -- more and more as we use the easy energy. it's just a matter of the economy (subsidies, infrastructure) catching up to the physics.

    29. Re:Peak oil... by Thundersnatch · · Score: 1

      That makes no sense at all. It takes more energy to grow and harvest food than is gained by eating it. Is farming "not viable"? 10000 years of human history suggests a degree of viability.

      Stop skipping your high school economics classes.

    30. Re:Peak oil... by oodaloop · · Score: 1

      Oil production plateaued for several years because of a glut, which meant there was little reason to invest in infrastructure to get more oil when the price was already so low. It takes time to build new wells and the like, so it will be a while before enough new infrastructure comes on line to make a difference in price.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    31. Re:Peak oil... by oodaloop · · Score: 1

      I never said we should burn all our oil and ruin the planet. Global Warming is a big problem, and we need to address it now and in a big way.

      None of that changes the fact that we NOT running out of oil. Yeah, EVENTUALLY, we will hit peak oil production, but adherants have been claiming peak oil was imminent for the last 80 years, and the life expectancy of oil has only gone UP even as consumption has gone up.

      The continuing supply of cheap oil will pose a grave danger to us environmentally, as there will be less of an impetus to switch to solar, wind, hybrids, GE crude, etc.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    32. Re:Peak oil... by oodaloop · · Score: 1

      I think we're talking about different terms. Reserves are not based on price, it is based on volume available. Reserves have gone up regardless of price since oil was discovered. New information on old reserves and new reserves being discovered have led to ever-upward revisions in available crude. New technologies have also continually reduced the price of extraction.

      And very soon production will catch up to demand again, as it has every time there has been a surge in prices, and a glut of cheap oil will follow. It happens every time. Read some history on it.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    33. Re:Peak oil... by Gibbs-Duhem · · Score: 1

      i think you should use a different term then... "oil reserves" is defined as ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_reserves ) "the estimated quantities of crude oil that are claimed to be recoverable under existing *economic* and operating conditions." (emphasis mine)

      it is true that exploration and new tech has led to higher reserves -- but that exploration wasn't economical, nor the new tech worth the cost, until the prices rose. if oil still cost $20/bbl, people wouldn't be investing in horizontal drilling, and so those fields wouldn't be considered to be reserves.

      i have read the history of this extensively, as well as all the current available data i can get my hands on. i think that this time it is substantially different -- but then again, so did the people before me. i would bet a lot of money (as have many old oil barons not to mention the wall street journal) that it will never get below $100/bbl again. i hope that i am wrong, but the saudis, russians, and the majority of investors seem to think i am right (or else the price wouldn't be going up from speculation).

      sorry about the lower case, i don't mean to be inappropriately informal; i literally blew up my hand and can't type easily right now.

  20. Sounds like OILIX by Kamineko · · Score: 3, Funny

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OILIX

    Snake? Snake?! SNAAAAAAAAKE?

    1. Re:Sounds like OILIX by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

      I just hope the secret for it isn't hidden on an MSX cartridge.

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
  21. You will only shit pure gold ... by DrYak · · Score: 5, Informative

    E.Coli, usually harmless etc, commonly found in the gut and able to survive brief periods outside it's normal (animal intestine) environment. So if this escaped into the wild, and you accidentally consumed a small amount {...} {...} you will suddenly find OPEC representative knocking at your door, ready to pay you $WADS_OF_CASH for the privilege of processing your toilet's waste !

    {...} each time you go to the "throne", you will be literally sitting on a gold mine !

    {...} some /.ers tend to pulling numbers out of your ass, you will be pulling millions out of yours !

    {...} you will be the living final proof that a turd, given enough polishing, could indeed be a golden turd !

    {...} some people pee on their car to unfreeze the keylock on cold morning, you would do it to fill the tank !

    etc, ad nauseam.

    -----

    Ok. Scatological jokes aside : as E. Coli is a comensal bacteria, our body have evolved and got used to have it inside. We naturally have lots of means to control the important and diverse population of bacteria living in our guts - including having an immune system that keeps the bacteria on the "outside" side of the gut and not entering inside the body itself and including already having an amazing amount of bacteria already living there and leaving less free place for new comers.

    The only exception if one of the newcomer specie that comes into the gut is producing some toxin (food poisoning is actually due to the toxin, not the bacteria themselves. Often the bacteria don't survive digestion or are already dead to begin with - that's why charcoal and yeast are more efficient than antibiotics to handle them).
    This GE bacteria is simply fermenting garbage into something that looks like oil. You may develop a mild diarrhoea, but there aren't horrible self-digesting-into-a-small-pile-of-gunk short-term risks of having oil in your guts, and the usual defences will take care that it all stays in the gut.

    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
    1. Re:You will only shit pure gold ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      No more toilet stops on those long drives!!
      No more petrol stops either!!

    2. Re:You will only shit pure gold ... by Yewbert · · Score: 1

      I hear Toyota and Chevrolet are working on a joint venture to exploit this - the Toyolet.

      It has a few new features:

      * Dual-position memory seat - down for women drivers, up for the guys.

      * Along with the dome light, a little fan.

      * The sun-roof glass is that wavy or clouded kind you can't really see anything through.

      * To improve the mileage, just put a brick in the tank.

    3. Re:You will only shit pure gold ... by yincrash · · Score: 1

      Several hydrocarbons in crude oil are carcinogenic. It's possible that the oil that this bacteria makes could also be carcinogenic.

    4. Re:You will only shit pure gold ... by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      Or, to put it more simply, you'll have money coming out the wazoo.

  22. Why Crude Oil? by RAMMS+EIN · · Score: 1

    Why convert into crude oil substitute, rather than directly converting it into purer components?

    --
    Please correct me if I got my facts wrong.
    1. Re:Why Crude Oil? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why convert into crude oil substitute, rather than directly converting it into purer components?
      If you genetically engineer some microbes to excrete plastic chairs, then most likely, someone will sit down with you and talk about it.:P

      It wouldn't be suprising though if these microbes give off methane or other usable compounds in the process and most likely the solid wastes could be used as fertile soil or fertilizer. Might be interesting to know what reclamation efforts are being done with it for the resulting byproducts.
    2. Re:Why Crude Oil? by NotBornYesterday · · Score: 1

      Well, for one thing, we get more than just gasoline out of crude. We get diesel, home heating oil, various lubricants, etc. So rather than just replace part of the petrochem equation, this solution replaces all of it. It certainly fits well with our current energy model, if we can scale it up.

      I wonder if we can get it to run off a waste stream like sewage? No need for wood chips then.

      --
      I prefer rogues to imbeciles because they sometimes take a rest.
    3. Re:Why Crude Oil? by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1
      Funny. [Mental picture of a bacterium giving very painful birth to a plastic chair.]


      It would be better, IMHO, to have the nasty little bugs excrete a diesel analog, a kerosene analog, a gasoline analog, etc, than have to use huge amounts of energy to crack the crude aliphatic hydrocarbons and catalytically reform them into the highly branched alkanes that we like for fuel.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
  23. do the math by circletimessquare · · Score: 3, Interesting

    assume a 100 gallon specially designed plastic container filled with high efficiency gm algae (speculative) makes a gallon of oil ever 3 months. obviously there are a million factors here, i'm just pegging a random number

    now look at a map of the philippines and indonesia

    golly thats a lot of shallow seas

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:do the math by maxume · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Current gasoline consumption in the United States is 390 million gallons per *day*.

      You would only need 3.5 billion specially designed 100 gallon containers to meet 10% of that demand. Go all crazy and you could use 350 million containers to meet 1% of that demand.

      Golly that's a damn near unimaginable number of containers.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    2. Re:do the math by maxume · · Score: 1

      Sorry for the double reply, link to gasoline consumption number:

      http://www.eia.doe.gov/basics/quickoil.html

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    3. Re:do the math by Ihlosi · · Score: 1
      Golly that's a damn near unimaginable number of containers.

      Compare it to the number of bags (paper or plastic) used for shopping each day/week/month, and the number doesn't seem all that unimaginable.

    4. Re:do the math by maxume · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yes it does. Hundreds of bags come from one pound of plastic. Dozens of pounds of plastic would go into a single hundred gallon container:

      http://www.bascousa.com/store/index.aspx?DEPARTMENT_ID=73

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    5. Re:do the math by Muad'Dave · · Score: 3, Insightful
      That's only about 1.3 gallons/person/day on average. It sounds much more reasonable couched in those terms, doesn't it?


      I think your estimates for production are low - I doubt it would take 3 months for 100 gallons of bugs to excrete a gallon of oil. Even using your figures, my wife and I could easily put in a reactor large enough to generate that much fuel. Toss in the odd orange peel, and voila! Fuel for the family.


      Doing the math:

      1.3 gal/person/day = 2.6 gal/day for us. Using your figures that's approximately 9000 gal of bugs per gallon-day of fuel. That's 23400 gallons (or 3128 ft^3) of bugs. A pit 20x20x8 would comfortably hold them.


      My concern with that many critters would be the disposal of the dead ones. That in itself is a lot of biomass - wait, maybe they can 'eat' their own dead! Soylent oil for real!

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    6. Re:do the math by maxume · · Score: 1

      I wasn't trying to make it sound unreasonable. I don't have a problem with it. I just find it an interesting scope to use in examining energy solutions (because we are going to need at least 20% of that energy as transportation fuel for a long time).

      Re the productivity estimate, if 4 gallons a year is low, 100 gallons is probably high, so the issue is still hundreds of millions of gallons of production vats.

      Re your numbers, a pit 8 feet deep is probably going to be less productive than a pit that is 4 feet deep. I don't know enough about algae to go much further than that, but the area of a pit that is 1 foot deep is a lot scarier than a pit that is 8 feet deep.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    7. Re:do the math by GungaDan · · Score: 1

      Why assume? http://www.valcent.net/s/Home.asp Valcent (VCTPF) technology produces over 30,000 gallons of algal oil per acre/year with its vertical bioreactor.

      --
      Eloi are stupid, throw morlocks at them!
    8. Re:do the math by dhj · · Score: 1

      It's tempting to claim that a algae biofuel system would produce massive amounts of fuel. You just need huge tanks, right? The only problem is the light reaching those tanks only enters at the surface area. 8' is pretty deep and would require active agitation to maintain the algae population. If it's just a pit the algae at the top is the only part that will be able to utilize available solar energy (think pond scum). Ideally the system could use it's own fuel source for agitation, but this would require immediate processing and would definitely put it beyond "cheap jug of algae" technology. Well, I guess problems like these (along with a viable algae) are why it hasn't been done yet. As soon as issues like those can be worked out I agree that this will empower many people to produce safe, clean fuel. Since we need portable fuel (gas/crude/etc) this would be more helpful to the energy crisis than direct electricity producing technology (PV, wind, etc).

    9. Re:do the math by bugs2squash · · Score: 1

      You don't need a shallow sea - just drain the Cuyahoga River and turn the entire basin into a fuel fermenter.

      I believe experiments in the 1930s through the 1960s were highly successful.

      --
      Nullius in verba
    10. Re:do the math by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Congrats, you've just reinvented the septic tank!!

      Seriously, given bacteria's short lifespan and rapid reproduction, why shouldn't yesterday's used bugs be part of today's oil output??

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  24. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 0, Troll

    No it isn't. Especially not if they get spread over a large area.

    GM crops were evil in greenhouses, I seem to remember. Which are, obviously, also "sealed vats".

  25. Could be $50/bbl... by 6Yankee · · Score: 4, Interesting

    ...but when the real thing's $140 and you've all those development costs to recoup, why not charge $120 for the bug-crap variety?

    I doubt we'd see this at $50 for a good while, not until it drags the price of real oil down to similar levels anyway.

    1. Re:Could be $50/bbl... by confused+one · · Score: 1

      Actually, that's the smart thing to do: undercut the $140 just a little bit companies buy. Then use the difference (i.e. profit) to fund development of plant infrastructure.

    2. Re:Could be $50/bbl... by overunderunderdone · · Score: 1

      The price of oil isn't high because it's expensive to produce but because people want more of it than is readily available at the moment, and because of speculation by investors.

      $50 is how much it costs them to produce a barrel of crude, what the oil industry calls "lifting cost". By comparison the average lifting cost of traditional crude oil pumped out of the ground is around $6.00 per barrel. (Lifting costs from 2006). To be fair you have to include the finding cost of oil too so let's call the total production cost average around $15/barrel.

      As you can see $50/gallon is a very high COST for crude oil. It's almost too high for anyone to consider investing the serious money required to start producing at any real volume. At this point demand is so far above supply and appears likely to remain that way long enough that it might be worth the risk, but it is a HUGE risk. Imagine you throw the billions of dollars necessary to ramp up production using this process so that a decade or so from now you're producing oil on a meaningful scale. What happens if the economies of India & China falter during that time drying up demand. It's a given that your conventional competitors will have been spending the same decade desperately scrambling to bring traditional oil wells into production at a MUCH lower cost per barrel. Other businesses will likely have been exploring other alternatives sources of oil further increasing supply (The Orinoco tar sands? Shale Oil? Oil from coal?). Oil could drop to the $30-$40/barrel price it held steady at for the two decades prior to the current bubble.

  26. What if it's released into the ocean? by GayBliss · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If some of this bacteria finds its way into the ocean or any other body of water, would we have a perpetually expanding pool of oil that can't be stopped?

    I didn't see anything in the article about whether or not this bacteria is capable of reproducing on its own. Hopefully it can be controlled in some way.

    1. Re:What if it's released into the ocean? by Tyger · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well see, that's where you develop a bacteria that consumes crude oil and produces something else.

      Then a bacteria that consumes that something else and ... you get the idea.

    2. Re:What if it's released into the ocean? by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      If some of this bacteria finds its way into the ocean or any other body of water, would we have a perpetually expanding pool of oil that can't be stopped?

      I didn't see anything in the article about whether or not this bacteria is capable of reproducing on its own. Hopefully it can be controlled in some way. I get the feeling you would have no shortage of predators who would eat them..

      I have mixed feelings though about an ever expanding pool of oil the size of an ocean.

      "illegal downpouring" anyone? : )

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    3. Re:What if it's released into the ocean? by jcr · · Score: 1

      would we have a perpetually expanding pool of oil that can't be stopped?

      Nope. It would be limited by the food available.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    4. Re:What if it's released into the ocean? by bibi-pov · · Score: 1

      Reminds me of that book by Neal Stephenson called Zodiac. Dates back from 1988, hasn't aged a bit!

    5. Re:What if it's released into the ocean? by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      I don't know any creatures that see a pool of crude oil and think: "I bet there's something good to eat in there!"

    6. Re:What if it's released into the ocean? by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      humans do : P

      look at your average food packaging and try to pronounce the ingredients

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    7. Re:What if it's released into the ocean? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2, Informative

      It's a GE form of E.Coli. These are evolved to live in the gut and even after genetic tinkering have a fairly narrow set of conditions in which they can survive. If they find their way into the ocean, the most probably thing that will happen is that they will die. Alternatively, they will contaminate their environment with oil, and either die or kill off all of their potential food sources then die.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    8. Re:What if it's released into the ocean? by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      Touche. That reminds me, I haven't had breakfast. Time to find something wrapped in a petroleum product.

    9. Re:What if it's released into the ocean? by Yergle143 · · Score: 1

      I am a biochemist and work with E. coli every day. Let me tell you about Phages: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phage Those holes you see below are dead e. coli. http://www.microbelibrary.org/asmonly/details.asp?id=2321 E. coli are pretty weak outside their habitat (inside you and me). How will these business-types remove phage from the feedstock? ---537

    10. Re:What if it's released into the ocean? by Kazymyr · · Score: 1

      That's biochemistry 101. You make them dependent of a chemical that doesn't exist in nature, so even if they get released (accidentally or otherwise) they can't sustain themselves in the wild and die off.

      --
      I hadn't known there were so many idiots in the world until I started using the Internet -Stanislaw Lem
    11. Re:What if it's released into the ocean? by bugs2squash · · Score: 1

      Maybe we should call it oil-9

      --
      Nullius in verba
  27. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1, Insightful

    It's just so sad that this thing is not a solution at all either. The energy has to come from somewhere.

    The second law of thermodynamics precludes this principle from working "sustainably". Oh sure it might increase our supply for a short while (- I doubt it will, but hey it *might*).

    Plants are 2-3% efficient solar panels (at best, that is assuming 100% green cover, and every last square millimeter of green leaves perfectly illuminated and tracking the sun). Using their dead residue to power cars is about 10% efficient, which can be raised to about 30% efficiency full cycle. (which is a LOT better than using it to power humans btw, who are at best 3-5% efficient in using plant energy, it is *better* for the environment to go shopping in your car, not worse)

    Knowing that we use about 3x the total energy present in the biosphere yearly, you know that we'd need 200-300% efficient conversion of plant matter to movement energy. We are, at best, at 0.2-0.3%.

    Using plant matter to make biofuels can therefore not increase our energy supply (... for long).

    The solution ?
    -> short term : nuclear power
    -> long term : efficient solar power

    Although I'll readily admit that this could be useful for the petrochem industry (and by that I mean plastics, and *perhaps* fertilizer, not fuel).

    Without an immediate serious increase in nuclear power, we're fucked. Badly fucked. Even the Saudi "allah will replace our oil" nutcases are building nuclear power plants, do you really want to be considered dumber than them ?

  28. They claim it could be sold for about $50/bbl, by justleavealonemmmkay · · Score: 2, Interesting

    They claim it could be sold for about $50/bbl,

    If it has the same market as crude oil, it will sell at crude oil price. With them being the sole producers, they will effectively become a de facto OPEC member, and will remain so until patents have expired, by which time the price of crude oil will possibly be far beyond $1000/bbl
    1. Re:They claim it could be sold for about $50/bbl, by bloobloo · · Score: 1

      I highly doubt the Chinese would respect the patents. They don't with any GTL technology, anyway.

    2. Re:They claim it could be sold for about $50/bbl, by justleavealonemmmkay · · Score: 1

      Let them do it.

      I'd rather cope with isolationist chinese oil moguls than with fascist, expansionist oil sheikhs

    3. Re:They claim it could be sold for about $50/bbl, by 99BottlesOfBeerInMyF · · Score: 1

      If it has the same market as crude oil, it will sell at crude oil price.

      This is not, necessarily so. It could sell at a higher price because it is more "green" and people are willing to pay more to protect the environment. Put in a few "save the planet" gas stations in CA and I bet you could easily get half again the price.

      With them being the sole producers, they will effectively become a de facto OPEC member...

      Not really. Other OPEC members don't have the same ability to constantly grow production capability for a set cost and without competing for new oil fields. They would be either a "more than equal" member or a threat and enemy to be undercut or killed.

      ...and will remain so until patents have expired...

      This is unlikely. Other companies are already working on similar technologies. If they bring it to market and are profitable, investment in these other companies will go nuts, and they will almost certainly bring similar tech to market in less than 20 years. These other companies would also upset the entire OPEC power base.

  29. What about poo? by 19061969 · · Score: 1

    Could you turn faeces and household waste products into oil? If so, it would help solve a few problems in one go.

    --
    bang goes my karma... again...
    1. Re:What about poo? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, but methane.

      It's done here in this city where I live. About 60000 inhabitants, "Biogas" production equal to about 3 million liters of gasoline per year from household waste/sewage. Enough to propell all the busses and the citys vehicles, and still being able to sell to other cities which aren't equally far along with their recycling.

  30. Doing the work for them by Xelios · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Sounds good, but it'll be bought up by a major oil company long before it's turned into a commercially viable business. Then it'll be placed on the shelf until oil production finally drops too low to remain commercially viable. Then, finally, we'll have an explosion of alternative energy spring up from nowhere, owned and operated by the same huge oil companies everyone loves to hate today.

    --
    Murphey's fighting Occam, and we're in the stands.
    1. Re:Doing the work for them by kevmatic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why?

      I mean, really, Why would an oil company do that? Why would an oil company only produce oil by having someone suck it out of the ground? What possible benefit would sitting on it have, if this is cheaper? They would still sell their products.

      Maybe you think they're just pissed off at the Earth?

      The vast majority of oil companies aren't in the oil business and realize that. They're in the energy business and act accordingly. its just that, until recently, oil was pretty much the only way to get it.

    2. Re:Doing the work for them by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      That's not good business. A better idea is to buy it, develop it, and use it to augment existing production (it will take a while to ramp up supply, anyway). If your oil fields are dropping in yield by, say, 4% a year, then use this to replace it and keep your prices lower than your competitors. Watch them cut margins trying to compete with you until they are so far in debt that you can buy their fields for next to nothing.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    3. Re:Doing the work for them by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      That doesn't make any sense.

      An oil company with this technology (and owning the patent so nobody else could have it) would have a HUGE competitive advantage. You're saying that they'd give up that competitive advantage for... what purpose? Just because they like drills? That makes no damned sense.

      Incidentally, neither does the "car engine with 500 MPG buried in the desert by Ford" bullcrap. If Ford had such an engine, it would give them a huge competitive advantage, and they'd be retards to not use it.

  31. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by Prune · · Score: 1

    Nuclear power is a long term solution as well, in terms of fusion. Fission will easily last the 20 (according to ITER designers) to 50 (really conservative estimate) it will take for fusion to come in to full force. There is a HUGE amount of deuterium that can be extracted from seawater, and the neutron emission from the reactor creates tritium from that, so you have the two things you need for millennia (and later on, you can mine comets etc.)

    --
    "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
  32. Re:Microsoft Makes Ersatz Crude Oil From Many Sour by game+kid · · Score: 1

    I saw "GE Microsoft" on my first read. That'd be a hell of a huge company.

    --
    You can hold down the "B" button for continuous firing.
  33. Woodchips! Brilliant! by toby · · Score: 2, Informative

    Thanks for finding another reason to illegally clear the Amazon. (Cash crops already being a major driver.)

    --
    you had me at #!
    1. Re:Woodchips! Brilliant! by arthurpaliden · · Score: 1

      It is already being cleared for sugar cane plantations for the production of ethalol.

    2. Re:Woodchips! Brilliant! by rcastro0 · · Score: 2, Informative

      (The Amazon) is already being cleared for sugar cane plantations for the production of ethalol.
      No it's not. Check the map. The areas most used for sugarcane production are the first ones the Europeans colonized in Brazil... about 450 years ago.

      There are many reasons for why the Amazon is being cleared today. Ethanol is not one of them.
      --
      Quem a paca cara compra, paca cara pagará.
  34. So... by zmooc · · Score: 1

    I think they forget to mention a few important aspects:
    - The main input for agriculture, apart from sun and water, is fossil fuel in the form of fertilizer and pesticides.
    - The waste output of agriculture is currently pretty much used up for other purposes.

    While the idea is great, it won't solve any energy problem, it will create a new one.

    And apart from that, photovoltaics and CSP have over 5 times the efficiency of photosynthesis and electromotors are at least 2.5 times as efficient as internal combustion engines, so IMNSHO we should phase out oil and biofuels entirely and go electric.

    --
    0x or or snor perron?!
    1. Re:So... by plasmacutter · · Score: 1

      They don't use petroleum fertilizers for trees or weeds.

      imagine free landscaping services because they can haul away your lawn clippings and milkweed stalks and turn them into oil?

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    2. Re:So... by zmooc · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You can indeed keep cutting down trees or weeds for a while, but the same will happen to the topsoil as has happened just about everywhere where we do that: nutrients get depleted and without fertilizer nothing will grow anymore, not even trees or weeds. The result of that is that the soil will erode more and more and before you know it.... desert. The same goes for you lawn clippings and milkweed stalks: if you keep doing that, you're going to have to add nutrients eventually. Just leaving the garden waste somewhere in your garden would be a lot more efficient use of resources.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Land_degradation

      There are places in Syria and Northern Africa where traces of very old villages were found in the middle of the desert. Why would they build a village in the desert? The answer is that they didn't, the desert formed around them as they consumed all nutrients in the topsoil.

      Apart from that, if we want to keep the CO2 levels in our atmosphere in check, it's not such a good idea to keep cutting down photosynthesis capacity.

      --
      0x or or snor perron?!
    3. Re:So... by plasmacutter · · Score: 2, Insightful

      they call them "weeds" because they grow anywhere, uncontrollably, even sprouting out of cracks in sidewalks between 2 4 lane roads and in the shadow of skyscrapers on all sides.

      "weeds" of one type or another will always grow. one uses up one kind of nutrient, another will use another and replace the one used by the previous species.

      --
      VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
    4. Re:So... by zmooc · · Score: 1

      Apart from oxygen, carbon and hydrogen, plants require at least the following chemical elements to grow: nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium, calcium, magnesium, sulfur, boron, copper, iron, chloride, manganese, molybdenum and zinc. Recently is has been suggested many more, such as aluminium, tin and lithium, are required in very small amounts as well. If I recall correctly, phosphorus, potassium and chemically-bonded nitrogen (since most plants cannot absorb nitrogen from the air) are the ones that commonly deplete.

      Cracks in sidewalks happen to be excellent collectors of such nutrients, of which there's more than enough in the dust that each city is engulfed in. Add some water and you have a germination-paradise. And don't forget that sidewalks themselves are basically made of nutrients that very slowly dissolve when in rains. However, most plants that grow on the sidewalk will have roots that extend far below the sidewalk.

      And, indeed, there are some plants like moss and especially "lower" lifeforms such as fungi that can survive on a smaller diets, but I've never seen them grow large or fast enough to be of any use in oil-production.

      --
      0x or or snor perron?!
    5. Re:So... by Maset · · Score: 1

      anywhere except the Sahara?

  35. Kind of obvious, isn't it? by toby · · Score: 1

    we will start to feel the crunch well before we physically run out of oil

    The current food crisis is just the start.

    And people seem to overlook the military's reliance on oil. Imagine the COLOSSAL expenditure of fossil fuels by the US military... and imagine the stockpiling they have been undertaking over the past century to make damn sure everyone else runs out before they do (except that some traditional adversaries such as Russia inconveniently have their own supplies: Cue Iraq...) Civilians are last on the list, after military (first of course), then big business.

    In short: No Oil = No Military. The logic isn't too difficult, is it?

    --
    you had me at #!
    1. Re:Kind of obvious, isn't it? by larry+bagina · · Score: 1

      during world war II, the US army used liquified coal. The US has large coal reserves.

      --
      Do you even lift?

      These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.

  36. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by professionalfurryele · · Score: 1

    "it is *better* for the environment to go shopping in your car"

    You do know that you are still alive and burning energy when you go shopping right? I know it feels like you are dead when you see the price of peppers hit 95c at the local Co-op, but it only seems that way.

  37. Article dangerously unclear by The+Master+Control+P · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Does their microbe create a crude oil substitute or does it create gasoline/diesel substitute? Because there's a giant difference. A crude oil substitute would have to have an assay remotely compatible with "real" crude if you're not going to end up synthesizing everything else.

    Do the bacteria excrete asphalt (although this is less an issue with the heavy crude they're getting now being full of the stuff)? Or the lightweight components of crude? Or kerosene?

    Now I'm not saying this wouldn't be an impressive move, and if it can help take up some of the vehicle fuel slack long enough to move to alternatives then great, but we have to be realistic. Take away crude oil and you have to slip another synthesis step in before almost every industrial process to replace the molecules that were nearly ready-made in oil. And since a lot of it will be synthesizing molecules from scratch, it'll suck a /huge/ amount of energy from one source or another.

    1. Re:Article dangerously unclear by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1
      Now I'm not saying this wouldn't be an impressive move, ...


      For the bacteria involved, it would be an impressive movement.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
  38. Better than crude oil, actually. by jcr · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Crude oil often has contaminants like sulphur, which this process can simply leave out.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  39. Scale... by polyp2000 · · Score: 1

    Maybe if they couldnt scale this up- instead we could all have our "Mr Fusion" 'esque machine in our back yards!

    N.

    --
    Electronic Music Made Using Linux http://soundcloud.com/polyp
  40. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by dwye · · Score: 1

    Fission will easily last the 20 (according to ITER designers) to 50 (really conservative estimate) it will take for fusion to come in to full force.

    Unfortunately, break-even fusion has been (claimed to be) 50 years from the first commercial plant since I could first read Asimov's science books, back in the late 1960's. Further, extracting deuterium is not easy.

    > (and later on, you can mine comets etc.)

    By that point, they are more likely to figure out how to crack H-H fusion (maybe some variant of the Carbon cycle?), rather than mining comets.

  41. since youre so good at math by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    Figure out what will happen in a decade or two as india and china get richer and petroleum reserves get deeper. Meanwhile, you can "distill" the stuff out of ditches full of algae in the desert and plastic jugs in the ocean. Is it enough space?

    Well, how much does it cost to dig a ditch? To make a plastic jug? How much space do we have in the deserts and oceans? Let supply and demand meet each other on a convenient price, and let production fill with algae as needed. Duh. Its not rocket science dude

    But you knew that already, you're a genius at speculatuve back of napkin math, right?

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:since youre so good at math by maxume · · Score: 1

      I'm not saying it can't work, I'm simply pointing out that the logistics start at "complicated" and that the amount of fuel used in this country is rather...enormous.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  42. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm not sure you've really got the green movement's number at all. Very few, if any people concerned about those things are as irrational as you want them to be.

  43. Re:OMFG by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 5, Funny

    can i say now that water is wet and get modded informative too?


    Maybe, maybe not. Depends on the temperature. Water isn't really very wet at, say, 0 degrees Kelvin.

  44. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by Bloke+down+the+pub · · Score: 1

    which can be raised to about 30% efficiency full cycle. (which is a LOT better than using it to power humans btw, who are at best 3-5% efficient in using plant energy
    Even if cars are 10 times as efficient (your figures) most [non-American] people weigh less than a tenth of what a car does.

    There's also these things called buses. They're like a car but with a lot of seats. For perhaps a fourfold increase in engine size you can move ten times the number of people.
    --
    It's true I tell you, feller at work's next door neighbour read it in the paper.
  45. Re:Microsoft Makes Ersatz Crude Oil From Many Sour by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If that upsets you, why don't you yourself solve the problem first and publish the solution in the public domain, so that noone can patent it and it will be free for use?

    Or are you just a whiner who likes things for free?

  46. completely wrong by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    its agriculture. its nowhere near more complicated than that. growing coffee, as a sensitive plant, is orders of magnitude more complicated than jugs or ditches full of algae, and oil prices are certainly up there with coffee. what are the processing and distribution needs for say, palm oil from palm trees? how can separating volatiles from algae and water be more complicated? its about as dumb as doorknobs as you can get. a nuclear reactor, thats complicated. a jug full of ocean water, not so complicated

    furthermore, you say the need to ramp up to huge production levels from nothing to satisfy worldwide consumption is daunting. what? who said that one day they are going to turn off the petroleum spigots like a lighswitch, and turn on the algae spigots to replace it all 100% in the span of a day? algae "distilled" octane will simply ramp up. its simple economics: as the price per barrel of crude goes higher and higher, there is more and more incentive to throw algae in jugs in the ocean, or grow algae in ditches full of ocean water in the desert. billions of more dollars orchestrating complicated logistical enterprises have been spent on far riskier ventures... such as digging for crude

    meanwhile, we're talking about figuring out a plastic jug design and genetically modifying the algae correctly (granted: speculative there). but once you do that, the level of complexity and investment is well within the grasp of substinence farmers and fishermen

    that's the best part of this very simple scheme: the new sources of our oil are the poor and rural of the third world. talk about incentive and reward

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:completely wrong by maxume · · Score: 1

      The infrastructure required for fishermen to produce millions of gallons a month would be hugely significant. You can hand wave it away if you want, but that's all you are doing, hand waving it away. And millions of gallons a month isn't even a dent.

      It is much more likely that a capital intense organization (like an oil company) would simply build an enormous algae farm out in the middle of the ocean (or in a desert) and drive the price down to the point where people with less capital and more labor intensive operations were unable to compete.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  47. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by Prune · · Score: 1

    I doubt it. Comet mining is a technological challenge which one can extrapolate from current technology. H-H fusion is not.

    --
    "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
  48. how complicated is a tea plantation? by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    how expensive is tea?

    if we use your rationale, it is impossible for people in say, ghana to grow, harvest and distribute peanuts. and yet they do

    yet you wish to tell us that algae is plastic jugs is too complicated... plastic jugs, full of ocean water. do you know what commercial fishing operations are like? compare it with that on the order of "its impossible logistically and economically" wtf?

    so you are saying plastic jugs in the ocean full of ocean water, compared to say, commercial fishing or peanut farming or tea plantations.... jugs full of algae... is vastly more complicated than those ventures and, furthermore, get this: jugs full of algae will drive oil prices down and put them all out of business

    dude. try to study simple economics concepts someday

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:how complicated is a tea plantation? by maxume · · Score: 1

      The logistics problems are not in the complexity of one vat. They are in the complexity of producing, tracking and gathering millions and billions of gallons of oil.

      If you have a boat that can process a vat in 15 seconds, and you gather 10 gallons each time you process a vat, you only need 17 boats working all day every day to produce...1 million gallons a day. Note that such boats would need to be able to hold 50,000 thousand gallons of oil, and that you would need to do something with 50,000 gallons of oil every 24 hours.

      Slow each boat down to 1 vat every 5 minutes and 5 gallons per vat and you only need 694 boats to produce 1 million gallons a day, and each boat only needs to hold 1500 gallons of fuel.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    2. Re:how complicated is a tea plantation? by clonan · · Score: 1

      Or...

      You don't bother to process on the boat. If it were me I would open a processing plant:

      Regardless of the quality of the algae output there is going to be SOME processing. So I would build a plant near the water front.

      I would prep bottle kits. Say a bottle and a package of Algae with directions.

      I would then sell these to whoever wanted them.

      The buyer would fill it up with wastestock and leave it in the sun (assuming the sun is necessary which the article didn't specify). This could be floating in the ocean or on rooves or in kitchens for kitchen garbage.

      When the buyer was ready I would buy back the bottles based on the quality of the contents.

      I then process it at my leisure (the bottles have been filled for months, a few more days won't make a difference).

      I store the oil produced in my large (cheap) tanks on land.

      Every few weeks a tanker comes by and empties the tank.

      I wash out the bottles, add a new packet of algae and resell the bottle.

      This system minimizes my risk. It minimizes the investment of the person growing the oil. It provides an alternate income for local residents of fishermen etc. and since the storage and processing is done on land, it is very cheap. Since there isn't a time crunch on the processing I can construct my plant to work 24/7 and optimize the process.

    3. Re:how complicated is a tea plantation? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      It also doesn't come close to satisfying our need for oil. Consider, the average American goes through at least a gallon of gasoline a day - assuming the bottle produces a gallon of gasoline, every american would need to have a 100 or so bottles.

      It'd be more realistic to have big trays(kilometers long) set up in the desert, and use some automatic process to filter the algae down to the end of the tray. Some get recycled back up to the top of the tray, while the rest get processed.

      From the article - 1 Barrel a week from a 1000 liter vessel. 264 gallon tank to produce 42 gallons of oil in a week. 40 square feet of space.

      Not there yet, but getting closer.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    4. Re:how complicated is a tea plantation? by clonan · · Score: 1

      It'd be more realistic to have big trays(kilometers long) set up in the desert, and use some automatic process to filter the algae down to the end of the tray. Some get recycled back up to the top of the tray, while the rest get processed.

      The process uses fermentation...this mean no light is needed and air is VERY VERY VERY bad!

      Think of this as more brewing than anything else. You toss in everything at the beginning, all the energy the system needs it starts with comes in with the feedstock. You close up the tank and come back in a week. You now have a barrel of oil, probably some methane and other "sludge" which may or may not be useful to burn for heat.

      Using your idea would be the Least effective way. We don't need a lot of ground space just a lot of volume.

      In addition, this is a test bio-reactor. You could double the hight, double production without changing the square footage at all.
    5. Re:how complicated is a tea plantation? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      I'll admit to getting some stuff mixed together, but when I was talking about the trays I was refering to algae being used to create feedstock before it goes into the bioreactor.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    6. Re:how complicated is a tea plantation? by clonan · · Score: 1

      Ohh, that is completly different.

      The source of the feedstock doesn't matter which is why this is exciting. This is a way of converting almost worthless leftovers into useful petroleum products.

  49. There are a lot of meanings to $50 by bxwatso · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Just because they say it can be done for $50 does not make it so.

    Does the $50 include the land and equipment to build a commercial facility?

    Does the $50 include the amortization of the start-up costs in developing an industrial scale process?

    Does the $50 include the cost of gathering and delivering huge quantities of raw materials?

    Does the $50 include the cost of environmentally safe disposal of waste materials?

    The price of crude oil includes all of these costs.

    1. Re:There are a lot of meanings to $50 by Organic+Brain+Damage · · Score: 1

      You don't think the guys investing $10,000,000.00 in this have thought of those costs before they calculated their $50 / bbl number?

    2. Re:There are a lot of meanings to $50 by bxwatso · · Score: 1
      I'm sure they thought of it, but I am not at all sure they are reporting it. Start-ups often put the best face on the benefits of their products.

      They could be reporting costs before certain fixed costs or they could be reporting a target cost they hope to achieve after further R&D and investment.

    3. Re:There are a lot of meanings to $50 by potat0man · · Score: 1

      Even if it were $100/brl it would still be cheaper.

    4. Re:There are a lot of meanings to $50 by bxwatso · · Score: 1
      Even if it were $150, it would be cheaper, because:

      1. It appears to be more environmentally friendly (although that is what we thought about corn ethanol), and

      2. It reduces dependence on oil from our enemies.

      Those externalities support the concept of some type of subsidy for an oil alternative, and if this is the most economic, then subsidies should be shifted away from things like corn.

      My only point is that a press release is not the same thing as alternative fuel in the economy. For all the hype about bio, solar, and wind, they make up a pittance of the energy consumed in the USA, and they probably always will.

  50. Hurray! I knew that human ingenuity... by Dystopian+Rebel · · Score: 1

    would find a way for us to suffocate ourselves while keeping gasoline cheap at the pumps!

    --
    Rich And Stupid is not so bad as Working For Rich And Stupid.
  51. The latest in a long line... by Herger · · Score: 5, Interesting

    There are a number of biomass-to-fuel technologies in the prototype to production stage, many of which have been featured on Slashdot in the past. Here's a sample:

    Changing World Technologies (http://www.changingworldtech.com/) -- high-pressure non-catalytic conversion of biomass to Diesel fuel -- prototype online in Missouri
    Range Fuels (http://www.rangefuels.com/) -- cellulose -> syngas -> blended alcohol -- proven, 20-million-gallon/year plant under construction in Soperton, GA
    AlphaKat (http://www.alphakat.de/) -- biomass/plastics -> Diesel fuel via metal-catalyzed high-temp, high-pressure reaction. Plants under construction across Europe
    MagneGas (http://www.magnegas.com/) -- sewage(!) -> natural gas + surplus heat via electrolytic conversion -- you can buy or rent a working production unit from their web site

    I note that all of the above use a high-temperature, high-pressure reaction process to produce fuel. The GE process has the advantage over the first three in that it can handle water better than the first three processes above (IIRC, most Fischer-Tropsch type plants have a low tolerance for water in the reaction vessel, which is bad for biomass conversion unless you spend energy to dry it first. E.g. AlphaKat says their process doesn't work with more than 12% water by weight). The other major advantage is that fermentation typically occurs under more gentle and manageable conditions, i.e. near room temperature, near atmospheric pressure and aqueous rather than solvent/metal-catalyst based. However, the down side of their process is that it's not self-contained and not truly carbon-negative unless you use plant biomass as a feedstock, though if you grew algae in an adjacent tank you could probably use that as your feedstock and harvest CO2 from the air. Actually that would be an ideal solution because you could genetically tune your algae to have a specific composition and tune your fermenter bacteria/yeast to efficiently break down your algae. Hopefully that will be in the next phase of this project. Though we'll probably have to make do with catalyst- and pressure-converted biomass until these guys can perfect their process.

    1. Re:The latest in a long line... by nido · · Score: 1
      Thanks for the list. While not biomass, my favorite up-and-coming anti-oil-monopoly device is the microwave that turns plastic back into oil. I guess they're commercially available now.

      though if you grew algae in an adjacent tank you could probably use that as your feedstock and harvest CO2 from the air. Valcent has their high density vertical bioreactor... They have a prototype in El Paso, Texas that yields some insane amount of oil.

      Standard Oil has finally committed suicide by allowing prices to rise too high. Energy is becoming democratized at last!
      --
      Learn the rules so you know how to break them properly.
      www.teslabox.com
    2. Re:The latest in a long line... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hope you will come to share my passion in getting the word out on the wonderful solutions provided by Terra Preta soil technology (TP, aka Biochar).

      If pre-Columbian Kayopo Indians could produce these soils up to 6 feet deep over 15% of the Amazon basin using "Slash & CHAR" verses "Slash & Burn", it seems that our energy and agricultural industries could also product them at scale.

      Harnessing the work of this vast number of microbes and fungi changes the whole equation of energy return over energy input (EROEI) for food and Bio fuels. I see this as the only sustainable agricultural strategy if we no longer have cheap fossil fuels for fertilizer.

      We need this super community of wee beasties to work in concert with us by populating them into their proper Soil horizon Carbon Condos.

      This technology represents the most comprehensive, low cost, and productive approach to long term stewardship and sustainability.Terra Preta Soils a process for Carbon Negative Bio fuels via Pyrolysis of Biomass........., Massive Carbon sequestration via Biochar to soils (1/3 ton C per 1 ton Biomass)..............., 10X Lower CH4 & N2O soil emissions.............., and 3X Fertility Too.

      Cheers,
      Erich

      the current news and links on Terra Preta (TP) soils and closed-loop pyrolysis of Biomass, this integrated virtuous cycle could sequester 100s of Billions of tons of carbon to the soils.

      UN Climate Change Conference: Biochar present at the Bali Conference

      http://terrapreta.bioenergylists.org/steinerbalinov2107

      SCIAM Article May 15 07;

      http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?articleID=5670236C-E7F2-99DF-3E2163B9FB144E40

      S.1884 â" The Salazar Harvesting Energy Act of 2007

      A Summary of Biochar Provisions in S.1884:

      Carbon-Negative Biomass Energy and Soil Quality Initiative

      for the 2007 Farm Bill

      http://www.biochar-international.org/newinformationevents/newlegislation.html

      Bolstering Biomass and Biochar development: In the 2007 Farm Bill, Senator Salazar was able to include $500 million for biomass research and development and for competitive grants to develop the technologies and processes necessary for the commercial production of biofuels and bio-based products. Biomass is an organic material, usually referring to plant matter or animal waste. Using biomass for energy can reduce waste and air pollution. Biochar is a byproduct of producing energy from biomass. As a soil treatment, it enhances the ability of soil to capture and retain carbon dioxide.

      ( Update; In conference the $500 M was cut to $3M....:( :( :( )

      There are 24 billion tons of carbon controlled by man in his agriculture and waste stream, all that farm & cellulose waste which is now dumped to rot or digested or combusted and ultimately returned to the atmosphere as GHG should be returned to the Soil.

      If you have any other questions please feel free to call me or visit the TP web site I've been drafted to co-administer. http://terrapreta.bioenergylists.org/?q=node

      It has been immensely gratifying to see all the major players join the mail list , Cornell folks, T. Beer of Kings Ford Charcoal (Clorox), Novozyne the M-Roots guys(fungus), chemical engineers, Dr. Danny Day of EPRIDA , Dr. Antal of U. of H., Virginia Tech folks and probably many others who's back round I don't know have joined.

      The International Biochar Initiative (IBI) conference held at Terrigal, NSW, Australia in 2007. The papers from this conference are posted at their home page; http://www.biochar-international.org/home.html

  52. i'm going to reply to you obliquely by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    take any large city. say new york city or shanghai or new delhi. now, according to your grasp of the laws of supply and demand demonstrated in what you just wrote above, in terms of economic incentive and logistical complexity, throwing in some further wrinkles like food spoilage and variety of food choices... please tell me: how the heck does everyone manage to get fed?

    your mind has demonstrated to me, in your comment above, what i will call a low level of understanding about the laws of supply and demand. so now i wish that you see in yourself that your understanding of economics is poor by applying your level of demonstrated understanding above, of economics, to a problem like feeding everyone in a large city, with variety and spoilage thrown in as an even further logistical and economic complication. how does it all work?

    the answer is: it doesn't matter how it works. it just works. because its simple economics, simple supply and demand, moving people like an army of ants to do something far more complicated than any single ant can grasp, each ant only motivated by the simplest of motivations, no one orchestrating the movement of the ants from above. its incredibly complicated and beyond the grasp of any single mind. and yet it works far superior to any consciously engineered effort. thats the glory of economics

    now: you wish to tell me that those same economic forces will be powerless to wrangle plastic jugs in the ocean?

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:i'm going to reply to you obliquely by maxume · · Score: 1

      I'm saying that someone willing to spend $10 million or $10 billion to wrangle plastic jugs in the ocean is going to be a lot better at it than someone who only has $10,000 to spend, and that they aren't going to bother wrangling them, they are going to install them and run a refinery (all this is assuming effective biological processes emerge).

      Your snide blathering about what I must or must not understand isn't really contributing much.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  53. Re:Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    WHOOooosSHHH!

  54. Wrong, its so valuable because it is scarce by HighOrbit · · Score: 1

    It is not in their immediate interest to produce this while there is still oil in the ground. Oil in the ground is finite, therefore it is scarce and the scarcity coupled with high demand drives the price.

    If any-odd-company could produce it in a vat, then the scarcity and a large part of the value evaporates. Oil wouldn't be worthless overnight (as you mention it would still be used for plastics and petro-chemicals), but a large part of the market would switch meaning oil would be worth much less.

    1. Re:Wrong, its so valuable because it is scarce by Hognoxious · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Did I mention something about downstream assets? Well that's the retailing and distribution networks. There's still a good profit to be made there. The mere existence of those chains is a barrier to entry and even if oil can be made in a vat, it'd probably make sense for the manufacturer to sell it via an existing company, rather than build their own duplicate distribution system.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    2. Re:Wrong, its so valuable because it is scarce by Firethorn · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Thing is, we're running out of oil that's easy(IE cheap) to extract. If Exxon either developed or bought and commercialized a patented process that produced an analogue to light sweet crude* for $50/barrel, they'd clean up. They'd rather expand and exploit that process than risk billions in new deep off shore oil platforms, which wouldn't be able to pull up oil for less than $50/barrel anyways. Or dealing with other countries where they have to worry about the government of the country nationalizing the rigs.

      *I know, it wouldn't be exact, but most of the artificialy generated stuff I've heard about is actually easier to refine into stuff. Heck, as I understand it the oil resulting from thermal depolymerization can pretty much be poured straight into a diesel engine.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    3. Re:Wrong, its so valuable because it is scarce by LS · · Score: 1

      What happened to thermal depolymerization by the way? There was all this hullabaloo a few years back about how it was going to change everything, but now I never hear about it...

      --
      There is a fine line between being a cultivated citizen and being someone else's crop. - A. J. Patrick Liszkie
    4. Re:Wrong, its so valuable because it is scarce by Anonymous+Psychopath · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Your assumption that oil is scarce isn't correct. It might be scarce in a few decades, although there is debate around how long exactly, but the high prices we see today aren't because of scarcity of raw materials. What is scarce is refinery capacity.

      --

      Eagles may soar, but weasels don't get sucked into jet engines.

    5. Re:Wrong, its so valuable because it is scarce by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Last I heard, back when oil was around $80/barrel, the turkey plant decided that they would charge for the waste. This kinda wrecked their profitability for a while. They went from a minor profit to a minor loss, even with a number of subsidies because they were a test plant. Besides that, the test plant has had numerous issue with stench complaints, which they spent a lot of effort working on. Last I'd heard they had solved the stench problem, and $130/barrel oil should have fixed the profitability issue. Not necessarily bad for a test plant - these issues are the reasons you build test plants in the first place. ;)

      From the article, they built the test plant with the assumption that processing the waste turkey parts into animal feed would be banned over mad cow stuff. This would mean that they'd be able to get the turkey/chicken parts for free. The benefit to the butterball plant would be that they wouldn't have to pay for disposal. That turned out to be untrue, giving the turkey plant a potentially profitable waste disposal method - so they started charging.

      So the main issue is now profitability. They need to locate the plants in areas where they have a constant, reliable and cheap source of organic waste, and preferably in an area not mindful of the occasional stink. Or spend the extra money to clean it out of their stacks.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    6. Re:Wrong, its so valuable because it is scarce by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

      Yeah, this is only true and would only happen if they collaborate in a cartel (illegal in the US). Oh wait....

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
    7. Re:Wrong, its so valuable because it is scarce by level_headed_midwest · · Score: 1

      Finally, somebody gets it. The distribution and retail arms of the oil companies are huge, so the oil companies would be just as happy selling some non-petroleum product as long as their existing distribution and retail methods work with little modification. Case in point- almost all stations around where I live are happily selling ethanol alongside normal gasoline and diesel fuel.

      The thing that really worries the oil companies are energy sources such as electricity that use a different distribution and retail method.

      --
      Just "gittin-r-done," day after day.
    8. Re:Wrong, its so valuable because it is scarce by budgenator · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Except they are estimating a production cost of $50.00 a barrel for this bio-petrol, several alternatives hit break-even around $70.00 and natural crude is running $140 a barrel. I expect the prices will equilibrate in the $60.00-80.00 range before long. These guys,the energy companies are very used to making a profit sell a commodity where the feed-stock comes from will not make much of a difference. With the volumes the petro-chemical industry is involved in, if they can make any money, they'll make a shit-pile of money

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    9. Re:Wrong, its so valuable because it is scarce by Skjellifetti · · Score: 1

      Exxon and BP have announced that they are selling their retail service stations (most of which were already independent franchises). Retailing oil products is a very competitive, low margin business. Just about every street corner has a gas station and the result is that the retailers' profits are being squeezed hard since no station wants to be the first on the block to raise prices. Exxon and BP have much better uses for their capital.

      See this for details.

    10. Re:Wrong, its so valuable because it is scarce by Skjellifetti · · Score: 1

      Most of those gas stations are required by law to sell gasoline that has a significant amount of ethanol.

    11. Re:Wrong, its so valuable because it is scarce by level_headed_midwest · · Score: 1

      The ethanol I am talking about is >=85% ethanol/=15% gasoline, not the 5-10% ethanol/90-95% gasoline blends that are sold in many urban areas. The regular unleaded where I live is straight gasoline but the mid-grade (89 octane) and premium (91-93 octane) have 10% ethanol as an octane booster.

      --
      Just "gittin-r-done," day after day.
  55. A word of caution by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This sounds great, but a note of caution is needed. If they have developed a microbe that basically can eat through any organic material, what they perhaps have invented is a new pathogenic superbug. Think about it, if this can eat through organic material as such, what would happen if it got loose somehow and got into a field of crops, could this start eating away and destroying crops? Have you engineered a new super agricultural pest? This could happen completely unintentionally, not to mention the potential for intentional weaponisation.

    1. Re:A word of caution by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I should add that whenever we change the characteristics of an organism, we change how it interacts with its environment, we run the risk of causing severe environmental problems, as these organisms can reproduce out of control and there is no mechanism to keep it in check. It happens all the time when exotic species are transported to hawaii or australia, where they have no natural predators, when they are introduced to these environments they are quite out of place and can destroy local species. These microbes could have other effects, being genitically engineered, which are heard to predict.Perhaps they will get into rivers and choke out other species. Perhaps they are toxic to other organisms that might consume them. Etc, etc.

    2. Re:A word of caution by Zarf · · Score: 1

      not to mention the potential for intentional weaponisation. Killing people with oil... instead of for it? Wow. It is the future.
      --
      [signature]
    3. Re:A word of caution by OshMan · · Score: 1

      GREEN OIL IS PEOPLE!!!!

    4. Re:A word of caution by Forbman · · Score: 1

      Well, all of the GE'd organisms that the Pharma industry currently uses in bioreactors to make certain drugs or drug precursors haven't wrecked the world...yet.

      I've often wondered what causes the oily sheen sometimes I see on standing water around the Pac Northwest. These pools seem to be populated by an orange algae...

  56. Re:Great by nategoose · · Score: 3, Funny

    Started turning the starving third world into oil? Are you mad??

  57. I, for one... by Veggie13 · · Score: 0, Redundant

    ... welcome our microbial overlords.

  58. Corporate America taking over science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    First General Motors (GM) Foods, now General Electric (GE) micobes!

  59. If this is true... by Zarf · · Score: 1

    ... then the future is indeed bright. It means technological advance will not be abated while we scramble for new energy infrastructure. It means that the Kurzweilian Singularity is indeed near.

    I for one am hopeful but skeptical.

    --
    [signature]
  60. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by nosfucious · · Score: 2, Insightful

    No it's just that I have no desire to have the world contaminated by tadioactive material for the next 'x' thousand thousand years. (I can't be bothered Googling the various half-lives).

    No matter how good the safe guards. There is always human error to watch out for. And human stupidity, and malice. Then there are supposedly failsafe devices that aren't.

    As for the waste, well, that hot radioactive rock has to be stored somewhere. American mid-west? Under NY? Outback Australia? Arctic/Antarctic? Even safe transport is massively complex undertaking. Try and predict what might be around in 1,000 years in those areas.

    It's polluting, very, very polluting. It's just that it doesn't go up in the sky and turn it browny/orange.

    And no, it's not cheap either. Whatever cost advantages per Kw/h, are more than outweighed by the massive storage costs, generally underwritten by the various governments.

    --
    Q:I was listening to a CD in Grip and it sounded horrible! What's up? A:Perhaps you are listening to country music
  61. Exactly! by Giant+Electronic+Bra · · Score: 1

    This is what I keep trying to tell people (given that I'm running some commodity trading systems I have a bit of understanding of this issue). The traders ("speculators") have NO pricing power. NONE AT ALL. The day that contract matures they MUST sell it, or as you pointed out even PAY someone to take it off their hands.

    The price of oil has ZIPPO GRANDE to do with the futures markets. All the futures people are doing is betting that oil will be higher the day they sell the contract than the day they bought it. The truth is 99.9% of all oil bought and sold is not traded on the futures market. Some relatively minute fraction is traded there and all it provides is a bit of slack in the system so if say you needed oil TODAY you can get some extra beyond what you already had showing up in your own tankers. It just evens out the supply a bit.

    Notice it is the oil companies and OPEC that are blaming speculators for current prices. Meanwhile they pocket 100% percent of the excess profits from today's high prices. Blaming it on the futures market is just a smokescreen. The futures market is going up BECAUSE the price is going up, not the other way around.

    --
    "Malo periculosam, libertatem quam quietam servitutem." -- Jefferson
    1. Re:Exactly! by jcr · · Score: 1

      The truth is 99.9% of all oil bought and sold is not traded on the futures market.

      You know, pulling numbers out of your ass doesn't actually support your rather confused picture of how commodities markets work.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    2. Re:Exactly! by Giant+Electronic+Bra · · Score: 1

      Ah, yes, well, I'm sure you MUST know 10x more than I do about it... lol.

      Heck, I only DO it. What would I know?

      --
      "Malo periculosam, libertatem quam quietam servitutem." -- Jefferson
    3. Re:Exactly! by oodaloop · · Score: 1

      The futures market is going up BECAUSE the price is going up, not the other way around. That's not to say there's not a positive feedback loop going on, where speculation then drives price up. Back in the '70s, OPEC would meet quarterly to review their oil prices, during which they always raised it. Before the meeting, the spot market prices would surge in expectation of higher prices. Then during the meeting, OPEC would use the higher spot market prices as evidence the market could bear higher prices, and so it went. None of those serial increases had anything to do with supply and demand and ultimately contributed to the oil countershock and glut in the 80s.

      So speculation is based on the anticipated price of oil, which is expected to go up. Then what reason would distributors have for not raising the price? Investors expect the price to go up, so the market must be able to bear it, so raise your prices. Investors see the price increase as proof they were right and speculate on it going higher. This has happened a few times in the past. And after every surge in oil prices has followed a glut, as the market recovers from the wild speculation and other problems.
      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    4. Re:Exactly! by Giant+Electronic+Bra · · Score: 2, Informative

      Well, the underlying reasons for the price rises must be in place. And STILL the futures market has NO actual pricing power. The last time I looked there were a few 100k contracts of open interest on the NYMEX, (Looking now, 172k open interest on the CLN8). That is 172k contracts at 1,000 bbl each, for July delivery. There are other contracts of course, but compared to the actual volume of imports, the futures market is tiny, so its pricing power is also pretty small.

      Now, that being said, I'm not disputing that OPEC is USING the high prices of these contracts as the reason they raise their prices. They 'benchmark' their bulk deliveries based on futures. Still, it is a bit like the way your bank decides to raise your MasterCard rate because 'the prime rate went up'. In fact there is even less connection than that.

      Truth is, if supply exceeds demand, then the futures will fall and the price will fall. It isn't and it hasn't. So far. All markets fluctuate between oversupply and overdemand. Just as all other control loops do. Basic engineering theory, you don't even need to know a bit of economics. The difference here is that OPEC can squeeze supply as they see fit. Which they seem to do so that in the long run oil is cheaper than the alternatives. Just plain good business sense.

      No doubt oil prices will come down due to extinguished demand at some point. Hard to say how much or for how long, but it is like betting the ponies, usually the odds on favorites win, and usually history repeats itself too.

      'Wild speculation' is not a problem at all. Anyone dumb enough to pay too much for a contract is going to loose money. The price of the underlying governs the price of the derivative, not the other way around. At least not in a market like the oil market. Other types of derivatives have different characteristics.

      --
      "Malo periculosam, libertatem quam quietam servitutem." -- Jefferson
    5. Re:Exactly! by jcr · · Score: 1

      As it happens, I've worked in commodities, equities and derivatives myself, and taking your claim at face value, you wouldn't be the first trader I've met who didn't know as much as he thought he did.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    6. Re:Exactly! by jcr · · Score: 1

      And STILL the futures market has NO actual pricing power.

      You're ignoring the fact that producers and consumers participate in the futures markets. It's not just circle-jerk of speculators. Oil companies, airlines, shipping companies, truck fleet operators, and utilities all use futures to manage their risk or assure their profits when it comes to fuel pricing.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    7. Re:Exactly! by Giant+Electronic+Bra · · Score: 1

      Well, I won't argue with you about it. I know quite a bit. The fraction of crude that is traded on the futures markets is a very small fraction of what is bought and sold every day. Although prices may be benchmarked off certain contracts, the commodity markets themselves (in the case of oil) have very little actual pricing power.

      --
      "Malo periculosam, libertatem quam quietam servitutem." -- Jefferson
    8. Re:Exactly! by Giant+Electronic+Bra · · Score: 1

      It gets a bit complicated actually. If say you wanted actual crude oil, which only a refinery would, you can do what is called "Exchange for Physical" (EFP) and take delivery of the product at the specified location. And even that really just means you end up with the product at the location where you need it and some additional financial arrangements get made to pay for that.

      Anyone else would financial settle the contract at maturity. That would be someone like a trucking company that is hedging its fuel prices. Effectively someone else takes delivery of the actual physical product and you get paid a fixed settlement price which is based on some formula that depends on closing prices on the exchange. That normally all happens by default.

      All of that depends on someone being willing to do that financial settlement. Obviously for the market to function that is guaranteed, but the available numbers of contracts will depend on direct consumers of crude stepping up. If the prices on the futures market consistently continue to greatly exceed supply and demand indicated prices then there is no reason say a refiner would continue to want to do that.

      The futures market in oil is intended to indicate what prices people are willing to pay for products, not what prices they may actually end up commanding, and it is totally decoupled from the supply side. The producers and refiners simply end up racking up huge profits when the futures market goes off into cloud nine like it is now. Which is exactly what is happening. Prices could go back to what they were 2 years ago and the business is still plenty profitable.

      My point is that it is increasing demand vs supply that is driving up prices. Speculation is just a way for someone with some money to bet on that and cut in on a bit of the excess profit. So one can SAY that the futures market is 'driving up the price of oil' but it is really just indicating that the price IS being driven up.

      --
      "Malo periculosam, libertatem quam quietam servitutem." -- Jefferson
    9. Re:Exactly! by jcr · · Score: 1

      The fraction of crude that is traded on the futures markets is a very small fraction of what is bought and sold every day.

      So what? Most gold bullion changes hands off the futures market too, but any seller will check the spot price and charge accordingly.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    10. Re:Exactly! by Giant+Electronic+Bra · · Score: 1

      Gold is a completely different thing. You cannot compare them. The function of gold futures in the gold market is completely different than the function of oil futures in the oil market. Gold itself is a completely different kind of thing from oil. So I wouldn't consider that a particularly useful comparison.

      --
      "Malo periculosam, libertatem quam quietam servitutem." -- Jefferson
    11. Re:Exactly! by jcr · · Score: 1

      Of course I can compare them. The function of futures contracts for any commodity is the same: they let producers, consumers, and other traders make bets on, or hedge their exposure to price movements of the underlying commodity.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    12. Re:Exactly! by Giant+Electronic+Bra · · Score: 1

      There is no secondary market in oil, there is in gold. Gold is a repository of value in its own right and is the most fungible thing you can own. Oil is completely different. The way the gold markets work is completely different from the way the oil markets work. Demand for gold is also almost infinitely elastic. Very few people MUST have gold, and the vast majority of those are going to be able to pass the cost of it directly on to their customers (since the customer can always resell the gold in effect it isn't a "cost").

      So, I have to disagree. You cannot make much out of a comparison between the two.

      --
      "Malo periculosam, libertatem quam quietam servitutem." -- Jefferson
    13. Re:Exactly! by jcr · · Score: 1

      The way the gold markets work is completely different from the way the oil markets work.

      So you keep saying. I disagree, and I've worked in finance too.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    14. Re:Exactly! by Giant+Electronic+Bra · · Score: 1

      Oh, both types of futures contracts work similarly from the perspective of someone who is just buying and selling pieces of paper, but their economic meaning and impact is completely different. Apples and Oranges are both fruit, that doesn't make them the same.

      --
      "Malo periculosam, libertatem quam quietam servitutem." -- Jefferson
  62. i have to blather snidely by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    because when it comes to understanding economics, you're a dolt

    say you have a guy, with just one jug, just one jug, and he can throw it in the ocean, and come back 3 months later and turn that one jug into $1 at a simple low tech processing plant. rinse and repeat. what is that called? its called agriculture. the logic surrounding this simple cash crop agriculture incentive and simple reward i just described predates the written word. and yet you can't seem to grasp it. why?

    now, you wish to tell me a large company that can invest a lot more up front can harvest more jugs than a cash crop substinence farmer. ok. you're 100% right. and? why do you think that matters? what is that supposed to mean? right now, there are poor african farmers growing cash crop yams on an acre of soil. right now there is an agribusiness mass harvesting a million yams. the existence of the agribusiness means the poor farmer doesn't ahve any incentive to plant yams? and yet he does, and is doing it right now. so what is your point? why do you think you have a point?

    answer: you have no point. you simply have zero understanding of simple economics. your brain isn't wired to understand the idea of incentive, and to think abstractly about that in large groups of motivated individuals to make a buck

    here is simple truth, whether you grasp it or not: it doesn't matter if there is incentive for one guy to work with one jug, or a multinational to work with a million jugs. all that matters is that there is economic incentive, and so the need is fulfilled, simply because there is a pricepoint on a curve of supply and demand at which the undertaking is profitable for anyone involved

    you seriously don't understand that simple concept

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:i have to blather snidely by maxume · · Score: 1

      I'm saying that someone with capital can 'harvest jugs' (by which I mean run a mega sized aquaculture refinery) at such a low price compared to the farmer that the farmer won't bother, because buying the damn jug would cost more than he would make in 5 years of operating it. A durable container large enough to produce a worthwhile amount of oil is not going to be cheap. Portably harvesting or transporting the container is not going to be cheap.

      Putting yams in a field takes yams and time. Farming oil in the ocean takes a boat, containers, fuel and time. They aren't all that similar.

      I understand economics fairly well, I'm just not blinded by enthusiasm for making the 3rd world a better place. I am all for helping people make their lives better, but the concrete peanut mill did more than ocean-algae-farming ever will.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  63. Refineries by wytcld · · Score: 2, Informative

    Global production of crude can't possibly exceed refinery capacity by the 2 million barrel per day. Where would the 2 billion barrels, each day, every day, be going? Or are you arguing that potential production exceeds refinery capacity?

    While not many new refineries have been built in recent years, the capacity of existing refineries has been increased quite a bit. Refinery capacity is fine.

    What's not fine is oil field capacity. It turns out the Saudis have been lying about how much more oil they can pump. Welcome to your future, Mad Max.

    --
    "with their freedom lost all virtue lose" - Milton
    1. Re:Refineries by oodaloop · · Score: 1

      would the 2 billion barrels, each day, every day, be going? It's called spare capacity. That's the tankers and other storage facitilies that oil companies and host nations use to hold the oil before they sell it. During the last oil glut, many companies and countries reduced their spare capacity so that they weren't overproducing a commodity that they may not be able to sell, following the Japanese just-in-time method. No one really knows how much spare capacity is out there. In the past the surplus produced was much much higher, so it stands to reason there's room for more.

      The oil companies also didn't invest in new infrastructure, additional refineries, new technologies, etc, because the low price of oil didn't warrant those things. Now with high prices, they can't keep up production and refinery, which is one of the reasons why prices are so high.

      And refining capacity is NOT fine. It is way behind demand, especially considering how many different types of fuel need to be made. Each U.S. state, and some cities, have their own requirements for fuel, so there is a bewildering array of fuels being produced for the world's number one consumer alone.
      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
  64. amazing by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    you understand, in your own words, how a mill yolks a bunch of cash crop poor farmers into an economy that gives them an incentive to farm

    but for some reason, you can't or won't apply that simple lesson to algae "distilled" octane, even though all it is is simple low tech aquaculture

    so, according to your logic, the billions of cash crop substinence farmers and fishers in the world wouldn't be doing exactly what they are doing right now because... drum roll please... big agribusiness exists, somewhere, like a villain in a movie

    my head asplode

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:amazing by maxume · · Score: 1

      The peanut mill allows women to spend time doing things other than shelling peanuts to feed their families. They don't sell the peanuts to markets.

      But several hours a day not shelling nuts is a huge quality of life improvement.

      There is no such thing as a cash crop subsistence farmer by the way, subsistence means that they grow what they eat. If they are growing something to sell, the aren't just subsistence farming anymore, they are running an agribusiness.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  65. i take your change of subject by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    to mean that you are too stubborn to directly and manfully acquiesce on a topic you have been proven wrong about

    and yes, my use of the word substinence was wrong in that context

    (!?)

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:i take your change of subject by maxume · · Score: 1

      I don't see that I have been proven wrong. You may have demonstrated that we were talking past each other, but as far as I can tell, you started by arguing that it would be a really good idea for third world fishermen to farm oil, and I then pointed out that it wouldn't really be a cottage industry, and you said, yes it would, and I said, no, it would be an industrial industry, and then you said, so, it would still be an industry.

      So the way I have been reading things, you abandoned your original point (~algae farming could invigorate the third world) to argue that algae farming is economically feasible. In my second reply, I said something like "I'm not saying it won't work" which is fairly compatible with algae farming being economically feasible...

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  66. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

    You are alive when you go shopping whether you go by car or by foot. By car however, you can shop much faster, meaning a car actually saves co2 used by shopping inside you as well. But not only there :

    Your weight + the weight of groceries stays the same ... except extra weight is *much* more problematic for walking locomotion than for locomotion on wheels.

    But let's ditch that little detail and act as if it *is* the same.

    Let's also ditch the fact that going on wheels is more efficient (perhaps you take the bike). Let's assume a linear relation between weight and energy necessary (this is not true, more weight can be more efficiently transferred per kilogram, this disadvantages the car, not you).

    So you go to the supermarket. The weight that you have to move = bike + yourself + groceries =~ 80 + 20 + 10 = 110 kg.

    Then take the car. Total weight = car + yourself + groceries = 600 + 80 + 10 kg (assuming you're not using a hummer, but you could make the car 1 ton and it wouldn't change the argument, obviously going by tank would be less efficient, BUT there's a caveat even there) = 690 kg

    So the car is about 6-7 times heavier than you, AND it's 6-10 times more efficient. It *will* get you to the store for about the same energy as biking (and for a lot *less* than if you walk).

    BUT there's a BIG caveat. The car has 10 or 100 times the carrying capacity of the bike. In other words, with the car you go to the store once per week (or twice). You can get 5x the amount of groceries easy. You'll get 5x the groceries merely for convenience.

    So transporting the same amount of groceries, if said amount is 30 or 50 kg in a 600 kg car is 5x more efficient than biking these in. And it's over 15x times more efficient than walking them in. AND as a bonus it takes less time, and it's more convenient.

    IF you express it in "joules eaten", therefore you will find the car much more efficient. Right now we get "human joules" from different sources that SEEM (for the moment) more available. Obviously they're not, or due to innovations such as this they're not going to be different for much longer. In both Brazil and Indonesia they're already the same, and the U.S. is maybe 5-10 years removed from having a completely interchangeable power source for humans and cars (from one year to the next it can be used to produce human fuel, and then switch to car fuel, and back, and ... and so forth).

    So obviously it's not the "oil" used that matters, but joules used. And perhaps that's not entirely true in America YET. But it won't take long.

    And if you're a CO2 nut, the same is true. A human will output more or less the same amount of CO2 per joule used than a car.

    And then let's see the conspiracy theory : perhaps you don't know this, but the entire climate department at every university knows this. And if Al Gore is 1/10th as informed as he claims to be, then surely he knows too. So what are the environuts doing by advocating "simpler society".

    The middle age societies were vastly inferior and less efficient. Per human they produced MORE co2, and 100x as much for the same living standard, there were just many, many less humans. So why advocate going back to a simpler society ?

    If you want to save co2, we must go further in mechanizing society. Much further. A human can't be improved in efficiency, but it'd be easy to make an electrical shopping robot/butler 80% efficient in energy usage (getting a control algorithm capable of doing this however isn't easy). That's the way to go if we want to
    1) help people live (and have a reasonable living standard)
    2) not kill half the world's population (which *will* be the result of using biofuels)

    So if you're "truly" green :
    -> support cars, for everything but the shortest little trips
    -> discourage people doing stuff themselves without machines
    -> encourage electricity generation in various ways, for electricity generation + usage beats the crap out o

  67. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by Ihlosi · · Score: 1
    And if you're a CO2 nut, the same is true. A human will output more or less the same amount of CO2 per joule used than a car.



    Humans, for the most part, don't run on fossil fuels.

  68. Re:Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What do you think manure is made from? Thin air?

    "wood chips" and "grass cuttings," and plant waste in general go back into the soil's cycle, are processed by billions of organisms, and turned into nutrients for the plants. If we take this "waste" to make oil, what's going to feed the plants? Chemical fertilizers, made from... Oil ?

    You -- ALL OF YOU -- have to realize how stupid that "solution" is. Disrupt the soil cycle, starve the plants, and we're all dead. It's actually even more stupid than burning our food to make oil. A food shortage will only kill us. A plant shortage will kill many species.

  69. exactly ;-) by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    ok, let's take $10,000 and move to the rural philippines ;-)

    call it the "johnny appleseed project"

    or... the "junnie algaeseed project" ;-)

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  70. Re:Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Ironically this will turn agricultural waste into 'fuel' and thus give it a considerably higher economic value, have they factored this into their costs?

    Also, there doesn't appear to be is no mention of exactly how much waste is required to produce 1 barrel of oil equivalent. How much usable agricultural waste is actually produced each year and how many barrels of oil could actually be produced from this waste.

  71. Re:Great by Ihlosi · · Score: 3, Informative
    "wood chips" and "grass cuttings," and plant waste in general go back into the soil's cycle, are processed by billions of organisms, and turned into nutrients for the plants. If we take this "waste" to make oil, what's going to feed the plants? Chemical fertilizers, made from... Oil ?

    Erm ... holy false dichotomy, once again.

    There's no law that says if we start this process, we need to feed 100% of our agricultural waste into it, thereby depriving out soil of nutrients. We can figure out how much we need to feed back into the soil, and how much we can turn into fuel.

  72. yes, you are correct by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    but you are assuming that the point of algae-produced octane, on land, on sea, whatever, that the goal is to completely replace current consumption levels

    no, that doesn't matter. it doesn't matter if algae-produced octane only dents 1% of of consumption levels

    what matters is simply that there is incentive to make it work, that you can make a buck doing it. demonstrate that that is possible, and my bet is that algae-produced octane will ramp up production phenomenally in a decade or two: the simple economic rules of supply and demand: "hey, i'm making $200 a year with these 100 jugs of seawater, and there's no end in sight to demand. so why can't i go the bank to get the tiny bit of seed money i need for 10,000 more jugs and make $20,000 a year?"

    multiply that thought by a million strivers and entrepreneurs on coastal communities all over the world, in deserts near the ocean all over the world. you would have an explosion of interest if the process, as simple and low tech as it is, were proven

    such that, the simple laws of economics would continually ramp up production every year until you really did satisfy a large amount of consumption levels. there's a lot of shallow seas in the world, there's a lot of substinence fishermen. it doesn't take much to make this scheme work, the motivation is simple. someone just needs the right plastic jug design and the right gm algae

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:yes, you are correct by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      but you are assuming that the point of algae-produced octane, on land, on sea, whatever, that the goal is to completely replace current consumption levels

      Not especially. I was just dinging the 'individual jug' methodology.

      Personally, I see in the future something like plug in hybrids for everybody, thus eliminating liquid fuel use for the first 40 or so miles of travel. After that, then you use the expensive gasoline or gasoline substitute. That'd drop our gasoline usage by at least half alone.

      "hey, i'm making $200 a year with these 100 jugs of seawater, and there's no end in sight to demand. so why can't i go the bank to get the tiny bit of seed money i need for 10,000 more jugs and make $20,000 a year?"

      labor, space costs, etc... Eventually you run out of roof or backyard space. Automated tray systems reduce the profit of individual jugs to 'not worth the effort'.

      Note, I am in favor of expansion. It's just that you very quickly will eliminate the middle man and relatively inefficient 'jug' system of production, instead moving to professional high production, low labor methods that can produce the product cheaper and faster.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  73. logically, you're already losing by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    my point is, its economically feasible, for a single guy with a jug, all the way up to a multinational with a million jugs

    meanwhile, you wish to prove it is only economically feasible for the multinational

    so go ahead, prove it. you haven't

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:logically, you're already losing by maxume · · Score: 1

      You haven't proved anything more than I have. Until somebody makes it work at scale, no one can claim that it is working for anybody.

      The facts that used vegetable oil still goes to dumps, and other rendered fat simply gets disposed of indicate that there is currently some minimum amount of energy that is necessary for gathering it to be worthwhile; I would not be surprised if a similar situation took hold.

      Does making my argument "I don't think it will work for fisherman" work? (I would attribute any deviation from this in my posts to sloppiness, go ahead and call it backpeddling if that's what you think it is)

      We can bet a nickel and wait 20 years to see who was more right (I would say you are more right if such an industry arises and the collective contribution of participants making less than 0.1% of the fuel in the market is greater than 1% of the market. Hundreds of micro producers or a dozen small producers).

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  74. CARBON NEGATIVE?!? by VitrosChemistryAnaly · · Score: 3, Funny

    From TFA:
    The company claims that this "Oil 2.0" will not only be renewable but also carbon negative - meaning that the carbon it emits will be less than that sucked from the atmosphere by the raw materials from which it is made.

    OMG! Isn't anyone thinking about the ramifications? I'm talking about Global Cooling!

    Won't someone please think of the children?!?

    Seriously, though, I nearly spit out my coffee from reading the phrase "Oil 2.0". What a creative name. *rolls eyes*

    --
    "It's a tarp!" -- Dyslexic Admiral Ackbar
    1. Re:CARBON NEGATIVE?!? by Ihlosi · · Score: 1
      OMG! Isn't anyone thinking about the ramifications? I'm talking about Global Cooling!

      Well, the neat thing is that if this works, we can actually control just _how_ carbon negative the whole process is (by just burning off any carbon in solid form).

      We don't have that option right now.

  75. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by TheRaven64 · · Score: 0, Troll

    Nuclear waste is a myth spread by a cold-war government wanting to limit access to radioactive materials. Nuclear by-products are only dangerous because they are emitting radiation - energy - which by definition means that they are not waste, since waste is material which is not useful. They can be used in any number of long-life, low-drain applications, powering betavoltaic or radiothermal generators, not to mention their uses in medicine and other disciplines. Or they can be used in breeder reactors as fission fuel.

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  76. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just because a car can burn fuel more efficiently than you can doesn't mean it's more efficient to drive and get groceries. Just imagine the car using more energy than your own body might.. In fact, much, much more ... Or the energy required to create the aluminum body of the car...

  77. Re:Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

    There's no law that says if we start this process, we need to feed 100% of our agricultural waste into it, thereby depriving out soil of nutrients. We can figure out how much we need to feed back into the soil, and how much we can turn into fuel. And who's gonna decide that? The government? Do you trust it to make wise choices? Do you have any idea how much oil do we need right now, and how much "waste" it would consume? Or do you acknowledge that it has always priviledged short-term economical interests instead of the common good? :)

    Mister false dichotomy, I salute you.

  78. you've revealed your ignorance by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    "The facts that used vegetable oil still goes to dumps, and other rendered fat simply gets disposed of indicate that there is currently some minimum amount of energy that is necessary for gathering it to be worthwhile; I would not be surprised if a similar situation took hold."

    i take this to mean you are an insulated rich westerner, ignorant of the wider, poorer world

    in china, people, children, whole towns and families break up used computers for tiny bits of metal to be melted down, getting exposed to horrible levels of lead, mercury and cadmium for the sake of pennies. these computers get shipped there from all over the world for "recycling"

    in the philippines, there are tens of thousands of people, an entire economy and subculture of people, who live and work in the trash dumps of manila, scavenging and recycling every conceivable type of waste. it's called "smoky mountain"

    in india, dead humongous hulking tankers and ocean liners go to die on the beach. they are chopped up by giant armies of men living the most dangerous of lives, armed with the crudest of implements, to recycle iron and steel for the slightest of margins

    so would selling a poor fisherman in the third world a plastic jug and a tap of algae for a dime and telling him it will be worth $1 every 3 months really work economically?

    absolutely, without the slightest shred of doubt, you would have a riot on your hands of poor villagers seeking to buy these supplies

    then you just set up a low tech distiller to harvest. same economic cost and and economic benefit

    meanwhile, you have your multinationals with streamlined aquaculture projects doing the same thing on a scale of millions of gallons of octane.

    ok... and like i said, because a multinational farms, say, yams, or coffee, or bananas, or palms, or tea, pineapples, or wahtever... that means a poor cash cropper is suddenly unable to make money farming the same thing?

    if your mind cannot consider these sentences proof enough of the viability of the poor fisherman turned octane farmer, you have a serious deficiency in abstract thinking abilities

    more likely, you are just being stubborn, too proud to admit you are wrong directly, even though privately you already admit it to yourself

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:you've revealed your ignorance by maxume · · Score: 1

      I'm superficially aware of the several things you mention.

      If the drums cost $50 (this seems like a reasonable estimate to me), how are they going to afford them?

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  79. that's not the real problem... this is... by argent · · Score: 1

    If they have developed a microbe that basically can eat through any organic material

    They've got a microbe that can eat any sugar. It already exists, it's called E. Coli. Your gut is full of it.

    They didn't change the input side, they changed the output side, so it produces hydrocarbon fuels instead of fats.

    The thing that worries me is... what happens if you get this modified E. Coli in your gut... I suspect you'd get pretty sick, like you'd taken a swig of gasoline.

    1. Re:that's not the real problem... this is... by Anonymous+Monkey · · Score: 1

      No, like you'd taken a swig of gasoline over and over again until all that bacteria gets killed off.

      --
      We are the Borg...
  80. It is not a matter of ... by SlashDev · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ... How they produce energy. It is a matter of supply and demand and trade. If any fuel is a publicly traded commodity, in today's politics and turmoil, it will become expensive simply because of hedge funds and such.

    --

    TOP DSLR Cameras Reviews of the top DSLRs
  81. Re:Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What do you think manure is made from? Thin air?

    Agricultural "waste" in general go back into the soil's cycle, are processed by billions of organisms, and turned into nutrients for the plants. If we take this "waste" to make oil, what's going to feed the plants? Chemical fertilizers, made from... Oil ?

    You -- ALL OF YOU -- have to realize how stupid that "solution" is. Disrupt the soil cycle, starve the plants, and we're all dead. It's actually even more stupid than burning our food to make oil. A food shortage will only kill us. A plant shortage will kill many species.

  82. Oh my god!! by Sitxu · · Score: 0

    A bacteria that can turn us into crude oil!!??
    oh shit!! oh my god!!!!

    --
    cualquier vaina hagase el muerto
  83. Is this a good thing? by EddyPearson · · Score: 1

    Ok, so those of you who drive to work in the morning may like the sound of this, but on a global level, is a cheap source of Oil a good thing?

    The lack of oil is forcing innovation in the energy market. We're looking to build cars with NO carbon emissions, fuel cells with years of life, fusion reactors and other Star Trek sounding things.

    If we make oil cheap, then we'll continue to wreck the planet.

    --
    You feel sleepy. Close your eyes. The opinions stated above are yours. You cannot imagine why you ever felt otherwise.
  84. scaling up by shomon2 · · Score: 1

    It's this idea that you have to "scale up" that might be the problem itself: apply solution X to the same old X shaped hole: any magic solution X to the world's crises requires a commercially backed, large scale, centralised processing and distribution system.

    But what if each person could get/produce a handful of bugs and make a bit of their own fuel somehow? A solution that didn't have to scale up BUT required the world to adapt to this energy source, as we did back in the 30s-40s-50s to adapt to petrol in the first place? (Like reducing use) And I wonder if there are already solutions like this around? And because they require adaptation, will they still be popular?

    Ale

  85. Not Gonna' Happen by Twitchie · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Look, if you want a cheap(er) source of fuel, you better get off your butt and do it yourself. All these interesting little discoveries aren't going to do anything with the big oil companies still making record profits by raping the world's citizens. Period. End of story. The technology has been there since the 70's to do everythig we see in the news. That's why OPEC suddenly made gas cheap again - we were developing technologies to make their product worthless. If that happens, they disappear into the sands again as no country other than Dubai (look at Dubai from a space viewpoint if you're that out of touch) has anything to offer in trade. Anyone up for a tourism industry in Iran? LMFAO. Buy a dielsel and convert it to a grease car for $500. That's as close as you're going to get unless you invest a technology yourself and refuse to sell it to the oil companies who will bury it until the oil runs out.

  86. Re:Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That only applies when the OP is a joke. Calling something a joke only applies when it's funny. Therefore, you fail, sir.

  87. Re:OMFG by GarethSwan · · Score: 1

    Or at, say, 272 Kelvin (-1 deg Celsius).

    PS. You don't say "0 degrees Kelvin", it's just "0 Kelvin".

    --
    People are more violently opposed to fur than leather, because it is easier to harass rich women than motorcycle gangs
  88. huh? by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    a plastic jug costs $50?

    (scratches head)

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:huh? by maxume · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry, I was speculating on how much it might cost to grow $4 of oil per year.

      Anyway, if they can sell an old milk jug to somebody for $1, yeah, that would work fine, but I, personally, based on a speculative opinion only, do not expect anybody will be paying $1 for milk jugs full of algae detritus.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  89. I hate to be a nay-sayer, but someone has to do it by Duncan+Blackthorne · · Score: 2, Interesting

    So are these microbes genetically stable? They're not going to mutate in a few years into something dangerous? Can they properly contain said microbes, and have their finger on a sure-fire "killswitch" to annihilate the entire population of them if something goes wrong? Extremist questions I'm sure, but if you're in engineering and don't believe in Murphy, then you're a fool.

  90. In the words of the jingle... by sconeu · · Score: 1

    GE. We bring good things to life!

    [and a note to the humor impaired, yes I know that's not the GE the article refers to.]

    --
    General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
  91. Perform your research! by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Thermal depolymerization

    It's currently getting a $1/gallon subsidy, which works out to $42/barrel, 500 barrels a day oil production. $7.7 million a year.

    In '06, that allowed them $4 profit per barrel. In '06 oil hadn't broken $70/barrel yet. Reportably they sell their oil for somewhat under market(probably a penalty for the type of oil or the fact that it's a small source). Regardless, they should be able to sell their oil for almost double now - $60/barrel more.

    So, as long as the price of turkey guts and such doesn't go up again($20-30/ton), they should be able to make a profit even without subsidies.

    Note-I'm mostly libertarian and therefor against subsidies, but I don't mind subsidizing test plants a bit. I say this because advancing technology is a very good thing. Right now I wouldn't be subsidizing traditional corn type ethanol plants, but I'd consider subsidizing a cellulostic plant, or one looking to commercialize this one.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:Perform your research! by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

      Wow it sounds like it's doing damn good for a test plant. It's not vaporware and it's actually making profit??! Somebody kick some ass there.

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
    2. Re:Perform your research! by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Well, there's still the question of whether new plants can make enough money to cover their construction costs; those weren't figured in the cost of making the oil. The making/losing money was for operating expenses.

      Still, at $130/barrel, the process makes a whole lot more sense, especially if future plants can also get the $1/gallon subsidy* for a guaranteed period of time.

      I also didn't see mention of them selling the other byproducts of the process.

      *I don't actually support this, unless the NEW plant is also experimental in some regard. First 'full size' plant, perhaps? Then again, I see the tech as being 'right sized' for the most part, sized to handle the feedstock sources expected for the local area.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  92. Good new / bad news .... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Good news: All of our oil problems are solved! We can use this great bacteria to make any biomass into oil.
    Bad New: We all need to move to Mars becasue we've accidentally converted the entire biosphere into oil.

  93. this thread is over by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    if you think what you wrote above is a valid comment on the economics of algae-harvested oil, then frankly, you're retarded. i'm wasting my time talking to you

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:this thread is over by maxume · · Score: 1

      How bout you show me what a valid comment is supposed to look like?

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    2. Re:this thread is over by slashdotlurker · · Score: 1

      The fellow is a jerk and cannot seem to make his points without attempting to insult you, but what he is trying to say is perfectly logical.

      Forget about plastic jugs. What stops a farmer from digging up an acre of his land and employing a low investment technology like this to make oil ? They already do that with aquaculture (and hydroponics) in many 3rd world countries (I spent 3 years in India on work, so I have seen this first hand). As to distribution, this is no more complicated than have a truck with a suction pump coming in once every two days to pick up the crude. They manage projects far more complicated than that.

      The fact that big oil companies will find ways to flood the world market with cheap oil is neither here nor there. First, they would not want to - it will hurt profits in the short term, and second, even if they did, they still cannot do enough to drive the farmer above out of business (he invests nothing - not even fertilizer (which has caused some farmer suicides in India), and big agro businesses have been unable to do that anyways) permanently.

      This is one of those possibilities where everyone benefits as the entry level cost is so low. One culture of algae is all that it takes.

    3. Re:this thread is over by maxume · · Score: 1

      I see your point, but I'm not sure it would be worth paying the guy to drive the truck (you should obviously be able to fuel the truck) compared to just buying processed oil on the market (in the event that algae oil becomes practical enough to do in the backyard, energy from it should become very available).

      It very well could be worth paying the guy to drive the truck, but I think it is a question that would need to be answered in situe, not something that could be predicted.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    4. Re:this thread is over by slashdotlurker · · Score: 1

      Good points. As to the pick up truck, something like this is often used by a bunch of small farmers to take their produce to the market (the cost of transportation is shared - or even form cooperatives). They can use the same distribution model to send fuel to the market.

  94. It's another biomass fermentation system by Animats · · Score: 2, Insightful

    OK. It's another biomass to hydrocarbon conversion by fermentation with genetically engineered bacteria system. The company web site is all hype; it just mentions a "proprietary microbe", the only new part of the process. It's a lot like "cellulostic ethanol".

    Vinod Khosla, a well-known venture capitalist, has been funding multiple startups in this space in hopes that someone will make a breakthrough.

    There are many known ways to convert biomass to fuel, and most of them are expensive. You can't predict costs from lab-scale work. Until the process is working at pilot plant scale, cost predictions are hype.

    In the lab, tests are typically run in batches, in glass containers, starting with fresh input materials. For commercialization of a low-cost product, the process has to work with a continuous flow. Continuous flow fermentation is hard to do; by-products may build up in the system, or contamination in the feedstock may mess up the process. They haven't dealt with those problems yet.

    If the process has to be run in batches, like a brewery, with flushing and cleaning at the end of each cycle, the process is more tolerant of difficulties, but the operating cost goes up. It's possible to get the cost of a batch process down; beer production in bulk runs about $65/bbl. But beer is around 95% water, and for fuel applications, you don't get to count water as product.

    Khosla has the right approach. He's placing little bets, in the tens of millions of dollars range, on many technologies. His experts check on how they're doing. The ones making progress get another round of funding, and the others don't. One or more of them will be a big win.

    1. Re:It's another biomass fermentation system by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're right that beer is fairly expensive for being mostly water, but it also requires expensive feedstock. You can't just take biomass and add yeast; you need hops and malted grains. Furthermore, you can't just take any fermentation products and sell them, you have to either have a good product (like some Sam Adams) or a product that's consistent across millions of bbls (like Bud).

      With the algae, you just add biomass, wait, and refine. I bet it's a lot easier to get a product that "burns like 87 octane" than "tastes like Bud".

      dom

    2. Re:It's another biomass fermentation system by Animats · · Score: 1

      Interestingly, a Belgian company recently built two continuous flow breweries. 300 million litres per year (7000 bbl/day) each. 45 employees total, including the bottling operation. So continuous-flow fermentation from agricultural feedstock is working, doing a more difficult job than biofuel synthesis. This technology will be valuable for all the fuel-from-biomass schemes. Once somebody gets the genetically engineered microbes right, the plumbing and control systems are ready.

      The second plant, incidentally, is producing most of the beer for the Olympics in China.

  95. No it doesn't. by benjamindees · · Score: 1

    I'm not sure what "theory" you're referring to. Is that the one that says the price of oil is directly proportional to the production costs?

    Regardless, you're still assuming they use oil to extract the oil and pay their employees nothing.

    --
    "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    1. Re:No it doesn't. by Gibbs-Duhem · · Score: 1

      no, the eroi of ~15 includes paying employees.

      there are many studies which give similar numbers. http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3810 gives an overview of the existing literature. as you can see, all of the post-2000 eroi on oil are in the ballpark of 10-18:1. the *economy* puts about 7% of the yields from the oil back into oil right now in order to sustain our current usage levels.

      (sorry for all lower case, i exploded my left hand and shift key is hard).

  96. Re:I hate to be a nay-sayer, but someone has to do by Maset · · Score: 1

    as opposed to all the bacteria that are likely to break out of control atm?

    Then again, worldwide population reduction will oppose global warming.

    Then again, shouldn't we try, in contained vats (bring in regulation if needs be), to at the very LEAST keep our population stable and C02 neutral (environmentaly neutral is another dilemma enitrely)?

  97. Autoclaving here we come! by clonan · · Score: 1

    Autoclave it.

    I have worked with eColi phages and while they can be pretty hardy, you could get essentially all of them if you cook the biomass first.

    Plus as we have mentioned many times, eColi don't do very well outside of the gut therefore you are going to have (relatively) little external eColi contamination.

    As I recall, while phages kill off eColi, there is a percentage that become "immune" to the phage.

    This will only be a real issue if you decide to reuse your cultures. If instead you do one-use cultures, you will avoid contaminating your pure culture. Since this mutation is unfavorable, the eColi would likely evolve away from it spontaneously unless you did this anyway.

    More than phages, there is the question of general contamination. eColi is unlikely to be the strongest competitor in the vat unless you kill everything else off first.

    Autoclaving here we come!

  98. OILIX is real after all! by Akaihiryuu · · Score: 1

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metal_Gear_2 Makes me wonder how many other things Kojima came up with YEARS ago turn out to be real. If a giant ray-shaped submersible crashes into New York next year, then I guess we'll know...

  99. Re:Why talk ... After selling off the GE things by davidsyes · · Score: 1

    that MADE GE GE, they now can resume the old commercial from the 80's:

    GEE- EEE, WEE BRING good things to LIVING, we BRING good theengs toooo LYFFFEE!"

    I suppose they'll have to pay big-time to redo those commercials...

    --
    Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
  100. Re:OMFG by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 1

    Or 374 Kelvin. (~101 deg Celsius)

  101. Re:Great by realisticradical · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Isn't that what we do now?

  102. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by Socguy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Why bother with Nuclear in the short term when we can go Geothermal? That way we skip all the nasty fission byproducts and a proven track record of cost over-runs.

  103. One ray of hope. by argent · · Score: 1

    Indeed, sorry for being less than clear, that's what I meant.

    Either way, this would be pretty unpleasant.

    Another thing I thought of, though: if the bacteria is generating hydrocarbons instead of fats that it's using for energy reserves, then it's inherently not competitive with wild strains and thus unlikely to establish itself, but I'd love to see an explicit reference to that.

  104. We don't have an energy problem... by dr_db · · Score: 1

    What we really have is a storage and distribution problem. Electric would be fantanstic, if batteries didn't suck. When driving to another city, stopping to recharge for 4 hours is, well, problematic. Flywheels likely would be nice if they could store enough energy.

    Hydrogen is simply a distribution and storage solution, and somewhat energy intensive to boot.

    Put in a solar farm in Nevada - sure you could power the entire US, it's just the transmission losses would be brutal, and unworkable. I see people all happy happy about the effeciencies of PV's, however they have their load of issues as well, and don't forget it.

  105. Frank Zappa once said: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  106. Gore = God? by Vitriol+Angst · · Score: 1

    I thought Gore was something tangible,...
    if we are a Gore Gnostic, then we know Gore as a belief system. But, if we have seen him on TV, then that definitely puts one in the Theist camp.

    You must be a Gore Agnostic -- because you aren't sure if he is real or not, hence the reference to some unseen, all-powerful being. I don't think that is what the poster meant,... it was more along the lines of; "Hey, if we didn't give Gore a hard time and embraced his energy alternatives -- we'd be putting government money behind good research." I know that is a stretch, because we cannot know what the Gore is thinking.

    To be honest, in my own church we recognize that Obama represents "the son" and of course, Kucinich would be the "holy spirit" -- but I don't want to get into a theological debate.

    --
    >>"ad space available -- low rates!!!"
  107. Ewwww.... by Cheeba+Racer · · Score: 1

    Bug poop.

  108. Re:I hate to be a nay-sayer, but someone has to do by Shatrat · · Score: 1

    Can they properly contain said microbes, and have their finger on a sure-fire "killswitch" to annihilate the entire population of them if something goes wrong? Yeah, there's a guy inside a mountain in colorado with a big red button that will wipe out this strain of bacteria, along with all the other potentially dangerous bacteria and virii in the world.
    --
    09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
  109. Carbon Negative? by bwcbwc · · Score: 1

    While their production process may be carbon negative, I wonder how the numbers come out if you account for the CO2 released as the crude is refined into gas/diesel etc. and as the fuel is consumed. The production cost sounds nice, but this sounds like a net contributor to global warming.

    Odds are, it's probably more enviro-friendly to do solar/wind->electric grid->battery vehicle, than solar->plant matter->bio-crude->refinery->gas/diesel vehicle.

    --
    We are the 198 proof..
    1. Re:Carbon Negative? by gujo-odori · · Score: 1

      When you take the process all the way through to refining the product into gasoline and burning the gasoline in your car, it may well be no longer carbon negative, maybe not even neutral. It would be interesting to see the numbers on that. However, when the baseline is the way it's produced now (every stage of the process, starting with drilling, is carbon-positive), it has to at least produce less carbon than the way it's done now, even if the overall process is still a net producer of carbon.

      Another interesting question is that if they can really produce fake crude for $50- $70/barrel and produce enough of it to significantly supplant supplies of natural crude, or depress the price of it to match, will people still be as interested in green technologies such as hybrid and fully electric cars, solar generation, etc., as they are now?

  110. "ramping up" to 2001 production levels? by justdrew · · Score: 1

    that's not ramping up, it's getting back to where they were. Saudi Arabia has no capability to significantly increase production capacity.

  111. words by smoker2 · · Score: 1

    I hope they hurry up. Bush is running out of time to invade !

  112. Re:Great by canajin56 · · Score: 1

    A modest proposal.

    --
    ASCII stupid question, get a stupid ANSI
  113. Perspective... by evilviper · · Score: 1

    Everyone gets damn excited about algae, because the "potential" is enormous. HOWEVER, the REALITY is, 20+ years of development by the US DoE, starting in the 1970s, still didn't even result in oil-producing algae that could STAY ALIVE in small quantities, let alone staying alive in industrial production conditions, let alone producing a profitable product, let alone in quantities that could have the slightest dent in the world supply of oil.

    Try to stay a little closer down to earth when you hear about algae vaporware...

    In reality: Algae can produce huge amounts of bio-oil. That oil, however, immediately pollutes the water-based environment of the algae, and quickly kills the algae off. The huge potential of algae appears to be self-limited by an inherently self-contradictory system.

    In truth, we don't NEED oil. We can use ANYTHING that will burn, that we can produce in large quantities (see: vegetable oil vehicles). If we could produce enough cheap flour, you'd see flour-burning engines in no time. If you can just keep the algae ALIVE and reproducing at speed, it's damn easy to scrape a few of them off every day, and squeeze them into some form of combustible liquid. It's not worth the effort to turn it into "oil". If ANYONE can come up with ANYTHING flammable that we can produce in large enough quantities to supply the energy needs of the cars across this country, the oil problem will be solved, instantly.

    --
    Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  114. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The greens are pretty easy to figure out, really (from a psychological standpoint). The reason they are opposed to things like nuclear energy (and not just fission--they hate fusion too and green propaganda against fusion is part of the reason Canada pulled out of the ITER project) is because it takes resources away from development of their pet projects of solar, wind, tide, and other sources that can never hope to meet rising demand that progress requires (not to mention the tenfold jump in energy use we'll get as developing and third world countries become industrialized). But of course, therein is the true agenda of the greens--they want to hurt progress. At best they are go-back-to-nature Luddites, at worst fanatical misanthropes.
    Thanks for that brilliant insight into the motivations of millions of people you'll never meet. Obviously the growing PRO-nuclear sentiment among environmentalists must be a devious trick, otherwise your sweeping generalization would mean you're a dishonest idiot. And that couldn't possibly be the case, could it?
  115. Re:Great by Trogre · · Score: 1

    1. Yes it does state that. However what's stopping them from doing exactly that further down the track when they find agricultural waste, like waste fat from restaurants, doesn't scale well?

    2. What we call agricultural waste isn't always wasted - it decomposes back into the ground providing an important part of the nutrient cycle. Okay, so maybe not all of the waste generated is essential for that, but farmers aren't exactly known for turning down the opportunity to bollocks up the future for short term benefits.

    --
    "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
  116. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by Prune · · Score: 1

    Oh please. A simple Google search of 'clean nuclear energy' gives an enormous number of sites contradicting everything you wrote.

    --
    "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
  117. Maybe... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > Is Piers Anthony in the middle of anything at the moment?

    A party with Michael Jackson & R. Kelly?

  118. Synthetic crude? by rhun32 · · Score: 1

    What has always struck me about the search for alternate fuel sources - biodiesel, ethanol, propane, hydrogen, what have you - is that even if we do find a new way to fuel our cars and trucks, we'd still need a large supply of petroleum for plastics which are used everywhere these days. If this microbe actually produces the equivalent of crude oil, it could be used to make polymers and other petroleum byproducts as well. It sounds too good to be true.

    --
    #include <disclaimer.h>
  119. Cancer : Yes. But no immediat disolve by DrYak · · Score: 1

    Several hydrocarbons in crude oil are carcinogenic. It's possible that the oil that this bacteria makes could also be carcinogenic. Yup. Long term effect are possible. Depending on the composition of this oil :
    Very probably cancer (if there are aromatic groups). Or cardiovascular problem (small neutral chains). Or hepatic problem (small neutral chains that are easily destroyed). Or renal problems (small neutral chains that can't get destroyed and pile up).

    *BUT* as I said before : no huge risk to get instantly dissolve into a small pile of oil-based goo (as the original poster was afraid of)
    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
  120. Yes! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cheaper Lego!

  121. I hope.. by Truekaiser · · Score: 1

    to any $deity that's out there, if they are out there. that these people are doing this in BSL4 facility.
    i do not want to die in a world devoid of plants because guy's like this wanted to make a quick buck, don't laugh though, by the time they would realize it got out it would have spread beyond control.

  122. already feasible...botryococcus braunii by drwho · · Score: 1

    Ignoring the author's obvious ignorance (you can't power a vehicle on crude oil), there already exist microbes which are unpatented, which will do the job. An algae by the name of Botryococcus braunii (see the wikipedia article) can produce enormous quantities of an oil which can be transformed ('cracked', just like crude oil) into the fuels we're all used to, such as kerosene, octane (gasoline/petrol), diesel, etc.

    The real problem is the gold-rush mentality of the genetic engineers to provide the single,patented organism which will fix all of our problems forever, making them the richest people of all time. It's not going to happen folks. The technology is incrementally complex - meaning there is no 'Eureka' moment - and that moderate amounts of money can be made by those who are willing and able to invest in incremental advancements in efficiency.

    I am considering leaving my lifetime vocation of computers and electronics for a career in microbiologic fuel sources. Who cares to join me?

  123. The big pic by lazy+genes · · Score: 1

    Humans tend to consume energy faster than it can be produced. Technology increases with global population. Technology and population size are linked together. This is a good thing. The problem is in our ability to transport information economically in a sustainable and safe way. The solution maybe way out of reach for the types of governments that are in place at this time. The magic in solving this problem starts by analyzing the safety issues. The altruistic approach is to put safety first at any cost. The solution is to mix Technology together with an infrastructure designed to eliminate HUMAN ERROR in our transportation system. The magical part to this type of system is in the amount of weight that would be reduced from our vehicles and at the same doubling the speed of the vehicle. The finished product would be a skinny but longer vehicle that would ride on a rail or in a groove driven by a computer system. The infrastructure would made out out current utility systems (gas lines, sewer, water, electrical, ect) for two reasons. The main reason is that utilities go everywhere that vehicles go. The second reason is that the utility lines decay and need to be replaced with the current system so why not design a system that incorporates all these into a transportation type conduit. The beauty of this altruistic approach is that it will pay for itself in less than ten years, save thousands of pounds from being transported from every vehicle, the vehicles would never have to stop for another vehicle, This system would reduce the energy needed to transport information 10 fold. But unfortunately even this type of system might not be enough to reach sustainability. Eventually every local area will have to produce its own energy in order to evolve. I do not blame the governments of this world for the problems that we face, I actually think that they are all doing a good job. But in order to keep the huge global population healthy, so it can produce the technology that is important for our evolution, some things may need to change. They may just magically Change by themselves without any problems, Kinda like a phase change. I personally don't care what type of government it becomes, as long as our health improves and our ability to transport our information is not reduced.

  124. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

    Yeah they run on biofuels, and as we all know ... that *sooooo* much better.

    Oh wait ? It's actually worse you say ... just put it next to the other inconvenient truths ...

  125. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

    Oh and btw ... actually today's humans run on about 60% fossil fuels.

    You might want to check out what fertilizer is made of and what powers tractors ...

    (modern agri = using petrol to grow more biomass)

  126. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

    Buses are organized by the government in just about any country. They *CAN* transport on average more than 1 person (obviously not counting the driver).

    But thanks to the govt. organising buses ... they in reality don't actually transport > 2 person on average (numbers in Belgium, from "De Lijn"). And they use 4x what an average car does.

    That aside buses do beat humans walking in efficiency, but not cars.

  127. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

    Just one question that I might be interested in knowing your answer to ...

    Do nuclear reactors increase or decrease the radiation in the mined ore ...

    Just a tiny little detail that you might want to consider. Oh and most uranium mines aren't 1/100th as secure as the average storage facility of the nuclear industry.

    And now for the reality of the situation : yes nuclear waste is danguerous. It is however, less dangerous than the mine that the nuclear reactor starts with, and much *much* more secure.

  128. You seem to think saying something makes it true by biolysis · · Score: 1

    "and it's now happening to the world as a whole."

    I'd like to see your sources for this claim, there are a lot of scientists who would be interested in what you seem to think is conclusive proof of something they're still in the process of researching.

    So do you have a reputable source, or are you another "I heard it from my friends" scaremonger who will disappear when challenged to back up their assertions?

    PS mods, unsourced assertions should be challenged, not modded up "informative" because you like the sentiment

  129. House Party by RolfRomeo · · Score: 1

    One of these days those things start eating away at our houses and furniture, and getting yeast and radon-emissions won't matter much any longer. The ethanol-making kind could certainly raise the roof though...

  130. Re:So genetically modified has stopped being evil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What's that? No attempt to back up your craven strawman?. Didn't think you would. You lying piece of shit.

  131. Re:OMFG by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    water doesn't EXIST at 0 degrees kelvin...