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Forget Mars. Should We Go To The Moon?

me98411 writes "We have discussed earlier about the President's Commission on Moon, Mars and Beyond and about how a direct trip to Mars is the way to go (or way not to). In a BBC article, the division in the astronomers and space geeks community about the use of the Moon as a base to develop ways to travel to Mars is highlighted. Now, Nature is asking: Should we go back to the moon? Is a manned mission to the moon even necessary?"

511 comments

  1. Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Praedon · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This story brings up a good point... I think we should go to the moon... Learn a lot more with todays science applied there.

    --
    Just me
    1. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by millahtime · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Don't projects work best when you take small steps. In the past first we went to space, then we stayed in space longer, then we finially went to the moon. It makes sense to take steps here. For safety and to be prepared. We should go to the moon before we go on.

    2. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by kj0rn · · Score: 0, Insightful

      But why do you assume that small step = small distance? The best place to go is the one with water...

    3. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Short+Circuit · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Of course every new major device will be tested before it's fully depended on. That's why the 60s and seventies saw Mercury, then Gemini, then Apollo. Every stage had to be thoroughly tested before the next stage was safe enough to be tested.

      Today, technology to get unmanned craft to the moon is quite mature. We need only extend our knowledge of modern manned mission technology to reach the moon. And that should be cheaper than developing that technology all over again.

    4. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by AlecC · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That assumes the moon is "on the way" to Mars. That is not intuitively obvious to me.

      Bt all means go to the moon if it si scientifically worthwhile. It would take someone with more knowledge than me to judge the cost/benefit of it, but a case could be made.

      But dun't go to the moon in order to go to Mars unless you have a roadmap (bad metaphor, in context) worked out that says goinf via the moon is cheaper than going straight to Mars.

      And the idea of mining lunar water for propellant does not strike me as good. There isn't that much of it up there - just a goodish lakefull was reported some time back, and you certainly won't min all of it (ask the oilmen). So (a) you are using a very exhaustibe resource, and (b) we could have lots of uses for that water on the moon. It wouldn't be a good idea to set up a Mars colony and then have to abandon it because the water supply on the Moon ran out.

      --
      Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
    5. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by kj0rn · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I agree, and the thing with trying any new technology is that you never know where it'll lead. Say we try for the moon and put off mars. We may lean some new tricks that will effect how we go to mars in the future. The worst thing to do is sit round and do nothing.

    6. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by forgetful_ca · · Score: 1

      IANAA. But it seems to me, that being as the moon is way further up the gravity well, that it's 80% of the way to the rest of the solar system. So until that's no longer a barrier I for one cannot understand any space initiative that doesn't include a moon base.

    7. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Paulrothrock · · Score: 2, Informative

      It's a lot more expensive to go to the moon. The net energy to go to the moon is only a teensy bit less than it takes to get to Mars, and the moon doesn't have the variety of chemical compounds (or a 24 hour day) like Mars does. It's actually cheaper to set up a Mars colony because they can do things like grow their own food and make their own air and water, provided there's a small nuclear reactor to provide power.

      Also, the moon is thought to only have water in very small quantities in remote craters on the north and south poles, whereas Mars, according to recent reports, is covered with mud, from which water can be extracted easily.

      A lot of people think that because the moon is closer, it's somehow a better place to go. However, in the terms that matter (the energy it takes to get there), the Moon is about the same distance, and doesn't offer resources. I see moon as a space port, easily reached by the population from earth (cause people are really the only things worth shipping there), as well as easily reachable from the solar system, and with low launch costs. Fuel and food shipped in from Mars, materials shipped in from the asteroid belt, and people passing through on their way elsewhere. Oh, and a massive scientific base on the far side, for observatories.

      --
      I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
    8. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Feanturi · · Score: 1

      It does seem to make sense to launch things to Mars or other planets from the moon, as the initial thrust needed to get you going would be much much less. But (and I really have no idea), I wonder about whether it would be possible to knock the moon a bit off its orbit by applying thousands of pounds of thrust to it. It's pretty big, but is it big enough for there to be no adverse effect?

    9. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by BasilBrush · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I'm going to go out on a limb here and guess that the Moon is on the way to Mars 50% of the time.

    10. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by BasilBrush · · Score: 1
      The moon does have 24 hour days, so long as you pick the light side to set up on. But I guess you didn't mean that. ;-)

      24 hour sunlight of the moon would be useful for generating solar power, but probably upset most vegetation. Still, blinds or a bit of genetic engineering would probably sort that out. The constant temperature of 24 hour daylight is probably easier to engineer for than the variation of day/night cycles too.

    11. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by ikkonoishi · · Score: 2, Funny

      Short answer... No.

    12. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Rubyflame · · Score: 1

      There is no light side of the moon.

      --

      All it takes is nukes and nerves.
    13. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 4, Informative
      The moon does have 24 hour days, so long as you pick the light side to set up on.

      You seem to be under the impression that the moon's spin is locked relative to the sun so that the sun never rises or sets. That's not true. The moon is locked relative to its orbit around the Earth. The moon's "day" is approximately one month long: two weeks of sunlight followed by two weeks of darkness.

      This would cause big logistical problems and huge temperature swings for a moon base.

    14. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by b-baggins · · Score: 2, Insightful
      ...the moon doesn't have the variety of chemical compounds ... like Mars does.

      How do we know? We haven't explored more than a tiny fraction of the moon, and even less on Mars.

      Also, the moon is thought to only have water in very small quantities in remote craters on the north and south poles

      You don't need to find water, you can make it with Hydrogen and Oxygen. There's a LOT of Oxygen in the moon's crust, and very likely a good amount of Hydrogen in the regolith deposited by the solar wind.

      However, in the terms that matter (the energy it takes to get there), the Moon is about the same distance...

      Not when you figure in mass of life support and size of the capsule needed for a six-month journey.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    15. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Planesdragon · · Score: 1

      The moon does have 24 hour days, so long as you pick the light side to set up on. But I guess you didn't mean that. ;-)

      *sigh*

      The moon isn't constantly facing the sun. It's constantly facing the Earth; it has 28-day days. (or, if you prefer, 672 hour days.)

    16. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by tassii · · Score: 1

      It's a lot more expensive to go to the moon. The net energy to go to the moon is only a teensy bit less than it takes to get to Mars, and the moon doesn't have the variety of chemical compounds (or a 24 hour day) like Mars does. It's actually cheaper to set up a Mars colony because they can do things like grow their own food and make their own air and water, provided there's a small nuclear reactor to provide power.

      But on the flip side, if something goes terribly wrong, you are a lot closer so your ass can be saved.

      Also, the moon is thought to only have water in very small quantities in remote craters on the north and south poles, whereas Mars, according to recent reports, is covered with mud, from which water can be extracted easily.

      **WAS** covered with mud. The reports don't say anything about current water on Mars (except near the poles, maybe).

      A lot of people think that because the moon is closer, it's somehow a better place to go. However, in the terms that matter (the energy it takes to get there), the Moon is about the same distance, and doesn't offer resources. I see moon as a space port, easily reached by the population from earth (cause people are really the only things worth shipping there), as well as easily reachable from the solar system, and with low launch costs. Fuel and food shipped in from Mars, materials shipped in from the asteroid belt, and people passing through on their way elsewhere. Oh, and a massive scientific base on the far side, for observatories.

      That works for me. What do they plan to do on Mars besides set up a flag?

      --
      "I drank what?" - Socrates
    17. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by zero_offset · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The short, glib answer is: because Mars rockets don't grow on the moon.

      The cost and effort to build a moon base which can support humans long-term is already pretty high. Then you have to build facilities for building and launching Mars missions. Unless you want the additional cost of lifting raw materials to the moon for manufacture (or even just basic parts for lunar assembly), you also have to come up with equipment and processing infrastructure to use the raw materials up there -- and even then, probably only a fraction of necessary materials are realistically accessible.

      So before you've even launched your first Mars mission from the moon, you're already mired in this enormous project just to make the moon useful for that task.

      By a HUGE margin, it would be easier to just use existing Earthside resources, manufacturing infrastructure, and launch facilities to go straight to Mars.

      I also believe there are good reasons from the orbital mechanics perspective to go straight from Earth, but I forget the details.

      Read Robert Zubrin's book "The Case for Mars" for a great detailed discussion of this exact subject.

      --

      Slashdot quality declines as the number of hot grits posts decreases. - Provolt's Law, Apr-09-2005

    18. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by BasilBrush · · Score: 1

      You mean the dark side of the moon isn't always dark? Amazing. I'm gonna have to roll a strong one next time I listen to Pink Floyd.

    19. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Paulrothrock · · Score: 1

      That works for me. What do they plan to do on Mars besides set up a flag?

      Oh, I don't know, maybe learn how to live there? You'll notice that I said that fuel and food would come from Mars, meaning we need a colony there first.

      --
      I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
    20. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Planesdragon · · Score: 1

      Yep. Dark Side of the moon never sees Earth, though--so no TV.

    21. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      > A lot of people think that because the moon is closer, it's somehow a better place to go.

      I guess the only reason to go to the moon is to try out stuff. Because it's closer, more trips can be made in the same time. If something doesn't quite work out as it should.. ship some other stuff. On the other hand, if you ship enough material and skilled people to mars, there is no need for additional shipments.

    22. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by BasilBrush · · Score: 1

      You mean the other side does? Must be the Man in the Moon. I'll smoke a toast to R.E.M. instead.

    23. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Lord+Apathy · · Score: 1

      I've had these thoughts too. Mining water from the limited sources on the moons just struck me as short sighted. That water would be better put to use serving a lunar colony.

      I also agree we should go back to the moon before we set our sites on Mars. Relatively speaking it is just next door and we have been there before. We should have some ideal what we expect to find there. Unlike mars, which is almost a complete unknown except for probe data.

      I do feel we should press on to mars eventually but not at the expense of a lunar base. Some people question why we should go there. As with many exploritary missions, "we won't know till we get there."

      --

      Supporting World Peace Through Nuclear Pacification

    24. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by shotfeel · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The one factor I think is being ignored is safety. Let me add another observation to that, we've never done anything like what it takes to send a manned mission to Mars.

      From the jpl web site, MER-A "Spirit" launched June 10, 2003 and landed on Mars January 4, 2004. That's almost 7 months, so I'm assuming we're talking a round trip time of ~ 1 year (I'm not even going to try to figure out what kind of a time window there is before Mars is on the opposite side of the sun or how all that is timed).

      IMO, despite what's been learned from the ISS, we cannot be assured of our ability to place living humans in space for over a year with essentially no possibility of emergency retrieval. Not to mention the shear mass of supplies required just to feed a crew for that long. Again, IMO we are simply not prepared for such an undertaking and there's no way to verity we are prepared without a test like a moon base that can sustain itself for that period of time. IIRC we couldn't even do it here on earth with the Bioshpere project.

      So i guess you can put me in the one-step-at-a-time camp unless someone can explain how these things are not a problem.

    25. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by ostrich2 · · Score: 2, Funny

      You mean at night, right?

    26. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by tassii · · Score: 1

      Ah.. my bad.. I missed the part about fuel and food being shipped back FROM Mars.. I though you were talking about shipping TO Mars.

      Honestly tho, I can't see them shipping food back when we are already paying people here not to grow food. Unless they grow something really outrageous, the transportation costs would be too high to be feasible.

      As for fuel, without a source of biological material, its unlikely that there will be any sort of petrochemicals available. You might find radioactives like uranium or plutonium, but I don't see them shipping that back to Earth. The uproar would be to overwhelming. Remember the outcry when residents in Florida found out that NASA was launching nuclear reactors to power the long range probes?

      The real economic use for Mars, aside from science (possiblity of new pharmaceuticals with a different environment, etc.), will probably be standard metals.. gold, silver, iron, titanium, etc.

      Don't get me wrong.. if there was a chance to go to Mars, I'd be the first on line. But IMHO, its easier, both physically and economically, to start with the moon.

      --
      "I drank what?" - Socrates
    27. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by shotfeel · · Score: 1

      This is not meant in a negative way, but your point was made like a pure computer geek/astrophysicist/rocket scientist -not a word said about the "human" factor.

      In your net energy calculation did you factor in the weight of a year's worth of food vs. a month's?

      Then there's the safety factor. In case of emergency the moon is a matter of days for a return trip, mars is several months.

      Then we can move into the more esoteric areas like the fact that we really don't know what effects a long, isolated trip like that will have on a crew either physically or psychologically.

      So from an engineering perspective, you're right. It makes more sense to go to Mars. From a human perspective I think we need to work out the kinks first from the relative "safety" of the moon.

      Keep in mind (as I stated above) we couldn't even get a "self-sustained colony" (Bioshpere) to work here on earth. What makes us think we can get it to work on Mars or the moon?

    28. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by zero_offset · · Score: 4, Informative

      Actually, Zubrin has you covered there, too. I probably won't do his plan justice with my summary (after all, he wrote a whole book on it), but off the top of my head, here are several safety factors he described.

      First of all, his plan involves sending as much as possible ahead of the manned mission. Beyond the obvious launch of critical supplies, he describes a very cheap system for generating huge amounts of fuel using the Martian atmosphere. On top of that, we'd send the RETURN vehicle to the surface ahead of a manned mission.

      That means you know in advance that you have a return vehicle and fuel already waiting for you -- before you even leave.

      Second, the most optimal trajectory for a Mars mission automatically results in a "free return trajectory" -- which means if something goes wrong, the ship will automatically slingshot around Mars and return to Earth, without any fuel usage or other manuvering input from the crew whatsoever.

      That means the main risks are surviving space itself (radiation, lack of gravity, isolation psychology), landing (this will remain high risk for a long time to come), and living in the relatively harsh Mars environment until the return launch window opens. (I no longer remember the numbers, but that isn't a terribly long wait.) Of those risks, only the last one requires much from a technological development perspective, and we can learn a lot from a very relevant example of survival under similarly extreme conditions: long term nuclear submarine missions.

      --

      Slashdot quality declines as the number of hot grits posts decreases. - Provolt's Law, Apr-09-2005

    29. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Dirtside · · Score: 1

      Unless, of course, the base was located at one of the poles, such that it was always in sunlight (or darkness, depending on where they position it).

      --
      "Destroy science and religion. Science would re-emerge exactly the same; but not religion." - Penn Jillette, paraphrased
    30. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by comedian23 · · Score: 1

      I understand your point, but I have a question for you though.

      If we do have a direct to Mars mission as you suggest it will undoubtedly be cheaper. No arguement there. My question is though, what then? We have one single expensive mission to Mars. OTOH, if we decide to invest in a Moon base first, we could possibly save money over the long run, with many return missions to Mars. A larger initial investment may be worthwhile after enough missions are launched. The Moon's low gravity and no atmosphere would seem like a natural place to build ships, or at least we could mine minerals there and build ships in orbit.

      Just trying to think long term about these things since the investment is going to be colossal.

    31. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by zero_offset · · Score: 1

      The thing is, establishing a base on the moon or on Mars is likely to have similar costs. You'll need shelter and the same living facilities, lots of storage, and a power source (here Mars may be cheaper since it has an atmosphere which could help fuel chemical reaction based power sources). If anything, shelter on the moon will be quite a bit more expensive since the moon is a much harsher environment -- there is less atmosphere (none), much higher radiation levels, greater exposure to metorites and micrometorites, and more severe temperature extremes over longer periods of time. There is also zero practical chance a moon base could be self-sustaining (Zubrin's book does a good job of detailing the critical elements which we've never found traces of in lunar soil). But for the sake of argument, we'll say a long-term Mars base would be roughly equivalent to the cost of a long-term lunar base.

      Beyond the cost of establishing a base, the cost of basic 60s style heavy launch vehicles and other equipment and supplies are roughly the same whether they're destined for the moon or for Mars. Regardless of your long term plans, to get started, quite a lot of stuff has to be lifted off the Earth. (You could invoke the wonders of nanotech, and sure I hope that works out some day, but obviously that isn't a realistic option today. Even our large-scale robotics aren't really up to the task of anything but the most rudimentary construction.)

      On the other hand, it is extremely expensive and complicated to build from scratch: mining facilities, ore transportation, ore processing and refinement facilities, and the myraid processes required to transform the refined output into useful products -- and consider the vast range of materials (to say nothing of finished products) required to build even a modest life support system, let alone a full-blown interplanetary craft with reentry capabilities and whatever else you're looking for. All this effort, and the only thing you REALLY gain is not having to lift a launch vehicle out of the Earth's gravity well -- and you only gain that benefit some day in the very, very distant future, since all this lunar mining is going to take a lifetime to establish.

      The next question is, what progress on Mars could have been made using the same effort that you'd have to expend in order to establish the complicated infrastructure to mine lunar ore and turn it into something useful? At the very least, obviously, you'd already have a Mars base ready to go. If you didn't bother with mining and processing, the Mars base could be fantastically elaborate and still be cheaper and easier to construct and maintain.

      There are other good questions. How much extra offworld manpower would be required in order to make useful lunar mining a practical reality? What would be the cost and labor overhead of supporting that additional manpower?

      How many moon-to-Mars launches would have to follow before you recouped the losses of establishing this elaborate lunar mining and processing operation and started to actually realize any benefits? At that point you'd just be back to zero, presumably finally ready to start on the Mars base. And again, all you've really saved is not having to send stuff out of the Earth's gravity well.

      The value of a moon base just isn't there compared to a Mars base.

      --

      Slashdot quality declines as the number of hot grits posts decreases. - Provolt's Law, Apr-09-2005

    32. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are actually some polar regions, which allways have some sunlight..

    33. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by thentil · · Score: 1

      No, it's not 'possible to knock the moon a bit off its orbit by applying thousands of pounds of thrust to it', or no, it's not 'big enough for there to be no adverse effect?'?

    34. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by geoswan · · Score: 1
      Sorry, that is not how it would work. A base at the pole would have something like six months of sunlight, and something like six months of darkness, just like our Earth's poles. The Lunar north pole is always going to point at the same part of the sky. Just as the Earth's north pole does. And unless that Lunar axis of rotation is at 90 degrees to the plane of the Earth's orbit around the sun the poles will experience seasonal light and darkness.

      Further you realize that your hydroponics would have to be mounted on a vertical surface, to get a meaningful amount of solar energy? And that it would have to be on some kind of turntable, to follow the Sun? You do realize the Sun would appear to move in the Lunar sky, just as it does on Earth, only more slowly?

    35. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Polyzinha · · Score: 1
      You don't need to find water, you can make it with Hydrogen and Oxygen. There's a LOT of Oxygen in the moon's crust, and very likely a good amount of Hydrogen in the regolith deposited by the solar wind.

      There isn't a lot of free oxygen. There are a lot of oxygen atoms in the minerals that make up the rocks and soil, but in order to make water out of it you'd have to overcome some fairly large binding energies. It's the same problem you'd have with making water out of rocks on Earth. There's a reason people in the middle of the desert aren't getting oxygen out of the sand in order to make water for themselves -- it takes a lot of energy. Sure, if you wanted to throw enough solar panels or a nuclear reactor at the problem, you could do it, but the question is, how much energy would you have to put in per liter of water?

      The hydrogen from the solar wind is a separate issue -- it's not that there are zero hydrogen atoms implanted in the soil by the solar wind, but how many acres of lunar soil would you have to go through to collect a reasonable amount? Lunar Prospector's neutron spectrometer was sensitive to hydrogen, and IIRC came up with extremely low concentrations except at the south pole.

    36. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by justanyone · · Score: 1

      I wonder about whether it would be possible to knock the moon a bit off its orbit by applying thousands of pounds of thrust to it.

      No. Remember Newton's 3 laws of motion:
      • Force = mass * acceleration,
      • objects in motion stay in motion unless acted on by an outside force, and
      • never fight a land war in asia.
      In order to push the moon, you'd have to (a) apply force to the moon by pushing it somehow, and (b) have enough force to appreciably affect a mass the size of a small planet (our moon is very large, about 1/6th the mass of the Earth). Thus, 10 guys jumping up off the surface (at 100 pounds apiece, that's 2000 pounds of thrust) will not appreciably affect the orbit of the moon.

      Now, the above discussion of putting a huge mass driver on the moon that throws 1 kg objects at .75 c (way-way-way-way^25 unreasonably complex and expensive) was interesting. Let's have the goal of moving the Moon enough to detect it (let's say an orbit 1 meter higher than the current one). To do that would require a delta-v (change in velocity) of the entire mass of the moon ... of Lots and Lots. Someone want to help me with the math here?

      Lots of zeros involved.
    37. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by another_henry · · Score: 1

      The moon is really fucking big. It isn't going anywhere.

      --
      "Studies have shown that people who eat peanuts live longer than those who do not eat."
    38. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      one thought, distance.

      Arguing current technology it would seem resonable that problems which would occur on the moon would be easier to fix, i.e. supply shipment destroyed send a new one, verses mars. The distance I would say is the biggest problem. The moon does not take 7 months to reach, unlike mars.

    39. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by IceAgeComing · · Score: 1

      OK, where are the visual geeks? The ones who can model the solar system in their heads?

      The moon appears to go around the earth every day, just as the sun does. But it doesn't. So no, the moon is not closer to Mars within every 24 hour period.

      Here are some facts you can use to piece together a 3D model in your head:

      * The sun appears to rise and set at the same time every day on the earth's equator. That's because it's entirely caused by the earth's rotation.

      * The moon rises 45 minutes later every day than it did the day before. That's because the moon is slowly orbiting the Earth in a direction counter to the Earth's rotation.

      * Mars appears to slowly "wander" back and forth along a straight line in the sky from day to day. The line is roughly the same as that traveled by the moon and sun (a happy coincidence that's true for most planets, but not all), and it is called the "plane of the ecliptic".

      So, if my head is correct, the moon is between Mars and Earth once every 28 days.

      More important than the position of the Moon is the position of the two planets relative to each other. Earth's year is shorter than Mars'. They both coincide on the same side of the solar system once every 7 years, I think. And getting to the moon represents less than 0.01% of the trip to Mars; hardly anything distance-wise.

    40. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by IceAgeComing · · Score: 1


      Did I say the moon's orbit is counter to the Earth's rotation? Whoops; it's rotating in the same direction.

      There. Now at least one of my posts is correct about the Moon's orbital direction.

    41. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Finrod1 · · Score: 1

      The Moon is roughly 1/80th the mass of the Earth. The surface accelleration due to gravity there is 1/6th that of earth because the moon is smaller, so the surface is closer to the centre.

    42. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by ikkonoishi · · Score: 1

      Maybe if you applied some large part of 7.36 x 10e22 kilograms of thrust to it.

      The moon is massive.

      You could compare the effect to that of you blowing on your monitor in hopes of moving it.

    43. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Finrod1 · · Score: 1

      From memory, the figures for the round-trip in Zubrin's scenario are: Six months to get there, one and a half years on the surface, and six months to get back to Earth, making for a total mission time of roughly two and a half years. The time spent in space if the free-return option has to be invoked varies depending on what sort of outgoing trajectory is chosen. It is possible to use a little extra fuel to get to Mars a bit quicker, but pouring on the gas means that the aerobraking system is subjected to much greater stress on arrival at Mars. The extra velocity also means that the free-return trajectory will loop further out from the sun, thus increasing the time taken to return to Earth. The optimal trajectory gives a six month flight to Mars with a two year (total time in space) free return to Earth.

    44. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Finrod1 · · Score: 1

      Hi AC. It is certainly true that it takes far less time to reach the Moon than Mars, but this, along with the short communications time lag, are almost the only advantages possessed by the Moon. They are overwhelmingly offset by the Moon's DISadvantages, some of which are: The propulsion requirements for sending a payload to the Lunar surface are higher than for the Martian surface. Approximatly half of the commonly used industrial metals are absent from the Moon's regolith. Plastics cannot be manufactured from the Moon's natural resources. Crops cannot be grown on the Moon, at least not without a massive infrastructure for their protection, including powerful artificial lighting needed to keep them alive during the fortnight-long night. Even with the metals that are present, the moon lacks ready supplies of carbon needed for the smelting process.

    45. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      Whether you go to the moon or mars, you're talking nuclear power. If you stay a while, eventually you're going to send more of it, and since nuclear power has a fairly long lifetime without maintenance, it will be cumulative. You can do solar on the moon but the amount of mass required makes it basically useless - though the thin film solar stuff that's come out lately is pretty impressive, if you could make big flexible grid-wired bundles of solar panel that you could just unroll on the moon it might be enough to make a difference. You can do solar on mars of course, but it's even more useless, so nuclear is a safe bet there.

      The real problem is the hydrogen. As you point out, there is no way to go through huge volumes of soil if that is necessary. Which it probably would be. If you found something you could get hydrogen out of pretty easily, though, it would be worthwhile.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    46. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by shanen · · Score: 1
      First of all, his plan involves sending as much as possible ahead of the manned mission. Beyond the obvious launch of critical supplies, he describes a very cheap system for generating huge amounts of fuel using the Martian atmosphere. On top of that, we'd send the RETURN vehicle to the surface ahead of a manned mission.

      That means you know in advance that you have a return vehicle and fuel already waiting for you -- before you even leave.

      Duh... So what do we need the humans for? If we have the remote robotic capability to prepare the return vehicle without shipping any humans there, we surely have the capability to use remote robots to collect all the desired samples, do the experiments, etc., and then just use the return vehicle to ship the stuff back to earth. Sounds like the people are just there as stunt props.

      Reminds me of like Dubya and the aircraft carrier in San Diego last year. Just more expensive.

      Don't get me wrong. I'm a big fan of real science, and I'd love any chance to go into space on any terms. Heck, I'm crazy enough that I'd probably go on a one-way ride like that guy in Space Cowboys . Depends on the circumstances, I guess. However, I've seen nothing to suggest that there is any real scientific merit for this proposed version of a Mars trip. Seems like someone is just fantasizing about upstaging JFK. "A trip to the moon, eh? Well, we're going to do Mars! How about them apples!"

      --
      Freedom = (Meaningful - Coerced) Choice != (Speech | Beer^2), and sad sock puppets' bad mods avail them naught.
    47. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Casualposter · · Score: 1

      "So what do we need the humans for?"

      People have brains from which comes Intelligence, and observational powers that exceed our best robots. We are flexible enough to change the mission parameters mid-step should we see something "interesting." We can maneuver on a planetary surface much better than robots. Humans can walk across a few miles of variable terrain carrying a lot of weight. We can't get robot vehicles to anything similar. We are the scientists. Robots are merely long distance tools for humans. We are much better at science when we are up close and personal with the subject of our study. We do not possess robots that can perform experiments. We have many machines that can perform tests, but experiments require intelligence. The closer the scientist is to the experiment the better the observations.

      Building a moon base to go to mars has the side effect of building a moon base from which we can do other things. Face it, there are a lot of common folks who would like to be somewhere else and space is a settleable fronteer. We just need to make the transportation and infrastructure available to the general populace.

      The common folk want to go into space for all the usual reaons: because its there, because we'll get rich, or away from some annoyingly oppressive government, etc.

      --
      Creative Spelling Copyright (2002). May use without Persimmons
    48. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      You don't need to find water, you can make it with Hydrogen and Oxygen. There's a LOT of Oxygen in the moon's crust, and very likely a good amount of Hydrogen in the regolith deposited by the solar wind.

      Not only that, but combining H and O gives you energy in addition to water...and the upper few meters of regolith are rich in implanted ions of hydrogen and helium.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    49. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by zero_offset · · Score: 2, Insightful

      CasualPoster sums it up well.

      However -- sending the fuel plant and a return vehicle doesn't require ANY robotic capability. The fuel plant is a ~$45K collection of pipes and chambers and pumps. It has to land safely, open up, and start cranking out fuel. Sending a return vehicle is even more simple. It just has to land and sit there and wait.

      Frankly, I think people who ask, "Why send humans?" lack the basic human curiosity which is behind a great deal of the important things people have achieved throughout history. This is no personal attack on you -- a lot of people have asked that here (and there are a lot of good answers available elsewhere under this article) -- I'm just saying, if you have to ask, you'll probably never understand. And yeah, there is a lot more to it than joy-riding.

      Keep political whining out of this. It isn't interesting or useful to a discussion of the relative merits of the subject.

      --

      Slashdot quality declines as the number of hot grits posts decreases. - Provolt's Law, Apr-09-2005

    50. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Country_hacker · · Score: 1
      Unless we pull a Lando Calrissian and put the base on some kind of moving platform.

      (The book was by Timothy Zahn, I can't remember the title. Lando was mining on a planet that was so close to its sun the day side got too hot to handle, so he put a star destroyer on the backs of some AT-AT walkers and just kept up with the night side. Unrealistic maybe, but then it was Star Wars.)

      --
      Never give any object more potential energy than you want it to have.
    51. Re:Yeah.. Go to the moon... by Tukla · · Score: 1
      I wonder about whether it would be possible to knock the moon a bit off its orbit by applying thousands of pounds of thrust to it.

      Sure! Just look what happened when some nukes were set off to build new housing there. I seen it in that "Time Machine" documentary film that came out a couple years ago.

  2. No by PhuckH34D · · Score: 5, Funny
    Only dust there... If they want dust, they can come clean my house.

    --
    You're old school? I beta tested the motherf***ing abacus!
    1. Re:No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree with "No". "We" do not need a technological challenge to develop new materials and to boost science.

      Solving our hard environmental problems and energy shortages is a very urgent and direct support for human kind. People are more willingly to pay for real solutions in front of their door and to avoid wars for energy.

      Do not feed Airbus, Boing and affiliates until they take interest in ecological themes.
      They cannot even manage to fly with less polution in our atmosphere. This is a *real* problem, not getting to Mars.
      Leave your brains on earth and send if you have to - robots which can stay in the desert and can remain there.
      This would save back-transportation of man from other planets, you need only carriers for samples.

      with European greetings.

    2. Re:No by boltoflightning · · Score: 0


      hahaha yes, you're so right!
      But, we probably WILL. Why?
      Well, I'm sure I don't know. I don't really
      seem to know anything. It seems right though.
      The moon is the closest thing NOT here.
      And isn't it better to take a small step first?
      Plant something on the moon. Could be anything
      I guess, like a Rest Stop on the way to Florida.
      Or maybe the space station is more than enough.
      No need to pull over and get stuck by all that moon-mass...

  3. long term. by bagel2ooo · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Doesn't this, in a way, come down to an issue of long-term goals for space exploration? The costs of putting up a station of sorts on the moon would no doubt be immensely costly. If we just plan to run a few missions to Mars, it really doesn't seem very cost-effective. If someone has solid numbers I'd like to see how the distance moon/Earth would be to further planets such as Jupiter or Neptune. Also how big of a factor is the gravity difference in the long run for travel. If we could turn a station on the moon into a pseudo-colony, I think that would have some nice potential for space travel and perhaps even more affordable space tourism.

    --
    ( o ) one could say I'm rather baked
    1. Re:long term. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      There are a lot of issues associated with long term manned space flight. The minor issues are that the bones become honey combed and weak, the heart has to work harder, muscles waste and the increased radiation causes a large increased risk of cancer.

      Even travelling to a space station in orbit around Earth reduces the protection against the Sun's radiation by half (Earth's magnetic field). On a trip to Mars a craft would be guaranteed to be hit by a solar storm (which occur about every 6 months) and this would most likely be fatal without special shielding (like a big thick lead room). The costs of getting such a tank into space would be high. Without such a tank scientists estimate that every cell in the body of someone on the crasft would be damaged by nastily high radiation on the trip outwards to Mars.

      Creating a station on the moon would be very expensive. As a guide consider that if there were gold in orbit around earth the cost of sending shuttles up to collect it would outweigh the value of the gold at current prices.

      With regards to sending manned flights to Jupiter or Neptune. If someone could survive the radiation on the journey they would most likely not be able to walk when they got back due to bone and muscle weakness and would take weeks if not months to recover.

      Most of this was remembered from a book called Voodoo Science by Robert Park. Don't flame me to contradict, just read the book and flame him.

    2. Re:long term. by Trurl's+Machine · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If we could turn a station on the moon into a pseudo-colony, I think that would have some nice potential for space travel and perhaps even more affordable space tourism.

      Yeah, "if". But what if it can't be done? There is no chance to make an Antarctic colony, where the conditions still are much more friendly than on Moon. I doubt if there is any chance to make anything colony-like on Moon - there is no serious plan how to make water and oxygen on the lunar desert (not to mention food or anything useful). All we hear are Star Trek-like hypothetical scenarios, that maybe there could be some frozen water. Well, what if there isn't? The comparison of the Lunar colonies and the New World colonies of XVI-XVII century is fundamentally flawed - Columbus did not have to carry oxygen from Spain. Heck, he could even repair his ships from the wood found on the new continent. He arrived into a land where human beings can sustain their own living - it was far from uninhabitable desert that we have on the Moon or Mars. We can't have an underwater colony somewhere in the middle of an ocean. We can't have a colony on Antarctic. What makes anybody think we can have a colony on Moon? Is it just because once there was a TV series about one?

    3. Re:long term. by CriX · · Score: 1

      Of course it CAN be done. Why not? We can get there, we can get food there, we can get power and life support systems there.

      There are research bases in Antarctica, there are research bases underwater.

      What are you rambling about??

      Space will become sustainable as soon as it's profitable. We should get up to the moon and lay down some infrastructure for American investors to use to get their entrepeneurial space-based business ventures underway.

      --
      Moderation: +1 pwnage
    4. Re:long term. by AGMW · · Score: 1

      If we are in it for the long haul, and failure just isn't an option, it would seem to me to make more sense to build an orbital space station here (ie Earth) - ISS anyone?). Specialist craft can then hop between terra firma and the space station(s).
      Put a similar station in orbit around Mars, with a bunch of similar 'landers'. Whilst we're at it I'd put a set of GPS/Coms type satelites in orbit around Mars too. Might as well build a decent infrastructure from the ground up when we have the chance!
      Now start a colony on Mars. If there's a problem there's a local backup (the Space Station Crew) who might be able to help. Interplanetary craft can ferry between the two space stations rather more cheaply, and after the first few journeys wouldn't need to carry landing craft etc.
      By all means, do the same to the Moon to colonise it too, assuming there's something worth having there.
      This would obviously be far more costly than some half-arsed "gotta-beat-the-Ruskies" stab in the dark, but if we really want to colonise Mars we'll want all this stuff in the end anyway. Makes sense to me to have the infrastructure at the start when it could be damn useful to the pioneers!

      --
      Eclectic beats from Leeds, UK
      handmadehands.co.uk
    5. Re:long term. by Trurl's+Machine · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Of course it CAN be done. Why not? We can get there, we can get food there, we can get power and life support systems there. There are research bases in Antarctica, there are research bases underwater. What are you rambling about??

      There is a difference between a base and a colony. I don't deny a technical possibility of a Lunar base - just as there is a possibility of an orbital base. However, just as the International Space Station is not a colony, a hypothetical lunar outpost won't be one either. In order to be called a colony, it would have to possess at least some rudimentary independence of the supplies from Earth. And so far this seems unlikely.

    6. Re:long term. by CriX · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If the base becomes profitable it doesn't need independence. I agree with you though that independence from supplies is definately desirable. With an initial nuclear reactor (however silly it seems with all that free sunlight out there) a lot can be done, and all in small steps. I think the lunar regolith is pretty versatile. The 2008 LRO (scroll down to April 2nd piece) will give us a lot of info we need about the resources available to us on the Moon's surface. It WILL happen.

      --
      Moderation: +1 pwnage
    7. Re:long term. by LaCosaNostradamus · · Score: 1

      If we just plan to run a few missions to Mars, it really doesn't seem very cost-effective.

      Yes, that's true, but there's a more basic question here: why go to Mars at all if you only want to do it a couple of times?

      What would be the point?

      --
      [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
    8. Re:long term. by LaCosaNostradamus · · Score: 1

      Oxygen is a major ore fraction of the Lunar regolith. It'll have to be extracted, probably with heat derived from concentrated solar radiation, and/or with electricity from same.

      You may not like "Star Trek-like hypothetical scenarios", but anyone with real intellect calls it ENGINEERING. Just because no one on Earth has to bake rocks to derive Oxygen, doesn't mean it's impossible or even improbable on the Moon.

      What the Moon lacks is the critical volatile Hydrogen. We are contemplating using the big H for fueling cars; surely it's not impossible to ship it to the Moon. It may also be possible to "mine" it from Earth's upper atmosphere. It is certainly possible to grab a passing comet and divert it into Cislunar space to mine its H.

      --
      [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
    9. Re:long term. by sponge_absorbent · · Score: 1

      The ISS is in a low earth orbit and is protected by earths magnetic field. A space station orbiting mars might need considerably more shielding from solar radiation because has very little magnetic shielding. It would probably be more efficient to put your efforts into a self sufficient mars (sub?)/surface station than to have a backup orbital outpost.

    10. Re:long term. by zero_offset · · Score: 1

      "gotta-beat-the-Ruskies"

      The correct spelling is "C-H-I-N-E-S-E". :)

      On all other points we are mostly in agreement, except that I would hijack some of Zubrin's ideas and lay some groundwork by launching fuel-generating plants in advance of anybody actually going to Mars.

      --

      Slashdot quality declines as the number of hot grits posts decreases. - Provolt's Law, Apr-09-2005

    11. Re:long term. by Have+Blue · · Score: 1

      Columbus knew less about the New World than we do about Mars and the Moon. Hell, he didn't even think it was *there*, and if anyone had challenged him he wouldn't have been able to rule out the possibility that it was filled with cannibal giants or fire-breathing dragons or anything. He was lucky it turned out so hospitable, just look at what happened to the pilgrims a few decades later. Unlike him, we have been studying our destination for decades and we'd be going there with specific plans and equipment and ready for as many potential situations as we can.

    12. Re:long term. by VitaminB52 · · Score: 1
      There is no chance to make an Antarctic colony, where the conditions still are much more friendly than on Moon.

      We have cities on Greenland, in Alaska and Siberia. So why wouldn't we be able to put a colony on Antarctica? Technology isn't the problem here, but international treaties against commercial exploration of Antarctica; only scientific stations are permitted.

    13. Re:long term. by Cally · · Score: 1

      Of course it's not cost effective, even if you autioned the TV rights to the highest bidder thats a couple of hundred million dollars _maximum_ income. Oh and the retired astronaut's fees on the rubber chicken circuit, chatshows, ghosted autobiographies etc. To paraphrase Dickens... income, $100m, outgoing: $40b, result: misery.

      --
      "None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free." -- Goethe
    14. Re:long term. by Cally · · Score: 0, Flamebait
      What makes anybody think we can have a colony on Moon? Is it just because once there was a TV series [space1999.net] about one?
      Yes. That's ALL it is. Certain people's brains have been turned to mush by too much exposure to Star Trek, Star Wars and other escapist adolescent male fantasies.

      Oh wait, Dubya's brain's already mush...

      --
      "None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free." -- Goethe
    15. Re:long term. by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      "All we hear are Star Trek-like hypothetical scenarios, that maybe there could be some frozen water"

      Read more. You've badly underestimated the comparison between Columbus's trip and a lunar one.

      "Is it just because once there was a TV series about one?"
      BR In a sense, yes. Just like there was a TV series about a bionic man.

    16. Re:long term. by Amgine0 · · Score: 1

      All the discussion so far leaves out the real reason for the colonies: financial/industrial pressures. The very few colonies in the new world which survived were almost all financial successes from the first. French colonies, for example, expanded from French fish processing encampments of nearly a century's use - they didn't just land in an unexplored/undeveloped location, but at a well-established industrial location and with financial backing. Similarly, we have nearly a half-century of corporate investment in satelites and space-based telecommunications. An industry which is expected to mushroom in the coming century, and one which is very interested in infrastructure investments which don't periodically incandesce in the atmosphere. Piggy-backing on the industrial interests could achieve space colonization, at least in near-space. Justifications for moon base: technology/skill development for working with gravity wells. Potential resources. Justification for orbital base instead: Cheaper, short and long-term. Existing industrial support/interests.

    17. Re:long term. by Moofie · · Score: 1

      You're right. Making some flags and footprints missions to Mars would be silly.

      I want to live there. Permanently.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    18. Re:long term. by llefler · · Score: 1

      I don't think we will go anywhere until we kill the Shuttle. The $500 million launch cost is a complete waste. I read somewhere that it is around $35 million for a Soyuz. Granted, a shuttle is a combined passenger/payload launch, but you could do two launches, one of each, for less than $100 million. So how is this reusable shuttle saving money?

      Until NASA takes a responsible fiscal approach to launches, I don't see how we are going to go much further.

      FWIW, I support a usable space station. Particularly one that could be used as a collection point for Mars launches. (most of your fuel is used getting into orbit) I support robotic missions to the moon for scientific missions, mining, and manufacturing experiments. But not a manned mission unless we have a reason beyond 'sending a man to the moon.' And all this needs to be done before we can expect a successful manned mission to Mars.

      --
      It is amazing what you can accomplish if you do not care who gets the credit. -- Harry Truman
    19. Re:long term. by EpsCylonB · · Score: 1

      Unlike him, we have been studying our destination for decades and we'd be going there with specific plans and equipment and ready for as many potential situations as we can.

      yeah but human beings have been sea faring for thousands of years, we have only been space faring for 50.

    20. Re:long term. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah. YEAH!

      Who do those men think they are anyway!? They should be busy at work earning money for alimony and their divorce settlements.

      So stop standing around looking at the moon and get back to work, mister! Don't you have some checks to write?

      Men. Talking about all these ridiculous ideas when there are women without SUVs. The very idea...

    21. Re:long term. by Trurl's+Machine · · Score: 1

      Columbus knew less about the New World than we do about Mars and the Moon. Hell, he didn't even think it was *there*, and if anyone had challenged him he wouldn't have been able to rule out the possibility that it was filled with cannibal giants or fire-breathing dragons or anything. He was lucky it turned out so hospitable, just look at what happened to the pilgrims a few decades later.

      Agreed - he was lucky, but many explorers were not. How many explorers perished in the far North, trying in vain to establish colonies in lands that turned out to be uninhabitable? The case of Norse settlements in Greenland is a well example of how such overoptimistic colonization project could end. There is actually no reason to hope that the Moon/Mars colonization attempt will go the Columbus/Mayflower way - it could be also Eric the Red way. Personally, I'm afraid the latter seems more plausible.

    22. Re:long term. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      The costs of building an antarctic colony are astronomical, and the interest in going there is minuscule. The costs of building a lunar colony are also astronomical, but lots of people want to go there.

      Now, it is probably easier to put a colony on Mars (given a willingness to use nuclear power) than the moon because there is actually oxygen in the atmosphere and with the proper equipment you can get it out of there.

      It is definitely easier (aside from getting there) to put a colony on either body than to put one underwater on earth, because you only have to deal with 1 bar. Water causes more problems than vacuum. The primary problem with space exploration is the high cost of getting things into space. At this point we should be focusing our efforts on cheap and reliable orbit technologies. Or, on local space infrastructure (READ: Space station designed to do work)

      We could have colonies in the Antarctic, but no one is likely to be interested in spending that much money to send people to an icy wasteland, and I suspect it's forbidden by treaty.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    23. Re:long term. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Umh, the viking settlements were destroyed by humans, they weren't inhospitable at all (specially compared to northern Scandinavia and Iceland).
      In this case, going to the Moon would be safer, less humans to make a mess :)

    24. Re:long term. by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      A lunar colony would have vastly greater resources to draw on, while an orbital "colony" has to have everything shipped to it.

      The regolith contains nearly every element necessary to industrial applications and crop growing (a few trace elements will be needed for crops, but they aren't mass/volume intensive and tend to be self-regenerating once a biocycle is established).

      Come on now, all this stuff has been debated and hashed over many times since the first lunar soil samples came back. For the same investment as the ISS, and if it's done without contractor/bureacracy money bleed, a self-sufficient lunar colony is very viable.

      I do agree somewhat with your other comment - it won't be done (soon, anyway) - but the reason is political, not technical, not even when applied to a self-sufficient colony.

      Assuming we don't cripple civilization here with our idiocy, a lunar colony *will* happen; and if it's done intelligently it could be self-sufficient within a few years of start. Sure, there will be pitfalls - but they are nearly all engineering problems, and ones that we have enough evidence to solve (many have been).

      Anyway, debating this on slashdot is pointless except perhaps for the knowledge share. Then again, it's no more pointless than writing your congress critters is :)

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    25. Re:long term. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm all for as many Americans as possible heading into space. Go as far as you'd like. Keep going. There's so much to see out there, off you go! :)

    26. Re:long term. by olman · · Score: 1

      Yeah, "if". But what if it can't be done? There is no chance to make an Antarctic colony, where the conditions still are much more friendly than on Moon. I doubt if there is any chance to make anything colony-like on Moon - there is no serious plan how to make water and oxygen on the lunar desert (not to mention food or anything useful). All we hear are Star Trek-like hypothetical scenarios, that maybe there could be some frozen water. Well, what if there isn't?

      Good grief. So go and find out! If everyone stopped at "what if it does not work", nothing would ever get done. Including bashing your neighbour's head in with a stick instead of a rock.

      There's evidence of ice out there, so logically next step would be to send probes/whatnot to look for more.

    27. Re:long term. by Planesdragon · · Score: 1

      Or, on local space infrastructure (READ: Space station designed to do work)

      Ding ding ding!

      Behold the reason for a Moonbase. It's a big, solid, predictable base to land on and work from. Oh, and it has gravity to center us, and if we dig we can hide form a lot of the nastyness from space.

  4. Short answer: No. by secondsun · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Should we go to the moon: No. It is expensive and dangerous.

    A more realistic question should be will we go back to the moon: Yes we will eventually.

    People like to explore. Many people died colonizing the Americas, but we kept at it until it stuck. The moon is just the next step in this process. We, as humans, want to learn and explore. We want to go to the moon and to Mars. Because we want to we will eventually.

    --
    There is nothing wrong with being gay. It's getting caught where the trouble lies.
    1. Re:Short answer: No. by AllUsernamesAreGone · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Scene 1: The Docks, Palos, Spain, 1492. Typical nautical stuff. Miscellanous crates, ships, sailors, whores. Nina and Pinta at anchor in the background. Enter Arbitrary Actor and Christopher Columbus.

      Arbitrary Actor: You know Chris, I can't but think that this whole idea of yours is expensive and dangerous.
      Christopher Columbus: Yeah, you're right actually. Sod this, let's go for a pint, someone else'll do it eventually anyway.

      America is not "discovered" for another 50 years, the entire course of recent history is changed, you and I probably don't exist.

      Scene 2: the African Jungle, shortly before the appearance of proto-hominids. Trees, birds, apes. Probably whores too. Swing in two apes:

      Ape 1: You know Ooook, I can't but think that this whole "walking on the ground" idea of yours is expensive and dangerous.
      Ape 2: Yeah, you're right Eeek. I don't think I'll bother, someone else will try it sometime.

      Our distant ancestors do not descend from teh trees. We're still swinging around in thick jungles going Ooook!

      Or put another way: so it is expensive and dangerous. So. Bloody. What? human progress is built on blood, tears and insatiable curiosity. If we can do it now (and we can) why not do it now, while we still have chance.

    2. Re:Short answer: No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      People like to explore. Many people died colonizing the Americas, but we kept at it until it stuck.

      Mostly because of the incredible valuable natural resources that could be turned into wealth back home. Space exploration is different.

      Man's earth-bound exploration was mostly fueled by greed, and there's really nothing worth bringing back from the moon, or mars. Scientific tidbits are fascinating, but they can't be turned into cash.

      -- ac at work

    3. Re:Short answer: No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Colonizing America was different. There were huge benefits to colonizing America. That's why we stuck to it.

      Same reason we infected the blankets we gave to the native american's with smallpox. Dead indians were a benefit.

      humanity isn't fighting to create underwater colonies. we also aren't trying to expand to and explore the artic circle. not as Humanity, at least.

      humanity wants to live well and have a chance at making something of their lives. the "american" dream and all that...

    4. Re:Short answer: No. by mike_mgo · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Alternate Scene 1:

      Contrary Voice: You know Chris, we've invented and tested these amzing new remoted control sailboats. They're unmanned and much less expensive to build, operate and send out than a 3 ship manned voyage.
      We'll still be able to get all of the same information as the manned voayge but at much less expense and no risk of death. The only difference is that you won't be able to make any inspiring speeches or hit any golf balls in a new land.

      Columbus: Oh, umm...see that doesn't fit my particular..umm..(sidekick: idiom sir)...idiom. It's not nearly as manly, adventurous or cool as sailing there myself. So damn the logic, economics and dangers, I'm going anyway.

      ---
      The point is wether or not space should be explored at all. The question is what is the best way to do it. It's not an either or proposition-manned mission or no exploration at all. For everything we can reasonably expect to accomplish, unmanned probes, rovers or orbital telescopes can give us much more bang for our buck given our current level of technology.

    5. Re:Short answer: No. by lost_n_mad · · Score: 1

      Alternate Columbus: And if I only wanted to see their beaches, then those ships would be the way to go.

      What a machine sees and what a man relates with his words and images of a camera that he carries.....well call me crazy all you like, but I'd rather hear, "One small step for Man." than a bunch of engineers in a room going, we should have contact with images sometime this month. It's the DRAMA of exploration. The pitting of man against nature, and people WILL watch.

      --
      TANSTAAFL
    6. Re:Short answer: No. by skarmor · · Score: 1


      Columbus: It'll be awfully hard to pillage the Incas with those sailboats though. Some much for the glory of Spain.

    7. Re:Short answer: No. by Spoing · · Score: 1
      1. People like to explore. Many people died colonizing the Americas, but we kept at it until it stuck. The moon is just the next step in this process. We, as humans, want to learn and explore. We want to go to the moon and to Mars. Because we want to we will eventually.

      All we have to do is;

      Find heathen moon "people" or convince some televangelist that there ARE heathen moon people (they'll believe anything anyway, or will for a buck).

      Make up stories about cities or mountains of gold or platinum

      ...and we'll have colonies on the moon in a decade.

      (Seriously, though, where are the millions of willing and lonely green or blue women -- the kind that Kirk kept shagging? If they ain't there, someone should whip them up in a vat and ship them there! Now that I look at it, a few mountains on the moon are obviously made of some precious metal....)

      --
      A firewall can not protect you from yourself. Turn off what you do not need. Do not use the firewall to do your work.
    8. Re:Short answer: No. by distributed · · Score: 1

      Or put another way: so it is expensive and dangerous. So. Bloody. What? human progress is built on blood, tears and insatiable curiosity. If we can do it now (and we can) why not do it now, while we still have chance.

      I just hope thats why we/they are doing it. Perhaps instead the propaganda is working. Public opinion, u see.

      Alternate Scene 2:

      Phd 1: hey you know i really love all these alpha beta releases from the uranium
      Phd 2: i know dude they are totally cool.
      Phd 1: yeah... and if i can get a critical mass of purified U-235 together a chain reaction could start... we could solve the entire worlds energy problem
      Phd 2: hey but isnt it dangerous.. we could even end up blowing up the world.
      Mr. iSuck Politician: did some one say blow job the world.. ?
      there goes hiroshima... nagasaki.

      Evolution and Adventure are not community Phenomenon. They are individual struggles. In this case.... ??

      correct me if i am wrong....
      --
      [all generalizations are untrue except this one]
    9. Re:Short answer: No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Holy! punctuation.

    10. Re:Short answer: No. by distributed · · Score: 1

      oh yeah..... Man AGAINST Nature...
      The same nature that is been responsible for our miseries right ??
      shucks... come on we dont really need to go against ! It could be better put like.... Man in his desire to know more about nature and learn from its genius.

      This is just one hell of a debate.

      --
      [all generalizations are untrue except this one]
    11. Re:Short answer: No. by mike_mgo · · Score: 1

      I understand the advanture and emotional side of exploration. But in that case, and not to sound harsh, but pay for it yourself. Don't spend tax payers money just for drama and adventure. That's not what governement should be around to do. If the only reason to have the additional expense of a manned mission is for people to WATCH the DRAMA of exploration then let FOX do a reality TV show. Otherwise I'm perfectly happy with NASA sending out twice as many robotic probes all over the solar system. NASA and the goverment shouldn't be doing this just to stoke our ego.

    12. Re:Short answer: No. by gravelpup · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Voice-over narrator:
      So the robot boats went and did their exploring. Some came back, some didn't. And the people were very glad they had not sent humans on such a dangerous trip. Plus, the robots were much cheaper anyway. They had plenty of gold to spend on better printing presses so the children could learn to read, and better cobblestones for the streets so the people could go to the market in comfort. They even cured the Black Death. Everyone was happy in their comfortable utopia.

      450 years later, a little German guy with a funny mustache starts a ruckus and wipes out all of European civilization*, and the little robot sailboats across the scary sea weren't much help.



      *Some of you may not find this such a bad thing. That, however, is outside the scope of this analogy.

      --

      Things are more like they are now than they ever were before.

    13. Re:Short answer: No. by mog007 · · Score: 1

      Evolution isn't about choice, it's about survival. If the entire planet were to suddenly become something like the movie "Waterworld", the human race would most likely perish, and so would a lot of land based creatures, with the exception of insects, amphibians, and reptiles. Would you be able to suddenly sprout gills because the time called for it? Of course not, you'd have a kid that would have gills, and that kid would outlive all the other kids around the block.

    14. Re:Short answer: No. by mt_nixnut · · Score: 5, Insightful
      There a two kinds of people that space exploration appeal to it seems.

      1. Basement geeks
      2. Thrill seeking, somewhat crazy, adventurers.
      Basement geeks only care about the science and are very frightened by the risks. And adventurers have no interest in pictures they want to touch it with there own hands and look back at Earth with there own eyes and say HA! I made it! Eat my shorts space!

      These two personality types have never really gotten along. I mean, lets be honest. The one group spent their early years giving atomic wedgies to the other. Now that their grown up I don't think either group has fully forgotten that relationship.

      I don't think this is an either/or proposition. In the first quest for the moon both personalities were put to use. Both are needed still in my view.

    15. Re:Short answer: No. by mike_mgo · · Score: 1
      That's why this argument with analogies is pointless to begin with, the situations are so unique that the kind of comparisons we are making are just silly.

      The point isn't to send out probes, get the info back and say, "Oh that's nice. Now let me get back to fighting some religious wars" (funny how things stay the same 500 years later). If something worthwhile is found, whether it's life, water, useful ores or whatever, then by all means, send people if there is a good reason.

      I can also come up with what-if scenarios. What if there were microbes living on the moons of Jupiiter or the atmosphere of Venus, or some evidence about the fundamentals of physics that would only be apparent with the next generation space telescope? But instead of learning about these in the next decade it takes us another 40 or 50 years because all of our space exploration money is tied up in a manned mission to mars for the next 25 years.

      I'm not saying humans should never go to Mars, but for right now, what's the point? Adventure is what most people in this thread seem to be saying. To me a much better argument for sending humans is their adaptability to changing conditions (conduct a test that engineers didn't plan for). Personally, I don't see this as a sufficient reason since we could send out additional cheap probes even if there were say a year lag time. What's the rush? But at least this is a better argument than drama, adventure and human spirit.

    16. Re:Short answer: No. by Spoing · · Score: 2, Interesting
      The motivations of both groups are left out of your examples. It's as if they both are borred and didn't have a care in the world.

      CC's life drove him to promote his idea and to secure funding. The idea that there was a western passage to India and the Far East (Japan, China, ...) wasn't new or too strange even at the time. People had tried it many times before and failed (and some suceeded, though that is another research project).

      Chances are, if he didn't go West, he would have struck out on an alternate shipping route...and in short order, others would have attempted the trip West.

      In the case of the hanging around in trees group, maybe the trees were going away? The crazy idea would have been to insist on staying in the trees, not leaving them (even if for a short while).

      In the case of the Moon or Mars, if the risk is worth it to a group or individual the risk will be taken. Since many people and groups are comfortable enough to be borred, chances are that there will not be a serious effort to put people on either world. If that changes, or if there are groups that are currently motivated, I'd expect that the situation to change. Till then, it's going to be a waste of money since nobody cares much about the outcome beyond a week or two of excitement. Remember the public apathy that the last couple Apollo missions encountered and what happened to the funding for future missions.

      --
      A firewall can not protect you from yourself. Turn off what you do not need. Do not use the firewall to do your work.
    17. Re:Short answer: No. by secondsun · · Score: 1

      #
      # Make up stories about cities or mountains of gold or platinum


      Radioactive isotopes commonly found on the moon are rare and valuable on Earth. A single successful mission could fund the next 20.

      Simple, confusing, probably true, promising, and profitable.

      --
      There is nothing wrong with being gay. It's getting caught where the trouble lies.
    18. Re:Short answer: No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know! Make the moon into a penal colony! Hell, that'd probably make a great story.

    19. Re:Short answer: No. by michael_cain · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Arbitrary Actor: You know Chris, I can't but think that this whole idea of yours is expensive and dangerous.
      Christopher Columbus: Yeah, you're right actually. Sod this, let's go for a pint, someone else'll do it eventually anyway.

      It's not the same thing. Columbus was not running a scientific experiment or a "voyage of exploration." It was a fairly coldly-calculated commercial undertaking, even if a somewhat risky one. He could honestly answer the question by making several points:

      • Except for the religious zealots, we all know that the world is round. Heck, the ancient Greeks made estimates of the diameter as a geometry exercise. Ocean sailing has its dangers, but falling off the edge of the world isn't one of them.
      • The transport technology is well understood. Portuguese sailors currently cover the same kinds of distances I'm talking about. It's not "routine", but it's clearly possible.
      • On a national scale, this is NOT an expensive undertaking. If I'm successful, the value of the cargo I will bring back ON THE FIRST TRIP will cover the entire cost.

      Granted, if Columbus had done his sums right on the circumference, he probably would not have made the attempt, as the resulting open-ocean voyage would have been beyond the reach of the technology of the day. As others have pointed out, much of the expense of doing things in space is the cost of getting significant masses as far as LEO. As I have written before, if the government wants to see us make a go of things in space, spend the money to develop cheap ways to get to LEO. If you could get stuff that far for, say, $2 per pound, all kinds of things become quite affordable and practical.

    20. Re:Short answer: No. by gravelpup · · Score: 3, Insightful
      The point of my analogy was the insurance argument: it's not good to leave all our eggs in one basket. Sooner or later some cosmic event is going to turn our planet into extra-crispy toast and I don't want to be here when it happens.

      Your point, which I understand better after your follow-up, is that we shouldn't be primarily motivated by the "because-it's-cool" factor, and we might as well let our technology develop to the point where we could go *if* we found a good reason. That's a better argument than just saying "too expensive and too dangerous." The only problems I have with it are 1) the insurance argument and 2) technology will develop much faster with an actual goal (i.e., put humans on the Moon in 10 years) driving it, and might never develop without one.

      Your answer to 1) might be that we can't put a number on the risk of sudden extinction, to know whether it would be justified to focus so many resources on the problem. Your answer to 2) might be, what's the point of developing the tech in the first place, if we don't really *need* it?

      These points will be debated on Slashdot and elsewhere until that asteroid comes along and squashes us all, I guess.

      --

      Things are more like they are now than they ever were before.

    21. Re:Short answer: No. by Simonetta · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      We, as humans, want to learn and explore.

      Strap on you Kevlar, line your helmet, and go out and explore the slums of your own city.

      We have far too many problems here on earth to justify wasting so much money on space exploration. At the present time, space exploration is just welfare for misguided engineers and techno-warlords.

      We should wait for two or three hundred years before doing any money on space nonsense. Let the space freaks content themselves with virtual reality simulations and big-budget hollywood productions.

      Here in the real world, we have far more important things to deal with.

    22. Re:Short answer: No. by LeoDraco · · Score: 1

      What if the only way in which our technology develops is through manned exploration? Call that silly, if you will, but different perspectives on problems do tend to lead to solutions faster. I realize you're arguing against what-if scenarios, but they go both ways, you know...

    23. Re:Short answer: No. by Des+Herriott · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Maybe the robots weren't much help, but those Inca orbital platforms made short work of the little German guy and his tanks!

      (outlandish... but who knows would have happened if Europe had never colonised the Americas?)

    24. Re:Short answer: No. by LeoDraco · · Score: 1

      I'd rather have my tax dollars being pumped into manned space exploration, rather than some idiot Texan's Holy War...

    25. Re:Short answer: No. by tarius8105 · · Score: 1

      Sooner or later some cosmic event is going to turn our planet into extra-crispy toast and I don't want to be here when it happens.

      Or atleast the exploration will help develop technologies for an early warning system that'll allow us to use some new weapon to destroy the incoming rock. Thats my view on things

    26. Re:Short answer: No. by default+luser · · Score: 1

      More like this:

      Phd 1: hey you know i really love all these neutron releases from the uranium. Let's tell the entire world physics community.

      Phd 2: i know dude they are totally cool.

      Phd 1: yeah... and if i can get a critical mass of purified U-235 together a chain reaction could start... we could solve the entire worlds energy problem. Let's tell the entire world physics community.

      * WWII starts *

      Phd 2: hey but isnt it dangerous? We could even end up blowing up the world.

      Phd 1: yeah, but what's even worse, all scientists the world over now know that Uranium is fissible. The Germans and Japanese are probably working on a bomb as we speak.

      Phd 2: let's get the US scientific community to inform the US government. We need to have a weapon before the Germans do, or we've already lost.

      Mr. iSuck Politician #1: it isn't proven. Get lost.

      Mr. iSuck Politician #2: it costs too much. Get lost.

      Mr. iSuck Politician #n: Okay, okay, we'll build the damn thing.

      there goes hiroshima... nagasaki.

      Don't blame everything you hate in this world solely on the government. It took 40 years of atomic research around the world to crack the secrets of fission, and it took the real threat of the weapon being used on us to build one.

      --

      Man is the animal that laughs.
      And occasionally whores for Karma.

    27. Re:Short answer: No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      will we go back to the moon

      .. but we haven't been yet :)

    28. Re:Short answer: No. by jafac · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Columbus had a viable technological solution at the time.
      So did Oook and Eeek.

      We. Do. Not.

      It's not just expensive. It's really really frickin expensive.
      Should we just throw up our hands and give up?

      Of course not. But the money should not be spent today on a glory shot. It should be spent on R&D towards developing the technology to make moon and/or mars colonization viable. Technology like:

      1. Much much much much much cheaper and reliable launch technology.
      2. Faster and better propulsion technology.
      3. A more sane life-support technology than "more air tanks".
      4. A sane plan for dealing with radiation.
      5. Better knowledge and study of how to counter the effects of extended periods in micro/zero/low gravity. - and/or a realistic artificial gravity.

      In the 1930's, rocket scientists dreamed of being able to launch things into orbit. But rocket technology simply was not capable of it at that time. There's a HUGE difference between an A-4, and the first orbital-capable rockets. And just because the Germans had an intercontinental bomber drawn up on paper in the early 1940's doesn't mean that it would have worked (it would have burned up and damn quick).

      Giving up on X-33 was a bad move towards the above goals.
      Giving up on ALL space research, except that which gets us to the moon and mars for the "glory-shot" is a bad move.
      Pumping huge sums of money into an ill-advised Missile Defense boondoggle, instead of slow and methodical R&D drive for the above technologies, is another error of colossal proportions.

      We were on the wrong track before. But now with the Bush plan, we're nowhere near the right track. A glory-shot is fine and dandy for national pride, but it accomplishes NOTHING if we can't effectively exploit resources on the moon and mars.

      If you want to draw up historical parallels, look at the "Native Americans". They crossed over a land bridge, or glaciers from Northeast Asia. And were cut off from their cultural source. Because they did not have the technology to maintain communication and trade contacts. Their "colonization" of the Americas is not regarded as a huge cultural achievement.

      There were several anchors, of Chinese design, many hundreds of years old, found off the coast of California. Yet there is no other evidence that they landed, or stayed very long, or settle,d, or colonized. It's little more than an academic curiosity.

      Few people know or care about Leif Ericson's settlement in Vineland, in the 10th Century.

      Columbus got all the glory. Because HIS journey was feasible. Not only did he GET to the New World, but they were able to build sustainable settlements, colonize, conquer, and prosper. Columbus had ships that were more reliable, protected sailors better in storms, and for longer periods of time, carried more supplies, more cheaply.

      The Native Americans, Chinese, and Vikings can brag all they want. But real change resulted from Columbus.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    29. Re:Short answer: No. by fenix+down · · Score: 1

      Phd 3: Seriously, I'm not letting you touch any more radioactive material until you quit talking like 12 year old girls.
      Phd 1: omg u meenie!
      Phd 2: u suck so bad.

    30. Re:Short answer: No. by fenix+down · · Score: 1

      Except, conveniently enough, demand for those isotopes is also incredibly rare.

    31. Re:Short answer: No. by Moofie · · Score: 1

      America can fund a Mars colonization mission for less than we spend on going to the movies.

      Stop pretending like we're talking about a lot of money. Want to save the Federal budget? Unfuck Social Security and Medicare. Getting rid of space exploration is like spitting in the ocean.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    32. Re:Short answer: No. by shotfeel · · Score: 1

      We'll still be able to get all of the same information as the manned voayge

      Problem is, I don't buy that premise.

      IMO a single geologist could gather much more, and more relavent information in a much shorter period of time. I also believe that geologist would gather much different information than a probe. That geologist could "scope out" more territory in a few minutes than a rover (at least today's rovers) can in their lifetime. The human geologist could cover a vast amount of territory is a short time period and put together a much bigger picture of "the lay of the land".

      The bottom line is a human is the most advanced and versatile scientific instrument we know of. Problem is its also more fragile in some ways and less expendable than "mechanical" instruments.

    33. Re:Short answer: No. by mike_mgo · · Score: 1

      Who said anything about getting rid of space exploration? I just question on what type of exploration we're spending it on.

    34. Re:Short answer: No. by Moofie · · Score: 1

      It's not possible to explore with robots. Can you do useful science with robots? Sure. But exploration means sending people. Period.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    35. Re:Short answer: No. by fredmosby · · Score: 1

      Of course not. But the money should not be spent today on a glory shot. It should be spent on R&D towards developing the technology to make moon and/or mars colonization viable.

      You're exactly right. That's why Bush is proposing a plan that puts a base on the moon before we go to Mars. The goal is not a "glory shot" if he wanted that he would have supported the Mars Direct plan. The goal is the long term development of a space infrastructure. First by developing a base on the moon, then by using that base, or the technology from that base to go to Mars.

    36. Re:Short answer: No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "There a two kinds of people that space exploration appeal to it seems.

      1. Basement geeks
      2. Thrill seeking, somewhat crazy, adventurers."

      This is an inaccurate generalization. The two groups are not mutually exclusive.

      In my case, I have been programming since 1980, I'm a fully qualified electronic technician, and like many on /., I devour all the physics and chemistry articles I can find. That would make me a basement geek (if I didn't work in an attic).

      But on top of that, I've played in bands (and set myself on fire deliberately as part of a stage act numerous times, unharmed, thanks to my knowledge of chemistry), I've done stunt work for films (including being hit by a moving car, unharmed, thanks to my knowledge of physics and martial arts training), I've come into contact with high voltages on numerous occasions (as any electronic tech has; it is frequently impossible to trace faults without an energized circuit), and I have met many programmers, web designers and even an ISP owner through the rock climbing scene.

      Does this make me a thrill seeking, somewhat crazy adventurer? Damn straight it does. It doesn't make me a suicidal looney, though, because I analyze and mitigate the risk in all of these activities (I climb with ropes, I use chemicals with low flash points, I keep one hand behind my back so the current path isn't through my heart, etc. Not all simultaneously, obviously).

      Would I go into space if the opportunity arose? Hell, yes, but not on NASA's flying death-trap. It's simply far too complex to be reliable, partially because engineering took a back seat to politics (remember, the only reason the SRBs had "O" rings in the first place is because the contract was awarded to a company 1000 miles from the launch site). I believe that if the NASA administrators responsible for risk management were forced to fly on the things, we would have a fleet of twenty flying a weekly service with not a single fatality, or no shuttle at all.

      "I don't think this is an either/or proposition. In the first quest for the moon both personalities were put to use. Both are needed still in my view."

      The last thing you need in space is a reckless, thoughtless idiot; such a character could jeopardize an entire mission, not just themselves. Being scared is vital for coming out of situations alive, because it makes you focus on the dangers, avoid the stupid risks, and minimize the unavoidable risks. The Apollo astronauts were courageous, undoubtedly, but they were also cautious and intelligent.

      While many geeks (myself included) would like to see the mindless "jock" types shot into space (permanently), they are the worst kind of personality you could ask for in a life or death situation, because they usually opt for death; witness the Darwin awards.

    37. Re:Short answer: No. by prisoner-of-enigma · · Score: 1

      Should we just throw up our hands and give up?

      Of course not. But the money should not be spent today on a glory shot. It should be spent on R&D towards developing the technology to make moon and/or mars colonization viable. Technology like:

      1. Much much much much much cheaper and reliable launch technology.
      2. Faster and better propulsion technology.
      3. A more sane life-support technology than "more air tanks".
      4. A sane plan for dealing with radiation.
      5. Better knowledge and study of how to counter the effects of extended periods in micro/zero/low gravity. - and/or a realistic artificial gravity.


      You're correct in all your assumptions, but you're missing the overall point here. Why would anyone want to develop technologies one through five? What possible motivation could an aerospace company have to spend all the money and time necessary to research something like item two, a faster propulsion technology? It wouldn't be useful for launching satellites, it would only be useful for interplanetary jaunts. Ergo, if no one is planning interplanetary jaunts, no one is going to research better engines for those jaunts. Classic chicken and egg syndrome.

      However, if we establish a permanent presence on the moon, regardless of how humble it might be, there'll be a need for regular runs between Luna and mother Earth. The need to conduct this in better safety, with faster turnaround times and lower costs, would spur propulsion development. Necessity is the mother of invention.

      History is replete with examples of such things. Better sail technology gave way to steam engines not because people wanted to build steam engines but because faster travel was economically better. The trend would continue if we'd just let it.

      --
      In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
    38. Re:Short answer: No. by Sanga · · Score: 1

      Godwin (*) strikes yet again!

      Couldn't it have been a planet killer meteor/asteroid that wipes out the robot senders??

      (*) http://www.catb.org/~esr/jargon/html/G/Godwins-Law .html

    39. Re:Short answer: No. by shadowbearer · · Score: 1


      I *loved* this thread. Great analogies, guys. You should get together and write a alternate history novel (not sarcasm!)

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    40. Re:Short answer: No. by shadowbearer · · Score: 1


      3. Those of us who have wanted to do it because we feel it's important, and because we'd enjoy the challenge.

      Many of us are getting awful old... but there are plenty to take our place. Maybe not with quite the fire of the older dreamers, but with better tools and the benefit of the knowledge the older dreamers bought.

      No offense, but I think you're being a bit narrow in your analysis - or maybe you just haven't personally known any really serious space advocates. But then again, I have to confess that it was easier being a space geek :) when I was growing up then it now. One doesn't have to deal with so much flamage, anyway (usenet in the 80s)

      Sigh.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    41. Re:Short answer: No. by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      Oh, *very* well put. I do have one minor beef with your post:

      On a national scale, this is NOT an expensive undertaking. If I'm successful, the value of the cargo I will bring back ON THE FIRST TRIP will cover the entire cost.

      I suspect that C's backers knew very well they were taking a huge risk. At the time, given the economic realities of the trade routes available, they thought the risk worth taking. The thing is, it didn't really start paying off for decades, until more expeditions had taken place. So it was a very long term risk, and if they had known that, they may not have made the effort. Hard to say.

      To contrast that, we know that with a serious effort we can make space exploration pay off hugely (asteroid mining, for one ex); we're not quite operating as blindly as C's backers did. We've already sampled what's on the other side, so to speak; we have information that Columbus did not.

      It's lack of political and public will that's stopping us now (and other problems, but that's really outside the scope of this argument; Spain in the mid 1400s had much the same problems)

      As with all historical analogies, all of ours suffer from differences in the local gestalt...

      Cheers!
      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    42. Re:Short answer: No. by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      I agree with most of your post, but Holy Cow...

      Columbus had a viable technological solution at the time.

      Huh? On frail wooden ships subject to destruction by storms, crewmen subject to scurvy and mutiny; on a voyage with no definable destination other than the idea that one could reach India (which was wrong, and if C's backers had understood what the Greeks had shown about the circumference of the earth, he would never have been funded for it!)
      No.

      So did Oook and Eeek.

      Bad analogy from the beginning in the other post. It wasn't about risk or exploration, back then, it was about survival and there was no thought about risk or discovery or riches or anything else. Eeek.

      Of course not. But the money should not be spent today on a glory shot.

      THAT I agree with. We need to build our infrastructure in space on step at a time - and I don't think that an orbital station is really all that useful when it comes to solar system exploration, except as a staging point to assemble spacecraft - which the ISS is not. A serious lunar base could be a great staging point, tho - mainly by giving us a resource point that doesn't have the depth of Earth's gravity well.

      Sure, it's expensive. Opening a new frontier will always be...but in the past such costs have been more distributed, and right now we're putting our eggs in too few baskets.

      Great post, BTW.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    43. Re:Short answer: No. by mt_nixnut · · Score: 1
      Your all taking my comments way to seriously. It was actually an attempt at humer with a couple of musings about the adult effects of childhood roles thrown in just to spice up the conversation. I am amazed it was modded insightful rather than funny.

      I'm not sure if I am enough of a dreamer to qualify in your book but I am old enough to remember early space travel first hand and I miss it especially the attitude that we had about it then. Probably what inspired me to write what I did now that I think about it, is the kind of clinical (for lack of a better word) approach to the subject by a lot of these "we don't have to go space with people" wieners that seem to dominate the discussion whenever it comes up. It seems to me that a lot of people are only interested in data. Data is great but we will never get people excited about exploration with data alone. And that includes me. I love looking at the rover pictures and so on but man I would rather listen to someone who had been there tell about it. (at least in my view, disclaimer, disclaimer, etc,etc)

      Have a good one!

    44. Re:Short answer: No. by juhaz · · Score: 1

      You're correct in all your assumptions, but you're missing the overall point here. Why would anyone want to develop technologies one through five? What possible motivation could an aerospace company have to spend all the money and time necessary to research something like item two, a faster propulsion technology? It wouldn't be useful for launching satellites, it would only be useful for interplanetary jaunts.

      Item one is very useful for satellite launches and would certainly be a gold mine for whoever developed it.

      Item two does not (yet) appear to have quite as much use, but better propulsion technology helps robotic probes too, this doesn't need manned missions as a motivation.

      Need for items 3 trough 5 that are solely useful for manned exploration are somewhat lessened by item 2, but indeed would not be advanced if there would not be need.

      I'm all for manned exploration, just wanted to note that two of those five would continue to develop even if there is only robotic exploration going on, and one even if there isn't even that.

    45. Re:Short answer: No. by michael_cain · · Score: 1
      It's lack of political and public will that's stopping us now

      Now there you may be onto something, although I would have expressed it in terms of decisions about what we want to spend money on. Compared to the 1960s, we (as a group -- sometimes living in a democracy is a bitch) have made some of the following choices:

      • We would rather live in larger houses, farther out in the suburbs, have all of the roads that entails, and have a third car. Home ownership is at an all-time high. The average house built today is 50% larger than the average from the 1960s. In some states, the number of registered vehicles now exceeds the number of licensed drivers.

      • Despite the larger house, we would rather spend a good chunk of our income so that Grandma can live out her old age in her own house, or live in some sort of care-provided housing, rather than have her come to live with us and have us take care of her as she becomes infirm. The government is the transfer vehicle, and if you look at Social Security accounting, roughly 12% of younger people's income is going to the "collective" Grandma.

      • We would rather buy that third car or a second DVD player than save. Heck, we would rather borrow money so that we can buy that third car or DVD player -- household debt as a fraction of income is at an all-time high. The average person has to make a decision to give up something if they want to spend on outer space.

      • We would rather pay an increasingly large fraction of our income for health care. It's nice that you can have a knee replaced rather than hobble about on a cane for the rest of your life (approx 280,000 knees replaced last year). But knee-replacement surgery is a lot more expensive than a cane.
    46. Re:Short answer: No. by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      That's also a great way of looking at it; although by "will" I meant public interest in kicking our space program into high gear, you make very good points.

      Guess I don't belong to that "collective we", tho; I've never lived outside of what I need to live and a couple of relatively inexpensive hobbies (computers and hiking). I'm what my depression-era Grandmother calls "frugal" :) Out of debt, live on as little as possible, and don't care for nor need a huge house, expensive toys, or three DVD players (?)
      Funny thing about my family is, while my grandparents were always very frugal, the generation after them weren't, but all my siblings and nearly all my cousins are frugal, although most of them have college educations and pretty decent jobs. We often wonder what that means...

      I admit to some bewilderment at people who need need need to have the latest, greatest, and biggest, and pour themselves into debt hell to get it. Some I've met (PT carpenter, work on some of those houses) express amazement when I tell them how I live. *shrug* I tell them (tactfully) that I think they're crazy to put themselves in debt like that, and amazingly, many of them agree with me.

      Like you said, it's all in one's priorities.

      As to giving up something for space; well, I donate time trying to teach people about astronomy and posting on forums; and I donate the rough equivalent of 40 cases of beer every year dollar wise. So... although I make much less than most of those people (lower middle income, by choice, I went to college), I see no reason why they couldn't contribute - if they wanted to. So there's the public will part.

      In truth the most pleasure I get out of life is helping people fix things in their homes that they can't fix themselves - sometimes for as little as a smile and a "thank you".

      I'll be giving my charity dollars this year to Rutan, methinks :) - in addition to our local library and the Salvation Army.

      Political will is a whole 'nother matter...

      Cheers
      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  5. The Moon by coulbc · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It makes sense to test the technology that will be used for more advanced Mars missions. Also, if there is a problem, the chances of being rescued are much greater.

    1. Re:The Moon by donnyspi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think the moon and Mars are different enough that using the moon as a Mars test ground is a bit like beta-testing Longhorn on a Pentium I.

    2. Re:The Moon by pknoll · · Score: 4, Insightful
      materials-rich moon

      The moon is not rich in materials. It's largely dust and rock, not easily mineable metals etc. There is Helium-3 to be had, but (currently) we don't need that for anything.

      One of the reasons we haven't been back to the moon since Apollo is that we didn't find what we were looking for - raw materials.

    3. Re:The Moon by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not really. We still need launch capacity no matter where we go. We still need the ability to land (that will differ in each case; aerobraking vs. powered landing). We still need the ability to handle surviving in a can for a time. We still need the ability to build a shelter in a foreign world with little resources. Perhaps more importantly, Luna could be used to test automated systems that will help us on mars.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    4. Re:The Moon by Blastercorps · · Score: 1

      No, as far as rescue goes the moon is as unreachable as mars. A mission to a "close" locale as the moon is still a huge endeavor. If it were possible to whip up a rescue mission on a moment's notice then we wouldn't have this debate over whether to go to the moon at all.

  6. I'd go for Moon over Mars by meringuoid · · Score: 5, Insightful
    A mission to Mars is probably going to end up being footprints-and-flags, a wildly expensive waste of time. I doubt anyone's seriously going to fund a Martian colony at this time, not with a supply chain so long.

    If we go back to the Moon, there's more chance that we can go to stay. Supplying a Moon base will be expensive, but not ridiculously so. It's something that could reasonably be done now, without year-long flight times and teradollar budgets.

    --
    Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    1. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by datadood · · Score: 5, Informative

      I belive that resupplying a Moon base would be as expensive as resupplying a Mars base and could even be more. The main cost is boosting mass out of Earth's gravity well which you have to do in both cases. To land something on the moon you also have to carry propellant to decelerate to rest on the surface. Landing something on Mars you at least have the option of aerobraking, reducing the amount of mass that needs to be sent. For supplies, cost would have little to do with flight times.

    2. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by caswelmo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think it's more a question of using "steps" to get to Mars rather than trying it all at once. There are numerous extra challenges we must face to go to Mars over and above what we must face to go to the Moon. Increased cosmic radiation, long travel times, increased communication lag, etc., etc. Establishing at least a preliminary base on the Moon would allow us to sort out some of those challenges before sorting out the rest.

      Is it more expensive to do things in steps? Of course. But then, it's more expensive to develop computer chips in small increment improvements if all you're trying to do is get to 100 GHz. Why waste all that time & money on the steps in between? Because they are value added & achievable goals.

      That's how I think of a return to the Moon, just a value added & achievable goal on the way to further space exploration. Mars is really the same way. It is probably the most difficult goal we have set for ourselves right now, but I'm sure it will be just another stepping stone to something greater.

      Also, I don't know if you've noticed, but American engineering skill & drive in the aerospace field is not what it used to be (trust me, I'm one of them). Most intelligent and driven young people are now going into the technology or computer sector, which is fine. We also don't have the USSR breathing down our neck trying to beat us to Mars. Bottom line, we don't have the ability to pull off another Apollo type engineering miracle. Some steps might just be a good idea, even if they are expensive.

      But hey, I'm just a rocket scientist, what do I know.

    3. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by Ironsides · · Score: 1

      How about we just make the Moon Base entirely self sufficient so we don't have to supply it. More expensive upstart cost, but more sustainable and cheaper in the long run. Then, we can use the moon as a staging platforms for going other places. With it's smaller gravity well, it is a lot easier to get stuff off of it. Doubly so with no atmosphere to speak of. Plus, we should be able to get raw meaterial from the moon to build ships to get to build ships to get to Mars.

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    4. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by Mycroft_VIII · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Whether to go to the Moon again or Mars is largely dependant on WHY.
      But all other things being equal, the are very good reasons for choosing a over b. You pick which is a and which is b.
      Mars for one has at least a little atmosphere and magnetic field (damn little, but compared to the moons none...) and enough gravity to reduce the negative effects of low gravity to much more manageable levels, also your more likely to build somthing self supporting there (if you've got H20 your almost halfway there).
      On the other hand the moon is much closer, and the potential in-flight radiation risk is much less. And communications would be much easier. Rescue missions to moon would only be slightly more a pro moon stance due to the set up time to launch such mission.
      I don't remember all the details, but the pro moon and pro mars people were seriously debating this a few years ago (late 80's-early 90's?). I do recall both sides had so many good arguments it was no where near a clear issue.
      Way I see it the Moon would be easier and cheaper, and quicker. But Mars would be so much more rewarding in just what we would have to come up with to make the trip.
      Personally I say do both, considering even modest estimates show a far better economic return than gam^h^h^h the stock market or many other investments.

      Mycroft

      --
      https://signup.leagueoflegends.com/?ref=4c3ed6600b6ea
    5. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by amightywind · · Score: 1

      ...Landing something on Mars you at least have the option of aerobraking, reducing the amount of mass that needs to be sent.

      I have heard this point made lately. What is its source? Doesn't the larger size required for a Mars ascent rocket and the large delta-v required to establish a return Mars/Earth transfer orbit require vastly more energy than a return lunar orbit? It seems to me that if you want the ultimate low energy exploration target we should be sending manned missions to nearby asteroids.

      --
      an ill wind that blows no good
    6. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by Paulrothrock · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yes, but on Mars you have the option of launching a return vessel with empty fuel tanks and filling them up with native materials when you get there. No such luck on the moon.

      --
      I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
    7. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by ovatto · · Score: 1

      Most of you propably already know this but China has it's own plan setting up a moon base.

      "Our long-term goal is to set up a base on the moon and mine its riches for the benefit of humanity"
      -Chinese space official Ouyang Ziyuan, quote from here

      Considering Chinas political views I'm a little sceptical how this will "benefit humanity".. But maybe thats just me.

    8. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Worse yet, Mars is loaded with all sorts of natural resources. It will need a minimal amount to be shipped there for a colony.

      Luna will need constant re-loads for as long as we maintian a colony there. Worse, if we find water there, it sounds like we will simply use it for fuel to Mars. What a waste. It should be used for living on the moon. It will need water and O2 just to survive.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    9. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by WindBourne · · Score: 1
      What is its source? Doesn't the larger size required for a Mars ascent rocket and the large delta-v required to establish a return Mars/Earth transfer orbit require vastly more energy than a return lunar orbit?

      Everybody misses the real answer. Do not come back. Send people to Mars to live out their lives. Once, we have a colony going, then we can start doing return trips. But at first, a return trip is wasted energy.

      Now as to a return trip from the moon, well, everybody is making it way to dificult. That is the time to consider using a rail-based launcher or the space ladder for the send-off. Luna has low gravity and low fuel. It is the perfect place to use alternative approachs. Even perhaps use nuclear engines.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    10. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Insightful
      It's extremely illogical and the "option of aerobraking" exists with the Moon as well.

      Is there some new technology that allows aerobraking without the aero? Or perhaps, you hit the enter key before you could hit the delete key?

      I do wish that we had an ability to mod somebody down for bad info. There is far too much of that.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    11. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You forget that the Moon has no atmosphere, whereas Mars has CO2 in abundance. With 19th-century chemistry, we can turn 6 tonnes of liquid H2 into enough water and breathable oxygen for a two-year stay, and enough methane and oxygen to fuel a return trip. If we go to the moon, however, we have to bring all of our mass with us, and are much more likely to be constrained to "footprints and flags." Dr. Robert Zubrin's book The Case For Mars outlines a "Mars Direct" mission using Apollo-era technology with a few more modern updates to launch a series of reliable, safe, and high-scientific-value missions to the Red Planet. In the book, he makes an amazing case for why the Moon is a waste of time.

      I attended his talk at the 20th International Space Symposium last week, and both he and Sean O'Keefe (head of NASA) outlined how this can be done within the framework of NASA's current budget. "Wildly expensive" only comes into play if you decide to build an orbiting space dock and assemble a giant Star Cruiser with nuclear-electric engines.

      As for supplying a moon base, where will they get
      1) food?
      2) water?
      3) oxygen?

      And don't forget the 2-week day/night cycle that makes growing plants on the moon impractical. Mars has a near-Terran day, seasons, and an atmosphere that plants would thrive in. Intuitively, you're right: the moon's closer, it should be simpler. Read Dr. Zubrin's book, and you'll realize that you've got a lot of misconceptions.

    12. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The moon has a very thin atmosphere.

    13. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by b-baggins · · Score: 2

      Really? The truth is, we don't know because we haven't explored more than a tiny fraction of the moon, and we haven't done any kind of drilling or core samples. Maybe the guy who postulates that hydrocarbons do not come from organic sources is right, and we'll find the moon full of oil (and please, no stupid Bush/Cheney/Haliburton jokes).

      The truth is, we just don't knnow enough to be making these kinds of conclusions.

      It's not water that's the issue with the moon, it's hydrogen. If we can find any kind of hydrogen present, we have the resources we need, since we know oxygen is present.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    14. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by superdan2k · · Score: 1

      A mission to Mars is probably going to end up being footprints-and-flags, a wildly expensive waste of time.

      I'd advise you to examine Robert Zubrin's Mars Direct program concept, which is the current NASA baseline for a manned Mars mission. The profile calls for a 1.5 year stay on the surface of Mars, which should provide considerable time for science and about five minutes for flags and footprints.

      --
      blog |
    15. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by b-baggins · · Score: 1

      The lunar crust is full of oxygen. Getting 6 tons of liquid H2 to the moon takes a lot less time than getting it to Mars, assuming we even have to. The solar wind may have already deposited lots of hydrogen into the lunar regolith already. We just need to go and do more than gather a few rocks. We need to drill, take core samples, put orbital surveyors in place, etc.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    16. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by b-baggins · · Score: 4, Informative

      And don't forget the 2-week day/night cycle that makes growing plants on the moon impractical.

      Good grief. You talk like we're going to plant crops on the lunar surface. They're called greenhouses, and you close the blinds every twelve hours. At night, you flip on the growlights. Sheesh.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    17. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The solar system has a very thin atmosphere. (Look it up, there's at least one hydrogen atom in every square foot)

      We're talking about aerobraking. For these purposes, the moon does not have an atmosphere. If you feel like arguing with this, go ahead, and please go on to explain how people can breath in Earth's orbit too.

    18. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by zero_offset · · Score: 1

      Agreed, it's a great book: The Case for Mars

      --

      Slashdot quality declines as the number of hot grits posts decreases. - Provolt's Law, Apr-09-2005

    19. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by Chairboy · · Score: 1

      The moon's 'very thin atmosphere' can slow your descent in the same way that 'very small rocks' can float.

      It's not enough, not by a few orders of magnitude.

    20. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by SB9876 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You seriously underestimate the amount of power needed for this. If you're trying to grow actual crop plants for food, the power required to keep them growing theough the 2-week nights is tremendous. Remember that ordinary plants require about 1 kW/m^2 to function properly. The sort of nuclear reactors that are being proposed for these missions (100kW) are enough to light up a patch of vegetables with the footprint of a small house.

      Also, the intensity of the sun and the unfiltered radiation would be deadly to plants, requiring glass several inches thick. Some sort of mirror system would probably be required, further adding to the complexity.

      However, since it's likely that the lunar base will be at the South pole, there are peaks there that are in sunlight 24/7. I suppose that a greenhouse fed by mirrors could be set up there.

    21. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by SB9876 · · Score: 1

      Hmm, yet another Slashcode irritation...
      That should have read ( 100KW)

    22. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by moltar77 · · Score: 2

      Do you honestly think that they would go through all the trouble of sending people to Mars without thinking of putting a geologist or two on board? A few moments of human observation can reveal things that neither of the two rovers will find in their entire journey (Disclaimer: IANAG). Although to your credit, I'm sure that a great deal of their time would involve maintenance just so they can survive.

    23. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by meburke · · Score: 1

      Going to the Moon would be my first priority. Call me paranoid, but if China sets up a military base on the Moon without our having a presence there, we will be at a major military disadvantage.

      Second, the spinoffs should be beneficial. AFAIK the NASA mission to the moon is the only government program that put more into the economy than it took out. However, I wouldn't trust the government of any single nation (or consortium, for that matter) to derive the most benefits from such a program.

      After we establish ourselves on the moon, the development of some type of constant acceleration system for interplanetary exploration should be cheaper and open the way to practical missions within the solar system.

      Think about it: Travel time to Mars would be about 50 days under a constant acceleration of only 1/100 x G when Mars is within the 60,000,000 mile proximity. This is a practical time period for even human exploration of Mars. It took about 2.5 months to travel by ship from Europe to the New World in the 15th and 16th centuries, and trade with Asia from the East Coast took a couple of years. Let's go for it!

      --
      "The mind works quicker than you think!"
    24. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by b-baggins · · Score: 1

      1 kilowatt/m^2?!? That's equivalent to full sunlight in Death Valley. If that were true, we'd never grow anything north of the 30th parallel or outside of a desert environment. There are many plants that grow fantastically well in shade.

      Trust me, flourescent grow lights require far less than a kilowatt to run and illuminate a whole lot more than a square meter of ground. A more realistic number is about 40 watts per square meter.

      Glass several inches thick is no problem. You are aware that most of the moon's surface is composed of various silicates, right? Great for making glass.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    25. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by Indiana+Joe · · Score: 1

      You can always lithobrake.

      --
      I can't decide if this post is interesting, funny, insightful, or flamebait.
    26. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by Finrod1 · · Score: 1

      Yep. Doesn't anyone remember the parachutes on the Lunar Module? You could see them on TV after the landings, drapped over the rocks and flapping gently in the breeze.

    27. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by rhuntley12 · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry if this sounds stupid, but for us laymans can you explain aerobraking a bit?

      I think I know what it is but I could be wrong. Like using something like a parachute to slow you down? And it's only possible on mars because it has somewhat of an atmosphere where the moon doesn't? If that's just what it is I feel like an idiot already.

      Thanks.

    28. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by shadowbearer · · Score: 1


      Huh?

      The lunar regolith is full of oxygen bound up in various metals (aluminum oxides being one) and also full of bound and unbound hydrogen (mostly H3 from the solar wind). On Luna we also have a higher percentage of sunlight ( closer, no atmospheric attenuation, plus we could build a base near the poles to take advantage of nearly fulltime solar energy to power machinery and crack the elements out of the minerals).

      On Mars we have... chemically bound materials in rocks, and a extremely small amount of oxy available from the atmosphere.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    29. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      You deserved an Informative mod for that.

      Bottom line, we don't have the ability to pull off another Apollo type engineering miracle.

      We do, it's just being diverted to other things... :(

      But Sagan put it really well: "Small moves..."

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    30. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up.

      Not to mention that the grandparent poster doesn't seem to realize how impurities in glass can be used to filter and polarize sunlight.

      Gah. You'd think that he'd never worn a pair of polarizing sunglasses.

      I'm not even going to address the grandparents' arguments about power, he seems to be assuming we'd put a base on the moon at the friccin lunar equator, rather than at the poles where there is nearly 100% sunlight.

      How do these guys get modded up? Ignorance running rampant...well, not everyone is as interested in this as we are, I guess.

      Great post, b-baggins. Been to Death Valley, once. :) Although for some plants (IIRC tomatoes & some legumes) it's closer to 60 watts/m^2. But that's just being pedantic :) (Oh, and peppers...can't live life without peppers... :)

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    31. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As for supplying a moon base, where will they get
      1) food?


      In the beginning, bring it from Earth. Small moon base does not really take THAT much food. If it gets larger, grow it there.

      3) oxygen?

      From rocks, there's plenty of oxygen in there.

      2) water?

      We already had the H2, right? Oxygen as well. Burn, baby burn.

      And don't forget the 2-week day/night cycle that makes growing plants on the moon impractical.

      When the night comes... you turn on the lights, duh. You know kind of like they do down here, in the darker latitudes.

      atmosphere that plants would thrive in.

      I don't know the relative carbon dioxide content in atmospheres of Earth and Mars, but the 7 millibar pressure will probably have something to say about that thriving.

    32. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      You are correct. A parachute - and heat shielding.

      In theory you could land the shuttle on the earth with no heat shielding at all - in the same way that you would land on the moon.

      You'd just need the same size rocket that currently puts the shuttle in orbit in the first place, and of course another MUCH larger rocket to get the shuttle plus the huge payload of fuel into orbit.

      Then, instead of flying at Mach 20 into the atmosphere the shuttle would do a 3G decelleration in orbit and a powered decent all the way down to the surface. It could float down to Earth at a nice reasonable rate, generating almost no heat in the process.

      Of course, the fuel needed to do this would make a shuttle mission cost probably 100 times what they currently cost, which is why aerobraking is used.

      The same goes for sending probes to other planets. The probe meets the planet going incredibly fast (no choice here, it has to be moving fast enough to break out of the earth's solar orbit, and as it nears the destination planet it accellerates even more due to gravity). If you don't do something to slow it down, it will be deflected by the destination planet's gravity, and then just fly off in some random direction never to return (it has more than escape velocity). To slow it down you can either carry a lot of fuel and use it to slow you down, or you can direct the probe just deep enough into the planet's atmosphere that it is slowed just enough to be captured into a highly eliptical orbit. Than on each orbital pass you re-enter the atmosphere to slow yourself down into the final desired circular orbit. Then you fire thrusters to raise your orbit out of the atmosphere. In theory you could do the whole thing in one pass if you had enough heat shielding.

      The current Mars probes enter the atmosphere using heavy shielding, then switch to parachutes, and then use retro rockets at the last minute to slow themselves down. (Parachutes don't slow you down enough to land since the Martian atmosphere is thinner than on Earth).

    33. Re:I'd go for Moon over Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Very interesting, thanks for the explanation.

  7. It depends by eclectro · · Score: 5, Funny

    Should we go back to the moon?

    Only if they can use the old sets. I don't think we should spend any money on new movie sets.

    --
    Take the cheese to sickbay, the doctor should see it as soon as possible - B'Elanna Torres, "Learning Curve"
    1. Re:It depends by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But think of all the more money they would pocket if they could just use the old sets.

      Then you could still see it was faked.

      10 billion dollars out the window in that scam.

      Now, with this new fangled computer technology, you could pull a much more convincing story. I know, lets go to Mars! That ought to be good for a trillion.

      Why is it if someone lies to a group of people to get their money, he is a con-artist. But when an elected official does it, he is a politician.

      We need better databases to track the people to make sure they don't stop volunteering their tax money for the next big rip off. Some RFID tag implants would be good too.

      Wake up Sheeple!!! Pay your fair share(socialism) because not to is unpatriotic.
      '1984' lives on.

    2. Re:It depends by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Check out the new RFID tags from Matrics. It looks like a swastika! Matrics is a subsidiary of the globalist Carlyle Group. I can't wait till these things are in everything!

      boycott walmart!
      //brain

  8. mining the moon for hydrogen-3 by polished+look+2 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Yes, going to the moon would be nice and if we mine it for hydrogen-3 it will also be profitable.

    1. Re:mining the moon for hydrogen-3 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      if we mine it for hydrogen-3 it will also be profitable

      Profitable for what, exactly?

      You're assuming that we will have a working fusion power generation industry to which it would be profitable to sell a gas hauled all the way from the moon.

      You're also assuming said fusion industry would need hydrogen-3.

      How likely are both of these?

    2. Re:mining the moon for hydrogen-3 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That article is all about Helium-3, not Hydrogen-3 ;)

    3. Re:mining the moon for hydrogen-3 by The_Mr_Flibble · · Score: 1

      No, we can store all our radio active waste there.

    4. Re:mining the moon for hydrogen-3 by th77 · · Score: 3, Informative

      It's helium-3, not hydrogen-3--you gotta get your fad science straight if you want to convince anyone... And what exactly should we do with the helium-3 until we actual achieve practical fusion power generation (in 30-1,000 years)? Just store it in tanks? That kind of long-term profit potential won't get you very much support.

      --
      Your favorite sig sucks
    5. Re:mining the moon for hydrogen-3 by turgid · · Score: 1

      More importantly, there is also a source of a unique and highly-valuable soup although, Shrub may have to send in the army to defeat the Clangers who have the whole supply bought up under exclusive contract. They might have to use nukes to defeat the soup dragon though.

    6. Re:mining the moon for hydrogen-3 by turgid · · Score: 1

      Sorry, wrong planet.

    7. Re:mining the moon for hydrogen-3 by AGMW · · Score: 1
      And what exactly should we do with the helium-3

      Perhaps we could insist that anyone who's angry about anything has to talk with a lung-full, thus reducing both (all) sides of the argument to fits of laughter and ushering in the First World Peace.

      --
      Eclectic beats from Leeds, UK
      handmadehands.co.uk
    8. Re:mining the moon for hydrogen-3 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you mad, man? Don't you know storing nuclear waste on the moon will eventually make it go critical, and blast the moon out of the earths' orbit?????

    9. Re:mining the moon for hydrogen-3 by Zordak · · Score: 1
      And what exactly should we do with the helium-3 until we actual achieve practical fusion power generation (in 30-1,000 years)?
      Duh, we build more and bigger bombs! Why, is there some other practical use for fusion?
      --

      Today's Sesame Street was brought to you by the number e.
    10. Re:mining the moon for hydrogen-3 by firew0lfz · · Score: 1

      And FFS, lets also put a damned telescope replacement on it for the Hubble!

      Best seat in the universe!

      --
      Try not to let life get in the way of living.
    11. Re:mining the moon for hydrogen-3 by shadowbearer · · Score: 1


      Since about 100 million tons of regolith must be heated to about 1400 deg. F to get one ton of helium 3,,,4000 tons of hydrogen, 10,000 tons of nitrogen, 20,000 tons of carbon and 54,000 tons of sulfur will also be obtained.

      The regolith contains 4 thousand times as much hydrogen as helium3

      Get your own facts straight.

      Oh, and nitrogen, even. Useful in greenhouses and as atmosphere mix :)

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    12. Re:mining the moon for hydrogen-3 by th77 · · Score: 1
      Except... polished look 2 (the OP of this thread) talked about "hyrdrogen-3," getting the name for "helium-3" wrong. And s/he meant helium-3, because the linked article talks about its potential for fusion (which we still can't accomplish; I believe there was a recent article saying the next serious attempt would be ready for a first try in 2014).

      Aside from nit-picking your nit-pick of my nit-pick (nit!--no, you're doing it wrong, it's ni!)... that's a very interesting link you've provided. I wonder how expensive it is to separate and store the gases (esp. the nitrogen) from the moondust exhaust. And 100 million tons sounds like a damn lot of rock to cook. I hope we can't see the results from Earth for a while. Maybe we'll dig underground and use the space for living quarters, which would make sense for structural and shielding reasons anyway.

      --
      Your favorite sig sucks
    13. Re:mining the moon for hydrogen-3 by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      Well, not to ni! again :) but you don't have to do a hundred million tons at a time...not sure on expense, but I'm sure we could cobble up machinery to do it. Expense isn't really going to be an issue, anyway - it's gonna cost like hell just to ship it there, so one would ship the best equipment one could build.

      I've always thought that the most inexpensive way to start a moonbase would be a set off a few underground nukes - as clean as possible - and when the caverns formed had cooled build in those. Sure beats hell out of pushing dirt on top of canisters.

      As for my nitpick, I just wanted to make sure that everyone knew there was plenty of hydrogen there, also.

      Man, I just don't get it. All those resources waiting to be used there and we're wasting money on the ISS. *bangs head on wall*

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  9. No, no, no kids.... by Himring · · Score: 2, Funny

    The Moon should be off limits. We all know that The Watcher lives there....

    --
    "All great things are simple & expressed in a single word: freedom, justice, honor, duty, mercy, hope." --Churchill
  10. Forget the moon as well. by Serious+Simon · · Score: 2, Funny

    Let's go to the beach and have a beer.

    1. Re:Forget the moon as well. by ForestGrump · · Score: 1

      but im only 20!

      --
      Is it true that more people vote for the winner of American Idol, than vote for the president? -Ali G.
    2. Re:Forget the moon as well. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then move to Europe where you can drink when you're 18. Anyway, the pub's closer than the beach and there's less peer pressure to get one's beer belly out for public display.

    3. Re:Forget the moon as well. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Take some advice from an old man, 20's too young to be looking for a wife.

  11. Been there...... by sniperwo1f · · Score: 1

    ....done that, or have we?

  12. Exploring by millahtime · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "Many people died colonizing the Americas, but we kept at it until it stuck"

    Back when the Americas were colinized death was acceptable where today just 1 death can derail projects. Death is no longer seen as an acceptable loss so safety is something to be taken into high consideration.

    "We, as humans, want to learn and explore."

    We humans do want to explore but shouldn't we explore what's in our own back yard. This would help us not only learn but let us test our methods before we take a long trek to another planet.

    1. Re:Exploring by MrRTFM · · Score: 5, Insightful

      today just 1 death can derail projects
      This is a very good point.
      There are probably hundreds of high rise construction workers killed every year that we dont hear about; but any space related failure is instantly worldwide news. The problem is that they dont weigh it up with all the successful missions.

      Space exploration is dangerous - as we (worldwide) do more missions we'll get better, but until then there will probably be a high death/success ratio - just like any new frontier.

      --
      You can't expect to wield supreme executive power, just because some watery tart threw a sword at you
    2. Re:Exploring by EachLennyAPenny · · Score: 1

      Back when the Americas were colinized death was acceptable

      Especially since they died for the possibility to live there.

      The Antarctica is a warmer and nearer place to live in compared to the moon.

    3. Re:Exploring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Back when the Americas were colinized death was acceptable where today just 1 death can derail projects. Death is no longer seen as an acceptable loss so safety is something to be taken into high consideration.

      We're all going to die.

      Might as well die trying to do something other than trying to squeeze as many seconds as possible out of sitting in a cube farm.

    4. Re:Exploring by BiggerIsBetter · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Can't NASA set the public's expectations realistic ally? Or perhaps the politicians are the ones who need to accept it? Or is it just the media that goes "w00t! new story!" and hypes it all into a NASA's biggest failure yet.

      People will die pushing these kinds of boundaries, and that's part of the cost of exploration. Yet for some reason it's seen (by who I'm not sure...) as a failure. It's not a failure as long as we learn something from the process, and those that get involved know the risks they are taking.

      --
      Forget thrust, drag, lift and weight. Airplanes fly because of money.
    5. Re:Exploring by distributed · · Score: 1

      I totally agree...
      Seen from a returns point of view the same amount of money invested in earthly(or earth orbital) projects should give better returns. There are tons of more immediate problems here waiting to be solved. Then on top of it there is the question of manned missions to mars... I am not saying that these missions are absurd but only this that more importance should be given to the more deserving projects.

      Perhaps instead we should try to improve the way to launch satellites, find newer techniques of space propulsion, utilise space better from an communication and remote sensing point of view.

      Lets clean the mess we have made in our backyard instead of looking for newer places to colonize. We have even trashed mt. everest.

      Although locating another more technologically advanced race during the mars/moon expedition wouldnt really hurt... ;) unless its the good old world domination story again.

      --
      [all generalizations are untrue except this one]
    6. Re:Exploring by Paulrothrock · · Score: 1

      Funny thing: NASA has never lost an astronaut in space. All accidents have either been in launch, reentry, or in testing. So, statistically, astronauts are safer in space than they are on earth! (But that's probably because we've never really been in space that long.)

      --
      I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
    7. Re:Exploring by CrazyTalk · · Score: 1

      True, but not exactly surprising. Thats kind of like saying no one has ever died falling off a building, just when they hit the ground. Unless you are struck by a meteor or something, just sitting there in space is realtively not hard. (Of course, there was a close call on Apollo 13) Taking off and landing is the hard part.

    8. Re:Exploring by Isao · · Score: 2
      I can't believe you wrote that. Death is no longer seen as an acceptable loss... You have got to be kidding.

      Thousands died constructing the Panama Canal. Race car drivers die periodically. Hundreds of US soldiers have died in Iraq (and many more Iraqis).

      Yes, we shy from death-creating situations, and work to minimize risks. But derail a project? Not above the PTA level.

    9. Re:Exploring by mrtroy · · Score: 1

      No doubt.

      I like how a bunch of people sitting in cube farms are commenting on whether or not we should explore the moon and is it worth 1 person dying.

      How many people died exploring the seas? How many people then thought they were *CRAZY* for doing so, because europe was obviously the center of the earth/universe.

      Who cares if a million people die in the process of us becoming successful in space, its the next step.

      And yes, I would be one of them. Even if my chances were slim.

      --
      [I can picture a world without war, without hate. I can picture us attacking that world, because they'd never expect it]
    10. Re:Exploring by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      "Death is no longer seen as an acceptable loss so safety is something to be taken into high consideration."

      Really? Perhaps you should read some statistics on the number of deaths just maintaining bridges.

    11. Re:Exploring by DeepBlueDiver · · Score: 1

      "[...] today just 1 death can derail projects. Death is no longer seen as an acceptable loss [...]"

      Yeah! This is why cars where banned long time ago, along with cigarettes and invading other peoples land just to grab their oil.

    12. Re:Exploring by shayne321 · · Score: 1
      There is a public consensus that lives lost in the process of doing something "necessary" are okay, as they died doing something worthwhile.. Whether it be building a highrise or fighting a war in iraq, the members of the public that think the highrise or war are necessary are willing to accept the cost of lives to reach a goal...

      The public as a whole doesn't think space exploration is "necessary", therefore they deem any lives lost as a preventable trajedy.. Which is a shame. Those involved in space exploration know the risks and go into it voluntarily. Obviously every reasonable effort should be made to protect them, but there ARE going to be failures. If we can consider a soldier dying in iraq a hero who died fighting for what he believed in why can't we look as astronauts the same way?

      --
      Today I didn't even have to use my AK; I got to say it was a good day -- Icecube
    13. Re:Exploring by Moofie · · Score: 1

      "Exploring what's in our back yard" is a contradiction in terms.

      Exploration is dangerous, and valuable. I'd be fascinated to hear a historical counterexample.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    14. Re:Exploring by llefler · · Score: 1

      How can NASA set public expectations realistically when they expect to wage wars without casualties?

      --
      It is amazing what you can accomplish if you do not care who gets the credit. -- Harry Truman
    15. Re:Exploring by llefler · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Hundreds of US soldiers have died in Iraq

      But Americans don't consider those acceptable. You're talking about a situation where the public has been made to fear that if they don't do this, we'll lose 3000 more people to another Trade Center. Better to send troops to kill those nasty terrorists than risk getting blown up at the mall.

      Watch some commercials. How many are telling people that 'if you don't buy our product, this -bad thing- might happen to you'. We scare people to sell things.

      Nobody is afraid of space. So they aren't willing to pay to see someone blown up on national TV.

      --
      It is amazing what you can accomplish if you do not care who gets the credit. -- Harry Truman
    16. Re:Exploring by shadowbearer · · Score: 1


      Damn, that's a very good way of putting it...but replace "they" with "media/opinion" and it's spot-on.

      We can expend many hundreds of casualties trying to export our brand of political idealism to other regions, but quake at expending a few to explore a whole new and tremendously promising frontier.

      The ghosts of the pioneers who opened the west in the 1800s have to be laughing at us. It's shameful.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    17. Re:Exploring by juhaz · · Score: 1

      Maintaining bridges is hardly a very public project with millions of people watching every second from tv.

      It kind of makes difference. No one cares about deaths they don't know about.

    18. Re:Exploring by TummyX · · Score: 1

      And the public has also been made to fear that Bush is a nazi and by going to war we're going to lose much more than we gain. What if it works and the world is more peaceful because of it?

      By your standards, the US should never have saved Europe from Nazism and Fascism.

    19. Re:Exploring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ~3500 people die every *day* in car accidents, on the way to the supermarket or from work. They try to achieve nothing except to live a normal life.

      Comparing to that, what are the lives of 10 volunteers who execute probably the most important strategic move ever done by humanity?

    20. Re:Exploring by llefler · · Score: 1

      You haven't been paying attention to history have you? No country governed by christians is ever going to pacify that particular region. That is, short of nuking them into the stone ages. And I'm not even sure that would do it.

      And besides that, explain it to the families of the 600+ (and rising) dead soldiers. Oh, and have you been watching the news this week? We are about to get 're-engaged' just to keep from getting run out of Iraq completely.

      Now tell me, where are the WMD and the link to Al Qaeda? Remember Al Qaeda, the ones that actually flew the planes into the Trade Center? The ones whose leader is Osama, not Saddam, and their nationality tends toward Saudi and not Iraqi.

      And this isn't even close to Europe in either war. Remember, Europe was already at war when we joined in. And in both cases it was in reponse to an attack on American citizens. You do remember Pearl Harbor don't you? How about the Lusitania? (even though it was just one of the reasons/excuses for pulling us out our our isolationism) Tell me, were there any wars in the Middle Eastern region before we attacked Iraq? Israel doesn't count, the Americans and British carry a good deal of blame for that too.

      But the whole point was; the American population is not willing to risk lives for space exploration because they are not afraid of it. It's not going to bomb their malls or take away the precious fuel from their SUVs.

      BTW, you make too many assumptions about my standards. Maybe you just take sending our citizens off to die a little to lightly.

      --
      It is amazing what you can accomplish if you do not care who gets the credit. -- Harry Truman
    21. Re:Exploring by TummyX · · Score: 1


      You haven't been paying attention to history have you? No country governed by christians is ever going to pacify that particular region. That is, short of nuking them into the stone ages. And I'm not even sure that would do it.


      The British managed to keep that region in check for quite a long time. They handed back soveriegnty as a reward for helping out in WW1/WW2.


      besides that, explain it to the families of the 600+ (and rising) dead soldiers. Oh, and have you been watching the news this week? We are about to get 're-engaged' just to keep from getting run out of Iraq completely.


      Many of the families know and understand the sacrifices they have made. Please don't try to imply otherwise.


      Now tell me, where are the WMD and the link to Al Qaeda? Remember Al Qaeda, the ones that actually flew the planes into the Trade Center? The ones whose leader is Osama, not Saddam, and their nationality tends toward Saudi and not Iraqi.


      Ofcourse osama was revoked his Saudi citizenship because they weren't happy with them. Iraq is an important step in the war on terror. Success in Iraq will be a major blow for the terrorists.


      And this isn't even close to Europe in either war. Remember, Europe was already at war when we joined in. And in both cases it was in reponse to an attack on American citizens. You do remember Pearl Harbor don't you? How about the Lusitania? (even though it was just one of the reasons/excuses for pulling us out our our isolationism) Tell me, were there any wars in the Middle Eastern region before we attacked Iraq? Israel doesn't count, the Americans and British carry a good deal of blame for that too.


      That's my point exactly. Had the world not been so complacent, millions could have been saved. The Bush administration understands this.


      But the whole point was; the American population is not willing to risk lives for space exploration because they are not afraid of it. It's not going to bomb their malls or take away the precious fuel from their SUVs.


      And yet the American population is one of only three who have put man into space and live in a country which has the most advanced and forward looking space program. Funny that.

    22. Re:Exploring by llefler · · Score: 1

      I suspect this is futile, you're too busy campaigning to be bothered with facts, but....

      Somehow I feel like this has become a process of doing your research for you.

      Iraq Timeline


      The British managed to keep that region in check for quite a long time. They handed back soveriegnty as a reward for helping out in WW1/WW2.


      The British gained control over Iraq during WWI and gave them their independence in 1932 although it has been argued that they maintained control through a puppet dictator until WWII when they became no longer financially capable. At that point the US stepped in to try our hand at empire building. Prior to WWI they were ruled by the Ottoman Empire.

      And you are saying we should follow the British example for ruling?

      An example of British rule

      "In 1921, Britain imposed a new monarch on Iraq - Faisal, "a king who will be content to reign, but not to govern," in the words of a British Foreign Office bureaucrat. The subsequent mass uproar was suppressed in brutal massacres in 1920-4. The brutality of British rule was captured in an infamous quote from Winston Churchill, who said "I do not understand this squeamishness about the use of gas. I am strongly in favor of using poisoned gas against uncivilized tribes."

      I don't know anything about that group, so I searched a little further and found this on GreenPeace.org

      Greenpeace

      "The first use of weapons of mass destruction in the Middle East was by British forces in 1917, at a time when Britain occupied territory that was later to become Iraq. Chemical weapons were used in the process of welding the Kurdish north, the Shia south and the Sunni tribes around Baghdad, into an invented Iraqi 'kingdom' to control the region's oil. Winston Churchill, then Colonial Secretary, found "turbulent tribes" of Arabs were fighting this imperialism with some success and encouraged the use of chemical weapons. There was some opposition to this in Whitehall but Churchill wrote: "I do not understand this squeamishness about the use of gas. I am strongly in favour of using poison gas against uncivilised tribes.""

      What city would you like to gas first?

      In the end you have the British 'ruling' Iraq for a period of roughly 15 years. And during that period they used poisoned gas to suppress revolts whose purpose was self rule. I guess the dead were peaceful and the rest were too afraid to complain.

      Of course osama was revoked his Saudi citizenship because they weren't happy with them. Iraq is an important step in the war on terror. Success in Iraq will be a major blow for the terrorists.

      Here is a quote from a 'Special Press Summary' from the Virtual Information Center. I found it by searching FirstGov for information on 9-11

      911 Highjackers"

      From their web site:

      "The Virtual Information Center (VIC) is a six-person cell that conducts research among public domain materials for the CDR U.S. Pacific Command (USPACOM) and his staff. The assessments generated by the VIC's researchers are disseminated to the headquarters staff and many other recipients as part of the VIC's situational-awareness mission."

      In the section titled:

      Saudi Crown Prince To Visit Moscow

      "Fifteen of 19 hijackers in the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks were Saudis."

      Add Osama to that and you have 16 out of 20 were Saudi citizens. Yet we chose to attack Iraq, their neighbor.

      I'm too lazy to look it up, it should be easy to find, but recently several experts on terrorism, and Al Qaeda in particular, have stated that all we have done with our unfocused 'war' is decentr

      --
      It is amazing what you can accomplish if you do not care who gets the credit. -- Harry Truman
    23. Re:Exploring by TummyX · · Score: 1

      No one should believe the Iraq war was to avenge 9/11 so I don't get your Saudi argument. If they were Saudis but not supported by the Saudi government, what sense does it make to attack Saudi simply because it was their place of birth.

      And to follow your conspiracy theory, Iraq would be a better platform to launch and attack on the wider M.E. Also, the M.E countries have tolerated (and even assisted) in the liberation of Iraq. I doubt the same could be said for an invasion of Saudi Arabia. It's wise to pick your fights properly.

      Perhaps you should listen to the many, many Iraqis (many even have blogs) who support the US liberation and occupation.

  13. Yes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The moon needs a regime change. They are hoarding all the cheese!

    1. Re:Yes by cybertek · · Score: 1

      again, i pin this on the man.

  14. send probes - for now by chegosaurus · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Send orbiters, probes, robots. Make them bigger and more sophisticated as you go along. Send things that take samples and come back. Do this often enough and eventually you reach the limits of what unmanned technology can accomplish, but by then the launching and recovery systems should be so proven and capable that sending a person becomes little more complicated than sending a couple of big packages of instrumentation.

    Gradually work towards sending a person and bringing them back by sending lots of expendable things, and bringing them back with stuff for us to study here. Scale up as we go along instead of having one immediate big push. Isn't that sensible?

    1. Re:send probes - for now by isopossu · · Score: 1
      They say the robots are clumsy and cannot be operated from Earth, because the distance. I understand the software can't solve every possible event on Moon/Mars whatever.

      Maybe they already do this, but why can't they program the robots from the Earth? We could have a scientist here saying what the robot should do next. The robot waits when the programmer implements the scientist's wishes, then send the new program to the robot via radiowaves and there you are.

      It would be almost as if the scientist was sent to the foreign planet.

    2. Re:send probes - for now by Ironsides · · Score: 1

      Gradually work towards sending a person and bringing them back by sending lots of expendable things, and bringing them back with stuff for us to study here. Scale up as we go along instead of having one immediate big push. Isn't that sensible?
      br. No. Just like there is a big difference between sending Spirit and Unity to Mars and sending a human. The support required for a human is vastly different and greater. You have food, heating (more, anyway), water, light, air, recycling and many other things. Also, there is the matter of scale. Sending a small robot to the Moon and bringing it back is orders of magnitude easier to sending a human into space, let alone setting up a colony. Compare sending a robotic probe to the bottom of the Marianas trench vs. a Manned one (the latter we haven't been able to do yet). We can build a machine to do the former, but to do the latter requires different construction. It would be like saying "Ok, we can send a waterproof camera down to the ocean floor, now lets build ourselves a Viriginia Class nuclear sub."

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    3. Re:send probes - for now by chegosaurus · · Score: 1

      I'm talking *very* long term. Working up to sending very large, or multiple, instruments. Things of roughly equivalent size to a person and what they would need to survive. (You could, of course, send multiple craft some unmanned carrying backup systems and supplies.)

      I appreciate even that isn't the same, but it's a hell of a lot closer than we are now. You then just have to extend existing technology rather than creating it from scratch. I'm not talking about sending something the size of a TV set here.

      If I may use your own analogy, we have a small sub with cameras. Next we build a bigger one with more powerful lights and better arms. Then another, probably bigger still, more powerful, capable of, say, drilling into the sea bed. Then another with a small automated laboratory on board. That might be the size of a car. You're already much closer to being able to build something that might carry a man. You're not there, but you're nearer, and you've done a lot of worthwhile science in the process.

      I guess what I'm trying to say is that sending people is only justified when the cost is reasonable, and for the cost to be reasonable most of the technology to do the job must be in place.

      Trying to send people now is like building your nuclear sub when we've just mastered the waterproof camera. Building a small manned sub when we're very good at building similar sized unmanned ones is not so unreasonable.

    4. Re:send probes - for now by red+floyd · · Score: 2, Informative

      Compare sending a robotic probe to the bottom of the Marianas trench vs. a Manned one (the latter we haven't been able to do yet).

      Uh, Jacques Piccard might disagree with you there.

      --
      The only reason we have the rights we have is that people just like us died to gain those rights. -- Cheerio Boy
  15. technology. ew icky! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Humanity was made to live on the ground as dirt worshiping filthy feudal serfs. All this flying around in space disrupts the natural order. Think of all the people who are not evolved for a high tech world who are falling more and more behind. Some people just can't cope going faster than a brisk walk behind a plow dragging mule team.

  16. The "Moon": A Ridiculous Liberal Myth by goldspider · · Score: 1, Funny

    It amazes me that so many allegedly "educated" people have fallen so quickly and so hard for a fraudulent fabrication of such laughable proportions. The very idea that a gigantic ball of rock happens to orbit our planet, showing itself in neat, four-week cycles -- with the same side facing us all the time -- is ludicrous. Furthermore, it is an insult to common sense and a damnable affront to intellectual honesty and integrity. That people actually believe it is evidence that the liberals have wrested the last vestiges of control of our public school system from decent, God-fearing Americans (as if any further evidence was needed! Daddy's Roommate? God Almighty!)

    Documentaries such as Enemy of the State have accurately portrayed the elaborate, byzantine network of surveillance satellites that the liberals have sent into space to spy on law-abiding Americans. Equipped with technology developed by Handgun Control, Inc., these satellites have the ability to detect firearms from hundreds of kilometers up. That's right, neighbors .. the next time you're out in the backyard exercising your Second Amendment rights, the liberals will see it! These satellites are sensitive enough to tell the difference between a Colt .45 and a .38 Special! And when they detect you with a firearm, their computers cross-reference the address to figure out your name, and then an enormous database housed at Berkeley is updated with information about you.

    Of course, this all works fine during the day, but what about at night? Even the liberals can't control the rotation of the Earth to prevent nightfall from setting in (only Joshua was able to ask for that particular favor!) That's where the "moon" comes in. Powered by nuclear reactors, the "moon" is nothing more than an enormous balloon, emitting trillions of candlepower of gun-revealing light. Piloted by key members of the liberal community, the "moon" is strategically moved across the country, pointing out those who dare to make use of their God-given rights at night!

    Yes, I know this probably sounds paranoid and preposterous, but consider this. Despite what the revisionist historians tell you, there is no mention of the "moon" anywhere in literature or historical documents -- anywhere -- before 1950. That is when it was initially launched. When President Josef Kennedy, at the State of the Union address, proclaimed "We choose to go to the moon", he may as well have said "We choose to go to the weather balloon." The subsequent faking of a "moon" landing on national TV was the first step in a long history of the erosion of our constitutional rights by leftists in this country. No longer can we hide from our government when the sun goes down.

    --
    "Ask not what your country can do for you." --John F. Kennedy
    1. Re:The "Moon": A Ridiculous Liberal Myth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I really do hope you're joking...

    2. Re:The "Moon": A Ridiculous Liberal Myth by JZ_Tonka · · Score: 0

      Some moderators must be too young to appreciate a classic piece of Slashdot history.

    3. Re:The "Moon": A Ridiculous Liberal Myth by Savant · · Score: 1
      Former appearances of this same post

      Sheesh, let's mark this redundant already. It was sort of funny the first time, but the satirist's no Swift, it doesn't improve on rereading, and it appears over and over again. Please, no more!

      Savant

    4. Re:The "Moon": A Ridiculous Liberal Myth by whats_a_zip · · Score: 0

      You got that modded to 4 as funny?! Just sounded like a "lunatic" rant to me.

  17. Go back. by Simple-Simmian · · Score: 2, Insightful

    To the moon and soon. I want to have humans back there before I die.

    It makes the most sense. Anything you will use on mars can be tested on the moon or in getting to the moon.

    --
    If you don't like what I write don't be a CS and mod it down. Refute it.
    Yea I can't spell. So what is your point?
    1. Re:Go back. by shadowcabbit · · Score: 1

      I concur... It would be an interesting thing to see; after all, I can only imagine what my parents felt when they watched the first moon landing. I'm all for another trip to Luna. Some of us have never had humans there in our lifetimes.

      I suppose I ought to add "...you insensitive clod" to that, but here it just doesn't seem appropriate.

      --
      "Why Subscribe?" Good question...
    2. Re:Go back. by th77 · · Score: 1

      I say, any reason for having more than a tiny handful of people and a bunch of robots on the Moon will be a result of establishing a permanent human presence on Mars. A huge telescope? Built by humans and robots, maintained by robots, operated remotely by humans on Earth. Strip mining for He-3? Robots. A space port for the steady trickle of traffic between Earth and Mars? Ah, a role for humans.

      Yes, I'd love to see us living on the Moon. But the truth is, on Mars there is soil that's more than just powered rock, and there's an atmosphere made of useful gases. Those things will be extremely important to humans on Mars, and we can't really "practice" utilizing them on the cold, dead Moon.

      --
      Your favorite sig sucks
    3. Re:Go back. by Ironsides · · Score: 1

      Better idea. How about going there in person? Personally, I wouldn't mind being the first permanent resident.

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    4. Re:Go back. by Feanturi · · Score: 1

      But the truth is, on Mars there is soil that's more than just powered rock, and there's an atmosphere made of useful gases.

      But if the Moon is made of powered rock, then why don't we tap that and fly the Moon to Mars? Wouldn't that be cool? We could also strap a huge frickin' laser-beam to it and have a proto-Deathstar.

    5. Re:Go back. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The arctic makes more sense as a training ground for Mars; the conditions in the Arctic are more like those on Mars than the Moon is, and the orders-of-magnitude lower expense of sending astronauts to Canada means you could train hundreds or thousands of missions in real Mars-certified equipment for the cost of one mission to the Moon, which would be time-limited by the mass you could bring up with you.

    6. Re:Go back. by mattyrobinson69 · · Score: 1

      how about a bewolf cluster of moon's? .....

  18. Lunar astronomy by MrIrwin · · Score: 4, Interesting
    How good would a Lunar astronomy be? Having no atmosphere would seem to be a great bonus, and allthougth there **is** the problem of gravity on the lenses, this gravity is much less.

    I imagine a scenario were unmanned ships send a lot of bits on successive low cost missions, and then astronauts go to set up and service the kit.

    I'm ignorant on these matters, but it would appear to be to be much easier to set up kit on the moon than it is floating in space on a shuttle lifeline.

    --

    And if you thought that was boring you obviously havn't read my Journal ;-)

    1. Re:Lunar astronomy by meringuoid · · Score: 4, Insightful
      How good would a Lunar astronomy be? Having no atmosphere would seem to be a great bonus, and allthougth there **is** the problem of gravity on the lenses, this gravity is much less.

      Good, but why bother going to the Moon? Why noth just put your telescopes in Earth orbit, which is cheaper to reach?

      If you think launching Shuttles to service Hubble is a burden, well, going to the Moon to repair a telescope there is far more expensive and dangerous.

      The best astronomical use for the Moon would be in radio astronomy. Imagine a radio telescope on Farside, listening to the radio sounds of deep space, insulated by thousands of miles of solid moon rock from the cacophony of radio noise generated by Earth...

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    2. Re:Lunar astronomy by MrIrwin · · Score: 1
      "The best astronomical use for the Moon would be in radio astronomy. "

      That had occured to me as well, int fact I was not thinking of a single telescope but a whole obsevatory site which for the large part would be done by unmanned craft. Perhaps the biggest problem would be getting down capsules close enougth to the main site robots can haul the stuff into place, but not so close that they might hit the stuff that is there!

      As for risks/manned flight, this would probably be only occasional. One flight can adjust lots of istruments and the kit and supplies can allready be in place, sent by unmanned craft in advance, hence the flight could be done with a much smaller craft than those used for the appollo missions.

      --

      And if you thought that was boring you obviously havn't read my Journal ;-)

    3. Re:Lunar astronomy by kulakovich · · Score: 1


      The moon has an atmosphere, about 1 foot thick, on the sunny side.

      kulakovich

      no, really.

    4. Re:Lunar astronomy by AlecC · · Score: 1

      The nature article quoted said that the moon was not really much help for astronomy compared with free space. It offers dirt and gravity. Dirt is a resource but also dirties lensed. Gravity helps thing stay in place but bends mirrors and wears bearings.

      --
      Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
    5. Re:Lunar astronomy by khallow · · Score: 1
      As for risks/manned flight, this would probably be only occasional. One flight can adjust lots of istruments and the kit and supplies can allready be in place, sent by unmanned craft in advance, hence the flight could be done with a much smaller craft than those used for the appollo

      OTOH, if there's a permanent manned presence on the Moon, then the servicing plans just got a lot easier.

    6. Re:Lunar astronomy by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      Not only that but you could actually land robots, CNC machine tools (and spare parts for same) and some materials on the moon and BUILD everything there with current technology, without even putting a human on the moon. We definitely have the necessary technology.

      Of course, it would be expensive, but that's how it is. Are we really making the best use of our money today?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    7. Re:Lunar astronomy by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      going to the Moon to repair a telescope there is far more expensive and dangerous.

      Not if you have onsite techs :) with a machine shop and radio links to earthside engineers... remember why Hubble is being killed, here.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    8. Re:Lunar astronomy by MrIrwin · · Score: 1
      "Not only that but you could actually land robots, CNC machine tools (and spare parts for same) and some materials on the moon"

      Just a thought.....perhaps moon rock could make quite a good building material if you could make a robot that is able to slice pieces out of the surface like eskimos do with ice.

      I wonder, if you made a large igloo and sprayed a line of sealent in the cracks on the inside....how many rocks would you need to pile on top so that it is heavy enougth to stay together with, say, 0,8 atmospheres on the inside?

      --

      And if you thought that was boring you obviously havn't read my Journal ;-)

    9. Re:Lunar astronomy by linoleo · · Score: 1

      How good would a Lunar astronomy be? Having no atmosphere would seem to be a great bonus, and allthougth there **is** the problem of gravity on the lenses, this gravity is much less.

      There is simply *no* advantage to putting an optical telescope on the moon as opposed to free-floating in space, and many many disadvantages:

      1. down another gravity well, thus costlier to put there and harder to access for repairs
      2. half the sky blocked by the ground
      3. moon dust kicked up by human activity (such as setting up the telescope in the first place) fouls the lenses
      4. vibrations caused e.g. by mining activity
      5. huge temperature differentials caused by 14-day sols
      6. (as you mentioned) gravity sagging the lenses
      7. mechanical support structure required in gravity

      Near-optical astronomy needs to go to the Langrange points, not the moon. Radio astronomy might have more of a case because it could use the moon's radio shadow, but in fact terrestrial radio astronomy can work around human radio emissions well enough, so the reasons to go off-earth in the first place are far less compelling for them than for the optical (not to mention UV) guys.

      --
      Be faithful to your obsessions. Identify them and be faithful to them, let them guide you like a sleepwalker. JG Ballard
  19. I can't see a point by JaxWeb · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I can't see any point, but people keep telling me it is of great political importants. I can't see why, so I suppose that is why I'm not a politician.

    The article is talking about using the Moon as a base for travelling to Mars. If this would help efforts to go to Mars (Which is a Good Thing), then, yes, sure, using the Moon like that would be great.

    Other points it raise show that some scientists think it is useless (Quote: "In short, we should ask whether dirt and gravity offer any general value to astronomy. The answer, I believe, is no."). This is countered, in the article by saying that we will to do tests on The Moon without interference from things from the earth.

    Well, I think I've been converted. There is a point!

    --
    - Jax
    1. Re:I can't see a point by Ironsides · · Score: 1

      Interference from things on Earth:
      Miles thick atmosphere
      More RF than you would believe
      City Lights - (only place unaffected is middle of the pacific)
      Higher Gravity
      Capability of linking Lunar and Earth radio telescopes to "build" one about 384kilometers in diameter Example
      There's your examples of why the moon is better for astronomy.

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    2. Re:I can't see a point by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, except that the delta-V required to go from low earth orbit (LEO) to the Moon is 6 km/s, and the delta-V to go from LEO to Mars is only 4.5 km/s. So even if there were giant tanks of free (as in beer) fuel and oxygen sitting on the moon, with a nozzle custom-designed for our ships' gas tanks*, it still wouldn't make sense to use the Moon as a midpoint from an energy standpoint.

      It's not a jumping-off-point -- it's a toll booth.

      * - no such tanks exist, BTW.

  20. Should *WE* go to the moon? by velo_mike · · Score: 3, Insightful

    As in, should another taxpayer funded voyage be made? No. If private industry wants to start, go for it. Want your money to go towards it, buy stock. Let's get the US Government's budget under control and regain the ability to pay for the things we've promised (Social Security for one) before we start talking about funding flights to the moon.

    --

    At the bottom of the endless pile of paper work which characterizes all regulation lies a gun.
    Alan Greenspan

    1. Re:Should *WE* go to the moon? by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Private industry won't do it because there's absolutely no return on investment. The moon is a airless dust ball and Mars is an airless rock ball. The only good scientific question involved is "was there once life on Mars". That can be answered best by unmanned probes.

      George Bush made his "moon base then mars" initiative for a few reasons:
      1) Make it seem like he has a grand vision of anything during the election year.
      2) The media will compare it to JFKs moon speech.
      3) His friends in the defense contractor industry will see tens of billions of dollars.

      If Bush actually had any vision, he would announce a Space Elevator iniative and try to fundamentally change how we get people and supplies into space.

      -B

    2. Re:Should *WE* go to the moon? by pershino · · Score: 1
      Although you have a good point, government funding for space programmes has generally benefited the nation financially. The Apollo project is a case in point. Much of the infrastructure and administration for Apollo (NASA HQ, technology contracts, etc) was set up in some of the poorest states of the US with the intention of kick-starting the economy there. Although, still relatively poor, they are better off for it. The technology spin-offs from the space programme has made billions of dollars for US companies, and in turn the US government, hence the long-term effect of the programme paying for itself in extra revenue through corporate and other taxes.

      I personally want to see private industry funding and managing its own (alongside NASA's) space programme for a different financial reason: lower cost. Private initiatives can do the job for about one-tenth of what it would cost most governments. This should not be an excuse for cutting government space budgets but should actually be one to increase it because industry will not necessarily invest in all risky long-term ventures, but they will generate lots of tax dollars in exploiting them. The government should help out with the initial R&D.

      On the subject of whether we go to the Moon, or Mars, according to Robert Zubrin in A case for Mars, it works out more cost effective to go to Mars, especially if your intention is to settle on the planet and have a series of rolling missions. Zubrin also covers the costs of such missions and how to do them with minimum risk to human health and maximum gains for science.

    3. Re:Should *WE* go to the moon? by Paulrothrock · · Score: 3, Interesting

      We have the money, except now it's going to blowing things up and then rebuilding them. Why not just build things, and save the expense of blowing them up?

      --
      I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
    4. Re:Should *WE* go to the moon? by Ironsides · · Score: 1

      3) His friends in the defense contractor industry will see tens of billions of dollars.

      Excuse me but, Exactly HOW will helping NASA do this?

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    5. Re:Should *WE* go to the moon? by Mycroft_VIII · · Score: 1

      Ehh.. social security is a pyramid scam. and it's very likely going to eighter go bust or have our taxes raised about 80% of gross and then go bust when the economy goes away or we revolt.
      Where space exploration has so far always been an economic plus, not all directly, but it has been a major source of innovation and invention, tang, the dust-buster, Velcro, Kevlar, and on and on and on.
      If you want the budget ballanced then maybe if we invested in a somthing with a fairly good typical return it could happen. You eigther increase income or decrease spending.

      Mycroft

      --
      https://signup.leagueoflegends.com/?ref=4c3ed6600b6ea
    6. Re:Should *WE* go to the moon? by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      Maybe I missed something, but NASA relies heavily on the exact same aerospace contractors that the DOD uses. Martin-Marietta, Rockwell, Lockheed, etc. Missle parts look an awful lot like NASA rocket parts. Some large percentage of NASA funding goes to subcontractors who actually do the lion's share of the construction and testing.

      NASA and the DOD have a lot in common from launch to apogee; after that NASA wants their payload to remain in orbit, the DOD wants their payload to land on someone's head and go boom.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    7. Re:Should *WE* go to the moon? by n-baxley · · Score: 1

      Maybe we should scrap social security and force people to have a little more self reliance and stop making me send my money to people who are too dumb to realize that they don't bring money in after they retire.

    8. Re:Should *WE* go to the moon? by LaCosaNostradamus · · Score: 1

      I'm a Moon freak, but even so, what you say is very sensible. Why can't private industy give it a go? Along with this question (or assumption of competence), I also take the position that space exploration can be much, much cheaper if it's a byproduct of a space-faring, industrial civilization.

      We already know what is on the Moon and what we can do with it. We should stop piddling around and go back permanently with some real investors, brave engineers and guys shaped like fireplugs who don't take any shit. They'll build a Lunar civilization that will own Cislunar space by default, and will therefore control access to the rest of the solar system, including the ultra-mega-wealth of the Asteroid Belt.

      --
      [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
    9. Re:Should *WE* go to the moon? by Rbrashear · · Score: 1

      How about getting the US government to ease some of the regulatory burden? Just to do a suborbital shot can cost tons of money in regulation compliance. I'm not for letting everyone and his brother start throwing things around, but to get a launch license costs an enormous amount of time and money. The startup aerospace companies that want to do this are mired in environmental impact statements, archeological assessments, a 600 million dollar liability policy and a major turf war in the FAA over who controls everything.

  21. Science vs. political thinking by zz99 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    My personal suspicion is that the moon holds little or no lure for politicians looking to strike awe in media and the public.

    Spending billions on a trip to mars sounds new and cool to anyone. While on the other hand spending money on "going back" to the moon might not win any points in the approval ratings.

    I might be more cynical than most people, but I still hope that the plans are made with long term thinking, and sciense as motivation rather than just popularity.

    1. Re:Science vs. political thinking by LaCosaNostradamus · · Score: 1

      Long term thinking and science are not assets in the youthful mind. To an important extent, that's always been the case, but we did manage to dispense with lynch mobs and civil war ... so we can improve the youth.

      However, I personally think it's over for America. Pulling the young out of the mass of stupidity traps laid for them by prior generations is looking more and more to just be impossible. My home state of Ohio is even seeing a push for adding "intelligent design" to the base school curriculum. You can't have a peaceful and critical analysis of anything in such an environment.

      --
      [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
  22. Ralph by andy666 · · Score: 1

    I say: to the moon Alice!!!

    OK not that funny...

  23. Only if we can do both. by Mukaikubo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'd like both, but if I had to pick one, I'd have to go with Mars.

    Looking at the long-term, the only useful thing on the moon is Helium-3, which will only be useful when commercial fusion reactors come to fruition, and that's been 'just round the corner' since my parents were born.

    At least on Mars there is a whole bunch of science to do.

  24. Re:Should the US go for the 1st time at least by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    NO, actually it was the 60's when we first when, you historical plebe.

  25. The Moon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    As far as materials for the construction of colonisation fleets are concerned, the moon is always going to be the obvious choice, since why build hundreds of ships on earth in high gravity when you can build the ships in the no-atmosphere low-gravity nearby, materials-rich moon.

    It's sitting there, just waiting for us to make it a resource.

    Bring on improvements in nanite materials science, control and design.

  26. Re:Lunar astronomy and gravity by benj_e · · Score: 1

    Gravity is less of a problem is there is less mass to the lens. The University of Kansas is working on making lenses out of carbon fiber.

    --
    The Tao that can be spoken is not the one eternal Tao
  27. Antarctica! by mi · · Score: 0

    I keep saying this, but nobody listens. Antarctica -- an entire continent is empty. The conditions are a lot more hospitable. And it is "Global Warming"-proof :-)

    Why not colonize it properly first? I think, Chili and Argentina tried (to claim the territory) to pay their citizens to live there, but the settlements waned...

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Antarctica! by I+confirm+I'm+not+a · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The Antarctic Treaty largely prohibits this:

      The main objective of the ATS is to ensure in the interests of all mankind that Antarctica shall continue forever to be used exclusively for peaceful purposes and shall not become the scene or object of international discord. The treaty ... also defers the question of territorial claims asserted by some nations and not recognized by others.

      Basically, any current territorial claims are ignored, and future claims are prohibited. In any event - it's seriously cold!

      ...this post brought to you courtesy of Wikipedia

      --
      This is where the serious fun begins.
    2. Re:Antarctica! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The colonization of antarctica is prevented by a number of international agreements, and that's a good thing. Just look at what has happend to every other part of the world we humans live in. Is it really too much to ask to leave at least a tiny bit of Earth untouched? Do we really NEED to move a lot of people to antactica? It's not like it would solve any population problems or such...

    3. Re:Antarctica! by mi · · Score: 1
      The Antarctic Treaty largely prohibits this

      I know. But it was made many years ago. Nations can negotiate new treaties. It is still FAR cheaper and easier than Moon (forget Mars).

      it's seriously cold

      Colder than on Moon? Or on Mars?

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    4. Re:Antarctica! by mi · · Score: 1

      By this logic, we should not touch Moon nor Mars either...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    5. Re:Antarctica! by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      I haven't done the math, but it might actually be harder to keep something warm in Antarctica than on the moon. The difference is that on the moon you only have radiative cooling. In Antarctica, you have both radiative and conductive cooling (heat wicked away via contact with the atmosphere). If you think conductive cooling is trivial, remember the wind chill effect. Brrrr!

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    6. Re:Antarctica! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, there's always the "don't put all you eggs in one basket" argument. Additionally building a _small_ outpost on the moon could serve as a base for further exploration. IMHO it's the science that's important. I really don't want us to go to the Moon(or Mars) just to mine Hydrogen as someone here suggested.
      Also, colonizing Mars would have some interesting social effects. Because it's really expensive and time-consuming to go to Mars(unlike antarctica), it's probable that an entirely new culture will arise.
      If you haven't read the "Red Mars" trilogy by Kim Stanley Robinson you really should, its a great series.

    7. Re:Antarctica! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I didn't sign the treaty- and for that matter try roaming around the US military bases there.

      I think it would be a great place to live as long as people respected that treaty. No wars for one. But people are just too fucking greedy for that to happen.

      When the Antarctic settlement was self sufficient and was paying no taxes, etc. another country like the US would enslave the population.

      *cough* Hawaii

  28. Speak for yourself by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Let's get the US Government's budget under control and regain the ability to pay for the things we've promised (Social Security for one) before we start talking about funding flights to the moon.

    I'd much rather have my tax dollars going for something like space exploration than into some Ponzi scheme like "Social Security" that I'll never see a dime from.

    If the government is going to flush my $$ down the toilet, at least do it on something that will be in the history books millenia from now.

    What the hell do you think people a few thousand years from now are going to be reading about in their history books? About how Al Gore really won the 2000 election? About how George Bush lied about WMD? Hardly, despite all the self-absorbed carping from the positive-reinforcement-left-wing lunatics of US politics.

    Folks thousands of years from now won't know about the late 20th century as the time when two superpowers engaged in a cold war - they'll know it as the time Neil Armstrong was the first human to set foot on another celestial body.

    Everything else is just noise.

    1. Re:Speak for yourself by leperkuhn · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Sooo.. why waste it on paying your grandparents rent when we could be influencing third grade classes a hundred years from now? Amazing idea. Grandma get your ass in the street, sell rock to make a living!

      --
      http://www.rustyrazorblade.com
    2. Re:Speak for yourself by b-baggins · · Score: 1

      I think the point is: Why should I pay YOUR grandparents' rent. Get off your butt and pay their rent yourself.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    3. Re:Speak for yourself by leperkuhn · · Score: 1

      I was referring to anyone's grandparents, not just mine.

      --
      http://www.rustyrazorblade.com
    4. Re:Speak for yourself by b-baggins · · Score: 1

      The principle still applies.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
  29. Here's why I like the moon - it is close to us. by cjellibebi · · Score: 3, Funny
    1. Re:Here's why I like the moon - it is close to us. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This moon trip sponsored by Quiznos subs.

  30. Property by millahtime · · Score: 1, Funny

    But what about that property I bought on the moon. The sooner we get there the sooner I can start building on it.

  31. Find out if there really is water ice by Dr.+Manhattan · · Score: 1
    There are some craters in permanent darkness near the poles of the Moon. It has been theorized that there might still be some frozen water there. If that is the case, then the cost of a Moonbase drops drastically.

    They're also near so called peaks of eternal light where solar power would be extremely effective. Let's send a probe there on the cheap, and find out if there really is water there or not. That could make the decision really easy.

    --
    PHEM - party like it's 1997-2003!
  32. Moon first, then Mars by twbecker · · Score: 0

    A journey of more than 34.65 million miles starts with a single step. For a trip that long, the Moon seems like a good first step to me.

    --
    "The problem with internet quotations is that many are not genuine" -Abraham Lincoln
  33. Non-compatible goals by Cosmonut · · Score: 1

    The moon is an interesting place to visit and should be thought of as an orbiting industrial park; lots of minerals, vacuum, solar polar (at least half the time), etc...there's a lot of neat things you can do on the lunar surface. BUT...the environments of Mars and the Moon are so different that the idea of testing equipment meant for Mars on the Moon is ludicrous.

    1. Re:Non-compatible goals by Ironsides · · Score: 1

      It's not testing equipment for Mars, but testing for getting to Mars and the whole infrastructure required to do it. Also, the Moon can be THE staging platform for going to Mars. Build everything on the Moon and the weaker gravity well makes it easier to get into orbit. Better yet, just ship up raw marterials from the Moon the Lagrange Point 5, and contstruct everything there. We could even use a catapult system based on railgun technology to send up the rawmaterials. No fuel, electromagnetic force only. Requires only plentiful electricity which can be supplied by solar power.

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    2. Re:Non-compatible goals by Cosmonut · · Score: 1

      You really can't "test for getting to Mars" by going to the Moon first. Not only are the environments completely different (to the point where EVA suits for one location probably won't work on the other), but the mission profiles are completely different as well. Claiming that lunar infrastructure can be used to support or stage a Mars mission is ludicrous; why add TWO gravity wells? What people who advocate this approach forget is the cost of installing all of that infrastructure on the lunar surface to begin with. Think about that: what's easier/cheaper/faster? Building the Mars spacecraft on Earth, or first building the aerospace infrastructure on the Moon that allows you to then build the Mars spacecraft on the Moon? Do you see the fallacy? Now, if going to Mars becomes a regularly-scheduled event, then the argument for lunar-generated supplies (in the form of oxidizer, since lunar water will be valuable enough NOT to use as fuel) comes into it's own, but for the foreseeable future we'll be running Mars missions that are loosely based on Mars Direct architecture. The only thing that we gain from throwing the moon into the mission architecture is complexity.

    3. Re:Non-compatible goals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Read up a few posts. Delta-V requirements for getting to the moon are greater than those for getting to Mars. Even if someone on the moon could find a totally free (as in beer) way to send fuel and oxidizer to the Lagrange point between us and the moon, it still doesn't make any sense - it's still more direct and cheaper (from an energy argument) to go straight to Mars.

  34. Jonathan Swift would be lost on the moderators by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Folks, it's called satire.

  35. Mining moon for Helium-3 by Thagg · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Apollo astronaut Harrison Schmitt had a wonderful editorial in Aviation Week and Space Technology a couple of weeks ago, which is similar to this testimony before Congress. In it he laid out an arguably sound economic case for mounting a large-scale mission to the moon to mine Helium 3.

    Helium 3 is present in abundance on the moon, and on a per-pound basis could be one of the most valuable substances there is. Assuming that one really could catalyze nuclear fusion in power reactors using Helium 3, it could have profound implications -- allowing us to move beyond hydrocarbon fossil fuels (although, ironically, you'd still need those fuels to power the rockets to the moon.)

    I'd seen pie-eyed schemes for going to the moon for the Helium 3 before, but Schmitt really tries to nail it down, and answer most obvious criticisms. It's definitely worth a read.

    Thad Beier

    --
    I love Mondays. On a Monday, anything is possible.
    1. Re:Mining moon for Helium-3 by fastenrath · · Score: 1

      Why would you gather Helium-3 on the moon if you've got a working fusion reactor?
      Seems to me you'd rather want to install some heavy industry on the moon and maybe power it with your fusion reactor. Heavy industry on the moon would save a lot of unnecessary lifting of heavy stuff from earth. Let me know when your fusion reactor is ready to be shipped to the moon :-)

      --
      THIS ACCOUNT IS NO LONGER IN USE, PLEASE DELETE.
    2. Re:Mining moon for Helium-3 by Megane · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There's NO economic case for mining Helium 3 until there's a working fusion reactor of any kind, much less one designed for H3.

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
    3. Re:Mining moon for Helium-3 by tmortn · · Score: 1

      "(although, ironically, you'd still need those fuels to power the rockets to the moon.)"

      urrrmmmm... what part of Hydrogen and Oxygen consists of hydrocarbons ?

      We would still need petroleum products for stuff like seals, ziplock bags etc... but rocket fuel does not need invovle petroleum products. Though going back to kerosene and lox instead of LH and LOX has merits ( more dense, less bulky fuel tanks ).

      --
      I don't ask you to be me. I only ask you not expect me to be you.
    4. Re:Mining moon for Helium-3 by LuckyStarr · · Score: 1

      Lets wait until ITER is completed, and then talk again. The estimated power release of ITER is said to be higher then the power you need to keep the fusion running. Even JET got to 65% ratio 1997.

      H3 is a better fuel for ANY fusion-reactor because with nearly the same procedure you would not have to have as much shielding as built into ITER. This is because the currently used fuel produces neutrons as byproducts (waste) and neutron radiation can only be shielded by large thick plates of metal. H3 produces only electrical charged particles as byproducts which can be magnetically deflected, thus enabling you to build smaller reactors e.g. for use in spaceships or sea-vessels. The problem is, H3 is too expensive.

      See? There is even a marketing possibility here. :)

      --
      Meme of the day: I browse "Disable Sigs: Checked". So should you.
    5. Re:Mining moon for Helium-3 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I"d just buy it at http://www.helium-3.com/ instead of going to the moon. Is there any problem in creating this tuff on earth if you want it on earth?
      What I meant is that the only point for mining it on the moon (if that's possible at all) would be heavy industry on the moon powered by its own fusion reactors (or at least a tank stop for spaceships powered by fusion).

    6. Re:Mining moon for Helium-3 by shadowbearer · · Score: 1


      "There's no economic case for mining uranium until there's a working fission reactor"

      Shortsightnedness is going to be the death of this country, I swear.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    7. Re:Mining moon for Helium-3 by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Uh - what value did uranium have before the development of controlled nuclear fission?

      It isn't like we can't do research on small quantities of 3He right now - we can make it synthetically, it just is expensive.

      Nobody was mass-mining uranium before the atomic bomb project.

      If engineering studies show that a 3He reactor is likely to become commercially exploitable in the next 10 years, then it is time to start thinking about the costs and benefits of mining it on the moon. You probably won't even need tax money if there is an obvious demand - private industry will probably launch their own projects for the moon.

      I'm all for feasibility studies, and small-scale tests, and mock-colonies on the surface of the earth. I'm all for making robotic colony constructors and turning them loose on quarries on the earth and seeing if they can make their own domes.

      Once this technology is mature, by all means ship it to the moon. Until then, sending people is just a waste of lives and a ton of cash.

  36. I think.. by Viceice · · Score: 1

    the question that should be asked is 'Do we need to go to the moon?

    Obviously if we are just going to go back there and plant another flag then hell NO, wo shouldn't go back.

    But say theres an experiment or a whole list of experiments that we need to carry out there then why not?

    Soemthing about need being the mother of all things..

    --
    Sometimes I wish I was a plumber, then I'd know how to deal with other people's shit.
  37. To the moon, Alice! by hplasm · · Score: 2, Funny

    Let's go. Or let's return to the trees and let the bears have a go!

    --
    ...and he grinned, like a fox eating shit out of a wire brush.
  38. Re:I nominate... by eclectro · · Score: 0, Troll

    ..sending the entire Bush Administration to the Moon.

    Maybe that's where the WMDs are hid.

    --
    Take the cheese to sickbay, the doctor should see it as soon as possible - B'Elanna Torres, "Learning Curve"
  39. To the Moon, Alice! by SoupIsGood+Food · · Score: 1

    A long term Lunar presence, either a permanent station or colony, is probably unworkable. The largest obstacle, apart from the supply chain, is the Lunar regolith, which is very sharp and abrasive stuff... without weathering, it's more like ground up, pwdered glass than dust or dirt.

    Lagrange point space stations are a better plan, and a non-permanent station on the moon for science and exploration. Mars would be more workable, once the supply chain problems are licked... and Lagrange point space habitats are a great step in that direction.

    SoupIsGood Food

  40. Mars First, Then Moon by schnarff · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Actually, conditions being what they are on the two bodies, and technology being what it is today, it's actually *easier* to get to the surface of Mars than the surface of the Moon (from LEO, it's 4.5 km/s Delta-V for Mars vs. 6.0 km/s for the Moon), and Mars is a safer place once you're there.

    Just a shameless plug really, since I wrote it, but everyone here ought to check out The Mars Society FAQ. Lots of good info on this topic, verified by Dr. Robert Zubrin himself.

    1. Re:Mars First, Then Moon by LaCosaNostradamus · · Score: 1

      Mars then Moon? What planet do you live on, anyway?

      To get to Mars from the Earth, you have to ship up everything you need to make the vehicles, then their fuels, then their supplies.

      To get to Mars from the Moon, you'd have to invest in a Lunar manufacturing base ... but then you could use linear accelerators to put thousands of tons of aluminum, iron, and oxygen into at least Lunar orbit. You could build a MARS COLONIZATION FLEET that could stay on Mars indefinitely ... permanently. You could launch the Mars fleet itself from much longer and gentler L.A.s, saving greatly on fuel.

      Going to Mars from Earth is a showboat affair, and it will ONLY end up like Apollo did: rocks, memories, and gantries rusting in the Florida sun.

      Sorry, but I have better plans for my tax money than throwing it away again like that.

      --
      [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
    2. Re:Mars First, Then Moon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to disuade you but you should factor in time(consumables, radiation, comms) and the return trip... Getting off mars is not as easy due to greater gravity and the atmosphere. Then again mars offers different resources to leverage for fuel, O2, H2O ...

      I say do both, but think more about sustainability of the effort. How do we make it economic? That's the real key to lunar/mars development/utilization/exploration for the long haul.

    3. Re:Mars First, Then Moon by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 2, Informative
      Actually, conditions being what they are on the two bodies, and technology being what it is today, it's actually *easier* to get to the surface of Mars than the surface of the Moon (from LEO, it's 4.5 km/s Delta-V for Mars vs. 6.0 km/s for the Moon), and Mars is a safer place once you're there.

      True, but misleading. The trip is about 9 months longer; and getting back again takes a much bigger delta-v from Mars than the Moon- in fact the round trip to Mars is a rather higher delta-v than the round trip to the Moon.

      So if you are sending people, it's longer, further and more dangerous mission (solar flares and equipment reliability are issues).

      And then when you get to Mars, you either turn around and come back within a few days, or you're stuck there for 18 months due to orbital dynamics (Mars has to be opposite the Earth from the Sub for the return trip and this happens every 18 months.) You can stay on the moon for as long or short as you want.

      Sure, the Moon isn't as exciting, but nevertherless, it's much easier. And if the water is there in mineable quantities, the Moon is immediately useful- for, for example, enabling passage to Mars.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    4. Re:Mars First, Then Moon by tmortn · · Score: 1

      Yes but do not forget making rocket fuel out of martian atmosphere with seed hydrogen stocks is an elemetary task already demonstrated. Add in the fact we are comming to understand water is far more available than previously thought on mars and the return delta V is moot.

      In other words total delta V for a return trip is lower for a moon shot but for now you have to carry ALL prop for going, stopping and returning where for mars you only need the prop for getting to the surface and the eqipment to make fuel.

      True enough about the trip durations but mars is farther from the sun with an atmosphere which amelieorates the worst of the radiation the same way the earth's atmosphere does ( not as well but it beats the day side of the moon by a damn sight ). Higher gravity means less deterioration of calcium in bones during long duration stays. Almost 24 hour day/night cycle leads to the real possibility of green house agriculture.

      There is more than one way to mislead people with information. You can go back and forth all day and night on the relative dangers and advantages of moon missions vrs mars missions. However the key to me is water. Untill we find significant amounts of easily accesible water the moon will be second to mars as a place for a manned base/colony. Lifting water mass to support a base is unfeasible, and recylcing works only to a point ( the loop cannot be perfectly closed ). So for me, right now the presence of water means Mars has the advantage. Even if you find ice in the craters on the moon you then consider gravity. Next you consider the atmosphere. After that you consider the day/night cycle.

      Thus IMHO the sole disadvantage of mars missions when compared to the moon missions is distance. I think handling the distance to mars is far easier than all the other disadvantages of lunar missions when compared to martian missions.

      --
      I don't ask you to be me. I only ask you not expect me to be you.
    5. Re:Mars First, Then Moon by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 1
      Yes but do not forget making rocket fuel out of martian atmosphere with seed hydrogen stocks is an elemetary task already demonstrated.

      But then you have to launch the hydrogen from the surface of the Earth and then send it to Mars. The whole point of the water on the moon is that it doesn't require that.

      Higher gravity means less deterioration of calcium in bones during long duration stays.

      It is simply unknown what effects either Martian or lunar gravity has on bones. There is no current way to work this out. It may be that lunar gravity is fine for bones; or even Martian is inadequate. We simply don't know.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    6. Re:Mars First, Then Moon by schnarff · · Score: 1

      You people really, really need to read The Case for Mars, or at least the FAQ I linked to.

      The beauty of Mars is that you can make a bunch of stuff for your stay there and your return trip from easily obtainable surface resources. For instance, all of the return fuel can easily be generated from the CO2 in the air, given that you bring along a bit of hydrogen from Earth (which is only 5% of the total mass of that fuel). Everyone who thinks that massive infrastructure is necessary to support a Mars exploration program is flat-out wrong.

      You should definitely check out the efforts of the Flashline Mars Arctic Research Station and the Mars Desert Research Station -- a couple of Mars analog projects that are proving the feasability of a lot of the concepts involved in manned Mars missions.

    7. Re:Mars First, Then Moon by tmortn · · Score: 1

      I agree that is about the whole point of water on the moon.... but water on the moon is still very highly contested while water on mars is not. Also getting at it where the sun never shines ( the only place it could exist ) could be a real problem.

      As for the gravity I grant the case is yet proven.. however there is not much to dispute the idea that the closer to earth normal the better. We know the extremes ( micro G and one G ). Thus assuming long duration moon environment and long duration mars environments will have similar effects differing in severity in realtion to the gravitational field is a pretty safe assumption. The question is the graph, 1 to 1 or exponential ascociation.. if exponential where is it steep.. IE rapidly getting worse when aproaching zero G ( thus rapidly better when gravity is present ) or rapidly improoving as you aproach earth standard ( thus quickly getting worse as gravity decreases ). In any of those scenarios mars comes out better. The only real question left is the significance of its advantage.

      --
      I don't ask you to be me. I only ask you not expect me to be you.
    8. Re:Mars First, Then Moon by tmortn · · Score: 1

      Additionally.... the point of water on mars means you don't have to take seed hydrogen to begin with either.

      Beyond even that seed hydrogen reacted with the martian atmosphere leads to an 18X increase in propellents. Breaking down water on the moon will be a 1-1 proposition. Granted if there is significant water ice in the crater shadows that we can get to more or less as easilly as water on mars it is a moot point.

      The thing is water on the moon in practical accesible amounts is not yet prooven. Niether is it on mars ( from a accesible standpoint ). Thus the ability to react hydrogen with the atmosphere becomes a very big advantage because you only have to take less than 1/10th the weight in hydrogen to provide your return propellent. The moon has no such obviouse method for reacting a feed stock. Perhaps it exists... but again the means to produce roughly an 18X increase in prop mass via hydrogen feed stock utilizing the martian atmosphere has already been demonstrated. Just considering it at a 10x increase that makes a hell of a difference... say 10k instead of 100k or 100k instead 1000k units of fuel.

      thus untill practical access to water on the moon is prooven mars holds the advnatage in that we know water is there in practical amounts and that we can probably get at it... and even if we can't the atmosphere provides us with a means for taking less prop mass with us for a martian return profile than we would need for a lunar return profile. In otherwords given our current knowledge you can land a higher percentage of payload mass on mars than you can on the moon.

      That is why Zubrin describes using the moon as a staging point for a mission to mars as the moral equivalent of driving from atlanta to new york in order to to get to D.C. (driving past your destination to get to where your going).

      --
      I don't ask you to be me. I only ask you not expect me to be you.
  41. Use the moon as a testing ground. by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Going to the moon, and then using it as a launch pad to mars is total bunk. It would be similar to doing a trip 100 miles away by taking the first leg of the trip 3000 miles away and then coming back. The hard part about going to Luna or Mars is getting off this rock. If we use Luna as a launch pad, we will still have to launch from here to there with just about everything, then re-launch it again. Totally F.U.
    OTH, it does make sense to use luna for a test bed to build an automated system for building a colony. In particular, we need to build rockets to launch large loads. Likewise, we should send automated systems ahead to carve out a home/cave in the ground for us. Colorado School of Mines was recently given a lasar for drilling in the ground (via the US military). This could be used to literally build several holes in the ground for living in. From there, we can expand easily enough.
    Once this is perfected, then send a number of teams to Mars to live out their natural lives. They should be going to colonize the planet rather than plan on going there and coming back. And yes, there are plenty of bright people who would be willing to risk it all for a chance to settle on a new planet.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:Use the moon as a testing ground. by LaCosaNostradamus · · Score: 1
      Only an idiot would think that a Luna-to-Mars program would involve shipping everything up from Earth first. Luna is the proper system launch pad of Earth only for the various advantages which must be taken:
      • Low gravity compared to Earth.
      • Plenty of materials to mine and use.
      • Stable base to launch materals and ships from.
      If you make the proper investment in a Lunar manufacturing center, you would then reduce Earth's continuing investment to shipments of Hydrogen, trace elements, critical parts and supplies, and of course the most critical equipment of all: people.

      Honda et al understood this mentality this well enough when they opened and bought auto manufacturing plants in the USA. It made more sense all around to make the cars in the continent of usage.
      --
      [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
    2. Re:Use the moon as a testing ground. by shadowbearer · · Score: 1
      Going to the moon, and then using it as a launch pad to mars is total bunk. It would be similar to doing a trip 100 miles away by taking the first leg of the trip 3000 miles away and then coming back.

      Perhaps you should go back in time and tell the pioneers who opened the western parts of the US that. I'm sure they'd agree with you

      /sarcasm

      Lasers? Why? What benefit would there be shipping up hard to replace technology when we can already do it with mechanical technology, which we already have a lot of experience building and making work? (and which would be much easier to adapt to vacuum conditions than something which isn't used on a widespread basis here?)

      I do agree with the rest of your post, tho. Stepping stones... and our primary step that way should be developing and implementing the technology to build the base ahead of the inhabitants.

      But we're not doing that, are we?

      Oh, fuck it, I don't know why I'm even posting to this article anymore.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    3. Re:Use the moon as a testing ground. by WindBourne · · Score: 1
      Perhaps you should go back in time and tell the pioneers who opened the western parts of the US that. I'm sure they'd agree with you

      So to, to travel to the suburbs of your city, it was logical to travel across the country and then come back to the suburb? No the pioneers would say to take the shortest, and least costly routely.

      If you are building an unground shelter, you could dig it with a mechancial device. That would involve moving parts, all of which could fail due to the dust.

      Now as to the laser, it simply burns the dirt out. Far fewer moving parts. Apparently, the laser approach is being developed for digging oil wells and mines.

      Being an automated system that is operating BEFORE you get there, needs to be as near to 100% fail-safe as possible. Moving parts are the normal failures. I would go with the lasar.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    4. Re:Use the moon as a testing ground. by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      So to, to travel to the suburbs of your city, it was logical to travel across the country and then come back to the suburb? No the pioneers would say to take the shortest, and least costly routely.

      Huh? What the hell are you talking about?

      No, to travel halfway across the country, they had way-stations. I do not understand where you get this there and back again thing. It makes no sense at all. I'm talking about using the Moon as a way-station - you don't travel "3000 miles out and then come back to do 100 miles" - sorry dude, but that sentence was nonsense.

      As an example, instead of shipping all the fuel for a Mars mission out of Earth's deep gravity well, we could produce it on the moon (all the necessary elements are there, just need equipment) and launch it on EM railguns into lunar orbit (FAR cheaper than shipping it up from Earth). Hell, we could even build the spacecraft a lot cheaper there once the infrastructure is in place.

      Problem with a laser powerful enough to vaporize (NOT BURN) rock is that it's an energy hog and highly maintenance intensive, not to mention the parts can't be milled out in a simple machine shop, unlike a mechanical mining device. A laser mining machine for the moon is a good idea, but I highly doubt it'll be used for quite a while until the technology is mature.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  42. Lets just get to space cheaper first by Doverite · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If we can use a scramjet, space elevator or whatever to get to space cheaper we could build a multipurpose interplanetary vessel that we could use for manned missions to Mars, Venus, Europa, Io, the Moon or where ever they decide to send it to explore. In relative safety and comfort instead of a limited cobbled together single use vessel.

    --
    You can legislate morally you can't legislate morality
    1. Re:Lets just get to space cheaper first by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      ...to boldly go where no one has gone before...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  43. While you're talking about "WE"... by goldspider · · Score: 1
    "Let's get the US Government's budget under control and regain the ability to pay for the things we've promised"

    ...WE haven't promised anything. Politicians looking to coerce votes make these promises on our behalf. Personally, I think a scientific expedition has far more potential to benefit humanity as whole than a bankrupt taxpayer-funded wealth-redistribution ponzi scheme.

    --
    "Ask not what your country can do for you." --John F. Kennedy
  44. Why the Moon is Important by Fortress · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It is important for humanity to colonize other worlds for several reasons. First, it gives a degree of protection from disasters of the sort that killed off the dinosaurs. Right now, we have all our eggs in one basket, ripe for extinction. Second, we can't stay on this planet forever, eventually (in a long long time) the sun will die, with it the capacity to support life on this planet. We may have to leave sooner if, as seems likely, we exhaust the natural resources of our lonely planet. Anything that is inevitable has to be faced, the sooner the better.

    The moon is important because it will give us valuable experience in colonizing other worlds, and do so fairly cheaply compared to Mars, Europa, etc. Even if the Moon is a bad site to put telescopes, the knowledge gained by inhabiting another world is irreplaceable. There probably exist problems of colonization that haven't been forseen yet, and the only way to discover these problems is to try to do it. We may lose lives in the process, but that is a small price to pay for the continued survival of the species. I don't think they would have any problems finding volunteers to go, I know I would go in a heartbeat.

    I dream of the day when we have colonized all the habitable planets and moons in this solar system, and the debate rages about whether it's worthwhile to invest in colonizing others. Same debate, same short-sighted folks complaining that it's too much money for too little gain.

    1. Re:Why the Moon is Important by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who says that the Moon would be cheaper to colonize than Mars? Mars has an atmosphere. All you have to do is send (the amazingly light weight element) Hydrogen to Mars and you can use 1800s technology to make breathable oxygen, potable water, and some light hydrocarbons, all by reacting it with Mars' CO2 atmosphere. The moon has no such atmosphere.

    2. Re:Why the Moon is Important by Fortress · · Score: 1

      It remains to be seen which is cheaper and easier to colonize. My suspicion is that the moon will be because the transportation costs are much lower and you don't need to wait more than a day for a launch window. This would be critical in the early stages if a rescue or emergency resupply mission were necessary.

      A large enough settlement on the moon could have enough atmosphere to be fairly self-sufficient, like a biosphere project. It would probably need occasional freshening, as biosphere projects have.

    3. Re:Why the Moon is Important by cruachan · · Score: 1

      While I've every hope that we do go exploring space in a meaningful and major way in the near future, this reason that keeps being given that "the sun will die" really bugs me. OK it will, but even the worst estimates give us a billion years before the earth is no longer habitable. This comfortably longer than the length of time from the cambrian to now and about 15 times longer than the length of time from us back to the dinosaurs.

      Sure intelligent life will leave the earth sometime, but it could quite comfortably leave independently on several hundred different occassions over the timescale we have.

    4. Re:Why the Moon is Important by poot_rootbeer · · Score: 1

      I dream of the day when we have colonized all the habitable planets and moons in this solar system

      You dream of today?

      No other planets or moons in our solar system can be habitated -- at least, not with importing massive amounts of resources from Earth.

      Yes, someday our sun will go supernova and the Earth as we know it will be gone. That will mark the end of humanity. It's rather selfish for Mankind to assume that the Universe owes us the gift of existence past that point, as if the entirety of Creation is there just for us to exploit it.

    5. Re:Why the Moon is Important by khallow · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Yes, someday our sun will go supernova and the Earth as we know it will be gone. That will mark the end of humanity. It's rather selfish for Mankind to assume that the Universe owes us the gift of existence past that point, as if the entirety of Creation is there just for us to exploit it.

      Selfish to what? I don't recall any contract with the Universe much less one where the Universe "owes" me nothing, and I "owe" it nonexistence. As far as I am concerned, the universe is there to be exploited by intelligent beings.

      I consider sitting in one place for several hundred million years and dying with the solar system to be colossally self-destructive behavior and completely unworthy of an intelligent race. Perhaps you don't mind wasting the time, but I do.

    6. Re:Why the Moon is Important by khallow · · Score: 1
      It is important for humanity to colonize other worlds for several reasons. First, it gives a degree of protection from disasters of the sort that killed off the dinosaurs. Right now, we have all our eggs in one basket, ripe for extinction. Second, we can't stay on this planet forever, eventually (in a long long time) the sun will die, with it the capacity to support life on this planet. We may have to leave sooner if, as seems likely, we exhaust the natural resources of our lonely planet. Anything that is inevitable has to be faced, the sooner the better.

      Two words - nuclear weapons. The longer we wait till we develope a space presence, then the more likely that we destroy ourselves. Today is a pretty good time to get started. Tomorrow might be vastly better, but we don't know that. For us, sooner is better.

    7. Re:Why the Moon is Important by Dirtside · · Score: 1
      Other reasons may or may not be valid, but
      it gives a degree of protection from disasters of the sort that killed off the dinosaurs.
      is not one of them. Think about the two situations where Earth is hit by an asteroid that wipes out all life. In one situation, we have (say) a moon colony. In another, we don't.

      In either situation, I'm still dead. So what do I care if we have a moonbase or not? When I'm dead, it won't matter to me whether the rest of humanity survives.

      Now, it might be a valid reason if, by having a moon colony, the survivors of an asteroid strike (which may include me) are better off because the colonists can come back and help us somehow, whereas if we didn't have them we'd be screwed or worse off. But I don't think that's been demonstrated.

      --
      "Destroy science and religion. Science would re-emerge exactly the same; but not religion." - Penn Jillette, paraphrased
    8. Re:Why the Moon is Important by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      This hardly needs to be stated but it makes a fine opening for my comment, so I'll say it anyway; Just because you don't care if there is a moonbase or not does not alter one bit the validity of the statement that it provides protection from extinction. It is an entirely valid reason, though on a much larger scale than the area of your navel.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    9. Re:Why the Moon is Important by John+Seminal · · Score: 1
      I am all for setting up a base on the moon, and learning from the experiance. But I bet you it will not be used for "science", or at least not the way you think.

      *Puts on tinfoil hat*

      The military will use it for their own purposes, for their own experiments. It could become a prision, where p2p file share users go. It could be the best of what human minds can think of, but under the political control of the worst that human minds can think of.

      *Takes off tinfoil hat*

      I think a better plan is to try and build space ships that are capable of leaving the solar system. We should be able to build some kind of large ship for the purpose of exploring space. Where will the biggest discoveries be made? In some station or on a ship?

      If there is some devistating event, like what killed the dinosours, what will be more useful to those of us left? Ships or a base? I would like to see the day we have 10+ ships that house over 50 scientists, exploring every corner of our galaxy.

      --

      Rosco: "If brains were gunpowder, Enos couldn't blow his nose."

    10. Re:Why the Moon is Important by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Still, he has a valid point.

      Sure, it will be nice for the 20 people up on the moon that they might survive an earth-destroying disaster. But for the people on the Earth, they're just as dead either way. That makes a moon base a nice-to-have, and not a must-have.

      Now, if we had sufficient colony space to accomodate the entire population of the Earth, then there is incentive provided the Earth can be evacuated before an asteroid strike.

      Plus, if your main goal is to prevent the destruction of the human race, a much cheaper approach is probably a meteor defence system of some sort. First you spend a couple of hundred million (not trillion) dollars on very thorough sky surveys and continuous monitoring. Then you spend a few billion (not trillion) dollars on technology capable of redirecting the path of a meteor. You could even test it out on an asteroid big enough to wipe out life on earth which isn't going to hit the earth. Once you can change the orbit of an arbitrary asteroid on fairly short notice, then you can just have a few of the necessary rockets kept ready for use and you never have to worry about a killer meteor again.

      All this is dirt cheap compared to a moon or Mars base.

      I'm not against colonizing other planets, but let's let the technology improve just a little first.

      This rush to colonize other planets is kind of like Christopher Columbus saying "well, we discovered the new world six months ago and we haven't gone anywhere as exciting since - maybe we should try to put somebody on the moon..." Sure, the moon was the next logical step after the new world, but about 500 years passed between these achievements. That is a VERY LONG time...

  45. Motovation? by busman · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Personally, while I would love to see mankind returning to the moon and then to Mars, I question the motivation of GWB (aka Chimp Face)

    Maybe I'm just cynical, but to me it's just another huge pork-barrel into which to dump the US taxpayers money to feed greedy defense/military contractors.
    Gotta keep the old economy moving ;-)

    --
    __
    Sigs are like arse-holes, everybody has one ;-)
    1. Re:Motovation? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      First, calling W names will get you nowhere. If you are going to attack the person, go after him for his policies.

      the interesting thing is that you call this a pork-barrel project. I have no doubt that a big part of this, is just that, But the idea is still solid and needed.

      We can do it, or another country can do it. But history has shown that those who are willing to take the risks are the ones that profit the most. Witness European expansion during the 1600-1800's. They were risk takers back then. The more risk (and failures), the more that they learned.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:Motovation? by Ironsides · · Score: 1

      HOW do Defense/Military Contractors get MONEY in all of this? Please tell. Were not shipping weapons, the only thing that we could use that they produce would be some high grade parts and rocket engines.

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    3. Re:Motovation? by busman · · Score: 1

      First, calling W names will get you nowhere. If you are going to attack the person, go after him for his policies.

      I was not name calling, just stating the fact that "W" has a face that resembles a chimp
      and second I was not trying to get anywhere. I happy where I am now thank you ;-)

      As for the politics, I will leave that to the people of the US of A.
      I will only quote the saying "You may have different clowns, but the Circus is the same"

      Thank you and do have a nice day.

      --
      __
      Sigs are like arse-holes, everybody has one ;-)
    4. Re:Motovation? by busman · · Score: 1

      HOW do Defense/Military Contractors get MONEY in all of this? Please tell. Were not shipping weapons, the only thing that we could use that they produce would be some high grade parts and rocket engines.

      While the whole thing is still pie in the sky, IF the funding is approved I would guess that a the likes of General Electric, Boeing and Honeywell would get a nice fat slice.

      This is just a guess on my part, so feel free to correct me if it doesn't pan out like this ;-)

      --
      __
      Sigs are like arse-holes, everybody has one ;-)
    5. Re:Motovation? by red+floyd · · Score: 1

      If you've ever read Harrison Storms' "Angle of Attack", you'd find that one of the things that excited the North American Aviation guys (and pretty much everyone else involved) was the chance to "build something that doesn't have guns on it".

      --
      The only reason we have the rights we have is that people just like us died to gain those rights. -- Cheerio Boy
  46. Concrete steps to getting a foothold outside by NZheretic · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Building a throwaway spaceship and going to Mars just to wave a flag and grab samples of microbial life is really a waste.

    It would be better to start getting a sustainable foothold in space, opening up the opportunity to start scooting around the rest of the solar system

    We need a small fleet of reusable modular spaceships that can be used for a mission and then can be parked in orbit and replenished to be sent out on future missions. The landing component for Mars and other planets should be the only throwaway component.
    The Moon can be a source of materials that are cheaper solely because you don't have boosting the mass into earth orbit.
    In the same way, in the long term, a manned subsurface base on Moon is a cheaper option for maintaining the engineering crews and astronauts themselves, between missions.
    The low gravity and vacuum in space provides some opportunities for new manufacturing processes, which could also provide a source of revenue for the entire space program.
    Asteroids have the potential for providing sources of material for both the new manufacturing processes, creating orbital stations and even new space ships.

    1. Re:Concrete steps to getting a foothold outside by shadowbearer · · Score: 1


      Yup, exactly (read my posting history on this article and other space related)

      NZ, if you "Aussies" -:)- get a serious program going, I'm moving. This country (US) is too busy contemplating it's navel. Be it's death...

      If you'd like to share wrt to space, respond to this to share email.

      The point in time when the human race could open up a new frontier, and we're contemplating our navels. Nothing learned there from history, nosirree. F'A

      *disgust*

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  47. Human endeavor by Loconut1389 · · Score: 1

    Just because a robot or satellite could do the job, I do think it's a far better thing to send a human once some semblance of a safety guarantee is established, even though the word guarantee is subject to things like the disasters that occurred with our two space shuttles. To allow someone to see the moon up close, or to see mars up close puts a whole new human light on things and sparks something that they could share with the world. A robot doesnt care, doesnt get excited, doesn't marvel at how we did it, or wonder if we're going to go back again. I think part of the thrill of space travel is the unknown element and then making it back in spite of it. I think Star Trek was successful for two very important reasons, namely the curiosity about space and what the universe is composed of (other life perhaps) and the thrill of 'boldy going where no one has gone before'. I think that at any cost, there is a need to go. Maybe waiting a few years for the technology to get less expensive, but going at some point none-the-less.

  48. Cold War II, the Moon, and You by kulakovich · · Score: 2, Insightful


    1. Scientifically, the Moon as a stepping stone was figurative, not literal. We go to the moon a few times to test the Crew Exploration Vehicle/What Not, to work out the bugs and train astronauts. Then that same rig goes to Mars on the back of Prometheus. The notion of going to the Moon and then launching to Mars with the Moon as a waystation is somewhat implausable, perhaps dumb, imho.

    2. We should return to the Moon, and put an outpost there. It will be very, very important in Cold War II.

    kulakovich

    1. Re:Cold War II, the Moon, and You by zardor · · Score: 1

      And the good news is, that by the time the US contracters and NASA have sucked the taxpayers dry to finally get there, the astronauts will be able to nip around the corner for a Chinese Takeaway.

      --
      -- We don't understand software, and sometimes we don't understand hardware, but we can *see* the blinking lights
  49. but don't 4get... by airdrummer · · Score: 0

    the only name on every lander, right @ the top, on multiple monuments that will outlast the pyramids, is

    richard milhouse nixon

    if that doesn't motivate liberals to go back, nothing will;-)

  50. Two separate issues here by curiuz · · Score: 1

    Moon vs. Mars: Come on! Moon is mostly about geology but Mars takes astronomy into our back yard: It's about Life itself. Let's not forget that Mars is our best chance of finding ET life. That's not just cool, but will learn us about the creation and maintenance of life, which is darn important.

    Manned vs. unmanned: why not take unmanned to the limits (that we haven't reached yet, it seems) before we go manned?

  51. c'mon kids by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I though slashdot was a place for minds? the moon?
    sure let go back, lets set up camp.

    THE MORE THE MERRIER.

    but remember studying Venus? anyone still into that?

    CNN has lots on mars, think of your bank balance?

    omigod, like slashdot moddas have no heds.

  52. Learning curve by BCW2 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    A base on the moon would be a lab to try out all things nesessary for a functional base anywhere else. Just to test shielding and life support in a different environment from the ISS and improve reliability. This would be reasonably close for safety and replenishment/repair. This is a good idea. No one has any experience colonizing another planet yet and taking baby syeps is a better idea. The launch site idea can be delt with later, but the cost of moving everything to the moon seems prohibative.

    --
    Professional Politicians are not the solution, they ARE the problem.
  53. They're not the same by I+don't+want+to+spen · · Score: 4, Insightful
    These are two completely different places. The Moon has no atmosphere to contend with, lower gravity and would make a great place for testing technologies needed for exploring/ exploiting asteroids.

    Mars is more like the Earth, in that it has atmosphere (and so weather) and would be a better model for eventual off-world colonisation in other solar systems, should that ever be possible.

    If a choice had to be made, I would prefer a permanent base on the Moon to a brief visit to Mars. After all, if its turns out that there are enough resources on the Moon to exploit, possibly we could make mass drivers to boost these into Lunar orbit for manufacture of space industries or vessels without the fuel cost of lifting things from the Earth. How about a test space elevator made on the Moon? (I can see the headlines: elevator from nowhere to nowhere!)

    Also, what happens if we find life on Mars - even of the simplest form? Could we then exploit the planet in any way that would avoid destroying this?

    Yes, I have read a lot of science fiction :-)

    --
    Don't go to a brothel if you want to buy broth
    1. Re:They're not the same by MrChips · · Score: 1
      How about a test space elevator made on the Moon? (I can see the headlines: elevator from nowhere to nowhere!)
      The Moon rotates too slowly for a space elevator. If I'm not mistaken, the Earth is in geosyncronous orbit around the Moon (from the Moon's point of view), so a space elevator on the Moon would have to reach at least as far as the Earth.

      Actually, it might work if the space elevator had its center of gravity at the L1 Earth-Moon Lagrange point. You could only have that one elevator, but I suppose it would be enough.

    2. Re:They're not the same by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also, what happens if we find life on Mars - even of the simplest form? Could we then exploit the planet in any way that would avoid destroying this?

      Perhaps the astronauts could bring them blankets? That should take care of the problem, if history is a useful guide in matters of colonization.

    3. Re:They're not the same by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      It would be a nice place to send an elevator, too, since it would also be a really nice place to build a space station.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:They're not the same by juhaz · · Score: 1

      Since moon does not have a noticeable atmosphere (no drag), and much lower gravity, does it even need an elevator?

      Large coil/railgun should do just as well. Well, at least for cargo, for humans it would need to be quite bit if we don't want passengers to be squished into goo...

  54. Its "colonize" you fucking moron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Colony, colonize, colonial state, ...

    I hope your English teacher colinizes your ass fuckwad!

  55. Go to Mars by krytron_switch · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    -=tinfoil hat on=-

    We have to go to Mars first. How else will the spaceyards at Utopia Planetia ever get built? Then, 1700 Naval Construction Contracts have to be issued before the big one.

    -=tinfoil hat off=-

  56. Should we go to the Moon? Yes. by Zebra_X · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Why?

    To discover the things that we don't know about living in extraterrestrial environments - BEFORE we strand a group of humans 2 years away from earth.

    For example, we have little to no data about the effects of radiation on humans beyond the earth's magnetosphere. This is one of the biggest concerns especially considering most of the proposed trips to mars exceed one year of travel each way. Creating a base on the moon will give us a better idea of the concentrations, and the long term effects of solar radiation on humans.

    The moon's low gravity also makes it easier to access. Less fuel is needed to land, and take off.

    I think though that the biggest reason for going to the moon first is an old saying "walk before you run". In terms of distance the moon is on average 240,000 miles away from the earth. Nothing really, in the grand scheme of things. If for some reason something went horribly wrong, there would at least be a chance to rectify it, or help. A moon base would be a stones throw away, and with the proper planning the crew of that base could be very safe.

    From a scientific perspective examining the individuals that do staff the base will provide vital information about what living in the solar environment is like and how if affects the body. Also, the moon has 17% of the earths gravity, with mars at 38% the moon makes a good environment for training for low gravity.

    All in all, I think that we cannot afford NOT to go to the moon first. The moon gives us an opportunity to learn about living in space without the risks of being completly isolated from humanity.

    Make no mistake - the moon must be the beginning - and not the end of our future in space!

    1. Re:Should we go to the Moon? Yes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      > strand a group of humans 2 years away from earth.

      I'd like you to examine the Mars Direct concept. "Two years away" is irrelevant. Would you rather be locked in a grocery store in the Sahara, or stranded on a life raft with no food or water, two miles off the coast of Boston? At least on Mars you can continue to make you own water and air. By sending Earth Return Vehicles ahead of time, stocked with extra supplies, the chances of anyone getting "stranded" are remote, and the consequences aren't very dire.

      The moon's low gravity also makes it easier to access. Less fuel is needed to land, and take off.

      As has been pointed out in other threads here, the delta-V to get from LEO to the Moon is 6 km/s, whereas the delta-V to get from LEO to Mars is 4.5 km/s. The moon is only "closer" when you speak about distance; from an energy perspective, it's farther away than Mars, and always will be.

      >If for some reason something went horribly wrong, there would at least be a chance to rectify it, or help. A moon base would be a stones throw away, and with the proper planning the crew of that base could be very safe. ...right up until they ran out of food, air, water, or any of the other supplies that you sent them. At least on Mars you can make your own supplies from Hydrogen feedstock.

      >From a scientific perspective examining the individuals that do staff the base will provide vital information about what living in the solar environment is like and how if affects the body.

      However, while Mars' atmosphere protects Martian explorers from solar flares, there is no such guarantee on the Moon. A solar flare that occurred in August, 1972 would have killed any astronauts on the moon; nobody on earth (except the astronomers!) even noticed it. Mars explorers would be safe from solar radiation; moon explorers would be risking death (and guaranteeing a higher occurrence of cancer) every day they spent out-of-doors on the moon.

      >Make no mistake - the moon must be the beginning

      If the moon is the beginning, you've already made your mistake. I just hope I'm not the astronaut who has to die to prove you wrong.

    2. Re:Should we go to the Moon? Yes. by khallow · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I'd like you to examine the Mars Direct [nw.net] concept. "Two years away" is irrelevant. Would you rather be locked in a grocery store in the Sahara, or stranded on a life raft with no food or water, two miles off the coast of Boston? At least on Mars you can continue to make you own water and air. By sending Earth Return Vehicles ahead of time, stocked with extra supplies, the chances of anyone getting "stranded" are remote, and the consequences aren't very dire.

      And to push greatly the analogy, if that supermarket is completely bare while you get daily drops of food and water on that raft, then you're better off in the raft. This analogy is terrible. It dismisses the obvious problem. That the Moon is a light second away from Earth and only a few days by space while Mars is months away. The same effort that establishes a human presence on Mars would establish with a greater safety margin a better presence on the Moon.

      However, while Mars' atmosphere protects Martian explorers from solar flares, there is no such guarantee on the Moon. A solar flare that occurred in August, 1972 would have killed any astronauts on the moon; nobody on earth (except the astronomers!) even noticed it. Mars explorers would be safe from solar radiation; moon explorers would be risking death (and guaranteeing a higher occurrence of cancer) every day they spent out-of-doors on the moon.

      Solar radiation isn't a mysterious thing that can't be predicted or shielded against. You would routinely have hours or days to prepare for it (the key preparation is to stay indoors on bad days). Further, those astronauts on the Moon wouldn't have spent a substantial time in a riskier radiation environment to get to the Moon.

      If the moon is the beginning, you've already made your mistake. I just hope I'm not the astronaut who has to die to prove you wrong.

      There's one killer advantage (no pun intended) currently to development on the Moon. It is only a light second away from Earth. That means that you can access much more easily the resources of Earth whether it be emergency supplies or teleoperators (ie, cheap labor) for robotic equipment. Further, you can respond much faster to changing economic conditions and deliver orders faster than on Mars. The low gravity on the Moon and its location means that it's a lot easier to put products into Earth orbit than any other large body in the Solar system. The only thing that would be significantly better would be an asteroid in Earth orbit.

      Further, when development of Mars finally occurs, the Moon has a better delta v to Mars than Earth does.

      My point is not that Mars should be sacrificed for lunar exploration. I believe it is well-demonstrated that Mars warrants human exploration and eventual settlement. Sooner is better. I just don't think there's a rational reason to go "first" to either the Moon or Mars. Both should be developed simultaneously so that we can apply lessons from one environment to other environments. You should remember though that the Moon will have earlier economically viable enterprise.

      In addition, I think we ought to explore deep sea habitation. That has the advantage that it's clearly safer than any nonterrestrial environment yet suffers from many of the same difficulties that living in outer space will endure. Further launch costs are cheaper and there are good economic reasons (eg, mining) to investigate how people can live in the environment.

    3. Re:Should we go to the Moon? Yes. by Zebra_X · · Score: 2, Interesting

      1. "Stranded" refers to the time in transit - NOT on Mars. Over the course of the trip to mars the astronauts will be exposed to moon like conditions.

      2. I haven't done the math on the delta V. however - something tells me that it just ain't workin' out. Namely becuase the acceleration of gravity on the moon is significantly less than mars. The total energy expended to get from the surface of the earth and to the surface of mars would need to be higher than the total energy for a trip from earths surface to the moon and back.

      3. "At least on Mars you can make your own supplies from Hydrogen feedstock." This is PURE speculation that you can A. create this technology in a reasonable amount of time B. deploy it sucessfully on another planet C. operate it reliably for the duration of the mission. And don't say it's already "built", becuase while we might the technology we still have to engineer it into a package that can be deployed to Mars - most likely in an automated fashion.

      4. Clearly you don't understand what I was saying about testing exposure. Of course the moon doesn't have an atmosphere. The ship that carries the astronauts will be exposed to solar radation much in the same way people on the moon will. In fact MUCH of the trip to and from mars will be similar to living on the moon.

      I'm not so much concerned about living on Mars really. I don't think that is really the issue. Generally speaking the conditions on Mars would be easier to engineer equipment for than the moon. The real issue, is the trip. The moon offers the opportunity to test new technologies we would eventually deploy on other planets.

  57. who cares ... just leave the rock! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    first of it's nice that a person with
    the "power" acctually thinks about exploration
    (and not just votes, considering that there
    are matters more pressing right here on this
    planet, but never the less...)

    the question is, is there a major experiment
    that we need to do off this planet or are we
    planning on colonication?
    for science experiments the moon would be a
    decent place, but for colonialisation prolly
    not. a planet most surely has far more
    resources then a moon, and prolly feels
    more like "home" methinks.
    so it's the moon for science and mars for
    economy/colonialisation.

    for mars to work, peoples really have to
    believe that there's "stuff" out there
    and that we (humans) can reach it, that
    it is possible. plus add some excitement.
    else it will just boil down to another
    plant the flag mission :)

    also we have to take into cosideration
    continuity. how much hands-on knowledge
    has been lost after the last apollo flight.
    how many people working on the apollo mission
    woke up one day with a "apollo-hangover"?
    if we go to other planets/moons/etc. it
    shouldn't be like going to the tip of
    mount everest, but acctually building
    a five-star hotel on the tip of it :P

    space exploration has to become an industry
    (with returns hopefully / this is not really
    a requirement since alot of economy on this
    planet at this time is a farce. meaning
    for example we have just submitted to the
    fact that talking to somebody 20 kilometers
    away on a mobile phone for a minute
    costs 100 times more then sitting in a
    air-conditioned room for an hour /
    also before complaining about
    space exploration being a waste of money
    think about how our economy is acctually
    working at the moment and where "new value"
    acctually comes from (99% consumption?))

    also me thinks that any NEW perspective by
    any human can help excel other humans.
    it is well known that sailors knew that
    the planet was round some 100 years before
    philosophers/scientists even were pondering
    that question.

    for space exploration to work we need "hands-
    on" philsophy, working together, and dedication
    over many many years ...

    also maybe we should try making a small
    "artifical earth" that we can move to
    anywhere we want to go to explore, rather
    then a "go there come back" one-way space
    ship. a mother ship so to speak, something
    moveable like the ISS, a interplanetary
    "super-tanker" maybe.

    i hope i'll still be alive to witness this!

  58. Hell no by SlashDread · · Score: 1

    To hook up to the next topic, have you got ANY idea how much havoc a rebellion by skinny humans on the moon could cause just by "throwing stones" back at earth?

    We might actually -need- Reagan/Bush' StarWars laserbeamies by then.

    "/Dread"

  59. A few considerations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Aside from questions of the human need to explore and the possible economic and scientific benefits of human exploration/colonization of the solar system (including of course the moon and mars), we need better propulsion systems than we have now. Even though the moon seems to be the best stepping-stone to further exploration, we still have to get out of Earth's gravity-well to get there. With chemical propulsion this is and always will be just on the edge of economically impossible (i.e. extremely expensive therefore almost impossible). In addition to that, with chemical propulsion everything in the solar system, including the Moon, is very far away. Orion-type nuclear pulse propulsion systems are at the very least politically impossible right now. Ian Wright was quoted in the Nature article as saying: "To not travel beyond our planet would be like living a few hundred years ago and not wanting to explore new continents." The Europeans didn't explore the world until they had ships which were up to the task. To me it seems that the better expenditure would be on research into better propulsion.

  60. Extremely good point... by Seng · · Score: 0

    The sailers of old did indeed think people fell off the edge of the world after all. Hundreds upon hundreds were lost exploring the seas. If they stopped at the loss of life, we'd all be in Asia/Africa/Europe now - possibly /.'ing by carrier pidgeon.

  61. No projects work best by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    when you don't quit.

    What would you say the feasability of a Mach 3 aircraft that weighs as much as a locomotive is?

    Would it surprise you to know the engine was actually built and tested? 500 Megawatt nuclear engine. I believe the kids have a phrase for that kind of thing today. "Damn skippy."

    One of the reasons the Russians beat the US into space was we wanted to do something when we got there. They threw up a little ball. We threw up a satellite with a high resolution camera that craped pictures. We have Hubble, SOHO and other toys, they have a front row seat. Even Hubble was a little over ambitious? Remember that the damn mirror was made on earth, and required some specticals.

    I say, see about building a bigger Sealaunch and reusable nuclear boosters to go with it.

    Lift some gear up there. Maybe enough to make a little foundry, or some automated tools that can make a lunar verision of cement. Put a flag on it, and sign Ferris Buller up as fry cook trainee first class.

    The only future for humans in space, until we can live there, is to run experiments that require resperation, fingers, or the repair of complicated machines. I bet you could make silicon waffers like 3 or 4 feet across with the moons gravity. No enviroment to worry about. Lots of Titanium for new lightweight super-alloys that we might find very inventable without an atmosphere of 20% oxygen. Giant mirrors for space telescopes might be not only easier to lift to orbit but easier to make obscenely large. Or we could just make a giant space laser with which to extort money from Tim Robbins.

    Nikoli Tesla dreamed big. Didn't achive a lot of what he hoped he might, but the innovations he left in his wake are part of the foundation of our world.

    1. Re:No projects work best by MuulHead · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Going to mars would be obscenely expensive. Why not add a few more bucks and establish a permanant lunar base that can be used as a source of bulk materials needed for a mars run?

      A lunar base could solve some of the problems regarding material launch costs. The mars ship could be boosted from earth empty, and loaded with fuel produced on the moon. Ditto oxygen and water, possibly food. With the possibility of having all the fuel you could want waiting in orbit, the mars mission would then have the luxury of using a more fuel intensive profile.

      Since it costs roughly the same to earth launch a kilo of fuel as it does to launch a kilo of equipment, it makes sense to just send up the stuff that is too difficult to make off earth.

      The primary focus of such a base would be to produce and stockpile materials for later use. I'd like to see solar furnaces used to produce aluminum and glass. Waste gasses (which would include a large percentage of oxygen) could be captured and refined. Water is another material that would be fairly easy to fabricate.

      Since most of the production could be monitored and controlled from earth, only a small crew would be required on-site.

      Materials produced could be combined with equipment from earth to build facilities for getting the bulk material into lunar orbit.

      The base could have a small staff, whose primary function would be keeping a small fleet of remote control machinery running.

      Minimal communication lag would allow earth based operators to control and monitor virtually all important systems in near real time.

      No environment to trash means simple and effective methds for producing required materials on site. Water, fuel, oxygen, metals and more can be had.

      Supporting a mars mission is not reason enough to build a lunar base. It would need to serve other purposes as well. The base itself would be an ideal place to test and refine the technology for doing real work. The base would also facilitate scienttific research like astronomy.

      So we could have 3 majors wins:

      • A useful lunar base.
      • A better mars mission profile.
      • Long term lunar scientific research.

    2. Re:No projects work best by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      First of all Hubble wasn't over ambitious. The mirror was accidentily formed in a hyperbolic profile instead of a parabolic one. It was a silly mistake, not some giant technical hurdle that needed to be overcome (albeit I bet the guys responsible for making the mirror must've felt pretty damn stupid when the space shuttle was up there fixing their handiwork). I'll agree with you though that the russians raced to space the quickest way possible. Fair enough.

      But in todays modern age, the only reason we're going back to the moon is because the Chinese have a blitzkrieg space program planned, and the US doesn't want to appear like they're falling behind the times. It's another dick measuring contest. Plain and simple.

      Those who argue there's water and other precious alloys on the moon should seriously give their heads a shake. Yes there's titanium, but it's locked in ore. Good luck extracting that without a giant refinery! And the water argument seriously has me angry. Have any of you read the scientific data on the water issue? It's inconclusive people. The last satellite found SMALL water emission lines for water located near one of the poles, and hasn't been found by any radio telescope to date, signifying that it's either below the crust (IE useless) or so small that we better be damn sure we survey the area before any long term commintments like a lunar staging point for a mars mission is even considered. And that's the plan (the probe part at least). A new probe will go up just to verify if there's water on the moon, but even if it does, this is a SMALL portion of the moon which doesnt get much sunlight, which could be a risky place for astronauts to be. All of the appollo missions were placed where the light levels would be not too hot (like the face pointing towards the sun which was several hundred degrees too warm) and where they wouldn't be too low (IE in the shadow of the earth or the dark side of the moon which is WELL below freezing). In other words, all previous manned missions were done near twilight so that the astronauts would freeze or fry. And now you expect them to suddenly place these people on the frozen depths of the moon!?! I think a lot of consideration has to go into this moonbase deal before they start committing to it.

      If you want to get to mars, nuclear powered ion drives are my best bet. They're a bit slower, but the efficiency over traditional chemical engines is huge. I expect the next generation space probes like the Jupiter Icy Moon Orbiter to validate their effectiveness. If you've never heard of it, I suggest you read the nasa fact sheet:

      http://spacescience.nasa.gov/missions/JIMO.pdf

      Anyways time will tell how it all goes down.

  62. Re:To the Moon, Alice! by Ironsides · · Score: 1

    So we:
    A) Put the base underground
    B) Even if it is sharp, we can deal with that. Show me the last time dust or dirt that wasn't moving harmed steel.
    C) It would be easier to use the Moon's materials to build the stations that Earth materials due to the gravity wells.

    --
    Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
  63. Moon Base by kdgarris · · Score: 1

    I don't care as much about Mars as the idea of a permanent moon base. I want to go to the moon sometime in my lifetime, and setting-up a permanent base would be the first step towards being able to allow tourism.

  64. News? What is this "news" of which you speak? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I see a lot of "gripping human drama" but it's the sand in the information desert, and it's a long time between clouds let alone raindrops.

    Even stuff like Frontline, Nightline, and yes you trans-atlantic cannibal hippies, the BBC, are all about the emotional appeal. Why you should be sad, affraid, or a little less upset about that little girl's head that was found rolling down the hill today, and how you can protect your children after this.

    As much as I'd like to blame the newscasters, or news directors, or journalism teachers, I know it's my own damn fault. I respond to those pleas. They sucessful grab and occasionally hold my attention. As long as they do that, I can only expect more people choking back tears, bellowing with indignation, or driving down the LA highway, as opposed to insightful (not to be confused with inciteful) commentary from people who know, or clearly illustraighted explainations. After all are the French a collection of rich an varied individuals shaped by their history, traditions, events they see, and local concerns, or are they "cheese-eating surrender monkeys." Pragmatic and boring, or funny and inflamitory?

  65. WHOOOOSH!! by CGP314 · · Score: 1

    Arbitrary Actor: You know Chris, I can't but think that this whole idea of yours is expensive and dangerous.

    Christopher Columbus: Yeah, you're right actually. Sod this, let's go for a pint,


    And millions of Native Americans sigh in relief.


    -Colin

    1. Re:WHOOOOSH!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and the world loses:

      1) Mass production
      2) Radio
      3) 40% of its food production
      4) Modern medicine
      5) Flight
      6) Satellites
      7) Computers
      8) Democracy

      Oh, and don't forget to replace the word "Europe" with "Fatherland" on your world map.

    2. Re:WHOOOOSH!! by WNight · · Score: 1

      And continue to brutally murder each other as they had been doing up until then.

    3. Re:WHOOOOSH!! by juhaz · · Score: 1

      1) Mass production
      2) Radio
      3) 40% of its food production
      4) Modern medicine
      5) Flight
      6) Satellites
      7) Computers
      8) Democracy


      Yeah, all the people and their ancestors who invented those moved from Europe to America that had never been found. Right. Pretty nice logic you have going on here.

      Oh, and don't forget to replace the word "Europe" with "Fatherland" on your world map.

      That would be "Soviet Union". Soviets stopped Hitler. Yanks stopped Soviets from taking over the rest, though they still replaced half.

      Assuming, of course everything else went 100% same which is about 100% guaranteed to not happen. You are not very imaginative with your lame attempt at "alternative history"

  66. Military Uses For The Moon... by bobej1977 · · Score: 1
    Consider, what would be the political and strategic consequences if China were able to transport nuclear missles to the moon (assuming they could deliver them to targets on Earth)? Assume that the US and the EU do not have space programs that can reach the moon.

    Do our [US] ground based missles still represent a nuclear deterent when compared to missle delivery from the moon? Are our detection systems (radar, etc.) capable of detecting a missle coming from the moon with enough time to keep up our end of MAD (mutually assured destruction)? Again, answer in terms of political and strategic consequences.

    I ask you now, should we go to the moon?

    Chinese officials have previously said that some sort of permanent, most likely unmanned, base could be established on the Moon's surface by 2010.
    I don't advocate moving nukes up there ourselves, but we should be capable of preventing other nations from doing so. While my personal loyalty to the space program stems from the spirit of exploration, we all must realize that we have a space program for military as well as scientific purposes.
    --
    The meek shall inherit the earth, in 3 by 6 plots. - Lazerus Long
    1. Re:Military Uses For The Moon... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      good idea. Lets destroy their rocket launchers while they're still on the ground and prevent anybody from going anywhere.

  67. See what a Nobel Laureate has to say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://www.nybooks.com/articles/17011

    by Steven Weinberg

    1. Re:See what a Nobel Laureate has to say by Pubert · · Score: 1

      yada, yada, yada. What a load of crap. It's an employment thing! Scientists are no better than pork barrol politicians when it comes to being funded special interests. They all want THEIR pet projects funded -all others are expendable. Most of them have earthbound mentalities and wouldn't go into space personally if you put a gun to their heads. Most just don't see the whole 'manned exploration' thing at all. They never have! What they DO see, is that it costs alot. And if it were eliminated, more money would be free to dole out to the whitehairs sitting safely in their labs.

  68. teach! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    it's TEACH us! but yeah, you're right.

  69. Risk averse Americans by Moderation+abuser · · Score: 1

    "Death is no longer seen as an acceptable loss so safety is something to be taken into high consideration"

    This is why NASA is going to lose America the space race. Safety above all. Nothing safer than a straight jacket and a nice padded cell.

    --
    Government of the people, by corporate executives, for corporate profits.
  70. Right now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It the equivalent of, "Hey, why don't we add 'In God We Trust' to the money!" "Hey, why don't we add 'Under God' awkwardly to the 'Pledge of Allegiance'!" "Why don't we make a Susan B Anthony dollar that's almost exactly a quarter and has a picture of the moon landing on it!" "Why not send senator John Glenn in to space, if he dies we can bury him there like on Star Trek. I've checked and Shatner is free to do the eulogy over the duration of the mission." "Hey Public! Look! Shiney!"

    Low gravity makes for some interesting industrial applications. More over it's near zero gravity, and has no enviroment to pollute, and not much in the way of atmospheric pressure. The trick is getting industry up there. Lifting it, expensive in the extreme. Reinventing it there via remote control, there's a whole alphabet of missing steps.

    We could just send the boybands and the jackass crew up there. If they figure out how to survive, great, if not, it was worth a shot.

    Ok, just had an idea. Next April Fool's day, I'm going to release a faked photo of the moon that has what appears to be a lunar mosque on it to Arabic websites, with links to whatever news stories I can find about infadel regimes going to the moon. With the low thresholds they have for conspiracy theories, who knows?!

  71. Bollocks by Moderation+abuser · · Score: 1

    "We'll still be able to get all of the same information as the manned voyage"

    A human being is infintely more flexible than a robot. The amount of exploration which takes days or weeks with the mars explorers could be performed in minutes or hours by a human being.

    --
    Government of the people, by corporate executives, for corporate profits.
  72. Bush lies by daminotaur · · Score: 5, Interesting
    The GWB Mars plan isn't worth the paper it's printed on. He (or rather his scriptwriter) is no more sincere about really mounting such an effort than W's daddy was. He just had to say something coincident with the release of the Rogers report on the Columbia disaster. So what policy changes did he really suggest? Cancellation of all current space efforts (Shuttle, Hubble, Space Station, many other NASA projects, ASAP). In other words, his actions are isomorphic to what a frank space opponent would do. To appear "visionary" and not just like a Luddite space exploration opponent, he finessed it by coming up with a dishonest Moon/Mars scheme that will never happen. Proof of the plan's vaporware nature is that there was no mention of this "vision" in the State of the Union speech that occurred the very same week.

    GHWB also had a problem with the "vision thing" and came up with similar smoke and mirrors about Mars before his own doomed election effort in 1992. As an indication of his insincerity, he put Dan Quayle in charge of the effort.

    Bush, a chip off the old block, is a proven liar and doesn't deserve a second chance. Twelve more soldiers killed today. He should be indicted.

    1. Re:Bush lies by amabbi · · Score: 3, Insightful
      There are so many things wrong with your post that it's hard to know where to begin.. so we'll just begin chronologically.

      He (or rather his scriptwriter) is no more sincere about really mounting such an effort than W's daddy was.

      How do you know how sincere Bush I's plans were? AFAIK what killed those plans were the media and the public's reaction to the $400b price tag.

      Cancellation of all current space efforts (Shuttle, Hubble, Space Station, many other NASA projects, ASAP).

      The cancellation of the shuttle was called for by many space proponents. It is simply not capable of doing what it was designed for, and most missions it carries out can be performed by EELV's. The space station has questionable scientific value. The Hubble was scheduled to be replaced in the 2010's anyway. You can make good arguments for the cancellation of all.

      Proof of the plan's vaporware nature is that there was no mention of this "vision" in the State of the Union speech that occurred the very same week.

      Where is it stated that every initiative of the president has to be mentioned in the SOTU? How is not mentioning this in the SOTU proof of anything?

      GHWB also had a problem with the "vision thing" and came up with similar smoke and mirrors about Mars before his own doomed election effort in 1992. As an indication of his insincerity, he put Dan Quayle in charge of the effort.

      Considering the NASA Administrator reports to the Vice President, this should be no surprise. Of course, don't let that stop you from spreading political FUD.

    2. Re:Bush lies by 10am-bedtime · · Score: 1

      i skipped to the end of your post since that is where (chronologically) you would have something to say about recent events. however, i didn't find anything there. perhaps you will have more to not say about that later.

    3. Re:Bush lies by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      ...Or, you could just use the thread topic as a reason to go ballistic (cf. "scream therapy") on a not-so-thinly-veiled political rant about the president.

      Good luck working out those personal demons.

      It's /., you'll be modded "interesting" or "informative" - trust me.

      --
      -Styopa
    4. Re:Bush lies by daminotaur · · Score: 1

      You didn't do a good job of refuting anything in my post. Again: 1) Bush has done everything a frank opponent of space would do (cancel existing programs). That you agree with him about the worthlessness of the current space program is immaterial. 2) The idea that the $400 billion expenditure and vision (ha!) should not be mentioned in the State of the Union is ludicrous--unless of course he doesn;t mean it. Which he doesn't. 3) It hardly needs to be pointed out that Bush I's Mars proposal meant ZIP. It went nowhere, just as this one will. So we are left with cancellations, and no replacement efforts. 4) He is a proven liar. 600 dead soldiers and countless wounded later, he does not deserve a second chance.

    5. Re:Bush lies by amabbi · · Score: 1
      1) Bush has done everything a frank opponent of space would do (cancel existing programs). That you agree with him about the worthlessness of the current space program is immaterial.

      If he was a frank opponent of the space program, he would have gutted NASA funding. Although funding is down by a small percentage, this is more likely due to the budget situation than any vendetta against the space program. In your mind, it seems, Bush cutting a boondoggle like the X-33, is a sign of his opposition to manned space flight... and the fact that the X-33 was vastly over budget and behind schedule would be immaterial.. right?

      2) The idea that the $400 billion expenditure and vision (ha!) should not be mentioned in the State of the Union is ludicrous--unless of course he doesn;t mean it. Which he doesn't.

      Maybe Bush had other things he wanted to talk about. Maybe Bush realized that his proposal is a 5 year, $1 billion increase to NASA's budget so that the options for a grander space plan can be achieved... and talking of such things when so much is uncertain should be avoided in the SOTU.

      3) It hardly needs to be pointed out that Bush I's Mars proposal meant ZIP. It went nowhere, just as this one will. So we are left with cancellations, and no replacement efforts.

      Well, considering the Hubble is already going to be replaced, I've just debunked one point you've failed to make. Space shuttle and failed next-generation technologies (X-33/X-34, etc) are being replaced with the orbital space plane, the crew exploration vehicle, and the space launch initiative. Once again, little in terms of respectable science is going to be performed on the ISS... so why continue to pour billions of dollars into it?

      He is a proven liar. 600 dead soldiers and countless wounded later, he does not deserve a second chance.

      That's neither here nor there. This is a discussion of the space plan. But if you want to declare Bush a proven liar, go ahead. I'll go ahead and say that Clinton, Bush Sr, Reagan, Carter, Ford, Nixon, Johnson, Kennedy, etc. are proven liars as well. What's your point?

    6. Re:Bush lies by cat_jesus · · Score: 1

      Where is it stated that every initiative of the president has to be mentioned in the SOTU? How is not mentioning this in the SOTU proof of anything?

      I'm not the brightest guy in the world but I would think that any program that is more important than getting atheletes off steroids would have been mentioned.

      This president really should be impeached but not because of this, because he misled the US and the world. He came into office with every intention of invading Iraq. That is simply criminal. Much more so than lying about a blowjob, secretly selling drugs and arms for hostages or even covering up a break in. He should be impeached, convicted and removed in chains.

  73. Actually, the main cost is NASA's beaurocracy. by Moderation+abuser · · Score: 1

    "The main cost is boosting mass out of Earth's gravity well which you have to do in both cases."

    They happen to do the boosting, but others can do it for a fraction of the cost.

    --
    Government of the people, by corporate executives, for corporate profits.
  74. Re:Should the US go for the 1st time at least by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It was great. Your mother also went and we spent the whole trip having 0-g anal sex.

  75. Destroy the Moon by andy666 · · Score: 1

    Every year, tidal damage costs earthlings trillions of dollars in damage. The only choice is to teach those mooners a lesson and blow them out of the sky. I suggest that we redirect and asteroid and shatter them to pieces. Or conquor and enslave the population to make it a giant steakfruit farm.

    1. Re:Destroy the Moon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rediculous venture. The latest headlines say 10% of South Africa's youth have AIDS. Deal with this first rather than putting a few humans on a barely hospitable rock in space. Let's perfect being human first before wasting resources elsewhere.

  76. Re:First Post by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Good morning to yourself, FAILURE!

  77. It's political fluff. Manned space flight's over by Pubert · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Sorry to sound like a cynic -but I believe the whole 'exploration' Bush proposal to be disingenuous from the start.

    He knows good and well that the House and Senate are not going to support it in any way, shape or form. Especially in the current economic climate.

    But this allows the shuttle to be grounded and manned space program to be dismantled on the sly without taking the direct political heat.

    The bizarre canceling of the Hubble servicing mission it telling. Because of 'safety concerns?' Oh, please.

    Servicing the Hubble is too risky -so, like, we're going to go set up less risky bases on the moon and Mars instead?!? Yeh, riiight....

    Sorry folks, the shuttle will be grounded after our space station commitment is over. The Bush initiative won't be funded.
    The result: Bush can say it wasn't his fault, the shuttle will be canceled (a shuttle follow-on won't be funded either, btw) -and the responsibility for supporting the remaining years of the space station will be shoved onto the Russians.

    It's sad -but I fear the days of manned space flight are drawing to an end.

  78. I'm waiting... by EM+Adams · · Score: 1

    for a new (quasi-immortal) body before I explore space. Once I have a virtual reality to immerse myself in and some universal constructors I'm getting off this planet and forming a new colony and government. Now who is with me?

    --
    Posthuman since 2001.
  79. Romantic vs. Rational by greatmazinger · · Score: 2, Insightful
    I've had this discussion recently with a co-worker. And my impression that the only reason people can come up with for putting a man back on the Moon and sending men to Mars is one of two things:
    1. Becase the human race should "explore."
    2. Because it will make everybody else feel better.

    What about scientific progress you say? Well, as it has been pointed out many many times, we can explore the Solar System in a cheaper fashion by sending unmanned probes.

    This whole "we need to explore like Columbus and Magellan" bit really smacks of religious zealotry. IMHO of course.

    1. Re:Romantic vs. Rational by pocopoco · · Score: 1

      You title your post "romantic vs. rational" seeming to want to associate your position with rationality, but then you argue for only letting space related science progress in the romantic direction. Exploring with remote probes is useless if we never go there. The Hubble is busy looking at crap we won't have practical interest in for centuries.

      Your position smacks of navel gazing while us zealots at least want to go do something and develop the technology needed to put people in space and on other worlds and keep them there. Having useless, unpractical astronomy and "just for knowledge, not for use" exploration grouped in with real progress is an insult, not an insight.

    2. Re:Romantic vs. Rational by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      omphaloskepsis!!!

    3. Re:Romantic vs. Rational by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what the heck does that mean?

    4. Re:Romantic vs. Rational by greatmazinger · · Score: 1
      Exploring with remote probes is useless if we never go there.

      That's just patently false.

      Your position smacks of navel gazing while us zealots at least want to go do something and develop the technology needed to put people in space and on other worlds and keep them there. Having useless, unpractical astronomy and "just for knowledge, not for use" exploration grouped in with real progress is an insult, not an insight.

      My. I seem to have hit a sore spot.

      You still haven't addressed the fact that every "pro" for manned exploration is in fact a "pro" for unmanned exploration. And unmanned is cheaper and safer by orders of magnitude.

      Ad hominem attacks are not valid responses.

  80. Cheese by sieb · · Score: 1

    I say screw Mars until we can make it on the moon first. Robots can keep going to Mars. If we had ancient technology when we first whent to the Moon, how hard would it be to go back now? We get ISS finished, use it as a springboard for trips to the moon, and store extra fuel and such on the moon(or process it there). Not to mention the kind of imagery we could get if we had a telescope planted on the dark side of the moon, both at the sun when it faces it, and into the expanse of the universe when its dark!

  81. Back?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Back? What do you mean back?

  82. The Space Station, The Sea and The Gaza Strip by qualico · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What do the Space Station, the Sea and the Gaza Strip all have in common to answering a desire for a Moon/Mars base?

    Well the Space Station is a good example of cost.
    If we can't even get it together in orbit at a reasonable price, than why attempt other more distant places?

    The Sea is a vast region unexplored.
    Take a Google for Palm Island.
    If we are not building out into the sea than we certainly have plenty of space to build under it.
    Sea Cities should be attempted before Space Cities.
    Much of the same problems can be worked out in the ocean and indeed NASA does a lot of practice in water tanks before going live in space.

    The Gaza Strip looks a lot like Mars.
    Lots of rocks to throw around at each other anyway. My point here is that unless we fix our geo political problems, Mars will become just another sandbox to behave badly in.

    1. Re:The Space Station, The Sea and The Gaza Strip by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "My point here is that unless we fix our geo political problems, Mars will become just another sandbox to behave badly in."

      If we waited on that for anything, the human race would never have gone anywhere. Never will, for that matter. We'll always be behaving badly in whatever sandbox we can reach. Humans behave badly. Period. End of story.

  83. Arguments don't stand up to scrutiny by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 3, Informative
    We still need launch capacity no matter where we go.
    It actually requires more delta-V to soft-land on the Moon than it does to aerobrake and land on Mars. This requires a different (bigger) launch capacity, under conditions where you also need to carry supplies which a Martian expedition can produce locally. If the goal is to go to Mars, the development of these additional capabilities is an expensive diversion.
    We still need the ability to handle surviving in a can for a time.
    Skylab, Salyut, Mir, ISS. What the Moon costs us is the ability to use artificial gravity to reduce muscular and skeletal deterioration. Again, an expensive diversion.
    We still need the ability to build a shelter in a foreign world with little resources.
    The character of those resources is extremely different between the two worlds. The Moon's resources are heavily depleted in volatiles and relatively un-differentiated, with lots of native (reduced) metal in the regolith; Mars' include an atmosphere full of oxygen, carbon and nitrogen, heavily oxidized materials and differentiated mineral deposits including hematite. The experience gained on one isn't transferrable to the other.
    Perhaps more importantly, Luna could be used to test automated systems that will help us on mars.
    You can test software in your backyard on Earth. What you really need testing for is hardware, and the hardware designs necessary for conditions of hard vacuum and a 28-day sol are very different from airborne dust and a sub-25-hour sol.

    The Mars Society is testing out mission concepts by mucking around in deserts, in Nevada and up above the Arctic circle. Going to the moon would not help. While it might be worthwhile in its own right, it is not a stepping stone and should not be represented as such.

    1. Re:Arguments don't stand up to scrutiny by llefler · · Score: 1

      The Mars Society is testing out mission concepts by mucking around in deserts, in Nevada and up above the Arctic circle.

      Going to the moon might not be the answer, but playing in the desert isn't either. Mars habitats might not need to be able to work in a vacuum, but it wouldn't hurt. And the trip there will require it.

      The thing about the unknown is that you're going to make mistakes. If you are a programmer, would you want to write software on a machine where you can only compile once a day or one that lets you do it once an hour? I'm not convinced that we could test every contingency from orbit. That would make the moon a useful place for failures.

      --
      It is amazing what you can accomplish if you do not care who gets the credit. -- Harry Truman
    2. Re:Arguments don't stand up to scrutiny by prisoner-of-enigma · · Score: 1

      It actually requires more delta-V to soft-land on the Moon than it does to aerobrake and land on Mars.

      Very true. But Mars also requires a higher delta-V for escape velocity, and there's that pesky atmosphere creating drag, things you don't have to worry about on the moon. It's a double-edged sword

      The experience gained on one isn't transferrable to the other.

      Regarding Lunar mining versus Martian mining, you're right. However, setting up a lunar base would give us experience in doing something we've never done before, namely setting up a permanent, ground-based habitation on a hostile world. Given that it's much cheaper and quicker to send something to the moon rather than Mars, the moon is the better place to do beta testing.

      The Mars Society is testing out mission concepts by mucking around in deserts, in Nevada and up above the Arctic circle. Going to the moon would not help. While it might be worthwhile in its own right, it is not a stepping stone and should not be represented as such.

      I would submit that setting up test environments in the Nevada desert are nowhere near as demanding or unforgiving as something like the moon. History has shown many times that our ability to properly estimate challenges of this magnitude are weak at best. Better to actually build a base on the moon to test our abilities to do so rather than simulate it here and do it for the first time on a planet where help is, at best, nine months away.

      --
      In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
    3. Re:Arguments don't stand up to scrutiny by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      If you could set up your habitats to be under 2 bar of pressure, and you put them in the arizona desert, I think that would be a pretty decent mars simulation, unless it rained. The primary difference then would be in the speed of the winds (which should be lower on earth) and the amount of crap they can carry (which will be higher.)

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Arguments don't stand up to scrutiny by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      More delta-V, yes. But not by much.

      However, a Mars expedition is much more mass-intensive - it's much longer and has a lot higher logistics requirements. As to supply regeneration, the moon has just as much to offer as Mars does, it's just different engineering (producing oxygen from the regolith opposed to producing it from atmosphere - debatable both ways)

      What the Moon costs us is the ability to use artificial gravity to reduce muscular and skeletal deterioration. Again, an expensive diversion.

      That argument is moot when you consider the travel times (~3 days versus 6 months or so). If you're arguing surface gravity, Mars has only twice what the moon does; and the travel loss penalties far outweigh the surface benefits.

      full of oxygen, carbon and nitrogen, heavily oxidized materials and differentiated mineral deposits including hematite. The experience gained on one isn't transferrable to the other.

      There is very little oxygen in Mars' atmosphere. There is, however, a lot in the lunar regolith. Sure, it's a little harder to liberate it; but the quantity bound on Luna (aluminum oxides) is higher.

      nd the hardware designs necessary for conditions of hard vacuum and a 28-day sol are very different from airborne dust and a sub-25-hour sol.

      Mars isn't that far from a hard vacuum, either. Plus Mars has other problems that counteract hard vacuum welding of moving parts - notably dust fines getting into the machinery.
      The solar factor actually works to an advantage on the Moon - more sun, for longer times, and if we put our base near the poles, nearly constant sunshine.

      As to your last sentence, I would think that if we could go to the Moon and make a colony work there, then Mars would actually be easier, because we'd have developed tech (and people) which/who could survive in a harsher environment. Yes, they are different problems - but Luna being harsher would make it a better test.

      You also missed one point; Lunar colonies would be easier to help out, if needed, given the shorter travel times, than a Mars effort. If something went seriously wrong with a Mars expedition, Earth would be helpless as far as sending help; but we could boost emergency supplies to Luna a lot quicker than Mars (and within a day and a half or so if we were willing to spend the propellant)

      Cheers!!!

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  84. We need a "Compelling Reason" by krswan · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I was lucky enough to see a debate on this topic this past Saturday between Neil DeGrasse Tyson and Bill Nye (yes, the Science Guy) at the National Science Teachers Assn. conference. Dr. Tyson is on the GWB commission, so he was pushing manned exploration, and Nye was pushing for expanded robotic exploration.

    They both made excellent points for their own side, I really came out on Nye's side... we had a "compelling reason" for going to the moon - to beat the "Godless Commies." As much as we like to think of our species as explorers, we don't generally take the physical or financial risk unless there is equal profit from it. Until we have something that will give us gain equal to the risk, there will never be the political will (driven by the will of voters) that we need to support it.

    What are compelling reasons? Someone already brought up He3 - but if fusion becomes a reality and an economy forms that runs on the stuff, NASA won't need to go to the Moon to get it, the energy companies will on their own. For Mars - the discovery of current or past life would likely be a good enough reason. Nye points out that our best chance of making that initial discovery is with robots. Send people to do the more complex work that will come later.

    While I disagreed with Dr. Tyson and the commission's plan, I walked away with new respect for the man (who I haven't really liked due to the whole Pluto thing). He made his case well and is fighting passionately for it. He admitted that the commission has had to so some "smoothing over" of things in GWB's speach that were "physically impossible," specifically the part about the benefits of landing on the Moon on the way to Mars. I like the idea of moving money from the shuttle towards a "space plane" or the like, but I don't like how pure science will suffer in the meantime.

  85. Columbus (et al) did not go "because it was there" by Cragen · · Score: 0, Flamebait
    In the article, Mr. Wright says, "To not travel beyond our planet would be like living a few hundred years ago and not wanting to explore new continents." Sorry, Mr. Columbus went West cuz that was how he thought he could get rich. He only got financed because he convinced his backers that they would become rich, too.

    After 50 years of worshipping the heroes of Science in spirit and, more importantly, in taxes, I am calling "bullshit". I will no longer support the use of public money on projects that do not directly improve the living conditions of, at least, one person ( just one, that's all I ask) who is not directly nor indirectly involved in the financing, planning or execution of the project. So, unless the reason for going to the Moon (or anywhere else) is based on expediency or economy, I am no longer buying arguments of the Scientific Bureaucratic Family. (That being the Fellowship of American University and Federal Scientists who, without projects like going to the Moon, etc., would actually have to do work that solves a real problem. Seriously,

    cragen

    ps. NSF Budget + NASA budget = ~$20billion+. That does not count any other Department's or Agency's Research Budget.

  86. Why a "pit stop" on the moon is a bad idea by jlcooke · · Score: 1

    The Moon is a gravity well. To fall into the well, you must then climb back out. You effectivly need to bring with you fuel to:
    a) leave earth orbit - which accounts for over 75% of current lift-off mass of space shuttle (even more for Saturn V)
    b) Burn fuel for a safe landing on the moon
    c) Burn more fuel to leave Moon orbit
    d) Burn still more fuel for a safe landing on Mars
    e) Burn yet still more fuel to leave Mars orbit
    f) Burn yet still again more fuel to slow down for a safe landing on Earth

    The Saturn V was a "cockroach strapped to a gas can" to begin with. And that was for a Lunar trip that crashed into the Earth. You want to do this 3 times you say?

    What, is George Bush's science advisor the same science advisor as Lost In Space, An American Werewolf in Paris, or Armageddon?

  87. What about the moon-based giant space laser... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...to defend us from the Space Monkeys? Or the Mole People? Or even the Green Slime? These threats are REAL!

  88. American investors only: why? by VitaminB52 · · Score: 1
    We should get up to the moon and lay down some infrastructure for American investors to use to get their entrepeneurial space-based business ventures underway

    Tell me, why are you writing about American investors, and not about investors in general? The moon isn't American property, so why shouldn't non-American investores be part of moon-based business operations?

    1. Re:American investors only: why? by CriX · · Score: 1

      If NASA lays down some power or transportation infrastructure on the moon, I'm saying that American investors should get first dibs to their use. I welcome foreign investors too, but after Americans. It makes sense.

      --
      Moderation: +1 pwnage
    2. Re:American investors only: why? by tybalt44 · · Score: 1

      Um, correct me if I'm wrong, but that would violate about six million trade agreements that the U.S. is a part of.

    3. Re:American investors only: why? by VitaminB52 · · Score: 1
      Yep. If only NASA invests in these infrastructure projects, it would make sense. However, both the European Space Agency and the Chinese space agency have plans for the moon. Let's hope all three parties (and maybe the Russians) continue with their plans.

      As usually with high tech project, the biggest hurdle is the financial one. I've heard a lot about Russian plans, but I doubt if they have the money.

      The USA certainly does have the money, political commitment changes with every new administartion in Washington DC.

      The Chinese have the money, and the political commitment.

      ESA doesn't have the money, and the member states (claim to) have the political commitment. But when they (= member states) are asked to donate money, their first priority is to make sure that ESA spends at least as much money in their country as that country donates to the ESA budget. ESA has great technology, but this national pride of the member states often prevents optimal use of the technology. Sigh.

      So there are several (potential) candidates to investing in infrastructure on the moon. I hope this will create a new space race between the candidates, because that is the only thing that is guaranteed to start and finish such an expensive enterprise.

  89. Re:mining the moon for helium-3 by SB9876 · · Score: 1

    Also, there are serious doubts as to just how useful those Helium 3 deposits actually are. They are believed to be present in the part-per-billion concentrations. Finding methods to extract useful amounts of the stuff are still hypothetical.

  90. I Am Not Paying For It. Are You? by $criptah · · Score: 1

    I do not know about you, but I really do not want to pay for yet another safari. We went to the moon, fought in Vietnam and made two trips to Iraq. I still do not see how that affects me, a regular tax payer. Our government pisses through our money, creates enormous deficits, and instead of solving the problems that we have right here right now, we want to solve the problems that we do not even have. What_the_fuck?

    Do not get me wrong, I am a big fan of physics and astronomy; I would love if we could afford to spend money on space programs. However, there are millions of Americans without health insurance. Our kids are dying in the desert, and this country is turning into a clusterfuck. Why not spend money on where it counts and then see if we have enough for a space program. Drive across the country and you will see that there is a lot of stuff that we can improve. Inner cities, impoverished rural schools, roads. If you really want to make my life better, please spend money on traffic management and alternative sources of power.

    Let's provide health and childcare for those who cannot afford it. How about tuition-free state schools for good students? We lost some jobs due to off-shoring, why not retrain the professionals and move on? I bet this is hard to swallow for the guys in Washington. Lockheed Martin and Boeing can survive without more government contracts.

    Finally, let people vote on it. If people want to vote on same-sex marriage, I do not see why people can't vote when it comes on spending billons of tax dollars on pretty pictures from Mars.

  91. Antarctica better than the moon? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What for? Ice mining?

    The moon has all sorts of unique economic advantages. There's the low gravity, the vaccuum, the un-filtered solar energy, the raw surface soaked in high-quality fusion fuel...

    Antartica is just like every other continent only miserably cold, getting very little sunlight, with the worst weather and practically everything under a sheet of ice.

    Make no mistake: we could easily live on Antartica. However, commercial exploitation is forbidden by treaty. Anyway, it's not anything new and uniquely valuable, it's just more of the same only worse. I can think of a hundred reasons to live on the moon, and none to live on Antartica except to get away from everybody else.

    1. Re:Antarctica better than the moon? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Anartica has substantial resources including water. The big one in today's economic climate is oil. I wonder if we'll start seeing violations of the Anartica treaty well before its expiration in 2030?

  92. Forget Both of Them (for now) by utexaspunk · · Score: 1

    Maybe I'll draw the ire of some people by saying it, but there's no point in going to either of the places at the moment. The first Moon mission served a second person- proving to the USSR that we had ICBM capability and would dominate space. Going to the Moon or Mars does not prove any new strategic capability.

    I think the main motivating factor for the Bush administration pushing this (in words, at least, if not with their money) is to give the appearance of having "vision". They think it will give them the same "visionary appeal" that Kennedy got for going to the Moon the first time.

    The problem is that visionaries don't COPY others. This makes Bush the visionary equivalent of Bill Gates. I think if he were a true visionary, he'd push a big artificial intelligence or robotics program. I look at the amazing things coming out of Japan and wonder where the US will be in a few more years of not keeping up with Japan's progress. I think it is to the US's advantage that Japan has disavowed military aggression, because who knows what their robots will be capable of soon. Regardless, the US economy will be SCREWED if they develop artificial intelligence or fully automated robotic production before we do.

    And Japan is getting to this point because they have the vision to see that this is worth investing in, even though it may not reap rewards in the short-term.

  93. Not now, but soon. by OgGreeb · · Score: 2

    There are lots of good reasons to want to go to the Moon/Mars. To quote others here:

    1. "We want to go to the moon and to Mars. Because we want to we will eventually." To fulfill the promise of the Apollo astronauts. Bacause its there, we can see it in our sky every day of our lives and it will inspire every human.
    2. Build towards space colonies and the survival of humans. "a degree of protection from disasters of the sort that killed off the dinosaurs."
    3. Launching point to other destinations. "great place for testing technologies needed for exploring/ exploiting asteroids." "Large-scale mission to the moon to mine Helium 3."
    4. "To discover the things that we don't know about living in extraterrestrial environments - BEFORE we strand a group of humans 2 years away from earth."

    Let's say it will cost some humongous amount X of money to arrive at Mars in 20 years. This amount X won't be able to be used for other purposes in medicine, agriculture, science, deficit reduction, etc.

    IF you compare the cost to achieve this NOW vs. the rate of growth of scientific knowledge and technology application in the last 100 years, the practical answer would be to wait 20 years, see some amazing breakthrough which would allow us to pay 10% of X and most likely arrive at the destination in the same time frame. I have faith in humanity's ability to find answers to problems and come up with new solutions, and the only risk we take is that something catastrophic will happen during the next 20 years. If it did, we would be no worse off, since any progress made now won't significantly change the effect of the catastrophe then.

    --
    -- Gary Goldberg KA3ZYW 301/249-6501 AIM:OgGreeb Digital Marketing Inc., Bowie, MD //www.digimark.net/
  94. Moon fossil hunting by Gorimek · · Score: 1

    One useful thing that could be done on the moon is fossil hunting. Not from any Moon organisms, but stuff from Earth!

    When big enough meteors hit Earth, material is thrown into space. Some of that will land on the moon. We have found several pieces of Mars rock on Earth that came that route.

    There is of course no shortage of Earth rock on Earth itself, but it's been exposed to the environment for billions of years, and a lot of the interesting stuff has been destroyed. Anything that's spent the same time on the Moon would be in almost pristine condition. Even if it's only minerals it would be very interesting, but there should also be vegetation, bacteria, insects and maybe ever bigger organisms there, all freeze dried and vacuum preserved!

  95. Re:Short answer:Mod jafac up by xxdinkxx · · Score: 1

    These are very good points, why hasn't slashdot given jafac(1449) +5 insightful?

  96. We like tha moon by AchimbaProphet · · Score: 1

    We should go "coz it is close to us" - moon song rathergood.com

  97. Who is this "we," Kemosabe? by Le+Marteau · · Score: 1

    Should "we" go to the moon? Say WHAT?

    Go ahead. Be my guest. Go to the moon, the stars, mars, wherever you like. Just don't force ME to pay for it. I'm having enough trouble making ends meet without being forced to pay for another program those fools in Congress decide is a good idea.

    --
    Mod down people who tell people how to mod in their sigs
  98. Nonsense by garyrich · · Score: 1

    The "use the money to feed the poor" argument is foolisness. Feed the poor and they are just hungy again tomorrow. They are an expense. Arguably a necessary and important expense but an expense.

    Space exploration is an investment. A risky investment and a long term investment, but it isn't an expense.

    They are not the same thing. In your personal life, if you short change your investments to fund your expenses (like most fools do) you will end up penniless. I don't want to be that 70 year old greeter ar Wal-Mart and I don't want the world to be whatever the equivalent is. Actually that equivalant is probably simple extinction. This planet is not going to support us forever (reminder - forever is a very long time).

    --
    -- your Web browser is Ronald Reagan
  99. The moonshot is a military consideration. by GrnArmadillo · · Score: 1

    The Chinese are threatening to put a base on the moon, and Bush wants to pre-empt them by establishing a military presence there first. Of course, this would be controversial, so why not claim that it's a testing ground for a trip to Mars that will never be funded? If the moon base actually happens (at a cost of 400 times or more the meager $1 Billion Bush pledged so he could claim to be for going to Mars), they can always claim the money ran out and call off the Mars thing later.

  100. America First, then Mars, then the Moon by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

    We should put an American on Mars before anyone else does, for the tech, the glory, the territorial claims, and because we might meet a little green man. But just once. Our incomparable Moon experience shows followup missions have vastly less "bang for the buck", although the science is valuable - and published globally. Riding the wave of bragging rights flying behind the "first man on another planet" achievement, the American government should develop a Moon industry, with at least a few Americans staffing mining, solar energy collection communications, and research institutions. Once we've reaped some benefit from our closest neighbor, we can use it to launch industrial programs to Mars. Unless the little green men object, and have a death ray.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:America First, then Mars, then the Moon by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Is someone other than the US really likely to put an American on Mars? Not that I'd mind if someone packed up Dubya and sent him. It's his vision, right?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:America First, then Mars, then the Moon by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      China is likely to send people to Mars, sooner than later. It would let them have a "China First" claim, beat the Americans, and reap all the scientific/industrial benefits. Plus, it *is* the "Red Planet", so the propaganda value for them is not only vast, but vaster than ours. If you don't think China can do it, I suggest you look to history.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    3. Re:America First, then Mars, then the Moon by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      If you didn't get my point that (someone like) China would probably not be launching American Taikonauts (or whatever) then I suggest you reread my post :)

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:America First, then Mars, then the Moon by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      Your subtle poke at my unclear grammar gave me an excuse to post that link to the Chinese history, so I blundered on :). Thanks for your patience. But actually turns out an interesting question: who but America would be taking foreigners along on cutting-edge aerospace flights? At first it seems jingoistic... America, the lonely internationalist. But with so much outsourcing, especially of heavy industry, is America looking at a future where we're professional passengers, hoping some of our economic competitors are going our way?

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    5. Re:America First, then Mars, then the Moon by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      Well, I sure hope so, but I suspect we'll be one of the companies offering the rides, or the businesses doing so will be (at least some of 'em) based out of the USA. However, China definitely has the capacity and may have the drive to actually develop space, which is what all us sci-fi readin' types have been clamoring for for many years.

      It doesn't make sense in the long term to have space flight be a government-funded endeavor. On the other hand, it's tricky convincing companies to spend the kind of R&D money necessary to exploit space. So the governments of the world (those which can afford it anyway) are going to have to continue with development of space in the near term. I think in the long term, rising demand and improving technology will bring the price down like anything else, and we'll see only two types of groups launching anything: The military, and the private sector. Other governmental groups will just pay one or the other to launch their equipment. However, that is still quite some time off...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    6. Re:America First, then Mars, then the Moon by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      I agree, in principle. Nothing says "peace" like international lines at commercial spaceports around the world. But China is a "communist" mafia, an extremely closed society. They won't be letting "the people" get on one of their "people's launches" anytime soon. The irony also applies to their more likely automated approach to new technology, like a long, pioneering Mars mission: cheaper, with more industrial payoff, they'll be sending many robots, with very few overworked astronauts, possibly one-way as a "scientific martyr" to "world socialism". When I'm zipping around the Solar system, I want to be able to read the airport signs and cheap novels.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  101. drama? More then that by N3wsByt3 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I've said it before; probes can't colonise. And I think colonising planets is a survival advantage which is important enough to keep funding human exploration alongside robotic-exploration.

    Saying 'but let's wait untill things get cheaper' is a non-argument: one can ALWAYS say that, because, even if hardware becomes a hundredfold cheaper, it STILL will be more expensive to send humans, and by that time, robots will be so flexible that they rival or surpass humans.

    But that's not the point; unless we send self-replicating intelligent robots that we consider to be our heirs, and sit back and die out as a species ourselves, we STILL have to continue exploring and colonising planets.

    --
    --- "To pee or not to pee, that is the question." ---
  102. That depends... by FridayBob · · Score: 1

    ... on why we plan to go there in the first place. If all we really want to do on the Moon (or Mars) is pick up some rocks and leave behind some footprints, that's fine, but remember that we could just as well use robots to the science part. The footprints would make some of us feel proud for a while, but are otherwise pointless in the grand scheme of things. Plus, those footprints are hideously expensive.

    As a boy, I watched the Moon landings and fully expected us to get to Mars before the year 2000. Alas, things didn't pan out that way, but that's not just because it's so expensive; it's also because no government has ever given their space agency the order (and the budget) to actually *colonize* space. The people with the money have never given us a real reason to send anybody up there. Therefore, any such project is subject to budget cuts and even termination as soon as the politicians think their constituents might be getting bored with the whole idea.

    IMHO, if we ever do decide to start spending gigabucks on a Moon or Mars-base project, then we should do it *ultimately* for the only reason that will ever make a difference: to set up a permanent, self-sufficient, self-sustaining colony there so that the human race will no longer have to live with all of it's eggs in the same basket. We should go there to stay, to grow, to make money, for science, for tourism, for fun... whatever: as long as we intend to stay there. 'Here we stand and here we'll stay!' -- that kind of attitude. Only such a plan can ensure that people -- and businesses -- back on Earth will remain interested long enough to start investing their money in the colony and everything around it. This way also, after a while, the politicians will no longer be able to pull the plug on the whole show.

  103. Unimanigative People by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

    The statement "what if it can't be done?" is absurd all around. Nothing "can't be done" it's just that some things are harder to do than others. What if ther's no water on the moon? Maybe we'd have to harvest oxygen and hydrogen from other minerals on the moon then. Or are you implying that there is no oxygen or hydrogen on the moon at all?

    And what is this about "There is no chance to make an Antarctic colony", there are Antarctic colonies! Sure they're not self-sustaining, but they certinally could be given enough R&D. I mean, if the earth is a self sustaining biosphere, and it's neerly a closed system, than it is definatly possible (not that I did not say easy) to make self sustaining systems in a man-made closed biosphere as well.

    When people say it's impossible to colonize other planets, what they really mean is that it's hard. Well, somethings we have do things that are hard (well, maybe you don't). No one ever learned anything by saying "well, we could try somehting new, but it will be difficult, and what we try might not work, so I guess we'd better jsut stick to doing things the old way. If everyine thoght that way we'd still be swingning form trees.

  104. I am ashamed of my geek brothers by cowtamer · · Score: 1

    For a bunch of geeks, /. is certainly full of shortsighted dimwittedness when it comes to space travel:

    "It's too expensive. There's nothing to do there. We haven't solved the problems on earth. What if it doesn't work. The shuttle doesn't run Linux. Embedded sattelite OSs aren't aren't licensed under the GPL, etc."

    Put your high-tech baby bottles away, quit whining, and look at the situation:

    0) There is a vast universe out there, which we have not even scratched the surface of in terms of discovery.

    1) We used to have the capability to _land another human being on a heavely body_. Mankind has dreamt about this for millenia. We have LOST it due to disuse and lack of further vision.

    2) Someone (whatever you might feel about him on other issues) has actually put forth the vision and the resources to take us beyond our planet.

    3) Just as any software needs a userbase to mature, the capability to move beyond our planet needs to have _real_ users (i.e., people living on the closest place to get to) if it has any chance of being developed.

    4) Projects of this magnitude are the _ONLY_ way certain things we take for granted today can come into existence (sattelite communications, cell phones, digital watches, etc.) Even if the first colony were to fail, think about all the neat/useful stuff that MUST come out of such an endevaour. Otherwise, we're stuck waiting for the next generation PDA or graphics card as "innovation"

    5) Without a base on the moon and the vision to go further, the same resources to be spent on this would be spent on buying staplers for some bureaucrat's office and reorganizing visionless initiatives.

    AND YOU PEOPLE ARE STILL ASKING "WHY ARE WE DOING THIS?" You should be the ones helping spearhead the technology to make it possible...

    Geeks of the world unite! You have nothing to lose but your requirements telecons...

  105. This is exactly it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fundamentally, we will have to colonize other planets. This is not an "if" it is a when. We will. Beyond the trivial concerns of our daily lives one thing is certain, the Earth will eventually be destroyed.

    Since it is neccessary, it deserves a much larger portion of resources than tax breaks to hockey leagues, or increasing the output of munitions factory. It's even more important than ensuring in our old age we get that extra large condo in south eastern california.

    We MUST colonize, and WE WILL. Why not do it now, and why not do both (Mars and the Moon). This is not a choice between the two.

  106. Go Everywhere. After Orbit. by DynaSoar · · Score: 1

    IIRC, it was Clarke that said "Once you're in orbit, you're halfway to anywhere."

    Where to go becomes a variable once you have a good solid footing in orbit. Chesley Bonestall's artwork of vonBraun's ideas are still some of the best instant presentations of the best possibilities; multistage lift and transfer vehicles and wheel design space station, all for building craft to anyplace.

    --
    "I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B
  107. No by cubicledrone · · Score: 1

    Of course we shouldn't go back to the moon. It's too expensive.

    It's really too expensive to advance civilization. It's too expensive to search out scientific truth and to inspire entire populations. It costs far too much to invent new technology, and to work together to achieve a common goal.

    It's also way too risky. What if we fail? What if our new technology doesn't work? What if we spend too much in the budget?

    What if all these questions had prevented the great accomplishments of history? What kind of a sad, pathetic, hopeless world would we inhabit if we allowed bean-counters and pessimists to limit the yearning of the human spirit?

    --
    Business isn't willing to pay for products, innovation and careers, so we get brands, mortgage commercials and layoffs.
  108. Re:It's political fluff. Manned space flight's ove by cubicledrone · · Score: 1

    Especially in the current economic climate.

    You mean the one with eight quarters of growth, the best job numbers in 20 years, the Dow up 20% and the NASDAQ up 50%? That economic climate?

    There ain't no recession no more.

    --
    Business isn't willing to pay for products, innovation and careers, so we get brands, mortgage commercials and layoffs.
  109. Space Travle Worries by dave1g · · Score: 1

    Since one of the biggest worries about going to mars is all the things that go wrong with your body, why don't we do a year long test flight in a very large orbit around the earth-moon system for a year or so. Close enough so if something goes wrong the crew can return to earth within days.

    Perhaps at the end of 6 months they would land on the moon, do some science/exploring, then with the obiter now orbiting the moon only, return to it, and once again simulate the 6 month flight back to earth by going around in a huge orbit.

    The orbit would be far enough out to have no protection from earth's magnetic field.

  110. Re:It's political fluff. Manned space flight's ove by Pubert · · Score: 1

    >you mean the one with eight quarters of growth, the best job numbers in 20 years In India you mean. I'm a Systems Engineer with a masters degree -and I've been unable to find work for 2 years. I know dozens of professionals that have just given up looking.

  111. Mars or Bust! by BlankTim · · Score: 1

    Look at it this way,

    The sooner we go to mars (skipping stops at the moon), the sooner we can begin to mine Tribinium. The sooner we begin mining, the sooner people will immigrate to mars to work as miners.

    A large influx if miners will require cheap, affordable housing, IE; Domes.

    The sooner we start building the cheap domes, the sooner the UV and poor living conditions will spark genetic mutations in the nativly born (martians!) population.

    The sooner the mutation occur, the sooner I can go visit a martian brothel and get laid by a babe with 3 tits!

    And really, isn't *that* why man wants to explore outer space?
    To meet alien women and have sex with them? ;)

    --
    Just once, I'd like it if someone called me "Sir".
    Without adding, "You're creating a scene."
  112. What are you talking about? by fredmosby · · Score: 1

    Everyone I know would be willing to risk their lives to go to another planet, and I only know basement geeks. NASA is adverse to risks because it knows that if someone dies the media and the politicians will make a big deal out of it. The astronauts know the risks and are willing to take them.

  113. Seven Planets of Gold by OpenSourceOfAllEvil · · Score: 1

    The only thing that's likely to motivate anyone is if we find an indigent "heathen" population and we have a race to mass drop holy re-education centers on for their own good.

    Yeah, I'd love for us to get off this rock too but considering the fact that every president since Kennedy who claimed he cared about the space program was lying through his teeth, I have little hope of it becoming a reality. It's easy to say you have a long range plan when you know your administration is leaving in four years and someone else will do the budget cuts. Rolling and bouncing around in a cluster of beach balls was hardly NASA's first choice for a mars landing.

    Ironically, it's very likely the space community itself will aid in shooting itself in the foot by failing to speak in a single voice. Go to the planets, go to the moon, L5? Then will come the intellectual debate and corprorate battle as to how to get there.

    But the largest issue people fail to see is the tangible benefits that having a space program really means for the country. Nobody wants what this country produces anymore. Nobody wants our cars, TV's, electronics or appliances anymore. Microcomputers were a direct result of the space program. That created giants like, IBM, HP, TI and Microsoft.

    Now, computers are manufactured in Asia and programming jobs are being outsourced to India. There will be very little to keep this nation from slipping into economic decline. The rest of the world is learning that world powers aren't made and toppled with bombs but dollars, money that is only earned by technology.

    A space program allows us to keep a technological edge and a financial one. Without continuing to innovate we become as short-sighted as the RIAA that we blast so often for defending its antiquated financial model. Without jobs that require higher educatation there is little reason to pursue it. It's small wonder that the money from major U.S. corporation is now going overseas, wherever technology is growing fastest is where the money is.

  114. We have unfinished business... by argent · · Score: 1

    To hell with Mars, we have unfinished business on the Moon.

  115. Mysteries of the universe should be cracked first by master_p · · Score: 1

    Should we go to the moon ? is there some scientific knowledge that we will gain ? will something new come up ? nope. Instead, we should focus our trials on cracking the big mysteries of the universe, namely gravity/anti-gravity, faster-than-light travel, zero-point energy and the theory of everything. There are already numerous clues that all these are possible.

    If we crack the above, it would become a non-issue to which place in the universe we will travel. Then, the true space age will begin.

  116. Space Elevator by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Forget large-scale chemical rocketships, use a Space Elevator.

    Edwards told SPACE.com that he's been wrapped up in space elevator work for some three years, supported by grants from NASA's Institute for Advanced Concepts (NIAC) program. "I'm convinced that the space elevator is practical and doable. In 12 years, we could be launching tons of payload every three days, at just a little over a couple hundred dollars a pound," he said.

    As to the cost of getting the program off the ground,

    "If budget estimates are correct, we could do it for under $10 billion."

    Transfer the money that would be spent using chemical rockets to lift materials from Earth to designing better safety systems and living quarters, or wherever else it could be better spent.

  117. "Some day the aliens will come for us... by feelyoda · · Score: 1

    "...CMU-RI creating the robots today to fight the aliens tomorrow."
    -RI T-shirt

    But seriously, "dangerous and costly" means more than what you get on face value.

    Danger should be minimized. Experiments on underground bio-domes should continue here on earth while robots perform experiments on the moon. They will eventually build our bases before we arrive. I'm talking tele-presence here, so intelligent autonomy can take its sweet time getting developed.

    Here is an example of what I'm talking about:
    http://vesuvius.jsc.nasa.gov/er_er/html/ro bonaut/r obonaut.html

    Here is another:
    http://www.frc.ri.cmu.edu/projects/skywo rker/
    and
    http://www.frc.ri.cmu.edu/projects/tre stle/

    "Costly" is another matter. Hopefully the cost of launch vehicles will go down. This will happen eventually. The cheapest way to go to space is to send robot, and make them do the job on their own. Luckily, rather than getting a microwave and some nice space-age materials, this modern day Space Race will create something far more interesting: intelligent, useful robots.

    The applications are everywhere.

    So, yes it will cost $10-40B over 20 years. BUT, I can name dozens of different robotics applications which will yield multi-billion dollar profits.

    The point: the money is going somewhere, so let's make it go to something we can use on earth!

    --

    Robo-Blogs of the world: UNITE!
  118. Slightly OT [Re:long term.] by Sanga · · Score: 1

    As time goes by, aren't we supposed to solve tougher problems??

    Yes: setting up a Moon base presents problems that are several dimensions/magnitudes removed from the Columbus voyage. That does not mean it cannot be done.

    However _does_ it need to be done is a question that needs to be answered. Same with Antarctic colony - if there were {insert_favourite_pot_of_gold_here} in the Antarctic, some one would have done the legwork to settle there.

    Once we as a species realise that our destiny is in space, we will colonise Mars/Moon. If we somehow get what we want with unmanned missions, then that too will be done.

  119. No big hurry by Ra5pu7in · · Score: 1

    Should we skip a moon base and go right to Mars? I don't think so. While launch costs may be about the same and landing on Mars more conservative of fuel, the Mars orbit is such that there long stretches of time where the distance between Earth and Mars is greater than the distance to the Sun. The delay in communications and the worse delay in potential resupply or rescue missions would be critical, especially at our current technology level. Even at its closest, it takes on the order of months to get to Mars, while travel to the moon is on the order of days. Of course, all this is based on a hypothetical question of sending humans to build a base on either.

    As others have rightly pointed out - we don't even have semi-self-supporting bases in Antarctica, under the ocean, or on a orbital space station. (By semi-self-supporting I mean one that can provide enough food, air, water, activity, comfort, etc. to support humans for long enough to counter resupply failures and unexpected disasters.) The last few "life-bubble" experiments ended unsuccessfully. Until we can show - under extreme conditions - that a base is feasible, we shouldn't be sending people to Mars (or even the moon). In fact, for a Mars base it would make more sense to ship raw materials and "robots" first and have the base (or, better yet, multiple bases) built and operating long before humans ever set foot on the planet.

    I understand the desire to get out there - I personally would be part of an extra-terrestrial base (or colony) in a heartbeat. Just to experience it vicariously through others is an exciting thought.

    Christopher Columbus didn't sail on a raft or in a canoe. He had data that told him the earth was round and he could keep sailing west to reach India. He sailed with 3 well-equipped ships. We have much more precise data on the locations of the moon and Mars than he had on India and are obtaining data on their composition. The biggest thing that pushed him doesn't exist here - potential profits from a new trade route with an existing known trade partner. We don't have that. Having astronauts to throw their lives away just to say "We landed a man on Mars" or "We set up a base on the Moon" is foolhardy and more likely to shift public opinion into the negative on space exploration..

    BTW - Every time space exploration comes up, the same old arguments and counter-arguments are brought out of the dustbin. It's expensive and we could better use the money to help feed people on earth. It's dangerous and people can easily die. It's all fake anyways. It will never have any useful purpose. Man wasn't meant to leave earth. And so on.

    Yes, it is definitely expensive. But the idea that funnelling those millions spent on space exploration into human welfare projects misses the fact that billions are ALREADY pouring in that direction with little effect. Pouring water down the drain isn't filling the bathtub, so we want to run the sink's faucet into the bathtub as well. Really clever ... that oughta work just peachy. Some of us would rather have our tax dollars fund an effort to establish a Moon or Mars base than increase the welfare dole or pay farmer's to not grow crops. (Besides, creating jobs is much more successful in handling poverty and hunger than increasing payouts.)

    Yes, it is certainly dangerous. For that matter, living is dangerous. How many of us avoid showers or baths since that is the MOST dangerous activity in the home (according to some statistics)? Hey, no fair raising your hand if UT2004 is the real reason you haven't bathed. (War is dangerous too, but that is nearly always troll-bait rather than serious.) Anyway I'm willing to wager that there is not a single astronaut who is unaware of the many potential dangers of his or her career. Like other dangerous careers - firefighting, race car driving, soldier - there are known dangers and unknown dangers. I can say with certainty that there will not be a single space venture in my lifetime that involves an individual who didn't want to take that risk.

    All the rest is simply opinion - and we all know that opinions are like a particular somethin because everyone has one.

    --
    I was taking one day at a time, but then several days got together and ambushed me. (from a Rhymes with Orange comic)
  120. Re:The Freezer Gal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    She didn't kill him. She only cut off his cock and balls. I believe it.

  121. Going to the Moon.? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    welp,

    After blowing the 'heck' out of Iraq, and congress wanting US taxpayers to pay or ante up $86 Billion to re-build it. I vote NO to all space travel.

    Even our commitment to 'help' with the international space station is almost up, so no need for more shuttles being built or flights after commitment is over.

  122. Changing the mass of the moon by abertoll · · Score: 1

    To build something significant on the moon, I presume they will be using materials from earth. How will this affect the orbit of the moon? I hope they make sure not to "over do it" or anything. Once the moon's mass is changed beyond a certain threshold, I suspect it will either escape or crash into the earth. How much does "one base" weigh?

    --
    "he drew his sword Ringil that glittered like ice... and he wounded Morgoth with seven wounds..."
  123. Did we really land on the Moon? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, we haven't. Get real!

  124. Colonize Antarctica!!!!!! by willtsmith · · Score: 0, Troll


    Antarctica has the following things that neither mars nor the moon have:
    1) Breathable atmosphere.
    2) More hospitable climate (cosmic rays)
    3) Readily available water just sitting on the surface. No mining required.
    4) Seasonal game (penguins and seals).
    5) Transportation and refuel costs are about 100,000 times less.
    6) A functional airport.
    7) Return trip (once people are excessively miserable on a barren (though less barren than the moon and mars) is only about $1000 or so.

    The notion of a moon-station or mars mission is just money wasted. Space exploration should be left to life-long career professionals ... ROBOTS.

    BTW, if a big asteroid comes to destroy Earth, we can just dig some deep holes and store enough food to last a couple of decades. It would be far cheaper and more reliable than attempting to return barely self-sustaining mars colonists to earth.

    --
    -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
    1. Re:Colonize Antarctica!!!!!! by willtsmith · · Score: 1

      It's great to know that people respond by modding down some fairly obvious facts regarding the merits of colonizing Mars/Luna vs colonizing Antarctica.

      The fact that Antarctica has NOT been colonized shows that neither Mars nor Luna have any economic value or prospects for self-sustainability.

      --
      -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
  125. Emigration! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In the future, unemployed people who can't afford to live on Earth could be sent there!

    There is an historical precedent, it's us..

    It's all supply and demand!
    See

    http://odur.let.rug.nl/~usa/D/1601-1650/mittelbe rg er/servan.htm

  126. Moon? No! Mars? No. The alternative: by lbonser · · Score: 1

    The asteroid belt. Mine the damn things, and a few comets too, and pay for all the rest of the exploration you'd ever want, manned or unmanned anywhere in the freaking solar system and beyond. The net energy cost to get to the asteroid belt is actually less than for Mars because you wouldn't have a large gravity well that you'd have to climb back out of to return to Earth. And on the return trip, you'd have more than just a bunch of science experiments with you--you'd have raw materials that can be used in industry. The comets may very well have compounds that are unknown on Earth, the asteroids may have precious metals. And if not, at least you'd have a large supply of iron and nickel that can be mined without destroying anymore of the Earth's biosphere. And the whole living in space thing can be worked out just as easily heading out to the asteroids as it can be going to Mars.

  127. Nuclear rocket testing by QuantumG · · Score: 1

    Although there are techniques for safely testing nuclear rockets on earth and some nuclear rocket testing going on, space researchers are still a bit too timid to go ahead with a nuclear rocket program. The advantages of nuclear rockets over conventional rockets include massive reduction in rocket mass and increase in specific impulse. Testing of nuclear rockets on the Moon (which is already highly radioactive due to constant bombardment from the solar wind) will prepare us for a fast journey to Mars, i.e., weeks not years. Then we can make multiple trips and build massive ships for journeys to the outer planets.

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
  128. Colonize Antarctica!!!!! by willtsmith · · Score: 1


    Sure we could colonize Antarctica. Though it would be prohibitively expensive. Plus, no one would really want to live their permanently. They'd have a TERRIBLE life.

    Even with the prohibitive costs associated with colonizing Antarctica, it would be 3 or for orders of magnitude CHEAPER than colonizing either Mars or the Moon.

    Of course, Colonizers for Mars and the Moon would face FAR MORE hostile conditions in addition to being millions of miles farther away from re-supply and ESCAPE!!!!!

    Antarctica has a breathable atmosphere.
    Antarctica has an abundant, readily available supply of water.
    Antarctica has native fauna (seals, penguins) that can be eaten.
    Antarctica has less WAY less deadly cosmic rays.
    The average temperature in Antarctica is actually HIGHER than either Mars OR the Moon. It also experiences less overall fluctuation in temperature.

    So by all means, lets colonize Antarctica before we consider an Lunar or Martian effort. It will be cheaper and the fleeing families will be back to better climates much sooner.

    --
    -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
  129. Rev your engine then slam on the breaks by willtsmith · · Score: 1


    I for one am glad to see the Chinese wasting money on manned space exploration. It will divert their focus from things that are TRULY important.

    If they want to blow half their GDP on a moon-base, I encourage them. That way, I don't have to worry about them building nuclear submarines.

    BTW, Europeans are too smart to waste money with manned moon missions.

    --
    -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
  130. Moon first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because it has no possibility of an ecosystem to be screwed up - we can test our stuff without concern for destroying existing alien life.

  131. Re:It's political fluff. Manned space flight's ove by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
    One thing I have noticed is that what is good for a corporation is rarely good for the people. It's usually just really good for a few people.

    Another thing I have noticed is that since people have less money, they want to spend it on cheaper crap, so we will have a bunch of crappier jobs running around to produce and distribute this cheap crap. In other words, there might be more jobs, but they're not jobs that you can support a family on. Remember, gas prices are up, food prices are up recently... It's a hard time to be poor, and it's hard to find a job that pays well at the moment - Not just in the computer field. Remember, all those computer professionals (and unwashed, untrained technical support masses) have had to get other jobs now, too :)

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  132. What the Moon lacks ... by willtsmith · · Score: 1


    A POINT!!!!!!

    Beyond the Huzzah and "Climb every mountain" bullshit, you'll find the moon a barren rock. Any resource that can be found their can be found on Earth for 10,000x cheaper.

    All the technologies that people bring up "from the moon" seem to all be directed at manned space exploration. "We need to go to the moon at great expense, because THEN we'll be able to go their CHEAPER".

    Manned space exploration will feed, clothe, and shelter NO ONE. It will cure NO diseases.

    The ONLY people who's input we should consider on extra-terran base/colonization are submariners. That's basically what your life would be like. You'd live in a submarine, expect it would be on the Moon.

    Submariners aren't exactly "psyched" to go out on a 6 month cruise under the ocean without access to the outside. Ask a submariner if they'd do that for TWO YEARS straight and see what they'd tell you. Would it really matter if their submarine was going to Mars?????

    --
    -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
    1. Re:What the Moon lacks ... by LaCosaNostradamus · · Score: 1

      When talking about things like space exploration, I imply colonization. After all, there wasn't much point for Europeans to cross the Atlantic to exploit the resources of the New World without outfitting themselves to actually live there.

      Hence, you may find my remarks incomprehensible. By assuming no colonization, you can correctly deduce that the investment in a Lunar manufacturing center will just be a waste of money, time and materials, and likely Human lives.

      Beyond differences in opinion based upon sound assumptions, you are suffering from a clear lack of engineering knowledge. Living on the Moon doesn't have to be a submariner experience. Let me refer you to a good book that can educate you:

      "Welcome to Moonbase"
      Ben Bova 1987 Ballentine Books
      ISBN 0-345-32859-0

      --
      [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
  133. What we CAN do by willtsmith · · Score: 1


    We could probably build a colossus of George Bush that stood twice the size of Lady Liberty. The question is ... WHY would we want to do that???? What benefit would it give us.

    Similarly, I have no question that we could create a Moon or Mars station. The point is WHY??? What benefit does it provide for society???

    Yeah, I know what the benefit would be for YOU. It's cool. Yeah, I think it's kinda cool too. But I realize that it's a LOT of time effort and resources to put into something that does not HELP society.

    We have rotting schools, dilapidated hospitals, and people without access to ANY form of healthcare. I would raze the entirety of NASA in return for universal health care and a teacher for every 15 students.

    Treating all people in America with true compassion is a lot better than doing something "cool".

    --
    -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
  134. The shuttle is ... by willtsmith · · Score: 1


    The Shuttle is a launch and recover space station. The shuttle is like driving an RV to the end of your driveway to get the mail.

    Nasa's biggest mistake was allowing Skylab to fall from orbit. The "flying washing machines" were far cheaper.

    Unfortunately, we're kind of stuck with the shuttle for a while. I definitely think we should scale back the number of missions it does. But it will ALWAYS be needed to do ISS construction and repair missions.

    --
    -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
    1. Re:The shuttle is ... by llefler · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure why you think the shuttle will ALWAYS be needed to service the ISS. According to a PDF I just found from Florida Space Research Institute, the Shuttle has a maximum payload of 24400 kg to LEO. The new Delta IV Heavy is 26530 and the Atlas V and Titan IV are 20520 and 21680 respectively. We don't seem to be having any trouble getting supplies and personel to ISS now. We just need the shuttle for the heavy lifting for new components. I don't see any reason why the Delta IV can't take over those tasks.

      --
      It is amazing what you can accomplish if you do not care who gets the credit. -- Harry Truman
  135. Social Security Myth!!!! by willtsmith · · Score: 1


    The idea that Social Security is in trouble is a myth. Social Security collects TWICE as much as it pays out right now.

    The reason this is a problem is because the money is being funnelled back into the general budget (the great stealth tax that applies to the lower/middle class).

    If you want to fix the federal budget, get rid of all the tax loopholes and force rich folk to pay their taxes (which they are NOT doing right now).

    --
    -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
    1. Re:Social Security Myth!!!! by Moofie · · Score: 1

      Um, you do understand that all the Baby Boomers are about to retire, and then your Social Security taxes are going to get, like, a lot bigger, right?

      Yes, we need to make sure that everybody's paying their taxes. But "Soak the rich" doesn't work, because there aren't enough rich people.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    2. Re:Social Security Myth!!!! by willtsmith · · Score: 1

      Ah yes, I do understand.

      The problem is that the "lock box" isn't locked. The money has been looted to pay into the general fund.

      Beyond that, Social Security is solvent till 2042. The simple step of uncapping taxable income on social security taxes should push that out quite a bit.

      BTW, you do realize that the top 10% control 90% of the assets in this nation, don't you. It's a lot easier to squeeze wealth out of the 90% than the other 10%, even if their are 9 times fewer than "everybody else".

      --
      -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
    3. Re:Social Security Myth!!!! by Moofie · · Score: 1

      Uh, I retire in 2039. So I get a few measly bucks for three years, and then get to eat cat food. Woo and yay.

      Of course, I'm going to be SMART, and provide for my own retirement. Sure wish I wasn't being taxed to death to pay for everybody else's.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
  136. A Moonbase is Purely Military... by rlbutler · · Score: 1

    A moonbase has little navigational benefit to further Mars exploration - this is purely military. If you think about it in this context, it's the obvious move. Just consider recent /. articles regarding the militarization of space. Learning about other planets is interesting in our spare time. Dominating this one is task #1 and it's not something you get to vote on.

  137. Why go to the Moon? Some ideas... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Reasons to go to the Moon (manned and/or unmanned):
    - Figure out if there's any water at the poles, how much, and in what form
    - Learn if 1/6 gee turns bones to jelly like 0 gee does
    - See if there's enough K and P in the KREEP rocks to mine as fertilizer
    - See if there's enough thorium to mine as reactor fuel
    - Low gravity + regolith for shielding + tunnels for waste disposal = good place to experiment with nuclear propulsion
    - Test processes for getting iron, titanium, aluminum, and oxygen from rocks and regolith
    - Design, build, and test construction robots that can excavate regolith and build a shelter (so human crew, if any, has a shelter waiting when they arrive)
    - Lunar robots could be remote-controlled (2.7 sec round-trip lightspeed delay)
    - Closer to Earth than Mars; quicker trip home for human crew if there's a problem
    - Moon is poor in resources (no H, C, or N) -- if you can make it there, you can live anywhere in the Solar System
    - Science (e.g. geology)
    - Mine near-Earth asteroids by pushing them into a collision with the Moon first
    - Test rockets fuelled with aluminum and oxygen (both derived from lunar rocks)
    - Stationary Bussard device to collect hydrogen from solar wind?
    - (long-term) Put humans elsewhere in the Solar System to prevent extinction (e.g. terrorist virus attack, large meteor strike)
    - (long-term) Mass driver to launch material into orbit for construction
    - Look for the Monolith :)

    PS - why does this server probe my system when I try to post?

  138. ONLY UNDERGROUND by newpath4com · · Score: 1

    We should build under the lunar surface. The Moon surface should remain un-spoiled and un-touched! hehehe www.newpath4.com/travel2space.htm

  139. Already Poasted a Respnsse to this by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

    He is the text from my previous post in a different thread which I think addresses your concerns. "It's true that it'd take a lot of energy to do anything in space using rockets, but that's not really the idea is it? The idea is that this kind of R&D will produce technologies capable of doing space travel efficiently. Moreover, they might lead to technologies that make every day life more efficient. You're right that we don't need infinite growth (population wise) as a species. In fact, as nations become industrialized, their birth rate usually drops (perhaps due to chemicals? work related stress? not wanting kids?). Whatever the reason, in maybe a dozen more decades overpopulation probably won't be an issue and the world's population will level out. Japan and (a lot of) Western Europe are already to the point where they no longer replacing their population (except through immigration). The real point is advancement. Perhaps as we develop space travel it will lead to a greater understanding of nature and the universe in general. More over, hopefully it will inspire people to increase their own understanding of the universe. Most important of all, perhaps it will allow people to put all their insignificant problems in perspective, and allow people to work together toward a better human society rather than merely squabbling about petty differences. Sadly these are all just the pipe dreams of a foolish young idealist, but I can dream, can't I?"

    1. Re:Already Poasted a Respnsse to this by willtsmith · · Score: 1

      "It's true that it'd take a lot of energy to do anything in space using rockets, but that's not really the idea is it? The idea is that this kind of R&D will produce technologies capable of doing space travel efficiently

      Well no, I thought the idea was to accomplish something. We can do plenty of rocket research without involving a single human being piloting in "space monkey" mode.

      We are perfectly capable of creating new technology WITHOUT the involvement of space flight.

      Perhaps as we develop space travel it will lead to a greater understanding of nature and the universe in general. More over, hopefully it will inspire people to increase their own understanding of the universe.

      We spend 3 times as much researching space as we do our own oceans. Paradoxically, our oceans are far more relevant to our health as a species. I have no problem with exploring the universe, but we can do that with telescopes and probes.

      Most important of all, perhaps it will allow people to put all their insignificant problems in perspective, and allow people to work together toward a better human society rather than merely squabbling about petty differences.

      Ask a Palestinian why he hates a Jew. I'll bet that the lack of manned space flight hardly enters into the equation. These problems may seem petty to you, but they're pretty fucking important to Palestinians and Israelis. Astronauts on the moon won't affect this or any other conflict one bit.

      Sadly these are all just the pipe dreams of a foolish young idealist, but I can dream, can't I?"

      Feel free to dream. Dreams cost nothing. Saturn V rockets cost billions. Cruising around in orbit is fine, just don't force everbody else half a trillion dollars for a Mars shot.

      --
      -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
    2. Re:Already Poasted a Respnsse to this by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry that you're so bitter and cynical. It's really sad that you're so set in you own ways and beliefs that you're unwilling to even consider that better things might be possible. Of course, you're probably right that people will only bring their problems into space with them but I'd doubt that spending trillions of dollars on social programs will work either.

      The real problem is that people get set in their ways and are unwilling to change and adapt. I think that space travel and manned space exploration has a great deal of potential to bring change. Anything that gives people something to strive for and work toward provides a positive benefit for society. Space travel is particularly beneficial because it so so high profile. It insights peoples imaginations about what might be possible, and leads them toward trying to build a better world for tomorrow.

      Palanistians and Jews, on the other hand, have no bright future to work toward, so instead they focus on their differences, and squabble over petty, meaningless things. They're literally fighting and dying for some of the most infertile, resource free land on the planet.

  140. We shall live on cheese by willtsmith · · Score: 1


    Oh no, not the fucking Columbus analogy again. I'm sure you realize the fallacy of this. You simply choose to ignore it.

    The Europeans came upon a land rich with just about everything. It was readily available and easy to harvest. They started turning profits VERY quickly.

    So you want to make manufacture shit on the moon???? Globalization isn't enough. You want Solarization. No doubt you've found the magic manufacturing pill that will overcome $700/pound to get things into earth orbit and the likely $20k to $100k required to get things to Luna and Mars.

    Fuck, it can take a couple hundreds of millions to tool up a factory. Thats with all the machine tools, metal processing and technicians being readily available. Multiply all that equipment by $20,000 per pound and see what you come up with.

    The organization with all the EXPERIENCE (NASA) has sent off $300 mil probes that have simply blinked out on the way to Mars. Yeah, shit goes wrong. That was a small, limited purpose device. Your talking about transferring complete segments of economies out of Earth's gravity well and onto extra-terrestrial bodies. And THEN, shipping them back.

    Back to the submariners. Economics will determine the size of crew quarters. Smaller is cheaper. Sure you can dig into the surface of the moon and create sub-terranian domes. Of course, you have to get a TBM up their first. Or will you simply manufacture it on site using your lunar fabrication plant, supplied by your lunar steel/titanium/aluminum mill, supplied by your lunar mining operation that has to process tons of rock to get pounds (or ounces) of usable material. Oh and don't forget the armies of robots to staff all these operations. Fuck, we can barely get a little fucking car to work right on Mars.

    Oh, or is that preceeded by lunar concrete plants to build domes from native aggregate and 10mil per bag portland cement shipped from Earth.? Of course, water would be derived from mining a ton of rock for every cup.

    Seriously, I don't think YOU need to colonize the Moon or Mars. Your mind obviously already dwells there. Perhaps I have no knowledge of engineering. But it's pretty fucking obvious that you have no appreciation for the level of technical challenges that such an operation would require and the trillions it would suck from our economy.

    And WHAT would it return?????? Less pollution on Earth???? Is that AFTER processing a couple billion tons of rocket fuel and 5 forests worth of paper to put factories (and jobs) on an extre-terrestrial planet. Couldn't we just put our existing waste in better containers and save the effort????

    Seriously, I think you need to go colonize Antarctica since your so dedicated to your ideals. Antarctica has thousands of times the resources as either of those barren rocks PLUS it has a breatheable atmosphere and abundant water which requires NO MINING!!!!!

    --
    -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
  141. Re: Colonizing Mars by some+guy+I+know · · Score: 1

    The one thing that robots can't do as well as humans is doing the research necessary to establish a permanent presence on Mars.
    And that, after all, is our ultimate goal.

    --
    Those who sacrifice security to condemn liberty deserve to repeat history or something. - Benjamin Santayana
  142. Re: Moon as a means to Mars by some+guy+I+know · · Score: 1

    You seem to be assuming that the only reason to build a base on the Moon is to support an expedition to Mars.
    Establishing a Moon base will have many benefits unrelated to its being an intermediate step to Mars.

    --
    Those who sacrifice security to condemn liberty deserve to repeat history or something. - Benjamin Santayana
  143. Re: The dark side of the Moon by some+guy+I+know · · Score: 1
    the dark side of the moon which is WELL below freezing
    The Moon doesn't have a "dark side".
    Parts of some craters at or near the poles may be in perpetual Solar darkness, but the rest of the Moon gets sunlight at approximately 28-(Earth)day intervals (the length of a Lunar day).
    --
    Those who sacrifice security to condemn liberty deserve to repeat history or something. - Benjamin Santayana
  144. Re:Strategic value of the Moon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Looks like someone disagreed with you. Of course, here at Slashdot, that
    means you are a troll. You can be comforted in that:
    1. It was probably a newb
    2. If it was just a regular /. asshat they got the hell meta-modded out of them.

  145. the moon first by alizard · · Score: 1
    We can get on the moon the resources needed to build a relatively low-cost space infrastructure including things like a solar power satellite (SPS) network capable of replacing fossil fuel completely, NASA has early-stage designs for a 1 TW network. A very large part of the estimated costs for a SPS system is the cost of launch. Getting something from the moon to orbit costs a fraction of what boosting from Earth does.

    So I favor going to the moon and building a lunar mining and industrial complex, not a "moon base".

    For more information, go here

    Or, we can go to Mars first, get back a few hundred pounds of Mars rocks, a few gigabytes of video, and masters/PhD theses for a couple of generations of science grad students.

    The other point is that with going to the Moon, we probably get even more science done. It'll be a lot easier for grad students in related discplines to do experiments in space or on the moon if universities can simply send them commercial and rent housing and lab space for them than if they have to arrange for their experiments to go to space via conventional launch facilities, and if they're around their experiments and something goes wrong, the fix will be a lot cheaper than a satellite payload.

  146. who cares about exploring? by alizard · · Score: 1
    I'm a lot more interested in industrial exploitation. There is clean energy and resources out there for the taking.

    Inaccessible? So was the American West before the railroad. The Space Elevator may be possible depending on what happens with CNT, railgun technology developed for SDI is a reasonable fallback if the Elevator proves unbuildable within a reasonable timefram.

    BTW, I just metamoderated you downward, "Insightful" just didn't seem right for your post.

  147. no,what we should do by alizard · · Score: 1
    So we spend that money on rotting schools, dilapidated hospitals, and people without access to ANY form of healthcare.

    So we have fixed schools, the finest hospitals, and universal health care when the oil runs out. The numbers I've seen say we're 1-2 generations away from that. Will anybody care at that point?

    I've addressed the point you think you're making at length here

    Catch a clue, there's a reason why progressives have the reputation for being clueless about technology, and you're adding to it.

  148. Re: Moon as a means to Mars by zero_offset · · Score: 1

    That was the assumption of the post to which I was replying.

    However, it is my opinion that a moon base will have few benefits compared to a Mars base. The benefits would be very different in each case, and judging their relative merits would be rather difficult, but that is my opinion. I'm sure an astronomer, for example, would feel very differently.

    In any case, I firmly believe the moon is of almost no value as a "jumping off point" for a Mars base. Even if we had a moon base, it would make a lot more economic sense to go to Mars directly from Earth. It's just too expensive and complicated to make a moon base useful for Mars launches. Going there directly from Earth isn't particularly hard or expensive by comparison.

    --

    Slashdot quality declines as the number of hot grits posts decreases. - Provolt's Law, Apr-09-2005