Posted by
CmdrTaco
on from the men-go-on-top dept.
Gerhardius noted a NYT article (you know the obnoxious deal) about new "shuttle" designs coming out of NASA. The payloads are riding up top to avoid debris.
549 comments
Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
TripMaster+Monkey
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· Score: 4, Interesting
As long as we're no longer trying to send up cargo along with personnel, now might be a good time to revisit single-stage-to-orbit designs such as the Delta Clipper and the Roton.
I don't recall any debris problems with either of these designs, although the leg design seriously needs to be rethought. If you have four legs, a failure of any leg results in disaster (witness the spectacular failure of the Delta Clipper). Six legs, on the other hand, would be far more stable...you could lose any three (provided they're not all adjacent) and still pull off a successful landing.
-- ____
~ |rip/\/\aster/\/\onkey
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Could someone please edit the Roton wiki to either include a link to "LSP" or define what it means?
Otherwise, the article is kind of useless for most people to understand what the benefit of the rocket is.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Peyna
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· Score: 1
Ah, I just did it myself. The grammar on the page was atrocious as well. If anyone else is up to it, the entire page could use a freshening up. There is far too much passive voice, poor comma usage and various other problems that seriously affect readability.
Not to mention the use of the word "whilst." Did a Brit write this article?
-- What?
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
costas
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· Score: 1
What happened was that the design in the NYT article retains some of the infrastructure of the STS, meaning a lot of the jobs that are associated with that massive pork barrel that also goes into orbit.
The NYT article is basically a PR exercise by Thiokol to get the inside track for an STS replacement and it may very well work. However, look out for what Boeing and Lockheed will come up with as they too stand to lose a lot of subsidies contracts with a potential STS replacement. Having said that, the DC-X does merit a second chance...
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
joib
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· Score: 1
As long as we're no longer trying to send up cargo along with personnel, now might be a good time to revisit single-stage-to-orbit designs such as the Delta Clipper and the Roton.
I don't recall any debris problems with either of these designs, although the leg design seriously needs to be rethought. If you have four legs, a failure of any leg results in disaster (witness the spectacular failure of the Delta Clipper). Six legs, on the other hand, would be far more stable...you could lose any three (provided they're not all adjacent) and still pull off a successful landing.
My gut feeling is that SSTO is based on the same kind of economics as the space shuttle itself. I.e. the admittedly intuitive idea that a reusable spacecraft, a space shuttle if you like, would be oh-so-much cheaper to operate in the long run. Still, history teaches us that the shuttle is the most expensive and among the most risky ways of getting stuff into space ever created.
A SSTO spacecraft would only make these problems worse. And why? You might save a few bucks by having reusable engines and fuel tanks, but that can be done much cheaper by letting the used rocket stages parachute back to earth. Hauling everything to orbit requires a huge amount of energy, compared to a multistage design.
That is not to say that SSTO is a bad concept as such. When we have materials that would allow a reusable spacecraft to be used truly like an airplane as opposed to the huge amount of maintenance work the shuttle undergoes between flights, and when we have better engines (nuclear?), then SSTO might be a more cost effective concept than the traditional multi-stage rockets. I just don't think technology is there yet.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
krgallagher
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· Score: 1
"As long as we're no longer trying to send up cargo along with personnel"
We are sending cargo. We sent a gyroscope the size of a washing machine this trip. The truth is, there is no other launch vehicle on the planet capable of boosting all the remaining pieces of the intenational space station into orbit. If the shuttle cannot complete its its missions, the space station cannot be completed.
--
Insert Generic Sig Here:
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
bleckywelcky
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· Score: 2, Insightful
Because single stage to orbit is the dumbest idea anyone ever came up with. Why in the world would you carry a ton of extra weight past a normal staging point? It's pointless. You waste so much energy carrying the dead weight. The performance gains by staging a rocket from 100% to even 50%/50% are immense, despite all the extra structure, components, and management to handle the staging. We're talking about taking the second 1/2 of your energy that you would normally spend on 100% of the weight, and only spending that energy on like 70% of the weight.
The only thing you can possibly gain is simplicity for a reusable vehicle. That way, when it lands, you can just perform a checkout and refill the tanks, and you are ready to go for another launch.
But having a unified launch/CEV is a dumb idea as well for similar reasons to that of having a single stage to orbit launch vehicle.
Now this is all for chemical rockets, some day SSTO with anti-matter propulsion or something might be perfectly fine. But while we're still taking fuel and oxidizer, and combusting them together, staging is the way to go.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
It wasn't a Brit what wrote that article.
It was a Kansas-City faggot.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
thrillseeker
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· Score: 1
If the shuttle cannot complete its its missions, the space station cannot be completed.
Maybe we could get back to actually exploring space instead of endless orbits then.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Skyfire
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· Score: 1
Ooooh! I just did some of that yesterday! I explored a lot of space under the front seat of my car! Though, to be honest, I'm not sure why you think we should get back to exploring things like that...
-- Do not go gentle into that good night. Rage, rage against the dying of the light.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
budgenator
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· Score: 1
there is no other launch vehicle on the planet capable of boosting all...
The present shuttle is an abomiation the replacement should be designed to maximize modularity, if a module is to be reused it should clearly be less expensive to maintain than to replace with new. If mission requirements need more payload, than add boast modules
-- Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
LifesABeach
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· Score: 1
Fact: Shuttle 8+ people per launch. Apollo, 3 people per launch.
Personal View: This is not new design, this is CYA at the top of the food chain. Why?
Fact: EVEN if you use Burt's solution for only one launch; Its STILL cheaper than the apollo solution.
Conclusion: After Burt Rotan's solution, M&M's are no longer sold at NASA vending machines; Why?
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
91degrees
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· Score: 1
Presumably then, the trick is to make a reusable first stage. Then we put satelites and anything else we want to keep up there in a tin can, and we can have a lightweight shuttle-like vessel to get the crew back. Or just an Apollo capsule.
Getting something down to ground from 100km is a lot easier than getting something from LEO to 100km. It makes sense to handle all the reusable stuff at this level.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
090h
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· Score: 1
Hmmm... that's funny... I just walked by the vending machine here in my office building at KSC, and lo and behold, not only chocolate, but peanut M&Ms too!
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Burt Rutan's Spaceship One is not a solution to this at all. It's a sub-orbital design, based on convential flight to high altitiude plus a rocket "kick" to take it out of the atmosphere.
It will never scale up to orbital flight because it could neither carry the fuel to boost that far, nor could it withstand re-entry from orbital velocities.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
grozzie2
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· Score: 1
Fact: EVEN if you use Burt's solution for only one launch; Its STILL cheaper than the apollo solution.
Fact: Even today, at a geeky place like/. folks are still confused by the difference between a vertical shot to altitude, and an orbital shot.
A full launch to / from orbit consists of 4 phases. Phase 1, lift out of the atmosphere. Phase 2, accelerate to orbital velocity. Phase 3, decellerate from orbital velocity. Phase 4, descent to landing.
Compared to Phase 2, 1 and 4 are trivial. If you choose to use aerobraking for phase 3, phase 2 is trivial in comparison to the engineering problems of phase 3. Rutan's SS1 only dealt with phase 1 and 4, the two 'trivial' components of the problem. While they are not actually trivial, they appear trivial in comparison to the engineering required for the rest of the phases.
This is all about orders of magnitude of difficulty from an engineering perspective. Accelerating to orbital velocity is an order of magnitude more difficult than the lift out of the atmosphere. Aerobraking to decelerate from orbital velocity (assuming you want the vehicle to remain intact) is an order of magnitude more difficult than the acceleration problem. When you add all the structure/fuels required to accomplish phase 2/3, you increase the difficulty of phase 1 by an order of magnitude. Choose any decleratioin method other than aerobraking, and the problems of the lift phase go up 2 orders of magnitude because you now just quadrupled the fuel requirements for initial lift, if you can even figure out a way to lift that much at all.
To make cost comparisons between rutans 'solution' and the shuttle solution is (in terms/. folks should understand) equivalent to saying this. It costs 2 cents to make a transistor that can switch at 100khz, so it should only cost a few cents more to make a cpu that runs at 4ghz with a meg of on board cache. In terms of differences in engineering difficulty, comparing SS1 to an orbital return vehicle (carrying people) is equivalent to comparing a 2 cent transistor to a modern top of the line cpu.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Obligatory Something About Mary Quote Ted: That's right. That's - that's good. That's good. Unless, of course, somebody comes up with 6-Minute Abs. Then you're in trouble, huh?
[Hitchhiker convulses]
Hitchhiker: No! No, no, not 6! I said 7. Nobody's comin' up with 6. Who works out in 6 minutes? You won't even get your heart goin, not even a mouse on a wheel.
Ted: That - good point.
Hitchhiker: 7's the key number here. Think about it. 7-Elevens. 7 doors. 7, man, that's the number. 7 chipmunks twirlin' on a branch, eatin' lots of sunflowers on my uncle's ranch. You know that old children's tale from the sea. It's like you're dreamin' about Gorgonzola cheese when it's clearly Brie time, baby. Step into my office.
Ted: Why?
Hitchhiker: 'Cause you're fuckin' fired!
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Peyna
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· Score: 1
Given: The cost of Burt Rotans WORKING solution, why not go in that direction?
Working? He managed to go up really high and come back down while strapped to the front of a rocket. Big deal.
-- What?
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
flaming-opus
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· Score: 1
Depends on your objectives, budget, and window of opportunity. If the shuttle is supposed to be retired by 2010, then a new vehicle needs to be ready for prime-time by 2012, which means first flight in 2009. That's 4 years from now. Capsules are well understood, well studied, and very simple. The US has tons of experience with capsules from the mercury and apollo missions. From a balistics stand-point none of the new technology changes anything, except making the vehicle lighter.
As for getting the thing to orbit, they have solid rocket motors, they have worked well for the shuttle, why not use them. They have liquid-fuel upper stages, they use them atop delta rockets all the time. Well understood.
If you are going to have a seperate crew vehicle, I think I'd rather have it be tried-and-true, simple dependable technology. Put the experimental stuff in unmanned vehicles.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
VEGETA_GT
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· Score: 1
This seams like a step backwords to me. I agree compleatealy, lets look a the single stage concepts that the origional space shuttle design was ment to be. The reason for the single stage is costs, we go back to this old style, and well what little cash ther eis wel dry up FAST
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
WhiplashII
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· Score: 1
The problem is that the only reason this is true is because the washing machine was designed to fit the shuttle.
It could have been sent up 1 kg at a time, if instead of 3 big gyros (which bring down the station when they fail) they used 100 small gyros with easily swappable parts. It would weigh a little bit more though, so the "cost conscious" designers used the washing machine...
-- while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
david.given
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· Score: 1
As long as we're no longer trying to send up cargo along with personnel, now might be a good time to revisit single-stage-to-orbit designs such as the Delta Clipper and the Roton.
The trouble with SSTOs is that while they're just about feasible, they're only just about feasible... which means that they're not economic if you actually want to lift something cheaply.
What they could be good for, though, are situations where you don't care about economics. Man-rated vehicles, for example. You'd launch the cargo on a big dumb rocket, and if it made it up without exploding, you'd launch the humans on something expensive and reliable.
(You've still got a long way to go before you can beat Soyuz on both reliability and price, though. The Russians have pretty much nailed that one. I'm still not entirely sure why NASA wants a new man-rated launcher so badly, given there's a perfectly adequate (and cheap) solution already. Is it just politics, or is there a real reason?)
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
I just checked. We've got them at AEDC too. (while not directly NASA, we just do little things like the wind tunnel, engine testing, impact testing, etc work for them)
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
0123456
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· Score: 2, Insightful
"Because single stage to orbit is the dumbest idea anyone ever came up with. Why in the world would you carry a ton of extra weight past a normal staging point?"
Because fuel is dirt-cheap, at least by the standards of spaceflight costs.
What costs is high maintenance and long turn-around times... if you want cheap access to space, you want fully reusable, low-stressed, low-maintenance spacecraft which can operate like airliners (or, at least, like DC-3s).
If carrying a ton of extra weight will give you that, then you carry a ton of extra weight and burn another dozen tons of kerosene on each flight. Kerosene is cheap, overhauling engines, assembling shuttle/ET/SRBs, fixing heat-shield tiles and all the other junk NASA do costs a lot.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Skye16
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· Score: 1
Soyuz can't push enough weight into orbit, or at least that's my understanding of it. According to Astronautix, the Soyuz FG (what they're using for the Progress supply craft) has a payload of 7420kg, which comes out to about 8 tons (and change). The Shuttle, on the other hand, has a maximum launch payload of 28800kg, which is roughly 32 tons (a little less than that, actually) (citation).
According to this new plan, the new "shuttle" design should allow them to put up over 100 tons into orbit.
Now, I don't know how useful this is, exactly. With smaller design constraints, most new things we have to put up (like telescopes and the like) will just end up having to be smaller, or sent up in smaller, modularized pieces. The problem would be with ISS - it was designed with the premise that the Shuttle, complete with it's relatively large weight and size constraints, would be able to add/replace components as needed. It's probable that things could be reverse engineered - come up with a new gyroscope system so these "washing machine" sized ones, when they fail, won't need to be replaced, but can be complimented and later phased out by the new system. But for right now, those who have designed the ISS and its current needs dictate that they must have a vessel of large size to resupply them, for maintenance and other reasons. Or at least that's my understanding:]
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
modavis
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· Score: 1
"Maybe we could get back to actually exploring space instead of endless orbits then."
For 80 years before Skylab and Mir, 100 years before the ISS, people who thought about space figured we'd need an orbital station for three primary reasons:
(1) as a place to learn about actually living and working in free fall for extended periods (2) as an observatory (looking down as well as up), laboratory, comm relay, etc, (3) as a staging area to travel farther
For #1, the ISS actually ain't all that bad. You could say a Bigelow-style design would have saved a lot of money -- but don't forget that Bigelow's team has benefited greatly from data accumulated by the ISS.
#2 has faded because we've become much better than Tsiolkovsky, Oberth, or Clarke 1945 expected at building more or less autonomous scientific instruments as satellites and probes.
#3... well, that's the only thing some people care about, isn't it? "Mom! Dad! I'm tired of my Christmas bike... can I have a motorcycle now?"
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Ok, IAARS (in typical/. fasion)
The fundamental trouble with SSTO is that you get a really lousy payload mass fraction. It's fairly simple to show (with the rocket equation) that despite the added complexity, staging increases the amount of useful 'stuff' you can get to orbit. Within reasonable evolutionary bounds of fuels, materials, etc, there just isn't an SSTO solution that really pays off.
The Delta Clipper was a neat experiment whose geek renown has grown into legend. But it would never have made it to orbit; the scaling just doesn't work. Besides which, a powered descent with the possible exception of terminal braking (a la Soyuz), is a really Dumb Idea (tm). Why waste all that fuel when we have a nice thick atmosphere?
Even the current darling of the ethusiast-set, Space-Ship-One is not a very practical design. Sure it goes into space, but no reasonable redesign will ever make it into orbit. The differences in required fuel is huge. Don't get me wrong, it's done a great job of renewing public interest in space, but it's not a practical launch vehicle.
Getting into orbit is *hard*. Getting humans into orbit is *very hard*. I am not a NASA apologist, but all these notions of running a safe launch program with a handful of ground personnel are laughable.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Sketch
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· Score: 1
According to this new plan, the new "shuttle" design should allow them to put up over 100 tons into orbit.
Now, I don't know how useful this is, exactly.
One of the articles implied sending up longer range craft for moon/mars type missions using the larger rocket, and sending up a crew in the smaller rocket. Maybe that is the reason for the greatly increased capacity.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
modavis
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· Score: 1
You've still got a long way to go before you can beat Soyuz on both reliability and price, though. The Russians have pretty much nailed that one.
I agree, but the underlying reasons remain obscure, at least to me. I know the large total Proton production (with not-too-ambitious upgrades) has something to do with it, as does the corollary: a large base of flight experience providing more statistical confidence that subsystem X is 96.2% reliable, subsystem Y is 99.44% reliable, etc.
What I'd like to know more about is the economic background. Soviet cost accounting was opaque, and the subsequent semi-privatization of Russian and Ukrainian space capability -- well, opaque would be the kindest description.
So when I hear $20 million for a Soyuz mission, I don't know who paid how much, when, for the Proton manufacturing lines, launch/range/tracking infrastructure, etc. I don't know if or how they are reflected in that "marginal" figure. And I do know those are very significant when properly figured into our costs.
Jim Oberg is great on Soviet and Russian programs, but doesn't often go into costs, let alone how to do meaningful comparisons (e.g. using PPP for labor costs). Anyone got some good references on this topic?
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
demachina
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· Score: 1
"Soyuz can't push enough weight into orbit, or at least that's my understanding of it."
The parent wasn't talking about using Soyuz as a shuttle replacement, its clearly not even in the same class. He was talking about using it to put 2-3 people in to LEO where they would dock with the heavy cargo that had been put there by an unmanned, heavy cargo booster. For launching a small number of people to LEO, Soyuz is currently unmatched at a few tens of millions of dollars versus the $1.3 billion average cost per flight of the shuttle.
The Soyuz isn't much good if you want to lift more than 3 people or any cargo at all. The Russians have greenlighted their next gen man rated vehicle, Kliper and the European Space Agency is apparently quite interested in parterning with them on it and kissing NASA good bye.
-- @de_machina
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
demachina
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· Score: 1
" I'm still not entirely sure why NASA wants a new man-rated launcher so badly, given there's a perfectly adequate (and cheap) solution already. Is it just politics, or is there a real reason?)"
The first most obvious reason is political. Congress has slapped an embargo on Russia over their building a nuclear reactor in Iran. I think NASA is precluded by law from buying anything in the way of space services from the Russians. This is why NASA hasn't paid Russia anything for the U.S. astronauts and cargo the Russians have flown to the ISS for the last 2 1/2 years while the Shuttle was grounded. This is also why the Russians recently announced they would no longer fly stuff to the ISS for free. If the Shuttle is grounded for a long time again to fix these two new problems, the ISS or at least NASA involvement in it is in serious trouble.
The second obvious problem is also political. I doubt the DOD will buy in to relying on a Russian vehicle to launch their soldiers in to space. Not exactly sure if the DOD actually has any serious missions for men in space but the Space Command has always had grandiose plans for fighting wars in space. You can't do that if your launch vehicle is provided by a potential adversary.
Third reason is political too. Its a huge blow to American prestige to admit they can't build spacecraft anymore.
Forth reason, is technical, Soyuz is cheap and reliable but its not exactly a really capable craft. the Russians are working to replace it with Kliper.
Fifth reason is political, the manned space program is a jobs program especially in Texas and Florida. Congressmen wont back it if all the jobs are in Russia.
-- @de_machina
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
add boast modules
That has to be the funniest typo I have ever seen.
Your typical "boast" module: "My rocket is bigger than your rocket!"
Adding boast modules gives you this: "My rocket is bigger, and I fucked your mom last night!"
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
pcmanjon
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· Score: 1
After reading the article it says that it'll be like the old rockets we used in the 60's to go to the moon -- basically disposable shuttles where nothing but a pyramid tip thing comes back home.
I hereby quote the article: " Rather than gliding back to Earth, they would deploy parachutes and land on the ground in the Western United States."
Seems like a huge waste of money if 90% of the craft can't be used again.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Skye16
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· Score: 1
What do we currently have for unmanned, heavy cargo boosters that would be a viable replacement for the shuttle? I was under the impression we don't have much of anything - which is why people were shitting bricks over the ISS problems.
What would be a viable option for heavy cargo?
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
sneakers563
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· Score: 1
The booster rockets (1st stage) would be reusable. Also, the "reusable" shuttle is tremendously more expensive then a simple "disposable" rocket like Soyuz. I've seen numbers like 30-50 million per Soyuz launch; compare that to the (according to the article) 1 billion per shuttle launch. Sounds to me like it's the reusable approach that's the huge waste of money.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
DynaSoar
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· Score: 1
The debris problem is a materials and design problem, not a flight profile problem. SSTO doesn't necessarily solve it. DC-X and Roton happened to not have stupid design flaws, thus no debris problem.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
The fuel itself may be dirt cheap, but carrying it isn't. If you need so many tons of fuel to lift the vehicle, how many more tons do you need to lift that fuel? How many more for the extra fuel? And so forth...
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
Buran
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· Score: 1
Repeatedly cancelled when funding was killed whenever the slightest problem came up. DC-X, X-33, NASP, Rotary Rocket all lost their funding and never reached flight status. It's not that it isn't being attempted; it certainly is, but isn't allowed to proceed due to bureaucratic stupidity.
Re:Whatever happened to single-stage-to-orbit?
by
salec
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· Score: 1
Agreed. Perhaps a rocketplane first stage would be the best solution for control thru all phases of the launch. But then, every mission should have two control rooms and two ground crews, because "reusable" means "will be brought back home safe" and ground crew should not have split attention on two simultaneous priorities.
Kind of sad...
by
CrazyTalk
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· Score: 4, Insightful
What they are effectively saying is, the 30 year experiment that was the space shuttle was a failure. Sure, a lot was learned - but now they are going back to the basic design concepts (upgraded with new tech, of course) of the 1960s. Live and learn.
Nah, what they're saying is they now realize it's stupid to try and do everything with a swiss army knife, when you can have a proper set of specialized tools instead. The fact that specialized tools came before the swiss army knife doesn't make them any less a superior solution.
Human Exploration of space stopped in the 70's. I think that is the true failure here.
That doesn't mean however the shuttle was a failure.
We have learned a great deal with how to design vehicles that can interoperate between low earth orbit and on the ground.
Two of the most difficult aspects that needed to be understood before taking our next step.
NASA seems to have a problem deciding though what that is going to be.
I personally think we need to get rid of this idea of rockets, and start thinking about more fundamental engines built around magnetic/gravity principles.
Rockets where OK because they are fairly easy to understand, build and use while learning about airfoil design and basic mechanics.
What we need is better propulsion system for this stuff.
-Hack
-- Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
Well you could say that the experiement was a success - they learned that you probably shouldn't do it that way. The experiment continued until almost everyone could see that this is not the way to do it. If the shuttle program had been cancelled after Challenger, you'd still be getting spaceplane proposals.
Its not sad. The experiment wasn't a failure, we got a reusable space exploration vehicle and used it hundreds of times for the first time in history. Unfortunately, it was still costing way too much money just to get the thing up. Sure the idea is cool, and the shuttle looks cool, but then reality hits and cargo needs to go up and personnel need to go up as cheap & safe as possible. NASA has alot of different things it needs to spend money on. This new shuttle design will allow them to lift 5 times as much weight (100 tons versus 20 tons) for less money then was spent on one launch before. I'd rather see them do this for a bit rather than burn through their budget and go the way of other space agencies around the world. Oh and for those who are thinking this is just old technology, if you read the article you'd see that just like new jets resemble old jets, but new jets are significantly different, this new shuttle design resembles the old one, yet is much more advanced and improved. Regards, Steve
I'm sorry, but what kind of 'expirement' was ever a failure? The point of one is to learn, and that happens regardless of wether or not you get the expected outcome.
-- Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms should be the name of a store, not a government agency.
and start thinking about more fundamental engines built around magnetic/gravity principles.
Umm this is called science fiction. To us not tin-foil hat wearers there may be many means of travel in space (solar sails, ion trusters etc) but to get from earth to space atleast until we get the elevator, means rockets.
What they are effectively saying is, the 30 year experiment that was the space shuttle was a failure.
Pretty much, yes.
The Soviets tried a spaceplane (Buran), heavily copied from the U.S. Shuttle, and quickly decided it was too expensive to operate. Didn't even have to risk human lives to figure that out -- the first flight was unmanned and remote-controlled.
Make a simple change of the NYT's graphic, using 1972 technology, and you have a Saturn V for heavy cargo lifting and the quick-and-dirty Saturn IB for crew launches. Both tried-and-true vehicles, somewhat overbuilt but ripe for upgrades and improvements.
IMO if we'd stuck with and upgraded what we had instead of pursuing the Shuttle boondoggle, we'd be walking on Mars by now. (Of course, there would have been zero political clout available to get it done, but that's a different issue.)
At least we got some nice engine technology out of it. The Delta IV's main engine is the direct result of lessons learned from the Shuttle's SSMEs.
-- "For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for nature cannot be fooled."--Feynman
When the shuttle first appeared, I remember it being sold as a "space plane", like you'd be able to launch, land later and fuel it up again and take off the next day.
The mistake was that no-one seems to have reviewed the program. Pretty quickly, someone must have realised that it was saving little compared to repeat launches.
It's extremely sad that 14 people had to die to for NASA to learn a lesson that was obvious to some in the 80's: HLLVs should be used for cargo, smaller winged vehicles for crew. People like Jerry Pournelle and IIRC David Brin were pointing this out at least as early as '85, probably earlier, and they were not alone in making this point.
Re:Kind of sad...
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Hardly. One of the nice things of the shuttle is that you can bring larger stuff back than you can with a capsule.
The basic concept has always been a good one. Making it practical is far more difficult.
Re:Kind of sad...
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Anonymous Coward
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OPEC and the Tri-lateral commission will never let the space elevator happen. Microsoft is keeping us from using nuclear fuel to propel our ships into space.
Except, the shuttle was very rarely used for that purpose. True, it was part of the initial mission, but the Shuttle that was eventually built was not capable of reaching the higher orbits most sattelites occupy. Plus, I beleive it was usually cheaper/easier launch a new satelite than attempt a recovery mission, fix, and relaunch.
As some of the others have said...calling the shuttle a failure is a completely myopic and a closed-minded stance that not only insults the hard working people that have been involved and are still involved in the program, but those that we lost in the program. The shuttle has brought us forward in many aspects... and it's held us in place in others.
Respectfully, that attitude is counterproductive and as far from scientific as one can get.
You could have held the same opinion when the shuttle program replaced the Apollo program.
The glass is half-full my friend, and space exploration is a very difficult glass to fill.
We should all be pushing for the next generation of space-craft while celebrating where we have been.
Re:Kind of sad...
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Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
I don't see how calling an approach to carrying cargo and people to low earth orbit a failure is an insult to anyone. People sacrificed their lives in the name of science and exploration, and that was not in vain. However, the simple fact is, there are easier, cheaper, and safer ways to do it. True, without the shuttle program we may have not learned that. Any "failure" is a "success" in that something is learned, and the shuttle is no exception. But, you don't see anyone rushing to build new spaceplanes now, do you? Given the current state of technology, the shuttle design is not ideal for the missions that it is been undertaking.
Valid point, as is proven with Hubble. It's possibly coming back..or going out via a retro-rocket according to Wikipedia.
They only shuttle that was able to hold hubble as it is today was the Columbia.
Failure: The inability to function or perform satisfactorily.
The shuttle performed to the satisfaction of many.
And actually, you do. You see private enterprise doing just that. SpaceShipOne sure looks and smells like a resuable space plane.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/9/98/Spac eShipOne_ground.jpg
Next time you are visiting the central coast of Florida, make sure you tell everyone you know that they failed.
What you're talking about is markedly exampled in ALL OTHER transportation systems. Cars, trains, boats, airplanes... all these have subclasses of vehicles that perform their jobs with regard to differing concerns like number of passengers, bulk of cargo, and distances traveled. However, NASA tried to shoehorn most space transportation needs into ONE VEHICLE.
For a parallel, look at the SUV. It attempts to be a person-mover as well as a cargo-hauler. It fails significantly on both counts due to energy and maintenance costs. The Space Shuttle is the SUV of the space transportation system. We should have used instead a system of at least 2 subclasses of vehicles as you intimated: small winged mission craft, and large boost containers.
Since America has embraced the SUV, I don't expect NASA to understand the transportation-vehicle subclass mentality at all. Hence, NASA is going to ride the Shuttle down to its doom as surely as the American consumer is going to ride his SUV to his own doom.
-- [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
The Soviets tried a spaceplane (Buran), heavily copied from the U.S. Shuttle, and quickly decided it was too expensive to operate.
The whole Soviet economy happened to be falling apart at the time, that's why the Buran was too expensive for them to operate, at the time. The Buran only looks like it's been copied from the space shuttle, i.e. it's only similar aerodynamically. But otherwise it's a very different system.
The biggest difference - the engines are expendable, mounted on the booster, and not on the orbiter. One big advantage of this is that the booster could be readily used to lift other payloads than the Buran orbiter. As it has been, and will be.
"Next time you are visiting the central coast of Florida, make sure you tell everyone you know that they failed."
They already know.
-- Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
Re:Kind of sad...
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Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
That's because it has to be more comfortable, because it was designed to serve not only as the launch vehicle, but also the living environment for long missions in orbit. The ISS has made this role redundant.
A simple launch/re-entry capsule type vehicle would only need to be inhabited for a few hours total per mission. For long missions in space it could dock in orbit with the ISS, or another livable habitat sent up by the cargo heavy lift system.
Re:Kind of sad...
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Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
"... it hundreds of times for the first time in history."
Uh, there have only been 112 successful shuttle flights (and that was spread over 25 years) dipwad.
The program was a collosal failure. Think of all the manned and unmanned space exploration missions that were foregone just to support this monstrosity.
Damn, I was just going to post that before I saw you already did.
The Leatherman Wave outclasses any swiss army knife and does a great job keeping up with specialized tools too. It's impossible to explain what someone that doesn't carry one is missing.
If we could make a space shuttle like a leatherman as opposed to a creappy swiss army knife it would do everything, never break down, and fit comfortably in a normal pocket.
-- You gotta find first gear in your giant robot car
Unfortunately, it would also give you vicious blood blisters if you forgot to keep the pads of your fingers away from the place where the spines of the blades come together near the hinge when you're using the pliers.
That's the one thing I wish they'd fix, because that HURTS.
-- Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
Re:Kind of sad...
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Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
I think next time I'm in Washington DC I will tell everyone that they failed - they were the ones that put the budget restrictions on the initial Shuttle design that effectively "hobbled" it. The short term success of the hardworking employees and contractors at NASA in building and launching shuttles does not mean that the design was ultimately the best solution to the problem. Experience has tought us otherwise. Good point about the spaceplane, although it appears that NASA and the US government does not appear interested in investing any more in that type of design.
Re:Kind of sad...
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Anonymous Coward
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NASA should have listened to the Russians. The Soviet Union built and launched a space shuttle. It was a copy of our shuttle but in their defence the Apollo was a copy of the Soviet Union's first rockets. Ths Buran only flew one time and the Russians said it was too expensive. Note that there is a difference between "too expensive" and "we don't have enough money" - something we experience when buying computers or cars. $1,000,000,000 for each launch of the Shuttle is just rediculous. The Russians go up in ships right off the line for $20,000,000. Still have that new spaceship smell.
I googled but couldn't find any exact figured. Still looks as though it can't produce enough thrust to get from earth to space. Though its a great intraspace propulsion system.
yes it does look similar but it is tiny in comparison to the behemoth of the space shuttle. Also SS1 isn't going into space proper nor is it designed for people and cargo.
Small space planes are fine to use for sending people into space, their isnt the inherent problems with heat distribution etc you get with large space planes.
Re:Kind of sad...
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Anonymous Coward
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In the terms of advancing the exploration of space, it was a failure. The rocket worked but it got us nowhere that a cheaper system couldn't have.
Is it really counter productive to feel shame that we allowed such a system to continue. At least this way we have learned an important lesson.
Apollo sucked, but it at least gave us a rocket, that could launch a working space station in a single go.
Where we have been. We have been around and around and around.
Half full, are you joking? Nasa's manned programme is a laughing stock to the entire nation. The craft is essentially re-built for the next launch. It would probably be an advance is someone took a blowtorch to the skeleton and prevent any more wastefull launches. At least then the CEV could get a decent budget. Imagine the probes that could get funded if nasa got (practically) an extra $6billion per year.
I'm sure the engineers are competant, but it would be an insult to their intelligence to say that they think the shuttle is the best way forward for space exploration.
Re:Kind of sad...
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Anonymous Coward
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I think it's sad that all you people think you know more than the guys at NASA.
You know the old saying that opinions are like buttholes, everyone has them and they almost all stink. You morons are living proof.
Re:Kind of sad...
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Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Oh yeah? I used to work for NASA, you insensitive clod!
Well, superior solutions don't mean a lot if they're sitting in your toolbox at home when your car breaks down and you need them. But enough with the analogy.
If we had regular shuttle launches (and I realize we don't), that swiss army knife would come in handy. We're fortunate enough that we haven't had any severe emergencies in orbit yet, but *when* we do, we'll be wishing we had a "swiss army knife" up there *right now*, or at least ready to go, rather than having to assemble, prep and launch a specialized rocket to tackle whatever situation -- a process that can take weeks even in the most dire of situations.
Yes, it's unfortunate that despite being reusable, the shuttle is not the cheapest to-orbit solution. But contrary to popular belief, that's fine. The shuttle does things no other single craft is capable of. And that counts for a lot. Despite the cost, there never was any shortage of cargo willing to pay for space aboard a shuttle launch, and generally for good reasons.
The shuttle is basically first generation technology for reusable spacecraft. There's no reason to believe that new designs couldn't drastically improve on the shuttle in every way. For example, take a look at Russia's Buran Shuttle which is also pretty dated these days. We could do even better than that.
When the shuttle first appeared, I remember it being sold as a "space plane", like you'd be able to launch, land later and fuel it up again and take off the next day.
This needs some shading to be accurate. What you describe is the optimistic high end of what STS planners were "selling" circa 1971. Then it got ground down for a decade -- at least as much by engineering realities as by budget constraints, although the Might-Have-Been crowd insists otherwise.
By 1980 (a year before STS-1), a very senior STS design engineer told me: "It seemed so obvious [in 1971] that reusability would lower dollars per pound to orbit. But when you start in a regime where maybe 5% of the mass on the pad gets to orbit... and now that 5% has to include wings and heavier airframe and TPS and landing gear... guess what? Unless you fly the sucker all day every day, the numbers go straight to hell."
That's not making excuses or CYA, that's reality. He and his colleagues (at least the candid ones) acknowledged that even had they had the full budget request at the start, they simply did not know how to pull off much of what they had aimed for, let alone flying "all day every day." We're still not within shouting distance of that for anything that can reach orbit.
If you want to criticize NASA circa 1981 for maintaining an optimistic PR glow appropriate to the hopes of 1971 instead of the hangar queen they had, be my guest. But I've seen many big corporate tehnolology initiatives come in late, over budget, and underperforming, and they're rarely accompanied by a press release saying "It's way less than we planned, but it's the best we could do."
Anyway, that's why Griffin is making the choices he's making. A sizeable faction will, of course, continue to piss & moan that he's not building the cheap, robust, profitable, fully reusable system they Just Know can be done. In fact, they have Powerpoints to prove it could have been done long ago -- no doubt the ones they adapted from overheads in 1986.
What they are effectively saying is, the 30 year experiment that was the space shuttle was a failure.
Maybe the shuttle allowed many experiments that couldn't be done with other designs. At some point the designs for Mars missions will change because the previous designs offer little new data. This is success of the old design, not failure.
I think next time I'm in Washington DC I will tell everyone that they failed - they were the ones that put the budget restrictions on the initial Shuttle design that effectively "hobbled" it.
I've noted in another post that the most honest of those involved in the STS design acknowledged that there were more serious hurdles than money.
But there's a larger point: as long as you're spending tax money, you'd damn well better view the appropriation you get as just as "legitimate" and "valid" a constraint as the laws of physics. If you don't like that, find another source of funds... or work to elect more space-minded politicians... or shut up.
"Another few billion from that stingy Congress and we could have done it" carries the same information content as "Boy, if kero-LOX had an Isp of 2500, we'd be Slashdotting from Mars today."
Honestly, when they designed the shuttle there were just too many design compromises. They wanted to have it liquid fueled so that they would have (a) reusable engines and (b) the ability to throttle the engines better than you can do with solid fuels. The problem was that there just wasn't enough power for the liquid fueled main engines, so they had to strap on those solid boosters we all know and love. (I think this had something to do with a military requirement, but I really can't remember clearly.)
They wanted it to be a manned vessel, so it had to be really safe. They also wanted it to have large cargo capacity, so it had to big. The trouble is that this means that this means that _all_ of the shuttle components, not just the part the crew are using, have to be extra-triple-safe. This is part of what makes the shuttle so blamed expensive.
On the subject of reusability, there were too many compromises too. The ability to reuse all of the components ten times between replacements would be great, it would reduce costs by a lot, but it just wasn't going to happen. The odds are simply too great of damage cropping up during in multiple launches to reuse most things when launching humans. The end result is that there are such thorough inspections between launches that it would probably be cheaper to just build new single-use rockets every time (see TFA).
Hey, with any luck, maybe they'll come up with something better this time. With NASA's budget, once they eventually manage to switch away from shuttles, they ought to be able to launch a LOT of stuff/people into orbit each year.
Yes, but was it even really a "best effort" when if was first created?
The article Beam Me Out Of This Death Trap, Scotty (written in 1980) makes the point that the shuttle design was a kludge from the start, not because the engineers weren't smart enough, but because of typical constraints of politics and money.
The article also has a great quote pointing out how hard it is to build a reusable cargo vehicle for space:
To truly grasp the challenge of building a space shuttle, think about its flight. The ship includes a 60-by-15-foot open space, narrow wings, and a large cabin where men must be provided that delicately slender range of temperatures and pressures they can endure. During ascent, the shuttle must withstand 3 Gs of stress--inertial drag equivalent to three times its own weight. While all five engines are screaming, there will be acoustic vibrations reaching 167 decibels, enough to kill an unprotected person. In orbit, the shuttle will drift through -250F. vacuum, what engineers call the "cold soak." It's cold enough to embrittle and shatter most materials. During reentry, the ship's skin goes from cold soak to 2,700F., hot enough to transform many metals into Silly Putty. Then the shuttle must glide along, under control, at speeds up to Mach 25, three times faster than any other piloted aircraft has ever flown. After reentry, it cascades through the air without power; finally thunking down onto the runway at 220 m.p.h. The like-sized DC-9 lands, with power, at 130 m.p.h. Rockets are throwaway contraptions in part so that no one piece ever has to endure such a wild variety of conditions. The shuttle's design goal is to take this nightmare ride 100 times.
Ben in DC
"It's the mark of an educated mind to be moved by statistics" Oscar Wilde
-- Ben in DC
"It's the mark of an educated mind to be moved by statistics"
Oscar Wilde
NASA should have listened to the Russians. The Soviet Union built and launched a space shuttle. It was a copy of our shuttle but in their defence the Apollo was a copy of the Soviet Union's first rockets. Ths Buran only flew one time and the Russians said it was too expensive. Note that there is a difference between "too expensive" and "we don't have enough money"
You're horribly distorting the situation. First, Buran was only a copy in terms of aerodynamics, which makes sense: NASA did a good job there. Second, Buran was considered too expensive in the context of a country with a failing economy. It's hard to justify any sort of space program when you're in the situation the USSR was in at the time. You said it yourself: there is a difference between "too expensive" and "we don't have enough money". For Buran it was the later, not the former (as you seem to believe).
but to get from earth to space atleast until we get the elevator, means rockets.
By "magnetic", I hope she meant "railgun". A railgun-ramp built on the equator could possibly launch things into orbit, and is no less plausible than a space elevator.
I'm sorry, but what kind of 'expirement' was ever a failure?
For examples, see the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment, or any project with Josef Mengele listed as a researcher. In a gentler vein, the Stanford Prison Experiment was nearly a failure, but it was halted in time to preserve the team's reputations. If the point of an experiment to learn, then anything which is both costly and doesn't produce new knowledge is a failure.
The shortcomings of the spaceplane concept had already been demonstrated by 1985, which would've concluded a responsible experiment. The "failure" is that it thoughtlessly continued long past that point, wasting several lives, $50,000,000,000, and 20 years of NASA's time.
Maybe the shuttle allowed many experiments that couldn't be done with other designs. At some point the designs for Mars missions will change because the previous designs offer little new data. This is success of the old design, not failure.
You're not getting it. Why didn't NASA come up with a reliable backup when the Shuttles were unable to meet their launch frequency, satisfy the goals of NASA's manned space program, or had serious accidents or disasters? My point here is if we're just launching stuff into space, then you want something reliable like the USSR/Russia's Soyuz vehicle. But if we're doing experiments, then you want to try *multiple* designs. IMHO NASA wasn't doing that. Too many times, there were single points of failure in the manned space program whether it be a single type of manned vehicle and a single launch location.
Actually, the SUV is just a station wagon with 4WD, really big wheels and high ground clearance. It's the high ground clearance that wrecks the aerodynamics and makes them so energy inefficient (plus the high center of mass makes them likely to flip over). But the station wagon is a tried and true design that is very good at moving both people and cargo. In fact I know of no better general purpose car to have than a station wagon.
You can choose to believe the pitch of the NASA administrator at the time, or you can choose to believe that each iteration of the Space Program is to learn more about how to put things in space.
I'm sure someone at NASA said when they got funding for the Shuttle that the Shuttle was going to be the final evolution in spacecraft, perfection, and super-cheap.
If you measure against his spiel the Shuttle is a failure. But by any sane measure, we learned alot about spaceflight, so as a science project it's been quite successful.
-- My God, it's Full of Source! OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
Won't fix the problem
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Se7enLC
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· Score: 2, Informative
NASA claims that the tile gap filler that has come loose was a result of vibrations on liftoff, NOT the result of falling debris...
So moving the return capsule up to the nose of the craft will prevent repeats of 1986 and 2003, but won't fix every problem. They should instead be trying to build a shuttle that won't rattle apart on takeoff.
Re:Won't fix the problem
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lucabrasi999
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They should instead be trying to build a shuttle that won't rattle apart on takeoff.
And why should they do that? That is a very, very expensive goal that is almost impossible to achieve. It is much more cost effective to simply go back to the way we used to launch spacecraft (and, note that old way is the way the Russians still launch their spacecraft).
Actually, they can do this easily. Just make the whole friggin' thing lighter. Less weight, less fuel, less thrust, less force, vibrations weaker and easier to dampen. And less stuff to fall off, so it can be attached better too. One of reasons shuttle vibrates so much is that it's so damn big. Make it a good solid brick, surviving in all conditions, instead of a sleek glider that can get blown to pieces by stronger wind. True shuttles are prettier that Sayuz capsules, but they suck at durability.
-- Anagram("United States of America") == "Dine out, taste a Mac, fries"
Re:Won't fix the problem
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lucabrasi999
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just make the whole friggin' thing lighter. Less weight, less fuel, less thrust, less force, vibrations weaker and easier to dampen.
IANA Physicist, but "less thrust" and "less force" to me means you aren't taking much up into space with you. If you can't take material with you, why would you want to go to space? Especially since (as the FA points out) it is much cheaper to use "older" technology to carry over 100 tons up each time (compared with the 20 tons the shuttle presently carries).
And less stuff to fall off, so it can be attached better too.
The temperature of the fuel that is used to launch the shuttle has to be kept well below zero. The only way to keep the fuel that cold is to insulate the fuel tank. Whatever the size and weight of a future shuttle, you are required to have insulation on the fuel tank, otherwise, you can't lift off. That insulation will always be a risk to a shuttle. That is why the proposed design puts the payload on TOP of the rocket. To avoid the insulation.
IANA Physicist, but "less thrust" and "less force" to me means you aren't taking much up into space with you. If you can't take material with you, why would you want to go to space?
To bring humans into space? If the separate vessel with cargo gets blown to pieces, no biggie, several $mln bite the dust, but nobody gets hurt. If there are humans on board, dump all the stuff that could kill them and that you can dump. Flying heavy cargo and crew in the same vessel was one of the biggest mistakes of the whole design.
Especially since (as the FA points out) it is much cheaper to use "older" technology to carry over 100 tons up each time (compared with the 20 tons the shuttle presently carries).
100 tons of DEAD cargo. Huge thrust, acceleration sufficient to kill anyone, vibrations that make lots of stuff to fall off, but no risk of failure at reentry (no reentry). And if it blows up, well, so it does. One story in the news at 11. The problem with transporting humans is that you must provide a way to bring them back. So things must withstand the start (or the crew dies), retain the vessel relatively intact (so the crew survives reentry), but it doesn't have to carry 20 or 100 tons of stuff, just a few humans plus basic necessities.
-- Anagram("United States of America") == "Dine out, taste a Mac, fries"
Re:Won't fix the problem
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AndersOSU
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It can't work, anything that is designed to go through the extremes in temperature associated with space travel will have to be tiled; otherwise thermal expansion will (quite literally) kill the craft.
I don't know exactly how much the tiles on the current space shuttle expand but I'd be willing to bet if it were a single piece re-entry would cause it to crack, buckle, fall off, and ultimately the craft to burn up.
The heat shield designs on a capsule might be simpler, cheaper, and more well understood, but they are still tiled. The reason they are easier to use is that it is easier to cover a dome (more or less) with tiles than an airfoil.
Re:Won't fix the problem
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mysticgoat
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They should instead be trying to build a shuttle that won't rattle apart on takeoff.
Going back to capsule technology means going back to monolithic heat shields and sidesteps the vibration problems. There is nothing on an Apollo-like capsule that could rattle off.
Capsules (the Soyuz for example) don't use heat resistant tiles. They use an ablative shield the burns up on the atmosphere. Completely different aproach. Sure, it's single use. But still MUCH cheaper, simpler, and less disaster prone than tiles.
Well DAMN! I'm absolutely certain that it never occured to any of the thousands of aerospace engineers that worked on Shuttle thought about making the thing LIGHTER. They should have hired you, huh?
The insulation is there mostly to prevent ice buildup, not to keep the fuel cold. Ice buildup is not a problem for rockets that have payload at the top, since the ice would just fall away at launch. For the shuttle they thought, a piece of foam insulation impacting the orbiter is much better than a slab of ice.
Don't trick yourself into thinking that ablative shields are cheap. They're not. The materials are cheap, but the labor is just as intensive. If you're not careful with your application of ablatives, they'll chip off or erode unevenly.
-- "It felt almost as good as stealing cars from grandma." -- Margaret Thatcher, probably.
FYI, the primary reason for the shuttle's high vibrational load is the way the engines are mounted (you build, you learn, and you don't repeat your mistakes in the future). The shuttle's engines are mounted center-back on the orbiter, but the main structural support in the shuttle is in its underside.. This means that thrust isn't aligned directly with the supports, leading irregularities in the engine burn to produce more craft vibration.
-- "It felt almost as good as stealing cars from grandma." -- Margaret Thatcher, probably.
lighter, smaller, stronger, more durable. Not heavier. Quite possible. What is more durable: A mile radius sphere made of 1 inch thick metal? Or 5 inch radius sphere made of the same 1-inch metal? Which one is heavier? Decrease overall size - significantly, like 5-10% of the present. The crew still will fit. As well as life support. As well as maneuvre engines and some other necessities. You have enormous savings in weight by now - possibly down to 2 tons from 100. Now start adding weight in protection of the surface. By the time you reach 5 tons total, you have a nearly indestructible "brick" with surface layer thick and durable enough to survive a meteorite impact, not just foam.
The problem the armies of people who made decisions about the shape and size of the shuttles didn't look to make it cost less and be safer, but to cost more (for contractors), and look impressive (to show they are better than Soviets).
-- Anagram("United States of America") == "Dine out, taste a Mac, fries"
Of course it didn't! Lighter = cheaper = less subcontractors = less work = less money = less political support! This idea just COULDN'T pass through The Machine.
-- Anagram("United States of America") == "Dine out, taste a Mac, fries"
Redesign Is Seen for Next Craft, NASA Aides Say
August 2, 2005
By WILLIAM J. BROAD
For its next generation of space vehicles, NASA has decided to abandon the design principles that went into the aging space shuttle, agency officials and private experts say.
Instead, they say, the new vehicles will rearrange the shuttle's components into a safer, more powerful family of traditional rockets.
The plan would separate the jobs of hauling people and cargo into orbit and would put the payloads on top of the rockets - as far as possible from the dangers of firing engines and falling debris, which were responsible for the accidents that destroyed the shuttle Challenger in 1986 and the Columbia in 2003.
By making the rockets from shuttle parts, the new plan would draw on the shuttle's existing network of thousands of contractors and technologies, in theory speeding its completion and lowering its price.
"The existing components offer us huge cost advantages as opposed to starting from a clean sheet of paper," the new administrator of NASA, Michael D. Griffin, told reporters on Friday.
The plan, whose origins go back two and a half years, is emerging at a time when it may help deflect attention from the current troubles of the shuttle fleet.
The Discovery's astronauts are to make a spacewalk tomorrow to fix a potentially hazardous problem with cloth filler on its belly.
Future missions have been indefinitely suspended while NASA tries to solve the persistent shedding of foam from the external fuel tank at liftoff.
The plan for new vehicles is to be formally unveiled this month. Its outlines were gleaned from interviews and reviews of trade reports, Congressional testimony and official statements. Some details were reported on Sunday in The Orlando Sentinel.
On Friday, Dr. Griffin emphasized the plan's safety, telling reporters that the new generation of rockets would have their payloads up high to avoid the kinds of dangers that doomed the Columbia two and a half years ago and threatened the Discovery last week when insulating foam broke off its fuel tank shortly after liftoff.
"As long as we put the crew and the valuable cargo up above wherever the tanks are, we don't care what they shed," he said. "They can have dandruff all day long."
Congress would have to approve the initiative, and many questions remain. John E. Pike, the director of GlobalSecurity.org, a private Washington research group on military and space topics, said he wondered how NASA could remain within its budget while continuing to pay billions of dollars for the shuttle and building a new generation of rockets and capsules.
Alex Roland, a former historian of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration who now teaches at Duke University and is a frequent critic of the space program, said the plan had "the aroma of a quick and dirty solution to a big problem."
But supporters say it will let astronauts move expeditiously back into the business of exploration rather than endlessly circling the home planet, and do so fairly quickly.
"The shuttle is not a lemon," Scott J. Horowitz, an aerospace engineer and former astronaut who helped develop the new plan, said in an interview. "It's just too complicated. I know from flying it four times. It's an amazing engineering feat. But there's a better way."
Dr. Horowitz was one of a small group of astronauts, shaken by the Columbia disaster, who took it upon themselves in 2003 to come up with a safer approach to exploring space. Their effort, conceived while they were in Lufkin, Tex., helping search for shuttle wreckage, became part of the NASA program to design a successor to the shuttle fleet.
The three remaining shuttles are to be retired by 2010 under the Bush administration's plan for space exploration, which is intended to return humans to the Moon and eventually Mars.
The new vehicles would sidestep the foam threat alt
-- Every post I make begins with the assumption P=~P.
Don't mod this up too high, I forgot the Post Anonymously button =/
-- Every post I make begins with the assumption P=~P.
Re:Non-Registration
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Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
I will one day. Thanks for the encouragement though!
Re:Non-Registration
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Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
1. remove current main engines from shuttle
2. stick shuttle on top of normal rocket
3. mount everything behind shuttle
4. bolt on an ejectable 'launch shield' to the front (in case of birds etc)
Re:Non-Registration
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Anonymous Coward
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Doesn't matter to me -- thanks! Now I can read the article;)
Let's keep the summeries short, ok?
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TrippTDF
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Comon, guys! that one was approaching 150 words or so.
A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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BlackCobra43
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From TFA
"As long as we put the crew and the valuable cargo up above wherever the tanks are, we don't care what they shed," he said. "They can have dandruff all day long."
That's pushing it a bit, insn't it? This is insulating foa mwe'Re talkikng about, wouldn't the rockets possibly overheat and explode? IANARS but I don't know about this...
-- I never spellcheck and I freely admit it. Save your karma for more worthwhile "lol erorrs" replies
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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Se7enLC
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· Score: 1
Yeah, I agree. I understand that the idea of having disposable parts will save money, and keeping the astronauts as far away from the less-trusted parts is a good idea...
To say "we don't care if it just falls apart" is a little concerning, however. If something goes wrong with the fuel tank, it can EXPLODE. I don't care where you put the capsule, an explosion can still kill the astronauts.
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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vandon
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· Score: 1
The foam isn't to stop anything from overheating, it's to stop the liquid hydrogen and oxygen in the fuel tank from causing the humid Florida air to condense and form ice on the outside of the tank.
Have they thought about moving the launches to Arizona, New Mexico, or Nevada?
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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BlackCobra43
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· Score: 1
Interesting. What would be the result of the formation of ice? Would it just look frosty or adversely affect the rocket's flight?
-- I never spellcheck and I freely admit it. Save your karma for more worthwhile "lol erorrs" replies
The launches are done in Florida so the craft can be over water almost immediately after takeoff...that big tank's gotta fall somewhere...
-- ____
~ |rip/\/\aster/\/\onkey
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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Jivecat
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· Score: 1
Well, ice is heavy, for one thing. So it would definitely adversely affect the rocket's performance. A lesser issue might be the possibility of damage to the rocket when it sloughs off.
-- "For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for nature cannot be fooled."--Feynman
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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lucabrasi999
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· Score: 1
The Russians have been launching over land for decades. The cynic in me says that they chose Florida because this guy had seniority in the US Senate about the time NASA was choosing a launch site.
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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Transcendent
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· Score: 1
Launching close to the equator gives you a large advantage since you already have the centripetal velocity from the earth's spin. Russia has launch sites very far north, but then you waste energy getting the rocket up to the same speed.
That's one of the reasons to launch in florida. The water is another one (falling debris won't hit anyone's house).
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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gunnk
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· Score: 1
You could consider it, but you would then need more fuel or lighter payloads. Launches get more efficient the closer you get to the equator since the Earth is spinning (which is why the shuttle always goes east). AZ, NM, and NV are all farther north.
This is also why Boeing built SeaLaunch for satellite launches: they can drag the launch vehicle out to the equator to get as much momentum as possible out of the Earth's rotation.
-- Life is short: void the warranty.
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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kevinl
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· Score: 1
Don't misquote. Nobody said "we don't care if it just falls apart".
Here's the real quote: "As long as we put the crew and the valuable cargo up above wherever the tanks are, we don't care what they shed," he said. "They can have dandruff all day long."
Seems sensible enough to me. Instead of trying to protect critical systems by preventing falling ice, simply move them above and let the ice fall harmlessly. The Saturn V used to drop huge pieces of ice during launch. I don't remember anyone ever calling it a safety hazard.
I'm pretty sure the folks at NASA are aware that exploding fuel tanks are something to be avoided.
It should be clear to everyone by now that the shuttle has failed to meet its goal of being a lower cost launch system. That doesn't necessary mean it never should have been built. Sometimes we learn more from our failures than our successes.
The shuttle is an amazing piece of engineering that needs to be retired. NASA needs to get over the emotional attachment to the shuttle and move on to better solutions before irreparable harm is done to the U.S. space program.
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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lucabrasi999
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· Score: 1
OK, I'll give you the centripetal velocity point. But, politics is never far away from government decisions. Why else would Houston host the (Lyndon B) Johnson flight center? Or, why does Cleveland host a Nasa site -- the (Senator John) Glenn Center? And, why does Alabama host the Marshall Center (take a look at the history of the Senate for the state of Alabama)? Sorry. This complaing of mine is totally off topic, but the politics around NASA pisses me off.
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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21chrisp
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· Score: 2, Informative
The only reason the foam is there is to keep ice from forming on the side of the tank. Since the fuel is cryogenic, it is obviously quite cold and causes large chunks of ice to form on the side of the tank. On launch this ice would simply destroy the Shuttle's tile system, it would be much much worse than the foam. If there is nothing for the ice to damage, then you don't really need the foam anyway. Many rockets have no such foam at all. Ice just builds up on the rocket and sheds during launch. You can see this in a lot of launch footage from the gemeni/apollo days. The ice would fall to the pad as the launch clears the tower. The absence of foam is not likely a significant safety risk, but it is probably still usefull enough to keep. I'm sure it has several side benefits, such as allowing the tank to stay fueled and on the pad for longer periods of time.
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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khrtt
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· Score: 1
If you keep the foam, you'd be lifting it along with the fuel tank, which is a waste of energy. Of cause, you could make the foam shed off at launch.
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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quanticle
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· Score: 1
AFAIK, ice is a non-issue when it comes to launches. If you look at the videos of Apollo or Gemini launches, you'll see huge pieces of ice sloughing off the rocket without adversely affecting anything.
The reason for having insulating foam on the shuttle is to prevent ice from hitting the delicate heat tiles on the shuttle body. If a piece of insulating foam could cause catastrophic damage, imagine the trauma that a much denser piece of ice would inflict.
-- We all know what to do, but we don't know how to get re-elected once we have done it
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
by
Martin+Blank
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· Score: 1
The EFT falls into the Indian Ocean, IIRC. Launches from Florida allow debris from a low-altitude explosion or abort to fall into the waters of the Atlantic. Anything bad happening much higher has a good chance of burning up before pieces hit the ground.
-- You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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Zerbey
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· Score: 1
All being well the tank doesn't fall anywhere, it hits the atmosphere and burns up. The idea of launching from the space coast is that if something unpleasant does occur it'll piss of fish and environmentalists. Having several thousand pounds of rocket fuel explode all over your house tends to piss people off.
Also, I enjoy watching launches from my front garden and would be sad if they stopped.
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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modavis
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· Score: 1
This complaing of mine is totally off topic, but the politics around NASA pisses me off.
No, politics is very much on topic. We got Apollo not only because St. Jack promised us the moon, but also because LBJ was a stone genius at working the Congress -- from driving the formation of NASA in 1958, as Senate majority leader, right through the artful deployment of NASA facilitie$ and job$ in the "right" districts.
If you think space shouldn't be (maybe shouldn't ever have been) a tax-funded government program, fine. But to have such a program, and then be dismayed that -- shock horror! -- politics plays a big role in it, is childish.
Government spending decisions shaped by politics routinely have life-and-death consequences for soldiers, for people who drive cars, for people who get (or don't get) vaccines, and countless other populations. Are astronauts exempt?
"Wouldn't it be pretty to think so?"
Re:A bit too enthusiastic IMO..
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bill_mcgonigle
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· Score: 1
As long as it flies over third world countries the US government wouldn't care if it came down on land, as evidenced by our recent trade agreements.
-- My God, it's Full of Source! OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
By making the rockets from shuttle parts, the new plan would draw on the shuttle's existing network of thousands of contractors and technologies, in theory speeding its completion and lowering its price.
By making the rockets from bits we have left over, the new plan would draw on the shuttle's existing network of thousands of blood sucking leeches and out dated technology, in theory slowing its completion and increasing its price.
but the advance bulls^H^H^H^H^H content filter "fixed" it.
It bypasses any registration requirements for the NY times page.
-- Your sig(k) has been stolen. There is a puff of smoke!
What's old is new
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
The "cargo on top" is more or less the old Shuttle-C configuration. Not a bad idea, really.
The Shuttle is actually a pretty good launch vehicle. To an uneducated observer such as myself, most of the problems seem to stem from having such a large orbiter which then needs to be strapped onto the side.
And if the crew vehicle (CEV) launches atop an SRB-derived booster, I guess it could actually be pretty cost effective, especially compared to the current Shuttle system.
It's not about safer, it's about cheaper
by
Lumpy
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· Score: 1
Safer comes along with the cheaper in this seperation of designs, but it certianly is a return of the Super-apollo designs at the end of the 60's beginning of the 70's.
Personally It looks like that NASA is at the end of their run in innovations of getting to space, they are damned good at exploring other planets and science in general but all of our hope of getting a real reuseable and safe space delivery systems lies completely in the Commercial sector.
Here's hope that someone in industry finds a really good reason to go into space regularly.
-- Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
Re:It's not about safer, it's about cheaper
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timster
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· Score: 1
I think NASA has spent enough subsidizing technological development. For decades that was seen as part of their purpose, so they pushed for cutting-edge advancements like reusable spacecraft. Now we have lots of technology and it's time to get down to the business of exploring space. Enough of new rockets.
-- I have seen the future, and it is inconvenient.
Re:It's not about safer, it's about cheaper
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DigitumDei
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· Score: 1
Maybe the commercial sector will be the one to get a cheap reusable solution going well. But with this proposed cargo rocket carrying 100 tons, the they will have a lot of work to do to catch up as far as moving cargo goes.
Whether you agree with it or not, NASA is planning on getting to the moon again, and then to mars; and that trip won't likely be accomplished by a ship that launches from the ground. Moving large amounts of cargo is important to NASA as it will be needed to accomplish their goals.
The way I see it, companies will begin to improve the methods of getting people and small amounts of cargo into orbit, while NASA starts innovating again, but this time in interplanetary travel.
Re:It's not about safer, it's about cheaper
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Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
I wish we could get back to what we were doing in the early 70's. Going to the moon and on is WHAT we should have already done.
Problem is that we are basically launching tinfoil wrapped beer cans into space and then not putting in the facilities to repair or service the vehicle when it get's launched. sorry, but 500 ton launch capacity is needed, the mars mission needs to be in a vehicle that has enough resources and hardening to survive
Shuttle ?
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Why call them hew Shuttle ? They look just like an old style rockets, and work like ones. And it seems that there are no reusable parts on this vehicle also. But anyway, it is goog that the common sense finally works. Efficient designs work better than cool looking ones...
The side boosters are the same as the shuttles', just with one more section added. Since they are safely reused now, they certainly should be able to be reused in the future.
The side boosters are the same as the shuttles', just with one more section added. Since they are safely reused now, they certainly should be able to be reused in the future.
The strap-on rockets that put the shuttle in orbit are not reusable at all. It's that big brown turd... I mean fuel tank... that the shuttle relieves itself of that is reusable.
Re:Shuttle ?
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Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
You have that backwards. It's the SRBs that are reusable, not the external tank.
The ET falls back through the atmosphere into the Indian Ocean. The SRBs parachute down into the Atlantic where they're picked up and returned for refurbishing.
Tweety: I thought I saw a fuel tank?
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Guess my "don't spellcheck" policy came back to bite me in the arse.
I obviously meant "is insulating foam we're talking about" and not that gibberish.
-- I never spellcheck and I freely admit it. Save your karma for more worthwhile "lol erorrs" replies
Wasn't the reason that NASA went to a shuttle was for reuse? To me, this "new" design looks like the apollo capsules. What is there for reuse and how will they reuse it? And then there is landing....
The SRBs would be reused. I looks like the crew and equipment containers would not. But the idea here is to at least have a safer, interim system to get into space. One could later enhance the design with a reusable, winged crew vehicle, and possibly cargo container (although the latter might be worth keeping in space for raw materials.)
-- Ooh, a sarcasm detector. Oh, that's a real useful invention.
Wasn't the reason that NASA went to a shuttle was for reuse? To me, this "new" design looks like the apollo capsules. What is there for reuse and how will they reuse it? And then there is landing....
NASA sold the shuttle program to congress on the concept of re-use. To safely fly the shuttle requires it to be nearly rebuilt after every flight at a cost of hundreds of millions of dollars each time. I seem to recall an article saying that it ended up costing just as much as sending up a new rocket each time.
Also, the functional parts of this rocket are based on the current shuttle booster rockets. The ones that fall to earth halfway through the launch, as does large external the fuel tank that powers them. Note that these are picked up and reused. I'm sure NASA will continue this practice, if they go with this "new" design.
I imagine the landing will work just like it did with the Apollo capsules, which I imagine is similar to how the Russians are still doing it. And last I heard, they have not lost any craft on re-entry in recent years, unlike us.
The diagram I'm looking at appears to be more like the Ariane 4 or Ariane 5 to me. The big middle one especially looks like the Ariane 5.
Re:Apollo?
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Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
I looks like the crew and equipment containers would not.
Why couldn't the crew module be (largely) reusable? Replace an ablative heat shield similar to but larger than used for the Apollo CM, refurbish the capsule, and have a throw-away Service-Module-equivalent for maneuvering in orbit/CM supplies. Put the more expensive components in the CM, dumb tanks and batteries and the like in the SM. Granted, you toss a rocket engine away.
NASA has 20,000 people on staff to maintain and rebuild the Shuttle fleet. Given that loaded labor rates, even for drudgery such as rocket maintenance, are probably in the $75k to $100k per year range, that means $1.5B per year is getting spent whether the Shuttles fly or not.
By the way: Loaded labor rate includes all expenses attributable to the employee being there - the cost of their desk, computer(s), health plan, the portion of the air conditioning and heating bill for their space, etc. It's part of what makes large organizations exponentially more expensive to operate than a one or two person garage business.
Well, knock it for looks if you like, but the fact is, the Apollo program worked. We got people to the moon and back several times, using technology and engineering that would be considered startlingly primitive by today's standards.
Compare that to today's shuttle program, where the idea of even getting to the still LEO that the Hubble Telescope occupies is arguably too dangerous. And, while the idea of reusing the whole spaceship is elegant, and the sight of the Shuttle gliding to a landing is much more asthetically pleasing than a capsule plunking down below a parachute, the capsule tech is well-understood and a helluva lot simpler to model and maintain.
I'm not one of those people who accuse NASA of being 'fraidy cat about safety - to me, they honestly care about the lives of the people who are zooming out of the atmosphere on the flying bombs they produce. If this configuration is proven to work, and the Shuttle configuration is (as we have seen) proven to have serious and even fatal problems, then going "back to the future" is certainly the way to go - at least until we get to the point through any of the various technologies in development that we can abandon the whole chemical-rocket-blast-overwhelmingly-into-space concept.
So I say, if it works, go for it! Ditch the Shuttle but keep the bits that work.
-- political_news.c: warning: comparison is always true due to limited range of data type
Wasn't the reason that NASA went to a shuttle was for reuse?
No. The reason was that they wanted a cheaper launch capability. A reusable design seemed like a good way of reaching that goal.
The shuttles turned out to be expensive per launch. Partly because of fewer launches than expected, the two accidents and related technical problems and the fact that maintenance cost turned out to be a lot higher than expected.
If a non-reusable design pieced together from proven shuttle tech is cheaper, I don't see the problem. Big honkin' rockets for payloads and a capsule on top of a dependable booster for crew.
The holy grail for manned crafts is obviously a single stage to orbit reusable low maintenance spaceplane that can achieve refuel and relaunch. But the tech obviously isn't there yet.
What is there for reuse and how will they reuse it?
They reuse a lot of the shuttle rockets/engine design. If it is cheaper - and safer - to build single use vehicles than to refurbish the shuttles before each launch....
And then there is landing....
Ablative heatshields, parachutes. Safer and easier than the tiles and glider landing used on the shuttle.
-- If J.K.R wrote Windows: Puteulanus fenestra mortalis!
Do the new ones come with replicators and transporters?
Efficient,reliable,cheap - chose any 2 :-)
by
OrangeSpyderMan
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· Score: 1
From TFA : By making the rockets from shuttle parts, the new plan would draw on the shuttle's existing network of thousands of contractors and technologies, in theory speeding its completion and lowering its price.
Yes thereby ensuring that all the "keep prices down" corner cutting that got the shuttle where it is today doesn't go to waste either:-)
Re:Efficient,reliable,cheap - chose any 2 :-)
by
Tune
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· Score: 1
From TFA: [...] in theory speeding its completion and lowering its price.
That, indeed is why NASA is the leading agency for doing efficient, reliable and cheap innovation -- in theory. That is why Burt Rutan's SS1 project went over budget, it was irrisponsible, it did not win the Ansari X price and -- in fact -- it crashed. Whaha.
-- In theory, there is no difference between practice and theory.
Re:Efficient,reliable,cheap - chose any 2 :-)
by
jhsiao
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· Score: 1
This implementation trades off on a bit of efficiency.
Instead of using the same module for crew and cargo (the shuttle), there will be two totally separate launch vehicles. In both cases, the only thing that would be reusable is the solid rocket boosters (unless the crew capsule is also reusable). Is it a surprise that ATK Thiokol is the contractor for the SRBs' motors?
In the initial cargo implementations, they'd still have problems with foam debris, but that's a problem only if the cargo module is designed to safely reenter. The final cargo proposal would end up using an external tank with two shuttle engines mated to the bottom, and I doubt the current ET is designed to deal with that kind of stress. So the final cargo design will require some significant redesign by Lockheed Martin.
I'm not entirely certain the reusability of the SRBs save that much money since they have to be closely inspected and recertified between uses. But they are the most powerful in existence--each providing 3.3 mil lb of thrust. Why not reuse the design?
I did find the FAQ on their website a bit disingenuous:
"In the case of Challenger, the SRB did not suffer a catastrophic failure, but the leaking hot gas interacted with the rest of the vehicle, which resulted in the loss of Challenger and her crew."
Not exactly system-level thinking. Certainly the same "leaking hot gas" would have resulted in loss of cargo in their new proposal, but whether it would have caused loss of crew in their CEV is unknown.
Re:Efficient,reliable,cheap - chose any 2 :-)
by
Retric
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· Score: 1
Ok 1 team won the prize, but how many failed again? Lots of things look cheeper if you can safely ignore part of their costs.
Re:Efficient,reliable,cheap - chose any 2 :-)
by
Tune
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· Score: 1
Correct me if I'm wrong, but IMHO the accumulated costs of all research by Ansari X price contentendants didn't even touch on the cost of a single NASA launch. The point is: a big pile of dollars and a beefy set of managers isn't a guarantee to innovate cheap, reliable, efficient space ships. In case of the space shuttle as a reusable, cheap orbital launcher/lander - it just never happened. Innovation stopped in the mid-80s, costs never dropped.
On the other hand, from a set of competing teams with little cash, great ideas are bound to float up. Competitions may not be the way to go for settled business, continuously improving their efficiency margins. It is however the way to get great innovations, relatively cheap.
And space exploration isn't currently a settled business by far...
Re:Efficient,reliable,cheap - chose any 2 :-)
by
Retric
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· Score: 1
Ok your wrong. Hint: not all NASA launches cost anywhere near what the shuttle does.
He scaled up an in efficient rocket engine so no advantage there.
The idea of using a jet to help things into space had already been used.
He did not deal with any heat dissipation issues because he never got up to Mach 22 / never went into orbit.
They took the lightest pilot they could find and send him up to kiss the sky which is So comparable to sending a ship into orbit that has enough cargo capacity to carry this ship into space.
Now I am all for private companies spending their money to get into space but NASA spend 10 mil on the X prize and as far as I can see they got nothing out of it.
Re:Efficient,reliable,cheap - chose any 2 :-)
by
Koos+Baster
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· Score: 1
Now I am all for private companies spending their money to get into space but NASA spend 10 mil on the X prize and as far as I can see they got nothing out of it.
Wasn't the 10 mil for the Ansari X prize raised by a private entity -- namely, the Ansari family?
Re:Efficient,reliable,cheap - chose any 2 :-)
by
Tune
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· Score: 1
True. You have a point in that my line of reasoning compares apples with oranges. Scaled composites has a long way to go before they can do space shuttle stuff.
But it's the small steps that count. Private initiative have a lot of catching up to do with NASA's state monopoly - it may take another 20 years.
But what's the advantage in spending tax dollars on research that - apparently - some indivuals & for-profit organizations would gladly pay for? Personally, I don't see the point in pay huge sums to get my ass in outer space, the moon, mars. And I couldn't care less if someone else does. Manned space missions have never been much more than PR. & tourism. Compared to unmanned missions they are outrageously expensive and have little or no scientific merrits.
So why should my tax dollars be spend on it?
OK. I'm ranting so I'll stop. Please (sincerely) convince me that an organization like NASA is the best (cheapest) way to innovate and build great things.
Re:Efficient,reliable,cheap - chose any 2 :-)
by
Retric
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· Score: 1
NASA has been doing a lot of good basic research. Things like Ion drives, solar sails, and scram jets which are needed for long term development but don't get as in your face as manned space flight. I think it's best to keep them around as long as they are the only ones interested in doing this type of research.
But, the long-term goal of manned space flight is to make viable off world colonies. However, for that to work they need to be self-sustaining. So we need to develop methods of building everything from glass, to rubber, to CPU's on Mars if we want to truly get off this rock. Until that time it's always going to be cheaper to sit on earth and develop things like fusion than it is to maintain a manned mission in space.
I think there is a lot of value in the research done on how humans react to prolonged weightlessness, but for the near term we need to focus on developing things like biosphere II which will let us live among the stars as apposed to trying to get people to space cheaply or sending tunes of cash to get a few people to sight see on mars for a few months. It's cheaper to send a rocket into space with an experiment than it is to send a person and that experiment up at the same time.
NASA should try and get private companies interested in space but they are doing a great job with things like the mars probes. Even when these projects fail they still provide value if nothing more than keeping people interested in the stars.
Once companies get interested in researching space for profit then let them at it but as long as it's all subsidized by the US Gov then there is little value in having private companies doing basic research.
Re:Efficient,reliable,cheap - chose any 2 :-)
by
Tune
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· Score: 1
I guess your point of view makes sense, and we seem to agree on most parts. That is: sending sealed capsuled with astronauts from earth on a return ticket shouldn't a tax payers' priority. It's possible; it's been done and we know enough about prolonged weightlessness to send people on long journeys just yet.
IMHO, the manned moon missions had little scientific merits appart from the proof of concept. It's hot PR, offcourse, especially in the cold-war background, but what did the astronauts that landed do that cannot be done by probes?
The same goes for Bush' Mars-vision: at this point in time - knowing as little as we do about the journey and about its destination - it doesn't make sense to send humans on a two-way ticket. It's like building a manned submarine to explore the ocean's bottom: most ot the time it's unnecessarily dangerous, expensive and inefficient, while cheap unmanned alternatives are readily available.
As with the X-price: if people/organizations still insist it's nice (for PR; thrills) then OK let them have a go with their own money; don't waste tax dollars.
To prepare for colonization of other planets, most research in launch, space travel & landing is best done unmanned or simply on this rock, by simulation. Biosphere labs have not just revealed how (not) to build self-sustaining structures. They have also shown how people react to being crammed in a (relatively) small bubble and how theory about earth ecology actually translates to practice. Even if never applied to other planets, the experiments are bound to teach us a lot more about the ecology outside the biosphere. Ie. climate change, biodiversity - basically it's testing the scalability of the earh habitat (scaling down).
On off-world construction - I believe the Japs have made some good progress in basics like fabricating mortar from moon rocks; mining and it for metals. I beleieve transparant and air/pressure resistant materials are a long way off, though..
...these are ancient designs which can be implemented using decades-old technology. The only interesting thing is that now NASA has killed enough people to shift the bureaucracy off its ass. We don't need the Battlestar Galactica hardware to do Apollo missions.
They're cheaper, safer, better, awesomer, and nowhere near as Rube Goldberg-esque as the shuttle. Kim Stanley Robinson's Mars trilogy explores the topic of a space elevator on Mars in some depth. There it's a problem because it makes space travel too easy.
-- Read the sig, read the sig, ziggy ziggy ziggy zig!
They're cheaper, safer, better, awesomer, and nowhere near as Rube Goldberg-esque as the shuttle.
Did you even read the Wikipedia article? Cheaper - "Development costs might be roughly equivalent, in modern dollars, to the cost of developing the shuttle system" - the technology for this currently doesn't exist, which means additional R&D is required (more $$$) - moving the elevator along the cable would require an enormous power source (so big, in fact, it wouldn't fit on board), so we're talking about additional R&D spent on alternative power sources - lastly, to avoid problems with corrosion, you'd have to plate the cables with gold or platinum
Safer - "early elevators would be restricted to cargo due to radiation shielding issues" - "all satellites with perigees below the top of the elevator will eventually collide" - meteoroids and micrometeorites are unpredictable and could easily sever the cable - "no terrorist act in history has approached the potential destruction caused by the carefully-targeted sabotage of a space elevator"
I personally love the idea, but until we can find more practical (economical) reasons to be in orbit, there just isn't enough long-term justification for an elevator.
So you admit it's awesomer! Let's focus on the awesomeness. A huge cable, stretching all the way to the heavens, sparkling with gold and platinum, made out of carbon nanotubes which probably sparkle like diamonds...
*faints*
-- Read the sig, read the sig, ziggy ziggy ziggy zig!
Here is another Two Words for you. Complete fantasy. Or a more descriptive set of three. Not Technically Feasable. At least for the near future. Even your WIki link admits that having the technology developed by 2008 is optimistic. Much like the Moller Sky Car, the Space elevator is a 20 year old promise that has always been "coming soon"!
We need a reliable earth to orbit transportation system soon. Politics, as much as any technical difficulties, will kill the shuttle program. The obits have already been written. But we will have to wait and see if the next great thing for space transportation is safer and cheaper or cheaper and cheaper.
So where does that leave us? For the moment we are faced with a choice between old but well understood technologies or new and potentially expensive technologies. I know where my money is, but I also know that the world operates not or reality, but the perception of reality.
I love this space elevator concept, because I've recently staked out claims in an area that's got tons of unobtanium just waiting to be mined. When somebody does finally sell this concept to enough investors, and they have enough cash, we'll develop the unobtanium mine, and happily take all thier money.
The great thing about mining unobtanium, there's a couple by-products during production. For every ton of unobtanium we produce, we'll end up with more than a million gallons of snake oil in the tailings ponds. I'm currently working on attracting investors to that portion of the project as well. I'm confident anybody willing to invest the billions required for a space elevator project will be more than happy to dump an extra few million into snake oil production, it'll be a tremendously profitable by-product.
The only way a space elevator will work is if it's in geo-centric orbit. This means that satellites and spacecraft below it would get sliced in half.
Anything launched by it would be at a minimum of geocentric orbit, so if you wanted to launch anything in a lower orbit, it would need its own power supply to get itself to orbital speed.
If the cable broke, the top half would fly off, trashing everything in its path and possibly hitting the moon.
Also it doesn't exist. You may as well suggest using flying saucers or teleporters.
NASA should send up vehicles shaped like a giant broom and dustpan. There's a lot of dangerous debris up there.
Not Feasible (yet)
by
everphilski
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· Score: 2, Informative
Single-Stage to orbit isnt feasible (yet). We need either a breakthrough in materials technology or propulsion performance. The rocket equation is
Delta-V = g * Isp * ln( MR )
where:
Delta-V: velocity required to achieve LEO (7.6 km/s best case scenario: but you need to add gravity and drag losses, add at least 1 km/s)
g: gravity (9.8 m/s)
Isp: Specific impulse of your propellant. This is an efficiency factor: 1 kg of propellant generates Isp kg of thrust. Hydrogen and Oxygen properly mixed generates an Isp of about 450 [seconds] in a vacuum. That is the upper level of chemical propulsion.
MR: Mass ratio. Mass that sits on the launchpad divided by the mass that achieves orbit.
Play around with that equation and you will see STS0 just doesn't work out yet. Our feasible Isp is way too low and our current material properties won't let us build a ship with a MR of over 10 that can return to earth safely.
Interesting factoid though, if you attached the space shuttle main engines to the external tank and just made that a launch vehicle, as a single stage it could put damn near 100 tons into LEO... as a single stage... but your not coming home. Reinforcing the ET takes such a mass penalty your payload is effectively reduced to zero.
Have you considered an alternate fuel, such as kerosene? While kerosene provides less specific impulse (I believe it's around 350 seconds versus hydrogen's 450), it's a lot easier to store...tanks for keresone are about 10% of the weight of tanks for a comparable amount of hydrogen.
Also I think I heard somewhere that good results were obtained from a propane/oxygen mix...that's another fuel that wouldn't require the excessive containment structure hydrogen demands.
another interesting fuel would be methane+02 right between kerosene and hydrogen in specific impulse and density. BTW the problem with hydrogen is not so much the cold but the density. A pound of kerosene is much smaller than a pound of hydrogen.
-- See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
Re:Not Feasible (yet)
by
GileadGreene
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· Score: 1
That's funny. Douglas Aircraft Co thought it was feasible in the 60's. Gary Hudson has been working on SSTO since the 70's, and cites several efforts by other companies. Even NASA bought off on the idea when it started the X-33 program. They just botched it by picking a vaporware design that involved all sorts of innovations above and beyond SSTO. So why exactly are you claiming that SSTO "isn't feasible (yet)"?
1) The Titan II first stage has a sufficient mass ratio to be a SSTO. SSTO is 60s technology, and already flown hardware! (Reuseable, on the other hand, has yet to be accomplished in any form.)
2) Did you know that the Space Shuttle has the worst GLOW:payload ratio in the business? It is 75:1! Hydrogen is a horrible fuel - modern rockets avoid except for upper stages (even then they avoid it if possible!). For comparison, Delta, Atlas, and Pegasus are about 40-50:1, using denser fuels. (The density help an awful lot when dealing with pressure vessels, so the Isp savings of hydrogen are vastly outwieghed by the density problem.)
3) When my SSTO flies, I guess that will be the ultimate test, right? (I hope;-} )
BTW, the true advantage of propane is that it is temperature compatible with LOX, so the tanks can share a common bulkhead. Other than that, it has slightly higher Isp than kerosene, and is denser. Other advantages, such as high speed gas injection, can be used depending on engine design. (There are also some really neat pumping methods the work almost exclusively with liquid propane at LOX temperatures, but I don't want to go into that...)
That said, I think there are better ways to acheive a reusable SSTO - I guess we'll see if I'm right!
Delta-V = g * Isp * ln( MR )
where:
Delta-V: velocity required to achieve LEO (7.6 km/s best case scenario: but you need to add gravity and drag losses, add at least 1 km/s)
g: gravity (9.8 m/s)
[...]
Play around with that equation and you will see STS0 just doesn't work out yet.
Well, if you pull a favourite NASA trick and interpret g as 9.8 inches/s then things start looking peachy.
There are also some really neat pumping methods that work almost exclusively with liquid propane at LOX temperatures
Interesting you should mention that. When working on a detailed rocket design program, I considered the possibility of using a high temperature superconducting reluctance motor to power the propane and LOX turbopumps. Turns out that both liquids would be right below the temperature needed for HTS. With 30% efficient propane-oxygen fuel cells providing the electricity, the total mass of the system comes out surprisingly similar to that of using engine power to run the turbopumps, but you can have completely isolated (no penetrations of the fuel or oxidizer lines) turbopumps (assuming that the bearings for the turbopumps are lubricated internally, that is).
LOX/Propane sure is an attractive combination, looking at the numbers. I have to wonder what the downsides are - does it gel too easily if temperatures or pressures fluctuate, etc? I can't imagine that it'd be hard to make combust evenly, given how readily it vaporizes, especially if you preheat it. If it doesn't have unexpected problems, I have to wonder why it's not used more often (at least for lower stages) - it's not like there's a shortage of propane in the world;)
-- "It felt almost as good as stealing cars from grandma." -- Margaret Thatcher, probably.
"The Titan II first stage has a sufficient mass ratio to be a SSTO."
Gee, then let's just replace the second stage with a satellite or crew capsule and... Oh. Say what? You mean it has a sufficient mass ratio to be a SSTO with zero payload. Kewl.
"Did you know that the Space Shuttle has the worst GLOW:payload ratio in the business? It is 75:1!"
It would be ~15:1 except that we'd like to have the orbiter back. You're playing word games, which apparently impress you more than they impress the rocket equation.
SSTOs are not realistic currently (although I wouldn't declare them impossible). However, what about 1 1/2 stage craft (i.e., with a carrier)? I.e., one of the following (let me know if I miss any):
Carry (top-mounted): 1/4/5/2 Carry (bottom-mounted): 3/1/5/4 to 1/3/5/4 Carry (wing-mounted): 4/2/5/4 Carry (internal): 5/1/5/4 Tow (fuelled): 4/5/1/5 Tow (unfuelled, lines preattached): 4/5/5/4 Dock and fuel: 5/5/4/1
Ratings (scale of 1=worst to 5=best): Carrier craft modifications / launch vehicle mass and geometry limitations / launch vehicle landing gear loading requirements / launch complexity)
Even 1 1/2 stage craft still tend to be hard to get to LEO, but they're easier than a pure SSTO. My favorites are internal carry (for when geometry isn't a problem to your craft!), tow unfuelled with fuelling lines preattached, and dock and fuel (for when you might need the possibility to be refuelled midair or make multiple hops to space without landing)
-- "It felt almost as good as stealing cars from grandma." -- Margaret Thatcher, probably.
Sorry, methane doesn't look like much of a winner to me; it seems to combine the worst of both worlds. Subcooled propane, on the other hand, sure does. You can keep it at liquid oxygen temperatures, and it's a very dense, high ISP fuel - but one that you still can preheat to a gas before burning for even combustion.
-- "It felt almost as good as stealing cars from grandma." -- Margaret Thatcher, probably.
The "innovations" were not "above and beyond SSTO". They were required for SSTO. They *needed* tanks that light to make the math work out on the craft. The mass requirements on SSTOs are awful. In all likelyhood, with current technology, SSTOs are not impossible; they're just fiscally infeasable.
-- "It felt almost as good as stealing cars from grandma." -- Margaret Thatcher, probably.
1) You are wrong - the Titan configuration put a few tons to LEO. The real problem is that the engine would need to be throttled down, and the Titan engine was not throttlable. (On the other hand, it is pretty straightforward to decrease an engines performance!)
2) You are still not quite correct - did you forget to include the boosters? Details: GLOW: 2,041,200 kilograms Payload Max: 24,948 kilograms Orbiter Mass: 104,328 kilograms
So its more like 20:1
It still makes my point, the Shuttle is not an example of good engineering for a cargo launcher - it is an example of how launching a space station for every flight is expensive, even if that space station is reuseable!
The rocket equation does not put any limits on space flight, only our (lack of) design experience puts those limits in. (I think I should know, I am in the business after all!)
As to your snide comments, please grow up;-} I'm not really trying to impress the rocket equation, it's already married!
Your original wording was "The Titan II first stage has a sufficient mass ratio to be a SSTO. SSTO is 60s technology, and already flown hardware!"
Now you say: "The real problem is that the engine would need to be throttled down, and the Titan engine was not throttlable."
So it's "already flown hardware," except for the trivial detail that nobody has in fact built and flown it for the function you're claiming. I'll stop being "snide" when you stop playing word games.
What do you think of the idea of a re-usable piloted first stage (seperate at about 100KM / 6-8000 fps so no need for re-entry heat shielding)? In my understanding of the physics of multi-stage rockets, you have the most room for "extra" weight in the first stage, so you have more room for robustness and less need for such stringant re-certification between flights.
It seems to me that a sub-orbital first stage has the most "slack" to work with, and could pretty easily (for rocket science) be made as simple and reliable as a commercial airliner. It the basic idea is sound, there's room to think about making that first stage air-breathing, which would give some more room for structural over-engineering and redundancy, though I'm not sure the payoff there's really as big as fans think.
It just seems to me that if you want to get a cost savings from re-usability and proven technology, the first stage is where the win is, even more so than an unpowered orbiter (re-using heat shielding just hasn't worked out very well, it seems), and that with some care you could make LOX and airbreathing first stages interchangable as the technoology favored one or the other over the years to come.
-- Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
I agree. The only problem with piloted first stages is size - first stages are often quite huge. Beyond that, you have the most room to have the extra weight of flight control surfaces, your control surfaces don't need to deal with as much thermal protection if any (a huge benefit), etc. If you can get around the difficulties associated with size, it should be much simpler than making the orbiter reusable.
Note that the shuttle SRBs are mostly reusable, although the main tank isn't. They're just not flyback (tack on wings and scale up for the extra mass, and you're looking at landing something as big as a 747 unpowered; they already have an empty mass as much as the shuttle). As they stand, though, they're cheap and reliable enough that they're going to form the keystone lower stages (as the article mentioned) of the new launch vehicles.
-- "It felt almost as good as stealing cars from grandma." -- Margaret Thatcher, probably.
Re:Not Feasible (yet)
by
GileadGreene
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· Score: 1
No, they needed tanks that light to make the design they selected work. Different design, different tank mass requirements. That's how spacecraft design works - every design choice affects other design choices.
I don't recall MD saying they'd need super-light tanks to get the Delta Clipper to work. Nor did Gary Hudson claim he needed super-light tanks for Phoenix, Roton, or any of his other designs. And as I mentioned before, Douglas Aircraft seemed to think the idea was feasible (both technically and economically) even with 60's technology.
You were stating that SSTO was not possible with current technology because of the required mass ratio - I refuted that by demonstrating a past technology that had more than enough (too much, in fact) power, and a perfectly acceptable mass ratio for SSTO. It was built and flown, but not in the mission I described. I think that is as close to an existence proof as you can get in this situation.
The key is that it wouldn't be reuseable - but quite possibly a newer design using the most recent technologies could have been.
-- while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
Re:Not Feasible (yet)
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
"The rocket equation is..."
What if it's not a rocket?
"g: gravity (9.8 m/s)"
I think you meant m/s^2 -- it is acceleration, after all.
The units and dimensions in this thread are killing me.
Thrust in kg?
Isp in seconds? Especially when appearing in the same sentence as fuel density (correctly) stated in kg/m^3... No wonder people think rocket science is hard.
I know these are the common conventions of the field, but they're a confusing mix of imperial, metric, and just plain wrong.
I don't recall MD saying they'd need super-light tanks to get the Delta Clipper to work
They will. It's basic physics; do we need to run the numbers? DC-X only got to use 2219 aluminum alloy tanks because it wasn't designed to go anywhere. DC-X2 was to use "advanced cryogenic tanks" (not specified). Tanks were never designed in detail for DC-Y, but would have certainly needed to be even more "advanced".
Nor did Gary Hudson claim he needed super-light tanks for Phoenix
And there's a reason why Hudson didn't: Phoenix's design was never finished to the point where tank mass requirements would be determined. Heck, they kept changing their *fuel choice* during design, let alone their engines (which radically changed), let alone an overall design, let alone an overall CFD-validated design, which would give you the final parameters you'd need to know your weight requirements on your tanks and thus determine their construction.
Roton
It got further than Phoenix, but still wasn't to the point that final specs were known, as they never did a full CFD analysis, or even have full working engines (part of the reason that they kept having to change their design until they ran out of money - the way it was looking near the end, they were going to have to buy some russian rocket engines and strap boosters onto it, making it more and more like a normal, staged rocket). They did build a tank, and, just like the X-33, its design was a world-first - a composite propellant rocket tank for a commercial rocket. Unlike the X-33's tank, however, it had a much less challenging task (kerosene rockets shift more of the technological burden to the engines from the tanks), and didn't have the strength/weight requirements of the X-33's.
In short, the Roton was looking like it would *not* be a SSTO because their engine performance numbers were turning out to be unrealistic, To be fair, Roton did have *a* working tank, it was quite lightweight, and was developed for two orders of magnitude less money. Could they could have gotten it as light as X-33's requirements? Probably not. Even if they could, would Roton have worked as a SSTO? Probably not. It's doubtful we'll see a kerosene SSTO any time soon; I've run the numbers before, and your craft has to weigh almost nothing and get crazy-performance out of the engines.
By the way - I'm not normally a huge fan of Rutan, but I have this to say for him: he did his advance work, just like a professional space agency, and it paid off. SS1 fit into the performance envelope that had been predicted by CFD modelling, and flew stably thanks to the extensively-simulate-before-you-build design philosophy that Hudson could really have taken a page from.
And don't even get me started on Bono's "minimal-math-behind-them" SSTO concepts in the 60s.
-- "It felt almost as good as stealing cars from grandma." -- Margaret Thatcher, probably.
Re:Not Feasible (yet)
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
So how do you measure the amount of time one unit of fuel will provide one unit of thrust, if not in seconds?
Re:Not Feasible (yet)
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Multi-Methyl Hydrazine to F5 seems to have the best mass to thrust ratio, according to about an hour of research with my kid last weekend, and a few minutes on the Open Office spreadsheet. Comments on that combination? I would totally appreciate it if you bothered to take the time to organize your space thoughts into a blog, I don't have the time to learn what you know, but I like the way you think and communicate. I think you could do for the science what Alex Roland is doing for commentary on the politics of NASA.
While the option of reusable first stages already exists in the form of the SRBs, and powering options such as jets or ramjets could be examined, I fail to see the need for it being manned. Manning an aircraft adds enourmous weight and complexity. Since the first stage would only fly one profile, it does not need the flexibility or adaptability of a human pilot, and with advances in UAV technology, could more efficiently be remote or computer controlled. What needs to be examined are recovery options other than parachuting to a splash-down. The addition of wings, undercarriage, and an airframe capable of vertical and lateral loading may eliminate the benefit of a winged recovery. Perhaps the roton design would work well as a first stage recovery.
You know, I've just got an idea: could fuels mix to get most dense package? You see, when you mix volumes of water and ethanol they don't add (their masses do, of course). The pardigm that tries to explain that is: "a room full of basketballs can still be filled up with a lot of golfballs" or, to get more to the point, if you mix particles (in this case, molecules) of different size, they don't use up as much volume as they would if they were separated. Of course, for them to mix, the boiling point of "cooler" liquid must be higher then freezing point of the "hotter" one. Perhaps even a "crazy dangerous" (well, not while everything is cool...and if it wasn't, it wouldn't make much of a difference if they are mixed or just very near!) thing like storing the mix of LOX and fuel in one container could be feasible (different boiling points of the two could provide for separation of the flow and regulation before usage).
Well, you're right that it wouldn't need to be manned, as it could be an ROV and still land on a runway. NASA tradition runs against this approach, and for good PR reasons. The decision gets interesting when you consider launch abort scenarios half-way through the first stage - is flexability better with a seperate pilot for the first stage, or the easy ability to just detonate the first stage?
A suspect, however, that a piloted first stage capable of a runway landing, if well designed, could pay for itself in sub-orbital transport use.
In any case, my point is that you can add a lot of robustness and "extra" weight, such as wings and undercarriage, to the first stage with little reduction in payload, giving many of the benefits of an SSTO design with far less of a payload tradeoff.
-- Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
To me it seems the US has gone back to the K.I.S.S. (Keep It Simple, Stupid) strategy that the Russians have always adopted. To me it never made sense to have the shuttle strapped right next to the fuel and solid rockets. I believe it wasn't ever intended to in the original design...
This way they'll be able to have an escape capsule thus giving them half a chance in the case of a launch error. The shuttle is amazing, but the sooner it's retired to a museum, the better, IMO.
To me it never made sense to have the shuttle strapped right next to the fuel and solid rockets. I believe it wasn't ever intended to in the original design...
First, there were dozens of "original designs." Tom Heppenheimer explains very well how NASA got to what was actually built, but at two volumes it's kinda long for a/. post. $23 for the pair, used, from Amazon.
Second, do a thought experiment: put an orbiter with its wings and tail on top of a rocket, where it so obviously belongs according to a lot of cheap hindsight. Now drive it up through the atmosphere, encountering a max Q of about 700 lb/ft^2. Mind you, that's not a nice even pressure as it would be underwater; it's a ferocious buffeting, with dips and spikes all over the place. Might be a few... interesting challenges in maintaining trajectory with a 125-ton weathervane up there, don't you think?
I'll leave the other design consequences -- and there are many -- to your imagination. (Hint: think "tank, SSME fuel, location of")
Cow's gone, close the door.
by
bigtallmofo
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· Score: 1
The payloads are riding up top to avoid debris.
The proverbial cow has left the barn, time to close the barn door.
Don't worry about the hole in the wall until chickens start escaping.
When will NASA start anticipating problems instead of just overreacting to previous ones?
-- I'm a big tall mofo.
Re:Cow's gone, close the door.
by
everphilski
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· Score: 1
You have to insulate tanks. Tanks have been insulated since cryogenic propellants have been used.
You can either insulate them from the outside or the inside. Outside you get debris. Inside you get debris. If your vehicle is on top, we don't care about debris outside. Inside, debris clogs our turbopumps and causes us to abort. And insulating the outside is cheaper.
Think of it as the lesser of two evils.
-everphilski-
Re:Nasa says looks are not important...
by
natron+2.0
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· Score: 1
IIRC, they painted the main tanks on the first 2 shuttle launches, but it was determined that all the white paint they appied to the main tank added to much wieght to it so they went back to brown unpainted tanks.
Overly fragile?
by
Aumaden
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· Score: 2, Interesting
Is the whole design of the shuttle overly fragile?
I understand that there are some sizable forces acting on the launch vehicle, but how can insulating foam do so much damage?
And, if insulating foam can damage the tiles, what about micro meteors or drifting debris from previous flights?
Isn't there a way to put a shrouding over the tiles that would be jettisoned with the fuel tank? Protect the tiles until the shuttle is free of the fuel tank and solid rocket motors.
Is the whole design of the shuttle overly fragile? Extremely. At least on launch. The liquid propellant container is made of layer of metal thin like tinfoil. Internal pressure keeps it from bending and breaking, but a small point pressure (bird's beak? Air gun dart?) is enough to pierce it - and make it explode. The shuttle itself is much more durable, but the foam remember that E=mv^2 so even small m at speeds the shuttle is going creates huge E, capable of seriously damaging it. Micrometeors and tiniest debris will just pierce tiny holes. Possible to repair (or not, depends where they happen), but unless a human or essential piece of electronics happens on the way, mostly harmless. Bigger meteors or pieces - hard luck, you're screwed.
-- Anagram("United States of America") == "Dine out, taste a Mac, fries"
Drop a coffee mug from three feet. What happens to ceramics when they recieve a sharp blow, even one with little force. Now things about 'little things' in supersonic winds. A thin layer of cloth isn't going to matter all that much. It may help, but is is worth the weight?
The whole engineering exercise is terribly weight constrained. You can imagine all sorts of solutions, but they add weight. My current favorite is to sandwich foam insulation between aluminum skins. This would prevent the insulation from shedding. There are plenty of examples of this structure in nature. Our skulls for example, a skull is build of two dense layers of bone with a layer of porous bone between it. The result is stronger, stiffer and lighter than a skull made of only solid bone. But for all I know, the cold LOX would cause the inner aluminum to contract and cause the layers to pull appart. But all these what-ifs don't really matter until you plug in the numbers and figure out the weight of the entire design is and build a series of computer simulations and prototypes.
I understand that there are some sizable forces acting on the launch vehicle, but how can insulating foam do so much damage?
Think about it this way. Q. How can a bullet do so much damage? A. It is moving very fast. The foam debris that hit the Columbia weighed a little over a pound from what I understand. It was also moving at several miles per hour and very hard as it was "frozen" from the cooling of the fuel.
-- Fly me to the moon
Let me sing among those stars
Let me see what spring is like
On jupiter and mars
The foam debris that hit the Columbia weighed a little over a pound from what I understand. It was also moving at several hundred miles per hour and very hard as it was "frozen" from the cooling of the fuel.
-- Fly me to the moon
Let me sing among those stars
Let me see what spring is like
On jupiter and mars
I'd say that the shuttle design is overly fragile in the sense that it's just too complicated for you to expect the whole system to work every time. The shuttle has a lot of pieces, and there are a lot of combinations of failures that would result in the whole thing falling apart. Sure, a lot of the systems have redundancies, but some things (the protective tiles, for instance) just cannot have redundant backups.
For very complex systems, simply reducing the complexity has value in improved safety.
Is the whole design of the shuttle overly fragile?
Yes, because unlike every previous (and subquesent) operational space-vehicle, it's also an airplane. That means it must be lightweight and have long thin wings to catch air. Imagine a low-speed collision between the strongest airplane (the A-10) and an average tank (like the M1A2)- there is no question about which will survive that crash.
Good, safe landers have the areodynamic qualities of a rock: difficult to damage, but impossible to manuver. The parachute landing will be somewhat random, and you'll just have to cope with a long walk back. On the other hand, the Shuttle was (for distorted reasons) built with opposite charactistics: it can be steered to any landing spot you wish, but is so fragile that any small mistake will mean complete destruction.
As parent says, the idea of reuse was solely to make things cheaper. Each shuttle flight ended up costing over $1b (according to the article). I have a difficult time calling that "cheap", especially when the Soyuz FG costs $50 million per launch. Now, this new design is apparently going to be MUCH more powerful than the Soyuz, but I seriously doubt it would come in line with the $1b/flight price tag.
Ahhh and here the fatal flaw is underestimating the power of bureaucracy.
See all they have to do is point out that all the previous launches cost $1B, and that inflation in 2004 was around 4%, and they are sure to spend at least $1.04B.
Any bureaucracy beyond a certain critical mass can absorb any amount of money near it.
Re:Back to the future.
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
What is there for reuse and how will they reuse it? Not much, and they won't.
With a capsule, how much of the cost of building it is in the computers and controls and other internal bits and how much is in the exterior? If the former is a significant cost, why not design the capsule with a disposable exterior but reusable interior?
It is strange that the new "shuttle" is not going to use something more interesting than just a rocket to lift off, like a SCRAM jet. I thought a SCRAM jet could lift a small new crew vehicle up above 50km and then the crew vehicle with 2 small boosters would disconnect from the jet and use the boosters to accelerate to the necessary speed, discard the boosters and use the remaining shuttle boosters to operate in the orbit. But they are going with another rocket design. Oh well, we just have to wait for the space elevator to be built to have more exotic means of space transportation I guess.
A scram jet will only get you to about 6-8 miles of altitude, I think (working on memory, might be wrong). In any event, it's a tiny fraction of the total altitude required. After that, it becomes a source of unnessary drag/weight/complexity.
Plus, scramjets still don't work very well. It's like trying to keep a match lit in a hurricane.
Still though, it's a tantalizing goal. Here we sit in a sea of Oxygen and can't use any of it to get into space....as frustrating as having to bring ice to the North Pole.
The most expensive part of the shuttle stack is the orbiter. Re-using the ET and the solid rocket boosters would save years of development time and yes, money.
They need to stick the Shuttle in the smithsonian and stick with the pieces that work.
Enterprise was an aerodynamic mockup, nothing more.
-everphilski-
The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
by
eno2001
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· Score: 3, Funny
I can't believe that people are still denying the truth. Just yesterday, there was a SECOND article about the discover of Planet X. Planet X is returning on it's 4000 year orbit, which means that the race that enslaved us nearly 4000 years ago, the Niburu are coming back. It's not a surprise that we haven't had a successful manned space mission in the last few years. The Bush administration, NASA, the U.S. military and some of the most powerful corporations on the planet are covering this up. Why, you may ask? Because, they have a deal with the Niburu to spare their families from the enslavement when they arrive in a few years time. It is as it was written by the Sumerians and as Zecharaiah Sitchin translated (he is the only man on Earth who can read ancient Sumerian properly).
One of the requirements that the Niburu required as part of the deal is that humans will not make any manned flights off of the planet anymore. This is why we haven't been able to get a shuttle off the ground for so long. NASA talks about the supposed failures of various systems, but it's just a cover-up. Just like the cover-up they pulled off when the manned space station jsut a couple years ago hear strange sounds coming from the outside. The sounds were the sounds of a Niburu operative crawling around on the outside of the station. NASA later claimed it was just a bit of casing that had been damaged and needed to be fixed. What really happened? The anstronauts were reprogrammed to become Niburu operatives and came back to Earth to infiltrate NASA.
What about the dead astronaut found in the Arabian dessert? What? You didn't hear about that? Maybe it's because the Niburu controlled media don't want you to hear about it. They've been stirring things up on the global front to get the commoners at each other's throats so that we are in disarray when they arrive to enslave us. The real story is that a dead astronaut was found in the Arabian dessert after he had unwittingly announced the discovery of Planet X back in the 90s when that comet was going to slam into Jupiter. Why didn't Jupiter ignite into a big sun when that happened? Because the Niburu prevented the ignition with their awesome mind control. But they didn't do it to protect us out of goodness. They did it to protect us as property. So, this dead astronaut was found in the Arabian dessert. And that's why.
Don't fall for the cover-ups. Read the teachings of Zecharaiah Sitchin. And prepare for the intergalactic battle with the Niburu. Our politicians, military and business men have sold us out, so it's up to us to get armed to the teeth and fight when the invasion force comes. One of the most imporatant weapons you can get right now is a telescope and some astrophotography gear. Print out the photos of the impending approach of Planet X and post them everywhere online and in real life. Make sure that everyone knows about the conspiracy. This ain't no time to go wastin' away in Margaritaville.
-- -"...bad old ideas look confusingly fresh when they are packaged as technology" - Jaron Lanier (Digital Maoism on Edge.o
This has been discussed a lot lately, with a leak / release (I don't remember which) back in April. This article makes it sound like the official announcement is closer, and still close to the details we heard in April. For a good overview, here is the WP entry.
What this essentially is saying is that NASA is deciding, now, that the booster for the next-gen vehicles will be Shuttle-derived. There'd been talk about using the Delta-4 instead. What this doesn't describe is the capsule itself (the Crew Exploration Vehicle (CEV), which will get figured out next year.
Personally, I thought the Delta-4 approach showed a lot of promise, but I can see the argument for using current technology (engines, boosters, etc.) because of familiarity and the ability to more easily integrate it into the current assembly process. I'd bet that changing over to Delta hardware would require a lot more work at the VAB and on the pad (not that moving to this would be easy).
Speaking of the VAB, I don't see how any of the facilities at the cape can handle something that appears to be twice as high as the shuttle (the cargo booster), the VAB is only 525ft tall! The high bay doors are only 465ft tall, and none of the launch sites appear to be setup for such a massive vehicle. I can only how much it would cost to replace the VAB.
-- There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
Even the Saturn V was only 364 ft tall, leaving just over 100 ft of clearance through the door. From the article:
"The larger of the vehicles, for lifting heavy cargoes but not people, would be some 350 feet tall, rivaling the Saturn 5 rockets that sent astronauts to the Moon. The smaller one, for carrying people, would still dwarf the shuttle, which stands 184 feet high with its attached rockets and fuel tank.
Looks like there's plenty of room for the new cargo lifter. I'm sure the size of the VAB was a factor in the design.
However, I'm not sure how the 350 ft cargo lifter "rivals" the 364 ft Saturn V or how the 184 ft manned launcher "dwarfs" the current 182 ft shuttle.
-- Some of what I say is fact, some is conjecture, the rest I'm just blowing out my ass...you guess.
Spaceplanes look cool. However spaceplanes are not what we need at this time. We were not in an advanced enough state of space usage to make good use out of it. We had far more need of speciality vehichles but speciality vehicles are BORING. NASA needed to sell itself after the spectacular moon landings. Hence we got the shuttle.
Not only did it look cool, sound cool, and appealed to geeks it appealed to Congress as they spread it out across a great many districts.
We paid the price by being locked into LEO for how many years? If it were not for the occasional Mars landing or some great deep space probes the shuttle would have killed NASA. Instead there were just enough thrilling items left in their bag of tricks to keep everyone from focusing on that fact that the golden goose wasn't so great.
So NASA is getting smarter, or at least the analyst are. Get back to space doing it cheaply with known and easily acquired, serviced, and usuable components. Then maybe we will finally do something in space. If we had this 20 years ago the ISS might have been done during the first Bush's term. (hell it might have even had been built while Reagan was around if we hadn't had to waste so much on the shuttle)
-- *
Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
Re:Not sad, facing reality.
by
'nother+poster
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· Score: 1
What do you mean NASA is getting smarter? The original shuttle designs with the reusable launchers and such were brilliant for the times, but funding cuts and politics gave us the monstrosity we have. The shuttle as we have it with the production and support nightmare is not what NASA wanted, it's what they got.
That said, heavy lifters for bulk, small light cheap for sattilites, and reusables for the ability to bring things back would be a good idea if you ask me, which no one did.
(No I didn't RTFA. I don't do NYT. I hate feeling dirty aftrewards.)
Re:Not sad, facing reality.
by
CrazyTalk
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· Score: 1
Interesting comment about the ISS - I remember when the goal was to have it completed by 1992 in time for the 500th anniversary of Columbus coming to America. Now the worlds most expensive boondoggle will probably never be finished.
Re:Not sad, facing reality.
by
LWATCDR
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· Score: 1
"We paid the price by being locked into LEO for how many years? " That was not the plan. NASA wanted the shuttle, and a space tug, and a space station. The idea was that they could use them to build large space craft in orbit so we could go to Mars and beyond. The shuttle was supposed to be totally reusable. Congress traded development costs for higher operational costs. The space tug and space station where killed. The shuttle was a good idea. The real problem was it was sold as a space 747. A space airliner you could jump on for a flight into space. What the shuttle should have been was a new X-Plane. It should have been an experiment and a next generation shuttle should have been started around 1985 or no later than 1995. The idea of a shuttle based HLLV has been around for a long time. Anyone remember the Shuttle-C?
-- See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
Re:Not sad, facing reality.
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
(No I didn't RTFA. I don't do NYT. I hate feeling dirty aftrewards.)
This is totally off topic (which is why I am posting AC), but despite your political opinion of the NYT, it is a great source of news. You can read any liberal or conservative bias you want into the newspaper, but, you are missing out on a very important source of news.
Re:Not sad, facing reality.
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
It's not their politics that bug me, it's their business practices.
Re:Not sad, facing reality.
by
Creepy
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· Score: 1
Yeah, but that was back when the Cold War was still on and the former Soviet Union was the enemy, not an ally in building it. The station was proposed in 1984 by Ronald Reagan as a replacement for Skylab, which crashed to earth in 1979. Post Cold War NASA budgets and the Challenger disaster killed the timeline and the size of the thing and in 1993 the name got changed (to the International Space Station or ISS) when Russia climbed aboard. I believe one of the requirements for Russia to join the project was that the name get changed because Freedom was associated with the Cold War.
Here's the Wikipedia entry on it, which probably covers it in a lot more detail than I can off the top of my head.
Re:Not sad, facing reality.
by
sconeu
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· Score: 1
Yep, but it was still side-mount.
Question on the new designs (from TFA). Is a Shuttle Tank sturdy enough to carry 100tons top mounted?
-- General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
Re:Not sad, facing reality.
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Now the worlds most expensive boondoggle
Three words: "Operation Iraqi Freedom"
This stat HAS to be wrong
by
ShieldWolf
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· Score: 1
From the article:
"Just as important, officials and private experts say, the small rocket for astronauts would be at least 10 times as safe as the shuttle, whose odds of disaster are estimated at roughly 1 in 100."
So the odds of a shuttle flight ending in disaster are 1 in 10!?!?
We've had two shuttle disasters, which by their calculations would mean we've had 20 flights. Columbia's fateful flight was number 113, the current one is 114. That has odds of less than two percent of a disaster by my reckoning.
Where did they get their numbers?
-- just = (My)Opinion.toCents();
Re:This stat HAS to be wrong
by
everphilski
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· Score: 1
I think you misread. The article says odds are 1 in 100. Shuttle odds (according to the engineers - the bese people to ask) are roughly 1/100. A little better than that, actually. The new shuttle derived vehicles are looking to be 1/400.
-everphilski-
Re:This stat HAS to be wrong
by
goldspider
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· Score: 1
"So the odds of a shuttle flight ending in disaster are 1 in 10!?!?
FTFA: "..the shuttle, whose odds of disaster are estimated at roughly 1 in 100."
Mod parent -1: Poor Reading Comprehension Skills
-- "Ask not what your country can do for you." --John F. Kennedy
Re:This stat HAS to be wrong
by
Lumpy
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· Score: 1
Simple, you count only the 20 flights that surround the two disasters.
Duh, don't you know anything about statistics? you can easily find data to support your point in anything.
-- Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
Re:This stat HAS to be wrong
by
Dusabre
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· Score: 1
For heaven's sake - can't you tell what in the sentence ""Just as important, officials and private experts say, the small rocket for astronauts would be at least 10 times as safe as the shuttle, whose odds of disaster are estimated at roughly 1 in 100."
whose refers to the shuttle...
ODDS OF 1:100 for the shuttle.
Re:This stat HAS to be wrong
by
edflyerssn007
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· Score: 1
I'm in english class right now, what you've just run into is a passive sentence where the object of the verb/description is not clear.
-- So you see what had happened was....
Re:This stat HAS to be wrong
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
If the odds of disaster are 0.01, the safety (probability that the astronauts will return safely) is 0.99. If the new vehicle is 10 times as safe, the safety is 9.9. You obviously calculated modulo 1 which gives a safety of 0.9 or 1 disaster in 10 flights. However, probabilities larger than 1 (and thus the quoted sentence) don't make any sense.
Re:This stat HAS to be wrong
by
ShieldWolf
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· Score: 1
Apparently I couldn't tell "what in the sentence", but thanks for your eloquent response.
-- just = (My)Opinion.toCents();
Too Simple, Really
by
Spencerian
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· Score: 3, Interesting
I know they're falling back to the Apollo-style basics here, but this is still, in some ways, compromising efficiency and performance in light of crew safety, which is important. However:
"A ship in a harbor is safe. But this is not what ships are built for."
I would be fine with the new design concepts if we use a Crew Return Vehicle design. One, it can carry more people and a small amount of cargo. Two, it can also be placed atop like an Apollo-style capsule. Three, it is more reusable. Think of it as a mini-Orbiter.
Reusing and readapting the ET/SRB devices is a frugal idea as well. We just need something to routine get up and back to the ISS. Perhaps we should also look into making an in-orbit shuttle that stays in space and can move between LEO, the ISS, and the moon.
-- Vos teneo officium eram periculosus ut vos recipero is.
Performance: it carries five times the payload of the shuttle
Efficiency: Many parts of the shuttles are practically re-built from the ground up for every launch. And given the relative simplicity of the conventional rocket/capsule design, it would probably cost the same to build one of these rockets and junk it than to "re-use" the shuttle.
Think of it this way... you can put a wide variety of Crew vehicles atop the new/old rocket design.... whereas the Shuttle design requirements are much more specific.
By the time this is ready, they could have a CRV designed to fit atop the rocket... but the capsule is a great fallback alternative.
-- A fool throws a stone into a well and a thousand sages can not remove it.
Re:Too Simple, Really
by
junkcannibal
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· Score: 1
What about the shuttles massive orange fuel tank? I don't think it gets far with out it. I thought that's why the shuttles return flight is really a controlled fall or glide. I don't think it's that easy to move around something like the shuttle, especially if it's going to have to stay up there. Unmanned fuel transport launched by rocket? An semi-permanent in-orbit shuttle does not sound frugal.
Perhaps we should also look into making an in-orbit shuttle that stays in space and can move between LEO, the ISS, and the moon.
They have definitely thought about similar ideas. NASA suggested a taxi between US LEO and ISS (Russian) LEO as a thesis project in 1994. I mentioned it in the second part of a recent post of mine.
If you make the CRV smaller (only carrying humans, which are featherweight compared to cargo) then you can bring the fuel tanks internal to the craft. The STS needs that huge tank to lift its bulky ass (plus any cargo) up to orbital speed/height. A reusable CRV might be able to get by on four solid reusable rockets and a smaller internal tank for the 2nd stage lifting, orbital maneuvering, and reentry.
The acceleration from four STS solid boosters might be a tad uncomfortable for the occupants, though. I'm not doing any relative weight/thrust comparisons, so perhaps two would be sufficient to get a CRV up to enough speed to gain orbit with a nominal internal 2nd burn.
I don't know who should get a +1 funny more, you are parent. Or does parent need a -1 troll?
Re:Dear Sir
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
That was a Homer Simpson quote, right?:-)
Debris caused challenger disaster?
by
Cocoronixx
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· Score: 1
FTA:
...as far as possible from the dangers of firing engines and falling debris, which were responsible for the accidents that destroyed the shuttle Challenger in 1986 and the Columbia in 2003.
Now, If I recall correctly, it was a faulty o-ring that caused a fuel leak, which was blamed on a managerial decision to go ahead with a launch in temperatures colder than all previous launches. The cold air caused the o-ring to be brittle and not seal properly. This is a pretty major fact screw up for the NYT!
A reference with correct info:
-- "Obscenity is the crutch of the inarticulate motherfucker." - cloak42
Re:Debris caused challenger disaster?
by
ausoleil
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· Score: 1
You are correct. Challenger's SSRB failure was caused by a faulty O-ring, the failure of which was caused by cold weather and temperature cycling. Basically, it was a materials engineering issue.
Amazing to me how many people seem to have an incorrect grasp on history.
Actually, after hitting submit (as is always the case) the NYT artical does mention 'engines', but (in my defense:) they do make it seem offhand.
Re:Debris caused challenger disaster?
by
Flaming+Babies
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· Score: 1
...as far as possible from the dangers of firing engines and falling debris, which were responsible for the accidents that destroyed the shuttle Challenger in 1986 and the Columbia in 2003.
I believe they were saying engines were responsible for Challenger, and debris was responsible for Columbia.
-- The right to be heard does not automatically include the right to be taken seriously.
Re:Debris caused challenger disaster?
by
grunherz
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· Score: 1
Yes, but the idea they're trying to convey is that the further away you are from the initial problem, the more time and better chance you have to escape. The Apollo system and several Soviet systems had an escape rocket attached to the top of the capsule that would fire the crew compartment to safety in case of a catastrophe.
This system actually saved a Soviet cosmonaut crew from an on-the-ground failure.
If you look closely at the new crew design it appears that there is a little rocket on top of the crew capsule that would most likely go off at the first sign of a massive failure (kind of like an airbag in your car) and give the crew a much better chance of escaping.
When the O-rings failed on Challenger the main fuel tank, mounted directly below the Shuttle blew up and took the shuttle with it pretty much instantaneously. Had the shuttle been higher on the system and an escape system installed, a few astronauts might have survived.
-- Four weeks, Twenty papers, that's two dollars... plus tip.
Re:Debris caused challenger disaster?
by
Peyna
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· Score: 1
Perhaps if they had used the words "former and latter" you wouldn't have been so easily confused, but the rest of us knew what they were saying.
-- What?
Re:Debris caused challenger disaster?
by
Peyna
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· Score: 1
It's a common literary device, I don't understand the confusion.
Just becuase they didn't add the redundant "respectively" at the end of the sentence doesn't mean that "engines and debris" applies to both "Challenger" and "Columbia."
Especially when they reader knows the context, the sentence makes perfect sense.
For example: In the business of making planes and cars, Boeing and GM are doing well.
-- What?
Re:Debris caused challenger disaster?
by
Isca
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· Score: 1
You are missing the point of that quote.
...as far as possible from the dangers of firing engines and falling debris, which were responsible for the accidents that destroyed the shuttle Challenger in 1986 and the Columbia in 2003.
The point is, that with the crew section ABOVE the engines, and with an escape system built into the capsule/attached to the capsule, there is a much better chance of avoiding crew death in case of failure.
The problem with the O ring may have caused a aborted launch, not the main fuel tank exploding feet away from the crew cabin. The issue with the heat shield system being damaged would also not be as much of an issue, because they would not have to have to worry about having to cover a very large area with the lightest heatshield they can find. They can use a more damage resitive material on a small area.
What I'd be most interested in is to see how much this would actually save in both time and money towards development of an entirely new platform. The solid rocket boosters were never designed to be launched on their own were they? Are they even steerable themselves (I always thought that the main engines were the only steering device during liftoff)
Actually, if you read the report of the Challenger accident investigation or watch the video, the shuttle was destroyed by aerodynamic forces due to the speed it was travelling when the ET broke up on ascent. The ET did not explode. The big white cloud seen was the result of the dispersion of the cryogenic fuels into the atmosphere. There was localized combustion from the hypergolic fuels used in the shuttles maneuvering engines. The burn through that occurred in the SRB burned through a strut that attached the SRB to the ET. This caused the bottom of the SRB to break free from the ET and eventually slam into the ET which led to the breakup of the ET and the destruction of Challenger. NASA has telemetry that shows that the SRB was trying to compensate after it broke free. They also have some telemetry that occurred before Challenger broke up that shows the shuttle powering down its main engines due to loss of fuel pressure.
The new design looks like something out of Star Trek, you have your warp engines at the bottom and on the side there, and now all you need is a frisbee shaped crew capsule!
I can't wait to meet a Romulan female!
Re:It looks like Star Trek!
by
shis-ka-bob
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· Score: 1
That must be because Star Trek, like Apollo and Soyuz, was a child of the sixties. I think that this design looks more like a Soyuz ( see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soviet_space_program ) with a humongus Apollo command module than anything else. It's even going to parachute to land rather than water. This is a 60's soviet design with new materials and electronics and a different flag on the side.
It is very frustrating how people get fixated on the wrong things when something bad happens. As far as I know, debris falling from a spacecraft have caused 1 accident ever (someone please correct me if I'm wrong). That's out of hundreds of previous accidents. Though I'm sure the designs main goal was not to eliminate this problem, it annoys me how they try to sell it on that point.
You are correct: the falling debris is only a tiny part of what's wrong with the current design, and not the most important one despite being the culprit in a disaster.
But it is the most obvious question people are going to ask whenever you talk about a new craft, precisely because it's the problem they know. The experts are talking about entirely different problems in meetings behind NASA's doors, but the PR department has the extremely difficult job of selling tens of billions of dollars per year to the American people.
So they talk it up in precisely the terms that people want: "It won't have the same problems that the last one did."
That the shuttle program is nearing its death date. All the money for building and design are basically being thrown away for a grand return to rockets.
Quite honestly it is upsetting to me that over the past 30 or so years of shuttle experimentation. That the best design they could come up with now is a beefed up Saturn V.
Re:The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
by
grasshoppa
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· Score: 0
Bravo sir, you have really made my morning.
I salute you!
-- Mod me down with all of your hatred and your journey towards the dark side will be complete!
Final Landing of the Shuttle...
by
haakondahl
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· Score: 1
...I'm surprised I haven't seen this elsewhere in the comments for the earlier stories--but does anyone else think the upcoming landing (fingers crossed!) will be the last one no matter how well it goes? Lots of people talking about if it goes poorly, but I will wager that even after a happy ending, in the attempt to chase down myriad problems to the new standard of acceptable risk, NASA will keep running up against the conceptual flaws in the Orbiter+Tank+Boosters design.
I'm not bagging on NASA--this stuff is dangerous no matter what, and they've done a yeoman's job keeping this rig upright, so to speak. But there have been some very bad priorities pushing development over there (external & internal).
Sorry, I'm tired and rambling, but I feel we may have seen the last Shuttle Launch.
-- Don't trust anyone under thirty.
Re:Final Landing of the Shuttle...
by
AgentDMT
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· Score: 1
And how exactly are you proposing to finish the ISS? Forget that the only thing in service capable of delivering modules to the ISS is the Shuttle fleet?
External obligation requires the shuttle fleet to stay in service till the ISS is complete or an alternative is built/tested/implemented.
Ice falls off and hits the shuttle.
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
The main reason they insulate the tanks with the external foam is to keep ice from forming on the outside of the tank.
Ice on the outside of the tank could fall off and strike the underside of the shuttle and damage the tiles, or strike the wings and damage them (see Columbia).
Watch an old Saturn launch sometime, huge sheets of ice come falling away from the thing during it's intial climbout from the tower, but they don't care, because there's nothing important/dagnerous for the ice to hit.
I think you're used to "Slashdot grammar"
by
flimflam
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· Score: 1
This sentence is actually intelligible to people who know proper English.
Just as important, officials and private experts say, the small rocket for astronauts would be at least 10 times as safe as the shuttle, whose odds of disaster are estimated at roughly 1 in 100.
The whose in this sentence refers to the Shuttle, meaning that it's the Shuttle which has 1 in 100 odds of disaster, not the replacement.
-- --
It only takes 20 minutes for a liberal to become a conservative thanks to our new outpatient surgical procedure!
Re:I think you're used to "Slashdot grammar"
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
This sentence is actually intelligible to people who know proper English.
then
The whose in this sentence refers to the Shuttle, meaning that it's the Shuttle which has 1 in 100 odds of disaster, not the replacement.
So much for proper English. Unless the Shuttle is an animate object.
Isn't the article a little premature?
by
ctetc007
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· Score: 1
I'm not sure, but I think it is. We are still in the competition phase for the new CEV (Crew Exploration Vehicle) contract, and the final award won't be presented until January of next year. The design shown in the NYT article is the one proposed by Northrop-Grumman, but Lockheed Martin is also developing a CEV, one that more resembles a space plane. You can read the article at http://www.popularmechanics.com/science/space/1534 782.html?page=1&c=y for more. It doesn't seem like they say much about how it's going to get into orbit though.
Simple designs are sometimes dumb designs too, failure is not reserved for complicated solutions. Perhaps I do not know enough about this topic, but I would guess that cable failure could pose a serious risk to the terrestrial bound.
Please advise. Thanks.
Another idea
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Why not just fill the registration with bogus information, get the cookie and/or username and/or password, and never be bothered with it again??
This sounds a lot like the "Big Dumb Booster" design -- a big rocket made of repurposed shuttle parts -- from Stephen Baxter's hard sci-fi Manifold trilogy.
Nice to know someone at NASA is doing their reading.:)
Re:The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
by
Danathar
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· Score: 1
Wow...reading that was like going to the movies! If you had a paypal account I'd almost consider sending $7.50 for the satisfying read!
NYT is not the paper is used to be.
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
The NYT screws up lots of facts lately. They mostly spin left, sometimes right (mostly in the biz section). But between their spins, they more often then not, lose track of important, and easily rememberable and tracable facts.
It's not the paper it used to be.
Re:NYT is not the paper is used to be.
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
It's not the paper it used to be.
Used to be? You mean, when its editorial page mocked Goddard for his idea to send rockets outside the Earth's atmosphere?
The single most expensive part of any launch is the simple energy cost to boost a kilo of cargo to orbit. Every kilo you are boosting that ISN'T cargo is several hundred kilos of fuel wasted.
Adding kilos to your launch vehicle to allow it to return to Earth is a WASTE if all you are doing is putting cargo into orbit. Putting a crew return vehicle on every cargo launch is terribly wasteful.
Having a small crew vehicle (where you HAVE to have the kilos to make it return to Earth) and a BIG disposable cargo vehicle is the best solution with today's technology.
Now, perhaps one fine day we will be able to spin a beanstalk and then the economics will change, but for now, this idea is the best one, and I am glad NASA finally sees the light on this!
Whatever happened to winged lifting vehicles?
by
davecb
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· Score: 1
The shuttle was designed to be launched
from a large carrier aircraft, and the
existing solid boosters and external fuel
tank are an admitted kludge.
So what happened to the non-kludge,
reusable lifting vehicle? Isn't it
about time to build a new one, using
existing designs and componet parts?
--dave
-- davecb@spamcop.net
Re:Whatever happened to winged lifting vehicles?
by
MtViewGuy
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· Score: 1
In fact, Orbital Sciences proposed a new lifting body design space vehicle carrying up to seven astronauts to the LEO that can be fitted on top of today's Atlas V and Delta IV rockets.
Why so light? Mostly because by elminating the cargo bay and the Shuttle main engines, the vehicle can be quite small. I wouldn't be surprised that such a small lifting body will be chosen as the primary means of getting astronauts into orbit.
Delta Clipper
by
ek_adam
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· Score: 4, Interesting
It was originally an Air Force project. When video of the first test was shown at ConFrancisco in 1993, it was said that if it ever got transferred to NASA they'd kill it.
NASA was threatened by the Delta Clipper. A ground crew of 3 instead of 15,000? We can't have that! A NASA employee failed to connect the landing gear hydraulic line for one of the tests shortly after NASA took over the project.
These days NASA is more of a jobs program than a space program.
For what it's worth, I've heard that same statement many times my self. Of course, that doesn't mean it's valid...it's probably true or an urban legend with legs...;)
The sources are any dedicated reading of the news for the last 20 years. Stop playing dumb.
Credit where credit's due, NASA has a good deep space network, and also does a good job on individual probes.
Other than that, NASA is a just a PhD jobs program that has extreme skill in launching taxpayer money into orbit. I'm not a fan of privatization, but NASA's bloated ineptitude is just screaming for it... and as well, it will get the too-fickle Congress of their back with their on-again, off-again funding and design requirements.
NASA should return to providing "services" to space customers. To wit: launching and satellite repair/retrieval. The explorative section of NASA (runs probes and DSN) should be split off and made the obvious welfare baby (which I have little trouble with).
I don't have all the answers for fixing NASA, But it's broke, and unless they fix themselves, we taxpayers through our reps are going to fix it for them, and we'll fix 'em good if that's to be the case. Incompetence is just an incompetent's way of throwing down the glove of challenge to the rest of us.
-- [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
Re:Delta Clipper
by
shoemaker251
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· Score: 2, Informative
You're absolutely correct; NASA is more of a jobs program. My brother recently completed his second internship at Cape Canaveral. He said it's impossible to fire anybody. Even after Columbia, people are more interested in keeping their little fiefdoms of control rather than focusing on real science.
The new manned/unmanned launch vehicle designs make a lot of sense. The US government needs to retain the capability to send people into orbit, but I would definitely be in favor of manned space flight being primarily an activity of private enterprise. However, to get the industry off the ground (pardon the pun) government subsidies and tax-incentives will be needed. NASA should continue to exist, but primarily for the sake of pure, unmanned, science.
Re:Delta Clipper
by
InfoVore
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· Score: 4, Informative
IMHO, I don't think the strut failure was due to malice. I think it was simply a mistake/stupidity.
I got to watch several DC-X flights. I got to see it hover, move laterally, land, and the infamous 'dip & swoop' manuever.
I'm still dumbfounded that DC-X lost NASA's Reusable Launch Vehicle competition to the VentureStar design. Lockheed had an obviously bogus blue-sky design. McD had a working 1/3 scale proof-of-principle prototype.
A lot more design and testing would have been required to get to the full Delta Clipper orbital vehicle, but it still remains one of the better SSTO design ideas out there.
At least I got to see a rocket dance once. It was simply Incredible.
-I.V.
-- "These laws they're passing won't even compile anymore, let alone execute." - anon
Re:Delta Clipper
by
demachina
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· Score: 2, Informative
Well the Delta Clipper had been transfered from the SDIO(DoD Star Wars office) to NASA, and upgraded when the crash occurred. It is propably safe to say that a NASA employee is the one who botched the hydraulic line though who can know if it was malevolence or incompetence that made him do it.
It should probably also be pointed out that when it was under SDIO control a hard landing cracked the shell requiring the rebuild when it was transfered to NASA so are you going to blame that accident on NASA malevolence too? Having a hard landing with this tiny prototype was bad, you can imagine what a hard landing might be like when you have to land the HUGE full size vehicle on those legs.
It should be pointed out to all the Jerry Pournelle worshipers that always sing praises of the Delta Clipper that NASA upgraded DC-XA's record altitude was 3140 meters. It was a really long way from being proved feasible.
If its was such a great idea rumour has it that many of the people that worked on it ended up Jeff Bezos' rocket company Blue Origin and they may be trying to revive it with NASA no where in sight. If it was a NASA conspiracy killing it will rise from the ashes like a Phoenix and prove they were wrong. Wouldn't bet on it though.
Personally I could maybe see using it for a cargo transport but the reentry scheme is pretty dangerous in its own right. It comes in nose first and then retro rockets HAVE to fire to turn it around and these heavily reused main engines have to fire to slow the decent and keep it upright otherwise it would be a disaster too. The test program wasn't even close to attempting that complex reentry profile.
The other issues are building a single vehicle big enough to hold all that fuel needed to get to orbit and still have enough to get back down again, and carry a cargo big enough to be worth it. You also need some REALLY big, extremely reliable and very long lived engines. I think they ended up being way beyond Space Shuttle Main Engine class to actually get to orbit and back. SSME's only have to fire once per flight. In the Clipper they have to fire twice. To satisfy the Clipper hype they then have to turn around and do it all over again without any refurbishing. Easy to do flying to 9,000 feet, harder to do to LEO and back multiple times on one set of engines with no maintenance.
The parent is right NASA's manned space program is obviously a jobs program and any launcher that might result in the laying off the small armies in Florida and Texas will likely result in the congressional delegations from Florida and Texas killing it, or mandating the staffing levels stay the same even if they have nothing to do, which is already happening to CEV. The ONLY reason NASA's manned space program has any political support left at all is due to the fact it IS a jobs program, so the congressmen who districts all those jobs are in fight like wildcats to keep it alive even if its a total waste which it is at the moment.
I can't say I agree. Launching and satellite repair/retrieval should be handed over to private industry. NASA, being a government organization, should focus on running probes, general exploration, and other things that private industry finds hard to make a profit from.
Back when America was still being explored, the government sponsored several expeditions into the west. A good example is Luis and Clark. Would you have wanted the government to run the railroads?
-- Request a Linux Shockwave player here: http://www.macromedia.com/support/email/wishform/
Re:Delta Clipper
by
joeljkp
·
· Score: 2, Interesting
"He said it's impossible to fire anybody."
This is true of any Federal job, and most state government jobs as well. Any large commercial organization will also have this problem. It's not a NASA thing, it's an organizational thing.
I saw the case of a NASA employee sexually harass a student he was mentoring. He was told he couldn't mentor anyone else, but he wasn't fired.
Launching and satellite repair/retrieval should be handed over to private industry.
Sure, I'm open to these suggestions. NASA's going to change whether it wants to or (more likely) not.
Would you have wanted the government to run the railroads?
Funny you would mention that, considering that at the time of railroad expansion across the West of the US, the railroads ran the government.
But other than that particular aside, I'd say YES, we should have the government give it a try for a change. A pervasive passenger railroad across the US is only going to become necessary as oil invariably becomes more expensive, and I can clearly see that industry ONLY responds to the stimulus of massive profiteering nowadays, not to the stimulus of fulfilling needs attached to modest profits.
These insatiable demands for profits are NOT what capitalism was about. Hence, I'm not willing to let supply and demand let a "natural" market take place, as one might hope would happen once oil prices gave the impetus for the development of high-speed rail. No natural market can develop in this environment of highly unnatural predatory capitalism.
From your tone, I'm sure you strenuously disagree, so I'd like to know what you intend to do about hypercapitalism -- where looting and cronyism are completely out of control. I'd also like to know what you intend to do about corporate controls of the government, much like the days of the rail barons. American government has become almost entirely corrupted so that it is a business service organization that has little energy to spare for ensuring the rights of the common man.
-- [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
Am I the only one who thinks employing all of these engineers at a government agency maintaining 30 year old technology while we are seriously losing ground to other countries in this critical economic area (aerospace) is lunacy? China is planning on sending a man to the moon and NASA is trying to fix up Grampa's rocket ship.
We should seriously downsize NASA to free up as many engineers (especially young ones) as possible to do PRODUCTIVE work in the commercial and academic sectors.
I'm not a fan of privatization, but NASA's bloated ineptitude is just screaming for it... and as well, it will get the too-fickle Congress of their back with their on-again, off-again funding and design requirements.
This statement implies that private organizations don't change their minds, or cut funding, etc., which is simply ridiculous. I'm not saying they couldn't do better, but too many people have this idea that private organizations are magically exempt from corruption, nepotism, overspending, bad forcasting, bad designs, etc.
There are way too many ways of producing the same sound in the English language. I was thinking more along the lines of Lewis and Clark. Thanks for pointing that out.
-- Request a Linux Shockwave player here: http://www.macromedia.com/support/email/wishform/
Re:Delta Clipper
by
modavis
·
· Score: 2, Insightful
"The other issues are building a single vehicle big enough to hold all that fuel needed to get to orbit and still have enough to get back down again, and carry a cargo big enough to be worth it."
Those are important only if your goal is something arcane like, say, improving access to space.
For many in this thread, the goal is (1) NASA bashing and (2) celebrating the cult of What Might Have Been, of the Road Not Taken, and of My Powerpoint Works Better Than Your Hardware.
We now return to our regularly scheduled broadcast of "How I Would Have Avoided All the Obvious Mistakes the Dumb STS Designers Made." (copyright 1981-2005, Hindsight Media Inc.)
We should seriously downsize NASA to free up as many engineers (especially young ones) as possible to do PRODUCTIVE work in the commercial and academic sectors.
Great idea. With unemployment for engineers still near all-time highs, let's dump some more on the market.
Well, I didn't mean to imply it. I did mean to say that NASA has been under the heel of a fickle process that is not in line with a government program. Aerospace development has long term implications that require similar long term investment, much in line with developing a new fighter jet. (And sure, this does lead to the possibility of throwing good money after bad.)
-- [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
Re:Delta Clipper
by
demachina
·
· Score: 2, Insightful
"For many in this thread, the goal is (1) NASA bashing and (2) celebrating the cult of What Might Have Been, of the Road Not Taken, and of My Powerpoint Works Better Than Your Hardware."
Well maybe that is it, but it could also be called the process of good engineering. Good engineering usually involved thowing ideas out there, proposing new and different ways of doing things, and then tearing apart the ideas on paper before they get torn apart at high altitudes and velocities.
I'm sure NASA does do a lot of this engineering process but within the U.S. they have suffered for far to long from having no competition and no accountability. Their process seems to come down to one fiefdom of bureaucrats and contractors eventually shoving through their approach whether it was a good one or not. Using 20/20 hindsight the Shuttle and the ISS were bad and expensive ones and have cost the U.S. dearly in lost opportunity cost. Those are 2 strikes in a row. One more and they are probably out.
It is a totally great thing to have Scaled Composite, Blue Origin, Armadillo, SpaceX, and Sealaunch try new things and give the NASA/Boeing/Lockheed hegemony a little competition. Only problem is the hegemony has relatively vast amounts of money to spend and no need to turn a profit. Manned space operations so far are still very expensive and have a dubious return on investment. Its tough sledding for private enterprise. Which is why launching satellites is doing a lot better in the private sector, less investment, better return. Maybe space tourism or something will tip the scales but that is thrill seeking by the rich, and not anything of actual economic value.
Only project I've EVER been able to see justifying much manned presence in space is putting a permanent colony on Mars, and start aggressive terraforming and resource exploitation there so we have another biosphere in case something bad happens to this one. That is going to be really expensive and the ROI is way out there.
-- @de_machina
Re:Delta Clipper
by
modavis
·
· Score: 2, Insightful
It is a totally great thing to have Scaled Composite, Blue Origin, Armadillo, SpaceX, and Sealaunch try new things and give the NASA/Boeing/Lockheed hegemony a little competition. Agreement abounds.
I could bash NASA with the best of them, but in fact I don't think it's more (or less) dysfunctional than other agencies. Specifically, where hardware development and procurement is concerned, for better and worse it looks a lot like (surprise!) DoD.
At the root of a lot of the bashing, I think, is simple frustration at what people perceive as slow progress by comparison with the Apollo years. I think that's because
(1) space is hard and expensive... no matter who pays for it (2) making space activity frequent, sustainable and affordable is a lot harder than a sprint (or seven) to the Moon... no matter who pays for it (3) we want space real bad.
For some people, especially/. libertarians and engineers who think politics and policy exist just to torment them, it's easier to bitch about the Big Bad Bureaucracy that's keeping us from space than to acknowledge (1) and (2).
You complain that we're falling behind China in aerospace, and then you want to downsize NASA?! Wtf is wrong with you? You just said that it is a critical economic area, but you want to disband it in the US?!
You sound like a two-faced politician... or maybe just a hypocrite.
I think you are just being an apologist for disfunctional bureaucracy which is as bad or probably worse than the people that ruthlessly bash disfunctional bureaucracy.
"is simple frustration at what people perceive as slow progress by comparison with the Apollo years."
Uh that is because progress has been dreadfully slow since the Apollo years. The shuttle had potential, overhyped as it was, but the day Challenger exploded it all evaporated. Unfortunately the U.S. kept banking everything on the Shuttle anyway. Today it is completely crippled by safety concerns, and going to spend most of its time grounded, not flying, and it costs nearly as much sitting on the ground as it does flying, because all the people that work on it are still getting paid. All the money still pouring in to ISS and Shuttle is money going to dead ends.
The ISS was just a disaster from beginning to end. It was something that was just built at staggering expense, for lack of anything better to do, and to this day no one can explain what it was supposed to do that justified the price tag. Michael Griffin flat said this in congressional testimony before he became administrator. Maybe they made him administrator for having the guts to state the obvious.
The Shuttle was to fly to the ISS and the ISS was a place for the shuttle to fly to, how is that for circular reasoning, progress and purpose.
"(1) space is hard and expensive... no matter who pays for it"
Well the Russians do a lot more at a fraction of the cost.
Of course the DOD is squandering a billion dollars every few days in Iraq so by comparison NASA is a productivity bonanza.
I'm not saying they couldn't do better, but too many people have this idea that private organizations are magically exempt from corruption, nepotism, overspending, bad forcasting, bad designs, etc.
Not exempt, but the difference is when private corps do things wrong, they go out of business. NASA on the other hand never goes out of business. If they waste all of their money ahead of schedule this year, they simply try to increase their budget and do things again next year.
This isn't NASA's fault individually - the government as a whole works like that. If the government were run as a business, forcing it to work within a budget (no deficits), firing people when they do stupid things, then mabye things would be better. I remember vaguely a recent article saying the new NASA director had done some house cleaning, so mabye its a start.
You're expecting revolutionary advancement of aerospace from the same organization (the United States government) that runs the Post Office, the IRS, and the TSA?
Re:Delta Clipper
by
Anonymous Coward
·
· Score: 0
Wait a second you complain about NASA fixing up grandpa's rocket while all the chinese did was by granpa Korolev's rocket, expand the crew compartment some and repaint it...still looks alot like a soyuz when it (crash) lands on the mongolian steps.
Wow, that (lumping the Post office, the IRS, and the TSA in with NASA) has to be the biggest logical fallacy I have read on slashdot all week, err all day, err in this story, err in this thread, err hmmm. Actually you seem to be about par for the course with this crowd.
These airmchair rocket scientists never cease to amaze me. To paraphrase that guy in "Gone in 50 Seconds":
You can't park. You can't maintain speed. You can't change lanes. Honey, you can't drive. I can't swim. I know I can't swim, so you know what I do? I stay my black ass out of the water.
The handful of worthwhile posts in this thread are practically drowned out by the torrent of backseat NASA administrators who all know they would have handled it better. And the worst part of all is that you know that if NASA had never built the space shuttle these same clowns would be on slashdot bitching about how spaceships haven't changed in 70 years and saying that we should really have spaceplanes by now.
One thing you neglect to mention in your description of US government groups: The people who brought men to the damn moon and back again in less than a decade. Thats right, it may have been an exercise in national dickwaving, but ours was biggest, and ours was baddest. For all its many faults I for one am damn proud of what our government has accomplished in space. If you want a relatively small investment with a high likelyhood of financial gain send it to private industry. If you want to send men to the moon for no other reason than to leave some footprints and plant a flag you are going to need the US Government.
My point is still valid. The shuttle is not designed for what they are using it for. It was designed as a compromise between the USAF and NASA as a shared vehicle. The USAF used it a few times and has moved on to the EELV (Evolved expendable launch vehicle) platforms (Delta IV and Atlas V).
"Ironically, neither NASA nor the Air Force got the system they wanted or needed, and the Air Force eventually returned to their older launch systems and abandoned their Vandenberg shuttle launch plans. The capabilities that most seriously hobbled the Shuttle system -- namely the 65,000 pound (29 t) payload, large payload bay, and 1000 mile (1,600 km) cross-range -- have in fact, except for the payload bay, never been used."
On the other hand, the Chinese seem to be using a system that "just works" with an expanded crew compartment.
Comparing one government bureaucracy to another (they all answer to Congress with its attendent "complications") is a logical falacy, but wasting billions on jingoistic dickwaving is the best thing since Isaac Newton?
One thing you forget to mention is that with the amount of money spent on our "Vacation to the Moon" we might have been able to cure cancer!
I don't consider our vacation to the moon to have been a waste at all. If NASA got the urge to take a walk on Mars, I know I'll feel a little better about paying my taxes, even if others understandably don't. It's not that I see Jingoistic dickwaving as a good way to spend Billions of dollars. However, if the need to swing America's gargantuan schlong around helps spur spending and support for the NASA and the space program then I'm all for it. Even if it's not immediately obvious how, the Space Program benefits us all, especially through the advances in technology which it helps spur.
I don't see how Space travel and cancer research are mutually exclusive either, or even relevent to the subject at hand. It's not like we are $200 billion away from curing cancer or anything. Though if we are, I think I know where we could find the money *cough wars cough*
At any rate, I look forward to seeing what NASA pulls out of its sleave in the coming years.
Nice three year old article to back up your argument.
My bad. After six years, they all look alike, since they all say the same thing.
"... do not expect to see a significant turnaround until 2004."
Well, it doesn't look like there was a turnaround. This uses more recent official figures from the BLS (you can download the BLS PDF yourself), and EE unemployment was still 5.3%. Unfortunately, the site is undergoing improvements, and I can't get to the article I want. The latest BLS figures (2nd quarter) show the number of employed EEs in 2004 less than that in 2003. Subsequent surveys I've seen show no improvement, but if you were really interested in the subject, you'd know that already. Anything else I can do for you?
There you go, the best thing you can mention was in the sixties. Do you realise how long ago that was? Over THIRTY-FIVE YEARS. How much money has been put into NASA since then for zero progress? Space launch technology has gone literally nowhere since the shuttle in 1981.
I have an idea: Give NASA ten years to put men both on the Moon and Mars, provide a much better reusable launch vehicle, aka a space place, which is cheap and reliable, and if in ten years they haven't done, close them down. That should provoke them out of their complacency.
Yeah, I'll concede that NASA's progress since 1981 pales in comparison to what they did in the 60s. I think the International Space Station is a great project, though. I think a permanant human presence in space is great, even if only because it keeps our skills sharp.
Though the last few years have been especially tough, the ones immediately preceding it in my opinion were pretty good. It may have cost a fortune for each launch, but until the Columbia disaster, the ISS was really coming together thanks in large part to the Shuttle's capabilites.
You are right that NASA needed to be knocked out of its complacency, but I think that the Columbia tragedy has already done that. The timetable for delivery of a new spacecraft has already gone from "sometime in the not too distant future" to "As Soon As Possible"
The effective grounding of the shuttle fleet combined with the incomplete space station have created a unique opportunity for NASA. The last time NASA was told, "We need a spacecraft suitable for difficult missions, and we need it yesterday" they didn't dissapoint. I think the next few years should be very interesting.
Here's an idea. If you like space exploration so much, then donate money to organizations that are pursuing it. I don't want my income taxed *cough stolen cough*... excuse me... to pay for these idiots to kill more of America's best and brightest.
You can wait for NASA to pull something out of its sleeve (TANG II?). I'm waiting for the congress to take their hands out of my pocket and their collective dick out of my ass.
I did buy a season pass to Space Center Houston for like 2 or 3 years in a row a while ago. You may wonder why anyone would want a season pass to Nasa headquarters' visitor center. I can't really put my finger on it, it was kinda like a museum that I liked so much I returned to see the same paintings time after time. The Saturn V laying on its side is particualry awe inspiring. Once during an open house I wandered away from the visitor area and stumbeld into a room housing what I'm sure is the largest vacume chamber I will ever see. That was really cool. At any rate, I did donate money to the only organization in the US persuing manned orbital flight at this level.
You sure seem angry at NASA. More than that, you seem to be trolling. And its the worst kind of trolling, the kind that is not entertaining in any way. Well that part about congress taking its collective dick out of your ass did make me chuckle a little.
Not exempt, but the difference is when private corps do things wrong, they go out of business.
What, like the US airlines that were bailed out by the US government? Seems like they boned themselves pretty good, but they all seem to be flying planes still.
BLS also says that due to growth and retirements there will be 431,000 open positions for engineers before 2012.
I'm sure the unemployed engineers will be delighted to learn they only have a few more years to wait - that is as long as employers don't bring in H-1Bs or L1s or offshore those jobs.
Re:The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
by
FSWKU
·
· Score: 2, Funny
Might you be willing to share some of the "groovy pharmaceuticals" you are partaking in? If your writings are any indicator, they seem to be of exceptional quality and potency.
-- "So after all this, you make my case for me. To end this stalemate, you must die..."
Public and Private Next-Gen Designs
by
ausoleil
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· Score: 1
Given that the shuttle fleet is nearing obsolescence and that it is a 30+ year old design, it's a good idea to move on. And why not use components that have been proven to work already? It simplifies the engineering needed to construct the new vehicle.
Then there is the private option, one that includes efforts from Burt Rutan, lately of SpaceShip One: Crew Transfer Vehicle (CXV). These guys say that they can fill in the gap during the time it takes for NASA to design/contract/construct a new vehicle.
Interesting choices lay ahead.
SSTO
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Single stage to orbit has extremely tight margins on mass fraction, that part of the launcher that isn't propellants. Most SSTO designs seem to require MFs below 2% - 3%, which is really difficult, even with modern composites. They also require high specific impulse propellants, which almost always means cryogenics, like the LH2 and LO2 that the Shuttle's main engines burn. It's proven very hard to design a composite LH2 tank that doesn't leak.
The sad irony is that we had a reliable booster in the mid-1960s that was capable of putting about 130 tons of payload into low earth orbit. It was the Saturn - LO2/kerosene first stage, LO2/LH2 upper stages. We scrapped it, including the manufacturing drawings and procedures, so we could build the Shuttle. Some info on the Saturn booster family is at http://www.astronautix.com/lvs/saturnv.htm
In Soviet Russia...
by
Anonymous Coward
·
· Score: 0
they've done it this way for a long time.
Re:The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Wow. But wasn't Planet X / Niburu supposed to pass by us in May-July of 2003 and cause all the fun parts of Revelations to happen, you know, real wrath of God type stuff! Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Rivers and seas boiling! Forty years of darkness, earthquakes, and volcanos! The dead rising from the grave! Human sacrifices, dogs and cats living together! Mass hysteria!
But wait... We screwed up the orbital mechanics. And the translation of those ancient Sumerian texts. it's really going to happen Real Soon Now (TM).
I'm heading to my basement right now, my tinfoil underwear & hat firmly affixed by duct tape. If my employer asks, tell him that Planet X is coming and money and work and living are now meaningless.
Switch back to freon based insulation?
by
Nascar_Geek
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· Score: 1
It's my understanding that they didn't have these problems with the old freon based insulation. Even though we know freon is not the most environmentally friendly substance known to man should NASA be allowed to use it for the few shuttle's they launch every year? What are we willing to trade to maintain the ability to put people into orbit? It seems that switching back to the old formula and limiting shuttle launches would buy time to research a workable alternative to the freon based foam without losing our ability to get people and supplies into orbit or to the Space Station.
Re:Switch back to freon based insulation?
by
Odonian
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· Score: 1
I've heard this as well. A friend of mine is in the AF satellite launch services and he mentioned the removal of freon from the insulation as a known cause.
he's also *amazed* that nasa would launch with a unknown fault such as the fuel tank sensor. he says his Air Force bosses would never approve a launch under those conditions and they don't even launch people..
Re:Switch back to freon based insulation?
by
The+GooMan
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· Score: 1
"What are we willing to trade to maintain the ability to put people into orbit?"
To the environmental nazis & PETA people, a human life (or 6) is nothing to sacrifice if you could possibly save 1 future tree.
Re:The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
by
haakondahl
·
· Score: 2, Funny
What about the dead astronaut found in the Arabian dessert?
Birthday Recipes,Birthday Cake Recipes,Birthday Recipe Ideas From TheBirthday.Com
"Muhallabia ~ an Arabian dessert
Ingredients:
1/2 cup rice, picked, washed and soaked in 1/2 cup milk
5-1/2 cups milk
1/2 cup sugar
a handful of almonds, blanched*and sliced
a few drops rose water
a few pistachios. chopped
1 astronaut. dead
Directions:
Blend the rice and milk. Make it into an absolutely smooth paste. Pry the astronaut's head off with a teaspoon.
Bring the rest of the milk to boil in the large pan. Pour the ground rice and sugar into it. Drop the astronaut in. Stir continuously, on a low fire till the whole mixture thickens. Simmer for 5 minutes. Add the almonds, and rose water. Stir in gently. Pour into the glasses or bowls. Cool and chill.
Sprinkle over the chopped pistachios. Top with the little helmet. And the exotic, Arabian dessert is ready to eat.
* To blanch the almonds put them into a bowl and pour hot water over. After a few minutes the skins will slip off easily. Then slice and chop the way you like with no sweating."
-- Don't trust anyone under thirty.
We're not going to leave the planet just yet...
by
panurge
·
· Score: 1
Despite all the people who aren't rocket scientists fantasising about space elevators, perhapsotron drives and the like, it's becoming obvious that we are going to be physically limited to this planet for a long time to come. The amount of shit that has to be poured into the atmosphere to get any really significant payload into orbit means that if any large scale use is found for space, the damage from existing global warming is likely to fade into insignificance. The effects on the climate of the Krakatoa eruption were felt for years afterwards, so it is not like the effects of dumping loads of unexpected gases and particulates into the upper atmosphere are much of a mystery.
Admittedly we have been stupid in the past - commercial interests have been allowed to create huge volumes of truck traffic across the US and Europe that are effectively subsidised by the rest of us - but it is hard to believe that a similarly environmentally damaging new technology could be adopted wholesale by commercial interests nowadays without a great deal of economic analysis and regulation.
Strangely, I'm not trying to be negative about space exploration. I do think there is an important role for NASA. It's in continuing to do clever missions (Mars is a huge scientific success story that is under-promoted to the general public) while investing heavily in basic physics to find out if it is possible to find ways of getting large payloads off the Earth without destroying the environment in the process. What exactly will we learn from building bigger Apollos? It isn't giant SUVs that advance automotive technology, but the constant research into more efficient engines, fuel cells, renewable energy sources etc.
Although the Russian effort was in some ways commendably simple and reliable, it's dependent on cheap energy. It's like the people who keep trying to build new steam railway locomotives because, basically, they like them. They keep promoting the simplicity of the concept while quietly ignoring the fact that they use several times the fuel per passenger mile or tonne mile of the most clapped out Diesel-electric. It's a dead end.
-- Panurge has posted for the last time. Thanks for the positive moderations.
Re:We're not going to leave the planet just yet...
by
haakondahl
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· Score: 1
...The amount of shit that has to be poured into the atmosphere to get any really significant payload into orbit
Let's see... Hydrogen and Oxygen, hydrogen and Oxygen... If only we could combine those two and have it be stable. And non-polluting. Ah, well. Back to the perhapsotrons.
Idiot.
-- Don't trust anyone under thirty.
Re:We're not going to leave the planet just yet...
by
Ironsides
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· Score: 1
You do realise that the shuttle uses liquid oxygen and liquid hydrogen and its waste product is water, right? Now, as I understand it water is naturaly occuring and non polluting and occupys the majority of the earths surface.
Now will you tell me what the hell you have been smoking that says that water in the atmosphere will cause damage to the environment? Cause if so, maybe we should get rid of humidity and clouds too.
-- Fly me to the moon
Let me sing among those stars
Let me see what spring is like
On jupiter and mars
Re:We're not going to leave the planet just yet...
by
Eunuchswear
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· Score: 1
Re:We're not going to leave the planet just yet...
by
haakondahl
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· Score: 1
Nobody's talking about SRBs. I'm taking issue with Mr. "You're never going to leave the planet without leaving it choking in your toxic vapors" who thinks that liquid fuels don't exist. And while he may have apont about infrastructure pollution (the trucks that carry the parts, etc...), I'll wager that MORE pollution is generated by, say, the apparently massive latex dong industry than by any nation's pace program.
As for making hydrogen solid, that's easy. Put it on Jupiter:-)
-- Don't trust anyone under thirty.
Re:We're not going to leave the planet just yet...
by
mfrank
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· Score: 1
And which launch system uses hydrogen and oxygen exclusively? The SRBs on the shuttle put out some crap, and the unmanned version of the proposed vehicle has SRBs on it.
Not that it's that big of a deal.
Re:We're not going to leave the planet just yet...
by
16K+Ram+Pack
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· Score: 1
I continually question the validity of manned missions, particularly to Mars.
We are just playing with manned space travel. We're doing the equivalent of swim the Atlantic. You'll die before you get there, so have to swim back within a few miles.
With manned space travel, the furthest we can get in a man's lifetime is what? Pluto? Planet X? We can't get to the next solar system in our lifetime.
Ultimately, if we really want to get out there, explore new civilisations, boldly go etc, we need a new perhapsotron, a quantum leap advance in science that will mean we can cover far greater distances than at present.
Meanwhile, let the expendable probes go around the solar system, lots of them. Let's learn about what's out there, and maybe try and understand the universe better.
Re:We're not going to leave the planet just yet...
by
Eunuchswear
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· Score: 1
It's not a matter of liquid vs solid. Do you know of any launcher that uses only O2/H2 as fuel?
(Also, isn't the metallic hydrogen on (in?) Jupiter liquid rather than solid?)
Re:We're not going to leave the planet just yet...
by
haakondahl
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· Score: 1
[top of my head...] Apollo used O2/Kerosene for first stage (and lots of it), then O2/H2 for everything else, except the tetrazine/hydrazine for the thrusters of idiotic Tom Hanks fame (which never made it to the atmosphere). No reason we couldn't use straight O2/H2 all the way except finnickiness about explosions. But the last time a manned project blew itself up, it was related to a SRB anyway. (yes, which burned a hole in the liquid tank, ok, which is where the real trouble started--er, finished). Hardly proof against disaster. Say what you want about kerosene, but its exhaust is more like water than the methyl-ethyl-bad-shit originally wanked about. To a first approx., anyway.
And by the time you get to where it matters in (on?) Jupiter, who can tell a liquid from a solid?
-- Don't trust anyone under thirty.
Something I don't understand.
by
commo1
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· Score: 1
The Shuttle has a great deal of maneuverability while in space both for rendez-vous with sattelite positions or the ISS, and for re-entry positioning. This was one of the design principles that allow for much more spontaneous (read, easier, not easy) reshcduling of re-entry and deployment. Even the Soyuz capsules seem to have some kind of retro-rocket design. The crew capsule nor the main booster seem to have (given the pictures on the NYT site) no retro-rockets visible. Any ideas on where they went, what they're doing instead or how they're going to steer that thing once it gets up there?
Re:Something I don't understand.
by
Peyna
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· Score: 1
Way to base your conjecture on a cheap graphic that was probably slapped together in a few seconds by someone who probably knows more about PR than they do about rockets.
The best explanation I have heard is that the physics haven't changed.
We nailed the physics getting Apollo up.
So yes, at first glance it looks like Apollo/Soyuz. But instead of re-inventing Saturn V, they are taking the advances in engine design and applying them to the new rockets.
Makes sense to me, use the parts that worked well (boosters, capsules), ditch the parts that didn't (space plane).
I remember very clearly the first time I saw the shuttle concept proposed. It was 1967, I was in first grade, an avid follower of the Apollo missions. The "Weekly Reader" had a concept drawing of the shuttle, and I thought, "No way is the re-usable part going to work, look at what the apollo capsules look like after re-entry!"
-- A house divided against itself cannot stand.
Obvious reason to reuse parts
by
Overzeetop
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· Score: 1
Lets face it, you must first follow the money. Sure, it sounds like a good idea to reuse the currect parts of the shuttle to leverage existing parts and technology. But we are looking at a 35 year old design. We can't come up with anything better? Maybe it's not cost savings...
It turns out that (ATTFA) Dr. Horowitz, one of the leading proponents for the resue of old technology, turns out to be the head of "ATK Thiokol, where he now leads the company's effort to develop the new family of rockets". Hmmm, I know, if we just modify the ones we've got in stock, we can sell them all over again to NASA. That'll keep out costs down and minimize the possibility of competition. Sounds like a great solution Dr. Horowitz...for your bank account.
--
Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
They should just get the cargo up there...
by
Gneral+Tsao
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· Score: 1
...and book the astronauts on Virgin Galactic. They have a 100% reliability record.
I like this seperate vehicles idea. It's nice and modular so that if NASA ever does develop its own SpaceShipOne style crew vehicle, it doesn't have to redesign anything having to do with the cargo section. Maybe we can finally leave Earth orbit with this.
Armchair Aeronautical Engineers
by
Gothmolly
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· Score: 0
I love how the unwashed masses of Slashdot "knew all along" that the Shuttle was "teh suck" and why didn't NASA ever do to get stuff into orbit instead.
Is anyone on here even an engineer? Is it too much to ask for someone who knows SOMETHING about aeronautics to weigh in? We're left with the punditry of people who've played Flight Simulator and read Heinlein novels...
-- I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
Re:Armchair Aeronautical Engineers
by
pohl
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· Score: 1
I love how the unwashed masses of Slashdot "knew all along" that the Shuttle was "teh suck"...
There is a very long history of people criticizing the shuttle on slashdot and elsewhere. You probably haven't been paying attention until recently?
--
The "cue the foo posts in 3, 2, 1..." posts will commence with no subsequent foo posts in 3, 2, 1...
In looking at these plans, I can't imagine how this is not a hole-in-one for NASA. It goes along with the less-is-more approach that made three astoundingly successful Mars rover missions. The shuttle was great and all, but I don't understand people saying "This is like taking a step back." If it doesn't blow up, then I'd say it's taking a huge step forward. And this new design has (potentially) five times the cargo capacity of the shuttle. This is enough to get me excited about the space program again.
-- -Arthur
Cave ne ante ullas catapultas ambules
too tall for current infrastructure
by
shimmin
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· Score: 1
However, either of these designs will require serious reconstruction work at canaveral: they are substantially taller than the assembled shuttle, and so will not be able to be built in the present shuttle assembly building, nor be able to use the present launch pad.
Re:too tall for current infrastructure
by
johnhoover
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· Score: 1
Have you never noticed that there is a LITTLE door and a BIG door???
Can you guess what was moved out of the BIG door before the Shuttle lean-to was added??
Re:too tall for current infrastructure
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Peyna
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· Score: 1
The shuttle assembly building is 500 feet tall. From the pictures, they're about twice the height of the current shuttle, so they should fit fine.
-- What?
Re:too tall for current infrastructure
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RoboRay
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· Score: 1
Seeing as how the shuttles simply reused facilities originally built for the Saturn V, I think we'll be OK.
Re:too tall for current infrastructure
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Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Actually, there are two full-sized "doors" (more like multi-stage shutters) both designed for a fully stacked Saturn V to roll out. They just open the door half way up for the shuttles. They might need to grease the runners a bit, that's all.
Re:too tall for current infrastructure
by
Teancum
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· Score: 1
The Saturn V with Apollo capsule was 370 feet tall... the original purpose. Actually there was an even larger rocket design that was planned, so yeah, 500 feet does seem to sound correct.
The rooftop is over 525 feet tall. They may have to "cut" a new door frame on the exit in order to accomodate such a large beast, and possibly rework the primary cranes, but it could be done. A large rocket wouldn't force a major redesign of the facility or force a new building to be built.
Q: What is the difference between Russian space rocket and the Shuttle?
A: Russian rocket burn in the atmosphere, Shuttle is reusable.
Q: What is the difference between a cosmonaut and an astronaut?
A: Astronauts burn in the atmosphere, cosmonauts are reusable.
Well this renders space experimentation useless.
by
pummer
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· Score: 1
Other than at the ISS, we won't have any platform for performing experiments in space, now that we're reseparating the cargo from its users. Wonderful idea, NASA.
What we've basically created are resupply modules for the ISS. I don't see how this is in any way a Shuttle replacement.
Re:Bring back the Delta Clipper!
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RayBender
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· Score: 1
Is the whole design of the shuttle overly fragile?
It's not so much that the Shuttle is fragile, it's that getting to space is a rough ride. Shuttle hardware is pretty solid stuff - but those solid rocket boosters are more like semi-controlled detonantions than anything else. If you've ever heard a launch, that "ripping" sound you hear are shockwaves from the solids. They will pretty much shake the sh*t out of anything. In this case, they rattle the tiles in the heat shield to the point where it opened up a small temporary gap long enough for the gapfiller to shake partway out.
I've flown experiments on the Shuttle and when we qualify payloads for spaceflight we have to run them through qualification tests that include shake tests. Let me tell you, that can be rough.
A more general point to remember about any space launcher is that due to simple physics ( the rocket equation) any launcher has to be more than 90% pure fuel. The mental image I like is: is take a gasoline tank truck, get rid of the tractor part, and strap a lawn chair to the end. Now imagine riding that to 17,000 mph. It's hard to make a rugged vehicle that is mostly fuel tank - you have to try and make things both lightweight and strong. In the case of the Shuttle it also has to be reuseable. That last part is what is turning out not to be possible with the technology of the 70's and 80's.
I understand that there are some sizable forces acting on the launch vehicle, but how can insulating foam do so much damage?
You will notice that this time the foam didn't do any substantial damage. Last time it may have been ice, or ice-filled foam that hit the wing (remember the tank wall is at liquid hydrogen temperatures). In any case, the foam is hitting the heat shield going several hundred mph with respect to the Shuttle (even though it only fell off a second earlier, the relative acceleration is substantial). Think of the heat shield as tiles made out of pumice - very light, very resistant to heat, but relatively fragile to hard impact. "Why not use steel?" you might ask - but the problem is again physics. At the temperatures the shield gets to it will simply melt. "Why not cover the shield until it' needed?" - too heavy for anything other than a small capsule. So now that NASA has gven up on re-useable spacecraft, that's what we'll see. But make no mistake - capsules mean the complete end to any dream of space becoming affordable, routine, or accessible to anyone other than goverments or those with as much money as a government. Kiss your idea of a vacation in space goodbye forever.
And, if insulating foam can damage the tiles, what about micro meteors or drifting debris from previous flights?
Absolutely. Micrometeroid damage is definitely a risk. That's why the Shuttle always flies payload bay first when in orbit - to minimize the chance of damaging the heat shield. But there is always a risk of something going wrong in space. That's why its rare and expensive.
-- Human genome = 3 billion base pairs = 6 GBit.
Windows + Office = 20 Gbit.
Which is more impressive?
Wrong q!
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
The question is not what happens when the cable break, the question is what happens when people actually take the 10 seconds it takes to read up on the answer that is all over the web, easily located by anyone having heard of Google, in a shorter time than it takes to grunt out steaming piles of ignorance on Slashdot.
Forget the Buran orbiter, its wouldn't be worth the trouble. Energia can boost any payload, including the Space Shuttle orbiter. The orbiter would actually be too light; Energia was meant for much heavier payloads. The orbiter's engines would be of no use, though, since Energia has its own.
So you want to scrap a 70's design that has flown over 100 times, with 2 major crashes, for a Russian copy of that same 70's design, that flew exactly once (never with people, and was never actually finished) and which now is rusting away in a park.
Yeah...thats a good way to kickstart the space industry.
Yes that is what I was thinking - can the shuttles engines (or just leave them there is removing them would be too much trouble) and bolt it to Engira.
Of course there would be a "few" details to work out - but I bet it could be done.
Would it be worth it - that is a different story altogether. (And would a whole new crop of issues pop up? Probably.)
-- I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
Re:No foam on Energia
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Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
How do you know it didn't have those design flaws or worse? It never got anywhere - a single test flight, then scrapped. Whatever the faults of the Shuttle design, it made over a hundred successful flights.
1) it doesn't have solid rocket boosters (ala Challenger). Hoever it can use them if so desired.
2) it isn't covered in foam (Columbia)
3) it was orbited by the Sov's unmanned (its only space flight)
However the shuttle disasters were all caused by the boosters - and Engergia seems to address the problems that have (so far) led to disaster. This is not to say it doesn't have problems of it's own: it well might.
Goes to what I've been thinking for years. Separate the cargo from the humans. They have vastly different and sometimes conflicting needs and the launch vehicle design to support both is much too complex. Use Big Dumb Rockets (BDRs) to lift cargo (heavy), smarter, safer ones to lift humans (light).
The idea of a runway landing orbital vehicle is nice and, IMHO a great goal. But it turns out to be harder than originally thought. The vertical, rocket assisted capsule design seems to be good compromise for the short term (5 to 10 years).
In the medium term (say 10 - 15 years), advances by companies like Scaled Composites (http://www.scaled.com/) show that runway-to-orbit-to-runway is possible, but needs more work. Eventually that's how we'll get to orbit; using small, "space planes" to take humans to meet with low earth orbiting platforms that were launched with BDRs. We're good at putting together stuff in orbit and we're good at rendezvous and docking.
None of this is new. It's based on concepts from the Apollo days. Remember Earth-orbit-rendezvous? Heck, the Russians have never left the basic capsule design.
Keep It Simple (Stupid) is especially important for manned space flight. It'll never be safe, and the American public has to accept that there is risk, but the less complicated it is the less chance of something going wrong. And the cheaper it will be
Goes to what I've been thinking for years. Separate the cargo from the humans. They have vastly different and sometimes conflicting needs and the launch vehicle design to support both is much too complex. Use Big Dumb Rockets (BDRs) to lift cargo (heavy), smarter, safer ones to lift humans (light).
Except - the various SDV's (Shuttle Derived Vehicles) don't do that. The same rocket is used for both cargo and manned flight, they just use two of them - one for each. (Frankly a rocket that can't be trusted for people shouldn't be trusted with billion dollar cargoes.)
In the medium term (say 10 - 15 years), advances by companies like Scaled Composites show that runway-to-orbit-to-runway is possible
Um - no. SpaceShip One isn't an orbiter any more than a R/C sail plane is a jet fighter, there's simply no reasonable comparison.
These (SDV) schemes are stupid - the worst of all possible worlds. They keep the standing army at LC-39 intact, they keep the pork flowing to the same small circle of aerospace contractors, and they keep the expensive and flawed SRB and ET in service. On top of that, their low flight rates means that costs won't drop significantly.
Re:KISS
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Except - the various SDV's (Shuttle Derived Vehicles) don't do that. The same rocket is used for both cargo and manned flight, they just use two of them - one for each. (Frankly a rocket that can't be trusted for people shouldn't be trusted with billion dollar cargoes.)
The fundamental flaws in the Shuttle design are all to do with the orbiter. The safety issues are because it's fragile and sits in a vulnerable location in the launch assembly. The economic issues are because it's expensive to put so much unnecessary mass into orbit just to return it to earth.
The propulsion elements of the shuttle system are powerful and proven reliable. Once you get rid of the orbiter problem, there is no reason to consider them untrustworthy.
Except - the various SDV's (Shuttle Derived Vehicles) don't do that. The same rocket is used for both cargo and manned flight, they just use two of them - one for each. (Frankly a rocket that can't be trusted for people shouldn't be trusted with billion dollar cargoes.)
I don't disagree. SDV's aren't the way to go. The current orbiter design was a compromise between the Air Force and NASA. You don't have to use same lifting platform for cargo and people. In fact, using solids is just a bad idea for humans, but is, IMHO, acceptable for cargo.
Um - no. SpaceShip One isn't an orbiter any more than a R/C sail plane is a jet fighter, there's simply no reasonable comparison.
You're right, it isn't an orbital craft. But it is a step in the direction of crating a runway-to-runway orbital vehicle, probably using some heavy aircraft to act as the booster to get velocity and altitude, similar to SpaceShip One. I'm talking about getting people in LEO so they can dock with either a (real) spacecraft or ISS. In my mind this new vehicle is really just a taxi - no in flight movies or meals.;) If you can't dock right away you come home.
These (SDV) schemes are stupid - the worst of all possible worlds.
I agree with you here. A new capsule is needed now with work moving forward on new simpler/smaller orbiter. However reusing parts and subsystems from the current shuttle (shuttle == orbiter+external fuel tank+solid boosters) can make sense to reduce cost and time - especially if you use the capsule design in the short term.
The X38 CRV was actually a halfway decent project, almost to flight-ready scale hardware. A simpler, smaller TPS system, ability to be mated to a booster stack vs. lateral mounting, large cross-range flight envelope, possible runway landings, parachutes for safety.
The cancellation of the X38 never made any sense to me. It was an obvious replacement to the crewed shuttle (in my mind). Mated to a Delta-4 or a modified STS-SRB, it would have made a fine launch platform.
Precisely. The design of using a single vehicle to carry cargo and humans into orbit turns out to be dumb, at least for now and maybe for a long time. Small (6 including flight crew of 2) reusable passenger vehicles is the best medium term solution. They don't have to big, the crew is not going be in them for long. Just enough to hold the crew, launch (airborne perhaps/eventually), dock with what ever was put up there by the BDRs and return. That's what I like about SpaceShip One. It's small and cramped but simple.
Re:KISS
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
In fact, using solids is just a bad idea for humans, but is, IMHO, acceptable for cargo.
What do you base this on? Solids do have the disadvantage that they can't be shut down, on the other hand solid fuel burns at a steady rate rather than exploding. Liquid fuelled rockets carry the ever-present danger of catastophic explosion. The explosion of Challenger was not caused by a catastrophic failure of an SRB. It was a survivable failure of the SRB that led to a catastrophic failure of the external tank. Remember how after the explosion, both SRBs carried on, still relatively intact and firing?
Compare these two scenarios:
1.) You've just been launched atop an SRB. It suffers a structural failure (like one of the o-rings burning through) and produces a flame out of the side, like with Challenger. The fuel keeps burning at a steady rate, so there's a bit of a fireworks show, but no big explosion.
2.) You've just been launched atop a liquid-fuelled rocket. It suffers a similar structural failure, leaking fuel out of the side. the fuel ignites and in an instant all the energy of the hundreds on tons of fuel behind you is released in a huge explosion.
Um - no. SpaceShip One isn't an orbiter any more than a R/C sail plane is a jet fighter, there's simply no reasonable comparison.
You're right, it isn't an orbital craft. But it is a step in the direction of crating a runway-to-runway orbital vehicle
That's just the problem - it isn't. There is nothing significant from SS1/SS2 that can be evolved into an orbital craft. There is nothing significant that SS1/SS2 taught us that wasn't learned decades ago with the X-15 and the various lifting body aircraft, PRIME/ASSET, etc... Technologically SS1/SS2 is a neat hack to solve the problem of 'how to win the X-Prize and provide cheap high tech amusement park rides', but it's a sterile dead end.
These (SDV) schemes are stupid - the worst of all possible worlds.
I agree with you here. A new capsule is needed now with work moving forward on new simpler/smaller orbiter. However reusing parts and subsystems from the current shuttle (shuttle == orbiter+external fuel tank+solid boosters) can make sense to reduce cost and time
That's the problem - despite appearances they aren't reusing parts and subsystems from the Shuttle. The ET will require substantial (expensive) modification and flight testing. The solid booster is significantly different from the existing one, again requiring an extensive (and expensive) modification and flight testing program. [1] They plan on using SSME's for the second stage - but they'll have to be heavily modified for independent start as opposed to using ground support equipment. etc, etc, etc...
In fact the more you look, the more differences you find. SDV's won't save money in the beginning, middle, or end. They are expensive pork.
[1] One item in particular, thrust termination ports for the SRB, has only been tried on motors a tenth of the size of the SRB. (The current SRB had a destruct system, not a thrust termination system.)
That's just the problem - it isn't. There is nothing significant from SS1/SS2 that can be evolved into an orbital craft.
You're looking at the project from the wrong perspective. SS1 was never designed for anything but sub orbital joyriding, hybrid motors dont have anywhere near the Isp to reach orbit.
You should instead consider White Knight to be a 'test platform' for a much, much larger dual tailplaned carrier aircraft, this makes the whole project look a lot more interesting. To me, it sounds like a real neat way to marginally increase your launch vehicle's efficiency, and at the same time cut your range fees and third party liability to practically nil.
When will it be ready? 2010 is our preferred target, 2012 would be acceptable.
Signed, NASA.
That's the problem: There's (optimistically) ten or twenty years of development engineering to do before work can actually begin on producing a space elevator.
-- It was a joke! When you give me that look it was a joke.
Re:Well this renders space experimentation useless
by
grunherz
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· Score: 2, Informative
... now that we're reseparating the cargo from its users...
It's OK, NASA figured out how to rendezvous in space with two nearly simultaneously launched vehicles in a little program called Gemini.
I think they were successful, might have to check Wikipedia though... =p
-- Four weeks, Twenty papers, that's two dollars... plus tip.
Next-Gen Rocket Engines
by
ausoleil
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· Score: 2, Informative
SSTO with anti-matter propulsion or something might be perfectly fine.
I think that because of Star Trek, we are all beholden to the idea of anti-matter propulsion. That may come to pass in some distant future, but right now, it is a fairly unrealistic blue-sky idea.
I would put my chips on nuclear fusion as the long-term future, whenever we develop a replacement for chemical rockets. May years ago, Space.com cited some NASA experiments in the field:
NASA engineers are developing a radically new type or rocket engine that harnesses the power of stars to cut travel time to Mars, for example, from the current nine months down to three months. Called the gas-dynamic mirror engine, it traps and heats gas to temperatures as sizzling hot as those found at the core of the sun. That's hot enough to allow for nuclear fusion by combining lighter atomic nuclei into heavier nuclei.
Within a few months, a six-foot long model of the engine will be fired-up by injecting a superheated gas confined between powerful magnets at either end of the engine. Within a couple of years, the engineers hope to achieve a sustained nuclear fusion reaction in the hot plasma.
The article also mentions a fusion/anti-matter hybrid, but the former sounds like it holds more promise in the 30-50 year time frame...and who knows what future developments may hold?
In the near-term, solid rocket boosters put a lot of energy into the nozzle, so to speak. The current Shuttle gets roughly 80% of it's ascent propulsion from the solid rockets that are strapped aside the fuel tanks. That's a pretty powerful combination. The problems with solids are legendary, most notably the lack of any capability of trimming, reducing power or turning them off. The Shuttle is the only launch system that's man-rated that uses solids in a significant way, but this technology is tried and true, considering it is a veteran of many a shuttle launch. While the Challenger failure was a result of the SSRB's, it was a materials issue and not a flaw in the basic package.
Re:Next-Gen Rocket Engines
by
qeveren
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· Score: 1
I seriously doubt anybody is going to allow anyone to use a nuclear or anti-matter powered rocket for ground launch operations.
Doesn't anybody else see it? The whole purpose of the insulation was to prevent the shedding of ICE during launch. If you put the tank into the booster, there's no need to insulate it since the ice shedding isn't an issue.
The other thing is that all they are doing is getting us set up for a man rated version of the Atlas V or the big Delta. This is a push from the dumb booster crowd to take over the manned launch capabilities also
Stupid
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
The premise that the payload is at the top in order to avoid falling debris is stupid. The payload is at the top because the fuel is at the bottom. The bottom, you know, WHERE THE ENGINE IS! Putting the payload anywhere but at the top would be extremely foolish, as you would have to pump the fuel around the payload to get it to the ENGINE.
This cargo vehicle look very similar to russian Energiya rocket (discontinued due to lack of money) and have the same carry capacity - 100 metric tonn. Wondering if there is connection here. Crew vehicle look similar to Zenit rocket - heir of the Energiya program.
The external fuel tank does NOT get reused
by
Sabu+mark
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· Score: 1
The SRBs fall into the Atlantic and get hauled back to shore. The external tank falls from a great height, breaks up in the atmosphere, and sinks to the bottom of the Indian Ocean.
--
What Would Jesus Do (for a Klondike bar)?
Re:The external fuel tank does NOT get reused
by
Sketch
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· Score: 1
I see. I seem to recall reading in the past that the tank does break up into smaller sections, but that the rings making up the main body were recovered and reused. Wikipedia seems to agree with your version, however.:)
Easy--DON'T.
Please don't take this personally--but I've been stewing about this for two decades. Um, anyway--since you asked... I never cared about the damned ISS, not even when it was spectacular and named Space Station Freedom. The fact is, it's not good for much of anything. About the best utility it could be to any other aspect of a space program is as a kind of lifeboat (somewhere a mission can fail to that doesn't involve re-entry), but even tat won't work. If your mission is failing, how are you going to get from your current orbit to that of the Station? Sure, maybe it will work a small percent of the time, but not enough to justify building and manning the thing! All the ISS is doing is advertising. Big Deal. We're getting much better science, much better PR, and much better astronaut survival rates from the unmanned Mars missions. When we do get around to Mars missions, they won't be benefitted in any way by a space station. But look at what the station is doing to NASA: They're actually going to axe funding for the Voyagers! This is crap! It's a pittance the Voyagers require, but right when they are crossing OUT OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM, generating a wealth of previously un-dreamed-of information, their funding has to be sacrificed to NASA's idiotic shuttle+station scheme.
We *have* reliable orbit technology. Had it since the sixties. We *have* reliable earth observation technology. Every damned agency of the Federal Gov't seems to have its own satellite.
Feh. "We need the shuttle to get back and forth to the station. We need the station in case something happens to the shuttle."
Research is just about the last refuge of justification for the station. But we know what happens in orbit (and presumably, beyond orbit, where the ISS will *NEVER GO*). Bodies degenerate. Ever-more refined programs of exercise and vitamin supplements are approaching a limit. We do not have the answer to degeneration, but when we have some plausible candidates, then we can put a man or three up in some kind of Soyuz -esque thing. But hey--thanks for responding to the post:-)
-- Don't trust anyone under thirty.
Re:Well this renders space experimentation useless
by
Ironsides
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· Score: 1
Other than at the ISS, we won't have any platform for performing experiments in space, now that we're reseparating the cargo from its users. Wonderful idea, NASA.
Take that big cargo module from the heavy lifter. Make it airtight and stick an airlock on it. Fill it with air. Bingo, instant experimentation area.
Skylab was essentially a shuttle fuel tank that they didn't jettison on the way down and was modified afterwards as a space station.
-- Fly me to the moon
Let me sing among those stars
Let me see what spring is like
On jupiter and mars
the small rocket for astronauts would be at least 10 times as safe as the shuttle, whose odds of disaster are estimated at roughly 1 in 100
Is it just me or does 1 in 100 seem pretty high?
Re:1% chance of death??
by
Guysmiley777
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· Score: 1
3 million pounds of explosive material burning under your butt? 1 in 100 sounds about right. And I'd sign up in a second if they were taking volunteers.
-- Coding with assembly is like playing with Legos. Coding an application in assembly is like building a car with Legos.
They Aren't New Shuttle Designs
by
reallocate
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· Score: 1
They new vehicles derived from Shuttle components. See an Orbiter or anything else in those pictures?
Geez, are five-year olds in charge of this place? At Slashdot, ignorance wants to be free.
-- -- Slashdot: When Public Access TV Says "No"
Cost of Buran
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
The Soviets tried a spaceplane (Buran), heavily copied from the U.S. Shuttle, and quickly decided it was too expensive to operate. Didn't even have to risk human lives to figure that out -- the first flight was unmanned and remote-controlled.
The US has spent about $145 billion on the shuttle program so far. There have been 113 flights. So each flight costs around $1.3 billion.
The USSR (and Russia, during 1991-1993) spent around $15 billion on its shuttle program. There was only one flight. So that single flight cost $15 billion.
Of course, there is something to be said for the "quit while you're ahead" strategy...
You must work for NASA
by
globaljustin
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· Score: 1
K.I.S.S. never got the Russians to the moon, and it didn't get them into space first...they just had a bigger rocket than we did at the time.
Your post is endemic of the thinking that has borne this bastardized project...NASA and America should lead, innovate, take risks, and reap the rewards...not de-evolve back to those hideous rockets 'like the Russians'....gimme a BREAK!
Re:You must work for NASA
by
loic_2003
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· Score: 1
When it comes to something as risky as space travel I'm still in the belief that it's better to go for a simpler approach. Like the guy said, and I quote:
"It's just too complicated. I know from flying it four times"
Re:You must work for NASA
by
ciroknight
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· Score: 1
*scratches head*.. I thought the Russians tried to replicate our shuttle designs, and then threw it away because they realized it was retarded, expensive, and the Soyuz system worked a charm?
The Russian's never got to the moon because we beat them there, and when we were there, we realized that there's not a whole lot of reason to want to be there. It's a giant rock. It might have some water, which will be good for getting to the rest of the solar system, but that doesn't help us now. It might have some Helium 3 that we could use for nuclear fusion experiments, but harvesting it may prove expensive.
No, the real research is done right in our own Low Earth Orbit, where it's cheap to fly to, and cheap to work with.
Oh, by the way, the Soviet's shuttle was called Buran, and it was originally designed to use a launch system called Energia, which to this day is probably the most effecient lifting platform ever built. And they were ahead of us with the lifting body designs too, they just cancelled those programs because of the want for "strategic parity".. *sigh*.
Those "bastardize projects" will be capable of lifting a pound into space for 3k, three times cheaper than has ever been done with the shuttle. They will also be much better at securing the crew, allowing for escape. And they will be more reusable than the Shuttle, since an SRB can be completely refurbished, and generally, that's all that the new medium-lifting model is. The heavy lifting model will be several times more effiecient than the shuttle, as *all* of that excess weight those heat shields, tail fins, rudders, wings, mechanical arms, etc, won't be included. That means the new launch vehicle is capable of launching four times what the shuttle could, for 40% off what the shuttle costs to fly!
You're either incredibly shortsighted, or very young.
-- "Victory means exit strategy, and it's important for the President to explain to us what the exit strategy is." G.W.Bush
I keep hearing this accusation that the shuttle design is "flawed" - particularly the part about how the "payload should be above the boosters".
This is the kind of "in the box" thinking that prevents progress.
Goddard's original design had the thruster at the top of the rocket, and the fuel tanks actually sat below, in the stream of the rocket exhaust.
This design was necessary, to provide stability in flight; the problems of steering and guidance by fins, gyroscopes, and gymballed nozzles had not yet been solved.
Of course, when you start talking about rocket designs of more significant power, then the exhaust becomes a heat problem, and you have to move the payload out of the way, which introduces a stability problem; which is what Goddard worked the rest of his career solving.
The issue with the shuttle is; it's an incredibly complex machine, and some of the problems it was designed to handle are very difficult problems. Personally, I wouldn't blame these problems on the configuration of the orbiter, booster, and external fuel tank. Fundamentally, it's not a "bad" configuration. It becomes a hazard when you combine that configuration with the hazards of ice forming on the external tank, and an extremely fragile Thermal Protection System on the orbiter. Saying that the problems with the Space Shuttle are all caused by configuration is a gross oversimplification of the problem. The Space Transportation System as a whole, is a complex system, and each component is engineered with certain trade-offs. Perhaps all of them together, in sum, equate to a hazardous system. When you have a hazard, you look at the easiest and most effective way to solve the problem. A complete redesign, including re-arranging the basic configuration of the vehicle, is an overreaction to this hazard. Switching from paint on the external tank to insulating foam, perhaps, was an underreaction, because it moved the hazard from launch time to 60-150 seconds into flight, from slow, falling ice, to high-speed foam. The ultimate solution may turn out to be as simple as re-formulating the foam. (the original freon-based foam was more successful at sticking to the tank). It may turn out to be more complicated, like re-engineering the orbiter's Thermal Protection System.
And of course - we'll never see an attempt at something like that, because the simple-minded folks will stick to the conclusion that it's better to simply redesign the whole thing.
The end result may be semi-reusable. May be cheaper per pound than the shuttle. But it won't have the payload capacity, nor will it have the flexibility. Personally, I think that the nation, as a whole, would be better served by approaching the old design with new technology (as in the X-33 approach). The state of materials science has advanced significantly in 30 years. As has propulsion technology, and even aerodynamics. An effort to build the same shuttle, with the same configuration, with fresh ideas from these advances could possibly yeild a vehicle without the same hazards, possibly with a cheaper operating cost, quicker duty cycle, and greater flexibility than the shuttle we have today.
In my opinion, using this "throwback" design will represent a huge setback to the spacelaunch industry. It will be adequate for servicing the ISS. It will be adequate for placing small crews into orbit. And it will be more cost-effective than our current shuttle. But it doesn't represent a technical advance. It's a retreat. It will come to represent the symbol of where Mankind said; "That's it, we tried to go farther than this point, and we failed. Let's stop here."
-- These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
Re:engineering scapegoats
by
RosenSama
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· Score: 1
This is the kind of "in the box" thinking that prevents progress.
From TFA,
The plan would separate the jobs of hauling people and cargo into orbit and would put the payloads on top of the rockets - as far as possible from the dangers of firing engines and falling debris, which were responsible for the accidents that destroyed the shuttle Challenger in 1986 and the Columbia in 2003.
it sounds like they have a pretty good reason to do so. Just because Goddard did it doesn't make it easy or safe.
Re:engineering scapegoats
by
Teancum
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· Score: 2, Interesting
The issue with the shuttle is; it's an incredibly complex machine, and some of the problems it was designed to handle are very difficult problems.
Yes, the Shuttle is a complex machine. I've heard that over and over again each time I see a shuttle launch program on TV, or when astronauts talk about it.
That is precisely the problem... not the ice damage or the configuration. Any engineer from any discipline can tell you that each time you add a new part or increase the complexity of a machine that you are likely to screw it up.
At their heart, a rocket is a very simple machine. You throw "stuff" out the back end of the rocket, and as fast as you possibly can. The trick that modern rocket builders need to deal with is that to achieve orbital velocities you need to have a rocket that sends "stuff" out so quickly that it reaches insane temperatures, and even incredible temperature differences (going from -200C to 4000C in less than 10 seconds for the fuel). You also need to have a "fuel pump" that can effectively pour a controlled but huge volume of fuel at constant (or at least consistant) pressure. Indeed, it is the design of an efficient turbo pump to push fuel into the combustion chamber that most rocket scientists spend their time. And where most of the complexity comes in. Dealing with cryogenic fuels also has some additional problems (in the case of the shuttle).
The trick to reduce errors and failures is that you have to simplify the idea and approach. One solution to this issue is that if you have an assembly line of rockets being built, you have other incentives to simplify... mainly because it gets cheaper to build them in the first place when there are fewer complex parts.
The current fleet of Space Shuttles are each hand-crafted and in many ways unique craft each in their own right. They each have a very interesting history, and in some areas you can't "mix" and "match" or change parts (although sometimes NASA tries real hard in this prespect).
As you also pointed out, there were problems with the tile system. When it was first proposed, even before STS-1 with Columbia, there were quite a few complaints about this heat-protection system. There was at the time a "wait and see" standard mantra coming from NASA, to see just how effective it was. And indeed it has been quite successful in a number of ways, but it has proven to be far too fragile for repeated flights.
The other thing that a redesigned Shuttle would have in its favor is that it wouldn't have the U.S. Air Force RFP requirements, many of which caused huge problems and setbacks for the Shuttle program even before it got going.
what were the Airforce RFP requirements? I know that the Shuttle got maimed in conflicting requirements from different administrations/organizations, but I don't recall airforce specs being involved.
The Air Force got their hands into the mess right at the beginning. The Shuttle together with what later became the ISS was supposed to replace the Air Force Manned Observation Laboratory.
The U.S. Air Force, back in the late 1960's, had this ambitious militarization of space program where they would have a permanent manned space station with Air Force officers manning weapons that could be launched or "observed" from space. A total of about eight astronauts were actually selected and went through quite a bit of training and design work. This was seperate and distinct from the NASA astronaut selection program (more civilian in nature...but did allow selection of military personnel). These astronauts reported directly the the Secretary of the Air Force, not the NASA heirarchy.
Later these astronauts were moved over to NASA without having to go through a normal selection process, but many of the Air Force mandates were also "rolled" into NASA projects. This was done at the end of the Johnson administration.
One of the things that the Air Force did was to build a complete second launch facility at Santa Barbars, California at the Vandenburg Air Force Base. The intention here was to be able to launch the Space Shuttle into polar orbit. While the launch facilities were built, the Shuttle has never been launched from this facility. The runway strip at this base was also design to handle an emergency landing of a shuttle, although Edwards AFB is comparatively nearby and would be considered a prime recovery area for a polar orbit as well.
There were other screwy things the Air Force did to mess with the design parameters of the Shuttle, and there were several classified missions the Air Force flew using the Space Shuttle that for some reason had to have the current characteristics that are in the Shuttle program. While some details of those mission have been declassified (including what astronauts flew on them), there are some missions that are still very black in terms of what really happened.
In short, yes, the Air Force had a big hand in what happened with the Space Shuttle, and the design would have been quite a bit different had NASA alone been involved with the design process.
Re:Well this renders space experimentation useless
by
brownpau
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· Score: 1
Skylab was essentially a shuttle fuel tank that they didn't jettison on the way down and was modified afterwards as a space station.
Um, no. Skylab predates the shuttle by about a decade. I believe the station was built from a modified Saturn V third stage shell.
Those solid fuel boosters use liquid oxygen and hydrogen, right? However, I suggest before you start being too rude to people who actually (1) have science degrees and (2) have been following the space programs since 1958, you might want to learn to spell. naturally,occurring,occupies,earth's,Because.
-- Panurge has posted for the last time. Thanks for the positive moderations.
Bureaucracies tend to advance a subset of similar ideas whose only advantage is that they've worked up till now. When those ideas exhibit fatal flaws, possibly because the Gods of Science do not sufficiently appreciate the proletariat of implementation, designs for a leaner, meaner, higher, faster, sleeker shuttle seem hubresque. What's the fascination with bringing the damn thing back? What's wrong with designing a re-entry pod with only one function (to get back), and a cheap voom tube to get into space and get recycled into the infrastructure of the space station? Go up big, come back small.
-- ``Tension, apprehension & dissension have begun!'' - Duffy Wyg&, in Alfred Bester's _The Demolished Man_
Buy from the Russians?
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Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Makes sense - they have better engineering, and we buy all our other technology from other countries now, anyway!
I definitely agree w/ your criticism of NASA, but I sincerely hope your 'solution':
Here's hope that someone in industry finds a really good reason to go into space regularly.
doesn't happen...
here's the problem: right now(and as far as i can tell, it won't change in the near future), the only viable reason for a business to go into 'space' (like SS1) is for SPACE TOURISM...
basically strapping a bunch of rich people who saw 'The Right Stuff' too many times into a plane similar to the x series of 40+ years ago and doing non-orbital 'spaceflights' 'WHOOPEEE! THAT WAS SO WORTH THE HUNDRED THOUSAND'
NASA needs to be REBOOTED...let's forget all this 'beat the russians quick and dirt' BS of the cold war...we need real innovation, real exploration, risk taking, and we will reap REAL rewards...
I don't object to rockets out of hand, they may work in the short run, but it is infuriating to those of us who know how much of a bastard plan NASA has come up with...for decades we've been working on new and better ways to get into space (platforms, etc.), and what does NASA do? Go BACK TO OLD-SCHOOL ROCKETS???
It stinks of the kind of thinking that scrapped the x-project in favor of traditional rockets...it stinks of over-celebrated wimps who have lost the ability to think big...it stinks of POLITICS, which is unfourtunate, but not beyond our control...WRITE YOUR CONGRESSMAN...LOBBY FOR SPACE ELEVATORS!!!
Asked whether the new designs meant NASA was going back to the future, he replied, "You can say, 'Hey, that looks pretty retro,' " but he drew an analogy to passenger jets from decades ago and those of today. "They look the same," he said, "but are completely different."
Is it just me, or almost all of the payload sent to space is carried by "traditional" rockets, and not cool-looking, but yet extremely inefficient space vehicles ?
The business of space goes well beyond the space shuttle, and almost everything that's useful and commercially viable uses rockets.
-- Cats are intended to teach us that not everything in nature has a function.
Re:mmmmmm
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Yes, except of NASA (where MOST of the payload...) - because it's cheaper. Most of payload is commercial satellites. And NASA happens to be the most expensive provider of this kind of services in the world. Manned flights are a rarity, and only NASA performs them in a shuttle.
At the current moment....
by
WindBourne
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· Score: 1
Our current material technology will not create the elevator on earth. It will require a great deal of material discovery to come up with something lighter and stronger (perhaps spider webbing, or maybe the nanotubes, but we are still not sure about that). However, this makes good sense for the Moon. At this very minute, we have the material that can be used. IOW, it is ready for a very cheap price.
-- I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
Re:At the current moment....
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
No, actually you can't put an elevator on the moon - because of the slow rotation (once/month), the "geosynchronous" altitude puts the elevator's center of gravity as far away from the moon as the center of the earth is. The earth's gravity would pull the ribbon towards the earth.
Where isn't this true? People always bitch about the nature of big organizations, but I haven't met a big program that isn't full of this sort of thing. Government or private sector, US or Europe, It doesn't matter. Yes small organizations are nimble, but have implicite limitations. Large organizations are inefficient, slow to change, but can do things that small ones can't. The fact that the shuttle actually works (mostly) is testament to that fact.
Re:The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
by
lxs
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· Score: 1
By the way, my ass could use a good redesign too...:)
Re:Bring back the Delta Clipper!
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Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
MOD PARENT UP
Re:Well this renders space experimentation useless
by
16K+Ram+Pack
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· Score: 1
That would be all those great experiments that we've learnt something from?
Through a bizarre cyclical logic, the shuttle is there to service the ISS which exists to justify the continuation of the shuttle program.
Redirecting shuttle/ISS funding at other scientific research here on earth would be much more useful.
As a friend of mine put it...
by
Deviant+Q
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· Score: 1
Watching the launch of this latest one, a friend of mine told me,
"That's the pinnacle of 1960s technology right there."
I mean, it's expensive to redesign---so I can understand the delay---but by now there's so much new stuff you probably have a good chance of getting something much better. So, good luck to them!
-- "May the days be aimless. Let the seasons drift. Do not advance the action according to a plan."
When is the Bond movie due out on this?
by
ebvwfbw
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· Score: 1
They did a bond movie with the current shuttle - moonraker. In a way it kind of looks like a rocket powered tampon.
They are using the booster from the shuttle (combined with one of several H2/O2 2'nd stage) to launch ppl into orbit. The solid engine rocket is well known and inexpensive. More important, it is the safeest approach at this time, In addition, they do not care wether a capsule is used or a small space plane. They are simply suggesting seperating crew from cargo.
As to the cargo, they are suggesting doing several steps to get to the final in-line cargo configuration. After that this rocket should have similiar capabilities as the Saturn V.
Now, if the big ship is doing cargo only, and the little rocket is doing the crew upload, then they will almost certainly need a different rocket for the moon/mars.
-- I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
OVERLORDS
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
rense.com
NASA Transmission Showed Distinct UFO webmaster 8-2-5
Tonight at approximately 2:15 Central time on DirectTV Satellite channel 376 (NASA) they were broadcasting a shot from the Shuttle/Space Station of the darkened earth, where only the city lights could be seen apart from the faint corona around the edge of the globe. I could not tell if this was live feed or not. This went on for roughly five minutes or so from the time I tuned in and then suddenly, an extremely bright, solid white disc appeared in the lower portion of the screen and shot inward, toward the earth, at terrific speed (leaving a tracer on the camera in its wake). As soon as this happened, the feed went black and returned to their standard map of the globe showing the orbital paths of the shuttle.
If anyone was taping around this time, double check your tape for this. It was definitely not space debris, was perfect in shape, appeared to be self-luminous and moved at a terrific velocity away from the camera, toward earth, getting smaller as it went. Below is an illustration of what was seen.
FYI: The SSX Concept
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Jerry Pournelle has a page with back of the envelope calculations showing that SSTO may be possible with off the shelf technology.
The problem is that the calculations are too close to show whether you could put a useful payload into orbit. You wouldn't be able to tell until you built and flew something.
Of course those calculations are with off the shelf technology. You need a proper X program (not a high-tech jobs program like X-33 *gag*) to resolve whether the concept works, or at least to resolve what technologies need to be improved to make it work.
Remember, for a long time it was authoritatively believed to be impossible to fly faster than the speed of sound. And even after that was accomplished, for a while the only payload was the pilot.
Whenever I read one of these NASA "next generation" designs that are just reengineering old technology, I wonder when they are going to bite the bullet and go for nuclear rockets. Experimentation in the 60s produced a crude solid-core reactor engine called NERVA, but it was heavy and underpowered, and would have released a lot of radioactive pollution. There are much more promising designs now. One is called a Gaseous Core Nuclear Reactor, also known as a "nuclear lightbulb."
Basically it's a big quartz bulb containing gaseous uranium such as UF6, confined to the center of the bulb by a buffer gas swirling around the inside. The UF6 cloud heats up to 25000 C, about 7 times the melting temp of any solid core reactor. It emits intense ultraviolet, which passes through the quartz and is absorbed by slightly doped hydrogen flowing over the outside. The hydrogen heats and expands rather than combusting, exiting the nozzle to provide thrust. No need to carry liquid oxygen. The nuclides confined within the bulb do not enter the exhaust stream, and the hydrogen exhaust itself is not radioactive.
Here is a really interesting article that describes a detailed design for a fully reusable GCNR rocket based on the Saturn V form factor, able to lift 1000 tons of payload into orbit (ten times NASA's latest new design) and return intact to a powered landing in the manner of the now defunct Delta Clipper.
GCNR rockets would not only be able to launch entire space hotels in one shot, their enormous lifting capacity would also make Mars missions practical. Proposed 2-year Mars missions using traditional planetary gravity assist trajectories would give the crew fatal radiation doses. A GCNR rocket could carry a fantastically equipped Mars mission with a foot-thick layer of water/ice shielding, on a point-and-shoot trajectory that takes three months each way. But that's another topic all its own.
Sure, anything nuclear creates a big PR problem, but NASA is supposed to be all about public education as well as putting things into space. I had hoped for more guts from their new leadership. We've been mucking around in earth orbit for decades. It's time we built real spaceships that can handle really significant cargo.
Maybe we'll hold off on spending billions on attacking backwoods countries and congress will take one less vacation in order to build something based on technology better than 20 years old. Unfortunately the average American is more interested in watching Big Brother than the concept of interplanetary exploration.
-- For some reason I refuse to use either spell check or the spacebar properly.
The real practical use of nuclear rockets will be in interplanetary space. The room to use them is there, as is the need. Even a modest but steady thrust that can be maintained for days or even weeks is going to have some tremendous benefit instead of monster initial rocket thrusts you get from chemical rockets that end suddenly.
In addition, once the spacecraft is safely in space itself, almost any kind of nuclear contamination event is going to be easily dealt with, and except for very localized problems trying to deal with the issue is not going to "harm" the environment in any way at all. Idiots who are opposed to nuclear space are simply misinformed. They are idiots because they have never really studied the issue, nor really understand what the general environment is like in interplanetary space.
LEO nuclear reactors are a little more dangerous, but not substantially so.
god I can't wait for a commercial venture to put nasa in their place
Too bad, because you're going to have to. For quite a while, unless you're among the New Faithful who've convinced themselves that Spaceship One was Apollo redux, but so much cheaper (and cute as a button).
INTERESTING CHOICES: Kill ur TV - Next-Gen Designs
by
theREALbillder
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· Score: 1
this may be info gotten by the english ufo hacker, and sat upon until now, i do not know but htats wha tit feels like, it doevetails with other stuff i have from older and other places...this came to me anon and I have not had time to review thoroughly but some loox good. One thing i will tell you is this...kill your tv and WATCH THE NIGHT SKIES, you will see the other airforce, the nwo air force, alluded to by gm and which is what got him busted really...we have been kept out of it all, except to finance it...financed our own overthrow, we did...dark side of the force, bad, bad...
http://www.drboylan.com/xplanes2.html
Secret Air Force Mach-50 Plane, Other Exotic Classified Aerospacecraft, And the U.S. Antigravity Fighter Discs Deployed With Star Wars Weapons To Fight In the Gulf War
Secret Air Force Mach-50 Plane, Other Exotic Classified Aerospacecraft, And the U.S. Antigravity Fighter Discs Deployed With Star Wars Weapons To Fight In the Gulf War
(Or, Everything you wanted to know about anti-gravity, but is classified)
by
Richard Boylan, Ph.D.
Let me start this report with a word from UFO investigator Doug Parrish, who states:
On very good authority I have been told in the last year from someone who knows but obviously must remain unidentified) that the United States Air Force currently has in its hanger(s) (an) aircraft which (is) (are) capable of Mach 50. That's 50 times the speed of sound. If we regard the speed of sound as somewhere around 770 mph, then Mach 50 becomes 38,500 mph. That's three times around the world in two hours. As far as I know, this is an intra- atmospheric aircraft that takes off from a large base in the Far West.
- Doug Parrish
Dr. Boylan states:
Now I am going to present some information I have obtained elsewhere. Some of the unacknowledged "exotic" aerospacecraft in the military inventory are:
1) the Aurora,
2) the TR3-A, ("Pumpkinseed"), and
3) the military X-33A spaceplane prototype of Lockheed-Martin's X-33, a single-stage-to-orbit aerospace vehicle, as well as
4) the Lockheed X-22A two-man antigravity disc fighter.
A fifth, about which almost nothing has been revealed, is:
5) the Nautilus, a secret military spacecraft which operates by magnetic pulsing. It operates out of the unacknowledged new headquarters of the U.S. Space Command, deep under a mountain in Utah. It makes twice-a-week trips up to the secret military-intelligence space station which has been in deep space for the past thirty years. The Nautilus also is used for superfast surveillance operations, utilizing its ability to penetrate target country airspace from above from deep space, a direction not usually expected. Arguing for the craft being described as being the Aurora would be its speed, which would make it capable of achieving, (I believe the German rocket scientists' term is brenschluss), escape velocity, i.e., ability to leave the pull of Earth's gravity.
National Security Council scientist Dr. Michael Wolf, (of NSC's unacknowledged SSG ("MJ-12 ) subcommittee,) has stated that the Aurora can operate on both conventional fuel and antigravity field propulsion systems. He further stated that the Aurora can travel to the Moon , a statement I doubt he would make unless it has already made the trip.
The TR3-A, which has also been identified as the Pumpkinseed, a reference to its thin oval airframe, has been reported to be a superfast plane. Whether the TR3-A is the plane which Doug Parrish's informant mentioned, which can do Mach 50, I can't say. But it is reported to be quick.
My ex-NSA informant, Z , also confirmed what black-projects defense industry-insider Edgar Rothschild Fouche wrote about in his recent book, Alien Rapture : the existence of
6) the TR3-B, a large triangular anti-gravity craft within the U.S. antigravity fleet.
This fleet also includes:
7) the B-2 Stealth bomber, made by Northrop, the Lockheed X-22A two-man antigravity disc, the large space- faring Nautilus, manufactured by Boeing and EU's Airbus Industries,
8) Northrop's disc craft, (d
Why are they designing a new cargo lifter. Does anyone why they would do this in place of the EELV project that is already successfully on track to lift cargo of this size?
From the way everyone is acting you'd swear this was only the second shuttle flight to ever have anything fall off. A number of people have said that this might have been the cleanest of the 110+ launches
Also, the report incorrectly says "as far as possible from the dangers of firing engines and falling debris, which were responsible for the accidents that destroyed the shuttle Challenger in 1986 and the Columbia in 2003." The new designs will do nothing to protect from a Challenger style accident. The only difference is that lives will not be lost in that case. A big difference but lost of a payload is not inconsequential. Don't forget that standard rockets can also go boom or fail to reach orbit.
Space travel is not safe. There's around a 2% chance that a ship will be lost. But imagine if we grounded every airplane for years any time there was an accident. Or cars. Oops, Bobby Joe in Memphis just had a blowout, everyone off the roads until we can redesign the tires. We need to accept that there is risk. Sure, solve the problem, but in the mean time keep flying.
Re:Debris, debris, debris
by
grunherz
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· Score: 1
The new designs will do nothing to protect from a Challenger style accident.
I disagree.
I've mentioned this system before in this thread, but I'll reiterate.
If you look closely at the diagram of the "new" manned vehicle, there's a little rocket attached to the capsule at the top of the system. If a series of sensors could detect a catastrophic failure of the booster system, the fact that the crew is on the extremity of the vehicle will allow that nifty little rocket to fire them safely away from the explosion and save the crew.
Apollo had it, Soviet systems have it and used it successfully saved a few cosmonauts once.
-- Four weeks, Twenty papers, that's two dollars... plus tip.
But imagine if we grounded every airplane for years any time there was an accident.
Actually, the FAA will and has grounded planes after crashes. For example after the Queens crash they stopped just short of grounding similar Airbus models but required swift inspections of all tailfin mount points. I work at an aircraft hangar and we had the things lined up for days.
Or cars. Oops, Bobby Joe in Memphis just had a blowout, everyone off the roads until we can redesign the tires.
(Soft knocks at the door)
HAL 9000: Who is it?
DAVE: It's me, Dave. Open up, man, I got the stuff.
(More knocks)
HAL 9000: Who is it?
DAVE: It's me, Dave, man. Open up, I got the stuff.
HAL 9000: Who?
DAVE: It's, Dave, man. Open up, I think the cops saw me come in here.
(More knocks)
HAL 9000: Who is it?
DAVE: It's, Dave, man. Will you open up, I got the stuff with me.
HAL 9000: Who?
DAVE: Dave, man. Open up.
HAL 9000: Dave?
DAVE: Yeah, Dave. C'mon, man, open up, I think the cops saw me.
HAL 9000: Dave's not here.
DAVE: No, man, I'm Dave, man.
(Sharp knocks at the door)
DAVE: Hey, c'mon, man.
HAL 9000: Who is it?
DAVE: It's Dave, man. Will you open up? I got the stuff with me.
HAL 9000: Who?
DAVE: Dave, man. Open up.
HAL 9000: Dave?
DAVE: Yeah, Dave.
HAL 9000: Dave's not here.
DAVE: What the hell? No, man, I am Dave, man. Will you...
(More knocks)
DAVE: C'mon! Open up the door, will you? I got the stuff with me, I think the cops
saw me.
HAL 9000: Who is it?
DAVE: Oh, what the hell is it...c'mon. Open up the door! It's Dave!
HAL 9000: Who?
DAVE: Dave! D-A-V-E! Will you open up the goddam door!
HAL 9000: Dave?
DAVE: Yeah, Dave!
HAL 9000: Dave?
DAVE: Right, man. Dave. Now will you open up the door?
HAL 9000: Dave's not here.
This one takes elements from the current shuttle for the payload booster, and the Apollo capsules for the crew. By this point we know the rockets and boosters work and most of the kinks have been worked out. We also know the Apollo style capsule is relatively safe so long as you don't have exposed wiring and a high oxygen environment.
I suppose that now that the ISS is pretty much intact, there isn't any need to be able to perform research on the transport vehicle.
-- Paint yourself into a corner, burn the bridges!, and you will feel the liberty of a man who has nothing to lose!
Re:Did somebody say Souz?
by
Fastball
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· Score: 1
No, but I thought I heard someone offer a "Soyuz."
Just use Aurora technology
by
bondjamesbond
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· Score: 1
duh! Oh, wait... it doesn't exist... or DOOOEEES iiit??
In Soviet Russia, rocket launches you!
by
dodongo
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· Score: 1
I was discussing this article with a friend, and mentioned that it seems a lot of the inefficiencies and maintenance problems and whatnot that the shuttle has was how it moved away from just using physics in favor of the spacecraft, and trying to control it.
The beauty of Soyuz is and has always been that you sort of fire the rocket and it does its thing and then you're in space. The re-entry capsule is designed so that it more-or-less "automatically" ends up in proper position for re-entry heat shielding. Yes, you don't have as much control as you would in the shuttle, but do you really need it?
This is a move towards the truly tried-and-true method of launch and re-entry. Physics / Mother Nature / God / Whoever allows this to happen in a reasonably well-understood fashion, and by stopping the fight against it, we get improved cargo lift capacity, and substantially cheaper crew lifts in return.
This could be one great legacy Bush could leave behind. Oof. Kinda hurts to say that;)
Collectively, we are all a bunch of f***ups
by
wsanders
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· Score: 1
The shuttle was not a failure. The failure was not having the balls or the smarts to think of something better, sooner.
Jesus H Frigging Bill Gates, the State of California can't even build a bridge over the f***ing San Francisco Bay, how can we expect a large space agency constantly bent over to Congress' bidding to get things right?
And every IT project I've ever worked on, the more people it had working on it the more f***ed up it was.
Let's put space exploration in the hand of private research institutions where it belongs. Rutan for President.
-- Give a man a fish and you have fed him for today. Teach a man to fish, and he'll say "WHERE'S MY FISH, YOU IDIOT?"
Re:Collectively, we are all a bunch of f***ups
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
If Rutan was president, Rutan spaceplanes would not be private enterprises, would they? Numbnuts
The past two and a half decades have seen NASA throwing billions of dollars at a succession of "high concept", advanced space-plane ideas (National Aerospace Plane, various X-planes)... none of which proved feasible and were all ultimately cancelled by Congress. That's a lot of money that could've been spent either improving the Shuttle program or in developing a realistic successor to the Shuttle. It's about damn time they broke that cycle.
--
Software piracy is victimless theft.
Re:How old are you? Fourteen?
by
modavis
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· Score: 1
The past two and a half decades have seen NASA throwing billions of dollars at a succession of "high concept", advanced space-plane ideas...could've been spent...in developing a realistic successor to the Shuttle
I admire your unerring gift for knowing in advance whether a given concept is going to turn into a "a realistic successor" or a loser.
The saps at NASA -- and oddly, at every one of the several score technology companies I've worked with -- lack your talent. They often have to spend quite a lot of money to find out which is which, then drop unpromising projects with nothing but experience to show for it.
The crew rocket will be using the solid rocket engines. Safe, Simple, Soon. These are from the Shuttle. Likewise, the cargo rocket will be shuttle-C (sidemounted, robot controled, not coming back to earth), and will slowly convert to an in-line mounted cargo rocket Using the same engines and boosters.
I would say that the shuttle has proven the engines and the boosters. Now, we are moving to a better config. In fact, the crew rocket will be cheap to send up and down esp. compared to other approachs.
-- I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
The carbon-carbon tiles are fragile just like foam. Even something like lightly pressing your thumbnail into it will leave a divot. Read the Columbia Accident Report if you don't believe me.
--
Software piracy is victimless theft.
Re:The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
by
theREALbillder
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· Score: 1
i say to myself SCHTUP as i hit my forehead hard... it all becomes clear, the doggone gol-darn DOGON are returning -- too bad they are amphibians and the oceans are full of beer cans and raw sewage. I think if you watch the night sky and read less stichkin you will be much less prey to nefarious and spooky stories which will no doubt lead to some sort of social aberration manifesting as perhaps a rubber booted raincoated clown on a pogo stix, or even worse, as an aide to a politician in washington!
there is magick at work no doubt and it does not look benign from my peephole, and if you are really interested in foreknowledge of events and astro-nomix (And your place within) start here:
http://www.enterprisemission.com/egyptair.htm
The good news is, this gets us back to roughly where we were in the 1970s with our Saturn rockets. The bad news is, this gets us back to where we were in the 1970s. It's kind of like asking if the glass is half empty or half full.
Yes, now we can finally put the disastrous Shuttle program behind us -- after 25 years and countless billions of dollars wasted going in circles, it's about freakin' time. At last the long nightmare can end.
And now we can pick up again where we left off. And yet, one could have hoped for so much more. There are many innovative ideas sitting in dusty filing cabinets, but instead we are getting Apollo/Saturn retreads. There is no great leap forward being offered, only a grudging admission that NASA spent the last 25 years wandering down a dead end.
As for the design specifics. . . If you look at the proposed designs, they aren't what anybody would have created starting from a clean slate. The NYT article implies it's all about saving money, but the real reason for using recycled Shuttle components is all about politics and expedience.
I'm no fan of pork-barrel spending, but I guess something can be said for expedience. Even if it's basically 1970s technology, this plan can get us back into the space exploration game.
Some people talk about radical technologies like space elevators, aerospace planes, or nuclear rockets. I'm all for researching that kind of stuff. Most of these technologies have been buried because they were perceived as a threat to the shuttle, or else shuttle operations gobbled up most of NASA's budget so there wasn't much left for that R&D anyhow.
But those technologies right now exist on paper. Developing them into working systems would take time and money, both of which are in short supply. Using shuttle components may seem disappointing, but it can get us back into the space exploration game in a matter of a few years time -- and then research on more forward-looking stuff can, hopefully, pick up again.
In short: I hope these new systems will be only stopgaps to tide us over until newer technology. But sometimes a stopgap is really good to have.
As for the design specifics. . . If you look at the proposed designs, they aren't what anybody would have created starting from a clean slate. The NYT article implies it's all about saving money, but the real reason for using recycled Shuttle components is all about politics and expedience.
ANY idea that is floated out there will be good old tried and true technology. Remember, the last thing anyone in NASA wants to see (with good reason, mind you) is an exploded rocket on CNN. NASA has become very, very conservitive. Even with the request from the White House to get a manned mission to Mars, I don't expect to see it in my lifetime, at least not Americans - maybe the Chinese. Hopefully the technology has become cheap enough to have a realistic private enterprise solution, but until there is some compelling reason for private business to go there, I don't see that happening.
-- "Well, good luck finding a judge that doesn't run a bestiality site."
Whatever Happened to the Space Plane?
by
transami
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· Score: 1
Remember that -- The replacement to the Space Shuttle that was supposed to be ready to fly by now?
Well, like everything these days it "cost" too much money and congress slashed it, but not so soon as to not have blwon billions $ on who knows what. They did the same thing to the Spuer Collider. Remember that?
So now they're going back to Apollo style and saying that's the way to go b/c of leasons learned from the shuttle -- Blah! It's all about the pork fools! Russia spends 20x times less than we do (about 700 mil) on their space program and they go to space more often than the President says the word.
Sigh. Just another sign of the coming fall. Well, at least we'll have something reliable to go to space in for a while, I guess.
-- :T:R:A:N:S:
Re:Whatever Happened to the Space Plane?
by
sexylicious
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· Score: 1
Its shiny titanium frame and dedicated launchpad sit in the Mojave desert. The frame was bought by the USAF to continue research into the vehicle, but funds dried up and the project was scrapped. The thing was taken apart for salvage and the skeleton of the frame is sitting around because it's too expensive to take it apart further.
At least that's what I heard from a friend of mine that works at Edwards AFB.
Re:Whatever Happened to the Space Plane?
by
gatkinso
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· Score: 1
I have read that it was all a coverstory so that the USAF could develop this "Aurora" plane that the tinfoil hat types keep going on about.
(In all fairness the SR-71 existed on the realm of the tinheads for a long time too before it was finally made public.)
Is there really any need for shuttle launches any more? They could keep a shuttle in orbit close to/docked at the ISS for missions that require the maneuverability in orbit a shuttle can give them - plus use it in the case of emergencies.
Just fire cargo up to the ISS using commercial rockets, and astronauts via Soyux or a to-be-developed NASA alternative. The ISS-based shuttle can then be used for repairs, maneuvering, etc. without the dangers involved in launch and re-entry.
I suppose the question is how long would a shuttle last in orbit, when they're designed for short week or two missions?
Re:The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
by
TonyZahn
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· Score: 1
I thought everyone knew that the end of the world was 2012.
You may find it kind of sad, but it's vindication for those of us who've argued for the last 20+ years that the Shuttle program was a disaster in progress. Finally, after the spilling of much blood and treasure, NASA have been forced to admit (tacitly, at least) that we were right all along.
Competition with Japan's Space Program
by
reporter
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· Score: 1
NASA will not shape up until there is serious competion: Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA). This latest incident in which yet another chunk of foam flies off the boosters is a crisis. NASA spent millions of dollars since the last accident in order to prevent any more foam from flying and hitting the wings of the shuttle. What exactly did that bucket of money buy?
Reading the article about JAXA's space plans, I am mighty impressed. That proposed spacecraft to the moon bears a vague resemblance to the early prototype spacecraft imagined by the writers of "Star Trek".
Washington should open up competitive bidding (for space projects) to JAXA. If JAXA has the better ideas and the better technology, then Washington send some money over to JAXA. For too long, NASA has been a space monopoly. A little competition from JAXA will improve the quantity and quality of NASA's production.
So help me Buddha!
Two lions escaped from the circus and...
by
Thud457
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· Score: 1
How come/. doesn't have the seemingly obvious "useless NASA middle-manager" troll?
--
the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
NASA engineers disagree
by
WindBourne
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· Score: 1
From TFA:
"The existing components offer us huge cost advantages as opposed to starting from a clean sheet of paper,"
It's nice to see that NASA has moved from "clean slates" to the much more modern and recent technological innovation of "clean paper."
-- This Sig Kills Fascists
Sounds like they need to bring out "Big Gemini"
by
Teancum
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· Score: 1
In case you never have heard about this program, this is the Big Gemini or Gemini II Project that was proposed to NASA right at the end of the original Gemini missions. You can also see the "real thing" that was built as part of a full-scale mock-up.
There was another "failed" hold over from the pre-Shuttle days called Apollo II as well, that was essentially a beefed up Apollo capsule that could hold up to seven passengers and crew. Basically the current crew load of the Shuttle. Trying to build on the Apollo technology, it would also incorporate some of the ideas that also developed from Gemini. Keep in mind that despite the fact that the Apollo capsules went to the moon later, the Gemini program was in some ways a more advanced program than the Apollo system... in part because it was built with newer technologies.
One of the reasons why Gemini is getting another look today is because the standard two-person version can fit on top of the Falcon V, and make a base design for an orbital vehicle. The Falcon V is going to be man-rated, and a bit cheaper than the Russians are able to put somebody up into orbit. Plus (for those that care), SpaceX is an American company, avoiding the political issues of going to Russia for at least American companies or tourists.
A beefed up Falcon V (Falcon X?) could in theory be able to launch seven astronauts at once. Certainly at a substantial fraction of the price for a single shuttle launch, and to the same orbit.
However, NASA tried to shoehorn most space transportation needs into ONE VEHICLE.
I think it's incorrect to say that NASA was the only organization responsible for the requirements for and eventual design of the shuttle--the US Air Force played a significant role in defining what the shuttle should be able to do, therefore driving many design decisions. The Air Force simply realized early on that the shuttle wasn't a feasible solution for them, especially given the fall of communist Russia. They left NASA hanging on to the (now horribly disfigured and) only remaining US manned space vehicle.
OK, I can see that. That's probably why Vandenberg AFB was tapped as a USAF launch site. Equally so with regard to ineptitude in planning, it seems that Vandenberg failed as a launch center. The USAF (of which I was a dubious member for 4 years) made an investment it wasn't able to exploit (i.e. the Shuttle), and then compounded that error by doing it again (i.e. Vandenberg).
-- [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
Re:Not all NASA's fault
by
Minna+Kirai
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· Score: 1
The USAF (of which I was a dubious member for 4 years) made an investment it wasn't able to exploit
That sounds like you're blaming the USAF for that financial error, but they were only following orders. That "investment" was Dick Nixon's way to funnel the DoD budget (which was big in the Cold War era) into prestigous space projects. The AF had already decided the Shuttle was wrong for them... but then the Commander-in-Chief told them to join the project anyhow.
Life is hard for an admiral when the President is second-guessing you just to sooth his personal envy of Kennedy's successful Apollo project.
How to bypass the NY Times Web registration
by
panxerox
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· Score: 1
Their Web server is set up to let Google searches through. So if it sees a referrer URL coming from Google, it will let it through. Therefore:
1. Copy link location
2. Open up Google.
3. Paste the URL into Googles search page. Click Search.
4. Googles search results give you a link to the URL you just pasted in.
5. Click that link. Voila, the NY Times Web server sees a referrer URL coming from Google and lets you in.
comment by Robin Munn 09.05.04 @ 2:59 pm
-- "It's so convenient to have a system where everyone is a criminal" - A. Hitler
-- Patrick Doyle I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
Reusable == cheap? It depends.
by
renoX
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· Score: 1
As said reusable means cheap only if you have lots of flight because the reusable ship being much more expensive to build the investment must be amortised on many flights to become economical.
The space shuttle was built with an estimate of very frequent flight which never happened, thus it is very expensive.
I don't expect space flight to become much more frequent in the near future (than they were when the shuttle worked correctly) because there isn't much incentive, so I think that the new design should be as cheap as possible in itself: multiple stages and soyouz-like ship.
-- Patrick Doyle I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
Re:The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
by
plover
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· Score: 1
I think either John Travolta or Tom Cruise did this flick already. Doesn't matter -- the Scamentologists copyrighted it as holy text anyway! They just called 'em clams instead of Niburu, and if that doesn't work they're going to label it pr0n and get Congress to try to ban the story outright.
-- John
Two other ways to aviod foam debris
by
GPS+Pilot
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· Score: 1
1. Why don't they spray the insulating foam on the inside of the tank, rather than the outside? There are no aerodynamic forces to rip apart the foam inside the tank.
2. Be politically incorrect and use the old Freon-foamed insulation. Non-Freon-based foam "causes up to 11 times as much damage to thermal tiles as the older, Freon-based foam," according to engineer Robert Garmong. The 1997 mission, STS-87, was the first to use a new method of 'foaming' the tanks. The shift came as the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency was ordering many industries to phase out the use of Freon.
-- That that is is that that that that is not is not.
Re:Two other ways to aviod foam debris
by
Teancum
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· Score: 1
I would love to find a solid reference to this. I've read a number of reports about how simply silly the whole business of Freon refrigerants has come about and the only legitimate "environmental" reason for not using Freon is simply one:
The patent on Freon ran out and DuPont Chemicals needed an alternative they could continue to make more money on. The environment of their board room wasn't plush enough and needed environmental change. Believe it or not I've actually seen that reason used in an environmental impact statement (for killing other projects).
At least if you look at when the patent on Freon ran out, it is very coincidental as to when all of the "Ozone hole" stories started to surface regarding the ill effects of Freon and other chlorine-based aerosols in the upper atmosphere.
Yes, I've read and even seen demonstrated the effects of Freon on rarified ozone... don't flame about that. Freon was an incredibly safe chemical in a large number of ways that its replacements havn't really been all that useful toward... and if it is killing people you can point to (like the Shuttle astronauts), that is more than enough reason to think it was a poor idea to switch.
Re:The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
by
Neop2Lemus
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· Score: 1
I used to have a brilliant article explaining the hows and whys of the Moon Hoax. Simply put, it doesn't exist and is actually a satelite being run by various right-wing American organizations (like the NRA) to spy upon the American people.
We already knew that the CEV would use a traditional rocket to launch into orbit, boeing has been counting on this for the delta IV heavy family
the only area of grey was that t/Space wanted a plane-launched system for their CXV, which would transfer the crew only, and that lockheed was working with them.
Hopefully its a possibility because its MUCH cheaper, as the cost of man-rating the delta IV line is estimated to be billions. and, since the first stage is a plane, the t/space system is very reusable.
-- I just found the box to change my sig. Um.... [timeless witticism].
Re:Well this renders space experimentation useless
by
Headw1nd
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· Score: 1
So why don't we use the ISS then? I mean, we've poured billions into the damn thing, don't you think we ought to get some use out of it? Is here some reason you see a need for seperate facilities?
This was the shuttle's original mission, anyway, to shuttle cargo back and forth from orbit. It was assumed at first that there would be a permanent orbital structure as a destination for that cargo, i.e. a space station. Maybe it's time we got back to that idea.
You really didn't read the post, did you?
by
panurge
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· Score: 1
The NYT article (yes, I subscribe...) clearly showed booster rockets on the cargo system. Exactly the point I was trying to make. Currently, although oxyhydrogen systems are used some of the time, they are not by any means used all of the time. Without getting too technical (I'm burning up Karma anyway) solid fuel boosters are currently cheap and polluting, just like oxy kerosene is cheap and polluting. Oxy hydrogen puts out a certain amount of nitrogen oxides while in the atmosphere and dumps water in the high atmosphere - where it does not usually occur. Which is better: rush back into space with a technology that will always be limited, or, since there is no real commercial reason to go at the moment, develop a next-gen launch technology that will be efficient and relatively nonpolluting (and, incidentally, probably give a major boost to Earthside energy efficiency, just like bypass jet engines can be installed in efficient gas burning CHP systems.)
If you had bothered to (a) RTFA (b) actually learn a bit about current rocket technology and (c) not try to be a smartass, you might not come over as a dumbass.
In case this ever gets moderated flamebait, the parent called me an idiot. I may possibly be an idiot, but the parent doesn't have any evidence on which to make that call.
-- Panurge has posted for the last time. Thanks for the positive moderations.
I agree that this launch method would be quite usable for putting payloads into orbit.
However.
With this idea it's apparent that the space program is now going in circles. There have not been ANY advancements in propelling craft into space, through space, or anything inbetween.
Better NASA in saving this money put the saved money into getting the smartest brains together until they can figure out gravity. Then once they figure it out explore things such as anti-gravity and now to use it to get large payloads or entire ships into space.
This new old concept of capsule-atop-rocket + heavy lift cargo rocket can be made reasonably cheap (though this being NASA one never knows) and safe, but it is a technological dead end. It is identical to what the russian used to build and crew Mir (with the soyuz-atop-proton and the energia for heavy cargo).
What it tells me is that
1 NASA considers the shuttle a failure
2 The american space program will focus on space science and planting flags in the Moon and Mars.
I think most people agree that #1 is true, as far as the shuttle is concerned; but I think the concept of reusable vehicles is part of the way forward. As for #2, its is really focusing on splash over substance. The key to building a real space infrastructure is getting to low earth orbit in a cheap and reliable way. Once you have easy access to LEO, you can build think in orbit, and getting anywhere is (comparatively) much easier. A simple reusable, single stage to orbit vehicle is in my view the best wat of doing it. Unfortunately NASA (and its political masters) is not interested in this sort of project anymore. Instead of striving for simplicity and incremental advances, it designs and builds enormously complicated and expensive monstruosities that try to do everything at the same time.
Look for a "highly" modified SCRAMjet engine soon
by
Ex-MislTech
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· Score: 1
Lobby for a space elevator? With current materials a space elevator is simply not possible. As in it defies the laws of physics. We need monumental improvements in materials to even make a space elevator scientifically feasable. What we need is some guy sitting in a lab screwing around with chemistry and physics in ways I can't even begin to comprehend. And we have that. All over America people are doing just that because the rewards of such progress are huge, not just in the realm of space travel. In short, lobbying of space elevators at point is about as useful as lobbying for an antigravity ray. But don't let that stop you or anyone else from teaching these NASA "rocket scientists" what a real space program should look like.
These airmchair rocket scientists never cease to amaze me. To paraphrase that guy in "Gone in 50 Seconds":
You can't park. You can't maintain speed. You can't change lanes. Honey, you can't drive. I can't swim. I know I can't swim, so you know what I do? I stay my black ass out of the water.
The handful of worthwhile posts in this thread are practically drowned out by the torrent of backseat NASA administrators who all know they would have handled it better. And the worst part of all is that you know that if NASA had never built the space shuttle these same clowns would be on slashdot bitching about how spaceships haven't changed in 70 years and saying that we should really have spaceplanes by now.
Why not just mount the damn thing,upside down.
With the top towards the boosters. (Slight redesign of the fin) Any material comming from the booster can not hit the ceamic tiles.
I said they were not made out of foam but RCC ceramic material. They are not made out of foam. Period. There is no, "no", to it. Not made out of foam. Not made in a process that even closely resembles a foam process.
Carbon-carbon is brittle like a piece of ceramic is brittle. Not like foam. Furthermore, I have found no refrence to fingernail scoring in carbon-carbon in the CAIB report. Could you please point me to it.
Re:The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Wow. But wasn't Planet X / Niburu supposed to pass by us in May-July of 2003 and cause all the fun parts of Revelations to happen,
The crack-pot you're referring to is Nancy Lieder. She just crawled out of the woodwork to make another bold Planet X claim:
"When the passage did not occur as expected in 2003 because Planet X had stalled in the inner solar system, we explained the increasing weather irregularities in the context of the global wobble that had ensued - weather wobbles where the Earth is suddenly forced under air masses, churning them."
If you can't get enough of Nancy, she will be on CoastToCoast AM with George Noory on Aug 9th. Sadly I think George is too nice a guy to confront her with her own nonsense, but I'm still hoping people call in and tear her a new one.
Re:The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
by
LarsG
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· Score: 1
With no funding from earth governments, X-COM will have to depend on paypal donations.
-- If J.K.R wrote Windows: Puteulanus fenestra mortalis!
The shuttle was designed in the early 1970s, and was first slated to fly in 1979. A 1970s car is retro. A 1970s fighter jet is sold to third-world nations. A 1970s space ship is... state of the art?
The shuttle design was a compromise to begin with. It's time to come up with something else.
What's old is new again. These launch vehicle plans are a lot older than 2.5 years! I worked on the National Launch System in the early 90's (the project began in the 80's) and some concepts used shuttle components for heavy launch cargo vehicles.
Aaah. Killed by a short-sighted Congress., we coulda had this years ago.
Furthermore, I have found no refrence to fingernail scoring in carbon-carbon in the CAIB report.
Just read any of the current articles on NASA's plans for a spacewalk to clear dangling "gap filler" from beneath the Discovery. There is real concern that Robinson might accidentally crush a tile if he bumps into it with a tool or his suit, which would certainly be worse than the risk presented by the current damage.
Those things are fragile, but they're not foam- in fact, they're more vulnerable than most foam, which can generally bend instead of shattering.
-- you can have my violent video games when you pry them from my cold, dead hands. Prime UID Club
SpaceX has the right answer
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
When I read about the SpaceX plan, I am struck that it is what you would do if you don't care about technology at all and you just want to get to orbit so you can do stuff there. They really have the space truck mentality.
Awesomely high pressure high-Isp rockets using propellants that turn air into liquid and thus have wacky cryogenic insulating problems? Nope. (The Space Shuttle main engines were *required* to push the state of the art in engine design. They use the highest pressures ever attempted in a rocket engine, and liquid hydrogen, to get the best Isp ever delivered by a big engine.)
All-room-temp but scary-backstory oxidizers like Beal? Nope. (Beal used hydrogen peroxide. Is it or is it not safe? There is no consensus.)
SpaceX uses LOX and kerosene. For both stages. Their first stage (most of the hardware) parachutes back, but the second stage is expendable. LOX and kerosene were identified as probably the most practical rocket propellant combination in the *1800s*. Way old tech.
SpaceX isn't relying on reuse, though. They'll do launches, recover the first stage, and see what they have. Maybe they'll reuse the whole thing. Maybe they'll replace the engine nozzles. Maybe they'll cut the valves out of the engine and just use those in a new engine. It'll change over time as they get more experience, with no need for any customer to see any difference to operations.
And somehow, it looks like SpaceX has the political savvy to actually get lauched. I don't understand that one bit. Maybe the Columbia accident and the EELV cost overruns have changed the dynamic in congress. But so far the signs are good.
Then again, as Elon Musk (SpaceX CEO) points out, first launches have not been historically kind.
Why not just coat the entire shuttle external tank with something that doesn't permit water or ice to bond to it? Similar products have been on the commercial market for decades, and they work fairly well. I'm sure that 3M or somebody else could come up with something that would work in this situation, even with the temperature differences.
However, it's too elegant and simple a solution to not have been considered before, so I'm thinking that there must be a reason it it won't work.
Anyone know?
Cheers, SB
-- It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
However, it's too elegant and simple a solution to not have been considered before, so I'm thinking that there must be a reason it it won't work.
I've asked the same question on several forums and haven't received any good answers. I suggested a good rubbing down with pork lard. But there weren't any NASA engineers on those forums, just space cadets.
-- My God, it's Full of Source! OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
-- It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
Here's some ideas for the new shuttle...
by
dtjohnson
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· Score: 1
1) Dump the solid fuel booster. That gets rid of the o-ring joints, the foam insulation, and the ugly appearance. Replace with a 2 or 3 stage design with conventional liquid fuel but make the stages simple enough to mass produce to keep costs down and make them recoverable.
2) Dump the complicated exterior tile pattern for the shuttle heat shield where each tile has to be carefully glued into place and where a gap between tiles can lead to the loss of the shuttle. Replace it with some sort of crude but effective overlapping 'fish scale' design with the keystone tiles mechanically attached to the shuttle skin with ceramic pins of some sort.
3) post the acronym 'KISS' on the design team's cubicles and make them live it. What has killed the shuttle more than any other thing is the general complexity of its operation. If operating cars or airplanes had the same degree of complexity of the shuttle, we would still be riding horses and riding in hot-air balloons.
Re:Early 1970s vs Early 1960s
by
Jacob+Haller
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· Score: 1
The shuttle was designed in the early 1970s. It is retro. But soyuz was designed in the early 1960s. It is classic.
Come to think of it, the shuttle has lost 14 astronauts in 26 years, while soyuz has only lost 3 cosmonauts in 40 years. Newer technology means newer failure modes.
What was that one called, VentureStar? I remember they gave up saying it was "too complicated." Wow, what an American spirit, can-do attitude. Real heroes. Makes me sick to think we pay their salaries with our taxes.
Original shuttle design had multiple vehicles...
by
argent
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· Score: 1
The original design was for a somewhat smaller reusable manned orbiter, and a separate heavy launch vehicle for big payloads, as well as a couple of other vehicles for inter-orbit transfers and a somewhat optimistic lunar lander.
If they'd followed the original design the shuttle wouldn't have to run over original rated capacity, because it wouldn't have had to reach as high an orbit and it wouldn't have had such an oversized cargo bay... plus, they'd have been able to send up really BIG space station modules in the HLLV.
I'm not so sure this new approach is all that great, I'm particular unhappy about having the crew going up on top of an SRB. The manned part of the system is where you really want to stick to liquid fuelled components.
Challenger already forgotten?
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 0
Most of the stuff in this article sounds good, but the bottom half reads like a Thiokol press release. A former Shuttle astronaut is now working for Thiokol, and is lobbying for the use of their solid rocket boosters (SRBs) on the new manned spacecraft.
Was nothing learned from Challenger? Solid rockets can't be throttled, and they can't be shut off, and they have no place on a manned spacecraft.
The liquid-fuelled RS-84 engine would've been comparable to the F1 engine used on the Saturn rockets.
Too bad NASA just cancelled it.
Not only were they trying to develop a feasible successor to a rapidly-aging launch system, they were trying to base it on technology that not only hadn't been developed, but hadn't even been proved possible. You don't need billions of dollars to see that devices like SCRAMjets are still in their developmental infancy and aren't ready for high-turnover, high-reliability work. Sure, it's great to research that kind of stuff, but they were putting the horse before the cart in trying to develop a practical platform from technology that simply didn't exist.
Furthermore, they did this not once, but several times. Instead of sticking to one project and seeing it through to fruition, NASA (and Congress shares a lot of this blame, funding-wise) decided to kill the programs half-baked.
--
Software piracy is victimless theft.
And the response from NASA:
by
bokutoe
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NASA rep: "If you want to take away our space pens to replace them with pencils, you'll have to pry them from our cold, dead, hands!"
Ehhhh?
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Anonymous Coward
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In what way is this astroturf?
Re:The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
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Anonymous Coward
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I lost it in a hard drive crash.
Coincidence? Hmm
Re:Well this renders space experimentation useless
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Black+Tezcatlipoca
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The ISS is in the wrong inclination. It's too difficult to get any mass to if you're not launching from kazakhstan.
That, and it's boondoggled to the shuttle.
Reuse is mostly from design
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WindBourne
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There will be 2 rockets. The first will be for crew and/or lightweight payloads (think satellites). It will use the current shuttles booster as the first stage. There will then be a 2'nd stage from the saturn V or a new design. Then the crew module will be either the new CEV or a simple souyz/apollo capsule. If they use the CEV, then it is a space plane approach. If capsule, well a simple chute will work. The solid rockets will be reuseable, as would the CEV. Most likely, the capsule/CEV approach would use the heat shields that were designed for the X-33.
The Cargo rocket will initially be the Shuttle-C, which is the same current set-up, but the shuttle is stripped, and remote controlled. It will allow us to get much larger cargo to space. In addition, they will over time move to an in-line cargo approach with the booster being upped to 5 segments (vs. current 4). That will allow the payload to be slightly less than the Saturn V. This shuttle-C/new inline are on one-way shoots. No coming back except in a burn-up approach. Who knows. If we are smart, we can send it to someplace upthere were we can re-use the metal.
-- I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
Re:The Shuttle Problems are a Sham
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kesuki
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I'm heading to my basement right now, my tinfoil underwear & hat firmly affixed by duct tape. If my employer asks, tell him that Planet X is coming and money and work and living are now meaningless.
Damnit now you tell me, I was just going to come out of my basement and look for a job so i could have spending money. And BTW you want to use SILVER aluminium acts as an antenna to magnify the effects of the mind control. Steel is an okay metal, but not nearly as effective as silver, you need a much thicker heavier steel plate to get the same shielding properties as silver, because it reflects virtually all frequencies of light/em radiation. steel merly 'absorbs' like lead, you want the reflective qualities of silver, for something that has to be light weight like protective headgear. Plus silver can be turned translucent, which allows you to make a complete, full head sheilding device. For those of you on a budget, they conveniently sell 'silver' based optically translusent plastic in bulk they're called CD-R but the thickness of the silver is so thin you need to combine at least 2 CD-r to acheive much in the way of shielding. And then you'll need some 1000 watt lamps to see around you with, as the green dye will be problematic. Optionally you can 'delaminate' the silver foil with a blow dryer (haven't tested the effectiveness of this) or by 'boiling' the discs in water (also untested)... boiling wated seems to be like it would be the easier option, since you could easily get the water hot enough to melt the plastic away, leaving only the foil.
As long as we're no longer trying to send up cargo along with personnel, now might be a good time to revisit single-stage-to-orbit designs such as the Delta Clipper and the Roton.
I don't recall any debris problems with either of these designs, although the leg design seriously needs to be rethought. If you have four legs, a failure of any leg results in disaster (witness the spectacular failure of the Delta Clipper). Six legs, on the other hand, would be far more stable...you could lose any three (provided they're not all adjacent) and still pull off a successful landing.
____
~ |rip/\/\aster /\/\onkey
What they are effectively saying is, the 30 year experiment that was the space shuttle was a failure. Sure, a lot was learned - but now they are going back to the basic design concepts (upgraded with new tech, of course) of the 1960s. Live and learn.
NASA claims that the tile gap filler that has come loose was a result of vibrations on liftoff, NOT the result of falling debris...
So moving the return capsule up to the nose of the craft will prevent repeats of 1986 and 2003, but won't fix every problem. They should instead be trying to build a shuttle that won't rattle apart on takeoff.
Redesign Is Seen for Next Craft, NASA Aides Say
August 2, 2005
By WILLIAM J. BROAD
For its next generation of space vehicles, NASA has decided to abandon the design principles that went into the aging space shuttle, agency officials and private experts say.
Instead, they say, the new vehicles will rearrange the shuttle's components into a safer, more powerful family of traditional rockets.
The plan would separate the jobs of hauling people and cargo into orbit and would put the payloads on top of the rockets - as far as possible from the dangers of firing engines and falling debris, which were responsible for the accidents that destroyed the shuttle Challenger in 1986 and the Columbia in 2003.
By making the rockets from shuttle parts, the new plan would draw on the shuttle's existing network of thousands of contractors and technologies, in theory speeding its completion and lowering its price.
"The existing components offer us huge cost advantages as opposed to starting from a clean sheet of paper," the new administrator of NASA, Michael D. Griffin, told reporters on Friday.
The plan, whose origins go back two and a half years, is emerging at a time when it may help deflect attention from the current troubles of the shuttle fleet.
The Discovery's astronauts are to make a spacewalk tomorrow to fix a potentially hazardous problem with cloth filler on its belly.
Future missions have been indefinitely suspended while NASA tries to solve the persistent shedding of foam from the external fuel tank at liftoff.
The plan for new vehicles is to be formally unveiled this month. Its outlines were gleaned from interviews and reviews of trade reports, Congressional testimony and official statements. Some details were reported on Sunday in The Orlando Sentinel.
On Friday, Dr. Griffin emphasized the plan's safety, telling reporters that the new generation of rockets would have their payloads up high to avoid the kinds of dangers that doomed the Columbia two and a half years ago and threatened the Discovery last week when insulating foam broke off its fuel tank shortly after liftoff.
"As long as we put the crew and the valuable cargo up above wherever the tanks are, we don't care what they shed," he said. "They can have dandruff all day long."
Congress would have to approve the initiative, and many questions remain. John E. Pike, the director of GlobalSecurity.org, a private Washington research group on military and space topics, said he wondered how NASA could remain within its budget while continuing to pay billions of dollars for the shuttle and building a new generation of rockets and capsules.
Alex Roland, a former historian of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration who now teaches at Duke University and is a frequent critic of the space program, said the plan had "the aroma of a quick and dirty solution to a big problem."
But supporters say it will let astronauts move expeditiously back into the business of exploration rather than endlessly circling the home planet, and do so fairly quickly.
"The shuttle is not a lemon," Scott J. Horowitz, an aerospace engineer and former astronaut who helped develop the new plan, said in an interview. "It's just too complicated. I know from flying it four times. It's an amazing engineering feat. But there's a better way."
Dr. Horowitz was one of a small group of astronauts, shaken by the Columbia disaster, who took it upon themselves in 2003 to come up with a safer approach to exploring space. Their effort, conceived while they were in Lufkin, Tex., helping search for shuttle wreckage, became part of the NASA program to design a successor to the shuttle fleet.
The three remaining shuttles are to be retired by 2010 under the Bush administration's plan for space exploration, which is intended to return humans to the Moon and eventually Mars.
The new vehicles would sidestep the foam threat alt
Every post I make begins with the assumption P=~P.
Comon, guys! that one was approaching 150 words or so.
From TFA "As long as we put the crew and the valuable cargo up above wherever the tanks are, we don't care what they shed," he said. "They can have dandruff all day long." That's pushing it a bit, insn't it? This is insulating foa mwe'Re talkikng about, wouldn't the rockets possibly overheat and explode? IANARS but I don't know about this...
I never spellcheck and I freely admit it. Save your karma for more worthwhile "lol erorrs" replies
...see this as a bit, er, optimistic?
By making the rockets from shuttle parts, the new plan would draw on the shuttle's existing network of thousands of contractors and technologies, in theory speeding its completion and lowering its price.
Well, I guess they did say "in theory"...
google search of the NY times page
Your sig(k) has been stolen. There is a puff of smoke!
The "cargo on top" is more or less the old Shuttle-C configuration. Not a bad idea, really.
The Shuttle is actually a pretty good launch vehicle. To an uneducated observer such as myself, most of the problems seem to stem from having such a large orbiter which then needs to be strapped onto the side.
And if the crew vehicle (CEV) launches atop an SRB-derived booster, I guess it could actually be pretty cost effective, especially compared to the current Shuttle system.
Safer comes along with the cheaper in this seperation of designs, but it certianly is a return of the Super-apollo designs at the end of the 60's beginning of the 70's.
Personally It looks like that NASA is at the end of their run in innovations of getting to space, they are damned good at exploring other planets and science in general but all of our hope of getting a real reuseable and safe space delivery systems lies completely in the Commercial sector.
Here's hope that someone in industry finds a really good reason to go into space regularly.
Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
Why call them hew Shuttle ? They look just like an old style rockets, and work like ones. ...
And it seems that there are no reusable parts on this vehicle also.
But anyway, it is goog that the common sense finally works. Efficient designs work better than cool looking ones
"The payloads are riding up top to avoid debris."
Bird Strikes may continue to be a problem.
looks like this.
You can't handle the truth.
Guess my "don't spellcheck" policy came back to bite me in the arse. I obviously meant "is insulating foam we're talking about" and not that gibberish.
I never spellcheck and I freely admit it. Save your karma for more worthwhile "lol erorrs" replies
Wasn't the reason that NASA went to a shuttle was for reuse? To me, this "new" design looks like the apollo capsules. What is there for reuse and how will they reuse it? And then there is landing....
Do the new ones come with replicators and transporters?
From TFA : By making the rockets from shuttle parts, the new plan would draw on the shuttle's existing network of thousands of contractors and technologies, in theory speeding its completion and lowering its price.
:-)
Yes thereby ensuring that all the "keep prices down" corner cutting that got the shuttle where it is today doesn't go to waste either
Try NetBSD... safe,straightforward,useful.
...these are ancient designs which can be implemented using decades-old technology. The only interesting thing is that now NASA has killed enough people to shift the bureaucracy off its ass. We don't need the Battlestar Galactica hardware to do Apollo missions.
Don't trust anyone under thirty.
That's the shortest but barely literate article summary that I've seen in a long time. Does anyone know what it means?
.. and links to other sites that require registration, why not just include a BugMeNot username/password combo in the spoiler text?
Space elevator.
They're cheaper, safer, better, awesomer, and nowhere near as Rube Goldberg-esque as the shuttle. Kim Stanley Robinson's Mars trilogy explores the topic of a space elevator on Mars in some depth. There it's a problem because it makes space travel too easy.
Read the sig, read the sig, ziggy ziggy ziggy zig!
NASA should send up vehicles shaped like a giant broom and dustpan. There's a lot of dangerous debris up there.
Single-Stage to orbit isnt feasible (yet). We need either a breakthrough in materials technology or propulsion performance. The rocket equation is
... as a single stage ... but your not coming home. Reinforcing the ET takes such a mass penalty your payload is effectively reduced to zero.
Delta-V = g * Isp * ln( MR )
where:
Delta-V: velocity required to achieve LEO (7.6 km/s best case scenario: but you need to add gravity and drag losses, add at least 1 km/s)
g: gravity (9.8 m/s)
Isp: Specific impulse of your propellant. This is an efficiency factor: 1 kg of propellant generates Isp kg of thrust. Hydrogen and Oxygen properly mixed generates an Isp of about 450 [seconds] in a vacuum. That is the upper level of chemical propulsion.
MR: Mass ratio. Mass that sits on the launchpad divided by the mass that achieves orbit.
Play around with that equation and you will see STS0 just doesn't work out yet. Our feasible Isp is way too low and our current material properties won't let us build a ship with a MR of over 10 that can return to earth safely.
Interesting factoid though, if you attached the space shuttle main engines to the external tank and just made that a launch vehicle, as a single stage it could put damn near 100 tons into LEO
-everphilski- -- Rocket Scientist
To me it seems the US has gone back to the K.I.S.S. (Keep It Simple, Stupid) strategy that the Russians have always adopted. To me it never made sense to have the shuttle strapped right next to the fuel and solid rockets. I believe it wasn't ever intended to in the original design...
This way they'll be able to have an escape capsule thus giving them half a chance in the case of a launch error. The shuttle is amazing, but the sooner it's retired to a museum, the better, IMO.
http://www.frenchgeek.com/
The payloads are riding up top to avoid debris.
The proverbial cow has left the barn, time to close the barn door.
Don't worry about the hole in the wall until chickens start escaping.
When will NASA start anticipating problems instead of just overreacting to previous ones?
I'm a big tall mofo.
IIRC, they painted the main tanks on the first 2 shuttle launches, but it was determined that all the white paint they appied to the main tank added to much wieght to it so they went back to brown unpainted tanks.
[n8.r0n] http://petesweb.spymac.net/
Is the whole design of the shuttle overly fragile?
I understand that there are some sizable forces acting on the launch vehicle, but how can insulating foam do so much damage?
And, if insulating foam can damage the tiles, what about micro meteors or drifting debris from previous flights?
Isn't there a way to put a shrouding over the tiles that would be jettisoned with the fuel tank? Protect the tiles until the shuttle is free of the fuel tank and solid rocket motors.
Wasn't the reason that NASA went to a shuttle was for reuse?
Yes. It was supposed to same money. It didn't.
To me, this "new" design looks like the apollo capsules.
Me to. So?
What is there for reuse and how will they reuse it?
Not much, and they won't.
And then there is landing....
See also: Apollo.
You could have RTFA.
My Karma: ran over your Dogma
StrawberryFrog
It is strange that the new "shuttle" is not going to use something more interesting than just a rocket to lift off, like a SCRAM jet. I thought a SCRAM jet could lift a small new crew vehicle up above 50km and then the crew vehicle with 2 small boosters would disconnect from the jet and use the boosters to accelerate to the necessary speed, discard the boosters and use the remaining shuttle boosters to operate in the orbit. But they are going with another rocket design. Oh well, we just have to wait for the space elevator to be built to have more exotic means of space transportation I guess.
You can't handle the truth.
The most expensive part of the shuttle stack is the orbiter. Re-using the ET and the solid rocket boosters would save years of development time and yes, money.
They need to stick the Shuttle in the smithsonian and stick with the pieces that work.
-everphilski-
I can't believe that people are still denying the truth. Just yesterday, there was a SECOND article about the discover of Planet X. Planet X is returning on it's 4000 year orbit, which means that the race that enslaved us nearly 4000 years ago, the Niburu are coming back. It's not a surprise that we haven't had a successful manned space mission in the last few years. The Bush administration, NASA, the U.S. military and some of the most powerful corporations on the planet are covering this up. Why, you may ask? Because, they have a deal with the Niburu to spare their families from the enslavement when they arrive in a few years time. It is as it was written by the Sumerians and as Zecharaiah Sitchin translated (he is the only man on Earth who can read ancient Sumerian properly).
One of the requirements that the Niburu required as part of the deal is that humans will not make any manned flights off of the planet anymore. This is why we haven't been able to get a shuttle off the ground for so long. NASA talks about the supposed failures of various systems, but it's just a cover-up. Just like the cover-up they pulled off when the manned space station jsut a couple years ago hear strange sounds coming from the outside. The sounds were the sounds of a Niburu operative crawling around on the outside of the station. NASA later claimed it was just a bit of casing that had been damaged and needed to be fixed. What really happened? The anstronauts were reprogrammed to become Niburu operatives and came back to Earth to infiltrate NASA.
What about the dead astronaut found in the Arabian dessert? What? You didn't hear about that? Maybe it's because the Niburu controlled media don't want you to hear about it. They've been stirring things up on the global front to get the commoners at each other's throats so that we are in disarray when they arrive to enslave us. The real story is that a dead astronaut was found in the Arabian dessert after he had unwittingly announced the discovery of Planet X back in the 90s when that comet was going to slam into Jupiter. Why didn't Jupiter ignite into a big sun when that happened? Because the Niburu prevented the ignition with their awesome mind control. But they didn't do it to protect us out of goodness. They did it to protect us as property. So, this dead astronaut was found in the Arabian dessert. And that's why.
Don't fall for the cover-ups. Read the teachings of Zecharaiah Sitchin. And prepare for the intergalactic battle with the Niburu. Our politicians, military and business men have sold us out, so it's up to us to get armed to the teeth and fight when the invasion force comes. One of the most imporatant weapons you can get right now is a telescope and some astrophotography gear. Print out the photos of the impending approach of Planet X and post them everywhere online and in real life. Make sure that everyone knows about the conspiracy. This ain't no time to go wastin' away in Margaritaville.
-"...bad old ideas look confusingly fresh when they are packaged as technology" - Jaron Lanier (Digital Maoism on Edge.o
This has been discussed a lot lately, with a leak / release (I don't remember which) back in April. This article makes it sound like the official announcement is closer, and still close to the details we heard in April. For a good overview, here is the WP entry.
What this essentially is saying is that NASA is deciding, now, that the booster for the next-gen vehicles will be Shuttle-derived. There'd been talk about using the Delta-4 instead. What this doesn't describe is the capsule itself (the Crew Exploration Vehicle (CEV), which will get figured out next year.
Personally, I thought the Delta-4 approach showed a lot of promise, but I can see the argument for using current technology (engines, boosters, etc.) because of familiarity and the ability to more easily integrate it into the current assembly process. I'd bet that changing over to Delta hardware would require a lot more work at the VAB and on the pad (not that moving to this would be easy).
Spaceplanes look cool. However spaceplanes are not what we need at this time. We were not in an advanced enough state of space usage to make good use out of it. We had far more need of speciality vehichles but speciality vehicles are BORING. NASA needed to sell itself after the spectacular moon landings. Hence we got the shuttle.
Not only did it look cool, sound cool, and appealed to geeks it appealed to Congress as they spread it out across a great many districts.
We paid the price by being locked into LEO for how many years? If it were not for the occasional Mars landing or some great deep space probes the shuttle would have killed NASA. Instead there were just enough thrilling items left in their bag of tricks to keep everyone from focusing on that fact that the golden goose wasn't so great.
So NASA is getting smarter, or at least the analyst are. Get back to space doing it cheaply with known and easily acquired, serviced, and usuable components. Then maybe we will finally do something in space. If we had this 20 years ago the ISS might have been done during the first Bush's term. (hell it might have even had been built while Reagan was around if we hadn't had to waste so much on the shuttle)
* Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
From the article:
"Just as important, officials and private experts say, the small rocket for astronauts would be at least 10 times as safe as the shuttle, whose odds of disaster are estimated at roughly 1 in 100."
So the odds of a shuttle flight ending in disaster are 1 in 10!?!?
We've had two shuttle disasters, which by their calculations would mean we've had 20 flights. Columbia's fateful flight was number 113, the current one is 114. That has odds of less than two percent of a disaster by my reckoning.
Where did they get their numbers?
just = (My)Opinion.toCents();
I know they're falling back to the Apollo-style basics here, but this is still, in some ways, compromising efficiency and performance in light of crew safety, which is important. However:
"A ship in a harbor is safe. But this is not what ships are built for."
I would be fine with the new design concepts if we use a Crew Return Vehicle design. One, it can carry more people and a small amount of cargo. Two, it can also be placed atop like an Apollo-style capsule. Three, it is more reusable. Think of it as a mini-Orbiter.
Reusing and readapting the ET/SRB devices is a frugal idea as well. We just need something to routine get up and back to the ISS. Perhaps we should also look into making an in-orbit shuttle that stays in space and can move between LEO, the ISS, and the moon.
Vos teneo officium eram periculosus ut vos recipero is.
Your ideas are intriguing to me and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter.
The owls are not what they seem
Now, If I recall correctly, it was a faulty o-ring that caused a fuel leak, which was blamed on a managerial decision to go ahead with a launch in temperatures colder than all previous launches. The cold air caused the o-ring to be brittle and not seal properly. This is a pretty major fact screw up for the NYT! A reference with correct info:
http://www.engineering.com/content/ContentDisplay
"Obscenity is the crutch of the inarticulate motherfucker." - cloak42
... they still had foam problems on STS1.
-everphilski-
The new design looks like something out of Star Trek, you have your warp engines at the bottom and on the side there, and now all you need is a frisbee shaped crew capsule! I can't wait to meet a Romulan female!
Blastoffius!
It is very frustrating how people get fixated on the wrong things when something bad happens. As far as I know, debris falling from a spacecraft have caused 1 accident ever (someone please correct me if I'm wrong). That's out of hundreds of previous accidents. Though I'm sure the designs main goal was not to eliminate this problem, it annoys me how they try to sell it on that point.
That the shuttle program is nearing its death date. All the money for building and design are basically being thrown away for a grand return to rockets.
Quite honestly it is upsetting to me that over the past 30 or so years of shuttle experimentation. That the best design they could come up with now is a beefed up Saturn V.
Bravo sir, you have really made my morning.
I salute you!
Mod me down with all of your hatred and your journey towards the dark side will be complete!
...I'm surprised I haven't seen this elsewhere in the comments for the earlier stories--but does anyone else think the upcoming landing (fingers crossed!) will be the last one no matter how well it goes? Lots of people talking about if it goes poorly, but I will wager that even after a happy ending, in the attempt to chase down myriad problems to the new standard of acceptable risk, NASA will keep running up against the conceptual flaws in the Orbiter+Tank+Boosters design.
I'm not bagging on NASA--this stuff is dangerous no matter what, and they've done a yeoman's job keeping this rig upright, so to speak. But there have been some very bad priorities pushing development over there (external & internal).
Sorry, I'm tired and rambling, but I feel we may have seen the last Shuttle Launch.
Don't trust anyone under thirty.
The main reason they insulate the tanks with the external foam is to keep ice from forming on the outside of the tank.
Ice on the outside of the tank could fall off and strike the underside of the shuttle and damage the tiles, or strike the wings and damage them (see Columbia).
Watch an old Saturn launch sometime, huge sheets of ice come falling away from the thing during it's intial climbout from the tower, but they don't care, because there's nothing important/dagnerous for the ice to hit.
This sentence is actually intelligible to people who know proper English.
Just as important, officials and private experts say, the small rocket for astronauts would be at least 10 times as safe as the shuttle, whose odds of disaster are estimated at roughly 1 in 100.
The whose in this sentence refers to the Shuttle, meaning that it's the Shuttle which has 1 in 100 odds of disaster, not the replacement.
-- It only takes 20 minutes for a liberal to become a conservative thanks to our new outpatient surgical procedure!
I'm not sure, but I think it is. We are still in the competition phase for the new CEV (Crew Exploration Vehicle) contract, and the final award won't be presented until January of next year. The design shown in the NYT article is the one proposed by Northrop-Grumman, but Lockheed Martin is also developing a CEV, one that more resembles a space plane. You can read the article at http://www.popularmechanics.com/science/space/1534 782.html?page=1&c=y for more. It doesn't seem like they say much about how it's going to get into orbit though.
the cable breaks?
Simple designs are sometimes dumb designs too, failure is not reserved for complicated solutions. Perhaps I do not know enough about this topic, but I would guess that cable failure could pose a serious risk to the terrestrial bound.
Please advise.
Thanks.
Why not just fill the registration with bogus information, get the cookie and/or username and/or password, and never be bothered with it again??
This sounds to me like a NASA conspiracy to generate exciting headlines. I even heard they've already sold the story rights to Ron Howard.
How's about this one? Why limit ourselves to "100 tons to orbit" when we can do a thousand tons?
PHEM - party like it's 1997-2003!
This sounds a lot like the "Big Dumb Booster" design -- a big rocket made of repurposed shuttle parts -- from Stephen Baxter's hard sci-fi Manifold trilogy.
:)
Nice to know someone at NASA is doing their reading.
Wow...reading that was like going to the movies! If you had a paypal account I'd almost consider sending $7.50 for the satisfying read!
The NYT screws up lots of facts lately. They mostly spin left, sometimes right (mostly in the biz section). But between their spins, they more often then not, lose track of important, and easily rememberable and tracable facts.
It's not the paper it used to be.
FINAL-FUCKING-LY NASA gets it!!!!
The single most expensive part of any launch is the simple energy cost to boost a kilo of cargo to orbit. Every kilo you are boosting that ISN'T cargo is several hundred kilos of fuel wasted.
Adding kilos to your launch vehicle to allow it to return to Earth is a WASTE if all you are doing is putting cargo into orbit. Putting a crew return vehicle on every cargo launch is terribly wasteful.
Having a small crew vehicle (where you HAVE to have the kilos to make it return to Earth) and a BIG disposable cargo vehicle is the best solution with today's technology.
Now, perhaps one fine day we will be able to spin a beanstalk and then the economics will change, but for now, this idea is the best one, and I am glad NASA finally sees the light on this!
www.eFax.com are spammers
So what happened to the non-kludge, reusable lifting vehicle? Isn't it about time to build a new one, using existing designs and componet parts?
--dave
davecb@spamcop.net
It was originally an Air Force project. When video of the first test was shown at ConFrancisco in 1993, it was said that if it ever got transferred to NASA they'd kill it.
NASA was threatened by the Delta Clipper. A ground crew of 3 instead of 15,000? We can't have that! A NASA employee failed to connect the landing gear hydraulic line for one of the tests shortly after NASA took over the project.
These days NASA is more of a jobs program than a space program.
Might you be willing to share some of the "groovy pharmaceuticals" you are partaking in? If your writings are any indicator, they seem to be of exceptional quality and potency.
"So after all this, you make my case for me. To end this stalemate, you must die..."
Given that the shuttle fleet is nearing obsolescence and that it is a 30+ year old design, it's a good idea to move on. And why not use components that have been proven to work already? It simplifies the engineering needed to construct the new vehicle.
Then there is the private option, one that includes efforts from Burt Rutan, lately of SpaceShip One: Crew Transfer Vehicle (CXV). These guys say that they can fill in the gap during the time it takes for NASA to design/contract/construct a new vehicle.
Interesting choices lay ahead.
Single stage to orbit has extremely tight margins on mass fraction, that part of the launcher that isn't propellants. Most SSTO designs seem to require MFs below 2% - 3%, which is really difficult, even with modern composites. They also require high specific impulse propellants, which almost always means cryogenics, like the LH2 and LO2 that the Shuttle's main engines burn. It's proven very hard to design a composite LH2 tank that doesn't leak. The sad irony is that we had a reliable booster in the mid-1960s that was capable of putting about 130 tons of payload into low earth orbit. It was the Saturn - LO2/kerosene first stage, LO2/LH2 upper stages. We scrapped it, including the manufacturing drawings and procedures, so we could build the Shuttle. Some info on the Saturn booster family is at http://www.astronautix.com/lvs/saturnv.htm
they've done it this way for a long time.
Wow. But wasn't Planet X / Niburu supposed to pass by us in May-July of 2003 and cause all the fun parts of Revelations to happen, you know, real wrath of God type stuff! Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Rivers and seas boiling!
Forty years of darkness, earthquakes, and volcanos!
The dead rising from the grave!
Human sacrifices, dogs and cats living together! Mass hysteria!
But wait... We screwed up the orbital mechanics. And the translation of those ancient Sumerian texts. it's really going to happen Real Soon Now (TM).
I'm heading to my basement right now, my tinfoil underwear & hat firmly affixed by duct tape. If my employer asks, tell him that Planet X is coming and money and work and living are now meaningless.
All along, they's tricked us.
It's my understanding that they didn't have these problems with the old freon based insulation. Even though we know freon is not the most environmentally friendly substance known to man should NASA be allowed to use it for the few shuttle's they launch every year? What are we willing to trade to maintain the ability to put people into orbit? It seems that switching back to the old formula and limiting shuttle launches would buy time to research a workable alternative to the freon based foam without losing our ability to get people and supplies into orbit or to the Space Station.
Don't trust anyone under thirty.
Admittedly we have been stupid in the past - commercial interests have been allowed to create huge volumes of truck traffic across the US and Europe that are effectively subsidised by the rest of us - but it is hard to believe that a similarly environmentally damaging new technology could be adopted wholesale by commercial interests nowadays without a great deal of economic analysis and regulation.
Strangely, I'm not trying to be negative about space exploration. I do think there is an important role for NASA. It's in continuing to do clever missions (Mars is a huge scientific success story that is under-promoted to the general public) while investing heavily in basic physics to find out if it is possible to find ways of getting large payloads off the Earth without destroying the environment in the process. What exactly will we learn from building bigger Apollos? It isn't giant SUVs that advance automotive technology, but the constant research into more efficient engines, fuel cells, renewable energy sources etc.
Although the Russian effort was in some ways commendably simple and reliable, it's dependent on cheap energy. It's like the people who keep trying to build new steam railway locomotives because, basically, they like them. They keep promoting the simplicity of the concept while quietly ignoring the fact that they use several times the fuel per passenger mile or tonne mile of the most clapped out Diesel-electric. It's a dead end.
Panurge has posted for the last time. Thanks for the positive moderations.
The Shuttle has a great deal of maneuverability while in space both for rendez-vous with sattelite positions or the ISS, and for re-entry positioning. This was one of the design principles that allow for much more spontaneous (read, easier, not easy) reshcduling of re-entry and deployment. Even the Soyuz capsules seem to have some kind of retro-rocket design. The crew capsule nor the main booster seem to have (given the pictures on the NYT site) no retro-rockets visible. Any ideas on where they went, what they're doing instead or how they're going to steer that thing once it gets up there?
The best explanation I have heard is that the physics haven't changed.
We nailed the physics getting Apollo up.
So yes, at first glance it looks like Apollo/Soyuz. But instead of re-inventing Saturn V, they are taking the advances in engine design and applying them to the new rockets.
Makes sense to me, use the parts that worked well (boosters, capsules), ditch the parts that didn't (space plane).
I remember very clearly the first time I saw the shuttle concept proposed. It was 1967, I was in first grade, an avid follower of the Apollo missions. The "Weekly Reader" had a concept drawing of the shuttle, and I thought, "No way is the re-usable part going to work, look at what the apollo capsules look like after re-entry!"
A house divided against itself cannot stand.
Lets face it, you must first follow the money. Sure, it sounds like a good idea to reuse the currect parts of the shuttle to leverage existing parts and technology. But we are looking at a 35 year old design. We can't come up with anything better? Maybe it's not cost savings...
It turns out that (ATTFA) Dr. Horowitz, one of the leading proponents for the resue of old technology, turns out to be the head of "ATK Thiokol, where he now leads the company's effort to develop the new family of rockets". Hmmm, I know, if we just modify the ones we've got in stock, we can sell them all over again to NASA. That'll keep out costs down and minimize the possibility of competition. Sounds like a great solution Dr. Horowitz...for your bank account.
Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
...and book the astronauts on Virgin Galactic. They have a 100% reliability record.
I like this seperate vehicles idea. It's nice and modular so that if NASA ever does develop its own SpaceShipOne style crew vehicle, it doesn't have to redesign anything having to do with the cargo section. Maybe we can finally leave Earth orbit with this.
I love how the unwashed masses of Slashdot "knew all along" that the Shuttle was "teh suck" and why didn't NASA ever do to get stuff into orbit instead.
Is anyone on here even an engineer? Is it too much to ask for someone who knows SOMETHING about aeronautics to weigh in? We're left with the punditry of people who've played Flight Simulator and read Heinlein novels...
I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
In looking at these plans, I can't imagine how this is not a hole-in-one for NASA. It goes along with the less-is-more approach that made three astoundingly successful Mars rover missions. The shuttle was great and all, but I don't understand people saying "This is like taking a step back." If it doesn't blow up, then I'd say it's taking a huge step forward. And this new design has (potentially) five times the cargo capacity of the shuttle. This is enough to get me excited about the space program again.
-Arthur
Cave ne ante ullas catapultas ambules
However, either of these designs will require serious reconstruction work at canaveral: they are substantially taller than the assembled shuttle, and so will not be able to be built in the present shuttle assembly building, nor be able to use the present launch pad.
A: Russian rocket burn in the atmosphere, Shuttle is reusable.
Q: What is the difference between a cosmonaut and an astronaut?
A: Astronauts burn in the atmosphere, cosmonauts are reusable.
Other than at the ISS, we won't have any platform for performing experiments in space, now that we're reseparating the cargo from its users. Wonderful idea, NASA.
What we've basically created are resupply modules for the ISS. I don't see how this is in any way a Shuttle replacement.
Is the whole design of the shuttle overly fragile?
It's not so much that the Shuttle is fragile, it's that getting to space is a rough ride. Shuttle hardware is pretty solid stuff - but those solid rocket boosters are more like semi-controlled detonantions than anything else. If you've ever heard a launch, that "ripping" sound you hear are shockwaves from the solids. They will pretty much shake the sh*t out of anything. In this case, they rattle the tiles in the heat shield to the point where it opened up a small temporary gap long enough for the gapfiller to shake partway out.
I've flown experiments on the Shuttle and when we qualify payloads for spaceflight we have to run them through qualification tests that include shake tests. Let me tell you, that can be rough.
A more general point to remember about any space launcher is that due to simple physics ( the rocket equation) any launcher has to be more than 90% pure fuel. The mental image I like is: is take a gasoline tank truck, get rid of the tractor part, and strap a lawn chair to the end. Now imagine riding that to 17,000 mph. It's hard to make a rugged vehicle that is mostly fuel tank - you have to try and make things both lightweight and strong. In the case of the Shuttle it also has to be reuseable. That last part is what is turning out not to be possible with the technology of the 70's and 80's.
I understand that there are some sizable forces acting on the launch vehicle, but how can insulating foam do so much damage?
You will notice that this time the foam didn't do any substantial damage. Last time it may have been ice, or ice-filled foam that hit the wing (remember the tank wall is at liquid hydrogen temperatures). In any case, the foam is hitting the heat shield going several hundred mph with respect to the Shuttle (even though it only fell off a second earlier, the relative acceleration is substantial). Think of the heat shield as tiles made out of pumice - very light, very resistant to heat, but relatively fragile to hard impact. "Why not use steel?" you might ask - but the problem is again physics. At the temperatures the shield gets to it will simply melt. "Why not cover the shield until it' needed?" - too heavy for anything other than a small capsule. So now that NASA has gven up on re-useable spacecraft, that's what we'll see. But make no mistake - capsules mean the complete end to any dream of space becoming affordable, routine, or accessible to anyone other than goverments or those with as much money as a government. Kiss your idea of a vacation in space goodbye forever.
And, if insulating foam can damage the tiles, what about micro meteors or drifting debris from previous flights?
Absolutely. Micrometeroid damage is definitely a risk. That's why the Shuttle always flies payload bay first when in orbit - to minimize the chance of damaging the heat shield. But there is always a risk of something going wrong in space. That's why its rare and expensive.
Human genome = 3 billion base pairs = 6 GBit. Windows + Office = 20 Gbit. Which is more impressive?
The question is not what happens when the cable break, the question is what happens when people actually take the 10 seconds it takes to read up on the answer that is all over the web, easily located by anyone having heard of Google, in a shorter time than it takes to grunt out steaming piles of ignorance on Slashdot.
I wonder -
how much to refurb the remaining Buran orbiters?
could we can the engines and mate a US orbiter to Energia?
instead of developing a new system, why not license and build our own Energia's (or do what the Russians do and just steal the plans).
It is proven technology, and supposedly the Cold War is over. Oh yeah, national pride and all that...
I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
Goes to what I've been thinking for years. Separate the cargo from the humans. They have vastly different and sometimes conflicting needs and the launch vehicle design to support both is much too complex. Use Big Dumb Rockets (BDRs) to lift cargo (heavy), smarter, safer ones to lift humans (light).
The idea of a runway landing orbital vehicle is nice and, IMHO a great goal. But it turns out to be harder than originally thought. The vertical, rocket assisted capsule design seems to be good compromise for the short term (5 to 10 years).
In the medium term (say 10 - 15 years), advances by companies like Scaled Composites (http://www.scaled.com/) show that runway-to-orbit-to-runway is possible, but needs more work. Eventually that's how we'll get to orbit; using small, "space planes" to take humans to meet with low earth orbiting platforms that were launched with BDRs. We're good at putting together stuff in orbit and we're good at rendezvous and docking.
None of this is new. It's based on concepts from the Apollo days. Remember Earth-orbit-rendezvous? Heck, the Russians have never left the basic capsule design.
Keep It Simple (Stupid) is especially important for manned space flight. It'll never be safe, and the American public has to accept that there is risk, but the less complicated it is the less chance of something going wrong. And the cheaper it will be
When will it be ready? 2010 is our preferred target, 2012 would be acceptable.
Signed, NASA.
That's the problem: There's (optimistically) ten or twenty years of development engineering to do before work can actually begin on producing a space elevator.
It was a joke! When you give me that look it was a joke.
It's OK, NASA figured out how to rendezvous in space with two nearly simultaneously launched vehicles in a little program called Gemini.
I think they were successful, might have to check Wikipedia though
Four weeks, Twenty papers, that's two dollars
I think that because of Star Trek, we are all beholden to the idea of anti-matter propulsion. That may come to pass in some distant future, but right now, it is a fairly unrealistic blue-sky idea.
I would put my chips on nuclear fusion as the long-term future, whenever we develop a replacement for chemical rockets. May years ago, Space.com cited some NASA experiments in the field:
NASA engineers are developing a radically new type or rocket engine that harnesses the power of stars to cut travel time to Mars, for example, from the current nine months down to three months. Called the gas-dynamic mirror engine, it traps and heats gas to temperatures as sizzling hot as those found at the core of the sun. That's hot enough to allow for nuclear fusion by combining lighter atomic nuclei into heavier nuclei.
Within a few months, a six-foot long model of the engine will be fired-up by injecting a superheated gas confined between powerful magnets at either end of the engine. Within a couple of years, the engineers hope to achieve a sustained nuclear fusion reaction in the hot plasma.
The article also mentions a fusion/anti-matter hybrid, but the former sounds like it holds more promise in the 30-50 year time frame...and who knows what future developments may hold?
In the near-term, solid rocket boosters put a lot of energy into the nozzle, so to speak. The current Shuttle gets roughly 80% of it's ascent propulsion from the solid rockets that are strapped aside the fuel tanks. That's a pretty powerful combination. The problems with solids are legendary, most notably the lack of any capability of trimming, reducing power or turning them off. The Shuttle is the only launch system that's man-rated that uses solids in a significant way, but this technology is tried and true, considering it is a veteran of many a shuttle launch. While the Challenger failure was a result of the SSRB's, it was a materials issue and not a flaw in the basic package.
Doesn't anybody else see it? The whole purpose of the insulation was to prevent the shedding of ICE during launch. If you put the tank into the booster, there's no need to insulate it since the ice shedding isn't an issue.
The other thing is that all they are doing is getting us set up for a man rated version of the Atlas V or the big Delta. This is a push from the dumb booster crowd to take over the manned launch capabilities also
The premise that the payload is at the top in order to avoid falling debris is stupid. The payload is at the top because the fuel is at the bottom. The bottom, you know, WHERE THE ENGINE IS! Putting the payload anywhere but at the top would be extremely foolish, as you would have to pump the fuel around the payload to get it to the ENGINE.
Geez.
This cargo vehicle look very similar to russian Energiya rocket (discontinued due to lack of money) and have the same carry capacity - 100 metric tonn. Wondering if there is connection here. Crew vehicle look similar to Zenit rocket - heir of the Energiya program.
The SRBs fall into the Atlantic and get hauled back to shore. The external tank falls from a great height, breaks up in the atmosphere, and sinks to the bottom of the Indian Ocean.
What Would Jesus Do
(for a Klondike bar)?
Easy--DON'T. :-)
Please don't take this personally--but I've been stewing about this for two decades. Um, anyway--since you asked...
I never cared about the damned ISS, not even when it was spectacular and named Space Station Freedom. The fact is, it's not good for much of anything. About the best utility it could be to any other aspect of a space program is as a kind of lifeboat (somewhere a mission can fail to that doesn't involve re-entry), but even tat won't work. If your mission is failing, how are you going to get from your current orbit to that of the Station? Sure, maybe it will work a small percent of the time, but not enough to justify building and manning the thing!
All the ISS is doing is advertising. Big Deal. We're getting much better science, much better PR, and much better astronaut survival rates from the unmanned Mars missions. When we do get around to Mars missions, they won't be benefitted in any way by a space station. But look at what the station is doing to NASA: They're actually going to axe funding for the Voyagers! This is crap! It's a pittance the Voyagers require, but right when they are crossing OUT OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM, generating a wealth of previously un-dreamed-of information, their funding has to be sacrificed to NASA's idiotic shuttle+station scheme.
We *have* reliable orbit technology. Had it since the sixties. We *have* reliable earth observation technology. Every damned agency of the Federal Gov't seems to have its own satellite.
Feh. "We need the shuttle to get back and forth to the station. We need the station in case something happens to the shuttle."
Research is just about the last refuge of justification for the station. But we know what happens in orbit (and presumably, beyond orbit, where the ISS will *NEVER GO*). Bodies degenerate. Ever-more refined programs of exercise and vitamin supplements are approaching a limit. We do not have the answer to degeneration, but when we have some plausible candidates, then we can put a man or three up in some kind of Soyuz -esque thing.
But hey--thanks for responding to the post
Don't trust anyone under thirty.
Other than at the ISS, we won't have any platform for performing experiments in space, now that we're reseparating the cargo from its users. Wonderful idea, NASA.
Take that big cargo module from the heavy lifter. Make it airtight and stick an airlock on it. Fill it with air. Bingo, instant experimentation area.
Skylab was essentially a shuttle fuel tank that they didn't jettison on the way down and was modified afterwards as a space station.
Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
the small rocket for astronauts would be at least 10 times as safe as the shuttle, whose odds of disaster are estimated at roughly 1 in 100
Is it just me or does 1 in 100 seem pretty high?
They new vehicles derived from Shuttle components. See an Orbiter or anything else in those pictures?
Geez, are five-year olds in charge of this place? At Slashdot, ignorance wants to be free.
-- Slashdot: When Public Access TV Says "No"
The Soviets tried a spaceplane (Buran), heavily copied from the U.S. Shuttle, and quickly decided it was too expensive to operate. Didn't even have to risk human lives to figure that out -- the first flight was unmanned and remote-controlled.
The US has spent about $145 billion on the shuttle program so far. There have been 113 flights. So each flight costs around $1.3 billion.
The USSR (and Russia, during 1991-1993) spent around $15 billion on its shuttle program. There was only one flight. So that single flight cost $15 billion.
Of course, there is something to be said for the "quit while you're ahead" strategy...
K.I.S.S. never got the Russians to the moon, and it didn't get them into space first...they just had a bigger rocket than we did at the time.
Your post is endemic of the thinking that has borne this bastardized project...NASA and America should lead, innovate, take risks, and reap the rewards...not de-evolve back to those hideous rockets 'like the Russians'....gimme a BREAK!
Thank you Dave Raggett
I keep hearing this accusation that the shuttle design is "flawed" - particularly the part about how the "payload should be above the boosters".
This is the kind of "in the box" thinking that prevents progress.
Goddard's original design had the thruster at the top of the rocket, and the fuel tanks actually sat below, in the stream of the rocket exhaust.
This design was necessary, to provide stability in flight; the problems of steering and guidance by fins, gyroscopes, and gymballed nozzles had not yet been solved.
Of course, when you start talking about rocket designs of more significant power, then the exhaust becomes a heat problem, and you have to move the payload out of the way, which introduces a stability problem; which is what Goddard worked the rest of his career solving.
The issue with the shuttle is; it's an incredibly complex machine, and some of the problems it was designed to handle are very difficult problems. Personally, I wouldn't blame these problems on the configuration of the orbiter, booster, and external fuel tank. Fundamentally, it's not a "bad" configuration. It becomes a hazard when you combine that configuration with the hazards of ice forming on the external tank, and an extremely fragile Thermal Protection System on the orbiter. Saying that the problems with the Space Shuttle are all caused by configuration is a gross oversimplification of the problem. The Space Transportation System as a whole, is a complex system, and each component is engineered with certain trade-offs. Perhaps all of them together, in sum, equate to a hazardous system. When you have a hazard, you look at the easiest and most effective way to solve the problem. A complete redesign, including re-arranging the basic configuration of the vehicle, is an overreaction to this hazard. Switching from paint on the external tank to insulating foam, perhaps, was an underreaction, because it moved the hazard from launch time to 60-150 seconds into flight, from slow, falling ice, to high-speed foam. The ultimate solution may turn out to be as simple as re-formulating the foam. (the original freon-based foam was more successful at sticking to the tank). It may turn out to be more complicated, like re-engineering the orbiter's Thermal Protection System.
And of course - we'll never see an attempt at something like that, because the simple-minded folks will stick to the conclusion that it's better to simply redesign the whole thing.
The end result may be semi-reusable. May be cheaper per pound than the shuttle. But it won't have the payload capacity, nor will it have the flexibility. Personally, I think that the nation, as a whole, would be better served by approaching the old design with new technology (as in the X-33 approach). The state of materials science has advanced significantly in 30 years. As has propulsion technology, and even aerodynamics. An effort to build the same shuttle, with the same configuration, with fresh ideas from these advances could possibly yeild a vehicle without the same hazards, possibly with a cheaper operating cost, quicker duty cycle, and greater flexibility than the shuttle we have today.
In my opinion, using this "throwback" design will represent a huge setback to the spacelaunch industry. It will be adequate for servicing the ISS. It will be adequate for placing small crews into orbit. And it will be more cost-effective than our current shuttle. But it doesn't represent a technical advance. It's a retreat. It will come to represent the symbol of where Mankind said; "That's it, we tried to go farther than this point, and we failed. Let's stop here."
These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
Skylab was essentially a shuttle fuel tank that they didn't jettison on the way down and was modified afterwards as a space station.
/ skylab-station.htm
Um, no. Skylab predates the shuttle by about a decade. I believe the station was built from a modified Saturn V third stage shell.
http://www-pao.ksc.nasa.gov/kscpao/history/skylab
Those solid fuel boosters use liquid oxygen and hydrogen, right? However, I suggest before you start being too rude to people who actually (1) have science degrees and (2) have been following the space programs since 1958, you might want to learn to spell. naturally,occurring,occupies,earth's,Because.
Panurge has posted for the last time. Thanks for the positive moderations.
Bureaucracies tend to advance a subset of similar ideas whose only advantage is that they've worked up till now. When those ideas exhibit fatal flaws, possibly because the Gods of Science do not sufficiently appreciate the proletariat of implementation, designs for a leaner, meaner, higher, faster, sleeker shuttle seem hubresque. What's the fascination with bringing the damn thing back? What's wrong with designing a re-entry pod with only one function (to get back), and a cheap voom tube to get into space and get recycled into the infrastructure of the space station? Go up big, come back small.
``Tension, apprehension & dissension have begun!'' - Duffy Wyg&, in Alfred Bester's _The Demolished Man_
Makes sense - they have better engineering, and we buy all our other technology from other countries now, anyway!
I definitely agree w/ your criticism of NASA, but I sincerely hope your 'solution':
Here's hope that someone in industry finds a really good reason to go into space regularly.
doesn't happen...
here's the problem: right now(and as far as i can tell, it won't change in the near future), the only viable reason for a business to go into 'space' (like SS1) is for SPACE TOURISM...
basically strapping a bunch of rich people who saw 'The Right Stuff' too many times into a plane similar to the x series of 40+ years ago and doing non-orbital 'spaceflights' 'WHOOPEEE! THAT WAS SO WORTH THE HUNDRED THOUSAND'
NASA needs to be REBOOTED...let's forget all this 'beat the russians quick and dirt' BS of the cold war...we need real innovation, real exploration, risk taking, and we will reap REAL rewards...
I don't object to rockets out of hand, they may work in the short run, but it is infuriating to those of us who know how much of a bastard plan NASA has come up with...for decades we've been working on new and better ways to get into space (platforms, etc.), and what does NASA do? Go BACK TO OLD-SCHOOL ROCKETS???
It stinks of the kind of thinking that scrapped the x-project in favor of traditional rockets...it stinks of over-celebrated wimps who have lost the ability to think big...it stinks of POLITICS, which is unfourtunate, but not beyond our control...WRITE YOUR CONGRESSMAN...LOBBY FOR SPACE ELEVATORS!!!
Thank you Dave Raggett
Cats are intended to teach us that not everything in nature has a function.
Our current material technology will not create the elevator on earth. It will require a great deal of material discovery to come up with something lighter and stronger (perhaps spider webbing, or maybe the nanotubes, but we are still not sure about that). However, this makes good sense for the Moon. At this very minute, we have the material that can be used. IOW, it is ready for a very cheap price.
I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
Where isn't this true? People always bitch about the nature of big organizations, but I haven't met a big program that isn't full of this sort of thing. Government or private sector, US or Europe, It doesn't matter. Yes small organizations are nimble, but have implicite limitations. Large organizations are inefficient, slow to change, but can do things that small ones can't. The fact that the shuttle actually works (mostly) is testament to that fact.
Man, next you'll be telling us that we stopped going to the moon because the aliens don't want us to be there.
Hey, reliable and mature tech is great.
How many of us still have 486s still running while the new fangled models go up in smoke after only a few years?
Cheap, reliable, and perdictable.
If it gets the job done for the right price, why change it?
Remember folks, slashdot doesn't have a -1 "disagree" moderation!
New design? Looks just like reworked "Titan" and "Titan II" rockets.
)
:)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Titan_(rocket_family
By the way, my ass could use a good redesign too...
MOD PARENT UP
Through a bizarre cyclical logic, the shuttle is there to service the ISS which exists to justify the continuation of the shuttle program.
Redirecting shuttle/ISS funding at other scientific research here on earth would be much more useful.
Watching the launch of this latest one, a friend of mine told me,
I mean, it's expensive to redesign---so I can understand the delay---but by now there's so much new stuff you probably have a good chance of getting something much better. So, good luck to them!
"May the days be aimless. Let the seasons drift. Do not advance the action according to a plan."
They did a bond movie with the current shuttle - moonraker. In a way it kind of looks like a rocket powered tampon.
This writer is off the mark. Goto the site and see what ATK suggests.
They are using the booster from the shuttle (combined with one of several H2/O2 2'nd stage) to launch ppl into orbit. The solid engine rocket is well known and inexpensive. More important, it is the safeest approach at this time, In addition, they do not care wether a capsule is used or a small space plane. They are simply suggesting seperating crew from cargo.
As to the cargo, they are suggesting doing several steps to get to the final in-line cargo configuration. After that this rocket should have similiar capabilities as the Saturn V.
Now, if the big ship is doing cargo only, and the little rocket is doing the crew upload, then they will almost certainly need a different rocket for the moon/mars.
I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
rense.com
NASA Transmission
Showed Distinct UFO
webmaster
8-2-5
Tonight at approximately 2:15 Central time on DirectTV Satellite channel 376 (NASA) they were broadcasting a shot from the Shuttle/Space Station of the darkened earth, where only the city lights could be seen apart from the faint corona around the edge of the globe. I could not tell if this was live feed or not. This went on for roughly five minutes or so from the time I tuned in and then suddenly, an extremely bright, solid white disc appeared in the lower portion of the screen and shot inward, toward the earth, at terrific speed (leaving a tracer on the camera in its wake). As soon as this happened, the feed went black and returned to their standard map of the globe showing the orbital paths of the shuttle.
If anyone was taping around this time, double check your tape for this. It was definitely not space debris, was perfect in shape, appeared to be self-luminous and moved at a terrific velocity away from the camera, toward earth, getting smaller as it went. Below is an illustration of what was seen.
The problem is that the calculations are too close to show whether you could put a useful payload into orbit. You wouldn't be able to tell until you built and flew something.
Of course those calculations are with off the shelf technology. You need a proper X program (not a high-tech jobs program like X-33 *gag*) to resolve whether the concept works, or at least to resolve what technologies need to be improved to make it work.
Remember, for a long time it was authoritatively believed to be impossible to fly faster than the speed of sound. And even after that was accomplished, for a while the only payload was the pilot.
Whenever I read one of these NASA "next generation" designs that are just reengineering old technology, I wonder when they are going to bite the bullet and go for nuclear rockets. Experimentation in the 60s produced a crude solid-core reactor engine called NERVA, but it was heavy and underpowered, and would have released a lot of radioactive pollution. There are much more promising designs now. One is called a Gaseous Core Nuclear Reactor, also known as a "nuclear lightbulb."
Basically it's a big quartz bulb containing gaseous uranium such as UF6, confined to the center of the bulb by a buffer gas swirling around the inside. The UF6 cloud heats up to 25000 C, about 7 times the melting temp of any solid core reactor. It emits intense ultraviolet, which passes through the quartz and is absorbed by slightly doped hydrogen flowing over the outside. The hydrogen heats and expands rather than combusting, exiting the nozzle to provide thrust. No need to carry liquid oxygen. The nuclides confined within the bulb do not enter the exhaust stream, and the hydrogen exhaust itself is not radioactive.
Here is a really interesting article that describes a detailed design for a fully reusable GCNR rocket based on the Saturn V form factor, able to lift 1000 tons of payload into orbit (ten times NASA's latest new design) and return intact to a powered landing in the manner of the now defunct Delta Clipper.
GCNR rockets would not only be able to launch entire space hotels in one shot, their enormous lifting capacity would also make Mars missions practical. Proposed 2-year Mars missions using traditional planetary gravity assist trajectories would give the crew fatal radiation doses. A GCNR rocket could carry a fantastically equipped Mars mission with a foot-thick layer of water/ice shielding, on a point-and-shoot trajectory that takes three months each way. But that's another topic all its own.
Sure, anything nuclear creates a big PR problem, but NASA is supposed to be all about public education as well as putting things into space. I had hoped for more guts from their new leadership.
We've been mucking around in earth orbit for decades. It's time we built real spaceships that can handle really significant cargo.
so we're replacing a 30 year old design with 50 year old technology
yeah, because re-entry by doing a flying brick into the ocean has always been a good idea
god I can't wait for a commercial venture to put nasa in their place
lately they've been proving to don't have to be a rocket scientist to actually BE a rocket scientist!
this may be info gotten by the english ufo hacker, and sat upon until now, i do not know but htats wha tit feels like, it doevetails with other stuff i have from older and other places...this came to me anon and I have not had time to review thoroughly but some loox good. One thing i will tell you is this...kill your tv and WATCH THE NIGHT SKIES, you will see the other airforce, the nwo air force, alluded to by gm and which is what got him busted really...we have been kept out of it all, except to finance it...financed our own overthrow, we did...dark side of the force, bad, bad... http://www.drboylan.com/xplanes2.html Secret Air Force Mach-50 Plane, Other Exotic Classified Aerospacecraft, And the U.S. Antigravity Fighter Discs Deployed With Star Wars Weapons To Fight In the Gulf War Secret Air Force Mach-50 Plane, Other Exotic Classified Aerospacecraft, And the U.S. Antigravity Fighter Discs Deployed With Star Wars Weapons To Fight In the Gulf War (Or, Everything you wanted to know about anti-gravity, but is classified) by Richard Boylan, Ph.D. Let me start this report with a word from UFO investigator Doug Parrish, who states: On very good authority I have been told in the last year from someone who knows but obviously must remain unidentified) that the United States Air Force currently has in its hanger(s) (an) aircraft which (is) (are) capable of Mach 50. That's 50 times the speed of sound. If we regard the speed of sound as somewhere around 770 mph, then Mach 50 becomes 38,500 mph. That's three times around the world in two hours. As far as I know, this is an intra- atmospheric aircraft that takes off from a large base in the Far West. - Doug Parrish Dr. Boylan states: Now I am going to present some information I have obtained elsewhere. Some of the unacknowledged "exotic" aerospacecraft in the military inventory are: 1) the Aurora, 2) the TR3-A, ("Pumpkinseed"), and 3) the military X-33A spaceplane prototype of Lockheed-Martin's X-33, a single-stage-to-orbit aerospace vehicle, as well as 4) the Lockheed X-22A two-man antigravity disc fighter. A fifth, about which almost nothing has been revealed, is: 5) the Nautilus, a secret military spacecraft which operates by magnetic pulsing. It operates out of the unacknowledged new headquarters of the U.S. Space Command, deep under a mountain in Utah. It makes twice-a-week trips up to the secret military-intelligence space station which has been in deep space for the past thirty years. The Nautilus also is used for superfast surveillance operations, utilizing its ability to penetrate target country airspace from above from deep space, a direction not usually expected. Arguing for the craft being described as being the Aurora would be its speed, which would make it capable of achieving, (I believe the German rocket scientists' term is brenschluss), escape velocity, i.e., ability to leave the pull of Earth's gravity. National Security Council scientist Dr. Michael Wolf, (of NSC's unacknowledged SSG ("MJ-12 ) subcommittee,) has stated that the Aurora can operate on both conventional fuel and antigravity field propulsion systems. He further stated that the Aurora can travel to the Moon , a statement I doubt he would make unless it has already made the trip. The TR3-A, which has also been identified as the Pumpkinseed, a reference to its thin oval airframe, has been reported to be a superfast plane. Whether the TR3-A is the plane which Doug Parrish's informant mentioned, which can do Mach 50, I can't say. But it is reported to be quick. My ex-NSA informant, Z , also confirmed what black-projects defense industry-insider Edgar Rothschild Fouche wrote about in his recent book, Alien Rapture : the existence of 6) the TR3-B, a large triangular anti-gravity craft within the U.S. antigravity fleet. This fleet also includes: 7) the B-2 Stealth bomber, made by Northrop, the Lockheed X-22A two-man antigravity disc, the large space- faring Nautilus, manufactured by Boeing and EU's Airbus Industries, 8) Northrop's disc craft, (d
Light Happens.
Why are they designing a new cargo lifter. Does anyone why they would do this in place of the EELV project that is already successfully on track to lift cargo of this size?
Also, the report incorrectly says "as far as possible from the dangers of firing engines and falling debris, which were responsible for the accidents that destroyed the shuttle Challenger in 1986 and the Columbia in 2003." The new designs will do nothing to protect from a Challenger style accident. The only difference is that lives will not be lost in that case. A big difference but lost of a payload is not inconsequential. Don't forget that standard rockets can also go boom or fail to reach orbit.
Space travel is not safe. There's around a 2% chance that a ship will be lost. But imagine if we grounded every airplane for years any time there was an accident. Or cars. Oops, Bobby Joe in Memphis just had a blowout, everyone off the roads until we can redesign the tires. We need to accept that there is risk. Sure, solve the problem, but in the mean time keep flying.
I know some engineers. Here is a working spec. Shuttle Replacement
--- -- - -
Give me LIBERTY, or give me a check.
(Soft knocks at the door)
HAL 9000: Who is it?
DAVE: It's me, Dave. Open up, man, I got the stuff.
(More knocks)
HAL 9000: Who is it?
DAVE: It's me, Dave, man. Open up, I got the stuff.
HAL 9000: Who?
DAVE: It's, Dave, man. Open up, I think the cops saw me come in here.
(More knocks)
HAL 9000: Who is it?
DAVE: It's, Dave, man. Will you open up, I got the stuff with me.
HAL 9000: Who?
DAVE: Dave, man. Open up.
HAL 9000: Dave?
DAVE: Yeah, Dave. C'mon, man, open up, I think the cops saw me.
HAL 9000: Dave's not here.
DAVE: No, man, I'm Dave, man.
(Sharp knocks at the door)
DAVE: Hey, c'mon, man.
HAL 9000: Who is it?
DAVE: It's Dave, man. Will you open up? I got the stuff with me.
HAL 9000: Who?
DAVE: Dave, man. Open up.
HAL 9000: Dave?
DAVE: Yeah, Dave.
HAL 9000: Dave's not here.
DAVE: What the hell? No, man, I am Dave, man. Will you...
(More knocks)
DAVE: C'mon! Open up the door, will you? I got the stuff with me, I think the cops saw me.
HAL 9000: Who is it?
DAVE: Oh, what the hell is it...c'mon. Open up the door! It's Dave!
HAL 9000: Who?
DAVE: Dave! D-A-V-E! Will you open up the goddam door!
HAL 9000: Dave?
DAVE: Yeah, Dave!
HAL 9000: Dave?
DAVE: Right, man. Dave. Now will you open up the door?
HAL 9000: Dave's not here.
http://xs4.xs.to/pics/04481/p556222.gif
This one takes elements from the current shuttle for the payload booster, and the Apollo capsules for the crew. By this point we know the rockets and boosters work and most of the kinks have been worked out. We also know the Apollo style capsule is relatively safe so long as you don't have exposed wiring and a high oxygen environment.
I suppose that now that the ISS is pretty much intact, there isn't any need to be able to perform research on the transport vehicle.
Did somebody say Souz?
Paint yourself into a corner, burn the bridges!, and you will feel the liberty of a man who has nothing to lose!
duh!
Oh, wait... it doesn't exist... or DOOOEEES iiit??
I was discussing this article with a friend, and mentioned that it seems a lot of the inefficiencies and maintenance problems and whatnot that the shuttle has was how it moved away from just using physics in favor of the spacecraft, and trying to control it.
;)
The beauty of Soyuz is and has always been that you sort of fire the rocket and it does its thing and then you're in space. The re-entry capsule is designed so that it more-or-less "automatically" ends up in proper position for re-entry heat shielding. Yes, you don't have as much control as you would in the shuttle, but do you really need it?
This is a move towards the truly tried-and-true method of launch and re-entry. Physics / Mother Nature / God / Whoever allows this to happen in a reasonably well-understood fashion, and by stopping the fight against it, we get improved cargo lift capacity, and substantially cheaper crew lifts in return.
This could be one great legacy Bush could leave behind. Oof. Kinda hurts to say that
The shuttle was not a failure. The failure was not having the balls or the smarts to think of something better, sooner.
Jesus H Frigging Bill Gates, the State of California can't even build a bridge over the f***ing San Francisco Bay, how can we expect a large space agency constantly bent over to Congress' bidding to get things right?
And every IT project I've ever worked on, the more people it had working on it the more f***ed up it was.
Let's put space exploration in the hand of private research institutions where it belongs. Rutan for President.
Give a man a fish and you have fed him for today. Teach a man to fish, and he'll say "WHERE'S MY FISH, YOU IDIOT?"
The past two and a half decades have seen NASA throwing billions of dollars at a succession of "high concept", advanced space-plane ideas (National Aerospace Plane, various X-planes)... none of which proved feasible and were all ultimately cancelled by Congress. That's a lot of money that could've been spent either improving the Shuttle program or in developing a realistic successor to the Shuttle. It's about damn time they broke that cycle.
Software piracy is victimless theft.
The crew rocket will be using the solid rocket engines. Safe, Simple, Soon. These are from the Shuttle. Likewise, the cargo rocket will be shuttle-C (sidemounted, robot controled, not coming back to earth), and will slowly convert to an in-line mounted cargo rocket Using the same engines and boosters.
I would say that the shuttle has proven the engines and the boosters. Now, we are moving to a better config. In fact, the crew rocket will be cheap to send up and down esp. compared to other approachs.
I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
The carbon-carbon tiles are fragile just like foam. Even something like lightly pressing your thumbnail into it will leave a divot. Read the Columbia Accident Report if you don't believe me.
Software piracy is victimless theft.
i say to myself SCHTUP as i hit my forehead hard... it all becomes clear, the doggone gol-darn DOGON are returning -- too bad they are amphibians and the oceans are full of beer cans and raw sewage. I think if you watch the night sky and read less stichkin you will be much less prey to nefarious and spooky stories which will no doubt lead to some sort of social aberration manifesting as perhaps a rubber booted raincoated clown on a pogo stix, or even worse, as an aide to a politician in washington! there is magick at work no doubt and it does not look benign from my peephole, and if you are really interested in foreknowledge of events and astro-nomix (And your place within) start here: http://www.enterprisemission.com/egyptair.htm
Light Happens.
The good news is, this gets us back to roughly where we were in the 1970s with our Saturn rockets. The bad news is, this gets us back to where we were in the 1970s. It's kind of like asking if the glass is half empty or half full.
Yes, now we can finally put the disastrous Shuttle program behind us -- after 25 years and countless billions of dollars wasted going in circles, it's about freakin' time. At last the long nightmare can end.
And now we can pick up again where we left off. And yet, one could have hoped for so much more. There are many innovative ideas sitting in dusty filing cabinets, but instead we are getting Apollo/Saturn retreads. There is no great leap forward being offered, only a grudging admission that NASA spent the last 25 years wandering down a dead end.
As for the design specifics. . . If you look at the proposed designs, they aren't what anybody would have created starting from a clean slate. The NYT article implies it's all about saving money, but the real reason for using recycled Shuttle components is all about politics and expedience.
I'm no fan of pork-barrel spending, but I guess something can be said for expedience. Even if it's basically 1970s technology, this plan can get us back into the space exploration game.
Some people talk about radical technologies like space elevators, aerospace planes, or nuclear rockets. I'm all for researching that kind of stuff. Most of these technologies have been buried because they were perceived as a threat to the shuttle, or else shuttle operations gobbled up most of NASA's budget so there wasn't much left for that R&D anyhow.
But those technologies right now exist on paper. Developing them into working systems would take time and money, both of which are in short supply. Using shuttle components may seem disappointing, but it can get us back into the space exploration game in a matter of a few years time -- and then research on more forward-looking stuff can, hopefully, pick up again.
In short: I hope these new systems will be only stopgaps to tide us over until newer technology. But sometimes a stopgap is really good to have.
Remember that -- The replacement to the Space Shuttle that was supposed to be ready to fly by now?
Well, like everything these days it "cost" too much money and congress slashed it, but not so soon as to not have blwon billions $ on who knows what. They did the same thing to the Spuer Collider. Remember that?
So now they're going back to Apollo style and saying that's the way to go b/c of leasons learned from the shuttle -- Blah! It's all about the pork fools! Russia spends 20x times less than we do (about 700 mil) on their space program and they go to space more often than the President says the word.
Sigh. Just another sign of the coming fall. Well, at least we'll have something reliable to go to space in for a while, I guess.
:T:R:A:N:S:
Is there really any need for shuttle launches any more? They could keep a shuttle in orbit close to/docked at the ISS for missions that require the maneuverability in orbit a shuttle can give them - plus use it in the case of emergencies.
Just fire cargo up to the ISS using commercial rockets, and astronauts via Soyux or a to-be-developed NASA alternative. The ISS-based shuttle can then be used for repairs, maneuvering, etc. without the dangers involved in launch and re-entry.
I suppose the question is how long would a shuttle last in orbit, when they're designed for short week or two missions?
I thought everyone knew that the end of the world was 2012.
http://www.levity.com/eschaton/Why2012.html
- sig? who is this sig of which you speak?
You may find it kind of sad, but it's vindication for those of us who've argued for the last 20+ years that the Shuttle program was a disaster in progress. Finally, after the spilling of much blood and treasure, NASA have been forced to admit (tacitly, at least) that we were right all along.
Reading the article about JAXA's space plans, I am mighty impressed. That proposed spacecraft to the moon bears a vague resemblance to the early prototype spacecraft imagined by the writers of "Star Trek".
Washington should open up competitive bidding (for space projects) to JAXA. If JAXA has the better ideas and the better technology, then Washington send some money over to JAXA. For too long, NASA has been a space monopoly. A little competition from JAXA will improve the quantity and quality of NASA's production.
So help me Buddha!
How come /. doesn't have the seemingly obvious "useless NASA middle-manager" troll?
the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
NASA ppl disagree with you.
I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
It's nice to see that NASA has moved from "clean slates" to the much more modern and recent technological innovation of "clean paper."
This Sig Kills Fascists
In case you never have heard about this program, this is the Big Gemini or Gemini II Project that was proposed to NASA right at the end of the original Gemini missions. You can also see the "real thing" that was built as part of a full-scale mock-up.
There was another "failed" hold over from the pre-Shuttle days called Apollo II as well, that was essentially a beefed up Apollo capsule that could hold up to seven passengers and crew. Basically the current crew load of the Shuttle. Trying to build on the Apollo technology, it would also incorporate some of the ideas that also developed from Gemini. Keep in mind that despite the fact that the Apollo capsules went to the moon later, the Gemini program was in some ways a more advanced program than the Apollo system... in part because it was built with newer technologies.
One of the reasons why Gemini is getting another look today is because the standard two-person version can fit on top of the Falcon V, and make a base design for an orbital vehicle. The Falcon V is going to be man-rated, and a bit cheaper than the Russians are able to put somebody up into orbit. Plus (for those that care), SpaceX is an American company, avoiding the political issues of going to Russia for at least American companies or tourists.
A beefed up Falcon V (Falcon X?) could in theory be able to launch seven astronauts at once. Certainly at a substantial fraction of the price for a single shuttle launch, and to the same orbit.
I think it's incorrect to say that NASA was the only organization responsible for the requirements for and eventual design of the shuttle--the US Air Force played a significant role in defining what the shuttle should be able to do, therefore driving many design decisions. The Air Force simply realized early on that the shuttle wasn't a feasible solution for them, especially given the fall of communist Russia. They left NASA hanging on to the (now horribly disfigured and) only remaining US manned space vehicle.
--- Standard disclaimer applies.
Their Web server is set up to let Google searches through. So if it sees a referrer URL coming from Google, it will let it through. Therefore: 1. Copy link location 2. Open up Google. 3. Paste the URL into Googles search page. Click Search. 4. Googles search results give you a link to the URL you just pasted in. 5. Click that link. Voila, the NY Times Web server sees a referrer URL coming from Google and lets you in. comment by Robin Munn 09.05.04 @ 2:59 pm
"It's so convenient to have a system where everyone is a criminal" - A. Hitler
Try this link.
Patrick Doyle
I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
As said reusable means cheap only if you have lots of flight because the reusable ship being much more expensive to build the investment must be amortised on many flights to become economical.
The space shuttle was built with an estimate of very frequent flight which never happened, thus it is very expensive.
I don't expect space flight to become much more frequent in the near future (than they were when the shuttle worked correctly) because there isn't much incentive, so I think that the new design should be as cheap as possible in itself: multiple stages and soyouz-like ship.
Try this link.
Patrick Doyle
I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
I think either John Travolta or Tom Cruise did this flick already. Doesn't matter -- the Scamentologists copyrighted it as holy text anyway! They just called 'em clams instead of Niburu, and if that doesn't work they're going to label it pr0n and get Congress to try to ban the story outright.
John
1. Why don't they spray the insulating foam on the inside of the tank, rather than the outside? There are no aerodynamic forces to rip apart the foam inside the tank.
2. Be politically incorrect and use the old Freon-foamed insulation. Non-Freon-based foam "causes up to 11 times as much damage to thermal tiles as the older, Freon-based foam," according to engineer Robert Garmong. The 1997 mission, STS-87, was the first to use a new method of 'foaming' the tanks. The shift came as the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency was ordering many industries to phase out the use of Freon.
That that is is that that that that is not is not.
I lost it in a hard drive crash.
Needle Nardle Noo
We already knew that the CEV would use a traditional rocket to launch into orbit, boeing has been counting on this for the delta IV heavy family
the only area of grey was that t/Space wanted a plane-launched system for their CXV, which would transfer the crew only, and that lockheed was working with them.
Hopefully its a possibility because its MUCH cheaper, as the cost of man-rating the delta IV line is estimated to be billions. and, since the first stage is a plane, the t/space system is very reusable.
I just found the box to change my sig. Um.... [timeless witticism].
This was the shuttle's original mission, anyway, to shuttle cargo back and forth from orbit. It was assumed at first that there would be a permanent orbital structure as a destination for that cargo, i.e. a space station. Maybe it's time we got back to that idea.
If you had bothered to (a) RTFA (b) actually learn a bit about current rocket technology and (c) not try to be a smartass, you might not come over as a dumbass.
In case this ever gets moderated flamebait, the parent called me an idiot. I may possibly be an idiot, but the parent doesn't have any evidence on which to make that call.
Panurge has posted for the last time. Thanks for the positive moderations.
Apply a sealer coat to the foam to hold it together/give it a protective coating.
As in paint the enternal tank!
Oh wait...oops...
I agree that this launch method would be quite usable for putting payloads into orbit.
However.
With this idea it's apparent that the space program is now going in circles. There have not been ANY advancements in propelling craft into space, through space, or anything inbetween.
Better NASA in saving this money put the saved money into getting the smartest brains together until they can figure out gravity. Then once they figure it out explore things such as anti-gravity and now to use it to get large payloads or entire ships into space.
This new old concept of capsule-atop-rocket + heavy lift cargo rocket can be made reasonably cheap (though this being NASA one never knows) and safe, but it is a technological dead end. It is identical to what the russian used to build and crew Mir (with the soyuz-atop-proton and the energia for heavy cargo).
What it tells me is that 1 NASA considers the shuttle a failure 2 The american space program will focus on space science and planting flags in the Moon and Mars.
I think most people agree that #1 is true, as far as the shuttle is concerned; but I think the concept of reusable vehicles is part of the way forward. As for #2, its is really focusing on splash over substance. The key to building a real space infrastructure is getting to low earth orbit in a cheap and reliable way. Once you have easy access to LEO, you can build think in orbit, and getting anywhere is (comparatively) much easier. A simple reusable, single stage to orbit vehicle is in my view the best wat of doing it. Unfortunately NASA (and its political masters) is not interested in this sort of project anymore. Instead of striving for simplicity and incremental advances, it designs and builds enormously complicated and expensive monstruosities that try to do everything at the same time.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scramjet
...
I think a magnetic field enchanced SCRAMjet engine with the
hinted at oxidized component will come along very soon .
One is already somewhat in use with the replacement for the SR-71 .
AKA Aurora
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aurora_aircraft
The "unclassified" use of this may be blocked by DoD is my fear .
The X-43 already did some public SCRAMjet testing, but either
they cannot make it work, or decide to make it look like they
can't make it work .
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/X-43
Personal opinion is it is military domain only .
Peace,
Ex-MislTech
google "32 trillion offshore needs IRS attention"
Lobby for a space elevator? With current materials a space elevator is simply not possible. As in it defies the laws of physics. We need monumental improvements in materials to even make a space elevator scientifically feasable. What we need is some guy sitting in a lab screwing around with chemistry and physics in ways I can't even begin to comprehend. And we have that. All over America people are doing just that because the rewards of such progress are huge, not just in the realm of space travel. In short, lobbying of space elevators at point is about as useful as lobbying for an antigravity ray. But don't let that stop you or anyone else from teaching these NASA "rocket scientists" what a real space program should look like.
These airmchair rocket scientists never cease to amaze me. To paraphrase that guy in "Gone in 50 Seconds":
You can't park. You can't maintain speed. You can't change lanes. Honey, you can't drive. I can't swim. I know I can't swim, so you know what I do? I stay my black ass out of the water.
The handful of worthwhile posts in this thread are practically drowned out by the torrent of backseat NASA administrators who all know they would have handled it better. And the worst part of all is that you know that if NASA had never built the space shuttle these same clowns would be on slashdot bitching about how spaceships haven't changed in 70 years and saying that we should really have spaceplanes by now.
bit trollent
Why not just mount the damn thing,upside down. With the top towards the boosters. (Slight redesign of the fin) Any material comming from the booster can not hit the ceamic tiles.
I said they were not made out of foam but RCC ceramic material. They are not made out of foam. Period. There is no, "no", to it. Not made out of foam. Not made in a process that even closely resembles a foam process. Carbon-carbon is brittle like a piece of ceramic is brittle. Not like foam. Furthermore, I have found no refrence to fingernail scoring in carbon-carbon in the CAIB report. Could you please point me to it.
Wow. But wasn't Planet X / Niburu supposed to pass by us in May-July of 2003 and cause all the fun parts of Revelations to happen,
The crack-pot you're referring to is Nancy Lieder. She just crawled out of the woodwork to make another bold Planet X claim:
New ZetaTalk By Nancy on the GLP Forum
"When the passage did not occur as expected in 2003 because Planet X had stalled in the inner solar system, we explained the increasing weather irregularities in the context of the global wobble that had ensued - weather wobbles where the Earth is suddenly forced under air masses, churning them."
If you can't get enough of Nancy, she will be on CoastToCoast AM with George Noory on Aug 9th. Sadly I think George is too nice a guy to confront her with her own nonsense, but I'm still hoping people call in and tear her a new one.
With no funding from earth governments, X-COM will have to depend on paypal donations.
If J.K.R wrote Windows: Puteulanus fenestra mortalis!
Problem: combining the functions of fuel and reaction mass makes the reaction mass noxious.
Solution: use a rocket technology that seperates the two. Nuclear-heated rockets, for example. Then the reaction mass can be regular tap-water.
The shuttle was designed in the early 1970s, and was first slated to fly in 1979. A 1970s car is retro. A 1970s fighter jet is sold to third-world nations. A 1970s space ship is... state of the art?
The shuttle design was a compromise to begin with. It's time to come up with something else.
What's old is new again. These launch vehicle plans are a lot older than 2.5 years! I worked on the National Launch System in the early 90's (the project began in the 80's) and some concepts used shuttle components for heavy launch cargo vehicles. Aaah. Killed by a short-sighted Congress., we coulda had this years ago.
Furthermore, I have found no refrence to fingernail scoring in carbon-carbon in the CAIB report.
Just read any of the current articles on NASA's plans for a spacewalk to clear dangling "gap filler" from beneath the Discovery. There is real concern that Robinson might accidentally crush a tile if he bumps into it with a tool or his suit, which would certainly be worse than the risk presented by the current damage.
Those things are fragile, but they're not foam- in fact, they're more vulnerable than most foam, which can generally bend instead of shattering.
Six legs, on the other hand, would be far more stable
"How to render the Segway obsolete:"
"BAM!
Third wheel."
you can have my violent video games when you pry them from my cold, dead hands.
Prime UID Club
When I read about the SpaceX plan, I am struck that it is what you would do if you don't care about technology at all and you just want to get to orbit so you can do stuff there. They really have the space truck mentality.
Awesomely high pressure high-Isp rockets using propellants that turn air into liquid and thus have wacky cryogenic insulating problems? Nope. (The Space Shuttle main engines were *required* to push the state of the art in engine design. They use the highest pressures ever attempted in a rocket engine, and liquid hydrogen, to get the best Isp ever delivered by a big engine.)
All-room-temp but scary-backstory oxidizers like Beal? Nope. (Beal used hydrogen peroxide. Is it or is it not safe? There is no consensus.)
SpaceX uses LOX and kerosene. For both stages. Their first stage (most of the hardware) parachutes back, but the second stage is expendable. LOX and kerosene were identified as probably the most practical rocket propellant combination in the *1800s*. Way old tech.
SpaceX isn't relying on reuse, though. They'll do launches, recover the first stage, and see what they have. Maybe they'll reuse the whole thing. Maybe they'll replace the engine nozzles. Maybe they'll cut the valves out of the engine and just use those in a new engine. It'll change over time as they get more experience, with no need for any customer to see any difference to operations.
And somehow, it looks like SpaceX has the political savvy to actually get lauched. I don't understand that one bit. Maybe the Columbia accident and the EELV cost overruns have changed the dynamic in congress. But so far the signs are good.
Then again, as Elon Musk (SpaceX CEO) points out, first launches have not been historically kind.
Why not just coat the entire shuttle external tank with something that doesn't permit water or ice to bond to it? Similar products have been on the commercial market for decades, and they work fairly well. I'm sure that 3M or somebody else could come up with something that would work in this situation, even with the temperature differences.
However, it's too elegant and simple a solution to not have been considered before, so I'm thinking that there must be a reason it it won't work.
Anyone know?
Cheers,
SB
It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
1) Dump the solid fuel booster. That gets rid of the o-ring joints, the foam insulation, and the ugly appearance. Replace with a 2 or 3 stage design with conventional liquid fuel but make the stages simple enough to mass produce to keep costs down and make them recoverable.
2) Dump the complicated exterior tile pattern for the shuttle heat shield where each tile has to be carefully glued into place and where a gap between tiles can lead to the loss of the shuttle. Replace it with some sort of crude but effective overlapping 'fish scale' design with the keystone tiles mechanically attached to the shuttle skin with ceramic pins of some sort.
3) post the acronym 'KISS' on the design team's cubicles and make them live it. What has killed the shuttle more than any other thing is the general complexity of its operation. If operating cars or airplanes had the same degree of complexity of the shuttle, we would still be riding horses and riding in hot-air balloons.
The shuttle was designed in the early 1970s. It is retro. But soyuz was designed in the early 1960s. It is classic. Come to think of it, the shuttle has lost 14 astronauts in 26 years, while soyuz has only lost 3 cosmonauts in 40 years. Newer technology means newer failure modes.
What was that one called, VentureStar? I remember they gave up saying it was "too complicated." Wow, what an American spirit, can-do attitude. Real heroes. Makes me sick to think we pay their salaries with our taxes.
The original design was for a somewhat smaller reusable manned orbiter, and a separate heavy launch vehicle for big payloads, as well as a couple of other vehicles for inter-orbit transfers and a somewhat optimistic lunar lander.
If they'd followed the original design the shuttle wouldn't have to run over original rated capacity, because it wouldn't have had to reach as high an orbit and it wouldn't have had such an oversized cargo bay... plus, they'd have been able to send up really BIG space station modules in the HLLV.
I'm not so sure this new approach is all that great, I'm particular unhappy about having the crew going up on top of an SRB. The manned part of the system is where you really want to stick to liquid fuelled components.
Was nothing learned from Challenger? Solid rockets can't be throttled, and they can't be shut off, and they have no place on a manned spacecraft.
The liquid-fuelled RS-84 engine would've been comparable to the F1 engine used on the Saturn rockets. Too bad NASA just cancelled it.
Chapter 6, page 121, under the heading "Original Design Requirements". Much of Chapter 6 in the CAIB report discusses this issue.
Software piracy is victimless theft.
The point I am making is that it does not take a high-impulse, high-stress impact to damage the Thermal Protection System.
Software piracy is victimless theft.
Furthermore, they did this not once, but several times. Instead of sticking to one project and seeing it through to fruition, NASA (and Congress shares a lot of this blame, funding-wise) decided to kill the programs half-baked.
Software piracy is victimless theft.
NASA rep: "If you want to take away our space pens to replace them with pencils, you'll have to pry them from our cold, dead, hands!"
In what way is this astroturf?
I lost it in a hard drive crash.
Coincidence? Hmm
The ISS is in the wrong inclination. It's too difficult to get any mass to if you're not launching from kazakhstan. That, and it's boondoggled to the shuttle.
Check out the Website from which the article comes from.
There will be 2 rockets. The first will be for crew and/or lightweight payloads (think satellites). It will use the current shuttles booster as the first stage. There will then be a 2'nd stage from the saturn V or a new design. Then the crew module will be either the new CEV or a simple souyz/apollo capsule. If they use the CEV, then it is a space plane approach. If capsule, well a simple chute will work. The solid rockets will be reuseable, as would the CEV. Most likely, the capsule/CEV approach would use the heat shields that were designed for the X-33.
The Cargo rocket will initially be the Shuttle-C, which is the same current set-up, but the shuttle is stripped, and remote controlled. It will allow us to get much larger cargo to space. In addition, they will over time move to an in-line cargo approach with the booster being upped to 5 segments (vs. current 4). That will allow the payload to be slightly less than the Saturn V. This shuttle-C/new inline are on one-way shoots. No coming back except in a burn-up approach. Who knows. If we are smart, we can send it to someplace upthere were we can re-use the metal.
I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
I'm heading to my basement right now, my tinfoil underwear & hat firmly affixed by duct tape. If my employer asks, tell him that Planet X is coming and money and work and living are now meaningless.
Damnit now you tell me, I was just going to come out of my basement and look for a job so i could have spending money. And BTW you want to use SILVER aluminium acts as an antenna to magnify the effects of the mind control. Steel is an okay metal, but not nearly as effective as silver, you need a much thicker heavier steel plate to get the same shielding properties as silver, because it reflects virtually all frequencies of light/em radiation. steel merly 'absorbs' like lead, you want the reflective qualities of silver, for something that has to be light weight like protective headgear. Plus silver can be turned translucent, which allows you to make a complete, full head sheilding device. For those of you on a budget, they conveniently sell 'silver' based optically translusent plastic in bulk they're called CD-R but the thickness of the silver is so thin you need to combine at least 2 CD-r to acheive much in the way of shielding. And then you'll need some 1000 watt lamps to see around you with, as the green dye will be problematic. Optionally you can 'delaminate' the silver foil with a blow dryer (haven't tested the effectiveness of this) or by 'boiling' the discs in water (also untested)... boiling wated seems to be like it would be the easier option, since you could easily get the water hot enough to melt the plastic away, leaving only the foil.
https://www.gnu.org/philosophy/free-sw.html