Rebuilding New Orleans With Science
EccentricAnomaly writes "The New York Times has a discussion of flood control methods in use in Holland, England, and Bangladesh that could be used in the rebuilding of New Orleans. Of particular interest is the $8 billion Delta Works built by the Netherlands in response to the North Sea flood of 1953, which almost destroyed the city of Rotterdam, but for a heroic captain who plugged a breach in a dike with his ship." From the article: "While scientists hail the power of technology to thwart destructive forces, they note that flood control is a job for nature at least as much as for engineers. Long before anyone built levees and floodgates, barrier islands were serving to block dangerous storm surges. Of course, those islands often fall victim to coastal development."
Long before anyone built levees and floodgates, barrier islands were serving to block dangerous storm surges. Of course, those islands often fall victim to coastal development.
Is it time to learn from the nature and build some artificial barrier islands, rather than further changing the face of the earth?
Rock that crushes, Paper & Scissors that don't matter.
I noticed another NYT story on lost cities, which would be interesting to the 'abandon New Orleans' camp:
h tml
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/09/06/science/06lost.
There are 10 types of people in this world, those who can count in binary and those who can't.
Fill everything up with Jello Powder!
We should take a lesson from this. Expanionism can be bad. Has anyone noticed the tred of increaingly powerful storms over the last 50 years? Global warming is one possible factor. I am not saying it caused Katrina, but warmer waters may have contibuted.
Not only "land of the free" but "land of the lawyers" who love a good old 1st amendment smackdown. Shihar 153932
...a heroic captain who plugged a breach in a dike with his ship.
Sounds like the trashy novels my wife reads. Was his ship full of sea men?
Why, that should be obvious to even the most dimwitted individual who holds an advanced degree in hyperbolic topology.
People of New Orleans are not going to forget this and many of them are probably going to be terrified of this happening again. Many have already said they're never going back. For those that do, they will want some security.
I'm sure they will be looking at this technology, and maybe even come up with their own before it's all rebuilt. I see this being like rebuilding the World Trade Center buildings - where we will have many ways to fix the levee system or create a entirely new system.
I think they Dutch Boy found better pay selling paints and posing for Meiji Thrifty Acres...
Really, if you've seen the dykes they have in the netherlands it's a wonder a boat actually managed the job. Dutch engineering firms rule big jobs.
A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
Until you commit to proper management of the New Orleans area. The land under the whole area will continue to subside until this is addressed.
=======
Science -- Sealed, Delivered.
It's about how the government ignored the disaster in Orlean. Is it all true?
Subject: Re: [Chapter-delegates] Condolences from Indonesia
Date: Mon, 5 Sep 2005 10:07:30 -0400
From: Gene Gaines
To: Irwan Effendi
On Sunday, September 4, 2005, 9:49:03 AM, Irwan wrote:
> To the people of the United States
> We share your loss and grieve over the disaster in New Orleans.
> As it is still fresh in our memory what happened earlier in Aceh, we
> understand what kind of sadness and sorrow you are going through, therefore
> if there is anything we can do to help, please do not hesitate to let us
> know.
> We suggest that all of us must work to find preventive solutions so that in
> the future, tragedies such as these can be avoided.
> On behalf of Indonesian members
> Irwan Effendi - secretary
Irwan,
Thank you so much for your thoughts.
Much appreciated.
I have thought long and hard about my statement below, but these
things need to be said. Just as many people in the U.S. were
interested in what really happened in Aceh, Malaysia, Sri Lanka,
etc. with the tsunami, I believe many people in other countries
are interested in what is happening with our disaster along the
U.S. Gulf Coast. What is happening in New Orleans screams out to
exposed for all to see.
A personal note. I am now living near Washington DC, but was
born and spent much of my early life in New Orleans. My father
is buried in New Orleans. So many of my boyhood friends have old
family homes along the Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama coast
lines. All gone now.
Many people here will be working to assist the disaster victims.
But it must be stated that this hurricane caused two disasters.
Two disasters, very different, and must be dealt with in very
different ways. This is painful and embarrassing, but some facts
about the two disasters need to be said.
1) The hurricane missed New Orleans, passing just to the east,
with strength to inflict significant but not catastrophic
damage in the city. It was the breaks in the levees around
New Orleans that caused the great tragedy there. Could the
levee breaks and subsequent flooding have been prevented?
Yes. But soon after the present Bush administration took
power, ongoing work on the levees, already in progress, was
stopped by cutting the funding. Several new projects,
critical to maintaining the integrity of the levees, were
halted. Local officials, Louisiana elected officials to our
national Congress, all raised their voices in protest of
these cuts. In speech after speech and newspaper article
after article, strong voices were raised, warning that the
levee maintenance work was critical, and would open the city
to flooding by a hurricane if not done. The levee work was
not restarted. Why? Statements were made as to why the funds
were needed elsewhere: (a) the coming war in Iraq (big U.S.
firms can collect US$30,000 per month per employee, charge
US$1,000 a day to feed soldiers) and (b) tax cuts for the
most wealthy Americans.
I was born in Charity Hospital in New Orleans, an excellent
hospital staffed by two univer
#
#\ @ ? Colonize Mars
#
OK, I got the male and female pink unicorns on the boat. Tell those giraffe herders to hurry up! The water's rising!
No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
I wish there was a way to refuse to allow any of the tax dollars a person pays in to be used for something so stupid.
Why rebuild it. It WILL happen again. Spend the money to relocate the people and I would happily watch my tax money being spent.
Digital is, by definition, imperfect. Analog is the way to go.
You could never get that kind of money allocated towards a protective non-millitary venture, not in the US.
At least, not until something happens. Now that we've had our distaster, and once we've counted the casualty list, I'm sure congress will be more willing to talk dollars.
Then again, it's easier to allocate massive funding to protect your entire country from flooding (ie Holland, etc), than it is to allocate it to protect one relatively poor area. And admit it, that is one of the poorest areas of this country, and without more electoral votes they don't stand a chance.
Do not confuse "Freedom of Choice" with "Free Will".
(1) I'm not so sure we want to be taking flood control advice from Bangladesh.
(2) I'm not sure that attempting to control nature is the best route here. Sure, there are significant historical and cultural aspects of NOLA that we don't want to lose, but wouldn't it be cheaper (and safer) to move them to a different location?
Flood plains, barrier islands, river paths: all of these are not static features. We have an abundance of land (as opposed to some of the examples cited). If we rebuild NOLA in the same location, aren't we just pissing into the wind?
"Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
It is absolutely, utterly, and totally stupid to rebuild New Orleans.
:}
The only city that exist below sea level is Atlantis...
There are many reasons not to rebuild New Orleans, but a few that easily come to mind are:
1. It doesn't make sense. There is plenty of space for cities elsewhere (and plenty of other cities). If a port needs to be there, fine, but a city that size definitely does not.
2. It's very, very expensive. Why go to all the expense to rebuild and upgrade the dikes? It isn't worth it.
3. It's dangerous. Nature will find a way to destroy whatever dikes are put there, and if nature doesn't, the terrorists now have a blueprint for destruction in New Orleans.
Truck bomb + lake = dike breache = mass death and destruction.
4. The unique cultural aspects of New Orleans can just as easily be rebuilt somewhere else as there. Much of what was unique about New Orleans is completely gone anyway.
Just my $.02
Like The Palms?
the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
It is interesting that the NYT is now dispensing advice on how to fix flood control problems in New Orleans when they have a long record of recommending against improvements. They will argue all sides of an issue if it suits their political agenda, but they have no credibility.
an ill wind that blows no good
New Orleans sits on hundreds of feet of muck (about 600 ft) and lacks access to the bedrock. Combined this with the channelization of the Mississippi and the levees, the city will sink if water is continuously pumped out. Ultimately, if we do not address the issue that the above have caused the wetlands to decrease, New Orleans will be a coastal city that sits below sea level in 2040. Best solution: rebuild on higher groud. Moral of the story: man can attempt to thwart mother nature, but like all parents, punishment may be severe.
The technical stuff is interesting, but not the most interesting thing about how the city will get reconstructed. It is a sideshow.
New Orleans is the only major city now with a miniscule number of blacks. They've been flooded out. How the city gets redeveloped could have major implications. I can imagine some real estate devlopers would like to turn it into a Vegas-on-the-Gulf with history (French Quarter). A good way to make that a "success" would be to condemn the black neighborhoods and put in parks and clubs.
It would be sort of like what happened in midtown Manhattan under Guiliani: force out the criminal class, then make money. I'm sure there are a lot of real estate developers trying to figure out how to turn it into the "next" Vegas. The city has gotten so much publicity it would simply be too tempting.
http://www.thebricktestament.com/the_law/when_to_
I have this neat trick to avoid cities being flooded: rebuild the city in another place where it can't be flooded
I think our uncanny ability to warm the planet has given us a false sense of capablility. Rebuilding large cities below sea level in Hurricane Alley is a recipe for disaster. Politicians calling for rebuilding are Soup Nazis.
Massive, post disaster, federal bailouts of property damage just encourage more building in disaster prone areas which inevitably leads to the death of low income citizens that can't evacuate.
What if Digg added local news and a Slashdot inspired comment karma system? ---
http://houndwire.com
Neo Orleans
Floating Mega City
From the government publication http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/fs2-00/
That's about 21 feet, the effects of which you can guess by looking at the nice map included with this publication that outlines the affected areas of the South in red.
Can anyone think of a solution that would cover all of that coastline shown on the map? That's a lot of coastline. Better not to pick a fight with nature in the first place, I would say.
What makes you think those fancy movable sea walls could survive a class 5 hurrican?
Some in the house and senate have voiced the politically incorrect position of "maybe it was a little dumb to build below sea level, right next to the sea."
I happen to agree. Move New Orleans to higher ground. Let the ocean have the original site. Spending billions on ANY plan is a waste of my tax dollars.
I live on the side of the fault that slides into the ocean when the big one hits California. I don't expect the US government to spend billions to reattach it. But, I would expect them to save me a spot on the new beach front property to replace my previous submarine property.
They built a city below sea level, in a swamp. A hurrican came, it blew away, burnt down and sunk into the swamp. What did they expect?
I've heard of Meijer Thrify Acres, which is a large warehouse-type supermarket/general store around the Great Lakes region. But I can only imagine that Meiji Thrifty Acres is some kind of Japanese knock-off.
Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
> The New York Times has a discussion of flood
> control methods in use in Holland, England, and
> Bangladesh that could be used in the rebuilding
> of New Orleans.
On the other hand, they could take this
opportunity and simply relocate the city to
a safe(er) location. Moving the city to a
location above sea-level might be a good start.
This would get the levees out of the equation
and help to eliminate this from happening again
in the future.
Troll
New Orleans has been a disaster waiting to happen, as everyone now knows. And it is a city that lies in palpable danger during any hurricane season, now or in the future. Sure, we could learn from the Dutch and from others, but will we?
Our country has a history of trying to do things on the cheap, to pay as little as possible now and to postpone the inevitable for another generation. Now, New Orleans paid the price. We have bridges, highways, water systems and any number of infrastructure needs in the US that we quite effectively ignore on a daily basis.
Don't believe me? Think about how long it has taken California to replace the Bay Bridge after the '89 quake -- it was deemed unsafe then and it was decided to build a new one. This is comparable in scope to the levee system of New Orleans and the new Bay Bridge has taken over fifteen years to replace. Expect the same, Big Easy.
Blame is being passed around, something that politicians excel at. However, the Feds are not the only ones at fault. One must consider the city's priorities when they built a sports arena and did not work on their levees. One must also consider the refusal of the citizens to pay higher taxes to do both. The federal government cut funding, but if the city had REALLY wanted to fix their levees before Katrina, they could have made some hard choices. Instead, they chose to court the Charlotte Hornets and get them to move to the Big Easy. Just as a "for example."
Now, a massive rebuilding effort needs to take place, and one after the rescue and mitigation efforts are completed. The rebuilding will probably outpace the fortification of the levees, as people will want to rebuild their homes and that doing that on an indiovidual basis is smaller and easier than re-engineering levees.
However, before they do that they should consider that their new homes are in as much danger as the ones that they lost until they get their flood control issues resolved. This should be priority one for the city, the state of Louisiana and to a large degree the federal government. The cost will be in the billions, and I for one will be very surprised if the money is easily available.
Even if it is, it will take the better part of two decades -- or about twenty hurricane seasons -- for these new systems to be in place. In the meantime, NOLA better hope that another Katrina does not find their city.
Rebuild it above sea level.
Build it 40 miles upriver.
-Styopa
My understanding is that the levees weren't built for this kind of hurricane. That they could have been overcome anytime in the past decade with smaller surges than they suffered with this storm. /. stories.)
(See links in earlier
So, the fact that there have been so many people in New Orleans for centuries may be a symbol of laziness and short-sightedness.
The fact that the levees weren't designed for such a huge storm may mean the same thing, or something else.
The fact that residents of Louisiana and New Orleans felt it was just to require ME (who have never lived in any state bordering the Gulf of Mexico, or the Mississippi) to help pay for their levees and pumps is probably a symbol of greed and selfishness.
It is likely that I will be required to help pay for reconstruction of the city in the same spot. What does that symbolize?
I will donate money (and if I can see how, time too) of my own free will, to help those that are suffering from this tragedy. But it will not be right when my money is TAKEN from me to help them.
The technical stuff is interesting, but not the most interesting thing about how the city will get reconstructed. It is a sideshow.
New Orleans is the only major city now with a miniscule number of blacks. They've been flooded out. How the city gets redeveloped could have major implications. I can imagine some real estate devlopers would like to turn it into a Vegas-on-the-Gulf with history (French Quarter). A good way to make that a "success" would be to condemn the black neighborhoods and put in parks and clubs.
It would be sort of like what happened in midtown Manhattan under Guiliani: force out the criminal class, then make money. I'm sure there are a lot of real estate developers trying to figure out how to turn it into the "next" Vegas. The city has gotten so much publicity it would simply be too tempting.
Science: Rebuilding New Orleans With Science
Editors...please, that's got to be the cheesiest title yet. We have the science, we have had the science, but a republican dominated government refused to provide the funding that would have allowed the Army Corp. of Engineers to Build levies that both the Governor and Mayor have been requesting for years before this happened.
Instead of fanning the typical Slashdot "We're so cool because we know science" circle-jerk, maybe you could greenlight an article that focuses on the issues.
The government has a defect: it's potentially democratic. Corporations have no defect: they're pure tyrannies. -Chomsky
...won't stop a katamari that's > 700m.
Think about it.
Yeah, That's $1000 per man, woman, and child living in this country that got wasted over there. And climbing.
I'd have much rather spent a _fraction_ of that money shoring up New Orleans levees, even though I don't live there and have never visited. And with the money left over I could have been not watching this disaster on a nice 42" plasma.
I understand that it was the intersection of trade routes back in the day, but what is there today? I would move away from that place, I am sure so will other people. There still will be a "New Orleans" but from now on it will be known as the "Flooded New Orleans." I don't think it will ever recover completely...
New Orleans was on the top of my list of places to visit in the next couple of years, but not anymore, I think I'll wait 10 years or so.
But I thought god was going to rebuild New Orleans!
Without this barrier, the waters just poured right into New Orleans, killing tens of thousands of people.
For years, ecologists and environmentalists have warned us to preserve nature; otherwise, we will be hurt. Unfortunately, their warnings fell on the deaf ears of politicians in the pockets of big business.
Now, we are screwing up the oceans. The ecologists and environmentalists are warning us about overpopulation. Teaming populutions tend to produce a huge volumes of trash, pollutants (e.g. dioxin), and waste. The oceans have become a huge garbage can. Meanwhile 3 billion people in Asia are eating fish into extinction.
That little salamander, the spotty owl, and the plankton in the sea that you are saving might one day save your life. When they are extinct, you just might be next.
I meant Meijer, but typed Meiji (Emperor of Japan, 1857-1912) by force of habit.
"Thrifty" wore wooden shoes (clogs) and had a page-boy hair cut. I don't think you see him associated with the retailing giant anymore. Probably would have been available to stick his finger in the levee in New Orleans, though as I recall there were two breaches separated by some distance.
Interesting that Chicago, near Lake Michigan, used to flood and if you drive around a bit you can find entrances to the under city. IIRC elevators in many of the buildings close to Lakeshore Drive reflect this.
A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
You can almost hear the phones ringing at Haliburton even as you read this, can't you.
" Listen, lad. I built this kingdom up from nothing. When I started here, all there was was swamp. Other kings said I was daft to build a castle on a swamp, but I built it all the same, just to show 'em. It sank into the swamp. So, I built a second one. That sank into the swamp. So, I built a third one. That burned down, fell over, then sank into the swamp, but the fourth one... stayed up! And that's what you're gonna get, lad: the strongest castle in these islands."
Let's use this tragedy to move the people to some place that is safer, preferably ABOVE sea level. I can understand the "Let's rebuild it and make it stronger!" spirit, but the money it will take to rebuild and then make flood protection that we THINK is adequate ( you know, like they THOUGHT was good enough back in the late 1960's ) would be much better spent in relocation.
Patton "If men have conqured mountains and oceans, anything built by man can be overcome by man."
By extension, anything built by man can be overcome by nature. Ask any geologist, the two most destructive forces on earth are water and time.
Cliff Claven
K.E.G. Party Chairman
Founding Leader of: Koncerned for Egalitarin Governance
The broken canal walls are all up near the Lake seawall built in the 1930s, reclaiming land once swamp (and lake bottom). City Park is a giant park through which the Bayou St. John still flows, along its ancient path, into the middle of town (thru some big pipes in places) to the center of the bowl, the bottom of New Orleans. All that is totally under water now: the 17th Street Canal was the main burst that flooded the town, and runs along the West edge of City Park, past the Bayou.
;). But at least the Dutch will actually do it: they actually do things. Instead of leaving it up to the Army Corps of Engineers, which now must be spelled Corps e , which totally failed their mission - though it looks like they were set up for failure by the civilian leadership, for decades.
We should expand City Park to encompass the entire Bayou area, with no development, and lots of canals. Expand the Bayou itself in the bottom to become a giant reservoir. When storms approach, pump out the reservoir. Make all drains pass through the reservoir, a giant buffer. When rain and failed seawalls allow water into the city, funnel it into the reservoir, buying time. Pump the reservoir into the Mississippi and the Lake.
The seawalls and levees themselves are not fault-tolerant. They're static, brittle, and take the whole city with them when they break. Those walls should all have rail lines along their inhabited sides, separated from the water by the wall. When a storm approaches, dumpable sandbags can be rolled into place behind risky sections, or into broken sections, or just into staging areas for delivery by helicopter, boat or amphibious vehicle, or even human "bucket brigades" when all other vehicles fail. Ahead of the storm, the rails can carry cars of evacuees out. And the other 99.5% of the time, without emergencies, they can carry cars instead of highways (most cars on I-10 are "just passing through"), passengers and freight.
Or we can just put the Dutch in charge of the city. Then they'll do all those things I mentioned, and probably something with windmills. Amsterdam and New Orleans have a lot more in common than just negative elevation - and I'm not referring just to decades of Spanish dominion
Or we can just let New Orleans rot. Along with the rest of the country. If it can happen to a city everyone loves so much, that's so important to our economy, where everyone knew it was RISK #1, why shouldn't it happen everywhere eventually - and not as slowly as in the old World Capital of Molasses.
--
make install -not war
they should use Lego.
...would be to rebuild it with the power of pure mathematics. Does anyone here know the block transfer equasion?
It's all the Republicans fault.
For example, when, in spring 2005, the NY Times denounced the flood control projects in Mississippi as environmentally destructive boondoggles, that was clearly a trick by the Republicans to preemptively blame the greenies for the hurricane.
Clear, Dark Skies
What's the point in rebuilding? The city's already been destroyed and the increasing frequency and intensity of hurricanes in the central Atlantic & Gulf of Mexico means that we're just asking for another disaster. Whether or not you subscribe to global warming being human-induced is beside the point; the temperature of the Earth is increasing, as is the destructiveness of the weather.
The Netherlands argument just doesn't hold water (no pun intended) because that part of the world isn't subject to the same type of weather conditions - in other words, there ain't no hurricanes in the North Sea. There are also the economic factors to consider. The United States is in debt over its head and frankly doesn't have the financial resources to waste on rebuilding a city which would then require greater and greater expenditures of capital to keep from being inundated as the ocean level rises.
Rebuilding New Orleans shows stubbornness well beyond the border of idiocy and is a stunning example of the old axiom: "an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure." It also shows the tremendous amount of greed involved; whether or not New Orleans is rebuilt, the impoverished who have borne the brunt of this disaster will be left out of the process, except maybe as a disposable work force to exploit in the building of new condos and upscale developments that the real estate markets in New Orleans have been looking for an excuse to install -- especially since builders can use such low-wage exploitation as a tax write-off.
Then there's also the fact that developers were allowed to build in hazardous locations to begin with -- what with the Bush Administration doing away with the Federal land easements (wetlands) that existed as a storm surge buffer and turning it over to developers.
Sacramento, California is an example of just such short-sightedness. The Sacramento River flood plains are catastrophically inundated every ten to fifteen years or so. Despite this fact, developers have been allowed to build there because they've bought and/or sued the city & county into letting them do whatever in the hell they want. The developers have also stifled the environmental and news reports as well as done their best to obscure the historical record because such information conflicts with their immediate profit interests. The result? Houses get flooded, families are ruined and the taxpayers are left with the responsibility.
Frankly, developers don't give a shit whether five or ten years down the line those houses are flooded out and destroyed, incidentally sending into financial ruin the families gullible, desperate, uninformed and/or stupid enough to be living there. They've made their profits and get to hide comfortably behind the lawsuit protection laws established to prevent consumers from holding developers responsible for faulty and/or dangerous housing. Besides, the government will pay for disaster relief and subsidize the rebuilding efforts for a new generation of suckers -- because once those houses have been built, by God they've got to stay there.
With the the Bush Administration doing the best it can to aid unscrupulous businesspeople by circumventing legal measures set up to prevent people from putting themselves into harm's way, is it any wonder there's such a cry to rebuild New Orleans? You've got people who stand to make a killing by exploiting this very preventable disaster. But then again, I guess caveat emptor is the ultimate answer and anything else is heresy to the religion of the Free Market.
Let this also serve as a reminder those who believe overpopulation is a myth that not every square mile of the Earth's surface is inhabitable or arable.
Wetlands and delta conservation has long been a favorite target of dittoheads and other conservative groups, who have viewed it as a liberal waste of money and barrier to economic development. I wonder if they'll start to change their tune after this.
Doubt it. Dittoheads only go by what Rush says and he'll never admit to being wrong.
"Chilehead" FalconShould there be a Law?
Interestingly, the answer to river flooding is not building higher dikes. It is prohibitively expensive to build them high enough and you would have an "iron curtain" in your countryside. The Netherlands now has designated certain sparsely populated areas as flood zones, and built dikes around those. In case of another imminent disaster those areas will be flooded draining water form the river. The people that live there will be reimbursed, it's much cheaper than building and maintaining higher dikes.
This sig is just as redundant as the rest of this posting
The Dutch are facing some pretty severe long term issues with their system of flood control - the land behind the dikes is subsiding, and the global warming is causing sea levels to rise. To me the whole proposition that you can build for long term stability in a location like New Orleans is very questionable.
My god Dick Cheney is going to be so dammed rich!
gee if the mayor would have used the city school buses they may have saved all those people, intsead they ruined a few hundred busses that they now expect the US taxpayer to replace. I'm sorry but they had 3 days notice it was coming and more than enuff resouces to EVACUATE like they had been told to do. Too many people belived it was someone elses job save everyone's lives. Than when they realized they had to do for themsleves they went overboard.
I'm told you are what you eat, does that mean I can be you by tomorrow with some A1?
I keep hearing people comparing the WTC vs New Orleans. Yes they were both disasterous that happened about the same time of the year but thats really where the similiarities stop. The WTC was a terroist attack not an an evitable act of god because a bunch of Frenchmen decided to build below sea level in a hurricane prone area. This isn't the first time New Orleans flooded, it won't be the last if they rebuild it. And fire that stupid-ass mayor for blaiming everyone except New Orleans.
I just read the blurb and it's totally unconvincing. the NYT was against the recent highway and energy bills because they're piles of waste, nto because of any one project involved.
Fox News has such a hard-on for the NYT it's unbelievable. When they put together any kind of reporting operation instead of 4 hours of loudmouthed opinion on prime time I'll think about taking them seriously.
New Orleans was on the top of my list of places to visit in the next couple of years, but not anymore, I think I'll wait 10 years or so.
I haven't been there myself but I've wanted to go during Marti Gra (sic). Guess that won't be anytime soon.
FalconShould there be a Law?
Until you commit to proper management of the New Orleans area. The land under the whole area will continue to subside until this is addressed.
Now this is an interesting viewpoint. In fact, one of the major reasons, other than the destruction of the protective barrier wetlands - excuse me, the development of them, is that we no longer permit NOLA to be flooded annually and covered in silt which then builds up. Originally, most of NOLA was built with living rooms and such on the second floor and above, to permit this.
Then, periodically, people would raise the level of the house and build a new foundation - if they much of one, since most had raised porches at the very least.
This is more likely useful in a river delta, and permits gradual change. It does require tech things like power, cable, DSL, phone, etc to be elevated (on telephone/utility poles) usually, or at least kept in conduits.
-- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
Slightly off topic but what is going to happen to all the Katrina refugees that have no place to go back to and need to be relocated? The American Voice suggests that they be offered free farm land in a homestead program. The article is "Relocating the Victims of the 8/29 2005 Katrina Catastrophe" "A simple plan to give Katrina refugees their own new homes and new lives." It sounds like a neat idea. This program sounds like it ought to be opened to all homeless Americans.
My question is "Why and where are they pumping the contaminated water to?". Aren't they concerned that they are moving a contained hazardous area to another location and increasing the danger zone?
how many cities in this country are 100% 'safe' from disasters? should people all abandon san francisco? an earthquake will hit the bay area again at some point. should we never again build a tall building for fear of terrorists? perhaps all floridians should be relocated? i seem to have noticed florida getting hit by a hurricane or two. saying that new orleans should not be rebuilt is heartless and dumb. this is a major port city, which are built by water for a reason. (a port where the mississippi meets the gulf has a certain logic to it, no?)
besides which, it's a beautiful city. i'd say the best in the country. abandoning new orleans would be a loss for the entire world. a suggestion to relocate a city of 500,000 permanently is not 'insightful.'
The only shortcut I can see is for someone in DC to declare them an issue of "interstate commerce" (with some sort of excuse like that they are along navigable waterays) and take over management at a federal level.
All the science in the world won't help if fat-cat local government doesn't want things to change from the status quo.
#naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
The low-built Pentagon was hit just like the WTC buildings on 9/11 and it didn't collapse to the ground. So if we're going to say New Orleans shouldn't be rebuilt under water, why are we building gravity-defying skyscrapers?
And remember, "nature" doesn't want so many people on the Earth. We're way beyond what most species' population limits. Should we just let half the human population die off?
Personally, I'm all in favor of respecting nature. But I don't think we should surrender to it.
them blasting the Corps of Engineers for wasting the taxpayers money on flood control projects?
Clear, Dark Skies
voodoo magic.
I love deadlines. I like the whooshing sound they make as they fly by. - Douglas Adams
I live on the coast, not far from New Orleans. I think it should be abandoned and left to sink. However, there are many political forces at work and here and it will be rebuilt.
There is a small barrier island off of the cost where I live. Its west end gets destroyed every time a storm comes within a hundred miles. It actually erroded into several pieces this time. But, it is expensive beach front property so it will be rebuilt again - with our tax dollars.
There is a park down by Costa Rica ; Jurassic Park; It helps to bring back old things. Want to visit?
I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
I really wonder if, besides the water/flooding problem, there's another problem:
:O
.. so I'm just thinking out loud.
poisonous/contaminated deposits of mud which will have found it's way into every corner of every building by now.
If that is the case, you'll have to remove -assuming the correct approach- the top layer of soil after the city is dry.
perhaps that mud could be stored securely and contained in an island just before the coast though..
but ultimately, I'm not an engineer
Though I don't live there anymore, I grew up in Florida and friends of mine and I had this saying that you could tell the difference between true Floridians and transplants. When a hurricane comes along, while transplants throw their arms up in the air and scream "Let's get out of here", the Floridian says "it's time to batten down the hatchs.
FalconShould there be a Law?
I agree, and if there are those who were confused by my original wording then I'm glad you clarified that point.
Instead of spending our tax dollars to help the people of america, Bush's policy of War/Oil over the last 5 years has smeared our countries reputation around the world, suffocated our economy, tripled gas prices, and left millions of americans helpless. Bush, Cheney, Rove etc. have justified all of this in order to make more money for the defense industry and the oil industry(businesses that 90% of Bush's people hail from). It's grotesque. This is not the country I grew up believing in.
Oh, you're from Canada too?
-- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
While I agree that war in Iraq is an utter waste of resources and a complete subversion of all good sense, I also think that New Orleans' issue is primarily a local issue. Why should people who live in relatively safer areas, subsidize the choices people who live in NO have made? I've never been in the south and I even I've heard that NO is below sea level -- surely the locals were very aware of their situation. What stopped them from raising taxes to pay for the needed protective measures? If the the local taxes were so astronomical as to make it financially impossible to build there ... well isn't that a clue? Hiding the costs by shifting them to non-locals merely encourages local behavior that meshes poorly with the environment.
Anyway, my point is that economics can sometimes point to behaviors that are environmentally unwise. I'm all for helping people relocate and get back on their feet. By the same token, the money will just go down the drain if it is used to rebuild in the same spot. People want to do that, fine it's their business and their dime. Just don't take that dime to do stupid things from me.
What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
It's really damn hard to tell without the original article which they helpfully neglected to cite.
And your last sentence is falsely predicated. By taking a concentrated toxic threat and diluting it, they're reducing the overall danger.
New Orleans has always been below sea level. They keep pumping water out and then developing on the new "dry" land.
That's the problem. You'll notice that the oldest part of the city (the French Quarter) is also one of the driest? That's because it was built on land that wasn't "reclaimed" from the swamp.
Clear, Dark Skies
The breach was not on the wetlands side but on the lake side. Even if the Delta was fully restored it wouldn't have made any difference this time.
If the storm had come in more to the west then it might have made a difference but I really doubt it. A category 4 or category 5 storm hitting a major city is going to cause a vast amount of destruction. Fixing the delta is valuable for many reasons including protecting New Orleans from floods it's just that in this case it wouldn't have made any difference.
We are in a natural cycle of more and stronger storms. It has happened before. As strong as Katrina was she was weaker than the Galveston Hurricane, the labor day Hurricane, and even Camile. Of course that is like saying an atomic bomb is smaller than the Ivy Mike test bomb.
The thing that cost lives in New Orleans where the actions of the Mayor of New Orleans, and the Governor of Louisiana.
No one that lives in New Orleans should have been bussed to the Superdome! The same buses that took people to the Superdome should have taken them out of the city to shelters outside the flood zone.
The lack of police, food, water, and medical care in the Superdome was the fault of the Mayor of the city and the Governor of the state.
FEMA's failure was in not realizing that the Governor and the Mayor cared more about the French Quarter than about people's lives. I get sickened every time I hear the Mayor say, "The good news is the French Quarter is is good shape. New Orleans will live again." Frankly I would have traded the French Quarter for the hospitals and peoples homes any day! What people that have never dealt with a Hurricane don't understand is FEMA is supposed to come in after the disaster and send supplies and help where the local authorities tell them. In this case the local authorities where criminally stupid or just criminals.
See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
The problems with New Orleans runs far-far deeper than polluting etc.
New Orleans is placed on a river delta. After the sediments in a delta are deposited they are guaranteed to subside. It's a consiquence of compaction, de-watering and the isostatic response of the lithosphere below the basin to the extra load. Unless more sediment is added continuously the delta will eventually (and quite quickly in geological and indeed historical terms) sink beneath the sea.
When New Orleans was founded a few hundred years ago it was above sea level. (after all, who would found a town on a salt marsh?) Since then it's subsided continuously until today a great deal of the city is now below sea level and a great deal lower than the river (which has since built up its base by depositing sediment).
When the corps of engineers stopped the river naturally switching its channel (which it does around once every 1000 years) and straightened the current channel they put in motion a set of events which meant that the delta lost its sediment load to further out in the Gulf of Mexico as the river is flowing at a greater rate. This has caused the coastline (and all the natural defences) to not be replenished and go below the sea.
You may like to see this google cached article from a Baton Rouge newspaper in 2002. It gives a decent overview of the situation.
As a geologist, I would be in the camp which suggests that the government take this as an opportunity to move the city to higher and more stable ground and abandon the old city to be an archaeological curiosity and tourist attraction. Rebuilding it would merely prime the charge for an even bigger loss of life when, not if, the river breaks its banks. This time only the low-level lake to the north broke through which soon equalised its level.. this wouldn't happen with the great river.
How long do you want to fight a losing battle with the planet? How high do you eventually want the levees to be before you give up? When the city's subsided to the point where it's an isolated bowl in the ocean?
I know it's not going to be abandoned, there are too many politicians who have staked their carreer on the "we will rebuild it" bravardo and a King Kanute attitude.
(Before anyone corrects me about King Kanute, I know that the popular story is wrong, the King was trying to show how impotent he was rather than believing that he could actually stop the sea.)
Agrajag: "Oh no, not again!"
This had nothing to do with the flooding in NOLA. A floodwall between the city and the lake broke. Marshes south of the city wouldn't have much of anything to stop that flooding.
Check it out...good book.
" The Mississippi Delta is a land that exists on sufferance of the big river. Only because the Mississippi stays behind its levees, follows its locks and spillways, and agrees to overflow onto its batture, is the area safe to live in. It's a complex system, decades in the making, and perfectly adequate to corral the waters unless something...catastrophic...were to happen."
N.O. really isn't anything like Holland, and the same rules shouldn't apply.
The people who were displaced by Katrina are predominately black, poor labor-class urbanites. You'll sooner make farmers out of them as you'll make engineers out of Montana Sheepherders.
Personally, I find the America Voice's proposition to be a racial insult. Forty Acres? And what...a mule? I think most of the people down there fell for that once alread. Lets try something a bit more realistic this time... like an affordable and accessible education.
This is true. Unfortunately, NYT makes you buy the right to read articles that old.
The reference is to an editorial on 24 June 2003 (that blasts the Army Corps of Engineers as wasteful and destructive) and one 13 April 2005 that attacks $17 billion earmarked for Mississippi flood control as a boondoggle and pork-barrel politics.
Clear, Dark Skies
I was wondering the same thing when reading an article saying they were pumping the water back into the lake. One dead lake coming up...
How about we rebuild the French Quarter so people can still get shitfaced at Mardi Gras, and we turn the rest of it into a national park.
It's just totally stupid to rebuild New Orleans and still have it under sea-level. Unless, of course, you want to hand a bunch of no-bid contracts to some US companies (oh, wait, we already did that in Iraq).
BAH!
When I first came here, this was all swamp. Everyone said I was daft to build a city on a swamp, but I built it all the same, just to show them. It sank into the swamp. So I built a second one. That sank into the swamp. So I built a third. That blew down, flooded, and then sank into the swamp. But the fourth one stayed up! And that's what you're going to get lad, the strongest city in all of America!
Son, a woman is a lot like a refrigerator. They're six feet tall, 300 pounds... they make ice... umm...
I love how the two comments on your post are people bitching about money.
What happened in New Orleans is a tragedy and the people there do need help. But let's not forget the people of Florida who have not yet recovered from last year's 4 hurricanes. They need as much help today as they did before Katrina. Don't send all the funds to New Orleans Peter Kuhn Lakeland Florida doublewidetrailer@gmail.com
Please make a note not to live in any place that has:
- floods
- earthquakes
- wild fires / forest fires
- regular hurricanes and/or tornadoes
- blizzards / ice storms
- volcanoes
Hmm, I guess that leaves 1% of the land area of the planet worth living on.
Rather than bitch and moan about people living in the path of natural disasters, the money spent to rebuild, etc., why don't we try coming up with some real solutions.
The problem is not that New Orleans was destined to get obliterated at some point, as the same can be said about any major city. The problem is that between poor urban planning and poor emergency response planning, any city that gets struck by a catastophe (natural or man-made)is destined to become a cluster-fuck.
There is no such thing as a "safe" place to live, and in planning our cities and our responses to disaster, we need to recognize that and make plans accordingly. For example, if state and local governments spent a quarter of what they do for transportation on things like telecommuting, better designed cities, and other measures, when disasters do strike, their impacts would be much less.
Long record? Two editorials in 15 years? Saying a bill that had God knows what else in it besides flood control was "bad legislation?" Oh and are they opt-ed or actual editorials? opt-ed are the opinions of the editorial writers not the paper. Two editorial writers do need the non-conflicting view points. In fact, one of the signs of an unbiased paper IS having editorial writers that disagree!
It will take more then a random quotes from the Fox news spin factory to make me believe that. NYT may be a bit biased but its way more objective then anything that ever came out of Fox news.
The article was interesting. Before reading it, I did not know anything about the North Sea Flood or the Deltaworken that came of it. Right away, I noticed that the article takes a rather particular stance on the purpose and value of big projects such as these -- the problem is the sea, and we should invest in project such as these to keep the sea out of habitable land. I think the article would have been a lot more interesting had it included at least a cursory discussion of the fact that while technology like this has a temporary benefit, the problems caused by development in wetlands cannot be permanently solved.
IMO, the real problem with inhabited wetlands is not storm surge, but subsidence, which is what allows storm surge to inundate inhabited land. We populate the wetlands, pumping out the water which would normally bring along with it silt, which accretes, contributing the the land mass that will naturally buffer storm surge. Once inhabited, the land mass gradually subsides (sinks), making vulnerability to flooding worse. I believe that no technology will stop this.
If my opinion is a correct one, there is no prevention of such disasters, only preparedness and remediation. I live in the Los Angeles metro area, and I have the same problem. The best thing I can do is buy property on land out here that the USGS has not identified as prone to liquefaction or heavy shaking and hope for the best. I do not expect my government to build an $8 billion gadget to protect me, because there is no way for sure to know that it will even work!
What I am left wondering is whether or not the people of NO expect to be protected, and would it even be worth it to try. These people live in a dangerous area, just like me, and I think that money spent on disaster education and readiness would probably be well spent, as opposed to wasting billions fighting nature in a losing battle. Our arms are too short to box with God, so perhaps it would be better to spend money on learning to roll with the punches. Based on the chaos and loss of life I saw, I don't think anyone down there was even the least bit prepared. I see the same indolence here in L.A. where I live, and a lot of people are going to die some day because of it.
Maybe if all that money wasn't going to the Big Dig there would have been enough left over for New Orleans.
"God fights on the side with the best artillery." - Napoleon, Marshal of France - speaking truth to power
...but for a heroic captain who plugged a breach in a dike with his ship.
Wha?
It was a little boy (Hans Brinker?) and his finger that saved the dike! Everybody knows that..
If you disagree with me on social issues, then it's pretty clear that you are a narrow-minded bigot.
Venice.
You're a little out of touch... the current crop of Americans and our Government won't be swayed by your so called "facts".
Besides... we have cash to burn. Iraq can't be costing more than about a billion dollars a week now.
We have God on our side! New Orleans will rise again!
(Can I buy that ticket to someplace else yet? I'm looking for hard vaccum and a nice view of the asteroid belt...)
-- IANAEG - I am not an elder god.
Stilts. Simply mandating that all dwellings must be built 3 feet above the 2005 flood level will go a long way to mitigating damage. All houses there are built on piles and a concrete slab anyway, so just make the damn piles taller. Then if they do flood again, little damage will be done.
Oh well, what the hell...
It is indicative of the source of a lot of the problems...
I have wondered this myself. The questions he brings up are real, if not openly discussed on TV.
Did you know that the rich (white) part of New Orleans is already dry? It has been for a few days, even before the pumps started working. The large part of the city which is submerged will likely have to be rebuilt from scratch anyways. How we rebuild it will change the face of New Orleans.
Uptight moderators may have called your comment flamebait, but for what its worth, I think this is one of the few posts on this story which cuts to the heart of an important issue. I have read many commentaries on New Orleans and this is the first time that pressing question has been asked (that I have seen).
Jesse Jackson has been trying to keep people in a disused army base close to the city so when it is rebuilt they will be the first ones back. He fears the scenario you are describing, and is attempting to prevent it. Everyone else is doing their best to publicly ignore it.
http://www.sparkplugfoundation.org/katrinarelief.h tml
or
http://www.foodnotbombs.net/dollar_for_peace.html
Grassroots organizations make more sense in this case to me.
Stephan
http://stephan.sugarmotor.org
That stupid assed mayor joins alot of stupid assed politicians and a lot of stupid assed people all over who think that blame necessarily has to be assigned. While I'm all for blaming the French, or even against all logic blaming an atmospheric phenomenon which has the benefit of being personified as "Katrina", I'd rather just accept the one truism that always applies:
SHIT HAPPENS!
Did you know that National Geographic described this very scenario in an article from October 2004?
A snippet from the intro of the article 'Gone with the Water:
" It was a broiling August afternoon in New Orleans, Louisiana, the Big Easy, the City That Care Forgot. Those who ventured outside moved as if they were swimming in tupelo honey. Those inside paid silent homage to the man who invented air-conditioning as they watched TV "storm teams" warn of a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. Nothing surprising there: Hurricanes in August are as much a part of life in this town as hangovers on Ash Wednesday.
But the next day the storm gathered steam and drew a bead on the city. As the whirling maelstrom approached the coast, more than a million people evacuated to higher ground. Some 200,000 remained, however--the car-less, the homeless, the aged and infirm, and those die-hard New Orleanians who look for any excuse to throw a party.
[...]
Thousands drowned in the murky brew that was soon contaminated by sewage and industrial waste. Thousands more who survived the flood later perished from dehydration and disease as they waited to be rescued. It took two months to pump the city dry, and by then the Big Easy was buried under a blanket of putrid sediment, a million people were homeless, and 50,000 were dead. It was the worst natural disaster in the history of the United States.
When did this calamity happen? It hasn't--yet. But the doomsday scenario is not far-fetched. "
Very freaky!
Article can be found here: http://www3.nationalgeographic.com/ngm/0410/featur e5/
They had better make it an intelligent design!
Years Louisana operated under a Republican dominated government: 6.
Years Louisana operated under a Democratic dominated government: 128.
Conclusion: Clearly the Democrats are at fault.
(Note: Conclusion based on the same dumb fucking logic the parent poster uses.)
I have 2 things here. First of all, we have people suggesting that victims' families be compensated similar to how the victims' families were from the WTC attacks. You know why that's bull?
One was an unpredicted act of terrorism. The people in those towers had no idea that a plane was gonna ram then until it came in at a few hundred MPH. No time to react.
The other was an act of God, that was forecast. The hurricane was moving toward new orleans at a blazing 7 MPH. Plenty of time to react, and the people chose to stay there. In their arrogance, they dared nature to f*** with them, and oh yes, they got f***ed with.
Now I've heard the argument that they couldn't afford to evactuate, blah blah blah. They could afford 10 4x8 sheets of 5/8 inch plywood... Put that into gas money and get the hell out, like a sane person.
As far as the federal levee funding goes, levee improvements have been cut out of the federal budget for decades, so get off your bush-bashing soapbox and get a clue.
The worst thing about it is that you know the federal government is gonna roll over and give em all money to rebuild. Just like they do in Florida. That way, the buildings can get demolished again. Hey! I want a new house every 5 years too! Oh, and I don't want to pay for it!
You live in a hurricane prone area at your own risk, stop taking my tax dollars to compensate for your stupidity.
mmmmmmmmmm, I was born in Rotterdam, lived there for 29 years, never heard THAT story before, sounds about as good as plugging a hole in a dike with your finger, those that actually have seen a 'sea dike' will see the funny side of that story. Also the 8 Billion Guilders was the initial budget (1953) needless to say that they went over 'a bit' seeing the project went for more than 30 years, some extraordinary innovations were made due to some extraordinary problems they faced such as having to build on silt rather than bedrock, but in the end they were true to the creed: "Luctor et Emergo", the Lion in the coat of arms of Zeeland does stand knee-deep in water for good reason. One lesson the American people could learn from this was the fact that the entire 'Delta Plan' was enshrined in an irrevocable Law, to make sure that no one could weasel out of this when the memory of the flood subsided!
You never catch me alive
The hurricane Katrina struck New Orleans at Force 4 levels. The wind, rain, and flooding were all managable, with the city's pumps clearing away the 2 to 3 feet of flood water. It was the storm surge that followed Katrina inland that breached the levees. The levee system, as well as the port facilities, were all "owned" by the US Army Corps of Engineers, and have been for decades.
Dredging of shipping channels, construction of canals for the diversion of water, and continued construction of port facilities brought new economic development to New Orleans. But officials at all levels of government have known for a decade that the levee system needed to be upgraded in order to withstand the worst that nature could wreak on the city. Enough money was never made available for reconstruction of the wetlands or barrier islands, or for improving the levee system.
Three times during the Bush administration funding has been slashed to 1/6th to 1/10th of needed levels to properly address the above issues. The loss of live may climb to ten thousand or more, with property damage in New Orleans proper that could reach $15 Billion USD. It would not be the first time that the neo-conservatives have been exposed to accusations of being "penny wise and pound foolish". The fiscal liability exposure by commercial insurance companies will likely result in several of these companies filing bankruptcy.
Whatever funds that the US Congress and the Bush administration spend on reconstruction in New Orleans will likely be dwarfed by commercial enterprises. The US Supreme Court has opened the way for local/state government to seize private property and turn it over to "more commercially viable" private enterprise. While the taxpayer burdeon may be mitigated by such actions, the notion of private ownership rights, due process, and equal treatment under the law are all due to be sorely tested as the cleanup and rebuilding of New Orleans and the Gulf Coast proceed. The current regime in power has never made any bones about favoring big commercial interests over those of the individual. Times that try the boundaries of the US Constitution and the Bill or Rights versus the power of big corporate-owned government are coming...
In 1993 it was a Democratic Congress and a Democratic President, and they argued against it.
In 1997 it was a Republican Congress and a Democratic President, and they argued against it.
In 2005 it was a Republican Congress and a Republican President, and they argued for something.
So what's their political agenda again? I'll bet if it was flood control in New York, they'd be all for it.
all politics is local.
Get out of town!
Seriously people! This is flamebait! Clearly so! The reconstruction of New Orleans, whatever form it's going to take, is a lot more fucking complicated than "the blacks have left, we can build a resort town now!" That's why this is flamebait. This chunk of the thread was built on a lack of information, racist and wrongheaded assumptions, and speculation spun from thin air.
Sure you can wonder what's going up in New Orleans, and anyone who watches the freaking news can watch people ask the same questions, but the reason why there aren't answers yet is because nobody freaking knows what they're going to find, let alone what's going to happen in the future. Making up stuff, racially charged stuff no less, is not going to help, and will only serve to make people like me have to bitch-slap people like putko.
There are lives at stake here!
You could have had more than adequate funding for repairing and maintaining the levees by charging a ten cent per alcoholic drink "levee levy" tax. Of course now it's all wiped out, not much drinkin' going on. But, the tourists would have paid off the infrastructure cost in advance.
Basically, I am much more in favor of direct use taxes, rather than general taxes that have to be shuffled through 18 layers of expensive bureaucracy first before they do any good.
Latest estimates for rebuild on drudge I see are 150 billion, last week it was 25 billion. Next week maybe half a trillion or something, who knows. It's wiped out and contaminated now though, that's a gimmee. Where are you planning on dumping an entire giant city that is basically contaminated trash? You have to move that crap out before you rebuild. Plan on using every dump truck in the US?
I don't see it as being cost effective. Perhaps if they redisgned the city like a big venice instead? just accept reality that the water needs to be there and have canals instead of streets? Approach it from that engineering angle instead of trying to maintain it perpetually as dry land. Or contract with some state out west and buy raw dirt and fill that sucker up, then add twenty more feet, just bury it. Build on top, STRONG. Massive concrete, thick, reinforced. Bottom floors designed to shift water and flood occassionally.
I like the canal idea better actually. Would result in an even more interesting tourist town, and lead to advanced port rebuilding. The techniques learned would be applicable to other coastal areas as well.
Sir, my entire family is from New Orleans - it has nothing to do with the "republican dominated government". You yourself even said so - the Governor and the Mayor have been requesting for YEARS... since the 70s, in fact.
The problem now: our incompetent moron Governor, Kathleen Blanco. The federal government would've helped a lot... if they had been allowed in by the Blanco regime.
Are you a paying member of the KKK?
The more normal approach is one of "managed retreat".
? lang=_e®ion=Environment%20Agency%20Wales
One example here:
http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/news/1145746
The Thames Barrier makes sense because it's cost-effective - one relatively small barrier prevents a lot of damage.
The comparison between the UK and NL North Sea coasts is interesting. On much of of the UK's coast there are no sea defences at all, but in Holland the sheer scale of them has to be seen to be believed. I guess that the reason is that people in the UK have a choice (to be flippant - how many people would miss Norfolk?) - one part of the country is tipping into the sea as another part is rising out of it. In Holland it's not quite that simple - if you retreat into "safe" areas you may well end up speaking German.
That said - Holland still suffers from flood problems, such as when rivers from Central Europe carry floodwater in. There's not a lot you can do about that. And somehow, I suspect that moving the Port of Amsterdam and Europoort et al to higher ground isn't going to work.
First off, anyone asking the question "why rebuild" ought to be thumped soundly with a good sized stick. N'awlins is a strategic point economically. It only makes sense to build there, even with the 50 year risk of major flooding. Secondly, what needs to be rebuild represents a fraction of the total value of what is already built and has survived. So rebuilding is simply not an option - it's an inevitability.
The answer to "how" might seem more novel - and less expensive - than most people think. Simply accept that the area is going to flood. Now build the city such that water and flooding becomes an integral part of the urban planning. Canals and locks can move heavy goods more efficiently than trucks. Build physical plants on elevated earthen damns, and just accept that streets and parking lots are going to flood out. Ban residential construction in flood-prone areas (should be a no brainer). Convert existing structures such that the first two floors above ground (or within the 20ft flood stage) are used for parking and industrial plant works. Lastly, use locks on the channels so that when (not if) a levy breaks, that section is automatically sealed off.
Engineering a city isn't impossible. It's hardly difficult. It merely takes the will to do it.
I'll back him up on this. As a Sacramentan, I lived in areas that were flood prone before I bought a house in a non-flood zone. All the housing that has gone into the Natomas area (and it's a LOT - numbering in the thousands of homes) are ALL in floodzones.
In 1986, the area where my former employer is located was under 10 feet of water (hence, they never occupy building space on the 1st floor) when the levee system failed. Just over 10 years later, in 1997, we had similar record rainfall and the levees were again taxed to the brink of failure. I lived right near the river and the water was running damned near the top of the berms. We were under constant evacuation notices (not mandatory orders, but voluntary ones) I was lucky: Some of the levee system did fail in various areas of Sacramento and caused some X millions of dollars in damage.
The ACE then came in and did a fair bit of retrofit work to the existing levees by cutting them open in the centerline of the berm, trenching all the way down below the waterline, and backfilling the cut with slurry, since many of the earthen berms were weakened not by nature or or design flaw, but by burrowing animals like moles. Supposedly the digging critters could not tunnel through the slurry wall. Unfortunately, most of this work was done AFTER levee breaks during the 1997 floods.
I would wholeheartedly agree that shortsighted developers can be to blame in building up infrastructure where it shouldn't be, but if you protect it well enough (which it sounds like NO was not) it *should* stay up - but with unforseen weather patterns that the system was not designed to handle, you will end up swimming sooner or later.
Amidst your pedantic and infantile trollish attempts at wit, you miss the obvious point: Venice is a city sinking into the sea.
The second point, albeit less obvious, is that while New Orleans faces the possibility of a Katrina-level event every hundred years, Venice faces it every twenty.
That's when they're not dealing with drought, or erosion of foundations, etc, etc.
Again, once word deftly negates your entire ill informed rant. Venice.
''It's dead, Jim!''
That's all well and good, except blaming Bush isn't going to work. An Army Corp of Engineers rep said that even if Bush had increased funding starting day 1 of his first term, this wouldn't have been avoided. Try a different scapegoat.
You don't make the poor richer by making the rich poorer. - Winston Churchill
New Orleans sits on hundreds of feet of muck (about 600 ft) and lacks access to the bedrock
And that is different from the Netherlands how?
Ultimately, if we do not address the issue that the above have caused the wetlands to decrease, New Orleans will be a coastal city that sits below sea level in 2040.
it is already below sea level. So are the Netherlands... which has much fewer wetlands left than New Orleans.
There are 10 types of people in this world, those who can count in binary and those who can't.
"Why should people who live in relatively safer areas, subsidize the choices people who live in NO have made?"
This is why it's called the United States. For banding together on safety issues like this, you get an economic return. In this case, you'll notice that the price of gas has gone up dramatically. 17% of the U.S. oil supply apparently went through this area. Over the many years that oil was flowing through those piplelines you, wherever you live, have reaped an enormous economic benefit.
Had Lousiana been an independent entity, it would have charged the rest of the U.S. tariffs for shipping down the Mississippi and become a very rich place. As it is, the wealth for that shipping mostly went to corporations located elsewhere in the country, and Louisiana is a fairly poor state.
The people in New Orleans never made a "choice" to live below sea level. The city was built when that land was above sea level. The people living there have merely continued from generation to generation. Originally, they were the descendents of the actual slaves... what did you expect those poor people to do? An environmental impact analysis that said in a hundred and fifty years the city would be under water, so they should move up north?
You're probably right that rebuilding in the same spot now would be foolish. I suspect the same thing. That doesn't have anything to do with localism, though. Localism is historically and economically short-sighted. In a sense, the people in New Orleans died so that you could have a good standard of living, like any high-risk worker on an oil rig.
By the way, NOLA isn't the only area that's ill-prepared for a Cat-4/5 hurricane. Look at the development practically anywhere on Florida's coastline (but especially around Tampa Bay), and up the East Coast through Georgia and the Carolinas.
About the only place where the barrier islands are allowed to function as they should is along the Outer Banks of NC, and even that in places (Corolla, Duck) is becoming condo-central.
Because of a lot of the people that live in NO didn't 'choose' to live there. Many of them are amongst the poorest people in the country, born into poverty with low prospects of escape. The city includes the menial but life supporting jobs that just don't exist in the 'burbs. Move to a less expensive city?
Because NO supports the whole country. The Mississippi is vital for shipping. Why do you think NO is where it is? Notice the domestic price of grain dropping because it can't be shopped abroad? That hurts farmers throughout the mid-west. Notice the price of gas increasing? There's a whole nation-wide economic cost to this disaster, most of which won't be easily measured.
Because NO has a cultural history that few cities in the USA rival.
Collectively, the nation is going to end up paying billions more just in economic costs than we would have spent protecting NO properly in the first place. That's before the taxpayer costs in paying for the disaster relief, before the millions that will be donated, before the billions that will hit many of us in additional insurance costs.
The reality is that NO will be rebuilt, and we will all end up paying for better defences anyway. We can't really afford to have let this disaster happen.
No way! This is America. We rebuild with Christianity!
The Vanport Flood of 1948 provides a more recent example of a lost city. Vanport was the second largest city in Oregon at that time, with 50,000 residents. The entire town was washed away when a dike holding back the Columbia River broke. The town was never rebuilt but eventually became an industrial area.
My bet is that most of the totally devastated parts of New Orleans will go the same route. According to CNN last night, 90% of the evacuees they talked to in Houston said they did not intend to return home. Sometimes there's no point.
From the BBC Reporters log
Justin Webb, Washington DC, 1545GMT
It hasn't happened yet, but there remains a real possibility that Hurricane Katrina will swamp the Bush administration and leave it wrecked beyond repair.
On the face of it, the inquiries, which will start this week on Capitol Hill, would appear to be a big threat to the president. But, it may well be that other targets loom larger once the searching questions begin - targets which will include America's entire system of government, which has proved itself to be incapable of coping with a big disaster on its doorstep.
The nation is proud of its local democracy and local power, but a bewildering array of competing fiefdoms hampered the management of this crisis and may well need to be swept away - a change requiring a fundamental cultural shift in how the United States is governed.
So it is more complicated than that. so what. That doesn't make it flamebait.
I guess saying anything involving race is now flamebait on slashdot. I assume you had no problem with the media ignoring that almost everyone left in New Orleans was black for the first few days of hurricane coverage. They tiptoed around that simple statistical reality because of wrongheaded political correctness which got in the fact of reporting.
Sometimes there is a plainly racial element. This is one of those times.
Do you think black neighborhoods are never bulldozed for upscale, largely white housing? There are thousands of companies litterally looking for an excuse to bulldoze poor neighborhoods and build over them. Their only major obstacle is usually the people living there. This is real. Ignore these facts at your own peril.
putko didn't seem to be advocating building a resort over the black neighborhoods at all, merely aknowlaging that the situation existed. The post appears to have been made in good faith. Moderators would do well to not use mod points to intimidate people into ignoring these issues.
There is racial friction in this country, especially in the south. It's not out in the open, but anyone who looks around can plainly see it. Many cities still have defacto segregation still going strong in 2005. When you ignore it in the name of political correctness you hurt the people you are probably trying to help.
Not that I doubt you, but do you have a cite? I'd like to learn more.
Clear, Dark Skies
But I'm not sure it makes sense to put 1.3 million people around the port.
Clear, Dark Skies
while (!asleep()) sheep++
Then I searched for the similar section of your article ("Anyone who cares about sound budgeting and about the health") and got a different article dated August 19, 2002 titled Taming the Untouchable Corps.
So either the Times published two stories with very similar titles and eerily similar lines by coincidence, or someone felt lazy and just changed a few lines and republished the same article. If you have a subscription, feel free to read them and determine which is the case. Since the latter seems more likely, I'm not in the mood to pay them.
Congrats - you're propagating a newly created urban legend designed by left-wing groups to pretend that right-wing groups are misrepresenting the holy New York Times editorial page in a attempt to pretend that Bush really *was* on top, and it was the evil liberal's fault!
Wow, that was a mouthful.
Mathematics is made of 50 percent formulas, 50 percent proofs, and 50 percent imagination.
I live below sea level in The Netherlands. It's not safe and it never will be. Global warming, rising sea level, storms, weaknesses in levees, terrorism, meteorites, technical failures, maintenance, politics, budgets. Looking at the pictures from New Orleans it's completely obvious what the city needs to do: move itself 10 feet or so upwards. That's all there is to it. How difficult can that be?
> NO DATA
...
5 25_deadzone.html - 28k - Sep 4, 2005
...h .html
... ....
Oh, for Christ's sake. Take 0.34 seconds to check what it's like BEFORE adding the toxic waste.
Results 1 - 100 of about 24,900 for "Gulf of Mexico" +"dead zone". (0.34 seconds)
NOAA's National Ocean Service: The Gulf of Mexico's dead zone swells each summer to about 18000 square kilometers--roughly the size of New Jersey....
oceanservice.noaa.gov/products/pubs_hypox.html -
The Dead Zone in the Gulf of Mexico is a large region of water that has very low oxygen concentrations, and therefore can't support aquatic life.
www.smm.org/deadzone/
Gulf of Mexico's "dead zone," which last summer reached the size of the
www.fishingnj.org/artdedzn.htm
Gulf of Mexico "Dead Zone" Is Size of New Jersey
Each year a swath of the Gulf of Mexico becomes so devoid of shrimp, fish, and
other marine life that it is known as the dead zone.
news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2005/05/0525_050
beneath the waves of the Gulf of Mexico lurks the "dead zone," a vast area off the Louisiana-Texas coast where oxygen-depleted water collects every
news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2000/12/1204_fis
Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia
The Gulf of Mexico "Dead Zone", or hypoxic zone, is an expanse of oxygen-depleted
waters that cannot sustain most marine life. This hypoxic zone is caused
www.ncat.org/nutrients/hypoxia/hypoxia.html - 7k
7000 square miles of the Gulf of Mexico. Called the Gulf Dead Zone....
I remember both those floods pretty well. '97 was a vicious flood year, not just in Sacramento County, but in other surrounding counties as well.
From my memory, a lot of the major problems in the surrounding counties came from the token efforts at infrastructure (if they even existed), the cover-ups relating to historical flood records and the general philosophy of "throw enough money at the problem and it'll go away". When the floods came and demolished the homes of people who had been enticed to come live there, the developers got off scot-free -- better than scot-free in fact, because they got government funding to rebuild on exactly the same spot. The developers' evasion was mainly built upon the caveat emptor argument, never mind that prior to the disaster they had done their best to make sure that historical records, environmental reports and other data were unattainable to buyers. The weather patterns were not unforseen, but rather were disregarded or obfuscated in the quest for profit, and such criminal disregard went completely unpunished.
Caveat emptor is an empty argument because there should be layers of protection when it comes to land ownership, some of the big ones being planning commissions, county boards of supervisors and city councils. Hazardous locations such as flood plains, active volcanoes, tailings fields and settling ponds should never be zoned for development in the first place, and to evade prosecution by claiming "let the buyer beware" is in effect, blaming the victim.
But I digress...
i was shocked to learn that, several years back, a team of scientists predicted an increase in, i believe, Gulf hurricanes as a result of global warming. the prophecy seems to have been fulfilled (remember florida got hit 4 times last season). so it is one thing to use science to design a flood-resistant city, but we need to use some even deeper preventative science as well...like not heating up the planet so much!
for that matter, a properly designed city does not require the use of cars...so we've got work to do
The storm surge overran it, and without wetlands to flood into, the water piled up to six feet over its normal level.
It seems like an awful lot of handwaving to say 'wetlands' would have stopped the disaster. It would require some very complicated computer models to accurately predict how much storm surge could be absorbed into given amount of wetlands. Where as building a dam on Lake Pontchartrain is a much more tractable problem.
Preserve wetlands for environmental reasons, but don't count on them for flood control without hard numbers.
The levee didn't just break - it overtopped.
Actually the flood walls overtopped and then broke as their foundations washed out.
There are 10 types of people in this world, those who can count in binary and those who can't.
Damn time does fly.
Rebuilding New Orleans shows stubbornness well beyond the border of idiocy
So you expect Bush will fund it then?
Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
In the Netherlands, there is long tradition of working together for the common good. Everybody shares a heritage and for the most part, a vision of what Dutch society should be like.
But New Orleans is the most racial segregated city this side of South Africa. And it's got a lot of history of race relations. Not much of it is good. The city has always been divided; and each side would be willing to just look the other way if something were to happen that caused the other side be destroyed. There is not much sense of one common New Orleans society shared by the blacks and the whites. Each side thinks that the city would be a better place if there were only far fewer of the other group.
It was the African-American sections of the city that suffered the most flood damage. A large percentage of the Euro-Americans with more money moved to the suburban parishes (usually Jefferson Parish next door) starting in the 1970's.
Look at a map of flooded areas. The flooding starts right on the parish line. In regards to NOLA area, the black areas are under water and the white areas are dry. Outside the city everyone is under water.
This bad racial heritage has really twisted the local New Orleans mentality, regardless of how much people like to pretend that it hasn't. Jefferson Parish (where most of the white people live(d) in New Orleans) is the home of former Ku Klux Klan leader (and Republican governor candidate) David Duke. White racism is widespread and not far below the surface there. It's like Bensonhurst NYC or Federal Hill Providence RI, except everyone is Cajun and redneck instead of Soprano. Same general mentality. Everyone gets along fine with 'those people' as long as they stay 'over there', in Orleans parish.
It occured to me that someone could have destroyed NOLA without a hurricane by simply parking a few trucks full of diesel and fertilizer next to the weakest levee. It was the levee break and not the hurricane that made NOLA uninhabitable.
Anyway, I hope Lestat got out OK. And his Rue Royale house didn't get flooded.
If it keeps on raining, levee's gonna break.
When the levee breaks, got no place to stay..
All last night, sat on the levee and moaned.
it's got what it takes to make a mudman leave his home Led Zeppelin 1971
...15-20 million on the San Andreas fault.
The real question is "how many category 4/5 hurricanes strike New Orleans head on in a given period?". The answer: 1 every 100 years. Category 3's were a one-in-twenty phenomena, which is why the levees were built to that standard.
And - coincidentally - their economy is smaller than many US States (California, Texas, New York to name a few). Their GDP is smaller than our typical Federal Budget.
When you grow up and get an education, one thing you'll learn about a national debt is that it's utterly meaningless when talking about finances of Nations.
Of course, all of this has jack to do with hurricanes.
What you said is idiotic. Its about developers playing odds. Natural disasters happen anywhere and everywhere. Everywhere you live in this country puts you at risk. Build on the Gulf or Atlantic? Hurricanes. Build in the midwest? Tornados. Build in the middle of the Desert - flash floods. Build on the west coast? Earthquakes. People have to live somewhere, so when a developer develops a tract of land, they consider the odds. The chance of NOLA flooding are good, but the chance of a catastrophic flood resulting in massive economic losses is rare. The people who lived in those flooded out areas play the odds, and the house eventually wins.
As to Venice... they are a prime example of a city which has managed flooding, encroachment, and growth with respect to curious geologic conditions. So when shit-for-brain morons (that would be you) start talking about the futility of rebuilding, I'm apt to point out that humans can and do survive anywhere they can extract an advantage.
Long before anyone built levees and floodgates, barrier islands were serving to block dangerous storm surges. Of course, those islands often fall victim to coastal development.
Mississippi has extensive barrier islands which are undeveloped, didn't seem to have helped, and in some cases were completely eroded by this storm. The hurricane was a category 2 some 200 miles inland- no amount of island would have prevented the coastal damage in this area.
Here's the deal: we need to live with nature. One aspect of this is that cities will get destroyed - the ruins of destroyed ancient cities ring the Earth.
_ schrope072501.asp
New Orleans as it is should be adandoned. The high ground of the french quarter might be preserved. The deep water port and industrial areas like Michoud are restored. These areas have proper seawalls built with regard to natural silt flows, the rest of the city becomes Delta again. People that live in the area live the way you're supposed to in a swamp: in boats and house-barges. The swamp dwellers seem to have faired well, and came out of the woods to help evacuate the city. If the population was competent enough to live in the swamp instead of against it, they could flourish. As it is, they have probably crippled the shrimping and subsidence issues doom much of the city. Imagine a million houseboats stretching through a restored river system. People commute to work by boat, work in hi-tech, shipping and restored shrimp industries. Let the Mississippi wander as it needs, build the deep-water port out in the ocean and have lighter barges for carrying containers and oil in-shore. If people want to live there, they should adapt to life on the water.
I want to see a JMOB/SeaHub container facility in the Gulf of Mexico. This technology can be applied to housing, shipping, huge mobile hospitals, etc. http://www.technologyreview.com/articles/01/07/wo
Josh
gigantino.tv - Heavy but weighs nothing.
...and a King Kanute attitude.
What the fuck are you talking about?
Do I know you?
Anyway, I *want* the cereal people to hang out by the San Andreas fault. Sooner or later, the whole state will split off and they can declare independence and we can close the border and the California problem will be solved.
Personally, I've been waiting for that long promised earthquake for 30 years now.
Clear, Dark Skies
Pah, here in London it took 15 years IIRC to pedestrianise a single square (leicester square). The link to the channel tunnel is still not finished. Shanghai on the other hand...
Instead of spending all this money to rebuild New Orleans, let's just put the buildings and houses on stilts, replace the cars with bass fishing boats (gondolas are just too inappropriately European), and change the name to New Venice.
[Dons flame-retardant suite and ducks...]
Flying is easy, just throw yourself at the ground and miss. -Douglas Adams
Discussing racial issues does not make one a racist. Calling blacks undesirables, associating them with criminals, and claiming that people should forced out of the city they lived in simply because of their race makes one a racist.
That is most certainly flamebait.
Do you think black neighborhoods are never bulldozed for upscale, largely white housing? There are thousands of companies litterally looking for an excuse to bulldoze poor neighborhoods and build over them. Their only major obstacle is usually the people living there. This is real. Ignore these facts at your own peril.
I am not ignorant of these facts. I am well aware of these facts. I happen think rehabbing poor neighborhoods is in fact a very important and worthwhile project. However, definitely not by steam rollering people indiscriminately based on race, OR taking advantage of the worst natrual disaster in US history, to kick hurricane and flooding victims collectively in the balls. But that's besides what you're discussing. I called putko out because he's both wrong and a racist. He may think that developers have a hard on for the land that low income housing rests on, but that is in spite of the facts about the land, and the prospects for development in New Orleans. In fact the only reason why he's suggesting that developers might want this land, is because it might be avaliable now that all the "undesirables" have been "forced" off it. I'd wager that putko has no idea what areas of New Orleans are genuinely low income, nor would he know how this corresponds to the flooded areas in New Orleans. He's speculating, and he's doing it based on his prejudices. Again, wrong and racist.
As for my views on race and ethnicity, i most certainly make cultural distinctions. I'm also aware enough to decouple a person's genetics from their cultural upbringing. I'm very aware of cultural problems across the US, particularly in places where there are unspoken elephants in every room. Being aware of these problems is the first step in addressing them. And calling out people who make up shit, and perpetuate lies and falsehoods is and important part of addressing problems and misconceptions.
There are lives at stake here!
New Orleans should be rebuilt with Faith.
fish and pipes
I know what you mean about not being able to find the cites when you need them; I appreciate the research.
Clear, Dark Skies
I just don't get that. It does have the tempting thing of keeping the pumps above water longer. But if that's a problem, just build levees around the pumps and put pumps above the pumps to keep the pumps dry.
As to your reservoir, you are not going to make a dent in the amount of water in the Mississippi, let alone the ocean, by digging a hole for it to flow into. There was plenty more water available to fill the city, and it would have still done so.
Will it buy time? Perhaps. But people didn't leave. They're still there! Buying time isn't going to help. If the levees break and people don't leave, they're boned.
Blaming the Corps is ridiculous. The #1 problem was the huge hurricane, the #2 problem was everyone knew this would happen, including the Corps, and no one took it seriously enough. It didn't take a lot of research to find that those walls were built for a cat 3, not a cat 4 with a cat 5 surge.
The city wasn't safe for the hit it took. That's it. It's not the Corps fault, with the proper money and time they probably could have made it safe for a cat 4 or perhaps a low cat 5. But they weren't given the money, nor tasked to do it.
Where do you get this "city everyone loves so much" and "so important to our economy" stuff. Are the refineries in the city limits all of a sudden? The actual hurricane damage (as opposed to later flood damage) in the other areas was what really hurt the economy. Not damage to a city with 33% of its citizens below the poverty level. Although it would suck if the Mississippi were no longer navigable.
http://lkml.org/lkml/2005/8/20/95
What the fuck are you talking about?
Ah, another victim of our modern education system!
Canute, a Dane who conquered England and ruled from 1016 to 1035. The legend of Canute and the sea: (from Wikipedia)
If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
"[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz
As many people have mentioned - why rebuild there? Aren't we pissing into the wind?
If you had the chance to invest in property that is in one of the following categories - would you?
1) Building a town below sea level
2) Building the most important State on a fault line
3) Building a house on the Mississpi flood plane
4) Building a house in a known hurricane landing area
Sounds like good ideas right? not... I'm just waiting for the next disasters to occur and listen to people say "Why me?", "this is what Hiroshima must have looked like" and "Our country suffers so much... poor us".
I feel for the people who weren't healthy enough to leave and the people who did not have the money to leave but that's where my pity stops. The people who said "I'm not leaving" and "I'll ride this out" knew what they were getting into... If you don't have the survival gene in you, well what's going to stop you from stepping out in front of the bus. Those are the same people who are going to rebuild in the same location again and I'll chuckle once more when people say "God has our back" just 2 hours before the levy bursts.
Good luck with all that...
I say I don't love NO, and you transform that into that I don't care about it. That's an interesting way of taking it. You started this "my city is awesome" contest by saying everyone loves NO, not me. So I don't love NO. Sue me.
What kind of relativism is this anyway? If Gary, Indiana floods out, that's okay, because no one loves it. But if NO floods, we'd better get right on it? Apparently I can't call myself a "patriot" because I don't hold NO above other cities.
The rail system idea is interesting, but I don't think it's worthwhile. Repairing a busted levee (or retaining wall, as the case may be) while the water is flowing over it (and over the tracks) isn't easy. In this case, it probably would have been near impossible. It'd really be better just to fix the system so the walls won't break.
Eh, who am I kidding? Due to the pumping the ground is subsiding, this problem gets worse all the time. Really, the fix is to raise the ground level so that the pumps can be turned off. Then the ground will stop subsiding and there will be have fewer problems next time this happens. Where to get all that dirt, I dunno. Moving it wouldn't be easy either, but it'd be easier than digging a hole and then building a city over it!
I still think your hole idea is crazy. And no, you can't fit a significant portion of Lake Ponch in there either. The lake is 10x the size of the entire land area of NO. And the Bayou area of NO is what, 1/8th of it? So, if you dug down 8 meters, you could hold 10% of the volume of lake Ponch. That'd be les than 1/3rd of the surge alone, forgetting the water already there. All it would do is give maybe a couple hours before the water started rising. But since it'd been 5 days now since the water started rising and people are still there, do you think a few more hours would have helped?
Really, it'd be most important just to get everyone out. People just didn't leave because they've been through this before, and they don't feel like leaving their pets behind, spending money and time to get far away just to come back. Well, they were wrong about that this time, and it cost them. But building holes won't fix that.
You are blaming the Corps here. They were tasked with building protection to a Cat 3 hurricane. They did. That's the end of it. Expecting protection for a cat 3 to work on a cat 4/5 is ridiculous. It's like buying a 4-cylinder car and then complaining it isn't the V6 version. You asked for the 4-cylinder version, you paid for the 4-cylinder version. If you needed a 6-cylinder, why did you buy the 4-cylinder? And it isn't as if the Corps was hiding that the protection wasn't enough, everyone knew. A band even wrote a pop song about it! Someone didn't find the problem a big enough concern, or more likely couldn't find the money to pay for it.
The Corps and everyone else knew the walls were only good for a cat 3. No one bellied up the money for more protection. So you get what you asked and paid for.
And I don't like Rumsfeld either, but this has been a problem since before 2001, if Katrina had blown through in August 2000, the problem would have been just as bad, and you'd have no way to blame Rumsfeld.
http://lkml.org/lkml/2005/8/20/95
With the the Bush Administration doing the best it can...
It's funny to hear people try to defend incompetence with the 'they did the best they could' line- that's the point, the best they could is not good enough. Even if someone else would have done the same, or just as poorly, the one who was there in control at the time has to take their share of the blame- and there is plenty of blame to go around, don't worry.
... *not* rebuilding New Orleans.
v ee_System.gif.
Seriously. Abandon the city, do not rebuild it on a terrain that is actually *below* the standard level of both the Mississipi *and* the standard level of that sea of theirs. See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:New_Orleans_Le
Building a city in this terrain was crazy in the beginning. Rebuilding it means playing with the lives of people again. Remember Murphys Law: If something can go wrong, it will. I easily can imagine douzends of things that can go wrong building "better" flood control, starting at a corrupt city/state/federal government.
BTW: After the Storm Flood of 1962 in Hamburg/Germany, some areas are off-limits even today because disease control. How many of the New Orleans area will have to be shut of from the public?
Screw the FSM - Real geeks believe in the Invisible Pink Unicorn
There are probably trillions of dollars worth of safety improvements that could be done throughout the country - enough to bankrupt the country. The question is, which ones should we fund? Politicians and even voters have been putting off upgrades for centuries. It's a roll of the dice - a calculated risk. Sometimes they get lucky and nothing happens, and everyone pats each other on their back for money saved. Sometimes, as with Katrina, they get spectacularly unlucky and people go on a witch hunt trying to place the blame.
Trying to pin the blame entirely on Bush is a gross misrepresentation of the decision-making process that leads to these sorts of funds being cut. You are essentially saying Bush in his omniscience should've foreseen that a major hurricane would happen this year in that area, and preserved funding for levee renovations there. Why the levees in New Orleans? What about earthquake retrofitting in California? Or tornado warning systems in the midwest? Or money to help uncover terrorist cells? You cannot judge these decisions in hindsight on the basis of what did happen. You have to judge them on the basis of what we thought could've happened at the time.
What if Katrina had grown no bigger than a tropical storm. What if Bush had then funded those levees in NOLA, cut funding for the war in Iraq, and Iraq degenerated into civil war because the US had inadequate troop presence? I suppose you'd think that would've squarely been Bush's fault too?
Blame people for the bad decisions they make after they've been given adequate data (e.g. the total lack of any connection between Iraq and terrorism). Do not try to pin all the blame on them for decisions which later turn out to be bad due to totally random phenomena like the weather.
Why be so authoritarian? If it wasn't for the damn fed's insuring people who build on flood plains and constantly bailing out insurance companies who made promises they can't keep, people would stop building in areas prone to flooding. Take some of the money now used to pay for flood damage and funnel it into a service to that home-buyers can call and get the straight dope about where they plan to move.
Since people built in NOLA with the understanding that the fedgov would bail them out in the case of a flood, they should get that money but with the understanding that they will never again be compensated for flood damage. Drain NOLA long enough to collect the bodies, do general cleanup and demolition, and move historical buildings to higher ground. Then return everything to the state we found it.
http://www.marxist.com/
What's the point of rebuilding?
The port of New Orleans and environs is one of the top three ports of the united states. Massive tonnage of imports/exports flow through this port, including 15-20% of all petroleum products used by this country, the majority of exported agricultural goods; not to mention all the oil infrastructure currently existing in the Gulf of Mexico.
NO and the surrounding communities are where all the oil and dockyard works live.
It's not what you Warg, it's how you Snarf
Look, the Gulf Dead Zone is scary enough to those concerned about the coastal environment. But listing multiple sources in your post that reference New Jersey?
There's no reason to make the Dead Zone seem that bad.
Yes, I'm from NJ.
"Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
I agree that the titles and lines are oddly similar, but in this case I think it was more a case of the NYT referencing itself, not publishing the same op-ed. (and both of these are op-eds)
The 2002 article summary reads: "Editorial backs efforts of Sens Tom Daschle, Robert Smith, John McCain and Russell Feingold to institute top-to-bottom overhaul of Army Corps of Engineers"- 630 words
2005 article: "Editorial strongly opposes bill that would shovel $17 billion at Army Corps of Engineers for water-related projects including $2.7-billion boondoggle on Mississippi River that has twice flunked inspection by National Academy of Sciences; warns bill would also weaken civilian control over fiercely independent corps that operates in parallel universe, spending billions of dollars on public works projects, often to satisfy Congress's appetite for pork" - 415 words
Seriously, didn't most people find K5 from /.?
When you make a point which can be - by even the loosest standard - considered salient, I will let you know to what extent I decide to ignore it.
How long do you want to fight a losing battle with the planet? How high do you eventually want the levees to be before you give up? When the city's subsided to the point where it's an isolated bowl in the ocean?
How long? As long as you need to get the technology to win. I don't expect water to be a problem in 2030 New Orleans. It's all a matter of production forces. Once you get enough of them, there is no stopping you, planet or no planet.
We already can build underwater hotels (coming to Dubai in 2006), 8-km high oil rigs, 0.8-km high skyscrapers and what not. There will eventually be no problem in building a city in the crater of an active volcano, on the sea floor 2km deep, on the South Pole, in Earth orbit or in the Missisipi delta. With AI and nanotechnology it will all be a piece of cake.
Now the only two real questions are whether it's better to fix the city or build a new one and whether (New) New Orleans will hold on for 20-30 years in spite of the coming global warming.
Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
Before it went all politics all the time and all.
and I don't mind looking odd; it makes it easier for my mommy to find me when I get lost in the shopping mall.
Clear, Dark Skies
As a geologist, I would be in the camp which suggests that the government take this as an opportunity to move the city to higher and more stable ground and abandon the old city to be an archaeological curiosity and tourist attraction.
And just WHERE do you expect to move it to? Who's land are you going to seize in order to build a new city at that new location?
Repeatedly, in The Detroit News and in other media, the term "white flight" was used to describe the exodus that led to the city's white population decline from 1,545,847 in 1950 to 116,599 today, or 12.3 percent of Detroit's current population., which backs up White flight
"The loss of pedestrian-scale villages caused a loss of community connection. People no longer know their neighbors and rarely walk unless they place a high value on exercise."
"Although a few expensive items, such as pianos and sewing machines, had been sold on time before 1920, it was installment sales of automobiles during the twenties that established the purchasing of expensive consumer goods on credit as a middle-class habit and a mainstay of the American economy."
This is in addition to the economic dependence on foreign oil, environmental impact of pumping massive amount of CO2 into the air, and the health problems caused by these supposedly freedom loving people driving. The only "freedom" given by the car is being free to spend hours in gridlock because you choose to live far away enough from your job and think public transportation is for commoners. In very few instances is the car anything more than a glorified, highly visible status symbol.
As for it providing a life away from home and work, how exactly is it doing that, seeing as how nearly everywhere people drive to is a popular area, not Big Sur. Driving instead of taking the bus isn't freedom, it's laziness.
The road to hell is paved with good intentions.
Skrew rebuilding.
Insurance/govt. relief funds should be provided to displaced people, who can then settle at a place of their choosing.
Those who had little in New Orleans (low wage jobs/no property) are already trying to set up shop in the places they have been evacuated to. Apparantly the Burger King across the street from the Astrodome is being flooded wiht applicants.
"I'll have a Guinness, no wait, make that a Coors Light" -Grad student I work with, who shall remain anonymous...
Of course my origional claim that someone is cheating still stands, just the guilty party is the poster if not the newspaper. He apparently flat out lied in an attempt to claim there is a "vast right wing conspiracy" out there.
Mathematics is made of 50 percent formulas, 50 percent proofs, and 50 percent imagination.
I wouldn't bet my family's lives on such a rule of thumb.
Your residence was most likely built based on a large chain of rules of thumb. Contractors who build almost all residential structure don't do finite element analysis of planned buildings; they simply build to code, which is a conservative set of rules of thumb.
I am familiar with the complexities of modeling fluid flow... especially mixtures of mud, sand, air, water, and seasonal vegitation. I seriously doubt that anyone can accurately model this.
I know a thing or too about modeling of fluids myself, but mostly air. I worked as a computational fluid dynamics engineer for over 3 years at a major jet engine manufacturer, now I am an applied super computing consultant at a major academic institution. One thing I have learned is that although you can get a better answer from really high fidelity analysis, you can usually get on that is right enough with low fidelity analysis. There are times to use the best modeling, and times to use less. When you can get 80% of the answer in 5 minutes or 99% of the answer in 1 year, it is often better to take 80%, and apply a safty factor.
I don't doubt that nobody could do acurate first principles based modeling of the wetlands problem, but as much as I hate it, first principles models are not alway the best tools to use... There are several assumptions you could make for this problem to get good enough answers, I suspect that is where these rules of thumb came from.
"I'll have a Guinness, no wait, make that a Coors Light" -Grad student I work with, who shall remain anonymous...
The idea off building levees and floodwalls and stopping the subsidence are mutually exclusive. If you do not want the city to loose elevation you must flood it from time to time. In fact the current flooding will actually raise the level of the city (flooded areas) by a few fractions of an inch. The Dutch system does not completely depend on single layers of dykes. It is a system that also entails vast low lands of farmland that can be flooded. Where would we get such "empty" reservoirs around New Orleans? Condemn part of the City and enclose it? Drain more of the wetlands and enclose them? Barrier islands would not have helped much since the water came in from the west and north across the Lake. It would have helped a bit if the Lake (actually a shallow bay) would be sealed off from the Gulf. That would be a big project and would ruin a vast estuary. The only engineering solution is to dredge and canal residential areas that are currently below sea (actually Lake) level. This would create a huge political problem and entail massive condemnation and property confiscation battles. But property values would soar. One other thing that drives me nuts is the concept that once the water comes out people can return. Houses that have been dunked will not survive. I guess this begs the question as to why there was such a rush to pump.
Well, mostly. Apparently, they think the water has more inertia than the air, so when the storm dropped to cat 4, it maintained most of it's cat 5 force in terms of surge. True? I dunno. But that's what I heard.
Also, the spinning direction of the storm means the winds (and thus waves) were blowing right into Lake Ponch, piling up even more water there than you would otherwise expect.
http://lkml.org/lkml/2005/8/20/95
Slashdotters take note: the people rebuilding the area will be real engineers, not so-called "computer engineers" or "software engineers".
My comment will be modded down to oblivion.
The problem is that New Orleans is now almost completely destroyed and it's going to take decades and hundreds of billions of dollars to bring it back. We as a nation don't have that kind of money to waste; we're already making sacrifices on things like education, public assistance, universal healthcare, social security -- and then there's the war, another money sink, but one that we can't fight effectively because we can't afford armor for troops or vehicles or death benefits for KIAs.
Rather than pouring money the U.S. doesn't really have into a location that's assuredly going to suffer another catastrophic inundation, why not move the port to higher ground, at the very least? The problem is the rebuilding effort is focusing on where everything used to be instead of looking for new locations. By insisting we must rebuild exactly where everything used to be, we are effectively thumbing our nose at Mother Nature.
Your residence was most likely built based on a large chain of rules of thumb. Contractors who build almost all residential structure don't do finite element analysis of planned buildings; they simply build to code, which is a conservative set of rules of thumb.
building codes are built on conservative rules of thumb. Your wetland rule of thumb is optimistic. Rules of thumb are fine, I just have a problem with your hand-waving.
I worked as a computational fluid dynamics engineer for over 3 years at a major jet engine manufacturer, now I am an applied super computing consultant at a major academic institution.
Then you should know the difficulties in modeling reacting flows with many complex species. now imagine that with sand and mud and plants and debris and topography you don't know well.
One thing I have learned is that although you can get a better answer from really high fidelity analysis, you can usually get on that is right enough with low fidelity analysis.
And until you do the high fidelity analysis (or better, real world testing) you don't know how much to trust the low fidelity analysis.
There are times to use the best modeling, and times to use less. When you can get 80% of the answer in 5 minutes or 99% of the answer in 1 year, it is often better to take 80%, and apply a safty factor.
To do so, where people's lives are at stake, you need to know an adequate safety factor. I've seen many screw ups resulting from fudge factors pulled out of engineers asses. (Columbia springs to mind)
I doubt anyone knows the right safety factor for the placement of wetlands to absorb storm surges.
I don't doubt that nobody could do acurate first principles based modeling of the wetlands problem, but as much as I hate it, first principles models are not alway the best tools to use... There are several assumptions you could make for this problem to get good enough answers, I suspect that is where these rules of thumb came from.
How do you know those answers are good enough? Has any wetlands-based-hurricane-abatement system ever been tested? Without testing such a mound of assumptions is little more than hot air.
But when it comes to levees and the like there are millennia of real world experience with failed levees. We know the bad assumptions, and therefore we can build a safer levee system than we can a swamp system.
I have nothing against expanded wetlands... there are lots of good biodiversity and pollution reasons to do so. But I am skeptical of their use for protection from category 5 hurricanes.
There are 10 types of people in this world, those who can count in binary and those who can't.
I wasn't the person who proposed it, I just defended it...
The only thing I have to add is about the lack of testing. There have been (sort of) extensive tests. Huricanes hit areas of extensive wetlands during the development of surrounding areas (these wetlands have since been developed as well). We could know from experience if the rule of thumb is in the right niegbhorhood from compairing similar storms during and after development.
"I'll have a Guinness, no wait, make that a Coors Light" -Grad student I work with, who shall remain anonymous...
And before you reply that you did use paragraphs but they didn't show up in your post because Slashdot removed them, here is another piece of advice: USE THE "Preview" BUTTON, ASSHOLE.