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A Million Zunes Sold

According to Robbie Bach, Microsoft's president of the Entertainment and Devices Division, Zune has already met the goal of 1.000.000 players sold, set at launch for the end of June. He also confirms that new Zune things will come in this fall, talks (not) about the Zune Phone, the new Watermelon Red Zune, the Zune Marketplace and of course Xbox 360.

424 comments

  1. They're catching up, then... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...and don't forget - there's four less iPods in circulation since they put out that 'Bite Me' display unit.

    1. Re:They're catching up, then... by neoform · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Catching up? Maybe..

      Catching on? No.

      They *still* haven't bought the domain zune.com, talk about stupid.

      --
      MABASPLOOM!
    2. Re:They're catching up, then... by BrokenHalo · · Score: 1

      Not to mention that Bill Gates personally recommended not so long ago that Australians *don't* buy the Zune. Not that I was even considering it, but still...

      Makes me wonder if those 10^6 sales are dummy transactions through their accounts books...

    3. Re:They're catching up, then... by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 1

      I hope all Zune owners know that.... (as a non-zune owner, I didn't, obviously)...

      But you have to wonder if that's really their final stab... or if, like playsforsure, the current crop of 1 million zune owners will be left out in the cold when Microsoft contracts another company to build them yet another player....

      Talk about being out of touch.... they should really stick to ironing out the kinks in the 360 (QC issues) before they tackle Apple's turf... because they're getting beaten like they owe Apple money...

      (Don't get me wrong... I like the 360... it's just got some longstanding issues that even the Elite has manifested...)

      --
      It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
    4. Re:They're catching up, then... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Tell me exactly what is wrong with the Zune? I purchased one shortly after they came out. And yes, I own an iPod as well. I am just sick and tired of seeing all these iPod > Zune posts simply because the Zune is made by Microsoft.

    5. Re:They're catching up, then... by DECS · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The Zune isn't a bad product "just because it's from Microsoft." It's a bad product because it's from Microsoft.

      A subtle difference. Don't confuse causation with simple correlation.

      Microsoft isn't working to make the Zune a good product, it's working to sell a bad product through FUD and intimidation, but in the consumer electronics world, MS isn't doing well at all, having lost many billions every year since 2001. If Microsoft spun its Apple-like hardware/consumer products off into its own company, it would be many times more beleagured than Apple ever was in the mid 80s.

      What's really going to be fun to watch is not how the Zune shrivels up next to the iPod, but how Windows Mobile is going to implode as soon as business customers realize that mobile phones don't have to spontaneously crash, spend 2 minutes rebooting, and offer arcane and bizarre interfaces and a generally crappy software experience. That is set to happen as soon as the iPhone hits. Not even AT&T can screw that up. That may make IT people question why they're continuing to use Windows products rather than an open operating systems based on Unix.

      This is simply Bill Gates' second pie in the face.

      Zune vs. iPhone: Five Phases of Media Coverage
      iPod vs Zune: Microsoft's Slippery Astroturf
      Next Gen Sales - Q1 2007 - Zune, Xbox, PS3, Wii, Apple TV

    6. Re:They're catching up, then... by phalse+phace · · Score: 1

      "They *still* haven't bought the domain zune.com, talk about stupid."

      Maybe that's because someone already owns zune.com

      Registrant:
      Zune
      SPORTZUN, S.A.
      C/CLAUDIO COELLO, 78 Bis 4
      MADRID, MADRID 28001
      ES

      Domain Name: ZUNE.COM

      Administrative Contact, Technical Contact:
      Nogales, Antonio ang@zune.com
      SPORTZUN, S.A.
      CLAUDIO COELLO, 78 Bis, 4
      MADRID, MADRID 28001
      ES
      +34914350461 fax: +34915766735

      Record expires on 21-Jun-2009.
      Record created on 22-Jun-1998.
      Database last updated on 28-May-2007 23:28:57 EDT.

      Domain servers in listed order:

      NS1.DOMINIOABSOLUTO.COM
      NS2.DOMINIOABSOLUTO.COM

    7. Re:They're catching up, then... by Divebus · · Score: 1

      You're my hero.

      --

      Most of the stuff on /. won't survive first contact with facts.
    8. Re:They're catching up, then... by aichpvee · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm sure microsoft has enough money to buy it. Hell, I fucking HATE microsoft and I'd still sell it to them for a hundred million or so. If they're serious about the brand they'd buy it. Or get their lawyers to cook up some reason why the current owners are infringing on their trademarks or something and sue them out of existence to get the domain.

      It shows a real lack of dedication on the part of microsoft.

      --
      The Farewell Tour II
    9. Re:They're catching up, then... by dhavleak · · Score: 0

      I'm sure microsoft has enough money to buy it. Hell, I fucking HATE microsoft and I'd still sell it to them for a hundred million or so. If they're serious about the brand they'd buy it. Or get their lawyers to cook up some reason why the current owners are infringing on their trademarks or something and sue them out of existence to get the domain.

      It shows a real lack of dedication on the part of microsoft. And the moment they follow your suggestion you'll yell bloody murder at the convicted monopolist using strong-arm tactics. Sheesh.
    10. Re:They're catching up, then... by jetxee · · Score: 1
      Excellent post. Thank you. Unfortunately I have never seen the zune thing in the Real Life(TM). But I am absolutely sure it is a bad thing from an evil corporation. And you confirmed my opinion about it.

      P.S. Windows mobile is going to implode... mobile phones don't have to spontaneously crash... Ah, can't wait for it. I feel so happy already!

    11. Re:They're catching up, then... by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Hell no. Like the other guy, I "fucking HATE" microsoft too. But I'm always happy to see them and their money parted. Some dude in Spain getting $100M out of MS for a domain name for a product they're already losing money on sounds great to me. It's not like they have a prayer of actually hurting Apple's marketshare, even with a spiffy zune.com domain name.

      If I owned zune.com, I'd be happy to sell it to them for the low, low price of $100M. Heck, I'll be nice and give it to them for 50% off!

  2. but ... by eneville · · Score: 5, Insightful

    who bought these? i don't know anyone in the uk who has a zune.. for that matter i don't know anyone who has even SEEN a zune. did ms employees buy these at a knock-down rate?

    1. Re:but ... by tomstdenis · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You realize that a million isn't much right in the grand scheme of populations right?

      In the UK, if a million were sold there you'd have a 1/54 chance [or so] of knowing someone who owned a Zune. In Canada, it'd be about 1/32 or so. And given that I don't regularly hang out with 32 peeps [assuming all were sold in Canada though...] it's not surprising me that I haven't seen one.

      Tom

      --
      Someday, I'll have a real sig.
    2. Re:but ... by eneville · · Score: 1

      You realize that a million isn't much right in the grand scheme of populations right?

      In the UK, if a million were sold there you'd have a 1/54 chance [or so] of knowing someone who owned a Zune. In Canada, it'd be about 1/32 or so. And given that I don't regularly hang out with 32 peeps [assuming all were sold in Canada though...] it's not surprising me that I haven't seen one.

      Tom but i work in a place where everyone has the latest gadget, nearly everyone has an ipod and a fancy phone. well, i dont see the need for the zune, unless it's going to be incredibly cheaper than the ipod here.
    3. Re:but ... by Rakshasa+Taisab · · Score: 4, Funny

      Yeah... The Zune is something you only show to your very closest friends, amongst nervous laughter, as you explain to them the embarrassing chain of events that led you to buying it.

      So, if you have less than a hundred very close friends, you're not likely to have seen one.

      --
      - These characters were randomly selected.
    4. Re:but ... by tomstdenis · · Score: 1

      Well I dunno about you but when I walk around with my ipod I usually keep it in my pocket.

      Tom

      --
      Someday, I'll have a real sig.
    5. Re:but ... by x_MeRLiN_x · · Score: 1

      Your calculation assumes I only "know" one person.

    6. Re:but ... by $pearhead · · Score: 5, Informative

      i don't know anyone in the uk who has a zune..
      That might have something to do with the fact that it has not been released in Europe yet.
    7. Re:but ... by tomstdenis · · Score: 1

      Fair enough, but unless you hang out with 60 or so peeps you're not guaranteed to have seen one.

      In fact it's even lower if you know couples. In most cases, a couple who is against buying one acts really like an individual. Even if one of them might be tilted towards buying one, they won't.

      Tom

      --
      Someday, I'll have a real sig.
    8. Re:but ... by Da+Fokka · · Score: 1

      who bought these? i don't know anyone in the uk who has a zune.. for that matter i don't know anyone who has even SEEN a zune. did ms employees buy these at a knock-down rate?


      Nope, they are bundled with every new PC. It worked for Vista.

    9. Re:but ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Well, you are posting on Slashdot after all...

    10. Re:but ... by nurb432 · · Score: 1

      1 million sounds like a lot, but it really isnt.

      Espcially over here in the US.

      --
      ---- Booth was a patriot ----
    11. Re:but ... by catwh0re · · Score: 0, Troll

      nah it's not that they sold a million units. they just sold 1.000000 It's just a significant figures thing.

    12. Re:but ... by trolltalk.com · · Score: 1

      In other news, SCO anounces that they are entering the portable music market. They have a million units of their new player, labeled the "eZune", in stock, ready to ship.

    13. Re:but ... by mattpointblank · · Score: 1

      Yeah, me neither. When I mention them in conversation (usually to illustrate how bad the wireless/DRM thing is) I have to follow it with "it's Microsoft's iPod".

    14. Re:but ... by unapersson · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      While coincidentally wearing those nice white stylish earphones that signal to everyone that you're listening to an ipod ;-) I might have got one but have about 9Gb of music in Ogg Vorbis format and they don't support it. So about as much use as a brick to me. Fortunately though, plenty of other players do.

    15. Re:but ... by Professor_UNIX · · Score: 1, Troll

      I might have got one but have about 9Gb of music in Ogg Vorbis format and they don't support it.
      Well that was pretty stupid of you. If you would've ripped the music in MP3 format you could listen to it on nearly anything. The only people that use Ogg Vorbis are open source fanatics.
    16. Re:but ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree. I don't see a significant compression advantage to Ogg. I think it is the underground OSS way of saying "I am hip."

    17. Re:but ... by maxume · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If you don't have, like really, really expensive headphones, why not just buy the player you like best and transcode to mp3? Supporting Vorbis is nice, but I don't think things will be at a point where it matters for quite some while, and by then, the mp3 patents will have expired. The quality per bit advantage isn't something 98% of people are even going to understand.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    18. Re:but ... by unapersson · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Well that was pretty stupid of you. If you would've ripped the music in MP3 format you could listen to it on nearly anything. The only people that use Ogg Vorbis are open source fanatics."

      That's a pretty stupid thing to say. It sounds better than MP3 and its legal to play on my operating system of choice, it also works fine on my audio player of choice. All it shows is a limitation of the ipod. All that matters to me is that my collection of music is in the best format for me, I couldn't really give a toss that your favourite format is MP3. For me Ogg Vorbis was the sensible choice. Whatever happened to the concept of personal choice?

    19. Re:but ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only time I've ever seen a Zune is in the hands of a Microsoft employee...

    20. Re:but ... by gsn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well that was pretty stupid of you. If you would've ripped the music in MP3 format you could listen to it on nearly anything. The only people that use Ogg Vorbis are open source fanatics.


      1) most iRiver and iAudio players support OGG out of the box, IIRC Archos too.
      2) yes open source fanatics use ogg vorbis. It is the principle of the thing. Many of the same open source fanatics can use rockbox as well and can play oggs on their iPods.
      3) whats stupid IMHO is the number of people who pay quite a bit for their iPods, and never use iTunes, which is the big iPod advantage. For the same dollar there are several DAPs out there with better (and more usable) features, arguably better interfaces that are way better value for money. Its basically because no one can match apple's ad budget.
      --
      Reality must take precedence over public relations, for nature cannot be fooled.
    21. Re:but ... by spisska · · Score: 4, Informative

      I've found that Ogg Vorbis offers noticeably better fidelity than mp3 at comparable comression. It's not something that you can easily hear with a portable player and cheap headphones, but on quality gear the difference is obvious.

      Ogg is much, much better at preserving the character of high-frequency sounds and overtones (think cymbals and strings), and much more faithfully preserves dynamic range. Again, this won't make much difference on the train with your ipod ear buds, but run it through a decent sound system and the mp3s just sound muddy. And when it comes to Classical music, mp3 is nearly useless. Ogg does a decent enough job of it, but I still keep Classical and many Jazz recordings in FLAC.

      From what I understand, the lack of Ogg support on many players stems less from commercial or legal concerns (patent issues vis a vis Fraunhofer notwithstanding) than from technical issues. Ogg needs more juice to decode, which means needing stronger processors, better means of heat dissipation, and a necessary hit on battery performance. Not that it can't be done, but it requires more expensive components and shorter battery lives.

      But the lack of Ogg support on the ipod is not a huge deal. I wish it were there, but that doesn't stop me from transcoding from Ogg (or FLAC) to mp3 for the ipod and keeping the Oggs and FLACs on my Myth system.

      I do favor open source whenever possible but am no fanatic. I am, however, a musician, and sound quality is as imortant as, or more important to me than portability. Especially when portability is so easy after the fact.

      And I think it's pretty stupid of you to not realize that other people may do things diferently than you, and they're not wrong because of it.

      As far as the Zune claims go, I don't buy it for a minute, any more than I buy the claim of 40m Vista licenses sold.

      I take the el to work in Chicago, and every day I see dozens of people with ipods. I've yet to see a single Zune in the wild, and at retail outlets like Microcenter or Target there always seems to be a crowd of people looking at the ipods on display while the Zune is simply ignored. I don't think I've ever even seen a working Zune on display -- they're always off or broken.

      Microsoft's numbers don't mean a thing. The numbers to look at are from retailers: How many Zunes have been sold at Amazon, Best Buy, Circuit City, etc.? It's certainly not as high as Microsoft would have you believe. No matter what color they make it.

    22. Re:but ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [tl;dr]
      It's a marketing thing. Apple doesn't do OGG because it doesn't want iPods to be seen with fat, greasy losers like you.
    23. Re:but ... by ctennenh · · Score: 0

      In the UK you'd have a 1/54 prob. of being someone with a Zune and, depending on your frequency of ex basementus excursions the prob. of knowing someone with one would be much higher.

    24. Re:but ... by ravenshrike · · Score: 1

      It sounds better than MP3 if using a high end sound system. Even with $500 eShure headphones it would be hard to tell the difference given the iPods output.

    25. Re:but ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why is this insightful?
      I you have a 1/54 chance of *knowing* someone that has a Zune....
      54 million people in the UK / 1 million zunes = YOU ONLY KNOW YOURSELF!

      Techincally, you have a 1/54 chance of owning one. Unless you have no friends.

    26. Re:but ... by ronanbear · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Guy in the office beside me has one. I've never seen it though as he doesn't use it in the office. The only reason I knew he had one was he was complaining about getting a charger because he had to plug it into his computer to charge it. I explained that because USB is 5V standard he should be able to plug his USB cable into an iPod-USB wall socket charger which is the same voltage.

      Worked apparently.

      I was pretty surprised that he bought it. Probably just has a big collection of WMA files.

      --
      the more they over-think the plumbing the easier it is to stop up the pipe
    27. Re:but ... by dirk · · Score: 3, Insightful

      As far as the Zune claims go, I don't buy it for a minute, any more than I buy the claim of 40m Vista licenses sold.

      I take the el to work in Chicago, and every day I see dozens of people with ipods. I've yet to see a single Zune in the wild, and at retail outlets like Microcenter or Target there always seems to be a crowd of people looking at the ipods on display while the Zune is simply ignored. I don't think I've ever even seen a working Zune on display -- they're always off or broken.

      Microsoft's numbers don't mean a thing. The numbers to look at are from retailers: How many Zunes have been sold at Amazon, Best Buy, Circuit City, etc.? It's certainly not as high as Microsoft would have you believe. No matter what color they make it.

      So because you haven't seen one of a million Zunes sold in the world you don't buy it? Yes, you have seen iPods, because they have sold over 2 orders of magnitude more. They have sold a total of 100 million iPods (according to Apple), so of course you have seen an assload more of them. I have never seen an iPod video outside of a store, but I am willing to accept that they have sold a whole lot of them.

      As far as MS only selling a million Zunes in this time, that is exactly what they expected. They realized they were moving into a new market with a dominant force in it (Apple). They are trying to get their foot in the door, get their product known, and slowly increase sales. It is similar to what they did with the original XBox. They knew they wouldn't go in and take over the market. Instead they go in, take their lumps and slowly build a base and a better product.

      --

      "Information wants to be expensive" - Stewart Brand, the same guy who said "Information wants to be free"
    28. Re:but ... by Dan+Ost · · Score: 1

      I've seen exactly one. A fellow I work with bought one for his wife for Christmas.

      I don't know if she uses it.

      --

      *sigh* back to work...
    29. Re:but ... by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 1

      Fair enough, but unless you hang out with 60 or so peeps you're not guaranteed to have seen one.

      OK, I know math isn't everyone's best subject, but... sheesh.

      (60 doesn't 'guarantee' you anything, it only increases the odds. Neither does 100. or 1,000.)

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    30. Re:but ... by modecx · · Score: 1

      From what I understand, the lack of Ogg support on many players stems less from commercial or legal concerns (patent issues vis a vis Fraunhofer notwithstanding) than from technical issues. Ogg needs more juice to decode, which means needing stronger processors, better means of heat dissipation, and a necessary hit on battery performance. Not that it can't be done, but it requires more expensive components and shorter battery lives.

      That might have been true, back when Apple first released the iPod. Now they play full color video, compressed with codecs that are a hundred times more demanding than Ogg... So, that's hardly to blame. Hell, my iRiver played oggs, and the battery lasted 2-3 times that of early iPods whilst doing so.

      It's just another example of a political circle-jerk.

      --
      Constitutional rights may be respected, repealed, or modified; but they must never be ignored.
    31. Re:but ... by graphictree · · Score: 1

      I've seena Zune in the wild. Coming back to UK from US. A girl was sitting in the middle seat and had a Zune. I asked to look at it. Hmmmm. I had my iPod. Guy on the other side of her had his iPod. He asked her, 'Why didn't you buy an iPod?' 'It was a present. I didn't choose it.' 'Ah'. Much unspoken sympathy. Still, that's one sold for definite. Only 999,999 more to track down.

    32. Re:but ... by unapersson · · Score: 1

      Most of the time I'm not listening to it on a portable music player. But sound quality is not the only advantage, I've found Ogg Vorbis files are also slightly smaller. Though of course the big advantage is that ripping to Ogg Vorbis works out of the box. I have to do zero configuration.

    33. Re:but ... by DMoylan · · Score: 2, Interesting

      i travel on public transport here in dublin ireland. 3+ hours a day. it's interesting to watch the various devices in use.

      every day i see dozens of various players/pdas/phones in use on the bus, waiting in queues and so forth. i would recognise a zune if i saw one as it has such a large screen. still haven't seen one. ipods, creative, archos (and i thought they were rare) are common. i watch my portable tv on a nokia 770.

      they should be more visible as you can watch videos on them so they should be in peoples hands and not in pockets and again i still don't see them.

      i've seen psp's before they were released in ireland. i've seen about a dozen sharp zaurus's (even the rare only released in japan versions) so it is a good place to spot hardware.

      while you're correct in pointing out that the numbers out there are relatively small i still think you should have a good chance to spot one by now if you are in the right public space. even if you only want to point at the poor sod and laugh. :-)

    34. Re:but ... by General+Wesc · · Score: 1

      In the UK, if a million were sold there you'd have a 1/54 chance [or so] of knowing someone who owned a Zune.

      Assuming I know only one person in the UK. I realise this is Slashdot, but come on. I live in the US and I probably know well over a dozen Brits.

    35. Re:but ... by memodude · · Score: 1

      The Zune is currently being sold in the US only. If you're in the UK, you're not going to see *anyone* w/ a Zune unless they imported it.

    36. Re:but ... by Spokehedz · · Score: 1

      From what I understand, the lack of Ogg support on many players stems less from commercial or legal concerns (patent issues vis a vis Fraunhofer notwithstanding) than from technical issues. Ogg needs more juice to decode, which means needing stronger processors, better means of heat dissipation, and a necessary hit on battery performance. Not that it can't be done, but it requires more expensive components and shorter battery lives.
      I contest that it takes more juice to run Ogg than an MP3. This here, VS1000 from VSLI is a single chip, capable of decoding all Ogg files, and from the specs it appears to take only 33ma of power when decoding a file. Granted, this chip was just released a short time ago... But at least now there's no reason not to make a Ogg player.
    37. Re:but ... by Echnin · · Score: 1

      I prefer AAC, really. It consistently beats MP3, and sometimes wins over ogg and sometimes loses in listening tests. And it's supported on the Zune! Hurray! In fact, most new devices coming out, no matter who makes them, support AAC now. It's proprietary, yes, but so is MP3.

      --
      Lalala
    38. Re:but ... by Bemopolis · · Score: 1

      Well, clearly you're not welcome to the social.

      --
      "I guess the moral of the story is, don't paint your airship with rocket fuel." -- Addison Bain
    39. Re:but ... by A+beautiful+mind · · Score: 1

      Way to go do a Sony and ignore the biggest market in the world. Although I guess the reaction is the same, not many people want the thing anyway...

      --
      It takes a man to suffer ignorance and smile
      Be yourself no matter what they say
    40. Re:but ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      POINT! To Professor_UNIX. Next volley! GET IT ON!

    41. Re:but ... by adonoman · · Score: 1

      No, but if I know 29,000,001 out of those 30,000,000 -- then I'm guaranteed to know someone who has one.

    42. Re:but ... by CODiNE · · Score: 1

      I just saw a salesdude at OfficeMax kindly point an old gramma at the Zunes. She looked really excited about the whole thing, was probably thinking to herself "Oh boy, I'm getting an iPod!".

      --
      Cwm, fjord-bank glyphs vext quiz
    43. Re:but ... by Bobartig · · Score: 1

      Your equations make no sense. You're saying the number of people a given person is acquainted with is proportionate to the number of zunes sold in that country.

      What you mean to say is that if they sold a million units in the UK, you'd have a 1/54 chance of selecting someone who ones one, if you were selecting people from the country at random.

      But I see probably one Zune per week on the subway going to and from San Francisco on my commute. It might just be the same couple people, since its the same commute. Their large screen, and garish design makes them stick out like sore thumbs to a sharp eyed technologist.

      The people using them always have the backlight on, 24-7, which is the cause of many premature battery deaths among ipods and cell phones as well.. In 3 months they're going to be writing to M$ because their battery life is crap, and wondering why no one can "fix" their defective batteries.

      --
      This is where I get my recommended daily allowance of "Foot in Mouth."
    44. Re:but ... by Frangible · · Score: 1

      Well, I'm willing to be a lot of people who like Vorbis care, as other people using MP3 means if they copy music (legal or not), it will be MP3 format. There is personal choice... as I know some players can play it, and they weren't very much of commercial successes. Because most people, given the choice, choose MP3; probably for compatibility, but the fact is, it sounds very good with modern encoders, even if they are somewhat less efficient than Vorbis and need a higher bitrate to maintain the same quality.

      Personally, I'd trade encoding efficiency for battery life. Vorbis is a significant hit to battery life on the players that support it.

      So no, using Vorbis isn't an exceptionally logical choice I'm afraid. Too many drawbacks. I suspect most people using it are doing so out of anger and hatred of the politics surrounding MP3 or patented formats in general. And you know what the Buddhists say about anger and happiness...

    45. Re:but ... by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      I saw a woman walk into a Radio Shack last year right after Christmas. She had been given an iPod as a present and had no computer. She was trying to figure out what to do with it.

    46. Re:but ... by donscarletti · · Score: 1

      In the UK, if a million were sold there you'd have a 1/54 chance [or so] of knowing someone who owned a Zune.

      Ok, since the UK has 60 million people, that means if one million were hypothetically sold in the UK means any given person would have a 1/60 chance of having one assuming that no person owns multiple zunes.

      We can find out exactly how many people you think this guy knows with the following formula:

      • The probability that one person DOESN'T own a zune is: 1 - 1/60
      • The probability that n people don't own a zune is: (1 - 1/60)^n
      • Thus the probability that n people do own a zune is: 1 - (1 - 1/60)^n
      • Since we know he has a 1/54 chance of knowing someone with a zune: 1/54 = 1 - (1 - 1/60)^n
      • (1 - 1/60)^n = 1 - 1/54
      • n = log(1 - 1/54) / log(1 - 1/60)
      • n = 1.112155734
      • Since n must be an integer if we don't want to offend amputees and midgets, he knows somewhere between 1 and 2 people by your estimates.
      I calculate that you owe the guy an apology.
      --
      When Argumentum ad Hominem falls short, try Argumentum ad Matrem
    47. Re:but ... by donscarletti · · Score: 1

      Woops, I meant to say that "the probability that AT LEAST ONE IN n people does own a zune is: 1 - (1 - 1/60)^n"

      --
      When Argumentum ad Hominem falls short, try Argumentum ad Matrem
    48. Re:but ... by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      Ok, who mods this crap up? The Zune isn't even RELEASED in the UK. Of course you haven't seen any; it's not on sale there. Cripes.

    49. Re:but ... by I_Love_Pocky! · · Score: 2, Funny

      I think it is the underground OSS way of saying "I am hip."
      I typically look to the underground OSS crowd to be the purveyors of hip.
    50. Re:but ... by blowdart · · Score: 2, Informative

      Well I'm in the UK and I have one; for a few reasons

      • I hate the iPod interface, the twirling of the fingers is unnatural for me, and with bad carpal tunnel it can hurt.
      • iTunes bites under Windows (I swear Apple do it on purpose just to nudge people to OSX. That whole "Oh don't use Vista it will kill your iPod" was such FUD it was laughable; it's not like Vista betas weren't available for years). It's fat, bloated, forces QuickTime on you which then steals file extensions even if you tell it not to (the Zune software isn't good either, it's buggy as hell, and if it can't reach the network share your music is on it thinks it's gone and proceeds to clean it from the device. Morons)
      • My music is in mp3 and wma; I am not prepare to change formats after ripping upwards of 400 CDs, and re-encoding on device load just kills quality.
      • My creative zen was on it's last legs

      Mind you the only other UK person I saw with one was an MS employee.

    51. Re:but ... by asc99c · · Score: 1

      In the UK, if a million were sold there you'd have a 1/54 chance [or so] of knowing someone who owned a Zune

      Is this assuming that no-one knows anybody else?!?!?

      FWIW, I know five people with assorted iPods, two with irivers and half a dozen with assorted cheap players. I can't actually remember even having seen a Zune for sale in the shops, let alone met someone who bought one. Has it been launched in the UK yet?

    52. Re:but ... by RealGrouchy · · Score: 1

      That's because most of the grandchildren of the people who purchased the Zune haven't had their birthday yet.

      "Here you go Billy. It's just what you asked for. I didn't remember what kind of music player you wanted, but the nice young man at the store assured me it was a Zune."

      - RG>

      --
      Hey pal, this isn't a pleasantforest, so don't waste my time with pleasantries!
    53. Re:but ... by nwbvt · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well I don't know anyone who owns a John Deer tractor, does that mean all the ones that are sold are being bought by people working for the company?

      Sheesh, when will you people learn that your circle of friends and contacts are not at all representative of the population as a whole...

      And to be honest if you have never even seen a zune, that must mean you havn't set foot in an electronics store recently (assuming they are distributing them over there in the UK as heavily as they are over here in the colonies), which means you probably wouldn't know too many people that owns one.

      --
      Mathematics is made of 50 percent formulas, 50 percent proofs, and 50 percent imagination.
    54. Re:but ... by quintesse · · Score: 1

      That's why my iPod is running Rock Box: http://www.rockbox.org/

    55. Re:but ... by cheater512 · · Score: 1

      Ditto in Australia. Heck I havent even seen one in a store.

    56. Re:but ... by nwbvt · · Score: 1

      "The only people that use Ogg Vorbis are open source fanatics"

      ...or people who care about the quality of their music. Sorry, but ogg provides much better sound quality than mp3s. And of course standard mp3s do not support a vital feature that most people overlook when converting their music to a digital source, gapless playback. Even if you ignore the whole patent thing (and it much more than ogg vorbis is open source, mp3 is a proprietary patented encoding that requires a license to develop codecs for), ogg vorbis is clearly superior.

      --
      Mathematics is made of 50 percent formulas, 50 percent proofs, and 50 percent imagination.
    57. Re:but ... by eneville · · Score: 1

      Well I'm in the UK and I have one; for a few reasons

      • I hate the iPod interface, the twirling of the fingers is unnatural for me, and with bad carpal tunnel it can hurt.
      • iTunes bites under Windows (I swear Apple do it on purpose just to nudge people to OSX. That whole "Oh don't use Vista it will kill your iPod" was such FUD it was laughable; it's not like Vista betas weren't available for years). It's fat, bloated, forces QuickTime on you which then steals file extensions even if you tell it not to (the Zune software isn't good either, it's buggy as hell, and if it can't reach the network share your music is on it thinks it's gone and proceeds to clean it from the device. Morons)
      • My music is in mp3 and wma; I am not prepare to change formats after ripping upwards of 400 CDs, and re-encoding on device load just kills quality.
      • My creative zen was on it's last legs

      Mind you the only other UK person I saw with one was an MS employee.

      just one question, why did you rip to wma? seems odd to me when most players on the market are called 'mp3 players' rather than 'wma players', i've never noticed a 'wma player' in the argos catalogue.
    58. Re:but ... by dabraun · · Score: 1

      I've found that Ogg Vorbis offers noticeably better fidelity than mp3 at comparable comression. It's not something that you can easily hear with a portable player and cheap headphones, but on quality gear the difference is obvious.


      This is widely known fact; you really don't need to back it up. OGG, WMA, and AAC all use concepts that were unavailable or impractical when MP3 was created and they all have far better fidelity:bitrate ratios. As to whether one is noticably better than another among these you could argue all day and never agree.

      This is not unlike comparing DivX, WMV, and H.264 to MPEG2. They are all far better than MPEG2, for many of the same reasons (and are all far more costly to encode and decode). None of them is enough better than the others that you could find widespread agreement on which is the best.
    59. Re:but ... by falcon5768 · · Score: 1

      It sounds better than MP3
      A LOT of codex sound better than a nearly 20 year old one, and by comparison, .ogg has been found to not be NEARLY as good as .acc (study done in two audiophile magazines), which all sound bad compared to the numerous uncompressed formats out there.

      and its legal to play on my operating system of choice
      As are just about every other commercial codex out there, only protect ones tend to not be linux compatible, which .ogg is not so its unfair to compare it to those store codex out there (ie M4p, or WMV) A more fair comparison would be unprotected WMV, or ACC.

      Whatever happened to the concept of personal choice
      Wait this is your response to a attack about your choice, pointing out various reasons why the other person is a idiot in your mind (ie that his choice sucks) then saying everyone is in title to their own choice? Do you realize how hypocritical your statement here is?
      --

      "Slashdot, where telling the truth is overrated but lying is insightful."

    60. Re:but ... by juniorbird · · Score: 1

      This does beg the question... does "sold" mean "consumer end-users have bought a million Zunes" or does "sold" mean "our channel partners have bought a million Zunes off us, and now have some percentage in consumers' hands, some percentage on store shelves, and some percentage in warehouses"?

      I'd wager it's the latter, since that would be more or less standard. So consumers could have bought substantially less than a million Zunes. I wonder what percentage are in consumers' hands? Did any retailers bet on big Zune sales and are now stuck holding large inventories? Have Zunes been moving well off the shelves? I'd love more info.

    61. Re:but ... by cappadocius · · Score: 1

      All good points, but just to say: I know significantly more people who own John Deere tractors than people who own Zunes.

      --

      omnia tua castra sunt nobis

    62. Re:but ... by exp(pi*sqrt(163)) · · Score: 1
      > In the UK, if a million were sold there you'd have a 1/54 chance [or so] of knowing someone who owned a Zune.

      I'd love to see the justification for these figures that look like they were pulled out of someone's ass.

      --
      Doesn't it make you feel good to know that our freedoms are protected by politicans, lawyers and journalists.
    63. Re:but ... by Bishop923 · · Score: 1

      Regarding Sony "ignoring the biggest market in the world":

      The problem with "The Biggest Market in the World" is that it is a highly fragmented market requiring support channels in at least a dozen languages(not to mention marketing, packaging, etc..). It is far easier to sell to the US and Japan(combined a larger market than Europe), with -2- support channels. Microsoft targeting a single market with a first gen device that they are going to lose money on in the forseeable future makes far more sense than spending significant resources to try and support all of Europe.

      Comparing the European economy to the US would only be fair if there was a single european language, some general similarity in culture and a strong central government.

    64. Re:but ... by mkiwi · · Score: 1
      who bought these? i don't know anyone in the uk who has a zune.. for that matter i don't know anyone who has even SEEN a zune. did ms employees buy these at a knock-down rate?

      It's like Balmer = Mickael Jackson. They both put out bad products but buy their own products to make their sales look good. I know! Balmer could get a custom built chair made completely of Zunes! That's how he'll use them....

    65. Re:but ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      did ms employees buy these at a knock-down rate?


      Probably. MSCE's and other MSFT fanbois are probably the rest of the owners. The picture of Bill Gates on the altar in their bedroom told them to buy one. Stevie wants everyone to masturbate to Developers, Developers, Developers anywhere, any time.
    66. Re:but ... by daBass · · Score: 1

      While better at low bitrates (good for streaming!), it doesn't make a difference when you get to a reasonable rate, like 192-256, then they are just the same. Anything lower and they are audibly below the original CD quality, so I won't bother with that. Personally, I have switched to lossless. ALAC in my case because iTunes+iPod support it nicely.

      I agree on the Zune B***S***; they probably mean they have _shipped_ 1 million unit that are now gathering dust on many store's shelves...

    67. Re:but ... by Divebus · · Score: 1

      I have never seen an iPod video outside of a store, but I am willing to accept that they have sold a whole lot of them.

      What's the weather like in Greenland?

      --

      Most of the stuff on /. won't survive first contact with facts.
    68. Re:but ... by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      The quality per bit advantage isn't something 98% of people are even going to understand.
      They can understand "fit more music on your player" just fine, though. And that's what Vorbis support is really good for.
    69. Re:but ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      seems like the MS moderators are out in force again, how dare you insinuate that our rebranded toshiba product is a bad idea!!

    70. Re:but ... by blowdart · · Score: 1

      just one question, why did you rip to wma? seems odd to me when most players on the market are called 'mp3 players' rather than 'wma players', i've never noticed a 'wma player' in the argos catalogue.
      Space savings; MP3 encoders weren't free at the time; better range in the higher frequencies; variable encoding.
    71. Re:but ... by maxume · · Score: 1

      Most people don't notice issues with 128kbps mp3s. Is 96kbps or 64kbps Vorbis really equivalent? I'm not liable to switch either way, 9 years tends to build up a bit of inertia...

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    72. Re:but ... by GweeDo · · Score: 1

      I know a lot of people with John Deere tractors and no one with a Zune, so does that count? ;)

    73. Re:but ... by Steve001 · · Score: 1

      daBass wrote as part of a post:

      While better at low bitrates (good for streaming!), it doesn't make a difference when you get to a reasonable rate, like 192-256, then they are just the same. Anything lower and they are audibly below the original CD quality, so I won't bother with that. Personally, I have switched to lossless. ALAC in my case because iTunes+iPod support it nicely.

      I agree that, at least with MP3, a high bit rate is essential for acceptable sound quality. I've tried encoding music 128 bit and found that sound quality is significantly degraded from the original. At 192 bit I have trouble telling the compressed sound from the original, but at 128 bit it is easy to tell the difference. For me, the sound quality is easily worth the increased file size.

      One of my main reasons for choosing MP3 over other compressed audio formats is due to compatibility. Simply put, MP3 is the only format that will play on all of my audio devices, I can encode them once and play them everywhere.

    74. Re:but ... by mrmoj0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yeah, but I'm guessing you're no where near the target market for a John Deer tractor, whereas Slashdotters are clearly in the demographic for DAP purchases. If you were a farmer and could make the same claim, then you would have a stronger analogy.

      And I don't know that much about tractor brands, but would guess that John Deer is closer to the iPod of the market than the Zune. And if that comment kicks off a tractor fanboy battle on Slashdot, then my job is done.

    75. Re:but ... by nwbvt · · Score: 1

      Well first of all, the anti-MS culture in /. hardly makes it the 'clear demographic' for zunes.

      Second, as I pointed out if you have never even seen a zune, that means you havn't been in an electronics store recently, which means you probably aren't even in the demographic for DAPs in general.

      Third, I can think of plenty of things for which I am in the correct demographic and yet anyone with one. For instance I can't think of anyone offhand who owns a Tivo or a Playstation 3. I choose tractors to illustrate the complete absurdity of the claim that "I don't know anyone with one, therefore they must not be popular".

      --
      Mathematics is made of 50 percent formulas, 50 percent proofs, and 50 percent imagination.
    76. Re:but ... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      standard mp3s do not support a vital feature that most people overlook when converting their music to a digital source, gapless playback.

      That's nonsense. It can be and frequently is implemented in the software. The format doesn't need any support for that. Want gapless output? Trim any silent portion of the last frame.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    77. Re:but ... by nwbvt · · Score: 1

      "That's nonsense. It can be and frequently is implemented in the software. The format doesn't need any support for that. Want gapless output? Trim any silent portion of the last frame."

      Nope, wouldn't work. Many tracks have intentional silent portions, and an plain old mp3 does not indicate which silent part is supposed to be there and which was added during the encoding. Gapless doesn't mean to simply go from one song to the next without any silence in between, it means playing the songs the way they are recorded on the album. You know, the way the artist intended it to be heard.

      --
      Mathematics is made of 50 percent formulas, 50 percent proofs, and 50 percent imagination.
    78. Re:but ... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Gapless doesn't mean to simply go from one song to the next without any silence in between, it means playing the songs the way they are recorded on the album.

      I think you missed something. Normally, when you create an mp3 the beginning of the first frame is the audio that begins directly after the end of the track. Where it ends, depending on the song and the implementation, it will either end correctly, trim off the end, or write silence. Except for the middle result, the player can compensate just fine.

      You know, the way the artist intended it to be heard.

      Trent apparently intended me to have to wait several minutes before listening to the last two tracks on 'Broken' (AFAIK only prerelease copies came with the mini-CD containing the last two songs.) But I don't want to. My last concern is the way the artist intended me to listen to the album. All I care about is what makes it sound good.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    79. Re:but ... by nwbvt · · Score: 1

      No, I don't just mean your strategy would break albums where artists put several minutes of silence before a hidden track. There are many times where one song will fade into silence before the next song starts. Other times when one song ends, there is a pause for a few seconds for dramatic effect before the next song starts. If you just truncate any ending silent sections (I believe the iRiver tried that), these will be lost and the two songs will be mashed together. For more information, you can check this page on gapless digital music.

      --
      Mathematics is made of 50 percent formulas, 50 percent proofs, and 50 percent imagination.
    80. Re:but ... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      There are many times where one song will fade into silence before the next song starts. Other times when one song ends, there is a pause for a few seconds for dramatic effect before the next song starts.

      There are two ways that is done. One of them is to actually have silence in the track. The other is to use the pregap feature, which will insert a pause without taking up space on the disc, and typically defaults to two seconds even in professional mastering software (but which might be set to almost anything depending on who's mastering.) The pregap can be simulated by adding non-silent (though effectively silent) audio to the end during the encoding phase. Any actual audio pause is already there. Then you trim everything literally silent (no data) and you're done.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    81. Re:but ... by nwbvt · · Score: 1

      Yes, that could work if mp3 was a lossless compression format. Unfortunately it is not, so requiring the software to detect inaudible cues that the silence was actually recorded won't work. Hence why applications that try your technique (such as the iRiver software mentioned in the link I gave) are still inaccurate, despite your objections.

      --
      Mathematics is made of 50 percent formulas, 50 percent proofs, and 50 percent imagination.
  3. Finally! What I've been waiting for! by Z0mb1eman · · Score: 4, Funny

    I've only been holding off on buying a Zune because of the colour.

    Now, at long last, a Watermelon Zune! It's as hip as a watermelon, and twice as easy to use!

    --
    ClutterMe.com - easiest site creation on the Net. Just click and type.
    1. Re:Finally! What I've been waiting for! by gEvil+(beta) · · Score: 4, Funny

      I'm waiting for the Grapefruit Zune, because then I'll know that the squirting feature works like it should...

      --
      This guy's the limit!
    2. Re:Finally! What I've been waiting for! by frup · · Score: 1

      Will that make my porn more realistic? I've seen the photo's and they look so intriguing.

    3. Re:Finally! What I've been waiting for! by Headcase88 · · Score: 1

      "I've only been holding off on buying a Zune because of the colour."

      You laugh, but a lot of /.ers have been insulting the Zune based on the available brown colour, almost as much as the DRM encumbrance.

      --
      "When the atomic bomb goes off there's devastation...but when the atomic bong goes off there's celebraaaaation!"
    4. Re:Finally! What I've been waiting for! by Tickletaint · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Only because the color is emblematic of everything else wrong with the Zune. Skin it all you want, but the Zune is still hobbled by Microsoft's staggering failure to "get it."

      --
      Make Slashdot readable! See journal.
    5. Re:Finally! What I've been waiting for! by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Only because the color is emblematic of everything else wrong with the Zune. Skin it all you want, but the Zune is still hobbled by Microsoft's staggering failure to "get it."

      They hit the sales target they were shooting for, which implies that they understood the market well enough to predict how many Zunes they were going to sell. I'd say they "get it".

    6. Re:Finally! What I've been waiting for! by beesquee · · Score: 2, Funny

      Personally I'd hold of until the Strawberry Cough version of the Zune comes out next month, although it's rumured to come soon in Sour Diesel and Purple Urkle during October.

      --
      Things are not as they appear, nor are they otherwise
    7. Re:Finally! What I've been waiting for! by camperslo · · Score: 1

      Now, at long last, a Watermelon Zune! It's as hip as a watermelon, and twice as easy to use!

      If you spit out the seeds will you grow more Zunes?

      That's more clever than viral marketing....

    8. Re:Finally! What I've been waiting for! by Wicko · · Score: 0

      Most of the companies in this market don't "get it" either.

      Give me a player with a removeable battery, comes standard with a wall charger, drag and drop file transfer without additional software, multiple audio/video format support, large capacity, and folder hierarchy. I may be missing some features but I have yet to find a player that satisfies all those criteria. I own a Creative Zen Vision: M and so far it is the closest I have been able to find.

    9. Re:Finally! What I've been waiting for! by Cuppa+'Joe'+Black · · Score: 1

      It can squirt seeds.

      --
      Technically, murder-suicide does not violate the golden rule.
  4. That's awesome! by Kierthos · · Score: 1, Redundant

    99 million more, and you'll match where the iPod sales are now.

    --
    Mr. Hu is not a ninja.
  5. Really? by villaged · · Score: 3, Interesting
    The only time I have ever seen one in the wild is when a Microsoft SE was using one.

    Has anyone ever been somewhere and seen more than say three in a five minute span?

    1. Re:Really? by spooje · · Score: 3, Funny

      Pdeople are probably too embarrassed to use them in public.

      --
      Tea and kung-fu. Life is good. Rising Phoenix
    2. Re:Really? by bedonnant · · Score: 1

      song quirting must make them uncomfortable.

      --
      ~~~ Paf. Le chien.
    3. Re:Really? by noidentity · · Score: 1

      "People are probably too embarrassed to use them in public."

      Usually personal affects that do things like "squirt" are only used in private.

  6. And I still don't know anyone who owns one.... by Proudrooster · · Score: 0, Redundant

    At my monthly tech meeting we have a gadget show-n-tell, so far no Zunes have shown up. It is strange that MS claims 1,000,000 sold and I do not know anyone who has a Zune... Things that make you go hmmmm.....

    1. Re:And I still don't know anyone who owns one.... by peragrin · · Score: 4, Funny

      A million zunes sold, and 250,000 returned because they weren't ipods.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    2. Re:And I still don't know anyone who owns one.... by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      A million zunes sold, and 250,000 returned because they weren't ipods.

            Another 700,000 are just sitting on the store shelves collecting dust. Actual sales to consumers - 50,000.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    3. Re:And I still don't know anyone who owns one.... by peragrin · · Score: 2, Informative

      >>A million zunes sold, and 250,000 returned because they weren't ipods.

                  Another 700,000 are just sitting on the store shelves collecting dust. Actual sales to consumers - 50,000.

      That's MSFT style accounting for you. 40 million Vista license sold, yet that included the two months before christmas when they started giving away vouchers.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
  7. Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by gcnaddict · · Score: 2

    I could've said the same thing for the iPod back when they hit their first million. It's still less than 1% of the total US population, let alone the world.

    I actually see many Zunes in use in the D.C. area (most of them are used for watching missed episodes of Lost, 24, and Heroes)

    --
    Viable Slashdot alternatives: https://pipedot.org/ and http://soylentnews.org/
    1. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by Tickletaint · · Score: 1

      Looking at the sales numbers now, it looks like it took the iPod two years to hit its first million. But I remember seeing a ton of iPods around even in the months immediately following its launch. Are you a PC user? Maybe it was more visible among certain subcultures at first because it was limited to Mac users back then, but still.

      --
      Make Slashdot readable! See journal.
    2. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by FonzCam · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's not that iPods were more visible among certain subcultures, it's because the iPod is more visible because of those bright white headphones. People advertise the fact that they are using an iPod. If you saw someone walking down the street listening to a Zune you'd probably think it was an iPod with 3rd party headphones.

    3. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by bedonnant · · Score: 1

      maybe the market then was also less developped as it is now.

      --
      ~~~ Paf. Le chien.
    4. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by Tickletaint · · Score: 2, Interesting

      That's a good point, but you're kidding yourself if you think the iPod's Mac-exclusivity didn't affect the patterns of its uptake in its first year on the market. I remember a lot of musicians in that time frame mentioning this cool new toy from Apple, and I don't think I know a single musician who uses a PC (though I'm sure the peanut gallery here at Slashdot will be more than happy to supply a few).

      --
      Make Slashdot readable! See journal.
    5. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by FatherOfONe · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I strongly disagree. I don't ever notice what headphones people have but I look at what MP3 player they are listening to and I can say that I have never seen ANYONE using a Zune. I work in I.T. and am surrounded by a few Microsoft lemmings and yet none of them have even jumped on the bandwagon yet. Some of them won't buy an Ipod out of their hatred of Apple, but yet won't buy a Zune.... That says a lot.

      I am willing to bet that Microsoft has around 50 to 60,000 employees and contractors and that a majority of these went to friends and families at a huge discount or free.

      I challenge the 1 million sold and say that it is 1 million sold to distributors. I say that Microsoft is channel stuffing much like it did with the 360 and that the sales are probably far closer to 500k than 1 million. At 500k there will be "some" people here on slashdot that know someone who has one, but the vast majority of people won't have seen one in the wild.

      Please note that I am NOT saying the Zune is a bad product, I am just saying that it isn't really at 1 million units in the wild.

      --
      The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
    6. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by rtb61 · · Score: 1
      Don't think sold to customers, think sold to retailers at a steep discount for bulk purchases, those retailers still have to on sell the lamest player in the market place to actual end users.

      Watch for ever greater discount prices for zunes, but wait at least 6 months before buying one even if you are enough of a lame zune to buy one.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    7. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Probably the reason iPod took two years to hit that number is that mp3 players just weren't as ubiquitous as they are today. I don't think the time it took the Zune to reach a million and the iPod to reach a million is an apples to apples (no pun intended, honest!) comparison. Disclosure: I personally own an iPod, but I strongly prefer my Meizu M6. Oh, and I've never seen a Zune IRL.

    8. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by lilfields · · Score: 0

      When I was around campus this past year I saw more Zunes than iPods. I noticed that less and less students were carrying their ipods in hand as they were the previous year. I was surprised to say the least, I did however notice more people using their phones (such as Sony Ericsson) as mp3 players than either the iPod or the Zune. Personally I will never buy another iPod until they can fully address their battery issues and make them virtually unable to be scratched without intent. I've gone through 3 iPods (3rd Gen, 4th Gen and a nano) all of which became grossly scratched even a lot of care and two of which the battery completely died, holding charge for only ~5 minutes. I really like where the Zune is headed overall but it's lack of file format support makes it very unattractive. I think when Microsoft themselves actually design the product it will begin to look much more polished (it was previously designed by Toshiba.) I'm waiting on the next generation Zune, hoping to not be disappointed like I was for the first one. I request they expand their file support, integrate it wirelessly with the 360, integrate it with the 360 arcade, add satellite radio extensions (just an antenna add-on and software load), and slim the player itself. If or when they do these things, I think they can actually have the title "iPod killer". Microsoft has the power to do this, I just want to know why they aren't.

    9. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Microsoft has a lot more employees than that... but with only a $5 discount off Walmart's prices, I doubt that many took advantage of the employee pricing :)

      I have a couple of friends who have Zunes. They love them, as much as they gripe about the crippled WiFi.

    10. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am willing to bet that Microsoft has around 50 to 60,000 employees and contractors and that a majority of these went to friends and families at a huge discount or free.

      And as a Microsoft employee, I'm willing to bet that the discount we get is about the same as the best price you'll find on PriceGrabber. It's unfortunate that someone's unsubstantiated information counts as insightful on Slashdot, but then again it's not surprising.

    11. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by laffer1 · · Score: 1

      OK, I don't understand the iPod scratch thing. I've got a 4GB iPod mini and it has a few scratches, but for the most part its fine. I use it all the time. I store it in an iPod sock and its in my backpack, pocket, or car most of the time. The battery still lasts for more hours than a single car trip. (4+)

      My wife has a 3G iPod 40GB. The battery died last June. It does have a few scratches, but the screen is still in good shape. People who complain about iPods scratching must abuse them. Do you drop them regularly? Do you put them in your pocket with keys and change? What do you guys do? I've had far more problems with my cell phone getting scratched up which is a bigger problem. The camera lens on it sucks, the print has worn off and its hard to read the screen. That thing stays in my pocket all the time. My iPod has faired better. As for the battery, I saw a replacement on ebay express for $12.50 yesterday. That's not too bad for a rechargeable battery pack that lasts a few years.

    12. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by toddestan · · Score: 1

      What about those people who don't carry their MP3 player out for you to see, and instead have it in their pocket/backpack/whatever. In that case, it could be anything, and you don't know. You also might want to keep in mind that Zune owners probably are more likely to carry their Zune in their pocket, due to embarassment.

    13. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by crabpeople · · Score: 1

      "Some of them won't buy an Ipod out of their hatred of Apple, but yet won't buy a Zune.... That says a lot."
      Says alot? All it says is they don't want a crappy music player no matter if its apple or MS. They probably went out and baught the vastly superior sansa line by sandisk.

      Pros of sansa players:
      - No bloated software suites (i am just assuming the zune has one because its m$. Itunes is for DAMN sure..)
      - accepts winamp playlists
      - drag and drop songs to and from device just like a normal HDD (after turning off playesforsure)
      - Less battery usage because its flash
      - DRM enable/disable via hardware switch on player
      - Smaller, lighter weight
      - USB STANDARD connection, none of this apple proprietary BS

      --
      I'll just use my special getting high powers one more time...
    14. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What a bunch of asshats the /. community is in that they are so hell bent on making sure nothing from MS succeeds.
      The people around here need to pull their heads out of their asses, but of course they could never admit something MS does is semi-successful but rater just be the usual bitter/jealous people they are.

    15. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by lilfields · · Score: 0, Troll

      I was modded down because I said the iPod might not be God, and you were modded up for defending it? Talk about bias. If you have ever used a Nano you could scratch it with your fingernail, it's that fragile. I had a protective case and the screen still scratched and I assure you slamming a ~$400 piece of equipment around isn't one of my hobbies. Anyhow, you are missing the point, I've had my phone for a year now and it's hardly scratched if at all, my iPod(s) was/were decimated by scratches in less than a year. The mere fact that I can't put it in the same pocket with my keys and that the battery loses charge in less than a year is a problem. The Zune's screen literally can have a key ran across it and it will not scratch, the battery issue has yet to be seen (which could be a case of youth). The scratch issue could be a huge issue for the iPhone... Now to find out whether I was modded down for saying something good about Microsoft's product or something bad about Apple's.

    16. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I assure you, it's possible. I received a 30GB fifth gen as a gift last fall, before I even took it out of the box I bought a sturdy leather case for it, and that is where it has spent it's entire life when not in the dock. It's never been dropped, and never placed in a pocket without the case. The front is in pretty good condition, a few small scratches but not very noticeable, the screen has been spared so far, and for that I am thankful. The back is a different story however, it could just be that they are more noticeable on the reflective finish, but it is absolutely covered in scratches, most small, but some an inch or more long, and not just up and down (so it's not only the case). Even when being well taken care of, it can happen.

    17. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by chad_r · · Score: 1

      If you saw someone walking down the street listening to a Zune you'd probably think it was an iPod with 3rd party headphones.
      But... but... if you wore 3rd party headphones with an iPod, nobody would see that you had an iPod! Therefore, it's safe to assume that if the headphones aren't white, it ain't an iPod.
    18. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by ajs318 · · Score: 1

      It amazed me that you didn't start seeing cheap and nasty cassette players with white headphones when the iPod first came out. With a built-in clock with a digital display just so they could use the word DIGITAL in big lettering and it not be a completely false claim.

      If nothing else, it would have disappointed a few muggers.

      --
      Je fume. Tu fumes. Nous fûmes!
    19. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by robogun · · Score: 1

      I've never seen a Zune in the wild.

      At the gym I see a lots of Ipods of course, and a lot of flash based players particularly the old Rios. I'm pretty confident the Forges & such never got to a million.

      Look at it this way. If there were a million Zunes in the wild, and you see 200-300 people per day, the odds approach certainty you will see one before a few days are out.

      If there are really a million Zunes in the wild. I mean, I actually laughed when I read the headline.

    20. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

      This is what I was thinking. It's called channel stuffing, and MS has been known to engage in it to boost their numbers.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
    21. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by asc99c · · Score: 1

      I can't scratch either of my Nanos with a fingernail. All the casing I use is a plastic film over the screen. The rest of the unit is scratched because I leave it in my pocket with keys. I got my 1st gen Nano on the UK release day (purely by accident!). The battery is still fine after being used most days.

    22. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by vux984 · · Score: 1

      Pros of sansa players:

      Yes they are cool little devices.

      No bloated software suites (i am just assuming the zune has one because its m$. Itunes is for DAMN sure..)

      I don't know about Zune either, but its probably tied heavily to Windows Media Player. As for iTunes, I disable the store links, and most of the other cruft. Yes its 'big' for an mp3 player, but for *library management* it blows away the competition. The only thing it really needs is better multi-computer support, and better multi-user support.

      But the reality is that one of the killer features of ipods is iTunes. It would never have been as successful as it is without itunes. Itunes takes the drudgery and micromanagement crap out managing your music libary.

      iTunes playlists, particularly 'smart playlists' based on usage, ratings, skip count, and other meta data is head and shoulders above the manually cobbled together playlists I used to abhor. I spent countless hours managing playlists, removing songs I didn't like, adding songs I did, forgetting about songs for months on end...and hating every minute of the time wasted on it.

      These days I don't have to manage playlists, my smart playlists effectively learn what I like and don't like. I still have static playlists too, for when I want to listen to the Final Cut or Darkside of the Moon but mostly I just listen to my smart playlists. And they cycle tracks in and out based on when I last heard them, how often I skip them, how high i rate them. (and I can adjust ratings on the fly right on the ipod.) It may be 'bloatware suite' to you, but its what makes the ipod worth having to me.

      accepts winamp playlists

      I don't miss them. iTunes successor is much better. See above.

      drag and drop songs to and from device just like a normal HDD (after turning off playesforsure)

      It may be an advantage to someone who does want this, and yeah, you'd just end up fighting with itunes and hating it if you tried to micromanage it like this.

      I wouldn't WANT to go back to using players where I have to manually drag and drop songs, and folders of songs back and forth. I agree that the fact that iPods don't support this is annoying, and I'd love to be able to do both. But if I can only have one, I'll take iTunes every time.

      Less battery usage because its flash

      Nanos and shuffles are flash too up to 8GB. Granted the nanos don't do video, but then the sansa's don't hold 30-80GBs like the 'video ipods' either. It depends what you want.

      DRM enable/disable via hardware switch on player

      Why would I want a switch to enable/disable DRM on the player?

      Smaller, lighter weight

      Again it depends what you want. The shuffles take the crown for small and lightweight. The 8G Sansa is an excellent video player vs the 30GB ipod if you just want light/small video. But the 30GB ipod isn't exactly heavy. Competition is good and I'm looking forward to seeing the 6th gen ipods.

      USB STANDARD connection, none of this apple proprietary BS

      I'm not sure what the deal is with the dock connector; but I honestly don't think apple foisted that one on us just to be annoying. Perhaps its the result of supporting USB and Firewire (back when they did) and now they are 'stuck with it' despite standardizing on USB2 now. I just don't know.

      But its not like the Sansa doesn't require a special cable with some funky mini-usb on it, that's not quite the same as the cable your mini-usb camera uses... or does it? I know some sansa's have a full size male USB plug -- but I didn't think all of them did. And if you need a funky mini-usb cable, a funky dock-usb cable is hardly something to get excited about.

      Bottom line, anyone who doesn't want to micromanage their library and playlists will probably be happier with an ipod, despite the sansa 'advantages'. iTunes is half the reason iPod took off like it did.

      And now at this point, ipod has other soft 'advantages' that Sansa can't touch:

    23. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by cheater512 · · Score: 1

      I prefer my Palm LifeDrive. Great battery and it'll play divx video on its large screen. :)

    24. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by JohnBailey · · Score: 1

      The thing is... MP3 players were not that big back then, so obviously it took a lot longer to get up to speed. At the time Apple hit it's millionth sale, digital music players were expensive and rare. The first few were more status symbols than anything else. And being only available for those with Apples would also have hurt their early sales.

      Now players are everywhere. Storage is dirt cheap, and computers capable of ripping CDs and storing vast amounts of music are commonplace. A portable media player is now much more common than any other portable music playing device. When did you last see a personal cassette or CD player? It would be interesting to see if the Microsoft figure of a million Zunes sold is sold to retailers and distributors and sitting in some warehouses somewhere, or if it is sold to actual users.

      --
      It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his job depends on not understanding it.
    25. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by adona1 · · Score: 1

      Please note that I am NOT saying the Zune is a bad product


      I think it's actually a better MS product than many they produce. (Disclaimer: don't own a Zune, don't own an iPod. Happy with my Creative Zen) The thing about the Zune is the potential it had, and the way that MS completely ruined anything that made it good. Case in point - wireless sharing. Sounded like a good idea before the Zune was released, and was barely more than useless when it came out.

      What might have made the Zune more palatable and sold a few more units would be if people were able to fiddle with the software on it, a la the PSP - some homebrew allowing the wireless capacity to actually be used would probably have geeks everywhere buying one, if only to swap files with almost no chance of detection. Mind you, MS would probably issue a firmware update immediately to disable homebrew...and sales :)
      --
      Between the falling angel and the rising ape
    26. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by rtb61 · · Score: 1
      The silliest part of it, is you are left with a lot of unsold units in the 'channel' clogging up retail space and the retailers are then under pressure to sell the units at cost to clear shelf space, or M$ has to buy them back to avoid the bad image left in the eyes of the market as an undesirable product starts to visibly devalue.

      The only reason it is done is to take the pressure off management temporarily for a failed product, in this case not only in concept but also in marketing, so rather than ballmer accepting fault and apologising to M$ shareholders for yet another M$ product failure he simply puts off the problem by hiding it with bogus numbers until the next financial year.

      'Zune' as a marketing name is a failure and trying to warm it over with 'Zune Phone' or any other 'Zuney' (yech) products, just reflects M$'s inherent lack of management competence, typical of tech industry mono-cultures.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    27. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by Divebus · · Score: 1

      When I was around campus this past year I saw more Zunes than iPods.

      Of course you'd see more Zunes - they don't fit anywhere except out in the open. Brilliant marketing hook!

      --

      Most of the stuff on /. won't survive first contact with facts.
    28. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by dangitman · · Score: 1

      I use Sennheiser headphones with my iPod, because the iPod's earbuds are crap, and I hate in-ear headphones in general. I own an iPod to listen to music, not so people see me listening to an iPod. That's pretty pointless - nearly everybody has one, so it's not a way to impress people. I'd estimate that nearly half of the iPod-using population are using 3rd party headphones. Remember those reports of iPod muggings and theft? Many people like to hide the fact they are using an iPod as a security measure.

      I'm not sure why you think people own iPods just to be seen using iPods. could you explain that one?

      --
      ... and then they built the supercollider.
    29. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by FST777 · · Score: 1

      Guys! A Microserf! Here!

      --
      Free beer is never free as in speech. Free speech is always free as in beer.
    30. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

      I don't think MS is doing this faking of numbers to boost stock price.

      In terms of both financial metrics and long term strategy, channel stuffing is extremely risky. However, tactically, if it temporarily fools developers/accessory makers to come on board, it might work in generating an "eco-system", which hopefully translates into attracting more real paying customers and creating a larger market. I think MS has been successful with this tactic and the Xbox 360*, making headway against Nintendo. They're obviously doing this with Vista, and they'll probably succeed at that. With Zune it's not so clear, but MS does have the wherewithal to stick it out for quite a while longer. Whether they'll have the commitment to the Zune platform is another question.

      The size of MS and the size of their revenues allows them to get away with this tactic. However, when one makes the exception the rule and uses this tactic all the time for every product, one does risk eroding real profits and restating earnings, things that make the shareholders very unhappy.

      *The Xbox 360 example:

      Channel stuffing --> fake popularity --> more developers --> more games --> more real sales to real customers --> real popularity

      Presumably, when the tipping point to real popularity occurs, the channel gets cleared out and the retailers are happy, the developers are happy, the customers are happy, the shareholders are happy, everyone is happy, and the lie is justified.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
    31. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by FatherOfONe · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the reply, and perhaps you could add some insight on what your pricing is and a rough estimate of the number of employee purchases?

      Also, please address my other points.

      How many are in the channel now as an estimate? Specifically have your distributor sales gone way down recently, because they have enough units. I ask this because Microsoft did this with the 360 to "hit" the 10 million units "sold" and this appears to be another example of doing that. No product in history has ever been channel stuffed like the 360. Most estimates are that is was 4 to 6 million units! Please note that I wouldn't have said this about the Zune unless Microsoft has done something like this before.

      My main point that you say is unsubstantiated could be easily addressed if Microsoft actually knew how many units have really been sold vs shipped.

      Lastly, as I mentioned I am not about to say that the Zune sucks or is a bad product, or worse or better than any other player out there. What I am saying is that the sales figures are not accurate, and I base that off of Microsoft's past history of "hitting" numbers and the fact that I have never seen one in the wild and even the Microsoft die hard buyers around me won't buy a Zune.

      This is similar to the PS3 sales. The difference is that most people know of someone who owns a PS3, and yet they have only sold around 2 million. Again, note that I didn't say that the PS3 sucks or is great, I am just saying that with 2 million sold you can actually see them in the wild.

      Thanks for giving a Microsoft persons view on this, and I personally would love more open discussion with Microsoft on Slashdot.

      --
      The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
    32. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by rtb61 · · Score: 1
      If the xbox profit is an example, there is nothing but unhappy share holders grimacing over sustained losses. As hardware get cheaper and more powerful, game consoles are becoming cheap trinkets likely to be offered built into modern TVs, they really are a dead end market over the medium and long term.

      Which doesn't really matter if you are generating profits all along the way, however if you are just creating losses searching for the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow, your only demonstrating how to throw away your shareholders money.

      Typical the lie is really only about management surviving for as long as possible, either to strip mine the companies assets for their own benefit or to stroke the own egos.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    33. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by Steve001 · · Score: 1

      I've noticed that most people tend to replace the stock headphones that come with their portable player. I've wondered why manufacturers don't just stop including the headphones with the player, since no single set of headphones will please everybody. I'd rather see a slightly lower price on the player and then choose my own headphones (I prefer ear clips over any other type of headphones).

    34. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by pmiller396 · · Score: 1
      Most of your comment is insightful, and I think your points are valid. I love my iPod, but it definitely has its flaws.

      However, I almost spit coffee out my nose at this:

      I think when Microsoft themselves actually design the product it will begin to look much more polished

      Dude, you've obviously used an iPod, but I'm not sure you've ever used a Microsoft product! Thanks for a good belly laugh, anyway :)
    35. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by dangitman · · Score: 1

      Because, in the quantities we are talking about, the headphones probably cost about 20 cents to make. I'm not going to care about 20 cents. It also gives me a backup, in case I leave my good headphones at work or something. And it's perfect for beginners and cheapskates in the mass-market. Without the free pair, they'd probably have to pay at least a couple of bucks to buy retail headphones - which isn't going to make them happy. But the 20 cents doesn't make a difference to anybody else.

      --
      ... and then they built the supercollider.
    36. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by lilfields · · Score: 1

      I've used a Xbox 360, and Microsoft designed that...I don't see many people complaining about the quality of the 360. From a hardware standpoint Microsoft actually does have a decent track record.

    37. Re:Same with the ipods back when they hit 1 mil. by pmiller396 · · Score: 1

      Good point. I always think of MS as almost synonymous with Windows and Office, and forget the hardware. Heck, they make my favorite wired mouse (although their keyboards are quite forgettable).

  8. 10% of $product market... by patio11 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Riddle me this Slashdot: Why is it that when a product achieves ... ...10% of the MP3 player market, it is less than an also-ran. ...10% of the browser market, it is a signal that the world is changing. ...10% of the OS market, it is news that would rival the second coming of Christ.

    (Hey, put down that Troll mod -- part-time Linux-based programmer with an iPod here... Really.)

    1. Re:10% of $product market... by Headcase88 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I like that point but I'm pretty sure Zune doesn't have 10% of the MP3 player market by a long shot.

      --
      "When the atomic bomb goes off there's devastation...but when the atomic bong goes off there's celebraaaaation!"
    2. Re:10% of $product market... by nanosquid · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's not the market that makes the difference, it's the company. In the past, Microsoft has been able to kill competitors simply by announcing a product, and if that wasn't enough, they'd follow it with billions in marketing and loss leaders. Microsoft wanted to make Zune a big success and they have failed; it's just another clunky Microsoft product that may or may not sell enough to break even eventually.

      OTOH, when other companies achieve 10% market share against a convicted but unrepentant monopolist with billions of dollars in his war chest and an army of lawyers, yes, that is big news.

    3. Re:10% of $product market... by jone1941 · · Score: 1

      You are talking about different markets, players and install base. How many MP3 players are there, how many internet users, and further still how many computers are there? All of these things increase in scale and vastly increase their importance. This isn't a small player we're talking about, it's Microsoft! The fact that they spent as much as they did trying to develop and market this thing and still only managed to sell 1,000,000 of them (to stores) in it's first year is pretty pathetic.

      In the case of browsers we're talking about a community developed open source browser breaking down the barrier of a pre-installed base. This is big news. In the case of an OS reaching 10% (which to the best of my knowledge still isn't even close to happening) we're talking about at least a decade of dominance being overthrown. In both the browser and operating system cases the large majority of users are still unaware that there is even a choice. I find it hard to believe that there is anyone out there who doesn't know that there are other MP3 players available but still choose and iPod (even if it might be for the wrong reasons).

      --
      Fear trumps hope and ignorance trumps both
    4. Re:10% of $product market... by je+ne+sais+quoi · · Score: 1, Troll
      Well, for one thing, the Zune doesn't have 10% of the market. That was one million zunes shipped, not sold. For another thing, he's probably artificially limiting the category the Zune is in, like only > 20Gb media players or something. If you want an alternate take from M$' perspective, try this one:

      ...one million units in seven months of sales is simply nothing in consumer electronics. In reality, Apple will sell roughly another twenty million iPods by June 2007 ... if Microsoft can meet its goal by stuffing the channel with unsold Zunes, just as it did with the Xbox.
      Admittedly, this guy is just as biased as the M$ guy.
      --
      Gentlemen! You can't fight in here, this is the war room!
    5. Re:10% of $product market... by jeffasselin · · Score: 2, Informative

      Apple recently announced they'd sold a total of 100 million iPods. They don't have 100% of the market, then the Zune's market penetration is LESS THAN ONE PERCENT.

      Good job pulling that 10% figure out of your ass. Myself, I try to get sources when I pull off numbers:

      http://www.apple.com/pr/library/2007/04/09ipod.htm l

      If the Zune had taken 10% of the market, it would certainly have been significant. Less than 1%? No-name cheap players have probably done that much,

      --
      If he explores all forms and substances Straight homeward to their symbol-essences; He shall not die.
    6. Re:10% of $product market... by tji · · Score: 1

      Well, a few things..

      While the MP3 market is pretty large, it's nowhere near the market of Operating Systems or Web Browsers.. Many millions of people use the latter products.

      There is a big difference between a large dominant player (Microsoft) selling a million, and an upstart (Firefox, Linux) getting market share. Microsoft has existing agreements with a lot of companies, which can be leveraged to get the Zune out there (e.g. We'll give you better pricing on our other products if you carry the Zune). MS has the ability to get a late to market "me-too" version of an MP3 player sold and displayed prominantly at Target, Walmart, Best Buy, and many others. A non-Behemoth company would have no such luck without producing a truly revolutionary product or first proving the demand for the product in the market (which is what Apple had to do before getting the iPod carried in those major retailers).

      So, Yes, there is a huge difference between 10% of a smaller market by a monopoly leveraging their clout, and 10% of a huge market by companies needing to compete based on quality.

    7. Re:10% of $product market... by moonbender · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Apple has sold 100 million iPods, so, no, 1 million Zunes don't make up 10% of the market. More like 0.1%, I guess. Linux desktop market share is a lot more than that...

      --
      Switch back to Slashdot's D1 system.
    8. Re:10% of $product market... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      part-time Linux-based programmer with an iPod here...


      Ooh, you must be a devil with the ladies.
    9. Re:10% of $product market... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're right, but even below 10% of the market, I've *seen* an Apple computer on a number of other people's desks, I've *seen* Linux systems on people's desks. I've seen all sorts of things with well under 10% of market share for the relevant product.

      Where in the hell are the Zunes? I've yet to see one even on a store shelf!

    10. Re:10% of $product market... by Threni · · Score: 1

      > I like that point but I'm pretty sure Zune doesn't have 10% of the MP3 player market by a long shot.

      It doesn't help that Microsoft has forgotten to launch the Zune outside the US. Then again, it got reviewed in a UK magazine and the verdict was `might be ok when it's finished` so perhaps they're better off completing Zune 2 first.

    11. Re:10% of $product market... by Coryoth · · Score: 1

      Riddle me this Slashdot: Why is it that when a product achieves ... ...10% of the MP3 player market, it is less than an also-ran. ...10% of the browser market, it is a signal that the world is changing. ...10% of the OS market, it is news that would rival the second coming of Christ. It is a simple matter of prior expectations. An open source project built by volunteers taking on a huge established company like Microsoft? Not much expectation of huge wins there. When you are talking about the OS, rather than just the browser, and you're discussing the bread and butter for Microsoft and the hugely entrenched mindshare, well the expectations for an open source project are very low indeed. On the other hand when you're talking about a huge company like Microsoft throwing its weight into a new market, well expectations are that they'll do reasonably well (it certainly worked for the XBox, despite dire predictions prior to release). A 10% market share for the Zune (if it is that high) is notable, but it is below what one would expect for a company with Microsoft's resources throwing itself into a new market. Is there a little anti-MS bias here on Slashdot? Of course! What the hell did you expect?! The Zune is hardly a failure. Still, it is a long way from taking the world by storm, and given expectations its market share is decidedly underwhelming.
    12. Re:10% of $product market... by berj · · Score: 5, Informative

      You're off by almost as much as the original poster.

      1/100 = 1% not 0.1%

      The only way to get down to 0.1% is if the iPod only had a 10% share of the overall MP3 player market. I'm pretty sure the iPod's market share is something like 60 or 70 percent.

      soo..

      100/.6 = ~166 million total MP3 players

      1/166 = zune market share of 0.6%

    13. Re:10% of $product market... by JohnyDog · · Score: 1

      Because both OS and browser market are in state of huge vendor lock-in. Any small change in there is indication of bigger things to come. But the main thing is interoperability. Users doesn't care about what OS or browser they're using (unless it sucks horribly), all they care is if they can run their apps or display their favourite internet pages. My bank's page was IE-only until last year and they introduced firefox-compatible site only after major news ran story about firefox getting 10% browser market share.

      MP3 player market however is different thing. You don't run apps on your player (yet), there is no connection with other devices (well not counting zune's wifi 'sharing'), so there is no vendor lock-in. If the player i have has 0.001% or 99% marketshare i can't care less, it doesn't affect me, or my ability to use it. The important thing is whether i can transfer my music to it, and whether it can play the formats. Yes, this may change with DRM in the future, but for now, there is no lock-in.

      --
      People who like this sort of sig will find this the sort of sig they like.
    14. Re:10% of $product market... by deopmix · · Score: 1

      um, check your math. 1 million out of 100 million is 1%.

    15. Re:10% of $product market... by moonbender · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yup, I was assuming the iPod has about a 10% market share, globally. It might be much higher in the US, but what about the rest of the world? I know a lot of people with iPods, but most casual users I know have opted for cheaper thumbstick-type players.

      --
      Switch back to Slashdot's D1 system.
    16. Re:10% of $product market... by moonbender · · Score: 1

      Um, there are other MP3 players besides the iPod. See above. Maybe I should have been more clear...

      --
      Switch back to Slashdot's D1 system.
    17. Re:10% of $product market... by maxume · · Score: 1

      You do realize that they are claiming "that as much as they did trying to develop and market this thing", they ended up exceeding their goals?

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    18. Re:10% of $product market... by RodgerDodger · · Score: 4, Insightful

      10% of the market = 10% of the units sold in period (7 months from start of December to end of June). We're talking the hard-disk-based players here, BTW, as per the interview.

      Apple doesn't have a market share of 100 million iPods. They've got an _installed base_ of 100 million iPods. During the first three months of '07, Apple sold 10,549,000 iPods - but the Shuffle and the Nano don't count (flash-based). Let's assume (for the sake of argument) that about half the iPods Apple sell are the HD models, and that they'll sell about the same again the April-June period. So you're looking at about 8-10 million HD iPods sold in the period described. Suddenly, a 10% market share for the Zune selling about 1 million in the same period isn't unrealistic.

      I think we can assume that the Microsoft guy got the size of the market right - he may be exaggerating sales by including units still in the channels and not with customers, but the size of the market is right.

      Still, I don't know who buys these things. But then, I don't think MS sells them in Australia yet, so that's hardly surprising for me.

      --
      "Software is too expensive to build cheaply"
    19. Re:10% of $product market... by nine-times · · Score: 1

      I would think that part of the problem is that Microsoft can arrange things so you're punished for using an alternative OS or alternative browser. I remember when Mozilla was young and Firefox wasn't even Firefox yet, and a whole lot of web pages wouldn't render properly in anything but Internet Explorer. 10% of the market would mean that people were using it in spite of this problem, and that web designers would need to support these browsers, and therefore it would be a big win.

      You have similar situations with the OS-- if 10% of the desktop market were Linux, you'd see a lot more hardware and software supporting Linux, which would mean that 10% would be able to grow. But what does 10% of the MP3 market mean? What would that change? You'd expect that MS, with all their muscle, could get 10% by hook or by crook. That they haven't managed that yet looks bad.

    20. Re:10% of $product market... by RalphSleigh · · Score: 1

      It's probably also worth mentioning that Apple are selling iPods worldwide, while the Zune is still USA only IIRC. I guess they didnt want to risk the embarissment/extra cost of launching a flop worldwide.

      --
      Come as you are, do what you must, be who you will.
    21. Re:10% of $product market... by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      Not only that, but if you define the market as portable music players, and not just MP3 players, you'll see a big chunk going to portable CD players (discman). At least a quarter of the people I see in public with headphones are using CD players.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    22. Re:10% of $product market... by shark72 · · Score: 1

      "I like that point but I'm pretty sure Zune doesn't have 10% of the MP3 player market by a long shot."

      In April (the latest month for which NPD data was published) they had almost 10%. Total US retail market was $88MM and they sold through $7.2MM. That's 8%. Apple had 81% and the rest was... well, "the rest."

      When you add in flash players, Microsoft's share goes down considerably, as Microsoft's share of the flash player market is 0%.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    23. Re:10% of $product market... by Scrameustache · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Apple doesn't have a market share of 100 million iPods. They've got an _installed base_ of 100 million iPods. During the first three months of '07, Apple sold 10,549,000 iPods - but the Shuffle and the Nano don't count (flash-based). I'm sorry to jump in your fun numbers game, but...

      Do you think the future of iPods (in the generic sense) is in hard drives?
      Because the way I see things going, it seems like non-mechanical storage is on the march.
      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

    24. Re:10% of $product market... by shark72 · · Score: 1

      "Well, for one thing, the Zune doesn't have 10% of the market. That was one million zunes shipped, not sold. For another thing, he's probably artificially limiting the category the Zune is in, like only > 20Gb media players or something."

      Microsoft has sold through close to 1MM units. If they haven't yet hit it, they will soon.

      You're correct on your 2nd point. The Zune has about 10% of the hard drive player market (8% in April). People in the industry like to break up the market into "hard drive" and "flash" segments.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    25. Re:10% of $product market... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because it is more of a herculean feat to break into the OS and browser market because Microsoft has strong-armed its way into its privileged position. The number of computer OEM's that they had to incent/force into preloading Windows on is *very* small compared to the number of possible retail channels there are for personal media players. In this environment, Microsoft is forced to compete on its merits. So, if people are buying iPods to Zunes 10-to-1 or 20-to-1 in a free and open market, it means they really prefer the iPod to the Zune and having less that 10% market share means your product is not so hot. Achieving greater than 10% market share in the browser and OS markets means you are overcoming everything that Microsoft can do to keep you from it. That's why it's such a big deal. Apple, with its arguably superior product line, has not done it. Firefox is there, but I don't think it's as big a deal for a browser to crack the 10% threshold because anyone can easily run two browsers concurrently if they want.

      Anyways, this analysis comes from a guy who makes 100% of his living programming on Microsoft products.

    26. Re:10% of $product market... by mrdaveb · · Score: 1

      Apple has sold 100 million iPods, so, no, 1 million Zunes don't make up 10% of the market. More like 0.1%, I guess. Linux desktop market share is a lot more than that...

      That would mean iPod only has 10% of the market... I doubt there are a billion mp3 players out there!

      --
      Homme petit d'homme petit, s'attend, n'avale
    27. Re:10% of $product market... by FooBarWidget · · Score: 1

      Because it's easy. MP3 players are all pretty much compatible and interoperable. They look a bit different but nobody has trouble using them.

      Browsers, now that's a different story. Even in 2007 there are still Internet Explorer-only sites (and I'm not talking about Windows Update). This is especially true in South Korea and other Asian countries, where most people have never heard of Firefox. Interoperability among browsers is not as good as interoperability among MP3 players. Furthermore, computers tend to have a reputation of being "scary". If you change anything, many users will instantly complain that they don't know how to use it and that they want it to be revert back to whatever they used to use. All of this makes it much harder for an average user to switch browsers.

      Operating systems are an entirely different story. Windows has 95% market share and there are tons and tons and tons of applications and hardware that depend on it. It's not even about usability anymore. Even MacOS X, which has existed for 6 years now, excellent marketing, and widely praised to be a user friendly operating system, still fails to catch more than 7% of the market. An average user is more likely to jump off a bridge than to switch his OS (if he even knows what OS means).

      So yes, 10% of the OS market *would* rival the second coming of Christ.

    28. Re:10% of $product market... by ceeam · · Score: 1

      Notice how things get progressively important in your list?

    29. Re:10% of $product market... by spisska · · Score: 1

      Why is it that when a product achieves ... ...10% of the MP3 player market, it is less than an also-ran.

      Because it is highly dubious that the Zune has sold anywhere near the figures being claimed. Because the portable media player market is still a rapidly growing one, and the sales rate of ipods is still growing significantly. The Zune hasn't done a thing to reduce the ipod's market performance, but has only appeared to cannabalize sales of Microsoft-partner devices.

      The Zune has nowhere near 10 percent of the market, and other players are selling more rapidly and growing sales rates more rapidly, meaning that the Zune's market share is shrinking, not growing, despite the growing size of the market. The ipod's market share is still growing.

      ...10% of the browser market, it is a signal that the world is changing. ...10% of the OS market, it is news that would rival the second coming of Christ.

      Because the browser market is mature, and the growth of a superior upstart browser has led directly to a weakening of the incumbent. This might not seem like much when it's a matter of one free program vs another, but it's much more significant than that.

      Microsoft wanted to "own" the internet since it belatedly learned of its existence. Internet Explorer was to be the means of this ownership as the protocols and standards involved were subverted to work properly only on Microsoft's software. The plan almost worked.

      Same thing in the OS market. Microsoft insists on coplete dominance, and has managed to maintain it for over 20 years. The inertia that comes from this dominance is the only thing that keeps them going. It certainly isn't innovation, nor is it that they make the best products (Excel notwithstanding).

      But if you remove the ubiquity of MS Windows, and people began to look at software and/or services based on their needs and the ability of the software/service to meet those needs without considering what they're used to, then purchasing and deployment decisions become much more nuanced and better informed than today's 'Nobody ever got fired for buying Microsoft'. Remeber when the same thing happened to IBM?

      Because Microsoft insists on complete dominance, anything less than complete dominance would be a failure. Their software would have to be cross-platform, they would have to compete on features and price, they would have to open their formats and ensure compatibility to avoid losing a significant and growing market segment. They would have to play by the rules and compete according to those rules.

      In short "Zune sells a million" isn't news or notable because it probably isn't true -- and even if it is, it's a small and shrinking slice of the pie, and hasn't touched the incumbent in the slightest. Ten percent of the browser and/or OS market is news because it represents direct damage to the incumbent, and the cracks that non-MS software is opening in the Microsoft fortress may prove unfixable.

    30. Re:10% of $product market... by stubear · · Score: 1

      "I like that point but I'm pretty sure Zune doesn't have 10% of the MP3 player market by a long shot."

      And you know this because of what...your spidey sense? How is this comment insightful? It makes broad assumptions with one sentence and poses not onesingle fact, clue, link or other supporting evidence of any kind whatsoever. Slashdot either needs to do away with their moderation system and replace it with one similar to Digg where everyone gets to voice their uninformed opinion or add a few more categories so moderators can be at least somewhat honest (i.e. "+1 I'm an idiot but your comment conincides with my irrational belief system...good job.", stuff like that).

    31. Re:10% of $product market... by mosch · · Score: 1, Informative
    32. Re:10% of $product market... by Rayonic · · Score: 1

      Apple has sold 100 million iPods

      How many of those were replacements for older and/or broken iPods?

      More importantly, how many of those were Shuffles?
    33. Re:10% of $product market... by jigoman · · Score: 1

      The Zune has 10% of the hard-drive based mp3 players, which itself comprises just a fraction of the mp3 market as a whole.

    34. Re:10% of $product market... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Zune has 10% of the American hard-drive based mp3 players, which itself comprises just a fraction of the mp3 market as a whole.

    35. Re:10% of $product market... by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      If you're not worried about size and the 'fash' thing, a portable CD player that plays MP3 files is the best option. I can buy a 35GB memory upgrade for my MP3 player just by purchasing a 50-count cakebox of CDR media. Many multiple audio books fit on a single CD if you compress the voice audio highly. In radio programs, I have the entire archive of The Goon Show on five CDs.

    36. Re:10% of $product market... by jone1941 · · Score: 1

      Yes, but when you're Microsoft and you set your goals this low is it really that shocking when you exceed them. These numbers have nothing to do with how many Zune's are in customer's hands, but how many Microsoft was able to push to the retail chains. Essentially they are saying that they didn't screw up manufacturing and shipping them to dealers where they already have a relationship. Wow! My goal is to sleep tonight, I'm sure we'll all be on the edge of our seats to see whether I can do it.

      --
      Fear trumps hope and ignorance trumps both
    37. Re:10% of $product market... by maxume · · Score: 1

      The numbers are generally too partisan to take much stock in. The thrust of my statement is that 'pathetic' is a strong word when you consider the market they are trying to enter(basically, the ipod market), and the popularity of the incumbent in that market.

      If they don't have 10 or 20 percent of the installed base in a year or two from now, roll out the pathetic carpet.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    38. Re:10% of $product market... by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      Oh, you're expecting sense to come from Slashdot. You must be new here... :^)

      Seriously, remember that Zune holds 10% of the hard-drive based MP3 player market. Apple used to do the same thing when talking about about iPod market-share and Steve Jobs would deride the flash-based MP3 player (right up until they built one).

      For example, if you look at Amazon's top-selling MP3 players, the Zune shows up around #16. However, if you look at hard-drive based MP3 players, you'll find Zune sitting at #5.

      What's entertaining, looking at the Amazon list, is that the Zune is selling for about $40-$50 off the MSRP of $249.99. So the Zune is competitively priced with an iPod nano. Not that I'd replace my nano with a Zune...

    39. Re:10% of $product market... by DECS · · Score: 3, Informative

      The OP is right that Apple has sold 100 million iPods over the last ~6 years (since 2001), but what is interesting is that the company has sold about 70 million of those IN THE LAST YEAR AND A HALF. That's why the installed base graph looks like a population explosion curve (just like Apple's stock price).

      By (fiscal) year, Apple sold this many iPods:
      2002 381,000
      2003 939,000
      2004 4,416,000
      2005 22,497,000
      2006 39,409,000
      2007 31,615,000 (the two fiscal quarters ending in March 07)

      So Microsoft's sales of 1,000,000 would be impressive if it had actually sold that many to consumers. The fact is however, that Microsoft reports sales by counting how many units it has pushed off on retailers. Microsoft reported sales of 10 million Xbox 360s last fall, after only selling 6 million to users. It continues to push retailers to take deliveries of units to create the appearance that the 360 has not reached saturation, despite little new growth. Given that it could dump 4 million 360's on retailers last fall, it's actually a pretty dismal failure that Microsoft can't manage to similarly fake sales of 4 million Zunes, even without ever selling one. If it can only mange to announce meeting its stated goal for June, it doesn't even care anymore. This is a very dead product.

      Zune vs. iPhone: Five Phases of Media Coverage
      iPod vs Zune: Microsoft's Slippery Astroturf
      Next Gen Sales - Q1 2007 - Zune, Xbox, PS3, Wii, Apple TV

    40. Re:10% of $product market... by The+Bungi · · Score: 1

      Kinda like Apple with the iPhone?

    41. Re:10% of $product market... by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      Since the iPod is designed like a disposable flashlight, probably a lot. You just have to do the math, knowing as we do that "nobody would evah go back to anything else" and the number at this point is probably three iPods per consumer, just based on battery life, not counting other flaws that render these $100-500 beauties 'throw-away.'

    42. Re:10% of $product market... by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      Microsoft wanted to "own" the internet since it belatedly learned of its existence.

      Actually, Microsoft knew of the internet at about the same time as every other company. They just didn't take it seriously as 'the' online service right away, and pushed their own proprietary 'online service' just like AOL and CompuServe.

      They didn't 'wake up' to the need to push their own new and proprietary web browser until Netscape started pushing proprietary tags for their web browser tied to their proprietary server technology. Netscape's figurehead 'whiz-kid' Andreesen got up on the stage and announced 'we are going to take over the desktop with web-based services' and since it was the era of the dot-bomb hypefest everybody, including Microsoft, believed the hype and jumped into the biz.

      Remember, around the time of the release of Windows 95 everybody was worried that Microsoft was going to kill AOL by placing their MSN icon on the desktop by default. Not because AOL or MSN were primarily 'Internet Providers.' Because it was still the era of 'Online Services' that provided gateways to the 'net.

    43. Re:10% of $product market... by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      There is and has been vendor lock-in due to DRM restrictions since the beginning of the iTunes service if you buy the Apple product. Furthermore, you are 'locked' in to use Apple software to upload to the iPod (alternatives do exist, but not 'mainstream' alternatives).

      If it wasn't dear sweet Apple, the thrust of the iPod would be savaged here on Slashdot. Apple's astroturf operation sees to it that will not happen.

    44. Re:10% of $product market... by ciroknight · · Score: 1

      You realize it took two quarters for Microsoft to sell a million zunes. It took one quarter for Apple to sell 10.5 million iPods. Even if you do that funky voodoo you do to the end of those numbers, you still have to take the percentage they "sold" and cut that in half (now we're looking at more like 5% of market share, at the absolute most optimistic).

      That doesn't counteract the fact that Microsoft's "sales" numbers are to stores, and not to consumer's pockets.

      --
      "Victory means exit strategy, and it's important for the President to explain to us what the exit strategy is." G.W.Bush
    45. Re:10% of $product market... by TheQuantumShift · · Score: 1

      Neither did mozilla/firefox for quite some time, yet everyday here there were (and still are) stories about the great "movement" that was taking shape. It's almost as bad as the quarterly "Linux is finally ready for the Desktop" submissions that I've been seeing for the last eight years...

      --

      Shift happens. Fire it up.
    46. Re:10% of $product market... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Kinda like Apple with the iPhone?

      I'm not sure what you mean. The iPhone is up in the air, a new product in a competitive market. However, Apple's predominance in the MP3 player market is worrisome, and they are beginning to leverage it.

    47. Re:10% of $product market... by vitalyb · · Score: 1

      Because it is above (gasp) math and statistics.

      We cheer for Linux and for Firefox not only because they gained their 10% of the market but because they did it freely, using open source and in a way that improves the world.

      We boo for Zune because their (less than) 10% market share was pushed by a behemoth of a company with a multi billion marketing campaign that advocates DRM and restriction of user rights and is against many things that people here believe in.

    48. Re:10% of $product market... by antic · · Score: 1

      Shame that your point appears to have been dominated by confused follow-ups regarding specific figures.

      --
      'Thats they exact same thing a banana wrench monkey.'
    49. Re:10% of $product market... by RodgerDodger · · Score: 1

      No, I think the future is in Flash. But the 10% figure the Microsoft guy quoted was for HD players - so the Shuffle and the Nano don't count for the purposes of examining the 10% number.

      --
      "Software is too expensive to build cheaply"
    50. Re:10% of $product market... by RodgerDodger · · Score: 1

      Pay attention to the math... I don't have to half the Zune sales, because I doubled the Apple sales.

      Furthermore, who says that Apple's "sales" numbers are "to consumer's pockets"?

      --
      "Software is too expensive to build cheaply"
    51. Re:10% of $product market... by Scrameustache · · Score: 1

      No, I think the future is in Flash. But the 10% figure the Microsoft guy quoted was for HD players So they have a growing market share in a dying sub-market?
      Awesome.
      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

    52. Re:10% of $product market... by ivan256 · · Score: 1

      8% of the revenue isn't 8% market share. Zunes are not average to below-average priced. Like the iPod, they're priced at a premium.

      Also, NPD doesn't take Apple's direct sales into account. At all.

    53. Re:10% of $product market... by cthellis · · Score: 1

      By this reasoning, you have "vendor lock-in" with your cell phones, too. Just how many people do you think are afraid to get a new phone, even though they'll likely be buying a case, a car charger, and new adaptors each and every time? Heck, on an even closer parallel, just how many people buy ringtones ALL OVER AGAIN? Repeatedly.

      The vast majority of people haven't purchased enough off iTunes for it to be a consideration. $20-30 of potential repurchasing--more, even--doesn't make a huge amount of difference when looking at $200+ music players. (And if you're getting something along the lines of a Shuffle, you really aren't wasting money on the player itself; you're looking for the most value you can muster.)

      Meanwhile, the lock-in is even SMALLER, since it doesn't really exist on the music end. You can get around it using iTunes itself, simply by burning your music to a play CD and re-ripping it. So really, all we're talking about are those who have started using iTunes for TV and movies, which are much harder to re-encode, and can't be done through iTunes itself. And considering how many iPods can even PLAY the media compared to the 100 million sold, and the lower percentage of people who have those AND have purchased a lot of digital media...?

      The "vendor lock-in" force does not feel strong to me.

  9. Is the Zune a Player? by GaryPatterson · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'd hoped that the Zune would be a stronger competitor to the iPod, offering things Apple didn't and raising the bar on portable players generally.

    As a fan of Apple, I'm keen to see better players in this space to drive everyone up. It's good to see Microsoft claiming the million players sold, but the Zune as it stands today is a turkey. The innovative wireless sharing has been hobbled by unnecessarily draconian DRM, leaving a weak offering. Maybe Zune 2 will be better, but it's a failure to release a poor first showing, as now we've all got this first impression to overcome.

    I'd like to see Microsoft release a really solid Zune. Promises are worth exactly nothing; only products matter.

    1. Re:Is the Zune a Player? by alchemist68 · · Score: 1

      I think MSFT's plan was to build an MP3 player at the lowest possible R&D costs while offering features the iPod didn't, and that includes a different user interface to the iPod's aging user interface. However, when Steve demoed the iPhone and everyone oooohed.... and ahhhhhed... over it's slick user interface and features, everyone knows that most of the iPhone's user interface and possibly some of the its features will make there way into new iPods. Apple has an established history of investing heavily in R&D and providing a consistent user interface and features spanning across its some of its products. I think this is what Apple refers to as 'it just works' in it's advertisements and the public/market at large recognizes this. This is one of many reasons for Apple's success in this arena and why Microsoft isn't.

      Reiterating the comments of other Slashdotters, I've never seen a PERSON walking in public listening to or carrying a Zune. The only place I've seen a Zune was resting on a dusty display at Best Buy, and of course, with no one looking at them.

    2. Re:Is the Zune a Player? by Scrameustache · · Score: 1

      I'd hoped that the Zune would be a stronger competitor to the iPod, offering things Apple didn't and raising the bar on portable players generally. But you got treatment and now the seizures and weird delusions about the innovation relationship between Apple and Microsoft have subsided? Glad to have you back and coherent ;)
      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

    3. Re:Is the Zune a Player? by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

      The problem is that Microsoft has to cater to the music industry and soon, maybe the movie & TV industry with respect to the limitations they put on "squirting". Why they didn't also have some means of accessing a store or the web through the control, I really don't know.

    4. Re:Is the Zune a Player? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ipod suck, zune suck, go for iriver and cowon....

    5. Re:Is the Zune a Player? by JWW · · Score: 1

      The innovative wireless sharing has been hobbled by unnecessarily draconian DRM,

      Thats the problem with Microsoft, they will #@#$%@!! the consumer over DRM _every_ time. With their move with Windows Media Center Edition to allow content providers to tell you what you can and can't record, they've proven that they'll sell out their customers at every turn.

      What shackles on your media, choose Microsoft. Want to back a company trying to do something about DRM, get an iPod. Don't care and would rather steal your music, buy some other player ;-).

    6. Re:Is the Zune a Player? by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      I'm with you.

      Microsoft is doing the same thing with the Zune that they did with the Xbox. Sure the first version was ridiculed by fanboys (and of course the Slashdot hordes), but it's a solid machine that works as promised. The second version might be a killer machine, like the Xbox 360, if Microsoft's competitors are as careless and clueless as Sony was this console generation.

      In any case, success for the Zune means my chances of getting a large-screen iPod go up every month. I like that. I have too much money invested in the Apple iTunes Music Store to switch personally, but I have no problem with the Zune existing and being successful.

    7. Re:Is the Zune a Player? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I thought the ideas behind the Zune's new features were good ones. But Microsoft's priorities ruined the implementation; they are more concerned with protecting copyrights and having their device be a gatekeeper than they are concerned with producing a consumer-friendly, neutral piece of technology.

      Apple is guilty of this to a degree as well but given the functionality of the iPod the opt-in DRM is not as offensive as, e.g., the Zune's crippled wireless sharing which cannot be used in any way besides the RIAA-servicing one.

      Maybe MS will get it right a few versions down the road, but given their commitment to copyright alliances and so on -- and their use of this 'copyright-friendly' stance as a wedge against competitors like Google and Apple -- I don't think an "ideal Zune" will ever come about.

    8. Re:Is the Zune a Player? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the Zune as it stands today is a turkey. The innovative wireless sharing has been hobbled by unnecessarily draconian DRM, leaving a weak offering. You don't have to use the crippled wireless feature. You can connect the Zune to a computer with a cable or dock, just like the iPod. It's not like the iPod's wireless feature is better than the Zune's.

      In comparison to the iPod with video capabilities, the Zune has a superior user interface and a much better screen. It's also noticeably thicker.

      Maybe Zune 2 will be better Zune 2 will be thinner. MS will begin manufacturing their own Zunes instead of customizing Toshiba's player, which they are doing for current Zunes.
  10. Nice by Tuoqui · · Score: 3, Funny

    At least it seems to be selling better than Vista!

    --
    09F911029D74E35BD84156C5635688C0
    +2 Troll is Slashdot's way of saying groupthink is confused
    1. Re:Nice by Obsi · · Score: 0

      That's not hard to do -- SCO licenses sell better than Vista.

  11. Sold? or Shipped? by Basilius · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We all know MSFT counts something as sold the day it leaves the warehouse, not the day it leaves the store.

    I know more people with Archos products (2) than Zunes (1).

  12. Best Buy, Comp USA, Wal-Mart? by Bayoudegradeable · · Score: 5, Insightful

    1,000,000 sold to vendors perhaps? Sold to customers might be different but if there are 1 mil Zunes on shelves or in stock out there M$ can claim "million sold."

    --
    Sig Registration Form 34c_766(a) submitted to Ministry of Signature Management. Approval pending.
    1. Re:Best Buy, Comp USA, Wal-Mart? by shark72 · · Score: 1, Informative

      "1,000,000 sold to vendors perhaps? Sold to customers might be different but if there are 1 mil Zunes on shelves or in stock out there M$ can claim "million sold.""

      Sorry, no. That 1MM units is sell through to customers, not sell in to retailers. Companies almost never refer to sell in numbers, as quantity sold in is liable to be returned.

      I've seen the NPD data. Microsoft isn't lying here.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    2. Re:Best Buy, Comp USA, Wal-Mart? by Xerxus · · Score: 1

      Didn't MS do this when talking about their 10 Million Xbox 360 sales over the Holidays? I know that in Sony press releases, they generally talk about shipping to retailers rather than people buying the unit.

    3. Re:Best Buy, Comp USA, Wal-Mart? by shark72 · · Score: 1

      "Didn't MS do this when talking about their 10 Million Xbox 360 sales over the Holidays? I know that in Sony press releases, they generally talk about shipping to retailers rather than people buying the unit."

      I wouldn't be surprised; that sounds familiar. Either way, Microsoft has sold through (not sold in) about 1MM units. Independent data confirms it.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    4. Re:Best Buy, Comp USA, Wal-Mart? by hotdiggitydawg · · Score: 2, Funny

      Aha! You made the same mistake the MS press-monkey made when reading the original memo from Bill... "1.000.000" is not in fact the Eurpoean number format for "one million", but rather the US number format for "one"... Bill himself.

      Even Steve got an iPod instead, although he won't admit to it.

    5. Re:Best Buy, Comp USA, Wal-Mart? by ivan256 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      NPD data isn't Microsoft data, and unless every user registers their product Microsoft doesn't know how many were "sold" to end users. They don't much care either. They don't sell Zunes to end users. They sell them to distributors and retailers. If they collected money for a million units, they've sold a million units. If every WalMart, Target, and BestBuy still has 4 on the shelf, Microsoft still "sold" a million units, even though only half of that is in the wild. This article doesn't mention NPD data at all.

      Not that it matters anyway. Saying you've sold a million at this point is admitting defeat. Apple sold that many players last week. A million in almost a year is horrible and complete failure.

    6. Re:Best Buy, Comp USA, Wal-Mart? by jmac1492 · · Score: 1

      I know that in Sony press releases, they generally talk about shipping to retailers rather than people buying the unit.
      Yeah, Sony does that, but nobody else (not even Microsoft) stoops that low.
      --
      Jenny's got a new number! 09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
    7. Re:Best Buy, Comp USA, Wal-Mart? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that depends. Some retailers don't actually pay for the items until the customer buys it. The term for it is "Pay On Scan".

    8. Re:Best Buy, Comp USA, Wal-Mart? by Bayoudegradeable · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the clarification. My "Clearly Not in Sales" is showing :)

      --
      Sig Registration Form 34c_766(a) submitted to Ministry of Signature Management. Approval pending.
    9. Re:Best Buy, Comp USA, Wal-Mart? by ivan256 · · Score: 1

      Pay On Scan is rare for tangible goods.

      The only well documented instance of Pay On Scan outside of the periodical content or publishing issues I can find reference to is auto parts, and even then only a very small number of vendors.

      Unlike the book industry, the games and software industries have been reluctant, defiant even, in adopting Pay On Scan. I don't see why Microsoft would be willing to do for Zune what they are unwiling to do for Xbox, Xbox games, and Windows.

  13. Get the podcast! by Wulfstan · · Score: 1

    Quoth the article:

    "Read the full interview or listen the podcast (available to download also) on San Franscisco Chronicle."

    Yeah, you'd think they'd have edited that one out...

    --
    --- Nick, hard at work :->
    1. Re:Get the podcast! by chrish · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, nobody was interested in downloading the Zunesquirt.

      --
      - chrish
  14. Wow, a million stupid people by The+Faywood+Assassin · · Score: 1

    I guess that's also a running tally of how many people who can't read the cruddy reviews about this thing.

    I can see the first few thousand people being blinded by the lies, but why the rest followed them over the cliff is beyond me!

    --

    "I'm a humble person really,

    I'm actually much greater than I think I am"

  15. Simple by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If a small player has only 10% of the market and a compelling product, it's a sign of change. If a major player has only 10% of the market and a product with no compelling features, it's a sign of failure.

    Except Microsoft wont fail, they'll gain a foothold and then flood the retail channel with their second-rate take on an existing product. With one or two exceptions, that's how they've done things for the past 20 years.

    1. Re:Simple by suv4x4 · · Score: 0

      If a small player has only 10% of the market and a compelling product, it's a sign of change. If a major player has only 10% of the market and a product with no compelling features, it's a sign of failure.

      Except Microsoft wont fail, they'll gain a foothold and then flood the retail channel with their second-rate take on an existing product. With one or two exceptions, that's how they've done things for the past 20 years.


      Thanks for the galore of cliches. Now to talk facts. No one was excited about iPod when it came out. The first version didn't even have real click wheel, it had separate play/pause/stop buttons, and the clickwheel was just for scrolling.

      You talk about major and minor players: Zune was released just few months ago, it's currently GAINING market share. Your heuristic don't make sense. What's important is not how big is the company that releases the product, but if it gains or loses market share.

      Apple has 3% of desktops. Is this a sign of failure? At some point, it was, but now they're gaining share, so they're definitely not failing.

      The Zune has done very well so far, and like the first XBOX, it's an experiment, trying the market, trying new features, learning. If the leap from Zune 1 to 2 is as big as XBOX to XBOX360, Apple's in for a trouble.

    2. Re:Simple by Tickletaint · · Score: 2

      Apple has 3% of desktops. Is this a sign of failure? At some point, it was...
      No, it was only ever a sign of failure to accountants and accountant types, those who judge "success" by what everyone else is doing. Who gives a crap about market share? On its own merits, the Mac was a success.

      The Zune has done very well so far...
      Oh yeah?

      If the leap from Zune 1 to 2 is as big as XBOX to XBOX360, Apple's in for a trouble.
      Sorry, but the Xbox 360 is as lousy with the Microsoft aesthetic as was the original Xbox. And that's to do with more than just its looks.
      --
      Make Slashdot readable! See journal.
  16. Not fair! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not fair if you're counting Ballmer buying the first 900,000 units!

  17. Probably true. but... by Bullfish · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The thing is one million may sound like a lot to us, but it is really a drop in the bucket compared to mow many mp3 players there are out there. iPods have sold how many million? I still see more generic players (Sansas etc) around my area than genuine iPods. MS is trying to establish the Zune as a brand which may or may not happen. To do so they will have to sell 10's of millions and then you might see one. MS does have the staying power to wait. If the thing fails, at least they have a tax write-off. In the meantime, the reason they want in is the sheer size of the market. Not unlike the iPhone which Apple figures will make a go of it with single digit market penetration. A million is probably true, but in percentage of the market it is insignificant.

    1. Re:Probably true. but... by vladsinger · · Score: 1

      I fail to see how a Sansa player is not "genuine" because it is not an iPod. Granted, the iPod is the best, yet they are not the entire mp3 player market, nor the pinnacle of design forever. Mind you, quite a few of these companies seem to be trying to emulate the iPod as close as possible without incurring the wrath of Steve Jobs.

  18. How many sold to their own employees? by gilesjuk · · Score: 2, Interesting

    After the iPod amnesty at Microsoft I would imagine they have finally reached this target.

    1. Re:How many sold to their own employees? by mgblst · · Score: 1

      Do you really think that Microsoft hires over a million people? And that they all have ipods? And that they all want to throw them away for the Zune? What are you, stupid, or an accountant?

  19. Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by mattgreen · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    I hate to interrupt this lovely Zune hate-fest (since it became cool to hate on it for no apparent reason) but since when have people considered their own personal experience when dealing with a product to somehow scale up to the reality of it? Every second post says, "I have never seen anyone with them!" Well, of course not, look at what site you're on! It is practically a religion to hate on Microsoft here. I reckon the Zune's market is people who think the iPod is too cool so they buy the Microsoft alternative. Do you think it is surprising that there are Zune booths inside of GameStop?

    And I write this as an iPod user. It is my job to make fun of your groupthink, so carry on.

    1. Re:Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Zune's DRM is a pretty apparent reason to hate on it.

    2. Re:Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by mattgreen · · Score: 1

      I hate the iTunes DRM. I hate the Sony CD's rootkit. I hate the DRM files in Rhapsody/Napster. Why is it that we never hear about those much anymore? Don't we all HATE them with every fiber of our being?

    3. Re:Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by gilesjuk · · Score: 1

      Where I work it's almost totally a Microsoft shop, Windows PCs everywhere. Yet you see no Zune players, guess why? Microsoft haven't even launched it in the UK yet!!!

    4. Re:Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by HetMes · · Score: 1

      As opposed to some people on slashdot, namely you apparently, among my many friends, there are only a couple of them who read slashdot regularly. I'm assuming I am not the only one here who had many friend that are not of the slashdot type. And I too have yet to even séé someone with a Zune, whereas I knów at least 10 people who own an iPod. Also, it is a matter of statistics. All those individual experiences make for solid empirical proof that MS is heavily exaggerating their Zune sales. I should note, however, that I live in the Netherlands, and am actually not even sure whether the Zune has even been released in Europe yet. And if it is, that makes matter that much worse.

    5. Re:Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by Scrameustache · · Score: 1

      I hate to interrupt this lovely Zune hate-fest (since it became cool to hate on it for no apparent reason) No apparent reason???

      Hmmm... a player that adds DRM to free music. WONDERfull.
      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

    6. Re:Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by gnasher719 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      '' I hate the iTunes DRM. I hate the Sony CD's rootkit. I hate the DRM files in Rhapsody/Napster. Why is it that we never hear about those much anymore? Don't we all HATE them with every fiber of our being? ''

      There is not a single song with DRM in my iTunes library. There is not a single song with DRM on my iPod. My wife got one CD-like music container which I had to import on my four year old PowerMac because the MacBook would just eject it; it was made by Sony and no "CD" sign anywhere on it. This might have been a close encounter with DRM; I don't know.

      I don't hate DRM at all. I just haven't purchased and won't purchase music with DRM.

    7. Re:Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by rolfwind · · Score: 1

      I don't own an MP3 player because, well, I really don't care to, but I have tried iPods and a Zune from friends.

      Frankly, at the price level the iPod is simply a better player just from the buttons. The Zune's buttons seem clunky and that impression extends to the whole product. The iPod's clickwheel is minimal, elegant and probably the first reason I would not look at a Zune. It's not like the Zune is cheaper or anything.

      As it is, I think the market is headed toward flash memory, and the nano is more attractive. I also think an integrated phone would be more attrative (iPhone). In any case, I see the HD based MP3 player market shrinking.

      As to why hate the Zune blindly -- because there are people who hate Microsoft for very legitimate reasons. They have a right to boycott the product and spread the word.

    8. Re:Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by cowscows · · Score: 1

      Meh. How many /. readers have an Xbox/Xbox360? I do, and I've been an Apple fanboy for well over a decade. In the end, it comes down to what does a product offer you for the price. If it's decent, people will buy it. Everyone was skeptical of the Xbox when it was first announced, but over time it's proven itself to be a worthwhile console to many people. Some people would rather die than have an MS produced object in their house, but most people really aren't that extreme.

      MS has done very little with the Zune that would convince anybody to give it a shot.

      --

      One time I threw a brick at a duck.

    9. Re:Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by mattgreen · · Score: 1

      Certainly. I wouldn't buy a Zune. I find them mediocre.

      Yet, you don't see mass hate directed towards some other random player with one or two new features. Nobody seems to be able to give a rational explanation why this is the case. It is the technology whipping boy of the Internet, currently. And I am simply asking why this is the case. Seems like it is just so easy to go along with the crowd on this that people do.

    10. Re:Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      At the moment I'm posting this, the highest modded thread in this topic was started by a guy in the UK complaining that he's never seen a Zune in 'the wild', without mentioning what you just mentioned: they aren't released in the UK.

      Which demonstrates the grandparent's "hatefest" point very well. Talk about FUD, Slashdot comments are expert.

    11. Re:Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      You've actually tried one, though. And since you don't own an iPod already, you're relatively unbiased.

      The majority of the people here have not used one, nor would they use one if they had the chance to try it out. They're just hating on Microsoft because it's Microsoft. (We saw the same thing happen when the original Xbox game out. The Xbox was a very good game console, and more than competitive with the Gamecube and PS2, yet you'd never hear anything positive about it on Slashdot just because of the brand name.)

      It's ridiculous. It's become like a religion to bash Microsoft, regardless of what they do. Well I own an Xbox, Xbox 360, a MN-500 wireless router, and a Comfort Curve keyboard (plugged into my Mac of all things), all from Microsoft, and I think they're all excellent products. Especially the wireless router; most of those suck ass, from my experience, but this MN-500 just purrs along without any problems year after year. (Pity they don't make them anymore.)

      I agree that people have the right to boycott the product, but I think it's intellectually dishonest to "spread the word" about a product you've never used.

    12. Re:Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by rolfwind · · Score: 1

      Heh, same here on the Microsoft Comfort curve:)

      Actually, I would have bought a MS split keyboard design at the time, but they really mangled the arrow keys and the inst/hm/pgup/pgdown/dl/end/pgdown keys in a really stupid and nonstandard configuration.

      I think I'm offtopic....

    13. Re:Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hmmm... a player that adds DRM to free music. WONDERfull. Nice FUD. There's no DRM on any music on my Zune. Of course, I don't use the wireless sharing feature and I don't buy DRM'd music. You don't have to use wireless sharing or buy DRM's music to use the Zune or the iPod. They're both completely usable without dealing with DRM.
    14. Re:Great to hear everyone's personal experiences by cowscows · · Score: 1

      Eh, probably because with all the resources MS has and all the hype they put out, we expected better. I don't know if Creative or Rio would flat out call any of their new players the "ipod killer" (although many media types will throw that around for just about anything that you can plug headphones into), but MS really talked up the Zune, and tried to manufacture the trendy-ness with their Welcome to the Social nonsense. I expect any company to embellish a little in their press releases, but if MS really took it far and then completely fell short of the expectations that they tried to create for us. I think it's really similar to what Sony did with the PS3. Promising the second coming and then delivering something that's only mildly compelling at best.

      And on the flip side, there were plenty of naysayers for Apple when the iPod was first announced (and still plenty now with the iPhone), although the Apple fanboys tend to drown that out a little more than MS's cheerleaders.

      I'll agree that MS has a bit of an uphill battle with the /. crowd, but I think the xbox and the response it's gotten here shows significantly more open-mindedness than you might expect. But on a website with a blatant linux/OSS slant, why would you expect the giant proprietary monopoly corporation to be given the benefit of the doubt?

      --

      One time I threw a brick at a duck.

  20. Sold or shipped? by bbzzdd · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I am reluctant to believe that 1M Zunes were sold through to consumers as opposed to sold to retail. Microsoft pulled this same stunt in December to meet their 10M Xbox 360 goal. They essentially flooded the retail channels with 360s, many of which are still on the shelves today. The question is, how many Zunes did they dump into retail to meet the 1M goal?

    1. Re:Sold or shipped? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      actually, you'll find many manfacturers flood the market with their product in december. It's called 'christmas'.

    2. Re:Sold or shipped? by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      How else do you expect them to get the number?

      If Microsoft made Best Buy, Circuit City, Comp USA, and every mom-and-pop electronics store in the nation report back actual sales, they'd be lambasted here for evil data mining.

      Besides, from Microsoft's perspective, if they sell a Zune to a retailer, they've "sold" it. Right? So reporting 1 million sold makes perfect sense.

  21. Re:Sold? or Shipped? by dekkerdreyer · · Score: 1

    > I know more people with Archos products (2) than Zunes (1). That's statistically significant. 1/sqrt(N) is your signal to noise.

    --
    Dekker Dreyer
  22. Whoa, you know someone with a Zune? by Xocet_00 · · Score: 1

    I have to admit, I've been curious to play around with one of these things, but I haven't even seen them in stores here (Halifax, NS) let alone in the hands of one of my friends. Not that I would buy one - my iPod works just fine.

    1. Re:Whoa, you know someone with a Zune? by Basilius · · Score: 1

      Yup. I know one. And I work for a Microsoft Gold Certified Partner. The guy actually researched four different models and ended up going with the Zune.

      In a related note, Target used to have their Zune stuff on an endcap. Now, it's buried off in the middle of one of the aisles.

  23. Re:Sold? or Shipped? by Hangtime · · Score: 1

    Good point, however its not so much the deviousness of a company but rather the reality of GAAP accounting. The manufacturer counts the sell upon delivery of the product to a wholesaler (Best Buy, CompUSA) and receiving consideration (money) for the sale equals revenue. However, the smart analyst will look at how things flow through the channel (Wal-Mart, Best Buy, etc.) to ascertain how well things are selling to the consumer because this will be the best indicator of the future.

  24. 1000000? by meta+coder · · Score: 5, Funny

    of course, it's binary

    1. Re:1000000? by Hoplite3 · · Score: 1

      For the lazy, or the mathematically disinclined, that's 64 zunes. Imagine if you had them all in one room. Woo. What a party.

      --
      Use the Firehose to mod down Second Life stories!
    2. Re:1000000? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      64 Zunes should be enough for the market....

  25. Zune = zzZZzzz by Khan · · Score: 1

    That about sums up my excitement concerning the Zune. I'll stick with my Sansa e280 especially since I can run Rockbox on it.

    --

    "Klaatu, verada, necktie!" -Ash

  26. sold to whom? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't know about the US or Asia, but here in EU seems that nearly nobody bought it.

    Could be nice if they said to whom they sold one million zunes.
    Not to me, certainly. When I'll need one I'm going to buy some chinese player which will cost a fraction and, more important, won't be crippled by drm, spyware and a proprietary operating system I don't trust.

  27. Re:Sold? or Shipped? by dvice_null · · Score: 1

    I think they also count coupons that offer you a discount to the product as sold. This is what happened with Vista (except discount was 100% if I remember correctly).

  28. Nice! by mattgreen · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It can be simplified further:

    * If we like said product/OS, then every tiny gain in market share is major news which is accepted without further questioning of the facts as presented. Comments on article consist of lots of pats on the back and generally positive.
    * If we don't like said product/OS, then every tiny gain in market share involves questioning the facts as presented. Insert long diatribes about unfairness of past behavior. You can even make statements that conditionally apply, i.e. "monopolies are bad. Except for the iPod, they earned it!"

    The funny part is you have a bunch of posts nitpicking over the 10% mark: "there's no way the Zune has 10%!" Yes, way to miss the entire point of the post.

    1. Re:Nice! by mkiwi · · Score: 1

      "monopolies are bad. Except for the iPod, they earned it!"

      And by golly Apple earned it, even after some of the tech industry's most important commontators doomed it to failure. Never Forget.

      For those of you without a sarcasm meter that was sarcasm. :-)

  29. Apples, Oranges and Statistics by Ian.Waring · · Score: 1
    According to Robbie Bach, Microsoft's president of the Entertainment and Devices Division, Zune will meet the goal of 1.000.000 players sold by the end of June, set at launch.

    I've yet to see one this side of the pond, and the statement doesn't say who Microsoft sold them to and and what price. Given they appear to be able to hit the volume just in time for Microsoft's financial year end, how do you spell "write off"? And isn't market share normally measured by what proportion appear to be in the hands of consumers??

  30. Re:...but... by youthoftoday · · Score: 1

    Wrong. It's running EMBEDDED Microsoft software -- here, the `reset' button is king.

    --
    -1 not first post
  31. In Soviet Microsoftistan by theolein · · Score: 1

    Microsoft product managers remind me of the Soviet factory managers in that they both had fixed, set quotas to meet, which were set by leaders/upper management who were/are totally divorced from the reality of just how unpopular Microsoft as a brand is, and the reasons behind that unpopularity are because it's been a long time since Microsoft offered products that didn't have some kind of Designed-By-Marketing trick to lock you into their products.

    It shows just how little trust Microsoft actually has in its own products.

    1. Re:In Soviet Microsoftistan by cabinetsoft · · Score: 1

      ... remind me of the Soviet factory managers in that they both had fixed, set quotas to meet, which were set by leaders/upper management who were/are totally divorced from the reality ...

      The way things ran on some parts of the Soviet block was pretty close to this:

      1. the leader would setup a quota - based on previous year or out of his a$$ of course, most of the times not knowing what the numbers sugested mean;

      2. the secretary in charge of the respective industry would take the number and add something to it and pass it along as a target to be accomplished;

      ...

      n. the factory manager would get some numbers which he would raise and report back as a target

      n+1. end of year / end of crops harvesting time - line was drawn and the factory manager would realize it's waaaaay under the target; anyway he'd report back something slightly bigger than the target

      ...

      n+k. each level would report something bigger than the numbers he'd get;

      ...

      2n. in the end, final reports would indicate twice or more the target and generally there would be also mentioned a ridiculous amount of increase vs. last year's results.

      It was all depending on the levels of the hierarchy - the bigger the hierarchy was; the bigger the accomplishments

    2. Re:In Soviet Microsoftistan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Microsoft product managers remind me of the Soviet factory managers in that they both had fixed, set quotas to meet In fact you were expected not only to meet the quotas but to exceed them by at least 10%, after what the quotas were raised. I'm not joking.
  32. No no no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    it's 1,000,000 patents infringed and 235 Zunes sold

  33. Weakonomics! by k1e0x · · Score: 1

    You can't count giving 850,000 away for free as a "sale".

    Microsoft does this all the time, They say "see Vista already outsold XP in its first month. (I have only seen 1 person with a Vista system and he hates it.) it's widely addopted.. why dont you have it? your falling behind in REAL technology."

    --
    Bringing liberty to the masses. - http://freetalklive.com/
    1. Re:Weakonomics! by shark72 · · Score: 1

      "You can't count giving 850,000 away for free as a "sale"."

      They are counting units sold at retail. In case this still isn't clear... they are referring to units which customers buy by paying for them at a store such as Target or Best Buy.

      It's interesting to see the theories that people are throwing out there. At any rate, glancing at the April NPD data:

      • Total US retail market size for hard drive MP3 players was about $88MM (down from $117MM in March)
      • Apple had the top four spots and did about $72MM of that
      • Microsoft had spots #5, #7, #8 and #10 and did about $7.2MM -- interestingly, almost exactly 1/10th of Apple's business

      Before anybody tries to extrapolate that by dividing by the retail price and multiplying by the number of months that the Zune has been on the market -- keep in mind that this is US retail data only, and that the MP3 player market is very seasonal. For instance, Microsoft sold $44MM worth of players at US retail in December.

      Looking at the NPD data as a whole, two things are clear:

      1. Microsoft has likely sold about a million units. There's no use in debating this point. We can all go back to talking about how the Zune's wireless sucks.
      2. Apple still owns the market. This should lessen the need to come up with theories about how Microsoft hasn't sold a million units.
      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
  34. Can't even give them away. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Microsoft run a Student Partners program (cheap grass roots marketing). You advertise us on campus, we'll give you prizes.

    The winner of the award this year was due to get a Zune... however, due to it not being lanuched over here yet, they had to give away a Creative Zen (if I remember rightly). Oops.

  35. 1.000.000 = 1 != 1,000,000 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "has already met the goal of 1.000.000 players sold, "

    So only 1 zune was sold... Great.

  36. Bach says They HAVEN'T sold a million by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Did anyone read the article? Bach is making a prediction that they WILL have sold a million by the end of June. In other words it's just a prediction. Whereas he has to quote existing sales accurately, predicted sales, they they don't sell it by end of June, he'll say, 'well my guess was off'.

    "EDIT: The text of the interview says Microsoft has sold already more than 1 million Zunes, but listening to the podcast Robbie Bach says Microsoft will have sold more than this number by the end of this fiscal year, end of June. A small detail."

    Even if it's only 10% of the hard disk market segment it's in and 1% of the iPods and about 0.3% of Mp3 players, I still doubt it's sold that many. Man that was a dog.

  37. Question by Vexorian · · Score: 4, Funny

    What is Steve Ballmer's uncle going to do with 1000000 zunes?

    --

    Copyright infringement is "piracy" in the same way DRM is "consumer rape"
    1. Re:Question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Throw them once they runs out of chairs - his nephew`s coming over to visit soon.

    2. Re:Question by toddestan · · Score: 1

      What is Steve Ballmer's uncle going to do with 1000000 zunes?

      Build a house. A brick house, that is.

    3. Re:Question by smiltee · · Score: 0

      The Zunes! The Zunes! The Zunes!

      --
      Blame Canada!
  38. No Linux by simonloach · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The only reason I bought a Zune was because I thought it would have linux on it a few months after launch. I thought to myself "Ipod fans have had Rockbox and ipodlinux for ages so why not Zune?". Big mistake. Microsoft have gone out of their way to prevent third party firmware being loaded on by only accepting Microsoft signed firmware. Its such a shame. Think about what could be done: wireless syncing, actually sharing songs between other Zune users (not that 3 songs in 3 days crap), gapless playback, proper video format support (not just wmv) etc. It could have been good...

    1. Re:No Linux by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

      I think it is a mistake to buy something based on the features it might have.

      I don't think it makes sense to ask for wireless syncing, I just don't see that as a feature worth developing. You are eventually going to have to recharge the thing anyway, and the wireless connection sucks down considerable power to boot. Wireless transfer of a lot of files is very slow anyway. Transferring using USB 2 is going to be about 10x faster, WiFi is closer to USB 1.1's highest speed speed than it is of USB 2.0's highest speed.

  39. Why does no one in Canada carry it? by Xocet_00 · · Score: 1

    These are the three big-name electronics retailers in Canada:

    Future Shop
    Best Buy
    The Source

    Not one of them seems to carry it. What's that all about?

    1. Re:Why does no one in Canada carry it? by aristotle-dude · · Score: 1

      These are the three big-name electronics retailers in Canada:

      Future Shop
      Best Buy
      The Source

      Not one of them seems to carry it. What's that all about? Correct me if I'm wrong but I believe the Zune and the Zune marketplace only launched in the US. Until MSFT launches it in Canada, you will not see them carrying it. As a mac and iPod owner, living I Canada, I could care less but I suppose there are some fans of MSFT that would like to buy one.
      --
      Jesus was a compassionate social conservative who called individuals to sin no more.
  40. Yup by Vexorian · · Score: 1

    In this place I own an ipod nano and almost everyone else owns a sony mp3 player o_O , and I only own an ipod nano because I won it in some contest. 3rd world is funny I guess.

    --

    Copyright infringement is "piracy" in the same way DRM is "consumer rape"
  41. MS Has NOT Sold 1M Zunes...According to TFA by Karlt1 · · Score: 1

    "EDIT: The text of the interview says Microsoft has sold already more than 1 million Zunes, but listening to the podcast Robbie Bach says Microsoft will have sold more than this number by the end of this fiscal year, end of June. A small detail. "

  42. Awesome by Vexorian · · Score: 1

    Reading the article itself you get to figure, they haven't even sold 1million Zunes yet. They plan to sell them by June...

    --

    Copyright infringement is "piracy" in the same way DRM is "consumer rape"
  43. 10% of the "hard drive" market by Karlt1 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Because the Zune has not achieved 10% of the market. If you read the marketing speak carefully, they said they have achieved 10% of the market in which they compete. The Zune has 2.9% of the MP3 market and ranks #5. They have 10% of the hard drive market only.

  44. what they fail to mention by chinard · · Score: 0, Redundant

    they fail to mention what numerical base these numbers are in. for all we know it could be binary! 01000000 = 64 units sold!

  45. A few is what, two LoC worth now? by choseph · · Score: 1

    you are surrounded by "a few" Microsoft lemmings and the fact that they don't have a Zune says a lot? Among the 50 to 60 thousand employees you quote, I wouldn't think "a few" would be a significant sample size.

    I work in tech and I wouldn't buy either an ipod or a zune. I don't see a need to pay more than 25 bucks for something I just need to play music right above the din of traffic and jerks on cell phones, so I have a cheap 1Gig Taiwanese budget player

    Also, I've never seen another of my player in the states, so therefore it must have only sold less than, oh I don't know, 10k units?

  46. Ogg Support by Lachlan+Hunt · · Score: 2, Interesting

    have about 9Gb of music in Ogg Vorbis format and they don't support it

    Unfortunately, one of the major reasons why Microsoft and Apple don't support Ogg Vorbis/Theora is fear of submarine patents. It's actually safer for them to pay the MPEG LA and implement patent-encumbered formats, than it is to risk believing that Ogg Vorbis and Theora really are royalty-free.
    --
    By reading this signature, you hereby agree with the content of the above comment.
    1. Re:Ogg Support by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      That's really weird, because Richard Stallman puts all his speeches on the gnu.org website without worrying about 'submarine patents.' And RMS spends a considerable amount of time dealing with the issue of patents.

    2. Re:Ogg Support by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

      Apple and Microsoft both have significantly deeper pockets than RMS and the FSF. They're much, much bigger targets.

      --
      "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    3. Re:Ogg Support by Bobartig · · Score: 1

      Richard Stallman, as important as he is, is not responsible for hundreds of billions of dollars worth of market capitalization, nor does he have hundreds of millions of installed products with commercial licenses abound. I assure you his legal concerns are far, far less cumbersome than those of microsoft or apple.

      "Gee, Ogg is ok for this one guy.. it must be fine for a multinational corporation to use"

      Personally, I don't even see that as the issue. To me, its that adding Ogg wouldn't do anything for the product. It wouldn't appreciably raise their sales numbers, or give them an edge against the competition. Linux users/OSS fans can always find a reason not to go mainstream.

      One more supported audio format? There's a lot of audio formats that they could slap on there but don't. More features don't make an awesome product. Or an awesome product any better.

      --
      This is where I get my recommended daily allowance of "Foot in Mouth."
    4. Re:Ogg Support by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      "Gee, Ogg is ok for this one guy.. it must be fine for a multinational corporation to use"

      Richard Stallman isn't 'this one guy.' He's a person who is very, very unlikely to get 'caught' using patent-encumbered tech. And not just for business reasons.

  47. Returns? by iMouse · · Score: 1

    Does his 1 million Zunes sold count the devices that were bought and returned within a 30-day period in exchange for an iPod? I personally know of at least a dozen people who have done so.

    I just can't believe that someone would actually pay over $200 for this piece of junk. I'd rather buy something from Apple or Samsung than waste two Benjamins and a Grant for something that resembles the design and architecture put in to the XBox 360 power brick.

    Oooh, watemelon red! I can't wait...

  48. I have a theory by metushelach · · Score: 0

    Considering that the word Zune in Hebrew (zee-yoone) means "having sex", I imagine there are plenty of pimpled teenagers who bought those and the next day ran to the schoolyard and told all their buds that they have had their first intercourse.

  49. Lower Price + free acessories = still not selling by adez · · Score: 0

    You'd think they'd sell better now that they are $229 instead of $249. Every store around me is bundling 2 or 3 free things with them just to get them off the shelves. It's good to see Microsoft passing the buck to retailers.

    I've only seen 1 Zune(It was someone from MS's). I didn't think it was a BAD mp3 player. The Zune has a nice (looking) interface. Actually navigating the menus was a chore. You can't just put a circle with 4 buttons underneath on the front of an 'ipod killer'. I remember it being a bit heavy, and it seemed kinda blocky to me. (I have a ipod nano, so most Hard Drive players seem heavy and blocky to me). I wouldn't suggest buying one to anybody I know, but I wouldn't suggest an ipod either. The mp3 player market is wide open and there are TONS of players to choose from.

    Microsoft has modest goals with the Zune, like they did with the Xbox. Just getting their feet wet in a new market is what they are interested in.

  50. How is this insightful? by briancnorton · · Score: 0, Flamebait
    This is one anonymous jackass on the internet accusing an accountable corporation of fiddling with (unimportant) numbers because HE hasn't seen one. Well news for you friend, with million owned in a global potential market of around 1 billion, you aren't likely to see a lot. This is trollish

    Oh wait, this is Slashdot and you're bashing Microsoft. That does pass for insightful around here these days...

    --

    People who think they know everything really piss off those of us that actually do.

    1. Re:How is this insightful? by bmo · · Score: 4, Informative

      "this is Slashdot and you're bashing Microsoft."

      No, he's quite correct.

      Plus, I'll heap some more numbers upon you, just out of spite.

      Apple is going to sell 9.5 million iPods ending this quarter. 9.5 _million_ iPods in _one quarter_ , while it took _two_ quarters to sell 1 million Zunes.

      9.5 million versus 500 thousand/quarter. Please also note that I'm splitting the Zune sales evenly between two quarters, ignoring the initial early-adopter bump. You're not going to see many Zunes, period.

      http://www.edn.com/index.asp?layout=article&articl eid=CA6428719

      "According to the firms latest report, global PMP/MP3 player unit shipments will rise to 268.6 million units in 2011, expanding at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13 percent from 128.7 million units in 2005. In 2007, player shipments are expected to rise to 216.9 million units, up 21.8 percent from 178.1 million in 2006, iSuppli said."

      So the market is going to grow by nearly 39 million units _this year alone_ and the Zune will be 2 million of that, roughly. That's not enough to be visible.

      --
      BMO

    2. Re:How is this insightful? by Wicko · · Score: 1

      Its important to note that the Zune is not available in small capacities. I'm pretty sure that more iPod nanos and shuffles greatly outnumber the 30GB versions.

    3. Re:How is this insightful? by briancnorton · · Score: 1

      WTF? I make a statement and get a 0 karma Flamebait
      he agrees with me and gets a 5 karma Insightful. No justice...

      --

      People who think they know everything really piss off those of us that actually do.

  51. I work at a large electronics retail chain... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And I can tell you based on our store, which is in a very large college town, IPods and other brands (Sansa, Creative, Samsung, Sony, etc) sell much better than the Zune. Honestly, I can't remember the last time we even sold a Zune. I may just have to go do some research to find out when the last zune was sold, but I know there hasn't been any sold in the last 3 or 4 months, wereas IPods and the others sell atleast a few every day.

  52. Anecdotes, anecdotes by sid0 · · Score: 1

    Anecdotal evidence != very reliable data. Here's another piece of anecdotal evidence: I use Vista myself and love it. I know three persons with Vista, and they like it too -- especially the integrated instant search, and Aero.

    Before he bought Vista, I tried giving Ubuntu 6.10 to one of them and he didn't like it at all. Several of his devices, including his wifi, didn't work. Several things (like hibernate) were horribly broken in my install of Ubuntu as well, enough for me to stop using it completely. Do I go out and say that Ubuntu is a failure? No. I just accept that I don't have the time and patience to set it up, and would rather spend money on an OS that starts working within an hour. (The Vista installation is goddamn fast.)

    1. Re:Anecdotes, anecdotes by k1e0x · · Score: 1

      Good lord, I'm just jokeing. You dont have to rebute my fats of how Vista sucks balls. You really are a dull one arn't you. Hell even if Microsoft was the biggest shiniest software companey in the world I would still rag on them. ;)

      --
      Bringing liberty to the masses. - http://freetalklive.com/
    2. Re:Anecdotes, anecdotes by sid0 · · Score: 1

      I may have been desensitised a bit, but I REALLY can't see what's so funny about your post.

  53. Silly people by FlyingSquidStudios · · Score: 1

    First of all, just because you personally don't know anyone who has a Zune doesn't mean that lots of people don't have one. Maybe you just don't hang out with the type of people who would buy a Zune which is likely considering your comment.

    Secondly, a lot of people will buy whatever new gadget is on the market whether they need it or not and I'm sure that's a big contributor.

    And I say this as someone who has no intention of buying a Zune and as a major Apple supporter.

    1. Re:Silly people by woohootoo · · Score: 1

      And the "type of people who would buy a Zune" would be exactly who?

    2. Re:Silly people by FlyingSquidStudios · · Score: 1

      People who aren't rabidly anti-Microsoft. People who don't care about DRM. People who like the look of it. Who knows? People are buying it obviously...

  54. How much did they pay for this slashvertisement? by Ant+P. · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Check the UID and comment count of the "user" that submitted this story.

  55. Have they been launched in the UK? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't think Zunes have been launched in the UK yet, which is probably why you haven't seen one. (I might be wrong on that one).

  56. Diary of a Zune-owner by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    May 27th, 2007
    Received a shit-brown piece of electronic in the mail, how drunk was I?

    May 28th, 2007
    Made a homepage called www.squirtme.com in an effort to meet other Zune-owners so I can test the Zunes squirt-feature. Already lots of visitors.

    May 29th, 2007
    Received a take-down notice from my ISP due to extreme bandwidth usage and trafficking of indecent material. Who are these people?

    May 30th, 2007
    The Zune has wrapped all my music in DRM, I'm empoverished due to bandwidth traffic, and my local community thinks I'm a perv.

    May 31st, 2007
    I can't take it anymore, I'll end my own life by choking on my Zune, people will think I suffocated in feces when they perform the autopsy, cool!

  57. Zune Pros and Cons by DXMikey · · Score: 1, Informative

    Since we have no real way to verify the 1M figure, I at least would like to post as a Zune owner and put in my 2 cents.

    And please turn off the automatic troll sensor - this isn't a troll.

    First - a few websites dedicated to the Zune - use your own judgement as to their veracity as indicators of whatever popularity the Zune may have:

    ZuneInsider http://zuneinsider.com/Default.aspx/
    ZuneCorps http://zunecorps.com/
    ZuneSphere http://www.zunesphere.com/
    Wired Zune http://wiredzune.com/
    Zunerama http://zunerama.com/
    Zuney http://www.zuney.net/cmps_index.php/

    Ok, enough of that - ZuneInsider has a decent listing of other links.

    So - I'm a Zune owner. What's the deal? Why'd I buy one?

    Nearly all the links above have a section or Blog with hacks. The Hard Drive hack and the Wi-Fi hack work as noted. I have a circle of friends at work who have Zunes and we can share non-DRM'd music, files, pics, etc., etc. Works very well.

    I'm NOT a huge fan of WMV format. I'm a video junkie and your best bet in converting XVid/DivX, DVD, what have you, is to use of the available converters and create a standard iPod-compatible Mpeg4 and let the extremely trite and crappy Zune software convert it .wmv. If you convert directly to .wmv your audio is going to sound like crap.

    That said - Video is sweet on the Zune once its converted.

    Zune gets BIG points in my book for Audio. Its on par with the 3rd Gen iPod. Not sure what Apple was thinking for its 4th and 5th gen iPods but I never liked the sound quality that well.

    By the way - you'll get my 3rd gen iPod when you pry it out of my cold, dead hands. Get on Ebay and buy one - I can nearly guarantee you that they'll be version number to collect.

    DRM? Most of you know what Tunebite is and it works on anything from the Apple and Zune stores. Bye bye DRM. And of course you can load all your existing non-DRM'd music on the Zune as well.

    Album Art - not as slick as the upcoming 6th gen iPod but full screen.

    Navigation - not as bad as you think. Another point in its favor, honestly and I prefer it over the iPod.

    FM Radio - onboard FM is better than any of the solutions I borrowed or bought for the iPod. It uses RDS and a very, very cool display. I'm a HAM, SWL'r, AM and FM BCB DX'r and this is a nice little radio for its antenna limitations.

    CASE: Worst aspect of the iPod is how easy it gets scratched, be it the metal bezel or the front cover. The Zune case is a nice feeling rubber product that I've yet to scratch or fail to clean with a soft cloth. The screen is polycarbonite like the iPod and should you scratch it, it cleans up very well with the numerous iPod scratch repair kits out on the market.

    I could go on but I'm not trying to convince you to buy one. Just letting you know that there is definitely a Zune fan base out there and we are extremely happy people. We understand the Zune's (many) limitations and lack of software but its few good points are really, really good points.

    I imagine the Zune will get more popular when you can connect one to Ubuntu or a Mac.

    See ya's,

    DXMikey

    HD Radio is a big fat LIE

    1. Re:Zune Pros and Cons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Interesting that the only /. posts you've ever made concern the Zune. Still, that was a pretty hip, modern post for a marketing team to write. I could really relate to the slang. Posted AC in order to avoid the Microsoft PR modding behemoth.

    2. Re:Zune Pros and Cons by DXMikey · · Score: 0

      Cute. Well, I used to post under a couple of different names back in the day when I was a big Linux fan. I like Macs too and I still read /. from time to time. I just thought singling out yet another MP3 player and slamming it for no good reason just 'cause its a MS product to be over the line so I responded. Sue me.

    3. Re:Zune Pros and Cons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Zuneinsider does not even work..enough said!

    4. Re:Zune Pros and Cons by DXMikey · · Score: 0

      Works fine for me. Maybe it was getting, I don't know...SLASHDOTTED???

      Actually, one of the better Zune sites, too...

    5. Re:Zune Pros and Cons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Zune gets BIG points in my book for Audio. Its on par with the 3rd Gen iPod. Not sure what Apple was thinking for its 4th and 5th gen iPods but I never liked the sound quality that well.
       
      That's rather fascinating. The 3G is generally considered the iPod model where Apple screwed up the sound quality by using a specific inferior component. The audiophile community let a sigh of relief when this was later corrected for the 4G and 5G models.
       
      Do you, by any chance, have the numbers mixed up or do you just like distorted sound?
    6. Re:Zune Pros and Cons by Toby_Tyke · · Score: 1

      Posted AC in order to avoid the Microsoft PR modding behemoth.

      You know, in all the time I've been reading Slashdot, it never once occurred to me that teams of paid MS trolls were scouring the threads modding up pro-MS posts. Now that you say it though, it does explain the overwhelming pro-MS bias amongst highly rated comments.

      Oh, almost forgot..

      </sarcasm>

      --
      "I realise this is not a very popular opinion but it's the truth, and there for needs to be said" -Bill Hicks
  58. 1,000,000 Zune sold... by woohootoo · · Score: 1

    ...and 5 satisfied customers!

  59. what wasn't mentioned... by cjdkoh · · Score: 1

    was that 990,000 of these were sold to Microsoft's president of the Entertainment and Devices Division

  60. I have yet to see one in the wild. by JohnnyGTO · · Score: 1

    I sorry Northern California maybe small in population but I see iPods all the time, I have never seen a zune. Weird.

    --
    Si vis pacem, para bellum! For evil to succeed good men need only do nothing!
    1. Re:I have yet to see one in the wild. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've seen a frosted white Zune on the NYC subway.

  61. Fundamental flaw by bennini · · Score: 1
    FTA:

    Question: Are people sharing music by beaming songs from Zune to Zune? Do you have any way to gauge that?

    Bach: People are sharing. When your installed base is a million, the benefits of sharing, frankly, aren't as wide as we hope to see in the future. One of the challenges for us is continuing to build on the install base.

    Sharing is a tip of the iceberg of what you can do in the social nature of music, and what you can do when you have a device that you can connect when you're at a Starbucks, when you're at work, when you're at home. That really, over time, will change things, for Zune and for consumers.
    You would think that the engineers behind the Zune would have realized that the concept of sharing (i.e. squirting) music via Zunes is fundamentally in contradiction to everything that their music suppliers (the RIAA) stand for and would ultimately result in total failure.

    The zune was doomed from the beginning thanks to: a plethora of crappy DRM technology (aka Digital Consumer Enablement lol?), recursively crippling software and a total lack of popular interest (cant find article to story where Circuit City employee advises customer against buying Zune).

    Come on Bach...come onnnnnnnnn. take a hint and buy some round wheels for your bandwagon before you try to get everyone to jump on it
    1. Re:Fundamental flaw by bennini · · Score: 1

      PS. notice how Bach himself admits to the "social nature of music". lol

  62. Re:Reading between the lines, or what isn't said.. by Technician · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Who does Microsoft sell to? That is the question. Have you been in a Microsoft store lately? Microsoft sells to retailers. How many Zunes are in retailers wareshouses awaiting retail sale? I bet the sales guy gets a pretty good spiff for selling a Zune over a Zen.

    My daughter away in school wanted a Xen Video. We went to a retailer and asked for one. The salesman convienently heard me say Zune. They acted like they didn't know what or where the Zen's were. Either I got a real diwit for a salesman, or they were blinded by the possible spiff for selling a Zune. The store did have Zen's, but were sold out of the video model.

    --
    The truth shall set you free!
  63. Not that stupid. by Petersko · · Score: 1

    "Well that was pretty stupid of you. If you would've ripped the music in MP3 format you could listen to it on nearly anything. The only people that use Ogg Vorbis are open source fanatics."

    That's a pretty stupid thing to say. It sounds better than MP3 and its legal to play on my operating system of choice, it also works fine on my audio player of choice. All it shows is a limitation of the ipod. All that matters to me is that my collection of music is in the best format for me, I couldn't really give a toss that your favourite format is MP3. For me Ogg Vorbis was the sensible choice. Whatever happened to the concept of personal choice?

    Nothing at all happened to the concept of personal choice. But the original poster is still correct. Show me ten people who know about, care about, and prefer to use Ogg Vorbis and I'll show you at least nine, and probably ten, open source fans. And he's also correct in saying that if you had ripped the music to MP3 you could listen to it on practically anything.

    1. Re:Not that stupid. by toddestan · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Nothing at all happened to the concept of personal choice. But the original poster is still correct. Show me ten people who know about, care about, and prefer to use Ogg Vorbis and I'll show you at least nine, and probably ten, open source fans. And he's also correct in saying that if you had ripped the music to MP3 you could listen to it on practically anything.

      What's with all the Vorbis bashing on slashdot these days? It's a superior codec than MP3, unencumbered by patents, absolutely free to use, and is supported by several brands of music players. The only real reason I can see to not like Vorbis is that Apple does not like Vorbis, and that's a stupid reason if you ask me.

    2. Re:Not that stupid. by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      unencumbered by patents,

      Somebody up above your comment just tried to start a FUD thread about Vorbis and patents.

    3. Re:Not that stupid. by sokoban · · Score: 1

      Show me ten people who know about, care about, and prefer to use Ogg Vorbis and I'll show you at least nine, and probably ten, open source fans. Unfortunately, there are only at most eight, probably seven, people who know about, care about, and prefer to use Ogg Vorbis.

      That said, I use AAC and FLAC. They're usable with far more devices than Ogg.
      --
      09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0 is the magic number.
    4. Re:Not that stupid. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd be careful about declaring Vorbis to be unencumbered by patents. There are some people who believe that, but it has yet to be tested. I have a few friends who work on this kind of stuff professionally and they've told me that it's very unlikely that they've managed to create what they've created without using some patented technique(s). It's just too much of a minefield for an open source solution to be able to navigate without a patent portfolio to work out cross-licensing agreements. The company they work for has had to work out licensing with multiple patent holders.

      There's a reason why we haven't seen any large companies using Vorbis publicly. There is just far too much risk at this point. I've heard that some applications (games and such) are using it internally, but it's very hard to tell conclusively. No one wants to be the deep pockets that gets sued.

  64. Do the math... by hobo+sapiens · · Score: 1

    Let's see...Zune released last November, a million sold by May...YES! There IS a sucker born every minute!

    --
    blah blah blah
  65. The new math (friendless geeks?) by Lulu+of+the+Lotus-Ea · · Score: 1

    Ummm.. "In the UK, if a million were sold there you'd have a 1/54 chance [or so] of knowing someone who owned a Zune. In Canada, it'd be about 1/32 or so."

    It seems to me that some people actually have more than one acquaintance! Well, also the topology of acquaintance probably doesn't form a ring either, but that's a lesser quibble.

    So if 1/54 people in UK had a Zune, presumably each of them would know *several* people: heck, they might even encounter as many as a dozen people in the course of their daily lives :-). Hence bringing the odds to almost 1/4.

    In any case, the Microsoft-shill unquestionably lies about the numbers, so I'm sure it's not 1M sold. But let's still keep basic arithmetic a little more on track.

  66. Please, oh please... by Petersko · · Score: 1

    Nothing at all happened to the concept of personal choice. But the original poster is still correct. Show me ten people who know about, care about, and prefer to use Ogg Vorbis and I'll show you at least nine, and probably ten, open source fans. And he's also correct in saying that if you had ripped the music to MP3 you could listen to it on practically anything.

    What's with all the Vorbis bashing on slashdot these days? It's a superior codec than MP3, unencumbered by patents, absolutely free to use, and is supported by several brands of music players. The only real reason I can see to not like Vorbis is that Apple does not like Vorbis, and that's a stupid reason if you ask me.

    Explain how I bashed Vorbis. I'd really like to know. I said nothing about it as a codec.

    Beside, unless you've got killer headphones I'd be very surprised if you could detect much difference between a 160kbps mp3 file and a Vorbis-encoded one. For portable players they're both fine.

    1. Re:Please, oh please... by Babbster · · Score: 1

      You pointed out a drawback to Vorbis. That's enough to mark you as either a Microsoft "fanboy" or Apple "zealot" for a lot of people around these parts. I'm sure there are even a few who would consider you a "troll" for the same reason. Of course, that last group would be forgetting that if someone wants to troll a discussion like this, they'd mention their preference for encoding in WMA - something I encouraged my parents to do for simplicity's sake since they don't need the files to be portable.

    2. Re:Please, oh please... by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Explain how I bashed Vorbis. I'd really like to know. I said nothing about it as a codec.

      I thought you were pulling out the whole "only 10 people care about Vorbis, haha!" line, but re-reading your post I see that wasn't your intent, my apologies. I should probably have directed my post to someone more like sokoban who also replied to your post.

      Beside, unless you've got killer headphones I'd be very surprised if you could detect much difference between a 160kbps mp3 file and a Vorbis-encoded one. For portable players they're both fine.

      You're right that I can't be able to tell higher bitrates apart, but I like being able to encode low bitrate OGG files to get the most of my 512MB flash player, as MP3 starts sounding bad at 96kbps or less, while OGG still sounds decent enough. I could also use WMA for the same purpose (my player supports it), but WMA leaves a bad taste in my mouth.

  67. Not catching up al all... by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 2, Insightful
    In the time Zune sold 1M, ipod sold probably tens on M. Dropping behind more like.

    Of course this all depends on if you can believe a fanboy site.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:Not catching up al all... by sortius_nod · · Score: 1

      more like 100M - so 1 down, 99 to go... GG M$.

    2. Re:Not catching up al all... by uncoveror · · Score: 1

      I'll bet the million "sold" were only shipped to retailers, and most are still on store shelves.

      --
      The Uncoveror: It's the real news.
  68. Just curious... by catdevnull · · Score: 1

    Does "1 million sold" mean that 1 million units were shipped out the doors to retailers or does it mean that 1 million units were reported sold directly to customers?

    The URL in the summary has been slashdotted (surprise).

    --

    I might know what I'm talkin' about, but then again, this is Slashdot...
  69. Church of Slashdot by Scottoest · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Looks like quite a few of you skipped church on Sunday, because the Microsoft groupthink has been split down two separate veins of baseless conjecture today:

    1) 1 million Zunes sold is a drop in the bucket. A DROP IN THE BUCKET I SAY!

    Yeah, and this story wasn't about the Zunes market dominance - it was about a MS official stating they met their internal targets of 1 mllion by the end of June. But good lord, for every anecdotal story you have of not knowing anyone who owns a Zune (statistically likely since they have only sold a million units), there is someone else who does. I personally have one friend who owns one, and he seems to enjoy it.

    2) Microsoft obviously fudged the numbers! The Zune is crappy, there is no way!

    A lot of you are making jokes about how they massaged this number, or how it's probably a million units shipped to retail, but you have nothing to back this up at all, just like you didn't with the Vista license sales stories. Just baseless conjecture sprouting from the basic Microsoft == Evil truism. If they somehow admit to faking the numbers, then string them up accordingly.

    Honestly though - take a scroll through all of the comments in this story, and you will cringe. And this is coming from someone who is a happy 3rd Gen iPod owner, and who isn't interested in the Zune in the slightest.

    Don't buy their product if it doesn't have what you want, but all of this foaming at the mouth hatred for everything they do or release seriously hamstrings your credibility.

    - Scott

    1. Re:Church of Slashdot by DXMikey · · Score: 0

      Excellent post. I'm surprised it wasn't modded down to troll level as this comment might very well be. What is a Zune? Uhm...its an MP3 player folks. What it does, it does reasonably well. If you're a big album art fan you'll probably like it. If you like mobile video, you'll probably like it. If you like a wide variety of cool wallpaper with white on dark scrolling text, you'll probably like it. If you want to connect it to a Mac you probably WON'T like it. If you like making your hand hurt trying to play solitare with a scroll wheel thingie, you probably WON'T like it. If your MP3 player MUST have a clock - you probably WON'T like it.

  70. what's a Zune anyway? by VariableGHz · · Score: 1

    Could someone link me to a pic of what a "Zune" looks like? ;P

    1. Re:what's a Zune anyway? by jkro · · Score: 1

      Picture is not enough, you have to smell it.

  71. Perhaps that's why it is not in Europe by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 1
    European accounting laws only allow you to say a product is sold when an end customer has taken delivery.

    This is a subtle point that adjusts end of quarter shipping policies for a lot of international companies.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:Perhaps that's why it is not in Europe by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      Stupid question... how do they know that?

      Does that mean every retailer has to keep tabs on how many they've sold and then report that back to the manufacturer? I mean I agree that the GAAP rules here in the US that say something's "sold" when it's sold to a retailer might be a bit misleading, but I can't imagine the thousands of electronics stores out there having to comply with some system to report all their sales upstream... seems expensive and with little actual benefit.

  72. Except this is technology, not religion. by mattgreen · · Score: 1

    I agreed with you until you wrote that they have a right to "spread the word." We are not talking about life-changing matters, we are discussing ways to waste our personal income on things to appease our own sensory desires.

    I'm not advocating some asinine political correctness where we don't say bad things about anything for fearing of offending someone. I am advocating an end to this childish "us vs. them" mentality that seems to pervade this site. I really can't understand why people can't tolerate others using technology that they wouldn't use. It is a sort of technological arrogance to presume that your choice in the matter is always suitable for every need. And then, in an attempt to make it more important than it really is, the matter is turned into a moral issue and made far too important. This juvenile notion of "use what I use" demands to be mocked at every turn.

    Technology doesn't need advocates. Good technology speaks for itself. Don't become a tool just because you like your toolset. (Sorry, had to.)

  73. Software patents hurt all users all the time. by jbn-o · · Score: 1

    In late February Alcatel-Lucent won a $1.52B patent infringement suit against Microsoft over 2 patents which cover something in MP3 (neither is included in the Frauenhofer license which Microsoft paid for). Microsoft may get this reduced or overturned. But don't let a Microsoft "victory" fool you: the structure of patent law doesn't allow for the safety you speak of; that structure is designed to create the ambiguity which places all software users and developers in jeopardy (be it the jeopardy of being sued, losing the exclusivity patents ostensibly create, or the jeopardy of losing a patent infringement lawsuit). I remain unconvinced that delivering the ability to use most popular free software codecs is any more risky than MP3.

    In an interview with Wired magazine IDC analyst Susan Kevorkian claims Alcatel-Lucent should have dealings only with Frauenhofer but I think she mainly says this because she's speaking for the desires of businesses distributing MP3 players, not the realities of patents. That one-stop MP3 license shopping would make businesses comfortable dealing with software patents. But Apple, another major MP3 licensee, knows all too well the danger to their customers if a patent holder isn't properly paid off (or their patents avoided entirely). Richard Stallman tells the story of Paul Heckel's patents when Heckel's lawyer told him his patents may have covered something in Apple's Hypercard:

    For instance, Paul Heckel--when Apple wasn't very scared of his threats--threatened to start suing Apple's customers. Apple found that very scary. They figured they couldn't afford to have their customers being sued like that, even if they would ultimately win. So the users can get sued too, either as a way of attacking a developer or just as a way to squeeze money out of them on their own or to cause mayhem. All software developers and users are vulnerable.

    As more MP3-related patent holders come out of the shadows, more companies risk being similarly exposed as organizations that don't do all the research they need to do to resolve these issues (and such research is impossible to completely do). This places their users at risk. Any such patent holder could have Apple over a barrel just like Heckel did. While this could certainly happen for any kind of program we know that the known patent holders of ideas implemented in free codecs aren't charging anyone for any use, even commercial use.

  74. 100M iPods Sold by morrisonsean · · Score: 1

    Just to put some perspective of the distance between them, there have been 100,000,000 iPods sold.

  75. Ah, crap. by mattgreen · · Score: 1

    I feel so used, his username is "Zune-Online.com". I should have noticed that.

    Damn this site.

    1. Re:Ah, crap. by Trogre · · Score: 1

      ... and not a single actual comment to date.

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
  76. The numbers aren't important unless... by Darniaq · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You separate how many sold THROUGH (to consumers) versus how many were sold IN (to retailers)

  77. Why people are hostile to MS by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 1
    MS does not play fair and don't improve the industry. At one time they might have been great, but now they no longer ar and instead use destructive practices to keep their position.

    MS so often serve up an inferior product backed by huge money and marketing without really understanding the product space.

    Look at Windows Mobile (WinCE). I believe this is now making a tiny profit fore MS, but for approx 8or 9 years MS just threw money at WinCE. Companies producing good stuff were driven out of business. This pattern of destructive practice has been played out so many times: Borland, Netware,...

    It might not matter if they had a half-decent product range. MS has a history of storming into a new area with little understanding and causing a lot of damage.

    Some years back, myself and a three others went to Redmond to meet with a new MS group formed to enter into a new industry. We came from the industry leaders and had approx 25 years of experience between us. We understood very well how to program for the industry. The MS guys had no experience, but the manager dude had spent approx 1 month reading up on the industry. They presented their APIs which we explained would not work and would be close to impossible to program to. The MS manager dude basically said that it did not matter: programmers would do whatever they said. Well the MS APIs got released and were a complete disaster causing pain for many people for a few years.

    No bother as to whether they're doing something better, just using their weight to body-slam anyone else.

    I see the same thinking with C#, Embedded .NET, Silverlight, Zune,...

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
  78. Re:Reading between the lines, or what isn't said.. by Donjo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    FWIW, I used to work in a retail store that sold zunes and other MP3 players and we never got spiffs for zunes despite the fact that other companies offered stuff like that (Helio Phones always gave a pretty good spiff). Maybe he is just a zune owner and wants to "squirt" your daughter.

  79. O RLY? by toby · · Score: 1

    My guess is the Pacific Ocean bought about 750,000.

    --
    you had me at #!
    1. Re:O RLY? by revengebomber · · Score: 1

      They're bound to end up in a New Mexico landfill anyway.

      --
      09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
  80. Industry, Markets, M$. by twitter · · Score: 5, Insightful

    People in the industry like to break up the market into "hard drive" and "flash" segments.

    And then the people at M$ like to just make up a number that sounds big and an excuse for it that sounds good but is wrong. It's called lying.

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

    1. Re:Industry, Markets, M$. by shark72 · · Score: 1

      "And then the people at M$ like to just make up a number that sounds big and an excuse for it that sounds good but is wrong. It's called lying."

      Perhaps true in general, but in this case, the NPD numbers back up the guy's statement. They've moved close to a million units. Lots of "yeah, but..." responses today, but the fact is, they've moved close to a million units.

      For what it's worth, the "hard drive" and "flash" segments weren't designated so by Microsoft in an effort to inflate their numbers. Folks in the industry were using those segments prior to Microsoft's entry. However, it could be that the first guy to break it up into those segments did so to make his numbers look bigger.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    2. Re:Industry, Markets, M$. by The+Bungi · · Score: 1
      For someone who has spent the last year screaming to the wind that the Zune is a "failure", I guess this is just unacceptable.

      Would you like to share with us how "M$" is lying? I don't see this as a big deal in any way. Apple has sold 100 million iPods. In your mind, what's Microsoft's rationale for lying about having sold 1/100th of that?

    3. Re:Industry, Markets, M$. by twitter · · Score: 1

      Apple has sold 100 million iPods. In your mind, what's Microsoft's rationale for lying about having sold 1/100th of that?

      I'd like to just say it's because they are stupid, but they are trying to tell a believable lie. For every 100 iPods you see, you might see a single Zune if people were really walking around with them. M$ has a long history of channel stuffing and hyping those numbers as, "we've already won." In this case, the lie is "it's not a failure and our victory is inevitable." M$ has told so many lies for so long that nothing they say can be taken seriously. When a M$ spokesman says that they have "sold a million" there is no telling what they really mean but it's doubtful that 1 million people have and use a Zune. That one million Zune sales is pathetic anyway does not mean they are telling the truth.

      --

      Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

    4. Re:Industry, Markets, M$. by The+Bungi · · Score: 1
      they are trying to tell a believable lie

      So I guess your daily predictions of how "M$" is doomed can also be taken at face value?

      For every 100 iPods you see, you might see a single Zune if people were really walking around with them

      That's the point. They've sold almost exactly 1/100th of the number of iPods Apple has sold. Is there a particular reason you repeat the obvious?

      it's doubtful that 1 million people have and use a Zune. That one million Zune sales is pathetic anyway does not mean they are telling the truth.

      This faux outrage of yours is really funny.

    5. Re:Industry, Markets, M$. by mattgreen · · Score: 1

      Hey, twitter's one of my favorite people to see post on here!

      Except some days it seems like he's being serious. :)

  81. I won't be buying one by ajs318 · · Score: 1

    It probably won't work with my current or next computers (currently Debian; next most likely to be dual boot Mac OS / Kubuntu). And anyway, I have a telephone with a perfectly good MP3 player and USB mass storage. Unfortunately it's a Sony Ericsson; but I reckon I got the last laugh on them anyway since I discovered (in parallel with many others, so I can't take full credit) how to rip off CDs with the Sony Rootkit, on a PC that had already been infected. (*cough* Slax *cough*)

    --
    Je fume. Tu fumes. Nous fûmes!
  82. 1000%, double plus good! by twitter · · Score: 1

    10% of the market = 10% of the units sold in period (7 months from start of December to end of June). We're talking the hard-disk-based players here, BTW, as per the interview. ... Suddenly, a 10% market share for the Zune selling about 1 million in the same period isn't unrealistic.

    Hard drive based players in red cases with the letters E,N,U and Z in the name? Excellent. Some girl in the back makes up all the numbers anyway. How many fingers do you see, Winston?

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

    1. Re:1000%, double plus good! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know, sometimes I get to thinking that maybe you're just misguided, then you pull gems like this straight from your ass.

      I'm pretty sure MS's position better than being a monopoly on pricks called 'twitter'.

  83. Bottom Line by Master+of+Transhuman · · Score: 1

    When's the last time you heard or read of the Zune as opposed to the iPod?

    'Nuff said.

    Well, maybe not. Just read this in Wikipedia:

    "On Monday, April 9, 2007, Apple announced that over 100 million iPods had been sold worldwide"

    That puts Microsoft at LESS than one percent of the market (since there are plenty of other makes on the market, as well.)

    Another loser product from Microsoft.

    How does it feel to have a tiny share of the market, Bill?

    Go back to sueing OSS.

    --
    Richard Steven Hack - This sig is TOO GODDAMN SHORT TO DO ANYTHING USEFUL WITH! MORONS!
  84. Does it run Linux (Rockbox)? by Britz · · Score: 1

    If not, why is it on /.?

    Why should anyone buy a player that doesn't run Rockbox? www.rockbox.org

    Maybe a stick with mp3 build in for 15 bucks. But anything else?

    1. Re:Does it run Linux (Rockbox)? by DXMikey · · Score: 0

      Coming soon to a Zune near you:

      http://crunchgear.com/2006/11/29/rockbox-for-zune- coming-soon/

      If anyone knows what the Gigabeat is, its the Toshiba MP3 player running Windows Media Center Mobile, of which the Zune is a hack.

      Works on the Gigabeat so only a matter of time before it runs on Zune. I have to admit I'd never heard of Rockbox. I really like the screenshots. Hope it doesn't screw up the video.

    2. Re:Does it run Linux (Rockbox)? by DXMikey · · Score: 0

      Damn you sir! I didn't know anything about Rockbox until I read your post and now I'm reading every thing I can get my hands on. And if I don't see it for Zune soon (we should if it runs on the Gigabeat) you can be damn sure I'll be getting another iPod to run it on!!

  85. creative players use white headphones too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and creative doesnt have restrictive drm either

    1. Re:creative players use white headphones too by Divebus · · Score: 1

      Creative doesn't have a store where the RIAA is *[was]* twisting their arm and the iPod is as open as you like. Rip your own CDs to AAC or MP3 without DRM on Creative or iPod....

      oh, that's right - the Zen doesn't support standards like MP4... but then the iPod doesn't do OGG...

      crap - WHY CAN'T WE ALL JUST GET ALONG????

      Next argument.

      --

      Most of the stuff on /. won't survive first contact with facts.
  86. You Move Me, Baby. by twitter · · Score: 1

    They've moved close to a million units.

    Where to? Putting them on store shelves is nothing more than supply chain squeezing. Sooner or later, they are going to end up in a landfill like thousands of Lisas did. You should be able to put them in a much smaller space than the Lisa, so M$ will have beaten Apple in one small way.

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

    1. Re:You Move Me, Baby. by shark72 · · Score: 1

      "Where to? Putting them on store shelves is nothing more than supply chain squeezing. Sooner or later, they are going to end up in a landfill like thousands of Lisas did. [fortunecity.com] You should be able to put them in a much smaller space than the Lisa, so M$ will have beaten Apple in one small way."

      Yeah, I'm familiar with packing the channel. I should have been more clear: they have sold through (ie. to customers) rather than sold in (to the channel) close to a million units. In case you're curous, it breaks down like this:

      • Black: 234K units
      • White: 83K units
      • Brown: 68K units
      • Pink: a whopping 2.7K units (although I believe they also said it's their #1 color now; I guess it was a good May for them)

      That's US retail only, as of April, reported by NPD. They'll probably sell through another 40K units in May, for a US retail total of 428K. In my experience (I don't sell MP3 players, but I sell other computer peripherals) NPD misses about 20% - 30% of the US retail market, and you can add another 30% or so for Canada and Latin America (this is an educated guess, but a guess), and another 10% or so for direct sales. That's approaching 800K units. May and June should be good for them (tide raises all boats, etc.) due to the Memorial Day and BTS promotions at retail.

      You mentioned packing the channel. A healthy channel load for a product with this volume is maybe 8 - 10 weeks. They may be loading in more for the Back To School promotions -- let's say 12 weeks. That's about 90K additional units.

      The expected next step is to call me a Microsoft fanboy. The reality is that I love my iPod and my girlfriend loves her Zen Vision (not the :M, the original wide one) -- which (and here I go incurring the wrath of the Apple folks) with the exception of its thickness, is superior to the iPod in every way. The valley being what it is, I'm friends with the marketing folks for both the iPod and the Zen, so (presumably) like you, I would love to see Microsoft fail. But, nonetheless, whether we like them or not, they're on track to hit their 1MM unit forecast.

      You seem very passionate in your feelings about Microsoft. I think there's room on Slashdot for disinterested debate using facts, rather than strictly conjecture. I hope you agree.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    2. Re:You Move Me, Baby. by The+Bungi · · Score: 1
      twitter, please reply to this. Some nice people have the patience to counter your bullshit with actual facts, and I'd love to see your response. Along the lines of "yeah well M$ is teh sux" I suppose?

      Looking forward to that, as always.

  87. I Didn't Read All The Posts by His+Shadow · · Score: 1
    But I did read the article. They did not sell a million Zunes. They may have shipped that many, but they have not sold that many. And it's still not a good bet they will sell a million by June 30.

    Best case scenario, they have a million in the channel by June 30. Heck maybe they have that now.

    As for the putative Zune defenders, yes, it gets slagged because it's from Microsoft, because it's chock full of the indicators of the DRMed to death world of locked down digital entertainment Microsoft would visit upon us in a heartbeat. If you don't understand why that alone is reason to distrust and even openly dislike Microsoft consumer products on principle, it's a wonder you are even in here.

    --

    Fiat Homos et Pereat Theos

    1. Re:I Didn't Read All The Posts by DXMikey · · Score: 0

      What DRM??? I don't get it - are you saying the stuff you buy from iTunes isn't DRM'd?

      I transferred my entire library to the Zune - it wasn't DRM'd before and it sure as hell wasn't DRM'd afterward.

      I used my 14 day coupon for the Marketplace and downloaded everything I wanted, ran it all through Tunebite and voila, it wasn't DRM'd anymore either.

      WHAT THE HELL ARE YOU TALKING ABOUT???

  88. Meanwhile, at a farway landfill site .. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I was just thinking, wouldn't it be a neat hollow swap trick for MS to buy a heap of them themselves, then recycle them for sales? They need volume for it to be credible, and it won't sell until it's credible (and it isn't, but I digress). Maybe 50% f them are filling up landfill sites somewhere because I have yet to se one other than in a shop.

    Or maybe I just live in a good neighborhood :-)

  89. browning out ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I guess we can call this first million units sold the beginning of the Big Brownout...

  90. 1 million sold - 99 million to go by johnrpenner · · Score: 1


    given that ipod has sold 100 million -- they have a long way to catch up...

    j

  91. As bad as itunes is... Windows Media Player Sucks by Jackie_Chan_Fan · · Score: 1

    Windows Media player changed all the tags on my songs and mangled my library. I'm still going through it and tagging everything over. Thanks Microsoft, you make terrible software.

    Now.. Itunes on vista, is a pile of shit, and Apple better code up a 64bit version or i will shit on my ipod and mail it to them

  92. Everyone by jzuska · · Score: 1

    Everyone I know has an ipod. Almost everyone I know has more than one I pod, and has certainly owned more than one model. It's not a status symbol. You just are issued a standard ipod in suburbia nowadays, and in every age bracket too. I keep physics lectures on mine, and audio books, as well as tunes stolen from the internet (snicker). The zune tried to enter a market where they didnt need to be, and came in with a less than stellar offering. It's like competing with J&J on Kleenex.

    1. Re:Everyone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So...everyone is a lemming then, even when the Sansa e-200 series has more to offer?

      Video is better on the Zune and it has a pretty slick radio and great MP3 audio but you should only buy an iPod because if you don't you'll be "different".

      oooooooooooh...we can't have that...being different is B.A.D., right?

      By the way - how does slamming M$ get one a "bonus Karma modifier" anyway?

  93. In Soviet Russia... by feedmetrolls · · Score: 0

    Just kidding. My mp3 player is a Samsung YP-U2J. I prefer it over the iPod because...

    It's the size of a flash drive and charges as such.

    Although browsing for a particular song in a large library can be a pain without a click wheel, I rarely do that because I keep the device on shuffle mode.

    It has an FM tuner, which I used all the time back when my library only consisted of 5 ripped CD's.

    It has 2GB, which is plenty of storage for music.

    It doesn't store pictures or video, but I don't need a portable device for that. I have a computer.

    It's only $100. The iPod nano is the only member of the iPod family that comes close and it's $150, with no FM tuner.

    But that's just me. If I had more money, I would have probably gotten an iPod. I wouldn't now though, because I'd rather have a world outside of iTunes. Just my various rambling for today...

    --
    You are reading a sig. Cancel or allow?
  94. It is called channel stuffing by soft_guy · · Score: 1

    They threatened/bribed wholesalers into buying them en masse. There are a ton of them at most of the stores I go to.

    --
    Avoid Missing Ball for High Score
  95. A million? Who bought them? by zerofoo · · Score: 3, Funny

    I work in a school, and what the kids carry around in their backpacks is a pretty good indicator of the general popularity of the product.

    So far, most popular things I see in kids hands are iPods, PSPs (the little kids have Nintendo DS lites) and every type of cell phone on the planet.

    This year, I only saw one kid with a Zune. She said she was sorry she bought it since all the accessories she wanted to buy only worked with iPod.

    So if kids (or their parents) aren't buying Zune, who is?

    -ted

  96. Re:Reading between the lines, or what isn't said.. by Technician · · Score: 1

    Maybe he is just a zune owner and wants to "squirt" your daughter.

    His Zune has to have real long range. She is away at school.

    --
    The truth shall set you free!
  97. Huh? by encoderer · · Score: 1

    Look at it this way. If there were a million Zunes in the wild, and you see 200-300 people per day, the odds approach certainty you will see one before a few days are out.
    Huh?

    First, you don't see 300 people each day for very long. So you first need to calculate the liklihood that someone will actually use their MP3 player during the small window where they're in your sight.

    Second, you have to distribute the Zunes fairly evenly across at least 1.5 billion "first worlders" in North America, Europe, Asia and Australia.

    One would either have to make a lot of assumptions or do a lot of research to do the actual math, but I have no problem saying publicly that it's nowhere near a "certainty" that you'd see a Zune "before a few days are out."

    The whole notion is a bit laughable, really.
    1. Re:Huh? by robogun · · Score: 1

      So in summary you never see them either. Just what I said.

    2. Re:Huh? by encoderer · · Score: 1

      No, in summary you know shite about statistics. :)

    3. Re:Huh? by robogun · · Score: 1

      Even though you're totally wrong about statistics, it doesn't even matter because all that is is an attempt to draw attention away from the fact that this sales statement is an unaudited MS press release invoking a principle known as "The Bandwagon Fallacy" which is a type of red herring fallacy. It is a obvious and clumsy attempt to make an unpopular product look popular, on top of your ad-hominem attack on me, you are taking part in nothing more than a transparent attempt to artifically induce the sort of buzz that made the Ipod the best selling mp player to this point.

      I don't own an Ipod because I think they're not particularly suitable for my use which involves a lot of traveling & I like to travel light - no bricks, chargers transformers docks etc. A flash player that runs on alkalines is best from my standpoint. I wouldn't buy a Zune even if you sold a billion of them already. People don't buy it because it is nothing more than a me-too Ipod without the cool, and the reason it's not cool is in part because of these lame press releases. NOBODY carries a Zune!, but give it features, fix the Zune and people will buy it. Turfing isn't going to do it, making a better product will.

  98. When they release a yellow color by lemon_dieter · · Score: 0

    When they make "Lemon" colored units I will buy one, as I have no problem carrying one that represents what the product really is.

    --
    Spending Resources on Defense leaves Less to defend.
  99. 100 million MP3 players sold by dwater · · Score: 1

    Nokia recently announced that they've sold 100 million S60 phones. OK, I don't *know* they can all play mp3s, but I'll bet a huge proportion of them can.

    --
    Max.
  100. Too little, too late by NeptuneSunset · · Score: 1

    This is sort of too little too late. Ipod has caught on like Kleenex brand. I don't think they are going to take back any fraction of this market!

  101. So M$ is lying again, right? by twitter · · Score: 1

    You quote NDP numbers that show M$ is "on track" to break a million, but the article summary has...

    According to Robbie Bach, Microsoft's president of the Entertainment and Devices Division, Zune has already met the goal of 1.000.000 players sold,

    So Mr. Bach is puffing up a number and then claims this is 10% of "the category," which is also misleading. Apple has sold over 100,000,000 iPods and are currently selling something goofey like 10,000,000 a quarter. When you consider that there are many other "hard disk" players that are just as good or better than Zune, there it's unlikely M$ has anything like 10% of any market but the one for Brown Zunes.

    You seem very passionate in your feelings about Microsoft. I think there's room on Slashdot for disinterested debate using facts, rather than strictly conjecture. I hope you agree.

    I hope you can agree that the numbers you dug up contradict Mr. Bach, that his conjectures are contradicted by facts history and that his company is evil.

    I can safely say that Zune will go the way of the Dell Jukebox. It's got second rate construction, third rate battery life, and worst of class digital restrictions. The Dell Jukebox had more to offer in terms of construction and battery life and was less restricted. M$ will start giving them away as promotional items, but neither they nor the WMF rent-a-music deal will ever catch on.

    In the mean time, M$ will do everything in their power to hobble the competition. Yes, monopoly abuse makes me angry. It limits all of our choices and makes the world a poorer place than it has to be.

    The expected next step is to call me a Microsoft fanboy.

    If holding opinions that contradict facts you quote for the benefit of an evil company you have little to do with makes you a fanboy, then you are a fanboy.

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

    1. Re:So M$ is lying again, right? by shark72 · · Score: 1

      I dunno if Microsoft is lying. I may have underestimated their sales... I was doing some linear analysis based on the NPD data and how NPD data relates to the products I sell (computer peripherals). I'm the first to admit that my estimates may be off, and the Microsoft guy may be fibbing as well.

      "So Mr. Bach is puffing up a number and then claims this is 10% of "the category," which is also misleading. Apple has sold over 100,000,000 iPods and are currently selling something goofey like 10,000,000 a quarter. When you consider that there are many other "hard disk" players that are just as good or better than Zune, there it's unlikely M$ has anything like 10% of any market but the one for Brown Zunes."

      I think you're confusing two metrics: "installed base" and "market share." The latter looks at the current sales, not historical sales. Last month Microsoft had 8% of the dollar share of the hard drive segment. You're absolutely correct that Microsoft's installed base isn't anywhere 10%, but that's not what he claimed.

      This is the case for all industries. For example, Kia might have (I'm guessing) 5% of the market share of compact sedans in the US based on how many they sold last month; it's counted this way despite the fact that GM has been making compact sedans for almost a century and has much higher installed base. See the difference?

      Also agreed with you that the Zune is a mediocre piece of hardware (the 1G iPod was somewhat sucky, too, and the first Nomad Jukebox was a huge POS). But I think they'll stick around until they get it right. Linux and OSX each have a share of the desktop space that's similar to that of Microsoft's share of the MP3 player space, but (thankfully) Linux and OSX will stick around, too.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    2. Re:So M$ is lying again, right? by shark72 · · Score: 1

      If you were genuine in your question of whether the Microsoft guy was lying, here's your answer:

      http://blogs.business2.com/apple/2007/05/microso fts_zune.html

      Apparently The Chronicle misquoted him; he stated that they are on track to hit that number by June -- which is more in line with my projections using the actual sales data that's publicly available.

      Agreed that "Microsoft guy lies" makes a better story than "Newspaper makes editing error."

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
  102. 100 Million Zunes on the wall... by Linetux · · Score: 1

    100 million Zunes on the wall, 100 million Zunes...
    take one down, pass it around...
    Oh wait, I didn't want it back...
    100 million Zunes on the wall.

  103. ^ [IGNORE MS ASTROTURFER] ^ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ^ [IGNORE MS ASTROTURFER] ^

    (a million zunes shipped doesn't mean sold, stop inflating your numbers the way sony did with the ps3)

  104. I'm cool, I use dollar signs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    So far we've established that:

    1. You hate Microsoft
    2. Microsoft is lying, because you say they are.
    3. You hate the Zune as well, and therefore it's destined to fail

    I think that about covers it. Got any more insight back there?

  105. MS missed the form factor by xtal · · Score: 3, Interesting

    DRM issues aside .. DRM sucks; but I think it's overblown.

    If the zune was 1/2 the thickness - or thinner than an ipod - I wonder how much better it would have performed in the market. The current size is on par with what I'd expect 7 years ago from a early ipod. That's an engineering challenge much more difficult than making a portable brick that plays movies.

    I've watched the form factor issue destroy Palm, now the marketdroids at microsoft have missed this mind boggingly obvious fact - thin and light is sexy.

    --
    ..don't panic
  106. I'll believe it when I hear it from the auditors. by jcr · · Score: 1

    There's a big difference between goods sold to the end-user, and channel-stuffing. I can believe that Microsoft got distributors and dealers to take a million units, but I have no reason to believe they've done any more than that.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  107. How? by eison · · Score: 1

    So, did one rich guy buy 9,999,999 zunes? And then Ballmer's bought one for his uncle?

    I don't see how they could possibly con a million real people into suffering under their lame slow-to-set-up restricted and annoying version of music sharing.

    --
    is competition good, or is duplication of effort bad?
  108. I have never seen anyone with a zune! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I haven't even heard of anyone who was thinking of buying one.
    In fact I have not even seen any zunes.
    Does this product really exist?
    Has anyone seen one in real life?

    This million zunes must be locked on some stock in the underground, waiting hopelessly.

  109. Stop the presses!!! by Laserwulf · · Score: 1

    One of my fellow IT drones bought a Zune, after laughing off my reasons why NOT to buy one. But then, he also chose to upgrade to Vista 'just cuz'... after I again tried explaining the problems with Vista.

    After playing around with it a bit... it plays music and the screen is good for showing off pics of the kids. If you don't care about "squirting" and other (broken) features, you could do worse. But then, I paid $120 for a 20GB Creative Jukebox Zen NX in December 2003, and I'll use it until it won't play music any more.

    --
    "Make cyberlove, not cyberwar!" -Khaed(544779)
  110. Re:Sold? or Shipped? by weicco · · Score: 1

    I personally don't know anybody with iPod, Zune, Archos, Creative or any other player. Does this mean they don't exist? Or that they don't exist in Finland?

    --
    You don't know what you don't know.
  111. Zunes and PS3 by jshriverWVU · · Score: 1
    PS3 isn't selling very well, but at least I've seen one out of the store. I have yet to even see someone with a Zune, and I use to work at a major retailer when it came out. We didnt sell a single one, at least not on any of my shifts.

    Zune == bust

  112. It does not scale. May help to explain fishy stink by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 1

    That is the beauty of the Internet.

    If MS says we sold x million of trinkets, and the geeks of the world say, "Whoa! I have not seen any", although the evidence would be completely anecdotal, it would point to a probable disconnect between reality and the press release.

    As some pople have already pointed out, it seems like MS is talking about HD players, shipped, not sold to final users.

    They could narrow it a bit more to brown players, manufactured by companies whose name starts with M. I think they have achieved 100% shipped units on that deparment.

    Do you know what they say about lies and statistics?

    --
    IANAL but write like a drunk one.
  113. You must be really new here. by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 1

    When Steve Jobs went public on his dislike of DRM his comments were summarily dismissed as anything but the momentous announcement they were.

    You are just seeing what you want to see, Apple has received unmitigated criticism for their DRM policies (forced on them by the music industry, as it is pretty apparent now).

    --
    IANAL but write like a drunk one.
  114. Zune's Ridiculous Repair/Return Policy by dagger_99 · · Score: 1

    We own 2 Zune devices and enjoy them. We also own 2 Ipods so this doesn't become a comparative thread. My beef with Zune is their terrible service policy. Using some of the online based services their ground courrier policy is absurd. Unlike Dell, who overnight courrier's product, or Maxtor or Blackberry, that replace the device prior to receipt of the defective device once a legitimate RMA is generated, they feel that it is acceptable to use extremely slow UPS ground transport. Our device was determined to have a defective hard drive on May 7th and a replacement box was sent via ground, arriving on May 15th. It was boxed and given back to UPS the same day but only got to Zune's repair center in Texas on May 24th. It was immediately replaced and back in UPS' system on May 25th. The new unit is now scheduled to arrive on June 4th, 19 working days after the RMA was generated. As a company trying to break into a saturated marektplace, you would think that they would follow the norm in the industry, if not try to exceed, regarding servicing of their products. Any complaints issued with the Zune team had the standard reply of "it is not our decision, but that of UPS'. I disgaree completely, as it is Zune's decision to have chosne ground service as the default with UPS. Needless to say, i will go out of my way at this point to discourage anyone from purchasing a Zune device.

  115. A few numbers to crunch... by BlueDjinn · · Score: 1

    First, it appears that the newspaper story is inaccurate--they have NOT sold 1 million Zunes yet; they actually said that they EXPECT to sell 1 million by the END of June:

    http://blogs.business2.com/apple/2007/05/microsoft s_zune.html

    "Bach didn't actually say that Microsoft had already sold a million Zunes. If you listen to the interview, which the Chronicle helpfully provides in a podcast, what Bach said was

    Bach: WHEN WE FINISH OUR FISCAL YEAR IN JUNE we'll have sold a little over a million Zunes, so we feel very good about that. [emphasis added]

    That's what we used to call an editing error, one that mistakes a projection with actual sales and adds about 15% to the time frame. Microsoft still has more than a month to sell its first million Zunes, which would put it on the schedule it set for itself, not ahead. "


    Second, to answer how long it took Apple to sell 1 million iPods, look at their quarterly sales figures:

    http://www.systemshootouts.org/ipod_sales.html

    10/23/01: iPod introduced
    06/30/03: 984,000 total iPods sold
    09/30/03: 1,320,000 total iPods sold

    Based on the 92 day difference, you can calculate that they sold the 1 millionth iPod around 7/5/03.

    So, 10/23/01 - 7/5/03 = 620 days, or about 20.5 months to sell the first 1 million iPods, compared with Microsofts' prediction (based on the ACTUAL quote, not the inaccurate article) of 11/14/06 - 6/30/07, or 228 days (7.5 months).

    While this sounds impressive, it should be noted that the iPod was MAC ONLY until 10/13/03 (ie, throughout the entire period during which it sold it's first 1 million iPods. Not only was it Mac-only (aside from 3rd-party hacks), but it was restricted to FIREWIRE-ENABLED Macs, which weren't even introduced until the end of 1999. Assuming about 4% of the market for the Mac, and assuming that perhaps half the Macs in use at the time included FireWire, that means only about 2% of the total computer market could even use the iPod.

    In addition, even those third-party hacks for Windows compatibility (which mostly sucked, and which weren't available for the first year or so) *still* required the PC in question to include FireWire; at the time, I believe only a tiny fraction of Windows machines included it.

    In other words, it took Apple 2.7 times as long to sell their first 1 million iPods, but they did so with 1/50th of the market available to the Zune!

    In addition, at the time there was no iTunes store, not to mention that the original iPod cost (at the time) $399 for 5 GB, with no video, no photos, no games, no color screen, no podcasts, etc etc, vs. the (current) Zune's $249 for 30 GB with video, photos, etc etc, all of which makes the iPod's early sales rates even more impressive.

  116. silly stupid zealot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    no cookie for you, monkey

  117. Original Article is Misquote by grouchomarxist · · Score: 1

    According to this article the quote from Microsoft's Robbie Bach is incorrect. Bach doesn't claim to have sold a million Zunes, instead he says "When we finish our fiscal year in June we'll have sold a little over a million Zunes, so we feel very good about that."

    So they think they're on schedule to ship a million, but not yet.

  118. Whatever. by twitter · · Score: 1

    Apparently The Chronicle misquoted him.

    Garbage in, garbage out. Nothing new there. Nothing connected to M$ is reliable.

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

    1. Re:Whatever. by dedazo · · Score: 1
      Wow, not two posts ago you used that hilarious "holier than thou" tone of yours and said:

      If holding opinions that contradict facts you quote for the benefit of an evil company you have little to do with makes you a fanboy, then you are a fanboy.

      After being presented with proof that your "M$ is lying" tripe is in fact incorrect and hysteric at best, your response is "yeah whatever, I hateing M$ anyways". Very good. If the person you're replying to is an astroturfer, I suppose you must be a psychotic zealot then.

      And no, that last bit is not a question.

      --
      Web2.0: I love when people Flickr my cuil and digg my boingboing until my google is reddit and I start to yahoo
    2. Re:Whatever. by The+Bungi · · Score: 1

      Translation: "I was completely wrong and I admit I'm FUDing and trolling, but I don't care because Ricky Stallman told me that redemption is nigh, so take that M$ LOLOZORZ"

  119. You apple fag er fan boys by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    really need to stop suckin off steve jobs all that spooge is gettin to your brain, i know you fags like the ipod cause of the rounded curves dont hurt your anuses as much as the troll dolls do but damn the zune aint bad but it aint perfect