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Pickens Plans On Wind Power

Hugh Pickens writes "T. Boone Pickens (no relation) has launched an energy plan and social-networking campaign that calls for replacing Middle Eastern oil with Midwestern wind. The Pickens Plan would exploit the country's 'wind corridor' from the Canadian border to West Texas to produce 20 percent of the country's electricity and provide an economic revival for rural America. Transmission lines would be built to transport the power where the demand is and natural gas, now used to fuel power plants, would instead be used as a transportation fuel, which burns cleaner than gasoline and is domestic. Pickens proposed that the private sector finance the investment, which would result in a one-third reduction, equal to $230 billion, in the U.S.' yearly payments to foreign countries. Pickens has already invested heavily in wind, notably a planned 4,000-megawatt wind farm in his native Texas. 'We've got to get renewable into the mix. The problem for this country is that we're paying $700 billion — you heard that — $700 billion a year,' Pickens says. 'We can't afford that. In 10 years we'll be broke if we continue that.'"

587 comments

  1. What about??? by Creepy+Crawler · · Score: 4, Interesting

    What about upright wind tunnels? They build a big structure a mile tall with plastic tarps 10ft above the surface for a few miles radius.

    Air warms up under the tarp and goes up the tunnel. Estimates put power at around 500 MW. It was a project around Australia somewhere but it was cut to 1/2 mile for some reason (I dont know).

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    1. Re:What about??? by FooAtWFU · · Score: 3, Informative

      That's really solar power, not wind. With wind power, the air is already moving before you heat it up.

      --
      The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
    2. Re:What about??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      you can get all of the hot air you'd ever need in washington DC

    3. Re:What about??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      What about upright wind tunnels? They build a big structure a mile tall with plastic tarps 10ft above the surface for a few miles radius.

      Air warms up under the tarp and goes up the tunnel. Estimates put power at around 500 MW. It was a project around Australia somewhere but it was cut to 1/2 mile for some reason (I dont know).

      There was talk about building one over the Senate but it's believed the upward rushing hot air would cause a massive drop in air pressure for the surrounding neighborhoods endangering public health. The current system of not requiring Senators to attend most sessions seems to be working.

    4. Re:What about??? by gregbot9000 · · Score: 1

      It's official, wind power is the new cold fusion.

    5. Re:What about??? by maackey · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Where do you think wind comes from ... magic? No. The sun heats up the atmosphere which causes a temperature (and thus pressure) differentiation which balances itself out by mixing with the surrounding atmosphere, thus producing wind.

      So by your definition, ALL wind power is really solar power, which makes your statement kind of contradictory. Not that it really matters, but since you were being a semantic pedantic, I might as well be too.

    6. Re:What about??? by mixmatch · · Score: 4, Funny

      Not that it really matters, but since you were being a semantic pedantic, I might as well be too.

      You can't be a pedantic, because pedantic is an adjective. The noun form is pedant.

    7. Re:What about??? by Prep_Styles · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If you want to get really anal you might mention that nearly all power sources are solar, the one exception (that I can think of) is geothermal. The energy in fossil fuel is also a product of the sun.

    8. Re:What about??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What about upright wind tunnels? They build a big structure a mile tall with plastic tarps 10ft above the surface for a few miles radius.

      What is this? A redneck power plant? Do you have to shut it down when it rains so everyone can cover their BBQ grills?

    9. Re:What about??? by pedestrian+crossing · · Score: 2, Informative

      Nuclear is also not solar. But ultimately, all energy (including geothermal and nuclear) is of stellar origin.

      --
      A house divided against itself cannot stand.
    10. Re:What about??? by jhoegl · · Score: 1

      School can be fun. Didnt they teach all this in school?

    11. Re:What about??? by Creepy+Crawler · · Score: 1

      I dont argue with trolls. That's why I didnt feed my freak.

      Pedantic: this supposed generator uses wind turbines to capture flowing air from heat gradient from solar radiation. Pretty much a hybrid air/solar generator. Once it's built, it evidently provides the similar gradient no matter the temperature, so it provides roughly constant power. That's nice.

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    12. Re:What about??? by mcrbids · · Score: 5, Informative

      I think you are referring to a solar tower. They are neat, in that if built right, they could last damned near forever, potentially generating energy at very low operational cost.

      Additionally, since they operate on top of a heat sink with several days of thermal mass, they could easily be used as a 24x7 "base load" alternative energy power plant.

      However, they aren't particularly efficient, they haven't been well tested at larger scales, and present a number of fairly serious engineering challenges. The taller the central tower, the more efficient, but building a mile-high tower isn't cheap. And while the "several days" of base load could be turned into a week or more with the correct engineering, that raises construction costs significantly...

      Before solar towers can reach the critical mass of economic viability, other technology that's more (downward) scalable will probably win out first. Quite easily, IMHO.

      --
      I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
    13. Re:What about??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      'Pedantic' isn't an adjective; the word 'pedantic' is an adjective.

      You give us pedants a bad name.

    14. Re:What about??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well duh. I sure his point was that a solar tower would be a replacement for solar installations and not wind farms.

      That is, it will work in sunny places, not windy ones. In fact, wind may cool the thing down.

    15. Re:What about??? by andrewdoyle · · Score: 1

      GOLD!

    16. Re:What about??? by xalorous · · Score: 2, Informative

      Wind power is in use in many places. Up and running, providing electric power every day. Your metaphor fails.

      --
      TANSTAAFL GIGO Acronyms to live by!
    17. Re:What about??? by tgd · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Where do you think that nuclear material came from? Exploding stars, thus solar.

      And while its not entirely understood why the core of the Earth is still hot, nuclear decay is one theory which would make geothermal solar as well.

      Lets all play six-degrees-of-solar-energy!

    18. Re:What about??? by tgd · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Of course as I post this, I realize I should've pointed out that solar energy is really nuclear fusion, so we really have a fusion economy already.

      We just need to reduce our degrees-of-separation!

    19. Re:What about??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you are all shallow and pedantic

    20. Re:What about??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why do you think the wind is moving in the first place...

    21. Re:What about??? by indifferent+children · · Score: 0, Redundant
      Nuclear is also not solar. But ultimately, all energy (including geothermal and nuclear) is of stellar origin.

      Nuclear material is of stellar origin, but not solar origin. "Sol" is the name for our star (only), so materials from other stars are not "Solar". And since main series stars can only create elements up to iron (and even then, only toward the end of their 'lives'), Sol has not produced Uranium.

      --
      Censorship is telling a man he can't have a steak just because a baby can't chew it. --Mark Twain
    22. Re:What about??? by pedestrian+crossing · · Score: 1

      Solar refers to our star, Sol.

      Stellar refers to any star.

      So nuclear is stellar, not solar (Earth and Sol originated from the same cloud of material at roughly the same time). But as you mention, it all comes from fusion.

      --
      A house divided against itself cannot stand.
    23. Re:What about??? by syrinx · · Score: 1

      Where do you think wind comes from ... magic?

      Trees sneezing.

      --
      Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum sonatur.
    24. Re:What about??? by mikael · · Score: 1

      The last I heard, all radioactive elements heavier than Iron, were created by neutron bombardment within a star that went supernova.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    25. Re:What about??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can also do things like farm the land under and around wind towers... something like a solar tower... not so much. Wind towers have a pretty small footprint. Solar towers have a very, very big one. You'd lose all the land under the collection area to any other uses.

    26. Re:What about??? by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      Well if you think about it it all comes down to nuclear reactions.

      Sun = big nuclear reaction (simplification I know).
      Coal = Was plants, plants use sun.
      Oil = ditto (some speculation).
      Wind = apparently.
      Nuclear = well duh.

      Only can think of 3 which are not:
      Tidal, Hydro, and Geothermal
      All which act on the power of gravity.

      Though Hydro may be in part due to the Sun if you take into account how rivers might be formed.

    27. Re:What about??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you really want to split hairs, petroleum is solar power too. Just stored a long time. For that matter, so is nuclear, as heavy elements only form inside of stars. Of course, the stars then have to blow up, so maybe people care more about solar power from our sun today. Maybe nobody cares about this comment at all. Yeah, I'm pretty sure about that. I'll get back to work now.

    28. Re:What about??? by DuckDodgers · · Score: 2, Informative

      Right. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nevada_Solar_One

      The Nevada Solar One solar tower plant generates 134 million kwh per year, cost $266 million to build, and covers 400 acres (roughly 0.6 square miles or 1.6 square km).

      http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/epa/epat1p1.html The 2006 US energy use was about 4,060,000 thousand mwh. So to generate all of that with plants like the Nevada Solar One, we need 4,060,000,000,000 kwh / 134,000,000 kwh = roughly 30,300 copies of Nevada Solar One.

      That's $8 trillion in expenses and 0.5% the surface area of the United States. Petty cash. (Obviously, shifting our entire energy generation to solar tomorrow is impossible. But gradually ramping up this kind of energy production looks good to me. Eventually economies of scale will bring the energy generation costs down below coal.)

    29. Re:What about??? by pedestrian+crossing · · Score: 1

      Yes, r process nucleosynthesis.

      However, the iron is created by fusion, and the neutrons come (I think) from photodisintegration of atoms (also fusion by-products) that are knocked apart by the high-energy gamma rays that are generated by gravitational collapse that occurs when fusion stops producing enough radiation pressure to balance the mass of the star.

      Since it was fusion that set up the gravitational potential in the first place, I would argue that it is still ultimately all fusion.

      --
      A house divided against itself cannot stand.
    30. Re:What about??? by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Stellar refers to any star.

      While I was able to get a bunch of money for my startup from some venture capitalists, my "stellar panels" never really worked that well.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    31. Re:What about??? by norminator · · Score: 1

      How about Hydro? Not much solar influence there, just the Earth's gravity.

    32. Re:What about??? by bugg · · Score: 1

      How do you think water gets to higher altitudes? Were it not for the sun, all of the water would stream down to the lowest point it could reach, and that would be that. Hydro is only "renewable" because the sun is constantly adding energy to the system, in the form of heat causing evaporation.

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      -bugg
    33. Re:What about??? by CriX · · Score: 1

      Alright, damnit. It's all "Big Bang Energy!" Now stop it. :P

      --
      Moderation: +1 pwnage
    34. Re:What about??? by Beezlebub33 · · Score: 2, Interesting
      --
      The more people I meet, the better I like my dog.
    35. Re:What about??? by mattwarden · · Score: 1, Redundant

      "Pedantic" (as used in this sentence) is a substantive adjective, which is a noun.

      (And, to answer your inevitable follow-up question: no, I don't get laid much.)

    36. Re:What about??? by not-my-real-name · · Score: 1

      The pedants are revolting

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    37. Re:What about??? by vajaradakini · · Score: 2, Informative

      Our sun won't produce Uranium either, it's not massive enough. Uranium is produced in supernovae via the r-process.

      --
      what's that now?
    38. Re:What about??? by indifferent+children · · Score: 1

      Thanks, good to know. Well, technically, "useless trivia", but I love this geeky stuff.

      --
      Censorship is telling a man he can't have a steak just because a baby can't chew it. --Mark Twain
    39. Re:What about??? by norminator · · Score: 1

      good call.

    40. Re:What about??? by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 3, Informative
      Wrong.

      By putting the word 'pedantic' in quotes, it is clear you are mentioning the word, not using the word. Look up the use-mention distinction. So, 'pedantic' most certainly is an adjective. Saying that the word 'pedantic' is an adjective is just redundant.

    41. Re:What about??? by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1

      Stuff from exploded stars is solar? You mean... the sun, Sol, exploded? Are we living in the Matrix? Aaah, red pill!!!

    42. Re:What about??? by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Cool, the satellite picture puts the scale into perspective. There is a whole lot of empty space in that chunk of Nevada. They could build 1000 plants like that in the immediate vicinity and nobody would notice!

    43. Re:What about??? by neomunk · · Score: 1

      I consider stellar core fragments to be 'free imported pre-processed solar power', so it all falls under the banner of solar to me.

    44. Re:What about??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, the word pedantic is a noun as well. It's supposed to be used as an adjective.

    45. Re:What about??? by kesuki · · Score: 2, Interesting

      'The 2006 US energy use was about 4,060,000 thousand mwh.'

      "Given Nevada's land and sun resources the state has the ability to produce more than 600 GW using solar thermal concentrators like those used by Nevada Solar One.[12"

      well, for one state, Nevada's solar potential is pretty good. the reason why picken likes wind power is simple though, wind power is a lot cheaper than solar. wind is available closer to power consuming states in the north east, wind turbines generate income for farmers as well as utilities, and don't require buying and building giant solar energy factories, oh and, you don't need to clean the dust off of windmills like you do off solar mirror based solar thermal.

      solar is nice, it has it's place, and maybe we can power California off solar, but the distributed nature of wind power makes it more attractive long term.

      remember, any state that gets hail, even if within a solar corridor, is a threat to solar thermal based on mirrors. hail is the natural enemy of solar thermal. making hail proof mirrors is expensive.

      even though piken isn't for it, making all those wind farms, would free up natural gas for the making of ethanol from corn. he'd rather see cars that run off natural gas... oh and piken isn't for it either, but all those windmills could be used to power 'plug in hybrids'

    46. Re:What about??? by bluej100 · · Score: 1

      Bravo. Wish I had mod points.

    47. Re:What about??? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      The 2006 US energy use was about 4,060,000 thousand mwh. So to generate all of that with plants like the Nevada Solar One, we need 4,060,000,000,000 kwh / 134,000,000 kwh = roughly 30,300 copies of Nevada Solar One.

      Better include plans for dealing with night. 30,000 copies of Solar One don't matter a hill of beans after dark.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    48. Re:What about??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is most likely not possible, with todays technology, to build a tower a mile high. The tallest towers we have now are less than 1/2 a mile high.

    49. Re:What about??? by shurikt · · Score: 1

      Plus there's the NWAMOBY factor (Not within a mile of my backyard).

    50. Re:What about??? by DuckDodgers · · Score: 1

      Read the description. The plant uses the solar power as heat storage, and the stored heat generates power 24 hours per day.

      Night isn't the problem. A few overcast days are the problem. Hailstorms are a problem. Not night.

      That's why the parent wrote "Additionally, since they operate on top of a heat sink with several days of thermal mass, they could easily be used as a 24x7 "base load" alternative energy power plant."

    51. Re:What about??? by bgspence · · Score: 1

      Why not just use photovoltaics?

      They produce electricity directly when we need it the most, the daytime.

      They can be built less than a foot high!

    52. Re:What about??? by mixmatch · · Score: 1

      "Pedantic" (as used in this sentence) is a substantive adjective, which is a noun.

      Firstly, a substantive adjective is not a noun, it is an adjective that takes the place of a noun. Additionally, as far as I can tell this does not qualify as a substantive adjective, because the adjective would have to replace a mass noun or a plural count noun. If anything, the OP intended to say "... you were being a semantic pedantic person." A mass noun like "people" does not fit into the sentence in question because he was referring specifically to one person.

    53. Re:What about??? by sillybilly · · Score: 1

      Upward wind tunnels, or really tall chimneys are expensive contraptions meant to generate wind from solar heat. Using naturally occurring wind generated by solar heat that blows sideways in most places and is available freely is generally thought to be cheaper.

    54. Re:What about??? by msromike · · Score: 1

      I think you are mixing tenses. I think it should be, "but since you are being a semantic pedantic, I might as well be too."

    55. Re:What about??? by mcrbids · · Score: 1

      I think you missed my point. It wasn't that solar was a bad idea, it's that solar TOWERS were a bad idea. I think solar/thermal is a very good idea!

      --
      I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
    56. Re:What about??? by mstone · · Score: 1

      ---- And while the "several days" of base load could be turned into a week or more with the correct engineering, that raises construction costs significantly...

      Costs like that are the easiest to justify during planning. It's a one-shot payment with little or no ongoing maintenance cost, and as you said, the things could last damn near forever. Take away the recurring expenses and even 'significantly more expensive' amortizes out to 'almost free' over a very long time.

    57. Re:What about??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep. Which means all that energy ultimately is due to gravity.

  2. Get off his nuts by hdon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It could *EASILY* turn out that Pickens is just another participant in the public relations campaign that big oil is putting on to convince Americans that big oil isn't out to get them.

    People are angry at the pump, and the more people who identify oil companies as enemies, the more people are exploring alternative fuels.

    While his emphasis on America's trade deficit and, apparently, the economy seems to be a new tune for an oil man, he has plenty of others with whom to share the oil-going-green spotlight with.

    1. Re:Get off his nuts by volcanopele · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I don't think it is so much a plow to make oil look more "green," but for the oil companies to position themselves to be the ones who provide the alternative energy sources. If we switch to wind energy, they will run the turbines. If we switch to solar, they will run the solar panel farms. Why get rich off just one energy source, when you can monopolize others.

      --
      The Gish Bar Times - Blog covering Jupiter's moon Io
    2. Re:Get off his nuts by hairyfeet · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I don't think so,I just think he is going where the money is. Yes,he made his money in oil,but anyone with a brain can see that the oil money is headed out of the country like a black hole on our economy. Mr. Pickens knows that domestic production of energy will not only help out our economy,but put more cash in his pocket as well. This is the kind of capitalism we need to see more of. The man sees we have a problem and develops ways to help us out of that problem while increasing jobs domestically and making a nice profit for himself. I think it is a great idea. But as always this is my 02c,YMMV

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    3. Re:Get off his nuts by Yold · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Nah.... Pickens is already set for life, I doubt he is looking to financially profit from this campaign. He is a respected philanthropist, but he is old, and I think he is just throwing his money around trying to secure his legacy, much like Rockafeller did at the end of his life, and like Gore did at the end of his political career.

      We all know a silver-bullet is unlikely for the energy "crisis". It is a looming inevitability, but media scare-mongering has the average american thinking that something has to be done NOW (but how many are willing to trade those SUVs?). Changing the world takes time...

      The best short-term solution is government regulation of automobiles, through taxation and incentives. Offer an incentive to drive ULEVs, put additional sales tax on anything that averages less than 22 mpg on the highway. Offering subsidized motorcycle/SmartCar parking in urban centers would be a wise incentive as well.

    4. Re:Get off his nuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Does this really matter? If the oil companies invest this much capital in the US and we are able to reduce the overall import of oil who really cares. Really the only people with enough money to do something like this are companies like that, which is a bit sad, but basically the money for ambitious projects that hold a lot of risk has dried up quite a bit. We really are broke as a nation at the moment.

    5. Re:Get off his nuts by zippthorne · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We all know a silver-bullet is unlikely for the energy "crisis"

      Incorrect. A silver bullet is exactly what we need.

      The problem at the moment (i.e. timescales of at least 10,000 years) is NOT a lack of energy sources. We've got the means to tap the water cycle, air currents, hot rocks, fissionable metals, trapped hydrocarbons, coal, extra-planetary radiation, ocean currents, angular momentum, and probably a dozen things I can't think of off the top of my head.

      The problem is that nearly every time we try to exploit one of those resources, the project is stymied by bureaucratic regulators more concerned with placating NIMBYs and BANANAs than facilitating a responsible plan to supply our nation's ever-growing need for energy.

      The silver bullet is not technological. It's political. We need only one thing: the will to start new energy projects. Nearly ANY new energy projects at the moment are an improvement.

      Let me be the first to say, "Yes, I do want a Nuclear Power plant in my back yard. Or a wind farm. Or a solar farm. Or a deep hole. or a Dam. Or even a coal plant (I'm not real keen on the coal plant, for aesthetic reasons but if we must, we must). And turn those ugly condos that replaced the tank farm into a refinery."

      Conservation is good too. It's just another angle, but it's not sufficient on it's own.

      Re: motorcycle parking, you don't even need to subsidize it, just splitting some spaces to allow more motorcycle parking closer to places is probably enough. But ban "cruisers" from the spaces. No bike that weighs as much as, costs more than, and gets worse gas mileage than a jeep wrangler ought to be treated like a bike.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    6. Re:Get off his nuts by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Media scare-mongering has nothing to do with those of us who feel the US has had an irresponsible energy policy for decades now - completely relying on foreign oil production while shunning home-grown alternatives. This includes wind, solar, biofuels, and other 'green' sources, but it's also stupid to overlook our own domestic oil production, such as off-shore drilling in the gulf and in Alaska. We're still very much reliant upon oil, a fact which is not likely to change for the next 20-40 years no matter what our current intentions are, or what investments we make in alternative sources of energy. Additionally, there's natural gas production, coal (we have the technology to produce clean-burning coal plans now), and nuclear power which are all real, viable power production systems that we could start building tomorrow.

      Sales taxes and incentives will not solve a fundamental supply issue on such a massive scale, so I don't see a point with punishing consumers even more than the current gas prices are already doing. No, I don't believe people are under the delusion that this will be solved immediately, but given that it's going to take a while to actually get fixed, I can see why people are anxious to see a real energy plan get underway instead of political pandering to various constituency groups to which politicians are beholden to (extreme environmentalists on one side, and big oil on the other).

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
    7. Re:Get off his nuts by Yold · · Score: 2, Informative

      About the silver bullet, I didn't say we don't need it. I just said it was unlikely.

      Re: Re: motorcycle parking, yea anything over 1000cc would be off-limits if I designed this project. I guess we'll have to agree to disagree about the effects of subsidies ;-)

    8. Re:Get off his nuts by MikTheUser · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That is why people should realize that renewable energies are best run independently. Solar panels on rooftops or a small wind farm can easily be paid for and operated by households or small communities and make them more independent of the energy corporations.

    9. Re:Get off his nuts by zippthorne · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Although subsidies tend to get the specific effect you ask for, like genie wishes, they also tend to come with unintended consequences.

      I just think it's better, in general, to go for solutions which don't involve direct subsidies. After all, you can always escalate to subsidies later, but it's very difficult to get government spending off the books if it turns out it wasn't necessary, or was actually harmful.

      And my point on the silver bullet is that it's not only necessary, it's inevitable. Eventually, energy prices are going to get to high, and we're not going to be able to conserve our way out of it that people will get fed up with the NIMBYs and override their concerns.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    10. Re:Get off his nuts by gabebear · · Score: 1

      What technology makes coal clean? I've been seeing a lot of ads, but the plans to clean up coal are always at least 10 years off and not impressive.

    11. Re:Get off his nuts by Rostin · · Score: 5, Interesting

      A few years ago, I worked for the Evil Empire (ExxonMobil) as a summer intern. At that time, engineering students nearing graduation were a little nervous about working in the oil industry. What would happen to us if we spent most of our careers in oil, and then suddenly alternative energy sources took off? (It was kind of a dumb thing to worry about in retrospect. Major career changes are the norm.)

      To convince us to stick with the company, a senior engineer gave us a presentation. He said first of all that our fears weren't unfounded. All the oil majors anticipate major technology changes to occur during our lifetimes. We will have to totally change gears and move to oil sand, oil shale, nuclear, or whatever.

      The second thing he said was more interesting. ExxonMobil doesn't consider itself to be an oil company. As the parent suggests, ExxonMobil is in the energy business.

      That's not just bluster, either. I haven't tried to independently verify this, but the presenter claimed that ExxonMobil is the second largest holder of mineral rights to uranium ore in the world. The largest is the Russian government.

    12. Re:Get off his nuts by Jafafa+Hots · · Score: 3, Funny

      It's called MTR. Mountaintop Removal mining. Gets rid of those unsightly bumps blocking all the views.

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    13. Re:Get off his nuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not just bluster, either. I haven't tried to independently verify this, but the presenter claimed that ExxonMobil is the second largest holder of mineral rights to uranium ore in the world. The largest is the Russian government.

      I'm not surprised, but I would have expected Shell to hold that honor.

    14. Re:Get off his nuts by Nethemas+the+Great · · Score: 1

      It could *EASILY* turn out that Pickens is just another participant in the public relations campaign that big oil is putting on to convince Americans that big oil isn't out to get them.

      Actually I'm not so certain on that. If memory serves, Pickens was a corporate raider that spend his days pissing off the oil industry for fun and profit. Currently Pickens also has plans for turning water into the next great commodity market. He's already gobbled up tens of thousands of acres of Texas land for the purpose of eventually selling water from the aquifer beneath to water starved cities nearby. The guy just likes money. It probably doesn't matter what natural resource he exploits to acquire it.

      --
      Two of my imaginary friends reproduced once ... with negative results.
    15. Re:Get off his nuts by h4rm0ny · · Score: 4, Funny


      I am amazed that you missed out public transport. One day, the people of the USA are going to have to get used to sitting next to strangers again. :)

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    16. Re:Get off his nuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The best short-term solution is government regulation of automobiles, through taxation and incentives. Offer an incentive to drive ULEVs, put additional sales tax on anything that averages less than 22 mpg on the highway. Offering subsidized motorcycle/SmartCar parking in urban centers would be a wise incentive as well.

      Apparently we need no solution because, despite the incessant bitching, there is no problem. Gasoline consumption has fallen a lousy 2% since costs doubled. My blue-collar neighbors still have 2 - 3 vehicles in their driveways, not including boats and ATVs. Lots of SUVs are still carting fat asses to work at various non-union machine shops and department stores on the other side of town.

      Anecdotal data indicates Americans are more willing to eat out one less night/week rather than sell their beloved SUVs. I suspect we are at the faux tipping-point - where everyone starts squealing about prices but few are actually willing to change their behavior. For the oil industry this must be about the sweetest spot possible for pricing their product.

      But, if you're going to subsidize low-energy travel don't forget us poor bastards on bicycles.

    17. Re:Get off his nuts by cory_p82 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Personally, I don't care whether or not Pickens is in it for the fame, or whether his oil companies will be the ones supplying us with the wind turbines. If a company with big pockets wants to get into that industry, they're going to bring in lots of R&D money. This translates to lower cost implementation in the long run. Plus, lower CO emissions, too!

      Go T. Boone!

    18. Re:Get off his nuts by rthille · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Oh screw that, I'll walk first. :-)

      --
      Awesome furniture, accessories and cabinetry in Santa Rosa, CA: http://humanity-home.com/
    19. Re:Get off his nuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Consider that current oil consumption is at 86 mbpd, world consumption is increasing at a rate of 1.7% per year, current estimated maximum possible production worldwide is 100 mbpd and that most major oilfields are past peak oil (Saudi Arabia, Russia, Mexico, USA to name a few), I wouldn't hardly call it media scare-mongering to take significant steps to reduce oil dependence.

      Most of our economic growth for the last fifty years has come from the availability of cheap fuel and that is going away unless we can find other alternatives. Necessarily, that means severe economic contraction and demand destruction without serious changes.

      I think Pickens sees this and is attempting to do something about it. Whether altruistic or profit-drive does not matter but it is probably a little of both. Most of the economic consequences of worldwide peak oil can probably be avoided if we start early enough. Many economist suggest twenty year before hand. The only trouble is peak oil will not be known for sure until we are well past it, and its arrival could come at any time.

    20. Re:Get off his nuts by dodecalogue · · Score: 1

      It's long seemed to me that the hold-up for alternative fuels and viable solutions in that dept has been due to the people up top in those markets going "wait wait wait that's fine and good but we need to figure out how we can control it." And then like ICANN they come swooping in to save us from a situation that they've basically created through ineptitude and greed.

      Stockholm Syndrome ftw!

    21. Re:Get off his nuts by dodecalogue · · Score: 1

      I think that a serious ground-up reconsideration of city infrastructure would be appropriate as a longer-term solution, to hell with those who won't adapt (and exception made to those who can't adapt). Our urban centers should simply not allow for the combustion engine to clog it up so badly. One good look at our streets shows about 80% road, 20% "side walk", 10% on each side. The side walk is simply a gutter. It is far too easy to use an automobile as a primary mode of ambulation, where it should instead be the rare occasion, not some pathetic psychic extension of one's body.

      ("You hit me!" "No, I hit your car.")

    22. Re:Get off his nuts by lancejjj · · Score: 4, Insightful

      but anyone with a brain can see that the oil money is headed out of the country like a black hole on our economy

      Excellent point. And it doesn't stop with oil. In fact, nearly all manufactured products are now in that same condition. Margins on such products are super-low; in the end, a huge proportion of the money you spend on your iPod, car, or even tooth brush is basically money that is leaving the country permanently.

      Oh, and it doesn't stop there. Food? Don't kid yourself - although the US has many farms, a huge proportion of our food comes from overseas. And most food grown here goes to migrant workers who send the money back home. Again, slim margins and foreign connections mean that the US is retaining a very tiny amount of the money spent on a product.

      And it gets worse. Many of the largest, fastest growing companies are now overseas, in China and India and other third world countries. The investment banks aren't stupid - they're investing more into overseas corporations than in US startups. If you're an American startup, you're at a gross disadvantage versus having your operations in India or China or Taiwan. And yes, even that mutual fund that your 401k is invested in is primarily about pumping the value of companies with foreign assets or foreign operations. Why invest in a US company that gets 5% return when you can invest in a Chinese company that is more likely get a 25% return? The only answer is "diversification", which is more of a self-insurance strategy versus a way to maximize return.

      At the end of the day, Pickens should invest wherever he wants to invest - its his money. But he is looking out for himself, as he is an investor looking for a money-maker in energy or any other sector. If he needs to convince the market that wind is a good investment, then he has already made his investment and is looking to pump its value for his own profit.

    23. Re:Get off his nuts by Slugster · · Score: 1

      This is rather what I suspect.

      Not that he is concerned about the issue of wind power benefiting the country much overall, but that there will eventually be a LOT of investment in it--and if he gets in early, he can cash out his position before it fails.... if it fails. And if it doesn't, he cashed out anyway, so who cares?
      ~

    24. Re:Get off his nuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually, being from West Texas myself, I am highly dubious of any claim T. Boone Pickens makes that seems in the slightest way to be environmentally sound.

      Most of us here in West Texas draw water from a portion of the Ogallala Aquifer that has been cut off from the main aquifer, due to glacial movement in the last ice age, IIRC. As well water is the predominant supply, this has led to a potential water shortage in the area, without proper conservation. Pickens insists on ignoring this fact and continually tries to purchase water rights from people so he can pump and send the water down state where it will sell for a higher price. What does he care if the area runs out of water, he has enough money to move easily when that happens.

      I have not looked deeply into his current plan, but, with his track record, I would imagine he is paying lip service to environmentalism, with his only priority bein increasing his vast fortune.

    25. Re:Get off his nuts by AbRASiON · · Score: 1

      "It is a looming inevitability, but media scare-mongering has the average american thinking that something has to be done NOW"

      I was under the impression common fucking sense was suggesting it should be NOW?!
      We dipshit humans wait far far too late on most of our self caused problems, I for one am a believer in global warming and a coming energy crisis.
      The more these things are planned for, the safer and better everyone is.

      and no, I'm not an American nor do I live there (or Canada)

    26. Re:Get off his nuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I realize the sheeple will rush over to polish his knob for this PR campaign. Don't forget, however, that he was one of the primary source of funds for the swiftboating of John Kerry.

      Since 1980, Pickens has made over $5 million in political donations.[2] He was a financial supporter of President George W. Bush and contributed heavily to both his Texas and national political campaigns. In 2004, Pickens contributed to 527 Republican groups, including a $3 million contribution to the Swift Vets and POWs for Truth attacking Bush's rival, John Kerry, and $2.5 million to the Progress for America advocacy group. In 2005, Pickens was among 53 entities that contributed the maximum of $250,000 to the second inauguration of President George W. Bush.[12][13][14]

      Interesting that he also has a reputation of back-peddling:

      On November 6, 2007, Pickens reportedly offered a million dollars to anyone who could disprove even a single charge made by the Swift Vets and POWs for Truth (SVPT), an anti-Kerry group he had supported in 2004.[16] John Kerry, whose military record and anti-war activism during Vietnam was the target of the group's book and media campaign, sent Pickens a letter on November 16, 2007, accepting the challenge, requesting that Pickens donate the money to the Paralyzed Veterans of America should he succeed in disproving any of the SVPT claims [16].

      In response to Kerry's acceptance of the challenge, Pickens issued a letter the same day, narrowing the original challenge to the SVPT ads, and requiring Kerry to provide his Vietnam journal, all of his military records, specifically those covering the years after his active duty service, and copies of all movies and tapes made during his service. Pickens' letter also challenged Kerry to agree to donate $1 million to the Congressional Medal of Honor Foundation, if Kerry "cannot prove anything in the Swift Boat ads to be untrue." [17]

      On November 20, 2007, Kerry issued a letter responding to Pickens' letter. He accused Pickens of "parsing and backtracking" on his initial offer and wrote that "I am prepared to prove the lie and marshal all the evidence, the question is whether you are prepared to fulfill your obligation." He concluded that "the only thing remaining now is to set the date for our meeting in an appropriate forum...." [18]

      On 22 June 2008, a group of Vietnam veterans accepted the challenge and sent a 12-page letter â" with a 42-page attachment of military records to support their case â" that rebutted not one but several of the accusations of the Swift boat group.[19] Boone Pickens has responded with a message stating "In reviewing your material, none of the information you provide speaks specifically to the issues contained in the ads,â he wrote, âoeand, as a result, does not qualify for the $1 million."[20]

      [both quotes from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T._Boone_Pickens,_Jr.

    27. Re:Get off his nuts by Socguy · · Score: 1

      I suppose you figure out how to mine and transport it with zero impact. Then you strip all the pollutants out of the smoke. Then you take the CO2 and pump it down an old oil well in the belief that it will stay there and that the tremendous pressure won't force pollutants along underground fissures into the surrounding groundwater like it now seems to be doing in the Weyburn oilfield. On the other hand, the pressure might increase old well production, especially in the old wells which had all that 'useless' natural gas flared off in the '50s and '60s. Oh and this is very cost effective, especially if you're in the coal business.

    28. Re:Get off his nuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Of course. Decentralization of energy is the future and obvious best-case scenario, the ultimate refinement of how we generate power. A utopia compared to what we have today. Centralized power is ugly, dangerous, clumsy, and corrupt compared to a future where all technology is completely independent and decentralized. Centralized power lends itself to political corruption and only aids government in its continuous goals of more power and revenue. Decentralization would completely eliminate that justification for government power.

      Imagine a future where every house is completely independent in terms of energy -- that's one less mega-industry for government to overtake, one less justification for concentration of political power into the hands of the elite few. This is the future, and someday when technology permits, it will happen with water, sewer, and communications as well -- if government isn't powerful enough to prevent it from happening.

      In the future, we will even see decentralization within each household. Each device will be self-powered by some technology we probably can't even imagine today -- electronics, large appliances, small appliances, lighting -- each one will run independently of the rest, perhaps by some kind of super "battery" that lasts 50 years and generates exactly the necessary power and no more. If one device fails, nothing else is affected. We don't know exactly what this technology will be, but we do know that it will be decentralzied. Why? Because it just plain makes sense. It's the ultimate refinement of technology.

      In the future, the era of centralized power will be viewed as primitive and clumsy, much like the people of today view the era of early communications compared to the internet.

    29. Re:Get off his nuts by Beyond_GoodandEvil · · Score: 4, Insightful

      . My blue-collar neighbors still have 2 - 3 vehicles in their driveways...Lots of SUVs are still carting fat asses to work at various non-union machine shops and department stores on the other side of town.
      Well I don't know where you live but in my neck of the woods one of those SUVs in the driveway has a for sale sign on it. And is it your supposition that only non-union workers drive SUVs?
        But, if you're going to subsidize low-energy travel don't forget us poor bastards on bicycles.
      Only if you promise to remember that stop signs apply to you as well.

      --
      I laughed at the weak who considered themselves good because they lacked claws.
    30. Re:Get off his nuts by Socguy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You forgot the most economical viable but somewhat paradoxically unpopular course of action: Get serious about efficiency and simply use less energy.

    31. Re:Get off his nuts by n0-0p · · Score: 1

      Though I might have stated it a bit differently, I'm glad that someone else pointed this out. Pickens is pure slime, and emphatically not to be trusted. Hopefully this is a real effort, but I'll withhold judgment until I see some real follow through.

    32. Re:Get off his nuts by Arthur+B. · · Score: 1

      It may be so. I'd just like to point out that there's no "big oil" in the US, the US oil companies are dwarves compared to the big nationalized company. Saudi Aramco : that's big oil

      --
      \u262D = \u5350
    33. Re:Get off his nuts by yuna49 · · Score: 1

      in the end, a huge proportion of the money you spend on your iPod, car, or even tooth brush is basically money that is leaving the country permanently.

      Last night the Discovery Channel showed the first of a four-part series by Ted Koppel on capitalism in China. He claimed that Apple makes a profit of $70 on a $300 iPod. The Chinese company that built the iPod makes a profit of $4.

    34. Re:Get off his nuts by homer_s · · Score: 2, Insightful

      in the end, a huge proportion of the money you spend on your iPod, car, or even tooth brush is basically money that is leaving the country permanently.

      A huge proportion of the money I spend on groceries goes to Kroger, money I spend on computers goes to Intel & others, money I spend on healthcare goes to doctors - that money leaves my family permanently.

      Maybe I should grow my own crops, make my own microprocessors and perform my own surgery.

      It is sad to see that many people don't have the slightest understanding of economic principles that were discovered over 200 years ago.

    35. Re:Get off his nuts by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

      (we have the technology to produce clean-burning coal plans now)

      Be aware that "clean-burning coal" still produces CO2. They just mean that they scrub out some of the nasty components that cause acid rain and stuff like that. So it smells good, but it will still kill us in the end.

      Clean-burning coal is red-herring. It's like having a "clean" cigarette that smells good, but still gives you cancer.

    36. Re:Get off his nuts by SydShamino · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think it's more likely that, as Mr. Pickens is a wealthy man, as opposed to a wealthy corporation, he's facing the reality that all humans face: he no longer cares about acquisition of wealth, he cares about being remembered after he's dead.

      This fundamental drive of human nature (for most people) is one of the ways that corporations will never be like humans, and is one of the reasons that corporations should never be given the rights of humans, since they can't face all the responsibilities.

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
    37. Re:Get off his nuts by tweek · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Media scare-mongering has nothing to do with those of us who feel the US has had an irresponsible energy policy for decades now - completely relying on foreign oil production while shunning home-grown alternatives. This includes wind, solar, biofuels, and other 'green' sources, but it's also stupid to overlook our own domestic oil production, such as off-shore drilling in the gulf and in Alaska. We're still very much reliant upon oil, a fact which is not likely to change for the next 20-40 years no matter what our current intentions are, or what investments we make in alternative sources of energy. Additionally, there's natural gas production, coal (we have the technology to produce clean-burning coal plans now), and nuclear power which are all real, viable power production systems that we could start building tomorrow.

      Sales taxes and incentives will not solve a fundamental supply issue on such a massive scale, so I don't see a point with punishing consumers even more than the current gas prices are already doing. No, I don't believe people are under the delusion that this will be solved immediately, but given that it's going to take a while to actually get fixed, I can see why people are anxious to see a real energy plan get underway instead of political pandering to various constituency groups to which politicians are beholden to (extreme environmentalists on one side, and big oil on the other).

      I'm sorry but I'm going to have to say that I hope gas prices reach $10/gallon and higher. Maybe then something will be done.

      Let me say this. I don't support the bogus "windfall profit tax" crap. I don't think it's the government's job to keep gas prices low. I support nuclear energy but not drilling for more oil. In fact, I don't support ANY fossil fuel expansion at this point. It's a limited resource. It's going to run dry. The problem isn't foreign oil. The problem is oil as a whole. Drilling in ANWAR or oil-shale or off-shore isn't going to make a lick of difference because the oil market doesn't conform to normal capitalistic "rules".

      Regardless of how long it takes or not to get the oil up and into our cars, the Middle Eastern oil companies have a captive audience in China and India and there is no motivation to lower the prices. Flooding the market with US oil does nothing to lower that price either since we seem to have no gumption to reduce our consumption here in the states. As soon as gas prices go back down, people will start buying SUVs again and Detroit will shelve all of the fuel efficient projects they might have going now. It wouldn't make financial sense to anything other than that.

      We've had 30 years roughly to think about this issue. Since Carter and not a damn thing has been done. Every time someone floated ideas about conservation or alternative energy, they were summarily dismissed as being a anti-capitalist hippy.

      And let's not forget that even IF we got the drilling restrictions lifted and started getting more oil out there, all of these figures assume our current rate of growth. That's just stupid. The amount of shit grows to fill the bucket. It's just some sort of unwritten law of physics. Cheap oil causes MORE growth thus making the supply last even less longer.

      And honestly, gas is the least of our concerns. We have alternate fuel sources and methods for getting us from point A to point B. There are a lot of other things made from petroleum that we DON'T have replacements for. Medical plastics and other things. I don't want to have a catheter shortage just because billy bob had to have the biggest SUV he could find.

      There seems to be this sentiment today that we shouldn't have to make sacrifices as citizens. And then I look at posters from WW2 that show Hitler driving a car and wonder how that would fly today.

      I'm not a hippie. I'm not a liberal. I'm not a republican. I'm not an environmentalist. I'm a realist.

      --
      "Fighting the underpants gnomes since 1998!" "Bruce Schneier knows the state of schroedinger's cat"
    38. Re:Get off his nuts by tweek · · Score: 1

      Oh no! That would be un-American to suggest that the most logical and simple solution that can have the biggest impact in the shortest amount of time makes ANY sense.

      You lose the interwebz.

      --
      "Fighting the underpants gnomes since 1998!" "Bruce Schneier knows the state of schroedinger's cat"
    39. Re:Get off his nuts by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Hey I am a big fan of the Nuke plant in my back yard. I have a nuclear power plant in my city and I am just fine with it. I do agree with the NIMBY problem.
      Oh and your wanting to ban cruisers from motorcycle parking? I am not a cruiser fan but you probably have never looked at the mileage that bikes get. Modern 600s and 1000cc Sports bikes only manage mileage in the 30s. Many cruisers get better mileage than the sports bikes.
      Oh I am not a fan of cruisers myself. They just tend to get better mileage then a lot of the light sports bikes. The typical cruiser engine makes less power then a sports bike, they tend to have fewer cylinders than sports bikes, and tend to ridden at a less frantic pace.
      Over all twins seem to get better mileage then fours even in sports bikes. I think it because they dissipate less heat to the radiator and tend to rev slower. Seems to me that a obvious key factor to energy efficiency is to use the biggest cylinder and the lowest RPM that is practical.
      Of course when you get to bikes like the Ninja 250(sports bike), Honda Rebel(cruiser), and some of the other small bikes you are getting 60+mpg.
      Of course the simple fact is that my Mazda3 gets 30+ mpg and my wife and I work at the same place so we get the same mileage as I would get from a small bike if I worked apart from my wife.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    40. Re:Get off his nuts by yuna49 · · Score: 1

      I suspect we are at the faux tipping-point - where everyone starts squealing about prices but few are actually willing to change their behavior.

      Apparently you haven't been reading the latest news on automobile sales trends.

      http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121484164201916119.html

      SUV sales are falling fast while the demand for smaller fuel-efficient or hybrid vehicles is currently outstripping supply.

      Yes, it's true that the demand for gasoline was historically quite price-inelastic. As oil heads toward $200/barrel, we're starting to see real price effects.

    41. Re:Get off his nuts by Pope · · Score: 1

      In the case of the iPod, it's staying right there in Cupertino. ;)

      --
      It doesn't mean much now, it's built for the future.
    42. Re:Get off his nuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      This is T Boone Pickens we are talking about right? Do you consider the "swift boot captains for truth" campaign philanthropy?

      Do you consider shirking on a million dollar challenge respectable? Especially when the Million would have gone to paralyzed vets.

      I have to say on the surface the plan actually seems pretty good but because it Pickens I question where the scam is. The guy is scam artist plain and simple. Why you think he would stop at 3 billion when he didn't at 1 and 2 I am not sure.

    43. Re:Get off his nuts by Foolicious · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You forgot the most economical viable but somewhat paradoxically unpopular course of action: Get serious about efficiency and simply use less energy.

      What do you mean by "use less energy"? Like take cold showers? Ban hot tubs? Stop driving (or just certain cars like the evil SUV that no one in these discussions ever seems to own, but I see all over the freaking roads)? Or more easily adoptable things like using energy star appliances and them funny lookin' lightbulbs?

      Basically, I think it's only "the most" economically viable to a point. What I think many of the "Just use less" people really want is a complete change of lifestyles. I can indeed save money by turning down the thermostat on the water heater and furnace. I can save money by not driving anywhere and walking or bicycling. But these things also change my life and my lifestyle. I'm sure you're quick to tsk-tsk me and that you get a good belly-laugh out of my awful American selfishness, but it's a serious question that too many people ignore. How much conservation (specifically, preemptive sort-of-types of conservation) is necessary? I mean, I could get dead serious about conservation, but I'd pretty much have to start a new life.

      Of course, conservation can be achieved without impacting my lifestyle. As long as I can pay for it. Which then makes it NOT economically viable.

      Stay with me as I make a ridiculous example, in hopes of making a point. Let's say you buy an older house. Maybe even a mansion-sized house. First of all, I'm sure some here would scold you for buying a mansion in the first place because you should be willing to live in a small apartment like the Japanese or Europeans do. (They have faster broadband, too, after all.) Anyhow, for starters, you'd need to replace all the windows (ka-ching). You'd also probably want to reinsulate the attic space (actually not too expensive). Then you'd need to buy one or two new energy efficient furnaces and air conditioning units (ka-ching ka-ching). It'd probably make the most sense to also retrofit a tankless water heater system, with additional smaller tankless units at the points of use (KA-ching). Then you'd want to add solar panels and utilize some kind of net metering setup with the power company. Uh oh - it's actually a historic mansion actually, so first you have to deal with the municipal government to add an aesthetically-pleasing, non-obtrusive solar setup (waiting...waiting...finally, ka-ching). Then you want to add some wind turbines or even a simple windmill. But you can't because zoning doesn't allow such a structure in your neighborhood (no ka-ching). Then you can do the simple stuff like caulking, foam insulating, etc (mini-ching) and getting all new energy efficient appliances (ka-ching).

      Now I know I'm being a bit silly, but if you scale it down to a smaller home, you're also dealing with a smaller budget. It's easy to say "Just use less", but to get to the point where you can use less sometimes requires some economically UNviable steps, like those I mentioned above.

      Just my 2 cents.

      --
      Please don't use "umm" or "err" or "erm".
    44. Re:Get off his nuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nope. Conservation is the biggest angle on its own. And its the only strategy for buying time to do things right. Most of the energy taps you suggest would be a fiasco when implemented on the terrawatt scale.

    45. Re:Get off his nuts by ricegf · · Score: 2, Informative

      Let me be the first to say, "Yes, I do want [energy sources] in my back yard..."

      Here, here! And let me add, I signed a mineral rights lease this year for just such an enterprise, given that my little acre of Texas sits square in the middle of the Barnett Shale, one of the largest natural gas reserves in the USA. The first drilling took place in our neighborhood recently (not related to my lease, though - that's a year off), and the gas is flowing. We had to search for the well, too - very nicely concealed a few blocks down from our house.

      What we need less of is government regulation (to the point of the grandparent post). The government is not the solution, they are the problem. You can bank on it.

    46. Re:Get off his nuts by Demarche · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Efficiency is fine and good but it doesn't solve anything in the long run. The world needs enough clean energy that we can afford to waste it. I don't see anything wrong with expecting the future to be a place where I can turn on a big-ass air conditioner without feeling guilty. Abundant, cheap energy is necessary for a modern economy to prosper, and I expect public policy to focus on responsibly improving my quality of life, not forcing me into some Luddite lifestyle.

    47. Re:Get off his nuts by filterban · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Fantastic post. You're exactly right.

      Interestingly, while NIMBYs are stopping a lot of alternative energy sources, it's also the existing energy industry. For example, North Dakota is so rich with the right kind of wind for wind power (strong, steady) that you can build very profitable wind farms. It's considered the Middle East of wind power.

      Unfortunately, the state government is in the pocket of the coal industry, which is also very big in ND. Wind farms put coal workers out of jobs. So they don't let many wind farms get built and they don't give the infrastructure necessary to do so (such as a way to tap in to the power grid).

      Right now, if you have the cash, the location, and the government allows it, you can make a lot of money (passive income, even) building and running wind turbines. The key is getting the government to cooperate.

      --
      rm -rf /
    48. Re:Get off his nuts by 99BottlesOfBeerInMyF · · Score: 1

      But ban "cruisers" from the spaces. No bike that weighs as much as, costs more than, and gets worse gas mileage than a jeep wrangler ought to be treated like a bike.

      Generally the large bikes you're describing are called 'touring" bikes, not cruisers. Cruisers are a style of bike. For example, the low end 250CC bikes such as the Honda Rebel, Yamaha Virago, and Suzuki GZ are among the smallest and most fuel efficient of motorcycles, but are described by the manufacturers as "cruisers".

    49. Re:Get off his nuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sadly, you make a fair point. However, I would point out that this is an attitude that seems to vary a lot by region. I grew up in the Pacific Northwest (Seattle area specifically, but I understand Portland is similar), where riding the bus was considered a normal activity. I now live in a very culturally different region (Columbia, SC area) and the prevailing attitude is that "only *poor* people ride the bus!" It made me scratch my head a lot, but in talking to people who grew up here, it seems that even if the city improved public transport dramatically tomorrow, most people still wouldn't use it. They find the idea of a middle- to upper-class person riding a bus (let alone walking or riding a bike) baffling.

      It makes me a bit sad, but there's always hope for future generations.

    50. Re:Get off his nuts by demonbug · · Score: 1

      He claimed that Apple makes a profit of $70 on a $300 iPod. The Chinese company that built the iPod makes a profit of $4.

      And where did the other $226 go? Some to cover product design done in the US (assuming that isn't part of the $70 profit, which it actually probably is), the rest to cover cost of labor and materials, neither of which goes to the US.

      So, while Apple may be taking the largest portion of the profit, the majority of the money spent on the devices is not returning to the U.S.

      Not saying that is bad per se, but the fact that Apple makes a larger margin on the items than their manufacturers doesn't really affect the point of the parent (though it does show that Apple's margins are not "super low").

    51. Re:Get off his nuts by Rei · · Score: 1

      The "scam" is that Pickens founded the Clean Energy Fuels Corporation which makes natural gas vehicles. Hence, his plan to use wind power to displace natural gas use and run the vehicles on the displaced natural gas (rather than any other alternative drivetrain, such as electric, which could use the windpower directly). Of course, one problem that immediately surfaces is that natural gas generation tends to be used more for peaking than for baseload, which is generally coal or nuclear -- that is, to say, that it ramps up and down quickly to adjust for sudden spikes in demand or drops in production. Wind power is precisely the opposite; it's unpredictable, so you need *extra* peaking generation to compensate, and overall you displace some baseload. Sounds to me more like Pickens will be displacing coal and nuclear, not natural gas. While that is good in other respects, few are proposing to make coal and nuclear cars**. But any influx of cash into natural gas vehicles, irregardless of sustainability or whether or not he's actually displacing any natural gas use, will certainly help his pocketbooks.

      Don't get me wrong; natural gas is a potentially bigger resource than oil, has a lower carbon content per joule, and burns cleaner. Switching vehicles to natural gas isn't a bad thing (although electricity is much better). But the concept of displacing natural gas-fired generation with wind doesn't make sense on the face of it.

      ** - Note that I said few, not none. Who can forget the Ford Nucleon, or the wood-powered car?

      --
      The only way I would lionize Dick Cheney would be while he was still alive, and it would involve actual lions.
    52. Re:Get off his nuts by rujholla · · Score: 1

      I think pure electric cars can work for a substantial portion of people, but electric cannot yet offer any method for rapid refuelling if you are going further than one charge can take you. I actually think the direction we are going now with more hybrids and more plug in hybrids is the right direction.

    53. Re:Get off his nuts by mattwarden · · Score: 1

      No way does the oil business get into wind energy. Wind energy is a long-term loser for a business, as there is almost zero barrier to entry (not so with just about every other alt energy source). Businesses going into wind will see nice profit margins for about 2 days; then competition will increase and profit margins will FALL toward zero.

      Huge oil companies are going to jump into a business that a micro-cap company can jump into just as easily?

      No, sorry. Oil companies will either transform out of mass energy or they will pick an alt mass energy option that has a higher barrier to entry, like geothermal, nuclear, or hydro.

      (Similarly, if you are investing in alternative energy stocks for a long-term play, AVOID WIND. You have been warned.)

    54. Re:Get off his nuts by notadoctor · · Score: 1

      I live in southern Mississippi. We don't even have a bus to ride. If we did, I'd probably use it a lot, unless it cost as much to ride as it does in Salt Lake or was as crowded as the buses in Tirana. By the way, the Seattle bus sytem is very nice. The difference, I think, is a combination of culture and available infrastructure. When I lived in Seattle, my coworkers would bike 12 miles to work, and then run another 5 miles in the afternoon. I walked ten times more than I do now. We were more health minded. We could do this, though, because there are nice wide walking/biking trails that go from the U District to who knows where (SeaTac airport maybe). Where I live now, the roads (aside from the highways) are 15 feet wide and have no sidewalks. It isn't even safe to walk because the cars are all going at 55 mph in 30 mph zones. Wider roads with side walks, walking trails, and/or slower (and thus less gas guzzling) driving, would make it much easier to live a conservational lifestyle here.

    55. Re:Get off his nuts by Rei · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think pure electric cars can work for a substantial portion of people, but electric cannot yet offer any method for rapid refuelling if you are going further than one charge can take you

      That is incorrect. It was correct ten years ago, but not today. Just ignoring battery swapping, there are several companies now that make massively powerful fast chargers, all of which are cheaper than a hydrogen pump. Perhaps the most notable is Aerovironment, with their PosiCharge line. They already have a network of 60kW fast chargers installed across Oahu, but they make chargers as big as 250kW. For a ~10kWh battery pack (Aptera-sized), that's 10 minutes and 2.4 minutes, respectively. For a ~50kWh battery pack (Tesla-sized), that's ~50 minutes and ~12 minutes, respectively. Compared to the length of time you'd spend driving, these charge times are pretty trivial. An Aptera, for example, gets 120 miles per charge, so with just a 60kWh charger and a car like an Aptera, that'd be two hours of driving for ten minutes of charging. And heck, you're supposed to take a five to ten minute break every two hours of driving for safety reasons anyways!

      On the battery side of things, the phosphates, titanates, and spinels can all take 5-10 minute charges, as can most upcoming technologies (some even less).

      --
      The only way I would lionize Dick Cheney would be while he was still alive, and it would involve actual lions.
    56. Re:Get off his nuts by LihTox · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry but I'm going to have to say that I hope gas prices reach $10/gallon and higher. Maybe then something will be done.

      Great; meanwhile poor families can't afford to eat (shipping costs raise grocery bills), can't afford the gas to get to work, and probably can't afford to move closer to work. Things will sort themselves out in the long term, but in the short term people suffer.

      If you'll notice, we don't need $10/gallon gas; $4 gas is already having an impact. SUV sales have plummeted, houses in far-flung suburbs have dropped in value, public transportation is booming. Part of that is the current cost, but part of it is the THREAT that gas prices will increase even more.

      But wishing for $10/gas before we're ready for it is (a little) like wishing we'd have a pandemic so that the government would take public health seriously, or wishing for increased casualties in Iraq so that we'd bring the troops home.

    57. Re:Get off his nuts by SeattleGameboy · · Score: 1
      Well said.

      The funny thing is, the Big Three motor companies have fought tooth and nail over last 30 years for any kind of CAFE standards that would raise the mileage for cars. And now, that action has come to bite them in the ass and 1 or all thee may go bankrupt because they have too much production for gas guzzling trucks and SUV's and not enough infrastructure to build fuel-effecient cars.

      If they supported raising mileage standards, they would be in MUCH better position today to ride this oil price crisis. But because of their short-sighted policies, they are going to pay with their company.

      Free market is a bitch...

    58. Re:Get off his nuts by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 0

      I am amazed that you missed out public transport. One day, the people of the USA are going to have to get used to sitting next to strangers again. :)

      To hell with that. The "freedom to travel" is one of the most important freedoms to me. Not to mention I consider my time extremely valuable. I would take public transportation if it was more efficient than the alternatives (New York City is one of the few places in the country where that's true), but I'll sacrifice a hell of a lot of other things before I waste my life sitting in a bus for hours just to go across town.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    59. Re:Get off his nuts by Black-Man · · Score: 1

      Actually, the guy made a huge investment in land to build those wind turbines. So... he is simply acting out of self-interest. Move on.

    60. Re:Get off his nuts by rujholla · · Score: 1

      Cool I'll check into these things. Thanks for the info.

    61. Re:Get off his nuts by Ferretman · · Score: 1

      Amen and well said. Ferretman

      --
      Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
    62. Re:Get off his nuts by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 3, Interesting
      I don't think that's the ideal. There's a lot of duplicated effort, since we'd need both a grid and individual generators. That's lots of non-experts climbing on their roofs with wrenches to fix their panels, other extra maintenance, etc.

      I think the ideal power source is an underground wire going to your house, with all the electrons you need, and that costs you very little. Fusion power would be just like that: Massive, industrial, pointless on a small scale, and awesome.

      Let's use our rooftops for gardens!

    63. Re:Get off his nuts by kevlar · · Score: 1

      At the end of the day, Pickens should invest wherever he wants to invest - its his money. But he is looking out for himself, as he is an investor looking for a money-maker in energy or any other sector. If he needs to convince the market that wind is a good investment, then he has already made his investment and is looking to pump its value for his own profit.

      I have to generally disagree with this statement. Not every billionaire is out to make himself money. A case in point is Bill Gates and his foundation. The charter for that organization is to invest money in developing solutions for world-wide poverty. The benefit Bill gets from that is merely philanthropic, which is not to be under-emphasized.

      Now, with Pickens, he's in his 80's and he is wise enough to know that he'll die sooner rather than later. An investment like he is proposing is not something that he'll likely live to see the benefits from, but he might.

      If this were merely an effort to make big-oil look pretty, then it would be proposed and implemented by corporations, not individuals.

      You (and he) are both absolutely correct on several points: the USA is sweating its wealth to the world. We are a country of middle managers now. We produce nothing and we buy shit with borrowed cash -- borrowed from the Chinese or from the Fed. All the monkeys you see driving around in a Lexus or BMW and making a fraction of what you earn for a living are a direct side effect of the Fed printing extra money to delay an economic catastrophe. The end-result is ridiculously obvious to me, but not necessarily to others: If you're not already in-debt to a foreign entity, then you will be soon. Expect more shit than just the Chrystler Building being owned by foreigners. Think GM, Ford, Boeing, ExxonMobil, etc.

      We're fucked.

    64. Re:Get off his nuts by StormyWeather · · Score: 1

      Boone is almost universally hated around here because of his horrible designs on sucking all the water out of the Ogalala aquifer and sell it to places without water. Of course once our aquifer is gone the entire Midwest turns back into a grassy desert. A lot of people around here believe this is just another way to get mineral rights under the wind power generators so he can get to the water.

    65. Re:Get off his nuts by kesuki · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Oh, and it doesn't stop there. Food? Don't kid yourself - although the US has many farms, a huge proportion of our food comes from overseas. And most food grown here goes to migrant workers who send the money back home. Again, slim margins and foreign connections mean that the US is retaining a very tiny amount of the money spent on a product."

      the USA is the world's largest food exporter, but there is a problem here, it's the net value of food imported vs food exported. IF we export cheap corn, wheat, rice etc, but import expensive produce fresh fruit and vegetables, the dollar value of our surplus drops... it's not like we're exporting less food each year, it's more like, if it requires manual labor to pick it from the field, America is increasingly becoming a place that can't compete on price with foreign countries.

      so cheap staples like wheat can be mass produced in america, and exported in mass, but every orange and apple we import from Brazil is costing us more than every bushel of wheat we sell on the world market.

      worse still, is meat processing, America has plenty of meat processing facilities, but do you know any that actually hire Americans for the 'nasty' jobs like evisceration? nope i didn't think you did, because they all import illegals to fill those jobs, because illegals can be manipulated into provided 'perfect' OSHA score cards year after year, so OSHA doesn't investigate them, so those plants don't have to do anything about worker safety. oh yeah, and foreigners don't understand unions, either so they're not a chance in hell they'll unionize to get better working conditions.

      but your worries are pretty unfounded today, because of the weakness of the dollar, we've been able to gain some ground on foreign competition, in the ag business. weak dollars mean that even if we pay workers more dollars it's worth less and less, on a global scale, so we're making more money exporting to asia and europe relatively speaking.

    66. Re:Get off his nuts by lancejjj · · Score: 1

      And where did the other $226 go?

      Excellent rebuttal. That's exactly the point. And Apple's profit margin on the iPod is clearly stronger than, say, the other MP3 players on the market which must heavily compete in terms of price. I bet the Zune and the other less popular players have a substantially more narrow profit margin.

    67. Re:Get off his nuts by kesuki · · Score: 1

      i think maybe you missed the article on pumping caves full of air to 1500 PSI http://news.slashdot.org/news/08/07/02/2231259.shtml

      also, the amount of energy produced by natural gas plants is much greater than 'just peaking' usage. yeah power companies like that natural gas can be turned off and on unlike coal and nuclear, but if they invest heavily in a natural gas plant, they want to make money off it, that means they will run it as much as they can, as long as they make more money doing it that way. pumping caves full of air creates wind based peaking capabilities.

      oh and hey, the big problem isn't that there isn't enough natural gas, it's that the oil company that owns the natural gas rights in Alaska, has decided to not pump that natural gas out of the ground. big change in strategy that left piken high and dry and facing rising natural gas prices.

    68. Re:Get off his nuts by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 1

      They find the idea of a middle- to upper-class person riding a bus (let alone walking or riding a bike) baffling.

      Riding a bus is a totally different activity than walking or riding a bike. The latter two I can choose to do for exercise and I still have freedom of travel, as well as being able to choose to be alone or not. Just because someone would never ride a bus doesn't mean they'd never walk or ride a bike.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    69. Re:Get off his nuts by Socguy · · Score: 1

      What do you mean by "use less energy"? Like take cold showers? Ban hot tubs? Stop driving (or just certain cars like the evil SUV that no one in these discussions ever seems to own, but I see all over the freaking roads)? Or more easily adoptable things like using energy star appliances and them funny lookin' lightbulbs?

      I wasn't just talking about consumers, I was actually referring to the macro picture. Overall, it's cheaper to generate efficiencies than to expand capacity. For example, instead of expanding capacity by 1% in anticipation of growing need, you do something like legislate new electrical devices cannot use more than 1 watt when in standby and so on. First hit the low-hanging fruit, like the incandescent bulb and move on to building and city design.

      Now the somewhat paradoxical part. What I just said makes sense from an energy perspective, but as we all know we don't live in a world solely populated by energy planners. This kind of thing is unpopular with regular folks who feel that government is already too invasive and with politicians because they don't want to risk angering people who seem to get horny by using little tungsten filaments all over their house. Imagine the outcry if you were to tell architects, seduced by the beauty of a shear wall of south facing windows, that they must put an awning on their building! The other problem is that you're fighting convention. In the days where energy was cheap, there were things you just did. If you building was too hot you installed an air conditioner, too cold a bigger heater. Being more thoughtful by design is difficult if for no other reason than the fact that we didn't do it yesterday.

      Anyway, that's the angle I was taking with the original quote.

    70. Re:Get off his nuts by Rei · · Score: 1

      also, the amount of energy produced by natural gas plants is much greater than 'just peaking' usage. yeah power companies like that natural gas can be turned off and on unlike coal and nuclear, but if they invest heavily in a natural gas plant, they want to make money off it, that means they will run it as much as they can

      They can't underprice coal with natural gas. Coal is too cheap and natural gas is too expensive. Of course they want to run it as much as they can, but they're not going to generate power they can't sell.

      pumping caves full of air creates wind based peaking capabilities.

      That's not the Pickens's proposal, though. I agree, it's a good idea if they can get prices down and efficiency up enough. The other storage solution I've seen that's a bit more efficient is pumped water storage. It's trivial if you already have big hydro in the area (you don't have to pump anything, just not let it out of the reservoir). If you dont have hydro in the area, though (it is a rather destructive form of power), you can do a setup where there's no river, but you create an upper and lower reservoir and move water back and forth between them. China's a leader in this front, but they're hardly the only ones doing it. One clever version I read about is on Okinawa. Since Japan's islands tend to be quite mountainous, they built a pumped reservoir on a mountain near the shore and used the ocean as their lower reservoir.

      --
      The only way I would lionize Dick Cheney would be while he was still alive, and it would involve actual lions.
    71. Re:Get off his nuts by tknd · · Score: 1

      But these things also change my life and my lifestyle. I'm sure you're quick to tsk-tsk me and that you get a good belly-laugh out of my awful American selfishness, but it's a serious question that too many people ignore.

      Your argument is on the basis that a change in lifestyle will most likely be a negative change. I think that part is wrong. You can't change the present. It might actually be cheaper to keep and use your 5 year old SUV instead of buying a new econobox. It might be cheaper to keep your current 5 bedroom house in suburbia than to move to a city condominium right next to work. That is true because those things exist in the present.

      What you can change is the future. That includes making wise decisions when you do need a new light bulb. Making wise decisions when you do plan on going to the grocery store. That is the future and those things you can plan for and are certainly things you can change. Will it impact your lifestyle? Of course. But nobody was guaranteed to have the same lifestyle. Pro athletes go broke within years. Most of the wealthy are self-made and not inherited. Your future lifestyle is and was never guaranteed but you do have some control over it.

      Change doesn't have to be bad. What's wrong with potentially taking a train that comes every 10 minutes to work and back Monday to Friday rather than sitting in traffic? What's wrong with buying or moving to a home closer to work when the lease ends or the real estate market stabilizes so now you walk 5 minutes rather than drive for 40 minutes? These things will impact your lifestyle but not as badly as I think it would. You save money, you don't have to drive. Is that not a good trade off to the rising costs of suburbia? Do you seriously expect the world to bend over to protect your lifestyle for you? Or do you honestly think that there are some events that are out of your control and will impact your lifestyle? If you do prefer the suburbia lifestyle, why should you not accept the increased costs to maintain it? That is a significant change to your lifestyle that will impact you even if you do nothing.

      I think those are the questions that American's have been able to avoid till today because all of those problems hadn't affected American lives till now. I am an American and I see this everywhere: the laziness to deal with changes in the environment and the willingness to turn a blind eye to a growing problem hoping that somebody else will solve it. As Americans if we want to ensure that even the most basic things are not affected, we need to give up our present wasteful lifestyles and make plans for the future. That means change is inevitable and we must act and respond to those changes as best we can even if it means changes to our lifestyles.

      To put it into context my parents would often tell me as a little kid to finish my food or not to waste my food. That meant stuffing food into my mouth even if I was full. And if I didn't the old "people are starving and you're wasting food" fallacy would come up. So yes, people are starving and I can't finish my food. But even if I feed myself more food than I need, my body will not make use of it either, therefore the food is wasted either way. By me eating the excess food or throwing it away, I will have no impact on the starving people of the world because they still aren't getting the extra food that I am eating or wasting. All of that which I described is in the present.

      The true problem is that a bad decision was made in the past and we are seeing the results of that bad decision later in time. At some point the decision was made to make, buy, and cook X amount of food. It turned out X was too large for our needs. We can't do anything about that. The consequences will be there no matter what we do today. But we can make it so that the problem doesn't occur in the future to buy less food so that we only consume what we need. So I could still be full and have a clean plate because I would only use what I need. In that sense there was minimal impact to my lifestyle but an increase in efficiency.

    72. Re:Get off his nuts by Socguy · · Score: 1

      Efficiency is fine and good but it doesn't solve anything in the long run. The world needs enough clean energy that we can afford to waste it.

      I agree and I disagree. Efficiency both solves nothing in the long run, but it solves everything in the long run! (Yes folks, I'll save you the trouble, my parents aren't married and I'm half a retard.)

      You are correct, anyway you slice it, more people and activity will require more energy. This energy must be clean because we've passed the limit of what the world can sustain doing what we're doing.

      However, we have a fundamental problem that no one really want's to talk about despite that fact that virtually all environmental problems have been stem from this and will continue to stem from this. The problem is that fundamentally, we are wasteful.

      The world doesn't care that one Forest gets logged or that one river gets dammed or that one country burns coal or that somebody eats a dolphin. What the world does care about is that everyone wants to do it. Simply arguing that an abundant source of clean energy will make our problems disappear is short sighted. (I realize that this NOT at all what you were trying to imply. You're talking about energy and the economy in particular whereas I'm talking about an overall problem generating proclivity, so don't take this personally because you're point is well made.)

      Abundant clean energy will solve our current energy problem in the short to medium term, but ultimately it's just piling one more deck on top of a giant house of cards. As a species, if we don't get our wasteful ways under control we will just run into another problem. Perhaps it will come in the form of running out of water or certain minerals. You see where I'm going with this? Our energy problems are, in some ways, nothing more than a symptom of bad modus operandi.

      OK, I'm done now.

    73. Re:Get off his nuts by default+luser · · Score: 1

      The wide streets evolved before the internal combustion engine was every conceived. This is because you have to SUPPLY the city with goods in order to keep it running.

      Unfortunately, people are not the only things the streets must bear. Unless you want us to haul our own goods on our backs (and shoot our efficiency to hell), you'll lay off the streets and realize they're necessary.

      --

      Man is the animal that laughs.
      And occasionally whores for Karma.

    74. Re:Get off his nuts by Arterion · · Score: 1

      I actually think that's sound. If the oil giants crashed, it would cause a huge depression. A transition of the same companies to producing energy a different way isn't necessarily a bad thing. And they DO have a lot of experience in the energy sector. I've never not be able to get gas.

      --
      "That which does not kill us makes us stranger." -Trevor Goodchild
    75. Re:Get off his nuts by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

      Yeah this is my situation except for it being a small house rather than a mansion. It's 108 years old and in a National Historic District. It's my first house and I bought it in November.

      The windows are almost all original luckily in decent shape for their age. I don't plan to replace them. There are crappy storm windows outside of them that aren't doing very well but they do help. A couple are missing. I've got one room I put new window treatments in that also helps some but none of the rest of my house has blinds or anything. Those are expensive too so I'll wait for the periodic sales at JC Penny and space them out.

      The insulation is pretty pathetic. I have no idea about the walls, might not be insulated, but the attic has maybe 10% coverage (around the edges of the wood plank flooring). The gas/power bill in winter was worse than my parents' house which is much larger. There is about a $270 range between my highest bill and lowest (last month). I wanted to put insulate it better but people have been telling me to do different things, pull up the floor boards and put it under there, or in case I ever put a room up there or whatever put the insulation under the rafters.

      I'm using the A/C very sparingly as I'm not home a lot, but I can't sleep if it's muggy and 80F+ in the house. We've been in the 90s quite a bit lately. The A/C and furnace are 1992 models and probably not in the best of shape. The inspector I hired when I bought the house tested the A/C and it didn't cool the air up to snuff. I need to spray off the unit sometime to clean if off some.

      I have the hot water heater adjusted to where it's as low as I can have it without running out of hot water in the shower.

      I don't know about issues with solar and wind stuff there... I would love to do lots of things to my house but I just make a moderate salary.

      I ride my bicycle to work when I can, if there is a fairly small chance of rain and it's not too hot or too cold. It's a 15min bicycle ride over nice trails, or an 8min drive in my car. The bicycle trail is actually a straighter shot than driving. I am sweaty lately when I get to work which sucks but it goes away after a while. I have been wearing my work clothes on the bike with tennis shoes. I've thought about wearing different clothes and changing at work but there isn't much room in my backpack for them (with cheap rain poncho, lunch, planner, water bottle, dress shoes) and they'd be wrinkly anyway so I haven't done that. There isn't any place for me to keep clothes at work. Sometimes I manage to ride my bike 4 out of 5 weekdays lately, but it's getting too hot and humid now.

      My big energy usage now is driving to my girlfriend's 30min away. Riding my bike to work has actually saved quite a bit of gas I've noticed though. I have a 2001 Pontiac Grand Prix GTP so there is room for improvement there, but I drive it in as much of a gas saving manner as I can. I am getting 28mpg on the current tank and I have monitored this closely since I bought the car. I recently had to replace the transmi$$ion so because of that, and because it's paid off, I intend to keep it as long as I can to save money... at least 3 years which is the warranty on the new trans. I also hit a deer on the interstate driving back from my girlfriend's house one night, argh.

      So cash is low, but recovering now after the transmission, deer, and a couple trips.

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
    76. Re:Get off his nuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When you want to know what is really going on, follow the money. Here is where Big Oil is spending it's wealth: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&sid=akIQ2arQB4Qs&refer=columnist_pauly

      While Exxon Mobil will spend $21 billion this year on exploration and plant improvements, that's considerably less than it will spend on buying back its shares.

      This is for 2007.

      Using profits to buy back shares makes the remaining shares more valuable. This disproportionately enriches upper management and the board of directors, since much of their compensation is in stock or stock options.

      They don't care about "the energy business", they just want to extract as much wealth as possible in as short a period as possible. Become rich enough, and you and your descendants can avoid the problems of global warming, food riots, climate driven population shifts, pandemics...

    77. Re:Get off his nuts by glitch23 · · Score: 1

      It could *EASILY* turn out that Pickens is just another participant in the public relations campaign that big oil is putting on to convince Americans that big oil isn't out to get them. People are angry at the pump, and the more people who identify oil companies as enemies, the more people are exploring alternative fuels.

      Oil companies don't set the price of oil. The market does that ever since OPEC wanted the price of oil to be publically set back in the 1970s. Because US oil companies haven't been drilling as much compared to the 1970s they are actually having to pay the same market price as other people who buy through oil contracts because they have to purchase most of their oil on the global market (i.e. foreign oil). They do that in order to have enough to put into refineries to meet supply. I can't explain their record profits but the cost they have to pay for the foreign oil they buy is passed down to the refineries and eventually down to the pump. People are indeed angry at the pump however they should be directing their anger at the pension fund managers, hedge fund managers, investors, speculators, and contract managers who run up the price of oil on the world markets (NYMEX and ICE) based on fear, specifically the fear of supply not meeting demand.

      It has been reported that refineries were losing money for a little while in the recent past just because they couldn't raise the price of gasoline enough to keep up with the rising cost of the oil it takes to make gasoline. Oil prices have gone up 50% in the last year while gasoline prices have only gone up about 25% in the same time frame. That tells you that at least someone is trying to keep the consumer in mind. But keep in mind also that more than just gasoline comes out of a barrel of oil (some goes towards making asphalt, heating oil, etc.).

      I could understand the oil companies as being completely evil if they were the ones who were pumping the oil and selling it on world markets for the market price ($141 as of today) however they aren't. Saudi Arabia (#1) and others are pumping the oil and raking in the cash. Therefore the oil companies have more incentive than you think for coming up with alternative methods for turning profit. Even when they are making millions or billions in profit already, it's capitalism at work that makes them want to find other sources of energy that they can sell for people to buy however, in the current world situation, the oil companies could also be considered being a little less evil as they come up with alternative sources of energy to help the world pay less for energy.

      --
      this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom. -- Lincoln, Gettysburg Address
    78. Re:Get off his nuts by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      None of the examples you give involve money leaving the country. That's the whole point.

    79. Re:Get off his nuts by blitziod · · Score: 1

      ok first off, Pickens is an oil man and in the wind biz, so I guess big oil will , at least in one case chase wind. Secondly, even if exxon stops selling gas, oil will still be drilled. We use petrochemicals for MUCH more proffitable things than burning. we make SO much out of plastics, and will do more as the market changes. Wind energy is like farming, all you need is land in the right place. Oil comanies in Texas all started out by LEASING farm land to drill on. The wind biz will be run much the same way. decentralized power will happen, but we will still need a grid.

      --
      The only way to bust a doper--is when you yourself become a smoker!
    80. Re:Get off his nuts by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 1

      What makes it clean? From what I've read, one solution is to burn coal in pure oxygen.

      I should probably rephrase "we have the technology" to "promising technology is being investigated". The technology does require sequestering of the CO2 gas emitted, but of far more concern to me is ensuring the much worse toxins contained in coal aren't released.

      Apparently, New York is building a pilot plant. Here's the story:
      http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/jun2008/2008-06-12-094.asp

      Essentially, we'll have to see how this technology pans out. The fact that they can build a pilot plan seems to indicate they have a pretty good grasp on how to, at least theoretically, solve this problem.

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
    81. Re:Get off his nuts by dodecalogue · · Score: 1

      That makes every bit of sense, that that's where streets came from, but we need to re-evaluate them (and I don't mean get rid of them or something crazy). It's along the same lines as "Don't have highways go right through a city's downtown business district." Just like semis have specific routes they can and cannot take, so should regular autos. Basically, I can agree to lay off the streets if you acknowledge the usefulness of conscious (rather than habit or historically driven) urban planning.

    82. Re:Get off his nuts by mattwarden · · Score: 1

      That's what I meant by transforming out of the energy business. Oil could move into other business like the manufacturing of plastics.

      Your point about what it takes to get into wind is exactly my point... next to nothing.

    83. Re:Get off his nuts by Footsienabackyard · · Score: 1

      8) ...yea so...Pickens, did say, a reduction in LPG, would lower the cost of consumer gas... It's all supply and demand, here, is a bonafide way, unless you can depute TBP's assertion of ethyl prices coming down?

      --
      Don't you think...? Or don't you?
    84. Re:Get off his nuts by tweek · · Score: 1

      I didn't realize until recently, that CAFE standards were for the ENTIRE fleet of vehicles sold by a manufacturer. That blew my mind.

      It's really just an example of how useless government is in most situations.

      --
      "Fighting the underpants gnomes since 1998!" "Bruce Schneier knows the state of schroedinger's cat"
    85. Re:Get off his nuts by tweek · · Score: 1

      Well I think it's a bit extreme to suggest that I want more casualties in Iraq or some sort of pandemic.

      Yes, it would hurt the "poor" most but I don't play class warfare and I don't really give a damn about who's going to be impacted because in the end we all will be if something isn't done.

      The poor (whatever way we deign to define that term), always have it rough and always will. Being poor is expensive.

      --
      "Fighting the underpants gnomes since 1998!" "Bruce Schneier knows the state of schroedinger's cat"
    86. Re:Get off his nuts by default+luser · · Score: 1

      Basically, I can agree to lay off the streets if you acknowledge the usefulness of conscious (rather than habit or historically driven) urban planning.

      Oh, absolutely, the idea that you can plan a city around foot traffic has been popular for years. There are thinkers who believed you could prioritize foot traffic in a city design, but still leave room for the automobile. Lewis Mumford was actually working on the concept of the "garden city," which represented a more comfortable meshing of foot traffic with auto traffic.

      See Radburn, New Jersey for an example of Mumford's concepts of meshing the automobile with people.

      The only problem is, it's not so easy to implement correctly, because the concept has many flaws that must be dealt with. See Columbia, Maryland for an example of this social experiment gone-haywire: in the last 20 years, the city has expanded without much thought, and the car is now the only way to get around. The only people who use the network of sidewalks and bridges are joggers and people walking their dogs.

      --

      Man is the animal that laughs.
      And occasionally whores for Karma.

    87. Re:Get off his nuts by Foolicious · · Score: 1

      Your argument is on the basis that a change in lifestyle will most likely be a negative change. I think that part is wrong.

      So let's frame it using a specific example: air conditioning. How can I use less energy in regards to air conditioning (or I guess you could say keeping my house at a comfortable temperature)?

      I can update my house, right? Or I can adapt to new higher or lower temperatures. I'm frustrated with your response because I feel like you're doing the very thing that I'm complaining about. In short, I do indeed think that having to maintain the temperature of my house at a different temperature than I currently do is a negative lifestyle change. But no one takes me seriously and they just write me off as someone afraid of change. I'm not afraid of change at all. Big picture? I understand poor energy choices may have been made in the past, but I just don't like being too cold or hot (although cold is easier because I can put on a fleece or sweater). Do you see what I mean?

      --
      Please don't use "umm" or "err" or "erm".
    88. Re:Get off his nuts by Demarche · · Score: 1

      I don't agree with all your points, but I did want to compliment you on a civil discourse and a reasoned argument. Well done, sir.

      With respect to energy availability in the long-term:
      I'd argue that there is a very long way to go before we're constrained by theoretical energy limits and efficiency becomes the chief concern. See the Kardashev Scale.
      It's during the transitional periods when practical technology limits the ability to utilize theoretical energy sources that a focus on conservation becomes important. I believe that we currently find ourselves at the beginning of one of these transitional periods. Policy should keep a forward-looking mentality and treat conservation as simply an unfortunate necessity while the next abundant energy source is developed and brought to market.
      Lowering my quality of life due to a constrained energy supply is unacceptable. The focus should be on increasing the supply of energy in a responsible manner. Today "Responsible" means not causing irreparable damage to the environment.

      With respect to wastefulness as a fundamental problem:
      I don't agree that being wasteful is a fundamental problem. In many ways the ability of a person to be wasteful can be a direct indicator of his quality of life. In my mind, a person who lives well should be able to afford "wasting" energy on recreation. That's really the core of my philosophy: People should live better. That said, reckless wastefulness can say a lot about the quality of a person.

    89. Re:Get off his nuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only if you promise to remember that stop signs apply to you as well.

      What is that supposed to mean?

    90. Re:Get off his nuts by homer_s · · Score: 1

      If money leaving the country makes the country poorer, then money leaving my family should make my family poorer.

    91. Re:Get off his nuts by MikTheUser · · Score: 1

      There are no more communities. There are just places where people live. Most people are dirtbags.

      Take that attitude and get off my planet.

    92. Re:Get off his nuts by ElAurian · · Score: 1

      > And most (of the money from) food grown here goes > to migrant workers who send the money back home.

      BWAHAHAHAHAHAA! Yes, those evil rich fruit-picking Mexicans, holding US agrobusiness to ransom! Oh my GOD.

  3. Good to see by Slimee · · Score: 4, Informative

    Good to see someone up top speaking out for a change. I don't understand why more dont follow suit.... If you're a rich billionaire oil tycoon, you could invest in windpower and become a rich billionaire wind tycoon...There's no need to be so hell bent on oil

    1. Re:Good to see by runningduck · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The reason why the entrenched oil industry is uninterested in alternative energy is because with oil they control the supply chain. Many alternative forms of energy are difficult to control. Without this firm grip of control on the industry any investment will ultimately lead to a net loss for these powerful few and a chaotic reorganization for all others in the energy industry.

      --
      -rd
    2. Re:Good to see by Yold · · Score: 4, Insightful

      He is already a rich hedge-fund manager. He wants recognition for philanthropy, not money.

    3. Re:Good to see by Atzanteol · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Or maybe it's because until recently it hasn't been profitable? No. That can't be. You go with your "control" theory...

      --
      "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge"

      - Charles Darwin
    4. Re:Good to see by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The reason why the entrenched oil industry is uninterested in alternative energy is because with oil they control the supply chain. Many alternative forms of energy are difficult to control.

      That's the [theory|party line]. Reality however is quite different, as any effective form of alternate energy will have have to be deployed on a large scale rather than as individual installations. (Either local or personal.) Guess who has the capital to fund those large scale deployment?
       
      The simple fact is that until recently it simply wasn't profitable to operate those large installations.

    5. Re:Good to see by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Then why is he buying up water rights in North Texas, and then pumping the water elsewhere to be sold at a higher price? (Via a pipeline corridor obtained through some rather dubious means...) These windfarms, meant to built with other people's money, are merely sugar coating. I wonder how much he'll charge 'em to lease the land he controls that they'll require to move the power from those windfarms?

    6. Re:Good to see by mattwarden · · Score: 1

      No, sorry. He was right. Alt energy has a much lower barrier to entry, especially wind. Huge oil companies don't want to have to compete with ma and pa micro-cap companies. It eliminates profit margins, and that is why investing in wind is a loser in the long run (even if it becomes the #1 source of energy).

      Repeat to yourself: growth != profit.

    7. Re:Good to see by Eil · · Score: 1

      You want coal-fired electrical plants? No problem. We own the coal mines.
      You want hydro-electric power? No problem. We own the dams.
      You want nuclear power plants? No problem. We own the uranium mines.
      You want solar power? No prob Pause Solar power isnt feasible.

    8. Re:Good to see by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He wants recognition for philanthropy, not money.

      You obviously do not know this man. If he wanted to be know for philanthropy, he could have offered market value all the homes and farms he has used his connections in government to take by Eminent Domain.
      He has made no attempt to hide what his goal with this is. Wind energy is a growth market. Even at current natural gas and coal prices it has become profitable for large scale generators in this part of the country. By pushing Natural Gas (NG) on the automotive market he can make better use of his vast NG rights. (You really think he pushed for that law banning gasoline powered vehicles at ports out of concern for the environment?) He has publicly stated in many interviews that his goal is to double the cost of NG by the end of 2008 and to again double it by 2010. While I do not generally subscribe to the "evil rich" mantra, this is one guy that does not do anything unless he can profit on it.

  4. I saw that commercial too by Dunbal · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In 10 years we'll be broke if we continue that.

          There are some that would argue that the US is already broke. The creditors just hadn't started calling yet. But they are now. Take a look at the S&P 500 over the past couple months, then zoom out and compare it to 2001. Yes, friend, right here is the abyss. Not later - right now. 1250 is where it stopped a few months ago. 1250ish is where we are now. After that it's 800 and we're back to the low point of the dot-com crash, and after that there's only the floor. It goes all the way down.

          No, America doesn't have 10 years. Oil is going to break America long before that. Europeans are paying $9 US or more per gallon of gas and although they don't like it, they manage. What happens to the US economy when gas doubles again? You're having trouble at $4/gallon.

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    1. Re:I saw that commercial too by doC15+'-_-' · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Remember that many Europeans also have access to free healthcare and higher education. They also have much better public transportation systems in Europe, so they are not as dependable on gas as Americans. Also, cars in Europe are much smaller and much more fuel efficient than cars driven in America. Therefore, Americans are absolutely in trouble as the the gas prices keep rising.

    2. Re:I saw that commercial too by Dunbal · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Not only that, but America has been DESIGNED for the automobile. It's almost impossible to live in the US without a car - at least if you want any quality of life. The scale of the towns, the distances to supermarkets, restaurants, schools, workplaces boggle the mind. In Europe everything is fairly close unless you live way out in the country, public transport is, with few exceptions, excellent, etc. In the US you have to wait for buses that come every half hour instead of every 5 minutes, you have to walk 1km or so to the bus stop (unless you're lucky and live near a major route), and everything you need it at least 3 or 4 km away. It's amazing how you don't notice the distances in the US until you try to walk it.

      Yes it makes for nice, clean, tidy towns, with beautiful roads, ample living space, etc. But take away the automobiles and people are screwed.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    3. Re:I saw that commercial too by introspekt.i · · Score: 1

      OMG NOT $9/gallon!! If the gas prices double for the US, I don't think Europe will be sitting too pretty, either. Not like that will happen, anyway. Prices will recede before they get that high..market can't sustain the demand at such prices and you'll see oil taper off and level off somewhere in between...along with a stunted global economy..not just the United States. In the meantime, America and the rest of the world will come to terms with high prices and out of sheer media hysteria, it will come up with real solutions.

      Abyss...lol. Ok.

    4. Re:I saw that commercial too by Dunbal · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Prices will recede before they get that high..market can't sustain the demand at such prices and you'll see oil taper off and level off somewhere in between...

            I agree that increased price will, sooner or later, start to curb demand. However fuel is VERY inelastic. Yes people are starting to cut back on their "holiday driving". Yes eventually the Indian and Chinese consumer won't be able to afford to drive. However there is quite a large segment of fuel demand that is completely inelastic. The fuel needed to transport goods from A to B. The fuel needed to create electricity. The fuel needed to create fertilizers, plastics, etc. These are VERY VERY inelastic and the demand will only increase, until the last drop of fuel is gone. They are a function of population, not willful recreational activity that can be curbed.

            You see fuel prices leveling off. I agree. Where? $300 a barrel? $1500 a barrel? $60 a barrel? Whoever gets this right can become rich. Personally I think we have a long way to go yet. And economies that aren't based entirely on borrowing, credit and BS are going to fare much better than those that are. The US consumer has borrowed far too much, for too long. Soon we go back to only the rich being able to drive, and the poor being poor, and the middle class won't exist anymore. You see it otherwise, fair enough. Watch the stock market over the next few months.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    5. Re:I saw that commercial too by iminplaya · · Score: 1

      It goes all the way down...

      to the last turtle?

      --
      What?
    6. Re:I saw that commercial too by rcw-home · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Take a look at the S&P 500 over the past couple months, then zoom out and compare it to 2001. Yes, friend, right here is the abyss. Not later - right now. 1250 is where it stopped a few months ago. 1250ish is where we are now. After that it's 800 and we're back to the low point of the dot-com crash, and after that there's only the floor. It goes all the way down.

      Stocks are cyclical.

      1974 brought the S&P down to 1962 values - off 25% in less than a year too - and it was back up 25% in 18 months.

      The fun part is that at any point in time, no one really knows where the top and bottom of the market will actually be. Sure, you can cry wolf, and once in a while you might actually be right, but to come out ahead in such a situation you not only need to know that it's inevitable but know when. For example, many saw the dot-com bubble popping years before it did - but those who sold right then missed out on a lot of market gain.

      I think it's far more likely that our inability /unwillingness to pay off our national debt will cause further devaluation of the dollar (or increased inflation, however you want to look at it) over a long period of time - decades perhaps. I don't think anyone will call it hyperinflation, but it will be a period of relative economic stagnation. This devaluation will discourage foreign investors from using dollars or buying US bonds, which will eventually forcefully curb federal spending.

      It won't be a good time to sock away dollars under the bed, but it will be a good time to have a fixed-rate mortgage.

    7. Re:I saw that commercial too by Solandri · · Score: 5, Informative

      There are some that would argue that the US is already broke. The creditors just hadn't started calling yet. But they are now.

      As a percentage of GDP, the U.S. debt situation is about the same as Germany, France, and Canada, and is considerably better than Japan and Italy's. It's a common misconception that the U.S. is badly in debt. For some reason people keep looking at the raw dollar values. In raw dollars, the U.S. has huge economic figures because its population is significantly larger than all the other G8 nations, and its per worker productivity is the highest in the world. Once you account for this (by dividing by GDP), its debt load is pretty much in the middle of the other G8 nations.

      Take a look at the S&P 500 over the past couple months, then zoom out and compare it to 2001. Yes, friend, right here is the abyss. Not later - right now.

      While you're doing that, you might want to look at the FTSE 100 (UK), the DAX (Germany), and the CAC 40 (France). They all do pretty much the same thing as the S&P 500.

    8. Re:I saw that commercial too by nmb3000 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Europeans are paying $9 US or more per gallon of gas and although they don't like it, they manage. What happens to the US economy when gas doubles again? You're having trouble at $4/gallon.

      This is such a popular thing to throw around, especially when US gas prices rise, but it's a completely bogus argument.

      The only reason Europeans pay $9 a gallon of gas because their government taxes it to that point [1]. In the UK, there is a road duty tax of almost GBP£ 2 on each US gallon. Additionally there is a VAT tax of about GBP£ 1.2 for each US gallon. That works out to be around a $6 USD tax on every gallon of gas sold in the UK. Percentage wise, this tax is greater than 100%.

      $9 - $6 = around $3/gallon. Europeans pay so much because they allow their government to financially restrict fuel consumption. This might work in most Europe, but as others have pointed out, it's not feasible in significant parts of the US. If you're tired of paying this ridiculous tax, do something about it, or don't. In either case, stop playing the martyr; it's getting old.

      [1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fuel_tax#United_Kingdom

      --
      "What do you despise? By this are you truly known." --Princess Irulan, Manual of Muad'Dib
      /)
    9. Re:I saw that commercial too by gregbot9000 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      what happens when Oil hits $8 a gallon? Well judging from history: all emission restrictions that limit efficiency are scraped, all regulation on drilling is scraped, NIMBY protests on new refinery's are ignored, and at that price it becomes profitable to pump oil from nearly any hole and every available drop in the world will have a well. Probably leading to a massive glut in the market leading prices to drop(again) and once more the giant cars start rolling out. Of course it won't reach that price, not just because of the supply increasing reasons I mentioned, but the serious reduction in demand that would follow.

      BTW I doubt America will "go broke" since there is so much fat out there, but they probably will have to tighten the purse strings for a few years.

    10. Re:I saw that commercial too by Yold · · Score: 1

      Even the Oracle himself said you can't expect a 10% return on the S&P anymore... No one knows "at any point in time", but last summer, I'd say it was in oil futures. Ahhh... I remember wonderfully when I first heard "sub-prime lending", my fund plummeted, and I decided to bail and get a motorcycle. If only I had about a billion in investment capital instead of a couple thousand, then I'm sure my finance minions would have diversified me into some futures, and with even my grandma saying last winter "Gas prices are going to hit $4 a gallon this summer", I'd start pumping in even more money.

      What people don't really want to hear right now, is that the gas prices aren't really due to a REAL shortage. Speculation and inflation are the real reason.

       

    11. Re:I saw that commercial too by Duncan+Blackthorne · · Score: 1

      As is, China could bring the U.S. to it's knees financially just by cashing in all the bonds it bought; not exporting goods to us and kicking out U.S. businesses that outsourced their labor to China could do almost that, or serve as a finishing stroke.

    12. Re:I saw that commercial too by besalope · · Score: 1

      While Japan's Debt to GDP ratio is a little off, they also have roughly $9 trillion dollars in private citizens savings. Their situation is far better than your calculation suggests.

    13. Re:I saw that commercial too by DigiShaman · · Score: 1, Interesting

      But take away the automobiles and people are screwed.

      Yes and no.

      I personally know of a few people who purchased Mopeds and Hogs. When push comes to shove, Americans will seek alternative transporation that matches the freedom of a car. But to hell with walking and riding a bike. You only do that shit for recreation in this country...or you're piss poor.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    14. Re:I saw that commercial too by mixmatch · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So get a motorcycle or scooter. Just because you it's too far to walk does not mean that you have to drive a 4-6 passenger vehicle everywhere you go.

    15. Re:I saw that commercial too by afidel · · Score: 1

      $9T is NOTHING compared to the looming problem they have coming with their aging population. It's about 2 years of GDP, unless they find a way to relax their xenophobic ways and allow in a young foreign workforce they have real problems coming. That's why I laugh every time I hear people yell about the illegals, it's the illegals that will save the boomers. Without the immigrants there wouldn't be nearly enough people to fill all the unskilled labor positions that will be needed to take care of the boomers as they age.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    16. Re:I saw that commercial too by Malc · · Score: 1

      Have you been to Europe? The bus from my parent's town in UK to Oxford runs once an hour and takes 90 minutes to go 20 miles. That's pretty good service, but hardly ideal. The roads are approaching grid lock in parts of England because so many people are getting cars just because life isn't that convenient without them. What the UK has been designed for is walking to the pub. At least that way though people can drink and forget about the cost of petrol (and cars, and houses, and public transport, and just about everything else in life that costs a bomb, except for the beer).

    17. Re:I saw that commercial too by Asphyxium001 · · Score: 1

      You don't need gasoline to power vehicles, Dunbal. Hydrogen fuel cell cars are already here and functional. We need to switch over to those completely.

    18. Re:I saw that commercial too by Pizaz · · Score: 1

      it's two years of GDP but you make it sound like their GDP will drop to 0 and thus their savings will last them just 2 years. Maybe that's not what you intended to imply but that's how it comes across.
      -
      9T in private citizens savings is HUGE no matter how you look at it.
      -
      "Boston University economist Lawrence Kotlikoff, for example, has argued that a relatively low rate of U.S. saving is ominous because: (1) it implies that Americans will have less wealth and income per person than the Japanese and Western' Europeans who record a savings rate from one-third to one-half higher than our own; (2) less wealth accumulation by Americans entails less control of the world's wealth by Americans, including wealth invested in the United States; and (3) the potential demands of the next generation of retirees on the next generation of workers. "

    19. Re:I saw that commercial too by TheSync · · Score: 1

      Remember that many Europeans also have access to free healthcare and higher education.

      Europeans don't have free healthcare, they are well taxed for their socialized healthcare, even if per capita they end up paying slightly less for it, and that is mainly because doctors are paid less there than in the US.

      It is also good to note that 583,000 international students took classes at US colleges last year.

    20. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are some that would argue that the US is already broke. The creditors just hadn't started calling yet. But they are now.

      As a percentage of GDP, the U.S. debt situation is about the same as Germany, France, and Canada, and is considerably better than Japan and Italy's. It's a common misconception that the U.S. is badly in debt. For some reason people keep looking at the raw dollar values. In raw dollars, the U.S. has huge economic figures because its population is significantly larger than all the other G8 nations, and its per worker productivity is the highest in the world. Once you account for this (by dividing by GDP), its debt load is pretty much in the middle of the other G8 nations.

      The concern about US dept is not the total current debt, but the rate of increase as a portion of GDP. It has been rising swiftly for a time now, and if it keeps doing so it will become a significant problem.

      Debt is only a concern when there is no clear plan in place to handle it. Right now, the US has no plan, so the debt is a concern.

    21. Re:I saw that commercial too by Siener · · Score: 2, Interesting

      As a percentage of GDP, the U.S. debt situation is about the same as Germany, France, and Canada, and is considerably better than Japan and Italy's. It's a common misconception that the U.S. is badly in debt.

      I've heard this argument many times and I think there are some serious problems with it. You are basically saying, it's OK for debt to grow as long as the GDP is growing faster.

      But you have to ask yourself, now much of that GDP growth is due to real long term sustainable industries and how much of it is just because of the regular cash injections from borrowing more money.

      It's like someone who's not worried about credit card debt because he knows he can get a new card to pay off the previous one next month. This works great until no-one wants to lend you more money.

      There are also longer term problems that are slowly sneaking up and for which there are no contingency plans - like the trillions of dollars the social security fund is going to be short by in ten year's time.

      The political parties don't want to touch it because every possible solution will be unpopular which is bad if you want to get re-elected

    22. Re:I saw that commercial too by nospam007 · · Score: 1

      >Europeans don't have free healthcare, they are well taxed for their socialized healthcare, even if per capita they end up paying >slightly less for it, and that is mainly because doctors are paid less there than in the US.

      Doctors don't have to pay exorbitant malpractice insurances in Europe and they are rarely sued and even if they are, they don't have to pay millions for a broken fingernail, so they need much less.
      Ditto for hospitals.

    23. Re:I saw that commercial too by imipak · · Score: 1

      The word you're looking for is stagflation.

    24. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anspen · · Score: 1

      As a percentage of GDP, the U.S. debt situation is about the same as Germany, France, and Canada, and is considerably better than Japan and Italy's. It's a common misconception that the U.S. is badly in debt. For some reason people keep looking at the raw dollar values. In raw dollars, the U.S. has huge economic figures because its population is significantly larger than all the other G8 nations, and its per worker productivity is the highest in the world. Once you account for this (by dividing by GDP), its debt load is pretty much in the middle of the other G8 nations.

      True, however a significant difference is that far more of US debt (especially government debt) is held overseas. It's even still increasing, which finances the trade deficit. If/when more countries move away from a pure dollar peg that will hurt the US economy significantly.

      Also I believe that the figure is for federal debt, and even if it is not, federal debt makes up a large part of the debt. That makes the debt comparatively higher (the federal budget is only ~20-22% of GDP, while spending in other countries goes up to 50%). And of course public debt is only part of the story. Private debt is higher as well, which makes the comparison with Japan a lot less true.

      No the US isn't about to crash into the economic abyss (well it's unlikely, if not impossible) but it has been living beyond it means and will have cut back some.

    25. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oil is going to break America long before that. Europeans are paying $9 US or more per gallon of gas and although they don't like it, they manage. What happens to the US economy when gas doubles again? You're having trouble at $4/gallon.

      Europeans were paying $6 - 7/gallon before. In terms of sheer percentile increase, the US has "managed" a FAR larger increase. Yes, it's hurting, but we're managing. And if you haven't noticed yet, we're still managing to shop for flat-screen TVs, iPods, and fishing gear on the way to our vacation spot in our 25' boat being hauled 800 miles by our 6L V8 truck/SUV. Yes, I'd say we're "managing". Call me when the single-passenger traffic jam is extinct.

    26. Re:I saw that commercial too by khallow · · Score: 1

      There are also longer term problems that are slowly sneaking up and for which there are no contingency plans - like the trillions of dollars the social security fund is going to be short by in ten year's time.

      There's no plan, but here's what's going to happen with Social Security: 1) Pay less benefits, 2) Import more social security paying immigrants.

    27. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anspen · · Score: 1

      I've heard this argument many times and I think there are some serious problems with it. You are basically saying, it's OK for debt to grow as long as the GDP is growing faster. [..]

      It's like someone who's not worried about credit card debt because he knows he can get a new card to pay off the previous one next month. This works great until no-one wants to lend you more money.

      That's not quite what it is like. It's more like someone not worrying about increasing their debt as long as they get a comparable raise. Which is actually sort of reasonable if you know can't lose your job. Of course it makes sense not to borrow the maximum, since that will get you into trouble if you get a pay cut which is real the problem with government debt: not deficit but the total debt level.

      There are also longer term problems that are slowly sneaking up and for which there are no contingency plans - like the trillions of dollars the social security fund is going to be short by in ten year's time.

      Repeat after me: there is no current serious social security problem. The issue was mostly solved by setting up the trust fund. As long as the US economy grows at an even half decent clip it will be solvent until after most of the baby boomers are dead.

      That doesn't mean a problem couldn't arise (if the economy tanks for a full decade or baby boomers collectively live ten years longer than the current norm) but that problem could be handled.

    28. Re:I saw that commercial too by HungryHobo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      and there are so many American students at my European Uni that they have a fairly big society. It's a running joke now that Americans come over for 6 months to life. Yes some of the best colleges in the world are in America like MIT but America most certainly does not have a monopoly on good 3rd level education. I like socialized healthcare simply because while the free market model works grand for playstations (You have little money, you want a playstation, so you work hard to make money, you buy one) it works less well for medical care (You have little money, you get sick, you're too sick to work, you die). And when someone dies for no good reason the society loses all that investment in educating and raising and training that person to that point.

    29. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anspen · · Score: 1

      Europeans pay so much because they allow their government to financially restrict fuel consumption. This might work in most Europe, but as others have pointed out, it's not feasible in significant parts of the US. If you're tired of paying this ridiculous tax, do something about it, or don't. In either case, stop playing the martyr; it's getting old.

      The point was that Europeans have been living with much higher gas prices for decades and are doing fine. Because the petrol taxes where raised slowly they've adapted. It would have been just as feasible in the US (though I think the increases would have to have been much smaller) which would have made the current situation much lass problematic.

      (and $9 petrol is $9 petrol, it still gives you the right to complain, especially when its usefullness is finally shown).

    30. Re:I saw that commercial too by tgd · · Score: 1

      They manage because they are paid a lot more than you for the work you do.

      $4-$5 here hurts us more than $8-$9 a gallon there hurts them because our currency is in the toilet. We effectively, when adjusted for differences in buying power, pay a lot more for most goods than people in the EU.

      Why do you think the US is the new hot travel destination? For someone in the UK or the EU, its like an American visiting Mexico ten years ago. Everything is dirt cheap, so its the place to go to buy stuff, vacation, etc.

      Oil won't break America, but the plummeting dollar will make the American way of life fall back in line with the rest of the world.

    31. Re:I saw that commercial too by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      Where in europe do you mean? Some countries are better than others on this.

    32. Re:I saw that commercial too by a_real_bast... · · Score: 1

      He said "with exceptions." (",
      Have you ever used public transport on the Continent? It's almost always brilliant.
      Though some places in the UK have great public transport. Others... not so much.

      --
      You're making me think. You won't like me when I'm thinking.
    33. Re:I saw that commercial too by Socguy · · Score: 1

      Overall I agree, but a couple other points to toss in the mix. First demand globally is really growing. The US consumer could conceivably cut way back on oil consumption and still see demand outstrip supply and watch as the prices still spike. Just think 2 billion Chinese and Indians suddenly start driving Nano's. Individually they may only spend a dollar or two on fuel per day, but collectively this demand puts a strain on already tight supplies. Which brings me to my second point, which is that despite billions in exploration we haven't been able to push supply higher than 2005 levels. Since it is unlikely that we will be able to find a source (in the ground) that will both offset declining current production and dramatically push global supplies up, we should expect to see oil prices follow a slow jagged line skyward.

    34. Re:I saw that commercial too by Beyond_GoodandEvil · · Score: 1

      9T in private citizens savings is HUGE no matter how you look at it.
      Now is that in real yen(or other currency)? Or is that in the value of Japanese real-estate held by the private citizens(b/c the Japanese have had some crazy ideas about how much money their little islands are worth)?

      --
      I laughed at the weak who considered themselves good because they lacked claws.
    35. Re:I saw that commercial too by a_real_bast... · · Score: 1

      Where would you get the hydrogen? Electrolysis isn't exactly highly efficient, and if you're going to do
      electricity -> hydrogen -> electricity -> wheels of the bus go round and round,
      there's a step in there that could be eliminated... I know, I know, it's quite a lot quicker to fill a tank of hydrogen than it is to recharge a battery. But hydrogen is no magic bullet.

      --
      You're making me think. You won't like me when I'm thinking.
    36. Re:I saw that commercial too by Atzanteol · · Score: 2, Funny

      Not only that, but America has been DESIGNED for the automobile.

      Wasn't it John Adams who used to cruise around Boston in his Ford F-150?

      --
      "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge"

      - Charles Darwin
    37. Re:I saw that commercial too by maxume · · Score: 1

      I'll bet you a nickel that the S&P 500 is up in 18 months.

      Despite the ongoing economic woes, the earnings power of the companies in the S&P has not eroded to the extent you are implying. Part of the reason for this is that many of them do business in Europe.

      Also, stick this into your theory: People have changed their behavior at $4 gas. They apparently can't afford $8 gas, so the market will not be able to sustain $8 prices.

      Finally China and India are engaged in unwinding fuel subsidies (the governments do not wish to afford the current rate of consumption increases). We could see significant price relief by the end of August.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    38. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS FREE HEALTHCARE or EDUCATION!!!!!!

      Somebody has to pay for it. The Europeans pay higher taxes to cover it.

    39. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not that bad Dunbai...

      Most of the money we "owe" is in the form of bond payments. The worst case scenario that we're looking at is high-inflation while we print money to pay back to the bond holders.

      High-inflation is good in some respects. It devalues the dollar against competing monies and make the US industrial sector attractive to foreign companies; as it suddenly costs much less to manufacture here than in their countries. (Additionally, with oil and transport costs so high, it's a further incentive for these companies to build plants here- because it costs even more to build elsewhere and then ship the final product here.)

      If we took LOANS from foreign banks, it might be worse- but the bond payments pay out over a period of years, so the debt collectors can't come trying to recollect all the debt at once.

      Further... the government has needed to issue bonds to sell because they can't control their spending. With out bonds in the toilet, our government is forced to keep spending in check- which means near-future presidents will be Forced to keep a balanced budget...

      Your worst-case-scenario Panicking is strange and unfortunate. It implies you actually know very little about business or economics.

    40. Re:I saw that commercial too by stdarg · · Score: 1

      Consumer Reports did a study last year and iirc malpractice insurance and court costs amounted to around 2% of healthcare costs -- negligible compared to hospital admin and doctor salaries, which were closer to 30%. I can't find the article now (I'm not a subscriber) but it's worth looking for.

      They covered all the usual suspects -- insurance company overhead, non-electronic medical records, prescription drug costs, student loan costs... none of those are as big as the media makes them sound.

    41. Re:I saw that commercial too by b0bby · · Score: 1

      Do you know what Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is? Norway & Luxembourg are the only countries in Europe with a higher PPP than the US.

      $4-$5 here hurts us more than $8-$9 a gallon there hurts them because our currency is in the toilet. We effectively, when adjusted for differences in buying power, pay a lot more for most goods than people in the EU.

      No, $4 hurts more here because going from $2 to $4 in a couple of years is a doubling of costs; going from $7 to $9 is a much lower percent increase. Since European gas taxes have been so high for so long, their market has adjusted (more efficient, smaller cars; more public transport). In the US we pay a lot less for most goods than people in the EU; that's why you can easily get a Wii in the UK, and why Europeans like to load up on cameras, laptops, ipods etc when they come here.

    42. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The US is in terrible debt, but budget figures don't show it. Social Security and Medicare are huge debts that could sink the country. We have been spending all of the surpluses for both trusts, and there isn't enough money to solve the problem. The numbers are astronomical. To maintain funding (i.e. not a permanent solution) until 2075, every person in the US (man, woman, child) would have to pay $300,000 in taxes, immediately. Furthermore, every household would have to pay an additional $450,000.
      The US has a liability (technically not a debt, but an obligation to pay, so basically a debt) from these two programs of $41T (thats trillion) in the next 30 years. That is 18.5 times the annual budget and 1.5 times the GDP.

      This is all from a fairly qualified man, David Walker (former comptroller general for the US and head of the GAO). http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS2fI2p9iVs

    43. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "As a percentage of GDP, the U.S. debt situation [nationmaster.com] is about the same as Germany, France, and Canada"

      You're right. But the debt isn't as much an indication of the real problem as the deficit -- i.e. you guys are still adding to it in a big way, whereas a country like Canada is currently running a surplus, and paying down their debt (largely due to oil prices). True, maybe you aren't digging a hole quickly enough to be worried, but you are digging, and with U.S. oil imports at well over half of consumption, amounting to ~20 million barrels a day on average (it seasonally varies), that's a big chunk of change that is expected to grow.

      To put it in financial perspective, just multiply. Pickens says $700 billion a year. At about 20 million barrels a day he's apparently assuming ~$100 USD/barrel prices, which is a reasonably conservative estimate. But if the current ~$140 USD/barrel is sustained for a year, it's more like an even trillion per year, and what if prices go higher than that?

      No, it's a huge money sink. A country like Canada doesn't have the same problem because it's a net exporter of oil (mostly to the U.S.), and the other countries mentioned aren't as extravagantly addicted to the stuff on a per capita basis or in total consumption as the U.S. is. Yes, as importers they hurt when the prices go up too, but not proportional to the way the U.S. economy hurts because these other countries are more efficient.

      The U.S. does have a serious problem and has had one ever since the 1970s when domestic production went into decline. It's just been masked by low oil prices for the last couple of decades. Everybody knew the problem would continue to grow, like a drug addict that needs a bigger hit every day, yet they did effectively nothing until recently, and were practically binging on the stuff (e.g., SUVs) before the prices started to climb. The reality is: you guys need to go into a rehab program, and fast, or the economy is going to be seriously hurt. At which point the normal GDP:debt ratio comparison, which is fine for now, isn't going to look as adequate. Yes, you aren't looking on the edge of the precipice yet, but if you don't get energy consumption and imports of it under control, things are going to get really bad.

      To put it in perspective, if you go from $40 USD/barrel to $140 USD/barrel at ~20 million barrels of oil imported per day, you go from imported oil costs of around $800 million per day to about $2.8 billion per day. It's hard to wrap your head around these numbers until you cast it into something more tangible. According to the Washington Post in 2007, the Iraq war was estimated to cost about $720 million per day. So, even the *growth* in oil import costs in the last few years is greater than the cost of the Iraq war.

    44. Re:I saw that commercial too by adsl · · Score: 1

      Oil is NOT going to break America. Instead the high price is going to invigorate America to replace foreign oil. That's something which Europe cannot do. American has abundant oil offshore and the Federal Gvt wants more drilling, but iniviual States oppose it. This can change quickly and oil companies need to be pushed to drill in these areas. Then there's shale oil. The Federal Gvt owns most of the land, purchased in the 1920s, in Colorado and Utah etc. Colorado has more oil than Saudi Arabia! It's just more complicated and more expensive to turn into barrels of oil. More money spent on developing the technology would eventually have a huge pay back. Then there is solar energy and much of the USA has abundant sunshine (far more than Europe) this can and will be used increasingly. Then there's the wind power TBoone is talking about. Yup America has abundant wind! After this we mush look at water. America has a good supply compared to other parts of the world i.e. Europe, China etc. Talking of China they have a poor supplt of water, sun, oil etc. So their energy requirements for sure outstip their internal ability supply and they import food stuffs! Oh yes America is the world's largest food exporter, did I mention that? So don't wrtie-off America because today it imports so much enegery in the form of foreign oil. That CAN and probably will change over the enxt 10 years, while that change cannot take place in either Europe or China as they don't have the natural resources of the USA. These changes in supply in America weill likely happen because of innovative people like TBoonePickens and NOT because a politician(s) causes it to happen LOL! The Politicians just needs to stay out of the way.

    45. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In 10 years we'll be broke if we continue that.

            There are some that would argue that the US is already broke. The creditors just hadn't started calling yet. But they are now. Take a look at the S&P 500 over the past couple months, then zoom out and compare it to 2001. Yes, friend, right here is the abyss. Not later - right now. 1250 is where it stopped a few months ago. 1250ish is where we are now. After that it's 800 and we're back to the low point of the dot-com crash, and after that there's only the floor. It goes all the way down.

            No, America doesn't have 10 years. Oil is going to break America long before that. Europeans are paying $9 US or more per gallon of gas and although they don't like it, they manage. What happens to the US economy when gas doubles again? You're having trouble at $4/gallon.

      I'm not a maths major or a stats major but, I think the thing about comparing two stochastic time series, like the s&p 500 over the past few months vs the s&p 500 during 2001, is that you will always be able to find the graphical relationship you describe in your post.

      in other words, past "tops" and "bottoms" have little to zero predictive value.

    46. Re:I saw that commercial too by darkstar949 · · Score: 1

      I disagree - the extent of walking and biking depends upon the part of the country you are in. For example, in Boston, MA there are a lot of people who will walk or bike where they need to go and it is due to the fact that it is a more convenient way to get around in the city than a car is. Plus, Boston is also a very pedestrian friendly city with the subway stops being (mostly) logically paced within a short walk of most places that you want to get to.

    47. Re:I saw that commercial too by lostokie · · Score: 1

      If you start with $.05/Kwh electricity it is. Let's say that each step is 50% efficient (pretty fair in the near future as current round trip efficiencies are 30-50%). So for every $.05/Kwh we start with, we end up with $.20/Kwh's to the wheels. To fill up the Tesla roadster would cost you $10 to go 220 miles, or $1 to go 22 miles in a sports car.

      I realize the Tesla roadster is all electric, but these are back of envelope numbers to make the point that electric->hydrogen->electric is perfectly feasible if we had a huge source of cheap electricity that was environmentally sound. Like say, wind power. As an aside, wind is perfect for filling up hydrogen cars as your neighborhood hydrogen station only refills its tanks when electricity is cheap/the wind is blowing

    48. Re:I saw that commercial too by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      A good portion of this country spends several months enjoying this thing called "winter". Enjoying, that is, if they're not driving a motorcycle or scooter.

      Now, you might say, "get one for the summer". But I've done the math - a small compact with snow tires would make such a purchase (for me at least) an 8-10 year payoff. Over 8 years, I carry enough passengers, cargo, garbage, and beer in the summer to justify not buying a motorcycle. Even the super-cheap new Ninja, which retails at like $3,500.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    49. Re:I saw that commercial too by russotto · · Score: 1

      There's no plan, but here's what's going to happen with Social Security: 1) Pay less benefits, 2) Import more social security paying immigrants.

      No need for import. Just annex Mexico. As a bonus, this will make many more people available to pick Puerto Rican coffee, which we desparately need more of.

    50. Re:I saw that commercial too by russotto · · Score: 1

      As is, China could bring the U.S. to it's knees financially just by cashing in all the bonds it bought; not exporting goods to us and kicking out U.S. businesses that outsourced their labor to China could do almost that, or serve as a finishing stroke.

      You can't cash a bond before its maturity date, so that first scenario isn't exactly possible. As for the second part, that would damage the US economy severely, but destroy the Chinese one.

    51. Re:I saw that commercial too by 99BottlesOfBeerInMyF · · Score: 1

      There is no such thing as free healthcare or education!!!!!!

      True.

      Somebody has to pay for it. The Europeans pay higher taxes to cover it.

      This is misleading in many ways. First, they pay a lot less for their healthcare because they bargain en masse and there is no gouging to take advantage of desperate people. So while they do pay, they pay less with arguably better results. Second, the average person in Europe who has socialized healthcare does not pay more in taxes to cover it because for the most part their taxes progressively tax the wealthy. The US is just as socialist as most of Europe, we just spend the money on the military instead of healthcare and take more of the money from the poor instead of the ultra rich.

    52. Re:I saw that commercial too by westlake · · Score: 1
      Not only that, but America has been DESIGNED for the automobile.

      Suburburban development in the U.S. doesn't begin with the automobile, it begins with the ferry, the horse-drawn streetcar and the railroad.

      Brooklyn has a middle income commuter population in 1850. The streetcar [1880-1930] defined - or created - the suburban landscape the automobile requires:

      Automobiles were invented around the ame time as trolleys, but had much less immediate impact on urban development in the early years of the 20th century. They were expensive, hard to store, and poorly accommodated in urban places. Yet the streetcars began to loosen up the American metropolis so effectively that cars began to find navigating suburbs easier with each passing year. The first commercial districts to begin building parking lots were the trolley-based taxpayer strips. By the 1920s, the west side of Los Angeles began to develop fully auto-based shopping. The Six Suburban Eras of the United States {2006] {PDF]

      Yes it makes for nice, clean, tidy towns, with beautiful roads, ample living space, etc. But take away the automobiles and people are screwed.

      You have it backwards.

      The "picturesque suburb" begins with Frederick Law Olmsted in 1857.

      The move to the suburbs becomes the defining ambition of the American middle class while Henry Ford is still peddling a tricycle.

    53. Re:I saw that commercial too by Duncan+Blackthorne · · Score: 1

      Fair enough. but you have to admit, it's rather horrifying that they were even sold the bonds in the first place.

    54. Re:I saw that commercial too by Facetious · · Score: 1

      It's a common misconception that the U.S. is badly in debt.

      I agree with your post except for that sentence for the following reasons:

      • Passengers on the Titanic would have been mistaken to say their situation wasn't bad because others around them were the same as them or worse off.
      • The baby boom generation is retiring, leaving a greater tax load on the relatively small generation X. As a large voting block the boomers will vote themselves more entitlements. Were our debt not so severe we could handle it. (Japan already experienced this, and this is a major explanatory principle of their decade plus of economic stalemate.)
      • Debt alone isn't a big deal, but we add to ours every year at a faster rate than GDP grows.
      --
      Let us not become the evil that we deplore.
    55. Re:I saw that commercial too by Big+Boss · · Score: 1

      It's not the illegals we need. They don't pay taxes, by and large (I know *1* who did, via a business tax number).

      What we need is to loosen up a little on legal immigration. Or just accept it and take over Mexico. They are already acting like the 51st state with the entitlement complex they seem to have. May as well let them in. They will fit right in with what seems to be 90% of Americans anymore. *sigh*

    56. Re:I saw that commercial too by rujholla · · Score: 1

      The issue was mostly solved by setting up the trust fund.

      Are you sure? I thought that the trust fund was largely a book fiction that has been borrowed against to fund other parts of government.

    57. Re:I saw that commercial too by ChrisA90278 · · Score: 1

      Even at $5/galon gas is not really expensive. The cost of driving your car is the sum of the (1) price of the car, (2) insurance, (3) taxes, (4) maintance and (4) fuel. For most peole I know #1 is by far the largest factor. People use something lke 600 galons of gas a year. That's only $3,000. compared to the price of a car $3K is not much.

    58. Re:I saw that commercial too by rujholla · · Score: 1

      But allowing illegals in isn't the answer. Please get rid of the illegals but open wide and simplify the process for legal immigration. Illegals are basically the new generation of slaves, they are treated like dirt, and usually paid less than minimum wage.

    59. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      excuse me, but walking 1km to a bus stop isn't shit. I live in an area of canada with EXCELLENT public transportation and 1km is still quite convenient. How about you get outside for a change, a 10min walk is pretty nice & refreshing.

      also good luck finding a commercial development in general american suburbia within 3-4km of neighborhoods, 3-4mi perhaps...but now you're talkin 5-6.5mi, almost twice as far as what you say. Mixed zoning is the way to prevent this from happening, but the USA is pretty solid with their isolated zoning restrictions in most places.

    60. Re:I saw that commercial too by Doctor+Faustus · · Score: 1

      However there is quite a large segment of fuel demand that is completely inelastic. The fuel needed to transport goods from A to B.
      Trains.

      The fuel needed to create electricity.
      That's a different fuel. That's what I don't quite get about Pickens' proposal: electricity is not generated with foreign fuels, for the most part. Granted, it would be nice to start using electric cars and electric heat without burning more coal.

    61. Re:I saw that commercial too by DriedClexler · · Score: 1

      As a percentage of GDP, the U.S. debt situation is about the same as ...

      And does that debt count unfunded entitlement obligations, like Medicare and Social Security, which are functionally the same as debt? NO? Well, then it's not so rosy, is it? Read is the US bankrupt? for a more sobering look.

      --
      Information theory is life. The rest is just the KL divergence.
    62. Re:I saw that commercial too by gregbot9000 · · Score: 1

      Wait you mean the world isn't ending? damn.

      Thanks for that post, it's nice to see some optimism for once.

    63. Re:I saw that commercial too by khallow · · Score: 1

      I suppose we could also feed the old people to glue factories and use magic pixie dust to fix our debt problems.

    64. Re:I saw that commercial too by Solandri · · Score: 1

      True, however a significant difference is that far more of US debt (especially government debt) is held overseas. It's even still increasing, which finances the trade deficit. If/when more countries move away from a pure dollar peg that will hurt the US economy significantly.

      If you're worried about debt owed to foreigners (again, in proportion to GDP), the U.S. is doing much better than pretty much all of Europe. The U.S. would need less than a year's worth of GDP to pay off all its foreign debt. Most of Europe would need 1.5 to 4 years.

      I would argue it's kind of a meaningless statistic since it makes a xenophobic country with no foreign contact at all look peachy, while a country with lots of rich and beneficial foreign trade looks bad (prolly the reason why EU nations have so much "foreign" debt). But for some reason people keep pointing to it as Yet Another Reason the U.S. is supposedly going down the toilet. If you look at the amount of foreign trade each country does (normalized to the size of their economy), the U.S. is way down near the bottom. In other words, the U.S. economy is one of the least dependent on foreign trade in the world. That its trade deficit reaches dollar figures which would bankrupt most nations despite this is a testament to how big the U.S. economy is, not how weak it is.

    65. Re:I saw that commercial too by aragon64 · · Score: 1

      There are some that would argue that the US is already broke. The creditors just hadn't started calling yet...

      US National Debt is $9.5 Trillion. http://www.brillig.com/debt_clock/ I have a real hard time seeing how US can ever recover from being so far in the hole.

    66. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While we do have a nice highway system, usually the main arteries are only nice for a few years after they are built. After that, they get clogged full of oversized shopping centers that for some reason need 2 and 3 traffic lights of their own every 50-100 meters or so. After a while, the bypass that was ment to get around all the traffic in the downtown area, goes from a smooth 90kph commute to a 40kph stop and go nightmare. Pretty soon, the locality needs a bypass for the bypass. And the suburbs around major metropolitan areas, the space needed for these ad-nausium bypasses eventually runs out. This is often in thanks to the aformentioned sprawling commercial complexes and the residential developments structured explicitly to make it a pain in the ass for anything other than moter vehicle traffic going to or from that development to get though.

      In a residential area, walking to the store or bus stop a half a kilometer away, may take something like 5 times that if you can't cut through someone else's property. /Rant

    67. Re:I saw that commercial too by kesuki · · Score: 1

      eh, with American high cholesterol levels (recommending statins for 8 year olds!!!!) i think bicycles would be a better recommendation. not only will you lower your HDL cholesterol by biking, but you're switching to a mostly green energy source, YOUR BODY. someone will probably counter that humans produce methane, a green house gas, but that gas is produced regardless of if you bike or drive a SUV. yeah yeah, need more bike lanes, more bike racks, more public showers/dressing rooms... it's still green, and GOOD FOR YOUR Cardiovascular system.

      i am able to push a mountain bike to 20 MPH on flat ground after just one month of training (you can use stationary bikes if unwilling to bike in winter months) there are plenty of countries where bicycles are considered viable transit alternatives. and even in the US there are cities like portland. so, um yeah, kill that fossil fuel addiction and get your cholesterol levels down, without taking statins. 2 birds 1 stone.

    68. Re:I saw that commercial too by kesuki · · Score: 1

      "You see fuel prices leveling off. I agree. Where? $300 a barrel? $1500 a barrel?"

      i predict the price of fuel will drop drastically, when we start slaughtering worthless third world country human beings into 'soylent green' biodiesel.

      you might say 'never' but the world population is expected to hit 10 billion in 100 years from now. at some point, it becomes very attractive to just kill people and turn around the human population growth curve to 'fix everything' to the people who say 'never' consider again the holocaust, where Germans created forced labor and death camps, it becomes very easy in certain political environments to condone ethnic cleansing , or slavery, or wholesale slaughter of human beings into biofuels.

      after-all what greener energy source is there than 'undesirable' human beings.

    69. Re:I saw that commercial too by kesuki · · Score: 1

      "$9T is NOTHING compared to the looming problem they have coming with their aging population."

      Come on it's Japan, of course they'll build robots to replace their aging population in the workforce!

    70. Re:I saw that commercial too by a_real_bast... · · Score: 1

      It's more efficient to use spare wind cycles to fill gravity storage than to make hydrogen, allowing for buffering against calms (there are also plans to use the batteries of electric cars as buffers, too). The only current advantage hydrogen has is the aforementioned more-easily-pumped nature of the beast. Unless you know something I don't. Which is more likely than not. Am I missing something?

      --
      You're making me think. You won't like me when I'm thinking.
    71. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1. Europeans pay for their health care and education. Nothing is free.
      2. Europe is not exactly where innovation happens. They use technologies invented in the US to improve their health care, etc. Socialism has always been based on kleptoism. Steal from one group of people to give to another.
      3. Europe is much smaller than the US. It is more cost effective to put trains everywhere.
      4. I don't much like public transportation, even if it is free. One is much more likely to take care of something that they personally own.

    72. Re:I saw that commercial too by 2short · · Score: 1

      I ride a bicycle all winter in Colorado, and have done so in Maine. Get a jacket.

    73. Re:I saw that commercial too by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      Damn...at -30 with a windchill from traveling 40mph in freezing spray from the other vehicles on the road? Damn, you're a badass.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    74. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a big difference between Europe and the US and their need for cars. There is no where in Western Europe that equates to the United States west of the Mississippi River. If you question that take a look at this image.

    75. Re:I saw that commercial too by lostokie · · Score: 1

      I don't know the particulars of gravity storage, but had heard it wasn't very impressive. Industrial sized molten salt batteries seemed to hold much more promise. But yes, the only advantage to hydrogen is that it can be quickly pumped. Which makes it much more useful for vehicles than any other storage medium. Batteries have to be replaced, contain dangerous chemicals, and charge very slowly. The only real option for batteries is to switch them out at replacement stations. The energy losses in hydrogen seem small to me compared to issues with batteries.

    76. Re:I saw that commercial too by 2short · · Score: 1

      No, I'm not a badass, I just dress appropriately.

      People spend all day going fast in very cold weather on a ski slope, and complain bitterly about the cold after five minutes on a road. If you're not an artic explorer, people have gotten by fine in much colder weather than what you're considering unbearable.

      You're not cold because the weather is so bad, you're cold because you didn't dress for it.

    77. Re:I saw that commercial too by 2short · · Score: 1

      "It's almost impossible to live in the US without a car - at least if you want any quality of life."

      I find the quality of life as a cyclist superior. Cars are for suckers.

    78. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anspen · · Score: 1

      The whole point is that the 'need' is the result of choice made because of cheap oil. Yes the US as a whole is bigger than Europe. But that is not where most of the car use comes from (most people don't regularly drive from NY to LA). It's the way suburbs are set up and where people buy a house when they get a new job (almost no one would move 90 km away from their work if gas was $9). It's the way commerce in rural communities is generally concentrated in a few different places (one Wal-mart for a whole county instead of several shops in each town, one big multiplex etc.). It's the way that driving a few hundred miles is accepted as the norm for visiting family instead of taking trains (or buses or even planes).

    79. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anspen · · Score: 1

      That doesn't make it fiction (as long as it's not just promises) The trust fund buys government bonds which are just part of debt. The only way to renege on those would be to default on all debt.

      Social security is at the moment in great shape (running a large surplus). There might be some problems round 2030-2040 but those aren't as serious as some politicians make out (curiously enough the kind of politician who want to end SS anyway and replace it with some kind of personal pensionplan; great for the rich, not so much for the poor).

    80. Re:I saw that commercial too by Anspen · · Score: 1

      Couple of things on the debt issue:

      a) A lot of the European debt is Euro debt. German bounds held in Italy aren't a problem in currency matters. In exchange rate terms that's internal debt.

      b) As you say the debt to non-Euro countries is greatly defused. Very large amounts of US government bonds are held buy China, Japan, other East-Asian export countries en Middle east producers. Which makes their position not only more powerful (and dangerous to them of course) but also more likely for there to be a central effort.

      c) Europe isn't depending on the other countries to hold up their currency by buying more bonds. Every day China, Japan etc. keep buying US bonds to prop up the dollar vis-a-vis their local currency.

      The large trade deficit in absolute number might be a sign of a large economy. The large trade deficit in relative numbers is a sign of a problem. (was 6-8% of GDP for a long time, it's now back down to ~5%, still huge). Part of the issue is the relation of commodity prices and the level of the dollar. When the dollar falls, commodity prices rise (since other countries can pay more in dollar term while staying at the same level in local currency). That puts export countries in a bind since they want to keep their currencies (and their export products) low against the dollar but have to deal with rising import cost. After a while they *have* to appreciate their currency or raise their export prices. Both of which are bad news for the US economy since this would explode inflation ( a process which is already starting).

    81. Re:I saw that commercial too by a_real_bast... · · Score: 1

      Fair enough. Gravity storage is one of those ideas that have been knocking around for years. Essentially you make two lakes, one on top and one at the foot of a mountain. Add channel between them. Add BIG pumps. Off-peak, use spare cycles to pump water from Down to Up; on-peak, open the sluices. The falling water turns the pumps, the well-known "a generator is a motor you turn yourself" principle kicks in...

      --
      You're making me think. You won't like me when I'm thinking.
    82. Re:I saw that commercial too by TheSync · · Score: 1

      I like socialized healthcare simply because while the free market model works grand for playstations (You have little money, you want a playstation, so you work hard to make money, you buy one) it works less well for medical care

      The US is half-way there. In the US, about 50% of health care dollars are paid by the government, plus there are tremendous amounts of regulation of the health industry (including health insurance mandates that vary from state to state, a tougher drug regulatory policy than in most European countries (look at domperidone for example). We already pay 3% Federal payroll taxes for Medicaid (for the poor) and Medicare (for the old, but could be poor or rich). Most states tack on another few percent as well.

      The problem is no one in he US admits that we'd have to cut doctor pay in half to meet up with other OECD countries if we wanted to go all the way with socialized medicine.

  5. Do It. by LoudMusic · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's really simple. Build windmill farms. Build solar collecting power plants. Build the variety of hydro electric generators.

    Run everything from electricity including water heaters, building heaters, and cars.

    Stop sending money to the other side of the world.

    --
    No sig for you. YOU GET NO SIG!
    1. Re:Do It. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fuck T Boon Pickens and the corporatists that keep stealing our natural resources. If this is going to be done it should be done by the federal government through a "green corps" that puts out of work people back to work similar to the WPA and CCC during the depression. This is energy and it should not be a for profit industry. Once this infrastructure is built it will require maintenance but there is absolutely no reason that the Energy department cannot handle this. We should not be paying for profits to Pickens and his cronies on what is essentially free energy after the initial investment is made.

    2. Re:Do It. by gregbot9000 · · Score: 1

      It's really simple. Build windmill farms. Build solar collecting power plants. Build the variety of hydro electric generators.

      Run everything from electricity including water heaters, building heaters, and cars.

      Stop sending money to the other side of the world.

      And watch as countries who weren't foolish enough too dump oil because of Green scare tactics zip by us in their nice cars.

      It's called a FREE market, as in people making their own damn choices. I'm all for internalizing the costs of externalities that have been PROVEN harmful, but pumping huge sums into government boondoggles because you don't like us shipping money to the other side of the world is insane.
      How about we let everyday people decide if they want to pay more in gas, ride the bus, or just get a more efficient car. And how about we just let people get discouraged from using products that take a lot of fuel by their higher prices and substitute them with what ever they want. Of course all that would achieve is a more efficient version of modern society, not the global village the Greens hope to foist on everyone.

    3. Re:Do It. by BlendieOfIndie · · Score: 1

      ...it should be done by the federal government through a "green corps" that puts out of work people back to work...

      1) I'm pretty sure Pickens isn't planning to install those windmills with his own two hands. He will HIRE someone to do it. It will take a full time crew to install and maintain a wind farm of this magnitude.

      2) The government will not (or at least should not) magically pull $2 billion dollars out of thin air. It would probably take the bureaucrats months to allocate that funding. Pickens already put down the money.

    4. Re:Do It. by timbudtwo · · Score: 0
      Its not simple. There is no infrastructure in the US to put this in on a large scale. There is already an infrastructure for oil. You cannot just "run cars on electricity" or run everything off electricity. Not everything can be just plugged in. Furthermore, there are no kits and conversions to do this that are widely available, or even cost effective. If you buy a hybrid car you don't even save money at this point.

      Once we have the _ability_ to do so, we will. Right now, we have none. It doesn't matter if we should, its the fact we don't.

      As well, we once we start distancing ourselves from the middle east and their oil, they wont be pleased. We do not have the coordination, drive, or will-power to start a massive reorganization of what the united states runs on.

    5. Re:Do It. by LoudMusic · · Score: 3, Insightful

      As well, we once we start distancing ourselves from the middle east and their oil, they wont be pleased. We do not have the coordination, drive, or will-power to start a massive reorganization of what the united states runs on.

      Apparently we run on doubt and a weak backbone.

      --
      No sig for you. YOU GET NO SIG!
    6. Re:Do It. by Duncan+Blackthorne · · Score: 1

      I'm with you on most of that -- except that electric heating is hideously inefficient; we could use our own supply of natural gas for those things, just as we always have.

    7. Re:Do It. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And fear. Don't forget the fear!

    8. Re:Do It. by matt21811 · · Score: 2, Informative

      My reverse cycle air condition heats very efficiently thank you.

    9. Re:Do It. by tgd · · Score: 1

      I don't tend to stop to talk to blabbering nutjobs on street corners, so I'm not sure why I'm replying here, but I'd hate for even one person to read your post and think there's a mote of truth in it.

      Why can't you let people do that? Because human beings will consume and hoard resources until they are unable to consume or hoard any more. And people living in the US have the ability to do so with resources that ARE NOT THEIRS.

      People who are using more than their fair share of resources (and people in the US *all* do that, greens or blathering nutjobs) can turn that overabundance into buying power that continues to allow them to overconsume even more.

      And most importantly, when you pay more for gas to drive a nice car, the money you are paying leaves out a key factor in the value of the oil you're burning -- the fact that it can NOT be replaced. You are paying for a percentage of current demand and paying for the labor to extract it, you are not paying for the percentage of the value of the energy in that oil represents spread out over the length of time humans will walk this planet. You're using income made from renewable sources (labor) and using it to permanently consume resources that are not renewable.

      The free market doesn't work when the full costs of a resource are not paid. Arguably a free market *can't* work when talking about a permanently consumed resource because there are a hundred billion or a trillion people who haven't been born yet who can't bid on that resource.

      Just because we, as a species, were stupid enough a hundred years ago to look at today and not think about tomorrow doesn't mean we're that stupid now or that its inherently the right thing to do.

      And using the argument "we might as well keep doing it because if we don't, they will" is childish. "He did it, so I'm going to do it" stopped being acceptable for everything else at 5 years old.

    10. Re:Do It. by smaddox · · Score: 1

      Switching central heating to run on electricity is a horrible idea.

      Most of our natural gas is produced in the US, first of all.

      Second of all, heating with natural gas is MUCH more efficient than heating with electricity.

    11. Re:Do It. by Beezlebub33 · · Score: 1

      2) The government will not (or at least should not) magically pull $2 billion dollars out of thin air. It would probably take the bureaucrats months to allocate that funding. Pickens already put down the money.

      The government (i.e. the U.S. taypayers) will be paying for it as well. Pickens is counting on tax incentives, or the whole thing isn't going to work for him economically. And a large part of the advertisements that he is producing is to generate the public interest in making sure that those tax-credits happen.

      I think that it's great that Pickens is doing this. I agree philosophically with him, but it's going to cost us all money, not just him; and I think it's probably worth it.

      --
      The more people I meet, the better I like my dog.
    12. Re:Do It. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not cost efective (yet).

      Hydro is, but wind and solar are not in most cases very good ways to generate electricity.

    13. Re:Do It. by gregbot9000 · · Score: 1
      Wow good job with the nut job line, that emotional pandering lends your argument credibility while dismissing a dissenting opinion with out one actual fact mentioned.

      I may be a nut job but at least I am not a Liar. The truth is people like you don't like when other people have more then them. you get jealous when people have flat screens or drive hummers, but you're lazy and don't want to run the rat race so you find reasons to justify your position.

      the money you are paying leaves out a key factor in the value of the oil you're burning -- the fact that it can NOT be replaced. You are paying for a percentage of current demand and paying for the labor to extract it, you are not paying for the percentage of the value of the energy in that oil represents spread out over the length of time humans will walk this planet.

      Wrong, you fail Econ101.
      Hell I just replace oil yesterday, by riding a CNG bus.
      Oil has tons of replacements called "substitutes" I'm sure you heard about that in school. These range from bicycles to nuclear power. As cost change people stop using the expensive product and substitute it with another. You know, like how they replaced smelting metal by burning wood with coal, and again with electricity, or steam locomotives with Diesel and in some places electricity. I have complete faith in humanity to adapt its usage to what is now cheaper and more expensive, and in entrepreneurs to find new energy sources and deliver them with out your enlightened guiding hand, I don't see how this is insane.

      If I sold a finite resource, and I knew it was running out, do you think I might raise the price a little? how about a lot? how about $4 a gallon and still rising? wow, the market solved that complex pricing problem before you even new there was one. What about the unborn Kiddies who don't get to bid on the resource? well fuck em, making me have a lower standard of living for some snot that isn't even alive today makes about as much sense as taxing me for welfare in Africa.

      The argument "He did it, so I'm going to do it" is in no way childish on a national level. I seem to recall the French thought along those lines a while back. China did the same thing with ocean going vessels, the Japanese with fire arms. In business, A&P did the same thing, as did White Castle. The end result for all? utter ruination at the hands of a childish competitor. If you don't keep up you die, ethics and survival rarely shake hands. If you honestly don't think the Russians would have taken western Europe if they had a chance or that China won't try to grab everything it can, then you are stupider than I thought.

      Like I said, you're against free enterprise because it makes people wealthier then you, not like the global village, where everyone has the same amount of suck.

    14. Re:Do It. by tgd · · Score: 1

      The truth is people like you don't like when other people have more then them. you get jealous when people have flat screens or drive hummers, but you're lazy and don't want to run the rat race so you find reasons to justify your position.

      Funny, however I'd hazard a guess I've spent more on cars and car parts in the last year than the average Slashdotter made. Certainly enough to buy several Hummers. However, I don't feel the need to jump up and down and be a cock about it. Here's a secret about money: its easy to make.

      Like I said, you're against free enterprise because it makes people wealthier then you, not like the global village, where everyone has the same amount of suck.

      Yup, blathering nutjob. You don't know me, you don't know what I make, what I own, how much money I donate every year, or my political or economic leanings. You don't know my educational background or what I do for a living. You don't know what my expertise is in.

      You also have a grade school understanding of economics and what a free market means in the context of a global economy. Dubya, that isn't you, is it?

    15. Re:Do It. by gregbot9000 · · Score: 1
      I don't tend to stop to talk to people who are blatantly wrong and attack people out of spite, so I'm not sure why I'm replying here, but I'd hate for even one person to read your post and think there's a mote of truth in it.

      I know I'm right. You know how? Because every bit of success we enjoy comes from people who argued the same points I do. And I know you're wrong, because even France has elected a market advocate. If you want to keep going after me I'll just start quoting Jefferson.

      You also have a grade school understanding of economics and what a free market means in the context of a global economy.

      Yes, a grade school understanding and yet I was able to suggest something in support of my opinion instead of crying "save the children" and insulting someone and their beliefs as a means of making myself look better. Sounds like you're the one taking a page from the neocon play book. When you grow up and get to college you should take an actual Econ class and get some real facts, instead of repeating sociological nonsense.

  6. Capitalisim at its best... by Zymergy · · Score: 2, Funny

    Sure, Pickens he has some business interests in his wind power generation, but who cares. It is clean, renewable, and nearly always available. (And it produces *Zero* CO2)
    Get some added transmission lines to the main grid from the 'wind corridor' and we up and running.
    -Pickens is putting his money where his mouth is and at the same time helping America, that is a true Capitalist and a Patriot.

    1. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by jmorris42 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      > Pickens is putting his money where his mouth is and at the same time
      > helping America, that is a true Capitalist and a Patriot.

      Sounded like that when I first heard of this... but I actually dig a little before jumping into supporting something. Check his WSJ piece of July 8 and these two quotes from adjacent paragraphs no less:

      Quote #1

      "It will be accomplished solely through private investment with no new consumer or corporate taxes or government regulation."

      Quote #2

      "The future begins as soon as Congress and the president act. The government must mandate the formation of wind and solar transmission corridors, and renew the subsidies for economic and alternative energy development in areas where the wind and sun are abundant."

      Eh? Sounds like another corporate welfare client trying to get his grubby hands into my pocket.

      If wind were really economical he wouldn't need subsidies and wouldn't be waiting on Congress to quit masturbating and do something.

      News flash: Democrats LOVE these high gas prices, sure they wish the extra money were flowing into the Treasury instead of OPEC but they still can't work up any real displeasure at something that pushes their agenda so well. So why are they going to act?

      Screw the hippie crap with wind, solar, etc., we are outta time. Build nuke plants. Not in twenty years, not in ten. I want a plan to have enough nuke plants online inside of five years to make electricity cheap enough to change the economics in favor of plug in electrics. We have the tech to build a safe nuke plant now, waste disposal is still an issue but we have time to work on that problem if we can avoid western civilization collapsing. And eventually I'm sure we will perfect the greener alternative energy sources and not need so many nuke plants... or we get finally solve fusion and quit worrying about energy.

      --
      Democrat delenda est
    2. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by mrbcs · · Score: 1

      Sure, Pickens he has some business interests in his wind power generation, but who cares. It is clean, renewable, and nearly always available. (And it produces *Zero* CO2)

      I call Bull Shit. It may be "clean" when generating power, but how much gas is used to actually build, install and maintain these things? Indirectly they cause lots of co2 emissions and they aren't that great at generating power yet either. I'm surrounded by them and yet never see them running 24/7 though I have seen many windy days where NONE were funtioning. None out of hundreds.

      Wind, solar and hydrogen are all pie in the sky pipe dreams, they may fill a niche and help out a bit, but they will never replace oil.

      --
      I'm not anti-social, I'm anti-idiot.
    3. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Sure, Pickens he has some business interests in his wind power generation, but who cares.

      You say it like a business interest ought normally be interpreted a bad thing.

    4. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Patriotism is the last refuge of a scoundrel" - Samuel Johnson

    5. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1
      The cost of electricity is already highly in favor of plug-in electric vehicles (4 cents/mile).

      http://www.pnl.gov/energy/eed/etd/pdfs/phev_feasibility_analysis_combined.pdf

    6. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by jmorris42 · · Score: 1

      > The cost of electricity is already highly in favor of plug-in
      > electric vehicles (4 cents/mile).

      No it isn't. What is total cost per mile including amortized vehicle cost? Oh. You see I didn't even need to follow the link, if it were actually less expensive large fleets would have converted already. UPS trucks still burn gas, thus I know electric isn't really less expensive. CNG isn't less expensive either. Hydrogen isn't less expensive.

      Are there things we could do to push the cost of some of those alternatives down? Perhaps. And we had better be busting our humps figuring em out or we are so boned.

      --
      Democrat delenda est
    7. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1
      You, original post:

      I want a plan to have enough nuke plants online inside of five years to make electricity cheap enough to change the economics in favor of plug in electrics.

      My response:

      The cost of electricity is already highly in favor of plug-in electric vehicles (4 cents/mile).

      You, response to me:

      No it isn't. What is total cost per mile including amortized vehicle cost? Oh. You see I didn't even need to follow the link, if it were actually less expensive large fleets would have converted already.

      You = retard. Either specify that the energy cost is the problem or the capital expenditure for the vehicle is the problem. Don't bitch about my response because you can't get your fucking issues straight.

    8. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by jmorris42 · · Score: 1

      > You = retard. Either specify that the energy cost is the problem or
      > the capital expenditure for the vehicle is the problem. Don't bitch
      > about my response because you can't get your fucking issues straight.

      1. That 4c/mile number is bogus compared to gasoline. Yea you can push a cracker box a mile for 4c, but not the sort of real vehicles people would buy. Ya know, comfortable, safe, AIR CONDITIONED cars. You can probably sell a more expensive vehicle if the operating costs are really low, but electric isn't currently THAT much cheaper. Gas powered vehicles as puny as

      2. Without the nuke plants any attempt to deploy plug in electric vehicles will overload the grid and raise the price of electricity.

      3. While electric isn't practical NOW I'm hoping it could be by the time the crash program to build the nuke plants was done. But if it doesn't pan out (batteries was the big worry) we are still good if we have the nukes. Use the virtually limitless power to crack hydrogen and make that cheap enough to burn in our cars. You and that marketing piece claim electric is viable today, it isn't.

      4. Your 4c/mile number isn't even in the linked piece, yea I grepped it for "4" and waded through the boatload of 4's just to be sure before calling you on it. Lots of questionable math and assumptions (I have a car older than nine years, but how many people will buy a nine year payout?) in that white paper as well. And anyway it talked about plug in hybrids, not total electric. Hybrids to me are just an overly complex boondoggle.

      --
      Democrat delenda est
    9. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And it is the same T. Boone Pickens (quoted as only "Boone Pickens" who concurred with speculation that oil futures contracts, for 2016, would reach $200 / barrel.

      T. Boone speculates on oil

      And only the month before, he flipped on his previous position that oil prices would fall (to his financial loss):

      Boone Pickens reverses the course.

      So, in April, you tell you were wrong, and oil will rise. In May, you speculated again oil will rise, but still haven't made any proclamation that you have shed yourself of any investment which speculates oil will rise. Now, in July, you offer a reprieve from oil, which just so happens to be one of your major investments outside oil. Talk about coincidence.

      The only difference between (1) vested interest and (2) conflict-of-interest is (1) the speculator who shares in the gain, and (2) the regulator who identifies the hypocrisy (but is hushed, as it interferes with the vested interest).

    10. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by EmagGeek · · Score: 2, Funny

      >> Are there things we could do to push the cost of some of those alternatives down?

      Sure, all we have to do is HOPE really, really hard and the CHANGE will come. We can build up all of this HOPE, and then trade it for alternative energy CHANGE.

    11. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by don+depresor · · Score: 1

      If they're off it's because the electric companie turns them off, maybe because the grid load is low and keeping them working would only wear them down with 0 advantage...

      Or maybe tehy're playing mind tricks on you. :P

    12. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Having read a decent bit on this myself, since I work as a consultant to people looking into building wind farms -- Quote 1 sounds like he's referring to the farm he's building, while Quote 2 sounds like he's referring to the movement to more wind farms and other sources of alternative energy by our country at large.

      When you take his quotes that out of context, there's really no way to prove or disprove they actually contradict each other.

    13. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by Zymergy · · Score: 1

      I completely agree with you on the nuke plants. We cannot build them fast enough. We need AT LEAST 40-50 new Nuke power stations as has been suggested by a particular political party's candidate.

      I do know that Congress, just like with the congressional-imposed ban to drill for oil/gas in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, has limited the ability to put up wind power farms.
      In my home state of Oklahoma, I read somewhere that there is a restriction on the books limiting Wind Generator farms to only 500 turbines per COUNTY. With each generator requiring the same area of a large house with a front and back yard, I'd say that's rather limiting and shortsighted. After all, the wind is best geographically where the wind is best.

      Many of the obstacles that Pickens is suggesting Congress to get involved in are related to stupid laws that have been lobbied and inserted into the books by corrupted politicians such as the artificial limit on how large the 'wind farm' cluster can be per county. A Federal Mandate in many cases can overcome the numerous disingenuous state lays and ordnances as they claim that too many birds are self-selection their candidacy and trying out for the Darwin-Awards in the wind generator blades and they follow up with cries of "NIMBY".

      Of course, 'the liberal hippies' are spreading FUD all over.. (apparently they WANT more coal-fired power plants?) And yes, Democrats, as judged by their own actions, want higher prices on anything energy-related they do not tightly regulate and collect a chunk of tax dollars on. But they have to leave the laws open-ended some so they can collect those fat contributions every election cycle.

      Nobody is publicly talking about just how many of the stupid tax collecting laws wind-power bypasses because it does not use any fuel that can be taxed, and it puts fat checks in the pockets of the surface landowners who OWN the surface of their land and 99% of these land owners are all for wind power clusters after their checks clear.

      -Now that profitable and efficient massive 'wind farms' are an actual threat and likelihood to these liberal/progressive interests, they are resurrecting the "Spotted Owl Strategy"... Only this time it is with the "Whooping Crane". (I can remember in Oklahoma when they found one of these endangered birds deceased as it apparently had flown directly into a 5' tall barbed wire fence... There was a 'hippie' drive to then pull up and restrict the fences in that part of the state.)
      What total BS!
      Somebody please call Penn & Teller and get this on their show at Showtime1!...
      For example, here is a 'fine' piece by the liberal AP: http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?articleID=20080321_238_A11_spanc46450

      Here is what Oklahoma State University has put together: http://www.ocgi.okstate.edu/owpi/ With Oklahoma geospatial wind map: http://www2.ocgi.okstate.edu/website/owpi2/viewer.htm

    14. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by myz24 · · Score: 1

      We don't perfect greener alternatives so long as there is an easy fix in place. Nuclear seems like an easy fix.

    15. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by MadMidnightBomber · · Score: 1

      Screw the hippie crap with wind, solar, etc., we are outta time. Build nuke plants.

      All very well for base load, but those things take a bit of time to spin up and down. What are you going to do when the superbowl comes on telly? Things like hydro come in pretty useful for burst demand.

      --
      "It doesn't cost enough, and it makes too much sense."
    16. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      How exactly do you propose to build a significant number of nuke plants in the course of the next 60 months? Do you understand the effort involved, even if you minimize regulatory oversight? Do you understand the risks that such accelerated timelines could do to the safety of such plants?

    17. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by Heather+D · · Score: 1

      "Of course, 'the liberal hippies' are spreading FUD all over.. (apparently they WANT more coal-fired power plants?) And yes, Democrats, as judged by their own actions, want higher prices on anything energy-related they do not tightly regulate and collect a chunk of tax dollars on. But they have to leave the laws open-ended some so they can collect those fat contributions every election cycle."

      This sort of thinking is what earned the Left it's well-deserved reputation for stupidity. The parts of the country that love coal are also (to a large degree) those that hate anything liberal weather or not it's actually a good idea. Yet the Left continues this foolishness.

      It isn't that they don't know this, they do, they just seem to think that any day now cold fusion will be here or maybe crystal power will save us or something. In the meantime solar and wind will work just fine (as long as we get rid of all those factories and learn how to live as a subsistence culture again).

    18. Re:Capitalisim at its best... by mdfst13 · · Score: 1

      The problem is that the quotes don't appear in a context that explains them. Look at his site: http://www.pickensplan.com/theplan/

      Supposedly that's the plan. Ok, what is it? I see a lot of promises about results, but no plan to get there. The goal is to build sufficient wind farms to supply 20% of US electric needs and shut down all electric production via natural gas (in the US). Take that natural gas and use it for cars instead. Fine, that sounds like a reasonable goal. What's the actual plan to get there? I.e. what's the pain?

      In principle, I'm willing to support government action to support this goal. However, before I pledge to do so, I'd really like to know what the plan is. Why does he need government action? In what form?

  7. Before the FUD hits the fan. by copponex · · Score: 5, Informative

    http://www.greencarcongress.com/2006/12/doe_study_offpe.html

    Someone, somewhere, will claim that this does not help solve the gasoline problem. Please read the above link, which states that current off-peak electricity could power nearly 200 million PHEVs, according to the DOE. Adding green energy sources will greatly reduce pollution in urban areas when combined with ultra low or zero emission transit.

    We'd still have somewhat of an oil problem, but commuting can be covered by existing electric infrastructure.

    1. Re:Before the FUD hits the fan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://www.greencarcongress.com/2006/12/doe_study_offpe.html

      Someone, somewhere, will claim that this does not help solve the gasoline problem. Please read the above link, which states that current off-peak electricity could power nearly 200 million PHEVs, according to the DOE. Adding green energy sources will greatly reduce pollution in urban areas when combined with ultra low or zero emission transit.

      We'd still have somewhat of an oil problem, but commuting can be covered by existing electric infrastructure.

      Here in Tacoma, WA our Transit System runs off natural gas and has run of it for quite a while.

    2. Re:Before the FUD hits the fan. by NickCatal · · Score: 1

      Now all we need is a PHEV that has regenerative breaking that doesn't look like a... well... Prius...

      give me a freaking 'normal' looking car that has regenerative breaking and I can plug in at night and I will be happy.

      --
      -nick
    3. Re:Before the FUD hits the fan. by VanessaE · · Score: 1

      Ok. So who is going to buy and recycle my old gas guzzler and turn around and subsidize the cost of a new EV for me? No one? Well then I guess I'm stuck with using gasoline until cheap, used EV's start to flood the market in about 30 years. I sure as hell can't afford a new EV (Tesla Motors, I'm looking at you!)... Just like 80% or so of the rest of the population.

    4. Re:Before the FUD hits the fan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Senator Edward M. Kennedy will just STOP IT!

      http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/08_27/b4091052403644.htm

    5. Re:Before the FUD hits the fan. by Big+Boss · · Score: 1

      Okay. Camry hybrid with a PHEV option. Currently the PHEV part is aftermarket, I'm sure the manufacturers will offer it eventually.

  8. Re:Um by volcanopele · · Score: 5, Informative

    His point is to use wind to replace natural gas power plants, then use natural gas to fuel our vehicles.

    --
    The Gish Bar Times - Blog covering Jupiter's moon Io
  9. 20% wind is about right. by Animats · · Score: 5, Insightful

    20% wind is about right. More than that, and there are problems during periods of no wind. There's a study on wide area wind averaging (need source) which has a table of percent of installed wind capacity vs. percentage of time available. Even averaging over the entire midwestern US only gets something like 80-90% uptime.

    Base load should be nuclear, since that's all fixed cost. Peak air conditioning load should be solar. In between, whatever works.

    California needs a major effort to install enough solar panels to power the Southern California air conditioning load. The numbers actually work for this. The nice thing about solar is that you get the power during peak hours. You're guaranteed that bright sun and peak air conditioning load come at the same time. Wind is somewhat random on an hourly scale, and hydro is somewhat random on a seasonal scale.

    1. Re:20% wind is about right. by dbIII · · Score: 1
      Base load should be nuclear, since that's all fixed cost. Peak air conditioning load should be solar. In between, whatever works.

      Personally I'm biased in favour of whatever works instead of nuclear. Nuclear may work well for civilian purposes sometime but that will require real R&D and not just old 1960s Westinghouse gear with a slap of green paint to fool people into thinking that it's a product of the 21st century with living designers that know how it all works.

    2. Re:20% wind is about right. by seifried · · Score: 1

      Or simply increase the cost of energy so people stop wasting it on things like air conditioning (having experienced the bone chilling level most US offices and houses are cooled to it's no wonder to me that power usage is so high). Here's a hint: 72 all the time is simply ridiculous.

    3. Re:20% wind is about right. by runningduck · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I personally think the cheapest and most effective solution would be to install non-functioning solar panels on every residential roof. That's right, non-functioning solar panel. All you really need is an elevated metal panel to act as a raised radiant barrier. This would likely reduce the peak need by 30%. Under roof radiant barriers can reduce loads by up to 10%. Elevating such a barrier above the roof allows most of the passing heat to easily exhaust improving effectiveness a few times over. Think of is as having trees shade your entire house--very effective with less side effects.

      --
      -rd
    4. Re:20% wind is about right. by runningduck · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The problem with raising the price is that the unit cost of energy remains the same no matter how it is used. Using price to control behavior hits some segments of society disproportionately hard without having much impact on overall usage. I think the few successful uses of price establish tiered pricing schedules where the unit price increases as consumption increases past the pricing bands. The problem with this model, however, is that as soon as you establish a tiered system individuals and organization with the most political power tend to negotiate the best pricing.

      --
      -rd
    5. Re:20% wind is about right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What?

      I'm usually _way_ to hot and keep my house at around 60F year-round.

    6. Re:20% wind is about right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We need to slave problems with nuclear. Really solve them not put them away in a mountain for thousands of years. If we can guarantee the safety of reprocessing and disposing of waste in a extremely efficient manner, I think that nuclear would be the way to go for sure. But these things are never talked about, and there is definitely not enough money or thought going into developing these systems to start building more right now. We have leaking tanks of waste at almost all of our plants right now, and no plan to deal with the waste we currently produce. Until the waste problem is honestly talked about, nuclear is a really bad idea.

    7. Re:20% wind is about right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Air conditioning isn't so important. We somehow managed to live for thousands of years without it. Rather than searching for more and more ways to continue our excessive consumption, perhaps we should cut back.

    8. Re:20% wind is about right. by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1
      My friend, nuclear power plant design is much ahead of where you think it is:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_CANDU_Reactor

    9. Re:20% wind is about right. by rm999 · · Score: 1

      Here in Southern California, if you are more than 20 miles inland, the typical summer daytime temperature is around 100. I think it makes much more sense to throw solar panels on top of the houses instead of giving up and letting the people roast.

    10. Re:20% wind is about right. by dbIII · · Score: 1
      The very intense and expensive lobbying has created two problems. The first is that almost nothing has been spent on civilian nuclear power R&D in the USA since the early 1970s and most of that back then was government money anyway. The second and larger problem is that non-US suppliers do not have a chance. Unless something happens like GE or Westinghouse licencing other technology and pretending it is domestic we'll just get taxpayer funded dinosaurs. Even if it does happen the recent designs have not come close to proving their worth - athough pebble bed is promising.

      I can't resist reviving the old nuclear power joke:

      "Are you a developing country that wants plutonium for your weapons program? CANDU!"

      They were quite popular little reactors for a while.

    11. Re:20% wind is about right. by dbIII · · Score: 1

      There is synrock which took decades to develop (lack of R&D funding again) and is unfortunately rarely used due to the low cost of sticking stuff in drums and pretending it doesn't exist.

    12. Re:20% wind is about right. by Fjandr · · Score: 1

      This is the US. Welcome, you must be new here.

    13. Re:20% wind is about right. by mysticgoat · · Score: 1

      Base load should be nuclear, since that's all fixed cost.

      That's a fallacy rooted in trying to model the nuclear power industry with accounting systems designed for early 20th century factories.

      Nuclear power generation is the first large scale system we've encountered where the greatest costs occur after product is delivered. We need new methods of accounting for costs that can reliably handle this. We don't have any. So while we now have good solutions to the engineering problems of nuclear power, we don't have a clue as to how to price the product, or manage the future costs.

      So, no, fixed costs do not dominate nuclear power economics. Unknown costs extending for unknown decades into the future are what dominate nuclear power economics.

      We should be able to develop an accounting system that will predictably model future costs of current production. It is not rocket science; it would probably be a mix of traditional accounting with games theory and probability assessments. But so far no one is even talking about this need, let alone talking about funding its development.

    14. Re:20% wind is about right. by SethJohnson · · Score: 1

      No dis against organized religion, but I've noticed most churches also leave their AC running 24/7 even though they're really only open for business on Sundays.

      Seth

    15. Re:20% wind is about right. by nospam007 · · Score: 1

      So why won't any insurance touch it with a ten mile pole?

    16. Re:20% wind is about right. by jonwil · · Score: 1

      For nuclear to work we need the government to get over the irrational fear that some terrorist is going to waltz into a nuclear reprocessing plant or waste storage facility and walk out of there with the fixings for a nuclear bomb and overturn the ban on reprocessing. Then we move to nuclear reactor designs that extract a lot closer to 100% of the energy from the input fuel than the current 50s/60s era pressurized water reactor designs. (breeder reactors for example)

    17. Re:20% wind is about right. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Using price to control behavior hits some segments of society disproportionately hard without having much impact on overall usage.

      Why wouldn't increasing significantly overall cost of electricity not reduce demand significantly? It has in the past.

    18. Re:20% wind is about right. by dfenstrate · · Score: 1

      I think it's actually less than 20%- perhaps 10%.

      I'm suprised that Pickens there is building 4 GW in Texas, as they've almost been burnt badly by wind power.

      Not too long ago a large cold front swept through the state- the very high, and very sudden winds caused most of the turbines to overspeed and trip off (Toss the brakes on maybe? I'll have to check to be sure.)

      The resulting power swing and voltage dip almost blacked out all of Texas.

      --
      Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms should be the name of a store, not a government agency.
    19. Re:20% wind is about right. by maxume · · Score: 1

      On site storage seems to work just fine (there might need to be an increase in the acreage set aside when plants are built) and has the nifty advantage of being highly exposed to improvements in reprocessing technology.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    20. Re:20% wind is about right. by mattwarden · · Score: 1

      There was a discussion recently (also need source) where baseload will cause problems for things like wind and solar and vice versa. Baseload energy sources cause wind/solar to be less profitable and therefore areas with good baseload sources will have a huge barrier to wind/solar investment. Similarly, areas with high existing wind/solar infrastructure will have a hard time converting their current baseload to a more green baseload source, like nuke.

      Thought it was an interesting take.

    21. Re:20% wind is about right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not sure about across the midwest, but I am aware of this study for Minnesota.

      http://www.horizonwind.com/about/energycompanies/minnesotawindstudy.aspx

    22. Re:20% wind is about right. by TheLink · · Score: 1

      It would reduce demand. However in my opinion increasing the cost of energy should not be done lightly - it has huge impacts.

      In a tropical rainforest energy and resources are abundant - lots of species per square km, many of them pretty inefficient (think of all those weird creatures in the tropics vs the efficiency of a killer whale).

      If you suddenly increase the cost of energy, it would be like reducing the amount of sunlight to a tropical rainforest. There would be a massive die-off of many industries/species that used to do fine (they could ship stuff to other states and still make money etc).

      Once stuff dies off, naturally energy demand would reduce.

      I suggest the US comes up with alternative cheap energy sources, or very gradually let energy increase in cost, slow enough to hopefully let enough "species" to adapt (rather than just die off and mess up the "ecosystem" with all the interdependencies).

      --
    23. Re:20% wind is about right. by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      You should be able to do better with east-west distribution of wind power rather than north-south. Promote offshore wind power instead... it is closer to concentration of utilization as well, which improves the efficiency.

    24. Re:20% wind is about right. by khallow · · Score: 1

      It would reduce demand. However in my opinion increasing the cost of energy should not be done lightly - it has huge impacts.

      But if energy actually does cost a lot to produce, then the huge impacts are justified. And if energy production is curently producing price shocks, then these price shocks will have the advantage of encouraging both consumers and suppliers to develope strategies for dealing with price shocks. After all, price shocks don't go away just because you don't like them.

    25. Re:20% wind is about right. by kesuki · · Score: 1

      "California needs a major effort to install enough solar panels to power the Southern California air conditioning load. The numbers actually work for this. The nice thing about solar is that you get the power during peak hours."

      no, the nice thing about roof mounted solar is it ABSORBS AND RADIATES THE HEAT AWAY FROM THE BUILDING lowering cooling costs. see, because solar needs to be at a certain angle, which most roofs aren't at, so all that heat from the sun isn't directly on the roof, it's like building a giant shade tent for your house, or building, and getting energy from it to boot.

    26. Re:20% wind is about right. by hobbit · · Score: 1

      Base load should be nuclear, since that's all fixed cost.

      When oil starts getting scarce, you're going to find out that Uranium is a resource too...

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_uranium

      --
      "Wise men talk because they have something to say; fools, because they have to say something" - Plato
    27. Re:20% wind is about right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Base load should be nuclear, since that's all fixed cost.

      When oil starts getting scarce, you're going to find out that Uranium is a resource too...

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_uranium

      There's this design called a breeder reactor.

    28. Re:20% wind is about right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Air conditioning isn't so important. We somehow managed to live for thousands of years without it.

      Yeah, for thousands of years life was short and nasty. No thanks.

      Try living in Texas or New Mexico or anywhere in the southwest United States (or, obviously, any equivalent climatic region) without air conditioning.

      You'll find out how important it is, real quick.

    29. Re:20% wind is about right. by TheLink · · Score: 1

      Sure, but I personally believe that while Governments should in general try not to prevent such changes (e.g. via permanent subsidies), they should normally try to dampen the rate of change.

      Car analogy: think shock absorbers and springs. Instead of the car experiencing the immediate change of a bump, the impact is dampened a bit. If it turns out to be a slope and not a small bump, the car eventually goes up. And yes if it's a big bump and your small car just can't cope with it, well that's life, but it should at least do it for small bumps.

      To me Governments that don't do that sort of thing for their citizens are Governments that aren't doing their jobs.

      Lastly, in some cases permanent subsidies might be necessary strategically. For example given the fact that the USA and so many other countries subsidize their farmers, if your country wants to have farmers (for long term strategic reasons - e.g. if stuff happens and you want to still have food to eat), your country will probably have to subsidize its farmers as well - otherwise they would just go out of business (it may not be they are inefficient or lazy, and just that they are not being subsidized like other farmers around the world).

      --
    30. Re:20% wind is about right. by hobbit · · Score: 1

      From the very article you linked to: (emphasis mine)

      A breeder reactor is a nuclear reactor that generates new fissile or fissionable material at a greater rate than it consumes such material. [...] Production of fissile material in a reactor occurs by neutron irradiation of fertile material, particularly uranium-238 and thorium-232.

      In other words, a breeder reactor is not a perpetual motion machine...

      --
      "Wise men talk because they have something to say; fools, because they have to say something" - Plato
  10. Broke in 10 years ? by mcsporran · · Score: 3, Funny

    Mr Pickens, with a national debt of about 30K per head, an imploding housing market, a possible depression and soaring exchange rates to other currencies, weren't you like, broke, 5 years ago ?

    --
    This is NOT a signature.
    1. Re:Broke in 10 years ? by RanCossack · · Score: 1

      Mr Pickens, with a national debt of about 30K per head, an imploding housing market, a possible depression and soaring exchange rates to other currencies, weren't you like, broke, 5 years ago ?

      The more the exchange rate soars, the easier paying off the debt will be. That's the problem with floating currencies... and it's a bad idea to make hyperinflation so positive for the government.

      But it's going to hurt when/if it hits, and not at all just the U.S. Fortunately, we actually could still recover. All it would take is a few decades of budget surplus, like we were running before we cut taxes and attacked Afganistan and Iraq. If we could just turn back the clock eight years and make the guy who won the popular vote president instead...

    2. Re:Broke in 10 years ? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Being a sharp operator and retaining many political connections... being a broke is but a temporary condition.

  11. Pay-for-water? Well, we already do, but... by VoyagerRadio · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    There was a cover story on this in Business Week a few weeks ago. Pickens is facing alot of resistance from folks over his intention to put a price on drinking water. Though we pay taxes to the government for our tap water, we haven't yet directly paid a private owner for water. Pickens wants to change that; he wants to make water profitable even where it's currently (just about) free.

    --
    Harold
    1. Re:Pay-for-water? Well, we already do, but... by Harmonious+Botch · · Score: 1

      It's never free. Getting clean water to the tap is paid for by somebody. Maybe the person who uses it doesn't pay full price for it, but someone, somewehere is paying for it.

      What he wants to do is correlate use with payment. This provides a motive for conservation.

    2. Re:Pay-for-water? Well, we already do, but... by VoyagerRadio · · Score: 1

      Apparently you failed to read my entire comment: "Though we pay taxes to the government for our tap water, we haven't yet directly paid a private owner for water." Yes, we pay for water, but we don't yet pay private owners. We're not being price-gouged in the way we could if that was the case.

      --
      Harold
    3. Re:Pay-for-water? Well, we already do, but... by VoyagerRadio · · Score: 1

      How is this Flamebait?

      --
      Harold
    4. Re:Pay-for-water? Well, we already do, but... by NJRoadfan · · Score: 1

      Funny, around here people get a water bill every 3 months based on usage and everyone has a water meter installed. Our water company is privately owned although state regulated by the Board of Public Utilities.

    5. Re:Pay-for-water? Well, we already do, but... by VoyagerRadio · · Score: 1

      I guess I misread the article, then. (No sarcasm there.) It's been a few weeks since I read it. Here's the portion, from the article, that I recall having led me to believe water was not privately owned: "The idea that water can be sold for private gain is still considered unconscionable by many," says James M. Olson, one of America's preeminent attorneys specializing in water- and land-use law. "But the scarcity of water and the extraordinary profits that can be made may overwhelm ordinary public sensibilities." (See http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/08_25/b4089040017753.htm for this quote in its full context.)

      --
      Harold
  12. Who owns the land? by Strange+Attractor · · Score: 1

    Much of the land in West Texas where the wind blows is owned by the Texas and Pacific Land Trust (TPL). How much of that does T. Boone Pickens own?

  13. Re:Um by RealGene · · Score: 3, Informative

    Fine, don't RTFA. And apparently, you didn't read the /. summary, either
    The intention is to use wind power to free up supply of domestic natural gas for transport (that's automobiles).
    22% of US electric demand is supplied by natural gas fired power plants.
    [Gene]

    --
    Mission: To provide products that consume time and energy as entertainingly as permitted by the laws of thermodynamics.
  14. Water for sale? Just plain wrong by VoyagerRadio · · Score: 0, Troll

    We already pay for tap water: through our taxes. Pickens wants to change that, however: he wants us to pay a private owner for water, even water that's disputably owned. It think it's a bad idea. Do we really want to see private ownership of water? Then corporate ownership? It's bad enough that most consumers are being fooled by Pepsi and Coca Cola Bottling for their unregulated water products (which aren't any better than tap water, and are possibly worse); water should be free, everywhere, and perhaps the *only* resource government *must* provide.

    --
    Harold
    1. Re:Water for sale? Just plain wrong by VoyagerRadio · · Score: 1

      Sorry for essentially posting this twice (though both posts were somewhat different). I would like to add that Pickens' plans to capitalize on wind power are the result of his failure (thus far) to capitalize on his water plan. It's about the land he owns in Texas, and has owned for some time: he's so desperate to make more money off of it that he's willing to try just about anything. First, he tried (and is still trying) to make money from the water that he's claiming to be his own (even though it's arguably not, especially considering the fact that he'd like to suck it out of the ground at a rate that will not be replaceable). Now, he's trying to make money by placing the windmills. This isn't some altruistic move; I'm not saying it's ill-intenioned, either. Yet it's clear he wants to make alot more money (or a bigger name) before he passes on.

      --
      Harold
  15. Alternative Energy... hmm... by Evets · · Score: 4, Informative

    Generating electricity isn't that difficult. Generating enough electricity to keep an average american home electric-bill free is. I started looking into solar and found it was too expensive for too little of a return. Maybe a few years down the road it will be better.

    I'm sure a lot of people have done the same, and I'm sure a lot of people have also taken the next step as well and started looking into less expensive ways to generate energy. It seems odd, but very little attention has been paid to the home-electricity arena and there are huge opportunities for engineers and innovators. Building a radial flux generator is well within the capabilities of most do-it-your-selfers for less then a few hundred dollars and the only problem is how to turn it.

    Should it really have taken until 2007 before flutter belts came along? Is it really that hard to engineer a device that would take advantage of rooftop wind energy? I bet some products hit the market soon and some DIY projects start showing up online as well.

    But wind energy isn't the only thing out there. PV isn't the only way to extract energy from the sun. Gravity can be harnessed pretty easily. And there are plenty of other sources as well.

    If there's one good thing to come out of the gas price situation we are dealing with, it's that a lot of smart people will be looking at energy generation all over again.

  16. Re:Um by thrashee · · Score: 0, Troll

    Yet another poster whose "claim" is to simply spout out RTFA.

    Anyone have any idea of the feasibility of actually using natural gas to fuel transportation? Yes? No? I'm willing to bet that in the long run, it's simply not as efficient. Electric cars are great, but they haven't made a major dent in the industry, now have they?

  17. Not trustworthy by RockMFR · · Score: 1

    This guy was one of the major contributors to the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth propaganda campaign in 2004. I don't trust this guy one bit.

    Besides that, there's something just not right about a billionaire oilman who comes up with an energy plan and first presents it on television commercials - this is not the proper channel for discussing energy policy.

    1. Re:Not trustworthy by Dunbal · · Score: 3, Informative

      this is not the proper channel for discussing energy policy.

            He's got you talking about it, hasn't he? How hard will it be to push congress critters for the appropriate political backing when he's already convinced half the country that he's the man to follow?

            Oh he might be wrong, and he might be full of crap, but he's playing politics. And in energy, you NEED politics. Otherwise your multi billion dollar wind farm gets killed by someone who is concerned about all the sparrows getting caught up in the turbine blades... poor little birdies...

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    2. Re:Not trustworthy by stinerman · · Score: 1

      You don't even need to resort to ad hominems. Why would we want to substitute natural gas for gasoline? I don't know if anyone has checked, but natural gas ain't exactly cheap either.

      Adding in the increased demand due to its use as an automobile fuel, I'm willing to be it'd be more expensive than gasoline. Not to mention that we're running out of natural gas, too.

      Renewables along with heavy investment in mass transit is the only long term solution, save the fusion generator that's always a decade away.

    3. Re:Not trustworthy by introspekt.i · · Score: 1

      this is not the proper channel for discussing energy policy.

      The floor of the house and senate has been a much more effective locale for energy policy discussions. If he drums up support in the private sector through a well-placed PR campaign and builds up the funds to plunk down a ton of wind farms to power stuff, what's the big deal? Is he acting in his own best interests? OF COURSE. So what? There's money to be made in energy, be it green or otherwise. Through this means he can build up a better rapport with the public and drum up support from possible financial backers. If it gets us wind turbines, what's so bad about it?

    4. Re:Not trustworthy by introspekt.i · · Score: 1

      Fusion power will be here at 2050...that's what happens in Sim City 2000, at least.

    5. Re:Not trustworthy by RealGene · · Score: 1

      Adding in the increased demand due to its use as an automobile fuel, I'm willing to be it'd be more expensive than gasoline. Not to mention that we're running out of natural gas, too.

      You can make methane from pig shit, and there's certainly no shortage of that...
      [Gene]

      --
      Mission: To provide products that consume time and energy as entertainingly as permitted by the laws of thermodynamics.
    6. Re:Not trustworthy by gregbot9000 · · Score: 1

      yeah, a Creepy corporate mogul talking about government regulating the economy to build a giant project who starts by beating the populist and patriotic drum on TV? Why does this scare me more then fill me with hope?

    7. Re:Not trustworthy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know if anyone has checked, but natural gas ain't exactly cheap either.

      No, but it is a *domestic* source of energy which is the whole point of TFA in case you were not listening. And while it is not cheap, most places it costs far less than gasoline.

      Really, your ad hominem attack comment fails it. I suspect that when gas hits $6 gallon this thinking evaporates.

    8. Re:Not trustworthy by n0-0p · · Score: 1

      He wasn't a major contributor to the swift boaters. He was by far the major contributor, and he has a history of playing the media and greasing politicians to his personal benefit. So, yeah, I'll be keeping a suspicious eye on this one.

    9. Re:Not trustworthy by stinerman · · Score: 1

      Do you even know what "ad hominem" means?

    10. Re:Not trustworthy by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      It was good enough for BarterTown.

  18. Re:Um by scottrocket · · Score: 2, Insightful
    If these LNG cars also happen to be pluggable hybrids, then he makes money both ways: He sells you the electricity for the nightly plug in, & the LNG for those longer trips or convenience of not having to plug in at all. I suspect he is serious, if the article is correct, and Pickens is void of hyperbole:

    "We're going to build a 4,000-megawatt farm in Pampa, and we've already bought the turbines for the first 1,000 megawatts".

  19. Natural gas for cars = bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    This blogger explains it pretty well:

    Memo to T. Boone Pickens: Your energy plan is half-brilliant, half-dumb

    Seriously, though, it's great that gazillionaire TBP is talking up peak oil and joining the wind power bandwagon (see "Wind Power â" A core climate solution"). And it's great he plans to spend tens of millions of dollars pushing this idea and delivering the mesage that $15 billion dollars for the wind production tax credit is peanuts compared to the $700 billion this country is going to spend on foreign oil this year.

    But if you want to displace oil, the obvious thing to do is use of the wind power to charge plug-in hybrids (see "Plug-in hybrids and electric cars â" a core climate solution"), multiple models of which will be introduced into the US car market in two years. Indeed, with electric utilities controlling the charging of the plug-ins, they can make optimum use of variable windpower, which is mostly available at night time. That would be win-win-win.

    The Pickens Plan, however, is based on the utterly impractical idea that "Harnessing the power of wind to generate electricity will give us the flexibility to shift natural gas away from electricity generation and put it to use as a transportation fuel."

    Uhh, never gonna happen, T. Boone. Never. The most obvious reason is the gross inefficiency of the entire plan.

    Right now, "We currently use natural gas to produce 22% of our electricity." Most of that electricity comes from gas burned in combined cycle gas turbines at an overall efficiency of up to 60%. Why in the world would the federal government â" or anyone else â" spend billions and billion of dollars on natural gas fueling stations and natural gas vehicles in order to burn the gas with an efficiency of 15% to 20%? Natural gas is simply too useful and expensive to squander in such a fashion.

    And then thereâ(TM)s global warming.

    It now seems clear this country will have a major effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and a price for carbon dioxide within a few years. That means all federal and private sector energy-related investments will increasingly be driven by the need to achieve reductions in carbon dioxide emissions at the lowest price.

    Running cars on natural gas does NOT significantly reduce GHG emissions (esp. if there is even the tiniest leak in the whole gas delivery process). Running a car on electricity from the U.S. electric grid does reduce GHG emissions. And running a car on electricity from combined cycle gas turbines would have a far lower GHG emissions than running the car directly on natural gas â" internal combustion engines are simply too damn inefficient.

    1. Re:Natural gas for cars = bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      One main point that many are overlooking that T. Boones is making, and something that I have known for a long time, is that the idea is to use natural gas as a transition technology. The second point that he makes is substituting wind for natural gas.

      It's true that burning natgas in a car is less efficient than in a turbine. But one could make the argument that using a car is less efficient than using public transportation. And, if you happen to not live in the US and don't know this, Americans are heavily dependent for their car to get to work, and most public transportation is woefully inadequate. In fact, the argument could easily be made that much of our high productivity is the result of the ease of transportation we have enjoyed to this point.

      Again, effieciency is not the question here, as (T. Boones is suggesting) the same amount of natural gas will be burned in cars, and that amount used will be replaced by wind energy which is achieved by burning nothing. If you listened to T. Boones in the morning news shows, not doing anything is far worse than doing nothing and staying the present course of ever increasing oil consumption.

      I'm sure that plug-in hybrids will eventually become a viable technology. For some it is already. But frankly, there are still difficult technological problems with the batteries. The whole crux of T. Boones argument is that all the technology exists today to achieve roughly a 30% decrease in our foreign dependence on oil that exports 700 billion (and increasing) of our dollars overseas in ten years.

      Frankly, he is right on all points. And I find the arguments over car motor efficiency pedantic and meaningless posturing by a nut calling himself "green," when two percent of our GDP is going overseas for oil now. Not to mention that there is not much greener technology than wind to replace our energy needs in our power grid.

      I suspect that this "green" blogger might see the wisdom in implementing a suggestion like this with the next $1-2 dollar rise in gas prices rather than argue and do nothing for the next 10 years when gas will be $15 and he has no job to go to.

    2. Re:Natural gas for cars = bad idea by larry+bagina · · Score: 1

      This explains it even better:

      T. Boone Pickens is building wind farms. J. Random Blogger is sitting in his underwear, picking his pud.

      --
      Do you even lift?

      These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.

    3. Re:Natural gas for cars = bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Plug-in hybrids will not capture a significant portion of market share for the simple reason of the materials in those batteries being in short supply. Retrofitting and replacing America's fleet is not going to happen unless there is a significant revolution in battery construction.

  20. We Are Headed In the Right Direction by doC15+'-_-' · · Score: 1

    Finally, when we Americans have a gun held to our head and are in an energy crisis, we start doing something about it. The good news is that it's never too late to start doing something about it and I believe this country is finally headed in the right direction regarding the energy pandemic. It doesn't really matter what you think about Picken's. At least there are people coming out with solutions to the problem. A few years ago, there wasn't near the volume of discussion about energy and foreign oil dependance as there is today.

  21. too little too late. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    great idea!

    too bad it'll take 5-10 years to get to market, and in that time the US is gonna fall into an even deeper hole than it currently is now! it's a bandaid on a limb that was chopped off -- better than nothing, but FAR too little, too late.

    it's a shame those oil CEOs (that make more money in a minute than I will in my entire life) can't be bothered to invest in rapid deployment of something like this, eh?

  22. Re:Um by VoyagerRadio · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yeah, I'm with you on this. The moderation here seems broken, seriously flawed.

    --
    Harold
  23. Its a bit bigger than a butterfly by eggfoolr · · Score: 1

    Has anyone considered what the impact on the environment these wind farms have? Surely large scale wind farms will reduce the wind currents across the continents and cause a series of climate changes that no one expects?

    Perhaps it will reduce heat transfer and cause a portion of the planet to fall into an ice age? Who knows?

    1. Re:Its a bit bigger than a butterfly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They have about the same impact as any upright obstacle with surface area, like trees or buildings.

      Perhaps it will reduce heat transfer and cause a portion of the planet to fall into an ice age? Who knows?

      I know! What's worse is the air that you're wasting. Do you have any idea how much O2 you use in a day? Please stop breathing air.

    2. Re:Its a bit bigger than a butterfly by ElAurian · · Score: 1

      Considering that global warming is expected to kill one-fifth to one-third of all species worldwide, I'd say that the relatively miniscule effect wind power generation will have on the environment is FAR preferable.

  24. Slim Pickens! by introspekt.i · · Score: 1

    That's what it is! I couldn't resist.

  25. Tornadoes get a bad rap by spineboy · · Score: 0, Troll

    Or maybe T. Boone Pickens is a big fan of tornadoes, and doesn't like all the bad press they get. Now with wind power being a good thing, people will look forward to a tornado, since it might really give the city a nice little boost of energy. This way Mr. Pickens gets to refurbish theimage of tornadoes, like how John Travolta became cool again after Pulp Fiction.

    --
    ..........FULL STOP.
  26. Planning. by spineboy · · Score: 1

    I'm sure he did no planning at all, just came up with this idea, and then started spending advertising money on T.V. for it.

    Or maybe it will work.

    --
    ..........FULL STOP.
  27. I call bull by Idiomatick · · Score: 1, Interesting

    "a one-third reduction, equal to $230 billion, in the U.S.' yearly payments to foreign countries."

    Note that he says it reduces foreign spending, but not cost. Weird, it might go either way but he doesnt say ...

    Everything I have read on wind power shows it to be incredibly infeasible. You'd have to cover the entire corridor with mills to be able to get the % he wants. He also listed biofuel as generator option which is frankly frightening. And he is underestimating greatly the effort to change to natural gas.
     
      Then he says all we need is proper leadership. HAH, if we had the perfect leader we could land a person on mars in 10years. But thats not happening. Hell if we had even semi-decent leadership, we could pass a law enforcing fuel efficiency and mpg for cars and usage would drop dramatically.

    But maybe I just have it in for a guy that sounds like a hick while talking about science. And he has a name like T.Boone (reminds me of steak, country music stars, rappers and b/w westerns all at the same time). And was in SBVT a false smear campaign against kerry....

    1. Re:I call bull by uncamarty · · Score: 1

      Note that he says it reduces foreign spending, but not cost.

      Cost is not the issue - its the cash going off-shore. Even if it costs double the amount to establish the infrastructure for wind power, the cash remains in the US's pockets - provided of course that some nut doesn't but the bits from off-shore.

      --
      I am not a manual I am a human being! - The distress call of the TechSupport Badger
    2. Re:I call bull by pedestrian+crossing · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Everything I have read on wind power shows it to be incredibly infeasible.

      Hmmm, seems to be feasible in Europe. Germany currently gets over 14% of its energy from renewable sources. That's not projected, that is *right now*.

      He also listed biofuel as generator option which is frankly frightening.

      I agree that any biofuel solution that competes with food resources is a bad idea, but there are other ways of generating biofuel (ie., algae) that seem sound.

      --
      A house divided against itself cannot stand.
    3. Re:I call bull by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He also listed biofuel as generator option which is frankly frightening.

      No, his point was not biofuel as a specific destination, but rather putting all domestic forms of energy production on the table in an attempt to get the US off foreign oil.

      But maybe I just have it in for a guy that sounds like a hick while talking about science.

      It's unfortunate that you let your bigotry towards his cultural ethnicity blind you of his ultimate goal. I.e. getting us off our dependency on foreign oil before it wrecks us as nation economically. Which in my book, is a good idea no matter who can push it.

    4. Re:I call bull by Idiomatick · · Score: 1

      Germany gets 6% from wind. And the us uses 10x as much electricity. And thats with 20,000 mills. Sooo the US would need around 40times as many mills to meet the level tboone specified. Thats 800,000mills. At current prices this will take 28trillion dollars to install i'm sure scale would drop this to around 10trillion but that doesnt really matter prices are arguable. The real problem is that a 200MW farm takes 20 square kilometers. So to fill that 20% need it would cover around a quarter of texas.

    5. Re:I call bull by IdolizingStewie · · Score: 1

      Ok, so you cover a quarter of Texas with wind farms. It doesn't prevent you from doing anything else you would typically do in west Texas there. Hell, you could have turbines, drilling, and cattle on the same ranch without issue.

  28. Can't afford a bus ticket. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I was under the impression that the US was already TRILLIONS of dollars in debt? What difference is $700 billion going to make really? The US is a lost cause, time to jump ship.

  29. Two words... by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 0

    Migratory birds.

    --
    If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    1. Re:Two words... by AaronW · · Score: 1

      This generally isn't a problem. This has been a problem around Altamont Pass in California because of the type of windmills used and that it is a major bird cooridore. The larger slower moving wind mills are much less of a problem.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    2. Re:Two words... by weeboo0104 · · Score: 1

      No big deal. The plains of Nebraska and Kansas will go from producing Shredded Wheat to producing "Shredded Tweet".

      --
      It is easier to build strong children than to repair broken men. -Frederick Douglass
  30. Blame The Environmentalist Fuckstains by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If it wasn't for their stupid asses we'd be tapped into ANWR and the Gulf and pumping millions of barrels a day and buying gas at less than two dollars a gallon. Fucking domestic terrorists.

    1. Re:Blame The Environmentalist Fuckstains by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Drilling in ANWR and the Gulf would take 10 years to bring online. Also, the oil supplied would only bring down the price of gas by 7-10 cents/gallon.

    2. Re:Blame The Environmentalist Fuckstains by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Drilling in ANWR and the Gulf would take 10 years to bring online.

      That's cool. You mean it's not worthwhile because in 10 years petroleum products will be free, right?

  31. Bush's Deficit by Calindae · · Score: 1

    Aren't we already "broke"?

  32. DIY project by FriedmannSolution5 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    http://www.solarnetwork.net/ in the "keep what you generate, share what you save model"

  33. Re:Um by RealGene · · Score: 4, Informative

    You really have a severe case of ADD, if you can't get past my first line.
    It takes 5.6 pounds of natural gas to provide the equivalent energy of 1 gallon of gasoline (GGE).
    (1 gallon of gasoline weighs between 5 and 6 pounds, depending on temperature).
    According to the Green Car Congress, a gasoline Honda Civic SE consumes 6.9 liters of gasoline for every 100 kilometers driven (34 mpg); the CNG Civic GX requires 7.4 liters gasoline equivalent (31.7 mpg), making it 7% less efficient. The GX carries 8.0 GGE, for a range of about 200 miles.
    In Massachusetts, CNG is selling for $2.96 GGE, vs. $4.09 for gasoline, making it 28% less expensive.
    There are approximately 120,000 CNG vehicles on the road in the US. [Gene]

    --
    Mission: To provide products that consume time and energy as entertainingly as permitted by the laws of thermodynamics.
  34. extreme transmission losses by vijayiyer · · Score: 1

    Unless we're going to have superconducting transmission lines, proposals like this just don't make sense due to the transmission losses. Otherwise solar power in the desert would work too. Perhaps you could colocate things like aluminum plants, but otherwise, this is yet another "feel good" idea.

    1. Re:extreme transmission losses by eclectro · · Score: 1

      As compared to all the hydroelectric power in the northwest being sent down lines into the southeast? How do you think the current energy grid works??

      --
      Take the cheese to sickbay, the doctor should see it as soon as possible - B'Elanna Torres, "Learning Curve"
    2. Re:extreme transmission losses by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

      I can understand that issue, but Pickens' project has one advantage other large-scale wind turbine farms in other parts of the USA don't have: much shorter distances to connect to the customers that need this power, namely all those customers in Texas.

      Sure, it will cost around US$4 billion to connect up this wind farm to the Texas utility grid, but it's kind of hard to ignore 4,000 MW in generating capacity in one of the world's best areas for locating wind turbines. This is why every major company involved in wind turbines are putting up wind farms in western Texas.

  35. DOA by TopSpin · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Difficult to imagine how someone with this much wealth, presumably obtained via business acumen, could be this naive. The enviros will not simply stand by and permit private interests to carpet the front range with propellers. No way, no how.

    They will claim bird extinction. The will claim the composites necessary to build the props are destroying the planet. They'll get a consensus of government funded scientists to assert that large wind farms cause devastating Atmospheric Thermal Depletion*. They'll discover whatever "endangered" prairie critters they have too to prevent anything on this scale.

    Forget it.

    *should copyright that

    --
    Lurking at the bottom of the gravity well, getting old
    1. Re:DOA by jmorris42 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      > The enviros will not simply stand by and permit private
      > interests to carpet the front range with propellers.

      Yup, to the greens there is only one solution, eliminate industrial civilization, especially the American Way of Life. New energy sources, regardless how 'green' only alow evil Americans to continue to flaunt their high standard of living.

      There are ALREADY greens opposing windmills. They oppose hydro. They even find objections to geothermal and solar. All of that stuff is great when it is greens doing impractical but feel good pilot projects to show how superior THEY are... more often than not spending the hard earned tax money of the 'lessor folk' they so despise. But as soon as an alternative energy source gets close to actual unsubsidized viability they objections start.

      Don't believe me? Go back and observe how every fscking one of the enviros were gushing about biofuels only a few years ago. Anyone who wasn't in favor of pissing away money on pilot plants and forcing mandates, etc just had to be in league with the oil companies. Production finally gets ramped up to non-trivial levels and now it's horrible. Duh, why da ya think those of us with a brain thought it was a dumb idea to turn our food into fuel? On to switchgrass... until it starts actually producing fuel.

      --
      Democrat delenda est
    2. Re:DOA by eclectro · · Score: 1

      There are ALREADY greens opposing windmills. They oppose hydro. They even find objections to geothermal and solar. All of that stuff is great when it is greens doing impractical but feel good pilot projects to show how superior THEY are...

      None of which stops the vast majority of them to go into a gas station to fill up their car.

      --
      Take the cheese to sickbay, the doctor should see it as soon as possible - B'Elanna Torres, "Learning Curve"
    3. Re:DOA by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

      >> None of which stops the vast majority of them to go into a gas station to fill up their car.

      Or jet-setting around the country to give speeches to small audiences of "me-toos" to pump up their egos with hot air that was heated by fossil fuels, all the while leaving all the incandescent lights on at their mansions back home.

  36. We're already broke. by jcr · · Score: 1

    I'm a little surprised that Pickens didn't mention that the USA has been inflating and spending like crazy for decades. We're not going to go broke in a decade, we're already seeing the dollar crash.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  37. buy the right securities by jaypaulw · · Score: 1

    You know you can buy securities that will appreciate if the S&P 500 goes down. I'd love it if all the doomsayers would put their money where the mouths are.

    Do you think that you know something the market doesn't? If the market should be priced lower based on all available information today (public and private-most likely) why isn't it?

    Also, I think you'll find if you look at global market indices they've all been on the decline since last fall - it's a global economy you know.

    Finally, what do you mean by "broke?" That the US isn't t going to be able to service its debt? Certainly we have more assets than debt, although much of them are illiquid. But I think you'll find that historically low tax rates can be raised if adjustments need made.

    Finally if our central bank knows when it can't let a bank collapse (Bear Sterns,) then the rest of the world knows that it can't make a credit call on US debt without destroying their own capital markets.

    JP

    1. Re:buy the right securities by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Do you think that you know something the market doesn't?

      No. I AM the market - or at least part of it. That's how I earn my living, and I'm doing quite well.

      You know you can buy securities that will appreciate if the S&P 500 goes down.

            Yes. Or I could just short SPY.

      If the market should be priced lower based on all available information today (public and private-most likely) why isn't it?

            It is. What, you expect it to fall to zero in a day? No, there's always fools prepared to bet against the market, and people like me prepared to take their money. But all of this takes time and we're limited to 9:30 to 4pm 5 days a week. However if you're having trouble understanding which way the market is headed I recommend going back to school and learning how to read a graph. So far the doom-sayers are right. Oh it will come back. One day. Couple years perhaps?

      Also, I think you'll find if you look at global market indices they've all been on the decline since last fall - it's a global economy you know.

            Of course it is. And the whole world needs oil. Which is why the whole world is going to the crapper. But those who have risked more will lose more, and the US economy has been dragging behind the rest of the world for quite some time now, despite deficit-funded attempts at getting it going again. Oh dear, and now the US economy is mostly based on services. People with no money do not pay for services. When the middle class goes, that will collapse too.

      Certainly we have more assets than debt, although much of them are illiquid.

            Oh yes, if you add up the value of all the resources in the US it's still a very rich country indeed. However if you need to pay and you're not liquid, expect 10 cents on the dollar (for argument's sake) or less for your assets.

            But no, the payment will come in the form of a redistribution of wealth. Corporations that are used to borrowing capital on inflated stock prices won't be able to borrow as much, and won't be able to invest as much into growth and technology. Those same corporations also have competitors on the global market now - from BRIC, who already produce cheaper (although inferior quality) goods. What happens if BRIC manage to increase their quality at a better price than the US? No one will want US goods then.

      Finally if our central bank knows when it can't let a bank collapse (Bear Sterns,) then the rest of the world knows that it can't make a credit call on US debt without destroying their own capital markets.

            Doesn't it scare you that a single bank (and not the biggest!) required government intervention to prevent an economic disaster in the US? No one will make a credit call on the US. But you can bet...well no, I'm betting, that more people are going to look at the US' competitors for their manufacturing/currency needs. Dealing with the US is becoming too much of a pain in the ass - dollar wise, environmental and god knows what else legislation wise, anti-terrorist/money laundering law wise and "IP" wise. So when all that's left in the US is McDonald's (tm) restaurants, what happens?

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    2. Re:buy the right securities by jaypaulw · · Score: 1

      "Oh it will come back. One day. Couple years perhaps?"

      Yes, or tomorrow. If you don't believe in market timing (which I don't) then tomorrow is as good as couple years from now. Because the graph is pointed down over the past months you think it necessarily is going to continue to go down do you - how can it ever switch direction if it never has before? Also, if the market is coming back in the next few years like you say, how does it have anything to do with us growing broke within ten years?

      "Doesn't it scare you that a single bank (and not the biggest!) required government intervention to prevent an economic disaster in the US? No one will make a credit call on the US. But you can bet...well no, I'm betting, that more people are going to look at the US' competitors for their manufacturing/currency needs. Dealing with the US is becoming too much of a pain in the ass - dollar wise, environmental and god knows what else legislation wise, anti-terrorist/money laundering law wise and "IP" wise. So when all that's left in the US is McDonald's (tm) restaurants, what happens?"

      It scares me that people have so much hubris (similar to your confidence in your own market assessment) in making leveraged market bets and concentrate their assets. And it scares me that the gov't had to intervene and the moral hazard implications. But it looks like they "prevent[ed] an economic disaster in the [world]?" (meaning we aren't in a situation of economic "disaster")

      As far as the US being down to McDonald's as it's only industry, I think US market cap probably paints the US prospects and discounted cash flows as being a tiny bit better than.

      What else, I.P.? You mean our laws our *too* protective of corporations right now? Not following you on that one. "Weak" dollar - US manufactures don't seem to be complaining. Environment? So your going to send capital to tiny emerging markets like china and brazil so you can trash the environment easier?

      I certainly see a billion problems with the US, but I certainly am not arrogant enough to think i'm the only one that does.

    3. Re:buy the right securities by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      over the top IP laws are great for big companies which own a lot of patents and copyrights already in the states but if I try to start a small company say writing software then the patent system becomes like Russian roulette. If one of the big boys decides that I've unknowingly recreated some of their patented code then I can be in for a costly legal battle.

  38. Incomplete plan by Politicus · · Score: 2, Insightful

    These schemes always go something like, "Renewable, blah blah blah, then a miracle occurs and everyone lives happily ever after." Let's all sing the monorail song now.

    Natural gas is already a dead end. There's a reason why licenses for liquid natural gas ports have exploded and that is because domestic natural gas supplies are dwindling. Changing the transportation infrastructure to a fuel already in high demand at power plants is dumber than dumb.

    Wind is awesome. It's cheap. It's safe and there's plenty of it. With DC transmission lines, you can even alleviate the peak demand to peak supply gap. The main problem is that the energy density isn't there. You have to put up a lot of capital up front to get the capacity you need. Wind doesn't need subsidies but until fossil fuel and nuclear subsidies dry up, there isn't enough market incentive to get it going on a scale that's more than a science project.

    Hydro has already been overbuilt. There's no more energy to get out of that other than efficiency improvements at existing sites.

    This leaves us with various solar technologies. The problem here is that there's a lot of manufacturing to be done before you start to see solar contribute significant energy to the grid. It's too late to make the transition painless. That should have gotten under way with Carter's energy plan. We would already be the beneficiaries of a new energy infrastructure today, but Reagan had to go and rip out working solar panels powering the Whitehouse as a sign to the oil hooligans that the party's on. So no, the transition won't be painless. It won't even be bearable. It will hurt. My only hope is that the pain produces some real political change, hopefully within the framework of the constitution since I'd rather not see Americans shed blood however gratuitous the initial outbreak may be. That always turns ugly. From Tsar to General Secretary or King to Emperor, revolutions have little chance of settling on the median most people want.

    A good start would be to actually uphold the existing constitution by impeaching the evil doers. At least then, you're guaranteed not to have to endure some asshole on a "bring em on" trip ever again.

    --
    Politicus
    1. Re:Incomplete plan by benjamindees · · Score: 1

      Changing the transportation infrastructure to a fuel already in high demand at power plants is dumber than dumb.

      Natural gas may be in high demand, but electrical generators can only afford it during peak hours. New pricing laws, subsidies and technological improvements are slowly introducing solar as a viable alternative.

      Transport fuels, even CNG, will always demand a premium over electricity due to their relative energy density, ease of transport, and compatibility with existing vehicles in comparison. You can economically run almost any car on natural gas. You yet can't economically run any car on electricity.

      --
      "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    2. Re:Incomplete plan by Doctor+Faustus · · Score: 1

      This leaves us with various solar technologies.
      And geothermal. And hydro that isn't based on a dam, like tidal generators and sea floor turbines. And, while it does have its drawback, nuclear really belongs here, too.

      The problem here is that there's a lot of manufacturing to be done before you start to see solar contribute significant energy to the grid.
      If we use solar thermal in addition to photovoltaics (hopefully, those will be concentrated on rooftop applications), that's mechanical manufacturing, not just semiconductor, plus construction work. Isn't the government trying to shovel money back into the economy ("economic stimulus"), anyway?

      Anyway, this doesn't have to be an all-at-once thing. Our initial goal should be to use renewables to cover the overall shortage in capacity people are already talking about. Then we can phase out our few oil-burning plants to save the oil for cars, and start in on the coal plants.

  39. I Smell A Turd Blossom by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As a Texan and solar/wind advocate (I get my electricity from West Texas wind and have a 3 KW solar array on the roof), I find Pickens' actions very ironic/egotistical. He is getting written up in Business Week and all over the web for his altruistic vision while also funding advertisements to show how the candidates should address alternative energy and a reduction on foreign oil dependence by switching to natural gas and wind. Clearly, these are self-serving ads from a man that only cares ultimately about the bottom-line.

    What is lost is that this is the very same man who financed the Swift Boat ads that effectively killed Kerry's campaign. I am pretty sure Kerry would have gotten the US further down the road of renewable energy than Bush has. Was Pickens smart enough to realize that he needed more time to build his plan out and needed to kill off Kerry? Or was he just being a good oilman in supporting the Bush/Cheney campaign?

    The real underlying reason for all this appears to be a smokescreen for his desire to open a water "pipeline" (which would just so happen to run right next to the wind energy transmission lines) from the Texas panhandle to DFW where he stands to make a significant amount of money from water arbitrage.

    The United States does not need someone like Pickens to promote the wind energy market. There is more than adequate capital flowing into these projects already. But Pickens does need to find a way to build his water pipeline, and renewable energy is a very convenient way to do it.

  40. HUH? by RustinHWright · · Score: 1

    Care to explain that statement?

    --
    It's all about the information. And what we do with it.
    1. Re:HUH? by poopdeville · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Wind power, much like cold fusion, has a lot of potential (specifically with regards to the Senate...) but has failed to deliver.

      DO YOU REALLY WANT ME TO EXPLAIN THE JOKE TO YOU?

      --
      After all, I am strangely colored.
    2. Re:HUH? by RustinHWright · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Ya see, I *thought* that might have been it but since wind turbines have been working and turning profits for years now, utterly unlike cold fusion, I thought perhaps you had something a bit more reasonable in mind. By what standard has wind power "failed to deliver"?

      --
      It's all about the information. And what we do with it.
    3. Re:HUH? by poopdeville · · Score: 0

      Yes, it sounds like YOU WANT ME TO EXPLAIN THE JOKE TO YOU.

      WIND TURBINES HAVE FAILED TO DELIVER THE PROMISE OF CAPTURING THE SENATE'S HOT AIR.

      Also, I suggest reading the "name" line -- I didn't write the joke in the first place, so that "you" you speak of is not me. Autism and poor reading comprehension do not mix well.

      --
      After all, I am strangely colored.
    4. Re:HUH? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I voted you down because you used your username instead of AC on a truly dumb post.

    5. Re:HUH? by IchNiSan · · Score: 1

      Change years to centuries.... After all, power does not have to be electricity. http://windmillersgazette.com/history.html

    6. Re:HUH? by gregbot9000 · · Score: 1

      This proposal is pure snake oil and this man is a Charlatan. Your right that I was wrong to campare wind power with cold fusion. I should have instead compared it to regular fussion: Proven to actually work in select cases, but not yet proven cost effective.

      I am unaware of any instance where wind power has proven cost effective against other sources where there is not government intervention.

    7. Re:HUH? by mstone · · Score: 1

      That 'profit' has to be factored against the $19-per-megawatt tax credit wind power receives, plus other government subsidies.

      Don't get me wrong.. I think wind power is worth exploring, and I know that any new technology can use a financial boost to help it ramp up from the lab and test-factory stage to the point where economies of scale kick in and it really starts to make money.

      Bottom line, though: wind power hasn't gotten to the point where it's competitive with coal, gas, or oil on its own merits yet.

      So financially speaking, there is a valid comparison to be made between wind and cold fusion. Everyone agrees that something is happening in cold fusion reactions, because more power comes out than was pumped in. Researchers just haven't gotten to to the point where enough power comes out to make the reaction self sustaining and energy positive. Everyone agrees that wind power looks like a good idea, but it hasn't gotten to the point where enough money comes out to make it financially self sustaining and profitable. There's a good chance we'll see breakthroughs that put both fields in the black, but we haven't seen them as of today.

  41. How about trailer park wind farms? by Dexter+Herbivore · · Score: 1

    Surely you could build a trailer park and then harness the power of the inevitable twisters that would hit it.

  42. Wind Power? by iminplaya · · Score: 1

    Excellent...

    See my vest, see my vest,
    Made from real gorilla chest...

    --
    What?
  43. Re:Alternative Energy... hmm... by QuantumRiff · · Score: 2, Interesting

    My brothers neighbor spent 60k on a solar/wind system for his house. We thought he was crazy, but then realized that tax credits and rebates and incentives from the electric company paid for almost half of it, so lets call it $35k owed. Now, he's working on getting an electric car for trips to the store, and converting his dryer and stove back to electric. Figures that the whole system will pay for itself in about 8-10 years, depending on how much electric bills increase over the next few years.. And he likes the fact that he will never have to pay the power company any money again.. (has batteries and a biodiesel generator to keep the house going for a few days in case of a bad winter)

    --

    What are we going to do tonight Brain?
  44. Good transit options in many cities by benwaggoner · · Score: 2, Informative

    Oh, there are certainly spread-out suburbs. But a lot of the older East Coast cities make a 100% public transit lifestyle possible, and in places like NYC, often dramatically preferrable.

    And other cities have made good investements to enable people to not need a daily car. Here in Portland OR, the mix of bike routes, buses, light rail, and FlexCar-like services keep a lot of people out of single-occupancy cars for the daily commute. A similar lifestyle is possible in Seattle. And we see companies like Google and Microsoft offering free employee-only transit services to help easy congestion and parking problems. Plus employees do work on their commute thanks to on-bus WiFi, instead of arriving at work exhaused and enraged by traffic :).

    So, we've got a long way to go, and places (Texas?) very hard to transition to a non-car lifestyle. But we have other places showing it really can be done.

    Plus there's better car options. I saw a couple SMART cars on I-5 today...

    1. Re:Good transit options in many cities by k8to · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What percentage of the population can live in areas which support car-free life. I don't mean car-free commuting, I mean car free errands, car free food buying and so on.

      Yes, areas in cities such as Boston, New York City, and Philadelphia do support this, but the vast majority of these metro areas only have frequent transport availability during commute times, with non-commute tasks accomplished primarily via car.

      FlexCar/ZipCar etc are smart. Bicycles are smart. But even these require a certain level of density, such as that of towns relatively near the center. For example I live in Oakland, California, the less-dense neighbor and bedroom community to San Francisco. The walking transportation service is poor, but the density is sufficient to support ZipCar service, carpools, commuter transit, and effective living via bicycle self-transport.

      The majority of the population, however, lives in towns like Walnut Creek, Dublin, Fremont, Lafayette, Milpitas, Hercules, Kensington, Richmond, and Novato which have even less density, even poorer public transit and are not friendly to bicycle-transportation living.

      Add in smaller city areas such as those in California's central valley -- Merced, Modesto, Lodi, Stockton -- where proportionally much more growth is happing, and public transit worth using exists at all. On top of that, look at how the state government is planning to drastically cut funding for public transit. Consider that this will only continue as our economic troubles deepen.

      The possibility per-capita to achieve a car-free lifestyle is actually shrinking.

      --
      -josh
    2. Re:Good transit options in many cities by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Oh, there are certainly spread-out suburbs. But a lot of the older East Coast cities make a 100% public transit lifestyle possible, and in places like NYC, often dramatically preferrable.

      On the other hand, outside of those relatively few cities, there are many older East Coast cities where that isn't true.
       
       

      And other cities have made good investements to enable people to not need a daily car. Here in Portland OR, the mix of bike routes, buses, light rail, and FlexCar-like services keep a lot of people out of single-occupancy cars for the daily commute.

      Yet, the streets and highways are still full. (Most noticeably with people commuting in from places where that transit isn't an option, or traveling to and from the large portions of Portland where that transit isn't an option.)
       
       

      A similar lifestyle is possible in Seattle.

      Sure, if you live in the tiny portion of the area of Metro Seattle that surrounds downtown. If you live in Renton, Des Moines, Mountlake Terrace, etc... that lifestyle isn't possible. (I.E. for 99% of the population in King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties.)

    3. Re:Good transit options in many cities by Magada · · Score: 1

      No, it isn't. People will flock to large cities again, pushed from behind by the Allmighty Buck. Do not mistake the booming trade in luxury homes for a mass trend.

      --
      Something bad is coming when people are suddenly anxious to tell the truth.
    4. Re:Good transit options in many cities by benwaggoner · · Score: 1

      Ah, but it's not like there isn't a big improvement in taking someone from doing pure every-day commuting and just using a car for errands that makes sense. If we can drop vehicle miles per day by even 20% in a metro area, that's a big difference.

      That's the idea behind stuff like FlexCar - a car for the times you really need it, but that you don't have to deal with when you don't.

      Anyway, we have a model for US cities where a less car centric lifestyle works, so it's not a question of us being culturally incompatible with the concept.

      There are places where it doesn't work, but painful gas prices are a powerful economic incentive. We're seeing huge drops in home prices in places where long commutes are mandatory already.

      If someone can't afford a long single-car commute, than they won't :). The question is what they're going to do instead.

      We might see a lot more scooters and motorcycles on the road soon.

    5. Re:Good transit options in many cities by benwaggoner · · Score: 1

      And lots of people have been commuting by themselves because the cost of it wasn't high enough for them to change their behavior. Higher costs will definitely change behavior.

      And as we see transit use go up, revenue for transit goes up as well, leading to further investment; we're already seeing Portland's light rail at capacity during peak hours. It can take a while to build out new infrastucture, but planning is alread preceedign apace.

    6. Re:Good transit options in many cities by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      And lots of people have been commuting by themselves because the cost of it wasn't high enough for them to change their behavior. Higher costs will definitely change behavior.

      Only if the options are available - which, as I said, in many places they aren't and in others which pride themselves on having it those options don't work all that well or provide sufficient coverage.
       
       

      And as we see transit use go up, revenue for transit goes up as well, leading to further investment

      In theory. In practice revenue isn't sufficient to cover the real world costs of the system and isn't likely to ever be.
       
       

      we're already seeing Portland's light rail at capacity during peak hours.

      And the difference in traffic levels isn't grossly observable. Sure, the guys with the traffic counters notice the 1% difference - but the guy in traffic doesn't.
       
       

      It can take a while to build out new infrastucture, but planning is alread preceedign apace.

      Planning isn't the problem, building it to reasonably functional level and solving the 'last mile' problem is.

    7. Re:Good transit options in many cities by 2short · · Score: 1

      "What percentage of the population can live in areas which support car-free life. "

      Today, or at some future point as cars continue to get more expensive? Infrastructure will change and people will move, because cars will keep getting more expensive, even as we do more things to make them somewhat cheaper. Energy is getting more expensive so compare mass of vehicle to mass of stuff being moved, and you'll see that cars are a losing proposition.

    8. Re:Good transit options in many cities by benwaggoner · · Score: 1

      You seem needlessly pessimistic. Lots of people are able to use transit daily to good effect in a number of cities. And we know how to incrementally expand that. It'll be a painful transition period for people who work in distant suburbs, yes, but people will change their lifestyles to one they can afford in the end. And there's plenty of incremental steps, like carpooling, charter buses, etcetera, that work with the current infrastructure.

      As Herb Stein once said, "if it can't go on this way forever, it won't."

    9. Re:Good transit options in many cities by k8to · · Score: 1

      All of the responses don't disagree with me. They say "hey, energy is getting more expensive, things wil change". I agree.

      The point I was making is simply a great deal more change needs to occur than my original parent benwaggoner believed. To make this gloomier, think about the energy costs involved in our population distribution as a while attempting to increase density over a relatively short time period. This involves significant infill construction, all of which will take.. significant energy, which will be expensive and mildly scarce. Also infill construction tends to be filled with red tape, and thus is accomplished slowly.

      Basically density increases will be hard fought and will not come rapidly. Our current scales and distances will be with us for some time.

      Things that may happen:
        - greater focus on pooled transportation. Full busses are a great deal more efficient than cars, and you can sometimes get work done while not driving. If the popularity of car transport goes down due to energy costs, the time efficiency of shared transport will go up.
        - telecommuting is very cheap compared to driving, the popularity may soar for jobs where it works well
        - offices may move to where people live. For example the silly-rich google has offices in the bay area in Mountain View as well as San Francisco, but many people have small local offices closer to where they work which may be under special arrangement or simply not widely publicized. As the cost of transport continues to rise, this practice may become more common.

      I do agree, infill construction will go up in popularity, the populations of our cities will likely rise. However they are not in a position to accomodate a fraction of the population who require energy efficiency gains as the cost of energy rises.

      --
      -josh
  45. "only people with enough money... " by RustinHWright · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Gotta disagree with you there, cobber. Funny how folks have just gotten used to assuming that power generation has to be some multibillion dollar centralized facility. Dude, we've got intertie now. It's the law.
    Seems to me that Firefox, for example, is a pretty ambitious project, as is SETI@home. Or, for that matter, the content aggregation that takes place at any big BitTorrent site.
    To assume that "somebody big" needs to carry out the work of giving this country more power generation is like asking "who's in charge of this 'internet' thing?"

    You want to see us have more power? Superinsulate a frackin' building with some friends. Earthberm one. Go on Craigslist for a few weeks, accumulate some surplus foam and other materials, and build a greenroof. Or put in your own solar panels. Or buy a surplus Whisper, put it on a tall post (height is good), and get more watts per dollar than PV. Plenty of biodiesel coops out there, both for refining fuel and converting vehicles. Join one.
    We don't need no stickin' megacorps. We really don't. Most forms of renewable power just don't have that serious a set of economies of scale. Think about it. Me? I'm workin' on a few fronts, most notably getting local zoning codes changed to better accomodate this sort of thing and helping to optimize a 26,000 square foot building that's been converted into workspaces for things like bikemaking, vehicle conversions, and people like me who run small manufacturing businesses and such. Hopefully we'll have our first PV up this year. We've already got a guy making hydrogen and a project to build a pretty serious wind turbine.

    Don't bitch. Build. Or, as a bumper sticker I sell says, Don't fight the system; replace it.

    --
    It's all about the information. And what we do with it.
  46. Re:Um by theophilosophilus · · Score: 1

    Unfortunately, I do not believe in the slightest that wind energy is going to have a major effect on our dependency on oil. It sounds great for power plants and other things, but it's the automobile sector we really need to worry about.

    Wind energy has some problems. The wind doesn't always blow. When the wind IS blowing there is no way to store the energy, it just gets pushed on the grid and may or may not be used. Transmission lines are expensive to build and its proved tough to get power companies to buy an unpredictable source of power.

    But what if wind energy could produce fuel? The big problem with hydrogen is that it costs energy to produce. Why not produce hydrogen with "free" wind energy? This would eliminate the problems with energy storage, expensive infrastructure, etc. Further, cars are being produced now that can use hydrogen (CNG cars).

    In my home state of South Dakota, we elected a public utilities commissioner on his promise of championing wind power similar to our neighbors in Minnesota and Iowa. However, we can't get hooked up to the grid and we can't get power companies to buy. There's plenty of open land and plenty of wind. Hydrogen generation might be the better solution. I realize that there is going to be the group that says hydrogen generation is a waste of energy and the perfect solution is wind and solar generating electricity which will power electric cars, but battery technology isn't there yet and we need a collection of bridge solutions.

    --
    Why have 1 person driving a backhoe when you could employ 20 with shovels?
  47. Re:Um by afidel · · Score: 4, Interesting

    LNG works fine for transportation, most of the around town buses in Cleveland run on it and it makes a HUGE difference to not have them spewing particulates every time they stop and go. I think the ultimate re: electric cars is something like the Prius but split the motor out into a trailer or detachable pod, if you're going on a long trip then attach the trailer/pod and you now have an x gallon tank and a motor strong enough to keep the batteries topped off. Your electric mode becomes more efficient most of the time because you aren't dragging the weight of fuel and a motor around, but you retain the ability to use the current distribution system. This is even a good long term solution since you can go with a diesel generator and use any of dozens of renewable sources to fuel it.

    --
    There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
  48. Works for me. by RustinHWright · · Score: 2, Insightful

    That's how capitalism works, my friend. In fact, by encouraging the switch from gasoline to electric (which you can generate yourself with equipment from Home Depot) and natural gas (which is basically methane, which you can generate from a pile of garbage, among other things) he is creating a more "rational" marketplace, one in which monopoly power is reduced and anydamnbody with the time and a few thousand dollars can get into the game.
    Will a dozen kinds of regulators, many of them paid for by guys like him, come in and make it more expensive and complex to become a vendor? Duh; of course. But worst case scenario, nothing keeps you from "rolling your own", a thing that you can't say about gasoline.

    All looks good to me, I've gotta say.

    --
    It's all about the information. And what we do with it.
  49. Fleet vehicles by RustinHWright · · Score: 1

    Again, RTFA, or in this case, watch the frackin' video. There are already over two million LNG vehicles out there, most of them in fleet use as things like city buses.

    Get. A. Clue. Or just get the hell out of the way.

    --
    It's all about the information. And what we do with it.
  50. Re:Um by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    LNG cars and buses have been around for a long time. It's not hard to convert a conventional engine into an LNG powered one.

  51. To the Moderators by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Seriously,

    My karma has gone from positive to terrible within the span of a few hours.

    Why, you ask? Because someone comes along and tells me to RTFA when I did; and when I reply as such, I get modded down as a troll.

    When your original post is salient, and you defend yourself against an asshat who attacks you, you are not a troll. Get it?

    Why else? Because in thanking a poster who actually stood up for me, I was rated as being "off-topic".

    To the fucktard moderators who aren't bothering to read the contexts, and who generally just like to moderate based upon whether a poster actually has the balls to call out both typical /. griefers and the moderators themselves, go fuck yourselves. You take your "position" far too seriously, and you mismanage it to boot.

  52. It's not actually as bad as you think. by RustinHWright · · Score: 2, Interesting

    America has been DESIGNED for the automobile...
    Um, actually, not always. A lot of our older suburbs and cities (Pasadena comes to mind) were designed for streetcars. America is filled with moderately intact streetcar suburbs. They were designed for mass-transit and would work even better now that fifty years of technology could make streetcars that would be cheaper, lighter, and easier to maintain.
    What is keeping cheap, small, streetcars like this from being brought back? Well, among other things, there are now thousands of expensive regulations about how a mass-transit rail vehicle can be made. The doors alone cost thousands of dollars because, for example, they need to be able to be opened manually if the power goes out while simultaneously not being easy to open while the vehicle is in transit while ALSO needing to be controllable electrically from at least two points, and on and on and on.

    I've been looking into this for a few years now and the tech is ludicrously easy. I did a little thought experiment and I would say that it should cost about thirty thousand bucks for a bunch of techies to build a light-duty streetcar these days. But making it legal for use? Good luck with that.

    No, the truth is, America, other than the winding suburban streets of the sort that are being phased out anyway, could actually implement mass transit and related technologies pretty fast and cheaper than you would think. IF, that is, the people in the various legislatures get off their asses and make it possible.

    --
    It's all about the information. And what we do with it.
    1. Re:It's not actually as bad as you think. by Doctor+Faustus · · Score: 1

      If you want people to start using it before they're too broke to do anything else, add internet access.

    2. Re:It's not actually as bad as you think. by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1
      I wouldn't want streetcars to be rolling through suburbs. I'm in Europe visiting my parents, and a streetcar comes down our street (six floors below). It's surprising how loud it is, even up here. I can only imagine how it would sound through the paper-thin walls of those American wooden houses!

      I think that some sort of an electric bus would make a whole lot more sense. It could use efficient but slow charging batteries which could be swapped out for charging at the depot two or three times each day. That sounds cumbersome but would require far less infrastructure than overhead wiring, etc.

      I like how things are here in Europe, but the US can't be aping the Europeans (or their former selves) in the 21st century. Hell, in our suburbs our power, phone and cable still run from overground wooden poles and drape across the street. Imagine a tram on a street like that.

    3. Re:It's not actually as bad as you think. by RustinHWright · · Score: 1

      Heh. I'm resisting the temptation to link to all the streetcar-related stuff on my blog yet again.

      Actually, we did streetcars first. They copied us. The first European streetcars were in London and they depended on having experts come over from New York to get it done. I just dropped by the London Transport Museum last year and was surprised how much American expertise their stuff pointed to. That having been said, most streetcars are waaay louder and less optimized than they could be. Here in Portland ours are very quiet. I doubt that you would have a problem with them. But even those certainly have room for improvement. Rather than suggesting that we use buses, which are inherently less energy efficient, howsabout we take one tenth of the money currently poured into designing new cars and put it into better streetcar designs? As demand is heating up, this is happening already, actually, so we can look to see better designs ahead of us.

      Why are streetcars inherently more efficient than buses? Two points: First of all, remember all the things you've heard about increasing your energy efficiency by increasing the pressure in your tires? By, basically, making them harder? Well, care to guess how much harder a steel wheel is than a rubber one? Secondly, streetcars don't carry their fuel with them. Instead of carrying not only all that fuel but also typically a combustion engine and all its associated doodads to burn it with as most buses do, a streetcar has little, lightweight electric motors. And, of course, just by not having to bear the weight of the motors and fuel, the electric drives have that much less mass to move around. I see your point about electric buses but those range and maintenance issues you pointed to are very big deals and batteries are HEAVY.

      As for "our power, phone and cable still run from overground wooden poles" I couldn't agree more that this is a problem. Maybe we should do something about that while we're addressing all the rest, hmmm?

      We've got a fundamental issue with cross-vehicle efficiency here that I think deserves a bit more attention. Whatever our reasons for doing so, the U.S. decided to blow off most rail technologies years before WWII. Ever since, the combustion engine and vehicles that run on them have been at the center of our lives and those of everybody around the world in our orbit. Because of that, astounding amounts of money and brains have gone into making them better for over sixty years now. I think that it's important to remember that when we compare streetcars to buses, let alone cars, we're comparing the results of billions of dollars worth of investment and attention, most of it, let us note, not by the car companies, against a vehicle that has been sitting around getting comparatively no attention since the days when horses handled many deliveries and television was still a laboratory curiosity.
      That having been said, of course most streetcars will be louder. In term of technological investment, you're comparing a 286 to a brand new Macintosh, right down to the fancy case design and huge marketing campaign. But there is no reason that we need to keep spending our R&D resources that way. Quite the contrary.
      So whenever you sit down to think about good approaches from here on out, just remember, mass transit in particular and many sustainable technologies overall have been pissed on and pushed aside for generations. If you want to understand what they can do in coming years, you're going to need to cut them some slack.

      --
      It's all about the information. And what we do with it.
  53. automobiles by thermian · · Score: 1

    The way to solve the automobile problem is to solve the suburb problem.

    Having people live in endless house farms around cities so they have to commute back and forth every day has increased Americas fuel requirement massively.

    The solution is either to move business out to the suburbs (yeah, right..), or provide alternative commuting methods, like free maglev trains and decent low emmision public transport in the cities themselves.

    --
    A learning experience is one of those things that say, 'You know that thing you just did? Don't do that.' - D. Adams
    1. Re:automobiles by TheSync · · Score: 1

      The way to solve the automobile problem is to solve the suburb problem.

      The way to solve that problem is to abolish zoning. In most places, government says you can't live on top of a business, or you can't build a large multi-family dwelling, your yard must be X acres, etc.

  54. Show us some facts by RustinHWright · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm getting really damn tired of this crap about "all the greens" being opposed to all of the various renewable power sources. Let's see you back this up. Not with something from Fox "News", but with links to pages on the sites of major environmental organizations saying the sorts of things you claim. I deal with actual policy makers from people like the Sierra Club and Audubon on a regular basis, not to mention attending things like the AWMA convention, a senior official of which crashed at my place, and the line of blather you're pushing is pretty damn far off the mark.
    Show us some facts. If you can.

    --
    It's all about the information. And what we do with it.
    1. Re:Show us some facts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Here's one article, I'm sure you can find more. The basic problem is the same as with Cape Wind, they dont want to spoil wilderness areas with solar cells, windmills, or power lines.

      http://www.pe.com/localnews/inland/stories/PE_News_Local_S_renewable03.3cc481c.html

    2. Re:Show us some facts by TopSpin · · Score: 1
      --
      Lurking at the bottom of the gravity well, getting old
  55. One or two problems by cartman · · Score: 2, Interesting

    1. Transmission of electricity from the midwest to California would entail tremendous transmission losses. By way of comparison, at present the longest transmission line in the country is the pacific intertie from northern Oregon to Los Angeles, which is an HVDC line; at only ~800 mi it loses 15% of everything it transmits.

    2. Most of the natural gas in this country is used for heating homes directly and would not be freed up for powering cars.

    3. Oftentimes there are "low pressure" weather fronts which span large geographical areas and last for several days, resulting in practically no wind for hundreds of miles. As a result, we would need nearly 100% backup capacity for the windmills. This could be solved using pumped storage but that would add to capital expenditure.

    4. Unfortunately, the areas which have tremendous wind resources in this country (and therefore wouldn't require long-distance HVDC lines) already generate almost none of their electricity from natural gas. Places like Illinois get their electricity from coal or nuclear. Thus, very little natural gas would be freed up for cars. It's in California that we get most of our electricity from natural gas but we have inadequate wind resources and HVDC lines to the midwest would entail the transmission losses I indicated above.

    5. HVDC lines from the midwest to california or NY would require large capital expenditures.

    ...Don't get me wrong, I think wind power will be an important part of our future energy mix.

    However I think an even better idea would be to replace all the natural gas-fired turbines in california with nuclear plants. Doing so would actually free up tremendous amounts of natural gas to use as automotive fuel, because california has a huge population, and it gets most of its electricity from natural gas which could be freed up.

    1. Re:One or two problems by TheSync · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Transmission of electricity from the midwest to California would entail tremendous transmission losses.

      That may be true, but California has the #2,#3, and #4 largest wind farms on the planet: Tehachapi Pass Wind Farm (690 MW), San Gorgonio Pass Wind Farm (619 MW), Altamont Pass Wind Farm (606 MW)

      Of course, their combined peak power is less than equal to the base power of one two-reactor nuclear power plant (~2 GW).

    2. Re:One or two problems by will_die · · Score: 1

      The loss of energy from coast to coast is in the single digit percent. That is from the long distance wiring, where you do loose a lot is from local distribution and you have that no matter where you generate the power.

    3. Re:One or two problems by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

      Actually, there are two places in the western Great Plains where large scale wind farms are practical, mostly because of the relatively short transmission distances to major customers: western Texas and eastern Colorado.

      Why eastern Colorado? Because they don't need long distances of transmission cables to transmit wind power from the wind farms there back to the Boulder-Denver-Colorado Springs metropolitan corridor.

    4. Re:One or two problems by mark99 · · Score: 1

      What about Phoenix and Houston? Those are two places that need a lot of electrical power, surely a solor or wind farm could help them a lot too.

    5. Re:One or two problems by greyhueofdoubt · · Score: 1

      >>Most of the natural gas in this country is used for heating homes directly and would not be freed up for powering cars.

      A tremendous amount of it is simply burned off during processing. I live basically on the top of a large hill, and I can clearly see- in broad daylight- the giant flame at a refinery 30 miles away.

      Surely we could use some of this gas for more useful purposes?

      -b

      --
      No offense, but I've stopped responding to AC's.
    6. Re:One or two problems by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

      Phoenix, not likely for wind power but definitely a candidate for several large-scale solar power farms near the city due to its many sunny days.

  56. ExxonMobil as an "energy company" by sjbe · · Score: 4, Informative

    ExxonMobil doesn't consider itself to be an oil company. As the parent suggests, ExxonMobil is in the energy business.

    All the major oil companies started giving lip service to this about 20 years ago in response to a fairly famous critique of the industry. It's mostly talk however. If you look at ExxonMobil's last annual statement on page 19 it says "Fossil fuels are expected to continue to provide about 80% of energy in 2030". That does not sound much like a company that expects to be a big player in any other kind of energy any time soon.

    ...but the presenter claimed that ExxonMobil is the second largest holder of mineral rights to uranium ore in the world.

    I'm deeply dubious of this claim. One would expect to find some mention of it in the footnotes of their financial statements as it would be a material asset. While it's possible I've overlooked something I can find no mention of such mineral rights in their 2007 financial statements or annual report.

    1. Re:ExxonMobil as an "energy company" by mcrbids · · Score: 5, Interesting

      If you look at ExxonMobil's last annual statement on page 19 it says "Fossil fuels are expected to continue to provide about 80% of energy in 2030". That does not sound much like a company that expects to be a big player in any other kind of energy any time soon.

      Yeah, that's because nearly all their current assets are in oil, and they know that investors read those statements.

      Reality, folks! They'll do anything to make money. Most alternative energy is only profitable after short-term govt incentives. If they can arrange for solar energy that's in their reach and not their competitors, they'll go for it hard-core. If the technology is too "small" (easily implemented on a very small, local scale at low cost) they'll do everything they can to torpedo it.

      Picture it: You are part owner of XYZ gasoline-selling corporation. You are there with your partners. You profit when the company does, you lose money when the company does. You read yesterday that people can create their own gasoline out of used clothing. Do you (A) Try to promote the use/sale of cheap, used clothing? (B) pretend like you don't know what's happening (C) try to figure out how your company can remain profitability despite this new threat?

      If you answered (A) or (B), it's because you have never been part owner of XYZ gasoline-selling corporation. Real altruism only exists in the absence of interest in the issue at hand. You can only really be altruistic with regards to child care if you aren't a child care provider. You can only really be altruistic about paper production if you don't make/sell paper. You can only really be altruistic about alternative energy if you aren't an energy company.

      The actions of any large conglomerate with respect to society is like anyone: they'll work to amplify any cost they have to pay, and downplay any benefit they receive from others. (EG: you) Think about it: How much attention would you give if you drove your mother's car to the grocery store to get yourself groceries, vs. your mother driving your car to get her groceries?

      Only when you are of significant means and/or maturity do you not actually care about the difference. Pretending that *any* company operates otherwise is naivety.

      --
      I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
    2. Re:ExxonMobil as an "energy company" by 32771 · · Score: 1

      >I'm deeply dubious of this claim.

      Likewise. The following link lists uranium mines. With Australia having 40% of the reserves you would expect some mention of Exxon as i.e. Billitons top ten shareholder or something, but there is no such thing.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_uranium_mines

      I stopped after Rio Tinto, Cameco, and Areva and not finding much mention of Exxon anywhere.

      However some NGO has some info:

      http://www.sea-us.org.au/gulliver/exxon.html

      If they are right, then Exxon had a huge interest in nuclear energy or at least nuclear fuel, just where those 80% mineral rights come from I just don't understand.

      Also I can't find much new info of Exxons uranium. Probably they don't want to talk much about this right now.

      --
      Je me souviens.
    3. Re:ExxonMobil as an "energy company" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Indeed. I'm continually amazed at people who don't (or won't) realize that today's "big oil" will morph into tomorrow's "big hydrogen", "big ethanol", "big wind" (heh), and so on. I'm not saying some oil companies won't make missteps, maybe even disappear, or that new players won't enter the energy game, but if, just for example, hydrogen becomes the de-facto method of powering cars, it's a good bet we'll be seeing "Exxon Hydrogen" filling stations.

      - T

    4. Re:ExxonMobil as an "energy company" by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      ExxonMobil has gotten fed up with idiot attacks on oil companies, so they're going to spin off their retail business (although the gas stations will be able to use the brand name for the foreseeable future).

      Your discussion of altruism is clueless.

      Many corporations contribute generously to charities. This makes them less profitable, and as a stockholder, I find this practice reprehensible. They do it anyway, because they are run by people whose philosophies tell them that it's the right thing to do.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    5. Re:ExxonMobil as an "energy company" by sjbe · · Score: 1

      ExxonMobil has gotten fed up with idiot attacks on oil companies, so they're going to spin off their retail business

      Evidence? That would be pretty big news and I sure as heck can't find any supporting documentation. Such a spinoff is also nowhere to be found in their financial statements.

      Many corporations contribute generously to charities. This makes them less profitable, and as a stockholder, I find this practice reprehensible.

      Thank $diety you don't run any companies I'm associated with. You think shareholders are the only ones with a stake in a company? You think companies exist in a vacuum where their actions affect no one but themselves? Pathetic. The primary purpose of a company may be to make a profit but it's a morally bankrupt company that ONLY stands for profit.

  57. Global warming by caitsith01 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Would this system not capture a large amount of radiant heat which would otherwise be reflected back into space (genuine question)?

    --
    Read Pynchon.
    1. Re:Global warming by Xiph1980 · · Score: 1

      All solar power does, but that's generally "overlooked" because it's "CO2-neutral"....
      Gotta love politics.

      --
      Manuals are your last resort only
    2. Re:Global warming by tgd · · Score: 1

      Yes, but then it shoots it up a great big heat cannon back into space!

      (Actually yours is a good question -- it would, in effect, create an urban heat island... although massively smaller than typical UHI's so I would imagine the environmental impact would be small?)

    3. Re:Global warming by Socguy · · Score: 1

      A little probably, but a large amount on a planetary scale: no.

    4. Re:Global warming by smooth+wombat · · Score: 1

      it would, in effect, create an urban heat island

      Another name for urban heat island is 'city'. Why do you think the temperatures in New York, LA, Dallas, etc are always several degrees higher than in their rural surroundings?

      When people talk about saving energy by applying the dense pack scenario, they never take into account the added cost of heating and cooling those people in one central location or the side effects of the urban heat island.

      --
      We will bankrupt ourselves in the vain search for absolute security. -- Dwight D. Eisenhower
    5. Re:Global warming by russotto · · Score: 2, Informative

      Would this system not capture a large amount of radiant heat which would otherwise be reflected back into space (genuine question)?

      And that, in a nutshell, is why we might as well stick to fossil fuels. No matter what the solution, environmentalists will object to it.

      The answer, of course, is yes. If a plant generates 1 megawatt, and is 33% efficient, it results in 3 megawatts of heat (the megawatt generated as electricity is converted to heat eventually as well, though it may be at a distant point). Subtract from that the amount which would have otherwise been absorbed, which is roughly the 3 megawatts times the inverse of the albedo (40% for desert sand), and you get a net 1.2 megawatts of heat for each megawatt of thermal solar plant in the desert.

      This isn't too bad considering that if you burn coal at the same efficiency, you get _all three_ megawatts.

      There's lots of things I haven't considered here (like shadowed area not directly involved in generation) but I think it works as a first order estimate.

    6. Re:Global warming by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      When people talk about saving energy by applying the dense pack scenario, they never take into account the added cost of heating and cooling those people in one central location or the side effects of the urban heat island.

      They don't need to. All they have to do is sum up energy use in densely packed cities and in less densely packed cities and then divide by the number of people living there. The resulting number shows that people in NYC use 1/3 to half the amount of energy as the average American.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    7. Re:Global warming by rho · · Score: 1

      I've always wondered that myself. What happens if you capture wind power? Surely that will affect the weather patterns. It's not "free" energy since there's no such thing. It's converting energy, and not efficiently, so when you take away however many kwh of power, what does that do? (On the kind of massive scale that Pickens is talking about. A handful of windmills is not the same thing as 10,000 acres of windmills.)

      Maybe it's harmless. I don't know. Nobody talks about it.

      --
      Potato chips are a by-yourself food.
    8. Re:Global warming by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1

      There are lots of effective ways to get the Earth to reflect more sunlight, like smokestacks that pump ash into the atmosphere. Google global dimming. It's what's keeping the earth's temperatures from spiking catastrophically.

    9. Re:Global warming by kesuki · · Score: 1

      well, before they invented windmills there was this plant, they call them 'trees' they stop a great deal of surface winds. Despite billions of 'trees' weather still generally works, if anything putting up windmills will counteract the permanent deforestation of vast tracks of land, caused by global human expansion.

      since we're putting the windmills in different locations than the trees, it might have some impact on weather, but nobody thought about what cutting and burning all the rainforests in Brazil would do to the Amazon river, before they did it... if you buy fresh fruit in the winter, chances are you've contributed to deforestation in Brazil.

    10. Re:Global warming by rho · · Score: 1

      So... yes? It will affect things?

      As I understand them, windmills are taller than your average tree to reach the more reliably consistent wind at higher elevations. And, as you say, deforestation does produce local environmental effects.

      Maybe the risk is so close to zero it doesn't matter, but I seriously doubt it is actually zero.

      --
      Potato chips are a by-yourself food.
    11. Re:Global warming by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

      > It's not "free" energy since there's no such thing.

      Quick, someone tell the sun!! It's giving away its energy and doesn't want anything in return!!!

      On a more seriously note, so if a magnet is stuck vertically on something
      a) where is the energy come?
      b) how long will it stick?

      Cheers

    12. Re:Global warming by kesuki · · Score: 2, Interesting

      my point was that the effect, if any, won't be thought about until we have hard evidence of what it is.

      the most likely effect as i said, is slowing of large weather systems, that traditionally cross the Dakotas in hours, this could lead to increased precipitation and flooding, since the Dakotas don't have adequate drainage because traditionally there were no trees to slow weather patterns.

      but really when when a company buys cane sugar from Brazil, do they think about the damage to the amazon river that was caused by slash/burn campaigns to clear the rainforest, and replace it with cane sugar growers?

      trees have a larger impact than just slowing weather systems, the return rainwater to the groundwater tables, create secondary rain from evaporation of previous rain, and generally slow runoff, and they don't take water from underground aquifers like farms do.

      in other words, long term commercial farming will eventually cause Brazil's non farm land to have California style wildfires, because the can sugar regions suck too much water out of the ground for normal vegetation just like farming in California has caused such water table crisis's that cause the massive wildfires..

      but don't you dare say that farming isn't sustainable, oh no, farming can't possibly be ruining the environment.

    13. Re:Global warming by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      There was a Nova episode about global dimming too.

      http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/sun/

  58. Works for me. by RustinHWright · · Score: 2, Interesting

    One of the moments that I truly became a radical happened in freshman year of college, in 1984. As it happens, I had been very aware of Carter pushing for more freight rail all through his term, a thing that the GOP fought tooth and nail. Well, he got some funding through anyway. Come '84, the results were starting to appear and, lo and behold, there was a big fat editorial in the Wall Street Journal trumpeting how much better off we were under Reagan because U.S. businesses were helped so much by this new freight rail capacity cutting costs and increasing flexibility. That was what taught me that you can't address environmental issues effectively without addressing the lies these sorts of people spread about them.

    I couldn't agree more. Impeachment hearings and every other kind of fight to create accountability is key if we're to prevent even more of the same.

    --
    It's all about the information. And what we do with it.
  59. Wind power dependency by sjbe · · Score: 1

    I do not believe in the slightest that wind energy is going to have a major effect on our dependency on oil.

    In the near future I'd certainly agree with this. Wind energy is more likely to displace coal or maybe natural gas in powering the grid - to what extent remains to be seen. For better or worse wind is unlikely to be more than a supplementary power source in the next 20 years.

    It sounds great for power plants and other things, but it's the automobile sector we really need to worry about.

    The main opportunity I see here is with plug-in-hybrids and electric cars. Those can be powered with a variety of fuels besides simply oil derivatives - including wind. This is where wind will make whatever dent it is going to make. But it's not clear just how much of a reduction is possible. Besides just the consumption of gasoline/diesel fuel, oil is used in nearly everything we manufacture (plastics, lubricants, etc) so the need for it will be slow to change.

  60. Skeptical by Trogre · · Score: 1

    I'm not so sure this will work out so well. After all, the places on earth where one can put a wind farm and get a reliable return without major transmission losses are, well,

    no I can't say it. ...

    Oh what the hell:

    Slim Pickens!

    --
    "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
  61. Respond to the threat like we did during WWII by jcjewell · · Score: 1

    The Manhattan project was one of the real success stories in U.S. history. Regardless of how anyone might feel about the politics of "the bomb", we put a huge amount of money, manpower, and other resources into being the first to harness the military power of the atom, because we HAD to. It was a case of "victory at any price/failure is not an option."

    If we would have just taken the money that has been spent on military management of our energy problems, we'd all be driving solar powered Ford Exploiters that cost nothing to run as long as the sun continues to show up for about half the day, every day.

  62. Wind intensity averages by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Wind energy has some problems. The wind doesn't always blow.

    That's true just like the sun doesn't always shine but you are missing a very important fact. What we DO know for a given location anywhere on earth approximately how many days a year the wind will blow and with what average intensity. While you cannot be sure the wind will blow on a given day you can be reasonably sure it will blow. Having lots of turbines can help smooth out the fluctuations. Solar power works the same way - you simply plan based on the average number of sunny days a year in a given location.

    This makes planning a fairly straightforward proposition. Almost all the costs are fixed so you simply have to design enough flexibility into the grid to allow for days when the wind deviates significantly from the average. Engineers have known for a long time how to accomplish this.

  63. Ain't going to happen by squoozer · · Score: 1

    While it is nice to see someone trying to do something to reduce the worlds dependence on oil (even if it sounds like it's purely for profit reasons) renewables just aren't going to produce enough power any time soon.

    I suggest people have a read of this before voting for this plan, it's quite an eye opener. In summary, the average person in the UK (which is the focus of the book) uses about half the power per person per day of the average. Even if we covered our entire windy island with turbines and ringed the entire coast with wave and tide generators we wouldn't even be close to providing enough power.

    If we are to get off foregin (middle eastern) oil we need to go nuclear with fast breeder reactors and we need to start doing it soon.

    --
    I used to have a better sig but it broke.
  64. Re:Two words by eclectro · · Score: 1

    Migratory birds.

    No, three words. Duck under glass.

    --
    Take the cheese to sickbay, the doctor should see it as soon as possible - B'Elanna Torres, "Learning Curve"
  65. Re:"only people with enough money... " by toadlife · · Score: 1

    The problem with your advice is that most people do not possess the resources (skills/brains/money) to do the things that you suggest - hence the need for centralized industries to provide to the masses.

    You mentioned installing your own solar panels. BAD ADVICE for all but the most competent of people. Solar panels can generate a ton of energy, and when incorrectly installed, can do really bad things like burn buildings down and electrocute people to death.

    --
    I don't always use unix-like operating systems; but when I do, I prefer FreeBSD.
  66. one word: zoning by misanthrope101 · · Score: 1
    There are no businesses in the 'burbs because zoning doesn't allow businesses in the burbs. Allow supermarkets and such, and let local economies develop on their own. Super-size behemoth stores may not be feasible on every block, but the milk, bread, and eggs run would be easier.

    You don't have to come up with some civic plan to GET supermarkets and clothing stores into the suburbs. Just change the dang laws, and business will follow the money.

  67. Re:Alternative Energy... hmm... by squoozer · · Score: 1

    How exacltly are you proposing we harness the power of gravity? I suppose hydroelectic / pumped water sort of uses gravity but I can't think of any other way. Lifing something up will always take more energy than you get from it falling and I can't see many large things falling out the sky.

    --
    I used to have a better sig but it broke.
  68. mod parent up by cathector · · Score: 1

    that's a good definition of informative.

    1. Re:mod parent up by Kokuyo · · Score: 1

      Informative? I'd have gone for insightful. There isn't much information in there, but it does provide insight into the workings of a certain matter.

    2. Re:mod parent up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that's a good definition of informative.

      I require wikipedia level attribution before I mod Informative. I.e. you have to at least link to supporting evidence; just stating that something is true without proving it may be interesting or even insightful, but it does not meet the informative bar for me.

      How I mod and meta-mod fair:

      Interesting: I think that this was worth posting and was glad to read it. I think that it adds to the discussion.

      Insightful: I agree with the assertion(s) made.

      Informative: Attributed information.

  69. demand for natural gas likely to increase by SethJohnson · · Score: 1



    I don't know if anyone has checked, but natural gas ain't exactly cheap either.

    It might currently be expensive, but that's based on current demand & supply. Domestic oil companies recognize the possible vast availability of natural gas in the Gulf of Mexico. While other energy sources remained cheap, there was no incentive to develop infrastructure to harvest domestic natural gas on a large scale. Now that petroleum is expensive, natural gas is likely to draw a lot more attention both in demand which will spur development of supply.

    Seth

  70. another pedant on semantics by xalorous · · Score: 1

    Semantically speaking, most of the energy of the sun reflects off the atmosphere. Some light makes it through to the surface. Most of that is reflected back into space as well. The bit that gets through is absorbed by the ground, which in turn heats the air near the surface. (Note that the sun never heats the atmosphere in this process). In addition, there is a temperature differential created. I thought the differentiation was important.

    --
    TANSTAAFL GIGO Acronyms to live by!
    1. Re:another pedant on semantics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I thought the differentiation was important.

      It's not.

  71. Am I missing something? by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 1

    Sounds like this guy is regurgitating the same green ideas that we've been kicking around for decades. He seems really proud of himself for his revolutionary "wind farm" idea and Wall Street is acting like the guy just discovered a gold mine.

    My suspicion is that it takes a filthy rich corporatist to make free-marketers consider green tech as anything other than communist tree-hugging.

    --
    I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
  72. Re:"only people with enough money... " by RustinHWright · · Score: 4, Informative

    Of course. Earthberming a building could cause the end of all life on earth and requires at least six years of specialized training. Yeah, right.

    I wrote as long a list as I did precisely because people's skills and resources vary. Are you telling me that "most people" have neither the skills not the money to buy a solar powered battery charger? I mean, hey, twenty-five bucks is serious money and it's hard work getting those little suction cups to stick to the window. Converting a car to biodiesel? If something that low on risk wasn't viable, half the projects posted on this site would be even less so.

    solar panels . . .burn buildings down and electrocute people to death.
    Unlike, say, using a backyard barbeque grill? C'mon, how frequently do homes get burnt down by solar panels? Especially since most put out 24 volts of power or even less. You're seriously pushing it here. I gave a bit of thought to the things that I suggested before I posted and not a one is limited to people with any more money or skill than is required to build a nice gaming-optimized PC. In fact, you could start with a little unit from thinkgeek, about as /.-friendly a site as there could possibly be.
    I'm not claiming that the average American should put up a dozen terawatts of photovoltaics on their garage. I'm saying that most people, certainly most /.ers, are capable of taking at least small steps to reduce the need for megaprojects in the first place.
    Looking again, I should have put more emphasis on small starts, on things like battery chargers. As it happens, I just finished writing a blog post in which I did just that. But as for your concern about "the masses" not being able to handle something as simple as a wind turbine, dude, you're on the wrong site. What do you think "free as in speech" is all about? I posted on a site that's all about taking control of the technology around us, about not just curling up and waiting for some huge corporation, whether Microsoft or General Motors or General Electric, to tell us how they are going to run our lives.
    We stop paying attention, stop keeping involved in "the means of production", and we're all screwed.

    --
    It's all about the information. And what we do with it.
  73. Okay, should have read that over one last time. by RustinHWright · · Score: 1

    Looking back at this after a couple of minutes, I stand by the conclusions but regret the tone. Sorry, I really didn't need to get so snarky. Time for me to head to bed. See y'all tomorrow.

    --
    It's all about the information. And what we do with it.
  74. Re:"only people with enough money... " by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

    Thing is that many things get more efficient the bigger you build.
    Sure I can put up my own wind turbine but compared to the monsters built by companies with decent money at hand my little thing is far too costly.
    Nuclear is very cost effective but even companies don't like to put out that much money without government backing.

    Try making your own microchips and compare them to what Intel makes then tell me you can do anything big business can. People always pull out the distributed generation thing as if it somehow solves the energy problem which is like saying the way to deal with the cost and CO2 from all those buses and trains is to put everyone in their own little vehicle and since those vehicles are smaller they, y'know, wouldn't pump out as much CO2!

  75. huh? by shareme · · Score: 0

    The problem I see is that Mr Pikens earns 1 billion weekly form Oil. How exactly do you convince private sector to put up money with that much excess earnings based on Oil futures 'gaming'?

    --
    Fred Grott(aka shareme) http://mobilebytes.wordpress.com
  76. renewable for the win by xalorous · · Score: 1

    Wind, solar, geothermal. Done carefully, with an eye towards minimizing ecological impact, these energy sources are clean and they just won't run out.

    --
    TANSTAAFL GIGO Acronyms to live by!
  77. Re:Um by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Correct except for one thing. He's talking about CNG, not LNG. I'm in the natural gas business and we have plenty of vehicles running on *Compressed Natural Gas*, but the range is limited, and the storage tanks are heavy and take up a lot of space. *Liquefied Natural Gas* would be better, but there are major problems when it comes to using it in a vehicle. And have you checked the prices of natural gas futures lately?

  78. As with all things by Tappah · · Score: 1

    It's all about knowing the whole story.

    In reality, Mr. Pickens is certainly promoting wind power, but not in the way you think.

    In Texas, where his proposed farms are located, there is a proceding under way at the PUC to determine how large an investment in transmission lines, built to get all that wind power back to consumers, can be charged to electric consumers. In other words, how much Texan's electric bills are going to go up.

    Texas currently has something like 9 billion in transmission line assets. The proposed expansion? About 9 billion dollars.

    It takes a lot of salesmanship to push something like this through. Pickens is hooting about how wonderful wind power is, and how much we need it, because he wants ratepayers in Dallas and Houston to pay the enormous costs of getting his electricity to market.

    Is wind power good? Sure!

    Is paying another $50 a month on your bill - before you ever even start paying for the electricity itself, to add 2 or 3 percent more (unreliable) watts to the grid, and mainly make Pickens richer good?

    Not so much.

    1. Re:As with all things by repetty · · Score: 1

      > Is paying another $50 a month on your bill - before you ever even
      > start paying for the electricity itself, to add 2 or 3 percent more
      > (unreliable) watts to the grid, and mainly make Pickens richer good?

      I understand your point but arguments like that depend on an unspoken assumption: electrical utilities prices will otherwise not got up.

      This is just not true.

      No matter how this plays out, our utility bills are going to rise.

      That fifty dollars that you are talking about is going to be paid by us to someone... just get used to it. And in the grand scheme of things, $50 is a pittance.

      --Richard

  79. Re:Um by Oktober+Sunset · · Score: 0

    a car powered by a motor in a trailer? That sounds like the worst design for a vehicle ever.

  80. But what about the "wind corridor" NIMBY's... by AetherBurner · · Score: 1

    The idea of this huge windfarm running down the center of the US is laudable. Have it over a wide area and cover the variability of wind speeds and locations. But now come the obstacles.

    The NIMBY's. Windfarms are an eyesore. They make noise, despite what manufacturers say. Figure out the shadow footprint from the blades. The windfarm would be right in Tornado Alley (I'm happier than a tornado in a windfarm"). Who is going to pay for the towers that are trashed by a twister? No wind = no power = no money for the energy company (never happen - we will pay regardless).

    His eggs in one basket approach will not be a endall but a part in a bigger plan. We have to get off of oil - period. So that leaves us with wind, solar, nuclear, biomass,energy conversion technologies (solar running hydrogen separation).

    Until we decide to suck it up and put the US into OA (Oil Anonymous), we will be voluntary slaves to oil.

  81. No, I'm New Here by New+Here · · Score: 0, Funny

    No, I'm New Here

  82. And use coal to produce gasoline by cnaumann · · Score: 1

    I agree. Move from coal to nuclear for base load, make synthetic gasoline from the coal. We have lots of coal, and since the coal is not burned directly many of the impurities (S, Hg, Th, U) are not released into the atmosphere during liquification. While this is not a solution that will be good for hundreds of years, it is an economically viable solution that is good for several decades.

    Wind can be a part of the solution, but I am dubious about its costs ($5000/kW?), its environmental impact (turning large areas of the country into no-fly zones for birds), and its usefulness (what to do when it does not blow?)

    I am also convinced that if the US is going to compete economically in the 21st century, we need to be able to produce cheap, abundant energy. Conservation mandates will not get us there, nor will most 'green' technologies (yet).

  83. Solar Tower Dual Use by alohatiger · · Score: 2, Funny

    Perhaps we should build a solar tower and put a parking lot in the space under it. The cars would contribute their waste heat and increase the energy output of the tower.

    Heck, they could even build a shopping mall under it for the triple-whammy. A solar tower that captures solar energy, recycles waste heat from cars and collects rent from retail space.

    --
    Bigtime Consulting - "We're the best because we cost the most"
  84. It's about the water, stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The wind power generation pales into comparison to the land rights above the Ogalala aquifer w.r.t. long term value.

    http://seekingalpha.com/article/24410-t-boone-pickens-invests-in-water-should-you

  85. Master Plan! by querist · · Score: 1

    If you're correct...

    1. build massive wind farms
    2. global COOLING! (Offset global warming)
    3. ???
    4. President Al Gore

  86. Wind Fuel for Cars! by Zobeid · · Score: 1

    I live in a rural part of Texas. I haven't seen any wind turbines going up around here, but I have seen an awful lot of trucks hauling gigantic wind turbine components past my house.

    I look forward to the day when we have wind turbines all over the state cranking out fuel for our cars. Umm. . . They do produce fuel for cars. . . somehow. . . right? Right??

    1. Re:Wind Fuel for Cars! by phrostie · · Score: 1

      many power plants are using natural gas to generate electricity.

      by using wind this frees up the natural gas to be use in cars.
      we were using natural gas as a free/bootleg fuel in cars back in the 70s.
      i'm sure others were doing it before us. it's a drop in replacement.

      the compressors for the natural gas pipelines durring the winter create a
      condensate or drip as the farmers called it. this isn't a problem at the
      first compressor but after traveling down the line it can cause aliquid lock in the next compressor. so they bleed/drain it off.

      it didn't take the local farmers long to realize that this Drip not only can
      be used as a substitute for gasoline, but if you add a quart of 30 wt engine oil
      to every 55 gallons it runs better and stays in a liquid state longer.

      this is perfectly legal as long as it stays on the farm, but when you start using it
      in cars on the highway, you are violating tax laws and if you sell it, you are
      basicly a bootlegger.

      expect this to start becoming more common/popular

    2. Re:Wind Fuel for Cars! by repetty · · Score: 1

      I was on I-35 in south Austin, heading to San Marcos, and I kept passing northbound trucks hauling these HUGE white tubes.

      I'd never seen anything like them before. I thought maybe that they were industrial smokestacks except that, as I passed more trucks, I got a better look at them and realized that they weren't really cylinders... they had a twist to them.

      I was totally blown away when I realized that they were windmill blades and that they were just HALF of the diameter of the assembled propeller.

      It really was awesome.

      --Richard

  87. Just Say NO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Pickens is suggesting that we spend one trillion dollars to produce 20% of the US electricity needs, because we are spending 700 billion a year on oil. What he doesn't say is that only 1.6% of our electricity is generated by oil, so we will not be saving any of the $700 million/yr in the process. He just wants us to go bankrupt even faster.

    Keep in mind that electricity is just 14% of our total energy needs. So he is proposing to spend one trillion on just 3% of our total energy needs. (20% * 14%) If this is such a great deal, why is he appealing to citizens/government to push this plan? Because he wants us to pay for it. If he thinks it is a great idea, let him raise the funds and build it.

  88. I can't drive 55 by sricetx · · Score: 1

    The best short-term solution is government regulation of automobiles, through taxation and incentives.

    I'm surprised no one has proposed changing the US speed limit back to 55 mph. The original 55 mph speed limit was instituted to save oil during the oil crisis to reduced demand. It's really the only thing government could do in the short term to lower gas prices, but I have yet to hear any politician propose it this time around.

    1. Re:I can't drive 55 by jimbobborg · · Score: 1

      Senator Mark Warner of Virginia proposed this yesterday. Of course, back in the 70s, that was the most economical speed for the 3 Speed automatics that everyone was driving. With the current technology, 65 works just as well.

  89. Re: your sig by MRe_nl · · Score: 1

    There ain't no such thing as A free lunch:

    TANSTAAFL

    --
    "Kill 'em all and let Root sort 'em out"
  90. Large wind farm far north by CyDharttha · · Score: 1
    Langdon wind project.

    This is just shy of the Canadian border, in my home town. Quite a site to see, there are turbines as far as the eye can see. This site says they built 100; the other company they mention must have doubled that. I counted 100 in a 5 square mile section, and they go on for over 20 square miles.

  91. Why Wind Farms are Bad for Birds. by jimwelch · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Not according to the bird expert from the George Miksch Sutton Avian Research Center. You know, the people that saved the bald eagle? The slow moving wind farms don't kill birds, because they avoid tall vertical structures. The side effects are:
    1. disrupt migratory patterns, for miles (need gaps)
    2. Take away habitat right in the most vital (uninhabited) areas
    3. a small number are killed by the blades.
    --
    Never trust a man wearing a coat and tie!
  92. ulterior motives? by __aacspw2806 · · Score: 1

    Basically I think that T. Boone is on the right track but there may be more to the story and it isn't just PR for the oil industry (Pickens is an independent oil man; probably doesn't care a whit for the image of big oil as long as they buy the crude he produces). Matthew McDermott at treehugger.com has linked the Pickens' wind strategy to another company that Pickens has in north Texas. It involves using right of way for green power transmission and a new law passed by the TX legislature. http://www.treehugger.com/files/2008/06/water-not-wind-behind-tboone-transmission.php

  93. Pickens' real motivation may not be so noble by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Pickens may not be quite the renewable resource hero he'd like everyone to think he is. Anyone following this needs to understand the linkage between Pickens' interest in wind power and the water pipeline he'd like to build in Texas.

    Pickens has long pumped water from the Ogallala Aquifer through his company Mesa Water, but has recently formed an itsy-bitsy eight acre water district (populated not coincidentally by people firmly in Pickensâ(TM) pocket) which will finance the construction of a $2.2 billion water pipeline running into the the Dallas-Ft Worth metro area from the Panhandle. Electric transmission will run above this.

    Up until last year this wouldnâ(TM)t have been possible under Texas law, but during the last session of the state legislature a new law was passed which allows renewable and clean-coal energy projects to obtain public rights of way by piggybacking on a fresh water districtâ(TM)s ability to claim land for water pipelinesâ"by eminent domain if necessary. A water transmission pipeline can be built underground and the transmission lines can run above it.

  94. 15 percent? by mark99 · · Score: 2, Informative

    15 percent sounds way too high. Wikipedia indicates that around 3-4 percent for 800 miles is what HVDC power transmission should achieve (3 percent per 1000 km). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HVDC

    Maybe they built a crappy transmission line there :)

  95. Anything good enough??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Does the "Slashdot Community" ever thinks ANY idea is a good idea? No matter the topic, most posters to this site will put it down and bloviate about how they know all.

    It would be interesting if anybody, ever, had an idea that this self-righteous group would find worthy.

    1. Re:Anything good enough??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think we're all in agreement that your smashing your computer with a hammer and eating the pieces would be a Good Thing.

  96. Re:"only people with enough money... " by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

    "Unlike, say, using a backyard barbeque grill? C'mon, how frequently do homes get burnt down by solar panels? Especially since most put out 24 volts of power or even less."
    That statment proves that you shouldn't be allowed to install solar cells!
    The voltage doesn't matter. A good example of a really dumb idea take a charged car battery. It is only 12 volts so have your voltage and hook it up as a dead short through a common nail. She how long it takes to get hot enough to start a fire.
    enough solar cells to run your home or even a good part of it backs more than enough power to kill you. As to the BBQ example. Most people don't BBQ every day and the smart ones don't do it in there home but well away form it.
    Also if you have a relatively modern diesel you don't have have to do any modifications to run bio-diesel. You do have to if you are going to run veggie oil.

    Instead of buying a little solar panel to charge a few batteries you would be much better off replacing your lights with CFs. Putting your TV, DVD, WAP, Consoles, and other gadgets on to a power strip and turn them off at the power strip.

    I wonder how much power we waist with things that go on to standby and don't turn off.
    I kind of miss power switches that where big and went clunk.

    --
    See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  97. Wind - An environmental nightmare? by benwiggy · · Score: 1

    Am I the only one who thinks that taking large amounts of energy out of the winds and tides may have some equally problematic consequences for the climate?
    Obviously, at the moment, it's a tiny fraction of the total energy in the climate system, but surely harnessing the energy means the wind or tide is no longer going to do what it was going to do?
    Basically, I say nuke the planet from orbit and get a new one. It's the only way to be sure.

  98. Oh yeah by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    The man is more of a patriot than is the current white house. Hopefully, other billionares will re-invest their money back into Amerca in the same fashion. We need to stop the bleeding of money to the middle east as well as to CHina. That means the first business MUST be getting back cheap energy. Wind is one approach. But so is geo-thermal and other AE as well as nukes. Hopefully, EESTOR is for real. If so, within 5 years, we will have quit importing oil into the west. In addition, EESTOR and ppl like pickens could solve the Global warming issue in one clean swoop.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:Oh yeah by Beezlebub33 · · Score: 1

      EESTOR? Yeah, right.

      A123 is a better bet; you can get them now.

      --
      The more people I meet, the better I like my dog.
    2. Re:Oh yeah by kesuki · · Score: 1

      "In addition, EESTOR and ppl like pickens could solve the Global warming issue in one clean swoop."

      well, global warming is in part being driven by the massively swelling human population. one billionaire can't fight a growing trend that will leave us with 10 billion humans within 100 years or less...

      everyone goes around doing stuff that leads to making babies, and medicine has come along so far that we loose very few babies, when in the past a mother might loose half her babies... and then another half might die young as adults... perhaps before even having one surviving baby..

      even HIV hasn't made a dent in human population growth, I shudder to think how many more hundreds of millions of people we'd have today, making more babies, without HIV.

      If a regime like china can't fight population growth, what chance does America, or anyone else have?

  99. Bakken Formation? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm wondering how the Bakkan Formation, which straddles Montana and North Carolina, will affect the price of oil in the near future.

    http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3868
    http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2008/3021/pdf/FS08-3021_508.pdf

  100. Home grown by kcdoodle · · Score: 0

    Wind, sure, whatever. I do not care if it is vertical turbines or cloth covered windmills out of Don Quixote.

    Alcohol made from corn/hemp/recycled waste sounds good too. As long as the money goes to some farmer in Iowa rather than Big Oil, Haliburton, or some Sheik.

    I am willing to pay more for everything if it helps my neighbor and not someone who HATES ME.

    --

    - I live the greatest adventure anyone could possibly desire. - Tosk the Hunted
  101. exxon doesn't support alternatives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Their last CEO sat right in front of congress and was giggling about this (if you can find the video you can see it in his expression, I remember it) and told them they were an oil company. That is when he was explaining how he got 400 million during his last year as his salary, and exxon dropped a whopping 10 million on all alternative energy projects combined. Go by a corporations true actions, not what they might jabber about. Their own internal reports diss all forms of alternative energy. Uranium is not credible alternative energy, on the contrary, it is one of the most dangerous forms of energy and right now we could be staring at a huge expanded war in the middle east over who gets to use uranium and when. You can't just dismiss this either, it is real, right now, in your face and has the potential to spiral out of control. My guess is you hit it, they were trying to fake out some young people to work for them because of their deserved bad reputation. The same young people who will be the first drafted to fight in the expanded resource wars because we stay stuck on oil and uranium. That was just propaganda to try and get you to work for them, their real actions show their real intent, they got the planet by the balls and will squeeze until well past hurting, they have no desire to make it a better deal for YOU, they want a better deal for THEM because that is how they make more profit, and keeping you tied to petroleum and centralized electricty production is the easiest way to do that.

    And quite frankly, I hope they don't go into alternatives. We need to just route around exxons and similar entrenched companies profits bottlenecks and the major filth and pollution and political weirdness associated with conventional petroleum and the contentious use of nuclear power.. They don't need to be the energy vendor lockin corporation forever. Let some other companies and people do it, and we need a massive push for DEcentralization and home and business production of energy, solar pv and thermal, personal wind power, electric vehicles and home brewed biofuels for cars, etc. Energy needs to be "open sourced" even more than software code. Vendor lockin is never a good idea. How many wars and threats of wars and how much wallet hijacking do we have to go through to keep some companies rolling in the dough forever? And why would it be a good idea to keep that company in such a position of political influence and political power? I see zero reason to do business with those people and hope they gradually just go broke, because people switch away from their products by the millions. And oil shale and oilsands will just perpetuate all this excessive climate weirdness and still result in massive pollution. We need to as quickly as possible work on eliminating the need to go there in any large fashion, same as with coal. That was OK in the 20th century, but we know better now, time to move on and do it better.

  102. It's to pump the Ogalllala Aquifer dry by Ranger · · Score: 1

    T. Boone is using the wind power scheme so he can pump the fossil water out of the Ogallala Aquifer. The easements will allow him to run pipelines as well as power lines. He gets 10 points for wanting to develop renewable wind energy. He gets minus 100 points for wanting to pump out essentially a non-renewable water resource.

    --
    "You'll get nothing, and you'll like it!"
  103. Aren't we already...? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Aren't we already broke?

    Just saying.

  104. Re:Alternative Energy... hmm... by aproposofwhat · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If you've go an available head of water, you can use a hydraulic ram pump to keep a reservior full, and use a turbine to generate your electricity.

    It's a handy way of using gravity, and is essentially free (you're using the power of the water that would flow downhill anyway).

    --
    One swallow does not a fellatrix make
  105. transport and storage issues by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Windy areas are generally not close to cities. Plus its difficult to store surplus power generated off hours. As the hydrogen economy evolves, maybe we could hyrolize water during off-hours.

  106. Unreliable power sources by acoustix · · Score: 1

    Why are we trying to make unreliable sources like wind and solar a big part of our power grid?

    I'm not sure if anyone else knows this, but the sun only shines for half of the day. We have no efficient means of storing and releasing electricity, so solar doesn't make sense. Wind is also unreliable. Towers must be shut down during storms due to high winds, etc... Can you imagine the power routing nightmare if we became too dependent on wind?

    Pickens isn't doing anything new here, either. He is simply trying to get wind power in so that more of his company's natural gas can be used for cars. That doesn't really solve anything. If he truly cared about the energy crisis and a clean environment then he would be investing his money in hydrogen research.

    --
    "A plan fiendishly clever in its intricacies"- Homer Simpson
  107. Re:Um by Magada · · Score: 1

    Think more along the lines of drop-in power source - battery pack for in-city, gas turbine generator for those long trips.

    --
    Something bad is coming when people are suddenly anxious to tell the truth.
  108. Re:"only people with enough money... " by russotto · · Score: 2, Informative

    Instead of buying a little solar panel to charge a few batteries you would be much better off replacing your lights with CFs. Putting your TV, DVD, WAP, Consoles, and other gadgets on to a power strip and turn them off at the power strip.

    You're straining at gnats. As of 2001, lighting is 8.8% of total residential energy use. And those CFs have a high energy cost to make and to dispose. Television, 2.9%. VCR/DVD, 1%. Desktop computers, 1.5%. And that's TOTAL power. The standby power is a miniscule percentage of that.

  109. Re:Alternative Energy... hmm... by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

    Figures that the whole system will pay for itself in about 8-10 years

    Is that in direct dollars or did he account for inflation and the time value of money? Do those figures include the cost of maintenance (both preventive and corrective)? Calculating the payback rate/period isn't all that simple and most people screw it up by accounting only in current direct dollars.

  110. Citilink buses do not operate on Sundays by tepples · · Score: 1

    I am amazed that you missed out public transport. One day, the people of the USA are going to have to get used to sitting next to strangers again. :)

    So will grocery stores be closed on nights, Saturday evenings, and Sundays again? That's when buses in my home town don't run.

    1. Re:Citilink buses do not operate on Sundays by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Public transport being piss-poor is not a law of nature, it's a choice americans have made.

    2. Re:Citilink buses do not operate on Sundays by RustinHWright · · Score: 1

      You've got an excellent point. Mass transit in many places would gain less from more lines or more sophisticated vehicles than they would from simply running more frequently and more hours. Here in Portland, we're fighting hard to get back (yep, "back") buses that run after midnight. The big push right now is to have them run until after "beer-thirty", a.k.a 2:30 am when public places are required to stop serving alcohol. The reduced costs from fewer drunk driving accidents alone would pay for much of it.
      I'm certainly in favor of better rolling stock, rights of way, etc. but if the system is too infrequent or runs too few hours, people simply won't ride it. Maybe we should require that legislative staffs take public transit. If we did, they would get the changes made PDQ.

      --
      It's all about the information. And what we do with it.
  111. It's been done. by blair1q · · Score: 1

    And don't count T. Boone Pickens as a philanthropist.

    West Texas is blanketed by wind turbines now.

    They're there to generate electricity to run the cricket pumps that have been there for several decades.

    It takes electricity to bring oil to the surface.

    And they haven't stopped drilling. At the current price of crude (4-5X what it was just 5 years ago) just about every drop in Texas is now profitable to extract. But it'll take a lot of electricity.

  112. Good direction - lead by example by highlander76 · · Score: 1

    Our current leaders thinking of building more nuclear power plants while telling Iran that they can't also control their own energy destiny with their own nuclear power plants is a little two-faced. We should gain expertise in large-scale wind and solar and then sell that technology to them. Everybody wins - US is off foreign oil, US sells more technology broad, Iran gets clean energy production, the environment is better off, US-Iran relations are better, and there are no nukes hiding out there.

  113. Re:Alternative Energy... hmm... by NorthDude · · Score: 1

    Tidal power, let the moon do the lifting, get the energy out of the falling water!

    --


    I'd rather be sailing...
  114. Re:"only people with enough money... " by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

    Maybe you should have read my post and the post I was responding to.
    The post that I was responding to was suggested that people should buy small solar panels and use them to charge a few batteries or run a few LED lights.
    You want to talk about gnats.
    There is a lot of ways to cut your power bill.
    The thing that gets me about standby and phantom loads is that they are 100% waste. Not only are they waste but the contribute to the cost of cooling your home since they are dumping that electricity as heat.

    --
    See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  115. Windless planet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Has anyone thought what's going to happen when there's so many wind-powered generators around removing energy from the atmosphere that winds no longer blow into neighboring areas like they used to? What's a layer of still air on the surface going to do? Remember people energy is not free. Every use of it has effects.

  116. Why shouldn't oil companies diversify? by Anomalous+Cowbird · · Score: 1

    Why is it wrong for "the oil companies to position themselves to . . . provide the alternative energy sources?" This is just good business sense, to recognize changing realities and adapt to them.

    My great-grandfather was a blacksmith; and when the first automobiles appeared in his county, he added a gas pump to his shop and learned to work on cars. That was a wise decision on his part; just as it is a wise decision for Exxon, et al. to diversify into other energy sources.

    You seem to share the reflexive disdain for business which is all too common (especially on /.) . . .

    1. Re:Why shouldn't oil companies diversify? by volcanopele · · Score: 1

      LOL, actually, I just realized how negative my comment sounded. Personally, I have nothing wrong with them getting into the alternative energy market. It makes perfect sense for them to diversify their companies, particularly since the market seems to be pushing more and more for alternative energy sources. The point I was trying to combat was that the commercials by oil companies lately, focusing on their work on alternative energies, were some kind of sham to make themselves look good. While they are certainly looking for a certain amount of PR karma, I think they are also trying to condition consumers into the idea that when they look for alternative energy, they should look to the oil companies. That while you will be getting your gasoline from ExxonMobile today, tomorrow you will get your hydrogen for your fuel cell cars from the same company. And as others have said, to rid people's minds of the idea that you can get these alternative power sources from local co-ops (or the like).

      --
      The Gish Bar Times - Blog covering Jupiter's moon Io
  117. we're paying 9 dollars a gallon now... by fantomas · · Score: 1

    Petrol (gas) station down the road from me is charging 1.20 sterling a litre (in the UK).

    1.20 x 1.98 (sterling to dollars) x 3.79 (litres to US gallons) = 9.00 dollar / gallon.

    Yup, we're paying 9 dollars a gallon today in the UK. It will only go up from here...

  118. Re:"only people with enough money... " by toadlife · · Score: 1

    C'mon, how frequently do homes get burnt down by solar panels? Especially since most put out 24 volts of power or even less. You're seriously pushing it here.

    They don't burn down houses often because they are installed by professionals and there are laws that regulate how they are installed. A friend and coworker of mine runs a side business that does solar installs. Even supposedly qualified crews he's hired to do the installs have occasionally made mistakes that could have led to fire.

    not a one is limited to people with any more money or skill than is required to build a nice gaming-optimized PC.

    I think that makes my point. The majority of people could not build their own PC.

    --
    I don't always use unix-like operating systems; but when I do, I prefer FreeBSD.
  119. Public Forum Pickens Plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is a public Forum for discussions about Pickens plan :
    www.pickensenergyplan.com
    Cheers.

  120. Re:Plus tax and carrying charges by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't forget that natural gas currently doesn't have the gasoline taxes ($0.40 per gallon in this area).
    Also, like hydrogen, it takes some energy to compress into a tank. Moreover it won't take too much additional demand to push gas prices higher.

  121. You understand... by roc97007 · · Score: 1

    ....that wind power kills birds... and slows down the earth... I can see the lawyers lining up now.

    --
    Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
  122. Problems with Wind in Remote Places.... by sampson7 · · Score: 1

    Unfortunately, the state government is in the pocket of the coal industry, which is also very big in ND. Wind farms put coal workers out of jobs. So they don't let many wind farms get built and they don't give the infrastructure necessary to do so (such as a way to tap in to the power grid).

    The problem with wind in North Dakota is that it is in North Dakota. It has nothing to do with coal companies trying to kill it. The problem is getting the wind power from North Dakota to someone who needs it. That is a very difficult and extremely capital-intensive problem.

    The current system that we use to fund our transmission system is simply not equipped to deal with this sort of chicken and egg problem. Here's a short list of the real reasons that North Dakota is not the short-term panacea to our energy problems:

    1) North Dakota citizens do not want to pay billions to build new transmission line that will simply ship their power into other areas. (Rightfully so.)

    2) No single wind company is big enough to fund the transmission upgrades by themselves, which leads to amazingly complicated squabbles over who gets to use whatever available transmission capacity is available, and attempts to screw over the competition in a scramble to get there first.

    3) Wind is an "intermittent" resource (part 1). Try running a company where 20 percent (or more) of your employees may or may not show up on any given day. Moreover, on same days every single employee will come rushing in all at once; on other days, not a one will show up. (Never mind the engineering challenges of building an electrical system that can physically accommodate huge influxes one minute and then dead zones the next!)

    4) Wind is an "intermittent" resource (part 2). Try running a company where 20 percent of your employees only show up in the evening / early morning hours. Sure, the majority of your customers (e.g. load) show up between 10 am and 4 pm -- but the wind tends to blow most in the early morning and later in the evening.

    5) Integrating wind into the power system can lead to serious operational problems: http://www.wind-watch.org/news/2008/02/28/power-grid-narrowly-averted-rolling-blackouts/. On February 28, 2008, the wind in Texas dropped from 1,700 MW to 300 MW over an extremely short period and came close to causing blackouts.

    6) Transmitting power over long distances is problematic in terms of transmission line losses. (Yes, someone will inevitably raise the prospect of a DC-tie line -- but from a practical view, that's many, many years off in the future and hugely expensive.)

    Please don't misunderstand -- I'm very pro-wind. But people need to understand that it's limited and will not be the automatic solution to our energy problems.

  123. public forum Pickens Plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is a public Forum for discussions about Pickens plan : www.pickensenergyplan.com Cheers.

  124. Re:Um by afidel · · Score: 1

    I don't know, this doesn't seem so bad to me.

    --
    There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
  125. Re:Alternative Energy... hmm... by Evets · · Score: 1

    There's also the fact that a solar system increases your home value by something like 1K for every $100 in monthly electrical reduced.

    You could go on and on.

    The problem is that investing 60K in an electrical system is such a huge investment. If people are really going to start using "alternative" energy sources, it's going to have to be a smaller number with a quicker ROI.

  126. It would be nice... by incognit000 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I live deep in the midwest, and employment is sparse out here. Also, power tends to be expensive, since it needs to travel long distances and be parceled out in small amounts. It would be nice if we could do this, but somehow I get the feeling that the political will and financial investment won't be coming, especially as people refuse to take risks in an unsure market.

    1. Re:It would be nice... by Dire+Bonobo · · Score: 1

      I live deep in the midwest....It would be nice if we could do this, but somehow I get the feeling that the political will and financial investment won't be coming

      Depending on where you are, it's already there. Iowa, for example, seems pretty keen on wind power, and by now has likely passed Minnesota for third spot in the US in terms of installed capacity.

  127. Great unitl.... by SpcCowboy · · Score: 1

    This idea is great! There is lots of land and lots of wind: Perfect! Why does it seem like we're forgetting something... Oh yeah! Wind Corridor=Tornado Alley. Back to ye olde drawing board.

    --
    -- Anyone who has never made a mistake has never tried anything new. -- Albert Einstein
  128. There goes the bird population by Prune · · Score: 1

    That's the first thing I thought when I saw this headline.

    --
    "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
  129. Great idea, what about TORNADOES? by NeuroManson · · Score: 1

    The region the Pickens plan calls for just happens to also be known as Tornado Alley. In which case, those turbines can be very expensive to replace at the least, and become flying chopping blades at the worst.

    Don't get me wrong, I'm all for wind power, but I don't think anyone's taking this particular problem into account.

    --
    Just because you can mod me down, doesn't mean you're right. Shoes for industry!
    1. Re:Great idea, what about TORNADOES? by wizkid · · Score: 1

      I'm sure they've taken hurricane winds into account when designing the turbines. How could they not.

      --
      I take no responsibility for what I say. Even though I'm never wrong :)
    2. Re:Great idea, what about TORNADOES? by NeuroManson · · Score: 1

      Hurricanes and tornadoes are completely different things. Hurricanes can be predicted days before they make landfall. Tornadoes can only be predicted by seconds, WHEN they can be predicted.

      Hurricanes barely reach wind speeds above 155 MPH (the max speed of a category 4). Tornadoes can reach up to 300 MPH.

      Hurricanes are formed offshore by predictable heat patterns in the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. Tornadoes are formed by random wind sheers within storm patterns.

      Hurricane damage is basically just heavy wind/rain. Not like the funnel clouds formed by tornadoes, which rip up everything in their path, shoot them into the sky at speeds sufficient to spear lumber through tree trunks, and toss cars and houses hundreds of feet up and/or through the air. This, consequently, is also why tornadoes on a case by case basis, are far more destructive to both life and property, than hurricanes have been able to statistically do on a yearly basis (New Orleans doesn't count, that was largely due to horrid mismanagement, poor engineering, and general poor planning).

      Hurricanes do not form in the midwest, not even from Texas through Canada. Tornadoes can form anywhere from the midwest through southeastern states in the US.

      And if you've been paying attention to the news and statistics, there's at least a dozen tornadoes to every hurricane to make landfall. Every year. In the same exact region.

      --
      Just because you can mod me down, doesn't mean you're right. Shoes for industry!
  130. Mod Parent Up by mark99 · · Score: 1

    Wow.

    I had no idea the "greens" were so ambivalent towards Wind Power. Nice bit of googling.

    I don't find it surprising actually, their "DNA" is anti-big business, and Wind Power is definitely becoming big business.

    Of course the days where "green" is a useful political label are definitely numbered now, if not already zero.

  131. This is a little crazy by Orig_Club_Soda · · Score: 0

    1. We only get half of our oil form OPEC. 2. OPEC is more than Middle Eastern countries 3. Most of the oil we get from OPEC/Middle Eastern countries is from countries that are friendly to the US. Wind is a great idea, but I guarantee either environmentalists or farmers will make this idea difficult to implement.

  132. Re:Um by superstick58 · · Score: 1

    I'm not sure how building a wind turbine farm across the US would replace power plants. I think the proper way to state it is that it would lessen future growth of natural gas power plants. I don't think an energy company is going to let their gas powered turbines sit idle. So natural gas usage would not decrease. Where does the excess gas supply come from for the cars?

  133. Re:"only people with enough money... " by kesuki · · Score: 1

    super insulation methods aren't exactly out of the price range of people building homes. I mean, the cheapest super insulation method is the Straw bale wall method. Straw bales have very good R-values, and it's entirely possible that the residents can build a house that has no furnace, even in Canadian winter environments.

    oh hey, did i mention, it saves your cooling bills in summertime too.

    I've been trying to convince my dad to add 2" of external foam insulation when he resides his house (built in the 70s), it's not even close to super insulation, but if he does it it will pay for itself in a very short time (since he'd do the install himself)

    6" walls are becoming commonplace, if energy prices soar higher i think 8" walls will come into vogue. especially since you can use existing 2X4s to make 8" walls.

  134. also by tacokill · · Score: 1

    because it's so obvious the US Oil Industry controls the oil supply chain...

    Are you kidding? Have you heard of this little place called the Middle East? Check it out sometime.

    Our oil companies ARE peanuts in relative comparison to the world's oil interests. Like a pimple on the butt of an elephant.

  135. Re:Alternative Energy... hmm... by kesuki · · Score: 1

    well, all i know is that in Total Annihilation there were a couple maps where you could build windmills. and as for the rest, you built solar and tidal generators until you could teched to the fusion plant. a few kbots or some subs, with a few towers for defense, and it was a race to get that fusion plant online, once you got it you could mass units like crazy, or get those super weapon buildings... TA was the precursor to System Commander, which would have been called TA2 had cavedog not tanked with most of the rest of the PC gaming industry...

    of course, TA had no coal or fission plants, just solar, wind, tidal, and fusion, it was kinda assumed those energy sources were long gone by the time frame the game took place in.

    wind was the worst in TA's game engine, you would hit spikes of wasted energy and then dips of not enough... yup, it was a real pain to use wind.

  136. Energy = Energy by ClientNine · · Score: 1

    Yes, yes, it's completely bizarre and sinister that an energy company would be investing in the field of, um, energy.

    Oil companies aren't about oil, they are about money. Show them another way to get it and they'll go there. They'll still be around selling petroleum products long after the last oil- or gas- burning power plant has gone by the wayside, and in the meantime they will be happy to trade their knowledge of energy production for your dollars, green or otherwise. Oil is just where most energy comes from right now.

    When the inevitable shift away from fossil fuels is well underway, you can bet it won't be some irrelevant industry doing the work; it will be the same one that is doing it now (i.e. the Big Oil and Big Power guys).

  137. Possible negative effect of large scale windfarms? by lrodrig · · Score: 1

    Has anyone considered that the large scale implementation of wind farming facilities might disrupt the natural flow of wind causing environmental problems? I'm all for wind farms, and even nuclear energy, but I'm not sure that wind power is really free.

  138. It works this way... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wind power is used to replace Natural Gas for generating power on the grid.

    That Natural Gas gets reallocated for used as a transportation fuel. So we use less oil.

    1. Re:It works this way... by sjbe · · Score: 1

      That Natural Gas gets reallocated for used as a transportation fuel. So we use less oil.

      Deeply unlikely since there are few passenger vehicles which use NG as a fuel and few plans for any by any significant auto manufacturer. There also is a limited distribution network for vehicle use particularly to rural locations. Let's not even get into the fact that the energy efficiency of NG in vehicles is worse than diesel - though it is cleaner.

      Wind power will only find use as a transportation fuel in cars if plug-in hybrids or electric cars make a meaningful dent in the market. Then it simply is one more contributor to the grid.

  139. Solar by Asphyxium001 · · Score: 1

    Hey, does anyone remember a red tape-like strip from 3M that was supposed to be vastly superior to solar panels? They were talking about lining parts of skyscrapers with them to power the whole building. Whatever happened to this? I can't find anything on it anywhere, and it seems incredibly foolish to be wasting time with outdated solar technology when there's something like this.

  140. Re:Um by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

    The efficiency decrease from using CNG in a modified gas engine is a result of the engine being tuned to run gasoline. A car designed to run on CNG would be far more efficient because the compression could increase from the 8-10 used in most automobiles to around 12 because the equivalent octane of the CNG is 120 versus 87 for unleaded gasoline. The boost in compression will result in better burning of the fuel.

    CNG is bad in automobiles, because it's burned in an engine tuned for gasoline upto 20% of the CNG is unburned and discharged out the tailpipe. In the past this was considered OK because unlike gasoline the CNG doesn't contribute to urban air pollution (gasoline mixes with the atmosphere and produces ozone, a critical urban smog component).

    The problem is that atmospheric methane traps 4x more heat than CO2 so all the unburned methane coming out of the tailpipe that would be discharged by automobiles into the atmosphere would quickly outweigh the global warming of the CO2 discharges currently made negating any environmental benefit from switching.

  141. What the heck is a "flutter belt"? by GPS+Pilot · · Score: 1

    Should it really have taken until 2007 before flutter belts came along? Is it really that hard to engineer a device that would take advantage of rooftop wind energy?

    I Googled "flutter belt" and didn't come up with any energy-related products.

    --
    That that is is that that that that is not is not.
    1. Re:What the heck is a "flutter belt"? by Evets · · Score: 1

      Have a look at this video, though there are a lot of resources online that talk about the concept.

  142. Re:Um by scottrocket · · Score: 1
    "...CNG, not LNG"

    Thank you, I sit corrected!

  143. The biggest missed chance is solar hot water by VoxBoston · · Score: 1
    This drives me nuts:

    - solar and wind electric are worthy goals, but can be expensive - and power transmission isn't easy or cheap.
    - there are aggressive state subsidies for both solar electric and wind electric
    - yet, solar domestic hot water is cheap to install (i.e. $4K for many houses) and has near 100% conversion efficiency at the panel (most of the indicent sunlight heats the water, as opposed to solar's conversion efficiency of 20-30%)
    - AND 20-50% of a typical home's energy usage is hot water.

    So, if the goal is to save money and reduce your greenhouse gas emissions, don't start with solar electricity or wind electricity - put in a simple solar hot water system, tied into your current tanked gas-or-electric heater. WAY better bang for the buck, and an order of magnitude cheaper than grid-tied PV systems.

    CA and other states 'over-value' solar electric (for example by offering $10K+ credits on PV system) and under-promote solar hot water (with tiny $300 credits). That makes me a sad panda - if you're going to subsidize environmentally friendly choices, they should at least include the most efficient ones...

    Guess it's time to go write a policy paper on this.

    - KvK

    The rock, I has it: http://www.instarmusic.com/

  144. Dimethyl Ether (DME), Methanol and Biodiesel by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why not made energy from waste ex: Dimethyl Ether (DME), Methanol and Biodiesel.

    http://www.neworientalenergy.com/

  145. "Centuries" of profitable wind power is true. by RustinHWright · · Score: 1

    Yeah. I actually first wrote "decades", just for electric uses and was tempted to put in "centuries" but I decided to define things as narrowly as possible, just to remove any possible wiggle room. But, yes, deep in my heart I agree with you completely.

    --
    It's all about the information. And what we do with it.
  146. NSTAAFL by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Free health care? Free higher education? No, not really. High taxes on things like gasoline, income taxes, and the value-added tax pays for it. The big difference between their $9/gal gas and $4/gal gas in the USA is tax, not the price of extraction, transport and refining. They pay at the pump, we pay at the HMO and university registration desk.

  147. Re: your sig by xalorous · · Score: 1

    Yes, your point? Please note that I never said that accessing those renewable resources was free (or cheap) or that they would have no environmental impact. What I said was that if we build carefully, with an eye towards minimizing ecological impact, we can have renewable, green sources for energy.

    --
    TANSTAAFL GIGO Acronyms to live by!
  148. Concentrated Obstruction of Wind Currents by ImitationEnergy · · Score: 0

    T. Boone Pickens seems to have his heart in the right place (Main Article Click Here) but since no one has ever obstructed the flow of so much wind near the Earth's surface... he could find out that slowing that much wind DOWN HERE will cause a speeding up of the jetstream windspeeds UP THERE. What he is really doing is wanting to change the Weather Equation from what it is now, an equation we are rather happy with to an unknown quantity. Wind down here + wind up there may just turn out to be a Package Deal so that interrupting half the package will set up some kind of abnormally fierce turbulence.

    His answer is the typical Capitalist answer so he can set himself up as a New OPEC => we have to pay him instead of foreign oil sheiks we get to have our own Wind Sheik. I fail to see where this leads to an advancement for the American citizenry still paying monthly electric bills out the window of their car, but he is right that keeping the money here beats paying yer enemies to napalm your allies and kid-soldiers forced to join as volunteers rather than starve at home on Minimum Wage jobs (psychology behind the Bush).

    Each home should be energy sufficient on its own, thereby spreading wind interference around and reducing any "wind turbulence effect" that could result from Picken's concentrated energy farming... but by the time it becomes apparent that has resulted the deed will be done. We'll be as hooked on his Wind Farms as we are now on OPEC OIL. Sometimes the Capitalist answers tend to make us bend over and lose our balance a lot. Not to mention it but I will anyway, that the consumer psychology that kicks in from getting their electricity from a remote location is to leave the lights on all night. If people had their own home-based system with full monitoring, set up to turn stuff off automatically whenever the wind & sun dies down and run off its own battery storage, then you'd have something called er uhm energy responsibility... and a stronger-minded Public as a side effect... which the government has to keep from happening since a Public that learns to control its own energy gluttony would then turn on the gluttonous in DC spending all their tax monies, a really bad result. In the end, keeping people barefoot ignorant and energy pregnant has to be the answer, the T. Boone Pickens answer.

    --
    Industrial Age 2 + How-to Stop Malignant Cancers.
  149. don't look to the Windy City by momotarosan · · Score: 1

    Chicago gots its nick name from a lot of hot air from politicians

  150. Ever worked retail? by Dire+Bonobo · · Score: 1

    And where did the other $226 go?...the rest to cover cost of labor and materials, neither of which goes to the US.

    It went to the guy who ran the cash register where you bought it, and to the guy who stocked it on the shelf, and to the guy who drove it there. Not to mention the guy who supplies electricity to that store, and takes its taxes, and spends its taxes, and earns its profit, much less the guys who come up with the marketing campaigns, and print them in magazines, and...

    And all of those guys are in the US (assuming your store is, of course).

    Your numbers are completely made up. The situation for an iPod is probably roughly similar to the situation for a CD, which has the overwhelming majority of the purchase price accounted for by local expenses (retail overhead, label=Apple overhead, retail profit, label=Apple profit, marketing, distribution).

    The large majority of money from an iPod bought in the US stays in the US.

    Some to cover product design done in the US (assuming that isn't part of the $70 profit, which it actually probably is)

    You may want to review the definition of the word "profit"; it comes after expenses have been deducted.

  151. Check your numbers by Dire+Bonobo · · Score: 1

    Food? Don't kid yourself - although the US has many farms, a huge proportion of our food comes from overseas.

    Don't kid yourself - the US is the world's largest food producer, and exports $30B more in agriculture than it imports, making it the world's largest food exporter.

    Margins on such products are super-low; in the end, a huge proportion of the money you spend on your iPod, car, or even tooth brush is basically money that is leaving the country permanently.

    Far more than "margins" stays in the country of sale; have you not heard of "overhead"? All those well-paid design, marketing, and managerial types are likely to be in the US.

    Not to mention that for some of those products, like cars, the US is one of the world's manufacturing heavyweights.

    Why invest in a US company that gets 5% return when you can invest in a Chinese company that is more likely get a 25% return?

    Because the Chinese company is also more likely to get a minus 25% return. Or, in reality, -50% so far this year. Volatility in developing markets is hardly new.

    You have some strange ideas about the state of the world that don't agree with the available data. You might want to reconsider some of them.

  152. Live like Europeans by Dire+Bonobo · · Score: 1

    What I think many of the "Just use less" people really want is a complete change of lifestyles.

    Not unless you think the lifestyles of Europeans are completely different from those of Americans. Having lived in both regions, I can tell you they're not that different, despite rich-country Europeans using half the energy per capita that Americans do.

    Plus walking - or waddling - around town would do many of us a lot of good.

    It's easy to say "Just use less", but to get to the point where you can use less sometimes requires some economically UNviable steps, like those I mentioned above.

    Which part of "insulate your house and buy an efficient heat source" is not economically viable? In most cases, it'd pay for itself due to energy savings in 4-8 years.

  153. He's not talking about Europeans by Dire+Bonobo · · Score: 1

    Europeans are paying $9 US or more per gallon of gas and although they don't like it, they manage. What happens to the US economy when gas doubles again? You're having trouble at $4/gallon.

    This is such a popular thing to throw around, especially when US gas prices rise, but it's a completely bogus argument.

    How would you know? You don't even have the faintest idea what his argument is.

    He's not saying "Europeans are so great because they pay so much for gas", and it's news to nobody that that high price is due to tax. What he's saying is that because Europeans tax their gas so much, they've had years to get used to the high prices, and adapt their lifestyles and city layouts accordingly. Going from $4/gal to $8/gal in 10 years is a lot less painful than doing so in 2 years.

    His point isn't about Europeans at all; it's about how vulnerable Americans are.

  154. Pumped Storage by Dire+Bonobo · · Score: 1

    20% wind is about right. More than that, and there are problems during periods of no wind.

    Not if you're sensible enough to use pumped storage to smooth out that wind power.

    Based on the modelling I've done (hourly real-world wind production data for all of 2007), a capacity factor of 31% (US avg), 75% round-trip storage efficiency (average), and just 2 days of storage (the Hoover Dam has that for all of the US), 6MW of wind can provide 1MW of electricity more reliably than coal can (> 95% uptime, hours of warning before shutoff).

    Using more than 20% wind really is not a technical problem. It's just more expensive (factor of ~3), so it's not yet appealing.

  155. Wrong by Dire+Bonobo · · Score: 1

    Germany gets 6% from wind. And the us uses 10x as much electricity.

    And the US is 30x as large.

    Space is not a problem for wind.

    Thats 800,000mills. At current prices this will take 28trillion dollars to install

    Let's check that, but not with numbers you've just made up.

    The USA uses 7x the electricity of Germany, meaning it would need 20%/6%*7 = 23x as many wind turbines. Germany had 22,000MW installed at the end of last year, so the USA would need 516,000MW.

    Pickens is planning on spending about $10B for 4,000MW, or about $2.5M/MW. $2.5M/MW * 516,000MW = $1,300,000M = $1.3T = 2% of what you claimed.

    So it's pretty clear you don't know what the hell you're talking about, but I bet you Pickens does.

    The real problem is that a 200MW farm takes 20 square kilometers. So to fill that 20% need it would cover around a quarter of texas.

    At 20km^2 per 200MW, we'd need 516,000MW/200MW*20km^2 = 51,600km^2 of the USA's 9,800,000km^2 of land, or 0.5%.

    Space is not a problem for wind.

  156. Scaling by Dire+Bonobo · · Score: 1

    Wind doesn't need subsidies but until fossil fuel and nuclear subsidies dry up, there isn't enough market incentive to get it going on a scale that's more than a science project.

    Then the EU must be running a hell of a big science project, as last year they added more wind than any other generating source, and it provided 4% of their total electricity (source).

    The USA must be keen on pumping money into science projects, too, as wind trailed only gas in terms of capacity added last year (and wind's 31% capacity factor is higher than natural gas's 25% - compare EIA capacity and generation figures).

    It's too late to say wind power can't scale; it's already done so.

    1. Re:Scaling by Politicus · · Score: 1

      With the exception of some coal mines staying open for the jobs, Europe doesn't subsidize fossil fuels like the US.

      There are quite a few large and very expensive science projects like the Hubble Space Telescope, the International Space Station and even the Supercollider which was never completed. Just because a large amount of money is being spent doesn't mean that it's in production.

      But I think you missed my point. I never said that wind can't scale. I'm a huge proponent of wind power and do believe it can scale as evidenced by my statement, "With DC transmission lines, you can even alleviate the peak demand to peak supply gap." This would require quite the build out.

      My point was that wind will always be seen as an environmental charity case in the US because of the massive but silent subsidies handed out to the nuclear and fossil fuel industries. I'm not relegating wind to niche status, I'm proposing that it be given the fair shake in the market that it deserves by cutting subsidies to entrenched industries.

      --
      Politicus
  157. Pumped Storage by Dire+Bonobo · · Score: 1

    We have no efficient means of storing and releasing electricity

    That you don't know about it doesn't mean it doesn't exist.

    Pumped storage is 75-80% efficient (round-trip) for storing electricity, and is a mature technology that's already in wide use all over the world.

  158. Disappointing by GPS+Pilot · · Score: 1

    That windbelt generates 40 milliwatts, which means that in order to "generate enough electricity to keep an average american home electric-bill free," you'd have to put about fifty thousand windbelts on the roof of every home. (More, if you want to generate surplus power to compensate for periods of no wind.)

    --
    That that is is that that that that is not is not.
    1. Re:Disappointing by Evets · · Score: 1

      On the same token, you'd need an exceptionally large solar panel array - well beyond what could reasonably be spent to generate enough electricity to take the average urban household off the grid.

      But keep electricity prices where they are at or higher in comparison with average incomes and people will find ways to generate their own at a much lower price point.

      These belts are just one idea that is waiting to be extrapolated from.

      There's a guy who came up with a way to use water (hydrogen/electrolysis) to increase mileage dramatically on big rigs who's making a killing right now. There are plenty of other recent examples of people either inventing things or re-engineering old ideas to save a few bucks on electricity or gas - either for commercial profit, or just to save themselves a few bucks.

  159. Re: Streetcars by Ken_g6 · · Score: 1

    Streetcars don't need rails. Wires, yes (otherwise, it's a battery-powered electric bus). Rails, not necessarily.

    --
    (T>t && O(n)--) == sqrt(666)
  160. Re:What about Nuclear??? by grsjax · · Score: 1

    It takes 175,000 acres of wind turbines to replace one 1000MWe thermal plant and you need to build the thermal plant anyway to pick up the load when the wind stops blowing. Nuclear is cheaper on a lifecycle basis and if fuel rods are reprocessed into mixed oxide fuel the resource will last essentially forever. In addition reprocessing reduces waste volume by 97% and most of it is relatively short lived isotopes. If a podunk country like France can get 80% of its power from nuclear plants and reprocess fuel safetly and economically why not us?