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SpaceShipOne to Attempt Second Flight on Monday

m_member writes "There is a very cool video of the recent SpaceShipOne flight (on the Scaled video page) as covered by Slashdot. It shows some angles not on the webcast and most impressively has internal footage from when the roll occurred in the ascent. There are no M&Ms this time but Melville takes a few holiday snaps!" Gogo Dodo writes "After a successful first flight for the X Prize, SpaceShipOne is a go for launch to claim the X Prize on Monday. Takeoff is at 7am Pacific, ignition at 8am." October 4 will be the anniversary of the Sputnik launch.

314 comments

  1. I hope they can do it without the spin-stabilizing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That looked rather dangerous.

  2. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by diginux · · Score: 1

    Yeah, hopefully SpaceShipOne won't have case of the Mondays.

  3. Congrats! by grape+jelly · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Congrats the the Scaled Composites team! While I hope the $10M prize will give you guys a nice shot in the arm, why not put it toward developing space travel for high-speed human transport rather than tourism? It just strikes me as something that's much more financially viable than tourism....

    1. Re:Congrats! by grape+jelly · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Come to think of it, high speed transport -- or any transport, for that matter -- has to be cheap (partly why Concorde failed, although I'm sure its crash in France also helped do it in). But people are content dropping $$$ into fun (as opposed to transport).... This is just a small step anyway, right?

    2. Re:Congrats! by sarahemm · · Score: 1, Informative

      Well, it cost something in the neighbourhood of $20M to build, so they're not really *gaining* any financing from this ;)

    3. Re:Congrats! by XaXXon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That really doesn't make sense. The $20M is gone. Period. Picking up $10M isn't losing money. It's making $10M you wouldn't otherwise have.

      If you paid $4 to drive over a toll bridge and there was a $2 bill lying there, would you not pick it up because it would still be net negative?

      It also means that they only have to find a way to make $10M profit to break even as opposed to $20M.

      Your comment really doesn't make any sense to me.

    4. Re:Congrats! by Obfiscator · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I think the situation is closer to seeing a $2 bill on the other side of a toll bridge and crossing the bridge to get it...only to learn that crossing the bridge cost you $4. Your net gain is negative and the direct result of wanting to pick up the $2 bill.

      I would only consider picking up the $2 bill to be earning money if you were going to cross the bridge anyway. In that case, like you said, the toll money is already gone and you can say you "made" $2.

      --
      "Nothing shocks me. I'm a scientist." -Indiana Jones
    5. Re:Congrats! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      WTF are you smoking? Really. Because I want some.

    6. Re:Congrats! by chromaphobic · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Or, just that no human being had ever crossed that bridge before and you wanted to prove it could be done, and didn't care about the $2 or the $4.

    7. Re:Congrats! by wjwlsn · · Score: 1

      Remember Virgin's agreement to license the technology.

      "London, September 27th 2004: Today, Sir Richard Branson announced that Virgin Group has entered into an agreement to license the technology to develop the world's first privately funded spaceships dedicated to carrying commercial passengers on space flights... The licensing deal with M.A.V. could be worth up to £14 million ($21.5 million) over the next fifteen years depending on the number of spaceships built by Virgin."

      http://www.scaled.com/projects/tierone/092704_scal ed_paul_allen_virgin_galactic.htm

      --
      Getting tired of Slashdot... moving to Usenet comp.misc for a while.
    8. Re:Congrats! by spoonyfork · · Score: 1

      Or, just that no human being had ever crossed that bridge before and you wanted to prove it could be done, and didn't care about the $2 or the $4.

      Excellent point about not caring about the money. However several humans have been over that bridge before Melvill.

      --
      Speak truth to power.
    9. Re:Congrats! by bStrom · · Score: 1

      Or, it's like crossing a bridge on the way to another destination. It will cost you $4 either way. You might as well pick up the $2.

      --
      Try eMusic. DRM free, legal, MP3 downloads.
    10. Re:Congrats! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      But not in a private vehicle. Eventually (hopefully) some one will be able to cross the bridge in a vehicle they personally own.

    11. Re:Congrats! by chromaphobic · · Score: 1

      The bridge is symbolic not of traveling into space but doing so in the fashion he did. ;)

    12. Re:Congrats! by Romeozulu · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm not really sure I'd call Concorde a failure with 20+ years in service. Because of the cost, it's far from a huge success, but not exactly a failure.

      The biggest problem with Concorde was the noise issues that kept it some being deployed worldwide. Had it had been, economy of scale might have made it an economic success as well as a technical one.

      The 747 would have been a huge failure with so few planes only two routes.

    13. Re:Congrats! by brainstyle · · Score: 1
      It just strikes me as something that's much more financially viable than tourism....

      Tourisim as an industry is huge. Considering how many people would like to go to space, even for a quick visit (show of hands?), that's a potentially very good market.

      High-speed transport will follow, but this gets feet in the doors.

      --
      "Why can't everyone just be straight with me?"
      "Because we live in a bendy world, dear."
    14. Re:Congrats! by endoflux · · Score: 1

      It just strikes me as something that's much more financially viable than tourism.... false. simply because there's no destination to go to right now anyway that can is easily practical, or can sustain any amount of human life. you could say mars or elsewhere, but we are simply not there yet.. and seeing mars will be tourism again, wouldn't it?

    15. Re:Congrats! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      The biggest problem with Concorde was the noise issues that kept it some being deployed worldwide. Had it had been, economy of scale might have made it an economic success as well as a technical one.


      The biggest problem with the Concord was the fuel it consumed per passenger mile. Scale wouldn't have helped that problem at all (more Concords in service would have made the problem worse not better)

    16. Re:Congrats! by wafflemonger · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How much money is he going to make off the deal with Virgin? The X-Prize is just the first step toward other money making opporunities.

    17. Re:Congrats! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The biggest problem with Concorde was penis envy by the Americans.

    18. Re:Congrats! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's more like you are crossing the bridge to gain something else and the 2 Dollars is like icing on the cake.

      Did I just use an analogy for an analogy?

    19. Re:Congrats! by MonkeyCookie · · Score: 1

      With suborbital flights at the edge of space that Scaled Composites seems to be specializing it, there wouldn't be too many noise issues, and the craft will probably be too high to bother anyone on the ground.

      The lack of air at higher altitudes might also reduce fuel costs, and a working scramjet might reduce them even more.

      Of course getting the thing up that high is expensive as well, but it might be possible to make it economical enough to make money off suborbital flights.

    20. Re:Congrats! by Richard_at_work · · Score: 4, Insightful

      A quick note here, but Boeing had a large part to do with Concorde not flying over the Continental US. The US administration and the FAA had no qualms about sonic booms or supersonic flight over the continental US until the Boeing supersonic aircraft project failed, some years after concorde was finalised. A Boeing aircraft would have had exactly the same issues with regards to sound, but the FAA decided to ban supersonic flights across the US citing noise to be the issue. Boeing had been assured that this wouldnt have been a problem when approached by the Kennedy administration with regards to building a Concorde competitor. From where Im standing it looks decidedly like a case of "Not invented here".

    21. Re:Congrats! by slashdot.org · · Score: 1

      Because of the cost, it's far from a huge success, but not exactly a failure.

      This is an interesting issue. People continue to perpetuate this 'fact', but I'd like to see some hard evidence that it wasn't a success.

      I've been involved both with BA and Air France to outfit their Concordes with an In-Flight Entertainment system and both airlines (independently) claimed that the airplane had been doing quite alright, financially. This was before the Air France crash, after which everything fell in the heap, but before that the people that we spoke with insisted that the airplane was actually quite profitable.

      I don't have any hard evidence, appart from this anecdotal stuff, but at least I quantify it as such.

    22. Re:Congrats! by fstanchina · · Score: 1

      "The first one to get to the other side of the bridge gets $2. Oh and by the way, crossing the bridge costs you $4."

      You don't do it for the prize. You do it because it's fun. Just like any other form of competition.

  4. X-Prize, NASA Funding by Aceto3for5 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Does/Should the X-Prize Foundation get federal funding for the efforts they are making towards space travel? Certainly NASA could learn a thing or two about budgets from these space explorers. I think perhaps it is a better investment for the government to fund private groups like this, considering the results of the state-run programs.

    1. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by Igloodude · · Score: 1

      Better yet, the X-Prize Foundation gets a lead on (as yet nonexistent) competitors for the commercial opportunities waiting up there.

      --
      We now return you to your regularly scheduled thread.
    2. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by sql*kitten · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Does/Should the X-Prize Foundation get federal funding for the efforts they are making towards space travel?

      Err, do you actually want to get into space or not?

    3. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by System.out.println() · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think the entire purpose of the X-Prize is that it does NOT get government funding. commercial entities need to be self-sufficient here.

    4. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Better yet, the X-Prize Foundation gets a lead on (as yet nonexistent) competitors for the commercial opportunities waiting up there.

      *cough* The X-Prize Foundation doesn't own the technology, all they get are karma points.

    5. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by robi2106 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Gahhhhhhhhhh!!! Not everything needs government funding!

      It shouldn't be some big tit that someone can just suck on for a little extra juice to keep on going (please tell that to the airlines & railroads...)

      Besides as other posters have said, it was desigend to be privte avoid all the stupid red tape.

      But your point about the state run groups is good. I would much rather have the fed hand out a contract to "develop X for us" with exclusive rights to the Fed, than have the Fed create a department to do "X".

      Of course, national security concerns says that if the Fed ownes and wholely controlls the development of "X" then there is no company that could possible sue them for breach of contract, or accidentally leak data / information to the press, or other nations.

      jason

    6. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by Skater · · Score: 2, Insightful

      All transportation is government funded at least in part. Think about it: airport terminals, bus terminals, railroad stations, roads, and plenty of other things are all built by the government which the transportation industry then uses. And that doesn't even count the money spent on things like Amtrak, airline bailouts, and other expenses, such as oversight (FAA, FRA, etc).

      Why would space travel be any different?

      --RJ

    7. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by Hieronymous+Cowherd · · Score: 1

      This is, as many are pointing out, exactly the problem.

    8. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by Forbman · · Score: 2, Insightful

      NASA's problems are that it really does not do it all internally anymore. The rockets are Lockheed or Boeing. Both of those companies want/need MASSIVE layers of ass-covering documentation to go with their stuff, which of course adds layers of supervision, documentation specialists, checkoff specialists, etc.

      Throw Congress poking their noses into the mix, and it really all gets fucked up bad.

    9. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by gr8_phk · · Score: 1

      Was that a joke? The whole point of the X prize was to show that it can be done without government funding.

    10. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by Skater · · Score: 1

      Part of the effect of government spending money on transportation is stimulating commerce, which increases prosperity for everyone (even the poor get more support, because now taxes on the wealthy/middle class can support it). It would take far longer, if it would ever happen at all, to try to have the same results with no government involvement.

      --RJ

    11. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by rodrigogo · · Score: 1

      Thats the problem with state funded projects - money isnt an issue. (I know people who take clients out to VERY expensive 'business lunches' just to use up funds so that they dont appear to have over-quoted! Sorry if i sound like a Capitalizt, but i think the business sense you get from the private sector could really teach government departments a thing or two, at least here in UK.

    12. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by westlake · · Score: 1
      It shouldn't be some big tit that someone can just suck on for a little extra juice to keep on going (please tell that to the airlines & railroads...)

      out of curiosity, can you name a transportation system that was brought to an economically viable level of development without substantial government support?

    13. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by robi2106 · · Score: 1

      automobile... then the fed taxed gas and property to build highways in the 50s for emergency military transport

      jason

    14. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by DerWulf · · Score: 1

      your post fails to explain why government funds tend to make things suck (roads, amtrak, postal service etc.). You can't make an abstract, almost unproveable claim like yours and ignore pressing factual and physical manifest problems that arose because of your solution.

      --

      ___
      No power in the 'verse can stop me
    15. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by DerWulf · · Score: 1

      you just discovered that all governments of all times where wasteful beyond imagination? Welcome to the club. Earn extra credit and find out why this is (and must be) so.

      --

      ___
      No power in the 'verse can stop me
    16. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by Skater · · Score: 1

      I have no idea what your second sentence is saying. I never proposed any "solution"; I just said that government funds all other forms of transportation and that I expect space travel to be similar. I doubt anyone could afford to travel if only the travelers had to pay for what they used; meanwhile there is a benefit to society as a whole from trade.

      The postal service sucks? I wasn't aware of that. Care to provide some proof? I've always been fairly happy with the USPS.

      --RJ

    17. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I never proposed any "solution"

      not your solution then. But government funding is a solution. I was refering to that.


      I doubt anyone could afford to travel if only the travelers had to pay for what they used


      This is as unsensical as saying: I doubt anyone could afford eating, housing, clothing, electronics if only the respective users had to pay up.

      Transportation has become a mass market because people desire mobility. Almost universal demand and economics of scales indicates that this good must become pretty cheap with time.


      The postal service sucks? I wasn't aware of that. Care to provide some proof? I've always been fairly happy with the USPS.


      Well, I thought that the USPS had an universally bad reputation for being way to expensive, unreliable, unfriendly, slow and hugly buerocratic. I am not from the states actually so sorry if this seems to be wrong from your perspective. In germany, the government run postal service is the exact same as I described the USPS above. No matter, I am sure you will agree that not many believe that those services provided by the government can in anyway compete with similar services provided by the private sector.

    18. Re:X-Prize, NASA Funding by DerWulf · · Score: 1

      I never proposed any "solution"

      not your solution then. But government funding is a solution. I was refering to that.

      I doubt anyone could afford to travel if only the travelers had to pay for what they used

      This is as unsensical as saying: I doubt anyone could afford eating, housing, clothing, electronics if only the respective users had to pay up.
      Transportation has become a mass market because people desire mobility. Almost universal demand and economics of scales indicates that this good must become pretty cheap with time.

      The postal service sucks? I wasn't aware of that. Care to provide some proof? I've always been fairly happy with the USPS.

      Well, I thought that the USPS had an universally bad reputation for being way to expensive, unreliable, unfriendly, slow and hugly buerocratic. I am not from the states actually so sorry if this seems to be wrong from your perspective. In germany, the government run postal service is the exact same as I described the USPS above. No matter, I am sure you will agree that not many believe that those services provided by the government can in anyway compete with similar services provided by the private sector.

      --

      ___
      No power in the 'verse can stop me
  5. cool, now make if affordable and do it to orbit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting
    I am glad they are a go! Best wishes to all involved.

    It is about time that we had someone other than Government make it to space. This should open up the market! Now, if they can just make this afforable to those of us who can't afford 100K or so...

    Hope they go for the $50M prize for a vehicle that will house 5 to/from orbit....

    1. Re:cool, now make if affordable and do it to orbit by Moby+Cock · · Score: 1

      This is really exciting stuff. I agree with you that the time for this has come not a moment too soon. We are on the cusp of what could be (in 5 to 10 years) a revolution in human transport.

      Problem is: We'll be out of fuel around the same time. Those stupid dinosaurs didn't make enough gas...

    2. Re:cool, now make if affordable and do it to orbit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's actually starting at 208000, i think...

  6. Other competitors by UncleJam · · Score: 5, Interesting

    If SpaceShipOne reaches the 100km mark on Monday, will the other competitors just give in, or will they too try to prove that they have the design and technology to reach space? Even if SpaceShipOne did not launch Oct. 4th, would anybody even be close enough to take advantage of this? (Hoping that any failure of the SSO mission would not result in casulties)

    1. Re:Other competitors by idontgno · · Score: 4, Interesting
      I've wondered about this myself. There are a lot of teams, full of talented folks and brilliant ideas. The spur of competition (and a big purse) has been excellent, but what happens when that goes away? Are the other efforts going to dry up, or will they perhaps find other funding in the attempt to survive as a commercially-viable endeavor?

      It's kind of a shame, isn't it, that money keeps coming into it. But this rocket science stuff gets expensive. I just hope some of the really cool technology being looked at now finds whatever it takes to keep going. I really don't want to get stuck with just one type of commercial spacecraft, the same way we (in the US) has been stuck with only one type of government manned spacecraft. (Which has been the case, with the recent exception of buying flight time from the Russians.)

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    2. Re:Other competitors by zx75 · · Score: 4, Informative

      The Canadian DaVinci project has already stated that they are a couple weeks from launching, so if SpaceShipOne for some reason is unable to complete its bid for the X-prize in the next 2 weeks there is a possibility it could occur.

      In addition, they have stated that they will be proceeding with the launches regardless of whether the SpaceShipOne project succeeds in claiming the prize or not. Their goal is to prove that they can do it, even if they don't win the prize.

      --
      This is not a sig.
    3. Re:Other competitors by Bastian · · Score: 1

      What I'd like to see is several of these teams going back to the drawing board to refine their plans. It seems that a couple of the X-prize teams made some sub-optimal design decisions purely because they wanted to get their product out the door as quickly as possible, and all of them would need improvements to work as safe commercial transportation. Even SpaceShipOne, while being leaps and bounds ahead of the other teams' vehicles, is clearly not ready for regular use.

    4. Re:Other competitors by cly · · Score: 2, Informative

      According to Wikipedia, da Vinci Project was planning to make its first competitive flight on Oct 2, but has to delay. So at least someone is close.

    5. Re:Other competitors by Kallahar · · Score: 3, Informative

      At the last launch, the X-Prize Foundation announced that they will be continuing the $10 mil prize every year, which will allow other teams to win the prize and give several different designs to the world.

    6. Re:Other competitors by deathcloset · · Score: 4, Insightful

      surely the other teams will continue to test their spacecraft.

      Especially as we now have the 50mil prize being offered for orbital flight.

      Sadly, these flights won't nab them that nice 10mil, but futher tests will certainly yield data that will help those who wish to pursue orbit (and I'm certain at least some do) in the development of thier orbital spacecraft.

      Furthermore, just because Rutan wins the prize and is first doesn't mean that he's developed all the best technology for private spacecraft.

      It seems likely that just the effort should yield some valuble research and technologies (which they might just sell to virgin galactic or scaled composites).

      It's too big an investment to just toss a spaceship in the trashbin.

    7. Re:Other competitors by TrippTDF · · Score: 3, Insightful

      They had better keep going... Number 1: They have all thrown tons of time/money into it. Number 2: This is JUST the first step. The X Prize was to kick the Private sector into gear and start a competition... it's not like the X Prize guys said "Hey Burt! We'll give you, and only you, $10 Mil to get to space!" No, they wanted to see copmetition. And not that competition is going to move into the investor market... Virgin made their stake in Scaled, and now that's going to make others kick in to onto the other competitors... Like with any new market, people will throw a ton of money into it, there will be a ton of new companies trying to get their business off the ground (no pun intended)... Think Dot-Com bubble... only this one (hopefully) won't end up the same way. I hope that in 50 years, the X-Prize is remembered as well as Scaled and SSO will be.

    8. Re:Other competitors by cmowire · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, the next one to get a launch vehicle working will be able to compete with SpaceShipOne for the real payoff -- commercial spaceline companies. Especially if they can do it for less money, safer, or better.

    9. Re:Other competitors by robi2106 · · Score: 1

      I don't think it can be dot-com like. For one, there is a real product to deliver with measurable results. Not just hits and banner add revenue. You can't fake a space product, but you can fake a company whos deliverable is infinitely elastic in supply.

      jason

    10. Re:Other competitors by TrippTDF · · Score: 1

      True- the Dot-com thing was a lot of stupid people throwing money at other stupid people... I was talking more in terms of the frenzy of investing that would be AMAZING to see happen because of this...

    11. Re:Other competitors by iabervon · · Score: 1

      The prize and competition works to generate interest in the problem. Having a successful solution (especially one whose developer has gotten commercial contracts) to compete with should generate at least as much interest.

    12. Re:Other competitors by nyekulturniy · · Score: 1

      The $50 million, IIRC, is reserved for American teams.

      --
      Nyekulturniy... Proudly confusing readers and editors since 1981!
    13. Re:Other competitors by robi2106 · · Score: 1

      right. this time people have business plans, and although there may be a lot of marketing jibberish it would be hard to ignore real data, real results, and real products.

      There are always stupid rich people, jsut like there are stupid poor people, so that doesn't mean mony invested will be taken care of properly...

      jason

    14. Re:Other competitors by Epistax · · Score: 1

      Virgin wins the spoils of SpaceShipOne, right? Well if a company wants to compete, they'll probably do it with a counter technology. Where will they get this counter technology? Another contender. Even if they don't win the prize, it's nothing compared to the investment they'll be making.

      So yes, it's important that the others try even without the prize.

    15. Re:Other competitors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I keep seeing this question, and it's starting to drive me a bit batty. Say you've invested several million dollars into making a working, passenger carrying suborbital rocket, hoping to win the X-Prize. Someone else gets the prize first. Can no one seriously come up with a way of making money off a suborbital, passenger carrying rocket ship? Do the investers not care about recouping at least part of their investment? Does no one want to go to space? Do people sit around with a spaceship up on blocks in their front yards wondering what the hell they're going to do with it?

      It's even worse when people ask John Carmack this, since his rocket even has a guidance system and lands by itself (and has shown progress beyond cg animations at the x-prize website). Apparently few, if anybody, can come up with a use for a self-guided, self-landing, easily reusable rocket that can carry six hundred pounds. Should I even bother typing out "overnight automated package delivery to Japan"? Sure, there's problems with the idea, but I'd think slashdot and especially the x-prize forums could display a small hint of creativity.

      Now granted, if someone spent several million on a suborbital rocket and all they have to show for it so far is a few sketches on a napkin, then I could understand them throwing in the towel. But they'd probably be giving up no matter the status of the X-Prize if their investment hasn't shown any progress.

    16. Re:Other competitors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do people sit around with a spaceship up on blocks in their front yards wondering what the hell they're going to do with it?

      I meant besides the Russians. Sorry.

    17. Re:Other competitors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wouldn't put any money on the da Vinci group. They haven't test launched anything. You might want to read this and decide for yourself.

    18. Re:Other competitors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but if they win they'll be paid 10 million Canadian dollars.

    19. Re:Other competitors by Thuktun · · Score: 1

      If SpaceShipOne reaches the 100km mark on Monday, will the other competitors just give in, or will they too try to prove that they have the design and technology to reach space?

      I certainly hope so, if only to avoid monoculture and promote competition.

      If there was only one type of commercial LEO spacecraft, and they found a serious flaw in its design, the entire commercial LEO fleet could end up grounded.

    20. Re:Other competitors by foolish · · Score: 3, Informative

      Can you find a reference? Because all I see is reference to the X-Prize Cup which is entirely different than a "X-Prize a year" concept.

      The X-Prize Cup is a bit more oriented towards "racing" team competition than as a stepping stone towards commercial space travel/tourism.

      Not that the racing concept isn't useful for publicity and development of parts of the playing field, but they aren't the same prizes.

    21. Re:Other competitors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Like with any new market, people will throw a ton of money into it, there will be a ton of new companies trying to get their business off the ground (no pun intended)... Think Dot-Com bubble...
      Think "Railway Mania": Investors went wild, and later, broke, throwing money into building railways in Britain in the early 19th scentury (vide. Lewis Carroll's Hunting of the Snark "They threatened its life with a railway share..."). But when the dust had settled, and the guilty parties had gone to jail (or the House of Lords), there was a railway system covering the whole of the country...
    22. Re:Other competitors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah! I'd like to report a crime! Dimitry puked in the aquarium!

    23. Re:Other competitors by Kallahar · · Score: 1

      Hmm, I can't find any reference to it either. It's possible I misunderstood the announcement, sometimes it's hard to hear over those loudspeakers...

  7. I would like to have a flight! by karma78ready · · Score: 1

    ..And I hope I will be abe to realize my dream in the (maybe no-so-nearest) future. But first, I have to change my job ;-)

  8. Peter Diamandis was heard saying by Neil+Blender · · Score: 5, Funny

    Damnit, where am I going to get 10 million dollars?

    1. Re:Peter Diamandis was heard saying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    2. Re:Peter Diamandis was heard saying by CPM+User · · Score: 1

      Download the 50 from the US treasury & start printing...

    3. Re:Peter Diamandis was heard saying by HopeOS · · Score: 1

      Actually, the insurance company that is backing this venture (i.e. betting against it) is saying that. Hope they're good sports.

      -Hope

  9. Its Amazing.. by korthof · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Well hell.. we can now go to mars (a la bush) if we could just get that pesky crossenvironment biodome thing worked out.

    Remind me why I would put my life in the hands of people, when we still cant account for cross programs breaking code.

    "Why did the airlock fail? Someone flushed the toilet Sir."

  10. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by mkmoose · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I am guessing that there succuss will come out of the fact that a pilot can control this ship and it is not reliant on predetermined scenarios. I always worry when aircraft have too many computers in them. The pilot obviously averted disaster here.

  11. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by CriX · · Score: 5, Interesting

    One thing that's amazing is that Melvill turned off the rocket something like 40 seconds early!! I wonder if SS1 could survive the stresses of atmosphere reentry falling from 200km altitude.

    --
    Moderation: +1 pwnage
  12. Improvements? by ppz003 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think it will be interesting to see how well they can repeat or even improve on the last flight. Or will they try to run an exact repeat?

    Basically, how safe and sound are their methods?

  13. Slashdotted! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    I hope that SpaceshipOne can handle the atmosphere better than Scaled's serves can handle /.!

    1. Re:Slashdotted! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hope that SpaceshipOne can handle the atmosphere better than Scaled's serves can handle /.!

      I guess we know what they're going to use the $10 million for. :)

  14. Media Coverage by Plocmstart · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It'll be interesting to see how the media covers any potential problem that occurs this time. They hyped up the whole roll situation like it was the end of the world, even after he safely made it back down (a majority of the questions asked of him were about the unexpected roll). Gotta love how reporters constantly repeat nearly the same question when they don't really understand the situation....

    1. Re:Media Coverage by timeOday · · Score: 1
      Well, what was the situation with the rolls? Mr Rutan said that there was something special about his design that made the incident recoverable, and that the Shuttle would have been lost in the same situation. Based on that, it doesn't sound minor. But I have no idea what he really meant (maybe that Melville saved the craft by disengaging the rockets, which the shuttle's solid boosters cannot do?)

      So what was the scoop with the rolls, and why are they not problem enough to delay a retry?

    2. Re:Media Coverage by ctwxman · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The roll showed inherent design problems with this particular spacecraft. No one seriously believes Mike Melville mistakenly kicked it into the corkscrew. Now that they have commercial contracts to carry passengers (with Richard Branson) spinning is not good for business. Dick Rutan will find a way to have this craft go up once more, a new (modified) design will be built which fixes this instability and SpaceShipOne will go to the Smithsonian before it hurts anyone. I can't commend Rutan's team enough, but this is an experimental craft in a rush to fly. There will be problems - that's why a test pilot was at the controls. The press (where I work) has a right and obligation to question this part of the flight. Rutan already has PR specialists to slavishly praise.

    3. Re:Media Coverage by Tablizer · · Score: 5, Funny

      a majority of the questions asked of him were about the unexpected roll

      Media: "Can you please comment on the repeated rolls in which you kept rolling around and around and around in a dizzying, girating, spiraling, stomach-spinning fashion as if it would never end?" (making spinning hand-gestures)

      Pilot: "Bwwaaaaarrrrrf" (splat)

    4. Re:Media Coverage by FrostedWheat · · Score: 1

      Your lucky you got any media coverage. In the UK all it got was a blurb on a high teletext page, and a mention on the BBC website.

      It's weird because the media was all over Richard Branson's space-tourism companyjust a week earlier.

    5. Re:Media Coverage by robi2106 · · Score: 1

      But the shuttle can eject the two SRBs (Solid Rocket Boosters) at any time and the three main engines of the shuttle itself are powered by internel fuel and the big foam External Fuel tank, which ejects after the SRB's anyway.

      So in an emergency situation, the SRB's can be cut and the main engines shut down with out much hassle. Besides, it is all computer controlled anyway.

      What Rutan possibly was refering to is that the Shuttle has automatic "scrub the mission" software that would have noticed the extremely out of profile flight patterns and scrubbed the mission (though a constant straight line roll isn't as bad as going off course)... where as his is pilot controlled so it could continue the flight, despite the abnormal profile.

      Or he could be refering to the explosives packed inside the shuttle that would be automatically activated to kill it should the shuttle go off course so dramatically that it endangers a densely populated area.

      jason

    6. Re:Media Coverage by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      The roll showed inherent design problems with this particular spacecraft....Now that they have commercial contracts to carry passengers....spinning is not good for business.

      They need to get their marketing team to put a spin on the spin.

    7. Re:Media Coverage by Banner · · Score: 1

      An uncontrolled roll is a serious problem. While rolling once every two seconds isn't an issue, if that rate increases you start to suffer severe aerodynamic problems (Mach Tuck) and eventually of course you disintegrate.

      Problems would have started at about 4 to 6 times the roll rate he was having, possibly sooner, depending on the aerodynamic effects of that particular design, and the strength of the wings (which have a lot of wieght on the ends with that design).

      So while it's possible your claim on the reporters is correct, the roll problem IS a severe problem pointing to possible instabilities in the design. Hopefully they can be corrected.

    8. Re:Media Coverage by robi2106 · · Score: 1

      Now available...

      Flights on our SpaceShipFiftySeven craft! Special features include end of burn rotational inertia demonstration and inertia experiments!

      Contact Virgin Galactic to book your flight eXperience today! www.virgingalactic.com

      Or call 1-661-824-4174

      jason

    9. Re:Media Coverage by el-spectre · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Question, and apparently draw conclusions based on knee-jerk analysis. MANY otherwise sound craft have experienced unexpected behavior (including rolls) because of pilot error or overcorrection.

      This is why they use test pilots. These guys know how to recover when things go bad.

      You are right that the press has an obligation to investigate. But BEFORE that, you need to make sure you know what the hell you are talking about. The ability to publish does not prove the ability to speak authoritatively on the subject.

      --
      "Faith: Belief without evidence in what is told by one who speaks without knowledge, of things without parallel." - A.B.
    10. Re:Media Coverage by ctwxman · · Score: 1

      I believe the propensity for this craft to roll has already been acknowledged by Rutan. I can't find the quote at the moment. The NY Times summarized the situation nicely: After he landed he insisted to reporters that the roll was not the fault of the aircraft and that it was probably pilot error. But to many on the ground that seemed like a different kind of spin control on his part.

    11. Re:Media Coverage by HeghmoH · · Score: 1

      The roll showed inherent design problems with this particular spacecraft.

      There's no doubt you're a bona fide member of the press. You're making an unsubstantiated claim, cloaked in the guise of a "fact", just because it sells. There's no reason to believe it's an inherent design problem, but polluting your stories with ifs and buts won't sell as many copies as exciting lies, will it?

      --
      Mod down posts with a "Free Mac Mini/iPod" sig, they're spam!
    12. Re:Media Coverage by Forbman · · Score: 1

      this is an experimental craft in a rush to fly ...and you think the other X-Prize programs are any different?

    13. Re:Media Coverage by Ford+Prefect · · Score: 1

      Your lucky you got any media coverage. In the UK all it got was a blurb on a high teletext page, and a mention on the BBC website.

      They had footage on Channel 4 News that evening - nothing very much, but it was nice to see things without the RealVideo compression.

      Otherwise, remarkably quiet, especially when compared with the coverage about Branson's involvement. Maybe he really is the better publicist?

      --
      Tedious Bloggy Stuff - hooray?
    14. Re:Media Coverage by voidptr · · Score: 2, Funny

      Well, if you're in the press...

      Could you at least *try* to keep which of the Rutan brothers is responsible correct? Burt Rutan designed and built SSO.

      Dick Rutan is his brother who piloted Voyager around the world in 1986.

      Once you get the cast of characters correct, then you can start to think about explaining aerospace engineering and control envelopes.

      --
      This .sig for unofficial government use only. Official use subject to $500 fine.
    15. Re:Media Coverage by el-spectre · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So, one of the best aeronautical engineers, and a damned good pilot BOTH share the same opinion, but unnamed folks on the ground disagree... yup, solid reporting there.

      --
      "Faith: Belief without evidence in what is told by one who speaks without knowledge, of things without parallel." - A.B.
    16. Re:Media Coverage by foolish · · Score: 1

      There are some fairly interesting discussions happening on the ARocket lists regarding the roll. Everyone has their pet theory:

      Uneven nozzle erosion
      Uneven thrust from the hybrid grain
      Propellant (NOX) "sloshing"
      Failure of the RCS systems to correct for some thrust vectors end of the climb
      Aerodynamic issues
      Mike M.'s "nudged a control" failure
      combinations of the above

      Any way you slice it, there aren't a whole slew of passengers who would like that kind of ride/risk. However, for a X-Prize winning event, this IS the type of thing test pilots will undertake. They have a different level of risk adversity.

      There may or may not be failure modes that might create a lower atmosphere failure (with possible damage to craft). There are probably rolls and pitch that might result in an blacked out pilot (not many but some). There are a lot of possible abort modes for this craft and flight profile though.

      It'd be great if they could disclose what really happened, but they have the deal with Virgin now, and Scaled is fairly tight-lipped about technical matters in the first place.

      We'll have to wait and see what happens Monday really. Scaled is making their stab at the history books, and best of luck to them for it.

      This stuff is hard. There are risks. Progress is sometimes messy.

    17. Re:Media Coverage by madprof · · Score: 1

      The BBC had streaming video coverage of it.

    18. Re:Media Coverage by maxpublic · · Score: 1

      Yeah, sounds like the press - who couldn't find their ass with both hands when it comes to rocketry - are desperate to show that Rutan's design is inherently flawed in some fashion. Mike Melville admitted after both flights that unusual craft performance was due to an error on his part, but Rutan went further and claimed that it was to be expected - that's why they use *test pilots*, for chrissakes! Nobody has any bloody idea how the craft will actually handle until they fly the thing into space! And it shows just how good Mike is, in that he recognized the errors, managed to correct them, and *still* achieved the goal set for the flight.

      The real question here is: why is the press so eager to destroy the reputation of SSO, Rutan, and the idea of private space flight in general? Would they have been happier if SSO had blown up in a spectacular fashion? Are they trying to get the government to step in and end private space flight for all time? Are they pissed off that Mike didn't crash SSO and boost their ratings for the night?

      The story here isn't SSO, it's the press's attitude towards SSO. I don't remember Lindbergh or Earhardt getting this sort of treatment....

      Max

      --
      My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
    19. Re:Media Coverage by iabervon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It may also turn out that the corkscrew is not a problem and keeps the craft pointed in the right direction, similar to how rifling improves the accuracy of bullets. It might just look disturbing to the people on the ground, and not upset the pilot or passengers. If you recall, the test run had two instabilities at that point in the flight, and rolling was the less hazardous one. I wouldn't be surprised if Melvill let it spin, rather than correcting, to keep it from doing anything else.

      For that matter, if a part detatched from a spinning launch vehicle, it would be (slightly) more likely to fly clear of the vehicle, rather than hitting the vehicle further back.

    20. Re:Media Coverage by rossifer · · Score: 1

      So, one of the best aeronautical engineers, and a damned good pilot BOTH share the same opinion, but unnamed folks on the ground disagree... yup, solid reporting there.

      It's called a financial conflict of interest, and all of the sources on the "it's no problem" side have it. Besides, Rutan is a good aeronautical engineer who did pretty good in kitplane and subsonic passenger aircraft design. His design submissions for military contracts (along with his now crashed pylon racer) all suffered from various instabilities in high speed flight.

      Rutan isn't quite as smart as he thinks he is and has a large quantity of money on the line here. Either issue would cause me to consider his statements carefully. His test pilot has a large quantity of money on the line, but should be smarter than he's acting. After all, his ass is on the line too. Just because the founder and lead pilot of Scaled Composites both assured the press that Scaled Composites's X-Prize contender is A-OK, doesn't mean I have to accept their assurances.

      With all of that said, I hope 1) the roll is due to a minor control failure (not a systemic design problem) 2) with two datapoints, they were able to figure it out and fix it and 3) the next flight is a roaring success.

      Regards,
      Ross

    21. Re:Media Coverage by Phil+Karn · · Score: 1
      But the shuttle can eject the two SRBs (Solid Rocket Boosters) at any time and the three main engines of the shuttle itself are powered by internel fuel and the big foam External Fuel tank, which ejects after the SRB's anyway.

      Wrong. The shuttle cannot shut down the solids once they are lit, and it cannot safely jettison the solids while they are still burning. That move would be immediately fatal. Once the SRBs are lit, the orbiter is along for the ride, for better or worse, until they burn out.

      There is a way to (nearly) shut down the solids early: by firing the range safety destruct system. This fires linear shaped charges running down the length of each SRB, splitting the case open and lowering the combustion chamber pressure sufficiently for the propellant to stop rapid burning. This was actually done once, some time after Challenger had already been destroyed by the aerodynamic forces resulting from its uncontrolled attitude after the external tank broke up (and not by the burning of the liquid hydrogen). As implied by the term "range safety destruct", this is something you do to protect people on the ground, not the astronauts on the orbiter.

    22. Re:Media Coverage by robi2106 · · Score: 1

      Thanks for clarification. I always believed the SRBs could be severed if necessary. So that does make the shuttle even more of a bottle rocket.

      jason

    23. Re:Media Coverage by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      The solids are ejected as a normal matter of course during launch, while still ignited and producing optimum thrust. There is no issue with them being ejected before normal points during the launch anyhow, as they would automaticaly be projected outward from the orbiter during the ejection procedure. Watch any launch movie and you will see the SRBs still firing when seperated from the orbiter, they are still ignited and burning when they seperate. To do this earlier is a scenario NASA have to recover the orbiter in the case of a launch failure once the orbiter has left the tower. The Range Safty Destruct is something all spacecraft have, and you will find that the orbiter fuel tank is also fitted with such a device.

    24. Re:Media Coverage by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      Not really wierd, the record breaking flight was when SS1 did this the first time, during the test flight. This is just another flight for the craft, in essence, and it isnt actually that exciting either. When it completes the second flight on monday, thats when I expect it to be in the media.

    25. Re:Media Coverage by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      i>Any way you slice it, there aren't a whole slew of passengers who would like that kind of ride/risk.

      I dont know, I mean there have already been a sizeable number of posts in various space related stories on slashdot saying essentially 'I would risk my life to do it'. Even if 0.5% of slashdotters would jump at the chance, you are looking at over 5,000 people willing to be a passenger with that kind of risk. And personally, 1% is on the low side.

    26. Re:Media Coverage by winwar · · Score: 1

      "The real question here is: why is the press so eager to destroy the reputation of SSO, Rutan, and the idea of private space flight in general? Would they have been happier if SSO had blown up in a spectacular fashion?"

      But a catastrophic explosion is much more fun to cover :) Not to mention gets better ratings and lasts longer :) Generating controversy is good for media but bad for actual reporting.

      Remember if it bleeds, it leads...

      Maybe saying if it is charred, it stars would be more appropriate :)

    27. Re:Media Coverage by sjames · · Score: 1

      Would they have been happier if SSO had blown up in a spectacular fashion?

      Probably.

    28. Re:Media Coverage by Phil+Karn · · Score: 1
      That's just not true. When the solids are jettisoned, they have already burned out. What you see coming out of the nozzles is just residual char from the motor casings and nozzle. Remember the external atmospheric pressure is very low at that altitude.

      If the solids were still producing appreciable thrust at jettison, then they'd fly forward quite rapidly since they're almost empty. But they don't. They just fall back after being pushed away by the separation motors.

      Jettisoning the solids while they're still burning and producing thrust would produce a reasonably close re-enactment of the Challenger disaster.

      An ongoing safety concern for the shuttle is ensuring that the two SRBs are as closely matched as possible throughout their entire burn. Even small temperature differences between them can be a big deal.

    29. Re:Media Coverage by grozzie2 · · Score: 1
      Rutan isn't quite as smart as he thinks he is

      This is not a popular opinion here on /., and surely to attract the negative mods, but, that doesn't mean it's not true. The reality is, SS1 and the sub orbital flights are the first time most folks here have ever heard of Mr Rutan and Scaled. A few more will remember Voyageur and it's round the world trip. There's only a few that will even recognize things like the BD-10, the Pond Racer, and numerous other attempts at high speed aircraft by Mr Rutan. There is a common theme amongst all of his attempts at high speed equipment in the past, they all killed the test pilots. BD-10 in particular got a number of them before they finally decided, there was no way to strengthen the tail and actually have it survive the transonic speed range.

      Another brilliant example folks love to point at, is the Beech Starship. I've had the pleasure of riding in one once, it was pretty 'different'. Then again, I also know, after Raytheon bought Beech, they actually started buying all the Starships back. They felt it was cheaper to buy the airframes back from the owners, and scrap them, than to assume the product liability for the aircraft in the field. Not exactly a vote of confidence for the design, and actually held up in industry today as a huge example to new upcoming engineers, and its NOT held up in a posotive light.

      The thing about meticulous flight testing, you depart on a planned flight profile, fly the profile, then analyze the data. SS1 has been on a meticulous program since the inception. The first flight to 100km resulted in an uncommanded, and uncontrollable roll event. Data was analyzed, and changes made. Months later, the second flight results in a much more dramatic unplanned roll event. A second flight is scheduled for a few days later. This is a MAJOR departure from the meticulous and well orchestrated flight test program. The flight on Monday is 'for the money', there is no doubt. If it was truely an extension of a meticulous flight test program, it would be delayed until the unplanned roll event was fully understood, and efforts were made to prevent it. Two major unplanned events in 2 consecutive flights does require a revisit of the issues prior to making another flight, unless of course, you have the clock ticking, and want to shoot for the money/glory. then you just step back and say 'damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead' for one more flight.

      Kudos to Mellville tho, he stepped up to the microphone and said 'my fault' when it was needed. It puts a plastic facade on the 'flight test program' again, and allows them to launch on monday, to go for the bucks.

      I'd like to see them succeed on monday, it'll be GREAT for the industry as a whole.

    30. Re:Media Coverage by F00F · · Score: 1

      > Dick Rutan will find a way to have this craft go up once more, a new (modified)
      > design will be built which fixes this instability and SpaceShipOne will go to the
      > Smithsonian before it hurts anyone.

      When Dick figures out a way to have this craft go up once more, do you think he'll be kind
      enough to share it with his brother, Burt?

    31. Re:Media Coverage by Thagg · · Score: 1

      Burt Rutan had nothing to do with the BD-10, that was a Jim Bede project all the way. Burt did contribute somewhat to the gloriously misbegotten BD-5, it's true.

      The Pond Racer was a all-out unlimited-class racing plane. Unfortunately, air racing is an insanely dangerous business -- and the air racing history is populated largely by people who died in their planes. From the GeeBees to Tsunami, homebuilt air racers are just not for the faint of heart.

      Burt's Amsoil racer, on the other hand, did manage to protect its pilot when it crashed after it was cut off by another plane on takeoff.

      The Starship is every bit an example of what things can go wrong. I lay 99% of the blame on Beech's management and manufacturing, though. The prototype really did perform excellently -- but the production planes were sadly outperformed in many criteria (and especially the most commercially important criteria, like cruise speed and runway required) by convential King Airs.

      As far as flying the next flight of SS1 so soon after unexplained performance on the most recent flight -- I completely agree with you. The 37th anniversary of Sputnik is not worth the risk. Spend another week evaluating the data, then fly.

      Still, name another aero engineer with 10% of the achievements of Rutan -- Ok, I give you Kelly Johnson. Name another one :)

      Thad

      --
      I love Mondays. On a Monday, anything is possible.
  15. Re:Monopoly Money by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Informative

    To make this on-topic, SpaceShipOne will win 20,000 of the new $50 bills on Monday. Hooray!

  16. Video mirrors by Rupan · · Score: 4, Informative

    I have to go out right now, but when I return (soon) I will have the videos mirrored on my website here: http://www.css-auth.com/ss1/ Perhaps within the hour.

    --
    Ads? What ads?
    1. Re:Video mirrors by jaredmauch · · Score: 1

      I also have a mirror i'm putting up right now. The file will be here

    2. Re:Video mirrors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks for that, super fast 181kbytes/s download - Does anyone know how he got the roll under control (or indeed how did the roll start) in the rarified atmosphere as there was nothing (or very little) acting on the surfaces?

    3. Re:Video mirrors by jaredmauch · · Score: 1
      NP. I E-mailed scaled.com tech contact.. I see they updated their page with a link to a bittorrent url, maybe they will add my link as well ...

      I've not yet heard what caused the roll to start. I'm interested in that myself, but I think the key part is will they repeat this on monday (US/Pacific time), or will there be a delay while they continue looking at what happened to insure the trip [on monday] is a safe flight?

    4. Re:Video mirrors by Rupan · · Score: 1

      The files have been uploaded

      --
      Ads? What ads?
  17. Holiday snaps? by bludstone · · Score: 3, Funny

    Could be taken on a holiday.

    Photographs, ey? He asked him knowingly... ..but still.. WOOOAAAHHHhhh

    --

    no .sig
  18. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by XaXXon · · Score: 1

    Maybe they already know the answer and that's why he shut the rocket off when he knew he would pass the 100km mark.

    I think it's cool that they have a predictive altimeter.

  19. Heard they got a cypher lock on the space ship by Tuffsnake · · Score: 1, Funny

    The password is:

    1 2 3 4 5

    1. Re:Heard they got a cypher lock on the space ship by 93,000 · · Score: 0

      Damn. Time to change the combination on my luggage.

    2. Re:Heard they got a cypher lock on the space ship by uberdave · · Score: 1

      Oh come now! Everyone knows that the password to a rocket is gonna be

      5 4 3 2 1

    3. Re:Heard they got a cypher lock on the space ship by flosofl · · Score: 2, Funny

      Damn! That's the same as my luggage. Quick, change the combo!

      --
      "This calls for a very special blend of psychology and extreme violence" - Vyvyan "The Young Ones"
    4. Re:Heard they got a cypher lock on the space ship by flosofl · · Score: 1

      Crap! Didn't mean to dupe a previous comment (although this is /.). I should've figured the obvious Space Balls reference would be taken...

      --
      "This calls for a very special blend of psychology and extreme violence" - Vyvyan "The Young Ones"
  20. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well it's possable that it will happen again.
    If he does not keep his paw's off the alirons after crossing 100k.

    Its good that the roll rate was as low as it was.
    Thers not enought air up there to damp the roll rate without thusters.

  21. Re:That's hot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    There is a mirror at mirrordot ... ;) http://www.mirrordot.org/

  22. By THE Anniversary... by DJBurgie · · Score: 0

    1957, so the 47th anniversary.

  23. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by f00zy · · Score: 4, Informative

    It was more like 11 seconds.
    CNN story

  24. Flight Two Sponsored By... by MonkeyGone2Heaven · · Score: 2, Funny


    ReliefBand: Nausea relief to go.

  25. Mike Melville rolled it on purpose! by mark99 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    That is what I think. He even said he thought it was kinda cool.

    I think he just wanted to say "Yehaa...".

    1. Re:Mike Melville rolled it on purpose! by rabel · · Score: 1

      This guy has some huge nuts! If you haven't seen the video, you gotta check it out.

    2. Re:Mike Melville rolled it on purpose! by Nick+Driver · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You're not the only one suspecting that he did intend to perform a one or two turn roll... and that the roll turned out to be vastly more intense than he bargained for... maybe due to the lack of atmospheric friction against the aircraft in the roll. A little control input perhaps goes a loooooong way in this craft, once beyond the point where there is no more atmospheric drag.

    3. Re:Mike Melville rolled it on purpose! by mark99 · · Score: 1

      Umm hmm, reminds of once when I swerved out of annoyance on the Autobahn (idiot in front of my was slowing down suddenly for no reason, not another car or speed limit or anything in sight), probably just to annoy me.

      Thing is, as I verred right, my car (a big German car built for speed) started to swerve back and forth (some kind of resonance, scared the sh*t out of me).

      In the end nothing bad happenend, but it taught me a few lessons,
      - one is that high speed driving is no place for peevishness (shouldn't have to learn that),
      - another is that unexpected things happen when you try new things out (especially at high speed).

      I think Mike Melville just got a taste of the second.

    4. Re:Mike Melville rolled it on purpose! by JeffWhitledge · · Score: 0

      Or maybe it was the first.

      "Stupid Venusian doing Mach 2.5 in the fast lane!"

      --
      These comments do express the opinions of my employers, and, personally, I think they're complete rubbish.
    5. Re:Mike Melville rolled it on purpose! by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      The first incident of Space Rage!

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
  26. Have we heard anything official... by MarcoAtWork · · Score: 3, Interesting

    about what exactly caused the roll last time? Given that now they had time go to through the telemetry data one assumes they would know for sure exactly what happened: did they make the info public?

    --
    -- the cake is a lie
    1. Re:Have we heard anything official... by m_member · · Score: 4, Informative

      I think it was announced that it was wind shear which caused the roll on the first flight.

    2. Re:Have we heard anything official... by Tablizer · · Score: 3, Funny

      what exactly caused the roll

      He dropped his Snickers Bar on the floor, and had to feel around to find it. I have this problem all the time when I don't have a passenger to help me find my Snickers. Complicating the matter is that what is the "floor" changes when going into space. Never know where a Snickers can end up.

    3. Re:Have we heard anything official... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Note quite. An M&M from the last flight got lodged in the joy stick, making it stuck on a spin angle. Time to add a NO FOOD sticker. Unlike NASA, they can make such a sticker for a few dollars instead of thousands.

  27. Bransons space adventure by hsmith · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Branson is only funding his Virgin space ship line becuase he wants 2 hour flights from Australia to london instead of 20+ hour flights :o

    1. Re:Bransons space adventure by platos_beard · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Hmmm, how far could SS1 actually get if it hadn't steered straight up? It would still take an hour to get up to detachment altitude, but if he only flew up to, say 15 km and did a long glide, could it at least get from US West Coast to Europe in a couple hours?

      --
      What's a sig?
    2. Re:Bransons space adventure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think so. Air resistance would be a significant issue, so he needs altitude, and SS1 "only" hits Mach 3 or so. Plus he hasn't got enough fuel to sustain that speed for any length of time.

    3. Re:Bransons space adventure by yppiz · · Score: 1
      You don't want to be gliding across the ocean, your fuel spent, and then hit a headwind.


      SpaceShipOne's engine design does allow the pilot to stop and start the rocket, so they don't need to use all the fuel, but I don't think many would be comfortable with a trans-Pacific glide.


      --Pat / zippy@cs.brandeis.edu

  28. Re:That's hot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Should have scaled their server farm.

  29. Re:That's hot by RealityMogul · · Score: 1

    Good idea, except they only cache the pages, not the videos.

  30. Hey! by Pig+Hogger · · Score: 1

    What goes up must come down... :) :) :)

    1. Re:Hey! by Soul-Burn666 · · Score: 1

      Are you refering to SSO or their site?

      --
      ^_^
  31. With $10 million... by Genjurosan · · Score: 1

    Perhaps they could spend a few thousand to get a few new servers to handle the traffic.

    /. effect in T-minus 5....4....3....2....

  32. I wonder... by Pig+Hogger · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Almost 50 years ago, the X-15 basically had the same capabilities as Spaceship One's.

    What were the development costs of the X-15 program???

    1. Re:I wonder... by Lumpy · · Score: 3, Funny

      What were the development costs of the X-15 program???

      60 bucks and a couple of Jiffy-pop packages.

      it's a little known secret that when you expose a Jiffy-pop package to microwave energy it's resulting expansion act's like a very powerful rocket.

      The military took advantage of that side effect and used it to win a bar bet against the German V-II rocket engineers who said that they could not make it to space on popcorn power.

      It's amazing what you discover about history using the freedom of information Act.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    2. Re:I wonder... by merlin_jim · · Score: 1

      60 bucks and a couple of Jiffy-pop packages.

      it's a little known secret that when you expose a Jiffy-pop package to microwave energy it's resulting expansion act's like a very powerful rocket.

      The military took advantage of that side effect and used it to win a bar bet against the German V-II rocket engineers who said that they could not make it to space on popcorn power.

      It's amazing what you discover about history using the freedom of information Act.


      You might need to adjust your tinfoil act if you really believe that FOIA disclosure isn't doctored before release.

      I mean this little scenario is so obviously falsified, how can you believe for a second that its true?

      The bet was with Roswell aliens, not some hypothetical "German rocket engineers" Do you really expect me to believe they were in a bar with GERMANS????

      --
      I am disrespectful to dirt! Can you see that I am serious?!
    3. Re:I wonder... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative
      http://history.nasa.gov/SP-4219/Chapter6.html
      The program's total cost, including development and eight years of operations are usually estimated at $300 million in 1969 dollars. Each flight is estimated to have cost $600,000
    4. Re:I wonder... by zenofjazz · · Score: 0, Redundant

      According to http://history.nasa.gov/SP-4219/Chapter6.html the development costs for the X15 program for development, and 8 years of operational flights were estimated at $300 Million in 1969 dollars. According to http://www.thespacereview.com/article/204/1 that $300 million in 1969 dollars is the equivalent of 1.5 Billion dollars (2004 dollars).

      WAAAAY to go Scaled Composites!

      --
      -- All That's Evil in the Geek Space ... Allthatsevil.wordpress.com
    5. Re:I wonder... by madprof · · Score: 1

      Er, the X-15 was the last in a series of supersonic aircraft going back to machines like the X-1. It was not built in isolation.
      The X-15 had pilots wear suits developed from spacesuits and had no room for passengers.
      SpaceShipOne has no need for spacesuits and takes passengers.
      The X-15 could also not go up into space and then fall back down again safely.
      SpaceShipOne can do this.
      So when you sid "same capabilities" you meant "not a lot like it" right?

    6. Re:I wonder... by Pig+Hogger · · Score: 1
      Er, the X-15 was the last in a series of supersonic aircraft going back to machines like the X-1. It was not built in isolation.
      So are Burt Rutan's planes; he built several highly unusual and innovative aircraft before spaceship one... Even when the Wright brothers built their flyer there was the experience of Otto Lilienthal and Clément Ader (whose Avion - yuk! - gave the french language the word for airplane).
      The X-15 had pilots wear suits developed from spacesuits and had no room for passengers.
      Er, spacesuits were developped FROM the X-15 pressure-suits... And so were the attitude thrusters used on the Mercury capsules (and many other subsystems). In fact, the X-15 also served as a test-bed for many things used in the U.S. space program.
      SpaceShipOne has no need for spacesuits and takes passengers.
      Not me, thank-you very mich... :)
      The X-15 could also not go up into space and then fall back down again safely.
      SpaceShipOne can do this.
      ??? Er ??? Like the X-15, it doesn't take-off by itself (the X-15 was hauled by a B-52, spaceship one by a special - and just as wierd - aircraft)
      So when you sid "same capabilities" you meant "not a lot like it" right?
      Well, they're pretty similar in terms of flight profile (but I understand that the X-15 didn't go as high, but it went faster, though). So it seems that a comparing the two is not an unreasonable thing to do, given their similar flight profiles...
    7. Re:I wonder... by madprof · · Score: 1

      You are quite right about the space suits and flight trajectory and I was wrong. Sorry!
      It's not an unreasonable comparison although the X-15 was also designed for level flight as well and flew several missions like that.
      OK I did a bit of reading. :)

  33. Re:The other X-Prize contestants by Animats · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Well, after the Gossamer Condor won the Kremer Prize, and the Gossamer Albatross flew the English Channel on pedal power, everyone else pretty much gave up.

    It was flying the English Channel that did it. Nobody else could even fly the Kremer course (a one-mile or so figure 8), and then the group did the English Channel.

  34. Robust design by mdp1173 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Actually, the method SpaceShipOne uses to re-enter the atmosphere is pretty robust and safe. Most times, entry vehicles use a blunt end - think the bottom of the Apollo capsule - to slow down through a process called 'aerobraking'. If a vehicle starts to spin rapidly during that time, bad things happen. SSO can enter the atmosphere in any orientation - nose down, nose up, sideways - and it will be OK because of it's back wing surface. In an orientation the Scaled guys call "feathering" the back end flips up 90 degrees in a high drag configuration. This forces the nose into the atmosphere at the right angle, so spinning isn't a vehicle loss issue Still, you go a lot slower re-entering from a suborbital flight than an orbital speed re-entry a la Columbia circa 2003

    1. Re:Robust design by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, starting the downward part of the trip at 0 km/h is completely different from starting at 20 000 km/h.

      Its really an apples to oranges comparason, its kind of a misnomer to even call this a reentry....

      Just leave it at the fact that going straight up and falling back down is much safer than trying to orbit the earth.

  35. For when the site gets slashdotted. by Avtar · · Score: 2, Informative
    1. Re:For when the site gets slashdotted. by 787style · · Score: 1

      It does little good to cache the HTML, the video download is what is causing the server to choke.

  36. Where is the test being held? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm in AZ and would certainly drive to CA to see this. Is this out of the Mohave Airport?

  37. Need a passenger? by thejuggler · · Score: 1

    I'll voluteer for the passenger seat!!!

  38. What I'd love to see... by IgLou · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Is a good shot of the re-entry. I want so bad to see those wings actually fold up, that's too cool!
    Anyone else out there who find it almost anime-esque?

    --

    Oops, how did this get here?
    09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
  39. I heard that the X-15 cost $5 million dollars by TXP · · Score: 1

    But when you factor in those $1 million dollar hammers they used the cost grows to 1 billion.

  40. BitTorrent download by TheSHAD0W · · Score: 5, Informative

    Download video via BitTorrent at X-Prize-flight-1.wmv.torrent

    1. Re:BitTorrent download by tilk · · Score: 1

      Thanks. Looks like BitTorrent is the ultimate anti-slashdotting cure ;)

    2. Re:BitTorrent download by FrostedWheat · · Score: 1

      Is it just me, or does every video from the Scaled Composites website crash mplayer and xine?

      Or is my mplayer broken? (from freshrpms)

    3. Re:BitTorrent download by jocknerd · · Score: 1

      It might have something to do with it being in WMV 9 format.

    4. Re:BitTorrent download by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gracias.

    5. Re:BitTorrent download by gnunick · · Score: 1

      The first one (only one on the torrent) works fine for me with xine 0.9.21 (not exactly the latest)... although I do have mplayer-codecs-win32-dmo-9.0-2 installed too.

      --
      I have no special gift, I am only passionately curious. --Albert Einstein
    6. Re:BitTorrent download by FrostedWheat · · Score: 1

      I tried it on my Gentoo box and it's working really nicely. Guess my codec pack is out of date on my Fedora box. What an impressive video! I can't wait to take a flight in one of these things.

  41. It's off-topic, mod me down by The-Bus · · Score: 1

    But that mirrordot site has to be in competition with games.slashdot.org and it.slashdot.org for worst colors. Good grief.

    --

    Small potatoes make the steak look bigger.

  42. Let's just hope... by Suit_N_Tie · · Score: 0

    he doesn't become a member of the Darwin Award's list.
    Good luck and godspeed!

  43. I thought they had to carry 3 people? by js3 · · Score: 1

    wasn't the point of the x-prize to carry 3 people of similar body weight into space in a span of two weeks? I may be wrong but haven't they only been carrying one person all this time?

    --
    did you forget to take your meds?
    1. Re:I thought they had to carry 3 people? by iabervon · · Score: 1

      They are allowed to use a pilot and two dummies with the right size and weight, rather than actual passengers.

    2. Re:I thought they had to carry 3 people? by PhoenixFlare · · Score: 1

      Read the X-Prize rules before making comments like that, weight equaling 3 adults is accepted in lieu of actual people :)

      Hence why the first flight was the pliot plus ~180kg of ballast.

    3. Re:I thought they had to carry 3 people? by Thomas+A.+Anderson · · Score: 3, Informative

      They do have to carry 3 people, or the pilot and weight of 2 passangers (probably used sand bags).

      BTW, Burt Rutan mentioned just after the last flight that he might be a passenger in the next one.

      --
      Personally its not God I dislike, its his fan club I cant stand (bash.org)
    4. Re:I thought they had to carry 3 people? by dr_dank · · Score: 1

      They are allowed to use a pilot and two dummies with the right size and weight, rather than actual passengers.

      Actually, the dummies are an ingenious safety strategy. If the pilot has to eject, he'll go real limp like the dummy and people will catch him 'cause hey, free dummy.

      --
      Where does the school board find them and why do they keep sending them to ME?
    5. Re:I thought they had to carry 3 people? by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      They are allowed to use a pilot and two dummies with the right size and weight, rather than actual passengers.

      Meet our newest private astronaut, Neal Armbolt.

    6. Re:I thought they had to carry 3 people? by rabel · · Score: 1

      Meet our newest private astronaut, Neal Armbolt.

      Ummm... looks more like Mrs. Neal Armbolt, to me.

    7. Re:I thought they had to carry 3 people? by MojoSF · · Score: 1

      Rutan (I think) commented after the flight that the passenger weight this time was bags full of stuff belonging to Scaled employees and friends. After certifying the weight of the contents, the stuff would be returned as souvenirs. He actually removed four tree seedlings which had gone on the flight and presented them to (if I recall) Paul Allen, and said he needed to return them for the weigh-in. Mojo

  44. Come on guys, start caching stuff... by Black.Shuck · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...with FreeCache or Coral.

    Or just make it Slashdot-policy to use the past-tense when describing off-site content, like this:

    Before: "There is a very cool video..."
    After: "There was a very cool video..."

    Kind of pre-empts the whole /. effect, don't you think?

    It would be great to start moving away from the whole organised-DDOS attack thing...

    1. Re:Come on guys, start caching stuff... by parasyght · · Score: 0

      he does have a point. Slash dot should offer to mirror the webpage for a small price before they run the article. If the company opts out, thats their problem. Dont subscribers have a 5 min lead time to view the articles before a majority of the slashdot population does. This would give you enough time to contact the owner of the web page, informing them of the sudden increase in traffic about to come. Then offer them the sales pitch, explaining how you can mirror the site temporarily to relieve them of the bandwith overload, and still keep the much desired publicity. Remeber reality?

  45. More prizes by sbowles · · Score: 1
    One way to ensure that others would keep working on their innovative solutions would be to add 2nd and 3rd place prizes.

    The guys from da Vinci have always said that the real money is in the post X-Prize contracts (i.e. Virgin Galactic). Having the additional prizes would help keep the focus of the design teams, the money of the sponsors, and the media's attention on the race.

    --
    You sly dog: you got me monologuing! - Syndrome
  46. Live roll? by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    Was anybody watching the live coverage when the rolling kept going? Did you think there was a serious problem at that time? It is different to view it after you know they made it down safely.

    1. Re:Live roll? by cmowire · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it was nerve-wracking as all hell live. It looked, based on inadequate resolution, like not only was it rolling, it was pitching and yawing.

      Thankfully it was "just" rolling.

      The other part was that a bunch of folks were on IRC gabbing about it, which meant that some folks were 30 seconds less lagged, which meant that I had 30 extra seconds of tension.

    2. Re:Live roll? by HeghmoH · · Score: 1

      I was watching it live. I actually stopped breathing until the rocket motor cut off and it looked like it was going to be ok. I didn't even realize it at the time, but once it was finished, I realized I'd been holding my breath. The announcers were doing pretty much the same thing, too. One of them just said "uh oh" when the roll started, and they were pretty much silent after that. I was almost sure that it was going to end in disaster.

      --
      Mod down posts with a "Free Mac Mini/iPod" sig, they're spam!
  47. Love the video! by JUSTONEMORELATTE · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I watched the webcast, but the Scaled video has some of the in-cabin footage. After Mike cut the engines, you can see him working to stabilze the roll, then as he hit the zenith, he grabs a digi-cam and starts taking snapshots out the windows.
    Gotta love it!

    --
    Free gmail invites

  48. Or 1 + equivalent weight by mr_rangr · · Score: 1

    Their choice. They chose one live pilot, plus the weight of two people made up of trinkets provided by the ground crew.

    1. Re:Or 1 + equivalent weight by smharr4 · · Score: 1

      They could put tickets for the additional two seats up on eBay... Even if they didn't win the $10M X Prize, they'd get a substantial chunk of change insanely rich millionaires wanting to be the first passengers.

      Although... They'd have to not touch anything... Can you imagine Mike Melville telling his two passengers to stop touching buttons every few seconds?

    2. Re:Or 1 + equivalent weight by voidptr · · Score: 4, Informative

      They could put tickets for the two additional seats on E-bay

      No, actually they couldn't.

      N328KF is registered as an experimental glider. Under Federal Aviation Regulations (FARs) that means two things:

      a) You can't carry passengers at all until the craft has been satisfactorily flight tested.
      b) You can never carry passengers for hire.

      Whether or not at this point SSO has been flight tested is up to the FAA. It's usually about 40 hours of testing, and I have no clue whether they've put that much time on the airframe at this point or not and whether the FAA inspector is happy with the suborbital flight tests they've done. In any event, they won't be able to recover costs from passengers until they develop a certificated platform.

      --
      This .sig for unofficial government use only. Official use subject to $500 fine.
    3. Re:Or 1 + equivalent weight by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I will say that the guys trying to sell tickets are depending on the fact that this general airframe, or something very similar, is going to be certified for a production run of small spacecraft with full FAA commercial certification. So I think the experimental status will soon be changed, but that won't happen by Monday, that is for certain.

      I do know Paul Allen and Burt Rutan were suggesting strongly that they may be passengers in the final flight. Wheither this happens or not I bet will depend largely on the investigation of what caused the roll in the last flight.

      The 40+ flight hours of testing I think has already been made, at least as far as general typical high-altitude (10,000 + feet) flight manuvers are concerned and landing tests. Obviously there have only been two other flights into space, so extream high altitude testing has been rather limited. What the FAA says about that is another story. That this is under so much media scrutiny I think the FAA is going to bend over backwards to see certification occurs, unless there is some serious egg in the face of Scaled Composites. (Like having SSO crash & burn on Monday).

  49. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by Lumpy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The other thing that is amazing is that the man is flying that spaceship MANUALLY!

    Nasa never launched with a manual flight system, nor the Russians.

    I am curious as to why it does not have a simple flight computer and gyros to auto stabalize the launch flight. Even a low cost autopilot out of a old jet could do the job.

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  50. ./ed already by trilks · · Score: 3, Funny

    From the site:

    "(sorry slashdot.org visitors, overloaded...start a bittorrent feed?)"

    How did they know we were coming?

    --
    You won't hate yourself in the morning if you don't get up before noon.
    1. Re:./ed already by The+boojum · · Score: 1

      Simple: "The next Slashdot story will be ready soon, but subscribers can beat the rush and see it early!"

      I thought that message on their site was hillarious, personally. Clearly they have a geek running their server. It's good to see companies approve of mirroring/bittorrent, etc.

    2. Re:./ed already by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      because the webmaster reads slashdot. ;)

      And also when you try to load your own website and it takes 30 seconds to load the main page, this is the first place you look. Well, I'll post the torrent mirror link right now, that will help. There's three machines in a round robin, but the port only has so much bandwidth. :)

      --Mike the webmaster

    3. Re:./ed already by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why didn't this guy already have a Torrent up on the site?? Talk about begging for a beating.

  51. Yes, consider the results of the state-run program by 2nd+Post! · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We got to the moon. And back. Multiple times.
    We sent probes to Mars. And Venus. And beyond. And some of them still work.
    We sent rovers to Mars. That still work.
    We built several working space vehicles.
    We space-walked.
    We build a space station. And then we built another one.
    We chased comets. And sent the collected materials back.
    We've populated our solar system with several probes that have performed beyond expectation.
    We have Tang.
    We have titanium hips, golf clubs, glass frames, laptops, and spyplanes.

    There are many, many, more places where our investment into NASA has benefitted us enormously.

  52. Let's Hope So... by Saeed+al-Sahaf · · Score: 1

    Considering the wackiness factor of many of the other "competitors", I think that many will take this opportunity to exit the competition. I don't really mean this as a troll, but honestly, people, but one of these rockets already blew up on launch, and from what I've seen, most if not all the other "competitors" just don't have the R and D resources to pull off anything but a semi-spectacular fatality.

    --
    "Who are in control, they are not in control of anything - they don't even control themselves!" - Glen Beck
  53. Lesson #1: Use FreeCache by Matthew+Angel · · Score: 3, Insightful

    - Videos -
    Oct 01 11am - VIDEOS TEMPORARILY UNAVAILABLE (sorry slashdot.org visitors, overloaded...start a bittorrent feed?)

    So instead of just everyone jumping all over their site directly, why not use FreeCache first, especially when you know the video is 5.7 megs and it'll be popular...

    (sig)^-1 ... is that sag?

  54. Canadian Arrow Team by uberdave · · Score: 4, Informative

    The Canadian Arrow team has put together the world's first private astronaut training centre. If they were only in it for the X-Prize, they wouldn't have built the training centre. They are looking to space tourism, and are also hoping to start a new extreme sport: Space-diving (like sky-diving, except from space).

    1. Re:Canadian Arrow Team by CvD · · Score: 2, Informative

      Space diving? Thats insane... I don't know if you've heard of Joe Kittinger, who jumped from a balloon at 102,800 ft. The first jump he had serious trouble stabilizing himself, as there was no air to work with. On later jumps he deployed a drogue as is used with tandem skydives these days. He had a special suit made and took oxygen along. It was all a rather complicated affair.

      Of course I'm not saying space travel is not complicated. Its just that skydiving becomes a lot more complicated when you travel higher than 15,000ft. I'm sure there'll be some people that will do it, but I don't see it as something that many skydivers will be willing/able (skill-wise or finallcially) to do.

      Cheers

    2. Re:Canadian Arrow Team by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      An astronaught training facility in the middle of nowhere would be close to an ideal definition of a 'cargo cult'.
      Build an airport and planes will come?

    3. Re:Canadian Arrow Team by uberdave · · Score: 2, Informative

      London hosts one of the largest airshows in Ontario. Aside from the usual areobatic displays, there is a huge ground display. Besides, I don't think 2hrs outside of the fifth largest city in North America, just off of North America's busiest highway is the middle of nowhere.

    4. Re:Canadian Arrow Team by The+One+and+Only · · Score: 1

      Dude, Canada is by definition the middle of nowhere!

      --
      In Repressive Burma, it's not just your connection that dies. slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=314547&cid=20819199
  55. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    because they trust good old mechanics better than fly by wire with the risk of bsod due to paul allen insisting on XP being used.

  56. Tourism is probably more short term viable... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As much as I'd like to see what you describe, it seems more likely that in the immediate future, it will be more profitable to give rich people $200,000 trips into space then it will to do as you suggest.

    Hopefully, tourism will "bootstrap" the space industry, and who knows, maybe spaceflight will progress through the 21st century the way that aviation will progress through the 20th century.

  57. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by DaHat · · Score: 3, Informative

    The heat due to reentry has less to do with the altitude and more to do with the actual speed at impact.

    Objects that reach orbital velocity are going far faster and thus generate far more heat then something that effectively goes straight up and straight down such as SpaceShipOne (relative to something like the space shuttle that does achieve orbit).

  58. Roll all the way by martin · · Score: 1

    If you look at the video, as soon as the rocket is lit, the thing starts to roll one way then the other by about 30-4 degrees before finally hitting complete 360's.

    Makes you wonder if the tail fins need to the larger to give better stability when in a more vertical flight?????

    1. Re:Roll all the way by JawzX · · Score: 1

      Don't know if I'm seeing things, but it looks to me that there was some spluttery output from one of the rocket nozzels right about the time it started rolling...could this be the cuase? Look between 00:54 and 01:05, watch the rocket flame and exhaust vs 00:30 to 00:40.

    2. Re:Roll all the way by starbird · · Score: 2, Informative

      There is only 1 rocket nozzle.

      The theory is the roll was started by upper level winds, which was correctable. Mellville says he stepped on a rudder pedal a bit too agressively which started the unrequested roll.

      If you look at the design, the rudders are above the thrust line. If you give a rudder input, you will get a roll in the same direction. Its like having built in dihedral. Once the roll started, they were in the upper stmosphere. The aero surfaces would be pretty much ineffective, but the RCS would not be strong enough yet to control the craft. By that time the feathering system could be opened, and any roll/yawing moments would be dampened as the craft comes back into thicker atmosphere. You even see the pilot stop fiddling with the controls once the roll was slowed and start taking pictures.

      You could ask 'well why not put the wings and vertial stabs in line with the thrust line?" My thinking is that you want the weight further below the line so that on reentry it will want to come down right side up. It would help it be more stable on the way down and make sure the craft reenters at the corect attitude (rather than inverted or backward).

  59. Re:Yes, consider the results of the state-run prog by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    We got to the moon. And back. Multiple times. And what have we done since to develop on this ability?

    We sent probes to Mars. And Venus. And beyond. And some of them still work. So how many of them - percentagewise - still work? Even better, how many worked right in the first place? And what are we doing with this information?

    We sent rovers to Mars. That still work.And we could have sent people. I did a report on the Mars Odyssey years ago that said we could get people there with relative ease ... if we launched it before now.

    We built several working space vehicles.And they are somewhat reusable. But they are expensive. A private venture would make them as cheaply as possible so as to save as much money as possible. A government organization doesn't worry about cost at first; after all, they're just spending tax money that would otherwise get spent on things that aren't worth as much, so it might as well be used to do this - that way in 5 years when their budget requirements go up (for actual work, that is) they can cut back on unnecessary programs, fund the things they actually need, and not actually need to get more money - but so they can continue to do it, they say "look at us, we had to shut down "x" program due to lack of funds."

    We space-walked.Yes, many times. Again, what has it gotten us?

    We build a space station. And then we built another one.Why did we build a second station? Oh wait, the first one quit working. Did we get a good return on the investment from it at least?

    We chased comets. And sent the collected materials back. Yay! We have interstellar ice and small particles!

    We've populated our solar system with several probes that have performed beyond expectation.And future spacecraft need to dodge the ones that don't work. And - in theory - what happens if one drifts into the path of a comet? Long odds, to be sure, but possible.

    We have Tang.This is a GOOD thing?

    We have titanium hips, golf clubs, glass frames, laptops, and spyplanes.True. How much of this would have been made without space travel? This isn't Civilization by Sid Meier - we didn't really *need* Space travel to get Plastics, it merely provided a reason to do so.


    I don't think the space program has been entirely a waste of time and money; however, I do think they need to pay more attention to actual useful things that work rather than other stuff. How many things like Tang and Plastics have come from the Space Program since we landed on the Moon?

  60. Re:Yes, consider the results of the state-run prog by Tanktalus · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I suppose the big question is ... if NASA instead were merely a contracting arm of the goverment which put together specs for tender, would we have gotten further, faster, and cheaper?

    And let's not forget the human cost: would we have lost similar or fewer people doing it (safety)?

    No, really. I'm serious. This is not intended as a slam against government waste or corporate cost/corner cutting. It's really a question for thought. Is there a middle ground available where we get the same safety, but further/faster/cheaper?

    Contractors would need to be able to find ways to compete against others for the research business. There are some things that competition is good for. But, then again, with only one possible customer at the time (NASA), would there be enough competition for those dollars? Now might be a much better time (than, say, the 1950's) to thin out NASA, spin off JPL, and then have NASA merely contract out: the competition will be competing for business from much more than NASA - airlines will be interested in some of this technology, too, I'm sure.

  61. Resting on your laurels is counterproductive by dillon_rinker · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We sailed to England. And back. Multiple times.
    We sent messengers to Persia. And India. And beyond.
    We sent caravans to India. We still trade with them.
    We built several working sailing ships.
    We swam in the sea.
    We colonized a tiny island. And then we colonized another one.
    We chased whales. And sent the collected materials back.
    We've sent our driftwood around the world on the ocean's currents.
    We have spice.
    We have gunpowder, algeabra, paper, Arabic numerals, and modern surgery.

    THERE IS ABSOLUTELY NO NEED FOR US TO FINANCE THIS FLEET OF YOURS, COLUMBUS!!!

    1. Re:Resting on your laurels is counterproductive by 2nd+Post! · · Score: 1

      Yes, are you trying to argue then that funding NASA is unproductive?

      They are still doing science and research today: Genesis, Mars rovers, and so on. If their scope is reduced in grandeur today than it was in the 60s, it isn't because NASA suffers from tunnel vision, it's because it is constrained by what we tell them to do.

    2. Re:Resting on your laurels is counterproductive by CompressedAir · · Score: 1

      Interesting, but I don't see how that is a rebuttal of the parent.

    3. Re:Resting on your laurels is counterproductive by dillon_rinker · · Score: 1

      No, not at all. But LOOK at Columbus - he approached a number of countries before Spain agreed to fund his expedition. There were MANY sources of funding in Renaissance Europe for oceanic exploration. There is only ONE source int he US for space exploration. NASA has accomplished a lot - agreed. Currently, however, they are an acive impediment to wholesale human spaceflight. If you have this great idea for manned flight, you're out of luck, just as Columbus would have been if the first nation he approached had been the only seagoing nation.

      it isn't because NASA suffers from tunnel vision
      Yes, it is. They would rather pay legions of bureaucrats than pay for manned spaceflight.

    4. Re:Resting on your laurels is counterproductive by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      Your parody doesn't work. The conclusion of the GP post wasn't that there was no need for private space initiatives, but that the government programs are doing useful research.

      Besides, if we liken NASA to Queen Isabella's exploration program, then Columbus' request was more like going to NASA and asking them to do a new and risky mission. Instead of setting up a private program to compete with the government, Columbus went and requested government funding for his program.

      So I'm curious: What was your point?

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    5. Re:Resting on your laurels is counterproductive by momerath2003 · · Score: 1

      I don't think the parent was talking about resting on his laurels. He was saying that having government funding has done a lot, and that maybe it can do more.

      --
      I had but a simple dream, to destroy all humans.
    6. Re:Resting on your laurels is counterproductive by dillon_rinker · · Score: 1

      "It has done a lot..."
      Agreed. It has done amazing things, in fact.

      "...it can do more."
      Empirical evidence suggests otherwise. NASA will continue to do what NASA is good at, but they are an active impediment to manned spaceflight. WRT manned spaceflight, NASA is resting on its laurels: we haven't been past LEO for 30 years. The point of the X-Prize is manned spaceflight. To quote a grandparent post, for manned space flight, it is a better investment to fund private groups than NASA.

    7. Re:Resting on your laurels is counterproductive by dillon_rinker · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "government programs are doing useful research"

      But that's a red herring. USEFUL isn't the topic of discussion; the X-Prize, or more generally, manned spaceflight, is the topic. The post the GP was replying to suggested that funding should go somewhere besides NASA. I don't suggest de-funding NASA (they ARE useful), but I would suggest funding some manned space programs that might actually get us out of the gravity well. LEO doesn't cut it. 20,000 bureaucrats doesn't cut it. Feynman's report on the shuttle bureaucracy (in the wake of the Challenger explosion) was quite damning. Nothing changed, and 15 years later we lost another shuttle and another crew to another avoidable problem again predicted in advance by engineers. We will NOT get large-scale manned spaceflight with NASA as it currently exists. Feel free to point to empirical evidence that suggests otherwise.

      "Besides, if we liken NASA to..."
      I'd liken NASA to one of the kings who had already turned down Columbus (he approached several monarchs of several nations before hitting it off with Isabella. I would liken her to the X-Prize. (Yeah, it's not a perfect analogy.) Columbus didn't care who funded him as long as someone did. I don't care who funds manned spaceflight as long as someone does. Again, hanging around in LEO doesn't cut it, and I haven't seen anything from NASA to suggest they'll do anything else.

  62. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by justasecond · · Score: 1, Informative

    Actually, the pilot has admitted to being the cause of the spin (he said he may have stepped on a rudder control).

  63. Re:Yes, consider the results of the state-run prog by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Besides, Tang can cause Diabeetise

  64. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by cmowire · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Well, because it's harder than you think.

    Remember, he's got a stick for subsonic flight. He's got trim for supersonic flight. And then he's got thrusters for space usage. Plus backup systems, which you have to know when they should be activated. So it can't just be an off-the-shelf system.

    The thing is, if you *needed* the autopilot, you'd need to have redundancy and reliability and whatnot. If you don't *need* the autopilot, it's an added expense, a waste of time, and it takes up weight that can be used for something else. So, for an experimental aircraft that's going to be flown by Scaled's best pilots, why not?

    The other problem is that the main folks who have an off-the-shelf flight computer that would be suitable is the Air Force. Who obviously isn't going to sell one to "just anyone", which means that an X-prize contender can't have it.

  65. Direct link to the whole program by Sporkinum · · Score: 1

    This is the stream os the entire 3+hours. Fast Forward to 2:09:00 for the start of the flight.
    mms:wmworldmii-streamingnetmediadeepbluscaledcompo sitesx1300500wmv

    --
    "He's lost in a 'floyd hole"
    1. Re:Direct link to the whole program by Sporkinum · · Score: 1
      Slashdot mangled the URL..
      mms://wm.world.mii-streaming.net/media/deepblu/s caled_composites_x1_300500.wmv
      --
      "He's lost in a 'floyd hole"
  66. Build your own! X-Prize Models by StefanJ · · Score: 1

    Estes is selling a line of X-Prize flying models:

    http://www.rocketshoppe.com/images/scoop_1.jpg

    http://www.rocketshoppe.com/images/scoop_2.jpg

    They've since gotten rights for the SpaceShipOne design.

  67. another torrent by TheSHAD0W · · Score: 1

    SpaceShipOne-large.torrent

    Not my tracker. This contains documentary-style footage of the launch.

  68. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Probably not -- old jets are big creaky old busses that lumber along in straight and level flight, hardly ever changing altitude at more than 1k feet per minute. This flight plan is waay outside their operating envelope. Most of them could not be perverted into attempting it.

    He probably does use gyros in his instruments, but the control feedback loop is damped by meat.

  69. Re:Yes, consider the results of the state-run prog by macmurph · · Score: 1

    We created Burning Man.

  70. Video Mirror Up, with MPEG conversion (soon) by IdahoEv · · Score: 3, Informative

    Ecliptic Enterprises, who makes the onboard videocamera used for much of that footage, has two mirrors of the video footage:

    RocketCam (TM) Videos

    RocketCam (TM) Video Mirror at RocketCam.Space.TV

    MPEG and QT conversions of the WMV will be going up in a few minutes, as well, for all you linux and mac users. (As of 12:30pm PST, should be up by 1:00PST/4:00EST).

    Disclaimer: I'm Ecliptic's webmaster by subcontract.

    Enjoy.

    -Ev

    --
    I stole this sig from someone cleverer than me.
    1. Re:Video Mirror Up, with MPEG conversion (soon) by NotoriousQ · · Score: 1

      Are you getting paid per megabyte?

      --
      badness 10000
    2. Re:Video Mirror Up, with MPEG conversion (soon) by IdahoEv · · Score: 1

      No. :-) I'm not the hosting agency, just the web geek.

      But Ecliptic does like visibility among technologically-savvy people, so slashdot crowds are quite welcome at the website. Since we went dedicated server instead of shared account a couple of years ago, I've managed to keep the site up during slashdot events.

      Ev

      --
      I stole this sig from someone cleverer than me.
    3. Re:Video Mirror Up, with MPEG conversion (soon) by grozzie2 · · Score: 1
      Some great videos there, i think some of the other launches are actually better than the SS1 stuff.

      You should fire off a resume to Scaled. They seem to have adaquate expertise in the aerospace field, but they have recently turned into a company that's trolling for publicity. I understand they need a new web infrastructure in place by monday, as they have a small publicity event scheduled for then, and it's likely to generate more videos that will melt thier servers again.

    4. Re:Video Mirror Up, with MPEG conversion (soon) by Ed_Moyse · · Score: 1

      "Trolling for publicity"?

      They're entering the X-Prize, and yes, they're keeping the public informed. What exactly have they done that could be classed as trolling?

  71. They'll keep trying. by Count+Ludwig+Von+Lon · · Score: 0

    I think they view this as an emerging market, and they want to make sure they have a piece of the pie.

  72. Videos on Linux? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Moin,

    is is pretty sad that you have to have Windows media (and windows or mac) to view the windows-only videos :(

    Why not use a free, open coded? I want to watch the videos under linux, damnit!

    1. Re:Videos on Linux? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (ok, feeding a probable troll)

      mandrake: google for "mandrake PLF" or better "easy urpmi" add PLF. then "urpmi mplayer"

      Debian? Google for "mplayer Debian" and add the package source, then "apt-get install mplayer"

      In either case you can use a nice point and drool
      interface... synaptic, or drakconf (or synaptic if one has it installed under mandrake)

  73. X15 not as high. by SlightlyOldGuy · · Score: 1

    The X15 flew into 'space' when hhe USAF set the boundary at 50 miles. SS1 exceeds 100Km (62 miles)
    The X15 program was VERY expensive in todays dollars, more than $100m I believe.

    1. Re:X15 not as high. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Not true. The X-15 twice broke 100km, both times piloted by Joseph A. Walker.

    2. Re:X15 not as high. by madprof · · Score: 1

      This is quite right - the X-15 reached 354,000 feet in 1963 which is slightly over the 328,000 feet (100km) space boundary.
      What puzzles me is simply how it stayed up with no air flow over the wings.
      It certainly did not fall back to Earth like SpaceShipOne.

  74. Re:Yes, consider the results of the state-run prog by LanceUppercut · · Score: 1

    > We got to the moon. And back. Multiple times

    No argument, that was a great achievement.

    > We sent probes to Mars. And Venus. And beyond. And some of them still work.
    > We sent rovers to Mars. That still work.
    > We built several working space vehicles.
    > We space-walked.
    > We build a space station. And then we built another one.
    > We chased comets. And sent the collected materials back.

    All of these were a "me-too" kind of things. Nothing else than attempts to repeat similar Russian achievements with purely political/PR oriented purposes. Most of the times NASA managed to do it _decades_ later than Russians. I don't really see the need to spend so much money on thing like this.

  75. Re:Yes, consider the results of the state-run prog by Hieronymous+Cowherd · · Score: 1

    One of the big problems to date has been NASA's overwhelming insistence on safety at the expense of actually developing the technology. Exploring a new, developing frontier is going to be dangerous, especially when that frontier is inimical to human life. People will be killed doing so. We lose how many people per year doing things like catching fish and crab in Alaska? (I saved you the trouble of looking it up: By the latest 5-year average, about 34 vessels sink each year, with about 24 lives lost annually.) The human cost is acceptable, though tragic. Ask the people taking these risks what they'd view as acceptable...it's a lot higher than the pundits that want to shut down space exploration. You're right....it's time, or past time, to severely thin NASA and have the government space business contracted out to private industry.

  76. Question for you Physicists by kevlar · · Score: 1

    I have a question for you people. If you were to increase the size of the craft by say, a factor of 3 or 4, what altitude would the craft be capable of achieving?

    1. Re:Question for you Physicists by TheAwfulTruth · · Score: 1

      Size has nothing to do with altitude.

      Thrust/weight ratio, fuel capacity, heat shielding, attitude control in varying thickness of atmosphere and the like contribute to a crafts operational ceiling.

      --
      Contrary to popular belief, coding is not all free blow-jobs and beer. Those things cost MONEY!
    2. Re:Question for you Physicists by Man+in+Spandex · · Score: 1

      what altitude would the craft be capable of achieving?

      42

      (+5 oldnub)

  77. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by pragma_x · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The other problem is that the main folks who have an off-the-shelf flight computer that would be suitable is the Air Force. Who obviously isn't going to sell one to "just anyone", which means that an X-prize contender can't have it.

    That's probably no coincidence since a "spacecraft" with an autopilot, is basically an explosive device short of a missile. There may be some heavy federal legislation involving the private production of such systems let alone the government not wanting to share such technology with just anyone.

    Just a thought.

  78. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by Forbman · · Score: 1

    Hmm... Boeing or Airbus could provide a flight computer "off the shelf". They're not really off-the-shelf, because they're custom for each type of aircraft they're put in.

    Plus, there are plenty of civilian flight control systems that could probably be easily adapted to the role, but of course, in a commercial aircraft, that will require lots of expensive FAA documentation and oversight (and liability insurance for the manufacturers...).

  79. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by dinodrac · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Given Bert Rutan's history with experemental aircraft, and the things that can go wrong with automated controls, fully manual flight controls only make sense. By keeping the controls simple, and by having avionics that tell the pilot what to do rather than do it for him, they reduce the expense, while improving pilot safety. Look at all thats gone wrong with NASA's massively redundant computer systems - if the flight computer on spaceshipone completely fails, chances are the pilot will still land the craft safely, and may even be able to complete the mission safely.

  80. Eh? by Duhavid · · Score: 1

    Basically the same capabilities? Really? Is SSO capable of mach 6.7?

    If your intent was to disparage the X-15 program, it seems to me misplaced. SSO is where it is today, in part, because of the X-15 program research.

    --
    emt 377 emt 4
    1. Re:Eh? by DerWulf · · Score: 1

      right. Because the X-15s technology and specs as well as the collected flight data, frame calculations, composition, flight control systems and all the blinking LEDs are now available under the open source license. Basically, all you had to do was to rebuild the thing at 0$ costs. Man, I wonder why they went through all the trouble then.

      --

      ___
      No power in the 'verse can stop me
    2. Re:Eh? by Duhavid · · Score: 1

      Open Source => open
      !=
      Not Open Source => not open.

      My post was not intended to say that SSO was exactly what the X-15 project was ( read it, quite the opposite ), nor was it intended to say that *everything* from the X-15 project was open. Nor was it intended to say that there was a straight inheritence from the X-15 to SSO.

      The SSO project is not the bleeding edge of aerospace. Why? In part, because the X-15 project lead the way. It was bleeding edge. At its time.

      --
      emt 377 emt 4
  81. Video Mirror with MPEG for Linux Users by IdahoEv · · Score: 2, Informative

    The SpaceShipOne footage is available along with a lot of other cool space launch footage including the June SS1 first flight into space at Ecliptic Enterprises' RocketCam Videos page.

    I just uploaded MPEG conversions, as well, so Linux users (and Macs without Windows Media Player) get to join in the fun.

    Disclaimer: I'm Ecliptic's webmaster.

    --
    I stole this sig from someone cleverer than me.
  82. columbus was not a nice guy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    sorry, but your history is warped

  83. NASA Funding and Documentation by cbelt3 · · Score: 1

    Companies WANT to do massive amounts of Documentation ? PuhLeeez ! I used to work in the space industry. I fondly remember delivering a 500lb satellite component. It went in a nice little panel truck. The US Government Required, Congress 'make the world safe by covering it with BS paper' documentation weighed 1 1/2 tons and went out LTL truck on a couple of pallets. We never wanted to maintain all the BS- just what was required to assure success.

  84. Anyone here work at Scaled? by bondjamesbond · · Score: 1

    It must be, hands down, the coolest place to work ever in the history of humankind... except that it's in Mojave, CA.

    Anyone?

  85. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The other problem is that the main folks who have an off-the-shelf flight computer that would be suitable is the Air Force. Who obviously isn't going to sell one to "just anyone", which means that an X-prize contender can't have it.

    Or, they could have bought one from the "independant suppliers" such as this one:
    http://www.argon.ru/production/a-60.htm.
    To learn more about russian on-board computers,
    visit this site: http://www.computer-museum.ru/english/0.htm.
  86. Forget how to count? by Count+Ludwig+Von+Lon · · Score: 0

    20,000 x $50 = $1 million. The prize is $10 million.

  87. Re:Monopoly Money by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I certainly hope they give them the 200,000 bills they are due :-)

  88. Fear not by Julian+Morrison · · Score: 1

    You might as well worry "what if there were only going to be one type of car" (or airplane, or boat, or helium blimp, or etc).

    Even if the other X-prize teams quit Tuesday, interest will pick up again as soon as Virgin Galactic shows a profit.

  89. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by cmowire · · Score: 1

    See, that occured to me.

    However, in either case, you are dealing with a lot of modifications. They managed to convince the F-16's FBW system to work in the F-117 prototype and the F-15's to make the DC-X work. I don't know if anybody's tried that with Airbus avionics in the same way, but I imagine that a fighter's control computer would be much more able to handle the changes.

    And these modifications would have to be tested.

    It just adds time and money to the program. I think it's pretty cool that they've managed to do it with all simple controls. Remember, the Boeing "Bird of Prey" stealth aircraft prototype also doesn't require any fly-by-wire.

    As an experimental aircraft, any avionics aren't required to be certified in the same way as a production aircraft. However, if it, or a derivative, makes it to the production line, it will require certification.

  90. Dead end hacks by Phil+Karn · · Score: 4, Interesting
    I wish Rutan et al well, but this whole X-Prize thing bothers me.

    If these guys were investigating and developing a radical new technology that's orders of magnitude cheaper than the traditional ways of getting into space, then it would be really interesting. Even a stunt like the X-Prize shot would be worthwhile to help develop it. But it's not radical new technology. It's just the same old chemical rocket stuff all over again. With a lot of cut corners. (And, apparently, "unscripted maneuvers").

    And they're not even particularly good chemical rockets. Hybrid rockets burning plastic/rubber/etc and N2O have inherently poorer performance than, say, the hydrogen/oxygen engines that are common on the upper stages of orbital launchers. Hybrids are simpler, cheaper and safer, and they've become very popular among amateur high-power rocketeers for this reason. They're fun. But they just don't have the performance for a practical orbital launcher, as opposed to a suborbital "stunt" flight. Or is "commercial manned space" just about quickie zero-g joyrides for people with too much money? I can already experience zero-g on an airplane or Six Flags' Superman: The Escape a lot more cheaply.

    The problem is that there just don't seem to be any radical, new technologies promising to cut space access costs by orders of magnitude just waiting for entrepreneurs to commercialize them. And that means only a tiny handful of humans will ever be able to go into space in our lifetime, and for at least several more. I wish it were otherwise, but we have to face facts. In the meantime, we have to get the very most out of the expensive launchers we do have, and that means putting more and more capable robots into space to give us earthbound humans the best vicarious experience of space travel we can possibly get.

    I'm also really put off by all this "go private enterprise, rah rah rah" stuff, as if NASA is full of complete idiots. (It got so thick the other morning that I had to turn the TV volume down.) Who do they think builds the rockets that NASA has been flying for decades? What about the many space launchers that have already been fully commercialized? And where did the money for SpaceShipOne really come from? (Hint: what if the US Government were to actually enforce its antitrust laws against large software companies?)

    If you've got the money, you can already buy a launch from any of several commercial companies, and only some of them are American. And there are companies who routinely launch stuff and make money. Space is already big business.

    But when I look at SpaceShipOne and similar projects, I see a bunch of rich guys publicly stroking their egos. SpaceShipOne is a dead-end hack. I'd actually be completely okay with that if only they would be more honest with the public about what they're really doing.

    1. Re:Dead end hacks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      What probably bothers you is that this is real life and not the movies. There aren't usually sudden radical new technologies that can be used in a field that people have been spending billions on for decades.

      The world is not a movie. To make progress takes hard work and years and years of time.

    2. Re:Dead end hacks by mark99 · · Score: 1

      This is not really true. From the invention of the gasoline internal combustion engine, to the cheap and mass usage of it, there were no radically new ideas introduced. People just kept making it cheaper, and taking the idea more seriously.

      Seems a lot like what the X-Prize people (BR in particular) are doing.

      I think your comment is going to look pretty silly in a decade or so.

    3. Re:Dead end hacks by Phil+Karn · · Score: 1
      Okay, let me amend my statement to read "radically cheaper new ideas, or opportunities for radically reducing the costs of existing technologies". And "cost" includes safety and liability aspects. Phrased this way, I still stand by it. Maybe I've missed something, but I see no new ideas on the horizon that promise to get stuff into space orders of magnitude more cheaply than before, nor do I see any opportunities to cost-reduce existing technologies by those same necessary orders of magnitude. Especially when you need that extra margin of safety to fly passengers rather than expendable machines.

      Safe, reliable and effective chemical rockets are inherently expensive. Based on what I've seen so far, Rutan has kept his costs down by substantially lowering his goals (quickie suborbital jaunts vs orbit) and by cutting substantial corners on safety and reliability. I actually cringed when I heard that he's going for the second prize flight today, because I don't think he has a clue why his last flight executed those "unscripted roll maneuvers". The last two SpaceShipOne flights both had some major unexpected problem that came close to disaster, and it's only by sheer luck that he hasn't yet lost a plane and its pilot. Unfortunately, he wants that X-Prize so badly that I think it has clouded his judgment.

      I'm reminded of the many early Soviet "firsts" in manned space exploration that we later learned happened not because Soviet space technology was better than ours, but because they were much more willing to risk their pilots on PR stunts than we were. We saw how far that got them later on.

      I sincerely hope Rutan succeeds tomorrow. But I fear his luck can't hold out forever.

    4. Re:Dead end hacks by mark99 · · Score: 1

      I am still amazed that gasoline engines work. They seem to be a far too complex solution for a relatively simple problem. But they do, and they are cheap, because we put so much engineering energy into them.

      I am sure the same can happen for chemical rockets. And with manufacturing costs dropping ever closer to zero, and materials science cooking along as well (I prefer that name to nanotech), I think that cheap chemical spaceflight is around the corner.

      And life is risky. Why shouldn't people be allowed to risk their lives? There are plenty of people willing to risk their lives to do something unique, or just cool, rather then live out their lives as unremarkable consumers.

      The problem is the legal profession (out to make a buck anyway they can) and the press (who have a total lack of perspective as they are all numerically illiterate).

    5. Re:Dead end hacks by Phil+Karn · · Score: 1
      Gasoline engines and rocket engines both burn fuels in heat engines as a means of transportation. That's about where their similarities ends. The amounts of fuel required, the powers and power densities, and the safety considerations aren't even remotely comparable. So the success of the internal combustion engine in personal ground transportation has no bearing on the success of "personal" space flight.

      I have no problems with properly informed people risking their own lives (but not others' lives). It's a free country, or it's supposed to be. That means I also have the right to speak out when I see people being misled or sold a bill of goods. Especially when I think they're being misled about potential risks to their safety.

      Personally, I think the only approach that will provide the many orders-of-magnitude reduction in cost necessary to colonize space on a large scale will be the space elevator. And the materials and engineering challenges are so daunting that there's virtually no chance of it occurring in my lifetime.

  91. Shuttle is still a mix... by jpellino · · Score: 1

    IIRC the complete autoland - deorbit to ground - has never been flight tested, so there is a hybrid with autoland typically used for a lot of it, alongside the fly-by-wire system that allows the pilot to direct the shuttle on its path, within the limits of the flight profile. Early flights needed a bit more correction and could essentially override the profile, as John Young had to once, as he didn't like the look of several "pinned" indictors. I hear those are bad in a cockpit except for scaring newbies. The pilot could do the whole thing FBW but never does, several parts are just too much piloting, the autoland could theoretically control the whole thing but similarly never has - last I heard from an astronaut tilting at the funding problems, it wasn't fully flight tested because the money wasn't there - the programs are written, in the computers, but not certified for full use. This may have changed with the glass cockpit upgrades...

    --
    "Win treats sysadmins better than users. Mac treats users better than sysadmins. Linux treats everyone like sysadmins."
  92. Competition and Processors... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If SpaceShipOne reaches the 100km mark on Monday, will the other competitors just give in, or will they too try to prove that they have the design and technology to reach space?

    Hmmm,, lets see here, Intel had pretty much won the personal computer CPU "prize". Did that make it pointless for the other competitors to just give in? Well Cyrix certainly did, but there's still that darned pesky AMD hanging in there with their cheaper 32-bit chips, and now they got that real-pain-in-Intel's-backside 64-bit thing going on.... Who wins? We, the customers do! Competition is good!. Bring it on! Maybe a balloon-assisted rocket-plane might be what'll eventuially get tourist flights to the edge of space more affordable in price down from $190K per seat to perhaps $19K per seat in our lifetimes.

  93. Re:Yes, consider the results of the state-run prog by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wow. Did your report consider how the craft you would travel to Mars in would carry the needed water? Water for astronauts. Water for cooling purposes. The whole reason that so much research is being done in regards to searching for Mars water is TO FACILITATE a trip there. Oh, yeah. And the search for ET too.

    "We sent rovers to Mars. That still work.And we could have sent people. I did a report on the Mars Odyssey years ago that said we could get people there with relative ease ... if we launched it before now."

  94. Good hacks by Dr.+Zowie · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Nah, you've got the emphasis all wrong. These guys are demonstrating that existing technology is sufficient to open a new niche. Hybrid rockets have been in serious use (by the amateur community) for a little over a decade, and are a very important development for safety.


    The big problem with liquid-fueled rockets is that they blow up so damned easily. You have to mix two (often cryogenic) fuels rapidly and efficiently, and ignite them rapidly and steadily enough that no pooling or major vortex shedding occurs in the engine (BOOM). You have to pump those liquids into the engine against the pressure of combustion; just the mechanical power required to do so is a major problem for existing rockets (e.g. the Space Shuttle Main Engines, which use insanely expensive turbopumps that still require overhauls after every flight).


    Rubber/Nitrous hybrid engines may have lower specific impulse than LOX/H2 engines, but they have the added advantage that it's pretty hard to make one explode. The combustion occurs on a well-defined surface (the surface of the rubber) and you can throttle the engine easily by controlling the flow of oxidizer. Rutan's insight in the SS1 design was that controllability, simplicity, and safety are more important than sheer power.


    When you start treating spaceflight as a routine event, rather than an expensive stunt, then having the most power possible isn't as important as having reliable, low-maintenance, safe engine components. You might as well complain that Ford isn't getting 1,800 HP out of its 6-liter Explorer engines -- after all, drag racers achieve more than 300 HP/liter, why shouldn't your family bulgemobile?

    1. Re:Good hacks by Phil+Karn · · Score: 2, Insightful
      You don't understand. Sure, it's easier to build low-performance rocket engines. Sure, they're much safer and cheaper. But they're simply not enough, not if you want to reach orbit instead of being limited to quickie suborbital stunts with no meaningful future. Why do you think NASA and its international counterparts work so hard on developing advanced rocket engines despite the enormous challenges? Just to waste money?

      The average man on the street doesn't understand that just achieving altitude, even 100 kilometers, is easy compared to entering orbit. Nearly all the energy it takes to orbit the shuttle goes into its kinetic energy, not its potential energy. Nor does the average man in the street understand that energy goes up as the square of velocity, nor does he know that the rocket equation that relates mass fraction to velocity is exponential. Heck, he probably doesn't even know what "exponential" means, or why that's bad.

      The average man in the street thinks SpaceShipOne is now just a step away from going into orbit and replacing the shuttle, and that's just bunk. Rutan and company certainly know this, but they seem to enjoy the attention too much to point this out.

    2. Re:Good hacks by Teancum · · Score: 4, Insightful

      *Sigh*

      The average person "on the street" frankly is totally clueless about what is even happening. Frankly, they are asking the average geek/nerd/astro guy they happen to know and ask them just what all this hoopla is really all about, and wondering why the geek is wetting his pants. (well, some of them at least)

      This is a cool thing, and credit should be given where credit is due. With the announcement of the "America's Prize" (I guess yet to be announced) a new round in the competition for going into space will soon be at hand. If you are correct about Space Ship One, that Burton Rutan can't get it (or a similar ship) into orbit, then it looks like Armadillo Aerospace and the Romanians are going to be much more in the running for that prize.

      The ships from those two groups appear to be more upgradeable to make it to orbit, although I would have to agree that reentry issues have not been fully explored. Still, there are a number of private groups now that have working propulsion systems going, and have been at least sending things up a few hundred feet, if not more, and are dealing with scalability issues as well.

      I appreciate the fact that the X-Prize has set the tone of the current attitude toward space exploration. While it is more than likely driving nails into the coffin of NASA, there is much more to what is happening in the space industry than even cute rocket stunts. And don't think the big aerospace companies aren't paying attention to what is going on either.

      Right now the rocket industry is in a renasannce that looks very much like the early days of the automobile industry or the early aviation industry. There are a couple of very well financed companies (like XCOR, for example) that I would be surprised if they went belly up, but still anything is possible. Boeing certainly struggled in their early days when they were first starting out, and it was a construction team smaller than Armadillo Aerospace, with far less financial backing.

      I predict that private commercial space enterprises (like Virgin Galactic) will be within 10 years bringing in more cashflow than the entire computer industry. One reason in particular is because there is much more room to grow into space than there is for the computer industry to penetrate into 3rd World nations. Private space companies "going public" will be the next darling on Wall Street, and will create the next round of Billionaires for those who are getting in right now.

    3. Re:Good hacks by Phil+Karn · · Score: 1
      I seriously doubt that the X-Prize will soon drive any nails into NASA's coffin. When Burt Rutan lands a couple of rovers on Mars and puts spacecraft into orbit around the gas giants, then they might have cause to be worried. If anything, the X-Prize may put a nail into the coffin of space joyriding, though I certainly hope not.

      I thought there was just a bit of irony to the commentator's gushing remarks about the wonderfulness of privately-funded space exploration. I was watching over NASA-TV, a government-sponsored facility.

      I'd like to know the basis for your 10 year prediction. That is, if it rests on anything besides wishful thinking. The computer industry has been driven by Moore's Law for the past four decades, with comparable improvements in optical communications and magnetic storage. I am unaware of any space propulsion technologies that have steadily doubled in performance or halved in cost every 18 months since the Mercury program, are you?

      There already are quite a few private space companies. Some are large and well known, like Boeing and Lockheed-Martin. Others are small and not as well known, like Orbital Sciences. Yet none are enormously profitable. How many of Rutan's cheerleaders know that over a decade ago Orbital developed their own space launcher -- Pegasus -- that is also dropped from an airplane, but unlike SpaceShipOne, can reach orbit and has already placed quite a few satellites there?

      Let's not forget the multinational and non-US space launch companies, like SeaLaunch and Arianespace, that have already captured much of the commercial market, along with the Russian, Japanese and Chinese spin-off companies. Every one of them has plenty of incentive to develop and commercialize any new launcher technologies that would give them an edge over the competition. But progress seems to be very slow, and this seems to be due to the nature of the beast. I just don't see any Intel microprocessors coming along to shake up the IBM mainframes of the space launch business. The low cost of Rutan's program (if you can call $23 M "low cost") I think has to do more with reduced expectations and cut corners than with any inherently cheap and innovative technology.

      I wish I was wrong on all this, but I just don't think so.

    4. Re:Good hacks by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      > There already are quite a few private space companies. Some are large and well known, like Boeing and Lockheed-Martin. Others are small and not as well known, like Orbital Sciences.

      Those are only private companies in name. They're effectively branches of government, relying almost solely on government funding for their space activities. They really haven't been particularly inclined towards developing low-cost solutions.

      > How many of Rutan's cheerleaders know that over a decade ago Orbital developed their own space launcher -- Pegasus -- that is also dropped from an airplane, but unlike SpaceShipOne, can reach orbit and has already placed quite a few satellites there?

      I'm well aware of it, as are many other "Rutan cheerleaders." The thing is, it costs $11 million per launch and only lifts 375 kg to orbit. Try comparing it to the SpaceX Falcon I (a privately-funded vehicle which will launch in a couple of months), which will lift 670 kg for $6 million. It's follow-up, the Falcon V, will be able to launch 4200kg for $12 million.

    5. Re:Good hacks by Teancum · · Score: 1

      There are a number of companies that produce stuff that goes into space, true, but they are not really privately financed projects in the strictest sense.

      One of the things that groups like Orbital Sciences were betting on was the supposed boom in launching business from projects like Iridium and other communications constellations. Investors thought it would be cell phone stations in orbit, and the coming boom for servicing and sending up those constellations would provide plenty of market for launch carriers. It ends up that at least with current technologies the concept of a satellite constellation is a bust, and the constellation operators simply can't afford to keep it going, at least for a reasonable price to an ordinary user. I've heard prices as high as $5000 per user per month, with modem baud rates as low as 9600 baud. Useful if you are in Anarctica or Afghanistan, but not useful in downtown NYC.

      BTW, when the original constellation boom happened, there was so much entheusiasm that some launchs were done in China, because it was anticipated that there would be so much demand that all existing launch capacity was used. This situation existed for barely two years, and then went totally dead.

      It has also been abundantly mentioned that the price per pound for launches has been kept artificially high through government contracts. Companies like Boeing or Lockheed-Martin don't want to bring their prices down because frankly they are making a very healthy profit off of the existing contracts, and the market for launches at the next price level is an order of magnatude cheaper, and the big companies don't want to lose their current profits to gamble for what is now only a potential market at substantially cheaper prices. If I were a shareholder in those companies, I would encourage this current practice as well, and the income is comparatively speaking rather predictable... also good for established businesses.

      Space tourism is a whole new market, and with the demise of the Concorde it opens up a whole proven category where sub-orbital flight will be incredibly profitable: Intercontinental flight. There are some very compelling business reasons for paying $100,000 for a flight from Los Angeles to Sydney in 4 hours. Even the Concorde going between NYC and London proved to be financially useful at $10,000 per ticket for some classes of passengers, even taking the "coolness" factor out of it. I would imagine that Tokyo to London would also have some very well financed passengers using it on a regular basis if they could beat substantially conventional commercial aircraft with time.

      The point here is that this is a market that can be documented to exist, but has nothing currently available to point to that will fill that niche. I really think Richard Branson is going to make off like a bandit and get a couple more billion into his personal bank account. Once you get a Tokyo to London flight going, it really won't be too much more speed to get into low-orbit. What is also neat about this market is that incremental technology development and investment is also possible, with the first few passenger flights just going up and down like Space Ship One. A flight from Mojave to Hawaii would seem to me like a good goal to shoot for in the next generation of spacecraft, and be useful at the same time.

    6. Re:Good hacks by Phil+Karn · · Score: 1
      Actually, the space launch companies get much of their income from the purely commercial communications satellite business. Sure, they also sell launchers and launch services to the government, especially the military and NASA, but so what? The government is a really big buyer of all sorts of goods and services, only some of which are rockets. Or do you mean to say that because Rutan's craft is purpose-built for quickie joyrides for rich entrepreneurs and is totally useless for practical applications like launching commercial spacecraft into orbit, he's somehow more "pure free enterprise" than all the other space launch companies that have real businesses as customers?

      Every space launch company has an incentive to innovate, cut costs and improve reliability. They compete with each other even (especially) when the government is the customer. Sure, there's room for more competition, but that's not the same as saying there's none.

      I'm always amused when somebody crows about how much money will be saved by a new launcher that has never flown versus one that's been flying for a decade or more. It's as if the person has never heard of cost overruns and engineering setbacks, not to mention lowballing in the marketing department. I think I'd prefer to wait until a new launcher has a proven track record before I made those kinds of claims.

    7. Re:Good hacks by Phil+Karn · · Score: 1
      There's really no such thing as a "privately financed" space venture, including Rutan's. He, like everyone else in that business, has the benefit of 50+ years of experience and technology courtesy of various military and government space programs. At least one can't accuse Rutan of being a purist; he certainly doesn't shrink from using government services when they're available. Flights of SpaceShipOne are covered live on NASA TV, and an Air Force radar determined the altitude of each shot.

      I find it most interesting that you would mention the Iridium/Globalstar/ICO failure, one of the most spectacular examples ever of a market flameout caused by ridiculously optimistic marketing estimates for a premium-priced service, and then maintain that there is nonetheless a big untapped market for $100,000 plane tickets from LAX to Sydney. The best way for really busy people to save time traveling is -- and remains -- telecommunications. And it works for the rest of us, not just the extremely wealthy.

      Yes, I'm aware of the surveys that claim a lot of people would be willing to spend big bucks for a joyride into space. But you must know how those marketing surveys are conducted. There's a very big difference between casually saying "sure, why not" to the guy on the phone, and actually signing the check. Not to mention those liability waivers...

    8. Re:Good hacks by Teancum · · Score: 1

      While much can be said about telecommunications systems, the telephone has been around for what...150 years now? Trans-oceanic telephone cables for close to 100 and telecomm satellites for almost 50 years?

      Business travelers have to sometimes get somewhere as soon as possible. I've even been in that position myself where I had a two hour notice to get on an airplane and fly 2000 miles by that very same evening before a customer trashed a $2 Million deal. I know for a fact that had the Concorde been available when that happened to me they would have authorized the extra expense to get there earlier.

      Also, there are times when you really need to meet face-to-face with somebody, looking at their sweat, especially when you are closing a deal. In my case I had some technical skills that litterally only 3 other people in the world could have solved (at least in a short term solution), so I had to be on site, and the emergencies usually couldn't be predicted ahead of time. Things like that will never change.

      In terms of the "untapped market", I would point to sales of Concorde flight service. The #1 thing that unfortunately killed it (besides the plane crashes) was the hyper security found in airports now, together with the fact that it was outlawed in most domestic airports in the USA for several reasons. How that translates to the space market is unknown, but the Concorde passengers are clearly people who did "sign the check" and it did get used quite a bit...enough for regular service.

      In terms of making it available to ordinary people, I think this is going quite a bit futher than what people like Dennis Tito did in the past, and at least there is the possibility I could put together $100,000 to go into space. $20 Million was never even a possibility.

    9. Re:Good hacks by Phil+Karn · · Score: 1
      I assume I don't have to explain to a Slashdotter how much telecommunications has improved in just the past few years, and how many more things you can do with all that undersea fiber being sold at fire-sale prices than with the first transoceanic coax cables of 50 years ago.

      Sure, you can probably still contrive some situation where ultra-fast transportation would be worth it. But it's pretty damn rare. I never flew the Concorde even though I had enough in the bank to pay for a ticket. It was just never worth the premium.

      We'll see just how willing you are to sign that $100,000 check when (or if) the time actually comes and you've had time to think about all the other things you could do with that money.

      I'm reminded of the saying "Cocaine is God's way of telling you that you have too much money". I've never done the stuff and I never will, but I wouldn't be surprised if cocaine is both cheaper and safer than a ride on SpaceShipOne. On the other hand, I concede that a SpaceShipOne ride would give you the better bragging rights.

      But time will tell.

    10. Re:Good hacks by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I hate to break the news, but it has been almost 100 years since the first trans-oceanic cables were put down, not 50. 40 Years ago (well, the very early 1960's), Telestar was put up for satellite communication, which caused a temporary crash for cable laying companies back then. Satellites now just don't have the bandwidth to serve all of the data now that goes between continents, which is why cable laying companies were quite profitable in the 1990's. That there is dark cable laying around in many places is just a function of economics.

      I will admit though that things like teleconfrences were not possible in the past, and current encryption technologies are generally sufficient for most corporate transactions. Still, I'm trying to point out that businesses have had comparatively cheap long-distance communications systems for almost 150 years now, and while they have been used (and are used) substantially rather than face-to-face communication, that didn't stop people in the last century from physically going places when often they could have simply picked up the telephone and said "hello" instead.

      I'm just trying to point out that no matter how hard you try, trying to "Reach Out And Touch Someone(TM)"* doesn't have the same impact as a personal one on one handshake. You don't see John Kerry or George Bush hoping that television and radio commercials are going to be sufficient to get people to vote for them, do you? It is part of human nature to see people in person, and no ammount of technology is going to totally replace that. While communications technology reduces the absolute necessity for travel, physical travel will still have to happen. Furthermore, when it is needed the requirement to get from point A to point B as fast as possible becomes all that much more important.

      Also keep in mind that while the first few flights will be rather expensive ($100,000), there is no doubt that economies of scale can bring that price down quite a bit. I don't know what the bottom limit for a ticket into space, but I would guess about $10,000, maybe just a little less. It will be interesting to see just how low the fares can get if there is real competition in this market.

      * Trademark of American Telegraph & Telephone Company

    11. Re:Good hacks by Phil+Karn · · Score: 1
      Okay, fine. So transoceanic cables have been around for 100 years, not 50. I said 50 because that was the number cited in the message I was answering. No matter, because only in the last twenty years has the average person begun to afford to use them. And only in the past ten years has the Internet -- and all its applications -- become a mass phenomenon. People are still figuring out how best to use it.

      I doubt that meeting either Kerry or Bush in person is going to change who I'm going to vote for. (Nor is anything they're likely to say on the news, though.)

      You sound like someone who's trying harder to convince himself than the other guy in a debate. Either that, or you work for an airline marketing department. An awful lot of companies talked investors into tossing a lot of cash at them in the late 1990s for business plans that made much more sense than space joyriding, and most of them still disappeared.

      Even the communications satellite business -- by far the most commercially viable space application -- has fallen on hard times because of rapid technological developments in terrestrial communications. Not only have fiber, coax and DSL knocked satellites out of the running for most fixed point-to-point applications, but digital cellular has taken over mobile communications, including most of the part that people thought would go to satellites. That's why Iridium and Globalstar went bankrupt. Once again, communication satellites are used mainly for broadcasting, the one thing they do really well.

      But talk is cheap. Time will tell what will really happen, and whether Branson et al are really tapping a big new market or just stroking their own egos.

  95. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He said he might have been the cause; he didn't state definitively that he was the cause. A subtle difference, but important.

  96. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by Tuna_Shooter · · Score: 1

    "The heat due to reentry has less to do with the altitude and more to do with the actual speed at impact." Agreed.... i for one would have like to see what would have happened if he would have run the tanks dry!! He might have reached 200+K ... then the fun starts at re-entry.... I for one think we are on the brink of some very cool space history.. that is happening in our lifetimes...

    --
    *--- Sometimes a majority only means that all the fools are on the same side. ---*
  97. A point of contrast. by syukton · · Score: 1

    Annual war on drugs: $40B

    X-Prize: $10M

    You'd think the government could rework the budget somewhere and make some contributions towards a similar let's-go-to-space prize. It's not like they're ever gonna win the war on drugs anyhow, sparing $10M isn't going to make much of a difference. Hell, spend the whole $40B on space travel and maybe we'll finally go somewhere.

    --
    Reinvent the wheel only at either a lower cost, greater effectiveness, or your own personal enrichment and satisfaction.
  98. Star Trek Generations by istewart · · Score: 1

    The movie sucked, but it did feature Kirk doing "orbital skydiving" as part of a midlife crisis. I even have the action figure! Glad to see that the more irrelevant Star Trek technologies are becoming a reality.

  99. Re:I hope they can do it without the spin-stabiliz by jsav40 · · Score: 1

    "That's probably no coincidence since a "spacecraft" with an autopilot, is basically an explosive device short of a missile. There may be some heavy federal legislation involving the private production of such systems let alone the government not wanting to share such technology with just anyone."

    If memory serves the choice to not use autopilot/fly by wire had more to do with a combination of cost and the need to keep things simple. One of the issues leading to the downfall of the Space Shuttle program is that the system is so very complex resulting in an enormous potential for catastrophic failure, more so that if that spacecraft had been designed with K*I*S*S in mind. The fact that it (the shuttle) still is largely reliant on mid to late seventies technology contributes to the problems as well. In any case the back to basics approach used by spaceship one as pertains to flight controls seems to have paid off so far. Who'd have thought an actual human pilot flying manually would have a relistic shot at the X Prize?

    We do, in fact live in wonderous times.

  100. Last time? the X-15 roll problem ... by ankhank · · Score: 1

    Last time, it turned out to be complicated, though solvable: http://www.hq.nasa.gov/office/pao/History/SP-60/ch -7.html/ "... The X-15's maximum altitude was extended to 354 200 feet, but not until after much trial and error..." "... though the tail surface provides stability in pitch and yaw, no purely aerodynamic means has been found to achieve roll stability, since the airflow remains symmetrical about the axis of rotation. The coupling between roll and yaw becomes more severe as vertical-tail size increases, and it has presented a multitude of problems to designers of high-speed aircraft. "The solution to the stability-and-control analysis is the development of an adequate mathematical model. But such an analysis also requires a mathematical model for the pilot..." Fascinating account there of how the roll problem was addressed with the earlier rocket-planes.

  101. He didn't roll it on purpose by rv8 · · Score: 1

    You're not the only one suspecting that he did intend to perform a one or two turn roll... and that the roll turned out to be vastly more intense than he bargained for.

    I really doubt he rolled it on purpose. Mike Melvill has been working as a full-time professional test pilot for over 20 years. You don't stay alive long in that business if you "hot dog" it by doing things on the spur of the moment. You stick to the test card. You are especially when you are working in a part of the envelope that is relatively untested - they were heavier than on earlier flights, and with a longer engine burn.

    --
    Kevin Horton
  102. STS-1 was flown in by hand by caveat · · Score: 1

    At least IIRC...I think Feynman mentioned it in Surely You're Joking; I can't find a ref at the moment. I tried it once in X-Plane, and man, that pilot is made of ice - I ended up doing the Big Streak Across The Sky.

    --

    Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored. - Aldous Huxley
  103. Re:Last time? the X-15 roll problem ... by ankhank · · Score: 1

    A bit more from that page:

    The X-15's Powerful Roll Damper

    As speed and altitude increase, one pronounced effect on airplane control is a drastic decrease in the aerodynamic restoring forces that retard the oscillatory motions about the center of gravity. These restoring forces, which damp the motion, are effectively nonexistent over much of the X-15's flight regime, except at low speed and low altitude. Therefore, for precise control, it was necessary to provide artificial means for damping motions, through the control system. Damping about the pitch, roll and yaw axis had previously been something of a luxury for high-speed aircraft, but it became essential for the X-15. Furthermore, it had to be much more powerful than before. Previous automatic-damper systems bolstered pilot control only slightly, but the X-15 roll damper has twice the roll-control capability of the pilot. This strong stability-augmentation became a predominant part of the control system. ...

    --> Well worth reading; check the multiple control systems for different regimes. And the one vehicle and pilot lost in flight, when the X-15 somehow yawed sideways in space and re-entered the atmosphere sideways instead of pointy-end-first.

  104. SS-1 movie: rolled LEFT briefly, overcorrected? by ankhank · · Score: 1

    The movie shows a slight roll right of a few degrees, brief roll to the left of less than 90 degrees, then a roll to the right, a moment of hesitation and a fast and increasing roll to the right, all in about five seconds.

    Looks like what the X-15 archives describe happening to them, offhand. Not that I know anything (except how little we learn from history ....)

  105. BD-10, Starship nits by FlightTest · · Score: 1

    Ahhh, the BD-10 is a Jim Bede design, not a Rutan design.

    And Raytheon bought back all the Starship airframes because the small number of them out there would have cost them far too much to support (spares, service, etc). In fact, there has been only one Starship accident, and that aircraft was rebuilt. The problems with the aircraft are performace related (basically, it's slow, burns too much gas, uses too much runway, and is difficult to load correctly), not safety related.

    And yeah, most people in the production aircraft business don't think too highly of Rutan.

    --
    Merde, il pleut encore!
  106. If you want to read more about Kittinger.... by Schwarzchild · · Score: 1

    and his jump then read this book. It is truly excellent.

    --

    "sweet dreams are made of this..."

  107. ..but, this is Slashdot! by Tokerat · · Score: 1

    We have Tang.
    No way, this is Slashdot! No one here ever gets any 'tang!
    --
    CAn'T CompreHend SARcaSm?
  108. Mickey Mouse Raced to Space in the 1950's by garyebickford · · Score: 1

    I just had to bring this up... Spaceship One's shape (except for the wings) and the whole X-Prize race reminds me of a 1950's Mickey Mouse comic book, whose title I don't recall.

    In the comic, Mickey Mouse is building a space ship in his garage, for a race to the moon (for a prize? Don't recall). Black Bart is one of the other competitors. BB sneaks into the garage and attempts to sabotage MM's space ship. Then (memory fog...) somehow BB ends up stowing aboard MM's ship. Of course MM wins in the end.

    The cool thing is that the similarity between Spaceship One and Mickey's ship, which had the same shape, but a single windshield and standard 1950's rocket fins. I think the overall size was similar - Mickey's was about twice as large.

    One wonders, given the possible $50 million Bigelow prize for an orbital vehicle, what would be the prize for a moon landing?

    --
    It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
  109. Re:Yes, consider the results of the state-run prog by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

    > One of the big problems to date has been NASA's overwhelming insistence on safety at the expense of actually developing the technology.

    Actually, I'd argue that NASA's big problem is its insistence on developing cutting-edge technologies and cramming as many of them as possible into its space vehicles (which need large numbers of maintenance workers to ensure their proper functionality), instead of just using and refining older technologies which have already proven to be reliable.

  110. SpaceShipOne CHAT is ready for Launch for X2 by pandelirium · · Score: 1

    For those who may not have known, #SpaceShipOne channel is again available for those who wish to follow the flights for the X-Prize live. there is another channel called #SS1-FltData that was planned to carry full/live data but instead will just have current info posted there to avoid conflicts with chat in the main channel.

    The channels are located on the Freenode.net servers ( irc.freenode.net ).
    The Channels are:

    - #SpaceShipOne - (Primary CHAT channel)
    - #SpaceShipOne-overflow - (a 'backup' channel)
    - #SS1-FltData - (FltData Info Only)
    - #space - General 'space' chat and links to other specific JPL (and other NASA) program's channels (also on Freenode.net). #maestro (Mars Rover/SAP /Maestro software), #cassini, #messenger, etc.
    - #xprize - New channel for the yearly followup of the XPrize Discussion.

    You can type !launch to see the next scheduled countdown to launch (take-off time) of SS1/WhiteKnight. The time shown primarily is in CENTRAL-Time but the Pacific and GMT times are also shown as a reference. **Pacific-Time is 2 Hours behind Central-Time.

    You can type !weather for the CURRENT weather report from the Mojave Spaceport (KMHV) Weather reports should be reported automatically in the Flight-Data channel (#SS1-FltData) as well. -(NEW! added feature!)

    You can also type $news xprize to see the latest links from 'XPrizeNews' RSS feed, $news spacecom for links to Space.com's RSS feed, and $news spacewire for links to SpaceWire's (SpaceRef) RSS feed. Please use the '/query SS1-Info and then type in that private msg area: "news XXXXX" or just "/msg SS1-Info news XXXXX" in your normal channel... so it will not always show in their channel window each time someone want's to see it. I will on occasion do it openly to help those to know of it and to see it in operation. It also will post new/fresh headlines as they arrive.

    For XPrizenews news headlines/links, you can type ' $news xprize
    For Space.com news headlines/links, you can type ' $news spacecom '.
    For SpaceWire news headlined/links, you can type ' $news spacewire '.

    Please remember, these are Professional and Family-Oriented channels so keep off-topic chat (esp during the flights) and abusive language/inappropriate behavior to a minimum.

    Hope to see you there....

    -Pandelirium
    Admin/Ops/Moderator #SpaceShipOne Channel

  111. CNN.COM: "SpaceShipOne goes for orbit again" by antispam_ben · · Score: 1

    ... And here's the screenshot:
    http://musicalgearbox.com/cnnorbit.jpg

    And after the Shuttle going "nearly 18 times the speed of light" ... someone please save us from bad science reporting...

    --
    Tag lost or not installed.
  112. It's an advance in meme space, allow them that :-) by Morgaine · · Score: 1

    Phil, although you're right about what this means in the context of our technical ability to get into orbit, there is another very big issue at stake here.

    We are not limited only by our technical ability. We are also very strongly limited by the restraints that our badly evolved and mutated institutions place upon us, and in the context of space, that means government controls.

    Rutan and many other similar "impudent entrepreneurs" are pushing the envelope of what is considered normal for privateers in small ways that governments cannot easily squash, and that in itself is invaluable. It does pave the way for ordinary people to get into space eventually, despite this having absolutely no relationship to the $100k roy rides being planned. That's just a stepping stone in meme space, more than anything else.

    Don't worry about new technologies for *real* space travel --- they will derive from the very light and very strong materials already on the horizon from advances in nanoscale manufacturing, even in the absence of major improvements in propulsion.

    --
    "The question of whether machines can think is no more interesting than [] whether submarines can swim" - Dijkstra
  113. Re:It's an advance in meme space, allow them that by Phil+Karn · · Score: 1
    Over the years I've seen many space entrepreneurs pop up, complain about how evil and incompetent and bureaucratic NASA is, and make lots of noise about how they could do far better if the government would just "get out of their way", whatever that means. After a few years (or less), they run out of money and disappear. Some reappear in other startups to repeat the cycle.

    So I am always very skeptical whenever the major theme of some space-related startup seems to revolve more around bashing NASA than actually building a good product. It's not that NASA is terribly wonderful -- it has many problems -- but the simple truth is that the business of space flight is a lot harder than many naive entrepreneurs (and their lay cheerleaders) think it is.

    Rutan is, by far, the most "real" space entrepreneur to come along in a long time. He clearly earned his X-Prize, and I congratulate him for it. But I sure do wish he'd ease off on his NASA-bashing and concede that space has always had plenty of room for both business and government, especially in cooperative projects. NASA may be a government institution, but it has a lot of real flesh-and-blood people who want to promote space exploration and development just as he does, and many of them are actually quite bright. Now that Rutan has finally reached the point NASA first passed in the late 1950s, he may discover that the next steps aren't quite as easy as he thought.

    The "private enterprise in space" mantra is practically a religion with some people, and like most religions it's based more on wishful thinking than reality.

  114. Re:It's an advance in meme space, allow them that by Morgaine · · Score: 1

    Oh, I agree, totally.

    But that doesn't argue against the fact that Rutan in his role as a symbol plus a swarm of full-orbit wishful thinkers behind him are pushing the meme boundaries ever so slightly, and that's in our favour in the long run.

    Although I'm a feet-on-the-ground engineer, the effect of detractors has always worried me much more than the effect of visionaries. The former place a chill on progress, whereas the latter encourage it no matter how misguided.

    --
    "The question of whether machines can think is no more interesting than [] whether submarines can swim" - Dijkstra
  115. Vague tie-in to amateur packet :-)) by Morgaine · · Score: 1

    By the way, how's amateur radio coming along? :-)

    Don't answer that. I only mentioned it because it's slightly on-topic w.r.to my previous reply. Here's the tie-in:

    After many years of trying to get networking used to its full capacity in amateur circles (I remember your packet program in the early years, and used to chat with you on the old amateur TCP/IP group), I gave up with amateur radio. You know why? Because of its detractors, both in national institutions and in local circles, always stifling innovation for one reason or another.

    I applaud these slightly nutty (or at least uninhibited) visionaries at the margins of the space industry, because they have a positive effect on the spirit of man. It doesn't take away anything from the hard-working and brilliant scientists and engineers at NASA et al, but that's on a different level. And even they benefit from the mass population being inspired by the visionaries to look upwards a little more.

    --
    "The question of whether machines can think is no more interesting than [] whether submarines can swim" - Dijkstra
  116. Re:It's an advance in meme space, allow them that by Phil+Karn · · Score: 1
    Oh, I'm not a detractor. I believe very strongly in space science, exploration and development. That's why I'm compelled to speak out whenever I see human space flight being wildly oversold to a public that unfortunately doesn't know any better. It'll hurt the cause in the long run. The near-term realities and limitations of human space flight simply can't be wished away. We'll be much better off once we learn to live within our means, so to speak, and place the near-term emphasis back where it belongs, on sustainable science, exploration and commercialization instead of putting humans into space as PR stunts or as an end in itself.

    Sure, someday it would be nice for humans to colonize space, but that's many generations off. Cliched comparisons to Columbus and the New World aren't just flawed, they're plainly absurd.

    With both the space shuttle and the space station having become the ratholes and fiascos that the many scientists with calmer heads warned they'd become, one would think that the public would be learning their lesson by now.