Blu-Ray DVDs Hit 100 GB
Xesdeeni writes "According to The Register and MacWorld, TDK has unveiled a Blu-Ray DVD with four layers that will hold a whopping 100 GB of data. This is shortly after the previously reported HD-DVD announced three-layer HD-DVD that would hold a "mere" 45 GB. Unfortunately, this is also on the heels of the news that the HD DVD unification talks have stalled."
...i can now fit my 1/100th of my porn collection on one disk. sweet.
always mosh clockwise
This multiple format business is a mess. Look at the problems with SACD and DVD-A. Nobody is buying them (and if the music industry stopped suing people and promoted those formats that are so much better than downloaded music they would actually make more money because there is new value there.)
But back to the topic at hand: The industry would benefit more from having ONE SINGLE TRUE UNIFIED STANDARD as opposed to a couple of standards, which would confuse people. The public at large (Joe Sixpack) gets all confused with this 2-format thing. They want to buy a movie and play it, not worry about if this disc will play on their type of player. When we have one unified standard, confusion is reduced, people can just buy and make the industry happy. The the industry focus can be put on actually releasing content and worthwhile stuff, as opposed to teaching consumers that they need a different player for their Fox releases versus some other studio and then wondering why people don't buy any of these confusing and conflicting products.
After a certain threshold, the capacity of the next generation DVD standard ceases to matter as much as cost, ease of use, and compatibility. So Sony/Toshiba... please step up and convince me of these issues instead of throwing capacity numbers around!
I always save my last mod point to mod up a good troll. You people are too serious.
Personally, HD-DVD's disgraceful AACS is enough to make me cheer for Blu-Ray, but I really think that BD-ROMs will win the battle.
Go Blu-Ray!
We already have problems with DVDs and CDs going bad. From what I've read, the Blu-Ray discs may be even more fragile due to their extremely thin protective layer. If I am to pick between the two coming standards (Blu-Ray vs HD), I'll choose the more reliable one.
Yay! Now we just have to wait 3 years for this to come to the market and 3 more years for it to be affordable. Then I will be all over it, until something better comes along.
Don't blame me, I voted for Cthulhu.
People are getting hyped up over this platform debate like teenage girls wondering who will win between Rubin and Clay. "Oh no, I'll just die if Clay doesn't win, but mom says I can't call and vote more than once a week or she'll take my cell phone away!!!"
News flash: It's not that important!
One or the other will get a foothold and catch on, the other will go away. Whether the winner is the "better" of the two options or not, we will still be better off than where we are now.
That's good...but isn't going to make it a hell of a lot more popular with the general public...
It'll still be a while before this is in wide use, if it ever is.
I really hope they all decide on a standard soon (unless they have and I'm just out of the loop).
I want High Def Discs now! I just recently purchased a HDTV and am in love with the resolution. I long for having them release DVD's at 720p or 1080i instead of the meager 480 lines they're at now.
I used to think it didn't make a difference and was totally content with 480, but I've seen the light.
Decide already and start releasing! At least some TV shows were shot and presumably stored in their High Def format somewhere so those should be out pretty quick once the industry has chosen a format.
Perhaps they should both talk to the Rev. Sun Myung Moon?
The IPCC has purposely engineered a massive scientific fraud.
all 3 lord of the rings movies on one dvd without any pauses between the movies or needing to switch discs. Numb ass, here I come!
100 GB of data on a DVD? I think we're putting too much trust in those little discs, no matter how handy they are.. Would sure be very painful if you'd scratch it and lose 100 GB's of data.
There's got to be a price for these increases in storage capacity. With more data in a smaller package, aren't you just asking for larger errors due to physical damage and defect?
I'm just thinking of how scratched my average disk can get, and imagine if that scratch now corrupts 200 megs of data instead of a few bits in a song.
When are we gonna have to enclose these things in some sort of 8-track like case?
:::: the insomniac's digest
you misspelt 'Dumb'.
sorry, just too easy to pass...
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
Yes, but is this something that will be standard on all blu-ray devices. Will the PS3 be able to read blu-ray discs which can reach 100GiG? Further, will game developers take advatage of that much space for larger, more expansive worlds?
Will the content providers step up and use the capacity?
Don't waste time... procrastinate now!
a day to blank it and another day to backup your hard disk on it?
What is the speed input/ouput? That is the most relevant factor!
Yam, yam, uga booga, yam, yam, yade, yade, uga booga, yam, yam, yade, yade
It's great thet they got 100GB disk.
Now fill it up and let a four year old put it in and out of a player a few time.
If it is still readable, then you know you are on to something.
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
Lets say that you could fit the entire Lord of the Rings in HD on 1 disk. Hmm, lets see what a movie company exec might say "Consumers wont pay 60 bucks for 1 disk. They want a bunch of disks so they think they're buying a bunch of stuff."
Consumer would say "Hey why are you charging me 60 bucks for one disk, it should only be 20 bucks as it doesn't cost you anymore to stamp out one disk as it does 4 disks."
Unless for the next 7-10 years a quad layer Blu-Ray dvd media costs > $10k. And if that were the case then BlueRay would be the winner. You have to get the companies onboard thinking that no one can copy their disks cheaper than you can sell them for. Look at the price dual layer dvd the best I could find is $3 and I can get regular ones for 50 cents; so the execs are looking at moving on because the price of dvd replication is falling to the brake point of make it your self is cheaper.
So what kind of media requires 100GB of storage? Or do the MPAA finally feel comfortable enough with onboard DRM to prevent copying? When will the +-RW units be available? Man, that'd be awesome for backups!
Make sure everyone's vote counts: Verified Voting
The capacity of these drives that I can't buy yet goes up and up! Oh boy!! I'm so excited that there's a format in a lab somewhere completely unavailable to me that could back up so many of my files on a single disk, if only I had one!
The cake is a pie
In the end, won't rewritable media end up being used as a hard drive? I mean, that has two and a half the capacity of my 40GB HDD.
I can only imagine the groans and curses that will follow after discovering that your carefully backed up data (a moderatly sized mp3-collection) is on a disc that's struck with crc errors. I get really flustered finding dvd-r:s in my binders that doesn't work anymore, and that's only 1/20 of what one would lose on a blueray disc.
We're not retreating.. we're merely advancing in reverse. - Earthworm Jim
For movie-consumers, now those DVD extras will include the cast party, the set-security tapes . . .
And TV-fans now can buy a single disk with the entire 2004 season of . . . well . . . TV.
Seeing bad movies only encourages them. Watch responsibly
My DVD+RW drive claims that it can burn dual-layer media. I haven't tried it, dual-layer disks are still very expensive.
Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
And if we AREN'T better off, we'll just have to suck it up.
I personally don't want to have to suck it up; I want a disc that's A) fast B) large (capacity-wise) C)familiar (shape-wise... I don't want to have to buy new folders for them) D) reliable and E) doesn't have built-in DRM.
It IS that important, at least to me.
...you will be able to have a back-up unit for your main hard drive that works with let's say a stack of these multilayer discs in a big platter case and...
Wow. Didn't those data processing center dinosaurs use these in magnetic? I seem to recall catalogs like Misco and Global offering them into the early nineties.
Well maybe we'll just update the look and add really cool neon trim and led-tipped fan blades and so on. Or make them retro with bubblers and rounded cases and call them juke boxes and sell them at Sharper Image.
I agree with those who want an end to the chasing of incrementalism and the format schisms and wars. I'll file this as Seriously Important News when they come up with a disc that backs up my entire hard drive because as of right now, in defiance of pop-tech press claims and pundit prognostications years back, magnetic hard drives are still faster and more spacious than any of these systems, formats, etc. I mean, the dual layer burner on my wife's machine isn't as stable and reliable as the single layer on mine and neither approach me being able to backup either system on less than fifty discs.
If my grammar and spelling are off, I am [distracted/tired/careless] (take your pick)
Not only do we get to see the movie in HD, we can see the filming of the movie also in HD, and from different camera angles.
Just think, we can have more blooper minutes than actual movie minutes.
And George Lucas can remake the entire Star Wars series in HD and fit it onto 1 disc, with tons of extras.
Only if you put them there yourself. Otherwise there will be 3 menu's, 6 copyright statements, 9 pieces of "Created with THX" logo's etc. etc. in between. I never get that: the one thing that really drives me to copy DVD's is to get rid of the copyright annoyance screens, for crying out loud. And it's getting worse; most of my newly bought disks won't play easily on my computer. I mean, come on!!!
"The Movie people don't want to have to stock two different discs"
How many versions of Star Wars (Episode IV) are there?
I'm sure that there are several slashdotters that have original Star Wars VHS, Wide Screen VHS, New Effects VHS, Widescreen New Effects VHS, and another one of each on DVD, and probably a Beta version and a Laserdisc version as well. (or something like that)
I can't believe that Lucas, or Wal-Mart, or anyone but the buyer lost money on that.
I expect that it is difficult for hardware manufacturers to want to spend all the money to re-tool the factory to produce something that won't sell. I think that's where the slowdown is.
But, even without a standard they will sell to some people that are willing to pay to be early adopters.
And, it doesn't matter in the long run, because either (or both) will be obsolete in 10-15 years.
Exam 4/C again. Maybe I'll do better this time.
Am I the only one to notice a weird correlation between the race for putting more blades on razors (three or four) and the race for putting more layers on next gen DVD formats (three or four).
It shows where this nation's priorities are when there are more warnings and threats on my DVDs than there are on the label of a prescription medicine bottle.
It is by the juice of the coffee bean that thoughts acquire speed, the teeth acquire stains. The stains become a warning
who cares? none of this means anything to me, wanna know why?
I CAN'T BUY A PLAYER OR DISCS IN EITHER FORMAT RIGHT NOW!
so who cares how much it can hold?!?!
ATTN: I hearby announce my new holographic crystal format can now store 1,000,000,000 tetrabites on a crystal the size of a grain of salt. This device not yet available for sale, please come back in 100 years.
I'm going to patent it all too and sue the bejeezus out of anyone who even attempts to copy it!
abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz
Personally, HD-DVD's disgraceful AACS is enough to make me cheer for Blu-Ray
Sony is a major proponent of Blu-ray Disc, and Sony is also a member of the Copyright MAFIAA. Who's to say that Sony's Columbia Tristar Home Video won't demand some sort of digital restrictions management?
I was looking at the boxed sets for TLoTR in a store and after I saw the DVD extras "map" guide (basically a flowchart to all of the extras on the other DVDs) I could only think "Do I really give a damn how the cast's hairdresser prepared for a shoot?". Soon they'll be adding in "A behinds the scenes look at the catering."
It is by the juice of the coffee bean that thoughts acquire speed, the teeth acquire stains. The stains become a warning
"An indestructible DVD - that excites me!"
Me, too.
We can armor Humvee's with them (overlapping to cover the holes).
Maybe armor buildings with them too.
And use them structurally.
Use them to build space-craft.
Or submarines that can take ultra-high pressures.
Even black hole exploration.
Use them for long-lasting (albeit slippery) pavement/floor coverings.
Make notched ones to use for non-wearing saw blades.
Use them to make non-wearing bearings.
The disposal will be difficult, since they won't biodegrade.
And you'd want to be careful what you stored on them, since there are some things that no underappreciated archeologist of the future should have to suffer.
Exam 4/C again. Maybe I'll do better this time.
Finally..I can have every episode of Baby Loony Toons in HD quality! Thanx Japan!
Heh... seriously, that reminds me of catching a glimpse of the horrid "Tom and Jerry Kids" cartoon on the TV the other day.
Ignoring the quality of the animation (who cares, the show is vile anyway), what struck me was how soft and horrible the picture quality is. And the problem, it seems is... it was mastered on NTSC video.
Now, no-one gives a monkeys about Tom and Jerry Kids or Baby Looney Tunes, but... they will care about ST:TNG.
I had that on DVD recently; it looked really bad. Thing is, I live in the UK, and even when I was young I thought that US TV shows looked weird; the picture was soft and the colour was... not great.
Some of this may have come down to so-so conversion at the time, but as shown by the ST DVD (which I assume would have been re-converted from scratch and would not have gone through an intermediate PAL stage), the problem seems to be with the source material. Even when I first saw ST:TNG 15 years ago, I thought the picture was lousy.
Of course, since the US was the main market, I'd guess they figured it didn't need to be better than NTSC broadcast standard. Nowadays it looks horrible, unfortunately.
(A major irony is that 60s and 70s US shows shot on film usually seem to look better)
The picture quality on US shows seems to have improved massively over the past 5 years (I assume there's been a switch to higher-quality RGB recording formats); which means that Americans are going to start noticing how bad archive footage looks.
And believe me, there's no point putting stuff like that on HD-DVD or Blu-Ray until they can remaster it to look a heck of a lot better.
"Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
They know they need to collude if they want to maximize profits. Not having a standard is going to hurt everybody.
Small potatoes make the steak look bigger.
hahahahahahahaahah!!!
:-)
That was great! Thanks for the laugh, I'll be laughing all day now!
So rise up, all ye lost ones, as one, we'll claw the clouds.
And how long would this take to come out? How expensive would a single disk be?
If the price of dual layer DVD's are a gage of how expensive these will be then the price will be through the roof. Dual layer DVDs which aren't sold in bulk are anywhere from $4 to $6 dollars each (rough estimate) and only sold in packs of 3 or 5 if you're lucky, or that's what I've been finding at the local ebil Fry's. Too expensive for me for making image backups of my system.
Specks
Batteries not included
I've been creating an off-site archival backup copy of your collection - in case UseNet should ever fail, send me 9,854,289,413 blank blue-ray DVDs and I'll send you a copy.
A computer once beat me at chess, but it was no match for me at kick boxing -- Emo Phillips
What the hell are you talking about? HD-DVD isn't intended to replace the hard drive. It's intended to replace the DVD.
Gotta love those Torvalds quotes.
Of Code And Men
its not going to stop people from using Blu-Ray for personal and business uses. Its 100% obvious that Blu-Ray is the better replacement for dvd-/+r/w technologies. You also know they will just come out with multi-format drives like they did for -/+
I've re-mux'd the entire LOTR extended trilogy onto 1 single layer DVD-R and it looks fine on my Portable DVD player with a 7" screen....
Now instead of complaining that when you buy 30-minute shows on DVD which only put two episodes/disk, we'll have a format with 25x the capacity which is still only holding 2 episodes.
That's always bugged me about that kind of stuff on TV. They want to sell you a bazillion dollars worth of stuff. You want it all on one disk.
Then again, I have a huge problem equating two 30 minute episodes of a show which has been running for several seasons to the equivelant (or more) then a movie which cost over $100 million to make.
Yet, time and time again we see just that -- two episodes of Freinds (or whatever) costs as much as one Lord of the Rings movie -- personally I think they need to look at macroeconomics -- Mr Smith is not getting the utils of enjoyment out of the second purchase.
There is no reason to believe this won't keep happening as disks get bigger.
Lost at C:>. Found at C.
I guess you don't run backups. You might want to look into that.
(And backing up onto another hard drive is hardly a solution.)
Don't forget the IV and catheter. And a colostomy bag if you at a big meal the day before.
"As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly." A. Carlson
By the time holographic discs are around and reach 250G or 1TB, hard drives will be 10TB.
... still waiting. It's never been the case, and probably never will be, because it's much harder to make reliable removable media, period.
Name me a time when affordable removable media were larger than fixed media, so you could reliably back up to one disc.
I stole this sig from someone cleverer than me.
With the recent PS3 announcement of Blu-Ray, and no HD-DVD from the Xbox or Nintendo Revolution, I seriously think Blu-Ray has won this. Besides having better capacity, they're going to guarantee themselves 25-50 million players in households by Spring 2006? Plus an additional 20+ million each year thereafter, that's a large footprint. Even if HD-DVD is more cost efficient and beats them to market (say a decent amount of players available by xmas 2005), I can't see the same amount of people jumping on the HD-DVD bandwagon in its first 6 months to outweigh the PS3 release.
I hope HD-DVD hits a stumbling block, no one wants format wars.
I'm asking myself exactly the same question.. what's the likely price per unit.. because the bigger question is Is this the new price leader for large-scale storage? Currently, disk is about $0.40/GB ($80 for a 200GB disk) and tape is $0.25/GB ($50 for a 200GB LTO2 tape). While these will definitely fall by the time these disks come out, they probably can't come close to 6 or 4 cents per gig.
Plus, though tapes are pretty cost effective on a per gig basis, the actual machines for accessing them are tres expensivo. Look at the ADIC Scalar series. A Scalar 24 costs about 10k. Now consider that a 400 CD changer goes for ~$200 at Amazon... That's currently in a different market segment, but for how long? Even when the CD changer makers decide to price gauge the data consumer, they won't be able to go too far without being outcompeted from below.
That means the ETA to a, let's say $50k petabyte system, is a couple of years.
E.g. let's say the Blue-Rays get up to 200GB each at a price point of $10 each (conservative). That's 5000 discs for 1PB and so $50k, which is much better than the alternative medias by a factor of between 2 (tape) and 5-20 (offline and online disk). But more importantly, it will take only 10 cheap disk changers to access all 5000 disks needed.
The one big gotcha here is that the discs are write-once, read-many. But for certain applications, e.g. video, this is ideal. And it just so happens that folks like Microsoft's Chief Researcher, Jim Gray, think that video is what we'll fill this next generation of capacity with.
This is shortly after the previously reported HD-DVD announced three-layer HD-DVD that would hold a "mere" 45 GB.
Oh, the fools! If only they'd built it with four layers! When will they learn?!?
Does anyone have specs on the baseline players of Blu-Ray format (besides PS3)? DVD players today suck in terms of interactivity--where is my You Don't Know Jack DVD? If these next HD-DVD formats don't allow for at least some programming...
As a data addict, I feel I must weigh in here. There are a few concerns:
Migration
I have switched exclusively to recordable DVD for backups about 20 months ago. The extra capacity was dearly needed, as my CD-R collection was growing large by bounds and leaps, making it unmanageable. At first, like everyone else, I thought whoa - 4.37GB - surely nobody will need more that than. Famous last words.
What was interesting to observe is that a) the transition to DVD from CD-R happened faster for me than from previous backup mediums to CD-R (Zip disks, MO discs, etc.). Whereas I had used CD-R in conjunction with my previous mediums for quite a while, jumping from CD-R to DVD-R was much quicker. About the only things that held me back are the fact that most OS installation media are still CD-R images, and the fact that the mp3-capable HU in my car only reads CD-R. That's why I still stock CD-R, otherwise I would have none.
Capacity
I felt the capacity of DVD-R as being limiting much quicker than I did so with CD-R. In other words, 4.37GB "got small" much faster for me than 700MB did. Broadband is here to stay and is only getting faster. The average computer, its display adapter, is getting faster and can display higher bitrate video content. Filesize is only going up.
Evolution
I feel that DVD-R is a clear improvement on technology compared to CD-R. There are a number of practical issues to consider. It looks like they did their homework and fixed the main issues with CD-R.
Number one is sandwiching the recording layer between protective plastic discs, as opposed to putting it on top, as CD-R did, where it is easily damageable.
The other is the overall improvement of recording reliability. Granted I only use high-quality media, but it seems to me that either thru improved error-correction algorithms and/or improved quality control/design of both recorder and media, DVD-R far surpasses CD-R in reliability. I haven't burnt one single bad disc that was directly related to media or recorder in over 1000 burns on multiple recorders. CD-Rs would often fail to verify.
Price
There is no contest as far as the price, per GB, of DVD-R vs. hard drive for backup purposes. Believe it or not, backup media has traditionally been lagging behind the real needs of customers.
Standards
CD-R had no competing standards. Good. In the beginning of DVD-R, it was a problem if you had a -R and someone else had a +R. Bad. They fixed it by having virtually all drive manufacturers, for both recorders and readers, seamlessly support both standards. Fair enough, and it gets a "fair -to- good" grade. It is transparent enough that today you don't need to even look at what media you're buying (if your name is "John Smith," of course - us freaks look at much more than just the brand of media we buy). But DVD-R was clearly a step into the general direction of chaos as compared to CD-R. It looks like the next gen will be considerably worse, unless one of the standards completely kills the other one before either comes to market.
Conclusion
Please note that I am not closely following the BR vs. HD-DVD race because I think it would be a waste of time at this point. This is a disclaimer for any specifics I mention - they are only approximations.
I feel that 100GB should not be viewed as realistic. 4 layers are not practical unless they are introduced from the get-go. I offer current DVD-R dual-layer as an example. It has 2 major cons: 1) it is currently roughly 10-30 times as expensive as single layer DVD-R for roughly double capacity, 2) it does not burn anywhere near the speed at which DVD-R SL burns (fastest is 4x vs. 16x, realistic is 2.4x vs. 12x). The only people who spring for it are the ones that use them for video backups. Being that I only back up data, it would be of no use to me even if one of the two above points were to go away.
Therefore, lets say a single layer disc will have 25GB. Nothing wrong with that, but by the time it is introduced it will be "just enough" to satisfy the needs of the market.
I feel that backups will still be lagging for a while into the future. Don't believe the hype, and don't feed the trolls.
1 CD (650 MB) could hold 451 floppies (1.44 MB)
1 DVD (9 GB) could hold 14 CDs
1 Blu-Ray DVD (100 GB) will hold "only" 11 DVDs. If the other standard wins, it will hold only 5 or 6 DVDs.
So, it seems that the "memory expansion rate" of external media is slowing down little by little (I'm not counting medias that really never caught on: iomega, ZIPs, JAZs and all that funky stuff from the 90es, neither superspecialized medias like DAT tape recorders). When we will hit the barrier? (is there one? Are holographic hard drives on their way?)
Interestingly enough, the adoption rate of new mediums as "the standard" (meaning the time during which it is installed by default in most PCs sold) has been inversely proportionnal : floppies sticked around forever, CDs for about 12 years, and we've had DVD for 7 years, and it looks like everybody is about to switch to either BluRay or HDDVD very soon, "killing" the DVD as the aforementioned standard.
How long will it take to burn 100 GBs of data in a single disk though, assuming recordable blurays ever show up?
Hello! I'm a disaster waiting to happen!
Microsoft can now breathe easier. Now they won't have to trim more features off the OS to fit it on one DVD. I can't wait to see the 3-D font they're planning to use in the DOS window (not to mention 3D Clippy!)
"My country, right or wrong; if right, to be kept right; and if wrong, to be set right." --Senator Carl Schurz (1872)
True, small hard disks are highly efficient, and come in sizes as large as 80GB already. But, here's one of the problems that many cite as problems with VHS: HDD's have moving parts, and thus they wear out. And when things wear out, we can lose data. As a person who runs his own server, I've had a hard disk wear out, and a CD-ROM drive die on me. In both cases, I've been set back in one way or another. The hard disk was bigger set back because I can't just force the drive door open and take the discs out. Plus, a hard disk is more easily damaged if dropped. I wouldn't risk dropping my XBox or my HDD equipped PS2, let alone my laptop in a bet to prove their stability. I would drop my DVD-Rs and CD-Rs to prove their stability. However, portable hard disks are a good idea. For those of us who work with media files, having files small enough to fit on cheap flash memory is a luxury, and burning a disc is wasteful. When I've dealt with Illustrator files that are about 148 MB, and whole projects that are larger than 1.8 GB, a portable hard disk that I could just plug in would be a nice thing. But, I wouldn't trust a purchased video on a miniature hard disk, but rather an optical disc, where I can replace the physical mechanisms easily without having to worry about damaging the media itself. Plus, discs are backwards compatible. All DVD drive read CDs, and there's no reason Blu-Ray or HD-DVD won't be able to run older discs. However, hard disks on the other hand... it's like saying that DV can run Hi8. Plus, anyone remember when the newer model hard disks came out, replacing the old standard (I forget what it was called, I remember my 386 had it). When I tried to pull data off of it, only to find out that the connectors for EIDE and the older hard disks are incompatible. And don't think that this is an extreme case. My brother plays individual game disc, and reviews parts of videos often enough to wear down a cassette or hard disk. Unless you can guarantee that this hard disk is going to survive no less than five years of constant abuse, I'm not going to rely on it for my media.
Rawr
Personally, I don't care if it gets approved as a standard. I know of many places where people are dying to find a more efficient backup medium. A 100 gig disk would make me exceedingly happy, regaurdless of who's standard it is. So long as they publish the specs on it, I say bring it on...
I wouldn't call this unfortunate, I would call it a victory for Blu-Ray which is a technically superior format. HD-DVD is supported by the MPAA because it allows them to add another step to the hardware progression. Instead of simply going straight to a Blu-Ray, they will use HD-DVD for a few years, make you buy your entire DVD collection over again, then switch to Blu-Ray causing you to buy them all once more, getting you to buy some movies up to four times. Seems silly to me, I say let's not feed their tactic.
Our greatest enemy is neither a single man, nor is it a nation, it is, as it has always been, our own greed.
You're picking and choosing for your comparison, I think.
1 CD (650 MB) could hold 451 floppies (1.44 MB)
You skipped an intervening step here. 100MB Iomega Zip drives were practically standard before CD burners became really common. They held about 60 floppies worth of stuff. And a CD only held 6 100MB Zips worth of stuff. I see that you skipped the Zips on purpose... but I don't really think it was appropriate to skip them.
1 DVD (9 GB) could hold 14 CDs
I'd really do this with the single-layer DVD-R standard, which was a little less than 5GB. It therefore only held 7 CDs of stuff. Or do you want to talk about double-sided dual-layer DVDs, which hold 18GB, and make Blu-Ray look even worse? (Can you even buy recordable double-sided dual-layer DVD-R discs?)
I don't know if I'd count the 100GB version of Blu-Ray Disc, as it is currently not a product. You can at least buy 25GB single-layer BD recordable discs and drives. Not sure about dual-layer 50GB BD recordable discs right now, I'm not going to bother doing a google search to check either.
But that 25GB Blu-Ray only holds 5 5GB DVDs worth of stuff.
So it is slowing down a bit... but only from "factor of 7" to "factor of 5" which isn't that much of a slowdown, assuming you ignore the jump away from floppies.
As to "how long to burn 100GB of data"... The Register article says TDK claims they burn at 6X (216Mbps) or about an hour.
This is my sig. There are many like it but this one is... Oops. Frank, I've got your sig again! Where's mine?
2 reasons why it won't happen:
Seriously. As long as the tech is doubling in capacity every few weeks, the last thing we want is a standard. Just a couple of years ago, you used to put 700MB on a CD. For the moment you can put 8GB on a dual-layer DVD. There is really no point in another standard until you get another order of magnitude increase in capacity when the technology is moving this fast.
The bandwidth of station waggons just keeps getting bigger and bigger.
By the time we can get our hands on these things they'll have 500GB discs.
- It's not the Macs I hate. It's Digg users. -
What unification talks? There's none needed. Sony's PS3 will have Blu-Ray and a Blue-Ray disc can hold 55% more per disc. Apple will also be using Blu-ray, which means Pixar will be releasing everything on Blu-ray. That's MAJOR industry support and I'm still trying to figure out what the HD-DVD guys are complaining about.
The battle is over. Blu-ray gets my vote.
"Politicians find new names for institutions which under old names have become odious to the people."
according to blu-ray.com http://www.blu-ray.com/faq/#1.10 the disc's now have a new coating to make them harder. But again if you really want to protect them, cartridges would be the way to go.
3. Higher Manufacturing costs
4. Consumers like the CD/DVD form... encasing it in a cady/shell makes it seem clunky and old fashioned.
It ain't going to happen.
At least Windows will recognize the 4-layer disc drive.
What's the transfer speed on these? My ATA133 Hard Drive only gets about 40 MegaBytes a second last time I benchmarked it. Based on my understanding, that is pretty decent hard drive performance. How long does it take to burn one of these disks? If my HD is only 40mB/sec, I can't possibly burn faster than that At that rate it'd take 41 minutes to burn one of these. Last I checked DVD burners don't even get close to 40mB/sec
blue-ray device currently costs over $3000 in jap, disc cost is big too
That's true now but next year, blu-ray devices will be $300 (or whatever Sony prices the console at) and due to the massive numbers of discs being cranked out to put game content on the cost per disc will drop dramatically.
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I know ST:TNG was filmed; that's why I said "mastered" on video. I assume that many of the effects shots were done direct to video (albeit at 30fps, not 60 half-frames per second, as it would have looked obviously superimposed if the effects had greater temporal resolution than the underlying film).
I know full well that quality will suffer in cross-format conversion. For example, I don't blame the horrible juddering in pans/credit sequences in US TV shows on NTSC; that's obviously a 30fps->25fps artifact.
I don't know what your PAL-->NTSC setup was, so I don't really want to comment, as I would have several different answers depending on how it was connected (signals, material, yadda yadda). But I'll say this; if you convert from PAL to (true) NTSC signal, you're going to get all the disadvantages of NTSC *plus* (bad) on-the-fly conversion artifacts.
My justification for the suckiness of old NTSC is this; I have a digital TV receiver (DVB-T, not PAL), and the more recent US stuff show on TV is *much* better. Where there is slight softness, it's probably down to the interpolation due to the different number of lines. PAL shouldn't enter the equation here (although the resolution/frame rate of DVB-T is the same, the encoding isn't).
There still seems to be some variation in quality (maybe some is US HDTV sourced, giving more leeway to conversion), but *nothing* I see nowadays is as bad as 1980s/early-mid 1990s US TV shows.
And yeah, you're right about the frame rate in PAL; it's low once you've noticed it. (I watch DVDs on my computer, and my TV is a small portable thing- flicker's generally a bigger problem on large TVs). If I was buying a large CRT, I'd definitely get one that 'doubles' the frames to 100Hz. But with other technologies (e.g. LCD), flicker doesn't exist; and 24/25fps is enough if you don't have to worry about flicker.
FWIW, I've seen some older PAL material, and it *does* look less than brilliant on (e.g.) DVD. But not to the same extent as old NTSC.
Anyway, I bet it'll be possible to process old video and improve the colour quite soon. I wouldn't push the process too far though; TV shows were made with the limitations of broadcast in mind, and who wants to see the joins in the set on an ultra-high resolution version of ST:TNG?
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So, is ALL Blu-ray media compatible with Blu-ray readers? (like say, PS3?)
Or are we heading toward Dvd+r Dvd-r all over again?