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Blu-Ray Attacks Microsoft, Microsoft Bites Back

QT writes "Ars Technica has been following this week's next-gen DVD dramas closely. First, there's extensive coverage of the reasons why Microsoft backed HD-DVD, which was primarily inspired by mandatory support for copying discs to computers. The BDA, however, countered with an attack on Microsoft's reasons, and Microsoft returned fire. Richard E. Doherty, Microsoft's head of the media entertainment technology convergence group, said that 50GB Blu-ray disc are in fact many years away. Is MS playing games, or is Sony misrepresenting just how far along BD-ROM really is?" From the article: "HD DVD is proven to deliver 30GB capacity today, with the potential to deliver even greater capacity. The 50GB claim for BD-ROM discs is unproven and will not be available for many years to come, based on discussions with major Japanese and US replicators. Replicators not only do not have test lines running, they cannot even pre-order the equipment to begin evaluating this disc. They cannot judge the cost of these discs, or even whether they can be manufactured at all. Major replicators can mass manufacture 30GB HD DVD discs today and it's well understood that these discs will cost significantly less to manufacture than the lower-capacity 25GB BD discs." We previously discussed this topic when the announcement came out.

300 comments

  1. BD ROM? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is this what I think it is? Sweet deal...can't wait!

  2. sure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    "My disk is bigger"
    "no mine is"
    "No MY disk is bigger"
    "Your disk doesnt exist"
    "No yours doesnt"
    "Yes it does"

    since when is this a cross between kids arguing and politics?

    1. Re:sure by Hasai · · Score: 1

      Politics *is* a bunch of kids arguing. Take a step back and look at it all; corporate, local, national, international, and you quickly realize there really isn't all-that many adults out there....

      --

      Regards;

      Hasai

    2. Re:sure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you made me laugh out loud - "YOUR Disk dosent exist..." - priceless!

    3. Re:sure by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 1, Informative

      LOL! Exactly!

      Microsoft is trying to act like BluRay hasn't existed for the last year or so in Japan (where devices are already available that utilize cartridge media). Microsoft is hoping beyond hope that nobody has heard of Pioneer's BDR-101A BluRay burner for PC's (which works with a BluRay capable edition of Nero Burning ROM that's been known about for at least 9 months).

      Meanwhile in the HD-DVD camp, they've yet to show any hardware or software support (do not confuse this with what amounts to a paper launch: just because they say X is supporting them or Y will have support in version Z doesn't mean crap until they deliver. BluRay, OTOH, has been delivering). It'd be great if Microsoft would actually put up or shut up on this...

      It just looks really stupid to be saying "oh yeah, well their media doesn't even exist!".

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
    4. Re:sure by NeMon'ess · · Score: 1

      Are blank 50GB discs actually available for sale in Japan, or just 25GB?

    5. Re:sure by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 1

      I'd be willing to guess it's just single layer media in Japan, but it's been out there for a year. I really doubt there's any major roadblocks for dual layer media. Now the eight (8) layer media TDK/Sony talked about a few months back that holds 200 GB? That **is** a ways off, and may not even be 100% compatible with 1st generation players (and certainly not 1st gen recorders).

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
    6. Re:sure by WilliamSChips · · Score: 1
      As Paul Graham said:
      Your teachers are always telling you to behave like adults. I wonder if they'd like it if you did. You may be loud and disorganized, but you're very docile compared to adults. If you actually started acting like adults, it would be just as if a bunch of adults had been transposed into your bodies. Imagine the reaction of an FBI agent or taxi driver or reporter to being told they had to ask permission to go the bathroom, and only one person could go at a time. To say nothing of the things you're taught. If a bunch of actual adults suddenly found themselves trapped in high school, the first thing they'd do is form a union and renegotiate all the rules with the administration.
      --
      Please, for the good of Humanity, vote Obama.
  3. HD DVD sounds better to me by Delphiki · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I started out thinking Blu Ray would be the way to go but after reading some of the articles on Ars about it recently, I'm thinking HD DVD would be better. If the movie industry started making all new DVD releases as hybrid discs, there could be a very easy transition, and it could happen soon, from the sounds of things. Of course, things might not be as easy as they sound. Honestly, I don't care about the extra space. I use an external HD for backups, not my DVD burner. And I don't care how many discs my movies/tv shows come on. So I have to change it once an hour, I need to get up once in a while anyway.

    --

    Feel free to mod me "-1 - Angry Jerk".

    1. Re:HD DVD sounds better to me by garcia · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I use an external HD for backups, not my DVD burner.

      It's easier to replicate DVDs and store them in multiple locations than it is to have multiple external HDs. For my weekly backups everything goes to three distinct geographical locations via the Internet. I also have an external HD that gets stuff daily. If necessary (no network connections) I would burn DVDs and mail or hand deliver them. Much easier than mailing HDs. YMMV.

      And I don't care how many discs my movies/tv shows come on. So I have to change it once an hour, I need to get up once in a while anyway.

      I can't sit through an entire season (or usually even an entire disc) w/o moving but that's not why I'd like to see more shows on less discs. I don't like how much room my DVD sets take up in my rack. If I could get an entire season on one or two discs instead of six or more that would make me a happier camper.

    2. Re:HD DVD sounds better to me by nutshell42 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      If the movie industry started making all new DVD releases as hybrid discs, there could be a very easy transition, and it could happen soon, from the sounds of things.

      If they make those hybrid discs they're gonna cost as much as it would to buy both the DVD and the HD release. Why? Because that's the way it's done in the eyes of the movie industry.

      When I first heard about the mandatory "managed copy" feature for HD-DVD I thought "yeah, right" but I have to admit there was this tiny little bit of hope somewhere in the more naive parts of my brain. No more:

      Jordi Ribas, director of technical strategy for the Windows Digital Media Division, told me that while the feature is mandatory, the studios will have the option of charging for it

      Buy HD-DVD, much better than Blu-Ray, get two, pay two!

      Oh, and I no longer trust Ars's coverage since they had the two page HD-DVD ad disguised as article on their frontpage (yes, they added a disclaimer later but I don't read Ars for press releases disclaimer or not)

      --
      Don't think of it as a flame---it's more like an argument that does 3d6 fire damage
    3. Re:HD DVD sounds better to me by gstoddart · · Score: 3, Interesting
      If the movie industry started making all new DVD releases as hybrid discs, there could be a very easy transition, and it could happen soon, from the sounds of things.

      If they make those hybrid discs they're gonna cost as much as it would to buy both the DVD and the HD release. Why? Because that's the way it's done in the eyes of the movie industry.

      You are exactly correct. Witness that we still have to choose between buying the widescreen and 'adjusted for your screen' version, whereas when I first started buying DVDs, they were frequently flipper disks with both screen formats.

      Witness that DTS and Dolby Digital used to be two separate disks (and still are in some cases).

      I seem to remember the absurdity of Jurassic park broke down to the following modifiers:

      • Widescreen or Pan-and-scan
      • DTS or Dolby Digital
      • Special edition or Joe Schmoe edition


      In all, I believe the origianl release of Jurassic park was available in six different combinations.

      Hollywood would rather sell them to you over and over.
      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    4. Re:HD DVD sounds better to me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hybrid disks mean EVERY DVD made by the company will have DUAL sided disks....meaning NO TITLE COVER ON YOUR PRESCIOUS MEDIA.......

      to put it more simply, you won't have a title "Saving Ryan's Private" and a nice lil pic, but have a shiny green surface staring back at you, with an ugly face of someone looking back.....:P

      in other words, hybrid just means more losses to users.....

    5. Re:HD DVD sounds better to me by default+luser · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You are exactly correct. Witness that we still have to choose between buying the widescreen and 'adjusted for your screen' version, whereas when I first started buying DVDs, they were frequently flipper disks with both screen formats.

      Yes, there were a couple reasons early DVDs were mostly flipper discs, and most of them came with both versions.

      Early on the industry had not perfected the dual-layer concept, so the dual-sided, single-layer disc was common. But the industry was smart - they knew that discs that required flipping in the middle of the movie would not only piss people off, but would remind people of Laserdisc.

      So, with the exception of longer movies like Goodfellas, most double-sided, single-layer early discs cut the video bitrate a little and packed a whole movie onto each side. This also gave the industry the perfect "extra" feature to sell the new DVD format: widescreen and standard on the same disc.

      Witness that DTS and Dolby Digital used to be two separate disks (and still are in some cases).

      I didn't like those early dual-sided discs. Some movies that hit the 2-hour mark look like shit because the video bitrate is down in the 4Mbit range. It was a compromise.

      Nowadays, the number of different versions available reflect the truth about DVD:

      DVD was sold to the public on the concept that it could hold EVERYTHING, including multiple 9Mbit versions of the movie, Dolby Digital, DTS, extras, you name it. But the capacity to do this was truely only available in DVD18, which was expensive to make, and still required that annoying flipping by the user.

      The fact is, DVD is most consumer-friendly in the single-sided, dual-layer package (and it's also convenient that single-sided, dual-layer discs are cheaper to make these days). Thus, you have 9GB to work with, which means ONE high-bitrate version of the movie with Dolby Digital in english and spanish, and maybe DTS or a few behind the scenes extras.

      I mean, SURE studios invent reasons for re-releases, but the compartmentalization of features is mostly due to the limitations of DVD. Most people don't realize this, but if you crank up the DVD bitrate to maximum, you'll eat up almost an entire layer in an hour. We need more space...and hence, the new format.

      This time around, the hybrid disc looks like a winner, because you don't have to cut any corners: dual layer DVD on one side, dual-layer HD-DVD on the other. Unfortunately, the movie industry will capitalize on this killer combination, and will probably charge 20-50% more for these new features (much like a special-edition DVD today).

      My hope is that BD-ROM will be out around the same time period. It may cause confusion, but the format war has to be fought sooner-or-later. With two formats on the field, artificial upcharges will disappear.

      --

      Man is the animal that laughs.
      And occasionally whores for Karma.

    6. Re:HD DVD sounds better to me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      JVC is looking into making Blu Ray discs that support hybrid format which allow the DVD to be contained on the same disc as well, according to information on wikipedia

    7. Re:HD DVD sounds better to me by shotfeel · · Score: 1

      If the movie industry started making all new DVD releases as hybrid discs, there could be a very easy transition

      But that's just as possible to do with BD. So as a deciding factor its a moot point IMO. Also, IIRC there are some limitations in doing the hybrid. Its been mentioned that the hybrid HD DVD may only allow a single layer (4.3 GB) for the "normal" DVD side. That may or may not be true, and it may be just as much of a problem for BD.

      Another factor to consider is that the BD group is closer to implementing disk burning on the PC, though I think that's only the 25 GB stuff. Its going to be a while before you can burn your own HD DVD on your PC, for data or video.

      I'm still up in the air on which I prefer. I guess I'm leaning more towards BD for the simple fact that I think it has more potential long-term.

    8. Re:HD DVD sounds better to me by Overly+Critical+Guy · · Score: 1

      Blu-ray supports hybrid discs, and in fact allows both versions on one side of the disc, which is certainly easier for labeling purposes.

      --
      "Sufferin' succotash."
    9. Re:HD DVD sounds better to me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sony shouldn't be trusted with media formats anyway - look at what they've done so far:

      -Memory Stick
      -"Universal" Media Disc

      What will happen if Sony loses their way? Will Sony products use their own format, rejecting any chance of interoperability with other manufactuers' products? (cough cough memory stick cough cough)

    10. Re:HD DVD sounds better to me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I started out thinking Blu Ray would be the way to go but after reading some of the articles on Ars about it recently, I'm thinking HD DVD would be better.

      That's Microsoft's dollars at work! The fee they paid that shill at Ars to write this stuff is paying off!

      The problem for Toshiba is, who buys Toshiba stuff? PS3 will put BD players into millions of homes before a thousand people have bought a consumer HD-DVD player. The hurdles for BD manufacturers are transitory and the fact that copying content is "mandatory" on HD-DVD but the companies can charge you for each copy doesn't sound great to me. Assuming PS3 has a way to copy BD content to a drive in a locked-down fashion for any BD disc, where does that leave HD-DVD?

    11. Re:HD DVD sounds better to me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I seem to remember the absurdity of Jurassic park broke down to the following modifiers:
      • Widescreen or Pan-and-scan
      • DTS or Dolby Digital
      • Special edition or Joe Schmoe edition
      In all, I believe the origianl release of Jurassic park was available in six different combinations.
      Wouldn't that be 8 combinations (2^3=8)?
    12. Re:HD DVD sounds better to me by Trogre · · Score: 1

      Most people don't realize this, but if you crank up the DVD bitrate to maximum, you'll eat up almost an entire layer in an hour. We need more space...and hence, the new format.

      Or just a more efficient video codec, say, MPEG4.

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    13. Re:HD DVD sounds better to me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Plus new all new DVD players to handle the change, in either case.

    14. Re:HD DVD sounds better to me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wouldn't that be 8 combinations (2^3=8)?

      With your logic would it be 9, (3^2=9)?

  4. EeziPost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Slashdot EeziPost (TM) MK I

    #NB: For obvious reasons, the first option is ENABLED by default - remember to turn off if you are NOT responding to a dupe

    [ ] Another: [ ] Dupe [ ] Slashvertisment [ ] WTF [X] $editor is a dork

    [X] Frist psot [ ] link to GNAA [ ] Link to goatse [ ] $random_drivel

    [X] I Haven't RTFA, but... $random_opinionated_comment

    [ ] Slashdotted already!. I bet their server runs on $topic_item too

    [ ] Soul_sucking registration required

    [ ] Mod Parent [ ] up [ ] Down

    [X] Fsck: [ ] SCO [X] Micro$oft [ ] DMCA [X] DRM [ ] MPAA [ ] RIAA [ ] Google [ ] Bush [ ] You all

    [ ] I for one welcome our new $topic_item overlords

    [ ] Imagine a beowulf cluster of those

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    [ ] You insensitive clod

    [ ] But people who download music from P2P networks are more likely to buy the album

    [X] Cue DVD Jon-type crack in 3..2..1

    [ ] Torrent, anyone?

    [ ] Here's a link to a patch: $random_linux_distro_url

    [ ] Profit!!

    [ ] Still no cure for cancer

  5. Let's just ask Hugh Hefner by LexNaturalis · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's the porn industry that's going to decide, remember? Who cares what the industry people think...

    Sorry, but I just wanted to pre-empt those that are inevitably going to claim that. At any rate, if the article (re: Microsoft) is true, then Blu-Ray probably won't succeed because HD-DVD is already here. I'm still pulling for Blu-Ray, for a variety of reasons, but realistically I realize that most consumers are going to see "HD-DVD" and think "Ooooh... a DVD that will play HD" (fallacy notwithstanding) whereas people will see Blu-Ray and think "What the... what's this crap?"

    Alas, at this point it's still all speculation. Perfect for /. so I thought I'd share my own.

    --
    Men occasionally stumble over the truth, but most of them pick themselves up and hurry off as if nothing ever happened.
    1. Re:Let's just ask Hugh Hefner by aka_big_wurm · · Score: 1

      Porn will go on any format I like to make the joke that BetaMax stuff was a little more nasty

    2. Re:Let's just ask Hugh Hefner by GigG · · Score: 4, Funny

      I never, ever want to see a porn movie in Hi-Def.

      --
      Is buying a Harley Davidson as your first motorcycle since you were 16 at age 49 a midlife crisis issue?
    3. Re:Let's just ask Hugh Hefner by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's the porn industry that's going to decide, remember? Who cares what the industry people think...

      The influence of the porn industry is highly overrated by the chronic masturbators on this site. Porn is a bunch of low low low low budget cheapasses who go after the largest installed base and only adopt technology that's already commoditized. Convential wisdom like Beta Had No Porn tends not to stand up to any sort of real scrutiny (such as VHS was half the price and outselling Beta 10:1). Get your dick out of your hand when posting.

    4. Re:Let's just ask Hugh Hefner by wolf31o2 · · Score: 1

      Please. Everyone knows that Hugh Hefner isn't a pornagrapher. He's just a very cool, very perverted old man with 7 hot blonde girlfriends who happens to run one of the most successful magazine publishers on the planet and has probably single-handedly helped America get to the state it is in today in regards to sexuality. With how repressed America is *even with* Hugh, I'd hate to see how we would have turned out without him. Besides, you have to admire a guy that lets us jerk off to pictures of girls he's already fucked. *grin*

      Hugh Hefner for president!

    5. Re:Let's just ask Hugh Hefner by Qzukk · · Score: 2, Informative

      Blu-Ray probably won't succeed because HD-DVD is already here.

      Err, Blu-Ray is not only already here, but in Japan you could have bought a blu-ray set-top burner (for a few thousand dollars, of course) years ago. Of course, it used its own proprietary format and not the standardized HD format that was recently created, but the technology for creating discs and the drives that read them is very old news, far from "unproven".

      In this case, it's just Microsoft exploiting the fact that America is a technological backwater compared to the rest of the developed world to push a solution that benefits it.

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    6. Re:Let's just ask Hugh Hefner by iamacat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You are in denial. Porn popularized use of GIF, perfected video-conferencing and introduced online credit card payments. Even Mozilla image rendering library is called libpr0n (seriously!). It's not about the largest install base, just the most motivated one. I bet porn industry will ignore enlarging disks and go straight to H.264 high-definition downloads.

    7. Re:Let's just ask Hugh Hefner by RicktheBrick · · Score: 1

      The only use that the vast majority of people would use these for is movies in high definition. I for one am not going to buy a high definition TV until they are only about twice what I pay for a television today. I can buy a 27 inch for around $200 so they have a lot to go before the masses will buy a high definition television set. By that time I see broadband being 100mbits a second or more so most people will have high definition video on demand and will let the isp figure out which brand of DVD to buy.

    8. Re:Let's just ask Hugh Hefner by elwinc · · Score: 1
      In this case, it's just Microsoft exploiting the fact that America is a technological backwater compared to the rest of the developed world to push a solution that benefits it.

      Well, not quite. If you read the original ars technica article, you'll see that part of Microsoft's decision had to do with DRM. At present, Blu-ray's DRM blocks copying to your computer's hard disk. HD-DVD's DRM explicitly allows "managed copy."

      HD DVD implements part of the AACS control mechanism to allow for things such as putting digital copies of a disc on a hard drive, transferring a movie (legally) to a portable player, or streaming content on a home network. Furthermore, HD DVD makes Managed Copy mandatory: all content provided on HD DVD must give users the option of making at least one copy. Jordi Ribas, director of technical strategy for the Windows Digital Media Division, told me that while the feature is mandatory, the studios will have the option of charging for it. Ribas hopes that studios will allow at least a single copy "for free," but it may be market conditions that ultimately determine the cost of such features. The take-away, at least, is that studios have to offer something, and AACS is structured in such a way that the studios can tap into it to offer users more options.
      --
      --- Often in error; never in doubt!
    9. Re:Let's just ask Hugh Hefner by afidel · · Score: 1

      HD-DVD will only be out months ahead of Blue-Ray, not a year as Toshiba and company had hoped. In fact they just made the announcement yesterday. Of course this is news for nerds, not actual breaking news =)

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
  6. It's painfully obvious... by advocate_one · · Score: 5, Insightful

    that a bird in the hand (ie. the standard that's available right now) is worth far more than two in the bush (ie the one that's only promised and is at least two years off)... I mean, which manufacturer is going to hold off on the promise of 50GB, when he can have 30GB right now??? only an idiot who's going to miss the boat and look very, very stupid.

    --
    Donald 'Duck' Dunn: We had a band powerful enough to turn goat piss into gasoline.
    1. Re:It's painfully obvious... by Monkelectric · · Score: 1

      Personally, i dont think 30 or 50gb is acceptable. thats only a 3-5x increase over what we have now... I can't get excited over anything less than an order of magnitude

      --

      Religion is a gateway psychosis. -- Dave Foley

    2. Re:It's painfully obvious... by VATechTigger · · Score: 0
      I was going to post something like

      "Your girlfrined seemed very excitied by the 3-5x increase over what she had now when I was with her last night"

      Then I realized why my karma is so low............. :)

      Seriously though, I wish they would just make the leap to solid state media already. I would love to have a stamp book full of movies, not something that need to spin around to get the information off of.

    3. Re:It's painfully obvious... by spleck · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So what's wrong with 25GB BDROM right now and 50GB tomorrow? Is that extra 5GB SO important RIGHT NOW? Seems to me we'll see a drive and discs at 25GB BDROM before we'll se 30GB HD-DVDs.

    4. Re:It's painfully obvious... by squoozer · · Score: 1

      I have to question the whole push to next generation dvd. I don't really see that it buys us anything we don't already have and it costs a small fortune with upgrades. If you look at what these companies are intending to ship on HD/BR-DVD it is pretty obvious that, for now at least, they would be better off just sticking with regular DVD. I can only think of a hand full of games that have a DVD version and, lets face it, there is no advantage to the DVD version other than it has fewer disks (eg the graphics / cut scenes aren't any better). Music has fallen flat on it's face on the DVD format because most people think CD quality is good enough. Films might benifit from a switch to HD/BR-DVD but I am very skeptical.

      With better compression technologies available now than which DVD first came out I am sure that it would be possible to put a much better quality film (visually at least ;o) on a standard DVD. Personally I think currently DVD quality is generally good enough - there are, I admit, one or two places where the compression shows thorough. I certainly wouldn't even consider buying a film I already own on DVD on HD/BR-DVD.

      I wonder if the switch to HD/BR-DVD has more to do with lockign down the media more than it has to do with improving and extending?

      --
      I used to have a better sig but it broke.
    5. Re:It's painfully obvious... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "a bird in the hand...is worth far more than two in the bush"

      As the owner of an extensive pr0n collection, I would strongly disagree with this statement.

    6. Re:It's painfully obvious... by hattig · · Score: 5, Informative

      Microsoft went with HD-DVD because Bluray uses BD-J (i.e., Java) for interactive, programmable, etc, content.

      BluRay drives have been around for a long time. They exist now.

      What isn't finalised is the DRM and various things relating to that. It won't take too long to get these things finalised.

      The 2 years to 50GB stuff is pure FUD as far as we, the consumers, are concerned. Have either of us held a HD-DVD or a BD-ROM in out hands? No. They're both up in the air. We should just sit back and wait for one or the other to release something. It isn't as if BluRay single-layer (23, 25 or 27GB) is that much lower than HD-DVD dual layer (30GB) anyway.

      I know one BluRay manufacturer said they'd be making 50GB stuff this December.

      Let's just wait and see what happens!

    7. Re:It's painfully obvious... by advocate_one · · Score: 1

      every man and his dog's got a dvd player now... they're so cheap now, you chuck them away when they start to skip... The market's saturated... so the hardware guys are clamouring for a new format to get us all off buying again... not to mention the content guys want us to go out and buy our content all over again in this nice fancy new high def format. Mind you, I've just counted up my DVD collection, some 350 plus titles... and there is NO WAY I'm going to just up and get them all over again... I've only just recently finished getting DVD replacements for most of my worn out VHS tapes... the rest haven't been, or very likely, never will be issued on DVD...

      --
      Donald 'Duck' Dunn: We had a band powerful enough to turn goat piss into gasoline.
    8. Re:It's painfully obvious... by Steve525 · · Score: 1

      Films might benifit from a switch to HD/BR-DVD but I am very skeptical.

      Actually, I think films will benefit dramatically from this, and this is the real market. All those people who are shelling out thousands of dollars for HDTV sets are starved for HD content to put on them. Sure DVD's look pretty good on a good HDTV set, but HD DVD's (either format) will look much better.

      With better compression technologies available now than which DVD first came out I am sure that it would be possible to put a much better quality film (visually at least ;o) on a standard DVD

      I agree that I'm dissappointed with the compression technology used in the new standards. I really think they should have gone to a wavelet encoding method. The artifacts created by wavelet encoding are much less noticable than the blocky artifacts created by the current (sine/cosine) encoding techniques. (Wavelet encoding is a lot harder to do, but I don't think the decoding is that much harder then the currently methods). Whether any compression is good enough to encode good quality HDTV at DVD bitrates, however, is open to debate, although I'd say probably not.

      I certainly wouldn't even consider buying a film I already own on DVD on HD/BR-DVD.

      This is definitely an issues. People have pretty large libraries of DVD's, and they aren't going to want to jump right out and replace those libraries. I think many people will simply start buying movies in the new format without replacing their old libraries (except for a few favourites, though). Eventually, though, DVD's will dissappear from the stores and most people will replace the movies they care about. (Over the time frame of 10-20 years).

    9. Re:It's painfully obvious... by Chosen+Reject · · Score: 3, Insightful
      I agree. Blu-ray is the way to go. HD-DVD just won't be big enough. I loved the reasons MS gave for why they supprted HD-DVD. One said that it was slightly bigger. Then another reason is that with HD-DVD you could put the old DVD format on another layer so that someone without a new player could still buy the same disk and not come home and find that they can't play it. But that just seriously takes away a lot of the capacity of the HD-DVD...as in a whole layer. So the HD-DVD is down to 15 GB. Wow. So now we're comparing something that is 15GB to 30GB. So they're saying that a High-def version of a movie (which is nearly 7 times as many pixels per frame, not including information for progressive scan over interaced) can fit in only twice as much space as a DVD? I call bs.

      Plus, last I read, HD-DVD doesn't have anything even in the lab that is bigger than 30 GB, whereas Bluy-ray has a prototype of 100GB. MS ought to screw off. They are supprting it for two reasons. One is the whole console war, and the second is HD-DVD will use Micorsofts own codec whereas Blu-ray will not. MS just has their panties in a wad.

      And to all those who think this is a propietary Sony product, they should read this FAQ. Sony, HP, Pioneer, Hitachi, TDK, Samsung, Philips, etc. were all in on the process. In fact it was TDK that made the 100GB version. HD-DVD is a very shallow replacement and will only require a new replacement in just a few years time. Blu-ray has potential, not just as a media disk, but also as a storage disk. With people having full hard-drives over 250 GB now, would you rather back that up on 9 HD-DVDs, or 3 Blu-rays. Shutup and die MS and Intel.

      --
      Stop Global Warming!
      Just say no to irreversible processes!
    10. Re:It's painfully obvious... by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      They've made 100GB Bluray discs and claim it could go up to 200, is that enough?

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    11. Re:It's painfully obvious... by Monkelectric · · Score: 1
      "Your girlfrined seemed very excitied by the 3-5x increase over what she had now when I was with her last night"

      Thats pretty clever actually :) And yea I agree ... the CDDVD transition was a revolutionary change, increasnig the capacity of a DVD by 3x-5x ... just isn't sexy

      --

      Religion is a gateway psychosis. -- Dave Foley

    12. Re:It's painfully obvious... by WARM3CH · · Score: 4, Informative
      with HD-DVD you could put the old DVD format on another layer... So the HD-DVD is down to 15 GB
      Wrong. The idea is to put old DVD format on another side of the disk not another layer.
      I read, HD-DVD doesn't have anything even in the lab that is bigger than 30 GB
      Wrong. They have the triple-layer, 45GB disks in the lab
      One is the whole console war, and the second is HD-DVD will use Micorsofts own codec whereas Blu-ray will not.
      Wrong again. Both camps support 3 codecs: MPEG2, MPEG4/H.264 and VC1 which is based on MS's WM9.
    13. Re:It's painfully obvious... by shotfeel · · Score: 1

      The problem is all the 25 GB players you seel that won't play the newest releases in two years. Remember its going to take a few years for the prices of these players (wether HD DVD or BD) to get down to the $50 you can get a DVD player for. So how many people are going to spend several hundred dollars to buy a player that may not be useful in a couple years? I think I'd stick with my DVD player and get a 50 GB player when they're ready -which could seriously hurt the nascent market if a lot of people thought the same way.

    14. Re:It's painfully obvious... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sucks for them that the end product will likely not work with component or DVI (unless you're into downscaled content), if Microsoft and the MPAA, respectively, have any say in the matter. They'll have to dump their high-end-valueable-as-a-paperweight HDTV for a new HDTV, or the savvy will buy a converter box from overseas.

    15. Re:It's painfully obvious... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, you're wrong! Triple layer was left out of the HD-DVD spec, so there will be no triple layer 45 GB disks until "HD-DVD-V2" sometime in the future ...

      Anyhow BluRay-Disk has demo'ed 8 layer disks in their labs ...

    16. Re:It's painfully obvious... by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 1
      Anyhow BluRay-Disk has demo'ed 8 layer disks in their labs ...

      Yup, and the eight layer discs have a capacity of 200 GB. I guess TDK had demo'd it earlier this year at a tradeshow or something.

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
  7. Seems pretty reasonable by SysKoll · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Looks like a set of very down-to-Earth, well argumented reasons. Maybe, for once, this will be a decision that is not grounded in anti-competitive behavior?

    --

    --
    Mad science! Robots! Underwear! Cute girls! Full comic online! http://www.girlgeniusonline.com/

    1. Re:Seems pretty reasonable by kramer · · Score: 1

      Oh really?

      What do you think the chance is Microsoft will make an authorized port of BD-DVD reading software to linux? Will we have a De-CSS scenario all over again, only this time with something more secure than 40 bits of encryption protecting the content?

    2. Re:Seems pretty reasonable by bogie · · Score: 1

      "Maybe, for once, this will be a decision that is not grounded in anti-competitive behavior?"

      In reality its both. HD-DVD may very well be the sane choice, but that doesn't change the fact that time after time MS has proven that it only makes moves that are anti-competitive. This time both logic and their anti-competitive ideals just happen to be in alignment.

      --
      If you wanna get rich, you know that payback is a bitch
    3. Re:Seems pretty reasonable by SysKoll · · Score: 2, Insightful
      You are missing my point. I have no doubt that MS will attempt to reinforce its monopoly by any means, including in this technical arena. But the arguments presented against Blu-Ray are grounded in reasonable, cross-industry facts instead of the FUD we all came to expect from MS. That's what makes this MS message remarkable. I'd have expected MS to focus on the "Blu-Ray don't allow us to screw, er, protect consumers" aspects.

      As for the copy protection aspect, rest assured that no next-generation DVD will be able to reach the market until it's full of DRM and copy protection. The MPAA will see to that. If Blu-Ray emerges as a winner, it will be because it's been DRMed to the hilt. In that respect, I have no reason for hope.

      --

      --
      Mad science! Robots! Underwear! Cute girls! Full comic online! http://www.girlgeniusonline.com/

    4. Re:Seems pretty reasonable by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Unless Microsoft is just making this shit up, which I think they are. It's really weird that HD-DVD, when originally announced, only ever supported 15 GB discs. BluRay was announced from the get-go to handle 25 GB single layer discs and 50 GB dual layer discs. Within a short span of time after that, the HD-DVD crowd came crowing about their dual layer 30 GB solution.

      See a pattern here? HD-DVD has been trying to one-up BluRay for quite a while. Now it seems that, instead of playing catch-up, they're just going to pretend BluRay doesn't exist.

      I mean, I guess that's one way to try and beat your competitor. But something tells me it'll fail once the market sees what's what (read: forget all this back and forth about Microsoft and Sony; when you (don't) see 50 GB dual layer discs sitting on the shelf at Wal*Mart you'll know who was telling the truth and who wasn't).

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
    5. Re:Seems pretty reasonable by MMaestro · · Score: 1
      HD-DVDs have been around for a several years now, it was simply never used. DVDs are/were big enough for most things short of ultra-high defination plus surround sound 2+ hour movies not to mention all the deleted scenes and other features. Video games sure as hell don't need more than 10 gigs of space (the biggest PC game I've seen so far is UT2k4 with 7 CDs).

      If anything, its Sony trying to overhype their Blu-ray discs with promises with huge amounts of memory. 25 gigs? 50 gigs? Some games can fit their entire gaming library on one of those discs and still have space to spare. Most movies wouldn't even take up half the space on one of those discs even with all the special features (assume 5~15 gigs for the movie and another 5~10 for features. Total = 10~25 gigs.)

    6. Re:Seems pretty reasonable by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Look... "HD-DVDs have been around for several years now".. BluRay has been around as long or longer than HD-DVD, so I don't know where you got your information, but it's wrong. With regard to DVD's being big enough except "ultra-high definition plus surround sound 2+ hour movies", that's hogwash. You need only look at a movie like Pearl Harbor, which was split across two discs because it wouldn't fit on one. Same for Gone With The Wind. And those are regular 'ol standard definition movies. Long? Yes. But that's the problem with DVD. As an HDTV solution, DVD is stillborn.

      As far as movies on BluRay or HD-DVD. Again, you simply don't understand authoring then. NTSC DVD movies are 720x480 = 345,600 pixels. NTSC HDTV movies are 1920x1080 = 2,073,600. See the difference? What's more, at those high resolutions you'll want a higher then normal bitrate for the video to keep the quality up. Heck, for my money, I'd rather have a movie that had too much bitrate (BluRay) than too little (HD-DVD).

      With BluRay, disc authors can fit everything on one disc. They can put on all the commentaries they want, all the documentaries, and it won't span 2 or 3 or (God forbid) 4 discs. And as a per-layer capacity comparison goes, BluRay wins that hands down. It takes HD-DVD two layers (30 GB) to get just 5 GB over what BluRay can do in a single layer (25 GB). And Sony has tech demos of eight (8) layer BluRay discs that can hold 200 GB. I know, I know, "but what will they do with all that space?".. who cares! At least it's there so it can be used.

      Picking a limiting media (HD-DVD) just makes no sense to me. Why would you want to limit content creators? Why would you want to force content creators to sacrifice quality (bitrate) just to fit everything on a single HD-DVD? It's silly.

      Now if you wanna actually discuss how much space a movie can take, I can provide you some real numbers for real movies. I promise you tho, the capacity you get from BluRay really will go to good use. It's not a simple matter of movies just taking half a disc and the rest going to waste.

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
    7. Re:Seems pretty reasonable by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 1

      Actually, what the heck, here's another Slashdot posting from a few months ago where I run the numbers:

      http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=155929&cid=130 76530

      That's for Lord of the Ring: Return of the King Extended Edition. It won't fit on HD-DVD without sacrificing video quality. It will fit on BluRay at the optimum bitrate, but you won't get the extras (at least, not all of them) on the same disc. For single layer discs you'll get a better presentation on BluRay than HD-DVD (that's the difference between 25 GB and 15 GB).

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
    8. Re:Seems pretty reasonable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Beta is better than VHS. Seems pretty reasonable that the better product will triumph.

    9. Re:Seems pretty reasonable by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 1

      Sorry, I don't buy into the "history always repeats itself" argument. Sony won't make the same mistake twice, I'm certain.

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
  8. Typical /. stupidity by News+for+nerds · · Score: 4, Informative

    "or is Sony misrepresenting just how far along BD-ROM really is?"

    Blu-ray is NOT Sony. Sony is just one of them.

    1. Re:Typical /. stupidity by Jugalator · · Score: 1

      Stupidity?

      I thought it was referring to Sony representatives and their bold claims about the format they're backing.

      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
    2. Re:Typical /. stupidity by theantipop · · Score: 1

      It was, you are right. The parent is just your typical /. sensationalist/ karma whore.

    3. Re:Typical /. stupidity by Magnus+Reftel · · Score: 1
      Blu-ray is NOT Sony. Sony is just one of them.
      Yeah, they forgot Poland.
      --
      print "Yet another p{erl,ython} hacker\n",
    4. Re:Typical /. stupidity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anyone notice that both ati and nVidia are onboard?

    5. Re:Typical /. stupidity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's really unfortunate that most Slashdot readers are too clueless to get this joke.

    6. Re:Typical /. stupidity by wheany · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah, that's a really subtle joke.

  9. This fight just ends up being bad for us by aka_big_wurm · · Score: 1

    Witch will you buy? If you buy the wrong one you will have a bunch of disks that are not the "Standard" fromat. I am kinda pissed that I may have to go replace all my current DVD's if I want the HD version. So make your choice VHS or BetaMax.

    1. Re:This fight just ends up being bad for us by Trolling4Columbine · · Score: 1

      I imagine you also felt pretty jaded when The Man forced you to replace your casettes with CDs, and VHS tapes with DVDs.

      --
      Socialism: A feeling of discontent and resentment caused by a desire for the possessions or qualities of another.
    2. Re:This fight just ends up being bad for us by Seriman · · Score: 1

      [yoda]
      Not buy a witch will I.
      [/yoda]

    3. Re:This fight just ends up being bad for us by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I still regret firing my entire private theatre staff when the first television show aired.

    4. Re:This fight just ends up being bad for us by wed128 · · Score: 1

      Or wait it out and let's the idiots ride front...

    5. Re:This fight just ends up being bad for us by shotfeel · · Score: 1

      You don't have to replace anything. If the quality you get from your current DVDs is fine with you, stick with them. If you want better quality you have to buy something better.

      I haven't felt compelled to re-purchase all my VHS movies on DVD. Just like I haven't re-purchased all my LPs on CDs. I doubt very much I'll feel compelled to replace many of my current DVDs with HD. Ever.

  10. Microsoft follows the money /PS3 problems as well? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I'm not one to believe Microsoft too readily, but let's face it: MS follows the cash, and if MS thinks that there's more money to be made with HD DVD, maybe they are on to something? It's not like VC-1 isn't in both formats, so what is to gain by not backing Blu-ray?

    And, has anyone noticed all of this talk about the PS3 slipping to late fall 2006 for a launch?

  11. Typical of MS. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "HD DVD is proven to deliver 30GB capacity today, with the potential to deliver even greater capacity."

    Why, it's another 'de novo innovation!'

  12. Reminds me of something .... by ravee · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It is like old times. The technology with the best marketing team gets accepted as a standard. To heck with technological superiority and other crap. This is how windows became the defacto in the operating system arena. Even though there were better alternatives like OS/2 and MAC.

    --
    Linux Help
    for all things on Linux
    1. Re:Reminds me of something .... by gallondr00nk · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't say that Windows 1.0 to 3.11 had a particually big marketing budget. Multimedia was a tiny specks on the horizon, and Microsoft became successful because they put inexpensive software on inexpensive platforms (back then the PS/2 clone). Technical superiority isn't a big thing with consumers, if it was audio cassettes and vhs would never have taken off. Marketing has very little to do with it, people will always adopt the convienient solution regardless of whatever crap people try to sell them. Windows succeeded because it brought together home and business computing, tapes succeeded because they were recordable, and HD DVD will provail because of it's merits, not it's marketing budget. Well done MS i say.

    2. Re:Reminds me of something .... by KillShill · · Score: 1

      except that windows/ os/2 ran on any hardware and the mac only ran on apple hardware.

      that's a significant difference.

      it's a pity apple wants to lock up their OS.

      it may be profitable but it also means that it isn't a viable alternative to windows. it would have to run on the same hardware and as apple has shown, it'll never do that.

      (yes windows will run on apple hardware (ppc and x86) but osx will not run on non-apple x86 , legally or technically thanks to Insidious Computing and the DMCA)

      --
      Science : Proprietary , Knowledge : Open Source
  13. Of course!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you allready have HDTV you need HD-DVD!! This is very easy for average consumers..

  14. Given the history of Sony's formats by johansalk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I have to say, however much I may not like Microsoft's shenanigans, that given the history of Sony's formats, I would, without even needing to know the details, choose whatever solution other than theirs.

    1. Re:Given the history of Sony's formats by ImaNihilist · · Score: 2, Informative

      What history of Sony formats? Do you mean Betamax, Minidisc, MultiMedia Compact Disc, Sony Dynamic Digital Sound, Memory Stick, HiFD, ATRAC3, XM, SACD, and UMD?

      The most successful thing Sony ever did was XM, and now with ads it totally sucks balls. Just a matter of time until Sirius destroys it.

    2. Re:Given the history of Sony's formats by thejez · · Score: 1

      sat radio is just like cable tv... they start by telling you its worth the $$ because it's better picture (sound) and commercial free.... now look at cable tv... heck look at mtv specifically... do they even play music anymore?

    3. Re:Given the history of Sony's formats by Anonymous+Writer · · Score: 1

      The most successful thing Sony ever did was XM

      I believe Sony helped to establish the 3.5" floppy disk standard. That sounds like the most successful standard they brought about. They convinced Apple to use it for the Macintosh in 1984, which made it the successor to the 5.25" floppy.

    4. Re:Given the history of Sony's formats by Ankou · · Score: 1

      You forgot about the 3.5 inch floppy disk which we are still using.

    5. Re:Given the history of Sony's formats by GizmoToy · · Score: 1

      Correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't XM do away with commercials on the music channels about a year ago? I don't have commercials on any of the music channels I listen to. I think Sirius does the same thing.

    6. Re:Given the history of Sony's formats by ImaNihilist · · Score: 1

      The 3.5" FD was never, AFAIK, a Sony proprietary format.

    7. Re:Given the history of Sony's formats by Ankou · · Score: 1

      Well a bit of history on the 3.5 FD, here .

    8. Re:Given the history of Sony's formats by doctor_no · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Other than the 3.5" floppy disk, that other people mention, they are the pioneers of optical storage, with the collaboration of Phillips they introduced the CD-ROM. The popularity of the Audio cassette tape was also partly Sony's doing, while Phillips invented it, Sony convinced phillips to license it for free due to the popularity of the Walkman.

      So in reality they are responsible for two of the most ubiquitous formats around, and they did have a hand in the DVD as well (DVD was a compromise between the MMCD & Superdensity disk). In reality, Sony(along with Phillips), have produced the most prevalent formats around.

    9. Re:Given the history of Sony's formats by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Seems I remember that 3.5 were a high geek-factor add-on for the radio shack color computer, you had to install an alternative OS to use it, Flex Os if memory serves me correctly and it was capable of multi-tasking which was quite advanced for it's day. Using the Motorolla 6809 CPU, the CoCo pre-dated that Mac that used the motorola 68000, and had a sane memory map which the intel chips like the 8080, and later the 8088 and 8086 didn't.( intel mapped top down, where motorola mapped bottom up allowing memory upgrades without jumping over mapped boundries).

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    10. Re:Given the history of Sony's formats by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      Let's be fair here. Sony did come up with the 3.5" floppy disk, even though that was more evolution than innovation. But they also came up with the CD, and you have to admit that the CD has been pretty successful.

      But you're right in general. Whenever there's a problem domain that has a solution, but the solution isn't Sony, they'll make a new format. Why the hell did they introduct Memorystick when there were already flash cards in the market? Like 3 different types? Now there's like 7 different types. It's ridiculous.

      Some of their ideas are plain stupid, though, like SACD and ATRAC.

    11. Re:Given the history of Sony's formats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Just an honest question: the way i understood it, the CD-Rom was invented by Philips [one "l"] and introduced with the colloboration of Sony.
      The way you write it is the other way around. Or am i wrong?

  15. Re:Take that Sony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    >The only good thing to come out of Sony today are 20,000 dollar CRT tubes.

    The only good thing to come out of Microsoft... maybe this?

  16. VHS vs Beta revisited? by Tsu-na-mi · · Score: 4, Insightful

    VHS came out after Beta, BUT, VHS had a larger capacity than Beta. I think we all know how THAT turned out.

    What will push Blu-ray? Playstation 3. Microsoft's support of the other team should come as no surprise, but in the end I expect they will support it.

    --
    I've built up so much character I have an alter-ego
    1. Re:VHS vs Beta revisited? by Jarlsberg · · Score: 1

      OMFG, I'm so bloody sick of the comparison to BETA/VHS whenever there's a battle for two competetive standards. Holy f**king crap, stop with the BETA/VHS comparisons.

      You *can't* predict the future by looking at the past. Whatever happened in the BETA/VHS debacle is of no consequence to what happens with Blu-Ray/HD-DVD. You can look back and see the reasons for this and that, but that doesn't mean the reasoning will apply today.

      Ok, so VHS had larger capacity than Beta and came along a bit later. Evidently, since Blu-Ray will have larger capacity and comes a bit later than HD-DVD, it will win, right? Right?

      Wait, wasn't VHS cheaper than Beta? Oh, and wasn't it easier to copy stuff onto VHS than Beta? Both of these are important reasons VHS prevailed, and both of these apply to HD-DVD. Folks. We have a tie. Neither format will win.

    2. Re:VHS vs Beta revisited? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      5, Insightful??

      Size had virtually nothing to do with that.
      (Wow.. sorry.. flashback for a second...)

      Anyway... Beta lost because Sony wanted to control (more money) it. Everyone could cheaply make VHS.

      An L-750 can store 270 minutes of video. More than enough for consumers.

      It had nothing to do with size..
      (There's that memory again..)

      desiv

    3. Re:VHS vs Beta revisited? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      er didn't betamax have better quality than vhs? and you needed a license to record of the tv or something with betamax while vhs just let you?

  17. Typical /. wang-swinging and pedantry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Blu-Ray isn't Sony, but you're kidding yourself if you think that Sony isn't the dominant player in the format. Blu-Ray would never exist without Sony's involvement, and they're basically the only company championing the format.

    1. Re:Typical /. wang-swinging and pedantry by News+for+nerds · · Score: 2

      "they're basically the only company championing the format."

      Sorry pup, you'd better search before posting. Matsushita is the world's no. 1 consumer electronics company and the biggest supporter of Blu-ray. Likewise, Dell is the world's no. 1 PC manufacturer.

  18. The only criteria.. by JustNiz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    is how much DRM each technology uses.

    Blu-ray lost my vote when they decided to build in functionality to allow the movie industry to actually disable your player if they chose. To restore your disabled player you would have to send it in for 'repair'.

    1. Re:The only criteria.. by cplusplus · · Score: 1

      That's the reason they lost my vote, too. I wonder why this isn't a bigger issue in this discussion? Somebody mod the parent up!

      --
      "False hope is why we'll never run out of natural resources!" - Lewis Black
    2. Re:The only criteria.. by endoplasmicMessenger · · Score: 1
      Blu-ray lost my vote when they decided to build in functionality to allow the movie industry to actually disable your player if they chose.

      Hmm, I have a hard time imagining that this would play out successfully for the manufacturers. Once the (cr|h)ackers start getting to work to disable the DRM and "breaking" all the players, there would be a public outcry if suddenly 90% of the players on the market stopped working.

      I think it would actually be a big mistake for them to actually play this card. But I suppose they could be stupid enought to do it.

      As for me, I'm not buying anything with DRM attached, thank you very much.

      --
      Evolution is a fact. Darwinism is a joke.
    3. Re:The only criteria.. by xornor · · Score: 1

      What vote? I wasn't invited to this election!

    4. Re:The only criteria.. by cplusplus · · Score: 1

      Sure you were... in a free market economy you vote with your hard earned money!

      --
      "False hope is why we'll never run out of natural resources!" - Lewis Black
  19. Before the Slashdotting of Ars.Technica... by HerculesMO · · Score: 0, Redundant

    The articles:

    Inside Microsoft's decision to back HD DVD

    By Ken "Caesar" Fisher

    Wednesday, September 28, 2005

    Few were surprised when Microsoft (along with Intel) announced that they would back HD DVD over Blu-ray. While Microsoft's stance on the next-generation of optical storage media was officially neutral, their close working relationship with Toshiba led us to suspect that HD DVD would get the nod. The interesting question is, why?

    It has been said that Microsoft simply wouldn't back something put out by Sony, but that argument doesn't have traction. First, Microsoft's VC-1 video codec is supported by both Blu-ray and HD DVD; there's no strategic edge there to speak of. Additionally, over-emphasizing the competition between the PlayStation and the Xbox ignores the fact that Sony and Microsoft have a substantial working relationship. Witness Sony's line of Vaio computers, as well as Sony's Microsoft-DRM-backed music store.

    The decision to back HD DVD stems not from a dislike of Sony, but from the assessment of the maturity and consumer-friendliness of HD DVD. No, seriously.
    Managed Copy: what is it, and what it isn't

    First, a little Realpolitik. We all know about CSS, the encryption scheme used to "protect" DVDs from unauthorized copying. It was cracked (famously), and both Blu-ray and HD DVD are designed to be much, much harder to circumvent. While calling anything crack-proof is pretty foolish, phenomena such as the iTunes Music Store demonstrate quite clearly that many people are comfortable with DRM if it allows for some flexibility. That is, DRM isn't going anywhere, and even the most pointy-haired geek should see that.

    Making copies of a DVD is technically illegal in the United States, because circumventing access controls is forbidden by the US Code, except in rare instances. The problem with this, of course, is that it violates our Fair Use rights as citizens, and it punishes those of us who abide by the rules, while the real pirates (organized crime) go on largely unabated.

    Microsoft, among others, wants to see this changed.

    Currently, HD DVD is the only next-gen format to provide for the ability to legally make copies of optical content. Dubbed "Managed Copy," HD DVD implements part of the AACS control mechanism to allow for things such as putting digital copies of a disc on a hard drive, transferring a movie (legally) to a portable player, or streaming content on a home network. Furthermore, HD DVD makes Managed Copy mandatory: all content provided on HD DVD must give users the option of making at least one copy. Jordi Ribas, director of technical strategy for the Windows Digital Media Division, told me that while the feature is mandatory, the studios will have the option of charging for it. Ribas hopes that studios will allow at least a single copy "for free," but it may be market conditions that ultimately determine the cost of such features. The take-away, at least, is that studios have to offer something, and AACS is structured in such a way that the studios can tap into it to offer users more options.

    Furthermore, because Managed Copy is part of the AACS specification, this isn't a feature exclusive to Microsoft or Intel solutions. While both companies believe that their respective products (Media Center Edition, and Viiv, respectively) will shine in a world were Managed Copy is available, AACS defines a set of requirements that technically any company could aspire to, be it Apple, Motorola, or another player in the game.

    What about Blu-ray? Currently, Blu-ray has announced no such mandatory support. There are also plenty of questions about whether or not Blu-ray will entertain this option. The Blu-ray Disc Association so far has adopted AACS conditionally; it is still subject to review. Furthermore, Blu-ray to date has adopted content protections above and beyond AACS, adding BD+ and ROM-Mark to their arsenal. Such added protections appear to be part of an appeasement plan: the studios want more than AACS pr

    --
    The price is always right if someone else is paying.
  20. One format, please by rbf2000 · · Score: 3, Interesting
    To be perfectly honest, it doesn't matter which format wins. I was personally leaning towards blu-ray, but the formats are similar enough that one can replace the other. Many people compare this to VHS and Betamax. I think it's different. I think it will be more like the current recordable DVD fiasco that's going on now. Consumers don't know what the difference between DVD-R, DVD+R, DVD-RAM, etc. This confusion hurts the entire industry because consumers don't know what is going on.

    I wish the talks between the two had not broken down because I don't see this ending easily. Sony will put it in their PS3 which will tremondously help out the format, just like the PS2 did for DVDs. But of course the "official" format will not die easily, and now that they have the support of microsoft and intel, it will make it even more difficult for one format to just quietly leave the game.

    1. Re:One format, please by Chowser · · Score: 1

      The recordable DVD format wars really ended up without too much of a problem, however. DVD multiformat drives exist, my DVD burner can record DVD-R, DVD+R, DVD+/-RW and so on. The outlier is DVD-RAM and much fewer people use that. Blu-ray and HD-DVD are incompatible and much less likely to see players that support both systems, as were VHS and Betamax.

      --
      sig here
    2. Re:One format, please by RoboRay · · Score: 1

      I also couldn't care less which format wins, as long as one of them does, and quickly. I don't expect that to happen, though. Both sides are ignoring something very very basic...

      They are absolutely dependent on the "early adopters" to buy into the new HD players when they appear and get the transition started. And yet, those early adopters are the exact same people they are telling to "bend over and take it in the ass." Early adopters bought their HDTVs years ago. They didn't have DVI or HDMI connectors then. Early adopter's HDTVs are equipped only with analog component inputs for HD resolutions. Guess what neither the HD-DVD or the Blu Ray camps are offering? Component outputs, of course. HD resolutions will only be offered over digital DVI/HDMI.

      It even gets worse... HDCP will be required. Early (most) DVI-capable HDTVs don't support HDCP. So, essentially ALL of the early adopters are being told to replace the HDTVs they just bought a couple of years ago with new ones that aren't any better than the not-quite-so-new ones (I hesitate to use the word "old" to describe any HDTV) except for having a digital input.

      Not many early adopters appreciate that attitude on the part of the studios and electronics companies. I know I don't. Many home-theater enthusiests, the very target of these HD formats, are crying fowl. Why would they bother buying a HD player that won't output HD to the HDTV they just bought a couple of years ago? Why would they replace a HDTV that cost thousands of dollars (and is now worth very little because the HD players aren't offering component outputs) that is only a couple of years old when the newer one IS NOT ANY BETTER than the "old" one? If they're going to have to watch analog SD video anyway, they might as well just stick with regular DVD. The results will be the same image quality.

      Neither format is going to have anything remotely like the explosive growth of SD DVD. Sony and Toshiba have managed to royally piss off the very people they are relying on the most for success. A lot of home-theater enthusiests will be sitting on the sideline, watching both teams flounder.

    3. Re:One format, please by dioscaido · · Score: 1

      I wonder how much 'Blue-Ray in PS3' will really help the format, though... The PSP is selling like crazy, and sony is pushing a lot of its movies in their PSP disk format, but you don't really see that building any kind of inertia for the format to be adopted by anyone else. In fact, Sony seems to have a pretty long history of using their own standards, and not seeing a huge amount of adoption outside of their circles (i.e. MiniDisk, Memory Stick, etc...).

  21. As long as I can Still... by tjhorne · · Score: 0

    As long as I can still use DVD Decryptor and DVD Shrink on these discs I don't really care. I don't think the market is ready for a new format, I mean how long was VHS out before DVD became available? I've built up a solid collection of DVD's and I don't plan on buying them over again (I mean renting from Netflix and copying them). Should be interesting how this pans out...

  22. Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by ValuJet · · Score: 4, Interesting
    The only reason MS will back the HD DVD is because sony is using blu-ray in the PS3. They want that machine to become as obsolete as soon as possible. It scares MS to death that people will want a blu-ray DVD player because that is a HUGE valueadd to the PS3.

    It becomes a lot easier to stomach a 500+ dollar game purchase when it will also play blu-ray dvds aswell, because people will want to watch the better quaility pictures.

    It isn't that difficult to figure out why MS hates blu-ray and that is because their XBOX360 (which is really unimpressive) is still stuck on regular DVDs. If you have to buy an XBOX360 (400) + nextgen dvd player (200-300, maybe more) vs buying a ps3 (500, price is a guess, but I can't see it costing more than that. If it does its dead before it ships) people are SAVING money by buying the ps3.

    well, not really but you can spin it that way.

    1. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by hkb · · Score: 1

      Yes, because the reasons MS cited (cost and expectations) are completely laughable and bogus.

      --
      /* Moderating all non-anonymous trolls up since 2004 */
    2. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by evol262 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Fanboy alert!



      Ok, let's look at this objectively (that might be hard for you). TFA says they're backing HD-DVD because it's producable NOW. Blu-Ray is really expensive and they haven't hit the expected storage. Both Blu-Ray and HD-DVD will play HD content fine. Difference is in DRM and backwards compatiblity. Considering the bitrate at 1080 is 25 Mbs, it allows for 20 HOURS of content on a 30GB HD-DVD producable TODAY. Even with special features/audio/whatever, there's more than enough space there. I fail to see an advantage of Blu-Ray over HD-DVD considering the restrictions on it.



      Content will not "look better" on Blu-Ray than HD-DVD. It'll look the same.



      XBox360 will be $300 bare. It will also be a nextgen DVD player (as HD-DVD is also nextgen). They're saving nothing on buying the $500 wannabe PC replacement. All the things Sony wants it to do (word processing/whatever) have been tried before, and they failed. They'll fail again. People won't be able to get their documents off to print them/whatever. That's a whole different rant.



      Not sure if you're a Sony fanboy or an MS hater. Either way you've not considered it very well.

      --
      "The more corrupt a society, the more numerous are its laws." -Tacticus
    3. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by salemlb · · Score: 1

      The XBox 360 will be HD-DVD?

      Since when? I thought one big gripe was that MS left it at DVD, with the promise of maybe one day upgrading it to HD-DVD.

      I think the GP has a fair argument. If XBOX360 = DVD and PS3 = (better than DVD) and Sony makes sure that movies will be available in the (better than DVD) format (which is cake for them), then PS3 gets a big marketing boost over the XBOX360.

    4. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As its been said on here before, its only a huge value add if there is a demand for blu-ray disks. When the PS2 came out, the DVD was very popular, and the players weren't super cheap, so it was a value add. At this time, it doesn't appear that there are going to be many if any Blu-Ray movies out when the PS3 launches, meaning the Blu-Ray feature is essentially worthless; just another "feature" Sony can add to the box. And as for people wanting to watch better quality movies, I think you'll find that for most people, DVD's are "good enough". Heck, most people don't even have HDTVs to take advantage of a higher resolution picture.

    5. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First-gen XBox 360's will have a regular DVD drive in them, so they won't be nextgen DVD players. Perhaps it will be possible to do an upgrade, however that is at least spending extra cash and more hassle. Later models of the XBox 360 will have a HD-DVD drive in them. So here the PS3 does have an initial advantage at least if Blu-Ray is successful.

    6. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by salemlb · · Score: 1

      If Sony wants Blu-Ray movies.. Sony will get Blu-Ray movies.

      Sony is big in the movie industry.
      Sony brought a ton of movies to UMD.
      Sony has other movie companies on board the Blu-Ray consortium.

      Why would Sony not be able to have lots of Blu-Ray (and Blu-Ray only) releases available for the PS3 release? They control how their movies are encoded and on what... if they wanted to release Spiderman 2 on floppies, they could do it.

    7. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by evol262 · · Score: 1

      Current speculation is that the 360 will be HD-DVD before the PS3 is released. That screws over the early adopters, but still beats Sony to market. In any case, it'll be HD-DVD in less than a year.

      What the OP's post looked like to me was that Blu-Ray is better than HD-DVD (qualitywise) because Sony is making it, basically. If it's anything like DVD Consortium vs. DVD Alliance, I don't expect to see Sony push a lot of the manufacturers into Blu-Ray. Maybe HD-DVD and Blu-Ray, but not much will be Blu-Ray exclusive.

      --
      "The more corrupt a society, the more numerous are its laws." -Tacticus
    8. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by ValuJet · · Score: 1
      I honestly don't see a lot of people rushing out to buy a HD DVD player do you? With nothing out there it will take time for either new format to pick up market share. Blu-ray will have a _HUGE_ advantage in that market with the install base of PS3s.

      I don't think people will jump to go and buy the nextgen DVDs or DVD players. I don't see a huge consumer advantage. Especially when HD tvs are still so expensive and their installbase is still small.

      So knowing that when the HD tvs drop in price a bit more and there is a decent media library that takes advantage of nextgen dvd quality, there will be a huge installbase of blu-ray dvd players which is the ps3 market.

      I'm not sure where you heard that the xbox360 will have a nextgen dvd player but that is wrong. The 300 dollar pricetag version is a marketing ploy and nothing more. Most people will be forced into buying the 400 version because it is a lot cheaper in the longrun.

      Yes the HD DVDs are ready now, but they don't have the future installbase of the PS3 customers. It is a lot easier for me to justify a 500 ps3 purchase knowing it can also play nextgen dvds, than a 400 dollar xbox360 purchase that is just a console.

      Call me a fanboi or whatever, that doesn't bother me. But I have really thought this through. blu-ray disks are ready, just not the 50 gig version. If that takes a year or two to come out, that isn't a huge deal, what is a big deal is the potential to get there, AND their future preinstalled base of consumers.

    9. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by ValuJet · · Score: 1
      Current speculation is that the 360 will be HD-DVD before the PS3 is released. That screws over the early adopters, but still beats Sony to market. In any case, it'll be HD-DVD in less than a year.

      To me this is another reason to not get an xbox360. Why on earth would you release a console, then release another console a year later which accepts different media? All the sudden game producers have to produce 2 versions of games, HD DVDs and regular DVD versions. This will also destroy consumer loyalty. Nobody would be happy with buying a machine then get bent over again and have to puchase a 2nd version with a HD DVD player.

      People are PISSED about the HD and no HD versions of the xbox360 (rightfully so) they will get irate when a 3rd version is released that has a HD DVD player. Honestly, i'm not excited at all about the xbox360. I haven't seen one new or innovative thing with it. Just prettier versions of the same games. Doing this will cause so much fragmentation in the xbox360 market that it might as well become a PC.

    10. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Considering the bitrate at 1080 is 25 Mbs

      When the HD-DVD spec was first announced, it called for a data read rate that was just barely enough to playback 1080i audio/video. They've since upped it to 36Mbps to tie blu-ray's original specs, giving enough bandwidth to multiplex in a couple of alternate audio streams, or maybe a well-compressed alternate video stream.

    11. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by JBHarris · · Score: 1

      WTF?

      It doesn't matter what kind of disk the PS3 uses. It is a gaming console.

      if the PS3 doesn't support DVD (regular) then consumers will probably see it as less valuable. On the same token, if it doesn't extend its 'movie player' capabilities to HD-DVD, then they will have to get a 'hybrid' player anyway, to play all of their old movies.

    12. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by evol262 · · Score: 1

      By that logic, they already have to produce 2 versions of games. How do you expect the cross-platform titles to go there? Rev won't be Blu-Ray or HD-DVD. 360 will be HD later. They're not gonna make a ton of content just for PS3 (except for maybe the PS3 exclusives). Not to mention the burden of trying to keep 7 SPEs busy so it performs better than an Epia.

      You really think people are justified about being pissed about the no HD version? Were people pissed about the PS2 HD not being sold here for more than a few months? Not really. 99% of consumers aren't going to use the hard drive for anything, it's only developers who don't like knowing whether or not they can use one for caching. Consumers know a hard drive is good, but I don't think they know what's it used for. If they did, they wouldn't care, and they probably don't care as is (I don't think you or I are representative of the general populace).

      I'd also say that I haven't seen anything new or exciting about the PS3. Blu-Ray. Whee. If I want an HD player, I'll buy one, and preferably one that plays Blu-Ray AND HD-DVD. The new consoles are, IMO, a bust. I'll get a Rev so I can play Super Metroid, Contra, and the other oldies. I don't expect to get a PS3 or a 360 until price goes WAY down. This is from somebody that bought a PS2, XBox, and GC all at release. I just don't see anything to get excited about.

      The 360 market, much like the PS3 market, will primarily be 15 year olds whose parents get them one. They want to play GTAHaloMGS25-r11 with Tekken's fighting system. I expect that 360 to play on the "cool image" to get sales. And it will. I don't expect to see the lack of an HD-DVD drive fragment the market, since most of the kids won't have HDTVs anyway, or any use for anything that's larger than a DVD.

      --
      "The more corrupt a society, the more numerous are its laws." -Tacticus
    13. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by bgoody · · Score: 1

      disclaimer: I'm shamelessly rooting for the XBox and despise Sony products A future release of the XBox360 will have a hd-dvd player to counter the PS3 blue-ray. What I can't figure out is what took them so long to move on this. Blue-ray is a massive gamble on Sony's part. If it becomes the standard, sales of PS3s will go through the roof and the XBox will fade to obscurity. Why Microsoft didn't buddy-up with Toshiba earlier is beyond me since the whole console gaming market is at stake. And now that people know there will be a bigger better XBox360 coming out nextgen, initial sales are going to suffer unless they can make the hd-dvd an upgrade feature but I haven't heard anything about it being a modular component.

    14. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by evol262 · · Score: 1

      While that may be true, HD-DVD will ALSO have a HUGE market with the 360. The sales of the XBox weren't that far below the PS2, and the 360 should narrow that gap by a fair margin, if they don't surpass Sony's sales entirely.

      I don't think people will go to buy the nextgen DVDs or DVDs players either. I don't see a consumer advantage given the current bitrate (and the HD crap is garbage. Even at 36MB/s (Blu-Ray's original spec), you can fit 3.96 hours of 1080 HD content and a dual-layer DVD. I don't see a reason to upgrade even if you DO have an HDTV, other than lockout from the vendors.

      I don't really see how the $400 is cheaper in the long run. It has a shortstroked 20GB hard drive that won't be used for anything (if I wanted music, I'd turn on my HTPC or my stereo, thanks). It has a wireless controller that'll cost $20. The XBox live features are pretty much the same, except you have to pay a subscription instead of it being free for the first year. I don't play Live! anyway.

      Again, no they don't. They have the future installbase of 360 customers. I'm glad it helps you justify, but consider what I said about nextgen DVDs not offering significantly more content than a standard DVD -could-. Also, the HD-DVD is just as much nextgen as Blu-Ray.

      I can see you've thought it through from one perspective. Try considering from others. Blu-Ray is ready, but so is HD-DVD. Considering manufacturing costs and whatnot, HD-DVD will probably be cheaper. Cheaper wins. Even if it's not, it'll probably end up being like the DVD +/- fiasco, and you'll end up having to get a player that will do both, since half the vendors will release on Blu-Ray and half on HD-DVD. So the Blu-Ray in the PS3 likely won't help you there anyway.

      --
      "The more corrupt a society, the more numerous are its laws." -Tacticus
    15. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The only reason MS will back the HD DVD is because sony is using blu-ray in the PS3."

      A littel bit narrowminded, I cant figure out how some people can be so obsessed with gaming that they start to believe its the only media standard that matters. Its just an F'n videogame system, believe it or not most people dont even own a PS2 so why the hell would that really have all that much impact.

    16. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by angle_slam · · Score: 1

      What he means is that if PS3 supports BluRay AND can play BluRay movies, you only have to buy a PS3. (Agreed that PS3 has to support DVD also). In comparison, if you buy an XBox 360, you'll have to buy a separate player for HD movies.

    17. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by bgoody · · Score: 1

      But who cares if you can fit a HD movie on a dual layer dvd? there will never be any hd content released for regular dvd players because they don't have the uptake bitrate to play it back right? If we want HD on a DVD, we are going to need to choose from blue-ray or hd-dvd. FYI, last I heard PS2 had triple the installed base market share of XBox and over 95% in foreign markets so to say that XBox sales weren't that far below PS2 is a fallacy.

    18. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by yellowjacket03 · · Score: 1

      $400 is cheaper in the long run because if you're buying the $300 version now to save money and plan on adding the hard drive and wireless controller later, you are going to expend $300 for the console, $100 for the hard drive, and $50 for the wireless controller.

    19. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by vertinox · · Score: 1

      It scares MS to death that people will want a blu-ray DVD player because that is a HUGE valueadd to the PS3.

      A long time ago I was thinking about buying a DVD player my room mate happened to get a PS2. He left it plugged up to the TV so when I found out that it played DVDs I saved the money and just used his PS2. If the PS3 plays Blu-Ray discs and my current room mate happens to have one, then I'll prolly buy into Blu-Ray movies instead of buying a HD-DVD or Blu-Ray player.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    20. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by KillShill · · Score: 1

      and in exactly what way is the 360 unimpressive from a technical point of view?

      the only drawback that i can see is using regular dvds instead of next gen discs.

      in every other way, it equals the ps3 or surpasses it.

      --
      Science : Proprietary , Knowledge : Open Source
    21. Re:Only reason MS is backing HD DVD by king-manic · · Score: 1


      A few factual corrections:
      Bolded sentences are my addition

      Fanboy alert!

      Ok, let's look at this objectively (that might be hard for you). TFA

      TFA only states that is what a microsoft rep says, the blu-ray people countered that by claimign it's all FUD. We wont' actually know until either HD DVD or blu ray products come out. So far it's all unsubstaitated hype/FUD
      says they're backing HD-DVD because it's producable NOW. Blu-Ray is really expensive and they haven't hit the expected storage.

      This is actually untrue, the blu-ray discs have had prototypes up to 100 gigs with workign models in the 30 - 50 gig range. What the microsoft people actually claim is that blu-ray doesn't yet have a manufacturing proccess for making the discs cheap yet. This is actually true, however HD DVD's have the same issue. Comercial products won't be out for it until febuary.
      Both Blu-Ray and HD-DVD will play HD content fine. Difference is in DRM and backwards compatiblity.
      DRM exsists in both
      Considering the bitrate at 1080 is 25 Mbs, it allows for 20 HOURS of content on a 30GB HD-DVD producable TODAY.
      You mean febuary 2006.
      Even with special features/audio/whatever, there's more than enough space there. I fail to see an advantage of Blu-Ray over HD-DVD considering the restrictions on it.
      Not mentioned in the articles but there are many atvantages mainly due to the "hackish" nature of the HD DVD format compared the the blu ray format. The jury is still out though, since neither product exsist for comercial consumption yet. Take the MS PR with a grain of salt

      Content will not "look better" on Blu-Ray than HD-DVD. It'll look the same.

      Likely yes. It's going to be the volume of content that differes. 80 gigs vs 50 gigs is substantial.

      XBox360 will be $300 bare. It will also be a nextgen DVD player (as HD-DVD is also nextgen).
      ? the bare addition is a plain old DVD player, HD-DVD will be in the next expanded version. The deluxe version has an HD but still onyl a DVD drive. Microsoft has not yet commited to including a HD DVD in any of the xbox products. It may not do so until febuary 2006. It will likly be a deluxe product. The bare and deluxe versions are both DVD machines.
      They're saving nothing on buying the $500 wannabe PC replacement. All the things Sony wants it to do (word processing/whatever) have been tried before, and they failed. They'll fail again. People won't be able to get their documents off to print them/whatever. That's a whole different rant.

      err.. isn't that what the xbox is? a PC replacement candidate? The big issue is that MS must fight the sony hype or else the expectations of how good the PS3 will be will drown the xbox 360 like it did the dreamcast. From some points of view the dreamcast was a better machine but still got eaten alive by the PS2. MS is doign a PR trick to blunt the effective selling power of one of the features of the PS3 (the blu-ray reader). However the splitting of their product (core and deluxe) is generally regaurded as a bad idea and the further fragmentation HD DVd would introduce would be the same mistakes sega made with the segacd and 32x.

      Not sure if you're a Sony fanboy or an MS hater. Either way you've not considered it very well.


      Given the fatcual problems in your article I'd say your a XBOX fanboy for sure. I am pretty neutral. The PS3 isn't going to be some unholy CG rendering machine but neither is it going to be a flop. Sony has taken a few risks but less so then Microsoft has. the tiered product line and the explicit lack of a HD DVD/Blu-ray drive in their first product line will mean no one will buy one until it does except earlier adopters. But if you shaft them by making only a few DVD games or shafting early adopters of the HD DVD version by making only a few HD

      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
  23. What a surprise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Wow! A proprietary Sony format isn't being widley adopted? I'm shocked!

    1. Re:What a surprise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not proprietary. Ever heard of the BDA? Also, it was started by Sony, Phillips, and Toshiba. Furthermore, it is being widely adopted, but perhaps you meant to say universally adopted instead. So far the industry support is about split in half. Just look at the more than 100 BDA members. You should try doing some research before posting about something you don't know about seeing how many things you got wrong.

  24. not likely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's the porn industry that's going to decide, remember? Who cares what the industry people think...

    The ability to view porn in more private circumstances was hugely transformative for the average joe. So the availability of porn made a major difference for videotape buying decisions.

    The internet was another dramatic transformation. Not only was human contact at point-of-purchase no longer necessary, but also tiny slices of the market (some rather bizarre) could be specifically targeted and exploited by porn merchants.

    But it's hard to imagine Blu-Ray/HD-DVD having any such effect on the porn market. In fact, to really take advantage of better resolution, etc. would probably require production budgets that porn makers just don't have.

    No, the main beneficiaries of this in terms of product are the movie studios. Second and third are video games and TV (not necessarily in that order). Between them, they are the important players in determining the succeeding format.

    1. Re:not likely by iamhassi · · Score: 1
      "In fact, to really take advantage of better resolution, etc. would probably require production budgets that porn makers just don't have."

      what about more content? For example, buy one dvd for $29.99, or get 5 on one disc for $99.95.

      Think that'd be pretty popular.

      --
      my karma will be here long after I'm gone
  25. 30 GB or 15 GB? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    As a formor Laserdisc owner double sided discs suck. HD-DVD discs support 15 GB on a single side and that is all that matters.

    1. Re:30 GB or 15 GB? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is this interesting? the AC is referring to double sided disks, not double layer?

    2. Re:30 GB or 15 GB? by bullitB · · Score: 2, Informative

      No...it supports 15GB on a single layer. You can have two layers per side, just like a normal DVD. There's even been talk of triple-layer HD DVDs...

    3. Re:30 GB or 15 GB? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      who moded this shit up, this guy is a retarded asshat, no wonder he was stupid enough to buy a laserdisk.

      I mean seriously none of these disks are 'flip disks' that they are talking about, not the HD-DVD, not the blue ray's none of them. WTF is wrong with stupid people.

    4. Re:30 GB or 15 GB? by Physician · · Score: 0

      It's 30 GB on 2 LAYERS, not 2 SIDES. Most/Many DVD's are dual layered.

      --
      Does God treat us as servants or friends? Check my homepage.
  26. HD-DVD is now delayed to near blu-ray launch by elwinc · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Parent says "HD-DVD is already here."

    Unfortunately, according to this article ,

    Toshiba yesterday confirmed its next-generation optical disc format, HD DVD, will not launch in the US until "February or March". The technology had previously been expected to hit the market before the end of this year.
    According to this the delay is not for technical reasons: "The consortium behind the disc wants to avoid repeating 1997's slow launch of the DVD, for which only a few titles were initially available."

    On the other hand, in 1997 there wasn't a competing DVD format breathing down anyone's neck.

    --
    --- Often in error; never in doubt!
    1. Re:HD-DVD is now delayed to near blu-ray launch by brokenarmsgordon · · Score: 3, Informative

      It was called DivX. We just don't remember it because it died quickly. The same thing happened to Betamax and the same thing will happen to one of these new formats. I don't know which one it will be, but I can say with certainty that if Toshiba had any marketing brains whatsoever they could very, very easily crush Bluray, by trading on cost, backward compatability (players), and name.

    2. Re:HD-DVD is now delayed to near blu-ray launch by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > On the other hand, in 1997 there wasn't a competing DVD format breathing down anyone's neck.

      There was a similar standards fist-fight right before DVD was launched. IIRC, one group wanted a cheaper CD-like disk, while Sony etc wanted the higher capacity disk that won the day.

      This fight wasn't well documented on the Internet, but go read backissues of "Widescreen Review" and other home theater mags.

    3. Re:HD-DVD is now delayed to near blu-ray launch by elwinc · · Score: 1

      thanx for the pointer!

      --
      --- Often in error; never in doubt!
    4. Re:HD-DVD is now delayed to near blu-ray launch by shotfeel · · Score: 1

      DivX may have competed with mpeg2 for encoding video on DVDs, but it didn't compete with the DVD spec itself. That's different than VHS vs. Betamax or HD DVD vs. BD. Its much easier to add the software (or hardware) decoders to support a different or mutliple encoding formats than it is to create or alter a Betamax player to also support VHS, or an HD DVD player to support BD (which may be possible).

    5. Re:HD-DVD is now delayed to near blu-ray launch by Carewolf · · Score: 2, Informative

      DivX wasn't not a video-encoding back then. It was a play-once-only DVD format. It died and was parodied by the hacked MPEG4 "DivX ;)" video-format.

    6. Re:HD-DVD is now delayed to near blu-ray launch by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      Circuit City's DivX actually came about a year or two after the initial DVD players came to market. It last only like six months, as I recall.

    7. Re:HD-DVD is now delayed to near blu-ray launch by crazed · · Score: 1
  27. Success will be determined by... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Which one can record the whole of Superbowl in HDTV.

  28. Re:Take that Sony by OverlordQ · · Score: 1

    And I thought the editors had bad spelling . . . *looks at UID* . . . maybe there was some evil Low-ID-Spelling-Disease outbreak . . . .

    --
    Your hair look like poop, Bob! - Wanker.
  29. Re:Take that Sony by Mark+Bainter · · Score: 0, Offtopic
    Microsoft is the bad guys, but microsoft pails in comparison to the "bad corporate netizen" that the soney behemouth is and has become.
    ...
    Sony's products are cheap, break, lousy construction and the most properietary of anything i've ever seen. This comes from everything in PDA's to car stereo's and home theaters.
    ...
    PS2 was a hype, PS3 no don't will be..cheap receivers that never meat rates wattage

    How did this get modded up to +3 interesting? It's not even readable!

    Good grief man, take an english class! How do you expect people to take your argument seriously when you can barely even communicate it?

    --
    "No nation could preserve its freedom in the midst of continual warfare."
    --James Madison
  30. Playstation 3... by MosesJones · · Score: 5, Interesting


    So 50GB is miles off, of course it is because we all know that HD-DVD is so real and there are so many devices whereas Blu-ray will only be shipping in potentially the biggest selling console of 2006.

    Microsoft do XBox 360, Sony do PS3, XBox 360 hasn't gone for either HD-DVD or Blu-ray. If HD-DVD was so real why didn't they pick it for XBox 360?

    Its amazing how this talk of reality of Blu-ray (which I've actually seen demo'ed) over HD-DVD tends to ignore the fact that only one company (Sony) is producing a mass market player in 2006.

    If PS3 wins, then Blu-ray will have significant volume in 2006 which will drive down costs and mean larger capacity disks arrive much earlier.

    "Grand Theft Auto - Whole of the damned Continenal United States" anyone?

    --
    An Eye for an Eye will make the whole world blind - Gandhi
    1. Re:Playstation 3... by no+reason+to+be+here · · Score: 2, Interesting

      yes, because Sony has never overpromised and underdelivered on a game console before.

    2. Re:Playstation 3... by jpickett · · Score: 1

      If HD-DVD was so real why didn't they pick it for XBox 360?

      They might be trying to avoid losing an additional $4 billion on this next console.

    3. Re:Playstation 3... by Ced_Ex · · Score: 1

      "Grand Theft Auto - Whole of the damned Continenal United States" anyone?

      Interesting concept, but I would hate the mission where I would need to deliver a package from NY to LA. How long is that drive?

      --
      Live forever, or die trying.
    4. Re:Playstation 3... by earnest+murderer · · Score: 1
      "Grand Theft Auto - Whole of the damned Continenal United States" anyone?

      I know I'm picking nits here... but.

      The GTA franchise is a cross platform product which means that the PS3 could have all the capacity/capability in the world but because it has to run on the XBox and Revolution as well it will not see much enhancement beyond the feature sets available on all of the consoles.

      This is one of the points Nintendo is talking about when they say cross platform titles are bad for the industry.

      BTW... Microsoft has said that there will be no games published in the new format. Ever. Because the first generation XBox360 will be shipping with a plain jane DVD drive.

      --
      Platform advocacy is like choosing a favorite severely developmentally disabled child.
    5. Re:Playstation 3... by tgd · · Score: 1

      You do realize there are more than one group at Microsoft, and not all of them have the same priorities, right?

      Its funny how some people fixate on this PS3 vs XBox360 thing, as if it matters in the slightest in this debate.

      According to a quick google search, 42 million PS2 consoles worldwide.

      14 million XBox. Worldwide.

      There are over 90 million DVD players. *IN THE US ALONE*

      None of these companies cares in the least about the TINY market for game consoles as compared to the sales of pre-recorded media and standalone players.

    6. Re:Playstation 3... by rpdillon · · Score: 1

      Perhaps, but for many people in the US, their PS2 *was* their first DVD player (even thought the format has been out for years). It helped entrench the format. When the release of a console coincides with the release of a format, there is an opportunity. Very often it is the early adopters that determine the direction the market will take, even if they are in the minority.

    7. Re:Playstation 3... by Knetzar · · Score: 1

      When the PS2 first came out how many DVD players were there? I remember reading something that said the PS2 was partially responsible for DVDs being popular. All of a sudden people that had no desire for something better then VHS had a DVD playing in their living room.

    8. Re:Playstation 3... by BBF_BBF · · Score: 1
      MosesJones said:
      Microsoft do XBox 360, Sony do PS3, XBox 360 hasn't gone for either HD-DVD or Blu-ray. If HD-DVD was so real why didn't they pick it for XBox 360?
      Well, you are right that Microsoft has not "officially" committed to putting an HD-DVD into an Xbox360, but Bill Gates said on 06-28-05 at joint event with Toshiba in Tokyo "The initial shipments of Xbox360 will be based on today's DVD format," and "We are looking at whether future versions of Xbox 360 will incorporate an additional capability of an HD DVD player or something else." (from gamesindustry.biz) and at the same event, Kevin Eagan, general manager of Microsoft's OEM division said "Our partnership really doesn't represent Microsoft endorsing one format or another" (from ecommercetimes.com). Then on 09-26-2005 Microsoft releases a press release entitled "Microsoft and Intel Back HD DVD as Next-Generation High-Definition DVD Format of Choice". Do hint at which type of drive may be going into a future version of the Xbox360.
      So there are still no firm statements that a future version Xbox360 *will* have an HD-DVD capable drive in it, but the smart money is that of the two formats, HD-DVD has a higher probability of being in a future version of the Xbox360. But knowing how Microsoft can flip-flop on decisions (remember how Bill Gates once said that the MSN was the way to go, not the Internet... then later he launches the .net blitz.) I won't bet the farm on it. ;-)

      Sources:
      http://www.gamesindustry.biz/content_page.php?aid= 9804
      http://www.ecommercetimes.com/story/GNhLA12fAusnZS /Xbox-360-May-Get-HD-DVD-Help-from-Toshiba.xhtml
      http://www.microsoft.com/presspass/press/2005/sep0 5/09-26HDDVDPromotionGroupPR.mspx
    9. Re:Playstation 3... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think we can summarise this HD-DVD to BD (Blueray) quite easily.

      If you buy a Playstation 3 then you are going to get a BD player that will support DVD, CD and many other formats but not HD-DVD.

      If you buy an Xbox360 then you are going to get a DVD player that will support other formats but not HD-DVD.

      Err.. what game device here is going to use HD-DVD, unless Microsoft is going to provide one (at a price of course) at a later stage. Oh yes I can imagine Xbox360 buyers shelling out $$$ for a shiny new HD-DVD module to replace the now obsolete?? DVD module. Put yourself in Mr, Ms and Mrs (minimal tech knowledge) consumers place before answering.

      Interesting read (looks like a civil war is brewing). Watch the spin doctors and FUD mongers come out of the woodwork.

      http://www.engadget.com/entry/1234000623059130

  31. Re:Standard Microsoft Methods: Cry Wolf by chrismcdirty · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Their competitor's response should then be to show people their 50GB discs. They don't do it, they have egg on their face. They do it, Microsoft has egg on their face.

    Either way, I end up smiling at somebody else covered in egg.

    --
    It's like sex, except I'm having it!
  32. HD-DVD will win by Arsh79 · · Score: 1

    Microsoft and Intel are both on Toshiba's side, so my guess is that recorders for that standard will meet pc long before BR ones.
    Throw in that blank HD will be cheaper than BR dvd, and their (limited) "backward compatibility", and anyone could find pretty clear who's going to be "winner" in this race...

    ...and if "Windows Improved-GUI-ever Definitive Edition 2010" ships only in HD-DVD format... well...

    1. Re:HD-DVD will win by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 1

      Sure. That's why back in late August the first pics and in-Windows screen caps of Nero working with a Pioneer BluRay drive (BDR-101A) were leaked. FWIW, I've never seen pictures of an HD-DVD burner nor any screen caps of it in Windows... [Google for BDR-101A for more articles]

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
    2. Re:HD-DVD will win by Arsh79 · · Score: 1

      Obiviously there must (and will) be a burner for BR, but at what level? It could be a prototype (less likely) o a real "high end" peripheral for the average user... Only time will tell...

    3. Re:HD-DVD will win by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 1

      BR tech has been in Japan for over a year (in cartridge form). My understanding is that the only difference between the tech we'll see next year and the cartridge tech in Japan today is that they solved the problem with the media being sensetive to scratches/soiling. AFAIK there is no shipping HD-DVD solution, cartridge or not.

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
  33. Blu Ray requires JAVA by jalkipalki · · Score: 0

    The Blue Ray specs require a JVM present in every Player device. To do menuing etc.. Maybe that why M$ does not like Blue Ray.

  34. Oh, the irony by mvdwege · · Score: 5, Funny

    In effect, Microsoft is accusing the BDA of promoting vapourware.

    The irony is delicious.

    Mart
    --
    "I know I will be modded down for this": where's the option '-1, Asking for it'?
  35. How can you trust the competence... by clickety6 · · Score: 2, Funny

    ... of people who can't even spell the word BLUE !!!

    --
    ----------------------------------- My Other Sig Is Hilarious -----------------------------------
  36. Re:Take that Sony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's some fucked up spelling and grammar there dude.

  37. Re:Take that Sony by Winterblink · · Score: 2, Informative

    To be honest, I've owned a PS2 since the day it hit the shelves, and it's been a blast from then until now. I haven't bought a replacement unit, so I'm still using a launch one -- hasn't let me down, my drive works fine and my controllers are working perfectly. No complaints about the hardware there. Game-wise, it's been an equal treat for me.

    With regards to hype, I'm not sure if you've noticed but the hype machine for XBox360 has done everything aside of putting signs in orbit about the impending system's launch. Not to mention coming out and unveiling a product with all its specs, then turning around and offering 2 SKUs for it, clearly an attempt to get people to buy the most expensive one. By contrast, Sony's unveiling was an initial discussion of the system's specs for the developers, and some hardware demo reels showing off various elements of the system's performance. At least they didn't go to Rent-a-Hobbit to find someone to introduce the product.

    --
    "I'm a leaf on the wind. Watch how I soar."
    -Hoban Washburn
  38. Re:Microsoft follows the money /PS3 problems as we by alex4u2nv · · Score: 1

    they can kick start xbox 361 based on the new drives. =)
    Imagine the amount of content that could now be packaged with games.

  39. Know one of the real reasons? by DdJ · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The Blu-Ray spec requires a fully functional Java interpreter to be embedded in every media player. You know the scripting language that DVDs use to control menus and stuff like that? On a Blu-Ray system, this is a full Java implementation with access to a TCP stack and everything.

    (I saw some sessions about this at JavaOne this year.)

    How could Microsoft get behind something like that?

    1. Re:Know one of the real reasons? by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yeah, really, it's not .NOT ... er, .NET compliant. Plus it's common knowledge that XBox 360 has been scheduled to ship with a DVD drive (with, supposedly, an HD-DVD upgrade) for some time now. I think it was a foregone conclusion that Microsoft was going to be in the HD-DVD camp.

      But really.. what difference does it make? Microsoft supporting it won't do jack to change the adoption of the format vs. BluRay. It's not like they're going to be putting software on HD-DVD anytime soon (they're only just now moving Windows to DVD releases). And it's not like OS support is required or they can somehow lockout BluRay from being used in Windows (there have been pics of Nero Burning ROM utilizing a BluRay drive under Windows for almost a year now).

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
    2. Re:Know one of the real reasons? by JFMulder · · Score: 1

      It's not like they're going to be putting software on HD-DVD anytime soon
      Yeah but... Windows Media 9 is one of the official codecs for HD-DVD. So they do care. But WM9 is ALSO an official codec for Blu-Ray. So whoever loses, they win.

    3. Re:Know one of the real reasons? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, because MS doesn't support Java. Because MS doesn't provide alternate Java-based compilers (J# essentially allows Java code to be compiled into managed .NET code). Man, ignorance is bliss, isn't it?

  40. Um, can we please stop this? by Caesar · · Score: 2, Informative

    Ars doesn't get "Slashdotted," nor have we for years (if you're talking about the site going down). We're quite capable of handling the load (so long as we don't happen to have beta code in at the moment ;), so could you kindly stop ripping our content with our permission? If the site was going down that would be one thing, but it's not right now, and it doesn't normally.

    1. Re:Um, can we please stop this? by HerculesMO · · Score: 0, Troll

      Sorry, it was meant as a courtesy because of habit with respect to other sites. I don't really consider this however, 'ripping' your content because everybody knows where it comes from and I've added no commentary to it, nor edited it from your site.

      I know however, that I didn't include your advertising so you may get the $.05 or whatever for the impression or click, but speaking for myself (and perhaps other Ars.Technica readers), I always visit your site and don't block any of the ads because I want to make sure you have the revenue to continue writing good articles. However, and I may be imagining things, your response is very idiotic and ignores the fact that thousands of Slashdotters are how your site can even TURN a profit and contine to be funded.

      I figured that you can just look at my repost of your article as a courtesy mirror, but you had to act like a dick and make yourself look like an ass. Personally I would have let it slide entirely, but such snide remarks deserve an answer from time to time. I'll still visit your site because I enjoy the articles, but when a community (Slashdot) only promotes your site, don't add a comment trying to make them feel bad for doing something relatively benign.

      Asshole.

      --
      The price is always right if someone else is paying.
    2. Re:Um, can we please stop this? by crayz · · Score: 1

      Uhh dude seems like you're the one acting like an asshole. He's just asking that you not take his content and republish it so that it's Slashdot getting the ad impressions instead of Ars. Given that it's Ars' content, that seems like a reasonable request

    3. Re:Um, can we please stop this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um.. We will rip your content as much as we please. If you don't like it.. too bad. What difference does it make anyway?

    4. Re:Um, can we please stop this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      so could you kindly stop ripping our content with our permission?

      Sounds like someone just gave permission. NEENER NEENER NEENER!

    5. Re:Um, can we please stop this? by hattig · · Score: 1

      Grow up little boy.

      The article is Ars' copyright, and you reduplicated it without their permission. By writing good articles they get linked to, and then make money from advertising and selling the articles, etc, which they can then invest in creating even more good articles.

      This isn't reposting someone's personal website or a not-for-profit website that will go down when Slashdotted, and in fact might save them some hosting money.

      And you are insulting them because of YOUR action.

      If Ars' were really assholes they'd subpoena Slashdot to get your details and then sue you for copyright infringement. Instead you got a polite response saying that your actions weren't necessary. Given your response to that, I hope they drag you through the courts, but sadly it isn't likely to happen.

    6. Re:Um, can we please stop this? by mike2R · · Score: 1

      Bollocks. Just to give you a third party view, he came across as remarkably restrained and polite, while you appear like a dick.

      --
      This sig all sigs devours
    7. Re:Um, can we please stop this? by HerculesMO · · Score: 1

      And I apologised for that. I just don't like being asked in a manner that makes me feel like I'm doing it purposely.

      He could have just said "Hey, we can handle the traffic just fine, so please don't repost it next time, thanks!"

      And that would have been a request I would have without hesitation, complied with happiness.

      --
      The price is always right if someone else is paying.
    8. Re:Um, can we please stop this? by RoboRay · · Score: 1

      That's exactly what he DID say. He was very polite about it. You are the one acting inappropriately.

    9. Re:Um, can we please stop this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That was an apology? Hint: restrict yourself to just the "sorry" part next time

      Come on, you posted the article in your username not anonymously, so it was karma whoring not simply a public service. The site wasn't slashdoted when you did it, and if you're that much of the "slashdot community" that you reguraly repost articles, you really should know that Ars Technica is not likely to go down.

      You go on a rant after receiving the politest Cease and Desist ever, and even after you have the error of your ways pointed out to you, you still don't see what you did wrong.

      SHUT UP!!!

    10. Re:Um, can we please stop this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you for real? He said "could you kindly stop ripping our content with our permission?", how is that materially different from what you would have liked him to say? [Clearly he meant to say 'without our permission']
      "Doing it purposely" WTF? Someone had a gun to your head?
      Dude, you were in the wrong. He didn't have to be polite, but he was. Caesar had you bang to rights, and you started whining. Grow up, for fuck's sake.

    11. Re:Um, can we please stop this? by vertinox · · Score: 1

      But... But... The only time I RTFA is when someone posts it as a comment?!!

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
  41. Re:Microsoft follows the money /PS3 problems as we by thejez · · Score: 1

    i am pretty sure blu-ray adds a thing called BD+ over the top of VC-1 to prevent copying... that way they can say they support VC-1 as a standard but they cripple it with BD+ on top of it...

  42. why just memory by coolcold · · Score: 1

    With tens of gigs of memory, I won't fill it up with current data anyway. Also comparing their difference in memory isn't huge. Why not make other comparison such as speed and reliability, which can be more important. Then of course the price.

    --
    I am harvesting funny/good quotes. Please help by putting them in your sigs :)
  43. Blu-ray: 2005 Japan, 2006 North America by Midnight+Thunder · · Score: 2, Informative

    From reading the FAQ on the Blu-ray.com web site (not same as Blue-ray association) there are already players supporting Blu-ray in Japan, but we are unlikely to see them in North America until 2006.

    --
    Jumpstart the tartan drive.
  44. Re:Take that Sony by HunterZ · · Score: 1

    And I thought the editors had bad spelling . . . *looks at UID* . . . maybe there was some evil Low-ID-Spelling-Disease outbreak . . . .

    Wee cn spal jest fin thx yo vry muck.

    (just kidding, of course)

    --
    Arguing about vi versus Emacs is like arguing whether it's better to make fire by rubbing sticks or banging rocks.
  45. Re:Take that Sony by freshman_a · · Score: 1

    First, please explain how Sony products are more proprietary than Microsoft products? I didn't know there were different degrees of proprietary-ness.

    I have owned quite a few Sony products (including an original frist gen PS that still runs like a champ) and haven't had any quality issues. What specific products have you owned that you had such bad problems with?

    And you want to talk hype? I didn't see Sony unveiling the PS3 on MTV in a show where more camera time was given to the hosts and various bands than the console and it's games.

  46. keeping up with the jones'... by peter.pendragon · · Score: 1

    ...or don't, and watch them get burned. then go buy hd-dvd anyway

  47. Kudzu, not behemoth by cgenman · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Microsoft and Sony aren't Behemoths. A behemoth is a giant creature with one brain. Microsoft and Sony are Kudzus... Essentially dozens of big companies operating under the same name, often times competing with eachother. For example, the Memory Stick division and Sony's Playstation division couldn't agree on licensing terms, and so the Playstation (and the PS2) didn't ship with Sony's own memory card standard.

    Sony's tech support on their 2,000k dollar fragile-as-crystal notebooks is an exercise in pain. Yet Sony has been the most agreeable publisher I've had the pleasure of working with. Their notebooks are terrible. But their PDA's were the best on the market.

    In case you haven't noticed, both companies have their shoddy construction problems in certain areas. Sony's flagship PlayStation was known for a short lifespan and needing to be propped up at funny angles. Microsoft's Windows had to be rearchitected and rebuilt (the latest delay of Vista) because the XP codebase was just crap.

    On the other hand, both of their gaming divisions delivered respectable platforms this past generation. Sony's PS2 was a cheaply built little machine, but it had good development tools, good adaptability, and a realistic price point. The Xbox had some great features like XBL and a HDD.

    Yet with all of this, the debate over Blu-Ray vs HD-DVD seems like an argument over which Japanese DoCoMo handset is better to sell in New York: Both are incompatible with the current generation of televisions (even cutting edge ones), so what's the point? They're so DRM emcumbered that you can't get a better-than-DVD signal without re-upgrading your home theater system to a "trusted" one.

    While HD-DVD requires managed copy ability, companies can still veto it by offering the service for some ridiculous fee.

    Ironically Blu-Ray not taking off is better for Sony's PS3. That will ensure lower piracy rates due to the lower availability of duplicating hardware. We also know that it isn't "many years" away, as the PS3 will ship with it. And while the PS3 ship date is optimistic, it will ship within 1-2 years.

    Both companies have vested interestes in the technology. What, you think Microsoft is pushing this for consumers? What company do you think is providing the mandatory managed copy software? What, did you think you could copy that HD-DVD to Linux?

    1. Re:Kudzu, not behemoth by iceborer · · Score: 1

      Sony's tech support on their 2,000k dollar fragile-as-crystal notebooks is an exercise in pain

      After being charged two million dollars for the notebook in the first place, I would think that any future pain would be minor by comparison.

    2. Re:Kudzu, not behemoth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then again, dollar's value just keeps on falling. 2 million, today that buys you a six pack of beer and some peanuts, right?

    3. Re:Kudzu, not behemoth by RoLi · · Score: 1
      Microsoft's Windows had to be rearchitected and rebuilt

      I think you misspelled "recolored and repackaged".

  48. Reliability by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The big question for me is which one will be more reliable? BD will have a harder, but much thinner surface. HD will have a more traditional surface. Which one will last at least 10 years as a writing medium for burners?

  49. Re:Take that Sony by dhall · · Score: 1

    If you narrow it down to less than 5 digits, you can separate the contenders from the pretenders. ;)

    As for the original parent comment:
    "Give me something cheap, give me something universal and give me something that companies can utilize today."

    It's called DVD+/-, with optional dual layer. It's cheap, it's "universal" and it's already here. When you can get 400GB for $20 (100 blank 4gb DVDs), it's just a matter of how much time you want to spend. For archival purposes I end up keeping all my TV shows encoded via MPEG-4.

    You want something more permanent? UATA hard drive prices are dropping.

  50. I'm surprised about something by powerline22 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The thing that has a lot of the anti-DRM people up in arms about Blu-Ray is how it will enable content companies to change the software on their player, and other evil things about that. However..

    HD-DVD MUST allow you to make AT LEAST ONE COPY. This is something that current DVD's don't even let you do (legally.) For this reason alone, i am switching my support from Blu-Ray to HD-DVD (and I suggest that the consortium advertise this. say "blu-ray wont even let you do what you want with the content you own!"). Besides, if it can be shared at least once, theres nothing that says we can't create some software to let us copy it more than once...

    1. Re:I'm surprised about something by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Assuming your using the new windows media player or viiv (spelling?). Not to mention you may be charged for the copy, the requirement is a partially technical one but its not like it tells your computer 'i am copyable, but afterwards, burn a hole in me'. They are saying you can hopefully for free, but may have to pay, make a copy to your pc using their major vendor software.
      Fudging christ.

  51. bd-java by gabor1023 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    so blu-ray has java. for better interactivity...

    is there ANYONE who likes the interactive menus on the dvds?

    i hate them.

    sometimes i even have problems with finding the right menu option for playing the movie!

    am i the only one who'd like to simply have a button on the remote-control called PLAY_THE_MOVIE ?

    why are there special (and different on every dvd) menus to set up the language & subtitles, when you can select them with the remote control while watching the movie?

    1. Re:bd-java by iamdaflash · · Score: 1

      Macromedia Flash 1 was released in 1996 and the DVD standard was finalized in 1996... thus the dawn of crappy intros begins!

    2. Re:bd-java by Slashcrap · · Score: 0, Troll

      am i the only one who'd like to simply have a button on the remote-control called PLAY_THE_MOVIE ?

      There's another button you might be interested in. It's called "Shift" and you will find it on the keyboard in front of you if you look hard enough.

      It has a number of amazing capabilities, the most relevant one being its ability to increase your apparent mental age by at least ten years.

  52. PR FUD by doctor_no · · Score: 4, Informative

    "Proven capacity" is somewhat of a vague term being that HD-DVD hasn't shipped yet, and Blu-ray has only shipped in Japan. Being that now the HD-DVD is delayed till 2006, from the consumers standpoint, nothing has really been proven yet, and for either format it's too early to tell.

    As far as costs are concerned, they only talk of manufactering costs which tend to stabilize over time. Certainly, initially, Blu-ray should cost a lot more than HD-DVD if it needs retooling, however once econmies of scale are established manufactering cost tend to plateau, hence while this is short term concern, but perhaps not a long-term one. What isn't talked about however is liceencing cost, the main issue in contention that caused the split was that currently you have to pay the 6C ~4%-10% of the sale price of DVD hardware(depending on the cost of the machine), something that HD-DVD retains, I'm not sure how either format fares but ultimely this will be a massive cost when initial players are expected to cost $500-$1,000(maybe much more than manufactering differences).

    Engadget has a great article on this:
    http://www.engadget.com/entry/1234000623059130/

    Also, the argument "Support for hybrid discs" is ridiculous. HD-DVD use "flippers" as hybrid disks. i.e. DVD on one-side and HD-DVD on the other (kinda like the old DVDs that had "widescreen" & "fullscreen"). JVC, has developed a Blu-ray disk that is a true hybrid, having a DL-DVD9 and a Blu-ray on one side.

    http://www.cdfreaks.com/article/186/4

    However, while MS/Intel are big names it seems irrelevant being that they don't actually have any products to market (and XB360 won't have HD-DVD standard; not even an option at this point, maybe a $500 system to fit above their "core" and "Premium" bundles). Only other impact that the deal seems to have is Media Center PCs, but 71% of MediaCenter PCs don't even come with a TV-tuners (which kinda makes the most important feature useless). Windows support can easily be cured w/drivers, and Dell and HP are Blu-ray supporters hence windows PCs from them will likely come with Blu-Ray. Seems to be more a PR-deal. Ultimetely it will be the Studios that decide the winner, and they will at the end choose the format that the consumers are buying.

    http://www.mediacenterpcworld.com/news/502

    1. Re:PR FUD by JFMulder · · Score: 1

      And I bet by saying "Ultimetely it will be the Studios" you mean the porn industry. :)

    2. Re:PR FUD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The thing that hasn't been mentioned enough is the burning side of this.
      As evidenced by extremely slow uptake in DVD dual layer, burning more than one layer for a consumer isn't reliable nor economical, so only the single layer capacity should be considered. Those of us using these formats more as a backup/home videos than buying hollywood movies, Blu-ray is the obvious choice.

  53. But what if we see combo drives? by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

    I think one thing people totally forget about the HD-DVD versus Blu-Ray competition is that TDK recently demonstrated a new optical disk material that is extremely scratch-proof, which makes it possible for Blu-Ray discs to no longer need the protective caddy now needed for Blu-Ray machines now sold in Japan.

    As such, both HD-DVD and Blu-Ray can use improved versions of the same mechanism now used for DVD drives. This opens the door for a company like Plextor to produce a computer optical disk drive that can read and write BOTH formats on the same drive, with the drive connected to the motherboard via either ATA-100 or Serial ATA interfaces. That also means we could see console (and eventually portable) players that can read both formats.

    In short, we could end up with a situation akin to the DVD+R/RW and DVD-R/RW--combo drives that can use both formats.

    1. Re:But what if we see combo drives? by fracai · · Score: 1

      mmm... I can't wait for my new (HD-)?DVD[+\-]R(W)?( DL)? / Blu-Ray Burner

      --
      -- i am jack's amusing sig file
  54. Be care ful what you wish for by ColourlessGreenIdeas · · Score: 1

    The winner will be the one that has the most DVDs available for it. How are people going to decide which format to release DVDs in? Who is going to make that decision?

    --
    In soviet russia stale jokes recycle you!
  55. Nooooooo! by Pichu0102 · · Score: 0

    Now there's a new compact disc with 30 GB?! I only have a 20 GB HD!

    WHY MUST GOD TORMENT ME SO

  56. IN YOUR FACE by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    USPTO upholds Eolas's embedded Web app patent

    Ever since the Internet became a place where fortunes are made or lost, one of the most vexing features of the online scene has been the periodic emergence of a long line of doomsday patents. You know what I'm talking about--patents that cover basic Internet functionality that we all use, like streaming video, or hyperlinks, or applets embedded into web pages.

    This last patent, the infamous '906 patent granted to Eolas and the University of California, was one of the first patents to get the young online tech scene riled up way back in 1998. At that time, Cringely was the first to bring Eolas to light as, at best a very irritating thorn in Microsoft's side and, at worst, really bad news for anyone who wants to do anything interesting with a Web page.

    The dot-com bubble has since come and gone, and Microsoft has moved on from the late 90's antitrust troubles that many thought would do them in, but Eolas and the '906 patent are still kicking, and they've just scored a major victory against the Redmond giant.

    A back-and-forth series of legal victories and setbacks (covered on Ars) had previously resulted in the USPTO provisionally invalidating the '906 patent. This decision was greeted with joy in the tech community, but it looks like we rejoiced a bit too early. The USPTO moved today to uphold the Eolas patent, dealing a serious blow to Microsoft and potentially to everyone who makes or uses a Web browser.

    I myself had mistakenly thought that the USPTO's previous invalidation of the patent was pretty much the end of the story. I guess this is why I'm not a patent lawyer. According to a lawyer/blogger cited by eWeek, a review of an existing patent by the USPTO usually results in an initial, provisional invalidation while the agency takes a closer look at the prior art. This invalidation is often overturned after the full review is completed. So Eolas's case history fits this profile, with a full review now having validated the company's patent.

    I'm not going to do any doom-and-gloom speculation on what this victory means, especially when the infringement case is being appealed to the Supreme Court; I'll let you guys handle the speculation in the discussion thread. I'll just wrap up by noting that the '906 patent appears to be vague enough to cover almost any program that's embedded in a Web page and that talks bidirectionally with a server. That means not just Microsoft's ActiveX, the technology that originally brought on the round of Eolas vs. Microsoft infringement lawsuits, but Flash, Java, and most of the other stuff that makes the Web interesting to use. So there's no doubt that if the Eolas folks can take this fight all the way, they'll be very, very rich. It remains to be seen, however, just how much headache they'll cause for the rest of us as Microsoft and everyone else rushes to work around the patent.

    I realize that the patent system is supposed to be in place to encourage innovation. But I don't think a mad, industry-wide rush to cook up potentially painful work-arounds was the kind of innovation that the Founding Fathers had in mind.

  57. Toshiba confirms US HD DVD delay... by Rihahn · · Score: 1

    So everyone is pushing back delivery dates now.

    Here's the news on "The Register": http://www.theregister.co.uk/2005/09/30/hd-dvd_us_ launch_delay/

  58. Re:Microsoft follows the money /PS3 problems as we by Peter+Bonte · · Score: 1

    Sony is going to use whatever is standard by then, being second isn't always a bad thing. HD games and movies are years to early on the market or will be, look at the first gold disk movies. Movie content is also going to be secured and just a few HD screens at the moment can handle this, we buy FUD tv's now! If sony is smart its going to wait til the standard is set and use that, the 360 is now stuck with DVD for games no mater what upgrade MS puts on the market the next few years.

  59. Microsoft is pro-Consumer, just more pro-Microsoft by alexhmit01 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Historically, Microsoft has been extremely pro-Consumer... they just sometimes put themselves first.

    I mean, Microsoft created the hardware commoditization... had they not licensed a compatible MS-DOS to Compaq (and instead went back to IBM to re-negotiate), the commoditization of PCs wouldn't have happened. They historically were willing to support any hardware platform, not support the monopolization... they haven't tried to lock in a single video card.

    Even where they attempted to monopolize markets (DirectX 3D vs. OpenGL), it was arguably pro-consumer... while OpenGL was the better API, MS's API was able to be supported by more hardware manufacturers, while OpenGL was more complicated and required more power...

    Microsoft has recently moved in an anti-consumer direction, but ONLY for their own stuff.

    Look, I love iTunes and iTMS, but that said, the Microsoft WMA "standard" does support competition in both the player (hardware) market and competition in the music "retailer" market...

    While they aren't generally friendly to standards, and compete like dogs against any perceived threat, their default is generally to bring prices down for customers... just not THEIR prices.

    Their aggressive tactics DEFINITELY involved non-innovating and swooping in when the leader falters, bundling with their OS monopoly, and generally engaging in tactics that would be cutthroat for a small company, and at times criminal for a monopolist.

    That said, they aren't an anti-consumer company, beyond the fact that their actions destroy the competition.

    In fact, they have generally been the MOST resistant to limiting user actions, contrasted on the OS side with IBM's OS/2 and Apple's Mac OS (Classic OR X)... you could replace the default shell, and until Win95, some companies did, and other easy to tweak aspects of the OS.

    I think that the MS bashing needs to focus on where they are abusive... They also piss off enthusiasts for the same reason Wal-Mart pisses off upper-middle class consumers... If you appreciate quality things, then you HATE the low priced player that puts the company that makes higher quality stuff out of business.

    As a enthusiast, I hate that MS's push to lower prices for computers (without lowering their prices) has pushed out good technology and replaced it with crap... however, as a purchaser of computer hardware, I do appreciate how much prices have dropped, and I realize that it was a combination of Microsoft and Intel pushing EVERY OTHER component to commodity status... just like I appreciate the myriad of Linux players doing the same thing to the OS component, and OpenOffice/StarOffice pushing productivity software to commodity status.

    Alex

  60. HDTV by thefatz · · Score: 1

    1080p60 with low/non-lossy compression!

    --
    http://www.freebsd.org
    1. Re:HDTV by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      Is film that fast (60 fps)?

      I would expect a lot of extra frames with 60 fps.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
  61. I'm gonna wait that one out by obarthelemy · · Score: 1

    I don't really care who wins. And I don't see any reason to hurry and be amongst the bleeding edgers.

    As a matter of fact, I'm not even quite sure who won DVD+R vs DVD-R ?

    So I'll sit it out, it's gonna take a little while for the prices to be acceptable, and for recorders to come out, anyway.

    --
    The Cloud - because you don't care if your apps and data are up in the air.
  62. Re:Microsoft follows the money /PS3 problems as we by Zathrus · · Score: 1

    t's not like VC-1 isn't in both formats, so what is to gain by not backing Blu-ray?

    Well, for one thing, I suspect MS would prefer to not pay Sony royalties on every Xbox 360 sold. I have no doubt that that fits into the decision to (eventually) put HD DVD on Xbox360s.

  63. What's the point? by solomonrex · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What we all want is itunes for TV and movies, and a 1 tb. server with wireless access to our 1 mm. thick TV screen in our basement so that we can 'own' our movies/tv shows instead of 'renting' them, so our children can go, "What's this Mash thing? Is it about potatoes?"

  64. Absolutely. I agree. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That was the defining point for me, too. Now it's a simple choice between MSFT or SONY.

    And between those two, I have no idea who is the more evil. They're both proprietary as hell, they both want to "corner" markets in all the same areas (software, media players, consoles, games, condoms), and there is absolutely no limit to their business tactics. They don't care who they have to assassinate to get the job done.

    I'll choose neither unless I absolutely am forced to, and then I'll try to screw whichever one I can because they'll do the same thing to me if given the opportunity.

    1. Re:Absolutely. I agree. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Condoms?

  65. Guess What? by MooseTick · · Score: 1

    "If you have to buy an XBOX360 (400) + nextgen dvd player (200-300, maybe more) vs buying a ps3 (500, price is a guess, but I can't see it costing more than that. If it does its dead before it ships) people are SAVING money by buying the ps3. " Guess What? You don't HAVE to buy any of that stuff. You could SAVE more money buy being happy with what you have.

  66. They will both fail. by JayBlalock · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Sorry to rain on the collective parade, but I seem to be the only one saying this:

    What reason does the average consumer have to upgrade?

    Just ponder that one for a minute. What do EITHER of the formats actually offer?

    1 - increased storage space. OK, we'll now have the ability to watch the expanded Return of the King, all 4 1/2 hours of it, without once getting up out of our seat to change discs. Since standing up every 3 hours is such an inconvenience. (not to mention the tiny number of movies which can't fit onto a current DVD)

    And 2 - Full support for high-def televisions. Except that despite years on the market, penetration is TINY and still only the top couple percent of people own them.

    And that's pretty much IT. (We won't even discuss "draconian DRM" or such things) Now, look at all the advantages of DVD over VHS that convinced the public to convert.

    See my point? The *ONLY* way that the public will switch over to a new DVD format is if the studios force them to. (by dropping support for old DVD entirely) But since the studios won't agree on a format, even THAT won't work. Like hell the public will buy TWO new players just to be able to play all the new releases they want.

    These new technologies, BOTH of them, are set to fail spectacularly. They'll end up just being proprietary formats for the various video game consoles. But unless everyone starts cooperating in a BIG way there's no chance whatsoever of them supplanting DVD as the home movie format of choice.

    --
    Bush: He's Liberal in all the wrong ways.
    1. Re:They will both fail. by Zobeid · · Score: 1

      Support for HD televisions is hugely important. You say HDTV penetration is tiny. . . One of the large problems holding back HDTV has been the lack of a videodisc format. This is a product HDTV owners are crying out for, and it will sell a ton of HD sets. In my opinion the HD transition has been handled badly and has been going far more slowly than it should -- but it's still going. HD videodiscs are needed, they are badly overdue.

      What about DVD? You wrote, "Now, look at all the advantages of DVD over VHS that convinced the public to convert." But. . . DVD wasn't a replacement for VHS. VHS is a recordable format, which DVD isn't -- or wasn't, until recently. DVD was pretty much a direct replacement for LaserDisc. What did DVD offer that LD didn't? Smaller discs? That's pretty much it. LD limped along for years with 12-inch discs, then DVD came along with 5.25-inch discs (and otherwise very similar specs), and wiped out LD.

      So, one possible lesson is that a new format doesn't really need to be hugely improved over its predecessor in order to be successful, if the stars are aligned right.

    2. Re:They will both fail. by i_am_profiled · · Score: 1

      Have you seen the difference of a TRUE HD source as compared to a DVD, it's night and day, no questions asked.

    3. Re:They will both fail. by Zed2K · · Score: 1

      1080i instead of 480p and lossless sound codecs are MAJOR reasons to upgrade.

      What were the reasons to switch from VHS to DVD? Most people only had normal tv's and progressive players weren't around then. The only reason back then was no wear and tear on the media, digital (no rewinding etc) and multichannel sound. I'd say the reasons this time are way better than last time.

    4. Re:They will both fail. by RoLi · · Score: 1
      Actually, that's the most insightful comment in the whole thread.

      The problem (well, let's say *their* problem, because it sure isn't mine) is that they (Microsoft, Sony, etc.) started to believe their own marketing departments.

      It may be possible that Blu-Ray has a chance to replace DVD (with the help of the PS3) but not within 5 years, probably not even within 10 years.

    5. Re:They will both fail. by Cid+Highwind · · Score: 1

      One of the large problems holding back HDTV has been the lack of a videodisc format. This is a product HDTV owners are crying out for

      You think the HDTV owners are crying now, wait until they find out that both Blu-Ray and HD-DVD will require an HDCP-compliant monitor. Most of them will have to buy yet another $3,000+ TV if they want to watch movies at better than 480p resolution!

      --
      0 1 - just my two bits
    6. Re:They will both fail. by MikeBabcock · · Score: 1

      BD offers a much better menuing system interface than DVD.

      --
      - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
    7. Re:They will both fail. by winwar · · Score: 1

      "I'd say the reasons this time are way better than last time."

      So better resolution and sound for the vast majority of people with crappy TV's and sound systems are major reasons to upgrade? Sorry, the reasons aren't better this time.

      It's great if you have the equipment. Most don't. Most? don't seem to care.

  67. Both support key revocation by SuperKendall · · Score: 3, Informative

    Disabling by key revocation is supported by both players.

    As for the RUMOR that you'll have to have a network connection for a player - nothing but bull. No company is going to REQUIRE a network connection for consumer electronics.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Both support key revocation by KillShill · · Score: 1

      no, they won't require it.

      they'll be smart about it.

      "connect your movie player up to the net to get up to the minute celebrity news, movie release dates, promotional content, etc etc".

      they will give the non-educated users plenty of incentive to connect it.

      it's a business after all, so you can expect deception.

      --
      Science : Proprietary , Knowledge : Open Source
  68. Microsoft does not always do things for money by SuperKendall · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If Microsoft "followed the money" they would have just joined the java consortium and standards body instead of creating .Net.

    If Microsoft "followed the money" they would just support the OpenDocument format instead of waging war on office suites.

    If Microsoft did anything for reasons other than emotion, they would be a very different company. Very little of what Microsfot does makes sense outside of the context of a strong agressor aiming to kill competition at all costs - not all gains.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  69. Here's a question that's always bugged me... by cthellis · · Score: 1

    ...why do so many people point to line transition costs as a hugely important factor? Are publishers going to be DUMPING DVD lines right now to pick up HD lines? It seems rather foolish that they would toss their breadwinner away to move to any of the undecided formats, so it seems more likely that they'd want to pick up whatever ones would be more easily added to their existing facilities (i.e. "take up less space"), what ones would start off having higher capacities so they can kick next-gen support out the door well, and what ones seem to show more promise 5-10 years from now when they actually WILL be cutting back on some DVD support.

  70. It's all about FUD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Call me a wacko if you like, but Microsofts decision has nothing to do with the technical merits of either system.
    Microsoft is using it's old-fashioned FUD tactics to cause neither system to succeed.
    Microsoft wants to becomes the content provider and platform of choice for high-definition video and it wants high definition discs to fail just long enough for it's own platform to be viable.
    It's that simple.
    Microsoft want like nothing more than for slashdot types to start drawing technical lines in the sand and forget that it's not about the technology, it's about control of the platform.

  71. Re:Take that Sony by Prophet+of+Nixon · · Score: 1

    I've had an Xbox since day one, with no trouble, and love it, but even I can't understand all the 360 hype (nor the PS3 hype for that matter). There's really nothing terribly appealing in either company's launch lineup, and there's already a terrific stock of games for either company's existing system. I just got a PS2 a few weeks ago (a friend gave me a 'broken' one and bought a new slim one), and I've been having a blast playing R-Type Final and Gradius V. There are other games, that have been out for years on PS2 and/or Xbox, that I haven't had a chance to play, and that look more appealing that anything announced for the new launches. So I dunno... where is the real appeal (and the reason for the rabid hype and anticipation) for these new, still-unreleased, systems?

  72. Stop it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "could you kindly stop ripping our content with our permission?"

    It makes you seem to small when you post whining like this.

    Yeah, so you'll miss a $10 in ad revenue. Big deal.

    Get over it dude... get over it.

  73. Re:Microsoft is pro-Consumer, just more pro-Micros by SysKoll · · Score: 1
    Thanks for the comment. I think you're right about the part MS historically played in commoditizing computers and software.

    History shows a pattern, over and over, that seems dictated by human nature. A new organization comes up, shakes up the establishment, wins converts, storms the old older, and becomes the new dominant force. Then, this new organization becomes complacent, sclerosed, self-centered and parasitic. It behaves increasingly like the old establishment it replaced. This is especially true in the technical world, which works on a "winner takes all" model in many areas.

    Microsoft was such a revolution in its days. Now it's part of a crusty establishment that is increasingly getting defensive and still encroaches on obsolete notions.

    Washington was an American hero not just because he succeed in his conspiracy against the British crown, but also because he felt he was getting in the way and refused to serve a third presidency term in spite of the appeal of power. IBM is a geek hero because they embraced open-source in spite of their huge proprietary software base.

    Microsoft's proprietary protocols and file formats are now getting in the way of innovation. Their conception of software is to computer science what alchemy was to chemistry: coded parchments, arcane ingredients and secret experiments versus publication and peer review. It's time to move on.

    --

    --
    Mad science! Robots! Underwear! Cute girls! Full comic online! http://www.girlgeniusonline.com/

  74. Are 48X DVD HD/BR+/-R/W+/-DRM Available? by sweetnjguy29 · · Score: 1

    'Nuff Said. This is gonna be confusing!

  75. You're kind of right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What they'll do is require an "update" to play the disc. More than likely, they'll include the "update" on the actual disk itself, completely unknown to you unless you have to "reboot" your player by turning it off and back on.

    So, "Big White Cocks Little Black Holes #88" hits the market, and you slap that little jewel into the player. It has a firmware update for your player, since all players will have very similar electronics. The disk plays, or it DOESN'T because your player has been blacklisted. You can play older movies, but not new ones.

  76. Wrong by Fen14 · · Score: 1

    Hybrid technology involves a single side, with multiple layers.

  77. Dell and HP answer back by Tibor+the+Hun · · Score: 3, Interesting

    From the Register:
    http://www.channelregister.co.uk/2005/09/30/dell_h p_vs_ms_intel/

    By Tony Smith 30 Sep 2005 14:04
    Dell, HP slam Intel, MS' 'erroneous' HD DVD claims
    Our format's better. Isn't. Is. Isn't. Is. Isn't. Is...

    Backers of the Blu-ray Disc (BD) have hit back against "erroneous" claims from Intel and Microsoft that HD DVD is the superior next-generation optical disc format for PCs.

    The joint Intel/Microsoft statement was said to be "not aligned" with the "vast majority" of computer industry participants, Blu-ray Disc Association (BDA) members Dell and HP said.

    "Microsoft and Intel's announcement erroneously indicates that HD-DVD has an advantage in a number of areas," they claimed, pointing to the chip and software giants' statement that HD DVD offers a greater storage capacity than BD.

    As The Register noted at the time, Intel and MS' claim that HD DVD's 30GB capacity is better than BD's 25GB is nonsense: the two companies conveniently ignored the fact they were talking about dual-layer HD DVD discs and single-layer BDs.

    Dell and HP also challenged MS and Intel on their claim that HD DVD is the only format to allow users to make controlled copies of the content stored on the disc: that's part of the AACS copy-protection system, the BDA said, and AACS is also part of the BD spec.

    BD also provides scope for hybrid discs, backward compatibility with DVD, the ability to operate in slimline drives for notebook PCs and a high degree of interactivity, all features MS and Intel claimed were only available with HD DVD, the PC vendors said.

    "Dell has no doubt that BD best meets the needs of computer users and provides the type of open industry standards needed to drive innovation and growth of the format across all platforms - consumer electronic, personal computers and gaming consoles," the company's CTO, Kevin Kettler said.

    "From a PC end-user perspective, Blu-ray is a superior format. It offers 67-150 per cent more storage capacity, higher transfer rates, slimline notebook compatibility, broadband connectivity and a proven interactive layer with BD-Java," added Maureen Weber, general manager of HP's Personal Storage Business. ®

    --
    If you don't know what AltaVista is (was), get off my lawn.
  78. In-Phase bringing out Holographic Storage, Finally by fedrive · · Score: 1

    I think their high capacity data storage will greatly effect both the
    Blu-Ray and HD-DVD markets.

    Ones things for sure. The data storage market is HOT !

  79. morons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Most of you slashdotters are idiots... For one, Blu-ray is a far better format, and will last longer before needed technilogical advance. It holds more data a LOT more if you star adding layers. AND STOP SAYING BLU-RAY SUPPORTS EVIL DRMs... IT DIDN'T UNTIL VERY RECENTLY!!! BECAUSE MOVIE STUDIOS WOULDN'T SUPPORT THE FORMAT WITHOUT A DRM... HD-DVD ALSO HAS DRMs... DONT LET THE BETTER FORMAT DIE!!! SUPPORT BLU-RAY!!!

  80. Yes, held blu-ray in hand from shipping product by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Sony's got some cameras that are using Blu-Ray discs all ready for storage of video. Random access to video! I saw the camera up close, and I held the disc. Blu-Ray has been in production for a while in shipping products.

    1. Re:Yes, held blu-ray in hand from shipping product by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm starting to think that Ars has something against BluRay ...

      The fact is - BluRay is a shipping product today. It works.

      Dual Layer 50GB BluRay Movie Discs however? Well, we'll see, but given the performance so far I'm sure it won't be years.

    2. Re:Yes, held blu-ray in hand from shipping product by xswl0931 · · Score: 1

      BluRay products available today won't be compatible with future BluRay products simply because the spec is not complete.

  81. Pay-Per-Copy by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Yes it must let you make one copy. However it also provides the option to have a studio make you pay for that copy (see article).

    Now what does that imply? The need for network connectivity to make a copy. Are you really so happy with being able to make a copy when your copy of that disc is logged somewhere?

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Pay-Per-Copy by DarkProphet · · Score: 1

      They could do one better than this if they incorporated a RW sector on the disc. Once the copy is made, the change is written to the disc, disallowing another copy unless it is purchased.

      The initial copy wouldn't be logged, and subsequent copies might not be logged other than the purchase of a 1-time copy license, using the RW sector on the disc.

      That way the claim can't be made that they are invading your privacy. And its an effective day to enforce DRM.

      Course, something like that can probably be broken, much like De-CSS broke DVD protection.

      --
      What could possibly hurt the security of the American people more than giving our own government the ability to hide its
  82. They're allowed to CHARGE you for tha privelege. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Look closely at that article. They are required to allow you to make at least one copy. They may charge you for making copies. If you can charge for it, you can effectively prevent it.

  83. Counterpoint Apple/Dell by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Microsoft and Intel are both on Toshiba's side, so my guess is that recorders for that standard will meet pc long before BR ones.

    Ah, but Apple is in the Blu-Ray consortium and had historically done far more to advance new PC technology than Microsoft. Like for instance all computers shippig with Blu-Ray players by mid 2006 (just a possibility, not saying I've heard anything - but it's Apple's MO with new hardware like DVD burners).

    Microsoft can support the format all they like, but they do not make computers... and Dell is ALSO on board with Blu-Ray. So where is the PC support really going to come from when no major computer maker is shipping with players?

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  84. Blu-Ray Attacks MS, MS bites back - manufacturing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Didn't see anyone mention it, but HD-DVD has a one up as far as manufacturing goes, at least near term. Why? Because HD doesn't require new machines to make the discs, they can just upgrade certain components. Not true of Blueray. Almost more importantly, no one has experience running a blueray fab. DVDs are now 2nd nature.

  85. I want the blue laser! by ryanvm · · Score: 1
    Fuck the drives - I just want the little blue laser inside!

    Seriously, how are they going to sell these drives for a reasonable price when blue laser diodes are insanely expensive?

  86. Re:Microsoft follows the money /PS3 problems as we by Paul+Bristow · · Score: 1

    Correct: MS follows the money
    HD-DVD spec has Microsoft IPR in it, Blu-Ray does not. Hence if HD-DVD wins, MS gets more cash than if Blu-Ray does, its as simple as that.

    --
    - Paul
  87. PS of 3 by digital.prion · · Score: 1

    How does it go again?

    Resistance is futile. You will be assimilated.

    And, Oh yea.. Prepare to be boarded!

    --
    Smile.
  88. 30gb cost savings!! by Dutchmaan · · Score: 1

    "Major replicators can mass manufacture 30GB HD DVD discs today and it's well understood that these discs will cost significantly less to manufacture than the lower-capacity 25GB BD discs."

    Wow Cool! Then the savings can be passed on to the consum... er.. ha.. HA... BWAHAHA!! BWAAAA HAAAAAAAAAA!!!!

    I tried to say it! I really tried!

  89. Virus by Botia · · Score: 1

    I can't wait 'til my Blu-Ray player has a trojan! The day will soon be here when we can hack someones home entertainment center, broadcast whatever they are watching, and have it automatically sent to a P2P network without them knowing.

  90. Something else you should know by RIAA_Executive · · Score: 1

    The recording industry will be backing the format that allows copy protection--real copy protection this time.

  91. NY to LA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Gumball.

  92. 1 Blu-Ray disc vs. 20 DVDs by dazedNconfuzed · · Score: 1

    They can still sell GTA:USA cross-platform.
    The difference is that it all comes on one Blu-Ray disc for PS3, and 20 DVDs for XBox360 - with appropriate cost differentials for packaging.

    --
    Can we get a "-1 Wrong" moderation option?
  93. Why does MS care? by shotfeel · · Score: 1

    I'm still trying to figure out why MS even cares. They're a software company. Shouldn't they fully support both? Do they care who provides the best RAM or the best hard drives or even the best CPU? IMO all they should care about is supporting the hardware the consumers want them to support, not try to dictate what hardware the consumer has available.

    The only problem I see is the X Box division. I can see where they want something ASAP to be competitive, and they want to make sure what they choose will be supported by other industries (the movie industry).

    I don't know how I feel about a big monopoly player "wagging the dog" so to speak in order to insure its competitiveness in another arena.

  94. Re:Take that Sony by Winterblink · · Score: 1

    I agree, hype surrounding hardware cracks me up. It's all about the games, and to be honest the Xbox never appealed to me because I have both a PS2 and a Gamecube. Most games come out cross platform, so I've never needed to cover that third base.

    Have fun with the PS2. If you really want some engaging and entertaining gameplay, definitely consider playing Metal Gear Solid 2 and 3. They're unbelievably fun. Though if you like scrolling shooters you might find a slight drought on the PS2. Gamecube's Ikaruga is hands down one of the best shooters to come out in recent memory.

    --
    "I'm a leaf on the wind. Watch how I soar."
    -Hoban Washburn
  95. Re:Take that Sony by budgenator · · Score: 1

    Sony has been the undisputed leader in professional grade magnetic video and audio recording equipment for many decades. The stuff wasn't and isn't cheep, but if your equipment for production grade audio-visual recording and editing isn't Sony, chances are a lot of the parts inside are. A lot of your criticisms apply only recently, Sony's history is much deeper. Hopefull Sony is move back from an industry evil-doer to it's former status of highly respected industry leader like in the old days; only time will tell.

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  96. Deja vu ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This reminds me of the SyQuest v. MO wars that went on in the early to mid 1990s...crazy, as both technologies were supplanted by Iomega Zip and the rapidly falling prices of CD-R drives and media. This namby-pamby back and forth is disgusting. The power of greed at work...certainly not innovation. This is all about getting to market, grabbing market share, and making a buck! Has nothing to do with which technology is truly superior to the other, nor what's good about each. Nobody wins when they do this. Someone will come along in five years and bury both HD-DVD and BD-ROM technology. This will be forgotten as quickly as the Syquest v. MO battle.

    [sigh]

    1. Re:Deja vu ... by Lifewolf · · Score: 1
      Someone will come along in five years and bury both HD-DVD and BD-ROM technology.

      In five years? Heck, get a few manufacturers to start chucking AVC chips into their DVD players tomorrow, and we can just short-circuit this whole mess using h.264 on red laser.

      Authoring and playback are here, now, today, on Macs. Playback in Linux and Windows can't be far off, if it isn't here already.

      --
      "Be Happy or Die." -- AoN
  97. Re:Microsoft follows the money /PS3 problems as we by ShawnDoc · · Score: 2, Interesting
    The main sticking point for Microsoft is the ability to copy a movie from the new format to hard disk. Microsoft has a lot of money invested in their Media Center software, and even more money in licensing their DRM to to makers of PMPs, media players, etc.

    HD-DVD will allow this. People can rip the HD-DVD to hard drive, but the rip will still be DRM encoded. So to stream it to another device for playback, the playback device mfg will have to license the DRM technology from Microsoft.

    The problem with Blu-Ray, from Microsoft's perspective, is that it does not rely entirely on Microsoft's DRM. It allows the movie studio to decide if they will allow the disk to be ripped to HD and streamed. With HD-DVD, all movies will be capable of being ripped. If a lot of movie studios decide to not let their movies be ripped, there will be less demand for Microsoft's MCE based computers, and less demand for Microsoft DRM licenses on playback devices. So Microsoft has backed the one format that guarantees that movies will be capable of being ripped.

  98. Just a thought about advertising... by Khyber · · Score: 1

    I'd like to bear witness to what I've seen relating how much a product is advertised thru different mediums to how popular the product becomes.

    From what I've seen with my own eyes on the rare occasion that I watch television, I've noticed that the "popular" products seem to be advertised fairly heavily (Apple's iPod, as opposed to Creative's Zen player) over the TV airwaves/cable signals/satellite transmissions. In fact, most of the really popular products have been advertised over television. If I knew better, I'd say that TV outdoes Radio in advertising, but we all know that's probably BS since many stations do about 70% commercials, 30% music. (At least in Memphis.)

    If companies really want to get their product out, so far, advertising logic would be "Let them see it, watch it in 'use' (I bet those dancers on the iPod commercial just had the set on, and not hearing any actual music thru the headphones,) and make sure they know what it does or give them a catch-phrase to make them think they need it," and that means advertising on television.

    I wish Linux would get a lot more advertising on TV. I pray that many OSS solutions would try to raise money for advertising their product on TV, just to spite the corporate greed-mongers and show that there are alternatives that are FREE to use. I go to sleep at night hoping advertisements for alternative solutions to many things in our lives (computers and their OSes, generic drugs vs brand name drugs or even homeopathy vs brand name drugs, etc.) will suddenly appear on the b00b t00b.

    The whole thing is, advertising sells, sitting on your butt in obscurity does not. OSS should take that single thought to heart, as well as any other company that wishes to get their product out on the market.

    --
    Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  99. HD demand by phriedom · · Score: 1

    "I think you'll find that for most people, DVD's are "good enough". Heck, most people don't even have HDTVs to take advantage of a higher resolution picture."

    I think you'll find the HD displays and HD content drive the demand for each other. IF I buy a new HDTV that does 1080p, I'm not going to be happy with regular old DVDs that only play 480p. I'll also want to get digital cable or satellite with the HD channels (instead of the $8 basic cable I'm using)And I'll probably quit playing games on my computer and buy a new console to play games in HD on the big screen.

    And the reverse is true. I'm less inclined to buy and HDTV because there is not yet one agreed-upon and well-supported HD format for disc, my phone company hasn't yet pulled fiber to my home to compete with the cable company and drive the price down, and there is not yet a game console that looks as good as my computer with 1024x768 on a 19" screen.

    These format wars hurt everyone because people like me don't want to buy the wrong thing, so we don't buy anything. And speaking of format wars, another reason I don't want to buy and HDTV is that I don't want to get caught on the wrong side of DVI vs. HDMI. DVI is less encumbered by copy-protection crap, which means I want it, but it also means that the movie-studios want it to be phased out. So perhaps those new HD-DVD or Blu-Ray players will not support DVI at full resolution as part of their protection measures? Sure, thats gonna piss off some HDTV owners, but the studios seem to be able to dictate whatever they want right now.

    --
    Don't moderate flamebait as Troll. Know the difference or you will be Meta-moderated.
  100. DVDs taking up space by xswl0931 · · Score: 1

    That's why you want mandatory managed copy. You can get rid of all the (HD)DVDs (or store them away out of sight) by simply copying the contents onto a large disk array and playing the movies there. The argument MS is making is that BD hasn't confirmed manadatory managed copy which would not allow you to do this.

  101. BAD Math by DCstewieG · · Score: 1

    Woah there, boy....

    30 GB * 8 Gb/GB * 1024 Mb/Gb = 245760 Mbits
    245760 Mb / 25 Mb/sec = 9830 sec.
    9830 sec / 60 sec/min / 60 min/sec = 2.73 hours.

    How did you get 20 hours??

    But still, 2.73 hours is plenty for most movies...

  102. Dell and HP fire back at MS& Intels claims by doctor_no · · Score: 1

    Seems two other parties want to put in their 2cents. Dell and HP fire back in wake of Microsoft and Intel's "inaccurate" HD-DVD claims.

    http://www.gamespot.com/news/2005/09/29/news_61347 45.html

  103. Yes but not REQUIRED by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    There is a HUGE difference between coercing a lot of people into connecting a player to the net and supporting easy key revocation, vs. doing it the hard way and striking out keys of discs you send out.

    If a player required a net connection, I would never buy it because you have no idea what data it's sending out or even if the manufacturer just takes a liking to the thought of a mass forced upgrade. But if I can control to some extent how and when my player is updated/disabled, that is a tradeoff I am willing to make as long as I can burn my own media too - and home media is a big leg of the PS3 platform so I'm sure that I'll be able to do that with at least the PS3 player.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  104. Porn in HD-DVD already available by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Digital Playground release "Island Fever 3" in HD-DVD format over a year ago. Whether the production "takes advantage" of the better resolution I'll leave to more experienced eyes than mine!

    Link below for the official news release

    http://www.digitalplayground.com/news.php?newsid=7 24&yr=&mon=

    1. Re:Porn in HD-DVD already available by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      incorrect that film is a wmv hd only playable on a pc the same as the rest of the films here http://www.microsoft.com/windows/windowsmedia/cont ent_provider/film/dvd.aspx they are still on standard dvd discs but use wmvhd compression instead of mpeg2 hd dvd is a new disc format altogether

  105. Re:Seems reasonable [ergo, it's PR BS] by WaltFrench · · Score: 1

    MS is obliged to its shareholders to act in the way that makes the most money for them. The only time management should hold back is when they worry that everybody else will take their marbles and go home, causing MS shareholders to make less money. To understand this announcement, hop in the WayBack machine & watch All the President's Men. Follow the money.

    MS has (legitimate) interest in selling its intellectual property, expanding the market for MS PC technologies, gaining competitive advantage in having "the best" DVD format on its game player, etc. All they have to do is determine what combination of features maximizes their various divisions' total profits, time their announcement for best possible "they're a distant second" leapfrogging, and ONLY THEN get some decent PR type to choose the senior engineer to put their best foot forward. That's what they've just done.

    Not that the arguments are false; they sound reasonable enough. (If they didn't, they wouldn't have been made.) It's just that they are so (expectedly) lopsided. They make it seem a huge deal that they've got double-sided disks in pre-production at 20% more storage than the 1G Blu-Ray, and will lock in at 40% less storage than the Blu-Ray pre-production "totally unproven" technology. It's just that nobody should make decisions by listening to only one competitor's argument.

    --
    "Inquiring Minds Want to Know!"
  106. blu-ray attack! by chrish · · Score: 2, Funny

    When I saw this headline, I had the most awesome mental image of blue lasers decimating the Redmond campus...

    --
    - chrish
  107. Re:Take that Sony by ad0gg · · Score: 1

    Umm because the 360 gets launched in less than two months and psx3 doesn't get launched till late spring next year at the soonest. Why the hell would sony advertise now?

    --

    Have you ever been to a turkish prison?

  108. Re:Take that Sony by Prophet+of+Nixon · · Score: 1

    PS2 seems to have a decent number of scrolling shooters, though I'm sorta disappointed by the lack of any from Capcom. Of course, I've got a few of those (and Ikaruga) on the Dreamcast still. You might want to check out Gradius V, it was actually a joint Konami/Treasure game, and there's a lot of Ikaruga style in it, so far as coloring, enemy ship formations, pacing, etc. They've done some incredible things with the 'option' side-ships.

  109. Remember what you learned in kindergarden by kweg · · Score: 1

    ok it would have been hard to make a vhs/beat blayer, but HD and BD are both dvd size, it shouldn't be to hard to make players support both right? lets share.

  110. RTFA, moderators. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Parent says "HD-DVD is already here."

    You left out the beginning of the sentance: "if the article (re: Microsoft) is true..."

    I guess you did not RTFA because you seemed to have missed his point. If TA is true, the manufacturing process of dual layer (30GB) HD-DVD and hybrid discs has been perfected already and both will be available at launch. If TA is true, dual layer Blu Ray (50GB) does not exist outside of a lab and might be years away.

    This debate is about disc availability, now and when the players launch.

  111. The question on everyone's mind: by Guppy06 · · Score: 1

    Were any chairs thrown?

  112. Oh Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Is MS playing games, or is Sony misrepresenting just how far along BD-ROM really is?
    As far as I'm concerned, Microsoft is the king of "misrepresenting", surpassed perhaps only by Sony. Of course, that's to be expected from marketing companies.
  113. but there is no such thing as hd-dvd by deiong · · Score: 1

    every single news place posts there biggest argument is you can have hd-dvd now and not blueray. yet hd-dvd got deleayed until march 2006, and you can in fact buy a blueray tv top recorder if your rich enough now.. so whats teh deal ?? do news places onlien forget to tell the truth in there stories.. msnbc, cnet all of em say you can have hd-dvd now. but then the very next day they also announced its been delayed til march. and there are already retail blueray recording devices for the ultra rich.. so why are they still getting there stories mixed up ?>??

  114. Re:Take that Sony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    My theory is that the complete lack of spelling was interesting, but then again, it is just a theory. Still, I've never seen a more inventive use of "pails" in my life.

  115. Yes, exactly how revocation works by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    If all you ever do is play your own burned media, key revocation will not matter a whit to you. Basically what will happen is not so much firmware update on discs (impractical with a number of players around) but instead a disc will say "this key cannot be used to play me".

    Although I figure if the right keys are compromised, we'll not see a real revocation. I mean if a Sony key is broken is Sony really going to let a few million players be reaclled because the keys are no longer good? I honestly don't think they've thought through the whole customer satisfaction angle with this whole revocation scheme.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  116. Re:They will both fail. - data backups!! by efuzzyone · · Score: 1

    I am not worried about movies, and studios. The reason why either of the two technology should be cheap and easily available and affordable is, so that it can help in data backup. I want to do away my stack of dvds and replace them by fewer disks.

    --
    Creativity uninhibited www.kreeti.com
  117. Re:Microsoft follows the money /PS3 problems as we by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think we should look at history here.

    When the PS2 came out it could read DVD's and in those days DVD's were quite expensive so what better way to protect against copying than a fairly expensive media. Also PS2's were cheaper than most DVD players although that changed fairly quickly.

    Now of course DVD roms are cheap (I can get them cheaper than CD's now). I think the same will happen with Blueray and when you are looking at millions of sales of PS3's then it is only natural that prices will come down especially if Bluray players and recorders come out just after the PS3 launch.

    If Microsoft thinks it can actually stop Bluray devices being installed in PC's then it's going to be in for a shock. In fact they will have to support it since Linux will (it will also support HD-DVD as well) and it will be demanded.

    As far as the PS3 slipping - were are the links?

  118. Re:Take that Sony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You do realise that there's a world out there, right? Maybe this person doesn't know it. Perhaps it would be wise to take a moment to reflect upon that. English isn't the most spoken language in the world, you know. ;-)

  119. Pffft. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're all wrong! LaserDisc is the future, bitches!!!

  120. Making water not wet by Eivind · · Score: 1
    Bruce Schneier said it best: Trying to make bits non-copyable is sort of like trying to make water not wet.

    What they're trying to do is fundamentally impossible to acomplish.

    They want players (millions of them!) to be able to play the discs without requiring a network-connection.

    At the same time, they want the info needed for decoding the discs (the key basically) to remain secret.

    These two wishes are mutually exclusive. You cannot distribute a key in millions of copies in equally many different physical devices and expect that *noone* will ever manage to somehow extract one of those keys.

    Now, using multiple keys for different manufacturers help, but only a little. If you use say 1000 different keys and one of them are compromised, what will you do ? Turn 1/1000 of the existing players into paperweigths ? Recall and "update" them ? You're talking hundreds of thousands of players, or millions of players if it's the key in a popular brand....

    Tamper-proof hardware helps a little, but it increases the cost of the players so the pressure to drop it will be large. (witness the current crop of $30 DVD-players)

    Furthermore, every tamper-"proofing" can be broken, it's just harder. If a chip is sensitive to ligth, you can pry it open in darkness. If oxygene reacts with a chemical and destroys it on dismantling, you can dismantle it in a nitrogen-atmosphere. If the chip stays intact only aslong as a positive pressure of 20 atmospheres is maintained around it, you can open it in a pressure-tank. You get the idea.

  121. HD's don't survive floodwater, DVDs do. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As one of those who lost their houses (sorta, 6ft o' watar!) to Katrina, I can tell you this: If you value your external hard disk, put it in a ziploc bag or two. If you value your DVD-R's, just put them anywhere, preferably somewhere they won't snap. If they're not crap (read: Verbatim) then they'll be fine after a flood. I've seen them, and while Memorex just let the data layer etc fall off (a solid blue disc with only the marker lettering and 'memorex' name surviving), Verbatim was dirty, but cleanable and still completely there.

    It sounds like an Advert, but that's my actual experience. Yay, Verbatim.