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Chinese Sub Pops Up Amid US Navy Exercise

One NATO figure said the effect was "as big a shock as the Russians launching Sputnik." American military chiefs have been left dumbstruck by an undetected Chinese submarine popping up at the heart of a recent Pacific exercise and close to the vast USS Kitty Hawk. By the time it surfaced, the 160ft Song Class diesel-electric attack submarine had sailed within viable range for launching torpedoes or missiles at the carrier. The incident caused consternation in the US Navy, which had no idea China's fast-growing submarine fleet had reached such a level of sophistication.

916 comments

  1. Simple solution: by calebt3 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Time to spend a few billion $ on R&D for new submarines!

    1. Re:Simple solution: by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Not really. Our submarines are far superior to the Chinese even now, but the problem is the crews.

      One of the reasons I got out of the submarine business is how far the standards have fallen even in the 6 short years I was on a submarine.

      Modern submariners are a joke compared to their cold war predecessors.

    2. Re:Simple solution: by calebt3 · · Score: 1

      Meh, satellite-based detection systems may be a better direction anyways...

    3. Re:Simple solution: by andy314159pi · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      compared to their cold war predecessors.
      It looks like we might be heading into a new cold war of sorts.

      I hope no one mods me down for saying this, but I really feel like we should consider starting the draft again. We need to bolster our troop levels and try to do it in as egalitarian a way as possible.
    4. Re:Simple solution: by Vellmont · · Score: 3, Insightful


      Modern submariners are a joke compared to their cold war predecessors.

      Do we need to up to cold war standards? I'm sure that the current army soldiers are a joke compared to WWII era hardened veterans.

      Submarine warfare is limited to those nations that have the ability to have submarine fleets. Those countries aren't terribly hostile towards the United States. It's extremely doubtful we're going to fight a big naval battle anytime soon.

      --
      AccountKiller
    5. Re:Simple solution: by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Part of the problem is something very simple (in a Freakonomics sort of way):

      Laser eye surgery is destroying the Navy

      Every single officer* who joins the Navy wants to be a pilot. In the past, many smart people with less-than-perfect vision joined the Navy and many were sent to submarines. Now, all the smart ones get surgery and become pilots. It almost makes me cry to remember the type of people who now make "nuclear officers".

      * (not much of an exaggeration)

    6. Re:Simple solution: by rainmayun · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There are good reasons to have a draft, but having more troops for the sake of having more troops isn't one of them. Modern wars aren't decided by the size of the armies involved. Mutually assured destruction means the odds of direct conflict between China and the USA are very low, but the odds of a proxy or asymmetric war are somewhat higher.

    7. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hope no one mods me down for saying this, but I really feel like we should consider starting the draft again. We need to bolster our troop levels and try to do it in as egalitarian a way as possible. It should include women as well. A draft would definitely help with our apathy epidemic.
    8. Re:Simple solution: by jollyreaper · · Score: 1

      Not really. Our submarines are far superior to the Chinese even now, but the problem is the crews.

      One of the reasons I got out of the submarine business is how far the standards have fallen even in the 6 short years I was on a submarine.

      Modern submariners are a joke compared to their cold war predecessors. Elaborate, please. Is this beause there are better options for potential recruits in the civilian world and the Navy is forced to scrape the bottom of the barrel to meet the recruiting requirements? Are you losing the mid-level NCO's and junior officers because of shitty service conditions? I hear the Army is bleeding captains like mad due to being fed up with Iraq. Is the Navy getting pressured hard by the war?
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    9. Re:Simple solution: by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Do we need to up to cold war standards?
      The ability of a submarine to remain undetected and at the same time to detect enemy submarines is as fundamental to the concept of a submarine as the ability to fly is to an airplane.
    10. Re:Simple solution: by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      Is this beause there are better options for potential recruits in the civilian world and the Navy is forced to scrape the bottom of the barrel to meet the recruiting requirements? Are you losing the mid-level NCO's and junior officers because of shitty service conditions?
      Yes and yes.

      Supply and demand is working against the submarine community (same in most of the military). As the recruiting pool shrinks people who would never have made it before must be retained. As the quality of new sailors showing up on the boat decreases this causes increased frustration for the more experienced sailors. Less of these people stay in, and the people who remain tend to be unemployable in the civilian world.

      Can you say positive feedback?
    11. Re:Simple solution: by skoaldipper · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I hope no one mods me down for saying this, but I really feel like we should consider starting the draft again.
      Helots or Spartans? Clear difference.

      As a Veteran, I was proud to have served in an all volunteer Army, and in hindsight, more apt to give my own life in return.
      --
      I hope, when they die, cartoon characters have to answer for their sins.
    12. Re:Simple solution: by Neuticle · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I'd mod you up if I still had points.

      To keep this on-topic somewhat: Teh Chinese R in r base, steelinz r sub planz! LOLZ!!!1!eleventy!!

      But seriously, they did publish photos of classified sub propellers on Google Earth.

      While I understand the value behind an all volunteer force, I've always thought there was something of value in systems of compulsory service like Israel and Switzerland, i.e. if you don't want to be a combatant, you can opt for non-combat duty. Everyone still gives a contribution of some sort, be it cook, driver, nurse, janitor/maintenance etc thus the combatants (who chose combat) can operate at best efficiency without worrying about non-combat details.

      It seems to me that this is a good compromise between drafting people and coercing them to fight like the US did in Vietnam, and relying solely on volunteers for the whole operation of the military.

      Plus it would eliminates much (but probably not all) the cultural and economic disparity in the ranks. If Johnny Megabucks had to serve next to William Poorhouse, as equals, it just might make the USA a better country.

      /considering a military career for grad school, but not only for financial motives. There are other ways to pay.

      --
      "Cheeze it!" - Bender
    13. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We need a commander-in-chief that doesn't abuse his position. Many are probably afraid to sign up, not wanting to be stuck on a ten-year tour-of-duty. We should have been in and out of Afghanistan in a few months, and we shouldn't have entered Iraq at all. We didn't have a single good reason to invade. Why would anyone want to sign up for an pointless war? Our soldiers should have the right to protect our country with honor.

    14. Re:Simple solution: by h4rm0ny · · Score: 4, Insightful


      And that's assuming that it ever came to war. I don't want to be blasé about the risk of conflict, but keep in mind that US debt isn't quite critical but has become very, very large. A good portion of that debt is to China (another big chunk is borrowed against the public via social security, et al). The US government has essentially mortgaged the country. There doesn't have to be a war before a US citizen finds she's working for a Chinese company and renting from a Chinese landlord.

      Now the US has an enormous military (there had to be something to show for all that borrowing and it certainly wasn't in education and health care, yes?). You could say that the US could tell the rest of the World to go and fuck itself and renege on the debt. But that's extremely unlikely because (a) the richest people of the US who have the greatest influence to bring about such a thing are those who would lose the most in any sort of international isolation or chaos, (b) the whole economic structure of the US would go into freefall and (c) it would be hard to fund the US military in an economic crisis anyway, at least for any sustained period.

      Besides, it's not in the USA's creditor's interests for the US to default on debt or go bankrupt or turn into a military dictatorship. The percentage is in keeping it just sufficiently under the economic thumb that it can be milked in perpetuity and nudged into selling off its institutions and resources group by group. That's one of the nice things about a heavily privatised society. It makes it convenient for the country to be sold without non-radical means of preventing it.

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    15. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I was on a sub as well. I was in the engineering spaces and not in the control room (I was a "fucking nuke" and not a "coner", long story to explain what that means but you would not understand unless you were on a sub yourself) but I've heard stories that lowered my confidence in those that were controlling the ship.

      When we got past the continental shelf and submerged, we started tracking a US navy submarine, turns out it was ourselves. Another time we were waiting to come to periscope depth but there was a fishing boat in the area. When we did finally did get to PD, that fishing boat turned out to be an aircraft carrier which I also assume included a group of ships as they do not typically travel alone.
      It seemed to me that when the boat ran exercises, they always went well and as planned so I assumed when the eyes and ears of the submarine know something is there they can do good but when the unexpected or unplanned comes up, they seem clueless and stressed. Maybe the technology and the tracking is not an exact science for them and one individuals interpretation stands as fact without much questioning. I know we did not have that philosophy in the nuclear side of the boat and everything was questioned and worked out many times over. Military rank meant next to nothing with us. Any person could provide a solution or question someone elses solution or actions and the details were discussed equally among everyone, officer and enlisted.

      Again, I was not a "coner" and did not hang out in the control areas so maybe these stories are a little exaggerated.

    16. Re:Simple solution: by Vellmont · · Score: 1, Insightful


      The ability of a submarine to remain undetected and at the same time to detect enemy submarines is as fundamental to the concept of a submarine as the ability to fly is to an airplane

      Did you really miss my point entirely?

      Submarine technology is actually way less relevant to the threats of the modern world than even freaking tanks. When was the last time we used a submarine to do any kind of warfare or political maneuvering? I'd say that ended in the cold war.

      The US and the rest of the world are fighting enemies that don't have submarines, or any navy at all. Al-Queda doesn't have a navy. These are small, dedicated groups of people who remain hidden. You can't fight people like that with a tank, much less a submarine.

      The US can take two roads here. Train a bunch of submariner guys REALLY well, develop technologies to defeat them, basically start another cold war. Of course.. that just might be a slight distraction from that other threat..

      The other path is to not over-react. China isn't going to attack the US, if for no other reason they've invested too damn much money in us. I'd bet the Chinese economy would collapse if the US wasn't buying all that crap from them. Concentrate on the real threats, not the Chinese wanting to look like big-shots by sneaking up on a few inexperienced submariners (most of which is probably all still geared up to look for nuclear subs).

      --
      AccountKiller
    17. Re:Simple solution: by Martin+Foster · · Score: 2, Informative

      Iran comes to mind as a nation with a small fleet of submarines that may not have any particular love for the US. Submarine capable nations are pretty much everywhere around the globe and while they do not necessarily have high technology nuclear subs and instead make use of ageing Russian hand-me-down subs, they certainly can still prevent carrier fleets from entering certain waters.

      Subs in the Falklands war could have been deadly if their maintenance routines did not lead to interface cards being damaged. Chile is hardly an international powerhouse, still they managed.

    18. Re:Simple solution: by davidsyes · · Score: 4, Informative

      Mwuh? Blue-green laser? For communications, but for detection?

      http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&ct=res&cd=5&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.global-defence.com%2F2000%2Fpages%2Fantisub.html&ei=dQQ5R9ONCZqmpwSDpri5DA&usg=AFQjCNFurOKcHV-O93WzeGxSR3G52nZNHA&sig2=nQgPQgY1Z_CHW9fPYsT5_A

      I'm not up to current events with subs, but check these out:

      http://bubbleheads.blogspot.com/2007/05/co-of-uss-helena-relieved-for-cause.html

      http://makeyourdepth.blogspot.com/

      http://www.navy.mil/navydata/cno/n87/usw/issue_33/virginia_2.html

      As long as a sub can hide and wait for a CVBG to cross within, say, 5 NM to any side, a hidden sub can vertical launch or float into a vertical launch one or more missiles, mines, decoys or other devices as a ruse or means to disperse the fleet and weaken the shield/umbrella.

      Sure, they'll face retaliation, but for any rogue/stateless assailants wanting to damage or merely startle a CVBG (which may or may not end up in the press), this might be something we see more of -- by state-funded, stateless actors.

      --
      Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
    19. Re:Simple solution: by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      I hope no one mods me down for saying this, but I really feel like we should consider starting the draft again.

      If you really want to end the war in Iraq TODAY, you'll keep talking like that. (hell, I do, so keep on talking).

      This Iraq war is already unpopular enough. Start a draft, and we'll be out faster than you can say 2008 election.

      --
      AccountKiller
    20. Re:Simple solution: by 1u3hr · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Submarine warfare is limited to those nations that have the ability to have submarine fleets. Those countries aren't terribly hostile towards the United States. It's extremely doubtful we're going to fight a big naval battle anytime soon.

      This is China. They're telling the US that if China decides to invade Taiwan, not to mess with them. The US fleet often travels in the Taiwan Strait just to show China that they control the sealanes and can protect Taiwan. China is saying, "No, you don't".

    21. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm guessing you didn't stand watch in Maneuvering, otherwise you'd get to hear all the gory details from the EOOW.

    22. Re:Simple solution: by megaditto · · Score: 1

      Good. I'd rather spend my money myself than be taxed to death to support your wargasms.
      And I'd rather see those smart navy boys go do something useful with their lives.

      In this day and age, 70 subs is quite enough, thank you very much.

      --
      Obama likes poor people so much, he wants to make more of them.
    23. Re:Simple solution: by Highroller · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It makes sense in another way--you can have a career as an airline pilot after you leave the service.

    24. Re:Simple solution: by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Submarine technology is actually way less relevant to the threats of the modern world than even freaking tanks.
      You might be ignorant of all possible uses of submarines.

      When was the last time we used a submarine to do any kind of warfare or political maneuvering? I'd say that ended in the cold war.
      A lot more recently than you think.
    25. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, in the middle seat, that is how I heard about those stories (and many more) but I was not in control to see it myself.

    26. Re:Simple solution: by mr100percent · · Score: 1

      An all-volunteer army will function better than one where the guy next to you was dragooned in. People would threaten to run away and desert and that would hurt morale even more.

    27. Re:Simple solution: by HBI · · Score: 1

      I'm sure that the current army soldiers are a joke compared to WWII era hardened veterans.

      Today's Army is far better trained and equipped but the raw human material is probably inferior to what you got in WWII. Just because the more intelligent people aren't going to enlist, whereas no one really had a choice back then.

      --
      HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
    28. Re:Simple solution: by mkaylor · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Any moron can fly a plane, but it takes a real man to be a SS Qualified Nuke Office.

    29. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I stayed in that middle seat for 6 years because I was terrified to go EWS and leave the engine room in the hands of some mouth-breathing JO.

    30. Re:Simple solution: by smittyoneeach · · Score: 5, Informative

      Laser eye surgery is destroying the Navy
      As a Naval Reserve squid, I'd like to gently refute this.
      The decline of the US Navy is related to the lack of any nation that can go toe-to-toe with the US in a blue-water fight. Which is a Good Thing: engagements like Leyte Gulf ain't cheap. If the US has deterred opposing Navies from even showing up, then the job has been done.
      The Soviet Navy has, happily, rusted away at the pier for the most part.
      The Chinese Navy, while up-and-coming, hasn't really got the blue-water muscle.

      By the time it surfaced the 160ft Song Class
      diesel-electric attack submarine is understood to have sailed within viable range for launching torpedoes or missiles at the carrier.
      [snip]
      Its 13 Song Class submarines are extremely quiet and difficult to detect when running on electric motors.
      Commodore Stephen Saunders, editor of Jane's Fighting Ships, and a former Royal Navy anti-submarine specialist, said the U.S. had paid relatively little attention to this form of warfare since the end of the Cold War.
      For comparison, the US SSN-688 (Los Angeles class) is over twice as long and has ~three times the displacement.
      Electric motors are indeed quiet. No mention on Wikipedia of any bottoming capability, an even more scary possiblity.
      Interestingly, the Wikipedia page notes that this incident occured in October 2006 "in the ocean between southern Japan and Taiwan", at a range of 5 nautical miles (less than half the distance to the horizon) off Okinawa. One wonders if the Kittyhawk was conducting flight ops (the tone of the article would seem to indicate no).
      If you've been on one of her escorts and had to be plane guard for an aircraft carrier, you know her for a fickle wench out chasing a breeze. If the submarine commander wasn't really comfortable with his knowledge of the sea bottom, that surfacing could have had everything to do with fearing for his life. Trading paint with 84,000 tons of US diplomacy underway going full-tilt-boogy is not going to be a career enhancer.
      Not that this wipes the egg off the face of whoever was in charge of the escort screen, if the Chinese presence was indeed the surprise that the article touts it as.
      --
      Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
    31. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe if the pilots weren't wearing those goggles they might have seen it!

    32. Re:Simple solution: by JavaManJim · · Score: 1

      Wonko the very sane very smart.

      Could you provide some examples you saw and experienced where people performance on US subs deterioated during your tenure in the Navy? Nothing classified please.

      Also see the Norfolk sub fleet stand down. 01/11/2007
      http://content.hamptonroads.com/story.cfm?story=117428&ran=182798&tref=po

      The USS Greenville and Ehime Maru near Oahu, Hawaii, 02/09/2001
      http://www.ntsb.gov/publictn/2005/MAB0501.htm

      Thanks,
      Jim

    33. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're saying all of that debt isn't a good reason to start shit?

    34. Re:Simple solution: by kullnd · · Score: 1

      As another former submariner, this is no surprise to me either, and I will second that the crews on our boats are going down the toilet. Alot of this is coming from the nintendo / playstation generation that is now going to our crews and have this ideal that the world (and navy) owes them a favor, they forget that they did join the military and that unlike burger king it's not all done their way. It's the kinder, gentler navy. I don't believe that this is the root cause of another countries submarine sneeking into our play field though, while it is a big deal on many other levels.

      The thing about this incident is that desiel submarines are in fact very very quite. It is not unbelievable that a submarine could get into an area that we do not want them if they are running silent. The only way that you are going to detect a silent submarine in many cases is to go active with the sonar, which is something that you do not always want to do because it gives away your location as well.

      Submarines are built to sneak around, and it looks like they did what they were designed to do. Why is this a slashdot story?

      --
      +++ATH0 NO CARRIER
    35. Re:Simple solution: by m4cph1sto · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Regarding your claim that laser eye surgery is destroying the navy...

      At the US Naval Academy summer seminar a few years ago, I was informed by some officers that having laser eye surgery would immediately disqualify me from being a pilot. This is due to the uncertain effect of altitude/pressure/high g-forces on the vision of someone who's had laser surgery. I was disappointed by this policy because my vision is not perfect, and I was told that the best I could aim for was being a "back-steater", like Goose in Top Gun. I decided not to apply to the Academy. But if what you say is true and the surgery is now allowed, I might reconsider my decision and go for some Lasik... wait, did I just prove your point?

    36. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Submarine technology is actually way less relevant to the threats of the modern world than even freaking tanks.

      This is one of the stupidest statements I have ever read on Slashdot.

      Two points (and there are many more that I won't discuss):

      1. Just because there isn't fighting on the seas today doesn't mean that there couldn't be. It would be wise to look at how submarines were used in WWII (axis and allied submarines). The use of submarines in the Pacific Theatre was particularly devastating. I'll give you a hint on how they might be used today if a major war broke out: submarines might be used to attack the transportation routes of a certain precious substance that starts with an 'O' and ends with an 'L'. It also might have the middle letter 'I.' This same tactic was used in the past to bring the Japanese empire to its knees in WWII long before US bombers were in range.

      2. You were talking about "the threats of the modern world" and nuclear SLBMs didn't cross your mind? Really? Then you are dumber than a doorknob.

    37. Re:Simple solution: by Usquebaugh · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Bollocks.

      All China has to do is release it's US funds to the open market. Pop goes the US financial system, no money no Navy, Army, Air Force or USMC. China grabs Taiwan before the US recovers.

      The only thing that the US can hope for is that the US economy is worth more to China than Taiwan.

    38. Re:Simple solution: by SargentDU · · Score: 1

      Not to mention the gp forgot about Tomohawk missles fired from submarines in both gulf wars. Mod the AC up.

    39. Re:Simple solution: by fishbowl · · Score: 1

      The military has a very high "police ratio" NOW, imagine what would happen if they had to deal with large numbers of people who *really* don't want to be there.

      Oh, and I wouldn't necessarily count on the anti-draft/anti-war movement to be like the 60s, devoted to peaceful means, etc.

      Vietnam protesters just happened to be intersected with a counterculture that was discovering Eastern religions, drugs that ramped down aggression levels, and so on. Do people today share the same values? What do you think will happen when you start drafting the counterculture of the inner-city? I'd encourage you to prepare for three things: 1. Extreme violence among the recruits on training bases, 2. Organized violence targeting commanders, and 3. A civil war with a rebellion force that has been trained, organized, and equipped by tax money.

      --
      -fb Everything not expressly forbidden is now mandatory.
    40. Re:Simple solution: by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Modern submariners are a joke compared to their cold war predecessors.
      But they're all volunteers! The bravest and the best - at least that's what we're told.

      Back in the 60's, LBJ put through an executive order which took most of the deferments out of the draft and instituted a lottery for all eligible males. This one event made the draft much more fair. Coincidentally, there was suddenly an increase in anti-war sentiment among the rich and powerful. Interesting how when your own kids are at risk, war doesn't seem quite so wonderful.

      As long as we're going to have war-loving leaders and an economy that requires periodic foreign military actions to keep the dollar afloat, then every young American should have to serve. If the two men in the White House had actually had to go to Viet Nam, they might not be so thrilled with the idea that an endless war is the best way to govern and profit.

      Even if our subs are currently superior to the Chinese versions, we better be prepared to not always be number one. It might go easier for us when that day arrives if we had behaved a little better when we were on top.
      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    41. Re:Simple solution: by DesScorp · · Score: 1


      "Time to spend a few billion $ on R&D for new submarines!"

      Our subs are fine. They still outclass anything the Chinese make (yet).

      Our sonar technology in and of itself...now that is another matter altogether.

      --
      Life is hard, and the world is cruel
    42. Re:Simple solution: by davidsyes · · Score: 3, Interesting

      In the 70s and 80's, part of the problem with retention was directly due to CIA manipulation of (or, tacit compliance by) the USN SSN fleet. They had the boats laying/attaching cable sniffing devices, nearly costing several divers their lives as they were nearly crushed by the boats (USN SSNs) to which they were tethered. I understand that depth charges may have been used on some of these boats which penetrated Russian waters. The Russians/Soviets would have been WELL within their rights to depth-bomb the boats without warning, apology, or restitution.

      So, in the early part of the 80's (June-ish 83) when I volunteered for SSN Advanced Electronics, my recruiter started the paperwork, and I was to report to Great Mistakes (Great Lakes) circa June 84. But, then, by June 84, when I swore in for the second time, at MEPS Oakland (1313? Clay St.) I was told I was not needed for SSN training. The navy no longer was having its retention problems.

      Only years later, after reading Blind Man's Bluff, did I start to put two and two together. Hell, even my prospective recruiter in 1979-1982 ...

      (I haunted the USN recruiters, and in Galveston AND in San Jose, ALL 5 branches wanted me; the Army and Marine recruiters were begging the Navy to trade me to them for 3 to 4 of their top candidates; I was interested in SHIPS and SUBS, not bivouacs and showerless days, infantry maneuvers, or being in the Chair Force... Granted I WAS a member of the Army JROTC of Ball High, and concurrently a Young Marine in the Henry W. Nichols Detachment of the Young Marines in the 10th grade, and upon moving to San Jose, was in the Army Military Science Explorers, training out the the USNGR center near downtown, and concurrently in the Milpitas High Navy JROTC, and was drawing/designing SSNs, SSBNs, and surface war ships (Free World Frigate variants, DDH/DDG/LHA/LHD forays)... ... was a bubblehead and he didn't seem to be in ANY hurry to relinquish is recruiting role. Not that he was a bum, he probably dared not discourage me from volunteering for sub duty. I'd read Missile Base Beneath the Sea, numerous other contemporary and WWII sub and ship war books, and freaked him out when I drew a 7-bladed prop.. IN 1980/80!. See:

      http://www.otanashide.com/17.html

      Look at pic # 41, the last one.

      I'd been inspired by Voyage to the Bottom of the Sea (which I'd increasingly come to despise for its fakery) and other shows. I bought cutaway model of the U-47, and one of the Geo Washington (that one, by Revell, ROYALLy pissed of one Admiral Hyman G. Rickover, for it gave a nice view of the reactor, recirc pump, steam vessel, prop shaft, generator sets, the SINS (Ship's Inertial Navigation System) and huge-ass gyro amidships...) and began to cut beer cans and shape props. I tested my Huey UH-1D model but could not blow hard enough to spin the two blades. The 3-bladed props on my LSD model wouldn't spin. I then used the aluminum and cut 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, and 8 blades of various pitch, rake, skew, and other things, by hand of course, and blew as HARD as I could down onto the blades. The 7-bladed one lifted off smoothly, rapidly, and in near balance, and nearly cut the shit out of my cheek in the process. Excitedly, I said, "THAT'S MY PROPELLER", and drew it on my notional SSBN. I'll always remember that thrum and VVVVOOOMPH sound that aluminum made as it lifted in near controlled-violence. In some ways, that sight and sound were (now) better than most occasions of adult contact (TMI, but you have to put this in the context of a 14-17 y.o. having self-discovered something no one would publish back then) I had. Imagine being on your ship when ILO (Initial Light-Off) of the plant or weapons or radar systems happens. You get that energizing, LIFE, feeling.

      I took it to my recruiter, and he went ape-shit. Said "HOW'D YOU GET THAT???!!! THAT'S a national/USN secret!" Secret my ass, cuz one, he shouldn't have reacted that way, and two, by 1983 or so (a y

      --
      Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
    43. Re:Simple solution: by h4rm0ny · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The US and the rest of the world are fighting enemies that don't have submarines, or any navy at all. Al-Queda doesn't have a navy. These are small, dedicated groups of people who remain hidden. You can't fight people like that with a tank, much less a submarine.


      Al Quaeda are not a threat to the the United States. Not in the way that an actual army is. Al Quaeda are just the logical response to a long history of US support for the nasty regime of Saudi Arabia. Unchecked, they will cause deaths, but the only real threat they pose to the US itself, is one of respect which harms the government and its foreign bad-ass image. But not a threat to the American way of life or culture (those have come solely in the government's response). The two reasons that Al Quaeda are played up by the US government and media are (a) as a part of a campaign of confusing issues to justify an occupation of Iraq and (b) to excuse the diversion of vast funds into the military sector. A dubious reason to increase government surveillance and power is also a pleasant (for the authorities) bonus.

      Of course this isn't to disagree with your main arguments. Trying to restart the Cold War is massively misguided and the US can't afford to do it anyway. I'm just observing that Al Queada is a reactionary force to US policy, not an independent force. They fight primarily off US territority and could not pursue a war on US territority. All the US needs to do to stop the resistance is to stop pushing. But the powers that be in the US can't countenance such an idea because they have so much riding on being the big tough guy, both before the US people's (Slashdotter's excepted) drilled in faith in their country's superiority and on the international stage where they have pushed other countries around for a long time (mostly with a complete lack of awareness of the situation on the part of the population who I've usually found to be very friendly).

      The swollen armed forces of the US have been unnecessary for quite some time. I'm surprised people haven't cottoned on a long time before now.
      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    44. Re:Simple solution: by memeplex · · Score: 0

      As a pilot, I'll agree that any moron can fly a plane, but it takes a good deal of practice and skill to land one. Much respect to submariners, though.

    45. Re:Simple solution: by mikael · · Score: 1

      Maybe the reason that this submarine surfaced was that they were running on electric power to remain quiet, the batteries ran flat, and they had to surface for fresh air?

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    46. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      by state-funded, stateless actors.
      This has Iran written all over. With just the military threat such as submarines in the Strait of Hormuz, Iran can blockade oil shipments. This would have worldwide repercussions however, since about a fifth of all oil consumed in the world is shipped through this vital strait. Not something I personally like to think about.

    47. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "If you've been on one of her escorts and had to be plane guard for an aircraft carrier, you know her for a fickle wench out chasing a breeze."
       
      "Trading paint with 84,000 tons of US diplomacy underway going full-tilt-boogy is not going to be a career enhancer."
       
      "Not that this wipes the egg off the face of whoever was in charge of the escort screen [...]"
       
       


      What the hell does all this mean? Could someone translate in proper English for us non-native-English-speaking /.ers?

    48. Re:Simple solution: by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 4, Informative

      USS Hartford grounding (I was onboard for that one)

      It's hard to describe, but the attitudes changed as the old-timers who were on the ship when I was the new guy left. People lost pride in their jobs. Basic DC (damage control) skills evaporated. For all those reading this where were/are on a submarine: can you find all the EAB manifolds between shaft alley and the watertight door blindfolded? Did you every try?

      It is a requirement that a submariner earn his warfare pin within one year. If he couldn't do it, then he was sent to the surface fleet. Now people routinely go past the 1 year mark and it is almost unheard of for a person to not qualify, no matter now little they know. If another major submarine fire happens underway, I really expect the ship to be lost because no one took that training seriously.

      The worst part is that for all the bad things that happened on our ship, many of the other ships were even worse.

    49. Re:Simple solution: by 1u3hr · · Score: 3, Insightful
      All China has to do is release it's US funds to the open market. Pop goes the US financial system,

      Right. An then pop goes the Chinese financial system. And if China did something like that, the US would be far more likely to aggressively respond to any Chinese military moves.

      no money no Navy, Army, Air Force or USMC

      The military is the last thing to get cut. Even if their budget were reduced, it would have the capacity to crush China for years, if not decades.

      Much better for China if they can suggest, by demonstrations like this, that confronting them militarily would be an expensive exercise, and that the US and China should just do business as usual if China decides to invade Taiwan (after some token protests).

    50. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      EWS ran the engine room. obviously you didn't trust yourself

    51. Re:Simple solution: by Maxmin · · Score: 3, Insightful

      any rogue/stateless assailants wanting to damage or merely startle a CVBG (which may or may not end up in the press), this might be something we see more of -- by state-funded, stateless actors.

      state-funded, stateless actors

      Let's say Osama bin Laden buys a Chinese sub. He drives it into the middle of a battle group, "pops up," says hi to the closest ships with a full complement of surface-to-surface missiles, and scores some decent hit points.

      Meanwhile, US reconnaisance, within the group, in the sky and in orbit, are busy snapping hires photos of a Chinese sub. Doesn't matter who was driving it, it all points back to Beijing.

      In a matter of minutes, the US is in total retaliation mode - against China.

      Submarines aren't in any way comparable RPGs or dusty Soviet-era rockets sold through arms merchants. To keep an expensive, complex piece of hardware like an attack sub running, you *must* have parts, a fully-trained crew, ad naseum. That means a steady supply large coin going to the seller, with supply lines, technical support, and giving the crew access to military nav sat so they can actually navigate. That makes China a de-facto partner in the operation.

      What are you smoking? You sound much like a wild-eyed neocon who fully expects the brown-skinned, foreign-sounding guy at the checkout counter to pull an AK-47 and smoke some Americans.

      I'm not up to current events with subs

      'Nuff said.

      --
      O lord, bless this thy holy hand grenade, that with it thou mayest blow thine enemies to tiny bits, in thy mercy.
    52. Re:Simple solution: by number11 · · Score: 4, Informative

      What the hell does all this mean? Could someone translate in proper English for us non-native-English-speaking /.ers?

      1) Aircraft carriers may change directions (getting lined up with the wind) in ways that are not predictable to the captain of a Chinese submarine.

      2) It would be really bad to be hit by a carrier, they are very large.

      3) But the vessels that are supposed to be guarding the carrier should have detected the "enemy" sub.

    53. Re:Simple solution: by SirTreveyan · · Score: 5, Informative

      It seems to be in simple English to me...but let me try to explain.

      "If you've been on one of her escorts and had to be plane guard for an aircraft carrier, you know her for a fickle wench out chasing a breeze." Sea breezes constantly change direction. A carrier will try to steam into the wind whenever launching or landing aircraft. As a result the carrier changes directions quite frequently. This forces the surrounding escorts to change direction. I may be wrong but it is my understanding is that passive detection methods are hindered during these changes of direction.

      "Trading paint with 84,000 tons of US diplomacy underway going full-tilt-boogy is not going to be a career enhancer." Being in command of a submarine when it gets run over by a U.S carrier running at top speed will not make you a top candidate for the next Admiral slot that opens up.

      "Not that this wipes the egg off the face of whoever was in charge of the escort screen [...]" The escorts screwed up bu not properly anticipating the carrier's movements. The escorts should have changed their direction in a way that would have minimized any reduction in the effectiveness of the task forces passive sonars.

      --

      SELECT * FROM User WHERE Clue > 0

      0 rows returned

    54. Re:Simple solution: by BravoFourEcho · · Score: 1
      "If you've been on one of her escorts and had to be plane guard for an aircraft carrier, you know her for a fickle wench out chasing a breeze."

      Meaning the carrier's direction of travel is unpredictable- it is literally chasing the breeze, to give launched or landing aircraft a favorable wind.

      "Trading paint with 84,000 tons of US diplomacy underway going full-tilt-boogy is not going to be a career enhancer."

      A collision, in this case between sub and the aforementioned unpredictable carrier.

      "Not that this wipes the egg off the face of whoever was in charge of the escort screen [...]"

      The Shame.... "you missed WHAT?"

      --

      What good is a double standard if you can't enforce it?
    55. Re:Simple solution: by thestreetmeat · · Score: 3, Informative

      You're absolutely right: flying a plane is easy. But military pilots don't get paid to fly planes. We get paid to know tactics, deploy weapons, and complete a mission.

    56. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to worry, the crew on the Chinese sub will be dead from lead poisoning before they can actually attack.

    57. Re:Simple solution: by i_ate_god · · Score: 1

      You don't force people to fight, you compel people to fight, otherwise they are not good fighters.

      America doesn't need the draft, it needs a makeover. The world doesn't have a favorable view of america, and americans have no faith in their government and are growing disenchanted with their country. You aren't going to win anything full of forced soldiers. How many times in history has that worked? Remember Vietnam?

      America needs to remake its image. Not just the world, but with its own collective self esteem.

      --
      I'm god, but it's a bit of a drag really...
    58. Re:Simple solution: by Courageous · · Score: 2, Insightful

      A navy pilot once described to me the kinetics of landing on an aircraft carrier. I still shiver.

      It takes testicles in addition to skill to be a carrier pilot.

      Wind. Check. Carrier moving. Check. Unforgiving short runway. Check.

      Stuff nightmares are made of.

      C//

    59. Re:Simple solution: by adsl · · Score: 1

      It's also been said that a well handled diesel in stealth mode is still quite a weapon. The really silly thing is that instead of putting in a confidential report the sub goes for the media attention stuff (probably on order). But all that does is cause the US military to focus on the problem/loophole. Wrong tactics China... thankfully.

    60. Re:Simple solution: by lachlan76 · · Score: 1

      There is another type (PRK) that is allowed for pilots (the article there talks about eligibility). Most people don't use it, though, because it's apparently rather painful and takes longer to recover from. LASIK is not allowed.

    61. Re:Simple solution: by Walt+Dismal · · Score: 2, Interesting
      It's certainly known that the Chinese have rubber-coated anti-sonar subs, see:

      http://www.sinodefence.com/navy/sub/type039song.asp

      If we are ignoring that, someone in the Pentagon needs be retired. Our failure to detect them could have been due to inadequate equipment, or else incompetent personnel or practices, or worse, arrogance. I'm not too thrilled with any of these cases.

    62. Re:Simple solution: by einhverfr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I actually think we ought to have mandatory military service for everyone along with the option of other forms of community service for conscientious objectors (maybe infrastructure development).

      The major reason is that foriegn policy regarding war is rarely made with a real understanding of personal cost in lives, lost loved ones, etc. War has become something that other people fight for us so we can be cavalier about it.

      I think it would change the dynamics fundamentally if every community had people serving in the armed forces at all times. We pay the price at any rate, but at least this way, we as a society know the price when we pay it-- it isn't something that just happens to someone else.

      BTW, I have lost a friend to the Iraq war. It wasn't an IED, an insurgent bullet, or anything like that which ended her life. It was the PTSD (she committed suicide about a year after getting back). How many others have lost friends?

      Just to let you know where I stand on Iraq. This is a war we never should have fought. We shouldn't have gotten involved, and I said that at the beginning. However, we are there now, and for better or worse, we are now responsible for Iraq's well-being. Therefore IMO, the only acceptable discussion now is how we help the Iraqis to emerge from their civil war. While we as a country made a mistake, it would be an even bigger one to leave simply because the cost of staying in American lives is too high.

      I actually think we need to be prepared to leave, and we need to use that as a threat we can use to get the current Iraqi government to stop using militias in official or unofficial capacities (we should probably scale down our use of private paramilitary groups such as Blackwater as well).

      However, back to the China question: we will be involved in military confrontations with them at some point there is no doubt. However, as a democracy, we owe it to the people to spread the burden of the decision making, the politics, and the price fairly. Volunteers are great. But mandatory military service would put this country back into the hands of the people rather than the global planners.

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    63. Re:Simple solution: by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1

      You're saying all of that debt isn't a good reason to start shit?


      Yes. See middle paragraph. :)
      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    64. Re:Simple solution: by ShieldW0lf · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Dear Mr Bush,

      This is just a cordial visit to remind you that you owe us $200,000,000,000. Nothing to be alarmed about. Have a nice day.

      China

      --
      -1 Uncomfortable Truth
    65. Re:Simple solution: by WhiteWolf666 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Enjoy.

      It's a myth that our debt is large or crippling. Doubly so when you look at historical levels of the national debt.

      Triply so when you consider that as the dollar looses value, so does our debt, while our cheaper currency drives exports and growth.

      It's true that the U.S. economic situation is not perfect. We don't print money on trees, and our growth rate isn't good, there are class issues, and inefficiency is growing. However, our environmental situation is _pretty good_ these days, and for the most part (at least in terms of environmental contaminants, and deforestation) there is a good deal of substance (read "balls") to the U.S. economy. Watch the yuan continue to grow in value, and renewables continue to be ever more viable in the face of escalating oil prices, and you'll see that the U.S. shall continue as a strong economy for the forseeable future.

      We're hardly pawning off our assets to pay our debts. The only thing that's happening now is that foreign countries no longer value our debt as AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA, driving the value of the dollar down; which makes sense, as it was overvalued. Our purchasing power shall decline, however, our incentive to work hard, produce, and sell to the rest of the world grows. All we have to do is a)ride out the occasional correction, as we are doing now, and b)find politicians willing to exercise fiscal restraint and work towards budget surpluses, as well as a sustainable, cheap source of energy.

      Hopefully, the market will take care of the second part, and the 2008 election will take resolve the first.

      --
      WhiteWolf666 an exBush supporter. All you new-school,compassionate,save the children Republicans can rot in hell
    66. Re:Simple solution: by smittyoneeach · · Score: 1

      You omitted lack of funding. It's really all about the frogskins.

      --
      Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
    67. Re:Simple solution: by Tinman_au · · Score: 1

      Crush China?

      They can't even get a pissy little fight in Afghanistan/Iraq/Vietnam sorted out, what hope would they have with a country like China??

    68. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As I understand it, the issue is the flap that must be cut to allow LASIK.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Photorefractive_keratectomy

      This site claims that "bladeless" LASIK will also be okay. Note that this seems to be a commercial web site that is promoting LASIK so beware possible agenda of web site.

      http://www.docshop.com/2007/10/24/new-laser-eye-surgery-gives-navy-pilots-eagle-eyes/

    69. Re:Simple solution: by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      Al-Queda doesn't have a navy. These are small, dedicated groups of people who remain hidden. You can't fight people like that with a tank, much less a submarine.

      The US can take two roads here. Train a bunch of submariner guys REALLY well, develop technologies to defeat them, basically start another cold war. Of course.. that just might be a slight distraction from that other threat... If only. That other threat is picayune. More people die from bee stings each year than are killed by all terrorist acts, Al-Queda - Tamil Tigers - Basque Sepratists, etc. At least a "war on underwater" might mean the politicians will have less ability to brainwash the masses into giving uo their human rights. Might suck to be Chinese though...
      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    70. Re:Simple solution: by Like2Byte · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Hi there. Ex-Submariner myself. And, no, I didn't miss your point, either.

      However, those Trident Missile class submarines are pretty much nothing more than 16/24 huge political statements. Add a few MIRVs for good measure.

      As for electric boats? they're quite. Scary quite. They run on batteries while submerged which is far quieter than nuclear reactors. Granted their range is rather limited; but, that's beside the point. When you're running within the 12 NM national coastline, who do you think has the advantage?

      I'd put money on a diesel sub any day.

      On your other points, I think you are correct. The US needs an electric boat division - one devoid of nuclear reactors for inner coastline defense. These aren't the platforms that are going to do intel gathering but hunter-killer packs like the German U-Boat tactics of WWII. American technology in this field is unsurpassed; though I'd lay bets the chicoms are right behind us.

      Why? Their recent statements suggest they've been attacking our networks for years. I'm not going to dig up the link but it's out there if you search the net. One of their leaders recently stated that the next war with China's involvement will be a technological war which, according to them, no country can protect against.

      Besides, a statement like a sub popping up in the middle of an exercise say a few things:
      1) We're good enough to sneak up on you both.
      2) We're good enough to sneak *our* missile subs close to your shores, too. (Remember them Trident class subs from above?)
      3) Sleight of hand, if you will, maneuvering. The chicoms *want* you to see them and focus your energies elsewhere while they, perhaps, focus on placing a new satellite/orbiter in orbit for the start of our new space race with Asia.
      4) or, the boat was simply having an emergency and had to surface. (*very* un-likely - I just threw this in for the pacifists.)

      Choose your conspiracy. However, keep this in mind - no power shows a card as powerful as detailing how vulnerable you are to their attack without drawing you toward a conclusion they'd *like* you to draw or spend your energies trying to figure out. Meanwhile, they're out getting or doing what they think needs getting done.

    71. Re:Simple solution: by davidsyes · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Don't forget about the shareholders. In today's climate, restraint is generally expected more than ever. If some loose-cannon NCA or local Fleet Admiral/Commodore pops off some rounds based on non-agreeing ROE, a LOT of financial devastation will occur.

      Don't forget:

      Nortel
      AMD
      IBM
      microsoft
      HP
      Sony
      Fujitsu

      And on and on and on have sites in China. So, where would the US retaliate first? Responding too soon would seem rash, as if lashing out. Waiting too long will just give rise to threat of sanctions, and maybe a "Failsafe"-like request for China to blow up one or two or six of their own ships as in-kind repayment.

      Any US-initiated retaliation will so royally screw up the global economy the US will only expect to be the scourge of the planet. Shareholders want profit, sustained quarterly, and they DON'T want their fabs or R&D facilities blown up capriciously. A fab can cost BILLIONS to design, build and staff before even the first wafers are cut and shipped. Much like the new CVN/CVX for 2012 will cost some US $5.6 BILLION before first STEEL is even cut.

      No, I suspect that local self-defense is allowed, but launching Tomahawks or Harpoons into the Yellow Sea/Taiwan Strait (take your pick) is verboten in the standing Rules of Engagement UNLESS clear, unequivocal PROOF of China's involvement can be found. Even so, MOST of the rest of the world despises the US, tho until the recent economic wreck of the dollar to Euro thingy, some countries now LOVE the US's weakened state as goods will cost less to buy in/from and maybe import TO the US.

      Until/unless those high-tech companies start basing out of say, Dublin, Ireland, or Poland, or Portugal or someplace inexpensive but outSIDE of China, you can BET that they are constantly needling their congresspersons to keep the US military around Asia in check. Don't hit our factories. One stray Tomahawk, despite the celebrated precision electronics and striking during acceptance trials, and our market sector gains will be eroded beyond recovery.

      There will probably be some InSea (Incidents at Sea) like with the US/Soviet ships playing chicken, scratching each other's paint jobs, hurling bag of dung, mooning each other, and flipping the bird, but those will be the unprofessional of the bunch topside. Fender-benders and "tag" will be occasional events in testing each other's fleet or unit professionalism for after-the-event, a measure of restraint. It will also allow each side to test each other and gives each side press to make the other side look bad.

      China won't launch. An individual UNIT might, but even so, who wants to wreck a new, $2B boat early in the career, risk a bullet to the head, and face 88 or 120 angry souls upon reincarnation? That said, I WOULD expect a Chinese boat to fire if she detects cavitation datum bearing down on her. She won't know which threat axis is to be fired upon, so she will either go down gentlemanly-like, or fire what she can to be sure the world knows she didn't go down without a fight and probably didn't start the shit, either. But, only those analyzing the SOSUS data will know the truth of such an occurrence -- IF the sensors aren't snowed out or picking up too much ambiguous data.

      --
      Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
    72. Re:Simple solution: by smittyoneeach · · Score: 1

      I may be wrong but it is my understanding is that passive detection methods are hindered during these changes of direction.
      The good news is that forcing the submarine to alter course/speed is likely to increase their noise, as well.
      The bad news is that, for a battlegroup trying to do flight operations and anti-submarine warfare simultaneously works about as well as playing bass and drums at the same time in the band.
      --
      Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
    73. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous+Brave+Guy · · Score: 1

      The military is the last thing to get cut. Even if their budget were reduced, it would have the capacity to crush China for years, if not decades.

      I think a few people here have watched too many political/military thrillers.

      Newsflash: Both the US and China have plenty of nukes.

      Corollary: The odds of any full-scale military confrontation between the US and China are approximately 1 in $VERY_BIG_NUMBER, regardless of what happens in connection with either Taiwan or the world economy.

      You'd probably see a lot of sanctions and lots of important-looking people in tailored suits would talk lots in plush buildings, but it's bordering on implausible that the current regime in either country would actually push the big button. They both know damn well that war between them would force one or other to do so when it got desperate enough.

      How about a nice game of chess? :-)

      --
      If you disagree, post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like.
    74. Re:Simple solution: by fractoid · · Score: 1

      I know the Australian air force doesn't admit pilots with less-than-perfect vision, for those reasons. Nothing quite so encouraging, when you're in your final year of highschool and waiting to enlist, as being told "don't worry, you could still be ground crew".

      --
      Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
    75. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      Bah! I'm tired of all the naysayers! We had plenty of good--dare I say great--reasons to invade Iraq. The problem with our strategy was that no good reason was also true.

    76. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      come on mods, mod the mofo up!

    77. Re:Simple solution: by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      Plus it would eliminates much (but probably not all) the cultural and economic disparity in the ranks. If Johnny Megabucks had to serve next to William Poorhouse, as equals, it just might make the USA a better country. Sounds good in theory, but in practice it isn't so simple. See the ongoing scandals in South Korea regarding the rich and famous coming up with ways to duck out out their service requirements.
      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    78. Re:Simple solution: by noc007 · · Score: 0, Redundant

      English is my native tongue, but I had to read over it a few times before I thought I got it. So here goes:

      "If you've been on one of her escorts and had to be plane guard for an aircraft carrier, you know her for a fickle wench out chasing a breeze."
      If one were to be the captain of a ship that's providing escort for the Kitty Hawk and given the duty of guarding her planes, one would know that it is a difficult job since the aircraft carrier is constantly changing heading and speed to help the pilots with safe take offs and landings.

      "Trading paint with 84,000 tons of US diplomacy underway going full-tilt-boogy is not going to be a career enhancer."
      Going up against an 84,000 tone US aircraft carrier, which is a persuasive deterrent against battles in it's own right, that's moving at full speed is not a good idea since it would probably result in death.

      "Not that this wipes the egg off the face of whoever was in charge of the escort screen [...]"
      If the theory that the Chinese sub surfaced out of fear of crashing into something because of unfamiliarity with the area were true, this still does not remove any embarrassment from the individual in charge of providing escort and supposed to be keeping non-US Navy vessels outside of the perimeter in the first place.

    79. Re:Simple solution: by davidsyes · · Score: 4, Interesting

      In all that RAMBLING, what I forgot to mention re: the first para was that USN bubbleheads were like, "We're being depth-charged and mines are being place around us for the fucking CIA???!!?"

      So, not necessarily in DROVES, but certainly in high enough numbers, SSn sailors started using various illicit narcotics in an attempt to become discharged or transferred to shore, brig or not, but ANYWHERE except fighting the CIAs for them. They'd joined to fight sub-to-sub, militarily, as sailors, not errand boys for an organization that had a budget without a limit but didn't want to buy their OWN conveyance. Some sailors claimed homosexuality, and more.

      Once the morale issues were addressed (more and better/interesting assignment rotations ashore; increased hazard/at-sea/sub duty pay, etc...), retention was dramatically improved. This coincided with my not receiving orders to Great Mistakes. It wasn't personal, or that my math grades were crappy (the navy has ways of educating people, even marginally-graduating individuals), it just was that retention must have also coincided with a sudden drop-off of the spy missions that were risking these $250M to $700M boats and their fancy gear.

      Why a drop-off? It was conceded that for the amount of risk taken on by the Navy, all the CIA was getting was information about gambling, illegal/excurricular weapons deals, sexual exploits and other dubious acts of ranking Soviet officers. It just wasn't WORTH it anymore to imperil these boats when they were constantly ever complex, expensive, and politically monitored. You can't explain to the American public that they died doing their duty when cracked, emotionally distraught sailors return home, unable to tell their wives or parents WHY they are cracking up, going nuts, and so on. Presumably, the CIA resorted to humint, techint, sigint, and other -ints to get what they needed.

      And STILL, those Masters of the Universe didn't see the Berlin Wall coming down!

      Oy vey...

      --
      Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
    80. Re:Simple solution: by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      It's not at all clear how dependent China is on the US or indeed the West. The hope is that they are very dependent.

      If the US dollar goes down the tubes it's game over. The depression of the 30s would be as a minor blip. We're talking no more Fed and the individual states would be fighting each other rather than worrying about democracy in Taiwan. The US as it now is would no longer exist. Have you checked how the dollar is doing lately?

      I think that China will continue to use Taiwan as a nice bargaining chip. Keeps the US on the hop with regards to other matters.

      This sub popping up undetected is probably the Chinese military sending a message to it's own leaders rather than the US. I would love to know just what is going to happen to the boats captain. A very nice parade in Beijing perhaps, lot's of supporting speeches and then promoted to some desk job in central China, far,far from the sea and any real power. Simple message don't piss of Uncle Sam when he's giving us everything we want!

    81. Re:Simple solution: by El+Torico · · Score: 0

      Let's say Osama bin Laden buys a Chinese sub. He drives it into the middle of a battle group, "pops up," says hi to the closest ships with a full complement of surface-to-surface missiles, and scores some decent hit points.

      Let's say you've been watching too many action movies and episodes of "24".

      --
      In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is usually crucified.
    82. Re:Simple solution: by Khaed · · Score: 1

      Afghanistan and Iraq, we're not fighting a nation, but rather guerrillas.

      Vietnam was pretty much fought to be a stalemate.

      We have not unleashed a whole lot of force on the countries of Iraq and Afghanistan because we're trying to minimize civilian deaths. While civilians are dying, they're not dying in the numbers they could be. We have that luxury now; we're not fighting for the survival of the country so we can be slow and patient. If it was against China, we wouldn't have a choice, and we would be fighting a large, organized army and navy, not people who can very easily merge in with civilians.

      You can't hide a bunch of tanks the way you can hide IEDs and AK-47s. Moving an IED takes one or two people. No army is going to move a tank or a soldier. They move in formations.

    83. Re:Simple solution: by Maxmin · · Score: 3, Funny

      launching Tomahawks or Harpoons into the Yellow Sea/Taiwan Strait (take your pick) is verboten in the standing Rules of Engagement UNLESS clear, unequivocal PROOF of China's involvement can be found.

      Okay, let's play through this leg of the game:

      • OPERATOR: Sir? I have President Clinton on line one.
      • PREMIER WEN: Wha? Hrm, uh, okay. You, off my lap. Leave. Now.
      • PRESIDENT CLINTON: Premier Wen? It's Hillary.
      • WEN: Oh, hi. Did you get the acupuncture balls I sent?
      • HILLARY: Oh yes, thank you very much. By the by, we have footage of one of your attack subs firing missiles at several of my Navy ships...
      • WEN: Oh, yeah? I had nothing to do with that.
      • HILLARY: (rustles some papers, opens a folder marked "From: CINCPACFLT") Says here, "Type 039A Wuhan, hull number 294." Got some neat pictures of it. Did about $250 million in damage. Killed thirty-seven of my sailors.
      • WEN: (sweating now) Oh, well, we sold one of our submarines to somebody awhile back. It was probably them.
      • HILLARY: "Them?" Who's "them?" Surely you don't Thailand?
      • WEN: Nope. Don't know, wouldn't tell us his name. Paid well, in advance. Middle-eastern accent.
      • HILLARY: You're telling me you sold a military submarine to someone, and you don't know who signed the check?
      • WEN: Listen, I have to go now.
      • HILLARY: Wen, to return the favor, and just so you know it was me, I'm sending you a thank-you present for the acupuncture balls. No return address.

      There is no plausible deniability when it comes to something like this. Meesh.

      --
      O lord, bless this thy holy hand grenade, that with it thou mayest blow thine enemies to tiny bits, in thy mercy.
    84. Re:Simple solution: by bellorum · · Score: 1

      Who was it that said "there will be two kinds of ships in the next war. Submarines and targets."?

    85. Re:Simple solution: by Maxmin · · Score: 1

      Read the GP post...

      --
      O lord, bless this thy holy hand grenade, that with it thou mayest blow thine enemies to tiny bits, in thy mercy.
    86. Re:Simple solution: by soundhack · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I agree with everything you said, and am also amazed that the media, and educated people do not get this at all.

      To add one more point: perhaps this incident was China's way to do unto us what we did unto the Soviet Union? If we restart a cold war mentality with corresponding increases in spending, then we will bankrupt ourselves (more so than we are already doing now anyway) just like the Soviet Union did. So long as we give China a butt load of our own money in bonds and in interest payments, there is no way for us to win.

    87. Re:Simple solution: by SageMusings · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I actually think we ought to have mandatory military service for everyone

      Interesting. I assume by everyone we all really mean those without the connections and money to avoid it. I somehow cannot imagine having a politician's son with me in boot camp or combat. We cannot risk high-quality people.

      --
      -- Posted from my parent's basement
    88. Re:Simple solution: by shinehead · · Score: 1

      Diesel Electrics are acknowledged to be quieter than nukes, that is, they have advantages over nuke subs that make them very dangerous in the tactical snense. However, the fact that the sub surfaced indicates that the sub commander felt threatened and needed to disclose his location and nationality or risk having his ship attacked. There will always be situations where diesel boats can lie in wait for a flotilla to pass by. They cannot make the speed required to keep up with a surface fleet without giving themselves away by charging batteries or running on the surface. Therefore they cannot reliably intercept a surface fleet without the advantage of luck or prior knowledge of the path. I would not like to rely on luck for the outcome of a major fleet action. Also, it might be a moot point but what are the chances of a deisel sub getting away after an attack on an aircraft carrier? the remaining members of the battle group can be expected to do their utmost to kill the sub that attacked their CVN. The submaarine may be undetctable until the point it launches torpedo's. One hit is unlikely to kill a CVN but it will give away it's position and will be in an unfavorable position of being unable to run away or outwait the surface ships. Lucky rolls of the dice happen and have to be accounted for but it seems that you would have to be lucky to get in position for an attack on a CVN battle group with this type of boat and then be very lucky to get away.

    89. Re:Simple solution: by 1u3hr · · Score: 1
      Crush China? They can't even get a pissy little fight in Afghanistan/Iraq/Vietnam sorted out,

      Crushing a country is not hard. Iraq was crushed in days. Rebuilding it afterwards into a democracy/puppet regime (whatever it is you're trying to do there) is the hard part.

    90. Re:Simple solution: by ziggyboy · · Score: 1

      For comparison, the US SSN-688 (Los Angeles [wikipedia.org] class) is over twice as long and has ~three times the displacement.

      Bigger size and displacement doesn't meant jack. It just means a lot more power is needed to pull the damn thing. It's big and bulky. Common sense tells me that you would need small, fast subs capable of deploying weapons undetected...and probably enough mobility to escape the war zone after the deed is done.

      That's why I prefer sportbikes over Harleys. Smaller size, lighter, smaller displacements but a hell of a lot faster and maneuverable.
    91. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Matt? Is that you?

    92. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting
      Nowhere near enough rambling. But probably as much rambling as we should be reading :)

      As a civilian engineering geek, thanks - not just for serving, but for some great laughs in your story.

      (Me? Different major in college, different kinda hardware. Similar story, couple years later in my life, similar bug-eyed looks (but it wasn't from a recruiter), similar lulz. Human nature be damned, at least you got to work with your hardware of choice. I did OK in my completely unrelated civvie career, but sometimes I wonder what my life would have been like in an alternate universe where I took the road less travelled. Today was one of those days when I'd have loved to have traded the cash for something like your career.

      Say no more about what you did; I just wanted thank you for letting me live vicariously - if only for a beer or two - through your post.

    93. Re:Simple solution: by halycon404 · · Score: 1

      "Police Ratio" is an artificially high number in the US Military. The actual number of MP's and MA's is very low in reality, what makes up that huge number is people who are detached for Gate Guard Duty or Internal Patrol. Both are acting as police during those duties, while not actually being attached to the MP at all. Hell, Internal Patrols of bases aren't even there to stop problems from breaking out for the most part, its a duty thats only reason for being is to keep a person in the mindset of a normal Patrol, increased base security is a byproduct. As for trusting the man beside me who's been drafted over someone who chose to join, bah. I don't really trust half the grunts in the military as is. Example, we all know the almost cliche'd guy who joins the military with the idea he's going to get to kill someone; one way or another we all know someone who joined just for that reason. Do I trust this guy beside me? Nope. I'd rather go in with a guy I know may turn tail and run than go in with a guy I have no accurate idea of what he's going to do. At least with the Drafted guy I'm going to be somewhat prepared for it happening(Oversimplification, yes). And for the record, I was in the military. Non-combat engineer, kept everything in working order for the people who wanted to go get themselves shot at. Which btw, is another perfectly good thing to do with draftees. They don't have to fight, but if they can fix a hum-ve, cook, or for the slashdot crowd... keep windows running. They are a perfectly good addition to the military, no matter how they got there.

    94. Re:Simple solution: by Arancaytar · · Score: 1

      Yeah right, the military budget could sure use a boost. It's not as if trillions of it are already being spent on occupyi-- oh wait.

    95. Re:Simple solution: by ArcherB · · Score: 1

      It's certainly known that the Chinese have rubber-coated anti-sonar subs, see:

      http://www.sinodefence.com/navy/sub/type039song.asp [sinodefence.com]

      If we are ignoring that, someone in the Pentagon needs be retired. Our failure to detect them could have been due to inadequate equipment, or else incompetent personnel or practices, or worse, arrogance. I'm not too thrilled with any of these cases.


      It was probably just that they were doing exercises and not on a war footing. Everyone in the sonar room was probably busy looking at the simulated blips that were pre-programmed in. I doubt the sonar was even pinging or that anyone was listening.

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    96. Re:Simple solution: by mosb1000 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You do know that's a reason for them not to attack us, right? I mean, it's not like we'd honor their treasury bonds if they declared war on us.

    97. Re:Simple solution: by El+Torico · · Score: 1

      My mistake; I missed the "what are you smoking" line the first time.

      --
      In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is usually crucified.
    98. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Time to spend a few billion $ on R&D for new submarines! Which is the only reason that things like this get publicized. This is the Pentagon's equivalent of a drunken booty call.

      Might be true, might not be, or might just be "truthy", the only thing that really matters is that the Pentagon and specifically the Navy clearly wants more money or at least more attention (and then more money).

      News about foreign military advancements get released on the Pentagon's schedule, not the free press' schedule. The Navy brass is feeling left out of the land wars in Asia and they need to find some reasons to exist. Next thing I would expect would be more naval interdictions of cargo vessels containing "dual use" technologies coming out of or going to Iran or North Korea.

    99. Re:Simple solution: by Nefarious+Wheel · · Score: 1

      Yes, such as Jimmy Carter. Not a hugely memorable president from my point of view, but at least he pronounced "Nuclear" correctly.

      --
      Do not mock my vision of impractical footwear
    100. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any excuse will be used to increase military spending, warranted or not. But no one mentioned one little possibility - that the Chinese sub was sitting on the bottom undetected, and then just popped up in the middle of things like a cork. We're good at detecting incoming traffic - there's no way they or anyone else would have gotten thru undetected. But to detect a sub sitting on an irregular bottom is a monumental feat - something that's easy to exploit, especially since we happened to be just off the coast of China when it happened. It takes little time at all to rise from the bottom to the surface - by the time we see a blip on our sonar, they're right there already. Next time we'll make better use of side-scanning sonar and pay more attention to bottom anomalies...

    101. Re:Simple solution: by pat+mcguire · · Score: 0

      The difference between nuclear and chemically powered subs is enormous - it reduces the range a sub can go underwater without surfacing from the circumference of the earth to a few hundred miles. No submarine is going to be able to get that close on the surface if the opponent controls the skies.

    102. Re:Simple solution: by glitch23 · · Score: 0

      We need a commander-in-chief that doesn't abuse his position. Many are probably afraid to sign up, not wanting to be stuck on a ten-year tour-of-duty. We should have been in and out of Afghanistan in a few months, and we shouldn't have entered Iraq at all. We didn't have a single good reason to invade. Why would anyone want to sign up for an pointless war? Our soldiers should have the right to protect our country with honor.

      Well, I'm sure the current folks out there risking their lives for the United States of America feel better after reading your diatribe. I'm sure it boosts their morale to know that some people believe they will die in vain and w/o honor. No one enlisting in the military signs up for war necessarily. They enlist to protect their country. That usually involves war but not always. If you are lucky when you enlist you never have to go to war but don't be surprised if your boss, the President, says it's time to go; it's in the job description. Also, remember that Congress has to approve going to war because it has to be funded. As far as abusing his position is concerned, he isn't the first and won't be the last so don't act like he is alone. The democrats *cough*Clinton*cough* do it too.

      --
      this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom. -- Lincoln, Gettysburg Address
    103. Re:Simple solution: by Nefarious+Wheel · · Score: 2, Funny
      They don't have to fight, but if they can fix a hum-ve, cook, or for the slashdot crowd... keep windows running

      Just...just kill me now...

      --
      Do not mock my vision of impractical footwear
    104. Re:Simple solution: by Architect_sasyr · · Score: 1

      I was once told: "There are more aircraft in the ocean than there are submarines in the sky"

      I'm an army man myself, so my comments in this discussion will be purely humorous and/or useless, although I do quite like the idea of just popping up in the middle of a battle fleet, firing a couple of surface to surface weapons, and then diving as fast as possible.

      --
      Me failed English...
      FreeBSD over Linux. If my comments seem odd, this may explain...
    105. Re:Simple solution: by shmlco · · Score: 0

      "... satellite-based detection systems may be a better direction anyways..."

      Who cares? This is the US! We'll just fund both!

      Payment? Ah... hold on. (rustling papers)

      No problem. Found a couple of literacy and environmental programs we haven't shut down yet.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    106. Re:Simple solution: by TheoMurpse · · Score: 1

      I'd like to point out that Wikipedia (can't find sources though) makes the assertion that Ike, Carter, Clinton and Bush have all used the word "nucular." Also, I'm sure that Bush says it that way either to appear Bubba-esque, as one blog put it, or as some Pentagon lingo he picked up. I haven't heard a speech where he uses the phrase "nuclear family," but that would answer the question for me.

    107. Re:Simple solution: by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      All China has to do is release it's US funds to the open market. Pop goes the US financial system, no money no Navy, Army, Air Force or USMC. China grabs Taiwan before the US recovers.

      Except the real world doesn't work the way fearmongers like yourself would like it to. If China puts the funds it holds on the open market - it will flood the market, which means no (or very few) buyers. The only way then to pop the US financial system will be to sell the paper at a (very) steep discount.
       
      Pop goes China's economy right along with the US's. (And a fair chunk of the EU economy goes down the tubes as well.)
       
       

      The only thing that the US can hope for is that the US economy is worth more to China than Taiwan.

      China's valuation of the US economy is a non issue. More important is how they value their own.
    108. Re:Simple solution: by Dun+Malg · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I hope no one mods me down for saying this, but I really feel like we should consider starting the draft again. We need to bolster our troop levels and try to do it in as egalitarian a way as possible. Our current system is not set up for conscripts, nor is our current method of warfighting. We don't fight linear battles like the "good ol' days" of WW2 and Korea. We don't have need of tens of thousands of units of cannon fodder to form battle lines. Conscription brings in a small percentage of useful folks, but mostly it brings in cannon fodder. There is no real place for cannon fodder in the modern military. For what little "block the bullets with our bodies" work that gets done, the Marines are apparently more than capable of handling it (going into Fallujah in unarmored vehicles = suicide; don't even get me started on the absurdity of letting the navy run its own little army). Really, the problem with conscripts is that most of them don't want to be there and have to be pushed around essentially at gunpoint. Currently, with the "War on Terror" having been going on for more than 5 years, there isn't hardly a soul in the military who didn't enlist or re-enlist knowing full well that combat deployment was a definite possibility. For all the dire stories about recruitment shortfalls, they haven't been missing the targets by much. In fact, they've been meeting the goals lately because they've decided that their standards of "squeaky clean boy scouts only, no arrests, no convictions" were a bit silly. Traditionally, the military was a place where social misfits could go to learn discipline and self-respect. Beginning in the mid 80's, however, it started to turn into a bit of a prissy boys club. Cold warriors practicing for a future war that was never going to happen, so they had lots of time to play dressup and have parades and then four years later they'd go home and spend their college fund and GI Bill money getting their English degrees and MBA's. I remember back in '89, during my first enlistment, when the Panama invasion rolled around, how a lot of my fellow soldiers in the 7th Light Infantry Division were a little thrown off by the idea of actual combat. Then in '90, when I was with the 101st Airborne and Desert Shield came up, there it was again, the sporadic whining and grumbling... "I joined for the college money".... "war? I never thought there'd be real war"... etc. Granted, it was from a very tiny minority, but it was emblematic of the "new Army": nothing but clean-cut high school grads. It almost seemed like the military wanted to "reinvent" itself as some sort of high-tech ivy-league organization. Now, with the business of a real honest-to-goodness ground war in Asia on their plate, they're being forced to abandon their snooty attitude and accept honest people committed to the job, rather than polished snobs looking for a good resume filler. Smoked pot once or were put on probation for breaking you girlfriend's car window as a teenager because she broke up with you? Used to be, you were considered untouchable. Not anymore. The preppy twits aren't signing up like they used to, so now they have to be realistic and accept regular folks. They don't need the draft. They need to realize they're not running a country club and set realistic enlistment standards.

      Frankly, I think one of the (few) good things to come from the current state of war (at least for the Army and USMC) is that it is quickly flushing the dilettantes out of the enlisted ranks and (more slowly) the ranks of the commissioned officers. The military isn't a game. Too many people seemed to think it was like the Boy Scouts, only with mortars and rifles.
      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    109. Re:Simple solution: by einhverfr · · Score: 1

      That is exactly what I am talking about. Every politician's son and every politician's daughter. Every young American, whether rich or poor, influential or not, etc. Those that are conscientious objectors would be obligated to form a special unit of community service workers who would be shipped to foreign countries to undertake infrastructure development projects as part of US foreign aid, or maybe used for projects back at home (though a lot of that should be left to the private sector).

      Great examples of work for conscientious objector corps might include going to Israel and Lebannon after border wars to help survey and mitigate the cost of unexploded munitions, providing training for incident response for cities relating to chemical weapons attacks, and other life-saving programs (but still connected with military concerns).

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    110. Re:Simple solution: by florescent_beige · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Every now and then...just sometimes...Slashdot comes roaring right on through. Boy there are some good people that post here.

      --
      Equine Mammals Are Considerably Smaller
    111. Re:Simple solution: by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      Actually, I've always thought that the US military is more dependent on procedure than individual intelligence, at least compared to European militaries.

      That's not a bad thing by any means - if you design around swarm intelligence a few lazy people can't cause a catastophe. Systems based around individual intelligence are vulnerable to few screw ups. And screw ups are not exactly uncommon in all militaries.

      Now the swarm intelligence solution is to add some system that detects Chinese subs and have someone stare at 24/7 and take the appropriate simple action. Actually most large American institions seem to be based on this. Disneyland or DHL for example.

      Look on the bright side, swarm intelligence makes the military easier to automate completely, which will be useful when Skynet takes over.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    112. Re:Simple solution: by Talkischeap · · Score: 1

      "Ooooh, I've got a secret!"

      If you know so much, why don't you QUIT posturing, and tell us something useful?

      --
      If it don't GO... chrome it. ~ Frank Banks
    113. Re:Simple solution: by gomoX · · Score: 1

      Sea breezes constantly change direction

      That couldn't possibly be less true.

      --
      My english is sow-sow. Sowhat?
    114. Re:Simple solution: by JackMeyhoff · · Score: 1

      Actually Diesel engines are quieter than Nuclear submarines (and cost many times cheaper so you can have more submarines and swarm your enemy) just they don't have the range (solvable by hybrids) but as with anything, they are only as good as their leaders who control the submarine.

      --
      http://www.rense.com/general79/wdx1.htm
    115. Re:Simple solution: by iminplaya · · Score: 1

      ...state-funded, stateless actors.

      Exactly what the old time pirates were. They were the thieves, and the state was the fence. Very nice arrangement that continues to this day.

      --
      What?
    116. Re:Simple solution: by Limited+Vision · · Score: 1

      The Canadians pulled the same trick on the British in an naval exercise this year. Check out the picture the HMCS Corner Brook took of the HMS Illustrious.

      http://blog.wired.com/defense/2007/08/gotcha-canuck-s.html

      Ironically Canada bought these subs from the British.

      I'm thinking a dozen more electric boats once the Northwest Passage will do nicely.

    117. Re:Simple solution: by Hal_Porter · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Well only 25% of US debt is foreign owned and 47% of that is owned by Japan or China

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_public_debt#Consequences_of_foreign_ownership_of_U.S._debt

      Looking at this

      http://www.ustreas.gov/tic/mfh.txt

      About 40% of that is owned by China. So China owns 25% * 47% * 40%, or about 5% of US debt. Even if by some magical process it evaporated overnight the US would survive. If they sold, the dollar would fall which would improve the trade balance from a US perspective, the US economy would be dinged but China would be desperately short of money. And once they started to sell the price of the remaining bonds would fall - they'd actually cause a crash in the price of the ones they still held.

      None of that is the Chinese interest. Plus the actual money is in the US. So the US government actually owns a chunk of money which China needs.

      Now I hate the Chinese government, but them lending money to the US government doesn't seem like a problem to me. In fact as people have pointed out if China attacked Taiwan I'd expect the US Treasury to seize the money in some way so it acts as a stabilising factor on them.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    118. Re:Simple solution: by shmlco · · Score: 1

      "We cannot risk high-quality people."

      Ah. So they can come then. No problem.

      Seriously, one could set things up such that skipping service left a permanent social stigmata (hear that George?), or you could go the route Heinlein outlined in one of his books, where the franchise (voting) only passed to those that served, and civil service didn't count. Or to put it another way, the franchise had to be earned.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    119. Re:Simple solution: by advocate_one · · Score: 1

      sonar techs too busy listening to britney on their mp3 players instead of maintaining a real listening watch... too much reliance on the software to do the detection and classification...

      --
      Donald 'Duck' Dunn: We had a band powerful enough to turn goat piss into gasoline.
    120. Re:Simple solution: by peacefinder · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "Submarine technology is actually way less relevant to the threats of the modern world than even freaking tanks. When was the last time we used a submarine to do any kind of warfare or political maneuvering? I'd say that ended in the cold war."

      Oh good lord. No. Just no.

      There's two very good reasons to care about subs. One is nuclear deterrence, the other is fleet defense.

      Did all the nuclear warheads and ICBMs in the world just magically disappear overnight when the cold war ended? Nuclear deterrence is... well, if not good, at least currently necessary. The US SSBNs provide us a sufficent detterent, all by themselves, to make any contemplated invasion of Iran over nuclear weapons utter madness. By having those subs, we have more options than trying to prevent at any cost hostile powers from getting nukes of their own. Oh, and we aren't the only nation still running boomers, so our attack subs kinda matter for keeping track of them.

      We have to care about other folks' subs because submarines are about the only weapon platform of any kind that can still hide. That means they can - as this Chinese sub did - potentially sneak up on our carriers. Coupled with the right weapons system, a sub can kill a carrier. If the US carriers go down, or even can be credibly threatened, that reduces the US position as a superpower considerably. So everyone else's subs matter to us... especially the Chinese, given that Taiwain is a cmpletely plausible flashpoint for naval conflict between the powers.

      You may or may not like all the political implications of the above, but it is complete madness to suggest that subs no longer matter.

      Oh, yeah, I forgot to mention Al Qeida. They're one threat among many, and a rather small one at that.

      --
      With reasonable men I will reason; with humane men I will plead; but to tyrants I will give no quarter. -- William Lloyd
    121. Re:Simple solution: by shmlco · · Score: 1

      Better still would be to quash some of the inter-service rivalries and go to a common logistics and support corps. The amount of duplication and wasted effort between the four services is mind-boggling.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    122. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You'll pardon me if I don't take your word for it. I'm not sure you know exactly the level of sophistication that chinese subs have reached.

    123. Re:Simple solution: by BlendieOfIndie · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Question: how many people are waiting in line to get a job on a submarine? What I'm getting at: is the military having a hard time filling these positions?

    124. Re:Simple solution: by Danse · · Score: 1

      Every single officer* who joins the Navy wants to be a pilot. In the past, many smart people with less-than-perfect vision joined the Navy and many were sent to submarines. Now, all the smart ones get surgery and become pilots. It almost makes me cry to remember the type of people who now make "nuclear officers". Interesting theory. Surprisingly enough though, that's almost what happened to me. I was in AF JROTC and wanted to be a pilot. Couldn't be one because my eyesight kinda sucked. Scored pretty high on the ASVAB though, so the navy was all over me for years even after I graduated. They wanted me to be on a sub. I really didn't want to be on a sub... or a ship for that matter. Eventually they got the point and left me alone.
      --
      It's not enough to bash in heads, you've got to bash in minds. - Captain Hammer
    125. Re:Simple solution: by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      When was the last time we used a submarine to do any kind of warfare or political maneuvering? I'd say that ended in the cold war.

      Really? I'd say you're very ill-informed (See "Strength," right column). Or you could read this, or this, or you could just do your own search. There is little doubt in my mind that both China and the US patrol each other's waters with subs, and they would be the first line of attack in any international conflict, which is why subs are commonly referred to as the "tip of the spear." Subs have been an essential part of a comprehensive defense strategy. They are today, and they will continue to be for the foreseeable future.

    126. Re:Simple solution: by Schraegstrichpunkt · · Score: 1

      Just to let you know where I stand on Iraq. This is a war we never should have fought. We shouldn't have gotten involved, and I said that at the beginning. However, we are there now, and for better or worse, we are now responsible for Iraq's well-being. Therefore IMO, the only acceptable discussion now is how we help the Iraqis to emerge from their civil war. While we as a country made a mistake, it would be an even bigger one to leave simply because the cost of staying in American lives is too high.

      THANK YOU for being sane. I find it terribly surprising (and infuriating) how rare this view seems to be online.

    127. Re:Simple solution: by happyslayer · · Score: 5, Insightful

      As a former ASW (anti-submarine warfare) pilot, I would like to point out that, in 1998-2000, the Navy decided that "we don't need ASW to be a primary mission for the carrier." So, they assigned the carrier helos additional duty as an ASW platform ("They can handle anything inside 50 miles"), P-3s to take care of the long range stuff ("They're available"), and F/A-18s to do surface search ("They're always around, anyway").

      Now, don't get me wrong, a helo can be an excellent ASW platform...if its crew is given time to train, if the carrier has enough of a "heads-up", and if they aren't doing plane-guard 90% of the time (hovering near the carrier to pick up an wrecked pilots.)

      F/A-18s can't spend the time down low (they use too much gas and would rather drop bombs or shoot aircraft, not to mention that's a lot of work for one guy in a cockpit), P-3s are great, but there are only so many and they have a huge area to cover, and they have a big crew with lots of run-up for a mission...plus, they are usually based far away from where the carriers actually are. ("We just spotted a sub! Get your boys out there!" "Roger that, we'll be on station in 4 hours...")

      Not being a bubblehead (submarine guy), I can't speak to any limitations on subs, but there are only so many, and a kamikaze diesel sub can and will cause a lot of tight sphincters on any ships in his area.

      As the parent pointed out, no one has really tried to challenge the US for a long time, and we've gotten soft in this area (think ASW during WWII, mine warfare, brown water ops in Vietnam, etc, ad nauseum.) It usually takes either a big scare or a smoking hole in the water before anyone dusts off the old books and starts to really think about how the job needs to be done.

      ASW is a highly-developed skill, and when you start to dismantle that skill, you suffer for a long time. If we haven't reversed those decisions to downgrade the ASW mission, maybe this will be an early enough wakeup call to undo the damage before someone decides that we're weak enough to slap us where it hurts.

      It only takes one carrier with a hole it the side to win the public affairs war.

      Background/Disclaimer: My experience was as an S-3 pilot, a carrier-based ASW aircraft. I've been out of the Navy for 3 years now, so all my points may be hopelessly out of date. On the other hand, I doubt the war on "terrah" has had any admirals sweating enemy subs, and people (as a group) don't really change, do they?

      --
      Never confuse movement with action. --Hemingway
    128. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Informative

      And funding both defense systems is exactly what the federal government should be doing. Since it's constitutional mandate is to protect the nation. Not literacy and environmental programs.

    129. Re:Simple solution: by couchslug · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "There are good reasons to have a draft"

      Such as?

      I'm too lazy to parapharase this post I made elsewhere, so I'll just edit to reflect retiring recently:

      Rant mode on:
      My opinion as a 26-year Air Force NCO is that a return to conscription will cost lives for nothing, would be a financial disaster, weaken the armed forces, not build any sort of (positive) shared national identity among the victims, and otherwise is a terrible idea.
      Conscription instantly builds justifiable, bitter resentment among the tiny minority of victims. By the time you filter the physically and mentally fit out of the pool, you have an even smaller slice of the youth population. Not being totally stupid, some of these folks wake up to the fact that THEIR sacrifice is to appease some other fellows desire for SHARED sacrifice, whatever THAT is. These bitter humans form a pool of first-termers who will not re-enlist. Guess where the investment in training them went? Out the gate along with their ability to train brand new people, who must suffer learning by (KABOOM!) experience instead of mentoring.
      Training the rotating victim pool falls to the career enlisted, who are exhausted thereby, and saddened at the deterioration of the military they had worked so hard to build. More career people quit...depleting the mid-career ranks, later depleting the senior ranks...
      The blast radius of this stupidity isn't limited to Army units. Conscription was famous for scaring those unwilling to be bullet catchers into the Air Force and Navy. I came in a few years after the draft ended, but the horror stories were still fresh and I believe them. Drug use (not healthy for quality aircraft maintenance or fighting aircraft carrier fires...Forrestal, cough, cough..), discipline problems (hard to threaten someone who WANTS to be discharged!), morale in the shitter, you name it.
      Effectiveness goes down, costs go up, waste goes up, experience goes away, and the downward spiral goes on unless a Ronald Regan shows up to un-fuck it.
      Rich folk still dodge service as they always have and always will, because there is no SOCIAL censure for doing so. Poor folks who don't want to be there, led by inexperienced supervisors, die and are wounded in greater quantities than in the highly effective Volunteer Force. Surviving conscripts, shanghaied by a government that took them, fucked them, and chucked them end up homeless and ruined, just like the last time.
      World War II is over, and that massive level of shared service is not economically supportable or necessary or intelligent due to technology. Army service is not a viable substitute for parenting either, because the kind of harsh discipline that is necessary to control the actively unwilling no longer exists and the public will not tolerate it. Society has changed, and I respectfully submit that proponents of conscription either have no clue or deliberately want it as a spoiler to damage the military.
      Consider the Volunteer Force. It rebuilt itself during the 1980s into an effective war machine, won the (conventional) Gulf War battles with minimum loss and impressive speed, withstood the first drawdown, and is doing surprisingly well at simultaneously managing drawdown/transformation/the mess in Iraq.
      Do we REALLY want to toss conscripts into the mix? Why would putting less-committed, less-professional, less-trained people into incredibly stressful situations be better for anyone?
      Anyone out there with substantial recent US military experience favor a draft? Very few I've heard from.
      The lessons of conscription have been learned.
      Read and heed:

      http://www.chss.montclair.edu/english/furr/Vietnam/heinl.html

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    130. Re:Simple solution: by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      No problem. Found a couple of literacy and environmental programs we haven't shut down yet.

      Actually, laugh, but the Cold War resulted in the United States investing more money into educational programs, for fear of falling behind the Soviets in technology.

      Go back and look at the Governmental response in the late 50s/early 60s when the fear actually had some basis in reality (the days of Sputnik). We invested money into education, with a focus on math, science and engineering. Those were the days when the engineer and scientist were actually respected more then the MBA and the PHB was the exception and not the rule.

      I read all of these stories about the US falling behind in technology and wonder just what sort of shock it will take to make Americans/the Government pay attention to this. Perhaps that shock will be our Navy (with 200 years of tradition and the best technology available) being caught off guard by a brown-water Navy from a country with no nautical experience and outdated technology.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    131. Re:Simple solution: by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      A flopped international dollar would be a severe blow, but it wouldn't have any short term effect on the viability of the military, and even long term, it wouldn't come close to crippling the armed forces. Even with a low exchange rate, the dollar would still be useful for domestic purposes, and the only thing the US is internationally reliant on is oil (and maybe cheap clothes). There is more than enough oil in domestic reserves and fields to keep the armed forces running for the foreseeable future; not to mention that all of the subs, and all but one of the carriers are nuclear powered. With small exception, everything the military buys is produced completely in the US, for the very reason that international dependence is a strategic weakness. Food would not even be an issue, but you can bet that WWII style rationing (which wasn't really even necessary back then) would take effect if required, and factories would shift to support wartime efforts likewise, if required. The government doesn't "run out of money," they print the stuff, which is not to say they'd print themselves some more, but they'd take more in the form of taxes. Just because the American people are generally not in support of THIS war does not mean that they wouldn't support ANY war.

      That said, I am not promoting war -- military action should always be the absolute last option in any conflict. Physical conflicts are always unacceptable in a civilized society, and they should be just as unacceptable on a global scale.

    132. Re:Simple solution: by HomeySmurf · · Score: 1

      I was told by an-submarine officer that the quality of submarine officers is going down because of LASIK surgery. The best recruits used to be divided by eye exam, with those who didn't needed glasses going into aviation and those who needed glasses into subs. With eye surgery, that isn't a factor.

      --
      "Politics is for the moment, an equation lasts eternity" -A. Einstein
    133. Re:Simple solution: by Shakrai · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And funding both defense systems is exactly what the federal government should be doing. Since it's constitutional mandate is to protect the nation. Not literacy and environmental programs.

      Hmm, shortsighted AC. Funding education (i.e: literacy) is protecting the nation. Disagree? Consider: It worked during the Cold War by giving us a critical edge in technology.

      Dumping money into defense systems while allowing your foe to leap beyond you in sciences and technology won't win you that game of Civ2 either....

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    134. Re:Simple solution: by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      Eh.. you can't hear what you can't hear. Sure, they could use active sonar, but A) that doesn't effectively penetrate thermal layers, and B) subs can go under those layers, but they don't want to use active sonar and give away their position. Active sonar is generally reserved for when there's an expected threat, you believe your position has already been compromised, and you have a far greater interest in knowing exactly where the other guy is than in staying hidden -- usually so you can send him a present. I would be inclined to chalk this up more to effective stealth techniques than anything the fleet could or should have done differently. It's not like a more sensitive microphone could magically lower the noise floor of the ocean or peer through thermal layers, and as long as a vessel stays below those, it's golden. There is no such thing as omnipotence.

    135. Re:Simple solution: by Neoprofin · · Score: 1

      Unless, as his point was before taken out of context, you're in a really small boat getting hit by a really big boat. You might play chicken with a lot of semis on your sportbike, but if they don't swerve because they never even knew you were there I can tell you who's going to have a worse day.

    136. Re:Simple solution: by feepness · · Score: 3, Funny

      For all those reading this where were/are on a submarine: can you find all the EAB manifolds between shaft alley and the watertight door blindfolded? Did you every try? Nah, but I can find all the EPS conduits in the jeffries tubes between engineering and the holodeck.
    137. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what a troll!

      al-qaeda is a threat, but you're confusing the force projection capabilities of a non-state actor with those of a world hegemon. read some bob pape.

      if the united states stops 'pushing', what exactly does this entail for oppositional forces? the problems are more widely defined -- if the answer was 'stop pushing', don't you think someone would have thought of it and said something by now?

      not 'pushing' would say a lot about how the united states is willing to treat its allies. look at the history of the cold war -- allies were worried that the united states would not step up to the plate and defend them, if and when the time came. was washington worth paris? what is the amount of blood and treasure that the united states is willing to give up in order to pursue a goal?

      armed forces certainly are necessary. consider the geopolitical situation of a defanged military belonging to ANY state, not just the united states. what are the 'logical' responses by opposing actors who wish to gain influence, territory, or, basely done, treasure?

      it's great that you have an opinion regarding global force projection, but i suggest opening your eyes and expanding your worldview a tad. there are reactions to just about everything, and the proper solutions are not as cut and dried as most armchair pundits may believe.

    138. Re:Simple solution: by doktorjayd · · Score: 2, Interesting

      We don't print money on trees

      actually, the US pretty much does:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fiat_currency

      one of the underlying theories on why gwb/chaney & co were so eager to go to war was to stop saddam from trading his oil in euros rather than $USD. see, being able to print out as much as they need to spend is only going to work if everyone else plays along by agreeing on a 'value' for resources, the biggest and most valuable of these of course being oil.

      now, imagine what might have happened if a quater of the worlds oil were no longer traded in $USD, then you see the real domino effect take place: iran stops trading in $USD, saudis & so on.

      so as far as economic reasons for not to go do something rash goes: i dont think the world needs much more of a tipping point reason to shun the US for its actions, and indeed, if they went out and started picking someting with china, how long will their currency be worth anything in the global market?

    139. Re:Simple solution: by jibjibjib · · Score: 4, Funny

      The goggles do nothing!

    140. Re:Simple solution: by doktorjayd · · Score: 1

      should add.. .. you'll probably want to click through to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dollar_hegemony as well...

    141. Re:Simple solution: by doktorjayd · · Score: 1

      hmmm...

      'all that oil'

      'all that oil'

      'all that oil'

      are neither three, nor good, nor great.

      however, it is true...

    142. Re:Simple solution: by joib · · Score: 2, Interesting


      The swollen armed forces of the US have been unnecessary for quite some time. I'm surprised people haven't cottoned on a long time before now.


      Depending on who you ask, the US is responsible for about half of the worlds military spending (or if you add up US close allies as well, then it's about 2/3 of world spending). It has actually increased quite a lot this decade, largely as a result of gulf wars episode II and afghanistan. I think it's rather abundantly clear that the cold war never ended for the military-industrial complex. There's nothing out there that could even begin to challenge the US military for at least several decades, yet the billions keep rolling in for procuring large numbers of high end systems that will be obsolete within a few decades anyway.

    143. Re:Simple solution: by freisldheit · · Score: 1

      Justify to have more budget for defense R&D.

      Next, puzzled which computer system was on board. My guest is MS Windows in sleep mode.

    144. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your post doesn't make sense. I don't know where you've been, but last I checked, defense systems are just about the most technologically advanced systems in existence.

      Also, during the cold war, we gained our technological edge building up massive defense systems. That required educated workers and new technologies, but that wasn't the primary objective.

    145. Re:Simple solution: by Curtis+Woodworth · · Score: 1

      Dear China,

      This is just a polite reminder that we have $200,000,000,000 of yours. Nothing to be alarmed about. Have a nice day.

      Mr. Bush.

    146. Re:Simple solution: by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Well, that changed big time since. I got my eye opener when I had a gig with some German company starting with a big blue S. When you see half dimwit MBAs treat engineers like grunts while at the same time getting better contracts, more money and better working conditions, you start to wonder who's making the money.

      As an inside joke, big blue S is only a realty company and bank with some manufacturing attached so they don't have to conform to the strict regulations for banks and realtors...

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    147. Re:Simple solution: by Opportunist · · Score: 2, Interesting

      But hey, it's cheaper! And makes your buddies happy that funded your election.

      Also, you can't force education on people. You can offer it and you can encourage it. You can force people into the army, though. Even when it's no longer popular to outright force them, just "encourage" them by offering them no other viable option to sustain themselves, then they pretty much have to if they don't want to live under a bridge.

      Also, half educated people are simply and plainly cheaper than people with a well rounded education. They won't even consider their work valuable and feel underpaid if they only get 4 bucks an hour. After all, what can they offer? Just enough to bag stuff or sweep the floor.

      After all, if you're rich, you want your kids to stay rich. To do that, you have to make sure that, no matter how dimwitted they are, there won't be much competition for the top management positions in some corporations. Imagine you allow some smart guy without money to actually get an MBA or some other degree, and your vegetable son suddenly finds himself asking "paper or plastic".

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    148. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      submarines might be used to attack the transportation routes of a certain precious substance that starts with an 'O' and ends with an 'L'. Technically an opal isn't a substance.
    149. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      submarines might be used to attack the transportation routes of a certain precious substance that starts with an 'O' and ends with an 'L'. It also might have the middle letter 'I.'
      For the sake of marine life, as well as low gas price, R&D should be concentrated on inventing "Vampire Pirate Submarines" to sucka' de oyle outa' of da dankerrrzz instead of just spilling it around. Bonus points if subs can do it undetected, over a time. In fact, after giving it a thought for a while... screw war, it is a viable business plan, yarrr!
    150. Re:Simple solution: by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Please also mention that the difference between flying a civil plane and a military plane is about the same as driving an SUV and driving an F1 race car. The former is built for comfort, safety and compensating for inapt pilots, the latter is built for performance and to work up until (and if possible beyond) the limit.

      Just because you can fly a Cessna doesn't mean you could get an F18 off the ground. Or even land it.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    151. Re:Simple solution: by trellick · · Score: 2, Informative


      Do you work for Fox news!?

      Talk about alarmist!!

      As has been pointed out its takes a LOT of resources to keep any type of sub 'afloat' (excuse the pun).

      The US has the equipment, its just a question of training training and more training. Like in the Cold War days. I suspect that the US crews (submariners especially) had grown complacent.

      In many ways the US Navy should thank the PRC - talk about a wake-up call !

      Might even scaremonger a few hundred million dollars out of Congress.

      Of course, the conspiracy theorists could hint 'hey, they let the Chinese sub get close, just to scare some funds out of government.' But I suspect not, as this will look very very very bad on all the commanding officers involved.

    152. Re:Simple solution: by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Somewhere I read "placing an elephant right on the middle of a stamp" as a suitable comparison.

      Only way I've ever landed an F18 on a carrier was in flight sims. First of all because, well, my eyes would never qualify me for a real one and second, my country doesn't own carriers (hell, our annual military budget couldn't keep one afloat for a day). But that alone tells me those guys have balls that shouldn't fit into their flying suit.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    153. Re:Simple solution: by TheLink · · Score: 1

      Not such a big problem if you are really using the subs for _defense_.

      It does matter for the USA or other countries that need the ability to attack countries far away (for "self defense"/"regime change"/"whatever they think of next"/"The Glory of the Supreme Leader").

      --
    154. Re:Simple solution: by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      What do you mean "no war"? We're already in a war. Ok, it's an economic war, but still. And the US is about to lose if they don't watch out.

      China's grasp on the US is tightening. The US is fully dependent on China now for goods, the trade deficit towards China is a few million bucks per day. What if China suddenly decides that "your money ain't worth anything here anymore. If you want more, send your resources", like we do with third world countries already?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    155. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1. Just because there isn't fighting on the seas today doesn't mean that there couldn't be. It would be wise to look at how submarines were used in WWII (axis and allied submarines). The use of submarines in the Pacific Theatre was particularly devastating. I'll give you a hint on how they might be used today if a major war broke out: submarines might be used to attack the transportation routes of a certain precious substance that starts with an 'O' and ends with an 'L'. It also might have the middle letter 'I.' This same tactic was used in the past to bring the Japanese empire to its knees in WWII long before US bombers were in range. I don't know man. Do these submarines work underground? 'cause last time we looked, the oil was comin' from Alberta.
    156. Re:Simple solution: by Opportunist · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The problem isn't so much that the debt is large or that the Dollar is losing value. The problem is that in the Euro there is now a viable and quite attractive alternative to it.

      What makes the Euro so attractive is, funny enough, the "weakness" of the kinda-sorta government behind it. The EU is a conglomerate of countries with very different agendas. There is no chance in hell that they will ever agree on a radical point of view and change economic policies or foreign relationships radically over night. That means stability. Together with a very strong economic power backing the currency, it becomes incredibly attractive as a currency to use for international trade.

      And that is a big problem for the US. What if China suddenly demands Euros for its goods instead of Dollars?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    157. Re:Simple solution: by roguetrick · · Score: 2, Funny

      People respect the MBA as opposed to Engineers and Scientists? Dear god I'm behind the times.

      --
      -The world would be a better place if everyone had a hoverboard
    158. Re:Simple solution: by aalobode · · Score: 1

      Time to spend a few billion $ on R&D for new submarines! All the US Navy needs is a better pop-up blocker...
    159. Re:Simple solution: by Instine · · Score: 1

      Yep. Good post.
      "Trying to restart the Cold War is massively misguided and the US can't afford to do it anyway."

      This is my concern. US outspent Russia in the last cold war. It was a far better way to solve the idealogical distance between the two powers, than blowing the crap out of each other. But the match will be much closer, and I think your right, the US will not win the spending game this time. This is a much more dangerous situation, long term, as some crazies who 'refuse to loose' will one day realize that if the US can't out spend the Chinese, the only 'winning' play is to attack. Of course this is nonsence. The winning play is, not to sound too trite I hope, harmony.

      Europe(western) is realy quite a nice place to live, now that we've stopped fighting...

      So yes, playing silly buggers with 'excersises' in an attempt to foster a second cold war is just silly. They won't win this one. Washington are not good on loosing, which means we may all loose badly. Worrying...

      --
      Because you can - or because you should?
    160. Re:Simple solution: by CmdrGravy · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure Iran really needs submarines to do this, I'm sure they have sufficient relatively short range missiles to thoroughly destroy anything moving through the straits from dry land.

    161. Re:Simple solution: by aproposofwhat · · Score: 1
      A bit like this, maybe?

      --
      One swallow does not a fellatrix make
    162. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem really isn't raw millitary force. The US could kill every single person in the world and there isn't much that the rest of the world (or our own enraged citizenry) could do about it. But even our leadership isn't insane enough to try to do something like that, although gwb would if his giant invisible friend told him to.

    163. Re:Simple solution: by bytesex · · Score: 1

      Ehm, but the education of whomever you conscript is not lost on society, is it ? It's a well know catalyst in all sorts of branches; you get drafted, get your truck drivers license in the army, and when you get out you have yet another marketable skill. Just an example. Granted, in wartime (and in the US, it seems to be always wartime nowadays) the draft sucks. But in peacetime, it delivers.

      --
      Religion is what happens when nature strikes and groupthink goes wrong.
    164. Re:Simple solution: by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      You're insane. Have you read the history of "al qaeda" ? Do you even know what the word means ?

      America has been at war with muslims since it's creation and the war never ceased. It's just that they fought until they were so terribly weak that they stopped being worth mentioning. As you should know as an american, they never stopped attacking. s

    165. Re:Simple solution: by TheLink · · Score: 1

      I bet there are more aircraft underwater than submarines ;).

      So far what I hear is US nuke submariners get really good food, and get game consoles. But you better not get claustrophobic or crazy :).

      --
    166. Re:Simple solution: by mpe · · Score: 1

      Subs in the Falklands war could have been deadly if their maintenance routines did not lead to interface cards being damaged.
      They were. After Belgrano was sunk the no Argentinian captains wanted to risk their ship.

    167. Re:Simple solution: by odourpreventer · · Score: 1

      > Our submarines are far superior to the Chinese even now

      How would you know? The US navy recently loaned a Swedish submarine for exercises. It ran circles around them and generally made them look like fools.

    168. Re:Simple solution: by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Then why bother having any at all? To say "look, we got some"?

      A useless weapon is an expensive waste of resources. With the same logic the US could place a military base on the moon. Nobody else can... ok, very, very bad example. But I think you get the idea.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    169. Re:Simple solution: by Zhe+Mappel · · Score: 1

      Sure, you say that now. But funny thing about these Chinese sub sneak-ups: half an hour later, you don't even feel like one crept up on you.

    170. Re:Simple solution: by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      If the opposing force cannot field a fleet to protect the tankers, you can achive the same results with some speed boats.

      The weapon you use has to be fitting the goals you wish to achive. Sure, you could use high tech smart bombs to blow away bunkers built to the technology of the 1800s. But you will most likely lose in the end, because you use way more resources to destroy them than your opponent used to build. It's like using AIM54s to shoot down Pipers Cubs. You can do that, with ease. Problem is only that the rockets you use will probably cost more than the plane you shoot down.

      Also, in today's world you don't really want to sink those tankers. Think about the environment and the bad press related to that. You want them to stop and, preferably, capture them. A sub can't do that. You do that at gunpoint. Stop the tanker or else. Subs are rather bad at "or else" tactics. "Or else" and using the element of surprise kinda clash.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    171. Re:Simple solution: by aproposofwhat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      the logical response to a long history of US support for the nasty regime of Israel

      There, fixed that for ya.

      The support of the Saud dynasty is a by-product of a pro-Israeli policy, much as the support of variously nasty Egyptian governments has been, with the concomitant strengthening of the Muslim Brotherhood and the coming together of Al Quaeda.

      It's time the US faced facts, and realised that supporting the aggressive land thieves who currently occupy Palestine is the cause of most of the ill-will towards America in the Islamic world - other parts of the world dislike US foreign policies of the past for their own reasons (Chile, Nicaragua, Cuba, more recently Venezuela), which may be harder to fix, as the US at least had justification for feeling the need to interfere in local affairs.

      --
      One swallow does not a fellatrix make
    172. Re:Simple solution: by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      You don't need to pop up, torpedoes can be fired without surfacing and you'll probably eat a few yourself if you blow your cover before opening fire. Firing the missiles would be just to cause more damage before they kill you but if all you need to do is a surgical strike on the carrier you only need the torps. I think subs without missile tubes are a bit cheaper too and you'd lose the thing anyway.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    173. Re:Simple solution: by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I think it's sad when "no child left behind" gets used as a principle in the military.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    174. Re:Simple solution: by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Funny enough, for a military like the US military, a fight against China looks more promising than one against Afghanistan. China has a highly centralized structure, a military with an equally defined structure, you can actually strike critical points and deal a devastating strike against the ability of the enemy to fight back.

      In Afghanistan, just like in Vietnam, you fight fairly independent groups. There is no centerpiece that you just have to remove to make the whole thing crumble. What's even worse than Vietnam is that they themselves are not united and maybe even fighting against each other. You can't even find someone to create some sort of treaty that would be binding to everyone.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    175. Re:Simple solution: by stiggle · · Score: 1

      Its not the submarines that is the problem, or the crew. Its the submarine detection gear on the other vessels - like the USS Kitty Hawk.

    176. Re:Simple solution: by mrxak · · Score: 1

      One thing a lot of people keep forgetting is that Taiwan actually does quite a lot of business with China. Currently China gets all the benefits of Taiwan's capitalism without actually having to control it politically.

      Just as the US and China have no desire to go to war with one another, China doesn't *really* want to go to take over Taiwan. They like to make a big show like this submarine incident to get respect, but that's it. Why invade a country that's investing a lot of money in you and helping your economy? They certainly want to keep the option of invading if Taiwan really declares independence, but as long as Taiwan never does that, they won't attack. So they put pressure on the US to say out of their business, and the US puts pressure on Taiwan not to cause trouble.

      This submarine incident is just the Chinese government telling the US government that they are prepared to fight if it comes down to that. 99% of international relations is making plausible threats.

    177. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      You do know that's a reason for them not to attack us, right? I mean, it's not like we'd honor their treasury bonds if they declared war on us.

      Yes, you have already lost any war the Chinese might want to declare. Indeed, why would they fight us given that they own us, our politicians and our future revenue streams?

      The weird thing is that you mention how beholden the US is to China, as if it's a good thing.

    178. Re:Simple solution: by mrxak · · Score: 1

      That's no moon...

    179. Re:Simple solution: by tjstork · · Score: 1

      the US dollar goes down the tubes it's game over. The depression of the 30s would be as a minor blip. We're talking no more Fed and the individual states would be fighting each other rather than worrying about democracy in Taiwan. The US as it now is would no longer exist. Have you checked how the dollar is doing lately?

      Not sure about this. With the falling dollar, US exports are at a record high.

      --
      This is my sig.
    180. Re:Simple solution: by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I have a bad feeling about this.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    181. Re:Simple solution: by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Our failure to detect them could have been due to inadequate equipment, or else incompetent personnel or practices, or worse, arrogance.

      Or it could be that they were detected, but surprise was feigned in order to make the current funding seem inadequate and in need of increasing. That's the perverse thing about Army: the less effective it seems, the more funding it gets.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    182. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No

    183. Re:Simple solution: by Ox0065 · · Score: 1

      ?DECLARE WAR? l.o.l. All they'd have to do is STOP BUYING.

      --
      thx e
    184. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      how... Courageous? ;-p

    185. Re:Simple solution: by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      For one thing, it is illegal for me to say a lot of things.

      Here's a hint: How much of the world's population lives withing 20 miles of a coast? How many of those people use cell phones?

    186. Re:Simple solution: by Ox0065 · · Score: 1

      "This particular tactic" was used to provoke Japan into attacking Pearl Harbour.
      They were juicing sacred trees for jet fuel by the time the bombers were in range.

      --
      thx e
    187. Re:Simple solution: by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      Every single Seawolf and Virginia class submarine has a permanently installed noise augmenter to make them louder.

      No one outside a very small group of people knows how quiet they really are, because those noise augmenters don't get turned off when they are underway.

      Even with the augmentation, they are still orders of magnitude quieter than previous generations.

      Even the 688 class submarines have unknown capabilities when it comes to stealth. Just because you can hear something underwater doesn't automatically mean you can track it.

    188. Re:Simple solution: by markass530 · · Score: 1

      I was on an SSN From '01-04, and all I ever heard/experienced was how crappy chinese subs were (nuclear that is). Electric boats will always be that wild card that can get lucky now and again and sneak into places, but their inability to perform longterm deployments and operations render then not much of a big threat. I Think the quote "the sun shines on a dog's ass every once in a while" sums up this incident. That being said, The clintons firesale of secrets to the fucking chinks during their tenure did NOT help things.

    189. Re:Simple solution: by smittyoneeach · · Score: 1

      Not being a bubblehead (submarine guy), I can't speak to any limitations on subs, but there are only so many, and a kamikaze diesel sub can and will cause a lot of tight sphincters on any ships in his area.
      The word from the surface ASW types (if it was a mere excuse, it sure sounded good) was that the best platform to hunt a sub is another sub. Hair of the dog, the ability to lurk below the thermocline, or just the fact that submariners stay in practice by nature.
      It's really all about advertising, isn't it? Until the need for imroved ASW focus is advertised by some uspeakable, history-making disaster, ASW is not going to sort very high on the priority list, alas.
      The 'unimportant' things simply require human sacrifice to get noticed.
      --
      Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
    190. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are we talking an EMP bomb here? They aren't that expensive to build, either.

    191. Re:Simple solution: by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1


      You said part of what I was going to say in reply already. The viable alternative in the Euro is extremely important. The only thing I would have added to the reply is that when the GP and you both comment that the size of the debt isn't important... Well I've heard it described as the Wile E. Coyote Effect. It is the economic principle whereby you can keep going even after you run off a cliff, so long as you don't look down. Only when you realise that there's nothing beneath you, do you plummet earthwards. In this analogy, the size of the debt is the height of the cliff. You're right in some ways to say that the debt doesn't matter so long as you keep running. But when the readjustment happens (say the Euro becomes the currency of choice), it becomes very significant indeed. You only have to look at some third world countries that were buried under debt to see how much difference it makes to a country's ability to climb back up. I'm not disagreeing with your concise summary of one of the biggest issues. I'm just saying that the size of the debt is still a big worry. The issue of where it's been borrowed from is a factor too. I don't necessarily mean China, but from the USA's own institutions such as Social Security. They've borrowed against the future and that's bad.

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    192. Re:Simple solution: by Bruiser80 · · Score: 1

      I thought that Laser Surgery excluded you from flying fighter jets, due to the eye being compromised and decompression of the cockpit could lead to eye damage.

      --
      Arguing with an engineer is like wrestling a pig in the mud. After a while, you realize the engineer enjoys it.
    193. Re:Simple solution: by amias · · Score: 0

      I thought it was common knowledge that china has more dollars than the USA ?
      http://www.prospect.org/csnc/blogs/beat_the_press_archive?month=10&year=2007&base_name=how_many_dollars_will_china_ho

      All the chinese need do is start to sell a few trillion dollars of their reserve to start a slide in the value of dollars ,
      then more oil producing nations will switch to selling oil in euros instead of dollars and you can kiss goodbye to the american economy.
      http://www.energybulletin.net/7707.html

      Sure they would loose lots of money but its got to be less than the cost of having a war against the USA and without all
      that messy killing , you also get to tell the next generation it was americas fault and they wont care because , well , it is really isn't it ?

      Toodle-pip
      Amias

      --
      [site]
    194. Re:Simple solution: by DrLang21 · · Score: 1

      The problem is that there are two types of laser eye surgery. The more common LASIK eye surgery cuts open a small flap on the eye to reveal the cornea. It is folded back in place after the surgery, but it is a permanent side effect and is forever present. In intense flight maneuvers there is a chance that this flap will pop back open.

      The other option is PRK eye surgery. This is the form that is approved by the Navy (and they usually want to be the ones to do it). I don't know the details about this surgery, but basically it doesn't result in the permanent flap being present that the Navy is concerned about. This surgery also results in a more painful recovery.

      The great irony is that if you had never had corrective eye surgery, you still might have a chance at being a Navy pilot.

      --
      I see the glass as full with a FoS of 2.
    195. Re:Simple solution: by nietsch · · Score: 0, Troll

      Your reasoning is pretty sound and I agree that conscription is bad. But somehow you assume that the military as a whole is good and that is not the case. You would not want to be a grunt in the mafia either, because the high risks of being involved in an organisation that main and kills to achieve its goals. Would you want to work for a company that worked their sweatshop workers to death and was proud of that capability?
      So conscription might be a bad idea, doing away with it will never make the army/navy/airforce positively good. Your stupid pride needs some ethical readjustment, murderer.

      --
      This space is intentionally staring blankly at you
    196. Re:Simple solution: by CarpetShark · · Score: 1

      WEN: (sweating now) Oh, well, we sold one of our submarines to somebody awhile back. It was probably them.

      There is no plausible deniability when it comes to something like this. Meesh.


      No, but until citizens don't allow war to be sold to them using vaguely plausible propaganda, it doesn't matter. When your country's on-side, and you're sufficiently power-hungry or deluded, you can launch any war you want.
    197. Re:Simple solution: by DavidShor · · Score: 1

      Other then the seniorage revenue and greater debt availability, why exactly is a worldwide currency flip a threat to the US economy

    198. Re:Simple solution: by Archtech · · Score: 2

      Or she could just lie back and enjoy it, the way the Johnson administration did when USS Liberty was attacked by Israel. It's always tough resenting military (or naval) insults from people whom you owe big-time.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Liberty_incident

      --
      I am sure that there are many other solipsists out there.
    199. Re:Simple solution: by h4rm0ny · · Score: 2, Interesting

      the logical response to a long history of US support for the nasty regime of Israel
      There, fixed that for ya.


      Without entirely disagreeing with your post, if I had meant to type Israel, I would have. I was responding specifically to a comment about Al Quaeda which was predominantly a response to the US presence Saudi Arabia and support of the deeply unpleasant regime that controls it. It's an actual monarchy! Not in the stupid soak up your taxes and do nothing but inbreed English way, but an actual monarchy! Have no doubt that it is right to want a representative government there. And whilst Israel colours everything in the Middle East, and is an ever-present factor in creating the tolerance or sympathy that lets Al Quaeda hide and recruit, the actual original demand of Osama bin Laden was for the US to get out of Saudi Arabia and let them sort out issues with their government their own way. If we're going to look at the initial drive behind Al Quaeda, then we first have to look at Saudi Arabia. That is not to say that the effect of Israel on muslim and non-muslim relations outweighs Saudi in general terms. This is a country that demands a particular religion for immigration. Not even Iran asks that!
      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    200. Re:Simple solution: by asylumx · · Score: 0

      You do know that they could field a military the size of the population of our entire country, right? I mean, if they wanted to they could come and take the 200,000,000,000.00 ...

    201. Re:Simple solution: by EastCoastSurfer · · Score: 1

      And you won't glow in the dark...

    202. Re:Simple solution: by amias · · Score: 1

      because it owes far more than it could ever payback and the the USA has been bankrupt since at least 1971
      http://www.energybulletin.net/12125.html
      http://www.brillig.com/debt_clock/

      If you think thats not a problem i suggest you talk to an argentianian about what happens if all the banks
      go bankrupt . Heres a hint , having a fat salary and swanky car won't mean sh*t anymore .
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argentine_debt_restructuring

      Toodle-pip
      Amias

      --
      [site]
    203. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Think interception, not destruction

    204. Re:Simple solution: by Firethorn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They're a little short on shipping to do that though...

      That's part of the reason for the USA to have a strong navy, to prevent any nation from being able to just ship a military over to attack.

      The USAF would just be a bonus - taking out cargo ships laden with troops tends to be fairly easy.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    205. Re:Simple solution: by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1
      But 'offal' is. Yummy when stuffed into a sheep's stomach with onions and oats, and "cooked for 3 hours, or 3 days, but not a minute more!"*


      * Alton Brown, "Good Eats"

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    206. Re:Simple solution: by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      A submarine can too capture one of these boats. All they have to do is get a crew on board, and not much at that. At least until they start putting armed guards on the tankers; but that's unlikely as it gives the submarine the excuse to blow the whole thing up. Depending on what they do, they might not even have to surface. They'd probably be best off working in pairs though.

      Now, I believe in the old axiom 'Those who wish for peace; prepare for war'. IE As long as a country maintains enough military might to make anybody looking at using military force against it decide 'there's an easier way', it's to the better.

      It's like using AIM54s to shoot down Pipers Cubs. You can do that, with ease. Problem is only that the rockets you use will probably cost more than the plane you shoot down.

      That's assuming that the two parties involved have about the same resource base. Thing is, a $5k truck is more expensive to many of our enemies than a $50k smart bomb is for us, because we have more than 10x the resource base.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    207. Re:Simple solution: by rho · · Score: 1

      Right. An then pop goes the Chinese financial system.

      Possibly, but not necessarily true. Remember there are a billion+ Chinese. They can stop selling to us and sell to their own people. Not to mention the rest of the world. The Chinese like to sell to us because they like the dollars. If they stop liking the dollars, they can move elsewhere. Everybody needs cheep manufacturing, and China can provide that.

      --
      Potato chips are a by-yourself food.
    208. Re:Simple solution: by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      You do know that's a reason for them not to attack us, right? I mean, it's not like we'd honor their treasury bonds if they declared war on us. This seems true, but I can imagine them coming to collect some day. Perhaps once the debt reaches the value of say, Guam? Or Hawaii?

      Would the UN force them to give it back? Or would they see the US launching yet another undeclared war? I know that it is legal to shoot the repo man in Texas, but what about in international waters?

      Just a thought...
    209. Re:Simple solution: by rho · · Score: 1

      With the falling dollar, US exports are at a record high.

      But what do we export? Movies and Britney Spears. We don't exactly produce a lot of durable goods in this country anymore, and all of our excess farmland is being used to grow corn for fucking ethanol.

      --
      Potato chips are a by-yourself food.
    210. Re:Simple solution: by gadders · · Score: 2, Funny

      I saw a posting just as good on Digg once:

      LOL!11! Subz are cule. Don't liek peopel much.

    211. Re:Simple solution: by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      They can't even get a pissy little fight in Afghanistan/Iraq/Vietnam sorted out, what hope would they have with a country like China??

      Nukes. We could currently sustain a naval blockcade for quite a while.

      I certainly wouldn't want to go into a country who's military is about as large as our country's population.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    212. Re:Simple solution: by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      People respect the MBA as opposed to Engineers and Scientists? Dear god I'm behind the times.

      Laugh, but it's true to an extent. Perhaps people don't respect them (personally, I consider it the PHB degree), but the way our economy has changed they are certainly more valued then the engineer or scientist.

      What's wrong with the picture when a management degree makes you somehow more valuable to society then an engineering one? MBAs didn't take us to the moon. MBAs didn't invent fiber optics. But none of that matters today. The only thing that matters today is profit. Hell, even the MBAs aren't the same as they used to be -- there was a time when businesses actually planned for the long term. Now it's all about next quarters results.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    213. Re:Simple solution: by neomunk · · Score: 1

      I don't think respect has much to do with it. If you replace 'respect' with 'reward' though, the first sentence your post becomes utterly true. (not to mention utterly obnoxious)

    214. Re:Simple solution: by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 1

      How many of their billion+ people can afford their stuff? Is the Chinese middle-class anywhere NEAR the American middle-class in buying power, even allowing for our huge debt problems (both national and personal)?

      --
      Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
    215. Re:Simple solution: by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      But if what you say is true and the surgery is now allowed, I might reconsider my decision and go for some Lasik
      From what I can gather if you ever want to be a military pilot that is a bad idea.

      My understanding is that most navies that allow laser eye surgery only allow it if they did it.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    216. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So... Did 'outcomes based education' make it to the military?
      Are we more concerned about 'self esteem' rather than results?
      Since when did the teacher's unions take over?

      I thought the military was better than that..

      (Oops.. I insulted a union.. Mod me down!)

    217. Re:Simple solution: by vertinox · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You do know that's a reason for them not to attack us, right? I mean, it's not like we'd honor their treasury bonds if they declared war on us.

      So? China has plenty of Euro reserves and the Chinese banks have been quietly shifting everything over to non-US dollars (at the same time very discreetly because of their US investments) and if push came to shove, China would have a large in place R&D and manufacturing base, plenty of Euros and of course plenty of worthless US dollars.

      While we would have nothing but worthless US dollars, 9 trillion dollars of US debt, no comparable industrial infrastructure, and a nation full of marketers, lawyers, and middle management.

      You expect all those office workers to start working in the factories tomorrow? Canceling the US debt would hurt us much far more than it would hurt the Chinese.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    218. Re:Simple solution: by 10Ghz · · Score: 1

      I feel that the question between volunteer-army and drafted army depends on many issues. I could see massive problems if drafted military was used for warfare in other countries (Like Iraq or Afganistan). But it would work just fine if you had to defend the country against an aggressor that was coming across the border.

      Finland has conscription, and there are no major issues with it. And the purpose of the FDF is clearly defined as defense of the country. No wars of aggression, period. There ARE Finnish soldiers in places like Afganistan, and those are 100% volunteers. But as far as the defense of the homeland goes, there's no real alternative to conscription. Primary reason being population and size of the country. Volunteer-army would mean an army that was dramatically smaller in raw numbers than what we currently have. So we simply would not have enough troops to protect the entire country, even if those troops were superior to consripts. So if we had a volunteer-military, we would have to decide which areas are worth defending, and which are not, and that would put the population on unequal footing

      --
      Lesbian Nazi Hookers Abducted by UFOs and Forced Into Weight Loss Programs - -all next week on Town Talk.
    219. Re:Simple solution: by BeeRockxs · · Score: 1

      A german sub did the same thing in August, see this article (in german): http://www.abendblatt.de/daten/2007/08/08/779801.html

    220. Re:Simple solution: by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      All the US needs to do to stop the resistance is to stop pushing. But the powers that be in the US can't countenance such an idea
      I'm going to give a pat answer here, but pretend it's new: Nine Eleven.
      Yeah, ha ha, that's the joke the bushies always say. But to them, it's proof that [(not pushing) does not equal (no AQ "resistance")], and on that note, I concur. Osama wasn't getting the headlines he used to get, and was probably hoping for another asprin factory debacle.
    221. Re:Simple solution: by toddhisattva · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Al Quaeda are just the logical response Logical? Holy shit. There are people who think al Qaeda are logical.

      Predictable. Inevitable. Despicable.

      Not logical.

      What follows that word in your post is, predictably inevitably and despicably, complete bullshit.

      Would you want me to get "logical" in the good ol' Qaeda style on your sorry ass?
    222. Re:Simple solution: by JasterBobaMereel · · Score: 1

      Conscription produces three things

          1. Martyrs that have been killed while doing service

          2. Lots of people trained to kill

          3. A military with two types of people professionals and a sub-class of conscripts who mostly do make-work

      I know the USA already seems to have lots of the second but at least they are mostly amateurs?

      --
      Puteulanus fenestra mortis
    223. Re:Simple solution: by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      Here's a hint: How much of the world's population lives withing 20 miles of a coast? How many of those people use cell phones?

      Which really has nothing to do with my point at all. How is China interested in stopping us from snooping on terrorists? We aren't at war with China, and we're very unlikely to be at war with them in the foreseeable future.

      I suppose you could argue that this stops us from snooping on China. But if you wanted to do that, you'd be smarter to just station some intelligence officers snooping cell-phone traffic.

      --
      AccountKiller
    224. Re:Simple solution: by Kenji+DRE · · Score: 1

      Because if internation trade switches to using other currency, all the US dollars held by foreign countries would flow back into the US and cause rapid inflation.

      But since international trade is made in US$, the US can simply print money and buy foreign goods, something other countries can't do without causing inflation.

      --
      His exploit "just works". Apple fanbois everywhere implode in a self-collapsing vortex of cognitive dissonance. by jjack
    225. Re:Simple solution: by Courageous · · Score: 1

      It was the whole "come in to the right, constantly drifting ever so slightly to the left, but never go too far left, don't want to hit the tower" thing that convinced me that carrier fly boys are just crazy, the lot of 'em. :)

      C//

    226. Re:Simple solution: by tjstork · · Score: 1

      But what do we export? Movies and Britney Spears. We don't exactly produce a lot of durable goods in this country anymore, and all of our excess farmland is being used to grow corn for f---- ethanol.

      Actually, a couple of things.

      a) the various farmers associations assert that the "running out of land to produce ethanol" is actually coming from groups ultimately funded by the oil industry. You don't exactly see Exxon rushing to put ethanol pumps in its service station for a reason. Remember, Exxon does have a good bit of US oil production, and that roughly costs them $20/bbl, which they sell on the world market, which, is now at around $100/bbl. So, keep in mind there is a bit of a racket to all of this.

      b) the USA actually still has quite a bit of manufacturing left, although I certainly agree that we took a beating over the last decade because of China. For one thing, we still export aircraft, jets, jet engines, and yes, even cars (to Europe). We also make a lot of tool and die equipment, high end presses, CnC devices and other assorted big industrial machines. We sorta make the things that people manufacture with.

      --
      This is my sig.
    227. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Complete agreement with you here especially the carefully worded ending about if it was indeed a surprise.

      Having served on US submarines from 1989 to 1997 I can tell you that likely this was not as big of a surprise as the article indicates it was. Even having been out of the USN for the past ten years I am not surprised by anything the Chinese navy does considering that such periodicals as Janes Fighting Ships have been reporting for years that the Chinese Navy is becoming and in some respects is already a "Blue Water Navy." Its unfortunate that NATO however has basically disregarded this source as Janes is a civilian intelligence agency and not some accredited agency such as the CIA (accredited for what I am not sure).

      As for how our submarines operate and the quality of the crews, I can tell you that during my tenture with the USN there were no finer sailors in the world than the sailors that I served with.

    228. Re:Simple solution: by Michael+O'Neill · · Score: 1

      wonko, it sounds like you were either an officer in charge that didn't do his job training subordinates and enforcing the standards or you were a subordinate that didn't pressure your peers towards excellence. Either way, your clear lack of accepting responsibility for the situation you had a hand in creating is pathetic. It is obvious you gave up, and I'm sure your crew had indicted you as liability long before you indicted them here. The DC proficiencies on my ship were extraordinary as member of the crew of the USS Harpers Ferry (LSD-49) 1994-1996.

    229. Re:Simple solution: by Maudib · · Score: 1

      Why do people equate a week dollar, or a badly weakened dollar with economic disaster? China does not have nearly enough U.S. currency on hand to cause hyper inflation. Who cares if the dollar goes to shit against the euro or the yen? It just means the U..S. will export more and maybe restore some equivalence to the trade balance. A weak dollar will also lead to an influx of Euros and Yens as the rest of the world seeks to invest in the U.S. on the cheap.

      Of course China would be totally screwed if they dumped their dollars. If they are holding tons of dollars and using it as their primary reserve currency, then nuking the value of it would literally be suicidal. Also the U.S. is China's largest export market. China's greatest fear is unemployment and slow growth, what could be more harmful for China then to eliminate their largest market's ability to import?
       
      China's dollar holdings are only a threat to China.

    230. Re:Simple solution: by cecille · · Score: 1

      In Canada they won't let you fly even if you have laser surgery. I wanted to be a pilot for a long time, but I inherited some pretty awful eyes. I asked the army peeps about flying if I could get laser surgery, but they said no. This was ~2 years ago. On the other hand, I really doubt I'd be cut out for the military, so really it was more of a case of them rejecting me before I rejected them, but they eye thing was a definite no go for them.

      --
      ...no two people are not on fire.
    231. Re:Simple solution: by Alexpkeaton1010 · · Score: 1

      As a former Army National Guarder, I knew alot of ex-Navy guys who would join the National Guard after leaving the Navy to get there 20 for retirement. There stories were always the same: Repeated 6 month sea tours, wife screwed around on them and left them and took all there $, got tired of it and quit. Always the same. It takes a very patriotic or stupid person to volunteer for duty in a claustrophobic tin can that pretty much guarantees you will not be able to have a family or a life outside of the job.

    232. Re:Simple solution: by rho · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I recall a study that said we had the same manufacturing output in dollars as we did in the past. And a great deal of what China manufactures is junk. I was being a bit hyperbolic.

      But still, I think we don't have the same highly-skilled labor pool that we used to have. Our output is the same because our productivity is so high. That isn't necessarily a problem, but it could be if ever we needed to ramp up production, for the same reason the military starts having major training issues when they lose a lot of NCOs.

      --
      Potato chips are a by-yourself food.
    233. Re:Simple solution: by Joey+Vegetables · · Score: 1

      Interesting . . . from my viewpoint as a libertarian and anarcho-capitalist . . . Europe and Japan prosper today, while the US continues to stagnate and in many ways decline, LARGELY because Europe and Japan managed to avoid spending most of their surplus wealth, but invested it into the future instead, while the U.S. government managed to take nearly every penny from the U.S. middle class, largely for military purposes, and largely in hidden ways, such as slow but steady long-term inflation, onerous regulations and indirect taxes that force up the cost of living, tariffs that until relatively recently limited foreign competition in U.S. markets, and in numerous other ways.

      On paper, the U.S. has the best (most free) economic system, China the worst, and Europe and Japan someplace in between. But I suspect the current reality to be just the opposite. Time will tell. But I think China has managed to realize that even if you want to redistribute wealth (a goal I do understand, though I do not share), you have to allow the creation of wealth in the first place, and a relatively free market is the best and fastest way to do so. I would say it is the most fair as well, which, if I am correct, they will soon begin to understand also. Europe and Japan lag behind the Chinese in understanding this, and thus place restrictions on their economies which hurt them in the long run, but they at least do not spend all of their increase (and then some) for military purposes. The U.S. claims to be free and capitalist, but is in fact fascist (in the economic sense at least, and arguably politically as well). It's managed to drive out all business EXCEPT big business, but now that the dollar is in a free fall, we are soon poised to see cheap foreign imports of everything dry up, leaving us without sufficient energy, food, or any other essentials of life, none of which we produce here anymore in sufficient amounts. (A low dollar would ultimately help reverse this, but not anytime soon, and the low dollar is not the only problem: regulations that prop up big business at the expense of all other business, usually by putting up costly barriers to market entry, play a large role as well and will probably continue.)

    234. Re:Simple solution: by rho · · Score: 1

      How many of their billion+ people can afford their stuff?

      Few.

      Right now.

      That can change very fast.

      --
      Potato chips are a by-yourself food.
    235. Re:Simple solution: by gpuk · · Score: 1

      Don't be a simpleton. The total number of US soldier fatalities so far in Iraq stands at 3,860. The estimated total number of deaths from the World Trade Centre attacks is 2,750. For some perspective, 2500 people die EVERY DAY in the US from cancer. There aren't going to be any terrorists blowing up your mall - you should be more worried about what food your wife is buying at the mall for your kids.

    236. Re:Simple solution: by vertinox · · Score: 1

      Triply so when you consider that as the dollar looses value, so does our debt, while our cheaper currency drives exports and growth.

      You missed two major problems.

      The first major problem is that the Yuan is pegged to the dollar so that most other nations buying products would still buy Chinese.
      The second major problem is that we still buy most of our oil in dollars from foreign sources. So the lower the value of dollar, the less oil we can purchase which means higher gas prices and then higher inflation because the major of our internal commerce relies on foreign oil for our transport capabilities.

      So unless we find an alternative to foreign oil, this is bad news.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    237. Re:Simple solution: by Doctor+Faustus · · Score: 1

      If the US carriers go down, or even can be credibly threatened, that reduces the US position as a superpower considerably. So everyone else's subs matter to us
      Yes, absolutely. I think it is pretty clear, though, that we have a lot less need of our own submarines than we used to. The SSBN force is not disappearing, but is shrinking appropriately for deterrence against J. Random Lunatic rather than world-ending Mutually Assured Destruction. We do still need a few attack submarines to shadow Russian and Chinese SSBNs, and a few for secondary roles like listening to radios, landing SEALS on beaches, launching Tomahawks (although usually a surface ship would be fine -- we're not sneaking up to the Soviet coast anymore), etc.

      The primary role of an attack submarine, though, is attacking powerful surface fleets with ships worth at least hundreds of millions of dollars each. The only navies that have such things are us, England, France, Russia, Ukraine, China, India, Taiwan (now that we sold them the Kidds, anyway) and maybe a couple others. None of those are significant enough threats to us to warrant keeping a lot of submarines around rather than a couple more of the more versatile carrier groups.

    238. Re:Simple solution: by Lord+Ender · · Score: 1

      You do know that treasury bills are actively traded on the open market, don't you? It would be impossible for the US to halt payment only on China's holdings.

      Defaulting on our bond payments would destroy our perfect credit rating. We would have to pay much more to finance our government operations, which means more taxes (either in the form of inflation or income tax) for the same government services. Another result would be ruined retirement accounts of Americans, requiring even more tax to keep the ruined old geezers from begging on the street.

      --
      A slashdotter who didn't build his own computer is like a Jedi who didn't build his own lightsaber.
    239. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      China isn't going to attack Taiwan. They'll occasionally make plenty of noise, and rattle lots of sabres, but you'll never see the PLA storming Taipei in a pre-emptive strike. The US has assured Taiwan that we'll defend them from China as long as they don't declare independence. With emphasis on "as long as they don't declare independence." If they declare independence, all bets are off.

      Personally, I'm fairly confident that every militarily-significant country on earth has already reassured China that if Taiwan declares independence, and China doesn't attack, we'll all laugh politely, roll our eyes, and treat Taiwan like a naughty child throwing a tantrum in the middle of the floor -- ignoring it until it gets tired/bored and comes back to its senses.

      If China DID attack Taiwan following a declaration of independence, you can bet every step would be a carefully-scripted dance with the full knowledge and cooperation of the United States. The US would send troops to symbolically guard Taipei, but leave military targets and rural areas conspicuously unprotected. Then, the US would politely take metaphorical "bathroom breaks" while specific targets within Taipei (whose addresses were publicized well in advance) were selectively bombed. The clear message being, "We won't let China indiscriminately bomb you into the ground, but we're not going to save you from your own stupidity... and by the way, we think China's being AWFULLY generous with the SAR terms they've offered you... we STRONGLY suggest you accept them."

    240. Re:Simple solution: by JavaLord · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The weird thing is that you mention how beholden the US is to China, as if it's a good thing

      We're both beholden to each other, China needs the US market to continue their economic growth, and American needs China to keep buying dollars (which they've stopped).

    241. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "All the US needs to do to stop the resistance is to stop pushing"

      You really think things are that simple in the real world, especially over getting killed over drawing a cartoon of Muhammad and having religious leaders telling children to kill all those who are non believers.

      Warlords/tribes want power and if they don't get it somebody else will want it, I don't know whether becoming isolationist and turning a blind eye to genocide is a good idea.

      Utopia is a nice idea but be a realist.

    242. Re:Simple solution: by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      Owe the world a couple billion and you're in trouble, owe the world a couple trillion and they're in trouble. If the US restructured it's debt it would hurt Europe, China, and Japan far more than the US (we'd get to keep all the stuff we bought (and financed via debt).

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    243. Re:Simple solution: by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1

      I actually think we ought to have mandatory military service for everyone along with the option of other forms of community service for conscientious objectors (maybe infrastructure development).

      "Neither slavery nor involuntary servitude, except as a punishment for crime whereof the party shall have been duly convicted, shall exist within the United States, or any place subject to their jurisdiction." -- Amendment XIII, United States Constitution

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    244. Re:Simple solution: by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1

      or you could go the route Heinlein outlined in one of his books, where the franchise (voting) only passed to those that served,

      This suggestion is remarkably un-American: "That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed". Under the principles outlined in the Declaration of Independance, if only military and ex-military people can vote (a form of military dicatorship, to be sure), then the government has just power only over those people.

      Or to put it another way, the franchise had to be earned.

      Voting is not a priviledge to be earned. If government is to have any legitamacy, voting must be a fundamental right.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    245. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Posted anon to avoid slashtruth modding.

      They fight primarily off US territority and could not pursue a war on US territority. I am pretty sure the 9-11 attacks were on US territory. I am also pretty sure that the reason they fight elsewhere is because we are engaging them elsewhere. If they weren't distracted by those engagements, they would probably return their attention to the US, which is where it was when this all started.
    246. Re:Simple solution: by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 1

      Have an uncle, was an officer on N-boats in the 60s-70s.

      I also, later, had a friend who was a corpsman on the same, in the late 80s.

      Contrasting their stories was night and day, mate. My friend said you'd go to sea for about six months, and over time about half the crew had "coupled up".

      It might be the difference between the Royal Navy and the USN - but I don't think so. These kids listened to Boy George and Poison.

      --
      "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
      Never been known to fail..."
    247. Re:Simple solution: by Joey+Vegetables · · Score: 1

      However, back to the China question: we will be involved in military confrontations with them at some point there is no doubt.

      That is far from inevitable. I do not see a reason for the Chinese to directly confront the U.S., now or at any time in the future. If current trends continue, China will easily defeat the U.S. economically. It will own what it wishes, and will be able to take what it wishes, without any force, coercion, or threats. The U.S. will be powerless to resist, and will not try. Now, if the U.S. population were to wake up, and replace the current so-called "government" with one even just slightly more sane, a different scenario would likely unfold: the U.S. would halt and hopefully reverse its present decline, and the two nations would grow together, and would grow so mutually interdependent, much like the U.S. and Canada or even the U.S. and Japan, that the very thought of military confrontation will seem unthinkable, a relic of a more barbarous and violent past that at that point will hopefully be behind us. I obviously hope for the latter scenario, but either way, whether the U.S. chooses to commit economic and cultural suicide or not, the Chinese are very unlikely to do so, and thus unlikely to ever be in such a weak position that they can only achieve their goals via military force.

      But while war is not inevitable, neither is peace. The most likely flashpoint for now at least is not Taiwan, but Iran. It will be almost impossible to confine a conflict between Iran and the U.S./Israel to the Middle East: both sides have the ability and the will to take actions that would draw in Russia and almost certainly China as well, at least by proxy.

    248. Re:Simple solution: by Mister+Whirly · · Score: 1

      The problem with that scenario is China and just about any other country that has a major export is somewhat dependent on the US economy. If China trashes the US economy, who is going to buy all their lead-based paint and GHB toys?? Canada??

      --
      "But this one goes to 11!"
    249. Re:Simple solution: by mike2R · · Score: 1

      It must really piss you off that the only reason that people like you have the freedom to voice that opinion is that people like him have been willing to kill and die to defend that right.

      --
      This sig all sigs devours
    250. Re:Simple solution: by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1

      Al Quaeda are just the logical response
      Logical? Holy shit. There are people who think al Qaeda are logical.


      Well I can at least parse a sentence. They are the logical response in that an attack produces a counter-attack. Would the meaning be clearer to you if I had said they are the natural response to US support for the Saudi regime? If a country invades another, or in this case supports a totalitarian regime, it is logical to expect a resistance movement. Al Quaeda are that resistance movement. But since you have interpreted it in a different sense, yes - within the bounds of their own priorities, Al Quaeda are indeed logical. They are striking back at what they perceive to be their enemy. Logical enough, I would say.

      Would you want me to get "logical" in the good ol' Qaeda style on your sorry ass?
      I think you getting logical in any sense would be a good start. But if you really want to threaten me, here I am. So go ahead. I'm waiting... :p
      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    251. Re:Simple solution: by Senjaz · · Score: 1

      Interesting thought. I believe the article as reported that the US fleet were surprised, but that's not so hard given that the Chinese sub was a diesel/electric. Those things are a bugger to detect. It wouldn't be the first time this has happened either. A submariner friend of mine was telling me how a UK sub managed to tail a US sub off the coast of South Africa, coming into weapons range without being spotted. What our sub didn't realise at the time was that it too was being tailed by a South African diesel electric. When the UK submarine surfaced and gave away it's position to the US, the South African one did likewise. The South African's believed they had been spotted, but if the story is true. The Brits hadn't actually seen them.

      Diesel/electrics - old tech and short range but they have their advantages. It's not wise to get too cocky.

      --
      Don't blame me - this .sig had steal me written all over it.
    252. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      UMMMM.... "Aggressive Land Thieves"????!?

      Oh, I guess you believe that history began in 1948.

      Either that, or you forgot about the Assyrians, Babylonians, Persians, Greeks, Romans, Sassanians, and Byzantines?

    253. Re:Simple solution: by aproposofwhat · · Score: 1
      No - the terrorists of the Stern Gang and Irgun were operating before 1948, during the British Mandate, and their actions after partition (e.g. the massacre at Deir Yassin) certainly go some way to characterising the modern Zionist state.

      Yes, there once was a Judea, but that doesn't mean that having an apartheid state transplanted into the middle of the Arab world is a good idea.

      Balfour Declaration - the worst foreign policy decision of the 20th Century.

      --
      One swallow does not a fellatrix make
    254. Re:Simple solution: by tjstork · · Score: 1

      But still, I think we don't have the same highly-skilled labor pool that we used to have. Our output is the same because our productivity is so high. That isn't necessarily a problem, but it could be if ever we needed to ramp up production, for the same reason the military starts having major training issues when they lose a lot of NCOs

      I agree. I think we need to have way more vocational education. We're too "in the mind" and not enough hands on. Even engineers can benefit from having to learn how to actually make things.

      --
      This is my sig.
    255. Re:Simple solution: by japhmi · · Score: 1

      If the opposing force cannot field a fleet to protect the tankers, you can achive the same results with some speed boats.

      All the opposing force would need would be some guns on the tankers to fight off speed boats, not a fleet.

      You want them to stop and, preferably, capture them. A sub can't do that. You do that at gunpoint. Stop the tanker or else. Subs are rather bad at "or else" tactics. "Or else" and using the element of surprise kinda clash.

      I remember reading a while back about how the US has been retrofitting some of their subs to be able to deploy SEAL teams underwater. That's a very good way of using a sub for capturing a tanker. Sneak up on the tanker in the middle of the ocean, drop off the SEAL team, and show up on the tanker bridge and point a gun at the head of the captain "turn this ship over to us or else. Or else and the element of surprise, together at last.
      --
      "Giving money and power to government is like giving whiskey and car keys to teenage boys" P. J. O'Rourke
    256. Re:Simple solution: by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1

      not 'pushing' would say a lot about how the united states is willing to treat its allies. look at the history of the cold war -- allies were worried that the united states would not step up to the plate and defend them, if and when the time came. was washington worth paris? what is the amount of blood and treasure that the united states is willing to give up in order to pursue a goal?


      I would say, and I think you must agree, that the amount of blood and "treasure" has to depend on what the goal is. In the second World War, a main goal was to drive out the invading German army and the Nazi ideology that had taken control of it. The USA's allies were the countries also fighting to liberate parts of Europe. In this case however, the allies that you think it would be so shameful to let down, are a fairly brutal and certainly oppressive monarchy of all things! People are tortured for being critical of the ruling family, people imprisoned without trial. Amputation is used as a punishment and there is virtually no legal protection for women. This is a country where people have been executed for witchcraft.

      The morality of letting down one's allies is not independent of who those allies are. It's a shame that you posted as an AC as I would liked you to have read this reply.
      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    257. Re:Simple solution: by edward2020 · · Score: 1

      If your talking about Heinlein's "Starship Troopers," I believe any federal service counted towards becoming a "citizen." It just took the guys in the mobile infantry (like the protaganist) less service time than someone who opted for a non-military service. Do you remember what the protaganist's father told him though, something like "Why do you need to be a citizen and get a vote that doesn't count, you're going to Harvard just like I did so you can run the familiy business?" Also remember, when his father eventually joined the MI, he did so more out of revenge ('cause the bugs blew up his home city and wife) than out of civic responsibility.

      --
      Don't worry about the mule, just load the wagon.
    258. Re:Simple solution: by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      Because it's not just China we have to worry about if they dump their holdings. You think any other country is going to want dollars if they're low value. OPEC will have to shift from accepting dollars to another currency. The US will then have to buy this other currency to buy oil. If you think the above is just a trifling problem that is going to be offset by the increase in exports you are seriously deluded.

    259. Re:Simple solution: by Finuance · · Score: 1

      As for electric boats? they're quite. Scary quite. Quite...?

      Yes, they are quite quiet..
    260. Re:Simple solution: by einhverfr · · Score: 1

      Ok, how about no employment in government institutions, institutions, or vendors without putting three years into either of these organizations (the military of the conscientious objector corps)? It doesn't make it involuntary, but your life will be a *lot* easier if you do (for example, Microsoft, Intel, etc. could only hire people below a certain age if they had done these sorts of service).

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    261. Re:Simple solution: by ElephanTS · · Score: 1

      For all those reading this where were/are on a submarine: can you find all the EAB manifolds between shaft alley and the watertight door blindfolded? Did you every try?


      Sir, all they told me was "Up periscope!", sir.

      Rats, I'm taking my submarining skills back to the bath.
      --
      spoonerize "magic trackpad"
    262. Re:Simple solution: by ivan256 · · Score: 1

      Subs are rather bad at "or else" tactics. "Or else" and using the element of surprise kinda clash.


      Actually, "or else" works really well if your enforcement method is entirely undetectable until it's used.

      "Turn around, or else that sub behind you is going to sink you..."

      Then it's up to the captain of the ship to decide whether or not the person making the demands is bluffing about the sub or not. If you have a proven stealth capability, you can exert your will with a much smaller fleet than if your true capabilities are visible to anybody.
    263. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why bring Iran into this? Iran simply does not threaten the USA in ANY sense, unless you subscribe to the current US administration's view that NOT allowing itself to be dominated by the US somehow threatens the US in itself.

      If the US Navy has a tough time detecting these relatively primitive subs then it MIGHT make them a little more circumspect about Chinese naval capabilities in general - that can only be a good thing - the US has made a big mess with ill-conceived military actions since the end of the cold war.

      Also, can ANYONE explain to me what the issue with Taiwan is? The US apparently doesn't want China to reabsorb Taiwan into the state, yet are quite happy to deal/trade with the Chinese in their current political form and doesn't seem that bothered about Tibet. Face it, Taiwan will, at some point, much like Hong Kong, be re-absorbed by China, and the USA has ZERO chance of stopping it happening.

    264. Re:Simple solution: by davidsyes · · Score: 1

      (INT WTF Slashdot:

      "Your comment has too few characters per line (currently 16.3)."
      Your comment has too few characters per line (currently 17.8).)

      This I thought of frm 2117-2127 last night (made some minor changes since...)

      I thought of the 1970's Partridge Family's first theme track, I guess since "Song" is the NATO designation of the Chinese SS... Also, since I am Buddhist, believe in reincarnation, and wonder if I'd been in Admiral Zheng He's fleet in the 1400's, I am taking some linguistic liberties, partly as a jab at Westerners who poke fun at Asian articulation of English.

      However, I suppose that MOST of the USN Sailors of today are too young to even APPRECIATE the Partridge Family tune...

      Here goes:

      A Little Ditty for the PLAN Plan

      Hello Gurl (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      There's a "SONG" (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      And we're SINGIN'(Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      Come on, let's HAPPYYY!(Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)

      A WHOOLE lot a bubbling(Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      Is WHAT we could brining (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      So YEH, WE HAPPY!(Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)

      ---

      The U-uhh Es-sah Navy (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      They thinkin' that we STUpid (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      But we have a lotta secrets-- (stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      That we haven't yet SHOWN (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      ---

      They HAVE a lotta weapon (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      And EXOTIC SUPER SENSOR (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      And the ELINT -- (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)

      But, NOW they wish they played (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! songs!)
      it that our cover was BLOWN! (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)

      --
      --
      --
      Hello gurl! (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      there's our boat (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      So yah, WE SINGING! (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      And Yah, we HAPPY! (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      A BOATLOAD of flooding (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      Is what we could bringing -- (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)

      But we're not so sneaky (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)

      --
      --
      --

      So you're CVs and you're CGs (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      are a trawlin' all the ocean-- (Ignore; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      looking for our ass sets that (stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)
      you THOUGHT you had known-- (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code! Can't handle songs!)

      Now your beaming and your seethin' (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code!)
      Soo your anchor's you're a heavin' (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code!)
      And the sensor in the launcher (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code!)
      Are about ABOUT TO BE THROWN (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code!)

      --
      --
      --

      Hello Gurl, here's our DONG -- (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code!)
      And We swingin' (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code!)
      And now we're happeee! (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code!)
      --

      The Zheng He is the NEXT boat-- (Ignore this parenthetical; stoopid slash code!)
      And tho he was a Eunuch,

      --
      Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
    265. Re:Simple solution: by jollyreaper · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And STILL, those Masters of the Universe didn't see the Berlin Wall coming down! I hear you on that. It's like with WMD's in Iraq, it's not like our analysts didn't know it was a bogus story, it's just that this information couldn't make it up the chain of command due to politics and stupidity. If you read what the people looking directly at the facts were saying, they knew that a Soviet collapse had to be coming just by looking at the sat pictures of their farmland. The best advice in the world, if unheeded, is worthless.

      Cool post, by the way. Lots of rambling but hell, the details are the good stuff. :) Don't know why the douches downmodded ya.
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    266. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It was a friendly-fire incident. Shit like that happens- hell we do it even today. IAF pilots were so trigger-happy during the war that they even attacked an Israeli armored column the day before. While that does reflect a lack of discipline and breakdown of communication, I doubt it was anything more sinister than a "oops" moment.

    267. Re:Simple solution: by MikeMo · · Score: 1

      Yes, I can find all the EAB manifolds in the engine room, upper and lower levels. I've used them in for-real situations many times. But then, I am an old-timer. Got out in '78 after 9 years in the nuclear navy.

      You have hit on one of the biggest reasons I got out after that long: the new kids didn't give a damn about qualifying. They didn't care where the fire extinguishers were, let alone where an important valve or breaker was. They laughed when reminded that they were serving on a warship, not a kiddy cruiser. It was just too damn scary being out there (on a submarine for Christ's sake), with people that barely knew where their watch station was! And *none* of them were drafted.

      I imagine things are even worse now than they were back then.

    268. Re:Simple solution: by notamisfit · · Score: 1

      Ever tried to put a nuclear reactor, shielding, and a steam plant on a sportbike?

      --
      Jesus is coming -- look busy!
    269. Re:Simple solution: by robkeeney · · Score: 1

      Yes, but the military isn't there to train truck drivers. It's there first, foremost, and only to kill people and break things. If you want to force job skills on people, force job skills on people, but the military isn't the organization for it.

    270. Re:Simple solution: by Lars+T. · · Score: 1

      As long as a sub can hide and wait for a CVBG to cross within, say, 5 NM to any side, a hidden sub can vertical launch or float into a vertical launch one or more missiles, mines, decoys or other devices as a ruse or means to disperse the fleet and weaken the shield/umbrella.

      Sure, they'll face retaliation, but for any rogue/stateless assailants wanting to damage or merely startle a CVBG (which may or may not end up in the press), this might be something we see more of -- by state-funded, stateless actors. Imagine a future conflict (say with North Korea) and the US doing the usual "go close enough to the zone with aircraft carriers to gain air superiority". Now imagine a coordinated attack on those carriers. Ooopsy.
      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

    271. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're not very smart are you?

    272. Re:Simple solution: by Gorshkov · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Face it, Taiwan will, at some point, much like Hong Kong, be re-absorbed by China, and the USA has ZERO chance of stopping it happening.

      Taiwan hasn't been part of China since WW II. Culturally, politically, socially - even linguistically - they have become two very different countries. If you think that Taiwan could be painlessly absorbed by China - even *without* US intervention - you don't know the Taiwanese.

      Saying that Taiwan today is part of China is like saying the USA is still part of the British Empire.
    273. Re:Simple solution: by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      Submarine warfare is limited to those nations that have the ability to have submarine fleets. Those countries aren't terribly hostile towards the United States. It's extremely doubtful we're going to fight a big naval battle anytime soon.
      That's mainly because the potential opponents know better than to engage the USA in open warfare. For that matter, this applies to all Western countries, since it's clear that an all-out war against one would result in NATO intervention in the affair, which means US again.

      But if the US drops the guard, you can be sure that China and Russia will use it to their favor. Not an open attack, of course, but strong military by itself is a potent diplomatic tool.

    274. Re:Simple solution: by mosb1000 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "China has plenty of Euro reserves"

      That's doesn't mean that our treasury bills are worthless!

      "While we would have nothing but worthless US dollars, 9 trillion dollars of US debt, no comparable industrial infrastructure, and a nation full of marketers, lawyers, and middle management."

      This is not at all true. Most of the goods used by US citizens are made here (cars, houses, food!!!). Low cost goods are made in china, but they would be made here as well if the Chinese government didn't fix their currency to the value of the dollar. You seem to have forgotten that the US is the most industrialized nation on earth, much more so than china which is mostly agrarian. US dollars will always have value as long as the biggest spender on earth (The US) uses them. Moreover, if dollars were worthless, the 9 trillion dollars of debt would be as well, so putting those two claims in the same sentence is comical.

      "You expect all those office workers to start working in the factories tomorrow"

      Well, if they lose their office jobs, I imagine they would.

      "Canceling the US debt would hurt us much far more than it would hurt the Chinese."

      That's hard to say. It depends on how such an action is viewed by foreign creditors. It's pretty common for warring nations to seize the assets of their enemy (the debt is an asset to them, and our government has control over it). It would be unreasonable to expect us to honor the debt in such a circumstance (we'd pay them money, they'd use it to buy weapons and bomb us).

    275. Re:Simple solution: by nunyadambinness · · Score: 1

      Because it's not just China we have to worry about if they dump their holdings. You think any other country is going to want dollars if they're low value.


      It's interesting that you can make a statement like that and yet not see why you're wrong.

      If no one wants low value dollars, and China dumps dollars, thus lowering their value, who, exactly, do you think will be buying them? You just said no one wants low value dollars, and by dumping them, that's exactly what China will have.

    276. Re:Simple solution: by nunyadambinness · · Score: 1

      How?

      You can't just assert something like that and expect the money fairy to do the work.

    277. Re:Simple solution: by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      Sure, the US and the rest of the civilized needs to step aside and watch as the followers of the religion of peace take out their rightful revenge on the world-wide conspiracy of baby-eating and blood-drinking Jews, who offend the believers by the mere fact of their existence.

    278. Re:Simple solution: by entropiccanuck · · Score: 1

      Timothy Zahn had a book (Cobra series, I think, might be Blackcollar) in which the right to vote (and therefore any political office) was tied to military service. There were allowances for non-combat roles (medical, mail, etc) for the conscientious objectors or medically disabled.
      Seemed like a reasonable system to me.

    279. Re:Simple solution: by Sylvak · · Score: 1

      Taiwan and China are separated, not divorced. If China goes to war with anyone, I'm willing to bet they would start with Taiwan. Any talk of divorce on Taiwan's part will force China's hand. I think this is one affair/relationship that the US should stay out of. Maybe they can give them technology to help them out, but against the rising military power that is China, seems useless to me. Trying to stop them would start WW3.

    280. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are an idiot. They fight primarily off US territority and could not pursue a war on US territority.
      Do you remember 9-11? We weren't pushing very much then, they instigated it. So if you think we should crawl up in a ball and terrorists will stop being evil go for it.
      Id rather eat before being eaten.

    281. Re:Simple solution: by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      He's a Republican. The first thing you learn as a Republican is to blame the victim.

    282. Re:Simple solution: by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      You might want to ask the Europeans about that. A lot of countries in Europe still have military conscription, e.g.: Germany, Finland. I'm sure there are /. readers from there in this discussion, so let them say: is there really an issue with draft dodging by "people with connections" in their countries?

    283. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes we had a single reason to invade - we want the oil reserves sitting under all that sand. And we will do whatever it takes to get them, even funding an illegal war.

    284. Re:Simple solution: by Mathonwy · · Score: 1

      Also, remember that Congress has to approve going to war because it has to be funded. As far as abusing his position is concerned, he isn't the first and won't be the last so don't act like he is alone. The democrats *cough*Clinton*cough* do it too.

      Yeah, Clinton sure lead us into an awful lot of pointless wars of aggression based on fabricated evidence too.

      Or... wait, no, I think you're thinking of someone else.

      P. S. It doesn't dishonor our troops to admit that the person who ultimately commands them might be... a few boats short of a flotilla. Heck, you could make a pretty good argument that refusing to admit such a thing is more of a "letting them down". But either way, they're people and not political props, so can we just leave the "who's actions let them down more??!?" conversation out of it?

    285. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What a stunningly moronic comment.

      It saddens me that people like you who are so ignorant are also so vocal. I suppose you're not smart enough to realize how stupid you are.

      Please stop posting. For your sake.

    286. Re:Simple solution: by Glock27 · · Score: 1
      Iran simply does not threaten the USA in ANY sense, unless you subscribe to the current US administration's view that NOT allowing itself to be dominated by the US somehow threatens the US in itself.

      First off, Iran threatens stability and pro-Western entities throughout the Middle East, and particularly in Iraq.

      Second, Iran has been actively working against the US in Iraq, and Iranian weapons have killed many US troops.

      Third, Iran funds terrorism including Al Queda.

      Fourth, Iran is actively seeking to build nuclear weapons, which could well be used against the US or US interests.

      I favor wide-ranging airstrikes against Iran's nuclear installations and military. Those should keep Iran from being a problem for many years, and perhaps give the rest of the Middle East a chance to move out of the seventh century... To my mind the only other possibility is a pro-democracy revolution, which seems pretty unlikely at this point.

      If Iran continues to cause trouble after the airstrikes, we can hit its oil terminals, cutting off its only source of hard currency.

      Any country that regularly holds government sponsored rallys to chant "Death to America" is no friend of America. As their technology improves, it simply becomes more and more likely they'll be able to do something catastrophic to us. Iran needs to understand in no uncertain terms that the reverse is true as well.

      Also, can ANYONE explain to me what the issue with Taiwan is? The US apparently doesn't want China to reabsorb Taiwan into the state, yet are quite happy to deal/trade with the Chinese in their current political form and doesn't seem that bothered about Tibet. Face it, Taiwan will, at some point, much like Hong Kong, be re-absorbed by China, and the USA has ZERO chance of stopping it happening.

      What you're missing with regard to Taiwan is that the Taiwanese don't want to be re-absorbed. There are treaties with the US, and it's likely that the US will get involved if China uses force. The threat of US intervention is likely the only thing that's stopped it so far.

      The US most certainly could stop China from conquering Taiwan...whether it chooses to do so when push comes to shove is another question. Let's hope it doesn't happen on Hillary's watch. ;-)

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    287. Re:Simple solution: by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      The democrats *cough*Clinton*cough* do it too.

      Great. You response is "incompetence is ok because Democrats do it too." First, you are admitting incompetence. Second, you are stating that you believe and expect the government to be incompetent. This means that you have purposefully voted for people you believe to be incompetent. I have heard many Bush supporters using such statements before voting for him a second time, so they knew what they were getting into. So, why are you voting for someone you know to be incompetent, rather than crying out for a better candidate? People like you, whether Republicans or Democrats, are the cause of the problem. Voting for the lesser of two evils is still voting for evil, and you are purposefully running our country into the ground. Just because you think the other guy will run it into the ground too on a path you like less doesn't excuse you from purposefully running our country into the ground.

      But thanks for patronising everyone else with your excuses while you do what you claim to hate.

    288. Re:Simple solution: by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      That's assuming that the two parties involved have about the same resource base. Thing is, a $5k truck is more expensive to many of our enemies than a $50k smart bomb is for us, because we have more than 10x the resource base.

      That in turn ignores that as soon as economy becomes a part in warfare you're not only waging war against a country or some alliance, but against the world economy as well. That 50k you spend on that smart bomb are 50k some other large competitor for economic world domination doesn't spend.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    289. Re:Simple solution: by couchslug · · Score: 1

      The truck driver analogy is interesting, because in fact many G.I.s use their benefits to get a Class 8 license. That said, the same training is available OJT from the major trucking companies, and if you can pass a MEPS physical you can pass the DOT physical and go straight to trucking. G.I. tend to get it to add to their resume, because if you are a technician being able to drive the equipment rig is desirable.

      While military training has quite a bit of civlian overlap, viewing conscription as a beneficial job training program is IMO mistaken. That "rotating pool" of conscripts may (and should) earn benefits, but much of what they will do has no civilian analog. OTOH a career soldier/sailor/airman can get continuing education that fits his/her experience and emerge highly employable. The service gets the continuity of career troops, and society gets skilled people who can retire in their late 30s and start new careers.

      If one is intending to benefit from a "peacetime" single enlistment, I suggest the Air Force/AF Reserve/Air Guard (which have never drafted) or Coast Guard. Yummy bennies and a cozy work atmosphere.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    290. Re:Simple solution: by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Still, someone has to shout that warning. But what you could do is have a few speed boats float around and one sub somewhere. You have to sink one tanker, then you can even get by without the sub. The threat alone is sufficient. :)

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    291. Re:Simple solution: by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      *shrug*

      you have to find balance somewhere. If that $50k bomb stops the $5k truck bomb before it detonates and causes $500k of damage, killing 5 people(~$1 million each), it's worth it.

      Sure, active operations are expensive, but the idea is that it's cheaper than the alternative.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    292. Re:Simple solution: by couchslug · · Score: 1

      Heck, trolls gotta eat too!

      "But somehow you assume that the military as a whole is good and that is not the case."

      I assume it is _necessary_, and I understand processes that make an effective or ineffective force. As long as force trumps everything else one must be either good at war or willing to surrender.

      People like you, dear civilian, determine by action or inaction what our missions are and who we are tasked to help or kill. Don't like militaries? Vote your own out of existence.

      You might not mind the rescue of the Netherlands by the Allies, but you might object to other uses of military power. That's your call. I don't pretend to any great nobility nor should you be so self-righteous. ;)
      We in the militaries of the world are not better or worse than you, and in a democratic society we work for you.

      No likee the mission, be an activist and change it. Inaction is consent.

      "You would not want to be a grunt in the mafia either, because the high risks of being involved in an organisation that main and kills to achieve its goals. Would you want to work for a company that worked their sweatshop workers to death and was proud of that capability?"

      I've worked around infantry ("grunts" to you) and wouldn't mind being one. Don't AssUme what I'd want.
      When I enlisted in the Cold War my odds (USAFE air bases like Ramstein = "big ass NBC targets") may have even been as shitty as theirs. The US military does not try to work its folks to death, and while conditions are sometimes rough plenty of those "workers" re-up and stay for 20 years or more. We are far from being WWI cannon fodder.

      "Your stupid pride needs some ethical readjustment, murderer."

      Pride in accomplishment (and fighting well is an accomplishment) isn't misplaced, even in an enemy.

      Fighting is a process made necessary by the willingness of others to fight. I'm quite sure my aircraft maintenance efforts have helped kill a number of enemy (back in 1991 we could freely view HUD tapes) and destroy lots of their stuff. I sleep quite well and would cheerfully serve again. I'm also satisfied to have helped guard Europe and South Korea. If those things make me a willing murderer, I could really care less.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    293. Re:Simple solution: by Jasin+Natael · · Score: 1

      That's the reason TO attack us. If we keep inflating our currency and not making something valuable to buy with that debt, then they've got two options: (1) Make us pay up, or (2) make us pay dearly. This is just a ridiculously huge case of what a restaurateur would do with a ne'er-do-well trying to skip out on the check. You can choose to put him to work, find a way to ostracize him so he won't eat at a restaurant in your city ever again, or you can rough him up a bit and toss him out on the street to vent your anger and deter others like him. No situation is optimal for the owner, but once the guy's eaten the food, you don't very well just let him get away with it.

      All debt must be repaid; I'm afraid too many of us have forgotten that little truth. It will probably simply put a drag on our lifestyles for some time while we become the export economy and the other countries get to live it up, but it's definitely worth a bit of caution and diplomacy. Similar to your original post: It's not like we'd honor their treasury bonds in a cease-fire agreement, or It's not like we'd honor their treasury bonds to avoid UN trade sanctions, or It's not like we'd work a long, hard week for the occupying forces. Lots of things can happen, and only the rarest of truly important events seems conceivable beforehand.

      --
      True science means that when you re-evaluate the evidence, you re-evaluate your faith.
    294. Re:Simple solution: by sherpajohn · · Score: 1
      Pulling out my copy of "Between You, Me and the Gatepost" - Pat Boone's 1960 "all new, down-to-earth teenage-guide". Let's see...ah here it is, on page 152, the final paragraph of chapter 11. Brains vs. Bombs:

      "And brother, when a really fit, alert and educated America flexes it's muscles, that Russian bear had better head for the hills!"

      emphasis added. And I bet you didn't know ole Pat was an author - it only rates a very short reference in his Wikipedia entry ;)
      --

      Going on means going far
      Going far means returning
    295. Re:Simple solution: by rat10177sd · · Score: 0

      ...No, but until citizens don't allow war to be sold to them using vaguely plausible propaganda, it doesn't matter.... ...When your country's on-side, and you're sufficiently power-hungry or deluded, you can launch any war you want....
      .
      .
      .
      You Really should stop picking on president Bush, he can't help it he's an idiot.
      .
      .
      .
      Anime, like Linux, is not an addiction; it is a way of life.

    296. Re:Simple solution: by ivan256 · · Score: 1

      You don't even have to sink a tanker... All you have to do is pop up in the middle of a naval exercise being run with most sophisticated fleets on the planet, and not be detected until you arrive. That would be sufficient to make any future claims of submarine presence be taken seriously.

    297. Re:Simple solution: by Darby · · Score: 1


      Wind. Check. Carrier moving. Check. Unforgiving short runway. Check.


      Don't forget the sea bouncing the deck up and down.

    298. Re:Simple solution: by turgid · · Score: 1

      In the Navy,
      Your bunk will have fleas,

      In the Navy,
      There will be mould on the cheese,

      etc.

    299. Re:Simple solution: by LiquidMind · · Score: 1

      Unforgiving short runway. Check. that is true, but keep in mind that airplanes trying to land on carriers are 'snagged' by a cable when they land. the pilot, right when he touches down, will hit the afterburner to give him enough speed to take off the runway again, just in case he doesn't 'catch' one of the three or so cables.
      unforgiving short runway, yes. but you'd be crazy to think they only get one perfect shot at it.
      --
      This sig contains repetition and redundancy.
    300. Re:Simple solution: by smithmc · · Score: 1

        The other path is to not over-react. China isn't going to attack the US, if for no other reason they've invested too damn much money in us. I'd bet the Chinese economy would collapse if the US wasn't buying all that crap from them. Concentrate on the real threats, not the Chinese wanting to look like big-shots by sneaking up on a few inexperienced submariners (most of which is probably all still geared up to look for nuclear subs).

      Talk about missing the point. This isn't about the Chinese being able to sneak up on our subs; it's about the Chinese being able to sneak past our subs to threaten our aircraft carriers, which are the US's first-use tool for projecting force around the world. We wanna scare someone, without going to the trouble of shipping 100K troops somewhere? We pull a carrier battle group or two up alongside the nearest stretch of coastline, and they get the picture damn quick. One of the countries that we occasionally tweak with such demonstrations is... China. Or at least, it was... Y'see?

      --
      Downmodding is the refuge of the weak. Don't downmod, make a better argument!
    301. Re:Simple solution: by DavidShor · · Score: 1
      "Because if internation trade switches to using other currency, all the US dollars held by foreign countries would flow back into the US and cause rapid inflation."

      Considering that this would most likely happen over a prolonged period(barring a sudden Chinese sell-off), the Federal Reserve could just cut back monetary supply growth in order to compensate for the influx of dollars, leaving the overall number of dollars the same as it otherwise would have been.

      "But since international trade is made in US$, the US can simply print money and buy foreign goods, something other countries can't do without causing inflation."

      Individuals do not have the power to print money to buy foreign goods, only the Government does(And for the most part, they don't). The Dollar's status as a reserve currency increases the demand for US dollars, and this drastically decreases the interest rate we need to pay on treasury bonds.

      I look at increased ability to incur debt as a bad thing.

    302. Re:Simple solution: by 1u3hr · · Score: 1
      One thing a lot of people keep forgetting is that Taiwan actually does quite a lot of business with China. Currently China gets all the benefits of Taiwan's capitalism without actually having to control it politically. Just as the US and China have no desire to go to war with one another, China doesn't *really* want to go to take over Taiwan.

      I live in Hong Kong and have lived in Taiwan a few years ago. So I'm aware of the situation. Which is why I said "the military" want to invade Taiwan. Not "China". Chinese businessmen have an ever larger influence on the government, and they obviously don't want to rock the boat. Nevertheless, the military have a lot of influence and as the country gets richer they've massively increased their spending to modernise their equipment. There are a thousand missiles targetted at Taiwan now, and there are more every year. And like any military, they look for enemies to justify their existence. They play the "Unify the Motherland" card to build support, which is like "Democracy and Apple Pie" in America, a slogan you cannot question. Though we might hope that China is past doing irrational things, like the Cultural Revolution, as it's bad for business, if a faction felt that an external enemy was necessary to preserve their power, economic rationalism can go out the window.

      So the best hope for peace is that China gets richer and if not democratic, too invested in economic stability to endanger it.

    303. Re:Simple solution: by glitch23 · · Score: 0

      Great. You response is "incompetence is ok because Democrats do it too." First, you are admitting incompetence. Second, you are stating that you believe and expect the government to be incompetent. This means that you have purposefully voted for people you believe to be incompetent. I have heard many Bush supporters using such statements before voting for him a second time, so they knew what they were getting into. So, why are you voting for someone you know to be incompetent, rather than crying out for a better candidate? People like you, whether Republicans or Democrats, are the cause of the problem. Voting for the lesser of two evils is still voting for evil, and you are purposefully running our country into the ground. Just because you think the other guy will run it into the ground too on a path you like less doesn't excuse you from purposefully running our country into the ground. But thanks for patronising everyone else with your excuses while you do what you claim to hate.

      No where did I state it was okay for Republicans to perform questionable acts because Democrats do it too. I was only reminding people that Democrats do it so it didn't turn into a one-sided issue. I don't admit anything let alone incompetence. You like drawing incorrect conclusions if you think just because I expect/believe the gov't to be incompetent that I have also voted for people in order to have a self-fulfilling prophecy. Even if I did vote for someone who later acted incompetently, that isn't my fault because I'm not responsible for their actions. You have no f*cking clue who I voted for and why so don't act like you dowhile throw insults around in the process. We all vote for who we *think* is the best candidate. We also all know just how much politicians lie to get voted into office only to show their true colors once in office. We also never really consider there to ever be a "best" candidate, just a lesser of 3 or 4 evils. Bush was the lesser of 2 evils way back when. Obviously those who voted for Gore (and later, Kerry) thought the opposite. Many people believe a Democract would be too scared to have fought back after 9/11 and are glad they voted for Bush despite other problems. We'll never know whether Gore or Kerry would have fought back.

      If you don't vote at all you still aren't helping the situation. The only thing you can do at that point is blame everyone else, whoever they voted for, which is exactly what you are doing now. "It's not my fault, I didn't vote for anyone". That doesn't solve anything. You just like to blame other people without attempting to do anything about the problem on your own. Since you seem to know everything, how do you propose to go about not running the country into the ground when only given certain people to vote for as President?

      I don't have to cry out for a better candidate because Bush can't be in office anymore after his current term is up so whether I wanted him to stay in office or not he will be out. I hope we can get someone better in there the next time but all we can do is hope; there is no guarantee. Thanks for being such an ass and claiming to be all knowing about everyone else while blaming them for the country's troubles and absolvng yourself of any blame. I don't purposely run the country into the ground despite what you have in your head. You don't know me so you know nothing. Those who do nothing have no room to speak so I'd suggest you be quiet. People like you are the problem because you don't do anything to solve the real problems. At least people like me try to do the right thing, whether we succeed is a different issue, but at least we tried. In the case of voting for President, once in office it is totally up to him what happens after that. Look in the mirror if you want someone to blame because you don't like what is happening with the country.

      --
      this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom. -- Lincoln, Gettysburg Address
    304. Re:Simple solution: by davidsyes · · Score: 1

      I think one reason the USN is afraid of wildcards having nukes is for one scenario I asked of the officers on ships' on which I served:

      What do you do if a nuke wrecks the flight deck. There's no need to brag about having more and bigger carriers. If I were Soviet, in a sub, and close aboard, I'd detonate a nuke to wreck the arrestor wires, the catapults and the antennae. I won't waste time trying to SINK the birdfarm.

      Hell, even HE (High Explosives) would be good enough. No need for a nuke. Just penetrate the screen (that the Chinese did it is NOT the first time, nor will it be the LAST that any non-USN SSN has don so...), and deny the aloft aircraft of any nearby place land. If they lack fuel, and can't be refueled, they'll have to ditch.

      Other than as floating airbases, and flag-waving mechanical arms CVNs are a MAJOR source of pride and financial drain. Amazing that countries are intimidated by CVs and CVNs.

      Before I knew it was then-top secret reality, I suggested the invention of a propeller-homing torpedo, chatted on the mess decks about it, and my chief tried to tear me a new asshole. I'd ONLY been thinking "what if" mixed with Star Trek and other Sci-Fi.

      I try to think OUTSIDE the box. It got me trouble or puzzled looks and comments about me being on the US' side.

      --
      Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
    305. Re:Simple solution: by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      China will not care if it decides to bankrupt the US, it's goal will be to make the currency worthless. The cost to China will not be a limiting factor. Everybody else wants value so they will abandon the worthless currency for a better one.

      As I've said before I do not think this is what China will do, they may threaten to for other concessions but for China to ruin the US financially would take an act of stupidity on the part of the US to provoke them. The Chinese are getting everything they want at present, why would they upset the apple cart?

      I may very well be wrong in the attitude of the Chinese and the magnitude of their holdings. But I most certainly am not wrong about what happens to a country whose currency becomes worthless. The US is financially in dire straights and it would not take much for a run on the dollar, the consequences of which I have outlined before. The Chinese or OPEC very much control how the US will fare, the US has little or no control as to the outcome.

      Personally, I'm a dual citizen with a fair amount of convert able silver/gold tucked away. What options do you have?

    306. Re:Simple solution: by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      Let's see

      The Chinese stop selling to the US and have excess capacity. They start making goods that the Chinese want. The Chinese having been somewhat restricted start to get access to goods previously out of reach. So they buy, create demand, create jobs, create disposable income.

      Take a look at S. America and E. Europe didn't take long for them to settle down once they sorted out the market.

    307. Re:Simple solution: by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      If nobody wants the US currency how is it going to buy it's imports? If OPEC changes to Euro rather dollar centric how does the US buy Euros to buy Oil? The oil will be a double hammer for the US economy.

      China will not crash the dollar if it is going to destroy them. The question becomes how much of a loss would they be willing to take to put the US down and out. As I've said before I doubt china is interested at the moment, but If the US threatens them or they feel threatened by US actions?

    308. Re:Simple solution: by Maudib · · Score: 1

      China will not care if it decides to bankrupt the US

      What is the #1 thread to the PRC as perceived by their leadership? High unemployment and low growth.
      What is the single largest driver of Chinese growth and employment? The U.S. Import market.

      What happens to unemployment in China if the U.S. dollar tanks? Chinese unemployment skyrockets and the PRC leadership shudders in terror.

      Would somebody please tell me why the U.S. economy suffers as a result of a weak dollar? People constantly talk about this as if this is obviously a bad thing, but I just don't see it. There may be some inflation, but the past 25 years would seem to indicate that this is easy to control. The fed raises interest rates; exports surge, and China's economy stagnates. Oh noes.

    309. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And *none* of them were drafted

      If you ask me, this is part of the problem. If you had a draft system that worked properly, you would get a nice cross section of society. The smart ones, the dumb ones, the rich ones and the poor ones. With the all volunteer military, you get a lot fewer of the kind of people they need.

      I met a NROTC student in college. He was a submariner. He preferred sub duty because, as he put it, they'll put any dumbass on a surface ship, at least the sub guys are smart.

    310. Re:Simple solution: by einhverfr · · Score: 1

      Military confrontation doesn't necessarily mean "shooting war."

      I will give you an possibility that has a lot of hawks quaking in their boots.

      Ok. Suppose the Korean Penninsula reunites. This would lead to a difficult transition for a while but I am sure things would get ironed out reasonably quickly, the South Korean government would exapnd into the North, would soon turn the PDRK's ballistic missile program into a satellite launch platform, and be well on their way to being a regional commercial powerhouse.

      Only problem is, South Korea's economy is largely supported via trade with China (and North Korea is downright dependent on Chinese aid). Hence a unified Korea would be somewhat likely to side with China as their main ally in the region. This has the possibility of sucking us into a standoff with China over Japan. Hence we are involved in a much more serious standoff with China, even if no shots are fired.

      Yes, a military confrontation with China in some form is probably inevitable. It is not clear whether or not this will take the shape of a shooting war, a standoff, or something else.

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    311. Re:Simple solution: by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Ah, the infamous debating tactic... rather than adressing the facts that show you wrong, handwave and waffle and attempt to divert attention.
       
      Didn't work.

    312. Re:Simple solution: by dave87656 · · Score: 1

      Not quite that simple. China hinted last week that it might start looking at shifting it's foreign currency holdings away from the dollar and the dollar fell a significant amount. Once that starts a chain reaction in motion (other countries wanting to have their holdings in a more secure currency), the dollar will go into free-fall. Once Oil starts being denominated in some other currency, it will increase our trade deficit and decrease our buying power significantly and thus our overall influence. Our debt is 30,000 per person (or about 120,000 per taxpayer). We have become a third world country.

    313. Re:Simple solution: by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Submarines aren't in any way comparable RPGs or dusty Soviet-era rockets sold through arms merchants. To keep an expensive, complex piece of hardware like an attack sub running, you *must* have parts, a fully-trained crew, ad naseum.

      That's an untested assertion. Quite possibly correct, but untested nonetheless.
      There are strong forces pushing towards reducing the supply chain for keeping hardware in the firing line, and I wouldn't be so blase as to be certain that commoditisation isn't and hasn't been taking place. For example, many of the sensors and hydraulics used in a submarine have at least a logical equivalent in the ROV world, without the costs and volume of a human-controlled sub.
      Even if the current designs of torpedo-packing subs still require crews etc, I wouldn't bet on that remaining the case for much longer. A decade ago, if something in the sky shot at you, you could safely deduce the presence of a human pilot, and all the other junk that follows from that ; now you have to seriously consider the prospect of an UAV being on the blunt end of the bullets, at around an order of magnitude smaller than a human-controlled plane.
      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    314. Re:Simple solution: by kon23uk · · Score: 1

      Indeed, a society is here in which everyone gets what they think they deserve. Except me. Strange. http://www.angryflower.com/atlass.gif

      --
      He was a man who didn't know the meaning of the word "fear"; or the meaning of many other words longer than 3 letters
    315. Re:Simple solution: by ziggyboy · · Score: 1

      I suppose the US *does* need big subs to carry all those Big Macs to war.

    316. Re:Simple solution: by pimpimpim · · Score: 1

      They were not attacking. They were just protecting the material the US bought with their money. Since in a way, it's their property, they probably wouldn't want something to go wrong with it. They're just acting like a good godfather should.

      --
      molmod.com - computing tips from a molecular modeling
    317. Re:Simple solution: by pimpimpim · · Score: 1

      But, since America also needs China for its economic growth (where else are they going to have their cheap products made), this more or less means the US needs China more than China needs the US. Or did you see China get into trouble after stopping to buy US dollars.

      --
      molmod.com - computing tips from a molecular modeling
    318. Re:Simple solution: by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Al-Queda doesn't have a navy.
      That's exactly what they want you to think.
      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    319. Re:Simple solution: by fishbowl · · Score: 1

      My point was, in the 60s there was a nascent counterculture which had obvious causes in common, but which was led in a distributed fashion by people who were generally modeling their philosophy on the ideas of commitment to peaceable means. I wouldn't count too much on that same spirit being prevalent today.

      You were in the military, but I assume not before 1973. You at least have some appreciation for the infrastructure that would be required, and the changes to the induction and training processes that would have to be made, before the military could deal with large numbers of people who *really* don't want to be there.

      I think it would be sheer chaos.

      --
      -fb Everything not expressly forbidden is now mandatory.
    320. Re:Simple solution: by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      I was only reminding people that Democrats do it so it didn't turn into a one-sided issue.

      And in doing so, you turned it into a polarizing issue, ending all possibility of useful discourse. Also the "but Timmy did it first" excuse didn't work in the second grade, and it doesn't work for politics.

      At least people like me try to do the right thing,

      By voting for Bush? Twice? You are evil. You voted for revoking the Constitution, twice. You voted for the deaths of about a million people in Iraq. You voted for the "best" candidate, knowing that he was going to do bad things because you didn't like the other guy. You caused evil. You defend that evil. Thus, you are evil. You can whine about how any other vote was wasted, not voting causes the problem, or whatever, but I didn't vote for Bush. You can't blame me for the evil he caused. However, you are not only responsible for the evil, you are defending it.

      Look in the mirror if you want someone to blame because you don't like what is happening with the country.

      Yes, because the evil done by Bush is caused by all those that didn't vote for him.

    321. Re:Simple solution: by nunyadambinness · · Score: 1

      China will not care if it decides to bankrupt the US, it's goal will be to make the currency worthless.


      Which will destroy their economy in the process. I fail to see why you think they can/will do that.

      You don't seem to have any real idea how this stuff works.

    322. Re:Simple solution: by glitch23 · · Score: 0

      I was only reminding people that Democrats do it so it didn't turn into a one-sided issue.

      And in doing so, you turned it into a polarizing issue, ending all possibility of useful discourse. Also the "but Timmy did it first" excuse didn't work in the second grade, and it doesn't work for politics.

      I didn't turn it into anything. You seem to be the one who is polarizing the situation by accusing others of the problem and absolving yourself of all blame. Just because you didn't vote for Bush doesn't mean you aren't to blame for "running the country into the ground". Also, I never stated the Democrats did anything first. I just said they do it too. You can stop putting words in my mouth at anytime now.

      At least people like me try to do the right thing,

      By voting for Bush? Twice? You are evil. You voted for revoking the Constitution, twice. You voted for the deaths of about a million people in Iraq. You voted for the "best" candidate, knowing that he was going to do bad things because you didn't like the other guy. You caused evil. You defend that evil. Thus, you are evil. You can whine about how any other vote was wasted, not voting causes the problem, or whatever, but I didn't vote for Bush. You can't blame me for the evil he caused. However, you are not only responsible for the evil, you are defending it.

      I didn't vote for what he ended up doing. I voted for what he said he would do and what he had done in the past concerning other issues. I voted for him because of the other issues he stands for. I didn't vote for him as the "best" knowing he was going to do "evil" things. I can't read people's minds to know what they are going to do despite your accusations to the contrary. You obviously have no clue what you are talking about if you think Bush is the evil one or me for that matter. What about the civilians killed by the terrorists 6 years ago? You have nothing to say about that? The people who killed them are the evil ones. You speak and act like you are the only righteous person alive. I feel sorry for your wife, if you are married. You can't blame me for the evil Bush has caused either. You seem to forget Congress has to authorize the decisions Bush makes. Why aren't you calling them evil?

      I haven't found any estimates for the death toll to be any definitive number above 650k. Although that is a big number it is hardly a million people. I didn't vote for any of the deaths in Iraq but if it makes you feel any better to make obscene leaps in logic then you keep telling that to the voices in your head. In war, civilians die. That is the spoils of war. Our civilians were killed outside of war. There is no excuse for that. That is evil.

      Look in the mirror if you want someone to blame because you don't like what is happening with the country.

      Yes, because the evil done by Bush is caused by all those that didn't vote for him.

      You think because you *didn't* vote that you are righteous? I can blame you for the "evil" he has caused because you didn't vote for anyone at all therefore you let him win. Thus you let him have the chance of committing evil acts knowing he would do so as long as he got re-elected. You stood by and let evil do its job. That makes you an accessory.

      --
      this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom. -- Lincoln, Gettysburg Address
    323. Re:Simple solution: by Courageous · · Score: 1

      Have to get your tailhook into the right position and elevation. Check. :)

      C//

    324. Re:Simple solution: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's ok. You don't sound like you were committed to that whole "support and defend" thing anyway. Good riddance to old rubbish.

    325. Re:Simple solution: by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      Rather I stepped ahead and showed you what happens when China releases it's US credit. How it directly affects the US when it's currency is debased, it's not the fact that one country will attack you but rather the market will not come to your aid.

      Face it the US dollar is currently hitting record lows. The US debt is astronomical and growing. It may very well be the case that it doesn't take a China to put the US down. The markets will do it just as effectively. But still keep repeating your mantra that everything is rosy and there is no way that China can influence the US dollar or policy.

      I rather suspect you haven't thought about this matter in any great depth. If you live paycheck to paycheck then sticking your head in the ground is the only option left to you.

    326. Re:Simple solution: by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      The US is currently a debtor nation, it owes much more than it receives. To pay a foreign country you do not pay in your own currency but in the currency of the creditor. So, you have to buy currency at the market rate. If you have a weakening currency your debts increase in size. You have to use more of your money to pay off your debts. On the whole this works fine and currencies move up and down against each other as the market dictates.

      Now what happens if your currency is always weak, you always have to pay more to cover your debt. If your currency weakens to much it can no longer buy enough foreign currency to cover your debts. If you cannot cover your debts nobody will trust your credit and will seek not to take on anymore exposure to your currency i.e. no more credit. If you have low value currency and no credit what can you do? How you going to buy oil?

      As a side exercise why don't you check how the dollar has done against gold/silver in the last 25 years? Want to calculate just how much the dollar has been de-valued? I wonder what you could have bought with that spending power if your currency had not de-valued so much?

    327. Re:Simple solution: by Squalish · · Score: 1

      Thank you for providing the Neocon perspective. It's monstrous of me to say so, but on some level... It's sort of fortunate for us that we may be attacking Iran any day now.

      Attacking Iran will ensure that your ideology doesn't just go into a temporary retreat - that it dies a horrible death. We can't afford for it to survive. The actual political center of this country is somewhere between Kucinich and Edwards, when people are surveyed on isolated issues, instead of labelling themselves as conservative/liberal. Neoconservatism has managed to rally the limbic centers of half a dozen single-issue voting blocs to convince the media & pol groupthink that the average person holds beliefs just slightly left of Mussolini.

      Okay, Clinton made the country too prosperous, we got greedy, we had it coming. The problem with the American Dream is that we're all dreaming about what we'll do when we're rich. And when you're flying high on internet stocks, perhaps a guy you'd like to have a drink with seems like a good choice for a president.

      But we can't afford this stuff any more. Not for a few decades. Not when we have actual, existential crises facing the country, like the nexus of peak oil, the fall of the US dollar as anchor currency, and global warming.

      --
      People in Soviet Russia, however, appear to be afflicted with amusing juxtapositions of the aforementioned situation
    328. Re:Simple solution: by Squalish · · Score: 1

      And for once, my sig might just be relevant. Here's hoping (fat chance, with Hillary) that the inauguration speech is strong enough to be historically relevant. Krushchev certainly did a good job.

      --
      People in Soviet Russia, however, appear to be afflicted with amusing juxtapositions of the aforementioned situation
    329. Re:Simple solution: by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Rather I stepped ahead and showed you what happens when China releases it's US credit.

      Rather, you sidestepped and tried to pretend that facts inconvenient to your arguement didn't exist.
       
      Whether you like it or not, if (not when) China sells (not releases) it's US debt - it's own economy goes in the tank, as does the EU's and most of Asia's. Those are facts - and all your handwaving, hysteria, and strawmen won't change that.
       
       

      But still keep repeating your mantra that everything is rosy and there is no way that China can influence the US dollar or policy.

      Had said anything of the sort - you'd have a point. But I didn't. (But facts aren't your long suit anyhow.)
       
       

      I rather suspect you haven't thought about this matter in any great depth.

       
      Your right - I haven't thought about it. I've studied it. I've discussed it with professors of economics. (I.E. folks who actually know what they are talking about.) The result is that clueless idiots who merely parrot propoganda that agrees with their biases can't understand what I'm talking about.
       
      So they resort to handwaving, hysteria, and strawmen.
    330. Re:Simple solution: by Archtech · · Score: 1

      "It was a friendly-fire incident".

      I'd be more inclined to believe that if the leading Israeli pilot had not seen a huge US flag on USS Liberty, and told ground control that he could not attack an American ship. The report by the US Navy's Judge Advocate General said:

      "that the Liberty was easily recognizable as an American naval vessel; that its flag was fully deployed and flying in a moderate breeze; that Israeli planes made at least eight reconnaissance flights at close range; the ship came under a prolonged attack from Israeli fighter jets and torpedo boats."

      According to Jeffrey St Clair (http://www.counterpunch.org/stclair06082007.html)

      "A few years after Attack on the Liberty was originally published, Ennes got a call from Evan Toni, an Israeli pilot. Toni told Ennes that he had just read his book and wanted to tell him his story. Toni said that he was the pilot in the first Israeli Mirage fighter to reach the Liberty. He immediately recognized the ship to be a US Navy vessel. He radioed Israeli air command with this information and asked for instructions. Toni said he was ordered to "attack". He refused and flew back to the air base at Ashdod. When he arrived he was summarily arrested for disobeying orders".

      Ennes is James Ennes Jr, who was officer of the deck during the attack, and author of "Attack on the Liberty". http://tinyurl.com/yo6po9

      --
      I am sure that there are many other solipsists out there.
    331. Re:Simple solution: by Maudib · · Score: 1

      "How you going to buy oil?"

      Oil is traded in petro-currency, which is based on the dollar.

      "As a side exercise why don't you check how the dollar has done against gold/silver in the last 25 years?"

      The only people who care about the price of gold & silver, outside of the jewelry and electronics industry, are wackos who think that somehow they are more intrinsically valuable then paper money. A valid comparison would be against the euro, where we clearly see weakness. However that weakness which has existed for nearly a decade now has not correlated with economic decline. Debt has existed since the 60s, and yet it has had no impact on economic growth.

      Finally, a weak currency does not result in a lack of credit unless you are in a really extreme situation. That would likely mean hyper-inflation and host of other problems so extreme that the lack of credit would seem like a minor problem. Within the realm of what can be expected for the dollars strength, the impact is still "who cares?". The exception being idiots like Ron Paul who think that gold standard and abolishing the FRB is a smart idea.

    332. Re:Simple solution: by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      It simply does not make sense to make the claim that our debt would be a problem if the value of the dollar fell. If the value of the dollar falls, the value of debts owed in dollars will fall as well. The real size of the US economy will stay the same (since it is made up of people, factories, and natural resources - not dollars). That means that the relative size of our debt would shrink.

      "it will increase our trade deficit and decrease our buying power significantly and thus our overall influence."

      Again, this statement contradicts itself. Anything that would decrease our buying power would also decrease the trade deficit. We would buy less foreign made goods, and export more domestic goods.

      "We have become a third world country."

      No, a third world country lacks basic infrastructure. We have electricity, water, food and transportation, and we would continue to have all these things without international trade (though we would need to drive less. . .). As an informational exercise, can you tell me what country is the world's third largest producer of petroleum?

    333. Re:Simple solution: by Glock27 · · Score: 1
      Thank you for providing the Neocon perspective. It's monstrous of me to say so, but on some level... It's sort of fortunate for us that we may be attacking Iran any day now.

      Yes it is, but not for the reasons you think. Iran has actively been working against our interests since '77, it's time for payback.

      Attacking Iran will ensure that your ideology doesn't just go into a temporary retreat - that it dies a horrible death. We can't afford for it to survive. The actual political center of this country is somewhere between Kucinich and Edwards, when people are surveyed on isolated issues, instead of labelling themselves as conservative/liberal. Neoconservatism has managed to rally the limbic centers of half a dozen single-issue voting blocs to convince the media & pol groupthink that the average person holds beliefs just slightly left of Mussolini.

      Not true. On the issue of bombing Iran, for instance, recent polls show that over 50% of Americans favor it. Sorry to burst your bubble.

      Okay, Clinton made the country too prosperous, we got greedy, we had it coming. The problem with the American Dream is that we're all dreaming about what we'll do when we're rich. And when you're flying high on internet stocks, perhaps a guy you'd like to have a drink with seems like a good choice for a president.

      Sorry, I don't buy the "we're wealthy, therefore we should feel guilty" tripe. We're fortunate to be at the top, meaning everyone else will complain about us until they manage to climb over us. The United States is by no means perfect, but it beats the alternatives (so far at least;).

      But we can't afford this stuff any more. Not for a few decades. Not when we have actual, existential crises facing the country, like the nexus of peak oil, the fall of the US dollar as anchor currency, and global warming.

      Sure we can. The US is probably best positioned of any major power to leave oil behind, the fall of the US dollar simply reflects our poor fiscal policies since long before Bush, and global warming is something that is best handled with future technologies, not by hamstringing our current economy (I hope you've seen the recent article stating that 60% of carbon emissions between now and 2030 is likely to come from India and China).

      At any rate, I hope it's not too much of a shock for you when Hillary loses the next presidential election, and a Republican is in power for four more years.

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    334. Re:Simple solution: by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      The problem is not that we cannot understand you is that you in no way have given any facts, rather you have been waving hands and picking fault, introducing side arguments and adding insulting snide comments. At every turn you have belittled any attempt to answer your points and ignored the main thrust.

      Which papers would you recommend I read to understand the situation of China holding so much US debt and how if this debt is released it would cripple China? Please not Economics 101 but rather papers dealing specifically with the matter.

      I think we both agree that a rapid deflation of US currency cripples the US but how badly does it affect China?

    335. Re:Simple solution: by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      Gold and silver were what used to underwrite a nations wealth, they are still a good a gauge as any to see how a currency is doing. Fiat currencies have no underlying value, governments just print more money until they go bust. The issue is I do not trust my government to be fiscally responsible, history proves they cannot be trusted.

      I must admit I'm a big Ron Paul supporter. Libertarian/Constitutional bent. To call him an idiot says more about you than him. The FRB/IRS are unconstitutional it matters not if they are doing good or bad. The question Ron Paul is raising and being vilified for in the press is that of whether the constitution still applies as a legal document. If it still applies we need to obey it and if it doesn't then we need to repeal it.

      Personally, I think the constitution died a long time ago. I think that most Americans are to stupid/ignorant to realize what they lost. I think the US is fading just as all empires fade not from outside attack but from corruption within. In short the US people have justly earned their current situation. But, I feel a return to the constitution would undo a lot of the decline and maybe revitalize the US.

    336. Re:Simple solution: by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      At every turn you have belittled any attempt to answer your points

      For me to belittle your attempts to answer my points... you have to attempt to answer my points in the first place. Which you simply and plainly have not done. Instead, as in the message I am replying to, you rely on strawmen and hysteria.
       
       

      I think we both agree that a rapid deflation of US currency cripples the US but how badly does it affect China?

      Here's a hint: What happens to any country when it's biggest trading partner stops buying? This is Econ 101, not matter how much you wish to dodge it.
    337. Re:Simple solution: by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      Adieu,

              just added you to my foe list. Failure to supply any meaningful input in anyway. Doubtful I'll see any of your posts again.

    338. Re:Simple solution: by PastaLover · · Score: 1

      If Iran continues to cause trouble after the airstrikes, we can hit its oil terminals, cutting off its only source of hard currency. Effectively putting the oil price at triple digit numbers. Congratulations, you just destroyed the European economy.
  2. emblazoned on the conning tower by Swampash · · Score: 1, Funny

    "Got rice, bitch?"

    1. Re:emblazoned on the conning tower by calebt3 · · Score: 1

      I was thinking 'pwned'.

    2. Re:emblazoned on the conning tower by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > "Got rice, bitch?"

      Reply: We got Condi, she's a real bitch!

    3. Re:emblazoned on the conning tower by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "All your naval base are belong to us"

    4. Re:emblazoned on the conning tower by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know the tune of which you reference... back in the AudioGalaxy days I filled a folder full of Azn Rap... usually funny, and sometimes scary shit.

    5. Re:emblazoned on the conning tower by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I would've put my money on "Want to buy cheap gold for WoW?"

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  3. PR ploy by Gothmolly · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Of course, if they're trying to throw the Chinese off, they'll say that.

    --
    I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
  4. Why? by CheddarHead · · Score: 3, Interesting

    While it was no doubt lots of fun to put some egg on the face of the US Navy, I have to wonder why the Chinese did this. Why tip your hand? Now that the Navy knows how sophisticated they Chinese subs are they'll be much more careful in the event of an actual conflict. No doubt there's people thinking of new counter measures even as I type this.

    1. Re:Why? by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

      Maybe they own stock in some U.S. defense contractors?

      --
      "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    2. Re:Why? by Neon+Aardvark · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Because as of yet there is no real chance of any conflict breaking out any time soon, yet there is plenty of geopolitical point scoring going on, and this will help the Chinese in that area.

      --
      Azural - instrumentals
    3. Re:Why? by soundhack · · Score: 1

      Perhaps to see if they could get away with it? Trying that during a Navy exercise would be the perfect opportunity to see if they could get that close undetected. If they do get detected, since it is an exercise it would be likely they wouldnt be sunk (assuming no live ammo in exercises)

      On the flip side, trying that during real operations would probably be more dire.

    4. Re:Why? by cmowire · · Score: 2, Interesting

      They can win a battle without firing a shot this way.

      The Navy's going to be less likely to discount the Chinese navy from now on, which means that they can make a more credible threat out of invading Taiwan.

      Also, it can result in the US increasing navy funding, which means that there is less money to be had for military intervention in other parts of the world, giving China a freer hand.

      Finally, the Chinese government exists at the whim of their huge population. Anything to keep those folks happy.

    5. Re:Why? by epee1221 · · Score: 1

      Even those who are vastly underestimated lose something attrition. They might make a show of strength just to make war look less attractive to the potential opposition.

      --
      "The use-mention distinction" is not "enforced here."
    6. Re:Why? by Himring · · Score: 2, Funny

      I have to wonder why the Chinese did this. Why tip your hand?

      To make another killer sub movie starring [a chinese] Sean Connery! Duh!

      --
      "All great things are simple & expressed in a single word: freedom, justice, honor, duty, mercy, hope." --Churchill
    7. Re:Why? by PPH · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Because the Chinese stand to learn more about US capabilities and tactics than the US will learn about China. The US probably knows quite a bit about diesel-electric sub technology. So there's nothing to hide here. 'Popping up' in the middle of a battle group probably isn't actual Chinese battle procedures, so there isn't much for the US to learn. OTOH, how the US ships respond to a threat is of great interest to the Chinese.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    8. Re:Why? by maiki · · Score: 1

      I feel I can answer this since it happened to me once. After the Chinese sub appeared, Mao Tse Tung (sic) came out and called me an untrustworthy leader of the infidels. Then he demanded tribute for his patience, or to hand over the secret of ceremonial burial.

    9. Re:Why? by mysticgoat · · Score: 1

      Because the Chinese stand to learn more about US capabilities and tactics than the US will learn about China.

      That's certainly part of the benefits China sees.

      Another part is that now the USA has to devote its military brain power to developing strategies to counter this new threat, and to re-assessing defense strategies for Taiwan and other treaty parties in the region. Fewer resources will be available for assessing China's other possible activities, such as its space program, its long term interests in its border with India, and its possible interest in re-opening the old Silk Road through Afghanistan and Pakistan.

      For the very small cost of surfacing one submarine, China is forcing the USA into some massive expenditures, and thus buying a lot of opportunities that otherwise wouldn't come at such a very low price.

      Shrewd. Very shrewd.

    10. Re:Why? by rapidweather · · Score: 1

      Diesel-electric? Isn't that World War I technology?
      If it had been a nuclear sub, it would not have had to "pop up" to the surface.

    11. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're sending a joint message with the russians to limit futher US military expansion in what they consider to be their spheres of influence (Middle East, Asia).

    12. Re:Why? by ILuvRamen · · Score: 1

      you're actually wondering? Because the Chinese culture, especially gov, is all about pride and arrogance and showing off. First of all let me mention that obviously the naval exercise wasn't purposely looking for submarines. If looking for subs was part of the exercise, we would have detected them. That's like sneaking into a costume party that you weren't invited to. Nobody's looking under the masks so you're not sneaky, you're just an idiot. But anyway, now they blew the secrecy that they have what they think is an advanced submarine so we'll obviously focus on even better detection and destruction methods now. Pretty stupid waste of money on their military's part. Oh and I have to add...all we have to do is get a system that detects lead submarine paint and we'll find their subs hehehehe.

      --
      Google's Super Secret Search Algorithm: SELECT @search_results FROM internet WHERE @search_results = 'good'
    13. Re:Why? by kramulous · · Score: 1

      The Chinese sub is not even a particularly sophisticated one. Who said they were looking to put some egg on the face of the US Navy? Maybe they were trying to work out the capability of the US Navy. Perhaps they've been doing this stuff for some time but decided this time to push it as far as they could to work out how the US navy would respond. How much time do I have once I've been spotted? How much damage could I do before I was taken out.

      --
      .
    14. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hope they cast Chow Yun Fat!

    15. Re:Why? by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Because the Chinese don't think war is inevitable, especially if the US knows it won't be a cake-walk? By showing what they're capable of, war could be replaced by some sort of posturing, instead of some sort of all-out shit-kicking, which leaves thousands (or millions) dead.

    16. Re:Why? by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Sometimes the old things are the best.

      It's been said here before, so on the danger of being modded redundant, a diesel-electric sub running on batteries is heaps quieter than a nuke sub. Yes, they have a rather limited range under water, and they have to make pretty nasty compromises between under water and surfaced performance (while a nuclear sub can be streamlined for constant sub-surface travel), but they're the kings when it comes to stealth.

      With sonars that can pick up rocks tumbling, being quieter has become more important than ever. They maybe wouldn't have had to pop up, but ... well, maybe it wasn't an accident but rather a signal that the US aren't the rulers of the oceans anymore.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    17. Re:Why? by psychicninja · · Score: 1

      I have to wonder why the Chinese did this. Why tip your hand?
      That's exactly the point: they don't want actual conflict with the US. I'm no expert, but I'm pretty sure the Chinese navy couldn't stand up to all-out warfare with the US navy. It's probably much more beneficial to have us thinking they have major technology advances that we don't know about.

      Besides, they make so much freakin money off of us its stupid.
    18. Re:Why? by SpacePunk · · Score: 1

      There's no way to know. Sheesh, I'm ex-military, and sometimes we did things to just see if it could be done. Exchanges between persons and units of military powers aren't always with guns and explosives. Some of it can be fairly humorous, and some of it is just a tip of a hat to someone else that's in the same 'job' (even if the powers that be are in disagreement).

      A) They probably just happened to be in the same area.
      B) Sub commander is thinking "Hrm... This is the perfect test"
      C) Gets close enough in to call it a 'win', and decides "what the hell, let's give em a wave"

      I'm more upset that the submarine commander didn't get out a bullhorn and ask for some Grey Poupon than that the submarine got so close without being detected (since that's their job, and I dislike incompetance).

    19. Re:Why? by Gumbytwo · · Score: 1

      Come on, it's obvious. Somebody ripped one and they had to surface immediately for fresh air. Stealth be damned.

  5. Erm... by AlphaDrake · · Score: 1

    They say it was during an exercise, how did they know that wasn't part of it? :P

    Are they sure it's not the wreckage from one of the broken Canadian subs sold to us by England? (Yes I'm Canadian so it's ok :P )

    Finally: Did they manage to get an intact Enigma machine, and sail the crippled vessel back home?

    1. Re:Erm... by russ1337 · · Score: 1

      They say it was during an exercise, how did they know that wasn't part of it?
      Quite likely, one of the acoustic operators did detect it, but someone pointed out the exercise sub was elsewhere or not due on station for a few hours and told to ignore it.......

      It will all come out in the inquiry. When I say come out.. in the sense that it will be put in Dick Cheney's man size safe and we'll see it in about 90 years.

      No doubt the sub commander will be either commended with the nations highest honor.... or shot.
    2. Re:Erm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are they sure it's not the wreckage from one of the broken Canadian subs sold to us by England?

      Nope, the Canadian ones are coloured rust and primer-grey. Also, they are generally followed around by a small fleet of tugboats. If you're still in doubt then just watch for Sea King helicopter parts falling from the sky.

  6. Sub Captain had an Advantage by hax0r_this · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The exercise was presumably planned, so all he had to do was sit by the bottom and wait for the fleet to go overhead.

    I won't be able to remark any more on the issue though (at least not on /.) as I'm about to read the article.

    1. Re:Sub Captain had an Advantage by calebt3 · · Score: 1

      How public is information about the Navy's planned exercises? Maybe it is sufficiently lowly-classified that nearly anybody can find out about it?

    2. Re:Sub Captain had an Advantage by morari · · Score: 1

      And I won't be able to remark any more on the issue due to national security!

      --
      "He who can destroy a thing, controls a thing." --Paul Atreides, Dune
    3. Re:Sub Captain had an Advantage by LWATCDR · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well if they water was shallow enough to sit on the bottom.
      Truth is they could just run at creep speed on electric and wait for them to come to them as you said.
      What bothers me is the Navy is going to retire the S-3 in about 6 months and the P-3 replacement is still no where to be seen.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    4. Re:Sub Captain had an Advantage by feepness · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The exercise was presumably planned, so all he had to do was sit by the bottom and wait for the fleet to go overhead. I won't be able to remark any more on the issue though (at least not on /.) as I'm about to read the article. My thought as well. They have 14 of them so they wouldn't have to know the exact route. It's not like it's that big an area and they probably have used similar routes in the past.

      But still, nice PR move.
    5. Re:Sub Captain had an Advantage by Elsapotk421 · · Score: 1

      The exercises themselves aren't classified usually. It's the location that's usually classified. A lot of the exercises will appear in a public newspaper such as the navy times which is available to anyone who'd like to have a subscription.

      --
      We came,we saw, we kicked it's ass!
    6. Re:Sub Captain had an Advantage by davidsyes · · Score: 1

      Now, that could be true. But, my feeling is that statement is a wee bit too generous. Besides, it probably is better that the Chinese CAN act as a counterbalance, to insert themselves between the US and US objectives that China doesn't need but doesn't want anyone else to take and destabilize the power balance in any region.

      --
      Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
    7. Re:Sub Captain had an Advantage by kartune85 · · Score: 0

      The exercise was presumably planned, so all he had to do was sit by the bottom and wait for the fleet to go overhead. Good point, dude. A little smoke-and-mirrors can go a long way.

      One would think that if they did infiltrate a tight security barrier, surely they wouldn't have revealed themselves. "We are so smart, S-M-R-T!!"
      --
      "Failure to conform to majority belief does not make you a troll."
  7. Already Heard About It by Looshi · · Score: 2

    This is a few days old isn't it? Slashdot - you heard it here last.

    1. Re:Already Heard About It by Skater · · Score: 5, Informative

      More like a YEAR!

    2. Re:Already Heard About It by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Maybe it just happened again. The Chinese are quite proud of traditions, maybe they just created a new one. The annual "pop into the US drill" tradition.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  8. Yeah Coincidence by explosivejared · · Score: 2, Funny

    The Americans had no idea China's fast-growing submarine fleet had reached such a level of sophistication, or that it posed such a threat.

    Can you say industrial esponiage?

    It also led to tense diplomatic exchanges, with shaken American diplomats demanding to know why the submarine was "shadowing" the U.S. fleet while Beijing pleaded ignorance and dismissed the affair as coincidence.

    Yeah that's totally plausible! I mean it's not like the Pacific is this massive body of water that covers a third of the Earth.

    --
    I got a catholic block.
    1. Re:Yeah Coincidence by Cassius+Corodes · · Score: 1

      I think "playing dumb" at this incident is a bit much, even for the Chinese - to me it sounds a bit like they are mocking the Americans with that explanation.

      --
      Control is an illusion, order our comforting lie. From chaos, through chaos, into chaos we fly
    2. Re:Yeah Coincidence by tftp · · Score: 1

      Chinese just gave a stupid answer to a stupid question. China is free to follow anyone in international waters, limited only by the international rules of navigation - which they clearly did not violate. In Cold War times such shadowing was commonplace in the air, on the surface, and under water. A good training for everyone involved too, and keeps ambitions in check.

  9. 30 years by Neon+Aardvark · · Score: 1

    The US military can look forward to thirty or so years of such surprises until China achieves technological parity.

    --
    Azural - instrumentals
    1. Re:30 years by pilsner.urquell · · Score: 1

      The Chinese submarine captain either has a big brass pair or didn't have a clue here he was at. An aircraft carrier can have up to two dozen support group a carrier battle group Lets forget the ability of US Navy of blowing them out of the water the amount of intelligence that can be gathered by such a close encounter could prove invaluable. If the Chinese captain was in error he could be in serous trouble.

    2. Re:30 years by jandrese · · Score: 1

      The thing is, we're not at war. Unless the Chinese sub took some seriously hostile action (launching a torpedo/missiles), chances are pretty low that they'll be fired on. Even if it's international waters it's not like you can just shoot anybody you want out there without repercussion.

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    3. Re:30 years by pilsner.urquell · · Score: 1

      Very true but still very odd.

    4. Re:30 years by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      What trouble? He had as much right to be there as the US fleet.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  10. and flashing on the USN radar screens by commodoresloat · · Score: 2, Funny

    "Hacked by Chinese"

  11. What, No Active Sonar? by Zymergy · · Score: 1

    I can understand that subs could compromise their stealth by actively "pinging" their sonars, but why would surface ships not be doing this as a SOP?.
    (Unless that would give away friendly sub positions...)

    1. Re:What, No Active Sonar? by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      Because those active sonars kill the whales.

    2. Re:What, No Active Sonar? by IonOtter · · Score: 1

      Actively pinging your sonar is akin to trying to find someone hiding in the dark with flash-bang grenades. They can hear you coming from a thousand miles off, and when you finally get on top of them, they're going to be exceptionally pissed. At full-power, the SQQ-89(V)6 Sonar can flash-boil the water around the sonar dome at

      Actively pinging someone is akin to pointing a gun at their head, and the target can be expected to respond in kind.

      --
      [End Of Line]
    3. Re:What, No Active Sonar? by ziani · · Score: 1

      Sonar buoys, dropped from ASW aircraft, cruise missiles, RPVs operating off a carrier. You drop them where you (or your subs) aren't. If they're shot at by an unfriendly, voila, new target.

    4. Re:What, No Active Sonar? by vux984 · · Score: 1

      I can understand that subs could compromise their stealth by actively "pinging" their sonars, but why would surface ships not be doing this as a SOP?. (Unless that would give away friendly sub positions...)

      Couple possible reasons.

      1) Yes, it could give away friendly sub positions in the area.

      2) Active Sonar disrupts whale navigation, and may impact other aquatic creatures. I'm sure in a war, the whales will be left to fend for themselves, but the sonar may have been off because the risk of having it off was deemed minimal while the downside to having it on is definate.

    5. Re:What, No Active Sonar? by Zymergy · · Score: 1

      Good point.
      It would be interested to know if this was due to a SNAFU on the Crew's part,
      if the battle group was Intentionally suppressing the use of sonar technologies to protect biologicals,
      or if the 'AEGIS combat system' was simply just not turned on.
      Seems like the US Navy would be *using* such a heavily promoted technology as AEGIS (including its passive ASW capabilities) in particular as part of a "battle fleet on exercises".

    6. Re:What, No Active Sonar? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except standard operating procedure is that being fired upon without provocation in international waters is akin to declaring war.

    7. Re:What, No Active Sonar? by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Maybe this whole mess was just because of the exercise?

      Now, I don't know how the Navy conducts such trainings, but I assume that they somehow create "false" signals to represent enemy ships. It's possible they even saw that sub but dismissed it as a training contact.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  12. What better way than this... by Vulcann · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...to lobby for further hikes in defense spending. It almost sounds deliberate. Diesel-Electric subs are noisy little buggers so either the American navy is seriously incompetent or too clever by half.

    1. Re:What better way than this... by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      Diesel-Electric subs are noisy little buggers
      Only when they are are running the diesel. They're pretty quiet on batteries,
    2. Re:What better way than this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A diesel-electric sub running on batteries is quieter then a nuclear sub. There are no pumps that need to be run which eliminates a lot of moving parts, and therefor a lot of noise.

    3. Re:What better way than this... by peragrin · · Score: 5, Informative

      diesel-Electric subs noisy? what are you smoking? and do you share it with US submariner's.

      The Standard Diesel-electric is quieter than Nuclear Subs. Do you know why? because Electric motors are very quiet. While both types of subs use electric drive motors the nuclear reactors also turn steam turbines which make noise all the time. While quieter than a diesel engine by several orders of magnitude it is louder than a pure electric motor running on batteries.

      Nuclear Power has several other advantages, including no need for consumable fuel, or exhausting harmful gases. A nuclear sub can also stay down on the bottom for the entire duration of it's mission, while diesel subs have to come up high enough to run the diesel motors to recharge the battery packs.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    4. Re:What better way than this... by nick79au · · Score: 3, Funny

      and if the Chinese invade London they won't have to pay the congestion charge since they're running a hybrid...

    5. Re:What better way than this... by DeusExCalamus · · Score: 1

      Quieter than nuke subs, at least, from what I've heard.

      --
      "...Sleep comes like a drug in God's country Sad eyes, crooked crosses in God's country..."
    6. Re:What better way than this... by gujo-odori · · Score: 2, Informative

      Diesel-electric boats are noisy only when running on diesel. On battery, they can be far quieter than a nuke boat. It's a pretty good bet he didn't *snorkel* into the formation, so his boat would have been pretty quiet. This is proof the Chinese have some pretty good diesel-electric technology.

      I also think there's more to this than meets the eye, but not the same thing you do. Giving away the fact that he was in range for a firing solution on a carrier could be regarded as a serious tactical error by the Chinese captain. It would be far better to let the carrier group pass by, then slip off in silence and keep that knowledge secret. Letting the US Navy know they can do that will only make the US Navy work very hard to find a solution to that problem and negate that advantage.

      However, maybe it wasn't so voluntary. Possible reasons for it include running out of battery, losing control of his submarine, an equipment failure on board, or being actively pinged and forced to acknowledge his presence. Granted, the first three of those still mean he got in undetected and the last means he may have done so before being hit with active sonar, but all of them put it in a different light than deliberately making his presence in the middle of the battle group known.

    7. Re:What better way than this... by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      Not a Virginia class...

    8. Re:What better way than this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hypothetically, the diesel part could be swapped out for some type of fuel-cell based power generation in the near future. (For this application they don't need to be all that small.) You wouldn't be able to tell the difference unless you got inside the sub or heard some diesel noise. (And even then a clever enemy could fake that sound signature to throw you off guard.) This would allow them to cruise at snorkel depth without the noise problem. If the fuel cells have a high enough output, they might even be able to break apart enough water to make oxygen needed to sustain the power making process while submerged. Possibly making them a cheaper and possibly more effective (acoustically) counter to nuke subs. Only downside vs. nuke subs would be the sustainable endurance range and top speed.

      Not sure how far along China is with fuel cell tech in regards to this application, but I think the Germans have or are working on such technology for their sub fleet. But knowing how China finds ways to get it's hands on technology, they might have adapted something from co-op ventures in clean cars or something if not developing the technology independently.

    9. Re:What better way than this... by megaditto · · Score: 1

      Maybe he didn't know the US ships were around? How good is the Chinese passive sonar tech, anyways?

      --
      Obama likes poor people so much, he wants to make more of them.
    10. Re:What better way than this... by Drathos · · Score: 1

      A diesel-electric sub in good condition will always be quieter than a nuclear sub when running on batteries. A reactor makes sound over and above the sound of the props and drive shaft. The quietest (known) reactor so far has been the S8G in the Ohio-class SSBN subs due to it's use of a natural circulation cooling system versus active cooling pumps, but the reactor itself could still be heard with passive sonar.

      Nuclear reactors have many advantages over diesel-electric for subs, but silence isn't one of them.

      --
      End of line..
    11. Re:What better way than this... by xenocide2 · · Score: 1

      I also think there's more to this than meets the eye, but not the same thing you do. Giving away the fact that he was in range for a firing solution on a carrier could be regarded as a serious tactical error by the Chinese captain. It would be far better to let the carrier group pass by, then slip off in silence and keep that knowledge secret. Letting the US Navy know they can do that will only make the US Navy work very hard to find a solution to that problem and negate that advantage. On the other hand, things nobody knows exist make poor deterrents. If you want Taiwan under control, currently it means going through several US fleet hulls. This sort of revelation can potentially end that policy.
      --
      I Browse at +4 Flamebait

      Open Source Sysadmin

    12. Re:What better way than this... by Supercooldude · · Score: 1

      That is true, the fact that this sub was quiet by no means necessitates that it was advanced. You can take a Whiskey-class sub (a 1950s Soviet design) and turn off the engine and manage to sneak up on the most advanced ship in the world without being detected. Sounds to me like some Americans are exaggerating the level of Chinese technology in order to scare congress into divving up more billions for r&d.

    13. Re:What better way than this... by gothzilla · · Score: 1

      I think your tin-foil hat is screwed on WAY too tight.

    14. Re:What better way than this... by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      Do you know what is inside a Virginia class submarine? There is a lot more to making a submarine quiet than you are aware of.

    15. Re:What better way than this... by camperdave · · Score: 1

      Why don't nuclear subs use atomic batteries, like spacecraft, instead of steam driven generators. They'd be a lot quieter.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    16. Re:What better way than this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They don't recharge.

    17. Re:What better way than this... by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      Many orders of magnitude less power.
      Of course the new XXXXXXXXX technology will be just as quiet...

    18. Re:What better way than this... by tftp · · Score: 1
      Giving away the fact that he was in range for a firing solution on a carrier could be regarded as a serious tactical error by the Chinese captain

      I hope you don't suggest that the whole plan was designed and executed by the captain just because he was bored, or something? This is a political move, plain and simple, and it was planned and authorized from the very top of Chinese military and Party. I would not be surprised if several subs were involved, pre-positioned on the expected path of the US ships, and only the best positioned boat surfaced.

      It would be far better to let the carrier group pass by, then slip off in silence and keep that knowledge secret.

      If you have a doomsday weapon you must tell the others that you have it, otherwise it loses its deterrent value. China wanted the results.

      Letting the US Navy know they can do that will only make the US Navy work very hard to find a solution to that problem and negate that advantage.

      There is nothing wrong in sending an opponent on a wild goose chase. As many knowledgeable people indicated, an active sonar would have picked the sub up far enough. This is purely a show, to sneak up on a carrier group that does not expect an attack. In a battle condition this attack would be impossible, so it has no military value. And in any case China has many weapons that won't fail to hit a carrier from a few dozen miles, with underwater or air launch; countries with such weapons do not have to risk a close approach for a torpedo attack.

      However, maybe it wasn't so voluntary. Possible reasons for it include running out of battery, losing control of his submarine, an equipment failure on board, or being actively pinged and forced to acknowledge his presence.

      The existing evidence does not agree with those possibilities. A diesel sub does not need battery to stay submerged for a while, and one would think that *someone* at the controls would have his eyes glued to the "remaining battery charge" dial. Besides, what are the chances that out of the whole ocean the sub just happened to experience an emergency in the middle of a carrier group?

    19. Re:What better way than this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No nuclear power source can recharge.

    20. Re:What better way than this... by Drathos · · Score: 1

      Yes, and I also know that people designing subs can make boneheaded decisions (just like people making just about everything else).

      Yes, there's more to making a sub silent than the reactor, the drive shaft, and the screw. The last few generations of subs have had things like sound deadening tiles to reduce the sound that escapes from the sub. Virginia-class subs also have a different propulsion system (somewhat like the sub in The Hunt for Red October in concept, not application). However, the first step in silencing a sub is to not make noise in the first place. A diesel-electric sub running on batteries makes almost no sound from engine which is something a nuke can't do.

      --
      End of line..
    21. Re:What better way than this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hi... yes diesel subs are quiet, more quite than SOME nuclear submarines. But I would like to remind you of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_circulation.

    22. Re:What better way than this... by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      This would not be the first time the USN has allowed (in peacetime) a potential enemy to get away with something that they (the USN) knew damm well the enemy was doing. This a) gives the bad guys a false sense of security and b) lets the USN collect intel on a variety of things they normally wouldn't be able to. (Watching the guys inbound track WRT your own vessels gives information about his sonar capabilities for example.)

    23. Re:What better way than this... by zypres · · Score: 1

      correct me if I'm wrong, but I think the Swedish submarine (electric) had a possibility to stay long-time dived, but also fooled with the US subs in an exercise. I think that's why the US rent it to play in the exercises.

    24. Re:What better way than this... by gujo-odori · · Score: 1

      Passive sonar was better than that in WW II, so I think it's safe to assume he knew they were there. If you're close enough, you can even hear the prop turns right through the hull.

  13. Quite an achievement by edwardpickman · · Score: 4, Funny

    Given the amount of lead they use I'm amazed it could float.

    1. Re:Quite an achievement by RuBLed · · Score: 4, Funny

      Good thing it did not dissolve into a date-rape drug...

    2. Re:Quite an achievement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tailhook scandal explained, film at 11.

    3. Re:Quite an achievement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So thats why you don't drink from the ocean.

    4. Re:Quite an achievement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hope they have plenty of spare capacitors on board!

    5. Re:Quite an achievement by dashslotter · · Score: 1

      No, but the mess hall food does taste like cardboard....

      --
      I was flipping bits on an abacus, newb.
  14. Because... by Svartalf · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...it may be that hostilities are about to increase. They've been at showing a bit of their capabilities, physical and electronic warfare-wise for about the last 2-3 years now.

    --
    I am not merely a "consumer" or a "taxpayer". I am a Citizen of the State of Texas
    1. Re:Because... by couchslug · · Score: 1

      They are the natural masters of Asia, not the US.
      Pearl S, Buck is dead, but the morbid US fascination with dominating Asia continues. Since the US will not be able to maintain massive military disparity forever, nor should it want to, we'd best cut deals with other powerful corporate states.

      There are lots of Cold War types who fap to committing suicide for South Korea or Taiwan, but I'm not one of them.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    2. Re:Because... by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      ...it may be that hostilities are about to increase. They've been at showing a bit of their capabilities, physical and electronic warfare-wise for about the last 2-3 years now.

      Wait for the Olympics afterglow to fade first. Then don't plan on buying real estate in Taiwan.

      Good thing we're de-emphasizing science and math education in this country and de-commissioning all of our manufacturing capability. It's not like wars were ever decided on small gradients of technology or keeping supply lines full.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  15. Doesn't have to be that advanced by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Diesel-electric subs can easily be quieter than their nuclear counterparts. Without the need for cooling pumps a diesel sub can run VERY quietly. Even a natural circulation sub needs a lot of support equipment to keep running.

  16. The danger of diesels by Chairboy · · Score: 5, Informative

    Though an older technology, diesel-electric submarines can actually be quieter than nuclear submarines. A nuclear reactor has constant motion. There are usually pumps, valves, turbines, all sorts of things that are moving. The US submarine fleet was designed from the beginning to be as quiet as possible, but there's still some noise. It's not practical to shut down and turn on the reactor, so there's always SOME noise being produced.

    A diesel electric submarine, on the other hand, only makes noise when the diesel is on. Running on batteries, in absolute quiet mode, a modern diesel-electric can be a hole in the water.

    Combine this technology with good intel, and you could conceivably station a submarine dragnet in the path of a carrier group a day in advance and sit on the bottom absolutely quiet. When your target approaches, pump some ballast out (at the risk of making noise) and begin an ascent. The dive planes can convert some of that bouyancy into forward motion, and you could fine tune your course and potentially be within torpedo range before being detected.

    The defense against this is to use active sonar. This is anathema to modern sub doctrine, so surface ships might do it, but it's akin to shining a flashlight in a dark room, it will let everyone else know where you are too.

    There are russian diesel-electric subs being tested with part-time reactors for extending the underwater life for minimal noise footprint. It will be interesting to see how these develop.

    The future of submarine warfare might end up being loud and fast. Google 'supercavitating torpedo' or 'schkval torpedo' to see more. Teaser: Underwater missiles that travel hundreds of miles per hour. Kablooey!

    1. Re:The danger of diesels by MrSteveSD · · Score: 0, Troll

      I get the feeling that in a modern war against an advanced nation, these carriers would be sitting ducks for anti-ship missiles. The US Navy would probably be forced to keep them well out of harms way. They're certainly good for attacking third world countries though, so despite their vulnerabilities, they are bound to be in service for a long time.

    2. Re:The danger of diesels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Technically, the recent generations of nukes have low power settings where the reactor systems (esp. the cooling pumps) function via convection w/out actually using the massive pumps that generate most of the low-end mechanical noise.

    3. Re:The danger of diesels by MichaelSmith · · Score: 2, Funny

      Google 'supercavitating torpedo'

      For a moment there I thought you wrote Google's supercavitating torpedo. Gave me a terrible fright.

    4. Re:The danger of diesels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Modern aircraft carriers (US in particular) have decently strong anti-missile capabilities both on board and in the carrier support group.

    5. Re:The danger of diesels by WindBourne · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Funny thing about the schkval is that in the 50s/60's, we were designing and about to build a Mach3 bomber ( B-70 valkrye). About the time of go-no go, the Powers was shot down, and USSR had their ICBM. Kennedy wisely decided that it would be a waste of money to pursue these, though he kept the research going for faster planes (which Nixon killed) and better rockets (NASA). Now, we see a torpedo that is KNOWN to be fast. Of course, it is not accurate, but who cares. If you can get it close with a small nuke (which russia owns), you own the ship. The real problem is that supposedly Russia has turned over that info to China. So now what do we do?

      Back in the 70's, Carter predicted that the day and age of large ships needed to end due to the ease that USSR (and other nations) could get to them. His goal was to push for small ships that worked together, basically a parallel system. Sadly, reagan killed that and pushed us back to the day of the battleships. Now, we have the ddx, but we are still pushing major ships. It strikes me that we will need to have automated or remotely controlled ships that can do the search and destroy missions. But just as the Air force fought that, the Navy is fighting that as well.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:The danger of diesels by ross.w · · Score: 2, Informative

      This is why the Australian Collins Class Subs, and diesel subs used by the Canadians and the Dutch regularly kick US carrier group butt in exercises.

      The Chinese are not the first to do this at all. Difference is of course that it wasn't an exercise this time.

      --
      If my call is important, why am I talking to a recording?
    7. Re:The danger of diesels by inKubus · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually, they are using fuel cells to power the subs now, which means 6000nm range, across 45 days. They also have sterling engines available to generate power/thrust as needed. See the wiki on Air-Independent Propulsion.

      It's not that surprising that the Chinese sub was allowed to surface inside the task force. I'm guessing they will use this story to increase military spending somehow. The US, in addition to the typical ship-based sonar, will also have many sub escorts traveling with it. Also, they have seafloor based sonar emplacements. Although SOSUS is old and not very up to date, you can bet there's some other seafloor emplacements we haven't heard of.

      Also, during a training excercise, they are going to be making a lot of noise and doing stuff they wouldn't otherwise do. All those things together would make it likely that a modern sub could infiltrate fairly close without being noticed. I doubt the Chinese would "pearl harbor" us, nor that a submarine torpedo would do much damage to a carrier, but it is interesting. Especially interesting is they could bring their nukes within range of the west or east coast of the U.S., assuming this is factual. Which makes this more scary. China does have nukes and probably has some cruise missles which can carry them.

      --
      Cool! Amazing Toys.
    8. Re:The danger of diesels by quanticle · · Score: 2, Informative

      Technically, the recent generations of nukes have low power settings where the reactor systems (esp. the cooling pumps) function via convection w/out actually using the massive pumps that generate most of the low-end mechanical noise.

      Yes, however those require the sub to be moving at a certain rate in order to force a little bit of circulation. Diesel-electrics, on the other hand, can lay absolutely still in preparation for an ambush while making no noise. In fact, its better for them to lay still, because they're not draining their batteries then.
      --
      We all know what to do, but we don't know how to get re-elected once we have done it
    9. Re:The danger of diesels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Couldn't you find a way to fasten yourself to the bottom, then pump the ballast out, then wait? No bubbles that way ...

    10. Re:The danger of diesels by catmistake · · Score: 2, Funny

      I think they (the Chinese) only need stealth to satisfy their customers, such as the US Navy, so they don't give away positions when US submariners have General Tso's delivered.

    11. Re:The danger of diesels by neolith · · Score: 1

      Well, if you could figure out a mechanism to clamp down on the ocean bed relatively quietly (remembering how far sound travels in water) and then release in a manner less noisy than opening some air valves, I'm sure there is a nation state out there that would pay for it.

      --
      Like my comments? Try my podcast: http://www.baldmove.com
    12. Re:The danger of diesels by 2ms · · Score: 1

      Hah, not only can we blame everything that's wrong in the world on Bush, but we can blame this Chinese sub on every Repblican in history. If only we'd listened to the only two Democrat presidents during the Cold War then not only would the Cold War be over, but there wouldn't be these Chinese subs.

    13. Re:The danger of diesels by mapmaker · · Score: 1
      For a moment there I thought you wrote Google's supercavitating torpedo.

      Don't be silly. Nobody knows about Google's supercavitating torpedos yet.

    14. Re:The danger of diesels by Guido+von+Guido · · Score: 1

      "If only we'd listened to the only two Democrat presidents during the Cold War..."

      You mean Truman, Kennedy, Johnson and Carter?

    15. Re:The danger of diesels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      we will need to have automated or remotely controlled ships


      Perhaps controlled by some sort of net in the sky?
    16. Re:The danger of diesels by mjbkinx · · Score: 1

      You probably mean Type 212 A U-Boats. Watch a video or read the Wikipedia article.

    17. Re:The danger of diesels by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1
      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    18. Re:The danger of diesels by JSchoeck · · Score: 1

      So now what do we do?

      Here's an idea:
      Not start WW III and instead return to a peaceful political course.

    19. Re:The danger of diesels by while(true) · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The Swedish Navy has trained with the US Navy for several years now using a diesel sub trying to avoid detection. From what I've heard the swedish crew have been very succesful. http://www.thelocal.se/article.php?ID=3574&date=20060418

    20. Re:The danger of diesels by BeeRockxs · · Score: 1

      Diesel-Hydrogen-cell powered subs are superior to Diesel-Electric sub, with the hydrogen fuel cell, they can stay underwater for up to 3 weeks. Take a look at the german Type 212 subs: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_212_submarine

    21. Re:The danger of diesels by Britz · · Score: 1

      Carrier groups (with very large carriers as the centerpiece) pretty much account for the worldwide domination of the US military. The ability to move a whole airbase around the world and put it wherever you like (well not on land, but you get the point) means that the US can throw a LOT of weight around. "Talk softly, but carry a big stick".

      Maybe it doesn't help against China or Russia, the UK or France. But did the US fight those nations recently? Those nations also have the H-Bomb and China put a man into orbit. So they can build ICBMs. With the mutial assured destruction looming, do you really want to fight China? (btw. everyone and their dog knows that the missile shield is being constructed against China).

      Carrier groups are also outragiously expensive. So the ability to come by any country you want (except China and Russia) and bomb them (kinda like a drive by shooting) is a pretty heavyset foreign policy tool. Maybe Carter didn't think he would need it. Foreign policy is a dificult beast. You might want to blame Carter for the Iran hostage crises. Compare it to Bush and Iraq. Also have a look at how Reagon dealt with the hostage crises. But this is all OT.

      Large ships only impress the small guys. And that is what they are made for.

    22. Re:The danger of diesels by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      I love professional papers written on the "we don't have any actual evidence, so we'll pile on the hearsay and irrelevant historical examples until we've generate enough text to Look Serious" method.

    23. Re:The danger of diesels by maxume · · Score: 1

      Fear will not protect you from the Google.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    24. Re:The danger of diesels by ross.w · · Score: 1

      Hearsay and anecdotes is all there is, because none of the public information surrounding the exercises discusses outcomes.

      Mind you it's not unexpected for the US Navy (or any other navy - let's be fair) to prefer that a weakness they have had for some time not be made too public. I suspect one of the reasons Australia and other friendly diesel sub users are invited to these exercises is the ongoing search for a countermeasure. When they find it (if they haven't found it yet), you can bet there won't be any information made public about what it is or how well it works.

      The historical examples of encounters between diesel subs and US warships are quite relevant I would have thought.

      --
      If my call is important, why am I talking to a recording?
    25. Re:The danger of diesels by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      The historical examples are interesting - but they are also precisely what I mean by either being irrelevant (WWII) or hearsay (the modern examples). It's also extremely one sided because it doesn't discuss submarines sunk (in wartime) or driven away (in peacetime), concentrating instead on the flashy bits.
       
      Insofar as countermeasures go, yah - I can't talk about those.

    26. Re:The danger of diesels by 2ms · · Score: 1

      You're right. There were four Democratic presidents. The Cold War was begun by the first one and didn't end until the first Republican after the last one. The Vietnam war was begun and extended by two of the other 3. And the last one had the lowest approval rating of any president in history other than the first one. If only we had listened to one of these presidents then there wouldn't be this CHinese diesel submarine.

  17. Signs point to surface ship obsolesence by tjstork · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It seems like submarines are outpacing the ability of anti-submarine warfare to keep up with them. While it is somewhat surprising that the Chinese have evolved a quiet submarine, the threat of modern hybrid electric submarines is not new.

    Indeed, there are numerous and famous stories of Dutch and German sailors sending back pictures of various US Aircraft carriers through their periscopes. This indicates that they successfully penetrated the US Navy ASW screen, made it to periscope depth, snapped a picture, and then got back out, all undetected. In response to this, the US Navy has actually asked NATO allies equipped with such submarines to drill with the American teams, in order to bolster the US ASW capability. This incident, then, suggests that the US Navy has a lot more to do.

    In general, rumours abound that submarines are now operating at close to the ambient noise level of the ocean. If genuinely operated so quietly, and given the difficult acoustic environment of the underwater world, it remains difficult to understand just how one might actually detect a submarine. Certainly, passive detection is difficult, and active detection only gives your own position away.

    What's really troubling about all of this is that, doctrinally, the US Navy does not have much in passive armor against weapons at all. Aircraft carriers, destroyers, and more are generally not armoured as doctrinally, the idea is to keep the enemy from engaging your assets to begin with by forming a screen around the capital ships. Thus, we are operating a Navy that has a reduced ability to absorb damage from an enemy increasingly able to inflict it.

    If the US does not adjust, then, it is very likely setting itself up for an enormous defeat in a naval engagement against a determined opponent.

    --
    This is my sig.
    1. Re:Signs point to surface ship obsolesence by neurojab · · Score: 1

      If the US does not adjust, then, it is very likely setting itself up for an enormous defeat in a naval engagement against a determined opponent.


      I agree. The US Navy points to its fleet of aircraft carriers as the sign of its naval superiority, but the age of the aircraft carrier is over. In WWII an aircraft carrier could project power around the world, so owning a few of them meant you were a superpower. Now, however, the carrier is costly and vulnerable when compared to submarines, missiles, and long-range bombers. Sure, they're good in a low-level conventional skirmish against a low-tech opponent; but an aircraft carrier would be useless against a country with the resources to invade our territory. They'd sink the carriers, then move on. Why then do we need so many of them? Are we anticipating that many simultaneous low-level conflicts? I guess so.

    2. Re:Signs point to surface ship obsolesence by WhiteWolf666 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think you underestimate the firepower an aircraft carrier has. Modern conflicts have not really demonstrated it.

      A current U.S. aircraft carrier carries approximately 65 aircraft, thousands of crew, and a huge pile of missiles.

      In a combat situation, long-range bombers take too long to get into position, particularly over an extended period of time, and with varying intensities of combat. An aircraft carrier can supplement these bombers with craft that are a good deal cheaper, and a good deal quicker to respond.

      In terms of surface superiority, an aircraft carrier outranges any other form of surface ship. It's an effective response to any sort of surface fleet. It is not, nor ever was, a response to missiles, bombs, mine fields, or aircraft. There are other naval craft for that (hence the battlegroup). In that sense, however, an aircraft carrier is no different than other form of military base. Missiles, and long-range bombers can attach anywhere on the globe, and penetration of enemy facilities on land by special operative is practically an art form, and much harder to defend against than submarines.

      That being said, the art of weaponry is a continued point/counterpoint. We don't have all the data avaliable to us regarding anti-ship weapons, however, there's a good deal of evidence suggesting that our anti-missile programs are quite successful against the latest and greatest anti-ship missiles. In a hostile situation, surrounding a carrier group, our subs would play the same roll, and given proper ASW-air support, our subs would simply win. On the other hand, if we screwed up tactically (as in the way the article describes), or if technology is vastly inferior (which it isn't, yet), we would loose.

      In my mind, the aircraft carrier is still king in the world of national warfare. However, as time goes on, it is growing clearer that we are in the age of economic and subversive warfare (meaning, terrorist). Currently, the bulk of this sort of economic/terrorist activity is occurring in the Middle East, however, there's nothing to suggest that it will not spread if conflicts spread.

      I'd also like to ad that we (the U.S.) are no stranger to this sort of warfare. Neither is Russia, China, or Europe. Of course, these days MNCs (Blackwater) and political groups (Al-Qaeda, Islamic Front of Chechnya, hell, even Scientologists). Is this a worse form of warfare? I think so. Certainly, there's a great deal of collateral damage. But I believe that this sort of low level violence, present in Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Gaza, Chechnya, Tibet, Sudan, Eritria, even Colombia, will dominate this century, leaving the days of open warfare in the past, and with them, expensive weaponry. There are very few places in the world where you can draw a clean line like the DMZ (N/S Korea). There is plenty of openwarfare, but it is all a mess.

      --
      WhiteWolf666 an exBush supporter. All you new-school,compassionate,save the children Republicans can rot in hell
    3. Re:Signs point to surface ship obsolesence by codepunk · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Had it dawned on you that perhaps they where not running a ASW screen? I spent 10 years in the navy as a Operations Specialist, most of it aboard Burke class destroyers. During peace time battle group steaming the formation is generally not running a ASW screen unless they are actually
      practicing ASW detection.

      You are highly underestimating the capabilities of modern warships.

      Another thing, quiet don't mean shit when you get a P-3 Orion mark on top with a MAD(Magnetic Anomaly Detector).

      --


      Got Code?
    4. Re:Signs point to surface ship obsolesence by sacrilicious · · Score: 1
      In general, rumours abound that submarines are now operating at close to the ambient noise level of the ocean. If genuinely operated so quietly, and given the difficult acoustic environment of the underwater world, it remains difficult to understand just how one might actually detect a submarine. Certainly, passive detection is difficult, and active detection only gives your own position away.

      What comes to mind is the idea of doing active detection from remotely deployed mini robots which radio the data back to the main ship.

      --
      - First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then ???, then profit.
    5. Re:Signs point to surface ship obsolesence by tftp · · Score: 1

      Well, do that and the opponent responds by deploying thousands of robot torpedos. Current torpedos are mostly dumb, and mainly used as a bullet fired from a gun. But there is nothing impossible in developing a micro-submarine which has a small gasoline engine, a huge Li-Ion battery, plenty of explosives, and most importantly a good computer that controls the sub. This thing could sail inertially, check GPS, visually identify targets, receive commands through a satellite, and so on. It would be practically invulnerable to defensive weapons, containing no humans and being designed to withstand tens of G and huge water pressure (having no need to maintain an atmosphere within.) As necessary it would return to base, or to a resupply ship, for refueling. A country like China would be very well positioned to design and deploy a few thousands of those, and it's hard to defeat them when they are rising from 10,000 ft right up, into your bottom.

    6. Re:Signs point to surface ship obsolesence by tjstork · · Score: 1

      But there is nothing impossible in developing a micro-submarine which has a small gasoline engine

      Well, the gas engine would be a bad thing to put in a submarine. Our own Navy learned that lesson prior to World War I. Read about the Holland.

      This thing could sail inertially, check GPS

      Checking GPS in wartime would be an iffy proposition for an enemy. I imagine that the GPS, a US thing, could be something that we could theoretically turn off, or, worse, use to steer enemy combatants into the wrong direction.

      It would be practically invulnerable to defensive weapons, containing no humans and being designed to withstand tens of G and huge water pressure (having no need to maintain an atmosphere

      Well, here's the the thing. First off, what you are really talking about is essentially a mine, of which, plenty have existed. Secondly, your vision of an ultra deep submarine carries with it a two way street. You need your submarine to be able to detect the ships passing over it, and the same thermals and changes in ocean that make it hard for surface ships to hear submarines also work against the submarine. To be really effective, your submarine has to operate above the thermal layers and do so with extreme quiet.

      A country like China would be very well positioned to design and deploy a few thousands of those, and it's hard to defeat them when they are rising from 10,000 ft right up, into your bottom

      Ah, but remember that the USA right now is leading in robotic fighting machines and by a fairly wide margin. Sure, the Chinese could build these robot submarines and launch them, but, the USA will have its own robot submarines to go against them.

      Ultimately, though, the Chinese are in a sticky spot. You see, the kinds of anti-US Aircraft carrier battles that we are talking about would be for an enemy to deny the oceans to American naval assets. But, the most hypothetical war with China (a Chinese invasion of Taiwan), only requires the USA to deny the ocean to the Chinese. There's no reason to put an aircraft carrier in harms way for that mission - you could leave the role of destroying Chinese ships to the Virgina class submarine.

      --
      This is my sig.
    7. Re:Signs point to surface ship obsolesence by Shihar · · Score: 4, Interesting

      One thing to keep in mind is that during training the anti-submarine aspect has its hands tied. Certain types of active sonar are forbidden due to the belief that they can maim/kill sea animals (namely whales).

      The other issue to keep in mind is that it is one thing to break in on a scheduled training mission. It is another thing to catch an aircraft carrier cruising around at 40+ knots. Diesel/electric boats have almost no capacity to hunt on the modern stage. They really need to move into position, wait, and hope that a target comes by. The sea is big, and airplanes with refueller aircraft have very long ranges.

      In a sea engagement the Chinese navy really is not much of a threat. The real threat comes from the Chinese missile and rock batteries, and to some extent, their air force. In a battle over Taiwan, China has a base to fly from that can be heavily guarded so as to make anything that isn't a stealth fighter weary about entering their airspace. That isn't to say that the Chinese airforce wouldn't take horrific losses, just that they could do some damage before bleeding their airforce away on the combined US/Taiwan air defense.

      The real place where China is still screwed is in the actual crossing. A Chinese boat could get lucky and whack a carrier if they positioned themselves just right, but US hunter killer subs could do horrific damage against any sort of invasion force. What the subs don't eat, the aircraft would once they leave the AAA cover of the main land. An army a few million strong doesn't do any good if it can't get to land.

    8. Re:Signs point to surface ship obsolesence by CodeBuster · · Score: 2, Informative

      Armor is not the really the solution either. Invariably it is impossible to armor every area of the ship or even critical areas equally or enough to counter the more accurate targeting of modern missiles and torpedoes which can be set to detonate directly under the keel or hit the weak points in the superstructure (or anywhere else they might be). If the ship has even one weak area (which it invariably will) then it can always be sunk eventually by hitting the weak point or the chink in the armor so to speak. Armor also makes the ship slower, reduces the amount of payload that the ship can carry, and makes the ship less maneuverable (i.e. increases momentum and the amount of energy required to change directions).

    9. Re:Signs point to surface ship obsolesence by analog_line · · Score: 1

      leaving the days of open warfare in the past, and with them, expensive weaponry


      I agree with just about everything you've said except for the above quote.

      The situation in Pakistan is, thanks to our best friend Musharraf, rapidly escalating from guerilla warfare to open conflic. Many people from inside the region are screaming to anyone who will listen (which of course doesn't include Bush and Company) that this is giving the Taliban and aligned tribal forces the perfect opportunity to take control of more of Pakistan. Sure, they still use guerilla tactics but they're also invading and taking Pakistani military bases, driving the central government back. Eventually they're going to make a move on the central government of Pakistan directly, and they're not going to be able to do that (and gain control of the nukes in the process) with an Iraq-style guerilla war.

      In addition to that, with the serious instability in Pakistan, India isn't exactly happy-go-lucky about it. They've fought several wars with Pakistan in the short time since partition. They are very concerned about who is going to end up controlling Pakistan's nuclear weapons. They have their own nuclear weapons. They've got military assets ranged along the border between India and Pakistan. If someone pushes a button for whatever reason, you will have major armed conflict, not shadowy guerilla fighting.

      China's current government is bound and determined to retake Taiwan. They have also more intelligence and foresight than previous Chinese Communist governments, and are working both their military, their diplomacy, and their economy to the point where they can walk in to Taiwan and just take control firing as few shots as they can if any. An important part of that is to build up enough serious military hardware, so that when they do decide to make their move, the US will be forced to think more than twice about interfering militarily, because that's the only possible way the US can interfere. Even if we were superb diplomats, getting the Chinese government to give up on Taiwan's re-integration, would be like trying to get John Hancock to unsign the Declaration of Independence. If we do actually want to stop mainland China from invading Taiwan, then our only option is military force, and lots of big and expensive military force at that.

      And the Middle East. Ah, what a tranquil, magical place. When the US government pulls troops out finally, there will be a major war over the territory in Iraq. The Turks may very well attack the PKK in Iraqi Kurdistan (with the public pressure so high in Turkey, I'm amazed it hasn't happened yes), sparking war between Kurdistan (which has built up a pretty effective military) and Turkey. Iran will probably get into a ground war with Saudi Arabia, and a coalition of other Sunni Arab-majority nations that are realy really afraid of Iran's designs for the region, and they don't have Saddam or the US in the way any more. Saudi Arabia is buying up military hardware as fast as other countries will sell it to them right now in preparation for the conflict they see as a real possibiity.

      Not to mention who knows what Chavez is planning to do with all the military hardware he's buying.
    10. Re:Signs point to surface ship obsolesence by Joey+Vegetables · · Score: 1

      I'm not an expert in the field, so maybe you can correct any misstatements and/or mis-assumptions on my part. But it seems to me that even the most modern carriers are vulnerable to cheap and low-tech weapons that any regional power should have in abundance. For instance, don't the Iranians possess several hundred Russian-made "Sunburn" ballistic missiles, and the Chinese many more? How many of these would it take to sink a carrier? How confident can you be that the anti-missile technology, even if it worked well, would take out enough of those missiles to keep the odd stray from severely damaging or even sinking the carrier?

    11. Re:Signs point to surface ship obsolesence by WhiteWolf666 · · Score: 1

      The primary issue here, IMHO, is that all you have to defend against is the random stray missile, which anti-missile technology can handle.

      These things have a maximum range of around 70 miles. An aircraft carrier can easily maintain force superiority for a radius of 200-300 miles. The only thing that you have to be worried about is a random sub or aircraft trying to get into range and launch before the carrier group annihilates it.

      Keep in mind that there are multiple levels of anti-missile coverage, including the picket ships. There will easily be 20-100 intercept attempts, as each modern system can launch around 11 intercepting missiles, and there are multiple systems per ship (8-12 on a carrier).

      Confidence breaks down as the number of launches go up. If, say, a large battle group of surface ships, with air support, approached a carrier group and started launching salvos of missiles, the defense systems would fail. But that's not a realistic situation, since a carrier group carries an immense amount of long range firepower.

      --
      WhiteWolf666 an exBush supporter. All you new-school,compassionate,save the children Republicans can rot in hell
  18. Inevitable... by Prius · · Score: 2

    You know, this shows how badly we're going to do in the upcoming Second Cold War. China beats us to the moon, they have awesome subs, and they're slowly poisoning our children with lead and drugs. That's why we should all move to Canada.

    1. Re:Inevitable... by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      China beats us to the moon

      Uh, what?

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    2. Re:Inevitable... by calebt3 · · Score: 1

      I think he is referring to the new space race, not the old one. They are predicted to get to the moon before we get back.

    3. Re:Inevitable... by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      By developing time travel

    4. Re:Inevitable... by Prius · · Score: 1

      Yeah. They get to set up a moon base a few years before we do.

  19. Even MORE dangerous by Mr.+Flibble · · Score: 1, Troll

    Even more dangerous is the fact that it was covered in lead paint.

    --
    Try to hack my 31337 firewall!
    1. Re:Even MORE dangerous by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, this was missing Sherwin-Williams paint.

  20. Drafting isn't egalitarian. by khasim · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Those with the connections will always be excused. You'll be left with only those who cannot find any way to avoid it.

    The all volunteer force is supposed to give us professional, dedicated warriors. But it doesn't seem to work out that way.

    1. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pardon? That's exactly how it is working out. Maybe you meant the Reserve force structure--that's always been and always will be a can of worms.

    2. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Sponge+Bath · · Score: 1, Informative

      The all volunteer force is supposed to give us professional, dedicated warriors.

      Blackwater and other private armies are staffed with very dedicated warriors.

    3. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by PresidentEnder · · Score: 1

      Dedicated != good, for any value of good. The two may be related, but Blackwater has messed up a number of times. I wouldn't work for them, for fear that some Luke Skywalker wannabe would fly my transport into a mountain.

      --
      I used to carry a bottle of whiskey for snake bite. And two snakes. -Nefarious Wheel
    4. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by NeverVotedBush · · Score: 4, Informative

      "for fear that some Luke Skywalker wannabe would fly my transport into a mountain."

      Sadly this actually did happen. Pilot and copilot were on the voice recorder giggling about how someone actually paid them to have so much fun as they were flying low and pretending to be ace pilots. Too bad they didn't fly their flight plan. After hitting a mountain and killing almost everyone on board (an Air Force crew), the fact that they were nowhere where they said they would be doomed the survivors as no rescuers came before they died of exposure and their injuries.

      Blackwater sucks. Hard. They kill our own military with their recklessness. Morons.

    5. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by fractoid · · Score: 0, Redundant

      If I remember rightly, their plane DID fall apart midair. You have to cut a pilot a bit of slack for crashing when one of the wings falls off his plane.

      --
      Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
    6. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by loraksus · · Score: 1

      Almost - They flew into a box canyon (well, the end of it, if you want to be technical), not a mountain.
      linky

      --
      1q2w3e4r5t6y7u8i9o0pqawsedrftgthyjukilo;p'azsxdcfv gbhnjmk,l.;/
    7. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Maxmin · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Ah yes, the infamous Blackwater Flight 61. Pilot got caught in a box canyon at 4600m in the Hindu Kush Mountains of Afghanistan. He only realized that screwing around on a flight, in high mountain valleys, could get someone hurt when there was no longer room left to climb.

      The following is from a TV and radio interview with the attorneys for the families of the three Army soldiers killed on that flight:

      "Look, there is an expression in aviation, that you plan your flight, and you fly your plan. That didn't happen here. Instead of flying a recognized route to the west, the crew went sightseeing in the mountains to the north of Bagram. They got into a box canyon. The plane they were flying could not climb above the 16,000-foot peak. They were in a canyon where they could not turn around, and tragically all six souls on board died." (Robert Spohrer)

      One of the soldiers actually survived the flight, and lived long enough to smoke some cigs, before he died of exposure.

      It's not only Blackwater who allows goofballs to pilot their planes. February 3, 1998, Mt. Cermis, Italy: A low-flying U.S. Marine surveillance jet on a training flight, whose joy-riding pilot must've been high or something, was deliberately flying *below* the mountain's ski lift cables. He "accidentally" clipped one of the cable-car lines, which freed the gondola to the effects of gravity, and caused all 20 people aboard to fall some 260 ft to their deaths.

      A jet ain't a hot-rod. Drive with care.

      --
      O lord, bless this thy holy hand grenade, that with it thou mayest blow thine enemies to tiny bits, in thy mercy.
    8. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by bigbigbison · · Score: 1

      Dedicated to what? It seems like that is the question.

      --
      http://www.popularculturegaming.com -- my blog about the culture of videogame players
    9. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by LurkerXXX · · Score: 1

      You remember wrongly.

    10. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From the article:

      Basically, Blackwater said because they were doing work traditionally done by the military -- that is, transporting soldiers from one place to another -- that they should have the immunity that the federal government would have: sovereign immunity. And the court rejected that argument and said, "No, you're not part of the government. You're a for-profit private corporation. You negotiated this contract at arm's length. You have liability insurance for this type of event. And so, we're not going to extend the immunity that is enjoyed by the sovereign to private corporations."

      So, unlike the government, Blackwater actually has to pay when it makes a mistake? Sounds like a good thing to me. Blackwater might actually go out of business if they fuck up enough. But that's only if Blackwater's client wises up, and market forces won't hold that client accountable for going with the wrong supplier.

      The real criminal here is the one with "sovereign immunity". The last thing we need in this situation is more government.

    11. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by fractoid · · Score: 2, Informative
      --
      Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
    12. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by couchslug · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "The all volunteer force is supposed to give us professional, dedicated warriors. But it doesn't seem to work out that way."

      It give you mostly professional, dedicated warriors, but they are still ordinary humans. The lessons of conscription have been learned. Enjoy:

      http://www.chss.montclair.edu/english/furr/Vietnam/heinl.html

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    13. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Camel+Pilot · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Blackwater: "I'm sorry, I can't hear you over the sound of how awesome I am."

      Blackwater 61

    14. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      'Fortunately' for the idiot flying into the ski lift cables, he was cleared of charges by the US military court. Guess not only Blackwater protects their own incompetents.

      The EU was pretty pissed off about this:
      http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=CELEX:51999IP0272:EN:HTML

    15. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by j_rhoden · · Score: 1

      He "accidentally" clipped one of the cable-car lines...

      Are you implying that he intentionally clipped the cable car line? Yeah, the guy was a show-boating idiot, but I doubt he purposefully brought the cable car down.

    16. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Opportunist · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No really? Why could that be? Let me tell you a story.

      A friend of mine is currently serving in Iraq. Is he convinced the military is the place to be? Hell no. But he's poor. And he wants to escape the "paper or plastic" world. He wants to get out of the gutter or die trying. Quite literally.

      And he ain't the only one if the stories I get to hear are true.

      And that's the "smart" guys. Of course you'll also get a lot of people who simply can't get another decent job due to ... let's say inadequate supplies in the cranial department.

      A draft won't change that one bit, though. How willing is someone who is forced to do something? How reliable will he be? And how likely to just duck and cover when the bullets start flying? It's not really a comfortable feeling when bullets dig up roughcast around you. Die for my country? I woudln't even die for myself.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    17. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Opportunist · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That's what's actually wrong with the army today. It's sold as a cool job where you can toy around with cool hardware.

      I remember my training. And while I was no pilot (I hate my eyes), our instructors made one thing certain: This ain't a game. If you think it is, you're wrong here, there's the mop, there's the bucket, they're now your toys, return that gun and get the fu.. out of here! He was actually pretty laid back (well, as laid back as a drill sergeant gets, at least after the initial months), cracked a joke from time to time and could even take a joke. But as soon as a weapon was the topic (and that included the knife), he was business. No joke. No smile. No nonsense. He made a point that now we're serious. That thing can kill, that's what it's here for, and you better sober up now too, sonny.

      You could literally feel that this was different than our "normal" training. Wisecracking was usually grounds for a humiliating joke at your expense and some pushups. In the presence of a weapon, it was a fair lot different, including a tinnitus. You don't joke with weapons.

      It worked, to say the least. Even our stupidest people got their act together when handling potentially dangerous items. And, personally, I'd say that's lacking here. People don't realize that what they do is far beyond stupid. Nobody ever told them.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    18. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      He purposefully flew the plane low. Ignorance is no excuse.

    19. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by hey! · · Score: 1

      How willing is someone who is forced to do something? How reliable will he be?


      Evidently reliable enough to land at Normandy and kick the Germans out of France; reliable enough to cripple the Japanese Navy at Midway.

      I agree though you don't get that kind of performance out of people you've conscripted to amuse yourself at your geopolitical hobby. However, bodies do matter in certain forms of warfare, and occupation is one of them.
      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    20. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by illeism · · Score: 1
      --
      Help test the /. effect at my min
    21. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by yfarren · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Having been in an army that functions based on a draft, and having been none to eager to be in said army, Let me tell you, you get really good, competent, useful, smart, reliable soldiers, from a draft. (You also get lots of cannon fodder. But you get lots of EVERYTHING with a daft.)

      The fact that they don't want to be there doesn't really come into play. The myth that it does, is just a lie that we rich kids tell to keep us out of the army. Soldiers in WWII were wholly competent. Vietnam gave us a draft of people (not rich enough)/(without the connections) to get out, and too stupid to keep a minimum GPA in university.

      Look, the vast majority of smart, capable people will almost always look at an army and say "oh, wait, Getting Killed? For a little Bronze DooDad? No. I don't think so." And they will find something better to do (unless they have an inordinate amount of patriotism, or REALLY believe STRONGLY in the cause of the war. And even then, not so much). The only way you are going to get them into the army is to draft them. And really, for that to work, you have to have a strong draft, that doesn't leave people many outs (either because socially it is unacceptable (how many people went to the army and made out with another guy VS. Going to Canada?), or because it is virtually impossible to get out of.

      Once you have that, you get all kinds of people, and you have to categorize them. Most armies already do this (you don't have many stupid/unmotivated people in any elite force. Cannon fodder exists, are poorly trained, and serve a roll). How willing a person is to die doesn't really factor in, here, either. Given a challenge, and given training, smart/motivated people WILL meet that challenge. They wont admit it to themselves, people are great at rationalizing stuff away. But once in the situation, being given the training, those same smart motivated people who would never willingly join the army will learn the skills of soldiering as well as the smart motivated people who are all Gung Ho. And they will learn them far far better than the Gung Ho unmotivated stupid people.

      Surround a smart/capable person with other smart/capable people, even if they don't approve of the organization they are in, they will develop a bond with each other.

      And, once you give someone a skill, however vile a skill it is. Well. We like to use our skills. We really do. And when we can frame that skill in terms of it being a good thing to do (save our buddies, bring democracy to the people, help the majority of the people in this town have running water, blah blah blah) well, that makes using my horrible skills all the more appealing. The end Vs. the Means. Cutting out a cancer from the society. Pick your metaphor. People are great at rationalizing.

      This isn't to mention that the vast majority of skills the army imparts have nothing to do with combat. Tooth to Tail in the US (someone who knows more about the US army needs to correct me here) is something like 7:1. So most people in the army aren't involved in the combat side of things at all. Food prep, ordering supplies, cleaning camp, filling trucks with gas, etc. etc. etc.. (Cannon fodder aren't all in combat, ya know). Some of those things need smart, motivated people too (translation, reading local newspapers, listening to the radio, gathering Intel. Making sure you have the resources to feed 3000 people today etc.).

      And another thing. The vast majority of people make really crappy combat soldiers. Take a well trained (but not battle exposed) soldier, and shoot at him, and most of them will cower. It takes someone INCREDIBLY disciplined/motivated/(the right kind of cerebral) to grab cover, stick their head up and start shooting back. Funny thing is that that combination of discipline/motivation/(right kind of cerebral) ALSO has almost nothing to do with how much you wanted to be in that situation, in the first place. Because ONCE YOU ARE THERE, if you want to live, the correct response is to shoot back. And

    22. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Maxmin · · Score: 1

      To deliberately fly low over a ski resort, intentionally hot-dogging it *between* the slopes, the lift cables, and the lift cable towers?

      Imagine, if you will, that you're standing on that slope, on your skis or snowboard, and a military jet flies 200 feet over your head, at 350+ mph. Answer me this, after you recover your balance (and maybe your hearing) - does that strike you as a sensible thing to do? Is that a safe way to pilot an expensive piece of military hardware, through a civilian zone, risking the craft as well as civilians on the ground?

      Try this on - you're driving down the local highway in your Ferarri. You decide to have some fun by straddling the double yellow line, separating opposite lanes of traffic, with your hot-rod. A school bus comes towards you, and seeing that you're occupying half their lane, swerves to avoid a direct head-on collision. In the process of doing so, the bus flips onto its side, and half the kids onboard die.

      At the very least, it's negligent homicide.

      --
      O lord, bless this thy holy hand grenade, that with it thou mayest blow thine enemies to tiny bits, in thy mercy.
    23. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      To quote BNL: There's no need to draft them, you could hear us laughing: The poor and black all need their room and board.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    24. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by servognome · · Score: 1

      In short the all volunteer army just guarantees you people who have nothing better to do than willingly join (plus a small number of really patriotic smart people surrounded by the aforementioned) an institution in which they may be assigned to kill or be killed. Not that many really bright people are going to join that kind of an institution without being somewhat coerced.
      I would disagree. At 18 not everybody has the maturity to enter the workplace, at the same time not everybody has the drive to go to college. An all volunteer army gets you the people who are smart enough to want to do something with their life but lack discipline, focus, or motivation to search for work in the private sector. The people who have nothing better to do will typically go to criminal life (gangs, drugs, etc.)
      --
      D6 63 0D 70 89 81 BB 8E 7B 7C 5F 5D 54 EA AB 73
    25. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Opportunist · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well, there are a few differences between 1944 and today.

      First and foremost, the people generally felt that the war was just and correct, that this had to be done. It was the general sentiment that this is a "good" war that has to be fought and that dying in it is worth it. Also, don't forget that that were different times. Pride in your country was vastly different from today. And your options weren't so stunning. You were, compared with today, poor as dirt. You also had a lot different people back then at your disposal. One of the often cited reasons for losing the Vietnam war was the average age of a front line soldier (26 in WW2 compared to 19 in Vietnam).

      Also, the time and the way battles are waged changed dramatically. There is no Normandy today. There is no central structure in America's enemies. That would be trivial to solve in today's world of global warfare, send an ICBM into the center of the enemy territory and boom goes the Führer.

      Today, you don't need bodies. You need motivated, skilled and well trained soldiers. And you have none of those 3 qualities in a conscript.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    26. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I've had my share of army time. Also in a conscript based army. And, bluntly, when I got in, I was in high spirit. I wanted to. Yeah, it's maybe not very "cool" to do it anymore, but the way I was raised, it was an honor and a duty you have to do. I even did what I could to get as high a rating as possible. I wanted to fly. I had a nervous breakdown when they told me I wouldn't.

      Looking back, I'm glad I didn't make it. It would've meant more time there. After a week I was already disillusioned. I've never met so many unmotivated, unspirited and downright sabotaging people as in my first month there.

      That in turn meant for me that I didn't want to stay. I was looking forward to a career there, I wanted to serve my country and defend its interests. After a month, all I wanted was out.

      Now, I'm fairly sure the same happens when you have a "volunteer" force that is largely comprised of people who're there for the wrong reasons (like, having no career perspectives outside the armed forces so they stay there in hope for a comfortable, easy job, much like the sub-officer ranks here). But conscription doesn't improve that, it makes the problem worse.

      At the very least, you should find a way to divide your conscripts in "those that want" and "those that don't", so the latter don't infect the former.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    27. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, I know. Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to be free...

      And, we will send them out to slaughter innocents.

      America, the world weeps for what could have been.

    28. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by yfarren · · Score: 1

      Which army were you in?

      My experience was in the Israeli Army. I found they tended to separate people based on their IQ's, physical readiness (things like asthma, congenitive defects, diabetes), and some random eagerness rating. Mostly they only paid attention to the first two.

      I eventually wound up in a rather peculiar combat unit. So, I cant talk about all the combat units there, but, in my unit, basically everyone had to try to get there. Our service itself sucked (8/8 guard duty), but had to be done.

    29. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He "accidentally" clipped one of the cable-car lines, which freed the gondola to the effects of gravity, and caused all 20 people aboard to fall some 260 ft to their deaths.

      And after landing his plane he also destroyed the video-tape of the flight. Which costed him 4,5 months in prison, and saved him a conviction for manslaughter of 20...
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cavalese_cable-car_disaster

    30. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Jack_of_Shadow · · Score: 1

      It must be nice to sit back on your ass and judge others while being completely unwilling to defend the very freedoms that make your complaints possible (with getting sent to some gulag) I wouldn't brag about the level of cowardice/complacency that lead you to not be willing to fight for your country, regardless of which country it is mate. Or did you mean that comment as Patton meant when he said he didn't want soldiers to die for their country, he wanted them to make the enemy die for theirs? (my paraphrase) An ex-Soldier.

      --
      My not responding to your flame is in no way indicative of my submission to your statement, it just means I don't have t
    31. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by HeadlessNotAHorseman · · Score: 1

      The pilot and co-pilot of the cable-car-crashers got away with it too - they were found guilty of obstruction of justice because they destroyed some evidence, but didn't get into any trouble for killing 20 people.

      --
      I like my coffee the way I like my women - roasted and ground up into little tiny pieces.
    32. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I meant it like I said it.

      I've spent a share of my time in the military. I was going in with as much patriotism and as much spirit as one can. It was quickly broken and destroyed. By the people aforementioned.

      It kinda breaks you when you notice that your superiors see the army just as a cheap way to get rich comfortably, the same people who are supposed to lead you into battle being cowards who dive for cover under their desks when a car has a spark failure or when they hear someone coming back from a patrol unload their gun hot.

      There are fine people in the military, no doubt. But what I've learned is that too many go there for three reasons: An easy job that doesn't require too much brains to get neat money, having power over people and because they get to use equipment they couldn't even see normally.

      When I got in, I was prepared to spend my life there. After a month, I was spending my life to get out.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    33. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Jack_of_Shadow · · Score: 1

      I was in the 10th Mountain, our officers were the real deal, sure some were ring knockers but most were what they call Mavericks in the Navy. Nothing like what you describe. If I wasn't fucked in the knees and too old, I would go back in in a heartbeat just to take the place of some young 18 year old so they wouldn't have to go. Call me what you will.

      --
      My not responding to your flame is in no way indicative of my submission to your statement, it just means I don't have t
    34. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      You were lucky. I was not. Maybe it also depends on the nation you're serving for.

      It's also a sad fact that, actually due to such people, our army has a quite negative image. There's a saying that, translated, goes akin to "If you're too lazy for a job, go to the post office. If you don't qualify because you can't read, join the police. If you're even too dumb for that test, join the army."

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    35. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Jack_of_Shadow · · Score: 1

      Perhaps, I served in the United States Army, my IQ is 149, I am a member of Mensa. I am now a physicist, I used the GI Bill to get my University education. I was an enlisted soldier in the 10th Mountain Division, and while I got put out for ruining my knees as a soldier, I would go back again right now. I guess every country treats their soldiers differently. I know in my country it goes back and forth how we treat our soldiers, after Vietnam there was a huge backlash against those that denigrated them. Many people from backgrounds of money seem to think that soldiers are inferior in some way, but then again, many go into the service any way. Honor, Commitment to a cause bigger than yourself, Duty, these are laudable characteristics for any citizen who takes personal responsibility for not only themselves but their country. Britt... Sometimes the things that may or may not be true are the things a man needs to believe in the most. That people are basically good; that honor, courage, and virtue mean everything; that power and money, money and power mean nothing; that good always triumphs over evil; and I want you to remember this, that love...true love...never dies. You remember that, boy. You remember that. Doesn't matter if it's true or not. You see, a man should believe in those things, because those are the things worth believing in

      --
      My not responding to your flame is in no way indicative of my submission to your statement, it just means I don't have t
    36. Re:Drafting isn't egalitarian. by Cally · · Score: 1

      Your comment "Blackwater are... psychopathic mercenary scum" was corrupted in transit and appeared as "...dedicated warriors". Dang those cosmic rays.

      --
      "None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free." -- Goethe
  21. Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by jollyreaper · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Our fleet hasn't seen real naval combat since WWII. Anti-ship missiles are incredibly lethal and it costs far more to defend against them than it does to fire them. It will only take a few hits to ruin the day for any American task force. Sure, start a war with Iran. After the first carrier takes a hit that knocks it out of action for a two year repair, our fleets will be kept so far out at sea that their tactical usefulness will be zero. Score one for the Iranians.

    The whole concept of the super-carrier is very vulnerable at this point given the kinds of weapons available to potnetial hostiles. The only reason why they persist with such glowing reputations is that they have not been put to the test in battle, their vulnerabilities not made clear. In this case they are like the battleships of WWII, or possibly more apt, the battle-cruisers. The battle-cruisers were up-gunned so they could fight with the big boys but they lacked the armor to stay in the fight. Very expensive viking funerals, they were.

    The only development that will save the carrier is if active defenses can be improved to the point that nothing but nothing will get through the wall of fire. As it stands, our current ships are simply not survivable. Frigates and destroyers will get goatse'd if hit by a serious cruise missile. The torps out there these days can break a ship in two. The Russians, of course, designed torps that were supposed to be able to bust a carrier's keel in one hit.

    Our whole military aparatus is still stuck in the 20th century and is still trying to bring forward concepts that saw their genesis back in the Cold War. It's going to take a serious kicking of our collective asses to force the Pentagon to reevaluate our military and put together something that's realistic and sane. But I'm not sure how big of an ass-kicking it'll take. We're getting a good one in Iraq and the lessons don't seem to be sinking in.

    --
    Kwisatz Haderach
    Sell the spice to CHOAM
    This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    1. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by badboy_tw2002 · · Score: 1

      Why would would we use carriers to fight Iran when our new Iraqian allies will give us a nice big base for free? Plus all the oil we need to fly planes out of it. Maybe someone has already thought along your lines and decided the next best thing to a carrier parked outside your door was a hostile country parked outside your door.

    2. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by jollyreaper · · Score: 1

      Why would would we use carriers to fight Iran when our new Iraqian allies will give us a nice big base for free? Plus all the oil we need to fly planes out of it. Maybe someone has already thought along your lines and decided the next best thing to a carrier parked outside your door was a hostile country parked outside your door. Interesting. And how does that seem to be working out for us?
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    3. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by badboy_tw2002 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Well, we have the airport, but the security lines are a bitch :)

    4. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by homer_ca · · Score: 1

      Political considerations. Launching air strikes from a land base in Iraq would shred any remaining fig leaf of Iraqi sovereignty. Launching from sea means never having to ask permission from (or risk embarrassment to) the host country of the land base.

    5. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Our whole military aparatus is still stuck in the 20th century and is still trying to bring forward concepts that saw their genesis back in the Cold War.

      The Navy is the worst, though. Read "Skunkworks". Ben Rich gets the brilliant idea to use their stealth technology to build a stealth boat (the one in the Bond movie looked very much like it). His boss/mentor Kelly Johnson tried to warn him away from dealing with the Navy, but he persisted. After being dragged out for ages, the Navy never did commit to buying anything -- they wouldn't buy anything that didn't "look like a battleship".

    6. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by rahvin112 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Carrier's don't float alone. Don't underestimate the knowledge and abilities of the USN. The US played cat and mouse with the soviets for 30 years. It just means the USN is going to start playing cat and mouse with the Chinese now that their sub-tactics are improving. Chances are they were trying to surface to see if they could surface for a strike and re-submerge without being detected. In fact it would surprise me if there was a Los Angelos class sitting behind the Chinese when they did it. If not the Los Angeles class sub's will be getting their cat-n-mouse time with the Chinese in the near future.

      The USN is well aware of supersonic attack missiles and torpedoes, it's the entire reason that AEGIS exists and has the ability to track and fire on 100's of incoming targets simultaneously from every vessel in the fleet. The first principle of carrier doctrine is that carriers are huge slow moving targets, but they are also huge slow moving targets with 20 support ships and hundreds of aircraft aboard. For example, in a conflict with Iran the carriers aren't going to start the conflict while in the gulf, it will start with them outside the limits of the Iranians weapons while they bomb the living hell out of every defensive emplacement within 100 miles of coast. Then you move the carrier groupings in further so the aircraft can strike further. The carrier isn't there to sail up to the coast so the sailors can fire their machine gun at the ground or so the destroyers can fire their 12" guns, the carrier exists to support the aircraft which are the extension of the carrier's power (and that range is in the 100's of miles). I don't think you would dare argue that the Iranian's air defenses could withstand full assault by modern warplanes. Iraq had the best air defenses outside Russia in '91 (with the best systems the Russians sold) and it was picked clean in less than 100 days.

      The same is true of submarines, even diesels, given modern anti-sub warfare the Chinese wouldn't approach a carrier let alone fire on one, active sensors would be well outside the limits of the grouping actively pinging such that a yellowfin couldn't sneak up on the grouping. And no submarine can actively defend against helicopter based torpedoes and active floating sensors (except for sitting on the bottom next to something that conceals their shape), and fortunately the USN is smart enough to keep a couple anti-sub ships with two helicopters each and a hold full of sensors in every grouping. In the event of a conflict there would be a sensor net all the way from the Philippines to Alaska that would track every submarine in the water.

    7. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by mr100percent · · Score: 1

      The Iraqi government passed a popular law saying that they are not allowed to cooperate with any country that is attacking its neighbors, nor allow them to use Iraqi airspace to do so.

    8. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by c6gunner · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's going to take a serious kicking of our collective asses to force the Pentagon to reevaluate our military and put together something that's realistic and sane. But I'm not sure how big of an ass-kicking it'll take. We're getting a good one in Iraq and the lessons don't seem to be sinking in.
      That's a joke, right? The entire death toll in Iraq is less than the number of allied lives lost on any one day of major offencive ops in WW2. You lost 3 times as many soldier in one year of operations in Vietnam as you did in 4 years of ops in Iraq. Even Korea cost you 30,000+. I'm not sure where you get the idea that Iraq has given you "a good ass kicking", but you couldn't be more silly if you tried.
    9. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by udowish · · Score: 1

      Well said, that being said, there is no real effective way to stop a torpedo, once fired a huge sitting duck like a carrier is doomed. Combined with some super fancy torps like the "super-cavitating" torpedo and your write, one shot one kill. 1 million dollar torp sinks about 20 billion in assets. The hole name of the game in carrier protection is don't let the shot off, not one. If anything gets close enough to fire a torp, or just about any modern anti-ship missile it's game over. My guess is thats what REALLY got under the US Navy with this china sub... Good old diesel - electric...the most silent sub ever made.

      --
      when in doubt press enter and we'll figure it out later..
    10. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Forget torpedeos and anti ship missiles, its a big ocean and a slow trip, 1 cold war era ICBM = toast, dont even have to leave home.

    11. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by codepunk · · Score: 1

      Don't forget the P-3 Orions carrying MAD (Magnetic Anomaly Detection), that big steel hull stands out like a bulls eye.

      --


      Got Code?
    12. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Jubedgy · · Score: 1

      Doom and gloom put out by main stream media. Notice how violence has dropped off to the lowest level in 21 months or so and it's not getting reported as much as when car bombs are going off.

      --
      Si hoc legere scis nimium eruditionis hebes
    13. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      u seem over confident. consider that us army keep shooting britain n canadian planes/troops it'd be funny to see everyone pinging each other with active sonar and suddenly shooting each other.. oh and throw in the japanese fleet. great fireworks.

    14. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's going to take a wake-up call of small but giant proportions. This Chinese sub is a good one, only they didn't open fire.

      But what if they had? Nothing the carrier could have done to stop them.

      So what it will take is an opposing force able to break through the carrier task force, practically land on the flight deck and proceed to destroy everything in sight, while a bunch of stunned sailors and airmen stand around gawking as they get killed. It sounds like something out of a Transformers movie, but I think that sort of "Oh Shi" moment is what it will take.

      Please note that this is the same tactic used by the Kamikaze 50 years ago. Get in, get close, get inside the lines, and kill the target. Really simple stuff, really. Hit the enemy where they think they cannot be hit. Chances are they haven't actually got a backup plan anyway. Once you wound them unexpectedly, confusion will wipe out their remaining combat effectiveness or at least degrade it nicely.

    15. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by warrigal · · Score: 1

      Anti-ship missiles indeed. In the Falklands War one Exocet anti-ship missile took out the HMS Sheffield. Completely.
      Mind you, the ship was mostly aluminium (so it burned) and was regarded as a "throw away" asset.

    16. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by GreyWolf3000 · · Score: 1

      There are two types of liberals, the ones who genuinely see the world through certain, familiar lens, and the ones who just follow the first type. The major impact of the Bush Administration on the Left seems to have been to bring out the latter type more than the former. The Left in America needs to do a better job of analyzing the situation critically and spend less time figuring out ways to attack the Right.

      Of course, an even better alternative would be to abandon the whole two-party duopoly in the first place, but I wish for too much.

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      Slashdot: Where people pretend to be twice as smart as they really are by behaving like children.
    17. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Michael+Snoswell · · Score: 1

      Times have moved on from WW2 and Vietnam.

      Losing even 100 people is a major embarrassment but I think more than 500 or so is a real "ass kicking". How many US military killed in Iraq so far? How many civilians?

      From where the rest of the world sits (ie, not in the US) it's a absolutely thorough ass kicking.

      --
      pithy comment
    18. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      The Left in America needs to do a better job of analyzing the situation critically and spend less time figuring out ways to attack the Right.


      Never...going...to...happen!

      Notice how all the 08 Democrat presidential candidates slam Bush every chance they get? I must have missed the memo, because last I checked, Bush wont even be on the ballot this time around.
      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    19. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by SharpFang · · Score: 1


      You still assume that:
      1) You will keep pushing enemy back, leaving only allied forces and scorched earth behind you.
      (if that was true, you'd long be home from Iraq)
      2) The enemy won't strike back, and if they strike, they won't get through your defenses.
      (they will.)
      3) That the enemy, if they strike, will strike from the front line which is some 100 miles away from your vulnerable positions
      (no, they can safely lay in wait, let the front line move and then strike from behind)
      4) If you deal damage high enough, the enemy won't have resources to attack
      (it takes really little of resources to get the target the size of the carrier destroyed, once you have a sure shot.)

      Put several automated torpedo launchers on the bottom of the sea where you expect the carriers to appear. Say, vicinity of the entrance to the gulf. They will look about the same as junk - sunken ships etc. They are much cheaper and easier to make than submarines so the country may easily place hundreds of them. They won't be activated until the carrier is well within range. Then they can shoot torpedos straight up into the hull, maybe 200-500m away.

      The other ships will have barely enough time to say "Oh shit". The planes will be totally useless. The carrier could try launching decoys - good luck decoying something that big. Or they could try some active defences - but they would need some 10-20s to get to the torpedo, and the game will be over in 5s.

      --
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    20. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by kcbrown · · Score: 1

      It's going to take a serious kicking of our collective asses to force the Pentagon to reevaluate our military and put together something that's realistic and sane. But I'm not sure how big of an ass-kicking it'll take. We're getting a good one in Iraq and the lessons don't seem to be sinking in.

      That's a joke, right? The entire death toll in Iraq is less than the number of allied lives lost on any one day of major offencive ops in WW2. You lost 3 times as many soldier in one year of operations in Vietnam as you did in 4 years of ops in Iraq. Even Korea cost you 30,000+. I'm not sure where you get the idea that Iraq has given you "a good ass kicking", but you couldn't be more silly if you tried.

      That's exactly right.

      I don't know what morons convinced some of you people otherwise, but the goings on in Iraq are nothing more than a nuisance. We're still there and we're not going anywhere unless we decide to, and that's despite the best their resistance can throw at us. I can't think of a clearer win on our part short of total surrender and cessation of hostilities on their part.

      Iraq is a clear example of how even a reasonably well-armed (for a civilian force) insurgency will find it nearly impossible to forcibly overthrow a truly well-armed occupying force, much less a sitting government. The insurgency there is much more of a threat to the civilian population over there, which isn't a surprise: the civilian population is even more poorly armed and trained than the insurgents. Such is the nature of most civilians.

      My point is this: if a reasonably well-armed insurgency is having an essentially impossible time kicking the U.S. out of what is to the U.S. a foreign land, imagine how much harder a time it would have if it were trying to overthrow the U.S. government directly, where the resolve of the government (which translates to its willingness to use force) would be orders of magnitude higher. This is why armed insurrection in the U.S. is essentially guaranteed to fail (unless it somehow convinces the U.S. military to take its side, in which case there's no need for it to be an armed insurrection, is there?).

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    21. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by kcbrown · · Score: 1

      I wrote:

      I can't think of a clearer win on our part short of total surrender and cessation of hostilities on their part.

      Note that I'm talking about a military win on our part here. In reality the entire Iraq occupation has been nothing short of a pointless, wasteful disaster, but not from a military perspective, nor from the perspective of the government.

      Oh, wait, I'm not allowed to disagree with the government. I forgot. I meant to say that Iraq has been a complete and total success, and a wonderful illustration of the sheer brilliance of our leadership today!

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    22. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      No, Michael, "times" have not "moved on". Only your own personal perceptions have changed, and this is due to two reasons:

      1) You find it politically convenient to be able to state that the US is getting it's ass kicked. Those opposed to a certain group or action will always find a way to criticize it, and will see it's defeat in every minor stumble.

      2) The US has gotten so goddamn GOOD at kicking ass that nobody is able to do much damage to them any more. It's as if a martial arts pro had gotten so good at kicking the shit out of his opponents that he now gets criticized every time he's a little too slow with a block or a punch.

      It has nothing to do with "the times", Michael, and everything to do with the wilful ignorance of individuals who want to see the failure of US foreign policy.

    23. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Don't worry, I understood the distinction even before you explained it :)

      Why wouldn't you be allowed to disagree with the government, though? you're obviously being sarcastic, but I don't understand why....

    24. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Carriers still have their place. They make an excellent mobile plane launching platform, for intimidation of smaller states, states without serious navies or airforces or funds, etc.

      Of course they're going to get p0wn3d against a serious enemy, like Russia or China. But that's not the point. If a full scale war flares up between nations like that, whether or not your boats a-float is pretty much the least of your concerns...

    25. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by kcbrown · · Score: 1

      Why wouldn't you be allowed to disagree with the government, though? you're obviously being sarcastic, but I don't understand why....

      I said it more for laughs than anything else, but basically, the U.S. executive branch can now (among other police-state-like things) declare anyone they wish, citizen or no, an "enemy combatant" and throw them into a deep dark hole where not even their lawyer can get at them. And they apparently have done so on at least one occasion, from what I understand.

      These days, the reason people can disagree with the government and get away with it is that their disagreement doesn't actually matter because it doesn't have the power to change anything. If that situation changes for someone (that is, if someone who vocally disagrees with the government manages to do so in such a way that it adversely affects those in power), I expect the executive branch will then take advantage of their newly-declared power.

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    26. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Zelos · · Score: 1

      IIRC, the experience of the Falklands led to major changes in ship anti-missile defence (CIWS etc.)

    27. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HMS_Sheffield_(D80)

      "The sinking of the Sheffield is sometimes blamed on a superstructure made wholly or partially from aluminium, the melting point and ignition temperature of which are significantly lower than those of steel. However, this is incorrect as the Sheffield's superstructure was made entirely of steel[4]"

    28. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by securityfolk · · Score: 1

      You're right - in this case, the US played mouse, and the Chinese played cat. I can just imagine the chuckling in the Chinese sub as they listened to the US transmissions on the surface... "Hey hey - Lao - check this out - I'm gonna surface right next to them! Get the camera! "

    29. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "NOT an American", c6gunner? Well, you may not be, but you're definitely a wannabe. "Goddamn" ?

      And your poor grammar (it's / its) tends to rule out any sort of British education. But then yours could just be substandard.

      Like your right-wing "might-is-right" mindset.

      And as for the original post, c6gunner, times have indeed moved on. Try it yourself sometime.

    30. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Joey+Vegetables · · Score: 1

      But you're assuming that potential enemy weapons would have limited range and/or limited numbers. So we can reliably shoot down 100 Sunburn or comparable ballistic missiles, with almost no chance of even a single getting through? They're cheap. Iran has hundreds but could probably afford thousands. They don't need much payload; the momentum alone will create a significant and potentially decisive impact. Think you can take out all the launch sites in advance? You need to know about them first. They'll probably be concealed in urban areas. Willing to nuke a major city full of civilians? That may well be what it would take (and if the U.S. does that I hope the rest of the world retaliates in kind, because if we allow that, we deserve it.)

      Fundamentally, you still have the problem that while any particular missile may have a small chance of reaching the target, the law of averages says that by firing enough of them an opposing force WILL eventually get some through. And then you're screwed. Your assumptions (and mine) are likely to be tested in the near future, and I suspect the result will be a MAJOR re-evaluation of the role of carriers in conflicts of greater than low intensity.

    31. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by jollyreaper · · Score: 1

      Carrier's don't float alone. Don't underestimate the knowledge and abilities of the USN. The US played cat and mouse with the soviets for 30 years. It just means the USN is going to start playing cat and mouse with the Chinese now that their sub-tactics are improving. Chances are they were trying to surface to see if they could surface for a strike and re-submerge without being detected. In fact it would surprise me if there was a Los Angelos class sitting behind the Chinese when they did it. If not the Los Angeles class sub's will be getting their cat-n-mouse time with the Chinese in the near future.

      The USN is well aware of supersonic attack missiles and torpedoes, it's the entire reason that AEGIS exists and has the ability to track and fire on 100's of incoming targets simultaneously from every vessel in the fleet. The first principle of carrier doctrine is that carriers are huge slow moving targets, but they are also huge slow moving targets with 20 support ships and hundreds of aircraft aboard. For example, in a conflict with Iran the carriers aren't going to start the conflict while in the gulf, it will Right, I understand what you're saying. This is official USN dogma. My only question: will everything really work as effectively as we've been told? I ask this because we're posting in an article about a Chinese sub sneaking into an active USN exercise without being noticed. When militaries have stumbled across a very effective weapon or set of tactics, the assumption tends to be that they're undefeatable and that assumption remains until defeat occurs. The truism used to be that heavy calvary was the king of the battlefield and no force of men could stand against it but then some bastard goes along and invents the pike. And then there's the French. Back in the middle ages, they got whooped by English knights fighting defensively on foot. The French did not realize that being on foot conferred and advantage because more swordsmen could be packed per square foot making the line more deadly. They took to the notion that being dismounted was the advantage and in subsequent battles sent their knights forward to attack on foot.

      The only other example I'm going to bring up right now, look at the pre-war RAF tactics vs. what they developed during actual combat in WWII. Pre-war flying doctrine was beautiful, impressive, parade-ground snappy, and completely ineffective. But that was what was written in the book and a lot of squadron leaders got people killed sticking to that book. Given the hidebound tradition of the British military, there really was no way possible to revise such ineffective tactics until bloody proof was presented in real combat. If WWII never occurred, I'm sure the Brits would have stuck with the useless tactics until they finally did find another shooting war.

      So, are our defenses every bit as good as we've been lead to believe or are we setting ourselves up for a nasty encounter with cold reality?
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    32. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by jollyreaper · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That's a joke, right? The entire death toll in Iraq is less than the number of allied lives lost on any one day of major offencive ops in WW2. You lost 3 times as many soldier in one year of operations in Vietnam as you did in 4 years of ops in Iraq. Even Korea cost you 30,000+. I'm not sure where you get the idea that Iraq has given you "a good ass kicking", but you couldn't be more silly if you tried. Since when is the number of lives lost the sole measure of a military defeat? If you intended to defend a town and the enemy gets there a few days before you, you lost the battle without losing a single man.

      But with specific regards to Iraq, this is going to be one of the most expensive wars we ever fought in, certainly in treasure if not in lives. It has ruined our international standing, alienated allies, inflamed arab anger against us, and even more importantly, it's made our military look incompetent. That's deadly because it makes them into less of a deterrent. The IDF was one of the most feared fighting forces on the planet and yet they got their asses handed to them by Hezbollah. That's greatly increased Hezbollah's standing which should make fund-raising and recruitment easier, and it has also banished the myth that the Israelis are undefeatable on the battlefield. It shows that with good command and control, even they can be defeated.

      But back to the particulars about Iraq, we're losing a lot of junior officers, disillusioned with the military and the war. It took a solid decade after Vietnam to put the Army back together. How long will it take to recover after this war? How long will it take to relearn the institutional knowledge that gets lost when the smart and capable retire without passing it on?

      We don't have to lose an entire army in Stalingrad for this war to be seen as a horrific defeat for the American military.
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    33. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by jollyreaper · · Score: 1

      Well said, that being said, there is no real effective way to stop a torpedo, once fired a huge sitting duck like a carrier is doomed. Combined with some super fancy torps like the "super-cavitating" torpedo and your write, one shot one kill. 1 million dollar torp sinks about 20 billion in assets. The hole name of the game in carrier protection is don't let the shot off, not one. If anything gets close enough to fire a torp, or just about any modern anti-ship missile it's game over. My guess is thats what REALLY got under the US Navy with this china sub... Good old diesel - electric...the most silent sub ever made. I never understood why torps could not be intercepted. They make so much noise, they're as stealthy as a bull moose in heat. Why not use little lightweight torps designed to home on that racket? Have them in ready tubes on the side of the ship, fire when the incoming torp is on the terminal run. Explode nearby, bye-bye torp. If we can do it with missiles traveling at supersonic speeds, should we not be able to do it with torpedoes?

      And if that idea was stupid, here's another one: we already have modern version of hedgehog depth charge projectors from WWII. When fired, they lay down a pattern of charges that should destroy any sub in range. Why not use something like this to lay down a screen in front of the incoming torp? We have actuators and computers fast enough to turn the launcher. Let's say the torp is coming in from port at a 90 degree angle. Ok, the launcher fires and lays down a strip of twenty charges along the projected course of the torp. The charges explode as the torp passes by, at least one of them should destroy it. The only defense against this would be to run the torp very, very deep and only have it pop up to hit the target once it was almost directly beneath.

      I just don't understand why anti-torp defenses seem to be stuck in WWII when we can do so much more vs. planes and missiles.
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    34. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Ereth · · Score: 1

      (Sigh). After the Falklands War, that was the cry. The Argentinans fired an Exocet, the British lost a ship. Seemed like simple math. A $3000 missile can take out a multi-million dollar ship.

      Alas, it's based on flawed data. The British don't armor their ships. America does. Several years later, the USS Stark took TWO Exocet missiles and came home. Yes, there was a loss of life (minimal though it was), but the ship didn't sink. She navigated across the Atlantic and returned to Jacksonville, FL for repairs.

      The reason ASW is so poor is that we stopped doing it after the Cold War. The Soviets left their subs home and nobody else had any of note. Those of us who knew how to chase submarines (and I'm a former AW, from VP-16) got out or retired and the guys flying today are doing reconnaissance missions, not ASW.

      If you don't practice, you don't remain skilled. Many of my friends have been crying for years that the Navy was going to lose all their ASW expertise and that some day it would bite them in the butt. But everyone kept crying "peace dividend" and we stopped doing ASW.

      We never learn. We repeat this mistake after every war. We stand down the military and let all the people who have the necessary skills leave, and then when the next one starts, we have to start from scratch to reinvent the wheel. ASW is, alas, no exception.

    35. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually these large ships you're talking about are very well armed and effective at defending against anti-ship missles. You should do some research before you open your pie-hole.

    36. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      A coworker recently ranted about Cheney, and how he [Cheney allegedly] got a covert operative murdered. It took me a while to realize he was talking about Valerie Plame. Luckily, he's a reasonable guy and just had been fed the wrong facts, like for instance: Valerie's alive and well, and was never a covert operative. He calmed down a little once he knew, but it shows that he didn't bother to listen to both sides' talking heads to get a clear view.

    37. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Since when is the number of lives lost the sole measure of a military defeat?
      This would be a valid point...IF you could show that the US military failed in some other way. Unfortunately, you only follow it up with this:

      But with specific regards to Iraq, this is going to be one of the most expensive wars we ever fought in, certainly in treasure if not in lives. It has ruined our international standing, alienated allies, inflamed arab anger against us, and even more importantly, it's made our military look incompetent.

      Half of which is flat out wrong, and all of which is irrelevant when it comes to whether or not the US has gotten "a serious ass kicking" in Iraq.

      Now, I especially took exception to that last bit about the war making the US military look inept. I was even going to take the time to explain to you that your flawed perceptions are not what military analysts, intelligence officers, and political leaders see when they look at the Iraq war. But then you followed it up with the following:

      The IDF was one of the most feared fighting forces on the planet and yet they got their asses handed to them by Hezbollah.

      Which tells me that you're truly living in a world of your own. You've invented some deranged reality where western nations are always the losers regardless of how few casualties they take, how many enemy they kill, or how many objectives they accomplish, and nothing that I or anyone else says to you will change your mind. Which is fine. You're certainly not in a position to make policy, nor are you employed in any sort of intelligence-related field, so your views on the war are quite irrelevant, and are certainly not worth wasting my time debating.

      If you want some historical perspective, go read up on the Soviet invasion and occupation of Afghanistan.
    38. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by jafac · · Score: 1

      I don't know, the report came out today that my family of four is now on the hook (in debt) for $20,000 for this little war; and all we really have to show for it, economically speaking, is $100/bbl oil, that is being paid to the very people who funded 9/11 to begin with (Saudis).

      We may be "winning" the body-count. But in terms of global influence lost, and preserving our traditional values, we've basically whooped our own asses. What's the plan? Inflate our way out of debt? Borrow our way to prosperity? Yeah, that worked so well for Weimar-Germany.

      So glad George got me that $300 check in 2000. That really made a big difference.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    39. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by jollyreaper · · Score: 1

      (Sigh). After the Falklands War, that was the cry. The Argentinans fired an Exocet, the British lost a ship. Seemed like simple math. A $3000 missile can take out a multi-million dollar ship.

      Well, we don't really have a terribly large library to draw on for missile hits, most of the missiles used have been against small targets like corvettes or civilian ships like freighters and tankers. I believe this is still true, the only surface combatant ever sunk in battle by a nuclear sub was the General Belgrado or whatever they called it, the obsolescent battleship the Argentines operated during that war.

      Alas, it's based on flawed data. The British don't armor their ships. America does. Several years later, the USS Stark took TWO Exocet missiles and came home. Yes, there was a loss of life (minimal though it was), but the ship didn't sink. She navigated across the Atlantic and returned to Jacksonville, FL for repairs.

      One of the warheads failed to explode in that incident. As it stands, the Stark was mission-killed. This was not the sort of damage the ship could sustain and remain on station.

      As for armoring, everything I've read makes a point out of how the US Navy saw armoring as a waste of time in the age of nuclear weapons. That's why such a premium was placed on active defenses, knocking the weapons out of the sky before they ever got close enough to detonate. The assumption was if the system was good enough to take out nuclear-tipped cruise missiles, we could rely on the same for conventional warheads. Their thinking was it seemed silly to accept that there would be leakers and armor for conventional warheads when any nuclear one that leaked through would obliterate the ship. The same people huffing about this also complain that aside from carriers, the US Navy is still just a frigate navy. The Ticos are considered cruisers but are mainly ASW and anti-air, escorts for the carriers. They are not meant to operate independently.

      The whole argument about big ship vs. small ship has gone back and forth for years. Back in the age of sail, the damage caused by cannon could be modeled as a straight-line function, small pulses of minimal damage that over time would lead to the loss of a ship. Given that reality, the logic was that the ship with the most guns would always win the day. When you introduce torpedoes into the mix, suddenly a frickin' motorboat could threaten a battleship and that got everyone's panties in a wad. Guided missiles still carry that same disproportionate ability to deal damage. So today the thinking goes that when talking fleet combat, your main concern is how many missile shots your force can carry. Divide them amongst many smaller ships and you are less likely to lose a lot of punch at the loss of a single large ship. But then the quesiton is raised over whether a dispersed force would be easier to detect and attack one by one, is there any advantage to grouping for defensive firepower? And all of these questions depend on how good the weapons are and whether any counter-measures have been developed.

      The reason ASW is so poor is that we stopped doing it after the Cold War. The Soviets left their subs home and nobody else had any of note. Those of us who knew how to chase submarines (and I'm a former AW, from VP-16) got out or retired and the guys flying today are doing reconnaissance missions, not ASW.

      Yup. I'm absolutely dumbfounded at the changes taking place on the carrier deck these days. It sounds like the only planes that are going to be left are Hawkeyes, Hornet varients, and that F-35 dealie. Astounding.

      If you don't practice, you don't remain skilled. Many of my friends have been crying for years that the Navy was going to lose all their ASW expertise and that some day it would bite them in the butt. But everyone kept crying "peace dividend" and we stopped doing ASW.

      My money has always been on the threat coming from smarter cruise missile-type weapons, the kind of thing w

      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    40. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      No, that's not what the report said. The "1.7 trillion" is basically an attempt at generating more fear and outrage by combining every conceivable way that the war may have impacted the economy, such as increase in oil cost, disability payouts, future maintenance costs, "loss" of income by national guardsmen, etc, etc. I'm sure they probably threw the cost of global warming increase in there somewhere too, along with the cost for counselling hippies who have been traumatized by excessive exposure to the evil Bushitler.

      Add to that the fact that no one's bothered subtracting from that the positive results of the war (increased level of preparedness for the military, basic operating costs which would have been spent anyway, not having to continue imposing sanctions on Iraq, etc, etc) and you invariably come to the conclusion that the figures put forward are utterly meaningless, and meant only to appeal to the simple-minded and those who already oppose the war.

      And, of course, the true value of a war cannot be measured in monetary figures anyway.

      But other than that....good post!

    41. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Can you substantiate that? Last I checked, the bill in question only applied to non-citizens. I'd be interested in knowing whether that's changed.

    42. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by kcbrown · · Score: 1

      Can you substantiate that? Last I checked, the bill in question only applied to non-citizens. I'd be interested in knowing whether that's changed.

      A very quick Google search shows otherwise, both with respect to bills passed and their interpretation by the courts:

      http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/09/09/AR2005090900772.html

      http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=6167856

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    43. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Interesting. The court's decision was specifically that: "Those powers include the power to detain identified and committed enemies such as Padilla, who associated with al Qaeda . . . who took up arms against this Nation in its war against these enemies, and who entered the United States for the avowed purpose of further prosecuting that war by attacking American citizens." Seeing that it's being used so selectively, and considering the amount of judicial overview that these cases are going through, I don't think you have much to worry about. But yeah, it's something worth keeping an eye on. And it seems I need to review the relevant laws, since my interpretation of the bill was a lot different.

    44. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      This would be a valid point...IF you could show that the US military failed in some other way.

      Lt. General William Odom calls the Iraq war "the greatest strategic mistake in U.S. history". So you know so much more than a 3-star general? And his view is by no means unique in the senior ranks.

    45. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by kcbrown · · Score: 1

      Seeing that it's being used so selectively, and considering the amount of judicial overview that these cases are going through, I don't think you have much to worry about.

      There are several problems with this:

      1. The "judicial overview" you refer to is being done by military tribunals. Not civilian courts. That means the people who are performing the overview answer to the executive branch. But abuse of executive power at the expense of fundamental human rights is precisely why all this is a problem to begin with.
      2. The power in question is being used very selectively right now in order to quell fears that it may be misused and to give people time to forget about the issue. But I should add that we only think that it's being used selectively and judiciously. There's no guarantee that it's being used in any such way. We simply don't know everything the executive branch is keeping secret, and such secrets could easily include the detention of people who should not be detained at all. We've already released a number of people who were wrongly detained. What in the world makes you think we released them all?
      3. The declaration of someone as an enemy combatant is accusing them of taking up arms against the government. I don't have a problem with accusing anyone of anything, as long as it's done so in accordance with the intent of the Constitution, which makes it plain that no man shall be accused and detained by the government without the right to quickly confront his accusers in a trial in front of a jury of his peers. What we're discussing here is doing away with all of that and literally allowing the executive branch to throw anyone they want to into a hole with nothing more than a show trial at most. I don't understand how or why anyone would be okay with that.

      Between all that and the current track record of the current executive administration, I think we all have every reason to be worried.

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    46. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      The "judicial overview" you refer to is being done by military tribunals.
      No, you're thinking of the actual trials themselves. When I said "judicial overview" I was referring to the civilian court proceedings which reviewed the legality of the bill, as well as reviewing individual instances of it's use. For instance, Jose Padilla's case, while being tried in military court, was reviewed by a civilian court. That's the judicial overview I was referring to.

      The power in question is being used very selectively right now in order to quell fears that it may be misused and to give people time to forget about the issue. But I should add that we only think that it's being used selectively and judiciously. There's no guarantee that it's being used in any such way. We simply don't know everything the executive branch is keeping secret, and such secrets could easily include the detention of people who should not be detained at all. We've already released a number of people who were wrongly detained. What in the world makes you think we released them all?
      That, my friend, is the road to utter paranoia. Using that sort of logic, you could make pretty much anything out to be a conspiracy. Basically, you're using lack of evidence as if it were evidence. That's like me saying that I THINK you're not a child molester, but I have no proof you're not, therefore I should treat you like a child molester. It's a ridiculous line of argument.

      What we're discussing here is doing away with all of that and literally allowing the executive branch to throw anyone they want to into a hole with nothing more than a show trial at most.
      *shrug* The government's always had that power. What in the world do you think we did with enemy prisoners during WW2? US citizens are generally afforded better treatment when it comes to such things, but any US citizen caught colluding with the Nazis would have been summarily executed within hours. In such clear-cut cases, and especially during a time of war, I've got absolutely zero concerns about bypassing the regular legal system, and we've been doing it for centuries. The constitution doesn't come into play.

      Also, I find it interesting that nobody ever bothers standing up for your soldiers, whose trials are nearly ALWAYS conducted by a military tribunal. It's ok for the defenders of your nation to be tried in military courts, but that's not good enough for those who plot to kill them?

      Between all that and the current track record of the current executive administration, I think we all have every reason to be worried.
      What track record is that? Their reluctance to use enough force in Iraq to destroy the insurgency? Their failure to abuse their newly defined powers to arrest citizens on false pretences? Their lack of an attempt to get rid of term limits and impose a never-ending republican government?

      Man, I've seen the way dictators and fascists behave. The republicans are more reminiscent of big burly mommas boys than any sort of evil regime. They hold a shitload of power, but are too whipped to ever really abuse it. Sure, they'll try to do it once in a while, but as soon as news of it hits the papers they immediately become submissive, start apologizing, and try to hide. It's embarrassing, really. It's like that buddy everyone has who acts tough and macho 24/7, but goes running home as soon as his wife calls, and lets her walk all over him. You gotta feel sorry for them.
    47. Re:Carriers, so big, so beautiful, so dead by kcbrown · · Score: 1

      No, you're thinking of the actual trials themselves. When I said "judicial overview" I was referring to the civilian court proceedings which reviewed the legality of the bill, as well as reviewing individual instances of it's use. For instance, Jose Padilla's case, while being tried in military court, was reviewed by a civilian court. That's the judicial overview I was referring to.

      Ah, okay. Well, that kind of judicial oversight that all U.S. citizens get when accused of being an "enemy combatant" is certainly better than nothing, but it's still a blatant violation of the Constitution, which explicitly states that if you're accused of a crime, you get to challenge the accusation in a court of law in front of a jury of your peers.

      That, my friend, is the road to utter paranoia. Using that sort of logic, you could make pretty much anything out to be a conspiracy. Basically, you're using lack of evidence as if it were evidence.

      In the absence of anything else, yes, you're absolutely right. But the suspicions of wrongdoing in secrecy have a solid foundation, namely the wrongdoing on the part of the administration which has been revealed thus far.

      The suspicions I have regarding what this administration does in secret are mere extensions of those things that have already been revealed about this administration, some of which the administration previously tried to keep secret.

      Not all instances of absence of evidence are the same.

      *shrug* The government's always had that power. What in the world do you think we did with enemy prisoners during WW2? US citizens are generally afforded better treatment when it comes to such things, but any US citizen caught colluding with the Nazis would have been summarily executed within hours. In such clear-cut cases, and especially during a time of war, I've got absolutely zero concerns about bypassing the regular legal system, and we've been doing it for centuries. The constitution doesn't come into play.

      Excuse me, but the Constitution most certainly does come into play! It's the only legal document giving legitimacy to the U.S. government at all. It's the highest law of the land. Are you suggesting that you're okay with ignoring that? With allowing the government to do whatever it pleases simply because it claims "we're at war"?? I find this most distressing and disturbing, especially coming from someone who claims to have seen the actions of tyrants up close and personal. You know where the dismissal of a defining document such as the Constitution leads, because you've been there (or so I presume from your comments).

      What track record is that?

      Blatantly lying in order to justify the unilateral invasion of another country. Seizing and holding, without access to the outside or to any judicial relief, many people. Torture. Unprecedented secrecy. Routine use of "free speech zones". Warrantless wiretapping of U.S. citizens in direct violation of the law.

      And that's just the things I happen to know about. Care to name some of the things this administration has done right? The good things this administration has done? Because from what I've seen, there really isn't anything.

      I realize that previous presidents have done distasteful things, and that many of the things the Bush administration has done have been done in the past from time to time, but at no time I'm aware of have all these things been done all at the same time.

      Perhaps for you things are fine until they really do get as bad as the totalitarian societies you have direct experience with. But I don't think it's such a good idea to be happy with going the wrong direction.

      --
      Use 'slashdot stuff' in the subject line in any email you send me if you want to get past the spam filter.
  22. Come On.... This story is over 12 months old! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is not news for nerds....or news to anyone. This story is over a year old. How does stuff like this get posted?

  23. The Clinton Legacy by tsunamiiii · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Ahhhh the Clinton Legacy does just fine even without Hillary. Thanks for selling us out to the Reds Bill!!

    1. Re:The Clinton Legacy by ScrewMaster · · Score: 0, Troll

      I remember one of the cuts Clinton tried to make (or maybe did, I didn't follow it up) was the Navy engineering group responsible for designing silent valves, for use on nuclear submarines. Good call there, Bill. So far as our military is concerned, Clinton doesn't get half the bad rap he deserves, frankly. Not that George Bush is even the slightest bit of an improvement. How we ended up with two such useless people being granted the title of Commander in Chief is beyond me.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    2. Re:The Clinton Legacy by mOdQuArK! · · Score: 1

      Oh look, a "but...but...but...Clinton!"
      I haven't seen one of those in a while - how cute!

      Let's see, it's been how many years since Clinton?
      And most of those years with a cooperative Congress?

    3. Re:The Clinton Legacy by PPH · · Score: 3, Funny

      What do you mean by 'the Clinton Legacy'? Getting caught with one's pants down?

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    4. Re:The Clinton Legacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      pretty hard to fucking recover when the R&D groups are disbanded. Really, amazingly fucking hard to recover when the corporate memory is "downsized". Yes, I was there. I survived. The R&D types didn't. The political fucks though, made out like bandits, and are now in charge. That's "going to war with the army we have."

      anonymous for obvious reasons; my career won't survive much more attention from the Politically Correct.

    5. Re:The Clinton Legacy by NeverVotedBush · · Score: 0, Troll

      I agree 100%. Bill Clinton wasted his 8 years. He could have done good but he didn't. He partied and got his little sub sucked. George is just as bad and even worse. We're talking 16 years of the worst presidents this country has ever seen. I don't know how we will survive them. And pray Hillary doesn't win. We might as well all go shoot ourselves if that happens.

    6. Re:The Clinton Legacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, that and doing his damnedest to gut the US military!

  24. The first time is easy... by pedantic+bore · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's not clear whether the sub actually navigated its way into the heart of the carrier group, or whether it was just sitting there waiting for the other ships to sail by. It's a cheap and easy tactic, and they could have had subs stationed along the common navigation channels or the exercise area (which is no secret) long before the exercise, just in case they got lucky and the carrier group sailed over their heads. Worked for the U-boats, still works today.

    But it's not quite so easy the second time. Were the US ships using any active sonar? It doesn't say, but my guess is they weren't, because this is a fairly provocative thing to do -- especially if you're in waters that another country is claiming are its territory. But now that the Chinese have made a provocative move of their own, they'll have the picket ships and helos pinging away and dropping sonobuoys. And it wouldn't surprise me if the Chinese subs all find themselves with a silent new shadow the next time they leave port...

    Ah, the bad old days are back again.

    --
    Am I part of the core demographic for Swedish Fish?
    1. Re:The first time is easy... by r_jensen11 · · Score: 1

      And it wouldn't surprise me if the Chinese subs all find themselves with a silent new shadow the next time they leave port...

      What makes you think that they pretty much don't already? Remember, the US isn't the only other country besides China out there with a naval fleet.

    2. Re:The first time is easy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sorry but any high ranking member the of Navy which claims they are the least bit surprised is an absolute moron and unfit for duty in any country's military.

      Simple fact is, it is fairly well documented as far back as a DECADE ago, the CIA documented the development of super quiet "shallow watter" subs. It was expected the Chinese would rapidly continue development.

      The Navy is well informed of these develops and have even changed operating procedures to avoid shallow water for DIRECT FEAR of conflict with these "shallow water" subs. Even two years ago I read articles of developments in d-subs, which area all public knowledge, which directly leak developments in advanced, silent d-sub capabilities and specifically the advancements being made by the Chinese.

      I completely agree, it's VERY probable these subs were planted, waiting for our ships to come by. Regardless, if the public has been aware of these developments for the past decade, it is IMPOSSIBLE for the Navy to be surprised in the least that they might encounter a sub which they have been briefed on for the past decade. Zero chance they were surprised.

      More than likely, this is a ploy to gain budgetary influence. Let's face it, the Army, Air Force, and the Marines have received lots and lots of research dollars. The Navy, not so much. This smells of the same ploy used to obtain funding for the F-14. The ONLY reason the F-14 was funded was so we could hope to counter a threat which Intelligence knew very were did not exist; but that's not what Congress was told. The result was one of the world's best aircraft, far more advanced than anything the Russian's had. This seems like the same thing.

      *Gasp* Oh look...one of those subs which we knew was being developed for the past decade sat silent, waiting for us to pass by and it surprised us. *wink* *wink* We surely need many billions of dollars to develop advanced detection capabilities (and other projects) or the entire Navy is lost. Congressman, don't you understand they sneaked up on us at out highest level of readiness. Are you going to be the man which shames the world's most powerful Navy at the moment it matters the most?

      I'm sorry, but this is impossible to be anything other than a political ploy.

    3. Re:The first time is easy... by pedantic+bore · · Score: 1

      You can't just follow them all the way to the docks. You need a way to catch them when they come out.

      It's a bit risky to put a put a sub close enough to the ports to give good odds of intercept without accelerating to a detectable speed. Not enough choke points, not enough deep water, not enough friends in the neighborhood...

      In contrast, most of SOSUS was installed in our figurative back yard, before the days of spy satellites, and with a lot of help from geography. We'd have a darned hard time doing something like that in the South China Sea today (unless Taiwan already has, and is willing to let us listen in) and it would be incredibly provocative.

      --
      Am I part of the core demographic for Swedish Fish?
    4. Re:The first time is easy... by DrVomact · · Score: 1

      But it's not quite so easy the second time.

      This is the second time (at least). Take a look at this article from last year: http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/11/14/world/main2179694.shtml. Clearly, there's a lot of journalistic hyperventilation going on in the current article. Nobody should have been that surprised.

      One could ask, of course, whether the sub was truly undetected. One of the objectives of this type of war gaming is to determine the capabilities of the opposing force, so it's not likely that the U.S. Navy would tell the truth, either way. If the carrier group had detected the sub, they'd keep quiet about it, and let the Chinese think what they wanted. In any case, there's nothing the carrier group could--or would have wanted--to do about the sub. We're not at war with China, and the sub had as much right to be where it was as the U.S. ships. Like Somalia, for instance.

      My guess is that it would not be that difficult for a modern electric sub to get within torpedo or missile range of a U.S.N. carrier. Carriers exist for two purposes: to provide career advancement opportunities for the naval officers who command them (you have to command a capital ship to make admiral), and to "project force"—against inconvenient third-rate powers that lack the capability to actually damage one of these very expensive ships.

      The problem with a weapon as expensive as an aircraft carrier is that one absolutely cannot afford to lose one. That means they can be employed only if the risk of using them is very close to zero. And of course, that's the point the Chinese are making: maybe you'll detect the next sub before it comes into striking range, and maybe you won't. But if you ever go to war with those carriers near the strait of Taiwan, you had better be feeling very lucky indeed. Given the present mentality of the U.S. "defense" establishment, that's a very powerful argument.

      Now consider the strait of Hormuz...

      --
      Great men are almost always bad men--Lord Acton's Corollary
  25. This is in fact how WWIII will start by michaelmalak · · Score: 1
    Aircraft carriers, the pride and joy of U.S. "force projection", are now obsolete. Russian supersonic sea-skimming missiles can take one out, and they've been selling them to China, Iran, etc.

    The threat's been building for over a decade, but now it's built up to a head where there is now a moratorium on construction of aircraft carriers.

    So here's the scenario: the U.S. and/or Israel is belligerent with Iran and/or outright attacks it. Iran fires a Sizzler missile at an aircraft carrier -- perhaps an old one like Enterprise that the U.S. sticks out in the Gulf and wants to get rid of anyway. The U.S. retaliates by nuking Iran. World War III begins.

    1. Re:This is in fact how WWIII will start by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The U.S. retaliates by nuking Iran.

      And of course, nobody in Iran foresees this outcome, because they're all a bunch of congenital dumbasses.

      <rolleyes>

    2. Re:This is in fact how WWIII will start by tjstork · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Russian supersonic sea-skimming missiles can take one out, and they've been selling them to China, Iran, etc.

      I'm not worried as much about the Sizzlers, as, theoretically, all the missile defense research we're doing suggests that we'll be able to intercept those too. air is fairly permeable to electromagnetic radiation and so we can "see" the target at least. In the ocean, its a lot worse... sound bounces all over the place, there's ghost images, light doesn't get through it. So, there's a lot more theoretical limits on detecting things under the ocean.

      Really, submarines basically mean that no single side will be able to have control of the ocean surface.. and they are the threat. The only thing I can think of is a continuously operating flight of actively pinging ASW helicopters, and, that will give away our own ships in the battle group as much as find theirs. The other thing is to have a heck of a magnetometer, but, what if the enemy sub's hull isn't made out of a magnetic material? I've heard of satellites attempting to measure the bulge in the ocean surface to find a sub... but that seems aweful dodgy if the sub is really deep.

      --
      This is my sig.
    3. Re:This is in fact how WWIII will start by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So here's the scenario: the U.S. and/or Israel is belligerent with Iran and/or outright attacks it. Iran fires a Sizzler missile at an aircraft carrier -- perhaps an old one like Enterprise that the U.S. sticks out in the Gulf and wants to get rid of anyway. The U.S. retaliates by nuking Iran. World War III begins.

      You have it right. There was no exit strategy for Iraq and it was no mistake. As a result, there is no way to avoid WWIII as far as I can see.

      This could well result in certain countries pushing their end-game buttons, resulting in massive losses in Europe and Asia and the eventual dissolution of the United States as economic and political structures around the world topple.

    4. Re:This is in fact how WWIII will start by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We'll be using radar to shoot into the ocean, and the standard phalanx compliment should be able to deal with the threat--especially if they're loaded with supercavitating sabot shells instead of the standard DU. It wouldn't surprise me to see ships retrofitted with guns designed to do specifically this in the future.

      Also, with the advent and proliferation of more sophisticated, possibly fully autonomous UAVs, the NAVY is going to be looking hard at creating a network of UAVs wich monitor the space surrounding carriers and other high value assets. UAVs with electronic surveillance kits, water piercing radar, magnetic anomaly detection equipment, etc. will be able to detect surface skimming missiles, and subs near the surface while the fleet is miles away.

    5. Re:This is in fact how WWIII will start by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The U.S. retaliates by nuking Iran.

      And of course, nobody in Iran foresees this outcome, because they're all a bunch of congenital dumbasses.


      You misspelled "religious zealots."

    6. Re:This is in fact how WWIII will start by einhverfr · · Score: 1

      You know, it is darn ironic.

      When the WTC was hit, one of my first comments about it was to note the parallels between that attack and the start of WWI.

      Of course, the world isnt the same place it was then. Instead of massive wars, you are more likely to see a sort of perpetual war as we see in US involvement in the Persian Gulf right now. Our unwillingness to consider leaving Iraq for the right reasons more or less ensures that the status quo will continue. (The right reasons are that certain branches of the Iraqi civil war are hiding behind our troops, committing attrocities, and fueling the violence, and we should not allow this to continue, even if it means pulling out until after this current government falls.)

      A more likely scenario is that no nukes are used, and instead we will see cruise missiles with conventional warheads be used against Iran in retaliation. A nuclear strike against Iran by anyone except as a response to a similar strike would be massively stupid. I have said before that Israel would not be able to survive the repercussions* of launching such an attack, and even the US, I believe, would be sorely wounded from the resulting international backlash.**

      * The single largest factor in the Israeli economy is trade relations with the EU. Last time the EU nations and companies started cancelling orders (during Sharon's Operation Defensive Shield), the Israeli economy temporarily collapsed. If such were to happen again but last for more than a few weeks, Iran wouldn't have to militarily retaliate in order to cripple Israel's ability to defend itself.
      ** The single largest factor in the US economy is the international price of oil which is largely controlled by OPEC. Most OPEC nations are in the Arab League as well.

      Also note that Iran's major game at the moment is quite simple. They know that the current administration wants to take action against them and that this may include military action. So they are doing something incredibly rational, which is to sink as many of our troops into quagmires on their borders as possible. As long as Iraq and Afghanistan are unstable, it is not clear that the US can afford to spend the effort on a third war. Yes, we have the troops, but they are all deployed on various other fronts on our quest to promote our influence, and committing them elsewhere could well mean abandoning Taiwan, South Korea, and other places (i.e at best, we have enough forces to fight one more front. If we use that carelessly, then we lose our ability to defend important strategic allies).

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    7. Re:This is in fact how WWIII will start by freedom_india · · Score: 1

      "As long as Iraq and Afghanistan are unstable, it is not clear that the US can afford to spend the effort on a third war."
      Do you seriously believe it?

      I don't and neither does most of US.

      If Bush and Cheney were given the green signal to hit iran, they would do so tomorrow.
      Since Bush considers himself a war-time president and likes to think he is Roosevelt (forget the vast difference in IQ and EQ between the two prezs), it would give him leverage to do a lot of things:
      1. Postpone elections and continue for a 3rd time (like roosevelt [not canceling]).
      2. Impose Draft to meet shortages (of course, his twins and cheney's daughters, and etc., would be excused from draft because they would all join Texas Air National Guard).
      3. Roll back FOIA and make it illegal for citizens to request ANY information from any operation that the government takes, on the premise that if you want any information, you must be a enemy combatant.
      4. Expand Gitmo and "politely ask" Cuba to grant them more land to do so...
      5. More no-bid contracts to Halliburton (that is it is positioned in Middle East)
      6. Blackwater would be paid a monthly fee of $200 million for all its services.

      Both Darth Vader and Emperor Palpatine are looking for ways to avoid this election and am 100% positive that something will happen before 2008 elections which will make Bush continue.

      Wait and Watch.

      --
      "Doing what i can, with what i have." ~ Burt Gummer
  26. Another possibility... by thesandtiger · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It's entirely possible that the Chinese subs are good enough to escape detection by our fleet, or that we didn't detect it due to user error.

    Or, perhaps, it was seen and detected all along but we're just saying it wasn't so that we don't give out an idea of what our tech is or isn't capable of.

    --
    Since I can't tell them apart, I treat all ACs as the same person.
    1. Re:Another possibility... by LarryWest42 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What!? Pretending the other side has much more effective hardware, ala the Soviet Union's illusory missile gap(s)?

      Don't you see that that would mean that Navy/DoD staff would have to go to Congress and ask for $billions more to upgrade the Navy hardware, and they would hardly have a chance to see that project underway before they'd be retiring to positions at defense contractor. Who would go for that?

      Get real.

    2. Re:Another possibility... by heinzkunz · · Score: 1

      "Or, perhaps, it was seen and detected all along but we're just saying it wasn't so that we don't give out an idea of what our tech is or isn't capable of."

      If the summary is correct, one NATO figure said the effect was "as big a shock as the Russians launching Sputnik."

  27. There are two kinds of ships.... by Lost+Penguin · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Submarines and targets.....

    --
    I am the unwilling control for my Origin.
    1. Re:There are two kinds of ships.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Submarines are boats, not ships. Like all ships, they can submerge, but only subs can surface. :D

    2. Re:There are two kinds of ships.... by Trespass · · Score: 1

      I'm sure that's what Doenitz told the crews of the VIICs in 1943 as well.

    3. Re:There are two kinds of ships.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Umm...subs aren't ships...

  28. No Surprise. by bmo · · Score: 2, Funny


    There are two kinds of seagoing vessels: submarines and targets.

    --
    BMO

  29. PR inside the USA is more important by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The minitary need to keep their internal PR machine going. The military soak up a huge amount of the US budget, yet are slipping up. They need to keep selling to the US public to keep getting funding and keeping the generals and admirals from getting fired.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:PR inside the USA is more important by Maian · · Score: 1

      It could work the other way too: military faltering => pour more money into military. If you want to be really cynical, this is Navy PR to get more money to research this "new threat".

  30. Re:Why? Why? Well, the wanted to ... by davidsyes · · Score: 5, Interesting

    "Sinnnng, Sing a song...."

    On VETERAN'S day, no less (unless it happened on the other side of the IDL...).

    "According to senior Nato officials the incident caused consternation in the U.S. Navy.

    The Americans had no idea China's fast-growing submarine fleet had reached such a level of sophistication, or that it posed such a threat.

    One Nato figure said the effect was "as big a shock as the Russians launching Sputnik" - a reference to the Soviet Union's first orbiting satellite in 1957 which marked the start of the space age."

    ----

    *I* will venture to say that "consternation" is a POLITE, GENEROUS description. The USN/DOD probably are having a major cataleptic fit. They're probably throwing chairs higher, harder and faster than Steve Ballmer, and HE already throws them faster than the speed of light...

    Of course, the USN WILL, as obliged, say some shit like, "Well, if this had been the Enterprise, or the new George H.W. Bush, with their CVN ASW/CVIS suite, this would NEVER, NEVER happen. Why, our technological sophistication by FAR outstrips anything the Reds... Umm, are we on tape? Strike that... Correction all after Reds... Chinese Navy has in its inventory. Why, Our USS Virginia and Jimmy Carter boats are quieter at FLANK, above 500 below sea level than a ANY LA SSN or follow-on boat is just sitting at the pier with recirc pumps on minimal output..."

    That may be, but you STILL got your ass embarrassed.

    But, I don't for one SECOND believe China WOULD attack. They are just saying, TAG. Here's realism for your fake-ass scenarios and drills.

    Why am I talking this way? Cuz I'm an ex Sailor, from 1984-1988, and after playing the "Terrorists" in security alerts aboard my second ship (an FFG), I grew to despise TYCOM Longbeach for the shitty scenarios we had. Sure, the "Nav" upgraded since 87, but I was still bored with and tired of officers who cheated their way into regaining control of the ship when I denied them with REALISTIC scenarios.

    Also, I don't CARE that drones COST money. You have CIWS to do a TASK, not SIMULATE. That's why the Stark was popped, cuz her CIWS was BROKE DICK, NOT performing to manufacturer's claims. My ship deployed from Long Beach, as part of the NRF in Nov 87, to the Gulf, to in-chop by some date in Jan 88, and we had SIMA, Fleet this and Fleet that and I think Norden or NavElex and a other "experts" aboard, and that fucking GE gun failed to cooperate UNTIL we we're almost done transiting the Strait of Hormuz (Silworm Alley). It woke up to our surprise. Nobody in Long Beach, Pearl, Subic, or on-board could get that goddam gun to do jack shit in defensive mode.

    I FIRMLY believe the Stark was a victim of lies all over the place. The ship's captain was a scapegoat. I believe MY ship's captain felt the same, because MANY of us in the crew donated funds to the victims and their families. Few other ships did that. I think our CO was making or allowing us to make a statement.

    I also at the time, well, around June 87 as an E-4 Radioman, but not Gunner's Mate or weapons person, told several of the GM's (who were loading the DU (depleted Uranium) rounds into the gun (they were wearing asbestos gloves, but no respirators...tsk tsk...), "This gun isn't worth shit. All the Soviets need to do is pickle our asses from high altitude with a self-guided or corrected set of bombs. They don't even need a direct hit. Just defoliate our masts and antennas. Hell, they could come from zenith and attack the CVNs, BBs and anything else IF they can break through CAP (Combat Air Patrol) for CVNs or sqwack (fake being CommAir (commercial aircraft) and close in on us."

    The Gunner's Mate, Guns (as opposed to Missiles)

    But, China's stated policy (like the US') is not to fire first. However, China recently stated to the Naval Community worldwide this:

    "China will not fire the first shot. But if a shot is fired AT us, the shooter will not fire a SECOND shot."

    THAT will keep the smugness, arrogance and cheekiness out of the rest of the navies for the foreseeable future...

    --
    Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
  31. pwned by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    lolbackdoor So, I do know that there was some recent fuckup where there was a photo of a submarine propeller, possible the chinese already copied it?

  32. An optimistic alternative by michaelmalak · · Score: 5, Interesting
    While waiting for informed responses to trickle in here, I found this on Google Groups (UseNet):

    When the incident first happened I commented that we would never know if the Chinese boat was detected and being tracked, which would provide far more intel than flushing it when first detected.

    Considering they were in international waters and responses were limited. My comment was that the telling factor would be determined by how many, if any heads rolled. The USN does not forgive such lapses without someone being sacrificed. As far as I can tell, no one has been punished. That would indicate to me that they had a solution on the Chinese boat and were gaining intel.

    We do not know why the Chinese Sub surfaced when they did. What happens below the water is rarely shared with the general public. It's entirely possible that once the Chinese got within a certain distance the American boat 'encouraged' them to surface. Just as when a fighter plane can signal it's non-hostile intents by lowering its gear, a Sub surfaces.

    If the Chinese were truly undetected they could have gained far more by staying undetected than the minor political points garnered by surfacing.

    1. Re:An optimistic alternative by mrbluze · · Score: 1

      So what we now know is that the Chinese have subs of a certain capacity. This was probably unknown to the US. Whenever there is one thing that was unknown, it is possible that the US has been missing something big. Actually, the less people think they know about eachother, the better. It's what keeps the peace.

      --
      Do it yourself, because no one else will do it yourself. [beta blockade 10-17 Feb]
    2. Re:An optimistic alternative by Fear+the+Clam · · Score: 1

      What happens below the water is rarely shared with the general public.

      Another failed slogan for Las Vegas tourism.

    3. Re:An optimistic alternative by khallow · · Score: 1

      So what we now know is that the Chinese have subs of a certain capacity. This was probably unknown to the US. Whenever there is one thing that was unknown, it is possible that the US has been missing something big. Actually, the less people think they know about eachother, the better. It's what keeps the peace.

      I doubt it. The worst situation occurs when you think you know more than you actually do. My take is that the more everyone knows about each other, the better. Most wars have been started because one or more sides in a war thought that they would do a lot better than they actually did.
    4. Re:An optimistic alternative by mrbluze · · Score: 1

      Most wars have been started because one or more sides in a war thought that they would do a lot better than they actually did. Except of course when wars have been started because the weaker party was fooled into starting a war they couldn't win.
      --
      Do it yourself, because no one else will do it yourself. [beta blockade 10-17 Feb]
    5. Re:An optimistic alternative by khallow · · Score: 1

      To add a comment here, it's very likely that the US Navy knew pretty well what the Chinese sub's capabilities were. But they assumed incorrectly that their fleet would catch a Chinese sub before it came close enough to torpedo.

    6. Re:An optimistic alternative by je+ne+sais+quoi · · Score: 1

      If the Chinese were truly undetected they could have gained far more by staying undetected than the minor political points garnered by surfacing.
      That last point is an important one. During the cold war a U.S. sub once picked up a Soviet one and trailed it all the way to the east coast. (Here's the link.) IIRC, the Soviets didn't find out about this until one of their spies told them, Hanssen maybe.
      --
      Gentlemen! You can't fight in here, this is the war room!
    7. Re:An optimistic alternative by khallow · · Score: 1

      100% is still a majority.

    8. Re:An optimistic alternative by TempeTerra · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The quoted text is almost insightful, but it still devolves into "if he knows that I know that he knows..."

      Perhaps the US was tracking the Chinese sub all along, but is now going to destroy a couple of careers just to make it look like the sub was not detected due to human error. What are a couple of careers measured against misinforming the enemy?

      Or, perhaps the Chinese sub should have been detected if it was actually following but was instead using a cheap trick like sitting on the bottom until the carrier group came past, then surfacing to give the false impression that it was super stealthy and had been following all along.

      Those are just a couple of possibilities off the top of my head, and (hard as it is to believe) I'm sure there are even smarter people than me working for US and Chinese military intelligence.

      --
      .evom ton seod gis eht
    9. Re:An optimistic alternative by mrbluze · · Score: 1

      haha, yes, you're right.

      --
      Do it yourself, because no one else will do it yourself. [beta blockade 10-17 Feb]
  33. Why leak that? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Either this is some counter-intel thing ir the leaker is some kind of traitor. I'm sure the Chinese suspected what the American reaction to this was but why confirm it?

  34. Why not? by HangingChad · · Score: 2, Interesting

    There is little that's secret about modern diesel/electric submarines. Submerged they've always been hard to detect. With advances in battery technology and quieter props it's not that big of a shock they could get close enough to launch.

    It's not like they were pulling all their clubs out of the bag, it was a demonstration what they could do with fairly basic technology. The real interesting speculation would be what they might have in the inventory that's even more capable. Long range missiles or UAV's that could attack a carrier from hundreds or thousands of miles away, perhaps aided by satellite, robotic mines, or something equally surprising.

    When your foreign policy is built around being able to project air power it's a rude surprise to find out in the modern era a floating airport is a big, fat target.

    If you really want ulcers start looking up how many countries have similar subs. You might be surprised at some of the names.

    --
    That's our life, the big wheel of shit. - The Fat Man, Blue Tango Salvage
  35. And here's a quote as true today as it was then. by DaedalusHKX · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "The war wasn't meant to be won or lost, it was simply meant to be fought. The war was never meant to end, merely to go on."

    Do you folks actually think that both sides of this conflict hate each other as much as the peons do? Sheesh. When the rich meet at the country club, the boys from Company A, and the boys from Company B, regardless of nationality, are friends.

    The same is true of "presidents", "bankers" and anything else. Gentleman's rules, to all games. Gentlemen don't KILL each other. They get proxies, peons, idiots and fools to slaughter each other in their names. After all, only fools would hate someone they've never had a chance to get to know, or witness first hand their deeds (and their motivation, of course). Short of aggression carried out against the individual in question, "fighting a war" generally involved mass psychosis, usually cultivated by carefully trained and prepared "superiors" and "intelligence personnel."

    This stuff's as old as the world. The wars will go on, the arms races will go on, and humanity will go on. All the fears and the doomsayers are merely meant to up the ante, and keep the peons scurrying about, frittering their lives away doing nothing at all interesting or worthwhile, other than what they have been TOLD to do by someone else, for someone else's benefit and minor, if any, benefit to themselves.

    Welcome to the future :)

    The only reason I keep watching this mess is because it is, frankly speaking, fun to watch. Nothing more, nothing less.

    --
    " What luck for rulers that men do not think" - Adolf Hitler
  36. SEEMS THERE ARE A FEW CHINKS IN NATIONAL SECURITY by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    One might expect that discovering a few chinks in the national security armour would be expected during an exercise.

  37. Year old story by RudeDude · · Score: 1
    --
    RudeDude
    Perl/Linux/PHP hacker
    1. Re:Year old story by seededfury · · Score: 0

      I thinnk you may be on to something....
      November 13, 2006

      http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2006/11/14/asia/AS_GEN_Malaysia_US_Carrier_Incident.php

  38. Typo... by calebt3 · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    There are 10 kinds. Get it right.

    1. Re:Typo... by Rod+Beauvex · · Score: 1

      Slipping much, mods?

  39. To get us to spend money. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    What is not said here, is that the sub could have been sitting on the bottom (pretty shallow there) and then popped up. It is probable that China decided to warn us to not mess with them. It is akin to the blowing up of the sat. They could have done it in other fashions. I am guessing that China is a lot closer to a war with the west then is assumed in the west.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:To get us to spend money. by 1u3hr · · Score: 4, Insightful
      I am guessing that China is a lot closer to a war with the west then is assumed in the west.

      I think the message is more "Don't fuck with us if we invade Taiwan". China doesn't want war with the West. They're getting rich selling stuff to the West now. But at the same time, the Chinese military is chafing to take back the "rogue province" of Taiwan.

    2. Re:To get us to spend money. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      China doesn't have to go to war with the west. They just need to dump their dollars. That's hyperinflation to you. China's dumping of their dollar stores would wreck US *more* than a frontal nuclear assault would. And deliberately US chose to get into such a vulnerable position. :(

    3. Re:To get us to spend money. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I am guessing that China is a lot closer to a war with the west then is assumed in the west."

      Yes, but you're also a moron with no idea what the fuck he's talking about, so your guess isn't worth the steaming pile I just left on your mom's chest.

    4. Re:To get us to spend money. by randyjg · · Score: 1

      Oh, don't be silly. There is over a million Taiwanese businessmen in China, Taiwan could easily cause as much disruption and rioting in China as China could to Taiwan militarily. Not that there isn't a Taiwan issue, but everyone expects in 50 years it will be like the US an the UK, everyone will have forgotten about it. Mostly they are just saving face and keeping the old folks who still remember happy.

      As for now, even if China was serious about attacking Taiwan, well, Taiwan may be protected by the US military (and their own forces) but, economically, the Hong Kong/Singapore/Macao Triangle of financial centers protects them, and the Chinese government is a long way from being able to take them on, China's economic bubble is going to burst next year and the last thing the Chinese government wants is any further ulcers to worry about.

      What China's military wants, if anything, militarily, is to destroy Japan. The Japanese treatment of Chinese in previous wars is a major issue in the country (Think Jews and Nazi's), attacking Japan would be the most internally popular war China ever fought. I suspect the Chinese Government spends a lot of time worrying elements in,say, Fujian province, might actually go rogue terrorist against Japan with Chinese military equipment.

      But I would not seriously worry about their military for about 25 years, the Chinese military is getting most of what it really wants, which is a greatly increased budget to skim profits off of and to buy new toys from their friends (and get kickbacks). Think military industrial complex taken far beyond Eisenhowers worst nightmare. They are not going to start a war anytime soon, it would interfere with profits.

      As I understand it (and this is not an area I am all that familiar with) the main goal of the Chinese military is to form a sort of Pacific Rim/MidEast/African equivalent of NATO. They do an awful lot of joint training with any country that will let them. That is not for the purpose of physical confrontation, what they are trying to do is control foreign resources economically, and the military portion is sort of a bribe to the governments that let them in. If you are an unpopular military junta, well, you might sleep better with a few Chinese forces around to make sure you are safe from a coup by your own people. Think of it as 21st century economic warfare.

      If that sub popping up was deliberate, the most logical explanation is that it was a demo to a prospective buyer. Which is of real concern, because there are few prospective buyers that want to pop up close to American forces that wish us well. My guess (no real evidence) is the buyer is Venezuela, this sounds like something Chavez would want to do. Protection against another coup, show of strength to his allies, yet plausible deniability and threat is implied, not stated. He would probably love the publicity of a Venezuelan sub popping up and escorting an American Naval vessel into port.

      I don't think the buyer is ordinary terrorists, they can achieve the same effect a lot cheaper with suicide bombers. Might be Iran, but they can't be seriously worried about the US invading, and trying to control passage of ships in nearby waters with subs would do them more harm than good.

      On the other hand, there is one other possibility. there is a lot of issues regarding what countries have control of northern passages opened up by global warming. I wonder if some of the smaller northern countries is thinking of using subs to enforce their maritime rights.

  40. Consider the Source? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So far we've only heard from the Daily Mail.

    Does anyone know of a reliable source commenting on this incident? Because I'm not one to take a tabloid's word for something like this. I suspect they're just trolling for readers like Dvorak & co.

  41. The meaning of "middle" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Also note the title of the stories being circulated in the press. "... sub pops up in the middle of an excercise ..." The meaning of middle does not mean 'between' rather it occurred 'during'. More sensational media titles implying things they know aren't true trying to get you to read the article. On another note the story isn't even on any credible news source and that every 'news' source that I looked up has the same pictures and story??? Whatever, it sounds like a group which owns 10 different websites put 1 story(meaning fiction) out. In other news I drove my vehicle in the middle of a naval exercise. Sounds funny doesn't it.

  42. HAIL THE RED NAVY! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    China needs a powerful navy to defend against U.S. imperialist counterrevolution. For the unconditional defense of the Chinese deformed workers state against imperialist attack! For proletarian political revolution in China! Forge a Leninist-Trotskyist revolutionary workers party for proletarian political revolution in China to sweep out the sellout Stalinist bureaucracy! Defend North Korea, Vietnam, and Cuba! For international socialist revolution!

    1. Re:HAIL THE RED NAVY! by Highroller · · Score: 1

      I will live in Montana. And I will marry a round American woman and raise rabbits, and she will cook them for me. And I will have a pickup truck... maybe even a "recreational vehicle." And drive from state to state. Do they let you do that?

    2. Re:HAIL THE RED NAVY! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Advocating overthrowing the CCP? If you were a local Chinese resident, you'd likely be jailed for saying that. Nut-jobs would just get a bullet to the head and their family billed for the bullet.

    3. Re:HAIL THE RED NAVY! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      HEIL HITLER

    4. Re:HAIL THE RED NAVY! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, without any papers

    5. Re:HAIL THE RED NAVY! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I will live in Montana. And I will marry a round American woman and raise rabbits, and she will cook them for me. And I will have a pickup truck... maybe even a "recreational vehicle." And drive from state to state.


      Would you happen to have any plans for raising dental floss bushes and riding a pygmy pony?
  43. Carriers aren't dead, just need re-design. by PortHaven · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Carriers are projection weapons.

    The mistake is that they float.

    Long ago we should have began working on carriers designs that were submersibles and only surface in order to let their air craft take off.

    1. Re:Carriers aren't dead, just need re-design. by darkstar949 · · Score: 1

      Of course, that always begs the question of "Who says that we haven't?" After all, a submersible carrier would be major tactical point in battle to the point that you would almost want it to be secret if you managed to accomplish it.

    2. Re:Carriers aren't dead, just need re-design. by vux984 · · Score: 1

      Nah, I played ehough starcraft to know that all you need to make your carrier fleet unstoppable is a few Arbiters to keep it properly cloaked, and a few observers to reaveal any enemy cloaked units. The carriers or more accurately their complement of fighters brings death to everything under sun. So what if your arbiters are visible nothing can get close enough to take them out and expose your carriers.

      Rounding the force out with a few scouts or corsairs adds versatility, but can be considered a secondary priority.

    3. Re:Carriers aren't dead, just need re-design. by RML · · Score: 1

      Chinese military analyst: "Oh look, the Americans have built a submarine barn big enough to hold a small aircraft carrier. It's probably not important."

      --
      Human/Ranger/Zangband
    4. Re:Carriers aren't dead, just need re-design. by Viv · · Score: 1

      After all, a submersible carrier would be major tactical point in battle to the point that you would almost want it to be secret if you managed to accomplish it.


      Just FWIW, "managing to accomplish it" would be no big deal. The Japanese had just such a beast back in WWII.
    5. Re:Carriers aren't dead, just need re-design. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, unless the enemy has detectors, which they usually do if they didn't just start playing.

    6. Re:Carriers aren't dead, just need re-design. by jollyreaper · · Score: 1

      Carriers are projection weapons.

      The mistake is that they float.

      Long ago we should have began working on carriers designs that were submersibles and only surface in order to let their air craft take off. They looked into that years back and the technical difficulties made the engineers cry.

      We are in the midst of converting old Ohio-class boomers into our navy's first SSGN's, guided missile submarines. If I recall correctly, the SLBM tubes are being fitted with four-pack launchers from Tomahawks. You're talking about a very powerful airstrike package in one package.

      Of course, there's also the consideration of the different missions involved when someone says "air power." You've got deep strikes thousands of miles into hostile territory. We don't really see much call for that right now because most of the targets we have are within a few hundred miles of a friendly border or international waters. There's still the massively dangerous strikes against heavily defended targets, the perfect mission for cruise missiles since you aren't losing pilots when they get shot down. For air support, the drones aren't quite there yet so that really requires manned aircraft operating from carriers or bases in-country.

      What's funny when you look at a carrier itself, only 30% of the aircraft are dedicated to attack, the rest are fighters and support aircraft. And then you look at the huge frickin' fleet required to support all that, not much bang for the buck. Makes a lot more sense to have an SSN with a few tomahawks sitting off the target in case you need to blow anything up. But the carriers are all about psychology, they're hard to mistake and make people nervous. The problem with putting a sub off the coast is that there's no the same level of psychological intimidation, or at least that's what the navy-types say.

      As far as close-air support goes, I say fuck the Air Force. Make the drones an army operation, the same way that Marine air support is handled by Marines.

      I still think one of the better ideas they haven't explored is to just palletize the damn cruise missiles and kick them out the back of a cargo aircraft. The missiles have some damn long ranges and it's not like the launch platform is going to have to fight it's way through hostile territory to get into range. Just stack the missiles on pallets and roll them out the back of the aircaft. Stabilize them with a drogue chute and let them drop away from the pallet once they're clear of the aircraft. The best part about this is now you're getting double-use out of existing aircraft, you can haul beans and bullets when necessary, or you can turn that same trash hauler into a cruise missile launcher.
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
  44. Linus is right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am with Linus on this one. For the life of me I can't understand what this sucking up to RMS is about. Linus himself does not think GPLv3 is a good thing. So why do people keep adopting it.
    Without Linus FOSS is tossed. Not following Linus is dangerous for the survival of FOSS.

  45. Was it a IBM^H^H^H Lenovo sub? by jgaynor · · Score: 1
  46. Metal Detector much? by binaryspiral · · Score: 1

    Active sonar might be restricted due to the adverse effects on marine life - but you bet it would have been used if we were at (real) war.

    For now though, can't we use passive metal detection? I'm not even close to being an expert, but it would seam to me that a large metal object in the water should be detectable - somehow.

    1. Re:Metal Detector much? by jeko · · Score: 2, Interesting

      OK, I'll bite. Totally passive detection system for big hunk of metal in the water:

      Listen for it. See current topic of discussion.

      See it. Detect the EM radiation, probably heat, coming off the metal. Metal must be hotter than surrounding ocean due to heat of crew and machinery. Metal immersed in unbelieveably frigid water sucking away heat by convection. Best of luck.

      Touch it. Intall massive feelers in front of sub. Hello, SS Waterbug.

      Smell/Taste it. Try to detect minute amount of fuel/lubricant/rust/etc in the water. Heat signature beginning to look childishly easy.

      Feel it. Detect gravitational signature of the big hunk of metal. Detect magnetic properties of big hunk of metal interacting with Earth's magnetic field. Both theoretically possible. Better get T'Pol to help you upgrade your sensors. Ask Douglas Adams' to borrow his chunk of cake from the Total Perspective Vortex.

      I got news for ya, Zatoichi. If you can't actively look for something, and that something doesn't hand out clues for free, then you ain't gonna find it.

      --
      He put his boots up on the table and made a face. "The sig," he smirked. "You can waste your life in search of the sig."
    2. Re:Metal Detector much? by steveroehrs · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Feel it - Detect magnetic properties of big hunk of metal interacting with Earth's magnetic field.

      Using one of these perhaps? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnetic_anomaly_detector

    3. Re:Metal Detector much? by tftp · · Score: 1
      Feel it. Detect gravitational signature of the big hunk of metal.

      I think it would be almost the same signature as from the mass of water that the sub displaced. If you can resolve mild gravitational anomalies only a few feet in size (air, engines etc.) from tens of miles - best of luck, as you say :-)

    4. Re:Metal Detector much? by jeko · · Score: 1

      Wow. Massively cool. I had no idea. I stand corrected.

      --
      He put his boots up on the table and made a face. "The sig," he smirked. "You can waste your life in search of the sig."
  47. Way To Go, CIA by Boronx · · Score: 1

    "...which had no idea China's fast-growing submarine fleet had reached such a level of sophistication."

    Way to go, CIA. Maybe if you'd tortured a few more Arabs you would have found this out in time.

    KGB ran circles around US intelligence during the cold war, the CIA was counterproductive in Vietnam, it totally missed the fall of the USSR, and totally missed 9/11 even though they knew at least some of the terrorists were in country, and buckled under to Bush before Iraq.

    The CIA has never done anything worthwhile. Its only successes have been deposing various elected and unelected leaders so they can put in corrupt, pliable strongmen, the long term effect of which is to make America more and more hated by oppressed peoples all over the globe.

  48. Just for laughs by lelitsch · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Not directly related, but here is a nice picture a German submarine took of the USS Enterprise during a NATO exercise. http://rula.de/marktplatz/files/zielfoto_u24_enterprise.jpg

    And IIRC, that was during an antisubmarine drill.

    1. Re:Just for laughs by jagdish · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      This is a much better picture of the USS Enterprise.

    2. Re:Just for laughs by ioshhdflwuegfh · · Score: 1

      Yeah, and people are talking about the cold war. What cold war? WWII!

  49. top pops open by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    'ok who ordered the flied lice'

  50. Did the Chinese build a stealth propulsion system? by Joe+The+Dragon · · Score: 1

    Like the Soviet Navy tried to do them selfs.

  51. don't worry though by commodoresloat · · Score: 4, Funny

    There's a trojan pre-installed on the submarine's main data drive.

    1. Re:don't worry though by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Those sneaky bastards! They learned from WW2 when the US stole those Enigmas from German boats! This time it's part of the plan.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  52. errm... (was: Re:The Clinton Legacy) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I thought Richard Nixon was the one who sold us out...

  53. Pardon Me! (obl) by killmofasta · · Score: 1

    But do you have any yellow mustand?

    We welcome our new Chinese overlords.

    p.s. note to the navy: Note to self: Turn on sonar, BEFORE excercises. Not after.
    Save us also from those pesky sand bars...

  54. Point Defense Systems by unity100 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Pal, what you are describing as missing is being developed since hms Sheffield was sunk with a single exocet missile in falklands in 1982. "screening" a naval vessel from any incoming missiles with a hail of bullets is now a long widespread tech. there are many prominent systems on the use. and easily, carriers are the biggest platforms that carry most of these, and screen themselves quite well. im not even talking about fast, anti missile missile systems.

    what you said held true at 1980, and had there been a world war, carriers would go bust. but, by then eastern bloc didnt have that capability, west did, and by the time eastern bloc developed it, west developed point defenses.

    1. Re:Point Defense Systems by darkwhite · · Score: 1

      The Phalanx and friends are good against most missiles... but not against the kind of missiles a serious adversary might use today against a carrier battle group. There are several Soviet-designed sea-skimming missiles whose final attack speed reportedly exceeds the maximum that the Phalanx can engage, and Russia and India are jointly developing an even faster one (claimed Mach 2.8). As far as I know, there is no viable defense against such a missile, whether Phalanx or point defense SAM.

      The other aspect discussed here is ultra-stealthy subs with Granit supercavitating torpedoes. No known defense against that one, either, once the sub is in range.

      --

      [an error occurred while processing this directive]
    2. Re:Point Defense Systems by jollyreaper · · Score: 1

      Pal, what you are describing as missing is being developed since hms Sheffield was sunk with a single exocet missile in falklands in 1982. "screening" a naval vessel from any incoming missiles with a hail of bullets is now a long widespread tech. there are many prominent systems on the use. and easily, carriers are the biggest platforms that carry most of these, and screen themselves quite well. im not even talking about fast, anti missile missile systems. Right, I'm aware of CWIS and Goalkeeper. But I've also seen talk that doubts the effectiveness of such systems when the time between the target entering the engagement envelope and impact is measured in fractions of a second. And even if the point defense is good enough to defeat any single incoming missile, how many does it take to saturate the system?
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
  55. Re:Why? Why? Well, the wanted to ... by c6gunner · · Score: 1

    Was there a point to that rant? Other than to explain that in 1987 a brand new defencive system didn't quite function up to spec?

    You were in the navy, so you know what it's like. I can appreciate that soldiers and sailors alike spend most of their free time bitching about the food, the equipment, their superiors, and the system, but anyone who's made it past basic training should realize that this is the nature of any large organization, and ESPECIALLY one that's constantly changing and adapting to meet new threats.

  56. How News Is Made by draevil · · Score: 5, Informative

    I would caution everyone to note first of all that the FA is from the Daily Mail and so most of the facts contained therein are subject to question.

    As some have noted this incident took place approximately a year ago and in fact it's not even the first time that the Chinese have stalked the Kitty Hawk - albeit from a greater distance that time.

    Essentially what the Mail have done here is to raise an issue that ticks all their usual buttons.

    • It takes a dig at the Americans - note the use of "dumbstruck", "embarrassment" and "red-faced".
    • It is a cheap article to do - dig up old news, stick some cheap stock pics in and you're done.
    • It's about the Chinese - who are scary and foreign.

    Consequently, on behalf of all Brits, I apologise for the existence of the Daily Mail - plainly we should do more to end it. On the other hand, however you have given the world Fox News and Ann Coulter - although they do hold a certain amusement value.

    As an exercise use google news to see how many other 'articles' have now sprung up which in places basically copy the DM article word for word.. :)

    1. Re:How News Is Made by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Consequently, on behalf of all Brits, I apologise for the existence of the Daily
      > Mail - plainly we should do more to end it. On the other hand, however you have
      > given the world Fox News and Ann Coulter - although they do hold a certain
      > amusement value.

      Yes, they do hold a certain amusement value. We do feel somewhat sad that there are those in the world that actually take them seriously. Not everyone can pull off another "Spitting Image." Our bad!

      BTW, Angela Rippon of late 1970's BBC News fame was pretty damned funny, too.
      Pity that Auntie would only let her read the news.

    2. Re:How News Is Made by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > I would caution everyone to note first of all that the FA is from the Daily Heil

      There, fixed it for ya :)

      Though expect follow up articles on 'Is rice the new wonderfood' and 'Did Chinse immigrants kill Lady Di"

    3. Re:How News Is Made by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Consequently, on behalf of all Brits, I apologise for the existence of the Daily Mail - plainly we should do more to end it. On the other hand, however you have given the world Fox News and Ann Coulter - although they do hold a certain amusement value.
      Alas, as much as I'd like to take credit for giving the world such exquisite examples of shrill, hysterical partisanship, I'm afraid I'd have to lay the blame on Rupert Murdoch and the Australians. Who, I recall, still nominally acknowledge the Queen as their sovereign. Without News Corp, there probably wouldn't be a relatively mainstream platform for these people.
    4. Re:How News Is Made by acb · · Score: 1

      Rupert Murdoch is a US citizen, who renounced his Australian citizenship to legally increase his US media holdings, and as of a few years ago, News Corp.'s headquarters is US-based.

      Having said that, he does like to spread his bets. On one hand, he has FOXNews and the Sun, and on the other hand, he dropped the BBC from his Chinese satellite operation as to appease the Chinese Communist Party. His wife, who is Chinese, is also said to have senior connections in the Party elite.

    5. Re:How News Is Made by draevil · · Score: 1

      Alas, as much as I'd like to take credit for giving the world such exquisite examples of shrill, hysterical partisanship, I'm afraid I'd have to lay the blame on Rupert Murdoch and the Australians. Who, I recall, still nominally acknowledge the Queen as their sovereign. Without News Corp, there probably wouldn't be a relatively mainstream platform for these people.

      Well you could blame Rupert Murdoch - and goodness knows he has a lot to answer for but I'm afraid that the Daily Mail is owned by the Daily Mail and General Trust through Associated Newspapers.

      This would seem to indicate that an entirely different strand of rabid bile exists within British society that emerged entirely independently of the Dirty Digger.

      The Mail is notorious for supporting fascism in the 30s for instance which clearly predates any poison which Murdoch might have brought to our shores.

  57. Rather straightforward solution... by starseeker · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Reading the comments, it seems like the consensus is that given sufficient time, motivation, and technology it's hard to passively detect a well designed and built submarine in the open ocean, if it's built for quiet (i.e. non-nuclear) and active detection is the electronic version of wearing a "KICK ME" sign.

    Well, the solution to that is obvious - do just what satellites have done for surface bases; map the oceans with automated sonar/other detection grids until we know what's going on everywhere, and the dark (unobserved) areas are points of interest simply by appearing - if someone removes our ability to see it's an automatic point of interest.

    The environmental impact of doing something like that would not be trivial of course, but probably given sufficient time, money and resources it could be done. It would mean WE couldn't move quietly either, most likely (we wouldn't be the only ones doing it, once it started) but it would make a "sneak attack" rather more unlikely.

    --
    "I object to doing things that computers can do." -- Olin Shivers, lispers.org
    1. Re:Rather straightforward solution... by pimpimpim · · Score: 1
      Who are these 'we' you are talking about?

      And a more practical point... Who will prevent 'others' (i.e. those who are not 'we') from removing these detection grids. Stuff left lying around in international waters will probably be a case of 'finders keepers'.

      --
      molmod.com - computing tips from a molecular modeling
  58. Re:Why? Why? Well, the wanted to ... by Shritish · · Score: 1

    CIWS works just fine nowadays, except for the amount of maintenance require per actual usage. The require maintenance is and always will be insane, as CIWS (pronounced seawiz) stands for 'closed in weapon system', it's the full package. Radar, weapon, tracking system, and cooling. Everything it needs to shoot except for its own power source. Some of the technology is dated but it's proven, especially in Iraq nowadays. They're sending CIWS tech Fire Controlman to Iraq to work on truck mounted CIWS that can shoot mortar out of the air.

    -FC3 (Aegis Computer)

  59. Taking things for granted by Wansu · · Score: 0



    Americans have taken their military and economic superiority for granted so long that it no longer really exists. Months ago, the Chinese let us know they had us by the short hairs with the trade and debt imbalance. Yesterday, we got a message about China's military capability.

    --
    Wansu, th' chinese sailor
    1. Re:Taking things for granted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Americans have taken their military and economic superiority for granted so long that it no longer really exists. Months ago, the Chinese let us know they had us by the short hairs with the trade and debt imbalance. Yesterday, we got a message about China's military capability.


      Yes, they've tied themselves to us economically at the waist.. they sure showed us!

      Look, we go down, they go down.. simple as that. Don't play the retard game of "ohh ohh they could sell the debt!".
      To who? Got a spare couple trillion burning a whole in your pocket? Sure, they can screw with us, but if they deep six us they're going along for the ride.

      The sub issue should be taken seriously though. Coming soon to a carrier group near you: the return of active sonar.

      Oddly, the fact that we're linked to them so heavily now (as they are to us) actually lessens the chance of all-out war.
    2. Re:Taking things for granted by lendude · · Score: 1
      Pity your little bit of rhetoric is spoilt by the fact that this story relates to an incident 1 year old (as several posts in this thread clearly state), and is reported by the Daily Mail.

      I'm not a citizen of the US, nor a US-phile particularly, but the article reads like an 8 year old's taunt.

      --
      "Get off the cross - we need the wood" - Tori Amos
    3. Re:Taking things for granted by Jerry+Rivers · · Score: 1

      "Oddly, the fact that we're linked to them so heavily now (as they are to us) actually lessens the chance of all-out war."

      This is exactly right. As the old saying goes (something like this): "Owe the bank a thousand and they own you. Owe the bank a million and you own them."

      --
      The pursuit of absolute tolerance leads to the most rigorous and ludicrous intolerance. - REX MURPHY
  60. Just get on with the war already... by sethstorm · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    . I am guessing that China is a lot closer to a war with the west then is assumed in the west. The sooner that country is leveled, the sooner the debts can be nullified. Balance would be restored, and offshoring would have one less place to circumvent regulations.
    --
    Twitter supports and protects racists - by smearing their critics with the "Hate Speech" label.
    1. Re:Just get on with the war already... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, I think that fighting China would be damn difficult. The have the same advantage as America; roughly it is difficult to attack the interior. Now, if EU, America, and even Japan ends up fighting China, they would win. But I think that China would have a number of countries on their side (esp if we attack first).

      As to the debt that is owed China, is probably a none issue. The near trillion dollars that they have is about to be only useful in America. It would appear that more and more countries and individuals are shutting down on accepting the dollar due to our monster debt (balance and trade). As such, China will have to decide what to do. The desperately need to devalue their yuen to our dollar, but are fighting that because it would pick up our economy. But, they are destroying themselves in it.

    2. Re:Just get on with the war already... by sethstorm · · Score: 1

      (Score:0, Flamebait)
        The sooner that country is leveled, the sooner the debts can be nullified. Balance would be restored, and offshoring would have one less place to circumvent regulations. How telling for moderation...

      What we may have to do for national sovereignty does not mean capitulating to that country or any other of similar profile.
      --
      Twitter supports and protects racists - by smearing their critics with the "Hate Speech" label.
  61. WarGames by twoboxen · · Score: 1

    Would you like to play a game of global thermonuclear war?

    --
    TODO - Insert Creative/Witty Signature
  62. Australian Navy has done this too by EEPROMS · · Score: 1

    I remember reading a few years ago about the "Australian navy" sneaking up and actually marking American ships in trials with a locally made "Collins Class" (very big diesel) submarine. What the US Navy hates to admit right now is that the much loved aircraft carrier groups are sitting ducks for modern diesel subs and there is little they can do about it.

    1. Re:Australian Navy has done this too by The+Sith+Lord · · Score: 1

      ... you mean they couldn't even hear it sneak up on them ?

      Dang !!!

  63. Re: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let me guess by the beltbuckle that you're from Texas. :P

  64. A layman's view by guacamole · · Score: 1

    This is yet another confirmation of the point of view that the modern surface ships are obsolete against even relatively simple (e.g. not nuclear) modern submarines. A large surface ship fleet, like the one in US Navy's possession, is a great tool for attacking and intimidating countries that can't fight back (e.g. Iraq or Iran). However, a relatively cheap modern diesel-electric submarine is well-capable of sinking such large and expensive ships like aircraft carriers while being undetected. Rumor has it that during a recent exercise, Pyotr Velikiy, Russia's most advanced battlecruiser, detected a Kilo class submarine nearby only after the submarine had already "sunk" the battlecruiser at least three times. A similar Kilo class submarine is a relatively inexpensive (under a quarter billion) diesel-electric submarine that Russia had been selling to countries like India and China for many years.

  65. Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by Latent+Heat · · Score: 5, Interesting
    I find your theory interesting on why the Chinese submarine even surfaced.

    Correct me on this, but I have long imagined there to be a Mad Magazine "Spy vs Spy" quality to the Cold War confrontations. One one hand, you might want to put the fear into the other side that you have a certain capability (i.e. ultra quiet sub). On the other hand, you may not want to tip your hand that you can do a certain thing.

    There is this account of a Russian attack sub tailing a U.S. super carrier, and the captain of the carrier ordering increasing amounts of speed to see if the sub could keep up. There was a certain sobering factor that the sub was able to match whatever speed the carrier could reach. Above a certain speed, the sub was going so fast and making so much noise that there was no longer any sub stealth involved, but there was a command decision about whether to go even faster to see if the sub could keep up. On one hand, the sub is giving up intel about how fast it can go, but the carrier is giving up intel on its speed, and the account was that the captain of the carrier gave up on attempting to outrun the sub to not reveal what the carrier could do.

    There must be also a factor that any of this sea-going machinery must have a "short time rating" and that one can push the capabilities of the power plant in exchange for shortening its life or needing repairs. I heard an account that when the SS United States (one of the last of the great passenger liners) made a record Atlantic crossing on its maiden voyage, the machinery was never quite the same after that.

    So why would the Chinese sub surface. One explanation is that is close to home waters and it was to "teach the Americans a lesson" about messing around in Chinese near-territorial waters. Another explanation, as you have offered, is that the Chinese sub captain panicked, and in so doing gave up some information of about Chinese capabilites that they might want to keep secret.

    1. Re:Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by smittyoneeach · · Score: 4, Interesting
      "Spy vs Spy" is certainly an interesting way to put it, but it is indeed a poker match. Multiple audiences exist:
      • The opposing navy
      • The opposing government
      • The friendly navy
      • The friendly government
      You'd need to do a full http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Game_theory treatment of each combination to wring out a full analysis of whether the Chinese 'won' or 'lost' in the encounter.
      Looking historically, most assessments of opposing capabilities end up inflated. Consider the US assessments of Iraq, or of Soviet Capabilities. That's all well and good: you've got the hindsight working for you. Alas, we live in the present tense. Do you really want to low-ball your investments in, say, sonar development, just because you "guess" that the Chinese "really" wouldn't pickle off a round at one of your aircraft carriers?
      Subsurface warfare preparation is really like studying for final exams in an unloved course. It really gets in the way of partying, which is why an event like this surfacing tends to be accompanied by a chorus of sphincters slamming shut like water-tight doors as the ships in the battlegroup go to general quarters.
      Thus, my cynical guess is that the real audiences for this sort of article are the governments. In the US case, the subsurface Navy is more wallpaper than usual, based upon the previously mentioned lack of blue-water opponents, the (appropriate) mind-share commanded by Iraq, and the overall "un-shiny-ness" of subsurface warfare.
      My knowledge of the Chinese is essentially 0. Can't hazard a guess as to how the event plays in Beijing.

      There is this account of a Russian attack sub tailing a U.S. super carrier, and the captain of the carrier ordering increasing amounts of speed to see if the sub could keep up. There was a certain sobering factor that the sub was able to match whatever speed the carrier could reach. Above a certain speed, the sub was going so fast and making so much noise that there was no longer any sub stealth involved, but there was a command decision about whether to go even faster to see if the sub could keep up. On one hand, the sub is giving up intel about how fast it can go, but the carrier is giving up intel on its speed, and the account was that the captain of the carrier gave up on attempting to outrun the sub to not reveal what the carrier could do.
      Yes, it's a poker match, played with information as chips, as the two sides see who will be the first to say 'uncle' (probably due to equipment problems). I'll venture that the concern from the US side was not so much the carrier as her escorts. Even with an airwing embarked, the Kittyhawk (the remaining non-nuclear powered US carrier) is simply an impressive piece of engineering.
      For all I punted on a full active career in the US Navy (personal reasons), I still have a "moment" when I come out of the Norfolk VA tunnel, look South to the carrier piers, and see two or three of those ladies moored. Mahan would nod in approval. Conversely, the decline of the United States in world historical importance will likely be proportional to the state of her Navy, if you'll permit a blatantly partisan observation.
      --
      Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
    2. Re:Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by StikyPad · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I find that carrier story to be less than credible. Surprisingly, carriers are generally understood to be the fastest ship in the fleet, because they need to be; both to facilitate takeoffs and to be able to run away from just such a threat. Their top speed is classified, but it is probably safe to assume they can outrun their battlegroup if necessary. And that's just the surface.

      Subs can indeed travel faster underwater than on the surface, however their props are designed for stealth first and speed second. That priority almost guarantees that the prop would cause cavitation at high speeds, which would basically destroy a very expensive item, so even if a captain *could* push his boat that fast, he would likely cripple it. Aside from that, traveling underwater inherently requires more energy due to vastly increased friction, and it's extremely unlikely that the sub would be have the power to keep up in the first place. Subs are designed to pop up to 40-60 feet, launch some fish or some birds, and get back down, not chase down a panicked warship.

    3. Re:Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Chances are, and as a US citizen I surely hope this is the case: that this is intentional dis-information by the Pentagon. That in fact, the Chinese sub was really large and loud to the SONAR guys and gals, and we slow their development by making them think they're so good. I had an NROTC roommate in college umpteen years ago who was careful about keeping secrets, but generally allowed me to understand that the US military has FAR more capability than we let on. And I surely hope so, and sleep better in my belief.

    4. Re:Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      There is this account of a Russian attack sub tailing a U.S. super carrier, and the captain of the carrier ordering increasing amounts of speed to see if the sub could keep up. There was a certain sobering factor that the sub was able to match whatever speed the carrier could reach. Above a certain speed, the sub was going so fast and making so much noise that there was no longer any sub stealth involved, but there was a command decision about whether to go even faster to see if the sub could keep up. On one hand, the sub is giving up intel about how fast it can go, but the carrier is giving up intel on its speed, and the account was that the captain of the carrier gave up on attempting to outrun the sub to not reveal what the carrier could do.

      An alternative theory on commander's decision to give it up:

      Non-encrypted depeche received aboard carrier on SLF channel:
      PLEASE STOP YOUR ENGINES STOP WE ARE HOOKED ON YOUR ANCHOR STOP THANKS MATE STOP YOURS TRULY YURI END
    5. Re:Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by oliderid · · Score: 1

      I find your theory interesting on why the Chinese submarine even surfaced.

      I know it will look stupid but anyway:
      Let's say that they have detected it. Why would you show them how fast you can eliminate them?
      In case of war, isn't it better to have an over confident enemy in front of you?

      Just wondering.

    6. Re:Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You probably shouldn't post stuff like that as the Chinese also have internet access.

    7. Re:Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by Tsunayoshi · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Their top speed is classified, but it is probably safe to assume they can outrun their battlegroup if necessary. And that's just the surface.


      A former coworker of mine was on a carrier that at one point indeed did outrun its escort ships. According to him, the rooster tail of the wake was almost at the level of the flight deck (taking into account that the back end was lower in the water at that speed).
      --
      "Get a bicycle. You will not regret it, if you live." - Mark Twain, "Taming the Bicycle"
    8. Re:Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by Doctor+Faustus · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Subs can indeed travel faster underwater than on the surface, however their props are designed for stealth first and speed second. That priority almost guarantees that the prop would cause cavitation at high speeds, which would basically destroy a very expensive item, so even if a captain *could* push his boat that fast, he would likely cripple it.

      There's one notable exception, which was probably involved in that story:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alpha_class_submarine

    9. Re:Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by ioshhdflwuegfh · · Score: 1

      [...]I have long imagined there to be a Mad Magazine "Spy vs Spy" quality to the Cold War confrontations. But this is not a cold war confrontation. The Cold War is over, the US NAVY is, for all the practical purposes, there alone, and untouchable. Then a Chinese diesel-electric-whatever submarine pops up in the middle of exercise of the battle fleet, undetected and, for all the practical purposes of the exercise, was able to hit the carrier despite all the escort and protection. That's the story, it ain't exactly the Cold War kind, it's more like "What's going on?" kind of a story.

      Another explanation, as you have offered, is that the Chinese sub captain panicked, and in so doing gave up some information of about Chinese capabilities that they might want to keep secret. So if they really tried to keep it secret, like really really secret (i have no idea how sophisticated these submarines are), but then happened what is usually called "the failure of human factor", then it seems that this Chinese captain was a bug in the whole simulation. Quite a big bug. Or more like there were two big bugs, on both sides. Like in a real war. The simulation was then so successful, it even produced what was not possible to simulate.
    10. Re:Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by ioshhdflwuegfh · · Score: 1

      Let's say that they have detected it. Why would you show them how fast you can eliminate them? In case of war, isn't it better to have an over confident enemy in front of you? But this exercise was surely meant to be at least a bit like a war. I mean virtual war, and here we go: as soon as something real was indeed detected (at least in your scenario), the whole exercise fell apart, because that was not suppose to happen, and next thing you know, the submarine was left to do whatever it wanted to do, like to surface near the aircraft (I have no clue whether they would allow such thing to happen if they actually detected it). Worst of all, if they really detected it, that only means that there was nothing spectacularly special about the submarine, but the exercise still failed on the PR level.
    11. Re:Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by iamlucky13 · · Score: 1

      There is this account of a Russian attack sub tailing a U.S. super carrier, and the captain of the carrier ordering increasing amounts of speed to see if the sub could keep up. There was a certain sobering factor that the sub was able to match whatever speed the carrier could reach. Above a certain speed, the sub was going so fast and making so much noise that there was no longer any sub stealth involved, but there was a command decision about whether to go even faster to see if the sub could keep up. On one hand, the sub is giving up intel about how fast it can go, but the carrier is giving up intel on its speed, and the account was that the captain of the carrier gave up on attempting to outrun the sub to not reveal what the carrier could do.

      It sounds like you've read Tom Clancy's Submarine. It sometimes amazes me what military personel will tell him anonymously.

      Every indication I've seen is that this is a true story. The ship was the USS Enterprise, our first nuclear-powered carrier. The tail was a Soviet November class submarine, one of their early nuclear-power attack boats. They were surprised to find it chasing them at 30 knots, an ability that was later explained by saving weight on reactor shielding (The running joke is that Soviet sub crews glow in the dark). It was probably equally as surprising that the sub could track the carrier while making so much noise itself, much less maintain that speed. The problem wasn't that the Enterprise had reached its top speed, but that her combustion-powered escorts had.

      The captain of the sub may not have known he was being tracked (helicopters using sonar buoys are pretty discrete, and surface ships have an even worse time hearing over their own din than submarines, something the Russian captain would have known), while the Americans could bet the Russians knew the Enterprise could easily reach those speeds with plenty of power to spare.

      This Chinese sub popping up within range of a battle group (modern torpedoes have a range more than twice that, although by running flat out away they might still have been escaped damage) isn't a show of stealth or technology so much as it is of cleverness and planning. Electric boats are not very fast, but they're darn quiet, even older designs. If the captain can successfully guess its course, which might not be very hard absent a reason to zig zag, he just has to make a dash to get in its path while it's still distant, then manuever at a silent crawl to exactly where he wants to be. It can literally be quieter than the water around it. So all they're really telling us by sneaking into the middle of a battle group is that they have sub drivers with the guts and smarts to do so.

      And of course it's also possible, as suggested, the sub found itself there inadvertantly and surfaced to avoid any misinterpretation of hostile intent.

      If you're up for a reading recommendation, Larry Bonds does an excellent job of portraying this dash-and-wait tactic for a chapter of Red Phoenix. Or there is the riveting real-life account of the sinking of the largest Japanese carrier in WWII in Shinano!

    12. Re:Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by LiquidMind · · Score: 1

      [fast] to facilitate takeoffs... can you explain this to me? i'm assuming that you're referring to the take-off of the planes...why would a carrier need speed for that?
      --
      This sig contains repetition and redundancy.
    13. Re:Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by LittleDobbs · · Score: 1

      [fast] to facilitate takeoffs... can you explain this to me? i'm assuming that you're referring to the take-off of the planes...why would a carrier need speed for that?

      The carrier travels into the wind increasing apparent wind speed which reduces the speed needed to take off. Also when landing the plane would have to slow down less. Although I don't think this is as important as take off. Neither can be done on a stationary carrier which is why the air group flies in while the carrier is still at sea.

    14. Re:Why do the Chinese give away this capability? by Boomer_Zz · · Score: 1

      I'd trade knowing the enemy's sub speeds for him knowing my carrier speeds any day. Carriers travel in groups that can only go as fast as the slowest ship, subs, not so much.

      The diesel electric sub they described reminds me of our WW2 subs for some reason.

  66. I'm surprised by Aqua+OS+X · · Score: 1

    Who would've guessed... China, the nation tasked with building most of the sophisticated things that are sold in the world, has the ability to build sophisticated military vehicles.

    --
    "Things are more moderner than before- bigger, and yet smaller- it's computers-- San Dimas High School football RULES!"
    1. Re:I'm surprised by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

      Well, yeah and their space program is nothing to sneeze at either. It is a good thing that China is traditionally an Allied country and not our enemy.

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
  67. Happens quite a bit by waimate · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I don't have the reference to hand so feel free to claim it never happened, but this occurred a few years ago with an Australian Collins-class diesel electric. It also happened a few decades ago with an Australian Oberon-class sub, and ISTR some European sub managed a similar trick.

    The problem seems to be that US sub crews simply aren't accustomed to going up against diesel-electric subs, which *are* much quieter than the US nukes. There may also be a hubris effect going on, in that the crews *assume* they and their technology will easily detect interlopers, and therefore aren't as much on guard as they should be.

    The worrying bit is that (for want of a better term) "rogue states" are much more likely to be using a diesel-electric sub than anything else.

    1. Re:Happens quite a bit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      “I don't have the reference to hand so feel free to claim it never happened, but this occurred a few years ago with an Australian Collins-class diesel electric.”

      Google for the terms: rankin, rimpac, undetected. The reference is to HMAS Rankin, one of the Australian Collins Class submarines (based originally on a Swedish design with plenty of Australian/American modifications).

      Last I heard (read), the Americans now have new rules when engaging the Collins Class subs in wargames - essentially the rules are "fixed" so there's no chance the Americans can lose. Kobayoshi Maru, anyone? ;-)

    2. Re:Happens quite a bit by jagdish · · Score: 1

      The worrying bit ...
      Ahh, the Worrying Bit. Is it in any way related to the Evil Bit?

    3. Re:Happens quite a bit by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Yes, but what exactly should the US have done differently?

      Suppose you're the head of ASW operations for the task force. You spot a diesel sub headed towards the carrier. You have some choices:

      1. Blow up the sub. Not a good move if you don't want a war.
      2. Ping away at the sub and try to scare it off. In theory the sub can just ignore you if it wants since it knows you won't do #1.
      3. Pretend you don't see it. Enemy gets all cocky but you know that in a real war you could just do #1.
      4. Run away at top speed to put distance between the carrier and the sub. This still gives away what you're doing and has the side effect of disrupting whatever you were planning on doing with the carrier.

      I'm guessing #3 is the way it would play out. There is no way for anybody to know whether the US spotted the sub early enough to do something about it or not. Ditto for the Aussies. The Chinese don't really know for sure if they snuck up or not, and so they still need to be nervous. The only people who really know what happened is the US Navy, giving them the upper hand.

  68. lolsubs by russlar · · Score: 1

    im in ur xrsize, showing off!

    o hai, i upgraded ur rice!

    --
    Anybody want my mod points?
  69. Oh hell no by schwaang · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'm beyond draft age, but there's no way I'd subject my younger relatives to being drafted for another BS war-of-choice like Iraq or Vietnam.

    I would trust them to be patriotic enough to join up if they were needed to fight a *real* threat like WWII.

    1. Re:Oh hell no by einhverfr · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Compulsatory military service would help prevent that. At least in theory, the impact of the war would be spread more broadly, thus making people think beforehand a bit more carefully.

      In Vietnam, we had been there for a long time before the draft came up. If the draft had to happen in advance, do you think we would have been there at all?

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    2. Re:Oh hell no by schwaang · · Score: 1

      Yes, I have zero doubt about it.

      If you seriously think that a draft would have stopped us from going into Vietnam (a war that had public support in the beginning just like Iraq, and for the same reason - well-practiced manipulation of public opinion by Washington), then God help you.

    3. Re:Oh hell no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm beyond draft age, but there's no way I'd subject my younger relatives to being drafted for another BS war-of-choice like Iraq or Vietnam.

      I would trust them to be patriotic enough to join up if they were needed to fight a *real* threat like WWII. Was Japan a "*real* threat" ?

      December 7, 1941: 2,402 US deaths.

      September 11, 2001: 2,974 US deaths.

      Further, is it true that FDR Knew?
    4. Re:Oh hell no by einhverfr · · Score: 1

      How many Americans think of war as something that someone else will fight in?

      My main point is that making sure that the military service is really spread around would help to personalize the costs. It is easy to support a war when it is strangers fighting in your name. Would people support the same war if it meant that they would personally know people who were fighting in the conflict?

      BTW, my own views of Iraq are that we never should have been there (as I said before the war), but that this is a unique war which has no easy answers about what to do now. Ultimately actions are less important than intents now, and when we did make the mistake of deposing Saddam, we became responsible for the country. Although this might make our job harder in the short run, I think we need to be willing to redeploy if the Iraqi government doesn't step up to the plate regarding various offices using sectarian militas for their own internal security. We may need to leave Iraq long enough to let the current government fall apart, put together a newer, larger coalition, and move in again. Iraq is harder to leave than Vietnam because we have no centralized opposition. At least when we left Vietnam, the VC could fill the power vacuum quickly but in Iraq, we will see more bloodshed, violence, and the like, and it will be our falt whether we are there or not.

      BTW, I really think that the Iraqi government needs to sue Blackwater, and I believe that the key factor is that Blackwater can only be sued in an American court for crimes committed in Iraq, and only under US legal principles including common law (CPA-27 specifies that contractors are under the sole jurisdiction of sending states). We should not be using mercinaries in Iraq any more than the Iraqi government should be using sectarian militias, and Blackwater's actions certainly suggest that wrongful death suits in both the Al-Iraqya and Nasoor Square incidents might be worth pursuing. IANAL, though.

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    5. Re:Oh hell no by schwaang · · Score: 2, Insightful

      My main point is that making sure that the military service is really spread around would help to personalize the costs. It is easy to support a war when it is strangers fighting in your name. Would people support the same war if it meant that they would personally know people who were fighting in the conflict?

      And there are a number of anti-war folks around who make the same point, that the draft would ensure the political involvement of people because the their necks would be at stake, and this would prevent unnecessary wars.

      And I disagree with them too, strongly. History has shown the larger American public to be easily manipulated. If only draftees could vote on a given war resolution that might be one thing, but just imagine that even today 25% of people polled say they approve of the job W. is doing. We are dealing with morons here, and I don't want those people to decide my (or my potential children's) fate.

      Bottom line: except for *real* emergencies, let each of us choose our own actions, rather than having them decided by others.

      And one final thought, consider this. You say that if we all had something (or someone) at stake we'd be more likely to resist a stupid war. But consider that if you are otherwise not politically active at all, you will be at a huge disadvantage when the time to resist a stupid policy comes along.

      The draft as an anti-(stupid)-war instrument is utter fool's gold. Don't buy it.
    6. Re:Oh hell no by shmlco · · Score: 1

      "... thus making people think beforehand a bit more carefully."

      It doesn't matter if "people" think more carefully, as long as our elected officials can effectively veto any decision we make. Practically no one wanted to be in Iraq in the first place. GWB put us there, regardless, after playing public and world opinion like a Stradivarius.

      Now, if he had to lead the first wave into battle, THEN I expect he might consider his options a little more carefully. But as has happened throughout history, the old men make the deals and give the orders, and then sit back and watch as the young die attempting to carry them out.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    7. Re:Oh hell no by einhverfr · · Score: 1

      It doesn't matter if "people" think more carefully, as long as our elected officials can effectively veto any decision we make. Practically no one wanted to be in Iraq in the first place. GWB put us there, regardless, after playing public and world opinion like a Stradivarius. In that case, you would have thought it would have cost him the re-election, right? I am not sure I would agree with your characterization as to popular support for the war at the beginning. My own experience suggests that the public was pretty divided with a slight majority supporting it.
      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    8. Re:Oh hell no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's what we were hoping.

      Took you long enough. /troll

    9. Re:Oh hell no by shmlco · · Score: 1

      Right. Based on the "facts" Bush told us. Saddam linked to Al-Qaeda? Check. Saddam a danger to the rest of the world? Check. Chemical and biological programs? Check. Resurgent nuclear program? Check. WMDs? Check.

      Only there was no link, no secret roving biolabs, and no nuclear program. Of course, by the time we'd figured that one out he'd bait-and-switched us into buying the saving-the-Iragi-people and the democracy-in-the-middle-east plan.

      Saddam WAS a danger to his people, of course, but no more so than any of a half-dozen leaders causing mischief throughout Africa. Then again, none of those countries have major oil reserves to plunder. Needless to say, we're in Iraq, and not in Africa.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    10. Re:Oh hell no by shmlco · · Score: 1

      I might also mention that he played the 9/11 terrorist-on-every-street-corner card every chance he could get. And all of those alert levels, brilliant.

      Reminds me of the scene from V where Adam Sutler is ranting at his ministers, "What we need right now is a clear message to the people of this country. This message must be read in every newspaper, heard on every radio, seen on every television... I want everyone to remember why they need us!"

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    11. Re:Oh hell no by einhverfr · · Score: 1

      Very few Americans bought the line about Saddam being linked to Al Qaeda. Interestingly, the ICG did an interesting analysis of Powell's presentation and concluded that if there were an Al Qaeda training camp, it was in the area controlled by the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (our supposed allies).

      Most people did assume that he had biological and chemical weapons, and there was an open question about nuclear weapons development.

      A few of us understood the real reason for the war and understood that those even if true were not relevant to the question of it. The fact is that the presence of US troops in Saudi Arabia in order to contain Saddam was playing into the hands of Al Qaeda propaganda, and destabilizing the region. The idea was simple: redeploy those forces to Iraq as part of a containment policy on Iran. The problem is that this was unethical and immoral, and we have seen the results first-hand (our approach to North Korea is built on the same sort of mentality, and it is one of the greatest mistakes, foreign-policy-wise of our day. Long run, it has the capacity to hurt us far more than Iraq does).

      BTW, yes, it is all about oil. The issue is that we get most of our oil from the Middle East and so fear of disruption of oil supplies is the guiding principle for US involvement in the Middle East. It is not about control of oil but rather security of supply (remember that the Japanese Navy in WWII was defeated decisively by cutting off access to oil).

      BTW, about the PDRK (N. Korea). The US has a policy of isolating Kim Jong Il (what US News and World Report compared to "Threatening a drowning man with a life preserver"), purposefully prolonging the independent existance of the PDRK for the sole reason of our fear of Chinese involvement. The issue is that South Korea's economy is largely dependent on trade with China, and there is thus fear that a unified Korea would side with China against the US. The fact that the Korean War is still not officially over prevents this from happening however. Hence we do everything we can to delay reunification so we don't end up involved in a larger China/Japan standoff. The problem with this view is that most Koreans want eventual reunification, and so we are likely to cause the specific problem that we fear through our reactions today.

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    12. Re:Oh hell no by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      BTW, my own views of Iraq are that we never should have been there (as I said before the war), but that this is a unique war which has no easy answers about what to do now. Ultimately actions are less important than intents now, and when we did make the mistake of deposing Saddam, we became responsible for the country. Although this might make our job harder in the short run, I think we need to be willing to redeploy if the Iraqi government doesn't step up to the plate regarding various offices using sectarian militas for their own internal security. We may need to leave Iraq long enough to let the current government fall apart, put together a newer, larger coalition, and move in again.

      I've been saying that it's silly to threaten Iran. The Middle East country that needs to get their act together is Iraq, and if they don't, we should invade them. That place is total chaos!

      But, seriously, we can't do that. If we start leaving right now, we'll have no military left by the time we finish withdrawing. (Of course, we could just lie about coming back, it could make a nice bookend when paired with lying about the invasion.)

      That, of course, is a much better plan than the current one, which is apparently to run out of military while we're still there. The timer is ticking down to the middle of next year. (When does al-Sadr's six month of no attacks end, anyway?)

      Iraq is harder to leave than Vietnam because we have no centralized opposition. At least when we left Vietnam, the VC could fill the power vacuum quickly but in Iraq, we will see more bloodshed, violence, and the like, and it will be our falt whether we are there or not.

      No it won't. It will be the fault of the people who lied us into this war. We hung Germans who started invading countries, will we have the courage to do that to our own people without an invasion and overthrow of our government? Will we ever face exactly what this Administration did and is still doing, or will we just quietly sweep it under the carpet?

      I don't know what to do about Iraq, either, but I sure as hell know what to do about the people who got us into it.

      We should not be using mercinaries in Iraq any more than the Iraqi government should be using sectarian militias, and Blackwater's actions certainly suggest that wrongful death suits in both the Al-Iraqya and Nasoor Square incidents might be worth pursuing.

      Private. Fucking. Armies. That is what we have come to. We train people using the military, we pay corporations huge amounts of money to hire away those trained people and pay them more, and still make insane profits.

      Everyone who's operated a mercenary army should be arrested for war profiteering, and we should subject the corporation to a corporate death penalty, dissolving it and nationalizing all its assets.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    13. Re:Oh hell no by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Saddam WAS a danger to his people, of course, but no more so than any of a half-dozen leaders causing mischief throughout Africa. Then again, none of those countries have major oil reserves to plunder. Needless to say, we're in Iraq, and not in Africa.

      And, incidentally, many of those African countries we could have helped with much less resources and lives. There are some places where stationing just a single four or five person squad in each of two dozen villages, a few heavily armed roadblocks, and cratering a few airstrips, would hold the line against total chaos and mass murder.

      I'm not saying no soldiers would be killed, but it would be a damn lot more effective than Iraq. We've done it before.

      In a lot of places, the people causing problems there have no popular support, basically, they've just managed to take control of drug production. They're essentially organized crime! If we keep them from forcing people to support them (Aka, 'protection money'.), they'll be forced to scale back operations to a few small areas, where it would be trivial to take them. It's not like Iraq where they have a popular base. People hate them and the people fighting for them are in it for the money, they wouldn't go to the hill with guerrilla operations or suicide attack.

      Plus, unlike Iraq, it would actually be legal to act, as we could actually get the permission of the 'legitimate' government, or one of the claimants thereof, or at the very least argue there's already a war going on. (Joining a war already in progress that doesn't previously involve you is not a war crime like invading a country is, although it can be frowned on if you do it for the wrong reasons.)

      Of course, I don't think that would have been a good idea either, I was just pointing out that if we truly wanted to help people, we could have helped half a continent and suffered much less casualties and resource drain.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
  70. Collision avoidance by flyingfsck · · Score: 2, Insightful

    My guess is that the submarine sensed the flotilla sailing on a collision course and surfaced to identify and save itself. That still doesn't excuse the US Sonar Operators for not sensing it.

    --
    Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    1. Re:Collision avoidance by flajann · · Score: 1

      You know what they say about "military intelligence"...

    2. Re:Collision avoidance by Idarubicin · · Score: 0

      My guess is that the submarine sensed the flotilla sailing on a collision course and surfaced to identify and save itself. That still doesn't excuse the US Sonar Operators for not sensing it.

      Indeed. If only there were some way for a submarine to evade a surface vessel. Perhaps some method could be devised that involves going around a surface vessel by travelling in some direction that the surface ship couldn't.

      We'll have to put our engineers to work on this problem.

      --
      ~Idarubicin
  71. And the BEST part IS: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That the American consumer PAID for this Submarine!!!

  72. And so it begins... by flajann · · Score: 1
    Of course, no one learns the real lesson from all of this. You (U.S.) flex your military muscle, don't expect others (China) not to do the same.

    As I predicted a few years before, China is the real threat the US needs to worry about -- not some silly "terrorist" threats. I also predict Russia will ally itself with China in any such conflict.

    And now for the sad point of this -- a war between the US and China is one the US cannot win at. Period. And as I always say, wars kills millions of innocents. Damned big governments and their military posturing for gain on the geopolitical front. Meanwhile us little guys -- Americans and Chinese alike -- will glow and be vaporised should the Big Boys decide to play with their nuclear toys. Which is inevitable in today's world should a war between two superpowers break out.

    Ain't life grand.

  73. Eggs in one basket by khallow · · Score: 1

    It's still a terrible strategy. A big problem is that the carrier is so valuable that risk of loss will change war plans. It's like pulling out the queen early on in chess. The enemy can threaten the piece and direct much of the order of the game. Similarly, you can't put the carrier into very dangerous positions, for example, constrained positions near shore or in waters where there isn't room for the full fleet group.

    1. Re:Eggs in one basket by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 1

      Pardon me?

      Why on earth would you need to put a carrier fleet into constrained waters? It's got warplanes on boar, its entire purpose is launching warplanes.

      I agree that an aircraft carrier is a very valueable target, but it is also a very valuable asset. And it appears to be well defended, although I've to hear about a credible response to cavitation missiles..

      --

      Stop the brainwash

    2. Re:Eggs in one basket by khallow · · Score: 1

      Why on earth would you need to put a carrier fleet into constrained waters? It's got warplanes on boar, its entire purpose is launching warplanes.

      Because that's often where the enemy is. For example, last I heard, there were routinely two carriers in the Persian Gulf. Would be a problem if Iran sunk them. An example of this was back in then 1980's when Iran was mining the Persian Gulf. For some reason, the US didn't have sufficient minelayers. Then they had to use the ships that they supposedly were protecting to clear the way for the more valuable carriers.

      I agree that an aircraft carrier is a very valueable target, but it is also a very valuable asset. And it appears to be well defended, although I've to hear about a credible response to cavitation missiles..

      Well defended for now. But I still think the strategy is fatally flawed. First, you concentrate too much into ten or so ships. Due to economies of scale alone, it'd probably be cheaper to have greater numbers of a smaller ship. Second, you have to protect those concentrated assets. Third, you can still lose those assets (temporarily or permanently) if a foe finds a hole in your defenses or just gets lucky.
    3. Re:Eggs in one basket by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 1

      The point of a carrier fleet is not limited to naval warfare. A bunch of smaller ships will not yet have the primary capability of a carrier - to deploy warplanes. Of course, the US military machine is working towards a military with fewer men with their pesky morals and g-force limitations, replacing as many men as possible with disposable, autonomous machines - so I guess you'll end up winning this argument in 15 years. :)

      --

      Stop the brainwash

    4. Re:Eggs in one basket by khallow · · Score: 1

      A bunch of smaller ships will not yet have the primary capability of a carrier - to deploy warplanes.

      That's an opinion. My take is that the US carriers are much larger than they need to be to hold and launch the number of planes that they have. Other countries work with smaller carriers so it does work. But the size of the US carrier and the cost for producing it is optimal for political constituencies. Anything larger and the US wouldn't have one always under production. Anything smaller and more numerous, then competitive forces would eat into the profit margins (for example, substitution by equipment used on other carriers in the world).
    5. Re:Eggs in one basket by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 1

      Well, those smaller carriers carry fewer planes too. Also, they can't launch the same planes as a full-sized carrier can. So you would need several small carriers that would not be able to put up the electronics warfare planes (I forget what they are called). I'll grant you that a lucky hit has much less consequence if there are several carriers within the same group, though.

      --

      Stop the brainwash

    6. Re:Eggs in one basket by khallow · · Score: 1

      Well, having said that, I'd have to say that the Ford-class carriers would be a step in the right direction. Smaller crew and an eye to reducing cost of maintenance, assuming it works out as planned.

  74. It's About Time! by IonOtter · · Score: 2, Informative

    Back in 2004, just before I left the Navy, I had a conversation with a contractor who was doing work on the RIM-161 Standard SM-3 defense system out at sea. I asked him what he thought about the Chinese strategy, and explained what I'd been reading about.

    The Chinese are following a doctrine of asymmetric warfare, in that they know they can't stand against us toe-to-toe. We've got bigger, faster, stronger ships, planes and weapons. Our defenses are very powerful, and we can sink 20 of their ships in minutes.

    So they've been building twenty-one ships for everyone one of our attack ships. Not only that, our defenses are built around sub-sonic missiles and munitions? So the Chinese have developed hyper-sonic weapons, such as the SS-N-22 Sunburn anti-ship missile, against which we have no effective defense.

    And lastly, I explained how the Chinese didn't spend billions of dollars on growing their own, proprietary C4I network. Instead, they approached the most advanced, NON-MILITARY businesses in the world-including the US-and said, "We'll give you exclusive rights to business in China if you build us the best C4I network you can design. We'll pay all your expenses and supply free labor."

    The result is that they have a C4I network that, while it doesn't match ours, come exceptionally close. On top of that, their C4I uses satellites as an augmentation, not the foundation of their strategy. If we shoot down their satellites, they won't be as blind as we would be if they shot down ours.

    Next to last, their coastal and landward borders are protected by a layered defense grid that doesn't rely upon the network as it's sole source of input. Rather, they use a combination of communications strategies to keep each unit in touch with the others, as well as the central command network. Sure, we have the same thing, but they've developed and deployed it along their entire border. NIMBY doesn't seem to be a problem in Communist China like it is elsewhere in the world.

    And now we have this.

    Up until now, the Pentagon has been aware of Chinese defensive capability and it's ability to severely restrict our ability to launch an effective attack against mainland China. Heck, the Chinese sent us copies of their war doctrine back in 2003, just to brag about it! The gentleman contractor I was speaking with dismissed each of my concerns, saying, in effect, "We know what they can do and have them in the bag. Don't worry, they can't touch us."

    I wonder what he's thinking now?

    This isn't a warning? This isn't even a threat. This is the Chinese pulling a Nelson and going "HA-HA!" in front of the whole world-and that gentleman contractor-and there's not a whole lot we can do about it.

    --
    [End Of Line]
  75. the Kitty Hawk by NullProg · · Score: 2, Informative

    American military chiefs have been left dumbstruck by an undetected Chinese submarine popping up at the heart of a recent Pacific exercise and close to the vast U.S.S. Kitty Hawk - a 1,000ft supercarrier with 4,500 personnel on board.

    The Kitty Hawk is not a super-carrier. Its the last conventional carrier left in the US Navy. Japan won't allow a Nuke powered aircraft carrier to be home ported in Japan.

    Considering the Kitty Hawk has no S3 Viking (Anti-Submarine) Wing, this is a non-story except for people who want to bash the USA. http://www.kittyhawk.navy.mil/Air%20Wing/cvw5.htm

    The Daily Mail in the UK can't report this?

    Cheers to the Chinese Navy though. Job well done.

    Enjoy,

    --
    It's just the normal noises in here.
    1. Re:the Kitty Hawk by splatterboy · · Score: 0

      I agree with your post in general but...
      From the article you link to: "The aircraft carrier USS Kitty Hawk is the first in a class of three super carriers." It is nuke powered, Japans no nuke rule is for nuclear weaponry - not the ships powerplant. Also from TFA: "In August 1992, Kitty Hawk was appointed as Naval Air Force Pacific Fleet's "ready carrier." a position she still holds with temp detours to the middle east - because its faster to get to the Arabian sea from japan than from the eastern US.
      The US msm will get to the story tomorrow when they figure out how to spin it...
      LOL the post following yours "Boy those Chinese must've been surprised when they inadvertantly surfaced and were completely surrounded by potentially 'enemy' ships." Wish I had mod points tonight...

      --
      "Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts." ~The Honorable Daniel Patrick Moynihan
    2. Re:the Kitty Hawk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Ummm ... the Kitty Hawk (CV-63) is conventionally powered. otherwise, it would be a CVN.

    3. Re:the Kitty Hawk by nnull · · Score: 1

      "With the decommissioning of USS John F. Kennedy (CV-67) on 23 March 2007 Kitty Hawk became the only conventionally fueled aircraft carrier still in active service with the Navy."
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Kitty_Hawk_(CV-63)

    4. Re:the Kitty Hawk by dffuller · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Japan won't allow a Nuke powered aircraft carrier to be home ported in Japan. I think it's important to remember that we aren't in Japan by invitation.
    5. Re:the Kitty Hawk by Arimus · · Score: 1

      Err... Wrong. CV- is used to designate conventional carriers, CVN- is used to designate nuclear carriers. Kitty Hawk is CV-63... note the absence of the N.

      --
      --- Users are like bacteria -> Each one causing a thousand tiny crises until the host finally gives up and dies.
    6. Re:the Kitty Hawk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Being on the Hawk myself, I can say without a doubt that it is not a nuke, BUT it's also decommissioning soon and is being replaced by the USS George Washington which is a nuclear powered aircraft carrier. The Japanese have graciously agreed to allow this to happen. Also this story.. is sooo old it's unbelievable. And finally the command was not nearly caught off guard as this story makes it seem, we were more than prepared when the chinese sub surfaced.

    7. Re:the Kitty Hawk by NullProg · · Score: 1

      I think it's important to remember that we aren't in Japan by invitation.

      No. We were invited into Japan on December 7, 1941.

      Enjoy.

      --
      It's just the normal noises in here.
  76. Re:And here's a quote as true today as it was then by fermion · · Score: 1
    Although the post is largely correct, one cannot ignore the fact that sometimes a genuinely mentally disturbed person does get into power. This person might be willing to kill thousands of people simply to pursue a personal power agenda. Such a person might kill thousands of people just to make a few more dollars. Such a person might wipe out a large fraction of humanity just to rise to power. Such things are not done by sane persons. A leader might be willing to allow all his or her people to live on the verge of death, but when a persons is willing to kill many people just to satisfy some personal goals, that person is either labeled insane or put in jail. The fact that such a person does a thing as a leader should make no difference.

    So the situation that we find ourselves in it often not simple war mongering, or profiteering, but serial killing by insane leaders. Oversimplifying it allows such insane leaders to continue thier rampage.

    --
    "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
  77. It was a diesel boat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That says it all.

    You simply can't detect a diesel boat running on the battery unless you're doing a lot of pinging and even then if the water conditions are right they can hide beneath a layer formed by the boundaries between warmer and cooler water, or they can be hidden by chance in convergence zones that form in deep water.

    The only things you even stand a chance of detecting when a diesel boat is running on the battery are transient noises - people slamming hatches, auxilliary pumps running or control surfaces moving, that sort of stuff. Even then the odds of you actually realizing it's a submarine and not just winches on a fishing trawler with its engines off are extremely low. It would take a very alert and talented sonar gang to spot one and under the right ocean conditions even they would never be able to spot it.

    About the only external noise the propulsion system makes is an extremely small vibration from the armature poles on the electric motor passing the magnets. If you hear that noise you're literally within spitting distance of it and most likely your sensor is about to collide with it.

    Not surprising and not scary at all. Don't you remember the stories about the fast attack boat with the cowboy captain that sank the Japanese fishing trawler by surfacing under it? The trawler wasn't even trying to be quiet. Anyone old enough to remember the George Washington sinking the freighter by surfacing under it and then leaving the crew to drown? If they couldn't hear those then not hearing something that was trying to be quiet shouldn't really be news.

  78. on the other hand by rodney+dill · · Score: 1

    Boy those Chinese must've been surprised when they inadvertantly surfaced and were completely surrounded by potentially 'enemy' ships.

    --

    Use your head, can't you, use your head,
    You're on earth, there's no cure for that
    - S. Beckett
  79. Re:Why? Why? Well, the wanted to ... by davidsyes · · Score: 1

    Hmmm... It seems the USN keeps vacillating between CIWS or RAM or some canister-launched defensive thingy in combination with SLQ-32 (V), rubber ducky, and this and that.

    I last read that the KDX-II and KDX-III had or will have RAM. Even the Australian Fleet Destroyer or Air superiority somesuch will not have GE's gatling gun. The pinion/mount will be there, but a box will shoot stinger-like AAW interceptors. I guess having 5 or 15 (seemingly not quickly reloadable) rounds run out in a saturation attack will render the ship to using any quad-cells that MIGHT be loaded with "all-up" anti-missile rounds.

    http://english.kbs.co.kr/news/zoom/1356843_11781.html

    http://english.kbs.co.kr/news/search_news.php
    javascript:Player('url=vnews$2007$05$25$070525_2&kind=vnews')

    http://english.kbs.co.kr/news/newsview_sub.php?menu=1&key=2007052513

    http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&ct=res&cd=2&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.baesystems.com%2FBAEProd%2Fgroups%2Fpublic%2Fdocuments%2Fbae_publication%2Fbae_pdf_ccomms_hms_daring_info.pdf&ei=Chg5R-igIpSKpASMuMXTDA&usg=AFQjCNH3a3UKbXR5c7Zb6wqOjcumBEC5MA&sig2=r4W_JtxKtlyuctiLO9-TZA

    http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=358261&op=Reply&threshold=1&commentsort=0&mode=nested&pid=21331381

    These, supposedly, are the types of ships that will screen CVBGs and amphibious task groups... conduct AAW, ASW, ASUW, etc. in deep water...

    I believe the Europeans use Goalkeeper, but even that I think is a modified GE gun.

    The current blocks of CIWS may be just fine, but it's tragic that it seems that the Stark was in no position (materiel condition) to USE her CIWS at that critical moment. Either that, or it was in standby mode, cold and not being updated (manually, I supposed) by CIC, SPS-4x, STIR, CAS.. just the Mk1, Mod 0 eyeball and eyeball extenders (10x binoculars, without NVG...) and stunned bridge watch who reacted too slowly or inadequately...

    Get or read a copy of "Missile Inbound". It is an excoriating read on the matter. From what I heard (not in the book), Stark only HAD extra AFFF (Aqueous Film-Forming Foam) and CO2 bottles and such because she'd borrowed from one or more ships in her squadron for the Pre-Deployment Inspection, and didn't return things before deploying. I think we did the same thing, borrowing, but we returned stuff. But, after Stark, MOST ships anyway were starting to get what they needed (and sometimes excess provision) for damage control when deploying. We had SHITLOADS of flammables (extra paper for radio, CIC, Supply... to print things out...) and dead weight to remove to lighten the ship back to deployment standards. Amazing what packrats we Sailors could be when complacent.

    --
    Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
  80. us navy can't do shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah, aircraft carriers were a big innovation in WW2, but now they're steel death-traps for the sailors inside.

    from 2004, Paul Van Riper trashes US fleet using zergrush tactics (lots of small crappy boats)
    http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A28161-2002Aug16

    more recently china sub surfaces undetected behind a US carrier within torpedo range.
    http://washingtontimes.com/national/20061113-121539-3317r.htm

    and this latest demonstration? the Chinese are showing their first wasn't a fluke!

    How many small boats and planes do you think China would have along its coasts? Combined with a sub attack, they could easilly decimate the US fleet if it tried to defend Taiwan, for example.

  81. Crewless subs by Loki+P · · Score: 1

    As Ben Rich said about working in the Skunk Works, never work with the Navy. After their success designing stealth fighters and stealth bombers for the Airforce, Lockheed-Martin's Skunk Works proposed a different kind of attack ship to the Navy: stealth nuke ship, four person crew. The Navy didn't buy it, figuratively and literally. Rich claimed this was because of ego. The Navy is all about chain of command. An admiral needs big boats so there's lots of crew to boss around. Robot drones cost less and are expendable, and are, perhaps, the future of human warfare.

  82. Re:And here's a quote as true today as it was then by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

    If we're discussing psychopathic leaders, Stalin would be a good start.

    --
    The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
  83. This was not a Chinese victory... by rickb928 · · Score: 1

    .. for no other reason than they lost so much more by surfacing than we could have lost by 'not knowing' they were there.

    If I were Naval Intelligence, I'd be happy with the story:

    - Chinese 'appear' in middle exercise. Or maybe, we drove over them to give them a wedgie.

    - Chinese surface in middle of a naval group to 'consternation'. Or maybe, we ping them so hard they can't even think. Along with torpedo sound and a striking cover of "Whiter Shade of Pale" that deafens their launch crew.

    - Chinese have capabilities we are 'astonished' at. Yeah, astonished they would let us know, in fact more astonished that they would let the rest of the world know.

    I see this as much victory for the US as anything. We learned much more about them than they learned about us, I bet, and the other navies of the world shared in that wakeup call.

    But make no mistake, China is our enemy, if only by their own choosing. And we have a capable enemy in them. It's just a matter of time.

    --
    deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
  84. just goes to show... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    you can't underestimate those sneaky slanties now can you!

  85. Could we be lying? by pauljuno · · Score: 1

    Kind of late to the party on this topic so I'm speaking as much to myself as anyone else, but since I didn't see it addressed after scrolling through the discussion, let me raise the question that perhaps it didn't surprise us. If we did detect it would we have shot preemptively at a sub? Probably not given the few countries that do have subs might make our lives miserable. Plus, if we act all surprised and publish how surprised we were, maybe the chinese will buy it and think that we didn't. I'm not buying it though, I'll bet we have technology down below that nobody is telling me about. I'm not a conspiracy nut theorist, but good counter-intelligence could also be a possibility. To me it's better to act surprised and not be then to shout out, "Hey, we see you!"

  86. Reminds me of a documentary on Sputnik I just saw. by shoor · · Score: 1

    This documentary, on PBS, supposedly used newly declassified info. The question at the time
    was, was the President of the US at the time, Dwight Eisenhower, asleep at the switch. According
    to the documentary, he wasn't. He didn't put much truck in space travel, but he was very very
    interested in getting spy satellites to keep tabs on the Soviet Union. The problem was the
    legality of satellites flying over sovereign nations. The Russians did it first, so the
    precedent was set. One of the talking heads in the documentary said that Eisenhower's big
    blunder was not appreciating the public reaction around the world. The documentary also
    talked about how he played his cards very close to his vest, and took his secrets to the grave,
    never trying to justify his actions in his memoirs or anything.

    So, the question now is, were our leaders asleep at the switch or are they just playing their
    cards close to the vest, like Eisenhower?

    --
    In theory, theory and practice are the same; in practice they're different. (Yogi Berra & A. Einstein)
  87. Well, duh... by crhylove · · Score: 1

    If we can't keep the CIA from importing tons of coke in electric subs, how are we going to stop the Chinese and THEIR electric subs?!? LOL

    rhY

    --
    I hold very few opinions. I hold information based on observation and fact. If you wish to disagree, please use facts.
  88. Re:Reminds me of a documentary on Sputnik I just s by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    Either way, does it matter if the outcome appears to be the same?

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  89. so would be the Bush by hoyeru · · Score: 0

    What Stalin did was to hold Russia together. If he was soft Russia would have been wiped by the Nazi Germany. If he was so psychotic, why was he helped by the USA then?
    Actually I'm amazed you didn't mention Saddam. That woulda been perfect.
    Yeah, sarcasm. Did you detect it?

    --
    fuck karma, I like saying the truth better
    1. Re:so would be the Bush by Shakrai · · Score: 4, Informative

      What Stalin did was to hold Russia together. If he was soft Russia would have been wiped by the Nazi Germany

      Oh, give me a fucking break! Do you have ANY knowledge whatsoever about that of which you speak?

      Stalin bears zero credit for "holding Russia together" during the Great Patriotic War (WW2). Stalin's paranoid purges of the Red Army prior to the war weakened his forces to the point that Finland was able to hold them off. Stalin's attempts at military "leadership" (pushing offenses against the advice of Zhukov) all ended in disaster. Stalin's sole saving grace over Hitler is that he eventually realized this and allowed his military men to conduct the war.

      Why don't you go to Russia today and try to sell people on the idea that Stalin was the savior of Russia. Let me know how that works out for you.

      If he was so psychotic, why was he helped by the USA then?

      Because he was slightly better then Hitler and the USA couldn't allow the Soviet Union to be conquered by Germany?

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    2. Re:so would be the Bush by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      You'd be surprised. Stalin is experiencing quite a comeback in Russia today. A bit like Hitler in Germany. You know, it wasn't all bad...

      People forget easily. Especially if they didn't experience it themselves.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:so would be the Bush by vertinox · · Score: 1

      Stalin bears zero credit for "holding Russia together" during the Great Patriotic War (WW2). Stalin's paranoid purges of the Red Army prior to the war weakened his forces to the point that Finland was able to hold them off. Stalin's attempts at military "leadership" (pushing offenses against the advice of Zhukov) all ended in disaster. Stalin's sole saving grace over Hitler is that he eventually realized this and allowed his military men to conduct the war.

      There is some debate to this. Stalin did royally screw things up, but it is said that he didn't as much win the war as much as Hitler lost it.

      That said, it was thought that the German forces actually survived the 41 winter counter attack because of Hitler incessant interference and demands. Of course that said, it was this that it was this interference that actually prevented Guderian from reaching Moscow in a timely matter in the first place, and that Hitler thought he could repeat the same process during the battle of Stalingrad.

      That said... Militarily Stalin wasn't that great, but political he did hold things together with fear that would have caused any western nation facing the same situation to fold up and surrender.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    4. Re:so would be the Bush by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If he was so psychotic, why was he helped by the USA then?


      Because he was slightly better then Hitler and the USA couldn't allow the Soviet Union to be conquered by Germany?

      Rule of the thumb is: If you choose first, always band with the second worst against the first worst. When you win over, your remaining potential enemy will be easier for you to keep in check.

      During the 1930's there was a short period of confusion about who is who in above formula. That is why Hitler managed to make big strides unchecked. He was potential ally against "great red scare" until it was obvious that he himself was far greater threat. Imagine Cold War against Third Reich after its victory against Soviet Union (shivers)! However, it is peculiar why they ever thought he would war against USSR without establishing firm control over Poland first. Obviously, Hitler was too ambitious for his would-be allies, or v-v he considered them too slow and weak for him to let them in.
    5. Re:so would be the Bush by pasha2891 · · Score: 1

      Yeah people only remember the good since they repress(denial) the bad. So seems if I do a lot of good and bad it's better than a little good and no bad.

    6. Re:so would be the Bush by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      Stalin bears zero credit for "holding Russia together" during the Great Patriotic War (WW2). Stalin's paranoid purges of the Red Army prior to the war weakened his forces to the point that Finland was able to hold them off. Stalin's attempts at military "leadership" (pushing offenses against the advice of Zhukov) all ended in disaster.
      You forgot one more. Mostly thanks to the oppressive Stalin policies of 1930s, Nazi collaboration was relatively widespread on the territory of the USSR compared to the rest of Europe, and especially bad in Urkaine and Belarus (because there it coincided with revival of strong nationalist anti-Soviet movements). The Russian Liberation Army alone numbered around a million (though certainly not all of them were idealist volunteers). If the German forces, and especially the SS, didn't act so heavy-handedly (through the assumption that Slavs are the "lesser race"), alienating a lot of potential collaborators, such as millions of repressed peasants, who knows, it could well turn the tide of war on the Eastern Front.
  90. Please enlighten me... by DaedalusHKX · · Score: 2, Insightful

    How to "psychotic leaders" or "insane leaders" carry out the murders of millions? Stalin only personally killed some 1000 people or so. His multi million death quota was reached by willing underlings.

    Perhaps the blame lies with the sheeple, not with the evil rulers. I've said this over and over again, its "fellow men" who are to blame, not "evil men or evil corporations, but the sheeplike nature of the majority of mankind... the mass man so to speak, for he does not lead, and does not think, he merely follows."

    --
    " What luck for rulers that men do not think" - Adolf Hitler
    1. Re:Please enlighten me... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Here's a gun, pointing at your head. Here, have that rifle. Over there, 100 people. Shoot them or I shoot you.

      Question for 100 (or your life): Do you pull the trigger, or do you want me to?

      People first of all want to live. That's understandable. That's natural. I do not condemn anyone who killed someone else to save his life or that of the ones he loves.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    2. Re:Please enlighten me... by DaedalusHKX · · Score: 1

      There's a difference between self defense and herd mentality. I've seen little to redeem mankind in my eyes so far in the cities and suburbia and even in the rural areas as far as government worshipers go. The only thing that can possibly redeem them in my eyes is the fact that some are willing to step outside of that "just because everyone else fell in line" crap and stand/walk/crawl on their own and question that "authority". I'm not talking USA here, I'm talking every country I've ever been to.

      We all live, we all die, and by what I've seen in my life, I'm willing to believe we all continue to come back here, or wherever. By the sounds of it, most prefer to live on their knees, and die on their knees and plot how to obey when the master hits them... some, however, walk away or plot revenge. Those are called "men". Society has tried to destroy that breed of human, leaving only effeminate, obedient, "males", not many "men" left around but they still exist, thankfully. After all, you cannot shove "society's good" down someone's throat if he's a man and decides to search the truth out for himself. You can only shove society down the throats of the obedient masses. That's why you need a democracy. The masses rule, and since they are easily lead, guess what that leads to? Eventual tyranny or eventual chaos, as things have to be held within an iron grip to keep the unthinking sheep in line. Men will walk their own paths, and thus are rare.

      Just my few cents :)

      PS - if you point a gun at my head, and threaten me, and then put a gun in my hands, you'd be in a "bad" place. Any "man" would shoot you before you could blink if you put a high powered rifle in his hands after threatening him with death. Course most soldiers are tough as hell, but sheep, not men. Men have one additional attribute, applicable only to sentient beings, intelligent beings, if you would. They find ways to circumvent coercion. Sheep do not. Sheep make fantastic woolen clothes and food, and seem to have little issue with being converted into those things, other than screaming when they are butchered. Interestingly, sheeple have the exact same qualities. You can choose which you are, because they're mutually exclusive.

      --
      " What luck for rulers that men do not think" - Adolf Hitler
    3. Re:Please enlighten me... by Diakoneo · · Score: 1

      if you point a gun at my head, and threaten me, and then put a gun in my hands, you'd be in a "bad" place.

      Well, no. Not if he gave your 'comrade' the clip of ammo and said "Run 100 yards. Load the weapon. Fire. If you stop before then, we shoot both of you."
      Which is kind of how I think it really went.
      And I wonder if the same might not have been done in the Chinese Sub incident.
      "You are lead sub. Behind you are three similar subs with live torpedoes. Go into the middle of their fleet and surface or we will shoot you."
      (Tongue firmly in cheek.)

      --
      "Well..here I am..." - Jubal Early
    4. Re:Please enlighten me... by planckscale · · Score: 1
      best lyrics ever and words I've tried to live by:

      Bad Religion - Henchman

      stranded

      in a life in which your struggle for acceptance

      is a never-ending chore

      upbraided

      for your actions past and present and rewarded for ideas

      of the future's bright open door

      the henchman

      is the human analogue of the suffering multitudes

      who like good dogs sit and lick for their reward

      so what good advice have I got for you

      to insure against your likely metamorphosis into this reprobate?

      don't be a henchman!

      stand on your laurels

      do what no one else does

      praise the good of other men for good man's sake

      and when everyone else in the world follows your lead

      (although a cold day in hell it will surely be)

      that's when the entire world shall live in harmony

      --
      Namaste
  91. ... nothing happens. by Shihar · · Score: 1

    Oh yeah man, THE WAR is going to be on us any second now. Sure, the US and China are economically tied at the hip and have no large conflicts between them, but lets not reason get in the way of getting scared!

    The fact is that the world survived the Cold War, which was a far scarier ordeal. The US has no economic tie ins with the USSR, had every reason to fear that it was an expansionist empire (and they the same), and we had poor communication with them. Now look at China. There no points of conflict except over Taiwan, and lets be honest, the US won't do anything to save Taiwan these days other than pump them with guns and cash. The US and China share the same economic heart and it would be suicide for either party to harm the other. In fact, China is even more bound to the US than the US is to China. To top it all off, the US and China have excellent lines of communication.

    There is no brewing war here. The final days of the Soviet Union were a perfectly good time to be terrified that the end was near and the USSR would go out with a bang rather than a whimper. China and the US burning along with their respective economic booms, both rising in power and wealth, are hardly anything worth fearing. The remoteness of war between the two only grows as China only grows as China's becomes more liberal, its power base more diffused among practical minded leaders, and the two nations intertwine economically even further. Rogue Pakistani nukes getting into hands of radicals give me far more heartache than the thought of China deciding that in the hight of the their rising glory NOW would be a good time to be wiped out in nuclear Armageddon.

    1. Re:... nothing happens. by flajann · · Score: 1
      Don't be fooled by the so-called economic ties between the US and China. Look at who has the upper hand in all of that. It ain't the US, folks. China props up a major portion of the US debt. China supplies many of the good the US consumes. They may have been a more even kneel in the past, but currently, this economic tie is growing more and more lopsided all the time.

      There are now emerging alternative markets to the US -- namely Europe and other places. There has also been recent rumors about China dumping the USD. How true those rumors are are anyone's guess. But I also predicted this as well a few years go -- that China would seek to undo its dependence on the USD.

      So, if China decided, today to dump the USD and grab the Euro, who would be the most hurt by that move? I'll leave you to answer that.

      What I think China is doing is sending a "gentle" message to the US that they are not the only big boys on the block anymore.

      China apparently has efforts underway to do moon exploration, also a telling sign.

      All the details mean nothing by themselves, but taken together speaks of a fine tapestry of the geopolitical power plays and what is likely in store for our future -- if only you have eyes to see it.

      Well, with me having posted this, let's check back in 5 years. I predicted Bush was bad news just from some observations during the first time he ran for office. I had no idea how bad though. And I (and some others) could clearly see the Iraq war as a wash, long before the rest of the country realised the obvious.

      I don't claim to have ESP or any of that nonsense. All I do is look with my eyes and listen with my ears and think about it. And honestly, I wish I were wrong more often than not.

    2. Re:... nothing happens. by Shihar · · Score: 1

      Don't be fooled by the so-called economic ties between the US and China. Look at who has the upper hand in all of that. It ain't the US, folks. China props up a major portion of the US debt. China supplies many of the good the US consumes. Uh, the US has the upper hand. What does China have? A billion poor people with extremely high saving rates. China is not a consumer market. China is cheap labor with decent infrastructure (by third world standards). China's market? China's market is the US and the EU. If either one of those two were to vanish tomorrow, China would plunge into economic ruin.

      So, if China decided, today to dump the USD and grab the Euro, who would be the most hurt by that move? I'll leave you to answer that. And here is the answer. Trading currency is not a video game where you instantly sell it at the listed price. The truth is, the more you sell, the less you can sell it for. If China was to dump the US dollar... you know, the one thing backing THEIR currency, it would be even more damaging to them than it is to the US. The US simply raises taxes tweaks the value and buys back dollars. China on the other hand takes a massive loss from the investment they have made in the dollar. This leads to economic ruin in China and far more minor heartache in the US.

      And now comes the rub. When the US faces economic ruin, it tends to go into dull out for a few years before merrily springing back. The current president gets kicked out, and within a few years things are back to normal. When China faces economic ruin, all hell breaks loose. China already has tens of thousands of instances of civil unrest each year. China is not some monolithic uniform empire of unity. China is constantly a few short steps from a change in government, and for China to change government (unlike in the US) it takes violence. The danger of economic collapse and upsetting the rising middle class and already deeply impoverished lower class is social anarchy unthinkable in the US. China has a lot to lose.

      Finally, there comes the larger point. What exactly will the US and China fight over? China isn't an expansionist empire looking to import its government. In any conflict between the US and China, the EU might not jump in guns blazing for the US, but they would bring down the economic anvil of d00m at roughly the same time the US does. With China's factories go silent as their products are bared from western markets. China's finances go to hell as they are bared from US and EU financial institutions. The US and EU would like their economic wounds and go find some other place with a billion poor people to make their iPods. China is now fucked and goes back to being the impoverished archaic nation that it was just a few short decades ago.

      China has everything to lose and absolutely nothing to gain. China's only hope for the future is to tie itself as tight as it can economically with the EU and the US, rise its people out of poverty as fast as possible, and pray for enough wealth to weather the damning social stability it will face when the economy turns down and there is no peaceful way to remove the government.
  92. Tricky Chinese by Hidden+Pedestrian · · Score: 1

    To be fair to the CIA, it is most likely that the emergence of the ship above water was followed by "We got you guys so good!" and immature laughter.

  93. Iraq has nothing to do with 9/11 by Reality+Master+201 · · Score: 1

    It never has and never will.

    And Japan? Yeah, it was a threat. It was also a sovereign nation with an army and a navy, unlike the guys who perpetrated the 9/11 attacks, who are either dead or living in caves, and would have been in no better shape had we skipped the Iraq adventure alltogether.

  94. The world's only military superpower... by nicc777 · · Score: 1

    Yes - that is in the second paragraph of the article. So why is China not considered a super power anymore? If you leave Nukes out of the equation, I think China stand a very good change of winning a conventional war against the US - although it would not be a pretty war! Technology helps - but numbers sometime help more. The Chinese can just keep on sending troops - wave after wave. As this article also show, they are not that far behind in terms of technology either. In fact, how many electronic components in modern battle craft are manufactured in China?

    The only problem for China as I see it is that they will have to fight on home soil. Supporting over a million troops half a world apart is not easy - or cheap.

    Cheers all!

    --
    Need an ISP in South Africa?
  95. Song and Kitty Hawk about the same age by jsimon12 · · Score: 1

    If it surfaced near a modern nuclear career I would be surprised. But it didn't it surfaced near the USS Kitty Hawk, which is 47 years old, about as old as the Song Class diesel submarine.

  96. Re:Why? Why? Well, the wanted to ... by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

    I also at the time, well, around June 87 as an E-4 Radioman, but not Gunner's Mate or weapons person, told several of the GM's (who were loading the DU (depleted Uranium) rounds into the gun (they were wearing asbestos gloves, but no respirators...tsk tsk...),

    I suspected from the many errors you make you were either lying, making shit up, or merely repeating fleet rumors - and this statement alone proves it.
     
    If you weren't a GM, why should we trust you about CIWS? Since you incorrectly believe that asbestos gloves (which were long gone from the Navy by 1984 and wouldn't have been required for ammo handling anyhow) and that respirators were required for handling DU rounds (they aren't)...
     
    You don't know what the fuck you are talking about.
     
     

    "This gun isn't worth shit. All the Soviets need to do is pickle our asses from high altitude with a self-guided or corrected set of bombs. They don't even need a direct hit. Just defoliate our masts and antennas. Hell, they could come from zenith and attack the CVNs, BBs and anything else IF they can break through CAP (Combat Air Patrol) for CVNs or sqwack (fake being CommAir (commercial aircraft) and close in on us."

    Amazingly complicated shit is amazingly easy in Tom Clancy novels and the minds of armchair admirals. (Hint: Among other things you get wrong - it doesn't matter what they 'sqwak' [sic], because combat radars rely on skin paint. Not squawks.)
  97. *Yawn* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This incident isn't surprising in the least. During wargames with the Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force (JMSDF) my frigate regularly got its ass kicked by the little Japanese diesel boats that tied up alongside us in Yokosuka. Submarines are a big, big threat and the only things that are greatly effective against them are aircraft and other submarines. Unless they are really trying hard, surface ships are practically blind to subs. And they don't try hard without a good reason, like an anti-sub exercise or a threat. They aren't staffed for it, for one. You have to man the hull-mounted sonar, stream the TACTAS (tactical towed-array sonar), keep track of ocean conditions and thermoclines, track all the sonar contacts and blips you might turn up with all that gear in the water, and keep your ASW helo in the air as much as possible, which means you are at flight quarters every three hours.

    That kind of evolution runs a crew into the ground fast. You don't just do it all the time while out on transits or exercises just to 'stay safe'. And contrary to popular belief, the Navy doesn't protect it's carriers very well in the absence of a credible threat. There are only a couple of remotely-unfriendly navies that could possibly take advantage of that, and even if they did we could still send their entire fleet to the bottom (if they had the balls to put it to sea) within a couple of weeks, using *our* subs. Sure it would hurt, but the point is that there's no one around to seriously take us on. Defending against a seriously-take-us-on attack just isn't worth the money it would cost.

    1. Re:*Yawn* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also, it's one thing to pop up unexpected in peacetime when no one was previously trying to locate or track you. In wartime the enemy attempts to track you from the time you leave port, and re-focuses on you whenever you surface or attract attention. Diesel-electric boats must run surfaced part of the time, and are at a significant speed disadvantage when submerged and running on batteries. They are very advanced compared to their WWII counterparts, but they still have to play the same game. Nukes play their own game.

  98. Last year by DoktorTomoe · · Score: 1

    Wasn't this like late 2006 or something?

    GlobalSecurity, most of the time a reliable source, says so.

  99. Bulls**t by DoktorTomoe · · Score: 1

    > Intended to replace the aging Ming-class submarines, the first Song-class submarine was launched on 25 May 1994 and started sea trials in August 1995. but did not become operational until 1998.

    GlobalSecurity again. Do you do research before posting?

    1. Re:Bulls**t by jsimon12 · · Score: 1

      The Song class diesel-electric submarine is Chinese built submarine derived from the Soviet Romeo class submarines, which is a design from the 1950's. Do you research before rebutting :)

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_039_submarine

    2. Re:Bulls**t by DoktorTomoe · · Score: 1

      Well, most of modern cars are derived from the Benz model of 1885. This does not make a modern days sports car a 130 years old model... ;)

    3. Re:Bulls**t by jsimon12 · · Score: 1

      Good example, so lets compare the Benz 1885 to the space shuttle, that is what you need to do to compare a diesel-electric sub to a modern nuclear one. Light years different in their capabilities.

      Also understand the USS Kitty Hawk, aka the Shitty Kitty, is the only non-nuclear carrier in service and it is a steaming pile of dung.

    4. Re:Bulls**t by DoktorTomoe · · Score: 1

      Well, as you do not seem to have a realistic grasp on technology, I think this discussion is over.

    5. Re:Bulls**t by jsimon12 · · Score: 1

      Hahahahahahaha, two things

      1. You are just a jackass.
      2. Have you ever been on a diesel submarine from the 1950's?

  100. The End Is Nigh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I was reading this story the other day along with one about how the 5th fleet will largely be sunk in a war with Iran and yesterday I read a story in the Financial Times - "Admiral William Fallon, head of Central Command, which oversees military operations in the Middle East, told the Financial Times that while dealing with Iran was a "challenge", a strike was not "in the offing"." And, to top it all, the sub-prime meltdown has even reached a pirate torrent site. Its no longer accepting donations in dollars, preferring Euro's. Oh dear, methinks you all best be subscribing to Survivalist Are Us Monthly, have a nice decade.

  101. Yeah more dead American killers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As Democrat and loyal Slashdot reader I am thrilled that more of these American warmongers can be killed.

    I blame the Jew Puppet George Bu$Hitler Chimpy McHaliburtain

    If he was spending more time protecting AmeriKKKa instead of blowing the heads of those Army kids for his amusement.

    Oh well, every dead soldier is one less ReThuglican and more votes for us Democrats.

    1. Re:Yeah more dead American killers by someonehasmyname · · Score: 1

      Louis? Is this you? It looks just like one of your crazy rants.

      --
      Common sense is not so common.
    2. Re:Yeah more dead American killers by Joey+Vegetables · · Score: 1

      It is seldom the avowed warmongers that die in war; it is the common man (and often woman), many of whom oppose war, but are drawn into it anyway, either by living too close to a battle zone, by being drafted, or by being economically raped to such a degree that the military salary and "benefits" actually look good by comparison to any likely alternative.

      And I say this as a libertarian, with conservative personal beliefs (one of which is that I do not attempt to force these beliefs on others, and therefore do not vote for those who do). And one who initially, if naively, supported military action against the Taliban (though not what the Afghanistan war has since morphed into, and certainly not Iraq or any other war of blatant aggression).

      True conservatives, true liberals, and decent people of any other political persuasion - or none in particular - ought to be able to agree on this much at the very least: that of all possible choices, war should be the LAST resort, or very nearly so, not the first. This is not to say we may not defend ourselves if attacked, nor that there aren't things worth fighting and dying for - freedom certainly comes to mind - but even those things do not justify attacking the innocent, in any way.

  102. Re:And here's a quote as true today as it was then by shmlco · · Score: 1

    "This person might be willing to kill thousands of people simply to pursue a personal power agenda."

    Now hold on! I simply will NOT allow you to talk about our president that way!

    --
    Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
  103. What are the Chinese trying to say? by rpbird · · Score: 2, Insightful

    They demonstrate an anti-satellite weapon. They show off a quiet sub. The second isn't as impressive as it sounds. As any hardcore Discovery Channel watcher will tell you, several of our European allies already have super-quiet subs. But the Chinese show off these new technologies in public. What are they trying to do?

    When they look as us, what do they see? Remember, these guys aren't stupid, they listen when Bush speaks, they watch when he acts. They see a president completely disdainful of alliances and diplomacy, dependent upon military force and dedicated to unilateral, unprovoked military actions. They see an American administration encouraging rash behavior in its allies. Remember the recent Israeli invasion of Lebanon? The Bush administration, according to some news reports, encouraged the Israeli government in its invasion plans. What might Bush do next? The Chinese wish to show our president that not every problem has an "easy" military solution. Bush doesn't listen to words, maybe he'll pay attention to deeds.

    As Cap'n Jack Sparrow would say: "They put a shot across our bow, matey!"

    1. Re:What are the Chinese trying to say? by freedom_india · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Am sure if Bush was the captain of the Carrier, he would popped up a couple of Torps onto the Chinese sub and claimed he thought they were terr orists since only terrorists only come so close stealthy.
      You are dead right and on point.
      The chinese think about long-term effects of any thing.
      That is why i recall the chinese leader Deng Xiaoping asking the American ambassador how the "experiment" was going along (US Democracy experiment).
      They prefer to talk things over, and solve it smoothly,instead of grabbing a gun and shooting everyone involved.
      Carter and Clinton (the first) had that approach. Reagan and Bush Jr do not have it.

      Its like cutting off your head because you have a headache, earache and running nose.
      Yes, its a sure-fire way to solve your problem, only thing that you are not left alive.

      As one slashdotter had said, we need a do-nothing president (like Calvin Coolidge) for the next 4 years to undo all the damages Bush had done in 8 years.
      No proactive Hot chases, no obeying corporate dictates, just nothing and sleeping off, welcoming foreign dignitaries, propping up US dollar so that Walmart is cheap again, and making sure the FEAR of force is enough to keep our enemies off our shores.

      --
      "Doing what i can, with what i have." ~ Burt Gummer
  104. Yes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, they are, and the reason is simple. There are only enough raw materials left at easy to medium hard access to support a bit more than a billion people for the remainder of the century. There certainly isn't enough for 6-10 billion people. All credible non aligned analysts have found this out.

        China needs basically all the oil, and a huge amount of the water, and most of the metals being mined just to maintain enough growth to forestall internal collapse and revolution against their overlords. Overlords never like that, so the choice becomes, war against the west, or enough credible bluster to win by default as the west backs down, or face a billion man mob at home.

    The mob at home is actually a bigger threat to them they can't control, so they are then forced to go with option B, take on the west and win.

    One of the funnier comments against that sort of reasoning I have heard "the US spends more money on its military!". Same numbskulls never appreciate a dollar in the US is like 50 bucks in china for what gets done with it. Now do the math. China has been outspending the ENTIRE west on modernization of its military for going on a decade now. They are advancing perhaps 5 years to the west's one with practical deployments, plus, shifting huge amounts of their people out into the rest of the world to buy up entire production areas, long term contracts for energy, buying off entire governments with foreign aid (larger than the US now), to get access to new markets and the raw materials there. The west puts out football players and gangstah rap stars, they are putting out engineers and scientists. The west is providing 99% of all new R&D free to them in the form of business deals and high level academic access. I imagine anyone in any Phd program here can attest to that, and all you have to do is follow just the headlines of the business section to see where all the real investment interest is going, and where the world is really "making things". You can't win by theory, it takes doing, China is doing, the west invents patent trolls and paper financial products and sitcoms.

    This is a no brainer to see.

    The Chinese will take over, by force or by bravado, but they are going to take over.

  105. one acronym : by unity100 · · Score: 1

    ECM

  106. Yeah, simple by Talkischeap · · Score: 1

    Why should "we" start up the draft again, with all you youngsters just lined up to enlist?

    You are going to back up your talk by enlisting, right?

    --
    If it don't GO... chrome it. ~ Frank Banks
  107. This is essentially correct, but there's more by Phoenix666 · · Score: 1

    China is brushing the U.S. back. At the moment they feel themselves encircled by the United States and its allies. The recent rapprochement between America and India enhanced that impression.

    Their first and most important foreign policy objective is to retake Taiwan. The Chinese Communist Party has staked since its whole legitimacy to rule on that promise ever since the whole actual communist thing was quietly retired. So, before they do anything else, they have to prove to the Chinese people that they are the only ones who can reunite the entire motherland and shake off 150+ years of foreign domination and humiliation.

    They would also then like to rise to superpower prominence and achieve hegemony. See their massive investments in Africa and South America.

    Hegemony comes later, of course, but the obstacle to both those goals is the United States.

    So, they've been acquiring Russian Alphas and shore-to-ship missiles and amphibious landing craft and everything they'd need to prevent a repeat of 10 years ago. That is, the mainland started firing missiles across the straits of Taiwan to scare Chen Shui-bian and the Taiwanese nationalists who want to declare formal independence. The U.S. sent a carrier battlegroup to sail up and down the Straits to tell them that was a no-no; and that one battlegroup, a small portion of our navy, could have sunk the entire Chinese navy in 15 minutes. The Chinese were humiliated, and have been working to get even since then.

    In addition to the military preparations, though, they have also been scaling up in espionage, economic weapons (read: massive dollar reserves), anti-satellite weaponry, and even cyber-warfare. You might recall reading in the past six months about the Chinese staging a cyber-assault on the Pentagon, or the successful test of an anti-satellite weapon on one of its own obsolete satellites. You might also be aware of how the value of the U.S. dollar is sliding right now, and can probably imagine what would happen if China suddenly started dumping its hard currency reserves of U.S. dollars; Heck, they could send the dollar into a tailspin if they just decided to stop buying the U.S. govt. bonds the Bush administration has been printing like handbills to finance the disaster in Iraq.

    So, they're playing a long game on all the important levels, and it's about the scariest thing imaginable and it's right around the corner. And the United States government has its head so far up its own ass about Iraq and Iran and whatever enemy AIPAC thinks we need to fight, that it will be completely surprised when China does make its move.

    --
    Do what you can, with what you have, where you are.
    1. Re:This is essentially correct, but there's more by MrKaos · · Score: 1
      Mod Parent up.

      A little more pragmatic analysis of China's endgame is totally appropriate as the psyche of the Chinese Military complex is a frightening thing indeed. There should be little assumptions made about their intentions, we simply don't know anything more than they want us to know, but face saving, oh yeah. An American attempt to secure more military funding in the same way Soviet era Military capability was overstated is as likely as a genuine button pushing exercise by the Chinese to posture their military capabilities.

      There is much talk about American military and economic capability but nothing about the Chinese capability. In my own country it is known that there is a minimum of 1000 operatives installed, it would be interesting to discover how many Chinese operatives are installed in the commercial areas of the American military i.e Lockheed or Boeing etc.

      Sure they gave up intel by surfacing in the middle of American exercises, but it begs the question of how many other Chinese subs didn't actually surface.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    2. Re:This is essentially correct, but there's more by ElGanzoLoco · · Score: 1

      OK, I'm a bit late to the party, but I'll still comment. You make interesting and valid points, but here are a few thoughts:

      Their first and most important foreign policy objective is to retake Taiwan.

      I don't agree. They know damn well that the US won't let that happen anytime soon. In addition, China's economy is extremely dependent on East-Asian investment: keep in mind that Asia-Pacific countries' foreign direct investment (FDI) to China is larger than combined Western FDI to China! A conflict in the Pacific could be fatal to the Chinese economy and, right now (not that it couldn't change), it's all about the economy as far as the Chinese Communist party is concerned.

      In my opinion, China's ramping up of its Navy has much more to do with South-Asian seas, and more specifically, control over the Strait of Malacca. IIRC, about 80% of China's energy imports and 50% of its goods exports transit through that strait. China knows damn well that the US (or anybody else for that matter) blocking the strait would result in massive economic losses. Hence the necessity of China to be able to un-block the strait militarily if necessary. If anything, a war with Taiwan would probably be massively unpopular, especially if it means economic recession, and that could stir even more internal trouble than there currently is. (Nationalism / Patriotism are not driving forces among the Chinese populace, at least not if they mean conflict. Don't believe for a second that the "rallies" against Taiwan and Japan a few years back were not entirely staged by the authorities.)

      China has also been trying to extend its control in the Philippines Sea and the Indian ocean, and has been island-hopping and flag-planting at the expense of Indonesia for some time now (and maybe Philippines as well?). Reasons for this are: speculations that there may be huge amounts of natural gas waiting to be discovered in the area; fishing rights in territorial waters; installation of military bases, radar stations; etc.

      China is also trying to get access to the Gulf of Bengal and Gulf of Thailand, for similar reasons, and also because having a strong Navy presence there would make a lot of sense in the event of a show-down with India, or even the US. China is making great efforts to improve its control of countries in the region, particularly in Burma (confirmed presence of Chinese military bases on the Andaman coast) and Cambodia (China is busy linking the city of Nanning to Laos and Cambodia, by road, and, apparently, train; and there are persistent rumors that the Chinese might build a Navy base in or close to Sihanoukville, Cambodia's largest port city).

      So, they're playing a long game on all the important levels, and it's about the scariest thing imaginable and it's right around the corner.

      Of course they're playing a long game. Why would they do otherwise? But does that mean that they're preparing to get aggressive? I don't know, but I wouldn't bet on it. China's "next frontier" is... to the West, and inside its own borders. That means that they have close to 1bn people not benefitting from economic growth, and that could result in unrest, riots, instability. I think China's government is focusing on this more than on anything else and that this is, at least, buying everybody else some time. I'd say no less than 10 years.

      And the United States government has its head so far up its own ass about Iraq and Iran and whatever enemy AIPAC thinks we need to fight, that it will be completely surprised when China does make its move.

      I think Iraq/Iran and a potential show-down with China would be dealt with on completely different levels. Regarless of the level of American stupidity in dealing with that country, the war in Iraq is a purely tactial/operational affair. Same thing for hypothetical strikes over Iran. A war with China, on the other hand, would have pretty good chances of escalating to the nuclear stage pretty quickly (or at least to strate

      --
      Hello! I'm a disaster waiting to happen!
  108. Re:Why? Why? Well, the wanted to ... by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1

    The require maintenance is and always will be insane, as CIWS (pronounced seawiz) stands for 'closed in weapon system', it's the full package. Radar, weapon, tracking system, and cooling. Everything it needs to shoot except for its own power source. Errr.... CIWS stands for Close-In Weapons System, referring to its task of engaging targets at ranges too short for other systems. It is indeed a self-contained system, but that's not where its name comes from.

    --
    If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
  109. MOD PARENT UP by durin · · Score: 1

    This guy knows what it's all about.

    --
    Why, yes! I AM new here.
  110. Not entirely accurate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    First, there is an alternative. We are MUCH closer to a pandemic. When it occurs, China will no doubt be one of the hardest hit. I would not be surprised to see them lose 25-50% of the ppl. Still, that leaves a LOT of ppl to take care of.

    Second, the part that you missed was the money that China is accumulating. So many fools like to claim that it keeps China locked into us and that it will prevent them from going to war with us. But I believe it is just the opposite. The only way that business helps is when both govs. are democracies. Then if the gov. screws over the ppl by making times hard, they get voted out. OTH, China is a totalitarian. They do not care about the money. So what if they lose it. Right now, they have "bought" our manufacturing and American businesses that go to China ultimately see copy cats pop up just down the road. All in all, losing the trillion dollars that they have is NOTHING. It bought them our country and it brought them access to raw material.

    Sadly, I agree with most of what you say, but not the last statement. If we get our leadership back, and start encouraging companies to come back home (or stay here), then we will be ok. In spite of the reagan/bush deficits, the feds still carry a lot of weight. Now, if we can get them to spend it wisely rather than on Halliburtons.

  111. strategy by id3as · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You cannot be infinitely cunning in developing new type of counter-weapons. It is better to find more common goals. Best strategy to win is to make everyone want cooperate with you, because you have a desireable vision for the future of everyone.

  112. No exit stratagy? Declare victory and go home. by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    A Sunni/Sheia civil war would really really really upset us.

    We hated the Iran/Iraq wars of the 80s, they were terrible for the USA and our allies.

    That's why in the 80s we supplied enough weapons to Iraq to kick Iran's butt. We didn't cynically just give them enough to maintain a stalemate. No we wouldn't do something so underhanded, that would be wrong.

    And of course a group of people as honest and direct as the US state department would come right out and tell CNN their real intentions regarding the house of Saud and Saudi Arabia.

    We would never never deliberately destabilize any region as economically important as the middle east. After all President Bush is an Oil man who would never betray his oil pumping brothers.

    Who do you think runs the CIA? Machiavelli? A bunch of boy scouts?

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  113. The worrying factor here is China's demographics. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    China, which, like a lot of Asian cultures strongly favors male babies, has been practicing infanticide (whether by abortion or outright murder) upon it's female population for quite a few years now. End result is that there are, today, more male Chinese babies born every year than female Chinese babies. And the difference between the two is increasing every year.

    It's a result of their "one child" policy.

    As I recall, this trend, if it continues, is expected to lead to a Chinese M-F birth ratio of something like 130(M)-100(F) by 2050.

    Consider: This will result in a LARGE population of Chinese males in 2050 who cannot find Chinese females...because there are none (at least none living within the borders of China).

    For the sake of pinning down some actual numbers, let's assume Chinese population growth suddenly stopped today: Based upon today's population levels (1.3 billion Chinese), this sort of imbalance would result in a population balanced with something like 170 million more males than females. A population with 170 million frustrated, angry, men who can't find any women....

    Ghengis Khan would have loved it--an army numbering a potential 170 million men. Men who each have some some real, personal motivation for conquest.

    -------

    The only possible equalizer the west would have against such massive numbers would be nuclear weapons--otherwise, even the largest conventional armies the west could muster wouldn't make a perceptible dent in such a massive horde.

    Therefore, the west would HAVE to use N-weapons to have any hope. Hope even of managing a draw.

    Which would compel the Chinese to retaliate in kind....

  114. They also don't do a lot of active sonar by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

    Because apparently the new ultrasonic sonar the Navy favours can be damaging to undersea life. As such there's restrictions on when and where it is allowed to be used outside of wartime.

  115. I for one by agw · · Score: 1

    I for one welcome our new chinese submarine overlords.

  116. dup by kinsoa · · Score: 1

    Sorry guys, this story is at least one year old, I have the same article posted on a private forum the 14. of November 2006.

  117. Not quite accurate either by Moraelin · · Score: 1

    That seems to assume that the rich boys have some empathy for each other.

    The fact is, a lot of those who end on top are, simply put, sociopaths. A lot of CEOs for example are, and I'd wager that the percentage is even higher (if that's even possible) among politicians.

    We're talking people with no empathy for any other human. They're people who can tell any lie or cause any bad things to happen to others, with a straight face. And not have any bad feelings about it later. Because you don't matter. You're an NPC to them.

    Some even find entertainment in seeing how much they can harm someone else, and get away with it. In that you are right that some may even start a war, if it looks like they have anything to gain from it, even some momentary entertainment. At the risk of invoking Goodwin's law, Hitler had been diagnosed a psychopath in the first world war.

    A lot reinvent their past to whatever milks the most sympathy. It helps manipulate people.

    They also have such useful traits (for politics games) as never feeling responsible for anything they've caused, including to themselves. They're also nearly immune to threats, although the smart ones will be logical enough to avoid exposing themselves to unnecessary dangers and repercussions. (E.g., death treats might still make them wear a kevlar vest.) And unlike the popular novel mis-conception, no amount of reasoning or appealing to their feelings and humanity will change them: any attempt at psychotherapy just makes them better at hiding it.

    The dumb ones tend to end up in prison or shot by the SWAT, but the really smart ones end up CEOs and politicians.

    To get back to the topic, though, there is no indication that they feel any more empathy for each other. It isn't the-rich-vs-peons, it's really each rich psychopath for himself. They'll try to shaft each other just as well.

    And, partially also in response to your "welcome to the future," history is full of kings and nobles doing all sorts of painful things to each other.

    The age of chivalry existed just because (A) holding an enemy for ransom was more profitable than skinning them alive, and (B) it made it easier to manipulate the peons and lower knights to fight for you. But even then, the same "noble" knights and ladies that afforded chivalry to an enemy who can be ransomed for a tidy sum, seemed to have no qualms with poisoning each other or their relatives for a quick inheritance buck. Some even did it for sport.

    Basically, if you couldn't be ransomed or, worse yet, someone stood to make a profit from your death, the whole chivalry ideals ended right there. Then you could expect something arsenic-based in your wine.

    So, to get back on topic, when those good ol' rich boys' clubs meet, it's not as much friends, it's more like a thieves' club trying to look friendly until they can rob each other. They won't think they're brothers, they'll think as lowly of each other as they think of the peons. They'll just be polite and pleasant because it's good for business.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
  118. Don't worry, just the repo-man by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    China was just fed up with the US not paying their bills and decided to impound a carrier 'til they pay.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  119. Russian VA-111 torpedo by G3ckoG33k · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Some years ago the Russian torpedo VA-111 using supercavitating technology managed to reach speeds of more than 200 knots (370 km/h), multiple times the speed of any NATO torpedo. That, too, was a yellow shower.

  120. Silly.. by msimm · · Score: 1

    I could be.

    Just saying. ;)

    --
    Quack, quack.
  121. new release by hvulin · · Score: 1

    this bug will be fixed in the next sub-release :-)

  122. Er... by Sirch · · Score: 1

    I think you'll find that it was Argentina who invaded the Falklands.

    1. Re:Er... by Martin+Foster · · Score: 1

      Thanks. It came to me the day before! Thanks for the clarification however!

  123. My proposal by TheLink · · Score: 1

    "Interesting how when your own kids are at risk, war doesn't seem quite so wonderful"

    My proposal so far is that for there to be an _offensive_ (not defensive[1]) war or other significant military action, there needs to be a referendum first. If there are not enough votes (people just decided to stay at home or had more important things to do like go shopping), the leaders proposing the war get put on death row.

    Then later another referendum is held to "redeem" them. If there are unsufficient votes, they get _executed_. If it was found later on that the leaders lied about reasons for the war, they get put on death row and another "save them" referendum is held. On the flip side, if the leaders got executed but turns out they were right about going to war, they get "purple heart" awards and everyone gets to cry and say nice soppy things about them.

    To me this is much fairer. If you are a leader and you really believe there's a need for the war, then YOU put your life on the line first, rather than stay safe at home and cry fake tears for the fallen etc. In the old days, kings led their armies to battle (was often considered shameful to not do so). This is not practical nowadays, but I think my proposal allows it to be done "in spirit".

    Also, people in the country you are attacking will be more at ease at wiping out your entire country - since > X% of you wanted to kill them in the first place. They would be less half hearted - no need to ask "am I committing genocide?".

    So if the country really wants a war, they get a war. Otherwise fuck off and stop playing stupid games with OTHER people's lives.

    I suspect other countries would feel much safer from a country that had such a law - why bomb it, just try to convince voters to stay at home and let their leaders die.

    But so far hardly anyone seems to like this idea except me. Don't know why. I've heard objections of "that's a crazy and stupid idea", but no reasons were given.

    Sure you _may_ lose an element of surprise, but hey you're the one who wants to kill someone else.

    [1] Naturally defense is a different ball game. Perhaps you could allow treaties with likeminded (same rules for _offensive_ war) countries for mutual defense.

    --
    1. Re:My proposal by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Link, this idea is no crazier than the current method we have for going to war.

      I'm not so sure about putting the leaders who recommended war on death row, though. Maybe a little waterboarding would be good.

      I'm really impressed with countries that have universal service of some sort for all young adults. I'm not so foolish as to believe there could never be a threat that would require military action, but it's disgusting to think that only the people from the lower half of the economic spectrum should carry all the weight the way they do now.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    2. Re:My proposal by TheLink · · Score: 1

      "I'm not so sure about putting the leaders who recommended war on death row, though."

      I'm curious. Why not? Please do give reasons.

      IMO if you as a leader don't think a proposed war is worth risking your life for, then I don't see why others should be made to risk their lives for your stupid/evil whims and fancies.

      Even more so in democratic countries where leaders are NOT one of those ancient kings with slaves and subjects who have to serve them. AFAIK most elected leaders are supposed to serve the country (in theory anyway ;) ).

      With my proposal it's easy enough for citizens to get their leaders out of death row - just vote in the "redemption" referendum. If the voting system is not diebolded, even sociopathic leaders would not start a war lightly.

      Last but not least, war is not some football game. War will destroy lives in your country AND/OR lives in the _target_ country. The target or victim country does deserve some consideration too.

      --
    3. Re:My proposal by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      I'm curious. Why not? Please do give reasons
      It's just that I'm against the death penalty, even for war-mongering politicians. I'd accept, and be willing to deal out, a good horse-whipping though.
      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    4. Re:My proposal by TheLink · · Score: 1

      Fair point. How about life imprisonment then (and lose leadership position etc)? I don't quite like the idea of torture though, and many sociopaths don't care about short term pain - and it's those sort of leaders you worry about :).

      I'm normally against the death penalty too. I make an exception in this case since I believe war is an exceptional case (or should be ;) ). War involves people making lots of people kill lots of people and having them believe that it is the right thing to do.

      If the proposed war involves not killing any people, then yes it's fair to have no death penalty.

      --
    5. Re:My proposal by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Life imprisonment it is. I'm agreeable.

      And I agree that war is exceptional. Although I'm generally against the death penalty, capital punishment for those convicted of crimes against humanity doesn't bother me all that much. But of course it depends on who's doing the convicting. Slobodan Milosevic dies in a cell in the Hague, but George Bush gets a billion-dollar library built in his honor. Saddam Hussein is hung and Donald Rumsfeld, Al Gonzalez (who was only following orders, of course) and Dick Cheney retire gracefully to their hunting lodges. It's really a matter of who's got the power, and of degree.

      You know, I'm a pretty old guy, and if someone had told me back when I graduated high school back in '74 that the idea of World Government should be so universally reviled here in the US after the turn of the millennium, I wouldn't have believed it. I figured for sure by now we'd have figured out that nationalism wasn't doing us much good and that at least a World Criminal Court was a pretty good idea for keeping the worst impulses of leaders at bay.

      Then again, I thought we'd have a colony on the moon by now, too.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
  124. unfair trade by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    we send them ore and $$$ for every consumer product you can see in front of you right now and they send us steel in the form of threats...doesn't seem like a good deal...

  125. Seen this .. done that by mbierenfeld · · Score: 1

    This happened a few times even in the seventies during NATO Exercises. So why dont you tell us something new. In the meantime why don't the navy buy one of these

    http://www.naval-technology.com/projects/type_212/

    The nuclear submarines are to noisy

  126. You made a classic blunder, you must be american by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 1

    Pre WW2 there were movements in great britain to reduce agriculture, farming was not a proper business anymore, far better to have lesser countries do that and use the country side for relaxation.

    It made sense, england back then could afford to import most of its food, and its own farming industry wasn't exactly top notch.

    Then WW2 broke out, and BAM, no more imports. These days again, people are trying to reduce englands own farming industry with claims it is better to get it from abroad.

    The problem is simple, what is true today, doesn't have to be true tomorrow. The entire history of the world is full of examples of nations who thought, oh war isn't going to happen, or we have time, or the rules have changed we no longer need X.

    Recent examples, what was the most effective aircraft of the first Gulf War, that spiffy stealth bomber OR the dirt cheap unloved A10 tankkiller.

    They hastily had to extend the life of that plane because all of sudden the US needed to destroy lots and lots of cheap tanks. Sure you can blow them up with missles that cost many time the cost of the enemy tank, but the A10 does it for peanuts. The istory of war, the US in particulair is filled with these kinds of examples, were leaders made a mistake of NOT preparing for everything and thought they could limit possible future wars to a single scenario.

    We don't know what the future will bring. War isn't in the intrest of china, but war didn't exactly turn out to be in the intrest of germany either. Or japan. Or Italy. The serbs didn't do too well either, neither did Iraq, afghan was rewarded by being once again occupied.

    The US military power is largely based on its carriers, they give it the power to project its might where it wants, when it wants it. To suddenly find out that a diesel-sub (not nuclear, a plain old diesel sub) can come undetected in torpedo range is very scary indeed. These things ain't expensive. Even terroriss could afford one. The reason they ain't expensive is that it was thought they were mostly obsolete.

    The thing is, this sub was only detected when it surfaced (I am having some serious doubts about this), it could have emptied its tubes in the heart of the fleet, almost certainly resulting in the sinking of the carrier. IF this is true, it means that for instance Iraq could have bought one of these subs and used it to sink allied ships, they had the money.

    The motto of any army should be to be prepared for what ever may happen, hopefully by showing that any attack is futile, you can prevent those attacks from happening in the first place. The reason most countries ain't at war is because they know that it would be too risky. All of sudden this story seems to say that risk to attack the US can be reduced. The americans ain't got all that many carriers, just how expensive would it be to equip a fleet capable of sinking all the carriers? You would instantly reduce the US military power.

    Is china going to attack the US? Watch Tora! Tora! Tora! a realistic movie about Pearl Harbour. Most of WW2 in fact is one long chain of countries being invaded that didn't think it would happen. It did.

    Remember, Pearl Harbour was NOT an attack against the US with a plan to invade and concour it, it was meant to knock the US out of the war long enough for Japan to make its claim in the east and then make peace when it had become too powerfull to be removed.

    China might want to do the same thing, not destroy the US or occupy it, simply keep it from interfering in its affairs with for instance taiwan.

    The US permantly got a fleet in that area to protect taiwan. Say the chinese launched an attack to reclaim it, the US carrier force would be a massive deterrent, but now they have shown they can take that carrier out. Then the US, with a reduced naval force would NOT be faced with fighting of an invasion force, but freeing an occupied nation.

    No china once again upped the stakes in this dangerous game of who is the dominant power in the east. Alth

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

  127. Wrong, that would mean war by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 1

    China doesn't want war, not right now at least. It also really doesn't want taiwan. What on earth would it do with it. It just doesn't want to be seen backing down on it either. The current situation suits them and for that matter suits the US and most of the world.

    But China is also in danger of being seen as weak, or thinks itself being seen that way at least, so it must show it got a bark. Taking out an american spy plane, destroying a satelite, supporting north-korea (that is mess china would dearly love to get rid off, if only it wouldn't loose face over it) and now, showing that that might US fleet ain't all that mighty after all.

    If it did want war, the sub would not have surfaced, it would have quietly slipped away and once out of range send a signal, 'test succesfull' and chinese military planners would have made another mark on their checklist for conditions for a succesfull invasion of taiwan "reduce US capability to interfere".

    Upsetting the economy is NOT in Chinese interest, it benefits them far too much. In case of war the world economy would be gone anyway, the US is under no obligation to honor its debts to a country it is at war with. China can't exactly set the bailifs on washintong. Impound Fort Knox?

    The US projects its military power by sailing its carriers around the world, and the chinse projects its by popping up in torpedo range and saying "Boom you are dead". It is a game, a lethal game played for high stakes, but the chinese have shown it is still just horsing around. If they were serious, we wouldn't have had this story.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

  128. Active sonar is tied anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    you can't keep your sonar on all the time. Active sonar can't penetrate the thermocline (except direct line and close). Meanwhile you can see who is there, how many emitters and track their patterns (giving the size and speed of your tankers/main ships). You plot the course they will pass on (while beyond visible range) and vector in some boats for either mine work or silent picket.

    Boom.

    So you can't have your sonar active all the time.

    So you can only turn your sonar on sometimes. However, in a simulation, you KNOW when you've been tangoed. Tie the hands and work without active.

  129. FUDdy duddies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is it not possible that this was an accident? If I wandered into a foreign nations navy exercise I would probably make them aware of my presence to avoid confusion. It is simply the polite thing to dp!

    But its definitely the kind of story the media will pick up on

  130. Re:The worrying factor here is China's demographic by KDR_11k · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Do you know what it would cost to employ, train and equip 170 million soldiers? 1000$ is probably a fairly lowball figure if you were to outfit them all as infantry and you'd already spend 170 billion dollars just on equipment. Be generous and assume an average salary of 50$ a month. 8.5 billion dollars per month. And that's if you use them as cannon fodder. If you want proper promotions the salarieas increase, if you want tanks, planes and transports you're looking at another few hundred billion.

    Unless the entire Chinese economy would be geared and taxed for war that 170M army would turn out to be little more than cannonfodder for any serious army and almost immobile as the supply lines and transports are insufficient to keep such an army moving. Would be impossible to acquire enough food and supplies just from the conquests, if your supply lines get interrupted your 170M men are going to starve. You're better off using fewer people and more advanced equipment.

    --
    Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
  131. Embarrassed My Ass by bratwiz · · Score: 1


    I'm not sure why anybody's "embarrassed". What the hell do you expect when you're selling this country down the river to China in every other respect, from jobs to manufacturing to real estate to massive loans to the USA federal government (in large portion to fund Dickhead's war that nobody else wants)-- while China, on its own, is going around buying practically every resource (particularly energy and steel-related) on the planet. Meanwhile our Doofus-in-Chief continues to ignore China, and the other Doofuses in congress continue to give China "Most-Favored Nation" status year-after-year while simultaneously ignoring civil and human rights abuses while America _drowns_ in pathetic, shoddily-manufactured cheaply made goods-- in some cases downright deadly goods-- from China. We let China sh*t all over us and STILL we continue to bend over and take it....

    And we're _SURPRISED_ AND _EMBARRASSED_ ???

    Puh-leeeeze -- the corrupt leaders in this country make me sick.

  132. maybe they ... by rs232 · · Score: 1

    Maybe they wanted to play submarines ... :)

    --
    davecb5620@gmail.com
  133. Oh please... by Moraelin · · Score: 1

    Oh please, spare me the "boohoo, we're all to blame" BS.

    If you want to talk willing minions, get this: a full 1% of the population scores a clean psychopath score, and some 3 to 4% (depending on the country and sample) score high enough to be called a sociopath. There are plenty of them available to fill the spot of heartless minion. No, it's not the sheeple who turn into the likes of Yezhov (the "toxic dwarf" that led the NKVD at the apex of its brutality during Stalin's age) because they follow the leader. It's people who were psychopaths in the first place, who find the jobs where such ruthlessness gets them a good pay or free hand in terrorizing others.

    The "sheeple" as you call them have many faults, and do tend to be passive and easy to lead or to terrorize. That doesn't make the victims share the blame equally with the butchers, though, any way you slice it.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:Oh please... by DaedalusHKX · · Score: 1

      No, actually a psychopathic score can also be gotten by those who go "clean logic" route. I've acquired copies of the test scoring schemes a few times after taking several "mind health / personality trait" type exams.

      I've come to think the sheep deserve their treatment because they continue to ask for it. They are enablers. If the sheeple were armed, and responded (not reacted, mind you, there is a difference) properly. Then the "psychopaths" would have to choose a different vocation or rethink their mindset.

      The percentage of psychotics, sociopaths, psychopaths, and whatever denominations may have been "found" to further alienate responsibility from the individual... regardless of the "brain chemistry" excuses given for it, are lifestyle choices trained over a period of time. Simply put, it is mental and emotional conditioning, part of which we all go through in the government sheepifying facilities known as public schools. The psychopaths see that children are forced to be defenseless and take no responsibility for their actions, and then subconsciously test the waters. They get away with bullying, stealing, doing whatever else suits their fancy. They get "punished", which, to a healthy mind isn't really punishment. Being put in detention, where one can read or write is a blessing as opposed to the consistent droning of a teacher who knows as much about her slowly taught, boring subject matter as the students she teaches. Suddenly the world takes on a different hue for these people (the bullies/psychopaths). I know because I faced this choice consciously, the only difference was that I saw it coming up and made my choice fully knowing of the outcome. When he tried his hand with me, I responded in kind, and knocked one of these kids on his ass, and he NEVER bullied me again. I even asked him if he was okay :) Since no other kid did what I did, and the school system did its usual inept response by trying to put everyone on mind altering drugs instead of letting kids be kids, he continued on to other future victims, but I was safe, because he perceived my strength and rather than work on a hard target, he found the point of least resistance and went on his merry way. The results of my conscious decision were, pleasure, enjoyment, higher safety than all the other students... and suspension from school. Yep, TWO days of in school "quiet time" and one day outside of school where I could actually read, write and not listen to some drone try to inculcate me into authority worship.

      It is all about choices we make. We make them, and live with the consequences of those choices. I'm not necessarily talking about "societal" consequences, I'm talking about internal, personal, natural consequences, things we all do, and face, that change us, for better, or worse, as the case may be. Most people try to shirk these choices off however they can and blame it on external factors, genetics, brain chemistry, bad childhood, not enough hugs or too many. We cannot truly control all that, but we CAN control how we react to things and what path we take. Even the fears we think we are born with, can be traced to some event in our primal childhood memory, stuff buried deep within that we forget happened. Once confronted, our previous conditioning can be "dealt with". Those who score psychopath and who ARE psychopaths are merely those who answer one way which they might be contemplating at any one point in life (as all humans do, at a subconscious level) and then ACT upon that path without considering any of the others. They are little different than the sheeple who willingly allow that abuse of themselves to take place, unchallenged, unresisted, uncontested.

      I had a friend who almost got raped by a stalker. Her national "state police" type apparatus decided that since he was someone she had possibly known, until he made death threats and she had evidence, they couldn't even keep an eye on her. They'd "look into it". I asked her if she would consider getting armed and trained

      --
      " What luck for rulers that men do not think" - Adolf Hitler
  134. Wow...dick measuring contest by master_p · · Score: 1

    ...and not a single comment in the entire Slashdot discussion about how pointless all the weapons are. When African tribes battle for supremacy, they are uncivilized (and thus inferior) people. When westerners do the same, it's ok. The bigger guns justify it somehow, I suppose.

  135. Not that Surprising by WeirdJohn · · Score: 1

    The following is NOT a flame or attack on the USA, so please don't think it is one.

    Almost every time there's war games played between USA and Australia (such as the Kangaroo series), the Oz subs 'sink' the US carriers in the first two days (often within the first few hours!). Then the exercises continue. I think it shows 3 very important things:

    1) The US Navy has such a huge reliance (ouch - bad pun) on it's carriers that it may actually have a real weakness and lack of agility there.

    2) US Anti-submarine tech has been developed specifically to deal with the Soviet Threat. The 'New Enemies' don't have what is perceived to be a credible sub force and so there has been no political thrust to allocate funding to a more widely scoped anti-submarine force.

    3) Small nations (like Australia, Iran and North Korea) and 'less developed' nations like China, Iran and North Korea can pose some level of effective resistance to US aggression by investing in older submarine tech combined with great training.

  136. Three strikes by Frantactical+Fruke · · Score: 1

    I tend to give more credence to well written arguments. Your comment contained
    a) glaring typos (loose -> lose)
    b) mixed metaphors (print money on trees - the US Mint is run by monkeys?)
    c) interesting logic (the market will take care of the second part -> b) find politicians willing to exercise fiscal restraint? Huh? Now that's cynical.)

    Regarding the contents of your statements:
    The US is not an export driven economy, compared to most any other industrialised nation, so expensive imports will hurt more than can be gained by exports.
    I will not start the standard flame war on environmental matters, so no comment.
    The citizens as well as the governments are deep in debt and a rise in interest rates and losses in credit ratings have already pushed many over the tipping point, with more to follow. I do not expect that banking crisis to be a short term correction.

    1. Re:Three strikes by WhiteWolf666 · · Score: 1

      *shrug*.

      Slashdot is one step above a private journal. You're lucky if Slashdotters use proper grammar and punctuation. Get over it; it's a written form of informal discussion, in which the rules of language aren't a big deal.

      I can write journal articles, too. But not on Slashdot.

      --
      WhiteWolf666 an exBush supporter. All you new-school,compassionate,save the children Republicans can rot in hell
    2. Re:Three strikes by WhiteWolf666 · · Score: 1

      Now for the substantive portion.

      First; you're simply wrong about the debt. Take a look: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_public_debt . Germany, Japan, Italy, France, Singapore, Canada, all maintain higher levels of public debt than the U.S. You probably don't point at these countries as economic failures, and with good reason. Either way, the issue is far more complex than oOo oOo TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DEBT! We're seeing a correction in the financial markets, mainly as a result of these stupid sub-prime mortgages which people took out. They are rightfully being buried under their debt, which is a necessary function of capitalist markets.

      Second; you're simply wrong about the U.S. not being an export economy. We're the second largest exporter in the world, behind Germany (and sometimes largest, depending upon the way you calculate it, and aircraft sales in any given year.) We export more than China. Of course, we're still a net balance importer, but that's not the point. Anything that strengths our exports is excellent for the American economy.

      In a nutshell, you're fear mongering. There are serious problems in the U.S. The current status of our economy is not one of them. Rather, our future commitments (and consequent future debt) are.

      --
      WhiteWolf666 an exBush supporter. All you new-school,compassionate,save the children Republicans can rot in hell
  137. Superiority is hard to measure. by mrthoughtful · · Score: 1

    One of the difficulties is that measuring superiority with submarines is not as easy as you may think. For instance, every US combat submarine is nuclear - and what that means is that they cannot be silent. Diesel-electric submarines can be 100% silent - and as you probably know, being a submariner, that means that they are 100% undetectable unless you are bump into to them. Nuclear generators need to be regulated all the time - so they cannot shut down, and they have a much louder sonic signature than diesel-electric running silent or even on electric.

    So the US got rid of Blueback in 1990 and lost an essential strategic vehicle in the process - short voyage and coastal work, and close work is done better with small diesel-electric submarines. As you know, one of the most important tasks is surveillance and for that you typically get very close to shore.

    IMO, the primary purpose of the US submarine fleet over the last few decades was moved away from surveillance and towards providing an undetectable nuclear launch platform - as was seen necessary for the cold war.

    Anyways - it's not so hard to identify 'superiority' out of a specific context.

    --
    This comment was written with the intention to opt out of advertising.
    1. Re:Superiority is hard to measure. by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      Diesel-electric submarines can be 100% silent
      No, they can't. Somewhere on that ship there must be pumps running, fans circulating air, people moving around. All of those things can cause noise. Crew generated noises are by far the easiest way to detect a submarine.

      All nuclear powered submarines have turbines (for now), but how much noise gets emitted into the water if that turbine has no physical connection to the hull?
    2. Re:Superiority is hard to measure. by mrthoughtful · · Score: 1

      Silence is possible. You just bottom the boat and stop moving around. It's not possible to sustain for a very long time - but it's possible.

      --
      This comment was written with the intention to opt out of advertising.
  138. something 2 show 4 all that borrowing? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    yeah, all the crap we by from wal-mart

  139. What's that aphorism? by Nursie · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If you owe the bank 1000 dollars and can't pay, you're in trouble.
    If you owe the bank a billion dollars and can't pay, they're in trouble.

    1. Re:What's that aphorism? by Instine · · Score: 4, Funny

      If you owe the bank a billion dollars and can't pay, you're both in trouble.

      --
      Because you can - or because you should?
    2. Re:What's that aphorism? by steelfood · · Score: 1

      What happens when that's not a bank, but the mob?

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    3. Re:What's that aphorism? by Maxmin · · Score: 1

      See The World Bank and IMF for why that ain't necessarily so.

      --
      O lord, bless this thy holy hand grenade, that with it thou mayest blow thine enemies to tiny bits, in thy mercy.
    4. Re:What's that aphorism? by ShieldW0lf · · Score: 1

      If you need the money you loaned, yes, you're in trouble.

      But if you loaned the money so they will buy from you with the motive of keeping your people busy and your command structure intact, you're not really in trouble.

      There was a practice by some Native American tribes, where they would have big parties and give away or burn or otherwise gratuitously consume large amounts of wealth. The effect of it was that no one became wealthy enough to inspire jealousy, and there was always a need to keep the people of the tribe busy making more. It propped up the command structure.

      The loans to the US from the China are kind of like this.

      --
      -1 Uncomfortable Truth
  140. Re:And here's a quote as true today as it was then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The only reason I keep watching this mess is because it is, frankly speaking, fun to watch. Nothing more, nothing less. Cartman, is that you?
  141. Military broo-ha-ha... by StressedEd · · Score: 1
    All this discussion about military issues, posturing and talk of "war" - gah - is missing the point.


    All the Chinese are doing is showing off their products - maybe the US will want some new subs, get 'em cheap from China!




    Yes I am being facetious.

    --
    Be nice to people on the way up. You will meet them again on your way down!
    1. Re:Military broo-ha-ha... by moxley · · Score: 1

      yeah...the funny thing is, (or unfunny thing?) that you had to point out you were joking.

      10 years ago you wouldn't have had to.

  142. Size is important? by Archtech · · Score: 1

    "For comparison, the US SSN-688 (Los Angeles [wikipedia.org] class) is over twice as long and has ~three times the displacement".

    You say this with apparent pride, which (I suppose) is perfectly understandable. A nuclear-powered submarine is a glorious thing, and no doubt the bigger, the better.

    But does it actually buy you anything? As a landlubber and a peasant, I would have thought that provided a submarine can get inside a carrier's escort and fire torpedoes or missiles (which I assume the Song can) any additional size would be a liability. Doesn't it make it easier to detect, less navigable, and a better target?

    Patrick Robinson's thriller "Kilo Class" explored the possibility of an ex-Soviet diesel submarine, chosen for its quietness, doing exactly this - before launching a torpedo with a nuclear warhead and pretty much vapourising a nuclear-powered carrier. That was published ages ago.

    --
    I am sure that there are many other solipsists out there.
  143. Bottoming possibility, eh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I always wondered about you sailor boys.

  144. Thank you Bill Clinton for selling the tech. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People have short memories which is sad. But in the mid-1990's Bill Clinton allowed the export of this technology as well as faster computers and other technology to be sold, and/or simply gave the information away through not taking action. I guess that he was too busy with Bosnia at the time. I wonder when our troups will come home from Bosnia? Clinton said that it would only be for a short time. Perhaps next month if we're lucky.

  145. blame chinese food by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I looks to me submarine showed up cause someone ordered noodles over the radio

  146. The principle applies to civvies, too by BenEnglishAtHome · · Score: 4, Interesting

    When it comes to being disciplined around weapons, the principles apply broadly. Many decades ago, Jeff Cooper sponsored/ran a shooting instruction class for juvenile delinquents (as they were called in those days). The principle was simple. He felt that kids going bad needed to have at least one part of their lives where they are trained and responsible, where they can enjoy the rewards of their labor yet be instantly responsible for their screwups. He felt they needed one circumstance where they would succeed at having good self-discipline. He felt that a lack of self-discipline was a root cause of juvenile delinquency. The idea was that success in being self-disciplined under one limited set of circumstances could lead to them employing more self-discipline in other parts of their lives and, thus, screwing up less.

    The drill was simple. On the firing range, the kids were told that they could have some good fun and learn something if they did what they were told and consistently maintained the self-discipline necessary to obey range rules. If they wanted to goof around, though, they were welcome to shoot themslves in the foot. (Not really, of course. The actual punishment was temporary or permanent banishment from the program and loss of an opportunity to play with the guns. To those kids, that was a serious consequence.)

    There were some amazing success stories from that program. Oddly, nowadays the idea of reforming a kid gone bad by giving him a rifle or pistol and teaching him to use it seems unthinkable. Sad, really. There are some fine life lessons that can best be learned with a rifle in hand. Nowadays, people don't seem to remember that. Really, really sad.

    1. Re:The principle applies to civvies, too by mangu · · Score: 1
      There are some fine life lessons that can best be learned with a rifle in hand.


      Yeah, like that old saying about the eleventh commandment, "Don't get caught".


      Giving gun training to juvenile delinquents seems to me like the dumbest idea one could have. Why not give them training in lockpicking or encryption cracking instead? That would give them a similar advancement perspective in their criminal career, but without endangering other people's lives!

  147. Re:The worrying factor here is China's demographic by Falladir · · Score: 1

    I live in China (I'm a white American expat). I can't remember the context, but the other day a couple of lower-middle-class Chinese guys were talking about how war makes the warmonger poor. It didn't for America in the case of World War One or Two, but apparently it's their perception that it would make China poor.

  148. Re:The worrying factor here is China's demographic by Yold · · Score: 1

    Men who each have some some real, personal motivation for conquest.

    Starcraft 2 is coming out soon. I think that should keep the female-less dudes busy.

    Seriously, why China? Its a stable economy, with a stable government, that has vested financial interests in our country (think Made In China). And they like Americans, at least according to my 2 friends who have lived and studied there.

    Iran and Islamic Jihad is the biggest threat to US interests... Hmmmm... why did we invade Iraq? Maybe because the Saudis kicked our military out after 9/11, and we needed a new middle-east base of operations.

  149. should have sunk it by sydres · · Score: 1

    since it was a deliberate act sinking it would have forced the chinese to think on their feet they probably would have ended up claiming it was a rogue captain or an accident but it would have at least reminded the world that we should be taken seriously

  150. Cold war? by ddrichardson · · Score: 1

    This used to happen from time to time with Soviet ships during exercises in the late eighties - they usually just wanted to exchange vodka for supplies.

    --
    A thistle is a fat salad for an ass's mouth...
  151. Movie Reference by jruschme · · Score: 1
    I'm a little surprised that no one has jumped on the similarity to the premise of the movie Down Periscope(http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0116130).

    In that movie, Kelsey Grammar is assigned command of a Korea-era diesel/electric sub with the mission to infiltrate Norfolk harbor and destroy a simulated battleship as part of a military exercise. The purpose of the exercise being to test the capabilities of an enemy working with outdated and surplus weapon systems.

  152. Be suspicious by Jobe_br · · Score: 1

    Remember to put on your suspicious hat when reading "public" stories such as this. If the U.S. wanted to make China believe they couldn't detect their "new" sub, they could easily "allow" something like this, and let the media pick it up, so a bunch of folks get their backs patted publicly in China for making such a wonderful technological marvel.

    Don't think for a second there isn't more than meets the eye here. The U.S. rarely carries its capabilities, especially for sub warfare, on its sleeve, and I'd be surprised if that were the case with this story.

    It is actually fairly common in sub tactics to *not* let the adversary know that you can detect them. The less they know of your true capabilities, the less they can factor those capabilities into an attack or defense strategy. Even in times of conflict, its common to concoct situations to mask your true capabilities from an adversary ... like being able to track a sub, but instead of firing on it directly, call in a strike from an airborne platform and make it look like a random search (happy coincidence) turned up the sub, or forced them into a maneuver that another sub could easily detect, again masking your true detection capabilities.

    More than meets the eye.

  153. Other sources by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why can't I find this story anywhere else? Probably because it didn't happen. That site looks like a tabloid.

  154. Modern submariners are a joke... by Xodmoe · · Score: 1

    Modern submariners are a joke compared to their cold war predecessors.

    They can't hold their breath as long?

  155. Re:You made a classic blunder, you must be america by Doctor+Faustus · · Score: 1

    Recent examples, what was the most effective aircraft of the first Gulf War, that spiffy stealth bomber OR the dirt cheap unloved A10 tankkiller.

    They hastily had to extend the life of that plane because all of sudden the US needed to destroy lots and lots of cheap tanks. Sure you can blow them up with missles that cost many time the cost of the enemy tank, but the A10 does it for peanuts.


    The problem with the A-10 is that the air force flys them, but they do a job for the army. The air force is always trying to drop them because they don't care about the job that it does.

    The reason they ain't expensive is that it was thought they were mostly obsolete.
    No one thought they were obsolete. They're quieter than nuclear subs when they run on batteries. The U.S. just doesn't keep them around because they don't fit the kind of long-distance roles we want submarines for.

  156. Well said. by DaedalusHKX · · Score: 1

    We can agree on a lot of it. However there is a pecking order and these types tend to try to "climb it". I never said it was "rich vs peons". I said it was "rich vs rich" but the game involved rarely gets any of the gentlemen killed, only the non human/sub human sheeple are butchered.

    Frankly I must ask this. If unquestioning sheep populate the places, volunteer for hellish, servile "duties", volunteer to "elect" which of the gentlemen may "rule" for a "limited time" (every game has turns doesn't it?), would you not also feel as if the sheeple were mere food? Does a natural predator or even a natural parasite really care what it eats if that is what it has always been able to eat, or perhaps, if that food volunteered to be a host/prey?? In fact the sheeple actually DESERVE their servitude and their masters, because they consistently vote for these people despite having had CONSISTENTLY bad results each time. Any wild animal would be wise enough to stop doing something that consistently fails and find another way. Yet the sheeple do not. They are even offered ways out by the masters themselves, which they never take, always formulating excuses such as "oh not me, too old", or "ooh, not me, I'm not that kind of person."

    Exactly. I see consistent testing by these "masters" in every walk of life, and I'm noticing that they're DARING people to say no, and yet, of all things, that NO word scares the hell out of sheeple and they fear to ever utter it, neither to their own children nor friends nor even to their enemies or perceived enemies. Every time they say NO, they feel as though they have to come up with an excuse. Strange... is it not? The path away from that servile sheepish life is easy but seems hard, and so very few take it.

    As for the masters being psychopathic... what would you be if the people around you literally WANTED, VOTED, FOUGHT for their own slavery and then for that of others, and bought (hook line and sinker) every scheme you even only half hatched up and left incomplete??

    I've done what I could to see this situation from both sides of the picture, both during my job, school and contracting days, and have found something out (which is why some of my past posts seem so heartless).

    People cannot be "freed". If they want no freedom, or restricted freedom, they will change their environment to reflect themselves. That is why we have so many sheeple bleating around the sidewalks and highways and cubicles and warehouses, and they breed and raise more sheeple. Until they look up ON THEIR OWN, nothing changes.

    Information will always be available to them, even in Soviet Russia it was available, to all who seek it, if they but look. This is why I wouldn't bleed a drop to "save them" (the sheeple). They must save themselves, not be saved by others.

    I for myself have chosen to be "neither predator, nor prey... upon my own species." Your choices are your own. Your mileage may vary with the level of research you put into this subject, and the mindset you approach it with.

    --
    " What luck for rulers that men do not think" - Adolf Hitler
  157. Re:Why? Why? Well, the wanted to ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Thank you for your service.

  158. PHBs are liars and manipulators by phunctor · · Score: 1

    This involves effective emotional communication. Being tightly acculturated with the workforce helps a lot. Engineers only need to communicate factually. The highest level of language skills is not required. H1B competition drives down the price. QED.
    --
    phunctor

  159. Doh! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I would just say that.

  160. what do you expect by Surt · · Score: 1

    when your submarine detectors all have 'made in china' stamped on the bottom.

    --
    "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
  161. Re:Why? Why? Well, the wanted to ... by darkmeridian · · Score: 1

    News like this is actually great for the US military. Instead of being cast as incompetents, they are the victims of post-Cold-War era politicans who have forgotten what military readiness means. Clinton cut the military and now our national defense posture is suffering. Time to spend more money on more stealth submarines! The air force did the same thing when they vastly over-estimated the abilities of the MIG-25 to get funding for the F-15, and when they "showed" that the SU-27 would dominate the F-15 to get funding for the F-22.

    But the problems you stated with the Phalanx CIWS (a big gun) are well-known and has lead to its replacement with Standard Missiles.

    --
    A NYC lawyer blogs. http://www.chuangblog.com/
  162. Blame the user... by SgtChaireBourne · · Score: 1

    Not really. Our submarines are far superior to the Chinese even now, but the problem is the crews.
    .... I knew the M$ party line would pop up. It's convenient to blame the user so as to direct attention away from design flaws or other shortcomings. The Kitty Hawk is older, but may have been retro-fitted (or not), so these below may or may not be directly related, but at the very least indicate how far afield defense politics are from actual effectiveness. Gates and his anti-American movement are not a laughing matter.
    --
    Beta is broken and the link to classic doesn't work. Stop wasting our time or there won't be anybody left here.
  163. The better question is... by Phaid · · Score: 1

    What is The Daily Mail's agenda in resurrecting a story from 2006 and republishing it with no dates or locations?

    http://www.sinodaily.com/reports/Chinese_Sub_Approached_US_Aircraft_Carrier_Undetected_999.html
    http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/11/14/world/main2179694.shtml
    http://madhousethought.blogspot.com/2006/11/chinese-submarine-stalked-uss-kitty.html

    A lot of military bloggers speculate it's just the Mail's way of trying to embarrass the Bush administration over its China policy.

    1. Re:The better question is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mod Parent Up

  164. German Fuel-Cell/Diesel-electric by dmurphy_58 · · Score: 1

    Nobody seems to have mentioned the fuel-cell / diesel electric subs, bet those would be really quite and could run for quite some time. Saw something on the Discovery channel here in Europe about them and they were very stealthy

    --
    dmurphy_58@yahoo.com
  165. Sign the Topside Log? by Time+Ed · · Score: 1

    Off-topic I know but, any submariners want to sign the topside log?

    RM1/ss SSN-595 '82-88

  166. Short Range Missles Launchers - Easier to Destroy by dakirw · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm not sure Iran really needs submarines to do this, I'm sure they have sufficient relatively short range missiles to thoroughly destroy anything moving through the straits from dry land.
    It's true that land-based short range missiles would be sufficient to destroy any shipping going through the straits. However, the launchers for these missles would be vulnerable to long-range bombers, cruise missiles, and possibly even special forces attacks. On the other hand, if diesel electric submarines are properly used, crewed, and deployed, they are almost undetectable until after they attack (assuming that they're running on electric motors). Iran could make the missile sites hard to kill (SAMs and anti-aircraft guns) but these sites would be easier to wipe out than the subs.
  167. Re:Why? Why? Well, the wanted to ... by davidsyes · · Score: 1

    "If you weren't a GM, why should we trust you about CIWS? Since you incorrectly believe that asbestos gloves (which were long gone from the Navy by 1984 and wouldn't have been required for ammo handling anyhow) and that respirators were required for handling DU rounds (they aren't)..."

    No one says you HAVE to. But, I had seen the gun as the Army's Chaparral system when I was in high school. I'd seen it on ships. I'd seen the Enterprise fire it as a demonstration. My ship fired it before. I'd read whatEVER I could about it when I was in high school AND in the Navy.

    And, get this: I'd found out (after I left the service) that some dipshit, dimwith politician on the East Coast lobbied HARD to get the gun downgraded so that HIS district constituents could get some of the .50 caliber Browning machine gun manufacturing work.

    The CIWS was DESIGNED to take out:

    - aircraft
    - high-speed missiles
    - small surface craft close aboard (that is, near to the ship, for you landlubbers)
    - swimmers/divers
    - DOLPHINS
    - mines close abort and in the deflection/depression limits of the gun

    It also is capable of being fired from local control in case CIC is destroyed or the fire control radars/systems are casualties of fire, explosion, or attack.

    The damned gun was software-downgraded so some asshole could get WORK for his district.

    On TOP of that, drones are pricey, and the "Nav" was loath to destroy them. Instead we fired AT towed targets, either surface or air.

    Oh, yeh, and

    -- I was on-track to become ESWS-qualified (Enlisted Surface Warfare Specialist), but I desisted for local political reasons because my chain of command pissed me off in my final 4 months aboard ship in the Gulf in '88, and on TOP of that,

    -- I was quarterdeck Petty Officer of the Watch qualified as an E-3 on a ship of 380-420 people.

    -- I was qualified duty roving patrol as an E-3, on my first ship which was capable of carrying nukes

    -- I was helo cargo handler and chock-and-chains qualified

    -- I qualified expert in small arms fire in high school on the match rifle team (not that I was interested in becoming a sniper), fired the M204, M-16, M-14, M-60, .50 cal, and endured CS gas without hacking and gagging like my JROTC classmates and my bootcamp shipmates; and in the service trained with 12-gages, M-14, etc

    -- I was first-aid certified

    -- I was the Captains PERSONAL PHONE TALKER on Flint (AE-32) for maneuvering and UNREP evolutions (I spoke or articulated better than the other deck ape seamen and was gung ho)

    -- I was so gung ho that I was on the Security Alert Team and Backup Alert Forces initial reaction teams,

    -- I was ALSO part of Flint's Flying Squad, our local initial strike team to combat fires, floods, damage, etc.

    -- I was yeoman for my division in Deck

    -- I blew away my 3rd and 2nd class fleet-wide exams for Radioman

    -- I scored in the top 10% of some 800 Radiomen/women students (across three shifts; I was in class 862233 at San Diego), and earned the privilege to CHOOSE BY NAME my next duty station

    -- Onboard JAM, I, as a radioman, started on my own seeking Quarterdeck POOW/OOD training, and my chief was pissed because he was afraid his princely RMs would have to stand QD watches on our undermanned ship

    -- I pissed him off when I sought out quals for helm operator; again, pissed for the above

    -- I knew both my ships inside out when aboard

    -- I was the shipboard terrorist for Security Alerts because I infused a "sea change" in how the SAT/BAF had to cope with non-standard scenarios (I threw the Navy's shit out the window and made up my OWN scenarios, making officers late for 8 o'clock reports, miss movie call, make ships in the squadron nest wonder what in the hell was going on, and they had to reign me in cuz I caused them too much paperwork, time, and embarrassed the officers.

    But I'd had adversities, too:

    ---- My San Jose recrui

    --
    Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
  168. Non Nuclear Doesn't Mean Cold War Era Technology by theshowmecanuck · · Score: 1

    You are making a fundamental mistake in assuming that if their sub is diesel that the technology is out of date. The article implies that these subs are are newer and show China's improved technical ability. If you did any further research (a problem with the level of work in your post... the irony of it all), you would realize that these were deigned and implemented well after the cold war "ended" (as if it ever really did).

    Another example is the Type 212 sub that Germany has just introduced as perhaps the quietest in the world. And it is not nuclear. It is a combination diesel electric and fuel cell.

    Both of these are modern era submarines, and as demonstrated by the Chinese, quite capable platforms. Granted they will have a more limited underwater range than a nuclear submarine. However they are at least as dangerous as their battery/electric motors are quieter than a nuclear submarine's. In fact they may be more dangerous given the evidenced short sighted conceit of the American Navy with respect to their self declared superiority. The American military is VERY advanced technologically. But it doesn't mean that others out there aren't as well, even if not in all areas of military equipment manufacture. And it doesn't mean that the technology the the American military have decided not to use is not just as effective (or more so) than what the American military has implemented. Just because 'our side' built it doesn't mean it is the best or that others don't have something that can't beat it or compete with it. History is replete with such examples coming back to bite the unwary and near sighted. As (benignly... this time) evidenced by a diesel electric sub popping up a torpedo's running length from the U.S.S. Kittyhawk. :D

    --
    -- I ignore anonymous replies to my comments and postings.
  169. More on my view on Iraq by einhverfr · · Score: 1

    Here are some basic observations on the Iraq situation and what we should do to correct them:

    There is no singular insurgency in Iraq. Instead there are at least 4 major Sunni groups. According to the International Crisis Group, we have seen a trend of consolidation in insurgent groups, several hundred of which sprung up after the war. Another ICG report details how Saddam used inter-clan strife as a way of ensuring that nobody could ever challenge his rule, so I doubt that these insurgent groups were new with the war, but probably were there before the war (but directed at different targets). According to a BBC report just before the war, Saddam was distributing various weapons to the general public including RPG's, assault rifles, etc. and I expect that the plan was to create the sort of chaos that we are seeing now.

    Secondly, I think it is a mistake to see the insurgents as offering an alternative form of governance for Iraq. The Insurgent occupation of Fallujah and their propaganda suggests that they are Safalist in their rhetoric and actions, and see the idea form of government as some sort of mob rule.

    A second major factor is the continuing use by the Iraqi government of sectarian militias in both official and unofficial capacities. THis is completely unacceptable because it means that Iraq is engulfed in a viscious civil war, and one side is using our troops as human shields while not playing by any reasonable rules. Bush has shown great hesitation to do what is necessary, which is to tell the Iraqi government in no uncertain terms that if they continue this sort of thing, we will be withdrawing our support for them, and providing their leadership with absolutely no protection even if this means temporarily redeploying back to Saudi Arabia until we have an opportunity to start the nation building process again, perhaps with additional partners from the region.

    A second thing which needs to be done is that we need to state clearly that we are currently guests of the Iraqi government and will be more than happy to leave when asked to do so, but that if the current Iraqi government should fall and not be replaced with a representative government, we reserve the right to come back.

    A third thing which needs to be done is that we need to scale back on the use of security contractors. These groups, such as Blackwater, have a fundamental conflict of interest in their involvement (i.e their contracts end when things become stable), and so they don't have the incentive to take the big picture into account.

    A fourth thing we need to do is start talking to Iran and Sytia. We need to tell them in no uncertain terms that we are willing to given them conditional security guarantees provided that they are willing to respect certain bright lines in the area (no funding attacks on Israeli civilians inside the Green Line, no full nuclear fuel cycle without extremely intrusive inspections, and we want them to start working with us to build a stable Iraq. This is necessary because without those guarantees, the only rational response of Iran and Syria is to meddle in Iraq, fund both sides in the civil war, and more or less ensure that we cannot actually invade them without abandoning our other allies in the world.

    --

    LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
  170. Re:The worrying factor here is China's demographic by Lars+T. · · Score: 1

    Consider: This will result in a LARGE population of Chinese males in 2050 who cannot find Chinese females...because there are none (at least none living within the borders of China). Gee, long time no see, Yellow Peril
    --

    Lars T.

    To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

  171. OPEC could switch to Euros.... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    If OPEC suddenly decides it wants Euros instead of Dollars, all that theory about the US economy being "Ok" will be junk. The US Economy will be in serious trouble overnight.

    --
    No sig today...
  172. Whats more likely? by jamie(really) · · Score: 1

    That a fleet engaged in active exercises missed a massive piece of metal, or that that Navy wants more funding and needs to drum up patriotic shock and horror at how good those damned chinese are? The russ^H^H^H^HChinese are coming!

    1. Re:Whats more likely? by jamie(really) · · Score: 1

      Though I for one would prefer a cold war with the chinese (or anybody) than the war on terror.

  173. Time period by unity100 · · Score: 1

    such systems when the time between the target entering the engagement envelope First of all, a carrier task force never goes into situations that they would be in such a set-up. carrier task force concept is designed to operate from high seas. their interceptors (old f14s) had the capability to send trans-horizon missiles (phoneix, around 200 km range), in order to be able to respond to far threats.

    therefore such a fraction of second setup is impossible to occur for a task force unless they go very near the land, and they shouldnt do that anyway. exception is submarines. but in a state of war, it is duly improbable for a sub to be able to get that kind of opportunity against a carrier fleet. because fleet is gonna use active measures at a state of war - its not afraid of being detected then, since it has the upper hand. also marine life restrictions do not apply to state of war.
    1. Re:Time period by jollyreaper · · Score: 1

      such systems when the time between the target entering the engagement envelope
      First of all, a carrier task force never goes into situations that they would be in such a set-up. carrier task force concept is designed to operate from high seas. their interceptors (old f14s) had the capability to send trans-horizon missiles (phoneix, around 200 km range), in order to be able to respond to far threats. Operationally, BVR engagements rarely happen because of the concern of friendly fire. At least as far as air operations over Iraq went, the pilots had to get a visual ID before engaging. Of course, things might be a little more clear-cut if you're a thousand miles out to sea, away from civilian air corridors, and the incoming target is supersonic. But we don't have F-14's in the fleet anymore, though one of the newer versions of AAMRAM is supposed to b extended range, out to 150 miles. But again, the aircraft have to be up and detecting the target in order to engage. A few years back there were Russian fighters that bounced the Kitty Hawk and made a surprise fly-by like 200 feet off the deck. The pants were caught completely down. The Stark was hit by Exocets and never even detected them, CIWS was off. The Israeli corvette that got hit in that last dust-up had it's defenses off as well, concerned with accidently shooting down Israeli jets flying overhead. The point I'm getting at is that we know how it's supposed to work, it's how it actually works that can bite us in the ass. I can't prove it one way or the other. Official Navy doctrine could be correct, I hope it is. But I've seen a bad case history of stuff that's supposed to work a certain way not doing so when the shit hits the fan.

      therefore such a fraction of second setup is impossible to occur for a task force unless they go very near the land, and they shouldnt do that anyway. You have to define what you mean by close. If they're launching air attacks, they have to be close. Plus there's all the civilian traffic that can clutter up the radar, all sorts of bad guys could be hiding in that clutter. And the ranges can be so short, there's a narrow window for decision-making before you hit do or die territory. That's how the Vincennes fucked up and shot down a civvie airliner.

      exception is submarines. but in a state of war, it is duly improbable for a sub to be able to get that kind of opportunity against a carrier fleet. because fleet is gonna use But this was an exercise the Chinese snuck up on. Should not that boat have been detected?

      active measures at a state of war - its not afraid of being detected then, since it has the upper hand. also marine life restrictions do not apply to state of war. The other big question, how many tries do we get in the next war? In WWII, the Japanese had the luck of a few sucker punches but they couldn't knock us out of the war early on and so we were prepared for every other hit and eventually ground them down. Do we have the ability to take another sucker punch in the future? What if the ships knocked out cannot be replaced for a decade? Then we're kinda stuck with accepting the results because we lack the ability to dispute the matter. Some theorists are stating that they believe our next wars will be over so quickly, they'll be fought with the equipment in place and the matter will be beyond dispute before reenforcements can even arrive, let alone ramp up production for new equipment. Of course, theorists also predicted that WWI would be all about maneuver warfare and that it should be over in a few weeks at most. Funny people, military theorists.
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    2. Re:Time period by unity100 · · Score: 1

      The point I'm getting at is that we know how it's supposed to work, it's how it actually works that can bite us in the ass. I can't prove it one way or the other. Official Navy doctrine could be correct, I hope it is. But I've seen a bad case history of stuff that's supposed to work a certain way not doing so when the shit hits the fan. you know that come wartime, all defenses will be up. you can lose at most 1 task force to such a pants down situation, and that would be in a pearl harbor like event. then all defenses will be up nomatter what.

      That's how the Vincennes fucked up and shot down a civvie airliner. i wonder if they really fucked up. or was intentional.

      But this was an exercise the Chinese snuck up on. Should not that boat have been detected? exercises generally aim particular stuff and concentrate on them. wartime, you concentrate on survival and take no chances for anything. i dont think so.

      The other big question, how many tries do we get in the next war? In WWII, the Japanese had the luck of a few sucker punches but they couldn't knock us out of the war early on and so we were prepared for every other hit and eventually ground them down. Do we have the ability to take another sucker punch in the future? impossible to make any definite prediction. too many technologies around, old and new. some might be ousted, some might work, unexpected stuff may have big effect, and vice versa.

      What if the ships knocked out cannot be replaced for a decade? Then we're kinda stuck with accepting the results because we lack the ability to dispute the matter. Some theorists are stating that they believe our next wars will be over so quickly, they'll be fought with the equipment in place and the matter will be beyond dispute before reenforcements can even arrive, let alone ramp up production for new equipment. Of course, theorists also predicted that WWI would be all about maneuver warfare and that it should be over in a few weeks at most. Funny people, military theorists. again, very complicated issue. if it goes to a 'fight to the last man' situation, then for sure more conventional stuff (russian's low tech but easily repairable produceable equipment) will have the advantage. but then again, it may be quickly over due to hi tech stuff as well.
    3. Re:Time period by jollyreaper · · Score: 1

      you know that come wartime, all defenses will be up. you can lose at most 1 task force to such a pants down situation, and that would be in a pearl harbor like event. then all defenses will be up nomatter what. Yeah, I would assume so, but there's no way to know for sure until the shit hits the fan. Like I said previously in the thread, there's the peacetime theory of how things will operate and then there's reality. If you go too long between wars, there's too much time for theory to diverge from fact. During peacetime, the guy with the best political connections with the brass will likely prevail. In wartime, objective reality carries a heavier weight. I read in WWI how theoretical engagement range for the battleships was far, far higher than what effective range proved to be.

      That's how the Vincennes fucked up and shot down a civvie airliner.
      i wonder if they really fucked up. or was intentional. Now why would they possibly do that? When the Soviets shot down KLA-007, they claimed that the CIA had monitoring equipment onboard. I think that something came out later that showed this wasn't just KGB paranoia. At any rate, the Soviets had a reason for doing what they did. From what I've read on Vincennes, the airliner was mistaken for an F-14. The Iranians had the old models, air-to-air only. I don't know why they thought it was a threat, maybe they thought the Iranian techs were good enough to mount some sort of anti-ship missile on the hardpoints? I don't think even the USN ever did anything like that, they just dicked around with a few bombcats dropping LGB's before the whole line was retired. So the way I understand it, they thought it was a fighter that could pose a threat, possibly a repeat of the Stark, and they wanted no part in it. Misidentification, fuckup, big international mess.

      But this was an exercise the Chinese snuck up on. Should not that boat have been detected?
      exercises generally aim particular stuff and concentrate on them. wartime, you concentrate on survival and take no chances for anything. i dont think so. Hehe. Reminds me of my sister demonstrating her new self-defense move. She's instructing me on how I'm supposed to grab her from behind so she can use her trick. "No, no, you're not doing it right. Grab me like this." It's like "Gee, I hope your attacker will be so accomodating." Sort of like when the homing beacon was placed on the target for the national missile defense weapon. "Gee, I hope the Koreans are polite enough to put the beacon on so our weapon will work." :) It seems to me if you're doing a full-on exercise, you may as well prep for anything and everything. A full-on war situation will see anything and everything prepared to attack you.

      impossible to make any definite prediction. too many technologies around, old and new. some might be ousted, some might work, unexpected stuff may have big effect, and vice versa. Yup. I just wonder how many of our weapons these days are just a bill of goods. I think miraculous, Tom Clancy performance is unlikely.

      again, very complicated issue. if it goes to a 'fight to the last man' situation, then for sure more conventional stuff (russian's low tech but easily repairable produceable equipment) will have the advantage. but then again, it may be quickly over due to hi tech stuff as well. Yup. Too many variables, the future is hard to predict. That's why I find it so worrisome.
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
  174. Define by example by DragonHawk · · Score: 1

    If the opposing force cannot field a fleet to protect the tankers, you can achive the same results with some speed boats.
    All the opposing force would need would be some guns on the tankers to fight off speed boats, not a fleet.

    I'd just like to point out that this exchange perfectly illustrates the concept of arms escalation.

    Attack by speedboats. Guards on the tanker. Bigger guns on the speedboats. Escort craft for the tanker. Beefier attack ships to attack the escorts. Bigger escorts. Battleships. Aircraft. Anti-aircraft weapons. Submarines.

    (I'm not criticizing anything or anybody; I was just amused at the process.)

    --

    dragonhawk@iname.microsoft.com
    I do not like Microsoft. Remove them from my email address.
  175. Do we really need to care? by SirStiff · · Score: 1

    Alright everyone.. let's just get along with one another!

  176. US vs. Russia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This not the first time some like this has happen the to Kitty Hawk Battle group. If you look you would find that the Russians did some thing similar back in 1999 or 2000.

    1. Re:US vs. Russia by subsailor · · Score: 1

      Or back in 2006...

      Oh, wait, that's THIS incident...

      (Yes, this is OLD news...and yes, any even moderately capable sub can sneak up on a carrier...trust me, I did this sub thing for a career...)

      Seriously, though, why is /. carrying a story that is over a year stale?

  177. What if... by vakuona · · Score: 1

    ...and this is a crazy thought, but what if they saw the sub coming all along. Nothing like getting the Chinese all excited about their sub being oh so advanced when in reality you can see it coming miles away.

    Just a thought.

  178. Ooops (editorial slip) by DrVomact · · Score: 1

    Like Somalia, for instance.

    Ooops. Last minute edit that went awry. That phrase should have been at the end of the following paragraph.

    --
    Great men are almost always bad men--Lord Acton's Corollary
  179. please... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Shut the fuck up.

    I'm a professional in the mental health industry, with far more qualifications than you. You;re so full of shit I'm surprised it's not spilling out onto my desk.

    "No, actually a psychopathic score can also be gotten by those who go "clean logic" route. I've acquired copies of the test scoring schemes a few times after taking several "mind health / personality trait" type exams."

    Which test. Name it, and the version, and the year published, and THE TRAINED PROFESSIONAL WHO SCORED IT. You cannot have a valid test without ALL of that information, and you don't have it, so you're a liar.

    Or maybe you're not. Give me the name of the test and the professional who scored it, and I'll eat my words.

    Any test that YOU can take yourself, and score yourself, is not a test any professional who knows a single fucking thing about testing would give any credence to.

  180. Is it still pegged to the dollar? by nunyadambinness · · Score: 1
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Renminbi#Exchange_rate

    China's currency, which for the previous decade had been tightly pegged at 8.28 yuan to the U.S. dollar, was revalued on July 21, 2005 to 8.11 per U.S. dollar, following the removal of the peg to the US dollar and pressure from the United States.


    I think you're two years behind the curve on this one.
    1. Re:Is it still pegged to the dollar? by WhiteWolf666 · · Score: 1

      Well, he's sort of correct, in that it is still pegged, just China has been moving the peg at a decent clip. It hasn't moved as fast as, say, the Euro has. It probably needs to move faster, and I get the feeling China will do so when they are more confident that the dollar has started to rise in value again, whenever that may be (6 months? 20 years? I won't take sides on that.)

      Keeping the yuan pegged to the dollar doesn't hurt as much as GP suggested, however, since China, although a big import market, is hardly the largest, and there is plenty of room in this world for U.S. imports alongside Chinese imports. Also, China is enjoying this fall in the value of the dollar, since the yuan is effectively falling against other currencies as well.

      What the fall in the value of the dollar/yuan means is:
      A)China will continue to grow exports to the U.S.
      B)The U.S. will now be able to compete better against the rest of Asia (Signapore, Taiwan, S. Korea, Japan), Europe, Latin America, and Africa.
      C)China will continue to grow more competitive against the regions listed in B as well.

      Here's a quote or two for you:
      Europe's trade deficit with China jumped 22 percent to a record in the first half of this year. Euro-region officials published a statement late yesterday saying that ``it is desirable'' that ``effective exchange rates move'' in China and other emerging economies.

      The U.S. government is showing little inclination to encourage an appreciation of the dollar. While Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson may tell his G-7 counterparts that he continues to back a ``strong dollar,'' he may resist an explicit criticism of the currency's weakness because it is helping to support the U.S. economy.
        ``As far as the dollar is concerned, you'll see more of the same, with Paulson reiterating support for a strong dollar but that not being followed by any action,'' said Adam Boyton, a senior currency strategist in New York at Deutsche Bank AG.


      On an aside, note that this sentiment by Paulson is *exactly* the sort of noise that comes out of China.

      US: Criticize Chinese imports, while not really doing anything about it. Talk about a strong currency, but enjoy the benefits of a weak one.
      China: Criticize the U.S. dollar's fall, while not really doing about it. Talk about a strong currency to reduce exports, but enjoy the benefits of a weakening one.

      Frankly, in terms of China and the U.S., what we are witnessing is two shrewdly run Central Reserve Banks dominating the world financial system without the world financial system having a clue about it.

      None of this, of course, undermines what I said in my GGP post. But the Chinese/U.S. dynamic is incredibly complex, quite positive, and hardly a cause of concern for either superpower.

      --
      WhiteWolf666 an exBush supporter. All you new-school,compassionate,save the children Republicans can rot in hell
  181. Re:Why? Why? Well, the wanted to ... by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

    Thank you - I needed a chuckle this morning.
     
    That list of 'qualifications' sounds impressive - until you encounter someone who has actually been in the Navy. That is, someone who knows just how common and ordinary your claims to 'fame' really are. Not to mention how utterly unrelated to the fields in which you claim competence they are.

  182. Re:Simple solution: Expounded on american goods by mazanoid · · Score: 1

    Actually, you might be surprised to find out that a large percentage of goods used to construct houses (shy of brick and in some instances lumber - which often is being sourced from canada/siberian regions) does come from china. Those snappy little outlet covers? Light switch? the .27 cent outlet? Ceiling fans? Window hardware? Window glass? Lamps? Furnishing for the home (Ashley's homestore is the #1 purveyor of furniture in the US and their source is china), the list goes on nearly infinitely. Let's move on to food. Haha, you ever picked up a bottle of tropicana apple juice? Apples from argentina, china, mexico, us, etc are listed as sources. In another year (or two, I forgot) a bill that got waylayed by our government will finally activate letting us see where products actually come from. You'ld be surprised just what actually is MADE in the us and not just shipped to the US and printed in the usa (or made here and shipped to china...it boggles how this is cheaper but it just works out that way) Even craftsman tools from sears used to build your house are largely made in china other than some of the most simple dropforged items and every other brand of tools is pretty much entirely made in china. intended to be informative. Really before anyone thinks "hey we make this stuff on our own" think about outsourcing and how quarter after quarter as many as 250,000 manufaturing jobs get shed as companies go overseas. 5% is enough to start a panic. The bottom 40% of americans (often the civil cervants and lower to mid-middle and working class) are suffering from a shortage of jobs. Yet productivity and wealth grows because 79% of the spending occurs from the top 60%. You start putting the upper mid and upper class in the red and you'ld quickly see a huge flop. Our economy is based on math. Math in and of itself does not feed you when you're hungry. *shrug*

  183. Use pets instead of guns by heinzkunz · · Score: 1

    The idea to give the kids guns seems braindead to me. Let them take the responsibility for an animal, feed it, clean up, etc. It does wonders, and in case it doesn't work out, nobody gets shot.

  184. Propeller designs leaked? by iliketrash · · Score: 1

    I seem to recollect that there was a famous spy case in the late 1980s or early 1990s wherein highly secret designs for quiet propeller designs were given to the Chinese. Does anyone else remember this?

  185. Re:Why? Why? Well, the wanted to ... by davidsyes · · Score: 1

    And, if we can believe the USAF/DOD, recently the most of the F-15 fleet has been grounded due to "age" and hours on the airframes. Sounds like a tasty way to get more appropriations/funding for JSF, F22, B3, whatever they wet dream over...

    --
    Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
  186. Re:The worrying factor here is China's demographic by horn_in_gb · · Score: 1

    Yes, but think of it this way. That 170M is the pool of potential army members -- they are not all going to be fit for the job, and some will be better than others. Prune the tree. Take the best 1.7 million from those and you've got the top 1% killers, the elite. And that's a lot of fucking badass killers.

  187. Re:Why? Why? Well, the wanted to ... by davidsyes · · Score: 1

    It's not that I was out of the ordinary, it's that that guy before asked me how I had any position to comment about the gun. The post could go on and on (I ramble too much), and I won't lie or claim to have culled information from the GMs. I just tossed my assumptions at them and they reflected. THEIR own reactions about THEIR equipment was sort of confirmation.

    I even had that conversation with the FBI, once, and whether or not the agents knew or cared, I don't know. But they had other things keeping them busy.

    But, not every Sailor makes Sailor of the Month. Not every, hell, hardly ANY Sailor makes notional designs of contemporary naval ships, accounts for crew, fuel, food, numerous pieces of major equipment, and does it to scale. Hardly any Sailor attempts to design a nuclear sub based on public information, and draws a 7-bladed prop (in the 70/80's for sure) and freaks out a recruiter.

    Most of my shipmates knew their jobs, and like me, they knew others jobs. When striking (studying/working) for E-3, I studied for Mess Specialist, Yeoman, Personnelman, and Store Keeper. I settled on Radioman because it was least physically demanding and least dirty, but it took a lot of my sleep time when called to service teletypes and photo copiers and perform divisional maintenance. Not every sailor, when IN a rate, goes and studies the engine plant, CIC, and other divisions above and beyond that required for ESWS. I SAT IN CIC on my free time, not just for ESWS, but to actually be versatile. The OFFICERS liked that, and the more professional of the sailors did, to, because the got to teach their job to someone aboardship but not in the job.

    Not every Sailor as an E-3 pulls extra roving patrols so another sailor could bang his girl in the RASE/Deck shops. Not every sailor does that for FREE, and gets TOLD "you better start charging; you're undercutting us who DO charge." Not every sailor WITH a pistol, on roving patrol, draws his weapon to detain or discourage a recaptured redeserter from trying to re-re-redesert. I DID.

    Not every Sailor gets told, "Shit, we're glad you're on OUR side, and not the Russians'." (But, I'm on MY side, at least not long after I JOINED the Nav.

    Not every Sailor who joined STUDIED the Navy for YEARS in advance. Then again, not every one gets demoralized over politics and lets it get them down, as was my case.

    I joined the USN to die in a submarine battle against the "Soviets" 2,000 feet under water, in the Pacific. I didn't JOIN for , dimwit bureaucrats. The national and local politics were something messing up my mental programming.

    So, to SOME extent, I WAS above and beyond my average shipmate. And, I didn't kiss officer or chief ass. I got into a row with my first RMC before he retired. He brought his drunk ass back to the ship one night, and when the patch panel was acting up, he called me incompetent, cussed me out, and when he mentioned shit about writing me up, I challenged him. He took offense to that and told me, "SYES, IF YOU DON'T SHUT UP RIGHT NOW, I WILL **TRICK-FUCK** YOU SO FAST YOU WON'T KNOW WHAT HAPPENED." I had two witnesses and TOLD them they were my witnesses, and that incensed the chief even more. Eventually, he shut up, left me alone, and let be try to be the professional when-on-duty that I strove to be. His replacement was not even as capable as he was. But I took NO shit, to the extent I could assert myself.

    --
    Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
  188. Going with the obvious quote... by tarpy · · Score: 1

    "This business will get out of control. It will get out of control and we'll be lucky to live through it."

    Even more topical with Fred running...<g>

  189. Sub Pop Rocks! by AP31R0N · · Score: 1

    Velocity Girl is one of my fav bands. Is Sub Pop still producing music?

    --
    Utilizing the synergization of benchmark e-solutions to pre-workaround action items!
  190. Nope, I disagree, and here's why. by DaedalusHKX · · Score: 1

    It can all be more quickly be attributed to the eagerness to please perceived "powerful" or "expert" individuals.

    Expert worship, in other words. Common since the day one man learned to drive a nail without bending it and wouldn't let the others know how he did it.

    You have to realize the majority of the sheeple are government educated, they never made the attempt to travel or learn on their own... their money spent on booze, cheap cigarettes and porn, not books, and more often not even on that. The herd (sheeple) tend to follow one another, without so much the threat of violence as much as the FEAR of perceived omnipotence on behalf of the state. The powerful only truly need to frame or actually catch one or two people, and the majority, properly schooled in docility and bovine obedience will do the rest of the work. Most often they ask no questions, think no thoughts, and do as they are told.

    Your belief that the violence was so commonly used is mistaken. The state, much as the citizens it claims to protect, rely on the threat of violence towards each other to keep each other in control. The actual use of said violence often unbalances the equation and results in a loss for all but those who actually stay clear of the conflict and supply the fighting parties with resources (so as to profit from their conflict).

    Otherwise, its all "obedience" training, from the moment we're old enough to be smacked around by parents to the moment we're taught we're too old to live freely.

    --
    " What luck for rulers that men do not think" - Adolf Hitler
  191. Why is this news? by Kage-Yojimbo · · Score: 1

    This incident happened 10/26/2006 - Did you people just hear about it?

  192. Re:Why? Why? Well, the wanted to ... by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

    It's not that I was out of the ordinary, it's that that guy before asked me how I had any position to comment about the gun.

    Which competence you utterly failed to support.
     
    Then you are back to your favorite topic - how wonderful you are (or were) and how poorly wonderful you was served by the Navy. I wonder who you are really trying to convince.
  193. No he isn't by nunyadambinness · · Score: 1

    Well, he's sort of correct, in that it is still pegged, just China has been moving the peg at a decent clip.


    No, that's wrong.

    It's pegged to a basket of currencies now, of which the dollar is only a small percentage.
  194. Where does the money to buy come from? by nunyadambinness · · Score: 1

    Where does the money to buy come from?

    That's the only question that I cared to hear you answer, and you didn't.

    You still didn't answer HOW it's going to happen.

    1. Re:Where does the money to buy come from? by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      I wonder where the money comes from,

              from the pockets of the current Chinese workforce who wish to buy products but can't because they are being shipped abroad
              from pockets of the new workers whose jobs are created as a result of demand
              from loans and credit previously unavailable as all money was invested abroad

              Where did the money come from to rebuild Russia, Eastern Europe and South Americas economies? I'm not promoting some radical idea here but rather a proven path to kick start an internal economy. In short let the markets do their work and remove government controls.

              Bury your head all you want the US is dependent on China not the other way around. Only after the US sorts out it's debt problem will it be able to set it's own policies.

  195. Re:The worrying factor here is China's demographic by andy314159pi · · Score: 1

    If you want proper promotions the salarieas increase, if you want tanks, planes and transports you're looking at another few hundred billion.
    Considering the spike in their GDP, several hundred billion will definitely be something they could do.
  196. You still didn't answer the question by nunyadambinness · · Score: 1

    "from the pockets of the current Chinese workforce"

    Who are poor as hell. They magically have money to replace that which was coming from Americans, some of the richest people in the world.

    You have STILL failed to answer the question.

    You can't answer my question, so you make vague hand waving proclamations instead.

    1. Re:You still didn't answer the question by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      Ummm,

      we were talking about kick starting a local economy which in time will grow to replace the US income. Again I ask you to investigate the east European and southern American economies, where they were and now. I think you will find I _HAVE_ answered the question, but of course feel free to continue the emu impression.

  197. Is this just political posturing? by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

    Are you really being intellectually honest when you're assuming the Iraq project is done now and that the net present condition is the end-game from which one may calculate benefits?

    I don't know if the idea of establishing democracy in the Middle East as a method of preventing islamo-jihadist attacks will work, but I'm curious about your assumptions for your complaints. It looks from here that you're being pessimistic at the very time the Suni and Shia leaders in Iraq are cooperating to issue a joint fatwah against violence as a means of political change.

    That's the single largest step forward in the history of Iraq since the Islamic schism a good part of a millennium ago.

    Again, I don't have the experience or knowledge to predict the future, so I'm curious about when others claim they do.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  198. one last thing by jsimon12 · · Score: 1

    I would also venture to say my grasp of technology is vastly better then yours :)