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Third Place Is Fine By Nintendo

anaesthetica writes "The New Yorker writes that Nintendo is fine with third place. Between Sony and Microsoft both trying to build the most comprehensively next-generation console, and barely breaking even in their efforts [Zonk: Though that's changing for Microsoft], Nintendo has decided to go a different route. Wii doesn't have all the bells and whistles, but it focuses on simple fun playing games — a strategy which turns out to be much better for Nintendo's bottom line and stock prices. From the article: 'A recent survey of the evidence on market share... found that companies that adopt what they call "competitor-oriented objectives" actually end up hurting their own profitability. In other words, the more a company focuses on beating its competitors, rather than on the bottom line, the worse it is likely to do.'"

368 comments

  1. I find that amusing by jimstapleton · · Score: 3, Insightful

    because Nintendo is the one console I don't see as a competetor for 3rd place in this race, N will get 1st or 2nd I suspect.

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    1. Re:I find that amusing by AndresCP · · Score: 1

      I agree. Given the sales records and what the future looks like for Sony, the FA seems a little naive.

      --
      "Just because you're eloquent doesn't mean you aren't a fucking crackpot." -Wavebreak
    2. Re:I find that amusing by DariaM84 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Had my first experience with the Wii from about 1PM yesterday until 6:30AM this morning. Freakin' sweet. I most assuredly like the Wii more than the 360. Better games, and the Wiimote is way better than I thought it would be when I first saw the design.

    3. Re:I find that amusing by blueZhift · · Score: 1, Insightful

      First or second place is a definite possibility from what can be seen so far. But Nintendo knows that profit is far more important than their place in the so called console wars. So they've a good chance of making both consumers and shareholders happy all at the same time. Who'd have thunk that?

    4. Re:I find that amusing by Xuranova · · Score: 1

      Why do you suspect this? The only way for N to get 2nd is for MS to drop the ball the big time.
      Sony will get 1st place because they can lose half their market from the PS2 and still move 50+ million units and well they won't lose half their followers.

      --
      "There is no real right or wrong, just what the majority accepts at the time."
    5. Re:I find that amusing by 0x537461746943 · · Score: 2, Informative

      I believe you. I sold my xbox360 for $350 and bought a jacked up price Wii for $350 and I seem to be having more fun with the wii than I ever did with the xbox360. The control scheme is nice (it is about time someone made this standard on a game system). The Wii sports that ships with it is amazingly fun to play. It seems to me that since the graphics are not as high res as the 360, The software developers might be able to concentrate a little more on actual gameplay and controls than wasting time putting realistic skin on a player model. All I know is that for me I like it better than my previous system (xbox 360).

    6. Re:I find that amusing by soft_guy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Just because the PS2 was successful does not guarentee success for PS3.

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      Avoid Missing Ball for High Score
    7. Re:I find that amusing by KDR_11k · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Sony will get 1st place because they can lose half their market from the PS2 and still move 50+ million units and well they won't lose half their followers.

      No, they cannot do that and keep #1. They would if the other two kept selling the same number of consoles they did last gen but those 50 million people they'd no longer have probably want a new console, too. If half of them picked the 360 and half picked the Wii Sony's lead would be insignificant, if the distribution was less even Sony would be #2.

      Losing half their market is being generous, from the looks of it they're heading for a self-reinforcing cycle that hurts the PS3 and helps the competition (games and developers leave the platform -> fewer buyers -> games and developers leave the platform). If they lose the lead at the start more and more games are going to migrate (and many are already doing that) to the competition and by the time the PS3 reaches an acceptable price the competition will have control of many major game series that were exclusive to Sony on the PS2. Square Enix said they want to go multiplatform, GTA4 will be multiplatform! They've only got MGS4 and FF13 remaining as their big draws and both are too far off while the competition is hitting with Gears of War and Zelda right now.

      --
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    8. Re:I find that amusing by the+dark+hero · · Score: 5, Insightful
      The software developers might be able to concentrate a little more on actual gameplay and controls than wasting time putting realistic skin on a player model.

      It's not about wasting so much time than it is wasting money. Games for the wii will require significantly lower budgets or the budget may be dispensed differently. what i think will happeb is that there will be less crunch time graphics-wise and it may allow the artists to come up with more unique designs. hopefully, this will get rid of the "hollywood glitz" some videogames suffer from and it will provide for some creative, more interesting titles.

      --
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    9. Re:I find that amusing by iamstretchypanda · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      ::poke poke::

      I'm waiting for your interesting conspiracy theory please.

    10. Re:I find that amusing by (A)*(B)!0_- · · Score: 1
      "Sony will get 1st place because they can lose half their market from the PS2 and still move 50+ million units and well they won't lose half their followers."
      Here's a statement just as foolish (hopefully, it will illustrate a point for you.)
      "Nintendo will get 1st place because they can lose half their market from the SNES and still move 50+ million units and well they won't lose half their followers."
      Guess what - the PS3 is going to come in a distant 3rd.
    11. Re:I find that amusing by HappySqurriel · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I don't think many people understand how product popularity can not be controlled all that well and tends to snowball (in both directions). In videogames there are two important factors:

      • The system with the most good game sells more units
      • The system that sells more units gets the most good games


      A small change early on in a systems life (Product Shortage, Higher Price, Stronger Competition) will have an effect on how well that system sells early on. Even a reasonably small effect on early sales have a dramatic impact on the number of games (in particular the number of exclusive games). As gamers see less games produced for a system (and that many of the best games are cross platform) sales are dramatically reduced. After a while the system sells a fraction of its potential ...

      Essentially, I agree with you that there is no reason to assume that any console manufacturer will be able to capture more than 10% of their existing market share.
    12. Re:I find that amusing by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'd like to know how many of those PS2 purchases are replacements for units whose laser units went bad. People are not going to buy two PS3s under the same model - after the first $600 unit dies the death of a dead laser or laser tracking system, which has happened to practically every sony product with a laser in it released thus far, they're not going to run out and spend another $600. Sony will fix some of them even after the warranty period expires - the rest of them will represent lost customers. I personally haven't had a PS2 laser die on me (I've sold two to make rent on different occasions due to my own stupidity, and own a slim one now) but about half the people I know who have PS2s are on their second or third system now. Who knows, maybe this will be the moment that Sony figures out how to make an optical drive that lasts, but I wouldn't put my money on it.

      --
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    13. Re:I find that amusing by MrAnnoyanceToYou · · Score: 3, Insightful

      My stepbrother is 18 and an extremely casual gamer. Perfect target market. I'm 27 and a former addictive gamer. We both want a Wii more than the other options, and he's already got one. He loves the thing. I'm picking the Wii as a winner.

    14. Re:I find that amusing by 91degrees · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Quite true. There is limited loyalty to consoles. How many people followed Sega after the Playstation came out? And the XBox didn't do too badly itself. The PS2 owners will be happy with their PS2 for a while. They'll buy a PS3 if it has better games but that will be the deciding factor.

    15. Re:I find that amusing by ravenshrike · · Score: 1

      ? Um no, if one were to assume that the race only ends when all three companies come out with their next-gen I predict the Wii will quickly overtake the 360 but the PS3 will overtake the Wii as it's life-cycle ends. The 360 will end up in 3rd. Mind you, this will take 4-7 years to pan out, but the final results will probably be PS3:1, Wii:2, 360:3.

    16. Re:I find that amusing by DDLKermit007 · · Score: 1

      You neglect to think about how shittily made the PS2 is. Many people such as myself have 4 PS2s. Of which, 3 are flatly dead (nothing else can be asked of the lasers even with tweaking) and the 4th one just runs games off the HD. Sony certainly does get allot more PS2s sold when the hardware is so shitty you end up needing to replace it frequently.

    17. Re:I find that amusing by wolff000 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "So really, the biggest selling point of the Wii in this generation of consoles is it's "cheap" price, which is still $300!"

      That point alone can cause record sales. Look at places like Dollar Tree everything is pretty much crap and not worth a dollar but they sell tons because it's cheap.

      As far as graphics Nintendo stated from the beginning this was no where near the power house the other consoles would be. They focused on fun, which is what the other consoles should be doing.

      I could careless if my console can play dvds and connect to my computer. The average household isn't going to use the computer connect functions anyway. I know lots of people with a 360 and only 2 out of the 20 or so use the media center functions. Most didn't even know it had them. The average consumer is rather slow and they don't read half the packaging and you can forget about the manuals.

      I want a game sytem to play games not stream music. I have other devices for that. A game console should be just that for games. The Wii is something differnet which hasn't been done since consoles started they were all the same thing just better graphics. movement takes consoles one step closer to becoming all immersive.

      --
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    18. Re:I find that amusing by Firehed · · Score: 1

      Likewise, except it's a whole brother at 14 and myself at 19. I've already purchased one, and AFAIK he's getting one for Christmas. Neither of us has the vaguest interest in either the 360 or the PS3. On the other hand, I've liked every Wii game I've played so far: several Wii Sports games, Zelda, and a bit of excite truck. Zelda was almost a given (though I still suck at the analog stick movement on the Nunchuck - my left thumb's never been well coordinated), but I don't particularly care for either sports games or racing games. Of course the former was included for free with the console (a move I don't remember seeing since... Genesis?) and I played the latter at an EBGames. While I don't plan to buy Excite Truck, merely demoing it was what convinced me that I definitely wanted a Wii.

      Plus there's Virtual Console. While I still think the games are a bit steep all things considered (and the pricing generally means you'll end up with a buck or two worth of points left) and the library is currently fairly small, it's a great idea. I bought Sonic on it and it brings back memories, and when they get Super Mario on there (why that wasn't available at launch is beyond me) I know I'll pick it up as well. Granted I'll opt for doing a bit of hacking with ROMs if I can (as re-buying games doesn't really appeal to me), but it's another great feature.

      I've had a couple other people play around with it as well, and they all had a blast. I'm not sure if they're planning to buy one or not, but I wouldn't be surprised - they certainly sounded more interested in getting one than a 360 or a PS3, where the latter is almost a running joke among most people I've talked to.

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    19. Re:I find that amusing by xero314 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      "Sony will get 1st place because they can lose half their market from the SNES and still move 50+ million units and well they won't lose half their followers."
      Here's a statement just as foolish (hopefully, it will illustrate a point for you.)
      "Nintendo will get 1st place because they can lose half their market from the SNES and still move 50+ million units and well they won't lose half their followers."
      Not trying to fuel and wars here but your are incorrect in comparing these two statements since your contrived example is incorrect. If the SNES had lost half of it's followers they would have moved less than 25million units (49 million Super NES units were sold worldwide where as the PS 2 has sold over 100 million). The N64 (which lost 33% market share over the SNES) had no strong 3rd competitor (sony being dominant in that generation and sega barely moving 10 million units) where as in this generate there are 3 strong competitors (Both nintendo and Microsoft moved 20+ million last gen.) If you do the math, and assume last gen capped out the market (I am only using this for hypothetical reasons) then there are about 150 million units to sell. If Sony maintains only half their install base then they will sell over 50 million units leave 100 million units to split among last generations 2nd and 3rd place manufacturers. This means it is possible, assuming sony screws the pooch royally (like Sega who by the way who had only a 35% market share as opposed to well over 50% for Sony ), but unlikely. Sony is the first console manufacturer to dominate for two solid generations, so I am going to speculate that it will take at least until the PS4 before any possibility of true failure on the PS line (though I doubt it will be a failure even then).
    20. Re:I find that amusing by pluther · · Score: 4, Funny
      But Nintendo knows that profit is far more important than their place in the so called console wars.

      So, what you're saying is that their business plan is something like:
      1) First Place?
      2) Second Place?
      3) PROFIT!

      --
      If the masses can keep you down, you're not the Ubermensch.
    21. Re:I find that amusing by Voicesinyourhead · · Score: 0

      Nintendo will be third, if not in units sold then by sheer profit numbers. I'm not speaking to the debate of which one is a better console (360 for myself), just marketing and sales. I do think microsoft will win the war of the consoles. Their online system, subscription fees aside, is better then sony's and nintendo doesn't even have online. Online is huge for consoles now. The remote is cool and all, but its also almost just a gimick. I really think nice graphics an online system and consistent playability will give microsoft and sony the edge over nintendo. For those reasons Nintendo will remain third, but hey at least there not quite SEGA.

    22. Re:I find that amusing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I dont even see nintendo as a competitor in the next gen. All the wii is is a glorified lamecube with a motion sensing controller.

    23. Re:I find that amusing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Likewise, except it's a whole brother at 14 and myself at 19. I've already purchased one, and AFAIK he's getting one for Christmas.

      AWESOME! Mom and Dad are getting me a Wii for Christmas!

    24. Re:I find that amusing by lordmatthias215 · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't agree that it will take a PS4 to kill off the PS line- there's a lot of press out in all media that's already declaring the Wii as the winner over the PS3 (whether that shows to be correct or not), citing the early sales numbers, and the ease with which non-gamers are taking to the Wii. Plus, the $600 price tag is daunting for non-l33tgamers, even if the technology is worth much more than that- there's still a perceived price ceiling with consoles that the 360 seemed to actually push against, and Sony has jumped completely over. The average person (read: parent shopping for christmas) looks at a game console, sees a $600 price tag, and does a double take. They then look next door, see a $400 or a $250 price tag, and find either one preferable, even though $400 comes close to the perceived ceiling (which I'm estimating to be an average of $500 for consoles). You combine this with all the attention the Wii has been getting in n00b circles as an easy-to-use, family friendly console, and the semi-negative press about the PS3 being mainly for "true gamers" with HDTV's, and I would expect Sony's market share to fall considerably. Plus, the explosive sales of DSs among non-gaming adults and the relative failure of the PSP opens another door in Nintendo's favor. I would also expect that the 360 will gain market share from the PS3 as games such as GTA become available on both platforms, and before developers (well, those who stay with Sony anyway) begin to optimize the PS3 graphics-wise. By the time this happens, there may not be much of the system left anyway. And worse-case scenario for Sony, if they lose enough in system sales, and don't recoup the amount, the entire company may fail or at least downsize drastically, considering the problems they've had in other areas, such as laptop batteries and digital cameras

    25. Re:I find that amusing by justinlindh · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I realize that the point has been beaten to death already, but I literally had to pry the controller from my Mom's arms over Thanksgiving break. She's never even played video games. I was only able to escape back home with my console after promising to bring it back when I visit for Christmas. My dad was a fan, too, and damned near broke a sweat throwing virtual punches at the TV during boxing.

      Non-gamers love this thing. The intuitiveness of the controls makes it simple for anybody to pick up and enjoy. I've had friends over the last 3 nights to play the games with me. It's a fantastic social toy that I expect to take a significant chunk out of traditional board games. As such, I expect people who have never spent a dime on video games to seriously consider purchasing a Wii; they only need to experience it once to realize how much fun and engrossing that it is.

      I also own a Xbox360, of which I also love and enjoy. I use each console for a different kind of game experience, and don't think it's uncommon for people like me to want both. It was easy for me, as a gamer, to justify the cost of the Wii60 over the cost of a single PS3. I don't imagine that I'm alone in this.

      In other words, more casual/non-gamers will buy the Wii than the Xbox360/PS3. Some hardcore gamers will only buy the Xbox360/Wii. But there's also a market for people like me who choose to combine the two, and I see more people like me who wouldn't consider buying the PS3 and the Wii over the Xbox360 and the Wii due to the cost of the PS3. Due to these factors, I don't see how it's possible to forecast any real winner of the console wars yet. It's all fair game, and with Nintendo reaching new and untapped audiences, we shouldn't pen them in for third place just yet.

    26. Re:I find that amusing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The interesting thing is Japan. I think your analysis is spot-on for the West, but PS3 oldsold the 360 in Japan on its first day despite very limited supply. The 360 isn't really a competitor there, so Japanese enthusiasm for the system should prevent a real death spiral. The Wii isn't really a factor in this, since FF (which is scarily huge in Japan) and MGS might go to the 360 but are unlikely to go to the Wii.

    27. Re:I find that amusing by painQuin · · Score: 3, Insightful

      just a thought, it's hard to sell 50 million units when you can only ship 200k or so..

      --
      A guilty conscience means at least you've got one.
    28. Re:I find that amusing by lordmatthias215 · · Score: 1

      I agree completely with this. Nobody I know with a 360, including myself, uses it for media, and few even actively connect to Live at this point (although I'm sure that will change as soon as Halo 3 comes out). And several of these people camped with me to get Wiis, dispite already owning a graphically-superior console. Why? Because we all want to play Zelda, we all want to use the Wiimote to play said zelda, and we all think Wii Sports is a great idea, and that the little "graphically inferior" Miis look funny. It's fun to be able to throw in a game with now learning curve and have our parents and girlfriends play with us. Plus, there are several franchise games coming out soon that I know I'll enjoy (Smash Brothers, anyone?), along with games like Rayman and Monkey Ball, which I can play with my non-gaming family. I understand Nintendo *might* release a DVD playing Wii around this time next year anway, in which case I may pick one up simply because i'll be heading to college and can leave my current Wii with my family. But if not, it'll only cost me 50 bucks max for an actual DVD player, so it's not big loss. And to correct the grandparent post quoted in the parent, the wii actually costs $250, which may or may not be splitting hairs, depending on who you talk to. Even though the price is only $50 cheaper than the base 360, its perceived to be a much better deal by some for whatever reason...

    29. Re:I find that amusing by RKThoadan · · Score: 1

      I think you represent a market that the Wii is posed to really dominate in: the 2nd console in the house. It's pretty darn expensive to get a PS3 and a 360, but the Wii is cheap enough that many people might get it as a second console.

    30. Re:I find that amusing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course they said that about the super nintendo, how did the N64 do again compared to the PS1?

    31. Re:I find that amusing by justinlindh · · Score: 1

      Exactly. PS3 and 360 together is not only pricey, but it's also severely redundant. You'd have two highly capable machines with nearly the same game library. One of the primary reasons to lean towards either console is title exclusivity that the gamer is interested in (Gears of War, Final Fantasy, etc).

      Meanwhile, Nintendo is almost guaranteed to have highly exclusive titles that can't be found on other consoles. This is due to both Nintendo's in house game development of grade A titles, the unique control scheme, as well as hardware inferiority. Some of the games that have been redundant, so far, have gotten an even warmer reception than the X360/PS3 versions (Madden '07, for example, is supposed to be a blast with the Wii only due to its controls. Stiff arm? Easy, push your arm out as the player really would. Throwing and juking work in a similar manner that is just far more enveloping than the other console's controls. The other consoles best it in graphics, but some people consider the tradeoff more than fair).

    32. Re:I find that amusing by HappySqurriel · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The interesting thing is Japan. I think your analysis is spot-on for the West, but PS3 oldsold the 360 in Japan on its first day despite very limited supply. The 360 isn't really a competitor there, so Japanese enthusiasm for the system should prevent a real death spiral. The Wii isn't really a factor in this, since FF (which is scarily huge in Japan) and MGS might go to the 360 but are unlikely to go to the Wii.

      Why couldn't final fantasy and Metal Gear go to the Wii?

      The Playstation, PS2 and Nintendo DS are all the least powerful systems of their generation and all recieved the final fantasy games; in fact it is the system that sells well in Japan that gets Final Fantasy games, not the other way around. It was always assumed that the PSP was going to get all Final Fantasy game until Animal Crossing / Brain Training / Nintendogs (and the release of the DS Lite) caused the Nintendo DS to grow at an unprecidented rate that force square to focus on the DS.

      As a hypothetical argument, if when the Wii is released on November 2nd in Japan it sells like crazy until E3 I'm willing to bet that Square would announce that Final Fantasy and Dragon Quest games were under development for the Wii (maybe not Final Fantasy 13). The fact is that Square/Enix and Konami love money, not Sony.

    33. Re:I find that amusing by FhnuZoag · · Score: 1

      Why do you suspect this? The only way for N to get 2nd is for MS to drop the ball the big time.
      Sony will get 1st place because they can lose half their market from the PS2 and still move 50+ million units and well they won't lose half their followers.Given the stated loss of $300 per PS3 sold, moving 50 million units would cost Sony 150 billion dollars. Sony's loss would the roughly equal to the government deficit of the United States.

      It's hard to see how this would be number 1.

    34. Re:I find that amusing by FhnuZoag · · Score: 1

      Ok, oops, messed up that decimal place. Sony would lose only 15 billion dollars.

      Which is still huge though.

    35. Re:I find that amusing by Fred_A · · Score: 1

      I'm not really in console gaming, but as a generic consumer, my first idea when the 3rd of something breaks isn't to rush out and buy yet another one.
      It's to get rid of the damn piece of crap and get something else (possibly with a sharp edge so I can stick it into whoever made that junk to begin with) !

      What's wrong with you people ?

      --

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      Made from the freshest electrons.
    36. Re:I find that amusing by ClamIAm · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually it's more like

      1) Design the most expensive machine you can.
      2) ???
      3) Profit!

      Step 2 is "Realize how stupid Step 1 is".

    37. Re:I find that amusing by Mitaphane · · Score: 2, Interesting
      When they say 3rd, I think what they mean (although they don't say it explicitly) is 3rd in the market of hardcore gaming, the people who live and die by videogames. I think you're right; Nintendo will be 1st or 2nd, because they are shooting for something else, a market that includes everyone, including hardcore gamers. Conventional thinking in the industry has been to pander to hardcore gamers and if they like it a lot, the rest of the market will follow. However this is ignoring a lot of people who are completely put off by a controlling a device that has 2 analog sticks, a d-pad, as well as 10+ other buttons. I was reading in the Economist where Iwata voiced his concerned about this ultimately leading to the demise of the industry, believing that there are existing signs of game industry shrinking in Japan. To use a choic quote from that article...

      As it sets out to broaden the gaming population, Nintendo is not fighting against Sony and Microsoft, says Mr Iwata. Its real enemy is the indifference that many people still feel towards gaming. Of course, says Mr Iwata, he would be happy if Nintendo became the leading console-maker again as a result of its new approach. But a victory over Sony and Microsoft in a shrinking market, he says, would not be a victory at all.
    38. Re:I find that amusing by Ninjaesque+One · · Score: 0

      Super Mario was available at launch in Japan(see Wikipedia Wii Virtual Console article). As a sinister(the archaism, not the current meaning) person, I must profess my sudden love for these Nunchucks.

      There is only one more thing: They must make functional controller-weapon nunchucks. Only then can I trans-subciate.

      --
      Ninjas and pirates. How piquant.
    39. Re:I find that amusing by schtum · · Score: 1

      Microsoft and Sony don't make a profit on their videogame divisions, Nintendo wins that race by default. And the Wii is online, they just haven't rolled out the (free) service yet (which is why none of the launch titles are online-compatible). Basically, you're wrong.

    40. Re:I find that amusing by h4ck7h3p14n37 · · Score: 1

      They've only got MGS4 and FF13 remaining as their big draws and both are too far off while the competition is hitting with Gears of War and Zelda right now.

      While MGS4 may hit the PS2 first, it will no doubt be released for either the Gamecube or Wii. It took some time, but Metal Gear Solid 1 and 2 were released for the Gamecube, and Snake will be a playable character in the new Super Smash Brothers game.

      I'm not sure about Square's games, but they've shown up on Nintendo consoles in the past.

      While I really love my PS1 and PS2, I think Sony dropped the ball with the PS3. While I can afford it, there's no way I'm dropping $700 on a system considering that I have no interest in Blu-Ray (or HD-DVD for that matter) and no intention of forking over obscene amounts of cash for a large LCD or plasma screen (sorry, my 32" CRT with component video is good enough).

    41. Re:I find that amusing by xero314 · · Score: 2, Informative

      I wouldn't agree that it will take a PS4 to kill off the PS line- there's a lot of press out in all media that's already declaring the Wii as the winner over the PS3...

      And vice versa if you look around such as this one which was referenced in What Analysts Will Be Buying For Christmas

      ...citing the early sales numbers...

      Both the PS3 and the Wii have sold out all available units, with the Wii actually having a slightly longer average shelf life than the PS3 (probably due to supply rather than actual demand).

      the $600 price tag is daunting... there's still a perceived price ceiling with consoles that the 360 seemed to actually push against, and Sony has jumped completely over.

      This again is based on misleading information. No previously high priced console had a marketed predecessor let alone a market dominant one, which should only be seen to mean that there is a price ceiling for entry into the console market, which is why no respectable analyst has mentioned the price ceiling issue. Second in real/relative cost the PS3 is cheaper than any of the examples commonly used to illustrate the price ceiling.

      The average person... looks at a game console, sees a $600 price tag, ... then look next door, see a $400 or a $250 price tag

      Or the average person looks at High Definition Video players and sees $1000 price tag, then looks next door and sees $500 or $600, plus gets the ability to play the most extensive line up of video games currently available.

      ...and the semi-negative press about the PS3 being mainly for "true gamers" with HDTV's, and I would expect Sony's market share to fall considerably.

      The HDTV market share is rising and a significant rate and will continue to do so until it is the dominant format. There is no doubt in anyones mind that HDTV will eventually be the dominant format. As the HDTV market share increases so will the desire for peripherals capable of High Definition output. Secondly the difference between "true gamers" and casual gamers shrinks every year, but that is just an opinion (from a casual gamer) so take it how ever you like.

      ...the explosive sales of DSs among non-gaming adults and the relative failure of the PSP...

      If you consider selling 1 million more units a failure, or if you prefer 8% less in world wide sales, let alone the fact that the PSP is the 36th and 40th best seller in Amazon's computer & video games category (all be it well behind the DS, but certainly not a failure). The Idea that the PSP is a failure is yet another fallacy which is commonly passed.

      And worse-case scenario for Sony, if they lose enough in system sales, and don't recoup the amount, the entire company may fail or at least downsize drastically, considering the problems they've had in other areas, such as laptop batteries and digital cameras

      Beyond my previous comments, which fairly debunk the argument, I would like someone to give me examples of a $72 Billion in revenue company (30th world wide), or even close, that has failed catastrophically without the involvement of illegal activity. I mean look how bad the Valdez global catastrophe did to Exxon (#1 rank, $370 billion in revenue company).

      It's nice to think that a company we don't like is going to fail or if our preferred manufacture and products ar

    42. Re:I find that amusing by h4ck7h3p14n37 · · Score: 1

      Yes, I know there was a class-action lawsuit, but did those lasers really go bad or did the lens just get a bit dusty? I've seen the dreaded "Disc Read Error" many times, but simply opening up the PS2 and cleaning the laser lens fixed it every time. Since then I've picked up HD Advance 2.0 and copied my games over to a large hard drive so I rarely play from the original discs these days.

    43. Re:I find that amusing by Andrew+Kismet · · Score: 1

      Why couldn't final fantasy and Metal Gear go to the Wii?
      Because Square Enix and Kojima Studios are both cinematic-styled games designers. They want the most power they can get, in both CPU and graphics. They're more likely to port to 360, with it's comparitive power. Although, Kojima has always been a fan of using the controller to its maximum (see rumble, analog, and the pressure-sensitive PS2 buttons) so he just might want to make a unique MGS for Wii. After all, Snake *is* in Smash Bros. Brawl...
      As I was saying, Square would only make FF spin-offs, not a main title game for Wii, because of their love of sheer graphical power. Same for Kojima and his main-title MGS games.

    44. Re:I find that amusing by Redlazer · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Considering that every Wii sold, Nintendo makes 50 dollars, i would say that Nintendo is already ahead of Sony and perhaps Microsoft as far as profits go.

      Also, Nintendos online system is said to be very robust, and the Channeling system is fantastic, and easy to naviagte. There are even some nice touches, such as the controller vibrating when you select a menu option, and several others.

      Also, dont forget that Excitetruck allows you to use an SD card with music on it to play during races, so you even get that benefit.

      And why isnt HD support considered a gimmick? To me, appealing to the minority of people out there (people with HD displays), and mindlessly pushing new formats, and insisting to the public that HD Graphics are here, even though any surveys or analysts will show that HD is still by far the minority, which is only further accented by Europe, where im pretty sure only 1 person named Wallace has an HDTV...

      the 360 and the PS3 are pushing their graphical prowess as a gimmick. "Look at me! Im much more powerful than the rest of them! I can play music! And download files! And defragment your harddrive! And wash your car!".

      Every single step a company takes is a gimmick to generate sales. The Wii's controller, Xbox Live, HD Graphics, Blu-Ray, HD-DVD, the SIXAXIS. All of them are gimmicks. Some of them are more succesful than others - and i think the Wii will be the most successful gimmik of all.

      By the way, i hear the photo editing software on the Wii is very very good.

      And is it just me, or does it sound like youre talking about the last generation? You do realize we're not talking about the Gamecube, PS2, and Xbox, right?

      By the way, the PS2's power was laughable in comparison to the other two consoles - and look at who won?

      -Red

      --
      Guns don't kill people, "with glowing hearts" kills people.
    45. Re:I find that amusing by Overly+Critical+Guy · · Score: 4, Informative

      What's funny is that if you take into account Nintendo's portables, they are already the #1 console manufacturer. This is something game journalists ignore. The DS is outselling the PS3 in Japan, and DS games dominate the top-sellers list.

      Nintendo is attempting another DS with the Wii, and it looks like they're on their way. At least 4 million are expected to be sold by the end of the year alone. Imagine how many will be sold next year when availability is even higher and more games are out (both for the Wii and on the Virtual Console). It's amazing, but Nintendo really might top Microsoft and Sony in non-portable consoles.

      --
      "Sufferin' succotash."
    46. Re:I find that amusing by mgabrys_sf · · Score: 2, Informative

      Oh there's a few more - Grand Tourismo, The Getaway, Katamari, F1 (which is one I'm waiting for - not getting the system until it comes out, but the demo actually made me flinch from the realistic collisions and pile-ups). Of course there's always the NEW games - which is really the point of the matter - that could become exclusives, at least initially. GTA fell into that column on the PS2 initially, who knows what's next.

      LA Noir looks freaking sweet, and although there's been reports pro and con on whether it will be exclusive, it's being developed on the PS3 and looks very interesting indeed. The music particularly. Having period 1948 jazz by masters like Charlie Parker is a nice change of pace from the usual techno / hip-hop fare.

      Lastly you've got brand retention. Current reports (msnbc / Next-Gen) indicate 60% at current. That's certainly more than half - so I think it's a race for second place. But really, who cares. Get the system that plays your games. I've got a Wii (Zelda alone should tide me over until - um - May?), and will get the PS3 when something comes out on the must-have list. Unless you need "Halo" or "Pinata", there's really a dearth of exclusives for the 360 at the moment.

    47. Re:I find that amusing by seebs · · Score: 1

      First off, it's substantially more powerful than a gamecube.

      Secondly, you say:

      >And now all of these games which look like budget titles (Wii sports, Excite Truck) are $60 just like all the other new consoles.

      Actually, no. Wii games peak at $50.

      And frankly, I don't think they look like budget titles. They look like titles running on cheaper hardware, but... That's okay.

      --
      My blog: http://www.seebs.net/log/ --- My iPhone/iPad app: http://www.seebs.net/seebsfrac/
    48. Re:I find that amusing by paedobear · · Score: 0

      The shrinking market in Japan seems to be caused purely by the aging population - Japan has a much greater stigma about adults playing games than the US or EU markets. In Japan the average gamer is a teenager, in the US/EU the average gamer is around 30.

    49. Re:I find that amusing by EvilFrog · · Score: 1

      Namco has stated that they're not planning on doing any more Katamari games, and if they were I see no indication as to why it would remain a Sony exclusive. They were planning on releasing a game in the series for the DS, but it got canceled.

    50. Re:I find that amusing by MasaMuneCyrus · · Score: 1

      Xuranova, you forget that all of the Xbox 360's sales numbers come from Europe and America. It's only sold all of about ten consoles in Japan. ^_^ Of course, that could change with Blue Dragon, so we'll see. I'd like to see Microsoft do well this generation, though.

    51. Re:I find that amusing by binarybum · · Score: 5, Funny

      I'm not sure that's entirely correct. I bought a Wii and suddenly I'm missing some underpants - I suspect this must be part of Nintendo's market strategy somehow.

      --
      ôó
    52. Re:I find that amusing by DDLKermit007 · · Score: 1

      I was heavily involved in the industry for the first two that died (not gona argue with what puts money in the bank that I enjoy). Third one came with a dead laser I replaced, and the 4th one was given to me as a gift which I won't argue with given I really wanted to play the Japanese Beserk game at the time.

      Other people I have no idea what their problem is. The PS2 was and still remains a steaming pile of shit. I still own my original Gamecube which runs beautifully, and 3 Xboxes (XBMC usage mainly).

      Back to Zelda!

    53. Re:I find that amusing by JonSnow7412 · · Score: 1

      There's something special in the console wars when Nintendo can just sit back and say "We're here for the games, not to take over your entertainment center." Nintendo is having thoughts on releasing versions of the Wii with DVD capabilities, but don't hold your breath. I have never used my ps2 to play a dvd. I had 500 dollars in my pocket and walked into Wal-Mart. I had a choice between the psp and the ds. I owned the original gameboy so I opted for the tried and true.

    54. Re:I find that amusing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Strangely I did not find Square's Final Fantasy games for the PS2 fun. They added terrible voice acting in the US version (not sure how the voice acting was in the Japanese release), the gameplay for X and X-2 was meh. The story was ok, but nothing that really drew me in as much as previous releases. 12 is turning out to be much better however but I still would not put it above any of the non-PS2 releases I've played. You don't need insane graphics to tell a good story. I still to this day find Final Fantasy 6 to be one of my favorite storylines in a game.

    55. Re:I find that amusing by IrquiM · · Score: 1

      Us casual/non-gamers already have a ps2 with buzz, singstar and eye-toy!

      I've broken more sweat than your dad playing eye-toy boxing or kinetic! Actually - I'm more fit now than when I got my PS2

      --
      This is blinging
    56. Re:I find that amusing by IrquiM · · Score: 1

      Why not consider the fact that Wii might get redundant - I know it already is in the playstation market because of eyetoy, and I've heard rumors of a "eyetoy-like" camera for the 360 as well.

      The new machines with even more processor strenght will be able to calculate more movements, and in fact, you could probably be able to play the same games on a ps3 or 360 as you do with a Wii now in a year or so.

      --
      This is blinging
    57. Re:I find that amusing by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      As I was saying, Square would only make FF spin-offs, not a main title game for Wii, because of their love of sheer graphical power.

      Which is why FF7/FF8 were on the PlayStation: for its "graphical power". ...

      Waitaminute...

      --
      Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
      Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
    58. Re:I find that amusing by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      Because unlike the Eye Toy, there's actually real games to be played on the Wii. The EyeToy games are cute, but lack any depth or simultaneous multiplayer.

      As far as getting similar motion sensing interfaces on the XBox360/PS3, it won't happen. Consumers won't want to make the extra investment in new controllers and sensors and developers won't develop features for accessories that probably won't be available to the average user. The Wii is working because it brings the novel control scheme to the general public with a enticing low pricepoint. In the lab I work at, motion trackers are usually priced at a minimum of $500 just for the sensor, and a few $K for the base station. Something we're actually willing to use (Like an Intersense IS-900 system) runs more like $2,000 for wired sensors, even more for wireless. Seeing usable hybrid inertial trackers in people's homes for under $250 is going to be interesting to watch.

      --
      Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
      Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
    59. Re:I find that amusing by 4solarisinfo · · Score: 1

      Remember in the movie 'The Jerk' when Steve Martin was running the carnival weight guessing booth?

      "Ohhh, it's a PROFIT thing!"

    60. Re:I find that amusing by (A)*(B)!0_- · · Score: 1
      The numbers aren't important; I'm sorry you get hung up on that.

      The fact is previous generation domination in no way guarantees a company will do well in the next generation. The poster to which I was replying was making that claim.

    61. Re:I find that amusing by IrquiM · · Score: 1

      However, the cost of manufactoring them will go down, so the loss will decrease after a while, so they will not lose close to USD 300 on each unit, only the first few batches

      --
      This is blinging
    62. Re:I find that amusing by ThePhilips · · Score: 1

      As far as getting similar motion sensing interfaces on the XBox360/PS3, it won't happen.

      All my friends Xbox360 owners were intrigued by rumors that M$ might be preparing similar controller targeted at FPS.

      As I have understood best games for Xbox360 are FPS. So it's only logical for M$ to release something like that: people would buy it just to improve their experience.

      Success would of course depend on whether that would require purchase of new games or not. If M$ would manage to add such controller to The Prey with only software update, then many many people would jump in.

      Also, looking from the prospect of home entertainment hub, support for variety of controllers is must. Anyone who have tried to type in WiFi's WEP128 or WPA key with classical game controller will understand me.

      Seeing usable hybrid inertial trackers in people's homes for under $250 is going to be interesting to watch.

      Do NOT mess entertainment market with professional/engineering one. I'm software/hardware developer and I know who badly Wii's software/hardware sucks. But that's not the point. Technology might suck - with its underpowered graphical/main processors or with Wii controller having low sensitivity and high latencies (running into tens of milliseconds). But for the product normal human can use - and use for games - that's much more than sufficient.

      P.S. Russians have proverb which goes like "poor people need to be cleverly smart". ([Russian original is skipped - /. sucks with its hardcoded iso-8859-1 charset]). Point is, Nintendo is the poor guy who has to be very clever and whenever compromise is available - take it. M$ and Sony can afford modern technology - Nintendo is forced beating them with cheaper but better fun-factor.

      --
      All hope abandon ye who enter here.
    63. Re:I find that amusing by whoop · · Score: 1

      Snickers could outsell the PS3.

    64. Re:I find that amusing by ThePhilips · · Score: 1

      ...which is only further accented by Europe, where im pretty sure only 1 person named Wallace has an HDTV...

      I'm in Europe and I have a HDTV. And I am not Wallace. Sorry to disappoint. ;-)

      The point is, the Wii is in part targeted at kids: the biggest gaming audience. I cannot imaging somebody forking 800€ (decent cheap 720p 32") for HDTV to put in kids room, when you can get good ol' CRT on Xmas sales for about 80€. Pairing PS3 with 80€ TV will be absolutely weird. And I hardly imaging somebody forking 2x800€ for PS3 and HDTV - all for kids.

      Nintendo might have put upscaler/etc - but that would (1) have made console more expensive and (2) targeted at narrower audience. Considering that most analyst have said that Nintendo cannot afford any kind of flop and Wii has to be successful for Nintendo to not sink, sticking with plain 480i/480p seems to me wise choice.

      May be in one year - when WOW factor would vanish - everybody would replace their Wiis with HD-capable PS3 or Xbox360, but the fact remains: Nintendo makes money out of every Wii they sell. And they do that w/o any next-gen graphic and HD. Business-wise it looks like good move. Consumer-wise... well consumers have already spoken - all over the thread.

      --
      All hope abandon ye who enter here.
    65. Re:I find that amusing by ThePhilips · · Score: 1

      That's beats me too: why I need to fork 600€ for PS3 which even cannot play tetris. Your truth: lame, lame, lame.

      ;)

      --
      All hope abandon ye who enter here.
    66. Re:I find that amusing by somersault · · Score: 1

      Oooor, they will buy a PS3 to play their PS2 games when it breaks? We have a PS2 but I have probably spent more time playing PSX games on it (I recently bought some PS2 games from the budget/pre-owned section :p if I actually still lived at home, where the PS2 is, I may have spent more on new releases).

      Apparently PlayStation CD/DVD drives commonly break. Our PSX died so we got the PS2, and its drive is starting to screw up too. I wonder if Sony actually did that on purpose. It's a bit pathetic.. though I still think the PS3 will be cool. I can be a sucker for graphics sometimes, but only if the gameplay matches (I preferred Gran Turismo 2 to 3, just because it had more cars available, and I enjoyed collecting the cars :p )

      --
      which is totally what she said
    67. Re:I find that amusing by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      I agree that FF and MGS won't go away from the PS3 and are unlikely to go multiplatform, at least the two upcoming games in the series. It could change for the following games but it's too early to say whether it will. However, Square Enix said they want to support more platforms now in order to prevent a clear winner (which could abuse its monopoly powers). In order to do that, they cannot release Dragon Quest and Final Fantasy on the same day. DQ is also much less demanding for the hardware than FF and a bigger seller in Japan. I don't think they'd put it on the 360 unless they liked MS a LOT since that system is an abysmal failure in the market DQ sells the most and even with its console-selling importance won't be able to sell as much as its predecessors. Some fanboys claim Dragon Quest is going to the Wii if that Dragon Quest Swords game sells.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    68. Re:I find that amusing by somersault · · Score: 1

      Is it not more likely that Sony have already lost that money and now are trying to make it back by selling the consoles? The $300 could be purely for the hardware, but presumably the cost to make the consoles will come down a lot over time as the parts become cheaper, and because the plants are already setup to make PS3s, meaning that they can just keep churning them out without having to re-tool a whole plant. PC CPUs start off expensive as the fabrication plants need to be set up to cope with the new design, but then prices come down a lot as the plant is churning out CPUs, eventually making back the cost of setting up the plant, and then just making a profit..

      If you actually think that Sony would make something which will be a never-ending cash drain then that's a bit weird. I know they'll be making money from the games, but I doubt they'll be losing out on producing the hardware forever..

      --
      which is totally what she said
    69. Re:I find that amusing by Abreu · · Score: 1

      The HDTV market share is rising and a significant rate and will continue to do so until it is the dominant format. There is no doubt in anyones mind that HDTV will eventually be the dominant format. As the HDTV market share increases so will the desire for peripherals capable of High Definition output. Secondly the difference between "true gamers" and casual gamers shrinks every year, but that is just an opinion (from a casual gamer) so take it how ever you like.

      Here's where I disagree with you... The HDTV market share will increase, yes, but it's still several years away from becoming the dominant format, and a lot of people still watch TV on 15 year old Trinitrons, with no incentive to upgrade.

      --
      No sig for the moment.
    70. Re:I find that amusing by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Oh yes, many of the lasers have actually gone bad. I've personally sat there and watched one of them be cleaned to no avail. Actually, the fat PS2 can be killed by Gran Turismo 4... or at least there are many, many reports of that happening.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    71. Re:I find that amusing by Voicesinyourhead · · Score: 0

      Several things here; Things that are useless; vibrating controller on menus, I would go far enough to say that is annoying. an SD card to play music??? the other 2 have hard drives to store music, you can stream music from your pc onto your xbox and/or media center, so thats a loss. You are right everything is a gimmick, I guess I'm the only one who just wants to play zelda on a normal controller. the PS'2s power wasn't laughable in comparison, it was greater the the game cube in my opinion and rivaled the xbox just fine. It took a while, just as it will with 360/ps3, to utilize its power but it turned out just fine. I guess my big thing is integration with a pc, thats just a personal note. Guess which company wins at that? Final problem I have with nintendo ; They change it way to much, new controller almost entirely every system, backwards compatability is non existent, basicly. Nintendo will hold strong, but the other 2 systems will prevail. Go ahead and flame away now.

    72. Re:I find that amusing by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      Do NOT mess entertainment market with professional/engineering one. I'm software/hardware developer and I know who badly Wii's software/hardware sucks. But that's not the point.

      I think you misunderstood my point. I wasn't trying to compare professional motion sensing technology to the tech available on the Wii. What I meant was that there are certain applications that just don't map well to analog/digital buttons and direction inputs. What'll be interesting to me is seeing what people DO with this tech in a non-academic/non-professional environment. I know how we use a hybrid inertial tracker when interacting with a HMD based 3D Dataset Visualization package, but the average person won't find that remotely interesting. So when the emphasis goes from "get work done" to "have fun", what new uses of this type of interaction will pop up that none of us have thought of?

      --
      Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
      Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
    73. Re:I find that amusing by xero314 · · Score: 1
      The fact is previous generation domination in no way guarantees a company will do well in the next generation.
      I don't think that history shows us this. The N64, the follow up to the SNES, was successful (with approx. 40% of market share, selling 32.93 million units), but that may be irrelevant to the current situation. The SNES/Genesis Generation had two primary players splitting the majority of market share with Sega's console holding 65% market share at a point and falling to 35% by the end of that generation (the inverse can be deduced for Nintendo's SNES). Sega, not nintendo, did take a significant slide following that particular generation but that was only after the failure of two major accessories (Sega CD and 32x which both could be considered an attempt at next generation) before slowly sliding into obscurity with the release of the saturn and the dreamcast. You would also need to look at the prior generation where Nintendo held a far more dominant market share. The SNES/Genesis generation was a balanced battle with no single console being dominant the entire generation which makes it significantly different from the PS2/XBox/Game Cube generation.

      From the the first year of it's release (took them a few months to build market share over previous generation) until today the PS2 has never had lower than 50% market share while at the same time being up against 2 strong competitors each sharing around 20% market share (the rest of the market being held by prior generation consoles). The PS2 was a follow up to another console which was also the predominant system of the previous generate, after making an amazing rise of the previous generations two dominant players. Because of backward compatibility (which was also show to be a smart move by Sega when they made the genesis backward compatible with the master system) the PS2 was launched with the largest game library in history, something sony is repeating with the release of the PS3. When Nintendo released the N64, and Sega the Saturn, owners were forced to buy new games to build up a decent library, and as we know launch titles are notoriously bad. Sony is able to maintain market share through it's backward compatibility, something no one has be capable of previously (Sega's backward compatibility came after launch).

      It may not be clear, but the point is that there are no historic comparisons between the current generation and prior generations in regards to market dominance and future analysis. Even the Atari era has enough significant differences that you can't really use it for this generations projections.
      The numbers aren't important
      I'm not sure how you can make future estimations or market analysis without usage of previous and current statistics (a.k.a Numbers). The numbers are very important since market share and profit are determined by numbers and success is normally rated by market share or profitability. I'm sure it is easier to say that the numbers don't mater than than it is to actually get your facts straight, but that doesn't make it a valid argument.
    74. Re:I find that amusing by xero314 · · Score: 1
      The HDTV market share will increase, yes, but it's still several years away from becoming the dominant format, and a lot of people still watch TV on 15 year old Trinitrons, with no incentive to upgrade.
      I would bet that a fair share of non-HDTV owners will not be purchasing any next generation game consoles in the next couple years, and I would not blame them since it would be a waste of money. The Game Cube, PS2 and XBox all have extensive libraries with a number of very good games, and PS2 games will continue to be made for the next couple years. This basically means if you don't need/want HD output there is no reason to purchase a current generation console (since you can pick up the prior generation for less than $150). You even said it yourself that these people have no incentive to upgrade, so either the current generation consoles will be the incentive, or they probably don't have any incentive to purchase a current generation console by any manufacturer (with the biggest change being higher resolution capability).

      Lastely, HDTV market share is growing faster than you may think, with the Number one selling TVs being currently all HDTVs (be it online or at retail outlets). At amazon, 26 of the top 30 sellers are HDTVs (with the non HDTVs being very small TVs which would probably not be suitable for gaming anyway).
    75. Re:I find that amusing by (A)*(B)!0_- · · Score: 1
      "It may not be clear, but the point is that there are no historic comparisons between the current generation and prior generations in regards to market dominance and future analysis. Even the Atari era has enough significant differences that you can't really use it for this generations projections."
      Wasn't that exactly my point?
      "I'm not sure how you can make future estimations or market analysis without usage of previous and current statistics (a.k.a Numbers). The numbers are very important since market share and profit are determined by numbers and success is normally rated by market share or profitability. I'm sure it is easier to say that the numbers don't mater than than it is to actually get your facts straight, but that doesn't make it a valid argument."
      The numbers from the previous generation of consoles are not important for the point I was making. My point was that past sales do not mean future sales in the console industry. If you want to stop being a prick, we can discuss that. (I am guessing that is not the case.)
    76. Re:I find that amusing by shoptroll · · Score: 1

      If you are positioning yourself to be the 2nd system in the living room, won't you naturally end up in 1st place in terms of market share? The theory being that no one is going to want/need a PS3 and an 360, but could certainly afford one or the other in addition to the Wii. Also, both Sony and MS were trumpeting the "get us and a Wii" horn shortly after E3. There's no way the Wii will be close to third place.

      Hell, in sheer sales right now, Nintendo is well ahead of the PS3 by at least 2x.

      --
      Insert Sig Here
    77. Re:I find that amusing by Redlazer · · Score: 1
      I am more than frustrated with your lack of knowledge in this matter.

      I cant imagine how PC integration would be important - cause, you know, you already HAVE a pc. But thats fine. I cant argue about your likes and dislikes.

      Your other points are weak, because they totaly discount something based on "well someone else does it differently", which is lame.

      And your backwards compatibility argument is a joke. The Virtual console has (or will have) almost every single Nintendo game ever developed, along with several other consoles from several other developers.

      And the basic controller design has remain unchanged, and i affirm that the GCN controller and especially N64 controller revolutionized the basic controller designs to what we see today.

      And no, Sony will be dead last, wondering who robbed him.

      Mircosoft will probably be in a short lead. Yu can already see how things are panning out: Here

      Its time for innovation to take the lead. Not "ooh, you can watch movies on me!"

      -Red

      --
      Guns don't kill people, "with glowing hearts" kills people.
    78. Re:I find that amusing by randyest · · Score: 1

      Considering that most analyst have said that Nintendo cannot afford any kind of flop and Wii has to be successful for Nintendo to not sink, sticking with plain 480i/480p seems to me wise choice.

      Which "analyst" is unfamiliar with the wildly profitable Nintendo DS and GameBoy?

      --
      everything in moderation
    79. Re:I find that amusing by GFLPraxis · · Score: 1

      MGS4 is a PS3 game, not a PS2 game. There is no way it would run on a GameCube and very unlikely that it would run well on the Wii.

      It might make it to 360 though, and the Wii might get its own MGS game someday.

    80. Re:I find that amusing by randyest · · Score: 1

      If you'd posted this as AC I'd have assumed you were trolling and ignore you. Maybe you still are, but your post was is so amazingly wrong that I need to comment.

      Things that are useless; vibrating controller on menus, I would go far enough to say that is annoying.

      I am certain that you've not tried it then. The wiimote vibrates slightly for less than a second when your pointer is moved over a selection button. It's great tactile feedback.

      an SD card to play music??? the other 2 have hard drives to store music, you can stream music from your pc onto your xbox and/or media center, so thats a loss.


      And that makes your music sound better or something?

      the PS'2s power wasn't laughable in comparison, it was greater the the game cube in my opinion and rivaled the xbox just fine. It took a while, just as it will with 360/ps3, to utilize its power but it turned out just fine.


      It's not a matter of opinion; the ps2 is far less powerful, both in terms of CPU and graphics, than the gamecube. Sorry, but it's an objective reality.

      Final problem I have with nintendo ; They change it way to much, new controller almost entirely every system, backwards compatability is non existent, basicly. Nintendo will hold strong, but the other 2 systems will prevail.


      Heaven forbid something change for the better. And, BTW, Wii is 100% backward compatible with nintendo's previous consol (gamecube) which is something that cannot be said for PS3 or 360.

      --
      everything in moderation
    81. Re:I find that amusing by GFLPraxis · · Score: 1

      FF7/FF8 were on the Playstation because despite the cruddy graphics, the CD's could hold CGI cutscenes, while the N64's cartridges couldn't.

    82. Re:I find that amusing by xero314 · · Score: 1
      My point was that past sales do not mean future sales in the console industry.
      My point was that past sales do have an bearing on future sales we just don't have a directly comparable historic instance to make assumptions or analysis about sales of the current video game consoles. The only historical data we have shows that no prior market share leader, when there were ample competitors, has sold less than one half the previous generations sales. The only examples that meet the criteria, limited as it may be, would be the NES(60 million) to SNES (49 million), SNES(49 million) to N64(32 million) and the PS1 (100+ million) to PS2 (100+ million), since Atari, the previous market leader, had the video game crash of '83 to contend with. So from these numbers we can show that the worst any market leader has done was to lose 35% of sales and drop to 2nd place. In this generation if Sony were to lose 35% of sales, dropping them to around 65 million, one of their competitors would need to increase by over 300% (or plus 200% depending how you look at it) which, again historically, has never happened for an established manufacturer (Sega came close with the Genesis).

      I'm not saying what we should expect in the current console generation (as I am not an analyst and am not trying to be one), only trying to show that your falsely inflated example brings no value to the conversation and was merely the game saying of the previous posters, historically supported (even though there are no obvious direct correlations), post and thought you, and other readers, might actually be interested in seeing what we can learn from the true historic data.
    83. Re:I find that amusing by randyest · · Score: 1

      Your claim is false and unsubstantiated.

      --
      everything in moderation
    84. Re:I find that amusing by (A)*(B)!0_- · · Score: 1
      "So from these numbers we can show that the worst any market leader has done was to lose 35% of sales and drop to 2nd place. In this generation if Sony were to lose 35% of sales, dropping them to around 65 million, one of their competitors would need to increase by over 300% (or plus 200% depending how you look at it) which, again historically, has never happened for an established manufacturer (Sega came close with the Genesis)."
      There are more than enough factors other than previous generation sales and the fact that your sample size is so small to make this fact trivially unimportant. My point was that sales of the PS2 will not play a significant role in how well or poorly the PS3 does.

      You are writing a lot but proving nothing because there is no analysis behind your text. I said the numbers didn't matter because I don't believe there is any causation between past sales and current sales. You have shown correlation (to a very limited extent due to the incredibly small number of console releases, statistically speaking) but not causation.

    85. Re:I find that amusing by xero314 · · Score: 1
      There are more than enough factors other than previous generation sales and the fact that your sample size is so small to make this fact trivially unimportant. My point was that sales of the PS2 will not play a significant role in how well or poorly the PS3 does.
      Sales of the PS2 will certainly signify factors that will have significant impact of the sales of the PS3. Brand recognition is an extremely powerful and well documented signifier of future success, both positive and negative. The fact that all the major consoles are backward compatible also brings into play previous console sales since they have a direct correlation with previous game sales. The 100 million previous PS2 owners (assuming each person only bought one, which is probably only a little off from actuality) already have a library of games that they would like to be able to continue using, driving them towards a PS3. All of this was clearly shown with the transition from PS1 to PS2 with their almost identical market penetration each selling just over 100 million units.
      You are writing a lot but proving nothing because there is no analysis behind your text. I said the numbers didn't matter because I don't believe there is any causation between past sales and current sales. You have shown correlation (to a very limited extent due to the incredibly small number of console releases, statistically speaking) but not causation.
      I won't say that prior market sales are direct causation of future sales but are at the bare minimum a factor. This is true of all products not just consoles and is one of the driving factors behind why automobile manufacturers drop or continue specific lines. In the end the only definable causation of a products success or failure is the markets willingness to pay for the product, but that should not negate the viability of creating market estimates based on advertising, word of month or even past experience which all, along with many other things, are factors involved in the success or failure of a product.
    86. Re:I find that amusing by (A)*(B)!0_- · · Score: 1
      "The 100 million previous PS2 owners (assuming each person only bought one, which is probably only a little off from actuality) already have a library of games that they would like to be able to continue using, driving them towards a PS3. All of this was clearly shown with the transition from PS1 to PS2 with their almost identical market penetration each selling just over 100 million units."
      Just because the PS1 and PS2 had a similar number of units sold does not prove that backwards compatibility played a role in that. Show me an actual market report that shows a significant percentage of buyers chose the PS2 for backwards compatibility.

      I believe that much more important than past sales and name recognition, games and word of mouth are the driving factors behind console sales.

      "I won't say that prior market sales are direct causation of future sales but are at the bare minimum a factor. This is true of all products not just consoles and is one of the driving factors behind why automobile manufacturers drop or continue specific lines."
      The console market is quite unique in comparison to the marketing of other products. Past sales can be a factor but I think it is much less a factor when compared to other markets.
    87. Re:I find that amusing by Andrew+Kismet · · Score: 1

      FMV. Prerendered backdrops.

    88. Re:I find that amusing by paedobear · · Score: 1

      False in the idea there's a stigma about older gamers in Japan? As a long-term resident who works for a Japanese software company, I assure you there is. Or do you mean that the idea that the average US gamer is older is false?

    89. Re:I find that amusing by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      Yes, which have nothing to do with "graphical power". Which was my point. If you had pointed to Kojima's team at Konami and said "these guys need a system they can really push" I'd of agreed with you, but Square really doesn't fit that bill. I've never looked at a Final Fantasy game and said "This is the best looking thing on the system today." Ever.

      --
      Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
      Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
    90. Re:I find that amusing by Andrew+Kismet · · Score: 1

      Y'know, the more I think about it the more I think you're right. Square Enix could easily switch back to Nintendo, because Wii is using the full-sized DVDs and has the processing power to handle detailed 3D. I just wonder if it'll come back to the same reason they chose the Playstation over N64: the storage space. You can fit a lot more FMV, textures, vocals, and music onto a Blu-Ray disc than you can a standard DVD. Then again, I doubt they could produce enough content to fill a Blu-Ray to capacity and keep the price under the $60 tag PS3 seems to be fixed on. You would need a LOT of artists to achieve that...

    91. Re:I find that amusing by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      You've got a point. Square could decide that the only proper way to experience their FMV sequences is in 1080p and go with the only system that provides them with that capability... But that seems a bit of a stretch. I'd really hope they didn't go w/ Blu-Ray just to fill up the disk with FMV, however... There's no reason I should have to pay $60 for a movie with a couple interactive bits thrown in here and there...

      --
      Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
      Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
  2. *Gasp* by TheAngryMob · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You mean giving customers what they want will help sell your product?

    I'm shocked! Shocked I say!

    --

    Don't just game, Dungeoneer
    1. Re:*Gasp* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Customers want to get gouged, rather then getting an extremely good deal for tech? Man, are you like on Earth 2 or something?

    2. Re:*Gasp* by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      These are game consoles, not PCs. They are intended first and foremost to play games, with the possible exception of the PS3 which is at least as important to Sony as a Blu-Ray player as it is as a game console. I feel this strategy will hurt them in the long run but we won't be able to tell until a few months from now.

      Their primary purpose is to play games and their value is based on the amount of fun they provide. Only a small handful of people are going to buy the PS3 as anything other than a game console or a Blu-Ray player so it is entirely irrelevant how much raw CPU power it has.

      If it were made by anyone other than Sony and had at least 512MB of RAM it might be useful as a general purpose computer, but it isn't and it doesn't so fuck it. The first one doesn't decrease the usefulness, just convinces me not to buy it because I have finally become incensed enough with Sony to boycott their products. Granted, it's a small impact, but I am not alone and I tell everyone I can think of about why I don't support Sony any longer.

      The Xbox is the only game console I've ever purchased for reasons other than its utility as a game console, and that's not a story that makes Microsoft too happy as they don't get their game licensing fees out of me since I'm not buying games. (Okay, I have a couple used ones now.) I don't buy new games for sony consoles either... Not any more, anyway. I have a PS1, a PSOne, and a PSTwo, but I won't be buying a PS3, if ever, until several years have passed and there is sufficiently little demand for them that buying a used one won't automatically generate a new sale.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  3. Not too surprising by quizzicus · · Score: 5, Insightful
    ...the more a company focuses on beating its competitors, rather than on the bottom line, the worse it is likely to do.

    I find the same to be generally true among humans.

    1. Re:Not too surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Competing against another person leads to two things. In victory it leads to complacence and ego and ultimately downfall. In defeat it leads to frustration, anger and downfall.

      The only solution is to compete against oneself. Solve the problem or run the race a little better than last time. Keep trying do thing s little better every time and nobody has power over you.

  4. rick romero? by Lehk228 · · Score: 0, Troll

    in other news the sky has been discovered to be blue, and grass green. no news yet on the study to determine wetness of water

    --
    Snowden and Manning are heroes.
    1. Re:rick romero? by Osty · · Score: 5, Funny

      in other news the sky has been discovered to be blue, and grass green. no news yet on the study to determine wetness of water

      Where is this magical wonderland where you live? Where I'm at, the sky is gray, the grass is covered in a blanket of white, and water is frozen.

    2. Re:rick romero? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've conducted a study pertaining to the wetness of water. It is, in fact, not wet at all. it only makes other things wet.

    3. Re:rick romero? by LordSkippy · · Score: 5, Funny

      Your conclusion that water isn't wet is correct. However, you are wrong about it making other things wet. What actually happens is that water absorbs other objects dryness, thus giving the appearance of making them wet.

      --
      My karma is in a nose dive
    4. Re:rick romero? by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      It's called Arizona.

    5. Re:rick romero? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here it is Summer (or nearly so), 10:45am and Thursday.

    6. Re:rick romero? by DohnJoe · · Score: 1

      you must be from Russia...

    7. Re:rick romero? by Gulthek · · Score: 1

      Green grass in Arizona? That *is* news.

    8. Re:rick romero? by tenton · · Score: 1

      Green grass in Arizona? That *is* news.

      Nah, they have a few nice golf courses over there.

    9. Re:rick romero? by Kehvarl · · Score: 2, Funny

      Not at all, we spraypaint the grass on a regular basis.

    10. Re:rick romero? by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Yep, we have lots of green grass here. It's a big part of the reason why we have water-supply problems. :-/

  5. Is Wii fun? by BrookHarty · · Score: 3, Insightful

    All I see are articles talking about how fun Wii is, the new way of interacting with games.
    But is this new game play interaction something that can keep the wii going in the longterm?

    I have tried it, so I honestly don't if tilt controllers are something to build a console around.

    Also, with PS/3 being a fully functional computer with a keyboard/mouse/blueray, its more than just a console. And Xbox live with internet access to media is more than a console. The Wii is a console and priced like it.

    1. Re:Is Wii fun? by Lane.exe · · Score: 4, Interesting
      The Wii doesn't have to keep going in the long term. The lifespan of a console as a platform for launching new games is under a decade. The Wii just has sell enough units itself to make it attractive for developers to keep producing titles, which it looks like it will, and the platform will live its life and then Nintendo is free to create a new platform for the "next-next-generation" of gaming consoles.

      I have an Xbox 360, and will probably get a PS3 as well (Final Fantasy is too big of a draw for me to ignore it). I like my PS2, and I like my Xbox 360. They have certain games I want to play, and I enjoy playing them. That was enough to motivate me to buy the console. That's all the money that these companies are going to get from me, because from here on out, all I'm going to be buying is games. If the console is interesting enough to draw me in to buy at least one, then they've accomplished their job as a console manufacturer with regard to me. So the Wii needs to only hook people this once, and in doing so, ensures that it's profitable for developers to produce games for the next five or six years. Then, once the companies are ready to release new systems, if there are things we like and want to experience about these new systems, we'll pay out the money necessary to get them.

      --
      IAALS.
    2. Re:Is Wii fun? by HappySqurriel · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I have tried it, so I honestly don't if tilt controllers are something to build a console around.

      The question I would have for this is how much time did you try it for, what games did you play and did you keep an open mind?

      But is this new game play interaction something that can keep the wii going in the longterm?

      The Wiimote (and Nunchuck) are no where near perfect implementations of the technology and yet they're far better than any controller I have used. When you play most conventional games (FPS, Racing Games) the Wiimote (and Nunchuck) is actually almost as good as the best interfaces for these games (Keyboard & Mouse, Steering Wheel) and in many games it is actually superior (Adventure games). The beauty of the Wiimote is that it allows for (nearly) endless usage options and a good designer can make a highly useable and intuitive interface.

      Also, with PS/3 being a fully functional computer with a keyboard/mouse/blueray, its more than just a console. And Xbox live with internet access to media is more than a console. The Wii is a console and priced like it.

      I have a PC, why do I need another one that doesn't have the functionality and expandability of my existing PC?

    3. Re:Is Wii fun? by cananian · · Score: 4, Informative
      That's all the money that these companies are going to get from me, because from here on out, all I'm going to be buying is games.
      Surely you know that most of the money the console manufacturers make is from per-game licensing fees? The console isn't sold at much of a profit (if any). So it is, in fact, crucial that the console manufacturer ensure that good games for their platform keep being produced, and that you in fact continue to buy new games for the platform.
      --
      [ /. is too noisy already -- who needs a .sig? ]
    4. Re:Is Wii fun? by Wampus+Aurelius · · Score: 1
      Also, with PS/3 being a fully functional computer with a keyboard/mouse/blueray, its more than just a console. And Xbox live with internet access to media is more than a console. The Wii is a console and priced like it.

      And yet, if I want to buy a console, why would I pay for more than what I wanted? If I wanted a fully functional computer, I would buy or (more likely) already own one. If I wanted a DVD/blueray player, I would buy one. How many people who can afford to buy a PS3 don't already own a computer of some sort?

    5. Re:Is Wii fun? by tepples · · Score: 1
      I have a PC, why do I need another one that doesn't have the functionality and expandability of my existing PC?

      Because it is more likely than not connected to a much larger monitor, for one thing.

    6. Re:Is Wii fun? by ObiWanStevobi · · Score: 1

      I have a PC, why do I need another one that doesn't have the functionality and expandability of my existing PC?

      So you know designers are going to tailor the game to work on your video card for at least a few years.

    7. Re:Is Wii fun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's way more than a tilt controller, sounds like you havent played it at all.

    8. Re:Is Wii fun? by Fozzyuw · · Score: 1
      But is this new game play interaction something that can keep the wii going in the longterm?...Also, with PS/3 being a fully functional computer with a keyboard/mouse/blueray, its more than just a console. And Xbox live with internet access to media is more than a console.

      My crystal ball thinks it will have long-term viability. There is a lot of potential with this system. Yes, it's too bad that it's not more powerful, but I'm more than happy with the graphics of the games I play. Although, I won't deny that HD games don't make my jaw drop.

      First, the Wii remote. It's a pointing device... it's practically a mouse. I already find punching in my name in a virtual keyboard to be a billion times faster than using a controller to scroll through the letters. But lets not go there, lets instead think of adding a wireless keyboard accessory. You now have the workings of 'computer like' interface. Real Time Strategy games (that often fail on Consoles) become much more viable and fun. You can quickly select your troops in the field by dragging out a selection box, much like computer games do. With a wireless keyboard accessory, chatting becomes easy, and a keyboard is easy to rest in your lap.

      All Wii's have online support. You can already download games for the virtual console. It will take a while, but developers should be able to utilize the wireless to create online games. Now, companies, like Blizzard, can release Wii ports for their Warcraft and Starcraft strategy games (not WoW) which can find a whole new revenue path for games they've already made and just need to be ported (see low investment, high profits). The Wii is already planning on having a Weather and News channel, though I do not know how this will work, but it's interesting. I know they have plans to release a browser (I think it was Opera?).

      This opens up the 'casual' games department for the Wii (which was just talked about here on /. about their profitability). People should/might be able to enjoy those Yahoo! and Flash games (if the browser can support Java and Flash plugins). I'm just waiting for a developer to create a simple, cheap, download-able 'virtual console'-ish game with network support.

      It's simply the remote that I think will make this happen. The remote will work well as a pointer device, like a computer mouse, and allow game development to incorporate this idea and finally some of our favorite PC games might be as enjoyable from the couch. =)

      Of course, that's already besides the 'traditional' games that are made as well as the potential for more unique game play using the motion sensing abilities.

      Cheers,
      Fozzy

      ps. Nope, I'm not sure if this will all happen, but I just see the potential.

      --
      "The past was erased, the erasure was forgotten, the lie became truth." ~1984 George Orwell
    9. Re:Is Wii fun? by owyn999 · · Score: 1

      My Sony FWD40LX1 would take exception to that... she is a 40 inch LCD screen beauty and hooks up to my Radeon X1600 Pro via a DVI-D port and runs at some pretty smooth resolutions... Half-Life 2 look samazing and GTR 2 answers all questions ever posed by the... "Why aren't you playing Gran Turismo" crowd...

      --
      Where's that cap to the Decanter of Endless water???
    10. Re:Is Wii fun? by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      And most likely it's connected to a display that can only do 640x480. Sure, there's HDTV but we're talking about likely, i.e. most people. 640x480 can't hold a lot of readable text, interlacing and the generally bad quality of most TV pictures means you need larger letters than on a PC to keep them from blurring to all hell and the increased viewing distance takes its toll as well. Now add the internet and websites that haven't been designed for use at 640x480 for years and applications that take even more (I think XSI was one of those applications that won't run below 1280x960). There's a reason WebTV didn't take off.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    11. Re:Is Wii fun? by Senjutsu · · Score: 2, Insightful

      All I see are articles talking about how fun Wii is, the new way of interacting with games. But is this new game play interaction something that can keep the wii going in the longterm?

      No. No matter how good the games are, you'll eventually get tired of using motion to interact with them, just like how great games weren't enough to keep any other console alive once people got tired of the novelty of pushing buttons to play.

      Oh, wait, that's not the way it works. Games are the draw for the Wii, just like everything else; they aren't asking you to play shit just because you get to swing your arms while doing it. The control scheme isn't a novelty meant to sustain interest in and of itself, but rather to allow for more creative games to be devloped, and those games will sustain the interest, as in any other gaming market.

    12. Re:Is Wii fun? by 644bd346996 · · Score: 1

      I haven't exactly been hunting for it, but I have yet to hear of somebody getting bored with the wii. So far, nobody seems to have the muscles to play that long. I think we will see novel ways of using the wiimote keep showing up for several years.

      P.S. The wii can surf the web.

    13. Re:Is Wii fun? by The+One+and+Only · · Score: 1

      That's a reason to buy a game console, but he wanted a reason to buy a combination-game-console-faux-PC.

      --
      In Repressive Burma, it's not just your connection that dies. slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=314547&cid=20819199
    14. Re:Is Wii fun? by iamstretchypanda · · Score: 1

      Newegg prices

      As you can see, a blue ray drive for your computer is approximately the same price as the PS3, or more expensive. The PS3 also plays various games and... (gasp) can run linux :p. Can your blue ray player do that? The only real reason I personally would buy a blue ray disk drive is to burn copies of the disks, but if you only have 1 blue-ray drive think of how much data you must store to your computer in order to burn a copy. Ha, no thanks.

    15. Re:Is Wii fun? by The+One+and+Only · · Score: 1

      So? Either it's connected to a standard definition TV (in which case the resolution is crap for anything you'd do with a PC) or it's connected to an HDTV (in which case you can connect your PC to it as well, obviating the need to use your PlayStation as a faux PC).

      --
      In Repressive Burma, it's not just your connection that dies. slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=314547&cid=20819199
    16. Re:Is Wii fun? by tepples · · Score: 1
      he wanted a reason to buy a combination-game-console-faux-PC.

      Games from smaller studios are more likely to show up on a faux PC than on a traditional video game console due to licensing issues.

    17. Re:Is Wii fun? by jrmiller84 · · Score: 1

      I understand your point and yes it's true for the PS3 and XBox360 (and past non-nintendo consoles) but as Reggie has said before, Nintendo holds a good spot in the gaming industry. Not only are they the makers of the console itself, a lot of times they ARE the developers of the games. So with that in mind, they make money on the initial console sale as you have said and then keep making money if they keep putting out interesting games that people want to play. With the number of reputable characters and games they have going for them in the past, it's no problem for them to start new with this platform and make those games even better. And in the end, still keep profiting even after the system sales have decreased.

      --
      I will forever be a student.
    18. Re:Is Wii fun? by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 1

      "Also, with PS/3 being a fully functional computer with a keyboard/mouse/blueray, its more than just a console. And Xbox live with internet access to media is more than a console. The Wii is a console and priced like it."

      The same could have been said about the PSP. Built in web browser, UMD, plays media off of Memory Stick, and the DS is priced like a console. Etc. So, to answer this question: "But is this new game play interaction something that can keep the wii going in the longterm?" ... my answer is 'Demonstratably, yes.'

      --

      "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

    19. Re:Is Wii fun? by dlemay68 · · Score: 1

      I haven't tried it yet. Although I am enthusiastic about trying a new type of control system, I would hate for it to feel like "work" to play games. I can see where some games would benefit from the control system, but games such as Zelda may be a pain to play for a long period of time using the motion control. Do these games REQUIRE you to use the motion features, or can you use the controller, or even another controller type, the normal way I am used to?

    20. Re:Is Wii fun? by tilandal · · Score: 1

      This is true but the bigger truth is that you can not make money selling a consol at a loss. Consol makers only see $8-$12 in fees for every game sold. If you are selling a consol at a $200 loss you would have to sell 20 games before you even covered your hardware costs. After that you have to cover your R&D costs, service and support costs, and your advertising costs. After all of that you can finally start to make some money. Historically most (if not all) consols have an attach rate of less then 10. (10 games sold per consol) This is why Microsoft los so much money on the Xbox. The PS3 will not make a profit for years to come. Nintendo, on the other hand, starts making money right away.

    21. Re:Is Wii fun? by fithmo · · Score: 1
      Also, with PS/3 being a fully functional computer with a keyboard/mouse/blueray, its more than just a console. And Xbox live with internet access to media is more than a console. The Wii is a console and priced like it.

      Do your homework.

      The Wii has 2 USB ports that will allow you to use keyboards and such with software like the Opera web browser, which should be released on Wii around the new year. It has photo/video viewing software already built in that read from the SD slot, and an upcoming Google Earth-like 3d globe for displaying visualized weather data. Plus, all those services are free; no monthly fee - the only online use you pay for is Virtual Console games you can buy, or other software yet to be released through the Wii Shopping Channel in the OS.

    22. Re:Is Wii fun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Also, with PS/3 being a fully functional computer with a keyboard/mouse/blueray, its more than just a console. And Xbox live with internet access to media is more than a console. The Wii is a console and priced like it.

      I think this is part of Sony's problem: while Microsoft has been intently focused on making Xbox (and 360) an excellent high-definition, next-generation game machine, first, last, and (largely) only (and Nintendo even more intently focused on making their consoles provide a FUN pure gaming experience, regardless of technical capabilities), Sony has started dabbling in "maybe PS3 can do everything" while getting caught up on claimed technical specifications to beat all others (to the extent that the end result is forgotton while pushing the price to astronomical levels), which results in the PS3 doing everything rather poorly, including providing a fun gaming experience or even making high-def games and movies look good (according to reviews I've seen so far), despite its high price (which is itself even more of a loss-leader than is typical for consoles).

      I honestly don't know how things will turn out, other than that I think each will do well: Nintendo have the lowest price, the smallest console, and the most fun experience overall for non-network play, not to mention the incredibly cool controller - I may buy one even if I have never owned a console before, don't have much time for gaming, and don't particularly like the look of the games I see on the web. Xbox provides the best network gaming, has graphics and games that will continue to compete extremely well with PS3, and an overall more-polished, better finished package, making it in REALITY, the most-capable next-generation console (regardless of the PS3's specifications). They were also first out of the gate and have the most leeway to reduce prices at this point, since the hardware is already profitable. Sony, on the other hand, has the mindless devotion of seemingly billions of people who will automatically buy a PS3 without even learning anything about it or considering the competition (this is especially true in Japan, where the 360 is doing very poorly, as the first xbox did). By sheer inertia, Sony will sell as many PS3s as they can make, at practically whatever price they care to charge, even if it isn't really all that great.

      But I'm not convinced that in two or three years Sony's PS3 will come out with nearly the kind of lead the PS2 had. Sony as a company has lost much of its goodwill and reputation (among certain informed segments at least) over the last few years, and I don't expect the PS3 (or Blu Ray generally) to help much in that department. And I think it will take several years of financial struggle (for the gaming division) before game sales can make up for the massive losses on hardware sales.
    23. Re:Is Wii fun? by seebs · · Score: 1

      The "long term" for a console is, as you note, under a decade. The Wii is interesting enough that I think it'll still be popular in five years -- and by that time, Nintendo should have a replacement. But I think the poster's question was contrasting "still interesting in four years" with "lose all interest within a month". I am pretty sure the Wii will stay viable easily that long.

      However, your analysis on the economics is off; Sony gets money every time you buy a game for the PS2 or PS3. They lose money on consoles. Same with Microsoft and the xbox.

      --
      My blog: http://www.seebs.net/log/ --- My iPhone/iPad app: http://www.seebs.net/seebsfrac/
    24. Re:Is Wii fun? by The+One+and+Only · · Score: 1

      They're even more likely to show up on an actual PC. Boom! Squeezed out of the market.

      --
      In Repressive Burma, it's not just your connection that dies. slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=314547&cid=20819199
    25. Re:Is Wii fun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have a computer, why would I want a half assed one to sit in my entertainement center?

    26. Re:Is Wii fun? by DrXym · · Score: 1
      The question I would have for this is how much time did you try it for, what games did you play and did you keep an open mind?

      The wii remote is fine for actions that result in the same actions being performed in-game. e.g. you swing this way and the in-game player swings the same. It won't be fine for complex games where there is no natural mapping and the game expects you to remember gestures to perform some action. Gestures suck big time. Gestures make poor substitutes for simple button presses. Numerous Wii games (Madden, COD3, Marvel Ultimate Alliance & more) have already been criticised for terrible control schemes - something that barely warrants a mention on other consoles.

      I have a PC, why do I need another one that doesn't have the functionality and expandability of my existing PC?

      No doubt you rationalise the lack of DVD playback on the Wii too right?

      Anyway back to PC. The PS3 is a games console, HD movie player, media entertainment systems and PC (where PC = supporting random other PPC OS) that sits under your TV. One cable, one power supply, one machine. You claim you don't need another PC which is fair enough but do you question there no worth at all for in a single box that sits under your TV that does all those things and runs just about any program that is available for Linux? That would include Firefox, Openoffice, VLC, GAIM, MythTV, XMAME, UAE, DosBox, Qemu, countless other emulation apps for SNES / NES / PS / GB / GBA / Atari / Sega etc.

      Right from day 1 the PS3 supported Fedora Core 5 (a pretty impressive feat). 10 days on and Yellow Dog Linux has appeared. It is likely that someone will produce a MythTV-centric Linux which turns your humble PS3 into a PVR and numerous other things. Right under your TV. Naturally it would be possible to cobble together the parts to make your own PC, but I doubt the graphics performance (or even the HD outputs) would be there for the same price.

      And compared to other STB style PCs such as Intel's Viiv vision, or even the Mac Mini, the price is an absolute steal.

    27. Re:Is Wii fun? by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      Erm... What HD outputs are you talking about? My understanding was the big draw of the PS3's HD-out was an HDMI port which is just DVI with Audio (which my current PVR box is hooked into my Sony WEGA HD by a DVI to HDMI cable and some RCA jacks). I can most certainly build a better set top box/PVR for less money than the PS3 will provide. What the hell does "graphics performance" matter for a PVR? Heck, I unplugged the fan on the GeForce 4 in my box to quiet it down because it's not really being used.

      So far I haven't seen any useful feature the PS3 can provide that my homebrew PVR can't for less money.

      Note I don't consider Blu-Ray a useful feature... :P

      --
      Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
      Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
    28. Re:Is Wii fun? by DrXym · · Score: 1
      I can most certainly build a better set top box/PVR for less money than the PS3 will provide.

      I doubt it would be significantly cheaper and it sure as hell would be no good for gaming. Besides, are you suggesting that everyone should build their own STBs just to save a few dollars on what the PS3 offers already in addition to its main functionality.

      What the hell does "graphics performance" matter for a PVR?

      Who said it did? The graphics performance is for playing games.

      Perhaps you prefer having umpteen devices attached to your TV to offer the functionality you can get out of one. Perhaps you prefer to build your own kit. I don't.

    29. Re:Is Wii fun? by MemoryDragon · · Score: 1

      Actually as a computer the PS3 is heavily crippled, lets face it you get a good processor a good vector unit and for the display a measly framebuffer device... You can forget this thing for most visul stuff, except basic 2 user interfaces.

    30. Re:Is Wii fun? by MemoryDragon · · Score: 1

      You probably can forget about most games, and things like mythtv on the PS3, due to the framebuffer device limitation. Good luck by trying to use the PS3 as a media centre under Linux, you probably are better off with a refurbished 100$ PC for using it as a media hub.

    31. Re:Is Wii fun? by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      lets instead think of adding a wireless keyboard accessory
      trouble with accessories is that few people buy them (or in the case of keyboard/mouse for the PS2 realise they can use ones they aready have) which means few games support them.

      by putting the wiimote in the box nintendo has practically gauranteed it will become a major part of the Wii platform.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    32. Re:Is Wii fun? by DrXym · · Score: 1

      Not true. Watch this guy using Fedora from a PS3. He spends about 30 minutes walking through everything including using the PS3 to play music, fullscreen video and games - http://www.gamevideos.com/video/id/7770. It's plenty fast enough to use a media center even when running a version of Linux which hasn't even been optimized for the PS3 and is running everything from the PPC CPU. Future versions would likely shift a lot of work onto SPUs and might even feature accelerated graphics either because Sony or NVidia release a driver or again by somebody writing a SPU assisted backend to Mesa and other libraries.

    33. Re:Is Wii fun? by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you prefer having umpteen devices attached to your TV to offer the functionality you can get out of one. Perhaps you prefer to build your own kit. I don't.

      When those three devices are collectively cheaper and work better than the single device, then yeah, I do prefer it. Also note it's only three because I really really like my DVD player and so I don't use the DVD drive on my PVR box... Otherwise it could be two.

      Who said it did? The graphics performance is for playing games.

      A Shader Model 3/4 graphics card won't help me run ZSNES or MAME any better. :)

      --
      Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
      Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
  6. i'm confused.. by LordEd · · Score: 5, Funny
    It's really well suited for just one thing: playing games. But this turns out to be an asset.
    Let me get this straight. You make a gaming system. This gaming system is well suited to play games. Why is this surprising?

    I am going to surprise auto industry that is suitable for driving.
    1. Re:i'm confused.. by jimstapleton · · Score: 1

      the key word is just

      The PS3 and XBox360 do a lot more, not just gaming.

      --
      34486853790
      Connection too slow for X forwarding? Try "ssh -CX user@host"
    2. Re:i'm confused.. by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1

      Really? What else? Oh yeah, they both can play media for which there is little to no content out yet. Better yet, the two formats are incompatible, which fractures the market and discourages uptake! Great strategy!

    3. Re:i'm confused.. by Ingolfke · · Score: 1

      I am going to surprise auto industry that is suitable for driving.

      No, but if there were only three auto makers and up until this point "more horse power" was the major competive point and instead of competing in this arena one of the competitors decided to compete based on fuel economy... well you might find that interesting.

    4. Re:i'm confused.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The PS3 and XBox360 do a lot more, not just gaming.

      Don't you mean, everything except?
    5. Re:i'm confused.. by gstoddart · · Score: 1
      Let me get this straight. You make a gaming system. This gaming system is well suited to play games. Why is this surprising?

      It's surprising only isasmuch as you get the chance to contrast it against the competing views of Sony and Microsoft which says that our game consoles will become the focal point of our 'media experience'. The two larger companies in this battle are trying to sell us media appliances, DVD players, and a whole bunch of other things -- mostly because they believe that is how they will differentiate themselves/keep up with the competition.

      Nintendo has basically decided they don't want to be the focal point for all of your media needs, they just want to be there for games mostly. It's actually surprising in that they actually stuck to making a product which was most suitable for it's nominal function, and primarilty it's nominal function.

      It would be, for example, surprising to see a new cell phone which is released which has really good function as a phone, huge battery life, and hasn't tried to converge in 10 other devices. It would be surprising purely in the sense that nobody else seems to be doing it.

      Cheers
      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    6. Re:i'm confused.. by jimstapleton · · Score: 1

      See, now doesn't that just look a lot nicer now?

      --
      34486853790
      Connection too slow for X forwarding? Try "ssh -CX user@host"
    7. Re:i'm confused.. by Nevyn · · Score: 1
      It would be, for example, surprising to see a new cell phone which is released which has really good function as a phone, huge battery life, and hasn't tried to converge in 10 other devices. It would be surprising purely in the sense that nobody else seems to be doing it.

      Well that's not surprising either, there are a few of these. In fact this phone from Motorola was designed that way.

      --
      ustr: Managed string API with ave. 44% overhead over strdup(), for 0-20B
    8. Re:i'm confused.. by adyus · · Score: 1

      I am going to surprise auto industry that is suitable for driving.
      How did so many words dissapear from that sentence?

    9. Re:i'm confused.. by LordEd · · Score: 1

      I have no idea. I would say that I was drunk, except i was at work and friends don't let friends code drunk...

      I think i meant to say "I am going to surprise the auto industry with a car that is suitable for driving".

    10. Re:i'm confused.. by SetupWeasel · · Score: 1

      I have a DVD player. I have a stereo. I have a PC with good speakers. Why do I need a PS3 or a XBOX 360 for anything other than games?

    11. Re:i'm confused.. by jimstapleton · · Score: 1

      See my point? All that extra cost for stuff you won't use... It's not a selling feature, it's a detractor.

      --
      34486853790
      Connection too slow for X forwarding? Try "ssh -CX user@host"
    12. Re:i'm confused.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Surely no-one would buy a foreign car though? Oh wait...

  7. Ok But... by moore.dustin · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Sonys bottom line is being focused on with the PS3. Blu Ray is part of the focus on the companies bottom line.

    Essentially, Nintendo makes its consoles and games and that is the company. They really have nothing else to gain from other things like XBox live, hard drives in consoles, and Sonys Blu Ray. Microsoft and Sony are thinking broader, but still focused on the companies bottom line. If you want to do just the game division, that is fine, but when and if that works that company would find it hard to take that success and apply it to other divisions. The PS3 without Blu Ray is cheaper and maybe easier to make, but if Blu Ray is a success because of the PS3 and/or vice versa, well lets just say Sony will get the last laugh as they dominate to huge markets.

    Of course there is more to this and the OP's arguement has merits, but in this dogfight, Sony and Microsoft have FAR FAR more at stake than the success of its gaming division.

    1. Re:Ok But... by keyne9 · · Score: 1
      [...]lets just say Sony will get the last laugh as they dominate to huge markets.


      And if they do not, they will fall. Nintendo both does not, and does not fall. Strange, that.
    2. Re:Ok But... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Microsoft and Sony are thinking broader, but still focused on the companies bottom line. If you want to do just the game division, that is fine, but when and if that works that company would find it hard to take that success and apply it to other divisions.

      You've obviously never tasted the Mario Brothers soda.

    3. Re:Ok But... by theurge14 · · Score: 1

      The PS3 without Blu Ray is cheaper and maybe easier to make, but if Blu Ray is a success because of the PS3 and/or vice versa, well lets just say Sony will get the last laugh as they dominate to huge markets.

      So in other words, Sony's longterm goal is to try and control an emerging market based on a new media type and make lots of money off of it.

      This definitely has worked in the past for Sony. (cough cough)

    4. Re:Ok But... by lavaface · · Score: 1
      if Blu Ray is a success because of the PS3 and/or vice versa

      i'm willing to bet blue ray is as dead as beta. hard drive prices are plummeting and network speeds are greatly increasing. who wants a scratchable disc that holds ~25gb when hard drives are so cheap. portability? flash drives will be over 10gb before you know it and they're rewritable and smaller to boot. besides, what data do you really need to be portable in the blu-ray size range? movies, especially with h.264 compression look great at fairly small file sizes. the one case i could see for a blu-ray disc is for holding series of shows (simpsons, the blue planet, etc.) but when you're able to order tv shows from the back catalog on demand, what's the point of owning discs? and once cell phone networks get upgraded to 4g, forget about it. (this is happening faster than you may think)

      blu-ray is sunk

    5. Re:Ok But... by Troed · · Score: 1

      Try non scratchable and 50Gb, with 100Gb already demoed.

    6. Re:Ok But... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Blu-ray is scratch-free. Hard drives are cheap but not cheap enough to be used as backup media. Flash drives are getting bigger but still expensive for delivery method. In terms of price/storage ratio, Blu-ray is a logical successor to the ageing DVD-9 format.

      Some people say UMD failed but it was never meant to be a media format to replace anything. Sony wanted a cheap delivery media format for PSP, and UMD happened to be able to store movies or music. It costs them less than a few bucks for UMD while any other method would cost too much.

  8. I've never owned a game console by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    But I've become intrigued enough with the Wii to want to go check it out. If it is half as fun as it looks, I might even buy one. They seem to have delivered something novel enough in the control area to make me want to supplement my PC for gaming and at a reasonable price point instead of the total commitment the other consoles demand.

  9. Microsoft breaking even? by Abcd1234 · · Score: 5, Informative

    That's funny. I opened up the link Zonk posted, and the article said this:

    "To be clear, we have said that in fiscal 08, entertainment and devices makes money. That's not exactly Xbox. We don't break profit down by business. And there are parts of entertainment and devices that make money. Xbox doesn't. Xbox has to make significant progress to enable E&D to get there. We feel we are on track"

    That doesn't necessarily mean the XBox division will start making money. It could (and probably does) mean that they plan to try and hemorrhage less, so that the overall E&D division can finally get in the black.

    1. Re:Microsoft breaking even? by Osty · · Score: 1

      That doesn't necessarily mean the XBox division will start making money. It could (and probably does) mean that they plan to try and hemorrhage less, so that the overall E&D division can finally get in the black.

      Also, that doesn't mean that the console is still selling at a loss. Getting the console sale price to break-even or into profit doesn't automatically mean profit for the division. There's still headcount to pay for, amortized research costs, future R&D, etc. Getting to break-even or better is an excellent first step, but as they say there's still much more to do.

      Oh, yeah, and FY08 is July of CY07 (Calendar Year 2007). So they're saying that as early as Q1 FY08 (aka, September/October CY07) tthe E&D division could be in the black on the financial report. Yes, that's about a year away, but it's not as long as it sounds by saying "FY08" instead of "CY07".

    2. Re:Microsoft breaking even? by Nazmun · · Score: 1

      What's funny is that Sony always makes a profit in their console division other then launch time. It's microsoft thats been bleeding up to and over one billion per year on the xbox division.

      Why didn't zonk bother to add that?

      --
      Hmmm... Pie...
  10. Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Although it will probably have an early lead, various times Nintendo people have indicated in interviews that they know that a couple years out the Wii is going to have trouble keeping console player interest in their console due to the increasingly widening gap between it and other consoles and pc's. Too many companies are treating the Wii as an easy way to dump old PS2/GameCube games onto the system and tack on some waggle controls right now. Nintendo's own games are obviously still awesome but they really need to get third party developers to get designed from the ground up Wii games out for the system.

    I can't really think of any third party games in the 2007 release list that aren't first party games that I'm that excited about.

    1. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by Paralizer · · Score: 3, Informative

      I think I saw this on CNBC the other day -- a Nintendo representative said they expect the Wii lifespan to be around 5-6 years.

    2. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 2, Funny

      So, over the next two years or so, Nintendo will develop a successor for the Wii, using technology that has been proven in the XBox and PS3. If they are REALLY smart, they will continue to research different ways to interact with the console.

      I have an interesting idea for that, so if they want to contact me, I will be glad to make a deal with them.

      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
    3. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by HappySqurriel · · Score: 1

      Actually, as someone else has mentioned, Nintendo has indicated that the console will be around for 5 to 6 years ... If Nintendo is successful with the Wii though they will have proven that you don't need bleeding edge (graphical) technology to have a successful console and games and thus will be able to release a system that is a few times as powerful as the PS3, which is easy to develop for, and is inexpensive and developers will have the choice as to whether they want to take advantage of the graphical abilities.

    4. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by drinkypoo · · Score: 5, Funny
      If they are REALLY smart, they will continue to research different ways to interact with the console. I have an interesting idea for that, so if they want to contact me, I will be glad to make a deal with them.

      I think Nintendo will probably leave teledildonics to other corporations.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    5. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by MORTAR_COMBAT! · · Score: 1

      I can't really think of any third party games in the 2007 release list that aren't first party games that I'm that excited about.

      Ubi soft has quite a few things lined up for the Wii, particularly the early-2007 title Blazing Angels (already released on XBox360). They are already talking about Red Steel 2 as well.

      EA has its usual sports games, as well as some other franchises, such as Medal of Honor: Airborne.

      Capcom is releasing a Resident Evil on the Wii in 2007.

      Square Enix is releasing a Final Fantasy: Crystal Chronicles title.

      Sega is putting out a new Sonic.

      NIBRIS is releasing Sadness (which I'm very much looking forward to, hoping it has something new to the genre like Eternal Darkness did).

      Yeah, it's a short list so far. But hey, that first party list isn't too shabby:

      Super Mario Galaxy
      Metroid 3
      Fire Emblem
      Super Smash Bros.
      Pilotwings

      --
      MORTAR COMBAT!
    6. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by RichardMarks · · Score: 1

      That is a short life for a console.

      The Playstation had a ten year life. And the PS2 is six years into its life and still going very strong and will most likely last as long as the first Playstation.

      It is hard to imagine the Wii still selling well four or five years from now.

    7. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Kind of...like... the Gamecube? Which came out in 2000? or the N64 in 1996? Ad Nauseum?

    8. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by satoshi1 · · Score: 1

      That's not a short life at all. The N64 lasted five years. The Gamecube lasted five years. The original Xbox lasted five years. The Playstation2 lasted six years. That's a NORMAL lifespan for a console. Just because sony expects the PS2 or the PS3 to last ten years doesn't mean that's the new standard. Hell, ten years is gonna be impossible. Microsoft and Nintendo will come out with something new and Sony will be forced to come out with something as well.

    9. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by SeaFox · · Score: 3, Funny
      Pilotwings


      Pilotwings for Wii?

      They're going to need a longer cord between the two controller sections if I'f going to stetch my arms out like an airplane. (BZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ! Neeeeeeeuuuuuooooooorrrrrrrrrrraaaaaa!)
    10. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by PygmySurfer · · Score: 1

      I can't really think of any third party games in the 2007 release list that aren't first party games that I'm that excited about.

      I can't think of any third party games that are first party games.

    11. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The Playstation2 lasted six years.

      Lasted??? The PS2 is in it's prime. That plus the backwards compatibility from the PS3 will ensure that it will keep going for at least a couple more years.

      Hell, ten years is gonna be impossible. Microsoft and Nintendo will come out with something new and Sony will be forced to come out with something as well.

      Yeah SEGA tried that once.
    12. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by donaldm · · Score: 1

      Well if you like changing every 4 to 5 years ok, but I would prefer something that would last a bit longer and the PS2 will most likely be the longest running game console (6 years and still counting). This is due to the fact that there is a huge install base and new games are still being produced for it while you would be hard pressed to find new games (there are some) for the Gamecube and the Xbox.

      At the moment you can see a difference between the previous generation consoles and the PS3 and Xbox360 (especially on a HDTV) but selling the next generation console is going to get so much harder since people will ask themselves "why should I change to a newer console when I can't pick the difference"

      Like it or not HDTV is going to happen and adoption is going to be quicker than many will expect. while many will buy 720p sets (being cheaper) the top is 1080p but is almost 50% dearer. What will make this adoption faster will be reducing costs so in many respects the PS3 and the Xbox360 are positioned to take advantage of this. Unfortunately the Wii output is basically SDTV and people are going to see this eventually especially since higher end HDTV is getting much more affordable.

      It must be noted that the "sweet spot" IMHO between deciding on a 720p or 1080p HDTV is about 100cm (40in) but this also depends on your finances. A good test of picking the resolution of a HDTV is to put 720p and 1080p 100cm (40in) sets side by side (if your retailer will agree to this) and try to pick the difference - you can but only just. Now try the same test with a 127cm (50in) and you will pick the difference. Both the PS3 and Xbox360 can go upto 1080p while the Wii can not.

      Personally I hope the Wii does well since I have always played and liked many Nintendo games but I do think the Wii will have a fairly short life compared to the PS3 and the Xbox360. Still as they say time will tell.

      --
      There ain't no such thing as proprietary standards only proprietary formats. Standards are by definition open.
    13. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by justchris · · Score: 1
      Actually, that might work in Nintendo's favor.

      Assume HD adoption does pick up to a decent rate. Then the next PS & Xbox consoles come out, and nobody can tell a difference. The next Wii comes out, and it may be only slightly better than PS3 & Xbox 360, but it's such a marked improvement over the Wii that people are astounded. Suddenly Nintendo is the only one who can sell consoles in teh 8th generation, because the people who already have a 360 or PS3 see no point in upgrading their consoles, but the people with a Wii do, and the ones with a 360 or PS3 who decided against the Wii, decide that HD-Wii is finally worth owning, especially if it's fully backwards compatible.

      Totally ridiculous scenario, probably, but I'd be amused.

      --
      just some guy
    14. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In 5 years, your Wii will burst into flames.
      Nintendo will FORCE you to stop playing it.

      There will be absolutely NO new games (which doesn't matter, since everyone's Wiis are now a steaming heap of plastic, right?).

      Oh, and your Wiimotes become hand grenades.

    15. Re:Nintendo Knows The Wii Will Have A Short Life by pintpusher · · Score: 1

      (BZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ! Neeeeeeeuuuuuooooooorrrrrrrrrrraaaaaa!)

      best. sound. effect. ever.

      seriously. that is exactly the sound I make in my head when flying around!

      --
      man, I feel like mold.
  11. Mor interested in the xbox snipit by Thansal · · Score: 1

    the main article is not all that interesting to me, why? it is all old news.
    Yes, Nintendo is not goign for bleeding edge tech, instead they gor for games and profit, and b/c of this they make money.

    The little 1up article is much more interesting. They see the XBox starting to MAKE money in the next 2 years, last I saw they were not planing on actualy makign money via the xbox for awhile yet, this sounds like the 360 really has been the shot in the arm that MS needed to actualy enter the market and start making money out of it.

    Disclamers:
    I am a nintendo fanboy, and thus rather familiar with the ups and downs nintendo has gone through. I also bashed the Xbox and loved the PS2. However with this generation I am really looking at the 360 as a great system, though my $$ is still with nintendo. I would personaly rank the 360 and the Wii as rather equal interms of fun that can be gotten out of them, however the $ required to get aid fun is MUCH lower on the side of the Wii. I rank the 360 and Wii well above the PS3 simply due to a lackluster showing of games beign announced.

    --
    Do Or Do Not, There Is No Spoon, There Is Only Zuul. Everything in the above post is probably opinion.
    1. Re:Mor interested in the xbox snipit by Abcd1234 · · Score: 4, Informative

      They see the XBox starting to MAKE money in the next 2 years,

      Actually, this isn't what the article says. It only claims that the E&D division *as a whole* will be in the black. It seems likely that the Xbox divion will continue to lose money, but at a slower rate, offset by improvements in other areas.

    2. Re:Mor interested in the xbox snipit by I'm+Don+Giovanni · · Score: 1

      Recent reports show that Microsoft is making ~$75 profit for each Xbox 360 Premium sold and losing ~$25 on each Xbox 360 Core system sold (I can't find the link to that part). More Premiums are sold than Cores, so they're making money on the hardware already. They have a ways to go to make up for the R they're targeting 2008 for that.

      --
      -- "I never gave these stories much credence." - HAL 9000
  12. I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by ObiWanStevobi · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Personally, I thought they were going to be the next Sega. When the announced the Wii would not be HD capable I figured they were dead in the water. But after pulling what felt like every muscle in my body playing Wii Sports with friends, I have to admit they will be the true winners of this round of console wars. They went with something different and concentrated on gameplay and really pulled it off. Kudos to them.

    They made a console that not only appeals to the all-important 18-35 market, but is also going to be a favorite among parents for young kids becasue the games are mostly PG and they even get some exercise playing it.

    However, I wouldn't trade my 360 for it. They pulled off an excellent product through innovative concept and gameplay, but I don't think this will dent the demand for the powerful graphics/complexity that true next gen consoles deliver. In its price range, I think the Wii is a healthy addition to have along with a 360 or PS3, but not so much a direct competitor to them among the 18+ crowd.

    1. Re:I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by HappySqurriel · · Score: 1

      However, I wouldn't trade my 360 for it. They pulled off an excellent product through innovative concept and gameplay, but I don't think this will dent the demand for the powerful graphics/complexity that true next gen consoles deliver. In its price range, I think the Wii is a healthy addition to have along with a 360 or PS3, but not so much a direct competitor to them among the 18+ crowd.

      I would agree with you (and I still sort of do) but if graphics really mattered all that much the PS2 would have been owned by either the Gamecube or the XBox; and PS2 sales would have disapeared when the XBox 360 was released. The reality is that on modern systems graphics are mostly a functional consern and if the graphics are good enough to represent the world that is necessary for the game most consumers are happy; you wont see the average consumer reaching for a tissue when they watch a game trailer in HD.

      There is no doubt that the PS3/XBox 360 have a graphical advantage, but if most games continue to (for the most part) produce photorealistic versions of the exact same environment the Wii can produce the Wii will not have too much to worry about; if they tone down the graphics and produce larger more interactive environments the Wii may have serious trouble (but I don't see too much of that happening).

    2. Re:I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by crabpeople · · Score: 1
      "but I don't think this will dent the demand for the powerful graphics/complexity that true next gen consoles deliver."

      Why do people keep paroting these lines? If I want powerful and graphics/complexity I have a computer. Is my computer uber-next-gen then? I believe 'next gen' to be refering to consoles recently released. It has nothing to do with the power or complexity of the console. Otherwise computers would always be better at playing games than whatever the current 'next gen' consoles are and that isn't necessarily true.

      "In its price range, I think the Wii is a healthy addition to have along with a 360 or PS3, but not so much a direct competitor to them among the 18+ crowd."

      Hilarious. Having not baught a console since SNES, the wii is the ONLY console in the last 10 or so years that I have even considered buying. All the other consoles always seemed to be tailored to children with fighting games, button mashing, racing games (I have a car, why would I want to drive one in a game??), etc. It is funny but true that humans always associate "free" or "cheaper" with worse quality. We have free gourmet coffee machines at work and you still see people paying for $5 starbucks or whatever. Its the perception that free or cheaper somehow equals bad that drives these sorts of decisions. As for the comment about the 18+ crowd, lol. Do they have hard core pr0n in the ps3 games now? I remember playing mortal combat as a kid and being unphased. What exactly makes a console 18+?

      --
      I'll just use my special getting high powers one more time...
    3. Re:I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by Midnight+Thunder · · Score: 1

      One thing that should be noted is that in a certain way Nintendo had to take a different approach. If they had gone the same route as the other two, then there would have been no reason to buy the Wii. One advantage of being third is that once you take a big risk you either end up staying third or beat the other two. Nintendo lost a lot since the SNES, but in many ways they won a lot by being forced to think differently. On the other hand Sony is losing a lot, but they don't seem to want to understand what they are doing wrong.

      --
      Jumpstart the tartan drive.
    4. Re:I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by trdrstv · · Score: 1
      I think the Wii is a healthy addition to have along with a 360 or PS3, but not so much a direct competitor to them among the 18+ crowd.

      Ironic then that my 60 year old Parents wouldn't look twice at a 360 or a PS3, but want a Wii for themselves (after after playing WiiSports). Unless of course I miss read that and you meant the Wii was the only one targeted at the +18 demographic. Truth is Nintendo is the only one not focused exclusively on the core 18-35 demographic.

    5. Re:I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by ObiWanStevobi · · Score: 1

      Take, for instance, Oblivion:

      Previous versions of Elder Scrolls were great, but I can't bring myself to go go back to a world full of blockly tree and no real vegetation. The power of next gen has brought these worlds to life more than before, and I think that is an important addition to the experience. Although I think I would have liked Oblivion anyway, it raised the bar of what I consider a quality RPG. Now I know I can expect a good game with excellent graphics.

      Gears of War, and shooters in general, also rely on graphical improvements. Gears of War may be an exception because of the cover system that it (IMO) has done better than any other shooter. But for the most part, they are basically a variation of DOOM. The only thing that really distinguishes them are graphics and maybe a unique weapon (gravity gun in Half Life, energy sword in Halo). Next gen relies on that power to produce environments and players interesting and interactive enough that you would want to buy yet another shooter.

      Sports games as well. The rules don't change enough to compel a person to buy the new Tiger Woods or MVP Baseball every year, so they have to rely on harnessing graphical power to make the environment and characters more life-like.

      Anyway, I think the Wii is proof that graphics and processing power are not a deal breaker, but I do think that graphics and power are important enough that they will continue to drive the direction of what is considered truely next gen. If anything, I think Wii could be popular enough spark a "second tier" of cheap consoles that don't follow the high end power model, but don't think such a console would ever replace PC-like consoles.

      I would think that PCs, given how cheap they are now, would be eliminating the high-end console, not something like the Wii. But the variation of hardware software conflicts and the constant demand to upgrade or replace an otherwise functional PC keeps people from really adopting it.

    6. Re:I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by ObiWanStevobi · · Score: 1

      Well, High-end consoles are really nothing more than the latest and greatest computer parts bundeled and sold cheaper than you could normally buy them. So yes. What makes the console so great when you could get the exact same interface devices and power from the computer? Consoles are loss leaders. How much would it cost you to outfit your computer with the hardware from these consoles? Less than the console, for the first year anyway. Also, consoles don't have near the amount of software/hardware combinations. Games are designed to Just Work with them. No searching for patches, no worrying about your video card or video driver settings, etc.

      I used to be a much heavier PC gamer, until It seemed that every year would require a new video card to play the latest and greatest games. Then you'de need more RAM, more Processor power every couple of years. Since at home, I usually stick to surfing, simple apps coding, and hosting personal web pages, I figured all this money spent was quite a waste.

    7. Re:I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by gstoddart · · Score: 1
      In its price range, I think the Wii is a healthy addition to have along with a 360 or PS3, but not so much a direct competitor to them among the 18+ crowd.

      Well, I think that Nintendo can't compete with the 360 or PS3 for that market segment you describe. I also don't think they want to.

      But I question which is a bigger segment: The 18-35 hardcore gamer who wants hi-def and complexity. Everyone else. See where I'm going with this?

      Nintendo has been saying they want to tap into the parts of the gaming market that are either under-represented, or are currently not gamers because they've abandoned it/never played. I've steadily been becoming NOT a gamer for the last few years since I can't control them anymore.
      But after pulling what felt like every muscle in my body playing Wii Sports with friends, I have to admit they will be the true winners of this round of console wars.

      And it's things like that which mean I'm pretty much 100% likely to buy a Wii, and have no interests in the other consoles. I have friends who aren't gamers, never have been, and can't see why you'd play a video game. And I can see some of them playing Wii sports rather enthusiastically!

      Either way, it should be interesting to see how things sort themselves out.

      Cheers
      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    8. Re:I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by VGPowerlord · · Score: 1
      All the other consoles always seemed to be tailored to children with fighting games, button mashing, racing games (I have a car, why would I want to drive one in a game??), etc.

      It's funny that you should say that. Some of my favorite Playstation (1) games are:
      Castlevania: Symphony of the Night - 2D Side-scroller, the first "Metroidvania" title
      Alundra - 2D top-down adventure game, similar to Zelda 3
      Metal Gear Solid - 3D top-down sneaking game, similar to (big surprise) Metal Gear
      Spyro the Dragon 1, 2, and 3 - 3D Platformers
      Lunar 2: Eternal Blue Complete - 2D RPG, remake of a Sega CD game
      Final Fantasy 9 - 3D RPG, and yes, 9 is not a typo

      This isn't the complete list of games I own, but I can tell you this: I own at least 20 PS1 games, yet I don't own a single 3D Fighting game.

      Just because you think a system is tailored towards one or two game types does not mean that there aren't other games available for the system.
      --
      GLaDOS for President 2016! "Well here we are again. It's always such a pleasure." -- GLaDOS, 2011
    9. Re:I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by Xymor · · Score: 1

      When the announced the Wii would not be HD capable I figured they were dead in the water.
      I still think lack of HD(even 720p) will bite nintendo in the backlater on.

    10. Re:I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by HappySqurriel · · Score: 1

      Just as a though, if graphical improvements are so important for the advancement of videogames what happens in 10 years when the PS5 (or whatever) is released and graphics have hit a point where there it is not possible to continue to improve them?

      Wouldn't the industry die?

      If they are not that important couldn't it be argued that they serve a functional role and advancement beyond what is necessary to serve that need is mostly pointless?

      Now I'm not saying whether or not we've past this point, but I would say that (as has been proven many times with handhelds) as long as a system provides fun games most people are willing to buy the system even if it is (absolutely) outclassed by its competition.

    11. Re:I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by Das+Modell · · Score: 1

      Please stop using the term "next-gen." There is nothing "next-gen" about Oblivion. Why was Morrowind less next-gen? Why was Doom less next-gen than Unreal 3? Oblivion etc. are just normal technological progression, no different from past games.

      I'm fucking sick of these buzz words.

    12. Re:I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I have a car, why would I want to drive one in a game??


      I own a car too, but I love racing games. I think the difference is that I enjoy driving, and racing is even better. Until they legalise street-racing, I'll have to stick to computer games.
    13. Re:I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by anandsr · · Score: 1

      Actually Nintendo does not exclude the 18-35 hardcore gamer group too. As there is a great innovation here, which these people will also want to experience even if it is not the typical adult content. And this group is the one which can and will have multiple gaming consoles. And Wii is cheap enough to get in by default.

    14. Re:I'm actually quite impressed with Nintendo by Raenex · · Score: 1

      My first impression of Oblivion was: God these characters look like shit. Maybe in the "next gen" after this one they'll fix it.

  13. DDR + WII = by Ingolfke · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Dancing with hand motions. Seriously... is someone developing this. It'll be huge in Japan.

    1. Re:DDR + WII = by Tempest_2084 · · Score: 1

      They already have it, it's called Para Para Paradise: http://www.klov.com/game_detail.php?letter=P&game_ id=8978 Although it's not nearly as advanced as something the Wii could do.

    2. Re:DDR + WII = by jkerman · · Score: 1

      its huge at my house too! the otherwise sort of lame rayman title released at launch has a dance minigame where you shake the two controllers like moraccas. its crazy fun.

      its like guitar hero in a lot of ways. no matter which way you cut it holding a teeny plastic guitar makes you look like an idiot, but like most things that make you look silly, its a hell of a lot of fun!

    3. Re:DDR + WII = by MasT3quila · · Score: 1

      See the screen starts scrambled, and the faster you jerk the controller up and down the less scrambled the image becomes.... err nevermind.

    4. Re:DDR + WII = by KingArthur10 · · Score: 1

      Dear G-d, not the Macarena again!

      --
      I came, I saw, She conquered.
    5. Re:DDR + WII = by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Coming Next Christmas!

      "Wow. Hand Jive Revolution. Now I've seen everything."

    6. Re:DDR + WII = by Stefanwulf · · Score: 1

      its huge at my house too! the otherwise sort of lame rayman title released at launch has a dance minigame where you shake the two controllers like moraccas. its crazy fun.Samba de Amigo! Nintendo's already getting most of Sega's in-house games - when is this one being ported to the Wii?

    7. Re:DDR + WII = by FrostDust · · Score: 1

      Not only has someone mentioned PPP, but several PS2 DDR games had this with the Eye-Toy attachment.

  14. Third place? by Evro · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Third place by what metric? Units sold? If they're netting the most, doesn't that make them #1?

    --
    rooooar
    1. Re:Third place? by Tarlus · · Score: 1

      If you blocked Zonk's posts as your sig says, then what are you doing here? :P

      --
      /* No Comment */
    2. Re:Third place? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The "5/20/2006" part at the end would imply that he unblocked Zonk.

      I used to have Zonk blocked, too -- until I realized the fact that he posted almost anything that appeared in the submissions queue meant that blocking him caused almost no new articles to appear on the main page. I've chosen to deal with a handful of crappy articles + a number of good articles per day rather than only a small number of good articles.

    3. Re:Third place? by thatguywhoiam · · Score: 1
      Third place by what metric? Units sold? If they're netting the most, doesn't that make them #1?

      If they are going by total sales of consoles then they still aren't #1; if you figure in PS2 sales the whole thing slides dramatically in Sony's favour (even with the DS).

      --
      If Jesus wants me it knows where to find me.
    4. Re:Third place? by BrianPan · · Score: 1

      If that is the measure, then Firefox and IE both lost the browser wars?

      I'm just sayin....

    5. Re:Third place? by Evro · · Score: 1

      Actually I still think 90% of Zonk's posts are utter shit, his fanboyism bleeds through in everything he says or does (as far as choosing what to post and what not to post). The reason I ended up unblocking him was that when I had him blocked, entire days would pass without any new articles showing up on Slashdot. Ah well.

      --
      rooooar
    6. Re:Third place? by Neoncow · · Score: 1

      OMG!! an objective metric where Opera totally wins the browser wars!!

    7. Re:Third place? by anandsr · · Score: 1

      For any business the only criteria should be how much net profit did they make. And that should include any auxiliary way of making profit. MS has the billions to throw away on XBox without really making any profit. They are just hoping that the rest would die out. But that will not happen, till Nintendo keeps on making profit. So the money that XBox is losing is not really a gain for Microsoft. Regarding PS2, it may have done better than DS or other Nintendo games regarding over all profit including games/movies and the console (which possibly did not make much profit). But the same cannot be said about PS3. Only time will tell. XBox360 again will lose money as usual. So we may not be certain of Wii or PS3 but we do know that XBox360 will be a loser.

    8. Re:Third place? by mcvos · · Score: 1
      Third place by what metric? Units sold? If they're netting the most, doesn't that make them #1?

      Nintendo can sell twice as much as Sony and still be 3rd in revenue. But whatever they sell, they'll be first in profit for quite some time.

  15. Own one or more than one? by tepples · · Score: 1
    If I wanted a fully functional computer, I would buy or (more likely) already own one.

    Own one, or own more than one? Most PC owners connect them to smaller, high-resolution monitors. Using a single PC with a small, high-resolution monitor in one room and a larger SD/ED monitor in the other room requires shutting the PC down and carting it around, and I would guess that most users would prefer the convenience of a second machine. Moreover, almost no commercial games for Windows that support multiple players appear to allow multiple players to play on the same screen using gamepads connected to the same USB hub; therefore, four players in the same household would require four computers.

    If I wanted a DVD/blueray player, I would buy one.

    As of right now, the PLAYSTATION 3 console is the cheapest Blu-ray Disc player, and it comes with the capacity to act as a computer and game console for no additional charge. True, each console can run only one app on one TV at once, you'll need more than one device, and for people with no interest in HDTV, a Wii console plus a $40 DVD player is likely a better choice.

    1. Re:Own one or more than one? by PingSpike · · Score: 1

      Am I the only one that absolutely hates split screen gameplay? I kind of wish that modern consoles at 2-4 video outputs so we couldn't see eachothers screens.

      While you're right about the PS3 have several uses, I wonder if that feature is really appealing to that many people. It seems more like a case of "jack of all trades, master of none"

      Sure you could use it as your primary PC...but I could put wood screws in with a sledge hammer too. That doesn't mean its the best way to do it. Does it work better then that $400 dell special, that probably comes with its own monitor? And you point out that I can plug it into my HD TV, but how many people type word documents while sitting on the couch? Even people with laptops do most of the work at a desk and this example would be analogous to a desktop PC. It seems like, as a PC, this would be an expensive and potentially cumbersome solution. I just don't know who that will really benefit.

      The rest of your comments regarding the PC are how it functions as a game machine. Thats the same old console versus PC gaming debate there, but not really relevant here IMO. The xbox 360 is the direct and cheaper alternative in this case, not the PC.

      You're right about it being a cheap blue ray disc player. I'm just not all that sure how much appeal that really offers the vast majority of consumers. I have a feeling the majority of people buying a game console would rather the console be cheaper at the expense of blu ray myself. Sure, a similar thing happened with the PS and DVD, but thats apples and oranges. I just don't think there's the kind of demand out there for either of the new formats that there was for DVD.

      The crux of my point is that people buy a console to play console games, and thats about it. You can toss those extra features in and people will brag about them and maybe it'll even sway a few fence sitters to your side...but its not going to sell the consoles.

      JMO.

    2. Re:Own one or more than one? by PygmySurfer · · Score: 1

      Am I the only one that absolutely hates split screen gameplay? I kind of wish that modern consoles at 2-4 video outputs so we couldn't see eachothers screens.

      The PS3 was supposed to feature dual HDMI outputs, capable of driving 2 1080p displays. Sadly, that was yet another feature dropped by Sony.

      I agree, split-screen gaming does suck, but, for most people, it's much more feasible than having two (or four!) TVs in one room. Costs and lack of space being the major issues. Split-screen is a compromise, but better than nothing.

    3. Re:Own one or more than one? by tepples · · Score: 1
      Thats the same old console versus PC gaming debate there, but not really relevant here IMO.

      Our opinions seem to differ. My opinion is that the console versus PC gaming debate is relevant. The most obvious relevance is that if Nintendo is happy with third place, is this a third place ahead of PC gaming, or is it a third place behind PC gaming? And what about independent developers? And should a smaller company that has finished a working 4-player-on-the-same-screen (not split screen) game seek to sell it on PC or on a console?

  16. ParaParaParadise by tepples · · Score: 1
    Dancing with hand motions. Seriously... is someone developing this.

    Konami probably already holds the patent on ParaParaParadise.

    It'll be huge in Japan.

    PPP was short-lived.

  17. Wait and see by darthservo · · Score: 1
    "All I see are articles talking about how fun Wii is, the new way of interacting with games. But is this new game play interaction something that can keep the wii going in the longterm?"

    That's something that I've noted (2nd to last paragraph) as well. Right now, everyone is impressed with the new and different way to do things (the intital wow factor) and are still in the honeymoon stage with the console. Nintendo's still riding the chance wave.

    Can the console hold everyone's attention? The majority of that (if not all of it) will depend largely on game developers. We know that tons of dev companies are jumping at the chance to make games for the Wii, however if the games suck, people aren't going to buy them and it will reflect poorly on the console. Quite a few initial titles seem to focus around the mini-game theme (shake the Wiimote and Nunchuck up and down in one game, twist the Wiimote back and forth in another). Hopefully either devs won't run the same idea into the ground so that people get bored with it quickly, or they'll think of new and entertaining ways to implement these features so that people don't think a game is just a mirror of another.

    Don't get me wrong, I love my Wii (man, that will never stop sounding weird) and have enjoyed playing it. I'm still waiting for some good titles to come out, though."Also, with PS/3 being a fully functional computer with a keyboard/mouse/blueray, its more than just a console. And Xbox live with internet access to media is more than a console. The Wii is a console and priced like it."

    Careful...The Wii has different features through the channel meuns - Mii, Photo, Shopping, Forecast (soon to come), Weather (soon to come), Internet browsing (soon to come), and messaging including email. And, supposedly, the next gen of Wiis should feature a DVD channel. To me, the Wii seems more like an entertainment console.

    --

    Prove it.

    1. Re:Wait and see by PingSpike · · Score: 1

      I've thought the same thing. I want a Wii, but haven't bought one because I prefer to wait until the rush is over. (I know they aren't that hard to find, but they aren't extremely easy yet either) But I've noticed that most of the initial games that have been released follow that kind of minigame format. While that format certainly has its place, I prefer something a little more robust. If I had to guess I'd say that before the novelty of the controller phase wears off we'll start to see some more complete titles rolling out that will keep the Wii's momentum strong. There's a lot of potential in that controller that isn't being tapped yet from what I've seen...and I'm sure some one is working on tapping it as we speak.

    2. Re:Wait and see by Moofie · · Score: 1

      "The majority of that (if not all of it) will depend largely on game developers."

      What a stunning revelation. It's almost like the most important thing is...the software! Good games mean happy customers...wow! Who knew?

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
  18. "Competitor Oriented Objectives" by popo · · Score: 1

    > "In other words, the more a company focuses on beating its competitors, rather than on the bottom line, the worse it is likely to do.'"

    Sadly, this applies to our nation as well.

    --
    ------ The best brain training is now totally free : )
  19. Nintendo is outside the race by ConfusedSelfHating · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Sony and Microsoft have comparable products. Nintendo is going it's own way. If you want a traditional console with high definition graphics, you'll be choosing an Xbox 360 or a PS3. If you want Nintendo's motion sensing game console, you'll buy a Wii. I consider the purchase of a Wii to be independent of the purchase of either of the other systems. If you can afford a PS3, you can certainly afford to purchase a Wii as well. Because of the Wii's unique control scheme most of it's games will be Wii exclusive. If you want those games, you'll need to buy a Wii. Most of the games on the other two consoles will be ported to both. So someone who wants to buy an Xbox 360 could change their mind and buy a PS3. And vice versa.

    It remains to be seen how well the Nintendo Wii will sell once there is sufficient supply. Three quarters of the people who purchased the Wii also purchased Zelda. Did they purchase a Wii because they want a Wii or because they wanted Zelda? The comment I have about non-gamers picking up the Wii is: The Lord of the Rings movies were very popular among non-nerds, but does that mean that those same non-nerds will play D&D every week? People may play the Wii at someone's house and think it's fun, it doesn't mean that they'll go out and purchase one. High definition televisions are coming down in price which will drive people to want high definition content for them. I think the Wii will do fine, I'll just be a devil's advocate to the Nintendo fanboys. Honestly, I don't think the Wii will be third, it will be competing for first with the Xbox 360. The PS3 will be in last place because it has equivalent graphics to the Xbox 360 for a higher price. 1UP has an article called "PS3: What the Cell is Going On?" (with examples), but I can't directly link to it.

    Nintendo and Microsoft's consoles are currently profitable per unit (Microsoft's manufacturing costs have decreased dramatically). Sony is in a bad way with the PS3. Short supply with huge losses per unit. If Sony cuts the price, it's competitors can easily match and exceed that cut. A price war between Microsoft and Nintendo would be an unprecedented disaster for Sony. Imagine the reaction of the Big 3 American auto makers if Toyota and Honda had a price war in the U.S.

    1. Re:Nintendo is outside the race by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nintendo is going it's own way. If you want a traditional console with high definition graphics...

      Yep. They're breaking with the "tradition" originally set by the Atari 2600 for high def graphics. I long for the days of crazy realistic graphics like that.

      But seriously, it's Sony and MS who have broken with tradition. They've brought PC gaming graphics to the console world. Console games were always about fun games, not about graphics. You can't tell me that anyone played Atari for the graphics, but I logged a LOT of hours playing games on it anyway...because it was fun.

      [blah blah blah uphill both ways in the snow blah blah blah] ;-)

    2. Re:Nintendo is outside the race by cowscows · · Score: 1

      Sony will do reasonably well based on just two things. The Playstation brand, and the Final Fantasy games. For them to really dominate like they did with the PS2, they need a couple more huge exclusives. They've lost GTA3, and MS has at least a rival to the Grand Turismo series.

      The PS3 console itself is not different enough from the Xbox360 to give Sony an edge. The two big differences that I see are as follows: Bluray, which only interests a smaller crowd, and price, which Sony is on the bad end of. Ignoring the hardcore, camp outside for 6 hours crowd, I'm not sure that most people would find those differences particularly compelling.

      Sony needs to ship a few really stand-out games, and they need to do it soon. I'm not particularly sure what they've got in the pipeline, as I've tried to avoid wanting one (I don't need to spend that much money on video games right now), but they need to get something big out quickly. The Xbox360 has got a decent library going and is starting to hit its stride, and the Wii has all the good publicity at the moment. All the news about the PS3 seems to be about how hard they are to find.

      --

      One time I threw a brick at a duck.

    3. Re:Nintendo is outside the race by feepness · · Score: 1

      It remains to be seen how well the Nintendo Wii will sell once there is sufficient supply. Three quarters of the people who purchased the Wii also purchased Zelda. Did they purchase a Wii because they want a Wii or because they wanted Zelda? The comment I have about non-gamers picking up the Wii is: The Lord of the Rings movies were very popular among non-nerds, but does that mean that those same non-nerds will play D&D every week? People may play the Wii at someone's house and think it's fun, it doesn't mean that they'll go out and purchase one. High definition televisions are coming down in price which will drive people to want high definition content for them. I think the Wii will do fine, I'll just be a devil's advocate to the Nintendo fanboys. Honestly, I don't think the Wii will be third, it will be competing for first with the Xbox 360. The PS3 will be in last place because it has equivalent graphics to the Xbox 360 for a higher price. 1UP has an article called "PS3: What the Cell is Going On?" (with examples), but I can't directly link to it.

      I agree, but with a slightly different perspective on the outcome.

      I think the XBox will fall behind the PS3 because if you're going to spend the money for a console, the PS3 has more packed into it and will last longer. People who want the HD content are going to look at the XBox component cables with disdain. HDMI is it.

      The title quality will come... everyone always complains about launch title graphic quality.

    4. Re:Nintendo is outside the race by Roddd · · Score: 1

      Did they purchase a Wii because they want a Wii or because they wanted Zelda?

      Then they could purchase the GameCube version out soon?

    5. Re:Nintendo is outside the race by mrfett · · Score: 1
      Agreed. I don't see ANY intersection between the Wii and the other two consoles. They all play "video games" I guess, but after that, the differences multiply exponentially. I can't comment on the PS3, but I assume all the robustness M$ has built into their system will eventually find its way over to Sony's machine. There's a media store, downloadable HD movie rentals, downloadable old-school arcade AND new IP titles, a hard drive, and an unparalleled online experience allowing voice chat along with a universal messaging system. Add to that photorealistic games and the ability to stream music and photos from your computer, and you have a complete 21st century home entertainment system. Add a hi-def disc player if you get off on buying overpriced restrictive licenses to brainless entertainment that allow zero fair use rights.


      The Wii requires separate cables just to get to 480p. It's useless for viewing photos over the composite connection. It does four things: plays innovative "party" games, plays children's titles, plays older Nintendo titles, and can surf the internet. There should be no question that the Wii is for children and "non-gamers." It's like the modern equivalent of board games. It's not a next-gen gaming console. It has no place in a competition with the other two.

      There is no better example of this than Nintendo's insistence on using a "console code" system for online play. This is the perfect system to allow classmates to play with each other while keeping them safe from online predators, but has no place in an adult's gaming vocabulary. The titles we've seen so far bear this principle out. No online play for COD3, Marvel UA, Madden, Red Steel... it's just not what this thing is about. XBox Live is practically half of the XBox 360 experience. The two are inseparable.

      Zonk can keep bashing the PS3 and plugging the Wii, there's nothing wrong with that, it's his site. However, as a Wii60 owner, I think this whole comparison/console war thing is a complete misnomer, as least as far as the Wii is concerned. The Wii cannot compete with what the other guys are offering. It's a system for casual gamers and children PRIMARILY. If it gains traction among the hardcore crowd, then perhaps we'll see the next iteration take the hardcore crowd more seriously. As it stands, no one's gonna choose the Wii version of a game over the 360 one unless there is a compelling retooling of the controls AND the online component is inconsequential (Madden). The exception, of course, is parents of tweens. They may not feel bad about their kid killing nazis in COD3, but they don't want me screaming obscenities at them as they do. They'll grab the Wii version.

      In reality, we could have a frank discussion about why the other consoles have NO BUSINESS being in the hands of youngsters. Ever been sawdomized in GOW by a 6 y.o.? I'm pretty sure I have, going by the sounds of some kid's voices on XBL. I'm also pretty sure that kid isn't gonna make it outta middle school. Nintendo is definitely tapping into a completely different market than the other guys. As far as "next-gen console wars" go, they've left the ring. I think that's exactly what they're saying in TFA that I didn't read.

    6. Re:Nintendo is outside the race by JackAxe · · Score: 1

      MS broke traddtion by bringing all of the problems that many of us have dealt with on our PCs to the console arena. They brought buggy games that required patches.

      MS and Sony have not broken any tradition, they're only doing more of the same. PCs are already graphically better than either the X360 with its X1600 varient and the PS3 with it 7900 varient. PCs have moved into SLI and now are on the virge of dedictated PPUs. Consoles have always somewhat caught up to PCs graphically, just to fall way behind.

      You can not bring PC gaming to the console world, when your "controls" are still based on a platformer design. A controll pad is by far one of the worst ways to play a FPS, RTS, or anything similar, games that are popular on the PC. If and when Sony or MS ship their consoles with a keyboard and "real" mouse, not some emulation thing, only then will they have gone the PC route. But since they did not, they've told all of their developers to continue making games for the controllor pad, so once agian they've locked themselves into the same old console way of playing games. Aming with ones thumb is a cumbersome and gimped way of playing the games I enjoy on my PCs.

      Ironically, Nintendo with its Wii has moved consoles one step closer to PCs and has found a happy medium for its controlls that has the best of both worlds, but of course has also entered an area PCs haven't ventured into for gaming. The Wii-mote works just like a mouse if needed, so FPS games and RTS games are now playable on a console.

      Nintendo is the only one that broke traddition and it's already paying off. Finally I can play a FPS on a console that doesn't need to be dumbed down to accommodate the inadequate analogue-thumb-stick.

    7. Re:Nintendo is outside the race by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

      I for one want to see if Nintendo can convince Namco to produce a future version of Soul Calibur for the Wii. Can you imagine using that controller like you're wielding a real sword?

    8. Re:Nintendo is outside the race by Cocoshimmy · · Score: 1

      The PS3 does not even have all advantages than you mention.

      Final fantasy is out for the Xbox360 and there is an HD-DVD player out for the 360 as well. According to this link, HD-DVD has more titles, higher sales, and better titles than Blu-Ray titles but its still too early to tell which of the two formats, if either, will dominate.

    9. Re:Nintendo is outside the race by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      The comment I have about non-gamers picking up the Wii is: The Lord of the Rings movies were very popular among non-nerds, but does that mean that those same non-nerds will play D&D every week? People may play the Wii at someone's house and think it's fun, it doesn't mean that they'll go out and purchase one.

      Well, this is anecdotal, but after bringing our Wii to Thanksgiving dinner four of the decidedly non-gamer households there are now trying to acquire their own Wii. Even my grandparents want one. And, funnily enough, they're happy to hear they'll be able to get component ED 16:9 input for their new 50 inch LCD. The HD input from an XBox360/PS3 would never matter to them, because they'll never play those systems. I believe the majority of people who are going to drop money on a nice big HD TV are going to fit in that crowd, aging upper middle class individuals nearing or just past retirement age who don't want a XBox 360 anyway.

      PS: I looked at that 1UP Article. All I can express is shock and dismay. I especially love the crazy Ken Kutaragi quotes. That should be an ongoing column. We've done parodies of him at school before but this is actually worse than our bit about the PS2 being inspired by him checking out an Odyssey2. The PS3 will instill discipline? WTF?

      --
      Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
      Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
  20. Blue Ocean strategy by KarmaPolice · · Score: 1

    What Nintendo is doing is called the Blue Ocean strategy. In books it's illustrated by a surfer on a blue ocean with no other surfers (competitors) around. The alternative is to be in the ocean around other competitors.

    This is done by finding other factors to compete on in stead of having the same product as everyone else and basically just competing on the price. This attracts new customers who for some reason don't like Playstation or X-Box. So they have that market to them self...

    1. Re:Blue Ocean strategy by GWBasic · · Score: 1

      I like the idea of Blue Ocean Strategy, but it's too easy to end up drinking the spiked blue kool-aide. Last year I briefly worked for a company that was so into the Blue Ocean Strategy that they pretended their competators didn't exist as a way of justifying their business and product design descisions.

      IMO, Blue Ocean Strategy is about finding a way to differentiate your product such that it's in a class of its own instead of, getting into the better, faster, cheaper routine. When people in the company can't agree on who the competators are, then there's a problem.

  21. The open source motto by Geof · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Excellent point. I often have seen the same said of open source. It's not about beating Microsoft. As long as the software we make is useful to us, we can't lose.

    1. Re:The open source motto by jez9999 · · Score: 1

      Ahem...

      Until the popularity and ubiquity of Windows leads to MS's successful lobbying of hardware manufacturers to impose tough DRM restrictions, preventing non-MS OS's and/or software from [accessing some media|booting on your machine].

    2. Re:The open source motto by massysett · · Score: 2, Informative

      Beating competitors is what Microsoft is all about. It's not "we'll have the best search engine," it's "we'll be better than Google". I guess we see the results: years of no browser updates, few significant OS updates and, now, a crappy music player...

    3. Re:The open source motto by Geof · · Score: 1

      Excellent point. I shouldn't have oversimplified. Reconsidering, I disagree with me too.

      The nugget of truth in my oversimplification is that a narrow focus on the competition, rather than one's own strengths and convictions, would place FOSS in the inferior position of reacting instead of acting. It also limits ambition: how important is owning the desktop in the age of network?

      I am hoping that the FOSS does "win" - because I care about free as in freedom, and I think FOSS (and open knowledge in general) lays the groundwork for achieving that[1]. It's a bulwark against your DRM doomsday scenario. So in the wider picture, freedom is more important than building good software. At one level we can't lose, and it's heartening and helps us play to our strengths if we keep that in mind. At another, however, we can certainly fail to win. My previous statement was a misrepresentation, because I personally care about the not winning more than I do about not losing.

      [1] See Eben Moglen's speech at the Plone conference for a brilliant take on FOSS, history, and freedom: view or download.

    4. Re:The open source motto by feepness · · Score: 2, Funny

      Beating competitors is what Microsoft is all about. It's not "we'll have the best search engine," it's "we'll be better than Google". I guess we see the results: years of no browser updates, few significant OS updates and, now, a crappy music player...

      Well, to be fair Microsoft's Music Player IS better than Google's.

    5. Re:The open source motto by a.d.trick · · Score: 2, Funny
      Well, to be fair Microsoft's Music Player IS better than Google's.

      I'm not so sure. I think I'd go for Google's. After all, it doesn't have any bugs.

    6. Re:The open source motto by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Beating competitors is what Microsoft is all about. It's not "we'll have the best search engine," it's "we'll be better than Google".
      "It is not sufficient that I succeed. Everyone else must fail."
  22. Re:i'm confused.. or Media Content by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Really? What else? Oh yeah, they both can play media for which there is little to no content out yet.

    Not only that, but the overwhelming majority of us don't have HDTV sets with 1080p.

    I'm waiting until 2009 to buy mine, when they're cheap. At that point, I'll probably get a new game console too.

    But for now, bleeding edge at a $4500 cost ($2000 HDTV plus $2000 speakers plus $500 PS3 (or $600)) just seems like a waste.

    I'd rather play fun games that exist today on my Wii.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  23. Re:Is Wii fun? or is it sweet sweet money? by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2, Informative

    Surely you know that most of the money the console manufacturers make is from per-game licensing fees? The console isn't sold at much of a profit (if any). So it is, in fact, crucial that the console manufacturer ensure that good games for their platform keep being produced, and that you in fact continue to buy new games for the platform.

    Ah, true for PS3 and xBox360. In fact, PS3 loses anywhere from $240 to $306 on each PS3 sold.

    But not true for Nintendo - they make money on both the GameCube and the Wii.

    Which is one reason why Wii games are cheaper, IMHO.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  24. Re:Is Wii fun? or is it sweet sweet money? by cananian · · Score: 1

    Re-read my post. I didn't say that the manufacturer didn't make a profit on the console. I said they didn't make "much" of a profit -- certainly not much compared to the licensing fees.

    My point was that the lion's share of the money is from continued purchase of games, not from the initial console purchase.

    --
    [ /. is too noisy already -- who needs a .sig? ]
  25. Re:Nintendo just cant compete with the hardware... by HappySqurriel · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Its that simple. Nintendo cant compete on the hardware level. Nintendo barely even makes their own games these days.

    That's why the Gamecube (which was considered to be roughly as powerful as the XBox) was able to be released at the same time as the XBox, cost $100 less than the XBox and (unlike the XBox) was sold at a profit. Nintendo could have produced a system that was more powerful than the competition and charged less than the competition but would likely have lost market share; they needed something drastically different in order to attract gamers, and they needed something drastically less expensive to develop for to attract developers.

    All they did was buy motion sensing technology and designed a controller. They should just release it for PS3 and 360, and sell it for $200 :)

    With the exception of Guitar Hero and DDR I can't think of a single add on that was actually purchased by anyone ...

  26. Re:Is Wii fun? or is it sweet sweet money? by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    ah, but I was pointing out that, while the xBox360 and PS3 lose money on thier consoles - only now has the xBox360 loss dropped to reasonable levels, a year after introduction, the Nintendo consoles make money from day one.

    Thus, they can sell dev kits for $2000 for the Wii instead of $20000 for the xBox360 and PS3.

    And drop prices on games.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  27. Re:Nintendo just cant compete with the hardware... by ProppaT · · Score: 1

    Please. Building a fast system isn't a huge challenge. Look at the PS3 and 360. They're huge systems. Look at a PS3 dissected. Half of the system is a giant heatsink. Nintendo could have made an uber system, put it in a big box, and sold it for $400-600 like MS and PS3.

    Nintendo barely makes their own games? Umm, rethink that one. Sure, they have other companies take on projects for them, but Nintendo is the BIGGEST SOFTWARE company in the game industry. They release more games per year than anyone else, bottom line. Of course they're going to outsource work.

    And don't worry about Nintendo selling it to their competitors, Sony and MS will steal it (heck, Sony half way already had with their new controller) like Nintendo's competition always has. You have dreamers and doers and you have followers...

    --
    Wise men say, "Forgiveness is divine, but never pay full price for late pizza."
  28. Could we please stop linking to 1up.com? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's eternally slashdotted, and yet we still link to it on average once a day (it seems).

  29. One man's treasure... by norminator · · Score: 5, Insightful
    It's barely more capable than the Gamecube and the only two gimmicks it has going are the wireless controller and the virtual console. BOTH of these could have been released for the Gamecube, which already had a broadband adapter as well.

    It's funny to see some people calling the XBox360 and the PS3 "just the same old warmed-over stuff with high-resolution graphics", talking up the Wii's "innovativeness", while others refer to the Wii as yesterday's technology with an extra gimmick or two, instead of what PS3/XBox360 are doing...

    In the past, "innovative" controllers have been released for Nintendo consoles (Power Glove, U-Force, Power Pad, ROB the robot), but none of those ever had more than a couple of games at most that were really designed for the controller, because releasing it as a new controller for an existing system made it a gimmick. The Wiimote possibly could have been a GameCube add-on. It's probably not the technological focus of the console. But it is the philosophical focus of the Wii. Almost all Wii games are designed specifically for the Wii controller. At this point the controller can no longer be considered a gimmick, since it's really an integral part of the whole console. The console would have to be the gimmick, and time will tell. There seems to be an awful lot of reviewers out there that write about how playing games on the Wii is "just plain fun", and they can't stop smiling while they play. At this point it's still hard to buy a Wii at any retail store because they're selling out, just like the PS3. I'd say the Wii is not going to be just a gimmick.

    It's barely more capable than the Gamecube...

    From what I understand it's about twice as capable as a GameCube. Obviously it doesn't have the graphical power of the PS3 or the XBox360, but as it has been said many many times, that's not what they're going for. I'm guessing that a lot of the focus on the earliest game development has been on making the controller work well with games. I'm sure that once developers get more familiar with the Wii, they'll be more prepared to make use of the added power the Wii has over the GameCube, just like developers will do over time for the new generations of the other consoles.

    And now all of these games which look like budget titles (Wii sports, Excite Truck) are $60 just like all the other new consoles.

    Wii Sports is included with the console (for now), and games in general seem to peak out at around $50, with some going as low as $30.
    1. Re:One man's treasure... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My point is that people have paid $300 for... a new controller... It's true that add-on accessories like this have not done well on previous systems, but why do you think that is? I've found that most of the games they include with them use the controller very poorly as a gimmick, and tend to be the ONLY game that supports the thing. Come out with good games that use the new controller well, and it would sell on any system. The memory expansion pack on the N64 sold well, because there were some really good games that needed it. I think Nintendo is pulling a blunder here by using the controller to promote games, instead of games to promote the controller.

      The Wii may be twice as powerful as the previous Gamecube, but the Gamecube wasn't a powerhouse to begin with. And something with twice the power of the Gamecube should be shipping with games that actually look better than what people were accustomed to on the GC. Wii Sports would have looked mediocre on the Dreamcast!

      Look at it this way: The C64 and NES were fun, right? Even by today's standard with graphics, the gameplay is STILL fun. Would you pay $300 for one of them? No? Why? The games are fun, right, and that's what it's all about, right?

      I'll come right out and admit it: Graphics matter. If they didn't, there would have been no need to upgrade from our C64 and NES systems. I'm not saying gameplay doesn't matter, but I want games with BOTH. We're far beyond the times where video games were written by one guy who also did the music and graphics. The guys who write the game are a different group than the guys who pen the graphics. There's little excuse to sacrifice one or the other.

      A lot of people seem to have an incessent need for things that are NEW, whether it's actually an improvement on what they currently own, or if the cost/benefit ratio is way out of whack. I, for the life of me, cannot understand why people buy brand new cars. Pay more than twice the price as a model that's 2 years old, and what do you get for it? A good ego stroking? That's how I view all 3 of these new consoles. I'll wait 2 or 3 years before even considering a purchase of one of them.

    2. Re:One man's treasure... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      At this point it's still hard to buy a Wii at any retail store because they're selling out, just like the PS3.

      They're not selling out "just like the PS3" because the PS3 only shipped 400,000 (I heard they only really shipped 200,000) units and Nintendo has gone over a million. Further I've heard MS and Sony count "Shipped to Retail" as "Sales" and Nintendo counts "Retailer reports X units left the shelves" as "Sales," so those excess PS3's sitting around on shelves in Europe still not getting sold are counted by Sony.

    3. Re:One man's treasure... by HappySqurriel · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The Wii may be twice as powerful as the previous Gamecube, but the Gamecube wasn't a powerhouse to begin with.

      The Gamecube was much more powerful than the PS2 (at least twice as powerful as the PS2); the Wii being at least twice as powerful as the Gamecube would be dramatically more powerful than the PS2. Developers have said that the PS2 will be a viable platform at least until 2009/2010 so wouldn't this mean that the Wii was powerful enough for it's intended life (5 to 6 years -> 2011/2012)?

    4. Re:One man's treasure... by norminator · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think Nintendo is pulling a blunder here by using the controller to promote games, instead of games to promote the controller.

      I'm not sure you understand the concept of the Wiimote... it's not about having a different controller, it's about having a more natural and fun way to interact with the system. As you (and I) said above, gimmicky controllers for systems past only had one or two games for them, so the controllers were not successful. Nintendo wants to encourage people who aren't currently gamers to become gamers. Releasing a new add-on controller and then trying to push a whole library just for that add-on is a bigger effort than you seem to believe. The Wii was designed for and around the new interface. And now, all of the games can take advantage of that interface.

      To me, it really doesn't make sense for a developer to create a tennis game for a gamepad-style controller. In the past, they've always had to do that. Even if a Wiimote-style controller would have been developed (well) for an earlier system, a game developer can't count on very many people buying that controller to use it with their game. Now, someone can come in and make a great tennis game that really uses that controller, because everyone who owns a Wii has that controller. Suddenly developers have a reason to make a game that can take advantage of the controller.

      The Wii may be twice as powerful as the previous Gamecube, but the Gamecube wasn't a powerhouse to begin with.

      I skipped over the GameCube/Xbox/PS2 generation entirely, but my understanding was that the PS2 was the least powerful of that generation, and that the GameCube was a close 2nd to the XBox.

      I'll come right out and admit it: Graphics matter.

      They matter... to a point, and Nintendo knows that to appeal to a wide market, they can't make the console too expensive by throwing in all of the HD stuff. It'll do what it needs to for an SD display, which is still by far the most dominant display type in peoples' homes. They can tackle HD in the next generation. And as for Wii Sports... it's not supposed to be a graphical marvel. It's there as an introduction to the Wiimote. That's why it's free with the console. That's why there's several different games (none with any real depth) on the disc. It's funny though, from people I've talked to that own a Wii, it's the most talked about title. People seem to be playing it for hours and having a great time. And it's not the same as Atari 2600 fun... even though it doesn't have the PS3 graphics, it still is immersing. The graphics are enough to start to draw people in, and the technology in the Wiimote draws people in the rest of the way.

      As I said before, Nintendo hasn't abandoned cool technology in the Wii. They've just changed the focus of that technology.

    5. Re:One man's treasure... by J44xm · · Score: 1
      From what I understand it's about twice as capable as a GameCube. Obviously it doesn't have the graphical power of the PS3 or the XBox360, but as it has been said many many times, that's not what they're going for.

      A small aside:

      It disappoints me that so many people are rabid about graphics. Personally, I was wholly pleased with the appearance of "Super Mario Sunshine." I thought it was beautiful. Wii defenders often say that "it's about the gameplay, not the graphics." But I think that argument rather glosses over the fact that the GameCube's graphics capabilities are quite respectable. I had no complaints. I don't care if the graphical jump from the GameCube to the Wii is small because if I was pleased with the GameCube, I'll just be that much more pleased with the Wii. It's just icing on an already delicious cake.
    6. Re:One man's treasure... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I suspect you are the AC from the grandparent post...if so, you can't have it both ways:

      The GP post says:
      Yet, just like Apple, they've somehow got people buying into this hook, line, and sinker.


      But now you say:
      I think Nintendo is pulling a blunder here by using the controller to promote games, instead of games to promote the controller.


      So which is it? Has Nintendo pulled off the marketing coup of this console war, or are they making a blunder?

      Yes, graphics matter, but the reason newer consoles beat out the C64 and the NES ISN'T primarily graphics...I'd say it's was exactly gameplay.

      Newer consoles offered the ability to have 3D environments, "larger" environments, more interactive environments, and yes, prettier environments.

      But now, all the marketing I've seen for the 360 and PS3 tries to sell me on how pretty the graphics are. No new styles of gameplay, no better AI's, no new game genre's, just "Oooh...look, it's High-Def with digital surround-sound!"

      The Wii looks to be different...it offers both new genres (Trauma Center), and new styles of play (Wii Remote), as well as a "prettier" environment than I can get on my Gamecube (Wii Sports notwithstanding)

      That being said, you make an excellent point about buying new. I'm getting myself a used X-Box 1 for X-mas, and using the money I save over a new console to buy 10-15 games. What do I care, they are all (reasonably) NEW to me!

      I'll probably buy a Wii also...in a couple of years...

    7. Re:One man's treasure... by fithmo · · Score: 1
      And now all of these games which look like budget titles (Wii sports, Excite Truck) are $60 just like all the other new consoles.
      Wii Sports is included with the console (for now), and games in general seem to peak out at around $50, with some going as low as $30.
      yup.
      Satoru Iwata, president of Nintendo of Japan, told me last week that while the company has no control over what its partners ask for their games, "I cannot imagine any first party title could be priced for more than $50."
      from here

      Being that Excite Truck is first-party and Wii Sports is currently only available bundled with the system, WTF was the grandparent talking about?! Is he trying to buy them on Ebay?

      Hark! I hear the high pitched whine of angry, yet uninformed fan boys...

    8. Re:One man's treasure... by justchris · · Score: 1

      There is so much wrong with this comment. First, Sony did ship less than 400,000 units, but it's been impossible to confirm exact numbers as of yet. Nintendo has not shipped 1 million yet, though, so far they've sold 600,000. Second, the PS3 release for Europe has been pushed back to March 2007, so there are no PS3s sitting on any shelves anywhere, at least not for very long. Unless you count the ones being sold on ebay, but as far as Sony and NPD are concerned, those are sold consoles.

      --
      just some guy
    9. Re:One man's treasure... by paedobear · · Score: 0, Troll

      Perhaps he lives in Japan (where wii sports isn't bundled) or EU/Aus (where Wii and 360 are about the same price, as are the games) - though the wii has yet to launch in either of those territories.

    10. Re:One man's treasure... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The gun from Nintendo the Elder did well, the power pad was more of a success than the glove, but still didn't have a large game base. The light guns next generation, the Superscope, only had a few games (Super Scope 6, Battleclash, Metal Combat, Yoshi Safari, Tin star, etc), but it was still a good and successful add on.

      The Mouse didn't fare as well, although held it's own with Mario Paint (simply because mario paint sold tons), and also was supported in some other games (Tin Star, etc).

      It's interesting to see that the sound effects for the photo editing in the Wii came from Mario Paint (although I simply cannot wait for them to release that as a virtual console).

      Another interesting relation is that the third add-on (the only real 'different' add on) for the Wii is a light gun, and the only really successful add-on for previous Nintendo consoles was a light gun.

      Sony has thrown it's weight behind the Wii for the light gun, and just wait until we see some real quality arcade-ish gun games (Time Crisis? House of the Dead?) for the Wii.

    11. Re:One man's treasure... by Yosho · · Score: 2, Insightful

      In the past, "innovative" controllers have been released for Nintendo consoles (Power Glove, U-Force, Power Pad, ROB the robot), but none of those ever had more than a couple of games at most that were really designed for the controller, because releasing it as a new controller for an existing system made it a gimmick.

      Nintendo has always innovated with their controllers. You're only listing the ones that were failures. Oh, and they didn't make the Power Glove, that was a third-party accessory. The NES had the crosspad; the SNES had a diamond-shaped set of buttons and shoulder buttons; the N64 had an analog stick in addition to a crosspad, and an expansion slot for rumble/memory cards; and the Gamecube controller had analog shoulder buttons. Also, relatively late in the GC's life, they released the Wavebird, which was widely hailed as the first first-party wireless controller that didn't suck (largely because it used RF rather than infrared). Don't forget the entire concept of the DS, if you want to include handhelds.

      Sure, the expansion slot in the N64 controller didn't catch on -- but how common are those other features now? All of these innovations have been copied (to various degrees of success) by other console manufacturers; the reason Nintendo waited until so late into Wii development to announce its controller was so that the other console manufacturers couldn't copy it without making it look like a last-minute hack (hi, Sony).

      --
      Karma: Terrifying (mostly affected by atrocities you've committed)
    12. Re:One man's treasure... by ThePhilips · · Score: 1

      In such comparison, you ALL miss the point.

      What better graphic chip can give to a game? Not much really. It still cannot replace work of good artist. (Read on for my poorly explained pov.)

      Why M$/Sony are so concerned about graphic capabilities? Let me explain. I know little about game industry - the little I'm getting from my friends working as designers for game companies (In particular, Blizzard now has a development center in my homecity).

      I'll cut to the point. Expensive graphics is needed in order to allow lame/untalented game designers to produce games. Also, it allows failed game to be brought up as plain business project w/o any involvement of game developers. On cheap system, you need all the capabilities combined - and combined cleverly - to present user with best experience. On systems with abundance of resources you do not need to be a genius to make a game: just throw more 3D surfaces on the stitches and be with it.

      IOW, it all goes down to development costs. If you are from little hobbyist-like company, you wouldn't spare hours thinking about how to integrate things best on screen: and Nintendo requirements are then not a limitation to you. If you are from EA/friends, you do not want to get into the issues concerning that department N1033 cannot agree with department N2066. That's business - it has to be manageable. And organizational issues are often solved by throwing more people and resources at them and consequently sacrificing performance.

      That's why games developed by big companies like EA are always so demanding. And that's why many games produced by smaller companies are often just fine with your 3yo PC. Same goes for consoles.

      --
      All hope abandon ye who enter here.
    13. Re:One man's treasure... by somersault · · Score: 1

      You make a good point about the car, but it doesn't really hold when you get down to consoles, unless you haven't played any consoles recently. I haven't really bought any 'new' games over the last few years, apart from GTA:SA. Then I bought a DS because it had a great new way of playing games (not that I've used it much, apart from when I'm on holiday, and I'm not so interested in Nintendo's mainstays, like Mario and Zelda..), and now I'm getting a Wii for the same reason. The Wii takes things to a completely different level, without resorting to doing that through graphics and memory size. I love GTA because of the free roaming nature, and I don't care that the graphics aren't as great as games like HL2.

      When I build/upgrade PCs, I buy mid-high spec parts, not the latest spec. I have no idea about the technical specs of the Wii, but if it's 4 times better than a PS2 as someone mentioned earlier, then I think it's going to be great looking. In a few years it's possible that I'll consider the graphics shoddy - I once played Gran Turismo 2 after playing GT3 for a while and realised how crap they were, when previously I'd thought they were amazing. It does seem to me that the hardware you get today is enough to render almost photo-realistic environments though. I'm maybe equating the Wii to the capabilities of the PS3 in my head, since they're both part of the same 'generation', and I haven't actually seen a Wii in action yet (*sigh* so many jokes that could be made 0_o), but I really think that it's good to get developers and gamers alike back to the roots of good games - gameplay. Graphics power can be increased easily now just by adding more cores. Gameplay still requires thought and flair - you can't brute force gameplay.

      --
      which is totally what she said
  30. Zonk Link by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1
    I thought that was hilarious. Apparently Zonk doesn't even read the links that he inserts into other articles for no apparent reason...

    That aside, the article also has one of the worst examples of corporatese that I've heard in a while:
    Sony is going to sell as many units as they can ship in the U.S. I think that's true. Given the quantities we are talking about, I'm confident they will sell all of them. I don't know that a lower price would make a difference in the outcome. As you go out into later years, cost and price are both important issues. I've been on the other side of this equation. It's a hard problem.
    To be clear, we have said that in fiscal 08, entertainment and devices makes money. That's not exactly Xbox. We don't break profit down by business. And there are parts of entertainment and devices that make money. Xbox doesn't. Xbox has to make significant progress to enable E&D to get there. We feel we are on track.
    Yeah, we said we'd make money in Entertainment. Yes, one of our biggest Entertainment products is Xbox. No, it's not going to make money. In fact, Sony is going to cream us at Christmas. Yes, we're okay with that. Everything is going according to plan.

    This guy sounds like if he were born a generation ago, he'd be working on the USSR's latest Five Year Plan, to go into effect three and a half years after the last one.
    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    1. Re:Zonk Link by Locutus · · Score: 1

      it's all a moot point since it does not matter if Microsoft every makes a profit off of Xbox, E&D division, or whatever they call it the next re-org(next year?). Just as they were and are willing to lose billions on WindowsCE/WindowsMobile/PocketPC/whatever to kill off the competition, the same goes for their game console. Heck, they've lost over $8 BILLION on WinCE over ~9 years and had only one profitable quarter( about a year ago ). Even then, that magic quarter showed up right after they cut their R&D budget from ~$6.5 BILLION to ~$3.2 BILLION.

      So, don't waste your time listening to what Bill, Steve, whoever says about making a profit off of some other Microsoft product besides Windows. It's hardly likely to happen and because the products are all designed and targetted to protect Microsofts Windows monopoly, losing a billon or two each year is worth every penny considering the profits they get from Windows and it's other tied-in, MS Office.

      BTW, hemorrhaging money to keep the competition from becoming a threat has been in Microsoft rulebook for about a couple of decades.

      LoB

      --
      "Anyone who stands out in the middle of a road looks like roadkill to me." --Linus
    2. Re:Zonk Link by ClamIAm · · Score: 1

      Apparently Zonk doesn't even read the links that he inserts into other articles for no apparent reason...

      The best part is that the (actual) article argues that profitability is not based being Number One, yet (Zonk fails to realize) Microsoft's entire business strategy is to gain marketshare and ward off competition.

  31. So companies work like people. by porcupine8 · · Score: 3, Interesting
    In other words, the more a company focuses on beating its competitors, rather than on the bottom line, the worse it is likely to do.

    Interesting. Psychology studies have shown that when you compare people who have performance goals (focused on performing at a certain level to win outside approval or rewards, or avoid punishments) with those who have mastery goals (focused on mastering a task in order to learn, grow, reach personal goals, etc rather than to gain outside approval), the people with performance goals do much worse in the face of challenge. They adopt self-defeating behaviors and give up quickly, whereas the mastery-oriented people keep working at it and modify their strategies in useful ways.

    I guess since companies are made up of a bunch of people, it makes sense that on some levels they work the same way as those people work. If they're focused on beating the outside competition, they falter, whereas if they're focused on improving themselves (even if that's profit-wise, since that's what's important to a company), they prosper.

    --
    Warning: Apple/Nintendo fangirl. Likes her electronics cute & cuddly. May be rabid.
    1. Re:So companies work like people. by univgeek · · Score: 1

      Citation please? Thanks.

      --
      All bow to his Noodliness!! His Noodle Appendage has touched me!
    2. Re:So companies work like people. by porcupine8 · · Score: 1

      A commonly-cited article on this is Dweck & Leggett, 1988.

      --
      Warning: Apple/Nintendo fangirl. Likes her electronics cute & cuddly. May be rabid.
  32. Re:Nintendo just cant compete with the hardware... by Jackie_Chan_Fan · · Score: 1

    Gamecube was a failure. I'm not talking about the buisness of the gamecube, i'm talking about the interest in it.

    It was a failure. You think Nintendo really likes being second to Sony? How about third to Microsoft? You really think the mighty Nintendo is happy that has to take the buisness model of the V-tech video gaming system to compete? (Ok thats harsh) My point is they're pulling away from the gaming scene in some respects. They cant compete with Sony's ambitious custom hardware developement, or Xbox360's deep pockets.

    Believe me, they know that they cant compete with the hardware. If they could, they might have tried.

    I didnt say it was a bad move to try something new. Infact i applaud them for it greatly. I really hope the Wii is an incredible experience that lasts beyond the initial gimmick honeymoon phase. I really do. I'd like to try a Wii (friends have them bought for their children on xmas and cant open them) I'm looking forward to a new way of playing games. Can nintendo bring that? Perhaps...

    Is it enough to hurt Sony and Microsoft? no. Is it enough to keep Nintendo alive in the home console market? not so sure about that. Sony and Microsoft could easily release a better, more developed controller device with similar/even more features... and still have a console that is by far superior.

    My point is... i dont think its enough. It may be... and they may have convinced themselves that its ok to be last place in gaming... But thats really the beginning of the end of Nintendo has a serious gaming company if they're happy being last.... Cause the consumers are basically saying "you're not what i really want..."

    Thats not good for nintendo. That controller is going to save their console division? Thats one hell of a gamble.

    Of course nintendo isnt hurting money wise too much... just not the same deep pockets. Hell the DS is doing great. Better than Sony's PSP which Sony and developers seem to have forgotten about.

    Its just not good for Nintendo. This is nintendo we're talkign about... the great nintendo... they seem content with being last and less desirable? Thats bullshit. They cant compete with the hardware, so they're tyring a different strategy. It's not a bad one .... but is it enough?

    It seems like nintendo is already accepting that they will be in last place... That just doesnt sound good to me. If they keep their buisness going and running, employees employed, etc... so be it. In the end that matters just as much. But dont tell me they're happy with 3rd place :) We'll see how happy they are in 2 years.

  33. The article got it wrong. by BobandMax · · Score: 1

    "In other words, the more a company focuses on beating its competitors, rather than on the bottom line, the worse it is likely to do."

    The more a company ignores what their customers really want, by looking only at competitors or the bottom line, the more likely they are to fail. (and deserve it!)

    --

    "Computers are useless. They can only give you answers."
    -- Pablo Picasso
  34. Re:Is Wii fun? or is it sweet sweet money? by twistedsymphony · · Score: 1

    I believe that the Xbox 360 has now dropped in production costs enough that MS turns a small (very small) profit on the $400 version, and looses only a small amount on the $300 CORE version. It's because of this that a lot of people are hoping they'll drop the price of the console further... but with MS staying at their current price point they seem to be following the article in that they're concentrating more on the bottom line (staying at current price and making a small profit on the console) then boosting market share to compete with Sony (dropping their price and taking losses again just to get more people to buy).

    Nintendo is one of those companies that at least for the last two generations has turned a small profit right from the start. Most console hardware is profitable by the end of it's lifespan, IIRC Sony makes about $50 on every PS2 sold at this point. Part of the reason MS dropped Xbox 1 production so quickly was because it still wasn't profitable while the Xbox 360 is already.

  35. Tell this to Nokia, Motorola, etc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I want a cell phone that just makes calls -- no camera, no games, just a phone

  36. Re:Nintendo just cant compete with the hardware... by GWBasic · · Score: 1
    All they did was buy motion sensing technology and designed a controller. They should just release it for PS3 and 360, and sell it for $200 :)

    I don't think I've ever seen a console upgrade fare well. Remember the Sega CD and 32X? When upgrades cost almost as much as a new console, they end up locking out many potential customers who don't want to shell out hundreds of dollars all the parts.

    Perhaps in HTPCs become common, we'll see consoles replaced with cool controllers, but such a shift is at least 5-10 years away, if not more.

  37. 3rd place, in terms of what? by sectionboy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Raw computational/graphical power? admittedly. Profitability, earning/cost ratio? probably not, we will see. Fun factor? Definitely NOT!

  38. PC gaming by tepples · · Score: 1
    Either it's connected to a standard definition TV (in which case the resolution is crap for anything you'd do with a PC)

    Anything? What about playing independent games, those which are self-published by a company that's too small to get recognized by Sony, Microsoft, or Nintendo?

    1. Re:PC gaming by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      That will work great for the most part, except for all the games that have tiny text too small to be legible on a SDTV but which displays fine on a computer monitor. Of which there are many.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:PC gaming by HappySqurriel · · Score: 1

      Anything? What about playing independent games, those which are self-published by a company that's too small to get recognized by Sony, Microsoft, or Nintendo?

      If it is too small to get licenced by Sony then how does it show up on the PS3 in a form that is not playable on a PC? Either it would be a web-based game, or a linux game (probably java based) both of which would be easily available on a PC ...

    3. Re:PC gaming by tepples · · Score: 1
      If it is too small to get licenced by Sony then how does it show up on the PS3 in a form that is not playable on a PC? Either it would be a web-based game, or a linux game (probably java based) both of which would be easily available on a PC ...

      It would be a Linux based game that needs four gamepads, one for each player. (No, Bomberman does not use a split screen.) I have four gamepads connected to my PC through a USB hub, but almost nobody else does it because major PC game developers are in the mindset of requiring one $750 combination of computer and monitor per player, which gets expensive when one member of the household wants to play against the others.

  39. PS3's chance. by Belial6 · · Score: 1

    The PS3 has the potential to do very well. I think they will screw it up (they are Sony after all), but the fact that you can install Linux on these systems, could do a lot for their market share. The multi-computer household is here today. People have their primary Windows box for the Windows only stuff. How many people would like to have a second system in the kids room or study for web surfing and word processing, and would see the PS3 as good multi-purpose machine, much like the C64 of old. The problem is that you can get a brand new PC for $150 if you really watch the sales. Few people are going to spend $600-$800 to do the same thing on the PS3. If 3D can get working in Linux on the PS3, this will help, as then home brew can get a foothold.

    1. Re:PS3's chance. by 5ynic · · Score: 1

      HAHAHA. +1 funny etc etc.... What a weird place /.ers live in to believe this of the real world.

      --
      ceci n'est pas un sig
    2. Re:PS3's chance. by Merusdraconis · · Score: 1

      The key difference between the PS3 and the C64 is that the C64 didn't cost the 80's equivalent of $600. It's too overpriced for a cheapy machine for the kids, especially when you can get your aunt's old computer for free and that does the job just fine.

      And Linux can't even win the desktop, what makes you think the average consumer will care about installing Linux on the PS3?

    3. Re:PS3's chance. by EnderWiggnz · · Score: 1

      actually, if you bought a c64, the floppy drive (1541( and a decent monitor, you were well over $600.

      I think that I remember the c64 ending its life as selling for $200 (of which, $150 was gross profit)

      --
      ... hi bingo ...
    4. Re:PS3's chance. by harlows_monkeys · · Score: 2, Insightful
      ...but the fact that you can install Linux on these systems, could do a lot for their market share

      I don't know why so many people seem to think there is some vast inchoate yearning on the part of the general public to run Linux.

      If there was such a vast demand for Linux, you'd see people running it NOW all over the place on their desktop computers, not waiting for an underpowered living room machine to run it on. Yes, I said underpowered. From the point of view of Linux, it is basically a PowerPC with 7 DSPs that are useless for most things that you do on a typical computer, and with 256 MB of RAM, and no accelerated video. If you can't get the SPEs cranking, it's a run-of-the mill single core, single threaded processor. It will be handily beaten in nearly everything by a typical desktop machine, and completely blown out of the water by a Core Duo or Core 2 Duo.

      And don't think getting the SPEs going just involves recompiling your kernel and applications to be multithreaded. The SPEs use a different instruction set from the PPE, and they do not have direct access to system memory. You basically have to set up specialized programs on them, DMA your data to them, let them operate, and DMA the results back out. To take advantage of them, you have to write your application from the start to use them.

      The place where they will get some measurable market share outside of gaming is among people who want a Blu-Ray player. They've got a real price advantage there. (Although, when drives are plentiful enough to let Sony meet demand, maybe stand-alone Blu-Ray players will have come down, so even this market is not a sure thing).

    5. Re:PS3's chance. by Belial6 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And Linux can't even win the desktop, what makes you think the average consumer will care about installing Linux on the PS3?

      Average consumers don't care about Linux. They don't care about any OS. The fact that they are faced with a system that can play games, or are faced with a similar system that can play games, surf the net, do real word processing, or make spreadsheets, will play a real roll. As I tried to point out in the original post, the price is definitely going to be a problem for them, and could make the personal computer side of the system a non-factor.

    6. Re:PS3's chance. by Sal+Zeta · · Score: 1

      Well, maybe they don't care about Linux "Per Se", but surely do they like a nice PVR System... Imagine a MythTv-Based distro expressly configured for PS3...

    7. Re:PS3's chance. by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      That could be a big deal IF, and that is IF spelled in all caps, someone can get a video capture card and IR transmitter to work as easy as plugging in a controller.

  40. Wii 2.0 by norminator · · Score: 1

    I fully expect Nintendo to launch full-on into the HD scene with the next console after the Wii. I think the Wii was their start to moving in a different direction for games. And it came at a great time, since HDTV's aren't completely widespread yet. I'm sure that Wii 2.0 will be a higher-powered, 1080p system with graphics as good as those of Xbox 720 and PS4, but by then, they'll already have the Wiimote philosophy ingrained into people's minds, and they'll have technical issues (and practical things, like broken wrist-straps) solved.

    They'll be ready to recapture the people who thought Nintendo doesn't do a "performance" console, and they'll be able to keep their current casual/new gamer market.

  41. I think you mean surplus supply by brokeninside · · Score: 1
    If Nintendo is selling all the consoles it makes and it is making a profit on each sale then from an economic perspective, there is a sufficient supply. Given that the price isn't even doubling for consoles being resold on eBay, it would appear that the supply is very close to the demand. Consoles will only start to sit around on the shelves if there is an surplus, an over-supply. In a surplus condition it becomes clear that the supply has outstripped demand.

    The real question is Nintendo making a profit? So long as it is recouping marginal costs plus the the fix costs spread out over the entire number of consoles made plus a profit margin, then they are making a sufficient amount.

    1. Re:I think you mean surplus supply by HappySqurriel · · Score: 1

      Given that the price isn't even doubling for consoles being resold on eBay, it would appear that the supply is very close to the demand

      I could be wrong but I suspect that this is probably more related to people being optimistic that they will be able to get one before Christmas; at 250k per week most people are betting that the Wii will start staying on shelves for more than a couple of hours in a week or two.

      From what I gather most people do not believe that Sony is supplying many units and are highly doubtful that there will be an opportunity before christmas to buy a PS3; if they have the means and "need" a PS3 for Christmas they are probably going to buy it from a eBay horder regardless of the cost.

  42. Re:Nintendo just cant compete with the hardware... by reddog093 · · Score: 1

    Nintendo doesn't have to compete on the hardware level, which is what's giving them their advantage right now. Focusing on gameplay without spending all those hours on the bells and whistles allows for a simple, highly entertaining experience. I think that Nintendo did a great job at targeting their market. It feels as if the Playstations and Xbox'es are resembling home computers more and more. This is one of the reason's I am going to go Nintendo instead of the other two. I have my Oblivion and Battlefield 2 FPS games already. I don't feel like spending $600 just to play an FPS on a console (I admit that console games are more "trouble free" than PC games though)..I'd rather just buy the 360 controller and USB it into my computer if i wanted it. If I need "insane" graphics, I'll get another 7900GTX and SLI it when the time comes. Nintendo, however, is offering a unique experience and an emphasis on gameplay, which is something that has been lacking in a majority of the market (there are always exceptions..gears of war..final fantasy...

  43. Competition in the new generation by norminator · · Score: 1

    Sony and Microsoft could easily release a better, more developed controller device with similar/even more features... and still have a console that is by far superior.

    But that would just be an add-on. Nintendo dived head-first into the Wiimote and made it the heart of the Wii experience. It's not just an optional add-on for playing a few games with. It is the controller for the system. They have worked for a long time to make the Wiimote experience solid and accurate and fun. Sure Sony or MS or any 3rd party could manufacture a Wii-like controller for the other systems, but not only would it not have the entire philosophical focus of the console behind it, the manufacturer wouldn't put the development and fine-tuning time into it to make it work well, or to make it work for any variety of games. (Look up U-Force or Power Glove on wikipedia for examples.)

    It seems like nintendo is already accepting that they will be in last place.

    TFA doesn't give any quotes or direct evidence that Nintendo doesn't care about market share. It doesn't necessarily give any real evidence that it will come in 3rd for market share, either, although it does talk about it as if it's a foregone conclusion. The only real information in the article is about how Nintendo isn't going after the fancy graphics technology. It's not like they've dropped out of exciting game technology. They've just switched their focus from the graphics to the physical interface.

    All of the 3rd place market share talk in TFA is really more about the GameCube days than the Wii era. They were the most profitable company back then, too. But now they have a whole new approach to gaming interfaces, a simple and exciting system to develop for, and a small, simple, and quiet box to set next to your TV. I'd say any assumptions about Nintendo being 3rd in the new generation's race are very premature. Especially considering the fact that you still have to camp out on a sidewalk or at the least call ahead to a retail store and stand in a long line to even get your hands on a Wii, 10 days after launch.

  44. Long Term vs. Short Term by __aaqbwh6035 · · Score: 1

    "In other words, the more a company focuses on beating its competitors, rather than on the bottom line, the worse it is likely to do."

    My understanding is that Microsoft and Sony are not in the gaming business for short-term profits. In spending like crazy to try to beat eachother to a pulp, they believe that this is a winner-take-all market, like operating systems. The network effects of increased market share (more share -> more developers -> more & better games -> more share, repeat) point to a clear winner and equally clear losers. Nintendo realizes it can't spend with Microsoft or Sony, so they're wisely bowing out of the bigger fight, going for a more niche market. In the end, if the companies are proven right, their massive long-term profits from acting as a near monopoly (ala Microsoft in the OS market) will make Nintendo's near-term profits look downright embarrasing.

    1. Re:Long Term vs. Short Term by tilandal · · Score: 1

      The problem here is the lifetime of your software is shorter then the lifetime of your hardware. This makes the consol market notoriously volitile. For operating systems, Windows won the market because people wanted to continue to use thier old windows software in addition to new software. Old software still kept its value because it is important to keeping your buisness running. In the consol market people do not care about old software, they care about new software. Old games do not hold thier value because it is not critical that you be able to run them.

    2. Re:Long Term vs. Short Term by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      But Nintendo was the only company that remained profitable throughout the entire last generation. Their profits were also always larger than Sony's when Sony's game division was profitable. Microsoft's game division has never been profitable...

      So when does 'near term' cease being 'near'? The last generation was, what, six years of Nintendo being #1 in profits?

      Your comment confuses me.

      --
      Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
      Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
    3. Re:Long Term vs. Short Term by lloydminster · · Score: 1

      Waaaaaiiit... Nintendo is targeting a niche market???
      How so?
      It seems to me that while they are not necessarily competing with the HD gaming guys they are actually trying to expand their own market to encompass gamers and non-gamers a like with an approachable and enjoyable console.

      I myself am a long time gamer and am looking for more innovation in gaming as opposed to prettier graphics.

      The movie industry went the way of bigger/better effects fairly recently and now they are starting to realize that you still need a good plot, good director, and damn good actors! Who knew movies were about telling good stories?
      Who knew games were about.... GAMES.

      Graphics ARE important, but ive seen impressive graphics in games for the PS2 that theoretically should have been beyond the system's capabilities... something can be said for the ingenuity of the developers and artists...
      But as for PS3 vs. XBOX360... think about it, its all format wars. Games are appearing for both consoles and that is likely to continue, but Sony is putting their money for Blu-ray while Microsoft is pushing HDDVD.

      Whichever format wins will determine which of the HD systems wins.

      As for Nintendo, to quote a comment I read from another forum (damned if I can remember where exactly): "You buy the PS3 to sell on eBay, and the Wii to play the games."

    4. Re:Long Term vs. Short Term by __aaqbwh6035 · · Score: 1

      More niche strategy, not niche strategy. I should have phrased, "differentiated strategy". Didn't mean to imply Nintendo's product was worse than Sony's or Microsoft's.

    5. Re:Long Term vs. Short Term by __aaqbwh6035 · · Score: 1

      Personally, I would consider 6 years still near-term (maybe up to 10 years), but you make a good point that eventually this strategy of outspending the competitors blows up in your face if you can't get the monopoly power. Although it may be worth it in the end (read: worth losing money relative to Nintendo) for Microsoft/Sony to be able to get into people's living rooms instead of just on their computers. I'm guessing Nintendo really isn't pursuing the holistic home network approach MS is targeting.

    6. Re:Long Term vs. Short Term by __aaqbwh6035 · · Score: 1

      Never thought about it that way. If not monopoly power, why are MS and Sony throwing money at the problem? It's certainly not that they don't know how to make a profit. Perhaps (see other post), they are willing to spend huge if it means they can get a foothold in the future home network, one box controls all tv, movies, music, games, comp SW, etc. Speculating.

    7. Re:Long Term vs. Short Term by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      I'm guessing Nintendo really isn't pursuing the holistic home network approach MS is targeting.

      They've tried the 'all things to all peoples' approach before and it's never really paid off. Even the little NES/Famicom had an online component (mostly for banking and stock trading), and their experiments in these areas have rarely borne fruit. The margins in the early adopter, bleeding edge market are miniscule, so they know they can sit out a few generations and not really lose anything. Just like online play last generation, which (despite the claim of XBox Live Devotees) was not really that popular. Even in the current generation, trying to do something like play the latest Tiger Woods game online with your non-techy father is practically impossible. Meanwhile, by sitting out Nintendo acquired the right companies and right talent to build an online experience even my Grandmother could take part in. Likewise, it's really unlikely that the average person is looking to spend $600 on some box that consolidates all their entertainment into one place. I know people who still can't be bothered to spend $50 on a DVD player. It may be a big deal next generation, but we've been hearing the set top box mantra for like a decade now...

      But as you pointed out, when that next generation comes around there will at least be some people with experience with Sony/Microsoft as a complete solution, and they would be wise to bank on that giving them a leg up over the competition. The one caveat, though, is they have to deliver an experience that people remember fondly enough to go with them next time. So far Microsoft's offering has been a real mixed bag and people have to actually get Sony's console in their hands to develop any kind of following... :)

      --
      Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
      Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
  45. Is this really a surprise? by 91degrees · · Score: 1

    Okay, so I'm no marketting gneius, but it seems to me, if there's any sort of competition for first place, then the consumer benefits rather than the companies. They'll be competing on the amount they spend and the prices they charge so they're both trying to provide more for less.

    Niche products are different. If you have exactly what a small niche wants, then you have 100% of that niche. You don't need to compete with anyone so you can charge whatever they're willing to pay. Having 100% of 10% of the market is a lot better than 10% of 90% of the market.

  46. competitor-oriented objectives bad? by 424f54 · · Score: 1

    Of course Nintendo is happy with third place as they are not at the same level as the other two and have no other reasonable choice but to go for the niche market. But don't attack and competition based strategy simply because it is not the best strategy for Nintendo. The destruction of your competitor is the basis of capitalism. It breeds innovation. What better way to do this than targeting a competitor.

    1. Re:competitor-oriented objectives bad? by smack.addict · · Score: 1

      None of that has anything to do with capitalism.

      Capitalism is about wealth creation, specifically the belief that the most efficient mechanism for creating wealth is to let individuals create that wealth in a free market in which the best ideas (best ideas being those that people want to pay MORE for than it costs to produce them) win.

      Nintendo's strategy is essential capitalism.

  47. Non-competition = teh win by MidnightBrewer · · Score: 1

    Didn't they cover this theory in "A Beautiful Mind?" If everyone tries to be number one, everybody loses? Sounds like Sony and Microsoft need to take some basic economics courses.

    --
    "Give a man fire, and he'll be warm for a day; set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life
    1. Re:Non-competition = teh win by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's a misunderstanding of Bayes-Nash Equilibrium. The basic idea of it is that you get better results if you examine what all competitors/opponents/other players are going to do, and act based on that information to maximize your reward. In the example in the movie, if more than one person went for the Blonde, they'd both leave alone. Everyone recognized that the blonde was the most desirable person, and that the others were likely to go after her, resulting in the expected reward for pursuing her being zero. By going after her companions, they could reduce the chance of colliding with someone else and have a good chance of getting laid that night, if not by the most attractive person in the room.

      If there was a Mr. Sexy that would always win the blonde if he and another person collided going for her, his best move would be to go for the blonde. The message isn't "don't fight for #1", it's "determine what your best move is after figuring out what other people are likely to do".

  48. Re:Nintendo just cant compete with the hardware... by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1

    It was a failure. You think Nintendo really likes being second to Sony? How about third to Microsoft?

    I think they probably don't care, as long as they're raking in the dough.

  49. And in the next two years... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And in the next two years, I plan to start sleeping with Gwen Stefani.

    Both our plans have an equal chance of happening. What are they going to say? "We see ourselves spending large amounts of cash to fail spectacularly."

    1. Re:And in the next two years... by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1

      Well, I never said their plan would *work*. :)

  50. Hold on now. by Moofie · · Score: 1

    That means that most fields of human endeavor are more complicated than a football game with one (1) winner and one (1) loser.

    *head asplode*

    How ever shall we cope with the bewildering complexity?

    --
    Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
  51. Then use bigger fonts by tepples · · Score: 1

    An independent developer who wants to port a game to Fedora for PS3 can avoid the problems that plague a lot of Xbox 360 games by redesigning its screens to use larger fonts. Is there a similar option for indies who want to port their games to Wii?

    1. Re:Then use bigger fonts by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      What we're talking about is why a console is in some ways superior to a PC, and why playing PC games on your TV doesn't always work. You're quite correct about the utility of your suggestion but it doesn't at all address the problem we're discussing. Incidentally, isn't a devkit for Wii $2000? That's far less than horrible. It's still more than I'd like to see it cost but you have to set the bar somewhere I guess.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  52. You're all idiots. by kahrytan · · Score: 1


      Seriously people, You forgot something. Wii is more then just a simple game console. It is Game Console plus Internet Browser. Why do people keep forgetting that Opera will bring it's browser to Wii. Wii just needs a keyboard and wit is fully functional WebTV (aka MSN TV)

    Wii's key points

    1. Affordable for most families.
    2. Family friendly games.
    3. Backwards compatible all the way to NES.
    4. Motion sensitive controller.
    6. A company focusing on game play rather then graphics.
    7. And best of all, Opera.

    --
    \
    1. Re:You're all idiots. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not many people bought WebTV. Browsing on an SDTV is pretty crap! And when Pa is browsing Ma can't watch the soaps.

      Wii (and PS2) will win because:

      Good games
      Doesn't cost four hundred US dollars+

  53. How about second by Cr4nf0rd · · Score: 1

    Not sure how credible this is but according to http://nexgenwars.com/ Nintendo is already in second.

  54. Re:PS3's chance. Market Share? by Rytr23 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    but the fact that you can install Linux on these systems, could do a lot for their market share
    I sincerely hope you were just joking right? You couldn't seriously think that this magical "install Linux on a Console" market has the potential to do anything for the market share.. Do you? Oh gosh.. you do..

    --
    So many injustices..so little time..
  55. Re:Nintendo just cant compete with the hardware... by Jackie_Chan_Fan · · Score: 1

    "If I need "insane" graphics, I'll get another 7900GTX and SLI it when the time comes"

    PC gaming is dead. SLI 7900GTX is over kill for a pc when there are so few games that really even need that much power.

    Everything most of you said makes sense. Yes its a new way to play games... blah blah blah. We all know that. Cut through the marketing bs and get to the point... IS IT ENOUGH?

    Is it enough to save Nintendo's Wii? Is it enough to provide a diverse library of games on the Wii. Again, Sony and MS could easily develope a similar or better input device... and still have a bigger market share.

    Is it enough? We'll find out. But This statement about being happy about 3rd place is bullshit. They're happy that they're still around and surviving as a company but they are not happy about being in 3rd place.

    They couldnt compete because they didnt want to spend the money... cause it would have hurt their company. Smart move? sounds like it. But Nintendo is admitting defeat and they are in effect taking themselves out of the fight.

    The Wii isnt even HD. Thats crazy.

  56. Drucker said it first. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Druker said that a business must pay a lot of attention to people who are not currently its customers. Losing sight of potential customers who are not actual customers creates the warfare that Sony and Microsoft now find themselves in: battling hard for big market share gains, but with very little revenue and profitability impact, and absolutely no growth of the market.

    It's hard to believe how far Microsoft has fallen in such a short time. This is a company in serious trouble, that can only make bullheaded attempts to attack other companies' profit centers (such as the iPod) without providing innovation that will grow any market. It's much harder to attack a competitor directly, and much easier to grow by feasting on the customers that existing competitors don't care about (or don't even know about).

    It may be that Office and Windows 95 will define Microsoft in the same way that the Xerox copier defined Xerox, and with similar destructive results. Don't even talk about Sony, and its value destroying investments in media and pop culture. Here's the rule of successful companies: go where the competitor isn't and provide what that customer needs.

    1. Re:Drucker said it first. by HappySqurriel · · Score: 1

      It's hard to believe how far Microsoft has fallen in such a short time. This is a company in serious trouble, that can only make bullheaded attempts to attack other companies' profit centers (such as the iPod) without providing innovation that will grow any market. It's much harder to attack a competitor directly, and much easier to grow by feasting on the customers that existing competitors don't care about (or don't even know about).

      The same thing could have been said about Sony both currently and when they decided to enter the videogame market; they weren't successful because they targeted different consumers (it had a reasonably slow start), but were successful because the Saturn was a disaster and the N64 was released 18 months after the Playstation.

    2. Re:Drucker said it first. by MemoryDragon · · Score: 2, Interesting

      One difference Microsoft never invented, they are good at looking at markets and then enter them, it usually takes them five years and three attempts to push out the competition. At no time any innovation has happened during that time. Microsoft never was great at innovation but they used to be great at analyzing the competition and stealing their markets. The XBox360 is a second gen system, Microsoft usually goes for the third approach to get the market, so I rather doubt that they are in the game for making money now.

    3. Re:Drucker said it first. by macndub · · Score: 1
      it usually takes them five years and three attempts to push out the competition

      I don't understand why this meme has so much traction. Microsoft executed a brilliant strategy in the early 90s that managed to lock up monopoly rents on virtually all PCs sold by creating a fortress with Windows 95, Office, and Exchange. This is the legacy that spins cash. I would argue that Word and Excel were innovative. Lotus certainly did not offer as compelling a product as Excel, and I know because I used both and preferred Excel.

      Since then, what? Microsoft didn't make a dime from IE and never will. Slate? MSN? XBOX? All value destroyers. None of Microsoft's products have seriously threatened competitors other than Netscape, nor will they. CRM? Give me a break.

      A monopolist can live a long time on rents, but eventually, shareholders start screaming that the value destruction must stop. History is full of one-trick companies that died when their original monopoly died--examples of companies that continually reinvent new monopolies (such as Nintendo, Disney, and GE) are rarer.

  57. nothing new by spwolfx · · Score: 1

    There is nothing new here - this is what Nintendo has always been doing. They provide simpler games that everyone can enjoy, and focus on gameplay rather than cool graphics. This is what Nintendo is all about.

    At the same time, it is exactly opposite of what SONY is all about, and those two have been co-existing peacfully for quite an time now. Only question is where will xbox fit in the global scheme of things.

    I have tried to convince myself pretty hard that I should get it for xmas, but after looking over game reviews I might get it only once more true sports games come out, as current lineup is quite weak, with pretty bad graphics. Although they have stated that graphics are "2x better than GameCube", most current games are same level as GC or even worse. Not an RPG fan really either.

    Good job Nintendo for creating good interest for Wii, after GameCube... most people also dont know that DS Lite is selling like crazy, and outselling PSP 2x1 everywhere.

    1. Re:nothing new by justchris · · Score: 1

      That is unbelievably not true. Nintendo does focus on gameplay, but in every generation they have been graphically superior to their competitors. The problem is it wasn't working. The n64 was graphically superior to the PS1 and lost marketshare. The GC was even more graphically superior to the PS2, and still lost marketshare. Like any species, a company that doesn't change to fit the environment, doesn't survive. Nintendo could have made a machine more powerful than the PS3, but what would that have gained them? Not much, since nobody cared that the GC was more powerful than the PS2. So they created something people would care about, then sacrificed their normal graphical superiority for the sake of keeping the price reasonable. Because this is something new, something different, they have to convince people to try it, and it's a lot easier to convince someone to try something new at $250 than it is to try something new at $400.

      --
      just some guy
  58. Re:PS3's chance. Market Share? by Belial6 · · Score: 1

    Yes. Yes I do. Obviously Sony does as well, or they would not have done it. Besides, it has happened before.

  59. Gameplay makes a good game by electronerdz · · Score: 1

    I agree with Nintendo. Game companies need to be focusing more on gameplay and not graphics. I bought myself a GP2X to be able to play old SNES and Sega games because the games were so much better. They focused on the actual game, and not the detail of someones face.

    --
    Kernel Krunch - Part of a Complete OS
  60. Re: impressed with Nintendo by burnunit0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In its price range, I think the Wii is a healthy addition to have along with a 360 or PS3, but not so much a direct competitor to them among the 18+ crowd.

    Well yeah, exactly. With the Wii being sold at a price point that is already profitable, I don't think Nintendo is in a position that it has to give a crap if you buy a Wii in addition to something else. Whereas the big offsetting factor for consoles that lose money is that you'll buy the games, you'll buy the online services, and so on. In the world of XBox, for example, since they need the revenue from the ongoing purchase of games and services just to make back their losses and turn a profit, it has to matter to them if you also buy a Wii because that means you have less dollars to spend on their own add-on service(s) and games.

    But if every Wii turns a profit, then those add-on services they sell are gravy, not vital tactics to "winning". From the point of view of Nintendo, I'd argue that the fact that you (or others) consider the Wii a "healthy addition" is wonderful for Nintendo because they'll still make a profit even if you only see it as an addition to the more...serious console purchase. But from the point of view of Sony and MS, buying that "additional system" is totally anathema.

    Every dollar you spend on Wii is a dollar not spent on something they desperately need to sell you to make up the cash they're giving away with that loss leader HD system they sold you.

    Intriguingly, in the Nintendo model, for all the fluffy marketing talk about gameplay and revolution, the business side doesn't care one tiny little bit what your heart feels about the Wii, as long as you buy one. Insofar as you love it and give them more gravy, they do not have to care. Other than whatever enjoyment they get in making more money.

    Whereas for the other two--for all the talk about the game platforms as hardcore, better, more technically accomplished true blue and the perception of their philosophies as supposedly more mature, hard nosed, cutthroat and, let's be honest, American and masculine--the other two need you, yes you, to love them; need you to believe it in your heartso that you never hesitate to keep your dollars right there, with them, where they are more needed and rightfully belong.

    Nintendo's little faerie machine liberates the more old-fashioned, hard-nosed business model from messy sticky feelings and gives it a very pretty black bottom line to look at. Is the Wii really a limp wristed sissybox for weirdo degenerates? Or the phalanx of a 21st century global corporate Captain Of Industry?

    And let us not set aside that tone in which the Wii is described by detractors--throwing around terms that first degrade homosexuality and/or femininity, then apply those degraded conceptualizations to the Wii in contrast to the normative (generally, heterosexual male) features of the other platforms. There's a lot of masculine defensiveness tied up in the XBox and PS3.

    Which one is a more healthy view? In the context of critiquing a game you also attack women and homosexuals in order to defend systems whose makers ultimately need you to fall in love with them? (or to be fair to the Joystiq article linked above, your roommate, who is not so much "critiquing" as standing in for a fairly wide swath of the gaming community) Or you make a game system that makes money and, by virtue of a neutrally functioning business model doesn't give a shit if you're straight, gay, male, female, young or old? Whose word of mouth representatives can depend less on diminishment of something or someone else.

    If I owned stock in Sony and MS I'd be forced to ask, are you putting our money into a product that depends on how people feel in order for you to actually make money on it? And then are

    --
    yes. that's all I'm going to say in all comments from now on.
  61. In other words by brokeninside · · Score: 1

    Most people think that the Wii supply is sufficient to meet demand.

    1. Re:In other words by HappySqurriel · · Score: 1

      Most people think that the Wii supply is sufficient to meet demand. Yes but Thinking that supply is sufficient to meet demand is quite a bit different from supply being Very Close to meeting demand. Most people didn't think the Wii was going to "sell out" before the doors opened on launch day; it is quite possible that in 3 weeks people could start paying $2,000+ on eBay to get a Wii for christmas because it isn't available, or that eBay sales could disapear for the PS3 because it is on the shelves of all major stores.

  62. Graphics rarely determine a "winner" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Let's look at past "console wars" 1. original nintendo vs. atari -original nintendo won for having better games and a more intuitive controller, plus it was packaged with a robot which really saved the industry. 2. Super Nintendo vs. Sega - Similar graphical power, SNES won for having the most good games and third party support. 3. Nintendo 64 vs. PS1 - 64 had superior graphical power, but Sony won for bringing in the use of cd's instead of cartridges. 4. xbox vs. ps2 vs. gamecube - GC and Xbox had superior graphical power, but sony won for having the most 3rd party support. For the record, I say won loosely. It's not an exclusive market. Most of the "hardcore gamers" will own more than one console. This round, I predict Nintendo to do the best simply because they brought in a new concept. Developers seem excited about it, which will garner it more 3rd party support. And it's all at a much lower price than it's competitors. Frankly, I don't care if you can run the entire earth on your console. If Pong's more fun, I'm playing Pong.

    1. Re:Graphics rarely determine a "winner" by AgentAce · · Score: 1

      You forgot about the Dreamcast in number 3.

  63. Cleaver move for Nintendo by tilandal · · Score: 1

    I see the Wii as a very shrewd move for Nintendo. If the Wii garners a modest 20 Million units Nintendo will just take thier profits go back to a more traditional consol in the next generation. No big loss for Nintendo. If the Wii takes off though, neither Sony nor Microsoft will be able to compete with Nintendo in the next generation because of the patents on the wiimote. Now, they could come up with something totaly new but given thier track record that does not seem very likely. Worst case, Nintendo is still #3 and still makes a good profit. Best case, Nintendo gains a definative advantage for the next 15 years.

  64. Re:PS3's chance. Market Share? by deathy_epl+ccs · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Yes. Yes I do. Obviously Sony does as well, or they would not have done it. Besides, it has happened before.

    It is my belief that the PS3-Linux connection is likely to do more damage than good. The PS3 is a very powerful computer at it's *ahem* core. However, the crowd that's likely to run Linux on it is the crowd that's not likely to run out and buy a whole lot of video games or Blu-Ray movies. My figures may not be accurate, but I'd understood that Sony is losing something like ~$200 per console. This means that, for every console they sell to someone that doesn't buy at least $200 worth of additional product, they are taking damage.

    Heck, I'm tempted to buy one and turn it into a Linux box so that I can deliberately damage Sony. I've been finding myself increasingly angry with them over the past few years, and quite frankly I think it's time for them to get spanked for their behavior. However, I'm not tempted enough to shell out $600 to do it. heheheheheheh

  65. Re:Nintendo just cant compete with the hardware... by norminator · · Score: 1

    Everything most of you said makes sense.

    Unlike that statement...

    Cut through the marketing bs and get to the point... IS IT ENOUGH?

    I don't know... try playing it... that's the only way to "cut through the marketing bs" and find out for yourself before passing judgment. Or watch the news, or Slashdot or Digg articles and see how many people are buying and enjoying their Wiis.

    Again, Sony and MS could easily develope a similar or better input device... and still have a bigger market share.

    The Wiimote wasn't something that was just thrown together... it was developed over a period of years, and heavily tested and refined. I'd like to see Sony or MS just "easily develop" a controller that completely changes the mechanics of gameplay, then get developers to design for it. Good luck on that.

    And features? Bluetooth, expansion port (for nunchuk, classic controller, and future possible add-ons), simple button layout, onboard memory for storing Mii information, built-in speaker, rumble (Sony doesn't seem willing to license it)... I'm sure someone can come up with some more interesting features, but I'd say Nintendo did a great job coming up with features that not only made sense, but were also things that took some imagination. If MS designs a similar controller, it will have functionality that noone will figure out how to use, 3 times as many buttons as necessary, and will not work consistently.

    But Nintendo is admitting defeat and they are in effect taking themselves out of the fight.

    Where did you hear that? It looks to me like they're squarely in the fight to sell consoles, and I think they will sell plenty (and they are selling them so far). They're not directly competing with MS and Sony because those two have tried to make a games console that's not just a games console anymore. Nintendo's doing what they've always done, and expanding their market to new users. Sounds like it's been doing well in only 10 days. I'm guessing they're not worried about market share yet.

    The Wii isnt even HD. Thats crazy.

    Most TVs in homes across America or across the world are not HDTV's, and Nintendo knows it. Their goal of appealing to the casual gamer doesn't require HD, but it does require keeping costs down, which means not blowing their Bill of Materials costs on HD hardware. I'd say that for what they're trying to do, including HD support would be crazy. They're saving HD for the next round.

  66. Re:PS3's chance. Market Share? by Skreems · · Score: 1

    That was a selling point for the Xbox because that made it a damn cheap media pc. The PS3, on the other hand, costs more than a nice desktop, and certainly more than a media box that can sit next to your other multimedia hardware. The only attractive aspect of wedging an OS onto a console was the price, and Sony fucked that one up pretty good.

    --
    Slashdot needs a "-1, Wrong" moderation option.
    The Urban Hippie
  67. actually ... by Some_Llama · · Score: 1

    The more a company focuses on keeping it's employee's happy and pleasing (building products for and support the) customers the better it does...

    Competition between companies helps the customers in a secondary way (better products, cheaper prices) but that is a side benefit.

    Is it that hard to see that when your customers are a second priority and are treated like "consumers" (aka mindless money machines) that the company will suffer?

    Apparently so, when articles like this are so eye opening they deserve special attention...

    What are the future CEO's learning in their high profile colleges anyway?

  68. Let's review current Nintendo propaganda. by kuerin · · Score: 1

    "Games for everyone!"

    "Everyone" is just a euphemism for non-gamers. As a gamer, I find the "games for non-gamers" movement offensive. I don't believe that the gaming community should be insular, and I welcome the expansion of the video game consumer base, but I don't think that expansion should be achieved by purposefully developing a console and games for non-gamers.

    "Nintendo transcends the console wars!"

    This bit of propaganda rationalizes the limited graphical capabilities of the Wii. But the problem with the argument that gameplay matters and graphics do not is that the two are related. Graphical advancement matters because greater graphical capabilities enable new forms of gameplay. Take, for example, open-roaming games, which were not feasible prior to the PlayStation 2/Xbox era. Compare Grand Theft Auto I and Grand Theft Auto III. The graphical limitations of the PlayStation 1 acted as a constraint on the gameplay of the former, which was presented in a cumbersome and unsatisfying top-down two-dimensional format. The advent of the following generation enabled the GTA series developers to realize the goal of allowing players to roam about an expansive city in three dimensions.

    I would wager that the power of the PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 will foster more development in gameplay than will the Wii's motion-sensitive controls.

    1. Re:Let's review current Nintendo propaganda. by justchris · · Score: 1
      You are right, casual gamers are much more fun of FPS, RPGs & Strategy games than hardcore gamers, so Nintendo should probably take those games they have scheduled off their release list, snub Square-Enix (cause who cares about Final Fantasy or Dragon Quest), and focus on casual gamers.

      Also, while graphical enhancements do add to gameplay, you're wrong about open-roaming games. Open roaming games existed for years before 3D graphics. The only difference is the appearance of the game. What about Zelda:OoT, that was an open roaming game in 3D, that existed before the PS2 did. In fact, their entire design focus in the game was to make it so that any place you could see, you could go to. Certainly the world wasn't as big as GTA3, but that was a limitation of the storage format, not of the graphics.

      What about AI & Physics? There's plenty of room for improvement there. The Wii may not be able to match the graphical prowess of the 360 or PS3, but it can match (and possibly exceed) them in AI, and shouldn't be too far behind them in physics.

      Graphical limitations are a mental constraint, not a physical one. Improving graphics makes it easier for developers to institute new game ideas, but once those ideas exist, other developers have gone back and remade those ideas with less need for the graphical advancements. So yes, there will be game innovations that only exist because of the graphical prowess of the 360 & PS3, but that does not automatically mean they will be impossible on the Wii. In fact, their very existence on the other consoles will be incentive for some developer to find a way to put them on the Wii.

      --
      just some guy
  69. Heck yes, and... by patio11 · · Score: 1

    ... I will sell my freaking spleen if I can use my Wiimote as a drumstick for something like DrumMania. Make it all Nintendo theme and put in the theme to Zelda or something as a bonus track. It will also sell more Wiimotes than anything since you just KNOW people are going to be chucking them at walls in a cymbal-crashing frenzy. Then again, knowing Nintendo, the Wiimote would probably emerged unscathed.

  70. In my castle, were getting Wii and PS3 by NullProg · · Score: 1

    I'm not sure what that means in ranking terms. I'm waiting until after Christmas for both.

    I'm getting a PS3 for the computer room just so I can play with programming the Cell Processor. I'd imagine IBM would sell the Cell Workstations (POWER 7?)for upwards of $2k. The PS3 is a steal. I can't wait to do some Ray Tracing/Mandelbrot calculations.

    Were getting a Wii for the family room. I asked my oldest son who is just now getting into programming/animation what game he would design for the Wii Controller. He said he would write an orchestra game. I said what? He said picture yourself as the director of a band. You can use the controller like a baton to control an animated orchestra. Smart kid, I might have to pay for a Wii Dev Kit.

    Enjoy,

    --
    It's just the normal noises in here.
    1. Re:In my castle, were getting Wii and PS3 by cttforsale · · Score: 1

      That's so obvious you should patent it!

  71. Because your making it up... by Belial6 · · Score: 1

    "I don't know why so many people seem to think there is some vast inchoate yearning on the part of the general public to run Linux."

    Because your making it up. Most people don't care what OS they are running. The only reason I said Linux is because it is extremely unlikely that MS is going to port Windows to the PS3 and offer Sony an incredibly cheap OEM price. Of the OS choices that could be ported to the PS3, Linux is the most advanced by a very wide margin, and given that 2 Linux distros have already been ported it is the obviouse OS choice for people that DO NOT care what OS they are running. They also have no need for a high powered personal computer in the on the PS3. The primary reason to have a high power PC is for gaming. Given that the vast majority of gaming would not be done from the OS, a relatively slow personal computer would be just fine for most.

    1. Re:Because your making it up... by gordgekko · · Score: 1

      No matter how thin you slice it, it's still baloney.

      --
      You want to know who isn't running Firefox 2.x? They spell it "definately" and "rediculous".
  72. Re:PS3's chance. Market Share? by Belial6 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Obviously I don't have real figures, but I have the strong suspicion that consoles loose money the way movies loose money... in the accounting office. Even if they loose some money on each console, there is great value in having sold a lot of units. We live in a team society. Whether it is voting for the presidential candidate that you think will win, to placing your value as a person on what football team you like, people are worried about picking a looser, even it it meets their needs. If Sony can sell twice as many units the first year as MS, their second year will be better. Price is a problem though...

  73. Re:So What? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I like that this was marked Troll because it poses a negative truth about a likable company, and not a company which sues you for stealing their stuff. =D

  74. Re:PS3's chance. Market Share? by deathy_epl+ccs · · Score: 1
    Even if they loose some money on each console, there is great value in having sold a lot of units.

    This is an incredibly deep statement, and is an angle I had hitherto not considered. Obviously I can't mod this thread, but you'd be getting a +1 insightful from me if I could.

  75. Re:Nintendo just cant compete with the hardware... by justchris · · Score: 1
    And still wrong.

    Nintendo is actually in a better position to make a more powerful console than either Sony or Microsoft.

    While Nintendo is not as large a business as either of their 2 competitors, Nintendo has, at last estimates, around $10 billion in liquid assets. That's over twice what Microsoft lost on the original Xbox. Sony and Microsoft have to make up for any losses from other divisions, because they don't keep large amounts of cash on hand. Nintendo could afford it, if that's what they wanted to do, but you know what that would get them? The most powerful console of this generation and still being in 3rd place.

    The n64 was more powerful than the PS1 and lost, the GC was more powerful than the PS3 and lost. If the Wii was more powerful than the PS3, but still used a standard controller, it would still lose. If you read the article, it has nothing in it about what Nintendo wants, it simply says that Nintendo can survive comfortably in 3rd place from now until people give up video games.

    But if you look at what Nintendo is actually saying, you'll see that what they want is 1st place, and they know that more power isn't the way to get it, at least not for them. After E3, a Microsoft exec (Howard Lincoln?) is quoted as saying 'you could buy a 360 & a Wii for the price of a PS3'. Days later a Sony exec (Kaz Hirai?), is quoted as saying, 'We see no reason people wouldn't buy a Wii as a second system to go with their PS3'. When a Nintendo exec was question about these comments (Reggie Fils-Aime?), his response was 'Well, really, I'd rather people buy our system instead of our competitors.' (All quotes are paraphrased from memory, hence the single-quotes.)

    Nintendo's goal is to be the company people turn to for gaming first, and they've realized that more power is not the way to do that. They way to do that is to provide something that no one else does, and to be the first one to do it. It doesn't matter that Sony & Microsoft can emulate or even directly copy what Nintendo is offering. Nintendo is the first to do it, and unless they can do it better than Nintendo does, people will assume that Nintendo is the only one offering.

    The way to do that is to appeal to people who don't normally game. Gamers are a small percentage of the total population. If you can sell to every non-gamer, even if not one single gamer buys your console, you win. Realistically, they can't sell to every non-gamer, and the hardest of the hardcore gamers are going to buy all 3 consoles. Plus they still have Zelda, Mario, Metroid, Smash Bros., Fire Emblem, Pikmin, F-Zero, Donkey Kong and countless other IP exclusive to their console, so they've got at least the 20 million from last generation locked up. They get to add to that everyone who loved an NES or Atari 2600, but couldn't wrap their head around the new controller. They get to add everyone who thinks just sitting in front of a screen pressing buttons is stupid, but getting up and moving around is fun. They get to add everyone who enjoyed watching games, but could never really play them before. They get to add everyone who just wants to play a few minutes at a time, and not spend their entire day exploring Vice City. And of equal importance, they have a chance to change the image that gamers have of them. That's why they're hyping 3rd party efforts like Red Steel & Call of Duty 3, and working of 1st/2nd Party projects like Disaster, Necro-Nesia & Project HAMMER.

    Nintendo has done anyting but concede the game. All they've done is change the rules.

    --
    just some guy
  76. Experience required; only PC game breaks catch-22 by tepples · · Score: 1
    Incidentally, isn't a devkit for Wii $2000?

    Plus the cost of incorporation. Plus the cost of hiring somebody to research and write your business plan. Plus the cost of developing and marketing a title for another platform[1] to demonstrate your company's ability to perform. Plus the cost of renting office space, as offices that are attached to a residence are not secure enough for Nintendo.

    [1] Nintendo claims that any other platform qualifies, but no major console or handheld platforms are available to startups. The only major open gaming platform is the Microsoft Windows platform, and this platform has not demonstrated a demand for single-head multiplayer games such as Bomberman.

  77. You're missing the point by Estanislao+Mart�nez · · Score: 1

    This is what's going on in that Microsoft statement:

    1. Microsoft has an Entertainment and Devices division, which contains, among others, an XBox business. I.e., this is how they break down their numbers for the relevant parts of the company.
    2. Microsoft sets and evaluates their profit goals at the level of the divisions, not at the level of the businesses. It's OK for the XBox business to operate at a loss if it helps other businesses bring in higher profits than they otherwise would. I.e., the XBox business is in the red because it's a loss leader, and success will be judged by the division's profits, not by XBox losses.

    Remember: plans are useless, but planning is essential...

  78. Re:Nintendo just cant compete with the hardware... by MemoryDragon · · Score: 1

    The nintendo gaming console division seems to be fine, they make a boatload of money thanks to being wiser in their business model, they could go on for another 100 years with that one and being third and still have enough cash. In your assumption you forgot one thing. Nintendo sells even the hardware with profit. So the calculation of how many games you have to sell til you reach break even is a completely different one, it is zero games in Nintendos case. Not they sold 600.000 consoles alone in the usa with possibly 6-10 mio to be sold within the next year worldwide and probably cashing in 50-100 dollars on the hardware alone, go figure who the real winner is. Sony on their hands if they cannot push down the costs significantly very soon has a problem on their hands. 300 dollars is a sum which is hard to get back from game sells, since many non hardcore customers happily settle down with 3-4 games, and from every game sold, Sony raises about 20 dollars. Now Ninteno on their hand has definitely a few sure sellers like Zelda and Mario games which are sure million sellers (Mario and Zelda in the long run probably around 4 mio) So they might not be happy not being #1 but on the other hand, I rather see Sony going down the drain than Nintendo console business wise!

  79. Get a Good Price by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1
    --
    Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
    Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
  80. Re:PS3's chance. Market Share? by petermgreen · · Score: 1

    This means that, for every console they sell to someone that doesn't buy at least $200 worth of additional product, they are taking damage.

    i suspect most people who buy one will wan't it at least partly for gaming as if you don't then its not worth buying (ok so a few devs who wan't to play arround on a PPC box might too but i doubt that number will be signficiant to sony).

    its a pity linux wasn't installed out of the box but if sony and the distros can make the installation newbie friendly (should be pretty easy given that its known hardware) then it will be a nice value add to have basic desktop apps availible on your gaming box, some may even decide it makes a PC at home unessacery.

    also through emulators it allows running of illegal copies of old games (imo this is significant since running old games is a killer feature of the wii that sony would find it hard to compete with legally)

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    note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
  81. Which platform? by tepples · · Score: 1

    The problem with an actual PC is that the vast majority of actual PCs have tiny monitors that do not allow four adult players to sit around them. The alternative, one player per machine, is $3,000, unaffordable for many families. So if an independent studio has developed a party game that could be the next Bomberman and has completed a working prototype that runs on a PC with a TV-out video card, how should this be marketed?

    1. Re:Which platform? by The+One+and+Only · · Score: 1

      Maybe you need to realize that, as awesome as your game seems to be, it's not viable in the market at all for exactly that reason.

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      In Repressive Burma, it's not just your connection that dies. slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=314547&cid=20819199
    2. Re:Which platform? by tepples · · Score: 1

      The existing makers of four-player party games on consoles got that way by growing as companies. If I am specifically aiming to grow my company to a size above which a market for its four-player party games magically begins to exist, then which genre should I choose for the company's initial titles?

    3. Re:Which platform? by The+One+and+Only · · Score: 1

      If I knew the answer to that question, I would ask you to pay me considerable consulting fees before I told you. (If my advice is gonna make you money, I certainly have the right to ask for a chunk of it.) Unfortunately for my bank account, I have no idea. All I can tell you is that resting your hopes on your customers playing games on a game console turned faux-PC is a bit silly--if you were to turn a game console into a faux-PC, it wouldn't be to play games. Depending upon the common customer to make an unintuitive hack in order to make your product work is a failing strategy.

      --
      In Repressive Burma, it's not just your connection that dies. slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=314547&cid=20819199
  82. Re:PS3's chance. Market Share? by somersault · · Score: 1

    It's not that insightful, it's the reason that Sony are doing it. It probably used to be insightful, but I think a few companies work that way (the larger ones anyway). Didn't the X-Box or 360 do the same thing?

    And it's really weird that you think that being able to run Linux on a console would affect its market share.. being able to run Windows or Mac OS would, but Linux.. :/ not really.. yes I like Linux, but realistically, console gamers likely wouldn't even understand how or why they should run Linux..

    I used to think that consoles were going to die with the advent of decent graphics and power on the PC, but soon I shall be playing with my Wii :)

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    which is totally what she said
  83. Nintendo controllers vs. add-ons by norminator · · Score: 1

    Nintendo has always innovated with their controllers. You're only listing the ones that were failures. Oh, and they didn't make the Power Glove, that was a third-party accessory.

    My point was precisely that the original controller is what matters in a console, that's what developers will design for. It's the add-ons that haven't done well, with very limited games designed for them. Of course I'm counting the Wiimote as the original controller, the GGP said above that Sony or MS could just copy the Wiimote and make it as an add-on for their systems. My point was that as an add-on it doesn't make sense or rise above the gimmick level, and it wouldn't have games developed for it. As the original controller for the system (and the heart of the Wii philosophy), it will spur a lot of new thinking about how game controls are designed. Lots of developers will design games for it because it is the primary interface for the whole console.

    The actual Nintendo controllers have always set the standard in the industry since the NES. As you described, every generation of Nintendo consoles has had some great new features in the controller, which are then copied by the next generation of the other consoles. I wouldn't be surprised at all if the stock controllers on the new consoles 5 years from now will have built-in speakers, non-volatile memory for holding players' avatars, and motion sensing functionality (OK, Sony already stepped into that one with the sixaxis).

  84. Great Move by SomeOtherGuy · · Score: 1

    I think Nintendo has made a brilliant move. Let Sony and Microsoft cater to the people (drones) who are going to buy the next gen consoles anyway, no matter how bad or good they are.....Nintendo is taking it to the next level and catering to an untapped market -- actually 2 markets.

    1. The people like me that are casual gamers but do not rush out to buy any console in the first year or even 2 -- but may pick up second hand or once the price point has dropped a level or 3. But are intrigued enough by the unique "one of a kind" breakthroughs that Nintendo is pushing to actually go out and get one at full price within 6 months of launch.

    2. People that were never really in the market for a console because of a variety of reasons -- not the least being the lethargic nature of the gamer being pinned down to the couch as mold grows under his/hers ass.

    This is only fueled by the rave reviews the wii is getting.

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    (+1 Funny) only if I laugh out loud.
  85. I'm getting a 360 AND a Wii by ChaoticLimbs · · Score: 1

    I'm getting the 360 to play Gears of War, Dead Rising, and a bunch of others, and getting a Wii for the kids, and to play with guests. The Wii's so inexpensive I don't have to choose one or the other, I can get a 360 and a Wii for about what a PS3 would've cost.

  86. I can proudly say .... by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 1

    .... that I have no idea what you are talking about.

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    IANAL but write like a drunk one.
  87. Oh please. by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 1

    What would stop Sony to do that?

    In any case, if MythTV is a real bitch to configure in PCs, why do you think that it will eventually be any better in the PS3?

    It is not like Sony willl be sharing their precious trade secrets with a bunch of "hippies".

    --
    IANAL but write like a drunk one.
    1. Re:Oh please. by DoctorFrog · · Score: 1
      What would stop Sony to do that?

      Ah... nothing? I could easily see them marketing a complete solution as an add-on. You know, much as you can presently buy a ready-made PC solution from several manufacturers, if you're willing to pay a bit to avoid the hassle of rolling your own.

      In any case, if MythTV is a real bitch to configure in PCs, why do you think that it will eventually be any better in the PS3?

      Duh... how about a known hardware configuration? PCs have bajillions of possible hardware configurations, different video cards, motherboards, memory architechtures, therefore the software configure is a pain to match up. PS3s have two hardware configurations, which are almost identical, so there aren't a lot of choices to make in the software configuration.

      It is not like Sony willl be sharing their precious trade secrets with a bunch of "hippies".

      OK, at this point all I can say is: WTF are you talking about?

  88. Many people like yourself? by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 1

    Sorry budy, there are not many like you.

    Sensible people would not buy anymore an article that breaks constantly.

    It is not like these machines are articles of first necesity.

    --
    IANAL but write like a drunk one.