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Ballmer Sells Part of his Stake in Microsoft

An anonymous reader writes "The Financial Times reports that Steve Ballmer has sold part of his MS shares (my early morning math isn't very good, it seems a shade under 10%). Short of cash? Parking tickets? Or the start of a strategy to get rid of it all without causing too much upset in one go? No idea, but speculation is sure to be with us for a while."

319 comments

  1. not only the president.... by sweeney37 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Microsoft said the sales were undertaken so that Mr Ballmer could diversify his financial interests.

    my guess is that some of those interests may include this, this, and if he's lucky after all that, maybe this.

    Mike

    1. Re:not only the president.... by Jucius+Maximus · · Score: 4, Funny
      "The share sales amount to one of the biggest one-off disposals ever made by a chief executive, although they still leave Mr Ballmer with some $10bn worth of stock in the company.

      Microsoft said the sales were undertaken so that Mr Ballmer could diversify his financial interests."

      Doesn't this guy ever read Dilbert? As best as I can remember, this is how I went

      Dilbert: The CEO just sold off a lot of his shares of the company. Does this mean we are in trouble?

      PHB: No, he's just diversifying his portfolio.

      Dilbert: Oh, that's alright then.

      PHB: (Madly typing at computer.) Thought bubble: "Sell!...Sell!...SELL!!!"

    2. Re:not only the president.... by RoLi · · Score: 4, Insightful
      So true, so true...

      Actually Gates and Ballmer constantly sell shares, ironically at a higher rate since the stock collapse (MSFT used to cost 120$, now it's 50$ (or 25$ after the split)

      Microsoft executives know that Microsoft has a lot to lose and not much to gain. The only market where they are strong (the desktop) they have no room to grow, everywhere else they are losing (servers, embedded systems, gaming consoles).

      Microsoft, the stock will certainly go down in the next years.

    3. Re:not only the president.... by RoLi · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Sorry for replying to my own post, but I'd like to add:

      Ballmer now sold 40 Million shares, compared to that Bill Gates sold 400 Million or about 40% of his shares in the last years.

      If Gates and Ballmer don't know where MSFT-stock is headed, who does?

    4. Re:not only the president.... by fobbman · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Not true. While Gates sells stock almost weekly, Ballmer hardly ever sells stock, according to this blurb.

      Of course, this could have been written by a NY Times journalist so take it with a grain of salt.

    5. Re:not only the president.... by f97tosc · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Microsoft executives know that Microsoft has a lot to lose and not much to gain. The only market where they are strong (the desktop) they have no room to grow, everywhere else they are losing (servers, embedded systems, gaming consoles).

      This is true.

      Microsoft, the stock will certainly go down in the next years

      This may very well not be true, because predictions of the future are built into the current market price. (If you don't believe me, put your money were your mouth is and start short selling.)

      Tor

    6. Re:not only the president.... by sinan · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Actually Bill Gates used to own almost 50% as AFAIR. Now he holds about 11% ...

      Which means he has gotten rid of almost 80% of his holdings.

      Yahoo -> MSFT -> insider , looking at last year show an almost scary mass exodus...

    7. Re:not only the president.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What wasn't reported is that Gates sold half that amount, or 20M shares last month as well, and he does this ALOT. Look here
      http://biz.yahoo.com/t/62/412.html
      for a 2-year history.

      I look for this to escalate as they go down. The tricky part for them is to try to keep it out of the media so everyone's pension fund managers don't catch on and deflate the stock price further.

    8. Re:not only the president.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I asked my broker at Merrill Lynch to purchase $15,000 in Microsoft stock, and he said they had been advised that Redhat, etc. will take over the server market in about 4 years, so he advised me not to purchase the Microsoft stock.

    9. Re:not only the president.... by rjamestaylor · · Score: 1

      Perhaps he bought sold MSFT in order to shore up a position in RHAT after seeing a comparison of theoretical positions for the last year in RHAT, MSFT and the broad market.

      Maybe not...(but I love irratating people with that chart :)

      --
      -- @rjamestaylor on Ello
    10. Re:not only the president.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually you can go to www.nasdaq.com, type in "msft" and look at the form 144 (intent to sell) and form 4 filings in near real time.

      Point is Ballmer has not been a big seller. Gates is a consistent seller, but you will also notice of late that quite a few VPs with much smaller holdings are selling quite large stakes of stock relatively speaking.

      Although it is generally a much better indicator when insiders buy (people sell for lots of reasons, not always because they think the company's prospects are poor) there has been a lot of activity right at the trough here. That does not seem to be a real sign of appreciation in the future does it? Even on a split adjusted basis Gates has been a big seller this year.

    11. Re:not only the president.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the ballots counted and Bubba the winner on November 6, 2000

      That would be Owl Gore. Perhaps you were in a drunken stupor that year?

    12. Re:not only the president.... by EvilAlien · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I wonder if this could also be due to some sort of concern over personal liability in the context of future anti-trust (or past anti-trust) action that could have or could go very poorly.

      Less of a controlling share could be legally perceived as evidence that Gates and Ballmer are just "cogs in the machine". I'm no expert (and barely even slightly knowledgable), so I don't know if this theory has any merit.

      --
      perl -e 'print $i=pack(c5, (41*2), sqrt(7056), (unpack(c,H)-2), oct(115), 10)'
    13. Re:not only the president.... by Micah · · Score: 1

      > Actually Bill Gates used to own almost 50% as AFAIR.

      You sure about that? IIRC he held about 19% several years ago. Or are you talking like in 1987 just after it went public?

    14. Re:not only the president.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Too bad M$ can't sell Ballmer

    15. Re:not only the president.... by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 2, Informative

      MSFT: float is 8,940,000,000 shares

      Balmer:
      He sold the stock for $23.93 to $24.67 a share. After the transactions, he directly owned 431.6 million common shares.

      Billy G:

      As of 4/29/03: 1,183,499,336 Direct control

      You can work out the % ownership yourself.

    16. Re:not only the president.... by Zeinfeld · · Score: 1
      I asked my broker at Merrill Lynch to purchase $15,000 in Microsoft stock, and he said they had been advised that Redhat, etc. will take over the server market in about 4 years, so he advised me not to purchase the Microsoft stock.

      Last recomendation on MSFT from ML was NT Buy. I would not take a broker's recommendation too seriously, particularly on this type of call. Take a look at who is paying large fines to the SEC for giving bogus advice... Technology changes are very hard to predict, the server market is not Microsofts only market or even its most important.

      I suspect this is not advice from ML it is the kind of specious authority claim that comes up on stock boards all the time.

      Balmer is making a pretty smart move, he has a fortune invested in a pretty solid company. There are a lot of big opportunities out there for an investor who can put down a significant amount of risk capital. There are a lot of companies trading for less than their cash position. If you have the cash and can afford to lose it you have a chance for a huge payoff.

      Consider the problems that United Airlines is in at the moment. There is nothing dramatically wrong with the business, but they have a major cash flow problem. If they can survive the next two years they are likely to be back at a large fraction of their old marketcap. If you put your pension fund into UAL you would likely lose your shirt.

      --
      Looking for an Information Security student project suggestion?
      Try http://dotcrimeManifesto.com/
    17. Re:not only the president.... by Jerrry · · Score: 4, Funny
      Microsoft said the sales were undertaken so that Mr Ballmer could diversify his financial interests.

      He probably wants to make a big investment in SCO.

    18. Re:not only the president.... by sirshannon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I spoke to a banker a few months ago (I live in a banking city) and he explained to me that Stock Brokers are supposed to be seen in the same light as used car salesmen. He said it wasn't always the case but is now and that all consumers should know that and, if they don't, then it is their fault, just as if they believed everything a used car salesman told them.

    19. Re:not only the president.... by cyberformer · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Gates has to sell if he wants to buy his billionaire toys or donate money to chariy: Almost all his famed wealth was originally tied up in MS stock, so the only way to get at it is to sell. To avoid claims of insider trading, and to smooth out the bumps, he sells a little bit pretty much all the time. If he unloaded even 1% at once, the shock would severely hurt MS's stock price, just because of supply and demand, never mind (justified) thoughts that he must have some inside info.

      Dancing Boy is different. MS alrady pays him a 7-figure salary, so he doesn't really need to sell in the way that Gates does. Unless he's got a huge tax bill, gambling debt, ransom demand, etc. to meet.

    20. Re:not only the president.... by spitzak · · Score: 2, Informative
      I would think the main threat of any antitrust action is what it would do to the value of the stock itself. Just owning the stock in some evil corporation I don't think makes you guilty, except by association in the public mind and in that case selling all the stock makes little difference because you owned it once upon a time.

      If in the unlikely scenario that Bill Gates is found guilty of some crime I would also think ownership of the stock would have no bearing on whether he is guilty or not.

    21. Re:not only the president.... by grimani · · Score: 2, Informative

      You are ignoring the fact that stock options issued to employees will dilute his holdings.

      So hypothetically if they issue enough stock options for employees, his holdings can go from 50% to 11% without any sales whatsoever.

    22. Re:not only the president.... by jbx · · Score: 1

      Technically speaking, he donates his stock to charity (the Bill and Melinda Gates fund), and his *charity* does the selling. I don't remember why it's done this way, perhaps to get around rules about the timing of selling the stock, and perhaps to make it more clear the reason he's selling so much.

      I heard a story a long time ago that Gates sells 1% of his holdings every quarter, and has done so, for "diversification", almost as long as the company has been public. But if you look at the amount of money his charity has been given (5-10 billion at least), it would seem that his charitable contributions run even higher than his "diversification" does. (Remember, his charity hasn't been around that long.)

      As for whether or not Dancing Boy needs to sell, remember that Microsoft pays dividends now, and they give Ballmer and Gates *way* more money than a paltry seven-figure salary. Let's see: 8cents per share times Ballmer's 431 million shares... that's 33 million dollars all by itself!

      --
      (sig) The last bug isn't fixed until the last user is dead. (/sig)
    23. Re:not only the president.... by Unregistered · · Score: 1

      Sorry for replying to my own post, but I'd like to add:

      Yea, i'm sure you're sorry for 2 +5 mods :)

    24. Re:not only the president.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      While Gates sells stock almost weekly

      According to Fortune magazine, Gates has a blind trust sell some of his stock _every day_ !

      He has so much cash, his charity had to give money to another charity to avoid paying taxes (his father runs this charity). The article also said about %70 of his wealth was due to MS stock, the other %30 is cash -- perhaps this mix has changed since the crash.

    25. Re:not only the president.... by Spruce+Moose · · Score: 1

      Perhaps in Soviet Russia...

    26. Re:not only the president.... by stephanruby · · Score: 1

      Charities are Trust funds. They may have good charitable aims, but they also make great investments that can survive the financial ignorance of your descendants. Bill and his family will be able to draw on this "untaxed" compounding capital for generations to come.

    27. Re:not only the president.... by Puu · · Score: 1

      You mean in Soviet Russia, Microsoft sells Balmer?

      Actually that's quite an interesting idea.

      Corporations alredy view labor as a resource that is accounted, can be outsourced if necessary, etc. On the other hand, people increasingly depend on corporations for health care and other "life" things. Why not let corporations directly own the labor the employees put in? Make it a commodity you can put a price on and buy and sell freely.

      It's already done in pro sports: teams own, and buy and sell players every season.

      Well, maybe this is more suitable to America than Soviet Russia ;-)


      [What, me off-topic?]

  2. I don't feel that bad by arsenicnet · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Sure, he's a billion dollars richer, but he's still got some 400 million shares. must be nice

    1. Re:I don't feel that bad by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      Ya. But just imagine getting hammered with taxation!! Ohhhhh, that's gotta hurt the ol wallet. I wish we could just have either a flat sales tax or flat income tax *mumble mumble* ...oh sorry, that was off topic. Forgive my ranting

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    2. Re:I don't feel that bad by SN74S181 · · Score: 1

      A flat income tax would mean that that lower 50% of the population would actually pay taxes to support the government.

      Now how fair would that be??

    3. Re:I don't feel that bad by anthony_dipierro · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Capital gains taxes are already pretty much flat.

    4. Re:I don't feel that bad by anthony_dipierro · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm sure he can afford to hire accountants to ensure that he uses the optional LIFO method of determining his basis. In other words, he's going to match all these shares he's selling with those purchased under his stock option plan during the bubble, and this is going to go down as a huge capital loss!

    5. Re:I don't feel that bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The stock market is a pyramid scheme. If you don't want to make people like Ballmer filthy rich, don't participate in the stock market. Ballmer was one of the first to get in on the action, so he is one of teh winnars. The guys investing late, well they get screwed.

    6. Re:I don't feel that bad by bigberk · · Score: 1
      Ya. But just imagine getting hammered with taxation!! Ohhhhh, that's gotta hurt the ol wallet
      You're right, he's only a few billion dollars rich. Why should he have to contribute a more to America than the average person? Sometimes the world is just so unfair.
    7. Re:I don't feel that bad by Max+Coffee · · Score: 1

      No worries on that front. MSFT options, when sold, are considered ordinary income by the IRS. The options were granted, not purchased, so there's nothing to match against for a loss. So he'll be paying his ~40% (remember to include Medicare) just like everyone else.

      Yes, I know, I've participated in this plan myself (but it's okay, i'm long gone).

    8. Re:I don't feel that bad by Afrosheen · · Score: 1

      Under Dubya's tax cut plan, he'll probably owe around $2.95 for total taxes on his stock selloff. The top 2% pays almost nothing in taxes...it's called having a clever CPA and lots of loopholes.

    9. Re:I don't feel that bad by SomeGuyFromCA · · Score: 1

      > I wish we could just have either a flat sales tax or flat income tax *mumble mumble*

      I thought we did have a flat sales tax - no matter what you buy or how much you make, you pay the same percentage. The only dfifference is where you live.

      As far as a flat income tax, are you nuts? That would actually raise taxes on the poorer portion of the population, the portion less able to pay any extra taxes. It would, in effect, be a tax raise on the poor and a tax cut on the wealthy.

      --
      if the answer isn't violence, neither is your silence / freedom of expression doesn't make it alright
    10. Re:I don't feel that bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      do you mean the poor that get *more* money back than they paid in taxes? The poor do not pay taxes! The middle class pay taxes. Do the research! Stop penalizing success, even if it feels so good to tax Microsoft!

    11. Re:I don't feel that bad by anthony_dipierro · · Score: 2, Informative

      No, it's far more complicated than that. Especially for someone like Ballmer, who is likely hitting all the limits, like the AMT and $100,000 limits. There are incentive stock options, and nonqualified stock options. And there are many different exercise scenarios for each.

      But in any case, the tax on these options, exercised several years ago, was already paid (for someone like Ballmer). So the basis in the stock is at bubble prices, and Ballmer likely will be able to show a capital loss.

    12. Re:I don't feel that bad by maxpublic · · Score: 1

      That would actually raise taxes on the poorer portion of the population, the portion less able to pay any extra taxes.

      That would apply only if you're enough of an idiot to apply the flat tax to all income brackets. You could, for example, exempt the first $30,000 of everyone's income, applying the tax to all monies made beyond that initial income.

      This would in essence keep lower-income folks from getting taxed at all, while still making it worthwhile for middle-income earners to make money beyond the exempt amount - and stick the rich with the most to pay (although at the same percentage as everyone else).

      Works for me.

      Max

      --
      My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
    13. Re:I don't feel that bad by SacredNaCl · · Score: 1

      A few years back I used to do courier work for a company that helped CEOs (and lots of sports stars) severely reduce their tax burden. Through some legal wrangling they would create a mess of S-Corps & pay the salary back over many years. It changed the nature of the tax owed from salary to gains, and changed reduced the tax burden by about 40%. Now the real question..Legality? Borderline, but your average IRS agent wasn't going to send 20 accountants to dig through the stuff to try to get it back, it did happen occasionally and those people got *(rightly so) nailed.

      Someone like Ballmer making the kind of money he does, he would be using those kinds of tricks, but they would be less effective for him because of his extreme income level. Those things can help guys making a few million a year, but when you start talking billions -- you need a new trick and I'm sure he's got them, but they are probably more focused on property taxes and the like. (Want to bet there is a Ballmer "Ranch" out there somewhere?)

      --
      Freedom is merely privilege extended unless enjoyed by one and all.
    14. Re:I don't feel that bad by silvwolf · · Score: 1

      I sure wish I had his tax problem... :\

    15. Re:I don't feel that bad by pod · · Score: 1

      Contractors do it all the time. You set up a company for yourself. You hold 100% of the shares (usually), it's just for yourself. All money paid to you is actually paid to the company; you're never hired, the company is, you just do the work. (A nice side-effect of this is that you can hire someone ELSE to do the work, pay them less and pocket the difference, while you're busy working a more beneficial shtick, unless the contract specifically names you.) Corporate taxes are much lower than personal taxes. The company pays you out whenever you need money, using whatever method happens to result in fewer taxes. There's nothing 'shaady' about this, it's perfectly legal, and it's SOP for most self-employed people. It provides a liability shield too, so it's not just for tax purposes.

      --
      "Hot lesbian witches! It's fucking genius!"
    16. Re:I don't feel that bad by ces · · Score: 1

      That would apply only if you're enough of an idiot to apply the flat tax to all income brackets. You could, for example, exempt the first $30,000 of everyone's income, applying the tax to all monies made beyond that initial income.

      This would in essence keep lower-income folks from getting taxed at all, while still making it worthwhile for middle-income earners to make money beyond the exempt amount - and stick the rich with the most to pay (although at the same percentage as everyone else).


      This is not nearly evil enough.

      A widely held economic theory is if you want less of something you should tax it and if you want more of something you should reduce or eliminate taxes on it. According to this theory the bracketing system we have now discourages people from raising there income. A flat tax such as you describe would discourage people from rasing their incomes above the exemption amount. A true flat tax with no exemption would still offer no incentives for raising incomes.

      The solution to this problem is obvious, your tax rate should be based on where you fall in income distribution. In other words if you were in the top 5% of all taxpayers your tax rate would be 5%, if you were in the top 95% you would pay 95% of your wages in taxes. Very simple and there's always an incentive to improve your income.

      --
      Happy Fun Ball is for external use only.
    17. Re:I don't feel that bad by ncc74656 · · Score: 1
      Under Dubya's tax cut plan, he'll probably owe around $2.95 for total taxes on his stock selloff. The top 2% pays almost nothing in taxes

      You couldn't be more wrong if you tried. IRS data on the subject indicate that in 2000, the top 1% accounted for over 37% of income-tax revenue. The top 5% accounted for over 56% of revenue, the top 10% accounted for over 67%, the top 25% accounted for over 84%, and the upper half accounted for over 96%!

      Class-warfare rhetoric tends to get uninformed people whipped into a frenzy more easily than statistics, though, which is why some people continue to use it...

      --
      20 January 2017: the End of an Error.
    18. Re:I don't feel that bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's a simple way to do a flat income tax without crippling those on the bottom rungs of the income ladder. You simply take a base income amount and tax every cent *above* that amount.

      For example, let's say the base was $10,000 and the rate was $10% (just an example).
      Joe Burger Flipper makes $15,000/year, and pays $500 ((15,000-10,000)*.1)
      Joe Millionaire makes $1,000,000/year, and pays $99,000 ((1,000,000-10,000)*.1)

      The base amount is calculated based on the so-called poverty level.

      The reason this works is as follows:

      Joe Burger Flipper needs about $7,500 (50%) of his income just to have a place to live, food to eat, and a way to get to and from work. That leaves him with about $7,000 (after taxes) to spend on less necessary stuff.

      Joe Millionaire spends about $200,000 (20%) of his income for his (much) more expensive versions of the same stuff. That leaves him with $701,000.

      Obviously, Joe Millionaire is much more capable of surviving (and even flourishing) in the face of a higher tax amount than Joe Burger Flipper because JM still has more than 70% of his income 'disposable'.

      To reduce the tax burden on those least able to support it, you adjust the base tax level, in the real world it might make sense for it to be $20,000 or so, and the tax rate (perhaps 15%) to compensate. Assuming 1,000,000 people with an average income of $65,000, taxes would bring in about $6.75 billion.

      The trick with this is that *all* income needs to be taxible, or JM with his $1,000,000/ year income might end up paying less in taxes than JBF.

    19. Re:I don't feel that bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except that with his proposed example, you've got to realize that below that exempt point, you're spending something like 35-65% (or more if you're really low on the income scale) of your income just on the bare minimum necessities to live and work (food, shelter, clothing, and transportation).

      With that flat tax proposal, everything you earn above that exempt level is still additional spending money. Up in the $1 million / year range, even spending 2000% more on those minimum necessitites, you're only spending 5-10% of your income on them.

      If everyone is being taxed 25% what they earned above the exempt point then the yearly millionaire still has a larger percentage of his income (after taxes) available to spend on non-necessary stuff.

  3. Sing along: by Mononoke · · Score: 3, Funny
    Accountants!

    Accountants!

    Accountants!

    /goin' for the cheap karma

    --
    NetInfo connection failed for server 127.0.0.1/local
    1. Re:Sing along: by Oscar_Wilde · · Score: 5, Funny

      Accountants!

      Accountants!


      If your going to try to get cheap karma at least get it right.

      Monty python quote:
      It's fun to charter an accountant
      And sail the wide accountancy,
      To find, explore the funds offshore
      And skirt the shoals of bankruptcy!

      It can be manly in insurance.
      We'll up your premium semi-annually.
      It's all tax deductible.
      We're fairly incorruptible,
      We're sailing on the wide accountancy!

    2. Re:Sing along: by Mononoke · · Score: 5, Informative
      If your going to try to get cheap karma at least get it right.
      If you're gonna criticize at least get it right.

      Links to the Developers, Developers, Developers Steve Ballmer dance video.

      --
      NetInfo connection failed for server 127.0.0.1/local
    3. Re:Sing along: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      yeah but monty python has nothing to do with ballmer/microsoft (and they suck too btw).

      He was making a joke on the "developers! developers! developers!" chant that ballmer does in his "dance like a monkey on crack" video

      p.s. monty python sucks.

    4. Re:Sing along: by Ford+Fulkerson · · Score: 3, Funny

      If your going to try to get cheap karma at least get it right.

      Actually both references are perfectly cromulent.

      --

      Somewhere in the heavens... they are waiting.
    5. Re:Sing along: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One word:

      Scrumtrelecant

    6. Re:Sing along: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If your going to try to get cheap karma at least get it right.

      If you're going to criticize others, learn to spell first. "you're" is the proper contraction for "you are." And since you don't seem to know, "your" refers to "something that belongs to you."

    7. Re:Sing along: by fireboy1919 · · Score: 1

      Do you perhaps mean scrumtrelescent?

      What you said would most likely be pronounced
      "scrum-tree-less-cant" not
      "scrum-tree-less-sent"

      --
      Mod me down and I will become more powerful than you can possibly imagine!
    8. Re:Sing along: by ncc74656 · · Score: 1
      p.s. monty python sucks.

      You can turn in your Geek ID as you leave...and don't let the door hit you in the ass on the way out. :-)

      --
      20 January 2017: the End of an Error.
  4. Finally!!! by Soulfarmer · · Score: 2, Funny

    Maybe he sells them to BG. Parking tickets? For wrong parking of an air-craft carrier?

    --
    -Is the meaning of life vanity, or is vanity the meaning of life?
  5. The rats are leaving the ship! by Ivan+Raikov · · Score: 2, Offtopic

    Here's to hoping that the ship is about to sink...

    1. Re:The rats are leaving the ship! by Virus1984 · · Score: 1

      It may not seem so, but the parent post is quite insightful. Ballmer knows exactly what MS is working on, maybe this move means that Microsoft is going to make some übermistake (if it hasn't already done).
      Athens PC maybe ?

      --
      Don't forget to think different.
    2. Re:The rats are leaving the ship! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right, and they are all swimming for the isle of linux, which is unfortunately not capable of sustaining life for more than the uber geek rats.

  6. Yeah, I just sold my stake in Microsoft... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    ...and bought RedHat. Here's to the future baby!

    1. Re:Yeah, I just sold my stake in Microsoft... by rjamestaylor · · Score: 1
      • Yeah, I just sold my stake in Microsoft...
        ..and bought RedHat. Here's to the future baby!
      Should have done that a year ago.
      --
      -- @rjamestaylor on Ello
  7. What he should do... by The-Bus · · Score: 1, Funny

    ...is sell those damn Seahawks .

    --

    Small potatoes make the steak look bigger.

    1. Re:What he should do... by blastedtokyo · · Score: 4, Informative

      No....the seahawks are owned by paul allen

    2. Re:What he should do... by Martin+Blank · · Score: 3, Funny

      Does that make selling them illegal?

      Maybe I should pull the Yankees off the market then...

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
  8. The question would be... by Mechwarrior · · Score: 1, Interesting

    To whom has he sold this stock?
    Is this a step towards some other interest group having a share of microsoft in exchange for a friendlier marketshare in some instances of power, foo example?

    --
    ...and the time will have come. And the name shall be known... The Kylrathi Viper Clan.
    1. Re:The question would be... by dorfsmay · · Score: 4, Funny

      To whom has he sold this stock?

      He probably doesn't know. His stock broker probably sold the stock to some other stock brokers. My guess is that they did that in a crowded place with a lot of people screaming, all buying or selling some stock too. Those places are called stock exchange, and they are a big part of any modern economy.

      Is this a step towards some other interest group having a share of microsoft in exchange...

      Typically one sell stock in exchange for cash. Typically one would either re-invest that cash in some other stock (this is called spreading the risk, or my like my grandmother used to say don't put all your eggs in the same basket), or maybe he spent the cash like on a new house (well a few houses !), a private jet, or whatever he felt like at the moment.

    2. Re:The question would be... by anthony_dipierro · · Score: 1

      Is this a step towards some other interest group having a share of microsoft in exchange for a friendlier marketshare in some instances of power, foo example?

      Sure, but be forewarned that power corrupts.

      If everyone on Slashdot would just buy 20,000 shares of Microsoft...

    3. Re:The question would be... by rnd() · · Score: 5, Informative

      Interest group?

      Ballmer wanted to sell his stock. He would not have been able to sell it unless there existed a buyer. He most likely sold the shares through a brokerage, which would have done the following:

      1) Filled any orders from its own customers that could be filled against Ballmer's order. The price charged to those customers would likely be a little bit higher than the price Ballmer wanted to sell it for, since there is typically a difference (called buy/sell spread) in the price to buy vs sell a share of the same stock. The brokerage would have likely determined the buy price for its customers based on the best price available anywhere in the market (this is typically a part of the agreement between a brokerage and its customers). The difference in price becomes brokerage profit.

      2) Assuming that once all of the Brokerage's customers' orders had been filled there were still some of Ballmer's shares left over, the Brokerage might buy some of the shares itself (they are cheaper than market price, because of the avoidance of the buy/sell spread).

      3) If there are any shares left, the brokerage would likely attempt to fill any orders submitted to the electronic trading system (a computerized system that matches buyers and sellers). Again, doing this allows the Brokerage to keep the spread.

      4) The remaining shares would be sold to one or more market making firms. Market making firms (or "Market Makers") are in the business of owning positions in a variety of stocks and profit based on the buy/sell spread when shares are bought and sold. Incidentally, competetive forces between market makers keep the buy/sell spread small, since most brokerages will typically do business with the market maker offering the best price.

      I've just described what would happen if Ballmer decided to sell a relatively small chunk of stock (small enough that some people might talk about it a bit, and it might even appear on Slashdot, but not large enough to cause a major market movement). Suppose Ballmer wanted to sell ALL of his Microsoft shares...

      If Ballmer wanted to sell all of his shares, he might expect to be able to sell them for $22 per share (for example). Suppose the market realized that this was happening. Prices would likely fall as people considered the impact of a large sell off. Opportunistic investors would quickly sell their own shares, expecting the price to fall further, and would plan to buy the shares back later once the price had fallen (there are also a variety of speculative financial instruments that would simplify executing this kind of strategy). Ballmer would now be unable to liquidate his shares for a reasonable price, because once the market knows that he is determined to sell, he'll have lots of competition.

      Obviously, this would never happen, because it would greatly diminish the benefit of Ballmer's decision to sell, and would dissuade him from making the decision.

      To accomodate this situation, Ballmer's broker would attempt to arrange the transaction behind the scenes, without the use of all of the machinery described above. This would likely take the form of a few phone calls to the large trades desk at other brokerages. "Psst. If you have a client interested in a large trade of MSFT, I might be able to help". The advantage is to be secretive so as to avoid giving away information that would tip off the market, while still finding someone to sell the shares to.

      The eventual price of the shares would probably fall significantly below the market price of the stock. Why? To put it simply, liquidity costs money. It is still cheaper to use this approach than to try to sell a massive number of shares on the open market.

      So, Ballmer may have made a life changing decision to sell all of his shares, or he may just want to diversify a bit, but his best move is always to sell it in small chunks in order to get the best price possible for the shares. As you can see, liquidity costs money.

      --

      Amazing magic tricks

    4. Re:The question would be... by rnd() · · Score: 4, Informative

      He most likely sold the shares through a brokerage, which would have done the following:

      1) Filled any orders from its own customers that could be filled against Ballmer's order. The price charged to those customers would likely be a little bit higher than the price Ballmer wanted to sell it for, since there is typically a difference (called buy/sell spread) in the price to buy vs sell a share of the same stock. The brokerage would have likely determined the buy price for its customers based on the best price available anywhere in the market (this is typically a part of the agreement between a brokerage and its customers). The difference in price becomes brokerage profit.

      2) Assuming that once all of the Brokerage's customers' orders had been filled there were still some of Ballmer's shares left over, the Brokerage might buy some of the shares itself (they are cheaper than market price, because of the avoidance of the buy/sell spread).

      3) If there are any shares left, the brokerage would likely attempt to fill any orders submitted to the electronic trading system (a computerized system that matches buyers and sellers). Again, doing this allows the Brokerage to keep the spread.

      4) The remaining shares would be sold to one or more market making firms. Market making firms (or "Market Makers") are in the business of owning positions in a variety of stocks and profit based on the buy/sell spread when shares are bought and sold. Incidentally, competetive forces between market makers keep the buy/sell spread small, since most brokerages will typically do business with the market maker offering the best price.

      I've just described what would happen if Ballmer decided to sell a relatively small chunk of stock (small enough that some people might talk about it a bit, and it might even appear on Slashdot, but not large enough to cause a major market movement). Suppose Ballmer wanted to sell ALL of his Microsoft shares...

      If Ballmer wanted to sell all of his shares, he might expect to be able to sell them for $22 per share (for example). Suppose the market realized that this was happening. Prices would likely fall as people considered the impact of a large sell off. Opportunistic investors would quickly sell their own shares, expecting the price to fall further, and would plan to buy the shares back later once the price had fallen (there are also a variety of speculative financial instruments that would simplify executing this kind of strategy). Ballmer would now be unable to liquidate his shares for a reasonable price, because once the market knows that he is determined to sell, he'll have lots of competition.

      Obviously, this would never happen, because it would greatly diminish the benefit of Ballmer's decision to sell, and would dissuade him from making the decision.

      To accomodate this situation, Ballmer's broker would attempt to arrange the transaction behind the scenes, without the use of all of the machinery described above. This would likely take the form of a few phone calls to the large trades desk at other brokerages. "Psst. If you have a client interested in a large trade of MSFT, I might be able to help". The advantage is to be secretive so as to avoid giving away information that would tip off the market, while still finding someone to sell the shares to.

      The eventual price of the shares would probably fall significantly below the market price of the stock. Why? To put it simply, liquidity costs money. It is still cheaper to use this approach than to try to sell a massive number of shares on the open market.

      So, Ballmer may have made a life changing decision to sell all of his shares, or he may just want to diversify a bit, but his best move is always to sell it in small chunks in order to get the best price possible for the shares. As you can see, liquidity costs money.

      --

      Amazing magic tricks

    5. Re:The question would be... by fred911 · · Score: 1

      MSFT is traded on NASDAQ. It was sold to the highest bidder at the time of the sale. Could have been another market maker or a retail buyer. Point is the market is where it was sold and NAS
      has no central location. No screaming.. just the movement of L2 quotes.

      --
      09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B - D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0 45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    6. Re:The question would be... by Anonymous+Brave+Guy · · Score: 3, Insightful
      To whom has he sold this stock?

      Indirectly, probably your pension firm, your building society, the bank holding your variable interest rate savings account...

      --
      If you disagree, post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like.
    7. Re:The question would be... by Micah · · Score: 1

      Wait, I don't think brokerages make their money on the spread. They make money on COMMISSION.

    8. Re:The question would be... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Ballmer would not be able to sell all his stock at once even if he wanted to. Because he is a control person in the company of MicroSoft he is subject to SEC regulations. He has to file 144 paperwork. Rule 144 states that no shareholder with a 10% or greater holding can sell their shares at one time. Any officer or control person no matter how many shares they own must notify the exchange before they can sell their shares. This is because they have information that is not available to the public.


      As far as how brokerages make money with selling large block trades this is typically done with a syndicate and a brokers broker. These shares are typically sold only in a regulation D offering otherwise known as a private placement. To fall under reg d these shares would be restricted and still under the regulation of 144. Essentially everything said in the above post could not happen.

    9. Re:The question would be... by rnd() · · Score: 1

      You're right, their primary source of revenue comes from comissions, but in an event like the one I described, they would benifit even though it's not their primary business model.

      --

      Amazing magic tricks

    10. Re:The question would be... by rnd() · · Score: 1

      I didn't know about rule 144... my point, however, was that even if he wanted to and could, Ballmer would be likely worse off selling all of the shares at once than selling them a few at a time.

      --

      Amazing magic tricks

    11. Re:The question would be... by CableModemSniper · · Score: 1

      ha. Slashdotting MSFT's stock. I love it. Now where to find enough cash to buy 20k shares...

      --
      Why not fork?
    12. Re:The question would be... by anthony_dipierro · · Score: 1

      Yeah, exactly... We'd have to start smaller. Say, 4000 shares each of AOL?

      Or just 100 shares each of LNUX. Of course, what use would that be? I guess it puts it into perspective just how insignificant slashdotters really are.

    13. Re:The question would be... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please mod the parent up! I have no points :-(

      Essentially everything that is written in a long +5 post is plain wrong, and not "informative". Ballmer is a so called "insider" of Microsoft in more than one way. As anyone who has been designated an insider knows (I've been there twice), the stock cannot be sold by an insider in a way described in the large post above.

      The author of the parent of this post correctly points out to a so called rule 144 that covers the situation and requires Ballmer to disclose his intent to sell. In fact, the person that started this discussion has probably get his info from the public form 144 Ballmer had to file to sell his stock.

  9. Maybe to pay for treatment? by John3 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Of his ADHD problem?

    More links for the video

    --
    "We make our world significant by the courage of our questions and by the depth of our answers." Carl Sagan
  10. I've got 4 words for ya! by CptChipJew · · Score: 5, Funny

    I !!!
    LOVE !!
    THIS !! ::whoa, the stock is worth that?!::
    SELL !!!
    YEEEAAAAHHHH !!!!

    --
    Vonal Declosion
    1. Re:I've got 4 words for ya! by etrusco · · Score: 1

      I know I'll get -1 OT for this (so I hope there isn't karma below "bad" ;) but the parent post deserves more than this '2' score - and the 'Fun' modifier unless you didn't see Balmer's videos...

    2. Re:I've got 4 words for ya! by stud9920 · · Score: 1

      ca-pi-ta-lize !ca-pi-ta-lize !ca-pi-ta-lize !ca-pi-ta-lize !ca-pi-ta-lize !ca-pi-ta-lize !ca-pi-ta-lize !ca-pi-ta-lize !

  11. This is nothing new by vidarh · · Score: 5, Insightful
    All of the top brass at Microsoft regularly sell off parts of their shares. Gates has been doing it for years, at a relatively regular pace.

    The thing is, most of the upper management of Microsoft that have been with the company from early on have most of their wealth in Microsoft shares. The problem is that they have to sell it off slowly or they wouldn't manage to get a decent price for it.

    1. Re:This is nothing new by capt.Hij · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Exactly! Why is this news? The whole point of giving stock options is for the company to compensate their people without paying for it directly. Folks like Balmer have to sell some time, and there is no reason why he should wait until he dies.

      Also, there is an old saying when it comes to exec's selling and buying shares. There is only one reason to buy but a multitude of reasons to sell. Perhaps he justs wants some extra pocket money?

    2. Re:This is nothing new by TopShelf · · Score: 1

      Plus, considering the stock's performance over the last several months, can you blame him for wanting to diversify???

      --
      Stop by my site where I write about ERP systems & more
    3. Re:This is nothing new by DASHSL0T · · Score: 1

      While it certain is common practice to sell-off or diversify ones assets, it is *not* common for it to be done on such a large scale in such a short period of time. -- Take the SCO Poll: http://linux-universe.com

      --
      Freedom Is Universal
      Linux-Universe
    4. Re:This is nothing new by Luminous+Coward · · Score: 1
      All of the top brass at Microsoft regularly sell off parts of their shares. Gates has been doing it for years, at a relatively regular pace.
      Indeed.

      For instance, Gates sold around 18 million shares 4 weeks ago (between April 22 and April 29) at an average price of $25.60 per share. Half a billion dollars in the piggy bank...

    5. Re:This is nothing new by Daniel+Phillips · · Score: 5, Interesting

      All of the top brass at Microsoft regularly sell off parts of their shares. Gates has been doing it for years, at a relatively regular pace.

      The thing is, most of the upper management of Microsoft that have been with the company from early on have most of their wealth in Microsoft shares. The problem is that they have to sell it off slowly or they wouldn't manage to get a decent price for it.


      What's interesting about this particular sale is the timing of it (never mind that it's one of the largest insider stock sales ever). With MS stock price so low and the MS/SCO suit going so well, you'd think he'd see it as a good time to buy.

      Diversifying is one thing, selling at a stupidly low price is quite another. So naturally enough, we're all wondering what Steve knows that we don't.

      --
      Have you got your LWN subscription yet?
    6. Re:This is nothing new by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Why it's news: The share sales amount to one of the biggest one-off disposals ever made by a chief executive and While Mr Ballmer is not thought to have made any share sales for some years, he has made a number of donations of his personal stock.

      RTFA.

    7. Re:This is nothing new by xswl0931 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Considering that he has almost 500 million shares and he hasn't sold a single one in 10 years, perhaps, he just wants to diversify? (which any financial minded person will tell you is a Good Thing).

    8. Re:This is nothing new by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Diversifying is one thing, selling at a stupidly low price is quite another. So naturally enough, we're all wondering what Steve knows that we don't."

      What Steve knows is that once you get as rich as he is, you don't have to "know" much anymore... There is NO story here. From a classic tax shelter perspective, he is better off selling however many shares he wants from time to time. Whether Microsoft's future is bright, or dim, or somewhere in between really does not matter much. The longer he accumulates M$ stock, the more he will get penalized ( through capital gains taxes, etc. ) when he decides he HAS to sell.

    9. Re:This is nothing new by tshak · · Score: 3, Informative

      With MS stock price so low

      Your logic would be correct if stock price was the only factor determining a stocks worth. Stock splits alone change the price of the stock, but not the value to a particular shareholder. What used to be a $50 for Ballmer is now twice as many shares for ~$25. It's essentially the same value. Considering his volume this is a great time to sell.

      --

      There is no longer anything that can be done with computers that is nontrivial and clearly legal. -- Paul Phillips
    10. Re:This is nothing new by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      All of the top brass at Microsoft regularly sell off parts of their shares. Gates has been doing it for years, at a relatively regular pace.

      The thing is, most of the upper management of Microsoft that have been with the company from early on have most of their wealth in Microsoft shares. The problem is that they have to sell it off slowly or they wouldn't manage to get a decent price for it.


      If they though MSFT had a chance to continue to grow exponentially faster than the economy, as it did from 1980 to 2000, they would hold on. They are the insiders, they know the company best. They are telling you that cash is a better asset than MSFT. If you do not believe them in that, why would you believe them when they tell you that their products are better than open source?
    11. Re:This is nothing new by eshefer · · Score: 2, Interesting

      his is very big news. Perticularly if you follow the history of the PC buisness and MS. BAck in the end of the 80s balmer made a hugh personal gamble - he basicly mortgaged his house and took every lown he could get to buy as many MS shares as he could. HE BELIEVED IN THE COMPANY.

      Now he is selling 10%?!

      which means....

    12. Re:This is nothing new by g4dget · · Score: 1

      If Gates and Ballmer were 100% convinced that Microsoft's stock would continue to go up in the long run, they wouldn't diversify if they were rational.

      Furthermore, if Microsoft share prices were to collapse when there are large sales, that would mean that the amount that the shares drop by doesn't actually represent valuable assets.

      So, basically, the analysis of Gates and Ballmer's shares tells us: (1) much of Microsoft's stock price is hype and does not represent actual value, and (2) they are uncertain about the future of Microsoft.

      Of course, the first point we already knew. The second point is interesting because it seems to be dawning on Microsoft executives that the goose that laid the golden eggs is about to be fried.

    13. Re:This is nothing new by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All of the top brass at Microsoft regularly sell off parts of their shares. Gates has been doing it for years, at a relatively regular pace.

      Yes, they have. The reason is to desensitize people to this behavior. "Ah, I see they're still selling as before. I'll stop thinking about it." Eventually they plan for people to ignore it completely.

      A complacent market helps prepare for a contingency plan, such that their exit strategy (if it comes to that) is less costly to them. If they every have to make the big sale, they'll probably be able to sell of several million shares before people notice that something unusualy is actually happening.

      An accounting scandal at Microsoft might be something to start the big sale . Of course, they have to sell before it becomes public.

    14. Re:This is nothing new by rnd() · · Score: 2, Insightful

      which means he is a risk taker. He must not consider Microsoft likely to have the same kind of meteoric growth that it did. That's fine, Microsoft is a mature company now, and is not in the same situation. Ballmer would probably rather have his money invested in a few higher risk enterprises. If he does this successfully, he can buy back three times as many MSFT shares as he just sold with the proceeds.

      --

      Amazing magic tricks

    15. Re:This is nothing new by rnd() · · Score: 1

      That is simply not a logical sequence of thought.

      It only tells us that Gates and Ballmer are not 100% convinced that MSFT will outperform EVERY OTHER INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY AVAILABLE TO THEM.

      --

      Amazing magic tricks

    16. Re:This is nothing new by vidarh · · Score: 1
      NO company can continue to grow exponentially. If they held on to everything they would demonstrate that they had no business skills and shouldn't be managing a company the size of Microsoft in the first place.

      They are diversifying, which is what ANYONE should do with their investments. And no, they are not telling you that cash is a better asset than MSFT - they are telling you that having 90%+ of your wealth tied up in shares you can't easily sell (because SEC regulations force them to disclose sales because of the size of their holdings and their positions in the management of the company) is highly risky.

      If Gates or Ballmer wanted to jump into a venture tomorrow that had the potential of growing to ten times the size of Microsoft but required 30-40 billion USD of investment from them, they couldn't do it, even though Gates on paper is worth considerably more than that, because he wouldn't be able to unload his Microsoft shares without crippling the Microsoft share price.

      If this was something extraordinary, if Ballmer had never sold Microsoft shares before, or didn't do it on a regular basis, THEN it would be worth taking note of. But these people have been selling Microsoft shares like clockwork for years.

    17. Re:This is nothing new by g4dget · · Score: 1

      It only tells us that Gates and Ballmer are not 100% convinced that MSFT will outperform EVERY OTHER INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY AVAILABLE TO THEM.

      Yes, that's what I was saying and that's exactly what it tells us. So, what's your point?

    18. Re:This is nothing new by vidarh · · Score: 1
      Learn some basic economics. If a senior executive of a company unloads a large amount of shares, the value WILL collapse regardless of underlying values because it creates fear of whether or not the executive knows something the market doesn't.

      As for your assertion that they wouldn't diversify, that's bullshit. First of all, you are assuming that their only goal is growing wealth. If that was the case, AND as someone else said they were sure not only that Microsoft stock keep going up, but would outperform every single other investment opportunity available to them, then it would be rational for them not to diversify.

      However, if they were sure of that, then they would be incompetent idiots, and shouldn't be running any company - there is always risk. Microsoft HQ could get bombed by a lunatic tomorrow, or Gates could die in a car crash, or any number of other blows to the company could devastate it's share price. There is ALWAYS risk, and not diversifying means you risk losing everything, whereas diversifying means that you are sacrificing some growth for safety.

      Another important fact to consider is that high profile Microsoft execs like Ballmer and Gates can't simply sell on a whim. Due to their position, any significant sales requires SEC filings, and there are even restrictions as to WHEN they an sell. Which means that not diversifying severely limits their access to cash.

      In your arguments you assume that their only target is growth. But what's the point of growth if they will be unable to spend any of the money?

    19. Re:This is nothing new by rnd() · · Score: 1

      No, you went on to talk about hype, etc. There need not be any hype for it to be rational that Gates and Ballmer diversify.

      --

      Amazing magic tricks

    20. Re:This is nothing new by g4dget · · Score: 1

      No, you went on to talk about hype, etc. There need not be any hype for it to be rational that Gates and Ballmer diversify.

      I was responding to two completely different points: (1) that it's good to diversify, and (2) that selling a large chunk of stocks would cause a drop in their price.

      Indeed, just because a stock is overvalued doesn't mean it is necessarily rational to sell it. And I didn't claim that.

    21. Re:This is nothing new by Daniel+Phillips · · Score: 1

      "With MS stock price so low"

      Your logic would be correct if stock price was the only factor determining a stocks worth. Stock splits alone change the price of the stock, but not the value to a particular shareholder. What used to be a $50 for Ballmer is now twice as many shares for ~$25. It's essentially the same value. Considering his volume this is a great time to sell.

      Hooboy, you have not looked at a chart of MSFT recently, have you? With your street smarts and that cunning grasp of higher mathematics, you'll go far, grasshopper.

      Note that Steve does agree with you: now is a fine time to sell MSFT.

      --
      Have you got your LWN subscription yet?
    22. Re:This is nothing new by Daniel+Phillips · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Exactly! Why is this news?

      Do you know what happens when a ship starts to sink? The rats start to jump off, that way they don't get sucked down with it. (Rats are excellent swimmers.)

      So you see, the news is really about the rats. It's news because of the size of the rats, how high they're jumping, and which ship they're jumping off of.

      --
      Have you got your LWN subscription yet?
    23. Re:This is nothing new by bhsx · · Score: 1

      That's interesting, and it's the first thing I thought of. But wouldn't that make it illegal? Isn't that what the insider trading laws are supposed to prevent? Ballmer selling 10% of his shares only to buy it back next time it splits because he has prior knowledge of the split would be highly illegal and rather dubious. With a side benefit being (possibly) lowering the $50 value prior to the split due to "flooding," which is bad for the other stockholders and potentially makes Ballmer even more money.

      --
      put the what in the where?
    24. Re:This is nothing new by angle_slam · · Score: 1

      You obviously have no idea what a stock split is. First of all, the split happened a while ago. Second of all, a stock split does absolutely nothing to the intrinsic value of the stock. What was once 100 shares at $50/share is now 200 shares at $25/share. The price does not get lowered, and the market isn't flooded. Learn something about the stock market before you post.

    25. Re:This is nothing new by rnd() · · Score: 1

      my mistake then... cheers!

      --

      Amazing magic tricks

    26. Re:This is nothing new by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong. ANY finianical advisor will tell you that diversity is a critical part of financial security -- and to have all your eggs int he stock market - let alone one stock -- is stupid.

      Maybe someday you bozos will make some money and begin to understand this. Until then cork it.

    27. Re:This is nothing new by rnd() · · Score: 1

      Not sure if you replied to me or not,... but I think you misunderstood my comment. I was saying that OF COURSE Gates and Ballmer would sell some stock, because it would be silly to believe that Microsoft represented the best possible investment. In other words, it's a good idea to diversify.

      --

      Amazing magic tricks

  12. This would be a good time to buy MS stock by bigsexyjoe · · Score: 5, Insightful
    He increased supply and this will worry people and cause them to sell too.

    Like it or not, Microsoft is doing fine. They have good profits for the forseeable future. His claim that he just wants to diversify is completely plausible. I'm sure his portfolio is disproportionatelyMicrosoft.

    1. Re:This would be a good time to buy MS stock by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Translation:

      "Please people, hold on to your shares so I will have time to sell mine! The widget has a high percentage of success quotiant, and therefore you should hold on to them! "

    2. Re:This would be a good time to buy MS stock by jkabbe · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Of course Ballmer wants to diversify. Microsoft stock isn't going anywhere fast (down or up). They are a large company that won't be doubling their revenue any time soon. Why have all your wealth in a stock that isn't likely to go up very much? Of course he can't say that so he says "diversify my portfolio"

    3. Re:This would be a good time to buy MS stock by RoLi · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Like it or not, Microsoft is doing fine. They have good profits for the forseeable future.

      Like it or not, Microsoft is overpriced. If I would take Microsoft's market capitalization (259 billion $) and put the money into low risk investments at 5% interest, I would make 259 * 0.05 = 12.95 billion in profits per year.

      Microsoft makes only about 10 billion in profits, so it's severly overpriced, especially considering the fact that stocks are very risky.

      Microsoft has just recently raised licensing costs (through Licensing 6.0) but does on the other hand give huge discounts to all major customers if they may go to Linux. I'd say that in the future there is not much room anymore to bleed their customers.

    4. Re:This would be a good time to buy MS stock by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Like it or not, M$ isn't doing as well as they let on, and their future is uncertain, too. It seems they've constructed a pyramid-type arcitecture that has just reached the unsustainable part of the cycle. They've got options, but some analysts say their best options are not software-related.

      Check this out:
      http://www.portlandtribune.com/archview.cgi? id=972 6
      and this:
      http://www.billparish.com/20030420barronsop ed.html

    5. Re:This would be a good time to buy MS stock by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Personally, I think all the licensing bullshit is the single largest reason why M$'s sales haven't continued to grow, hence why its stock value has remained flat after the past two splits. In all its history prior to these two most-recent splits (IOW before the dot-bomb bubble), each split was closely followed by a quick rise back to about what it was valued at prior to the split, and has shown particular spikes following the release of each new Windows version.

      Note that up to that point, M$ didn't engage in any worse licensing crap than most companies. XP's activation function was the first crackdown that everyone noticed. And guess what, M$ saw no stock value rise after XP was released.

      All this is why I've said many times that M$'s own draconian licensing policies HURT my stock value (I own some M$ stock, thus feel a right to bitch).

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    6. Re:This would be a good time to buy MS stock by Reziac · · Score: 1

      And I don't care how much faith you have in your own company, or how good it's doing -- no one in their right mind puts all their eggs in one basket. Especially a basket as fickle as the stock market.

      Second, stock itself has no useful value; ie. you can't do anything with that money. When you sell it, you get cash with which to do other things. (D'oh!!)

      As to selling while it's at a low, there can be lots of reasons for that. Frex, maybe it was better from a tax standpoint, or maybe a growth opportunity came up that had a short window. (Frex, if PG ever splits again, anyone interested will have about 2 days to find some cash and buy stock at the split price, cuz it'll go back up like a rocket.)

      BTW, see my reply below for my take on M$'s flat value over the past couple years (I've had M$ stock for several years, so have been following it).

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    7. Re:This would be a good time to buy MS stock by GnarlyNome · · Score: 1

      You know where to get 5% and it's low risk pant pant tell me tell me

      --
      Diplomacy is the art of saying "Nice doggie" until you can find a rock. Will Rogers
    8. Re:This would be a good time to buy MS stock by Beliskner · · Score: 1
      Of course Ballmer wants to diversify. Microsoft stock isn't going anywhere fast (down or up). They are a large company that won't be doubling their revenue any time soon
      Yup, other stocks are far more likely to go up, especially if the economy turns upwards it's a wise move. Investing that money into a wide collection of small companies would give a much better return than leaving it in Micro$oft.

      Perhaps we should look more closely at why people like Balmer are willing to fund bubbles by investing huge amounts of money into "growth" sectors and then pull their money out fast when the companies stabilise like Micro$oft and Redhat.

      --
      A caveman dreams of being us, the incalculable power and riches. We dream of being Q, then what?
    9. Re:This would be a good time to buy MS stock by g4dget · · Score: 1

      20 year treasury bills are at 4.6% and Aaa corporate bonds at 5.33%. 30 year fixed mortgages are 5.05% today, so just paying off your mortgage may give you that kind of return.

      federal reserve

    10. Re:This would be a good time to buy MS stock by Blondie-Wan · · Score: 1
      This would be a good time to buy MS stock

      But that would put many of us in the difficult position of having a stake in the financial well-being of Microsoft, a company we'd like to see wither and die. There's no shortage of ways to make money, if one's willing to abandon one's principles.

    11. Re:This would be a good time to buy MS stock by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      20 year treasury bills are hardly low risk. The bond market is a huge bubble right now. Almost as big as the tech stock bubble of 3 years ago.

      Of course none of that matters if you hold to maturity. But then there are opportunity costs.

    12. Re:This would be a good time to buy MS stock by pardonne · · Score: 1

      As the amount of capital increases it becomes very
      difficult to get a good interest rate on it. I doubt
      you can get anything close to 5% in "low risk"
      investments to 259 billion.

      Depending on how "low risk" we are talking here,
      5% may be a very good rate for any amount.

      Pardonne

    13. Re:This would be a good time to buy MS stock by ces · · Score: 1

      20 year treasury bills are hardly low risk.

      How the hell are T-bills not "low risk"? If the US Treasury defaults on its debt there will be far bigger things to worry about than your investment portfolio.

      --
      Happy Fun Ball is for external use only.
  13. No Conspiracy Here by moehoward · · Score: 5, Flamebait

    Geez. The guy is just diversifying his portfolio. He is the least diverse of all the software billionaires or Buffett.

    Unfricking believable that this is actually a slashdot story.

    I mean, come one. Isn't it amazing enough that he mades $12 billion or whatever on MSFT? Now, the implication of this being on slashdot is that this smells of some sort of bad omen for MS. It's a little late for that given that HE HAS $12 BILLION WORTH OF STOCK!!! (insert Sam Kinison "oh! oh! OooooH!" here)

    --
    "If you want to improve, be content to be thought foolish and stupid." - Epictetus
    1. Re:No Conspiracy Here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfricking believable that this is actually a slashdot story.

      You must be new around here.

      But seriously, this is going to be news whether it means anything or not. We might as well read the comments here and know right away that it's nothing special.

    2. Re:No Conspiracy Here by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 1
      Unfricking believable that this is actually a slashdot story.

      Why? It's a story in the Financial Times, I'd say it warrants interest. Especially considering the timing.

    3. Re:No Conspiracy Here by moehoward · · Score: 1

      It warrants interest by the Financial Times. Not slashdot. Unless, of course, the implicit motives are not simply journalism or "geek interest". This is editorial flaming. Nothing more. Perhaps the slashdot editors can trot out the Ballmer monkey video again. That sells around here!

      --
      "If you want to improve, be content to be thought foolish and stupid." - Epictetus
    4. Re:No Conspiracy Here by timeOday · · Score: 1

      Nobody ever said it was a conspiracy. Ballmer just thinks he's better served by investing in something other than Microsoft. It's just interesting to see what he thinks of the company's prospects.

    5. Re:No Conspiracy Here by Kaiwen · · Score: 1
      The guy is just diversifying his portfolio.

      OK, now I'm no financial genius, but isn't the purpose of diversification to reduce risk? If Ballmer is selling his MS stock simply in order to buy other stock, is this not tantemount to admitting that a) there are better investments than MS, or b) there are less risky investments, or both? Lee Kaiwen Taiwan, ROC

    6. Re:No Conspiracy Here by moehoward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      No. That is not the case. Diversification is a well regarded investment strategy regardless of how much of a sure thing something is. (disclaimer: I'm in no way implying that MSFT is a sure thing in any way, shape, or form).

      It's the whole "don't put all your eggs in one basket" theory.

      There is risk in everything. Even as a CEO, President, and director, you can only manage the risk, not completely avoid it.

      His financial planner probably just got him to come to his senses in terms of his portfolio and his future. My guess is that we will see a new MS CEO in the next couple of years. Why? Just because that is what good companies do.

      --
      "If you want to improve, be content to be thought foolish and stupid." - Epictetus
    7. Re:No Conspiracy Here by wirde · · Score: 2, Informative
      OK, now I'm no financial genius, but isn't the purpose of diversification to reduce risk? If Ballmer is selling his MS stock simply in order to buy other stock, is this not tantemount to admitting that a) there are better investments than MS, or b) there are less risky investments, or both?

      Not really. You can reduce risk by buying several different stocks carrying the same risk.

      "Even a little diversification can provide a substantial reduction in variability. Suppose you calculate and compare the standard deviations of randomly chosen one-stock portfolios, two-stock portfolios, five-stock portfolios, etc. You can see from Figure 7-6 that diversification can cut the variability of returns about in half. But you can get most of this benefit with relatively few stocks: The improvement is slight when the number of securities is increased beyond, say 20 or 30."
      ["Principles of Corporate Finance", Brealey, Myers]

      --
      in GNUin GNUin GNUin GNUin GNUin GNUin GNUin GNUSegmentation fault
    8. Re:No Conspiracy Here by tchdab1 · · Score: 1

      >>I mean, come one. Isn't it amazing enough that he mades $12 billion or whatever on MSFT?

      I'm not impressed that his tactics resulted in this amount of loot - certainly no admiration from me. Is it the amount of money you respect or envy, or is it the ability to disregard everything to get it? Why is wealth respected over more important things? Why are you about to respond "there are no more important things"?
      Of course, as is stated elsewhere here, the pertinent issue is why is he selling now, why so much.

      Let's all figure this out together.

    9. Re:No Conspiracy Here by grimani · · Score: 1

      No, Buffet is the least diverse. He has repeatedly stated that until he dies, he will keep 99.9% of his wealth invested in his company, Berkshire Hathaway.

      In fact, I think he still drives an old beat up car and lives in the same tiny house he bought in the 1950's.

    10. Re:No Conspiracy Here by moehoward · · Score: 1

      No. His company is a MUTUAL FUND, which is VERY diverse. He's probably the most diverse of all those I listed (Buffett, Gates, Allen, Ellison, Jobs, Ballmer...)

      --
      "If you want to improve, be content to be thought foolish and stupid." - Epictetus
    11. Re:No Conspiracy Here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      NO, Berkshire-Hathaway (as opposed to Buffett personally) is a holding company. It owns some other companies (Geico, Pampered Chef) outright, and has significant holdings in other large companies (Coca Cola, Gilette, Washington Post) and it makes an obscene amount of money from the re-insurance business. Buffett personally has over 99% of his net worth in B-H; that's not what I would call a diversified portfolio. It doesn't seem to bother him much as he uses honest numbers, knows how well each component is performing, and has no need or interest in selling.
      Anyone interested in Buffett's methods would do well to read Benjamin Graham, starting with "Security Analysis"

    12. Re:No Conspiracy Here by Kaiwen · · Score: 1
      You can reduce risk by buying several different stocks carrying the same risk.

      "Even a little diversification can provide a substantial reduction in variability.

      Hmm... Maybe the problem is my poor grasp of investment vocabulary, but this sounds pretty much like what I meant to say: diversifying one's portfolio minimizes the risk of wild, unpredictable swings in the portfolio's value (is that what "variability" means?). Not that MS stock is riskier than any other single stock, but that averaging risk across a portfolio of stocks is less risky than tossing all one's eggs into the Microsoft basket.

      Doesn't that work out to about the same thing? While Ballmer may not be admitting that MS is not a sure thing when compared to any other single stock (as my original comments suggested), still, it would seem to suggest a lack of confidence in MS performance vs. the average of a diversified portfolio. Even put this way, it still seems to me in stark contrast to the prevailing attitude toward MS stocks say ten years ago.

      But again, I am no financial guru, and admit to having little grasp of the subtleties of investment strategies.

      Lee Kaiwen,
      Taiwan, ROC

    13. Re:No Conspiracy Here by wirde · · Score: 1
      The thing is, having a well balanced portfolio is less risky than having any single stock.

      Ballmer owning only Microsoft stock sends a strong message about his trust in the company, but it is not sane really... The CEO of a company is usually expected to have a large investment in his company, and Ballmer still has $10bn invested in M$.

      Another thing should be remembered about risk and returns. Stocks carrying low risks also have a lower potential of providing great returns. A well balanced portfolio contains high-risk stocks as well as low-risk ones --> lower risk than a single stock while still having the potential of providing great returns.

      --
      in GNUin GNUin GNUin GNUin GNUin GNUin GNUin GNUSegmentation fault
  14. long term mandatory growth problems by MarkWatson · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Earlier this year, a fairly high ranked Microsoft executive told me the Microsoft must grow at a fast pace to keep stock options valuable. I think the phrase he used was "grow another Disney each year".

    It seems odd to me that a company that has so much cash and such high profit margins requires mandatory fast growth, but then I am a humble programmer, not a financial guy :-)

    The whole idea goes against my basic philosophy of "take what you need and leave some for others". Not to go off on a huge tangent, but in the western world, greed seems to far outweigh issues like building an enjoyable and productive career. As Josepgh Campbell used to say "follow your bliss"...

    That said, Balmer probably has some fun with Microsoft :-)

    -Mark

    1. Re:long term mandatory growth problems by vidarh · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Any publicly listed company has a DUTY to their shareholders to increase the shareholders investments as rapidly as possible. Microsofts' only justification for holding on to all the cash they do, for instance is that they claim to produce better shareholder value by reinvesting the money than by paying dividends.

      But the main reason Microsoft ust keep stock options valuable is that they don't pay very well, and they compensate for that by diluting shares by issuing stock options regularly instead. As long as their share price keeps sky rocketing this is a good deal for everyone involved. However as soon as the share price is flat or falling, Microsoft massive stock options issuing risks causing further share price decline, and the low value of the stock options makes it less attractive for top people to work at Microsoft.

      Their alternative if they can't sustain massive growth is increasing salaries and bonuses, and that will cut dramatically into their profit margins, which certainly will further damage their share price.

      It's an extremely high risk strategy on their account - as long as they can grow, they look extremely good to investors. The moment they can't sustain it their problems will quickly multiply thanks to their dependence on rapid growth.

    2. Re:long term mandatory growth problems by gargle · · Score: 1

      Microsoft shares have a high Price to Earnings ratio. This means that investors are betting on high growth in future earnings, to justify the current price. Hence, "grow another Disney each year" (probably an exaggeration)

    3. Re:long term mandatory growth problems by Planesdragon · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Any publicly listed company has a DUTY to their shareholders to increase the shareholders investments as rapidly as possible.

      (IANAL-RU?)

      CEOs don't have a duty to increase the stock's value as quickly as possible. They just have a fiduciary duty to provide a reasonable ROI. This can take the form of increased stock price or healthy dividends, or even simply preserving the stock price in a downward economy.

      While a CEO needs to be compelled to act in the interest of all stockholders, there is no reason to add qualifiers to that.

    4. Re:long term mandatory growth problems by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 3, Funny
      Their alternative if they can't sustain massive growth is increasing salaries and bonuses, and that will cut dramatically into their profit margins, which certainly will further damage their share price.

      Yeah, if they had to give everyone a huge raise, the profit margins might nosedive below 82%, maybe even below 79% *shudder*. If it ever came to that, they'd be better off just throwing in the towel.

    5. Re:long term mandatory growth problems by weston · · Score: 1

      Any publicly listed company has a DUTY to their shareholders to increase the shareholders investments as rapidly as possible. Microsofts' only justification for holding on to all the cash they do, for instance is that they claim to produce better shareholder value by reinvesting the money than by paying dividends.

      You could also argue this is one of the ridiculous things about the stock market: stock prices are a function of speculation on the value of future stock prices (which will, of course, be based on speculation on the value of future stock prices). Which is why many companies are now more worried about perception than performance. There is no inherent worth in holding non-dividend stocks: only the potential for selling higher. Dividend stocks seem a lot sounder, much less based on mass shared delusions.

      Of course, in a "new economy" those mass shared delusions can make you money awfully quick. Curiously enough, Microsoft seems to know that the speculative rise/ride in their industry may be over... so what do they do? Announce themselves as one of the first with new dividend program... and their top leadership starts to dump stock. They're not a strong growth area anymore.

    6. Re:long term mandatory growth problems by benzapp · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Any publicly listed company has a DUTY to their shareholders to increase the shareholders investments as rapidly as possible.

      This is a common, modern misconception. When you buy stock it is a like a loan. The companies are supposed to pay you a percentage of their profits. These are called dividends.

      If you invest with the express purpose of buying low and selling high you will fail.

      This is of course the problem today. People used to pay higher prices for stocks because it was perceived they would pay big dividends. Now, comapnies (like Microsoft) don't even pay dividends (which is illegal).

      People bid up worthless pieces of paper.

      --
      I don't read or respond to AC posts
    7. Re:long term mandatory growth problems by mindstrm · · Score: 1

      Stock options, the way microsoft uses them, are a viable way to manage things if the company is growing the way ms is/was.

      If the situation changes, the company will change as well.

      It's silly to say "They will be screwed".. that implies they won't make changes to their way of doing things.

      I guarantee microsoft knows more about how their options affect their stock price than any critic on slashdot.

    8. Re:long term mandatory growth problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree, they will not be "screwed" simply because they change the way they need to use stock options. I think that will contribute to thier decline. Bill has said that he will retire when he turns 50 (in 2005), when he left the CEO post the stock dropped. Why? Bill is a very shewed businessman and he's smart enough to keep track of all his ethical breaches. Ballmer is not nearly as smart, and doesn't know how to screw people as well as Bill. I predict that Microsoft will half again after Bill leaves the company and that Microsoft's monopoly will fade soon after as well.
      Smarter competition, a legal ruling that they are a monopoly (and the consequences of that), exiting leadership, open source, employee flight. All of these will contribute to the shrinking of Microsoft. All of these are the cost of doing unethical business. Because of thier ethical breaches (using thier Monopoly power, not thier technical mediocrity and lack of innovation) they are reviled by everyone else in thier industry. They could probably survive and prosper if they took big leaps, but Microsoft has always been a follower (usually of Apple, sometimes of Borland, Lotus, and WordPerfect). Bill sealed thier fate when they screwed DR DOS, they made a decision that they would not compete in an ethical manner, and ultimately it will be thier downfall.

    9. Re:long term mandatory growth problems by Copid · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Thank you! Finally, somebody who understands that the only fundamental value in a stock is in the stream of payments provided by the corporation. Ask most people if they would consider buying a hypothetical stock that never paid dividends, and most people will say that they would, depending on what they thought the price would do. What the hell? Why should the price of ownership in a company ever go up if, as a part owner, you never get to share in the profits??

      I've come to the sad conclusion that people grow out of trading baseball cards and into trading stocks, and they don't bother learning the new rules.

      --
      An interesting anagram of "BANACH TARSKI" is "BANACH TARSKI BANACH TARSKI"
    10. Re:long term mandatory growth problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What you describe as "stream of payments" , or dividends for the rest of us, is only one factor to look at when deciding where to invest. You DO share in the profits--when you sell your stock at a higher price than you paid for it. Given a choice between Company A, which pays annual dividends of 5% and increases in value very slightly and Company B, which pays no dividends but rises in value (hopefully intrinsic, but more practically market value) much faster than Company A, why would you assume that Company A is a better value because it pays regular dividends? Wouldn't you have to do a real net net net analysis to figure out which company would do more for you during the time that you owned it? Think of Company A as GE and company B as BRKA. Now assume you were making your purchase with your retirement funds. Now look at current and 10 year financials for both companies. Any question where you would have been better off putting your money.

    11. Re:long term mandatory growth problems by Copid · · Score: 1
      What you describe as "stream of payments" , or dividends for the rest of us, is only one factor to look at when deciding where to invest. You DO share in the profits--when you sell your stock at a higher price than you paid for it. Given a choice between Company A, which pays annual dividends of 5% and increases in value very slightly and Company B, which pays no dividends but rises in value (hopefully intrinsic, but more practically market value) much faster than Company A, why would you assume that Company A is a better value because it pays regular dividends? Wouldn't you have to do a real net net net analysis to figure out which company would do more for you during the time that you owned it? Think of Company A as GE and company B as BRKA. Now assume you were making your purchase with your retirement funds. Now look at current and 10 year financials for both companies. Any question where you would have been better off putting your money.

      This is exactly the problem. The fundamental value of a company is only in the dividends (or the joy you get out of having part ownership of something). If a company will not pay dividends there is no reason for the price to go up or down. What you're talking about is speculation on the stupidity of others. If the stock rises in value, it should be because it is expected to pay more dividends over the course of its existance.

      I'm not talking about where it's wise (or, more accurately, lucky) to put your money. I'm talking about the fact that for the past several years, people have had no clue what they're actually buying stock for. Ask yourself this: at the most fundemental level, what is the value of a stock that pays no dividends. If you say "it may go up in price" you're following the same BS reasoning as if you were "investing" in Beanie Babies. Why would it go up in price? Because somebody else believed it had more value than it did when you bought it. Basically, you're hoping for a sucker to come along and buy something worthless that you bought for more than it's worth.

      There's no way of getting around it. Your statement that selling stock at a higher price than when you bought it is "sharing in the profits" is not entirely accurate. You're sharing in profits that have not yet been made or paid out. You're selling your future (projected) stream of dividends. Ask any economist or analyst to calculate the fundamental value of a stock and they will calculate the present discounted value of of the projected stream of dividends given projected growth, the projected prevailing interest rate, and some risk premium. There's nothing else to the value of the stock. The reason the stock market skyrocketed and then crashed was because people believed (as you seem to) that a stock should go up in value if the company does well whether or not stock holders actually get their hands on any of the profits. It's like going into a partnership buying a small hotel and then not taking any of the profits for yourself--ever. It doesn't matter how well the hotel does. You don't get jack, and nobody in their right mind would buy your ownership stake from you because they won't get jack either.

      The question you have to ask yourself is this: If I hold this stock until the end of time, will I make my money back with interest? If not, the price of the stock is too high. The market is overvaluing the stream of payments. Any speculation on whether it will go up or down in price is not based on fundamental value, but rather on the hope that others will make stupid decisions and drive up the price artificially. Does that sound like a prudent way of saving for retirement? It sounds to me more like buying up troll dolls or some other worthless crap in the belief that they'll become trendy again. Maybe you'll be right, but it's for the wrong reasons, and I'm certainly not going to be impressed with your decision even if you do make out like a bandit.

      Another point to ponder: If you do this calculation the DJIA or the S

      --
      An interesting anagram of "BANACH TARSKI" is "BANACH TARSKI BANACH TARSKI"
    12. Re:long term mandatory growth problems by wurp · · Score: 1

      Yaknow, I put forth this argument on kuro5hin as a set of comments about a stock story, and I was consistently rated with loads of 1s. No one had a response other than that I needed to go learn something about stocks. No other post of mine has had anything vaguely close to as bad a rating as those comments got.

      I put forth my arguments in the form of a question "what value is there?", because I assumed there must be something I was missing. I would like to hear about any education you may have had wrt economics (stocks in particular). What you're saying obviously sounds right to me, but I would love to hear that someone with some formal education in economics is espousing those beliefs (or hear someone with formal education in economics debunk them).

    13. Re:long term mandatory growth problems by Copid · · Score: 1
      I did undergraduate degrees in both economics (focussing on banking and financial markets) and engineering (the computer hardware variety). Not an uncommon combo as engineering and econ are both basically applied math in different disciplines. So, I'm by no means an expert, but I have some grounding that most /.ers don't. You're absolutely correct to say that there is no value other than the dividends eventually paid by the stock.

      Interestingly enough, you and I aren't alone in being misunderstood on this point. My faculty advisor in economics just stopped talking about the stock market during the boom because he would be shouted down by laymen who were sucessful in the stock market and therefore experts. Now is a good time to note that basically everybody was successful at that point. The real question now is, where are all of those people now? This gentleman has taken his Harvard Ph.D. and continued to earn healthy returns by trading bonds and options. Everybody else seems to be in the tank. Everybody is worshipping Warren Buffet again now that he's cashing in--the same people who thought that the guy was a fossil to be value investing during the boom.

      The fact is, people are largely misinformed. It used to be that people bought stocks for the dividends. Growth investors were a rarity. Things were a lot more logical back then. Now that everybody is seeking huge capital gains, it adds all sorts of instability and strangeness to the market. People don't buy based on fundamental value but rather on the expectation that others won't buy based on fundamental value either. This causes massive divergences from the real value of the stock. Eventually, a process known as "mean reversion" kicks in (spurred on by a panic, buyer's remorse, an economic slowdown, whatever) and the bottom drops out, bringing us roughly back to where we should be. We've seen it before and we'll see it again. It's just a lot worse now that a big share of the stock is held by people on eTrade who don't understand what they're buying rather than by the business elite and pension funds (which have an interest in stability and steady dividend payouts) as it was in the earlier half of the century. Think about this: Capital gains do not create wealth. They merely redistribute it. To make money on capital gains, you must sell the stock to somebody. If you buy low, sell high, that means that an equal amount of stock is being bought high and sold low. No new wealth is created. Buying at fundamental prices and trading to balance a portfolio, however, minimzes this effect (I'm talking macroeconomically now--not about individual investors). Companies produce something of value, sell it, and the people who own the company get to keep the proceeds. This is good and natural.

      I'm not a big fan of the President's "stimulus" plan as it's laid out, but I have to say that reducing the tax on dividends might be good. It's certainly not going to have immediate stimulus effects as he claims it will, but it may encourage investors to think more about what is really driving the value of what they buy. I'd almost be in favor of raising the capital gains tax if I weren't worried that it would discourage companies from investing in policies that promote growth. One thing that scares me, however, is that Bush has stated or implied on more than one occasion that he'd like the market to go back up to where it was. Why? What if the stocks weren't worth what they were selling for? What econimc good does inflating the price do for us?

      Anyway, to hear a real expert (Stanley B. Resor Professor of Economics at Yale) talk about it, I highly recommend a book by Robert Schiller: Irrational Exuberance. It was a NY Times bestseller, is highly readable, and is scary as hell. He wrote it in 2000 and accurately predicted almost everything that has happened since, including a discussion on what events might tilt the balance (corporate scandal, war, and terrorist attacks are mentioned). It makes an excellent post mortem read right now. I think it should be mandatory reading for anybody who plans to retire using anything other than a matress full of cash.

      --
      An interesting anagram of "BANACH TARSKI" is "BANACH TARSKI BANACH TARSKI"
  15. Drugs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    He's investing in the drug industry. Think about it:

    a large market of people who have no choice but to buy your product, an army of goons with automatic weapons, the government in your hip-pocket, and all the Latina sex slaves you could want?

    Hmm. Doesn't he already have all that at M$? Perhaps my theory is off.

  16. Bill too by skillet-thief · · Score: 0
    I think Bill G. dropped some fairly big bunches of his own stock recently. It is pretty obvious that these guys are hedging against a crash in MS stock. Then again, who wouldn't do the same thing, since most of their wealth is tied up in MSFT.

    They probably think that the stock is still strong enough so that their dumping of it won't be seen as a sign of rats leaving the ship, which could further accentuate a slump.

    --

    Congratulations! Now we are the Evil Empire

    1. Re:Bill too by SN74S181 · · Score: 1

      Archetypical FUD.

      Spread rumors.

      Incite Fear, based on Uncertainty and Doubt.

      That's what this whole article topic is about, though. It's an anti-Microsoft propaganda piece.

      Just as long as everybody knows that's what it's about. . . so we are honest.

  17. His yearly knee replacement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    The Developer Dance is murder on the body.

  18. Doesnt matter it comes back to him by moankey · · Score: 1

    So he and other Microsoft upper management sells some shares. It doesnt matter, most likely Microsoft the corporation buys it back and over a couple years they will get those shares back from their contracts, bonuses, or whatever golden package those C level execs get.

    He's probably just getting a little spending cash rather than accumulating more stock that he doesnt really need if he already has hundreds of millions of shares.

  19. investment advice by rnd() · · Score: 4, Funny

    He's probably begun reading Slashdot for his investment advice and now believes that .NET will soon fail.

    Of course, Slashdot is riddled with Millionaires.

    --

    Amazing magic tricks

    1. Re:investment advice by SN74S181 · · Score: 1

      Slashdot is riddled with teenagers, who in turn are riddled with acne.

    2. Re:investment advice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Of course, Slashdot is riddled with Millionaires."

      There are more people reading /. than just script kiddies. I know (via real life, not /. comments) of at least three regular posters who have that much. They tend to come here for the comedy value and occasional serious technical discussions rather than business advice though!

    3. Re:investment advice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As the wise Michael Bolton once said, [...] no one would clean shit up if they had a million dollars."

    4. Re:investment advice by ihummel · · Score: 1

      Millionaire teenagers? They exist, although the millions usually belong to daddy or mommy.

  20. Stock option values by John3 · · Score: 4, Interesting
    You're right, stock options are a big part of compensation at M$. I'm sure that their employees are getting impacted by the reduced value of their stock due to the market conditions. Other companies are seeing the same problem, especially compaines like Wal$Mart and Home Despot that rely on stock options to keep low paid store managers and staff happy (or complacent...can you really be happy working at a Big Box store?).


    That being said, I don't think Ballmer falls under the category of "low paid". :-)

    --
    "We make our world significant by the courage of our questions and by the depth of our answers." Carl Sagan
  21. Talking of Great Clips... by SlashMirror.org · · Score: 4, Funny
    1. Re:Talking of Great Clips... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ballmer: "I have four words for you: I don't use deodorant!"

  22. 10% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He sold 10% of his Microsoft holdings, or 10% of Microsoft?

    1. Re:10% by moehoward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      He had close to a half billion shares, and he sold 40 million of them.

      It is a drop in the bucket of total MS shares, which yahoo shows as 9 billion shares (float).

      Again, the entire story should be modded down as flamebait.

      The next slashdot story on MS will be that someone got a bad piece of chicken at the MS employee cafeteria: "MS Attempts to Poison Employees to Avoid Layoffs"

      --
      "If you want to improve, be content to be thought foolish and stupid." - Epictetus
    2. Re:10% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, people have been known to receive scary concoctions there... Eurest (the outsourcer) leaves a LOT to be desired. :-)

  23. China has discovered Microsoft's secrets by ymgve · · Score: 4, Funny

    After getting access to the Windows source code, China has discovered and created exploits/backdors that will threaten any computer running windows. They have already hacked the Pentagon, and have downloaded the whole TIA database.

    Ballmer knows this, and he is selling his stock to get cash enough to buy out a small tropical island, where he can hide while the DOJ and every luser on the planet marches on to Redmond, torches and pitchforks in hand.

    1. Re:China has discovered Microsoft's secrets by TrancePhreak · · Score: 1

      Either you're very creative or you need to stop with the whacky tobaccy.

      --

      -]Phreak Out[-
    2. Re:China has discovered Microsoft's secrets by cdc179 · · Score: 1

      The "whacky tobaccy" makes you creative :)

  24. Balmer = Retire in 10 or 15 years by Saint+Stephen · · Score: 3, Interesting

    At the company meeting last year, Balmer (memory is fuzzy) he's 47, and plans to return in 10 or 15 years (can't remember which) - I think 10. No Monkeyboy -- but he did play a song from his favorite Broadway play, some 70's wierd shit sounded like Hair or Jesus Christ Superstar. Instead of Monkeyboy or the usual miltary analogies, they played a bunch of videos where people talked about how they failed and what they learned from it -- it was a reaction to Enron/Worldcom "ethics"...

    Important thing is Balmer is ten years and out. MS people are getting old -- I think average age is 35 now. Every great story has an ending...

    1. Re:Balmer = Retire in 10 or 15 years by davew2040 · · Score: 1

      Yes, but I'm told that his two sons are even crazier than he is...

  25. I know why. by malabar-fraise · · Score: 5, Funny

    He finaly saw a Gnu/Linux desktop running.

    1. Re:I know why. by Lethal8th · · Score: 0, Troll

      They finally got one working?

    2. Re:I know why. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      at Redmond?

    3. Re:I know why. by SpaceCadetTrav · · Score: 0, Troll

      Then after a quick chuckle to himself, he decided it was safe enough to take out a few million to buy more yachts.

    4. Re:I know why. by antiMStroll · · Score: 3, Funny

      Correct, the MS engineers had a bitch of a time installing Lycoris. One of the high school co-ops finally saved their bacon and did it for them.

  26. This is on the news? by Shanoyu · · Score: 1

    Gosh. A simple rule of thumb would seem to be, "If selling your share of stock makes the news, you probably have too much." At this point he'd probably be a pauper if MSFT were to hit bottom. Of course, MSFT hitting bottom is probably more related to overall economic conditions than what goes on at Microsoft.

    1. Re:This is on the news? by Angry+White+Guy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Microsoft hitting rock bottom is more related to fantasy than anything else. A company with $40 Billion in the bank is essentially isolated from any kind of market failure, unless it's prolonged over five or so years. Microsoft could easily put everyone on vacation for a year, take a marginal stock hit, and then buy everything back. The company will still be there when everyone comes back, and still would be a good investment.

      --
      You think that I'm crazy, you should see this guy!
    2. Re:This is on the news? by Daniel+Phillips · · Score: 1

      A company with $40 Billion in the bank is essentially isolated from any kind of market failure...

      Not necessarily. Remember, that MS could in theory be fined up to a trillion dollars if things go badly for them over the Passport[tm] security flaws. That's, um, 25 times $40 billion.

      --
      Have you got your LWN subscription yet?
    3. Re:This is on the news? by Angry+White+Guy · · Score: 1

      In the immortal words of Dr. Julius Hibbert, "Hillbillies prefer to be called 'Sons of the Soil', but it ain't gonna happen. Heh heh."
      There is no way that M$ is going to have to pay a trillion dollar fine. It would put the company out of business, and that would essentially render government computers useless. How long could you keep an unpatched windows 2k3 server on the net once an exploit has been released and there's no company to fix it?

      --
      You think that I'm crazy, you should see this guy!
    4. Re:This is on the news? by caluml · · Score: 1
      How long could you keep an unpatched windows 2k3 server on the net once an exploit has been released and there's no company to fix it?

      That's a very compelling argument for open source, you've just put forward there.

    5. Re:This is on the news? by Angry+White+Guy · · Score: 1

      Considering the price of converting every computer in the world to open-source, it's an even more compelling reason to not sue Microsoft into non-existance. Easier to keep the status quo than change every computer in the world to Open Source, and probably cheaper too.

      --
      You think that I'm crazy, you should see this guy!
  27. This signifies the begining... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    of the end for Microsoft. All hail Linux! The king is dead! Long live the king!

  28. Software business model crisis by KingRamsis · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Or the start of a strategy to get rid of it all without causing too much upset in one go

    don't we all just wish so here on /. ?

    actually all indications show that the current software business model cannot be sustained during the next decade, there are hardly any valuable commercial software without an equivalent open source nephew even if not so-ready today but it is promising (remember how Linux itself started?).
    IBM, Oracle, and Microsoft are all stretching this business model to the maximum but the end is coming sooner or later, I think in the future the only valuable commodity in the IT business will be services not licensing commercial software or being so desperate and try to force people to license your IP (SCO).
    lets take Microsoft case their revenue is earned mainly from bread & butter Office Suite being challenged by OpenOffice and the desktop which Linux is getting there fast, they are trying to grab a share of the enterprise market by promoting SQL Server 64-bit kicking against market titans like IBM and Oracle, and with .net just barely leaving the vaporware category to face more established Java (btw Java is not perfect but it was simply there first).
    Add global reduction on IT spending to one Microsoft screwing there customers by outrageous license costs and terms and you get yourself a recipe for a loser.
    It seems that "the road ahead" has a road block for Microsoft and they don't know "where do they want to go Tomorrow.

    1. Re:Software business model crisis by rzbx · · Score: 1

      Quite true. The ones resisting the change (because they do believe in their model) are many of the business men, especially the high up ones. An IT industry based on services would prove to be more efficient, cheaper, secure, provide more jobs, and many other reasons. It will take the money out of the pockets of all those rich executives and put it into hard working IT professionals. With open source code being the norm, the quality of code will only improve. With so many IT professionals being able to see the code, the amount of fixes and improvements will increase dramatically.
      Hardware vendors such as Dell, IBM, HP, etc. will provide not only hardware, but a distribution of Linux or BSD or maybe even Windows (if goes open and can be fixed up) or others. With it they could provide support for those who need it or simply point them to a business in their local area that provide support services. How much support does MS provide?
      Also, in the world of services, it isn't about intellectual property, but credibility.

      --
      Question everything.
    2. Re:Software business model crisis by MyHair · · Score: 1

      How much support does MS provide?

      It's been a few years since I called, but it went like this: "The average hold time is ... 58 minutes." (repeats ad-infinitum)

      Okay, okay, thier knowledgebase is fairly cool, but so is usenet.

      I love what you say about the money going to IT professionals; I hope that is true. It should be.

  29. Microsoft .... by craenor · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Sells Steak now? Those guys are taking over everything!

    1. Re:Microsoft .... by suwain_2 · · Score: 1

      No no no... Not steak, but stake. The things you kill vampires with.

      Then again, I didn't know Microsoft made those either...

      --
      ________________________________________________
      suwain_2 :: quality slashdot p
    2. Re:Microsoft .... by ihummel · · Score: 1

      They don't. Stakes are far to dangerous to have around at M$. They didn't remove the mirrors from all the bathrooms and install blackout curtains on all the windows for nothing.

  30. And he is buying... by Indio_do_Xingu · · Score: 2, Funny

    SCO's!

  31. Other stuff by GreggyBUIUC · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Some interesting tidbits from a parallel article.

    Ballmer has only dropped about 15% of his ownership in MS since his involvement with the company as compared to Gates and Allen who each own only 50% of their original stake.

    Contrary to intution, MS shares actually rose as this occured, climbing 6 cents to close at 24.22 on Friday. MS had declined 7 of the last 9 trading sessions.

    It seems that the public hasn't taken this as an indication that MS is going the way of the iLoo anytime soon.

    1. Re:Other stuff by bhny · · Score: 1

      I think you are wrong. The shares were going down all week on large volume. The rumour was that Paul Allen was dumping shares.

      Ballmer announced Friday morning that he had been selling and there was a little relief rally because it was over.

  32. It's a small world, after all. by janda · · Score: 3, Interesting

    So, Dubya signs a tax-cut which includes lots of short-term and long-term capitals gains cuts, and Ballmer suddenly decides to sell a lot of stock.

    Gee, I wonder why.

    For those speculating on other things, I think Ballmer, et. al. *KNOW* that the profitability of MS is eventually doomed, but can't think of a way of getting out big time without crashing the company. So, they sell off here, they sell off there, and do the standard "screw the employee, shareholders, and everybody else not part of the good-buddy club" routine.

    --
    Karma: Food Fight (Mostly affected by Date Plate).
    1. Re:It's a small world, after all. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, the President hasn't signed the tax cut bill yet, and it does NOT contain anything about short-term capital gains treatment - just dividends and long-term capital gains. Go look it up on thomas.loc.gov and plug in bill HR 2 and see for yourself.

      What I really think is going on is that the SEC has been changing its rules regarding insider-trading and the time windows during each quarter that corporate officers and the like are permitted to buy or sell stock in their companies. I don't know the details, but I heard that those rules recently changed and Ballmer may have been acting on advice on how to take the best advantage of the rules.

      Mind you, I don't care for MS, Gates, or Ballmer at all. It's rather unsettling to think that Gates could wipe out polio in the entire world with just one month's of his after-tax income from all of his investments. And, remember, Microsoft IS a convicted felon - they're still farting around about the punishment, and once that's decided, then MS will be able to file its appeals and continue to milk the legal system.

      But, if Ballmer wants to sell his stock, that's his perogative. I'm sure he's got a lot of tax attorneys who will be glad to earn their fees telling him how to do it. Perhaps the taxes will put a big dent in the budget deficit :-)

  33. Short of cash? Nah... the real problem is... by AtomicX · · Score: 1

    ... laundry bills!

  34. this is 100% non-news by verch · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is par for the course. All CEOs do it. This story just made it to /. since its Ballmer and, well, if he took a dump people would try and tie it back to MS being evil. Larry Augustin sold 100k shares a the end of February, nobody posted that. Matt Szulik sold 500k shares at the beginning of the year and Mcnealy sold almost 5 million in April. Nobody cared about those. Sorry folks, Ballmer just has a smart financial planner, this doesn't mean MS is doomed.

    1. Re:this is 100% non-news by antiMStroll · · Score: 1
      "The Financial Times reports ......"

      Shouldn't you be writing to the FP editor instead? Slashdot just linked to something the Post considered news. Of course (looks both ways) they may be part of the conspiracy too!

    2. Re:this is 100% non-news by verch · · Score: 1

      No, this is exactly the sort of financial news minutia I expect FT to report. They report on everything. Hell, I'VE been interviewed by the Financial Times (really). I bet they reported about the other sales I mentioned also. Its 100% appropriate for them to cover, but they don't make an overly big deal about it and editorialize with comments that he probably needed the money for parking tickets or is putting into motion a plan to sell all his MS holdings.

    3. Re:this is 100% non-news by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      People tried to post the news about Augustin. It was rejected.

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
    4. Re:this is 100% non-news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hogwash.

      Nobody cares about insider selling at rhat? I'm sorry but a few years back I watched that stock climb to $9 --like 300% and then drop back down and be mired around $6. And you're saying nobody noticed when Szulik announced a planned sale of half a million shares? No, it was noticed. People asked themselves if rhat was really worth more than $8 and after a while and a string of insider selling the market said no, $6 is more about right.

      McNealy? Give me a break. Is there any reason besides McNealy that sunw was treading water around $3 for so many months? That kind of piggybank management is ruinous. The only reason sunw has risen above the $4 mark is becuase people see it as ripe for a buyout. The fact that McNealy continues burning through copious piles of cash is being taken as a sign that he is failing miserably and will have to sell soon to meet his personal needs.

      And Augustin, well this is slashdot afterall, but you're talking about a stock that almost got delisted for falling below $1. That hardly makes your case.

      No, insider selling is a very bad sign.

  35. Accountants! by shoemakc · · Score: 2, Funny

    Yossarian!

    --
    --an unbreakable toy is useful for breaking other toys--
  36. Goodbye MS by smagruder · · Score: 0, Interesting

    Microsoft is imploding. Pure and simple.

    The combination of open source commoditization and open disgust by growing numbers of CIOs (esp. in governments) are probably viewed as leading indicators by the big fatso in Redmond.

    --
    Steve Magruder, Metro Foodist
    1. Re:Goodbye MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Microsoft is imploding. Pure and simple.


      I'll have some of what this guy's smoking!

  37. Paranoia-based Market Planning by HaloZero · · Score: 1, Informative

    Step 1: President of global software company sells part of his hold in company.

    Given: This provides an image of the president allegedly losing faith in his company and their projects. This may be an indicator for others to sell. Stock price-per-share drops.

    Step 2: If the drop is enough, president re-purchases his previously sold shares of stock at a lower price.

    Given: Everyone else scrambles to buy up what's left.

    Step 3: Value skyrockets. Profit! (From leftover money in difference of higher-priced-sale and lower-costing-buyback, and then from the now even-higher-valued stock).

    --
    Informatus Technologicus
    1. Re:Paranoia-based Market Planning by caluml · · Score: 1
      Hash Bang Slash Bin Slash Bash

      You've got references to drugs, sex, and violence in your sig. Please think of the children.

    2. Re:Paranoia-based Market Planning by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The president of the company can never sell more than 1% of his stock at a single time.

      The only exception to this is if he dies, in which case his shares are sold to go to his estate, or if he quits [ceasing to become the president]: after two years have elapsed post-quit, he can then sell his shares.


      What you have described CANNOT happen because of SEC regulations.

    3. Re:Paranoia-based Market Planning by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you ever work for Enron?

  38. He's buying SCO! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why else?

    He'll put the money in a little compamy that will buy up SCO and fund the suit against IBM!

  39. Dow Jones Business News by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  40. Steve Balmer diversifies into by linuxislandsucks · · Score: 2, Funny

    Steve Balmer diversifies into buying SCO Grou at their asking rpice of $1 billion..

    News at 11

    --
    Don't Tread on OpenSource
  41. Ballmers Strip Club by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    After selling M$ stocks Blamer is opening strip clubs nation wide.

    Get free lap dance if you can lie about Linux.
    SCO executives where the first and regeular customers. :)

  42. Diversification by John+Hasler · · Score: 4, Insightful

    > No idea, but speculation is sure to be with us for a while."

    None of which will take into consideration the possibility that he is simply diversifying his holdings as all financial advisors tell us to do. Do you have all your savings invested in your employer's stock?

    --
    Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    1. Re:Diversification by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How many people have employers as successful as Microsoft?

  43. Goats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Come on, we all know what he is really buying with all that money.

  44. I agree, but I have to ask - why does he work? by WIAKywbfatw · · Score: 1

    I agree with you that there's nothing for conspiracy theorists to worry themselves (and others) here.

    But I will leave you with one thought: Steve Ballmer is the richest employee ever. Never in all recorded history has anyone else hired by a company been paid so much.

    (And, for the benefit of the few who don't understand the difference, Bill Gates, Paul Allen, Steve Jobs, Larry Ellison, etc were founders of their respective companies. Nobody hired them to do a job.)

    Now, given that he's earnt several billion, you have to ask, why the hell does he still work? Why not quit and enjoy what he's got? Why be sat in an office in cloudly Redmond worrying about anything when you could be kicking it on your own private Carribean island worrying about nothing?

    --

    "Accept that some days you are the pigeon, and some days you are the statue." - David Brent, Wernham Hogg
    1. Re:I agree, but I have to ask - why does he work? by moehoward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Steve Ballmer was not an "official" founder, but he was a buddy of Bill and Paul from pre-MS days. My guess is that they feel he should have been a founder.

      Also, he's on the board of directors.

      And as to your last troll of a question, they do it for the same reasons geeks stay up all night writing code for open source projects. It's not about the money for either Ballmer or Linus. But my guess is that my previous sentence will be enough to get me modded all the way down to hell. Make it so...

      --
      "If you want to improve, be content to be thought foolish and stupid." - Epictetus
    2. Re:I agree, but I have to ask - why does he work? by Reziac · · Score: 1

      I would have happily retired after the first billion (if not long before!), but some people are *driven*, and they aren't happy unless they're getting bigger, badder, better, or whatever turns their crank. Or maybe he just has lots of energy and this is its outlet. Or maybe that small island country's price is still not quite in reach. [g]

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    3. Re:I agree, but I have to ask - why does he work? by WIAKywbfatw · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I wasn't trolling. It was a serious question.

      Ballmer is a family man. He has kids. If you were in his shoes, wouldn't you want to spend more time with them?

      Or, having experienced the highs of corporate management, wouldn't you want to experience life to the fullest? Learn how to scuba dive, paraglide, fly a helicopter, race a Formula One car, trek across the Andes, climb Mount Everest or swim with dolphins?

      There is life after Microsoft, many of the company's earliest employees have experienced it, but why not Ballmer? OK, he's obviously driven and loves his work, but what's the point of having billions if all you have to show for it is the number of zeroes on your bank statement?

      Life isn't a trial run. You only get one shot. This is a guy who could do almost anything. So, why isn't he?

      I know if I had even a thousandth of his net worth you'd never see me in an office ever again. I'm sure all but a handful of sane people would say the same.

      Oh well, to each his own.

      --

      "Accept that some days you are the pigeon, and some days you are the statue." - David Brent, Wernham Hogg
    4. Re:I agree, but I have to ask - why does he work? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know people have passions for various things...and I understand people who are passionate about understanding things or creating things...but a CEO's job is to make other people money, which is hardly likely to be a direct personal motivator.

      More likely general motives of megacorp CEOs other than personal profit could include viewing business as a game and being driven by winning (which all too easily translates into winning at all costs) or just power.

      Now I know Gates was driven to win at all costs, and it probably wouldn't be a bad guess that this is the common mindset among current top Microsoft executives, as well.

    5. Re:I agree, but I have to ask - why does he work? by mindstrm · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Because private islands are BORING. Having everything just becuase you have money is BORING. There is no challenge to it, life ceases to have meaning.

      Oh, I'm not saying that I wouldn't live in the lap of luxury if I were that rich.. but simply existing and being wated upon would not be a satisfying life.

    6. Re:I agree, but I have to ask - why does he work? by grimani · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Quote: "I know if I had even a thousandth of his net worth you'd never see me in an office ever again. I'm sure all but a handful of sane people would say the same."

      Ever wonder why there's a reason why he's rich and you're not?

    7. Re:I agree, but I have to ask - why does he work? by TheGrayArea · · Score: 1

      >>I know if I had even a thousandth of his net worth you'd never see me in an office ever again.
      That's why most of us will never have that kind of worth. We don't have the drive that it takes to get that kind of worth. That's not a bad thing. I'd sure be happy with a lot less. For guys like Steve, Bill & others -- it's just what they do with their time and they would probably be just as agressive if they were in any other field.

      --

      This space for rent.
    8. Re:I agree, but I have to ask - why does he work? by WIAKywbfatw · · Score: 1

      Am I supposed to be ashamed that monetary gain isn't my overwhelming priority in life?

      All I'm saying is that if I had $10 million in the bank, let alone $10 billion, then I would spend as much of my time experiencing life to the fullest as I could.

      I appreciate that there's a catch 22 situation here; that getting to that point in life where you can appreciate everything it has to offer often means sacrificing a lot. I understand that the people who've got billions in the bank have shown a lot of commitment to their careers, and who've been dedicated above and beyond the call of duty, but let's not pretend that commitment and dedication automatically lead to success - for every Gates or Ballmer out there there are thousands of others who've worked just as hard but without accumilating as much wealth.

      Bottom line: working your butt off to earn the big bucks isn't a bad thing but when you're richer than your wildest dreams why not stop and smell the roses?

      --

      "Accept that some days you are the pigeon, and some days you are the statue." - David Brent, Wernham Hogg
    9. Re:I agree, but I have to ask - why does he work? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Somehow I can't picture Steve Balmer climbing Mount Everest. You have to be very fit, you know? Trekking across the Andes is hard too. Would he even fit in a F1 car? Would he have the patience to learn how to fly a helo?

      No, he gets his kicks running Microsoft.

    10. Re:I agree, but I have to ask - why does he work? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is the most brilliant, true, and insightful comment I have ever read on /. And I am not being sarcastic. This is the very nature of the Ellisons of the world that make them that rich in the first place.

  45. Steve Ballmer wipes his ass with money by g_bit · · Score: 1

    News at 11.

  46. Will this affect Slashdot? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Look: as a Linux user and open source developer, I like to bash Microsoft just as much as anyone. Their business practices are at best unethical, and at worst, flagrantly illegal. Over the past few years I have come to rely (in part) on Slashdot for its irreverant and challenging views on the Microsoft Monopoly. Say what you will about Slashdot's editors (poor spelling and grammar, blatant editorializing on a so-called news site, etc), but I really have come to believe that Slashdot represents an important and much-needed voice among today's corporate hype-driven media.

    Until now, that is. While helping my 16-year-old son (also an avid Slashdot reader) do research for a term paper on technology and journalism, I stumbled across some information that made me change my views about Slashdot completely. In a nutshell: Slashdot, and more accurately, its parent company VA Software, has deep and mutually influential ties to the Microsoft Corporation. In fact, Slashdot's own editors are paid (albeit indirectly) out of the coffers of Microsoft.

    Yes. It's hard to believe. At first I couldn't believe it. But a few simple Google searches and 45 minutes' research on Lexis-Nexis (as well as a couple of phone calls to a friend of mine at the SEC) revealed the following:

    • Three of the eight directors at VA Software also sit on the board of a privately-held company called Murberry-Slocomb, which as far as I can tell is some kind of stealth incubator/VC firm. Murberry Slocomb was founded in 1996 by none other than Paul Allen, and is a subsidiary of Allen's company Vulcan Ventures.
    • Most (>80%) of Murberry's funding, including compensation for its directors, comes directly from Microsoft Corporation.
    • In 1998, VA Software (parent company of OSDN, which is the parent company of Slashdot) receieved an investement of $3.8M from Murberry-Slocomb.
    • The 1998 annual report for VA Software actually mentions this, and goes on in detail about how this infusion of capital has helpled them maintain and operate OSDN.


    At first I was more amused than shocked; I mean, the technology industry is notoriously incestuous and its leaders, even those who are in competition, often sit on the same boards and are members of the same organizations. So what if a few board members of Slashdot's parent company are also directors of a company funded by Microsoft? Well, it gets more interesting.

    As it turns out, in May of 1999, VA Software submitted to the SEC Form 5506-D, Application for Direct Non-Ownership Subsidization. This is the form that a corporation will submit to the SEC when it wants to directly fund a subsidiary from its own parent corporation. (It's basically a tax shelter for companies with a lot of subsidiaries) The application was approved in July 1999. The applicant name? OSDN. In other words, Form 5506-D basically eliminated the middleman between OSDN and Murberry-Slocomb. Following the money, I now saw that OSDN was being funded directly from an infusion of captal that Murberry-Slocomb has received from Microsoft!

    Weird. I know. But what does this all mean? Honestly I have no idea. I'm not the custodian of any privileged information. A look at VA Software's web site and a Google search is all anyone needs to find the same information that I found. Are Slashdot's staff being paid through Microsoft? I sincerely hope not. But the facts are there and it sure looks like it. More importantly, what does this mean for the future of Slashdot? Can any grain of objectivity or journalistic ethics be preserved? What happens when the company you are bashing, nay, the very company that you preach the loudest against, Microsoft, is the same company that signs your paycheck? Could there be a deeper link still? Who knows. As far as I'm concerned, I'll never look at Slashdot the same way, ever again.
  47. Too much of a simplification by GoofyBoy · · Score: 2, Informative

    Microsoft makes only about 10 billion in profits, so it's severly overpriced,

    Um... that simplifies things just a little too much. There are huge issues that go into market cap and you really are looking at a longer term for stocks, not just one year.

    And even if you do think that its a good stock measurement then why not buy Philip Morris? They have a Market Cap of 85.5 B and 2002 profit of 11 B (or a profit/interst rate of 13%). Good luck with the lawsuits.

    --
    The surprise isn't how often we make bad choices; the surprise is how seldom they defeat us.
    1. Re:Too much of a simplification by SerpentMage · · Score: 1

      Yes you are right about not being such a simple issue. But lets take things one step at a time. First Philip Morrise sells cigarettes among other things. Hence using them as an example is a REALLY bad idea.

      But the issue of profit and valuation is a valid one since it can be used to define the P/E ratio. And if there is one thing that can be defined as a good and bad it is a the P/E ratio.

      --

      "You can't make a race horse of a pig"
      "No," said Samuel, "but you can make very fast pig"
    2. Re:Too much of a simplification by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "There are huge issues that go into market cap..."

      We used to hear this line quite a bit -- about pets.com and their ilk. The issue is really just the speculative value.

    3. Re:Too much of a simplification by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why are you singling out Philip Morrise?
      Philip Morrise sells cigarettes, Microsoft sells bloated, buggy software, and crushes competition with monopoly power, GE builds bombs and won't clean up thier messes (Hudson river PCBs). The detergents that Colgate Pomolive sell destroy our rivers and lakes. Walmart has exploitive labor practices and buys nearly all of thier products from sweatshops in China. My point being that maximizing profit (which a company MUST do by law for it's stockholders) often requires breaches of the ethical standard that support society.

      P/E ratio doesn't include any information about growth, Money a company uses to grow makes the company more valuable, but decreases P/E. P/E ratio doesn't include information about legal risks that the company may incur (because it's doing something like selling a highly addictive cancer causing, heart stopping, lung destroying chemical). I agree about good and bad being an oversimplification, they are. But your follow up about P/E being the "one thing that can be defined as good and bad" doesn't make good sense to me.

    4. Re:Too much of a simplification by g4dget · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There are huge issues that go into market cap

      Yes: there is a lot of hype and gambling, and then there is actual value. And to discover how much of a stock's price is due to hype, you compare how much it actually earns for a given amount of money invested in it relative to other investments. That's the point of the comparison.

      and you really are looking at a longer term for stocks, not just one year.

      Maybe you are. Most investment managers aren't.

      Optimal investment strategies strike an optimal balance between the cost and risk of trading and the cost and risk of staying with a given portfolio. Given that trading has become very cheap, it makes sense to trade shares much more frequently than it used to.

      And even if you do think that its a good stock measurement then why not buy Philip Morris?

      You answered your own question: PM is an even higher risk investment than Microsoft. But Microsoft's lawsuits will probably become as vicious and pervasive as the tobacco lawsuits: not only will the monopoly lawsuits expand, you'll probably also get liability and patent lawsuits.

    5. Re:Too much of a simplification by GoofyBoy · · Score: 1

      And to discover how much of a stock's price is due to hype, you compare how much it actually earns for a given amount of money invested in it relative to other investments.

      Compairing a growth stock (or a mature industry stock, depending on your point of view) to a one year short term investment? A better "relative" investment to measure against would be S&P tech index.

      Maybe you are. Most investment managers aren't.

      If you want to talk about professional managers, then they would never do a serious compairson of short term 1 year interest rates to stocks. If you think they are, show me a link to serious research. The best out there is stocks vs. 5 year govt bonds.

      PM is an even higher risk investment than Microsoft.

      The reality it isn't. With the tobacco lawsuits you have a heavy human element and this leads to bigger settlements. People's whom's very health and life have been destroyed. With MS, its very much a bunch of lawyers pointing and crying "Unfair business practaces!".

      What makes more of a moving case/argument, a eldery man with a resparator on his death bed or a person removing files on a computer? ( or do you really think that every windows OS owner deserves a thousand dollars in damamges?)

      --
      The surprise isn't how often we make bad choices; the surprise is how seldom they defeat us.
    6. Re:Too much of a simplification by ces · · Score: 1

      Yes you are right about not being such a simple issue. But lets take things one step at a time. First Philip Morrise sells cigarettes among other things. Hence using them as an example is a REALLY bad idea.

      Why not? Phillip Morris has been a very good investment over the last couple of years. Its current rate of return based on dividend payout alone is better than T-bills or Bonds.

      While the growth prospects are somewhat limited the stock is undervalued by many measures. To some extent this is driven by fear of the various tobacco lawsuits Phillip Morris faces however the tobacco companies have been doing fairly well in court.

      --
      Happy Fun Ball is for external use only.
  48. Time to burn some karma by Omkar · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Only the most deluded Linux fanatics think MS is going the way of the dodo.

    1. Quality doesn't always determine purchases. (Ex: Consoles - IMO, Nintendo has the best games around)

    2. MS produces decent software - not amazing, but pretty good. They make great UIs, and that's what helps the average user.

    3. MS is powerful. They'll bully and bribe their way to domination, as they have done in the past.

    4. Finally, MS hires passionate people (well, I know they did a few years ago). These people are not going to stand still.

    1. Re:Time to burn some karma by paj1234 · · Score: 1

      I don't want Microsoft to go the way of the dodo. But what I would like to see is the end of monopoly practices.

  49. In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Jesus still loves you.

  50. Just wanted to let you guys know... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I sold some compact flash memory on eBay last week, and I may sell some next week too. Get your slashdot story ready!

  51. has to be said by Lxy · · Score: 1

    he needs more antipersperant?

    --

    There is no reasonable defense against an idiot with an agenda
    :wq
  52. Whatever dood... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All I know is that:

    WinXP never crashes (141 days consecutive UT last time I checked).
    I can play any game I please.
    I don't have to open a text editor every time I add a new piece of HW.

    You and your /. cronies can bash the MS all you want, but in the end, it is (and will be) the desktop OS of choice. MS is going nowhere, fewl.

    Now retreat into your Unix-derived black hole while I play Battlefield 1942 @ 120 FPS on my Radeon 9800 PRO.

    1. Re:Whatever dood... by Xrikcus · · Score: 1

      Not quite never, XP itself hadn't crashed on me until last week when I had a total of two bluescreens in 48 hours! Bits of XP crash on me frequently though, but the kernel manages to keep the system fairly stable. Still needs its reboots though.

  53. The end is near by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0



    the company has enough cash to play accounting games for a few years. but the implosion will come when outside analysts admit to themselves and the public how much market share ms has lost, and the rate of the then current market share loss. including desktops. The beginning will come from foreign sales, which is coming soon. Once the foreign sales numbers scare the shit out of the analysts, and the tremors start, then an intense spotlight will uncover problems in the US, which by that time will be a substantially decreasing market share everywhere, servers, database, desktops, crm, everything. Add that to the continual losses in all the other divisions, and the implosion will dwarf all previous scandals.

    They have enough cash and divisions to play with the books for about two years. After that, gnu/linux will have two more years of international development, will be past 3.0 or better on the kernel, will have two more years of foreign country adoption, will be the standard for document exchange for the vast majority of foreign countries, and analysts will be rating the stock a hold. Once the implosion starts, and the stock bottoms, analysts will finally throw in the towel and rate the stock a sell.

    The implosion, while large, will turn into a side show. The real show will be the dozens and dozens of sec, congressional, and executive branch investigations to follow.

    the end is closer than you think.

  54. Insider report. by Mogomra · · Score: 2, Informative

    According to the insider report at Yahoo, this is the first time Ballmer's done anything with his stock in over a year.

  55. HELLOOOOOO!!! duh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He obviously did this because of the whopping TAX CUT he just got...you know..the REAL NEWS THAT MATTERS!!!!

  56. Ballmer's response when asked about the sale: by TD_3G · · Score: 1

    I've got 5 words for you: I LOVE SELLING THIS COMPANY *long pause as he jumps around on stage* GIVE IT UP FOR ME!

    --
    ...
  57. Warning Sign by Ignorant+Aardvark · · Score: 1

    The rats always flee from the ship about to sink.

  58. Steve Ballmer on Kuro5hin.org by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't forget to check out "Steve Ballmer"'s comments on kuro5hin.org:
    http://www.kuro5hin.org/user/Steve% 20Ballmer/comme nts

  59. Sell, Sell, http://www.yesyoucantimethemarket.com/ by dan.hunt · · Score: 2

    Ben Stein was on CNN a while ago, plugging Yes, You Can Time the Market! and the website, perhaps Ballmer was watching too.

    I sold my "share" in Microsoft by looking at my Mutual Fund advisor and telling him, "I do not want to hold any fund that contains Microsoft". We made it happen, last week. My reason: Microsoft does evil things to please the shareholders. I don't want to be part of that inadvertantly.

    I feel better now, perhaps Ballmer will too? By the way, do you get bonus karma points for not owning Microsoft shares?

  60. Interesting read on M$ stock shinnanigans by Whammy666 · · Score: 1

    Seems that the Beast can't meet payroll without printing new stock to cover it. link here.

    --
    When all else fails, run.
    1. Re:Interesting read on M$ stock shinnanigans by Jon_E · · Score: 1

      Very interesting indeed .. I also wonder if the stock selling might have anything to do with an intentional stock dilution in other markets - in other words, making MSFT seem more valuable in comparison by buying high and selling low into other competing companies and calling it diversification. I've always wondered how MS still manages the perception that they're a profitable and stable company and thus a worthy buy in this economy.

      The stock split is also rather interesting to look at since it puts them in the same stock perception range as the bulk of other IT companies .. somewhere in the $15-30 range/share. Perhaps the real defining standard for a company's profitability should be based more on the quality of their lawyers and the savviness of their accounting and finance departments than on the quality of their product or fair business practices.

  61. What if he just doesn't want that much stock? by lost+sheep · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Personally, I would like to donkey-kick Ballmer squarely in the figs with a golf shoe. That aside, however, his selling of shares probably isn't some devious plot, he probably really is diversifying his portfolio, but not how you think of it. Since he's probably considering retirement soon, he's probably moving his money into fixed-income securities (bonds, etc). So maybe he's selling his shares of stock so that he can either better prepare himself for retirement, or maybe he's using the money to buy M$ debt. A side note: Incidentally, by ratcheting up M$ debt level with bonds, M$ could actually improve their financial position by selling debt--their Return on Equity would increase, as would several other financial analysis ratios...

    --
    -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Lost Sheep to Shepard, you got your ears on?
  62. a bit o' math by banka · · Score: 1

    it seems a shade under 10%

    close...actually more like 9% of his shares (he sold $1bill and still has $10bill left)

    also, it's interesting to note ballmer still owns 4% of the company.

  63. Rats leaving the ship ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Before a ship sink, the rats are the first to leave the ship .... :o)

  64. This Just in by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    SEATTLE - Steve Ballmer just announced that he is leaving Microsoft, after serving umpity ump years
    as its President, and is negotiating a new position as head of International Buggy Whip Enterprises, Inc. "Under my inspired leadership, I intend to take buggy whips into the 21st century. In fact, I expect that we will whip company affairs into shape and strive to improve quality so that our whips will be world class and less buggy," Mr. Ballmer was quoted as saying. When asked if he knew what a buggy whip was he said that he wasn't entirely sure yet, but that "buggy whips have the reputation of consistently surpassing open source whips in terms of reliability and total costs of ownership."

  65. The Real Question Is.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not who is selling shares, but who is buying them? I will answer for you. It's me! An evil IBM exec who will soon have control of Microsoft by holding more than 50% of all M$ stock. The plan, you ask? To shut down M$ after I pretty much have control, replacing M$ software with IBM software rebranded to make look
    like it was made by microsoft.

    The Windows 2003 startup screen may have the Microsoft logo, but the "about" screen will be read "OS/2 2003 by IBM Corp". Mwuhahahaha!

  66. The reason he is selling... by Hypocritical+Guy · · Score: 1

    Short of cash? Parking tickets?

    Gotta pay those prostitutes...

    --
    If you liked licking my balls, add me to your foes list!
  67. You know you're rich... by xintegerx · · Score: 1

    When, to refill all the toilets in your big ass house, you need to sell off $1 billion dollars in stock every 3 years to get 100 million hundred dollar bills to have something to wipe your ass with.

    Why bother buying and disposing toilet paper, when money is so durable and comforting for billionaires :)

  68. Two Words: by HeywoodJablomi69 · · Score: 1

    Booze money.

  69. He needed the ready cash... by shaneb11716 · · Score: 1

    ...to snap up shares of SCO to profit when they win their case against IBM.

    -Shane

    --
    I love teh int4rw3b!!!!!111one1
  70. I think he needed the money..for basketball ticket by adpowers · · Score: 1

    Normally I would see Ballmer sitting courtside. However, later in the season I saw him sitting in my row I think it is obvious that he sold his shares so he could get more courtside seats. :)

    Andrew

  71. $atan will be mad.. by pair-a-noyd · · Score: 1

    I didn't know you could sell shares of HELL once aquired. I always thought that was an eternal commitment

  72. Microsoft on the way down? by Futurepower(R) · · Score: 5, Informative

    Slashdot reader SgtChaireBourne mentioned this 2 weeks ago in a comment titled Pump & Dump, in response to a post of mine saying that probably Microsoft code is difficult to maintain because Microsoft isn't fixing bugs.

    According to SgtChaireBourne, selling of Microsoft stock by Microsoft executives is common. He said, "Both the frequency and volume of sales is increasing: They're all selling as fast as they get."

    SgtChaireBourne pointed to the SEC (U.S. government Securities and Exchange Commission) list of Microsoft executive trades of stock. I looked around and quickly found an example. A Microsoft Group Vice President, Kevin R. Johnson, received 322,560 shares of stock and sold it the same day. He received 244,760 shares of stock on March 6, 2003 and sold that the same day.

    SgtChaireBourne also said, "Don't forget that benefits [employee benefits at Microsoft] have been cut way back and there's also been outsourcing like mad. Consultants and contractors don't show up as layoffs when you let them go.

    Earlier in this thread, RoLi said, "Microsoft executives know that Microsoft has a lot to lose and not much to gain. The only market where they are strong (the desktop) they have no room to grow, everywhere else they are losing (servers, embedded systems, gaming consoles)." (RoLi's comment #6030636.)

    To this must be added that most people who bought a computer as powerful as a Pentium III 866 MHz won't buy another computer. The faster Pentium IIIs were good enough for almost everyone. I have often seen computers survive for more than 10 years. I have a voicemail computer with a 386 SX-16 processor that is perhaps 15 years old, and has been in continual use. The computer market is fast collapsing.

    1. Re:Microsoft on the way down? by spectecjr · · Score: 1

      SgtChaireBourne pointed to the SEC (U.S. government Securities and Exchange Commission) list of Microsoft executive trades of stock. I looked around and quickly found an example. A Microsoft Group Vice President, Kevin R. Johnson, received 322,560 shares of stock and sold it the same day. He received 244,760 shares of stock on March 6, 2003 and sold that the same day.

      Isn't that how Stock Options work? You exercize the option, the stock is assigned to you, and the stock is sold, giving you the net value, all on the same day?

      Simon

      --
      Coming soon - pyrogyra
    2. Re:Microsoft on the way down? by AllTheGoodNamesWereT · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "Received shares of stock and sold it the same day" means that a company employee exercised options (which is how they received the stock) and then sold the stock. That's pretty normal -- in many cases, you wouldn't exercise your options UNLESS you were planning to sell the stock (or unless the options were about to expire) -- otherwise, you would continue to hold the options and not have to put up the cash to purchase the stock. (Also, there is a tax liability associated with the option exercise, so you often have to sell at least some of the stock to pay the tax.) The real question is, what made Mr. Johnson decide that this was a good time to exercise his options and sell the stock?

    3. Re:Microsoft on the way down? by Bas_Wijnen · · Score: 1

      The faster Pentium IIIs were good enough for almost everyone.

      Yeah, just like 640kB was enough for everyone.

      If computers can do more, people do more with them. When Gates made his claim, he (and everyone else) didn't think of 3D realtime games. That was unthinkable with the computers of that time.

      I'm not saying people need better computers than a pentium III. Then again, I think 640kB really was enough for everyone. But the hardware suppliers didn't like that, and their marketing convinced the people. Why do you think they cannot do that again?

  73. mod this up, someone... it's not redundant at all by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is a very helpful post for those of us who don't understand how it works. I read everything ahead of it and it's not redundant at all. Who is moderating this? A.L.I.C.E.?

  74. Re:I think he needed the money..for basketball tic by MyHair · · Score: 1

    You took and posted 19 pics of Ballmer? Was the game that bad?

    Were the people around you creeped out that you kept photographing someone down the row? I think if I did that security would throw me out.

    Of course I'd be photographing young adult women and not older bald guys.

  75. Don't get it. by mindstrm · · Score: 1

    IT's always some big deal when some exec gets rid of stock.
    There are only certain times when execs can get rid of stock... this is becuase of that thing called insider trading. At a certain level, especially in a large company with a high profile, there are very strict guidelines as to when someone can sell their stock. That means that often, you will see clusters of execs at a company selling at the same time, and people call out concpisracy.. no, it's because by law, or by the company's rules, they MUST do it at a certain, narrow time period.

    Secondly, if stock is given as an employment incentive, why do we give those execs a hard time for selling it? Why does it have to be about confidence in the company? Confidence in the company won't buy you a new yacht, dollars will.

    If Ballmer was given stock, he has every right in the world to sell it.

  76. Which means.... by mindstrm · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Maybe he wants to have some guaranteed cash when he retires, no matter what happens to microsoft?

    He's not doing anything different than many other investors with many other companies.. he's selling stock at a profit to get cash.

  77. selling ahead of the drop by appleLaserWriter · · Score: 0

    From Microsoft's 1986 IPO to the 1999 split, the stock price doubled predictably every twelve to eighteen months. As a result, compensation is based largely on stock options rather than salary -- new engineers typically have larger salaries than more senior engineers. But the senior engineers have been with the company long enough, they may have far more MSFT shares than new upper execs and VPs.

    Since the 1999 split, MSFT entered a trading range between about 50 and 70. For the old employees, this represents a loss of only six months of growth. As good employees, they expect the stock price to bounce back soon and continue to hold their shares.

    However, the dividend tax cut package will also lower the capital gains rate to 15%. After four years of waiting for recovery, numerous shareholders will finally be prompted to take their profits and cash out on MSFT.

    Balmer is dumping his shares ahead of the tax cut and expected wave of MSFT selling. For contrarians, there will be a great buying opportunity for MSFT in six months...

    disclaimer: I'm not a financial advisor.

  78. Re:I think he needed the money..for basketball tic by adpowers · · Score: 1

    No, I think it was a good game. I just had never seen him so close (like I said, he is normally courtside).

    The people behind me were wondering who I was taking a picture of, I told them it was Steve Ballmer of Microsoft. If they knew who it was, I don't think they would be freaked.

    I was a little nervous about taking a bunch of pictures of him, which is why I did it discreetly. For example, the shots where you can see down the whole row, I had the camera resting on my leg as to be inconspicuous.

    I did take a lot of pictures of the cheerleaders over the course of the season, but those aren't on my website :).

  79. Wow.. that's deep. by mindstrm · · Score: 1

    I mean, it's not like executives in companies that size only have short periods of time every year when they can actually sell stock legally. Oh wait, that's true.

    So.. if you had that money invested in microsoft, you would not sell it either?

    An EMPLOYEE of microsoft, such as we are discussing here, has no obligation to own ANY stock in the company. Selling publicly, at fair market price, small percentages of their stock at a time is *THE MOST RESPONSIBLE* way they can do it. How else do you propose they be permitted to sell their stock?

    Do you think selling a few thousand out of almost 10 billion shares is going to drop the price?

  80. options != shares by g4dget · · Score: 1

    Folks like Balmer have to sell some time, and there is no reason why he should wait until he dies.

    Exercising stock options isn't the same as selling shares in the company. After exercising his options, Ballmer could hold on to Microsoft shares.

    If he sold these shares in order to consume something (holiday on the moon, whatever), that's one thing. If he sold those shares in order to invest elsewhere (which it seems like he did), it tells us that he thinks there is a significant risk that Microsoft shares will underperform or even crash.

    The whole point of giving stock options is for the company to compensate their people without paying for it directly.

    Yes, they are a big tax and accounting fraud. But that has nothing to do with how we are to interpret the sale of Microsoft shares.

  81. Common practice... by kjs3 · · Score: 1
    Total non-story.

    It's very, very common for wealthy senior execs to sell of substantial ( The SEC requires such sales to be publicised as part of proper corporate disclosure. While the numbers involved are titilating, there's likely nothing more interesting involved.

  82. Of course they can by cameldrv · · Score: 1

    Any company can grow exponentially -- it's just a question of the exponent. I could start a company today and buy t-bonds and it would grow a couple of percent every year.

  83. Old Info by Kwil · · Score: 1

    Microsoft is giving dividends now.

    Otherwise, I tend to agree.

    --

    That Jesus Christ guy is getting some terrible lag... it took him 3 days to respawn! -NJ CoolBreeze

  84. The purposes of diversification by willis · · Score: 1
    This has come up several times in posts on this thread --

    It doesn't matter what you think is going to happen -- all of your wealth is tied up in ONE source. If something DOES happen, you're screwed (also, as CEO, there's also a high correlation between the stock going down and you losing your job, which means no more new cashflow). Better to sell a good chunk and invest in government bonds or something else relatively riskless, or, perhaps, something that has a negative correlation with your company (so if your company goes down, you'll at least make up some of your money on the other side, as a hedge).

    I'd never trust my judgement 100% -- if my company started loading stock on me, I'd sell some of it, just in case (even though I think my company is well positioned). Not doing this is what screwed all of those Enron employees, and, unfortunately, my own father's employer a while back.

    In any case, if you're investing your own money like this (i.e. monotonically long your company), I'd suggest reading up about diversification before going too much further... (my apologies if you've got financial credentials or something, but I strongly disagree with your analysis).

    --

    there is no thing
    what else could you want?
  85. Ahh, politics... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What happens when the company you are bashing, nay, the very company that you preach the loudest against, Microsoft, is the same company that signs your paycheck? Could there be a deeper link still? Who knows. As far as I'm concerned, I'll never look at Slashdot the same way, ever again.

    To use an analogy, you probably know Terry Pratchett's Discworld series? In some of the books there is this city leader, called Lord Vetinari. Since he runs everything he also frequently hires people who try to asassinate him and he pays guilds who are trying to overthrow him. It has to do with control. Giving all those dissenters a channel to vent some steam, in a very controlled way. Also, talking about a leadership figure in a bad way sometimes still enforces the impression of autority and leadership!

    Well anyway, this goes to far. It's really just paranoia, because EVERY publicly traded company has some ties with EVERY other publicly traded company (yeah, not always, but you know what I mean).

    And, admit it, many people here don't have a hateful relationship with MS, instead they are in a kind of love-hate relationsip. MS lifestyle and the people who work there still represent the geek world very accurately.

  86. Alternative Investments by Scoria · · Score: 1

    According to these videos, perhaps Ballmer should consider the aquisition of a portion of this company. :-)

    --
    Do you like German cars?
  87. *Acquisition by Scoria · · Score: 1

    NT

    --
    Do you like German cars?
  88. For a guy worth 10B by Soporific · · Score: 1

    He sure looks like he's about to have a heart attack at the end of the Ballmer Blitz...

    ~S

  89. microsoft is selling ballmer's hair on ebay by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    one share at a time ...

  90. Managers sell, but... by abulafia · · Score: 1

    Managers tend to try to sell high.

    A great predictor of future stock price is manager's behavior.

    You should sell when they do.

    --
    I forget what 8 was for.
  91. Freaking idiot by tmasssey · · Score: 1
    Hello!

    I'm posting this to undo my accidental mod. I mean to mod +1 funny but modded -1 Redundant.

    I *hate* redundant mods. Sorry for the screwup. This will undo it.

  92. who ? by pyxi · · Score: 1

    who or what company did he sell his shares to ?
    finding this out could be really interesting.

    was it a big company, or just arbitary people ?

  93. "I have accountants pay for it all..." by leonbrooks · · Score: 1

    "Life's been good to me so far..."

    Instead of paying tax, the upper few percent pay accountants - except for a few honest ones who pay full rate and get rich anyway. It's a factor that tax law ignores almost entirely, except for sliding income scales. These tend to compensate somewhat for richer peoples' ability to afford skilled accountants. However, the compensation is somewhat uneven, and breaks down completely at a certain level.

    For exmaple, Alan Bond, a local convicted thief, liar, embezzler, name it, got to live in "his wife's" house and drive around in "his wife's" car, having had a divorce-of-convenience just before the pooh hit his personal fan. The only actual penalty he suffered beyond having other peoples' money taken back off him (9% in the $ for his main company) was some time (a year? two?) on Woorooloo Prison Farm, which is pretty much like a low-budget holiday resort compared to what you and I think of as prison. If we did the same things with far lesser amounts, we'd be spending somewhere between 5 and 20 years in a real prison, and have nothing left. He's still got squillions of other people's dollar squirrelled away in overseas accounts and other rorts.

    Another local example is Mark Povey of Povey Petroleum; slightly lower scale of cheating, underpaid and mistreated his staff too, but he didn't lose his house or anything, and keeps rematerialising with new rorts (ABC123 Cleaning did people's houses in more ways than one) about every year or two, each one going bankrupt and each one being a drain on the public purse (not to mention financially shafting his employees at every opportunity). And the Poveys get indignant if anyone queries this behaviour. Human nature at its best.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  94. accounting scandal by 10am-bedtime · · Score: 1

    heh, selling licenses to rent proprietary software is indeed an accounting scandal[1]. it's just taken several decades for most people to realize this. nothing seeds resentment greater than a late realization of mis-applied trust.

    [1] don't think so? well if you promise to pay me (too) i promise to lie to you (too). fair enough? let's start! where do you want to go today?

  95. Our local little old lady by leonbrooks · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I think he still drives an old beat up car and lives in the same tiny house he bought in the 1950's.

    We had a local little old lady who trundled about the place in rags with a shopping trolly, doing stuff like picking up cans and generally acting like a bag lady. One day she died, and a friend of mine who does a lot of stuff for the local Catholic church was one of two people tasked with sorting out her estate (she'd left everything to the local Catholic church).

    She'd lived in a very old house in the middle of what is now very expensive real estate (but probably would have been twenty pounds a block when she bought). In the course of going through the house, these two men stumbled across caches of money here and there adding up to thirteen million dollars (AUD) in cash. This does not count any other assets at all. Evidently she continually felt poor, and continually responded by accumulating money.

    I guess her house and land was worth an additional million or two, and a lot of her chattels were well-kept antiques which probably brought in another few million for their age value alone. Nothing was said about jewelery or investments. You and I might have trouble understanding why she or Ballmer act this way instead of hitting Phuket, DisneyWorld or Vegas, but a surprising number of people are like that, and a surprising percentage of those use that most cursed of justifications for whatever they do: "the end justfies the means" - or, to quote Daffy Duck, "Consequences? Schmonsequences! As long as I'm rich!"

    In a way, I can relate to the "same tiny house" - if a house works for me, I see no reason to have to learn new paths to blunder through in the dark (e.g. when a child wakes up or nature calls), new dance steps to organise a meal in the kitchen, and so on. New for new's sake doesn't ring any bells for me. OTOH, my wife just froths at the mouth for "new" all the time. Between us, we strike a reasonable balance.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  96. ...or at least random. by leonbrooks · · Score: 1
    The "whacky tobaccy" makes you creative :)

    You become a legend in your own mind.

    In everyone else's minds you become a navigation hazard.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  97. B'ain't nuttin' compared with the shareholders by leonbrooks · · Score: 1
    If this dude is at all right (he's been on that particular bandwagon for years and scored a few wins with it), Steve needs it to buy his own personal well-fortified remotely-located tropical island retreat.

    Despite the fraud 'n' stuff, I think now is probably optimax selling time for Steve anyway. Even if Microsoft still exists and prospers in 10 years (doubt it), he's planning to retire, and on top of that Microsoft pretty much seems to have stonewalled in terms of the radical new market expasion which has kept it fed and happy since birth. Like any huge animal, it may not realise that it's dead yet, but the wave it rode to power has definitely splashed up on the beach and is receding.

    Keep an eye out for an article entitled The Late Great Planet Microsoft.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  98. Dividends by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Actually, until this January Microsoft did not pay dividends. The *only* way to get money out of Microsoft stock was to sell. This particular sale by Ballmer, then, may be lack of confidence in the company, but the "constant sales" you talk about since the collapse could well have been mainly for the purpose of rational diversification without any particular lack of confidence in Microsoft. Without dividends, it simply wasn't possible for Gates or Ballmer to diversify from their main assets without selling, and it is well known that everyone should diversify in case of emergency.

  99. Mod grimani WAY WAY WAY up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ever wonder why there's a reason why he's rich and you're not?

    Bingo.

  100. Hardly any? by Craig+Ringer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    > there are hardly any valuable commercial software without an equivalent open source nephew

    Sorry to disagree, but there are a LOT. Perhaps you mean "high-volume off-the-shelf shrinkwrap software"? Here are a few that don't have anything vaguely approaching an alternative, some of which are shrinkwrap:

    - QuarkXPress/Adobe Indesign (No scribus doesn't count)
    - Adobe Photoshop (GIMP is good, but nowhere near pshop. No ICC profiles, no decent CMYK, lack of previews, slow).
    - Pongrass Classified Pagination (newspaper classified advertising booking & pagination system)
    - AutoCAD
    - Adobe Illustrator
    - Adobe Acrobat (no, I don't mean just distiller)
    - An AppleTalk server that's reliable and works properly with all mac apps
    - oodles of small-volume "solutions"-based customised software for industry-specific needs (ATEX, etc).

    When I start seeing /ports/ of those apps, I'll be more enthusiastic. We're using linux terminals at work for our sales staff already, and other than some word doc issues with OO.o it works very well. However, our prepress and production department would be simply impossible.

    1. Re:Hardly any? by KingRamsis · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes I totally agree, but we need to set our priorities straight, starting with the most generic most used packages and then diving towards the very specialized packages.
      OpenOffice affects tens (if not hundreds) of millions of users but something that is industry specific like Pongrass for example is out of the scope now.
      lets give it a decade and see.

  101. Developers, developers, developers.. by hubless · · Score: 1

    developers, developers, developers, developers. Developers, developers, developers. Who knew he was talking about real estate?

  102. that's about right. by twitter · · Score: 1
    He finaly saw a Gnu/Linux desktop running.

    M$ has promissed their investors and other suckers world domination. Even a year ago they were spouting shit about 99.99% of all computing devices running winblows in the future. It ain't going to happen and every stratagy they have that demands it will fail. Hell, it's enough for the world to know that they don't have to have M$ Word to exchange emails for Office to fail. The only thing that Microsoft has is the false notion that you need their crappy propriatory formats to get along in "the real world". The real world has looked around and realized that's BS.

    If you are having trouble exchanging email and you are running XP, the reason you are having trouble exchanging email is that you are running M$. The rest of us don't have that problem, even when exchanging email with win98 and 2k clients. We only have trouble talking to you. You don't need XP and you are better off not giving M$ permission to search through and delete your personal files.

    The pyramid is collapsing because it was hollow inside.

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

  103. I Wonder Why? by fireman · · Score: 1
    I saw this one on CNBC TV last night. It set me off thinking...
    • Perhaps M$ is not looking so good with threats posed by Linux and Open Source -- I don't think so.
    • That evil plot hatched by SCO.
    • Then there was that story about SCO and Microsoft documents going to the shredder.

    I never did like this guy. That video of Ballmer prancing about a stage like a baboon a couple of years ago did not impress me.
    --
    M.
  104. Completely Wrong Emphasis! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Insider selling is not nearly as good a predictor as insider buying.

    Insiders may very well sell only to diversify their portfolios. Also there may be gambling debts, messy divorces or multiple kept women to keep happy.

    But there is one and only one reason why insiders buy. THEY BUY BECAUSE THEY EXPECT TO MAKE MONEY ON THEIR INVESTMENTS!!!

    Microsoft insiders have been hardly buying any shares recently, except for freebie stock options which are usually sold as soon as they are received. What else do you need to know?

    Microsoft insiders are trying to tell us that this is not a good time to buy Microsoft stock.

  105. Always Think of Value Per Share! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "It seems odd to me that a company that has so much cash..."

    From to time I look at Microsoft's profile on Yahoo Finance. Lately they have about $4 cash per share. But a year or so ago it was more like $6 per share. You might ask, "How can the cash per share be dropping with all of those profits?".

    The answer is obvious! The number of Microsoft shares outstanding has increased. They do grant employees stock options every year, remember! It's just a little bit like a pyramid scheme, isn't it?

    When you invest in Microsoft, never forget that you do so on a per share basis!

  106. true, But by GnarlyNome · · Score: 1

    I'man old fart

    --
    Diplomacy is the art of saying "Nice doggie" until you can find a rock. Will Rogers
  107. The actual percent of his shares sold by Captain+Chad · · Score: 1

    About 8.3% 39.3M / (39.3M + 432M) = 0.083 (where 'M' is for million)

    --
    Check out Chad's News
  108. Dumping ms stock? Rats and sinking ships... by digital+photo · · Score: 1

    Seriously, MS has been in one battle after another for the past 2-3 years. Major battles.

    Battles which has been hurting MS's cash funds as well as their future income.

    To list a few...

    • MS vs. DOJ: Monopoly issues.
    • Losing marketshare to competing products:
      • Apache vs IIS
      • Sendmail vs Exchange
      • MySQL vs MS-SQL Server
      • Oracle vs MS-SQL Server
      • Symbian & PalmOS vs WinCE/PocketPC
    • WebTV fiasco: MS buys WebTv, then drops support.
    • UltimateTV: Outsold by Tivo and ReplayTV. Good feature set though!
    • MS vs. Sony: Xbox loses in sales against the Playstation2
    • MS vs. itself: XP upgrades have been slow/sluggish since people went through hell upgrading to 2000 while many still stick with NT. Now they have 2003 on the shelves which is seeing the same slow response as XP.
    • MS admitting that NT is not fixable security-wise.
    • Repeated high-level exposure to Virus/Worm/Vulnerability/Spyware attacks on MS products.
    • Failed automatic patching/upgrading subsystem resulting in a "clean" bill of health if the scan fails.

    If I've been fighting the good(relatively speaking) fight for the last few years and have seen defeat after defeat, I would jump ship. The fact that Balmer hasn't jumped ship before this is either credit to his undying loyalty to MS/Bill Gates or his salary.

    That's not to say that MS is all bad. XP pro is by far the most stable and workable OS I've ever used from MS. And I've used all of them from MSDOS 3.00 through XP_Pro. Then again, I've also used Linux from betas of Slackware up through the latest in Suse/Mandrake/Redhat/Debian and have had a great time with Linux as well.

    If Ballmer is starting to jump ship, I can't say I blame him. His position is like that of a President's; You work for the length of your "term' and then you gracefully step down to let someone else get some face time while you get to work on your book and movie rights.

    Having millions in liquid cash to live off of while waiting for your next job doesn't hurt either.

  109. I decided to reply by bhsx · · Score: 1

    I know this is a dead conversation and you'll probably never read it, but I decided to reply regardless. I was asking a question. I start my post with two questions, then explained my reasoning behind my asking.
    You started your post with an insult. I don't know a whole lot about the stock market, admitedly; but I do know what a split is and that what you said was correct. However, it doesn't answer my question. I also know he didn't flood the market. There are over 12B shares of MSFT, I was only suggesting that Ballmer selling 10% of his personal shares could have other negetive effects on the price of the stock, but it's moot. You ended with another insult, and one that suggests you'd like to censor me. My suggestion to you would be this, think about who you are as a person before you post.

    --
    put the what in the where?
  110. Get on your feet!! ...and call your broker by CyberdogOSX · · Score: 1

    Get on the phone! Call Schwab and make it happen! Get on the phone! And get me stock in Apple!

  111. Find tasks that require more power, or lose jobs. by Futurepower(R) · · Score: 1

    I live in Portland, Oregon, one of the places Intel designs its microprocessors. It is common to meet Intel employees at parties. We have had long discussions about finding some task that requires more powerful processors. Intel employees are VERY interested in this, because if uses for more powerful processors are not found, some of them will lose their jobs.

    Only video requires more processing power. However, I estimate that it will be 3 or 4 years before the software is powerful enough to attract significant numbers of people to video. I have contact several times a week with one of the engineers who designs video applications, so this is not just a wild guess.

  112. MS stock slides against Dow and NASDAQ by solferino · · Score: 1


    This graph shows MS stock has slid 3-4% over just the last week versus the DOW and NASDAQ.