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Scientists Offer 'Overwhelming' Evidence Terran Life Began in Space

An anonymous reader writes "Using data from recent comet-probing space missions, British scientists are reporting today that the odds of life starting on Earth rather than inside a comet are one trillion trillion (10 to the power of 24) to one against. That is, we're not originally from around here. Radiation in comets could keep water in liquid form for millions of years, they say, which along with the clay and organic molecules found on-board would provide an ideal incubator. 'Professor Wickramasinghe said: "The findings of the comet missions, which surprised many, strengthen the argument for panspermia. We now have a mechanism for how it could have happened. All the necessary elements - clay, organic molecules and water - are there. The longer time scale and the greater mass of comets make it overwhelmingly more likely that life began in space than on earth."'" jamie points out that the author of this paper has many 'fringe' theories. Your mileage may vary.

556 comments

  1. Of course it started in space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    That's where God lives.

    1. Re:Of course it started in space by Fozzyuw · · Score: 4, Funny

      Of course it started in space[...]That's where God lives.

      Yes, Earth, one of the many planetary eggs fertilized by the big G's... er, comet. It's like pollination on a galactic scale.

      Cheers,
      Fozzy

      --
      "The past was erased, the erasure was forgotten, the lie became truth." ~1984 George Orwell
    2. Re:Of course it started in space by Darren+Hiebert · · Score: 4, Interesting

      ...and have you noticed how much a comet resembles a really large sperm? Or how the earth resembles a really large egg? Which came first? It's the same problem all over again!

    3. Re:Of course it started in space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      Which came first? I think they both came at the same time. Unless, of course, the earth was faking it...
    4. Re:Of course it started in space by Himring · · Score: 1

      I think God might have created us in space, but made us live on earth without us having any say. Honestly though, I cannot explain this any more scientifically than was done in the movie "Time Bandits":

      Cartwright: But why, if that's the case, are you unable to escape from this fortress?
      [Evil blows him up]
      Evil: That's a good question. Why have I let the Supreme Being keep me here in the Fortress of Ultimate Darkness?
      Robert: Because you...
      Evil: Shut up, I'm speaking rhetorically.

      --
      "All great things are simple & expressed in a single word: freedom, justice, honor, duty, mercy, hope." --Churchill
    5. Re:Of course it started in space by saskboy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Canadian comedy taught me that there's a 50/50 chance to everything. Either is happens, or it doesn't ;-)

      --
      Saskboy's blog is good. 9 out of 10 dentists agree.
    6. Re:Of course it started in space by ozbird · · Score: 1

      Schrodinger was Canadian?!

    7. Re:Of course it started in space by geobeck · · Score: 4, Funny

      Schrodinger was Canadian?!

      Of course! And it wasn't a cat; it was a moose.

      (And while he was looking around for a big enough box, the moose bit his sister.)

      --
      Find environmentally and socially responsible products on http://buy-right.net
    8. Re:Of course it started in space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Indeed, on Hale Bop.

    9. Re:Of course it started in space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gaia, that b$tch!

    10. Re:Of course it started in space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The earth is like a tiny grain of sand, only much, much heavier.

    11. Re:Of course it started in space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's white and falls from the sky?

      Te cumming of the Lord!!!

    12. Re:Of course it started in space by xarak · · Score: 2, Funny

      Mynd you, møøse bites kan be pretty nastï

      --
      Atheism is a non-prophet organisation
    13. Re:Of course it started in space by fair_n_hite_451 · · Score: 1

      Right then. The Producers would like to apologize for the previous two posts. Those responsible have been sacked.

      --
      Reason why there is hope for the future generation #364:
      "I wish my grass was emo so it could cut itself."
  2. No kidding by eln · · Score: 5, Funny

    The great anthropologist Dr. Douglas Adams already showed that we did not originate here. In fact, we were passengers on the 'B' Ark that crash-landed here. Our ancestors come from an ancient civilization called Golgafrinchans. It is a shame that Dr. Adams's work is so widely ridiculed as a "humorous" bit of "fiction" in wider scientific circles.

    1. Re:No kidding by MorderVonAllem · · Score: 5, Funny

      Well, if we take him serious then we might have to take hubbard serious.

    2. Re:No kidding by Fozzyuw · · Score: 1

      You know, I remember reading the book, but I don't remember the ending. However, I did finish the BBC series on this.

      According to the BBC series, Arthur Dent and Ford Prefect where on the 'B' Arc that crashed on earth as well as there already having been 'cavemen' on earth at the time of the crash.

      Thus, it's inconclusive that life came from the 'B' Arc. Bath anyone?

      --
      "The past was erased, the erasure was forgotten, the lie became truth." ~1984 George Orwell
    3. Re:No kidding by dpilot · · Score: 1

      Now that you mention it, Arthur was able to query the 'cavemen' about the Super-Deep-Thought question. So it just might be apparent that the Golgrafinchians died out. (Couldn't figure out how to reproduce, perhaps.)

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    4. Re:No kidding by Sunburnt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Hardly. Adams' writings are more consistent, structured, and believable than Hubbard's.

      Also, it helps that Douglas Adams wasn't a complete batshit loon.

      --
      Tags != Comments, and -1 (Troll) != -1 (I Would Respond Angrily To This Poster So They Must Be Trolling)
    5. Re:No kidding by cbeley · · Score: 1

      You didn't read Douglas Adam's last book, "Mostly Harmless" did you? Shame on you. Though the Hyperspace Bypass that would have existed in every dimension there is would have been nice...

    6. Re:No kidding by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      It wasn't "all life" that came from the B Ark, only humans. And it's been a while since I've read the Guide (forgive me...), but I think it was pretty clear that modern humans were the descendents of the B Ark people, not the cavemen.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    7. Re:No kidding by eln · · Score: 4, Insightful

      As a hard core Douglas Adams fan, I prefer to pretend the train wreck that is "Mostly Harmless" was never written, but was instead something I dreamed after a night of poorly made enchiladas and cheap beer. I don't think I'm alone in this.

    8. Re:No kidding by Sabaki · · Score: 1

      Which is all moot anyway, since everyone knows all life on Earth came from Magrathea.

    9. Re:No kidding by Verteiron · · Score: 5, Informative

      You're not. Adams himself regretting writing it and said its grim tone reflected a grim period in his life. He said he wanted to end the series on a more upbeat note. Unfortunately, exercise killed him before he could finish it.

      --
      End of lesson. You may press the button.
    10. Re:No kidding by Sigma+7 · · Score: 1

      It wasn't "all life" that came from the B Ark, only humans. And it's been a while since I've read the Guide (forgive me...), but I think it was pretty clear that modern humans were the descendents of the B Ark people, not the cavemen. If that's the case, Arthur wouldn't been able to query himself about the question. At worst, there must have been some crossbreeding between the B-Ark people and the cavemen...
    11. Re:No kidding by eln · · Score: 2, Informative

      The Earth and everything on it was a huge computer. The Golgafrinchams, when they landed, became part of the computer, albeit an unplanned part. Successive generations became an even more tightly integrated part of the computer. They embedded themselves into the computer sort of like a virus.

      Since they were part of the computer, they were then capable of producing the answer just like any other part of the computer. Since their unplanned presence screwed up the calculations, the answer they came up with was close to the true answer, but with a flaw that rendered it basically nonsensical.

    12. Re:No kidding by meringuoid · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Hardly. Adams' writings are more consistent, structured, and believable than Hubbard's.

      What nonsense. Adams changed the whole story substantially every few years. The radio told one story, then the record told another, then the books told yet another, and then there was the other version of which we do not speak for horror at the memory of the Babel Fish Puzzle, and then there was the TV series...

      Oh wait, hang on. That only qualifies the saga all the more for religious status :-)

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    13. Re:No kidding by Himring · · Score: 1

      I heard Hubbard took up a gamble to create a religion and it went too, too far....

      --
      "All great things are simple & expressed in a single word: freedom, justice, honor, duty, mercy, hope." --Churchill
    14. Re:No kidding by toganet · · Score: 4, Funny

      Hey, it's his story -- he can do with it what he wants. Well, I guess not now that he is dead.

    15. Re:No kidding by cbeley · · Score: 1

      Well...despite the ending and overall grim tone. It wasn't a bad book..and...something about Random made her an interesting character, but I can't exactly say why. Also, not only did Mostly Harmless have Random, but it told us the truth about Elvis. :-)

      Anyways..it wasn't that bad, but not....as good as the others.
      This is way off topic..isn't it?

    16. Re:No kidding by SwordsmanLuke · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Interestingly enough, shortly before he died, an audio version of the entire quintology (not sure if I'm making that word up) was put together. The final set (The "Quintessential Phase") actually does end on an upbeat note - if a bit ham-handedly.


      I'd post spoilers, but I'm lazy. 8^P Suffice it to say that all the main characters survive and it is implied that they live happily ever after - except Marvin who can't help it.

      --
      Any plan which depends on a fundamental change in human behavior is doomed from the start.
    17. Re:No kidding by Sunburnt · · Score: 1

      Ah, I'd forgotten Adams' often-tragic fascination with multimedia projects. Novels were always his best form.

      Dammit...now I wish you hadn't reminded me. I need a drink.

      --
      Tags != Comments, and -1 (Troll) != -1 (I Would Respond Angrily To This Poster So They Must Be Trolling)
    18. Re:No kidding by ApharmdB · · Score: 1

      Well, I'm glad to hear that. A friend of mine would be upset though. He thought that the ending was a perfect fit to the series. His opinion was that the universe according to HHGTTG was a cold and uncaring place where civilizations were wiped out without concern and randomness ruled. Only fitting that everyone dies for the same stupid bypass that started the whole series.

    19. Re:No kidding by object88 · · Score: 1

      ...the answer they came up with was close to the true answer, but with a flaw that rendered it basically nonsensical.

      Thus the answer to "What is six multiplied by nine?" being "forty-two"? Interesting, never thought of that.

    20. Re:No kidding by Herby+Sagues · · Score: 1

      The game was pretty good.

    21. Re:No kidding by no+one+sells+monkeys · · Score: 1

      i agree!!!!!

    22. Re:No kidding by LouisZepher · · Score: 1

      If Arthur hadn't run out of Scrabble tiles, the phrase would've ended: "...in base thirteen...".

    23. Re:No kidding by Pfhorrest · · Score: 1

      Except that Adams himself said that even he wouldn't sink so low as to make jokes in base-13.

      --
      -Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
      "I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
    24. Re:No kidding by Carewolf · · Score: 1

      an audio version of the entire quintology
      As the books state on the back: They are a triology in four books.

    25. Re:No kidding by static0verdrive · · Score: 1

      Hubbard was no wacko either. He was smart - he was quoted as having said "If you want to make it rich, start a religion!"

      --
      ========
      77 77 77 2e 6d 65 6c 76 69 6e 73 2e 63 6f 6d
    26. Re:No kidding by Novus · · Score: 1

      You mean the Heinlein-Hubbard wager?

    27. Re:No kidding by joss · · Score: 1

      And, closer to the topic he also said that DNA was created while heart of gold
      was operating at probability of just below infinity to 1 and it spread through
      the universe causing havoc wherever it took root. The notion that creation of life
      is less probable than life spreading has been around for a long time.

      --
      http://rareformnewmedia.com/
    28. Re:No kidding by Sunburnt · · Score: 1

      Hubbard was no wacko either. He was smart

      Smart and crazy can co-exist. Indeed, they seem to come as a package deal in varying degrees. See Nash, John Forbes, for a well-known example.

      --
      Tags != Comments, and -1 (Troll) != -1 (I Would Respond Angrily To This Poster So They Must Be Trolling)
    29. Re:No kidding by elrous0 · · Score: 1
      Are you implying that Tom Cruise is a batshit-crazy, vacuous Hollywood himbo following the writings of a 2nd-rate scifi hack in an sad attempt to mask his obvious homosexuality?

      How dare you besmirch his good name, sir!! I'll have you know he was in "The Color of Money."

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    30. Re:No kidding by monkville · · Score: 0

      What nonsense. Adams changed the whole story substantially every few years... Well it all makes sense if you factor in parallel universes.
    31. Re:No kidding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you speak of that pile of crap that was the cinematic "experience" I think. God it was truly awful!

      Damn, I've said it, now I'm cursed

    32. Re:No kidding by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 1

      Different media, different projects. Remember, the radio show came first, then the first book, then the others.

      I like them all.

    33. Re:No kidding by bandmassa · · Score: 1

      What?! God is DEAD?!

      PUNK ROCK LIVES!!!!!!



      ;-)

      As for the comet thing, that sounds to me like, "You can't fool me, it's turtles all the way down, Prof. Sagan."

      --
      "I hope you like Guinness, Sir. I find it a refreshing substitute for, er... food." Col. Jack O'Neil, SG-1
    34. Re:No kidding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also, it helps that Douglas Adams wasn't a complete batshit loon.

      Neither was Hubbard. He was genious con man who knew how to screw people over and take their money.

  3. Obligatory by RealErmine · · Score: 5, Funny

    I for one welcome... uh, myself.

    --
    Dewey, you fool! Your decimal system has played right into my hands!
    1. Re:Obligatory by The+Angry+Mick · · Score: 1

      How about . . .

      I for one welcome our galactic immigrant ancestors!

      --

      I'm not tense. I'm just terribly, terribly, alert.

    2. Re:Obligatory by Himring · · Score: 1

      "Allow myself to introduce ... myself." --Austin Powers

      --
      "All great things are simple & expressed in a single word: freedom, justice, honor, duty, mercy, hope." --Churchill
    3. Re:Obligatory by lymond01 · · Score: 1

      I didn't think we'd all turn out to be illegal immigrants...

    4. Re:Obligatory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      please al duce to interlow my body.

  4. hm.. by UncleWilly · · Score: 5, Insightful

    In a manner of speaking, didn't everything start in space?

    1. Re:hm.. by edittard · · Score: 1

      Are you suggesting that we are stardust - interstellar carbon?

      --
      At the bottom of the /. main page it says 'Yesterday's News'. Well they got that right.
    2. Re:hm.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are studying the origins of life, not linguistic semantics.

    3. Re:hm.. by nuzak · · Score: 1

      And we've got to get ourselves back to the garden.

      --
      Done with slashdot, done with nerds, getting a life.
    4. Re:hm.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We're more like an interstellar infection. I'm hoping there's no Galactic Center for Disease Control, if ya get my drift.

    5. Re:hm.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      In a manner of speaking, didn't everything start in space?

      My car won't start in space, you insensitive clod!

    6. Re:hm.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, not like that. It's "and we've got to get ourselves back to the gaa...aa...aar...den..."

    7. Re:hm.. by treeves · · Score: 1

      Carl Sagan said on Cosmos that we are "star-stuff", but close enough.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    8. Re:hm.. by Tatarize · · Score: 1

      Space probably didn't. Spacetime can't exactly start in any location without space and time already in existence.

      That said, I think the title here is way off, rather than,

      Scientists Offer 'Overwhelming' Evidence Terran Life Began in Space

      it should be,

      'Scientists' 'Offer' 'Overwhelming' 'Evidence' 'Terran Life' Began in Space.

      Because just quoting the "overwhelming" as suspect doesn't really show how pathetic the rest of their claims are. As if comets have anything special, they are the same junk that flies around this galaxy and has for a really long time. The same junk that's on Earth, without needed to be formed in space and crash extremely violently into the planet. Oh, there's not enough time for replicating molecules happen on chance and promptly progress into more complex organisms before finally developing very basic bacteria. There was only a billion years. And what can you do in a billion years.

      I just can never wrap my head around how anybody can think for a moment that abiogenesis, which by all accounts is actually pretty trivial (though we don't know what things actually did it for us), is somehow so amazing that we need to outsource the problem to space. Because, somehow space is magically hospitable? Don't get me wrong, but I'll keep my magnetic field, gentle oceans, and plentiful organic molecules.

      --

      It is no longer uncommon to be uncommon.
    9. Re:hm.. by rifter · · Score: 1

      We're more like an interstellar infection. I'm hoping there's no Galactic Center for Disease Control, if ya get my drift.

      If there is, maybe we can destroy it with a paradox. :D

    10. Re:hm.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have a box of matches that say they light anywhere.

    11. Re:hm.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, not like that. It's "and we've got to get ourselves back to the gaa...aa...aar...den..."

      Depends on whether you're talking about the original (Joni Mitchell) version or the better known cover by Crosby, Stills & Nash ("Woodstock" was released previous to Neil Young joining up and screwing up the flow of the name).

    12. Re:hm.. by letxa2000 · · Score: 1

      just can never wrap my head around how anybody can think for a moment that abiogenesis, which by all accounts is actually pretty trivial (though we don't know what things actually did it for us), is somehow so amazing that we need to outsource the problem to space.

      By "all accounts" it is "pretty trivial?" What accounts are you speaking of? Most accounts I've seen basically say "it must be possible because it happened"--not exactly a stellar argument, excuse the pun. I haven't seen anyone say it was trivial, much less demonstrated that opinion to be true. How life began is one of the biggest question marks in science precisely because it isn't trivial. In fact, the question of how life started is probably second only to how the universe began. Lots of pet theories out there, but precious little agreement and even less proof.

      I do agree, though, that there's no reason to "offsource" the problem to comets. I have a hard time believing that a small, cold (even with radiation) clump of ice is somehow a more optimal place for life to begin than a warm planet 90 million aways from a star.

    13. Re:hm.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      get an electric one.

    14. Re:hm.. by Tatarize · · Score: 1

      Oh, yes, don't let me suggest for a moment that we know what actually caused the abiogenesis that lead to us. And that sort of anthropic principle that since we are here it must have happened does anything other than suggest that it is certainly possible. The pet theories you note are the point. They aren't proof for what actually happened but most of them, especially the newer ones, are quite good in that they explain how it could have happened in trivially small steps. Certainly there is easily self-replicating RNA but those are still too complex and some of the explanations to what could lead to those are quite insightful.

      In the end, it doesn't seem that hard and Earth seems a perfectly apt place for it to happen. This is where the life is, and there's no reason to "offsource" the problem to anything else and this planet "90 million aways" is plenty good enough to meet the criteria for those theories.

      --

      It is no longer uncommon to be uncommon.
    15. Re:hm.. by l0b0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Mine will (yeah, I wish)

    16. Re:hm.. by edittard · · Score: 1

      The Matthews' Southern Comfort version is even better known, at least in Europe.

      --
      At the bottom of the /. main page it says 'Yesterday's News'. Well they got that right.
  5. And Protoss life began on... by BobPaul · · Score: 4, Funny

    In an ironic statement, they also claim Protoss life began on Earth...

    1. Re:And Protoss life began on... by kryogen1x · · Score: 4, Funny

      My life for Aiu- er... GAIA!

    2. Re:And Protoss life began on... by Sciros · · Score: 4, Funny

      I always thought it was "my wife for hire!" providing some insight into the Protoss social structure.

      --
      I like basketball!!1!
    3. Re:And Protoss life began on... by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      The Protoss are a lot like the Orcs -- "my wife is a whore!" and all that.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    4. Re:And Protoss life began on... by xmarkd400x · · Score: 1

      Oh! Do you know where Mankirk's wife is?

    5. Re:And Protoss life began on... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "My life for Aiur.. Urmm... Ner'zhul!"

    6. Re:And Protoss life began on... by Elyscape · · Score: 1

      Alternatively, "my life for iron!", providing insight into the Protoss mining structure. Specifically, the lack thereof.

      --
      I own itburns.net. What should I put there?
    7. Re:And Protoss life began on... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm pretty sure she's with Chuck Norris.

  6. Oh, come on... by Overzeetop · · Score: 5, Funny

    There was never a better time to tag a story nevertellmetheodds!

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
    1. Re:Oh, come on... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ironically, the odds are even worse than 10^24 to 1 against there never being a better time to tag a story "nevertellmetheodds!"

    2. Re:Oh, come on... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      I wonder if there'll ever be another opportunity to tag a story 'spermfireball'..

  7. Others? by Turn-X+Alphonse · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This makes me wonder if there are other mobile space entities smaller than planets which harbor our earlier form of life. It seems extremely unlikely it was just once and the random chance it hit Earth seems far far too unlikely. So should we be looking at things smaller than planets for life or keep searching how we are now?

    --
    I like muppets.
    1. Re:Others? by eln · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I'm pretty sure we've already sent probes out to asteroids, but I don't know if they were capable of detecting organic compounds or if they were only looking for water.

      For stuff outside of our own solar system, I think right now we're only just beginning to learn how to detect planets smaller than Jupiter, so finding an object smaller than a planet that far out is probably beyond our capabilities at the moment.

      Even so, if you're looking for really complex life (such as intelligent life), you'd be better served to find planets that comets crashed into rather than the comets themselves.

    2. Re:Others? by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 1

      Even so, if you're looking for really complex life (such as intelligent life), you'd be better served to find planets that comets crashed into rather than the comets themselves. That would depend on whether or not you're looking for space vampires.
      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
    3. Re:Others? by marcosdumay · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "I'm pretty sure we've already sent probes out to asteroids, but I don't know if they were capable of detecting organic compounds or if they were only looking for water."

      Organic compounds are everywhere at the Solar System. It is so easy to detect them at dust released by commets or at surfaces that it doesn't make even news anymore.

    4. Re:Others? by steeljaw · · Score: 1
      I agree that the chances of these organisms landing on other planets is more than likely, but what are the chances that those planets have an atmosphere in which these organisms can:

      1) survive?

      2) evolve?

      --
      Procrastinators, Unite Tomorrow!!
    5. Re:Others? by blhack · · Score: 1

      once and the random chance it hit Earth seems far far too unlikely Well, actually, if you think about it...the odds that something could travel around the universe and NOT run into a planet are pretty small..Planets have gravity, which has this tendency to attract objects to them.
      --
      NewslilySocial News. No lolcats allowed.
    6. Re:Others? by geobeck · · Score: 2, Insightful

      ...what are the chances that those planets have an atmosphere in which these organisms can: 1) survive? 2) evolve?

      Life doesn't need a perfect atmosphere; it creates its own. The only reason Earth's atmosphere has free oxygen is because of life. In fact, life is also responsible for all of the carbon dioxide in our atmosphere, even what we're releasing; after all, coal and oil came from prehistoric plants and animals.

      Having a temperature range that allows liquid water to exist for at least part of the year is more important than atmospheric composition.

      --
      Find environmentally and socially responsible products on http://buy-right.net
    7. Re:Others? by geobeck · · Score: 4, Interesting

      ...the odds that something could travel around the universe and NOT run into a planet are pretty small..Planets have gravity, which has this tendency to attract objects to them.

      Space is very big, and planets are very small. Given enough time (billions of years), any rogue comet may eventually be influenced by a planet's gravity. But that doesn't mean it will hit it. Gravity doesn't work like a frog catching a fly; chances are the gravitational influence will merely change its course. And chances are that influence will be small, unless it passes close to a large planet. The comet would have to be heading pretty much straight at a planet in order to hit it. Even if it were to skim the outer atmosphere, it's unlikely that it would enter a terminal orbit.

      Consider this: The Earth is 8000 miles in diameter. The distance from the Earth to the moon is 239,000 miles. The distance to the Sun is 93,000,000 miles. To put this into perspective, imagine a walnut on your desk. That's the Earth. The Moon is a blueberry on the other side of your desk. The Sun is a car three blocks away. Jupiter is a pumpkin a mile from the Sun Car. Mix in the other planets at their proportional distances, and you still have a lot of space in which a comet (anything from a grain of sand to a pea at this scale) can miss everything as it passes through the solar system.

      The only object that will definitely have a strong influence is the Sun, and even it may or may not pull the comet into orbit.

      --
      Find environmentally and socially responsible products on http://buy-right.net
    8. Re:Others? by Hucko · · Score: 1

      So do stars... I'd think it more likely to be drawn into the sun.

      --
      Semi-automatic amateur armchair Australian philosopher; conjecture ready at any moment...
    9. Re:Others? by digitalchinky · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That would be why the moon is perfectly smooth and fully dent free then yes?

    10. Re:Others? by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      Having a temperature range that allows liquid water to exist for at least part of the year is more important than atmospheric composition.
      At least for our own narrow-minded view of life.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    11. Re:Others? by Technician · · Score: 1

      This makes me wonder if there are other mobile space entities smaller than planets which harbor our earlier form of life. It seems extremely unlikely it was just once and the random chance it hit Earth seems far far too unlikely. So should we be looking at things smaller than planets for life or keep searching how we are now?

      Having seen things arrive on our planet from space, I have my doubts on the chances something living made it to the surface. Even an orbiting space shuttle with people inside don't fare well if the special heat protection fails. Something with much higher speed than a low earth orbit has even poorer chances of making it to the surface alive.

      Originating life in space is a nice theory. Getting life to the planet is another problem. Maybe God in his space ship delivered us. (UFO's for the non-christians)

      --
      The truth shall set you free!
    12. Re:Others? by arminw · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      .....Having a temperature range that allows liquid water to exist .....

      That is a rather narrow range as a matter of fact. A planet with an orbit stable enough for such a narrow temperature spec can only exist if the primary star has no similar sized neighbor closer than about 3.8 light years. That alone excludes more than half of all known stars in our galaxy. Most stars are too close too each other.

      In addition, any life hosting planet has to meet a number of other critical specs. One of them is the correct spacing to a properly sized star. Huge stars vary their energy output too much over time to keep the temperature stable for any given planetary orbit. If the star is too small, then the planet has to be too close to that star to get enough heat. In that case, the planet can no longer rotate independently. One side, such as Mercury or our own moon will always fact the body it orbits.

      The planet also has to be the correct mass. To little and the water and atmosphere will evaporate into space until life can no longer happen or be sustained if it did happen. Too big a mass will let ammonia and methane accumulate, killing or at least severely stifling life. Mars and Venus are only a little smaller and larger respectively than earth.

      There are many other specs a planet-star system has to meet, but the ones I mentioned are the most obvious. The spectrum of the star should be a close match for a process of converting light into complex compounds needed by all life forms. The Sun's spectrum is well matched to the energy exchanges and chemical binding forces as evident in photosynthesis. The atmosphere must allow the relevant wavelengths through and screen out the most harmful rays from the sun and outer space.

      A little math of probabilities soon reveals that our earth is indeed a very special place. It is highly unlikely that there is another planet like ours in this galaxy. Could it be, just maybe, that some engineer figured out all the needed parameters? Could it be that this One, knowing that He would want to create life, had to first come up with a carefully designed laboratory where His great experiment we call "life" could be performed?

      --
      All theory is gray
    13. Re:Others? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      so that explains why there are so few craters on the moon and other planets in the solar system...

    14. Re:Others? by stjobe · · Score: 1

      probabilities


      You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    15. Re:Others? by BlackJedi · · Score: 1

      "One side, such as Mercury or our own moon will always fact the body it orbits." Mercury isn't tidal-locked. We used to think it was, but it isn't.

    16. Re:Others? by Tomfrh · · Score: 1

      The stuff that dented the moon was hanging around the solar system already.

    17. Re:Others? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It seems a little stupid to assume that life began in space because all the materials were there. What about earth's atmosphere and the fact that anything massive that falls through it burns out! Ok, even if it doesn't completely burn out, I am sure it reaches very high temperatures, and also the impact speed is too high to squeeze all life out of any life form. Don't you think this is counter intuitive to the 'pollination' theory?

    18. Re:Others? by arminw · · Score: 1

      ....Mercury isn't tidal-locked.....

      No, not totally, but nearly so. If the earth rotated as slowly, there would be no life on it. One side would be too hot and the other would be too cold anyway. The planet has to have a rate of rotation fast enough to prevent temperatures outside the life hospitable zone. If it spins too fast, its atmosphere becomes too turbulent for many life forms.

      --
      All theory is gray
    19. Re:Others? by arminw · · Score: 1

      My dictionary states that probability is the likelihood of something happening or being the case. The likelihood for ALL conditions to fall into place by chance is extremely small. The earth is a special place in the galaxy. The likelihood of winning the lottery jackpot is far greater than a planet like earth happening by randomness.

      --
      All theory is gray
  8. Extrapolation of probability using two variables?? by rhombic · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Soooooo, they used two numbers (mass of clay & # of comets) to generate a 1e24 to 1 odd against life having started here? Seems like they might have left one or two variables out of their equation. Hopefully this is just junk reporting rather than junk science.

    --
    1984 was supposed to be a warning, not an instruction manual.
  9. They "could" keep water in liquid form? by Shabbs · · Score: 1

    I have not RTFA but those are some humongous odds against based on the world "could". I guess I should RTFA then...

    --
    Mark
    1. Re:They "could" keep water in liquid form? by Shabbs · · Score: 2, Informative
      Well, after I RTFA, the article does not even use the word "could" in that reference. Bad summary. The relevant quote is here:

      The Cardiff team suggests that radioactive elements can keep water in liquid form in comet interiors for millions of years, making them potentially ideal "incubators" for early life. Cheers.
      --
      Mark
    2. Re:They "could" keep water in liquid form? by JasterBobaMereel · · Score: 0

      So Abiogenisys on Earth has one problem accoriding to some theories there has not been enough time
          but since no-one knows how long it takes this is a bit of a red herring?

      Panspermia has two problems it has to get life going (which it does not even attempt to explain) and then get it to Earth
          since comets were formed as part of the solar system they are the same age as the earth - so this does not help?
          some comets are ejected from our solar system (and so can be from others) so now they are relying on, not the chances of a comet hitting the earth (and life contained within surviving), but a comet from another, older solar system where life has arisen (or panspermia has got there already), and has got itself into that comet hitting the earth

      and they thing that life arising on earth is unlikely?

      --
      Puteulanus fenestra mortis
  10. Obligatory II by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Does this mean that we're our own inter-galactic overlords?

    1. Re:Obligatory II by Moderatbastard · · Score: 0

      No. That would imply that when we welcome them, we'd be welcoming ourselves. Since that would be self-inverse, it would violate the Soviet Russia principle and cause the universe to recurse until the stack overflowed.

      --
      1/3 of jokes get modded OT. If you get the joke, mod 1 in 3 insightful/interesting/underrated to restore karma balance.
  11. No way... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not this life, pal. I was born in Santa Monica!

  12. So they are saying... by Chineseyes · · Score: 1

    So what they are saying we are the product of intergalactic sperm that fertilized this ovum we call earth. Maybe we aren't inside a giant snow globe but a giant uterus and when it contracts our universe will come to a sudden and brutal end.

    --
    I think the invisible hand of the market has its middle finger extended

    --A wise old fart named SC0RN
    1. Re:So they are saying... by Ironchew · · Score: 0

      Never too late to have an abortion. We have the technology.

    2. Re:So they are saying... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And be born into the next universe...

    3. Re:So they are saying... by superstick58 · · Score: 2, Funny

      No, our universe will not end. We are the embryonic stem cells of the earth embryo. However, we will soon be harvested by the universe entity to be used to find a cure for galactic cancer. Unless the multi-verse government can pass the cosmos-bill banning earth-embryonic stem cell research, we are all doomed.

    4. Re:So they are saying... by ginbot462 · · Score: 2, Funny

      I like your ideas and would like to subscribe to your newsleter!

      --
      Atlas Shrugged : Thematic Story :: Battlefield Earth : Organized Religion
    5. Re:So they are saying... by The+Angry+Mick · · Score: 1

      However, we will soon be harvested by the universe entity to be used to find a cure for galactic cancer.

      Unless, of course, we are the cancer.

      --

      I'm not tense. I'm just terribly, terribly, alert.

  13. Yeah right by bytesex · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So the odds of a combination of clay + radiation was only to be found inside comets and the chances of that surviving a fiery impact at many kilometers per second are _higher_ than the same combination occurring naturally, peacefully, here on earth ? Somehow my bullshit meter goes all bananas.

    --
    Religion is what happens when nature strikes and groupthink goes wrong.
    1. Re:Yeah right by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 1

      I'd expect that the smaller you are (the lower your mass), the more likely you can survive such an impact.

      Someone should conduct an experiment with a known quantity of live flies in a jar dropped from a skyscraper (first clearing the impact zone of bystanders) and count the number of survivors.

      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
    2. Re:Yeah right by in2mind · · Score: 1

      Yeah.Life inside a chunk of clay can survive entry to earth at 10000's of Kilometre's per hour.
      Probably NASA needs to use Clay for its Space shuttles!

    3. Re:Yeah right by Duffy13 · · Score: 1

      While I agree it sounds relatively preposterous, its always those dam 1 in a million possibilities that end up working out for some reason. Or at least winning me that amazing hand no one saw coming in pitch...

      --
      "Now you know, and knowing is half the battle!"
    4. Re:Yeah right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Kinetic energy of a falling body is proportional to its mass, which is a function of volume (d^3). Strength, on the other hand, is a function of cross-sectional area (d^2). So with increasing size (d), the kinetic energy increases a lot faster than strength. It's the reason why a fly can slam repeatedly into a mirror without noticing, or why a mouse can fall off a tall building and escape unharmed.

      Of course, the ability to survive the fiery inferno of a comet impact is a whole 'nother story. . .

    5. Re:Yeah right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      If you assume (or can prove) that there's more comets than there is Earth, and you assume (or can prove) that it's equally likely for life to start on a comet as it is for life to start on Earth, then you have

      (likelihood of life starting on a comet) / (likelihood of life starting on Earth) = (amount of comet) / (amount of earth)

      for an extremely simplistic view.

    6. Re:Yeah right by alyflex · · Score: 1

      True that odds would be much better for life to start on earth than on oné comet, but consider how many comets have hit earth in its lifetime, that might even the odds a bit.

    7. Re:Yeah right by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      Somehow my bullshit meter goes all bananas. - Going with BS laced bananas? You have gotta have your digestive system checked.

    8. Re:Yeah right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, the clay could be fired and then shattered on impact!1111

    9. Re:Yeah right by xmarkd400x · · Score: 1

      Isn't hardened clay porcelain? And aren't current heat shields made of porcelain?

    10. Re:Yeah right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's the beauty of the science machine, you're welcome to refute the conclusions with a study and evidence of your own. But I'm speculating that you not only won't, but can't do to lack of training or smarts. You're probably not good for anything but a snide, uninformed comment. After all your gut feeling about how things work has never been wrong, right? You intuited quantum mechanical implications early on I'm sure.

    11. Re:Yeah right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      so you think the end of every comet is to go slamming into a planet in a fiery ball? my god, you're such an insult to physics and astronomy at the same time.

      and this is the kind of crap that gets modded up insightful? it reads more like a bad informed 6th grader try to tell a joke.

    12. Re:Yeah right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No obviously this comet put out some landing gear, opened up the hatch and dropped out the lifeforms in a tiny "Terra Rover".

      How exactly do YOU propose that the life within this mythical comet made it to our planet without slamming into it in a fiery ball?

    13. Re:Yeah right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or at least reconsider the diet he's feeding his pet bull.

    14. Re:Yeah right by someone1234 · · Score: 1

      Crash landing in the ocean is survivable for germs. If an asteroid is large enough, its core won't burn up, i guess. What if earth was a planet like Mars is now, with thin air and no water. The incoming asteroids provided the necessary water and air. This is one possible way.

      --
      Patents Drive Free Software as Hurricanes Drive Construction Industry
  14. Overwhelmingly underwhelming by paiute · · Score: 1

    So complex biomolecules wanted to self-organize and replicate bathed in the warm glow of cosmic rays and accelerated protons and electrons, cooled gently to 3 deg Kelvin on some comet rather than in a musty old pool of water covered with deadly oxygen and unbreathable nitrogen here on boring old Earth?

    --
    If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    1. Re:Overwhelmingly underwhelming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, the point is that the radioactive elements could have kept the comet water in a liquid form -- much warmer than 3K to be sure. And the Earth's atmosphere had almost no oxygen before life started making it. And we never speak in "degrees" when using kelvins, but that's just nitpicking.

    2. Re:Overwhelmingly underwhelming by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Informative

      Except that when life first evolved on Earth, there was no free oxygen in the atmosphere. In fact, the introduction of oxygen from cyanobacteria lead to the so-called oxygen catastrophe.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  15. Math question by He+Who+Waits · · Score: 1

    So what are the odds this is bull? A million-billion-gazillion to one?

  16. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by jandrese · · Score: 1

    Yeah, I'm curious how they came up with that number. Is that number of water bearing radioactive clay infused comets with enough mass to get early life down to an ocean they think are in our general area or something? I have to admit, both my Junk Science and Junk Reporting needles are hovering on the redzone right now.

    --

    I read the internet for the articles.
  17. Even if it is true, we cant explain the origin of by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Even if the claim is true, we are just transferring the problem from how life originated on Earth? to How life originated in the universe?.

    Please before you mod me troll, listen. The Theory of evolution does not explain the origin of life, just the origin of species. Most folk who believe in things like ID (I= intelligent or idiotic depending on your perspective) confuse the issue and attack science. Let us not make the same mistake on the science side. Even the most ardent supporters of the Theory of evolution, like Dawkins, have only proposed very tentative speculation about the origin of life. They readily admit that right now science does not have any definitive theories about the Origin of Life.

    This has nothing to do with evolution. Let us keep the discussions straight.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  18. Natives by lonechicken · · Score: 1

    See... further proof that nobody was living on the North American continent until someone(something) migrated here through the Bering Comet.

  19. Ideal incubator by Ironchew · · Score: 0

    Radiation in comets could keep water in liquid form for millions of years, they say, which along with the clay and organic molecules found on-board would provide an ideal incubator. Not as comfy as a Boeing 747 with hydrogen bombs onboard. L. Ron Hubbard knew the truth.
    1. Re:Ideal incubator by NayDizz · · Score: 1

      DC-8's, actually.

  20. Huh? by Otter · · Score: 5, Funny
    The Cardiff team suggests that radioactive elements can keep water in liquid form in comet interiors for millions of years...

    Is there any evidence that comets have such isotopes at such concentrations? This sounds like the sort of thing Lex Luthor would be involved in.

    1. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Is there any evidence that comets have such isotopes at such concentrations?

      And what are the odds of those concentrations being high enough to keep things warm and toasty without being high enough to fry the potentially developing life?

    2. Re:Huh? by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 1

      And what are the odds of those concentrations being high enough to keep things warm and toasty without being high enough to fry the potentially developing life? I think it's safe to say the theory is we evolved from cometary extremophiles that could adapt to less extreme environments.
      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
    3. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Radioactives decay over time. Yes, obviously, but it's important here because it is not the condition of comets TODAY that matters for this idea. It's the composition billions of years ago. Although there are a few natural processes generating new radioactives, and even natural nuclear piles, they are insignificant compared to the vast quantities generated in the supernova that is responsible for the bulk of the heavier elements present in our solar system. Billions of years ago, there was one HECK of a lot more radioactive material throughout our system, and it is the decay of that material that would have raised the temperatures in the early cometary material. Nowadays it is long since decayed.

    4. Re:Huh? by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      And as I stated earlier, that buys you at best 500 million years. That's even if we can demonstrate that comets of the type being claimed here actually exist.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    5. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This sounds like the sort of thing Lex Luthor would be involved in.

      Actually, this sounds like a job for Torchwood. Above the law, beyond the U.N., 2 blocks down, round the corner, next to the 7-11. Why else would researchers from Cardiff suddenly come to this conclusion? I tell you, it's because they found some horny aliens who explained it to them over pillow talk!
    6. Re:Huh? by Otter · · Score: 1
      Radioactives decay over time. Yes, obviously, but it's important here because it is not the condition of comets TODAY that matters for this idea. It's the composition billions of years ago.

      OK, but is there any evidence that comets today contain large chunks of decay products from heat-emitting isotopes?

  21. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's much worse than that. Like all panspermia advocates, and like a good many Creationists, they essentially crib the "odds" argument. This looks no different than any other pro-panspermia "study" in that it starts with a strawman of abiogenesis.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  22. We're not alone by Ckwop · · Score: 3, Interesting

    British scientists are reporting today that the odds of life starting on Earth rather than inside a comet are one trillion trillion (10 to the power of 24) to one against.

    It's probably also worth pointing out that this result has probably increased the chance of life existing elsewhere in the universe by a similar amount. There are far more commets than planet and they are a truly huge number of stars.

    Moreover, it is more plausible that a comet could fertilize many star systems if it was knocked out of the orbit of various stars in its life-time. While this sort of event is in itself unlikely it is orders of magnitude more likely than life being liberated from a planet from a violent impact. The life would have to survive the fiery, high G, exit from whatever atmosphere there was surrounding the planet and would still have to have sufficient momentum to escape the star. These properties taken together pretty much eliminate any chance of that happening.

    Compare this to the following comet hypothesis. Life gets started on a comet with a highly elliptical orbit billions of years ago. How this happens is open question but for the moment assume it does. As the star uses up its fuel it loses mass and the orbit slowly stretches. Eventually, the comet is able to free itself from the gravity of the parent star. Hundred of millions of years later, the star goes supernova. The blast wave from the supernova gently accelerates the comet into a planetary nebular. It just happens to be the one that our Earth was forged in. As the nebular condenses the life that started inside the comet transfers itself to the billions of water droplets and mineral material. You can guess what happens next.

    I've always suspected we are not alone. It's just whether we're all too far away from each other for the knowledge to make any difference.

    Simon

    1. Re:We're not alone by Paulrothrock · · Score: 1

      The life would have to survive the fiery, high G, exit from whatever atmosphere there was surrounding the planet and would still have to have sufficient momentum to escape the star.

      It would have to survive a high temperature, high-G exit from the planet, but a gravitational boost could eject it from the solar system if it encountered another planet at the right trajectory.

      Not that that is any more likely than being flung directly into deep space, just that it is possible.

      --
      I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
    2. Re:We're not alone by BobPaul · · Score: 1

      Moreover, it is more plausible that a comet could fertilize many star systems if it was knocked out of the orbit of various stars in its life-time. I think it's much more plausible that 1 comet could only fertilize 1 planet. In order for the life in the comet to survive on the planet, it needs a way to get safely to the surface. Riding inside the center of a comet while the exterior turns into a fireball while passing through the planet's atmosphere is one way. Breaking off in the comets tail and descending to the surface seems much less likely.

      Though I agree that the comet need not have originated in our solar system.
  23. The answer is.... by Mandovert · · Score: 1

    42

  24. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    While I know little of these things, I've always felt that panspermia is the more likely hypothesis, by virtue of the number of different environments an old comet might encounter through out it's life. Heat and cold, primordial electron plasma, various kinds of radiation and so forth.

  25. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by tillerman35 · · Score: 2, Funny

    I think length of time was factored in somehow, the gist of it being that comets have been around a lot longer than the Earth and therefore more likely to have had the incubating effect.

    That stated, it'll take more than a few numbers in a formula to convince me. I'm not going to believe this until a cometary probe comes back contaminated with an alien microbe that destroys all life on the planet. And even then, I'll be a little bit skeptical.

  26. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by FuzzyDaddy · · Score: 4, Funny
    The odds are 1 in 10^24 if their assumptions are true... The odds of the assumptions being true is a different story.

    When I was in grad school our group was trying to make a particular type of superconducting circuit. After many attempts we got one that worked, wrote it up, and presented it at a conference.

    During the Q&A, someone asked my advisor what our yields were. "On a good day, 100%". The followup question was, "what's your yield on good days?"

    --
    It's not wasting time, I'm educating myself.
  27. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Phanatic1a · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's junk science. Wickramasinghe and Hoyle are the same two who concocted the absurd probabilistic "tornado in a junkyard" argument against evolution. Hell, during the SARS outbreak, Wickramasinghe suggested that SARS was an alien virus. Yep, it just happened to have a sequence remarkably similar to other earth-borne viruses, and just happened to fall to earth in a region where similar viruses infected wild animals. Yep, that's the ticket.

    Hoyle at least used to be a real scientist. I'm not sure if Wickramasinghe ever was. He said "
    "The chances that life just occurred are about as unlikely as a typhoon blowing through a junkyard and constructing a Boeing 747" in 1982, so he's been a crackpot for a long time. This guy's just one step less crazy than Behe and the other 'intelligent design' crackpots. The only difference is that the intelligent designer posited by Wickramasinghe and Hoyle is a natural one, not a supernatural one; all the other problems with their claims are the same.

  28. Curious but probably wrong by First+Person · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If I understand their argument correctly, the abundance of clay in certain comets provides the template for RNA formation and eventual RNA-based life (with DNA coming later). There may be other factors which are discussed in the actual paper. As such, consider these thoughts preliminary.

    There are several factors that would seem to argue against life starting in comets. First of all, planets have a far greater volume than comets with larger and more diverse areas in which life might form. Comets must not only reach planets but deliver their biologics intact. These biologics must then be suitable for propagation in the environment in which they arrive.

    That last point is quite important. If comets did provide a birthplace for life, it is quite likely that their cargo would be unable to survive such an abrupt transition. Far more likely is that the life started on the planet in the first place.

    --
    Given one hour to live, the student replied: "I'd spend it with professor FP who can make an hour seem like a lifetime."
    1. Re:Curious but probably wrong by dpilot · · Score: 1

      His point is that while Earth may have more space, comets have more time. Plus once you consider the entire ancient cometary halo, they may have had more space, too. As for delivering their cargo, it doesn't need to make it down intact. Presumably a few fragments of self-organizing molecules would bootstrap things on Earth. Getting that initial self-organizing molecule is the tough part. We're not talking anything recognizable as life here, just a steppingstone on the way there.

      Still maybe life did originate on Earth with no assistance from comets. But his idea seems plausible.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    2. Re:Curious but probably wrong by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      So in other words you are not overwhelmed?
      Kind of like when I saw the local book store offering a talk by some man that claimed to have irrefutable proof of past lives.
      At least this is an interesting theory with some basis in science.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    3. Re:Curious but probably wrong by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Agree except for one thing: current theories predict that the solar system's cometary halo contains far more mass than Earth, and more importantly, comets, assuming their interiors were warmed radioactively, would provide far more suitable volume than the habitable crust of any of the planets in the solar system. That's where their huge odds come from -- there are a LOT of comets. The time factor seems more or less irrelevant to me -- comets wouldn't be "habitable" that much sooner than planets.

    4. Re:Curious but probably wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but what are the odds? Without odds this thread is worthless!

    5. Re:Curious but probably wrong by First+Person · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I do recognize that the total mass of comets is larger than the terresterial planets. However, I dispute that the usable volume is as high as the authors might want to claim. Much of the cometary volume is too cold, with short-lived radioisotopes for heating (particularly 26Al). Terresterial planets get consideral benefit from gravitational heating and convection to create long-lived zones with stable temperatures and limited ionizing radiation.

      I think we can safely say that the odds of multicelled life developing on comets are very low. Conversely, some biologically relevant molecules do form in comets. The question is how far toward life comets can take you. Skepticism is warrented for any 'origin of life' paper. Multiple by ten for any paper that claims to present a decisive argument (as this one does).

      --
      Given one hour to live, the student replied: "I'd spend it with professor FP who can make an hour seem like a lifetime."
    6. Re:Curious but probably wrong by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Agreed these guys' conclusions are full of it. The argument is interesting though. Perhaps life, or life precursors beyond simple organic compounds got started on comets while the comets were warm enough and the planets were too hot, then continued once the planets cooled off enough.

    7. Re:Curious but probably wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1) Their conclusion was that the new findings "strengthen the case for panspermia", which they do.
      2) Parent misrepresents paper because the paper is not giving any odds for life to born. It is saying that "if life is born in the way A, it is more likely to be born in place x than place y."

      Giving fair presentation to other people's opionions is the step A in any argumentation.

    8. Re:Curious but probably wrong by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1
      Here's the relevant bit from the article. Unfortunately they don't provide the journal for the original paper (if there is one) so I'm assuming the article is factually correct and that the direct quote isn't a misquote.

      The researchers calculate the odds of life starting on Earth rather than inside a comet at one trillion trillion (10 to the power of 24) to one against.
      Professor Wickramasinghe said: "The findings of the comet missions, which surprised many, strengthen the argument for panspermia. We now have a mechanism for how it could have happened. All the necessary elements - clay, organic molecules and water - are there. The longer time scale and the greater mass of comets make it overwhelmingly more likely that life began in space than on earth."


      So from the quote everything sounds reasonable until he gets to the last sentence. Then there are the odds they calculated. Both are valid if you assume that the Earth is just like a comet in every way relevant to life. Quite the assumption, no?

      They've failed to show that there's no difference, as far as life is concerned, between Earth and a comet so using the number of comets versus the number of Earths as odds of life developing on one versus the other is not valid. Thus, their conclusions are full of it.

      Finally, no, I didn't misrepresent their paper by saying they were calculating the odds for life to be born. Reading a post is the first step to responding to it.
    9. Re:Curious but probably wrong by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 1
      If you consider the amount of planets in the universe, the size of these planets, the stability of these planets, and the full age of the universe in which life could have started on any planet that has existed, together with the evidence that life occurs on a planet, it is far more likely that it actually started on a planet. That particular planet happened to be Earth.

      In short, any theory that posits a complicated pathway for life to get on Earth, has additional odds against it. You need a very strong theory about how life can form only on a comet and not on a planet to make these odds go away.

  29. Evolution by lazydog · · Score: 0

    So where did our pointy ears go?

  30. The odds by do_kev · · Score: 1

    It would be really nice to see where they came up with their statistic. I suspect that we might not agree with some of the assumptions and estimations they made to arrive at such an enormously improbable number of life originating on Earth.

  31. Missing Ingredient by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wasn't lightning part of the whole genesis of life shindig? Or am I incorrect in my knowledge of how cells can form from organic molecules.

  32. What good are galactic space odds... by Applekid · · Score: 1

    ... without a galactic space bookie? I'm feelin' lucky!

    --
    More Twoson than Cupertino
  33. But.. by Mockylock · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Where did the space life come from? Are we not... in space?

    --
    "Please, shut up. Just when I think you can't say anything more stupid, you speak again." -Archie Bunker.
    1. Re:But.. by SpaceLifeForm · · Score: 1

      That's always been my observation.

      --
      You are being MICROattacked, from various angles, in a SOFT manner.
  34. these atheist scientists by circletimessquare · · Score: 5, Funny

    want to tell us that life was created by random comet falls?

    i demand equal time for the godly and righteous theory of intelligent comet placing!

    comets did not just fall randomly to earth and create life!

    god himself intelligently directed comets to come to the early lifeless earth 6,000 years ago!

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:these atheist scientists by ProppaT · · Score: 0, Troll

      I thought this was sarcasm until I looked at your website..

      6,000 years ago, eh? So I take it the dinosaurs came from a non-God directed commit. Heathen beasts!

      --
      Wise men say, "Forgiveness is divine, but never pay full price for late pizza."
    2. Re:these atheist scientists by MyLongNickName · · Score: 1

      You laugh. But the Intelligent Designers were telling us that there is no way life could have originated on Earth by chance. The odds were too great for it to be all chance, they argued. And many here laughed at that.

      Yet some scientists argue the same thing and many here are eager to believe it.

      You can come to your own conclusions on what this means.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    3. Re:these atheist scientists by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      My conclusion is that the IDers and the panspermiests are committing the same logical fallacy, and, from an logical and emperical point of view, are pretty much riding in the same boat. I'll guarantee you this, these guys overinflated claims will not impression the organic chemists and biochemists out there who are actually working on abiogenesis problem.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    4. Re:these atheist scientists by Himring · · Score: 2, Funny

      Kevin: Who was that man?
      Fidgit: That was no man. That was the Supreme Being.
      Kevin: You mean God?
      Fidgit: Well, we don't know Him that well. We only work for Him.
      Randall: Shut up!
      --Time Bandits

      --
      "All great things are simple & expressed in a single word: freedom, justice, honor, duty, mercy, hope." --Churchill
    5. Re:these atheist scientists by Himring · · Score: 1

      I've decided to respond to all comments regarding God, ID, etc., with movie quotes from "Time Bandits." Here's another:

      Evil: God isn't interested in technology. He cares nothing for the microchip or the silicon revolution. Look how he spends his time, forty-three species of parrots! Nipples for men!
      Robert: Slugs.
      Evil: Slugs! HE created slugs! They can't hear. They can't speak. They can't operate machinery. Are we not in the hands of a lunatic?

      --
      "All great things are simple & expressed in a single word: freedom, justice, honor, duty, mercy, hope." --Churchill
    6. Re:these atheist scientists by Dread_ed · · Score: 1

      If we assume for the moment that ID is atually correct, and mix in the flaw in Pascal's wager (how do you know your god is teh real god) it could very well be that life was created by Satan.

      --
      When the only tool you have is a claw hammer every problem starts to look like the back of someone's skull.
    7. Re:these atheist scientists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Somebody needs to make a time bandits quote generator for igoogle...

  35. Sheesh by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    British scientists are reporting today that the odds of life starting on Earth rather than inside a comet are one trillion trillion (10 to the power of 24) to one against.

    That they can even presume to put a number on the probability of life is evidence enough that they have no idea what they're talking about.

    Anyway, the odds of life are totally irrelevent to anything. See: anthropic principle.

    --
    Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    1. Re:Sheesh by Valar · · Score: 1

      I really wish they had chosen a better word than 'observer' when outlining quantum physics. It lends people to believe weird humanistic things about reality. Like that the universe was created just for us. I've also heard people talk about being able to harness our 'observer power' to gain superpowers and psychic abilities. The truth is, an observer as defined in quantum physics is essentially any system which extends beyond quantum scale. Rocks are observers. Water molecules are observers. So yes, I will accept that a necessary condition for the formation of a well ordered universe is a capability to form packets of mass at an atomic scale.

    2. Re:Sheesh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree. These statistics, although possibly accurate, are completely misleading and meaningless.

      ... the odds of life starting on Earth rather than inside a comet are one trillion trillion (10 to the power of 24) to one against.

      I think there's a few more comets than there are planet Earths knocking about in space so that'd skew this probability a little bit...

    3. Re:Sheesh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anyway, the odds of life are totally irrelevent to anything. See: anthropic principle.

      Not really. If we were somehow able to establish that, in the universe before life on Earth, panspermia would be, say, 1000 times more likely than Earthbound abiogenesis, that would(barring any other information, specifically information that would suggest that in our specific universe life did arise on Earth) make panspermia a vastly stronger hypothesis.

      The problem, of course, is that there's no way to establish non-bullshit probabilities for any question that can't be answered better by some other means.
    4. Re:Sheesh by Zalbik · · Score: 1

      Unforunately, when discussing an observer in regards to the anthropic principle, it is specifically intelligent observers that are being referred to...and for some versions of the principle, carbon-based intelligent observers

      See: Anthropic Principle. IMHO it's really an idea that belongs more to the realm of philosophy than science.

      I wasn't aware that quantum physics had any other form of the anthropic principle which only refers to atomic scale "observers"...reference?

  36. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by HappyEngineer · · Score: 1

    I don't understand. I just looked up abiogenesis and the word just means life from non-living matter. By definition doesn't that have to be the start of any theory of life evolving? I'm not sure why you called it a strawman.

  37. not surprising by sammy+baby · · Score: 1

    Is this surprising? I mean, in the seventies it was a popular theory that life here began out there.

    1. Re:not surprising by Jugalator · · Score: 1

      Yes, and the idea had a renaissance in the 90's...

      hmmm.. no, wait a minute!

      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
  38. Old News by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Did these scientists just now get around to reading "Heart of the Comet" by David Brin and Gregory Benford from the 1980s?

  39. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 3, Funny

    Soooooo, they used two numbers (mass of clay & # of comets) to generate a 1e24 to 1 odd against life having started here? Seems like they might have left one or two variables out of their equation. Hopefully this is just junk reporting rather than junk science.

    I have a new meta-theory for these sorts of things: if your hypothesis sounds like the Chewbacca Defense, it's almost certainly bogus.

  40. Logic? by supersho · · Score: 1

    In summary: Most of the clay in the solar system is in comets. Therefore life evolved in comets.

    Even assuming that life did indeed evolve in clay (a popular theory, but by no means the consensus), this argument doesn't convince me.

    1. Re:Logic? by thatskinnyguy · · Score: 1

      That logic is like saying that all plasma in the solar system evolved in the sun and when things enter into the Earth's atmosphere and are enveloped in plasma, they must do so by way of the sun. How else could plasma get here to Earth?

      --
      The game.
  41. Controversial result? by oskay · · Score: 4, Informative

    Also in the news this week is the opposite result: that life cannot exist in comets because of the radiation. So... it's not obvious (to me) that there is any scientific consensus on this topic.

    1. Re:Controversial result? by TubeSteak · · Score: 1

      Also in the news this week is the opposite result: that life cannot exist in comets because of the radiation. So... it's not obvious (to me) that there is any scientific consensus on this topic. You'll find studies with "the opposite result" for pretty much any remotely important & controversial topic.

      Scientific conclusions can be bought.
      For an example, see the history of Cigarette safety.
      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    2. Re:Controversial result? by Etcetera · · Score: 1

      Also in the news this week is the opposite result: that life cannot exist in comets because of the radiation. So... it's not obvious (to me) that there is any scientific consensus on this topic.


      You'll find studies with "the opposite result" for pretty much any remotely important & controversial topic.

      Scientific conclusions can be bought.
      For an example, see the history of Cigarette safety.


      And yet, everyone presumes that one side of the Global Warming debate is filled rock-solid consensus-declared Truth while the other side is simply people-being-bought-by-entity-XYZ.

      Considering the amount of money at risk on both sides, anyone who claims a bona-fide "consensus" this early on is lying IMHO.

    3. Re:Controversial result? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Life must have begun in comet & life cannot exist in comet => there is no such thing as life.

    4. Re:Controversial result? by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 1

      Considering the amount of money at risk on both sides, anyone who claims a bona-fide "consensus" this early on is lying IMHO.
      Care to explain where the money is on the 'consensus-declared Truth' side of things? And don't come with funding, real funding comes from the 'nothing-has-been-proven' side. So please tell me: where is the money? I could use some.
    5. Re:Controversial result? by martin-boundary · · Score: 1
      These particular scientists are crackpots. However, in general, you shouldn't read the science reporting in newspapers, on any scientific topic, in any newspaper. It's all crap and written for the ignorant, and WILL confuse you if you believe any of it.

      If you want to keep up with scientific progress in a field, read the specialized literature, or if you can't do otherwise, read books written for the public by famous scientists about their own field, or read magazines which specialize in scientific reporting for scientifically literate audiences.

  42. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by SpinyNorman · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Bear in mind that this self-validating conclusion comes from Professor Chandra Wickramasinghe who is intimately tied to the theory of panspermia. Let's wait for science to do it's thing and see if everyone else agrees with his conclusions and math (yeah, right)...

    Gotta say that last time I checked the water is liquid right here on planet earth also.

  43. Back to the drawing board, I say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Now where did I put my patented super-battery designs...

  44. Panspermia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Panspermia: When God masturbates.

    1. Re:Panspermia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      > Panspermia: When God masturbates.

      (all together now!)

      "My eyes have seen the Glory of the Coming of the Lord..."

    2. Re:Panspermia by meringuoid · · Score: 4, Funny

      Panspermia: When God masturbates. Ev-e-ry sperm is sa-cred! Ev-e-ry sperm is gre-e-e-at!

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    3. Re:Panspermia by kaizokuace · · Score: 2, Funny

      all over your mom! mother earth that is.

      --
      Balderdash!
    4. Re:Panspermia by dfghjk · · Score: 1

      Did God give you a strawberry shortcake?

    5. Re:Panspermia by ozmanjusri · · Score: 1
      When God masturbates

      You're being a bit egotistical thinking it was God.

      Looks more like a farming operation to me. First you plant the seed, then you let the crop grow 'till it's ripe. Then you harvest the crop.

      Nasa should be mounting a lookout for a galactic John Deere combine.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    6. Re:Panspermia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Q. What's white and shoots across the sky?

      A. The Coming of the Lord.

  45. Into and out of by Helios1182 · · Score: 1

    So a comet brought us into existence, and it could take us out of existence. Seems fair to me.

    1. Re:Into and out of by muellerr1 · · Score: 1

      So a comet brought us into existence, and it could take us out of existence. Seems fair to me.
      Right now the comet is up in the front seat yelling, "Don't make me come back there!"
  46. Edumakation by Shadow+Wrought · · Score: 2, Funny

    If the Religious Right takes issue with Evolution, just wait they find out that little Bobby is going to be taught about Panspermia! In school! Next thing you know Health class will be teaching kids the proper way to masticate.

    --
    If brevity is the soul of wit, then how does one explain Twitter?
    1. Re:Edumakation by andphi · · Score: 1

      No, no, no. Mastication should be taught at home. By the time children get to school, they should be able to masticate for themselves. And if someone is trying to send to school a child who's too young too hold his own food (or tries to masticate other children), the child should be sent home to the parent until they both grow up some.

  47. Not so surprising by junglee_iitk · · Score: 1

    I never understood why life coming from outside is not widely accepted theory. There have been many proofs in the past. It is highly probable if compared to life evolving from a giant organic soup. The only problem was how, and now that also seems to be satisfactorily answered,

    1. Re:Not so surprising by Don_dumb · · Score: 1

      I never understood why life coming from outside is not widely accepted theory. There have been many proofs in the past. It is highly probable if compared to life evolving from a giant organic soup. The only problem was how, and now that also seems to be satisfactorily answered, If you are satisfied with that evidence as proof then you might want to read the light criticism above your post. It doesn't take a lot to call this into serious question.
      --
      If this were really happening, what would you think?
    2. Re:Not so surprising by sgage · · Score: 2, Informative

      There have been zero proofs of anything regarding abiogenesis. Lots of speculation. Nothing is satisfactorily answered. In what way is life evolving from "outside" more probable than life evolving from a "giant organic soup"? I'm not saying it is or isn't - I'm saying we don't know jack about it. And not that "giant organic soup" is the only earth-bound model.

      It seems to me that life originated right here on Terra, but I sure as hell can't prove it. But I see no reason to look to comets or panspermia or whatever. Occam's Razor, and all that. The early days of Terra provided some pretty exotic environments that could probably get the job done. Or, IMO, evidently got the job done.

      Whatever.

  48. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Interesting

    What is an "old" comet? No comet we're going to encounter is going to be any older than the solar system itself. Most of these comets would, in fact, only be a few hundreds of millions of years older than the Earth itself, and quite likely would have spent a great deal of their time on the outer bounds of the solar system.

    We know that life was here between 3.5 and 3.9 billion years ago, with some iffy evidence suggesting it was even older. That gives us a net time advantage for any given comet of no more than about 500 million years. That sounds like a lot, but in reality it really isn't that big a span. Beyond that, considering that our knowledge of cometary history is still rather sketchy, and that our sample size is exceedingly small, this is nothing more than a pretty substantial "what-if", itself based upon one particular abiogenesis theory, which has been somewhat supplanted in recent years.

    If we're going to start talking about interstellar comets, to add more time to the equation, someone is going to have to a) provide evidence of such bodies and b) provide evidence that radioactive decay is going to produce heat long enough for liquid water within the body to act as an incubator for the VERRRY long stretches of time that some organisms or proto-organisms are going to survive.

    Now, weight all of this against the fact that the early Earth had all the ingredients for life to develop; *plentiful* amounts of liquid water and lots and lots of energy (in the forms of solar radiation, atmospheric conditions like lightning and geothermal energy from oceanic vents and vulcanism). Can someone kindly explain to me how a comet, even with clays or clay-like crystaline minerals and some sort of low-level radioactive decay (it has to be pretty low-level too, because anything too energetic or in too high a quantity is more likely going to be delerious than helpful) is going to provide this more wonderful environment.

    As with every generation of panspermia advocates, the underlying argument is essentially "We don't think there was enough time for life to develop on the early earth, so we've got to find a way to add more time." Even if we give them this part of the argument (and I frankly think even that is FAR too generous), they still have to explain how conditions elsewhere (comets, other planets orbiting other stars) are somehow more environmentally-friendly to abiogenesis than Earth was.

    This is not to slight the largely unrelated idea that comets could have been the source of organic molecules that could have been some sort of organic "seeds" for early self-replicators to develop and to use as raw materials and energy.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  49. There are those who believe... by crankyspice · · Score: 1

    ...That life here, began ... out there, far across the universe...

    --
    geek. lawyer.
    1. Re:There are those who believe... by haplo21112 · · Score: 1

      ...or maybe it was some aliens who tossed their DNA into the primordial soup on a bunch of different planets and we just need Jean-Luc to fly around and bring the people of all those worlds together to find out that no matter our differences we are much the same.

      --
      Power Corrupts,Absolute Power Corrupts Absolutely, leaving one person(group)in charge is absolutely corrupt.
    2. Re:There are those who believe... by 91degrees · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but those people also believe Starbuck's a guy:P

  50. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The strawman lies in the claim that current abiogenesis theories don't give enough time for the kind of organic chemical evolution that would lead to the earliest metabolizing self-replicating molecules.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  51. Department name is somewhat appropriate... by RyanFenton · · Score: 4, Interesting

    we-are-all-made-of-stardust dept... close, but Sagan's line ended with 'star stuff', which is actually more appropriate here.

    As to the relative plausibility of comet-seeded or locally-formed progenitors to life, given that reactions propagate, commonly leading to repeating and self-feeding cycles of reactions, the only argument for extra-solar is the added timescale and potential additional area for productive area for pre-life to evolve in.

    Given that the universe is 13.7 billion years old, and the earth is 4.5 billion years old, and life on the earth is nearly that old, and that the universe has only been cool enough to support planets or life for much of that time, I don't believe panspermia buys us that many more orders of magnitude of time to work with.

    So, it doesn't buy us time, how about area? Again, I can only guess using very rough psuedo-numbers here, but the matter we could get from previously existing worlds or small super-fertile comets has to come from somewhere previous. Given the expanding nature of the universe, we're generally only going to be getting a pie-slice of potential sources for any life-by-projectile, and each of these sources has to have been fed by enough nuclear sources to make the building blocks of simple pre-life. I can imagine a multiplication of potential sources this way, and even though it would only take one source to seed the whole set... just imagining the mass that actually makes it into out solar system, and then actually hits our earth... that likelihood doesn't seem much stronger than the numbers we think of with abiogenesis via selective pressures here on earth.

    Ryan Fenton

  52. The question is... by Fozzyuw · · Score: 1

    What do you get if you multiply six by nine?

    --
    "The past was erased, the erasure was forgotten, the lie became truth." ~1984 George Orwell
    1. Re:The question is... by cez · · Score: 1

      What do you get if you multiply six by nine?


      54.

      --
      Walk with Music;
    2. Re:The question is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ? 54

  53. Life started here on earth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    'Then God said, "Let the land produce vegetation: seed-bearing plants and trees on the land that bear fruit with seed in it, according to their various kinds." And it was so. 12 The land produced vegetation: plants bearing seed according to their kinds and trees bearing fruit with seed in it according to their kinds. And God saw that it was good. 13 And there was evening, and there was morning--the third day.'

    Genesis 1:11-13

    1. Re:Life started here on earth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Heathen!

      In the beginning there was the void. And the void was called Ginnungagap. What does Ginnungagap mean? Yawning gap, beginning gap, gap with magical potential, mighty gap; these are a few of the educated guesses. Along with the void existed Niflheim the land of fog and ice in the north and Muspelheim the land of fire in the south. There seems to be a bit of confusion as to whether or not these existed after Ginnungagap or along side of it from the beginning.

      In Niflheim was a spring called Hvergelmir from which the Elivagar (eleven rivers - Svol, Gunnthra, Fiorm, Fimbulthul, Slidr, Hrid, Sylg, Ylg, Vid, Leiptr, and Gioll) flowed. The Elivargar froze layer upon layer until it filled in the northerly portion of the gap. Concurrently the southern portion was being filled by sparks and molten material from Muspelheim.

      The mix of fire and ice caused part of the Elivagar to melt forming the figures Ymir the primeval giant and the cow Audhumla. The cow's milk was Ymir's food. While Ymir slept his under arm sweat begat two frost giants, one male one female, while his two legs begat another male.

      While Ymir was busy procreating Audhumla was busy eating. Her nourishment came from licking the salty ice. Her incessant licking formed the god Buri. He had a son named Bor who was the father of Odin, Vili, and Ve.

      For some reason the sons of Bor decided to kill poor Ymir. His blood caused a flood which killed all of the frost giants except for two, Bergelmir and his wife, who escaped the deluge in their boat.

      Odin, Vili, and Ve put Ymir's corpse into the middle of ginnungagap and created the earth and sky from it. They also created the stars, sun, and moon from sparks coming out of Muspelheim.

      Finally, the brothers happened upon two logs lying on the beach and created the first two humans Ask [Ash] and Embla [vine?] from them.

  54. Re:Even if it is true, we cant explain the origin by QuoteMstr · · Score: 1

    Evolution can act on any self-replicating structure, not just "life" as we know it. The origin of life surely had something to do with very simple molecules that were able to coerce molecules like themselves to form, and those simple molecules could have originated via random chemical processes. Indeed, life formed soon after the earth had any liquid water at all.

  55. Fully Vetted Probabilities? by iso-cop · · Score: 1

    I did not see that the study included the probability of the random comet that originated life also impacting the earth. Nor is it obvious that it was considered that if the comet impacted earth that the life thereon survived. I would like to see a bit more before we declare ourselves progeny of a stud of a comet sowing his wild oats, so to speak.

  56. I call bs by frakir · · Score: 1

    Scientist have yet to prove their theory there is abundance of water in comet body. None of comet missions/probes could find it so far. Read e.g http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2006/arch06/0602 14comet.htm

  57. Life is on earth by adam.conf · · Score: 1

    From the overly brief article, it appears that the "overwhelming" probability is largely an artifact of the greater mass of clay on comments than on a young Earth. This is overly simplistic, and more bluntly, wrong, for four reasons. 1) Ultraviolet light; surface area to volume. While the mass of clay on comets may exceed that on a young Earth, since Earth is one giant sphere and not a bunch of clumps of dirt flying through space, more ultraviolet light will strike Earth-based than comet-borne clay. The surface area exposed to space will be greater on Earth. Furthermore, given the lesser gravity on a comet, liquid water will likely be on the interior of a comet, vs. the exterior of Earth, another factor reducing the UV rays striking the clay and water on comets. 2) Consistency of conditions. Earth's orbit is much less elliptical than the orbits' of most comets. This is vital to life. Even if (and this is a big if) liquid water can exist on a comet throughout its orbit, extreme variations in radiation or temperature would still significantly hinder the formation of life. 3) Weather. Earth has weather, and comets don't. Weather, and lightning in particular, is pivotal in most theories regarding the origin of life. The Urey-Miller experiment, for example, proved that dynamic weather conditions can be extremely conducive to the formation of the complex molecules, such as amino acids, necessary for life to exist. 4) Most importantly, life is on Earth. We need to consider not the mass of all comets in the Solar System, or even all those harboring liquid water, but rather, all those harboring liquid water which collided with Earth at the time that life first originated. Since life is on Earth, we know that only a comet which collided with Earth could have been responsible for life on Earth. The mass of these comets which collided with Earth is clearly much less than that of the Earth itself. Considering all of these factors, I think it is safe to say that in light of this research, life still likely originated on good old planet Earth.

    1. Re:Life is on earth by adam.conf · · Score: 2, Informative

      Whoops, formatting problems! Better repost.

      From the overly brief article, it appears that the "overwhelming" probability is largely an artifact of the greater mass of clay on comments than on a young Earth. This is overly simplistic, and more bluntly, wrong, for four reasons.

      1) Ultraviolet light; surface area to volume. While the mass of clay on comets may exceed that on a young Earth, since Earth is one giant sphere and not a bunch of clumps of dirt flying through space, more ultraviolet light will strike Earth-based than comet-borne clay. The surface area exposed to space will be greater on Earth. Furthermore, given the lesser gravity on a comet, liquid water will likely be on the interior of a comet, vs. the exterior of Earth, another factor reducing the UV rays striking the clay and water on comets.

      2) Consistency of conditions. Earth's orbit is much less elliptical than the orbits' of most comets. This is vital to life. Even if (and this is a big if) liquid water can exist on a comet throughout its orbit, extreme variations in radiation or temperature would still significantly hinder the formation of life.

      3) Weather. Earth has weather, and comets don't. Weather, and lightning in particular, is pivotal in most theories regarding the origin of life. The Urey-Miller experiment, for example, proved that dynamic weather conditions can be extremely conducive to the formation of the complex molecules, such as amino acids, necessary for life to exist.

      4) Most importantly, life is on Earth. We need to consider not the mass of all comets in the Solar System, or even all those harboring liquid water, but rather, all those harboring liquid water which collided with Earth at the time that life first originated. Since life is on Earth, we know that only a comet which collided with Earth could have been responsible for life on Earth. The mass of these comets which collided with Earth is clearly much less than that of the Earth itself.

      Considering all of these factors, I think it is safe to say that in light of this research, life still likely originated on good old planet Earth.

  58. A holy book doesn't need to be literature. by FatSean · · Score: 1

    In fact, most of the most popular books make for an awful reading experience. R.L. Stine could have come up with a more terrible vision of the 'stick' than a 'lake of fire'. Sheesh.

    --
    Blar.
    1. Re:A holy book doesn't need to be literature. by prgrmr · · Score: 1

      The "stick" is eternal separation from God. The Lake of Fire is just the venue where the stick is applied.

    2. Re:A holy book doesn't need to be literature. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Being separated from a totalitarian of cosmic proportions sounds more like a reward, but then I've never liked despots.

  59. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by UdoKeir · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I had Prof. Wickramasinghe was one of my Pure Maths lecturers during my first year at Cardiff. He was dreadfully hard to understand.

    My flatmate, who was a paleobotany postgrad at the time, had some very disparaging things to say about him. He had co-authored a few papers claiming the Archaeopteryx was a hoax, based on his poor understanding of the subject matter.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Archaeopteryx#Authent icity

  60. this is crazy with no consensus on life's origin by wisebabo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I can't believe that they really can begin to propose odds like that on life's origin. What if life didn't begin with clays acting as catalysts for chemical reactions but instead required a reducing atmosphere? (Current thinking is that life originally used hydrogen sulfide as an energy source, possibly from undersea "smokers"). Can the comets provide that kind of environment? What would happen when the few nascent life forms that survive the planetary bombardment that they are part of are dumped from their interplanetary cocoons into the tremendously different environment of the early earth? Don't you think that there is a good idea that the life forms that survived that environment were the ones that evolved there?

    Add to that the fact that we really don't have a clue as to how life started here (or anywhere else for that matter) and you really begin to question the judgment of giving odds to this sort of thing.

    I'm not saying they're wrong, I like panspermia theories as well. It's just for people to put some sort of numerical values on this kind of thing when we know so little is just well crazy. And what numerical values! Maybe after if we send out some cometary probes and find them teeming with primitive life could you claim such a thing. Even then do they use DNA or RNA? Any evidence of spectral emission lines of this from any of our flyby probes? (It would be even more earth-shaking if there was DIFFERENT life there!)

    Still I enjoy reading ScienceDaily.com. (Daily in fact) It's a great site not like some pseudo New-Scien(tist) kind of site.

  61. Re:Even if it is true, we cant explain the origin by Darren+Hiebert · · Score: 1

    It seems pretty odd to me to claim that the odds are "astronomical" against life starting here on a nice cozy planet with lots of liquid water, warm sunshine and a protective atmosphere, but much more probable on some frozen snowball bombarded by cosmic rays. Whooda thunk, huh?

  62. but... by Bazman · · Score: 1

    The chances of anything coming from Mars, are a million to one they said.

    I get all my science from 70's prog rock concept albums based on HG Wells novels...

    1. Re:but... by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      a million to one they said.

      I get all my science from 70's prog rock concept albums based on HG Wells novels...


      You should try Terry Pratchett.

      A million to one, eh? But it might just work...

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  63. Sure comets can create life, but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    can they run Linux?

  64. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Bombula · · Score: 4, Informative
    MOD PARENT UP - INFORMATIVE.

    For those interested in why the tornado in a junkyard assembling a 747 is a useless analogy for the process of evolution, the simple explanation is that evolution works by a ratcheting effect: improvements are made one tiny step at a time, in sequence, for a cumulative effect of complexity. The selection process by which those steps are made - i.e. mutations that constitute an improvement in fitness survive and others die out - is simple and nonrandom. The tornado analogy implies instant emergence of full complexity, which is nothing at all like what actually happens.

    --
    A-Bomb
  65. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Hoyle's failure was an example of the classic trap that experts fall into. That is that as long as they stay in their own field of knowledge, they tend to be reliable, but the moment they move into another field where their knowledge is, at best, that of a layman, they get themselves into trouble. Unfortunately, scientists like Hoyle can get a lot of mileage by the mere fact that they are experts in some field of inquiry. He was a famous scientist, and when a famous scientist speaks, even when he's right out of his league, people tend to listen.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  66. 'We're not from around here' by LittleGuy · · Score: 1

    We're a planet of immigrants.

    Next time someone tells you to 'go back to where you come from', tell them to write Congress to increase the space budget.

    --
    Mod Karma -1: I sed bad wurds. If I cep my mouf shut, I wud be at riyses.
  67. dude, it is sarcasm by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    what the hell does my website have to do with it?

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:dude, it is sarcasm by E++99 · · Score: 1

      I just looked at your website. 1) If you really are trying to promote tolerance, you shouldn't mock other people's beliefs like you did in your original post. 2) You should probably define what you mean by "fundamentalist" on your page. I generally consider myself to qualify as a "fundamentalist," yet as such, none of your assumptions about me (in the first few paragraphs anyway) are true.

  68. Need a new icon by nuzak · · Score: 1

    Bullshit like this shouldn't be on the front page, let alone using Einstein's image.

    I suggest a cuckoo clock. Or a crank. Or a cracked pot. If nothing else, change it to the foot.

    --
    Done with slashdot, done with nerds, getting a life.
    1. Re:Need a new icon by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Bullshit like this shouldn't be on the front page, let alone using Einstein's image.

            Why not? After all, ALL cranks claim that a) Einstein was wrong and/or b) they are better than Einstein.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  69. Re:Even if it is true, we cant explain the origin by thegameiam · · Score: 1

    It's refreshing to hear someone say that so cogently.

    --
    Need Geek Rock? Try The Franchise!
  70. Sure... by paladinwannabe2 · · Score: 2, Informative

    I'll believe in these Uranium-heated liquid comets when I see them. Anything that could keep a comet core liquid would have to be hot (radioactively), so then we're dealing with microbes that...
    1. Can survive being frozen for indefinite periods of time,
    2. Can survive excessive radiation and heavy metal contamination,
    3. Can survive without sunlight (remember, it's in the center of the comet),
    4. Lives off unknown chemical reactions (organic chemicals mean squat without an energy source)
    5. Exists in near equilibrium with its environment over millions of years, with trivial gains in material,
    6. Has to then survive on Earth after
    a) melting off a comet
    b) drifting unprotected in the vacuum of space
    c) floating down through Earth's atmosphere
    or
    d) evaporating in an impact event
    And this theory (he says) is more plausible than life developing on Earth. I guess we need to consider ourselves very, very lucky to be here.

    --
    You are reading a copy of my copyrighted post.
    1. Re:Sure... by brunascle · · Score: 1

      so... we evolved from cockroaches?

    2. Re:Sure... by mikael · · Score: 1

      Sounds more we have evolved from fungus. Some bacteria can form spores with multiple cell walls, allowing them to survive extreme heat and cold.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    3. Re:Sure... by glwtta · · Score: 1

      then we're dealing with microbes that...

      That term seems a bit advanced for the origins of life - "RNA-like Goo", maybe? Even that might be too far down the line.

      (the article is complete shit, I'm just nitpicking...)

      --
      sic transit gloria mundi
    4. Re:Sure... by JasterBobaMereel · · Score: 0

      Oh and getting started in the first place ...

          Amount of life on Earth - Loads
          Amount of life (not precursors to life) found elsewhere (so far) - NONE!

      --
      Puteulanus fenestra mortis
  71. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by markov_chain · · Score: 1

    That gives us a net time advantage for any given comet of no more than about 500 million years. That sounds like a lot, but in reality it really isn't that big a span
    That's funny, I was just thinking it doesn't sound like a lot, but that in reality it is a huge time span ;)
    --
    Tsunami -- You can't bring a good wave down!
  72. Nice by Weaselmancer · · Score: 1

    If I had mod points I'd mod you up. Damn good ref. Now I'm gonna have the theme song stuck in my head the rest of the day. =)

    --
    Weaselmancer
    rediculous.
    1. Re:Nice by Glowing+Fish · · Score: 1

      I don't get it...is there a geek reference that I am not hip to?

      --
      Hopefully I didn't put any [] around my words.
    2. Re:Nice by Weaselmancer · · Score: 1

      Here 'tis.

      And now, if you're the right age you can have that theme music stuck in your head too! ;^)

      --
      Weaselmancer
      rediculous.
    3. Re:Nice by SteveFoerster · · Score: 1

      The funny thing is that the very first time she heard the theme for the new version, my wife started singing along. I hadn't realised that it's the Gayatri Mantra.

      --
      Space game using normal deck of cards: http://BattleCards.org
  73. I still don't get it... by xENoLocO · · Score: 1

    ... where did the "organic molecules" come from?

    And before I'm flamed, I'm agnostic w/atheist slant.

    --
    "The need to build the internet comes from something inside us, something programmed... something we can't resist."
    1. Re:I still don't get it... by TheCouchPotatoFamine · · Score: 1

      The chemical definition of organic is CHON: carbon hydrogen oxygen and nitrogen. Mostly carbon,really. I think you misunderstand the definition of organic. You might look up organic chemistry on wikipedia.

      --
      CS majors know the time/space tradeoff, but they never get taught the 3rd, crucial, tradeoff of the set: comprehension!
  74. Yeah, sure. by zsouthboy · · Score: 1

    Water is kept on space rocks, because of radiation.

    Right.

  75. There are those who believe... by haplo21112 · · Score: 1

    There are those who believe that life here, began out there, far across the
    universe, with tribes of humans, who may have been the forefathers of the
    Egyptians, or the Toltecs, or the Mayans. Some believe that they may yet be
    brothers of man, who even now fight to survive, somewhere beyond the
    heavens.

    --
    Power Corrupts,Absolute Power Corrupts Absolutely, leaving one person(group)in charge is absolutely corrupt.
  76. Not sure... by Duffy13 · · Score: 1

    but if I'm understanding this correctly comets are blocks of ice with various other rubble frozen in them, or sometimes big rocks covered in ice. This water and rubble(rock) comes from the formation of stars, planets, nebula, etc...

    Life must have originated on some planet somewhere to get expelled into space where a comet could form in the first place.

    So, life may have came from a comet, but did not in fact originate in comets themselves since as noted they must come from somewhere and the emptiness of space is not conductive to life. Therefore, either life must exist (or did exist) on a planet elsewhere or the Earth is (or was) a possible source of life for these comets during out solar system's formation.

    However, I may be (and probably am) wrong due to an inadequate knowledge base for this subject.

    --
    "Now you know, and knowing is half the battle!"
  77. One problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is a small one....but life has been found on earth, and life has not been found in comets.

  78. Those SETI guys must be pretty mad right about now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We've been looking for alien life originating from outside this planet and all we should have done is LOOK AROUND!

  79. About a trillion trillion time bogus by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 1
    What's the error estimate on that trillion-trillion number? Real scientists give error bounds.

    Just as one example why that's important:: There are probably quite a few unknowns that can skew the estimate. For instance the time, temperature, pressure, ambient poisons, and radiation level. Any one of those, if unfavorable, could change the odds by a large factor, like 1000. Wouldnt take too many of those to lower the odds to Vegas levels.

    1. Re:About a trillion trillion time bogus by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      What's the error estimate on that trillion-trillion number? Real scientists give error bounds.

              I'll tell you. The error is plus or minus about twice the trillion-trillion number...

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  80. Not even wrong... by LauraLolly · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This looks like an exercise in finding data and pulling out numbers to support conclusions that were already reached. If you look at the pattern of papers by NC Wickramasinghe, since the 1980's he's been publishing stuff that appears to be conclusion-oriented, rather than data-oriented, all with the conclusion that fully-formed life rained down upon the earth, embedded in comets.

    There's no doubt that comets rain down on the earth. There is considerable controversy regarding the frequency, size, and origin of comets raining down upon the earth.

    Wickramasinghe's conclusions appear to be speculation masquerading as science. What he's proposing doesn't appear to be testable. As Wolfgang Pauli said of other proposals that were untestable, "not even wrong."

  81. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by turgid · · Score: 1

    He was a famous scientist, and when a famous scientist speaks, even when he's right out of his league, people tend to listen.

    Indeed. My Religious Education teacher loved to wheel out Hoyle's statements and "hypotheses." I've received several pamphlets from the Jehovah's Witnesses doing exactly the same.

    He wasn't too great in his league either. He had some quite odd notions regarding Quasars.

    I was lucky enough to attend a colloqium (sp?) given by him at Cardiff back in the early '90s. He was very sure of himself and great entertainment.

  82. If true... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This could mean that life could form in comets orbiting other star systems. In addition, if they were to crash on a planet that is reasonably close to survivable they could exist long enough to possibly mutate to better survive in the conditions. Caves formed partially by impacts and liquid water from a comet's ice melting quickly on hot worlds could create environments underground for some form of life to survive and evolve.

    In other words this, if true, dramatically increases the probability of life, including the probability of intelligent life, on other worlds in the universe.

  83. The Probability is by nitefallz · · Score: 1

    Seems to me they based their probability on the number of potential life baring comets in the universe to the one place we absolutely know life exists, Earth. comets : earth.

    Duh.

  84. "Overwhelming Proof"? by Greyfox · · Score: 1
    It sounds like semi-whelming speculation to me. Actually I was rather underwhelmed by the summary (Which is all TFA is.)

    Anyway I'd like to take those odds and bet him $1 he's wrong...

    --

    I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

  85. HA! by LoudMusic · · Score: 1

    HA! I knew God was an alien.

    --
    No sig for you. YOU GET NO SIG!
  86. Hasn't this already been covered? by thed00d · · Score: 1

    Wasn't this already covered in the move Evolution?

    --
    http://www.accelerateglobalwarming.com
  87. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by fourtyonederful · · Score: 2, Informative

    (it has to be pretty low-level too, because anything too energetic or in too high a quantity is more likely going to be delerious than helpful) while i agree that anything toooooo energetic might get delirious, i think you meant 'deleterious'
  88. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by snarkh · · Score: 3, Insightful


    Coming up with such a precise number seems particularly brilliant, considering that we have no
    idea how life really originated.

  89. Re:Even if it is true, we cant explain the origin by ELProphet · · Score: 1

    Energy from sun + basic chemicals = basic chemicals necessary to life (methane, ammonia, water, hydrogen sulfide, carbon dioxide or carbon monoxide, phosphate...). More energy and salts give you proteins... all having been demonstrated in lab settings.

    Or, more eloquently by Darwin, "[In a] warm little pond, with all sorts of ammonia and phosphoric salts, lights, heat, electricity, etc. present, so that a protein compound was chemically formed ready to undergo still more complex changes"

  90. More like underwelming. by 1shooter · · Score: 1

    My guess these guys will find alien life everywhere they look. It's just nobody else does with the exception of other "true believers". The astrobiology gig is just great. You get paid for dreaming up hair brained scenarios, toss out some random scientific looking numbers and generally chat about alien life and nothing can be disproved. What a nice way to avoid doing anything useful or productive.

    --
    6F 9E A9 1E 96 9F 74 27 ED B8 81 6D 0C 4E 1E 78
    My other Sig is a 229.
  91. Isn't the Earth in space? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Isn't the Earth in space?

  92. such as? by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    nt

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  93. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just for the record, have you read Michael Behe's book: Darwin's Black Box?


    I finally got around to reading it last year and was surprised to find a very reasonable argument. Nothing in the book was what I'd describe as foaming at the mouth, claiming to debunk Darwin and/or prove the reality of a 6 day creationist world view. As a bonus, I actually learned many interesting details of sub-cellular life from reading the book (the appendix alone is a great overview of microbiology).


    I ask because, in the year since, I've never yet met anyone (mostly in Comp Sci. circles) who have actually read his book but I've met plenty of people (in the above circles) with a strong opinion of Behe's intellectual prowess :-).


  94. Meaningless statistics by sgage · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's my opinion that we don't know nearly enough about abiogenesis to go making claims like this. We simply don't know how life/replicators/whatever originated to go assigning goofy probabilities. But it makes for a snappy headline.

    Whatever.

  95. What People Mean by 'Evolution' by geoffrobinson · · Score: 1

    While I understand what you are saying, people are using "evolution" to represent naturalism and materialism in general. So for all practical purposes, that's what is the debate is about. Naturalism, especially the "ism" part. Criticisms in regards to naturalistic origin of life scenarios may say "evolution" but that is what they mean.

    --
    Except for ending slavery, the Nazis, communism, & securing American independence, war has never solved anything.
    1. Re:What People Mean by 'Evolution' by Himring · · Score: 1

      Supreme Being: Is it all ready? Right. Come on then. Back to creation. We mustn't waste any more time. They'll think I've lost control again and put it all down to evolution.

      --Time Bandits

      --
      "All great things are simple & expressed in a single word: freedom, justice, honor, duty, mercy, hope." --Churchill
    2. Re:What People Mean by 'Evolution' by Hatta · · Score: 1

      Which is all just proof they don't know what they're talking about. If you can't be bothered to learn the right words, you clearly haven't done enough research to challenge a well established scientific theory.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    3. Re:What People Mean by 'Evolution' by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While I understand what you are saying, people are using "evolution" to represent naturalism and materialism in general. So for all practical purposes, that's what is the debate is about. Naturalism, especially the "ism" part. Criticisms in regards to naturalistic origin of life scenarios may say "evolution" but that is what they mean. I.e., thinking clearly isn't part of their toolkit.

      Many of them also habitually refer to *everyone* who doesn't agree with their particular flavor of creationism as atheists.
    4. Re:What People Mean by 'Evolution' by geoffrobinson · · Score: 1

      No. What I see is that people are letting a little imprecision in language to get around the problem of there being no plausible naturalistic scenario for the origin of life.

      Furthermore, Darwin speculated about ponds and the origin of life. Origin of life research and speculations are very much tied to evolution, since chemicals need to survive and replicate.

      --
      Except for ending slavery, the Nazis, communism, & securing American independence, war has never solved anything.
    5. Re:What People Mean by 'Evolution' by plunge · · Score: 1

      Nonsense. The problem with origin of life research is precisely the opposite: not that there is no plausible scenario, but instead that there are far far too many possibilities that we do not know enough about to rule out this or that one. Legitimate science lies in trying to learn more and nail down information that can help us figure out what is and isn't plausible. But simply declaring that its impossible isn't based on anything: it's an empty, pragmatically unprovable claim.

      Darwin speculated about "warm ponds" in a private letter, not in his major published works. If you knew anything about his actual work, its scope, and so forth, you'd see that any claim that his theory rested on or required abiogenesis is pure nonsense. The origin of a hereditary metabolism is a very different sort of thing than the evolution of a hereditary metabolism, involving very different sorts of processes.

    6. Re:What People Mean by 'Evolution' by geoffrobinson · · Score: 1

      We have to part company on your analysis that there are a ton of good options for Origin of Life research: http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?chanId=sa003&arti cleId=B7AABF35-E7F2-99DF-309B8CEF02B5C4D7

      Materialism is true, therefore there must be a materialistic answer to these problems. That is faith-based optimism.

      --
      Except for ending slavery, the Nazis, communism, & securing American independence, war has never solved anything.
  96. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

    Well, panspermia has the argument of time. You pushed stuff a bit too much when you said that it was a 500 milions of years advantaje, because comets and metheors cooled much faster than Earth. In fact, it was more like a 1 to 1.5 bilion of years. That means somewhere from 3 to 10 times the time life would had to develop on Earth.

    Also, they don't have to prove that conditions were better at metheors by that time. They only need to prove that conditions were good enough and that life would be able to spread from one rock to the other. Those researchers seem to have advanced on the former, while the latter is quite plausible and don't need exceptional evidence.

    Everything being the same, panspermia has the advantage of time, and if we are to belive that life is hard to happen (that could explain the Fermi paradox) time is crucial.

  97. wahoo! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    British scientists are reporting today that the odds of life starting on Earth rather than inside a comet are one trillion trillion (10 to the power of 24) to one against.

    All this effort for so many years, and now I find out I'm *already* a member of the mile-high club!

  98. Re:Comparing Adams to Hubbard is like by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We already did that back in 2000.

  99. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    they still have to explain how conditions elsewhere (comets, other planets orbiting other stars) are somehow more environmentally-friendly to abiogenesis than Earth was. No, not really. The main argument for panspermia is the presumably long time to go from inorganic to single-celled creatures. Environments for this development need not be more environmentally-friendly, just friendly enough to support this development.
  100. Comet for Colonization? by GeekMarine72 · · Score: 1

    Question for the crowd: Are there comets that we are aware of which transit our solar system (rather than orbit it)? Would it be feasible to craft and inject into one of these comets something akin to a fertilized human egg which can replicate as if it were a bacterium until such time as it found an environment not entirely unlike a womb and then rather than simple replication begin the chain of events that generate a human form? Could the bacterium found within a comet be the fertilized eggs of another sentient being or civilization? Or something that contains enough genetic material to, in the right environment, build into a multicelled organism? What if we were able to predict how a particular cellular organizm would evolve in an in environment. Could we produce an un-evolved microbe which, once within a livable atmosphere, would begin the process of, not just reproduction, but evolution? Could this be the source of the "intelligent design" theory? Ouch!

    1. Re:Comet for Colonization? by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Would it be feasible to craft and inject into one of these comets something akin to a fertilized human egg which can replicate as if it were a bacterium

            Stop right there.

            Fertilized human eggs are not bacteria, and do not replicate like bacteria.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  101. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

    The latest estimates put the upper bound of life on Earth at 3.9 billion years ago. That's a mere 600 million years after the formation of the solar system. It's not many times more available time at all.

    As to life being hard to happen, who is to say? This is little more than a restatement of the 747 in the junkyard claim.

    Even worse for this or any panspermia theory is the utter lack of evidence. Can you provide some evidence that such comets as the one needed for this theory to exist are or were out there? Can you provide evidence that any sort of life, even in this hypothetical hibernation state, could survive hundreds of millions of years of freezing alternated with a pretty damn high radiation environment?

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  102. Real life? by sufijazz · · Score: 1, Interesting

    So are we talking about real life or virtual life here?
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/14/science/14tier.h tml - The New York Times has an article about all of us being simulations.

    The argument, in a nut shell, is as follows: Dr. Bostrom assumes that technological advances could produce a computer with more processing power than all the brains in the world, and that advanced humans, or "posthumans," could run "ancestor simulations" of their evolutionary history by creating virtual worlds inhabited by virtual people with fully developed virtual nervous systems.

    ...if the posthumans were to run lots of simulations for research purposes or entertainment, then the number of virtual ancestors they created would be vastly greater than the number of real ancestors. In fact, the number of virtual ancestors (X) is likely to be so huge compared to the number of real ancestors (Y) that Y is a tiny % of (X+Y). So the probability that we are a part of the X bucket is a lot more.

    --
    2+2=5 for very large values of 2.
  103. Biblical Parallel by E++99 · · Score: 0, Troll

    I couldn't help but notice a parallel to one of my favorite psalms. And as there is obviously no one on /. antagonistic toward religion, I thought I would share... ;-)

    Theory of the Article: We developed inside a radioactive ball of clay, water and organic molecules and were stuck there for millions of years until we crashed into the earth, after which we developed into terrestrial creatures.

    Psalm 40:1-2: "I waited patiently for the LORD, and He turned to me and heard my cry, and He brought me up out of a tumultuous pit, out of the miry clay, and set my feet upon a rock, and established my goings."

  104. Life started on earth! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Life started on earth, and it is even possible that deep in the oceans some life forms are still emerging spontaneously from basic molecules.

    It's conceptually easier to envision life starting from somewhere else rather than attempt to create or even imagine the right conditions that could lead to a synthetic life form.

    The main reason is that we want to mystify and spiritualize life. We prefer to speculate that somehow life started where it had no chance to evolve and accidentally reached earth which had all the right conditions for millions of years, but no seed! Such theories are fine except that we still have to figure out how the first life form started sometime between now and the Big Bang.

    Indeed the idea of some basic molecules spontaneously starting to reproduce a given scheme and eventually leading to conciousness and all our present technology is disturbing, but there is no science if we start by discarding the most plausible hypothesis!

  105. Space roadkill by Bob-taro · · Score: 1

    So did Deep Impact find any deep-fried space critters?

    --
    Prov 9:8 Do not rebuke mockers or they will hate you; rebuke the wise and they will love you.
  106. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by jandrese · · Score: 1

    I've always thought the tornado in a junkyard analogy was a stronger argument against ID than it was evolution, since it actually describes (albeit with a "smart" tornado) what ID claims is the truth, not what evolution theorizes is the most likely scenario.

    --

    I read the internet for the articles.
  107. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by E++99 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    No, there's nothing in ID that argues for instantaneous creation, or against creation by evolution.

  108. Re:Even if it is true, we cant explain the origin by meringuoid · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Even if the claim is true, we are just transferring the problem from how life originated on Earth? to How life originated in the universe?.

    That makes a big difference, though. It's a question of probability. If life cannot spread through space, then it must have begun here of its own accord, and so we're looking for a theory that allows good odds that life will start on any planet chemically and environmentally favourable for it to do so. If life, once started somewhere in the Universe, can spread through space by natural means (i.e. without first needing to evolve intelligence and build starships), then we're allowed much longer odds, because of the far wider range of space and time. If you have a million worlds all rolling the dice on abiogenesis, you have far better chances than with only one.

    --
    Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  109. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Rakishi · · Score: 1

    I haven't read the book but based on the summary alone I can make a quick guess at the guys intellectual prowess. He claims from what I can tell that the current molecular system is irreducible which I don't find surprising at all for two reasons:

    a) The current molecular systems is not the one that originally evolved or the one that existed at any point in the past. Evolution removes unnecessary pieces and those pieces are quite likely the building blocks (now replaced with more efficient and specialized versions) that are essential for it to be reducible.

    b) The structure that this evolved from may be a lot different from what it is now. It may be irreducible (partially by the previous point) to anything close to its current role but its past role may have been very different. The reason or even form of the past role may be impossible to determine without knowing the exact environment that it evolved in. For example modern blood types are apparently the result of them, by pure luck, bestowing resistance to humans against certain disease (which will not exist in a million years but blood types still may in some new role).

    c) Our current knowledge of molecular biology is primitive in terms of our predictive power and is based almost fully on analysis of what we see. We cannot predict what is possible given slightly different molecules or subtle changes, we simply lack the computing power for it.

    In other words I find someone claiming that there is no evolutionary path to something a strong indication of their idiocy or irrationality. We simply do not know enough to make any such claim as we cannot predict to any degree other mitigating but now invisible factors (ie: due to c we cannot predict the possibility of a or b being the case).

  110. Numbers by ChefInnocent · · Score: 1

    Wouldn't it have been simpler to say a septillion rather than a trillion trillion? It's not like 10^24 is an unnamed number.

  111. Space above and beyond... by ArcadeX · · Score: 1

    can't remember the exact theory, something about a comet from the alien's home planet seeding life on earth, or the other way around... nothing like old Fox sci/fi shows.

    --
    An I.T. motto in the hands of an idiot is a dangerous thing...
  112. Re:Even if it is true, we cant explain the origin by Himring · · Score: 1

    Evil: What sort of Supreme Being created such riffraff? Is this not the workings of a complete incompetent?
    Baxi Brazilia III: But He created you, Evil One.
    Evil: What did you say?
    Baxi Brazilia III: Well He created you, so He can't be entirely...
    Evil: [Blows Baxi to bits] Never talk to me like that again! No one created me! I am Evil. Evil existed long before good. I made myself. I cannot be unmade. *I* am all powerful!

    --Time Bandits

    --
    "All great things are simple & expressed in a single word: freedom, justice, honor, duty, mercy, hope." --Churchill
  113. I guess Hubbard was right! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I guess Hubbard was right! Time to get out your thetan-blasting guns; it's 22 trillion trillion to one that http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Incident_(Scientology ) happened.

  114. I'm overwhelmed by Dunbal · · Score: 1

    Using data from recent comet-probing space missions, British scientists are reporting today that the odds of life starting on Earth rather than inside a comet are one trillion trillion (10 to the power of 24) to one against.

          I find it amazing that, despite the fact we are the only place in the known universe where life exists and NO life has been found anywhere else (only a single dubious fossil of a bacterium which may or may not have originated off-world), they can postulate that the odds are so very much in favor of life having originated elsewhere.

          I'd say the "Overwhelming evidence" is stacked in favor of this being yet another crackpot theory.

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  115. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's a main argument that might have made more sense half a century ago when our best data was limited and our experimental evidence was largely Urey-Miller. The growing body of evidence, while still woefully small, suggests that the kinds of chemical reactions that might be needed to go from prebiotic organic matter to some sort of proto-life may not require all that much time at all. What seems to take a lot of time is moving from more primitive prokaryotic organisms to eukaryotes, and on to the more complex plant, animal and fungal forms that we see today.

    I think the most basic problem with panspermia is that it seeks to solve a problem that we don't even know exists yet. It seems to violate Occam's Razor by adding a good many entities to the abiogenesis argument, and still doesn't really answer the origins issue, merely pushing it back.

    If, and I'll admit at this moment that it is an if (big or little), life requires water (or some liquid capable of dissolving and suspending molecules for more complex organic chemical processes to occur), along with energy, it would seem that the early Earth had both of these in abundance. There are problems with modern abiogenesis theories, there is no doubt about it, but the problem with panspermia models is that they do no better job of answering the real dilemnas than other abiogenesis theories, save perhaps that it adds more time, though in an environment that is extremely hostile to life, particularly over long periods of time.

    Panspermia seems to commit essentially the same error as Intelligent Design, by insisting, with really no evidence at all, that there is something so inherently complex in life that the time between the formation of our planet and the cooling stabilization of the surface was insufficient to produce life. The problem here is largely in what these arguments tend to think of as life and what abiogenesis researchers are referring to. There seems to be this attitude that life must have, under terrestial abiogenesis theories, sprung up pretty close to being recognizably modern, when in fact, it seems far more likely that there was a progression from some sort of primitive self-replicating molecule through a number of evolutionary stages until we end up with the first primitive cells (which might not, other than being bags to isolate internal chemistry for the external environment) necessarily resemble modern life at all.

    We do know that there was plentiful amounts of energy on the Earth at that time, and if energy is ultimately the major engine driving the evolution of life from organic molecules into forms we could confidently call living organisms, then time may not be that much of an issue at all. We're still talking about about a hundred million years or more here, and if life couldn't form in a hundred million years, how does increasing that by a factor of five make it that much more likely.

    I won't even get into the really goofy trans-stellar or trans-galactic versions of panspermia, which are even harder to defend.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  116. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by E++99 · · Score: 2, Informative

    For those interested in why the tornado in a junkyard assembling a 747 is a useless analogy for the process of evolution, the simple explanation is that evolution works by a ratcheting effect: improvements are made one tiny step at a time, in sequence, for a cumulative effect of complexity. The selection process by which those steps are made - i.e. mutations that constitute an improvement in fitness survive and others die out - is simple and nonrandom. The tornado analogy implies instant emergence of full complexity, which is nothing at all like what actually happens.

    The tornado analogy is not meant to be an analogy for evolution; it's meant to be an analogy for the origin of life. Evolution may work as a gradual ratcheting up, but it only works amongst reproducing organisms. The simplest thing we have that is theorized to be capable of evolving is a bacterium, which is orders of magnitude more complex than a 747. While it is hypothesized that in the past there may have been simpler forms capable of reproduction and evolution, we would need to have a full-blown theory -- a workable model -- of such, to see whether such a thing would be more or less complex than a 747.
  117. Faith by nate+nice · · Score: 1

    Well, since there is still a chance they're wrong, faith has legs to stand on here. After all, that's the whole purpose of faith: to believe and accept something as fact against overwhelming odds.

    Not that I believe it but the faith based folks certainly haven't been defeated here. Not like there's a contest or something.

    --
    "If you are a dreamer, a wisher, a liar, A hope-er, a pray-er, a magic bean buyer ..."
  118. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Phanatic1a · · Score: 1
    Just for the record, have you read Michael Behe's book: Darwin's Black Box [amazon.com]?

    Yes, I have.

    I finally got around to reading it last year and was surprised to find a very reasonable argument.

    No, it's not. It's a very long and drawn out argument from incredulity. Stephen Colbert took the piss out of his "irreducible complexity" nonsense with a single sentence:

    Colbert: Talk a little about this 'irreducible complexity' thing.

    Behe: Well, Darwin didn't know much about cells when he first wrote his theories. It turns out the cell is this incredibly complex little factory where, if you take one part out, it won't function at all. It's like a mousetrap - if you take one part out of a mousetrap, you no longer have a functioning machine.

    Colbert: Right, you'd just have a block of wood and a spring and a metal hook. And you can't do anything else with those.
  119. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No offense, but you have a way in making one of the most fascinating and simple stories, confusing and difficult to understand. Are you related to Dennis miller by any chance?

  120. Re:Of course it started in missed sleep by saskboy · · Score: 4, Funny

    "Either is happens, or it doesn't"

    And there was a 50/50 chance that I'd get the punchline right, and I got it wrong thanks to a spelling mistake.

    Either it happens, or it doesn't.

    --
    Saskboy's blog is good. 9 out of 10 dentists agree.
  121. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Phanatic1a · · Score: 3, Informative

    The simplest thing we have that is theorized to be capable of evolving is a bacterium

    Nonsense. Any replicator subjected to differential survival pressure is capable of evolving, and there are simpler replicators than bacteria.

  122. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

    What's confusing about it? The main argument (I might say the ONLY argument) for panspermia is the central claim that there wasn't enough time between the formation of Earth and the cooling of the planet sufficiently for a substantial atmosphere and liquid water to form, and thus for the conditions to become ripe for life to evolve.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  123. Cosmic rays will likely sterlize comets by CBM · · Score: 1

    NPR Science Friday just had a presentation last Friday by Dr. Kay Bidle about measurements of microbial DNA in antarctic ice sheets. He found that although it was possible to revive some microbes from buried ice as old as 8 million years, the DNA became significantly degraded. The effective half-life for the DNA was about 1.1 million years, and this was for ice buried at the earth's surface, under the significant shielding effects of the atmosphere and the overburdening glacier. Cometary ice in space will be subjected to a much more intense radiation environment. The Bidle paper (appearing in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences) speculates that panspermia within our solar system may be possible, but tranfer from outside the solar system would be extremely unlikely.

  124. worms survived the Columbia crash by Mr+44 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    They were in a canister, but worms managed to survive the space shuttle Columbia explosion & subsequent crash to earth at high speeds:
    http://science.slashdot.org/science/06/01/04/03342 19.shtml
    http://news.com.com/8301-10784_3-6016657-7.html

  125. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by XxtraLarGe · · Score: 1

    For those interested in why the tornado in a junkyard assembling a 747 is a useless analogy for the process of evolution, the simple explanation is that evolution works by a ratcheting effect It's not a good analogy for the evolutionary process, but from what I've read, it is a good analogy for DNA randomly assembling from a mix of chemicals in the "primordial soup".
    --
    Taking guns away from the 99% gives the 1% 100% of the power.
  126. Bad math? by SirBruce · · Score: 2, Informative

    They also point out that the billions of comets in our solar system and across the galaxy contain far more clay than the early Earth did. The researchers calculate the odds of life starting on Earth rather than inside a comet at one trillion trillion (10 to the power of 24) to one against. Okay, that seems like a simply calculation... given the total amount of clay all the comets, compared to the total amount of clay on Earth, and you're more likely to get like starting in a comet, if clay is factor. However, this doesn't include how much clay is on other planets, or asteroids. This method also doesn't addess the fact that life could start somewhere and then die. Of those billions of comets, very few ever actually *impact* the Earth, which is what would be required for life in one to spread here. So the real statistical comparison is the total amount of clay that has impacted the Earth from comets vs. the total amount of clay on Earth to start with, and in that case I suspect Earth wins. Life that may have started in a comet that never impacted Earth is rather irrelevant. (And we're just assuming all secondary paths, like comet -> Mars -> Earth are far less likely to consider.)
    1. Re:Bad math? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Okay, that seems like a simply calculation... given the total amount of clay all the comets,

      That right there breaks your 'simple' calculation - we don't know the 'total amount of clay in all the comets' to any useful degree of precision.
    2. Re:Bad math? by BubbaJonBoy · · Score: 1

      Exactly - not only that but the comets are singularities meaning they should be considered as independent events - not as a whole. Some of these "scientists" will do anything to get attention and prodding the religious right is getting so yesterday. Poking anything long enough just to hear it squeel gets boring after awhile....

  127. origin of comets still unknown. my crackpot theory by John+Sokol · · Score: 1
    We still don't know where comets but I suspect life was formed where they came from before they became comets and not in the comets themselves.

    If you have have been reading science stories lately.

    It might be life Jim..., physicists discover inorganic dust with life-like qualities
    http://www.physorg.com/news105869123.html

    The article states: Particles in a plasma can undergo self-organization, This effect results in microscopic strands of solid particles that twist into helical structures. Under the right conditions, particles of inorganic dust can become organized into helical structures. These structures can then interact with each other in ways that are usually associated with organic compounds and life itself.

    I have a theory that has been called crackpot by many of my friends,
    Maybe it's nutty, but I am putting it here in the event that someday if it's proven correct maybe I will get a little credit.

    Let me add a few minor crackpot theory alterations, maybe it's possible for high temperature plasma based DNA, life to slowly adapt to cooler non-plasma organic life?

    Possibly how life was formed. (my crackpot theory) Dec 30, 2006

    1. All higher elements such as carbon an Oxygen had to be formed in the core of a star. These could only have been released in a super Nova.

    2. Our planet, sun and solar system much have been formed from the remains of such a super Nova.

    3. Within a star must be strata of gases, liquids and light solids like rocky material and heavy iron solids. These were created in the nuclear reactions and precipitate down withing the star and eventually settle into there own strata.

    ( I have since been told only plasma can exist, but I am not completely convinced. Either way there would still be strata, and now we learned that inorganic DNA like molecules can form within plasma )

    4. All objects such as comets and asteroids must be composed of super nova debris. I would think each of the three types of objects comets *water" and smaller "water" asteroids are from similar strata while stony asteroids are from silicon rich layers and then heavy ones from Iron rich layers.

    5. With in a star, nothing is really solid at such fantastic temperatures and pressure but everything must seem like a super heated ocean environment.

    6. Like in the oceans we have solid methane gas that only stays solid because of the pressure. And we also have super heated water that stays liquid at +700C, and supports life at these temperatures.

    7. Below the earth crust is far more life then at the surface, these are all extreme-o-files living off of other chemical processes such as sulfur reactions. These single celled organisms also live in very high temperatures and pressures.

    8. Comets are full of amino acids. How did they get there? They must have been formed within the star itself?

    9 The chemistry of a Red giant star and regular stars must contain oceans of liquid Hydrogen, methane and water at different strata. All at somewhere near 4000C (measured within a sunspot) possibly lower and at enormous pressure.

    10. For the most part much of the chemistry at 0 to 50 C on at 1 atmosphere of pressure can work at much higher temperatures when under higher pressure.

    11. The Volume of high temperature oceans within a sun are much much larger then can be found on any planet.

    12. With increased volume this increases the probability of interesting rare chemistry occurring such as the type that created DNA. Also the stability over a very like time, 5 Billion years, would allow such reactions to occur and evolve.

    13. The creation of DNA / and it's protein molecular engine, the single celled organism) is the only think I find incredible to have evolved on earth. That engine It's the most complex thing on this planet.

    14 Like on earth appeared almost immediately after the surface cooled. This seems like life was trapped in

    --
    I am always doing that which I can not do, in order that I may learn how to do it. - Pablo Picasso
  128. Re:Comparing Adams to Hubbard is like by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    +5 PWNED! He got you good, Gore!

  129. Re:Even if it is true, we cant explain the origin by Dunbal · · Score: 1

    Evolution can act on any self-replicating structure

          Provided the self replicator does not make "perfect" copies.

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  130. Is it? by FiloEleven · · Score: 1
    Item 1:

    "I gave a speech once," he said suddenly, and apparently unconnectedly. "You may not instantly see why I bring the subject up, but that is because my mind works so phenomenally fast, and I am at a rough estimate thirty billion times more intelligent than you. Let me give you an example. Think of a number, any number."

    "Er, five," said the mattress.

    "Wrong," said Marvin. "You see?" Item 2:

    "That's a pity," said Arthur. "I'd like to hear what he had to say. Presumably he would know what the Ultimate Question to the Ultimate Answer is. It's always bothered me that we never found out."

    "Think of a number," said the computer, " any number."
  131. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Empiric · · Score: 1

    Does it confuse you to characterize statements that are clearly plausible as not merely self-evidently wrong (without any elaboration on your part) but as literally "crazy" and thinkable only by "crackpots"?

    I'm just not clear on how you get yourself to say with such conviction what you yourself know you don't believe (the emotional energy you have gives it away), and psychology is a sideline interest of mine.

    --
    ~ Whence do you come, slayer of men, or where are you going, conqueror of space?
  132. Tomorrows headline by originalnih · · Score: 4, Funny

    Spore delayed to add pre-cell comet level

  133. well, duh! by mschaffer · · Score: 1

    Didn't the whole planet come from non-terrestial sources.

  134. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

    Indeed. My Religious Education teacher loved to wheel out Hoyle's statements and "hypotheses." I've received several pamphlets from the Jehovah's Witnesses doing exactly the same.


    JWs (I'm quite familiar with them, having been raised one) and other Creationist groups are really big on finding scientists like Hoyle that they can quote, or in many cases, simply taking quotations out of context (quotemining) to make scientists sound like they're saying one thing when they meant quite the opposite.

    What I find truly ironic about these groups (almost all of them Protestant, or in the case of Harun Yahya, Muslim) is that for all their addiction to arguments from authority, they'll reject the statements by well-known theological experts like Pope Benedict XVI. Essentially, authority is only good when it backs up there own pseudo-scientific and pseudo-theological musings, but when it goes against them, authorities suddenly become unreliable quacks out to distort the True Faith.

    My favorite JWism, though to be honest, most JWisms are pretty much cribbed from the older ICR literature (it's odd that for all their declarations of morality, various Creationist groups have no problem whatsoever stealing from each other without attribution), is the claim that "All Science Agrees With The Bible", and then immediately turning around and declaring "Any Science That Goes Against The Bible Is False Science". They cherry pick the science they'll incorporate, and reject that which they won't. They'll use arguments from organic chemistry to reject abiogenesis, but then reject organic chemistry that indicates the nature of the abiogenesis event.

    Of course, these guys aren't writing for the scientists, who are overwhelmingly on the evolutionary side and basically lost causes, but for the unwashed masses that wouldn't know an emperically sound argument from a load of horseshit.
    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  135. Re:Dread by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And it would appear the trolling starts with you... If you act like a troll, look like a troll, and probably smell like a troll... dude... your a troll.

  136. Panspermia by YetAnotherBob · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This is just a restating of a theory that has been around since the 1960's. The author of this is one of the origional authors. The problem it has always had is that there is no real proof. There can't be until we have the ability to go out and survey a large number of comets. Not going to happen real soon.

    The origional authors were Sir Fred Hoyle, an astronomer, and Mr. Wickramasinge, a mathematician. Both were major level scholars in thier respective fields. Mr. Hoyle also did not believe in the Big Bang or universal exspansion. The evidence was not all in at that time. It seems to be now.

    The panspemia theory was that comets or large meteorites could harbor some forms of primitive life, and that the life forms carried could survive intact in some impact events. Life then would be 'seeded' in new planets by debris from other star systems. In this view, most of the planets that could harbor life forms, will have (or have had) at least simple bacteria. Everything more complex was explained by evolution.

    It was origionally a way to get from non-life to life, by effectivly doubling the time available. At the time (and to a large extent even today), the jump from non-life to bacteria is larger than the jump from bacteria to us.

    The theory was rejected in the 1960's by most scientists because they knew that no life form could survive in space. They also knew that while collision events can expel tons of surface debris into space, that no life form could survive being blasted off the earth, and even if it did, that it couldn't survive the impact of landing on a planet.

    We now know that all of the objections were wrong. Fungus has survuved for a decade or more in space with vacuum, radiation and extreems of heat and cold. Some bacteria is millions of times more resistant than we are to radiation, and frozen/dried out bacteria are known to have survived for many millions of years entomed in amber, only to come 'back to life' when the conditions are right. Bacteria have also survived earth re-entry on space junk. So, all of the conditions for panspermia CAN be met.

    At this point it is near certain that earth and Mars had at least the potential to exchange life forms early in thier history, probably both ways several times. There should have been bacteria ladened rocks hitting some of the moons of the outer planets too. A few rocks would have been exchanged with passing stars, so even if we weren't origionally seeded from elsewhere, we have probably seeded some other stars.

    Still that's a lot of if's. All of that doesn't really prove anything, and it would take visiting and analyzing DNA on site to determine if there is any relationship between any earth life and any life (present or past) on another planet.

    As an Idea, panspermia will not die, but it also can not be accepted as true by main stream science. It's just not able to be proven. I don't expect to live long enough to see that change. I don't think you will either.

    --
    Everybody knows 3 people with my name.
  137. Biblical Parallel (not trolling) by E++99 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    I couldn't help noticing the following parallel:

    Theory of the Article: We developed inside a radioactive ball of clay, water and organic molecules and were stuck there for millions of years until we crashed into the earth, after which we developed into terrestrial creatures.

    Psalm 40:1-2: "I waited patiently for the LORD, and He turned to me and heard my cry, and He brought me up out of a tumultuous pit, out of the miry clay, and set my feet upon a rock, and established my goings."

    1. Re:Biblical Parallel (not trolling) by Lucas123 · · Score: 1

      Great verse, wrong direction. That verse is about God hearing the cries of his people who waited patiently for Him to answer. God took them out of slavery (captivity, or today, sin), gave them a foundation on which to stand that wouldn't be moved by storms or trials and set before them a future filled with promise and purpose -- all available to you also.

    2. Re:Biblical Parallel (not trolling) by E++99 · · Score: 1

      I couldn't help noticing the following parallel:

      Theory of the Article: We developed inside a radioactive ball of clay, water and organic molecules and were stuck there for millions of years until we crashed into the earth, after which we developed into terrestrial creatures.

      Psalm 40:1-2: "I waited patiently for the LORD, and He turned to me and heard my cry, and He brought me up out of a tumultuous pit, out of the miry clay, and set my feet upon a rock, and established my goings."

      Off-topic, maybe. Flame-bait??? Wow.
  138. Better Living through Chemistry by Yergle143 · · Score: 1

    One argument I've not seen against Cometary Transspermia is
    based on recent biochemical findings. Despite what Star Trek
    tells you, our common genetic 'software' (DNA, RNA [4 bases]
    and proteins [the common 20 amino acids]) is an accident of
    maintaining 'legacy code'. Although no evidence exists that
    the 'kernel' of life has ever changed -- on earth or above
    -- all creatures use the same chemical language -- in the lab
    creatures using alternative chemical 'bits' (nucleotide or
    amino acid) have been created readily. If cometary life-rain
      is the source of life then where is the 'alternative' life
    ecosystem possessing different chemical 'software'? It is
    really unlikely given the vast potential of chemistry to
    come up with the same biopolymer DNA/RNA/amino acid code
    -- why Ala Asp Cys...etc anyway.
    Should not every single life giving comet have its own unique
    storage polymer (something like DNA) its own repertoire of
    unique amino acids (why should they be L -- why not D)
    Quick answer, transspermia physicist types do not know a thing
    about chemistry or biochemistry much less the conditions on the
    early earth. Wickramasinghe has begat good deal of cock and bull.
    ---537

    1. Re:Better Living through Chemistry by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      I think you have to first divide panspermia advocates into two groups; localized (stellar) panspermiests and large-scale (galactic or even intergalactic) panspermiests.

      The localized types, a few of which seem to have infected NASA over the years with their "life came from Mars" arguments, might, providing the stretches of time involved in getting life-infested materials from an origin point like Mars to Earth aren't too large, have something approaching a point. Of course, the only way we're going to know that for sure is if we go to Mars, manage to find some life (or ancient remains sufficiently well-preserved to give us some idea as to their chemistry) and then can cross-compare. If the hypothetical Martians and terrestial life turn out to fit into some sort of larger nested hieararchy, then I'd say these guys might have something of a leg to stand on, at least in stating that life within the Solar System may have had some common point of origin.

      The galactic panspermiest crowd, are to my mind, a pack of religious nutjobs, whose beliefs are about as scientific as claims of skin products that can make youthful skin. It's pure fantasy.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:Better Living through Chemistry by geobeck · · Score: 1

      ...whose beliefs are about as scientific as claims of skin products that can make youthful skin.

      Ah, but those products can make your skin appear youthful. And for 90% of the population, that's enough.

      That's why these fantasies are so readily accepted.

      --
      Find environmentally and socially responsible products on http://buy-right.net
  139. two things by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    1. intelligent design, and fundamentalism, deserves to be mocked

    2. if you are a fundamentalist, that is, you hew to what is written in a dusty book more than you do to your own sense of humanity (don't tell me there are no conflicts between those two things) then you deserve to be mocked as well, or worse, for creating suffering, poverty, death, and evil in this world, as all fundamentalists do, directly or indirectly

    fundamentalism, whether abrahamic, dharmic, or even atheist (stalinism, for example), is the very definition of evil on this planet, and fundamentalism is the enemy of peace, and the enemy of every good moderate religious person (ie, humanists, who will champion good common sense when pressed to choose between the commands of a dusty book and basic decency)

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:two things by E++99 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      1. intelligent design, and fundamentalism, deserves to be mocked

      2. if you are a fundamentalist, that is, you hew to what is written in a dusty book more than you do to your own sense of humanity (don't tell me there are no conflicts between those two things) then you deserve to be mocked as well, or worse, for creating suffering, poverty, death, and evil in this world, as all fundamentalists do, directly or indirectly

      fundamentalism, whether abrahamic, dharmic, or even atheist (stalinism, for example), is the very definition of evil on this planet, and fundamentalism is the enemy of peace, and the enemy of every good moderate religious person (ie, humanists, who will champion good common sense when pressed to choose between the commands of a dusty book and basic decency)

      If you think that your own innate sense of decency is superior guide to goodness than what can be achieved by humility before God, and instruction from Him, you might want to reflect on the fact that you have sectioned off vast parts of humanity as deserving to be mocked, apparently without any objections from your lofty sense of decency. If you are looking for the source of evil in this world, I suggest that it is precisely this lust for a sense of superiority over our fellow man, and the actions that proceed from it. Though this lust can infect the religious as well as the non-religious, humility before God leads also to humility before one's fellow man, and wisdom from God commands love of one's fellow man. Your stated positions imply that your innate decency has somehow failed to bestow these lessons upon you.
    2. Re:two things by ChromeAeonium · · Score: 1

      1. intelligent design...deserves to be mocked Why? Disagreeing and mocking are two different things. A fundamentalist does the latter.

      2. if you are a fundamentalist, that is, you hew to what is written in a dusty book more than you do to your own sense of humanity In some instances, yes. In others, what that 'dusty old book' says and what you should do are one and the same. I'd wager that the book you're referring to is one of those cases.

      for creating suffering, poverty, death, and evil in this world, as all fundamentalists do, directly or indirectly Do you have evidence to back that up?

      fundamentalism, whether abrahamic, dharmic, or even atheist (stalinism, for example), is the very definition of evil on this planet I'd have to say that pointing fingers and making accusations of evil (and deeming a category of people worth mocking) is a pretty good source of evil. Oh, and if by fundamentalist, you mean anyone who strictly adheres to a belief, than Ghandi was a fundamentalist. What evil did he do? Of course, so was a 'certain German radical whose name shall not be invoked.' Yeah, if you believe something bad in a fundamentalist manner, thats not good, but I'd say some of that evil comes from a willingness to compromise one's beliefs if they are good.
      Fundamentalism can be applied to a wide variety of beliefs. You really can't lump them all together.
    3. Re:two things by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1. intelligent design...deserves to be mocked
      Why? Disagreeing and mocking are two different things. A fundamentalist does the latter.

      In the words of Carl Sagan, "They laughed at Columbus... they laughed at the Wright brothers. But they also laughed at Bozo the Clown."

      Disagreeing with an idea is one thing. Pointing out that the idea is silly is something else.

      Fortunately, you don't have to point out how silly creationists are, all you have to do is give them a soapbox and a length of rope.

  140. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by goarilla · · Score: 1
    well i like your replies since they bulk with clear thought and well ... knowledge on the subject
    but i would like you to give me evidence of and i quote

    primitive self-replicating molecule

    obviously i'm not as knowledgeable on this subject as you are but i do have had my fair share of
    carbon chemistry and i don't recall to ever hear about self-replicating molecules, please explain
    i do think however you're absolutely right on most points and i wholeheartedly agree on the fact
    that it just seems some scientists are very eager to assume they're spawns of alien organisms
  141. Right and wrong by RealProgrammer · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Or perhaps it depends on how you look at it. But the problem is easier to understand as a False Dilemma, not a Straw Man. Since we don't know exactly how long life takes to evolve, because it's a random process that we've never watched happen, it could be that it evolved independently on Earth, in comets, and all over the place. It could also have come solely from the planet Krypton. Even finding actual life in a comet would not show that it evolved there, rather evolving or being created by God on Krypton. That's a metaphor.

    The good professors should embrace, as they say, the healing power of 'and'.

    --
    sigs, as if you care.
    1. Re:Right and wrong by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      I think it can be categorized as both. On the one hand, it asserts that abiogenesis has a built-in time constraint problem, and on the other hand, it treats this supposed dilemna as being the failing point of terrestial abiogenesis.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  142. Wrong: Comets are older than the Sun by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    No, you're wrong.

    Since comets arrive in the solar system from all directions, it is assumed there's a big cloud of comet-like material out there beyond the solar system. This is called the "Oort cloud". We know almost *nothing* about it. Astronomers believe that this material is much older than the solar system, left over from the condensation of the solar nebula.

    Remember that the heavy metals in the earth did not originate in our sun, they are from a previous star that went supernova. Much of the material in the solar system has been recycled in this way from previous events. There's a lot of material around that is vastly older than the sun... the gold you buy your wife was born in a supernova.

    In fact, assuming (1) the hypothesised vast longevity of pre-sol cometary material in the Oort cloud, and (2) assuming that this material contains liquid water and organics and clay, and (3) assuming that life can originate spontaneously in such media, it is almost inconceivable that life didn't form in comets before it formed on earth.

    Sorry: having violated the groupthink, I completely expect to be modded as a troll. Sigh.

    1. Re:Wrong: Comets are older than the Sun by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      The most popular theory for the origins of the Oort Cloud is that it was, in fact, formed along with the protoplanets and were ejected outwards due to the interaction of these bodies with the larger planets such as Jupiter and Saturn. If this hypothesis is correct, than the Oort Cloud is not significantly older than any other bodies in the solar system.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:Wrong: Comets are older than the Sun by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      I'd think it's likely there is at least some population exchange with other solar systems, however. The timescales are certainly large enough.

        I'll also bet that especially in large star forming regions that interstellar space contains a fairly large population of comets, with population densities tending towards zero in areas with few suns. It makes sense - all that mass goes *somewhere*. Of course there's no way to know, not yet anyway. But it's interesting to think about. :)

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    3. Re:Wrong: Comets are older than the Sun by arminw · · Score: 1

      .......The most popular theory for the origins of the Oort Cloud ......

      The biggest problem with Oort cloud is that it is has never been found. It is a pure fiction with some unfounded assumptions (beliefs) and dubious math to give it an aura of credibility.

      --
      All theory is gray
    4. Re:Wrong: Comets are older than the Sun by stjobe · · Score: 1

      The biggest problem with God is that he has never been found. He is pure fiction with some unfounded assumptions (beliefs) and dubious philosophy to give him an aura of credibility.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    5. Re:Wrong: Comets are older than the Sun by arminw · · Score: 1

      ....The biggest problem with God is that he has never been found......

      True, but the subject of God is taught in religion classes and is a matter of faith. You can choose to believe in God or not and it is unconstitutional to teach about Him in public schools.

      Fiction, like the Oort cloud and evolution, also based on belief, is taught in science class, pawned off as true and factual and paid for by my tax dollars. There is no evidence for much of the fiction concerning origins, taught as science.

      --
      All theory is gray
    6. Re:Wrong: Comets are older than the Sun by stjobe · · Score: 1

      You are obviously either a troll or a devout creationist/ID loony, so we end this here. Enjoy your delusions.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
  143. Re:Even if it is true, we cant explain the origin by non · · Score: 1

    i have answered a similar question recently. you mention Dawkins, but you don't mention Dawkin's discussion of heredity being the defining quality of life, and then going on to discuss the work of Sol Spiegelman. look him up, he's in wikipedia.

    no, its not a definitive theory, but i think its a little stronger than very tentative speculation; the origin of life could really be as simple as the replication of a short strand of RNA.

    --
    ...vividly encapsulates that post-Watergate/pre-punk/coked-up moment when you could trust no one, least of all yourself.
  144. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by smellsofbikes · · Score: 1

    I've spent a lot of time campaigning and educating in favor of evolution. With that said, Michael Behe is a pretty smart, well-spoken dude, who deserves his PhD even if he's misusing it. I think he's self-deluded, but I don't get the feeling he's anywhere nearly as much a crackpot as this guy. At least he can back up his high-level assumptions with non-clearly-incompetent math.

    --
    Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
  145. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

    I'm no expert either, but it's my understanding that current theories call for a sort of intermediary stage where we have primitive self-replicators without all the trappings of what we would consider to be living organisms; long chains of organic molecules that could replicate, if by nothing other than the action of the water, breaking apart to form smaller chains that would in turn incorporate surrounding organic material and build themselves up.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  146. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Phanatic1a · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In other words, it's still a strawman.

    The laws dictating how different elements and ions react and combine with one another are not random. Chemistry is not random, it's stochastic. You don't combust hydrogen and oxygen on different days and get water on Monday and aluminum file cabinets on Wednesday. Nobody, but nobody other than creationists and other folks engaged in trying to misrepresent the position they're arguing against holds that DNA or anything else "randomly" assembled itself from a preexisting mix of chemicals.

  147. They got it wrong i explain here by PermanentMarker · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It was this same month that at the northpole scientist looking for ancient frozen cells, concluded that after 1.5 milion years the DNA helix doesnt survive, the reason for it. At the poles more radiation enters earth.

    For panspermia to work and to seed a galaxy much more then a milion years are required.
    And more radiation will aply in space destroying complex moleculair life bounds.

    If you would say but the comet could include the right kind of clay.

    Well we allready had lots of it here

    So its more likely its te opposite chance

    How much did it cost who sponsored them and what was their budget idea... tahts the main question.

    --
    I know you're out there. I can feel you now. I know that you're afraid. You're afraid of us. You're afraid of change.
    1. Re:They got it wrong i explain here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Microbes can enter a state of suspended animation. Bacteria who's age is in excess of 30,000,000 years have been discovered on earth, and cultivated into living, healthy bacterial colonies.

      There's so many comets out there in the universe that of course organisms could start on them.

      Not to mention there could also exist proto-life forms simpler than the simplest we know of which could exist on comets comfortably, seed a planet, and evolve into more complex single-cell structures. When it comes down to it, this is talking about protein folding happening inside liquid water in comets - not an amoeba in space.

      Also, clay, water, etc. couldn't of started on a rolling mass of molten rock and metal. They'd burn up, get chemically altered or destroyed, or drift into space to become dust particles. That organic matter comes from somewhere, as does the liquid water. That somewhere, likely, are comets.

  148. I already knew this... (starship troopers) by Abuzar · · Score: 0

    ... really, at some level I'm still in touch with my ancestral roots. I still get the urge to hurl my spore through the galaxy to colonize other planets. I practice every day.

  149. Holy Crap! by why-is-it · · Score: 1

    Holy crap!

    Does this mean that the scientologists were right all along?

    I don't know if I could cope with that. Where's my towel?

    --
    *** Where are we going? And what's with this handbasket?
  150. You're all wrong... by p4rri11iz3r · · Score: 1

    We all know that man came to earth in a giant bubble (yep, the original bubble-boy). The only question left is: Which came first, the bubble, or the boy?

    --
    "Now I'm seriously serious!" - Serious Sam
  151. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Hatta · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I never got why panspermia was such a compelling theory. It just pushes the real question, "how did life begin", back a little. Maybe life on earth started from genetic material on a comet. That genetic material had to come from somewhere, so that just means that abiogenesis occurred on a planet other than earth. Why is abiogenesis elsewhere more likely than abiogenesis here?

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  152. Who you gonna call? by RandomBitFlipper · · Score: 1

    MYTHBUSTERS, of course! Although Adam and Jamie might run overbudget testing this one out. I'm guessing the odds are 10e24 to 1 that Adam giggles at the term "panspermia."

  153. Infinite Improbability Drive by jdigriz · · Score: 1

    So now that we've figured out exactly how improbable it is, we just fire up our Finite Probability Generator, provide it with a cup of really hot tea, and voila, the Origin of Life. =p

  154. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by E++99 · · Score: 1

    Nonsense. Any replicator subjected to differential survival pressure is capable of evolving, and there are simpler replicators than bacteria.

    Such as?
  155. BATTLESTAR GALACTICA WAS RIGHT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    As it is written in the scared scrolls, " Life Here, Began Out There"

    1. Re:BATTLESTAR GALACTICA WAS RIGHT by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      ...and it began with among those with feathered hair in their space discos.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  156. scientists use data from Uranus to prove theory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    they theorize that humans came from Klingons

  157. two more things by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    1. my decency compels me to be decent to every human being, unless that human being first denies that i deserve to be treated with decency as well. this is the crime of the fundamentalist, not of me. i won't deny anyone decency, unless they first deny decency to me. and all fundamentalists do that. (if they don't, they are not really a fundamentalist)

    2. i applaud your humility before god. except that i think you will find that what god wants you to do is really what some grouchy old man wants you to, who says he speaks for god. either that, or what a book says, that you interpret, failingly. unless you wish to represent to me that you know god's will better than i do. which is funny to speak of humility then, because that's an interesting sort of arrogance now isn't it?

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  158. Re:origin of comets still unknown. my crackpot the by PermanentMarker · · Score: 1

    indeed crackpod in some degree :)

    No not want to hurt you, basicly all havier elements are made trough exploding stars.
    But inside the stars ther is only plasma, plasma is another state of mater
    To hot for strands od DNA or proteine, or blood or other life elements.
    A plasma is ruled by magnetic forces and nuclear forces only
    The weak bounds as for chemic bonds do not exist in a super heat plasma.

    But your right heavy elements are made of stars.
    complex chemics however are likely to exist (no one kept it all clean and organized)
    Since there are so many chemical options it's even likely that amino acids are at some space rocks
    As it is likely that there will also be chemics which resemble nothing we have seen before, or could possibly think of.
    Nad yep for sure there is somewhere a golden commet larger then myself. The chance that it would look like me is however not likely (unless you have read the transgalatic hidgehyker, i'm actualy Arthur you see..)

    Well what did that guide of that story told me..

    The one thing intresting is perhaps carbon itself.
    Carbon has a lot of chemical stable intresting combinations in chemics
    From plastic bag, diamont, DNA, till perspex

    Carbon turns out to be the Lego of our universe (especialy in the environment at earth).

    Thats next earth environment.. lots of water in which carbon can float
    Floating boiling movement, means almost a huge chemical cooking pan.
    Because of the water it can move around unlike the moon (carbon overthere wont react with neigbour chemicals).
    So given time you can get to life as we know it.

    Given the right condition however perhaps life could be based under high pressure in some kind of acid sea based on fluor atoms but its not yet proven. Until we know more about it the best Lego are carbon atoms.

    --
    I know you're out there. I can feel you now. I know that you're afraid. You're afraid of us. You're afraid of change.
  159. Space by ralph1 · · Score: 0

    Could explain diversity.

  160. Horton hears a who.... by 3seas · · Score: 1

    so if this makes the universe the womb of life, what does it make comets?

  161. Let's get back to Dr. Adams, shall we? by DynaSoar · · Score: 1

    "(10 to the power of 24) to one against"... ... and FALL-ing ...

    You may think that number is really big, but that's just peanuts compared to an Infinite Improbability Drive.

    Come on, are you Brits losing your nerve? Let's get back to some real heavy numbers.

    (Just to switch from Adams to Vinge for a second, isn't Wickramasinghe one of those group-mind dog thingies from "A Fire Upon The Deep"? OK, back to Adams.)

    Yeah, some real heavy numbers, like some Plutonium Rock. How did it go? BWAH *BWAAH* BWAH.

    I am also bloody disappointed none of you came back from the future to specify Dr. Brian May to play the Disaster Area sequence. He took the time (snortsnort) to come back 50 years to appear on "The Sky At Night's" 50th anniversary, so it's the least you could had will diding. It would'll be done only another 30 years backforeing for him to going had do the first BBC radio version.

    --
    "I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B
  162. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 2, Interesting

    There's nothing in ID that argues very much of anything, other than the essential concept that "somehow somewhere something is wrong with evolution". It's Creationism so rendered down that it makes no meaningful claims at all. Oh sure, there's this nonsense about IC and bacterial flagellum and the vertebrate immune system, which researchers have happily debunked by providing theoretical pathways (and let's remember, all that is require to debunk an IC claim is to demonstrate a possible means for such a pathway to evolve).

    ID is yesterday's news. The latest scam is Teach the Controversy.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  163. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by XxtraLarGe · · Score: 1

    The laws dictating how different elements and ions react and combine with one another are not random Speaking of straw-man arguments, you're doing your best to misrepresent the other point of view. Yes, chemicals do interact in a predictable way. But suppose you took a few buckets of all the elements contained within DNA, and threw them into the ocean? What are the chances that those are eventually going to combine into a strand of DNA?
    --
    Taking guns away from the 99% gives the 1% 100% of the power.
  164. Quotes in Headline... by lotho+brandybuck · · Score: 1

    Quotes in headline should have been on 'scientists', not 'overwhelming.' trillion trillion...

  165. Oh right. by FatSean · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's the 'separation from god' that really scares the suckers. I'm sure if 'hell' were a bottomless pit of fluffy pillows, there would be just as many believers.

    --
    Blar.
    1. Re:Oh right. by Culture20 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Quite right. Hell is referred to as "the outer darkness" or "the outside" much more often. Essentially, Christians fear the separation from God because communion with God is seen as the ultimate goal. I suppose a Buddhist would look at that and say "desire for heaven is what makes separation from God into Hell"

    2. Re:Oh right. by Aeiri · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Going by those definitions, it sounds more and more like the Bible was written by non-believers.

      Maybe they were just calling Hell "bad" (not evil), and saying it sucks, almost infinitely, to not be certain about the origins of the universe.

      Reminds me of a time back in school. We were reading "Paradise Lost", and the teacher was explaining that the differences between God and Satan were that God said that destiny was determined and that Satan refused to believe it and adamantly believed in free choice, so he started a revolution against God. He lost and was sent to Hell by God.

      After the teacher finished saying that I just sort of blurted out, "Makes you kinda want to worship Satan."

      Everyone turned and looked at me like I was a freak of nature, even the teacher. All I could think was, are those people seriously Americans?

    3. Re:Oh right. by truckaxle · · Score: 1

      Hell is referred to as "the outer darkness" or "the outside" much more often.

      Errr... care to back that up.

      In the NT hell is described as hotter than well hell, more often....

      • Matthew 13:42: "And shall cast them into a furnace of fire: there shall be wailing and gnashing of teeth."

      • Matt 25:41: "Then shall he say also unto them on the left hand, Depart from me, ye cursed, into everlasting fire, prepared for the devil and his angels." This passage relates to Jesus' judgment of all the world.

      • Mark 9:43-48: And if thy hand offend thee, cut it off: it is better for thee to enter into life maimed, than having two hands to go into hell, into the fire that never shall be quenched." The reference to fire is repeated three more times in the passage for emphasis.

      • Luke 16:24: "And he cried and said, Father Abraham, have mercy on me, and send Lazarus, that he may dip the tip of his finger in water, and cool my tongue; for I am tormented in this flame." This is a plea described as coming from an inhabitant of Hell.

      • Revelation 20:13-15: "...hell delivered up the dead which were in them...And death and hell were cast into the lake of fire. This is the second death. And whosoever was not found written in the book of life was cast into the lake of fire."

      • Revelation 21:8: "But the fearful, and unbelieving ... shall have their part in the lake which burneth with fire and brimstone."
    4. Re:Oh right. by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      Darn, I shouldn't have qualified that. ;)
      Isaiah 8:22 " Then they will look toward the earth and see only distress and darkness and fearful gloom, and they will be thrust into utter darkness."
      I added some extra verses from Amos since Amos' verse 5:20 doesn't make much sense without them (God's dealing with an Idol-worship phase in Israel) Amos 5:16-20 "16 Therefore this is what the Lord, the LORD God Almighty, says: "There will be wailing in all the streets and cries of anguish in every public square. The farmers will be summoned to weep and the mourners to wail. 17 There will be wailing in all the vineyards, for I will pass through your midst," says the LORD. 18 Woe to you who long for the day of the LORD! Why do you long for the day of the LORD ? That day will be darkness, not light. 19 It will be as though a man fled from a lion only to meet a bear, as though he entered his house and rested his hand on the wall only to have a snake bite him. 20 Will not the day of the LORD be darkness, not light -- pitch-dark, without a ray of brightness?" Matthew 8:12 "But the subjects of the kingdom will be thrown outside, into the darkness, where there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth." Note that the kingdom in reference isn't "the Kingdom"
      Matthew 22:13 "Then the king told the attendants, 'Tie him hand and foot, and throw him outside, into the darkness, where there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth.' Matthew 25:30 "And throw that worthless servant outside, into the darkness, where there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth.' Sorry, just been reading a little too much Matthew.

    5. Re:Oh right. by ozmanjusri · · Score: 1
      Hell is referred to as "the outer darkness" or "the outside" much more often.

      You've got that ass-backwards.

      The term "outer darkness" is believed by some to refer to hell, not the other way around.

      In the parable of the marriage feast in Matthew 22:13, Jesus tells the story of one who came to a marriage feast but was not dressed properly, so the King had him thrown into the outer darkness where there was weeping and gnashing of teeth. The question is: where is the outer darkness? Most teach that the "outer darkness" is hell. But some teach that this is just the darkness outside the banquet hall in heaven, or as I have named it--heaven's suburb. http://www.bible.org/page.php?page_id=1044
      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    6. Re:Oh right. by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      Darn, I shouldn't have qualified that. ;)
      Isaiah 8:22 " Then they will look toward the earth and see only distress and darkness and fearful gloom, and they will be thrust into utter darkness."
      I added some extra verses from Amos since Amos' verse 5:20 doesn't make much sense without them (God's dealing with an Idol-worship phase in Israel)
      Amos 5:16-20
      "16 Therefore this is what the Lord, the LORD God Almighty, says: "There will be wailing in all the streets and cries of anguish in every public square. The farmers will be summoned to weep and the mourners to wail.
      17 There will be wailing in all the vineyards, for I will pass through your midst," says the LORD.
      18 Woe to you who long for the day of the LORD! Why do you long for the day of the LORD ? That day will be darkness, not light.
      19 It will be as though a man fled from a lion only to meet a bear, as though he entered his house and rested his hand on the wall only to have a snake bite him.
      20 Will not the day of the LORD be darkness, not light -- pitch-dark, without a ray of brightness?"
      Matthew 8:12 "But the subjects of the kingdom will be thrown outside, into the darkness, where there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth." Note that the kingdom in reference isn't "the Kingdom"
      Matthew 22:13 "Then the king told the attendants, 'Tie him hand and foot, and throw him outside, into the darkness, where there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth.'
      Matthew 25:30 "And throw that worthless servant outside, into the darkness, where there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth.'
      Sorry, just been reading a little too much Matthew.
      Edit: Bleh, I hate /.'s text formatting. I wish it had sane defaults.

    7. Re:Oh right. by CommieLib · · Score: 1

      While I realize the futility of opening a religious discussion on Slashdot...

      The Buddhist view here would be an inaccurate perception of the Christian worldview. In the Christian worldview, God creates everything good, indeed, your ability to perceive things as good and not good (as opposed to merely pleasurable and not pleasurable, like an animal) is the gift of God. Consignment to hell is the choice of the being out of right relationship with God, i.e., God respects the choice of the individual to reject the authority of God. In order to respect this choice, the chooser is isolated utterly from the influence of God, which is hell. Hell is hell because it is bereft of contact with God, and by extension everything good in life.

      Let the bigoted responses fly.

      --
      If your bitterest enemies are people who hack the heads off civilians, then I would say you're doing something right.
    8. Re:Oh right. by plunge · · Score: 1

      Ah, yes, a worldview in which wrong belief is the ultimate wrong to be punished by the worst thing imaginable... and its OTHER views that don't accept that which are bigoted.

      Right....

    9. Re:Oh right. by burndive · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'm getting a bit tired of this particular misconception about the Christian worldview. There is a difference between belief in facts and trust in a person.

      "You believe that there is one God. Good! Even the demons believe that--and shudder." - James 2:19

      Everyone in hell, according to the non-straw-man version of the Christian worldview, will be there because they have rejected God's offer of free righteousness in Jesus Christ:

      All faith acceptable to God throughout all time has been on the basis that God would send someone to establish the righteousness that we humans had made ourselves and continue to make ourselves incapable of producing on our own by rejecting God. Throughout the centuries he was known by different names: the Seed of the woman, Shiloh, the Messiah, etc. When he came, he was known as Jesus of Nazareth.

      This has nothing, per se, to do with accepting or rejecting facts. You can accept all the right facts to be true, and still reject the person and the offer. No one is sent to hell for ignorance: we are all continuously shaping our souls into beings capable of heaven, or beings not capable of heaven.

      Jesus, the one promised by God, made it possible for things to be right between God and humans again. Do you want that? Do you want Him? Or do you want to be your own god?

      --
      ...because "hacker" sounds way sexier than "code drone."
    10. Re:Oh right. by 2names · · Score: 1

      Actually, you hit the nail almost dead center on the head. Many people take their Christian beliefs from translations of the original Hebrew, Greek, and Aramaic texts. These translations are mostly bastardized, hacked-up rags written by "scholars" who had no formal training and were utterly unqualified to translate these languages into western languages. There are many examples of this, and you can find some of them here.

      --
      "I'm just here to regulate funkiness."
  166. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 1

    It's much worse than that. Like all panspermia advocates, and like a good many Creationists, they essentially crib the "odds" argument.

    This depresses me. As an unwilling agnostic, I've tried hard to weigh the evidence for/against the various Creationist accounts. When advocates of Creationism employ crappy mathematical arguments, it slows down my investigation considerably.

  167. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Moderatbastard · · Score: 0, Informative

    Prions?

    --
    1/3 of jokes get modded OT. If you get the joke, mod 1 in 3 insightful/interesting/underrated to restore karma balance.
  168. Re:Even if it is true, we cant explain the origin by killmofasta · · Score: 1

    The origion of life has *NOTHING* to do with evoltion.

    "Sir Fred Hoyle (1915-2001) and Chandra Wickramasinghe (born 1939)

    were important proponents of the hypothesis who further contended that lifeforms continue to enter the Earth's atmosphere, and may be responsible

    for epidemic outbreaks, new diseases, and the genetic novelty necessary for macroevolution."

    Yea Wickramasinghe!

  169. Dear "scientists": by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Dear "scientists":
    The evidence might lend some support to your theory, but at first I was confused how it allowed you to get such certain numbers.

    Then I realized that your evidence came from comets, but the numbers were found at a different source - Uranus.
    Yours troll-ly,
    AC

  170. Yes, Overwhelming Evidence! Best Evidence EVAR! by ElboRuum · · Score: 1

    Pulling the string on the See 'N Say...

    "The author says..

    Radiation in comets could keep water in liquid form for millions of years, they say, which along with the clay and organic molecules found on-board would provide an ideal incubator."

    So does Earth. It's GENIUS, I say. GENIUS!

    You said panspermia... uh. huh-huh. heh. uh. huh-huh-huh. hm. huh-huh.

  171. MOD RTFA DOWN by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mod parent down!!! He actually read the book. HE doesn't belong there.

  172. So what they're saying is... by JebusTheMexican · · Score: 1

    Not only did the comet house humans...but there was a perfect earth waiting for the housed humans to have a perfect ecosystem to live off of? an ecosystem that now keeps 6 billion people alive on a daily basis? it also allows all of our animals to live (water and land life)? and it just happened to be that it landed on that planet? out of all planets? wow, athiests bring some crazy theories to the table why can't we all just accept the creationism theory and move on with our lives who would have thought that one day you'd go from living in a comet to surfing the internet on a perfect planet...

  173. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The thing to keep in mind here is what Creationists do when they come up with this "bazillion to one against x happening" claim is that they're usually trying to argue for the occurence of an entire novel feature out of some base system (ie. bacteria from an organic soup). Well of course, that's so unlikely as to be impossible (though I still think one should demand to see the work behind even this kind of claim). But that is nothing more than pushing over a strawman of what abiogenesis theories state. No modern theory claims that anything like a modern cell popped out of the first abiogenesis event. Quite the opposite, the basic notion is that the first products of such an event probably wouldn't even be considered life. They were replicating organic molecules. Abiogenesis wasn't one giant leap, but a series of intermediate steps that ended with something approaching what we would view as a cell.

    In short, these great big statistical arguments against abiogenesis aren't even arguments against any hypothesis that scientists are putting forth.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  174. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    what bothers me is that a co-author is a phd student that *appears* to be a relative of the professor studying under him.
    A distinct conflict of interest and something the university should strongly discourage,

  175. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh, gosh. That Wickramasinghe. Those Archaeopteryx papers he co-authored with Hoyle and others were really bad. The idea was worth checking out initially, but the whole thing collapsed under pretty basic scientific scrutiny. Not even the motivations they offered for a supposed forgery made any sense (you should see the lengthy, detailed paper that Owen, a vigorous anti-evolutionist, wrote about Archaeopteryx in the 1800s, yet he was supposedly someone involved with the forgery? Crazy). Heck, the photographic techniques they used were mundane, even though the papers were in the British Journal of Photography.

    This "Archaeopteryx forgery" claim is so lame that even most anti-evolutionary creationists don't use it anymore (e.g., "Answers in Genesis" lists the "Archaetopteryx is a fraud" claim as an argument that should not be used). I can't think of a stronger repudiation of Wickramasinghe's paleontological claims than that.

    Anyway, past performance doesn't mean his current argument on a different subject is wrong (at least it involves math!), but it certainly bears careful scrutiny.

  176. You have to acquit. by ElboRuum · · Score: 1

    It does not make sense.

  177. Let me simplify your argument further by Freedom451 · · Score: 1

    "One the one hand I could understand what you are saying...on the other hand I won't understand what your are saying."

    What is really silly here is that a strand of DNA won't last 5 minutes in the ocean, doh!

    --
    When the country falls into chaos, politicians talk about 'patriotism'. Lao-Tzu
  178. Spartaaa! by CmdrRickHunter · · Score: 1

    I mentioned this to a friend. His reply: "I bring you a message: water, and earth." Can we get more scientific hypotheses which can get reduced down to statements from 300?

  179. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Bombula · · Score: 1

    Viruses, RNA chains, proteins (prions), etc, etc, etc.

    --
    A-Bomb
  180. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What did you think about his chapter regarding the lack of published papers detailing evolutionary theory of sub-cellular mechanisms?

    An argument from incredulity is not a fair summation of the book because Behe never makes the claim that evolution can't be true. He's only saying that, at a sub-cellular level, there is a (growing) burden of proof that the proponents of evolution ought to explain at some point.

    In other words, we've been looking 'behind the curtain' of macro life for the past few decades and found the underlying mechanics of life to be far more precise and 'engineered' than we've realized. To be clear, I'm not saying Neo-Darwinistic Evolution has been proven to be wrong either. I'm saying that, given the last 50 years of research at the lowest level of life, it would be nice to add more substance to the theory that explicitly discusses the mechanisms of evolution at this level.

    BTW, I'm particularly interested in evolution from an information theory POV. The basic premise of Evolution seems to be at odds with Shanon's laws related to signal degradation. That's what a comp-sci degree does to you: _everything_ is viewed as information ;-)

    PS Colbert?! He's a comedian. Trivializing for the sake of humor is what they do! At least use the Richard Dawkins' quote on the book's Wikipedia article if you're going to be dismissive.

  181. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 1

    The thing to keep in mind here is what Creationists do when they come up with this "bazillion to one against x happening" claim is that they're usually trying to argue for the occurence of an entire novel feature out of some base system (ie. bacteria from an organic soup).

    But don't macro-evolutionists (for lack of a better term) also rely on statistical arguments whose underlying models are hard to validate? I think they generally see that micro-evolution works in the lab, and then assume that enough micro-evolutionary events have occurred to yield the macro-evolutionary results they believe to be recorded in natural history (i.e. the fossil record).

    I'm not saying the macro-evolutionists are wrong, just that they too seem to be question begging when it comes to probabilities that are hard to really validate.

  182. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by meringuoid · · Score: 1
    Bear in mind that this self-validating conclusion comes from Professor Chandra Wickramasinghe who is intimately tied to the theory of panspermia.

    Bear in mind also that Wickramsinghe is intimately tied to the whole Hoyle cosmology. Fred Hoyle never accepted the Big Bang model, and to the end of his days maintained the Steady State universe, which is infinitely old and maintained against entropy and expansion by 'continuous creation'. In such a universe, panspermia has colossal advantages - the origin of life can be as many vigintillions of years back as you like, and such vast timescales allow it to permeate every possible niche in the cosmos, even randomly drifting on ice slower than light. A steady state universe in which life has once arisen ought to be absolutely riddled with the stuff, so panspermia becomes a very viable model for how life began on Earth.

    In a Universe which is only about three times older than the Earth, the advantage panspermia gives are substantially less; the range of worlds on which Earth life might have originated becomes reduced dramatically, and the depth of time since when life might have been spreading in the Universe is suddenly finite and short.

    --
    Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  183. no mention of cosmic rays by ErikThompson · · Score: 1

    One problem with the theory as I understand it is that comets don't have a magnetic field blocking cosmic rays and so the DNA in any cells on a comet would deteriorate from cosmic ray bombardment. The presence of cosmic rays means there would be a limited lifespan for cells to survive on a comet.

  184. Huge Hole in this Theory by CrtxReavr · · Score: 1

    Okay, let's pretend for a minute what we're willing to entertain the possibility that the interior of comets is conducive to "primordial soup." Okay, I guess that part isn't so big of a stretch.

    How, pray tell, is this "soup" supposed to survive atmospheric re-entry and impact on earth's surface?

    "Inquiring minds want to know."

    -CR

    --
    "So is the BSD licence even more 'free' (than GPLv2)? Yes. Unquestionably." --Linus Torvalds (TinyURL.com/2vugzl)
  185. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Bombula · · Score: 2
    What are the chances that those are eventually going to combine into a strand of DNA?

    You're right back to the 747 in the junkyard. The problem with scientists - and biologists in general - is that we usually don't realize how difficult it is for some people to understand DNA didn't spring into existence in one single instant any more than people, lizards, sponges or bacteria did. Many simpler replicating mechanisms exist - viruses, RNA, protein (prions), and so on. The backwards path of evolution follows smooth curve all the way down to zero complexity - it doesn't end at bacteria, as some foolish poster already suggested, nor does it end at DNA. It goes all the way back to the very first replicating molecule, which was undoubtedly extremely simple, and which only had to occur one single time in history to explain everything we see today. It's utterly explicable. As a result, chances are that life is very, very common throughout the universe.

    --
    A-Bomb
  186. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

    The people that did the recent revival of ancient bacteria said that their numbers prohibit interstellar panspermia because the half life of DNA travelling through the cosmos is very low, due to cosmic radiation. They found that DNA's halflife in the Antarctic was something like (IIRC) 800,000 years, and that's within earth's and the Sun's protective magnetic fields.

  187. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Copid · · Score: 1

    An argument from incredulity is not a fair summation of the book because Behe never makes the claim that evolution can't be true. He's only saying that, at a sub-cellular level, there is a (growing) burden of proof that the proponents of evolution ought to explain at some point.
    Interestingly, at the Kitzmiller trial, he was confronted with a number of papers that addressed the topics he claimed had no real literature supporting them. His response? He hadn't read them. Are the answers 100% there? Certainly not. Is Behe adding anything to the discussion beyond his own personal incredulity? Nope.

    BTW, I'm particularly interested in evolution from an information theory POV. The basic premise of Evolution seems to be at odds with Shanon's laws related to signal degradation. That's what a comp-sci degree does to you: _everything_ is viewed as information ;-)
    I would be extremely interested in seeing your math on this one. A good definition of "information" and how to measure it would be a good start. Everybody I've seen invoke Shannon or Kolmogorov in this context has fallen flat on his face before even getting to that point.

    PS Colbert?! He's a comedian. Trivializing for the sake of humor is what they do! At least use the Richard Dawkins' quote on the book's Wikipedia article if you're going to be dismissive.
    Colbert actually hit on a crucial point: The whole idea of irreducible complexity falls apart for several reasons, not least of which is the fact that the constituent elements of a supposedly IC system would have to be useless in and of themselves.
    --
    An interesting anagram of "BANACH TARSKI" is "BANACH TARSKI BANACH TARSKI"
  188. argument of time by ErikThompson · · Score: 1

    Well, panspermia has the argument of time. How long could life survive without the earth's magnetic field protection from cosmic rays? This problem weakens the theory's argument of time.
  189. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Informative

    We can start with the fact that macro-evolution (as defined by biologists, and not creationists) has been observed (that is to say, evolution beyond the species level).

    There is a fairly (and far beyond me to explain) statistical aspect to evolutionary biology, but the main thing to keep in mind is that modern evolutionary theory predicts that all life, extant or extinct, will fit into a nested hieararchy. The bonus of the Modern Synthesis and of the last thirty or forty years of genetic research has given us a twin-nested hiearchy; not only do the fossils give us a pretty good notion of the faunal succession, but the genetic data, by and large, confirms and extends those observations.

    This is the root of why evolution is a well-supported scientific theory. It's nice to have a single line of data, but when you get to evidentiary lines that fit together as well as the fossil and genetic data does, I don't think it's any great leap of any kind to state "Here is evidence for common descent".

    Let's remember the flip side of all of this, and that's falsification. For common descent to be falsified, one need only provide some examples of organisms that fall outside of the twin-nested hieararchy, or of fossils that violate the faunal succession. So, if you can produce some bacteria that uses an entirely different genetic scheme that is not related in any way to the way life as we know it does, then common descent has been falsified (though, you'll note, evolution has not). As to the faunal succession, if you pull a rabbit fossil out of strata, say, 3 billion years ago, where bacterial colonies represented the most complex organisms around, then we have a very serious problem.

    Now, how do we falsify a common Creationist retort; that God (or the Designer(s) or whatever) used a common toolkit, and that's why all life uses the same basic nucleotide system, or genetic language if you will. On the face of it, it seems a reasonable retort, until your factor in that said Designer likely could use any genetic he/she/it/they pleased, and there's every reason to expect that there might be a half a dozen, or a hundred or any number you like (and can expect to be likely to be useful for inheritance) such systems as there is just one. In short, any and all observations are essentially compatible with the claim "God did it" (or whatever formulation of God/designer/alien scientist/etc. you want to invoke).

    The reason Creationists are picked on for their "million to one, 747 out of a scrapyard" arguments is because those arguments do not in fact address anything that modern evolutionary theory or Common Descent states, but rather knock down oversimplified and rather silly strawmen of what those theories claim happened. There's nothing positive in their claims, simply just fallaciously-formulated arguments against everything from the Big Bang to the formation of the first cell.

    If one observers that all extant organisms fit into a hieararchy, then I don't think it's an inference too far to state that that relationship is more than just happenstance. If that observation fits within the predictive nature of a specific theory, then is it unreasonable to state that that observation is in fact a piece of evidence for that theory?

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  190. Everything we need to know, we learned from 70s TV by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There are those who believe, that life down here, began out there...

  191. Earth not in space? by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

    The last time I checked with my telescope I could swear that Earth was floating in space, so yes, life started in space alright, unless those guys think that it is turtles all the way down...

    --
    Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
  192. Humans destroying the Earth by HOTTILA.COM · · Score: 0

    Is that the reason why humans are destroying the earth and live in Mars instead?

    --
    Strive to be happy...
  193. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by ultranova · · Score: 1

    Soooooo, they used two numbers (mass of clay & # of comets) to generate a 1e24 to 1 odd against life having started here? Seems like they might have left one or two variables out of their equation.

    Yes. You have to compare mass of oceans vs. the mass of liquid water in comets which hit the Earth between the time oceans formed and life began to determine the odds, assuming each liquid water droplet has the same odds of having life starting in it spontaneously in a given time period. It doesn't help Earth any if life begins in some comet which never hits the Earth...

    --

    Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  194. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by vertinox · · Score: 1

    For those interested in why the tornado in a junkyard assembling a 747 is a useless analogy for the process of evolution

    Isn't the correct term for this "emergence" which is what happened before evolution. Obviously, matter, energy, and gravity had to come about with a sun and planet formations with the proper elements way before we can even start to talk about evolution.

    And since there is no evolution in planetary formations (and most non-organic matter), we call this emergence.

    In theory, if you had an infinite amount of tornadoes, infinite number of junkyarks, and infinite amount of time you could eventually get a 747 if you wait long enough.

    Of course we might be facing the death of the sun, proton decay, and/or heat death of the universe by the time this happens.

    And by no means is this something that will even come close to the time scale of the millions of years evolution takes.

    I mean... It took 10 billion years for the Earth to even form and then 4 billion after that before we even got to macro evolution today that produced the life that would even have the remote chance of evolving into intelligent life.

    So in that respect, if your definition of a 747 is a planet that is conducive to carbon life then we have have answered this question, but this took longer than even macro evolution of intelligent life.

    It doesn't really matter how bad the odds are because in order for intelligent life to notice itself, it has to have happened. The whole concept of Anthropic Principle is that the universe must have at least at one time be friendly to carbon based life even on a minuscule probability before carbon based life can sit around and contemplate this fact.

    If the 747 did not happen, then we would not be here discussing this.

    But I'll agree... The tornado and the 747 analogy have nothing to do with macro evolution. Emergence and evolution are two completely separate things, but you need emergence to get the building blocks of life first.

    --
    "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
    -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
  195. Second article very flawed... embarrassing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I especially like this flaw:

    "The earth receives 51 billion kilowatts of solar energy every second."

    Really? Kilowatts per second? So it's increasing? Try kilowatts. No scientist would make this mistake. It's obvious, you buy lightbulbs by the watt, not watt per second. This website is much better (from NASA): http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Library/Oven/

    "the Sun deposits 342 Watts of energy into every square meter of the Earth."

    Watts per square meter is much better. Thank you NASA. Saladin: stop embarrassing pro-evolution.

  196. Occam's Razor be damned by JonTurner · · Score: 0

    That's an excellent summary of his (IMO) loony hypothesis!

    >>Radiation in comets could keep water in liquid form for millions of years
    Could. Possibly. Maybe. If everything is exactly right. And if there were several heretofore unknown mechanisms in place. And a few scientific principles were ignored. etc. etc. etc.
    vs.
    Sedimentary evidence of a stable environment RIGHT HERE ON EARTH that has kept water in liquid form for, oh, say A FEW BILLION YEARS.

    Sheesh. Was the "It's turtles, all the way down..." lady his mom or something?

  197. Deleterious effects of radiation by Keighvin · · Score: 1
    A recent broadcast on NPR (Ancient Antarctic Bacteria Brought Back to Life) in the US shoots this down pretty sharply.
    1. It is not necessary that water remain liquid for viable specimens to be transported (this one works in their favor).
    2. Effects of radiation on microbial DNA are significantly deleterious, creating a predictable half-life for the loss of material and probability of survival (this one blows them away).
    --
    Any spoon would be too big.
    1. Re:Deleterious effects of radiation by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      The exageration of how long some organisms can remain frozen has been going on for a long time. If being buried under hundreds or thousands of meters of ice cannot prevent damage to DNA, then being hurtled around without the benefit of a dense atmosphere even in the middle of a comet is most assuredly going to make the lifespan even less.

      It's a garbage argument. It wasn't very impressive when guys like Hoyle first formulated it, and it's become less impressive ever since, until now it ranks along with the Aquatic Ape Theory and perpetual motion machines in the dustbin of idiot ideas.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:Deleterious effects of radiation by PermanentMarker · · Score: 1

      yep but that bacteria you talk about is covered under earth's ice is protection here.
      And a huge electromagnetic field from earth, that one protects us against space radiation.
      Even astronauts have to take care for solare flares, as such a flare could easily kill an astranaut.
      Perhaps you dont understand but compared to space there is not much radiation here
      And a commet shell isn't quite like earth's protective shell in terms of radiation protection.

      Perhaps some building blocks arived trough space (but its not required) to have made life here
      So in favour of Occam's razor, it was much easier to start life here under the right conditions then it was in space.

      --
      I know you're out there. I can feel you now. I know that you're afraid. You're afraid of us. You're afraid of change.
  198. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by gooseless · · Score: 1

    A clue as to where life started surely comes from noticing a peculiar coincidence: the Earth-Moon system is a freakish double-planet system. Round about when life began, the Moon was very much closer to the Earth, and a day much shorter (4 hours?). Tides, twice a day, would have been enormous. The perfect mixing cauldron for banging chemicals together until something interesting happened. And here life is found. Coincidence?

    --
    I have no goose.
  199. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by ultranova · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I never got why panspermia was such a compelling theory. It just pushes the real question, "how did life begin", back a little.

    The conditions of early Earth can be determined to some degree, and the time between Earth forming and the earliest known signs of life can also be determined. Any theory which states that life began on Earth has to explain how said conditions lead to life in said timeframe. This far none has.

    Panspermia, on the other hand, claims that life was born somewhere else at some point after the Big Bang and earliest signs of life on Earth. "Somewhere else" doesn't constrain the possible set of circumstances nearly as much as "on Earth", and the timeframe is far longer too. It is also impossible to prove false.

    Given the choice between lots of time-consuming chemistry reasearch and a hypothesis which is impossible to falsify or really even research but allows a lot of poetic pseudo-philosophical nonsense in the vein of "we are children of the stars", "cosmic bortherhood", and "the thrut is out there", which do you think people will choose ?

    --

    Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  200. Or rather: by Dasher42 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Panspermia: (n) the theory which states that sperm gets all over everything.

    1. Re:Or rather: by Taevin · · Score: 2, Funny

      As any pubescent male teenager will tell you, that's more aptly described as a Law of Nature.

    2. Re:Or rather: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sort of like bukaki. Maybe pankaki ?

  201. 100% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The probability of life starting on comets is 100%. There are vastly more comets than planets in the universe, comets sometimes even travel from solar system to solar system. And as far as we know, the universe is infinite, therefore any subjective percentage becomes 100%. As for how that comet got to earth safely, microbes aren't given enough credit. They're tough, they're *really* tough. Depending on the size of the comet there would be a good probability it would shatter in midair before it struck the ground - just from the increase in the temperature of the comet, and the sudden resistance from the atmosphere. That would likely lead to a type of aerosol effect with some of the water from the comet, potentially carrying microbes. Water itself is an amazingly efficient heat resister, so much so that I think there would be a very good chance of some debris from the comet landing safely. All it takes is a single microbe for things to get started, and as this theory suggests - that precious cargo is in the center of the comet, protected by the exterior ice and clay.

  202. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by E++99 · · Score: 3, Informative

    Viruses, RNA chains, proteins (prions), etc, etc, etc.


    In the absence of pre-existing organic life, none of those things are self-replicating. Ideas evolve as well, even simple ones, but that is again not helpful in determining the simplest thing which can (without help from another organism) replicate. To my knowledge, bacteria, or the bacteria-like organisms thought to precede them, are the simplest such things currently known, or in any meaningful way theorized. It's been speculated that maybe there was an RNA-based life form that was simpler, but I don't believe any actual model for such has ever been suggested.
  203. Re:Even if it is true, we cant explain the origin by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 1

    If life, once started somewhere in the Universe, can spread through space by natural means (i.e. without first needing to evolve intelligence and build starships), then we're allowed much longer odds, because of the far wider range of space and time If you have a million worlds all rolling the dice on abiogenesis, you have far better chances than with only one.
    Nonsense. Even without space travel for primitive life we have a million worlds all rolling the dice on abiogenesis. It just so happens we live on the one that threw all sixes! Panspermian theories don't change the odds, they simply state that Earth is not a good environment for life to have originated from. Quite an extraordinary claim given the evidence that life thrives here.
  204. Earth IS in space by NerdMachine · · Score: 1

    There is a 100% chance that life began in space.

    --
    --NerdMachine
  205. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As an unwilling agnostic, I've tried hard to weigh the evidence for/against the various Creationist accounts. When advocates of Creationism employ crappy mathematical arguments, it slows down my investigation considerably. When people offer crappy arguments of *any* type, you can safely conclude that they don't have any *good* arguments to offer.

    Maybe a good argument exists, but if so the person offering the crappy argument doesn't know it, so it follows that their conclusion is not based on any good argument.

  206. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've spent a lot of time campaigning and educating in favor of evolution. With that said, Michael Behe is a pretty smart, well-spoken dude, who deserves his PhD even if he's misusing it. I think he's self-deluded, but I don't get the feeling he's anywhere nearly as much a crackpot as this guy. At least he can back up his high-level assumptions with non-clearly-incompetent math. Can he? His high-level assumptions are that (a) evolution only works by adding new components to a system, not by removing or changing the function of existing components, and (b) evolution will not allow any non-functional component to exist, and (c) since evolution couldn't have generated this or that, and Intelligent Designer must have.

    (a) and (b) are wrong, and (c) is a logical fallacy (even ignoring the fact that his premise is wrong due to (a) and (b)).

    If he has supported any of that nonsense with math, I'd like to see it.
  207. Re:Even if it is true, we cant explain the origin by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Even if the claim is true, we are just transferring the problem from how life originated on Earth? to How life originated in the universe?.

    That makes a big difference, though. It's a question of probability. If life cannot spread through space, then it must have begun here of its own accord, and so we're looking for a theory that allows good odds that life will start on any planet chemically and environmentally favourable for it to do so.

    That's the trick though - you don't actually need good odds at all. All you need is for the event to not be impossible even though it may be improbable.
     
    Keep in mind - when you have the entire surface of the Earth (with all it's wildly varying conditions) to work with, you have a giant MIMD chemical paralell processor. Even if the event is improbable (per try), the odds of it happening at all go sharply up when you are trying millions (billions? googol?) of times per minute across millions of years. How this seems to generate (in the minds of some people) impossible odds - while accepting that it was a) not only possible somewhere else, and b) transferred to Earth by an even more unlikely event, escapes me.
  208. Re:Even if it is true, we cant explain the origin by doti · · Score: 1

    here on a nice cozy planet with lots of liquid water, warm sunshine and a protective atmosphere Not to mention beer, TV, girls, internet, pot, and... did I mentioned beer?
    --
    factor 966971: 966971
  209. We are all by warrior · · Score: 1

    children of Khan Noonian-Singh :)

    --
    Intel transfer the difficult from Hadware to software, for get more power, programmer need more technology. -- chinaitn
    1. Re:We are all by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      Khaaaaaaaaaaan!

      Sorry, I had to.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
  210. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Hatta · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Any theory which states that life began on Earth has to explain how said conditions lead to life in said timeframe. This far none has.

    Except that it doesn't really. If the timeframe Earth has been around is 1/1000th of the average time you'd expect the abiogenetic process to yeild life on average, well that's ok. There are likely to be 1000s of Earth-like planets in the galaxy. All those stochastic molecular events are not only taking place on the surface of primative earth, but every other primative earthlike planet in the universe. It only has to happen once for us to be here and puzzle at how rare we are. I mean, the chances of winning the lottery are extremely low, but someone usually wins.

    Given the choice between lots of time-consuming chemistry reasearch and a hypothesis which is impossible to falsify or really even research but allows a lot of poetic pseudo-philosophical nonsense in the vein of "we are children of the stars", "cosmic bortherhood", and "the thrut is out there", which do you think people will choose ?

    You are right there. No doubt about it.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  211. Hey, like celebrities. by MLS100 · · Score: 1

    Sort of like when celebrities speak about, well, anything.

    1. Re:Hey, like celebrities. by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Well, I'm sure if they're talking about being celebrities, they're within their ken, but yeah, when Barbara Streisand or Martin Sheen tries to tell me how to vote, I don't exactly jump up and go "Yeah, that's what I'm gonna do". Why people put stock in the utterances of people who have no particular or obvious expertise is quite beyond me. It's quite hard enough sometimes sorting out the experts, without clouding the issues with laymen whose sole qualifier is that their famous.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:Hey, like celebrities. by Copid · · Score: 1

      I tend to agree with you, but I think it's important to remember that on matters of politics, every citizen has a voice, and basically everybody is a non-expert, so it irritates me when I hear somebody say something like, "They should stick to writing music." I have political opinions, but maybe I should stick to engineering. When did working in a short list of professions disqualify one from having an opinion about public policy? What level of cognitive dissonance must, say, an electrician be experiencing when he shouts down a person's opinion in a political discussion on the grounds that they don't know enough about monetary policy/US-Arab relations/military strategy/just about anything save electrical construction codes?

      Sure, celebrities may have more of a voice than their expertise warrants, but if we go by "earned media clout" we're pretty much screwed as well. God help us if we abdicate our responsibility to public discourse to perpetually wrong "experts" like Bill Kristol.

      --
      An interesting anagram of "BANACH TARSKI" is "BANACH TARSKI BANACH TARSKI"
  212. re: the article by danlock4 · · Score: 0

    Well, that throws a wrench in the works!

    --
    To .sig or not to .sig, that is the question.
  213. GodWasAnAlien by GodWasAnAlien · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    If we find life on Mars, the odds are that we put it there.

    Once the accidental or purposeful spread of life is possible, then the probability of life spread to neighboring space far outweighs the random formation of life there. Intelligent life existing somewhere only increases the odds of the spread of life.

  214. Final Frontier by Arthur+Grumbine · · Score: 2, Funny

    I guess it's more appropriate to speak of the Earth as the final frontier, now. Poor trekkies.

    --
    Now that I think about it, I'm pretty sure everything I just said is completely wrong.
  215. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by StikyPad · · Score: 1
  216. Re:Of course it started in missed sleep by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh come on, mods. How is this flamebait?

  217. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Flunitrazepam · · Score: 1

    >The simplest thing we have that is theorized to be
    >capable of evolving is a bacterium, which is
    >orders of magnitude more complex than a 747.

    ooohh, you mean like a 777?

    --
    1) Your analysis is based on bad assumptions so your result is way off. 2) You're a sick bastard for fucking a horse.
  218. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    "In the absence of pre-existing organic life, none of those things are self-replicating."

    Nonsense...ever done PCR? ALL DNA and RNA can self replicate without being inside a living organism.

  219. Logic by nurb432 · · Score: 1

    Well considering even our planet began by congealing particles in space, why is this even a discussion point? Of course we came from 'space'.

    --
    ---- Booth was a patriot ----
  220. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by testpoint · · Score: 1

    Time works in favor of probability, but against duration. That is, while long periods of time work in favor of probable occurrence, long periods of time work in opposition to duration or persistence. The probabilty that a beneficial mutation will persist is less than the probability it will occur. That is why such noted evolutionists as Stephen Jay Gould in "Structure of Evolution" and Ernst Mayr in "What Evolution Is" do not accept the "one tiny step at a time" theory.

  221. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Viruses, RNA chains, proteins (prions), etc, etc, etc Viruses can't actually replicate on their own; they hijack the host's cells' machinery to help them.

    But your underlying point still remains: the argument about the probability of a bacterium forming spontaneously depends on the completely unsupportable assumption that no simpler natural self-replicating system can exist.
  222. whadda joke by delong · · Score: 1

    Let's see: liquid water for millions of years, check; clay, check; organic molecules, check. Hey, the odds of life originating on Earth are a trillion trillion trillion gazzillion to one! Whaddya think about that, mister?

  223. Looking for aliens? by guruevi · · Score: 1

    We were looking all this time for aliens and apparently we ARE the aliens...

    --
    Custom electronics and digital signage for your business: www.evcircuits.com
  224. How poetic. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There once was a comet near Venus
    with a tail so small it was tenous
    it landed on Earth
    despite its small girth
    though it wanted to hit on Uranus.

  225. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Bombula · · Score: 1

    I come down on Dawkins' side of the debate, not Goulds'.

    --
    A-Bomb
  226. Re:Comparing Adams to Hubbard is like by IdleTime · · Score: 1

    And the result has been a disaster! So, the comparison with Hubbard is good!

    --
    If you mod me down, I *will* introduce you to my sister!
  227. didn't you guys see the cartoon? by patiodragon · · Score: 0, Troll

    The only thing that makes people not take theories of human origins from space seriously is their egos. You guys are just too damn *educated* to think scientifically about an issue. I'm not saying anyone knows the truth, but it isn't that drivel that they fed you in school. Look-see: Fish, reptile, little ape, ape, ape-man, man. I know, 'cause I've seen the cartoon in my science book. If any one looks scientifically at all the holes in this theory, an open mind would have to say, "C, something else".

    Here's the cartoon I originally meant:
    [Two aliens observing the planet earth]
    A1: It seems the earthlings have developed atomic bombs.
    A2: Let me see, maybe it's time to interact with them?
    A1: They are pointing them at each other.
    [Two aliens walk away from observation site]

    I wouldn't approach us, either.

    1. Re:didn't you guys see the cartoon? by plunge · · Score: 1

      Please provide some evidence that you are thinking "scientifically" about the issue of evolution or life's origins. Merely looking at a cartoon in a textbook written for children is not the same thing as having any clue what the evidence for something is, or having sufficient knowledge to be able to judge whether something really has the sort of "holes" you assert it does.

  228. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by posterlogo · · Score: 1
    The tornado analogy is not meant to be an analogy for evolution; it's meant to be an analogy for the origin of life. Evolution may work as a gradual ratcheting up, but it only works amongst reproducing organisms. The simplest thing we have that is theorized to be capable of evolving is a bacterium, which is orders of magnitude more complex than a 747. While it is hypothesized that in the past there may have been simpler forms capable of reproduction and evolution, we would need to have a full-blown theory -- a workable model -- of such, to see whether such a thing would be more or less complex than a 747.


    As a biologist, I can tell you your thoughts on bacteria are wrong on so many levels. First, what we would call the simplest form of LIFE capable of evolving is a virus, and derivatives thereof. Amazingly enough, there are even simpler things which we would not immediately think of as LIFE that are capable of evolving. In fact, one of the most interesting theories on the origins of life is that of the self-replicating RNA. RNA is ribonucleic acid, a polymer made up of ribonucleotides. These ribonucleotides can spontaneously polymerize at an agonizingly slow rate (maybe other factors present in the primordial Earth could speed it up). However, once you allow the possibility of RNA assembly, you can start to get macromolecules, and at some point, one of these RNA sequences could acquire an enzymatic activity. The most intriguing activity being replication. So far, in a laboratory setting, scientists have be able to select RNA sequences (from random ribonucleotide polymers) that have the ability to ligate two RNAs together. This is an extraordinary proof of principle that a very simple self-replicating molecule can arrive from even simpler components. Once you have RNA (which is already an information carrier, like DNA), random mutations can be the force for evolution.

    Never lose sight of the fact that all evolution is about cumulated changes over time. In a sense, it could also provide a framework to think about the origin of "life". The tornado analogy fails even there, since exceedingly simple "life" is nowhere near as complex as a 747 (on the other hand your comparison is wrong because a bacterium is far more complex than a puny jumbojet).

  229. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by letxa2000 · · Score: 1

    Except that it doesn't really. If the timeframe Earth has been around is 1/1000th of the average time you'd expect the abiogenetic process to yeild life on average, well that's ok. There are likely to be 1000s of Earth-like planets in the galaxy. All those stochastic molecular events are not only taking place on the surface of primative earth, but every other primative earthlike planet in the universe. It only has to happen once for us to be here and puzzle at how rare we are. I mean, the chances of winning the lottery are extremely low, but someone usually wins.

    You're going to have to do a lot better than that. That argument is no more convincing, on its face, than saying that God created life. In fact, I'd personally say the odds of God creating life are higher than 1 in 1000 so if I have to choose between competing theories with no proof, I'll go with God. Plus that solves the other confusing problem of how the whole universe began, something which your 1 in 1000 lottery doesn't get us any closer to answering.

  230. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by posterlogo · · Score: 1

    You're using big words, but I can't imagine you've possibly thought this through. Have you actually read peer-reviewed literature on the RNA origin hypothesis? There have been plenty of models suggested. Now we can even recreate in a laboratory setting the creation of random RNA sequences that have enzymatic activity such as ligation of other RNAs. Once you allow for the idea that nucleotides can come together all on their own (albeit at an exceedingly slow rate), you need nothing more than a long time and selective pressure to get to the point where you and I can debate this point on Slashdot. It sounds like you believe in a creator...please correct me if I'm wrong. If that is the case, you will always suggest that the spark of life can never have had a natural cause because it was always too complex, required preexisting components, etc. All I can say is that we'll continue to find more and more evidence for complexity arising from even simpler components, to the point where these simplest components have well established natural origins.

  231. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by letxa2000 · · Score: 1

    Devil's advocate here...

    We can start with the fact that macro-evolution (as defined by biologists, and not creationists) has been observed (that is to say, evolution beyond the species level).

    This is kind of a questionable achievement. Since biologists define what a "species" is ("a group of related organisms that share a more or less distinctive form and are capable of interbreeding") and since biologists define what "macroevolution" is ("Evolution at or above the species level"), it doesn't necessarily follow that observed macro-evolution is enough to conclude that all known species occurred through such evolution. This is akin to saying "I define space as anything above 500 feet. I know the moon is in space. I know I can shoot a bullet with my gun higher than 500 feet. Therefore I conclude that I can shoot the moon with my gun."

    I can definitely imagine how microevolution could lead to a situation where organisms might no longer be able to breed. I'm not sure that necessarily convinces me that this will lead to some of the organisms sprouting wings and others sprouting trunks.

    This is the root of why evolution is a well-supported scientific theory. It's nice to have a single line of data, but when you get to evidentiary lines that fit together as well as the fossil and genetic data does, I don't think it's any great leap of any kind to state "Here is evidence for common descent".

    Again, Devil's advocate: "I don't think it's any great leap of any kind to state 'Here is evidence for a common creator.'"

    If I see two very similar looking programs with similar programming style, comments, etc. I can either conclude that one evolved from the other. I could also conclude that they were written independently by the same programmer.

    There's nothing positive in their claims, simply just fallaciously-formulated arguments against everything from the Big Bang to the formation of the first cell.

    True enough. And while that might mean their claims aren't scientifically, it doesn't necessarily mean they're wrong.

  232. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by E++99 · · Score: 1

    As a biologist, I can tell you your thoughts on bacteria are wrong on so many levels. First, what we would call the simplest form of LIFE capable of evolving is a virus, and derivatives thereof.

    If a virus is a form of life, it is only such in conjunction with a host organism. It's only by means of the complexity of a host organism that it can reproduce or evolve. So the complexity (or lack thereof) of a virus says nothing more about the complexity needed for replication or evolution. If I write a simple computer program which evolves into something more complex, that may be even simpler than a virus, but it's equally beside the point because it's not evolving on its own, but through the agency of something far more complex (namely me).

    In fact, one of the most interesting theories on the origins of life is that of the self-replicating RNA. RNA is ribonucleic acid, a polymer made up of ribonucleotides. These ribonucleotides can spontaneously polymerize at an agonizingly slow rate (maybe other factors present in the primordial Earth could speed it up). However, once you allow the possibility of RNA assembly, you can start to get macromolecules, and at some point, one of these RNA sequences could acquire an enzymatic activity. The most intriguing activity being replication. So far, in a laboratory setting, scientists have be able to select RNA sequences (from random ribonucleotide polymers) that have the ability to ligate two RNAs together. This is an extraordinary proof of principle that a very simple self-replicating molecule can arrive from even simpler components. Once you have RNA (which is already an information carrier, like DNA), random mutations can be the force for evolution.

    I'm aware of the theory, and it's interesting work. However, it comes nowhere close to actually modeling an organism that could grow, reproduce and evolve indenfinitely. Hopefully somewhere down the road there will be more to it.

    Never lose sight of the fact that all evolution is about cumulated changes over time. In a sense, it could also provide a framework to think about the origin of "life". The tornado analogy fails even there, since exceedingly simple "life" is nowhere near as complex as a 747 (on the other hand your comparison is wrong because a bacterium is far more complex than a puny jumbojet).

    First of all, it was my point that a bacterium is far more complex than a jumbo jet. Second, if you can point me to a colony of virueses which reproduce and evolve without the aid of more complex systems, or any other complete system that can reproduce and evolve that is significantly less complex than a bacterium, (or a jumbo jet, for that matter) please do.
  233. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by digitalchinky · · Score: 1

    There is obviously much compelling evidence that indicates the age of the universe, but with a good deal of that, the words 'if we are correct in our assumptions' can be found fairly regularly. (A good thing in my opinion) What if we are (widely) wrong about the currently accepted values? Not trolling, genuinely curious - most of the alternate theories are up their with the conspiracy crackpots, surely there must be some rational ~scientific~ argument from the other side of the fence?

    Where does relativity fit in to the equation, expansion, dark matter, 600 million years is a spec of time, what's the margin of error? And why?

  234. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Dawkin's says it nicely, the "747/junkyard" argument works AGAINST a designer. Evolution doesn't pop out finished life-forms, it's gradual. Yet, for ID to be valid, something enourmously complex would have had to exist first to do the creating. We don't need tornados in junkyards for life to evolve, but we need something even more magical for the designer to have sprang forth from nothing...

    Maybe "God" evolved? Maybe. But there's no evidence for that, and the folks who push ID don't much like that idea. Maybe we shouldn't ask where the designer came from? Maybe, but that ain't science - science doesn't draw lines in the sand and forbid further inquiry. Not asking where the designer came from puts ID squarely in the dogma/religion category. ID, taken scientifically, invalidates itself.

  235. Earth has nothing? by steak · · Score: 1

    [quote]Radiation in comets could keep water in liquid form for millions of years, they say, which along with the clay and organic molecules found on-board would provide an ideal incubator.[/quote]

    the earth didn't have liquid water, clay, and organic molecules for millions of years?

  236. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by sh3l1 · · Score: 1

    You should see this article: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Objections_to_evoluti on

    It is obviously very easy to twist statistics to fit any need. But logic can not be twisted and this article should at least bring some doubt into your mind about evolution.

    --
    Help Me! I'm trapped in the tubes! Oh noes! Here comes a internet!
  237. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Speaking as a biologist, there is a grain of truth to the 747 out of a junkyard statement. A widely held theory (especially among biologists who study microRNAs and ribozymes) is that life forms with DNA-based genetic elements originated from organisms with RNA-based genetic elements. The (circumstantial) evidence is that RNA (or RNA-like molecules) are central in many biological processes. For instance, the catalytic function of the ribosomes (protein-RNA complexes that assemble proteins from amino acids) is performed bot by protein, but by RNA. Many protein enzymes rely on ATP and NADH as cofactors to perform their normal function. Many viruses have an RNA genome.

    So, fine, DNA-based life forms slowly evolved from RNA-based life forms. That much is, at least, imaginable. RNAs that could copy themselves started to use proteins and DNA to do some of the work, and added things on piece by piece until one of them hit on the combination of roles for DNA, RNA, and proteins that we see today.

    But what about the first RNA-based life form -- some RNA that can make a copy from an RNA template. In a gneral soupd of organic chemicals, with some energy input, you can get nucleotides to form by chance, and even chains of them. I can easily imagine that somewhere you just happened to have one RNA strand that, quite luckily, can copy other RNAs. The real hitch is that two of them have to 'just happen' in the same place, at the same time, so that one can copy the other. This is asking for a lot, even for a simple form of 'life,' a RNA-based RNA polymerase.

    To solve this problem, RNA-life apologists often postulate a form of 'Pre-RNA Life," which is a litte bit unsatisfying. It's a little bit like turtles all the way down http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turtles_all_the_way_d own, which is a bit surprising for scientists.

    I believe a quote from a lecture by Dave Bartel http://web.wi.mit.edu/bartel/pub/ sums it up best:

    "Based on what we know of pre-biotic chemistry, you could make a pretty good, I would say airtight even, case that life as we know it should not exist. Unfortunately, it does."

    People concerned about trying to discover the origins of life, wherever they may have occured (given our reliance on liquid water and solution chemistry, frozen comets seem a little farfetched to me), would be well-served to focus their efforts on studying the conditions that lead to the creation of simple, self-replicating, organic chemicals. Understanding those conditions would certainly place constraints on the possible locations for the origin of life on earth, and provide a palatable answer to the 747 argument.

  238. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

    Again, Devil's advocate: "I don't think it's any great leap of any kind to state 'Here is evidence for a common creator.'"


    It may not be much of a leap, but can you explain to me how one would go about determining how or why a creator would use one method, ten methods or a hundred? Common descent makes a prediction. That prediction, thus far, has been bourne out by every analysis of every genome of every organism we've had the chance to look at.

    You can falsify common decent. I cannot imagine a way in which you can say that for a Creator. All possible observations can be explained by "a Creator did it", and it thus has no explanatory power whatsoever.
    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  239. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

    Maybe you should check out http://talkorigins.org/ and then explain why tired, debunked objections should carry any weight with me at all.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  240. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

    I'd just love to know how precisely you compute the odds of God doing something.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  241. Ego's by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

    "The only thing that makes people not take theories of human origins from space seriously is their egos. I'm not saying anyone knows the truth, but it isn't that drivel that they fed you in school."

    Poppycock, finding where life on Earth came from doesn't tell you anything about the origins of life! If life can spontaneously arise in one ball of rock and goop in the universe then given the size of the Universe it's extremely likely it can arise on many balls of rock and goop in the Universe. We will never know where the first microbe arose/landed on Earth but who cares? - It's how it arose in the first place that is important.

    Multi-cellular life did not land/arise on Earth until a couple of billion years after microbes, again it's not the where that is important (or even likeley to be knowable) it's the how.

    The rest is evolutionary history that is grossly over-simplified for school kids as a worm-to-human progression.

    "...an open mind would have to say, "C, something else"."

    No. An open mind would read more than the high scool text book, unless of course it's ego won't allow it.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  242. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by my+$anity++0 · · Score: 1

    Although I think there are simpler replicators than bacteria, PCR is creating an environment artificially that is not likely to happen, with very complex (and expensive) enzymes in abundance, and a regular heating-cooling cycle (yes I have done PCR).

    Which means that something like PCR would not have spontaneously happened.

  243. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by caranha · · Score: 1

    Nonsense. Any replicator subjected to differential survival pressure is capable of evolving, and there are simpler replicators than bacteria. Such as? Assembly instructions (corewars,avida)
  244. Re:hm.. Bad Science by Technician · · Score: 1

    My car won't start in space, you insensitive clod!

    You don't realy know that until you try it.
    Until then, it's just a theory.

    --
    The truth shall set you free!
  245. Re:Panspermia, Alien style by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "In space, no one can hear you cream."

  246. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Eskarel · · Score: 1

    While this may be garbage, even if we presume that the comets we can currently see are at the maximum lifespan of comets, a big presumption in and of itself, then that would mean that at the time life began on this planet comets as old as the ones we see now probably existed, which would mean that those comets could have had a several billion year advantage on the earth.

  247. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by arminw · · Score: 1

    ....we are children of the stars.....

    To me it is preferable to believe we are the children of the God who also made the stars. Because we are His children, we are also brothers. That is the truth that is more palatable to me and many others than the idea that we are a cosmic accident flung to earth by a comet.

    --
    All theory is gray
  248. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by arminw · · Score: 1

    ....There are likely to be 1000s of Earth-like planets in the galaxy....

    That is wishful thinking. There are simply too many parameters that have to be "just so" in order to build a laboratory where the conditions for life exist. There is likely only one such lab, our earth. That lab, like any science lab did not just happen, but was planned and executed by a superb engineer.

    --
    All theory is gray
  249. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Pfhorrest · · Score: 1

    To my knowledge, bacteria, or the bacteria-like organisms thought to precede them, are the simplest such things currently known, or in any meaningful way theorized. It's been speculated that maybe there was an RNA-based life form that was simpler, but I don't believe any actual model for such has ever been suggested. Ever hear of the mimivirus?
    --
    -Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
    "I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
  250. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by arminw · · Score: 1

    .....They were replicating organic molecules.....

    Has anybody ever made any such molecules? If so, were the conditions under which they were made even remotely close to what is imagined to be the environment of the early earth? Science is about observation and experiment. These theories postulate process nobody has ever seen or made happen in a real science lab. Just because you can make bricks, doesn't mean you can make a house by the same methods you made the bricks.

    --
    All theory is gray
  251. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't enzymes just speed the reactions up? If you don't have the enzyme, the process can still happen, just not quickly. Evolutionary models all work on long term, geologic-scale timelines. I fail to see the conflict there.

  252. Oblig. Firesign Theater by onemorechip · · Score: 1

    Not from around here...but a real square, little, fellow.

    --
    But, I wanted socialized health insurance!
  253. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Give a monkey a brain and he'll swear he's the center of the universe.

  254. Overwhelming & Evidence by biggles266 · · Score: 1

    I don't like those two words so close together. Sounds like a combination you'd see on Fox News...

  255. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by arminw · · Score: 1

    .....We can start with the fact that macro-evolution (as defined by biologists, and not creationists) has been observed (that is to say, evolution beyond the species level)......

    Are sure that is a FACT, scientifically observed? Can you give an example that shows where someone has observed in nature today or made this happen in a lab?

    In the Bible the word "kind" is used and that is not the same as the scientific idea of "species". Dogs, cats, snakes, birds etc. are different kinds. There are many species within each kind.

    To contradict the Biblical record upon which the Creationists base their theory, someone would have to DEMONSTRATE the evolution of one kind of creature into another kind. Saying that this only happens over large amounts of time doesn't demonstrate this. That simply makes time equivalent to magic. Anytime you postulate that a certain process happened in the past, it should be possible to demonstrate this process in the present.

    In physics we can emulate with powerful particle accelerators, many of the conditions that are theorized to have existed at the "big bang". That gives us real science understanding of what likely took place way back then. Nothing similar has ever been done in the life sciences.

    Evolution from one kind of creature to another has been postulated, but has never been demonstrated TODAY.

    --
    All theory is gray
  256. Re: Obligatory Simpsons by Phorion · · Score: 1

    In a manner of speaking, didn't everything start in space? Warden: He painted a unicorn in outer space. I'm asking you: What's it breathing?
    Homer: Air?
    Warden: Ain't no air in space.
    Homer: There's an air-in-space museum.
  257. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by arminw · · Score: 1

    .... if energy is ultimately the major engine driving the evolution of life from organic molecules into forms we could confidently call living organisms,.......

    The problem is that energy alone is insufficient to build something complex out of simple parts. The ingredient of Information must also be present. Proteins are quite complex. DNA and RNA are proteins which store the information to make proteins. What came first, the DNA made from proteins that holds the information to make proteins or the proteins? It's the ultimate chicken and egg problem. The likeliest solution is that someone made them both together in their lab and put them here together. Someone also made a whole chicken, which subsequently laid eggs.

    You can supply all the parts of a mouse trap, but without some sort of direction, energy alone will NEVER assemble these into a functioning device for catching mice.

    --
    All theory is gray
  258. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by JetJaguar · · Score: 1

    In physics we can emulate with powerful particle accelerators, many of the conditions that are theorized to have existed at the "big bang". That gives us real science understanding of what likely took place way back then. Nothing similar has ever been done in the life sciences.

    And yet, the fact is, nobody has ever actually seen a uranium atom split or hydrogen atoms fuse. We've never actually seen an electron tunnel across a barrier potential, but the evidence that they do is overwhelming. We infer that these things happen based on our models and the evidence collected from data. In other words, you're being terribly inconsistent. On the one hand, you accept inferences that come from physics, but you deny the very same kind of inferences made by biology. You can't have it both ways, you either deny or accept them both, otherwise you are nothing more than someone who selectively picks and chooses what they believe in to satisfy a personal agenda.

    --

    Shop Smart, Shop S-mart!

  259. Ummm...duh (says the Scientologist) by caol.kailash · · Score: 1

    Xenu made it all happen! Now, give me $15,000 and I'll clear your thetans.

  260. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Paltin · · Score: 1

    You are ignorant on this topic.

    I would recommend some Dawkins-- he goes through theories about origin of life in the beginning of Blind Watchmaker and Selfish Gene. Very easy to read, not very in depth, but a good starting place. Happy reading!

    To sum it up, there are many, many theories and models for what could have preceded bacteria-like life and have been far simpler, yet could lead to bacteria-like life.

    For example, if you put nucleotides, which have been observed to form in young-earth like conditions in a vat of water, they can slowly form a chain of RNA. Given enough time, these RNA chains will replicate without any of the machinery that today's life uses for the same task. The fact that these processes are slow is not an issue--- there was plenty of time back then, after all, for them to do their dirty work, and no other organic monsters lurking and waiting to eat them.

    Given the limited supply of nucleotides, natural selection will kick in--- and variation will beget evolution.

    Cheers.

  261. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Paltin · · Score: 1

    That's very untrue, we can place some reasonable constraints on life's origins based on what we see now. A good starting point would be that the original replicators were subject to the three tenets of Darwinian selection: 1. Variability 2. Heretability 3. Differential fitness. This excludes a great number of potential hypotheses, and suggests some avenues for research. In any case, even if their number is "wrong" (they don't know the exact mass of comets, they had to guess) they do make a reasonable case based on time and real estate that life probably originating in space. The number is helpful in that others who might add a third or fourth variable to the equation have some idea of what kind of difference would be required to overturn their result- adding a 50% probability in a third variable doesn't change the conclusion.

  262. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Paltin · · Score: 1

    Ah, but you forget the possibility that life originating in one comet could spread to other comets. Imagine a large comet, where life formed, and completely filled with the little buggers---- and then the comet passes a little too closely to Jupiter, and the gravitational field tears that comet into tiny shreds that go shooting like a life shotgun into the solar system. It might not be long before everything in the solar system that is compatible with that life form is infested. The authors of this paper are making the case that at 10e24 times more time and real estate, the rate of spread between Put another way, we have numerous pieces of Mars here on Earth--- ejected from Mars' surface and out of it's gravitational pull following meteorite impact there. If there was life on Mars at some point, it traveled to Earth in this fashion. And vice-versa. And so too with every other major gravitational body in the solar system and most of the minor ones.

  263. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What if most of the Earth's water came from comets?

  264. clarity in numbers? by lpq · · Score: 1

    If you mean 1 septillion why say trillion trillion? Can't anyone count these days?

  265. Thornhill's Theory is Better by pln2bz · · Score: 1
    Wallace Thornhill's theory that life originates inside of the atmospheres of brown dwarf stars is far superior. If you take a look at the recent plasma crystal experiments that have been going on, you can see that dusty plasmas (which people like to forget are electrical phenomenon) tend to daisy-chain positive-negative-positive-negative, etc. This creates vortex types of shapes, and a recent experiment demonstrates some success with a double-helix like DNA. That paper is here ...

    http://www.iop.org/EJ/article/1367-2630/9/8/263/nj p7_8_263.pdf

    Even the Urey-Miller experiment required electrical input.

    Brown dwarfs come into the picture because their atmospheres should be low enough temperature to allow life to exist on planets traveling through them. On such planets, the entire planetary surface would be bathed in a diffuse light and relatively weak electrical activity at all times. This would be the ideal setting for the formulation of both DNA and lifeforms because there would be no seasons, no tropics and no ice caps. Furthermore, L-type brown dwarfs have water as a dominant molecule in their spectra, along with many other biologically important molecules and elements. Its satellites would accumulate atmospheres and water would mist down from the sky. He adds:

    The problem for SETI is that no radio signals could penetrate the glowing plasma shell. Nor would any intelligent life forms be aware of the spectacle of the universe that we are privileged to witness.

    The statistic about the chances that comets are the harbingers of life is a completely meaningless number. We couldn't assign even slightly meaningful statistics to astrophysical theories until we had figured everything out at the very end.

    I'm sure some of Thornhill's details don't correspond with the mainstream views of brown dwarfs in various ways, but it stands as yet another prediction by him. He has quite an impressive track record on these sorts of things, by the way, so people would be wise to not discount him on it.
    --
    "A man cannot begin to learn that which he thinks he already knows." --Epictetus, 1st Century A.D.
  266. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by ultranova · · Score: 1

    I'm not going to believe this until a cometary probe comes back contaminated with an alien microbe that destroys all life on the planet.

    An alien microbe, having evolved in a completely different environment, would likely not fare well in competition with Earth's native microbes, and would thus be hard-pressed to survive at all, much less go on a killing spree. There's some truth to the "War of the Worlds".

    --

    Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  267. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by ultranova · · Score: 1

    Viruses, RNA chains, proteins (prions), etc, etc, etc.

    Viruses don't replicate on their own, but require a living cell to do so. RNA chains do, but without a proteing synthesis machinery (cell) surrounding said chain, two different RNA chains don't differ in their survivability at all, since the information coded in them doesn't do anything without said machinery. Prions might just make it; even so, it is hard to see how a more complex prion would have an evolutionary advantage over a less complex one, since more complex ones are likely to require more complex (and therefore more rare) raw materials to convert.

    --

    Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  268. I'm agnostic, but you gotta wonder... by Gotta+ask+yourself.. · · Score: 1

    Genesis 2:7 - "The Lord God formed man out of the clay of the ground and blew into his nostrils the breath of life, and so man became a living being."

    1. Re:I'm agnostic, but you gotta wonder... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's being Agnostic got to do with it? It's a proposed explanation for the potential cradle of life, not a challenge to Natural Selection. Four words need to be said to you - COMPREHEND THE ARTICLE FIRST!

  269. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by CmdrGravy · · Score: 1

    That is the truth that is more palatable to me and many others


    You might think it's a better idea but that doesn't really make it a 'truth' now does it.

    On a side note I find it incredible that people persist in clinging to narrow minded beliefs such as those imposed by religious observance. At least make an effort to open your minds to the real wonders of reality.
  270. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    To validate the Biblical record upon which the Creationists base their "theory", someone would have to DEMONSTRATE the creation of an entire universe. Saying that this only happens once, over seven days doesn't demonstrate this. That simply makes God equivalent to magic. Anytime you postulate that a certain process happened in the past, it should be possible to demonstrate this process in the present.

    Fixed that for ya.
  271. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by boicy · · Score: 1

    I have to say that this is nearly the best comment I have ever read, certainly the funniest. Thanks! But at the risk of sounding like a bit of a smart-arse, don't you mean "Chemistry is not random, it's not stochastic"...?

  272. Odds by St1086lichnaya · · Score: 1

    Yes, multiply that by the probability that particular "life-bearing" asteroid hit the Third Rock from the Sun... That should even things out...

  273. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by lovetruth · · Score: 0

    How can you just suppose something as complicated as replicating organic molecules just - poof! - came to be??? Start with Genesis, and good night's rest and a warm cup of humility and call me in the morning.

  274. So there might be hot Bajoran chicks after all! by AP31R0N · · Score: 1

    i smell BS! We all know life and the universe appeared about the same time about 6000 years ago. It says so right here in the bible!

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  275. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by raptorv99 · · Score: 1

    I have a question for everyone. The conception is that we were the first products of this solar system. (Disclaimer) I am by no means an expect or even a newbie on solar history) From what I have learned is that there was a sun and possible system pre-dating our sun which would have had exploded. The evidence is in the heavy elements with in our planet that are not created unless in certain cataclysmic events.

    So if the star exploded then a planet with proto-life in our (old) system would get destroyed and sent to space as fragments and frozen water. When this system reformed and eventually the gravitational pull from the current sun pulled the material back; the existing material would be pulled back to the planetoids.

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  276. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Hatta · · Score: 1

    That argument is no more convincing, on its face, than saying that God created life.

    Well I wasn't really arguing about God, but comparing abiogenesis and panspermia. I was just arguing that the objection raised (earth hasn't been around long enough) to abiogenesis doesn't really affect it's likelyhood with respect to panspermia. I just pulled those numbers out of my ass, and if it's more like one in a billion or a billion billion, there are plenty of galaxies in the universe.

    I'd personally say the odds of God creating life are higher than 1 in 1000

    What are the chances of something creating god? An omnipotent being is surely more difficult to create than us puny humans. If God can exist without a creator why not us?

    Plus that solves the other confusing problem of how the whole universe began

    Except it doesn't. It just pushes the question further back. If god started the universe, who started god?

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  277. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by XxtraLarGe · · Score: 1

    You're right back to the 747 in the junkyard. The problem with scientists - and biologists in general - is that we usually don't realize how difficult it is for some people to understand DNA didn't spring into existence in one single instant any more than people, lizards, sponges or bacteria did. Many simpler replicating mechanisms exist - viruses, RNA, protein (prions), and so on. The backwards path of evolution follows smooth curve all the way down to zero complexity - it doesn't end at bacteria, as some foolish poster already suggested, nor does it end at DNA. From everything I've seen about Evolution is that it is slow, gradual change, occasionally punctuated by extreme growth, as in extinction events and adaptive radiation. Hardly what I'd call a smooth curve.

    It goes all the way back to the very first replicating molecule, which was undoubtedly extremely simple, and which only had to occur one single time in history to explain everything we see today. It's utterly explicable. As a result, chances are that life is very, very common throughout the universe. I'm not trying to make an argument form ignorance, but do we know of any self replicating molecules that exist in nature? I know they have been created in laboratories, but I haven't ever heard of any existing out in the wild.
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  278. Not so overwhelming by sjames · · Score: 1

    I would say the findings offer a plausible mechanism that overcomes several objections to the Panspermia theory but it's much too early to call the evidence overwhealming.

    Even on the basis of statistics, we would have to first know what percentage of comets have enough radioactivity to keep water liquid AND not so much radiation that it destroys anything life like that comes about AND the radioactive elements have a long enough half-life that those conditions would last for billions of years AND the right mix of hydrocarbons and clays. So far the sample size is 2. Neither showed the necessary radioisotopes.

    For a statistical argument, arguing (however successfully) that a comet COULD have the necessary conditions and then counting total cometary mass vs. Earth's mass simply does not cut it.

    Note that so far the number of direct measurements revealing all necessary elements in a single place on a single comet is ZERO. Of course, we haven't yet had time to study a significant number of comets comprehensively enough to have such a direct measurement so nothing is ruled out either.

  279. Re:this is crazy with no consensus on life's origi by JasterBobaMereel · · Score: 0

    The main problem is the answer to "how did life start" is "nobody knows" what is also unknown are the right elements and conditions for it to start...

    So we have,
          if comets have the right elements for life to start
          if comets have the right conditions for life to start
          if comets have the right conditions for life to survive in space
          if comets have the right conditions to transport it to earth
          if life in comets can survive on the early earth ...then life could have started in comets
    or
        Life started on Earth (which might also have had the right conditions...)
    or
        Panspermia is right but life started elsewhere and was only transported on comets
    or
        Panspermia is right but life started elsewhere and got here by another method
    or
        Panspermia is right but life started here independently anyway

    --
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  280. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Chemicalscum · · Score: 1

    For those interested in why the tornado in a junkyard assembling a 747 is a useless analogy for the process of evolution, the simple explanation is that evolution works by a ratcheting effect: improvements are made one tiny step at a time, in sequence, for a cumulative effect of complexity

    Ironically the "junkyard assembling a 747" analogy is applicable to Hoyle and Wikramsinghe's hypothesis that viral pandemics are due to viruses from space. Since there is no pathogen host co-evolution, there is no evolutionary rachet effect. The space evolved "virus" has to be randomly "lucky" to act as a pathogen to a complex organism that has not evolved to infect.

    Wikramsinghe has made a contribution to scientific knowledge in his work showing that organic molecules are widespread in space. Unfortunately though he is a distinguished scholar in mathematics, physics and astronomy he and the late Sir Fred Hoyle have not have even a basic understanding of biology. Both the evolution of life from abiogenic materials on earth and in space in comets are possible and not totally mutually exclusive hypotheses. But to claim that the evidence points extremely strongly to life on earth having evolved from cometary origins is highly contentious to say the least.

  281. In other "Overwhelming" news... by JCSoRocks · · Score: 1

    The earth is flat and the sun orbits around the earth!

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  282. Cool! A Minnie Driver/Anne Hathaway love scene. by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

    Generated in deep space inside a comet, eh, and not even on Earth at all?

    Mysterious are the ways of the Lord. I'm sure there's a passage in the Bible that predicts this somewhere.

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  283. Slashdot: Future website for comedians by murderaliberal · · Score: 0

    With all the comics here, it's hard to get comets in edgewise.

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    sig
  284. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Dogs, mate, dogs.

    They, as a species, were once wolves, werent they?

  285. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by swv3752 · · Score: 1

    DNA and RNA are proteins, but are the blueprints for proteins. RNA is used for short term transcription of proteins while DNA is longterm storage. Most theories say that RNA came first. The importance of clay in the summary is that clay has a structure remarkably similar to RNA. It is thought that clay was the first transcription substrate and RNA came from existing proteins later.

    --
    Just a Tuna in the Sea of Life
  286. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by arminw · · Score: 1

    .....And yet, the fact is, nobody has ever actually seen a uranium atom split ......

    I guess the fact that two cities have disappeared under a mushroom cloud and that there are numerous fission reactors doesn't prove anything about splitting uranium atoms. What is your definition of "seen"? We can measure and observe the effects of electrons tunneling and even use it in many of our technical gadgets. NOBODY has ever turned a lizard into a bird or an ape into a man. Evolution believers always tell everyone that sort of "evolution" takes time, lots of time and cannot be made to happen in our lifetime or even over many generations.

    Evolution theory has become a catch all for trying to answer the question of origins. Only very narrow aspects of evolution have been and can be shown to take place repeatedly and reliably TODAY. These all have to do only with organisms adapting to their living conditions. Bacteria becoming resistant to antibiotics and Finches with thicker beaks surviving because they can eat tougher, harder to crack seeds. Darwin observed this on the Galapagos Islands. Science is about observation and experiments TODAY. Conjecturing about processes and procedures that may have happened in the past, but cannot be made to happen today or observed to be happening today is NOT science. Nobody has ever made a fossil, especially by any conceivable method that could occur naturally, without the application of intelligence. Again the magic of time is brought into play to explain the existence of fossils.

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    All theory is gray
  287. yes, you can lump them all together by circletimessquare · · Score: 0

    whereby hewing to a rigid interpretation of how humanity should function, rather than being a good student of how it actually does, creates suffering and evil

    all fundamentalist notions do this, and all fundamentalist notions fit this definition

    as for me being a fundamentalist because i mock people and i point out evil: nice try. i am not perfect in my communication, but i am no fundamentalist

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  288. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by arminw · · Score: 1

    ......On a side note I find it incredible that people persist in clinging to narrow minded beliefs such as those imposed by religious observance.......

    Indeed so do I. Man, no matter where he resides on this planet is incurably religious. Religions take precious resources away from the evolutionary drive for the "survival of the fittest" and should have, according to the theory died out long ago.

    The Biblical view of God creating man in such a way as to include within that human creature a yearning and attraction to Himself, explains the deep seated religiosity of mankind much better than evolutionary theory. Despite years of atheistic, evolutionary indoctrination, the vast majority of Americans still believe in God.

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    All theory is gray
  289. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by arminw · · Score: 1

    .......Most theories say that RNA came first........

    Maybe so. However both RNA and DNA are only information CARRIERS in the same way that a floppy disk or a piece of paper is. In a disk or paper, the source of information is ALWAYS a mind, a human mind. DNA and RNA have been called the blueprints of life. A blueprint carries information of how to build a house, an airplane or even a paper mill.

    The DNA and RNA carry information how to make proteins, including the proteins they themselves are made of. Where did the instructions encoded into the DNA originate? In the mind of God? If not from the mind of God, then where?

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    All theory is gray
  290. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by my+$anity++0 · · Score: 1

    I think the DNA would denature before it would have a chance to replicate, although perhaps you are right.

    PCR was still not the best example, though.

  291. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by DM9290 · · Score: 1

    "Soooooo, they used two numbers (mass of clay & # of comets) to generate a 1e24 to 1 odd against life having started here? Seems like they might have left one or two variables out of their equation. Hopefully this is just junk reporting rather than junk science."

    The most obvious one is "mass of all comets to have hit the earth prior to the date that life appeared on earth". It doesn't matter how many commets are out there. It doesn't matter how many commets hit the earth after life already appeared. We know life is here and approximately when it appeared. How many commets BROUGHT clay here PRIOR to that event.

    their math assumes (among other things), that if life emerges on a commet anywhere, that it will immediately travel through space and pollinate all the other commets.

    A more reasonable approach would be to assume that generally life can't travel from commet to commet and therefore the only way life on earth started in a commet, is that if it started in one of the commets which at some point actually hit the surface of the earth prior to life already existing here.

    all the commets still floating out there in space are irrelevant. They are NOT the source of life on earth because they are still OUT THERE.

    There could be a billion times more commets out there and it would not matter 1 iota. All that matters is how many commets struck the earth and how much of this potential living clay did they bring prior to the date that life already existed, compared to how much of this clay already existed on the earth at that time.

    and thats assuming that life survives atmospheric-entry 100% of the time.

    --
    No one has a right to their *own* opinion. They have a right to the TRUTH.
  292. Re:Comparing Adams to Hubbard is like by Sunburnt · · Score: 1

    An expensive disaster at that, aided and abetted by irrational zealots. By, this analogy just keeps on giving.

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  293. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by swv3752 · · Score: 1
    You don't even know what DNA and RNA are do you? DNA is a phosphate sugar polymer, where a phosphate alternates with a pentose (deoxyribose) sugar. RNA is similar except it uses ribose for the sugar. Ribosomes do contain some proteins but RNA has catlytic capabilities onto itself.

    Where did the instructions encoded into the DNA originate? From clay. Go read up on abiogenesis and clay.
    --
    Just a Tuna in the Sea of Life
  294. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by snarkh · · Score: 1


    Sure, but all of these are pretty much guesses. The process has not been reproduced and we have no idea how to do it. Coming up with such numbers, when there is so much underlying uncertainty is good for Slashdot but other than that has limited value.

  295. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by garote · · Score: 1

    Oh, it's you again.

    I'm not sure that necessarily convinces me that this will lead to some of the organisms sprouting wings and others sprouting trunks.

    Same tired old shtick. I remember telling you A YEAR AGO that your notion about what macroevolution claims and requires for proof is complete bollocks. Macroevolution does not require the "sprouting wings" and "sprouting trunks". Your analogy comparing macroevolution to the moon is quite absurd.

    "I don't think it's any great leap of any kind to state 'Here is evidence for a common creator.'"

    Same old shtick. Same old useless analogy about comparing computer programs to living organisms, comparing the machinations of biology and chemistry to the thought process of a human, then implying that the design habits of a creator must be the same as those of a human. You still have not answered the question that forms the basis of this useless analogy. WHY WOULD GOD NEED TO USE TOOLS?

    No reason. ... Therefore your argument based from the appearance of tool usage is garbage.

  296. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by arminw · · Score: 1

    ....From clay. Go read up on abiogenesis and clay.....

    Where did the information in the clay come from? Proteins are not simple and require detailed instructions to make them. The chemistry of ink on blueprint paper doesn't explain or address the instructions printed thereon how to build a house. Information can only come from a MIND, not some inanimate object. The latter can be carriers, but not originators of information.

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    All theory is gray
  297. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by JetJaguar · · Score: 1

    What is your definition of "seen"?

    That is precisely the point. By your reasoning, we can't make any logical inferences at all because you willfully misunderstand evolutionary theory such that it is impossible for any data to meet your standard of evidence. I can just as easily make the claim that because nobody has ever actually seen an atom split that the actual process that generates energy is completely different even though it happens to match the theory very well. That is precisely the argument you are making with respect to evolution and your willful ignorance of the theory is precisely what makes it possible for you to make such absurd arguments against it. Evolution doesn't predict that lizards turn into birds in a single generation, but using fossil and DNA evidence, the inference is every bit as tightly constrained as the inference that when atoms split they release energy.

    The rest of your post is nothing more than a pathetic attempt to evade the issue of admitting that you do actually accept logical inference, but only when it doesn't conflict with your poorly constructed faith. For 1700 years theologians have warned against interpreting the Bible too narrowly in the face of reason, it makes Christians look like fools and ultimately destroys faith when the truth is revealed, just as your faith is being destroyed due to your idolatry of the Bible. You do not worship God nor do you have faith in God, you worship the Word as though it is the One, but it is not, and you have revealed yourself to be a fool.

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  298. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by arminw · · Score: 1

    ..... Evolution doesn't predict that lizards turn into birds in a single generation,.......

    Nobody has seen this happen in a thousand or a million generations either. Evolutionists tell us that reptiles evolved into birds over large amounts of time. We can grow many generations of e-coli for example, and produce all sorts of variations thereof, but they will ALWAYS remain basically e-coli. You will never get an amoeba or a paramecium, no matter how many generations of e-coli you grow, though the latter two are also single cell organisms..

    Evolution is faith, not science. Science is when a REPEATABLE experiment yields the same result each time. Drop a rock a million times and it always gains speed at the same rate. We can make observations of the behavior of natural phenomena again and again, but only in the present. That is science. When we try to INTERPRET the past or future from present observation, often, certain assumptions (beliefs) come into play.

    We see and measure certain processes and then assume (believe by faith) that these processes are constant and extrapolation into the past or future is based on that belief. Such a belief may be well founded or maybe not. We cannot KNOW for sure because we have only such a minute time snapshot. Any logical inferences based on an assumption (belief) makes the conclusion, however logical the thought process may be, also a belief, not science.

    Fossils, for example do not form today because of decay and oxidation after an organism dies. We do find fossils all over the planet. If we cannot watch them form or make them by a plausible mechanism, then all we can do is conjecture about how or why the decay that happens today did not happen in the past.

    You cannot refute what I am saying and so, like usual, you resort to a personal attack. That is always a sure sign that you have lost the debate.

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    All theory is gray
  299. R. Dawkins, The blind watchmaker by gr8dude · · Score: 1

    Good point, and one can get a better idea by reading "The blind watchmaker" by Richard Dawkins. There is also a BBC Horizon documentary about it, where Dawkins himself explains in easy terms how things work. It is an old documentary, and it's very interesting.

  300. And Now The Details At 11: by lovetruth · · Score: 0

    "This just in! Ants have been spotted who think they are elephants! Apparently their knowledge has puffed them up so much, they think they are more amazing than they are! They are redefining irony by joining in on bashing their Creator, who they say doesn't exist, but still insist on bashing Him! What we can't figure out is if they think He is so insignificant, why do some even mention him as a footnote at the bottom of every comment??? When they realize the error of their ways, they will surely wish they had praised Him and rejoiced in His amazing wonders of creation. Some are so confused they think they are Martians! Their brains are a stumbling block, causing so much pride, it is preventing them from seeking their Creator! More research must be done to understand how they could make such a huge mistake. For now, we must pray their hearts will be softened, and recognize their Creator, God Almighty, who sent His only Son to pay their debt. If they refuse to recognize this, when they have their first death, they will still be in debt, and God will honor their decisions they have made their entire lives to go another path than to choose to be with His Son. Here they will suffer the second death, for eternity, which is so long, time can never catch up!!!!"

  301. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by JetJaguar · · Score: 1

    Who's refusing to engage in the debate? You are! You keep moving the goal posts. Stick to the point I called you on! Explain to me the difference between the logical inference involved in concluding things that happen in physics versus the inference used to conclude that evolution is correct. All you did was show your ignorance of the scientific process by spouting creationist claims that have been refuted more times than I can count. Then you accuse me of making a personal attack when in fact, I'm merely telling you how screwed up and self centered your thinking has become, and you didn't attempt to refute that either.

    We do find similarities in the DNA between closely related modern animals as well as anatomical similarities in fossilized ancestors REPEATEDLY just as evolution predicts we should. *And* we are even finding fossils of animals that evolutionary theory predicts that we should find, repeatedly.

    Fossils shmossils, we find remains in various states of fossilization all the time! At the bottom of bogs for example where the oxygen level is low, such things have been found. And in older fossils we often find cases where bones, etc are *still* in the process of mineralization.

    There's your response, even though you haven't responded to my original point. Please explain why logical inference is ok in other branches of science but not in biology. Stick to the point, I will not respond to any more of your goal post moving.

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  302. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by rhombic · · Score: 1

    Palatability is not a requirement for good theory.

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    1984 was supposed to be a warning, not an instruction manual.
  303. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by arminw · · Score: 1

    .....We do find similarities in the DNA between closely related modern animals as well as anatomical similarities in fossilized ancestors REPEATEDLY just as evolution predicts we should........

    Inferences, logical or otherwise are based on certain fundamental assumptions. One of the key evolutionary beliefs in interpreting the evidence of similarities in life forms and chemistries is the BELIEF that the more complex DESCENDED from the simpler. Another way of INTERPRETING the very same evidence is the belief (both are beliefs) that components and processes that work well get reused by the designer. The DNA data storage and coding system far exceeds in density, anything human designers have come up with. It is so flexible and robust the designer used it again and again, just as human programmers aim for re-useable code.

    We use this idea of re-useable parts and processes in our own designs. The basic idea of the wheel is recycled for many uses. Nobody would suggest that modern wheels on cars descended from those on horse carts in the same sense that humans are thought to have descended from apes. Its just that elements of design that worked well for cart wheels have been incorporated into cars by their designers as well. We can even say that the cart wheel is the ancestor of the automobile wheel. However we use the idiom of ancestor here to mean common principles of design. This is not how the word "ancestor" in used by evolutionists when applied to living things.

    The idea of descent, in the sense of lineage, is not used in other sciences. Even in physics certain assumptions, especially pertaining to time, are made. For example, we measure certain relationships and find that they have not changed much or at all since we developed the ability to measure these. We assume (believe) that we can extrapolate this short term constancy far into the past and future. Based on these assumptions we can calculate when certain events must have taken place or will take place. The "constants" upon which radioactive decay is based are BELIEVED to be invariant, but recent evidence has shown that this is not the case. We can make very logical inferences and come to good conclusions based on these only if they are not based on assumptions, but sure knowledge.

    Evolution, just like religion, is based on certain fundamental assumptions (beliefs) that simply cannot be known. You can believe or not in the existence of God, but you cannot prove or disprove this.

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    All theory is gray
  304. Not Fringe by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

    That link to the supposedly "fringe theories" that Wickramsinghe supposedly has in addition to his comet origin theory shows nothing of the kind. All that it says there is that some Creationists in 1981 foolishly tried to use Wickramsinghe as a witness for Creationism - but Wickramsinghe said Creationism is claptrap . In a perfectly circular argument, this Slashdot summary is now slandering Wickramsinghe as a Creationist by citing a page that features Wickramsinghe precisely because he is not a Creationist.

    For even more perfect circularity, the person referencing Wickramsinghe in that debate (in defense of evolution) mocked Wickramsinghe because he has maintained since at latest 1981 that Earth's organic evolution began in comets. Which is exactly what this story is about, with now over a quarter century of Wickramsinghe's consistent science.

    Wickramsinghe might be wrong. But this circus of supposed geeks just casting doubt on his work without any science in their "counterarguments" is a worthless opposition.

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  305. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by JetJaguar · · Score: 1

    You're playing fast and loose with the evidence, making strawman characterizations of scientific theories and evidence and then you expect me to take your argument seriously. Sorry it doesn't work that way.

    Strawman #1

    One of the key evolutionary beliefs in interpreting the evidence of similarities in life forms and chemistries is the BELIEF that the more complex DESCENDED from the simpler.

    This is not a belief, it is a confirmed prediction of evolutionary theory. Not only that, but you got the prediction wrong. Evolution theory predicts change by mutation. A mutation can lead to higher or lower level complexity, and we see evidence of both.

    Strawman #2

    The DNA data storage and coding system far exceeds in density, anything human designers have come up with. It is so flexible and robust the designer used it again and again, just as human programmers aim for re-useable code.

    Then the designer is an idiot. Junk DNA, and long strings on non-functional DNA is not an efficiency that humans would replicate. Not only that, there is zero evidence that God designs things in the way that you want to assume. You have no evidence to support this other than your assumption, and it is a violation of Occam's razor. All you intelligent design types are supposed to be ok with that. Or are you lying?

    We assume (believe) that we can extrapolate this short term constancy far into the past and future.

    And how is this at all relevant? You're going into the "we can't make any logical inferences about anything" territory. And, as I've said (and you haven't refuted), you can't have it both ways. The scientific process is either useful or it is not, intelligent design proponents such as yourself claim that the scientific process is lacking, but you have yet to demonstrate that the process is lacking at all except through a lot of incoherent and thoroughly refuted arguments that don't amount to a hill of beans.

    Anyone that claims that the assumptions of science bear any similarity to the assumptions of religion clearly doesn't understand the nature of either one, and you probably don't understand the difference between faith and reason either.

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    Shop Smart, Shop S-mart!

  306. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by arminw · · Score: 1

    .....Palatability is not a requirement for good theory.....

    No it isn't, but then what is your definition of a "good" theory. Is your theory (if you believe in evolution) that you are descended from a rock, via worms and finally through apes better than my theory that I am a creation of a loving God who desires to have me in His presence now and forever?

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    All theory is gray
  307. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by arminw · · Score: 1

    .......The scientific process is either useful or it is not,.....

    The scientific process is very useful. It is when the scientific measurements are interpreted under certain assumptions, that different conclusions are drawn than if other assumptions are made.

    (...Evolution theory predicts change by mutation...)

    I have never made a statement about any mechanisms that are theorized to drive evolution. Evolution is based on descent, whatever the mechanism for change may be. It is the idea of descent that is assumed. ID assumes re-useable components and processes. Whatever evidence you present, can be interpreted based on good logic derived from either assumption. There is NO way to prove either assumption is correct. ID is certainly closer to way we humans as intelligent beings operate our technologies.

    (.....Junk DNA, and long strings on non-functional DNA is not an efficiency that humans would replicate.....)

    It used to be thought by medical science that certain organs, such as, for example, the appendix or the tonsils, were superfluous leftovers for which there seemed to be no discernible function. Only after years of painstaking research was it discovered that these things did have important purposes. Could it be that these so called "non-functional" DNA sequences do have purpose which has not yet been discovered? After all, as far as genetic science goes, we are still in the crystal radio stage right now.

    (......And how is this at all relevant?......)

    I have no quarrel with the logic of any inferences, only upon the basic, underlying assumption upon which the house of logic is built. Evolution in itself is a very logical, beautifully built house. However it is built upon a foundation of certain assumptions which cannot be proven any more than certain axioms in geometry are ever proven. These axioms are just accepted, without any questions or proof. One of the axioms of evolution is the constancy of our MEASUREMENTS of time, as based on certain relations in physics which we assume (believe) to be constant. Another axiom of evolution is that in living things, change is successive descent from one generation to another.

    ID can explain or interpret all of the evidence in an equally logical way, but there is a different set of underlying assumptions (beliefs) as the foundation. The axioms of ID or evolution are unproven and unprovable.

    (......you probably don't understand the difference between faith and reason either........)

    Yes I do. Reason is based on faith. We have faith that the laws of physics were the same yesterday and will be the same tomorrow as we observe them today. We have ONLY access to the present. Yesterday is gone forever and tomorrow is not here yet. There is NO way we can KNOW for sure, but we believe this and it is a REASONABLE belief, but a belief, nevertheless. Science then is based on belief.

    You believe that you will wake up tomorrow, but there is NO way you can know this. If you are young, it is highly probable that you will be alive tomorrow. Yet there were many of people alive yesterday, even young ones, who believed and hoped that they would be alive today to do this or that and they are dead. They never made it to today. Yesterday was their last day. One day it will be your turn. You do not believe that at that time you will face your Creator, but what if your belief about God and judgment were wrong? What if Jesus was right about the things He said and did?

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  308. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by JetJaguar · · Score: 1

    You are confused, and here it is laid bare right here:

    Yes I do. Reason is based on faith

    Reason is not based on faith. It is the other way around. Reason is based on logic. Nothing, not even God has the ability to change the fact that 1+1=2 without changing the definition of what 1+1 means. That is basis of reason. These things are true because they are constructs from which we extrapolate. If you can not define your universe in a logical fashion you can not reason, and you can not have faith, because faith is the conjecture that reason can not make. But without reason, faith does not exist, because without reason it is impossible to have any level of certainty at all. You can not believe in God without a reason, even if the reason would not be considered a good one, the reason is there. Faith comes from knowing that the reason is insufficient. You would not believe in God if you had never heard of Him. The very fact of hearing of Him, is a reason to believe, not necessarily the best of reasons, but a reason none the less. Faith is the leap beyond that.

    They never made it to today. Yesterday was their last day. One day it will be your turn. You do not believe that at that time you will face your Creator, but what if your belief about God and judgment were wrong? What if Jesus was right about the things He said and did?

    You're going to have to do better than that. Pascal's Wager? Please. By the way, I never said I believed or disbelieved in anything, only in your narrow minded conception of God's works. I don't claim to have all the answers, but I do know that God is not the petty tinkerer that ID proponents and Biblical literalists have made Him into. I know and understand far better than you do what it means to be uncertain about the world around us, about how it is impossible to know anything for certain, your patronizing tone is quite amusing though, you talk about not being able to know anything for certain, but you miss the point entirely because you miss that there are many things for which we can have a high degree of certainty about. No scientific theory will ever be proven, but a good theory can be shown to have a good reason for believing it, simply conjecturing that your theory can make just as much logical sense as evolution isn't good enough, and it never will be.

    Let me put it this way, let's just suppose for the sake of argument that ID is correct. Then what? What are the consequences for medicine? How do we use that theory to predict how to treat disease? How is it in anyway useful at all when if we encounter something we don't understand, we simply state that the designer made it that way? How is that useful and conducive to progress?

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  309. In that case... by paladinwannabe2 · · Score: 1

    Replace 'microbes' with 'sustainable self-replicating chemical reaction'. I think you'll find that all of the same problems apply. Advanced microbes would actually be more resistant to many of these problems than the goo would be- but then we still get into the problem of where the microbes came from.

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    You are reading a copy of my copyrighted post.
    1. Re:In that case... by glwtta · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah - I wasn't saying that the goo would be better suited to that environment, just that it would be the goo, not microbes (like I said - nitpicking).

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  310. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by arminw · · Score: 1

    .....Faith comes from knowing that the reason is insufficient.......

    That is the best statement you have made. You are quite good at expressing some thoughts. God challenges us to reason with Him in Isaiah 1:18. It is not necessary, nor even good, to park reason outside of the church door.

    (.....Let me put it this way, let's just suppose for the sake of argument that ID is correct. Then what? What are the consequences for medicine?....)

    That's easy. God came up with this design, let's try to figure out how He did it and see how we can improve certain aspects of the design for our use. We do this with human designs all the time. Just giving credit where credit is due for a design or invention doesn't at all negate it's usefulness or clever solution to accomplish a task. When a programmer comes up with a clever piece of code, does giving him/her recognition for that reduce the usefulness of the program? We imitate God's designs in our technology. Survival aids, such as the echo location system used by bats and dolphins still outdo our sonar and radar copies. No human has yet designed a light source that converts 100% of its energy input into light. Fireflies and certain other luminescent creatures do. Let's learn how God figured this out and make use of it for our light sources.

    The early scientists who laid the discovery foundations for our modern technology were almost all Christians. They believed that God designed an orderly universe with consistent, discoverable laws, mirroring His own nature. They believed that this God had communicated to mankind through the written record of the Bible, as well as through the things He had made.

    We live our everyday, practical lives much more by faith and trust than reason. When you get into an elevator, train, airplane etc. you trust that the people who designed, maintained and operate these conveyances did their jobs faithfully. When you are about to drive your car across a bridge, you don't first stop and examine with your reason whether that bridge is safe. Every once in a while though we learn that those responsible for that bridge or conveyance did not do their job or were ignorant of some factors. Still, exercising faith, I'm sure you have crossed a few bridges since the one in Minneapolis collapsed. It would be totally unreasonable for you to now refuse to have faith in all bridges, just because of a major collapse of one. You still have reasonable faith that the next bridge you cross will not collapse, but you do not KNOW it won't.

    We exercise reason based on faith in the designers, builders, maintainers and operators of almost all of our modern infrastructure and technology. Reason then is built on a foundation of faith, whether in God or other people. I have faith that God is truthful in what He has communicated.

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    All theory is gray
  311. Re:Extrapolation of probability using two variable by letxa2000 · · Score: 1

    I said: Plus that solves the other confusing problem of how the whole universe began
    You said: Except it doesn't. It just pushes the question further back. If god started the universe, who started god?

    Unfortunately, much to the chagrin of those that use that argument, religion and science don't play by the same rules. It is accepted in science that for every effect, there must be a cause. An airplane doesn't just spontaneously explode into existence and neither does an entire universe--except that seems to be what happened. So there are lots of pet theories to explain how that happened or what happened "before time", but none of those theories are particularly satisfying, nor are they any less faith-based than a belief in God.

    So who started God? God did. If we assume God exists and created the universe, there's no reason to assume that God is subject to the laws of the universe that we understand. While everything in the physical universe exists because something preceded it, a theoretically spiritual and omnipotent God doesn't necessarily have to adhere to those same physical laws.

    I know you'll say that's a cop-out, but it's perfectly reasonable if you do assume the existence of God.