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NASA Scraps Shuttle And Returns to Rockets

nathanh writes "NASA is building a launch system that they've informally dubbed Apollo On Steroids. It's a hybrid design of the Apollo capsules and the Shuttle's booster rockets and engines. Crew and cargo are lifted by two different rockets: the crew use a single-booster/single-engine rocket and the cargo is lifted by an awe-inspiring two-booster/five-engine rocket. NASA reckons this craft will take humanity back to the Moon and then to Mars. Has NASA realised that the old designs were better? Or is this all a ploy to recapture the hearts of the public?"

553 comments

  1. Finally.... by FST777 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Real news from NASA!

    --
    Free beer is never free as in speech. Free speech is always free as in beer.
    1. Re:Finally.... by Guppy06 · · Score: 1

      It's from Zonk, don't hold your breath.

    2. Re:Finally.... by Philip+K+Dickhead · · Score: 1

      Zonk wonders about the ploy?

      It's a ploy to get something manned past low-earth orbit before the end of the decade, when American insolvency will make the whole ball-of-wax China's new space programme.

      BTW: NASA can't even afford original conceptual art anymore! These images are like a Willy Ley sketchbook from 1959, dropped on to old NASA photography!

      --
      "Speaking the Truth in times of universal deceit is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell
    3. Re:Finally.... by G3ckoG33k · · Score: 1

      But NASA is busy in space! See for yourselves, here!

    4. Re:Finally.... by Grab · · Score: 1

      Glad this got modded as "funny". This has been reported extensively in the news for a full 3 months now. Nice to see Zonk is keeping up with the world...

      Grab.

    5. Re:Finally.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Slashdot - News for Nerds, only a month after the mainstream press covers it!

    6. Re:Finally.... by bhiestand · · Score: 3, Funny
      BTW: NASA can't even afford original conceptual art anymore!

      Their art department is still over budget from that whole moon landing hoax. But I'll agree, even the moon landing was rather unoriginal.
      --
      SWM seeks new sig for a brief fling
    7. Re:Finally.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We need to get away from chemical rockets completely
          Should fund the orion project or go more toward plazma engines.
      And posb get more women in space because we can handle zero g better and other issues envolved with traveling in space...

  2. Mars? by mboverload · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Sure, they'll get to Mars in it. All their muscle mass will be gone, but they'll get there.

    You need a spinning ring to provide artificial gravity or they will literally collapse when they set foot on Mars.

    1. Re:Mars? by qazsedcft · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You need a spinning ring to provide artificial gravity or they will literally collapse when they set foot on Mars.

      Not necessarily. If you accelerate at 1 g for half of the trip, then do a flip and decelerate at the same rate for the second half of the trip you get the same effect, with the added bonus of getting there faster. The only problem is the energy required to do that, but I'm sure they'll figure that out some day... ;)

    2. Re:Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Accelerate at (-)1g for the entire trip?
      That is a phenominal waste of fuel... bloody ridiculous.

      If/when we get working fusion + ion drives or something then it might be feasible, but with conventional rockets this is out of the question.

    3. Re:Mars? by aurb · · Score: 5, Funny

      All their muscle mass will be gone, but they'll get there.

      Unless they order the astronauts to have sex during the flight... Oh wait.

    4. Re:Mars? by raptor_87 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Or you could do something rather like Mars Direct and just spin the who vehical, with a tether to the last stage of the launch system...

    5. Re:Mars? by qazsedcft · · Score: 2

      Notice the ;)

    6. Re:Mars? by QuantumG · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's hardly a waste of fuel. If you did what the grandparent post suggested you'd get to Mars in less than 48 hours. It'd be great if we could do that, but we can't. The question is, though, how much acceleration do you need to maintain body mass?

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    7. Re:Mars? by pookemon · · Score: 2, Informative

      Or they could exercise on the way over there with resistance equipment (like big rubber bands or springs).

      --
      dnuof eruc rof aixelsid
    8. Re:Mars? by gilesjuk · · Score: 4, Interesting

      There's those who would go even if it's a one way trip. But sadly it won't be up to the public to decide :)

      Could be a new reality TV show :)

    9. Re:Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Informative

      9.8 m/s^2 or so.

    10. Re:Mars? by The+Wooden+Badger · · Score: 5, Funny

      Personally I'm in favor of 50 G acceleration, a la Dragonball Z. That way we get Super Sayan astronauts out of the deal. Explore space and protect Earth all from one project.

      --
      Heroscape, it's like legos combined with anachronistic wargames.
    11. Re:Mars? by Dolda2000 · · Score: 1
      Unless they order the astronauts to have sex during the flight...
      It would probably be a very bad idea, but it would be very interesting to see how children who grew up in a zero-g environment would turn out. They would probably have very little muscle and bone strength, but due to the lack of gravity, it's not unlikely that they'd grow to an extraordinary size.
    12. Re:Mars? by DingerX · · Score: 2, Funny

      Or they could use those electrostimulators I always see on the informercials that build muscle mass while you watch soap operas. I mean, they have to work -- they're on TV!

    13. Re:Mars? by Scott+Swezey · · Score: 2, Funny

      Each week we could have the "Walk of Asphyxia," where one person... will... be... voted... out... of... the... bubble (Insert Trump "Your Fired" hand motion here).

      --
      Scott Swezey
    14. Re:Mars? by hankwang · · Score: 5, Informative
      You need a spinning ring to provide artificial gravity

      It can be done much simpler: split the spacecraft in two and connect them with a long steel cable. That way the two halves can rotate around their center of mass and create artificial gravity without the trouble of getting a huge construction into space. Also it is easier to make a large diameter for which a low angular velocity will be sufficient to create 1 g, thus reducing disturbing Coriolis forces.

    15. Re:Mars? by Hakubi_Washu · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'd suggest changing the Gs from 1 to .38 earth to mars and vice versa on the way back, that way you'd have a nice acclimatisation to the respective gravities.
      The energy problem however remains and cannot to my knowledge be solved currently. If we could make ion engines or the hydrogen & electric arc systems more efficient and get a small fission or, better, fusion reactor onboard that might stop sounding utterly ridiculous though. On the other hand, using a tether-based rotation as proposed in "mars direct" is way cheaper and obtainable today...

    16. Re:Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Added benefit: At about 1/300th of lightspeed, astrounauts age slower...

    17. Re:Mars? by Jarnin · · Score: 1

      I'm waiting for the "National Space Lottery" to come about. Buy a ticket, and you've got a chance at going up. Of course, you'd have to get a background check by the FBI, a few hundred medical exams, and sign an agreement that you won't sue NASA if their ship explodes, but I know lots of people that would blow their entire paycheck for a chance to go into orbit. I'm tired of hearing about rich bastards blowing millions of dollars to go up; give the average Joe (or Jane) a shot.

    18. Re:Mars? by SirPavlova · · Score: 1

      Just tie the women's tubes or something. Something reversible. To be honest I can't think of anything else reversible... tying the vas deferens doesn't seem a good idea. Then again that could make shipboard hygiene easier...

      --
      Yar.
    19. Re:Mars? by markhb · · Score: 1

      I wish I could remember the name of a story I read that thought about this. The hook was that babies that were born on a Moonbase could never visit Earth for exactly that reason (bones & muscle wouldn't support them)...

      --
      Save Maine's economy: write stuff down. All comments are exclusively my own, not my employer.
    20. Re:Mars? by Grayraven · · Score: 3, Informative
      --
      "Source... The Final Frontier" -- keepersoflists.org
    21. Re:Mars? by flazz · · Score: 0

      50 G acceleration should give us a speed close enough to light to slow down time while they train, thus creating a hyperbolic time chamber.

      the thing is we will need to figure out a new source of food. though nutritious and space efficient, astronaut food won't cut it for super sayan training. we will need many refrigerators loaded up with real food, preferable bowls of cooked rice and big roasted chickens.

    22. Re:Mars? by complete+loony · · Score: 1

      Untill the cable breaks. Then everyone would lose their lunch.

      --
      09F91102 no, 455FE104 nope, F190A1E8 uh-uh, 7A5F8A09 that's not it, C87294CE no. Ah! 452F6E403CDF10714E41DFAA257D313F.
    23. Re:Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no you need a nest of spinning rings supported on a set of posts where you drop the capsule into the spinning rings at the right moment right after you fire the outer ring acceleration rockets.

      Jeesh, dont you guys know anything about intergalactic space travel?

    24. Re:Mars? by cafard · · Score: 2, Funny

      how much acceleration do you need to maintain body mass?

      42?

      --
      This post is awesome.
    25. Re:Mars? by Swampfeet · · Score: 0

      Hey come on, Andy Griffith did it that way, so NASA can too!

    26. Re:Mars? by broggyr · · Score: 1

      The only problem with that is anyone else watching you won't believe you went anywhere :)

      --
      Irony? Yea, it's like goldy and bronzy, only it's made of iron!
    27. Re:Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      There's those who would go even if it's a one way trip. But sadly it won't be up to the public to decide :)

      Could be a new reality TV show :)

      "Ten Earth-Mars tickets. One Mars-Earth ticket. Vote who comes back."

      Do that and TV ad sales will pay for the mission. And then some.

    28. Re:Mars? by Dolda2000 · · Score: 1

      It might not be what you were thinking of, but Planetes has quite some time spent on exploring that. In Planetes, those kids are called Lunarians, and are about twice as large as normal humans.

    29. Re:Mars? by Svartalf · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Considering that the cable would have to be stronger than the huge construction, I doubt that you'll see that one anytime soon. Nice idea, but it's actually easier to strengthen a larger structure than a smaller one- more materials can mean you can use slightly less strong stuff and accomplish the same thing. To be sure, it's a balancing act, but until you achieve something that can do a space elevator effectively, you don't have the materials strong enough to accomplish what you suggest reliably such that it's any less expensive than the more massive spinning ring or sphere that people have suggested.

      --
      I am not merely a "consumer" or a "taxpayer". I am a Citizen of the State of Texas
    30. Re:Mars? by igny · · Score: 1

      Or, inversely, imagine a hulk baby from Jupiter.

      --
      In theory there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is. - Yogi Berra
    31. Re:Mars? by mforbes · · Score: 2, Interesting

      As a previous poster pointed out, at optimal times Mars and Earth are only 48 hours apart at 1g acceleration. Even at .38g, that's not exactly enough time for acclimitization.

      Nice idea in principle though. I'd suggest it might work well for targets further away, but the reality is that anything in our solar system is only a matter of a very short time away at 1g constant acceleration (ok, flip over 1/2-way through to accelerate at 1g the other way so your velocity at your target is low enough to orbit/land safely... still, you get the idea).

      --

      Allegedly real newspaper headline from 1998:
      Man Struck by Lightning Faces Battery Charge

    32. Re:Mars? by m50d · · Score: 1

      I'd do it, no question. Live a few decades longer or die young and live forever.

      --
      I am trolling
    33. Re:Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't forget the sensu beans

    34. Re:Mars? by -brazil- · · Score: 1

      It's only one episode of 26 (and a short, but very nice part in the very end), and IIRC all we learn is that at age 12, one girl is half a head taller than an adult Japanese male born and raised on Earth. Far more interesting are the social and political implications of people who think of Earth as "an interesting place to visit, but I wouldn't want to live there" and nations as a silly concept they've heard about but don't really understand.

      The topic also turns up in "Das Marsprojekt", a book by German SF writer Andreas Eschbach, where a successful Mars colonization is scheduled to be aborted due to budget cuts and the colonists to be evacuated, when one of the children born there turns out to have a heart defect that makes it impossible for her to acclimate to Earth gravity.

      --

      The illegal we do immediately. The unconstitutional takes a little longer.
      --Henry Kissinger

    35. Re:Mars? by Dolda2000 · · Score: 1

      I believe you remember the series very wrong, in that case. There is an entire episode almost dedicated to her (I don't remember the numer, but it is the one where Hachimaki is hospitalized on the moon), and there are at least three or four episodes where she makes a couple of non-trivial appearances.

    36. Re:Mars? by Sebilrazen · · Score: 2, Informative

      The idea of a tether system has yet to be successfully demonstrated.

      I'm personally in favor of them utilizing some wasted external tanks to create a sort of octagon around a central propulsion tower that could be spun for anywhere from the .3G for Mars local G to 1G for the return home.

      The biggest problem foreseen with any rotation scheme is of course the coriolis forces whereby your head experiences an amount of gravity fractionally different than your feet. This gives new meaning to the term light headed.

      --
      "There are no facts, only interpretations." --Friedrich Nietzsche.
    37. Re:Mars? by -brazil- · · Score: 1

      Since it's such a great series, any incentive to rewatch it is a good thing, but I'm pretty sure she doesn't have more than one or two appearances outside that one episode where she's the second major character next to Hachi.

      The significance of her appearance in the last episode makes up for any lack of screentime otherwise. It's one of the reasons I prefer the animated version to the manga.

      --

      The illegal we do immediately. The unconstitutional takes a little longer.
      --Henry Kissinger

    38. Re:Mars? by hankwang · · Score: 2, Informative
      Considering that the cable would have to be stronger than the huge construction, I doubt that you'll see that one anytime soon. Nice idea, but it's actually easier to strengthen a larger structure than a smaller one- more materials can mean you can use slightly less strong stuff and accomplish the same thing.

      For buildings and things like that you are completely right, since they have to withstand compressive forces (gravity) and the lever effect of forces that try to bend the structure. However, with the space module with counterweight one only needs to have tensile strength. If the space module has a mass of 10 ton and you wish to create 1 g, you only need a steel cable that can handle 10 tons of weight (at 200 kgf/mm2 that is just 50 mm^2 cross-section, plus a safety margin, so say 1 square cm). A 200 m cable would weigh about 160 kg, i.e. much less than the space module.

    39. Re:Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      they could just pack some resistance training equipment, like oversized rubber bands or extra strength bungee cords. Plenty of time to work out a bit on a 7 month flight.

    40. Re:Mars? by CSfreakazoid · · Score: 2

      Actually, The plan for that amount of energy is a plasma engine. There is a working prototype in the VASMR lab and NASA's Johnson Space Center. Basically, it uses superheated minute amounts of plasma to provide thrust. The model they currently have, fills the room, and provides a fraction of the amount of power, but when this technology is ready, it could make the 2 day trip to mars a possibility.

    41. Re:Mars? by jbridge21 · · Score: 1

      That tether experiment does not substantially relate to the kind of tether system the grandparent referred to.

      Vertical tether from a large to a small object in LEO to suck electrical energy off of orbital motion != tether in interplanetary space with a continually changing orientation, not meant or able to suck electrical energy off orbital motion, connected between two large objects

    42. Re:Mars? by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      It wouldn't even need to be a whole paycheck. Look at how many people pay $1 per chance twice a week for a few million dollars. We could raise billions that way each year, and it would be completely voluntary.

      Kind of makes me wonder if this would be an effective way of funding certain programs. If you like it, you buy however many tickets at $1 each, and each one gets you a chance to do something special with it. A space program might get you the chance to go into orbit; an oceanographic research program might get you a chance to go a couple of miles underwater to watch research taking place.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    43. Re:Mars? by Bender0x7D1 · · Score: 1

      Right, because there is no way you could build muscle mass without gravity...

      I don't mean to be a troll, but don't overlook the obvious like the "power bands" that are widely used in aerobic classes. They are small and come in varying tensions. Also, if they want to arrive in excellent shape, they should get a BowFlex. It doesn't require gravity to produce tension and they could bolt it to the wall/floor and have it fold up. I know some will say this is a waste of mass/space in the capsule, but this is a serious medical issue for extended space travel.

      Also, let's not forget that mass is still a constant, even if weight isn't. Moving a heavy weight quickly, and then slowing it down again before it sails out of your grasp and through the front window, would also give a workout.

      --
      Reading code is like reading the dictionary - you have to read half of it before you can go back and understand it.
    44. Re:Mars? by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

      I always did wonder why you couldn't put valves in the tubes that go from the testies. Have them inplanted when you're a teenager and when you want to have children a very simple operation to turn the valve to open (then shut it later).

      The only problem I could see with this is the issues of tissue forming over the valves and blocking them, or of the body rejecting the foreign matter, but I thought that problem was getting towards solved these days?

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    45. Re:Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      comments like these amuse me. Let's see, they have top engineers credentialed at prestigous schools working on these projects. Oh, but they haven't figured out what you just solved as a post on Slashdot. These folks will look on Slashdot and say "Hey! look!! if we accelerate 1G, blah blah blah...". Yes, that's it--boom-done! Solved.

      There's a beurocracy to be dealt with here, not lack of knowledge or erpertise.

    46. Re:Mars? by Yazeran · · Score: 1

      Well this idea is hardly a new one. Buzz Aldrin (Yes the one who went to the Moon) came up with it in his novel 'Encounter with Tiber' (which is rather interesting btw.).

      And who knows, it may help funding future space projects. I know for sure that i would buy a $1 chance if it was offered, no matter how little the chance was for actually going into orbit. :-)

      Yours Yazeran

      Plan: to go to Mars one day with a hammer.

    47. Re:Mars? by broggyr · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't such a spinning vehicle be difficult to course-correct?

      --
      Irony? Yea, it's like goldy and bronzy, only it's made of iron!
    48. Re:Mars? by hankwang · · Score: 1
      The biggest problem foreseen with any rotation scheme is of course the coriolis forces whereby your head experiences an amount of gravity fractionally different than your feet.

      Coriolis forces are a problem, but you can make them quite small by increasing the tether length (to 1000 m or so). However, I think you misunderstood the concept of Coriolis forces. It means that any object that moves (except if parallel to the rotation axis) will experience a perpendicular force. It is the same force that causes all hurricanes to rotate the same direction on the northern hemisphere. Only in a spacecraft that makes a revolution every 10 seconds it will also affect motions on a much smaller scale. Imagine for example that your hands end up a few cm off every time you try to pick up something.

    49. Re:Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just tie the women's tubes or something. Something reversible. To be honest I can't think of anything else reversible...

      Did you miss all the sex-ed classes?

      Then again, this is slashdot. Think about firewalls and try again.

    50. Re:Mars? by Zakabog · · Score: 1

      Or you can have excersize machines like they have on the ISS and force the astronauts to excersize a certain amount each day to keep themselves in shape.

    51. Re:Mars? by Rei · · Score: 1

      The problem is no longer the engines; it's the power. MPD thrusters can gobble up tremendous amounts of power and use it to produce thrust reasonably efficiently if you give it to them. The problem is densely generating that power.

      An alternative, of course, is to use nonelectric engines, where your power-producing reaction directly produces thrust, ala the many nuclear proposals.

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    52. Re:Mars? by shotfeel · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I was trying to picture how big those fuel tanks would have to be. Need more rockets to get that load off the ground.

      OTOH, It may only take doing the appropriate exercises to keep the muscle from wasting. Just put velcro hooks on the entire outside surface of the space-suit and carpet the entire interior. That'll give them a workout and they won't have to worry about floating away.

    53. Re:Mars? by Gilmoure · · Score: 2, Funny

      Hey, computer geeks can solve anything. They've read books and...stuff. And if it involves elves or pr0n, they'll do it even faster.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    54. Re:Mars? by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 1

      I recall seeing a product announcement (or proposal or something like that) for this decades ago. I don't know what became of it, but there were probably problems along the lines you suggested. Perhaps it is time to revisit the idea.

      --
      a,e,i,o,u and sometimes w and y (at be if of up cwm by)
    55. Re:Mars? by Gilmoure · · Score: 1
      Force them to run exercise equipment to run displays.



      Hey, looks like something's heading our...Shit, Yuri, start pedaling!

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    56. Re:Mars? by Chuckstar · · Score: 1

      "... and you wish to create 1 g ..."

      Add to your analysis that you probably only need to generate a fraction of a g (1/3?, 1/2?), and a tether is even simpler. You'd want to make sure that you could recover from a broken tether, though -- i.e. have enough fuel to stabilize your orbit and make it back to Earth. You'd lose the physiologic benefit of the g forces, so you wouldn't try to land on Mars if it happened outbound.

    57. Re:Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't have to be a ring. It could just be two attached pods spinning around each other. But it does need to be VERY large. Research has shown that the maximum the body can withstand over any lengthy duration is roughly 1 rpm, so for a spinning craft to provide .38 gravity the radius of the ring (or diameter-it's been awhile) would have to be around 1 kilometer. (Fortunately, you don't need a RING. You just need two attached pods to spin around each other. My 5th year project in the University of Houston Space Architecture program was to design a spacecraft that could go to the moon, but we designed it so it could easily go to Mars as well. We used extendable tethers to link two pods to a central core which provided the initial thrust. I can't see anyone getting to Mars without using a similar system. The astronauts will need to have gravity, and having 1 gravity returning home would be important too, I can only see this possible with a radius that changes. So you can't have a solid ring. Besides, a ring is too costly and dangerous - too large of a target for space debris.

    58. Re:Mars? by Artfldgr · · Score: 1

      Kudo's to you!!!!!! yay... i have this problem with many people discussing the scientists who barely have a science background... only because they are generally stuck in the science of 50 years ago, with some neat new stuff added on with no connection to the other science. (the femnits didnt help with dumbing us all down to help 'prove' tabula rasa, but thats a whole other discussion as to who has helped screw up our education system). i am forever trying to show some person at a bar that scientists have a higher iq than them and that the simple and stupid things they think up are not things the scientists missed... this comes from their view of how much science knowledge is out there... today the newspaper printed that more people (51%) believe in a creation theory than darwin.. why? because they are calling for an arbitrary proof as the only acceptable proof, and dont realize that civilization hasnt been here long enough to even watch geological period type changes. just this morning i had to explain why (for the hundreth time) that the nazis did not have an antigravity machine, and this mans paper on using einsteins unified feild theory of gravitation (of which he failed to unify it and was done in the last 30 years of his life, and not the early part of his career), to provide torsion and such to be able to oppose "gravitation". they use the word torsion.. but i think they are refering to movement in a lagrange point in a manifold (something used to save feul in space), and frame dragging (the time space wake the earth leaves behind - and thats putting its poorly). the average population can no longer understand the science on a basic level and like our ancestors are making up myths and such to explain them. making their own modern mosters, and gods, and such, with their own stories and lost secret info and such... all thinking that the principals have changed little... cant talk to them about 'holes' or quantum tunneling or entanglement or really anything in a science way... there is too much they dont know and arent willing to accept (in an effort to win their point), to get anywhere... whats even funnier is that they dont knwo that we have measured things beyond waht they claim and in some cases can measure them at the levl that they want, and that the measurement doesnt mean a thing towards the conclusions that they are trying to make. they have been dumbed down and dont know it.

    59. Re:Mars? by Catbeller · · Score: 1

      1 g would be perfect, but without a serious nuclear drive or orbiting laser cannon it ain't gonna happen. Now, accelerating at 1/100 g, or even 1/10 g, via an ion rocket... you start slow, but it adds up and you are MOVING after a few weeks. The solar system has been wide open for decades; ion rockets powered by nuclear reactors can move men to Pluto in a reasonable amount of time. I don't remember the exact figures, but ion rockets get you to Mars in weeks rather than months -- accelerating at a fraction of one g.

    60. Re:Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      I'm replying to you, but all those proposing 1G acceleration need to listen. 1G acceleration for 24 straight hours as proposed by the 1/2 trip then flip idea is approximately 6000 mach or 1,894,058.7 mph. Assuming perfect utilization of energy it would take 358,467,379,200 Joules of energy per kilogram of weight. This means that it would take 4 MegaWatts of constant power per kilogram of weight sent in this mannor. For an average person it would be in the neighborhood of 200 to 300 MegaWatts. Figuring in a return trip your talking about 384 MegaWatt hours per kilogram. Now we also need to account for the ship, crew and supplies. The "new" nasa ship weights 25 tons or 25,000 kg which makes our power needed 100 GigaWatts of power that can be sustained for 96 hours of operation. Get a clue people the power requirements are beyond what we can hope of at this time.

    61. Re:Mars? by jameskojiro · · Score: 0

      The extra benefit is that if someone breaks a bone or gets injured in 50G they just munch on a senzu bean and they are good to go!

      Indeed, with senzu beans as a food/health suplement we could train all the astronauts en route, heck at 50G acceleration we could reach Alpha centari in a few short months!!!! Provided we can go past the speed of light, of course with the improvised saiyan spacepod technology nothing is not impossible!!!! Who cares about terraforming the planet mars when our Senzu Bean eating, 50G trained, astronauts could just blow the pitiful planet up! That is unless it has it's own set of Dragonballs and then we could wish for a real space program!!

      --
      Tsukasa: All I really want, is to be left alone...
    62. Re:Mars? by Catbeller · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Been waiting to make exactly that point. Yup, the Apollo Syndrome at work. Send Presbyterians on a very expensive round trip to Mars (no sex allowed -- see the latest NASA news) to pick up rocks to Work Out the Origin of the Solar System and to Find Evidence That Life Once Existed On Mars. Expensive, useless, and oh so juiceless.

      If you want to go to Mars, send people to Mars on a one-way trip. Land hospital modules, food, equipment to build housing and greenhouses, rovers, everything. Land the supply drops a few times a year. If someone wants a round trip, let them take a trip to Bermuda.

      Sink or swim, do or literally die. If they can't make the greenhouses work, keep dumping MRE's on them indefinitely: food doesn't take up much mass. A smart group will keep making O2 and housing until they lick the groceries problem. They'll have to: no choice.

      I'd go. And NASA can kiss my ass about the "no sex" rule. Grow up, you would-be Cotton Mathers.

    63. Re:Mars? by Catbeller · · Score: 1

      And one more thing: help finance the project by making it the ultimate Reality TV show. How much do broadcast rights to watching the early days of the colonization of Mars cost? And send some real damned people too, not just white male engineers from Ohio. Send some artists, some writers, some women, for crissakes. Record everything. Even if you can't go to Mars, you can experience it vicariously. What a show...

    64. Re:Mars? by Prince+Vegeta+SSJ4 · · Score: 1

      Kakarotto, stop posting silly comments

    65. Re:Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, it's not really that difficult. Nothing that the computers with the power capable of flying a stealth fighter can't do.

    66. Re:Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Comments like these ammuse me too. Didn't you notice the smiley at the end?

      "Hey look! Another pseudo-scientist/amateur/wannabe Slashdot poster made a comment and got +5 insightful. We must bash the hell out of him to releave our sexual frustration!"

    67. Re:Mars? by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Use more energy rich fuels than chemical rockets (eg, nuclear) and build in orbit for god sake.

      Exercise is not enough. You need to at least have a spinning sleeping quarters.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    68. Re:Mars? by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Yep, it's distant future technology.. but it is within the laws of physics.. you don't need new physics to do it and you don't need magical things like "inertial dampeners". Mr Fusion will provide all the power you need.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    69. Re:Mars? by uberdave · · Score: 1

      No, the parent is correct. It is an incredible waste of fuel. I don't have time to run the numbers, but the shuttle burns off 750,000kg of fuel in 8.5 minutes just to get to LEO. To accelerate for 48 hours, you'd need a fuel tank the size of a large skyscaper.

    70. Re:Mars? by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Yes, you would need a power system like fusion to be actually able to do it.. but you can't call it a "waste". If you need to get to Mars in 48 hours you need to use that much energy. To do it with chemical rockets would require a lot more fuel than a skyscraper could hold.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    71. Re:Mars? by iamlucky13 · · Score: 1

      In the "what cave have you been living in for the last 25 years?" category, we now direct your attention to Mir and Freedom, two of the most famous space stations ever. Astronauts have shown a remarkable ability to walk while experiencing gravitational accelerations of up 9.8 m/s*s after spending over 6 months on board these station. Most astronauts credit this amazing feat to a recent technological development known as "exercise." NASA scientists are investigating whether this "exercise" can allow similar accomplishments in a 3.7 m/s*s gravity environment like that found on Mars.

      A more insightful comment for you to make would've been "Holy duped story batman, didn't we see 3-4 articles on this last month?"

    72. Re:Mars? by SirPavlova · · Score: 1

      The rejection/overgrowth problem isn't solved yet, but it is getting closer. You can do it if you're willing to take drugs constantly.

      The reason I see the blocking being a problem is that it seems you'd need hormones anyway, to cut down on sperm production. I don't know if the body would do that automatically - after all it doesn't cut back due to lack of sex. The testes just keep pumping it out. Bad choice of words, maybe, but you get the idea.

      --
      Yar.
    73. Re:Mars? by VENONA · · Score: 1

      Sounded good, all the way up to becoming part of a reality TV show. The sort of society that made reality TV popular is what I'd be willing to take a one way trip to another planet to get *away* from.

      Another nice things about Mars is that at least until partial terraforming (if that could ever be done) stupid people would tend to remove themselves from the gene pool.

      "Think of it as evolution in action."

      --
      What you do with a computer does not constitute the whole of computing.
    74. Re:Mars? by 6th+time+lucky · · Score: 1

      I was just out shopping for some garden reticulation this morning and your post made me think of those little 4mm taps (the meters of black tubing, and the sprayer at the end... now would that be a full circle spray or a 1/4 jet you would be requiring sir?)

    75. Re:Mars? by hankwang · · Score: 1
      You'd want to make sure that you could recover from a broken tether, though

      With a 200 m tether (100 m from the center of mass) you only need 22 m/s for 0.5g. If the tether breaks, you have to catch up with the other half, which has a relative velocity of 44 m/s. Negligible compared to the center-of-mass velocity (>10 km/s).

    76. Re:Mars? by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

      Well the testies do stop eventually if you tie these same tubes in the vasectomy operation, and no hormones are needed then, I was just thinking of this as a reversable version of this operation.

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    77. Re:Mars? by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

      Could I get them in push fit please?

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    78. Re:Mars? by SirPavlova · · Score: 1

      Right you are. That didn't occur to me :-) Thanks. Well, now there's only jealousy to overcome before NASA lift their ban on sex in space.

      --
      Yar.
    79. Re:Mars? by bobcote · · Score: 1

      You can easily have the energy for this. Project Orion talked about this years ago.

      You could use an atomic vehicle as the mother ship. Once built, it would stay in high earth orbit until ready to fly to Mars. It would return to Earth and be parked in orbit.

      Travelers could get to and from the ship using more conventional launch systems.

    80. Re:Mars? by Catbeller · · Score: 1

      Well, a decent reality show, a la a National Geographic special, not "Survivor".

      But fly-on-the-wall coverage of colonizing Mars? Oh, yes, I'd watch.

    81. Re:Mars? by Chuckstar · · Score: 1

      The difference between the relative velocity and the center-of-mass velocity is immaterial. But you do have a good point that the relative velocity of the two halves is not huge. I guess you'd want to make sure you had the fuel to catch it, fuel to fix your now changed orbit, and a way to fix the snapped tether (or an extra tether).

    82. Re:Mars? by LLuthor · · Score: 1

      Only if we had working fusion generators could come up with that kind of energy.

      --
      LL
    83. Re:Mars? by tomhudson · · Score: 1

      Do you really believe they're going to be able to enforce the "no sex" rule? It's been around in one form or another since the shuttle started flying, and it's been violated (including 2 flings between people who were married, just not to each other) more than a couple of times.

    84. Re:Mars? by SirPavlova · · Score: 1

      On a spaceship, those things could be a pain in the arse, & what if someone forgot to use them, or they broke? Onboard abortions don't seem a nice (or practical) idea. I thought about condoms etc., but too many things could go wrong. You really want a 0% chance of pregnancy.

      --
      Yar.
  3. Capsules? by Deflatamouse! · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Shouldn't the title read "NASA Scraps Shuttle And Returns to Capsules"?

    Both the shuttle and the capsules are lifted by rockets...

    1. Re:Capsules? by Basehart · · Score: 1

      The space shuttle is essentially a capsule also, albeit with a pair of wings.

    2. Re:Capsules? by MadFarmAnimalz · · Score: 1

      slingshots, baby, they're working on slingshots.

      I can see you didn't RTFA.

      --
      Blearf. Blearf, I say.
    3. Re:Capsules? by theonetruekeebler · · Score: 5, Funny
      I misread your statement as "NASA Scraps Shuttle And Returns to Catapults ." I was fully prepared to write six paragraphs slamming the U.S. government's non-military budget cutbacks. I continued with a rant about how the spring tensions would be uncontrollable and that we should use some peak in the Andes as the pivot for a gigantic trebuchet.

      Please don't post to Slashdot until I've had more coffee.

      --
      This is not my sandwich.
    4. Re:Capsules? by Petaris · · Score: 1

      Haha, I just read that as "Shouldn't the title read "NASA Scraps Shutttle And Returns to Catapults"?" lol I guess its time to go make coffee, thanks for the great laugh. ;)

      --
      ~Petaris "The world is open. Are you?"
    5. Re:Capsules? by xnot · · Score: 1

      The headline makes it seem like the CEV is a replacement for the shuttle, when it isn't. The shuttle was designed for LEO wherease the CEV is designed for exploration (moon, mars, etc.) Technically speaking, there is nothing in place to replace the Shuttle.

      Now, based on the website information, it seems as if NASA is looking towards using the CEV (and the new heavy-lift version of the CEV) as possible platforms for getting supplies to ISS. If that's true, then I guess the CEV would go up and come down like apollo- except you're not going to the moon. But the website does not specify exactly how this sort of mission would happen- it's clear that the primary design for CEV is specifically for planetary exploration- not doing things in LEO.

  4. Untill they have actual hardware... by jonwil · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I am going to treat this as vaporware just like every other "shuttle replacement" NASA has come up.

    1. Re:Untill they have actual hardware... by BerntB · · Score: 1
      I am going to treat this as vaporware just like every other "shuttle replacement" NASA has come up.

      At least the new NASA boss is making noises that he understands that the $250 billions into shuttle and space station weren't a good use of resources.

      But Goldin did things like that, too, in the beginning, if I remember correctly and the old aerospace companies that made the shuttle gets more work.

      Sigh, when thinking about it, you are right -- sounds like a newly "elected" banana republic president promising an end to corruption. :-(

      --
      Karma: Excellent (My Karma? I wish...:-( )
  5. Any word on the next gen space shuttle by masterpenguin · · Score: 2, Informative

    Does anybody remember the concept of the next generation space shuttle that nasa talked about during the mid to late 90's. I remember there was research and products being developed for this project. Does it still exist, or has it just vanished into the black hole of failed/forgotten nasa projects?

    1. Re:Any word on the next gen space shuttle by mboverload · · Score: 2, Informative

      Last time I heard it was still up and running with Lockheed Martin. Though with all the recent shakeups I wouldn't be surprised if Lockheed just told them to shove it.

    2. Re:Any word on the next gen space shuttle by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      It was the X-33 VenturStar and was cancelled in 2001 due to performance issues. They couldnt get the composite fuel tanks to work correctly and a nonecomposite version was too heavy.

    3. Re:Any word on the next gen space shuttle by Daengbo · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I know that one. The problem is that they were both irrepairably damaged when they took those deep-sea drillers to that comet in order to save the world, and no more have been made yet.

    4. Re:Any word on the next gen space shuttle by broggyr · · Score: 1

      X71's, right?

      --
      Irony? Yea, it's like goldy and bronzy, only it's made of iron!
    5. Re:Any word on the next gen space shuttle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you thinking of the X33 spaceplane? It was cancelled in 2001.

      http://www.space.com/missionlaunches/missions/x33_ cancel_010301.html

      A article from a year earlier.
      http://www.space.com/businesstechnology/technology /x33_newlease_001002.html

      - James

    6. Re:Any word on the next gen space shuttle by sznupi · · Score: 2, Informative

      The one with areospike engines and composite fuel tanks? Too risky, too many new technologies = too many problems along the way = project shelved.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    7. Re:Any word on the next gen space shuttle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The old next gen space shuttle was scrapped because of design issues. It needed to be extremely lightweight, but to do that they required a lightweight fuel tank. The fuel tank blew up in testing because it didn't have enough support.

    8. Re:Any word on the next gen space shuttle by Pxtl · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I find that funny too - all this talk about space planes, mini-shuttles, etc. and now giving up and going back to the old big missiles?

      Sounds like the whole shuttle thing could be described as One False Step for Mankind.

    9. Re:Any word on the next gen space shuttle by AcidLacedPenguiN · · Score: 1

      wasn't there talk around that time about a massive railgun dug deep into a mountainside to fire the spacecraft out of?

      --
      disclaimer: I've been known to store numbers in my ass for which to dig out when quantities are required.
    10. Re:Any word on the next gen space shuttle by Frank+T.+Lofaro+Jr. · · Score: 1

      As opposed to the less risky current technologies that blew 2 shuttles and 14 people to bits.

      --
      Just because it CAN be done, doesn't mean it should!
    11. Re:Any word on the next gen space shuttle by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Bleh, you know which meaning of "risky" was used there...

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  6. Reusing shuttle tech by lightyear4 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Reusing the shuttle main engines might seem like an R&D cost saver, but isn't it also a kickback to the contractors who currently support the shuttle too? They would stand to lose quite a bit otherwise.

    1. Re:Reusing shuttle tech by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah because you know, screwing over your partner companies who help maintain, develop and build a key component of your current launch tech is such a great idea. It's not like NASA have a long lasting relationship with them and are probably quite chummy on the personal level as well. Sometimes not being a ruthless money grabbing capitalist is actually cheaper and more effective due to not having to learn all your team members names all over again and things.

    2. Re:Reusing shuttle tech by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      I have to admit that I find the reuse of the SRBs for the crew launch vehicle to be a bit odd. Why not use an F1 based first stage? You could make a shorter rocket which would be more efficient. What gets me is how stinking tall these things are going to be. Looks like they will be much taller than the old Saturn 5. Frankly I think that will be the show stopper. It will reqire a much bigger VAB and that will cost a lot.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    3. Re:Reusing shuttle tech by birge · · Score: 1

      How many companies do you think exist in America that can make large rocket engines? All the aerospace companies have consolidated so much, that my guess is that we've only got two: Boeing and Lockheed. And I imagine they will both be well represented in the final project.

    4. Re:Reusing shuttle tech by afidel · · Score: 1

      Actually the height of the high lift bay in the VAB was the major constraint in how high the could built the thing. There is no way NASA was going to propose something that requied a new VAB. The one thing I haven't been able to find out is if any of the existing launch facilities can handle a rocket this high, or if they will have to design a new launch facility.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    5. Re:Reusing shuttle tech by dieman · · Score: 1

      The fun part is that you don't even know who makes the SRB, Alliant Techsystems. They've got a huge amount of lobbying, it sounds, into this project of using the shuttle boosters and apollo-style capsules.

      They probally don't mind whats attached, as long as its their rockets.

      --
      -- dieman - Scott Dier
  7. More like a ploy... by Raynach · · Score: 2, Interesting
    ... to do everything on budget.

    NASA's funding is continuously being cut while they are being forced to stay in the space race by other countries, and consequently, the White House.

    This isn't an attempt at something nouveau and ground-breaking engineering-wise, but a pieceing together of cheap rockets and whatever else is in the warehouses.

    --
    - A
    1. Re:More like a ploy... by cyclomedia · · Score: 1

      true but getting off the planet doesnt necasarily NEED to be ground breaking. they can probably save money by building something big and reliable and not laced with computers that does the job it's designed for and nothing else. hence the term "big dumb booster".

      basically, appollo worked, why reinvent the wheel? er, rocket!

      --
      If you don't risk failure you don't risk success.
    2. Re:More like a ploy... by Ariane+6 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Umm...NASA's budget has actually increased with respect to inflation for the first time in recent memory.

    3. Re:More like a ploy... by bani · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This isn't an attempt at something nouveau and ground-breaking engineering-wise

      until there's some fantastic new propulsion technology, ground-breaking engineering isn't going to happen anyway. there's only so much you can do within the bounds of chemical rockets. nuclear propulsion is politically off-limits, and ion engines haven't scaled to multi-ton spacecraft yet.

    4. Re:More like a ploy... by mboverload · · Score: 1

      > and ion engines haven't scaled to multi-ton spacecraft yet

      Well, you can push a multi-ton spacecraft with an ion engine to incredible speeds. Sure, you'll be 80 by the time it gets to 1,000 mph, but I digress.

    5. Re:More like a ploy... by Detritus · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You wouldn't know it by looking at most of NASA, where the budget squeeze has continued to worsen. Think of it like a family where everyone else is skipping meals to help pay for the medical costs of the new baby.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    6. Re:More like a ploy... by drgonzo59 · · Score: 1
      What ground-breaking engineering do the Russians have? They are flying 60s and 70s designs into space reliably and on schedule and probably on a 1/10 of the NASA's budget. At this point in time the cash-strapped Ruskies can get to the ISS safer, faster and cheaper than NASA can with their shuttles.

      And NASA probably did get their budget cut since they keep making mistakes and blowing up astronauts.

    7. Re:More like a ploy... by Ariane+6 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      True, that. I'm glad I'm not working at JPL these days...

    8. Re:More like a ploy... by Professor_UNIX · · Score: 1
      True, that. I'm glad I'm not working at JPL these days...

      Oh I wouldn't be crying *too* much for JPL. They're still in a much better position than Glenn here in Cleveland. 300 civil servants have fled to other centers and hundreds of contractors have already been laid off with 500 more layoffs slated for next year, tons of programs have been cut, and GRC only controls a tiny part of its own budget (the rest is funneled through other centers first). GRC is on the edge of extinction and our representatives couldn't care less. Cleveland sucks.

    9. Re:More like a ploy... by hey! · · Score: 3, Funny

      Boss: Good news! We're giving you a ten percent raise!

      You: Excellent! Wait till I tell Fred!

      Boss: Ah, well, bad news. We let Fred go and you're going to have his job too.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    10. Re:More like a ploy... by maxpublic · · Score: 3, Informative

      nuclear propulsion is politically off-limits

      Hopefully not for too much longer. According to recent polls Americans are less likely to agree with or pay attention to environmental groups than at any other time since the '60's, and many who previously would've opposed the construction of nuclear power plants are now in favor of using them to replace current oil and coal-fired plants. The trend is especially marked with the under-40 age group, who describes itself as "disenchanted" and "increasingly skeptical" of environmentalist claims.

      With the primary political base of environmentalism shrinking due to the aging of its main supporters, it's quite possible that nuclear power - once the Great Boogeyman of our hippy past - will make a strong resurgance. And with that comes the possibility of using it for other applications (international treaties to the contrary be damned).

      Max

      --
      My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
    11. Re:More like a ploy... by rsynnott · · Score: 1

      Bear in mind that NASA's budget, while not at its cold-war heights, is ludicrously higher than that of most other space agencies. The annual budget of the Russian Space Agency is in th region of $600million. Does NASA really do 20 times as much as the Russian one?

      --
      Me (Blog)
    12. Re:More like a ploy... by spitzak · · Score: 1

      I think you will find that there are plenty of people who don't mind nuclear power plants but would still object to nuclear-powered rocket exhaust!

    13. Re:More like a ploy... by demachina · · Score: 1

      "With the primary political base of environmentalism shrinking due to the aging of its main supporters"

      Where did you develop the illusion or delusion that a political base shrinks in power as it ages? Young people don't vote, old people do. How do you think Social Security and Medicare became third rails in politics, because older people vote in large numbers, the form cohesive and powerful blocks and they punish any politician that votes against their interests.

      If nuclear power is in a resurgence its not because of your bizarre explanation its more likely:

      A. People have forgotten Three Mile Island, especially everyone under 40 because they didn't live through it, and amazingly people have even forgotten Chernoybl with time.

      B. People are realizing that coal fired power plants are as bad or worse. Coal fired power plants are slow death, nuclear has some nasty waste and potential for catastrophic failure but when they work they are relatively clean. When given a choice between coal or nuclear, nuclear is in relative terms the environmental choice. We can wish for wind or solar as clean and green power but we are a long way from actually making them viable and using them on the scale needed to satiate our appetite for energy would lead to environmental impact of their own.

      --
      @de_machina
    14. Re:More like a ploy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There was a major nuclear meltdown in the 1950's around Los Angeles that you failed to mention. At the Rocketdyne (now Boeing) space complex in Simi Valley, there was an experimental nuclear reactor that went critical and melted down in 1959. The radiation can still be detected for many miles (especially in the area just northwest of Burbank and West Hills). The government kept it 'hush hush' for years. It surprises me that no one ever mentions it especially since the event was of the magnitude of Chernoybl and Three Mile Island in terms of radiation and explosion. The reactor was experimental and didn't even have the huge concrete protection you find at most plants to contain explosions. As a result, most of the radiation escaped and now

    15. Re:More like a ploy... by demachina · · Score: 1

      You answered your own question, the news was suppressed when it happened and people have shortl memories.

      Some of the worst things about Three Mile Island was the powers that be that were responsible for it tried to lie their way through it at every opportunity. They nuclear power industry shredded there credibility there. If they'd been truthful from the get go they industry as a while might have weathered it better. After it was over no one trusted them about anything.

      --
      @de_machina
    16. Re:More like a ploy... by brlewis · · Score: 1
      Where did you develop the illusion or delusion that a political base shrinks in power as it ages?
      Apparently from the same place he got his polls saying Americans are getting less sympathetic to environmental groups. Like Bill O'Reilly, he just makes them up.
  8. Did You Know? by distantbody · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Japan intends to build an orbiting solar station by 2040. The planned satellite is to be equipped with two giant solar panels, each being 1*3 km in dimension, and will weigh about 20,000 tonnes, thats impressive

    Back to the topic, i wonder how much cold-war flaunting the shuttle represented at the cost of practicality...

    1. Re:Did You Know? by mboverload · · Score: 2, Funny

      Awesome!

      When there are enough super-solar-panels up there the whole day will be like a rave. w00t, strobe sun! Oh yeah!

    2. Re:Did You Know? by benjamindees · · Score: 1

      It's amazing what industrialized nations can accomplish when they're prohibited from deploying a military.

      --
      "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    3. Re:Did You Know? by drsquare · · Score: 1

      Let's wait until they actually accomplish it before praising them. Anyone can plan something extravagent for 35 years in the future. By then all the current government will be gone so they can't be blamed when it doesn't happen.

    4. Re:Did You Know? by wulfhound · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No kidding.

      Combined spend on the shuttles and the space station:- around $250bn

      US _annual_ defence budget: $417bn in 2003, and increasing.

    5. Re:Did You Know? by Vellmont · · Score: 4, Insightful

      35 years in the future? When you don't know what technology will be like in even 10 years, how can you possibly plan 35 years ahead?

      --
      AccountKiller
    6. Re:Did You Know? by Guppy06 · · Score: 1

      2040? Heck, we'll all be living of tabletop fusion by then! When not driving our flying cars to and fro, that is...

    7. Re:Did You Know? by Gnutte · · Score: 1

      Japan intends to build an orbiting solar station by 2040. The planned satellite is to be equipped with two giant solar panels, each being 1*3 km in dimension, and will weigh about 20,000 tonnes, thats impressive

      Yada yada, both NASA and the Japans will be blown out of orbit by the Chinese orbital battle stations.

    8. Re:Did You Know? by Nicholas+Evans · · Score: 1
      Yada yada, both NASA and the Japans will be blown out of orbit by the Chinese orbital battle stations.

      Pfft, Japan has Gundams. China's punny battle stations stand no chance!

    9. Re:Did You Know? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That lack of vision is what holds us back these days. You look at stuff like some of the cathedrals/castles in Europe that they made with tech that was nowhere near ours, (or temples in the far east, some of the stuff the egyptians built etc) and thye had vision to build stuff that took well in excess of 35 years. If we never aim for anything thats gonna take more than 5-10 years your never going to achieve anything truly great, and if you never start because the tech might improve tomorrow, you'll never do anything at all.

    10. Re:Did You Know? by ColaMan · · Score: 0

      Come off it. 10 years from now there's going to be the Same Old Stuff in space.
      It might be slightly more efficient, which makes a nice bonus, but that's about it.

      Or was that a wry comment about NASA's return to the big dumb booster of the Apollo era? If so, than kudos to you, sir.

      --

      You are in a twisty maze of processor lines, all alike.
      There is a lot of hype here.
    11. Re:Did You Know? by neko9 · · Score: 0

      it's Japan. they are always planning ahead far in the future. not like some other countries.

    12. Re:Did You Know? by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      Come off it. 10 years from now there's going to be the Same Old Stuff in space.

      But what about the needs that drive the power generating satellite? Will we have low cost efficient solar cells by then? Will wind power or other green power sources advance to the point where a satellite providing power is pointless? 35 years is a long time in terms of technology. There's even an off chance that fusion power generation will be a reality.

      --
      AccountKiller
    13. Re:Did You Know? by Vellmont · · Score: 2, Interesting


      You look at stuff like some of the cathedrals/castles in Europe that they made with tech that was nowhere near ours, (or temples in the far east, some of the stuff the egyptians built etc) and thye had vision to build stuff that took well in excess of 35 years

      Cathedrals and castles in Europe were all built after we had built much smaller and simple things like houses, for hundreds of years. They used known techniques, they planned everything out, etc. What have we built in space so far that we think we could plan on building something on the scale of kilometers now? Basically nothing. The ISS is all built on Earth, and it's tiny by comparison. The 35 year estimate is basically just a thrown out number that no one will ever have to answer too. It's like saying you're going to get married in 5 years, or George Bush saying we're going to have hydrogen cars in 15 years. All of those events could certainly happen, but I wouldn't bet any money on it.

      --
      AccountKiller
    14. Re:Did You Know? by olddotter · · Score: 1

      Since you are posting on Slashdot I have to think you are a Tech person. Did you know that the moon shoot was a major driver that pushed computers from being bigger than a house, to something that would fit in a plane or the moon lander module?

    15. Re:Did You Know? by CaptainPotato · · Score: 1
      It's like saying you're going to get married in 5 years

      On Slashdot? Yeah right... well, yeah, as if anybody would believe you.

      but I wouldn't bet any money on it

      No, really?

      --
      I heard that your library burnt down and destroyed your only two books - and one was not even coloured in yet.
    16. Re:Did You Know? by Lumpy · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      When you don't know what technology will be like in even 10 years, how can you possibly plan 35 years ahead?

      I do, the useful technology in 10 years will be the computers that are made in the next 3 years, and they will be a very hot commodity. Anything current in 10 years will only be useful for consumer appliance use due to the mandated and federally controlled DRM systems that are required. any operating system that does not have havy DRM installed is illegal and only used by terrorists. Old versions of linux will be used and newer linux and other operating systems that are actively developed in secret and used in the computing underground are also used. many CS students hide a 8-10 year old laptop or pc for their real research while they work on their sanctioned and approved projects during the day. Learningn and use of low level laguages are also forbidden and usually will get you in jail under suspicion of terrorism. (hacking and cracking = terrorism due to the new global patriot act of 2011)

      Although major advances in encryption melded with stenaography will happen in parallel with the underground OS and software design in an attempt to hide and forbidden research.

      Think I'm being funny? the current direction of global politics points to this.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    17. Re:Did You Know? by SillyNickName4me · · Score: 1

      Cathedrals and castles in Europe were all built after we had built much smaller and simple things like houses, for hundreds of years. They used known techniques, they planned everything out, etc.

      To todays standards they planned relatively little, and mostly worked from experience. That said, you are right that there was a lot of experience by that time. Regardless, many a cathedral used for its time new techniques.

      Your argument fails with regards to Egypt and the early buildings there. They were the first in known history to build huge stone buildings, and while they did not achieve the pyramids at the first try, you can't exactly say that they were basing themselves on long standing tradition and experience while building them.

    18. Re:Did You Know? by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      Your argument fails with regards to Egypt and the early buildings there. They were the first in known history to build huge stone buildings, and while they did not achieve the pyramids at the first try, you can't exactly say that they were basing themselves on long standing tradition and experience while building them.

      And how do we know they didn't try progressively larger stone buildings? Any small structures were far less likely to survive. Maybe they did survive but they're burried in sand because they're relatively small. You don't start out building a massive structure, you start out small to see how well your process works. You don't build something until you're fairly sure you can do it. Otherwise you're doomed to failure. At the moment we haven't built anything in space, so planning on building a massive structure at this point is just ridiculous.

      --
      AccountKiller
    19. Re:Did You Know? by SillyNickName4me · · Score: 4, Informative

      And how do we know they didn't try progressively larger stone buildings?

      What is know from documentation (Egyptians did write, and tho not everythign has been preserved, they did also write about their technology and history) as well as found evidence is that pyramids were not the first substantial stone structures they built, and they did not start out building the big pyramid from scratch.

      There are examples of failed pyramids, and there is very good reason to believe that first of all, the attempted as well as the finished pyramids were substantially bigger then anything built before them (and actually, only in recent times humans built anything that would match them in size), and were pushing the limits of building technology at the time (they would have done that untill about 150-200 years ago and maybe even more recently).

      So, while they did not start building them without any previous experience in stone building in general, the known number of failures, documentation and archeological evidence seem to suggest that pyramids were pretty much developed with trial and error, over a relatively short time (a few generations), and by attempting to build soemthing way beyond the known possibilities of technology at the time.

    20. Re:Did You Know? by amdotaku · · Score: 1

      This is a misconception. Japan has a gigantic military: cost $45.841 billion (2004). They also have fairly advanced military technologies established so if a war broke out, Japan could easily rapidly develop a massive, powerful military force. Also mind you those expenses are pretty much at total peacetime, without any of the war costs the US has been eating over the past however many decades. So yes, Japan's "defense force" is nothing to ignore. Source: http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/ ja.html

    21. Re:Did You Know? by hey! · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Japanese planners (business and government) apparently don't see planning over longer horizons to be a waste of time, even if does not automatically translate into immediate results. This is a cultural difference. America is more individualistic and therefore less inclined to think in terms longer than the period the planner expects to be associated with his employer. Japanese planners seem to think more in terms of the orgization, which is immortal. I've heard of Japanese businesses having assumptions and goals running out to one hundred years, although clearly in highly general terms.

      One isn't unambiguously better than the other -- they're just biases. While clearly thinking at all about a hundred years out is useless, it is not necessarily better to sacrifice results five to ten years out for quarterly or even annual metrics. This is particularly true when speaking of national planning, since nationality is not as fluid as investment. I don't expect to hold Chase stock in thirty five years, but I do expect to continue being an American.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    22. Re:Did You Know? by amdotaku · · Score: 1

      This is a misconception. Japan has a gigantic military: cost $45.841 billion (2004). They also have fairly advanced military technologies established so if a war broke out, Japan could easily rapidly develop a massive, powerful military force. Also mind you those expenses are pretty much at total peacetime, without any of the war costs the US has been eating over the past however many decades. So yes, Japan's "defense force" is nothing to ignore. Source: http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/ ja.html

    23. Re:Did You Know? by maxpublic · · Score: 1

      Will we have low cost efficient solar cells by then?

      We already have low-cost efficient solar cells. The problem with solar cells is that there aren't that many places on the land surface of Earth where they can be deployed to support large-scale power demands. Unlike a coal plant, they can't be built near any community that needs them.

      Also unlike coal plants, they're subject to weather, attenuation, seasonal variations, and night. These are things that don't affect solar collectors in space. No matter how efficient the cell is on Earth, it will *always* be an order of magnitude more efficient in space.

      And you have to remember that production of solar cells is an extremely dirty, poisonous process. The byproducts are truly nasty, though most environmentalists don't know that or refuse to acknowledge it.

      Will wind power or other green power sources advance to the point where a satellite providing power is pointless?

      Wind power is only useful in specific areas as well; it's too variable outside of those areas to be practical for anything other than generating very small amounts of power. As for "other green sources", I haven't heard any mentioned that are anywhere near being remotely practical.

      There's even an off chance that fusion power generation will be a reality

      The fusion folks have been saying that practical fusion generation is just "ten years away" since the mid '60's. You'll note that 40 years later they're not that much closer to building a viable, affordable working fusion power plant than they were then.

      We CANNOT build such a fusion power plant today, nor will we be able to any time in the near future. We CAN build solar collector satellites RIGHT NOW; the technology isn't something that's brand new.

      Max

      --
      My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
    24. Re:Did You Know? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One word: Powerpoint.

    25. Re:Did You Know? by b1t+r0t · · Score: 1
      Cathedrals and castles in Europe were all built after we had built much smaller and simple things like houses, for hundreds of years. They used known techniques, they planned everything out, etc.

      They ones we see are also the ones that survived. Lots of castles that failed are now little more than tourist sites and the subject of postcard photos.

      --

      --
      "Open source is good." - Steve Jobs
      "Open source is evil." - Microsoft
    26. Re:Did You Know? by mdielmann · · Score: 1

      When you don't know what technology will be like in even 10 years, how can you possibly plan 35 years ahead?

      How ironic, given this is a discussion about the Shuttle, a decades-old technology whose primary upgrades were prompted by catastrophic failures. Which is not to say that tried-and-true is bad. So the answer is probably something alongs the lines of "Fundamentally similar to what we could build at the time of completion, only more quaint."

      --
      Sure I'm paranoid, but am I paranoid enough?
    27. Re:Did You Know? by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      It's not like the project will be started in 34 years and done in a year using then-current technology. A lot of military and space programs take decades to complete (the effect of our wonderously efficient contractor system not considered separately), so they are made mostly of technology decades older than what is available at the time they are finished. A solar station project scheduled to be complete in 2040 is certainly going to begin fairly soon.

      Not only does this make the planning possible as you're only considering technology in the next few years, it also has the benefit of allowing the technology used to become "mature". I have heard that radiation-hardened 486s are still popular in space applications because while they were new when a lot of the designs were being created, they are now time-tested in a way that a modern CPU is not, and thus the old cpu wins over the new one that is 100x more powerful. Besides, since the 100x more powerful cpu didn't exist when the project was planned, they didn't design in any need for such a thing.

      And so it will go with the space station (with the big assumption that it's actually going to happen). If someone tells you they are going to build a massive project like that in 30 years, but using tech they hope will be available in 20, that's when you know they are full of it.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    28. Re:Did You Know? by Gulthek · · Score: 1

      To be fair, the oldest American corporations can by definition only be a little more than 200 years old.

      Corporations in Japan are based off of family holdings going back for centuries.

      Plus there is the whole western view of the world as an artifact vs. the oriental view of the world as an organism that I won't even get into.

      Point? No point.

    29. Re:Did You Know? by Bob+Uhl · · Score: 1
      And of course ultra-long-term planning has worked wonders for the Japanese economy...

      Not that more long-term planning wouldn't help us. E.g. Social Security.

      I remember in college reading up on von Tirpitz and discovering that the Imperial German Navy had plans for ship construction up to the 1970s. Think about that for a second.

    30. Re:Did You Know? by karnal · · Score: 1

      Lots of castles that failed are now little more than tourist sites and the subject of postcard photos.

      Plus, I've heard it on good sources that there are a bunch of castles that sank into a swamp.

      --
      Karnal
    31. Re:Did You Know? by Krater76 · · Score: 1

      and were pushing the limits of building technology at the time (they would have done that untill about 150-200 years ago and maybe even more recently).

      The entire Roman Empire and the Notre Dame Cathedral are two examples that would disagree with you. Sure some buildings in both cases were not bigger than the pyramids but they had a little bit better architecture, wouldn't you say?

      As for technology at the time, we really don't know exactly when the Sphinx was built, guesses put it around the same time as the pyramids but it might be much much older. We can't really say how they moved such large stones from such a long ways.

      --
      "Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
    32. Re:Did You Know? by SillyNickName4me · · Score: 1

      The entire Roman Empire and the Notre Dame Cathedral are two examples that would disagree with you. Sure some buildings in both cases were not bigger than the pyramids but they had a little bit better architecture, wouldn't you say?

      Better architecture? maybe, but a pyramid is not as straightforward as it looks with regards to architecture either.

      The two basic problems for designing and building one are:

      - creating internal spaces that would not collapse under the intense weight on top of it
      - getting the slope of the sides right (get it wrong either way and they will collapse, keep in mind this is almost all done with stones that are not or only weakly interconnected vertically)

      Those things were not solvable with the experience from smaller scale stone buildings and resulted in some of the most spectacular failures in pyramid building.

      Building one also requires a fair amount of accuracy, and the precision with which the successfull ones are built is amazing.

      At any rate, the romans were in awe of the scale and construction of the big pyramids, while having done quite a few 'firsts' themselves that are very impressive in their own right. I don't think I am going to disagree with them there :)

      Also, I am not entirely sure if I find that huge corridor in the big pyramid less impressive in architecture then the Notre Dame :)

      With regards to the Spynx, we don't exactly know. There are things suggesting it is much older, but the official story is that it is as old as the pyramids approx. Either way, the Sphynx is amazing in its own right, but it is more a sculpture then a building technically. I strongly dount that there is much of a relation between how it was made and how the pyramids were made beyond the basic concept of working and shaping a piece of stone (or milions of it in case of a pyramid)

    33. Re:Did You Know? by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      We already have low-cost efficient solar cells.

      Not really. The pay back times I've seen on on the order of 10-20 years. That's not exactly low cost.


      No matter how efficient the cell is on Earth, it will *always* be an order of magnitude more efficient in space.

      Sure, and probbably about 100 times harder to get that energy as well. Anything in orbit is essentially throwaway. When it breaks you de-orbit it and build another. That tends to be expensive.


      We CAN build solar collector satellites RIGHT NOW; the technology isn't something that's brand new.


      Can we do it in an economically viable way? Can we hope to have technology that'll allow us to build kilometer sized solar arrays? That's quite a big hope for something we've never done. The thing about technology and science is on a longer time scale you can never know what you're going to develop next. You can't simply plan on technological advances to happen, you can only hope they will.

      --
      AccountKiller
    34. Re:Did You Know? by Vellmont · · Score: 1

      But I think you've just shown my point. The egyptians did progress from a stage of not knowing much about building stone structures to one of knowing quite a bit through failures, trial and error, etc. What I'm getting at is that we need to do the same thing. I doubt the egyptians made some bold statement early in stone architecture that they'd build the pyramid at Giza in 100 years. It'd be impossible to know if the techniques they were using would scale properly, not to mention simple economic factors of food availability.

      Seeing that far in the future about things we don't currently know is difficult at best, and usually impossible. Bold statements like Japan has made are just that, bold statements. If you don't know if you can do it, it's hope, not a plan.

      --
      AccountKiller
    35. Re:Did You Know? by SillyNickName4me · · Score: 1

      doubt the egyptians made some bold statement early in stone architecture that they'd build the pyramid at Giza in 100 years.

      Not exactly like that no, but to give an idea of the timespan involved here, they went from anunderground burrial chamber with a 'stepped pyramid' on its top (a fairly simple building) to the Pyramid of Cheops in approx 3 generations. The actual construction and architecture related technology developed for as far as we know within one single generation due to a farao having some daring desires with regards to his tomb. Getting to something that was stable enough (tho not a proper pyramid yet) took at least three tries. (two of the spectacular failures of pyramid construction are from his reign)

      The generation after him built the great pyramid.

      It'd be impossible to know if the techniques they were using would scale properly, not to mention simple economic factors of food availability.

      Well, considering the thing above, it took less then 100 years, and mostly the persistance of a single farao. It wasn't his bold statement as much as his bold desire and a vision.

    36. Re:Did You Know? by hey! · · Score: 1

      And of course ultra-long-term planning has worked wonders for the Japanese economy...

      Ah, so. But over what timeframe? ;-)

      But of course, my point wasn't Japanese Smart, Us Dumb. Smart long term planners look for opportunities created by steps toward the long term. Smart opportunists think about where they end up after the next improvisation they're contemplating.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    37. Re:Did You Know? by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      Well, considering the thing above, it took less then 100 years, and mostly the persistance of a single farao. It wasn't his bold statement as much as his bold desire and a vision.

      How do you know they didn't just get lucky? We never hear about the bold desires and visions that fail. Maybe there were other cultures that tried to create great things and had the same desire and vision. They failed because they didn't have the right techniques, didn't try something that was attainable, etc. I think you should try to do great things, but you can't set a timetable for doing things you currently don't know how to do.

      If you want a recent example just look at the people advocating fusion power. 25 years ago they said we might have fusion power in 25 years. Obviously we have no fusion power right now, and now people are saying it'll happen in another 25 years. It might, and I think we should continue the research, but you can't plan on fusion happening at all since we don't know how to do it.

      --
      AccountKiller
    38. Re:Did You Know? by SillyNickName4me · · Score: 1

      How do you know they didn't just get lucky?

      I bet it was partly luck that they got all the parameters right that quickly (eventho they could not finish the first properly built pyramid supposedly due to lack of time).

      They did have a timetable for building it, quite a tight one with an unknown deadline.. It had to be finished before the farao died.

      They did not manage from what we know, mostly due to the first attempts failing.

      With regards to others trying before them.. That is quite possible, even more so since we don't know much if anythign about 90% of the time that modern humans spent on this planet. That said, just looking at the failed attempts we know about suggests that they are pretty difficult to hide, even after 2000+ years of trying by the desert, vandalism and partial dismanteling... those things are somewhat huge.. :)

  9. Good plan, old design by ben_of_copenhagen · · Score: 1

    The going-back-to-the-moon theme is probably what the public want, but i hardly see the design of the vehicles as a ploy to gain public support. On the surface this looks like oldschool tech - not like the slick, 21first century aerodynamical spacecrafts we have grown accustomed to on the screen. But its probably a safer and more economical design. And as long as we actually get back to the moon...

    1. Re:Good plan, old design by tahii · · Score: 3, Insightful

      When you are going to Mars, or the Moon, you don't need slick aerodynamic spacecraft. The wings on the shuttle do nothing other than make it fly like a glider when it re-enters the Earth's atmosphere. On a trip to Mars or the Moon, they are simply dead weight that would have to be pushed along.

      Nothing has changed in external capsule design over the past 35 years either, but don't count on them being oldschool tech - They will incorporate a whole heap of new technologies, and internally they will be totally different.

    2. Re:Good plan, old design by ben_of_copenhagen · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Exactly my point. I just dont think the general public will be much impressed with ordinary rockets, simply because they look like something out of old Wernher von Brauns mind - and not at alle like those in the movies. The russian Soyuz programme has - in its own way - been a much more succesfull launch-system than the shuttle. But they have the grim look of baikonur and no hightech appeal.
      Nasa is depending on the politicians for funding. Politicians are depending on public support. But will the public be impressed by rockets, that - nevermind all the new technology inside - looks like something out of the sixties? Thats what i want to know. Nasa is not just a company that blasts things into space. They are a company that feeds the american public with dreams.

    3. Re:Good plan, old design by mkavanagh2 · · Score: 1

      NASA isn't a company. :)

    4. Re:Good plan, old design by sincewhen · · Score: 1
      And as long as we actually get back to the moon...
      I just don't understand why people need to go to the moon. They sent some guys there and it was all dust and rocks. Get over it.
      It's like the ISS - to me the question Why? is never answered. At least not sufficiently to justify the huge expense involved.
      Sure, it would be nice to go to the moon. Sure I'd like to holiday there (assuming it became affordable etc). But what is the point of setting up a small base with 12 elite astronauts doing "important scientifical work"? Does that get the rest of the human race anywhere? Without some practical purpose, it seems... well, pointless.
      --
      -- Braden's law of data: All data spends some of its lifetime in an excel spreadsheet.
    5. Re:Good plan, old design by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But why, some say, the moon? Why choose this as our goal? And they may well ask why climb the highest mountain. Why, 35 years ago, fly the Atlantic? Why does Rice play Texas?

      We choose to go to the moon. We choose to go to the moon in this decade and do the other things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard, because that goal will serve to organize and measure the best of our energies and skills, because that challenge is one that we are willing to accept, one we are unwilling to postpone, and one which we intend to win, and the others, too.

      --John Kennedy at Rice University, 1962


      http://www.rice.edu/fondren/woodson/speech.html

    6. Re:Good plan, old design by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

      Perhaps the movies then can start referencing the real world more by including these ordinary rockets in their films :-)

      Man this is good shit!

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    7. Re:Good plan, old design by Guysmiley777 · · Score: 1

      While we're being pedantic, there is no "weight" in space. There is MASS in space though...

      --
      Coding with assembly is like playing with Legos. Coding an application in assembly is like building a car with Legos.
  10. Planning ahead + adjusting on the fly by ReformedExCon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In order to make any project successful, it is necessary to be able to both plan ahead to take care of contingencies before they appear and also be able to be flexible enough to work around unforeseen problems. This latest effort, though definitely a good step away from the shuttle program, does not allay the fears of a lack of the second point above. They think they can plan ahead for each contingency, but the NASA bureacracy is too heavy and too heavily dependent on Congressional support.

    Congressional support, in turn, is heavily dependent on the contractors who stand to make a mint off of a new space program. So instead of good science being the leading light, it is special interests who hold the purse strings to NASA's budget.

    The problem is that space is not a priority, so NASA will not get what it needs to succeed. Rather, it will continue to get pushed around by its suppliers because Congress wouldn't have it any other way.

    --
    Jesus saved me from my past. He can save you as well.
  11. Finally! by Dark+Coder · · Score: 1

    The right stuff!

    Enuf said.

  12. Apollo on steroids? by dirtsurfer · · Score: 0

    Wasn't there already a Rockie movie about that?

    (Wow, I'm full of lame jokes lately)

  13. how wasteful by unfunk · · Score: 1

    So, if NASA wants to cut back on their budget expenses, then they should be cutting back on the waste. The Shuttle is a great design in that it's largely reuseable, thus reducing the waste materials, and the expense of replacing/rebuilding them.
    Using two largely un-reuseable rockets to blast crew and payload into space is a massive waste of resources, and thus funding.
    The only reason for this waste of money is the increased safety of launching humans into space, and let's face it; riding the Shuttle is amazingly safe, considering that it's riding on the back of a pair of gigantic sticks of dynamite, and a jar of highly flammable gasses.

    1. Re:how wasteful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately they are a) Running out of shuttles and b) The shuttle cannot perform to the new requirements.

      To date, the shuttle has cost $174 billion dollars with $5 billion is allocated for 2005.

      The estimated program cost for the new system is $104 billion dollars to the launch date. I can't find any projected costs per launch.

      Personally I'd rather see a more high tech solution emerge, but since the shuttle is due to be retired in 2010, and the new system is due to go online in 2018, that's not a lot of time to develop and test new technologies.

      This has been rehashed by the various contractors, and the end result always seems to be "we can't do the high tech solution in that amount of time for that amount of money--period". Hence they are going back to "tried and true". Which is in some ways a shame.

      They are also using the word "safe". This makes me cringe. There is little doubt in my mind, that had the apollo program been extended, people would have ended up dying a few times, especially if they tried anything on a scale of what the shuttle did. Granted, the new system has a crew escape system, so we'll see what happens.

      Although this is, in some ways, a step back, there are a variety of research projects going on (promethius, others) that will be pretty mind blowing once they make it off the drawing board.

    2. Re:how wasteful by drgonzo59 · · Score: 1
      So how come the "amazingly" cheap reusable shuttles stay grounded while the Russians with probably 1/10 of a budget of NASA can sent people to ISS cheaper and on schedule?

      And how exactly are the Shuttles "amazingly safe", did you just wake from a coma and missed the last re-entry disaster?

    3. Re:how wasteful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What really matters is the price of a new mission, not how much material gets recycled from the last one. The problem ends up being that the cost of refurbishing the orbiter to make another flight isn't too much different than the cost of a whole new "dumb" rocket. Why spend $500,000,000 to relaunch a Shuttle if you can just get a whole new rocket?

      Remember that building something to be reusable not only adds initial design cost, but it makes the finished product more expensive and heavier, and the added weight makes each launch more expensive.

      One of these new rockets is little more than a huge fuel tank with engines on the bottom and a capsule strapped to the top. The crew capsule will be reusable. Since the fuel and tank get expended anyway, the engines are the only part of the system that would be thrown away which the Shuttle reuses. In practice it should end up not being that wasteful.

      To make the inevitable car analogy, look at fuel economy numbers for a small passenger car (like a Honda Civic), a full-size pickup truck, and a semi-truck. The pickup gets 3 times better mileage than the semi, but can only carry 1/10 the cargo. Meanwhile the Civic gets 3 times better mileage than the pickup and can carry the same number of people. It should be obvious that the best way to send a few people cross-country is with the Civic and the best way to send cargo cross-country is with the semi.

      The pickup (like the Shuttle) is only useful for short hauls of small cargo or a few people. It would be the best option if you could only have a SINGLE vehicle, but if you could have TWO vehicles then it would be better to have the Civic and the semi for this cross-country trip.

      dom

    4. Re:how wasteful by unfunk · · Score: 0
      And how exactly are the Shuttles "amazingly safe", did you just wake from a coma and missed the last re-entry disaster?

      There's been two 'incidents' in 24 years, and 114 launches. That's a 0.017% failure rate. I wish my bike (I'm a bike courier) had a failure rate that low.

    5. Re:how wasteful by Seraphim1982 · · Score: 1

      You're off by a factor of 100.
      2/114 = 1.75% failure rate.

    6. Re:how wasteful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      You Sir, are a moron.

      2 fatal accidents per 114 launches is a failure rate of 1.7%, not 0.017%.

      And if your bike a fatal accident rate that high you would probably have died in your first week or two of full-time riding.

    7. Re:how wasteful by purfledspruce · · Score: 1
      How wasteful is the Shuttle, though? To re-use the Shuttle system's Orbiter, it takes several hundred human-YEARS of work to recertify it for flight--and space hardware technicians aren't cheap! And those solids rockets, they have to be cleaned of the toxic chemicals they use, refurbished, test fired, then cleaned of those toxic chemicals again, and refurbished again, then they can be used for the next Shuttle flight.

      The Shuttle system is FAR more expensive than throwing away the system every time. If you rebuild, you get learning curve reductions in cost for a while, manufacturing becomes less expensive...and the system can be upgraded easily along the way.

    8. Re:how wasteful by Elaarni · · Score: 1

      So how come the "amazingly" cheap reusable shuttles stay grounded while the Russians with probably 1/10 of a budget of NASA can sent people to ISS cheaper and on schedule?

      They arent grounded because of costs, they are grounded because they are finding problems that are making them hold the flights and err on the side of caution. If you think the Russians are getting things up and in place "on time" maybe you should look again at their launch schedule, they couldnt even get their first contribution to the ISS up and in place on time, and things havnt gotten any better since.

    9. Re:how wasteful by drgonzo59 · · Score: 1
      Money comes from Congress. Congressmens know as much math as my cat (which can count yummy tender vitals when needed!), but the point is that politicians are morons too. They don't see numbers, they are highly emotional and impressionable. They don't see 0.017 or whatever they see "Must compete in space race", "Must show the world we have big penis", "Kill astronauts = bad". It is the same thing that goes for plane crashes. Many more people die in auto accidents and from heart disease and cancer. Just freak random accidents kill probably more people than plane crashes. But yet so many people are afraid of dying and you have to jump through so much freakin' security just to fly 45 min to the city of your destination.

      So the main trick is for NASA to just have good spin doctors and talk about the wonders of flux capacitors and big lasers and stuff like that to get any funding from Congress.

  14. Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by Dynamoo · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Nasa state an intention to return to the moon by 2018 - by which time some of the underlying Apollo technology will have been around for 50 years. I wonder how the Apollo astronauts would have reacted if the design of parts of their craft has been designed back in 1918?

    Old doesn't necessarily mean unreliable in design terms - after all, the Russian's workhorse Soyuz orbiter is based on a 1960s design too, but you'd hope that by 2018 we'd be using something.. a little more high-tech.

    Just to give a reminder of how much momentum has been lost in the space program: I was born in the same year the movie 2001 came out - when that film was made it was absolutely believable that the sort of technology portrayed in the film could be in use by 2001. The (admittedly flawed) Shuttle was an obvious step towards this future - but somewhere everything went wrong. This is not the future we were promised. Where are the flying cars?.

    Still, it's all progress of a sort, I suppose.

    --
    Never email donotemail@WeAreSpammers.com
    1. Re:Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by rufty_tufty · · Score: 5, Insightful

      But would you argue that the Ford Focus is based upon the model T?
      The Soyuz orbiter is being constantly updated, pretty much each one that goes up is an improvement on the previous one. I think to call what flies now 1960s technology is a bit harsh. Yes you did say it's based upon it, but in that case, I just drove to work in a low-tech vehicle based upon a 1908 design.
      Damn I hoped I'd get more for my money than that ;-)

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    2. Re:Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Nasa state an intention to return to the moon by 2018 - by which time some of the underlying Apollo technology will have been around for 50 years. I wonder how the Apollo astronauts would have reacted if the design of parts of their craft has been designed back in 1918?

      Been happy that the technology their life depended from had undergone 50 years of testing ?

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    3. Re:Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by drgonzo59 · · Score: 1

      The 2001 movie reminds me most of all the the great illusion of AI. People did think that by now we would have had computers that could pass the Turing test, and we are not even close.

    4. Re:Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by dario_moreno · · Score: 1

      completely offtopic, but you chose a fine example with Ford ! IIRC, the current Mustang has a V8 engine based on a 1948 design, and the rear uspension is a De Dion design from 1905...only electronics and maybe disc brakes were added to the 1963 model (admittingly doubling mileage with electronic engine management), but the driving feels the same, with the rear zig-zagging on each pothole ! Of course you get 300 HP for less than $20,000, looks and excellent 0-60 mph values, in comparison to European cars which for the same price have state-of-the-art design (4 valves per cylinder, turbo/turbo diesel/TDI, dual overhead camshaft, independent suspension with double arms, ABS, ESP..) but only 100 HP and poor acceleration (but again more than double mileage). Porsches 911 are also directly related to the 1963 model and even to the pre-WWII beetle. I leave the analogy between Russian rockets and European (or American ones) to the reader : think cryogenics, electronics, etc.

      --
      Google passes Turing test : see my journal
    5. Re:Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The rockets are not 50 year old technology. The physics behind them is. (Actually more like 12 billion years old.)

      When you build a rocket you want a small cross section to decrease aerodynamic pressure (wind resistance for you and me). You need a fair bit of fuel. Hence tall and narrow.

      You want engines at the bottom. If you put them on the top they'll push the wrong way and you get a rocket powered drill...

      You want the cargo at the top to simplify fuel plumbing and to allow for emergengy escape. You want the cargo module to have a conical top - again for wind resistance.

      Put all that together and you get a somehing that looks like a 4000-year-old Chinese firework rocket. Also looks like a V-2 or a Saturn V. That's just the way physics conspires to make rockets look like in a world with a thick atmosphere.

    6. Re:Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Well, lets see.

      The new capsule will be about the same size as the old, but will hold 4 to the moon and 6 to orbit (old was 3). The new moon lander will hold 4 for a month, the old one was 2 ppl for 2 weeks. None of this takes into account the rockets that have also improved.

      So yeah, this is very similar to your ford description.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    7. Re:Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ford had a DOHC V8 in 1948? Or you have no fucking clue what you're talking about?

      (Try finding a single non-trivial component on a modern Mustang or the water-cooled modern 911 that is the same as its 1963 version, retard, before you try posting as if you know something about cars again)

    8. Re:Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by afidel · · Score: 1

      Yeah....
      An all Aluminum block, three valve per cylinder, electonic fuel controlled, variable camshaft timed engine really has a lot in common with a cast iron, two valve, carborated, pushrod engine. Of course maybe that's your point =)

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    9. Re:Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by Idarubicin · · Score: 1
      I wonder how the Apollo astronauts would have reacted if the design of parts of their craft has been designed back in 1918?

      It's worth noting that the world's most popular passenger airliner, the Boeing 737, first flew commercially in 1968. Modern upgrades of the 737 are still being produced and sold for commercial and military service.

      If I were an astronaut, I might find something comforting about using technology that's been tested for forty or fifty years. If I'm building a moon base or going to Mars, I imagine that there will be lots of new technology and new equipment to test and to worry about; I'm willing to pass up gee-whiz on my launch vehicle as long as it's sturdy and reliable.

      --
      ~Idarubicin
    10. Re:Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by speleo · · Score: 1

      Have you ever driven a Model T Ford?

      It's a little different than today's cars. There's three pedals on the floor, two levers on the steering column, and a floor lever on the left.

      The floor lever is neutral while in the upright position, second gear when in the forward position while the leftmost pedal is not depressed, and emergency brake when all the way back.

      The leftmost pedal is first gear while depressed, second gear if the floor lever is forward when released. The middle pedal is reverse gear and the rightmost pedal is the brake. The right lever on the steering column is the throttle, and the left lever is the spark advance.

      But it does have a steering wheel and four tires.

    11. Re:Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

      You've got me thinking here.
      There is a small group of people who don't believe we got to the moon at all, I suspect this same group of people wouldn't believe we built the Saturn V if we just gave them pictures and a description of the technical spec.

      Would this vocal minority then not believe we were actually using any of this new tech needed at moon base/Mars if they couldn't see it with their own eyes.

      Is showing someone something on TV not enough? When all we see of these fabulous missions and great advancements is some launches that look remarkably like 1960s tech and some images on the TV that could have been faked in a studio will we not loose popular support.

      I believe this is a better approach than the current one, but I'm desperate to get the rest of the public behind this and worry that unless people see something from this we'll loose their support. How to get and keep this support i don't know, but the gee-wiz launch vehicle is pretty much all the public sees that doesn't look like something else they can see done 'better' on their screens.

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    12. Re:Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by snoig · · Score: 1

      Nasa state an intention to return to the moon by 2018 - by which time some of the underlying Apollo technology will have been around for 50 years. I wonder how the Apollo astronauts would have reacted if the design of parts of their craft has been designed back in 1918? Funny you mention 1918 because that was just about the time that Robert Goddard was designing the first liquid fueled rocket motor. Wikipedia Which first flew in 1926. So, the basic design of parts of some Apollo era technology were from around 1918.

    13. Re:Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by smithmc · · Score: 1

        Porsches 911 are also directly related to the 1963 model

      Enh, I think the straw that broke the camel's back was the switch to watercooling with the 996 model. The only things the current 911 shares with the original are the basic body shape and the drivetrain layout (and, of course, the fact that there is still no substitute ;-).

      --
      Downmodding is the refuge of the weak. Don't downmod, make a better argument!
    14. Re:Fifty year old technology.. hmmm.. by mortonda · · Score: 1

      Ack! There's got to be a lesson in interface design in there somewhere...

  15. Keep the budget even lower by panurge · · Score: 2, Funny
    By going back to older technology. Both H G Well and Jules Verne proposed methods of space exploration, one of which simply involved firing astronauts out of a giant cannon, and the other merely required the discovery of a simple anti-gravity material. Clearly all that is needed is a really strong cup of tea, a few dedicated scientists who don't get invited to parties, and NASA can stop messing around with those expensive and unreliable rockets.

    And, at the very least, we can stop wasting taxpayers'money on my-dick-is-bigger-than-yours space programs while the research is going on. Come on folks, we can't even organise ourselves on Earth to prevent avoidable damage from hurricanes and earthquakes, we can't agree on whether we are causing climate change by producing greenhouse gases, we are faced with an influenza pandemic that no-one really knows how to deal with, and we still have R&D money to spend on sending people to the moon and Mars?

    --
    Panurge has posted for the last time. Thanks for the positive moderations.
    1. Re:Keep the budget even lower by 1u3hr · · Score: 1
      Come on folks, we can't even organise ourselves on Earth to prevent avoidable damage from hurricanes and earthquakes, we can't agree on whether we are causing climate change by producing greenhouse gases, we are faced with an influenza pandemic that no-one really knows how to deal with, and we still have R&D money to spend on sending people to the moon and Mars?

      Taking money from NASA won't help any of that. There's plenty of pork barrels around that will absorb any spare cash. Why not look at larger items, for what you spend in Iraq in a week you could already have a a base on the lunar pole.

    2. Re:Keep the budget even lower by bsartist · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Come on folks, we can't even organise ourselves on Earth to prevent avoidable damage from hurricanes and earthquakes, we can't agree on whether we are causing climate change by producing greenhouse gases, we are faced with an influenza pandemic that no-one really knows how to deal with, and we still have R&D money to spend on sending people to the moon and Mars?

      The things you mention, and other unavoidable stuff like a massive meteor strike, are precisely the reason(s) we should be doing these things. Our goal shouldn't be to "simply" get to the Moon, or Mars. Our goal should be to establish a viable self-sufficient colony there that would ensure, should some catastrophy strike here on Earth that wipes out all life on the planet, the survival of the human species. Right now, all of humanity's eggs are in one basket, and as you've pointed out, that basket is looking more fragile by the day.

      --
      Lost: Sig, white with black letters. No collar. Reward if found!
    3. Re:Keep the budget even lower by raptor_87 · · Score: 1

      If you're going to reduce the budget, how about starting with a program that takes up a significant part of it? NASA is ~0.7%, last I checked.

    4. Re:Keep the budget even lower by Capt+James+McCarthy · · Score: 1

      And, at the very least, we can stop wasting taxpayers'money on my-dick-is-bigger-than-yours space programs while the research is going on. Come on folks, we can't even organise ourselves on Earth to prevent avoidable damage from hurricanes and earthquakes, we can't agree on whether we are causing climate change by producing greenhouse gases, we are faced with an influenza pandemic that no-one really knows how to deal with, and we still have R&D money to spend on sending people to the moon and Mars?

      News flash: There's _always_ going to be _scary_ things going on around the globe with unknowns attached. This sells magazines, newspapers, and TV ad time. It's more then just "sending people to the moon and Mars." It's about setting a goal that is "cool" to gain the interest of folks so R&D can potentially create new technology. We will have to leave this rock some day believe it or not. _That_ is the ultimate goal. Your worried about a flu bug that will kill a few million folks, when that could further the human race by having less of us around. Cold, you bet. Could it be me. Yep, I don't argue that one. But if the human race is to be around for the true long run, then space exploration is a need. The Sun will burn us up, then burn out someday.

      --
      There are no loopholes. It's either legal or it's not.
    5. Re:Keep the budget even lower by Rakshasa+Taisab · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Money isn't some magical thing that makes things appear out of thin air. If you don't spend R&D money on space or related areas you'll have alot of scientists and engineers doing the equivalent of flipping burgers.

      Or you could retrain them, but adding man-power doesn't nessesarily solve the problems very much faster.

      --
      - These characters were randomly selected.
    6. Re:Keep the budget even lower by Colourspace · · Score: 1

      I totally agree. No matter what, we need to be terraforming now..

    7. Re:Keep the budget even lower by crawling_chaos · · Score: 2, Interesting
      If you don't spend R&D money on space or related areas you'll have alot of scientists and engineers doing the equivalent of flipping burgers.

      Or maybe mad enough to take their experience in designing accurate and reliable missiles to the highest bidder. Wasn't that what we were worried about after the collapse of the Soviet Union?

      --
      You can only drink 30 or 40 glasses of beer a day, no matter how rich you are.
      -- Colonel Adolphus Busch
    8. Re:Keep the budget even lower by pipingguy · · Score: 1


      Our goal should be to establish a viable self-sufficient colony there that would ensure, should some catastrophy strike here on Earth that wipes out all life on the planet, the survival of the human species. Right now, all of humanity's eggs are in one basket, and as you've pointed out, that basket is looking more fragile by the day.

      Yeah, because of (relatively) anonymous posts on Slashdot I've come to agree with you. The possible elimination of the human race by a maybe meteor would be "a bad thing".

      We should send the blond, blue-eyed, well-built people first so that our race...oh, wait.

      I really hate it when the morons take it upon themselves to predict doom and gloom (15 generations into the future) and propose sci-fi solutions. This attitude tends to come from 15 years-olds who don't have a life yet.

    9. Re:Keep the budget even lower by haakondahl · · Score: 1

      Panurge: This is the second post wherein I've seen you pissing on the space program. I'm curious--is there an aspect of space science which you support? Last time, I called you an idiot, and you quite rightly called me on it. So I'm *just* asking. What would you find worth the money (and other impact) to accomplish regarding to space & science?

      --
      Don't trust anyone under thirty.
    10. Re:Keep the budget even lower by sco08y · · Score: 1

      Our goal should be to establish a viable self-sufficient colony

      If you're worried about any kind of calamity that renders Earth uninhabitable, what's the point of a leaving a few thousand people stranded on the moon?

      If it's a calamity that leaves Earth habitable after a few hundred years, Cold War style bunkers seem like they'd have a better ROI...

    11. Re:Keep the budget even lower by CmdrGravy · · Score: 1

      And with a lower bodycount. Please, this is not a troll but it puzzles me how the deaths of a couple of dozen astronauts can call our exploration of space into question but the deaths of 2000 soliders in Iraq does not call the entire military apparatus into question.

    12. Re:Keep the budget even lower by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to defend Bush going into Iraq (I don't), but if you cannot see the difference between the two cases you mentioned, there is something seriously wrong with your ability to think.

    13. Re:Keep the budget even lower by sandmaninator · · Score: 1, Interesting

      If there were dino-destroying size meteors; nuclear holocost; thousands of simultaneous earthquakes; and every active volcano blowing it's top - all on the same day - I would still prefer to be on earth than the moon. A bomb shelter (or abandoned mine) 2km down into bedrock would be a prefereable environment to the moon.

    14. Re:Keep the budget even lower by ZachPruckowski · · Score: 1

      Very true. The only sort of self-sustaining colony would be on a green planet. If the colonists can't hunt for their own food/water, they'll just die slower. Unless they can fly back to Earth and recolonize it before supplies run out (within a year at latest), they'll starve to death without a place to farm. And even then, can they land without mission control? If they land in the ocean, 15 miles from land, can they swim back?

    15. Re:Keep the budget even lower by 1u3hr · · Score: 1
      it puzzles me how the deaths of a couple of dozen astronauts can call our exploration of space into question but the deaths of 2000 soliders in Iraq does not call the entire military apparatus into question.

      Losing a few soldiers in Mogadishu was enough to make the US shy off peace-keeping for the next decade, allowing millions to die in Rwanda, for instance. The appetite for war and accepting sacrifice was only renewed after 9/11, with a palpable enemy to fight. (And I know al-Qaeda has no links to Iraq in reality, we're talking about the zeitgeist.) Similarly, risks were accepted in the original space race, as it was seen as part of the Cold War. If China, or even Europe, starts to lay claim to space, maybe the motivation will return.

    16. Re:Keep the budget even lower by CmdrGravy · · Score: 1

      How about you explain the difference to me then ?

  16. Not likely a "ploy" by Nuffsaid · · Score: 1

    While this is still at an early stage of development, the planning and decision process involved is surely too long and complex to downplay this decision as a mere ploy to recapture the hearts of the public. Talk about overpromising! You don't make a U-turn on everything you did in the last 20 years just to raise some empathy!

    --
    Nuffsaid
    ________

    Don't know about his cat, but Schroedinger is definitely dead.
  17. Scraping Shuttle? Old capsules? Nope! by Saggi · · Score: 5, Informative

    The shuttle was never build for lunar travel. It is important to understand that different spaceships are used for different tasks. The shuttle is used to bring cargo up to (low) altitude, while escaping the earth gravity completely and going to the moon (or mars) is a completely different story.

    You might carry a Luna space ship into orbit with the shuttle, but then you will just be carrying a spaceship within a spaceship. That would be a waste of fuel.

    The shuttle is only good if you wish to bring stuff back down with you. In that regard you might have used it on returning to the earth. The returning spaceship could dock with the space station and transfer men and cargo to the shuttle for safe landing. But that's only saves the weight of a single heat shield.

    So dropping the shuttle for a Luna and mars mission is the obvious choice. A lot of comments will be made in regard to "return to the old capsules". But this is not really relevant. The "old" capsules were a good design. The engineers for the first Luna expedition did a lot of thinking and testing before going there, so it's a good design. To come up with something new, just for the case of "making something new" would be stupid.

    But these new capsules are not old! They use a new propellant, to prepare them for the mars expedition. And as the old Luna Lander had computer power equivalent to a modern average car, I'll expect the new ones will be far more advanced.

    This is the same case in regards to the boosters. These are actually based on the Shuttle engines and lifters. So the engines are the same, even thou the exterior is not. And these boosters are far more advanced than the old ones as well.

    So scraping the Shuttle and returning to the old capsules?
    Not true.

    --
    -:) Oh no - not again.
    www.rednebula.com
    1. Re:Scraping Shuttle? Old capsules? Nope! by Frans+Faase · · Score: 2, Informative
      The returning spaceship could dock with the space station and transfer men and cargo to the shuttle for safe landing. But that's only saves the weight of a single heat shield.

      A returning space ship would also need to brake before it could dock with a space station because it is very likely that it will approach earth at a much higher speed than the speed at which space station turns around the world. And for braking (outside the atmosphere) requires fuel. And that is not even taking into account the fact that the orbit of the approaching space station needs to be "aligned". Extra fuel might be needed for this as well.

    2. Re:Scraping Shuttle? Old capsules? Nope! by luzr · · Score: 1

      > And as the old Luna Lander had computer power equivalent to a modern average > car, I'll expect the new ones will be far more advanced. Actually, it had computer power equivalent to a 15 years old car. Computer equivalent of modern car were those IBM360 mainfraimes that were used down on the Earth to support the mission.

    3. Re:Scraping Shuttle? Old capsules? Nope! by RosenSama · · Score: 1
      while escaping the earth gravity completely and going to the moon
      The moon is not completely out of significant Earth gravity as that's what keeps it orbitting Earth.
    4. Re:Scraping Shuttle? Old capsules? Nope! by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 1

      Actually computer power in space has turned out to be a real problem. Modern, smaller CPU's and RAM's are vulnerable to radiation damage, which can both flip bits at a startling rate and can permanently damage small electronics. The very shielding which might protect against such damage itself becomes radioactive over time. Large masses of very simple shielding, such as water, may help reduce the damage and be easily layered to dissipate the radioactive layers first, but the tanks themselves will become irradiated by cosmic radiation.

      The problem was first well documented back in the 1960's and 1970's during the first launches, when portable computer power used far more robust core memories, and has never been really solved. Radiation-hardened electronics tend to be deliberately bulky old technologies, thus resistant to such radiation damage.

    5. Re:Scraping Shuttle? Old capsules? Nope! by Ayaress · · Score: 1

      Actually, the article doesn't just talk about lunar missions. It also says that the crew launcher would be used to take astronauts to the ISS, and that the larger payload launcher (Which can launch a payload larger than the combined weight of the shuttle and its maximum payload) would take over for large orbital launches, such as ISS components. Which makes a lot of sense - if you look at the "dream vision" of the ISS in completion, it has parts too large to carry up in the shuttle.

    6. Re:Scraping Shuttle? Old capsules? Nope! by schematix · · Score: 2, Interesting
      And that is not even taking into account the fact that the orbit of the approaching space station needs to be "aligned". Extra fuel might be needed for this as well.

      The alignment could likely be done with control moment gyroscopes that are powered by solar energy. However you raise a good point that it will take a lot of energy to slow the craft down from cruising speed to re-entry speed.

      --
      Scott
  18. Not a ploy... for once by benjamindees · · Score: 4, Informative

    As much as I'd like to think "ploy", they probably are onto something.

    If you think about automobiles, for instance, the most efficient configuration seems to be a combination of small passenger cars and large semi-trucks. The shuttle was basically an SUV: high maintenance, high cost, low gas mileage and range, and not big enough for truly heavy lifting. It was popular because it fit into the American one-size-fits-all independent mentality.

    But the shuttle was also part of a natural evolution. We started out driving a Pinto. We had newfound freedom, but little useful to do with it. To take the next step required a vehicle capable of doing some serious work. But we couldn't afford to go from a Pinto to a Mack Truck. That would've been too expensive, and risky. Instead, we got a Suburban, and used it as a daily-driver, as well as for some backyard projects. The insurance was less than having two autos. There was some maintenance, but we could do it ourselves, without an expensive mechanic.

    Now, though, we can afford both the Mercedes and the F-350 flatbed. We have a legitimate use for each. Eventually, we may need the equivalent of a subway car, and a Greyhound bus, and a bullet train. But even here on Earth we have lots of different ways to get around, each optimized for a specific task. We shouldn't be surprised that space is no different.

    --
    "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    1. Re:Not a ploy... for once by necro81 · · Score: 1

      Now, though, we can afford both the Mercedes and the F-350 flatbed.

      I just hope that we don't end up with some sort of kludge for each of these: more like a Corvair and Scion xB!

  19. 'Bout Time! by Zen+Punk · · Score: 5, Funny

    We're returning to rockets, you say?

    Well it's about damn time. I'm sure it'll beat the pants off all those rubber bands we've been using in the mean time...

    --
    Sleep is futile.
  20. Safer design by zenst · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Having 1 thruster active with directional nossels is safer than two either side as per the shuttle design. As if one booster/rocket fails on the shuttle you would lose directional control.

    If one thuster fails on a standard rocket then you end up without it going anywere.

    Now a normal rocket also offerers better stremlining and as such less fuel needs over the larger front surface profile of the shuttle.

    Also the possiblities of having the top command capsule capable of having a seperate jetison detach rocket and parachute landing system incase of failure enabling the crew to for all effect eject and and be recovered does seen alot more viable over any modification to the shuttle design.

    So basicly it will be cheaper/simpler/safer and for some....sexier.

    Now what I would like to see is a way to send all the old space junk into a pile or crashing onto the moon ready for one day when we do eventualy go back and stay there. Scrap metal/floating space junk is afterall probably the bestest concentrated form of resource up there at the moment that is already past the hurdle for getting to the moon with regards to breaking out of earth's gravity.

    1. Re:Safer design by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If one thuster fails on a standard rocket then you end up without it going anywere. Except down :)

    2. Re:Safer design by amightywind · · Score: 1

      Having 1 thruster active with directional nossels is safer than two either side as per the shuttle design. As if one booster/rocket fails on the shuttle you would lose directional control.

      There is nothing safe about an unplanned shutdown at hypersonic speeds. With two SRB's is it not likely either will stop burning until they have consumed all of their fuel anyway. SRBs are a very useful method for hefting a large rocket out of the atmosphere where its high Isp engines can do the most good.

      --
      an ill wind that blows no good
    3. Re:Safer design by xnot · · Score: 1
      So basicly it will be cheaper/simpler/safer and for some....sexier.

      Ob Austin Powers :-)

      Radar Operator: Colonel, you better have a look at this radar.
      Colonel: What is it, son?
      Radar Operator: I don't know, sir, but it looks like a giant--
      Jet Pilot: Dick! Dick, take a look out of starboard.
      Co-Pilot: Oh my God, it looks like a huge--
      Bird-Watching Woman: Pecker!
      Bird-Watching Man: [raising binoculars] Where?
      Bird-Watching Woman: Over there. What sort of bird is that? Oh goodness, it's not a bird, it's--
      Army Sergeant: Privates! We have reports of an Unidentified Flying Object. It has a long, smooth shaft, complete with--
      Baseball Umpire: Two balls! [looking up from game] What is that? It looks just like an enormous--
      Colonel: Johnson!
      Radar Operator: Yes, sir?
      Colonel: Get on the horn to British Intelligence and let them know about this.

  21. This is bullshit by nighty5 · · Score: 2, Funny

    The centerpiece of this system is a new spacecraft designed to carry four astronauts to and from the moon

    We want battle star destroyer size ships, capable of shuttling thousands of troops, citizens and refugees between orbits.

    No horsing around now, why is NASA peddling "four astronauts" when they could be rock'n roll troopers like those of Star Wars and Battlestar Galatica?

    1. Re:This is bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      No horsing around now, why is NASA peddling "four astronauts" when they could be rock'n roll troopers like those of Star Wars and Battlestar Galatica?


      I'm sorry to break your dream world, but those ships in Battlestar Galactica... they weren't real. Not everything you see in movies and television is real. Most of this stuff is just special effects. See here:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special_effects Yeah, I know, man! I just understood this myself a week ago! It's all hoax! The stuff Nasa does... however, is mostly real. Moon landing however...

    2. Re:This is bullshit by Gnutte · · Score: 1

      "The centerpiece of this system is a new spacecraft designed to carry four astronauts to and from the moon "

      We want battle star destroyer size ships, capable of shuttling thousands of troops, citizens and refugees between orbits.


      This is however a very big increase. The capacity is doubled! From two to four. If we would double the capacity every 15 years we will have battle star destroyers with over 1000 persons in orbit within 150 years.

      It took the flight industry about 80 years to go from 1-2 person flights to the several hundreds of today.

  22. Thanks for the tardiness by ctetc007 · · Score: 0, Troll

    This is very old news. It came out almost 2 months ago.

  23. dead as a doornail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    as i recall, the composite fuel tank had a variety of serious problems, so they planned to replace it with an aluminum one temporarily, and that threw all the the fight test cases back into areas that have already been significantly researched:

    http://spaceflightnow.com/news/n0103/01x33/index2. html

    Hence, funding was cut with a lot of construction already done (infrastructure for launch, vehicles nearing test, etc.)

    So, yes, it has gone into the black hole.

  24. ion engines by StarKruzr · · Score: 1

    Could you use some extremely high-power energy source to get high amounts of thrust with an ion engine? Say, a nuclear reactor?

    --

    +++ATH0
    1. Re:ion engines by heavy+snowfall · · Score: 1

      "In the future it may be feasible to build nuclear fission reactors that can achieve multi-gigawatt electric power levels."

      Sounds interesting... I salivate at the thought of efficient exploration of the solar system.... :)

    2. Re:ion engines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There're physical reasons limiting the thrust ratio of an ion power engine... it can be really efficient, but never come even near to allow for high acclelerations, whatever the power you put in.
      As you've to push ions in an already full of ions region, and as you can't drive the voltage gradient up in an unlimited way (it will start to arc between grids even in vacuum), you can't achieve high thrust (as the thrust upper limit is proportional to the cross-section area of the grid and the square root of the voltage gradient across the grid.

    3. Re:ion engines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ion engines only work in a vacuum -- they're orders of magnitude away from providing enough thrust to get out of the earth's gravity well. It's a fascinating technology that would be almost completely useless except for the fact that it lets you get more thrust per gram of propellant than you otherwise would. They're a way of saving weight, not a way to get into orbit (or get anywhere quickly).

    4. Re:ion engines by phlegmofdiscontent · · Score: 1

      Actually, NASA's Prometheus project does just that. They seek to combine a nuclear reactor with an ion engine. The result is more thrust and more power to do some really cool science once they get to where they're going. I had hoped the Jupiter Icy Moons Orbiter would be the testbed, but that's been cancelled/postponed.

    5. Re:ion engines by StarKruzr · · Score: 1

      I thought Prometheus was essentially a nuclear rocket?

      Guess I'm thinking of something else.

      --

      +++ATH0
  25. Private sector.... by kg4czo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I can't wait for the private sector comes up with a reusable space craft that's more fuel and cost efficient than anything NASA can come up with. There seems to be too much red-tape and not enough budget for NASA to be able to do anything significant anymore.

    That aside, I remember watching the first televised shuttle launch. I held my breath when it took off, and then watched in awe as it landed some week or two later. It was a sense of something great. It's a pretty good bet I most likely won't feel the same about these new rockets. It feels too much of 4 steps back to me....

    1. Re:Private sector.... by raptor_87 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Private companies like Lockheed-Martin or Boeing? Yeah, The Atlas V and Delta 4 cheaper, but not by *that* much. The cheapest boosters are quasi-government (Russian, specifically. Although the Ukranian Zenits shouldn't be all that expensive). And rather good (The Soyuz booster is perhaps the most reliable on the planet). There's also a reason why Zenits and Atlas IIIs and Vs use Energia derived hardware. As far as fuel efficency goes, SSMEs are some of the best (chemical) engines out there.

    2. Re:Private sector.... by ultranova · · Score: 1

      I can't wait for the private sector comes up with a reusable space craft that's more fuel and cost efficient than anything NASA can come up with. There seems to be too much red-tape and not enough budget for NASA to be able to do anything significant anymore.

      Oh, it is relatively simple to build a cost-efficient spacecraft. Just buy an old submarine nuclear reactor from Russia, connect the power output to an ion engine, and but the combo into a flying wing design. If you can feed the ion engine enough power to get over 1G of acceleration, you can just fly the thing up from an airport and keep on accelerating in straight line (which, from the ground, makes it seem like you were curving up - in reality, the ground is curving down) until you reach the orbital speed. Then, when you want to land, bring the wing into a stop in orbit and use the engine to hover down slowly with none of this silly idea of coming down in a blazing fireball; when you are low enough, tip the nose down, let it drop and the wings will catch air, allowing you to land normally.

      Even if you can't build ion engines capable of over 1G of acceleration, you can still build a lot more fuel-efficient and ecological rocket when the reaction mass (the mass that gets pushed backwards to make the rocket go forward) doesn't need to act as energy source too.

      The key point here is the part about "nuclear reactor". Chemical fuel for space travel is never going to be cheap or safe. It just doesn't have the neccessary energy density. You require a lot of it, which leads to enormous - meaning heavy and complex - fuel tanks. With chemical rockets, space travel is not far from the ancient tale about a chinese man who strapped firecrackers to his bamboo chair to fly to space, with obvious consequences.

      But, of course, if a nuclear spacecraft crashes, it spreads nuclear waste. That risk can be almost completely eliminated by performing launches and re-insertions at some remote enough locale (some uninhabited island, or perhaps by building a floating airfield - small enough craft could propably launch from a carrier), but it's still quite unlikely that anyone would be allowed to build and operate such a craft.

      So, it seems to me that future of space travel lies in fusion research.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    3. Re:Private sector.... by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      I can't wait for the private sector comes up with a reusable space craft that's more fuel and cost efficient than anything NASA can come up with.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX

  26. Re:Dear nathanh, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And exactly who the fuck are you to talk - Von Braun's ghost?

    You are right about one thing - I DON'T care what you think.

    Blow Me.

  27. Dr Who predicted this.. by wolverine1999 · · Score: 1

    Way back in the 2nd Doctor era of Doctor Who, one of the episodes set in the future depicted an earth where rockets were obsolete, and then they had to be brought back into service and improved.

    1. Re:Dr Who predicted this.. by DarthWiggle · · Score: 1

      Much like Dr. Who..

    2. Re:Dr Who predicted this.. by wolverine1999 · · Score: 1

      Precisely, and the new version is "fantastic", like Christopher Eccleston who played the 9th Doctor, would say on the show..

  28. Why not use stronger engines? by slashjunkie · · Score: 0, Informative

    Russian engines have had greater lifting power for many years, and Russian-developed RD-180 (around 4000kN) engines are made by Pratt & Whitney for Atlas V launches. Compare this to the SSME (Space Shuttle Main Engine) at about 2000kN, and it makes me curious why they don't opt for a proven, heavy-lifting engine like the RD-180 (at least for the cargo lifter).

  29. Russian Philosophy by Analogy+Man · · Score: 4, Insightful
    This is actually the Russian's style. We American's always believe we can do something better, so for each major space program they start with a clean sheet of paper and come up with a design that is bigger, better, faster...

    On the other hand, once the Russians solve a problem they reuse the design. The engines used for the boosters that launched Sputnic were fundamentally the same as those used for every subsequent vehicle for decades. Need more thrust, add more engines. If it ain't broke don't fix it.

    --
    When the people fear their government, there is tyranny; when the government fears the people, there is liberty.
    1. Re:Russian Philosophy by Packet+Pusher · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You mean like the N1. http://www.aerospaceweb.org/question/spacecraft/q0 196.shtml "Though seemingly more complex, the Soviets believed this approach could be developed more quickly than Apollo and would allow them to beat the Americans by making the first lunar landing as early as September 1968. However, this plan turned out to be woefully optimistic. While some blame rests on the LK and LOK vehicles whose designs fell behind schedule, the ultimate failure of the Soviet manned lunar program rests squarely on the N1. At least nine examples of this enormous rocket were completed and four were launched on unmanned test flights. Unfortunately, all four failed in spectacular fashion."

    2. Re:Russian Philosophy by slashjunkie · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I guess the Russians must have figured out what they were doing wrong then, when they built the RD-180 (http://www.spaceandtech.com/spacedata/engines/rd1 80_sum.shtml) and licensed it to Pratt & Whitney to be used for Atlas V, US military launches.

    3. Re:Russian Philosophy by birge · · Score: 1

      May have had something to do with the fact that the Russians had no money. Also, where is their space program, now?

    4. Re:Russian Philosophy by Chanc_Gorkon · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The N1 was incredibly unstable and very complex BECAUSE of all of the engines. Sometimes the NASA approach works better. Also, if I remember right, the USSR used only one vehicle rather then a separate CSM and LEM like the US did. This made the man vehicle very heavy because it had to have everything including the engine capable of deorbiting the moon and for the course back to Earth. The engines and the much bigger vehicle was ultimately what did the N1 in. The first stage of the N1 had 30 engines! Invariably, a good chunk of the engines would not fire. NASA took the N+1 approach with at least the first stage....the first stage could achieve Earth orbit with only 4 engines, but it had 5 and fired 5, yet they were throttled down. If one failed, raise the throttle on the remaining 4 and you still made it to orbit.

      --

      Gorkman

    5. Re:Russian Philosophy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rigth now? In space, doing what the American space program seems incapable of, keeping the ISS supplied and crewed.

    6. Re:Russian Philosophy by elrous0 · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Also, where is their space program, now?

      Ferrying U.S. astronauts into space aboard much safer rockets.

      -Eric

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    7. Re:Russian Philosophy by igny · · Score: 1

      Interestingly enough, exactly 45 years ago, October 24, 1960, the Nedelin catastrophe occured in Russia. A rocket exploded on the launch pad, killing some 100+ people, including Marshal Nedelin.

      --
      In theory there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is. - Yogi Berra
    8. Re:Russian Philosophy by Analogy+Man · · Score: 1

      I have heard interviews from NASA astronauts that have the utmost respect for the Russians. They have experience operating in space over the long haul (e.g. Mir) where they don't have the option of a complete overhaul every 4-7 days of operation like the shuttle. It is a completely different mode of thinking.

      --
      When the people fear their government, there is tyranny; when the government fears the people, there is liberty.
    9. Re:Russian Philosophy by rsynnott · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not quite right. The Russian heavy-lifter, Proton (and variants) is a very different rocket again. And the Energia booster was different again (the Atlas V is a derivative). And the new Angara booster? Different again.

      --
      Me (Blog)
    10. Re:Russian Philosophy by rsynnott · · Score: 1

      Of course, there were at least three Russian approaches to that problem, which was part of their problem. There was the N-1, the circumlunar Proton-launched Zond (never intended to land), a design consisting of engine blocks launched and docked with a lunar Soyuz, and of course the crazily huge UR-700 Vulkan (a Proton derivative, not the same as the Energia Vulkan, another super-heavy lifter). Construction of all of these was started, the N-1 and Zond were completed and tested (explosively for the N-1, psuedo-successfully for the Zond).

      --
      Me (Blog)
    11. Re:Russian Philosophy by birge · · Score: 0, Troll
      Safer? Debatable. Even with our recent crashes, I'm pretty sure we've still killed fewer astronauts then them. Cheaper is really the main point. They haven't advanced much, and the same criticisms applied to the US program not gaining ground can be applied to them in spades, with the sole exception of cost. The Russians aren't sending stuff outside orbit like the US mars probes, and they really have no future as a space program except as cargo movers to low orbit.

      You could probably argue they had more engineering talent. I'm just arguing they really didn't have a philosophy so much as constraints and less ambitious goals. Chiding the US for doing something that was, in retrospect, biting off too much is unfair. Nobody should be too smug about the failure of somebody who bit off too much. We are where we are because of such people (and their occasional failures).

    12. Re:Russian Philosophy by fredmosby · · Score: 1

      The U.S. started work on the F-1 (the large rocket engine used in the first stage) 10 years before the the first launch. They'd also already used the third stage of the Saturn 5 in the Saturn 1B. And the second stage was just an enlarged version of the third stage. In contrast all the development work for the N-1 started just 5 years before the first test launch, and the N-1 didn't re-use any of the technology from the older russian rockets. I'd say NASA did things the Russian way and Russia did things the NASA way.

    13. Re:Russian Philosophy by Rakishi · · Score: 2, Interesting

      While they don't send up as many people they haven't lost one on the Soyuz since the 70s (and one of those failures resulted in the capsule landing fine although a pressure valve problem led to the people dying before landing). How many did we lose with the shuttles at regular intervals again?

      Now the Soyuz program is filled with a way too many near-failures and non-lethal failures including sever injuries however no one died. In the shuttle, a near failure is the same as a failure it seems. The newest generation of the Soyuz doesn't seem to have many problems at all.

      As for raw numbers overall, the soviets officially lost 4 people while the US lost 17 to 18. Add a few more for the ones the soviets may have hidden and the soviets still lost less people, although they didn't send as many up.

      So yes, their simpler design is much safer it seems especially if designed and used with a decent budget.

      The Russians aren't sending stuff outside orbit like the US mars probes, and they really have no future as a space program except as cargo movers to low orbit.

      Which is the only area which may have potential in the near future, and the only one with commercial applications. It's also the one which everything else will rely on.

  30. Figure... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Using the same 1960 technologies to get back to the moon?
    Why not fixing the shuttle design and finish ISS?
    Is ISS going to waste?

    Somehow, I knew we wouldnt finish ISS

  31. They've had their ups & downs... by Hecateus · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Uppers, downers, now steroids be astronaughty stuff. :o

  32. Back to the moon to do what? by drgonzo59 · · Score: 1

    What are going to do on the moon once we get there? Impress little kids and convince people how great we are - a sort of a glucose shot to spike up national self esteem that will last about a month or so?
    As far as public support, people already stopped caring around the 3rd Apollo moon landing. What do you think is going to make them "ooh" and "aah" again about the moon landings so they will run to their Congressman and petition them to vote for more NASA funding?

    1. Re:Back to the moon to do what? by Musteval · · Score: 1

      The fact that it's been thirty years since the last one, not one or two? I know I want to see a moon landing in color, anyway.

      --
      Note to mods: I'm probably being sarcastic.
    2. Re:Back to the moon to do what? by The+Wooden+Badger · · Score: 1

      A modern Moon shot is to prepare for a Mars shot. Then there is the other more obvious reason. To rape the pristine (never mind all the unsightly craters) moonscape for all the natural resources that abound there. I hear there's a HUGE oil reserve under the Sea of Tranquility.

      --
      Heroscape, it's like legos combined with anachronistic wargames.
    3. Re:Back to the moon to do what? by drgonzo59 · · Score: 1

      Shhh...don't tell Bush that ;)

    4. Re:Back to the moon to do what? by malkavian · · Score: 1

      Ok, from the article:
      There's said to be ice on the moon's south pole (water ice). This means you can have a self sustaining colony much easier.
      This gives hydrogen, and oxygen that are excellent propellants.
      There are also likely other volatiles such as frozen methane lurking around. This will enable you to launch intra system vehicles much more efficiently than trying to escape Earth's gravity well, without the pollution associated with that Earth launch.
      This outpost will make it far more feasible to launch prospecting missions to the near asteroids, and possibly eventually provide a far better drop off point for raw materials gleaned from those asteroids.
      Near term, it's simply easier for those intra system flights to mars. Long term, it's an excellent trading post from possible asteroid mining ventures.
      And the asteroids have a mineral wealth that makes all the resources of the earth look positively frugal.

      Getting off this planet is pretty much an essential point for the growth of humanity as a whole. The moon makes an excellent kindergarten for our further expansion.

    5. Re:Back to the moon to do what? by maxpublic · · Score: 1

      Getting off this planet is pretty much an essential point for the growth of humanity as a whole.

      What precisely does this mumbo-jumbo mean? The "growth of humanity as a whole"??? What exactly do we accomplish by "getting of this planet" that benefits us in some sense that constitutes your definition of "growth"?

      Max

      --
      My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
    6. Re:Back to the moon to do what? by Hrvat · · Score: 1

      Probably opening up a whole new line of large scale scientfic research previously impossible due to Earth's gravity/atmosphere. For example a set of crucial immunity genes do not turn on in a simulated microgravity environment. This alone could lead to new areas of research.
      Another benefit of getting into space would be new mineral sources that could be exploited, first the moon, then the asteroid field.
      I seriously doubt that humanity will ever see any extra-solar space travel however since that would require either certain technologies that are beyond the scope of current science or giant self sustaining arcships which, while theoretically possible, are beyond our technical abilities and probably would never be feasible.

      --
      TANSTAAFL
    7. Re:Back to the moon to do what? by malkavian · · Score: 1

      It means lots of things.
      1) We need more resources, as the earthbound ones are not finite.
      2) We need colonies off planet if we're going to more easily survive an extinction event (meteor, huge volcanic activity, so on, so forth).
      3) The race as a whole needs space to expand in. That's why colonisation of the world was such a bloody affair, and may well become so again unless we have anew frontier to race for.

      You remind me a whole lot of some of the texts that were appearing in the 1300s, and 1400s when explorers were heading out to discover new parts of the globe (or at least parts the Europeans didn't know about, and hadn't been).
      There were a lot of people saying "What do we need that for. No gain. Nothing out there interesting.".
      Oddly, America was one of those "unintersting" discoveries, which to my eyes, refutes the naysayers of the time.
      If we go out there, we at least get the mineral wealth of asteriods easily in reach, and cost effective, perhaps kickstarting research in propulsion leading to a solar system wide civilisation (or more).
      If we don't, it'll be easy to keep saying "No point, don't bother..", but you'll never know. Until Earth, as happens from time to time, has a large asteroid impact and/or huge volcano erruption sending life back to the stone age.
      At which point it's not a question that'll be asked for a long time. If ever.

  33. How will they get back again? by mikehunt · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's all very well getting to Mars, but how can they possibly get back again?

    1. Re:How will they get back again? by Jarnin · · Score: 3, Interesting

      When you take a long road trip, how do you get back? You don't carry hundreds of gallons of fuel in your car, you fill up when you need to. Same idea with the Mars mission; you send a bunch automated chemical equipment to Mars, and it makes fuel out of CO2 and Hydrogen. When the astronauts get to Mars, they have their own filling station in order to get them back home.

    2. Re:How will they get back again? by m50d · · Score: 1

      That's why it needs so much effort. If you just want to go to mars, grab yourself a Titan IV upper stage for the earth-mars transfer (in fact, if you don't have to worry about taking enough fuel to get back you could use a faster non-hohman trajectory and save on food and oxygen) and stick it on just about anything (I think even a Falcon V would do) and shoot yourself off there.

      --
      I am trolling
  34. Cheap and sloppy is more effective. by MikeFM · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I think cheap is better than gee-whiz perfection when it comes to highly experimental projects like space exploration. First what we should work on is sending unmanned packages into space on the ultra-cheap. So cheap that we can send thousands of such packages up if we want to. Ideally these packages would be able to not only get out of our atmosphere but also to self navigate and land on the moon. Then we could build experimental machines designed to study the moon and prepare it for mankind by burrowing out air-tight caves big enough to contain a moon base and maybe even organizing all that material bored out into something that'd be useful for astronauts when they get there. What we want is to send cheap machines up that can put into place everything we'll need to live there. If each machine is cheap enough to make and deliver then we can replace those which fall short of our goals or that fail. Trying to make expensive fail proof machines that are even more expensive to deliver is a sure way to put off getting there until the end of the century. Using cheaper machines and delivery we should be able to get there in the next decade.

    As much as people might hate to hear it I'd cut corners on manned space vehicles too although not near as many corners. Exploration has always been a dangerous business. Let the bold take their chances and reap their rewards. Open being an astronaut to anyone that passes a basic phsyical and psych test and whom might be able to do something useful. Honestly we're going to need to send up some cheap manual labor. If 1 in 3 ships doesn't make it it really doesn't matter if the people going are replacable and the ship itself didn't cost much. Hell, fall back to the old system of taking recruits among prisions and the poor. It may be dangerous but it gives them a chance at a new life. Always exploration has been a chance for those with nothing to lose to risk everything for that chance. Do it again.

    In the longer view I think the space elevator is going to be the delivery mechanism for the masses but for now ultra-cheap rockets is a good idea. The cheaper the better so long as they can still get the job done at a rate faster than what we're doing now. (Wasn't there a story recently on rockets that need 1/10th the fuel for the same lift? which means carrying less fuel weight which means needing less than 1/10th the amount of fuel to achieve the same work.)

    Caution will not win us new frontiers. Let man go where no man has gone before.

    --
    At what price learning? At what cost wisdom? The price is a man's peace of mind, and the cost is his life.
    1. Re:Cheap and sloppy is more effective. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Hell, fall back to the old system of taking recruits among prisions and the poor. It may be dangerous but it gives them a chance at a new life. Always exploration has been a chance for those with nothing to lose to risk everything for that chance. Do it again."

      didnt Blizzard make a game based on that?

    2. Re:Cheap and sloppy is more effective. by LPrecure · · Score: 1

      I'm also thinking that if the mission is a lunar colony (and it's certainly my goal, with Space Colonization as the next goal.) then we need the ability to deliver unmanned cargo modules to Moonbase Alpha (or whatever it's called.)

      For one reason, any lunar base will have to be delivered in pieces and assembled on-site, or you need to deliver enough machinery with enough brains to build the place out of on-site materials. (I'd feel a lot more comfortable with the idea of a few "mobile homes. Hopefully with enough redundancy for emergencies.) And once you put people there, then they're going to need a lot of re-supply.

      I'm thinking a good working target would be the ability to deliver a standard terrestrial cargo container, unmanned, with pretty good accuracy. (Most likely, with the ability to literally land on a target or beacon that would be delivered first.) You might be able to make it work with more, smaller modules, but I'd think that if your modules are much smaller than half the size of a cargo container then your base is going to be made up of way too many small, connected pieces.

      (Another thing you then need is some kind of a 'dozer, that can be launched inside one of the containers, and which, after deployment, has the ability to move a loaded container. I wouldn't be surprised if one of the first modules would be the "dozer garage", which would have the ability to recharge the dozer.)

    3. Re:Cheap and sloppy is more effective. by emilper · · Score: 1
      http://www.spaceref.com/news/viewsr.html?pid=18460

      "This is an action by Space Exploration Technologies Corporation ("SpaceX") against the Boeing Company and Lockheed Martin Corporation for violations of antitrust, unfair competition and racketeering laws."

      Maybe we'll see cheap rockets soon ... otherwise there will be some ugly "negociations" between US and China on who can say what the next New World Order will be ...

    4. Re:Cheap and sloppy is more effective. by MikeFM · · Score: 1

      Exactly why we should be looking seriously at putting a moonbase up this decade and not by the end of the century. If we don't then someone else will. I'd rather it be a democratic nation. I don't really want man's first reach into colonizing space to be by those who don't respect personal freedom.

      --
      At what price learning? At what cost wisdom? The price is a man's peace of mind, and the cost is his life.
  35. Flying cars by jurt1235 · · Score: 1

    The flying cars are around, you just have to attach the right engine on yours. Somewhere in the small print in the manual it says:
    To make this car your 2001 model flying car, attach one space shuttle booster to the bottom of the car and ignite the booster by starting your car. (Electrical wiring is sold seperately from the booster and the car)

    --

    My wife's sketchblog Blob[p]: Gastrono-me
  36. hypersonics... by Falcon040 · · Score: 1

    Yeah, in particular, whatever happened to hypersonic engines as the first stage?
    The first stage could tranfer a large load to about a 20km height at Mach 8 then off you go from there. Or something along those lines, including a combined hypersonics and rocket vehicle.

  37. Survival of what? by panurge · · Score: 0
    I should have added to my list of things we can't fix yet "adequate space collision defense shield". We could surely do that without sending humans into space.

    But I don't agree with you about colonies. There is no particular reason why we more than any other lifeform especially deserves to survive as a species. However, the idea that a small number of us might preserve our genes by going to some other rock in case the Earth gets it seems to me like pure science fiction. The human race isn't just a collection of genes. It's civil societies and the artefacts they create, including ideas. Surely it's worth putting more effort into protecting those? A few people living in an artificial environment on Mars at huge expense is no substitute for New York, or Venice, or the English Lakes, or any of the other threatened places of the Earth. (FI, I'm thinking of the risk of destruction of NY by tsunami, not terrorism).

    As for the other poster's comment that Nasa is 0.7% of federal budget, what proportion of R&D is it? In other words, what percentage of the best brains does it occupy on manned spaceflight? I'm suggesting scientific and engineering skills be focussed on the real problems.

    --
    Panurge has posted for the last time. Thanks for the positive moderations.
    1. Re:Survival of what? by maxpublic · · Score: 1

      There is no particular reason why we more than any other lifeform especially deserves to survive as a species.

      It's not about 'deserving' anything. Who gives a shit if some person or another thinks we do or do not 'deserve' to survive? The universe certainly doesn't care. The fact is that with the exception of a few arrogant little pissants who'd jump for joy if the entire race was wiped out, the rest of us are perfectly okay with working to ensure our long-term domination of this little planet.

      However, the idea that a small number of us might preserve our genes by going to some other rock in case the Earth gets it seems to me like pure science fiction.

      I agree. There are no other habitable planets in the system. Earth is it. We should be focusing all of our energies, if we're going to focus them at all, on preserving THIS particular ball of mud, instead of trying to make some other, much less hospitable rock a back-up home. So if a killer asteroid is discovered, for instance, we try to move it out of Earth's path rather than say "ah well, at least those boobs on Mars will survive."

      Me, being on Earth, could really give a flying fuck if the guys on Mars survive the catastrophe or not. I'm much, much more interested in making sure that my family and myself see the thing through intact.

      Surely it's worth putting more effort into protecting those? A few people living in an artificial environment on Mars at huge expense is no substitute for New York, or Venice, or the English Lakes, or any of the other threatened places of the Earth. (FI, I'm thinking of the risk of destruction of NY by tsunami, not terrorism).

      Spot-on. And it should be noted that any catastrophe so unavoidable that we couldn't stop it from destroying all life on Earth is probably something that would do Bad Things(TM) to other parts of the solar system as well - say, all of our solar models are wrong and the sun is going to expand precipitously in the next few years. In which case those guys on Mars are toast as well.

      Max

      --
      My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
    2. Re:Survival of what? by Fallingcow · · Score: 1

      There is no particular reason why we more than any other lifeform especially deserves to survive as a species.

      We "deserve" to because we are the only ones capable of preserving ourselves in that way, just like mammals "deserved" to become ascendant after the Cretaceous because they were better adapted to the new conditions than dinosaurs were.

      We "deserve" to because we can.

      However, the idea that a small number of us might preserve our genes by going to some other rock in case the Earth gets it seems to me like pure science fiction. The human race isn't just a collection of genes. It's civil societies and the artefacts they create, including ideas. Surely it's worth putting more effort into protecting those? A few people living in an artificial environment on Mars at huge expense is no substitute for New York, or Venice, or the English Lakes, or any of the other threatened places of the Earth.

      As far as ideas go, we can easily fit all of those on a single small spacecraft. Such is the wonder of technology.

      Great cities? We throw them away all the time in wars. They come and go. Carthage was crushed and depopulated, Baghdad, once the jewel of the world, is a shithole, Tokyo was burned, Dresden, Berlin, Stalingrad... they come back, or we rebuild somewhere else. The loss or decline of a city is sad, but not really that big a deal in terms of humanity as a whole. Whole civilizations disappear, and we go on.

      A large and self-sufficient colony could repopulate Earth in the event of a major disaster. They would rebuild the cities, just as we always have in the past.

      We are at a vulnerable time in what might be a very long species lifespan. Two things must be done to ensure long-term survival: the first is to establish a sizable colony on one of the other planets or moons. This will let us survive all but the most massive disasters in the Solar system. That will keep us safe while we learn and make progress toward colonization of other star systems. Once we're in other systems, we're set up to survive for billions and billions of years.

      We're talking about survival of the species here. If we stay here on Earth, we're probably limiting ourselves to a few million years. With a large off-world colony, we've upped our potential to a billion or so, maybe. I dunno, two at the outside, I'd guess. Once we're out of this system, we're in the clear, and can survive as long as this galaxy (maybe universe, if we ever get intergalactic travel down) can support us. Barring war with other intelligent life forms, the lifespan of our species nears that of the universe.

      Look at what we've done with just a few thousand years of progress, and how much faster that progress moves now; imagine what we could do with 100 billion years! You talk about preserving civilization, cities and such, but we have the potential, as a species, to plant our cities on worlds that we can only imagine now! To fail to realize that potential would be sadder than the loss of any city, or of any single civilization.

    3. Re:Survival of what? by Frank+T.+Lofaro+Jr. · · Score: 1

      We should put our faith in the Lord, not in ourselves.

      --
      Just because it CAN be done, doesn't mean it should!
    4. Re:Survival of what? by Fallingcow · · Score: 1

      Yes, I'm sure that if the dinosaurs had trusted in The Lord our God then they'd still be around. Obviously, that would have solved all of their problems.

      You *are* joking, right? Sorry if you are, my sarcasm detector might be broken.

    5. Re:Survival of what? by Frank+T.+Lofaro+Jr. · · Score: 1

      No I'm not.

      Why is not being an atheist considered a joke on Slashdot?

      God intends for us to survive, without having to flee to other planets.

      You going to talk about entropy and how the Earth, and us, will all cease to exist by necessity?

      If so, explain how the original order entered the Universe.

      --
      Just because it CAN be done, doesn't mean it should!
    6. Re:Survival of what? by Fallingcow · · Score: 1

      Why is not being an atheist considered a joke on Slashdot?

      I can't speak for all of Slashdot, but I don't consider theism a joke.

      Egregiously poor reasoning is a joke. No-one assumes that God is going to fill their bellies, do they? With no effort at all on their own part? Well, maybe some people have believed that at some time or another, but I'm sure that they all either changed their minds or died.

      We don't turn off the heat in the winter and say "don't worry, God will keep us warm", do we? No. We use heat and blankets, or we move to warmer climes. If we don't, we die.

      Why, then, would we look at a galaxy full of asteroids and comets and all kinds of other mean and nasty things, and historical viral pandemics, and all of the evidence that, on several occasions, massive numbers of species have died off simultaneously in what are apparently especially bad worldwide disasters, and say, "don't worry, God will save us"?

      God intends for us to survive, without having to flee to other planets.

      See, this is what I'm talking about. You not only know that God exists, and something about his nature (powerful enough to keep us alive in a harsh universe) but know that it is His will that our species survive without our having to put forth any special effort to save ourselves? Forgive me if I'm a bit incredulous. You see, there are all these other fellows with all these other ideas about what God is and what He wants us to do and how we may please Him, and they all claim monopoly on the truth, too. Whom do I trust? What, you've got a book that says you're right? Sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but so do they. So much for that, huh?

      Well, while I'm pondering which of these evidence-starved mutually-exclusive belief systems is the correct one, I think I'll hedge my bets and work to preserve the species. You know, just in case your particular "truth" turns out not to be the right one. No offense, really. I'm sure you understand.

      You going to talk about entropy and how the Earth, and us, will all cease to exist by necessity?

      If so, explain how the original order entered the Universe.


      As soon as you explain how God entered the Universe. Not created, was He? No, surely not. Can't just say He developed naturally from nothing, or that puts us right back where we started.

      Oh, I know! He always existed! And he's somehow outside the universe!

      Oops, we could just apply that (or a similar) argument to how order began and reduce by one level the complexity of our explaination for this phenomenon. As there's no evidence for either, neither should be taken as fact and the simpler should be used if an explaination is absolutely necessary for some reason.

      It's as if a person said "God created order, and God's God created God." As long as we're speculating, why have the second God be part of the explaination? And once we've got it down to one, why have that one, when we can just say "Order exists". No, it doesn't really give us any answers, but neither does "God did it", for reasons that should now be plain; in fact, that simply raises more questions.

  38. NASA is Finished by segedunum · · Score: 0, Troll

    Going back to rockets, in this day and age, after forty years is just ridiculous. I think it was universally accepted that the Saturn V and the Apollo modules were about as much as you could possibly lift into space via that method. It's also grossly expensive. The private companies and guys trying to get into space cheaply and efficiently are going to kick NASA all over on this. They shouldn't have even bothered with Apollo and continued the X-15 tests to get a more mobile vehicle into space.

    But of course, this could all be a cunning ploy to convince us that programs like Aurora do not exist, could not possibly exist and are not flying into space right now!

    1. Re:NASA is Finished by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But see, then the world would find out about the Stargate...

  39. Old designs better?? by J_Omega · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The old designs, and this one, are meant for completely different purposes.

    You don't use a dump truck to take a cross-country trip.

  40. Doop! by Cally · · Score: 2, Funny
    Sounds like an early 90s "men's fragrance" don't it? "Doop! For _men_..." http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=05/08/0 3/0221226&tid=236&tid=14 Nothing wrong with that, it's just nice to see an acknowledgement with a link to the previous story with "since we _last_discussed_ this topic, foo bar and whizz have happened".

    Then again, it wouldn't be slashdot without the screams of "doop!" :)

    --
    "None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free." -- Goethe
    1. Re:Doop! by elrous0 · · Score: 1
      Then again, it wouldn't be slashdot without the screams of "doop!"

      Actually, I think Zap Brannigan is actually slighly MORE competent than the current NASA leadership. But then, the the current leadership of FEMA has them BOTH beat, so that ain't saying much.

      -Eric

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    2. Re:Doop! by catdevnull · · Score: 1

      Any fragrance that rhymes with "poop" is probably not good.

      --

      I might know what I'm talkin' about, but then again, this is Slashdot...
  41. Still ignoring Feynman by threeturn · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Having read Richard Feynman's comments on the Shuttle report I am amazed they chose to use the Shuttle booster and the Shuttle main engine, both of which he specifically comments on. To quote:

    On the solid rocket booster: A more reasonable figure for [reliability of] the mature rockets might be 1 in 50. With special care in the selection of parts and in inspection, a figure of below 1 in 100 might be achieved but 1 in 1,000 is probably not attainable with today's technology.

    On the main engine: Engineers at Rocketdyne, the manufacturer, estimate the total probability [of shuttle main engine failure] as 1/10,000. Engineers at marshal estimate it as 1/300, while NASA management, to whom these engineers report, claims it is 1/100,000. An independent engineer consulting for NASA thought 1 or 2 per 100 a reasonable estimate

    So, how exactly does this make a safe, reliable launch system?

    1. Re:Still ignoring Feynman by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      With the shuttle, if the rocket explodes then everybody dies. With a design which places the crew capsule at the top, and an escape tower attached to it, then when the rocket explodes, everybody gets a really exciting ride and has to abort the mission, but they land safely. There is an enormous difference between low "mission success" reliability and low "the crew survives" reliability. The shuttle had the latter, this design should only have the former.

    2. Re:Still ignoring Feynman by Corun · · Score: 1

      It's reliable as long as you don't use it more than 99 times ;)

    3. Re:Still ignoring Feynman by amightywind · · Score: 1

      As much of a fan of Mr. Feynman as I am I think he has been proven wrong here.

      On the solid rocket booster: A more reasonable figure for [reliability of] the mature rockets might be 1 in 50. With special care in the selection of parts and in inspection, a figure of below 1 in 100 might be achieved but 1 in 1,000 is probably not attainable with today's technology.

      Since the Challenger disaster, the space shuttle SRB has flown 176 times in a row now without any engineering or flight anomolies. The space shuttle main engine has had 1 in-flight shutdown and two pad aborts in the entire history of the program! that is almost 115 flights. That is pretty amazing. The Saturn V had more in flight shutdowns than that in just a dozen flights. The shuttle design may be bad, but many components are outstanding and should be salvaged. Mr. Feynman's estimates are not holding up.

      --
      an ill wind that blows no good
    4. Re:Still ignoring Feynman by kalidasa · · Score: 1

      Feynman was talking about the system as it existed in 1986. Remember the O-rings? They were the core problem that lowered the SRB reliability to 1 in 50. The SRBs were redesigned. I'm not sure about the SSMEs, but I would not assume that the SSMEs of 1986 are the same as the SSMEs of 2003-2005.

    5. Re:Still ignoring Feynman by Vo0k · · Score: 1

      Add to that: One booster fails to fire on launch of the shuttle: The shuttle, in a wide arc, propelled with the remaining thruster, crashes and explodes. One booster fails to fire here: The astronauts use the ladder to get back down because the rocket doesn't move an inch.

      --
      Anagram("United States of America") == "Dine out, taste a Mac, fries"
    6. Re:Still ignoring Feynman by darkmeridian · · Score: 1

      Experience. With the new vehicle, NASA will not be beholden to the huge sunk costs of the Shuttle system. They can redesign the boosters with lessons learned. (O-Rings, insulation problems, etc.)

      Furthermore, the new design will allow for emergency escape systems. Yep, an ejection capsule.

      So not 1/10000 safe, but possibly more than the Shuttle.

      --
      A NYC lawyer blogs. http://www.chuangblog.com/
    7. Re:Still ignoring Feynman by joib · · Score: 1

      AC writes:


      With the shuttle, if the rocket explodes then everybody dies. With a design which places the crew capsule at the top, and an escape tower attached to it, then when the rocket explodes, everybody gets a really exciting ride and has to abort the mission, but they land safely. There is an enormous difference between low "mission success" reliability and low "the crew survives" reliability. The shuttle had the latter, this design should only have the former.


      VoOk:

      Add to that: One booster fails to fire on launch of the shuttle: The shuttle, in a wide arc, propelled with the remaining thruster, crashes and explodes. One booster fails to fire here: The astronauts use the ladder to get back down because the rocket doesn't move an inch.


      And to add further, a capsule heatshield is pretty well protected during launch, as opposed to the shuttle. Also, if it's an ablative shield it can probably take quite a beating compared to the RCC shingles the shuttle uses.

    8. Re:Still ignoring Feynman by Ranger · · Score: 1

      I read the other replies and they don't get it. But it's even more basic than that, remember the last line of Feynman's comments:

      For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for nature cannot be fooled."

      So the question remains: Has NASA learned their lesson? Ignoring Columbia for a moment, did they learn their lessons after Challenger? Oh, wait, you can't ignore Columbia. Feynman said the main engines were built top down as opposed to the tried and true way of bottom up. You build a component and test it thoroughly, then you combine the components. The system is easier to maintain, isolate problems and fix them. Feynman goes on to say:

      A further disadvantage of the top-down method is that, if an understanding of a fault is obtained, a simple fix, such as a new shape for the turbine housing, may be impossible to implement without a redesign of the entire engine.

      It's true nature cannot be fooled, but human nature can. NASA has a very tough haul in front of them. I'll reserve my judgement on Apollo-on-Steroids. I'm afraid I'm going end up disappointed just like when VW introduced the New Beetle. It just wasn't the same car.

      --
      "You'll get nothing, and you'll like it!"
    9. Re:Still ignoring Feynman by RevMike · · Score: 1

      Having read Richard Feynman's comments on the Shuttle report I am amazed they chose to use the Shuttle booster and the Shuttle main engine, both of which he specifically comments on.

      snipped

      So, how exactly does this make a safe, reliable launch system?

      Others have responded and pointed out that real experience has proven the SRB and SSME components to be more reliable than Feynman predicted. However, even excluding that...

      The new design allows for the fact that these components might fail, and provides for vehicle and crew safety in these cases. The Challenger accident was not caused by the SRB leaking hot gases from a poor seal between segments, it was caused because the design placed a huge tank of volatile fuel right next to the SRB. Had the leak occured on the opposite side of the booster, the shuttle would have made orbit normally and the public would never have noticed. Likewise the Columbia accident was caused because the design placed a large cryogenic tank above the delicate structures on the crew vehicle.

      In short, many of the key individual components of the Shuttle system are are safe, well tested, and of high quality. The shuttle's problems have been with the overall arrangement of those components.

      In the new configuration, an SRB that refuses to ignite is a non-issue. A leaking SRB is also a non-issue. An unsteerable SRB would cause the capsule to seperate via the escape tower, which could also return the crew safely is a bird strike damaged the crew vehicle during the first seconds of launch. Likewise a second stage SSME failure to ignite would also cause the capsule to return safely after a suborbital flight. Meanwhile the ablative heatshield surfaces are far less fragile than the tiles, and are protected during most of the flight. The crew vehicle is located above the rest of the vehicle, and cannot be struck by debris from the remainder of the vehicle.

      There are only a few modes of failure that I can think of that would lead to loss of crew. First, a bird strike in the first moments of launch that damages both the crew vehicle and the escape tower. These forward areas of the capsule natuarally need to be strong enough to handle the aerodynamic stress that this is exceedingly unlikely. Second, a hydrogen/oxygen leak in the second stage leads to a major explosion during flight. At a low altitute the escape tower would get the capsule clear, but at the halfway point of the second stage burn this could lead to the capsule achieving orbit but not having the abilty to deorbit due to a damaged deorbit thruster. Third is a meteor strike that disables the crew vehicle. The space shuttle also experiences all these risks.

      So in total, the new system completely eliminates the biggest risks and mitigates many of the smaller risks, all while not adding any new risks. That certainly makes the system much safer.

    10. Re:Still ignoring Feynman by rsynnott · · Score: 1

      In this case, the hope is that if the thing explodes, the escape system will lift the capsule to safety, as on the Apollo/Saturn V and Zond.

      --
      Me (Blog)
    11. Re:Still ignoring Feynman by the+phantom · · Score: 1

      Actually, it hasn't proved anything, and your statement underlies a lack of statistical understanding. A 1:100 chance of failure does not indicate that out of every 100 attempts, there will be 1 failure. What it means is that if you had an infinite number of attempts, 1 out of every 100 would fail. In a non-infinite run, one failure could occur in a hundred, or none, or ten. Granted, ten is highly unlikely, but it could happen. Over the course of 200 attempts, it does not seem unlikely that only one problem would occur. Think of it this way -- it is possible to flip a coin 10 times and get all heads. It is unlikely, but it can happen. Same with the shuttle -- the actually rate of failure over infinite attempts may be 1:100, but it is quite possible to get 200 or 300 or even 1,000 attempts without failure.

    12. Re:Still ignoring Feynman by amightywind · · Score: 1

      Actually, it hasn't proved anything, and your statement underlies a lack of statistical understanding. A 1:100 chance of failure does not indicate that out of every 100 attempts, there will be 1 failure.

      My point is that despite Dr. Feynman's misgivings the redesigned SRBs are operating within margins, as are the SSME's. I do understand the concept of independant trials. I also understand that the success rate of the SRBs and the margins by which they operate say something about their reliablity. You might grasp elementary statistics, but you do not seem to be able to apply them intelligently.

      --
      an ill wind that blows no good
    13. Re:Still ignoring Feynman by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Challenger accident was not caused by the SRB leaking hot gases from a poor seal between segments, it was caused because the design placed a huge tank of volatile fuel right next to the SRB

      The seal wasn't poor. It was frozen.

      Challenger wasn't an accident. It was negligent homicide. The boosters were knowingly operated outside of their design specifications.

    14. Re:Still ignoring Feynman by VENONA · · Score: 1

      I'd guess very probably safer, as the crew vehicle is a pure vertical stack. So the insulation issues that NASA are currently *still* struggling with are unlikely to be a factor.

      The cargo variant does use strap-ons, but I *think* the safety record has been good there. Anyone have any information on that?

      --
      What you do with a computer does not constitute the whole of computing.
  42. Nuclear propulsion by Savage-Rabbit · · Score: 2, Insightful

    nuclear propulsion is politically off-limits..

    It is off limits for more reasons than just evil liberals and environmentalist and their protests. While I agree that for the forseeable future there is no way to get around nuclear technology in large sized space craft for deep space exploration I also share some of the concerns voiced by people arguing against using nuclear power with wild abandon in the design of spacecraft. The problem is how do you build a large sized space craft capable of really worth while deep space journeys? Do you build the components down on earth and lift them into orbit? In that case what if one of the heavy lifters carrying say, a metric ton of nuclear fuel explodes after launch? Even if the effort succeeds how comfortable will you feel having a nuclear powered space ship or even several space ships each the size of a large nuclear submarine and their nuclear powered support facilities in earth orbit? Considering the hysteria caused by 'Cosmos 954' what would the prospect of an interplanetary space ship crashing to earth do to public support for space exploration? And this is actually not such an implausable suggestion either, all it would take to cause a major disaster is a single piece of space debri or a micro metiorite. I for one would feel alot better about large nuclear powered space craft if they were built as far off planet as possible, preferably on a moonbase using locally mined materials.

    --
    Only to idiots, are orders laws.
    -- Henning von Tresckow
    1. Re:Nuclear propulsion by bani · · Score: 1

      Even if the effort succeeds how comfortable will you feel having a nuclear powered space ship or even several space ships each the size of a large nuclear submarine and their nuclear powered support facilities in earth orbit?

      about as comfortable as I feel about the thousands of tons of radioactive uranium, thorium, iodine, and other elements spewed into the atmosphere every year by coal fired power plants. even if the nuclear powered spacecraft had a catastrophic failure and re-entered, it would be a mere miniscule drop in the ocean compared to what's already being dumped into the environment.

    2. Re:Nuclear propulsion by Viol8 · · Score: 1

      Yes , but if it blew up on the launch pad the whole complex would be
      unusable for years. While I'm generally in favour of nuclear power , one
      of the places I believe it shouldn't be used is in anything airborne
      or highly explosive. And rockets tick both those boxes.

    3. Re:Nuclear propulsion by Sgt_Peppers · · Score: 1

      The only way I can see nuclear power being used in a major way for Propulsion of spacecraft is if some fusion system can be built. This would have the benefit of using hydrogen/helium as fuel which while hydrogen can explode if yuo use unmanned boosters for the fuel the worst that will happen is some very expensive rain. There was some hypothetical plan called daedelus or something similar a while back.

    4. Re:Nuclear propulsion by bullitB · · Score: 1

      It is off limits for more reasons than just evil liberals and environmentalist and their protests.

      Yes, I agree. Non-evil liberals and environmentalists are in the way too.

    5. Re:Nuclear propulsion by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Put 10 tonnes of Plutonium in a specially designed case, then launch it on one of the new solid rockets. Once in space, it is then available for future missions.

      The case is easy enough to design so that it can handle a rocket mishap. It will be expensive, but it can be done (think blackbox).

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:Nuclear propulsion by Dr.+Manhattan · · Score: 1
      While I agree that for the forseeable future there is no way to get around nuclear technology in large sized space craft for deep space exploration I also share some of the concerns voiced by people arguing against using nuclear power with wild abandon in the design of spacecraft. The problem is how do you build a large sized space craft capable of really worth while deep space journeys?

      Like this.

      --
      PHEM - party like it's 1997-2003!
    7. Re:Nuclear propulsion by b1t+r0t · · Score: 1
      Even if the effort succeeds how comfortable will you feel having a nuclear powered space ship or even several space ships each the size of a large nuclear submarine and their nuclear powered support facilities in earth orbit?

      All they have to do is put it in a properly man-rated configuration (the new Crew Launch Vehicle with capsule and abort rocket on top, and absolutely not the Shuttle), to be picked up by a separately-launched mission vehicle, and I'll feel quite comfortable about it. Note that this is a much more reliable (for the safety of the cargo) configuration than everyday space launches get. For one thing, everyday launches don't have a re-entry heat shield going up with them.

      Yes, this means three launches for one mission, but I don't see any major reason (other than crew/cargo capacity) why it couldn't go up in the crew launch. They could even dock the fuel launch capsule for extra crew living space and extra cargo landing capacity (think of it full of Moon/Mars rocks) after rendezvous.

      On their way back, if they want to be absolutely sure where the jettisoned spent fuel ends up, they can just point the mission vehicle at the moon (it should still have good engines after the crew module separates) and crash it somewhere unimportant. Or put it in solar orbit between Earth and Venus. Or find some way to get it to fall into the sun. Disposing of nuclear waste is much easier when it's already in space and powering a spaceship.

      Or better yet, you could have another crew launch ready to swap capsules and re-use the ship immediately. At that point, the extra capsule from a third launch for the fuel could be used as a lifeboat. And you won't need another fuel launch since the nuclear fuel should last for years, so that third launch wasn't such a waste after all. After all, that's why they use nuclear power for aircraft carriers.

      Cosmos 954 isn't an issue, since you're not going to be leaving the fuel in a dinky satellite in an inherently unstable low earth orbit. You're going to get it up, then get the hell out of Earth's gravity well. Even if you park it in LEO between missions, it's still got real engines with plenty of power (or else why are you re-using it?) to maintain its orbit. And if you're not going to use the nuclear fuel to get out of Earth's gravity well, then why the hell are you using nuclear fuel at all?

      --

      --
      "Open source is good." - Steve Jobs
      "Open source is evil." - Microsoft
    8. Re:Nuclear propulsion by starman97 · · Score: 1

      Coal plants can be built with scrubbers that clean out all that toxic crud.
      It's just that they aren't because then they wouldn't make as much money operating them.

      Besides, all the pro nuke people wouldn't have something to point to and say,
      "fission plants are cleaner than coal"

      --
      Starman97@Gmail.com (bring it on spammers)
    9. Re:Nuclear propulsion by bani · · Score: 1

      Coal plants can be built with scrubbers that clean out all that toxic crud. It's just that they aren't because then they wouldn't make as much money operating them.

      No actually they are built with those scrubbers you talk about. If they didn't, they wouldn't be allowed to operate at all.

      The problem is that even if you remove 99% of all "toxic crud" (a feat in itself) the sheer volume of material that's shipped through those stacks means there's still a significant amount that makes it into the environment. Multiply by the tens of thousands of power plants across north america alone. It adds up.

  43. What colony by drgonzo59 · · Score: 0
    We cannot even live friendly and peacefully on this shitty peace of rock flying through space. What makes you think we'll live well in a colony somewhere. People probably have a higher chance of just killing each other before they'll even get anywhere and build colonies. I don't want to sound too cliche but the biggest enemy of people is not a meteorite or bird-flu - it is people.

    Besides, why do you even care if the human species survives, you and I and everyone else alive today would be dead by then.

    Somehow "space talk" and astronomy always makes me depressed, it is just a reminder of how silly, short and pointless our lives are...

    1. Re:What colony by broggyr · · Score: 1

      Besides, why do you even care if the human species survives, you and I and everyone else alive today would be dead by then. Good point. The only benefit of a lunar-based or mars-based colony to me would be if myself, my family & friends could go. Otherwise, it makes no difference to me what happens, as it will likely kill us anyway.

      --
      Irony? Yea, it's like goldy and bronzy, only it's made of iron!
  44. Two things.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


    Just two obligatory things:

    1) In Sovjet-Russia, Soyuz launches you!

    and

    2) I for one welcome our warp-capable overlords!

  45. continuously being cut by tjic · · Score: 1
    continuously being cut

    Huh?

    NASA's budget has been mostly flat, with a slight upward trend, for over 15 years.

    Trends in Federal R&D, FY 1990-2006 (DOD, NIH, NSF, DOE, NASA) (pdf).

  46. Sounds unlikely by Viol8 · · Score: 1

    Putting 20,000 tons into orbit would cost trillions, an amount even the
    japanese don't have to spare, especially the way their economy is going.
    And never mind the financial costs , what happens at the end of its
    life and it has to be decommissioned? How to you get something the weight
    of a small battleship to come back down to earth safely? 20,000 tons is
    not going to burn up on re-entry and can you imagine the sort of damage
    that sort of weight hitting the ground or ocean at hypersonic speed would
    cause?

    1. Re:Sounds unlikely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "20,000 tons is
      not going to burn up on re-entry"

      And what is your basis for this? Have you put any thought into it?

      Have you considered that this structure will most probably be large and spindly (the solar panels sure will)? It's not a 20,000 ton solid sphere. I'm betting on minimal if any debris returning.
      Besides, if you do a deorbit burn rather than letting the atmosphere decide, you will be able hit targets like big oceans.

      Do remember that 40 years is a fair bit of time for launch cost reductions.

      To the people who can't comprehend plans for 40 years ahead: design of the F-22 was started 24 years ago. Either you plan ahead or big projects won't happen. You can't just wave a magic wand and come up with a state of the art project. It takes a lot of thinking and refining. You have to start somewhere, even if you know that the end result will be quite different. Remember that for stuff this you don't use off the shelf technologies and products, you direct research and development to suit your needs.

    2. Re:Sounds unlikely by Viol8 · · Score: 1

      "And what is your basis for this? Have you put any thought into it?"

      Mir weighed about 50 tons and pieces still made it down to the ground (well
      ocean). The space shuttle also burnt up and they recovered quite a bit of
      that. Have you put any thought into your reply or were you just looking for
      a reaction?

      "Have you considered that this structure will most probably be large and spindly"

      And whats your basis for this other than guesswork? Spindly structures arn't
      exactly very resistant to torque forces acting on them , not to mention
      strikes by space debris.

      "To the people who can't comprehend plans for 40 years ahead: "

      Plan all you like ahead - it doesn't change Pe = mgh. And to put 20,000 tons
      in earth orbit is a fuck load of potential energy (not to mention kinetic
      from orbital velocity). Thats all got to come from launch systems. And lets
      not forget the not very pleasent impact on the enviroment that (lets be
      conservativ) 100 heavy launch vehicles will have.

    3. Re:Sounds unlikely by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Actually, the mir and the shuttle, by their design, try to minimize the surface area to their volume. During a burn-up, the insides could be well protected.

      The solar panels, do the exact opposites, that is increase their surface area to their volume/weight.

      I suspect that this would burn up quite nicely assumeing that most solar cells are mostly silica.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    4. Re:Sounds unlikely by Viol8 · · Score: 1

      You mean the same silica that has a melting temp of 1400C and
      doesn't boil until over 3000C ?

    5. Re:Sounds unlikely by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      The pure stuff, yes. But add the right impurities and it can be brought into range.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:Sounds unlikely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Mir weighed about 50 tons and pieces still made it down to the ground (well
      ocean). The space shuttle also burnt up and they recovered quite a bit of
      that."

      The ocean. Exactly. My give-a-fuckometer seems to not register a reading.
      You seem to be under the impression that somehow a larger structure will be exposed to the same heating as a small one, resulting in much debris. Let's just humour you and assume you're right. How about you break up the station before reentry? Ooooh, that's no fun. That's problem solving rather than problem making. Concerned about 20,000 tons of stuff being deposited in to the atmosphere? Perhaps you should worry about shit like meteors which bombard earth constantly. I've seen figures ranging from 10,000 tons per year to 10,000 tons per day of interplanetary crap hitting the atmosphere. Damn those nasty humans decommisioning 20,000 tons after some decades of service.

      The shuttle is a bad example. Can you think why?
      I'll give you a hint. It's designed for reentry and it was on a trajectory designed to not burn the bloody thing into ashes. Is this by any chance an irrelevant point to you?

      "And whats your basis for this other than guesswork? Spindly structures arn't
      exactly very resistant to torque forces acting on them , not to mention
      strikes by space debris."
      Is your basis science fiction warships or Star Trek DS9? Given that you probably want a low density modular structure, I'd say that it will be closer to spindly than deathstar. The age in which we have dense monolithic hulks will be the age in which we don't need to let decomissioned stations fall into the atmosphere.
      Basically, I'm saying that my guesswork is better than yours.
      What torque forces are you trying to resist? Is this going to be a dancing space station? Perhaps you are envisioning an artificial gravity due to rotation setup (which is reasonable). But again, where is the torque?
      Space debris. Well, a compact structure (apart from the solar panels obviously) would be nice for that. Too bad.

      "Plan all you like ahead - it doesn't change Pe = mgh. And to put 20,000 tons
      in earth orbit is a fuck load of potential energy (not to mention kinetic
      from orbital velocity). Thats all got to come from launch systems. And lets
      not forget the not very pleasent impact on the enviroment that (lets be
      conservativ) 100 heavy launch vehicles will have. "

      That wasn't addressed to you. It was addressed to the "OMG, what noobs. Even I know that stuff will be very different in 40 years" crowd.
      "fuck load of potential energy (not to mention kinetic
      from orbital velocity)"
      That's an odd sounding comment considering the following:
      Let's assume a 500 km high orbit for less drag than the ISS experiences. Orbital velocity is 7612.6 m/s. So potential energy is 9.81 x 10^13 J. Kinetic energy is 5.80 x 10^14 J. So the potential energy is 1/6th of the kinetic energy and 1/7th of the total energy.
      So really it's a fuckload of kinetic energy with some potential E tacked on. At lower altitudes the PE proportion is even less. I get the feeling that you are very far from your area of expertise.

      The environmetal impact of launches is being worked with developments like the wax solid rockets that NASA is playing with. I'm fairly confident (and I'm not much of an optimist) that we'll develop cleaner rather than dirtier propulsion systems. Of course there is always hydrogen and oxygen... Production energy could easily come from renewable sources. Apart from water being a greenhouse gas, it's pretty damn clean.
      Compared to other activities on this planet, 100 heavy launches won't do shit. But then you could argue that the value of those 100 hundred launches is less than the other pollution we create. So I don't know what to say about that aspect.

      I find it rather disturbing that so many /.ers aren't able to contribute anything more than poorly invented problems. Part of my profession is to turn things into problems but then solve them. Here many people just try to come up with shit reasons why nothing is achievable. Perhaps they feel some false sense of achievment when they "find flaws" in things that other people have dedicated a great deal of time and thought to. Silly useless buggers.

  47. Nice Mission by Pablo+El+Vagabundo · · Score: 1

    I like this mission, the sketch of the technology to be used sounds good. Soild.

    It sounds like they have put some good thought into this, it is alot better than the current scrappy shuttle.

    I'm excited about a permanment moon base, but I hope i cannot see it from here. I do not want the moons view to be polluted.

    I always remember from first contact Riker comments to Zefrem Cochrane that the moon in the 24th century looks very different - it has 50 million inhabitants, and from Earth, you can see the lights of "Tycho City, New Berlin - even Lake Armstrong..."

    I really hope this wont happen.

    Pablo

  48. Web 2.0! Ajax! The Long Tail! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I think that we will get to mars via the long tail semantic web 2.0.

    I guess this is a bit off topic, but when the world is connected by a wide web it will enable maximization of eyeball dollars.

  49. Re:Or rather by sheimers · · Score: 1

    You are completely right: The Russians didn't spend tens of billions of dollars and didn't have any astronauts killed in accidents. But what you ignore: In stead they spent tens of billions of rubels and had some cosmonauts killed in accidents.

  50. About time... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    14 lives and billions and billions of dollars later...

  51. What are the numbers for shuttle v. rocket? by KillQuentin · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Looking at historical data, just what are the economics of shuttle compared to simpler non-reusable rockets (either US, Russian or wherever)?

    Even for low-orbit stuff I get the impression that shuttle has been less of an improvement over rockets than was originally hoped, but I would love to know the numbers for cost and launch success rate.

    1. Re:What are the numbers for shuttle v. rocket? by hkultala · · Score: 1

      Looking at historical data, just what are the economics of shuttle compared to simpler non-reusable rockets (either US, Russian or wherever)?

      comparing launch weight and payload:

      shuttle has launch weight of 2 kilotons,
      and it can lift about 25 tons to LEO,
      meaning efficiency of 1.25 %.

      Heaviest version Ariane IV rocket can lift about 10 tons to LEO, with a lauch weight of about 480tons => efficiency about 2.1%

      so ariane IV has over 1.5 times the "efficiency" of shuttle when comparing launch weight/fuel needed and payload capacity for LEO.

      saturn V had lauch weight of 2.8 kilotons, and LEO capacity of
      118 tons => efficiency of 4.2 %.

      so saturn V had over 3 times the efficiency of the shuttle.

    2. Re:What are the numbers for shuttle v. rocket? by sidyan · · Score: 1

      Or, for a more recent vehicle (albeit one not yet matching Ariane IV's excellent service record):

      Ariane V ECA, 777tons lauch mass, 20.6 tons to LEO (200x300km, 51.6deg orbit) = +- 2.65%
      (and, at +- 185M, comes down to +- 9000/kg)

    3. Re:What are the numbers for shuttle v. rocket? by sidyan · · Score: 1

      Hm ... no recognion for the Euro sign at slashdot, eh ... should have known. Anyway, that's about 10800$/kg for you Amerikanski's.

  52. Pray It's All Cancelled. by Markus+Registrada · · Score: 4, Insightful
    With all due respect to the engineers at NASA, this looks like the nastiest thing the Agency has ever been railroaded into. The solid rocket boosters were the worst feature of the Shuttle design; it was supposed to have a hydrogen first stage until NASA hit a budget crunch and strapped on the damned missiles. They're appalling polluters, unconscionably expensive, and fragile. (Why are they made in pieces and shipped to Florida? Jobs in Utah. If they had been built at Cape Canaveral they'd be in one piece, and the first boom wouldn't have happened.)

    We can barely afford to keep a low-earth-orbit space station from burning up in the atmosphere, never mind actually doing anything useful. (The crew spends all its time on maintenance.) Now we're supposed to keep a lunar station going using super-sized Apollo designs that were abandoned decades ago because they were too wasteful. What are the crew supposed to do on the moon, anyway? Dig? What are they supposed to do on Mars? It's hard to imagine more useless lumps of dead rock.

    Asteroid missions (manned or not) would be interesting. Space elevators would be very interesting. Even another Cassini (for Jupiter) would be interesting. Instead, they're gutting JPL. Anybody who says this is something other than a disaster for NASA and for space exploration is drinking Kool-aid.

    1. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ok genius, show me a more pointless cause.

      Any space mission is a pointless waste of time.

      Put these engineers to use working on cold fussion or other alternate energy projects. Something that will actually yield results without wasting resources just for the fun of it.

    2. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Informative
      They're appalling polluters, unconscionably expensive, and fragile.

      Well, they are polluters, but I suspect that even if we moved to 1 a day, that we would not make too big an impact.

      As too expensive, that is not accurate. The solid fuel is slightly more expensive than liquid O2/H2 systems. However, it does not require the cost infrastructure that does liquid systems. In addition, this is being used primarily to launch crew, not cargo (I suspect that the airforce will probably keep a few hanging around to launch spy sats. on a moments notice). When it comes to life, we should be (and are) willing to spend a bit more to get a better saftey record.

      Now as to fragile, it is one of the most stable since it can not blow up. Now, I am sure that somebody is going to mention challenger. The solid booster did NOT blow up. It was the main liquid tank that did due to the O-ring leaking a plume into it. if we had this system in place, the leakage would have meant that those 2 segments would have had a hole and they would have been unuseable. If the hole actually got big enough, it would have meant that the capsule would have been jetisoned for crew ecscape, and everbody lives. This would have been a fraction of the costs of the challenger/columbia incidents.

      At this point, the solid units are one of the best approachs at getting man into space, quickly. Long term, we will almost certainly change. In fact, I am in hopes that t/space will be a big winner.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by Pontiac · · Score: 3, Informative

      Now as to fragile, it is one of the most stable since it can not blow up. Now, I am sure that somebody is going to mention challenger. The solid booster did NOT blow up. It was the main liquid tank that did due to the O-ring leaking a plume into it

      Great point. If anyone cares to remember the soild boosters kept going after the main tank exploded.. Ground control had to blow them up since they were now uncontroled. Now that's stable!

      --
      If you think it's expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur. --Red Adair
    4. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by b1t+r0t · · Score: 1
      The solid booster did NOT blow up. It was the main liquid tank that did due to the O-ring leaking a plume into it. if we had this system in place, the leakage would have meant that those 2 segments would have had a hole and they would have been unuseable.

      Not only that, but in this design has nothing sitting beside the SRB in the Crew Launch Vehicle configuration. So the O-ring could have spewed all the fire it wanted. The worst that could happen is that the craft starts to go off-course in the initial boost. That's why they have the Apollo-style capsule separation rocket on top.

      The most important thing about the SRBs is that they've proven themselves to be very reliable. Their only in-mission failure caused mission loss via a secondary effect which isn't even possible in the CLV configuration.

      Obligatory complaint: this is news? They've been talking about this for months now. Oh wait, this is a Zonk post. Never mind.

      --

      --
      "Open source is good." - Steve Jobs
      "Open source is evil." - Microsoft
    5. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by Idarubicin · · Score: 1
      We can barely afford to keep a low-earth-orbit space station from burning up in the atmosphere, never mind actually doing anything useful. (The crew spends all its time on maintenance.)

      This is because a) we don't have a reliable way to get crew back and forth from the station so the ISS is running on a skeleton crew only; and b) we don't have a cost-effective, reliable way to put up new sections of station so that the crew can have a place to live and good science to do when they get there.

      It appears that NASA is trying to solve both of these problems with the proposed new designs. Don't know if it will work, but it's a sensible idea.

      Asteroid missions (manned or not) would be interesting. Space elevators would be very interesting. Even another Cassini (for Jupiter) would be interesting.

      It's worth noting that the proposed heavy lift design can put a hell of a lot more stuff (125 metric tons) into orbit than the Shuttle could. (It's a shade more than the Saturn V could handle, too.) I can think of all kinds of good science that can be done with that; the launches of the new system don't all have to be to support manned missions.

      Put some bigass telescopes up in orbit to do long baseline interferometry (pick your wavelength). Start constructing a radio telescope on the other side of the Moon. Send some heavy probes to the outer solar system. While the missions described in the press release are centered on the Moon and Mars to please NASA's political masters, there's no reason that we won't find both heavy lift and reliable manned launch capacity useful for everything else on your wish list. If you want to build a space elevator, you need heavy lift capacity to put the cable in orbit in the first place....

      --
      ~Idarubicin
    6. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 1

      Too much thrust from the SRB venting sideways and the damn thing starts to turn. If it turns enough, then you get aerodynamic loading where it wasn't designed to be; that could be enough to cause damage to the vehicle. Possibly causing the LOX/LH2 tanks on the upper stage to collapse. Which leads to an explosion.

      Would the SRB motor nozzle be gimballed? How much could it steer? With Challenger, there were instrumentation traces showing that the SSMEs were at maximum gimbal keeping the machine on course before the external tank collapsed. Would someone watch that data stream and think "why are the rocket nozzles pointing that far sideways to keep the ship on course?" Would that person have the authority to scrub the mission by hitting the "fire escape rocket" button?

      Would the Space Shuttle Main Engines (one on crew rocket; five on cargo) be reusable? Do they get them down, or let them burn up in the air? 5 shuttles * 3 engines per shuttle + spares equals how many? But if you throw the engine away after each flight, how many do you need to build?

    7. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by shokk · · Score: 1

      I'm not convinced this is any safer. Using the same O-Ring based rocket system, the possibility for disaster is still there and that capsule at the top is not far enough to prevent the resulting explosion from killing the crew, whether it can jetison away or not.

      --
      "Beware of he who would deny you access to information, for in his heart, he dreams himself your master."
    8. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by Ayaress · · Score: 3, Interesting

      They were uncontrolled, but not OUT of control. They continued on fairly stable paths diverging slightly outward from the shuttle's path. Even considering that they'd had a massive tank of liquid rocket fuel explode right next to them, they not only survived, but didn't even lose stability from what damage they took.

      The escape mechanism mentioned in the article is worth remembering too. Remember, when Challenger blew up, three objects survived - both SRBs and the forward section of the shuttle itself, which is believed to have had at least part of the crew alive inside. Had the shuttle been equipped with an escape rocket (Which the Gemini, Appollo, and Soyuz capsules all were/are, and like the system shown in the article will), at least part of the Challenger crew may have survived.

      But, the fundamental "airplane" design made that impossible or extremely expensive, and it was never done, even after Challenger.

    9. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by peter+hoffman · · Score: 1

      I am not suggesting the Orbiter was the right way to go but I think it could have had an escape system built into it similar to the F-111 http://www.wpafb.af.mil/museum/air_power/ap36.htm.

    10. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by mpe · · Score: 1

      Now as to fragile, it is one of the most stable since it can not blow up. Now, I am sure that somebody is going to mention challenger. The solid booster did NOT blow up. It was the main liquid tank that did due to the O-ring leaking a plume into it. if we had this system in place, the leakage would have meant that those 2 segments would have had a hole and they would have been unuseable. If the hole actually got big enough, it would have meant that the capsule would have been jetisoned for crew ecscape, and everbody lives.

      It appears that at least some of the Challenger crew survived the explosion. Had they been in a capsule they would most likely have lived. Since a capsule would have been fitted with a rocket motor to get away from an exploding booster and a parchute to ensure landing at a safe speed.

      This would have been a fraction of the costs of the challenger/columbia incidents.

      With Columbia the problem was the foam required to insulate the liquid fuel tank falling off. No insulation is required with a solid fuel motor. Also a capsule design tends to put the crew on top of the rocket, thus it's impossible for anything falling off lower down to create a danger.

    11. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, in both cases, the real problem was the top management. Far too many political people were put in at the top who did not understand the situation of what was happening.

      If people would take the time to read the Columbia reports, they would find that it actually knocked the top management for allowing politics to make choices (yeah, it pointed fingers elsewhere as well, but the most damning was towards the political management).

      Challenger was because Beggs and his top people wanted Reagan to look good and therefore overrode the engineers. Likewise, O'Keefe and his top people overrode the engineers on columbia who wanted outside assistance looking over the ship (had to make Bush look good).

      Interestingly enough, both presidents then backed out their political choices and brought in real engineers.

      But yes, you are talking about the mechanics of what happened.

    12. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by Stoutlimb · · Score: 1

      "What are the crew supposed to do on the moon, anyway? Dig?"

      Exactly! And it's a wonderful idea! An underground city on the moon is probably the best way to go, as that will be about the only way to avoid micrometeorites and cosmic rays altogether. Since lunar gravity is about 1/10th what we are used to, that will mean that mining and digging out these tunnels will be 10x easier. In theory, the rooms can be 10x larger using the same materials. We could have vast cavernous, pressurized cities built with relative ease.

      If this kind of stuff doesn't excite you, I think you're too old and jaded to understand why we even need to be in space anymore.

      Bork!

    13. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by Markus+Registrada · · Score: 1
      An underground city on the moon is probably the best way ... to avoid micrometeorites and cosmic rays...

      The best way to do that is to stay right here.

      Since lunar gravity is about 1/10th what we are used to, that will mean that mining and digging out these tunnels will be 10x easier.

      One sixth. But this evades the question. Having dug out a warren, what then? Live out your old age in comfort? For anything else you want to do (and probably that too), a hole in the moon is likely to be the worst place to do it in. If you're not willing to discuss what you want to do in your warren, it's probably not anything a reasonable person would want to pay Halliburton to have done for them.

      You want building materials? Use asteroids. You want oxygen? Use asteroids. You want organics? Moon's not got 'em. You want solar power? Most of the moon hasn't got that for two weeks at a time. Want a garbage dump? Hmm, that works.

      One of us isn't thinking things through, and it's not me.

    14. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by Markus+Registrada · · Score: 1
      It's worth noting that the proposed heavy lift design can put a hell of a lot more stuff (125 metric tons) into orbit than the Shuttle could.

      That's very fine, except people have been talking for decades about clean-burning, re-usable, vertical take-off and landing, single-stage to orbit vehicle designs with much greater capacity. Also, space tugs, electric plasma drives, solar sails. Now, instead of taking a step forward, they're retreating to designs the oldsters grew up with. It's pathetic.

      We don't need 125-ton space probes. None of the ones out there came close to maxing out the Shuttle's ~30 tons. We need more wee probes going lots of different places, and we need to listen to the ones that are already out there. (Voyager 1 and 2, remember? They mean to shut them down to help pay for this boondoggle.) We need a new Ulysses, and more SOHOs, and x-ray, infrared, and ultraviolet telescopes. We need ground support for them, and data analysis. (We'd have 'em already if not for those decrepit ISS tin cans.) Already planned missions, and still-working probes, will be shut down in favor of sending camping trips to the moon. Data already collected will molder on back-up disks for want of analysis.

      For what? Low expectations and weak imagination. You can be sure that in a couple of years it will all become an excuse to cut the budget in half. The (popular!) space-probe stuff will already have been cut, leaving just the obvious boondoggle. Then they'll be able to hand the rest over to the Air Force, to do just the part it's interested in.

    15. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by StarsAreAlsoFire · · Score: 1

      Solids can blow up, if you have any kind of grain fracture -- it's a surface area thing. But the quality control on the SRBs is high enough I would be surprised if it ever happened.

      The real problem with solids is that you cannot jettison anything while the solids are burning.

      Solids are dandy for cargo; not for human-rated systems.

      Solids are dandy for cargo for a number of reasons: storable, can be added in increments to match the payload (e.g. base vehicle can lift 10 tonnes, but if you add 3 strap-ons you can lift 13, or 6 strap-ons for 15), cheaper system cost etc.

      Solids are not cheaper for a design which will always be lifting the same mass (to the same altitude). Such as a people mover.

      It comes down to ISP and mass -- best ISP for a solid is around 250 seconds (from memory) and best for liquid is about 450 seconds. There are better for both, but you can't fly them -- liquid fluorine isn't popular with OSHA, etc. Mass-wise goes to the strap-on game. If you know that 75% of your flights are going to be at mass x, but 15 percent will be at mass 1.10*x and 10% will be at mass 1.15*x, then you have a design problem -- do you design a rocket that has the guts to push 115% of your average payload to orbit, and just eat the fact that you will be wasting massive amounts of fuel on most launches simply because of the extra design weight (not to mention the cost of designing the larger engines, etc)? Or do you design a base rocket that can do the average, and add strap-on points for those fewer flights which need the extra oomph?

      Mass producing the fuels is far cheaper for a LOX/hydrocarbon or a LOX/H2 engine than the fuel for a SRB -- the optimization problem is a bastard though... when is it cheaper to go with the cheaper fuel but more finicky liquid rocket, and when is it cheaper to go with the more expensive fuel but the cheaper solid system? If we are going to pretend we are designing an honest to god space flight SYSTEM, and we are in the game for the long haul, then we MUST HAVE the processing infrastructure in place ON SITE (or close, and connected by a closed, non-public transportation system).

      At any rate, any 'professional' who proposes a solid-booster attached to a human craft as a long-term solution automatically gets docked major points in my book. Engineering the safety factors into a solid-based system will always cost more than engineering an escape pod. And you can't use an escape pod if you can't turn off the engine. And it isn't because the solid will fail -- no, that has few moving parts, is rather well understood -- but since you can't turn off the solids, you have to build the the entire system to a higher spec.

      IAARS, and would be happy to explain my views further and with numbers for those who argue politely against said views of mine :~). I admit, however, that it is rather unlikely that I will ever flex on my belief that an escape system is an absolute must.

    16. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by EvilMagnus · · Score: 1

      They could have done that, but it would have added a *lot* of weight - and that would have reduced payload. Shuttle's design was all about trade-offs; one of the initial requirements from the Air Force was for a very generous cross-range requirement, that ate up a lot of spare weight.

      http://www.astronautix.com/lvs/shuttle.htm

      They'd already added extra engines to the orbiter to give it an abort capability, remember. Anyway, if you're interested read the above link for a detailed history of the design compromises that were made.

      --
      -EvilMagnus
    17. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by zardo · · Score: 1

      I'm all about seeing the interplanetary cruiser. I could care less about some dinky robot taking pictures of jupiter.

    18. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by Stoutlimb · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the correction, 1/6th it is.

      One issue with asteroids, is that they are prohibitively far away at the moment, where the moon is not.

      Also, why not do both? On the moon it's possible to build an absurdly long railgun, and continuously fire high velocity supplies to just about anywhere in the solar system, and it would be easier because it's not exactly a microgravity environment like an asteroid would be.

      I think the moon would be a great staging point in the solar system. Asteroids have their place too. I hope we end up living on every rock there is.

      Bork!

    19. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by IvyKing · · Score: 1
      Solids can blow up,

      And quite spectacularly from what I've heard - heard that is SOP for disposing of the old Poseidon motors.

      The detonations can be a bit more spectacular if you use Acetylozone instead of the normal AP/Al solid fuel mix. ;-^)

    20. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by IvyKing · · Score: 1
      Why are they made in pieces and shipped to Florida? Jobs in Utah.

      Utah has a much drier climate than Florida - which helps in handling the ammonium perchlorate oxidizer - and is much closer to the AP production site in Henderson, NV. In addition, the folks in Utah have the production facilities to make SRM's and the ATK-Thiokol plant is in the middle of nowhere - fewer people to worry about if something really bad happens.

      If they had been built at Cape Canaveral they'd be in one piece,

      Casting a million pounds of fuel at once???? Yuk!

      With something that big, you want to make it in sections to make sure that the process is done right - and the timing for the process is fairly critical - once you've applied the bond-liner, you've got a few hour window starting 24 to 48 hours later to complete the casting - that's assuming that the bond-liner was applied correctly and assuming that the grain does not have any voids.

    21. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by bergeron76 · · Score: 1

      Welcome to the 5th of 8 years of "W".

      Hopefully, Jeb will pull us out of this debacle in 2008 and restore funding to public-interest projects and pull funding from the "fat cats" / corporations.

      --
      Don't think that a small group of dedicated individuals can't change the world. It's the only thing that ever has.
    22. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by 6th+time+lucky · · Score: 1

      and the forward section of the shuttle itself, which is believed to have had at least part of the crew alive inside.

      AFAIK the crew was only likely alive/concious for a few seconds because they had taken the "shirt sleeve environment" thingy a little too literally and became unconcious quickly due to the low pressure/oxygen. Had they been in pressure suits with a parachute then they might have had the time to open a door and bail out.

      In Challenger's case the explosion did a really good job of removing the nasty fuel and bulky fusilage from around the habitable portion... so even if the crew portion just had a 'chute then they might have survived. An escape rocket only gets you away from the exploding rocket behind you. You still have to worry about "the sudden stop at the end", which is what definitively killed the crew who might have survived the intitial explosion.

    23. Re:Pray It's All Cancelled. by StarsAreAlsoFire · · Score: 1

      I hear diborane (di? tetra? pretty sure it is diborane) is rather fun too, as it ignites on contact with air (so, picture a normal explosion where chunks go flying... :~) )

  53. Re:Or rather by WilliamSChips · · Score: 1

    Do you mean hundreds of billions of rubles? Because tens of billions of rubles would be merely billions of dollars. One ruble is worth about 5 cents, IIRC.

    --
    Please, for the good of Humanity, vote Obama.
  54. shuttle and rockets by hkultala · · Score: 1

    (quoted)

    Going back to rockets, in this day and age, after forty years is just ridiculous. I think it was universally accepted that the Saturn V and the Apollo modules were about as much as you could possibly lift into space via that method. It's also grossly expensive.


    well, nothing has lifted as much stuff to space as saturn V did at 60's and 70's. saturn V has about 5-6 times the lifting capacity of a shuttle, but weights only a bit more and costs about the same to launch than the shuttle.

    so talk about capacity, price and efficiency.

    USA also had a design of a "saturn VI"(real name was saturn v block II or something like that) , but non were built when the interest to space fligts decreased at 70's. This rocket would have had about twice the paylaod of saturn v, or about 10 times the payload of the shuttle. wonder how much faster the ISS could have been constructed with these rockets..

    actually the original plan regarding the shutte was that the shuttle was to be a cheap small personnel carrier and the "saturn VI" was to be used for cargo.. but they did not have budget for both so the "saturn vi" was cancelled and shuttle was enlargened to cargo-carrying vehicle (which eventually became more expensive than both the original shuttle plan and "saturn vi" would propably have cost together)

    1. Re:shuttle and rockets by Professor_UNIX · · Score: 1
      actually the original plan regarding the shutte was that the shuttle was to be a cheap small personnel carrier and the "saturn VI" was to be used for cargo..

      Which is EXACTLY what they're planning to do again. The CEV will be a cheap reusable personnel carrier and there will be a separate launch stack used for heavy payload lifting. People seem to equate "old" with obsolete, but in this case the technology is mature, not obsolete.

  55. Rockets are so in-effcient by Timberwolf0122 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The biggest breakthough we can hope for is for the brainboxes at NASA/ESA to make a launch vehicle that doesn't carry it's own fule. The advantages of such a system are huge, lower mass (several thousand ton of fule less) means less fule all oth which makes for a cheaper and safer launch with heavier payloads.

    Sudgestions my are:
    magnetic pulse/rail gun to repel/shoot the craft (probably work better on the moon)
    fire the fule at the craft at a plate unter the craft (exploding on contact)
    Space elevator go solar! That Jap station with the 3^2km pannels might come in useful.

    --
    In the not too distant future, next Sunday A.D.
    1. Re:Rockets are so in-effcient by Kirth+Gersen · · Score: 1
      The biggest breakthough we can hope for is for the brainboxes at NASA/ESA to make a launch vehicle that doesn't carry it's own fule.


      As any fule kno.
    2. Re:Rockets are so in-effcient by khallow · · Score: 1
      The first and the third method have some degree of viability. Here's my take:
      • There are a host of means to provide some initial velocity to a vehicle. These vastly improve cargo capacity. But you need a significant amount of energy to overcome air friction and enter orbit directly. I see magnetic pulse/rail guns used first to impart velocity to an existing rocket.
      • Method two IMHO just isn't going to work in an atmosphere. You have to target a small region despite air currents, motion of the vehicle, etc. And the projectiles have to be traveling significantly faster than the vehicle (and hence lose more energy to atmospheric friction. It sounds like a tremendous waste of energy to me. The best I've heard, is that a really light vehicle might be pushed up from the earth's surface via microwaves.
      • While a space elevator might not need to bring fuel/oxidizer up, the space elevator will need reaction mass for whatever equipment stabalizes the counterweight for the space elevator (I'm assuming here that solar sails even with beamed power from Earth, won't cut it). Otherwise, raising mass to the high end of the space elevator will cause the counterweight to drop some until the system no longer is stable. But the reaction mass can be inert (eg, something for an ion drive).
  56. Kids, study your math by Vengeance · · Score: 1

    Or you'll end up as a bike courier who dies every two weeks.

    --
    It was a joke! When you give me that look it was a joke.
  57. What about the ISS? by hobotron · · Score: 4, Informative


    Seriously, every one of the comments above did not mention it. The Space Shuttle is the ONLY way to lift the new sections and the only way for America to send/get back astronauts (Though we can hitch a ride with the russians like we already have)

    There is a gap between where the Space Shuttle will be retired (if it isnt taken out of service or has another catastrophic failure before that) and when the new CEV and Heavy Lifting vehicles hopefully come online.

    There are 15-20 trips required of the Space Shuttle just to finish the ISS, can it make all these trips before 2010 when it has to be recertified and will probably be decommisioned altogether?

    What will be done in the 4 year gap to 2014 when the new vehicles are due?

    --
    There is truth in humor.
    1. Re:What about the ISS? by ubernostrum · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The ISS doesn't really serve any useful purpose at this point. It exists as a place for the Space Shuttle to go to, and the Space Shuttle exists as a vehicle that gets us to the ISS. Check out this article for more indo.

    2. Re:What about the ISS? by maxpublic · · Score: 1

      No, we got it, it's just that a good many of us think that the ISS serves no useful purpose and that nothing would be lost if it were decomissioned and allowed to burn up in the atmosphere. There are far better things we could be spending the money on.

      Max

      --
      My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
    3. Re:What about the ISS? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Someone has posted a variant of that statement in every shuttle thread on slashdot for ages now.

      I still disagree with it.

      In practice, the Shuttle, as it's been used, is like a miniature station of its own. It goes up for a week and then comes back. Also it's a small construction platform.

      Although it IS sort of needed to build a station, what would mostly remove the need for a shuttle is a *finished* station... because then you just send the experiments by cargo ship and the people by pods.

      After that, all that is left are smaller construction jobs. Those can be done at the station itself and then boosted off to where they need to go, or they can be done by sending a cargo ship and a pod to the same place (if the pod is well-designed for spending a few days doing EV work).

      But, since we have neither completed station, nor appropriately sized cargo ship, nor appropriately equipped pods, the shuttle actually works out okay as a pricey jack of all trades. As long as it would cost more to design, test, build, and operate the new systems, and as long as we don't have enough work to do up there to make the effort worth all that, the Shuttle does ok.

    4. Re:What about the ISS? by mpe · · Score: 1

      Seriously, every one of the comments above did not mention it. The Space Shuttle is the ONLY way to lift the new sections

      The shuttle is hardly the best of cargo lifting mechanisms since any cargo needs to go with a heavy spaceplane. Replace the orbiter with "cargo pod" and it's a lot easier to get bits of the ISS into orbit.

    5. Re:What about the ISS? by quarkscat · · Score: 1

      The shuttle is also the only currently available space vehicle capable of pushing the ISS back up into a higher orbit. Due to atmospheric drag, the ISS has only about 12 months to go before it reaches a point of no return (to normal orbit). After that, no known spacecraft will have sufficient power to push the ISS back into a maintainable orbit, and it will have begun its death spiral into the Earth.

    6. Re:What about the ISS? by ubernostrum · · Score: 1

      In practice, the Shuttle, as it's been used, is like a miniature station of its own. It goes up for a week and then comes back.

      It goes up and does... what, exactly? The crew talk to some elementary-school kids while all the experiments run automatically. Which is also about all the ISS does. So what's the point of this thing?

      But, since we have neither completed station, nor appropriately sized cargo ship, nor appropriately equipped pods, the shuttle actually works out okay as a pricey jack of all trades.

      You mean it works out as a pricey jack of one or two trades which occasionally explodes and kills everyone on board.

  58. that's what I get for studying music by unfunk · · Score: 1
    ...I can't count past 4

    Or use a calculator, apparently...

    1. Re:that's what I get for studying music by bohemian72 · · Score: 1

      You should have studied dance. Then you could have at least counted to 8. ;-) *disclaimer - My degree is in music, so even if I can't count that high, I'm at least really good at fractions and subdividing them. ;-)

      --
      The greatest thing you'll ever learn is just to love and be loved in return.
  59. Old is good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Earlier this week I saw something on TV (unfortunatly I have no source, sorry, maybe another Aussie know's what I was watching) where an engineer from NASA was talking about their plans. Basicaly he said that at first they tried to make something most unlike the Apollo as possible but the more they tried the more they realised that the Apollo missions were really well designed. So in regards to the speculation at the end of the /. piece, yes, it's because they realised the old designs were better

  60. It's not a SUV, it's a TRUCK by Moraelin · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm sure you know all this already, but just to put things in a historical perspective for those who don't:

    The original shuttle design was, basically, a car. It cheap, reusable, and could carry buggerall cargo. And only in some orbits.

    Then NASA wanted the Army's space budget. The Army was launching some bloody huge spy satellites (the solar panels alone are pretty darn big) in a polar orbit. And they already had the rockets to launch those. If they were gonna give NASA their budget, NASA had to be guarantee they'd put those huge spy satellites up there. What the Army wanted, basically, was a truck.

    So the shuttle got inflated to being big enough a truck to haul up anything that the Army could possibly want hauled up.

    So here we are with a one-size-fits-all solution that makes as much sense as saying that a 10-wheeler truck is the one-size-fits-all automobile. You can drive it for anything from cargo transports to groceries to driving your kids to school, right? It has to be the perfect family vehicle, right?

    In practice, that one size still didn't fit all.

    For starters, now for anything smaller (e.g., a 1-2 ton satellite), packing it in a bloody huge and heavy shuttle makes as much sense as packing a half a pound Walkman in a 100 pound steel safe when shipping it by UPS. Yeah, so the safe is reusable, but you still pay entirely too much for shipping.

    As a more insidious thing, it just created the problem of crew safety in a lot of situations where a crew just wasn't needed to start with. (Which, as we know, just jacked prices up even more, and made it even less attractive to use the shuttle for a lot of things. Other than as a national Our-Penis-Is-Bigger-Than-Yours status symbol.)

    E.g., the army was already lifting and positioning those satellites in orbit without a crew. A computer is perfectly capable of positioning a satellite in orbit on its own. You don't need a crew of cosmonauts for that.

    Using cosmonauts for that just means you have the extra worry of bringing them down in one piece, and bad PR when you don't. An unmanned rocket with a satellite exploding is something we all don't get too emotional about. E.g., you can joke about the Arianne incident and how it shows the risks of reusability, and noone will take it as insensitivity. Or about the Mars lander metric/imperial screw-up. But toast 5 cosmonauts and people get this weird thing called empathy.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:It's not a SUV, it's a TRUCK by Rorschach1 · · Score: 2, Informative

      "For starters, now for anything smaller (e.g., a 1-2 ton satellite)..."

      First of all, it's the Air Force, not the Army. Second, no one's putting little tiny satellites on the Shuttle. You've got Pegasus, Minotaur, Athena, and soon Falcon boosters for small payloads, for example. And there most certainly IS a need for heavy-lift capability. After the Challenger disaster in '86, the Air Force was left without a booster for those heavy, polar-orbiting satellites and had to upgrade the Titan boosters to fill in. The last of those launched last week.

      I'll agree that the Shuttle is a waste for most payload delivery tasks. But keep in mind that the heavy payload launched last week (undoubtedly a very expensive spy satellite) is DISPOSABLE, because we have no capability to get to it and upgrade or repair even the smallest thing on it. In theory, manned access to those orbits could have given the military more bang for the buck.

    2. Re:It's not a SUV, it's a TRUCK by Moraelin · · Score: 1

      "Second, no one's putting little tiny satellites on the Shuttle. You've got Pegasus, Minotaur, Athena, and soon Falcon boosters for small payloads, for example."

      Which is the whole point I was trying to make: it ended up too expensive for those, so, yes, noone sane even thinks of using it for those. And that's the whole broken promise and failure. The original promise of the Shuttle was that it'll be a dirt-cheap one-size-fits-all way to put just about everything in orbit. And did I meantion dirt-cheap? It was supposed to be _the_ vehicle that makes conventional rockets obsolete. The fact that anything less than huge is still launched with the old-style boosters you mention, well, just shows just what I've said: that one-size-fits-all solution ended up too expensive for those.

      "After the Challenger disaster in '86, the Air Force was left without a booster for those heavy, polar-orbiting satellites and had to upgrade the Titan boosters to fill in."

      I.e., both after and before the Challenger disaster, it had the Titan rockets to put those satellites in orbit. Without needing a manned crew to escort them there.

      "But keep in mind that the heavy payload launched last week (undoubtedly a very expensive spy satellite) is DISPOSABLE, because we have no capability to get to it and upgrade or repair even the smallest thing on it. In theory, manned access to those orbits could have given the military more bang for the buck."

      Manned access for repairs is one thing, and I won't argue against that. But the problem remains that:

      1. For the original lifting stuff there, which, again, was a very explicit promise of the shuttle program, you can just launch it with a Titan. You don't need to pack it in something even heavier just to get it up there.

      2. For most repairs or adjustments, a smaller and cheaper shuttle (e.g., the originally planned one) would serve the purpose just as well.

      3. If you do need to carry more stuff for those repairs, well, see the solution right in TFA: you can put that stuff in orbit with a separate rocket.

      --
      A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    3. Re:It's not a SUV, it's a TRUCK by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LOL (well, I'm not really LOLing, just smiling), the always mentioned capture and return ability.
      Pretty much a theoretical ability.
      I counted how many missions captured satellites and brought them back. IIRC there were 5 of them and mostly near the start of the program.

      The capture and return functionality is the really unique thing about the shuttle IMO. Unfortunately it is pretty much unused. A bit like those fucking people who have SUVs that "could" take them to amazing off-the-beaten-track places. But the most they ever do is drive on a smooth gravel road leading into a camping ground. OK, sorry about that. I don't hate the space shuttle like I hate SUVs.

      Another point. Why do you associate the shuttle with manned access to spy satellite orbits? Wouldn't a manned capsule (with airlocks obviously) be able to carry out repair tasks?

  61. This is Zubrin by haakondahl · · Score: 1

    And for the gravity solution (in getting to Mars), you string the cargo and crew module together, and set them spinning--string in the middle, cargo on one end at one gee, crew on the other end at one gee. That is also Zubrin. If you don't know who BOB ZUBRIN is, you know where to Gooooooooooo.

    --
    Don't trust anyone under thirty.
    1. Re:This is Zubrin by mtec · · Score: 1

      Thus Spake Zubrin-thustra!

      (cue the big rotating wheel)

      --
      Cake or Death? Cake Please!
  62. Olds for nerds. Dupes that matter. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  63. Challenger was like that... by leonbrooks · · Score: 1

    ...only in reverse.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  64. The new space horror genre by leonbrooks · · Score: 2, Funny

    Things that go "TWANG! ...wwwaaaaaaAAAAAAaaaaauuugh..." in the night.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  65. Disappointing by FridayBob · · Score: 1

    Back in the 50s and 60s, rockets were a relatively new and unproven technology, but since nobody had any better ideas on how to put a man on the moon back then, NASA accepted the risk. It was cutting edge technology, but NASA were pioneers, so of course that's what they were doing.

    Now they want to go back, but I wouldn't call rockets cutting edge technology anymore: the space elevator is. Yes, the space elevator requires a crucial component that we're not able to manufacture yet, but we're very close and if this project were given the same budget and time frame for completion as the current moon project, we'd have something we could build on after the project is over: not just another entry in the history books.

  66. Get the facts straight! by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 3, Interesting
    This design is in no particular or identifiable way "Apollo":
    • Apparently not a smidgen of Apollo hardware will be used.
    • We're talking separate boosters for crew and cargo, again not an Apollo paridigm.
    • Using liquid methane ain't the Apollo way either.
    It's more a marketing thing, piggybacking on the name of a successfull project. Just like calling everything "Ethernet", even though it's now completely different in every way from the original.
    1. Re:Get the facts straight! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're an idiot.

      The mission profile for the new program is basically the same as Apollo, with precisely one difference. Instead of using a single massive multistage rocket to lift both crew capsule and lunar landing module, we're using one rocket for each and doing an orbital rendezvous. The rest of the mission profile is identical: multi-stage to orbit, orbital rendezvous with lander, boost stage into lunar transfer orbit, three-day transit, lunar lander module with separate descent and ascent stages, abandoning the lunar lander ascent stage in lunar orbit, three-day transit back to Earth, discarding the service module in Earth orbit, returning only a tiny command module to Earth via ablative braking and parachutes. Totally identical mission profile.

      You're an idiot, and you should shut the fuck up.

    2. Re:Get the facts straight! by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      Just like calling everything "Ethernet", even though it's now completely different in every way from the original.

      not sure i'd agree with that comment about ethernet.

      ethernet still uses 48 bit mac addresses to address hosts, still has a MTU of 1500, still relies on the idea of using broadcasts to find a host with a particular higher level identifier (machine name for netbeui, ip address for tcp/ip etc).

      you can still hook up an old or propietry machine (where it is not possible to simply insert a modern pci or isa card) to a modern ethernet lan without too much difficulty. If it has an AUI port you can buy a 10baseT tranciver and if it has 10base2 you can get hold of hubs with a 10base2 port as well as the 10baseT ports. Once you've connected over to 10baseT you can just plug that straight into your modern network with no trouble.

      http://www.dabs.com/productview.aspx?Quicklinx=6W5 &SearchType=1&CategorySelectedId=11030&SearchTerms =Transceiver&PageMode=3&SearchKey=All&SearchMode=A ll&NavigationKey=11030
      http://www.dabs.com/productview.aspx?Quicklinx=3P1 J&CategorySelectedId=11176&PageMode=1&NavigationKe y=11176,4294958628

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
  67. Excellent! by Kranfer · · Score: 1

    Personally, I am a great fan of the Apollo Era... Large rockets and such. However, I am a fan of large spaceships too. I would definately be a fan of constructing a few large spaceships in orbit... say 100 meters long with numerous rooms and labs in them... something for a very long haul. but thats just me wanting to see Starships... Lets build a Galaxy Class... sorry off topic.

    Anyway I would love to see something thats more "safe" and something that can provide us with a venue to get to the moon, Mars... Orbit Venus perhaps.... and go on to the asteroid belt.

    --
    -- Josh
    "Whoopie! Man, that may have been a small one for Neil, but that's a long one for me!" - Pete Conrad
  68. Old news. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The article is dated 9.22, today is 10.24.
    More than a month late?

    Nothing to see here, move along.....

  69. From TFA: by payndz · · Score: 1
    With a minimum of two lunar missions per year

    Mmm... yeah. Now, I'm sure that NASA is hoping that's what they'll get, but all it will take will be one mission failure, a new war somewhere for the US to fight, or just a change in the political wind, and they'll be back to square one. Again.

    Maybe NASA wants to use the 'but we can't give up now - look at all the money we've already spent!' argument. Personally I'd love there to be a moonbase, and Mars missions, and all the other cool stuff, but boring reality (and the shrill, tedious cries of the 'how DARE we spend money on space when somewhere a child is starving?' brigade) tends to smack down the dreams far too quickly.

    --
    You must think in Russian.
  70. Question that's slightly off topic... by mtec · · Score: 1

    But it's been bugging me. When the Space Elevator is used in the future as a lift system to get out of the atmosphere, at what point would one riding on it be weightless since it goes straight up and you're never in free-fall?

    --
    Cake or Death? Cake Please!
    1. Re:Question that's slightly off topic... by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      The point at which the elevator floor is no longer pushing on you. If you're already close to the orbital end of the line, you could be weightless just because the elevator isn't accelerating. You would certainly be weightless or even experience negative gravity (i.e. standing on the elevator ceiling) if the elevator starts decelerating rapidly enough. The amount of deceleration needed to make you to float would be less the higher you go.

    2. Re:Question that's slightly off topic... by pclminion · · Score: 1
      When the Space Elevator is used in the future as a lift system to get out of the atmosphere, at what point would one riding on it be weightless since it goes straight up and you're never in free-fall?

      The answer is never, until you reach the destination. Your weight continually decreases as you move further away from Earth but you never experience weightlessness. This is because the elevator is continually pushing you into a higher orbit.

      Another poster said "geosynchronous orbit," that person is just confused.

    3. Re:Question that's slightly off topic... by mtec · · Score: 1

      But when the elevator stops... are you weightless then? It's really no different than standing on the surface of the earth except for gravity weakening with distance, right?

      --
      Cake or Death? Cake Please!
    4. Re:Question that's slightly off topic... by spitzak · · Score: 1

      Actually the other poster was pretty much correct.

      If the elevator is *stopped* or *moved at a constant speed* you would be weightless only at geosynchronous orbit. Below that you would be attracted toward the earth, above it you would be thrown away from the earth and have to stand on the elevator ceiling.

      You could be weightless anywhere if the elevator happend to be slowing down (or speeding up past geosynchronous orbit) at the correct rate to match freefall.

      I would expect any realistic elevator going up to accelerate for a very short time, thus giving you more than 1G, then go at a constant velocity for a very long time, with gradually reducing gravity until it gets *very* near zero near geosynchronous orbit. Then it would decelerate for a very short time, probably higher than freefall, so you would be entirely weightless for an instant just at the start of this, then under negative gravity. Then it would stop at geosynchronous orbit and you would be weightless again.

    5. Re:Question that's slightly off topic... by pclminion · · Score: 1
      If the elevator is *stopped* or *moved at a constant speed* you would be weightless only at geosynchronous orbit.

      I don't understand why you think this. At geosynchronous orbit, your body's natural tendency will be to continue in the orbit -- NOT to go higher. Whether the elevator is moving at a constant speed relative to the cable makes no difference in the matter. You are being pushed into a higher orbit and thus you must experience a force (and therefore weight).

  71. Fair play to NASA by Joh_Fredersen · · Score: 1

    Space planes don't really make much sense and afaiui, the US and Sovient Union were hell bent on making space planes
    only to prove to one another that each side could.

    It's good to see more practicle if less spectacular designs being proffered by NASA.
    Plus I must say, despite the fact that it's makes more /sense/ for robots to explore space... the psychological factors, of human exploration are in many ways, just as important in terms of dare I say it, colonising beyond the constraints of the earth's biosphere.

    We need to see more senseful decisions like this and ideally as much international collaberation as possible, as humans begin again, to push the frointers of space.

    Carpe diem !

  72. about time! by thbigr · · Score: 1

    Thank god. I have been screaming anout the stupidity of the shuttle. To hell with sexy, I want cheep.

    --
    Come the revolution, the Bourgeois, Capitalistic, "A PARKING STICKER HOLDERS", will be first against the wall!
  73. aren't steroids bad? by GreasyBloater · · Score: 0

    I don't think we should use "steroids" to signify bigger/stronger things.
    There are other ways to be clever without promoting drug use.
    I'm serious.

    1. Re:aren't steroids bad? by mtec · · Score: 1

      Ah, yes then... "Apollo on a Nutritious Diet and Rigorous Exercise Plan".
      It rings!

      --
      Cake or Death? Cake Please!
  74. Face it, some of the _shuttles_... by leonbrooks · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...are vapour already.

    I vote that we build two real bang-bangs and put a real station into a real orbit with one, and a real mine and a real slingshot onto the Moon with the other. Far less polluting and far safer than the hundreds of missions they would replace, and they'd shave, oh -- I don't know -- maybe 50 years off the space program?

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  75. Oops by pipingguy · · Score: 1


    Or is this all a ploy to recapture the hearts of the public?

    No, it's the result of engineers recognizing and admitting that there are better, safer, cheaper ways to get into orbit. That admission in itself is progress.

    The shuttle was designed to beat the Russians.

  76. What complex? by leonbrooks · · Score: 1

    Australia has lots of big flat areas you're welcome to drag a Daedelus to in case it blows up.

    Just don't forewarn any of the anti-nuke campaigners who are forcing us to subsist on coal fired power stations instead, which literally chuck tonnes of raw uranium out the stack every year.

    The spots I'm thinking of are not even any use to the Aboriginals, who can survive in some amazingly desolate places (the few genuines who remain, that is; their city cousins would be dead in two days, tops).

    Even if you blew up a Daedalus or few en route, the zero-pollution returns from the big powersats the working ones launch would more than compensate.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
    1. Re:What complex? by Viol8 · · Score: 1

      "the zero-pollution returns from the big powersats"

      Powersats? Don't tell me , something along the lines of beaming down
      megawatts of microwave power thats been a staple of bad science fiction
      for years? Couple of minor points - A) Rather dangerous to anyone
      or anything who accidentaly gets under the beam or if the beam shifts
      due to faults on the satellite and B) you can generate the power on
      the ground anyway , so why bother?

    2. Re:What complex? by Liam+Slider · · Score: 1
      Couple of minor points - A) Rather dangerous to anyone or anything who accidentaly gets under the beam or if the beam shifts due to faults on the satellite

      There's been studies going back decades about this. The beam would maybe raise your body temp a bit if you strayed into the beam, and the beam would be being sent to a specially designed ground station which would likely be fenced in. We aren't talking about highly concentrated beams here, nor sending them around everywhere. They would also be designed so that if if the beam did shift away from the ground station it would lose focus.

      Hell, the big ABM radars are more dangerous than these beams.

      B) you can generate the power on the ground anyway , so why bother?
      It's more readily avaliable in space, in the long term it's cheaper, it's more ecologically friendly to do it in space...why not?
    3. Re:What complex? by maxpublic · · Score: 1

      Don't tell me , something along the lines of beaming down megawatts of microwave power thats been a staple of bad science fiction for years?

      There's a reason it's called "bad science fiction". Mainly because, like all those 'killer greenhouse storm' movies, it's a load of crap.

      A) Rather dangerous to anyone or anything who accidentaly gets under the beam or if the beam shifts due to faults on the satellite

      As someone else pointed out, this is part of the bad science fiction. It may be painful to fly through the beam, but it almost certainly won't kill you. Not unless you're stupid enough to go stand on the collector dish, in which case I'd say you'd be doing the gene pool a favor.

      B) you can generate the power on the ground anyway , so why bother?

      Because for most of the Earth's livable land area, solar power isn't practical for large-scale power generation. Not to mention the fact that attenuation and weather aren't factors when it comes to collecting solar power from satellites in geocentric orbit. The amount of power you can collect and transmit is an order of magnitude greater than anything you can get on the ground, and you can do it with an orbital collector far smaller than what you'd have to build on the surface.

      Not to mention which you'd be replacing coal-fired plants, which pump tons of radioactive material right into the atmosphere every year.

      Max

      --
      My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
    4. Re:What complex? by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1
      Powersats? Don't tell me , something along the lines of beaming down megawatts of microwave power thats been a staple of bad science fiction for years? Couple of minor points - A) Rather dangerous to anyone or anything who accidentaly gets under the beam or if the beam shifts due to faults on the satellite

      You know, any orbital power station is going to be a little more sophisticated than a raw firehose of energy blasting earthwards. There are dozens of ways you can build the system such that, were the reciver and transmitter to become misaligned, the power would shut down immediatly. Trotting out the "it'll go crazy and fry people at random!" argument makes one look highly ignorant.

      and B) you can generate the power on the ground anyway , so why bother?

      Exactly. A well-designed fission plant is a far more practical approach. Stick with that argument. Stay away from the "robot run amok" hysteria one.

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
  77. Breaking out of Earth's gravity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's a common misconception that once you get out of our atmosphere you're close to getting out of the Earth's gravity. If you built a massive skyscraper up to the space station's average altitude, and stood on the top floor, you would feel (a rough guess) about two thirds of your normal body weight.

    The reason people in orbit feel weightless is the same reason someone who's skydiving feels weightless; they're constantly falling and aren't resisting accellerating towards the Earth. The only difference is that when you're in orbit you're falling around the planet, not into it.

    What this means as regards your comment is that it's no trivial thing to fling scrap metal from used up rockets to the moon, that's the very reason why they're released. Notice how when they are released they fall back to Earth, and don't carry on in their trajectory as you would expect if the rocket had escaped Earth's gravity.

  78. PFfffff by chord.wav · · Score: 0, Troll

    Or is this all a ploy to recapture the hearts of the public?

    Yeah sure, like they are going to spend a few billion of US tax payers and risk lives for a bunch of hearts...

  79. Steroids? by Xilman · · Score: 1
    "Apollo on steroids"?

    Presumably they mean bloated and likely to suffer a premature death.

    Paul

    --
    Lasciate ogne speranza, voi ch'intrate
  80. Luddite! (-: by leonbrooks · · Score: 1
    Putting 20,000 tons into orbit would cost trillions, an amount even the japanese don't have to spare, especially the way their economy is going.
    If you did it today, at retail lift prices, yes. If you did it with 2020 technology in wholesale quantities, no.

    The panels will produce lots of electricity. You can drop a wire and a weight, and use that as an electric motor armature, treating the Earth's magnetic field as a stator. Viola, reactionless propulsion (werl, eggsurely and to be completely honest, it reacts against the whole Earth). If the thing eventually gets so decripit that it looks like it's actually going to die, send it off to L5 or prang it into the Moon. BFHD!
    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  81. Only possible if the crew wear bright colours by leonbrooks · · Score: 1

    The Moon is basically grey anyway, and so are the landers, suits and rover. (-:

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  82. What Apollo Plans? by cbelle13013 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I've got a buddy who works at in the space division at Boeing - when I asked him how come we don't just use Apollo tech to get back into space, he gave me a fairly interesting history lesson. All the data for the space programs of the 50's, 60's, and 70's was systematically destroyed while the programs were current. They didn't want any plans to leak, so every two months all the paperwork was destroyed. This ensured that nobody could get all the information in one place besides extremely high ranking officials. That is why they are reverse engineering that last Apollo rocket in Alabama.

    1. Re:What Apollo Plans? by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 1

      I think you friend was putting you on. Go to any govt depository library and they'll have about 27 feet of shelf space devioted to the Apollo plans and reports. IIRC the national air and space museum has all the plans avilable for viewing in their library. You might also want to ask him how they could build anything after "every two months the plans were destroyed"

    2. Re:What Apollo Plans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      I've got a buddy who works at in the space division at Boeing - when I asked him how come we don't just use Apollo tech to get back into space, he gave me a fairly interesting history lesson. All the data for the space programs of the 50's, 60's, and 70's was systematically destroyed while the programs were current. They didn't want any plans to leak, so every two months all the paperwork was destroyed.

      This is an old myth. It's not true. See
      http://www.space.com/news/spacehistory/saturn_five _000313.html

  83. China can build DVD players that sell for AUD$40 by leonbrooks · · Score: 1

    They'd be even cheaper if it wasn't for patent gougers and the RIAA.

    I wonder how little they can build an Energia equivalent for? Twenty $13 million Energia-equivelent launches can put a heck of a lot more hardware up than the Shuttle's piddly 30 tonnes.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  84. Conspiracy theory by tcoady · · Score: 1
  85. Since when... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Since when did NASA design the shuttle to land on other planets?

  86. 22,240 miles by caveat · · Score: 1

    Geosynchronous orbit.

    --

    Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored. - Aldous Huxley
  87. Re:Or rather by Drakin · · Score: 1

    Are you sure? The Buran was very similar to the shuttle in design, and the Klipper is as well.

  88. boondoggle defined... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    http://www.worldwidewords.org/weirdwords/ww-boo1.h tm

    We can't even get living on Earth right and we're going to Mars?

    1. Re:boondoggle defined... by mmaddox · · Score: 1

      Typical short-sighted liberal claptrap. "We can't even get living on Earth right..." is EXACTLY WHY we have to get off this rock.

      --

      What'dya mean there's no BLINK tag!?

    2. Re:boondoggle defined... by Cat_Byte · · Score: 2, Funny

      We can't even get living on Earth right and we're going to Mars?

      We're sending all the "important" people first. Lawyers, politicians, door to door salesmen, etc. We'll be right behind them.

      --
      Two roads diverged in a wood, and I - I took the one the bus load of girls just went down.
    3. Re:boondoggle defined... by Rei · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Even a remotely self-sustaining martian colony would take hundreds of years to establish. It's quite easy to overlook how interconnected our modern technology is. We rely in tens of thousands of types of materials, and this on a planet in which we can breathe the air, go outside without a pressure suit, have no need for insulation, no fine electrostatically charged dust coating and shorting everything, and have ample sources of both fuel and oxidizer just sitting around and waiting for us.

      For example, let's just briefly look at simply the plastic to build Martian greenhouses (one of hundreds of components, many of which have multiple parts made of different materials) that you'll need to expand your farming capacity): you'll need thick acryllic. Why acryllic? There are dozens of types of plastics (and many varieties of them); acryllic is very light-transparent (even moreso than glass) - it's sold as Plexiglass, Lucite, etc (not to be confused with polycarbonate - Lexan). This actually a relatively easy case compared to many other materials you'll need on Mars.

      Plastics like acryllic are polymers - chains of monomers. Acryllic is polymethyl methacrylate (PMMA). First, of course, you're going to need a petroleum source. Petroleum on Mars? Well, that takes a process invented by the Nazis in World War II - the Fischer-Tropsch process. While you can optimize it to produce chemicals in a desired weight range with specific catalysts, temperatures, and pressures, it tends to produce a fairly random mix of low weight hydrocarbons. So, you need to distill the hydrocarbons.

      Lets back up a minute - hydrogen, carbon monoxide? Hydrogen is easy - electrolysis of water, although note the high electricity requirements (if you have a high temperature nuclear reactor, you can thermally split it as well). There's plenty of CO2 on Mars, but not as much CO. Thankfully, you can strip an O from CO2 with hydrogen. To get that CO2, you need to highly compress the martian air (with a multistage compressor), then chill it to separate out the CO2, then reheat the CO2 (be sure to have a thermally efficient process!)

      Ok, so now we've got our high pressure and temperature catalyzed Fischer-Tropsch process, and pretty much an entire oil refinery behind it. Now what? Now we need to form MMA, the PMMA monomer. I can't find how it *actually* is made in practice, but it could be made through esterification of methacryllic acid (2-propenoic acid) with methanol. Now we have two chemicals that we need to produce! Methanol is easier - reacting CO with H2 on a copper/zinc oxide/alumina catalyst at high pressure and moderate temperature produces it (of course, as with each process that I describe, you need to deal with heat exchange, waste products, tailings, etc). What about the methacryllic acid (CH2=CHCOOH)? You can make it from ethylene+H2O+CO at high pressure and moderate temperature with a nickel bromide catalyst, or you can make it from propylene with a little oxygen and steam over a molybdenum catalyst at fairly high temperatures. You can also make it from acetone, although that's indirect, so we won't cover that here. The higher the temperature, the more important it is that you do heat recapture.

      Wow, we're done now, right? Nope, we haven't covered how to polymerize the MMA! :P In general, you need an oxidizer; peroxides work well. Different catalysts and oxidizers will produce plastics with different properties; however, even trace amounts of O2 should work to some degree through performing of peroxides with impurities, although O2 in too large of quantities is an inhibitor.

      Ok, now we have the PMMA. Ready? Nope. It needs to then be formed into panes of resonable thickness and large size before it sets, and then be allowed to set. Then you have to take the molded acrylic, working in pressure suits (highly constraining), and position them with your imported cranes. Then you have to join the fragments together with superglue (do we need to get into cyanoacrylate

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    4. Re:boondoggle defined... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      TL;DR

    5. Re:boondoggle defined... by peter+hoffman · · Score: 1

      Then we had better get started right away and quit goofing off!

      By the way, of course no one would use acrylic on Mars for a greenhouse for all the reasons you outlined. They would more likely use a material that worked well on Earth long before modern plastics were invented and which can be made much more easily on site than plastic: glass. The relative availability of materials will be far more important than transparancy, durability, or almost any other consideration.

      Local conditions and availability of materials will govern development on Mars far more than purely technological concerns.

      An example from the recent past would be sod houses on the plains of North America of the 1800s. People couldn't yet transport what they regarded as traditional building materials (wood and/or brick) to the construction site so they used what they had (sod) and only shipped the things they absolutely could not improvise around (e.g., iron/steel implements).

    6. Re:boondoggle defined... by Rei · · Score: 1

      You would rather use glass? I can get into the production of that one, too if you need me to - it's not nearly as easy as you'd think on Mars, because you don't find deposits of quartz sand on Mars (and even if you did, there's still a lot of work). Casting is harder, especially for bulk structures which can't bear defects. And glass structure assembly is much more difficult on Mars than plastic, plus glass doesn't scale to being thick very well, thus limiting the already weak light for your plants. Large, pressure-bearing glass structures are incredibly difficult to build even here on Earth - that's why you don't see them. Besides, you can't get away from needing a petrochemical industry. You want chemical-resistant materials? You want electrical and thermal insulation? You want rubber? You want space suits of any kind? You want lubricants (greases, oils, etc)? Hydraulic fuels? Refrigerants? I could easily keep on going. The only realistic way to do these things in bulk is petroleum, and if you have a petrochemical industry, you might as well use it for tasks that it's suited for (such as pressuretight greenhouse production). You also need the full range of acids - bare minimum, you need bulk sulfuric, phosphoric, nitric, and hydrofluoric, and their processes aren't easy, either. Trace back aluminum, titanium, and steel production on Mars - you'll be shocked by what you find is needed. Essentially everything you would need to expand your colony requires vast amounts of industrial infrastructure.

      Interestingly enough, when I was working on a paper on the subject, I ran into a nice loophole for pharm - genetically engineered plants. That is one place where you can get off easy ;) Plants on Mars would be the easiest route for a number of chemicals, including some synthetic plastic substitutes (soy fatty acid esters work well for producing polyurethane substitutes), but they're ill suited for many applications (corrosion resistance, light transparency, gas permiation, etc). Also, there are some fatty acid lubricants which work very well in low stress applications, but your parts will score up in no time in high stress applications. Note that even these applications require refining processes, just of a different type.

      An example from the recent past

      People in the "recent past" could breathe the air, grow food outdoors, walk outdoors, and didn't need pressuretight seals. People on Mars are utterly dependant on technology - not a single thing that exists there in its natural state can provide for them. Without industry or Earth support, people on Mars cannot expand, cannot repair/replace, and are doomed.

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    7. Re:boondoggle defined... by Artfldgr · · Score: 1

      glass is easier to make and such than acrylics and is more durable... melted soil and such makes a great building material..... so the difference is only optimized economy. we use acrylic because its lighter and such in our environment... you can make glass a foot thick and relatively easily make it flat (metal float pool).. you have to be able to make a log cabin in space... so hollow out a huge room... then hit the inside with encredible heat till you fuse the walls... now you have a chamber... work from there... same thing for the moon... stick it under the soil and fuse the walls (can use an energy beam powered by the sun... can even use a large magnifying glass since there is little atmosphere.. tech people have a problem coming up with low tech equivalennts... they rely on their tech so much they cant see how an ancient race can build the pyramids. why? because no one told them to build it with nothing or we'll kill you. the ancients had necessity while the techs only have salary. sigh

    8. Re:boondoggle defined... by peter+hoffman · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't disagree that life on Mars would be very tough. Where I do disagree is in the assessment of whether it is so tough as to make it impractical. Some people would have said there just isn't a spare scrubber on Apollo XIII while others would have said I can make something that will work from what I have on hand because I have to. The difference in attitude made the difference in the outcome of the mission.

      To head off a possible charge of ignorance leading to irrational exuberance: I am an engineer (albeit electrical) so I have some idea of what challenges can lie, unseen to a layman, in undertaking an effort. On the other hand, I also know good engineers solve extraordinarily difficult problems every day. That's our job and that's why we get into engineering - for the challenge.

      Too often in the past, expert analysis has deemed a project infeasible (traveling faster than a horse (the air pressure was supposed to be too much for our lung power), heavier than air powered flight, the Panama canal, etc.), only to have the experts be proven wrong. The only real way to determine whether or not such a project can succeed is to try it. Often it is impossible at the beginning but inventions made during the effort make it possible. Without starting the "impossible" project, those inventions would never have been achieved.

      My example from the recent past was intended to show how, when traditional techniques don't work, you have to get inventive. Obviously, the degree of challenge is different but the principle is the same: necessity is the mother of invention.

      Sure, I'm a "the glass is half full" sort of guy but I think without that view we would still be living in cold and dark caves because "obviously" fire and lightning (electricity) can't be turned into anything useful.

      I have always been inspired by a story I read many years ago where a group of engineers and scientists were shown a film smuggled out of Germany during WWII at the cost of the agent's life. The film showed how the Germans had developed a flying soldier using a jetpack.

      While the quality of the film prevented the details of the jetpack from being clear, it was clear the solidiers were flying with them. After many months of exhausting work, the engineers and scientists on our side had produced a practical jetpack similar to what they had seen in the film.

      Only then was it revealed that the film was a forgery, created at a Hollywood studio. Its purpose was to change the mindset of the scientists and engineers so that they would believe a jetpack was possible. Without that initial belief they were doomed to failure.

      Finally, analyses of why things can't be done often remind me of those articles on why there's no time in life to get anything done. Out of 24 hours in a day you spend 8 hours asleep; you spend 2 hours shopping, cooking, eating, and washing up; you spend 1.5 hours driving; etc. At the end of the article you find that you have to spare time at all yet somehow we obviously do. Detailed analysis does not always produce a valid conclusion.

      I think we're just going to have to accept that, given the time and resources available, we're just going to disagree on this today. I do admit sometimes the glass is half empty (for now, anyway) but I don't like to start out with that assumption. :-)

    9. Re:boondoggle defined... by Rei · · Score: 1

      glass is easier to make

      No, it isn't. Apparently you haven't priced replacement windows lately. It's also a lot harder to cast stably, especially for particularly large objects (when was the last time you saw a large, pressuretight glass structure? Probably never. Essentially all large aquariums these days are acrylic). B

      and is more durable

      Completely false. Glass is more vulnerable than acrylic to all kinds of damage except shear deformation (and it's only more resistant tot that because it breaks instead of bending).

      Melted soil ... would produce mostly ferrite ceramics, and some ferro-aluminosilicate ceramics (bricks). Not glass. By the way, they're not airtight.

      we use acrylic because it is lighter

      That's not true. We use acrylic for dozens of reasons - it transmits light far better (and not just visible light), it's more scratch resistant, fracture resistant, lighter, easier to cast, chemical resistant, electricity and thermal resistant, and dozens of other properties.

      You can make glass a foot thick

      Sorry to burst your bubble, but glass isn't very transparent at a foot thick. The world's largest aquarium has 13" thick acryllic; glass that thick would absorb much of the light coming through it.

      large magnifying glass

      Now that's just priceless ;) No, seriously, it's literally priceless, because nobody would even remotely dream of making and transporting such a huge structure when there are far easier ways to produce localized heat.

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    10. Re:boondoggle defined... by saigon_from_europe · · Score: 1
      We're sending all the "important" people first. Lawyers, politicians, door to door salesmen, etc. We'll be right behind them.
      But this time we will invent self-cleaning telephones first.
      --
      No sig today.
    11. Re:boondoggle defined... by Rei · · Score: 1

      Oh, don't get me wrong, I actually support Mars colonization. I was just trying to point out how ludicrous it is to pretend that it's an immediate solution to a problem of an Earth at threat; it's something that will require centuries to millenia of development work even if we start today.

      There are actually some interesting tricks that you can do on Mars - the planet isn't all bad news. For example, while maintaining 50 atm on Earth vs Mars for some industrial process isn't much of a difference in terms of technical difficulty, maintaining near vaccuum pressure is much easier on Mars, and in some cases, you can simply vent. On Mars, everything is inherently well thermally insulated (which is bad when you need to radiate heat, but if you design your heat flows properly, utilizing waste heat right, you can create very thermally-efficient industrial processes). You can simplify most industrial processes because you don't have to worry about groundwater pollution, soil pollution isn't as relevant, and atmospheric pollution is ironically often a good thing (we *want* to fill the atmosphere with greenhouse gasses ;) Plus, there's no acid rain without rain. ).

      I came up with an interesting method to make up for the shortfalls in steel production (as there's effectively no coke or oxygen on Mars for a blast furnace, and the iron we've found so far is sulfur-rich, which is a bad thing). There's a sulfuric acid production process which isn't used much here on Earth anymore (because we get sulfuric as a byproduct of the petrochemical industry here) involving sulfur-rich iron ore - the exact thing you find on Mars all over the place. Sulfuric acid is, as I'm sure you know, a very important industrial chemical, and forms the basis for producing/concentrating many other important acids, so the colony would need it in large quantities to run their other industries. Basically, to greatly oversimplify, if you heat the iron ore up to very high temperatures and inject oxygen and steam, you can get sulfuric acid out. On Mars, you use nuclear power (or eventually, solar thermal) and process waste heat to heat your iron ore that's come in past your ball mill, which runs into a chamber with hot oxygen and steam (also preheated as such) injected. The waste gasses are channelled and cooled (during preheating of raw materials for this and potentialy other industrial processes), condensing out a concentrated H2SO4. The already heated and sulfur-depleted iron ore moves directly into the second chamber beneath it, in which the temperature is raised further, preheated fluxing agents are added (fluorspar, calcium carbonate, and others - they should exist on Mars in good quantity, although not in every location), and preheated methane is injected, boosting the temperature beyond what the power plant can provide as it strips off oxygen from the iron, while providing a source of carbon; you can then skim off the slag and have the steel go off to the casting house; waste heat from the casting house goes back to the feedstocks, as does waste heat in the tailings of CO2 and H2O. The slag could be made into rock wool for insulation, used as bulk road substrate, or possibly bulk radiation shielding put atop buried buildings.

      I haven't done the calculations yet, but I think the process should work, and at a reasonable rate, yielding two important outputs (low-sulfur cast steel and concentrated H2SO4), plus slag as a potentially useful byproduct. Even the tailings could potentially be stripped and reused - water obviously being useful even if impure for H2/O2 production, and already-concentrated CO2 saving a lot of multistage compressor work in CO2-needy processes (of which I ran into several).

      The fluxing agents may still be hard to come by, though, until you have production from a broad geographic area. Also, this is one process that worked out quite favorably despite initial difficulties; one that didn't was production of nitrogen compounds (nitrates for fertilizer, nitric acid for industry, ammon

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    12. Re:boondoggle defined... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Troll.

    13. Re:boondoggle defined... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Typical short-sighted liberal claptrap"...

      Wow, parroting hate radio phrases? Did Hennity tell you to post this?

      Mindless sheep. Get a brain of your own.

    14. Re:boondoggle defined... by Robocoastie · · Score: 1

      >>We can't even get living on Earth right and we're going to Mars? You may as well say "We can't even get whites and blacks to live together in harmony and you're going to try it with Indians/etc...". As humans we strive for an ideal, we reach beyond ourselves, always pushing the limits lest we go stagnent. Along the way other issues often get resolved as well. It's like the expression "The American Dream". Can it be achieved? Maybe not, but the joy is in the journey as many a country song has expressed. More related to the origin article however. What proof does the author have that the "old" (whatever that is) is better than the Shuttle way? To determine that; I think we'd have to look at how many pre-shuttle missions with a live crew were conducted, adjust the $$ figure of those including man hours, and remember they didn't have re-usable rockets, and the number of accidents and compare all that to the shuttle's lifespan. I would wager that it's a toss up but the advantage to this new rocket design isn't the rocket itself but the crew capsule(s) being able to be customized based on the mission rather than some universal design which never really does any one job well.

    15. Re:boondoggle defined... by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      On Mars, everything is inherently well thermally insulated (which is bad when you need to radiate heat, but if you design your heat flows properly, utilizing waste heat right, you can create very thermally-efficient industrial processes)

      I vote for turbopumps. 1/100th atom in, 10 atmospheres out. Should still be cool enough to absorb the waste heat by the time you're done, too. ;-)

      (Yes, yes, I know. You're throwing away some of your efficiency doing that. But sometimes you gotta do what you gotta do.)

  89. how to do it even cheaper ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    very simple. nasa just needs a shrinking device.
    let's say four astronauts weight around 250 kg.
    so if they invent some new particle at cern and
    shot these at the astronauts, maybe they can shrink them
    by a factor ten ... hey, now 4 astronauts just weight
    25 kg!
    anyway, if they can't find that shrinking particle,
    maybe they can start doing some genetics on future
    astronauts ... woud it be great to have
    a fully fledged astronaut, but only 80 cm tall and 30 kg
    heavy? :P
    you know .. we really want a real spaceship!

  90. Old news by ErnoWindt · · Score: 1

    Zonk,

    You need to keep a better handle on the news. That story is months old.

  91. Re:Sad by ShagratTheTitleless · · Score: 0
    I hear rave music. I see piles of drugs.

    Why are you still here?

    --
    Sometimes at night I imagine the darkness is filled with horrible things with too many teeth, like Julia Roberts.
  92. Soyuz being used by the European Space Agency now by andersh · · Score: 2, Informative

    It's not really news at all - I mean the European Space Agency has understood the value of Russian engineering done decades ago and simply decided that it was the better choice over spending vast sums of money on try-and-fail schemes. Even more interesting is: "In 2007 a Soyuz launcher will take off from Europe's Spaceport in French Guiana (South America). This will be an historic event as it will be the first time that a Soyuz launcher lifts off from a spaceport other than Baikonur or Plesetsk. It will also be a milestone in the strategic cooperation between Europe and Russia in the launcher's sector."

  93. Saw this already in Popular Science by NewKimAll · · Score: 1

    I believe an article similar to this can be found in the September 2005 issue of Popular Science. Eventually, it will hit the Popular Science archives at http://www.popsci.com/popsci/archive/index.html

    NASA might do this kind of rocket. I don't see it happening because of the existing Atlas rockets that are capable of heavy lifting already. Why re-engineer what Lockheed Martin has already succeeded in doing? Of course, we are talking about government here. If they really wanted to do it they should take their design to Lockheed Martin and say, "This is what we want to do and your existing rocket is the closest thing to it. Make it so within this gracious budget, because that's all your getting!" That would be too simple, wouldn't it?

    1. Re:Saw this already in Popular Science by rsynnott · · Score: 1

      In the current air of crazy-patriotism, the idea of using Russian-licensed rocketry mightn't be too popular in the US...

      --
      Me (Blog)
  94. Re:Or rather by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 4, Insightful
    The last cosmonaut killed was > 30 years ago. All of their deaths were due to isolated failures in small components (parachute in one case, air pressurization valve in another). These have long ago been fixed. The shuttle incidents occurred because of fundamental design flaws that can't be corrected, but only partially mitigated at huge additional cost.

    In the 1980s, a Soyuz booster did explode (just like the Challenger), but since they didn't commit the fundamental design flaw of omitting an escape system, the cosmonauts walked away from the incident.

    Their launch cost = 1/20th of shuttle launch cost.

    Which country's taxpayers are getting a better deal for their money?

  95. Re:Or rather by mikesmind · · Score: 1
    Which country's taxpayers are getting a better deal for their money?

    Perhaps the Soviet Union was forced to do it economically because of, well, economic factors. They could not afford to waste the kind of money that the U.S. does. (Of course, you could argue that the U.S. should not be wasting the money, even if they could afford it!)

    In the U.S., the massive spending on the Shuttle benefits the taxpayer group, that we could call, "The Shuttle Contractors."

    --
    www.mikesmind.com - www.daddyworkathome.com - www.freetofarm.org - www.tenfoottable.com
  96. Less Foam Shedding by llbbl · · Score: 1

    With a rocket configuration you don't have to worry about foam coming off your fuel tank and damaging parts of your vechile that are important for reentry.

  97. girders by zogger · · Score: 1

    instead of a tether, use the girder system that holds the solar panels and (possibly) the communication antennas. Should be strong enough then.

  98. MODDERS/META-MODDERS by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    why is this modded -1? He is right on mark. The RD-180 was designed because some of the russian engines were not designed correctly. More importantly, it has come to be used in our space systems because it was designed right.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  99. Space Elevator by SqueakRu · · Score: 0

    I think this is by far the best way to handle the problem :

    http://www.elevator2010.org/site/competitionClimbe r2005.html

  100. I've got'em by JetScootr · · Score: 4, Informative

    I've worked at NASA JSC since 1979. There was a history archive building (or actually, several). I worked in one of them on a very slow second shift, watching data reduction programs design the leading edge of the shuttle wing, among other things. I browsed the library for reading material while I waited for tapes to spin and printers to print. (And card readers to read, too!)
    All the plans were there. When they shut down the office, they dumped boxes and boxes of duplicate records, books, etc, that had been collected as the various parts of Apollo, Apollo-Soyuz, Skylab, etc shutdown. I got a chronology of Skylab. Another coworker got books on Apollo and Gemini, along with drafts of the first space shuttle - the one called Dynasoar, and its descendents, from back in the 1950's.
    "Systematic destruction" is complete baloney.

    --
    Pavlov wouldn't be so famous if he'd used a can opener instead of a bell.
    1. Re:I've got'em by cbelle13013 · · Score: 1

      Very interesting, I'll pass this along to my friend. That space.com link is very resourceful too. Thanks all.

  101. Another moronic "solution" by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

    Do you know why the Shuttle costs so much and keeps blowing up? Because it's too complex. It consists of four major "parts" that have to be mated in the VAB then carried out to the pad on an rediculous transport. The four "parts" are individually some of the most complex and part-intensive rockets even build. The SRB's, in turn, are fabricated in parts and shipped for assembly.

    Failure is strongly related to the number of parts. More parts means more things that can break, and a highly failure rate as a result.

    So maybe people out there will understand why I find the idea of strapping five of these things to a new and part-assembled core is an ABSOLUTELY REDICULOUS IDEA.

    Sure, SSTO is difficult, but it IS doable. But even if you don't want to spend that much, we know for sure we can do low-risk DSTO like Shuttle II et all. All hail the reduction of development budgets!

    This is simply the wrong way to go. Dump Fred into the ocean, where it belongs, and built a _real_ launch system. Enough already!

    Maury

  102. In Soviet Russia by elrous0 · · Score: 1, Funny
    Money wastes YOU.

    -Eric

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  103. OLD NEWS by wgray8231 · · Score: 2, Funny

    I heard about this months ago when the latest shuttle landed. Good job staying on the latest-breaking stories. The data on the article is even a month old.

    Slashdot: Rumors and out-dated news for nerds. Stuff that doesn't matter anymore.

  104. Solid boosters still not the safest by prisoner-of-enigma · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I was all keyed up to see how the new system works, but the first thing that caught my eye was the use of Shuttle-era solid rocket boosters (SRB's) for the crew launch option. This is not a Good Thing.

    Solid boosters have plenty of inherent disadvantages when compared to their liquid-fueled cousins. First and foremost, when you light an SRB, it's going to take off no matter what. They can't be stopped. If something goes wrong at any point, your only option is the range safety destruction charges. SRB's cannot be throttled, either. In short, they don't give you a lot of options. They are, however, simpler, requiring no cryogenic turbopumps or internal tanks, and they can be prepped well in advance of the launch.

    Using SRB's for cargo is no problem. Using them for crewed vehicles gives me the heebie jeebies. The "old" Saturn V system used liquid-fueled engines for many reasons, and safety and flexibility were high on that list.

    --
    In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
  105. Yes. Get rid of the Shuttles! by mindpixel · · Score: 1

    My very first memory, from when I was 2 1/2, is of the moon landing...I have been a space buff since, tacking everything space related. From the beginning, I hated the design of the shuttle. Way too complex. Too much to go wrong. And reuse? Were they crazy?

    I bet my best friend [Vic Spicer] in the early 80s $2 that a shuttle would blow up because of the solid rocket boosters or burn up because of lost tiles, when I called him on that January 1986 day to collect, he rightfully hung up on me. I didn't call him when when we lost Columbia...

    I will be very glad to see the shuttle go.

  106. We need NASA why? by t0xic@ · · Score: 1

    I used to be a big believer in NASA but they really represent the worst way to do space technology. They are full of design-by-committee pork projects. It is in NASA's best interest to keep the projects as expensive and complicated as possible in order to maintain the status-quo. They want to maintain the illusion that only something like a "NASA" is capable of doing anything in space. I say bullshit to that. I think the private sector will ultimately trump all of these expensive government projects whether its from NASA, Russia, ESA or whatever. I wish I had a link to a satire article called "Flatlanders"? which really put the issue into perspective for me. Anyone have a link?

    1. Re:We need NASA why? by Monofilament · · Score: 1

      NASA loves the mars rovers... its also the cheapest program they do.

      I don't have all the answers .. but i think your evaluation of the situation is grossly askew.

      as far as corporate goes. Most of what they use had its roots in government projects. (uh.. how bout the internet as an example?).

      --


      Who makes you Sig?
  107. ... it won't be your grandfather's moon shot by oddaddresstrap · · Score: 1

    From the article: "but it won't be your grandfather's moon shot". Got that right. It looks like my father's moonshot, version 2.0 beta.

  108. Yippie-cai-yay by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    The Shuttle was born in the era when oil crises, skyrocketing (pun intended) energy prices, and terrorists demonstrating the folly of America's dependence on Mideastern energy showed America it needed a reusable launch system. This new system is born in the era when all that is the same, and much worse (after using up 30 years more fuel), but instead with a stupid oil cowboy running the show.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:Yippie-cai-yay by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      I guess "stupid oil cowboy" is "Flamebait". I say "bring 'em on". Yippie-cai-yay!

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  109. pedantic reply by Cujo · · Score: 2, Informative

    Not the Army, but the Air Force, and really the NRO, whom the Air Force is working for in the spysat biz.

    Second, they never did it. The Vandenberg site was a boondoggle and work on the Shuttle facility was scrapped after Challenger. I was living in L.A. in the early 80s and REALLY looking forward to shuttle flights out of Vandenberg. SLIC-6 at Vandenberg is now an ELV facility, and the Air Force has EELV, which handles their requirements.

    Agree, however, that the shuttle was trying to please too many people in order to get funded. That, and they jumped from drawing board to operational fleet of 5 orbiters without a true demonstrator or X-rocket. The Shuttle Main Engine is an impressive technical achievement, but is costly to reuse. The original vision of routine spaceflight at $100/kg was never remotely achieved.

    --

    Helium balloons want to be free.

  110. Speaking of going to the moon... by Free_Trial_Thinking · · Score: 1

    I heard that they used the hubble to take pictures of the moon a few weeks ago including the apollo landing sites. But I can't find the hubble pictures of the apollo landing sites anywhere on NASA.gov. Can anyone help?

    1. Re:Speaking of going to the moon... by Free_Trial_Thinking · · Score: 1

      They're aren't any pictures because there wasn't any moon landing. It's a conspiracy, man.

  111. They're Japanese, they can do it if they want to by electrosoccertux · · Score: 1

    Citing tech limitations is a valid argument for us Americans...but not the Japanese...they're masters of perfection. If they want to do it, they'll figure out how to, and they'll do it fast and cheap.

  112. Re-usable Space ships? by KurtisKiesel · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What doesn't make sense is all the energy they are waisting blasting things back and forth from earth to the international space station... NASA Better model... Launch a rocket with cargo pod including men to go the international space station as well as all the fuel and resources they need to go to the moon, unfortunatly probably including a lunar lander( until they find a more efficient way of landing on the moon) that will be left behind. Rocket docks with international space station. Pickup a used lunar module(minus the lander). ISS operators load supplys from their rocket to a space shuttle docked and serviced with the ISS. Shuttle is re-fueled with supplys takes off for 2 week journey to the moon (probably would be pretty slow). Shuttle orbits Moon. Shuttle launches Lunar Module. People go to the moon do their thing come back dock with the space shuttle and the shuttle takes them back to the ISS. From there they can hop the next ride home. In this model you save a lot of resources. If it cost X ammount of money per pound to launch there is no reason not to re-use all the standard parts that would come home anways and service them in space. If they lighten the load they could save a lot of $ in launching stuff into our orbit. Heck the Russians might even fly our astronauts into space for us at 20Million a pop. Somehow I think that would be cheaper than it costs us to get GiArmstrong into space ourselves. It might take some retrofitting of the shuttles we have left but they would never have to come back to earth and we might get another 20 years out of them, but Endevour and Atlantis could be permently left in space to do skips from the orbit of the moon to the orbit to the ISS, heck with 2 of them we would have an emergancy recovery shuttle always ready to go save someone in space. We might even consider designing them for conventional lunar flight. Something we will most likely eventualy want to do as well.. ISS-for the moon, along with a lunar network of satalites. Wow just thing with the number of lunar meteor strikes we might want to put up a norad on the moon.

  113. Public Sector Responsible for Retriving Satelites by Bruha · · Score: 1

    It seems that the idea of bringing satelites down from space have been pushed to the public sector. Not sure if they would develop a shuttle, but a device that can capture and repair satelites in orbit seems more plausable.

    I'm sure eventually space elevators would work out and you can ditch rockets alltogether and then maybe the Shuttle would be feasable. Lift it up and it can fly down.

  114. Avoiding killing the crew by rkeene517 · · Score: 2, Informative
    I noticed in the NASA description that the heat shield is exposed for the first time during the mission, when the service module is jetisoned just before reentry. This is an obvious plug at the problems the shuttle had with heat shield material.
    They also have seperated the people from the cargo so the people ship can be more reliable, and the cargo ship can be less reliable, e.g. the solid fuel boosters.

    Strapping solid fuel boosters to people has never been a good idea.

    --
    Inside every complex program is a simple solution trying to get out.
  115. Thanks, cuz this wasn't already covered... by jpellino · · Score: 1

    ... on /. on Sept 20, Sept 15 ...

    --
    "Win treats sysadmins better than users. Mac treats users better than sysadmins. Linux treats everyone like sysadmins."
  116. omg.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    pffft, aww cmon, thats highschool stuff... 9.81m/s^2 i mean really

  117. Re:Or rather by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 1

    Yes, Buran was a copy of the shuttle. It flew a test flight or two, and was then scrapped. It never carried passengers.

  118. Re:Sometimes the NASA approach works better. by dpilot · · Score: 1

    No possible way!

    The NASA way is the worst possible way, and whatever approach NASA takes *becomes* the worst possible approach, even if it's the approach we praise the Russian (or any other) space program for using.

    I read it on Slashdot. (or sci.space.tech, or just about anywhere else.)

    --
    The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
  119. ISS needs to go as well. by Shivetya · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It is part of the samed flawed NASA that kept the shuttle around too long. First off we have a station that is designed around what the shuttle could deliver. We also have a station butchered by committee. What we have now is not a system which was proposed back in the Reagan days.

    I figure the best bet would be to push it into a much higher "parking" orbit and revisit it once we get the new launch technology together. This would be more politically acceptable than deorbiting it. By the time we get back to it we can probably find some uses for it as a whole or by components. Most likely we would just be able to ditch it then as being "too old".

    If this new reengineering of NASA can keep on the "do it right" mindset instead of "lets do it because we can" we might actually see real human exploration of space. Putting robots up is fine but it doesn't really advance our use of space. It will take people to do that. Some will say going to the moon again is "because we can" but I say it is "because we must". We must get out of orbit to keep advancing space technology and understanding of how things work. This in turn will lead to advancements and such that can be used back on Earth. But sitting in Earth orbit gets us nowhere. We have been there for 50 odd years already. All the big accomplishments took place in the 60s and early 70s. Ever since its been a study in new ways to look flashy but not really do anything.

    Let NASA be the builder of destinations. Then let the privates make use of those destinations. NASA needs to be the one who does the gruntwork to establish a presence in space. From there we get others to build on that. Having a government agency develope the base from which private enterprise expands is a valid use. Besides if he have to wait for a private enterprise to provide the basis of being in space we will end up with a very proprietary and private solution.

    and this time, don't handicap missions in space because of your partners.

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
  120. Policy failure by Baldrson · · Score: 4, Interesting
    NASA was given a chance to clean up its act with The Launch Services Purchase Act of 1990 which required them to procure all launch services from commercial sources.

    They decided they wanted to continue to try to drive capital away from commercial launch services so they could continue to keep a strangle hold on access to space.

    Time was when I would have supported NASA's science missions, supported by a commercial launch infrastructure. However, now its clear they just use their science missions as an excuse to block anyone from competing for their monopoly position.

    1. Re:Policy failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      NASA was given a chance to clean up its act with The Launch Services Purchase Act of 1990 which required them to procure all launch services from commercial sources.

      So in other words you'd would rather that they stoped sending people in to low earth orbit 15 years ago because there were no commerical options for sending crews to any orbit? Guess what, there still isn't any private company that can launch a human being into orbit and return them safely, not even Burt Rutan's. I think that will change in the future, hopefully the near future. However it hasn't happened yet, so don't talk like NASA is ignoring two dozen potential orbital carriers.

      Micheal Griffin has stated before that he would support private launch companys by paying for there services when it makes sense. In the same address he also added that he felt it would not serve the taxpayers' interests to rely exclusively on private launches in the forseeable future. But you don't have to take my word for it, check-out his Remarks Before the Space Transportation Association.

    2. Re:Policy failure by Baldrson · · Score: 1
      The LSPA of 1990 gave NASA the option of using the shuttle for missions requiring it but the testimony was clear that the direction should be toward missions designed to use commercial services and to promote the development of more commercial capacity.

      When NASA initiates a new launch vehicle development program costing years and tens of billions of dollars without first specifying what payloads it wants to launch and when it wants to launch them it is a far cry from NASA ceasing manned launches 15 years ago.

    3. Re:Policy failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The LSPA of 1990 gave NASA the option of using the shuttle for missions requiring it but the testimony was clear that the direction should be toward missions designed to use commercial services and to promote the development of more commercial capacity.

      When NASA initiates a new launch vehicle development program costing years and tens of billions of dollars without first specifying what payloads it wants to launch and when it wants to launch them it is a far cry from NASA ceasing manned launches 15 years ago.


      First off, I would like to thank you for taking the time to respond to a humble Anonymous Coward. It clarified your stand somewhat just by the tone. Sometimes even old hands at forums and BBS posting have a hard time distinguishing between an impassioned but reasonable poster and an irreasonable idealogue (and you can run into quite a few of the later on the Net, on /. in particular). I mistook your post for just NASA-bashing, and responded to it as such.

      However, I do think you should be heartened by the current NASA administrator's stance on this issue. Both internal and external remarks and actions shows that he is interested in fostering more commerical and private launches by buying their services. He's just not ready to surrender all of NASA's launch capabilities because sufficient competetion exisits, and in the case of human-rated launches no companies currently exisits.

      Personally, I think that NASA should always be at the frontier and let the industry take-over once the technology has been developed to a point when things can be done with reasonable amounts of safety (mainly safety to the general public) and profitibility. NASA's place is doing the things that private enterprise can't do, develope and refine the technology, and when private enterprise catches up trail-blaze the next froniter.

      While I would support NASA buying more launches outside (especially some of the newer startups) for unmanned missions, it would be a real blunder for them to lose their in-house capability. Without either in-house launch services or a diverse, competetive market (which doesn't discribe the current US or even the world's private launch market) NASA would be in a poor bargining situation. Additionally they would be vulnerable to having launch vendors back-out at the last minute without a way to replace services. This would have profound effects scheduling; making ambitious, long-term missions difficult if not impossible to realistically achieve.

  121. I agree. It's getting old by TheLink · · Score: 1

    Of course it'll work. It's already been done successfully before.

    Now is it going to be significantly better or an actual advance? Sure doesn't look like it.

    Whereas while I'm not sure a space elevator would be buildable, if it actually works it'll be a significant advance.

    The past 20 years in aerospace have been rather disappointing.

    Contrast:
    1969: Concorde, Jumbo Jet, Man on moon, etc.
    2005: Low earth orbits with flaky manned spacecraft, plus talking about redoing stuff already done 30 years ago.

    Seems almost like going backwards into the Dark ages from the Roman Empire.

    --
  122. Feynman hasn't been disproven yet by internic · · Score: 1

    Actually, assuming the chance of failure on an individual flight is 1/100 and failure on each flight is statistically independent, then the failures are poisson distributed. While the mean number of failures out of 176 flights would be 1.76, the probability of zero failures after 176 flights is 17%; thus, we can't say with any real confidence that Feynman was wrong, according to your numbers. In other words, it's not all that improbable (about 1 chance in 5) that Feynman was right and the failure just hasn't happened yet.

    --
    "You call it a new way of thinking; I call it regression to ignorance!" -- Operation Ivy
    1. Re:Feynman hasn't been disproven yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I assume the statistics quoted are per-engine? There are 3 SSME per flight so 176*3=528 succesful SSME flights. Similarly for the 2 strap-ons.

  123. Parent is totally wrong/off target! by spineboy · · Score: 1
    The grandparent discussion is talking about the feasability of a cable/tether to connect 2 parts of the spacecraft to allow for a spinning construct to simulate gravity - probably not more than 100 meters at most. The parent article that dismisses tethers is referring to the 20 KILOMETER ribbon/tether that was suppposed to be dragged thru the earths gravitational field to generate electricity.

    These two things have really nothig to do with eachother.

    --
    ..........FULL STOP.
  124. Saturn IV by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    other than using solid fuel, what is the advantage of adapting shuttle components to a capsule system over using saturn IV designs. why not update the F1 engine? it was the most powerful engine we have ever developed and extreamly reliable. the saturn IV rocket could still operate with a total engine failure. with present day computer technology, it seems to me a better system could be developed using the saturn IV as a starting point, not the shuttle.

  125. you're right, they arent by rebelcool · · Score: 1

    the SSME's have undergone continual upgrades since that time to improve their efficiency and safety.

    the SSME's are the most reliable rocket engines ever built by man.

    --

    -

  126. Any rocket scientists out there? by sig226 · · Score: 1

    I'm curious, if we move the launching of rockets from sea level to
    someplace like Denver, how much fuel could we save, and how much
    smaller (less $) would the rockets have to be?
    Tom

    1. Re:Any rocket scientists out there? by Duhavid · · Score: 1

      Probably not enough to offset the risk to the area
      under the launch. From Florida, the area under
      the launch is pretty much all water.

      --
      emt 377 emt 4
    2. Re:Any rocket scientists out there? by KnightStalker · · Score: 2, Interesting

      IANARS... but rockets must accelerate laterally as well as vertically to achieve orbit. Florida is therefore the location of choice (for the US) for launching orbital rockets, because of the boost in angular velocity they get from being close to the equator. Colorado and Florida both orbit the Earth's axis in 24 hours: obviously Florida is moving a lot faster. Denver's elevation would help, but not as much as Cape Canaveral's latitude.

      If we launched rockets from, say, Quito, Ecuador, at an elevation of 9300 feet and basically on the equator, it seems to me we'd get the best of both worlds, but it'd probably be political suicide for NASA to try that. Less pork involved, you know...

      --
      * And remember, it's spelled N-e-t-s-c-a-p-e, but it's pronounced "Mozilla."
    3. Re:Any rocket scientists out there? by KnightStalker · · Score: 1

      ... as for the obvious question "Why don't we launch from Hawaii, then?" I don't know. This page indicates that it was considered at one point, but rejected in favor of Cape Canaveral being cheaper for some unspecified reason.

      --
      * And remember, it's spelled N-e-t-s-c-a-p-e, but it's pronounced "Mozilla."
    4. Re:Any rocket scientists out there? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The unspecified reason is probably that it's in the continental U.S., and therefore closer to all those military bases and whatnot which had supplied the materials for the missions. It's just cheaper and more secure to move stuff over shorter distances on land. I'm speculating here, but doesn't that make sense?

    5. Re:Any rocket scientists out there? by /dev/trash · · Score: 1

      It is expensive. Ever see an ad for a national company, and they have on the bottom "Prices slightly higher in Alaska and Hawaii." They aren't kidding.

    6. Re:Any rocket scientists out there? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fuck all difference. For a 390 km orbit (ISS design orbit), the height energy is 11.5% of the total energy. Most of the energy required goes into achieving orbital velocity, not altitude.
      Now if you launched from Denver (1.6 km high), the potential energy saving is only 0.4%. 0.4% of 11.5% is 0.047% You'd lose more than this from the reduction in orbital velocity from moving further from the equator (unless you have a high inclination orbit, in which case earth's movement doesn't help).

      In conclusion, launch point height is a negligible advantage.

  127. Re:Valves? by AcidLacedPenguiN · · Score: 2, Funny

    put a valve in there????
    Great idea, it'll only come out late and need to be patched in a week :P

    --
    disclaimer: I've been known to store numbers in my ass for which to dig out when quantities are required.
  128. pointer to polls? by brlewis · · Score: 1

    Would you mind posting a pointer to the polls you refer to? I'm interested as to how they were conducted.

  129. electrostimulators by Dog135 · · Score: 1

    They work. Back around '91, the mom of a friend of mine had one from her doctor. Her arm was in a cast for a long time, and she used it to rebuild the muscle mass. The problem is, when you're in space, all of your muscles need to be exercised, so that method wouldn't work well.

    BTW: I have a "Dr Ho's" (no, serious, that's what it's called) massager that works under the same principal and I like it. It's the only thing that can relax my tense shoulder muscles. It takes surprisingly little energy. I've had it for about 3 years, and I'm still on it's original 1 AAA battery.

    --
    "That's so plausible, I can't believe it!" - Leela
  130. Klytus, I'm bored. by Jedi+Holocron · · Score: 1

    Ming: Klytus, I'm bored. What plaything can you offer me today?
    Klytus: An obscure body in the S-K system, your Majesty. The inhabitants refer to it as the planet, "Earth."
    Ming: How peaceful it looks.
    (He activates a console, and watches as earthquakes, floods, etc., start to occur. They both get a good laugh out of it.)
    Klytus: Most effective, your Majesty. Will you destroy this, uh, "Earth?"
    Ming: Later. I like to play with things a while. Before annihilation....

  131. Re:Or rather by drgonzo59 · · Score: 1

    Buran was a proof that they can do it to stick to the Americans. But how many lives did Buran take? Russians didn't think it was cost effective and efficient. Launching the supposedly "re-usable" shuttle is more expensive than launching the old Soviet "disposable" rockets.

  132. Should humanity be saved? by elgatozorbas · · Score: 1
    Our goal should be to establish a viable self-sufficient colony there that would ensure, should some catastrophy strike here on Earth that wipes out all life on the planet, the survival of the human species.

    What for? There will be no-one to regret it since everybody would be dead. If 'survival' of mankind is the main reason for such a project I think the money would better be invested on Earth to try and make that a better place for everyone.

    1. Re:Should humanity be saved? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hope you don't mind me saying it, but "You idiots are going to get us all killed."

      We're a big family of people living in a huge tree. There's enough food to go around, though just barely, and some of us get more than others, because we can reach a bit farther due to our God-given tree-climbing skills. Some of us, forty years back, crawled out onto the farthest branch, and a few managed to jump to the next tree over. Though it was a small, barren tree, its branches spiraled elegantly upward, and from the topmost reaches one could get a glimpse (it was reported) of not only the beauty and uniqueness of our own tree, but also of the wonders of the forest surrounding it. These inspired few, the tree climbers, came back and told of what they saw, and became legends.
      Now it's much later, and the young people in the tree learn about The Jump and how it defined our culture for a brief few years. But the elders of the tree culture grow wary of those tree-men who claim greatness and ability beyond their own; many believe God is offended at our arrogance, though for all we know, He may have given us free run of the forest. Fires threaten to burn our tree, and food runs scarce...the elders propose that we barricade the Far Branch and hack it off, to guide our tree society into things more important. Gathering parties, to scour the other branches for the dwindling fruit. Ministers to watch over the hungry few in the lowest and highest branches, so that they do not revolt and collect fruit without approval. Worst of all, the few people who made The Jump and saw the forest beyond are ridiculed, accused of sensational ideas and diverting attention away from the welfare of all those who live on our own branches.
      The Far Branch is made taboo, and our tree people devote most of their daily lives to eating mediocre fruit, running to and fro on the middle branches, lamenting the sad state of some of the limbs and their occupants, and scrawling despairing notes on the bark. Two or three remain, still alive and well, and still tell the young ones of the abundance of fruit growing in the forest. "Our fruit still tastes the best," they say, "but in those high, barren branches I looked back at our Tree and saw how beautiful it was, and how fragile. Do not cut down the Far Branch; the other Tree is barren, but surely we can teach it to grow fruit! The soil is good at the base, though we cannot walk on the ground; wait for the rainy season to come again, and you'll see."

      "Fathers," they asked, "should we not spend our energies gathering our own fruit? Surely it will continue to bear for years and years. Some are starving, and though we are great tree-climbers, perhaps we should stop this arrogance and make an effort to survive with what we have."
      "Children, there are those in the Tree who are the gatherers of fruit, and there are those who peel and cut it for the young and the very old. There are the root technicians, who draw our water and keep our roots healthy; there are those who write words on the bark, to document the history and predict the future of our people. There are those who care for the sick, and those who keep order. But there is one thing you should never forget.

      You, of the people in this Tree, have been granted special talents by God, and nurtured by your fathers and mothers and their fathers and mothers before that. The Far Branch is taboo, but what of the Tree Council? Surely they will not be forever in power. Laws will change, they will forget. And it is you who must make the Jump; go first to the barren tree, and you will see as I did once before: there is a forest beyond, and the barren tree is not so barren as it seems. But most important of all, you can look back at our Tree and see what it really is."

      Then the oldest father, who was the first to make the Jump, spoke up:

      "I say to you young and capable ones, who climb the highest. Move your families into the high branches. Cultivate the empty spaces above and cause them to bear an abundance of fruit. From there you may give

    2. Re:Should humanity be saved? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      You certainly have a talent for prose. Less so for logic.

      ...you may never trust the government, but don't stop the rest of us from trying to make the world better for our children.

      If you had paid attention, you would have noticed that this is exactly what the GP (which is mine) stated. I do not oppose a space program, including kicking harmful comets aside etc. On the contrary: I would invest money in the solution of that problems (and others) rather than to start a moon base with the purpose of saving humanity.

      Actually I get the impression that your post contains a lot of projection (apart from being rather unconcise, lunatic and using demagogic tricks).

    3. Re:Should humanity be saved? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nah, sheeit, you're right...you know when you have a beer or three and start typing?

      I don't even remember posting in response to yours, which after looking at it I agree with anyway. My main point should just be that "spinoffs", besides Velcro and Tang, may also include averting the end of modern civilization and/or cheap power and food. Actually, my main gripe with the NASA program? All those wasted External Tanks, which given a tiny little kick from a booster and some welding here and there could make a nice zero-g hotel.

      Not sure what a GP is, but thanks for the reply. I retract most of the existential BS.

  133. Software periodically re-loaded from tape? by Archimboldo · · Score: 1
    I hope they've used newer software and computing hardware. From Feynman's article:

    There is not enough room in the memory of the main line computers for all the programs of ascent, descent, and payload programs in flight, so the memory is loaded about four time from tapes, by the astronauts.

    Because of the enormous effort required to replace the software for such an elaborate system, and for checking a new system out, no change has been made to the hardware since the system began about fifteen years ago. The actual hardware is obsolete; for example, the memories are of the old ferrite core type.

    Ferrite core memory?????

    1. Re:Software periodically re-loaded from tape? by anOminousCow · · Score: 1
      Ferrite core memory?????

      Yes. Ferrite core memory. You don't know much about the history of computers do you?

      Back in 1986 ferrite core memory would not have been obsolete for this type of application, even though for general use it was obsolete. Today, they'd probably be using flash memory in its place.

      --
      Spokesbossy for ominous cow herds everywhere.
    2. Re:Software periodically re-loaded from tape? by VENONA · · Score: 1

      Almost as good: NASA have been on a couple of hunts for 8086 and 80386 CPUs. Google for 'nasa 386 chips'. Of course, it probably does cost a pile to certify new computer gear.

      --
      What you do with a computer does not constitute the whole of computing.
  134. Lightning! by Meester+Nice+Guy · · Score: 1

    I prefer the Martian method of using lightning (or however) for space travel like in The War Of The Worlds.
    I supose like others had said - by trebuchets or rubber bands - is the same but powered by tension or gravity.

    I like more power!

  135. Um, it's not the environmentalists who are opposed by Omega · · Score: 1
    There's actually several forms of nuclear power that a quite clean and don't produce the waste people usually associate with nuclear power. Unfortunately, we're bound by the nuclear non-proliferation treaty which prevents us from pursuing these forms of power. These power sources are much cleaner than coal or oil power plants and much more sustainable than natural gas plants.

    The real source of opposition is the security agencies who are worried that the nuclear components used in these reactors will become targets for terrorists (either to steal or destroy).

  136. Wasted tax dollars by grumpygrodyguy · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Or is this all a ploy to recapture the hearts of the public?

    It is, and if the US would spend the money on the following we would all be a lot better off:

    1) Renewable Energy R&D(petroleum costs are the single greatest drag on the world economy)
    2) Nanotechnology (for a programmable autonomous robotics infrastructure)
    3) Broadband (How much would it really cost to get everyone 30Mbps? If 250 million people could video-conference and telecommute, how much gas would that save?)

    I'm perfectly content going to mars or the moon via my home theatre and PC thankyou.

    --
    The government has a defect: it's potentially democratic. Corporations have no defect: they're pure tyrannies. -Chomsky
  137. Re:Or rather by fredmosby · · Score: 1

    Their launch cost = 1/20th of shuttle launch cost.

    Of coarse the Soyuz only lifts 5 tones to orbit. The current shuttle launch system could lift 80 tones to orbit if it used expendable engines rather than the space shuttle engines.

    cost to launch a Soyuz: $35 million ($7million/ton)
    cost to launch a shuttle: $450 million ($ 5.6 million/ton)

  138. Re:Or rather by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1

    But the shuttle doesn't use expendable engines, so it can only lift 24 tons in the real world. And since they've decided that routinely lifting heavy loads in the shuttle is too dangerous for the crew, much of what capacity they do have goes wasted.

  139. Other original missions... by coyote-san · · Score: 1

    Some other points --

    The shuttle was sold as the primary launch vehicle for satellites, not just large ones. One mission could launch one large satellite, or several smaller satellites, or a smaller satellite with its own hefty booster. (Think interplanetary missions.)

    All supposedly cheaper than using a disposable launcher.

    This only works with incredibly unrealistic numbers. Weekly shuttle flights, quick and cheap turnaround that was completed within a few weeks. Costs so low that industry could rent shuttle time for industrial research, etc. Funny how it didn't work out that way. I think the Centaur (heavy duty boosters) were dropped long before Challenger, from safety concerns, and all satellite launches were dropped after Challenger.

    Second, the shuttle was sold as a way to bring satellites safely back to earth. The theory was that it was cheaper to haul something back to earth, fix it, then launch it again than fix it in space or simply replace it entirely.

    One small problem - it's only safe to bring a satellite back down to earth if it's dead (no more manuveuring propellant), but it's not considered safe to approach dead satellites. Catch-22.

    I think a few satellites have been retrieved, e.g., some long-exposure research satellites used to identify suitable materials for future satellites, but only a handful.

    --
    For every complex problem there is an answer that is clear, simple, and wrong. -- H L Mencken
  140. Re:thank god they are getting smart again by StarsAreAlsoFire · · Score: 1

    a.) they were out of control, as they were no longer attatched to that which controlled them; the shuttle stack. And at least one of them corkscrewed like a typically unstable rocket. However, this means nothing, and is not an insult in any way, shape or form. Stability was not a design requirement for the SRBs, as they were not intended to fly 'alone'.

    The fact that they did survive being detached and tossed about without breaking up *is* impressive. The amount of bending moment placed upon those SRB's must have been incredible.

    b.) YES! I am very glad to hear that NASA is moving back to a system which allows for an escape mechanism. Of course if they add a solid to the stack that will make an escape virtually impossible, as you cannot safely eject while under thrust.

  141. Re:Or rather by podperson · · Score: 1

    Except that this is a marginal cost that ignores that cost of getting where we are in the first place (i.e. developing the shuttle, building and maintaining an organization that operates it) and the opportunity cost of not having spent the money on something else (e.g. a bunch of conventional rockets). The NASA budget for shuttle operations is $5B/year. It launches how many shuttles in a good year? It launched one this year, so that's $60 million/ton.

  142. HOW ABOUT THAT LEM ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Same idea three generations later. Will the
    translunar drama of A13 also be included this time ?
    If not Im not going to watch.

  143. Does anyone else find it strange.. by Luminary+Crush · · Score: 1

    ...that the Russians, with their Soyuz design, are moving to a winged vehicle at the same time the US is moving to a capsule (a la Soyuz) design, with everyone here (and elswhere) championing how much better the Russian approach has been?

    http://www.russianspaceweb.com/kliper.html

    Bear in mind the the Kliper is no Shuttle - it's much better thought-out. I think the greater flexibility of the reentry profile is invaluable, and am generally excited to see this bird fly.

  144. Re:Or rather by dfries · · Score: 1

    Maybe they fixed the problems that killed them earlier, but they sure didn't get the first glass cocpit verson of their Soyuz right. It went ballistic on re-entry, (and that's a bad thing).

  145. Bravo! by CPNABEND · · Score: 1

    That was an eloquent explanation - I am often amazed at the ignorance of IT people I deal with at customers each day, and the general ignorance of the population in general in terms of scientific activity.

    --
    My wife doesn't listen to me either...
  146. Re:Or rather by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1
    That was a good thing. They had ballistic mode as a backup option if the guidance system failed. That's a robust design.

    What would happen if the shuttle's guidance system failed? It would end up ballistic as well, but not before breaking up into thousands of white-hot pieces.

  147. Hmm. Not an angineer, then? (-: by leonbrooks · · Score: 1

    A: Not dangerous. Dilute beam falls on fenced-off antennae and is geared to only operate when the ground-station guarantees it's on target (and many other safeguards, most of them independently rigged to fail-safe). You can (and should) carry out agriculture under the antenna arrays.

    B: Powersats don't produce radioactive waste, and once up don't require any dangerous or destructive mining, transport or refining for at least a couple of decades. In fact, launching a powersat more or less in one piece with an Orion (huge rocket which runs on a string of nuclear fusion bombs) would produce less radioactive waste than burning enough coal to produce the same amount of energy as the powersat.

    C: Yes, I know you didn't ask this one, but I'll answer it anyway. (-: No, they won't fall on your head. They fly high, they can be propelled reactionlessly from their own resources, they're a damn near unmissible target for a missile, and the atmosphere would pretty much shred everything except maybe a central core anyway.

    I personally am all for building fission reactors, since they're a lot greener than what we have now, but powersats have other, more exciting implications beyond additional green-ness.

    And in answer to the Thor-worshipper: some handiwork your god does, it wore out completely in less than 40 hours! And does he warrant his work? No? I didn't think so. (-:

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  148. The Flying Spaghetti Monster, Of Course! by tlambert · · Score: 1

    The Flying Spaghetti Monster http://www.venganza.org/, Of Course!

    -- Terry

  149. Stepping forward into the past.... by macraig · · Score: 1

    Multi-booster heavy-lifter rocket designs not terribly different from the proposed heavy-lift system here were detailed in Popular Science in the 70's or 80's. I recall seeing the article myself.

    Sadly, the Shuttle never fully lived up to its intended purpose; its alleged advantages became curses instead. It wouldn't be unfair to say that NASA's "detour" with the Shuttle, combined with public ignorance, is what set space colonization back almost three decades.

    Using these much simpler rocket systems makes much better economic sense. Use these heavy-lifter rocket systems to finally get orbital or Moon-based manufacturing and construction facilities built, and then focus on dedicated interplanetary craft that aren't subject to the same nasty design requirements as STO craft. Planetary gravity wells are the biggest design problem facing spacecraft designers. Once we have a space elevator system, we may no longer need to fret so much over having "reusable" STO craft.

  150. reuse of capsule? by Jasper__unique_dammi · · Score: 1

    from the article "The new ship can be reused up to 10 times. After the craft parachutes to dry land (with a splashdown as a backup option), NASA can easily recover it, replace the heat shield and launch it again." Yay we're reusing the capsule! -wait we're wasting the rockets that brought it into space.. Why don't they just leave the capsule in earth orbit and send only a new crew, that can be send up in a much smaller rocket? This way, you just have to replace heat-shield of a much smaller vehicle, and save a lot of rocket. also there can't be any damage on the capsule because of landing. Must admit disadvantages that you can't repair as much in orbit, maybe something in the orbital mechanics (dont think so the last one). And ofcourse the orbiting capsule must be refuelled every time. (or just replace propulsion as a whole) And the new crew has to dock with the capsule. I'm sure NASA has its reasons for doing things the way it does (and creating jobs, for people and/or (US)companies will be part of it), but why dont they link to them? Americans (I am Dutch) may want to know where their tax-money is going..

  151. Panurge n'existe plus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    I've killed off Panurge - he was beginning to annoy me, but also was attracting a lot of negative moderation, I think from the "real" editors. There was a steady pattern of posts going to +5, followed by rapid moderation down by "overrateds". After three "overrateds" in 2 consecutive posts, it was time to quit. Possibly because I was inclined to agree with the judgement. There are too many people nowadays with mod points who cannot spot a troll, and indeed one of my most carefully crafted trolls got +5 Insightful.

    However, the answer to your question is quite simple. I (and Panurge) am strongly in favor of any space program which supports basic scientific research, is intended to understand more about the solar system, and especially may have implications for defense against external threats such as asteroid collision. I believe that advances in robotics and remote communications mean that manned spaceflight is pointless until we come up with vastly better propulsion and shielding options. In the late 50s and 60s I was an enthusiastic follower of the US and the Russian space programs, and an amateur astronomer who built my own telescopes and radio receivers, but I think history has shown we got little out of the various trips to the Moon. Far less than we got out of communications satellites or the Mars Rovers. Or Hubble.

    So I consider that manned spaceflight is purely a political activity, and I am deeply suspicious of all activities intended to aggrandize politicians.

    En tout cas, comme j'ai dit, Panurge n'est maintenant qu'un avatar mort.

  152. Two words: reaction mass by MadDog+Bob-2 · · Score: 1

    This is long gone off the front page, so nobody is ever going to see it, but...

    The power isn't even remotely the hard part. That's not to say it's easy, but reaction mass is a much bigger issue.

    9.8 m/s*s for 86400 seconds is 847 km/s. Assuming you've got some mythical ion drive with vast amounts of thrust and an exhaust velocity of 50 km/s, your delta V is going to be nearly 17 times your exhaust velocity.

    And that's a six-nines (0.999999) mass fraction.

    Just for the acceleration. The deceleration is the same trick over again, so you're up to 10^12 kg for every kg of rocket, just in reaction mass. Throw in another couple orders of magnitude for the trip into orbit, and, yeah, not going to happen.

  153. Choke on my semen by Kiaser+Wilhelm+II · · Score: 1

    and I just debunked your silly journal article, btw

    --
    Lord High Crapflooder The Right Honourable Vlad Craig Esther McDavenpherson III
    Destroyer of Mercatur.Net