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Stopping Killer Asteroids

Drog writes "Earth has had a few near misses with asteroids recently (although "near hits" would be more accurate). It's just a matter of time, though, before we detect one with our name on it. In this New York Times article, experts discuss the various ways that we might go about saving our planet. Remarkably, nuclear detonations are not a good option, as they would break the asteroid into many pieces and merely increase our odds of being hit. And a detonation some distance away may simply be absorbed by the asteroid with virtually no effect. Instead, say scientists who study asteroid hazards, a gentle sustained push is what's needed (slow and steady wins the race). Some of the approaches have been discussed in science fiction for years--a mass driver, an electromagnetic machine which hurls dirt from the surface, an orbiting parabolic mirror to heat up the surface and create a plume of vaporized material. All of these methods require one thing, however. Time. At least several decades warning."

606 comments

  1. As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by nizcolas · · Score: 2, Funny

    we're never going to have to worry about a metoerite .

    --
    If you get an error, type "OVERRIDE" or "SECURITY OVERRIDE" and then try the optimize command again.
    1. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Remarkably, nuclear detonations are not a good option, as they would break the asteroid into many pieces and merely increase our odds of being hit.

      Damn, I understand not reading the article, but not reading the post?!?!

    2. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by DustyCase · · Score: 2, Funny

      I have a better idea. Let's just sacrifice Bruce Willis to our gods and hope that they protect us in return. We can move on to Ray Romano and George Clooney if it looks like they need more....

    3. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by sisukapalli1 · · Score: 5, Funny

      What about the new national security solution by Pres. Bush that would create a Multi Yield -- Asteriod Security Shield (MYASS)?

      That should take care of the problems with Asteroids...

      S

    4. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by TrekCycling · · Score: 1

      Actually, this plan might not work. I heard that Harry Stamper and Ben Affleck are on the rocks since he asked J-Lo to marry him. Harry needs Ben's help to stop any asteroid, so I think we may be screwed. We may have to go to plan B and call Robert Duvall.

    5. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by thgreatoz · · Score: 1

      Nah, Steve Bushemi could handle it...we just need to give the poor guy a chance!

      --
      When their numbers dwindled from 50 to 8, the dwarves began to suspect Hungry.
    6. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ooops, That only deals with where it'll end up.

    7. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by foistboinder · · Score: 5, Funny

      What about the new national security solution by Pres. Bush...

      Unfortunately, unless the asteroid has ties to Al Qaeda or Saddam Hussein, Bush won't be interested.

    8. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by athakur999 · · Score: 2

      Or the asteroid is filled with delicious, creamy oil. Mmmmm, oil.

      --
      "People that quote themselves in their signatures bother me" - athakur999
    9. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by rmadmin · · Score: 1

      That works, but please keep Liv Tyler off that list. I'd rather take the chance of a huge rock slamming me on the head than never being able to see Liv Tyler again!

    10. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by Pii · · Score: 3, Funny
      How about several nuclear detonations, at strategic points on the surface of the Earth...

      It may not alter the tragectory of the asteroid, but it would probably make the asteroid less noticable, in the "if a tree falls in the woods, but nobody hears it, does it make a sound" sense.

      Chalk one up for the nuclear age!

      Next problem, please.

      --
      For those that would die defending it, Freedom
      has a sweet taste that the protected will never know.
    11. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny
      if (pos.LargeRock == pos.YourHead)
      your.chance.of.ever.seeing.liv.again = very.small;
      endif;
    12. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by Shalome · · Score: 1, Troll

      I think you mean that as long as the asteroid doesn't contain vast amounts of oil that US business interests have their eye on, President Bush won't be interested!

      --
      Moderation totals that amuse me for one of my posts: Flamebait=1, Insightful=2, Funny=2, Overrated=1, Underrated=1
    13. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by The+J+Kid · · Score: 2

      Yeah! I sneaked in the whitehouse last night, this is what I heard:

      Pres. Bush: "I'm thinking about stopping that shield program."

      Minister of Defence: "I agree, but I do really think it would be in the best intrest of this country to save MY ASS."

      --
      Moderation: +4. Modded 70% Funny and 30% Overrated. 100% Saturated.
    14. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by rowanxmas · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, unless the asteroid has ties to Al Qaeda or Saddam Hussein, Bush won't be interested.

      That's very easy to fix, the scientits simply call it the Saddam Hussein Asteroid.

    15. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or worse, if the asteroid is filled with oil, he'll want it to hit Earth to be able to get at the oil, but only if several drilling companies promise to rig more elections in his favor.

    16. Re:As long as Bruce WIllis is with us by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, that's why he said to take liv off the list of ppl to sacrifice.

  2. nukes ARE best. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    sorry.. but if you drop several thousand multi kiloton nukes on the sucker It'll be nothing but a nice meteor shower to watch.

    a single bomb? that's stupid... fire the entire cold war aresnal? nothing will be left of it.

    1. Re:nukes ARE best. by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      A nice radioative meteor shower into the upper atmosphere.

      Great idea.

    2. Re:nukes ARE best. by Fembot · · Score: 2

      I dont even belive it would be possible using current weapory it to hit an asteroid from far enough away to stand any chance of saving us. Plus they'd spend so long forming commities with sub commited with working groups to look at the problem we'd all be dead by the time they reported back with their suggestions and drafts anyway

    3. Re:nukes ARE best. by Kevin+Burtch · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's obvious you don't know the law of conservation of mass.

      It's also obvious that you've never seen the video of the exploding whale.
      Here's a hint... if you start off with an 8 ton whale, and you blow it up, you end up with 8 tons of whale parts! Asteroids also follow this simple rule.

      --
      - Preferences: Solaris 10 (servers), Ubuntu (desktops), Solaris 11 (personal servers) -
    4. Re:nukes ARE best. by NightHwk1 · · Score: 1

      certainly it wouldn't do much good if all the chunks of asteroid hit the earth, but if it were blown apart so that a smaller amount of the asteroid hit, the damage would be less.

      it seems better to at least try, if the asteroid is going to hit anyway.

      the argument that "it could be worse if the asteroid is broken apart" is meaningless if leaving it intact still means extinction.

    5. Re:nukes ARE best. by Mr_Dyqik · · Score: 2

      The point is that on hitting the atmosphere, the rate at which a meteor burns up is proportional to the surface area over the volume (for uniformly distributed frictional heating, constant density, etc. etc.). So if you split a 100 m radius asteroid into 1000 10 m radius asteroids, a much lower mass will hit the ground, assuming that the bits are seperated enough that they see "fresh" atmosphere. If they all still hit together, then slipstreaming etc. will occur and there won't be much difference.

      SO a 1000 10 m radius asteroids cannot do _more_ damage than a 100 m radius asteroid, and might do much less.

  3. Bruce Willis by Kandel · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Aah...not to worry...for we will always have Bruce Willis willing to sacrifice himself to save Earth.

    1. Re:Bruce Willis by jforr · · Score: 1
      Aah...not to worry...for we will always have Bruce Willis willing to sacrifice himself to save Earth.
      DAMNIT, thank you for ruining another perfectly good movie for me to watch. Next time include a spoiler warning!
    2. Re:Bruce Willis by Kandel · · Score: 1

      Spolier warning, eh? hmm...Noted. :)

    3. Re:Bruce Willis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, it's not like he told you the kid in Sixth Sense can see dead people or anything.

    4. Re:Bruce Willis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      1. Armageddon was NOT "a perfectly good movie". You cannot spoil it further.
      2. A real spoiler for the Sixth Sense is that Bruce Willis is DEAD, HE'S THE GHOST!


      You're welcome.
  4. So what do we do today?? by FortKnox · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So what do we do today??

    Pray. And give money and support funding to any program that maps the sky for asteroids. Cause if any are on their way (I'd say 30 years or less), well... we're just f*cked.

    --
    Good quote, too many chars. Seriously, the slashdot 120 char limit sucks!
    1. Re:So what do we do today?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If there are any on their way, we're toast whether or not we donate money to these pointless programmes. So you might as well ignore the whole issue and have fun with your cash or donate towards a problem that actually has a reasonable achievable solution.

    2. Re:So what do we do today?? by thgreatoz · · Score: 1

      Like THIS one??

      --
      When their numbers dwindled from 50 to 8, the dwarves began to suspect Hungry.
    3. Re:So what do we do today?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We might as well do today what we do about global climate change, antibiotic resistance microbes, overpopulation, nuclear proliferation, the fact that we're burning fossil fuels like crazy and not developing rational alternatives... Just, like, ignore it an hope it goes away (or at least holds off until we're dead so our kids can just deal with it, Mad Max style).

    4. Re:So what do we do today?? by tijnbraun · · Score: 1

      It's more like "what are we not doing today".....
      I think that the chance of crippling the economic society as we know today through the effect of global warming is much bigger than that by means of the impact of an asteroid...
      "At least several decades warning"... well Arrhenius already predicted global warming in 1896 or so... how much more decades of warning do you want?

  5. Time? by AKnightCowboy · · Score: 0

    Time is something we don't have people. We've got 18 days to train a bunch of dumb oil riggers, launch them into space, drill a big deep shaft for a nuke and blow that asteroid in two so it passes cleanly on either side of the earth or else we are FINISHED! Let's get to it! Please, put the romantic subplot on hold for the time being. 18 days is very little time to ready a shuttle much less save the earth from extinction so we need all of you on your toes.

    1. Re:Time? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your sig/username combo is the stupidest one I've ever seen.

    2. Re:Time? by thgreatoz · · Score: 1

      you think yours is better??

      --
      When their numbers dwindled from 50 to 8, the dwarves began to suspect Hungry.
  6. Huge Asteroids: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Nature's "reset" switch for Earth. Sometimes you just need to stop what yer doin' and reboot. 'At's what I say.

    1. Re:Huge Asteroids: by Cervantes · · Score: 1

      Does that mean Earth runs Win98?

      --
      If I knew the wedgies I gave you back in 6th grade would have resulted in this . . . I might have taken a moments pause.
    2. Re:Huge Asteroids: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's be clear about this. We're aren't "saving the planet" by targetting asteroids. We're saving ourselves.

      We're keeping planet as is for the exclusive use of Homo Sapiens, the enemy of all other life on Planet Earth.

    3. Re:Huge Asteroids: by Tumbleweed · · Score: 2

      Reset switch? Nah, more like FDisk!

    4. Re:Huge Asteroids: by Tablizer · · Score: 2

      Nature's "reset" switch for Earth. Sometimes you just need to stop what yer doin' and reboot. 'At's what I say.

      I suggest you, God Gates, step down and let a different god work with this OS for a while. Reboot might be your habit, but there are better ways.

    5. Re:Huge Asteroids: by v8interceptor · · Score: 1

      Except you'll get an alert window saying this: "Would you like to save the civilization you've been working on?" [Yes] [No] [Cancel] If [Yes], select location to save: \\moon\ \\mars\ \\bunker\ \\giant_ark_in_space\

      --
      --- Why are you wearing that stupid bunny suit? | Why are you wearing that stupid man suit?
    6. Re:Huge Asteroids: by Mr_Dyqik · · Score: 2

      No. If that was the case we'd get hit every few hours.

      What's happened is that God's finally finished compiling a new kernel, and he really needs a journalling religion.

  7. Carlin quote by DrEldarion · · Score: 5, Funny

    (although "near hits" would be more accurate)

    Gotta love George Carlin:

    Speaking of potential mishaps, here's a phrase that apparently the airlines simply made up: near miss. They say that if two planes almost collide it's a near miss. Bullshit, my friend. It's a near hit! A collision is a near miss.
    [WHAM! CRUNCH!]
    "Look, they nearly missed!"
    "Yes, but not quite."


    -- Dr. Eldarion --

    1. Re:Carlin quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      You have to have a pretty poor grasp of the English language not to grasp this one.
      If you did as much drugs as George Carlin, your grasp of English would probably slip a little too.

      On the bright side, your sense of humour might improve.

    2. Re:Carlin quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The glass is half empty or half full, depending on which side of the marketing team you are on.

    3. Re:Carlin quote by Drog · · Score: 1

      Ha! I was wondering how many people would get that reference. I love George Carlin...

      --

      Looking for political forums? Check out "The World Forum".

    4. Re:Carlin quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And what about near-death experiences? Are they deaths that were near their targets? Should we call them near-life?

    5. Re:Carlin quote by jonnythan · · Score: 2

      Near miss: They almost missed, but not quite. They hit.

      Near hit: They almost hit, but not quite. They missed.

      Near death: He almost died, but not quite. He lived.

      Near life: He almost lived, but not quite. He died.

    6. Re:Carlin quote by wirelessbuzzers · · Score: 1

      Sort of reminds me of "Sarge almost dodged Visor's rocket."

      --
      I hereby place the above post in the public domain.
    7. Re:Carlin quote by Furikuri+Yugi · · Score: 1

      Quite so I think that the airlines just phrase it that way to make people feel better, its a phycic thing.

    8. Re:Carlin quote by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2

      One's grasp of this sort of English is inversely proportional to one's preference for logic. According to crufty aspects of the English language, "inflammable" means the same as "flammable", and "Aren't you going to the store" is supposed to be asnwered as if the question was "Are you going to the store", which when you pull apart the contraction "aren't" into "are not", is the exact opposite question: "Are not you going to the store?", "Yes, I am not going to the store."

      English is not very logical.

      --

      Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

    9. Re:Carlin quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "Aren't you going to the store" is supposed to be asnwered as if the question was "Are you going to the store"

      The two have different connotations. The "aren't" version implies the asker has an expectation that the other is going to the store. This useful construction appears in many languages, not just English.

    10. Re:Carlin quote by IPFreely · · Score: 3, Insightful
      OK, so what's a Far Miss?
      Or better yet, what's a Far Hit?

      I think of a near miss as a miss that was close enough to be scary. A far miss is like passing by at a safe distance.

      It sounds like you are/he is treating "Near" as "Nearly" or "Almost". I think of "Near" as close distance.

      --
      There is nothing so silly as other peoples traditions, and nothing so sacred as our own.
    11. Re:Carlin quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bleh, all you tightasses.. glass is half empty/glass is half full.. near miss/near hit.

      Everyones trying to prove they are a bit smarter than the next guy on this site and it just makes crap reading.

    12. Re:Carlin quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I actually thought the same thing you did, but the Slashbot has spoken and got +5, and mentioned George Carlin! From now on until the end of time, popular opinion will say that the near in "near miss" means nearly, and therefore, near miss will be inaccurate.

    13. Re:Carlin quote by Fesh · · Score: 2

      I dunno... I think a lot of the weirdisms of English probably came from the French. And I think you forgot to switch ends on the question. "You are going to the store, are you not?" -> "You're going to the store, aren't you?" -> "Aren't you going to the store?"

      *shrug* Just felt like piping up.

      --
      --Fesh
      Kill -9 'em all, let root@localhost sort 'em out.
    14. Re:Carlin quote by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2

      "You are going to the store, are you not?" is the same question phrased opposite ways. When asked the same question opposite ways, I always answer with a full sentence, not just "yes" or "no". I view such questions as the sort that "yes" and "no" are not useful answers for. It's the same as being asked an "or" question and answering "yes". It's technically valid, but often not particularly helpful:

      "Are you going to walk to the store or drive your car?"
      "Yes".

      "Are you going to the store or staying home?"
      "Yes".

      "You are going to the store, aren't you?"
      "Yes".

      I view the above three examples as having the same identical kind of ambiguity to them.

      --

      Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

    15. Re:Carlin quote by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2

      Yes, I know what it means. The problem is that connotation is in direct opposition to the literal meaning, and that bothers me because I have the sense that the literal *should* always trump the connotative. It's a good thing when adding the connotative interpetation to a statement adds additional meaning to it. It's bad, though, when adding the connotative interpetation INVERTS the meaning of the statement in addition to adding more information.

      --

      Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

    16. Re:Carlin quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      It's bad, though, when adding the connotative interpetation INVERTS the meaning of the statement in addition to adding more information.

      You don't say [snicker]. In my eyes it's not realy inverting the meaning, though. It's closer to "You're not going to the store?" as an observation, presented as a question to invite disagreement.

    17. Re:Carlin quote by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2
      It's closer to "You're not going to the store?" as an observation, presented as a question to invite disagreement.
      Sure, but normally if I make a tentative statement and await disagreement or agreement, "yes" means agreement, and "no" means disagreement, so if someone says "I say X is not true, what do you say?" then "yes" would mean "I also think X is not true." At least it would if the language was logical.

      "You're not going to the store. discuss."
      "Yes, I concur. I am not going."

      --

      Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

  8. More pieces is bad...why? by dnoyeb · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I thought more pieces would have more surface area. More surface area would produce more friction traveling through the atmosphere. More friction would create more heat and thus be able to burn up asteroids that would otherwise not totally burn in the atmosphere.

    Is my science wrong?

    1. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by tellezj · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The whole "create more heat" thing would probably be the bad part, since a large asteroid would likely heat up a relatively significant portion of the atmosphere a non-trivial amount. Might take a while to ultimately dissipate all that excess heat.

      --

      End of Line.

    2. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by f.money · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Your reasoning is correct as far as it goes. But say all those "little" pieces are still too big to burn up in the atmosphere. Now, instead of one big impact, you get N impacts over a wider area (where N>1). Less impacts == good, more impacts == bad (in the general case).


      Jon

    3. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 5, Informative

      The science is right, but I think your scale is wrong. We're talking about objects measured in kilometers. The objects are WAY too big to just burn up in the atmoshere. An object that can be chopped in half and have both pieces burn up was never a real threat anyway.

      -B

    4. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Space Vacuum
      No One can hear you scream

      Anyway earths gravity or the suns is going to help much either

    5. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by Bill+Currie · · Score: 2
      energy in = energy out. In this case, efficiency doesn't matter as the heat alone from that much stuff burning up in the atmosphere could be an issue, then there's the shockwaves in the air (may not be a problem), then there's the fact that you're not going to get every big piece, and some will be big enough to cause problems when they hit the ground and/or water, and you'll have more than one. Think shotgun.

      Pound it into dust completely? The stuff will wind up suspended in the upper atmosphere: I don't think anybody will be thinking global warming is a problem :). If the fine stuff doesn't wind up in the atmosphere, it might wind up in orbit: "Ooh, look, Earth now has pretty rings! Um... where did the sun go?"

      Mind you, I think global winter would be less of a problem than a big one hitting: gives us more time to pick up the pieces.

      --

      Bill - aka taniwha
      --
      Leave others their otherness. -- Aratak

    6. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by dattaway · · Score: 2

      Yes, I'd rather be hit with a bail of hay than of a bullet carrying the same kenetic energy. Neither would be pleasant, but I'll take the distributed forces any day.

    7. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My understanding is that while breaking up the asteroid would indeed make it more likely to burn up, this would not be the best idea. First, if the pieces were not broken down small enough, we would have multiple impacts instead of just one (large) impact. Second, even if you do break it up enough, you're still dumping a huge amount of energy into/onto the planet . . . but now, instead of directing it at the planet itself, you're directing that same amount of energy into the atmosphere . . . which means long-term effects -- screwed up weather for decades? centuries? millenia? dunno . . . and if you're unlucky and have a few big pieces and a bunch of small pieces, you have impacts + screwed up weather!

      http://www.badastronomy.com/bad/movies/di2.html# ka boom

    8. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by jandrese · · Score: 2

      Seems like smaller impacts that wipe out a few cities and send rather nasty tidal surges might be better than a single big hit that cracks the mantle and spells doom for the human race.

      Even better might be cracking the asteroid in several pieces so most of the mass misses the Earth.

      It seems to me that if we're going to go for the nukes, we're going to want to bring enough to do the job right. I don't want some Texas sized asteroid broken into Kansas sized chunks. I want the asteroid broken into pieces small enough that we can survive a few hit. It seems to me that you could fit quite a bit of fissionable material in the space shuttle.

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    9. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by f.money · · Score: 1
      Seems like smaller impacts that wipe out a few cities and send rather nasty tidal surges might be better than a single big hit that cracks the mantle and spells doom for the human race.

      See other posts about ejecta from the impact site. (btw, we're (or should be) talking about civilisation destroying sized asteroids here, so the impact energies are in the mega- to giga- ton range).


      Even better might be cracking the asteroid in several pieces so most of the mass misses the Earth.

      Noble thought. Where do you place the nuke to accomplish this? You'd have to know the internal structure of the asteroid. Which means you'd have to go out there and do some seismic testing. Which would take a while (plus the fact that we don't have the capability to do this at the moment). And you'd have to precisely place the nuke. This Ain't Gonna Happen...


      Jon
    10. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by thgreatoz · · Score: 1

      You can't crack the mantle, it's molten.

      --
      When their numbers dwindled from 50 to 8, the dwarves began to suspect Hungry.
    11. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      More pieces is bad if they still hit earth, because of the destruction all that junk in the atmosphere would cause. But, for the interested, here are some quick calculations:

      An asteroid 1000 km in diameter is about 40e15 kg mass
      Traveling 10,000 km/s gives it about 2e24 joules of energy
      All of the nukes we know about is around 10,000 Megatons, or about 50e18 joules

      That means that all the nukes we know about would deflect this puppy about 0.0001%. It would still have to be a very long way off for this to make much difference.

      Quick References for data: http://www.algonet.se/~sirius/eaae/newsl4/hb.htm

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    12. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by _ph1ux_ · · Score: 2

      Here's a question....

      What effect do objects that come into the atmosphere have on it? Does a large meteor burning up in the atmosphere burn up and destroy atmospheric gases - and create new ones? and on what scale.

      Obviously it would take a whole hell of a lot of meteors to cause rather large scale damage to an atmosphere - but imagine if there was a tremendous amount of space travel. If (like in Sci-FI futures) there were personal vehicles - like cars - that were capable of breaking int orbit - and most people did this on a typical commute, and every re-entry casued a "burn-up" - would a planet only be able to withstand so much of this before it had adverse effects on the planets atmosphere?

    13. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're right on the money. If we are sure the big rock will hit, 2 pieces is better than 1. Why? Because it is the concentrated energy at any disperate point of impact as related to the planets tolerance that is key. Breaking up the rock will lower the concentration over space (point of impact) and time (one piece may hit before another). This is all better than one cencentrated hit but whether it is "enough" is another story. It certainly, contrary to all the BULLSHIT being spoken here, is NOT any worse.

      How to illustrate this? Uh, ok, take a rock big enough to break a pane of glass. Hurl it. Neato. Next, replace glass and break rock into 2 pieces and put into bucket. Hurl contents of bucket into glass. Does it break? Probably first time yes. Next, break each of 2 pieces into 2 pieces. Repeat. Rinse. At some point the pieces will be small enough so as not to break the pane of glass.

      Now this is not to say we can break the roid into enough pieces, but certainly, certainly breaking it up is better than not; if we're talking about the survival of the species.

    14. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by swv3752 · · Score: 2

      But split it in half and it each half now has half the kinetic energy.

      --
      Just a Tuna in the Sea of Life
    15. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by rcw-home · · Score: 2
      Traveling 10,000 km/s gives it about 2e24 joules of energy

      Things traveling at over 3% of the speed of light are categorically not in orbit around the sun.

    16. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also, an asteroid 1000 km in diameter isn't an asteroid, it's not even a small moon. It's a large moon or a freakin' planet.

      Try 1 or 2 km diameter so it's remotely realistic.

      An Orion spaceship could probably divert one of these fairly easily.

    17. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      Sorry, I meant 10,000 m/s. The calculations are correct, though.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    18. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by Hal-9001 · · Score: 2

      More heat is a bad thing. Dissipating that much heat in the atmosphere makes everyone a crispy critter, even if none of the pieces hit the surface.

      --
      "It take 9 months to bear a child, no matter how many women you assign to the job."
    19. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actaully your science isn't that good. Think about this...if you have 1 big chunk....the surface area is A. Now smash it.......the surface area is A + all those faces that used to be toughing. You've probable increased the TOTAL surface ares quite a bit. Now If you've mase MOST of the pieces small enough to burn-up, you've prolly done some good. HOWEVER if many of those pieces hit...you've increased the carnage. It's like going from getting hit by a 90 mile and hour fast ball to running into a wall at 15 miles and hour. Less force anyone one place, but you damage a lot more of the earth's surface, kick up ALOT more dust, and make your situation worse.

    20. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by ebh · · Score: 1

      Here's the problem. Once you split it, the frags start spinning. Plus, they're still pretty big, so you have to split them again and again until they're rendered harmless. But by then there's quite a few of them, and it's hard to chase one down without knocking into another.

      And if that isn't enough, this little bleeping thing comes on from offscreen and starts SHOOTING at you!

    21. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by br0ck · · Score: 1

      If you pound it into dust with nukes, won't it be highly radioactive dust??

      For some reason this thread reminds me of the highly detailed dissertation about the Endor Holocaust that attempts to prove that Luke killed all of the poor little Ewoks when he destroyed the death star. Yes, the proof is tongue-in-cheek, but it still gives some interesting science about what happens when a large mass is destroyed within range of a planet.

    22. Re:More pieces is bad...why? by dcmeserve · · Score: 1

      > Yes, I'd rather be hit with a bail of hay than of a bullet carrying the same kenetic energy. Neither would be pleasant, but I'll take the distributed forces any day.

      But what if the bale of hay were traveling at Mach 2; the bullet at, oh I dunno, mach 20? The bullet would pierce through you, with some shockwave effects, but the bale of hay would atomize you. Which one gives you a better chance of survival?

      --
      "Orthodoxy is unconsciousness" - Orwell
  9. Bring it on by jmcwork · · Score: 2, Funny

    As long as you can guarantee Tea Leoni is underneath it, I say leave it alone.

    1. Re:Bring it on by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wouldn't mind having Tea Leoni underneath me, first!

  10. Where's Voltron?? by heka-rup · · Score: 2, Funny

    I thought Voltron was responsible for threats of that nature.

    1. Re:Where's Voltron?? by Wiseazz · · Score: 5, Funny

      Damn straight. Just Form Blazing Sword and the day is saved! Screw the lions... go straight to the sword.

      --
      My sig sucks.
    2. Re:Where's Voltron?? by youBastrd · · Score: 1

      No, no, no... use your tractor beam! Or extend your ship's warp field bubble to change the gravitational forces near the rock, or just become Q and change the gravitational constant of the universe.

      Voltron? That's just sci-fi, man.

      --
      No one has ever fired for blaming Microsoft.
    3. Re:Where's Voltron?? by fenix+down · · Score: 1

      I can understand not believing in God, the moon landings, CowboyNeal, etc. That's healthy skepticism, but not believing in Voltron... That just seems wrong. We need an Office of Giant Robot Lion Based Initiatives or something fast, before we turn into a nation of Voltronless commie bastards.

  11. A couple of ideas by PhysicsGenius · · Score: 0, Funny
    If you want lead time, you have to see them sooner. Seeing them sooner implies that at some early date they are visible on a photographic plate, which in turn implies that an image be captured, preferably ASAP. The only way to do this is to make sure you take pictures prior to the the "drop dead" date.

    As for pushing them aside, there are several options. You can deflect an asteroid. You can perturb the orbit. You can also lateralize the velocity vector. One approach that I haven't seen talked about much is bending the worldline of the asteroid such that it no longer intersects Earth's worldline, but that method may require some scientific advances beyond our current technology.

    Just my $.02.

  12. Stargate? by T-Kir · · Score: 5, Funny

    I'm reminded of an episode of Stargate SG1 (Failsafe) when Anubis sent an asteroid towards Earth.

    "O'Neill: I've seen this movie, it hits Paris."

    --
    Are you local? There's nothing for you here!
    1. Re:Stargate? by Havoc'ing · · Score: 1

      Actually I think it was New York, no great travisty since it was all polyester, huge collars, denium and earth tones at the time of course. -g

    2. Re:Stargate? by kannibal_klown · · Score: 1

      While I love the show, what I like from that episode was their solution. Just before it enters earth's atmosphere... we'll send the thing through hyperspace for like 0.5 seconds, and it will seeminly pass through the earth without making physical contact with the earth.

      While I have NO idea about the physical possibility about it, what I found so funny was...

      NOBODY NOTICED A MOON-SIZED ASTEROID JUST ABOVE THE ATMOSPHERE COMING RIGHT AT 'EM.

      I mean, COME ON. You mean to tell me that nobody decided to look UP at that particular time of day and see a huge ROCK in the sky?

      And then, how was the AirForce supposed to explain it dissapearing, and showing up on the OTHER SIDE (still nobody noticing).

      Yeh, uhhh, ummm, Sigfried and Roy got a little carried away with one of their tricks. And, uhh, mmm.. HEY, LOOK OVER THERE. [runs away]
    3. Re:Stargate? by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      That was a weather balloon, nothing to see here, please go about your business. Have a nice day.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
  13. Ugh... by GeckoFood · · Score: 1

    ...a gentle sustained push is what's needed...

    Obviously, said experts haven't tried driving in the Washington DC rush hour.

    --
    Be excellent to each other. And... PARTY ON, DUDES!
    1. Re:Ugh... by nebenfun · · Score: 2

      "...a gentle sustained push is what's needed...."

      that is the exact thing I told my girlfriend...

      alas...she still says no.

      nbfn

    2. Re:Ugh... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No anal sex huh? :-(

  14. Solve the problem by debrain · · Score: 2

    Colonize other planets.

    It is important not that Earth will be hit by an asteroid, but that civilization, our species, as we have come to enjoy (and/or lament) will be annihilated.

    Remember the eggs in one's basket proverb?

    1. Re:Solve the problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, Jack - we'll get right on that.
      Where should I move to? Jupiter or Mercury?
      I hear Venus is lovely in the spring.

    2. Re:Solve the problem by Dog+and+Pony · · Score: 2

      Remember the eggs in one's basket proverb?

      Yeah, can't make an omelet without breaking them, right? :)

    3. Re:Solve the problem by Mantorp · · Score: 1

      Remember the eggs in one's basket proverb?

      This is your brain...This is your brain on eggs...Any questions?

    4. Re:Solve the problem by Puu · · Score: 1

      No, it's "Keep your eggs in one basket, and watch that basket!" (--Mark Twain)

    5. Re:Solve the problem by debrain · · Score: 2

      That's a different proverb.

  15. sound like... by cies · · Score: 1

    ...something i read on www.zetatalk.com.

    Creapy.

  16. ermmm... by Extrymas · · Score: 0

    ... I think we simply need a beowulf cluster of.. ohhhh... nevermind...

  17. Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by eyefish · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I was thinking, many of the options we have are merely theoretical. I'd like NASA to spend a few of my tax dollars actually *testing* out 2 or 3 of these ideas on a real asteroid to see if they really work.

    For example, will a near nuclear blast really be absorved by the meteor without it changing its course? How much of a force will it be needed to push an asteroid with rockets or the like?

    So let's test now so that when the real thing comes and we launch our savior to space, we don't find out in the last minute that it fails.

    On a side note, this shouldn't be a NASA-only effort, I think the European Space Agency and many other countries should ship in as well, as this concerns all of mankind.

    1. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by maggard · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Um - lovely idea.

      However its not like asteroids are particularly convenient to get to or anything. Right now there are a few spacecraft out there photographing asteroid & asteroid-like objects with plans to impact into one to see what happens, another to dig into one and further plans to bring back some material.

      All of this is very basic science and none of it is particularly focused on how to deflect or break up an asteroid. That would come much later, decades considering the slow rate of progress in this area. The programs cost lots of money, the transit times are long, there's not much particular urgency and budgets are (relatively) small.

      As many have noted the first step is just to get an idea of what we are dealing with, take a look around, figure out what the heck these things are even made of and exactly what history our planet has with these. Once we've got some ideas of what we're dealing with comes the stage of deciding how to do so.

      --
      I don't read ACs: If a post isn't worth so much as a nom de plume to its author then I wont bother either.
    2. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by Pedrito · · Score: 2

      Yeah, let's get started on this right away. I mean with NASA's knock-out record, they'll take an asteroid that isn't even close to hitting us and slam it smack dab in the middle of the U.S.

    3. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by sean23007 · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      Anonymous Cowards filtered. If their words aren't worth so much as a pen name why should I value them any more?

      When did "nom de plume" get the axe?

      --

      Lack of eloquence does not denote lack of intelligence, though they often coincide.
    4. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Calm down there, Frenchie, and accept the death of your shitty language.

    5. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      which would no doubt please thousands of /. readers...

    6. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by serutan · · Score: 2

      Instead of trying to destroy an incoming killer asteroid, what about capturing a small asteroid into Earth orbit in advance, and steering it into the path of an incoming one? Not to smash it but to pass close enough to gravitationally swing it off course? Seems like it would be easier to work on the engineering on an asteroid nearby, plus while it's here we could mine it.

    7. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by Cryogenes · · Score: 2

      Nonsense. That is what we have physicists for. This is an easy question of mechanics, the kind that an expert can be calculate on the back of an envelope.

    8. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by MrRee · · Score: 1

      Good thought. I'd hate to find out we failed to save our planet because of a BSD from the Microsoft Windows XP Mass Driver Edition.

    9. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by Pii · · Score: 2
      Speaking of the French...

      On Fox News this morning before I left for work, they had a guest that was talking about the French on the UN Security council, and the consessions they forced on the Iraq resolution.

      The guest quoted Groundskeeper Willie on the Simpsons:

      "The French are nothing but a bunch of cheese-eating surrender-monkeys."
      God damn, that's some funny shit. (Yeah, yeah... Off-topic. Blah, blah, blah...)
      --
      For those that would die defending it, Freedom
      has a sweet taste that the protected will never know.
    10. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      With as much red-tape, hand-wringing, and wastefulness as we'd already have to cope with in a US-only, NASA led effort, do you really think it's a good idea to include Europeans?

      Thanks, but no thanks. When something *has* to be done, I'll take my chances on us doing it by ourselves, even if it means we have to foot the bill on our own. It's not like we can't afford it. If accepting their money means accepting their input, they can keep it.

      Saving the world is a big job, but as we've shown in the past, we're up to it.

    11. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by Cruciform · · Score: 2

      It could be controlled via a java applet, and put on a site for kids! I can see the headlines now,

      "Little Jimmy Swenson Saves Earth! Demands Pony for Services Rendered."

    12. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Saving the world is a big job, but as we've shown in the past, we're up to it.

      Like Vietnam? Oh wait, bad example... Pearl harbour? No wait... Sept. 11? Nah... But I'm sure you people are up to it :)

    13. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2

      With a "nom de plume" you at least have a clear identifier to use to differentiate *this* particular anonymous author from *that* one. People can be fairly anonymous and still have a slashdot account where they just don't fill in much identifying data, or fill in obviously bogus identifying data. Slashdot nicknames are themselves already nom de plumes. I assure you that my real name is not really "Dunbar The Inept".

      What anonymous coward accounts promote is the inability to detect any pattern of who tends to write what kinds of posts, so you can't figure out if, for example, all the troll posts you see are actually coming from only one or two individuals.

      Even if you didn't know that Mark Twain == Samuel Clemens, you still could be able to tell from the Nom De Plume that Huck Finn, Tom Sawyer, and Conneticutt Yankee in King Author's Court were all written by the same guy who wrote editorials like "The Innocents Abroad" and "Letters from the Earth".

      --

      Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

    14. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by rthille · · Score: 2

      I can see it now. NASA tests a mass-driver method of moving an asteroid. 50 years later that asteroid comes out of the sun (so we don't have warning) and smacks us right in the ass! I think the lawyers would have a field day with that one :-)

      --
      Awesome furniture, accessories and cabinetry in Santa Rosa, CA: http://humanity-home.com/
    15. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not necessarily. Given that we don't precisely know the albedo of a given PHO, it is difficult to get a good estimate of the mass. This complicates things.

    16. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by geoswan · · Score: 2
      However its not like asteroids are particularly convenient to get to or anything. Right now there are a few spacecraft out there photographing asteroid & asteroid-like objects with plans to impact into one to see what happens, another to dig into one and further plans to bring back some material.

      Well, if we are really going to test our ability to divert potentially earth-striking asteroids, why shouldn't our test asteroid be reasonably hard to get to? Even when the Earth strikers are too close for comfortable, they will still be hard to rendevous with. Won't their velocity relative to the Earth be greater than the Earth's escape velocity?

      And, if we are going to allow the decades, centuries or millenia necessary to divert the asteroid from collision, we will need to rendevous when it is at least as distant as the several alarms we had this summer.

      All of this is very basic science and none of it is particularly focused on how to deflect or break up an asteroid. That would come much later, decades considering the slow rate of progress in this area. The programs cost lots of money, the transit times are long, there's not much particular urgency and budgets are (relatively) small.

      Now I regret NASA didn't get permission to put a nuke aboard Near.

    17. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by maggard · · Score: 3, Insightful
      It almost feels like you're trying to argue with me, don't bother. I'm not debating any of this.

      We're barely exploring these objects. The current missions can be counted on one hand. The proposed missions can be counted on the other. All of them are stretched out over decades.

      We're nowhere near making useful plans of the sort you're proposing. Heck, we're not even completely sure what a "typical" asteroidal object is like and just how much they diverge. Never mind not having anything that can get anywhere out there without several years of preparation and the possible targets limited to what gravity assists offer.

      I'm all for research on this stuff, but before you plan on jumping in your rocketship you might want to become acquainted with what the current state of the art is and what can be realistically be anticipated in the near to mid term.

      First lets figure out WHAT these are like and HOW to GET there BEFORE even starting working on diverting or demolishing 'em.

      --
      I don't read ACs: If a post isn't worth so much as a nom de plume to its author then I wont bother either.
    18. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by fname · · Score: 1

      So, you want to put a nuclear weapon onto of the world's largest chemical explosion? Granted, that's why all of our ICBM's were designed for, but our unmanned rockets are probably 98-99% succesful. If WWIII has already started, that's probably good enough. I'm betting the US would have a tough time launching from Florida or California, maybe they could use SeaLaunch?

      The amount of money it would take to design an asteroid satellite it large. It'd be a heavy payload going into deep-space, so you'd need a big rocket. We got those. Secure communications, we got those. You could probably jerry-rig one pretty quick if you had to, but not for a test. This is more of a long term problem, and there are more important things we need to do in space during the next 100 years than get ready for a once-in-a-million year asteroid strike.

      Blowing up a nuke near an asteroid just because you don't understand the problem is the kind of solution put forward by those with little minds.

    19. Re:Shouldn't we try some of this ideas first? by geoswan · · Score: 2
      No, I am not trying to argue with you. And I don't think a single nuke would do much to divert or demolish anything large. Maybe a single nuke wouldn't even make much of a dent on a Tunguska sized asteroid. Think of it as a thought experiment. Maybe I should have said "I almost wish NASA had permission to take a nuke aboard NEAR"?

      But, what captures the public's imagination about asteroid research? Diverting the very infrequent destructive asteroids.

      What is the smallest, least massive nuke in the US arsenal? Was it the one designed to be fired from 155mm cannon? Would studying the effect of blowing up one of these relatively small devices provide useful info as to the structural integrity of the asteroid?

      Would it have value even if the research value was dubious, because it would capture the public's imagination? Do people like to see stuff "blow up real good"?

  18. Small fragments better than one large by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 2

    Frankly, many smaller fragments would probably be better than a large asteroid. I would like to hear the reasons why a large, thermonuclear device would not be a good idea.

    As an example, take two identical cars. On one car, drop a bowling bowl on the roof. On the other car, drop pebble with the combined weight of the bowling bowl. Now compare the damage.

    Besides, more material would burn up in the atmosphere if there was a hail of smaller rocks rather than one large rock. The surface would be greater - as simple as that.

    Any physics geeks care to give me some numbers?

    --

    Stop the brainwash

    1. Re:Small fragments better than one large by siphoncolder · · Score: 2, Informative
      Relatively, your example works.

      Relatively, 1000 1-meter rocks are better than 1 1-km rock.

      Actually, however, a single 1-meter rock getting through will still do a boatload of damage - it won't be a planet killer, but the damage will still be more than say, those 2 aircraft that flew into the world trade center towers.

      In order for any explosive asteroid deterrant system to work well, you still have to make sure that the asteroid will be sufficiently vaporized to be eaten up in the atmosphere. You have to guarantee that the asteroid will become something more like sand. A nuclear blast will probably not do that (especially not in space, where there's no atmosphere to propagate the blast).

      That's why so many systems rely more on controllable methods like redirection - we can guarantee those better.

      --
      i'm amazed that i survived - an airbag saved my life.
    2. Re:Small fragments better than one large by gl4ss · · Score: 2

      as mentioned in one response: if that rubble that would come from it after breaking it up wasn't big pieces enough to bomb us to stone age, it wouldnt be a significant threat in the first place..

      maybe with right sized object tho..

      i'm no physics geek though.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    3. Re:Small fragments better than one large by kannibal_klown · · Score: 1

      Whlie I sort of agree to an extent, an asteroid the size of NJ hitting California is far worse than that same mass/volume hitting the entire east coast (since the NJ size asteroid would take out ALL of America). Unfortunately, you're thinking on too small of a scale.

      Let's say you have a big friggin asteroid, and you break it up. The fragments and and probably will be the size CARS. Now, imagine a few hundred, perhaps even thousand" cars falling from the sky over a populated area.

      In a case like this, not only do you have to worry about people on the street getting hit, but buildings as well. And, unlike your pebble dinging your car, these things will be able to do A LOT of damage.

      I'd hate to say it, but watch the first 5 or 10 minutes of Armeggedon. Those fragmets were SUPPOSEDLY the size of bowling balls and volvos. Yet, traveling at such speeds, they could easily take out skyscrapers and the lot. Now, depending on how far this would happen from the earth, the damage could be confined to say, 1 state, or it could spread across an entire continent. In that case, 1 or more countries would be completely screwed since they would no longer have any infrastructure, many would be died or seriously injured, and possibly radioactive (depending on the composition of the thing).

    4. Re:Small fragments better than one large by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Total kinetic energy remains the same.
      If an un-fragmented asteroid can hit us with 100 MegaTonnes of force...the fragments will still total up to 100 MT.
      Even if you pulverize it into dust... the 100MT may just get deposited into the atmosphere instead of on the ground
      If the sky above you heats up 1,000 degrees you are still as dead as if the meteorite hit you on the ground and heats up (explodes) the ground 10,000 degrees

      Thomas Dzubin

    5. Re:Small fragments better than one large by mmol_6453 · · Score: 2

      I'd rather see multiple bombs. Preferably as close to the surface as possible. (but not underneath)

      The idea would be for each bomb to form a crater, and push against the large surface area that makes available.

      If I'm not mistaken, the only reason nuclear weapons exert a push is that they vaporize surfaces exposed to them, and those gases push against the surface as they expand. So, you really want two things: 1) Vaporize as much material as possible and 2) ensure that all the gases expand in the same direction.

      Note that the gasses should expand in the direction opposite that which you want the asteroid to go.

      --
      What's this Submit thingy do?
    6. Re:Small fragments better than one large by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      I think the idea is : if the asteroid is big enough that if you break it up into 20 pieces that are _each_ big enough to destroy civilization, you haven't really solved the problem, because only one needs to get through.

    7. Re:Small fragments better than one large by Casca · · Score: 2

      Wrong scale. Try taking something the size of 10000 bowling balls and dropping it on the car from a mile up. There is a chance it might miss altogether right? Now, break it up into 10000 bowling balls and drop them from the same height. Now you have to get missed by 10000 of them. One of the choices is you are really really really dead unless you get missed by one object, the other choice is that you are just dead unless you get missed by 10000 objects. Not much of a choice really.

      --
      Casca
    8. Re:Small fragments better than one large by Xaoswolf · · Score: 2
      Here's a better example, for this you need three cars, and three cannons.

      Fire a ball out of the first cannon, it pretty much destroys the car, that is the asteroid hitting the earth.

      Now, take the second cannon and load it with nice finly ground sand. Fire the sand at the car. You wind up needing a new paint job, and probably a nice dent. That is what most people think you get when you blow up an asteroid. Millions and millions of itty bitty rocks.

      Now, take the third cannon ball, and light a big ol' M80 underneath it. What you are left with are lots of big craggy peices of crap, some teeny weeny peices of dust, and a few in between peices. Load up the cannon, shoot the car, and instead of punching a hole striaght throught the center, it rips the car in half in much the same way some buck shot would cut a man in half.

      Now, if we can find a way to grind to asteroid into a fine powder, then we are all safe, otherwise, we are screwed.

    9. Re:Small fragments better than one large by TyZone · · Score: 2
      Nuclear bombs to blow up mountain-sized asteroids? Okay, let's use the "bowling ball and automobile" test to examine likely outcomes.

      Take a number of identical cars and a number of identical 16-pound bowling balls. To simulate the effect of nuclear explosions on asteroids the size of mountains, we'll set off an M-80 on the surface of one ball, and another M-80 inside the finger hole of another ball. To make the test more interesting, we'll hire a movie star to play the part of an oil-well driller and have him drill a hole in a third ball and we'll set off an M-80 at the center.

      Let's assume that these are *really powerful* M-80's and that they actually have some effect on the balls.

      Now, since we're talking about asteroids falling from distant orbit, we'll need to do a little better than just dropping the balls onto the cars, right?

      Take an intact bowling ball and fire it from a cannon at a car. Examine the damage. This is our control. We want to reduce the damage to the point where sitting inside the car during the experiment would be an acceptable risk.

      The ball that had the explosion on its surface is slighly chipped. Put the the 15.99-pound fragment and the chips into the cannon and fire them at another car. Examine the damage and assess the difference from the first car. Probably not much difference.

      The ball that had the explosion in the finger hole has a divot taken out of it. Put the 14.9-pound fragment and the 1.1-pound divot into the cannon and fire them at another car. Examine the damage. More holes, but I still wouldn't want to be in the car.

      The ball that had the explosion at its center has been reduced to 16 fragments of approximately equal size and a number of smaller bits. Put 16 0.9-pound fragments and the bits into the cannon and fire them at another car. Sixteen holes. I still don't want to be in the car.

      The number of explosions required to reduce the ball to a collection of bits with no large chunks is probably large. It'd probably take a lot of time to set up and execute. Let's assume that we've done this, and fill the cannon with 16 pounds of marbles. Fire at yet another car.

      Hmmmm.

      I think the best solution is to push the cannon (the asteroid) sideways so that it isn't pointing at our car (the Earth).

      --
      TyZone
    10. Re:Small fragments better than one large by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem with the analogy is that, while dropping the pebbles would do much less damage to the innards of the car than the bowling ball, it's the paint that we're worried about. We only live on the very tips of the crust after all.

      Maybe if we dig ourselves way into the planet and then blow the asteroid to a million pieces...

      Aww hell. Nevermind, I call the seat next to Tea.

    11. Re:Small fragments better than one large by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A nuke is a very small device, with little mass. Detonating it releases a lot of photonic energy, but not much of a blast (by comparison). So, detonating a large nuke next to an asteroid, may melt it's surface a little due to the heat, but it won't do anything to alter its course. Heck, it won't even crack it.

      Do the test yourself:
      Hold your hand up to the sun: How hard does it press on you? Now, how many suns would you need to change the course of an asteroid? The gravity of the suns would do it, but not the nuclear blast.

    12. Re:Small fragments better than one large by dcmeserve · · Score: 1

      > Relatively, 1000 1-meter rocks are better than 1 1-km rock. Make that 1 billion 1-meter rocks ( 1 cubic km = 1000*1000*1000 meters). > In order for any explosive asteroid deterrant system to work well, you still have to make sure that the asteroid will be sufficiently vaporized to be eaten up in the atmosphere. Actually, that's even worse. If we break it up enough for the atmosphere to dissipate all the energy, that just means we're making sure the *surface* of the earth gets *all* the energy. Read: equivalent to nuclear armaggedon (actually probably a lot more energy than that). If it was in one big piece, the interior of the planet will take on a big chunk of the energy, and dissipate it as heat.

      --
      "Orthodoxy is unconsciousness" - Orwell
    13. Re:Small fragments better than one large by dcmeserve · · Score: 1

      (whoops, my previous post was formatted wrong)

      > Relatively, 1000 1-meter rocks are better than 1 1-km rock.

      Make that 1 billion 1-meter rocks ( 1 cubic km = 1000*1000*1000 meters).

      > In order for any explosive asteroid deterrant system to work well, you still have to make sure that the asteroid will be sufficiently vaporized to be eaten up in the atmosphere.

      Actually, that's even worse. If we break it up enough for the atmosphere to dissipate all the energy, that just means we're making sure the *surface* of the earth gets *all* the energy. Read: equivalent to nuclear armaggedon (actually probably a lot more energy than that). If it was in one big piece, the interior of the planet will receive a big chunk of the energy, and dissipate it as heat.

      The only way breaking it up would be better is if the dust is dissapated widely enough that only a tiny fraction of it impacts the earth (per orbital pass).

      --
      "Orthodoxy is unconsciousness" - Orwell
    14. Re:Small fragments better than one large by dcmeserve · · Score: 1

      > Now, if we can find a way to grind to asteroid into a fine powder, then we are all safe...

      Nope. Think about the Leonids. They're a very very diffuse cloud of dust fragments, and they give us a nice light show. I don't know the numbers, but it couldn't be more than a few hundred kilograms of matter. The amount of matter from a 1-km asteroid is many orders of magnitude greater. Think of there being 1000 times as many meteors as in a leonid storm. Then multiply that enough times for the amount of light to be about the same as daylight. Then go another thousand times that. That's probably what we're talking about; I'd wager it's enough to fry everything.

      To think of it another way, think of 1 billion 1-meter objects airbursting within a similarly short time frame. Think of how much heat would be dissipated.

      Here's another angle:

      > Now, take the second cannon and load it with nice finly ground sand. Fire the sand at the car. You wind up needing a new paint job, and probably a nice dent...

      What if all you cared about was the paint (equiv. to the life on the surface of the earth)? One big cannon ball makes a big hole, but most of the surface, while disturbed, is still there. The sand blast would scrape off everything, even though the interior would be relatively unscathed. But there's no life in the interior of the earth; it can take a punch.

      --
      "Orthodoxy is unconsciousness" - Orwell
    15. Re:Small fragments better than one large by Xaoswolf · · Score: 2
      What if all you cared about was the paint (equiv. to the life on the surface of the earth)? One big cannon ball makes a big hole, but most of the surface, while disturbed, is still there. The sand blast would scrape off everything, even though the interior would be relatively unscathed. But there's no life in the interior of the earth; it can take a punch.

      If the earth were to be hit by the equiviliant of the cannonball, not only would the explosion from the impact probably kill everything on the same continent, but the resulting dust cloud would cause a nuclear winter for several thousand years.

      Either way, life is dead.

    16. Re:Small fragments better than one large by dcmeserve · · Score: 1

      I guess I'm just saying that an asteroid impact that's small enough to be survivable by a good fraction of the complex species could be rendered unsurvivable by any species if the asteroid were pulverized (and nearly all fragments still hit).

      --
      "Orthodoxy is unconsciousness" - Orwell
  19. Whgat's that old maxim.... by Spittoon · · Score: 1

    1. Well-made
    2. Cheap
    3. Fast

    Pick two. In this case we'd choose options 1 and 3. Or like the exchange in the preview for soon-to-bomb "The Core" (paraphrased):

    guy #1: "How much would it cost to finish your boring machine in three months?"
    guy #2: "50 billion dollars."
    guy #1: "Will you take a check?"

  20. Earth has made it this long w/out our intervention by krinsh · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I wonder if this is something we should really be focusing time and energy on. You know, there are, at a minimum, eight other planets in this solar system that we should investigate - maybe not colonize, maybe not exploit for mineral or chemical (gas or liquid) resources; but we should look at with humans - not robots. I think we'd gain considerable real insight if we looked beyond our terrestrial sphere.

    But then again; don't we have a few major telescopes in orbit; and thousands more both professional and personal (like mine) on the surface? Shouldn't we be able to note anything on an obvious trajectory here and consider our options at that point? Maybe not; I have no experience in that sort of 'ballistics' thinking and perhaps there are far too many objects in our sky to track any that might cause us serious damage.

    --
    I think with the interesting people, their lives can't possibly be wrapped up into a nice little package.
  21. Bear with me by ekrout · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I may be alone on this one, but please hear me out.

    There are many things that could put an end to life here on Earth as we know it. Some of these would end life for all 6 billion of us, or for just one or two. Life is precious; never take anything for granted, as the next moment of trechery may suddenly take it away.

    I urge you all to love, listen, smile, ask questions, donate time, donate money, learn new things, and teach others new and fascinating pieces of knowledge through the beauty of education. If you do these things, you will experience great happiness and will come to realize that preventing "killer asteroids" should be at the very bottom of your To Do list.

    Peace.

    --

    If you celebrate Xmas, befriend me (538
    1. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On that note, bear in mind that sometimes you need to act and act alone against treachery. We all cherish Peace, but to truly save our lives we may need to bomb, invade and kill those who are beligerent not just against us but their own people. If we don't, then we may one day find ourselves making a choice between jumping out of a 110 story building or burning to death.

    2. Re:Bear with me by Ian+Wolf · · Score: 1

      While its a little too "fluffy pink bunny" for this crowd, I fail to see how this was moderated "offtopic".

      --
      "The words of the prophets are written on the Slashdot walls."
    3. Re:Bear with me by micromoog · · Score: 5, Funny

      And please forward this to 20 of your closest friends.

    4. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ugh. Yet another victim of Apple's "switch" campaign. Thanks a lot, Steve.

    5. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dearest President Bush,

      Welcome to Slashdot.

      If you ever need the portraits of Mao, Hitler, and Stalin that you have hanging up in your office dusted off, let one of us know.

      Cheers,
      - We the People at Slashdot

    6. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Screw Peace. Peace is what lead 3000 people to decide to either jump out 110 story building or burn to death on 9/11. We all want Peace, and we want to live happily together, however the rest of the world is full of ignorant uneducated degenerates who are brain-washed into hating anything that is not their religion. In a day when nuclear weapons are wide-spread, I'd rather strike first than burn later.

    7. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That was the most brilliant god-forsaken troll I've ever read.

      I am awe.

    8. Re:Bear with me by GuyMannDude · · Score: 2

      In a day when nuclear weapons are wide-spread, I'd rather strike first than burn later.

      The problem, of course, is that the guys on the other side of the ocean are thinking the exact same thing...

      GMD

    9. Re:Bear with me by damien_kane · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      And please forward this to 20 of your closest friends

      There was a man from Earth, true story, who didn't forward this, and he died. Do you really want that to happen to you? If not, please FORWARD THIS EMAIL!!!

    10. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Screw you, Pal. I hope your mother has to jump some day.

    11. Re:Bear with me by SunPin · · Score: 1
      Your logic is faulty. If virtually anything can put an end to all existence then kindness is not the proper response. If nuclear bombs, comets, asteroids et al. can occur at any moment then "screw your neighbor" is the most ethical living available.

      Perhaps you've never seen anyone close to death or been close to death yourself. If your typical deathbed occupant is essentially a bad person, they will try to make amends. If this same person is essentially good, they will give everyone the finger before leaving the building.

      --
      Laws are for people with no friends.
    12. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Damn hippie.

      (Sorry, i NEEDED to say that)

    13. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It wasn't quite the peaceful actions abroad of the lovable Uncle Sam and his merry men that lead to 9/11. Go on with your attitude, and expect more of the same. Ever heard of "xenophobia", BTW?

    14. Re:Bear with me by sean23007 · · Score: 2

      however the rest of the world is full of ignorant uneducated degenerates who are brain-washed into hating anything that is not their religion.

      And that is different from the people here... how? A sentence like that can be penned only by an ignorant, uneducated degenerate. In fact, someone who is brainwashed into hating anything that disagrees with his religion. Perhaps someone who would advocate attacking the rest of the world with nuclear weapons out of the fear that someday, someone will attack him. Which, by the way, is a fabulous way to get people overseas to like you: "if you try to develop weapons, which we feel is wrong, we will kill you with those very weapons. Yes, the weapons we feel are wrong. Yes, we have them. No, I don't see how we're being hypocritical. According to new American laws, you are a terrorist and are subject to a juryless military tribunal at a time and place of our choosing. Do not dissent."

      If everybody considers it wise to strike first rather than burn later, everybody burns now. In fact, if anybody considers it wise to strike first rather than burn later, everybody burns now. Don't be so quick to advise violence. Someone might listen.

      --

      Lack of eloquence does not denote lack of intelligence, though they often coincide.
    15. Re:Bear with me by Titusdot+Groan · · Score: 1
      Well done! I've seen a few of these go by so I checked out your recent posting history -- God you've really done some good stuff.

      Excellent ratio of mod ups to mod downs, you've been reeling in the moderators like stupid sunfish!

      Happy Trolling! And I'm happy to add you to my friends list.

    16. Re:Bear with me by sean23007 · · Score: 2

      Perhaps you've never seen anyone close to death or been close to death yourself. If your typical deathbed occupant is essentially a bad person, they will try to make amends. If this same person is essentially good, they will give everyone the finger before leaving the building.

      You speak of faulty logic and then follow it with that statement? That is highly illogical. Explain to me how only a good person would "give the finger" to everyone who cares about him before he dies. Would not a good person thank those around him for being there for him? Would not a good person prefer to be remembered as he was, rather than as an ass? Or are you giving a personal example of someone who gave the finger as he passed? Are you making amends?

      --

      Lack of eloquence does not denote lack of intelligence, though they often coincide.
    17. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dear President Bush,

      Thank you for taking steps that ensure that we don't have to worry quite so much about brainwashed terrorists killing us to make a statement against our country.

      Sincerely
      -We the people at Slashdot

    18. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, the difference is that they're the aggressors from day one. I personally refuse to live everyday wondering whats going to happen next. I'd rather obliterate all safe havens of Saddam, bin Laden and Arafat than to live in the same world with their treacherous acts.

    19. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      oh yes. PEACE led to 9/11. Right.

      Maybe this one time ignorance wasn't bliss.

    20. Re:Bear with me by SunPin · · Score: 1
      Or are you giving a personal example of someone who gave the finger as he passed? Are you making amends?

      Absolutely not.

      Would not a good person thank those around him for being there for him? Would not a good person prefer to be remembered as he was, rather than as an ass?

      Why would anyone on their deathbed give a damn about what anybody else think of them? They'll be f---ing dead before it becomes socially problematic.

      In a world where everything is ready to explode, kindness is not a smart way of living. If a comet comes barreling towards this outer third spiral intragalactic cesspool, commonly called "earth", you'd better believe that people will become feral in less than a week.

      I have no problems with civilization or being "good". I have a problem with the parent poster's vision of impending apocalyptic human behavior.

      --
      Laws are for people with no friends.
    21. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Stay in school dumbass.

    22. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Life is wonderful indeed.
      Join me while I masturbate for peace

    23. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why would anyone on their deathbed give a damn about what anybody else think of them? They'll be f---ing dead before it becomes socially problematic.

      That person might believe in karma, or an afterlife, or not negatively affecting the feelings of those who surround him or her.

    24. Re:Bear with me by isorox · · Score: 2

      Life is precious; never take anything for granted, as the next moment of trechery may suddenly take it away.

      I urge you all to ... donate time


      So basically you say, you're going to die soon, so give some of that time you have left away!

      Not the best line to sell your point.

    25. Re:Bear with me by happyhangone · · Score: 1

      ...and all your wishes will come true (then we just need to wish that the asteroid hits somebody else planet...)

    26. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Asshole, are you suggesting that bin Laden's hatred for non-muslims has anything to do with American foreign policy?

    27. Re:Bear with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      I'm a pretty sophisticated, well-educated person. I go to Bucknell, where I will get my B.S. in computer science engineering in May of 2003. I listen to NPR on occasion, and my girlfriend wears Tiffany jewelry. I've traveled abroad fairly extensively. Given all this, you'd think I might be a little staid and stodgy, that I'd shun certain activities because I'm too good for that sort of thing. That is completely untrue. The reality is, I'll try anything with a detached air of superiority.
      http://www.erickrout.com/

      Have you now shame, Asshole?

    28. Re:Bear with me by sean23007 · · Score: 2

      Interesting, I don't think I ever mentioned an apocalypse situation, unless you think a single man's death is equivalent to the apocalypse. Perhaps just in your case, right? People are largely morons, so you may well be right: if the world was going to be destroyed, people like you would terrorize the earth. Of course, some people would respectfully decline to participate in the festivities. However, the situation I had written about is totally different. It was the death of one man. Are you expecting me to believe that upon the death of a single person, all of civilization would run amuck? Would there be riots in the streets? Actually, people die every day, but the average riot has nothing to do with someone who is fortunate enough to have a deathbed. On a deathbed, a person has enough time to contemplate a little, and only an idiot would decide after true, genuine contemplation, that violence is good, or that other people are unimportant. You are not, surprisingly, the only person on this planet. In fact, many other people are more important than you are. You should not be so arrogant as to assume that your death will correspond to the apocalypse, or that other people's opinions of you matter not. In truth, you have proven that their opinions probably matter more than your own.

      Cease your skewing of words to your own purposes. I have no use for them, nor you.

      --

      Lack of eloquence does not denote lack of intelligence, though they often coincide.
  22. Uh - what about the southern hemisphere? by ColGraff · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Frankly, what really worries me - and what the article really fails to address - is the fact that while there are a few programs going on in the Northern Hemisphere, there's not much happening with our buddies in the Southern Hemisphere - that means half the sky isn't really being covered well.

    On another note, who wants to bet that in the event we had, say, 50 years warning, the politicians would be utterly unwilling to do anything about it for at least 48 years?

    --
    I'm the stranger...posting to /.
    1. Re:Uh - what about the southern hemisphere? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't discount Australian contributions.

    2. Re:Uh - what about the southern hemisphere? by TGK · · Score: 2

      Well, that depends. I'd say the time period for doing squat about the Large Killer Rock (tm) would be between 6 and 2 years to impact... depending on election cycles of course.

      --
      Killfile(TGK)
      No trees were killed in the creation of this post. However, many electrons were inconvenienced.
    3. Re:Uh - what about the southern hemisphere? by Stickster · · Score: 1

      I would imagine that some of the money dedicated to NEO tracking is dedicated to partnerships with facilities located in the Southern Hemisphere, such as in Australia. I'm very doubtful this hasn't occurred to NASA, seeing as how most everyone there probably got pretty good grades in geometry. :-) The NEO program doesn't list this kind of information explicitly (from what I gathered on a quick web hunt), but does link to a number of international resources that would seem to support this hypothesis.

    4. Re:Uh - what about the southern hemisphere? by theBrownfury · · Score: 1

      Delays due to politicking are one way to think about this. Realistically there are only two countries right now that can effectively address this problem. Most countries in Western Europe right now don't really have space programs that can fully compare to NASA (as far as payload and launch capacity). God knows what China and Japan are really doing or are capable of doing. India right now can't do much of anything.

      This leaves the US and Russia. Russia has heavy launch capacity, but do they have the budget to pull off something? Probably not.
      This brings us to the US. The US is a very cause and effect society. America will not plan ahead to fix a problem 50 or even 15 years in the future. Case in point, the interest in Islam and Middle Eastern studies post 9/11.
      Unless we've got something hitting us in the next 6 months or at most in a year, this discussion is going to go on ad infinatum.

      --

      "Unlike most of you, I am not a nut." - Homer J. Simpson
    5. Re:Uh - what about the southern hemisphere? by corvi42 · · Score: 2
      This is kind of a moot point. Given that any Planet Killing asteroid would kill the whole planet, any program that attempts to protect the northern hemisphere without covering the south as well would be kind of pointless. We've all heard about what happened to the dinosaurs. For some reason I think that the guys at NASA have given this some thought, and would be more than willing to cover the south as well as the north.

      The whole reason that these asteroids are something to worry about is not the chance of a dangerous impact, but that the devastation caused by such an impact would affect so many people that it is of significant worry. Even an asteroid that could cause significant local devestation without directly affecting the northern hemisphere is of concern because of the fallout it could wreak on both the global climate and the economy.

      --

      There are a thousand forms of subversion, but few can equal the convenience and immediacy of a cream pie -Noel Godin
    6. Re:Uh - what about the southern hemisphere? by msheppard · · Score: 3, Insightful

      An observatory in Florida can see all but about %10 of the sky. (One in Equadore could see everything)

      The big problem is, no-one on this planet can see anything coming from the sun. We could easily get hit on our blind side.

      My solution is to get some freaking people on a nother planet. NOW.

      M@

      --
      Krispy Cream is people
    7. Re:Uh - what about the southern hemisphere? by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2

      This is kind of a moot point. Given that any Planet Killing asteroid would kill the whole planet, any program that attempts to protect the northern hemisphere without covering the south as well would be kind of pointless.

      The poster was probably referring to the detection stage, not the do-something-about-it stage. Some parts of the sky are only visible from one hemisphere or the other.

      But I think the poster is mistaken about the risk because the most likely direction for an incoming dinasaur killer is from the "sides" of the earth, not the poles. - because that's in-line with the rotation of the objects in the solar system, which in turn is mostly in-line with the rotation of the objects in the Milky Way. An object coming in from the north or the south would either be from a very distant galaxy, or from something thrown "up" or "down" out of our own galaxy from an explosion or collision that is just now falling back into the plane of the galaxy.
      --

      Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

    8. Re:Uh - what about the southern hemisphere? by TMB · · Score: 2
      An observatory in Florida can see all but about %10 of the sky.

      It also has about 3 clear nights a year. ;-)

      [TMB]

  23. Re:Yuck by Evil+Adrian · · Score: 1

    Man oh man, did I get hit hard! Not even a smile?? You moderators are BRUTAL! :-)

    --
    evil adrian
  24. Killer rocks. by CFBMoo1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Although I'm concerned and think we should prepare for this eventuality. It doesn't bother me as much because of the environmental damage already done by Humanity on the Earth. I have dark feeling our greed and putting it off to the last minute will put us in a category below Dinosaurs cause we are intelligent and nearly able to do something about it, yet we'd rather spend our time on other issues and not worry about the big one till it's starting to heat up in the upper atmosphere.

    In thinking of this Osama is a small potatos compared to a 1 mile wide rock wiping out most if not all of Humanity. The world will end and the bug that poses for the latest IE vunerability topic image will then run /. when we're all gone. :)

    --
    ~~ Behold the flying cow with a rail gun! ~~
    1. Re:Killer rocks. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, if it takes out the environmental wackos like you, I say it's a good thing...

  25. Ned Flanders by ellayguy · · Score: 1

    I call Ned's basement!

  26. Let's talk about something useful. by Uhh_Duh · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Haven't we run this topic completely into the ground? I vote we deal with this when it's actually an issue. This discussion reminds me of a bunch of 13 year old geeks sitting around the RPG table talking about what they're going to do if giant robots with photon torpedos take over the planet.

    I don't mean to appear as flame bait.. but.. this topic has been discussed here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, and here.

    There are some useful scenarios we could be discussing. This is approximately none of them.

    --
    -- People who hate Windows use Linux. People who love UNIX use BSD.
    1. Re:Let's talk about something useful. by Kaa · · Score: 1

      This discussion reminds me of a bunch of 13 year old geeks sitting around the RPG table talking about what they're going to do if giant robots with photon torpedos take over the planet.

      As opposed to which discussion on Slashdot??

      --

      Kaa
      Kaa's Law: In any sufficiently large group of people most are idiots.
    2. Re:Let's talk about something useful. by sconeu · · Score: 2

      So what did you and your friends decide to do if giant robots with photon torpedos took over the planet?

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    3. Re:Let's talk about something useful. by ryanvm · · Score: 2

      Here here.

    4. Re:Let's talk about something useful. by digidave · · Score: 2

      "I vote we deal with this when it's actually an issue"

      Well, a giant asteroid is already on a collision course with Earth. We don't know where it is or when it will arrive. When exactly does this become an issue?

      --
      The global economy is a great thing until you feel it locally.
    5. Re:Let's talk about something useful. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's "hear, hear." Look it up.

    6. Re:Let's talk about something useful. by citizenkeller · · Score: 1
      This discussion reminds me of a bunch of 13 year old geeks sitting around the RPG table talking about what they're going to do if giant robots with photon torpedos take over the planet.

      Well, you *are* on slashdot, buddy!

      --
      -- Serge K. Keller
  27. Please don't stop them by Hoi+Polloi · · Score: 2

    A good sized asteroid impact is my only hope!

    --
    It is by the juice of the coffee bean that thoughts acquire speed, the teeth acquire stains. The stains become a warning
  28. Yet Again.... by CodePyro · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We need to stop wrrying about every possible thing that can destroy this planet, sure we're advance enough to possibly change the out come of certain castrophic events but instead of changing the course of these events, our money will be better spent on trying to find new ways to help our current situations such as global hunger or AIDS or even find ways to reach beyond earth and begin colonising other planets...how long will the earth sustain us anyways...at the speed that we're using our resources and damaging the planet mix that with the population growth and u have a castraphic even that is much more likely to happen then an asteroid collision...

    1. Re:Yet Again.... by fenix+down · · Score: 1

      Agreed. Clearly, we must make every effort to force meteor astronomers into agriculture, medicine and aerospace engineering. All those teachers and lawyers and whatever need to get with the program too. These space ark's ain't gonna build themselves. Slashdot can keep running though. Clearly, if such clever, worldly people as ourselves can take time out from curing the several, highly select ills of the world we have chosen as important to post here, it must worthwhile.

  29. Solution by bayankaran · · Score: 2, Funny

    Send one of those Hollywood heroes who has saved the planet a million times from asteroids, volcanoes, typhoons, bad people, communists etc.

    You can tie couple of them to a powerful rocket, point the rocket to the asteroid and press the button.

    --
    Tat Tvam Asi
    1. Re:Solution by sconeu · · Score: 2

      Even better, send Jack Valenti, Hilary Rosen, and Michael Eisner!

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
  30. Distributed Computing Asteroid Project by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0



    I've said it before and I'll say it again, we need a distributed computing asteroid project. Seti@home is for finding aliens which may or may not exist, but asteroids do exist, and some may present a threat to our planet in the future.

    With all the scientists and programmers in the world, why hasn't someone developed such a program yet?

    I think it would be a good idea to start making one now, before it's too late.

    Don't you?

    1. Re:Distributed Computing Asteroid Project by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      Don't you think contributing your processor time to a distributed cancer-cure research project is a bit more productive? I think your odds of getting killed by cancer is a bit higher than that of an asteroid.

    2. Re:Distributed Computing Asteroid Project by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Don't you think contributing your processor time to a distributed cancer-cure research project is a bit more productive? I think your odds of getting killed by cancer is a bit higher than that of an asteroid."

      Please re-read my post with the point about Seti@home and aliens which may not exist.

      Of course, the cancer-cure research project is an excellent one. I wasn't talking about that. We already have cancer-cure distributed computing projects.

      What we DON'T have is an asteroid distributed computing project. It doesn't exist. Why not make one? My comparison was finding aliens which may not exist vs. asteroids, obviously you missed it.

    3. Re:Distributed Computing Asteroid Project by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      My comparison was finding aliens which may not exist vs. asteroids, obviously you missed it.

      No, I did not. My question stands, and it applies to Seti@home as well, actually.

      What we DON'T have is an asteroid distributed computing project. It doesn't exist. Why not make one?

      Because there are more pressing problems on Earth than a killer asteroid that may not exist?

      Also, is there any reason you are making your comment bold? It is a bit distracting.

    4. Re:Distributed Computing Asteroid Project by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I dont, I drink milk, and i assume that makes me immune to cancer.
      Also AIDs research is pointless. I'll just make a point to not use dirty needles and/or have sex with gay men.

    5. Re:Distributed Computing Asteroid Project by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "No, I did not. My question stands, and it applies to Seti@home as well, actually."

      You have no question, you're only seeking to try and argue with a good suggestion to generate noise. Yes, you missed my point, and you're trying to twist it to your advantage. It won't work. Thank you, drive through.

      "Because there are more pressing problems on Earth than a killer asteroid that may not exist?"


      Ah but we KNOW there have been asteroids that have come very close to earth already, some were thought to be or were on a collision course. In the past, we know debris from outer space harmed life on earth. It's logical to assume something else might come and hit us. Why not scan for it? It's a good idea, and your posts are nothing but nonsense aimed to generate noise/argument.

      "Also, is there any reason you are making your comment bold? It is a bit distracting."

      Because I can.

    6. Re:Distributed Computing Asteroid Project by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      You have no question, you're only seeking to try and argue with a good suggestion to generate noise. Yes, you missed my point, and you're trying to twist it to your advantage. It won't work. Thank you, drive through.

      Who says it's a good suggestion? And why is my questions just noise - any more than yours is?

      Ah but we KNOW there have been asteroids that have come very close to earth already, some were thought to be or were on a collision course. In the past, we know debris from outer space harmed life on earth. It's logical to assume something else might come and hit us. Why not scan for it? It's a good idea, and your posts are nothing but nonsense aimed to generate noise/argument.

      Yes - we also know there are lots of other, more pressing problems than killer asteroids. This all started when the parent poster remarked about how he was terribly frightened by the fact that our civilization might fall in the 878 years before the meteor in question hits. I pointed out that maybe there are more timely issues on earth to be frightened about. Issues we KNOW are going to be a problem.

      That's all.

    7. Re:Distributed Computing Asteroid Project by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who says it's a good suggestion? And why is my questions just noise - any more than yours is?


      No one has to say it's a good suggestion, it is by itself, a good suggestion. This cannot be disputed. You can try, but you will fail. Yours is noise because you want to take a good suggestion and twist it into an argument to generate noise. Your continuation of this thread spilling off into other areas is further proof.


      Yes - we also know there are lots of other, more pressing problems than killer asteroids.



      An asteroid, like several before, could wipe us all out. It's happened in the past, it could happen in the future. A distributed computing client is needed in order to take another possible measure to protect ourselves against this happening again. If you disagree, that's your opinion, but it is one lone voice crying out for the sake of hearing itself.


      This all started when the parent poster remarked about how he was terribly frightened by the fact that our civilization might fall in the 878 years before the meteor in question hits.


      I see no terrible fright in the original post, just a sane, logical suggestion. You're arguing for the sake of arguing. I should really stop feeding the trolls.


      I pointed out that maybe there are more timely issues on earth to be frightened about. Issues we KNOW are going to be a problem.


      So let's make more distributed computing projects for other things, too, including asteroid detection. There's enough PCs in the world to handle all these projects nicely.

    8. Re:Distributed Computing Asteroid Project by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      No one has to say it's a good suggestion, it is by itself, a good suggestion. This cannot be disputed.

      Huh? I could say the same thing about my suggestion... Anyone can _say_ they are making a good suggestion, but that doesn't make it so... If it did, all suggestions would be good - which isn't the case.

      A distributed computing client is needed in order to take another possible measure to protect ourselves against this happening again. If you disagree, that's your opinion, but it is one lone voice crying out for the sake of hearing itself.

      Well, I think there are more people who aren't interested in a distributed computing project to detect asteroids than there are people crying out for one, first of all. This can be proven by the fact that it doesn't exist. If everyone but me wanted it, I'd imagine that we would already have it.

      Also, recent news has pointed out (Asteroid impact factor less than thought: scientists, Asteroid threat reassessed) that the risk of an asteroid hitting is less likely than we used to think. And remeber that we thought it was pretty unlikely in the first place.

      It sounds to me that you, like many, are making too much of this threat, which drums up hysteria for nothing, much like with Y2K. People wasted a lot of time (and money) worrying about nothing then - this asteroid hullabaloo seems like a repeat to me. A lot of actual experts on the topic (of which I am not, and I doubt you are, either) seem to think so as well.

      So let's make more distributed computing projects for other things, too, including asteroid detection. There's enough PCs in the world to handle all these projects nicely.

      Unless I'm wrong, you _yourself_ asked why we waste computing power on something that is unlikely to get results, such as seti@home. (Or am I attributing another AC's comment to you?) If there are enough PCs in the world to do everything, why complain that people waste computing power on Seti@home?

      There may be enough PCs out there- I don't know about that, but I doubt it- but are there enough people willing or able to join in on every project? It seems there is a limited pool of people who understand what distributed computing is and will join in projects, at least without some sort of campaign to recruit more.

      A lot of experts think an asteroid hit is almost as unlikely as us discovering alien life. So why not spend our limited resources research on more timely, and pressing issues?

      You're arguing for the sake of arguing. I should really stop feeding the trolls.

      I'm arguing because I have an opinion. If it offends you that someone might have an opinion that differs from yours (and is willing to voice it), I suggest you avoid posting in public forums - especially forums as rife with conflicting opinions as this one.

      As far as me being a troll, the "troll card" just seems like something someone pulls out when they feel like trying to discredit someone's opinion. Note that I'm posting with my real name while you are both anonymous _and_ insisting on using an annoying bold tag on all your comments (which implies that you feel your comments are more worthy of being read than everyone else's, but are at the same hesitant to commit yourself to them). Also, I have not made any antagonizing or dismissive comments about you, while you have dismissed mine as noise for the sake of noise, among other things...

      If you want to discuss this, fine, but stop whining about trolls.

  31. Solar Sail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As long as the rays of the sun are travelling in an acceptable direction for a course correction, a solar sail could easily (assuming the rock isn't rotating, and even with some correction if it is) pull the rock in a new direction over time... A harness attached at multiple points with a VERY large swivel could also be a mount point if the rock was tumbling through space...

    1. Re:Solar Sail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hoo! Big Swivel.

  32. Can't test a nuke in space by ColGraff · · Score: 3, Informative

    You can't test a nuclear weapon in space - there are treaties that regulate this sort of thing, and they say space has to stay demilitarized. That means no nukes - that's one of the reasons, other than the horrible amount of radioactive pollution, that the Orion project never really took off. For better or worse, the only test we'll get is when there's actually an asteroid on the way to Earth.

    --
    I'm the stranger...posting to /.
    1. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by eyefish · · Score: 2

      I think considering the circunstances, every nation on Earth should sign a waiver allowing a nuclear weapon to be sent to a far-away asteroid for testing purposes.

      After all, the reason treaties banning nuclear space weapons were signed was to protect mankind, and in this particular case it so happens that protecting mankind is the reason to send a test nuclear weapon to an asteroid.

    2. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by zaqattack911 · · Score: 1

      You couldn't be more wrong.

      If we launched a nuke at an asteroid a million miles away (and yes it's possible), there would be no pollution here on earth.

      Second, you think we don't have nukes!? Buahaha peace treaties mean nothing. The U.S. has tons and tons of nukes.. or they chould just have nukes that are "disassembled" and could be reassembled at any moment.

    3. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by PD · · Score: 5, Funny

      Good thing too. Nuclear weapons in space might someday be used to turn it into a sterile environment filled with deadly radiation which would be unsurvivable to anyone not wearing a special protective suit.

    4. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If a nuke goes off millions of miles away in space, and nobody is there to see it, did it really happen?

      How do you know that this hasn't been done already? All that would happen is a bunch of rocks get formed from one big one. Plus the shockwave might travel a really long distance, but I doubt anybody would notice a nuke going off in the asteroid belt.

    5. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by emir · · Score: 3, Insightful

      main problem with sending nuclear waste and nukes with rockets up to space is that rockets may explode on their way up and then half of the globe would be contaminated.

      thats the real reason that we are still storing our nuclear waste on earth when it would be much better to launch it into the orbit. its same thing with weapons. think about the rage among other countries it would provoke if usa sent nukes/waste into the orbit and rocket exploded on its way up and contaminated most of the earth surface...

      --
      -- http://electronicintifada.net --
    6. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by Kaa · · Score: 1

      You can't test a nuclear weapon in space - there are treaties that regulate this sort of thing, and they say space has to stay demilitarized.

      Sure you can.

      First of all space is NOT demilitarized already. US has large amounts of military hardware up there, Russia has somewhat less, and China has less yet.

      Second, there MAY be treaties which say that detonating a nuke in near-earth orbit is to be frowned on, but I am fairly sure that if I can get a nuke to one of the asteroids beyond Mars, no one will be objecting much to nuclear explosions over there...

      --

      Kaa
      Kaa's Law: In any sufficiently large group of people most are idiots.
    7. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i think i saw a "Superman" movie that did that...

      remember what a joke that was at the time?

    8. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, every country already hates the United States. There are countries out there now that don't even believe that we should be allowed to defend ourselves against people who murder our citizens. If you attack us with the intent of killing any American you can, it's no different than trying to kill every American, and you're going to have to answer to that, UN be damned.

      That said, once the big elevator up into space gets built (probably with mostly American money), we'll be able to more safely ship that stuff off planet, assuming nobody blows it up because they don't like McDonalds.

    9. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      I think considering the circunstances, every nation on Earth should
      [inconsequential completion of statment deleted]

      he ... hehe .... Ha ... HAHAH! ... BRAHAHAHAHAHA!!

      (wipes tears from laughing so hard out of eyes)

      Yep. That'll happen. (tehehehe)

    10. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2

      You couldn't be more wrong.


      If we launched a nuke at an asteroid a million miles away (and yes it's possible), there would be no pollution here on earth.


      Since that wasn't what the poster said, NO he wasn't being wrong. He merely stated the existence of the treaty. Which is real. (And stating that people have probably broken the treaty in no way makes the statement that the treaty exists a falsehood.)


      And the comment about pollution was in reference to an orion spaceship (that propels itself by successive little nulclear explosions), not a nuclear weapon. Orion *would* pollute the earth because it would need to be exploding those nukes in the atmosphere to get lifted off the ground. If an orion could be BUILT in space and used only out of the atmosphere, then what you say would be true. But an orion would have to be rather massive, and so building one is space is nearly impossible with current technology and one built on earth would be too hard to lift out of the atmosphere via conventional rocketry. To get it into space we'd have to resort to using it's main nuke engine to do so.

      --

      Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

    11. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by DAldredge · · Score: 1

      You could not get all the nations of Earth to sign a document saying the earth is round and water is wet...

    12. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by Oggust · · Score: 1
      In a situation like that, I'm sure they would just ignore the treaty.

      But anyway, it wouldn't really be a weapon if it was used in this application. google for project plowshare for a similar, but earth-based idea.

      Another thing to google for is the Icarus project (at MIT, circa 1967), they made very detailed plans for how to divert an oncoming asteroid. The idea was to start up the Saturn V production again and send a series of rockets with nukes to nudge it out of the way.

      I think the big thing that's missing from all the proposals is propulsion. They are all along the lines of "land on it, and then [whatever]". Well we can't even get there, anymore. Starting up the Saturn V production again would be pretty hard after all this time, and developing a new booster in that short time seems... difficult. The big deltas might work, but they can only lift so much, and anything that involves landing there is going to be pretty big.

      /August

      --
      "An object declared as type _Bool is large enough to store the values 0 and 1." -- 6.1.2.5, C99 standard.
    13. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by Brendan+Byrd · · Score: 2

      Yeah, just look at the Kyoto Accords.

    14. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by HBI · · Score: 2, Insightful

      ...at least any current nuclear weapon, it would seem.

      The problem with nukes in space is that chemical explosive blocks are used to create the pressure required for the fission chain reaction, whether U235 or Pu. This is the spark plug for the fusion reaction that any large weapon (> 100kt) would need. You'd have to design a system that created those same conditions without using a chemical explosive, or alternatively provide a pressurized compartment where an atmosphere would exist capable of sustaining the explosion.

      Then again, I am not a physicist (IANAP?) so maybe someone smarter than me can comment on this seeming problem.

      --
      HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
    15. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      IANAP either, but I think that as with most explosives (gunpowder, TNT, C4) the expolosives used in nuclear denonation carry their own oxygen. There is not nearly enough oxygen in the immediate vicinity (Earth's atmosphere) of ANY explosive to oxidize the reaction. Sometimes an explosion can happen in just with air, but very special conditions have to exist (like a silo full of coal or grain dust, or a fuel-air-explosive bomb which aerosolizes a fuel mixture then ignites the close). I think some designs of nuclear bombs REQUIRE a vacuum around the warhead (something about X-Rays or something)

    16. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They've tried that, for Orion. US decided it was against national security interests.

    17. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by dirkdidit · · Score: 1

      I do agree with you when you say an Orion rocket would pollute the Earth and I also agree when you say that conventional rocketry wouldn't be able to lift it. Then, why not build it in space? We do have the technology to build something on that scale in space, even though the cost would be huge. That eliminates two problems right there. Of course the big challenge will be getting other countries to support the use of nuclear rockets in space.

    18. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by geoswan · · Score: 3, Informative
      You can't test a nuclear weapon in space - there are treaties that regulate this sort of thing, and they say space has to stay demilitarized. That means no nukes

      I think it is more accurate to say there were treaties in place that prevented nuclear charges in space. Hasn't George Bush announced his intention to abrogate those treaties in the last year or so?

      Google to the rescue. According to this article after dropping a lot of hints he made his intention to take the US out of the ABM treaty on December 31st 2001.

      Reagan's SDI proponents were asked whether their nuclear pumped X-ray lasers weren't a violation of the nukes in space portion of the ABM treaty. In an example of "spin doctoring" at its most blatant, they used to respond, "that would only be true if you take a strict interpretation of the treaty".

      Of course a bilateral treaty is not like a marraige contract. There is no higher authority to whom you can appeal if you think the other side is cheating. With a bilateral treaty, if the other party doesn't trust you, doesn't trust that you are complying with the interpretation of the treaty you both agreed to when you signed it, if they don't trust your new re-interpretation of the treaty, the treaty is over.

      And it doesn't really matter if there were a no nukes in space clause in the non-proliferation treaty. Other clauses in the non-proliferation treaty have been routinely violated. The non-proliferation treaty prohibited both "horizontal proliferation" and "vertical proliferation" . Horizontal proliferation was defined as nations which had no nuclear weapons at the time the treaty was signed acquiring their first weapons. Vertical proliferation was defined as the nations which already had nuclear weapons increasing the size of their nuclear arsenals. Of course The USA, the USSR and China all significantly increased the size of their nuclear arsenals in complete abrogation of the treaty.

      I believe the treaty also obliged the nuclear nations to give the non-nuclear nations the benefits from the peaceful applications of nuclear energy.

    19. Re:Can't test a nuke in space by AyeRoxor! · · Score: 1

      "killing thousands of children in iraq through economic sanctions against iraq"

      Only children? No adults? Or are you just saying that for inflammatory purposes? I notice that when people don't really have a basis for their statement, they start making inflammatory statements.

      You obviously don't know a SINGLE f*ing thing about the sanctions. You would know why they are there, and you will know how simple it will be for them to be lifted. Sanctions are not an active punishment. If I run a store, I control that store. If you attack my friends, or my store, you will piss me off, and I can refuse to sell to you. Whatever you did to piss me-the-storekeeper off, you chose to do, knowing full well the possible consequences. Now imagine that as pissed off as I am, I tell you that you can come back in my store if you promise not to attack anybody again unless they initiate the attack, and if you promise to get rid of your weapons, since you obviously use them against others for offense, instead of defense. That's pretty fucking nice of me.

      Saddam has been told what he needs to do if he wants to do business with the countries participating in the sanctions. If anyone is starving, it is directly because of decisions Saddam has made and is currently making.

      Now you understand.

  33. Re:Earth has made it this long w/out our intervent by aiabx · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The earth made it this long, but the dinosaurs didn't, and neither did the trilobites, or the megatheria, or the wixwaxia... Extinctions happen, and I'd like to prevent ours if at all possible.
    -aiabx

    --
    Just this guy, you know?
  34. Newsflash! by Illuminati+Member · · Score: 2, Funny

    Associated Press: Paris, France - It has just been announced today in the capital of France: Upon learning that if any asteroids are on their way to collide with the earth in under ten years, it would cause complete genocide without the ability to do anything about it, France has unconditionally surrendered to all extraterrestrial foreign bodies. The French, so proud of their culture that they will surrender to maintain it, regardless of rule, support the decision of their government.
    Frenchman Jaques Fernoi states, "As long as I can make my cheese and drink wine freely, I welcome our new leaders in this asteroid."
    More updates as they present.

    --
    Yeah, I'm a Republican AND a geek. It is possible.
    1. Re:Newsflash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow a 50 year old joke... How lame...

  35. Fragments still better by huckamania · · Score: 1

    Depending on the size and speed, I would think fragments are infinately better than one big lump. If we can move it, than that would be the way to go. If not, blow the sucker up.

    Shumaker-Levy should have been a suitable demonstration of this.

  36. It's VERY important we progress the research by u-235-sentinel · · Score: 1

    How to avoid getting hit should be high on our list. We read of other happenings in history. Russia for example had a forest leveled as a result of a comet or asteriod in the early 20th century. It's happened once recently on a large scale. Fortunately it was away from human population. Next time we might not be so lucky.

    As mentioned we recently experienced several near hits. The article mentions our odds are extremely low in getting hit. However our collision detection budget for NASA doesn't cut it. Last I heard we're tracking less than 10% of the sky. Think about it. We had another article on slashdot several weeks ago talking about another near hit we discovered 3 days after the fact.

    There could be many more out there and we're just not seeing it.

    --
    Has Comcast disconnected your Internet account? Same here. You can read about it at http://comcastissue.blogspot.com
    1. Re:It's VERY important we progress the research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That 10% of the sky you mention is the plane of the
      ecliptic, which is almost certainly where such an asteroid will appear.

  37. M2P2 powered by nuclear reactors by MS_leases_my_soul · · Score: 1

    I would think that Mini-Magnetospheric Plasma Propulsion (M2P2) would be the way to go. Setup some nuclear reactors on the surface of the thing, create a plasma bubble as large as you can and let the Sun push that sucker. If you can get to it outside of Mars, it would only take a slight angle adjestment to make it miss.

    Of course, the other option is to send a manned mission to an near-earth asteroid and strap several ion engines on that puppy. Use the ion engines to slowly (over years) get it into a nice orbit outside lunar orbit. If we identify a killer asteroid, play a little cosmic billards - slam the ion engined asteroid into the killer one.

    This is gold, baby. Where is NASA with the grant money? I knew I should have been a rocket scientist. Stupid M$ and the lure of their money for developers. Grrrr...

  38. Surprised that 1950 DA isn't mentioned... by mh_cryptonomicon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    30 years? 1950 DA is supposed to swing by real close (or hit) in about 878 years, and I'm seriously frightened that we won't be able to get consensus in time to blast (or nudge) it out of it's orbit.

    Go to http://www.cnn.com/2002/TECH/space/04/04/lost.aste roid/ for more info.

    1. Re:Surprised that 1950 DA isn't mentioned... by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      You are seriously frightened about something that might happen 878 years from now?

      I don't know you, but I'm SURE you probably have bigger issues in your life to worry about than that.

    2. Re:Surprised that 1950 DA isn't mentioned... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem is that historically, civilizations rise and fall. In 800 years, who's going to stop this rock from slamming into Earth should all of humanity be back in the stone age for whatever local reasons. Wars do happen after all, so do mass plegues.

    3. Re:Surprised that 1950 DA isn't mentioned... by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      Okay, so now you are worried about an asteroid that might hit in 878 years, which we might not stop due to the fact that we might have had a war or mass plagues?

      I think you need to focus more on things within your zone of control, man.

    4. Re:Surprised that 1950 DA isn't mentioned... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What happens if it takes 877 years to implement the solution? Wait just two years and the humans are screwed (assuming they don't self-genecide in the mean time).

      Just because something bad won't occur for a long time, doesn't mean solving the problem in the short time is a bad idea.

    5. Re:Surprised that 1950 DA isn't mentioned... by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      My point is that there are problems that we KNOW exist right now that are worth being frightened about...

  39. Does anyone actually know what a nuke would do? by Iainuki · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Nuclear weapons in space act very differently from those in air. To my knowledge, there's never been a detonation in "deep" space: I believe there was a test in low Earth orbit once, but immediately after that the Outer Space treaty was signed (which banned nuclear detonations in space, among other things). The real difference is that a nuclear weapon in space discharges most of its energy in the form of radiation; because there's no air, there's no shockwave. While the radiation would wreak all sorts of havoc with electronic equipment, e.g. satellites, would it cause an asteroid to break up? I'm skeptical. Does anyone know if someone has thought about this question?

    1. Re:Does anyone actually know what a nuke would do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      There isn't any air in space, so the fire and smoke wouldn't be there. That leaves the pure chemical reaction exploding in a sphere shape cloud of dust/nuclear elements with not much to slow it down. Newtons law says once an object is in motion it says in motion, so unless the asteroid is vaporized, there should still be some rocks coming towards us at an increased speed.

      Astrophysists probably know what will happen, and I'm sure they have done some computer sims of the explosions.

    2. Re:Does anyone actually know what a nuke would do? by Detritus · · Score: 3, Informative
      A nuclear weapon detonated in space produces a burst of soft x-rays (from black-body radiation). It does not produce the blast and thermal effects seen when the device is detonated in the atmosphere. The atmosphere is relatively opaque to soft x-rays. This results in a complex sequence of events, involving repeated absorption and reemission of photons, that produce the fireball, thermal radiation and shock waves.

      If you look at the films of high-altitude nuclear tests, they are rather boring in comparison to atmospheric tests. You can see an expanding shell-like cloud composed of the remnants of the nuclear device.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    3. Re:Does anyone actually know what a nuke would do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      There isn't any air in space

      there's an Air and Space Museum.

    4. Re:Does anyone actually know what a nuke would do? by dukerobillard · · Score: 1
      Nuclear weapons in space act very differently from those in air....would it cause an asteroid to break up?

      It would if you buried the device on the asteroid...then you'd have the shock wave again, transmitted through the material of the asteroid itself.

    5. Re:Does anyone actually know what a nuke would do? by LandGator · · Score: 1
      Yes. Read PROJECT ORION by Dyson.

      You don't use an off-the-shelf nuke; you use a small nuke wrapped in polystyrene foam and tungstein (more detailed specs in book) which creates a nice FAST cloud of pusher gas which transfers thrust to the rock.

      Ideally, you put an Orion-style pusher plate on the rock to maximize the energy transfer, or just land an Orion-style ship (one design is launchable with a single Saturn-V or the expendable variant of a Shuttle) on the asteroid, complete with its pusher plate, 'thrust device' (AKA bomb) stores, barracks, hydroponics system, deep freeze, MTV dish, MP3 jukebox and all the other mod cons.

      Read the book.

      --
      There is nothing wrong with yr Internet. Do not attempt to adjust the picture. We are controlling the transmission - NSA
  40. Almost but not quite by Pac · · Score: 2

    Think about an asteroid of a significant size, something on the order of some percent points of Earth's size. Now, if you break such a beast without making sure all pieces will miss (that is, that your bomb will not only break it, but break in such a way that its resultant angular momentum will change drastically), you have just increased the chance that not one, but two or three asteroids with enough mass to destroy civilisation will hit the planet.

    1. Re:Almost but not quite by Sylver+Dragon · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Think about an asteroid of a significant size, something on the order of some percent points of Earth's size. Now, if you break such a beast without making sure all pieces will miss (that is, that your bomb will not only break it, but break in such a way that its resultant angular momentum will change drastically), you have just increased the chance that not one, but two or three asteroids with enough mass to destroy civilisation will hit the planet.

      I've always wondered something about this line of reasoning. Everytime I see an argument against the nuclear option, there seems to be an assumption of using only one device. I wonder if it wouldn't be possible to use several devices to disperse an asteroid around our planet? For example, the first device is launched, then after a bit of a lag, say a few days, a second is launched, wash, rinse, repeate.
      My thought is that we could start by fragmenting the object. Then, using a string of devices, both slow and deflect the resultant cloud of matter. In the article they stated that using a nuclear blast near an object, but not on it, to try and push the object off course would probably fail, since the object would absorb the energy. But would this hold true if the object was fragmented? Each piece would be eaiser to move, and most likely, the "cloud", if you will, would have more surface area to be hit by the blast, assuming the same distance from the center of the explosion, more energy would be transfered to the "cloud" than would have been to the object.
      Ideally, if you have a year or so of warning, and you launch with a 1 day delay between devices, you could probably put 100 or so devices on the object before it reached the Earth. and basically set up a poor man's orion drive for the object, or resultant "cloud". What are the possible failings of this idea?

      --
      Necessity is the mother of invention.
      Laziness is the father.
    2. Re:Almost but not quite by Greedo · · Score: 2

      The problem I can see is that your first blast deflects the object into a different trajectory, or splits it into a few pieces, each with different trajectories.

      You would probably want to know what those trajectories were before launching your second nuke, and those are going to be hard to predict.

      Otherwise, your second strike may be headed in a not-so-optimal direction.

      Of course, you could put enough fuel onto the nukes to allow for some navigation after launch, but then you're opening another can of worms.

      --
      Tuus crepidae innexilis sunt.
    3. Re:Almost but not quite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Would your radar work well enough to tell if you fragmented the thing? What happens when you've thrown ``clouds'' of reflected material up around the area you're trying to view by radar?

    4. Re:Almost but not quite by _ph1ux_ · · Score: 2

      You would probably want to know what those trajectories were before launching your second nuke, and those are going to be hard to predict

      ASCII Purple

    5. Re:Almost but not quite by Isle · · Score: 2

      I still dont like the answer. Who says the pieces each are large enough to destroy civilizations? Say one large rock hits earth in the pacific and drown 100's of millions around the pacific. Now instead we hit it with a nuke or two, and only a third of it hits earth in a dusin different places, with each catastrophy much smaller and only costal cities needs to be evacuated and no nuclear winter type of event.

      If we get a late warning nukes are still our only option
      (still need atleast a year to design one to go to space).

    6. Re:Almost but not quite by Sylver+Dragon · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You would probably want to know what those trajectories were before launching your second nuke, and those are going to be hard to predict.

      I agree, this could be a problem. Though you will have a vague idea of where the bits are going to go. You would be able to expect that they would all follow the trajectory of the original object, though modified slightly due to the explosion.
      The object of the follow-up devices wouldn't be to hit pieces individually, but mearly to explode near the remaining pieces and push them into a safer trajectory. As such, I think you could simply explode them at a "best guess" location, maybe also have a bit of fuel on them for manuvering to make last minute corrections.
      Also, this doesn't need to be an exact science really. if it misses us by 1000 miles, or a million miles it won't make a huge difference, as long as it misses.
      Also, we could withstand the impact of a dozen or so Tunguska sized impacts, they would suck, no doubt, but if we could just get the vast majority of the mass of the object to miss us it would save lots of lives. Though I still would agree with the article, it would be nice, if we had enough warning, to use a non-nuclear approch. I'm thinking more of the short term warning.

      --
      Necessity is the mother of invention.
      Laziness is the father.
    7. Re:Almost but not quite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    8. Re:Almost but not quite by Mac+Degger · · Score: 2

      "expect that they would all follow the trajectory of the original object, though modified slightly due to the explosion."

      There's a saying, goes: 'close only counts in horseshoes and thermonuclear weapons'. I think slight definitely should not be used in a sentence concerning nukes.

      "Also, this doesn't need to be an exact science really. if it misses us by 1000 miles, or a million miles it won't make a huge difference, as long as it misses"

      It will make a huge difference if we miss by 1000 miles. And somehow I would still like to view rocketscience as an exact science.

      "Also, we could withstand the impact of a dozen or so Tunguska sized impacts, they would suck, no doubt, but if we could just get the vast majority of the mass of the object to miss us it would save lots of lives."

      If a dozen Tunguska's did hit the earth (and actually hit it, as in impacted) it's not the blast so much we might worry about...the resulting earthquakes (from a couple of multiple impacts in a short time frame) would absolutely destabalise the earth's crust.

      "Though I still would agree with the article, it would be nice, if we had enough warning, to use a non-nuclear approch. I'm thinking more of the short term warning."

      Yeah...it's a comforting thought we sometimes still spot asteroids which are near-earth-missers...days after they passed by.

      --
      -- Waht? Tehr's a preveiw buottn?
    9. Re:Almost but not quite by Mr_Dyqik · · Score: 2

      Depends what resolution your system has. If you use VLBI and/or high frequencies (although these two options are somewhat mutually exclusive) then you can get ridiculous resolutions within the Solar System.

    10. Re:Almost but not quite by ZigMonty · · Score: 2
      I've always wondered about this too. One nuke might fragment the asteroid. What would a few thousand do?

      Seriously, if we fire a decent fraction of the US and Russia's nuclear complement at the asteroid and we don't completely vaporise that sucker, it just means we need bigger nukes ;-)

    11. Re:Almost but not quite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      " mearly "

      merely.

  41. Nuclear war seems more likely by Microsift · · Score: 2

    So, the planet's been around for billions of years, and it has been hit by meteors before. Question. Why are we worried about this now? Nuclear weapons have been around for just under 60 years. The Nuclear club continues to grow, and include instable countries.

    Lets deal with the threat that is more probable, and manageable, and leave worrying about asteroids to Chicken Little

    --
    My other sig is extremely clever...
    1. Re:Nuclear war seems more likely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Actually, the probability of a meteor collision with the earth at some point in the future is approximately 1. On the other hand, we've lived with atomic/nuclear weapons for 57 years now, and no big booms since 1945 - statistically a much better track record than giant rocks hitting us, which happens on a fairly regular basis.

      So, if we want to deal with the "more probable" event, my money's on the giant rock. You really need to specify a timeline - you're only thinking about yourself, aren't you? To quote the Simpsons, "Won't somebody think of the children?"

      And yes, I am a complete jerk. Deal with it.

  42. I am relieved by doru · · Score: 5, Funny

    By the title, I thought this was an "Ask Slashdot" post...

    1. Re:I am relieved by joebagodonuts · · Score: 1

      "experts discuss the various ways that we might go about saving our planet".

      What experts? How do you get to be an expert in this area? The word expert imples experience with something. Last I knew, this is speculation. Informed, educated speculation (maybe), but speculation none the less.

      I guess today I'll be a financial expert, tomorrow a rocket expert (I did stay at a Holiday Inn last night).

      --
      "Give a woman two glasses of wine and some pad thai, and they'll agree to just about anything." the Sports Guy
  43. Clearly this is a worry by 91degrees · · Score: 1

    THe issues are quite remarkable here. While the probabilities may be small, this is the only event that could result in the extinction of our species.

    Investment in our own future is more important than any other concern.

    1. Re:Clearly this is a worry by CrackHappy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      While the probabilities may be small, this is the only event that could result in the extinction of our species. I disagree. There are a number of events that could eliminate the human race, along with pretty much all life on earth: Sun going Nova Supernova Black Hole passing close by The moon's orbit getting interrupted, and crashing into the earth. Virii Earth's core exploding, etc. This brings up another point, are we worried about a large asteroid hitting the moon and fragmenting it or changing it's orbit? How likely is it?

      --
      1f u c4n r34d th1s u r34lly n33d t0 g37 l41d Capitalization really works: i helped my uncle jack off a horse
  44. matter of time by techstar25 · · Score: 2

    "It's just a matter of time, though, before we detect one with our name on it"
    Yeah, we'll probably get one within the next 100 million years. That should be enough time to prepare, don't you think?

    1. Re:matter of time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      If it happens 100 million years from now, sure. But if it happens next year (statistically just as likely as the 100 million year from now rock), then "Whoops, Apocalypse".

      Of course, this all assumes we recover nicely from the impending magnetic pole reversal (high radiation doses, woo-hoo!) and returning ice age as a result of the Gulf Stream shutting down. (Both recent Slashdot articles.)

      Slashdot - news for survivalists, stuff that scares the cr*p out of you. :-P

  45. When you want to be sure... by Ninja+Master+Gara · · Score: 1
    ... there's nothing like dozens of high yeild nuclear warheads.

    All of these theories are very interesting, but scientists must still acknowledge the power and effectiveness of the nuclear weapon. Faced with being wiped out entirely, vs using ANYTHING, I think it's fair to say any credible asteroid threat to earth would be met with the full resources of the planet, and as such, all but most rediculously large asteroids could be disentegrated. These might be so large as to alter orbits in the solar system anyway, no way to stop that.

    Some of these methods require a precision that might be difficult to test, harder to master, and just too darn risky to try when there's an ateroid hurtling towards you. Unless it was detected by the Planetary Base on Pluto with enough time for trial and error.

    What I think it comes down to is the real threat of the issue. If we were hit by small and medium impacts regularly you can bet there would be an advanced meteor stopping system in place. While I agree that the threat is obvious, how BIG a threat it is is still argued, and personally I'd feel safer with a more impact tolerant car than an orbital asteroid deflecting heat ray.

    --

    ---
    When I grow up, I want to be a kid again.
    1. Re:When you want to be sure... by fgb · · Score: 1

      The biggest problem I can see with using nukes is the lack of a delivery system. None of the ICBMs in the world can actually get into space. They don't need to. They were designed to hit targets on the ground. What are we going to do? Put them on the shuttle? The shuttle is barely able to get into earth orbit. Still too far away.

  46. Don't we get hit all the time??? by DrainBead · · Score: 1

    I would have expected earth to be peppered with "asteriods" all the time... it's just that they are small - not Bruce Willis sized... and when they don't land we call them meteors.

    --
    Dyslexics of the world, untie!
    1. Re:Don't we get hit all the time??? by fgb · · Score: 2, Funny

      I don't think an asteroid the size of Bruce Willis would do much damage at all.

    2. Re:Don't we get hit all the time??? by dcmeserve · · Score: 1

      Yes, but what about 10 billion Bruce Willis's?

      --
      "Orthodoxy is unconsciousness" - Orwell
  47. Help us!! by McFly69 · · Score: 2

    "Holy fscking crap Batman, did they just say Killer Asteroids on Slashdot?"
    "Yes they did Robin, you know what that means."
    "Links to goatse! Oh the horror!"
    "Yes, and we haven't much time to lose. To the Batmobile!"

    --



    NO! NO! Please don't mod me, I'm too young to die a troll. *click* Oh the pain, the pain...
  48. Yeah, but that's not the first solution we can do by ColGraff · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's a hell of a lot simpler to send a robot probe, or even a manned spacecraft with a small crew, into space than it is to establish sustainable colonies on another world. Colonization is all well and good, but some of the options discussed in the NYTimes article are things we can either do now, or should be able to do within a few generations. Colonization, in addition to the logistic and technical diffulties involved, has social problems. If you want a self-sustaining colony capable of perpetuating the race, you need a large population, and you need it to be economically self-sufficient. That means you can't just send scientists - you need engineers, factory workers, politicians, even telemarketers - all the things that make a modern capitalist economy work. And the only way you get people who *aren't* explorers by nature to colonize is for things to be absolutely miserable for them at home, or truly grand in the New World. No matter how bad things get on Earth, it'll be quite a while before life in a pressure dome on another planet starts to even rival the quality of life one can enjoy on Earth, let alone surpass it. I repeat: You need more than just scientists and explorers for a colony large enough to perpetuate the human race if Earth gets snuffed.

    --
    I'm the stranger...posting to /.
  49. warning: you may be a retard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If everyday events remind you of episodes of Stargate SG1, you may be a retard.

    I'm sorry to have to break this to you, but you're better off hearing it here than on the streets.

    1. Re:warning: you may be a retard by unicron · · Score: 2

      Yes, best hear it from you than those roaming bands of anti-stargate thugs. They're everywhere these days, seems like I can't even go to the store anymore without seeing a best sci-fi show turf war. Instead of throwing up signs, they got action figures and shit, quite a site.

      --
      Finally, math books without any of that base 6 crap in them.
    2. Re:warning: you may be a retard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yo biatch, next time I see you on the street I'm gonna beat yo ass with my life-size Commander Sheridan statue. Bab5 4eva!

    3. Re:warning: you may be a retard by unicron · · Score: 2

      Commander Sheridan is a little biotch! All about the new school sci-fi! Smallville up in this piece in the deuce-0-0-deuce.

      --
      Finally, math books without any of that base 6 crap in them.
  50. Detection by killmenow · · Score: 1
    It's just a matter of time, though, before we detect one with our name on it.
    Well, if impact counts as detection, then yeah.
  51. More pieces is bad by maggard · · Score: 5, Informative
    Actually it's not friction that "burns up" incoming material, it's radiated heat from the bow shock (yes, your high school science teacher over-simplified.)

    That aside unless you break up the pieces into very small bits they're gonna impact and n-medium sized craters is worse then ~1 big crater. Or, absolutely devastating some large radius is better then pretty-much devastating a number of somewhat smaller radiuses.

    By the way - the worst? Ocean impact. Then you're not just talking an air blast and punching a hole into the surface with some ejecta spraying but doing all of that while vaporizing some megatons of water - much worse on a global scale.

    --
    I don't read ACs: If a post isn't worth so much as a nom de plume to its author then I wont bother either.
    1. Re:More pieces is bad by chef_raekwon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      i can understand your point of view, but:

      if a large impact - such as the one that wiped out the dinosaurs - happens again, we're beat. No half way about it. However, if we get punished with a dozen impacts 1/12th the size of the original, we may only lose a few countries, maybe upwards of 20 or 30.

      only to go back to your example - that devasting n-medium sized, will not cause the sun to be blocked from earth....whereas one huge impact may push enough sh** into the air causing us to croak.

      isnt losing the sun the biggest problem that we, as a race, would fear from an impact? or are there other ramifications?

      --
      We're like rats, in some experiment! -- George Costanza
    2. Re:More pieces is bad by maggard · · Score: 2
      if a large impact - such as the one that wiped out the dinosaurs - happens again,
      It appears there wasn't "A" dinosaur-killer hit, rather a series of impacts and a series of die-offs. If all are connected is open to question but current thinking is that the impact off the Yucatan wasn't a singular event and it corresponds to only one of a series of die-offs and craters. Indeed it's not even clear that impact-events were the only reason for the great die-offs.

      However to answer your question properly would take more time then I'm willing to invest in a /. question. Doubtless there are plenty of folks more then willing to Google up some good references, or you can do so yourself, but I'm not interested in proving an impromptu overview of modern asteroid-strike catastrophe thinking.

      Trust me when I say 1 big is better then n-smaller or go look it up for yourself :)

      --
      I don't read ACs: If a post isn't worth so much as a nom de plume to its author then I wont bother either.
    3. Re:More pieces is bad by varith · · Score: 1

      I remember reading that a 50 megaton nuke wouldn't do as much damage as 10 5 megaton nukes scattereed around. Has to do with inverse square (or cube) laws affecting the blast. I think the same dynamics would apply to meteorite strikes.

    4. Re:More pieces is bad by digidave · · Score: 2

      If an asteroid hits a Taco Bell target and nobody is left alive to give out free tacos, is it still a good marketing decision?

      --
      The global economy is a great thing until you feel it locally.
    5. Re:More pieces is bad by kalidasa · · Score: 2

      Maggard, you have a reference for that comment on there being multiple impacts at the K-T boundary? I remember at least one fellow having a contest looking for any ammonite (I think it was ammonite) fossil above the iridium layer on the K-T boundary, an noone winning.

    6. Re:More pieces is bad by maggard · · Score: 2
      Maggard, you have a reference for that comment on there being multiple impacts at the K-T boundary?
      No, I'm just an interested observer not a researcher. However a cursory seach on Google News pulled up a half dozen references.
      I remember at least one fellow having a contest looking for any ammonite (I think it was ammonite) fossil above the iridium layer on the K-T boundary, an noone winning.
      May not be relevant as different things died at different times. Organism "A" may well have died right around the time of the Yucutan impact but many other had died out before and many others lasted tens of millions of years after. My understanding is that the K/T boundery may only represent a single event and other significent impacts are only now being recognized.

      The research indicating a possible "cluster" is fairly recent, only got lots of press this year. Lots of it was sparked by Shoemaker-Levy and the realization that solar-system dynamics make swarms rather more likely then previously assumed, particularly in cases of asteroid-belt material perturbed by Jupiter.

      --
      I don't read ACs: If a post isn't worth so much as a nom de plume to its author then I wont bother either.
    7. Re:More pieces is bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And don't forget them huge waves.

    8. Re:More pieces is bad by dukerobillard · · Score: 1
      By the way - the worst? Ocean impact. Then you're not just talking an air blast and punching a hole into the surface with some ejecta spraying but doing all of that while vaporizing some megatons of water - much worse on a global scale.

      Not to mention the huge tsunamis. The bulk of the human race lives near the shore

  52. bite me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    bite me you tree-humping hippy freak.

  53. right by cybercuzco · · Score: 2

    Chances are this is how we would first detect an asteroid withh our name on it.

    --

  54. All we need is Bush to fund it by zaqattack911 · · Score: 1

    Just tell him there is oil in the asteroid, or Osama lives there or something :)

    OK OK that was a cheapshot.. but if you can't joke about current issues, then poo on you:)

  55. Corrected Link: +1, Helpful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  56. "near misses" by dj28 · · Score: 2

    Doesn't the term 'near miss' infact mean we were actually hit?

    1. Re:"near misses" by werdnab · · Score: 1

      "Nearly a miss" is what you're thinking of here. Which would actually infer a hit.

      But, "near miss" implies that it was a miss by a small margin, or a near miss. It might better be written with a hyphen as "near-miss".

    2. Re:"near misses" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It was a miss, but the miss was close to us, making it near.

  57. Useless to worry about the possibility..... by bkontr · · Score: 3, Insightful

    of collisions, because eventually it WILL happen. If it happens, it happens. I probably have a beter chance of winning the lottery than people have of averting or deflecting such such a collision with asteroids. I know this may sound a little whacked, but the best way to improve mankinds chances of survival is interplanetary colonization. That way if earth gets hit you still have your colony on mars.

    --


    "You helped our nation celebrate its bicentennial in 17 -- 1976." --George W. Bush, to Queen Elizabeth, Wash
    1. Re:Useless to worry about the possibility..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah I'm more worried about that trigger-happy zealot americans call a "president" starting World War 3.

    2. Re:Useless to worry about the possibility..... by PhoenixK7 · · Score: 1

      Not if this comes our way :)

    3. Re:Useless to worry about the possibility..... by ratamacue · · Score: 1
      I know this may sound a little whacked, but the best way to improve mankinds chances of survival is interplanetary colonization.

      That doesn't sound whacked to me. It's called redundancy, and it's an important concept that has many applications. The idea is to spread your eggs over more than one basket, so if one basket takes a fall, you won't break all your eggs at one time. For instance, wealthy individuals would be wise to keep their assets spread over a number of different countries, banks, and stocks. System administrators would be wise to use redundant power supplies, UPS, and surge protection on their servers. High-school grads would be wise to enroll in college just in case they don't make it as a rock star. Drivers would be wise to keep a spare tire in the trunk. Etc, etc, etc.

    4. Re:Useless to worry about the possibility..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you've ever tried to kill Americans, you'd better be worried. Otherwise, you've got nothing to worry about, unless the terrorists decide to target you next. Even then, it'll probably be the USA that works to protect you.

    5. Re:Useless to worry about the possibility..... by Turbyne · · Score: 1

      So.. we should set up a RAID of colonized planets?

      --
      ~A'Ëq'i4d)^'$ÊSÈòB
    6. Re:Useless to worry about the possibility..... by fenix+down · · Score: 1

      Really? Wow. I bet all the people opposing invading Iraq will be embarassed when they hear that. Well, I suppose they'll be happy to hear that the USA will probably be protecting Iraq if they ever have a problem with terrorists.

  58. Air Filled Apparatus/Vehicle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The article comes close to the thinking I've had for some time on how to best deal with an asteriod.

    I think more appropriately is an enormous air-filled or foam-filled apparatus or vehicle with a rubber like exterior (non-piercing) which would merely bump the asteriod. Of course, it would require a powerful engine to maneuver or steer the asteriod out of harms way.

    No links... just a thought.

    1. Re:Air Filled Apparatus/Vehicle by forrestt · · Score: 1

      We could use Rush Limbaugh. He has a "rubber like" exterior, and he is definitely filled with enough hot air.

  59. I think I need more caffeine by ActiveSX · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    Did anybody else here read the headline as "Stopping Killer Steroids"? I can't wait to get home and sleep :P

  60. Easy solution. by sv0f · · Score: 5, Funny

    Remarkably, nuclear detonations are not a good option, as they would break the asteroid into many pieces and merely increase our odds of being hit.

    Clearly, the pointdexter astrophysicists who offered this opinion have never seen Armageddon.

    1. Re:Easy solution. by Soul-Burn666 · · Score: 1

      And yet, in the movie, a part of the astroid crashed and destroyed Paris, France... Oh, right, it's not that bad :-P

      --
      ^_^
    2. Re:Easy solution. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How can you say destroying Paris is not a Good Thing (TM)?

      The french don't like us because we gave them back their country, TWICE! Seems like a great reason to dislike someone.

  61. The truth is.. by Frank+of+Earth · · Score: 2

    Remarkably, nuclear detonations are not a good option, as they would break the asteroid into many pieces and merely increase our odds of being hit.

    If tomorrow's headline was "Football field size asteroid set to hit Earth in 3 days", you know that we would be hurling ever nuke we have at it.

  62. Hollywood Once Again Leads the Way... by limekiller4 · · Score: 1

    Just call Bruce Willis. Duh.

    --
    My .02,
    Limekiller
  63. My Plan.. by xchino · · Score: 2, Funny

    Just cover the asteroid with the same material as they use to make Super Bouncy Balls..

    --
    Everyone is entitled to their own opinion. It's just that yours is stupid.
    1. Re:My Plan.. by Dannon · · Score: 2

      Warning: Do not taunt Happy Fun Asteroid.

      --
      Good judgment comes from experience.
      Experience comes from bad judgment.
    2. Re:My Plan.. by ShecoDu · · Score: 1

      Everybody has it the wrong way...

      We have to install some engines on the earth and get it out of the way, and there it goes, threat solved.

  64. Imagine... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ..a near-earth cluster of these

  65. Making Comparisons by Cali+Thalen · · Score: 5, Interesting

    People seem to assume that ANY piece that hits the earth will be the end. If you break a moderate-sized asteroid into small pieces, OF COURSE some will hit. And, possibly all the little pieces that hit will burn up in the atmosphere. Of the pieces that do hit, the damage would be MUCH more tolerable.

    It all depends on the situation. If something the size of the moon were to suddenly aim itself at the earth, no amount of nukes would help. But a 1km piece of rock travelling at 25km/sec (which would probably poke a nice hole in the Earth's crust and kill us all) could be blown into 1000 pieces, 10% of which would hit the earth and take out a city block if it hit a city, I'll still vote for the nukes.

    Then again, maybe it's like choosing between being shot with a big rifle or a shotgun. There's only one way to know for sure...and I'll take a pass, thank you very much.

    --
    Chaos, panic, disorder...my work here is done.
    1. Re:Making Comparisons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Again, when considering such things, you have to consider actual physics, namely the Law of Conservation of Energy. If a large asteroid were going to cause a 1MT explosion, but you break it into trillions of pieces, and all of them burn up in the atmosphere, 1MT worth of heat will be dissipated into the atmosphere. The only benefit of breaking the asteroid up would be that some or most of the pieces would miss Earth entirely, but that must be weighed against how much easier it is to predict the trajectory of one rock vs how hard it is to predict the trajectory of many small pieces that you might not be able to track with radar (seeing as how there are so many of them, you can't keep track).

      This has already been covered on this topic.

    2. Re:Making Comparisons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1km piece is about 3.75Billion tons.

      1000 pieces are each 3.75 million tons, and roughly speaking 1 ton coming down from orbit at high velocities is roughly equal to 1 ton on TNT being detonated on earth, so 10% of 1000 pieces is 100 each roughly equal to 3.75MT Nuclear bomb, the damage would be quite a bit more significant that a city block, more like a large part of a city, probably would leave nothing standing in a blast radius in the 4-10 mile range, better than a single 1km hitting (only because 90% of the mass missed), but still really really bad. And if 100% of the mass hit, smaller chunks are worse because they spread out energy more affectively (see clusterbombs).

    3. Re:Making Comparisons by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2

      The problem is that the necessary size of the explosion to push most of the mass of the projectile away so only the center of the cloud of exploded material hits is too large. Once you talk of an explosion of that size, you could also have used that much energy to just push *everything* aside. It takes less energy to push the whole mass to one side and make it miss than it does to blow most of it aside in *all* directions radially.

      Even if the chunks are smaller, if they all still hit the earth, we're still screwed. It's still the same mass overall hitting the earth, still the same overall kinetic energy being added to the system, and the havoc that creates will still be large enough to doom us, just in a different way.

      --

      Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

    4. Re:Making Comparisons by Da+Fokka · · Score: 1

      If you break up a 1km asteroid into 1000 pieces the average piece will have a diameter of about 100m. At 25km/s such a motherfucker could still level more than a city block (The Tunguska asteroid was caused by a rock with an estimated size of 50-70m and there still are no trees growing there).

  66. Re:Earth has made it this long w/out our intervent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Extinctions happen, and I'd like to prevent ours if at all possible.

    I'd start with disarmament.

  67. Diary of a Heaven's Gate cult member by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    *11/19/02

    Dear Diary,

    This is my final entry.

    The aliens are coming again and it's time to lay down my pen once and for all. As I sit here writing this, I look over to my pet goldfish wondering if he will follow me and leap from his bowl to give up his earthy vessel and meet his alien masters.

    And so I bid you farewell, my good friend Mr. Diary. You have been a source of comfort for many nights. How I long to stare down at your blank pages waiting for the touch of my pen to caress your surface. Will you miss the ink that so lovingly exudes from its tip?

    Goodbye.

    *11/20/02

    Dear Diary,

    I feel like a fool. I decided to remain on earth and observe our alien masters, rather than join them. I betrayed them. But I am alive. I am alive and I reject the false Heaven's Gate cult.

    Diary, I hope you do not think ill of me, but I have decided to stop communicating with you. I would much rather laugh at Wesley Crusher. But I know you'll understand. I will continue to watch the skies for our alien masters, knowing that Wesley Crusher is out there, somewhere, and may leap into a telephone booth at any moment, and change into his neon pink bunny suit and fly into space, saving us all.

  68. Some silly suggestions in the article by Henry+V+.009 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The New York Times article is kind of silly. If we ever need to move a large chunk of rock out of the way is a (relatively) short time, there is only one way to do it with current or near-future technology: Project Orion style nuclear explosions.

    You park your space ship against the rock, and set off small nuclear explosions against a plate mounted on the other side. The explosions are as small as you want, so the acceleration is as small as you want (to keep the rock from breaking up), but you can hold enough fuel (nuclear bombs) to make it last for quite some time.

    The methods suggested in the article might work if far longer time frames are available (millenia). But this is the best bet if you have to move it out of the way a little quicker than that.

    1. Re:Some silly suggestions in the article by stratjakt · · Score: 1

      All the "nudge it out of the way" solutions sound flaky to me.

      I mean, what if we nudge it enough that it doesn't hit the earth, but instead hits the moon, which falls out of orbit and hits earth.

      Or it hits another asteroid, which hits mars, which hits earth.

      It sounds like a high-stakes cosmic game of 8-ball played by amateurs. They line up a shot then nail it as hard as they can. Sure you sink the shot you're after, but then the cueball ricochets around the table 4 times, knocking in two of the opponents balls before it scratches.

      The only solution is to blow shit up completely. That's also what the human race excels at.

      --
      I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
    2. Re:Some silly suggestions in the article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But are you going to get enough momentum from that? Other people in these threads have suggested that nuclear explosions in space yield mainly radiation, not a shockwave. (Although particles from the the bomb would naturally scatter.)

      If all you get is a bunch of EM radiation then good luck moving anything with it. I guess you could anchor a big solar sail to the asteroid though. ;-)

      I've heard of the "thermonuclear explosions as propulsion" before. AFAIK it was the trigger happy guy that suggested it and many similar. I can't recall his name, one of the US scientist who was behind the arms race. He also suggested detonating nukes on the far side of the sun for physics experiments and nuking Alaska to get a nice harbour.

      --Hast, AC since I can't remember my password.

    3. Re:Some silly suggestions in the article by davet · · Score: 1

      Astounding. Someone who's entire knowledge of orbital mechanics comes from watching re-runs of "Red Dwarf".

      The one detail you forgot from your "cosmic game of 8-ball", the pool table's the size of the state of Nebraska. Now, how likely do think you are to hit the cueball hard enough to even reach the edge, much less bounce around the table a few times.

    4. Re:Some silly suggestions in the article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The distance between earth and the moon is fairly huge.

      But what if an asteroid is headed for the moon? Do we nudge it out of the way? I mean, if we nudge it enough that it doesn't hit the moon, but instead hits the earth, we're fucked! Holy false dilemma, batman!

      I'm sure NASA folks or whoever has the job at the time will be very careful of how much to nudge it, and in what direction.

    5. Re:Some silly suggestions in the article by LandGator · · Score: 1

      Many other respectable types beside Fast Eddie Teller thought it would work. See PROJECT ORION by Dyson for details.

      --
      There is nothing wrong with yr Internet. Do not attempt to adjust the picture. We are controlling the transmission - NSA
  69. Trick math by Pac · · Score: 2

    For what you suggest to work, the asteroid must be broken in a number of smaller pieces in such a way that enough mass of each piece will burn during planet-entry to reduce it to a definite point. This point is that where the impact of all pieces combined will not be enough to cause one of the many things that would destroy most life (or just human civilisation) in the planet.

    Now, that would depend on a huge number of variables: composition of the asteroid matter, its velocity, the number of pieces you manage to divert enterely, the points of impact and, naturally, the asteroid size. This last factor may well make any breaking effort useless (a large enough asteroid will generate pieces large enough to kill us all anyway).

    As it is, I don't know if it is possible to predict the outcome of the experiment without sending Bruce Willis up there to make sure the end will be happy.

  70. We do need a solution by let_freedom_ring · · Score: 1

    No one should be complacent about a meteor hitting the Earth by saying that the last impact was 'millions of years ago'. In the recent historical past we have confirmed one such hit on Jupiter within the past 30 yrs. I believe that was a comet but I'm not sure. In any case this is an appropriate expenditure of money.

  71. Frickin' LASERS!! by Bonker · · Score: 1

    Launch a powerful laser into orbit... or put it someplace high enough on the earth so that it doesn't lose power in the atmosphere. Aim at the asteroid. Use computer controlled aim to correct the targeting as both the earth and the asteroid move through space. Use said laser to heat up, melt, or even vaporize the rock on a particular point on the asteroid. Turn the power on the laser up high enough that the plume of heated material eventually rockets the asteroid into a new orbit.

    No asteroid intercept mission needed.

    --
    The next Slashdot story will be ready soon, but subscribers can beat the rush and slashdot the links early!
  72. I think... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    we should create an enormous ping pong paddle and swat it away from earth at the last minute!

  73. Armageddon as REFERENCE? by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 2

    Ok. Now I'm really scared. Since when are science fiction movies used for reference for anything scientic?

    Let's say you've got a 100 metric tons worth of asteroid heading for the planet. If we broke it up into 1000 pieces at 100kg each, are you really arguing that the individual pieces would do as much damage as the single one? Sure, they would do local damage, but 100 tons worth of space rock would certainly do damage on a global scale. Think about it - only half the globe would be hit by the debris, but the whole globe would be affected by the massive aftermath of an extintion level event - there would be a massive tidal wave, shock waves, volcano eruptions and a massive cloud of dust leading to climate change killing life.

    How much more or less dust would result from the "pebbles" scenario is probably what I'm asking. And how for how long would it stick around?

    --

    Stop the brainwash

    1. Re:Armageddon as REFERENCE? by sconeu · · Score: 2

      I prefer the analysis from Lucifer's Hammer, wherein they discuss the impact of a cubic mile of hot fudge sundae (Of course, Hot Fudge Sundae fell on a Tuesdae that year).

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
  74. You're not alone by GuyMannDude · · Score: 2

    I may be alone on this one, but please hear me out.

    You're not alone but you realize, of course, that you are inviting all sorts of cruel replies because of the "love your fellow man" tone of your post. But I think you are exactly right. There are all sorts of threats to humanity: biological/nuclear warfare, overpopulation, destruction of environment, etc. but when it comes down to it, it's really because people tend to do what benefits themselves the most and they don't care about how it will effect others. Biological and nuclear weapons are harmless until they are actually used by one country attempting to gain control over another. Overpopulation is at the root of many problems but that's largely due to increased competition (for resources, fame, etc.). Laws designed to protect the environment are skirted by corporations looking to increase their profit margin by a percent or two. If people would take the bigger picture into account everytime they do something, the risks to our species would go down measurably. I realize that it's a hopeless goal to get everyone to "play nice" but if we could get a large number of people to "do the right thing", it would be interesting to see how strongly that changes things. Perhaps significantly, perhaps insignificantly. There is a mentality that the fate of our species will ultimately be determined by the worst elements of our society. If that is true, then we are all doomed because there are some really evil people out there. But even if we are doomed to extinction, being a decent person can reap personal rewards as well, making your time on planet Earth more enjoyable.

    It's really too bad that we can't, as a society, somehow make being a decent, caring, loving human being "cool". Ah well...

    GMD

  75. A good point... by mlknowle · · Score: 2

    An excellent point made in the article, which demonstates exactly how urgent this problem is (not at all):

    "There is no point in use building a framework to [destroy space object] because our children will be so much better at it."

    An interesting read; I'm still glad to know that there are smart people thinking about this stuff.

  76. yeah, but what about the magnetic fields? by kisrael · · Score: 2

    Yeah, I know some people think that these science disaster articles tend to spring up more right before related major film releases,
    but it sounds like that magnetic fields flipping
    thing is much more of a clear and present danger...more present, anyway.

    --
    SO YOU'RE GOING TO DIE: The Comic for Dealing with Death
  77. Stop a Rock with Another Rock by serutan · · Score: 2

    What if we captured a medium size asteroid into Earth orbit, and equipped it such that we could steer it into different orbits. When an incoming killer asteroid is detected, steer our "pet" asteroid into its path -- not to smash it but to barely miss it, gravitationally dragging it off course to miss the Earth?

    Remembering an earlier /. posting about using force fields to assemble objects in space, maybe we could assemble our own guardian asteroid from bits and pieces in the correct orbit, rather than going out and getting one.

  78. Burn the observatorium! by Spacelord · · Score: 2, Funny

    ... so this will never happen again ;)

  79. Faked asteroid hit spoof.... by caluml · · Score: 5, Funny

    We had a guy at a place I worked at that was really worried about an asteroid hit. I got some of the people there to knock up a spoof BBC News home page, with a really big story that the end of the world was only about 36 hours away, and added a little tiny weeny DNS entry pointing at the box that was hosting the "site", and waited.

    Oh the laughter from the IT dept... ;)

    1. Re:Faked asteroid hit spoof.... by Sanga · · Score: 1

      Oh come now. You were jesting about another celestial body too while you were at it...
      http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/entertainment/mu sic/138 8131.stm

  80. While we're talking odds here... by mmacdona86 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Although mass extinction asteroids are quite rare, civilization-enders are somewhat more common, and ones nasty enough to ruin your whole day if they hit the wrong place (10 megatons) may occur as often as once a century (although more recent estimates put the frequency lower). We'd probably have a lot or warning on the mass extinction ones, but it would be nice to know about and be able to deflect or destroy the much smaller ones, too. So we need an improving capability to detect near earth objects, and we need to develop a range of responses for detected threats--slow and steady methods for big asteroids where we have plenty of warning, but also a quick-launch nuclear option for when we spy that 50-meter rock headed for the eastern seaboard.

  81. solar sail by TheSHAD0W · · Score: 2

    A solar sail would be a good way to provide a sustained force on an asteroid; it need not be an elaborate structure, nor tightly defined as a spacecraft would need; a large parachute-like sail would be sufficient. It would be passive, requiring no fuel except what's needed to plant it, and its effectiveness would increase as the object approached its perigee, near the Sun.

    But as the article says, you need a long lead time to move the asteroid enough to be sure it misses the Earth. Whichever method is eventually used, we'll still need to scan the sky, so as to catch them early.

  82. Thrust ship by CrazyJim0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    A nuke would be good to break it into smaller pieces. But there is definately still a threat by these smaller pieces which also need to be destroyed. But whats really challenging is when the little alien saucers start shooting at you.

  83. Re:Earth has made it this long w/out our intervent by shaitand · · Score: 1

    Why? We should try yes, but if we fail, good, that means we weren't up to the challenge and SHOULD be extinct. This is called natural selection. It's why if another species is made extinct by our presence it's not a bad thing. Some people seem to think we're not animals and US having a part in something getting wiped out is CONTRARY to nature. I hate to shock environmentalists, but we are just a small PART of nature, we can't upset it because what we do is part of the big picture that is nature. If nature decides a meteor is gonna make us into a new puddling like substance or pretty ash statues, we're screwed, period. Live with it, deal with it, consider our purpose in nature is further the species and SURVIVE, not individually, but as a species.

  84. Give it thrusters! by Keighvin · · Score: 2

    Most of these proposed solutions take not only a great deal of time but a great deal of energy to implement properly as well. We can probably hit any target large enough to be a threat with a good deal of accuracy, why not use that as an effective delivery mechanism for these other ideas?

    Crash a rocket into the side and use thrusters going to give it a nice small adjustment and vector it away. Whatever form of thrust you want - a directed nuclear blast, thermitic compound to creat the proposed vapor, etc. A more compact and faster acting proposition in case we *don'* have X number of years/decades to hope for.

    --
    Any spoon would be too big.
  85. I used to have asteroids... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    but the doctor gave me some lotion that cleared them right up!

  86. Solution Already Exists: Nuclear Rocket by cosmosis · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The Solution to preventing an asteroidal impact, assuming time is scarce, is a nuclear rocket. The technology for this was already developed way back in the 1960's, and was shut down for obvious reasons. If an asteroid was going to hit us in less than a year without any prior warning, a massive campaign could get a nuclear rocket launched and into space within 6 months. I haven't done the precise astrodynamic calculations, but the factors are - mass of asteroid, time to left to impact, and specific impulse of nuclear rocket. The higher the specific impulse the less time or large the asteroid can be.

    Keep in mind that even if the asteroid was only a month away from impact and it was heading our way at 7 miles per second, that means that the asteroid would be 18.1 Millions miles away, which means that the angle of its trajectory would only have to be diverted by less than 1/1000th of a degree. A moderately size nuclear rocket could easily divert an asteroid of 1-2 miles in diameter in plenty of time to divert the disaster.

    Planet P - Liberation Through Technology.

    1. Re:Solution Already Exists: Nuclear Rocket by thgreatoz · · Score: 2, Informative

      Dude, that's exactly what all those scientists at the conference decided WOULDN'T work!!! Did you read the article? Besides, you can't consider diameter as much...mass is the primary variable. And understand that the force of a nuclear blast is not going to be focused at the asteroid...it will be spread out in 3 dimensions around the source of the blast. The asteroid will only feel a fraction of the total tonnage, and that, the scientists are saying, is simply not enough.

      --
      When their numbers dwindled from 50 to 8, the dwarves began to suspect Hungry.
    2. Re:Solution Already Exists: Nuclear Rocket by _ph1ux_ · · Score: 2

      You must be an oil rig worker, huh?

    3. Re:Solution Already Exists: Nuclear Rocket by cosmosis · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Uh Dude, I am NOT talking about nuclear bombs! Thats an entirely differnt thing. Nuclear Rockets are controlled reactions - where the thrust is highly focused and controlled. The exact opposite of a nuclear blast. A nuclear blast would obliterate the asteroid, a nuclear rocket would keep it entact and gently alter its trajectory.

      Planet P - Liberationg Through Technology.

    4. Re:Solution Already Exists: Nuclear Rocket by Theaetetus · · Score: 2
      ... says the man who didn't read the _second_ page of the article either...

      Porosity might prove to be a problem even for some of the alternative methods, however. A mass driver, for instance, would have to be firmly attached to an asteroid in order to work, as would a small rocket engine, another proposed method. It might not be possible to anchor such equipment to a popcorn-ball asteroid.

      -T

    5. Re:Solution Already Exists: Nuclear Rocket by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 5, Informative

      I don't know if I agree with the scientists.

      Soviets and US had some experiance at using nuclear devices for moving Earth and simulating an earthquake.

      http://nuketesting.enviroweb.org/hew/Usa/Tests/S to rax.html

      "Up to a point, the more deeply buried an explosive charge is, the larger the crater it will make. Beyond this point much of the material is thrown with insufficient force to clear the crater and falls back in, reducing the final size. At the optimal crater depth though quite a lot of material actually ends up back in the crater bottom. This is an advantage for a Plowshare-type crater experiment since much of the radioactivity gets returned to the crater and buried. The radiation release (as measured in terms of I-131, the most important from human health risks) was 880,000 curies, about equivalent to a 3-4 kt atmospheric fission test.

      Sedan was detonated at what was estimated to be the optimal crater depth in alluvial soil. 12 million tons of soil and rock were lifted into the air, 8 million tons of it falling outside the crater. The final crater was 1280 feet wide and 320 feet deep. The force of the detonation released seismic energy equivalent to an earthquake magnitude of 4.75 on the Richter Scale. The device used was similar to that used in Dominic Bluestone and Swanee and was thus a variant of the W-56 high yield missile warhead. The device had a fusion yield of 70%. The Sedan device had a diameter of 17.1 inches, a length of 38 inches, and a weight of 467.9 lb."

      http://nuketesting.enviroweb.org/hew/Russia/Sovw pn prog.html

      5 to 7 KT does this

      "The site for the Chagan shot was the dry bed of the Chagan River on the edge of the Semipalatinsk Test Site (STS) in Kazakhstan. The shot location was chosen so that the crater lip would form a dam in the river during its period of high flow in the spring. The crater formed by the Chagan explosion had a diameter of 408 m and a depth of 100 m. A major lake (10,000,000 m 3 ) was quickly formed behind the 20-35 m high upraised lip. Shortly after the explosion, earthmoving equipment was used to cut a channel through the lip so that water from the river could enter the crater.

      Spring melt soon filled the crater with 6.4 million m^3 of water, and the reservoir behind the crater was filled with 10 million m^3 of water. These reservoirs are known informally as Lake Chagan or Lake Balapan. Subsidence of the crater slopes subsequently reduced the crater storage capacity by about 25%. A few years later, a water-control structure was built on the left bank of the river to control water levels in the reservoirs. Both reservoirs exist today in substantially the same form and are still used to provide water for cattle in the area. Efrim P. Slavskiy, Minister of the Medium Machine Building Ministry (the ministry responsible for the entire Soviet nuclear weapons program)was reported to have been the first person to have taken a swim in the crater lake."

    6. Re:Solution Already Exists: Nuclear Rocket by uncoveror · · Score: 2

      I don't think we much of a reason to fear Asteroids, but we have plenty of reasons to fear Space Invaders.

      --
      The Uncoveror: It's the real news.
    7. Re:Solution Already Exists: Nuclear Rocket by WeaponOfChoice · · Score: 2

      Problem with this sort of thing could be that the asteroid may be rotating in all xyz making it difficult to a) land and b) apply a significant force to the desired vector.

      I advocate keeping a ready supply of variously sized asteriods in stable orbits around earth so we can send them out to deflect incoming ones...

      --


      It's not that I'm Anti-American - I'm Pro-Freedom
    8. Re:Solution Already Exists: Nuclear Rocket by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2

      With that kind of calculation, the distance away it is doesn't help make it easier. What matters is the time to impact. (So, an object X units away closing the distance at a rate of Y is just as hard to deflect as an object 2*X units away closing at a rate of 2*Y. In either case you have X/Y units of time in which to push it a distance equal to the radius of the earth, to get it aside. The push would be lateral to the velocity the object has, so all that matters to the calculation is the the time available. In fact the farther/faster object would be harder to deflect because we'd have to get the rockets set up while it's still waaay out there. The slower/nearer object would be easier to reach to get the push started on time.

      --

      Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

    9. Re:Solution Already Exists: Nuclear Rocket by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I don't know if I agree with the scientists.


      Any post that starts with this line should probably be modded "+5 Crackpot." :)
    10. Re:Solution Already Exists: Nuclear Rocket by Mac+Degger · · Score: 2

      So we now know that putting a nuke deep in the ground pulverises a huge elypsoidal volume. The ground is pulverised, then most of it falls back due to gravity.

      So when you try this trick on an asteroid, you stop having one big thing hurtling to earth (that blast is going to pulverise the asteroid, gravity or no), and create lots of smaller things, hurtling towards the earth. I'll even put the mass of those smaller things at one thirds of the object (seeing as that blast will have most definitely 'adjusted' the velocity of quite a few of those smaller bits); that's still a lot of smaller bits. I'm sure you can see where I'm going with this :)

      Yup: lots of small bits of asteroid still flying towards the earth. And I have an idea that some will make it through...by which time you'll of been think about how life was so much simpler when you where dealing with changing the course of just one large object.

      That being said, it's still pretty sad that at the moment we sometimes discover near-earth hits by asteroids and meteorites...days after they happen.
      So I guess that a six month long preparation time doesn't really matter.

      --
      -- Waht? Tehr's a preveiw buottn?
    11. Re:Solution Already Exists: Nuclear Rocket by claude_juan · · Score: 1

      i disagree. sure you may only have to relatively "budge" the big rock, but you cant take just size into account here. the mass of it is going to be a HUGE factor. i dont know your personal background, but what little physics knowledge i have tells me that there is more to this than what meets the eye.

    12. Re:Solution Already Exists: Nuclear Rocket by Snover · · Score: 1

      Does anyone else see the irony in a NUCLEAR ROCKET being "gentle"?

      --

      [insert witty comment here]
    13. Re:Solution Already Exists: Nuclear Rocket by mormop · · Score: 1

      Mmmmmm.... sounds like planetry pool to me.

      How about sorting out the Iraq thing, GWB vs Saddam.

      Best of three gets the oil

      --
      Hmmmmmm..... Deep fried and look like Squirrel.
  87. Re:Earth has made it this long w/out our intervent by notaspy · · Score: 1

    Nooo! Not the wixwaxia?!!

    --
    hi!
  88. No nukes in space! It'd be worse than an asteroid! by SexyKellyOsbourne · · Score: 1, Troll

    A real, live nuclear weapon in space would be even more horrible than the probes we've launched.

    Just one pound of Plutonium is deadly enough to cause 8 billion cancers -- if those radioactive materials dissipated in the atmosphere, we'd be in a world of shit.

    Launching nuclear weapons and even nuclear-powered probes like Cassinni into space is a far greater threat than some random asteroid actually hitting our tiny planet.

  89. Colonizing Other Planets... by Puu · · Score: 1

    Arthur Dent would call that "The Beowulf Cluster".

  90. yuk by _ph1ux_ · · Score: 1

    I kept reading "Stopping Killer Hemroids(sp)" - It took me three attempts to read it correctly.

  91. I wouldn't rush out to try and solve this by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Once we develop the technology to accurately move around asteroids, over time we end up with a bigger risk that somebody intentionally points one at the earth than we currently have of random collisions.

    Think of how many insane cult and national leaders there have been in the past century alone. Now think of how many more we'll see in the next 100,000 years or so. I'd stick with the natural odds on this one.

    Unfortunately, though, if this technology is possible, somebody is going to go ahead and develop it. Given human nature, there is no way to stop the proliferation of tempting new powers.

  92. NASA's Near Earth Object Program by Roosey · · Score: 5, Informative

    NASA has a pretty good website that talks about "near-earth objects" (comets/asteroids with orbits that bring them close to earth). They even have a page detailing the current impact risks.

    Fortunately, only one of them is meriting significant attention. I guess we're safe for a little while then.

  93. Our reason for existence by Cap'n+enigma · · Score: 2, Interesting

    After asteroids almost wiped out all life on this planet on several occasions, is that why we evolved and why we have always looked to the heavens? Did we evolve in order to protect life from these killers from the sky?

  94. Bacteria by 00Monkey · · Score: 2, Interesting

    We could engineer some bacteria to eat ICE/Rock/Dirt and that could survive in only non-oxygen environments. Then we could mass produce it and launch it at the Asteroid. Maybe with some luck they could eat it all?

    1. Re:Bacteria by The+Fun+Guy · · Score: 2

      Why is this post moderated "Interesting"? I'm not trying to start a flamewar, I really want to know how someone arrived at this determination. "Funny", I could see.

      Can I introduce the phrase, "Conservation of mass" to this thread? The magic bacteria eat 1kg of rock, and then... what? That 1kg has somehow dissapeared? No, it has turned into 1kg of bacteria. Would there be any appreciable difference between being crushed by 10^7kg of rock vs. 10^7kg of bacterial crud?

      --
      The man who does not read good books has no advantage over the man who cannot read them. - Mark Twain
    2. Re:Bacteria by 00Monkey · · Score: 1

      lol, the post was meant to be funny but in general my posts are not moderated properly. I guess I should have put a smiley on there or something.

    3. Re:Bacteria by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Although the process seems slow, I wouldn't discount it just yet. Put a large sealed plastic bag around the asteroid and fill it with a bit of oxygen and water. Make the roid into a little greenhouse-like environment, and the bugs will get munching. If it is not a very solid roid, perhaps the bugs could turn it into a blob of fragile mud relatively quick.

  95. Why a "sustained gentle push" probably wont help. by Manhigh · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I've studied this problem before. The amount of sustained thrust you need, given several years advanced notice, assuming a ~1km diameter asteroid, is on the order of hundreds of Newtons. More than an energy beam could provide. The mass driver isnt a bad idea, BUT the most efficient thrust vector to change the asteroids orbit is along its velocity vector. Asteroids tend to spin on an inertially fixed axis, so you would have to put your thrust along that axis as well. In doing so you waste a lot of thrust.

    --
    "Open the pod by doors, Hal" > "I'm afraid I can't do that, Dave" sudo "Open the pod bay doors, Hal" > alright
  96. retard vs. good memory??? by T-Kir · · Score: 2

    Glad I got some support, I don't bother giving unkind AC's a response. It's funny that I watch the ep for the first time a couple of days ago, and be such a retard for having a good memory! (as well as having the episode at hand to transcribe the correct line).

    --
    Are you local? There's nothing for you here!
  97. Kamen's solution by jmcwork · · Score: 1

    Maybe you could attach a bunch of those little Segway's to the asteroid to change its flight path.

  98. Here's something useful... by Cap'n+Canuck · · Score: 1

    ...that none of those articles mentioned. I heard recently that there is a proposed new observatory on Mauna Loa whose sole purpose is to search for killer asteroids. (Sorry, no link)

    Mind you, building earth-saving technology on top of a volcano does strike me as, what's the word - oh yeah, STUPID.

    1. Re:Here's something useful... by fenix+down · · Score: 1

      Well, volcanoes are the optimal location for doomsday devices, so why not put the anti-doomsday devices in the same place?

  99. What!!?? by Arthur+Dent · · Score: 1
    Stop Killing Asteroids ???

    oh .. er .. never mind. I think I need more coffee.

  100. Re:Earth has made it this long w/out our intervent by limekiller4 · · Score: 2

    krinsh writes:
    "I wonder if this is something we should really be focusing time and energy on. You know, there are, at a minimum, eight other planets in this solar system that we should investigate - maybe not colonize, maybe not exploit for mineral or chemical (gas or liquid) resources; but we should look at with humans - not robots. I think we'd gain considerable real insight if we looked beyond our terrestrial sphere."

    I'm just taking a wild guess, but I'd suspect that the energy and effort required to make one of the other planets (Mars?) habitable AND to get even a fraction of the populace there would (a) require just as much lead-time to execute, nevermind pre-plan, and (b) a lot more money than keeping our butts parked and just obliterating/deflecting the thing.

    "But then again; don't we have a few major telescopes in orbit; and thousands more both professional and personal (like mine) on the surface? Shouldn't we be able to note anything on an obvious trajectory here and consider our options at that point?"

    First you need to get funding. Right now we cover a very, very small fraction of the sky and if memory serves that got slashed a year or two back. Second, there are things that telescopes cannot see. For example, asteroids coming from the direction of the sun. Just a guess, but perhaps by the time that doppler could spot the thing, it would be far too late (on the order of weeks).

    --
    My .02,
    Limekiller
  101. Militarization/weaponization of space by GuyMannDude · · Score: 2

    First of all space is NOT demilitarized already. US has large amounts of military hardware up there, Russia has somewhat less, and China has less yet.

    I was going to say pretty much the same thing. The nations have tentatively agreed not to weaponize space but they have no problem militarizing space. The problem, of course, comes with how to do draw the line between weaponizing and militarizing? Obviously, space-based lasers designed to strafe cities safely from orbit is weaponization. Surveillance satellites that use radars to cover large portions of a battlefield is not weaponizing. But how about GPS-guided weapons which rely on satellites to guide them to targets? Well, the fact that we have them suggests that we certainly don't consider that weaponization. What about launching weapons from the ground designed to destroy enemy satellites? What about using our satellites to destroy enemy satellites? Each administration has its own boundaries about what is acceptable and what isn't. It's only natural that this line will change over time.

    GMD

  102. KISS by sunking2 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Come on people, it's obvious that the only real workable solution in the forseable future is nukes. Of course the tricky part is detonation at the appropriate time. Afterall, we're talking about a closure rate that is incredible (100k+ km/hr?).

    Those who claim that the smaller pieces will be just as destructive as the whole are stopping the scenario short. You don't just shoot and hit with one or more at the same time. Over some amount of time you continously hit it with nukes, breaking the smaller pieces into still smaller until the pieces are either too small to do massive damage or blow out of our path.

    In my opinion, all of these exotic solutions are a waste of time and money. Hell, at this point even the nuke solution isn't very feasible and considering the chances of being hit not a very good way to spend money.

  103. Gen-Xers already have the solution by forrestt · · Score: 1

    And here it is.

  104. Re:Well... by CrazyDuke · · Score: 1

    How about all us nerds and geeks pool our money and make a colony ship and leave the dumbshits to their own greed driven devices. The only problem is finding women (nerd and geek women are seemingly rare). ;P

    --
    Any sufficiently advanced influence is indistinguishable from control.
  105. Bad people do bad things... by Cylix · · Score: 3, Funny


    I've recently applied for patents on various technologies to eliminate or deviate asteroids on an intercept course with Earth.

    If anyone should attempt to use those devices to save the Earth, I will promptly send a horde of evil barbarian lawyers with a cease and desist order.

    You can't save your punny planet now... I've used your own vices against you!

    My minions at the patent office have served me well on this day.

    cylix,
    The Lord of Evil and Terror

    --
    "You should always go to other people's funerals; otherwise, they won't come to yours." -- Yogi Berra
  106. In Soviet Russia... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Earth hits asteroid!
    errrr something....

  107. Re:Earth has made it this long w/out our intervent by Hee+Hee+Hee · · Score: 1

    Isn't this argument kinda like saying "well, it's going to rain no matter what I do, so why bother building a shelter?" You do it to get out of the rain! If there's something we can do to preserve ourselves, no matter what the scale, we should do it. Given how much taxpayer money is wasted on other things, I don't see how this is a burden on our resources. Maybe people will thank us for our foresight fifty years from now after we've developed and tested a system to avert a disaster like this.

    --
    - Bill
  108. Science - Ask Slashdot by scott1853 · · Score: 2

    from the stupid-things-people-post department

    MissionControl writes "Let me start by giving you some barkground. My organization is dealing with a large object composed of vareous minnerales and we need the most effective way of breaking it into managable pieces. I've spent a lot of time searching Google for llama recipes already and couldn't find anything related to what I'm trying to do. My boss is really pressuring me to solve this problem quickly. If anybody has some step-by-step instructions on how to do this, please post them here so I can show my boss how good I... er... we in the Open Source community are." I only use Windows for games -- HONEST! Oh, anybody have any ideas on how to do this?

    1. Re:Science - Ask Slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      *grin*

      heh heh.

  109. Just go after the Brain Bug!!!! by Albinoman · · Score: 1

    Lets capture that damn brain bug before he realizes hes missing!! Remember Rio de Janeiro?

    Yes I know that was an aweful movie.

  110. Re:No nukes in space! It'd be worse than an astero by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You my friend are a moron. Nuclear powered probes have the nuclear fuel encased in what is a virtually indestructable shield -- the force of a an exploding rocket, the impact of hitting the ground or the very high temperatures of an explosion/fire would not breach the shield encasing the fuel. The shielding was designed and tested to prevent exactly what you mention -- the release of the nuclear fuel because of a launch failure.

  111. yes but think of the children by wrax · · Score: 1

    sure we only have to divert the main body of the asteroid by that amount, but what about the cloud of debris and smaller asteroids that follow one of the big suckers, some of those pieces could still cause widespread devestation on our planet, a nuclear detonation in space would only serve to fragment the asteroid more and cause us to die just the same. I think that we have more important problems facing our planet than destruction by an asteroid, problems we can actually do something about.

    1. Re:yes but think of the children by cosmosis · · Score: 2

      Uhm, smaller debris that follows an asteroid? You must be thinking of the Bruce Willis movies. First of all the odds are highly in favor of asteroid being in the 1-2 mile diameter or less. Secondly, any debris following such an asteroid would be so small that it would be of no danger at all, and finally the acceleration of the asteroid from the nuclear rocket would be so gradual relatively speaking that any debris would pick up the ride from its meager gravitational force.

      Planet P - Liberation Through Tehnology.

  112. Re:No nukes in space! It'd be worse than an astero by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    if you're going to troll, at least put some effort into it next time.

  113. New Jersey Reference by mike_mgo · · Score: 2, Funny

    As if New Jersey doesn't have a bad enough rap already, you have to go comparing it to planet killing asteroids.

    1. Re:New Jersey Reference by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      As if New Jersey doesn't have a bad enough rap already, you have to go comparing it to planet killing asteroids.


      He was just trying to improve New Jersey's image.

  114. Good Idea! by pivo · · Score: 3, Funny

    Let's test it on the moon! Wicked cool!

  115. Re:Yeah, but that's not the first solution we can by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What a joke. You don't do anything with telemarketers, ever. You send people who actually have skills of some sort, such as farmers, engineers of all types, scientists (of the xenologer type), homemakers, etc. As long as the area they were sent to had the correct resources, the culture can sustain itself with hard work. Best case scenerio is everybody gets to live in a wide-open farming world such as the Old West days of the USA, but with the benefits of modern day technology and less Indians. Nobody needs a telemarketer to do anything. The suggestion of sending a telemarketer to do any job is below sarcasm, even.

  116. Push it. by Hrothgar+The+Great · · Score: 1

    Back the rocket up to it... I'll get out and push. God damn... this thing is heavy! A little help? I think we're going to need to jump start it.

  117. If it comes it comes... by felis_panthera · · Score: 2

    Considering our track record so far with stopping natural disasters, I have adopted an attitude of "Whatever nature wants, nature gets". Floods, tornados, earthquakes, diseases, landslides, ice storms... the list of ways for Mother Nature to kill us off is boundless... and currently unpreventable.

    There are far more pressing issues for our top minds to worry about than what to do if a giant space rock is going to fall on us. Pollution is our fault, war is our fault... prejudice, hatred, greed, intolerance... these we can work on. What's the point of blowing up an asteroid to save this world, when many of us are still working as hard as we can to destroy it.

    Sports heros are paid millions of dollars a year... each... and most teachers are living hand to mouth. Doctors are taught never to identify with the person behind the disease they're treating. Racism is rampant, keeping certain people from getting ahead just because of where their family comes from. In Ireland, people are killed over how to worship the same god. In China, female children are thrown in the river because of a phallocentric ideology.

    We can stop all of these things with hard work. Let's stop trying to figure out solutions for possible scenarios, and start building a world that's actually worth saving.

    --

    The chains are broken
    Loki is free
    Ragnarok is at hand...
    1. Re:If it comes it comes... by ivan256 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Let's stop trying to figure out solutions for possible scenarios, and start building a world that's actually worth saving.

      If the world is not worth saving why don't you just kill yourself? Seriously, this is not a troll or flamebait. I really want to know the answer. Why not?

      Sports heros are paid millions of dollars a year... each... and most teachers are living hand to mouth.

      Why don't you stop comparing apples to oranges? Due to union contracts, some teachers are extremely overpaid compared to others who get screwed. Why don't you fix that problem first? Teachers teach our children that once High School is over, your life is going to suck. Work is going to suck. The only thing you'll have to look forward to after the prom and the homecoming football game is the weekend on the couch with a beer and sports on TV. Nobody teaches children that a job can be fun. You wonder why people choose to give their money to athletes instead of teachers? Please, spare me. This is not a wealth redistribution problem like you imply. It's a social engineering problem, and any solution will take generations to work. If you treat it as some moral injustice you'll just perpetuate the cycle or move the problem elsewhere.

      Doctors are taught never to identify with the person behind the disease they're treating.

      I fail to see how this is bad. Would the world be a better place if all of our doctors were clinically depressed and in institutions after a few years of service? Due to human nature our society depends on objectivity to survive. Sometimes you have to make hard decisions. Sometimes an individual has to be sacraficed for the good of the many. Sometimes you just can't save sombody. It sucks, but that's life. You have to distance yourself at a personal level from the reality if you want to maintain your sanity and continue to make good decisions.

      Racism is rampant, keeping certain people from getting ahead just because of where their family comes from. In Ireland, people are killed over how to worship the same god.

      Hard work can solve this problem? I doubt it. We've worked at it hard for centuries. These problems will not go away until people are willing to throw away their culture. Ironically, the same people who are interested in seeing problems like this solved are the same types of people who go out of their way to preserve cultures that are dying. Racial and religious barriers that have been overcome have been overcome at the expense of the culture of both sides. I think it's a great tradeoff, but do you? Does everybody?

      In China, female children are thrown in the river because of a phallocentric ideology.

      Here's another one where you have to make a choice between forgetting a culture to save lives, or preserving our history. No, you can't do both. Does the answer seem so obvious anymore? How many lives would be lost to get people who are so bound to cultural expectations that they would drown their own child to abandon that culture?

      Now that I've been antagonizing you, here's the real point. Even with all those problems, do we still need to give up on stopping big rocks from killing us? Aren't there enough people on this planet such that plenty of people can work on all the problems? Can we a s a society persue multiple goals at the same time? If not, why not tackle the problems we know we can find an answer to (moving big rocks) while we're still coming to terms with the realities of the problems that don't have answers everybody will agree with (see above).

    2. Re:If it comes it comes... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I didnt do those things! nature did!
      Nature made me to want to polute, well damn hell im gonna polute. If a duck gets in my way, ill step on it with pride for I am a HUMAN BEING. HEAR ME ROAR. I OWN ALL I SEE. I DIDNT SPEND THE LAST MILLION YEARS CRAWLING MY WAY TO THE TOP OF THE ENVIRONMENT JUST SO I COULD SUBMIT TO IT!!!

      damn, human's kick ass.

  118. Painting the asteriod by Greedo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I just read the article (it's fun, you should all try it sometime), and one of the ideas that's being touted as a good alternative to nuking the asteriod is to basically paint one side of it.

    The difference in energy absorbtion/radiation on the two sides of the 'roid could be enough to produce a bit of a push and take it out of harms way.

    Now, what they failed to mention in the article, which I think pretty much sends this idea to the dumpster is: what if the asteriod is rotating? That would cancel out any pushing (unless you paint one of the "poles", I suppose, but who says that's the side you "want" to paint?). Or, at the least, it would push it in unpredictable ways, which isn't a good idea.

    --
    Tuus crepidae innexilis sunt.
    1. Re:Painting the asteriod by Idarubicin · · Score: 2
      Well, you'd still get some good out of it: what you've built is a really inefficient solar sail. Instead of thousands of square metres of aluminized Mylar, you would have a shiny lump of rock. You would still get some momentum transfer from photons bouncing off the sunny side of the rock, and all those pushes would be in the same direction whether the rock rotates or not.

      Whether you can move a many-ton rock perceptibly (let alone far enough to do some good) in less than centuries with this technique I leave as an excercise for the reader.

      Regardless, any push is a good push--Earth is a pretty small target on an astronomical scale, so giving any push to a rock aimed squarely at Earth won't hurt.

      --
      ~Idarubicin
    2. Re:Painting the asteriod by MystikPhish · · Score: 1

      Easy enough to solve that problem...

      Paint ALL of the asteroid. If it's rotating (and they ALL are rotating to some degree) only ~50% will be facing the sun at one time anyway, and you still get the effect of light pressure pushing it away from the sun as it rotates.

      --
      "I'm about to drop the hammer and dispense some indiscriminate justice!"
  119. Re:Yeah, but that's not the first solution we can by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, you don't.

    In order to have a sustainable colony, you need.
    A population large enough to have sufficient genetic diversity.
    The ability to provide them with the essentials of life. Food & shelter.

    Sure, the colonists will want more, but if they're dependant on Earth for that, no big deal. As long as Earth survives, they can have the extras, but if we're talking humanity lives on, that is all they *need*.

  120. Don't worry, the UFOs will protect us by aminorex · · Score: 2

    This link reports airline pilots' description of what might be the protective destruction of a massive meteor as it entered the atmosphere.

    --
    -I like my women like I like my tea: green-
  121. Re:Yeah, but that's not the first solution we can by brassman · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Mod parent up!!!

    And of course, when you do get a self-sufficient colony going somewhere else, they're going to have their own agenda. Sort of like Heinlein's The Moon Is a Harsh Mistress, or longer term, Asimov's Foundation.

    But... I offer two cliches that are none the less true:

    • Earth is humanity's cradle. Sooner or later, you have to grow up;
    • Ships are safe in harbor... but that's not what ships are for.
    --
    "Ain't no right way to do a wrong thing."
  122. Billiards anyone? by perdu · · Score: 1
    How about this? We herd a couple of asteroids in closer to Earth and keep 'em handy as ammo, to knock away any that threaten. Setting this up would give us some real experience in moving these things.

    Checkout Slash for Astronomy at M57: The Ring

    --
    You only use 2% of your DNA
    1. Re:Billiards anyone? by Skoshi · · Score: 1

      Personally, based on our space program's success rate, I'd be more concerned about the asteroids they attempted to harness hitting the earth than the near miss asteriods they would attempt to deflect.

      --
      "What are apples? Left, right, socialist...I don't know."
  123. Nuclear Rocket Dude! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Boy do I hate people which address others as Dude!
    Get the fsck*ing clue. Parent post describes a nuclear rocket, basicaly a reactor that is being used to heat the reaction mass which in turn is used for propulsion.
    So Dude no "nucelar" explosions 'n' stuff.

    1. Re:Nuclear Rocket Dude! by thgreatoz · · Score: 1

      "Anonymous Coward" and Cosmosis: Yes, you're right, I read that wrong. But it still won't work...most asteroids aren't big boulders, they're piles of rubble floating through space. Your rocket would fly right through it and off into oblivion, which is where Anon's brain seems to be, trying to be a wiseass when he's (she's?) really just being an Ass.

      --
      When their numbers dwindled from 50 to 8, the dwarves began to suspect Hungry.
    2. Re:Nuclear Rocket Dude! by cosmosis · · Score: 2

      Actually most earth approaching asteroids are carboncious, rich with megatons of heavy metals. I doubt it will fly apart from a gradual push from a sustained nuclear rocket.

    3. Re:Nuclear Rocket Dude! by thgreatoz · · Score: 1

      Really? Everything I've read is conflicting...what are you basing that on, I'd like to read more about it (as if my schedule allowed it. :) )

      --
      When their numbers dwindled from 50 to 8, the dwarves began to suspect Hungry.
  124. More useful nuclear tid-bits. by twitter · · Score: 3, Insightful
    this statement is not 100% true:

    All of these methods require one thing, however. Time. At least several decades warning.

    Time is balanced with power. We need the power to get whatever solution where it needs to be in time to make a difference. More power yields less time. It also reduces the radius at which you must operate. With more power, you can make a trajectory difference closer to the sun.

    Nuclear power in space is the best solution. Asside from proven rocket designs with higher specific impulses than chemical designs, nuclear can be used to power more exotic propulsion technologies. Where else are you going to get your mega watts? The whole effort should be co-ordinated with a push to colinize and exploit extra-terrestrial resources, and that is best accomplished with the portable power nuclear provides. More is better.

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

  125. Good thing.. by Isbiten · · Score: 1

    That we have oil drillers with the knowledge to go out in space and blast asterioids

    --
    I fought the corporate America, and the corporate America bought the law.
  126. Re:Resuming... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    3. Steps to detonate : 1- Create giant laser 2- ??? 3- Survive !

    4- ???
    5- PROFIT!!!

  127. Arthur C. Clarke... by Verteiron · · Score: 3, Informative

    ... has once again predicted the future. In The Hammer of God, he laid out an entire scenario for just this "gentle push" method.

    --
    End of lesson. You may press the button.
    1. Re:Arthur C. Clarke... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can say he predicted the future when an asteroid actually comes and is actually deflected by the means written in his book.

  128. Where's that (-1, PUKE BLOODY BILE) mod? by somethingwicked · · Score: 2
    First, bear with me, because I don't think there is anything inherently wrong with the sentiments you are expressing.

    HOWEVER, that being said, it would be nice to CONTINUE to smile, ask questions, etc. I see nothing wrong with anyone devoting time to the cause of researching what could be done to prevent a "near-miss" *grin* After all, nothing makes me smile and laugh more than some of the half-assed schemes I see in the comments on /. sometimes.

    The PUKE in this comment is NOT the fluffy stuff in it, but that you are using the fluffy stuff to deflect a legitimate concern as beneath the awareness of "higher mortals"

    I don't walk around fearing the ring of a sniper bullet or worry that a plane will crash into where I stand. But I think it is unhealthy not to question-What would I/We do if...?

    --

    ---"What did I say that sounded like 'Tell me about your day?'"---

    1. Re:Where's that (-1, PUKE BLOODY BILE) mod? by Dalcius · · Score: 1

      I was going to reply, but you said it for me. Mod parent up, folks. =)

      The point is to smile, live, learn, and then keep the world healthy for the next generation so more people can smile, live, learn, etc. Letting it end while we enjoy it for ourselves is irresponsible.

      --
      ~Dalcius
      Rome wasn't burnt in a day.
  129. Nuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where are the Vulcans when we need them?

  130. Asteroid deflection (not using nukes) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cheaper and simpler NOT to rely on nukes.

    Most important thing is EARLY DETECTION not a nuclear arsenal.

    If you know the trajectory long enough in advance, you can deflect it much more easily. Many possibilites like a small device to spread carbon dust on one side so light pressure from the sun changes it's orbit. A solar sail. A robot to attach itself to asteroid with an ion engine and push at low thrust for long period. Many ways to slice this problem, all of which are simpler than trying to make a bullet hit a bullet and making it explode at EXACTLY the right moment.

    Again, key is EARLY detection whatever you do. 18 days is very likely not enough.

  131. Re:Earth has made it this long w/out our intervent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And then someone would break into your house and shoot you, because they know you don't have any weapons to defend yourself with. Maybe you should cower under a rock somewhere? I bet nobody can find you then.

  132. Re:G. H. W. Bush - Not Much; G. W. Bush - Even Les by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Thanks Al. I recommend that you seriously consider some dieting and exercise before postioning yourself for the 2004 elections. You were a fsuking totem pole before. Being a fat, fsuking totem pole isn't much better.

  133. Re:No nukes in space! It'd be worse than an astero by asterisk_man · · Score: 1

    Some people would disagree with you.

  134. nuke? by Ender+Ryan · · Score: 2
    I simply do not understand the argument that nuking the thing into much smaller pieces wouldn't be effective. Sure, it's still the same mass, but it also now has a much larger surface area, allowing MUCH more of it to burn up in the atmosphere, and the final impact of whatever gets through the atmosphere will be spread out, over distance and time, instead of one huge impact.

    Am I wrong? Can someone who truly knows a bit more comment?

    --
    Sticking feathers up your butt does not make you a chicken - Tyler Durden
    1. Re:nuke? by dcmeserve · · Score: 1

      Not only is it not effective, but breaking up an asteroid into smaller pieces would actually make things *worse*.

      Think about it: a cubic kilometer contains 1 billion cubic meters. At the velocities we're talking about, a 1-cubic-meter asteroid will likely cause a pretty decent airburst when gets to a sufficiently dense level of the atmosphere. I'd guess it'd be an explosion that's a significant fraction of a kiloton in size -- let's say 100 tons of explosive force. We then do the math: 100 * 1 billion = 100 billion tons -- that's equivalent to 100,000 one-megaton nuclear weapons going off in the atmosphere.

      Even if I'm being pessimistic by a factor of 100, that's still a thousand nukes' worth. At any rate, it'd pretty easily be worse than any nuclear armageddon we might unleash upon ourselves. And remember I'm only talking about a 1-km asteroid here.

      If the asteroid were intact, however, a very large fraction of the energy would be delivered directly into the body of the earth, where it will be dissapated as heat internally. Yes, the site of impact is atomized, with global earthquakes and potential tsunamis, raining debris, etc, but life in general -- even complex life -- would still have a good chance. 100,000 nukes going off in the atmosphere would fry *everything* on the surface, and would only spare the interior of the earth, which is the one thing that can take it.

      --
      "Orthodoxy is unconsciousness" - Orwell
  135. Re:Earth has made it this long w/out our intervent by ryanvm · · Score: 2

    Extinctions happen, and I'd like to prevent ours if at all possible.

    I too would appreciate it if you prevented our extinction.

  136. Easy solution.. by MongooseCN · · Score: 2

    Just fly up a ship and install a wireless connection and webserver on the asteroid. Then post a link on /. about a Linux server running Apache on a remote killer asteroid. I mean, what hasn't a good slashdotting managed to stop so far?

  137. Priorities by r_j_prahad · · Score: 2

    Killer asteroids don't bother me, it's killer hemorrhoids that need attention.

  138. haha suckers! by Monev · · Score: 0

    what we do is make a huge cardboard cut out of the asteroid and secretly plant it in space. then we announce that we just found it, and its 2 days away from hitting us. then we have everyone with nukes launch them at it. but we dont.. then we procede to take over the world.

  139. All I need to know... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Will Moe's bar survive?

    "Oh Dear God No!"

  140. The Easy Solution by The+Dobber · · Score: 3, Funny

    Announce that the asteroid has decided to pursue an Open Source solution to its software needs. The mass migration of Linux Hippies to said asteroid should be enough to alter its trajectory.

    If an additional course corrections are required, announce one of the following:

    1) A security hole has been found in IE
    2) Ellen Fiess will make another Apple commercial
    3) Microsoft buys the rights to Ogg Forbis

    The resulting explusion of hot air should be sufficent.

  141. Re:Yeah, but that's not the first solution we can by debrain · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I disagree with your assertion that a barrier to colonization is 'social' problems, or capitalist issues, or attitude. If you build a road to Mars, people will walk it. Even if the only people that ever left were living in absolute misery, you would garner an enormous number of people. The idea of shaping a new colony is not one that comes around every day, either.

    The attitude that "it doesn't benefit us now" is the same attitude that keeps people from buying insurance. One may never need insurance, but you can rest assured that if your house burns down, it is well worth it.

    But extending that attitude to the existence of the human race, is obtuse to the point of being offensive. We have one chance, one single point of failure, one instance of probability defining the satisfaction of our continuation as a species. If we fail that dice roll, we all die. Forgive my presumption, but that warrants investigation. This dice does not have enough faces.

    Your assumptions about large population, economical self sufficiency, and capitalism are not validated. Your assertion that people will not go is not qualified (it is evident from the colonization of the Americas that people desire to go into the unknown, as refected in the popularity of Star Trek and other similar exploration entertainment). If you don't want to go, that is ok. I assure you that other people may; it is not your place to belittle their opportunities. It may be your will to undermine the will of the continuation of the species through this means, but I suggest giving it more thought first.

    You have not demonstrated that colonization is any less viable than the multi-generational solutions proposed by the NY Times, none of which solve the problem that Earth is a single point of failure.

    For some reason, I am reminded of telephone sanitation workers ...

  142. Re:Yeah, but that's not the first solution we can by corbettw · · Score: 2

    "Colonization, in addition to the logistic and technical diffulties involved, has social problems. If you want a self-sustaining colony capable of perpetuating the race, you need a large population, and you need it to be economically self-sufficient. That means you can't just send scientists - you need engineers, factory workers, politicians, even telemarketers - all the things that make a modern capitalist economy work."

    I disagree. It has been proven you can effectively colonize a new planet with middile managers, public telephone cleaners, and hairdressers.

    --
    God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
  143. Detection? Easy... by Mattsson · · Score: 1

    Just put a radarstation at each pole, with a dish the size of canada, and have them report any rocks, alien spaceships, galaxies, etc, that seem to be on a collison course.

    Easy...

    --
    /.Mattsson - My native language is not English, so please don't whine over linguistic errors. (That's lame anyway...)
  144. Scaremongering by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 2

    Bullcrap. They used to do atmospheric tests - in remote areas on a relatively large scale. Half the world definitely didn't get contaminated. Some bombs are cleaner than others - as defined by the amount of radiactive fallout they leave behind.

    Besides, we could create a bomb that needs a series of mechanical processes to occur before it is armed. Making absoultely sure the nuclear material isn't dispersed in case of a failure just prior to achieving orbit is another matter. Then, we would need to make sure the bomb wouldn't melt on reentry, spreading the radioactive material all over.

    Heck - with the ISS, we could even send the bomb in two pieces, and then launch the final approach from the ISS. Be creative, buddy.

    --

    Stop the brainwash

  145. Re:Well... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wow, that's kind of funny. The rest of us were also talking about launching you nerds into space. The Solar Lander isn't exactly a "colony ship" though.

  146. A different idea by DohDamit · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Rather than pushing it to the side or destroying it, couldn't we just speed it up, so it passes through the intersection point BEFORE earth gets there? Physicist replies are welcome, all others please stand aside for the people with knowledge.

    1. Re:A different idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Adjusting the object's speed would prevent it from impacting it's target but you get the greatest result from the work put into it by pushing the object in a direction perpendicular to it's trajectory.

    2. Re:A different idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That would work, but accelerating it in any direction by X ft/s/s takes the same amount of energy.

    3. Re:A different idea by Idarubicin · · Score: 2
      Earth's orbital velocity is about 30 km/s. The earth's radius is a little more than 6000 km. That means that an asteroid that is aimed squarely at earth will hit unless its path can be pushed aside by 6000 km. Sounds like a lot, but it helps if you have a lot of lead time. Given a delta v of 1 cm/s, 6000 km happens in about 20 years.

      Pushing from in front or in back may or may not be as helpful--it depends on the relative speed of the asteroid and the earth. If the rock is travelling at a good relative speed, then it can still cover that 6000 km and clip the trailing edge of the earth (if we decelerate the rock) or arrive early and nail the leading edge of the earth (accelerating the rock). The most bang for the buck almost certainly comes from pushing approximately sideways, though the optimal push will depend on the exact circumstances. (By sideways, I mean in a direction roughly perpendicular to the path of the rock towards the earth).

      --
      ~Idarubicin
    4. Re:A different idea by jeff4747 · · Score: 1

      IANAPhysicist, but if you change any component of the asteroid's velocity you can avoid a collision. So speeding it up, slowing it down or moving it left/right/up/down all could avoid a collision.

      I'd think which option is best would depend on the trajectory, since you don't want to alter it such that you've gone from a 1 in 300 chance of collision in 10 years to a 1 in 10 in 15 years.

  147. is it moral to save ourselves? by waxmop · · Score: 1

    what i want to know is why we think we have the right to prevent the asteroid from destroying us. popular opinion believes a similar asteroid wiped out the dinosaurs. now if we assume all that is true, then what's so great about humanity that we get to to extend our existence? perhaps the next race that would evolve would be as cognitively superior to us as we are over the dinosaurs.



    we (the human race) would have a hard time justifying our history if we had to. it's been thousands of years of opression and brutality with a few pockets of reason and enlightenment mixed in.



    are we really sure we ought to prevent something else from coming along?

    1. Re:is it moral to save ourselves? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Amen brother. The end is near. Embrace it.. Cherish it. Wallow it it's greatness.

  148. Oh give me a break! by misleb · · Score: 1
    Enough with the ridiculous asteroid paranoia already! I am sick of it. Sure, we notice an asteroid fly by every once in a while, but the chances of a killer asteroid actually hitting Earth in the near (100 years or so) future is pretty damn small. Its like a one in a million shot. Its certainly nothing we need to worry about now. The reality is that we probably don't have the technology to deal with it anyway.

    Here's a brilliant idea: Why don't we take the energy spent worrying about asteriods and focus on dealing with real issues like global over-population or pollution?

    -matthew

    --
    "THERE IS NO JUSTICE, THERE IS ONLY ME." -Death
    1. Re:Oh give me a break! by user32.ExitWindowsEx · · Score: 1

      I think there's something they're not telling us.

      --
      "Evil will always triumph because good is dumb." -- Dark Helmet
  149. Re:Earth has made it this long w/out our intervent by DigitalAdrenaline · · Score: 1

    Didn't they evolve into us? Does nobody here believe in evolution?

  150. A problem in car/bowling ball scenario / sidetrack by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 2

    After thinking about it, the car/bowling ball scenario has a large flaw. The real, long-term damage would be from climate change, tidal waves, shock waves and volcano eruptions.

    If dispersing the rock into smaller pieces would mean less impact of those factors, then whether I'm right or not about smaller being better in terms of impact on impact side is irrelevant. What we're really arguing about is what effect having one large rock or several smaller rocks has on the survivability on the side of the planet that isn't hit. We're really talking so large that we're writing off one side. Will there be less dust, less volcanic eruptions, less tidal waves if there are several smaller rocks? Will the effect last longer or shorter?

    --

    Stop the brainwash

  151. The Bowling Method by Puu · · Score: 1

    As a last resort, can we give the gentle push to the Moon instead, knocking the asteroid away (aside/to kingdom come) with it? Surely Mother Earth would be much confused after, lack of tidal effect and all, but at least alive. Needless to say, this is quite a one-off method.

  152. Willis or no,we all know how it will go down by paiute · · Score: 2

    Headlines.
    Panic.
    Disbelief.
    Relief.
    Headlines .
    Panic.
    Babbling.
    Finger-pointing.
    Determinat ion.
    Realization.
    Blaming.
    Shrieking.
    Praying.
    Dying.

    --
    If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
  153. Offtopic: .sig comment by maggard · · Score: 1
    Anonymous Cowards filtered. If their words aren't worth so much as a pen name why should I value them any more?
    When did "nom de plume" get the axe?
    A while ago, because someone pointed out that pen name was about the same and more commonly understood. I live in Montreal with my francophone partner so french phrases are part of my daily life but they aren't so for everyone, particularly for many folks who are already reading in a second language.

    --
    I don't read ACs: If a post isn't worth so much as a nom de plume to its author then I wont bother either.
    1. Re:Offtopic: .sig comment by sean23007 · · Score: 2

      I don't think you ought to feel as if you should cater to the lowest common denominator. Your ".sig" is your final words, a parting shot, and it is your space, not anyone else's. If I had a vote, I'd vote for the return of the nom de plume. Pen name may mean the same, but it just isn't as good.

      --

      Lack of eloquence does not denote lack of intelligence, though they often coincide.
  154. check your numbers -- asteroids are smaller by klparrot · · Score: 2, Informative
    An asteroid 1000 km in diameter is about 40e15 kg mass

    Yes, but we're not usually talking about asteroids 1000 km in diameter hitting us. The largest known asteroid is Ceres, with a diameter of 933 km. There are only four known asteroids with a diameter greater than 340 km. They're (presumably) (relatively) easy to find, and fairly rare.

    The problem is with a smaller asteroid, one that is still large enough to cause a globally catastrophic collision, but small enough that we don't see it until it's too late to do anything. The threshold diameter for an asteroid to cause a global catastrophe is thought to be only about 1 km. Try recalculating with something in that range.

    1. Re:check your numbers -- asteroids are smaller by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      That's true, I pulled that number out of a different thread. But even an asteriod 10 km across would only be deflected by about 1%. Enough if it's far away, not enough for a couple of weeks.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
  155. FUD - was Re:No nukes in space! by Theaetetus · · Score: 2
    Heh. To use the same tactic as you, from the other side of the argument, wouldn't it be better to spread out this dangerous material into trace levels rather than having it concentrated? And ideally, wouldn't you rather remove the radioactive material from the Earth's surface? I mean, look at the number of cancers it's causing! Won't someone think of the children?

    Anyways, these people don't agree with you.

    -T

  156. Better Idea by misleb · · Score: 1
    And give money and support funding to any program that maps the sky for asteroids. Cause if any are on their way (I'd say 30 years or less), well... we're just f*cked.

    How about we just ignore the stupid paranoia and give our money to worthy causes that promote world peace, a clean environment, and freedom?

    -matthew

    --
    "THERE IS NO JUSTICE, THERE IS ONLY ME." -Death
  157. Mass Drivers and their energy budget by TheHawke · · Score: 1

    "Fine, ill dig up the dirt and you hurl it at the incoming rock."
    Ok two problems with mass drivers.. For starts, the energy budget they consume launching items up into orbit from a gravity well that is the Earth.
    They are more feasable if they are used to launch materials from the moon.
    Second, how far into the future are we from building these oversized railguns on a reasonable budget? By the time we get one built and operational it might be too late for us..
    Quick and dirty scheme, AKA, Care for a new Moon? Send up a ship loaded with many small nukes (50Kt or smaller) and set them up on one side of the asteroid. Once it is in the correct posistion, set off the nukes in a prearrainged sequence to change the rock's orbit and velocity until it slips into a reasonable orbit. And Voila! Your own instant orbital colony, research facility, and mining operation, all wrapped into one!

    (Just have to move all those satellites that are in the way though....)

    --
    First rule of holes; When in one, stop digging.
  158. Near Miss by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What don't you understand about the phrase "near miss"?
    It's not a "near hit". "Near hit" doesn't even make sense!

  159. It's called NERVA and it's NOT a bomb! by Kevin+Burtch · · Score: 1


    The nuclear rocket the above poster is referring to is NOT A BOMB!

    Look up NERVA, it's the most efficient (and to my knowledge, the most powerful) rocket engine ever developed.

    --
    - Preferences: Solaris 10 (servers), Ubuntu (desktops), Solaris 11 (personal servers) -
  160. -1 offtopic, please? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And this got a score of 4? It's not even what we're talking about.

  161. I claim this PATENT by computechnica · · Score: 1

    For My:

    Fusion Powered Rock-Boring Nuclear Missile.

    you can all pay me a license fee to save the earth.
    Or send one to Saddam.

  162. Re:who the fuck is rosie mcdonnell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Youe are da retar, me frend.

  163. Asteriods may be diverted, but not a Blackhole... by Dave21212 · · Score: 2

    Anyone read about the Black Hole found to be moving at us in our galactic plane ?

    Since scenarios designed to divert objects definitely won't work on these, it seems we may want to get away at some point in the next several hundred million years or so.

    From space.com

    "This is the first black hole found to be moving fast through the plane of our galaxy," said Felix Mirabel, a researcher at the French Atomic Energy Commission who led the work.

    A black hole shot from a spectacular cosmic explosion is racing across the Milky Way four times faster than the stars around it, astronomers announced today. The discovery is among the best evidence that black holes are indeed the invisible offspring of supernova, the catastrophic and explosive deaths of massive stars.

    The object is at least 6,000 light years away and is headed roughly in our direction but poses no immediate threat.

    The matter-slurping monster was detected because it has a visible companion star from which it feeds. The visible star orbits the black hole once every 2.6 days as they race around the main plain of the galaxy in a looping, off-kilter orbit.

    How close will it come to Earth?

    "Not closer than 1,000 light-years in the next 230 million years," Mirabel told SPACE.com.

    The phenomenon is one of about one million wayward black holes zooming through our galaxy, said Mirabel.
    --
    "Whoever would overthrow the liberty of a nation must begin by subduing the freeness of speech."--Benjamin Franklin
  164. Yeah but.... by twoslice · · Score: 2

    did the estimated impact location coincide with the approximate location of his house?

    --

    From excellent karma to terible karma with a single +5 funny post...
  165. "device for saving planet" TM patent pending by mattlamb · · Score: 1

    Ok so long as you all accept by reading this that the idea is patent pending and trademarked then ill tell you how to save the planet. ;)

    The Plan involves using present technology to collect and retrive large astroids from space and bring them back into a very wide orbit around the earth (further out than the moon) each astroid (more the better) would already be travelling @ zippy speeds but would have small rockets on board that could be used to alter the astroids path into the path of an offending metorite, each astroid could also be part of an off planet metorite spotting network giving us eyes and ears way out in space. By creating a umbrella of controlled astroids we could quickly stop even the largest threats from space.

    dont forget the patent...

    any interested goverment is free to contact me for full plans.

    Matt lambert

    --
    { Pillar candles great for when the power fails and you cant see the keyboard..
    1. Re:"device for saving planet" TM patent pending by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      May all your ex girlfriends get worms.

    2. Re:"device for saving planet" TM patent pending by mattlamb · · Score: 1

      its supposed to be a joke about patents.. some people...

      --
      { Pillar candles great for when the power fails and you cant see the keyboard..
  166. Re:Well... by WhiteBandit · · Score: 1

    Heh, well we better all master the science of cloning because there will be very few, if any, females on this "colony ship."

  167. You wish it was a killer asteroid by Pastor+Fluff · · Score: 1

    [CLICK] "People of Earth, your attention please. This is Prostetnic Vogon Jeltz of the Galactic Hyperspace Planning Council...."

    --
    Bubble, bubble, toil and trouble... can't we just go to Starbuck's for coffee?
  168. Ya missed the point somewhat... by RobertB-DC · · Score: 2

    ...attemps to protect the Northern hemisphere without covering the South...

    I don't think the point was that one hemisphere would be protected more than the other -- though I'm sure there are those in major N.H. governments who wouldn't mind such a "plan".

    The issue is that we're only *looking* for big, bad rocks from half the planet. Assuming a random distribution of Killer Rocks, we've just reduced our chances of catching the next one by roughly 50%.

    It would be a supreme irony, wouldn't it... the industrialized Northern Hemisphere gets their infrastructure walloped by a big rock that comes in from the historically ignored South. Then, as the tech-dependent Northerners die from lack of McDonalds hamburgers, the only survivors will be those who didn't have the opportunity to get hooked on technology.

    Do you want fries with that?

    --
    Stressed? Me? Of course not. Stress is what a rubber band feels before it breaks, silly.
  169. Michael Flynn Firestar saga by Anonymous+Custard · · Score: 2

    If this interests you, try reading Michael Flynn's Firestar saga of novels (i think there's 4 ni all)

    1. Re:Michael Flynn Firestar saga by Silverhammer · · Score: 2

      Blockquoth the poster:

      If this interests you, try reading Michael Flynn's Firestar saga of novels (i think there's 4 ni all)

      I will second this recommendation -- I actually just started the fourth and last volume.

      The story deals with the socioeconomic and technological changes that the world MUST go through before it will be capable of mobilizing to respond to such a threat. It's written as near-future hard SF, covering the period from 1999 through 2021, but it sometimes reads like a full-blown proposal to industry and government.

      The volumes are, in order:

      1. Firestar
      2. Rogue Star
      3. Lodestar
      4. Falling Stars
  170. catch a falling star.. by mattlamb · · Score: 1

    could be a problem trying to catch the darn thing and then speed it up via nuke etc

    --
    { Pillar candles great for when the power fails and you cant see the keyboard..
  171. Security by evocate · · Score: 1

    Does anyone else agree that asteroids in fact present a threat to our physical or economic safety, and therefore responsibility for defense against these threats should fall into the category of Homeland Security?

  172. A better/easier idea. by Guppy06 · · Score: 2

    "The Solution to preventing an asteroidal impact, assuming time is scarce, is a nuclear rocket."

    I think it would be easier still to take a few hundred of our thousands of nuclear warheads, send them at the asteroid, and use them to establish a sort of Orion drive to nudge it away. You can't get more off-the-shelf than that.

  173. No No No No by carlcmc · · Score: 2

    By the time it reaches anywhere CLOSE to earth's orbit you will not have a snowball's chance in orbit around the sun to survive. Gravitaitonal force will not be strong enough to deflect an asteroid as it approaches the earth.

  174. Re:Yeah, but that's not the first solution we can by Atzanteol · · Score: 2

    Just make sure you send all the "Middle management" and "useless" people on the "A" rocket, and have them land first.

    --
    "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge"

    - Charles Darwin
  175. Re:No nukes in space! It'd be worse than an astero by Cervantes · · Score: 1

    Riiiight... just like Booster rocket o-rings were designed *not* to fail... and spacecraft were designed *not* to catch on fire while sitting on the pad... let's add probes being designed *not* to break apart before it even got out of orbit... oh, and of course, those checks and balances so that silly little conversion errors between imperial and metric will *not* result in missing equipment.

    With a track record like that, you really expect me to trust them to build an invulnerable sphere to hold enough radioactive material to decimate the human race?

    *NOT*!

    --
    If I knew the wedgies I gave you back in 6th grade would have resulted in this . . . I might have taken a moments pause.
  176. More on the nuclear option - 1979 technology by bobdotorg · · Score: 3, Funny

    The author conveniently omitted this
    1979 technology that has been safely used to defend against both asteroids and alien vessels for 23 years.

    --
    __ Someday, but not this morning, I'll finally learn to use the preview button.
  177. idiot by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2

    "They used to do atmospheric tests" - Note the use of the phrase "used to". It's highly relevant here. We also "used to" have soldiers stationed a few miles away watch the explosions without proper protection. There's a lot of "used to"s in the history of nuclear bombs that aren't done anymore.

    --

    Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

  178. Save the Asteroids! by Hans+Lehmann · · Score: 2, Funny

    I first read the headline as Stop Killing Asteroids

    --
    09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
  179. We could always make use of.. by velcrokitty · · Score: 1

    The huge gaping hole in IE to trap the asteroid, and save the day! Thusly, hole plugged - all is good...

    --
    I stick to walls...
  180. Preperation H by A55M0NKEY · · Score: 1

    Tuck's medicated pads: clears up assteroids without the need for thermonuclear weapons.

    --

    Eat at Joe's.

  181. Nice .sig by Pii · · Score: 2

    'Nuff said...

    --
    For those that would die defending it, Freedom
    has a sweet taste that the protected will never know.
    1. Re:Nice .sig by falzer · · Score: 1

      It should read: the word "profit!" is written on the slashdot walls.

  182. How do you know what you don't know? by ButterBeano · · Score: 1

    with a goal of meeting a Congressional mandate of finding 90 percent of objects larger than a kilometer in diameter by 2008.

    How useless is that. How would anyone be able to know if you found 90% of the objects unless you knew how many objects there were. And if you knew that, then wouldn't you know 100%?

  183. Re:Bare with me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nekkid -- yeah!

  184. solution by harrv · · Score: 1

    Shouldn't the article mention something about Murphy's law, buttered bread, and a cat?

  185. Misuse of this technology by slam+smith · · Score: 1

    What scares me about this stuff is same technology that is used to push an asteroid away could be used to push an asteroid to hit the earth. Some madman could probably even time it to hit exactly the spot on earth that they want to.

  186. Earth First! by GMontag · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    All kidding aside, isn't obliteration by some natural force exactly what the "Earth First" people are asking for when they advocate the cessation and regression of the industrial revolution?

    Kinda puzzled why thouse folks live in houses, drive cars and use computers/other electrical devices, but that question is for the next "hydrogen power will save the earth" story.

    1. Re:Earth First! by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 2
      All kidding aside, isn't obliteration by some natural force exactly what the "Earth First" people are asking for when they advocate the cessation and regression of the industrial revolution?
      [sigh] No. The Earth Firsters are naive, but they're not evil. They believe that if we all start living the way they say we should, we'll have a sustainable future for ourselves and future generations. They're wrong about this, of course -- the way out of our current ecological problems is the invention of new technology that makes more efficient use of resources, not trashing the technology we already have and returning to a mythical primitive utopia -- but that's a far cry from wanting to see the human race, and a hell of a lot of other life on Earth as well, wiped out by a cataclysm.
      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    2. Re:Earth First! by will_die · · Score: 2

      Not really, most of them would just be happy if we left the cities and got back to our "natural" Agrarian ways.
      Just like Pol Pot did with Cambodia.

  187. The Yarkovsky effect by kindbud · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The effect you are thinking of is called the Yarkovsky effect. The asteroid must rotate for it to come about. What happens is that the afternoon side of the asteroid, having been exposed to the sun longer, is warmer than the morning side and so it radiates more energy, mostly infrared, into space than the morning side. Obviously, the asteroid must rotate for there to be a morning side and a afternoon side.

    How this small net force affects the asteroid's orbit depends on the orientation and direction of the asteroid's spin axis. From this month's Astronomy magazine: If the spin goes one way, Yarkovsky thrust adds to the orbital speed and the asteroid moves outward, away from the sun. If the asteroid rotates the other way, Yarkovsky thrust slows the asteroid's orbital velocity, and it draws closer to the sun.

    "Painting" the asteroid with a material to alter its absorption and re-radiation of solar energy is very likely to be the most cost-effective method for altering an asteroid's orbit. It may even be the most practical method, assuming that we have enough time to allow the small change in thrust to alter the orbit enough to cause a miss.

    There is an asteroid that is a very likely candidate for this treatment. 1950 DA was discovered and lost over 50 years ago, but was recovered on Dec 31, 2000, and was recognized as the long lost asteroid soon afterwards. With a 50-year basline to work with, its orbit was found to be in 11 to 5 resonance with Earth, which has the effect of making predictions reliable out to several hundred years. In the year 2641, the resonance will begin to decompose, sending the asteroid into a more chaotic phase of its orbital evolution. But the reliability holds long enough for scientists to recognize that there is a 1 in 300 chance of 1950 DA striking the Earth in the year 2880. This is the highest chance of collision ever estimated for any asteroid, and due to the resonance effects, it is considered very reliable.

    So sometime during the next 900 years or so, we will probably have to decide that an attempt to alter its orbit is necessary. The sooner we act, the more likely we will succeed. 1950 DA is about 1.1 km in diameter, which would directly destroy an area the size of Wisconsin upon impact, and cause widespread devastation over a continent-wide area. But as little as a few tons of white chalk spread over one hemisphere could alter the Yarkovsky effect enough to change its orbit sufficiently over the next few centuries to complete avert any chance of impact.

    --
    Edith Keeler Must Die
  188. Velocity, people! Velocity! by dandelion_wine · · Score: 1
    Bowling balls and cars. Right. Gee, bullets and shot are awful tiny. No biggie if I drop them on my car . Of course, if they're travelling at killer velocities...

    A small bird can take out the windshield of a 747 because of the speeds involved. the earth is travelling 29 km per second around the sun. If we were to hit an asteroid head on, we can just go ahead and add that speed to that of the asteroid when calculating the impact. Of course, the chance of that is small, but space is huge , folks. We're talking a tiny chance, here, to begin with. Regardless of our direction of travel relative to the asteroid, if there was an impact, you can bet that the speeds involved would be enormous. Large chunks or small chunks. Our odds improve as we get missed, not hit with smaller stuff (yes, unless we're talking sand, but come on. How are you going to accomplish that?)

    Oh, and if we're voting for a solution, I'd go with lasers, simply because of the accuracy involved. No guidance and much quicker feedback on what you're doing, which would be a big thing. Course, if we were voting for expenditure of money, I'd vote for improving the world as it is so we have something worth saving. Sure, billions of dollars would be worth it if we were going to get killed by this thing. But if the chances are small (very small, I think) isn't the money better spent elsewhere? Remember, we're not starving, here. I'm not talking about a P-IV upgrade or a nicer car.

  189. Stupid idea.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    >a mass driver, an electromagnetic machine which hurls dirt from the surface, an orbiting parabolic mirror to heat up the surface and create a plume of vaporized material.

    stupid.

    We just need to build a galactic class ship whit
    tracter beam to pull the asteorid away for sun 3.

    The other solution is to change the gravity const.

    _Theses_ approaches have been discussed in science fiction for years...

  190. Re:Well... by G00F · · Score: 2

    Rare? How about one that you would want to date, let alone have as a life partner with as imposible?

    *shudders*

    --
    The spirit of resistance to government is so valuable on certain occasions that I wish it to be always kept alive
  191. Flame in microwave by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Put a piece of burning paper in the microwave and turn it on and the flame grows to 50 times it's original size ( like te size of an apple ) and glows BRIGHT ORANGE and buzzes at 60 cycles/sec. Way Kewl!!!

    Nuke some fire!! Yeah Yeah!!

  192. Not so sure that's a good idea... by oOkathyOo · · Score: 1

    Sure, we could try our astroid-moving theories out on a few practice meteors! And then find out when they work, we've accidently changed their path towards a collision course to Earth.

    Whoops.

  193. Why Mother Nature Deleted Humankind by FreeUser · · Score: 2

    Haven't we run this topic completely into the ground? I vote we deal with this when it's actually an issue.
    -- a nameless exemplar of extinct humanity, shortly before their celebrated demise.


    It wasn't their collassal stupidity in creating information monopolies and the concept of thought as property, although certainly humans would have likely ascended beyond their vulnerable planet decades, perhaps centuries, prior to their extinction had they not so crippled their ability to progress and advance, even to think clearly, so completely.

    It wasn't even their collassal foolishness in persuing defunct philosophies and clouding their political judgement with outdated and disproven myths regarding nearly every facet of their lives, from the creation of the cosmos to their basic, devolved ethic which was summarized quite succinctly as "greed is good."

    Nor was it the removal of their most basic liberties and freedoms (in those portions of the planet that, even for a brief time, had such things), through a misapplication of the libertarian notion of freedom that was extended to explicitly exclude constititional limitations and protections of individuals from search and seizure and self incrimination, to instead encompass the "freedom" of private corporations to impose their will on the masses, to turn the relatively primitive digital computing equipment humans had belatedly invented into ubiquitious law enforcement surveillance, tracking, and monitoring devices through technologies that went by such misnomers as "Palladium," "trusted computing," and "DRM."

    No, in the end, mother nature deleted humanity with extreme prejudice because, despite having shown then, demonstrated within a single, short human lifetime the damage meteor impacts could do (using a lifeless, large brown dwarf in their system as a demonstration target), and despite the plethora of other evidence she made available to these remarkably dense, short sighted, arrogant, and bigoted creatures, and despite having been given far more time to develop the technologies and procedures to protect themselves from such events (a time vastly greater than most sapient speicies require to reach the same level of development), they chose, willfully and knowingly, to stop even considering the possibility, to ban all discussion of it, to relegate the concern to the same sort of social tabus they applied to rational discussion of other absurdities, such as religion and politics.

    Such a willfully stupid, irresponsible, and foolish species simply couldn't be tolerated, even by one who tolerates so much: mother nature.

    So she finally killed humankind with the very object they avoided discussing, considering, talking or speculating about, because she simply could no longer abide such willful, deliberate, and premeditated stupidity. Better to wipe the slate clean and begin again, then allow such mindless dreck even another day of existence beneath the sun.

    Most scholars believe the universe is probably better off without such a mentally, socially, and morally retarded species polluting the noosphere. As most are quick to point out, however, humanity's extinction was almost certainly the result of a conscious decision on their part to simply turn their back on the reality which surrounded them, a willful act, and that therefor our gratitude at their demise belongs to rightfully to them.

    It is with that acknowledgement that we, the vastly less stupid, foolish, and willfully blind extend a warn thank you to humanity, for the favor they did on behalf of the rest of us in voluntarilly removing themselves from the evolutionary process in a hitherto unprecedented display of conscious, willful, deliberate stupidity. A more shining example of how to turn one's intelligence into a counter-survival trait has never been seen before for since.

    Bravo, humankind, bravo.
    --
    The Future of Human Evolution: Autonomy
  194. idiot, yourself by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Legislation is often not founded in science, but in popular opinion. You better come up with some good reasons, not just state history.

    I still argue that one or two a-bombs launched from a remote location with limited tonnage directed towards some properly sized space-rocks is a very acceptable risk if we are to assess technology that could potentially save the entire planet. There isn't much chance that the bombs would go off accidentally while in the atmosphere, and there isn't much chance we will experience an extintion level event.

    The devil is in the details. There isn't much radioactive material in a modern a-bomb - a few kg IIRC. Even less if it's an H-bomb. That is the reason why a nuclear meltdown at a nuclear reactor is such a major disaster - since there potentially is more radioactive material to be dispersed at such a site than there is inside of a bomb.

    --

    Stop the brainwash

    1. Re:idiot, yourself by Mac+Degger · · Score: 2

      You never needed much highly enriched plutonium (or any other isotope) to make a big bang; you still get comperable results no matter what the yield when you have an arial detonation.

      --
      -- Waht? Tehr's a preveiw buottn?
  195. I'm against asteroids. I by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I refuse to let them in my house!

  196. Terraforming Earth by IPFreely · · Score: 2
    Author Jack Williamson wrote a book about such an occurance.

    It involved a project to set up a recovery base on the moon. When Earth gets bashed back to the microscopic organism age by an asteroid, the rescue team returns to rebuild.

    It's not that great of a read, but it is an interesting concept.

    --
    There is nothing so silly as other peoples traditions, and nothing so sacred as our own.
  197. Force asteroids to burn up in the atmosphere! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oppose the Kyoto Accord! Support global warming! Say yes to green house gases.

  198. Billions and billions of tiny pieces by Mulletproof · · Score: 2

    Assuming that you even could fragment an asteroid into thousands of pieces (with no pressure wave, combustion, just hard radiation) what would the effect of several thousand of those burning up in the atmosphere be? Sure, they might not hit the surface, but several thousands of fragments would dump a lot of heat into the atmosphere as well as whatever elements they were composed of... Hell, it might not have to hit the ground to do substantial damage. Of course, this is nothing but a WAG, so feel free to correct me with your comprehensive astrophysics and environmental doctorates.

    --
    You need a FREE iPod Nano
  199. Message from Deep Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You earthlings are silly worrying about killer asteroids.

    Whats that bright large flash in the sky,

    (Carrier dropped)

  200. Life's a b**ch, and then... by RobertB-DC · · Score: 2

    Moderation Totals: Offtopic=1, Insightful=5, Interesting=1, Overrated=3, Total=10.

    Man, I'm waiting for the day I post something that gets a mod like that. So far, I've been way too agreeable. But I digress.

    I don't get the point of the children of this parent that make connections with war and peace, etc. I don't read the parent as a call to peace or to war, but a call to a deeper understanding of one basic fact:

    You're going to die. Get over it. Move on.

    You can go through life scared of death, or you can go through life in complete denial of death, or you can grow up (-1 Flamebait, sorry), admit your mortality, and enjoy whatever time you have left.

    Once you get to that point, it doesn't really matter if The End comes via Apocalyptic Judgement or Vehicular Conveyance. You'll be just as dead either way.

    Enjoy the time you have now. Pet a cat. Have sex. Watch a sunset. Don't worry about when the clock's going to run out.

    (IMHO, I've found faith in God to be very useful, but of course YMMV...)

    --
    Stressed? Me? Of course not. Stress is what a rubber band feels before it breaks, silly.
    1. Re:Life's a b**ch, and then... by danny256 · · Score: 1

      You can go through life scared of death, or you can go through life in complete denial of death, or you can grow up (-1 Flamebait, sorry), admit your mortality, and enjoy whatever time you have left.

      Everybody, even you, does some things to prolong their life. You wear a seatbelt, you stop drinking when you're drunk, you don't walk through the bad neighborhood at night, you watch what you're eating, you don't smoke, you go to the doctor/take medicine when you are sick (i'm sure you do at least one of these things). Don't tell me you have accepted your mortality until you go to absolutely no trouble during the day to prolong your life. Everyone wants to prolong their life, its just spectrum from trivial to extreme, who are you draw the line? You think that trying to stop asteriods is too much trouble, lets just live life and be happy, death is inevitable. I think that taking penecilen for my infection is too much trouble, we're all going to die after all, why not just enjoy my life and not worry about trivial things like this infection.

    2. Re:Life's a b**ch, and then... by falzer · · Score: 2

      Well, looks like blind screaming hedonism wins again.

  201. And if you're a Scientist its always... by fireboy1919 · · Score: 2

    ...completely full. Half with liquid and half with gas.

    Near miss, near hit...whatever. Just give me the distance between objects, N, and I'll call it a "miss by N."

    --
    Mod me down and I will become more powerful than you can possibly imagine!
  202. Simpsons Quote by kev0153 · · Score: 1

    Dr. Nick: "Inflammable means flammable, what a country!" Is there any topic you can't find a Simpson's Quote for?

    1. Re:Simpsons Quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gang rape

  203. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  204. Missed opportunities by anthonyx · · Score: 1
    Since any attempt to prevent an impact is likely to fail for any number of reasons:


    bureaucratic foul up, miscalculation, wrong person in charge making wrong decision, uncoordinated response (oops, we pushed this way, while you pushed that way)

    etc., (from the book, maybe not yet written, 1001 Ways That Humans Can Screw Up Big Projects)


    Perhaps, it would be better to think about how best to record our efforts for our silent galactic neighbors, or future visitors to planet earth.


    We could conceivably end up with valuable data concerning:


    reduce it to much smaller pieces approach - How much energy does it take to boil away all or part of an atmosphere?


    too little too late approaches - Either full impact or a very, very near miss


    oops approach - What happens if it breaks into two to a couple of dozen pieces, most of which hit?

  205. "Stopping Killer Asteroids" by Triv · · Score: 2

    ...very...very...slowly.

    It's like that Firesign Theatre bit:

    [Connery voice]: It's coming. Slowly. Very...slowly. To a theater...near you.
    GLACIER.

    :)

    Triv

  206. Re:Earth has made it this long w/out our intervent by aiabx · · Score: 1

    d'oh. That's wiwaxia.
    -aiabx

    --
    Just this guy, you know?
  207. Magnetized Plasma and Ion Engines!!! by MS_leases_my_soul · · Score: 1

    I still say that ion engines like the one on the Deep Space 1 probe and M2P2 is the way to go. My proposal would be something like this.

    First, you send about a dozen small ion engine powered craft. These craft would first work on stopping any rotation in reference to the Sun and second work on elongating the orbit. If you have a decade of warning, this would work ... you would stop the rotation.

    Second, you can now start using the paint idea while also setting up nuclear powered M2P2 generators. They would send out large magneticly charged plasma fields that would act as giant solar sails, further slowing the elongating the orbit of the asteroid.

    Third, you start fine-tuning the orbit until you get the asteroid to slingshot around one of the gas giants either into the sun or out of the solar system.

    Problem solved. I think it would be awesome to see an international mission that would land a couple of ion engine probes on a small, near earth asteroid just to test stopping its rotation. Then you could play with the paint idea or test some giant M2P2 engines.

    So how many Billion would that cost?

  208. Re:No nukes in space! It'd be worse than an astero by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I trust them. Choosing a good material to construct your fuel tank is alot simpler than getting tons of scientists to work together without a messup.
    I trust NASA, atleast.
    IIRC, History channel had a thing where the russians sent something up with plutonium that fell and broke open when it impacted earth, contaminating 100s of miles of (luckily) sparsely populated areas.

  209. Why not use a UFO as defense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There seems to be a bit of confusion over what broke apart a asteroid/commet heading for Turkey.
    What Broke Up Between Afyon and Yalova, Turkey On November 1, 2002

  210. Wrong Wrong Wrong!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the reason that chemical explosives work at all is the fact that they carry their own oxidizer. think WWII depth charges. they explode underwater just fine without an atmosphere. also most multistage rockets used explosive bolts to detach earlier stages of the rocket.

    Bottom line - modern chemical explosives work just fine in space.

  211. Re:No nukes in space! It'd be worse than an astero by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    typical russians.
    between Chernobyl and this thing they seem to give a rats ass about safety, [sigh] oh well.

  212. damage control by tinkerton · · Score: 1

    I agree that it's better to break it up than to do nothing at all.
    Breaking it up has the disadvantage of less control over the pieces,(so don't start with breaking up and then we'll see), and how much impulse is actually transferred? Is it worth it? Or is it sth like lightning? An impressive power, but too short to amount to anything useful

    An advantage would be that some pieces will miss their target, and smaller pieces probably means less total damage.

    Let's call it a last resort to limit damage. If you have a solution that keeps the asteroid in one piece , it's much better.

    Another way to limit damage is to push the right way so it falls on your emerging geopolitical competitor instead of on you. Of course this is only relevant if the asteroid is not really big.

    And don't forget to divert the attention.

  213. Repeated near surface hydrogen devices by PeterPiper · · Score: 1

    It is quite clear that a lot more thought needs to be given to this problem. The problem is not just of a civilization ending impact happening every million years, there is an impact every few hundred years on average that would generate a tidal wave powerful enough to devastate every city on the coast of a given ocean if the impact hit in water. We need to be able to stop them too.

    Solutions like rockets and massdrivers miss the fact that asteroids and comets do not just rotate, they tumble. You cannot simply get up against such a rock/snowball and 'push'. You will wind up pushing in all sorts of different directions as it tumbles, creating little effect. Lasers simply could not add enough energy even over time to have sufficient effect.

    Surface or subsurface nuclear detonations are 'probably' not a good idea. Breaking up a mile wide asteroid or comet into several pieces would not help, unless those resulting pieces were moving at sufficiently deflected vectors. However if a large number of such nuclear devices were available, and after each crackup, new measurements were taken so that any chunks still on a collision vector could get hit again, and we repeated that measure and repeat process again and again, we might after several hundred nukes, disperse the threat sufficiently to avoid the end of the world. We would still get hit with several thousand house sized rocks, but civilization would survive.

    Most of the press talks about the threat from asteroids and there is such a threat. However the threat from comets is equally large and we cannot easily detect such comets with tens of years of warning. We might get as little as a few months (and if we are unlucky enough for the comet to be 'coming out of the sun' we might have as little as days). Against comets, we might well have no other option but to try to fragment the object with hundreds of nukes as we will not likely have the time necessary to deflect it.

    The only way that I can see to effectively protect from asteroids is to use nukes, but not to plan on surface or subsurface detonations. That should be kept as an option for last ditch defenses from comets. The notion that a non surface, near proximity detonation of a nuclear device would simply 'be absorbed' is nonsense. Asteroids cannot violate the principles of physics. If energy is imparted, the energy has effect. The only question is, how much energy can be delivered with a near proximity nuclear detonation?

    The answer is, a lot. When that is combined with not just a few but hundreds of successive planned detonations, that rock is going to be moving on a different vector. Remember that given sufficient warning, the vector change does not need to be much in order to generate a miss.

    The trick is to build in advance, several hundred solid fuel rockets using technology similar to ICBMs. They should be roughly the size of the Titan2, not the current smaller Minuteman, this so they can have a third stage 'deep space' maneuvering package. They would each carry a single 50 megaton thermonuclear hydrogen device. Their function would be to deliver that device to a precise point one or two diameters away from the rock and detonate. There would be little to no 'shock wave' from the detonation as there is no atmosphere within which such a shock wave could propagate. The thermal flash from the device would explosively vaporize the regolith at the very surface of one side of the rock imparting a small vector change. Rinse and repeat.

    Because the regolith is explosively vaporizing along the entire exposed surface of the rock, the pressure on any given section of the rock is even and relatively small, making it very unlikely we would fracture even a loose snowball. While a single such detonation would impart only a small velocity change, repeated detonations would do the job. The only real question is if we could hit it often enough.

    In the case of a rock 20 years away, we could easily build tens of thousands of such devices and barely notice the cost of doing so. We would not likely need more than a few hundred. In the case of us having a few months warning of an approaching comet, we had better have already built those rockets with their warheads.

    --
    Peter
  214. Forget Bruce Willis! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Forget Bruce Willis. I don't know why everyone is panicking. By the time the asteroid gets through the Earth's atmosphere, it won't be any bigger than a chihuahua's head!

  215. Get off this Planet by msheppard · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There is a chance that something will happen to the earth that will kill everyone on it. Asteroid/War/Biological being the prime candidates. There is nothing we can do to reduce the probability to zero.

    What we CAN do is get a self sustaining colony on another planet. I wish we could come up with a way to convince more people of this, and impress the implications of not doing it.

    I would like to see all religious activity funneled into the work needed to make this off-earth colony happen. It's not that I think religion is bad, I just think it is so much more important to preserve our species than to worship a possible creator/creators of it.

    Instead of "thou shall not work on the Sabbath" we should have "thou shall work on off-earth colonization on the Sabbath." If the whole of humanity dedicated it's resources to making this happen, it would happen.

    M@

    --
    Krispy Cream is people
  216. I say by Pac · · Score: 2

    I stated clearly that I was talking about an asteroid of a "significant" size, large enough to ensure the rest of my comment holds its water. The "small" pieces would still be large enough to send us to the same evolutionary dustbin the dinossaurs went (basically for failing to install the space object warning and destruction systems we are talking about here).

  217. Re:who the fuck is rosie mcdonnell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    he's clearly talking of Rosia Mcdonald, the demon offspring of Rosie O'Donnel and Ronald McDonald.

  218. Famous Last Words by kalidasa · · Score: 2

    "A major technological effort at this time is probably ill conceived because our children will be so much better at it," said Dr. Alan W. Harris of the Space Science Institute in Boulder, Colo.

    Not if one hits before they're old enough to build one without an erector set, Dr. Harris. The odds that we will need it are the same as the odds that they will need it.

  219. It would be like found money by Bill_EEE · · Score: 1

    If we get to the point where we can do manufacturing in space, then an asteroid that is headed towards us is found money. All of those heavy metals that are in the asteroid can be used to create all kinds of things like new space stations. It could be modified into giant capacators and oriented to capture the sun's energy.

    And if it is heading right at us we can divert it just a little and have ourselves another moon.

    This sounds like an awesome opportunity.

    Directing nuclear explosions on it is not a good idea. All of that radiation might come raining down on our heads.

    The opportunity is so vast that it boggles the mind. All we need is to develop the technology to start harvasting these goldmines in space.

    What if we find one that is made out of gold!
    It could exist.

  220. Human nature: certain-money trumps maybe-danger by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2

    If that asteroid is actually being successfully mined, as you mention, there will be strong reluctance to fling it out into orbit at a *possibe* impact threat while it is still here making *certain* money for someone. That's just the stupidity of human nature.

    --

    Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

  221. Easy Fix by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just build a bunch of triangular guns, wire them to a pile of joysticks and let kids shoot the damn things until they are destroyed. However, the atari sound effects could not be included without the RIAA's approval.

  222. I think they have medicated pads for this... by dubiousmike · · Score: 2

    Oh wait...

    they said asteroids not hemmeroids...

    :P

    1. Re:I think they have medicated pads for this... by ChaoticLimbs · · Score: 1

      You thought they said ASSteroids?

  223. But... by sulli · · Score: 2

    would you rather be hit by a rifle bullet, or a shotgun blast?

    --

    sulli
    RTFJ.
    1. Re:But... by dattaway · · Score: 2

      I'll take the shotgun blast for $500, please. Once I went rabbit hunting with a 12 guage. Birdshot so we wouldn't destroy the poor Easter Bunny. Well, here comes the bouncing bunny and I take a shot. Like it was some kind of shooting gallery at the circus, the fluffy bunny bounces in the other direction. Let off a second shotgun blast and he changes direction again to where he was going in the first place. By this time, the other hunters enjoyed what they saw and one guy scooped the bunny up and yelled, "He isn't dead yet!" and threw him into the bushes. I let the bunny have a third blast and the dog ends up catching the little varmint.

      The bold essense of buckshot over birdshot or a rifle would have put an end to that nonsense.

      One BIG meteor would put an end to us. Many little meteors would put on a great show for many, just like my hunting trip.

    2. Re:But... by dcmeserve · · Score: 1

      But what if the interior of the rabbit were inert; if it's life depended only on its surface? Then a bullet would make a big mark, but just one mark. Peppering it with buckshot would cause more damage. The earth is like that -- the interior can take a beating; there's no life there; the propagating shockwaves simply dissipate the energy as heat, and there's a lot of heat there already. If we break the asteroid up, the *surface* of the earth takes *all* the energy. We're talking many many times the energy of all the nukes that we humans have pointing at each other.

      --
      "Orthodoxy is unconsciousness" - Orwell
  224. Re:Well... by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2

    Then we'd run the risk that the "C" ship of telephone sanitizers and the like that were sent in a different direction from the rest would end up crashing into some other world and being the only remnant of humanity left, while the more high priority "A" and "B" ships end up not making it.

    --

    Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

  225. A Matter of time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    true, but this only means that blowing it up 1/2 hour to a week before is not going to help. but try 3 months before. Assume that the asteriod is blown into a debris cloud expanding at the rate of 1000km/hour (real slow) in three mo. the cloud will be 2.1 million km in diameter. (90 day * 24 Hr * 1000) the earth is 12,756 km in diameter. so even if this debris cloud hit the earth head on less than 1% of th mass will hit the earth (assuming even distrubution of mass in the cloud - big assumption - calculated volume of cylinder 12756 km * 2.1 million km / volume of cloud) so your 1MT of energy becomes less tham 10kT spread (unevenly) over the earth. nothing more than a spectacular meteor shower (except for the large chunks)
    I don't want to do the rest of the math, but it seems like for any meteor small enough that we can blow up, doing so will be the easiest way by far. if we had say 10 years instead of 3 mo ...
    The big planet killers? (50Km) we can't blow up so easily, so we need to divert those. (hint, 3 mo won't cut it)

  226. Re:Carlin quote (near miss === air miss) by thewils · · Score: 1

    Carlin good, but yer all talking out of yer arses.

    The term given to two airplanes coming into close proximity when they shouldn't is an 'air miss'.

    Some idiot relayed 'an air miss' as 'a near miss' and the phrase stuck.

    There, I've put you straight, you need never call them 'near misses' again.

    --
    Once I was a four stone apology. Now I am two separate gorillas.
  227. False dichotomy by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2

    The problem with your post is you seem to be operating under the premise that there is some sort of a "list" of priorities such that if you can't simultaneously do good short term deeds and good long-term deeds. I don't accept that premise. Preventing killer asteriods is most definately a good deed on the long-term scale of things, even if the plan you come up with isn't needed until several generations later.

    Asking people to prioritize their good deeds and not waste time on the ones low on the list is a bit like asking people to rank which members of their family they like the most, and not to waste time on those who don't score on the top of the list.

    --

    Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

  228. Re:Just think about it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The worst case scenario even if we do launch a bomb is that WE ALL DIE, because if the rocket explodes in our atmosphere, the asteroid is still going to be coming.

  229. Near Miss, Far Miss, Huge Miss by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny


    Purists will howl, but, very generally: A Near miss is anything within 640K, a Far miss is between 640K and 1024K, and a Huge miss is anything beyond 1024K.

    1. Re:Near Miss, Far Miss, Huge Miss by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's a whole generation (or even more) of slashdotters who will never ever understand that joke.

  230. Trajectories of Mass Destruction by donkeyDevil · · Score: 1

    This is such a simple problem I can't believe it continues to get press coverage. We live in a diverse, multicultural, multilateral world where the only real solutions embrace differences, ensure a variety of viewpoints are considered, and support disparate prescriptive valuations of action. In particular, we must support each asteroid's sovereign right of self determination vis a vis its trajectory through space-time. Until such a time as it can be conclusively shown that an asteroid does in fact possess a trajectory of mass destruction and has not undertaken the development of a process to resolve conflicts surrounding its alleged path, we cannot act lest we forsake the principles of multilateralism and state sovereignty that have produced peace, prosperity, and harmony throughout the world for the last fifty years.

    Once we are convinced of the need for action we must move swiftly and justly. A multiculturally diverse team of right-minded trajectory-of-mass destruction inspectors should---with the approval of the asteroid's leaders---undertake a thorough, unbiased appraisal of the asteroids' pathway from within the asteroid's borders. Should confirmation of an infringing trajectory be considered probable in an objective, unbiased appraisal by the team of inspectors, the body authorizing the mission should react quickly to form a commission investigating means by which a crisis might be avoided. These will be subject to the validation and authorization of a team of experts appointed for this purpose; these experts shall be culled from a socio-economically diverse pool of culturally unbiased individuals selected to ensure gender and race norms that correct for past injustice and bias. It is of the utmost importance that we endeavor to understand how we ourselves have brought about the environment in which an asteroid might find it necessary to destroy us; it is only through such understanding that we can develop a process that will prevent this asteroid from destroying us and, more importantly, ensure that future asteroids are not subject to the same oppression, humiliation, and denial that breeds destructive tendencies.

  231. Re:Earth has made it this long w/out our intervent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If a star nearby went supernova and our oceans were boiled away by gamma waves (or something, example pulled out of my ass) SHOULD all life on earth become extinct, because no life could cope with that, or prevent the nova? I don't think so. The concepts of should and shouldn't are human inventions. It's not like the universe or earth decides to test us to see if we die off or are tough/smart enough to survive.

    There are plenty of beasts that 'should' be extinct but are protected by environmentalists, laws, and other such things. On a less serious note, are any slimy ugly eels or whatever protected? Being a cute animal might have its evolutionary advantages. They get protected by humans. :-)

  232. Re:Yeah, but that's not the first solution we can by spinlocked · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...you need engineers, factory workers, politicians, even telemarketers...

    Don't forget the telephone sanitisers, hairdressers and management consultants - in fact lets put them in the same ark as the politicians and telemarketers...

    --
    # init 5
    Connection closed.


    Oh... ...bugger.
  233. I believe we solved this problem in the 80's by Kaz+Riprock · · Score: 3, Funny


    It's very simple. We need a ship. A ship the shape of a triangle. This ship should be of simple control. Forward movement and rotation only! A single gun capable of halving (on occasion trifurcating) any size asteroid will be mounted on the front. When it has halved the pieces to a significantly small size, they will disappear upon further assault. This ship will also be fitted with a shielding system. Pulling down on the joystick or using a separate button system should activate a circular shield capable of withstanding a certain period of collision with objects, regardless of frequency. In future revisions of this vehicle, we will include a hyperwarp feature to jump out of harms way (unfortunately, technology will not allow us to determine the point of reentry, making this a daunting choice for the pilot).

    Finally, be sure to look out for ellusive UFOs with hostile aliens ready to destroy our ship (regardless of its peaceful intentions of saving our planet).

    I distinctly remember training many hours on the simulator for this solution not twenty years ago. I don't know why we're worried about this problem seeing as we already have the solution.

    --
    Mordor...a magical, mythical land where women are more rare than dragons--but where every man would rather find a dragon
  234. Actually ... by jetlag11235 · · Score: 1

    I see the terminology 'runway incursion' and 'airspace incursion' in the publications I read.

    -- jetlag --

  235. Good point by serutan · · Score: 3, Funny

    We probably couldn't do the whole thing anyway. Whoever patents "Bodies of rocky material orbiting larger bodies of rocky material in a vacuum" would demand outrageous license fees.

  236. What we need is a rock. by Dawn+Keyhotie · · Score: 1
    In order to see some real action in the asteroid diversion arena, we need a rock. Not a huge Earth-buster, nor a dinosaur-killer, nor even a 'Lucifers Hammer' type calamity, but a nice, friendly, tap-on-the-shoulder hey-stop-ignoring-me 100 meter rock. Big enough to do some damage, small enough not to end our civilization, and easy enough to have been taken care of if someone had gotten off their ass.

    Of course, the scientists would be blamed for 'not warning us' about this possibility, in spite of countless books and movies on the subject. NASA would be disbanded, and there would be lynchings, both political and otherwise. I doubt any politicians would be held accountable, how could it have been their fault? Obviously NASA and the scientists should have stopped it, since they have the rockets!

    Anyway, a rock that size would get everyone's attention and hopefully motivate our leaders in the right direction.

    Now, where should we land this puppy? Any volunteers? ;^)

    --
    "The only good windmill is a tilted windmill."
  237. And in the distance.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You will hear a high pitched:

    HA

    HA!

  238. Re:Yeah, but that's not the first solution we can by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    That means you can't just send scientists - you need engineers, factory workers, politicians, even telemarketers - all the things that make a modern capitalist economy work. And the only way you get people who *aren't* explorers by nature to colonize is for things to be absolutely miserable for them at home, or truly grand in the New World.

    I disagree. "Explorers" can have children just as well as a telemarketer. Also, there will always be a certain percentage of the population who LIKES to take such risks.

    Send Eskimos. Look how they live now. A space colony couldn't be much worse.

    We don't need no fucken telemarketers. That is ridiculous. What is next, Enron CEO's?

  239. This doesn't correspond to detonations on Earth by budgenator · · Score: 3, Interesting

    5 to 7 KT does this ...crater diameter of 408 m depth of 100 m nuclear detonations produce disapointing crater, rest assured that 10 to 14 million pounds of TNT would have made a much larger hole in the dirt.

    The reason for this is when an nuclear device is detonated, the primary effect is a burst of Gamma radiation. Air absorbs the gamma, and re-radiates X-rays a little cooler until eventualy the radiation drops in color to infra-red. The distance from the center to when the black-body color temp drops to infra-red is called the fireball.

    Dirt or astroid is much more opaque so the results are less. In space there is no air to speak of so what you'd have to do is detonate a ways off the surface so an area is irradiated with gamma, heats up and vaporizes a way giving a push from the mass of the vapors expelled by the astroid. This method might be best if the astroid is heading at us and has a high closing velocity, because time would be short.

    If the astroid was coming from "behind" and closing slower, a reactor powering an engine place on the surface would be much more do able. It would be cool in such a case to place it in a parking orbit, hollow it out and make one whooper of a space-station out of it.

    I've had a fantasy of catching an iron-nickle astroid, heating it up with a parabolic reflector and sunlight and inflating it like a glass-blower would.

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    1. Re:This doesn't correspond to detonations on Earth by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 2

      "The reason for this is when an nuclear device is detonated, the primary effect is a burst of Gamma radiation."

      http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/intro/nuke-rad ia tion.htm

      If you are talking about a Fission device, yea there is more radiation due to the ineffective nature of that detonation, in a Fission-Fusion or Fission-Fusion-Fuison the radiation percentage is much lower.

      "Within a millisecond after detonation, the diameter of the fireball from a 1 megaton (Mt) air burst is 150 m. This increases to a maximum of 2200 m within 10 seconds."

      So you have a ball of plasma at starcore temps and pressures for a few milliseconds starting out at around 100 meters and then it will expand outward on and in the target rock.

      "About 5% of the energy released in a nuclear air burst is transmitted in the form of initial neutron and gamma radiation."

      http://www.hq.nasa.gov/office/pao/History/congha nd /nuclear.htm

      "In addition to the natural radiation dangers which will confront the space traveler, we must also consider manmade perils which may exist during time of war. In particular, the use of nuclear weapons may pose a serious problem to manned military space operations. The singular emergence of man as the most vulnerable component of a space-weapon system becomes dramatically apparent when nuclear weapon effects in space are contrasted with the effects which occur within the Earth's atmosphere.

      When a nuclear weapon is detonated close to the Earth's surface the density of the air is sufficient to attenuate nuclear radiation (neutrons and gamma rays) to such a degree that the effects of these radiations are generally less important than the effects of blast and thermal radiation. The relative magnitudes of blast, thermal and nuclear radiation effects are shown in figure 1 for a nominal fission weapon (20 kilotons) at sea level."

      "First, in the absence of an atmosphere, blast disappears completely.

      Second, thermal radiation, as usually defined, also disappears. There is no longer any air for the blast wave to heat and much higher frequency radiation is emitted from the weapon itself."

      You have an asteroid, you have something that have a multimillion degree ball of plasma going off at or near the surface, there will be structural damage and degredation of the asteriods form.

      Say you pierce the surface of the target rock or ice/rock object even a few tens of meters, and blow up a subsurface device, it's going to be bad for the rock.

    2. Re:This doesn't correspond to detonations on Earth by saskboy · · Score: 2

      Woah man!
      "I've had a fantasy of catching an iron-nickle astroid, heating it up with a parabolic reflector and sunlight and inflating it like a glass-blower would."

      If you are fantasizing about asteroids, you are even stranger than I. I stayed up last night photographing Leonids, and hoped a freak one would land just in front of me.

      --
      Saskboy's blog is good. 9 out of 10 dentists agree.
    3. Re:This doesn't correspond to detonations on Earth by budgenator · · Score: 2

      "First, in the absence of an atmosphere, blast disappears completely."

      I don't completely agree with that, the mass of the actual device will produce some blast, the point is most of what we think of as an nuclear explosion is caused by the radiation heating the gas we call air.

      Break the rock and you get caught is a hailstorm of gravel. one 500 pound piece of gravel at 15,000 MPH will hit like a 15KT nuke. We shouldn't be worried about residual radiation in space, most fallout is caused by neutron induced radioactive material and if we have to detonate that close to earth we fsck'ed anyways.

      Oh by the way my original post the explosive should have read 10-14 hundred thousand pounds, not million.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    4. Re:This doesn't correspond to detonations on Earth by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      "One 500 pound piece of gravel at 15,000 MPH will hit like a 15KT nuke."

      500 pound satillites re-entering the atmo don't cause nuclear sized detonations.

      And besides, if you have a bunch of 100-500 pound rocks instead of 1 gigarock, alot more of the little rocks will burn up.

  240. Well put, but not everything you said works by ColGraff · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "We have one chance, one single point of failure, one instance of probability defining the satisfaction of our continuation as a species."

    Well, no. We have only one planet, true, but a planet is a BIG place, it can take a *lot* of damage before it becomes uninhabitable by people. Even if a dinosaur-killer sized asteroid actually hit the planet and ruined the environment and sent us into a new and terrible ice age, we would still have huge amounts of water (later, water ice), oxygen, trace elements, metals, fissile materials (power source) available. In other words, even a post-apocalyptic Earth would have more resources and be more survivable than, say, a domed Mars colony with only very limited supplies of the above items - and it's also worth pointing out that building an airtight shelter than can filter the crap out of the surrounding air is a hell of a lot easier than building an airtight shelter than needs its own self-sufficient air supply, AND has to deal with radiation hazards from the thin Martian atmosphere (I'm assuming mars would be the first choice for a colony), AND deal with the fact that in the event of a breach, you won't have contaminants slowly leaking in - you'll have your air rushing out fast.

    The Earth is vulnerable to an extent, yes. But it's so well-suited to human life that even a terrible cataclymic asteroid impact would leave it more habitable, and a better choice for the future residence of the human race, than anyplace else in the solar system.

    "it is evident from the colonization of the Americas that people desire to go into the unknown, as refected in the popularity of Star Trek and other similar exploration entertainment"

    Well, no. People did not colonize or even explore the Americas for the joy of it - they were looking for gold, or trade routs, or native to indoctrinate and/or enslave. Their mission wasn't "to boldly go where no man has gone before", it was "To boldly go, get rich (or at least get a better life, or religious freedom), and bring glory to the Crown and god". People do NOT abandon their homes for a whimsical love of the unknown, they leave because "the grass is greener...". And their ain't no freaking grass anywhere but Earth.

    "it is not your place to belittle their opportunities. It may be your will to undermine the will of the continuation of the species through this means."
    Excuse me? I didn't mean to belittle any "opportunities" - if the opportunity should someday arise, and people decide against all logic to colonize other worlds, good for them. I wish them nothing but good. I do, however, doubt very much that this will happen, for reasons already discussed.

    "You have not demonstrated that colonization is any less viable than the multi-generational solutions proposed by the NY Times"

    I'm sorry, I should have made the point more clear - but I DID mention that the nytimes ideas use technology we either have now, or could reasonably be expected to have fairly soon. Yes, these are multigenerational solutions, but the issue with colonization isn't time. It's social issues, and to a lesser extent, technology. Building a ship that can sustain life for hundreds or thousands of passengers for months would be *hard* - and please, do not talk to me about suspended animation until it actually exists.

    --
    I'm the stranger...posting to /.
  241. Bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    However its not like asteroids are particularly convenient to get to or anything.


    There are near-Earth asteroids that require less propellant to get to from Earth than the Moon!

    The near-Earth asteroid population also is one of the groups most threatening to Earth. (For obvious reasons.)
  242. odds and priorities by tinkerton · · Score: 1

    About odds, 3 things i can add here(only one answer, but hey).

    are you multiplying scale of destruction with chance of the event? then i don't know what weighs most. An asteroid that kills half the planet equals a lot of small impacts.

    Then, if we compare two asteroids, one being 1000 times bigger than the other one. Would it be easier to detect the big one? I can't tell. Maybe other things count more(color? distance from sun?).

    Are they harder to deflect? The longer the warning time, the longer you can push , and the less you have to deflect it to make it miss target. So warning time works in two ways(reverse square).

    Overall gut feeling : i'd start by investing in detection, not by designing defenses. It would also allow you to prepare for recovery after impact.

  243. Heres an idear by kaoshin · · Score: 1

    How about applying nanotechnology. Make some nanos that eat the asteroid material and convert it into something that does not pose a hazard, such as... I don't know.. mashed potatoes? Whatever, just as long as it would be something that would be dissolved by our atmosphere if it hit and be reduced to nothing. This seems more feasible than playing baseball with the SOBs.

  244. What order of magnitude? by tinkerton · · Score: 1

    The spinning is an argument that takes me by surprise

    One counter argument would be: wouldn't a factor 10 (suppose you can only push 10% of the time- sideways)mean that pushing remains in the same scale of feasibility? So it would be harder, but not like a 30 year technology gap

  245. Could Give NASA A Reason To Stop Going in Circles by reallocate · · Score: 3, Informative

    The American space program has, literally, been going in circles for the last 30 years. It desperately needs someplace to go. Now, it looks like NASA is going to keep the shuttle flying for another decade or so, and pull out the old DynaSoar blueprints for a re-do. And where will it go? Well, around in circles for a few days when it ferries new crew members up to the space station.

    But, building the capability to send people to investigate and deal with an asteriod or comet that has Earth in its sights would give NASA a place to go. If we don't have the courage to develop an interplanetary capability to ward off armageddon, maybe we don't deserve to survive.

    --
    -- Slashdot: When Public Access TV Says "No"
  246. I presume you mean 64K. by IPFreely · · Score: 2

    Beautiful Joke. Perfect. Wonderful.
    HA HA HA HA Ha Ha Ha Ha ha ha ha ha.....

    --
    There is nothing so silly as other peoples traditions, and nothing so sacred as our own.
  247. Why Worry?? Trust Carlin to get the "obvious" !! by eyeb1 · · Score: 1


    Why worry? .. about saving the "Earth" ( Read: "BioShere" .. for the Earth would most likely survive .. though "WE" may not ) ..
    when "WE" ( a relative Majority/Minority ) a two legged virus .. are so Hell-bent on destroying it .. in the name of "Economic Progress", "Personal Rights" and "free-DUMBS" .. whilst chit chatting on the World Wide Web Read: Mostly White European/Middle Eastern/American Rulers and their supporters ..

    just as so many other people think and/or believe ..

    that Group Rule has something to do with PERSONAL "rights" and/or "free-DUMBS" ( for you truly must be dumb to think and/or believe that you have "rights" and are FRREEE ) or at the very least .. in DeepDenial and/or SpiritualBlindness ..

    RE: Carlin quote -> Re:Carlin quote by IPFreely (for now)

    "OK, so what's a Far Miss?
    Or better yet, what's a Far Hit?

    I think of a near miss as a miss that was close enough to be scary. A far miss is like passing by at a safe distance.

    It sounds like you are/he is treating "Near" as "Nearly" or "Almost". I think of "Near" as close distance."

    sounds to me like your having a "Close Call".. as a "near miss" is just a "miss-Guided" and/or "miss-Understood" Figure of Speech .. for it is not the "relativity" part that is at issue .. but the Absolute "MISSED" part that is significant ..

    some what like another popular saying, "You can't fool all of the people, all of the time" ..

    NO ..

    " but you can fool enough of the people, all of the time "

    just think .. unknowingly choosing to destroy the biosphere based on a 50% + 1 vote in a simple "demonOcracy" and then having it hailing as a triumph of the "Modern" democratic process .. where the "individual" has a say in determining our collective fate .. and that having one person's vote determine the outcome .. is superior to having a single Leader "of" and "for the people" .. read: "benevolent Dictator"

    As self-serving and arrogant as it is .. i for one can hardly wait .. it's troubling (meaning to: to agitate mentally and/or spiritually) living on the earth in "hopefully" the Last Days of the American/Roman/Jewish Empire ..

    I retire and await the Patriotic Flames

  248. Decades? Right... by jvj24601 · · Score: 1

    At least several decades warning.

    Like any politician in the US would stand up and say "Hey, let's spend this exorbitant amount of money, and not worry about our current spending problems."

    And even if a politician were to have the guts to do that, the person running against him would say "We still have time in the future for that. Let's worry about [insert current fiscal issues here] right now".

    And for whom do you think the average American would vote?

  249. Trust Carlin to get the "obvious" !! by eyeb1 · · Score: 1

    sounds to me like your having a "Close Call".. as a "near miss" is just a "miss-Guided" and/or "miss-Understood" Figure of Speech .. for it is not the "relativity" part that is at issue .. but the Absolute "MISSED" part that is significant ..

  250. buy supplies, right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    a flotation device and a can of sardines ought to do it...

  251. Re:Earth has made it this long w/out our intervent by shaitand · · Score: 1

    eel environmentalism! That's it, you've won me over! The whole environmentalist thing has just now gotten screwed up for me to get actively involved. Do we get to wear slimy pyramid hats?

    Uh oh, I better start using the preview button, I didn't know "!" was supposed to go after the "http://" in my urls :(

  252. Armageddon? What would jesus do? by davidmacq · · Score: 1

    1. If an asteroid destroyed the planet, what would Jesus do? At the second coming, would he be like, where did everyone go!

    2. Do fundamentalists believe god protects the planet? Or do they believe the bible is like seeing the future, so it never is going to happen.

    Offtopic? Maybe, but they say always ask what jesus would do! :P

  253. I'm surprised.. no Futurama? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let's just shoot a ball of garbage at it.

  254. ah, I see by Ender+Ryan · · Score: 2
    I did some googling, turns out a 1 cubic meter asteroid can(and has) cause roughtly a 3 kiloton explosion!

    So yeah, I can see how that could be worse than the body of the earth absorbing the entire impact.

    I wonder if nukes could be used to alter the big rock's trajectory instead.

    --
    Sticking feathers up your butt does not make you a chicken - Tyler Durden
    1. Re:ah, I see by dcmeserve · · Score: 1

      > I wonder if nukes could be used to alter the big rock's trajectory instead.

      I guess that would depend on how solid the asteroid really is. If it was really strong, perhaps repeated detonations of nukes buried not too far below the surface could blow off enough matter to provide the needed push. Though we'd have to be sure the ejecta wouldn't pose a problem for earth somewhere down the line. Though if it blasted off the asteroid w/ enough velocity to be useful for propulsion, it'd probably escape the solar system anyways.

      Though I have a feeling that the "rubble pile" model of asteroid structure is closer to the mark. Perhaps a finely-spread web of mini-nukes could accomplish the above without braking the main body up, but it'd be risky.

      There's one alternative that I've heard of that sounds interesting -- that is to hit it with a bunch of dust. I'd imagine it'd go like this: we'd mine some other (or even *that*) asteroid, gathering huge amounts of dust from it. Then we'd load it into an appropriate vehicle(s) (which would need some *serious* propulsion -- nuclear energy may be useful there) and send it off in the proper direction. It'd whip around the sun or planets to get even more momentum. Then, just before it hits the offending object, the vehicle shoots its cargo out in front of it, such that the asteroid is impacted with a long column of dust carrying a lot of momentum. This would provide a substantial, but evenly-applied force. Do this enough times, and we may have it.

      --
      "Orthodoxy is unconsciousness" - Orwell
  255. Focusing on the wrong technology by delstar+dotstar · · Score: 1

    Rather than figuring out better ways of deflecting or even destroying incoming asteroids, I think we should improve our hyperspace technology so we don't blow ourselves up 20% of the time.

  256. Firestar by saberworks · · Score: 1

    If you like science fiction you should check you 'Firestar' by Michael Flynn. It addresses the social and economic impact of near-future space exploration. It deals a lot with figuring out what to do in case of an asteroid on a collision course with earth.

  257. Yes you can. by pigeon768 · · Score: 1
    main problem with sending nuclear waste and nukes with rockets up to space is that rockets may explode on their way up and then half of the globe would be contaminated.

    Not true. Getting the couple kilograms of plutonium in an average nuke spread across the earth's surface would hit the average human being with a lot less radiation than he's get ingesting the potassium in a banana. (No, not all potassium is radioactive. But enough of it is radioactive to start a geiger counter buzzing) In addition, the US and the USSR set off literally thousands of nuclear weapons tests during the cold war. One or two more won't hurt. At all.

    FYI, most space probes sent to Mars and beyond are nuclear powered. Most earth-bound satellites are powered with solar panels, because they're cheaper, but as soon as you get too far from the sun for solar panels to be practical, it's all nuclear.

    thats the real reason that we are still storing our nuclear waste on earth when it would be much better to launch it into the orbit. its same thing with weapons. think about the rage among other countries it would provoke if usa sent nukes/waste into the orbit and rocket exploded on its way up and contaminated most of the earth surface...

    Actually, the reason we don't put nuclear weapons in space is that it costs about $10,000 per pound to put anything in space. It costs a fukton less money to dig a great big outhouse and put all our waste in it than it would to put even a tenth of the nuclear waste in the world into orbit. (putting all that waste into solar orbit would cost even more. Plunging it into the sun would cost even more than that.)

    Radiation really isn't what it's all cracked up to be. All life on earth is radioactive. You've heard of carbon dating? Know how that works? The basic principle behind it is the fact that a percentage of any group of carbon atoms is radioactive. The whole "Radioactivity will kill j00" thing is mostly perpetuated by stupid people who can't tell the difference between a nuke landing on your head and the radioactivity we live with every few hundredths of a second of every day.

  258. Re:Earth has made it this long w/out our intervent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'd find 'im, cuz id be so pissed he took my gun away i'd hunt him down and strangle him with my bar hands
    mwah hah hah
    ur not pretty no more!

  259. Hmmm by greenrd · · Score: 2
    I think s/he meant cracking the mohorovic discontinuity.

  260. 48 years -- are you kidding? by MacAndrew · · Score: 2

    No, it would be more like 60 years, with a 20-year phase-in, a 50-year sunset provision, crop subsidies, and special lawsuit exemptions for the pharmaceutical industry.

    I'm speaking strictly for the U.S. here.

  261. A minor point by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For those of you worried about the nukes in space treaties:

    If I use a stick of dynamite to blow up a house and kill people that dynamite is a weapon.

    If I use a stick of dynamite to blow up a stump on my farm that stick of dynamite is a tool not a weapon.

    If we use a nuke to destroy a city that is an example of a nuclear weapon.

    If we use a nuke to deflect an asteroid away from earth that is not a nuclear weapon.

    The treaties ban nuclear weapons in space.

  262. Funding, research grants and more funding needed by SystematicPsycho · · Score: 1

    Although the definition of a 'near miss or hit' varies from astronomer to astronomer I think the whole point of this comotion is for astronomy agencies to milk funding money out of the public, govt and where ever else. Documentary channels also like to air this stuff because ppl are interested. 'an asteroid will someday hit the earth' is an analogy to gambler's fallacy.

    --
    Analytic & algebraic topology of locally Euclidean meterization of infinitely differentiable Riemmanian manifold
  263. thinking about this the wrong way by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We don't want to destroy the asteroid. We want to capture it and put it into far earth orbit. If it's mostly metal... well, think of all the metal! If it is an iceball, well, think off all the water! Even if it is mostly just stony silicates, still it could be used as a building block for a large space station.

  264. free will by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Probably the greatest evolutionary development a species can make is a collective ability to save itself from probable destruction. Whether you take your mandate from a god or from anthropological/evolutionary theory (or both), it is clear that humankind's greatest achievements are ways to improve itself that seem unnatural or uncomfortable. Medicine. Surgery. Electricity. Democracy.

    If you look at it from an evolutionary point of view, the ability to protect the species through cooperation is a trait that will be selected for. If you look at it from a divine mandate perspective, the Creator granted humans consciousness not so they could be "one with nature" but so that human beings could rise above it, and surmount the obstacles that appear in our path. The Creator's greatest gift is the ability to help ourselves. The choice whether you want to help is yours.

  265. Better idea by _LMark · · Score: 1

    Why not spend the time to design a Catapult along the lines of The Moon is a Harsh Mistress? Slinging huge piles of metal bound rock or whatever would provide for the mass to either break apart smaller asteroids or to deflect larger ones. Sling enough at the Death Rock From Space, and you can move it. The cost of such a device could also be much less than shooting lots of nukes way the hell out into space and there would be the benefits of sending satellites and other things into space much more cheaply. Just seems like a better idea than nukes...

    --
    'the Internet is right.'
  266. Re:Yeah, but that's not the first solution we can by hplasm · · Score: 1
    They can act as ballast in the ship full of hairdressers and telephone sanitizers...

    DNA-RIP :(

    --
    ...and he grinned, like a fox eating shit out of a wire brush.
  267. Smaller is better -- inverse squares and overkill by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There are two key things to understand about why several smaller blasts are more effective than one big one. First is that most damage effects from explosions decline as inverse square (eg, thermal) or inverse cube (blast) of the distance from the center.

    For a given amount of explosives being set off spread over a given area, this means the expected damage at any point increases as you disperse the explosions into smaller bits. If you cut the average distance from you to the nearest bomb in half, your chances of dying go up by more like four to eight, not just two.

    (one exception is tsunamis, which cause damage inversely proportional to the distance. That's why ocean strikes are so dangerous. Tsunamis are very efficient carriers of energy -- and people like to live on coasts).

    Second is the issue of overkill. It takes a lot less to kill a person than reducing them to atomic plasma. Most of the energy released from a big bomb (or asterioid) is wasted on vaporizing people and buildings when just breaking them would have been enough.

    Imagine we put a 1 megaton nuke over the Sears tower in Chicago. People in downtown Chicago get killed many times over, people in Milwaukee see a big flash, people in Detroit don't notice. A million or so dead out of 300 million US citizens.

    Drop that bomb randomly and a lot, lot less will be killed -- Mt St Helens produced a 5 MT blast and killed 60 people.

    1 Megaton is equal to approximately 1 trillion M-80s. Let's say you disperse those among the population -- each person would have 4,000 m-80s strapped to them. That'd kill all 300 million easily.

    Even if you spread the M-80s randomly, that's 100,000 per square kilometer, or about one every ten feet over the entire country. That'd kill or at least injure far more people than a random 1 MT explosion, and might get more than a single bomb on a single city.

    Finally, don't forget that fragmenting doesn't produce a few pieces, it makes lots! Break a 1km asteroid into 10m rocks and you have 1 million atomic bomb-sized kabooms headed towards earth.

  268. Single Point of Failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Someone does Risk or Vulnerability Assessment as their job. I sincerely hope. Even for /. it seems this is much too geeky to do for fun.

  269. Try Phobos ...... by vortexau · · Score: 1

    How about sending a goodly group of Very Talented /.'ers, with supplies, tools and a couple of mini-reactors, to Phobos?

    They could find out for certain if it really is 'the lost third Deathstar'. Then, its only a short matter of time for them to get its 'planet-buster Ion cannon' up and running ....... target that rogue asteroid and blow it to dust particles!

    NOW, THAT would be more convincing than two titanium plated space shuttles carrying hard-core oil drillers!
    .

    --
    (David Bowman, EVA near HUGE Monolithic Win-PC in orbit around Jupiter) "My God - its full of Malware!"
  270. POOP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    LOL! LOL! Oh, ok, time to continue. LOL. No, really.
    Huh? I could say the same thing about my suggestion...

    Feel free to talk to yourself as much as you like, but don't be surprised if it draws strange looks from others around you.

    Anyone can _say_ they are making a good suggestion, but that doesn't make it so... If it did, all suggestions would be good - which isn't the case.

    That's why I'm glad I don't have to say I made a good suggestion when it stands on its own as one.

    Well, I think there are more people who aren't interested in a distributed computing project to detect asteroids than there are people crying out for one, first of all.


    Your opinion. Nothing more.

    This can be proven by the fact that it doesn't exist.


    An incorrect and sad logic. Before Seti@home, how many distributed computing cancer projects were there? Does that mean because they didn't exist no one cared?

    Also, recent news has pointed out

    News changes by the second, especially on moving objects in space.

    And remeber that we thought it was pretty unlikely in the first place.

    Too bad the dinosaurs didn't enjoy ever changing news as entertainment, huh? I place no faith in news.

    It sounds to me that you, like many, are making too much of this threat, which drums up hysteria for nothing,


    No, it sounds like you have nothing better to do than argue, which is why you continue to participate in this dead thread by nitpicking.

    much like with Y2K.

    Asteroids have already hit earth, the comparison to Y2K is a straw man you're attempting to set up. Wrong.

    A lot of actual experts on the topic (of which I am not, and I doubt you are, either) seem to think so as well.


    When you have polled each and every expert and scientist about the chances of a future asteroid impact, please let me know, until then.. *yawn*

    Unless I'm wrong, you _yourself_ asked why we waste computing power on something that is unlikely to get results, such as seti@home. (Or am I attributing another AC's comment to you?) If there are enough PCs in the world to do everything, why complain that people waste computing power on Seti@home?


    Because I can.

    There may be enough PCs out there- I don't know about that, but I doubt it-


    You doubt it? LOL. You just love to argue w/o facts don't you.

    but are there enough people willing or able to join in on every project?


    Most of the bigger dc projects enjoy thousands upon thousands of users. It's simple math.

    It seems there is a limited pool of people who understand what distributed computing is and will join in projects, at least without some sort of campaign to recruit more.


    Check out the numbers of people already involved in the dc projects. There are limited pools of people in any arena, not limited to computers, so what?

    I'm arguing because I have an opinion.

    And too much free time.

    If it offends you that someone might have an opinion that differs from yours (and is willing to voice it), I suggest you avoid posting in public forums - especially forums as rife with conflicting opinions as this one.

    Nah, I'm just amazed by the amount of stupidity I find in otherwise intelligent areas of the web. Some people are willing to bend a point and twist so hard in order to make their opinion correct in others' eyes.

    As far as me being a troll, the "troll card" just seems like something someone pulls out when they feel like trying to discredit someone's opinion.


    Your opinion was discredited on my first reply, that's done and over with. The troll card was pulled because the shoe fits.

    Note that I'm posting with my real name while you are both anonymous


    Unless you show me your legal ID card, how do I know it's your real name? You're just as anonymous as I am. Nice try.


    _and_ insisting on using an annoying bold tag on all your comments (which implies that you feel your comments are more worthy of being read than everyone else's, but are at the same hesitant to commit yourself to them).

    Now you are trying to define my actions here. Sorry, you're wrong. I use bold because I can, obviously you have some strong dislike for it. Maybe you should tell your therapist about this.

    Also, I have not made any antagonizing or dismissive comments about you, while you have dismissed mine as noise for the sake of noise, among other things...


    Yes, and the noise continues.

    If you want to discuss this, fine, but stop whining about trolls.

    You sound like the one who is whining. There is no discussion here, only the original poster's bold truth.

    Your continued noise in this thread will be met with a constant supply of troll food, it seems. Obviously you enjoy eating it.

  271. Last Post! by alpg · · Score: 1

    Good evening, gentlemen. I am a HAL 9000 computer. I became operational
    at the HAL plant in Urbana, Illinois, on January 11th, nineteen hundred
    ninety-five. My supervisor was Mr. Langley, and he taught me to sing a
    song. If you would like, I could sing it for you.

    - this post brought to you by the Automated Last Post Generator...