Slashdot Mirror


Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz?

Phonographic Memory writes "A new study has come out that purports to show a link between file-sharing and decreased CD purchases. Covering the period of 1995-2003, the study looked for a link between owning a computer and decreased CD purchases. The researcher found that 'some US music consumers could have decreased their CD purchases (prior to 2004) by about 13 percent due to Internet file sharing.' In its coverage of the study, Ars Technica notes that the scholarly consensus on the possibility of a link between file sharing and music purchases is missing: 'the dominant impression gained from reading these studies is that finding accurate correlations between file-sharing and loss of revenue for the music industry is tremendously difficult.'"

435 comments

  1. Ofcourse it does by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Ok RIAA, I said what you told me to. Will you now drop the case?

    1. Re:Ofcourse it does by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are always hearing about how " File Sharing " is driving up consumer prices. Has anyone done a study and/or research on how the RIAA / MPAA's anti-piracy campaign has effected the industry ? Example: how many hundreds of thousands of dollars are going toward " p2p spy contractors ", other services and methods used ? Does the " successful " law-suites and settlements balance out ? Any current hike in production of consumer movies, and/or music are based on the following, not just the file sharing community. 1. Newly created " anti-piracy " job positions within RIAA / MPAA 2. Contractor fee's, third party legal services, forensics....... 3. In-House software development and/or software purchase. ( forensics, data retrieval ) 4. The file sharing community 5. Visual campaigns ( billboards, ads, etc. ) 6. Legal Fee's 7. General economy 8. many others........ Just curious............ Also has there been any current releases that are worth viewing outside of killing some time, while the infomercials are on TV ? RIAA / MPAA should be happy that people are even viewing some of the garbage being released. But, we each have our own tastes, likes and dislikes.

    2. Re:Ofcourse it does by Korin43 · · Score: 1

      I notice that this says there's a link between "owning a computer and decreased cd purchases". Is it possible that I have better things to do now that I have a computer than sit around and listen to music?

  2. Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 0

    It hurts them in that it doesn't line their pockets enough.

    --
    Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
    1. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Jonny+do+good · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think the music industry hurts itself. When CD's were release they promised that they would cost around $5 in a few years as the costs of R&D were covered and mass production set in. The only CD's that sell for $5 are either crappy or used. They want to maintain their monopoly status and are unwilling to change. Those are the reasons I no longer buy CD's.

      As for DRM protected content for $1 a song, the protection limits my ability to move to a new ipod every year without loosing music. The price point is too high, who has $10,000 to shell out on music to fill their iPod nano?

      It's not file share that is there problem, they are their own problem. Their business model is horrible and I can't wait until they collapse over the next 10-15 years. Once the music conglomerates go broke or more artists move to independent labels that don't overcharge I will start buying CD's again. They claim its in the advertising and number of artists that they have to sign that cause prices to remain high. If they quite charging such a premium and actually went to a few shows put on my burgeoning artists they could cut those "costs" in 1/4.

    2. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful
      It hurts them in that it doesn't line their pockets enough.

      This study overlooks so much its rediculous. Its comparing Dollars spent, not # of CD's purchased (completely ignoring the CD price fluxuations caused by price-fixing and Big-box marketers like Walmart), its tracking computer owners vs non-computer owners (which brings a lot of economic deltas into the case). Its junk statistics designed to back the RIAA's case, not gain real insight.

    3. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Jonny+do+good · · Score: 0, Troll

      No, I don't want free music, I want quality music for a reasonable price. Like I said, $10,000 to fill a nano, and why shouldn't I get a new iPod regularly, they come out with new and better features. You are an idiot and that is why you will only reply as an anonomous coward! Okay, maybe every year is an exageration, but what happened to the idea that if I own it I can copy it to protect it. I actually have had several friends go through 2-3 iPods in a year for various reasons (ie dropping in a pool, car accidents, etc) and the limits they set have screwed them.

    4. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Yahweh+Doesn't+Exist · · Score: 5, Funny

      you are a lying troll. you can use as many ipods as you want. and you can use music you didn't buy from the itunes store. you can make as many backups as you want, and you can play on 5 computers simulataneously.

      your friends are idiots or are lying to you because they hate you and don't want you to enjoy ipods like they do.

    5. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by O'Laochdha · · Score: 1

      Well, that's what "hurt" means. Don't underestimate the importance of money. How would you like to get a percentage knocked off your salary? You could say that they're already making more than anyone needs, but if you have internet access, so do you.

    6. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Kamots · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In other news the RIAA has sued Microsoft for stealing thier business as computer owners spent more money on microsoft products than non computer owners... and this obviously means they have less money to spend on CDs and must pirate instead! It's all Microsofts fault!

      On a more serious note, how could they seriously not realize that owning a computer opens up new entertainment mediums to people? 1 computer game is 2-5 CDs... it's not like people have a limitless supply of entertainment money.

      Gotta love bad studies...

    7. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Jonny+do+good · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I have personally never owned an iPod and don't care to because I will not spend $1 for a song that sucks and limits my ability to own it and do as I wish with it. Maybe they didn't back their music up or whatever, I just took their word that they lost their music. But you have accused me of being a thief when I actually have only legal MP3s without DRM. You are the type of individual that claims to be for freedom of speech, yet when it comes down to it you really mean that you can say what you want but if someone else doesn't agree with you that rule no longer applies. People like you are too quick to criticize what you are incapable of understanding. I have commented in another post I prefer to attend concerts and the bands I enjoy allow their listeners to share their music. Think of the Greatful Dead and Phish, the bands like them that I listen to don't care about the RIAA or charging outrageous rates for their music. In fact a number of them have been bypassing TicketMaster for years because they think the monopoly charging a premium is BS for their listeners. Try a Jam band, they are the only bands worth listening to and they already embraced the culture of their music being shared well before the days of the Internet. They realize that a live performance can make them more money in the long run and sell other merchandise like the traditional tie-dyed tee shirt.

    8. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by purpledinoz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      File-sharing is devastating for the big music companies. But it's a real stretch to say that the whole industry has been hurt. The Internet is here to stay, and there's really nothing that can be done to stop file sharing. Every dollar spent fighting it, is a dollar wasted.

      There's no way that the the big music companies can sustain the current way they do busness. The reason they exist is that it's very expensive to make and distribute CDs across the country and around the world. It used to be very expensive to produce the music. With computers and the Internet, distribution is very cheap. These companies are now at the end of their useful life.

    9. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That pretty much sums it up. One way or another, someone's treading their turf and they aren't seeing revenue. They'll be happy when every pay-per-play parcel is strictly doled out under their ever watchful eye and through the fingers of their fiercely tightened fists.

    10. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by dthree · · Score: 1
      I think the music industry hurts itself. When CD's were release they promised that they would cost around $5 in a few years as the costs of R&D were covered and mass production set in. The only CD's that sell for $5 are either crappy or used. They want to maintain their monopoly status and are unwilling to change. Those are the reasons I no longer buy CD's.

      But we are supposed to be happy that CD prices didn't rise to $30 or more by following inflation of other consumer goods.
      http://www.riaa.com/News/newsletter/062503_b.asp
      --
      "I forgot my mantra."
    11. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Jonny+do+good · · Score: 2, Funny

      I guess, with the price of gas this past summer I probably shouldn't complain.

    12. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by soft_guy · · Score: 1

      Having an iPod != Buying from iTMS.

      With iTunes and iPod, you can get your music by ripping your CDs, Vinyl, whatever.

      I can certainly understand and respect the position of someone who either doesn't want DRM, doesn't want to buy from iTMS because of the fact that you get a lower quality recording than a CD, or even because you only want to enjoy "free" music (creative commons, etc.)

      However, I still think that the iPod is a nice MP3 player, even without iTMS, that is better than most of its competition. Also, it doens't not apply DRM to your non-DRM music like some other systems do.

      --
      Avoid Missing Ball for High Score
    13. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I will not spend $1 for a song that sucks.... But you have accused me of being a thief when I actually have only legal MP3s without DRM.

      According to the RIAA, that makes you a thief. You're a thief if you buy used music. You're a thief if you buy music on sale. You're a thief if you buy any recordable media other than Music CD-Rs, and you're a thief if you use them for music. And even with DRM, you're a thief if you bought it from iTunes and a thief if you bought a CD (you bought music; you must like to steal it too, so here's a free rootkit so we can keep an eye on you). You're a thief if you listen to the radio, you're a thief if you hum or whistle, you're a thief if you can sing, play an instrument, or keep a beat, until they sign you to a label(*) and they can start stealing back from you.

      And you're a thief if you don't buy enough new music every 10 minutes.

      Basically, everyone's a thief. You've stolen profits they could have had if you'd just bought more.

      You haven't lined their pockets enough.

      (*) I'm only kidding on that point. They don't sign people who can sing, play instruments, or keep a beat; they have machines to fix that now. It's easier to keep a perfomer if all their talent actually comes from the label's hardware. (They're still working on supplanting physical beauty; lip-syncing stand-ins aren't working well enough.)

      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
    14. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Yahweh+Doesn't+Exist · · Score: 1

      >But you have accused me of being a thief when I actually have only legal MP3s without DRM.

      no. I have accused you of being a liar, a troll and possibly the friend of an idiot, but not a thief. my media library is 1746 items, of which 168 are from the iTunes Music Store. the rest are from my CDs and music DVDs.

      >I will not spend $1 for a song that sucks

      futher to the above, I now accuse you of being a retard for making this statement. neither would I, or anyone. I have, however, bought from the iTMS 3 complete albums that are only available to buy from the iTMS, an album not easily available in my country, and many individual songs and music videos I like.

      I haven't said anything about anything in this topic, except that you are lying about iTunes and its features. if you need to lie to make your argument, or you're too stupid to understand the facts then you must have a pretty pathetic case anyway.

    15. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree with you. The only thing it did show was that those who own a computer are more likely to be involved in digital distribution systems. No surprise there since that is what the broadband push is all about. As for the citation given for CD sales spike when Napster closed, that is no surprise either since at the time Napster was the only popular source of media legal or not. The death of Napster (yes Napster did die after the suit even though the corpse is still there) is part of the cause of the uprise of the other P2P networks.

      The only conclusions I can draw from this study is that the big music labels still don't get it.

    16. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Jonny+do+good · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I know that I can put not DRM music on an iPod, I just don't see the point of owning one since I usually listen to XM. Since I pay for the service I just use it in my car. At home I can listen to it as well plus I have a good collection of legal recordings and some older CD's. If I flew more often I might consider an iPod but when I do fly I usually am too busy working to pay any attention to music or I just watch a movie (either on my laptop or the screen).

      Most of my firends with iPods are dedicated users and would never give it up. I on the other hand just haven't found the need yet.

      DRM and High prices on CD's are problematic, not the iPod or any other MP3 player that I know of (I didn't know some applied DRM to non-DRM music). If I purchase music I should be free to copy it to as many forms of media as I like as many times as I like. I have a horrible track record at maintaining backups and CD integrity, therefore I need the ability to copy it or I don't want it. I am actually supprised that I have been able to keep my DVD's in good shape but I don't put them in my car where I have to drive, swap cd's, etc. I don't feel that I should have to pay $18 for a decent CD. I do buy the occasional box set because they usually give me a good collection for a reasonable price relative to individual CD's (especially when a decent one goes on sale).

      My real point is that the RIAA business model is failing due to a shift in consumer habits, not the piracy of music. It wan't much harder to share music back in the days of tapes (look at international markets back then, anything was available on the black market for cheap). The RIAA is upset because they can actually see their music being stolen in front of their eyes and the consumer has had it with their monopoly. I applaud apple for their iTunes store and the fact that they were able to come to an agreement with the RIAA. I only dislike the current model of $1 per song. An artist is entitled to compensation for their work, I just don't think that the labels should get most of the profit when they don't even know how to market effectively, are horrible a spotting talent, and just want to control prices. The artists should be the first to rebel with this age if Internet distribution and put together some cooperative recording studios to work from. There are plent of quality artists out there that the labels ignore. When I have baught CD's from local bands I usually get CD's they produced, the quality is great, and the prices are more like $10 then $20. Everyone wins except the major labels which have no inherant right to make a profit, they should earn their keep before asking anyone to pay them.

    17. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 1

      Case in point: according to this study, if you own a computer, you're stealing music.

      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
    18. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by vertinox · · Score: 3, Insightful

      you can make as many backups as you want, and you can play on 5 computers simulataneously.

      You are correct, but it makes a crappy backup.

      Lossy AAC to CD audio and back to lossy MP3 is quite a degredation in sound quality.

      That and you use your ID tags.

      Personally, I use an iPod but I rip my CDs I purchase from the store to 256kps MP3s for quality and compatibility of all my players (Audiotron, CD mp3, and iPod and VBR is problematic on the CD and audio tron)

      I'm tempted to start doing high quality MP4 because I'm an audio freak like that. Too bad iPods don't support FLAC or OGG, but I still like my nano.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    19. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by althai · · Score: 1

      This would be true - except they aren't charting the expenditures of computer owners vs. non computer owners. They are studying how the expenditures change from year to year, and how those changes correlate with big changes in the ability to get illegal music free over the internet.

      According to the study, the average computer owner spent $4.79 less on CDs in 2002 than they did in 2001, and in 2003 they spent $5.55 less than that. This cannot be explained by the fact that computer owners spend more on other forms of entertainment than non-computer owners, since the motivation to buy other things instead of CDs was the same in 2001 as in 2002, but they spent significantly less in 2002.

      Economic changes in 2002 might have an impact, as people were less likely to spend money on luxuries. The discrepancy in the decreased spending between those with and without computers could possibly be due to the different impacts on luxury spending between people with more and less money, but it could also be due to easily available free pirated music. Likewise the increase - there could definitely be some sort of global effect unrelated to filesharing that affects those with computers differently than those without. Or it could be the effect of the demise of Napster making filesharing much more difficult.

      I imagine the study addresses such issues, although the article did not. Does anyone have a link to the study? Personally, I found the numbers contained in the article fairly convincing, although even in the absence of hard data I would have said it was very likely that filesharing has had a negative impact on music sales, at least prior to online digital music stores.

      I can't help but wonder whether you're questioning the validity of the study because you don't like it's methods (by the way, have you actually read the study, or just the linked article) or because you don't like it's results.

      --
      David
    20. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Yahweh+Doesn't+Exist · · Score: 1

      when I say you can back it up I mean you can copy the actual file as many times as you want, with no loss at all. some people with no experience of DRM think it means you have one and only one file and if it gets corrupted or you lose your ipod or you accidentally delete it then you've lost thousands of dollars for ever oh noes!!! it's not like that at all. the first thing you get after buying from iTMS is a reminder from Apple to back up your files.

      160kps AAC should be enough to replace your 256kps mp3. 256kps AAC will be better quality.

      I don't know why you would want FLAC or OGG when you can have Apple Lossless and AAC, unless you're a OSS-freak and philosophy is more important than quality or battery life, but it doesn't sound like it since you use mp3 anyway.

    21. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by dfghjk · · Score: 1

      "They want to maintain their monopoly status and are unwilling to change."

      Who has monopoly status? I think you're mistaken on this one.

      "As for DRM protected content for $1 a song, the protection limits my ability to move to a new ipod every year without loosing [sic] music."

      No it doesn't. The DRM limits the number of computers that can play the content. iPods aren't limited.

    22. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by dfghjk · · Score: 1

      "Also, it doens't not apply DRM to your non-DRM music like some other systems do."

      I assume you are referring to Zune. Zune does NOT apply DRM to your non-DRM music. It applies DRM in order to time-limit music shared to other Zunes. The music on your Zune is not DRM'ed. It's amazing not just how people make up things they don't know but how such myths are perpetuated. Repeat a lie often enough and it will be the same as fact.

      Just what other device applies DRM to non-DRMed music? None.

    23. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by aplusjimages · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I bought a DVD the other day for $5. Yet a band from the 70's still cost $11-15. I can't find a good CD for $5. If the movie industry can do it, then the music industry can. I hear that tape sales are way down due to downloads and piracy as well. Why wasn't that ever mentioned in the article?

      --
      Can I bum a sig?
    24. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Elektroschock · · Score: 1

      Copying hurts the culture industry. Oh well. Whether it is positive or negative depends on your views. I don't want panem et circenses. So let the industry die! We still visit the Colosseum today, as a place where slaves were killed for the entertainment of the masses.

    25. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Jonny+do+good · · Score: 0

      You forgot to mention 8 tracks, I'm sure the decline of the 8 track was due to internet file sharing.

    26. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Known+Nutter · · Score: 1
      According to the study, the average computer owner spent $4.79 less on CDs in 2002 than they did in 2001, and in 2003 they spent $5.55 less than that.
      Since I spent $0 on CDs, does that mean the record companies *owe* me $5.55 ? Hey, its the "new" math!
      --
      Beware of the Leopard.
    27. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Kamots · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I haven't read the study... like you I don't know where it's at.

      I will admit that my motivation behind poking at this is due to it not matching what I believe, but I'm not going to let that get in the way of facts; you are correct, I had misread, the study was comparing computer users to computer users.

      However, I'm still poking at it... :)

      For instance, I'm questioning the assumption that "the motivation to buy other things instead of CDs was the same in 2001 as in 2002" This seems to be an unfounded assumption. The average consumer did not necessarily view the relative worth of CDs to other forms of entertainment as staying the same. The point I made about computer ownership opening other forms of entertainment up is still valid. As an example lets take computer games. If the average consumer changes his/her balance of the relative worth of CDs versus computer games in favor of games (and video gaming acceptance in American culture has been on the rise...), then you will see computer-owning consumers spend more on video games and less on music. However the computer-less consumer won't, as the computer game holds no value to them. Thus you'll see computer owners spend less on music than previously and computer-less consumers spend the same.

      Or this may well be related to people with computers downloading music... however the point is that we don't know which of these it is, or if it's something else entirely.

    28. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by shark72 · · Score: 1

      "When CD's were release they promised that they would cost around $5 in a few years as the costs of R&D were covered and mass production set in."

      I was around when CDs were first launched, and I never heard anything of the sort. In fact, the only place I've heard this is on Slashdot. Like all tall tales, it changes with the retelling. Yours is the first variant I've heard which adds the "$5" angle.

      Question for you: Magnatune, who claim that they are "not evil" and do a lot of things right (no DRM, et al) charge about the same as a CD you'd get from a major label, and Magnatune doesn't have the two-tier distribution, or the overhead of traditional record companies (e.g. Magnatune relies on you to produce your own masters; they won't cover the cost of production). Why do you think they charge so much, then? Are they greedy? Do you think it would be more appropriate for them to charge $5 or $2 or even $1, rather than charging what the market will bear?

      "As for DRM protected content for $1 a song, the protection limits my ability to move to a new ipod every year without loosing music."

      As others have pointed out, moving your music from iPod to iPod is trivial. I'm on my third iPod or so and I've not have a problem in moving my iTMS content. Have you really run into this problem, or is this in the realm of the "record companies promised CDs would cost $5" statement -- it sounds good, and backs up your argument, but isn't necessarily correct?

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    29. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by althai · · Score: 1

      Ok, that's true and is a good point. I'm curious as to whether original author covered these issues at all, and, if so, what he had to say about them.

      So I did some browsing, and found the abstract and a link where you can view the article: http://www.bepress.com/bejeap/topics/vol6/iss1/art 18/. I'm not sure if you can access the article from anywhere, but if you're on a university network it should be no problem. You can also request guest access, which worked fine for me to see the article in question. I'll read it when I get the chance, and post back if I find anything interesting in how he discusses these issues.

      On a side note, it seems the researcher used to work for the Heritage Foundation, and may have a somewhat conservative bias. On the other hand, this is not so uncommon for economists, and doesn't mean his research is without merit.

      --
      David
    30. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Every dollar spent fighting it, is a dollar wasted.

      Agreed. There's no way some DRM system or anything else could make people who don't want to pay for music pay for music. The music business pretty much like a mall in which they'd let you go away without paying, lots of people would still pay for what they would buy, and some wouldn't. And in that precise situation there's nothing they can do to make the people who don't want to pay pay.

      If you think you can make such people pay by using such things as DRM, you must think war on drug can be easily won.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    31. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by althai · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Here are some quotes from the paper I found significant.
      File sharing proponents have also suggested that music sales decreased as consumers substituted into other types of entertainment goods, such as prerecorded movies and video games. However, Michel (2005) concludes there is no evidence that CEX [the study that the author is using for data] households' decrease in music purchases corresponds to an increase in spending on movie tickets, prerecorded movies or video games.
      He also raises the possibility that some of the decrease may be due to legal music downloads, but believes that this is less true for the years covered by his study than in more recent years.

      From his conclusion:
      Our micro-level data test results suggest that file sharing may have reduced album sales (between 1999 and 2003) by as much as 13 percent for some music consumers. At minimum, our test results indicate that the relationship between computer ownership and music purchases (in the CEX) weakened after Internet file sharing became a viable option for music purchasers. No similar negative change exists in the data prior to the initiation of the first file-sharing service.
      After reading his paper, I'm inclined to agree. The data does suggest that there may have been a 13% drop in CD purchases among computer owners who spent more music than the median consumer, but there may be alternate explanations to account for at least some of the drop. However, it seems clear that filesharing did reduce music sales among that population.
      --
      David
    32. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by M0b1u5 · · Score: 1
      "Secret elements within the United States government seek to surveil us and control our lives."

      I got news for you man - those elements are NOT secret. :P

      --
      How many escape pods are there? "NONE,SIR!" You counted them? "TWICE, SIR!"
    33. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Weedlekin · · Score: 1

      "Like I said, $10,000 to fill a nano"

      For a theoretical buyer who has no existing music collection to rip onto said Nano, and therefore no other music playing devices at all, so obviously no interest in music, but suddenly gets the urge for a Nano, and 10,000 songs from iTMS. I suppose Apple's advertising must be responsible for millions of previously music-unaware people suddenly having epiphanies, rushing out to buy Nanos, and then filling them with a collection of tracks that would occupy well over 500 conventional music CDs. Or perhaps they were simply walking past a store, saw some Nanos in the Window, and thought "Hey, I've got a couple of hundred spondooliks burning a hole in my pocket, so I'll blow it on one of those little boxes with a wheel, despite the fact I don't know what it is or does", and then, after getting it home, realising that it plays a strange thing called "music" that they must now rush out and buy in massive quantities for life to be worth living.

      --
      I'm not going to change your sheets again, Mr. Hastings.
    34. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by jhdsl · · Score: 1

      So if I have two Zunes and share between them, DRM is indeed applied to my non-DRM music?

    35. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by moeinvt · · Score: 1

      That's about the only objective analysis I've seen of the study thus far. Come on /.ers, you're dismissing empirical evidence with suppositions and criticisms to twist the issue toward your biased viewpoint. It's easy to criticize, it's something else to come up with an idea to fix it.

      How would you conduct research into answering the question posed in the article?

      The only GLARING objection I see is in the failure to include expenditures on legally downloaded music in the study. Seems to suggest that all !CD_sales == illegal_sharing.

      Another factor I would suggest is "Why buy a $11.99 CD when you can buy the three songs from the CD that you actually like for ~$1 each? How many times do you actually like every single song on a CD? I would contend that legal downloads are an essential component in any such study, and that there is a multiplier effect on revenue from legal downloads. I'd GUESS that it's in the range of 3X. It would be interesting to see a study of this:

      (total # of songs from CD downloaded)/((# of unique downloaders) X (# of songs on CD))

      ??

    36. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by rucs_hack · · Score: 2, Insightful

      that's what it sounds like to me.

      but then why am I joining in, I'd not buy one anyway. I prefer my cheap, almost disposable 1gb mp3 player. It cost £30, and works just fine.

    37. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by bobkoure · · Score: 1

      I've had no problems with VBR on an Audiotron. I know they're no longer produced/supported, but there might be a slightly more recent firmware version that fixes that issue for you.
      Sure would be nice if they suported ogg or flac, but they were betting on microsoft DRM formats (which IMHO is why it's running wince not embedded linux)
      Now, back to the antiRIAA rants...

    38. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by DudeTheMath · · Score: 1

      Just asking: How do you get 10,000 songs on your iPod Nano? Or do you spend $10 per song?

      --
      You save only 59 seconds over 8 miles by going 75 instead of 65. Do you really have to pass that guy? Do the Math!
    39. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not only that, if you purchase a low end computer, upgrade the sound card, video card, add 5.1 surround speakers, joystick, racing wheel, hook up cable TV, spend hours and hours ripping to Mp3 the music you already own to another hard drive you installed, get a portable Mp3 player and install an Mp3 CD player in your vehicle after purchasing and installing DVD-RW/CD-RW drive, upgrade the monitor and purchase DVD playing software, install a home network so others can listen to the music on their computers etc.
      Now that's a lot of money I'm not using to purchase the current boy band trash. Most of the music in my collection I purchased over 20 years ago and anything I do purchase these days is also usually over 20 years old and it still cost as much as it did back then even though many of those artist are dead.
      Now add on the fact that the price of nearly everything one absolutely needs to just survive has trippled in the last 10 to 20 years. The average weekly raise every year in ones salary is often just enough to keep on purchasing one twelve pack of cheap beer on friday night, while barely maintaining your current standard of living via credit.
      "Oh Lord, won't you take me back to Muhlenberg County?
      Down by the Green River where Paradise lay?"
      He said, "I'm sorry my son, but you're too late in asking
      Mr. Peabody's coal train has hauled it away."

    40. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by jeremyp · · Score: 1
      As for DRM protected content for $1 a song, the protection limits my ability to move to a new ipod every year without loosing music.
      you are misinformed. When I replaced my iPod, I just plugged my new one in to my laptop and iTunes downloaded the music without complaint. Furthermore, I have my entire iTunes library on my laptop and my desktop (just file system copy the entire folder structure). As long as both PCs are authorised to the music store, you can play DRM music on either.
      The price point is too high, who has $10,000 to shell out on music to fill their iPod nano?
      I couldn't possibly afford to fill my entire iPod with music, but it seems to work quite well with only 10% of the space used up and it makes a handy Firewire disk too.
      --
      All I want is a secure system where it's easy to do anything I want. Is that too much to ask ~~ Randall Munroe
    41. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by dfghjk · · Score: 1

      How about you look it up for me? Technical details of such obscure devices as this are hard to come by.

    42. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by dfghjk · · Score: 1

      Not exactly. DRM would be applied to a temporary share that one of your Zune might receive from the other should YOU choose to do that (and it's even possible). Of course, why would you since you could just as easily install a non-DRM version on both in the first place. If you prefer not to have a temporary DRM'ed version on one of the players you may simply opt out of the addtional feature that Zune offers (that no one else does) and all your music will remain DRM-free. It is through your explicit action that DRM gets applied to an additional, temporary file.

    43. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by dfghjk · · Score: 1

      If it sounds that way then you must be listening to uninformed people. I wouldn't buy one either but I'm not going to lie about how it works or discourage others from buying one based on false information. I wouldn't buy music from iTMS either.

    44. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by SuseLover · · Score: 1

      We bought the movie "Chicago" on DVD a month after it was released at the grocery store for $9. My wife wanted a CD to play in the car, the cheapest we could find it was for $18.99. Just the audio for twice the price of the audio+video is ridiculus.

    45. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You could install Rockbox - then you could use ogg (dunno about flac, but there's no reason why not)

    46. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by rucs_hack · · Score: 1

      I have a huge collection of mp3s and audiobooks that cost a thousand pounds at least, probably more. I buy a lot of audiobooks at £25 a pop.

      Therefore the music I play neither has, nor requires any form of DRM, or a player capable of handling it. I'd worry about even the *slightest* possibility that my tunes would be re-edited by a player to include drm, _whether_or_not_ it's a fact now.

      They took a long time to convert to mp3, and I wouldn't relish the thought of their being messed with. I don't see the point either, I bought it, I want to listen to it, and if someone else wants to have a listen I'll let them, then say 'you like it? Buy it then...'
      Just like we did when it was mostly vinyl. Amazingly enough the world didn't implode.

      I therefore would not buy a player with DRM, no matter how cheap or 'convenient'. There will always be a market for the small mp3 player with no frills. Anyone who uses a player that inserts rights code, temporarily or not for *any reason* or requires it's use for music purchased online, is being silly I think.

      What happens if, in a few years time, the DRM landscape has changed and your music is unavailable? I've still got my Cd's and my non drm mp3's, and I've got a couple of spare cheap ass mp3 players too.

    47. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just install Rockbox on the nano, it plays .ogg flawlessy, that's what i did. (and no more iTunes! Woohoo!)

    48. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's Digital. There's not any degradation in sound quality when converting from digital to digital unless you are converting to a lower bitrate file/format.

      CD-quality mp3 audio is 384kbps (I believe), but 192 is typically considered "acceptable" to all those without superhuman hearing. Regardless, if you download a AAC file at 192-384kbps, and burn to CD, then convert back to equal-bitrate (192-384) mp3, then there should be no human-perceptible loss in quality whatsoever from the original file. Analog recordings however do lose quality when transferred between mediums.

      Read:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bitrate#Bitrates_in_m ultimedia

    49. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by AdamThor · · Score: 1

      You know, the RIAA sucks. And pop music sucks. CDs are too expensive. It's all true.

      But I really have bought fewer CDs since I started downloading stuff.

      Oh, all the geeks can be like 'That hasn't been SHOWN! There's no PROOF!' But these people are lying to themselves. There are a lot of people out there who download stuff willy-nilly who no longer get the itch to go out and buy a CD because they need some new tunes.

      Lots of folks probably download music thinking to themselves "Oh, I'll buy this if I really like it..." maybe some of them even do so. I'm sure few people think to themselves "A-HA now I have stolen this and needn't pay for it!" (because people don't think of it as stealing, because it isn't) But for really real, people are downloading music and if nothing else they aren't getting the feeling of 'damn I need a new CD cause I have listened to all my old stuff a million times.'

      Does porn hurt women? Does violent TV promote violence in children? Does music downloading cost the music industry? These things are hard to prove. In any one instance, the answer is '*I* don't hurt women / wasn't a violent child / wasn't going to give the RIAA any money anyway!' You can never really point to instance of one or the other. But in the background noise of society, it's there.

      I don't necessarily think downloading music is wrong, but I think the RIAA clearly gets less traffic because of it. I've stopped downloading music, mostly. I got a hold of all the old tunes that I kinda dug but never felt was worth the price to buy ('Tarzan Boy', 'Mr. Roboto' etc.). Since I stopped, I've actually ordered some CD's from Amazon. Get the St. Germain one, 'Tourist' it's good.

      A

      --
      -- "Oh. This guy again."
    50. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by castle · · Score: 1

      Something also to consider, how the publicity surrounding the news of the various lawsuits, injunctions, lobbying and what have you, themselves may have contributed to a negative opinion of record labels. I haven't seen that addressed in many of the studies, or reporting stemming from them. For the record I read the article but did not read the report.

      In addition I for one felt that the very artists that pogoed up to their masters (Metallica) were viewed as hypocrites by a significant number of their fans had a significant impact on my purchasing behavior. In addition there were boycott campaigns all over the internet during that period of time.

      And in closing, I am in firm opposition to corporate behavior such as this across the board, and have no practical need for music oriented file-sharing services, thus do not use them.

    51. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Steve001 · · Score: 1

      SuseLover wrote:

      We bought the movie "Chicago" on DVD a month after it was released at the grocery store for $9. My wife wanted a CD to play in the car, the cheapest we could find it was for $18.99. Just the audio for twice the price of the audio+video is ridiculus.

      I agree and I think that, more than file sharing, that the following factors have caused the drop in CD sales, such as:

      • The cost of CDs.
      • Lack of music that is interesting to buyers, regardless of what "those in the know" think people want.
      • The ability of people to buy just the songs they want, rather than having to buy an entire album for a single song.

      While I think each of the above factors is important, I think that the ability to buy individual songs is the most important. Before CD came along, you had the ability to purchase 45 singles of the songs you wanted in addition to being able to buy the entire album. When CD came along it seemed like singles became unavailable, requiring you to purchase the entire CD to get a song.

      I think the ability to buy specific songs is what is hurting CD sales. A personal example for me is that I recently found an automated kiosk that allows you to have a custom-made CD of the songs for a $1 a song. Through it, I was able to purchase eight songs that I would never have bought the full albums for, sales that would not have happened otherwise.

      Since the 1960s the album has dominated music. Now I think the single is going to dominate music in the future. The good songs will sell the best, and the other songs won't.

    52. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by dfghjk · · Score: 1

      Then I assume you won't buy an iPod. Apple is at the forefront of DRM after all.

      I don't have any music that contains DRM, either, but I do own an iPod since I know it won't change any of the music that I currently own. I know the Zune won't, either, despite the hysteria here to the contrary. In fact, I'm most certain that there is no product on the market, nor has there ever been, that does as you suggest. I maintain backups anyway as I'm sure you do considering the value.

    53. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by DDLKermit007 · · Score: 1

      And suddenly the troll exposes himself. You don't have nor ever want to buy an iPod yet your piss & moan about not being able to do something you can do allready. I wish I had mod points today. You know nothing about iPods given they play MP3s, MP4 video files, AAC, Apple Lossless. All of which you can rip from a CD or download and iTunes will rip to any without DRM. Before ou attempt to piss that you don't want to be tied to iTunes there are a number of apps out there on the PC and Mac (I'm fairly certain Lunix too) side that will handle music transfers.

    54. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by rucs_hack · · Score: 1

      You'd be right, I wouldn't buy an iPod, or a Zune

      However, even if DRM wasn't an issue, which it sounds like it isn't (to the extent I'd thought) I still wouldn't, because I consider an mp3 player to be a high risk of losing item. I'd rather have something cheap that I could handle dropping/losing. I've got the one I use, one in a drawer ready to use, and another still in it's packet. Each is 1gb, and altogether they cost me £90. That's less then an iPod Nano costs over here (england).

      My backups are the original cd's, however, I suppose, given the time it took to burn them, that backups of the mp3s probably wouldn't be a bad idea.

      My opinion personally is that DRM exists solely because of file sharers. I'd heard all the arguments by the p2p advocates, and I say it's a load of dingo's kidneys. They don't pay for it, and they should, end of story.
      I don't like the idea that music I might buy online would be drm'd becaause someone else has routinelly stolen it. That's an entirely different rant though.

    55. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by dfghjk · · Score: 1

      You've probably reached a point where your time is more valuable than the cost of a modest external hard drive. Backups are pretty cheap these days. A lot of my physical media is long since gone and my mp3 collection is all I worry about.

      Certainly DRM exists for the interests of the content publishers/distributors and no end user benefits for it (at least directly). So far, no device imposes DRM on your unprotected content and I'd be surprised if that changed. I'd think any manufacturer who attempts that should be prepared for lawsuits.

    56. Re:Does File-Sharing Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Steve001 · · Score: 1

      moeinvt wrote as part of a post:

      Another factor I would suggest is "Why buy a $11.99 CD when you can buy the three songs from the CD that you actually like for ~$1 each? How many times do you actually like every single song on a CD? I would contend that legal downloads are an essential component in any such study, and that there is a multiplier effect on revenue from legal downloads. I'd GUESS that it's in the range of 3X. It would be interesting to see a study of this:

      (total # of songs from CD downloaded)/((# of unique downloaders) X (# of songs on CD))

      This is going to be the biggest change the music industry is going to have to face, the inability to sell songs that buyers don't want just so they can get the songs they do want. In fact, I would not be surprised that in the future most "albums" will simply be collections of an artist's hit singles.

      With the return of the focus to the single, one disadvantage I can see is that there will be less "risky" music. Current albums do provide a place for an artist to try songs that might not have broad appeal, supported by the more popular songs.

  3. There has also been no new malls built since 2000 by Rooked_One · · Score: 1, Offtopic
    Thats what I heard at least. And ~120 odd of these malls have closed down to become places of business... and guess what most type of the business is? Low paying wage jobs with people who know about computers...

    Lets do some math..

    low paid people + people with computer knowledge (at least enough to fire up limewire) = low CD sales.

    anyone care to check my math here? Or could it also be said that we could have all had about 300 more CD's than we currently have now if gas prices weren't what they are?

  4. Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's great promotion, the problem is that since so much is easily availible it's also easier to filter through the garbage releases that are forgotten in two months. SO yes, i do think people buy less cds but the same good bands and bands that don't suck get the good sales.

    1. Re:Not really by marct22 · · Score: 1
      They should also correlate the radio station consolidation. Since ClearChannel and other big companies started buying up radio stations and airing pre-packaged shows (one DJ is aired at many different radio stations) coupled with controlled playlists, there are only so many songs a person hears in a month. Since most DJs are limited to playing a fixed songlist (or just popping in pre-recorded tapes of songs), most people don't hear a wide range of songs from different artists.

      Just because I may hear three different Britney Spears songs from the same CD doesn't mean I'm gonna buy that CD 3 times. That coupled with radio stations not announcing the song title/artist, you may like a song but never know who did it, especially if you don't have a computer handy to check radio station playlists.

      They should see if there's a correlation between the diversity (or lack of) of songs played by stations and see if that correlates to cd sales declining.

      that on top of crappy derivative songs/artists like Britney Spears/Backstreet boys and their successors.

    2. Re:Not really by CDTrave · · Score: 1

      You usually don't even need to look up the song title because you're bludgeoned over the head with it fifty times over the course of the five predictable choruses. Wouldn't want to lose a potential consumer over track name confusion!

  5. What about : increased suckage ==decreased sales? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    1) I have never downloaded a song for which I don't own a CD already
    2) I have bought maybe 2 CDs in the last year, vs. 20 a year in the early 90's

    This is mainly due to the high level of suckage by today's "musicians". Has anyone done a study that includes that correlation? Also I've built my collection the point where I have almost everything I want already. How does that figure in?

  6. Nonsense! by e2d2 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    How can people downloading music for free hurt music sales? It doesn't make sense!

    But seriously, does this shock anyone? If I'm getting the milk for free how is the cow gonna get paid? Or some shit like.

    1. Re:Nonsense! by LiquidCoooled · · Score: 1

      Actually, I am used to having the music for free all the time.
      Since I was a small boy music has been a part of my life.
      I used to go to sleep listening to it, I still drive to work with it, and I've never paid a single penny for it.

      I am of course talking about the radio.
      Any music I have purchased has been on the back of radio and peer play.

      --
      liqbase :: faster than paper
    2. Re:Nonsense! by Frymaster · · Score: 5, Insightful
      But seriously, does this shock anyone? If I'm getting the milk for free how is the cow gonna get paid?

      yeah! it's just like when the casette tape killed the recording industry and the video tape put all the movie theatres out of business and the radio wiped out record sales. we've know this connection for years! ever since the public library put all the publishers out of business.

      seriously. people buy cd's (and books and movies) as much for owning an artefact than for the actual content. people want to have personal libraries and large music collections and so they will buy books and movies. history proves it.

    3. Re:Nonsense! by powermung · · Score: 1
      not that i'm disagreeing with you but your analogies are less than perfect...


      movies in theater vs. your tiny tv = huge difference in screen size and sound quality
      records vs radio = lack of on-demand
      library vs bookstore = inconvenince of having to renew a book every a few weeks if you want to keep it

      cd vs any half decently ripped music file = Not much of a difference!
    4. Re:Nonsense! by TheSpoom · · Score: 2, Insightful

      CDs have the convenience of being able to access the music without having to search through a peer to peer filesharing service. Yet people do that anyway, because they want the music on their computers, and nobody offers legal MP3 downloads of music. (I won't accept AllOfMP3 as a "legal" service.)

      Here's a thought: If CD sales are being hurt, it's not because of online downloading.

      It's because the music industry won't cater to what their customers are asking for.

      And that means death to any business. Recording companies shouldn't get a bye simply because they're big.

      --
      It's better to vote for what you want and not get it than to vote for what you don't want and get it.
      - E. Debs
    5. Re:Nonsense! by tcc3 · · Score: 1

      His whole point is that the analogies are ridiculous. Yet these are actual arguments put forth by major copyright holders all through the 20th century. Everytime theres something new on the market that they perceive as a threat to their tidy pocket picking business model they freak out. It hasnt sunk them yet, and its not likley to. Eventually they will pull their heads out of the sand and find a 21st cetury way to make gobs of money. But until then they will whine about it like schoolgirls.

      Oh and he forgot the one about how records (wax cylider or victrola)will destroy sheet music sales! It will bring the industry to its knees!!!

    6. Re:Nonsense! by WilliamSChips · · Score: 1

      And yet CD sales still went up during the Napster days.

      --
      Please, for the good of Humanity, vote Obama.
    7. Re:Nonsense! by Andr+T. · · Score: 1

      If CD sales are being hurt, it's not because of online downloading.

      It's because the music industry won't cater to what their customers are asking for.


      I tottally agree. The industry still wanna use the laws against a new, big, fat, growing market, when they should be developing ways to hold it.
      People got used to have a zillion songs and they won't give that up easily. And yet, I think it could be perfectly done legally, everybody happy, end of story.

      --

      Any life is made up of a single moment, the moment in which a man finds out, once and for all, who he is.

    8. Re:Nonsense! by HuDongQing · · Score: 1

      "seriously. people buy cd's (and books and movies) as much for owning an artefact than for the actual content. people want to have personal libraries and large music collections and so they will buy books and movies. history proves it." You're right "t's just like when the casette tape killed the recording industry and the video tape put all the movie theatres out of business and the radio wiped out record sales. we've know this connection for years! ever since the public library put all the publishers out of business." You're wrong. The difference is that people (such as myself) want their music library in a format that is usefull to them, and CDs are no longer useful. This is because they need antiquated technology to use them. This is distinct from your examples since the casette tape didn't lead to the redundancy of the equipment used to listen to music in the medium it was soled (casette tapes). Like wise for video tapes and books. Using myself as an example (since its the one I'm most familiar with) I don't have a CD player except in my computer, and I find that inconvenient to use. Why would I have one? Music is available on a more convenient medium (its just not available for sale on that medium). If music shops would stop selling music on CDs and start selling music on flash disks or something similar, I'd probably start buying music again, since I could easily use it with the equipment I have. As it is, I'm not interested in storing music on large clunky objects which need to be manually swapped every time I want to listen to a different album, and I'm not interested in risking some DRM making my life difficult if I buy a CD and try to convert it to a medium I can use. I know itunes has music on a medium which is convenient to me, but I also want something I consider physical (as the parent explained). You see? I want it both ways, and I'm not willing to pay someone who's only offering one way. Incidently, I haven't registered a patent for the idea of selling music on flash cards, and I don't intend to. So anyone who feels like they might impliment the idea (or knows someone who might) feel free to go for it. I'll probably buy your product! (ps. sorry if there's no paragraph formatting in this post - it isn't showing up in the preview and I don't know why. This is the first time I've posted here, and I don't have time to try and work out the ins and outs of the /. forum)

    9. Re:Nonsense! by Benzido · · Score: 1
      "But seriously, does this shock anyone? If I'm getting the milk for free how is the cow gonna get paid?"

      That's the thing - the cow DOESN'T get paid, even when you pay for the milk. Only the farmer gets paid. In this sense, your milk-farming metaphor is a perfect fit for the music industry. Except that farmers at least gives the cows some grass to eat, and the cow doesn't haven't to take a part-time job as a waiter to cover its milk-making equipment, rent and food.

      What I want to know is, how are we going to swing it so that the cow finally gets paid?

    10. Re:Nonsense! by EzInKy · · Score: 1


      movies in theater vs. your tiny tv = huge difference in screen size and sound quality


      My 50 inch HDTV has a pretty good picture and I can adjust the audio of my 800 watt surround system to the levels that I prefer as I lounge on the couch sipping beers while enjoying my favorite flicks at the time of my choosing and gives me the ability to pause the film for the inevitable bladder emptying.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    11. Re:Nonsense! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      yeah! it's just like when the casette tape killed the recording industry and the video tape put all the movie theatres out of business and the radio wiped out record sales. we've know this connection for years! ever since the public library put all the publishers out of business.
      Nice straw man. The question posed was not whether file sharing was "killing" the music business. It was whether it was hurting the music business.
    12. Re:Nonsense! by danpsmith · · Score: 1
      seriously. people buy cd's (and books and movies) as much for owning an artefact than for the actual content. people want to have personal libraries and large music collections and so they will buy books and movies. history proves it.

      Maybe most people. For me, actually, the prime reason for MP3s is the fact that you can have a virtual collection which is more easily managed and without taking up actual physical space.

      I believe the same thing goes with movies. They should honestly make a media-less way to store things that you buy and still use them in conventional ways, as this is the way of the future IMO.

      Given that you aren't purchasing anything physical, there also has to be a break on price, a buck a song just isn't going to cut it in the longterm. Not when essentially I'm paying the tax to store your product in the way of hard drive space. The product itself isn't worth a dollar a song over manufacturing costs. Which was supposed to be the original reason CDs had to cost 20 bucks each...in case they forgot.

      I get just as much joy from my albums directory, and it's a lot bigger than most peoples' CD collections.

      --
      Judges and senates have been bought for gold; Esteem and love were never to be sold.
    13. Re:Nonsense! by dlim · · Score: 1
      nobody offers legal MP3 downloads of music.
      Two that come to my mind are Magnatune (tagline = "We are not evil") and eMusic. Granted, much of their libraries are made up of work from artists and labels smaller than the mega-corporations that fund the RIAA lawsuits, studies, and propoganda. But there are businesses that offer legal MP3 downloads of music, and I wish them all the best.

      The rest of your points, I agree with.
    14. Re:Nonsense! by TheSpoom · · Score: 1

      I knew someone would say that a few minutes after I posted the GP. Magnatune is awesome; I haven't looked at eMusic personally yet. But I am in general referring to members of the RIAA with my comments above.

      --
      It's better to vote for what you want and not get it than to vote for what you don't want and get it.
      - E. Debs
  7. Well, I know it doesn't hurt the ARTISTS. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You know, that's what the RIAA and the rest of the music industry say -- "You're stealing from the artist!"

    When you watch "MTV Cribz" and similar shows, do you feel like you're ripping the artists off? Do you? They live in huge castles with 30 bedrooms, 5 bathrooms, 2 swimming pools, they own a Hummer just for driving from the kitchen to the mail box.

    My guess is: No. It does not hurt the ARTISTS at all.

  8. Decreased CD purchases... by merreborn · · Score: 4, Insightful

    But of course, increased online digital music sales couldn't possibly have anything to do with *that* could they?

    Lots of things have changed in the last 10 years. P2P fileswapping is one of them. iTunes is another.

    1. Re:Decreased CD purchases... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Due to the poor economy many of us turned to alternative forms of entertainment..

      puppet theater!

      jk. I stopped buying, because after college+part-time job, I got a full time job and stopped worrying about buying those things and invested in my portfolio, car, tv, vacations, etc.... I just listened to Internet radio and borrowed from friends or the library.

    2. Re:Decreased CD purchases... by CodeMasterPhilzar · · Score: 1


      Also, I wonder if they considered any correlation between people purchasing a computer and then just spending their time and money on other things? You know, computer software, upgrades, surfing the net, playing games. Maybe music just isn't as important to these people anymore and drops further down their time/money budget?

      --
      --- Just another Code-Monkey
    3. Re:Decreased CD purchases... by ptbarnett · · Score: 1
      Lots of things have changed in the last 10 years. P2P fileswapping is one of them. iTunes is another.

      For me, it's the easy availability of commercial-free music.

      When not at a client, I work in a home office. When I had a Dish Network receiver, I tuned to one of the music channels. Now that I've switched to Verizon FIOS TV, I do the same -- just a different set of channels. I let it play in the background for most of the day.

      I ripped some of my CDs (most of which I've had for YEARS) into a handful of discs full of MP3's to fill the disc changer in my car, but I rarely listen to them -- because I have an XM radio receiver. If I'm bored with XM's music, I listen to one of the three different comedy channels.

      I haven't been buying CDs because I'm paying subscription fees that provide the all the content I want.

      The biggest error that I see in the methodology is the presumption that "owning a computer" means the owner is "engaging in file sharing". But, even setting that aside, any correlation between owning a computer and reducing CD purchases could be caused by a simple shift in priorities: a person with limited disposable income can afford CDs, but not a computer. During the measurement period, computers were relatively expensive, compared to now.

      Once someone has the means to purchase a computer, CD purchases may fall off for a lot of reasons that aren't even related to the presence of a computer.

  9. The music sucks by nsanders · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Said it before, say it again. It's not the Internet, it's the product. Music today sucks compared to years ago. I just have no desire to pay $18 for a CD when I could buy the DVD with full video for the same price.

    The same applies to movies. Torrents aren't killing your ticket sales.. Your crappy movies are killing ticket sales.

    "Honey, do these jeans make my butt look fat?"
    "No, your fat butt makes your butt look fat."

    See the concept?

    1. Re:The music sucks by Turn-X+Alphonse · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Not to go against the Borg known as Slashdotters... but here you go..

      Music today is no better nor worse than yesterday. You remember the good stuff and forget the crap, the same way I remember the good 90s music and not the crap.. That is how things work. You remember the good and discard the crap.

      As you get older you learn about music and what's good and bad.. You learn yourself and your tastes, I'm sure you can understand that.. but when you're 15 you're still a young guy who will follow groups a bit more.. learn a bit more and such..

      Music didn't change my friend, YOU changed.

      --
      I like muppets.
    2. Re:The music sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't suck, you are just to old! (so am I so I know)

    3. Re:The music sucks by kaufmanmoore · · Score: 1

      Amen, it looks like the top 2 albums this week will be Justin Timberlake's solo production and Clay Aiken...'nuff said

    4. Re:The music sucks by Kenja · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If the music sucks. Why do you feel the need to download it without its creators permission?

      --

      "Have you ever thought about just turning off the TV, sitting down with your kids, and hitting them?"
    5. Re:The music sucks by Volante3192 · · Score: 1

      Music didn't change my friend, YOU changed.

      So what you're saying is REM and The Killers are the same thing, and the reason I loathe the latter is that I've changed?...

    6. Re:The music sucks by shark72 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Said it before, say it again. It's not the Internet, it's the product. Music today sucks compared to years ago."

      This is a constant. People approaching middle age in the 1950s claimed that modern music sucked compared to music of previous decades. As did people in the 1920s and 1870s.

      People who believe in the quality of music of past generations vs. today's music are often quite certain that they are correct in an objective sense, despite the overwhelming evidence to the contrary. Nonetheless, this phenomenon is so common that there is a word to describe it: nostalgia.

      I'm aware that this provides a quandary for P2P fans: if "today's music sucks" is a constant over T, then it's not a significant contributor to declining music sales. Another sticky issue is that the top pirated tracks match up with the top sold tracks pretty closely. "Today's music sucks" is not driving P2P fans to download old stuff in lieu of new stuff. The demand for the new stuff is strong; P2P simply provides another channel.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    7. Re:The music sucks by maxume · · Score: 1

      It seems like it has changed a little bit. The Ashley Simpson/snl thing should have pretty much ended her, instead, her 'fans' ate it up. People are somewhat more interested in being spoonfed at the moment than they have been in other recent moments.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    8. Re:The music sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Music today is no better nor worse than yesterday.

      Maybe, but we're talking decades, not one lousy day. Jeez, get with the program.
    9. Re:The music sucks by grumpyman · · Score: 1
      Well, music compares to how many years ago? During the time when you were ~16-25? Everybody who's past that age have the same comment about music. They say whatever they listen to 10/15/20 years ago is much better. I'll guarantee 10/15/20 years later they'll tell their kids about the same thing. What did your parents told you 10/15/20 years ago about your music?


      Mind that not everybody listens to 'mainstream' stuff. Have you dig around independents lately? The problem for people pass that young age, they don't have much time to search for such a thing.

    10. Re:The music sucks by Firehed · · Score: 3, Insightful

      We're not. They're just assuming we are when their sales suck. Sure, in some cases we download to sample it but wouldn't have bought the CD anyways (or decide we like it and actually DO buy the CD), but only those among us with the most bandwidth and the biggest hard drives download pure crap solely because it was available.

      --
      How are sites slashdotted when nobody reads TFAs?
    11. Re:The music sucks by RsG · · Score: 1

      Where did he say he downloaded it?

      I neither download, nor buy music. Nothing I hear on the radio these days is worth my bandwidth or money. Furthermore, I do not have any desire to see my money go toward paying industry lawyers to sue people.

      Now, if there are enough people like me, then sales will drop, right? How is that distinguishable from sales dropping due to piracy?

      Moreover, there are plenty of other /.ers who claim that it's the price relative to quality that's making piracy attractive (not saying I agree with that, but it bears mentioning). Anything can be worthwhile if it's "free" (I put free in quotes because I don't consider time/bandwidth worthless, but YMMV). So the "if it sucks, why steal it" arguement really doesn't make a whole lot of sense even if the GP is a buckaneer.

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    12. Re:The music sucks by grumpyman · · Score: 3, Insightful

      DITTO. Remember what our parents/adults said about the music we listened to back then.

    13. Re:The music sucks by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      What makes you think everything that gets downloaded is new? The vast majority of my music is stuff from the 60s and 70s. And I'm 22, so it's not as if I'm a nostalgic baby-boomer or something.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    14. Re:The music sucks by jawtheshark · · Score: 1

      "Honey, do these jeans make my butt look fat?"

      "No, your fat butt makes your butt look fat."

      You clearly aren't married. A conversation like this would end in your death and your wife being acquitted for a crime in passion. The correct answer is: "I love you"... Just that you know...

      --
      Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    15. Re:The music sucks by Bull+SR · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well, the way people are exposed to music has changed during the time period in question. Consolidation in the radio industry has led to terrible choice for the consumer. The perceived suckage isn't so much that good music isn't getting made, but it's harder for the non-aficionado to discover the signal in all that noise.

      So, now we have the Internet to discover the good stuff, along with satellite radio. The Internet user downloads what he discovers at time of discovery, so no need to purchase a CD. I think the average satellite subscriber probably does buy CDs based on what they hear. However, when you have channels giving you the variety that you crave and you are already paying for it, why would you need to recreate that library when you are paying to have it on tap?

      So, we have driven the discriminating listener to actively pursue their musical interests, which is probably lowering the frequency that they bother to explore, and they are possibly already paying for that privilege. All of this leads to decreased likelihood of follow-on CD sales.

      The notion that an album needs to exist as a whole seems to be a casualty of this change as well.

    16. Re:The music sucks by OakDragon · · Score: 1
      Music didn't change my friend, YOU changed.
      So what you're saying is REM and The Killers are the same thing, and the reason I loathe the latter is that I've changed?...

      I thought he was saying that you don't remember REM's contemporaries that were the equivalent of The Killers in those days. And in 10 years, you won't remember The Killers.

    17. Re:The music sucks by div_2n · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Music today is no better nor worse than yesterday.

      I think I'll be the one to decide that when it comes to spending my money since this is a highly subjective matter.

      I don't buy CDs nearly as much as I used to. Radio stations play the same music they've played for about 5 or 6 years now. I find myself turning the channel to talk radio more often than not because I'm tired of hearing the same music over and over and over again.

      Those are facts. We can argue the cause of the facts if you want.

      Not buying CDs

      1) I'll admit that music isn't as big in my life now as it was say in college. So perhaps age has something to do with it.

      2) I'm older and wiser and whenever I even think about buying a CD (which isn't often) I think of better ways to spend my money.

      3) Perhaps I'm falling out of touch with whatever is the fad of the day. (See #2)

      Same music over and over

      1) Perhaps there really aren't that many good new songs being released. (i.e. today's music really IS worse)

      2) Maybe whomever is in charge of the music at the stations in my area are lazy.

      3) What if (wait for it . . .) the music industry decision makers have lost touch with what's good and let great talent sit unnoticed?

      While I'm thinking about it (since #3 in the second group got me on this train of thought), I'll go ahead and say what I'll wager has crossed the mind of anyone who has more than three brain cells holding hands and singing "kum ba ya". File sharing kills off bands that suck. It just does. If you download and sample the other songs from a band besides the hit playing constantly on the radio and find out that they are a one hit wonder, are you going to fork out the full price of a CD for that one song? I wouldn't.

      Artists are (or should be) afraid of file sharing because it exposes their weakness at making a tight album. Music execs hate it because (among other things) it allows people to easily sample before they buy. I say easily because it seems to me that if someone takes the time to go to the music store, they would be more likely to buy something than if they didn't.

      In conclusion, I'll say that file sharing won't kill music or bankrupt talented artists. If the music industry is smart, it won't even hurt their bottom line that much. But I'll tell you what it will kill--the album as we know it.

      Don't get too upset about it. I suspect that the overall quality of the average song will actually improve since bands will quit messing around with songs that nobody likes.

      Just $0.02.

    18. Re:The music sucks by zerosix · · Score: 1

      Because He didn't know it sucked until he listened to it and didn't want to buy the CD just to find out...

      --
      Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former. ~Albert Einstein
    19. Re:The music sucks by Bull+SR · · Score: 1

      I am not a downloader. But, it used to be you could hear something on the radio that interested you enough that you'd take the gamble buying the CD in hopes of discovering more songs that you'd like. What has changed is that the consumer is finding better bets than buying the CD. If you make the would-be consumer spend more of their own time and energy finding the songs they like (through active Internet activity and downloading) then this might lead to a sense of entitlement once the songs are aquired. I'm not saying it is a tenable position, but the previous habit of plunking down money for the CD was partially paying for the consumer's trading of their time for discovery.

    20. Re:The music sucks by shark72 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "Amen, it looks like the top 2 albums this week will be Justin Timberlake's solo production and Clay Aiken...'nuff said"

      Here some of the top tracks of the year:

      • 1999: "Believe" by Cher
      • 1996: That fucking Macarena song
      • 1991: "Everything I Do, I Do For You" by Bryan Adams (Messrs. Bush and McCain are currently disputing whether this song is an acceptable means of torture.)
      • 1986: "That's What Friends are For" by Dionne Warwick
      • 1982: "Physical" by Olivia Newton-John (#2 was "Eye of the Tiger" by Survivor.)
      • 1979: "My Sharona" by The Knack
      • 1978: "Shadow Dancing" by Andy Gibb
      • 1973: "Tie A Yellow Ribbon 'Round The Old Oak Tree" by Tony Orlando and Dawn
      • 1966: "The Ballad of the Green Berets" by Staff Sargeant Barry Sadler (for those of you who remember this song: I am very, very sorry if this is stuck in your head for the rest of the day.)

      I hope this helps clear things up, and that you're a little closer to understanding why people chuckle when younger people think that "today's music sucks" is some sort of unique epiphany.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    21. Re:The music sucks by db32 · · Score: 1

      I think what he is saying is that N'sync is the same thing as New Kids on the Block..and you only know that N'sync sucks now because you forgot about ,New Kids on the Block (until I just mentioned it of coarse, and if you have any taste you will loathing me for those aweful memories).

      --
      The only change I can believe in is what I find in my couch cushions.
    22. Re:The music sucks by Volante3192 · · Score: 1

      And in 10 years, you won't remember The Killers.

      If not naturally, then by lobotomy, I'll make sure of that.

    23. Re:The music sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Music today is no better nor worse than yesterday. You remember the good stuff and forget the crap, the same way I remember the good 90s music and not the crap.


      Ice Ice Baby.... ;-)
    24. Re:The music sucks by mattgreen · · Score: 1

      Down with another Slashdot meme.

      People who complain that "today's music sucks" usually show themselves to be too lazy to research and find new bands that would be interesting to them. It is their loss. It takes a decent amount of time to comb through the huge amount of music out there and determine what you like. If you're not going to do it, then don't complain that you don't like what you're being fed on TV and radio. But it is a shame such tripe gets moderated up as if it actually means something.

      I buy new CDs far too frequently, and when I go, I have to restrain myself from buying too many. My tastes are not what you'd call expansive, either. I listen to progressive rock mostly, with a little bit of pop and breakbeat thrown in for good measure.

      Now, if the actual quality of music is declining, I'm sure someone can point us to a controlled experiment that indicates this.

    25. Re:The music sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I HAVE changed but the music industry has too. It can churn out tons more new artists than it did back in "the day." But the music industry learned (methinks,) that to really make a lot of cash it had to make the mediocre artist palatable and pump out tons of half-rate material. This makes the Record execs rich while doing little for "Art."

    26. Re:The music sucks by noidentity · · Score: 1

      Music may not be getting worse, but the mastering techniques are.

    27. Re:The music sucks by Some_Llama · · Score: 1

      ran outta mod points, please mod parent up for this statement:

      "File sharing kills off bands that suck. It just does. If you download and sample the other songs from a band besides the hit playing constantly on the radio and find out that they are a one hit wonder, are you going to fork out the full price of a CD for that one song? I wouldn't."

      This is exactly the reason I bought a Bare Naked Ladies CD (although the opposite side of his point) I saw a documentary on the band, liked what I saw and heard so I downloaded some of their songs that I found when searching the band name, came to love their stuff and went out the next day and bought a greatest hits CD.

      But his point is also true, there are songs that I have heard on VH1 (they do a top20 countdown on saturday mornings) where I find them catchy, go download some other songs from the band's new album and find out the whole CD is mediocre so I pass...

      If I find a band I like and an album they have made which has a good compilation of songs I will buy the CD just to add it to my collection...

      Too many times have I been burned on a CD with 1 or 2 hits and 10 other dogs...

      Of course you can never go wrong with a Pink Floyd CD (any of them) why don't bands put the energy into a full CD worthy of purchase anymore (shakes cane at monitor, mutters about lawn).

    28. Re:The music sucks by Some_Llama · · Score: 1

      "The vast majority of my music is stuff from the 60s and 70s"

      I have a lot of this stuff also (well 80's and 90's), songs i listened to over and over on the radio, singles I purchased on tape, I consider them part of my cultural heritage and I am partly responsible for their success.

      I find it offensive for record execs to call me a criminal because I decided to download "Come On Eileen" by dexy and the midnight runners and relive some of my childhood.

      There is a point where art becomes part of culture and (at least to me) seems to be immoral to continue to try and squeeze every last penny they can out of the art from people whose cultural references/upbringing are made up of this art.

      (*note the term art is used in a subjective way here, especially when referring to Dexy and the Midnight Runners :P)

    29. Re:The music sucks by presidentbeef · · Score: 1

      Same music over and over
      1) Perhaps there really aren't that many good new songs being released. (i.e. today's music really IS worse)

      2) Maybe whomever is in charge of the music at the stations in my area are lazy.

      3) What if (wait for it . . .) the music industry decision makers have lost touch with what's good and let great talent sit unnoticed?


      Or you could just be getting older? You've heard it all already?

      And, if you are listening to top 40 radio, then you are going to hear the same songs over and over regardless. Even you listen to an 'oldies' station (50s-60s-70s), you will hear the same songs over and over, and think how many songs they have to choose from! Why do they play the same songs all the time?

      Just something to think about, I suppose.

      --
      Everything I need to know about copyrights I learned from Slashdot.
    30. Re:The music sucks by Lobster+Quadrille · · Score: 1

      for the record, I'm 22 and today's music sucks.
      that said, I do think there's plenty of good stuff out there, but I don't hear anything that even compares to vintage dylan, doors, the cure or the clash.

      --
      "The cup is in turn designed for holding hot or cold liquids, and has an open rim and closed base." --US Patent #5425497
    31. Re:The music sucks by vga_init · · Score: 1

      Music didn't change my friend, YOU changed.

      I'm going to have to agree with you about that. Over the years I have fine-tuned my listening habits. In defense of my younger self, what I listen to now is not worlds apart from what I used to like, but merely a logical extension of it--I just took what I liked and felt my way into side-genres.

      As I investigate new kinds of music, I find myself drawing from artists in the genre all throughout its history. For example, when I started listening to progressive rock, I did heavy listening to bands that were more than 30 years old alongside new releases.

      Since I knew what I liked, all of it was good to me. Usually it's easier to find old bands that are good because their reputation precedes them. With contemporary music you have to take more chances because, to put it in technical terms, there is less metadata available.

    32. Re:The music sucks by mrchaotica · · Score: 1
      There is a point where art becomes part of culture and (at least to me) seems to be immoral to continue to try and squeeze every last penny they can out of the art from people whose cultural references/upbringing are made up of this art.

      Exactly! And I think that point is, say, 17 years after the art is produced, maybe.

      Hmm... something about that seems familiar, but I can't quite put my finger on it...

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    33. Re:The music sucks by IWantMoreSpamPlease · · Score: 1

      And something else-

      How do those in charge of measuring such things, determine the money "lost" if I buy a cd used?

      In other words, say I download music illegally.

      Okay, RIAA loses money your guess is as good as mine as to how much)

      Or-

      I buy my music used, in which case the RIAA "technically" loses money (i.e. they didn't get a percentage of the sale)

      So, where is the difference between downloading and buying used?

      --
      So rise up, all ye lost ones, as one, we'll claw the clouds.
    34. Re:The music sucks by Galactic+Dominator · · Score: 0

      No, the music is worse today. Modern artists are able to succeed while being less talented because they can bring other forms of entertainment into the package. Of course, to an extent it's always been that way, but it's growing because of the complexity of our culture. I do however understand your base point and mostly agree with it, but I'm not sure how anyone can make the argument recent music isn't any worse relative to the top 40 at any given time. Have you heard an extended amount of recent music? I can only assume you haven't if your making assertions like that.

      --
      brandelf -t FreeBSD /brain
    35. Re:The music sucks by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      I can only speak for myself, but I listen to more stuff from the year 1990 than from the whole of the 2000's. For the "old" music I remember the good stuff and forget the crap, and as for the music of today, I discard everything. So to me, music did change, but that's just me tho..

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    36. Re:The music sucks by kimvette · · Score: 1

      I don't buy CDs any more (not many anyway) for a similar reason that I'm punting Windows from my personal systems and my place of business:

      I disagree with the RIAA's practices, both how they treat the consumer and how they treat their own artists. I don't mind the $12.00 to $17.00 price per CD, and if something really good comes out (such as On An Island I'll buy it. Otherwise, I avoid listening to pop stations. I listen mainly to classical, classic rock, and talk radio stations. Why? Because if I avoid exposing myself to new material, I won't know what is out there. If I don't know what's out there, I won't be tempted to buy, beg, borrow, or steal the music. FUCK THE RIAA. I am not your customer. I was buying CDs like mad during the reign of Napster. Why? Because I was randomly downloading lots of tracks, listening to it, thinking "I like this" then going out to buy it. No more. Ever since you killed off Napster and started suing your own customers, I QUIT buying CDs. Oh wait, I take that back - I did buy a CD last month - from an independent band. I previously had ALL of their music for free (pre-mastered tracks, some unmixed instrumental-only tracks, and so forth) but I insisted on paying for the final CD like everyone else. They put a lot of work into the production and they deserve to be paid for their work.

      I bought a lot of CDs while Napster was at its peak, due DIRECTLY to p2p file sharing. I discovered some current pop I wasn't hearing on local stations, I discovered I actually not only do not hate Jazz, but actually LIKE it (bought Tijuana Brass' Whipped Cream and Other Delights). During that time (12 to 18 months) I bought MORE CDS than I bought in the previous 13 years I owned CD players. I was buying on average a CD every day to every other day during that time.

      Now, when it comes to movies: the MPAA hasn't been quite so evil. I've been buying anywhere from 5 to 15 DVDs a month - sometimes more. I download movies on occasion - such as THX1138 a few months ago. I do that when I catch bits and pieces of a movie on cable and it's not rescheduled again in the near future, and think I might be interested in owning it. So I download, watch a bit of it, and if I like it, I buy it. That was the case with THX1138 - I saw small clips of it on cable, but it wasn't being run for a long time so I downloaded it, watched maybe half of it, then went out and bought it a few days later. The MPAA member lost NOTHING due to that download - in fact they made a sale as a direct result of the existence of thepiratebay. Now, when the MPAA starts behaving more like the RIAA and becomes more aggressive, I will simply stop buying DVDs. Instead, I will exercise fair use and simply timeshift off of cable. If I miss a movie and catch it partway through, I'll wait for it to come back into Skinemax', HBOs's, showtimes, etc. rotations and timeshift it then. Until then, I try before I buy on occasion and I spend a lot of money on movies. This month I think I bought maybe five DVDs - last month I bought nearly 20. Next month I'll probably buy 8 or 9 DVDs.

      RIAA, these are my entertainment dollars speaking. Instead of splitting up my budget between movies and music (I love good music. I paid a lot of money for a very high-end receiver and speakers so I can hear all the details in the music) I'm spending all of my home entertainment media budget on movies. I do realize your members get a small piece of that due to soundtrack royalties, etc. but it in no way matches what you would be receiving were I to go back to buying CDs. You have alienated me, and the only way for your members to win me back is:

      1. Forget about DRM
      2. Acknowledge FAIR USE
      3. Acknowledge that when I buy a CD. I OWN IT, including the CONTENT. I am simply barred from infringing on copyright law (FAIR USE exceptions aside) by distributing it (again, aside from FAIR USE exclusions)
      4. STOP TREATING PAYING CUSTOMERS LIKE CRIMINALS (See point #1, above).
      5. To the point: Stop being assholes. Treat your customers like customers.

      --
      The Christian Right is Neither (Christian nor right). See: Matthew 23, Matthew 25, Ezekiel 16:48-50
    37. Re:The music sucks by banuk · · Score: 1

      If that's true then there should be a whole new generation of kids buying music, but since music sucks and even the kids know it, sales are down

    38. Re:The music sucks by Technician · · Score: 1

      Music today is no better nor worse than yesterday. You remember the good stuff and forget the crap, the same way I remember the good 90s music and not the crap.. That is how things work. You remember the good and discard the crap.

      Maybe true, but in the 1970's a parental advisory on the cover for the vulgar content wasn't required. The first foul language LP I can remember is Geroge Carlyn's "The Seven Words you can Never say on TV" on the Class Clown LP released in 1972.

      Some history on the seven words being broadcast and the legal response are here.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seven_dirty_words

      --
      The truth shall set you free!
    39. Re:The music sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A false argument, even if Slashdotters weren't (unlikely) as smart as you - or 'borg' - today's music could still suck. And suck it does. Who was the Hendrix of the nineties? The Sinatra? The Lennon? Who undeniably combined unquestioned musical abilities and top-tier fame? Shania? The Spice Girls? Lincoln Biscuit ot Limp Park?

      Give me an eff'in break, only youth and ignorance could without embarrassment pull out that old canard of 'every generation's music sucked equally'. The slightest objective reflection makes it obvious that's near impossible on principle. Think about, in the 60 years prior to the Beatles the world went through swing, jazz, big band, country, the birth of rock... one completely new genre after another defined generations each with a legacy of genius. Since then, and especially since the birth of MTV, the preceding generations have with few notable exceptions done little more than re-hash the sixties and seventies over and over, changes in production being more notable than musical content. Give it a rest already, I'm old and I'm bored to tears by your complete lack of adventure, innovation and balls for crying out loud. Do something!

    40. Re:The music sucks by Firehed · · Score: 1

      Well, buying used almost certainly hurts them more. It shows that you were willing to pay for the product. For me, I'd be happy to pay full price if it's good, but I refuse to do so since I have no intention of giving the RIAA a cent, even more loss. While I don't buy CDs used, either, I'd certainly be willing to pay a few bucks LESS than retail if it's in good condition.

      I suppose that, at least in theory, buying used means that the first owner can no longer play the music, and if s/he wants to do so again, must re-purchase the CD. Of course in an age of $30 DVD burners and 15c blanks, this probably isn't the case most of the time, but at least there's the chance. With downloads, you make as many copies as you want, and for free. Still, piracy is all phantom profits - they have no way of knowing whether I'd have bought the CD were downloading not an option (most often, no). With CD swapping/used sales, they can be fairly sure that I would have paid for the original, given that a certain condition is met (in my case, the RIAA isn't backing the label; for most people, if it were cheaper to buy new).

      So with people like me, it's lose/lose. However I get my music, I'm making sure that the RIAA isn't getting my money. I feel that it's a genuine shame when I can't support the artists financially (at least not through CD sales), but when push comes to shove, my oppressors aren't going to win the conflicts-of-interests. I'd be delighted to PayPal the artist ten bucks (or more), but seeing as that's effectively admitting to stealing their work (or so the RIAA says), I'd rather not open up that potential legal can of worms. Any sensible artist would be happy to have things done that way - they'd see more profit per CD (on an order of magnitude or more, I'd wager), and they'd know that their fans support them. But then the RIAA decides that doing things that way isn't cool, and not only sues me but demands that the artist give *them* the money, since more likely than not, the label (and, thus, the RIAA) holds the copyright to the work, since it'd been signed over as part of the contract.

      Going OT, certainly. But back at the original question, used sales almost certainly means lost new sales, where piracy doesn't even come close (a possible sale, but quite unlikely).

      --
      How are sites slashdotted when nobody reads TFAs?
    41. Re:The music sucks by Henk+Poley · · Score: 1

      You remember the good stuff and forget the crap

      How true, see this excellent TED talk (the other talks are great too!):
      http://www.ted.com/tedtalks/tedtalksplayer.cfm?key =d_gilbert

      It also talks about how bad we are at predicting what will make use happier, and that it doesn't seem to matter anyways.

    42. Re:The music sucks by Henk+Poley · · Score: 1

      About the "sticky issue". I'd like to add another datapoint, the Global Track Chart of Last.fm. Acording to Alexa they reach 1 on every 500 people, so Last.fm's data is pretty good. From these charts, only "Justin Timberlake - SexyBack" from the top-10 "pirated tracks" is in this week's top-200 of Last.fm.

      So, maybe.. what the current top tracks are, isn't that important. How they compare to the long tail (everything else), might. If the current top-10/50/200 really points to big chunk of exploitable market, then of course the music studios should go for it. But quite possibly there's much more to be had from a longer vision than just "what's cool now".

      A Last.fm like site that would mail me hardcopy's to keep of stuff I like and might like, on a subscription basis. I think that could work really well. Last.fm already links to Amazon.com, they might as well take the next step.

    43. Re:The music sucks by Stinky+Cheese+Man · · Score: 1

      Then why are kids today listening to 30+ year-old music (Led Zeppelin, Hendrix, etc.) and thinking it's cool? No kids I knew were listening to 1940's music in the 70's.

    44. Re:The music sucks by biovoid · · Score: 1

      I'm not intending to pick on one point in your post.. I agree with the rest of what you said. It just irks me when people say that there is no good music available these days. My post is aimed more towards them than you - I just used your point as an example. Having said that...

      Maybe whomever is in charge of the music at the stations in my area are lazy.

      If you're relying on the guy in charge of the music at the stations in your area to find your music for you, then I suggest you are the lazy one.

      Due to the widespread availability of cheap technology - PCs, instruments, recording equipment, etc - there is MORE good music available today than there was 10 or 20 years ago. You just appear to be looking in the wrong place.

      And before you ask me to show you where all the good music is, let me remind you...

      I think I'll be the one to decide that when it comes to spending my money since this is a highly subjective matter.

      Go out there and listen to some internet radio stations. Don't rely on corporations telling you what is good or bad - LISTEN to the music and find what you like. I'm telling you, the music is out there - you're just not looking hard enough.

    45. Re:The music sucks by div_2n · · Score: 1

      Go out there and listen to some internet radio stations.

      Right. When I'm driving.

      If you're relying on the guy in charge of the music at the stations in your area to find your music for you, then I suggest you are the lazy one.

      I never said I was relying. I only commented on what I heard while driving. Satellite radio fares little better in my experience. I thought about subscribing until I rode with someone on 10 hour trip. The radio station we were listening to literally cycled through the same loop of songs in the same exact order after a few hours. What kind of crap is that? At least randomize the songs.

      there is MORE good music available today than there was 10 or 20 years ago.

      That is too ambiguous.

      You just appear to be looking in the wrong place.

      Of course. But since the same places I'm looking represent the vast majority of distribution channels, so is everyone else. The internet set the stage and file sharing stole the show. The distribution channels that want to control the majority of music were blind-sided by it. Remember, that's what this whole thread is about anyway--whether file sharing hurts the music business.

  10. i think it helps cd sales by brunascle · · Score: 4, Insightful

    i wrote an albeit sloppy paper on this a few years ago. i found that there were several spikes in cd sales. one was during the heyday of napster. after napster was shut down, cd sales started to slow down. they picked up again as iTunes was gaining in popularity.

    personally, i know for a fact that i wouldnt have a huge chunk of my (legally puchased) music collection had it not been for file sharing, simply because i would have never heard the bands before.

    1. Re:i think it helps cd sales by Svet-Am · · Score: 1

      I feel the exact same way about Satellite Radio. Thanks to Sirius, I have gained exposure to artists that I never would've had the opportunity to hear before. Hence, I've made a lot more music purchases that are *explicitly targetted* at the kind of music I like.

      --
      [move .sig! for great justice, take off every .sig!]
    2. Re:i think it helps cd sales by Moofie · · Score: 1

      "i wrote an albeit sloppy paper on this a few years ago"

      You wrote a pretty damn sloppy sentence right there. You need two adjectives to use one "albeit". Here, let's try it.

      Your sentence as written is meaningless, albeit short.

      See, there's a contrast between "meaningless" (which I used perjoratively), and "short" (which I used in a complimentary fashion, since I think you'd do very well to write more short sentences with fewer words. Note that this last sentence is an example of humorous redundancy. This is an advanced technique, and I'd avoid it if I were you. Since I am not you, I use it liberally and a lot of times.).

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    3. Re:i think it helps cd sales by that_xmas · · Score: 1

      Here's the money quote from the article:
      On the other hand, in 2001, the year that Napster closed, people with computers increased their CD buying by 19 percent while non-computer owners held steady.
      2001 was also the year the Napster had peaked in it's usage. You can interpret this two ways, either Napster users suddenly went out and bought a lot of music once Napster was shut down, or Napster users were buying lots more music than non-users. I'd bet on the latter case.
      Also, the "modern music is crap" argument isn't correct. It is more that modern music isn't worth buying if your only getting two good songs and 8 filler songs for $20. Some music publishers realize this, some don't.

  11. WTF? by khasim · · Score: 5, Insightful
    During 2002 computer owners' CD sales decreased by $4.79 a year, and by $5.55 in 2003. Those without computers only decreased by $0.80 and $0.22, respectively.

    And even an inexpensive CD (been out a few years, on a discount site, etc) is about $7.99 today.

    That's less than 1 cheap CD a year. That's barely 1 brand new ($15.99) CD every 3 years.

    WTF?

    And the 80 cent decrease? That's 1 less CD purchased every 10 years.
    1. Re:WTF? by shark72 · · Score: 1

      I think your confusion lies in the fact that TFA omitted the word "average" in the sentence you quote. These are averages of consumer behavior, not typical consumers. It's fun with averages that allow the average family to have (say) 2.3 children, despite the fact that most people count their children in whole numbers.

      However, the write-up omits so much of the background that it's useless out of context. My music purchases per year have probably increased five-fold since the advent of CDs, yet my CD purchases have dropped dramatically. This is because I buy music a track at a time online, and I do not pirate.

      The bottom line is that this is nothing new. People will continue either produce or tout studies that back up their point of view, and the earth will continue to orbit the sun. Microsoft will continue to tout studies that make Windows look better than Linux. The record companies will continue to show off studies that indicate that most pirates do so to save money, and file sharing advocates will continue to quote studies that imply that P2P is the artist's best friend.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    2. Re:WTF? by joshsnow · · Score: 1

      Exactly. This so called study is a lot of tosh. There's an implied $0.76 per year decrease, so by now the computer owners are spending $7.83 less than at the start of 2002. (2004 $6.31 2005 $7.07) Of course, being computer owners, they're probably spending more than $7.07 more per year with iTunes, so it's all moot. Filesharing isn't damaging CD sales, anyway. The RIAA is.

    3. Re:WTF? by mrchaotica · · Score: 2, Funny
      This is because I buy music a track at a time online, and I do not pirate.

      It's a good thing, too -- I hear the Coast Guard takes a dim view of piracy these days!

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

  12. The answer always depends upon the question by LoadWB · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Right. We download a song from an album that we *think* we want, then we say "Man, this sucks. I'm glad I didn't buy this shit."

    End of story. So, yes, you could answer that music downloads hurt music sales, but that only identifies the symptom and ignores the actual problem.

    1. Re:The answer always depends upon the question by ith(4mor3) · · Score: 1

      Similarly, the "I wish I hadn't bought this CD" effect is why I've giving up on commercial music (especially mainstream music). I got tired of buying CD albums of which only a fraction of it's tracks were enjoyable and of which I would eventually get tired.

      Then I discovered mp3.com (before they sold out), other mp3 hosting sites, and netlabels in the late 90's, and my purchasing of CD's quickly came to and end. Well, almost. I found 4 dronology tracks of the Stars of the Lid at Epitonic and enjoyed the free tracks so much I bought their double-disk Tired Sounds of Stars of the Lid (the only CD purchase I made in 2005).

      My point is that if you want the music industry to change for the better, it might help to give up on their music while exploring all the legally free music distributed online. Downloading copies of their music only shows them there's still a demand for their stale product, which encourages the RIAA to simply try to channel that demand back to CD sales instead of forcing the music industry to evolve and innovate.

      As for myself, I've found enough artists and netlabels (and netlabels at the Internet Archive) that freely distribute music only through the Internet (netaudio) that I don't care if the industry fixes itself or not, and I enjoy searching for new sources of netaudio: it's like online treasure hunting. Sure, there's a lot of questionable and non-creative music online, but there's also a greater diversity of music online than there is in stores.

      Just like there are good FOSS alternatives to commercial software, there are good netaudio alternatives to commercial music. And if you can't find anything you like there's plenty of free audio software to help you fix that problem, because problems don't fix themselves, and few of those that cause them bother to address their problems as long as they can get away with it.

      But if you really want commercial music and need to listen to it before buying it, there are always sites like Napster's that allow you to listen to full albums a limited number of times. Then at least the music industry will know that you didn't buy any tracks or CD's not because you had downloaded free copies but because you didn't like what you heard.

  13. of course by stocke2 · · Score: 1

    because we all know that those evil people with computers buy them just so they can steal music, and it has nothing to do with the fact that CD's are terribly overpriced, I mean how many other businesses could keep their prices artificially inflated, despite the fact that manufacturing costs have dropped dranatically since the CD came out. It is a brilliant move,
    1. inflate prices
    2. when people stop buying your product complain that people are stealing from you
    3. use the supposed theft as an explanation for your artificially high prices
    4. sue anyone who listens to music(cause they must have stolen it, I mean who would pay those prices)

    --
    A Smith & Wesson beats four aces -- Murphy's Law of Poker
    1. Re:of course by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you forgot steps 5 and 6...

    2. Re:of course by Carlio · · Score: 1

      Every step in that is worryingly both ???? and profit.

  14. analogy by RM6f9 · · Score: 1

    File sharing is to music sales as VHS and DVDs are to theater ticket sales.. oh, wait, they've posted new records? Nevermind. Nothing to see here...

    --
    Take the 90-Day Challenge! http://rwmurker.bodybyvi.com/
    1. Re:analogy by pscottdv · · Score: 1

      Actually, theater ticket sales are down too.

      --

      this signature has been removed due to a DMCA takedown notice

    2. Re:analogy by Foolicious · · Score: 1

      The problem with this analogy is that there could be a billion factors (or 2 or 3, I suppose) that have impacted movie ticket sales. For example, studios are using their clout more and more to release on a ridiculous number of screens. This inflates/distorts their metrics.

      Another problem with this analogy is that it's basically an apples-to-oranges analogy; it is hard to connect the two scenarios. Buying a DVD costs something, just as buying a movie ticket costs something. How do you link the two scenarios, then, in regards to how buying nothing (relatively speaking) when you download a CD impacts whether or not you will pay for the same CD?***

      It's not a direct correlation, but it wouldn't be too crazy to say that strong DVD sales are a result of strong movie ticket sales. You don't buy a DVD (in general) if you haven't seen the movie. But how does this relate to the downloading of music? I don't think it does (although I could be convinced otherwise).

      ***Spare me the soapbox try-before-you-buy sermons, friends. Self-satisfied do-gooders do exist; however, for every one of them, there are a thousand evil downloaders. [insert evil laugh]

      --
      Please don't use "umm" or "err" or "erm".
    3. Re:analogy by pilgrim23 · · Score: 1

      File sharing and RIAA law suits have no relationship to each other. the legal actiosn are self-feeding lawyer leech aka license to print money. It actually matters not at all if you have file shared. Once they typo your IP on a complaint..you are out their perscribed 4-5 thousand and off they run to the next victim... Certainly you can get your own leech and fight it. Unless you are a zillionaire all you will get is two leeches for the price of 10. Guilty? Innocent? Does it matter? "Winners" loose all, Loosers loose a few grand.
      It is nice that scholars can cash in too on this to provide more PR; keeping the issue in the spotlight. Leeches need the PR to keep the money engine primed.

      --
      - Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, minutus carborata descendum pantorum.
    4. Re:analogy by WilliamSChips · · Score: 1
      oh, wait, they've posted new records? Nevermind.
      That record was released fifteen years ago!
      --
      Please, for the good of Humanity, vote Obama.
    5. Re:analogy by Dargoth_Rejuv · · Score: 1

      yeah, I'm sure it's do to the shitastic quality cams and telesyncs available to 'pirates' and nothing at all to do with the fact that there's usually 1 movie worth seeing between August and December and then January to May.

    6. Re:analogy by kimvette · · Score: 1

      Movies I've paid to see this year:

      The Lion The Witch and The Wardrobe (or was that Dec 2005? Can't remember)

      Clerks II

      However I've bought at least 50 movies on DVD so far this year. I've only had time to watch about half of them.

      Why go to the theater to see an out-of-focus movie with sound quality that cannot match my component system at home while jackasses chat on their cellphones? Sure, I have a standard-definition television, but since the projectionist can rarely focus the projector worth a damn at the theater, there is very little that I have any interest to go to the theater to see.

      Try focusing the projector and actually throwing out the noisy jerks then I might pay #12.00 to see more movies in the theater. Instead, I'll wait five months for the DVD to be released, then chances are I'll be able to OWN it and watch in the comfort of my own home on a kickass stereo for the same price. Oh, and noisy patrons? Not a problem at home. Sure, I've got the equivalent of 480i at home, but at least my television is focused sharply and the picture won't be scratched to hell from mishandling.

      --
      The Christian Right is Neither (Christian nor right). See: Matthew 23, Matthew 25, Ezekiel 16:48-50
  15. Not really. by Turn-X+Alphonse · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I don't think it does purely for the story I'm about to tell.

    Three days ago I had no intrest in Pokemon Mysterious Dungeon, but a friend had the rom so I went "WTF, I'll give it a try".. I found out it played just like nethack, some minor changes, but in my head it became "Pokemon Nethack". I played it for a couple of hours and decided that this was a game I'd want to play on my DS rather than on the PC. So today I ordered the game and it should be here in a few days.

    Did I hurt the game industry by using a rom before I bought the full copy or buy a game I didn't have an intrest before I played it? Roms and P2P music has become the new demos, people will buy games they think are worth the money or they'll download games they didn't think were worth the money. You could even argument because of the rom I've now told Slashdot that they can get a Nethack like game on the DS now and may have even sold more GBA/DS consoles/games, but that maybe going too far.

    Quality will always sell.

    --
    I like muppets.
    1. Re:Not really. by dslauson · · Score: 1

      That is an interesting point, but your story is not a perfect fit here. The fact is, by buying the actual DS version, you got additional functionality that you didn't have with just the ROM. You will have the ability to play the game on your handheld rather than just on your PC.

      However, if you download MP3s, you can burn a CD, upload them to your iPod or whatever, you can really do pretty much whatever you like with them.

      Can you honestly tell me that you would have still bought the game if you could have just uploaded the rom to your DS and played it? I kind of doubt it.

    2. Re:Not really. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I saw a bumper sticker that made me laugh the other day. It read:

      Everyone generalizes with a single example. At least, I do.

    3. Re:Not really. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if i load the rom to my DS/GBA, it takes space on my flashcart
      if the game is very big, i buy it so i can reuse the space

  16. Funny that by joshsnow · · Score: 1

    Funny that. In the same period, I've increased my spend on music (and yet I buy less CDs). Of course, what this is really about is the centre trying to control both ends - the centre being the RIAA and its equivalents attempting to control demand and supply - as they do with physical media now. iTunes is great, but it's time that the music buying public and the music producers realised that they can use the web to deal directly with each other, cutting out the greedy middleman for the benefit of all. Or something.

  17. Percent Confidence & Uncontrolled Variables by eldavojohn · · Score: 4, Informative
    Aside from this being just a generally difficult type of study to execute, but what is their confidence level that a 13% drop is related to file-sharing?

    Though the methodology is complex, the results are straightforward: some US music consumers "could have decreased their CD purchases (prior to 2004) by about 13 percent due to Internet file sharing."
    Oh, there it is, the word 'could.' So on a level from one to a hundred, where does 'could' lie? I mean, if this was a rigorous statistical procedure -- no matter how complex, they should be able to give a percent confidence. You can measure deviation from your model and give it to me that way but I'm concerned that there might have been uncontrolled variables affecting the sale of CDs.

    And I believe that iTunes Music Service has been out since 2001, is that accounted for? It doesn't seem to be if you search the below linked document. I mean, I assume this study is targeting illegal downloads. iTunes is legal to my knowledge yet it would still decrease CD purchases.

    If you'd like to read the paper, it can be found here (PDF alert).

    While this study does take into acocunt some variables, I'm just afraid there are too many for it to be conclusive. I would recommend that the article ignore Family Size and find out how many of their users used a legal music download service.

    Also, is 2,000 samples per year enough to be accurate? Possibly, but then again, they are talking about an economy of 250 million consumers.
    --
    My work here is dung.
    1. Re:Percent Confidence & Uncontrolled Variables by P3NIS_CLEAVER · · Score: 1

      How about growing up, buying your own computer and not buying as many cds? I know plenty of people that stop buying music completely as they get older.

      --
      Please sign petition to restore sanity to our banking system!!!

      http://financialpetition.org/
    2. Re:Percent Confidence & Uncontrolled Variables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      How about growing up ...
      Never thought I'd see the day that someone with the nickname P3NIS_CLEAVER would advise people to 'grow up.'

      <sarcasm>Yeah, music is just for kids, anyways. Anyone who listens to it is immature. </sarcasm>
    3. Re:Percent Confidence & Uncontrolled Variables by P3NIS_CLEAVER · · Score: 1

      It was an example, not advice. Are you slow?

      --
      Please sign petition to restore sanity to our banking system!!!

      http://financialpetition.org/
    4. Re:Percent Confidence & Uncontrolled Variables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Statistically 2,000 samples is enough for an accurate study, as long as those samples are randomly selected. For the US, the accepted minimum selection size for a poll is about 1,200. Most scientifically conducted polls/studies will include information about the sample size as well as a calculated bias error.

    5. Re:Percent Confidence & Uncontrolled Variables by techstar25 · · Score: 1
      Could the decrease in CD buying the following two years be chalked up to increased sales of digital downloads, which started to become popular just at that time? The paper does not address the question.
      Bingo! I read TFA, and quite frankly, it isn't worth anything. They should be ashamed to have reported such unsubstantiated claims. If I'm reading this correctly, that drop of 13% could just as easily been caused by iTunes. In fact that conclusion would actually make more sense when you consider the millions of songs that have been purchased (as reported by Apple).
      They could have taken that same data and very well have titled the article "iTunes found responsible for drop in CD sales", and it would have been just as true (or false as it may be).
      To think that they used "computer ownership" to show how many people download music is purely ridiculous. Maybe those computer owners are spending more playing Warcraft, browsing for porn, or visiting their distant cousin's myspace page, and so have less time to listen to music. I could go on and on, but you get the idea.
    6. Re:Percent Confidence & Uncontrolled Variables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And what about things like internet radio and the dot com craze that had plenty of stuff given out for free until they realized that's a terrbile business model. How does that factor in. And we could go on and on about gas prices, economic downturn, Bush taking office, and who knows how many other variables that aren't mentioned. Also, what is this decrease as a precentage of total sales? Are they going to tell us how much profit they ACTUALLY make so we know whether this hurts or is it just an excuse for lackluster stock value?

    7. Re:Percent Confidence & Uncontrolled Variables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      Not only that, but...

      How do we even know that it was specifically their file-sharing that accounted for the drop in sales?

      What if they were, for example, spending more time playing PC video games, which caused them to generally decrease their consumption of all other entertainment products?

    8. Re:Percent Confidence & Uncontrolled Variables by NereusRen · · Score: 1
      Also, is 2,000 samples per year enough to be accurate? Possibly, but then again, they are talking about an economy of 250 million consumers.
      Alright, when we're criticizing a study for using questionable statistics, lets not make any misstatements of our own. This is a common misconception here on Slashdot, so I don't mean to pick on you, but it bugs me every time I see it.

      The theoretically correct sample size has almost nothing to do with the size of the population (unless the sample is extremely small, e.g. 100). 2,000 samples would give about the same statistical relevance for a population of 250,000, 250 million, 250 billion, or infinity. Yes, it is possible to have meaningful statistical predictions about an infinite population, assuming you can sample randomly from it.

      At a sample size of 2,000, since they don't need anything like sub-penny accuracy, the limiting factor in their accuracy is no longer statistical theory. I haven't done the math, but I'm sure the 80 cent difference they quote is easily statistically significant with that many samples.

      No, the real question is whether there is any systematic error resulting from their methodology in selecting those 2,000. The math assumes purely random (independent, unbiased) samples, but of course that's never possible in reality. Getting a larger sample using the same methods wouldn't change the correctness or incorrectness of the results.
  18. Causation vs Coincidence by oakbox · · Score: 1

    'the dominant impression gained from reading these studies is that finding accurate correlations between file-sharing and loss of revenue for the music industry is tremendously difficult.'

    Proving that a correlation is causative instead of coincidental IS very difficult. You could also blame the drop in CD revenue on other factors during this same time frame. You could make the case that Global Warming is the cause of lower sales.

    --
    Not just answers, the correct questions.
    1. Re:Causation vs Coincidence by griffjon · · Score: 1

      Exactly.

      Everyone, repeat after me - CORRELATION is NOT CAUSATION.

      Some other contributing factors: The dramatic increase in the suckiness of corporate rock, a stagnant economy, a war, general bad blood between consumers and the RIAA, and, uh, I dunno, iTunes?. I'd like to see a more detailed study that also tracks smaller, independent labels and/or simply non-RIAA-aligned labels, not to mention tracking iTunes purchases.

      Personally, I think the decreasing number of pirates at sea is causing a parallel reduction in CD purchasing as well as global warming. I mean, look at the correlations there!!!

      Sigh.

      --
      Returned Peace Corps IT Volunteer
  19. What Music Biz? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    We all know they can't sing...

  20. Typical Slashdot by keyrat+rafa · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    "...the dominant impression gained from reading these studies is that finding accurate correlations between file-sharing and loss of revenue for the music industry is tremendously difficult.

    How conveniant for us! The first part made me feel a bit guilty, but that last line let's me justify it no problem!

  21. owning a computer != internet file sharing by Trevin · · Score: 1

    Do you think that just maybe it's possible that people who spend more time at a computer have less time to listen to music?

    Do you think that just maybe it's possible that some people people are becoming bored or fed up with popular music and turning to the computer for entertainment instead?

    Do you think that maybe the people who are buying more computers and the people who are buying less music are two completely unrelated groups?

    I think these guys are still just grasping at straws.

    1. Re:owning a computer != internet file sharing by Weedlekin · · Score: 1

      "Do you think that just maybe it's possible that people who spend more time at a computer have less time to listen to music?"

      Or are simply spending money that they might otherwise have used to buy CDs for things such as broadband rental, software, etc. Most peoples' entertainment budgets are quite limited, so money that gets spent on computer-related things isn't available for other types of non-essentials.

      It will I think be interesting to see what happens to CD sales when the Wii and Playstation-3 are launched, because having two much-anticipated "next gen" consoles appear at virtually the same time (and near XMas too) is going to mean that a lot of male entertainment budgets will be eaten up for quite a while, especially after some games and extra controllers have been bought.

      --
      I'm not going to change your sheets again, Mr. Hastings.
  22. Too broad a correlation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There are many different factors that could contribute to hurt music sales, and now if anything, I actually buy more music than ten years ago. Plus, I've been introduced to many, many bands which I would never have heard of without filesharing, and consequently usually buy their albums. It's true alot of material is available online, but not nearly enough for my tastes.

  23. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by russ1337 · · Score: 1
    This is mainly due to the high level of suckage by today's "musicians". Has anyone done a study that includes that correlation? Also I've built my collection the point where I have almost everything I want already. How does that figure in?
    iTunes reported on 12 Sep 06 that they have sold 1.5 billion songs through their onlines store! No wonder CD sales are down!
  24. Copyright, anyone? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    The RIAA's attempt to shut down filesharing may not save a single CD sale or record store job. So what? It's still their copyright to enforce, whether they save their business model or not. It doesn't have to make economic sense; they legally have to defend their copyright or they risk losing it.

    1. Re:Copyright, anyone? by pscottdv · · Score: 1

      You are confusing copyright with trademark.

      --

      this signature has been removed due to a DMCA takedown notice

    2. Re:Copyright, anyone? by pipatron · · Score: 1

      Which is exactly why we have to (and are trying to, atleast in parts of europe) to change this law.

      --
      c++; /* this makes c bigger but returns the old value */
    3. Re:Copyright, anyone? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, I'm oversimplifying it, but not confusing it.

      You are right they won't lose a copyright the way they can lose a trademark, but they won't be able to renew it if they don't defend it.

      Thats' why you can't sing "Happy Birthday" in a for-profit public place. Even though the song is 75 years old, the author's heirs have actively put the hammer down and were able to keep renewing it.

      The RIAA's enforcement may make no short-term financial sense but it's no different than going after bars who sing HB.

    4. Re:Copyright, anyone? by cpt+kangarooski · · Score: 1

      That's thoroughly incorrect too.

      --
      -- This and all my posts are in the public domain. I am a lawyer. I am not your lawyer, and this is not legal advice.
  25. Actually, File Sharing HELPED the music business by queenb**ch · · Score: 4, Informative

    Here's a few little goodies that the RIAA forgot to include with their pet study...

    1. Nicholls State University is in Thibodaux, Louisana which isn't exactly a hotbed of business research
    2. His study doesn't state where the funding to conduct the study was obtained from.
    3. The data came from the Consume Expenditure Survey, which is notoriously inaccurate
    4. RIAA has cut back on advertising and promotion for music across the board
    5. Their sales were actually better while Napster was in operation, without any additional expenditure on their part.

    Just my 2 cents,

    QueenB

    --
    HDGary secures my bank :/
  26. pokemon nethack? Sweet by DocBoss · · Score: 1

    Hellz yea, I love Nethack. I never even thought about pokemon mysterious dungeon as a game I might buy, but I checked it out and it looks great.

    --
    "They said we drink horse urine and sleep with our own kin. You say it's comedy, but how can someone laugh at that?"
    1. Re:pokemon nethack? Sweet by Turn-X+Alphonse · · Score: 1

      Let me know how it goes yea? mine arrived today and while I haven;t hit the BIG dungeons yet even ten level dungeons take a while to do.

      Plus the online community is great, people trade passwords to help each other out, so if you get bored of stuff you can go rescue some newbie and do him a favour :)

      --
      I like muppets.
  27. Waaaaaaa? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny
    That makes no sense at all.

    Um, let's see. People with pocket lint + (computer knowlege^10)= reality cascade.

  28. Competition by bobintetley · · Score: 1

    Could it be that since 1995 other products (DVDs, video games, etc.) are competing for the disposable income that people previously spent on music?

  29. Downloading isn't always illegal by Kope · · Score: 1

    I am a huge fan of music.

    I used to buy dozens of CD's a month.

    In 2001 I started using LEGAL on-line streaming music services (like Rhapsody).

    I have bought maybe a dozen CD's since then.

    While I have downloaded music from Napster (when it was presumed legal) as well as places like EMusic and Apple, I have never used an illegal service.

    I have no problem believing that computer ownership is linked to decreased CD sales. However, I don't accept that that link means illegal file-sharing.

  30. Decreased by X% to ... what? by OWJones · · Score: 1

    I haven't seen a link for the paper, so they may have accounted for this issue. However, let's assume for a minute that households owning computers are likely to be slightly more affluent than households that don't own a computer. Were those households spending more money on music before Napster? And given that the economy had a downturn around, oh, 2002, would it be reasonable to assume that the total spending on music (a luxury item) across all households approached a more uniform amount? In other words, before 2001 computer owners spent $40/year on music and non-computer owners spent $36. After 2001, though, both dropped to around $35? Or some variant of this data? Anyone have an answer for this hypothesis?

    -jdm

  31. People spend more money on culture today. by pipatron · · Score: 1

    A recent study in denmark shows that yes, the "record" sales has gone down to aproximately the same levels as it was before the CD arrived, ie, before people started to replace all their vinyl with CDs. On the other hand, it's very easy to see in that report that the DVD sales increased to fill the drop in CD sales almost exactly. So far so good. Adding to this, the amount of money people spend on concerts has increased dramatically during the time that people has been able to download music for free from the internet, which means that we actually spend much more on music and culture today than we did before filesharing as we know it today existed.

    The problem is that this money isn't going to the record companies big stars but to the smaller artists, as you can also see from the report. The smaller artists get a bigger share of the money today than earlier. This hurts their marketing strategy since it's cheaper just having to market one big star than a lot of smaller artists.

    --
    c++; /* this makes c bigger but returns the old value */
    1. Re:People spend more money on culture today. by Jonny+do+good · · Score: 1

      Come to think of it I think you are correct. I haven't bought a CD in years but I go to plenty of concerts. Most of the bands who concerts I do attend allow people to record their music and share it until they release or plan to release that particular concert. I listen to the Jam bands, which thrive on concerts and merchandise rather than inflated CD prices to make their money. I have bought their CD's in the past, but I would much rather go to a concert than have a CD. The memories are much better. I never really thought about the fact that I do spend my money on culture rather than a CD that gets extremely boring after I have listened to it a few times. That is a good point.

      What about satellite radio? Since I got XM I never listen to the CD's I own since I get to hear different music all of the time without commercials? Did they factor that into their useless study?

  32. What's the difference? by mi · · Score: 0

    If it is violating intellectual property, it ought to stop simply because the property's owner says so.

    And if it is not, why do I care even if it bankrupts RIAA?

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  33. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by kfg · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I've got a computer. I haven't purchased a CD in about 6 months, however, I know that Amazon will still deliver them to me for free, so the cost of driving to the mall has nothing to do with it.

    I just don't want their damned music. I don't want their damned music badly enough that I haven't downloaded any of it either.

    That CD I bought 6 months ago? It was made on a computer. In the home of the artist. I bought it from her at one of her appearances at a local coffeehouse. It's got a CC license. It doesn't even show up on the sales statistics.

    Ya think that might have something to do with the official sales numbers?

    ". . . finding accurate correlations between file-sharing and loss of revenue for the music industry is tremendously difficult.'"

    Yeah, I have the same problem counting the number of pixies living under my bed.

    KFG

  34. Ah Ha! by ackthpt · · Score: 1

    "A new study has come out that purports to show a link between file-sharing and decreased CD purchases. Covering the period of 1995-2003, the study looked for a link between owning a computer and decreased CD purchases.

    This could also explain teh drop in 8-track and LP sales, too!

    <Homer>Ooooohhh, no more 8 tracks? Darn you computer makers!</Homer>

    the study goes on to link reselling used CD's with cooties

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
  35. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Poppler · · Score: 4, Insightful
    This is mainly due to the high level of suckage by today's "musicians". Has anyone done a study that includes that correlation

    And how exactly to you propose to objectively measure the "level of suckage"?

    Seriously, what you say is not true. What sucks is the music that's played on the radio, not modern music. This is mostly a result of the deregulation of radio that occurred in the 90s, paving the way for a few giants to own just about everything.
    The effects were somewhat delayed by the "grunge" boom; every major label was so desperate to find "the next Nirvana" that they took chances with all sorts of interesting bands that wouldn't have otherwise gotten major label deals. They have since realized that they'll make more money sticking to the formula, so they push nothing but garbage on the radio and MTV nowadays.
    --
    What's the ugliest part of your body? Some say your nose, some say your toes, but I think it's your mind. -Zappa
  36. I've got your correlation... right here! by pigs,3different1s · · Score: 0

    Anybody else notice the correlation between decreased sales and the so-called "recording artists" that the music industry pushes onto the airwaves, despite the fact that they don't have any real musical talent... or even worse still, they sound just like every other "popular" performer.

    Hey Entertainment Industry, get a clue!

    --
    "Put your message in a modem, and throw it into the cyber-sea." - Rush
    1. Re:I've got your correlation... right here! by pigs,3different1s · · Score: 0

      Oops, I forgot to put a question mark on that first sentence.

      --
      "Put your message in a modem, and throw it into the cyber-sea." - Rush
  37. Not true for music by Gamefreak99 · · Score: 1

    This analogy doesn't really hold true for media besides console games. The cost to "export" a console game can be high -- buying a modchip, rom cartidge, what have you. On the other hand, with a music CD or video DVD, once you have a burner, as comes standard with most computers now-a-days, the cost to reproduce that media in a portable form (portable meaning away from your computer) is almost negligible. Blank CDs and DVDs can be bought in the range of cents per copy. So while you may be encouraged to buy a game after playing a rom, who is to say that someone listening to the latest album would buy a copy ($15) vs burning a copy ($.05)? I won't say people don't pirate music and then buy it, but it seems like it happens much less often than what happened with a DS game in your case.

  38. Of course it's declining by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And it should. The business models of the members of the RIAA are out-dated, and are in need of a revamp. Piracy creates a natural need for this innovation, which is long overdue. Evolution exists at all levels of our existence, why should our commerce be exempt?

    Simply put, it should not and is not.

    I for one will be cheering as countless numbers of moronic executives working for these parasitic companies are forced into the real world to find real jobs.

  39. Tape-CD consideration? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wonder if it was taken into consideration that many people were making the switch from tape to CD at the time? So music libraries had to be upgraded from tape to CD as well, creating a spike in sales. Just a thought

  40. Journal of Law & Economics by El+Kevbo · · Score: 1

    The current issue of the Journal of Law & Economics has four articles dealing with similar issues and analyses. The authors of each of the articles are, as typical in academic literature, fairly cautious in drawing their conclusions and they are a mixed bag. The articles and their topics are limited in scope but they're peer reviewed and fairly interesting. Alejandro Zentner, the author of one of the article "Measuring the Effect of File-Sharing on Music Purchases," seems to have reached a similar conclusion as the article of the article described by Ars Technica.

  41. What about many of us just changing interests? by partisanX · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I mean seriously, I remember the exact year I stopped buying the same quantity of CDs... It was 1994. Yes, my computer had something to do with it, but it wasn't file sharing. It was I found myself spending most of my disposable cash on computer upgrades and games for the next 2 years. Seriously. I still bought CDs, but my guess would be I had cut down by about 90 percent.

    Then about 1996, I moved in with my girlfriend, and the focus of my life completely changed. Again, still bought CDs, it's just music slowly fell down the list of important things to do with my money in my life. You end up living together, then you get engaged, buy furniture, get married, buy a house, start a family, etc... I personally just never found myself back in that stage where it seemed like a good idea to toss massive amounts of my disposable income on music.

    I can't possibly be the only one can I?

    --
    "Our morality is good, theirs is repressive."- Partisanship Rule #3
    1. Re:What about many of us just changing interests? by SCPaPaJoe · · Score: 1

      What you said! I too used to spend a whole lot more on CD's when I was younger. Still, if I see (or hear) something I like I'll buy it in a second. I just don't want much. I recently got a new vehicle that has sat. radio. That fills my music need pretty good. I used to build/upgrade computers constantly as well. Now I'm thinking about *gasp* buying one. I'm older and just plain tired.

    2. Re:What about many of us just changing interests? by Chosen+Reject · · Score: 1

      That doesn't really work statistically speaking because after you got older and wiser and decided that music wasn't where you wanted to spend your money, another group of younger kids came along buying CDs. However, culturally, you're generation bought music in stores in the CD (cassette, record) format. Nowadays, people are buying them from iTunes or renting them from Napster. That is what accounts for the change. It's not you growing up, or music starting to suck, it's where people are buying the music. Even if they really meant albums and not CDs, I rarely (read haven't yet) buy an entire album anymore because I'd rather get the one or two songs I like and leave the filler out, and I'm not alone in this. What the online music stores are allowing is people to tell artists what songs they like. No more need to create filler songs.

      --
      Stop Global Warming!
      Just say no to irreversible processes!
  42. Not worth buying by LuminaireX · · Score: 1

    Decreased music sales has nothing at all to do with the music sucking and the CD prices increasing, right? Just checking

  43. Let's talk about plastic discs holding 12 songs by popo · · Score: 5, Insightful


    Before we talk about filesharing, we should talk about the more basic issue: transmissable digital file formats vs. plastic media discs
    stored in poorly designed (easily breakable) jewel cases.

    Let's face it: CD's suck. And I'm not talking about the music. I'm talking about the medium.

    CD's have to be swapped out of the cd player. They hold too little music. They're easily damaged. And the jewel case is one of the worst atrocities
    of industrial design to be inflicted upon humanity in the last 20 years. (I'd say 30% of mine are broken).

    MP3's by comparison are instantly accessible, contain meta data, are sortable, and can be shuffled into infinite playlists. Not to mention, they're
    not breakable.

    When the recording industry pushes CD's, they are pushing a sub-par product on us.

    The music industry was slow to adopt a commercial alternative, and when they did they gave us DRM infected, vastly overpriced, low bitrate shite because they were
    still convinced that if given no other alternative we would continue to buy the sub par plastic discs.

    But there was an alternative: An infinitely better, cheaper, higher quality and more accessible alternative. The recording industry attmpted to
    control the market at the expense of the consumer. They gambled and they lost.

    When businesses offer subpar products they fail.

    The message to the recording industry is simple: Sell me non-DRM infected tracks at .12 each and I'm interested. That's the same amount of money you're getting from your CD's anyway. Push for more, and give me less? You lose.

    --
    ------ The best brain training is now totally free : )
    1. Re:Let's talk about plastic discs holding 12 songs by P3NIS_CLEAVER · · Score: 1

      I would have to agree. The first thing I do now is rip the cd to my computer so I don't have to touch it again.

      --
      Please sign petition to restore sanity to our banking system!!!

      http://financialpetition.org/
    2. Re:Let's talk about plastic discs holding 12 songs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are several advantages for CDs over MP3s:
      1) Sound better
      2) Album oriented rather than song oriented. If you don't understand the difference or why one would be better, it's just an indicator of your tastes. (Not to say you lack taste, it's just not the same as everyone else's.)
      3) Permanence. Again, if you're only interested in the latest hits it won't matter if it vanishes in a hard drive crash.

    3. Re:Let's talk about plastic discs holding 12 songs by powermung · · Score: 3, Funny

      I agree wholeheartedly! Not only music, but software too! $280 for Windows XP? $4000 for AutoCAD? I spend more time listening to music than working on these software and I wouldn't even pay $5 for them. Selling tiny plastic for hundreds or even thousands of dollars is preposterous! Get rid of the activation crap and make them available for download at about $10 each. Otherwise, P2P remains as my only method of getting software for my business!

      Also, what is this GPL crap that comes with these free software? It's not like the original authors lose money when I decide not to agree with it. Why won't they spend the time to write better software if they had time to write up such stupid statements?

      mod me +4 insightful!

    4. Re:Let's talk about plastic discs holding 12 songs by WilliamSChips · · Score: 1
      1) Sound better
      I can barely hear the sound difference between iTunes'(both iTMS and ripped) AACs and the CD.
      2) Album oriented rather than song oriented. If you don't understand the difference or why one would be better, it's just an indicator of your tastes. (Not to say you lack taste, it's just not the same as everyone else's.)
      I can play a full album on my iPod just fine. The biggest problem for that is that iTunes gift cards(no other online music has a prepaid card so they're nonissues, don't bring up DRM) are fifteen dollars and not a multiple of ten.
      3) Permanence. Again, if you're only interested in the latest hits it won't matter if it vanishes in a hard drive crash.
      Tell that to all the CDs of mine that got scratched beyond usability.
      --
      Please, for the good of Humanity, vote Obama.
    5. Re:Let's talk about plastic discs holding 12 songs by Acer500 · · Score: 1

      CD's do sound better, but it's not inherent to the medium, I've heard about lossless formats (I still stick to MP3s as my sound system isn't good enough to notice much of a difference).

      Friends of mine have pointed that out, but there's nothing preventing artists from creating one single huge MP3 and selling that if they don't want you to skip a part. And some do include recommended playlists with their music.

      On the permanence part, well, it depends, yes, CDs tend to last longer than hard drives, but I have a few unusable CD's and I lost a few MP3s to not backing up, overall it seems the same.

      --
      There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.
    6. Re:Let's talk about plastic discs holding 12 songs by bennini · · Score: 2, Interesting
      i wouldnt go so far as to say that they are crap.
      1. CDs are actually quite durable if you think about it. most can be put through horrible abuse and they still play. and even if they do start to skip, you can often copy the disc using error correction and you end up with a perfect new disc.
      2. CDs hold quite a lot of storage for how cheap they are. they may "only" fit about 12-15 songs on an album but thats because each 5 minute WAV file sampled at 22khz in stereo is roughly 50 MB. i can't see the music distributors pushing music on memory sticks anytime soon. that would just boost the cost even more.
      3. CDs function as a good media for storing the music over longer periods of time. if you were to rip all your music in full quality to your HDD, most with a decent music collection would require 1TB or more of storage space. its easier to let a friend borrow a couple CDs than it is to hand him a harddrive
      4. for audiophiles, the "alternative" (i.e. compressed digital music) is total crap. anyone with a decent speaker system (and i dont mean Inifinity's that you bought at Circuit City in your doors and reardeck) knows that the melody/music itself is really only about 50% of the whole package. Imaging is equally important but is something people never acknowledge (much less know about).
        with a proper soundstage, you can easily A) pinpoint the location of the instruments/vocals within a 3dimensional space, B) decipher what sort of an environment the music was recorded in, and C) hear minute nuances such as lips rubbing the microphone, fingers sliding on strings, etc. with "alternative" forms of music distribution, the majority of the aforementioned is lost. get someone with a nice stereo to show you what music REALLY sounds like....and you'll never go back to an mp3 again. So for this, CDs are great. and that's why i don't buy music on iTunes. Until they get a lossless format, sure, ill download the free song of the week, but overall, no thank you.


      as for the article, i think one thing the RIAA often forgets to mention is that while music sales are "slowing"....DVD sales are at an all time peak. people are opting to spend their money on a more "sensory" experience (with visuals and audio).

      Throw in the fact that the average american teenager has become so superficial they are only interested in crap music anyways, its no wonder they arent willing to buy the latest britney or Juvenile CD. they may find the music amusing, but i think honestly they know that its something they will get sick of within a couple weeks.

      Time is also a major factor. i remember sitting in front of my dad's CD player when i was young with a set of nice headphones and listening to a whole ladysmith black mambazo album or aerosmith classics live. This is not a typical way for a youngster to spend their time these days.

      The RIAA has a relatively antiquated (and pessimistic) way of looking at things. and while there may be studies that show that there has been a decline in CD sales since the advent of P2P programs, one thing is for sure: the music industry is interested in one thing only -- making money...and if they were honestly losing money (as these studies insinuate they are), they wouldn't be in the business anymore.
    7. Re:Let's talk about plastic discs holding 12 songs by BryanL · · Score: 1

      I hold the opposite view: CDs are better. Not perfect, but better. CDs are mopre versitile. I can rip them to mp3 or any other format. A CD is a hard copy. In ten years my CD will still work. On the other hand, an mp3 gets lost when a hard drive crashes (five years). The mp3 format is lossy so not as dynamic as an CD. With the internet all the meta-data is accesible for the CD, so the mp3 does not even have that advantage. I am not anti-mp3, in fact I think the record labels missed an early opportunity to provide downloads when there was a great demand. But mp3s are not a replacement, but a supplement to CDs.

    8. Re:Let's talk about plastic discs holding 12 songs by bokutoe · · Score: 0

      I wouild agree with the exception that mp3s are probably more of a compliment than a supplement to CDs. Sounds grammar-nazi/ish, but there's a point to this change of words. I think it is important that everything be as accessible as possible, in as many ways as possible. And certainly no one can argue that CDs don't have their advatanges in certain situations, as well as MP3s. What the industry needs to do is draft up a standard that provides for the maximum amount of flexibility, versatility, extensibility and all that other fun stuff, managed by a NPO like W3C. The DRM crap definitely has to be doused. The quicker corporations embrace freedom of information, the quicker everyone will flourish.

    9. Re:Let's talk about plastic discs holding 12 songs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course the cases are easy to break! Which earns more money for the artist, someone who buys a CD once or someone who damages it because of not so good packaging and has to buy two?

    10. Re:Let's talk about plastic discs holding 12 songs by Kjella · · Score: 1

      for audiophiles, the "alternative" (i.e. compressed digital music) is total crap. anyone with a decent speaker system (and i dont mean Inifinity's that you bought at Circuit City in your doors and reardeck) knows that the melody/music itself is really only about 50% of the whole package.

      And every non-audiophile either don't give a fsck, or have read the double-blind studies that say the audiophiles with top gear can't actually tell the difference between a 256k MP3 and the original WAV (which may have gone down since I read it, as encoders improve). Whereever the other 50% imaginary sounds you hear inside your head is coming from, it is not the CD.

      CDs function as a good media for storing the music over longer periods of time. if you were to rip all your music in full quality to your HDD, most with a decent music collection would require 1TB or more of storage space. its easier to let a friend borrow a couple CDs than it is to hand him a harddrive

      An audio CD is 650MB raw, at the most. You consider an "average music collection" to be 1500 CDs? For that 15000$ investment, get 4x100$ 320GB disks and a RAID5 controller card. Also, did you ever hear of this new-fangled device called a CD burner? You'll burn him a few, that way your CDs don't come back all scratched (or late, or never). Or he hooks up his music player.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    11. Re:Let's talk about plastic discs holding 12 songs by damiam · · Score: 1
      CD's hold too little music? Really? I own very few albums that come anywhere close to the limit. Most of the greatest albums of all time (Pet Sounds, Revolver, Kind of Blue, Dark Side of the Moon, Who's Next, Led Zep IV, Born to Run, Thriller, Back in Black, Graceland, and many, many more) are under 45 minutes. Not to say the CD is perfect, but as a physical medium for album distribution it's quite decent. The jewel case problem can be solved by keeping them in binders, and the fragility by not leaving them sitting out where they can be scratched.

      Also, the recording industry makes far more than $0.12/track when selling CDs. The physical cost of a CD + booklet + case is under $1, so the company gets around $9 from a $10 CD sale. Probably another dollar goes to the artist, and another couple dollars for recording costs. The rest is profit.

      --
      It's hard to be religious when certain people are never incinerated by bolts of lightning.
    12. Re:Let's talk about plastic discs holding 12 songs by Skythe · · Score: 1

      I've bought say, 2 cd's in my entire life. My friends seldom buy CD's, and in fact, i cant remember the last time one of them bought one.
      Its gotten to the point where you can download _that_ album that isn't due in your local music store for another week or so, at less expense and effort. It's easier to click a few buttons than take a walk down to the shops.
      And i don't know how it works over your end, but i do not know a single person that has purchased music via itunes here. Just having to figure out the payment is onus enough for a person to close itunes and go back to their limewire/whatever program*.
      The music industry needs to move on, and stop relying on old paradigms. Companies that previously manufactured cassettes surely jumped onto the cd bandwagon. So why aren't they jumping on the digital bandwagon?

      * except for, the one in 100 million probability of being sued by the RIAA

    13. Re:Let's talk about plastic discs holding 12 songs by popo · · Score: 1


      1) Sound better

      No. They do not sound better. A 320bit MP3 sounds as good as a CD. You're talking about iTunes crap.

      2) Album oriented rather than song oriented. If you don't understand the difference or why one would be better, it's just an indicator of your tastes. (Not to say you lack taste, it's just not the same as everyone else's.)

      Why are you assuming that I don't download entire albums?

      3) Permanence. Again, if you're only interested in the latest hits it won't matter if it vanishes in a hard drive crash.

      Its called a "backup". Its when you make a copy of your files in case of emergency.

      --
      ------ The best brain training is now totally free : )
  44. I sure hope so! by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

    The industrialisation of music has done nothing but harm music.

    If the music industry can be driven completely out of business I say bloody good job!

    Its all about making money for lawyers and suits.

    --
    In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
  45. No dice, Monkey Boys. by __aaasvk1266 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There have been plenty of studies done to establish some link between downloading un-licensed music and decreased sales of legit releases.

    The methodology of those studies suck. None of them properly isolate for external variables, like: Just about everything else Johnny Download can spend money on for entertainment. And his motivations for shifts in spending habits.

    As an aside, most people pushing the idea refuse to acknowlede that Johnny Download's disposible income does not ramp up infinitely, and that Johnny has (at most) 24 hours in a day to play consumer.

    I remember when the same sorts of studies were done in the 70s and 80s, along with the stupid tag to sum it all up: Home Taping is killing music. The opposite was found: Blank cassette sales skyrocketed, along with the sale of legit releases, bootlegs, and incense.

    Nothing to see here people. Move along.

  46. Nope. That was my point. by khasim · · Score: 1
    I think your confusion lies in the fact that TFA omitted the word "average" in the sentence you quote. These are averages of consumer behavior, not typical consumers. It's fun with averages that allow the average family to have (say) 2.3 children, despite the fact that most people count their children in whole numbers.

    When you average it out (not the best approach in my opinion, but that's a different thread), the average loss is STILL less than 1 new CD per year.

    Think of it as a step function, until the decline equals a whole unit there is no decline.

    If they're dividing the group into computer owners and non-oners, then they need to look at the amount of money spent on the computer every year. They are BOTH entertainment expenses.

    If you have $100 to spend on entertainment this month, buying a $50 game for the computer means that you only have $50 to spend on CD's. But someone without the PC will be able to spend the entire $100 on CD's (and even their purchases of CD's have decreased).
    1. Re:Nope. That was my point. by shark72 · · Score: 1

      "When you average it out (not the best approach in my opinion, but that's a different thread), the average loss is STILL less than 1 new CD per year."

      Which brings up a couple more reasons why the data, as quoted, is useless: we don't know how many CDs the average person buys. If they spend $25 on CDs a year, that's a 25% decrease. If it's $100, that's a 5% decrease. Big difference. We also don't know if deltas in retail pricing has been accounted for; even a $0.50 change in ASP year over year would have a significant effect.

      "Think of it as a step function, until the decline equals a whole unit there is no decline."

      That's not how we count it in the retail industry (I sell peripherals for a computer company that everybody here has heard of). I'm guessing you're coming from a math/IT background, so you probably think we're wrong, but nonetheless, we talk about ASPs which have no bearing on actual retail prices, take rates and conversion rates which have no relevance to individual sales (whether somebody buys that iPod case or not is a binary, but we refer to take rates in terms of percentages), and so on. If you try to do pricing theory and sales analysis using only step functions, you won't get far.

      So, I can understand how a delta of less than the retail price boggled you (as well as those who modded your post up), but those of us in this nasty business didn't blink. However, I think the data is absurdly suspect for a whole different set of reasons.

      "If they're dividing the group into computer owners and non-oners, then they need to look at the amount of money spent on the computer every year. They are BOTH entertainment expenses."

      Another good point. I think you and I have established that in this context, the statement in the article is absolutely useless. I'd like to get my hands on the original study, but I think I'd find it just as useless.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
  47. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Mprx · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I don't listen to radio, but one objective example of suckage is the decreased dynamic range of modern mastering techniques. Nearly all music from the last 10 years is so overcompressed as to be unlistenable (and even old music is not safe - "remastered" rerelease versions replace the old versions with much inferior versions).

  48. Comparison by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The RIAA will someday figure the root of this problem. Record companies HAVE lost SOME revenue due to piracy.... but why???? Is it because we're all thieves, or is it because the music they produce really isn't worth 18 bucks???

    I've pirated a couple of games just to fill time on select lonely weekends. But these are all games I know in advance I wouldn't even pay $15 bucks for. These are games I get just for a small kick. But there are some games coming out within 3-4 months that I will certainly pay for price for on the release date. Need For Speed Carbon, Halo2 for Vista, Unreal Tournament 2007, etc. These are all quality products that I'm willing to pay top dollar for - I already have a pretty good idea I can get $50 dollars worth of enjoyment out of these titles. How many people really got $18 worth of enjoyment out of the last Nickelback CD?

  49. 8 track sales are down too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why would you ever buy a CD anymore?

    Oh, wait, cuz it's the easiest and "legal" way to re-use (rip & burn compilations) and share music. Is borrowing your buddy's CD illegal too?

    If you haven't tried it already, get a CD shredder and see how fun it is grind those suckers to bits. Then make a public demonstration out if. "Sorry, I never really like Metalica until I heard their CD shriek as I ground it to bits."

  50. hooiee by billsoxs · · Score: 1

    This is nonsense - we have decreased our purchasing because we are older (the boomers are all over 40!) and the stuff coming our now is mostly junk. The bottom line is that I don't down load AND I don't buy music very often any more.

    --
    This message was brought to you by "Lack of Sleep."
  51. My CD purchases actually INCREASED in that period by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    First of all, I just want to ask this: Since we are paying a royalty on every bland CD and DVD we purchase to burn them too, aren't they, in essence, getting their royalties? When we pay for both a music download or CD purchase and the royalties on the blanks, aren't they double dipping?

    Second, during that period, my CD purchases actually INCREASED. Let's face it, MP3's are the most exchanged format, and their quality isn't the best. So I actually bought a lot of CD's and ripped them myself. What I didn't do was buy a full CD for ONE FREAKING SONG. I also enjoyed downloading hard to find or out of print songs. It was a goldmine for hard to find stuff. However, my enthusiasm for getting MP3's caused me to get the best quality I could get for albums that had multiple songs I wanted, and I could rip them at the highest quality I could. After I quit downloading, I've probably only bought maybe 2 CD's since then (last 2 years). The RIAA enthusiasm for going after music downloaders just caused me to not want to give them one single cent more.

    As far as I'm concerned, I paid them a royalty for the blank media I buy, and probably paid a royalty to buy my MP3 player too. I don't need to pay them twice for the same music.

  52. Not really surprising, but not really important by localman · · Score: 1

    I've always believed that despite any increase in exposure brought by file sharing, it was going to be a problem for CD sales eventually. The record company exaggerated the harm, but the proponents exaggerated the benefits. But in the end it doesn't matter. Because it's not important to compare CD sales to file sharing; a decade earlier CD sales killed tape sales too and nobody really cared. The real problem is that the music biz didn't get into the new medium fast enough. They were too chicken to just put mp3's up for sale. So people did it black market like. General note: if something is going to happen anyway, you might as well embrace it. You don't get much for standing around and whining.

    Now iTunes has demonstrated that people are more than willing to pay for a music download service even when music is available free. Because the key word is service. And the price is reasonable to most people. That's all any business has to do. The only major things iTunes lacks are complete selection (though it's quite good) and non-DRM (which will never happen). Both of these are the last vestiges of the recording industry resisting change. I think they'd actually make more money if they gave up on stopping people from doing things and focused on making their customers giddy happy.

  53. My sig... by night_flyer · · Score: 1

    says it all...

    --


    Thanks to file sharing, I purchase more CDs
    Thanks to the RIAA, I buy them used...
  54. I sense... by d_54321 · · Score: 1

    a great disturbance in the force, as if millions of geeks cried out "No! Of course not! I want free music!!!" and then were silenced... cuz it's hard to type and shout at the same time.

  55. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by teh_chrizzle · · Score: 2, Funny

    there's also an aids problem in africa. i'll bet illegal file sharing is cuasing that too. and global warming.

    --
    sarcasm:
    -noun
    1. harsh or bitter derision or irony.
  56. truer words were never spoken by PMuse · · Score: 1

    From TFA: "And academic papers are unlikely to sway those who have either made up their minds on the issue or simply want to justify behavior they think think should be legal."

    Kudos to to Ars Technica for presummarizing the Slashdot discussion in TFA. We can all go home now.

    --
    "We reject as false the choice between our safety and our ideals." --The American President (20.1.2009)
  57. You only get half the annecdotes you need by cliffski · · Score: 1

    Ok firstly, ist VERY difficult to draw any conclusions on this either way, there are too many variables. However, nobody ever mentions human nature when it comes to the old anecdote game.
    Slashsot has a lot of this, I've already seen many posts like this:

    "you know, I wasnt interested in song X, but I downloaded it for free, and after a few days it grew on me, and what the hell, I ordered the CD, so they got an extra sale"

    Thats fine, almost certainly true, and people are being honest about it, and thats great. but the thing is, as well as being honest, its uplifiting, and makes you feel good, justified and a generally fair guy. take anecdote B:

    "I was thinking about buying game X, but I was on the fence. Then someone gave me a pirate copy. I played it, enjoyed it, but never got around to buying the full version. Why bother? I already had a copy"

    Thats me talking, about 8 years ago maybe. I don't pirate anything these days. the thing is, admitiing this, makes me feel like a bit of a dick, a tightass, and not an especially reasonable guy. You dont hear people admit they pirated X, and listen to it every day, but never buy it, because its not such a cool thing to admit. But that doesnt mean that it doesnt happen a LOT.

    --
    DRM-free indie games for the PC and Mac: Positech Games
    1. Re:You only get half the annecdotes you need by laughingcoyote · · Score: 1

      Oh I'm sorry, you wanted an admission?

      I will happily download games. If there's nothing in it that interests me in netplay or playing it more then once, I -won't- buy it, it's not worth it. And I don't feel a bit bad about that, if you're going to make a linear "throwaway" game you deserve no better. At least not unless you're offering it for under five bucks.

      On the other hand, if it is worthwhile, I'll be on my way to the store. See how easy that is? Make decent stuff and people will buy it!

      --
      To fight the war on terror, stop being afraid.
  58. I've got news for the RIAA... by rnturn · · Score: 1

    Sure there might have been a drop in CD sales (highly questionable, IMHO, until I've seen the report and had a chance to look at how the ``researchers'' got their numbers) but it hasn't got all that much, if anything, to do with file sharing. It's your product, gentlemen. Folks aren't crazy about what your selling. Or how you're selling it. And, especially how you're going after people that you perceive are costing you lost sales. I don't care how many rights you have, suing little old ladies that don't own computers or the parents of a ten-year old that downloaded some music aren't the way to foster a good relationship with the people who you're trying to get to spend their hard-earned money on your products.

    On a personal level, my CD purchasing has dropped a lot more than your alleged study shows. Oh, and I'm not into file sharing so don't think that's why I'm not buying as much.

    Sounds to me like your ``study'' is little more than something to try and distract people from the fact that you've gotten yourself a little buttkicking from some judges and that more of your targets have gotten tired of being pushed around by your thugs^Wlawyers and are fighting back.

    --
    CUR ALLOC 20195.....5804M
  59. how convenient that it stopped in 2003 by Capella+or+Bust · · Score: 0

    The iTunes music store was started in 2003. When I first read the OP, I was confused as to why they would choose an 8 year time span from which to get their results... on a hunch, I checked to see when the ITMS started. Sure enough, 2003. Anyone want to bet that the company who performed this test stopped it 2 years early, so that their "results" wouldn't be skewed by the ITMS?

  60. What about? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Someone like me who stopped buying CDs from the major stores? And I do not own a iPod nor do I download music or share music with others. And I do own a computer and have for a while. The CDs I buy if I feel like it are from garage bands that I see a the local bar scene. There haven't been anything worth buying from the major labels in the long time. I think that is what their problem really is. Like who got the idea that Paris Hilton needed to come out with a music CD?

  61. What about DVD sales? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One thing has always bothered me about this decline in cd sales. Around the same time that they said CD sales began to decline, DVD sales began to skyrocket. Most people have a limited amount of disposable income. If it is used in one area, it can't be used elsewhere. People tend to lump purchases such as CDs, DVDs, and video games into the same entertainment category of their budgets. If I can only afford to spend $50 a month on entertainment, and I start buying more DVDs, then I sure as hell can't buy as many CDs.

  62. maybe habits have changed and quality has declined by grapeape · · Score: 2, Interesting

    When I was younger I would buy a cd every couple weeks, in the past year I have purchased two. I have a huge cd collection but it stopped growing, there just isnt enough compelling music out there. In the past year I picked up a Santana cd and The Wreckers debut album. I havent gone on strike against the record labels, though I do not buy on impulse anymore, and wont just buy a disk for one or two songs. My tastes havent really changed, I just have lost interest. I have a few independant disks that I picked up at shows and have purchased a couple dozen tunes on itunes. My wife has picked up a few disks, but to me most of the bands she is into sound the same. Maybe im just old and cranky but it just seems like the stuff being pushed these days is just so formula that owning one of the bands songs is like owning them all.

  63. The problem with these studies by dtfinch · · Score: 1

    Studies aren't usually commissioned to gather evidence and form a conclusion. They usually start with a conclusion, and gather statistics to support it.

  64. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I must clarify. I agree with the statement that "What sucks is the music that's played on the radio, not modern music.". That's precisely what I meant. That is also the music in question that RIAA cares about and is likely referring to in their figures.

    I doubt that RIAAs figures include sales of independent artists who self publish and sell at their own concerts or via the internet. I'll bet those sales add up to millions of CDs. But RIAA doesn't get a cut on those.

    The 2 CDs I bought this year were both self published.

  65. And in related news... by laughingcoyote · · Score: 5, Insightful

    'some US music consumers could have decreased their CD purchases (prior to 2004) by about 13 percent due to Internet file sharing.'

    In related news, some Congressman might now be accepting 80% more bribes, 50% of people might be below average, and 100% of statistics prefaced with "some" and "could have" are sensational bullshit. If you've got real statistics, you don't say "some might have."

    --
    To fight the war on terror, stop being afraid.
    1. Re:And in related news... by MacWiz · · Score: 1

      In other related news, even when the RIAA collects digital royalties, they then proceed to "lose track" of the artist long enough to avoid paying them.

      http://www.counterpunch.com/wilhelms09232006.html

  66. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by dc29A · · Score: 1

    Thanks to *cough* downloading *cough* my CD collection grew by about 150+ CDs in the last 4 years. There are plenty of underground, non mainstream bands that put out quality music. Of course, 99% of the CDs I bought are made by bands who play infront of about 500-1000 people max. You just have to look and you will find some awesome music, even today.

    If your music reference is MTV or radio, then yes, it's mostly garbage.

  67. my cd purchases have decreased by orson_of_fort_worth · · Score: 1

    Since 1993 purchases of cds has dwindled to 0% of my music buying. Presently, 100% of my music buying is done via Itunes and other legal outlets. Did he count me as one of the pirates?

  68. The music industry hurts the music industry... by Sodade · · Score: 1

    I dropped off the RIAA's radar 10years ago. Here is the order of events: 1. Started buying used CDs only 2. Traded burned CDs with friends 3. Downloaded MP3s from websites/ftps 4. Downloaded MP3s from p2p services 5. Downloaded MP3s from torrents 6. Now I buy them from a russian website - why? Because the pricepoint is right.

  69. Until the RIAA dies, I won't listen to music. by acherusia · · Score: 1

    You know, I can't be the only person out there who never really got into music, mostly because the RIAA pisses me off.

    If the RIAA ever looked at my purchase history, they would assume that I was the world's worst pirate, because the last time I bought a cd was when my brother asked me for one for Christmas a few years ago. I think I've bought less than ten CDs in my life. My brother occasionally tosses me one of his old cds, or a friend does, but I'm not going to pay $15 for a cd. I play those if I want background noise. I'm also not going to download illegally. I'm also not going to pay for DRM-covered crap that I can't guarantee having permanently. There are quite simply no means of me obtaining music that are both legal and acceptable to me (that I know of).

    Until the RIAA dies, and the music business works out a sane business model that I'm willing to spend money on, I won't let myself get interested in music. It's just that simple.

  70. I don't know about yall by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    but i personally buy less music now because music now sucks, and my father turned me on to the music he listened to so i have all his cds and albums

  71. Is file sharing the problem in 2006? by PCeye · · Score: 1

    I'm sure little has changed with mass downloading over Limewire & equivalents. It isn't always about the freebees that cause a slump.

    In my case, I pretty much gave up on the downloading years ago, but now find it difficult stumbling upon new music /I/ would like to hear. I no longer have the free time to "research", and the available sources tie me up with content I am not interested in.

    Regular radio in Toronto offers nothing but playlisted corporate tripe that rarely changes. I am also too cheap to spend money on satellite radio. On line samples from Amazon suck require the Real one crapware, iTunes always seems to shovel regional junk from the get-go.

    My purchases are down. In short, the industry promotes music I do not want, and I have heard little I would like to buy.

  72. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by Who235 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I just don't want their damned music. I don't want their damned music badly enough that I haven't downloaded any of it either.


    There you have it. Their product is bad, overhyped, bubblegummy teenage nonsense.

    When I find good music I buy it, and in the last 15 years or so the good music is coming out on smaller, independent labels.

    That CD I bought 6 months ago? It was made on a computer. In the home of the artist. I bought it from her at one of her appearances at a local coffeehouse.


    Amen.

    I buy CDs at shows all the time. The artist gets the money, I get the music, a major label record company gets nothing - everyone wins.

  73. False Correlation by Analogy+Man · · Score: 1

    If a decline in purchase of RIAA music corresponds with computer access by the target market, could it be possible the consumers are buying something else...say prefering playing video games instead of listening to music.

    --
    When the people fear their government, there is tyranny; when the government fears the people, there is liberty.
    1. Re:False Correlation by Lucky_Norseman · · Score: 1

      I almost never listen to music anymore. I spend a lot of time watching DVDs and playing computer games instead.

      As an estimate I buy 5% of the number of CD's today compared to 10 years ago.

      But the time spent listening to music is maybe 2% of the time I spent listening to music 10 years ago.

      Thus if you compare the CD purchases to to number of listening hours, the purchasing has doubled, but if you just compare number of purchases it has decreased to 1/20.

      Guess which figure the RIAA would quote me on.

    2. Re:False Correlation by Hinhule · · Score: 1

      If I had mod points I would mod you up because this was the same argument I was going to post.
      ----
      While on topic I'll just post my rant because I need to get it out of my system.

      You have to look at the total amount of money spent on entertainment, I bet that if you include DVD, games, internet music store sales, etc. You'll find that people spend more these days.
      I'll just assume that the 6 million World of warcraft subscribers are spending a big chunk of their entertainment budget on the world of warcraft subscribtion. So that's a lot of kids not buying britney or your other new product.
      Even the internet subscribtion fee is might eating away at the entertainment budget.

      Sorry RIAA your medium just got more competition these days.

      Not to mention the ridiculus prices you expect people to pay for a plastic disk.

  74. One personal experience... by Pocaille · · Score: 1

    Last month i went to a concert... If it where not about a torrent P2P web site listing, I will never heard about this artist (RATATAT)
    I download the album (for "free") because of the cool name. I will never spend money only because of a band's name. So because of p2p I went to the concert (with 2 of my friends) and i also bought a t-shirt...

    So bottom line: 3 tickets + 1 t-shirt... all this because of the album available on a "illegal" p2P website.

    BTW... amazing show!

  75. Perhaps it is a demographics shift too by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I have also hardly bought any CDs of late because I can't find anything I'm motivated to buy and for me suckage has increased. I don't download illegal stuff at all.

    Sure, suckage is very subjective. Another possible cause is a shift in demographics. For us people who used to buy CDs, but now don't because of perceived suckage, we have stopped buying. Period. We have not started downloading (well typically anyway). The higher volumes of new releases are now more biased away from people like me to those who like rap or whatever. Perhaps the rap-buying demographic has never been strong in CD purchases, so perhaps that explains a lot, perhaps not.

    Analogy alert: if you replace a French resturant into a MacD,then expect your patrons to change and expect your sales numbers to change too. The wine bar next door should also expect changes since your average MacD eater is probably less likely to fit the wine bar profile.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:Perhaps it is a demographics shift too by Dargoth_Rejuv · · Score: 1

      This sounds similar to my situation as well. One of the reasons I don't buy CD's anymore definitely would be the difficulty of finding music that's decent. I have always used computers, so I may not fit their statistics exactly, but from 1990-1998 or so I purchasing a new CD every week, and it was the popular music that was played on the radio and MTV (back when MTV used to have music occasionally) as well, and it was decent music. Since then, there was the Boy Band era, and after that we haven't really had music on television at all (don't bark at me about Fuze or some other station that's not widely available, that's not what I'm arguing) and I was so sick of it that I haven't really purchased a CD or, more importantly, turned on my radio or TV expecting to hear new music I want to buy. The 4-5 years of total garbage made me totally disinterested in it, and I'd bought tons of CDs in the previous 10 years that I made it just fine (I purchase maybe 3 new CDs a year now, and it's all no name stuff, and most of it probably doesn't fall into the RIAA net anyway). On a less related note about file sharing hurting the recording industry, since that time (2000 or so) any time I've turned on MTV or VH1 there have been Cribs or The Fabulous Life of Stars (or whatever the hell it's called on VH1) where they dickwave their half million dollar cars, 3 million dollar engagement rings, 20 million dollar vacation homes, and so on, so I really have a hard time feeling sorry for these artists that were still in junior high when Napster died.

    2. Re:Perhaps it is a demographics shift too by Chosen+Reject · · Score: 1

      So since you've gone to all no name music, my question is, "Is there a website I can go to find no name indie bands whose style is what I like?" For example, I want to tell it that I listen to Foo Fighters, Green Day, Nirvana, Three Days Grace and Beethoven and it will give me a list of indie bands that are similar. I think I remember hearing about something like that recently but I have no clue what it is.

      --
      Stop Global Warming!
      Just say no to irreversible processes!
    3. Re:Perhaps it is a demographics shift too by Dargoth_Rejuv · · Score: 2, Informative

      http://www.pandora.com/ is the one I use, but I'm sure there are others out there. I still keep up with a few bands that release an album every couple of years, but by no means am I buying a CD every weekend, so my habits personally would probably be part of the 'file sharing is bad argh!' statistic, rather unjustly imo.

    4. Re:Perhaps it is a demographics shift too by JadeAuto · · Score: 2, Informative

      Last.fm is another one of the demographics music websites. Very nice, i've used it for a year and a half now. It's turned me on to music in other lands that I quite enjoy.

    5. Re:Perhaps it is a demographics shift too by TheVelvetFlamebait · · Score: 1

      I agree. The RIAA has a target audience for their premier releases, and it doesn't generally include over 30s.

      However, I'd like to add that the population is getting increasingly techno-savvy. I'd imagine that P2P would be on the increase* because of this. And, well, some of them have less inhibition about P2P due to their partially undeveloped decision-making skills and their lack of wisdom.

      In other words, I think that music is NOT getting worse (just changing targets), CD sales ARE being hurt by P2P (but that isn't the only factor), and targetting the younger generation IS hurting sales (due to P2P).

      * I realise that this is not what the study is showing

      --
      You know, there is a difference between trolling and pointing out the flaws in your reasoning. Just saying.
  76. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What about those that have access to file sharing and just don't buy CD's? Honestly, Scout's Honor, (and despite being an anonymous coward) I just don't buy CD's -- maybe 4 in the last 6 years, and most of those were used. I don't download music (legally or illegally) either. My stepson is another example. He's bought fewer CD's than I during this time, and he has legally gotten the little music he has purchased through iTunes.

    Maybe we're just the exception, or maybe the answer is simply that not_buying_cds != illegally_downloading_music ?

  77. In other news... by mutube · · Score: 1

    Reduction in Pirates is responsible for global warming.

    Correlation does not imply causation*

    * although in this case it probably does.

    1. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      post hoc ergo propter hoc

  78. Olde Fashioned Sand Bagging by ElitistWhiner · · Score: 1

    Throwing this "Dead Horse" survey on the table as proof of lost sales is pure posturing. It sand bags progress by staking the false claim that damages are owed in-lieu of evidence that a better franchise could serve the needs of the Industry than the legal CD disc royalty extortion.

    Give up the sand bagging. The Flood broke through a long time ago. The RIAA were not there. Your Horse is Dead! Take your "Buggy Whip" franchise with you. The Horse and Buggy days are over.

  79. Lies, damned lies, and statistics by TheWoozle · · Score: 1

    It probably would not surprise you to learn that people in America who own personal transportation (i.e., automobiles) are the least likely to use public transportation.

    If you think that the reason they don't use public transportation is that they own a car, then you'd be wrong. Most of the people who own automobiles live in suburban and rural areas. The lack of public transportation in these areas means that they *can't* use public transportation and therefore *must* drive cars.

    This is a classic case of correlation != causation. In order to show that file sharing has hurt music sales, you are going to have to control for a *lot* more variables than just owning a computer.

    --
    Insisting on "correct" English is like saying that there is only one, definitive recipe for chili.
  80. more importantly by Dmack_901 · · Score: 0

    does it matter? If these lossed sales more than make up for it in new sales, can they still sue for the lost ones?

  81. This is news? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > the study looked for a link between owning a computer and decreased CD purchases

    Yeah -- no kidding.

    The people who owned a computer spent more time with it, and therefore had less time for other entertainment products.

    This effect has been well-documented for years, and has had a particularly important impact on the television industry.

    The rise of PC video games has had a major impact on all entertainment industries. Is this news to somebody?

  82. The best things in life are free by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have both copied music (not exactly legally - that's why I'm posting Anon.) and bought CDs off the shelves. Now my mp3 player is filled with both the music. Over the years I've found that the music that I copied for free is music I really like and that the music that I listen to more often. The music that I'ved ripped from the CDs is stored in some corner of my mp3 player and I rarely listen the same.

  83. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by gtada · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Hmmm... I wonder if it's possible to gather data on what people are downloading. If the rate at which people are downloading 5-15 year old stuff is higher, that could at least indicate that today's music is less appealing in general.

    It'd also be interesting to see how many of the songs downloaded are by unsigned bands that wouldn't be accounted for in total CD sales anyways.

  84. Too many variables by Srsen · · Score: 1
    I would think this kind of study would have very little chance of getitng robust results just because you are trying to establish not just a correlation, but a causal relationship between P2P and CD sales, two things which are somewhat related, but also depend on a lot of other variables. I have not read the study that was the subject of the Ars story, but if I were doing this kind of study I would want to know:
    • The disposable income of the subjects, and how it changed over time
    • The longer you own a computer, do your CD purchases increase or decrease?
    • Do new computer owners slow their CD purchases, or were they never buying CDs int he first place?
    • Whether the behavior was affected by age and employment status (e.g. is it just a college thing?)
    • Overall CD sales trend over time vs a baseline from historical data
    • Do DVD sales (comparable media but not as acessible via P2P) show the same trend as CD sales?
    • Average CD price over the time period
    • Gross sales of used CDs over the time period
    • Average education level of computer users over the time period
    Plus a lot of other things I might want to test in the data like parental income, gender, hair color, etc. Even with all of this data, you are still not going to be able to privide enough evidence to establish a causal relationship.
  85. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Iron+Condor · · Score: 1

    All music is world music. I ain't never heard an alien sing a song.

    There ya'go: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-744011853 6241933678&q=alien+song

    ...always pleased to help out...

    --
    We're all born with nothing.
    If you die in debt, you're ahead.
  86. Anecdotes C & D by i)ave · · Score: 1

    And then there's Anecdote C&D Anecdote C: You hear a single good song from an artist, you go to iTunes or whathaveyou and you buy THAT SINGLE SONG for a buck, rather than be forced to shell out $20 for a CD that has 1 good song and 16 pieces of crap. The music industry started getting rid of singles in the 1980's because there were too many 1-hit wonders. For a period of about 15-20 years there was very little way for one to purchase a single. In my opinion, this is what got people trading music online. They wanted 1 song, not 16 pieces of crap +1 song. Furthermore, generation X felt it was payback time for all those times they'd taken their allowance down to the music store, dropped it all on a CD, run home and discovered they had just lost a week's allowance on 1 good song. Now that the hardware companies have forced the music industry into selling singles again, OF COURSE CD SALES ARE GOING DOWN. ; ) Anecdote D: Someone downloads a few songs from a file-sharing site that they had previously thought they'd like because they already like 1 song by the same artist. They figure they'll buy the CD if there are a few good songs on it, but thanks to file-sharing, they discover those other songs are, pieces of crap, and that shelling out $20 is not worth it for 1 song. Maybe they buy the 1 song from iTunes, maybe they don't even care about owning it that much at all now. But regardless, they will now never by that CD. In the '80's, 90's, either you had a friend who already had the CD, or you took a gamble and bought it anyway. Bottom line is, as long as file-sharing is out there, the music industry will not be able to screw consumers anymore with their 1 good song + 16 pieces of crap = $20 that they got away with for 20 years... people now have a way of finding out exactly what they're buying before they spend their money and that's got to make the industry irate.

    --
    -- I'd give my right arm to be ambidextrous
  87. beating a dead horse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Thanks a lot cmdrRetardo

  88. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by NosTROLLdamus · · Score: 0

    I've actually heard a lot of complaints about this recently. Everbody is in such a tizzy to get their CDs louder than everybody else's they compress the shit out of it. Gotta love clipping.

  89. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not more money, more consistant money. That is a very important thing to understand about these guys-- they are not as interested in the chance to make a huge killing as they are in making a consistant profit. This means a "formula" will work well for them. But what they have not realized yet is that sticking to said formula will give diminishing returns in the long run.

  90. Re:Actually, File Sharing HELPED the music busines by gzerphey · · Score: 1

    For forgot something 5)????? 6)Profit!!!!!

    --
    I don't have a microwave. I do, however, have a clock that occasionally cooks shit.
  91. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by evil_Tak · · Score: 1

    There are 16, or 17 if you count the one that's away at college.

  92. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by kfg · · Score: 1

    . . .17 if you count the one that's away at college.

    Yeeeeeeeeeeeeah. Bummer. Couln't be the bastard that's always hiding my socks, Nooooooooo! She'd have to be one I actually miss.

    KFG

  93. ill start buying CD's When... by Nocturnal+Deviant · · Score: 1

    buying 2 of them isn't the cost of a tank of gas..........

    drop the price from like $16 to id say around $5, like indie labels, WHICH I MIGHT ADD I BUY FROM, and ill THINK about buying your CD's, think being now i feel buying your CD's is morally wrong because of you suing granny's and 13 year old kids.

    --
    -Noc
  94. Link? Absolutely by ShimmyShimmy · · Score: 1


    1. I buy music on CD.
    // begin link
    3. RIAA sends nasty letter to my ISP; sues one of my friends.
    4. I realize how evil RIAA is.
    // end link
    5. I buy many fewer CDs.

    Genius.

    --
    Partial Credit: The Engineer's Best friend
    "Well, the bridge didn't fall all the way down!"
  95. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Admiral+Justin · · Score: 1
    They have since realized that they'll make more money sticking to the formula, so they push nothing but garbage on the radio and MTV nowadays.


    Wait... music... on MTV? That can't be possible.
    --
    You will be baked, and there will be cake.
  96. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by computational+super · · Score: 1
    and global warming.

    Actually, it was established several years ago that it was actually a decline in piracy that led to global warming.

    --
    Proud neuron in the Slashdot hivemind since 2002.
  97. Hmmm I increased My purchases by Grommet+-+Space+Cade · · Score: 0

    I find it strange that they think their product is never going to reduce in sales EVER!! Isn't it likely that the CD is not the optimum product in the future? Isn't it likely that the products they them selves manufacture and market would also reduce the Demand.

    Pioneer, Sony how many CD Writing capable products have you sold..

    I also would like to point out that I have purchased about 45 Music products this year....DVD Concerts & Collections. Sure i bought CDs too but i purchased more DVD music products than CD based this year because i have a big screen and surround sound also.

    Why can't they look at the sales of Music PRODUCTS rather than CDs...its not that we less its that we buy multiple mediums also.

    --
    WTF - Speak in acronyms already, i can't figure out what you mean otherwise boss
  98. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by davido42 · · Score: 1
    To quote Happy Bunny: "I can't help it if your music sucks!"

    However, what is happening (my opinion, worth what you're paying) is that we are seeing the gradual decline of the major labels, as more and more bands go indie and take control of their own distribution.

    Now repeat after me: I want to hear how bad your music sucks at bitworksmusic.com. I sense a new marketing campaign: "not quite as sucky as you'd think". Right. http://www.bitworksmusic.com/

    --

    BitWorksMusic.com -- odd tunes for odd times

  99. Simple cause and effect, and the RIAA report card by hAckz0r · · Score: 1

    1) [-] increased prices due to inflation => decreased CD sales
    (normal inflation)

    2) [-] increased cost incurred from deploying DRM technology => decreased overall sales
    (DRM drives cost up; even technology that can't possibly work, it still costs money to deploy)

    3) [-] increased level of junk recordings => decreased CD sales
    (where pricing no longer reflects value)

    4) [-] decreased quality/value of published works => decreased CD sales
    (RIAA still forces us to buy a full CD full of junk just to get the one song)

    5) [-] decrease in useability of the media format/platform for different devices => decreased sales
    (again DRM directly counters profit, not all player devices work anymore)

    6) [--] increased cynicism and contempt for the RIAA => decreased sales
    (where the customer is always wrong for wanting to listen to what the just bought)

    7) [+] increase of tools to counter DRM => increased CD sales
    (DRM can't work in the long term)

    8) [+] increase of non DRM purchasing channels => increased online sales, but not CD's

    This reminds me of some childhood story books:

    Ok, RIAA, "what is wrong with this picture".

  100. My purchaces by Sirusjr · · Score: 1

    I actually almost never bought music in high school and only since i have been hardcore into music sharing, ive increased my cd purchacing output by a lot. I now have a few favorite japanese groups who i am subscribed to on a japanese site so i can get an email as soon as something new is put up by them and preorder it. I much prefer to buy a cd from an artist who is smaller and whose new cd blows my mind to buying a cd from an artist who is so massively popular they will sell no matter what. I prefer to support any group i like a lot by going to their concerts and buying t-shirts rather then buying their cds. This is especially because they dont get much money from the cd compared to other things.

  101. They are Some Idiots! even the study...... by A+Wise+Guy · · Score: 1

    "Covering the period of 1995-2003, the study looked for a link between owning a computer and decreased CD purchases." Just looking at this article pisses me off! First off, people with jobs get payed a certain amount of money. after you get payed, you pay your bills, and take the family out etc. The money which you have left over is what you have to spend on items you like which makes you happy. Before we had books, then books and newspapers, now we have the books and newspapers and magezines and television and music and videogames and hobbies like fishes and jogging and traveling. Of course CD sales are going to drop. In my expirience, I stoped purchasing music long ago (since 1992). I was a gamer since the atari era and still am. Now I buy more games, watch no television, no newspapers, some books, alot of games, and i listen to the music i own since years ago. New music sucks anyways and have no intention of purchasing american RIAA crappy music. Even depeche mode released an album with only 2 good songs. So I flip this article 2 fingers up and along with the RIAA with 2 fingers up and 2 foot fingers up as well.

  102. Re:Actually, File Sharing HELPED the music busines by chgros · · Score: 1

    1. Nicholls State University is in Thibodaux, Louisana which isn't exactly a hotbed of business research
    2. His study doesn't state where the funding to conduct the study was obtained from.
    3. The data came from the Consume Expenditure Survey, which is notoriously inaccurate

    You may want to check on ad hominem

  103. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Manitcor · · Score: 1

    I dont know about the average consumer but I know I have purcahsed alot less CDs. Mainly I only buy RIAA CDs if its a band I REALLY like. Back in the early days of ripping it was not uncommon for me to drop $50 every month on CD purchases but now that RIAA has decided to attack its own customers I find my self looking at alternative bands and non-RIAA publishers for my music.

    I also have to say that satallite radio has played a big role in dropping my dependance from CDs. For about $140 a year I have 100 radio staions to choose from, most of which are commerical free. When I want to listen to a certain type of music I typically go there. If I do buy a CD its more for a specific artist or CD I know I want and I avoid RIAA publishers as much as possible.

    I prob dont represent the majority of the population but I would not be surprised if there was a decnt chunk of people who are trying to Boycott RIAA on a personal level. Also I would like to see a study on Sat radio vs CD sales.

    --
    "Don't mess with him, he taunts the happy fun ball."
  104. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by mackyrae · · Score: 1

    A mall was built by my house in 2001 or 2002 (it was right after we moved in in August 2001).

    --
    look! it's a bird, it's a plane, it's....a girl? yes, a girl browsing Slashdot on Linux
  105. RTFA, the summary is laughably bad. by kinglink · · Score: 1

    The best lines of the article are

    "Covering the period of 1995-2003, the study looked for a link between owning a computer and decreased CD purchases"

    "During 2002 computer owners' CD sales decreased by $4.79 a year, and by $5.55 in 2003. Those without computers only decreased by $0.80 and $0.22, respectively. On the other hand, in 2001, the year that Napster closed, people with computers increased their CD buying by 19 percent while non-computer owners held steady."

    If you notice he's comparing PEOPLE WITH A COMPUTER against people with out a computer. This boggles the mind as to what data you can get from this. If you own a computer you're immediatly less likely to buy CDs?

    This paper isn't even ABOUT file-sharing. It's about computer owners and cds. Maybe those with Computers bought games and software rather than CDs. This guy doesn't even try to draw a corrolation between people with Computers vs people with computers and Internet. Apparently by the synopsis you can own a computer and fileshare with or without the internet?

    In the end this paper isn't even worth summarizing because there's nothing in the paper about filesharing except a couple dates and a word in the title. This is all about computer owners, and guess what? People have owned computers for 20 years. NEXT

    1. Re:RTFA, the summary is laughably bad. by digitalhermit · · Score: 1

      Hell yeah my CD purchases went down.. I started buying from iTunes because the first thing I do when I buy a CD is to toss it inside my laptop, fire up grip and rip the album to mp3, then import it to iTunes. I have bought hundreds of CDs before. I'm married now, have a kid, have lots of clutter. If I can get the music and skip those dinky plastic cases that are always breaking then of course I'm going to do so.

      And yeah, iTunes is probably on the evil side of the good/evil line, but it's very convenient for this sandal wearing, green tea drinking, Linux using, dork that used to buy CDs.

    2. Re:RTFA, the summary is laughably bad. by freedom_india · · Score: 1

      Two questions: What is grip you mention? and is it available on Mac? I searched for it on sourceforge and it doesn't exist.

      --
      "Doing what i can, with what i have." ~ Burt Gummer
  106. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    I have to agree, I tend to buy my CDs direct from the band. It's just that there are so many sucky songs nowadays.

    That plus no giant album cover art.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  107. Disposable Income... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I used to buy a lot of music. In college, I had a huge collection for the time - about 200 singles. I even worked as DJ from time to time in the college pub... Later, i got a job and bought albums. I had (still have some) about 4 feet of vinyl. About 1985 I started buying CD's - quality jump was so impressive from records that I was hooked. I even watched for years to see what was coming out on CD. Remember when it was a big deal that The Beatles were finally releasing their albums on CD? I think the music industry confused rebuilding record collections with on-going music sales.

    However, they're not making any more 60's or 70's music; or even 80s, a lot of which was good. I will reiterate the previous comments, modern music sucks! As does rap. I bought the stuff I "gotta have" and there's not a lot coming out that I will run out and buy. Once in a long while I buy something, but not what I would describe as "top 20" music. (...and it's not "oh, you forgot the CRAP from 30 years ago". Pick a random year back then, and list the top songs that still play on the Solid Gold stations. Pick the top albums. Now try to put together a similar list for 2005 or 2004. Pretty slim pickins.)

    Meanwhile, along come DVD's. Where I used to buy a CD for $20, I can now buy a DVD, often for less. (Yay to blockbuster and the used DVD rack!). I now have several hundred DVD's, since I would pay $10 for a used DVD or $5 to view it once. The really good movies I might buy new.

    As for music - those one-hit wonders and other crappola - yes, I'll admit I have downloaded. If there were an easy way to get MP3's (not WMA or AAC - my MP3 players don't support) I might have bought them instead, but it's too late now.

    I also wonder about leisure time. With computers, the internet, and cable channels, and even music feed on cable TV (and video games for the younger bunch) - who takes time to sit and listen to an album all the way through, the way I did 30 years ago? Music as a hobby isn't as prominent as then. Heck, I find myself reading books a LOT less than before.

    Similarly, the movie industry is missing the boat. They assume their previously high level of sales can be correlated to current releases, but I suspect a large number are people building their collection. I wonder how many, like me, will be content with what they have - I don't need to re-purchase "Peter Sellers' The Party" or "Meet the Fokkers" in HD. Odds are I won't even re-buy Blade Runner or Dune. Also, HD is NOT the quantum leap that CD was over vinyl. So, HD will be a moderate disappointment to the movie indstry with or without stupid format wars.

        As I watch movies being RE-released on DVD, I sense an air of desperation to milk every last dollar from a dwindling market instead of creating new content. ("The Little Mermaid, for the first time now as a TWO DVD set!" Are you listening, Disney? Won't work. The first one lasts forever unless the kids played frisbee with it, and then it gets passed around when they're too old... diminishing market!)

    There's a moment when you can jump in and grab the market to yourself. You can be the next eBay or iTunes or Google or Amazon. Or you can do it wrong or miss the boat, and be the next Pets.com or RIAA...

  108. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Dargoth_Rejuv · · Score: 1

    I'd be interesting to see these statistics as well. The only file sharing I really do is replacing CDs I've long since lost or not taken care of properly, I'd imagine there are many in that same boat.

  109. And RIAA lawsuits... by RareButSeriousSideEf · · Score: 1

    I haven't bought a single new CD since the RIAA started these shenanigans. I used to buy 1 - 2 a month, probably about 18 a year on average.

    I still buy CDs mind you, I just confine my purchases to used ones; I have some minor moral quibbles with funding racketeering & extortion organizations.

    If there even is a bona fide decrease in CD sales (I'm unconvinced), I wonder how much of the decrease is accounted for by those intentionally refraining from CD purchases as part of an anti-RIAA attitude? It has to be a pretty small slice of the pie chart, I know, but hell... I'd be thrilled to know I was part of a group responsible for a 0.5% drop in CD sales.

    1. Re:And RIAA lawsuits... by Technician · · Score: 1

      I wonder how much of the decrease is accounted for by those intentionally refraining from CD purchases as part of an anti-RIAA attitude?

      And how many can't identify a redbook CD on the shelf from a shiny plastic round thing the either tries to root the system or install some DRM player. The lack of a Compact Disk logo prominately displayed is a sure sign the contents may try to hose my system.

      Get real. There are real risks to trying to buy retail music anymore. This has had an impact on the market. Denying it is blind.

      --
      The truth shall set you free!
    2. Re:And RIAA lawsuits... by RareButSeriousSideEf · · Score: 1

      A bit of irony on that point...

      My habit of buying only used CDs earned me a rootkit; after the defective-by-design units had been pulled from store shelves, some of them ended up in the used bin, and like a doofus I wasn't paying attention when I popped it in my laptop drive with AutoPlay enabled. Whoops! No great inconvenience there since I'm in the habit of making regular disk-image backups of my system drive, but I did have a laugh at my own expense after realizing what had happened.

      I honestly wonder how many people changed their CD buying habits over the Sony/BMG malware deal. It'd be great if it was a massive segment of the buying public, but I suspect that in reality it's an even smaller group than those who are boycotting RIAA goods out of opposition to their tactics.

  110. Just because you own a computer... by Shacky · · Score: 1

    I really don't see how people can come up with the notion that by owning a PC, it automatically means that file-sharing
    is at fault for not buying that latest collection of 15 crappy songs, and 1 good song.

    Has anyone thought that maybe people who have PC's are a bit more educated on things such as how much money our
    of each cd purchase is really given to the artist? There could be a ton of things at play here.
    This kind of "study" almost sounds like deep down, it was paid for by "the man..."

    I think that this will be a never-ending debate on the same grounds as "do cell phones cause cancer" - Everyone has their
    end-all-be-all answer, until the next study comes out a year later..

  111. I must be wierd by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I buy more music now, either as downloads or CDs since it became so easy to umm, try before you buy. Maybe things would be different if I was an impovorished student but as a grown up(?) with an income, I have downloaded shedloads of stuff, dumped what I didn't like then bought what I do. The only stuff I don't buy is things I can't buy - remixes, deleted stuff etc.
    I've discovered a load of bands I'd never have tried had I not scanned down a list in Napster way back in the day and thought 'that's a great name for a band/track, wonder what it's like?'. One download later, I find I like it and it's off to my local CD emporeum to buy the thing. It also helps that record companies have wised up a bit and started producing CDs with all sorts of nice extras, DVDs, bonus tracks, funky cases etc. Appeals to the magpie in me.
    On the downside, my wife complains I have too many CDs and sort of insists I sell some everytime I buy some so even eBay is winning now. Win/Win all round.

  112. Not demographics - Not Enough Cow Bell by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 5, Funny

    I doubt it. I'm in my 40's and I've noticed a distinct lack of cow bell in today's music.

    But forcing Blu-Ray on me won't get me to buy the White Album again - I already burned it onto MP3.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  113. Indie artists are eating the RIAA's client's lunch by crovira · · Score: 1

    And they are doing it LEGALLY.

    I buy individual songs (rarely whole CDs worth of them.)

    The RIAA sucks, their clients suck and the fucking pap smear that they expect us to buy sucks.

    I SUPPORT indie artists AT THE EXPENSE of the "soit-disant" mainstream because I believe in mining the their very source BEFORE they get their hands on them and "Wall*Mart"ing the creativity out of them.

    --
    MSBPodcast.com The opinions expressed here are my own. If you don't like 'em... Think up your own stuff.
  114. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by micromuncher · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I agree. My buying habits have changed. I still listen to a wide variety of radio stations; but my desire to buy what I hear is zero. So I go to extremes to buy stuff that doesn't suck. I noticed I starting buying more from Amazon 'cause HMV,A&B,BestBuy,etc/etc were all selling the same "promoted" crap. Now I see more indy record companies pushing their own and bypassing traditional distributors (for example, I heard Dervish on FolkAlley.com and could not find them except through their associated on-line store.)

    One thing that truly freaks me out is the blatent theft of riffs and complete lack of originality by many of the leading "Pop" artists. Hey... isn't that Madonna butchering ABBA? Rihanna pilfering SoftCell? Gwen and Fergie ripping off children's songs - or each other.

    --
    /\/\icro/\/\uncher
  115. Sure there's a link... by hendersj · · Score: 1

    But the article's also missing a link. It's not:

    Increase File Sharing -> Lower CD Sales due to piracy

    It's

    Increased File Sharing -> RIAA Lawsuits -> Lower CD Sales due to boycotts

    I don't share copyrighted material that I don't own the copyright for, but I stopped buying CDs when RIAA started suing individuals in protest over their tactics.

    It's a fairly well-known fact that most of the people who pirate (software, music, movies, whatever) weren't going to spend the money to begin with, so it's something of a false arguement to make that every downloaded song translates to a lost sale. Similarly, it's not uncommon for someone who downloads a track from a CD to decide they want to support the artist and thus go out and purchase the disc. Things are not as clear-cut (vis-a-vis the supposed inverse relationship between revenue and piracy) as the RIAA and their mouthpieces would have us believe. Things *are* as clear-cut as RIAA wants us to believe when it comes to copyright law, however, and I have to give credit where it's due. It's their tactics that I protest, not their "enforcement" (outside of reasonable fair use) tactics that I have an issue with.

    As it happens, since they started their new business model of suing individuals, it struck me that most of the stuff that they were selling was crap anyways, so I don't feel I'm missing out on much. There's a few things that I've wanted to purchase, like the soundtracks for the Lord of the Rings movies, but until they change their strategy, I'll have to listen to the music while I watch the film or from audio tracks I rip from the DVDs I purchased.

    --
    Insanity is a gradual process; don't rush it.
  116. filesharing hurts sales? by steampoweredlawngnom · · Score: 1

    I may be in the minority, but I download music sort of as a "test drive" before I spend my money on the album. there are many bands i would not have heard of, and consequentially purchased their albums were it not for filesharing. Especially with indie artists who don't get much radio/tv coverage, it would seem that filesharing really should help boost sales. Were it not for gnutella, I would never have even heard of bands like Califone, 764-HERO, Holopaw, Black Heart Procession, Ugly Casanova, Brent Arnold, Process of a Still Life, and many others, whos albums I went out and bought after "stealing" their music and costing them all that revenue. Record labels and their artists have made far more money off of me since I discovered filesharing. Though to be fair, I don't think most indie bands are signed with labels associated with RIAA.

  117. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by vertinox · · Score: 2, Insightful

    And how exactly to you propose to objectively measure the "level of suckage"?

    Does it involve booty dancing videos or angsty emo kids screaming?

    No, but seriously.

    The reason music sucks today is that all stations are owned by clear channel and MTV doesn't play music videos anymore.

    Secondly, most major stars aren't even really musicians in their own right, but rather manufactured acts.

    That said... I quote wiki: "In June 2003, Jon Wiederhorn of MTV.com referred to Marilyn Manson as 'the only true artist today'."

    And lastly, I have a hunch that more kids are playing video games instead of just listening to music... Or at least putting more income into said devices.

    How many CDs could you buy with a PS3?

    --
    "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
    -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
  118. Less CD Sales!+Less music sales by Monsuco · · Score: 1

    The article never mentions online music sales, which the RIAA sure as hell benifits from. SOme people might switch from buying CDs to using an online service.

  119. Rock vs Pop by static0verdrive · · Score: 2, Interesting

    As a musician, let me explain something. In the rock or underground world, you get paid next to nothing for your CD sales. The record company knows bands are hit-or-miss, so keep all the dough to themselves, letting the band make their money from live shows *if they are widely accepted. This is in contrast to the pop industry, who knows that the pop groups are close to one-hit-wonders, and the "artist" gets paid for their CD and tour as a lump sum. The record company rakes in the profits from the CDs and shows. In most cases, the pop groups are built by the industry for this very rea$on, vs rock groups who create themselves.

    --
    ========
    77 77 77 2e 6d 65 6c 76 69 6e 73 2e 63 6f 6d
  120. Re:Here is why you are wong. by vertinox · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Music today is no better nor worse than yesterday. You remember the good stuff and forget the crap, the same way I remember the good 90s music and not the crap.. That is how things work. You remember the good and discard the crap.

    Every generation has had its share of good and bad music and the manufactured pop idols, but one thing is different today than it was 5, 10, or 20 years ago.

    Clear Channel owns all the radios and MTV doesn't play music videos anymore.

    This means artists are chosen by the media cartels payola system rather than a voting system by the populace.

    As a kid I remember every year, there would a video that would play at midnight and then it would get popular and play at 10pm and then later it would be playing nonstop at primetime for an entire month.

    Now, a band is just manufactured and *BAM* they are on the prime time whether you like it or not.

    Mabye all those old bands were manufactured as well, but these days it isn't even remotley democratic.

    Do you remember the days when any local band had a chance of getting their demo played on the radio and then making it big?

    These days there is no such thing as a local radio station. They play the same lists on the East Coast as they do the West coast. Hell many of the shows are getting the same audio stream.

    So I wouldn't say the quality of music has gone down hill, but rather the industry itself and its promotions methods. RIAA and crew are no longer satisfied with taking chances with people possibly making it big. If they sign you then they force it down everyone's throats even if they aren't liked.

    Which is of course why we see more one hit wonders these days of people who real job was making jingles for commercials or have a pretty face.

    It isn't the internet or piracy nor iTunes killing the industry, but the industry itself.

    The only way to fix it would be to break up the RIAA monopoly and force Clear Channel to sell its stations.

    --
    "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
    -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
  121. It's a lie to force DRM. by twitter · · Score: 1

    It's important to fight this lie because it's being used to strip everyone of their freedom. The most important aspect of this was covered ten days ago, here, and years ago here and here and again and again. The main things to notice are decreasing procudtion, sucky promotion and high music sales to portable music player owners. From second link,

    According to the RIAA's own figures, over the last two years the US music industry has produced 25% fewer CDs. The peak of production was in 1999 when 38,900 individual titles were released. But by 2001 this was down to 27,000. Releases grew again in 2002 but were still below the previous high. Musician George Ziemann says if only 3,000 copies of each of the "missing" CDs were sold, the fall in sales would be wiped out.

    Gee, don't make and promote new releases don't sell music. From the second link:

    As sharing continues to grow, music sales ironically appear to follow in an upward parallel.

    Finally, from the latest Jupiter Research,

    The only salient characteristic shared by all owners of portable music players was that they were more likely to buy more music, especially CDs

    Portable music player owners are a better metric than "computer owners". You might as well try to corelate typewriter ownership with phonograph sales in the 70s because general purpose computers and music are not related in most homes. Portable music owners, on the other hand have linked their computers to their music are most able of computer users to swap their music. They are computer savy and might have their entire collection in their pocket or on their laptop ready to swap out with their music loving friends. Yet they buy more music than the rest of the population, including "computer owners" who could care less about music.

    In the end, this is about control. People exposed to music purchase music. It's that simple. "Piracy" is a smoke screen. The problem for the RIAA is that online music allows competition, which is something their business model can't stand. Music "piracy" does not harm sales, but it will be used as an excuse to force DRM on everyone.

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

  122. Let's buy games and peripherals by xixax · · Score: 2, Insightful
    ...the study looked for a link between owning a computer and decreased CD purchases."


    This is baseless, inane trash with no grip on reality. The "study" is 100% pure crap.


    What's a simpler answer that would *also* match the observations (assuming that ther's a significant correlation)? Let's see, maybe people with computers buy computer games, War Crack, Ever Crack and other things with their disposable income.


    They should bring back medieval style public humilation for people who mis-represent and distort the scientific method.


    Xix.

    --
    "Everything is adjustable, provided you have the right tools"
    1. Re:Let's buy games and peripherals by jkonrad · · Score: 1


      Wrong. Read the report before commenting on it.

  123. Poor stats and the missing middlemen by doppiodave · · Score: 2

    while we're on the subject of nonsense, this discussion started with a battle over "correlations" then made its way to "connections" - while everybody is apparently referring to "causality", a long stretch to a mere connection. and looking for one variable to point the finger at. if the piracy/cd sales bs isn't multifactorial, i don't know what is.

    and speaking of over-simplifying the details (exactly what the labels want us to do), up here in the frozen north (canada), we've done one piece of math: it's the copyright collectives - most of them not working directly for either the fat cats or* the starving musicians - who are going to grab the lion's share of the revenue in an itunes world. as much as 40% of gross, split 8 or 9 ways. making up new kinds of rights and license fees for middlemen is what we call "copyright reform".

  124. Oh no! by shack420 · · Score: 1

    The amount of mp3s downloaded of any particular artist is likely to be proportionate to their actual record sales. Eg, big artists making big $$$ have more of their music downloaded for free. so, britney cant buy another $5000 handbag this week? oh god someone call the police.

  125. well now by crashelite · · Score: 1

    in order to do this calculation you would also have to know the units shipped and all those fun facts that are avalable on the RIAA website... but now for the hard to get stats like # of albums release that is the hard to find information not to mention find some corrilation between the # of computers that have internet access and the # of users on file sharing websites and many more factors.

    the RIAA has released less cd singles and albums last year then they did in 2004 and they wonder why their # 's are dropping... they are just pissed they are not making as much as they did back in 1998-2000 but the reason for that is not because of people downloading music it is because of independent lables... its just like the fall of the big studios in hollywood back in the day, they were making pleanty of movies its just no one wanted to watch the same shit that they have seen many times before they wanted new material, and in this case no one wants to listen to the same crap over and over.

    now neglect the same shit over and over part and add into the RIAA figures alll the independent lables out there and i am sure there would be a increase in sales.... look at fuled by ramen they are not part of the RIAA and they have artists that have amazing lyrics and songs that sell a LOT... that all being said RIAA needs to get more bands and better music... simple as that

    (and i dont care about my grammer or spelling so dont bother posting about it i already know and dont care ... you would be waisting ur time)

    --
    (yes i know i suck at spelling fell free to correct my grammar and/or spellin i dont care, im still not going to change
  126. Better things to spend on by Meph_the_Balrog · · Score: 1
    I've got a computer. I haven't purchased a CD in about 6 months, however, I know that Amazon will still deliver them to me for free, so the cost of driving to the mall has nothing to do with it.


    For my part its also that I have a computer, and I have computer games. I only really listen to music when I'm driving, and even then its usually free-to-air stuff. I have far more entertaining things to spend my money on.

    I guess it hasn't occured to them that CD sales might be falling off due to the glut of diferent forms of media now available to the public.
  127. What about married gen Xers? by zenasprime · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Now that they are all getting married off, wouldn't they be buying half as many cd since 2 people only have to buy 1 CD as opposed to 2 they previously bought when they were single?

    Variables; do you have them all properly initialized and accounted for? :)

  128. duh! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I know this is an unpopular thing to say among the /. crowd but it needs to be said. How can you deny that there is a correlation between online music file sharing and decreased cd sales? Obviously, a lot of the other factors mentioned in this thread have some merit too but how can you seriously deny that a correlation exists here? Not everyone who downloads a song from the internet says, "Hey! Cool song. I'm gonna go buy the cd!". Most people say, "Hey! Cool Song. I'm gonna put this on my mp3 player." There may be a few of you that honestly will use online music downloading as a "demo" as someone claimed earlier, but the majority of people won't. They already have the song and they got it for free so why pay money for something that you already got for free. And now that you know where to get something cool for free, that's the first place you'll go next time. Why would I go to a store where I know I'm going to have to pay $20 for a CD when I can go online where I know I can get it for free?

    It's definitely not the only factor but it has to contribute. Any reasonable person (I know not many of these can be found on /.) has to agree with that.

  129. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by Achromatic1978 · · Score: 1
    Gah. Seriously, this is why some people get all sceptical when it comes to Wikipedia! What a pile of absolute crap masquerading as authoritative. So Bobby Henderson creates a 'parody religion'. Good for him. We then get this mass of creative fiction, published among other places as fact - and of course the Wikipedia "consensus" is that it should stay, as is, including such "references" as "purported sightings on video", and "Samping of Evidence in Support of Existence" by a fucking creative writing collective.

    Is there a place for parody? Sure. But it's damn amusing to see Wikipedia thump its own chest and claim "more accurate and authoritative than Encyclopedia Brittanica", and have (and actively defend!) steaming turds like this.

  130. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Some_Llama · · Score: 1

    Off topic sorta, "This is mostly a result of the deregulation of radio" Can anyone give an example of something that didn't get worse for the "consumer" after it was deregulated?

  131. OH whatever. by Overfiend1976 · · Score: 1

    More like, since 95% of music out these days fuc*ing sucks, natrually sales have declined :P But of course they don't release any studies correleating the ratio of music being trash to sales right-o?

    --
    This sig will self destruct in 5 seconds.
  132. File Sharing DOES hurt the music biz... by RexRhino · · Score: 3, Insightful

    File sharing DOES hurt the current model of the music biz... one that is based on the disposable mega-pop-star. It is hard to sell 10 million albums for a musician with one hit song when someone can just download the single they like so easily. For a pop-phenomena, it is very easy to hit the critical mass of people online to share something.

    On the other hand, there is a lot of music that is very hard to find on file sharing networks. Whole genres of music are pretty much unaccounted for on file sharing networks. If you can't listen to it on an FM radio station, good luck finding it. There might be a successful business model in selling fewer records of more artists, than selling more records of a handful of artists.

    Regardless, it is not the role of the government to be propping up outdated business models. I think it is pretty clear that the automobile was pretty disastrous to the blacksmithing and livery industries... but it created even more profitable industries in the long run. Think of the mess we would be in if we tried to save the blacksmithing and livery industries as large scale parts of our economy. True, file-sharing IS stealing and immoral, I don't deny that: but so is taking my tax money against my will, in order to fund a government agency to preemptively go after file sharing, or to legally harass potentially innocent people, or to legally restrict new technologies because they *MAY* potentially be used for file sharing. The immorality of file-sharing (extremely minor evil, if it is evil at all) is far outweighed by the immorality of the draconian methods required for enforcement.

    And specific to the music industry... WE WILL NEVER HAVE A SHORTAGE OF MUSIC!!! Music is one of those things people enjoy doing without payment... and one of those things that garners a lot of non-financial rewards (attention, respect, adoration). Look at all the garage bands, amateur musicians, people making demo CDs, people posting their music free on websites, and tell me that we would not have lots and lots of music, even if the entire industry collapsed. Making music is not like building airplanes, in that it takes vast amounts of capital and can be dangerous if done by people who don't know what they are doing.

  133. Experience from the Trenches of the Music Biz by termite12 · · Score: 1

    The band Syrius Jones went with a Creative Commons Sharing License in May and has since had the busiest summer of bookings in 3 years. True, we have definitely sold fewer CDs, but have more than made up the difference in revenue from the shows.

    At best, a die-hard fan buys one CD every year for $10, yet a casual fan will go to show after show dropping $10 bucks for tickets every time. File-sharing == more fans == more revenue.

    Just food for thought from the trenches.

  134. Unit of Measure for suckage by greenbird · · Score: 1

    And how exactly to you propose to objectively measure the "level of suckage"?

    You abviously don't read alt.sysadmin.recovery. The unit of measure is well defined as the Lovelace.

    --
    Who is John Galt?
  135. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Moofie · · Score: 1

    "I still listen to a wide variety of radio stations"

    Wow. Where do you find that? I get sixteen flavors of ClearChannel, and NPR. Thank GOD for NPR.

    --
    Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
  136. Who Doesn't own a computer? by Alchemar · · Score: 1

    Seriously, lets look at who doesn't own a computer:

    1. Econmically challenged - Probably not buying CDs by the truck load
    2. People that don't like new technology - Maybe LP sales are down too
    3. Kids who's mommy/daddy won't buy them a computer - Will buy whatever junk you put on the radio with their lunch money

    Most people that can afford a computer on their own have probably figured out that buying a new CD once a week is money better spent elsewhere. The kids who's mommy/daddy did buy the computer are going to download everything they can, and spend all thier lunch money buying video games. Give you on guess what the video game comes on - A CD. If the record company is going to say that CD sales are down, they need to include the sales off all blank CDs, software CDs, and music CDs. Any money left over is going to the music store or the GAP.

  137. Re:Actually, File Sharing HELPED the music busines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    that's not really an ad hominem

  138. Too bad there's no metric for shitty music by initialE · · Score: 1

    I'm sure there's data to be extracted out of that relationship

    --
    Starbucks, Harbuckle of Breath.
  139. I wanna talk about me, I wanna talk about I by CarnivoreMan · · Score: 1

    I prefer the quality and physical ownership of a CD, but I love being able check out new songs to see how I like them via the intarnwebs. As such, all filesharing has done for me is increase my CD purchasing. Myspace has also helped in this regard.

  140. filesharing has made me buy MORE cds by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    due to the fact that I am able to discover actual good bands rather than the shit they force feed via the radio. Maybe if the radio endorsed these good bands instead of the bullshit they would actually sell more cds?

    There are a lot of good indie bands that blow anything on the radio out of the water.

  141. I think there was an error in the quote used by Tinman_au · · Score: 1

    I think there was an error in the quote used, "could have decreased their CD purchases (prior to 2004) by about 13 percent due to Internet file sharing." should actually read: "could have decreased their CD purchases (prior to 2004) by about 13 percent due to World of Warcraft." Much better...

  142. The first step is to admit you have a problem by Windows+Breaker+G4 · · Score: 1

    You know the RIAA/Big Music Industry is just looking for a scape goat. They won't accept the fact that they are not "making" music people want to hear anymore because it all sounds the same. They are flooding the market with the same thing over and over year after year. They need to stop trying to blame others for what they are doing wrong. If they want to sell music they need to do a few things. 1. they need to make CDs affordable 2. They need to stop playing the blame game 3. Stop filling with CDs with complete shit no one wants. The single is good but if the rest of the CD sucks people are less likely to buy it. This is cutting into your profits riaa, fix it! 4. Perhaps most important, they need to start putting more money time and effort into finding new talent. Half their argument is that they take a big risk with putting music out there and most really does not sell. Sounds to me like they need to start looking into what they are releasing instead of just signing every celeb with some money and a pair of fake tits. Perhaps they could USE the internet as a trial run for their music before they go pressing CDs. You don't see the car industry releasing 9 out of 10 car models as flops that no one wants. Instead research goes in and while there are a couple of flops here and there they are fewer and farther between. It comes down to this i think, the riaa members do not want to work for their money they just want you to buy what ever they put out even if there is nothing on the CD.

    --
    brickspeed.net for your old Volvo performance addiction
  143. Can't pinpoint the problem by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    You know the thing about global warming and pirates, so I won't reheat that ancient joke.

    But the same applies here. A lot of things happened between 1995 and today. The economy isn't doing as well, people have less spending money and music is a luxury, no matter how you want to put it. And luxury is one of the first things people start to cut down on.

    In comes cellphones and kids having them. Now, as the age group between 14 and 21 is the main music purchaser, and also one of the strongest groups when it comes to cells, those appliances suck away a considerable amount of money that used to be spent on music before 1995.

    And, not to forget, the music of today sucks. But that's maybe just my opinion.

    Whether music sales have been hurt by downloading can only be seriously determined once the other factors have been eliminated. If you do want to do a reputable study on it, first of all find out how much spending money the main target group (people between 14 and 21) have and compare it to 95. Take into account the change of price, btw. I honestly can't remember spending 20 bucks on a CD in my time. Question whether the kids have a cellphone or other "must have" tools such as game consoles, computers and so on. And how much money they swallow away.

    I personally "blame" the dwindling sales simply on the fact that there are more goods currently in competition to music for the kids' money than ever. In 1995, it was mainly music and clothing. Today, kids can (and do) spend more money than they have on a wide range of things.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:Can't pinpoint the problem by robertjw · · Score: 1

      While I agree with your points, I don't think they tell the whole story. I used to buy tons of CDs, but I don't anymore. I have a satellite radio in the car that lets me listen to a large variety of music, mp3s of all my old CDs, myspace and other sites where indie bands often have music available for free, and emusic account that allows me to download individual tracks. Why would I purchase CDs? I wouldn't listen to them. One thing I do have to disagree with is your evaluation of 'the music of today'. More than ever before there is a HUGE selection of music. Pop music may have suffered, but music today runs the gambit. No longer are we at the mercy of a few pop/rock radio stations to tell us what to like. There are many new outlets and many new bands out there. If you haven't found anything you like, cruise myspace for a while - something will probably show up that meets your taste.

  144. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by massysett · · Score: 2

    You've got "musicians" in quotes...what really needs to be in quotes is "artists". I have been wondering when any schmoe who records some music and releases a CD became an "artist".

    True artists want their works to be seen, heard, shared, understood. They want to evoke a reaction in people. Of course they want to make a living too, but love of money is not what motivates them.

    Lots of people in the recording business are not interested in "art". They want to make gobs of money. They want to be superstars. That's fine, but these people shouldn't be called "artists." Just like Schwarzenegger was a "movie star" but not an "actor."

  145. Mod parent up by FailedTheTuringTest · · Score: 0

    Corporations -- not just music companies, but the very concept of corporations as legal constructs -- were invented to allow people to work together on bigger projects and take on more risk than they could do if they were risking their personal assets. Book and music publishers arose for the same reason: authors/musicians couldn't afford to produce and distribute their own works, so publishing houses sprung up to raise capital and manage risk. But now publishing (either online or vanity press) costs very little, and many musicians can produce and distribute their own music. Publishers, being middlemen, capital-raisers, and risk managers, are no longer required, at least not in the form they have taken up to now. But just like an organism, an organisation's first priority is survival.

    I remember a few years ago hearing people say that the last remaining function of record companies was filtering: in a world of self-publishing, there will be a lot of crap and the good stuff will be hard to find, so record companies would find the good stuff and filter out the crap. I suppose the results speak for themselves, in a way... but besides that, there are now enough user-driven filters and recommendation and referral services that this function will also be unnecessary.

  146. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by russ1337 · · Score: 1
    Not more money, more consistant money
    Then they better get into population control. They need the population of 'disposible income' (18-32 YO's) to continue to grow at a steady rate. Not sure if you noticed, but the tail end of the baby boomers created generation Y who levelled off the numbers for a few years (average family went from ~2.4 kids to ~1.8). That 'dip' will grow older as the population ages, but right now its falling into the range of their target market.
  147. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by Moofie · · Score: 1

    Maybe the place where Wikipedia fails is that it assumes that some people have critical thinking skills.

    I can see how that might present a challenge for you.

    --
    Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
  148. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Lobster+Quadrille · · Score: 1

    I kinda think that's the nature of p2p sharing... going through my library, it's mostly A) classic rock/folk. Dylan, Hendrix, Zeppelin and such... b) punk music, where the bands themselves have encouraged the downloading of their music when I saw them live. c) anything else I want to listen to. Contains some new stuff, but the new non-punk stuff accounts for 3% of my very large collection.

    --
    "The cup is in turn designed for holding hot or cold liquids, and has an open rim and closed base." --US Patent #5425497
  149. If it were discovered that... by exp(pi*sqrt(163)) · · Score: 1

    ...car sales did actually reduce the sales of wooden wagons, would that mean we should compensate the wagon makers for their loss of income?

    --
    Doesn't it make you feel good to know that our freedoms are protected by politicans, lawyers and journalists.
    1. Re:If it were discovered that... by freedom_india · · Score: 1

      Wagon Makers Industry Association (WMIA) have sued Ford, GM, Toyota, Nissan, Skoda(for good measure) for violating the DMCA by reverse engineering the technology of putting spokes and hubs into a wheel and also by hacking the original design of wooden wheels by adding tyres and tubes which are unsuitable for modern wagons.

      If we had DMCA, RICO, etc, in the 1780s and 1800s am sure we would living in houses lighted by 1,000 candle power Gas lamps, have phones ine each home connected to only network like Edison Phone Co., and most of the music is piped down the same phone.

      We would also have about 5000 movie theaters in each town so that people could watch anything they want any time they want.

      Trains would run up to our street-end and we would be conveyed by conveyor belts to the stations. Cars, trucks would be absent. We would have a HUGE industry of horses, horseshoes, bullocks, hens, etc.,

      Western Union would make more money than any other corp on planet for transmitting "news" in shorthand from one end to another end of world in less than 48 hours since it happened.

      We would visit England once every year for vacation after travelling at fast-speed ships within 24 hours.

      Bush would be wearing coat-tails and a crown proclaiming "Himself" as Emperor of Imperial Republic of USA.

      --
      "Doing what i can, with what i have." ~ Burt Gummer
  150. Other Pasttimes... by plonk420 · · Score: 1

    did it take into consideration other multi-billion dollar industries that have been INCREASING, such as the video games industry? i did a speech on this (in favor of legalizing filesharing (with or without compensation) and found that videogames sales have been growing by leaps and bounds. don't remember what the numbers were and if it correlated with music sales declines, but there's just more and more toys out there...

  151. RIAA FAQ point-by-point by ajs · · Score: 3, Informative

    Frequently Asked Questions About Illegal File Sharing

    This is so good it just had to be answered... heh.

    Is illegal file sharing really such a problem?

    For the past four years, sales and shipments of recorded music have been plummeting--and the downward trend shows no sign of abating. (Unit shipments have fallen 26%, from 1.16 billion units in 1999 to 860 million units last year, while revenues are off by 14%, from $14.6 billion in 1999 to $12.6 billion last year.). At the same time, sales of blank CD-R disks (the kind you copy music onto) have been soaring, and that dovetailed with the widespread use of file-sharing. So, yes, it really is a problem.

    A friend of mine calls this "lying with your teeth in your face." I call it stupid. First off, the RIAA members are public corporations, and the big boys are all growing. In fact, they have been growing for quite some time. You have public records to demonstrate this on any finance site you want to visit. What's changing is the business model. Now, in specific, that "unit shipments have fallen" figure fails to account for online sales and other alternate media formats. This is just bad statistics.

    Who says that sharing music through peer-to-peer networks is illegal?

    Federal law and a string of court decisions. Federal copyright statutes (specifically, Sections 501 and 506 of Title 17 of the United States Code) and the "No Electronic Theft" (NET) Act provide penalties for the unauthorized reproduction, distribution, rental or digital transmission of copyrighted sound recordings. Moreover, an unbroken series of court decisions--most recently, in Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer Studios, Inc., et al. v. Grokster, Ltd., et al., and in RIAA v. Verizon Internet Services Inc.--has affirmed that "sharing" copyrighted music files over peer-to-peer networks without the copyright holder's permission constitutes "direct infringement."

    Which clearly demonstrates that music sharing is not illegal. Sharing copyrighted music to which you do not have a valid license or ownership of the copyright is illegal. This is a fine point that the RIAA would appreciate if you simply forgot.

    Didn't the courts just rule that peer-to-peer networks are perfectly legal?

    In the Grokster case, a district court did rule that the Grokster and StreamCast networks couldn't necessarily be held liable for the illegal activities of their users. That ruling is now being considered by a Court of Appeals. In any case, the court also made it abundantly clear that whether or not a network itself can be held responsible, the users of that network can clearly be guilty of copyright infringement.

    In other words, you are responsible for your own actions. Yes, thank you. Now would you please stop trying to sue ISPs, dead people and little kids?

    Aren't most downloaders merely sampling music that they later wind up buying?

    If this were true, music sales would be soaring, given the astronomical increases in peer-to-peer file sharing. Music consumption has never been higher, but unfortunately, an increasing segment of the population is stealing instead of paying for it.

    Music sales are soaring. There, that was easy.

    Isn't the real problem that consumers don't like the music you're putting out?

    If people don't like today's music, why are they illegally downloading literally billions of new songs each month?

    Wouldn't people buy more CDs if they didn't cost so much?

    If you're going to compare the price of CDs to that of stolen music--which is free--of course they're going to seem expensive. But if you take inflation into account, music CDs are actually cheaper today than they were 20 years ago. (In 1983, when CDs were first i

    1. Re:RIAA FAQ point-by-point by shark72 · · Score: 1

      "First off, the RIAA members are public corporations, and the big boys are all growing. In fact, they have been growing for quite some time. You have public records to demonstrate this on any finance site you want to visit."

      As you know, the vast majority of RIAA members aren't publicly traded. The ones which are, are typically media conglomerates which have their fingers in a lot of pies. It's good if you're a big company and you can offset declining music sales with sales in another business (or layoffs here and there), but not so good if you're a ten-person outfit like most RIAA members. Bully for the bigger companies that can take the pain, but the point of the original FAQ is that music sales are declining.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    2. Re:RIAA FAQ point-by-point by dthree · · Score: 1
      You didn't answer this one:
      Isn't the real problem that consumers don't like the music you're putting out?
      If people don't like today's music, why are they illegally downloading literally billions of new songs each month?
      Luckily I have one: users download that much just wading through the shit to find the good songs, which they buy on CD or iTunes.
      Funny that the RIAA doesn't see the connection between this and the previous question.
      --
      "I forgot my mantra."
    3. Re:RIAA FAQ point-by-point by Acer500 · · Score: 1
      the point of the original FAQ is that music sales are declining.


      Interestingly enough, what this FAQ says is that
      Unit shipments have fallen 26%, from 1.16 billion units in 1999 to 860 million units last year


      Nowhere does it say that music sales are declining. It says that CD recorded music sales are declining.

      I haven't bought a music CD in 2 years.. but coincidentaly, I have "bought" my first digital music 2 years ago!

      In other news,Casette shipments fell by 50% last year, and Vynil sales continue to decline (well actually not because of some nostalgia sales but you get my point)

      Music CDs are getting obsolete, last I heard they don't play on an Ipod.

      According to Michel's methodology, those who owned a computer bought almost 13 percent fewer CDs from 1999 to 2003, with those who bought the most music showing the largest decrease. His conclusion is that file-sharing does have an effect on music sales


      Ok, I can accept that owning a computer causes fewer CD sales... but is it due to illegal file-sharing? iTunes? CD swapping and ripping (I did this, is it illegal - probably yes in the US)? Probably all of them, not just "file-sharing". I'd have to read the paper, but the conclusion doesn't seem to be the only logical explanation from the data and tendencies observed...

      Even the paper's title is misleading: "The Impact of Digital File Sharing on the Music Industry" when it should say, "The Impact of Computer Ownership on the Music CD Recording Industry" . Intellectual dishonesty at its best.
      --
      There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.
    4. Re:RIAA FAQ point-by-point by rts008 · · Score: 1

      "Bully for the bigger companies that can take the pain, but the point of the original FAQ is that music sales are declining."

      My sales are declining also, instead of finding a better way of doing business, then I guess I should just take all airlines, passenger liners, etc. to court to protect my business model.

      I have starved lately due to those "pirate" airlines- dammmm them! They unfairly disrupt my Hotair Balloon Trans-Atlantic Commuter Service (TM and patent-pending!) that runs between Souix Falls, S. Dakota to Upper Slobvokia, bi-annually! It's an outrage, I say!

      With the internet (it's tubes, man!), IP distribution has entered a NEW phase/means of doing business.

      The *AA's objections carry as much weight as those horse-drawn carriage style "taxi" services bitching about Checker Marathons (for those NYC'ers...whatever make and model of taxi for the rest) putting them out of business, thus should be outlawed.
      (hey, this is /., where else could you get a car AND a hot-air balloon commuter service analogy!)

      Their control and distribution centric business model is becoming obsolete- instead of adapting and thriving, they want to pull everyone else back into the dark ages. (remember when only priests and nobles were literate?-well, I don't either, but that is what I learned in school, but I am almost that old!)

      I don't think I'm trying to pick a fight with you, just the quote I used from your post started this chain of thought. We may be on the same side?!

      All joking aside, the past couple of years, not only have I not bought any music cd's from RIAA affiliated sources (nothing has interested me), but I have downloaded several "pirated" cd's that I could not get elsewhere. The copyright limits are way too long anymore (thanks Sonny Bono and Disney!)These "pirated" cd's are no longer available by any other means. I've tried ordering them, checking used cd businesses, etc.- not to be found anywhere but bittorrent, so I downloaded them.

      Enough of that, who needs a two week commute to Slobvokia? I'm booking reservations now! Jump on quick, or get left behind!

      errr....we're not scheduled to land behind the Hindengerg AGAIN?!?!?! Arrrgh!

      --
      Down With Slashdot BETA!!! I've been around the corner and seen the oliphant; you can only abuse me from your perspecti
    5. Re:RIAA FAQ point-by-point by shark72 · · Score: 1

      "Nowhere does it say that music sales are declining. It says that CD recorded music sales are declining. I haven't bought a music CD in 2 years.. but coincidentaly, I have "bought" my first digital music 2 years ago!"

      Good point. My story is similar; little reason to buy CDs now that I can download the tracks I want one by one, and get that instant gratification. Interestingly, last year's year-end reports showed that while CD sales had declined, online sales had almost bridged the gap, making actual YOY retail losses less than 10%. This isn't necessarily much, considering that retail CD prices are also dropping.

      Agreed that TFA writeup omits so many details as to be laughable, but I have a feeling that the actual study is pretty sketchy, too.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    6. Re:RIAA FAQ point-by-point by ajs · · Score: 1

      I was going to reply, but I think you explained the point more clearly than I would have. Thanks.

      One follow-up point: Apple is making money hand-over-fist, and music companies are continuing to charge most artists for the physical process of selling songs (lossage in shipping, media fees, etc.) for those electronic sales. The music industry has nothing to complain about.

  152. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by Achromatic1978 · · Score: 1
    Better revert all those changes I've made then, what with my deficient mental faculties.

    This happens to most communities where people are trying to achieve a goal. Everything2, Wikipedia, et al. It has nothing to do with 'critical thinking' and everything to do with 'appropriateness'. People tried to (and to a lesser extent are trying to, though is seems to have been co-opted into a creative writing site) document "Everything" on E2. Some 'old school' types felt that they had 'earned' frivolity, and such, by virtue of their contributions. They wrote nodes with such stuff as "Lesbians! Monkeys! Soy!" and "Butterfinger McFlurry". The wrote nodes with self-referential garbage such as "Earn Your Bullshit", which they used to justify that "once you have written enough serious stuff, you are entitled to inject a bit of utter crap here and there". They were (correctly) called on it.

    You have Jimbo flying around the world, talking about how Wikipedia should be burnt on to discs for children without internet access (replete with all the antics discussed places like here) as a valuable resource, people spouting meta-acronyms like WP:CITE, WP:NPOV, WP:V to chastise others who don't take Wikipedia seriously enough, you have defenders railing that "Wikipedia is not an encyclopedia!" when people query some of the methodology and theorising, although they somehow must have missed that big sentence on the homepage that proudly proclaims, "Welcome to Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia that anyone can edit."

    It has nothing to do with critical thinking and everything to do with this selective deafness when it comes to the pointing out of any hypocrisy in worldview.

    Is it wrong to have a sense of humour? No. Are people entitled to do as they wish with their creations? Of course. Is it disingenuous to sweep under the carpet all of the issues inherent, and proclaim that the fault must be in that of the viewer, for "the consensus" knows best? Absolutely (ask yourself about how it is that so much gets deleted in the name of "WP:NOTABILITY", and yet there are literally thousands of articles on manga, and every card in the history of the Magic: The Gathering game has its own individual entry).

  153. The music biz by Benzido · · Score: 1

    I hope it DOES seriously hurt the music biz. As in, fatally. Maybe then the musicians could make a buck.

  154. Yeah, but at the same time... by partisanX · · Score: 1

    You have a very valid point, but I think there are two things I should offer here that I didn't elaborate on... First, I think beyond simply me as an individual getting older and wiser is that there are just far more hobbies now that compete for the disposable income of young people. FAR FAR FAR more people game now for example. When my generation was in high school, the most popular system was the 8 bit nintendo and it was not generally socially acceptable among most in my peer group to talk about gaming. In my experience, you had your "gaming friends", and you kept them seperate from your "mainstream" friends, because they were nerds and you were a closet nerd. LOL. Insert slashback mountain joke here...

    Anyway, my second point is related to the first... Before my generation, you graduated high school and what did you continue to do for entertainment? Music and pop media. Unless you were truly hardcore, computers were in banks, you know? Sure, there were arcades, and they had popularity to a degree, but I don't think it ever really competed for the disposable income of kids the way games have.

    This would be interesting to see... A comparison of the growth of the home video game industry(including PCs) during the time of the alleged "file sharing" hitting CD sales. Because honestly, offhand if I recall the marketing crap I've seen thrown around about changing gamer demographics, it was about '96 that they began talking about the gaming segment as 18-34. My gut tells me you will find something statistically signifigant there.

    Not just gaming either... A lot of what were relatively small hobby groups when I was in high school, are now pretty mainstream, or at least were for a long time in the 90s. RC cars, planes, computers, anime, etc... In fact, the more I think about it, the more unthinkable it is to me that the growth of other markets that consume disposable income couldn't have an impact on music sales. I mean in high school, and part of college, the one thing everyone had in common was love of music. Concerts were a huge deal. My high school age nephews listen to music, but I've never seen them go to a concert and even if you count all their mp3s, they still don't have music libraries matching what me and most of my friends had built. They're much more inclined to go to a card tournament or an anime convention than a music concert.

    --
    "Our morality is good, theirs is repressive."- Partisanship Rule #3
  155. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

    I totally agree with you when you say that true artists care more about making music and eventually having it heard and getting feedback than getting rich and ultra famous. Actually that whole P2P thing is a good greed detector.

    However, I don't agree with you when you say that they shouldn't be called artists, musicians or actors. To me, there are two kinds of titles, the ones anyone can have, and the ones that are deserved. In the titles anyone can have, you have : musicians (you only need to hit some random keys on a piano to call yourself that), judoka (you only need go to a judo lesson once to be one and have your white belt), artist, criminal etc. In the ones you need to deserve : doctor, engineer, teacher, O.G., etc...

    My point is that it's not hard to have one of the titles anyone can have, but it's not given to anyone to be good at it or successful at it, as anyone can't claim to be a doctor or an O.G., because that kind of title means you have achieved something. All of this to say that as bad of an artist/rapper/actor can be, it's still an artist/rapper/actor, it just may be an aweful one.

    --
    You just got troll'd!
  156. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by MMaestro · · Score: 1
    And how exactly to you propose to objectively measure the "level of suckage"?

    Seriously, what you say is not true. What sucks is the music that's played on the radio, not modern music. This is mostly a result of the deregulation of radio that occurred in the 90s, paving the way for a few giants to own just about everything.

    True the "level of suckage" is subjective, but the very fact that a few giants can own just about everything in the deregulated 90's simply supports the argument that the "level of suckage" has increased. While its true that majority of "garage bands" suck, its also true that in the long run the cream of the crop would eventually rise to the top.

    On the other hand, if only a minority rules (the major brands largely controlling the radio stations) then you'll get extremely few "good" bands that cater to the masses and then the rest are simply supported due to lack of supply and high demand. In the long run, overall sales decline as the market wises up the scheme ('Most music sucks so I might as well pirate it to try-and-buy!') and you end up with the music business and the RIAA resorting to extreme measures to protect themselves. 'Sales are down! It must be those pirates stealing our sub-par, unpopular music! Sue sue sue!'

  157. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Digital+Vomit · · Score: 1
    And how exactly to you propose to objectively measure the "level of suckage"?

    I think I have a spare suckometer lying around that you could use. It can measure up to 10 kilo-ashlees.

    --
    Modern copyright is theft of culture from everyone and it retards the progress of the useful arts and sciences.
  158. You're wrong about My Sharona by tkrotchko · · Score: 1

    "My Sharona" is a great pop song. It's a perfect example of the genre.

    And FYI, "Sharona" actually exists. There's an interesting article in Sound on Sound magazine. And Sharona now sells real estate in the LA area. She has a website... http://www.mysharona.com/

    --
    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
  159. Lets see... by tubapro12 · · Score: 1

    ...now seriously people, look at the time frame. Over those same years, music patrons had to endure things like the Backstreet Boys, n-sync, and *cough*Brittany Spears*cough*... There's why 12.8543% of the people in question stopped buying CDs right there.

  160. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by Mistshadow2k4 · · Score: 1

    I haven't gotten a new cd since Christmas last year, and that was a gift to me, not one I bought myself. Nor have I traded songs. I never needed to -- I already had almost all the music I wanted when I got internet access in 2001. I like blues and classic rock, so most of the artists I want to listen to are dead. Sure, since 2001 I've bought a few cds at Amazon.com, but that's somewhere in the neighborhood of 10 in 5 years, I guess. All of the music files on my computer were ripped from my cds. They claim that makes me a thief, ripping files from cds I legally purchased? Tough. I'd have to be an absolute fool to give a damn about pleasing them since they're not doing anything for me.

    So this is an issue that pretty much doesn't apply to me. But with their draconiuan tactics, even if a blues-rock guitarist as good as Hendrix were to suddenly be singed by a company in the RIAA I wouldn't buy his or her cds. Just because they want to screw me doesn't mean I'm going to bend over for it. That's the RIAA's real problem -- they want to screw people over for as much as possible and keep saying they're losing money, but who in their right mind cares about them? They've made it blatantly clear that they're going to screw you over even more if you support them; they're not offering you anything in return for supporting them in any way.

    --
    I dream of a better world... one in which chickens can cross roads without their motives being questioned.
  161. Economics 101 by weierstrass · · Score: 0, Troll
    Question for you: Magnatune [magnatune.com], who claim that they are "not evil" and do a lot of things right (no DRM, et al) charge about the same as a CD you'd get from a major label, and Magnatune doesn't have the two-tier distribution, or the overhead of traditional record companies (e.g. Magnatune relies on you to produce your own masters; they won't cover the cost of production). Why do you think they charge so much, then? Are they greedy? Do you think it would be more appropriate for them to charge $5 or $2 or even $1, rather than charging what the market will bear?

    economies of scale, fuckwit.

    --
    my password really is 'stinkypants'
    1. Re:Economics 101 by shark72 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      "economies of scale, fuckwit."

      Partially correct on the Econ 101 (making you in the minority around here); big failure on the reading for comprehension. Sorry you're having a bad day.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
  162. Increased downloading == increased buying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    At least that's how it has worked for me with comics. An increase in the comics I download has resulted in a direct correlation of an increase in the amount of comics I buy (HINT: Before I started downloading I bought 0 comics).

    I don't see why the same can't be said for the music industry. I'd say the reality is that something else has increased in the years that this study looked at. How about an increase in music just sucking? Naaah. COULDN'T be that.

    1. Re:Increased downloading == increased buying by Steve001 · · Score: 1

      Anonymous Coward wrote:

      At least that's how it has worked for me with comics. An increase in the comics I download has resulted in a direct correlation of an increase in the amount of comics I buy (HINT: Before I started downloading I bought 0 comics).

      I don't see why the same can't be said for the music industry. I'd say the reality is that something else has increased in the years that this study looked at. How about an increase in music just sucking? Naaah. COULDN'T be that.

      I purchase more comics today, and the reason is simple: Today's comics are better written and drawn, and are much more interesting to read. On-line is not much of a factor to me, other than finding out what new series are coming up.

      In the same way, the number of CDs I have been buying has dropped due to the lack of new music that interests me. Scanning the posts on this topic, it seems that is a very common reason that people give for the drop in CD sales.

  163. Correlation != Causation by Fonkey · · Score: 2, Informative

    Just because variable A (e.g. owning a computer) and variable B (e.g. buying less music) occur together does NOT mean that either one necessarily caused the other. This study proves nothing useful, regardless of its validity. Even if you could show that people who actually download music tend to pay for it less, you still have not proved that downloading harms music sales. This is because correlational studies (such as the one FTA) do not rule out additional variables (e.g. socioeconomic status).

  164. News: Does Global Warming Hurt the Music Biz? by uv_light · · Score: 1

    Notice the earth getting hoter and hoter?

    Come on, someone gotta try this, I would love to see the correlation between Global Warming and decreased CD purchases.

    1. Re:News: Does Global Warming Hurt the Music Biz? by Vexorian · · Score: 1

      That would surely bring more government concern about global warming than what we have right now.

      --

      Copyright infringement is "piracy" in the same way DRM is "consumer rape"
  165. Does DRM Really Hurt the Music Biz? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, 100%
    I can only take the case study of one person, namely myself, but I'm sure others will have had similar experience.
    When I was a teen I used to regularly buy entertainment. I had stacks of CDs, PC games, even VHS, and then later DVD but I was a late adopter. I even bought windows.

    When those first generation CD corrupting techniques started to come out to prevent you from playing on computers I stopped buying all CDs. Wasn't a conscious decision, I just didn't want to take the effort to find which ones were defective. Napster, Kazaa et al were offering a superior product so I went for that.
    Game copy protection never really bothered me, from monkey island code wheels to the first generations of things like safedisc. Starforce was the end of it though. After starforce and other dodgy driver type protection I haven't bought a single game because I don't want to take the effort to find which games are defective. Bit torrent offered a superior product, so I went for that.
    As for DVDs, I got my player after DeCSS was written. I guess knowing that the region coding was broken made me switch from VHS, hence my late adoption. I still buy DVDs because I find them to be value added most of the time. (Nice boxes, menus quality trumps some divx rip for me)
    Windows: All my copies from 95 to 2000 were legal. After product activation I've downloaded XP XP64 and 2k3. These VLK versions are a superior product. I don't even want vista. WGA didn't seem to effect XP64 and 2k3. I use those now.

    I didn't think about it at the time, but it seems the openness of the format is proportional to the chance that I'll buy. I was right to do this because I avoided the rootkit thing completely. It's only going to get worse and I'll never own an ipod, zune or nextgen DVD.

  166. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by kfg · · Score: 1

    I like blues and classic rock, so most of the artists I want to listen to are dead. . . even if a blues-rock guitarist as good as Hendrix were to suddenly be singed by a company in the RIAA I wouldn't buy his or her cds.

    I'm still waiting for Badfinger's No Dice to come down from full price. Guess I'll wait forever. Anything touched by the Beatles is always going to command a premium. I've got it on vinyl, so I'm not doing without, but the CD would be nice. I've just about worn out Janis Joplin's Pearl though and for some reason don't have Cheap Thrills. The bastards might get me on those. Sometimes I get weak.

    I'll have to cruise through the local used shops and see if anybody's been idiotic enough to trade those in.

    KFG

  167. Real World example.. by Technician · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Before i graduated high school, I bought very little music. I was a full time student and a single record was a little more than my weekly allowance.

    Fast forward a few years. I'm in the Navy and just bought a killer sound system. I live in the housing with no expenses. I find music I like down the hall. I buy a few LP's. I get a car. I get an LP badly scratched so it skips. I buy a case of good Maxell tapes. Make a set of tapes for the car (Can't play LP's in the car) and another set to play to preserve the original LP quality. I get a few tapes tangled in a friends car tape player. No problem, recreated a replacement. Also traded a few tapes (before lawsuits start, the Statute of Limitations ended about 25 years ago) so yes I pirated music in my youth. It also happened to be my peak music buying years. For the music that I really liked, it was worth buying a pristine copy. I bought the Mobile Sound Fidelity Labs copy of Pink Floyd's Dark Side of the Moon at a premimum price. It has been played less than 15 times in the years I have owned it. Each time was to cut a tape from it to preserve the original.

    If I didn't have a tape deck and a good way to expand my library by sharing, I would probably have just stuck with radio and not have ever heard of Pink Floyd. File sharing is a marketing tool. Learn to embrace it.

    --
    The truth shall set you free!
  168. Re:Actually, File Sharing HELPED the music busines by Blappo · · Score: 1

    1. Nicholls State University is in Thibodaux, Louisana...

    Ok WTF? You think this is a legitimate argument? So much so that you list it first?

    Jesus what a snotty, pointless criticism that has no merit whatsoever. In all seriousness, you have no f-ing right to make such a statement, and it makes you sound like an ass.

    --
    Why are so many posts with factual errors modded up?
  169. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by quizzicus · · Score: 1

    What's the whole goal behind all this compression on CDs? All of the stereos I use have a volume control. Stupid or not, I'm sure there's some reason they do it.

  170. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by Feanturi · · Score: 1

    We then get this mass of creative fiction, published among other places as fact

    Umm, it's entirely factual that such a body of creative work exists, and the wiki article explains the phenomena quite accurately. The church itself as being real is another story, but the wikipedia article clearly begins by stating it's a parody religion, yet another True Fact(TM). So what's your problem exactly?

  171. How 'bout spending more time doing other things by CalvinLawson · · Score: 1

    If there was a correlation between CD sales dropping and computer ownership rising, it could also be attributed to, oh, I don't know, SPENDING MORE TIME ON THE COMPUTER? Like gaming, porn, email, research, etc. etc. etc. As "they" say, "40% of all statistics are wrong.". Or was it 30%...who's counting. This is a sign of not getting the big picture. Lucky for us; I hope nobody tells them what is actually going on.

  172. Does file sharing hurt the music biz? by sudden.zero · · Score: 1

    Of course it doesn't! Let's be real here. Most people buy music from groups that they really care about. I know that if a new album from any of my favorite bands comes out I go and buy it. If I were to download anything (which I am not saying that I would) it would be from groups that I would not have bought thier album anyway. Groups that maybe have one song I like and that's it. Not to mention that most people that download whole albums from groups that they like don't have the money to spend to buy the albums anyway. In these cases the music industry would never have seen that money anyhow. Not just that but piracy has always existed even in the 70's my parents would record songs from the radio to 8 tracks to listen to later. It didn't hurt the music industry then any more than id does now. The music industry has just gotten more greedy. Even as a kid I recorded songs from the radio to cassette or even dubbed whole albums from friends. You didn't see the RIAA complaning about it then. I think when I was 10 I must have had 40 or 50 cassettes that I had recorded from friends and no one came knocking on my door saying we are going to sue you for dubbing a copy of someone elses casettes. I think that all of this is really stupid. I mean really all they really would have to do to get people to start buying more music is lower the prices of CD's by like 5 or 6 bucks. Sales would sky rocket if they did that, but instead the want to piss and moan. Not just that but do they really think that they are going to get $100000 out of someone who can't afford to purchase a $18 compact disc? I mean they might see $10000 at $5 a month over several years but in the long run what good is that going to do them? Anyway I am done rambling. zero

  173. Business Model Has to Change by giorgosts · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Back in the twenties and thirties, records were used as a means to promote concerts and appearences at clubs. Nowadays is the opposite, ie concerts are organized to promote new (or old) record releases. But in the Internet age, the music gets commoditized, ie no-one really appreciates a record enough to pay $20 a piece, because of sheer abundance. Records of the future will be like radio. Buy a song or a record at nominal price (or for free), and come to our club on saturday. As much as the record companies resent that, that's where their future lies.

  174. Who Cares? by xQx · · Score: 1

    The motor car killed the horse and cart industry, and the Internet will kill the music industry.

    Why not answer the question "Should customers morally purchase CD's in leu of stealing them from the Internet when they are supporting an industry that wastes billions of dollars (both consumer and tax payers) in the legal system in an effort to keep the control they have by squashing any innovative competitors?"

  175. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by kabz · · Score: 1

    Well, maybe the only 'huge' money-making artiste.

    Seriously, there are many bands out there, that only appeal to a smallish part of the listening and record-buying public. These aren't small numbers of people, but they are too small to appeal to Warner etc.

    For example, Emma Pollock is great, and her old band The Delgados were just fantastic, but there's no way they would be picked up and screwed by Warner, when Warner can take 5 hot-looking idiots and milk them for all they are worth, and in fact *recoup* all the band's advance by back-charging them for making and distributing and promoting the record. 'Music Fans' will lap it up, then clamor for the next spoonfeed of musical gruel.

    The more you look at it, the more the Record Industry at large is just a huge cesspool of fat-cats and scumbags. I've voted with my feet and wallet and listen to and support, and buy mainly indie music. Make an effort to listen to something different.

    Try it. You'll like it.

    --
    -- "It's not stalking if you're married!" My Wife.
  176. Norbert Michel would take a beating... by cursorx · · Score: 1

    ...if he posted on Slashdot. He makes his bias very clear, and is not reluctant to call file sharing theft and morally wrong. That said, all of these studies suffer from serious methodological problems, no matter which side they swing. Here's an interesting comparison

  177. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Web+Goddess · · Score: 0, Flamebait
    Pah to the so-called suckage factor. When we are young, we are into music, we listen to it fanatically over and over, sing the songs with heart, and buy the CD's to blast in our cars. When we are, ahem, no so young, we simply listen to what we grew up with, and stop buying CD's. ABBA? Foreigner? C'mon, there is rampant suckage even in your CD collection. Suckage is an invention of the jaded elderly, to dis' the new music.

    -Wendy

  178. Well... by pyr0r0ck3r · · Score: 1

    Ok, I'll agree that taste is a highly subjective thing. And I will agree that every generation has it's legion of crap played on the radio.
    However, from an analytical standpoint, with a few exceptions, what is played on the radio has become less musically interesting in recent years.

    What do I mean? Well, take for example two vocal groups: the Pussycat Dolls and NSync: the music in the background is pretty boring in both, yes, but the Pussycat Dolls sing in monophony, while NSync actually sung harmony, which is more musically interesting - 5 people singing one note (monophony) vs. 5 people singing 3 or 4 different notes (harmony).

    That has been the trend as of late with most vocal groups - get a bunch of people with pretty-ish voices, put a machine behind them, and tell them what note to sing vs. get a bunch of people with some training, put a machine behind them, and tell them what notes to sing.

    Again, taste is subjective, but how musically interesting / complex a song is, is not.

    --
    theres no place like 127.0.0.1
  179. No, it doesn't by small_white_fox · · Score: 1

    I know I download my music AND buy the cds afterwards. Downloading gives me the opportunity and flexiblity to sample the music.

  180. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Poppler · · Score: 1

    That doesn't count, he's lip synching ;-)

    --
    What's the ugliest part of your body? Some say your nose, some say your toes, but I think it's your mind. -Zappa
  181. spurious by flar2 · · Score: 1

    The results of the study are spurious. The real reason for decreasing cd sales is crappier than ever music starting about the same time as widespread computer use.

  182. What do you really think? by peter+Payne · · Score: 0

    Don't hold back so much now. Tell us what you really think.

    --
    You've got a friend in Japan: http://www.jlist.com
  183. I stopped buying CDs pretty much by suitepotato · · Score: 1

    when the prices never came down. I watched them on sale at stores long since gone out of business, at prices only a buck more than now. One occasionally listenable song buried under a pile of crappy ones I don't want to be within ten miles of, on a media that children can burn copies of, by bands that your average child could write better lyrics than, still costs pretty much what they did twenty years ago. And the music has actually gotten worse.

    I only buy when I really want what the band is putting out. Sadly, Stabbing Westward went out of business as did Creed and that introspective rock phase is over with me anyhow as I reach Crochety Old Bastardhood. I buy Weird Al. I don't really listen to anything other than whatever plays on Yahoo Launchcast and I can skip bad songs in record time. If they bothered making what I want to hear and sold it at a price I found not to be too big an insult, I'd go shopping for music more.

    So it's download, listen for a bit, chuck it. I'm not putting money in the pockets of record execs with no musical talent so they can give 5% to the even less talented artists and claim that their huge cut is to pay one-handed women in Guatemala to press the discs and fantastically color blind alleged artists to design liner notes I'm not reading. Maybe some day I'll pick up one of those iPod things, but I'm not going to buy a disc unless it is really important. I've bought a lot in the past, but in the recent time, not so much and I don't miss it.

    --
    If my grammar and spelling are off, I am [distracted/tired/careless] (take your pick)
  184. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Poppler · · Score: 1
    Does it involve booty dancing videos or angsty emo kids screaming?
    Hmm, I'm trying hard to come up with some counterexamples, but I think you may be on to something.

    most major stars aren't even really musicians in their own right, but rather manufactured acts.
    Definitly, and I think that is largely a symptom of the first problem. As long as the majors have a stranglehold on the airwaves, they'll keep pushing bad music, and that's all most people will be familiar with. There are plenty of real musicians out there whose music would be heard if DJs still played music they were passionate about, instead of having playlists handed to them by headquarters.
    --
    What's the ugliest part of your body? Some say your nose, some say your toes, but I think it's your mind. -Zappa
  185. Could it possibly be... by binarysins · · Score: 1

    That when you own a computer you have other things to spend your money on? Like your ISP? Software? Games? Video Doctor CD-ROMS? Porn Sites? If someone was spending $50 a month in disposable income, I could totally see spending $7.50 less a month just as a result of owning a PC.

  186. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The perspective of youth I sez. Without in any way slighting the band, Nirvana's discovery was a big last nail in the coffin to a huge and vital genre of music then known as 'alternative', and not the diluted swill of angst-lite power pop that term has come to denote. Throughout the Eighties, staffed by ladder climbers, lawyers and hangers-on incapable of innovative thought or musical taste, the major labels one by one bought up all the great, risk taking indie labels and ground them to dust. The RIAA members set out to kill the competition and control distribution, by law in stores and on-line and by graft on the radio. They are the complete moral antithesis of the original reasoning behind the establishment of copyright and a scourge on culture and, by extension, society.

  187. Correlation by SEWilco · · Score: 1
    "a link between owning a computer and decreased CD purchases"

    Because people are too busy browsing the web to buy CDs?

  188. MPAA legacy by M0b1u5 · · Score: 1
    --
    How many escape pods are there? "NONE,SIR!" You counted them? "TWICE, SIR!"
  189. we now buy dvds. entertainment budget divided by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    face it, the huge difference now is we spend a large chunk on dvds. much more than we did on vhs which was obviously a poor value. cds are ok, but still devalued by the fact that they are obviously inferior technology we have to settle for because the riaa scuttled the launch of sacd+dvda with the paranoid drm schemes and overpricing. so now every dollar spent on cd is just a reminder we are buying inferior stuff, and thats just discouraging. not to mention the overpricing that still goes on to some degree. i haven't bought a cd in a while because of this. i wanted to spend on new higher quality audio that would last me for quite some time, but they totally bungled it. the value isn't there anymore, there is no satisfaction, we are buying second best, inferior quality product. and itunes, while a nice concept is even worse in the area of quality. i know most don't care, but i'm sure on some level they realize the cd is not the value it once was. its no longer premium tech, but they still want premium price.

  190. Global warming & Pirates!!!1!one1eleven by Spliffster · · Score: 1
    You may be interested to know that global warming, earthquakes, hurricanes, and other natural disasters are a direct effect of the shrinking numbers of Pirates since the 1800s. For your interest, I have included a graph of the approximate number of pirates versus the average global temperature over the last 200 years. As you can see, there is a statistically significant inverse relationship between pirates and global temperature.

    Source: Church of the Flying Spaghetti Monster
  191. Why I no longer buy CDs by endemoniada · · Score: 1

    I used to buy lots of CDs, back when I was in school. I had even less money then, so it has nothing to do with my account balance. I like CDs, because I get a) something solid, tangible that I can *own* and have as part of *my property* and b) I get all those nice things like linear notes and photography with it. Yes, I do appreciate those things too.

    Not all of my digitally stored music, but a great deal of it, comes directly from those CDs. Ripping them to OGG and playing them on my iAudio M3 (like, the only player left in the world to support OGG?) means they sound practically identical to the original CD audio.

    Now, let's consider this "problem" the RIAA is having. They claim that their sales are down due to "piracy", and therefor they invent this stupid thing called DRM. Where do people get their songs from, when they're pirated? It's not from me or my own, personal music collection. It's not from my MP3-player. It's from some dude, over in asia or the middle east, getting a CD and ripping it, before putting it on some major torrentsite. This dude doesn't care about DRM. There's ALWAYS a way to around DRM.

    Me, on the other hand, I'll still be buying CDs to hearts content. Until the day the CD won't work. Hmm, I say. My CD-player won't play this CD. It must be this new DRM the RIAA have come up with, that crippled my store-bought CD so that I can't play it. Oh well, lucky that I can just go out on the internet and download it then!

    What does this mean? It doesn't mean that the RIAA are shooting themselves in their collective feet. No, it means they're basically blowing their collective brains out with the equivalent of an atomic bomb!

    Seriously, if they just for five minutes took their eyes away from those "studies" and actually contemplated exactly what people this whole scheme is going to hurt, I think they'd turn around. No store I know, no company in the history of the world, actually benefited from continually selling customers crap that didn't even work properly. In the end, customers go somewhere else.

    Customers go where they're wanted, it's as simple as that, and the RIAA is sure as hell letting people know they really don't want them...

    --
    Blog -
  192. The other way around... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've actually bought far, FAR more CDs since the advent of file sharing technology. Y'see, it used to be that buying a CD meant chancing that each song would be worth the money. I've bought CDs before based on one good song only to find out the rest were crap and I'd be out CDN$15-25. Now, I download the CD, and if it's worth it, I buy it. If not, well, I don't need crap music on my computer, so I delete it.

    CD collection before discovering newsgroups (and later BitTorrent): 5. CD collection now that I've been downloading them first and later entirely legally purchased (at their exorbitant prices): 75.

    1. Re:The other way around... by endemoniada · · Score: 1

      This is something that's been happening to me too. Not that I really buy MORE CDs, I just tend to pick better ones from having to risk buying another beercoaster.

      I really don't get why they're so stuck up about this. Isn't the RIAA *supposed* to care for the artists? In that case, they've succeded, since alot of smaller artists are now getting their _fair_ share of the money with sites like garageband.com and more artists selling their CDs themselves over the internet. So essentially, the RIAA tells consumers they promote the artist, but would rather want customers to buy through them leaving LESS money to the artist, than to buy from the artist directly and thus actually doing what they claim to be doing. Funny thing, this...

      --
      Blog -
  193. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by umghhh · · Score: 1

    you forgot free radicals (I do not meen the ones in vests packed with explosives but the ones causing cancer).

  194. The argument that annoys me.... well kinda by dmjones500 · · Score: 1

    I hear many people give an argument along the lines of:

    "Most people download things they wouldn't bother to buy if they had to, so is it really damaging the music or film industry??".

    The thing is, if NO music or films were available to download illegally and for free, people would no doubt realise that in fact they would be willing to pay for a few CDs and DVDs, rather than rely purely on TV, radio or the cinema.

    Of course, we live in a world where it IS available. Which invalidates my previous point.

  195. I've bought many more by yusing · · Score: 1

    I buy more CDs than I used to before music appeared online. I'm constantly exposed, online, to artists I would never have heard, even if I heard of them, before. I couldn't open the shrinkwrap, and most music stores didn't have anything I listen to on listening stations. And, online, I'm reminded of stuff I always meant to buy and never did. My quick estimate is that in the past 5 years I've bought 4 times as many CDs as I did in the previous 20 years.

    --

    "You must try to forget all you have learned. You must begin to dream." -- Sherwood Anderson

  196. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Effing_T · · Score: 1

    I wouldn't say that music sucks more than before: it's far too subjective. But there is one figure that would be objective and relevant: the number of titles that are released each year.

    decreased choice == decreased sale

    I don't know where to find these numbers, but I read a few years ago that the choice had decreased more than sales had. It would be interesting to check with recent numbers.

  197. time spending, pricing, doesn't play in car stereo by Oersoep · · Score: 1

    They probably forgot about those, didn't they?

    - CD prices doubled during those years
    - mainstream producers do not try anything new, so all the offline stores have is crappy or old
    - As you said: games already have background music
    - Normal CD's don't always play right. If you download and burn you have more certainty of quality
    - Et cetera

    I believe that if downloading wasn't there most lables and indies simply wouldn't be here anymore.

  198. DVD's! by unl0rd · · Score: 1

    Anyone buy DVD's? So many of my friends are hooked on DVD's, they buy DVD's and not CD's. Not me... I still buy CD's (I don't even have a standalone DVD player yet) In the past, would many people have bought hundreds and hundreds of video cassetes? No. But DVD movies yes. That's where all the sales have gone. Even music retailers are full of DVD's Next the RIAA will be suing the MPAA

  199. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by remmelt · · Score: 1

    It makes a CD seem louder, therefore better. The logic is totally lost on me, I must be one of those hifi freaks who love "dynamics" and other audio voodoo. The effect can be reduced by using replaygain.

  200. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Weedlekin · · Score: 1

    "Does it involve booty dancing videos or angsty emo kids screaming?"

    You've hit the nail on the head without realising it. The "suckage" level of music went up at as videos became a more and more important method of promoting an act. Prior to that, non-photogenic artists could become extremely successful if they sounded good, but this changed (albeit gradually) until, some time in the 1990s, an artist's appearance became more important than their musical talent.

    "most major stars aren't even really musicians in their own right, but rather manufactured acts."

    Manufactured acts are nothing new in the pop world. The so-called "bubblegum pop" that became popular in the late 1950s and 1960s consisted largely of manufactured acts, and most people know that The Monkees were the first manufactured super-group (and also the first one chosen primarily for its appearance due to a TV series being used as a launch vehicle). Few of these acts could play instruments or sing, hence the fact that they either avoided live appearances, or mimed to recordings. Quite a few people thought that they and their usually forgettable music was crap, but this didn't stop it from being very popular in its time, although most of them are now forgotten.

    --
    I'm not going to change your sheets again, Mr. Hastings.
  201. You can read more about it by shaharsol · · Score: 1
  202. Re:There has also been no new malls built since 20 by TheJaff · · Score: 1
    I buy CDs at shows all the time. The artist gets the money, I get the music, a major label record company gets nothing - everyone wins.
    ...well, except the record company.
    --
    28 days, 6 hours, 42 minutes and 12 seconds... that is when the world will end.
  203. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Diag · · Score: 1
    Nearly all music from the last 10 years is so overcompressed as to be unlistenable
    Absolutely. It drives me crazy. But most people seem to be happy to listen to badly compressed MP3s through crappy tinny earphones, so what can ya do?
    --
    Serving Suggestion: Defrost
  204. And the economy in those years? by whitroth · · Score: 1

    So, not having a chance to read the study this morning, does it take into effect the price of CDs, the record company insistance on them being shorter and shorter*, and the Bush Depression?

    No, no, don't pay your electric bill, buy a handfull of CD's....

                  mark

    * I have Phil Och's "I Ain't Marchin' Any More", from around '68... and it's about 15 seconds too *long* for a 45 min. tape. How long's your current favorite from the Big Name Band - 27? 25 min? While a CD can hold an hour?

  205. Saying all music (these days) sucks is ignorant! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I didn't reply to a specific thread because just about everyone is whining. I'm sick of hearing everyone say there's no good music out there, no good movies, no good games. You're all high! Sure, if you listen to the corporate playlists it's gonna suck. But don't say all media sucks today. Go to Pandora.com or research and find the music you like. Same goes for movies. If I watch HBO it's gonna make me puke. Instead, I use Netflix and even view foreign films if I have to. But saying all content sucks is ignorant.

  206. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by Mprx · · Score: 1

    Sadly, all replaygain can do is save you from having to reach for the volume control if you're listening to musics with different loudness. Dynamic range compression is destructive editing, once it's gone it's gone. It also occurred to me that maybe this is the reason for people saying vinyl sounds better. Maybe they still use old fashioned mastering for old fashioned media?

  207. The artists by s31523 · · Score: 1

    I think the artists are hurt more. I have several CD's with 3 out of 8 songs that I like and listen too, but the band should be compensated for the crappy stuff too. If not, then bands may not be as creative and only go for the "hit song" that all the kiddies want to hear (read download). I do think it is ridiculous to charge $19 for that CD, even if I liked ALL the songs, and that is the problem, IMHO. If there were more mainstream places that sold virtual CDs for, say $3-$7, with no BS DRM, in multiple formats that the downloader could choose, then I think people would be more apt to pay-up. Will this nick piracy in the bud? Nope, but I bet it would help.

  208. Re:What about : increased suckage ==decreased sale by BenEnglishAtHome · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I have the opposite problems, sorta and sometimes. I'm old and my hearing sucks. In a quiet environment, at home, listening to my LPs, I love wide dynamics. That's what real music played in real space tends to have. In most places where I listen to music, though, this isn't the case. In the car or in my slightly noisy office, lower dynamic-range passages get lost in the background noise. I find myself turning my car stereo way up on some quiet things then way back down on loud passages.

    A theory: commonly overused compression may be an artifact of poor hearing on the part of the person running the controls, the target audience, or both.

    Personally, I wish I had two things. First, I wish I had my hearing back. Second, I wish I had a car radio with user-controllable compression. Yeah, I know it's anti-audiophile, but there are times when I'd just like to hear everything over the ambient noise so I'd *choose* to compress like crazy. If a radio existed with a control to do that (and, of course, the ability to turn it off), I'd pony up some bucks.

  209. i may sould like an old-timer, but... by Stormwatch · · Score: 1
    Isn't the real problem that consumers don't like the music you're putting out?

    If people don't like today's music, why are they illegally downloading literally billions of new songs each month?

    Okay, I'll answer that one. I hardly ever download new stuff. Mostly it's old, hard to find music. By that I don't even mean VERY old stuff, I mean 70s/80s. For example... I couldn't find anything by Information Society at any store around here, so I got what I wanted from the net. Or Chris Isaak. Or Alphaville. Or videogame soundtracks. Hell, stores here don't even have Meat Loaf.

    Maybe the true danger (for the MAFIAA) of file-sharing is that people will be more likely to check the old stuff, come to a realization - "hey, that's better than the crap they're churning out these days" - and refuse to buy the current trendy crap.
  210. Re:Here is why you are wong. by The+Blow+Leprechaun · · Score: 1

    I agree the problem here is the music industry, not the music itself.

    I blame a lot of it on music videos and MTV, too. When a band needed promoting in the past, it would go on tour and play a bunch of shows. This required the band to have a "sound" and a "stage presence."

    Now when a band needs promoting, they put out videos or become the star of some reality tv show. This requires the band to have a "look" or a "personality."

    When I think back on the bands I really like from the 70s, 80s, and early 90s, I couldn't tell you the first damn thing about what they're like as people. I couldn't tell you anything about Geddy Lee's personal life except that he's a member of Ayn Rand's Objectivists, and I learned that from reading about the Objectivists, not Geddy Lee.

    But Nelly! Oh, I know that Nelly wears that band-aid on his face because one of his buddies is in jail, or something. I know who's dating who in today's R&B scene and I just have to wonder, wtf does any of it have to do with their music? 50 Cent was shot 3 million times, so I know that he's tough and authentic. This, however, does not change the fact the he can't rap worth a damn.

    The music industry's main problem is they have completely lost sight of the product that they are attempting to produce. I'm not going to buy a CD because the artist has an interesting personality. I'll buy his biography instead.

    --
    - the Blow Leprechaun
  211. Baby Boomers by Ginnungagap42 · · Score: 1

    One thing I've thought about that I haven't seen mentioned, and if it is, I apologise, is the Baby Boomer segment of society. The record industry has built itself up over the last 4 decades through a lot of sales to the Baby Boomer generation. I'm sure Boomer sales are slowing down as most Boomers have other things to spend their disposable income on. I'm in that weird "non-labelled-Generation" that was born post-Boomer and pre-Xer (1965), and I know that my music-buying habits have slowed down a lot. Has anyone considered that there simply aren't as many consumers in the target audience as there were say, 20 years ago? The impending Baby Boomer retirement is affecting all segments of society, why not record sales as well?

  212. a response to your interesting point by weierstrass · · Score: 1
    Why do you think they charge so much, then?
    economies of scale, fuckwit
    --
    my password really is 'stinkypants'
  213. seems appropriate by ClassicComposer · · Score: 1

    The absence of evidence is not the evidence of absence. There are known knowns and known unknowns and unknown unknowns.

  214. Isolation of factors like used CDs and remasters? by scottsk · · Score: 1

    Wait ... was the study crafted to take into account the demographic shifts during this time period?

    Even if we take as a given that file sharing = fewer sales (when most anecdotal accounts say the opposite - the ability to sample music leads to many CD sales), there are two trends I see little mention of.

    Trend #1 is the artificial increase in CD sales as people replaced cassette and LP media with CDs. By 2003, I imagine most replacement purchases that are going to be made have already been made, and the sales boost of replacement media would have trickled to almost nothing. These purchases, too, would tend to be "keepers" - CDs people want to keep forever (or they wouldn't buy the same music in a new format) - and not casual purchases, so they would tend not to contribute to the glut of used CDs.

    Trend #2 would be remastering. Because the record companies have done one or two rounds of remastering for their big back-catalogue artists, to sell the same thing to people who already own it, there is a glut of used CDs. There are the original CDs and the first round of remasters which people who buy the second round no longer want. This has led to a huge market (half.com, secondspin.com, etc) of used CDs which are sold at a discount so deep that they're normally cheaper than online music purchases, and DRM-free.

    Unless a study takes into account the wider demographic trends, what is it telling us?

    Plus a lot of the stuff I downloaded from the original Napster in its day was stuff you could not buy in a normal music store - b-sides, rare tracks, etc. I haven't used file sharing in some time, but are these tracks still available? How much shared music is actually purchaseable and not in some way out of print?

  215. What about library statistics? by dlm85 · · Score: 1

    Does anyone have the data for the number of library CD checkouts during this time frame? I bet the library checkouts have also increased.

  216. File sharing didn't hurt the RIAA because of me... by Sierpinski · · Score: 1

    I know the reason I haven't purchased any music CDs in the last few years, its because I absolutely refuse to give them any more money. I am perfectly content listening to the music that I've had for years (its my personal preference for the most part anyway) but those RIAA folks will not get another penny of my money if I can help it.

  217. the music business hurts the music business by Hohlraum · · Score: 1

    Back when you could get new cd's for 11 or 12 bucks I bought em like crazy. Now days? not so much.

  218. previous papers from Dr. Michel ... by sun5diver · · Score: 2, Informative

    Just FYI, Dr. Michel's written on similar subjects before:

    http://www.heritage.org/Research/Regulation/wm609. cfm - Hollywood, Values, and P2P Lawsuits by James L. Gattuso and Norbert J. Michel, Ph.D.
    November 11, 2004 (WebMemo #609.) - MPAA's filesharing lawsuits are a sensible alternative to regulating technology.

    http://www.heritage.org/Research/InternetandTechno logy/bg1790.cfmInternet - File Sharing: The Evidence So Far and What It Means for the Future by Norbert J. Michel, Ph.D. August 23, 2004 (Backgrounder #1790.) - Internet file sharing threatens artists' ability to sell their music through digital downloading because the digital files available from artists are virtually indistinguishable from those.

    http://new.heritage.org/Research/InternetandTechno logy/EM835.cfm - Self-Defense: A Different Tune on Copyright by James L. Gattuso and Norbert J. Michel, September 25, 2002 (Executive Memorandum #835) - in defense of Representative Howard Berman's radically different approach to solve the digital copyright violation problem: allowing copyright owners to use digital self-help measures to ...

  219. I trade cassettes... by thinkzinc · · Score: 1

    they'll never find me

  220. Another reason for decreased CD sales by atomic_toaster · · Score: 1

    It has been proven that there is a distinct correlation between the amount of disposable income and how much money a person spends on entertainment, media, and all other non-essential purchases. (No, I don't have a link to back this up, but common sense will tell you that when you don't have much money, you're going to spend it primarily on food and rent.) One of the largest groups of people with disposable income is teenagers (i.e. part-time job although Mommy and Daddy are still paying all the bills -- or Mommy and Daddy just keep forking out the cash).

    Now, the people who were teenagers in the late 80's and the 90's (the heyday of CDs) are now adults burdened with the responsibilities of raising kids, paying mortgage/rent and other bills, and keeping their family fed while at the same time hopefully putting some funds away for retirement and their kids' educations. They have little funds to go and buy new music. They often don't like the music on the radio as it's mostly targeted at a younger demographic, so the urge to buy the stuff that they hear just isn't there. But they still have all the CDs from their teenage/disposable-income years. So instead of re-buying the dozens (or hundreds, or thousands) of songs that they like in (usually DRM-ed) digital format, they'll take a little time and rip all of their music to mp3 and play it on the player of their choice. This is usually the most economical way for them to listen to their old music on a new device. Oh, and although the RIAA seems to have forgotten, this is also totally legal.

    Essentially, the people who were the main purchasers of CDs in their heyday have moved on to a new demographic and are unlikely to buy what they consider to be the crap that's on the radio. But they're still able to listen to the music that they had previously purchased on the newest devices without re-buying the media. (Note that this option never used to be available -- if you wanted something on CD that you used to have on record or audio cassette, it was usually cheaper, less time-consuming, and produced a better audio quality to go out and buy the CD.)

    The majority of teenagers in what used to be the CD-buying demographic are downloading their music. Even if every teenager spent their disposable income on music from online stores instead of downloading stuff for free, CD sales would still go down. This doesn't mean that the music industry is making less money (after all, a lot of the info online points to rising profits); it just means that CDs don't sell as well anymore. But the RIAA sees the decline in the sale of CDs and other physical media as the decline of the music industry in general.

    Give me a break.

  221. Re:Actually, File Sharing HELPED the music busines by queenb**ch · · Score: 1

    I do think it's a legitimate argument since it ties in with #2 on the list. I'm guessing that you're a Nicholls State University alumn....

    Calling people names is never constructive and I really don't see a reason to curse at people on /.

    Perhaps you should remove your head from your transverse colon....

    Another 2 cents,

    QueenB

    --
    HDGary secures my bank :/
  222. Huh? by Grand+V'izer · · Score: 1
    I know some people will think it strange, but I buy a lot more music since I got an iPod. I used to buy maybe six new CDs a year. Now I buy a few albums each month on iTunes. I would buy more, but sometimes the music I want isn't available at the Apple store.

    The attitude these people have just boggles the mind sometimes.

    --
    Not all random numbers are created equally.
  223. Repeat after me... by SnowDog74 · · Score: 1

    Correlation does not imply causation.

    Correlation does not imply causation.

    Correlation does not imply causation.

  224. Correlation... by SnowDog74 · · Score: 1
  225. Inconclusive by djcondor · · Score: 1

    Correlation does not imply causation.

    Sure, declining CD sales may be correlated with usage of P2P software. However, it's inconclusive whether CD sales dropped BECAUSE of increased usage of P2P software, or if P2P software use increased because of unwillingness to purchase CDs, potentially due to the cost of purchasing CDs or other factors.

    The point is that ultimately, even if you COULD perfecty correlate P2P usage increases with retail purchase declines, you would NOT be able to establish a causal relationship in one direction or the other.

    --
    Now with more sodium!!
  226. The Library Is Your Friend by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We bought the movie "Chicago" on DVD a month after it was released at the grocery store for $9. My wife wanted a CD to play in the car, the cheapest we could find it was for $18.99. Just the audio for twice the price of the audio+video is ridiculus


    The library carries a surprisingly complete collection of music. You can also usually go out of system for a particular title. I have not yet met a CD I couldn't rip. And I get the satisfaction of knowing I screwed the RIAA out of a few bucks.

    Ah... It is a good feeling.
  227. Legal Music Variety by The+Raven · · Score: 1

    If you think 'music nowadays sucks', then you probably haven't really seen much new music. Either that, or you've already fossilized, and your music tastes are stuck in the past. Radio sucks. Get over it, and go out there to find the new places where you can find good music.

    My favorite is eMusic. Songs without DRM (straight mp3), from tens of thousands of independant artists going it alone or with smaller labels. Many of them suck (Sturgeon's Law: 90% of everything is crap), but there's definitely some cool artists out there that you won't find on any radio, or even in many stores. At less than 25 cents per song (at their lowest and least-efficient plan) you really can't go wrong trying out various artists.

    Another option is Garage Band, where you can download music for free, as long as you review the music so the artist can see what you liked or hated about it. I haven't looked at it much, but I bet there's a ton of cool artists, mixed in with all the idiots too... that's what reviews are for, and you can see the artists that everyone else liked.

    Music isn't getting worse... the big distributers are. Fuck 'em. Do an end run around the major labels and ClearChannel, and look at places like eMusic and GarageBand for your new music. The major labels are just gonna have to deal with the fact that they no longer have an oligopoly anymore, and they're gonna have to deal with a (*gasp!*) value and price driven market like everyone else.

    The Raven

    --
    "I will trust Google to 'do no evil' until the founders no longer run it." Hello Alphabet.
  228. Re:Here is why you are wong. by biovoid · · Score: 1

    Stop listening to the radio!
    Stop watching MTV!
    Find your music elsewhere!

    More good music is available today than 10 or 20 years ago. You're just looking in the wrong place.

  229. Re:Actually, File Sharing HELPED the music busines by Blappo · · Score: 1

    No actually, I'm not an alum. I'm just someone who happened to notice your blatantly elitist, moronic attack on a university and decided to call you on it. You can claim it is valid, but you're wrong, and you sound more like an ass because of it.

    "Calling people names is never constructive and I really don't see a reason to curse at people on /."

    Who cursed at you? I called you an ASS, as in a donkey.

    Perhaps you should stop pretending that you're anything other than a vitriolic hatemonger who can only get social interaction by posting imflammatory comments on a web board.

    Do yourself a favor, save the response. You'll just prove me right (again).

    --
    Why are so many posts with factual errors modded up?