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Warner Backs Blu-Ray. End Times For HD-DVD?

An anonymous reader writes "The NY Times reports: In addition to Apple, Warner Brothers is now going to throw its weight behind the Blu-ray format for high-definition disks. Warner has been the only major studio to publish its movies in both Blu-ray and HD DVD formats. Today, the studio announced that from now on, it would only issue movies in Blu-ray. Richard Greenfield, the media analyst with Pali Research, wrote that this marks the end of the format wars: "We expect HD DVD to 'die' a quick death.""

705 comments

  1. What's that sound? by jeffmeden · · Score: 3, Interesting

    You could hear a high-def pindrop in here. I don't think anyone expected things to be over so quick. Does this mean there will be some good sales on HD-DVD players?

    1. Re:What's that sound? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There already are good sales on HD-DVD players. On boxing day (in canada) I got a toshiba HD-DVD player with 2 free movies for $99 (it can only do 720p/1080i, but my TV is only 720p so I didn't care). I have no objection to getting a bluray player too when they are get to that price point.

      I'm not sure if this is the end of the format wars though. A few months ago I remember Paramount dropping Bluray and going all HD-DVD. With all the studios now having chosen a side, I think the war is only going to heat up.

    2. Re:What's that sound? by Adambomb · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Now that would be a fun situation.

      Warner throws behind Blu-Ray, Retailers put HD-DVD stock on sale in response, manufacturers continue supplying to demand, suddenly HD-DVD has the significant market base, studios make play of "providing for the needs of all their customers", more expensive blu-ray dies over a long agonizing period.

      Conjecture without caffeine is wacky.

      --
      Ice Cream has no bones.
    3. Re:What's that sound? by squiggleslash · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's not really over. There are still a number of studios, most notably Paramount, committed exclusively to HD-DVD. The situation is that more studios are currently in the Blu-ray corner.

      What happens long term is still open, though the bias is towards Blu-ray at this point. HD-DVD's hardware is currently less expensive, so I suspect that the war will intensify over the next few months as the DVD forum, who are the promoters of HD-DVD, make a last big push to make it more available.

      As an aside, I find the fact the studios are trying to decide on the format war somewhat depressing. It's hard to see how supporting both formats and allowing consumers to make the final choice is going to cause any serious level of expense. It's all the more depressing because, of the two, Blu-ray, with its compulsory DRM and continued use of region codes, is the more closed and that's what the majority of major studios have gone for. The net effect is that smaller studios are likely to be locked out of HD until a viable downloads system becomes available.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    4. Re:What's that sound? by Blkdeath · · Score: 4, Insightful

      As an aside, I find the fact the studios are trying to decide on the format war somewhat depressing. It's hard to see how supporting both formats and allowing consumers to make the final choice is going to cause any serious level of expense.

      By my reckoning it'll cause them to double their expenses. Not only in film editing (different audio and video standards/capabilities, different media capacity), physical production, but in storage, shipping, handling and marketing costs for two formats while at the same time maintaining 'legacy' support in the form of DVDs.

      The other problem with the above is the "customers" and "decision" part. The common trend amongst the proletariat these days is "Just make up your damn minds and I'll buy whatever wins!" hence the necessity for the producers to have the final say.

      Personally I don't care which format wins, but I won't make any purchase, no matter how small or meaningless, until I know which format I'll be able to rely on for the next decade.

      --
      BD Phone Home!

      Shameless plug. Like you weren't expecting it.

    5. Re:What's that sound? by squiggleslash · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not only in film editing (different audio and video standards/capabilities, different media capacity),

      Not in practice. Both formats have similar capacities in their most common forms (dual layer HD-DVD vs single layer Blu-ray), and use identical codecs. Only the additional rich content - the menus, etc, are different.

      physical production, but in storage, shipping, handling and marketing costs for two formats while at the same time maintaining 'legacy' support in the form of DVDs.

      Nope. The only way you're going to save in physical production, storage, shipping, and handling is if you reduce the number of units you sell, which of course results in a predictable reduction in revenues, so what are you gaining by doing this? You're treating this as if 100,000 Blu-ray discs take half as much storage as 50,000 Blu-ray discs and 50,000 HD-DVD discs. That's clearly not the case.

      And the loss in revenue is WB's problem here, they are, at least in the short term, merely cutting the number of units shipped and sold, reducing their profits. Their hope is that by taking a side, others will fall in line with the same side and so in the long term their sales will rise again as consumers feel obliged to buy Blu-ray players and throw away their HD-DVDs. But see below on that.

      And what marketing costs are you looking at that are saved by ditching HD DVD?

      The other problem with the above is the "customers" and "decision" part. The common trend amongst the proletariat these days is "Just make up your damn minds and I'll buy whatever wins!" hence the necessity for the producers to have the final say.

      Up to a point. I don't think this would have been an issue if studios had all supported both formats and had shown no signs of deciding that one was going to get better treatment than the other in future unless one did spectacularly badly.

      Here's something worth bearing in mind: I'm not doing Blu-ray. I looked at the three formats a month or two ago, DVD, HD-DVD, and Blu-ray, and decided that I felt HD-DVD was a clear step up from DVD, whereas Blu-ray was a step down. (For my logic, see here.) The studios "making the choice for me" doesn't mean I'm breathing a sigh of relief and rushing out to buy a Blu-ray drive, it means they'll be seeing less of my money, especially if they decide to drop DVD as well.

      Hopefully the latter will not happen. Actually, hopefully the "war" isn't over yet.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    6. Re:What's that sound? by EBorisch · · Score: 2, Informative

      There are still a number of studios, most notably Paramount, committed exclusively to HD-DVD. Of course, the $150M payoff might have something to do with that.
    7. Re:What's that sound? by gmack · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The consumers already descided. Blockbuster supported both then discovered that more people bought blue ray by a significant margin.

      The previous articles putting the two in a dead heat could do so only by discounting the number of PlayStation 3 owners by not counting it as a player even though most of the time when I ask for blue ray player prices they just tell me to buy a PS 3 in case I ever want to play games. Without the PS3 the number of players is almost even with the PS3 the numbers are deep into Blue Ray's favour.

      Why anyone thought that fudging the numbers was a good move is beyond me.

    8. Re:What's that sound? by MidnightBrewer · · Score: 1

      DRM has never been that big of an issue for me, since there has always been a way to circumvent it, but as an American living in Japan, region locking has been a real pain in the butt. Even though Blu-ray supports region locking, the PS3 (AKA my cheap Blu-ray player) doesn't require it, and everything I've bought so far, whether game or movie, has been blessedly region-free. Also, under the Blu-ray regions, America and Japan are supposed to fall into the same area, so I can deal with that.

      As far as an ad hoc method of DRM circumvention, my Sony LCD TV actually has component out, which is high enough quality for purposes of capturing at DVD quality. At the current size of Blu-ray content versus disk media, I'm not really concerned with storing anything at HD quality yet.

      --
      "Give a man fire, and he'll be warm for a day; set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life
    9. Re:What's that sound? by badasscat · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's not really over. There are still a number of studios, most notably Paramount, committed exclusively to HD-DVD.

      70% of the industry (in market share terms) is now exclusively supporting Blu-Ray. BD software is outselling HD-DVD 3:1, standalone BD players are now outselling standalone HD-DVD players even at a higher price, and of course when you factor in the game consoles (which do count, because those people are a big part of the software advantage), it's no contest and never has been.

      Moreover, Paramount is now reportedly looking for ways to get out of its deal with HD-DVD. (Scroll down, it's there.) No studio wants to be the last one holding the bag on a dying format while their competitors all jump ship.

      The format war is over. It's funny to see people talking about "good sales" on HD-DVD players - how good does a sale need to be to make buying a piece of dead tech worth it? There are only a couple hundred movies on HD-DVD, and there aren't ever going to be many more than that.

      It's fun to root for the "underdog", but come on, people - this is your own money. Why waste it?

    10. Re:What's that sound? by bigstrat2003 · · Score: 4, Informative
      Excellent wikipedia pie chart: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:HighDefShare.svg

      Looking at that chart, while HD-DVD has support, it's definitely in the minority now with this announcement. Moreover, New Line is owned by Time-Warner, so they're likely to go Blu-Ray only too at some point. I'd say that the situation looks pretty grim for HD-DVD, although it's not quite over yet.

      --
      "16MB (fuck off, MiB fascists)" - The Mighty Buzzard
    11. Re:What's that sound? by j-turkey · · Score: 2, Informative

      Here's something worth bearing in mind: I'm not doing Blu-ray. I looked at the three formats a month or two ago, DVD, HD-DVD, and Blu-ray, and decided that I felt HD-DVD was a clear step up from DVD, whereas Blu-ray was a step down. (For my logic, see here.) The studios "making the choice for me" doesn't mean I'm breathing a sigh of relief and rushing out to buy a Blu-ray drive, it means they'll be seeing less of my money, especially if they decide to drop DVD as well.

      I read your journal entry and I tend to agree with you...at least on paper. From an end-user experience, the two formats have shown to be nearly identical. I have a HD DVD/BD combo drive in my computer. At first, both formats were a severe pain in the ass. I run one video output to an HDMI flat panel display and another to a straight DVI flat-panel monitor. It doesn't complain if I disable the DVI monitor and only run to the HDMI display. However, if my non-HDMI monitor is enabled (regardless of whether or not the video was streamed to the non-HDMI device), AACS-protected video would not play. Certain titles were somehow sensitive to the version of my video driver as well. Eventually, all DRM problems became a non-issue when I installed AnyDVD HD.

      So what does this all mean?

      1. Like I said, both formats are identical from an end-user experience
      2. Out-of-the-box, the DRM is equally intrusive on either format (again, from an end-user standpoint -- technically, they're different)
      3. Circumvention of DRM on either format is trivial, making it a non-issue for computer viewers

      If both formats can hang in there long enough for multi-format readers/players to become ubiquitous, disc format will become irrelevant for just about everyone. Other than the fact that BD is more propritary, and includes additional license costs, I don't care who wins. They both look and sound equally great, and they both suck in the same ways.

      --

      -Turkey

    12. Re:What's that sound? by CensorshipDonkey · · Score: 1

      However, do you think the customers would spend even $100 on a format they thought was doomed for sure?

    13. Re:What's that sound? by nospam007 · · Score: 1

      You could hear a high-def pindrop in here. I don't think anyone expected things to be over so quick. Does this mean there will be some good sales on HD-DVD players?

      Yep, we have it in the same colors as your betamax and video2000 VCR, enjoy.

    14. Re:What's that sound? by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1


      Hate to just post 'me too,' but that's a fair summary of how I feel as well. I would rather see HD become the standard, mostly due to the fact that producers can then forgo encryption and region locking, but also because you can have double-sided discs with DVD on one side and HD on the other which is convenient and a good selling point. Also HD was the first to have the DRM broken which is a selling point to me. I would far sooner purchase media that I know will be easy to play on whatever operating system I so choose, or can be backed up and streamed around my house.

      I don't think HD will vanish. We'll likely end up with both much as we have DVD+R and DVD-R and lots and lots of dual-format players. If one format died a quick death, then we wouldn't see the manufacturing side adapt to dual-format, but I think a quick death is out of the question so we'll end up with a dual-format standard in players (and writers). Once that happens, the hesitancy in buying either format will be gone and they can both compete on their technical merits. In which case HD may yet win the day.

      I'm holding off mainly for the prices of HD-DVD drives and the content to come down. But there are certainly a few movies in my collection I'm already tempted to re-buy in HD.

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    15. Re:What's that sound? by soloport · · Score: 1

      And the next chart looks rather monochromatic.

    16. Re:What's that sound? by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      It's fun to root for the "underdog", but come on, people - this is your own money. Why waste it?

      How am I wasting it? For reasons I described above, I don't plan to get a Blu-ray player at any time in the future, because it absolutely definitely is not what I want. To me, in terms of the benchmarks I set, it is inferior to the format it replaces.

      HD-DVD I consider a superior format to DVD. So I benefit from buying a player that plays them and HD-DVD discs.

      It is worth the money to me. HD-DVD players aren't expensive, they're going to be around for as long as people want them, and the catalog is large enough today that I can build a fair library, relatively cheaply.

      For all the bluster about wasting money on "obsolete" formats, if the format does what you want, and it's priced low enough for you to feel is cost effective, why avoid it and buy something that's "current" but not what you want?

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    17. Re:What's that sound? by Adambomb · · Score: 1

      "For sure"

      That's a statement I wouldn't agree with until the HDDVD players are no longer on the shelves. Personally I do not find the difference between HD-DVD/BluRay and regular DVD's so I won't be caring much until this all dies down and HD video disc players are thrown in for free with purchase of a large pizza.

      These companies know the power of posturing, and Blu-Ray advocates certainly won't be saying "HD-DVD JUST MIGHT COME BACK" for all the money in the world.

      --
      Ice Cream has no bones.
    18. Re:What's that sound? by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      Well, the consumers have only decided in the sense that they've rejected both and opted to stay with DVD. There are relatively few hi-def players out there. Even amongst backers of one format or the other (actually, Blu-ray, as I've not seen a store promoting HD DVD), I've walked into many stores and not seen a single player even as a demo unit and no indication they plan to have one.

      This isn't because they're selling out - go to Best Buy or Wal*Mart, and there they are - it's because it's not worth the shelf space for most stores. People aren't buying either format except a dedicated group of HD enthusiasts and those who buy the Playstation 3 (for whatever reason, whether it's to play games, watch Blu-ray, or both.)

      Blockbuster's figures, at this point, and definitely in June of last year, are really irrelevant. Until the hardware is in more homes, consumers will not have decided anything.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    19. Re:What's that sound? by squiggleslash · · Score: 2, Informative

      Moreover, Paramount is now reportedly looking for ways to get out of its deal with HD-DVD. (Scroll down, it's there.)

      No it isn't. The author is saying that Paramount should look for ways out and speculates they will. I see nothing that says they actually are.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    20. Re:What's that sound? by Divebus · · Score: 1

      Warner throws behind Blu-Ray, Retailers put HD-DVD stock on sale in response...

      That's exactly the potential outcome - HD-DVD could still win out unless all 174 Corporate Blu-ray backers figure out how to make cheaper consumer examples of their players.

      There are 138 Corporate HD-DVD backers of which Microsoft is one. Microsoft has recently primed the pump by helping (funding/bribing) studios to create lots of HD-DVD titles - the other factor of format choice for consumers. There's some contention that Microsoft is just trying to fuel the format wars so they can swoop the download market.

      Oh, yeah.. the download market. LG and Netflix partnership, Apple and a dozen others may obsolete both physical standards.

      --

      Most of the stuff on /. won't survive first contact with facts.
    21. Re:What's that sound? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not really over. There are still a number of studios, most notably Paramount, committed exclusively to HD-DVD. The situation is that more studios are currently in the Blu-ray corner. By number of studios you mean 2? There are only really 8 major studios involved in this war and 6 of them have sided with Bluray. Universal seems to have made their own choice to stick with HD and Paramount, everyone knows was paid to go HD. More than likely Paramount has to have had an out clause in their contract that would allow them to nullify said contract if HD wasn't able to meet some condition (sales, support, etc). If they don't then they're somewhat screwed.

      What happens long term is still open, though the bias is towards Blu-ray at this point. HD-DVD's hardware is currently less expensive, so I suspect that the war will intensify over the next few months as the DVD forum, who are the promoters of HD-DVD, make a last big push to make it more available Who cares if it's less expensive, if there's less movies available for it then who'd want it. There's a much wider selection of newer movies on Bluray than HDDVD so although price is a factor. I don't think it's as deciding as you make it be. Especially since people are buying $2000+ HDTVs I think a $400 Bluray player isn't too bad.

      And as for the DVD forum, I don't see how they have more capital to push HD than BDA has to push Bluray. The BDA will make a push also to try and kill HDDVD once and for all. So, more than likely, you'll see both sides either trying to lower prices or create sales deals. Most people don't slow down in a race because no ones in front of them.

      As an aside, I find the fact the studios are trying to decide on the format war somewhat depressing. It's hard to see how supporting both formats and allowing consumers to make the final choice is going to cause any serious level of expense. Umm... consumers decide it by sales and Warner has clearly been getting more sales from their Bluray media then their HDDVD media (300 sold twice as many bluray than hddvd and bluray media is outselling hddvd by a wide margin in europe and japan). Consumers have decided and they've decided Bluray.

      It's all the more depressing because, of the two, Blu-ray, with its compulsory DRM and continued use of region codes, is the more closed and that's what the majority of major studios have gone for. The net effect is that smaller studios are likely to be locked out of HD until a viable downloads system becomes available. What? have you actually looked at what studios are doing? Region codes allow a movie to be released in one area while it's still in theaters in another. Older movies have no region codes (those about a year old). This is why HDDVD movies are delayed by a bit, so that their movie runs can finish around the world, because they have no region codes

      "Compulsory DRM". You mean because AACS isn't supported by HDDVD and hasn't already been broken? I don't see why this is bad. And last time I heard, studios weren't forced to add drm, it's up to them.

      "Closed". You mean their long member list of companies that can bring up issues with the spec, make recommendations,etc or do you mean how they use a well accepted language like Java for their interactivity? I'm not sure what you mean exactly
    22. Re:What's that sound? by AmishElvis · · Score: 1

      Blu-ray was the inevitable victor. They have the most snappy name. "blue ray" vs "aiech dee dee vee dee"? Come on. No contest.

    23. Re:What's that sound? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For the most part you appear to be making no points of any sort. For example, your comment on the number of studios thing.

      But:

      1. Consumers haven't chosen either format.

      2. Most movie releases have region codes, with the temporary exception of some Blu-ray discs, and the total exception of all HD-DVD discs.

      3. AACS is supported on HD-DVD but is not compulsory. It is compulsory on Blu-ray. Even if you're seriously saying you're too stupid to understand what the words "Compulsory DRM" means, the same point was made above to someone else confused by the notion.

      4. Blu-ray is more closed: you need to license AACS, at minimum, to use it. Small independent studios will never find it effective to release on Blu-ray. Both formats are closed to a degree and open to another, like DVD is, but Blu-ray is unquestionably the more locked up, both for consumers and for publishers. For large publishers, the fact Blu-ray is more closed is a bonus. For consumers and smaller publishers alike, it's very much an issue.

    24. Re:What's that sound? by gmack · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Ok so the early adopters have decided.

      Everyone else is waiting for two things:
      1: The format war to be over since no one wants to shell out for a player and movies only to end up on the losing side and end up with movies they can't play or a player they can't get movies for.

      2: The players to get cheaper.

      You make it seem like the non early adopters even matter on which way the war will end. They quite frankly don't. The war will be over before they ever bother to buy one themselves.

      With today's news announcing that one of the larger studios is dropping HD DVD will only tilt the war further in Blu-Ray's favour since there is no point in buying HD DVD players if you can't get content for them no matter how cheap they get.

    25. Re:What's that sound? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You weren't around for the Quadraphonic sound wars, or the AM stereo wars were you?

    26. Re:What's that sound? by Basehart · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If you want to see new releases in HD on your HD-DVD player six months from now, the only way you'll be able to do it is to somehow copy it from a Blu-ray disc onto a HD-DVD disc or download a HD file from somewhere and do the same (although that's a waste of time for obvious reasons). HD-DVD as a format is dead in month if not weeks, however amazing it may be.

    27. Re:What's that sound? by h4rm0ny · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You make it seem like the non early adopters even matter on which way the war will end.

      Well of course they do. If two groups are targetting a market of a billion+, they're not going to say, "oh dear, of the first three million sold we only got 25% lets abandon our investment now." The market has barely been scratched. By the time it's even a tenth of the way to being fully exploited, dual-format players will likely be in the same price range as single format players (it's not as though the manufacturing cost is wildly different and it's a great selling point), so there will be plenty of market for both. Besides, what I'm hearing a lot of, is people saying they prefer HD for the stability of the format and the lack of region coding (and other DRM issues). So I think the vast numbers of people out there who haven't bought in yet, are very significant. They represent a vast untouched market that any company would love to get a slice of. You're not thinking just how much money 10% of all the TV owners out there represents. It's enormous! If you can claim that 10% of the market and you don't, any CEO would be rightly kicked out by the company's investors.

      HD will certainly be around long enough for dual-format to be the norm (you only need a tiny difference in title releases between formats to make dual-format appealing to the hardware purchaser), and once that happens, both formats have survived the critical format war stage.
      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    28. Re:What's that sound? by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      This is, frankly, hyperbole. Even WB is going to be releasing new content on HD-DVD for the next six months, so saying it's dead in a month or weeks is completely ridiculous. And that's ignoring the fact that other studios - not the majority, but nonetheless others - will continue to support it for some time.

      The question I asked though was how am I wasting money? Even in a world in which new releases will not be available "in month if not weeks", there is a substantial library out there already. If those are movies I want to watch, and HD-DVD is a cost effective way to watch them in a way that suits me better than DVD or Blu-ray, then how am I wasting money buying HD-DVD?

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    29. Re:What's that sound? by squiggleslash · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I disagree. It's not "Early Adopters" who have "chosen" Blu-ray or HD-DVD. It's "Interested parties" who have done so, and done so for a variety of reasons, in Blu-ray's case in major part because their games console came with a Blu-ray player. "Early Adopter" is a term used for people who get hold of new technologies at a time they're new ahead of everyone else, but the overwhelming evidence is that this isn't one of those cases.

      The people I've been talking to generally don't care about either format. They like DVD. Upconverted DVD looks fantastic on their spiffy new LCD HDTV sets. For either Blu-ray or HD-DVD to be attractive to them, it has to have advantages over DVD, and for the majority of consumers, neither format does, not because of competition issues, but because the hardware costs a small fortune, the discs cost a little more (albeit not much more), and the quality improvement is marginal.

      That's the fundamental reason why consumers have picked DVD over both HD-DVD and Blu-ray, and it's why proposing that this is somehow a matter of what the 3% of consumers who have actually gone high-def have "chosen" is a waste of time and fundamentally misleading. At this stage, until one or other of the formats can be slipped in under the radar (say, by making cheap, $99, boxes that are great DVD players and also support a high-def format), neither format looks set to be anything more than the next Laserdisc in comparison to DVD's VHS.

      And yes, I'm aware consumer advice sites keep recommending everyone not buy anything until "the industry" chooses one format or the other, but I don't think that's actually translating into consumers actually doing just that, even if they say that as the "smart answer". Most people I've talked to do not even know there are multiple formats, if they've heard of the war at all.

      The choice has not been made. If we're choosing what's going to replace the Laserdisc, and the studios decide that's really what they see hi-def as, then yeah, Blu-ray is probably what has the momentum. But if they're trying to replace the DVD, both formats are failures as of now, and that's not going to change until either the advantages of hi-def can be seriously promoted, or the pricing of a DVD player that supports a Hi-def format can be reduced to the point there's no advantage in buying something that only plays DVDs.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    30. Re:What's that sound? by Basehart · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "The question I asked though was how am I wasting money?"

      You're not wasting money if all you want to watch is the movies that are currently available on HD-DVD, but in the future (at least until HD is easily available via cable) you may want to watch a new release in HD at home and you won't be able to, because HD-DVD as a format is not going to exist.

      People with Blu-ray player can also pick up existing movies and they will also be able to watch new releases, again until HD is easily available via cable, and even then they may want to buy a hard copy for all the extra content and whatever.

      We all know that HD-DVD players and discs isn't going to somehow cease to exist in a few months, but there won't be any new stuff for you to enjoy at some point. So on that level you're wasting your money buy buying deeper into the HD-DVD format.

    31. Re:What's that sound? by Basehart · · Score: 1

      BTW please excuse the typos. I'm on the phone with Costco trying to swap my $100 HD-DVD player for a Blu-ray version of 2001-A Space Odyssey .

    32. Re:What's that sound? by Blkdeath · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Not in practice. Both formats have similar capacities in their most common forms (dual layer HD-DVD vs single layer Blu-ray),

      Are you in marketing? "similar capacities"? "most common forms"? I said different. They are not the same, therefore they are different.

      Nope. The only way you're going to save in physical production, storage, shipping, and handling is if you reduce the number of units you sell, which of course results in a predictable reduction in revenues, so what are you gaining by doing this? You're treating this as if 100,000 Blu-ray discs take half as much storage as 50,000 Blu-ray discs and 50,000 HD-DVD discs. That's clearly not the case.

      Are you saying that the market is split evenly at 50/50 and they will produce and sell an identical number of each units? There won't be any overhead, overruns, surplus production of either format? Or, to be less pedantic, are you saying that a given production house can nearly accurately forecast the number of sales of either given format for any given title over a period of time? Further, the fact that the production equipment is physically different and that there are licensing fees involved, etc. doesn't factor into your equation. Business 101.

      Up to a point. I don't think this would have been an issue if studios had all supported both formats and had shown no signs of deciding that one was going to get better treatment than the other in future unless one did spectacularly badly.

      Time to take the naive cap off my friend. There's billions of dollars at stake here and everybody's got their hand out with golden eggs in it. The content providers, hardware and console makers have had to decide which egg looks the most appealing. Money talks. Welcome to capitalism.

      Here's something worth bearing in mind: I'm not doing Blu-ray. I looked at the three formats a month or two ago, DVD, HD-DVD, and Blu-ray, and decided that I felt HD-DVD was a clear step up from DVD, whereas Blu-ray was a step down. (For my logic, see here.) The studios "making the choice for me" doesn't mean I'm breathing a sigh of relief and rushing out to buy a Blu-ray drive, it means they'll be seeing less of my money, especially if they decide to drop DVD as well.

      Sorry, but your arguments are a tad misguided. DRM is a component of media conglomerates, not media storage formats. It will exist as long as the "War On Piracy" continues to rage on.

      As for the studios seeing more or less of your money, well, if BluRay does become the clear victor and HD-DVD goes the way of BetaMax that's your choice. Do you participate in purchasing new entertainment media, do you pirate, or do you opt out of current entertainment media all together?

      But in the long run, I don't think you get it. You are not a typical consumer. You are nothing remotely resembling a typical consumer and the people responsible for producing these formats, I'm sorry to say, don't shive a git what your opinion is or where your wallet goes one way or another. Your arguments mean as much to a movie studio as the subtle nuances of rocket science mean to me. But this is Slashdot, so please don't hesitate to respond and tell me how one DRM format/requirement is subtly different than another or some other pedantry.

      --
      BD Phone Home!

      Shameless plug. Like you weren't expecting it.

    33. Re:What's that sound? by Digicrat · · Score: 1

      I had planned on getting some HD disc format with my new HDTV, and I did so. But my choice had nothing to do with the formats themselves. The choice was:

      - Playstation 3 as a Blu-Ray Player
      - Xbox360 for games, with HD-DVD as a bonus add-on

      My decision? The Xbox came free with my TV, so I got the HD-DVD add-on. If the PS3 was free, I would have been just as happy (except not playing as many games, but that's a different discussion).

      Personally, I think this format war will continue ad infinitum until both formats are replaced by the next big thing -- HD Downloads and HD-DVRs in the short-term, and HVD [Wikipedia] Movie discs in the long-term. A 4TB disc format will take us far beyond the current HDTV technologies.

    34. Re:What's that sound? by Basehart · · Score: 4, Insightful

      OK already. Enjoy your crappy HD-DVD discs. See if I care :-)

    35. Re:What's that sound? by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      Are you in marketing? "similar capacities"? "most common forms"? I said different. They are not the same, therefore they are different.

      If you're trying to raise points irrelevent to the comparison, then yeah, they're technically different. However, in practice, there are no serious differences in terms of capacity. The two formats require identical compression. A person ordered to produce both Blu-ray and HD-DVD forms of a movie is not going to have to spend twice as long doing it as they would just doing one. In practice there are no serious differences. In practice, that is, in the real world, where the producer is having to make technical decisions, they're going to do the same thing for both formats.

      Are you saying that the market is split evenly at 50/50 and they will produce and sell an identical number of each units? There won't be any overhead, overruns, surplus production of either format? Or, to be less pedantic, are you saying that a given production house can nearly accurately forecast the number of sales of either given format for any given title over a period of time? Further, the fact that the production equipment is physically different and that there are licensing fees involved, etc. doesn't factor into your equation. Business 101.

      No, I don't think I said any of that. And you're overstating a number of factors. Indeed, insofar as you're right, Warner Brothers is still better off producing some discs in HD DVD format rather than producing both formats, because HD DVD is slightly cheaper per disc.

      Or do you think that if someone orders a couple of duplication plants to produce 30,000 HD DVD discs and 70,000 Blu-ray discs, they're going to have to spend considerably more money than if they order 100,000 Blu-ray discs? Because at those volumes (and we're not realistically looking at 100,000 for most releases, we're looking at numbers far in excess of that) the cost per disc isn't going to get any lower just because you order a few more of them.

      You're overstating virtually everything in order to make it appear that dual format support is some kind of millstone around a publisher's neck. For very low volumes, it may well be, because the menu authoring is substantially different between the two formats. For the kinds of volume we're talking about here, the nearest thing there is to an issue is making sure the ratio of the two formats is about right.

      It's considerably more expensive, and less convenient, to support DVD and VHS, and the studios were doing that for years.

      Sorry, but your arguments are a tad misguided. DRM is a component of media conglomerates, not media storage formats. It will exist as long as the "War On Piracy" continues to rage on.

      Fascinating, wrong, and completely irrelevent. Nobody's said DRM is going away. Blu-ray does support BD+, and BD+ appears to be a stupid, moronic, hack that has already caused problems for legitimate consumers.

      But in the long run, I don't think you get it. You are not a typical consumer. You are nothing remotely resembling a typical consumer and the people responsible for producing these formats, I'm sorry to say, don't shive a git what your opinion is or where your wallet goes one way or another. Your arguments mean as much to a movie studio as the subtle nuances of rocket science mean to me. But this is Slashdot, so please don't hesitate to respond and tell me how one DRM format/requirement is subtly different than another or some other pedantry.

      Your opinions don't matter to me any more than mine does to yours.

      I don't actually like Blu-ray, and I will not be buying it. I don't want to constantly downloading firmware updates because the "latest release" of something I'm interested in has a BD+ (or whatever) hack on it that screws up playback on my player. I do, actually, want to buy movies that haven't been rel

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    36. Re:What's that sound? by gmack · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What overwhelming evidence is that? The 60% drop in player prices in the last year? The fact that both HD format players are finally starting to show up in stores? The fact that DVD used to be just as rare? If I recall correctly both Blu-ray and HD DVD seem to be taking off faster than DVD did. How can you possibly argue that one of these won't be the next standard?

      A lot of the non technical people I've talked to are very worried about choosing the losing side and won't buy in until there is a clear winner.

      Your also forgetting why Laserdisc failed. Laserdisc failed because the media was a lot more of a pain to carry around than VHS tapes. VHS tapes were a lot smaller and a LOT less fragile so it wasn't until they came up with a smaller format (DVD) that it even begun to catch on. Both Blu-Ray and HD DVD.

      And yes I hate region coding as much as you do but as much as we all try and argue around reality we still won't make the result any less true: At this moment HD DVD is losing the content battle from both a production(movie studios) perspective and a distribution (blockbuster) perspective.

    37. Re:What's that sound? by Adambomb · · Score: 1

      Actually, gotta revise what i said, they WOULD do so for all the money in the world. Or even just more money than they are getting now advocating BluRay =).

      --
      Ice Cream has no bones.
    38. Re:What's that sound? by Sentry21 · · Score: 1

      This is a good point, and worth highlighting. Most people I know didn't even get a DVD player until they could get one under a hundred bucks. Even then, when working at some various electronic stores/departments, I saw two things that (as a technical person) surprised me:

      1. People would come into my department asking where the cassette tapes were. This was in 2001. Alternately, VHS tapes, in 2003.
      2. Working at an EB in early 2004, people were still discounting the GameCube as a viable option for them because the PS2 and XBox were also DVD players - which these people didn't have. In 2004.

      The format war is nearing an end, I hope, but don't expect the average consumer to jump in until there are sub-$100 players and they're not paying $45+ per disc for media. Obviously, the player price is more important, because once someone has a player, they're more likely to buy HD copies of whatever they want, be it Superman Returns or seasons of Stargate Atlantis (coming soon to a BD player near you!).

      After the players are sub-$100, then people can buy a player, and start to pick and choose. They won't switch over wholesale, because I really don't need to see Hackers or The Pacifier in 1080p, regardless of what you may think of Angelina Jolie and/or Vin Diesel. They will, however, splash out for the big events - LOTR, Stargate Atlantis, Lawrence of Arabia, Bladerunner, Aliens - all the big, fancy movies whose theatre experiences you want to relive (or experience).

      Of course, people are buying their favourites means only a selection of sales, but since different people have different preferences, this will splash across the board, and while the latest Mary-Kate and Ashley travesty or Britney Spears Comeback Fiasco DVD might not be worth HD-copies (or even paying for), there will be enough purchases spread across the board to start to bring prices down and let studios recoup the cost of setting up manufacturing, HD workflows, restoration, and so on.

      Once that happens, discs come down in price to approach DVDs, and then, coupled with dropping prices on cheap entry-level players from unheard-of brands from Korea and Taiwan, you can achieve critical mass and DVDs can start to be phased out.

      Personally, I can't wait.

    39. Re:What's that sound? by theJML · · Score: 1

      Until the hardware is in more homes, consumers will not have decided anything.

      Which is ironic, because the hardware won't be in more homes until the consumers decide...
       
        I for one don't buy many DVD's anyway, but have scaled that back even more until this whole thing finishes up. From what I've seen/read BluRay is a clear winner of this round, but I'm not buying another until either of them (and I don't care which at this point) dies a quick death. There's no point in dropping the money and I think may customers feel the same way. In the mean time I'll have to say that my HD screen and progressive scan standard DVD player looks pretty darn nice and clear. So even if one won I'd be hard pressed to justify running out tomorrow to buy a new one. I'd only really be in the market for a next gen if my current one died.
      --
      -=JML=-
    40. Re:What's that sound? by Blkdeath · · Score: 1

      No, I don't think I said any of that. And you're overstating a number of factors.

      I didn't state any factors, letalone overstate. You're the one who's claimed that there's no cost burden to maintain two disparate formats.

      Indeed, insofar as you're right, Warner Brothers is still better off producing some discs in HD DVD format rather than producing both formats, because HD DVD is slightly cheaper per disc.

      Obviously in the long run they've determined Bluray to be more profitable so the cost per disc in production is meaningless.

      Your opinions don't matter to me any more than mine does to yours.

      Funny, because I'm not stating opinions. I wasn't trying to hurt your feelings, really, I was trying to enlighten you as to just how far your Slashdot keyboard slapping is going towards media conglomerates' views on their next HD format.

      I don't actually like Blu-ray, and I will not be buying it. I don't want to constantly downloading firmware updates because the "latest release" of something I'm interested in has a BD+ (or whatever) hack on it that screws up playback on my player.

      Interesting. You're telling me I don't understand the issue and you put up a strawman that large?

      Blu-ray has to offer me advantages over DVD in order for me to want it. It doesn't. In that respect, I believe my views are very, very, mainstream.

      And that's why we'll have to agree to disagree on this one. You have no idea what mainstream consumers actually want.

      --
      BD Phone Home!

      Shameless plug. Like you weren't expecting it.

    41. Re:What's that sound? by jeffeb3 · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't be surprised if HD-DVD will end up in the hands of Sony, just to be dismantled.

    42. Re:What's that sound? by jimicus · · Score: 1

      Blu-ray, with its compulsory DRM and continued use of region codes, is the more closed and that's what the majority of major studios have gone for.

      Somehow, I think those two things may be related.

    43. Re:What's that sound? by antek9 · · Score: 1

      You sound more hysteric and deluded with every post you make on this issue. Have a nice day pretending Blu-ray doesn't even exist. I'll even withstand my usual habit of trying to give my replies to something I consider idiotic a funny twist, because your cause just isn't worth it. Just makes me shake my head in disbelief.

      But then you know, the funny thing is, I don't even think you're paid to make up crap like that, or if you were, and I were MS/Toshiba, I'd want my money back.

      --
      A World in a Grain of Sand / Heaven in a Wild Flower,
      Infinity in the Palm of your Hand / And Eternity in an Hour.
    44. Re:What's that sound? by donaldm · · Score: 1

      That's a statement I wouldn't agree with until the HDDVD players are no longer on the shelves. Personally I do not find the difference between HD-DVD/BluRay and regular DVD's so I won't be caring much until this all dies down and HD video disc players are thrown in for free with purchase of a large pizza.
      You are right there is no difference in physical size between Blu-Ray, HD-DVD, DVD or even CD's for that matter (sorry could not resist). If you want to compare specs then try the following site http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HD_DVD#HD_DVD_.2F_Blu-ray_disc_comparison there is a significant difference between DVD and HD-DVD/Blu-Ray however while Blu-Ray is better than HD-DVD the difference is not that great except for capacity where Blu-Ray definately has the edge.

      If you want a popular format go to Asia or the Philippines there "VCD" is king especially when you consider that you can get the latest movies (I was in the Philippines just 6 weeks ago) for US$4 on VCD compared to US$7 for DVD at legitimate stores. Most people I met there don't know what HD-DVD is although they do now about Blu-Ray. Sill I could not find any shop that sold either HD-DVD or Blu-Ray.
      --
      There ain't no such thing as proprietary standards only proprietary formats. Standards are by definition open.
    45. Re:What's that sound? by Adambomb · · Score: 1

      All i'm saying is for all the specs, my eyes do not care. The difference between a VCD or SVCD is definitely noticeable in quality as compressing 4.7 or more gigs onto 700-800 makes for a huge loss due to the compression, and its a loss that I can definitely see. Put either HD formats and put them next to a dvd and i honestly do not care enough to pay for the minute difference that i actually see.

      HD is for true videophiles with outstanding eyesight and people who need to compensate it for insecurity would seem.

      --
      Ice Cream has no bones.
    46. Re:What's that sound? by antek9 · · Score: 1

      Don't underestimate the power of names here, my friend. You might be a geek like me (though, not 100% sure on this, having a look at your user name), so we'd know what we were talking about while shopping for HD-DVD, so as not to confuse them with the vanilla DVD format discs. But your mother in law might get confused a that point if you send her getting you some Blade Runner on HD-DVD.

      In the not so distant future it will be much easier: Madam, do you need that movie on DVD or on Blu-ray? Actually, I find that completely unrelated name an ingenious move by that format's consortium.

      Epilogue: Don't call the yet to come next gen disc format X-Blu-ray (or, mind you, S-HD-DVD for that matter); Green-beam or similar is much better in terms of user friendliness (ugly as it may be).

      --
      A World in a Grain of Sand / Heaven in a Wild Flower,
      Infinity in the Palm of your Hand / And Eternity in an Hour.
    47. Re:What's that sound? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not in practice. Both formats have similar capacities in their most common forms (dual layer HD-DVD vs single layer Blu-ray), and use identical codecs. Only the additional rich content - the menus, etc, are different. Similar capacity, ROFLS. Look, any way you try to twist it, Blu-ray still has larger capacities.

      onsumers feel obliged to buy Blu-ray players and throw away their HD-DVDs. You could just keep your HD-DVD player, and enjoy them as often as you like even after you've decided to get a Blu-ray player.

      whereas Blu-ray was a step down. Grow some balls, man. They are both huge improvements over DVD, but Blu-ray has larger capacities, and we can't trust Microsoft. Sorry, HD-DVD will die. You'll have to get over it eventually.

      I read your reasoning for HD-DVD vs. Blu-ray. Managed copy is BS, plain and simple. It is NOT acceptable to PAY for "managed" copy rights. We (should) ALREADY have the right to implement the type of movie storage you mentioned, and it's already DONE with DVDs, WITHOUT paying for rights you already had. BOSE offers a DVD caching system, go google the rest.

      "Microsoft" and "managed copy for a price" should be enough to send you running.

      Managed copy.. a feature, and you poo-poo Blu-ray's DRM in the same breath, what a fucking idiot.
    48. Re:What's that sound? by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1

      And that's why we'll have to agree to disagree on this one. You have no idea what mainstream consumers actually want.

      Not to have to download and install new firmware to a DVD player, not to find that their player doesn't support all the features on a newer disc, to be able to play a DVD purchased from anywhere without worrying about region locking. Sounds like he had a pretty good grasp of what mainstream consumers want, actually.
      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    49. Re:What's that sound? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Take a deep breath bro cause you sound like you have no idea what you are talking about .

      You seem to be so caught up with the 'anti-Sony DRM' fear mongers that you can just smell the hate for Sony in between your ranting factless post.

      Just funny to watch Slashdotters squirm around here knowing that their number one enemy Microsoft they have to cheer for in the format war all because of the 'rootkit cd fiasco' Sony did which made all the nerds their enemy.

      Sony wins the format war and the nerds just cry themselves to sleep knowing they lost another battle; the nerds come back the next day instead of having a real argument they will just scream to pirate everything to get back at 'the man'.

      Never come for an opinion on Slashdot about any format war and go to sane places where they have actual thought out facts. No facts around Slashdot, just the same old robot response of 'no to corporations, DRM and closed source'. Socialist galore around here.

    50. Re:What's that sound? by Blkdeath · · Score: 0, Troll

      Not to have to download and install new firmware to a DVD player, not to find that their player doesn't support all the features on a newer disc, to be able to play a DVD purchased from anywhere without worrying about region locking. Sounds like he had a pretty good grasp of what mainstream consumers want, actually.

      Agreeing with his ridiculous strawman makes you just as wrong as he does, FWIW.

      --
      BD Phone Home!

      Shameless plug. Like you weren't expecting it.

    51. Re:What's that sound? by sponga · · Score: 1

      Statement just proves to never come here for an opinion on Blu-ray technology or any format war.

      Pick any article and the opinion will be completely wrongly predicted or just modded up to satisfy the open source advocates around here; it is annoying when the agenda must be pushed on every article or how simple little 'facts' get completely ignored.

      Minority as usual speaking as if they represent the majority.

      Boy I remember being called a 'paid shill' that works for Sony because I said Blu-ray was going to win the format war when it was clear they had all the blockbuster movies under them; yet the same old crap about how there were some classics out there that were still good and how some indie films would stand up.

    52. Re:What's that sound? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right cause triple layer HDDVD discs work on first gen players...

    53. Re:What's that sound? by GwaihirBW · · Score: 1

      *sigh* He's not pretending Blu-Ray doesn't or will not exist, he's simply trying to get across that even if it becomes the only option, he *will not buy Blu-Ray*, which means that he can either buy HD-DVD and risk being stuck with a relatively limited library that isn't expanding (if it does die completely as a format), or buy nothing at all. Given that he will not in any circumstances buy Blu-Ray, he isn't wasting money buying HD-DVD because it at least gives him access to that current library, which he wants. His reasons for disliking Blu-Ray are, in this case, irrelevant.

      His objection (if I'm reading him correctly) is similar to that of people who refuse to download any content that is shackled with DRM, for any price. For those people (hypothetically, by way of explanation, this situation probably doesn't exist), if a song is offered in 96kpbs mp3 without DRM for $2 and 128kbps with DRM for $1, they aren't 'wasting their money' if they buy the lower-quality, more-expensive one because they object so much to the format of the latter that they refuse to buy it under any circumstances. They are left with the choice of the former or nothing.

      --
      "There are four boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order." - Ed Howdershelt
    54. Re:What's that sound? by dcam · · Score: 1

      You missed point 0.

      0. Buy new TV.

      To get the most out of the new formats, most people will need a new TV. As the higher def TVs increase penetration, people will buy the higher def formats.

      --
      meh
    55. Re:What's that sound? by DrXym · · Score: 1
      Many HD DVD proponents like to have it both ways for the PS3. I've seen the same person in a forum discount the PS3 because its not a standalone player, but later include them when they're talking about attach rates. It's pathetic really.

      I think everyone can agree that many people buy a PS3 for games, some for Blu Ray and some for a bit of both. Naturally the attach rate is going to be lower, but that doesn't mean it isn't significant or that we can pretend PS3s don't exist. They do exist and even if they're selling worse than 360s they're still selling at a rate which is still giving Blu Ray a large and increasing lead.

    56. Re:What's that sound? by sgt101 · · Score: 1

      "I want HD-DVD to win" is not logic.

      Your scoring scheme is very skewed to make Blu-ray come last, this is exactly what Sony had done with the studio's scoring system: provided the points that make HD-DVD come last.

      The point you have missed is that movie production and TV series production as well, are fundamentally different from music production (with rare exceptions).

      There are particular "bands" such as the cast of Friends, who could defect to a different director, producer and writer team and take the audience with them, although in reality because they don't own the shows the are not able to do so, but most movies and tv series are collaborative undertakings created by (literally) an industry. The creative commons (in contrast to music) is not able to make these things.

      Therefore, just as in steel making, the producers will dictate the mechanism of distribution.

      --
      --------------------------------------------- "In the end, we're all just water and old stars."
    57. Re:What's that sound? by IrquiM · · Score: 1

      And the deal is only to the end of this year! When January comes next year, I'm gonna get myself Transformers on Blu-ray!

      --
      This is blinging
    58. Re:What's that sound? by vpaul · · Score: 1

      ... and
      3: DeAACS to get as common as DeCSS is.
      People want to backup and place-shift their disks.

    59. Re:What's that sound? by gmack · · Score: 1

      The price of a PS3 isn't much different from a Blu-ray player at least not where I am. I get the same thing from both friends and sales reps when I ask about Blu-Ray prices "Just get a PS3 in case you want to play games as well someday." With advice like that going around I suspect people are buying PS3 primarily as a DVD player.

      Discounting PS3 numbers is idiocy.

    60. Re:What's that sound? by gmack · · Score: 1

      Technical people want to be able to place shift. Non technical people, for the most part, will just buy a second copy if they need to.

      Most of the people I know who own Hi Def TVs never manage to copy a DVD.

    61. Re:What's that sound? by DrXym · · Score: 1

      I think the PS3 is excellent value for what it is. Getting a Blu Ray player AND console AND multimedia functionality (music, photo, DIVX / MPEG2 / H264 videos jukebox), networking for $400 is excellent value. And it'll probably drop even further in the year.

    62. Re:What's that sound? by gmthor · · Score: 1

      I just read another article about it. This was before the decision of Warner. With them, BD has a marketshare of 66% and 10% haven't decided jet. Anybody how thinks that there is no reason to think that the war is over should learn to read numbers.

      --
      How do I uncompress my MD5 archive?
    63. Re:What's that sound? by ivan256 · · Score: 1

      That's a horrible pie chart.

      Somebody needs to tell whoever made that to group the data. By spreading it out and interleaving you make it very difficult to get an accurate sense of the proportions.

    64. Re:What's that sound? by sjames · · Score: 1

      Only the additional rich content - the menus, etc, are different.

      Somebody's going to want payment for putting that together. If they do it twice, they'll need to be paid twice. Even for the parts that are 'the same', it's going to require double the QA to make SURE that's the case. Two approvals on the cover art, 2 production schedules, 2 gold masters, 2 SKUs, 2 contracts and two sets of inventory. Mistakes where the wrong format is shipped which can't happen at all if there is only one.

      In a world where design decisions are made based on pennies per unit, it is definatly in the studios' best interest to kill one of the two HD formats if they can. If they thought they could kill off DVD as well, they'd do it. For now, there's just too many potential customers for DVDs that can't or won't go buy a new HD player until they get to under $100 at least.

    65. Re:What's that sound? by gravis777 · · Score: 1

      I totally agree. I use my PS3 primaraly as a BluRay player, and I ocassionally load up a PS3 or old PS2 or PS1 game on it, and I do love it as a media player, but it is a BluRay player for me first and foremost.

      The parent thread talking about how Paramount is exclusively HD-DVD is kinda moot. Microsoft paid Paramount $150 million to do HD-DVD exclusively for 18 months after which time, they can choose to do whatever format they choose. This was thought to be a good move for Paramount, as BluRay and HD-DVD sales were not excpected to reach $150 million in that 18 month period. However, with WB, probably the biggest company that HD-DVD had, choosing to go BluRay exclusively, with most of the major studios backing BluRay, with the majority of consumers I have talked to supporting BluRay (the only people I know who have an HD-DVD player also have BluRay players, but I know MANY people who have PS3s and buy BluRay movies for them), with Blockbuster dropping support of HD-DVD, with Apple backing BluRay, seriously, how long can HD-DVD expect to keep fighting? Consumers have spoken. Producers have spoken. HD-DVD is a dead format. I expect them to make a last stand, and they may still sale some players, but I really do feel that this WB move has put the nail in the coffin for HD-DVD.

    66. Re:What's that sound? by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

      Hey! Back in 1999 or so I had gotten a GREAT deal on a DIVX player!

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
    67. Re:What's that sound? by squiggleslash · · Score: 0

      His objection (if I'm reading him correctly) is similar to that of people who refuse to download any content that is shackled with DRM, for any price

      Not really. It's a cost-benefit scenario.

      Blu-ray offers one thing (and only one thing) over DVD, slightly improved video and audio. But it also has real downsides - constant firmware updates and the risk of incompatibility for new releases. Part of that is BD+, and part of that is that the Blu-ray spec seems to be in a state of constant flux. And it costs more money, and almost certainly always will.

      I don't see any point in buying Blu-ray. DVD will always work without problems unlike Blu-ray, it's cheaper, and the difference in video and audio quality is just not great enough for most people to care, least of all me.

      I didn't get a laserdisc player either...

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    68. Re:What's that sound? by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      Could you quote from anything I've written where I've said I think Blu-ray doesn't exist?

      I'm interested in why you think I'm deluded however. In what way is Blu-ray substantially superior to DVD in a way clearly visible on my 32" LCD, so much so that it's worth me spending extra money on it over DVD, and worth the constant maintenance that goes with a system whose spec is constantly being updated and whose copy prevention system is so convoluted every few months discs come out incompatible with a substantial number of players?

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    69. Re:What's that sound? by antek9 · · Score: 1

      Unlike you, I've got better things to do, sorry. I'm not trying to sell anything to you, mate, it's you who just won't stop ranting. Not deluded? Read your journal entry once more, read it out loud to someone who cares for you, maybe they will explain it to you then. The flaws have already been pointed out for you, so I won't spare the time to elaborate it all again. Your awarding most points to HD-DVD is, at best, completely arbitrary and biased. Maybe good for you, but here nothing but spam that does nothing for the sake of this discussion.

      --
      A World in a Grain of Sand / Heaven in a Wild Flower,
      Infinity in the Palm of your Hand / And Eternity in an Hour.
    70. Re:What's that sound? by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      Ok, so you're apparently trolling. You're really proposing I should spend money on something I don't want rather than money on something I do, because the thing I do want is not going to be popular in the future even if it's what I want now? And rather than come up with reasons, you're pretending that any of my issues with Blu-ray have been dealt with.

      It's a silly argument, and you're a silly person.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    71. Re:What's that sound? by squiggleslash · · Score: 1
      Hmm, my original reply to this appears to have disappeared for some reason. Let's try again but let me add one more thing:

      His objection (if I'm reading him correctly) is similar to that of people who refuse to download any content that is shackled with DRM, for any price

      Not really. It's a cost-benefit scenario.

      Blu-ray offers one thing (and only one thing) over DVD, slightly improved video and audio. But it also has real downsides - constant firmware updates and the risk of incompatibility for new releases. Part of that is BD+, and part of that is that the Blu-ray spec seems to be in a state of constant flux. And it costs more money, and almost certainly always will.

      I don't see any point in buying Blu-ray. DVD will always work without problems unlike Blu-ray, it's cheaper, and the difference in video and audio quality is just not great enough for most people to care, least of all me.

      I didn't get a laserdisc player either...

      Now, if Blu-ray were to have the spec frozen within the next six months, with AACS made optional, managed copy made mandatory, and BD+ completely removed with disks that used it re-issued, I'd obviously change my mind. It would then have advantages over DVD (beyond not exactly compelling image and sound quality) and no disadvantages.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    72. Re:What's that sound? by JavaBear · · Score: 1

      I'm more concerned that had the format war dragged on, and had studios had to do support both formats, it would have come down to mastering in the least common denominator. Here HDDVD's lower capacity could have played in, and as going from 30G to 25 isn't much for a stretch once you are playing that game, some studios might have opted for single layer BD's to cut cost further.

      I'm just glad that this war seems to be coming to an end.

      And for those people with the HDDVD drive for your XBOX, I wouldn't be surprised if MS were to release a BD drive once they realize that their format is no longer a selling point. Had the war gone the other way, I'm equally confident that an external drive solution would have been made available for the PS3...eventually.

    73. Re:What's that sound? by JavaBear · · Score: 1

      The reason Laserdiscs failed was because you couldn't record content onto them. And they were expensive.

    74. Re:What's that sound? by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 1

      Why didn't DVD fail, then. I burn dvds, but the vast majority of folks out there could care less.

      Laserdisk failed because it was stupid. Huge fragile discs? Lame. DVDs are easy to buy and carry around, and work well. I don't think they took off because of DVD burners, to say the very least.

    75. Re:What's that sound? by Zakabog · · Score: 1

      Blu-ray offers one thing (and only one thing) over DVD, slightly improved video and audio.

      Maybe you just haven't seen very good content? 1080p content looks much better than anything I've ever seen on a DVD. I was so disappointed watching my Lord of the Rings DVDs on my brand new 56" Sony 1080p HDTV with my PS3 and an HDMI cable even with upscaling. It's better than the watching the DVDs on a SD TV but not by much. My favorite benchmark for 1080p is any scene from Planet Earth on blu-ray. The photography in that documentary is amazing.

      But it also has real downsides - constant firmware updates and the risk of incompatibility for new releases. Part of that is BD+, and part of that is that the Blu-ray spec seems to be in a state of constant flux. And it costs more money, and almost certainly always will.

      I've never had any problems playing any blu-ray discs, I have 13 movies now which isn't a large collection, bought one a month since I first got my PS3, but I would think it's a large enough collection that if there were problems with blu-ray discs being played I'd notice them. Even if there were issues, I'm sure the PS3 would download an update and fix itself. As for more money, well yeah it costs more now but eventually the players will become so cheap the difference won't matter anymore and I've already purchased a couple of blu-ray movies for less than $20 (yes I know you can buy DVDs for less than $5, give blu-ray the same amount of time on the market and I'm sure the prices will eventually fall that low.)

      I don't see any point in buying Blu-ray. DVD will always work without problems unlike Blu-ray, it's cheaper, and the difference in video and audio quality is just not great enough for most people to care, least of all me.

      I didn't get a laserdisc player either...


      Do you have any idea what you just said? Okay, let's replace "Blu-ray" with "DVD", "DVD" with "VHS" and "laserdisc" with "HD-DVD"

      I don't see any point in buying DVD. VHS will always work without problems unlike DVD, it's cheaper, and the difference in video and audio quality is just not great enough for most people to care, least of all me.

      I didn't get a HD-DVD player either...


      laserdisc was the superior format to DVDs (based on your points system.) It had NO region encoding and NO copy protection, yet you chose DVD, which is (in reality) the better format that is now standard. HD DVD is going to be like laserdisc, it's going to die out and the only people left purchasing the players and discs are going to be die hard fans who made a bad decision, adopted early, and had to justify the money they spent buying into something that became the next betamax.

      Now, if Blu-ray were to have the spec frozen within the next six months, with AACS made optional, managed copy made mandatory, and BD+ completely removed with disks that used it re-issued, I'd obviously change my mind. It would then have advantages over DVD (beyond not exactly compelling image and sound quality) and no disadvantages.

      What you're saying here is "After much debate I realize HD-DVD is going to die, I'm going to probably buy a blu-ray player and will now set some not so strict guidelines so I can justify abandoning HD-DVD"

      Also, I read that AACS IS optional on Blu-Ray, and every HD-DVD uses AACS. HD-DVD saying that AACS is optional is just their way of being a wolf in sheeps clothing. You know the movie studios are obviously going to use the strictest DRM in all of their movies, they don't want the pirates to get them. They're just trying to sway the geeks who are usually the early adopters by saying "Hey, look, we're not THAT evil, we make our copy protection optional! AND you can make a managed copy of your HD DVDs!" which you know is a bunch of crap because they're going to use really really strict DRM regardless of how optional it is.

      Plus there's no argument that indy studios would be forced to use DRM and anti-co

  2. Next up... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Now it just has to take on the DVD. Good luck. I look forward to dragging my feet.

    1. Re:Next up... by Nullav · · Score: 1

      I don't know how it'll fair in the entertainment arena, but there's always a place for high-capacity discs elsewhere. I sure wouldn't mind replacing my stack of backup DVDs with a few BR-RWs in the near future. I'll cheer on the day I can cheaply image one of my larger hard drives to a single disc, slap a dated label on it and file it away.

      --
      I just read Slashdot for the articles.
    2. Re:Next up... by eli+pabst · · Score: 1

      Now it just has to take on the DVD. Good luck. I look forward to dragging my feet. That actually won't be much of a stumbling block. Everyone is going to be switching over to HD televisions in the next few years. In fact, my cable company just announced it is going to require you to buy a special converter box just to watch cable on a non-HD TV. Once all these people switch to HD TVs, they'll realize that standard DVDs are not high-definition and look surprisingly craptacular on an HD TV.
    3. Re:Next up... by heinousjay · · Score: 3, Informative

      DVDs still look fine on an HDTV. Sure, HD formats look better, but DVDs are VHS tapes. They're actually still pretty good, especially with an upscaler. Don't hold your breath waiting for DVD to die or you might just go first.

      --
      Slashdot - where whining about luck is the new way to make the world you want.
    4. Re:Next up... by heinousjay · · Score: 1

      Dammit, missed a chunk and made a typo - DVDs aren't VHS tapes, requiring their own players and degrading over time.

      --
      Slashdot - where whining about luck is the new way to make the world you want.
    5. Re:Next up... by eli+pabst · · Score: 1

      I think you need to qualify what "fine" looks like. To me the difference is as obvious as standard vs HD cable channels...it's not annoying to watch a regular channel, but the difference is obvious and when given the choice of watching the same program on either channel, I'd prefer the HD content. Sure, people aren't going to be throwing away their SD-DVDs, but if you have an HDTV which type of DVD format are you going to buy when shopping for a new movie? Why would you buy a disc that doesn't get the most from your HDTV that you paid a substantial amount of money for?

    6. Re:Next up... by TuomasK · · Score: 1

      Why use optical discs for backup? Just use external USB-harddisk, here you can get 500G usb-harddrive for less than 100 euros, can't be very expensive in US either..

      --
      The truth or interpretation..
    7. Re:Next up... by Nullav · · Score: 1

      True, but how many times have you lost a CD/DVD to dust, moisture, or gravity?

      --
      I just read Slashdot for the articles.
    8. Re:Next up... by Fanboys_Suck_Dick · · Score: 3, Insightful

      DVDs look great on my HDTV (40" LCD). I have seen HD content on the same TV and though it looks better it doesn't look better enough for me to care. Sometimes HD can even be distracting. I don't want to see every wrinkle and pore on the 90 year old grandma in the movie Titanic. I hope to skip HDDVD and Bluray completely.

    9. Re:Next up... by eli+pabst · · Score: 1

      I've watched Blue Planet in both formats and the standard DVD quality was disappointingly poor when compared to the HD-DVD version.

    10. Re:Next up... by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1

      To me the difference is as obvious as standard vs HD cable channels..

      Do you have a progressive scan DVD player hooked to your monitor with component video? I do, and I have to get right next to the screen an squint to see that the DVD image is just slightly fuzzier than a true HDTV signal. From back on my couch, the difference isn't really worth worrying about.

      This is a lot like vacuum tube amp buying audiophiles vs. mp3 users. The latter choice is "good enough" for the vast majority of the market.

    11. Re:Next up... by Marcos+Eliziario · · Score: 1

      "I don't want to see every wrinkle and pore on the 90 year old grandma"....
      Titanic... ehrr... I know...
      I can really imagine that HD mature porn sucks big time.

      --
      Your ad could be here!
    12. Re:Next up... by Kaldaien · · Score: 1

      Do you have a progressive scan DVD player hooked to your monitor with component video? Well, there's your problem. Get a nice display / player with HDMI output, and you'll notice a huge difference. Component video is fully capable of displaying 1080i, and with the right TV, even 1080p, but upscaling players and displays with HDMI are generally higher quality. I'm guessing the problem here is your display, though. Nevertheless, upscaling the 480p video on a DVD will never look as good as a true HD video.

      Unfortunately, some channels, particularly TNT HD, TBS HD and History Channel HD merely warp the corners of their Standard Definition content to reduce the appearance of distortion when stretching the video from 4:3 to 16:9 and upscaling to 720p or 1080i. That video is _not_ true HD, and anyone who's ever seen high quality HD content (i.e. Discovery HD Theater) or Blu-Ray / HD-DVD video, will immediately recognize what these channels are doing.
    13. Re:Next up... by rossifer · · Score: 1

      I think you need to qualify what "fine" looks like. To me the difference is as obvious as standard vs HD cable channels...it's not annoying to watch a regular channel, but the difference is obvious and when given the choice of watching the same program on either channel, I'd prefer the HD content.
      The quality difference between HD DVD and DVD (played by my high quality upscaling HD player) is much smaller than the quality difference between SD and HD OTA signals. Enough so that I'm more than satisfied with DVD on my shiny new HDTV (40" 1080p LCD). In fact, I would put the quality of a DVD played on a good player equal to or slightly better than HD OTA content (certainly more interesting than most OTA content) and absolutely better than HD satellite content.

      Sure, people aren't going to be throwing away their SD-DVDs, but if you have an HDTV which type of DVD format are you going to buy when shopping for a new movie? Why would you buy a disc that doesn't get the most from your HDTV that you paid a substantial amount of money for?
      I can't rip Blu Ray or HD DVD to my SAN. If I could, I'd have to sacrifice the space for 3-6 regular SD-DVD's to make space for each HD version. SD-DVD's also cost less, and when I'm buying 20 at a time, $5 here and $10 there begins to add up. At some point there, the marginal utility of SD-DVD's became higher than either HD format could offer, given their position on DRM, the additional size, etc.

      As a result of that trade-off (cheaper, easier to back up, slightly less quality) I still buy almost everything as SD-DVD and I'm exceedingly happy with the improvements I get watching DVD's on my new HDTV and HD DVD player.
    14. Re:Next up... by lgw · · Score: 1

      Why are you advising getting a DRM-ridden format? Component video is a higher quality transport than HDMI (well, the latest HDMI standard isn't so bad, but the eralier ones just didn't have the bandwidth for 1080p). Also HDMI = DRM.

      Od did you go and buy a DRM Player that only outputs the crappy signal on the component and reserves th good signal only for DRMI? Of course component looks bad on a player that deliberately makes the component output look crappy! Get a real player, and lose the DRM.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    15. Re:Next up... by DDLKermit007 · · Score: 1

      And you completely ignored what the poster said. He HAS an HD set. He agreed theres a difference, but it's negligable when watching from the correct distance. You proved his point wonderfully that your acting like a video version of an audiophile arguing against mp3 so easily. Hell most of my own family can't discern the difference between VHS, and DVD video. Only thing that sold that format for them was how much easier it was to handle the DVDs, and not deal with tapes being eaten. Those are the kind of people who will be the driving force anyone has to convince. You can argue minute differences between DVD, and BR/HD-DVD, but it means next to nothing to the mass market. They buy with their wallet which will require sub $100 player, and whichever version of the movie is cheaper. DVD was FAR cheaper to manufacture than VHS almost from the word go. Not to much this time around.

      On a separate note: 1080i/1080p are a joke since only some of the most high end sets can natively display (CRTs, which could, while being cheap enough for the masses, are on their way out). Most sets cap out at some odd resolution like 1366x768. Any signal you have above that is a complete waste.

    16. Re:Next up... by Tony+Hoyle · · Score: 1

      BD-RWs are definately getting cheaper.. I *nearly* bought one the other day when I realized the price had halved in 6 months.

      Bluray players for PCs are getting commodity now. £85, which is cheap enough to consider replacing the DVD drive with it if it breaks (Pioneer BDC-202).

      As for RW it's still just over what I'd pay - £225 for the BDR-202. Drop that by another £50 and I'll have on on my server for backups.

    17. Re:Next up... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed. I'm pretty sure most people are content with the quality that DVD provides. And it's hard to justify spending $500 in order to spend more money, and then have to drop another $5K on audio equipment to match the quality of the video. I think especially given the recession concerns, people would rather go to the theater for the movies that require HD-quality.

      I suspect the tipping point is going to be HD home videos. HD camcorders are getting cheaper and better by the day. If it ever becomes cheaper and easier to burn HD-DVD's as opposed to BD's from a HD camcorder, then HD-DVD is going to win--or any other HD format for that matter.

    18. Re:Next up... by Trogre · · Score: 1

      Not me. I'll adopt it enthusiastically, with open arms. I'll buy at least 3 players for around the house, and gladly pay kilobucks to replace most of my DVD collection with Blu-Ray. ...just as soon as they get rid of that awful DRM.

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
  3. Dear Hollywood by Landak · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Do you perhaps think that the "Slow HD uptake" referred to in the article might be as a consequence of the overwhelming cost of, and over-restrictive DRM associated with HD video? Have you thought perhaps that for the vast majority of spice-girl-loving, Shrek-3 adoring consumers, DVD is more than "Good enough"?

    --
    My UID is prime. Is yours?
    1. Re:Dear Hollywood by schnikies79 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think it has very little (closer to nothing) to do with the DRM and more to do with DVD being "good enough"

      DVD is good enough for me. I've yet to impressed enough with HD to replace my tv or media and I have no intention of sitting at my PC and watching movies.

      --
      Gone!
    2. Re:Dear Hollywood by DoctorDyna · · Score: 1

      Right? Interesting point. Most of the market where these HD playback devices would be popular are the same market that is partially alienated by the encumbrance of DRM. Too bad these things aren't like VCR's were in the day, then they would really have something to complain about, I.E 1080P HDMI in/out right on the back of the unit. I guess they took our rights to use technology away slowly so nobody noticed how much more restrictive the end-user's choices are.

      --
      Windows has more viruses because linux has more virus coders.
    3. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My parents have had their DVD player for a few years now. They couldn't tell you what DRM stands for, much less how it affects HD video. I think the cost could plummet to about $10 for the hardware and they still wouldn't see a reason to ditch DVD's. Frankly, I don't either. I'll switch when they force me to adopt because it's all they make anymore.

    4. Re:Dear Hollywood by nagora · · Score: 2, Funny
      DVD is good enough for me. I've yet to impressed enough with HD to replace my tv or media

      Indeed. I was in Curry's yesterday and walked around all their HD TV's, playing HD sources. Talk about unimpressed! What is the point? I have a 22-year-old CRT TV and the picture quality on it is not even apparently lower than most of the LCD/Plasma screens I saw yesterday and those that were better had such a small advantage that I'd have to win one for it to be worth upgrading.

      TWW

      --
      "Encyclopedia" is to "Wikipedia" what "Library" is to "Some people at a bus stop"
    5. Re:Dear Hollywood by gEvil+(beta) · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Keep in mind that a lot of stores still aren't actually feeding their HD displays HD sources. Take a look at the back of the TVs and you'll find that quite a few Best Buys are still feeding a good portion of their HD displays via RF feeds. Sure, the nice showcase displays are being fed from HD sources, and many of the larger screens, too. But not all of them are getting HD sources--a lot are getting bottom of the barrel SD feeds.

      --
      This guy's the limit!
    6. Re:Dear Hollywood by Dogtanian · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Have you thought perhaps that for the vast majority of spice-girl-loving, Shrek-3 adoring consumers Spice Girls were at their commercial peak 10 years ago- all the little girls who were into their music back then are now grown up and halfway through university.

      I've also noticed that "Backstreet Boys" and the like seem to crop up as examples of bad manufactured modern music, despite being phenomena of the late-1990s/early-2000s. Perhaps a sign that the Slashdot demographic is getting older (including myself, admittedly) and more out-of-touch? Not that I'm saying that a lot of current manufactured music is worth being "in touch" with- let alone listening to ;-), but that's beside the point.

      Anyway, Slashdot's archetypal "bad manufactured modern pop" princess, Britney Spears, originally dates from the same period (despite having an ongoing career). And she (or her producers) have released at least two bona fide pop classics (Baby One More Time and Toxic)- manufactured or not- as well as some other decent pop stuff. Granted, she's also released an awful lot of worthless pap, but enough with the "everything Britney Spears does is crap" schtick.
      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
    7. Re:Dear Hollywood by FatherOfONe · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes and VHS was "good enough" for most people as well. Remember that a 25" TV was HUGE back then...

      Most people that have a good HDTV can tell a large difference in good HD content. Please note that I am not saying many of the movies that have come out on either format, but "some" of the movies there is a HUGE difference in quality.

      The fact is that Microsoft isn't a content provider and because of that they can't leverage any monopoly this time to win this format dispute. The real issue is all about Java on these players. I bet you can guess which player has Java and which one doesn't :-)

      The HD-DVD camp just pulled their talk tonight at CES and that comes as no surprise, also it now has come out that Universal has an "escape clause", so this could be over sooner than most thought. The only real question is "if" Microsoft wants to dump a LOT more money at Universal to try and continue this dispute. I would imagine that now it would take a lot more than 150 million.

      Again, don't get confused about any company caring about the consumer, Sony used the PS3 to cement Blu-Ray and Microsoft HATES Java and will do a lot to make sure it doesn't gain a significant foothold in the living room. At the end of the day I would much rather deal with Sony, because I can easily use someone else's player but if Microsoft controls the software in the living room then history shows we will be in for decades of crap.

      --
      The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
    8. Re:Dear Hollywood by vidarh · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Partly alienated? I own 400+ DVDs. I've never pirated a movie in my life. I have an HD capable TV, but I won't buy a single HD product until I'm 100% sure I can continue to easily copy it to my media server. I'll happily admit I haven't kept up to date with whether or not BluRay DRM is definitively broken in a way the mafiaa can't stop again or not. DVD is good enough for me to not invest a lot of time in figuring it out.

      If they stop releasing stuff on DVD before I'm sure, then I'll resort to torrents rather than jump onto a format thats too encumbered.

    9. Re:Dear Hollywood by Marcion · · Score: 1

      Perhaps a sign that the Slashdot demographic is getting older (including myself, admittedly) and more out-of-touch?

      Possibly. Although everyone here seems to listen to Japanese imports, creative commons music or death metal, so don't be too surprised if we have no idea who is in the top ten.

    10. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What format do you use to archive your DVDs? Can you provide a link?

      I ask because all I know how to do is to duplicate them so they retain their 4.7 gig size. I, too, am archiving my DVDs onto a media server - I want to be able to click on them and done, no disks, just like I do with music now.

      Besides DRM, one of the reasons I would stay away from Blu-Ray and HD-DVD is that the files are too large, which would force me to use even more storage in my media server. One way in which DVDs are "good enough" is that the DVD size (e.g. 4.7 gigs) to server hard drive size (e.g. 1 TB) is a good ratio right now.

      So again, are you able to shrink your disks before you archive them on your server? Thanks for any pointers. (And sorry for posting AC)

    11. Re:Dear Hollywood by rtb61 · · Score: 1
      Back to reality. The catch with high definition DVD and plain old DVD is that most of the content included TV series is barely above SVHS quality let alone full DVD quality (high bit rate) so we can completely ignore any pseudo benefit from high definition DVD.

      For a lot of content that can be shown at high definition should not be because when it was created they did not take it into account and a lot of defects turn up, including actors with dead botox overdose faces, botched up plastic surgery and special effects not suited to higher resolution displays.

      Not saying that I don't enjoy high definition displays (I have one) it's just that the best content I have seen to date is scenery demos, so bring on a scenery channel and forget the rest, it's generally a lot more viewable at lower resolutions.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    12. Re:Dear Hollywood by FatherOfONe · · Score: 1

      You missed my first sentence. "VHS was good enough..."

      When the first DVDs came out the content quality wasn't near what it was today.

      If you watch something like Planet Earth on a 1080P set then I believe you will notice a large difference. Then again, you may not notice a difference, but I am willing to be that a majority of people will concede that "if" they could afford it they would prefer to have that picture. So then it all comes down to getting the price "affordable" and making sure the consumer doesn't buy a format that will not be around. It appears that Blu-Ray will be the winner here and the price of a player is currently around $400.

      --
      The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
    13. Re:Dear Hollywood by GauteL · · Score: 1

      "Yes and VHS was "good enough" for most people as well. Remember that a 25" TV was HUGE back then..."

      Initial quality maybe, but VHS was a pain in the arse. I remember very vividly how annoying it was to have to rewind a movie you just rented because the last renter didn't bother or forgot.

      I also remember clearly how bad the picture got as the tape got older, often making it impossible to watch. DVD removed a lot of these issues and made the film viewing a much more pleasurable experience. Thus the DVD brought not only better quality, but major practical improvements.

      Bluray/HD-DVD is a simple quality improvement over something which is already pretty good. This doesn't mean I am uninterested in high definition. I would not say no to even higher quality picture, but I'm waiting until it is cheaper, has more content and one format has definitely won. I think this stance is pretty common.

      I am a bit curious, and I'll probably end up buying a Bluray/HD-DVD player when they get cheaper and there is more content, but I am certainly not in a hurry.

    14. Re:Dear Hollywood by Znork · · Score: 5, Informative

      "Most people that have a good HDTV can tell a large difference in good HD content."

      You mean, some people _think_ they can tell the difference (notably TV salesmen and people who've bought a HDTV).

      I read a recent blindtest where three experts and a bunch of non-experts were tested for the difference between HD and non HD material on several LCD's and plasma displays.

      On the first test, 42 inch screen, 3.5 meters away (10 ft), they all guessed 720p. It was 480p. After much flipping back and forth, some managed to get it right. More tests and eventually getting down to 50" 2 meters (6 ft) away, and there were still some who couldnt even tell 480p from 1080p. Nobody could tell 720p from 1080p better than random chance.

      The fact is, such tests show that under normal viewing conditions most people simply dont have eyes and visual centers good enough to reliably notice the difference between SD and HD, nevermind deciding what looks best. You have to get up to 60-100 inch screens at a normal viewing distance to be able to reliably tell the difference; most people would be much better off getting a TV with better color and contrast ratio and simply slap a HD sticker on it so they think it's buzzword compliant.

    15. Re:Dear Hollywood by 91degrees · · Score: 1

      VHS was adequate. HD is nice, but to my eye, HD-DVD vs. DVD isn't anything like as extreme a difference as DVD vs. VHS. And DVD also offered 5.1 sound, fast seek times, extra content and handy gimmicks like multiple audio tracks. The improvements in those areas for HD are quite small.

    16. Re:Dear Hollywood by JohnBailey · · Score: 1

      DVD is good enough for me. I've yet to impressed enough with HD to replace my tv or media

      Indeed. I was in Curry's yesterday and walked around all their HD TV's, playing HD sources. Talk about unimpressed! What is the point? I have a 22-year-old CRT TV and the picture quality on it is not even apparently lower than most of the LCD/Plasma screens I saw yesterday and those that were better had such a small advantage that I'd have to win one for it to be worth upgrading.

      TWW The problem is that you went to Curry's (A countrywide cheap consumer electronics chain). They do not do anybody any favors with the way they display such TV sets. I had a look before I bought mine online, and if my only reference had been the store displays, I wouldn't have bothered either. My Samsung 32inch looked pretty bad in store, but at home with a good source and an upscaling DVD player and TV tuner it looks great. I bought mine early last year and I'm very happy. I did some research first, so I knew more than the spotty little git on the shop floor.

      LCD TVs are only good if you have the right inputs, and set them up right. The store sets are taken out of the box, plonked on the display shelf and fed from one RF signal and are uniformly awful. It would be like buying a pair of speakers if all they had to use as a source was a dodgy old walkman and a copy of Queen's greatest hits from 1980.

      About the only way you could have made it a worse demonstration is if you squirted shampoo in your eyes before you went in. Find somewhere that can demonstrate a HD set with proper feeds and you have a better chance of seeing the difference.

      --
      It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his job depends on not understanding it.
    17. Re:Dear Hollywood by Blkdeath · · Score: 1

      Do you perhaps think that the "Slow HD uptake" referred to in the article might be as a consequence of the overwhelming cost of, and over-restrictive DRM associated with HD video?

      Unequivocally no. Hint: The general public couldn't care less.

      Have you thought perhaps that for the vast majority of spice-girl-loving, Shrek-3 adoring consumers, DVD is more than "Good enough"?

      Again, no. High Definition, fully digital content is the wave of the future. 1080p is king!

      So now that the successfully marketed plebes have been addressed, those of us who've taken enough time to read into the formats and screens and capabilities and what-not do realize that high def does look significantly better on a large screen (40+ inches) and you get better audio support on the high def discs.

      Not only that, but your sentiment is the same one we heard ages ago when people said that VHS was simply "good enough". Back then too most of the DVD content was essentially the VHS movie transferred to a shiny round disc and sold at a higher price. When DVDs became ubiquitous the quality got better, cables and televisions improved to handle the higher quality output and VHS has been dying a slow death ever since.

      --
      BD Phone Home!

      Shameless plug. Like you weren't expecting it.

    18. Re:Dear Hollywood by notext · · Score: 2

      The fact that microsoft most likely got behind hd dvd just to be a thorn in sony's side is probably more correct. They can make a blu-ray drive add on for the 360 easily. I don't think they really care at this point.

    19. Re:Dear Hollywood by cHiphead · · Score: 1

      I think you are wrong in terms of the initial uptake of the new formats, it has everything to do with the DRM and technological issues with the formats, simply b/c the early adopters tend to be the rich that want the newest and most expensive, and the geeks that want bragging rights despite living in their parents basement. Sadly (or perhaps not) its the geeks without all the money that will influence the formats.

      DVD is certainly 'good enough' and it will actually be the reason that HD DVD and BluRay ultimately don't matter and can't seem to take a winning position in the 'movie' department. Its the geeks that will determine which format survives. And really, with BluRay being Sony, and with Sony's dismal failures over the years (BETAMAX PEOPLE. BETAMAX.) for content storage and playback (b-s licensing terms for hardware tech), and their history of a desire to control the formats entirely, I'd give HD DVD the win. I'm not so quick to forget. Sony memory stick anyone? Minidisc?

      But let's look at even MORE reality... I have 2 terabytes of drive space at home now, on the CHEAP, and 10mbps internet. I just don't care who wins, and the only thing I would use br or hddvd for is a cheap backup solution. The only thing that could make either format matter is the utter decimation of the internet and the whole Net Neutrality nightmare scenarios.

      Cheers.

      --

      This is my sig. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    20. Re:Dear Hollywood by tgibbs · · Score: 1

      The average viewer of prerecorded disks does not know or care about DRM. They buy or rent the disk, and don't bother trying to get the movie off of it. But the problem for content providers is that this is a pretty minor quality upgrade for everybody except the guys with really huge sets. The visible quality bump is much less than 480i to 480p. So most people will upgrade, but they are willing to pay only a slight premium over standard DVD players and disks, and they have no patience with a content war.

      It does look like Blu-Ray will win, due primarily to support from Blockbuster and the Sony PS3, but the prize is going to turn out to be hardly worth fighting for as far as content and hardware producers are concerned.

    21. Re:Dear Hollywood by TheBracket · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I have a 27" CRT that can do 1080i (picked it up for $200 in a sale). For normal viewing, I really can't tell the difference between 480p and 1080i - both look pretty good. Occasionally, HD content does look much better - mostly when watching televised sports (not something I do often!), but mostly I really have to look to see the difference. The only time 1080i really makes a difference is on my xbox 360, particularly for text rendering and small texture details on characters.

      I wouldn't pay thousands more just to get better xbox text - but for $200, I can't really complain! I don't think a bigger TV would fit in my apartment anyway!

      --
      Lead developer, http://wisptools.net
    22. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >Spice Girls were at their commercial peak 10 years ago

      Certainly true, but they made a comeback recently, and I saw an ad for their latest record on the TV yesterday.

    23. Re:Dear Hollywood by Nullav · · Score: 1

      Perhaps it has more to do with the overwhelming cost of a nice HDTV? $400-$900 is a bit...much.

      --
      I just read Slashdot for the articles.
    24. Re:Dear Hollywood by Admiral+Ag · · Score: 1

      I don't think that can be right. The very first thing I noticed watching HD is that things like the facial stubble on male actors is noticeable in a way that it just isn't on SD. Similarly, I bought the Blu Ray edition of 2001, and it is a marvel. You can actually read all the text labels on the machines inside the Discovery. I have the SD version as well and it is really night and day between them.

      I think it depends what you are looking at. Some things are going to make the difference more obvious.

      --
      "by that I mean people who don't sit on slashdot all day wondering why everyone else isn't building robots" DECS
    25. Re:Dear Hollywood by Dogtanian · · Score: 1

      Certainly true, but they made a comeback recently, and I saw an ad for their latest record on the TV yesterday. I'm aware of that, but apparently their comeback single did quite badly in the UK (compared to how it had been expected to do), and they're still basically riding on the backs of their 1990s popularity.
      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
    26. Re:Dear Hollywood by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      The fact that microsoft most likely got behind hd dvd just to be a thorn in sony's side is probably more correct.

      Even if you know you're going to lose, never give the enemy anything for free.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    27. Re:Dear Hollywood by darjen · · Score: 1

      I have a three year old CRT HDTV, one of the first cheap ones from Samsung. I think you can see the most difference in things like Discovery HD, PBS, and other nature or travel type stuff. I am still astounded with the detail every time I see a scenery shot. And when you're watching football, the crowd shots definitely look amazing.

      Movies aren't as much of a big deal to me in HD vs. DVD. So for me it really depends on what you watch. Also, I had the HD package from a few diferent cable companies over the last 3 years, and finally decided the cost just isn't worth it. So now I have an over the air HD antenna and receiver, and couldn't be happier not paying money to watch TV.

      And like everyone else, I am waiting until prices drop to reasonable levels to even thinking about getting something like Blu-Ray.

    28. Re:Dear Hollywood by burnin1965 · · Score: 1

      Back to reality. The catch with high definition DVD and plain old DVD is that most of the content included TV series is barely above SVHS quality let alone full DVD quality (high bit rate) so we can completely ignore any pseudo benefit from high definition DVD.
      Speaking of reality, do you have a large screen HDTV with either local HD ATSC or digital satellite with HD content? The reason I ask is because I do and I can confirm that there is a ton of HD quality content in TV series and other programming that I can ensure you people will enjoy watching at HD quality versus the best you can get out of SVHS or full DVD quality. Most of the time I just watch movies but Battlestar Galactica is filmed in high quality HD, many recent science series like Blue Planet are in high quality HD, and just about every prime time TV series is filmed in high quality HD as well as the late night talk shows.

      You want to talk about reality, have you noticed that many TV programs and even commercials are showing up as cropped images on standard 4:3 NTSC televisions? If you put 2 and 2 together you'll realize the reason why they are cropped is because they are all filmed in high quality HDTV and then cropped and squeezed to fit standard TV screens and bandwidth. But the fact is they are filmed in HDTV formats, even the stupid commercials. How do I know this, because some of the programs and commercials air on the regular TV format at the same time they air on HDTV channels.

      The reality is that high quality HDTV content has been streaming out of the regular providers for at least a few years now and aside from the bickering over DRM bits many content developers and content distributors have been ready to deliver the goods for quite some time. And is the quality of HD a compelling reason to upgrade from NTSC, SVHS, and DVD quality, unless you have very poor eye sight or don't actually watch then the answer is a resounding YES.
    29. Re:Dear Hollywood by deftones_325 · · Score: 0

      Another huge difference can be in how they set up the TV. I bought a poloroid 37" lcd basically just because it was on sale and it had a VGA in. Anyway, after messing with the setup for a half hour, it now looks better than the ones that cost twice as much in the store. I don't mean it IS better, just that its hard to go by looks in a store, without checking resolution/contrast etc..

      --
      "A gentleman never strikes a lady with his hat on." - Fred Allen
    30. Re:Dear Hollywood by Puff+Daddy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Gotta jump in here and say I don't think anyone is saying that there is no difference between DVD quality and Blu-Ray/HD-DVD quality. What I, at least one GP, and the seeming majority of Americans are saying is that we just don't care. Once an HD screen and an HD media player become cheap enough that I'll consider them next time I have to replace my aging equipment, I might consider buying an HDTV. I, and many, if not most, others, will probably never seriously consider buying a Blu-Ray or HD-DVD player. Why? It would be a stupid waste of money to tie myself to discs when the technology is already in place to do away with them. Let me put it this way, DVD is, and will continue to be, good enough. Until a widespread, practical, and legal HD media center comes along, most consumers will continue to roll their eyes at the ridiculous amount HD anything costs. Quick, someone mod an HD-DVD or Blu-Ray player to do something useful, I'll pick one up cheap when people realize playing HD content on scratchable, breakable, losable, inconvenient little discs is about as useful being able to translate hieroglyphics into Sanskrit.

    31. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Google for: DVD Shrink

    32. Re:Dear Hollywood by ickoonite · · Score: 1

      As others have noted, your mistake was to go into Currys. The Currys shop I went into recently (in Redhill) was feeding all their HDTVs via component. Admittedly it's better than RF, but I would rather see something running off HDMI. "Proper" shops run all their TVs off HDMI.

      :|

    33. Re:Dear Hollywood by jltnol · · Score: 1

      If you can't see the difference, then perhaps the source wasn't really HD, wasn't set up correctly, or you need your eyes checked. Take a look at type(printed words) in the screen from DVD's and Blu-Ray. The difference is nothing less than astounding. I first saw HD at a NAB convention just about 20 years ago, and can only describe the experience as nothing short of life changing. There simply is no comparing SD and HD. Yes, DVD's do look "good" when upscaled to an HD display, but they don't look as good as the same movies in HD on HD display. I would urge you to check out just about any sporting event in SD and HD.. side by side... in real time. These are generally evenly lit, the crispness and clarity of the image, and the ability to see and read things in the background is simply not possible with SD.

    34. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well said, my man. There is a limit of resolution to the human eye, and DVD is already good enough for me, and 99.9% of the population. And they can't REmake Steptoe and Son, Hancock's Half Hour, Dad's Army, etc. in HD. And after about ten seconds, you forget the quality of the image (unless it's terrible) and are captivated by the story, etc.

      Now, if we could only get those soundcard manufacturers to stop selling 96kHz soundcards, as if anybody can hear 48kHz!

    35. Re:Dear Hollywood by darkjedi521 · · Score: 1

      2001 was shot in the HD of film formats (70mm), and the difference between 70mm and 35mm prints in a theater is also night and day too.

    36. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The move from VHS to DVD wasn't about just quality.

      VHS has pretty decent quality with good media and good equipment. The trouble is that both wear out and get dirty. It's no fun to deal with snow and other artifacts when you're trying to watch a movie. DVDs don't get dirty or stretch and are pretty easy to take care of and keep them in a pristine state. Even abused, rented DVDs tend to be fine, whereas a VHS tape that's been rented a lot will often suck.

      DVD is also a random-access medium, VHS is not. This means no rewinding at the end, no more long sessions of fast forwarding trying to find where you left off, and you can easily jump to your favorite part.

      Then you have the special features. The extra capacity lets you have cool stuff like cut scenes, making-of videos, and other things, and since the medium is random access, you can easily jump to them. They're also smart enough to allow for alternate soundtracks, so you can get it in your favorite language or hear the director's commentary. Some discs give you alternate video tracks, so you can switch between the theatrical release and the director's cut, or swap in scenes which were originally cut for length.

      So all in all, DVD added a lot of good stuff that people appreciate, and that's why they switched in droves.

      Now BD and HD-DVD come along and add... quality. And price. And nothing more whatsoever. Is it any surprise people aren't falling over themselves to switch?

    37. Re:Dear Hollywood by Smitty825 · · Score: 1

      I use a program called Handbrake, which converts the DVDs into a MPEG-4 file. Using the H.264 codec, one can maintain near-DVD quality, with file sizes in the 750MB to 1GB for each movie.

      I've been able to play these files on my TV with an Apple TV, and I've played them by burning them to a DVD and playing them on an XBox 360. (I don't run XP MCE or Vista, which allows you to stream to the 360, so I don't know if that will work or not)

      --

      Doh!
    38. Re:Dear Hollywood by mgblst · · Score: 1

      Perhaps a sign that the Slashdot demographic is getting older (including myself, admittedly) and more out-of-touch?

      This is the main reason I choose not to john the Slashdot demographic. There is no way I am getting older for no good reason. - P. Pan
    39. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      Completely true.

      I ran a little "experiment" of my own, which isn't really scientific but whatever. I set my HD TiVo to only output at 480p (which is the default) and showed a bunch of "HD" content on my 1080p-capable TV.

      No one noticed.

      And since it IS the default setting, I wonder how many HDTV owners with HD TiVos are staring at 480p content and thinking that it's amazing HD. (Besides, in most people's minds, HD=16:9. Get a widescreen digital SDTV, and people will swear it's HD.)

      Which isn't to say the HD TiVo wasn't worth it - it stores something like 180 hours of SD programming, and outputs in digital, which really does help the picture quality. (Plus it comes with a network adapter so I no longer have to hook it up to the phone.)

      The move from analog to digital massively improved the picture quality. The move from 480p to 1080i was completely unnoticeable.

      Well, almost. The network brand in the lower-right corner is a bit sharper in HD...

      (Which, I think, hints at the truth. The difference between SD and HD is only really noticeable in static imagery - once things start moving, the motion completely obscures the difference. And since I rarely watch TV shows of walls, there's really no point in HD.)

    40. Re:Dear Hollywood by bigstrat2003 · · Score: 1

      I can't agree that it has anything to do with DRM. I, like pretty much anyone on slashdot, oppose DRM, and I refuse to buy music and videos digitally because of it. However, I still buy Blu-Ray movies, because the DRM simply doesn't matter. I can't afford a Blu-Ray drive for my computer. I won't be able to any time soon. It doesn't matter how much DRM the discs have, because all I'm doing is sticking them in my PS3... which I'd wager is the same for most people, even the geeks.

      --
      "16MB (fuck off, MiB fascists)" - The Mighty Buzzard
    41. Re:Dear Hollywood by fermion · · Score: 1
      Well, if a store cannot set up a proper source connected to the proper port on the a proper display, what hope do I have. It sounds like all this HD stuff is just theoretical.

      On a serious note, the DVD taught us that labels have no problem making it more difficult to view the product we bought. Viewing a DVD is 10X as hard as viewing a video Cassette, and most DVD players can't even record. I suspect that HD content will require 10X as hard to view as the DVD, which will probably eventually involve a long conversation between the device that is want to play the content and a central server in order to gain authorization to play the content, which part of the content may be played, at a which resolution and with which options.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    42. Re:Dear Hollywood by wicka · · Score: 1

      Acting as if HD DVD is entirely controlled by Microsoft is an insane proposition. If you want to make one company "responsible" for HD DVD it's Toshiba, but only to the same extent as Sony is responsible for Blu-Ray: both companies can be considered the primary backer of their formats, but no one company developed the whole format, and no one has the final say on any business decision.

    43. Re:Dear Hollywood by eebra82 · · Score: 1

      I think you misunderstood his entire point. (S)he was not trying to tell anyone that people can tell the difference between any of the HD formats, but that it is extremely easy to distinguish HD content from non HD content. The whole discussion here was based on the idea that no one cares about HD content because what's out there already is of satisfaction.

    44. Re:Dear Hollywood by FatherOfONe · · Score: 1

      It is all about the software. In the HD-DVD it uses Microsofts software. In BR it can use Java, and soon it will be required to use Java. "If" Sony would have used Microsofts language then Sony would be a stupid as IBM was back in the day.

      --
      The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
    45. Re:Dear Hollywood by popeye44 · · Score: 1

      Umm, Exactly how do you figure the cost to be too much? Less than 5 a generic years ago a 32inch crt would run you 500ish a 42inch lcd new runs 899.00 "1080p" A 32" Sony WEGA at that time would have cost about the same as the 42inch. I'm in the HD court I like the content but as many have said it's really the standard content that looks like shit on them. 480p 720p 1080i etc all look great. There is a MARKED difference in 480i wii and 480p. Today you can get a 32inch widescreen for 499.00 I really don't see price as a factor. The simple fact they take up 1/4th the area of a CRT is enough to spend a little more if indeed there is that much difference.

      --
      Inane Comments are Generously Disregarded
    46. Re:Dear Hollywood by Marcos+Eliziario · · Score: 1

      Did you noticed that the studios haven't be able to make up a Britney Spears or Spice Girls since broadband and peer-to-peer became common?
      Have you failed to notice that formerly all-powerful CD empire is in ashes?

      --
      Your ad could be here!
    47. Re:Dear Hollywood by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Informative

      It used to be dirt easy to feed dozens of TVs - you just needed a roll of coax, a bunch of t-junctions and ends, appropriate tools, and a cable type amplifier box.

      Pushing out dozens of copies of an HD stream is much more expensive, so many stores haven't bothered.

      Viewing a DVD is 10X as hard as viewing a video Cassette

      Say what? A DVD doesn't have rewind, I don't(generally) have fast forward through ten minutes of outdated ads, it's just plop the disc in and hit play.

      If you want a DVD that can record, they're sitting on the shelves today. You're just going to end up spending some more money to get one.

      I suspect that HD content will require 10X as hard to view as the DVD, which will probably eventually involve a long conversation between the device that is want to play the content and a central server in order to gain authorization to play the content, which part of the content may be played, at a which resolution and with which options.

      While that seems to be what the MPAA wants, so far blueray and HDDVD are pretty much as 'difficult' to play as DVD. No central server needed.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    48. Re:Dear Hollywood by @madeus · · Score: 1

      The fact is, such tests show that under normal viewing conditions most people simply dont have eyes and visual centers good enough to reliably notice the difference between SD and HD, nevermind deciding what looks best

      "The fact is" that's not true, you don't have any references and you don't know what you are talking about.

      I have a 50" Plasma and it's really REALLY obvious when it's displaying HD content and when it's not. There is no mistaking it. It's as obvious as noticing that a TFT is running at 640x480 instead of 1024x768. Once you've seen HD content on it, it's immediately apparent if the content was filmed for HDTV broadcast.

      When I've miss an episode of shows I watch in HD, such as BSG, Bones, Atlantis or Torchwood (e.g. because my PVR was full) the much higher definition picture, and 5.1 surround that comes with them being developed for HDTV is so noticeable I don't even bother to watch the SD repeats (such as on Sky Two, or BBC Three), I just wait for it to come back on one of the HD channels.

    49. Re:Dear Hollywood by earlymon · · Score: 5, Interesting

      "Most people that have a good HDTV can tell a large difference in good HD content."

      You mean, some people _think_ they can tell the difference (notably TV salesmen and people who've bought a HDTV).

      Despite many agreeing with you, I cannot, because like so many things in consumer electronics, users are too often fooled into thinking they're assessing one thing when they're assessing another.

      To begin, "good HD content" is already qualitative rather than quantitative. HDLite seems prevalent on DirecTV - please see http://www.stophdlite.com/ and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HD_Lite (probably in that order). I'd consider it "good HD content" and appreciate it a lot compared to SD - but it's not highest quality HD, as might be found with the OTA ABC or CBS broadcasts. What we call HD Lite is more along the lines of what you get from good DV tape - which I'll admit might qualify as "good HD content" but isn't HD.

      Next - and I'm going to contradict myself a little bit w.r.t. the above paragraph and I'm ok with that - comes native resolution of the TVs themselves. My DLP has a native res of 1280x720p. The sign at the store calls it a 1080i set - because it accepts and converts 1920x1080i to native (all HDTVs convert whatever to their native formats) - so you have to beware of marketing crap. I haven't looked at the latest models, but most plasmas sold to the date I'd checked last year were native of 1024x768, and LCDs are very often 1366(or so)x768 native res. On those models, you're not going to get 1-to-1 mapping of HD anything without processing inside the TV - so like it or not, further signal degradation occurs in the format changeover.

      Next, not all HDTV inputs are created equally. See http://www.dbstalk.com/ if you're a satellite TV user (or want to check my references) and you'll see plenty of newbie posts answered by very qualified TV engineers telling that no, they're not crazy, for their set / brand / production run, the component inputs are noticably better than their HDMI inputs or no, they're not crazy, for the same reasons, the HDMI inputs are noticably better than the component inputs.

      Next, tuners. I have 3 ATSC tuners in my house, until recently, two were hooked to the same DLP HDTV - and just switching between the two caused guests - drinking beer and watching the game - to exclaim, "WTF did you just do?!?!?" So, even though the source could be qualified as "good HD content" the differences in h/w quality was easily observable by people with no vested interests in oooohs and aaaaahs of HDTV ownership.

      Next, cabling. Yes, yes, yes, anyone paying too much for cables is an idiot. Try it. 'Nuff said. Now add in store cabling (have you ever worked in a consumer electronics store?) and you'll know all bets are off for controlling that part of your experiment.

      Next, as you point out, color engines. Two HDTVs with same native resolutions? The one with the better color engine wins everytime - in fact, it's often been shown that given the choice between higher native res and color engine, spend the money on the better engine. My Helio Ocean phone with its 2 megapixel camera looking like crap (knew it before I bought it, didn't care) is an excellent proof point on this.

      Next, SD upconverters built in to HDTVs all vary - and there are some very scary good ones. Ditto on set-top boxes.

      Finally - the source material itself. Hitchhiker's Guide on HD (Lite) is better than on DVD - it's slight, but not subtle. I switched between the two without telling my wife what the switch was (to see if it was just my bias, as you suggest), and got one of those, "WTF did you just do?" moments again. Take something that really cared about HD during production and it's just no contest.

      So - there's a lot more to HD comparisons and good HD content and what to invest in the HDTV world than just what

      --
      Pathological kinda promises Path + Logical - but instead, you get stuck with pathetic.
    50. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > I read a recent blindtest

      Link?

    51. Re:Dear Hollywood by Gaerek · · Score: 1

      I think if you asked the vast majority of consumers what 'DRM' is, they'd have no clue what you were talking about. DRM is not going to make a difference to consumer uptake of HD video. Look at iTunes. It has some fairly annoying and restrictive DRM associated with it, however, it's still the most popular online music store. Even with options such as Amazon's non-DRM music downloads. The cost is definately the largest issue at this point. But I be by the end of the year, Blu-Ray player costs will be cut in half. Once that happens, it'll be all over but the crying.

    52. Re:Dear Hollywood by IceCreamGuy · · Score: 1

      I didn't really go for HD that much until I watched A New Hope on my ultra-hip and with-it Super Beta Hi-Fi and then watched it in HD off a Comcast channel. Let me tell you, if you want to be awed by HD, going to it straight from Betamax is the way to go; screw everything else in between. Not going to throw away my beta collection just yet, though.

    53. Re:Dear Hollywood by atamido · · Score: 1

      I agree. We have an HD DVR here in our house with a 65" DLP, and you can usually tell walking in through the door, at 20'+ away, if the content is HD or not. (Some content where there are no details anyway, such as the Simpsons, is usually indistinguishable.) It's pretty common for me or one of my roommates to walk in and ask why the picture looks so bad when someone is watching something in SD.

      There is also a difference between the upscaled 480p image from DVDs and the same movies being broadcast on HD channels. A lot of things are just more sharp.

      That said, I've never done any direct comparisons between watching a movie in 720p, 1080i, and 1080p. However, I did read about a informal study that someone conducted a blind test between the three formats. Essentially everyone thought that the 720p was as good or sometimes better than the 1080i image, and the 1080p image was always remarkably better. I'm guessing people were pretty close to the display, but it was still an interesting observation.

    54. Re:Dear Hollywood by kcbanner · · Score: 0

      ...but my Awesome Pwn Audiophile cabling that costs me 4000$ per foot demands 96kHz!11

      --
      Obligatory blog plug: http://www.caseybanner.ca/
    55. Re:Dear Hollywood by wicka · · Score: 1

      I'm talking about the software, I'm talking about the people who act as if "HD DVD" and "Microsoft" are interchangeable. It's absurd. Besides, I've used Java on a PC, and I'd much rather not have it on my DVD player.

    56. Re:Dear Hollywood by Dogtanian · · Score: 1

      Did you noticed that the studios haven't be able to make up a Britney Spears or Spice Girls since broadband and peer-to-peer became common? Are you implying that *I* said otherwise (which I didn't)?

      Or was it just a general observation (the "you" being the collective Slashdot audience)?

      Have you failed to notice that formerly all-powerful CD empire is in ashes? Again, nothing I said implies otherwise, nor relies upon this fact. What I said was that many of the examples Slashdotters use for bad "modern" pop music are now fairly dated (8 or so years out of date). Nothing more.

      But since you bring up the subject, I'll point out that current shows (which started circa 2001) like Pop Idol and The X Factor (in the UK) and American Idol (the U.S. version of Pop Idol) have produced major selling artists such as Kelly Clarkson. Although I have to say that the other winners of American Idol don't appear to be that big in the UK, the winners of our X Factor are pretty big here (for a short while, anyway).

      Since these shows are somewhat contrived and blandly restricted for entertainment reasons, the resulting pop stars are still somewhat manufactured.
      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
    57. Re:Dear Hollywood by lukas84 · · Score: 1

      I have a 40" Samsung LCD that can do 1080p. Before that, i had a 32" Sony CRT (SD). Neither of them where cheap at the time i bought them, but they also weren't that expensive.

      When watching SD TV, the picture quality is IMHO a bit worse. I think this is mostly due to the larger picture size, which makes the low SD resolution looks worse.

      On the other hand, watching HD Content really *does* make a difference:

      * Xbox 360 - well, now i can read the text in Dead Rising, and everything looks a lot better, sharper, clearer.
      * Broadcast HD Content - HD Suisse looks amazing (http://www.sf.tv/unternehmen/hdsuisse/index.php), other HD Channels (SAT1, Pro7) not so much
      * PS3 Blueray content in 1080p. I didn't see a difference between playback in 1080p and 720p. I somewhat expected that. Blueray movies look a lot better than DVDs _if_ they were transferred properly - that only the case with recently published titles. 300 is a great example.

    58. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By Nyquist-Shannon, the highest frequency that can be reproduced is half the sample rate.

      Therefore, 48kHz is more than sufficient for playback uses.

      However, when you are mixing and processing channels, you get these nasty things called harmonics which are integer multiples of a given frequency you are using.

      If you have a soundcard that can do 96kHz samplerate (or even 192kHz samplerate), these harmonics pass into the high frequencies. Then for your final release, all you do is place a brickwall lowpass at 24kHz, then downsample from 96kHz to 48kHz.

      If you only have a soundcard that can do 44.1/48kHz, then some of these harmonics will loop back from zero, be a pain to remove and sound awful. This isn't all that common, but it's an annoying occurence nevertheless.

      So there is a reason for soundcards with a maximum 96kHz samplerate. It's for recording, not playback.

    59. Re:Dear Hollywood by dookiesan · · Score: 1

      It's true that if you have no comparison you might mistake an SD channel for HD; probably not the other way around though. If you can flip between the two I think it's obvious which is HD.

    60. Re:Dear Hollywood by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Source please, because I don't believe you. Granted, I have a 42" at around 3m but I manage to pick 1080p/720p over 480p. It's too small/too far away to pick out 1080p over 720p, but 50" / 2m? At any rate, I'd like a really good source. Facial closeups of a guy that hasn't shaved in a few days is an excellent test clip - it all blurs together on 480p. Also I'd like free control over the remote, as long as I don't walk closer to get a better look.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    61. Re:Dear Hollywood by Atomic+Frog · · Score: 1

      Well of course, it was a blind test! What did you expect them to see? ;-)

      Seriously, that test, if it ever existed, is utter crap.
      We just got a 42" plasma, the difference between the HD broadcast and SD broadcast is so friggin' obvious you have to be literally blind not to notice it.

      A very good DVD player with a good movie (animations are best) will look very good and one may not notice the difference easily if you don't have a side-by-side comparison. Watch the HD version and you'll see.
      If you really don't see the difference, then I suggest you get your vision fixed. Seriously.

    62. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, and these people tested are probably representative of the lowest common denominator. Their ears probably don't hear much difference between cassette tape with all its compression and a good CD (I still use a Meridian Test CD that was not "pressed" like most. I made a lossless copy of it and use it when listening in sound room, etc.)

      I do believe that 1080p is a little overkill at the moment since most TV streams available (I use DirecTV) are just not that good even at 720p, so I opted for 720p plasma display (LCD is just too herky-jerky for me at this time due to bad frame rates). I might have purchased a 1080p set, but I was actually waiting to see when this HD DVD vs BluRay format war would end before sinking any money into a player or set that run 1080p.

      Regardless, my SD DVD's *used* to all look pretty good on whatever TV I watched them on. Now that I am using them on a 720p set, I can tell a major difference in the encoding of some SD DVD vs others. Some are just really really crappy, lots of DCT block noise, etc. Don't tell me that if I can tell the difference between quality of two different SD encodings that I won't be able to tell the difference between 720p and 480p.

      The problem is source material. Studios can shovel crap onto a disc and even though it spews out onto your set at 720p or 1080i/p you can't improve a lot when yuo start with BAD SOURCE material. So now we have a plethora of "up-converters" and image processing "digital reality" engines or whatever that try to do numerical magic and take crap source material and polish it up to look nicer at high definition resolutions. It's all a joke. If the source material was good we wouldn't need all this fancy expensive secondary processing (BRAVIA 3?). You would only need some small level of image processing to match the dynamics of the particular display panel.

      Ever notice that a lot of stores selling HDTV's use a special signal source with *really* good crisp and high resolution material? It looks fantastic in the store, then you get your set home and the disappointment begins unless you are one of the people that "can't tell the difference."

    63. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      It does look like Blu-Ray will win, due primarily to support from Blockbuster and the Sony PS3, but the prize is going to turn out to be hardly worth fighting for as far as content and hardware producers are concerned.

      Finally, someone with a clue.

      This "war" isn't VHS versus DVD Part 2. It's CED versus Laserdisc part 2.

    64. Re:Dear Hollywood by mark2003 · · Score: 1

      Not at all true. I have a 1080p TV (only 37") and a PS3 and the difference in picture quality between a standard PAL or NTSC signal and Blue Ray is incredible.
       
      For me it's as big a leap in picture quality as was Dolby 5.1 in sound. It takes the experience of watching a movie up another notch. Try watching the first scenes of Casino Royal on Blue Ray on a true 1080p TV and you will be stunned - the depth of the picture is amazing, the colours are stunning and the level of detail is astounding.
       
      I think one of the problems is that many TVs that claim to be be true HD are not and simulate higher pixel numbers, I mean how can TVs with 1600 by 850 pixels claim to be 1080p?

    65. Re:Dear Hollywood by Austerity+Empowers · · Score: 1

      I cannot tell the difference between a 32x32 icon stretched fullscreen at 640x480 versus the same 32x32 icon stretched to 1920x1080 (assuming aspect ratio is maintained of course).

      It really depends on the source material. My current aggravation with the "HDTV" logo, is that it only indicates the display resolution. My satellite provider provides "HD Content", but it's noticeably inferior to the "HD Content" I got from Comcast back in my old place. I remember watching Spiderman in HD and seeing how much of the set was made of rubber and plastic. With satellite, I can't see that detail (same 60" HD DLP), and in fact is hard to distinguish from SD.

      But my XBox 360 in 480 vs 1080? Night and day. Looking at my Wii is often painful.

      If the argument is that HD isn't worth everyone running off to the store and buying a new crop of TVs and A/V equipment and participating in some bizarre corporate control war, I agree. BluRay or HD-DVD, the only people who see the difference there are the corporations behind them. No sensible person should take sides and fanboi. Until you can buy a DVD player that does both, or one or the other dies totally, we shouldn't care. But there IS (or should be) a noticeable difference between SD and HD. If we can't see it it's probably because we were sold shitty content. This is another reason it may still be too early for HD adoption.

    66. Re:Dear Hollywood by Ricin · · Score: 1

      Throw AC some mods, mods

    67. Re:Dear Hollywood by cHiphead · · Score: 1

      Ok so you were among the handful of people fooled into wasting money on a PS3 (j/k) and now have a bluray player, you are in the minority of people, and you are probably among the more open to the new formats as a result. your opinion is skewed by already having a player for one of the new disks. I cant play anything br or hddvd yet, and I'm DEFINITELY more inclined towards teh HDDVD players that are cheaper than the BR counterparts, if I HAVE to move to a new format. Don't forget, this is the Walmart generation of consumers, people only care about the lowest price, not the best technology (which explains why iPod outdid Archos so well).

      Cheers.

      --

      This is my sig. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    68. Re:Dear Hollywood by ShooterNeo · · Score: 1

      Why this happens : I have a 1080p set using LCoS. I use it both as a TV and as my main computer display for my gaming box.

      For movies, I have noticed that there is a HUGE difference between DVD and 720p HD movies. Just like the trial, I can tell the difference immediatly. But, for movies the style that film lenses and lighting and so forth gives movies a 'soft' look that seems to reduce detail.

      For television content such as OTA ATSC, there is a clear difference between the 1080i channels and the 720p channels. The 720p channels aren't interlaced, and so look better diplaying motion, but clearly have less detail than the 1080i channels, which are excellent for things such as golf. In all cases HD is instantly obvious as being more detailed than SD.

    69. Re:Dear Hollywood by Tim+C · · Score: 1

      You forgot one - you can store two or three DVDs in the space one VHS occupies. That was what finally tipped it for me, believe it or not - along with all the other disadvantages of VHS, I was simply running out of space for the damn things.

    70. Re:Dear Hollywood by Marcos+Eliziario · · Score: 1

      Did you notice that I was arguing that the usual examples are not old because people around here are somewhat outdated, but because said "artists" where probably the last specimen of their species?

      --
      Your ad could be here!
    71. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      link or it didn't happen

    72. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What format do you use to archive your DVDs? Can you provide a link?
      I use DVDShrink to copy all of my DVDs to .iso files, which I then play over my home network with VideoLAN (I have a cheap HTPC connected to my HDTV and surround sound receiver, specifically built to play video over the network). I chose to rip them in a lossless way, but you can reduce the size of the files if you want.
    73. Re:Dear Hollywood by FatherOfONe · · Score: 1

      I've used Java on a PC, and I'd much rather not have it on my DVD player."

      Two points here.
      1. You would rather have a Microsoft controlled language?

      2. What Java APPLICATIONS did you run and would you care to elaborate on why you "believe" Java would be bad. Specifically what would make it bad for a set top box? Also, then tell me what language you would choose for this type of device.

      --
      The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
    74. Re:Dear Hollywood by ClubStew · · Score: 1

      That's just it. It seems to be a marriage of TV manufacturers to content producers that are fueling each other. Lower-res content on smaller CRTs looks beautiful but upscaling on larger TVs not so much. People are enticed into getting larger TVs - have been for decades - and it's gotten to the point that you'll need higher-res content. Relatively recently, movies start touting that they look better at 1080p so now you want to get a bigger TV (at least one that supports higher res). There's an end in sigh since 1080p seems to be the highest res for consumers for quite some time, but each was fueling the other and many people - myself included - fell for it.

    75. Re:Dear Hollywood by DECS · · Score: 1

      You've used Java on your PC, but have you used WinCE? That's what Microsoft's HDi is based on, the rival to BR's features software. Of course, nobody cares much about bonus features. People want to watch movies, not hours of junk about the movie, but trying to talk smack about BR Java is silly when it's used to defend a more ridiculous authoring environment from the maker of Vista-Zune.

      The other software bit is the codec: do we want Microsoft's Windows Media 9 (VC-1, based on proprietary extensions to H.263) to become a widespread standard, or would we rather have an ISO MPEG industry consortium that nobody fully controls? VC-1 is backed by Microsoft and its close satellite nations, and rubber stamped by SMPTE (which is videophile for 'ECMA'). Microsoft's codecs are dead everywhere else but HD (WMA players, stores, Zune, video), so the death of HD-DVD was important to prevent an infection of home theater with Microsoft's advances. Yes, Microsoft got VC-1 licensing pushed into the BR spec, but nobody is using it.

      Origins of the Blu-ray vs HD-DVD War
      Blu-ray vs HD-DVD in Next Generation Game Consoles

    76. Re:Dear Hollywood by JordanL · · Score: 1

      Thats complete bullshit. Go take a look at an XBR4 playing BluRay, or a Samsung 71F playing BluRay and try to tell me that HD makes no difference. I can barely fuckign stare at my 36" piece of crap after seeing what a real TV looks like.

      The big step up for HD is not Resolution, it's Resolution + Refresh rate + audio. That 120Hz screen makes a TON of difference.

    77. Re:Dear Hollywood by rtb61 · · Score: 1
      I think you missed the part where a clearer picture often breaks the illusion and you need to res down the picture in order to be able to enjoy it. For example I have heard from CGI houses that the movie studios are having to pay for special effects 'sic' to make up for bad acting (poor facial expressions), digital surgery to make of for bad plastic surgery.

      It is all about the story and how well that story is portrayed, a clearer picture will not improve ether aspect but it can certainly make it far worse, and no being able to more clearly see that fake scenery is fake or to more readily spot the errors in special effects doesn't do anything for me.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    78. Re:Dear Hollywood by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 1

      Hollywood has been producing stuff on 65mm film for decades.

    79. Re:Dear Hollywood by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 1

      On the first test, 42 inch screen, 3.5 meters away (10 ft), they all guessed 720p. It was 480p.

      And that's your problem, right there. The Viewing angle is a mere 17.3 degrees. Studies have shown that the average viewer can only resolve details as small as one minute of arc.

      So, for 720p, which is 1280 pixels across, twenty degrees of arc are more appropriate. For 1080i/p thirty degrees is more appropriate.

      A huge screen that absolutely dominates your field of view? That's part of the point of HD.

    80. Re:Dear Hollywood by crossmr · · Score: 1

      "The fact is that Microsoft isn't a content provider and because of that they can't leverage any monopoly this time to win this format dispute."

      They're a publisher for software, including games.
      They still have a virtual monopoly on home operating systems regardless of what anecdotal stories you hear about some guys entire neighbourhood going linux.

      They still have a healthy percentage of the console market.

      Trying to pick the lesser of two evils between Microsoft and Sony is a bit tough, but I'd rather see MS win this one than Sony.

    81. Re:Dear Hollywood by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      And they have been smearing vaseline on camera lenses to hide wrinkled, haggard actors faces, so what of it?

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    82. Re:Dear Hollywood by Trogre · · Score: 1

      Say what? A DVD doesn't have rewind, I don't(generally) have fast forward through ten minutes of outdated ads, it's just plop the disc in and hit play.

      Lucky you. I guess you haven't watched much from Dreamworks lately. I've found strings of ads at the start of several of their DVDs. Oh, and they're skip-locked with retarded UOPs, so at best you have to watch them in fast-forward. It's almost like they're trying to make it look like a video tape. Except you still can't fast-forward the copyright warning.

      The fact that people have flocked to DVD after considering VHS "good enough" for years indicates that they no longer see VHS as good enough. The same, I believe, will apply to DVD in a couple of years.

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    83. Re:Dear Hollywood by Trogre · · Score: 1

      You're kidding. I can tell a 1080p picture (the only HD worth talking about) on a 50" screen from the other side of a department store.

      Can you please point me to the paper on those blind tests? I have a suspicion the word "blind" might be more than a test method in that study.

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    84. Re:Dear Hollywood by wicka · · Score: 1

      1. I use both Vista and Zune and I like them both. I fully understand than my positive experience with Vista has yet to be replicated by virtually anyone else and don't expect that to be any support for Microsoft, but given the overwhelmingly positive reviews of the Zune I would have to say your statement is simply a sad attempt to bundle every Microsoft product and say it's bad. 2. Every experience I've ever had with Java has been slow and cumbersome. OpenOffice runs loads better after I shut off Java, and this I have seen on every system I've used. I go out of my way to avoid Java because I've never had a good experience with it (besides Azureus, but I just love frogs). 3. Both HD DVD and Blu-Ray use the same codecs. Being afraid of WM9 being a widespread standard because Microsoft software is in HD DVD is like being afraid of Sony forcing you to watch HD movies on UMDs. It's a drastic analogy, to be sure, but there is this too much talk as if Microsoft IS HD DVD...and that just doesn't make any sense. If you want to be naive and choose one company to represent HD DVD, it's Toshiba, much the same as Sony "is" Blu-Ray. 4. I have not really used WinCE, no. But if I KNOW that something sucks (i.e. Java), I would rather try something new than stick with that. Also, the Dreamcast has some sticker on it that says "Powered by WinCE," and I loved the Dreamcast. Basically, we've now gotten to the point that YOU hate HD DVD primarily because of your strange hatred of Microsoft, whereas I hate Blu-Ray primarily because of my strange hatred of Sony (also, I like maroon more than blue). It just goes to show that you can't really choose one side or the other without making shit up.

    85. Re:Dear Hollywood by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      It has a lot to do with DRM, or rather, the effects DRM cause on the system and the perceived lack of performance. You can read that latter statement as not meeting customer expectations, if you like, and from all accounts, BD does less to meet expectations than HDDVD with or without DRM.

      DVDs even on a good player with a decent HDTV, are no match compared to a decent HD disc on te same HDTV.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    86. Re:Dear Hollywood by Znork · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately it's in swedish, but here's one http://www.m3.idg.se/2.1022/1.132631 (there's a link to a video and some stuff too). The test was initially mainly intended to assess plasma versus lcd, but that ended up not being nearly as interesting as the failure to reliably distinguish resolutions.

      "I manage to pick 1080p/720p over 480p"

      If you switch back and forth a few times it's certainly possible, but many need to use visual cues (like you mention, stubble) to do it. I assume you're not normally specifically watching stubble movies, or switching back and forth. What was noticable here was the initial reaction; going from nothing to movie, nobody thought it was SD. And that's pretty close to how you usually operate a TV.

      "but 50" / 2m?"

      Yes, some had difficulty. Not all eyes are created equal, even assuming they had whatever corrective lenses they'd require.

      I'm not saying HD is useless. I'm saying dont pay too much extra, and prioritize other features like color and contrast (or the ability to rip and store content), because under normal viewing circumstances, watching a movie, most people wont actually notice, and some cant even notice the difference.

      But that's for film. For still pictures HD resolution is a step forward. For anyone using their TV as a screen it's also a huge step forward. For anyone like me, wanting large computer screens, it's great that they're getting popular.

      Still, I hate people getting jerked around by salesmen (and even more by media companies wanting to charge more and jam DRM down their throats in exchange for a difference in quality they cant even see), so I feel compelled to point this out.

      And even more telling than what I've been able to find to support that point of view (this latest blindtest, some more I cant recall where they were, some articles on the capacity of the human eye) is the huge amount of material I'm not finding to disprove it.

    87. Re:Dear Hollywood by Znork · · Score: 1

      "Seriously, that test, if it ever existed, is utter crap."

      I linked it in another reply, but it's in swedish, so.

      "one may not notice the difference easily if you don't have a side-by-side comparison."

      See, that's the point. When you're actually watching a movie you most likely wont have a side-by-side comparison (and they didn't in the test in question), nor will you be concentrating on stubble.

      If most people _think_ it's HD even when it's not, when presented out of the blue with a SD stream on a good enough display, should we waste OTA carrier space for HD broadcasts, crowding out alternatives like more channels or data traffic? Should one pay more for DRM crippled blue-ray?

      "If you really don't see the difference, then I suggest you get your vision fixed."

      Oh, I see the difference, under the right circumstances. I've tested myself back and forth on computer monitors with test patterns and with test files. Mainly while I was trying to determine at what resolution and bitrate to rip my own DVD's (and the resolution/bitrate/storage volume compromise ended up even below SD resolution, as blockiness was noticable and disturbing while resolution didnt affect the experience much and a full quality rip made so little difference itsimply wasnt worth the extra space).

      The interesting question isnt wether it's possible to notice the difference, the interesting question is wether you will.

    88. Re:Dear Hollywood by Dogtanian · · Score: 1

      Did you notice that I was arguing that the usual examples are not old because people around here are somewhat outdated, but because said "artists" where probably the last specimen of their species? In that case, as I pointed out, I'm not convinced that you're correct. American Idol, X Factor et al are the new home of manufactured pop stars. Although masquerading as talent contests, they are (for the most part) set up in such a way that a particular type of performer will win, and I would argue that the resultant stars are just as contrived and marketed as their late-1990s predecessors.
      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
    89. Re:Dear Hollywood by mat+catastrophe · · Score: 1
      "I read a recent blindtest where three experts and a bunch of non-experts were tested for the difference between HD and non HD material on several LCD's and plasma displays. "

      Source, please? I'd like to read that.

      --
      sig not found
    90. Re:Dear Hollywood by DrXym · · Score: 1
      It's very easy to tell the difference between SD and HD content on a large HD set. If you know what to look for or are shown it. Some images are going to make it easier to see than others - patterns and high contrast things make the distinction clearer. The problem is most people are probably ignorant and therefore don't know what to look for or their eyesight doesn't even make it obvious. I expect some probably don't even know what HD means and probably think it has something to do with the larger screen.

      On top of that, the problem for HD DVD and Blu Ray is that most content does not warrant 2x the cost for questionable image improvements. I have a large collection of DVDs which I am not inclined to upgrade to Blu Ray any time soon. And I certainly won't be buying many new BDs while they cost so much. The price of Blu Ray discs in Europe is absurd and often tops 30 euros a disc. Assuming the prices drop to DVD levels then I think the reason to go HD is a no brainer, but not until the tech emerges from early adopter territory and starts competing with DVDs on price.

      There is at least one advantage of getting an HD player when the war is finally resolved. Even if you just play DVDs (for now), a Blu Ray player will contain built-in upscaling for DVDs and an HDMI out ensuring excellent image quality. While there are upscaling DVD players, if you're going to spend that much you may as well future proof yourself and get a Blu Ray player. The PS3 also has excellent upscaling and shouldn't be discounted either considering how much functionality you get for the price.

    91. Re:Dear Hollywood by Marcos+Eliziario · · Score: 1

      Sure. But I hold the American Idol is an "attempt" to build a megastar. Have you seen record companies signing 100 million contracts lately? The era of the megastars is over, and that's why we only talk about Britney as an example of shitty music stars, because Britney was one of the latest examples of such kind of manufactured megastar, she is one of the last dinossaurs.
      Teenagers want to be cool, they want to be trendy. When they had to spend some bucks to buy a CD, the safe bet for them was to go with the absolutely most popular star. Now, they can have music for zero dollars, so they can diversify and the megastar is, thankfully, a thing from the past.

      --
      Your ad could be here!
    92. Re:Dear Hollywood by Zerbey · · Score: 1

      Most people that have a good HDTV can tell a large difference in good HD content. Please note that I am not saying many of the movies that have come out on either format, but "some" of the movies there is a HUGE difference in quality.

      Wrong. Most people that own a good HDTV have their coax cable coming in from their cable line, are tuned in to channel 3 and have the screen stretched out to widescreen and think they are viewing HDTV. Don't believe me, go visit your non-techy friends and do a straw poll. You'll be surprised at the results. I did this and found that 90% of the people I knew with HDTV where viewing them in SDTV and didn't know the difference!

      (No, my friends are not stupid, they're just non-technical)

      Me, I'm still waiting for one format to take over before even considering buying a Blu-Ray or HD-DVD. It looks like Blu-Ray is going to win but we'll see.

    93. Re:Dear Hollywood by evilviper · · Score: 1

      I have a 27" CRT that can do 1080i (picked it up for $200 in a sale). For normal viewing, I really can't tell the difference between 480p and 1080i

      Funny, because when I got my 27" HDTV CRT, I instantly noticed all the artifacts with 480p that I had never seen before on a standard TV. Nothing subtle, big huge sharp artifacts everywhere over the screen.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    94. Re:Dear Hollywood by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Not lately, though I did return a DVD like that once. At least if it gets too annoying I'm sure that somebody will eventually make a player that ignores those flags Ala firefox and popups.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    95. Re:Dear Hollywood by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

      I had this experience over thanksgiving. We had our relatives over and while I'm not a sports fan, some of them were. So they wanted to watch some football game on our high def set.

      The picture was kind of fuzzy and they didn't know why, and it wasn't until I flipped the channel over to the High def feed did they finally see what the ruckus was about with highdef.

      Which is a complaint i have with the cable co. For NBC, CBS, Fox, ABC, PBS, etc, I've got a local SD feed, a local digital SD feed, and a local digital HD feed. Why do I have the same show in 3 different formats?

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
    96. Re:Dear Hollywood by Trogre · · Score: 1

      Yes, well I'm afraid it's now 2008. The DVD is over 10 years old and I'm still waiting for a hardware player that ignores those flags.

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    97. Re:Dear Hollywood by terjeber · · Score: 1

      Viewing a DVD is 10X as hard as viewing a video Cassette

      I'm sorry, but what??? If watching a DVD is 10x as hard to accomplish as anything I that has to do with playing anything at all, then I feel really sorry for you. I hope they find a cure real soon.

    98. Re:Dear Hollywood by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      They're out there, maybe mine is? ;)

      Could explain why I don't have any trouble skipping most of them.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    99. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Modern VCR. Put tape in, if you wish fast forward over junk, watch, VCR rewinds. At most three steps, and perhaps 30-45 seconds to content the tape was bought for.

      DVD player. Put disk in. Wait for the unskippable warnings, trailers, studio ids, etc to play. If they are skippable, the user must usually manually froward over at least two of them before the menu key will work. Once you get to the menu, you usually have to wait for 10-20 seconds of gratuitous graphics to play. This means more keystrokes, more frustration, and clear disregard for the concerns of the user.

      No one is saying that there are not benefits to the DVD, just that the studios enjoy controlling the user experience, and they have no scruples about using that control to enforce arbitrary secondary objectives. No one expected the studios to use the mandatory content to enforce ads on the viewer. No one expected the studios to for repetitive lame content on the viewer. We did expect camera angles, commentary, etc. How many discs have camera angles?

    100. Re:Dear Hollywood by king-manic · · Score: 1

      It is all about the story and how well that story is portrayed, a clearer picture will not improve ether aspect but it can certainly make it far worse, and no being able to more clearly see that fake scenery is fake or to more readily spot the errors in special effects doesn't do anything for me. And then there is spectacle. Where it doesn't matter if the lead is a wooden statue (the Matrix), you just want to see shit explode. As a cinifile I have the unfortunate job to inform you that me and you are a minority. I'd rather Hollywood released nothign but high quality epics and indies films but joe smuck likes his terrorists good n blowed up. So while you can say a clear crisper picture doesn't mean much, joe smuch says it means his next TV purchase. And as a cinefile while a movie like reservoir dogs is great in DVD or even VHS or even on radio, LOTR or SW:EP V really really needs HD. Even cinefiles can like well done spectacle.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    101. Re:Dear Hollywood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mod parent up!

    102. Re:Dear Hollywood by Zerbey · · Score: 1

      I spent several years patiently training my family to use the HD channel names when watching TV (SD actually gives me a headache). I eventually figured out that the only way to stop them hitting the wrong channel was to use the parental lock and force the issue. :-D

    103. Re:Dear Hollywood by Zakabog · · Score: 1

      I think you missed the part where he said watch Planet Earth in 1080p. I would love to post a screen capture to show you how amazing the documentary looks. I would hate to watch it on DVD (or SD TV) just because I've gotten so used to the gorgeous look you get from a 60fps 1920x1080 resolution.

  4. Hope it works... by elwinc · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I hope the war ends quickly, and I hope blu-ray wins because blu-ray has a higher data rate (something like peak 48Mb/sec vs 32Mb/sec). Not to mention that blu-ray dual layer holds a whopping 50 gigs. But I'm not going to buy any kind of player until the war is clearly over.

    --
    --- Often in error; never in doubt!
    1. Re:Hope it works... by Liquidrage · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If storage size was all I cared about I'd agree with you. The DRM in blu-ray is less consumer friendly then HD-DVD. Not to mention I'd rather just about anyone control a standard for us then Sony. If HD-DVD was enough to give me HD movies, and it appears it was, I was hoping it would win out. But sadly the shifting DRM was probably why blu-ray's more appealing for the movie studios.

      If there's a silver lining here it's that I think winning this race is meaningless. I don't think blu-ray is the next DVD. Laserdisc maybe.

    2. Re:Hope it works... by TheGratefulNet · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The DRM in blu-ray is less consumer friendly then HD-DVD

      the drm in BOTH is totally unacceptable to me.

      runnable code?? in a VIDEO disc?

      oh please!

      come back (vendors) when you have learned your lesson. we don't want no stinkin' "revoke lists" and all that java crap going on.

      a/v players should JUST relay a/v bits to the display/speakers. and that's ALL.

      in that respect, they both got it horribly wrong. so I boycott and will never buy bd/hd discs. buying only tells them that you approve and I will never approve of this. vote with your dollars.

      --

      --
      "It is now safe to switch off your computer."
    3. Re:Hope it works... by Mordaximus · · Score: 3, Informative

      Not to mention I'd rather just about anyone control a standard for us then Sony.

      Good thing there is also Hitachi, LG, Panasonic, Pioneer, Philips, Samsung and Sharp then I guess. You do realize that Blu-Ray isn't a 'Sony' format?

    4. Re:Hope it works... by Malc · · Score: 1

      Sony controls the standard, or does the BDA?

    5. Re:Hope it works... by ed1park · · Score: 1

      Agreed. I would rather have HDDVD from Toshiba/NEC than deal with Sony. Also, I'm surprised that movie companies don't find a conflict of interest having Sony not only sell competing films, but provide the highly proprietary format to everyone as well. To think that a multinational corporation like Sony could not directly or indirectly use this to their advantage is naive.

    6. Re:Hope it works... by Dirtside · · Score: 1

      runnable code?? in a VIDEO disc?

      Uh, you do realize that menus on DVDs are "runnable code" "in a VIDEO disc", right? (For the sake of argument, I'm assuming you have no problem with DVD menus.) Having "runnable code" in a media format isn't the problem, the problem is when that code is used to restrict the usefulness of the disc to people who paid for it legally.
      --
      "Destroy science and religion. Science would re-emerge exactly the same; but not religion." - Penn Jillette, paraphrased
    7. Re:Hope it works... by Liquidrage · · Score: 1

      Developed by Sony. Championed by Sony.
      That other's are on board in a "consortium" hardly does anything but gives names to a meaningless list and let's you make a semantical argument. Sony is the power player here no mistake about it. It's their dogfood, and some others are gladly eating it.

    8. Re:Hope it works... by TheGratefulNet · · Score: 1

      actually I do have issues with menus. I now strip them when I rip dvd's.

      some dvd's like the simpsons tv series (as an example) does 'funny stuff' unless you preload some menu stuff first. there was also a dual bw/color version of the three stooges that would NOT play in b/w but only in color; and I think that also had to do with running code, of sorts.

      so you are right. I've been burned a few times by the DVD standard, as well. forgot about that. its rare, but I do run into discs that try to 'be funny' - but not in a ha-ha laughing kind of way ;(

      these days I rip to .mpgs and screw the damned menus. chapter marks is all you really need and you don't need menus for that.

      --

      --
      "It is now safe to switch off your computer."
    9. Re:Hope it works... by corsec67 · · Score: 1

      The DRM in blu-ray is less consumer friendly then HD-DVD.


      The entire point of DRM is specifically to be consumer un-friendly. It is designed to prevent stuff from not working. You might be correct that the DRM in the HD-DVD spec is more easily broken, but its existence is still consumer unfriendly. For example, AACS specifically prevents anything higher than 480p from being sent over analog outputs. Which sucks if you have an older HDTV that doesn't have HDMI with HDCP.
      --
      If I have nothing to hide, don't search me
    10. Re:Hope it works... by mangu · · Score: 1

      (For the sake of argument, I'm assuming you have no problem with DVD menus.)

      I, for one, do have a problem with DVD menus. I'd rather have the menus built in the player, instead of the DVD. There should exist a standard API for menus, after all there aren't so many options to pick in a DVD.
    11. Re:Hope it works... by Trogre · · Score: 1

      I take it you also boycott DVD and the evil CSS and UOPs therein?

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    12. Re:Hope it works... by Trogre · · Score: 1

      It's not just HD DRM that I find unacceptable. These summer holidays I was staying at a small holiday home with the family. After each days activities the younger members of the family would want to watch DVDs. The house had a DVD player, VCR and TV. The TV only had SCART and RF inputs, so we thought to use the VCR as a modulator (run audio+composite video from the DVD player into the VCR's AV input, then watch the movie with the TV tuned to the VCRs channel).

      Guess what? 6 out of the 10 DVD discs we had were "protected" with Macrovision (spits) copy protection. You know, the one that puts out invalid video sync signals so you can't dub a DVD to tape. All we got on those discs was a rolling picture like we'd lost vertical hold, and alternating bright/dark luminosity. Completely unwatchable.

      When I got back to my home city the first thing I did (after unpacking the car) was to send up an RCA->SCART adapter. That made the problem go away.

      Utter, utter crap.

      Macrovision needs to die a fiery death, and it needs to do it now.

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    13. Re:Hope it works... by Malc · · Score: 1

      Java and runnable code has been part of the TV for a long time. BD-J is based on MHP/GEM. Cable boxes in N. America have had JVMs for a while. In the UK, BBCi is Java-based. It's already wide-spread, get used to it.

  5. I knew it... by Fnkmaster · · Score: 5, Informative

    I knew that $199 HD-DVD player with 10 free HD-DVDs from Amazon.com was too good a deal to be true. But I got suckered into it anyway and bought myself one for the holidays. Betamax all over again.

    I figured with HD-DVD players so cheap, they couldn't help but beat Bluray, with their absurdly overpriced players. Apparently I was duped by a dumping strategy - clearly they knew their market position was about to slip off a cliff and they decided to flood the market with cheap players.

    I am boycotting further purchases of any high def DVD products for the next few years. This experience has left me utterly disgusted. Move piracy, here I come.

    1. Re:I knew it... by Fnkmaster · · Score: 1

      Oops, "Movie", not "Move"

    2. Re:I knew it... by 91degrees · · Score: 2, Informative

      Betamax all over again.

      Not really. Betamax players started cost over $1000 in 1977. Even by 1983, when Betamax was clearly losing the war, Betamax players started at $380. Adjusted for inflation this would be about $750-800. Buying both High Def DVD players really isn't a huge financial undertaking for most movie fans. $199 wasn't even a terrible price for the free DVDs you got, aside from lack of choice.

      Any HD DVD you purchase in the next few years will continue to be playable until your player dies. By that time they'll all be available in the bargain bin.

    3. Re:I knew it... by Justus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That's a wonderful point, except that the article and the grandparent poster are complaining about HD-DVD. You know, the non-Sony format.

      Personally, I don't really care who or what wins this stupid high-def format war, so long as it goes away. I suppose I'm technically in the Blu-Ray camp (I unexpectedly received a PS3 over the holidays), but mostly I just want to purchase high-definition movies without worrying about which studios are supporting which type of disc.

    4. Re:I knew it... by orielbean · · Score: 1

      Glad also that I never picked up the Xbox 360 drive for 160.00. Now if they started using it for games, it might have made a difference...

    5. Re:I knew it... by Sponge+Bath · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This simply is not worth worrying about. I picked up the exact same deal as you and am happy. Just remember:

      * The format war is *not* over because a couple of 'experts' say so
      * Until the war is over, don't build a large library (rent)
      * The cost of the player for a few years use is modest
      * Amazon started selling discounted Bluray players with the same 10 disc offer a couple of weeks after the HD-DVD offer, so it is not part of a dumping scheme by either format.

      In the short term you get to enjoy 1080P video and TrueHD audio now for a low price. I see a lot of postings here about there not being a significant difference between SD and HD discs, but I see a huge difference. I was sceptical before I got the player, but now I am a believer and have no buyers remorse even *if* HD-DVD goes away after a few years.

      In short: Don't worry, be happy.

    6. Re:I knew it... by superskippy · · Score: 1

      Ah, chin up. If you really did get 10 HD-DVDs and a player for $200, you've not done too badly, even if you never buy anything else for it ever again.

    7. Re:I knew it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah, so because Toshiba dumped HD-DVD on you (and you knew as much--"too good a deal to be true"), you're going to pirate instead of buying any high def discs in any format. How very rational of you.

      Look, you don't need to justify your decision to pirate movies here. The /. crowd doesn't care. But saying the equivalent of, "Blu-ray sucks because HD-DVD sucks" is pretty childish.

      Incidentally, if you're really an enthusiast for HD (rather than being satisfied with continuing to buy on DVD, rent from Netflix, whatever), I think you're going to find downloading content in HD quality from the Internet is still a pain in the ass, and will be for some time (15-50 GB is a lot of download time on a typical US broadband connection for a two hour movie). You may find yourself backtracking on your "never buy an HD disc EVAH" vow if Blu-ray starts to take off after this announcement, and it becomes as mainstream as DVD, while we're all still waiting for 50 Mbps lines to stream HD content in equivalent quality.

      I know the Pixar stuff in particular looks absolutely fantastic in HD; computer animation was made to be delivered in arbitrarily high resolution. (Which makes sense, considering HD isn't all that much higher than what most people have on their desktops.)

    8. Re:I knew it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What is "TrueHD audio" when it's at home?
      Surely not a big CON for idiots with 'golden ears' who can't actually hear the MUSIC properly?

      Why is is that 'audiophiles' always listen to crap music?

    9. Re:I knew it... by bigstrat2003 · · Score: 1

      Uh... Blu-Ray is winning at the moment, so I don't know what your point is. Not to mention the PS3 isn't washed up, it's picking up steam and could (though kind of doubtful) yet go somewhere.

      --
      "16MB (fuck off, MiB fascists)" - The Mighty Buzzard
    10. Re:I knew it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lame. If I want to pay $20 each to watch high-quality movies I can go to a theater and still have enough money left over for a nice dinner.

    11. Re:I knew it... by jellomizer · · Score: 1

      Cheap prices are usually the last ditch effort to get rid of stock. At least at $200 you didn't loose a huge amount.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    12. Re:I knew it... by Sponge+Bath · · Score: 1

      What is "TrueHD audio" when it's at home?

      It is high resolution, high sample rate, multichannel uncompressed audio. Usually 24bit/96kHz 5.1.

      Surely not a big CON for idiots with 'golden ears' who can't actually hear the MUSIC properly? Why is is that 'audiophiles' always listen to crap music?

      I can hear the difference between compressed and uncompressed audio. I can hear a difference between stereo and 5.1. But if you are happy listening to a 128kbps MP3 through earbuds, more power to you.

    13. Re:I knew it... by Reziac · · Score: 1

      I had similar thoughts. If Warner moves to all Blu-Ray, I won't be buying any more Warner movies (and I've already bought plenty), because I have no use for anything that's not a standard ordinary DVD that I can play on the computer. I'm not about to buy new equipment just to view their content (especially when both the equipment and the discs are still more expensive than I care to spend).

      I *prefer* buying a reasonably-priced DVD to downloading it (even when the download is "free"). But if they're taking away my choice to purchase -- well, we all know what the next step is.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    14. Re:I knew it... by xigxag · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This experience has left me utterly disgusted. If you can get so emotionally worked up over a $200 purchase, why did you spend so much in the first place?

      Look at it this way. You got ten movies that will play forever, you got a very good upscaling DVD player, and you got an opportunity to buy a bunch of films in the very near future at fire sale prices.

      Also, don't expect HD-DVD to entirely die out so quickly. Toshiba will still be making players and recorders for a good while longer -- the standard may even manage to live on as a drop-in replacement for DVD+Rs. Furthermore, HD-DVD is supposedly compatible with China's new CH-DVD standard. After cheap upscaling DVD players start to flood the market with HD-DVD compatibility mode, you won't have to worry about your collection being unplayable in the future. Don't minimize China's influence here, after all, old Chinese (S)VCD's are still playable on every new $30 player, some 10 years after they were obsoleted by DVDs.

      --
      There are two kinds of people: 1) those who start arrays with one and 1) those who start them with zero.
    15. Re:I knew it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why boycott hi def products because you were to stupid to wait until the format war was over to make your purchase? Anybody who bought a stand alone HD-DVD or Blue Ray player should have known the risk they were taking. You people make me laugh.

    16. Re:I knew it... by Mex · · Score: 4, Funny

      What?

      NO! Don't be a pawn! Do not wait for these wars to be over! You are essential to success! Be a soldier, mister! Drop down and give me 20 (dollars) for your old movies that you had to buy again!

      Only YOU can decide who wins this war!

      - This message brought to you by the MPAA. Buy more movies plz k thx bye

    17. Re:I knew it... by Palshife · · Score: 1

      Amen.

      --
      Attention deficit disorder is a complicated issue, spanning several major... HEY LET'S GO RIDE BIKES!
    18. Re:I knew it... by Desert+Raven · · Score: 1

      Um, you do realize that HD-DVD isn't a "standard ordinary DVD" either? And that HD-DVD won't play on your computer without new equipment?

      Warner's not discontinuing regular DVDs (that would be insanely stupid at this point) they just said that they would only be using Blueray for high-def DVD. Since you made it clear you won't be buying those anyway, nothing has changed for you.

    19. Re:I knew it... by maraist · · Score: 1

      I believe a CD-ROM is 150KBps (1x). This is the audio rate - I don't recall what the video-CD rates were. The significance of an initial data-rate is not how fast you can spin up the drive in the future, but what the data-format is rated at. Your 40x CD today is not time-dependent media, but opaque binary packets for file-transfers. But AC3 or whatever audio and video codec is specifically rate limited. The higher the rate a codec requires, the better quality it can support. In this case what it means is that if you have a 90% dark screen with very small color variations and an almost still image, you don't need ANY real bandwidth. But if you have a VERY high contrast, extremely motion oriented scene, a lower-bandwidth codec is going to cap out, and you will see a LOT of artifacts or a lot of color bleeding, bluring.

      The last codec I studied was AC3, and it basically supported two modes; high resolution, or high rate-of-change. While you might have imagined that the tremendously faster bandwith rating of HD-DVD/Bluray would overcome this issue, it hasn't because you've tremendously increased the number of pixels the compressed data has to represent. Likewise with the massive audio frequency range (and for what purpose?).

      --
      -Michael
    20. Re:I knew it... by Fezmid · · Score: 1

      "Apparently I was duped by a dumping strategy - clearly they knew their market position was about to slip off a cliff and they decided to flood the market with cheap players."

      Actually, rumors are that Warner was going to go HD DVD exclusive along with Fox -- but that changed over the past couple of days when Sony paid Fox to stay with them, and then Warner followed suit, getting their own payout.

      Here's one source, but several insiders have said the same thing on AVS:
      http://formatwarcentral.com/index.php/2008/01/04/warner-swayed-by-500-million-from-the-bda/

    21. Re:I knew it... by aliquis · · Score: 1

      As someone mentioned earlier when it was 5 movies and $100, that you kind of buy the movies (or the player) and get the other thing for free (if you look at cost). And also even if the format failed you still had an upscaling dvd player for 100 dollar which is decent. 200 dollar is more but .. Maybe you could sell it with movies to someone who doesn't know yet ;D

    22. Re:I knew it... by aliquis · · Score: 1

      Many people would have problems with that comparision using a newer version of lame and the shit they listen with (128kbps mp3 vs 16bit 48kHz uncompressed stereo that is.)

      I doesn't seem to be able to sort out 192kbps vbr mp3s with uncompressed with Grado/Alessandro MS-1 headphones, maybe even lower quality. I don't remember if I tried with my stereo/home cinema crap but I guess that wouldn't help (Denon AVR-1801 cheap receiver, B&W DM603s2, Paradigm PS-1000 v3, ...)

      Isn't DTS quite enough for most people? Sure I would prefer uncompressed, but would I notice?

    23. Re:I knew it... by aliquis · · Score: 1

      BetaMax? Failure.
      Walkman? ...
      CD? Yeah, also made by Sony, failure? ....
      MiniDisc? Not a failure, if only they had skipped that Atrac bullshit and people would probably have used MDs longer.
      Atrac? Yes, a failure.
      MemoryStick? Depends, it haven't flooded and owned the market, but I guess it gives Sony more cash when without it. Thought it suck.
      UMD? Kind of worthless yes.

      PS1 and PS2 was huge successes.

      PS3 isn't a failure, it sells as good as 360 and 360 sold worse than Xbox did in the begining atleast, but still Xbox outsold Gamecube so I guess it's all kind of normal numbers.

      Wii have however sold more units faster than PS2. So yes, Wii and DS outsells all, but PS3 and 360 aren't failures because of that. Sony probably hoped for much better numbers for PS3 thought ..

      So atleast CD, Walkman and MD worked for Sony, and I would have to say the Playstation range at large, it's definitly more of a success than xbox range...

    24. Re:I knew it... by PhearoX · · Score: 1

      Uhh... No it isn't. "In a not-so-surprising turn, standalone HD DVD players have regained their lead on Blu-ray sales in September, giving the overall year-to-date figures (in which HD DVD has always been ahead) as 53% HD DVD, 44% Blu-ray, and 3% dual-format." (quoted from an article on Gizmodo, pointing to http://www.dailytech.com/article.aspx?newsid=9202) These are "fresh" numbers too, less than 90 days old. Anyway, if you can pull out your little protractor and draw me a diagram of how 53% is less than 44%, I'll concede.

    25. Re:I knew it... by bigstrat2003 · · Score: 1

      It doesn't matter how many players are sold, if the studios are moving toward another direction.

      --
      "16MB (fuck off, MiB fascists)" - The Mighty Buzzard
    26. Re:I knew it... by PhearoX · · Score: 1

      The CD was invented in the late 1960s by James T. Russell. Sony had nothing to do with it.

      Your xbox vs. PS3 sales figures (er... lack thereof) are also incorrect.

      The minidisc was a *colossal* failure. They didn't even last as long as the BetaMax format...

      Walkman and Trinitron are both end user devices or the technology within, not an actual distribution format, which is the focus of this discussion.

    27. Re:I knew it... by PhearoX · · Score: 1

      Really? Someone better let Apple know... They won't be happy that the iPod is going under because it's the only one that uses AAC...

    28. Re:I knew it... by bigstrat2003 · · Score: 1

      Terrible analogy. The iPod isn't a format, it's a player. Moreover, the iPod's success doesn't depend on that of AAC, because it can play other things. HD-DVD and Blu-Ray's success, because they are formats, depend entirely on which one the movie studios are willing to release to. HD-DVD players, unless they're dual format (do those exist yet? I don't believe so), do depend on the success of HD-DVD, because that's all they play (well, and regular DVDs, but a standard DVD player can be had for far cheaper, so that doesn't matter).

      --
      "16MB (fuck off, MiB fascists)" - The Mighty Buzzard
    29. Re:I knew it... by PhearoX · · Score: 1

      You're wrong. HD-DVDs require a player for their proprietary DRM HD-DVD format. iPods are also a player for Apple's proprietary DRM AAC format. (not that AAC is proprietary, but at least the DRM is)

      Thus,
      HD-DVD players = iPod
      HD-DVD format = Apple AAC ...for the purposes of this debate.

      iPod's success is due primarily (if not only) to the DRMed online music store, which the recording studios love. iPods are "backwards" compatible with open MP3s, just like HD-DVD players are backwards compatible with standard DVDs.

      The point I'm trying to make is that as long as ANY studio still produces HD-DVDs (and as long as iTunes remains open for business, in contrast with the iPod), it doesn't matter that 2 or 3 big names have gone exclusively to the Blu-Ray format. There are just as many studios that have gone exclusively HD-DVD.

      And... if Netflix and Blockbuster's rental statistics are any indicator, Blu-Ray will be gone sooner than later. HD-DVDs are being rented at a rate of 2.4 to 1 compared with Blu-Ray as of October.

    30. Re:I knew it... by bigstrat2003 · · Score: 1

      Blockbuster doesn't rent HD-DVDs any more, remember? At any rate, there aren't just as many studios which are exclusively HD-DVD. See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:HighDefShare_2008-06-01.svg . The HD-DVD only camp is pretty small compared to the Blu-Ray camp at this point. If Paramount and Universal go Blu-Ray, HD-DVD is going to die overnight. It may still exist, but it'll be a highly niche product.

      --
      "16MB (fuck off, MiB fascists)" - The Mighty Buzzard
    31. Re:I knew it... by Kris_J · · Score: 1

      Microsoft should release a Blu-ray drive for the Xbox 360. I bet the drive would sell very well (even if they sold it at a profit), Xbox 360 sales would increase, the high-def war would be declared over and we could all get on with life.

    32. Re:I knew it... by PhearoX · · Score: 1

      Uhhhhh. I guess Blockbuster hasn't updated their web site yet. http://www.blockbuster.com/browse/collections/hdDvdPackage

    33. Re:I knew it... by bigstrat2003 · · Score: 1

      I hadn't paid attention to this at the time, but they're apparently still selling them online: http://www.engadget.com/2007/06/17/blockbuster-chooses-blu-ray-is-the-war-over/

      --
      "16MB (fuck off, MiB fascists)" - The Mighty Buzzard
    34. Re:I knew it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Eat a bowl of dick, you cockless, spineless fuck.

    35. Re:I knew it... by aliquis · · Score: 1

      CD:
      "1980 Compact Disc standard proposed by Philips & Sony.
      1981 Matsushita accepts Compact Disc Standard
      Digital Audio Disc Committee also accepts Compact Disc Standard.
      Sharp achieves production of semiconductor laser.
      Philips & Sony collaboration ends.
      1982 Sony & Philips both have product ready to go."
      http://www.oneoffcd.com/info/historycd.cfm

      So atleast not completely false.

      Xbox VS PS3:
      I may have seen these on some sort of sony fanboy webpage or something, but atleast there they had a graph where the 360 was in lead, but if you changed the start of the graph to the same they more or less matched perfectly over time. If you are 100% sure sales for xbox360s first month compared to ps3s first month, and then second, third and so on in total was very different feel free to post source or tell so. If I'm wrong I blame a webpage which lied.
      I found the page but not the correct article:
      http://www.sonydefenseforce.com/
      Of course it's a fanboy page, but I don't expect them to lie, only show the stuff which makes Sony look good.
      Another graph: http://www.sonydefenseforce.com/?p=129

      Minidisc wasn't a failure over here atleast, I know two people who got one ;/, which may seem small but then I don't know much people. I thought it seemed nice except that you had to "record" your music, then came the NetMD which saved that but then I couldn't use it with my OS of choice, and also you had to convert all your music. Then came the Hi-MD and I would definitly have bought one of those over an MP3-player if the format of the actual data wasn't so retarded. Of course they failed when they didn't supported MP3s...

    36. Re:I knew it... by PhearoX · · Score: 1

      The Sony / Philips venture is widely (and incorrectly) recognized as the start of CD technology, but it simply isn't true. In fact, Sony, Philips, and many other manufacturers ended up paying royalties to Battelle (Russell's company) after several infringement lawsuits. A very nice writeup about the entire history and some insight into the resulting conflicts can be found here: http://web.reed.edu/reed_magazine/Nov2000/a_the_discoverer/index.html As far as the 360/PS3 sales figures.... meh. I have to be honest and say that debate has been beaten to death and I just don't feel like looking it up, so I'll concede that one.

    37. Re:I knew it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, and you know what the best part is?

      When someone gets a working HD-DVD burner and we can buy HDDVD-Rs, doesn't matter if Blurry won, you can just burn your movies to HD-DVD. =)

      I'm rooting for HD-DVD. If more 99$-199$ appear, then I will definately vote with my wallet. I don't care if Warner Brothers is thinking of slowly moving away, I'm sure this will help sway their opinion.

      But to be honest. I think people are just waiting for Disney's promised dual-format players & discs. Until then however, the choice is clear. This is DIVX vs DVD all over again; last I checked, all the big studios (with the exception of a few) wanted DIVX, and only released for DIVX, but the project was a complete disaster with the people buying DVD players when they found out what was going on with DIVX.

      Tripcode is mankind: we should be gentler towards this mighty beast.

    38. Re:I knew it... by dangitman · · Score: 1

      Look at it this way. You got ten movies that will play forever,

      What? I don't think his HD-DVD player will last forever. And once they stop making them and his player dies, then what?

      --
      ... and then they built the supercollider.
    39. Re:I knew it... by DrEldarion · · Score: 1

      Those numbers only count standalone players. There are about 9,000,000 PS3s in consumer hands that can play Blu-rays as well.

      Either way, if you look at the software sales, it's obvious who is winning.

    40. Re:I knew it... by DrXym · · Score: 1
      Also, don't expect HD-DVD to entirely die out so quickly. Toshiba will still be making players and recorders for a good while longer -- the standard may even manage to live on as a drop-in replacement for DVD+Rs. Furthermore, HD-DVD is supposedly compatible with China's new CH-DVD standard. After cheap upscaling DVD players start to flood the market with HD-DVD compatibility mode, you won't have to worry about your collection being unplayable in the future. Don't minimize China's influence here, after all, old Chinese (S)VCD's are still playable on every new $30 player, some 10 years after they were obsoleted by DVDs.

      This will be great if you're into Shaolin Kung Fu movies. I doubt it means much otherwise. Chinese manufactures are not going to be excluded from producing Blu Ray players just because their domestic market uses some other format.

    41. Re:I knew it... by xigxag · · Score: 1

      I doubt it means much otherwise. What it means is that there's a good chance the OP's precious HD-DVDs will remain conveniently playable even after his original machine bites the dust. Which might mitigate his frustration over casting his lot with the "losing" side.

      Regarding your other point, yes, I do like Shaolin Kung Fu movies. But aside from that, Chinese manufacturers are already members of the BRDA, so I wouldn't expect them to be excluded.
      --
      There are two kinds of people: 1) those who start arrays with one and 1) those who start them with zero.
    42. Re:I knew it... by sjames · · Score: 1

      If you can get so emotionally worked up over a $200 purchase, why did you spend so much in the first place?

      I suspect the principle matters more than the $200. Personally, for me the tipping point was when the manufacturers started going for exclusive deals with the studios. Not only did that prove that they're not interested in real value to the consumer, it also proved one of two ugly possabilities. Either they believe people are so starstruck with consumerism that they won't mind buying two copies of everything OR this whole format war is a corporate pissing contest rather than profit driven. From a profit standpoint, it's better to have 20% of a $1000 pie than to have 100% of a $100 pie. When only 100% will do, it's a pissing contest.

      Personally, it's a grand excuse to sit the whole thing out. Wake me up when the war's over and there's a $50 player that can handle whatever's left out there.

      Meanwhile, if the MPAA doesn't want to see more p2p action than they ever imagined, it's in their best interest to apply pressure to end the war and get hardware prices down as well. One solution to the format war for the consumer is to skip both players and hook the computer up to the TV. Another consumer solution is to download rips of whatever doesn't play on the player they have and burn a copy that will.

    43. Re:I knew it... by PhearoX · · Score: 1

      You're right... To make it fair, they left out sales of the HD-DVD player for the 360 as well. Since the blu-ray player isn't optional in the PS3, it doesn't make sense to include it in sales figures since a good majority of buyers didn't make the ps3 purchase for the blu-ray drive. (That is a statistic that has also been covered very well) Just like it doesn't make sense to gauge seat belt usage by how many cars are sold with seat belts...they *all* have them. You're also right about it being obvious who is winning when looking at the software sales. It's very obvious, and has been obvious every sales period since the beginning.

    44. Re:I knew it... by evilviper · · Score: 1

      You got ten movies that will play forever,

      Since when do movies play forever? HD-DVDs are easily scratched.

      He can hope that his HD-DVD drive in the device is just an IDE ROM, so he can just plug it in, and rip his movies to his hard drive.

      and you got an opportunity to buy a bunch of films in the very near future at fire sale prices.

      Somehow, people didn't rush out to buy VHS tapes.

      Don't minimize China's influence here, after all, old Chinese (S)VCD's are still playable on every new $30 player, some 10 years after they were obsoleted by DVDs.

      You can't minimize China's influence enough... Their attempts to follow up their minimal SVCD success have been a nightmare. They've accomplished nothing, had no impact on the outside world, and even within China, their formats are failing miserably. They're years behind, their AVS codec can't even compete with MPEG-2, they've burned their business relationship with On2, etc.

      They were able to create the SVCD standard because it was just a standard for a bitstream on disc, that only required using existing off-the-shelf parts to follow the spec. They even did a terrible job of choosing the resolution, something incompatible with both VCD and DVD, which results in nasty noisy video.

      SVCD was only nominally successful because DVD manufacturers wanted to continue to maintain CD (and MPEG-2) support for other reasons, and so it only takes a trivial amount of code to support the SVCD disc layout.

      Their attempts to define a new disc standard will be expensive, low capacity, low quality, etc. Nobody will use it inside or outside of the country.

      You will not be able to buy players, and even if you could, there would be no HD-DVD compatibility. They would have to include numerous patented video and audio codecs to ensure they can decode HD-DVDs, as well as paying for the patents on the HD-DVD disc format itself. Even if they went out of their way to do so, their players certainly wouldn't be allowed to support the AACS DRM system, necessary for playing commercial HD-DVDs.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    45. Re:I knew it... by xigxag · · Score: 1

      Since when do movies play forever? HD-DVDs are easily scratched. OK, it has nothing to do with the issue we're discussing but if you carelessly damage your media it won't play anymore, and even if you don't, we don't expect it to outlast the heat death of the universe. So I misspoke when I said forever.

      Aside from that, I think the rest of your points are excellent, and it remains to be seen how this will play out. You're absoutely right about SVCD being a simple add-on to current tech. However, I recall my first $200+ Panasonic not being able to support anything but vanilla DVD-Video and Red Book CDs, no mp3, no VCD, no mpeg, no +R/-R/+RW/-RW anything. This contrasts greatly with the current crop of $50 machines that will play almost anything written on a 12cm disc, with the notable exception of free formats like mkv, ogg, srt. My feeling is that if HD-DVD is virtually abandoned, the cheap manufacturers will be able to license the DRM cheaply and add it to their future $50 systems as a selling point, much in the same way that licensed divx and wma capability is built into many of the cheap $50 DVD players today. Even without any more movies being pressed, there's no reason why writable HD-DVD discs themselves won't persist as a cheap media storage format (cheaper than BR discs), and you'll want to be able to play back what you record on them.

      Nobody will use it inside or outside of the country. That may be the case, but the relevant issue is whether China will mandate its inclusion into next gen players. And if so, once the firmware is there, it's only a matter of time, IMO until it is made fully HD-DVD compatible. The issue for the OP is if that compatibility is in time to allow him to keep playing his current discs. At least, until they get irreparably scratched.
      --
      There are two kinds of people: 1) those who start arrays with one and 1) those who start them with zero.
    46. Re:I knew it... by evilviper · · Score: 1

      if you carelessly damage your media it won't play anymore,

      Even if you're quite careful, you can expect small scratches to form, and cause problems. HD-DVDs are much more delicate than DVDs, yet they will continue to need cleaning...

      However, I recall my first $200+ Panasonic not being able to support anything but vanilla DVD-Video and Red Book CDs, no mp3, no VCD, no mpeg

      No doubt many newer Panasonic DVD players still don't. It's simply that people are now buying Chinese-made DVD players en-masse due to lower price.

      My feeling is that if HD-DVD is virtually abandoned, the cheap manufacturers will be able to license the DRM cheaply

      The DRM on HD-DVD is the same system used on Blu-Ray. I can't imagine they're going to be desperate for money. Ditto for codec patent licenses... With cheap DVD players, the patents eat up nearly all the profits, add 2 brand new video codecs, and patents on the disc format, and even years into the future, the player won't come down to $50.

      there's no reason why writable HD-DVD discs themselves won't persist as a cheap media storage format (cheaper than BR discs)

      Actually, there is. Economies of scale have a much bigger impact than you would imagine. If you look at Flash storage, you'll see that the bigger footprint formats, which used to be far cheaper, are now more expensive than SD/MMC. It's not that PCMCIA flash was technologically cheaper previously, and more expensive now, it's just that economies of scale now heavily favor SD/MMC.

      CD-Rs are now more expensive than they have been for many years, all while DVD-Rs are getting cheaper, and will soon surpass CDs in price.

      That may be the case, but the relevant issue is whether China will mandate its inclusion into next gen players.

      China will not mandate something that will put it's companies at significant economic disadvantage. If you look at the adoption issues with EVD, you'll see that they even look the other way when a large company actively choses to violate their mandates. China is totalitarian when it comes to information, but is quite relaxed when it comes to business...
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  6. Sony formats by barista · · Score: 0

    After Betamax and the MiniDisc, maybe Sony is finally getting some luck.

    1. Re:Sony formats by sgant · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yeah, Sony needs luck...poor poor company. On it's last legs...barely alive....struggling...

      Oh wait...Sony?

      --

      "Leo Fender was in a 'state of grace' when he designed the Stratocaster." -- Paul Reed Smith
    2. Re:Sony formats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, cause the CD, DVD, 3.5 floppy were all utter failures...

    3. Re:Sony formats by PhearoX · · Score: 1

      Sony has built up quite a base of hatred among consumers... I've never had good luck with Sony products, aside of a Trinitron TV I bought 15 years ago that is still kicking. My customer service experience with Sony Online Entertainment has led me to never purchase another Sony product ever again. A simple refusal of a refund for $150 cost Sony 4 customers for LIFE. They're not going to stay in business if they continue to behave that way, I don't care how big they are. I don't want to turn this into a Sony bash-fest, but the bottom line is that history often repeats itself, and Sony has a rock-solid record of pumping out format failures and horrible customer service.

    4. Re:Sony formats by Midnight+Thunder · · Score: 1

      Oh wait...Sony?

      This being /. and all, who are we meant to hate more Sony or Microsoft?

      --
      Jumpstart the tartan drive.
    5. Re:Sony formats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are on their last it is legs? Just how many it is legs did it have?

    6. Re:Sony formats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      s/Sony/Microsoft/;

    7. Re:Sony formats by TommydCat · · Score: 1

      This being /. and all, who are we meant to hate more Sony or Microsoft?
      A: Yes. You should be hating any more of Sony as well as any more of Microsoft that you come across!
      --
      This comment does not necessarily represent the views and opinions of the author.
    8. Re:Sony formats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, Sony needs luck...poor poor company. On it's last legs...barely alive....struggling... Oh wait...Sony?
      I tend to agree with this. Any company that can build this is obviously not doing _TOO_ badly
  7. BluRay vs HD-DVD as a multimedia format? by ganesaraja12 · · Score: 1

    I'm wondering how many times the death knell for one or the other sounds. First it's no-boobs Betamax BluRay (revised I know but yea) Then it's Warner and the warning to HD-DVD What next?

  8. You win some and you lose some. by AndGodSed · · Score: 0

    Byebye betamax, hello BlueRay...

  9. They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by rucs_hack · · Score: 4, Interesting

    This thing of thinking one agreement will stop conflict has been done before.

    There is one player left who will likely fight on, that being microsoft. They absolutely don't want blu ray to succeed, because that means they lose another round to Sony.

    Should be fun seeing how they react.

    1. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by DoctorDyna · · Score: 1

      I'm hoping that if bad feelings between movie studios and Microsoft are the result, that perhaps Vista SP2 will loosen up on all the DRM crap. I'm sure that at least some of the deals they made with the MPAA to include system-slowing device polls in Vista might be lifted if they don't have as many people to keep happy.

      --
      Windows has more viruses because linux has more virus coders.
    2. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by DrXym · · Score: 2, Interesting
      There is one player left who will likely fight on, that being microsoft. They absolutely don't want blu ray to succeed, because that means they lose another round to Sony.

      Microsoft only has itself to blame if HD DVD fails. They could have bundled the HD DVD drive into the 360 (e.g. the top end "Elite" model), or promoted the external add-on more but they didn't. I suspect they know the format was doomed and didn't want any of their IP to get dragged down with it. Microsoft also have ambitions with downloadable content and may have perceived that ANY dominant physical HD format is a threat. This may explain why they've been propping up HD DVD, to prolong the war and sow confusion, but not wishing either side to actually win.

      There were even rumours circulating this week that they might licence XBox 360 technology to other manufacturers. This was probably so that Toshiba could produce some HD DVD / 360 hybrid under their own brand and keep Microsoft out of the picture if it tanked. I wonder what will happen if there was substance to that rumour. I can't help but think an HD DVD / 360 device would be stillborn so it may be the first casualty of this announcement.

    3. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by Khakionion · · Score: 1

      >I wonder what will happen if there was substance to that rumour.

      Hopefully it means what it did for Phillips with the CD-i: Soon, we'll have an absolutely fucking terrible, animated, side-scrolling Halo installment.

      Choice Master Chief quote: "I'm so hungry I could eat a Brute!"

      --
      OMG! Wau!
    4. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by ergo98 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I suspect they know the format was doomed and didn't want any of their IP to get dragged down with it.

      Microsoft has significant IP in HD-DVD, and there was no way they "knew" the format was doomed (indeed, trends for the last twelve months, with HD-DVD showing much more momentum than Blu-ray, showed quite the opposite).

      Indeed, the market hasn't spoken at all, and the likely explanation for Warner's decision was some back office hand greasing.

      Microsoft left HD-DVD out of the Xbox 360 purely for cost/profit reasons: Unlike Sony, they couldn't take a loss on a speculative next generation player simply to build a base for their home electronics division (which is exactly how Blu-ray won this war. Without the PS3, Blu-ray would have been stillborn).

      Warner's decision, and the inevitable outcome of it, is effectively a multi-billion dollar tax on the entire home electronics industry.

      But Warner got their greasing, and every consumer is going to pay for it.
    5. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by Rik+Sweeney · · Score: 1

      Should be fun seeing how they react.

      It will be, there are rumours that they're about to announce a new Xbox with an HD-DVD player built in.

    6. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by houghi · · Score: 1

      [Microsoft] absolutely don't want blu ray to succeed, because that means they lose another round to Sony.

      So we have the choice between Sony and Microsoft. Damned if you do and damned if you don't.
      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    7. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, consumers who don't give a fuck about HiDef video won't pay for it. They'll be enjoying the glut of cheap used disks and hardware as people unload their collections for the new shiny.

    8. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by DrEldarion · · Score: 1

      Since the HD-DVD drive is external to the 360, there's nothing stopping them from releasing an external Blu-ray drive, hm?

    9. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by Schnoogs · · Score: 0

      You're actually dead wrong on this. BluRay uses Microsofts codec AND Microsoft has said in the past that if the market demanded it they would come out with a BluRay player for the XBox 360.

      Microsoft trolling for the win.

    10. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      because that means they lose another round to Sony.

      What was the first round?

    11. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by rucs_hack · · Score: 1

      What was the first round?

      The Playstation, and their attempt to supplant it with the Xbox that failed.

      I've got to say though, I actually thought the Xbox was a nice piece of kit, I think myself that it was microsofts terrible business plan that stopped it doing well. By this I refer to it never making a profit.

    12. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by erareno · · Score: 1

      I thought the last format war was decided by pr0n?

      Of course, there's too much of that on the internet this time for it to be the really deciding factor this time around....

    13. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      The original Xbox barely competed with the Playstation 2, it's almost a full generation more advanced. To add to that, Microsoft had no delusions that they'd be able to outsell the PS2 with the original Xbox. The "business plan" might have been terrible, but it was a success, the Xbox was never intended to make a profit. Lastly, the Xbox 360 *is* outselling the PS3.

      So I have no clue what you're talking about.

    14. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by rucs_hack · · Score: 1

      The "business plan" might have been terrible, but it was a success, the Xbox was never intended to make a profit.

      And you think this is a good thing? Oh dear...

      Lastly, the Xbox 360 *is* outselling the PS3.

      It was released earlier, so that's not too surprising, and it's only just holding on against Wii sales at the moment. Once again it's being sold at a loss. I am amazed that this is considered to be a good thing. The 360 is not a good machine though. I've seen it, the difference in quality between it and the PS3 is rather marked. I think the PS3 is overpowered, but even before I saw it, I was unimpressed by the graphical quality of the 360.

      If microsoft can pull it together, they might be able to make some money on their next console. Right now though their games division is a big hole in the ground that has swallowed billions of dollars. If they spun it off into a seperate company it'd fold within weeks.

    15. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by WasterDave · · Score: 1

      Microsoft were never, really, fully committed though, were they? Otherwise we would have seen an HD-DVD player actually *in* the XBox 360 (and both the format and console wars would now be over).

      They'll bail, don't you worry. And there'll be a cheap BD drive for the XBox by the end of the year.

      Dave

      --
      I write a blog now, you should be afraid.
    16. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      And you think this is a good thing? Oh dear...

      Look, if I make a plan to hit myself in the head with a hammer, and I hit myself in the head with a hammer, then my plan was a success. That's the only point I was making; you can't call the Xbox a failure, because by the standards of Microsoft's plan for the Xbox it was an unqualified success.

      It was released earlier, so that's not too surprising, and it's only just holding on against Wii sales at the moment.

      Possibly.

      The 360 is not a good machine though. I've seen it, the difference in quality between it and the PS3 is rather marked.

      BS. I've played both side-by-side, and I'd be hard-pressed to tell which was which. Right now, the only thing that disguishes one console from the others is the game selection. If you're playing, say, Call of Duty 4 on an Xbox and someone next to you is playing Call of Duty 4 on PS3, nobody would be able to tell which console was which from looking at the screen. The PS3 doesn't have any kind of commanding lead in graphic or sound quality.

      It may soon have a lead because of disk capacity, but we haven't seen that so far.

      I think the PS3 is overpowered, but even before I saw it, I was unimpressed by the graphical quality of the 360.

      Well, fortunately for Microsoft, nobody else seems to think like you do.

      Considering Sony's additional year of development time, I think the Xbox 360 is doing quite well by whatever measure you choose to use. Between scrambling to do something about the Wii's controller, and scrambling to get online content available, Sony's been doing nothing but playing catch-up so far on the PS3. Maybe there'll be some greatness to the console in a couple years, but for now you might as well save the money and buy the Xbox or Wii.

    17. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by bubkus_jones · · Score: 1

      Another round?

    18. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by Mex · · Score: 1

      "But Warner got their greasing, and every consumer is going to pay for it."

      What? Not at all. I, for one, will definitely sit this one out. Let others pay for overpriced movies we bought 10 years ago.

    19. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, Microsoft surely have enough cash reserve to bribe more movie stuidos to change their mind about the HD formats? Maybe they didn't offer enough money to Warner Brothers?

    20. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by terjeber · · Score: 1

      Indeed, the market hasn't spoken at all, and the likely explanation for Warner's decision was some back office hand greasing.

      I have to disagree with this one. It seems rather unlikely that the explanation for Warner's decision was greasing given the fact that the camp that has been spending the most time with Warner trying to grease them was the HD DVD camp. In fact, the insiders claim that Tosh and MS was visiting Warner once again late last week to sway them away from Blu with somewhere between $300 and $500M in incentives, but that they got nowhere

      Warner essentially looked at the following:

      • Stay format neutral - result: Format war goes on for another three to five years at worst.
      • Go with HD DVD - result: Similar to the above, since Disney and Sony are well entrenched in the Blu camp, going HD DVD would not do anything to end the format war.
      • Go Blu exclusive - result: Probably ending the format war in early 2008.
      So, what should Warner do? Well, essentially the biggest threat to Warner revenue in the HD space is not HD DVD vs Blu-Ray, it is HD vs SD, that is Any-HD-Format vs regular DVDs. And the HD formats are not winning right now. The reason - consumers are waiting for the war to end. Even worse for Warner, market trends indicate that consumers have now put DVD purchasing on hold waiting for the end of the HDM war. That is bad news all around.

      Given any reasonable analysis of the current state of the market, going Blu was the only rational option for Warner, and they made a sound business decision. The rumor is that they got incentives from someone in the Blu production line to go Blu, in other words, lower cost of pressing Blu disks. This is not likely a very important factor for Warner given that they would probably be able to negotiate good year-over-year deals for pressing disks in the next few years. In other words, the current value of the deal, assuming the $500M is correct, is $500M, but the future value is significantly less as the cost of disk pressing goes down.

    21. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by ergo98 · · Score: 1

      A well presented argument, however it's no more convincing than it was when it came from the Warner PR department.

      One million standalone HD-DVD players were sold during 2007, and the pace was rapidly accelerating. HD-DVD media sales started rapidly eating into the blu-ray share (a share that is overwhelmingly comprised of PS3 owners, a group whose only investment in the technology was that it happened to be in their game machine). Sony's own CEO, a company that a year earlier was in a commanding lead, was declaring it a stalemate at this point because inertia and trends had HD-DVD moving to the forefront in 2008.

      HD-DVD was galloping to dominance at a rapid pace.

      Which is why all of the dated propaganda about the consumer "choosing" (meaning discovering that their game unit plays some strange new format called blu-ray) is just such ridiculous bullshit, and it's why Warner's "end move" is ridiculous in the context.

      Warner was paid off with absolute certainty, and the number was substantial.

    22. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by king-manic · · Score: 1

      There is one player left who will likely fight on, that being microsoft. They absolutely don't want blu ray to succeed, because that means they lose another round to Sony. They don't wish it to succeed but they aren't stupid. They paid off paramount to be a thorn in Sony's side. If the wind blows hard enough in on direction they will make a blu-ray attachment. They already succeeded in making this generations format war expensive for Sony. They may sign off on that victory and move on or they may have other tricks. But they aren't that invested in HD DVD while Sony bet the bank on it. I somehow doubt MS is going to push further.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    23. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by king-manic · · Score: 1

      Microsoft only has itself to blame if HD DVD fails. And if HD DVD fails only Toshiba would be seriously hurt. MS has only a very minor direct stake in HD DVD. They paid off paramount more to annoy Sony then to beat Blu-ray. They don't' make movie content, they don't press disks, they don't do anything but provide part of the software for HD DVD's. So MS is just just playing it strategically and making winning expensive for Sony hoping it will weaken their position in another equally profitable market, games. It probably worked in the US. The PS3 is not #1, and not #2. I'm not averse to it. I like my PS3 but it didn't succeed as well as Sony wanted, MS strategic manueverings with HD DVD may be part of the reason.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    24. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by terjeber · · Score: 1

      One million standalone HD-DVD players were sold during 2007, and the pace was rapidly accelerating.

      Yes, the fantasy of HD DVD fanboys. No, the pace was not accelerating at all. Even with Toshiba dumping the players at less than about 1/3 of the production cost, they were not able to sell any significant number of players, and in December of 2007, with Blu-Ray player prices significantly above that of HD DVD players, Blu-Ray standalone players out sold HD DVD.

      HD-DVD was galloping to dominance at a rapid pace.

      Again, fantasy born out of pure wishful thinking. Until the second week of December, Blu-Ray software out sold HD DVD at somewhere between 2-1 and almost 4-1. The Transformer release had close to no impact on that number, only a single blip in a single week. The Bourne release had a slightly higher impact, propelling HD DVD software to a 39% market share for the final two weeks of December. That was the peak. Without the Warner announcement last week, the HD DVD numbers would have dropped down to the normal of about 25-35% market share, and stayed there.

      Warner was paid off with absolute certainty, and the number was substantial.

      It is interesting that you claim this, but you can not substantiate it. Neither can you produce a single argument that goes against the very compelling business argument I made which makes 100% sense, but which you conveniently avoid altogether since it would burst your fanboy bubble.

      I hope you feel better soon.

    25. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by king-manic · · Score: 1

      I thought the last format war was decided by pr0n?

      Of course, there's too much of that on the internet this time for it to be the really deciding factor this time around.... It's a quaint urban myth. Both VHS and Beta had porn. At all points in their lifespans.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    26. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by ergo98 · · Score: 1

      Yes, the fantasy of HD DVD fanboys.

      Versus the fantasy of a blu-ray fanboy? Sorry, my argument is based on fact, while yours is based upon selectivity cherry picking stats to back your ridiculous argument.

      Why don't we talk about standalone player sales? How about standalone players in the final quarter of 2007?

      Right...because blu-ray was being eviscerated...

      It is interesting that you claim this, but you can not substantiate it.

      Of course I can't substantiate it -- that tends to be the nature of these sorts of bordering on illegal schemes (and yes, the HD-DVD camp engaged in it as well. I'm not defending HD-DVD, even if I'm intelligent to realize that it's a much better value proposition for consumers).
    27. Re:They hold in their hand a peice of paper.... by terjeber · · Score: 1

      Sorry, my argument is based on fact

      What argument? You stated that HD DVD was on the uptake, this simply isn't the case. In December there were more stand alone Blu-Ray players sold than there was HD DVD players. In addition there has been a significant increase in the number of PS3s sold, further widening the gap between HD DVD and Blu-Ray.

      You stated that the my and Warners argument about why WB would and should go Blu was well presented. You then state, with no arguments whatsoever, that it is wrong. If you had any facts to back up your "arguments" you would have presented them. Until you do, I have to assume they originate in your fantasy.

      How about standalone players in the final quarter of 2007?

      Ah, yes, the standard "The PS3 doesn't count" argument. Absurd. So, when NPD says that standalone Blu-Ray players outsold HD DVD players in December, that is WB and Blu-Ray fanboy fantasy? Come on. With prices dropping to $99, which is pure dumping on part of Toshiba, they still couldn't keep the sales up. Some surge!

      'm not defending HD-DVD, even if I'm intelligent to realize that it's a much better value proposition for consumers

      Wonder why you think so. Blu-Ray has higher storage capacity and 33% higher bandwidth. This means better picture quality, particularly the bandwidth. If you are going HD, why not with the highest possible quality? Blu-Ray also has a menu system that is better design than HDi with BDj. Why would the inferior technology be better? There have been burnable Blu drives in the market for quite some time, Toshiba still hasn't been able to deliver a burner that works. How is that better for the consumer?

      The HD DVD camp has primarily harped on two points. The first is the lack of 1.1 and 2.0 capable players in the Blu camp. OK, fine. 1.1 is now in the box, and 2.0 is approaching fast. The early adopters have not had any problems with this, but the consumer in general would struggle a little. Given that they mostly have bought PS3s, that's not an issue in reality since the PS3 is software upgradeable to 1.1 and 2.0, and this is basically transparent to the end user.

      The second point from the HD DVD camp has been DRM. For the end user that is irrelevant.

  10. A win for DRM. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Doesn't it also have region coding where HD-DVD does not, not to mention AACS BD+?

    1. Re:A win for DRM. by Jugalator · · Score: 2, Informative

      HD-DVD supports AACS, Blu-ray supports AACS, region coding, BD+.

      That may in part be why Blu-ray seems to be winning this "war".

      But in either case, AnyDVD can decrypt all of that, yes, including BD+.

      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
  11. The Cost is Way Overboard by SerpentMage · · Score: 1

    Ok, So here in Switzerland I can get the average DVD for around 14.99 CHF to about 24.99 CHF (MediaMarkt). I saw a blue ray movie and it was 44.99 CHF and could not believe it. Why in the heck would somebody pay nearly double the price so that you can see the butt pimple of an actor? Maybe one or two movies you want to see the butt pimple, but in general no way...

    --

    "You can't make a race horse of a pig"
    "No," said Samuel, "but you can make very fast pig"
    1. Re:The Cost is Way Overboard by Jugalator · · Score: 1

      Ok, So here in Switzerland I can get the average DVD for around 14.99 CHF to about 24.99 CHF (MediaMarkt). I saw a blue ray movie and it was 44.99 CHF and could not believe it. Why in the heck would somebody pay nearly double the price so that you can see the butt pimple of an actor? Maybe one or two movies you want to see the butt pimple, but in general no way... First, you need to answer this one: if you don't care for HD movies and butt pimples, why do you care about their higher prices?

      Second, what I think you might have been seeing is classic DVD movies being released in HD formats? These are normally far more expensive in HD format, mostly not because they're in HD, but because they're new releases. I see the same pricing here. However, if I look at e.g. Pirates of the Caribbean III, it's 299 SEK as Blu-ray, 179 SEK as DVD. An older movie like Blood Diamond is however 239 SEK as Blu-ray and HD-DVD, and 119 SEK as DVD. I think this is pretty common to see, and the differences will probably lessen in time. DVD's were also ridiculously priced compared to VHS tapes once upon a time.
      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
    2. Re:The Cost is Way Overboard by Dogtanian · · Score: 1

      Why in the heck would somebody pay nearly double the price so that you can see the butt pimple of an actor? Eh, I'm sure that there are enough geeks out there who'd pay the money if they thought it would give them a better chance of seeing something like a couple of supposed stray pubes peeking out the edge of Natalie Portman's swimming costume in some beach scene or other.
      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
    3. Re:The Cost is Way Overboard by SerpentMage · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The movie I was looking at was Spiderman 3...

      So tell me... You are prepared to pay almost double for Pirates of the Caribbean 3? This is a scam that the big movie theater companies are running to get you to pony up more money for the same darn content...

      Think of it as follows. You are buying a digital camera. Regular DVD is your phone camera, and BlueRay is your 10 Megapixel camera. The cost of generating the picture is higher with the 10 Megapixel. The cost of displaying the higher content is also higher, but that is not a function of the movie theater since they are not carrying the costs. So you could argue that highdef DVD would cost more, but to the tune of what you have illustrated?

      Yet here is the kicker, all of this would make sense if the movie theaters actually needed to invest in new equipment. They don't they already generate high def and thus whether they move the DIGITAL content to DVD or BlueRay is a question of using the proper encoder. In other words content should cost only a small fraction more.

      Yet your examples illustrate a minimum price hike of 80% for more content? Sorry but you are getting duped here on a major scale.

      This is a scam that the movie theaters are doing so that you will pay more for movies so that actors can get paid more...

      Sorry not with my money!

      --

      "You can't make a race horse of a pig"
      "No," said Samuel, "but you can make very fast pig"
    4. Re:The Cost is Way Overboard by billcopc · · Score: 1

      You think Blu-ray is overpriced ? I still think DVDs are overpriced, but then so are movie tickets and popcorn.

      I think the market has proven, if anything, that everything in Hollywood is inflated.

      I've watched HD movies, and they didn't lower my opinion of standard-def at all. I do appreciate hi-def for sports, because it's so damned hard to follow that blurred little puck/ball otherwise, but for movies they can actually worsen the experience. For one, 1080 makes any poor special effects stand out like Rosie O'Donnell in Ethiopia.

      There are very few things that benefit from the hi-def treatment. Fortunately for me, I don't care about most of them.

      --
      -Billco, Fnarg.com
    5. Re:The Cost is Way Overboard by Dirtside · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure I'm going to trust the analysis of someone who says that the movie theater companies are the ones behind Blu-Ray...

      --
      "Destroy science and religion. Science would re-emerge exactly the same; but not religion." - Penn Jillette, paraphrased
    6. Re:The Cost is Way Overboard by bigstrat2003 · · Score: 1

      I generally see DVDs ranging in price here in the US from $15-$20 (excluding box sets, of course). I see Blu-Ray movies ranging from $20-$30, depending on how new they are. I don't really feel that's much of a price increase.

      --
      "16MB (fuck off, MiB fascists)" - The Mighty Buzzard
    7. Re:The Cost is Way Overboard by roguetrick · · Score: 1

      Its a mistranslation you insensitive clod! He means the studios.

      --
      -The world would be a better place if everyone had a hoverboard
    8. Re:The Cost is Way Overboard by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      So tell me... You are prepared to pay almost double for Pirates of the Caribbean 3?

      I pay zero extra for a Blu-Ray disc from Netflix vs. a DVD.

      But for a movie I really like? I absolutely would pay 2x-3x more for a far better picture and better audio.

      After all, you can get a VHS tape for about 10x less than a DVD of the same movie now... people still buy DVD's. If you're owning a movie, aren't you probably going to be just as concerned about quality as price?

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    9. Re:The Cost is Way Overboard by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      The real issue here is that both HDDVD and BD produce the same picture for all practical purposes. Yes, one has more space, but if all the movie requires is 15-30GB, either format will do fine. Honestly, I don't like Sony. Here's a company who's tried to rootkit your system, and appears to have every intention of inforinging upon your fair use rights.

      I'd rather go with the consortium on this one, not to mention that the collection of movies I received with the player more than paid for the player.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    10. Re:The Cost is Way Overboard by king-manic · · Score: 1

      Here's a company who's tried to rootkit your system, and appears to have every intention of inforinging upon your fair use rights. vs a Company who gives you a rootkit disguised as a OS (VISTA)?

      Forgetting the fallacy of one stake holder behind both formats; it's like pontificating on weather you'll buy a Volkswagen or Mitsubishi based on what evils those two companies did in WWII.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
    11. Re:The Cost is Way Overboard by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      vs a Company who gives you a rootkit disguised as a OS (VISTA)?

      Forgetting the fallacy of one stake holder behind both formats; it's like pontificating on weather you'll buy a Volkswagen or Mitsubishi based on what evils those two companies did in WWII. What's funny about that is that HD DVD players run Linux. I think MS's support for HD DVD is more about HD DVD not depending upon Java than anything else. (That makes MS/Gates sound more like Apple/Jobs...:)
      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    12. Re:The Cost is Way Overboard by king-manic · · Score: 1

      What's funny about that is that HD DVD players run Linux. I think MS's support for HD DVD is more about HD DVD not depending upon Java than anything else. (That makes MS/Gates sound more like Apple/Jobs...:) I found an entry on a 3rd party linux HDDVD player on wikipedia and some instructions on how to mod existing players to play blu-ray and HD-DVD on the UBUNTU forums if you know a player key such as the 360 HD-DVD player key but I didn't find the actual third party app. Is the wikipedia entry referring to the UBUNTU hacks or to a legitimate OSS or proprietary player? I somehow doubt that avoiding Java was the only or even principle consideration in going with MS's solution.
      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
  12. For the sake of the root kits! by Marbleless · · Score: 1

    A homogenous standard is long overdue which has been the main handicap in the development of new and better root kits.

    Yay! Now root kits can evolve to their full potential! ;)

    I was going to add a remark about welcoming our new Sony root kit based overlords, but I'll leave that for someone with limited imagination :)

    --
    --I thought I was wrong once, but I was mistaken.
    1. Re:For the sake of the root kits! by backbyter · · Score: 1

      I for one welcome our new Sony root kit based overlords.

  13. Could be the end by DrXym · · Score: 1

    It's possible yet HD DVD might make some studios play musical chairs. But failing that I think the writing is on the wall for the format. HD DVD owners should probably take heart that there are going to be some excellent firesales and at least Toshiba and probably others are bound to produce hybrid players that play both titles for some time to come.

  14. Money from both camps. by vodevil · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Microsoft shouldn't care too much if blu-ray succeeds. The VC-1 codec that most blu-ray movies uses needs to be licensed from Microsoft. Money in their pocket either way.

    1. Re:Money from both camps. by deniable · · Score: 1

      Yes, but if there was a Sony product that plays Bluray and directly competes against a Microsoft product that plays HD DVD, I think Microsoft might not be so happy.

    2. Re:Money from both camps. by Wdomburg · · Score: 1

      Actually VC-1 is used on only 28.05% of current releases. The predominant format is still MPEG-2 at 36.09% followed by AVC at 35.86%.

    3. Re:Money from both camps. by robmv · · Score: 1

      It matters to them, if Blu-ray wins they will need to license Java again

    4. Re:Money from both camps. by jc66 · · Score: 1

      It's not quite true about VC-1 being used on most movies. At the higher bitrate that blueray allows the AVC codec produces what are generally agreed to be better results, and now there are no more dual format releases, expect to see that used more and more.

    5. Re:Money from both camps. by antibryce · · Score: 1

      It's not about the money for MS, they're concerned about mindshare. Sony beating them on something like this will seriously dent their XBox 360 sales.

    6. Re:Money from both camps. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Microsoft can turn around and release a BluRay player for the 360 tomorrow. The HD-DVD is not built in and has nothing to do with the primary function (gaming) of the 360.

    7. Re:Money from both camps. by pajor · · Score: 1

      They care because they want both hd formats to fail just like apple does. They want xbox live to win.

      --
      Gnuyen
    8. Re:Money from both camps. by random0xff · · Score: 1

      Microsoft would rather continue the 'war' because they can offer peace with downloadable movies (based of course on Windows Server 2010 Movie Studio Edition).

    9. Re:Money from both camps. by Basehart · · Score: 3, Informative

      H-264 is set to replace VC-1 pretty much exclusively, especially now that Microsoft is out of the picture (geddit).

    10. Re:Money from both camps. by FatherOfONe · · Score: 1

      Man I would LOVE to be Sun at the table on that discussion.

      --
      The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
    11. Re:Money from both camps. by evilviper · · Score: 1

      H-264 is set to replace VC-1 pretty much exclusively

      H.264 is much better than VC-1, BUT, since VC-1 is required in players, and has been used on numerous titles already, Microsoft will be getting per-player VC-1 decoder royalties long, long into the future.

      It would have been smarter to go with h.264 exclusively as the next-gen codec and avoid VC-1 licensing all-together. Not only is h.264 better quality, but the licensing is actually cheaper. MPEG-2 can stay, if only because the patents will expire in a couple years.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  15. About time... by gEvil+(beta) · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I was wondering when this was going to make it to the front page. I've had an HD DVD player for the past few months, along with about 20 movies for it (half are HD DVD exclusives). I've been perfectly pleased with it, and I'm not particularly bitter about being on the "losing" side of things. Eventually I'll pick up a BD player, once the prices come down a bit more, and hopefully once they sort out their profile issues (c'mon, the ability to do PIP was only recently added, 1-1/2 years after the format came out). And I'm still hopeful that dual-format players will be available for a while to come, especially since there aren't too many hardware differences between the two formats. I think the most sensible thing for the HD DVD consortium to do would be to drop their licensing fees before too long, specifically to allow hardware manufacturers to add HD DVD capabilities to their players for little extra cost. Of course, there are still two studios that are HD DVD exclusive at the moment, and I'm sure Toshiba/MS/et al are going to try to fight it out till the bitter end. Oh well, c'est la vie.

    --
    This guy's the limit!
    1. Re:About time... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The HD-DVD consortium (Toshiba and the rest of the DVD Forum) have long welcomed a dual mode player. The BluRay consortium (Sony) have to date refused to allow it.

      Of course, it was Sony's refusal to play with others that created BluRay in the first place. They're still bitter about having to share the credit (licensing fees) on DVD. The whole format war has been about Sony controlling the format so they can get their take.

    2. Re:About time... by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      LG produces dual-mode players. They're expensive, but they exist, so it's incorrect to suggest that anyone has refused to allow such a thing.

      As for the second comment, it's a little more complex than that.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    3. Re:About time... by AC5398 · · Score: 1

      Me too.

      I'm happy with the hd-dvd unit I bought and the titles I own; the freakin picture is awesome.

      When a blu-ray title comes out that I have to have, then I'll purchase a ps3 and the title. Until then, the whole format war is very meh.

  16. Could MS release a Blu-Ray addon? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I dont know how much SOny would charge them to license it, but I think it would be hilarious if MS could find a way to release a Blu-Ray drive for the 360.

    if the 360 had blu-ray there would be no reason to own a PS3.

    1. Re:Could MS release a Blu-Ray addon? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I dont know how much SOny would charge them to license it ... if the 360 had blu-ray there would be no reason to own a PS3.

      I wouldn't hold your breath on that idea.

    2. Re:Could MS release a Blu-Ray addon? by DrXym · · Score: 1

      They'd be charged exactly the same as any other producer. As for there being no reason to own a PS3, I'd suggest that wifi, free networking, web browser, superior multimedia capabilities as well as games being able to use the full blu ray capacity are reasons that a PS3 would still be superior to a 360 even one equipped with a blu ray drive.

  17. Heh, there's a first! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sony actually won a format standard!

    *goes ice skating in hell with the singing fat lady*

    1. Re:Heh, there's a first! by grapes911 · · Score: 1, Informative

      Yes, a first. I makes me sick to think of all the Sony format players that I bought and then became utterly useless because of no media -- DVDs, CDs, foppies . . .

  18. Screw Blu-Ray... by yeremein · · Score: 2, Funny

    Screw HD-DVD too.

    I'm holding out for Gamma-Ray.

    1. Re:Screw Blu-Ray... by DoctorDyna · · Score: 1

      Shh, I told you not to talk about that yet!

      --
      Windows has more viruses because linux has more virus coders.
    2. Re:Screw Blu-Ray... by v1 · · Score: 1

      But then your disk would turn green and get angry if you scratchd it.

      --
      I work for the Department of Redundancy Department.
    3. Re:Screw Blu-Ray... by morari · · Score: 1

      Isn't that what the Fantastic Four did?

      --
      "He who can destroy a thing, controls a thing." --Paul Atreides, Dune
    4. Re:Screw Blu-Ray... by Tumbleweed · · Score: 1

      I'm holding out for Gamma-Ray.

      I wouldn't - the other name for Gamma Ray is GreenRay: look what it did to Bruce Banner!

  19. not dead yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    HD DVD isnt dead yet. It's still cheaper than blu ray so it has a chance.

    Anyway, I can't wait for the next format battle .. will it be flourescent multilayer discs .. or a tech where the laser shines through multiple layers and the bytes of data is determined by the brightness after some error correction algorithms and realtime calibration of course.

    1. Re:not dead yet by DrXym · · Score: 1

      HD DVD players have been cheaper because it's been subsidized thus far. Blu Ray hasn't had that luxury since a consortium of manufacturers are making devices. Even so, BD players are already under $300 and the chances are that they'll be fall below $200 too this year.

    2. Re:not dead yet by |Cozmo| · · Score: 1

      Do you have any sources for hd dvd players being subsidized?

    3. Re:not dead yet by DrXym · · Score: 1

      It's obvious they are. The components of Blu Ray and HD DVD players barely differ in any significant way. They use the same blue violet laser diodes, they require similar hardward to implement the same codecs. There is no reason whatsoever for either format to significantly differ in terms of price.

  20. Guess this means... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...Apple will be releasing a BlueRay drive equipped MacPro for the video industry soon.

    Yippie!!! I just hate backing up my HUGE music/video library to paltry DVD's.

  21. The format wars have only just begun by Marcion · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I am ignoring both of this broken format.

    I won't buy any except perhaps some Chinese DRM free HD extended EVD. Or even just huge hard-drives. In five years time we will have 10 terabyte hard-drives as standard. Blueray disks are 25 Gb single layer and 50GB dual layer. A ten terabyte hard-drive can hold 200 to 400 of these films.

    1. Re:The format wars have only just begun by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't forget that the DVD Forum (supporters of the HD-DVD format) has officially approved the "China HD-DVD" format.

    2. Re:The format wars have only just begun by Midnight+Thunder · · Score: 1

      I won't buy any except perhaps some Chinese DRM free HD extended EVD. Or even just huge hard-drives. In five years time we will have 10 terabyte hard-drives as standard. Blueray disks are 25 Gb single layer and 50GB dual layer. A ten terabyte hard-drive can hold 200 to 400 of these films.

      That's probably going to be the ultimate irony. Just as soon as the HD-DVD vs Bluray war is considered won, you will suddenly find all your new drives support extended EVD, even if it is by 'debug menu' and usurping the winner. Things are probably going to get weirder still, since there are also holographic discs which are meant to making it to market in a few years.

      --
      Jumpstart the tartan drive.
  22. RTFA CmdrTaco by Udo+Schmitz · · Score: 3, Informative
    1. Re:RTFA CmdrTaco by gEvil+(beta) · · Score: 0, Redundant

      From now on? "Now" as in "May"?

      You missed Taco's story about the perfection of the time machine? Oh wait, that's still posted in "the mysterious future".

      --
      This guy's the limit!
    2. Re:RTFA CmdrTaco by Tim+C · · Score: 1
      Editors read the article?

      RTFFAQ Udo Schmitz:

      How do you verify the accuracy of Slashdot stories?

      We don't. You do. :) If something seems outrageous, we might look for some corroboration, but as a rule, we regard this as the responsibility of the submitter and the audience. This is why it's important to read comments. You might find something that refutes, or supports, the story in the main.
      Linky.
  23. Not likely by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Studios forget their history rather quickly. Back when DVDs where first coming out Circuit City came up with a competing format called DIVX (no, not the video codec, they just stole the name). The idea was that DIVX players could play DVDs, but also DIVX discs which were "enhanced" DVDs which you'd buy for cheap but then have to rent to play. Studios just loved the idea and a number like Fox, Paramount, and Dreamworks decided to release only on DIVX. Well as it turned out, that didn't matter. Consumers didn't like it, so they didn't buy it. DIVX died and it cost Circuit City a couple hundred million for their trouble.

    So just because some studios are initially backing Blu Ray doesn't mean anything in the long run. They'll release their movies for whatever format consumers decide to buy, or they'll go out of business.

    Also please remember we are a long, long way from any sort of critical point in the HD format move. It is going to be much slower than DVD, which wasn't all that fast. See with DVD, there was a reason for everyone to upgrade. Even if you had a small, crappy, TV, DVD was still better. The picture was generally better even on poor sets, but picture quality aside the other features were more important. No degradation, no rewinding, instant seeking, special features, smaller size, all these things added up to something that was worthwhile for everyone to purchase, regardless of what they watched on.

    Not so for HD formats. The only benefit is image quality (and possibly sound quality for the few titles mastered with the new formats). Well, this means that the only people who are going to notice a difference are those who own HD TVs, which aren't all that many people at this point. Even if you do own an HD TV, the gain is marginal. No new features or anything, just a better picture. That's nice, but not a big deal especially since upconverting DVD players give an amazingly nice picture and since not all discs come from a high enough quality transfer to really look nice.

    So it is a good while yet before there starts to be a critical mass of HD formats and there's any sort of victory in the HD war.

    Finally, it is entirely possible neither format will win. It may be that dual format players become the norm and both formats continue to survive. This is rather feasible since both formats are on the same size disc, both use AACS encryption, both use the same video and audio codecs and so on. Indeed, there's a couple of companies working on dual format players right now. So it very well could work out that both formats continue to be released by different studios.

    But to say that this is the end of the format wars is just wishful thinking.

    1. Re:Not likely by gEvil+(beta) · · Score: 2, Informative

      It is going to be much slower than DVD, which wasn't all that fast.

      Wasn't DVD the fastest that any consumer electronics device/format has ever been adopted? I seem to recall seeing that a few places.

      --
      This guy's the limit!
    2. Re:Not likely by internic · · Score: 1

      See with DVD, there was a reason for everyone to upgrade. Even if you had a small, crappy, TV, DVD was still better. The picture was generally better even on poor sets, but picture quality aside the other features were more important... Not so for HD formats. The only benefit is image quality... Well, this means that the only people who are going to notice a difference are those who own HD TVs, which aren't all that many people at this point.

      Moreover, it's really only people with HD TVs who usually watch them from a position where the screen fills up a large enough solid angle of their field of view that they can resolve the difference in image quality. Meaning, you have to have the right combination of having a big enough TV, sitting close enough to it, and having good enough eyesight.

      --
      "You call it a new way of thinking; I call it regression to ignorance!" -- Operation Ivy
    3. Re:Not likely by The+Living+Fractal · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Indeed, there's a couple of companies working on dual format players right now. So it very well could work out that both formats continue to be released by different studios.

      Welcome to last year, when LG released the first dual-format player. BTW, are you aboslutely sure these 'couple of companies' (reference please?) are still going to be working on these players now that Warner has said they're going Blu-Ray only? Absolutely?

      You sound like someone who either 1) Owns a 360 w/HD-DVD player and no PS3 OR 2) Owns an HD-DVD player AND a bunch of movies in that format. Well, it was a gamble. I gambled buying the PS3 and a bunch of Blu-ray movies. Seems like a good idea now. Not so much for yourself. Oh well, shit happens.
      --
      I do not respond to cowards. Especially anonymous ones.
    4. Re:Not likely by cnettel · · Score: 1

      Heck, silly me who believed I can use my 15.4" WUXGA laptop...

    5. Re:Not likely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree and add this....

      I recently purchased a 37" 720p display ($720), upgraded the satelite with a HD package ($5 per month got a free DVR because of a mistake) and bought a upconverting DVD player ($45). The true HD content is quite good and the difference is noticable. I have an older 42", "HDTV Ready" display, that is used primarily for watching movies that I can now compare images. With a good source, there is a noticable difference in picture quality. As for watching DVDs that I own (buy 'em on sale $9 or less), the upconverting player utilizes the HDMI link to the display and I am quite impressed with the picture quality and sound of just the standard format DVDs. Owing to this, I am in no hurry to upgrade to either BlueRay or HD-DVD. The one deciding factor will probably be decided by the fact that I own many Playstation titles and the PS3 is a BlueRay player. Am I going to be buying BlueRay movies? For that to happen, the price has to be right. $9 or less.

      The media will drive the hardware. I raid the $5 bins at Walmart and check my local rental place, mom-n-pops place, often (good, clean used disks for $5).

    6. Re:Not likely by Raisey-raison · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I have to say that I disagree with the statement that 'the gain is marginal'. Once you get used to watching HD stuff you don't want to go back. People often say that about some new improvement in some media. I also think that 2007 was the breakout year for HDTV in terms of consumers. There were/are a lot of affordable HDTVs available. According to TVPredictions.com. U.S. installed base is now estimated at 30 million sets. The Consumer Electronics Association is predicting that for 2008 25.3-million HDTV units will be sold. I would say then that in 18 months time HDTV will go from optional extra to mainstream. The potential market for HD players will be huge. http://www.informationweek.com/news/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=205207879&subSection=All+Stories

      There are 2 inhibitory factors. Firstly the we have the cost issiue. Blue-ray disks are so expensive right now. I think the studios are sabotaging themselves by charging so much money for them. It's easy to forget that although in the US GDP per capita has gone up like crazy since the 1970s that's really only benefited a small segment of society - 10%. The only way the average Joe has done better is by both partners working and not by much. Since 1980, US gross domestic product (HDP) per capita has increased 67%[1], while median household income has only increased by 15%. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Median_household_income For individual income the situation is even worse. In 1970 adult US median income in 2004 dollars was $28,100. In 2004 it was $30,513. Thats only 8.6% higher in 34 years in real terms. But now people have significant college loans to pay back. In real terms many are poorer as a consequence. So people have very little wiggle room. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Personal_income_in_the_United_States

      Of course if you want to market stuff to the top 1% with average income above $1.7 million (aprox for 2006) then you can sell them fancy shit. But not the the average Joe. Big corporations need to remember that using debt to get people to buy more stuff only works in the short term. Eventually people get maxed out - like now. Then all of a sudden people can't afford any higher prices. If the studios had any sense of their own best interest they would make peace in the format war, charge for an HD disk what a regular DVD now costs and discount DVDs. Within 2 years we would all see massive uptake of the new technology and everyone would be a winner.

      The second inhibitory factor is the format war and its consequences. I bought my first DVD player for my computer in 1998. I would buy an HD player now if there was not a format war. It looks to me that this war is stalemated for now. I see downloads becoming more and more prevalent as people wait for the HD war to resolve itself. The thing is though, that by 2013, maybe even by 2012, there will be enough bandwidth so that most US high speed connections will be able to download HD content. Now there will be DRM issues and storage issues. But I am betting they will figure that stuff out. But Apple, Microsoft, Lg-Netflix ect will be providing the service and making money and Sony and Toshiba will be cut out completely. Of course Sony's studio will still make money from such a model.

      This is such a shame. I would prefer a physical medium that works right now. It would also provide competition to downloads so that they wouldn't otherwise be able to have such extreme DRM terms and conditions.

    7. Re:Not likely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Circuit City came up with a competing format called DIVX (no, not the video codec, they just stole the name).

      They didn't steal it, they made a mockery of it. That's why the name of the video codec was DivX ;) - with a smile at the end.

    8. Re:Not likely by DrEldarion · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So just because some studios are initially backing Blu Ray doesn't mean anything in the long run. They'll release their movies for whatever format consumers decide to buy, or they'll go out of business. This isn't "some" studios. This is "almost all" studios. Paramount and Universal are the only major studios left supporting HD-DVD (minor: Weinstein, Focus). Contrast that with Sony Pictures, Buena Vista, Warner, Fox, and New Line supporting Blu-ray (minor: Lionsgate, MGM, Screen Gems, Searchlight, Miramax). Even prior to this change, Blu-ray movies were outselling HD-DVD movies 2:1 - this move will probably push that to 3:1 or further. (In other countries besides the US, the ratio is even higher. Up to 9:1 in Japan, I believe.)

      Finally, it is entirely possible neither format will win. It may be that dual format players become the norm and both formats continue to survive. I agree with your first statement but not your second. HD-DVD is pretty much dead at this point - there is much more hardware support, much more studio support, and much more retail support for Blu-ray.

      Blu-ray's biggest threat now is digital distribution. Sadly, what's holding this back is the cluelessness of media corporations. Remember how horribly the music studios handled music distribution online? Yeah.
    9. Re:Not likely by benzapp · · Score: 1

      Not so for HD formats. The only benefit is image quality (and possibly sound quality for the few titles mastered with the new formats). Well, this means that the only people who are going to notice a difference are those who own HD TVs, which aren't all that many people at this point. Even if you do own an HD TV, the gain is marginal. No new features or anything, just a better picture. That's nice, but not a big deal especially since upconverting DVD players give an amazingly nice picture and since not all discs come from a high enough quality transfer to really look nice.

      Yawn. Another kid posting about something with which he has no experience. There is a significant difference betwenn DVD and HD when you have the right equipment. Especially as screens become bigger, the necessity of an HD format will become even greater. I have a 50" set, and while my PS3 does an amazing job upscaling DVD discs, upscaling isn't perfect and there are quite a few settings you have to play with to get the best picture. Even when you do that, it's still nothing like a blu ray disc.

      The sound however, is another matter entirely. I can barely stand to listen to the sound from typical DVD discs. The sound is highly compressed and always sounds flat compared to an audio cd (SACD in particular) or a blu ray disc.

      Everyone I have ever met notices a big difference between HD content and DVD content. I just don't understand how or why people repeat such ignorance.

      --
      I don't read or respond to AC posts
    10. Re:Not likely by Midnight+Thunder · · Score: 1

      Welcome to last year, when LG released the first dual-format player. BTW, are you aboslutely sure these 'couple of companies' (reference please?) are still going to be working on these players now that Warner has said they're going Blu-Ray only? Absolutely?

      I suppose it comes down to how much dual format costs LG, and other companies, and whether they consider that Bluray has really won. Only time will tell.

      --
      Jumpstart the tartan drive.
    11. Re:Not likely by Thagg · · Score: 1

      I'm curious what the resolution of your display is -- you know, the one you're looking at right now. If it's more than 720x480, (and it is) then you can hardly say that resolution doesn't matter to people.

      We were watching my Academy screener of Charlie Wilson's War on my wife's new iMac (just because it was a new toy) and I was amazed how bad image looked. There were compression artifacts all over the place, and the resolution of the image was such that everything looked blurry all the time [well, when it wasn't blocky]. Now, I am sure that a screener doesn't have the level of compression sweetening/optimization that a commercial DVD release has, but if we had been watching this on bluRay, it would have looked far, far better even with hamfisted compression.

      Playing DVDs in their native format on a Mac shows a tiny little window in the middle of the screen. That's just not a realistic choice in 2008, certainly it won't be in 2010.

      I am a huge fan of the show "Sunrise Earth" on HDNet. Every frame of any one of their "episodes" looks better than any frame of any DVD.

      Thad Beier

      --
      I love Mondays. On a Monday, anything is possible.
    12. Re:Not likely by Snowmit · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There is a significant difference between DVD and HD when you have the right equipment.

      Err you just supported his argument, which is that HD might be nicer for people who have HD TVs most people don't have HD TVs and that beyond the HD nicer picture there is no compelling reason to upgrade. Sure, with the right equipment you don't ever want to go back. But most people don't have that yet.

      --
      I have a lot of opinions about Cyborgs and Architects
    13. Re:Not likely by fotbr · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Yawn, another schmuck who has to convince himself that the money spent on his HD setup was worth it.

      I've got a 1080p display, HDDVD (via laptop & HDMI) and BluRay (PS3), and ya know what? I don't give a damn about HD. The quality improvement (and yes, there is a difference) doesn't fucking matter to me. There's so little thats actually WORTH buying, that the quality of the picture is a moot point.

      But go on with your elitist attitude about how fucking special you are and how anyone who doesn't agree that HD is the most amazing thing in the world is just a kid who doesn't know any better.

      Of course, I'm also in the camp that thinks the Wii is every bit as as good as the PS3 and 360, because graphics don't matter as much to me as content, which pisses other elitists off as well. I'd guess from your posting that you see the Wii as a toy, and think that "real" gamers won't touch it.

    14. Re:Not likely by internic · · Score: 1

      Well sure, if it's on your lap or desk it fill up a pretty big solid angle. Watching things that close for extended periods of time my contribute to eye strain, though.

      That is one of the things that's amusing about all the HD TV fuss: On the computer you've had the capacity for an HD picture for years.

      --
      "You call it a new way of thinking; I call it regression to ignorance!" -- Operation Ivy
    15. Re:Not likely by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1


      More like it comes down to whether the hardware manufacturers consider dual-format to be a big enough selling point to justify the cost. The actual technologies are very, very similar. I don't know how it affects R&D, but I'd make an educated guess that the manufacturing cost of a dual-format player is barely different to the manufacturing cost of a single-formet player. In which case hands up who here would pay a few pounds more for a dual-format player over one that could play only BD or HD? Yep, most of us. Even if you don't currently own any discs of a particular format, you'll prefer to have something that can handle both if it doesn't cost you much extra.

      Once dual-format players become the norm, the format war is going to be all about technical advantages. And I think HD edges Blue-Ray out in this regard.

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    16. Re:Not likely by greg_barton · · Score: 1

      Even if you do own an HD TV, the gain is marginal.

      I'm with you on the rest of your post, but have to disagree here. 1080p vs standard res is like night and day. Just watch "300" on DVD vs an HD format. It's really a more enjoyable experience.
    17. Re:Not likely by Quarters · · Score: 1
      DIVX wasn't enhanced DVD. For the most part DIVX releases had LESS content on them then their DVD equivalents. DIVX was touted as a disposable format. You'd buy a disc for cheap, and then have to have your DIVX player phone home to Circuit City to authorize it. Then you were allowed to play the disc for a predetermined time (24 hrs, 48 hrs, etc...). After that the disc would become unusable. Circuit City thought they could kill Blockbuster with the idea of not having to drive back to the store to return the disc. Never mind that you still had to drive somewhere to buy another crippled DIVX disc to watch.

      That asinine idea, coupled with the fact that you could only purchase DIVX players at Circuit City was what killed that format. It was just a stupid idea from front to back.

    18. Re:Not likely by Midnight+Thunder · · Score: 1

      And I think HD edges Blue-Ray out in this regard.

      Technical advantages aren't always what wins the battle, as the VHS vs Betamax war battles showed us - Betamax was considered to be the superior product.

      --
      Jumpstart the tartan drive.
    19. Re:Not likely by Basehart · · Score: 1

      "This isn't "some" studios. This is "almost all" studios. Paramount and Universal are the only major studios left supporting HD-DVD"

      It gets better. The parent mentioned that Paramount and Dreamworks decided to release only on DIVX during the Circuit City scam - the same two studios who are releasing only on HD-DVD ;-)

    20. Re:Not likely by The+Living+Fractal · · Score: 1

      Prices for the dual format player today are in the range of $500-800, depending on your source. Retail they are at least $699. On eBay you can probably get one for $500.

      Contrast this with the PS3 which is $399 after the recent price drop and the fact that Warner has signed on for Blu-Ray officially now, and you ask yourself if that $100-$300 extra is worth the ability to play HD-DVDs at all.

      But let's take it another step. Let's say you want to either buy the Dual Format player, or you want to buy the PS3 AND a stand-alone HD-DVD player.

      The current cheapest you can get these stand-alone HD-DVD players is roughly $150, again, from eBay. Add that $150 to the $399 for the PS3 and now you can play both formats AND you get the gaming and media server/internet/extras of the PS3 to boot. Or you can get none of the potential of the PS3 and just get the dual format player (which I might mention has been known to have issues.)

      Which one would you pick? To me, getting the PS3 right now is a given. For $399 it's the cheapest (and also one of the best) Blu-Ray players you can buy. Not only that, it finally has some decent games and more on the horizon AND it can server a media server that hooks up to your computer. It can also replace any older DVD player you might have as well, and upscales them quite nicely.

      The clear choice is getting the PS3. If you really want then you can get HD-DVD for the $150 later. But at this point it's not going to be a very smart move until HD-DVD does something to swing favor back towards them after this recent Warner Decsision.

      --
      I do not respond to cowards. Especially anonymous ones.
    21. Re:Not likely by benzapp · · Score: 1

      Did you read his quote? He said "Even if you do own an HD TV, the gain is marginal. "

      My point is the gain is significant! (Gee, do you think that's the reason I used that word?

      --
      I don't read or respond to AC posts
    22. Re:Not likely by benzapp · · Score: 1

      Dude, I live in New York City and make more in a year than you probably have made in your lifetime. Trust me, having a $2500 television doesn't mean shit to me or anyone I know.

      Having a $2500 bar tab though, that's a whole other story.

      --
      I don't read or respond to AC posts
    23. Re:Not likely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They'll release their movies for whatever format consumers decide to buy, or they'll go out of business.

      In this instance it's more a case of "Consumers will buy whatever format the studios decide to release." The dynamic is important, and it's different than what existed in the Betamax days.

      It is going to be much slower than DVD, which wasn't all that fast.

      The move to DVD was the fastest home technology transition in history, as I recall...even to this day. However, I agree that the HD movement will likely not be as fast. I'm not quite to the point yet where I'm willing to fork out add additional $400 to get at 32" TV, just because it's HD, and I'm not spending any money at all on a high def DVD player until I have the TV to play it on meaningfully.

      Finally, it is entirely possible neither format will win.

      Define "win." One or the other (almost certainly Blu-Ray, unless Sony stumbles badly on a rootkit-level scale) will be the predominant format for several years. Probably a decade, maybe two. Then something else will replace it, just as it's currently replacing DVD. But certainly "DVD" must be considered as having been a winner.

    24. Re:Not likely by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1


      All of which ignores the point I made - that by the time HD vs. BD would be anywhere close to settled, prices will have come down enormously in all areas. As I said already, the difference in manufacturing cost between dual- and single-format players will be very small and given that it is a strong selling point, you'll see them everywhere.

      Asking whether people are willing to pay an extra $100-300 for dual format is meaningless when most people aren't willing to pay the markup for any sort of high-definition player at all. There is sweet FA penetration into the home player market right now and the PS3's sold are almost nothing in comparison to the size of the total market. There is a long way to go before High Definition players are common and by that point, dual-format will be everywhere. And that removes the disincentive to purchase either format.

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    25. Re:Not likely by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1


      Which is why I made the point that they would become more relevant once the prevalence of dual-format reduced the worry about long-term support of the studios. :)

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    26. Re:Not likely by The+Living+Fractal · · Score: 1

      I don't see that it will be a strong selling point to charge someone more money (even marginally) to be able to play a format that the major studios aren't even making anymore. Warner has a rather large movie base to offer, and now none of that will be available on HD-DVD, ever. So the only option is either you get Blu-Ray only or you get something which plays both.

      Right now there are studios who have exclusively chosen HD-DVD, such as Paramount. As long as two major studios are on opposite sides then both formats will survive, and dual-format players will continue to be viable. The minute the major studios move to one or the other spells the end for the format they don't choose.

      And for all they know, the companies making the dual format players could find out tomorrow that Paramount et al are moving to Blu-Ray and then all of their time and money spent creating dual-format players was wasted entirely. So I ask you again, are you absolutely sure that they are still even in development beyond the single player LG released? LG released this player a while back as I recall. Why have no more players come to market for dual-format?

      I think the final swing is going to happen fairly soon. I also think you underestimate the amount of HD tvs in households today. It is at the point where adoption is about to grow exponentially. The time for a slow crawl, for early adoption, is far over.

      Just think about this: How often do you even see a new non-HD TV for sale anymore? Who would buy a non-HD TV when they aren't much less than a 720p flat panel which you can get for well under a thousand dollars now?

      The time is coming and right now it looks like Blu-Ray is going to be the winner.

      --
      I do not respond to cowards. Especially anonymous ones.
    27. Re:Not likely by fotbr · · Score: 1

      Go wave your dick somewhere else. I'm not impressed by how much money you make, or what car you drive, or who's ass you kissed at the last party you went to.

      Graphics quality isn't worth a damn if the content isn't worth watching to begin with. Until you fix the fundamental problem of having nothing worth watching, all the pixels in the world don't matter.

    28. Re:Not likely by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 1

      I've got a 1080p display

      What size display, what aspect ratio, and what average viewing distance? Those three things, and the type of display (LCD, DLP, projector of some sort,) will tell you at what resolution you'll start to pick out pixels.

      Or, in other words, HD might not matter to you if you're watching on your 17 inch monitor a foot from your face.

      --
      Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
    29. Re:Not likely by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1

      I don't see that it will be a strong selling point to charge someone more money (even marginally) to be able to play a format that the major studios aren't even making anymore.

      It's one Hell of a jump from our current situation to "aren't even making anymore." I don't think anyone with any intelligence is seriously suggesting that HD is suddenly going to vanish. So long as both formats make it through this initial period, then dual-format players will become the norm. Once that happens then the format war shifts gears rapidly downwards.

      Why have no more players come to market for dual-format?

      Well even a cursory search turns up that Samsung's latest, leading high-definition DVD player is a dual-format model.Samsung is a Very Big Player and whereas initially they were doing their best to peddle Blue-Ray, they're now moving their product range to represent both formats (not just this model). They are serious in this. Their new dual-format player will take market share from their own BD-only player which is sidelined. It's pricey now, but believe me it will come down fast. We've yet to see the effect of cheap high definition players rolling in from the non-Big Name players in China. Unless HD dissapears tomorrow, nothing is going to stop the move toward dual-format players.

      Just think about this: How often do you even see a new non-HD TV for sale anymore? Who would buy a non-HD TV when they aren't much less than a 720p flat panel which you can get for well under a thousand dollars now?

      To answer the two questions respectively, I see a lot of "HD-Ready" TVs advertised here in the UK, which isn't quite the same thing, but it's wrong to equate HD TV with either purchasing of new and expensive DVD players or with the purchasing of new and expensive DVD formats. People buy TV's because they must have TVs and if HD is all that's available, they buy that. It doesn't mean that they're scooping up DVDs that cost double what normal DVD's cost. And to address your second question, about who would buy a non-HD TV when you can get a HD one for well under a thousand dollars... Heh! A thousand dollars is a lot of money to some people and the figures I've been reading don't suggest to me that a large proportion of the existing TV owning demographic is rushing out to spend money on an upgrade. Even a lot of posters on Slashdot are saying it's not worth it. On Slashdot - where we love our toys! It may have escaped your notice but the US retail market is tightening its belt right now, and the UK has a less bad, but significant credit hang-over as well. It's not a question of whether new TVs being sold are HD or not. It's going to take a long time before that's a significant factor. It's a question of the proportion of total TV owners that are HD which matters. Until that's much, much higher, both formats still have a huge amount of wealth out there waiting to be gathered.

      And when everything is dual format, there might be one other card left to play for HD-DVD. Firstly, it currently costs less to manufacture due to an existing manufacturing base that can handle it and secondly, it has less of a licencing cost for content producers. And apparently the DRM is optional on HD-DVD as well. That's another plus to me.
      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    30. Re:Not likely by benzapp · · Score: 1

      I realize your life sucks and your pissed you don't have money. At the same time though, I don't give a shit. For a lot of people, having an HDTV set is not a status symbol. When you are at a high enough income level, it really is insignificant.

      You are the one who seems to think I give a fuck what some kid on slashdot thinks about me. I don't. As I said, a $1000 bottle of some alcoholic beverage will get a chick to head back to my $2MM apartment where my television is a minor wall decoration. Put this in to perspective. Who do I give a shit about? Some pimply faced kid on slashdot who whacks off every day, or the hot chick in my pad? Why the fuck would I ever waive my dick at you?

      There is a legitimate reason for people to want HDTV besides "dick waiving". Avarice will get you nowhere in life kid. Suck it up and learn to be a man and not an envy stricken pussy.

      --
      I don't read or respond to AC posts
    31. Re:Not likely by The+Living+Fractal · · Score: 1

      Well you've at least convinced me that neither format will be disappearing any time soon. I really have no idea what percentage of homes have HD or "HD Ready" TVs in them. I certainly doubt it is approaching 50%. I am curious to see what effect Warner's decision has on the battle in the coming months, but I am convinced now that it's not going to be any sooner than that before we see a real swing towards one or the other, if ever.

      --
      I do not respond to cowards. Especially anonymous ones.
    32. Re:Not likely by Loiosh-de-Taltos · · Score: 1

      Fox and Buena Vista (Disney) were DIVX-exclusive.

      At the time of launch only Warner and New Line (Sony) were fully in support of DVD.

    33. Re:Not likely by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      So it is a good while yet before there starts to be a critical mass of HD formats and there's any sort of victory in the HD war.
      It doesn't matter. The end of the HD wars will come when one principal backer (Microsoft/Toshiba vs Sony) decides it could better spend its money elsewhere.

      That increasingly looks like the former.

      I'm sorry you bet the wrong way :)
    34. Re:Not likely by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1

      Well you've at least convinced me that neither...

      Someone on Slashdot has allowed themselves to be persuaded to a different point of view? I'm, well... surprised. One might almost suspect open-mindedness and a lack of need to prove oneself. :)

      Seriously, a good discussion. Thank you.
      Regards,
      -H.
      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    35. Re:Not likely by The+Living+Fractal · · Score: 1

      Yeah, and if you tell anyone, I'll kill you! ;)

      Regards.

      --
      I do not respond to cowards. Especially anonymous ones.
    36. Re:Not likely by ErkDemon · · Score: 1

      the only people who are going to notice a difference are those who own HD TVs, which aren't all that many people at this point.
      There's also people who like to watch movies on their PCs and laptops. Maybe not a huge number.
    37. Re:Not likely by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      I think that depends on your setup, if you have a projecter or a massive TV or you sit very close to your TV and you have good eyesight the difference may be significant. If you watch a normal sized TV from the other side of a normal sized lounge you are far less likely to.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    38. Re:Not likely by drsquare · · Score: 1

      Considering that most people don't have HDTVs, let alone 50" HDTVs, I think that both HDTV and Blu-Ray will be of little importance to most people for many years yet.

    39. Re:Not likely by LooseIsNotLose · · Score: 1
      I have to say that I disagree with the statement that 'the gain is marginal'. Once you get used to watching HD stuff you don't want to go back.

      I have to say I wholeheartedly agree with this. I have *always* been annoyed by compression artifacts on DVDs, especially in dark areas of the picture. It has seemed strange to me that such artifacting has been considered OK by the producers of DVD video--I thought we had moved to a digital format that should be better than previous formats in all ways, rather than having its own detectable foibles due to storage space/compression limitations. So HD-DVD has made me quite happy beacuse I no longer see such artifacting (which had become even more noticeable on a 42" HD set), in addition to the higher resolution and increased color gamut. I've already made the decision that I won't buy any more standard DVDs if I can help it, with an exception made for some animated series where I'm less concerned with gains in resolution (Simpsons, Futurama, etc.).

    40. Re:Not likely by fotbr · · Score: 1

      You're the one bragging - the only reason I even mentioned I had an HDTV set is because you are dismissive of anyone who doesn't share your opinion as someone bitching because its "something with which he has no experience. There is a significant difference betwenn DVD and HD when you have the right equipment". As for the rest I've made enough money to make me happy without needing to work anymore, and that's enough for me. You enjoy your thousand dollar bottle of booze and the gold-digger who's impressed enough to take off her clothes because of it. I'm glad you're happy, but I don't want to trade places with you, since I prefer my semi-retired life and hobbies.

      My point is the content sucks, and until they fix content, HD or not really doesn't matter. You just end up with a clearer picture of rubbish. But you won't comment on that, preferring instead to continue to brag about how much you make and how much you spend, so I'll spell it out in words even you can understand: HD is nice. The content is still crap. HD is not a substitute for good content.

    41. Re:Not likely by fotbr · · Score: 1

      60", LCD, and about 12 feet.

      Don't get me wrong, HD is nice, and there's a huge difference between it and SD. But it is not a substitute for having good content, which is my complaint about "entertainment" these days. Right now, the only benefit you have with HD is that you end up with better looking rubbish.

    42. Re:Not likely by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 1

      But it is not a substitute for having good content, which is my complaint about "entertainment" these days.

      Oh, granted, granted. Garbage in, garbage out and all that. But one man's garbage is another's favourite show and all that.

      --
      Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
  24. Another chess move... so what? by dpbsmith · · Score: 1

    Another chess move in a long, complicated game that is either being played by such idiots that it will last a long time, because none of them knows how to play... or is being played by such subtle, clever, brilliant chessplayers that it will last a long time, because none will be able to get a commanding advantage over the others.

    Either way, I can't predict the winner, so why should I care?

  25. What use is there by Z00L00K · · Score: 0
    for either format?

    Both formats are outdated when it comes to counting capacity compared to current sizes of hard disks. When the CD appeared it was 650MB and the largest hard disk (if you could afford one) at the time were 100MB, which caused the CD to have a 6:1 advantage, but today a hard disk is of 1TB while the Blu-ray (if you are lucky) have 50GB of storage which means that there is a 1:20 disadvantage. And flash disks are now catching up on the optical disks - so the era of optical disk players may soon be begone and the era of Blu-Ray and HD-DVD may be an appendix in history.

    The upcoming victim are probably the classic hard disk where the flash disks (or similar) may also take over eventually. The reason behind such transition is that solid state disks can have a much better reliability and speed - especially in harsh environments like laptops, but also servers may benefit here.

    --
    If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    1. Re:What use is there by TheRaven64 · · Score: 0

      It's not about the capacity, it's about the bandwidth. Both BluRay and HD-DVD are only able to send data from the disk to the player at around 30Mb/s (BluRay can do more, but the spec limits it for video data). I can currently buy a 20Mb/s consumer Internet connection cheaply and the speed has been doubling roughly every year to 18 months. In a year, I'll be able to stream data from the Internet as fast as I can from the surface of a disk. A set-top-box that allows me to rent HD videos on demand then becomes easy to build.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    2. Re:What use is there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These formats allow cheap mass replication and easy monetized distribution of movies.

    3. Re:What use is there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A typical hard disk transfer rate is 60 MB/s, which is 16 times faster than HD-DVD's 30 Mb/s.

    4. Re:What use is there by Detritus · · Score: 1

      Solid state disks can also have a much lower price. With a conventional hard disk, there is a price floor set by the cost of all the mechanical parts.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    5. Re:What use is there by WCLPeter · · Score: 1

      I seriously doubt the "classic" hard-drive is going away anytime soon. They're small, tend to be reliable and allow an insanely high number of read/write cycles. I still have drives from 10+ years ago that work just fine (albeit they're a bit small now and don't do much beyond temp storage anymore).

      Flash is getting better, but it still allows comparatively much fewer read/write cycles and while they're good for situations requiring limited power needs (lapstops, etc...) they'll need to be replaced more often.

      I also doubt that things like flash are going to replace the optical formats for any foreseeable future. A plastic layered disc with a bit of pitted aluminum on it can be manufactured for a price far cheaper than a complex flash based memory storage device. There is a reason I pay less than a buck per disc in a spindle of blank 4.7 GB DVDs and 25-50 bucks for the equivalent 4.7 GB flash memory stick. Media companies are well aware of this too. Right now it's sweet for them, with the economies of scale, they can produce DVD, HD-DVD, Blu-Ray, etc... discs for practically nothing and charge the consumer 10 to 40 times the manufacturing costs.

      I do agree with you though on the size of the hard-drives. They're getting larger every year, but the portable storage/backup media (blank DVDs) has remained pretty much the same size. I can't wait for this whole format war to die down so the next-gen PC drives become cheaper, I desperately need to backup my 500 GB video editing drive and I don't relish the idea of spanning it over 107 DVD blanks when 10 Blu-Ray or 16 HD-DVD discs would do.

  26. Where I loan DVD video... by aepervius · · Score: 1

    ... There was a few month ago the first HD DVD and blue ray. For roughly a surface of 15*20 meters, the shop had a 1 single wall of 0,5 meter * 0,3 meter with both hd DVD and blue ray (5 or 6 can't remember, but i do remember thinking they not have taken the msot sucky film at that time). Today when i went to give back a DVD, there were 11 HD DVD on the same palce. For roughly a whole wall of 1 meter* 1 meter full of blu ray. I guess they did not present so MANY blu ray just to be nice and shiny. There are most probably more blu ray laoned than HD DVD. Mind you it is still clear their main loaning disk is the DVD : 7 or 8 walls for the whole length of the shop, + the extern wall of the shop itself are full of DVD.

    I don't care for the HD DVD war out of many reason which were already cited (DRM, standard etc...). But in my mind, the war is decided, and if one of my friend absolutely want to buy one of the format, then I will recommend blu ray, jsut by the nubmer of blu ray one can loan.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
  27. Well guess what ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    YOU wasted 99 bucks. Sucker. But you can enjoy your free copies of HDDVD "Gigli" and "Flashdance" for at least 4 or 5 years until the thing takes a crap.

    1. Re:Well guess what ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      YOU wasted 99 bucks. Sucker. Haha, I'm sure $100 seems like a lot of money when you are living on frozen pizzas in your mom's basement, but it really is a pittance to someone with a decent job. I usually spend that about once a week at a nice restaurant.

      I couldnt care less who wins the hi-def war. I didn't buy a HD-DVD player cause I thought they were going to win; I bought one because (to me) it was dirt cheap. That's what normal people do when it comes to buying luxury items - they buy when they are confortable with eating the cost. What normal people do not do when buying luxury items is make it into a religious experience that requires "taking sides".
    2. Re:Well guess what ? by Enahs · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Well, I "wasted" more than that on a 3rd-gen player. With it I got Bourne Identity and 300, and have the chance to get at least 5 more titles (they pretty much suck, but they're free, eh?) I didn't take advantage of the 1st-gen and 2nd-gen firesales, so I don't get AS MANY movies, but I guess I have a point here:

      For the price of a DECENT upscaling DVD player, I got a DECENT upscaling DVD player which also plays a HD format that may be going out. Do I care? Not really...I have no plans to buy Blu-Ray for a while, and the reason I bought an HD set and DVD player was largely because about a month ago my TV and DVD player got fried by lightning.

      Warner Brothers hit it on the head, at least for me, but they forgot another issue: With all the FUD surrounding the current BD players, coupled with the price, many of us have no plans whatsoever to buy one, at least for now. Waiting until after people snatched up the 1st- and 2nd-gen players, then (like me) lower-priced 3rd-gen players, and not just that but wait until CES was about to start was just mean-spirited. Their stance toward the whole thing, up until yesterday, left a bad taste in some consumers' mouths. Is it enough to hurt them? Probably not, but I think they may have just extended the format war rather than killing it as intended. I certainly hope I'm wrong about that.



      I don't get some people's attitude about HD-DVD being the underdog, though. In one corner you have Sony and Pioneer, along with Sun and a number of companies that're pushing a proprietary format built on a mix of open and closed standards. In the other corner, you have Microsoft and Toshiba, along with a number of other companies, pusing a proprietary format based on a mix of open and closed standards. Both camps have technologies that are similar to each other. Both had their advantages and disadvantages, and they were never as hugely different as many fanboys of both formats made them out to be.

      So yeah, I guess you can say that we "wasted" our money, but thus far, most people buying HD stuff have the money to burn, so unless you're living in your parents' basement and blowing your McDonalds wages on HD equipment, this isn't as huge as people seem to be making it out to be. At least we've decided who's going to win the SACD vs DVD-A...excuse me, HD-DVD vs. Blu-Ray war.

      Yeah, seriously, I don't think Blu-Ray will have a long shelf-life, either. DVD had 10 years. Whoopty doo. My prediction is that in 5 years you'll be tivo-ing all the movies you want to watch, and by "tivo" I mean your PVR will be pulling down your HD content either straight through dish or cable or through your cable/phone/internet combo deal. Blu-Ray will be the format that you'll get when you absolutely, positively don't want to commit your movies to your PVR's hard drive, and for videophiles who'll recognize that the streaming options are inferior to the more popular streaming options.

      --
      Stating on Slashdot that I like cheese since 1997.
    3. Re:Well guess what ? by IrquiM · · Score: 2, Funny

      $100 is a lot! A lot of beer! or just over 1 hour overtime at work

      --
      This is blinging
    4. Re:Well guess what ? by Wdomburg · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I paid $100 for a good upscaling player that also happens to do HD-DVD and came with 300 and Bourne Identity, which I wanted to see anyways, and a handful of other DVDs which included some reasonable titles (most notable Full Metal Jacket). Did I waste my money?

      Frankly, this just reinforces my decision to only buy combo discs if at all. Which means, since I've never heard of BD combo in the wild, I'll be buying plain jane DVDs from Warner in the future.

    5. Re:Well guess what ? by fredricodagreat · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Along similar lines, my DVD player just crapped out on me. After scouring the consumer reports for about a month or so, it turns out if you want a good Upscaling DVD player, it will cost you between $120 and $160 (Yes I am aware that you can get an upscaling DVD player for $50, but I'm talking good quality ones) So why wouldn't I want to put out an extra $30 for something that will play HD discs plus get 7 free DVDs, at least 4 of which I had been wanting to pick up in regular DVD format. I'm very happy with my purchase and I think this format war is far from over. Likely it will come to a stale mate and everything will be running off of solid state drives.

    6. Re:Well guess what ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is totally false - I order my pizzas out.

    7. Re:Well guess what ? by Basehart · · Score: 1

      "I don't get some people's attitude about HD-DVD being the underdog, though."

      It's the underdog primarily because less people bought less HD-DVD discs than Blu-ray discs over the holidays. The balance had to tip one way or the other and I'm personally glad it tipped away from ShrekWorks and Xbox. If it was only about the discs I wouldn't care less, but as you mentioned not too far down the road content producers on all levels (majors, independents, pop groups, promo video producers) will be producing content for delivery via cable/dsl and just maybe now that Sony (Apple) is holding the reigns we can focus on producing just the HD format instead of a million and one flavors of MS-HD.

      Imagine someone clicking a "see HD version" and seeing a HD version. Simple.

    8. Re:Well guess what ? by hedwards · · Score: 4, Insightful

      YOU wasted 99 bucks. Sucker. Haha, I'm sure $100 seems like a lot of money when you are living on frozen pizzas in your mom's basement, but it really is a pittance to someone with a decent job. I usually spend that about once a week at a nice restaurant. I'm sure it sounds that way, but if you were to replace HD-DVD with magic beans, the point becomes more obvious. While it is possible that HD-DVD will take off anyways, the format that will ultimately win will be the format which has the content that people want. Realistically, I knew people as late as the '89 who were still using their betamax recorders on a regular basis, but they hadn't been able to purchase any original content in a number of years. That's largely what HD-DVD is going to be like if the studios start to put emphasis on blu-ray without providing content to HD-DVD.

      So, in the long run, if there's no content, and you have to purchase a blu-ray player anyways, you've bought the metaphorical magic beans. $100 dollars is a relatively large amount of money, especially when one combines it with the most powerful force known to man, compounding interest.

      Just because something is really cheap, doesn't make it a good deal, even if the product does work as advertised, nobody in their right mind would buy a 1950s TV set for everyday use. They might buy one as a collectors item, or for a museum, but they aren't going to buy one for use. Yet, with repair the set might function well. Yes, that's a bit of an over dramatization, but a dvd player with no content is less useful, at least the TV could be hooked up via a converter to new broadcasts, even if the picture is about 4 inches diagonally.
    9. Re:Well guess what ? by Skreems · · Score: 1

      Haha, I'm sure $100 seems like a lot of money when you are living on frozen pizzas in your mom's basement, but it really is a pittance to someone with a decent job. I usually spend that about once a week at a nice restaurant.
      I spend that every couple of days at a nice restaurant, and then again on entertainment. Do I win?

      Oh wait, you're bragging about salary on the interweb. Guess we both lose.
      --
      Slashdot needs a "-1, Wrong" moderation option.
      The Urban Hippie
    10. Re:Well guess what ? by clang_jangle · · Score: 2, Funny

      nobody in their right mind would buy a 1950s TV set for everyday use.


      I watch my 1956 Philco exclusively, you insensitive clod!
      --
      Caveat Utilitor
    11. Re:Well guess what ? by Heembo · · Score: 1

      Dude. One word. High Joule Surge Protector. Well, 4 words. 12 really.

      --
      Horns are really just a broken halo.
    12. Re:Well guess what ? by Oktober+Sunset · · Score: 1

      In that case, I have a betamax player, an 8 track player and a zip drive I can sell for a very reasonable price.

    13. Re:Well guess what ? by dangitman · · Score: 2, Funny

      Both had their advantages and disadvantages, and they were never as hugely different as many fanboys of both formats made them out to be.

      Wait, this crap has fanboys??? Ye Gods.

      --
      ... and then they built the supercollider.
    14. Re:Well guess what ? by sponga · · Score: 1

      But I thought the PS3 could play DVD's?

      It is called VOD (Video On Demand) not Tivo-ing and is referred to as a DVR not PVR. Time-Warner have one of the best systems around right now for VOD. I have a free huge library of hundreds of videos at my disposal to play HBO On Demand, Cinemax, Showtime, TMC, Starz, Local news On Demand, Dodgers On Demand. There are dozens and dozens of these On Demand channels just filled with full seasons of your favorite shows ready to play and you don't have to wait for them to be recorded. As soon as we get rid of that stinking old analog system the VOD library is going to get a lot bigger and we can soon get some HD content served up within next 4 years.

      Oh yeah dish service can never really do this because it basically requires a two way communications to serve it up, especially the bandwidth and multicast. Satellite tried to copy the VOD with some newer boxes but what they basically did was record every single movie or popular stuff the last 24hrs to the DVR so it would make you think it was On Demand but not really.

    15. Re:Well guess what ? by madsenj37 · · Score: 1

      I was recently given a gift card to Best Buy and I happened to need a new DVD Player. Unfortunately, the only one I saw was $200 and couldn't do 1080p. I opted save $125 and buy an upscaling DVD Player. Lack of content was not a problem for me, however. I have Netflix. I did not think HD-DVD would lose anytime soon, either. It was simply a poor build quality that kept me from buying HD-DVD.

      --
      Choosing the lesser of two evils is a choice for evil.
    16. Re:Well guess what ? by madsenj37 · · Score: 1

      Second sentence should read "Unfortunetely the only cheap HD-DVD Player I saw..."

      --
      Choosing the lesser of two evils is a choice for evil.
    17. Re:Well guess what ? by reidconti · · Score: 1

      Good on ya. Don't let anyone tell you you wasted your money; you didn't. At that price you couldn't lose. There will be quite a bit of HD-only content for at least a year. Pick up a BR player in 6-12 months for $200 and you're golden.

      I have been hoping BR wins and I always figured once BR players got to the 200-300 mark I'd buy one. I'm willing to pay that much for a high-def player and gamble; if it ended up losing in a year, I'd buy the new format players for $150 and it wouldn't break the bank. Buy what you want, when you want it, at a price you find reasonable, and you can never lose. I don't mind throwing away a few hundred on a player that might be obsolete very soon, but then again I might be in the minority. I sure as hell know I don't want to spend $1000 for a player that might be obsolete very soon, and this is what both HD and Blu-Ray were contending with a year or two ago.

      Seems that the future is Blu. I'll have to pick a good one up in a couple of months. I'm pretty sure as sales go up, prices will drop, and the cost of the player is nothing if you essentially know it will win; anything under 500$ for a format that should be good for years to come is fine by me. Hell, the TV was close to $2500, and I figure it'll last at least 5 years (46" LCD 1080p).

    18. Re:Well guess what ? by DrXym · · Score: 1
      So, in the long run, if there's no content, and you have to purchase a blu-ray player anyways, you've bought the metaphorical magic beans. $100 dollars is a relatively large amount of money, especially when one combines it with the most powerful force known to man, compounding interest.

      Being on the losing side of a format war probably means more than $100 lost. I expect many people are so emotionally attached to the format that losing is almost akin to a bereavement.

    19. Re:Well guess what ? by Fnord666 · · Score: 1

      the format that will ultimately win will be the format which has the content that people want.
      So I guess that means that the format that will win will be .torrent.
      --
      'The tyrant will always find pretext for his tyranny.' - Aesop's Fables
    20. Re:Well guess what ? by mahlerfan999 · · Score: 1

      Haha, I'm sure $100 seems like a lot of money when you are living on frozen pizzas in your mom's basement, but it really is a pittance to someone with a decent job. I usually spend that about once a week at a nice restaurant. Somebody with a decent job would understand the value of money enough to not so casually burn it. After you go through tax, insurance, rent/mortgage, bills, food, gas, and savings there is usually little left for fun money and it has to be spent intelligently. Of course if you are not financially independent and live in your mom's basement and spend all of your money on entertainment, then yeah I guess you would consider a $100 a pittance.
    21. Re:Well guess what ? by hedwards · · Score: 1

      One would typically assume so, although there is also the possibility in this day and age of just buying the player and netflixing the media to watch. Although, I'm sure that in most cases that you'd be correct about the majority of the loss.

      But even if it is just $100, it is more money than I would care to outright waste in that sort of manner. There are all sorts of things that I could be doing with it instead, prudent investment, a nice meal out, going to the actual movies or really any number of other things, perhaps even $100 towards an attorney when the MPAA comes over and demands to know why I'm not buying into the HD video craze like they want me to.

    22. Re:Well guess what ? by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      Pick up a BR player in 6-12 months for $200 and you're golden.
      BTW do theese players tend to have HDMI passthroughs (in the same way that most modern equipment at least here in europe has scart passthroughs)?

      A lot of smaller/cheaper TVs only have one HDMI port so it could become a bit of a pain if the players don't have passthroughs.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
  28. cheap if you order them from the US... by alexander+m · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I buy all my HD-DVDs from amazon.com instead of amazon.co.jp (where i live) or amazon.co.uk (where i'm from) because... they are INSANELY CHEAP AND REGION-FREE. seriously, this is about the only time i've seen globalisation work for the consumer. it feels like amazon has had nearly non-stop promotions on HD-DVDs for the last 6 months; i've ended up with about 45 of the damn things. ordering them a few at a time from the US (admittedly especially good as i'm paid in GBP and the dollar has gone doooooown) means they are practically half the price of the UK, and even less than half the price of japan. so really it's just like i'm still buying regular UK DVDs, except they look vastly better... (and what is it with these people who say they can hardly see the difference between regular DVDs and HD? is the world full of people who don't realise that they are legally blind?? someone needs to round these people up and administer some eye-tests, on road-safety grounds alone...)

    the real question, i suppose, is: do i feel bad HD-DVD might now disappear? no -- because that nice new samsung dual-format player is being released as we speak. i was planning to buy that anyway, as a handful of movies i like are on blu-ray, at which point i can forget about the whole sorry mess and move on...

  29. Self-fulfilling Destiny by SethraLavode · · Score: 1

    Given how little effort Warner Brothers put into mastering their HD DVD titles and how universally they are panned for their terrible encoding, is it any surprise that customers avoided getting the HD DVD versions? While I'm disappointed in the news, I don't know that WB will be that large a coup for BluRay. The BR group already scored THE major blow by signing Disney on as an exclusive.

  30. I doubt it... by Junta · · Score: 1

    Though I haven't experienced it first hand, is the DRM on the HD formats really any more effective than DRM on DVD? In case you have forgotten, DVD features CSS. While useless as it was defeated, it's still there. From what I hear, the HD formats haven't had more success in protected their keys in general, and though they now revoke them, I wonder what happens when keys from a moderately popular network-disconnected HD format set top box are compromised. So far the keys I hear compromised are desktop software, and they've required users to 'upgrade' to the new key to play back future content. Would they damn a whole set of legitimate customers and kill their reputation for the sake of a losing battle?

    As much as DRM *should* bother people, on physical media in particular it doesn't seem to register with moth people.

    No, I'd say it's predominantly the pricing, which was exacerbated by the ambiguous market situation. Buying *one* player was probably already too much money for the benefit, but to be safe they would have had to buy two players. Now with one factor, it's less bad, but HD playback devices I don't think have come down enough for the mass market to decide it worth it to replace their DVD players.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
    1. Re:I doubt it... by 91degrees · · Score: 1

      Well, there is a difference in that known keys can be revoked with AACS. This was the idea with DVD as well, but they only used 40 bit encryption, so keys can easily be brute forced in a few days with modern hardware, and they used a broken system which cut that down to a few seconds.

      Once an AACS key is known and published, it will be revoked, and the hackers will have to get the key from existing player software. The encryption is too strong for brute forcing within a reasonable time.

  31. Yesterday's News :) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is old news.

  32. Last Great Hope by omghi2u · · Score: 1

    The last great hope for HD DVD is that they "convince" (financially) one of the Blu-Ray partners (think: Fox) with a LOT of money to dump Blu-Ray for HD DVD. Given the Warner example, the gap between their Blu-Ray and HD DVD sales, though into the ten's of millions, was not on the order of $100M, so monetarily convincing Fox could be in the $200-$250M range.

    I don't have any preference over either format as I've purchased both, but I did think HD DVD was going to "win" prior to the Warner announcement. At least with Blu-Ray you get the original Transformers the Movie on Blu-Ray disc in the U.K. that can be bought from amazon.co.uk.

  33. The poison is in the bloodstream by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 5, Insightful
    BlueRay, HD-DVD, whatever. The genie is out of the bag. Torrents pouring video all over the planet, used DVD sales, online video, youtube, etc. BluRay is not going to dominate anything. IT's just goign to be another niche in the panoply of video standards. The point is that with ubiquity, things get consumed in different ways by people at different times and places.

    The BR/HD devices may well take over where obese supine consumers mindlessly suck the tit of the Culture Industry in their overstuffed barcaloungers in the family "Enertainment Center". There, picture quality in a darkened and directed room makes sense. But that is only one particular consumption ritual practice. There are many others. My typical practice is watching video in tiny stuttering windows online, because I can watch one thing, check my email, and work on a project at the same time, or in short sequences. A friend of mine is the same, yet he uses a video projector as his screen. Parties at his place are great - watch online video? Sure. DVD? Sure. Dance Dance Revolution? WTF? Oooh, OK - why not... Wii? OK - but only after we watch that online video of the guy's head exploding. And freak out your sister with the goatse guy.

    Betamax and VHS were such a pitched battle because there were no other options. Now, I can't get a cup of coffee without some giant flat panel telling me how white my shirts should be, and then I go to work, and some knucklehead sends me a link to a youtube video of the longest fart EVER, or I visit my brother and his 5 jillion channels of TV pumped all over every screen in the house, etc. etc.

    In the early 1980s, there were fewer options, so there was more at stake in a format. Now, it's just another fish in the sea. And with bandwidth increases and everybody and his ugly cousin getting in on the online video action thanks to Flash video, I think it may well be that BR or HD will be the LAST disk format...

    RS

    --
    Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
    1. Re:The poison is in the bloodstream by ELProphet · · Score: 1

      Goatse Guy in Hi-Def? He might need to re-shoot the picture. Which makes me ask, how much "classic" content will see absolutely _no_ benefit from Hi-Def formats, simply because there was never that much information about the picture to begin with? Will Steven Spielberg and George Lucas go back and digitally re-master all their works for another round of movie players? Will anyone go back and touch up Stanley Kubrick's works for that extra bit of perceived quality? Can they even sharpen the picture any more? Or do we go back and re-film everything, shot for shot?

    2. Re:The poison is in the bloodstream by powerlord · · Score: 1

      Well, your comment and the GPs are sort of down the same path.

      Film, as an analog medium has a much higher resolution than that captured by DVD, or even by HD-DVD/Blu-Ray. The real question though is, at what point can't we perceive a difference.

      The reason they COULD remaster previous movies to DVD was this inherent difference.

      I have a feeling that this depends on the Television we are using as much as anything (size, distance to set, resolution of TV, etc.)

      So, you don't need to go back and reshoot things ... provided you have clean prints to work from. If you DONT have clean prints, you probably want to run the ones you have through a cleanup process (similar to what Lucas did with the original Star Wars prints).

      --
      This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
    3. Re:The poison is in the bloodstream by powerlord · · Score: 1

      I'd agree that digital distribution is increasing in popularity, but I disagree that most LEGAL distribution is no where near the quality of either HiDef format, because sufficient bandwidth "to the living room" has not yet been rolled out.

      This means that the videos are fine for Computer monitors, and probably decent for small to midsize HDTVs (although I still see major artifacting on a 32" which isn't that big in HDTV size), but they present an inadequate quality on a mid-size to larger HDTV.

      As a point of reference, I usually watch digital SD TV broadcasts zoomed in to remove letterboxing. Recently I picked up one or two Blu-Ray discs and was watching one (Pixar Shorts from Disney). I was amazed at how noticeable the difference in quality was.

      Am I going to stop watching SD TV broadcasts? No.
      Does that mean there is no difference? No.

        I also had recently watched a few amazon UnBox downloads (an episode or two of Stargate:Atlantis). I had noticeable artifacting and the picture quality was no where near as clean as even what I was used to.

      Am I sorry I got them (so I could catch up on a missed episode)? No.
      Would I say that downloads are set to replace Discs? No.

      --
      This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
    4. Re:The poison is in the bloodstream by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 1
      powerlord wrote:

      Am I sorry I got them (so I could catch up on a missed episode)? No. Would I say that downloads are set to replace Discs? No.

      Hi. Yeah - that's basically my point: whatever kind of DVDs come rolling down the pike, they're just part of the larger video offering system. So, yeah - you can watch SG:A is low def and get your fix, and as bandwidth increases, it'll look better and better. Yay. In the interim, there will be DVD systems providing vastly superior resolution experiences - as I said - the entertainment center is optimised for that, so if you want your gut rumbled or your eyes dazzled by the hidef SG:A, you can.

      So, will online replace disks? Not completely. But it will cut casual viewing off at the knees. Who needs 7.1 1080p to watch The Daily Show? Mmmm. No one, really. But for casual SD or online viewing - sure - the Daily Show is perfect for that format, and so one would expect for low res online or SD to continue for those purposes quite some time into the future.

      cheers,

      RS

      --
      Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
    5. Re:The poison is in the bloodstream by tnmc · · Score: 1

      I think it may well be that BR or HD will be the LAST disk format...

      Didn't Toshiba just announce a 100Gb flash chip?

      How close are we now to studio releases on SD cards? Or other solid state storage?

    6. Re:The poison is in the bloodstream by Basehart · · Score: 1

      "Goatse Guy in Hi-Def? He might need to re-shoot the picture."

      I can see it now, a digital restoration and enhancement technician looking through the daily work sheets and seeing a job called "goatsecx" scheduled for high definition upscaling and manual pixel manipulation:

      "Hmm, that sounds like an interesting project. I think I'll take a look at that after a couple of pints and a curry at lunch time. Maybe I can finally have Sally bring my niece and nephew over to the lab to help me with it. They've been asking for a while now what it is I actually do for a living".

    7. Re:The poison is in the bloodstream by skegg · · Score: 0

      >> The genie is out of the bag.

      If, in fact, the genie was in the bag, where was the cat !?!

      Catsup, anyone?

    8. Re:The poison is in the bloodstream by ToasterMonkey · · Score: 1

      Isn't solid state storage still quite a bit more expensive to manufacture than hunks of plastic?

    9. Re:The poison is in the bloodstream by powerlord · · Score: 1

      And yet the vast majority of people who buy DVDs now purchase them for movies. This is usually where one WOULD care more about the quality than in TV broadcasts.

      I'd also guess that box sets of TV episodes still consume quite a bit of purchasers money. The nice advantage of Disks, is that they already handle the "storage issue".

      Considering how often people upgrade their computers, the two numbers that need to increase are Hard-Drive storage, and bandwidth to the house.

      Yeah, both could be in range within 5-10 years to compete with HD broadcasts or disks, but, while the storage issue will certainly be solved, I'm not sure that the bandwidth issue WILL be.

      There is also the portability issue, but that was not part of our discussion. (take it on a trip, take it to a friends house, take it some place without an internet connection, etc.)

      --
      This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
  34. HD-DVD died ages ago by Rik+Sweeney · · Score: 1

    In my local HMV, they have 1/3 of a disc rack dedicated to HD-DVD and nearly two racks for Blu-Ray. The only thing which is really stopping it from taking off is that each disc costs between £20-£30 ($60 to most of you), but I think that's probably what DVDs cost when they first came out. Also note that each PS3 sold (granted, they're not selling *that* fast) is another potential Blu-Ray customer.

    1. Re:HD-DVD died ages ago by Basehart · · Score: 1

      In my local Barnes & Noble (U-Village in Seattle) they have four Blu-ray movies and seven HD-DVD movies on a shelf behind the counter. I asked the sales clerk why there were so few movies available in HD and he said the word from up high was that they were waiting until a definitive leader emerged before stocking more HD titles.

      No doubt UPS will be busy this week with deliveries to Barnes & Noble stores around the country.

  35. Re: Warner "Pretends"... by TaoPhoenix · · Score: 1

    This is the age of Announcements, invented by MS.

    Warner "pretends" to go with BluRay.

    Enter installed base, etc.

    Then "Management reviews the current marketplace spread and re-evaluates the sales potential of the formats". Any company can do whatever it likes at any time.

    --
    My first Journal Entry ever, in 8 years! http://slashdot.org/journal/365947/aphelion-scifi-fantasy-horror-poetry-webzine
  36. Studio Support by Verxion · · Score: 3, Informative

    Seems to me no one has mentioned something which to me says a lot:

    "For a long time, Hollywood was lopsided in favor of Blu-ray: 7 of the 8 major movie studios (Disney, Fox, Warner, Paramount, Sony, Lionsgate and MGM) supported Blu-ray, and 5 of them (Disney, Fox, Sony, Lionsgate and MGM) release their movies exclusively in the Blu-ray format. Only Universal was exclusively HD-DVD. Now that is rapidly changing what with HD DVD exclusive converts Paramout and DreamWorks Animation, and Warner Bros now for Blu-ray." (this from http://www.deadlinehollywooddaily.com/boost-for-blu-ray-warner-bros-will-release-high-def-titles-exclusively-in-that-format/)

    So in summary, we have:

    HD-DVD Exclusive:

    Paramount/Dreamworks

    Bluray Exclusive:

    Disney
    Fox
    Sony
    Lionsgate
    MGM
    Warner Bros

    Not mentioned in the article above, I believe Universal Studios is actually HD DVD exclusive, but rumours seem to indicate that they aren't that way by contract, so they COULD jump ship. Further, New Line Cinema is owned by Warner Bros, so it would stand to reason that they will end up Bluray exclusive.

    At this point, it LOOKS like a pretty lopsided situation to me. Add in that while supposedly HD-DVD players (and PCs with HD-DVD in them) have outsold bluray players, (again supposedly) bluray titles themselves seem to have outsold HD-DVD, especially in non US markets.

    I have been reading about this since the news broke yesterday on places like http://engadgethd.com/ and http://avsforum.com/ and it really sounds like even the HD-DVD diehards (for the most part) are conceding victory to bluray.

    -Verxion

    1. Re:Studio Support by MarsMartian · · Score: 0

      At this point, it LOOKS like a pretty lopsided situation to me. Add in that while supposedly HD-DVD players (and PCs with HD-DVD in them) have outsold bluray players, (again supposedly) bluray titles themselves seem to have outsold HD-DVD, especially in non US markets.
      This is accurate only if you exclude the number of PS3 sales from Blu-Ray players. see here: http://www.tgdaily.com/content/view/35008/97/
      when HD-DVD players reached 750 000 (including the HD DVD add-on for the Xbox360), stand-alone Blu-Ray players were only around 200 000. However as of November 11th, the PS3 had 2.1 million sales in North America alone. (http://kotaku.com/gaming/sales-charts/a-look-back-at-the-years-npd-sales-320210.php)
      to say that HD DVD players have outsold Blu-Ray players is completely inaccurate unless you specify which type of players you include.
    2. Re:Studio Support by DaveCBio · · Score: 1

      And it's too bad. I love bonus features and right now HD-DVD is where it's at. Also, as much as peopel around here hate MS, Sony is a fucking media monster and if BR wins like it seems to be you can bet that they are going to keep BR prices artificially inflated for as long as possible. They have to recoup their losses from the PS3 somehow (yes, I know they are different divisions).

  37. HD-DVD Isn't Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think everyone is missing the point and if you think that this spells the end for HD-DVD then you're seriously mistaken. Just because Warner has thrown in with the wolves doesn't mean anything. You might find that some of these studios could change the tide if Microsoft decides to offer even more incentives like they did with Paramount.

    I'm sure that Microsoft is keeping a close eye on the situation.

  38. Ever Try To Fit A Hard Drive In A DVD Tray? by Skeetskeetskeet · · Score: 0, Funny

    WD40 helps, but not much.

    --
    Yeah, my karma sucks....but so do the mods.
  39. Finally by AlpineR · · Score: 1

    I've had an HDTV for a year now. Nothing huge, just a 32" Sharp LCD. I got it mainly for the better aspect ratio; I was tired of watching cropped movies and letterboxed network television. It's also wonderful for watching sports, being able to see more of the field and tons of detail.

    Despite the arguments some Slashdotters have made about the human eye being unable to distinguish between HD and SD on a small screen, it's a clear improvement even for me with uncorrected 20/40 vision. Buying 1080p for $1200 rather than 720p for $800 may have been overkill, but I might use the set as a whopping big computer monitor someday.

    I really don't care much about the DRM. I don't buy movies, I get them from Netflix or on cable. So the cost to me stays the same and the ability to copy is unimportant. It would be nice to just download movies and shuffle them easily between all of my computer and TV screens, but my Internet bandwidth just isn't ready for that yet.

    I have HDTV now and I want to watch HD movies now. As soon as there's a non-sucky player for $100 I'm in.

    1. Re:Finally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have HDTV now and I want to watch HD movies now. As soon as there's a non-sucky player for $100 I'm in.
      What is it with this magical sub-$100 number people keep throwing around? When DVD came out it was years before you could find a player under $200, much less $100, but people still snapped them up in droves. Even today, a decent DVD player costs over $100... only the cheapest garbage players are under $100. My 5-disc Sony changer was $250 just a couple of years ago.
    2. Re:Finally by Kaldaien · · Score: 1

      That thing about HD vs SD content being indistinguishable on small screens is a load of crap. I have a _very_ nice SONY 30" CRT display that looks better than nearly all LCD/plasma/DLP displays less than $5,000 currently on the market. If you have a small display with a good pixel response time, contrast ratio, and dot pitch, the difference between SD and HD video is profound. Particularly if your display supports 1080p, a lot of 1080p displays have post-processing features that do more than just de-interlace and upscale 480i/p, 720p and 1080i content to 1080p.

      You can get HD TiVos (cable / ATSC broadcast only) for ~$299 now for the low-end model and $600 for the top of the line with the OLED front display. That's probably the best investment you could make to accompany your new HDTV - having adopted HD years ago, I used to have to watch HD movies and television shows when they aired, or not at all. Quite frustrating, considering I'd had a TiVo for many years before that. If you've got satellite, you can probably get one of their dinky DVRs with HD support for free.

      If you're in the market for an ambiguously purposed consumer electronics device, the PlayStation 3 will play Blu-Ray Discs (BDs), DivX video, DVDs, SACDs, CDs, mp3/aac/wma music, display digital photos from SD, CF, Memory Sticks or the internet, browse the web, and of course it plays video games too (just doesn't have any good ones yet), for $400.

  40. That's the whole point.... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    > They'll release their movies for whatever format consumers decide
    > to buy, or they'll go out of business.

    The gist of the article is that customer can no longer decide to buy HD-DVD - 'cos there won't be any.

    > Finally, it is entirely possible neither format will win.

    I kinda doubt that, the ball is definitely rolling now. The biggest factor is the price of the players but that's dropping fast. This year they'll be below $100.

    The only thing which could really move it one way or another would be recordable disks, ie. piracy. if one format becomes easy to copy then it could get a big boost.

    But then again, you simply don't need 50Gb to pirate HD video. A standard 4.5Gb DVD with H264 compression can store a pretty damn good quality version of a movie. I don't know if there's hardware players which can do this yet but if there aren't, there will be soon.

    --
    No sig today...
  41. Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by StCredZero · · Score: 4, Funny

    A Sony format WON!? Did Nostradamus talk about this? Maybe Sony Blu-Ray DRM is the "Seventh Seal?"

  42. i hope it's over by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    i really do hope this battle of the formats is over. ive already bought a blu-ray player (my ps3) and blu-ray movies. this schism is screwing the consumers because we have to own two players to get all the movies we like. i do think blu-ray will eventually prevail so i feel bad for the people investing in HD-DVD, like my co-worker. :/

  43. Age-old question by Rydia · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If a company wins a format war and nobody cares about it, have they really won anything?

    1. Re:Age-old question by BrowncoatJedi · · Score: 0

      You're an idiot. Not insightful in the least.

    2. Re:Age-old question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      don't get all upset cause you're the only one who cares. relax... take deep breaths. go get our your Bluray disks and try to convince yourself that the marginal quality difference is worth the money you spent on the player and tv. it will make you feel better i promise.

  44. most people still have small screens by jollyreaper · · Score: 1

    My HDTV is 42". I can tell a slight difference between DVD and the HD broadcast image. I'm sure that at larger sizes the difference would be far more dramatic. But how many people have the super-duper large screens? I admire the 6' screens in the store even though I realize they cost about half of what I paid for my car and are ridiculous for normal people to own.

    At this point, DVD is more than good enough, especially given the DRM crap involved. I think that HD formats will remain kind of like laserdisk in this generation but will pick up more steam by the next generation. The screen format that replaces LCD/plasma, that's going to be where it takes off. I'm looking forward to my wall-sized OLED screen for $50. If I can't have a flying car, at least give me that!

    --
    Kwisatz Haderach
    Sell the spice to CHOAM
    This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    1. Re:most people still have small screens by cnettel · · Score: 1

      What's the HD broadcaster? I certainly know that many/some digital SD feeds look like total crap compared to DVD (upscaled DVD manages to look nice, some upscaled DVB-T absolutely doesn't). I think the technology is new enough for HD feeds to vary even more.

    2. Re:most people still have small screens by jollyreaper · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The HD broadcast I get are the locals for the four major networks. Prime-time looks great though the commercials are so annoying I never watch. Sports comes through crystal clear and I can't stop watching even though the games themselves bore me. :) I have a cheapie DVD player but the video seems quite nice from it -- comparing DVD movies with HD movie trailers on the Xbox, I can't really notice any problems.

      I do see a tremendous difference between SD and HD channels on broadcast. It's illustrative to switch between the SD and HD versions of the same event to see just how drastic the change is. It's like you're not even watching the same broadcast. Oddly enough though, not every sports venue has upgraded their cameras. I can see one football broadcast that looks like washed out crap on HD and then the one following it has the HD quality I'm used to.

      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
  45. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by 91degrees · · Score: 5, Informative

    It's not totally without precedent. The 3.5" floppy disk was a Sony format.

  46. NPD numbers by stabiesoft · · Score: 2, Informative

    The NPD sales numbers showed BD sold more disks every week in 2007. Even transformers release week did not sell more HD DVD's. Warner made the correct decision. BD's were outselling HD's by a 61 to 39 advantage YTD07.

    1. Re:NPD numbers by Wdomburg · · Score: 1

      They outsold every week, but the trend was that the gap was narrowing rather than widening from a peak of 70:30 in April to an end ratio of 64:36 (not 61:39).

      If you trend out the weekly ratios the end of the year actually showed the largest sustained dip in BD's lead.

      As for as whether Warner made the right decision... Hard to say, maybe it will spur adoption. On the other hand the players are still priced well outside the casual purchase range for most people ($400+ aside from last gen liquidation), the subsidized PS3 prevents anyone from Sony ramping up volume production and driving down cost, profile confusion may cause ill will or hesitance with consumers, people who already invested in HD-DVD may simply stop buying HD media entirely, etc.

      Overall I think the decision was premature. The cost differential between formats (over $100 in current street prices) is high enough I'm not convinced the current overlap in the market is all that high. Would have made more sense in my opinion to continue supporting both formats through the 2008 calendar year.

    2. Re:NPD numbers by stabiesoft · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Current BD hadware is running 299, so price difference is almost zero for a 1080P player. Granted, the 1080i HD players are cheaper still. I don't see pricing as a significant advantage for HD, especially considering street media pricing for BD is actually less, and you end up spending more on media than hardware in the end. Those combo dvd/hddvd disks were really expensive.

      I am a alittle surprised at slashdot opinion here though. BD is a superior format with higher disk capacity and higher bandwidth. I was surprised to see so many preferring dvd. This is a group I wouldv'e expected to like HD formats in general with an edge to BD. Instead I see numerous people saying that can't even see the difference between hd media and dvd. I've had a HD set for years now getting a BD player this summer and the difference between dvd and bd is very apparent to me.

    3. Re:NPD numbers by Kanon · · Score: 1

      HDDVD is region free. That's a big incentive for the sorts of people who hang around tech sites to support it.

    4. Re:NPD numbers by Wdomburg · · Score: 1

      No, outdated BD hardware that's still on the market is runnin $299. The only two current players run $399 (PS3) and ~ $420 (Panasonic DMP-BD30K). A current gen HD-DVD runs about $170 (HD-A3) or $250 (HD-A30) if you care about 1080p.

      I hadn't noticed any particular different in media costs, myself. Some of the combo discs were priced at a bit of a premium (maybe $5 more from what I saw) but certainly less than buying a second copy. Between standalone units, computers and portables I have seven DVD players. No way am I replacing those all at once, if I do at all.

      My preference for HD is based on the lack of region-coding, a finalized spec before shipping product and cost (especially since retooling production lines for HD DVD is significantly cheaper than BD, which means media costs likely drop quicker with mass adoption for HD DVD). The larger raw capacity and bandwidth are largely immaterial considering the data rate needed for 1080p/24 video and quality audio. It's like buying an eight seat SUV as a commuter car.

    5. Re:NPD numbers by stabiesoft · · Score: 1

      I actually can see a difference between HD and BD, and am probably one of the few. Basically, I notice dark scenes in BD are more filmlike. I see a compression in the previous warner products where they used the same encode for BD/HD. Its not dramatic, but I can tell. I'm hoping Warner starts using higher bit rate encodes and lossless audio now that they do not have to fit within the constraints of HD bitrates. So, for me, this quality improvement is more important than the PIP and net stuff that is coming in profile 1.1 and 2.0. So I'm very satisfied with my profile 1.0 player. I don't know why, but if I look at media prices, I've just noticed (and taken advantage of) more sales on BD. List is basically the same for both, but I have not paid list for any of the 50 odd BD's I own. Fry's has lots of sales as does amazon. I've got numerous titles for 14 bucks in BOGO sales. The region coding and extra DRM is no big deal (for me) as I don't watch movies on a computer. I can see how others find this onerous though.

    6. Re:NPD numbers by Wdomburg · · Score: 1

      The blu camp definitely sponsered a large number of sales, including direct discounts by Disney. I wouldn't base media cost on sale prices though.

      As for quality difference, the majority of the BD catalog is actually encoded in MPEG-2 still, so they get markedly worse picture quality despite the higher bandwidth. The VC-1 and AVC encodings are done at virtually the same bitrate otherwise, since 1080p simply doesn't need that high a data rate to represent a high fidelity picture.

      About the only thing the extra bandwidth is "needed" for is lossless audio with a large number of channels. Personally I think that lossless audio is just the latest dick-waving contest for people with too much money. In terms of perceptible quality it buys you nothing. About the only place it actually makes sense is if you plan on transcoding formats and want to avoid introducing artifacts (which is why my music collection is encoded lossless).

  47. Looks like the writing is on the wall for HD DVD by jbellis · · Score: 4, Informative

    Blu-ray titles take 10 spots on the Amazon DVD bestsellers list atm, including the top four. There are _no_ HD DVD titles in the top 25. The bestselling HD DVD title is #35. (Behind 4 more blu-ray titles on the way.)

    I know hating on Sony is de rigeur here. Sorry.

  48. Rods and Cones by Moryath · · Score: 0

    The human eye isn't a 100% analog device either - it's a digital device which takes light sampling using rods (black/white luminance) and cones (color information) and sorts them together.

    Damage the eye, and you can get a "blind spot" where all the rods and cones are defunct. Drop to low lighting conditions where there's not enough to activate the cones, and you switch to rod-only black and white "night vision" with the brain filling in what it *thinks* the color of something should be based on what you perceive objects to be.

    The real problem is simply that human visual acuity isn't actually all that great. Can you tell the difference between a 480p and 720p image on your computer monitor? Probably, but you're sitting a foot and a half away from it.

    From 10 feet away, you can *barely* distinguish a 480p image from a 720p image on a 30" set.
    Go up to a 60" set and you can barely tell between 720p and 1080i/p from the same distance.

    Me? I have a 50" TV. My max viewing distance is 12 feet. My minimum is 8 feet. (I occasionally move the couch). It's a 720p native screen and that's just fine by me.

    I've saved a number of people on the order of $1000 by showing them this graph at a local Best Buy and having them simply stand in front of a TV known to be getting an HD feed and step back and forth. The salesmonkeys hate me for it.

  49. Sour grapes? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It seems the /. crowd was really hoping HD-DVD was going to "win," if they had to pick a winner. Judging from the comments that have bubbled to the top so far, that is. Me, I've always liked Blu-ray's features (like integrated Java) better (and let's be realistic, the DRM on both formats isn't all that materially different; AACS is the foundation for both), so I'm quite pleased that the "format war" is over.

    And make no mistake, Warner Brothers making a choice is huge. They were trying to play both sides for years, but they've finally said, "Enough is enough, we want an HD disc standard so we can start making money," and picked a horse, and that's going to be it. Whether or not HD-DVD continues to sell, consumers are quickly going to get the signal that a winner has been anointed.

    I do see a parallel with DivX, as another commenter observed, but it's not a matter of both sharing overly restrictive DRM (which the average buyer isn't going to consider, no matter whether it effects them or not--it's not the make-or-break issue the /. crowd makes it out to be). No, DivX was an obvious loser from the get-go, and now HD-DVD is in the same position. Everyone, from the studios to the retail channel to the end user, is now going to "know" that HD-DVD is doomed to be the next Betamax, and nobody wants to end up holding that bag.

    Also don't be fooled that Warner is ending HD-DVD support in May; they've probably got a lot of HD-DVD authored content/manufacturing in the pipeline still, but they're going to be winding that down pretty quickly. DVD and Blu-ray is going to be released first, and HD-DVD will follow after a whole month.

    So yeah, the /. crowd needs to recognize, once again, that they knew nothing and that their conventional wisdom was wrong. There's actually not that much of a difference between Blu-ray and HD-DVD (although I still think Blu-ray is a better format, at least from the perspective of a computer geek), and these formats are going to be useful, all the muttering about video on demand over the Internet not withstanding. (We heard a lot of the same talk ten years ago, and yet we're still not quite there yet--even with YouTube-quality video, which is about a quarter of DVD resolution.)

    So let's welcome our new high definition disc overlords, and start thinking about how we can use this technology, rather than whining about DRM or how Sony is evil and hates their customers. (Which is a bit of a red herring, as Sony isn't == Blu-ray nearly as much as Toshiba == HD-DVD. The BDA includes quite a few other heavy hitters, like Apple and Disney, while HD-DVD has... Microsoft. Gee, I wonder why Microsoft is in the HD-DVD camp.)

  50. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    As was the CD, a joint venture with Philips, the other company that tries to come up with ground breaking / market changing products.

  51. Neither by The+Cisco+Kid · · Score: 1

    "new" DVD format offers anything that is *remotely* enough of an advantage over the hugely entrenched normal DVD format to replace it. I predict whichver one 'wins' will sort of 'hang on' for a while, for which there will be a small videophile market that will slowly die off. Sort of like Betamax tapes and laserdiscs.

  52. Re: Warner "Pretends"... by Adambomb · · Score: 1

    Exactly. Talk is cheap, and there is NO way the current agreements on paper are not finite.

    --
    Ice Cream has no bones.
  53. The cheap players might still swing it by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    We've just had Xmas and a whole lot of people bought HD-DVD because of the cheap players. maybe this will jack up the numbers and cause another swing.

    --
    No sig today...
    1. Re:The cheap players might still swing it by DrEldarion · · Score: 1

      The problem is that there are around 9 million PS3s in consumer hands, and this number is growing at a much faster rate than HD-DVD player sales are. That doesn't include standalone players, either.

      Sony made a pretty brilliant move in equipping the PS3 with Blu-ray. Not only did they pretty much ensure that Blu-ray would win the format war, once they win it, sales of the PS3 will grow because it's the best Blu-ray player.

    2. Re:The cheap players might still swing it by TrancePhreak · · Score: 1

      So Sony used it's position in the gaming industry to push ahead in the home video industry? What happens if they win? Lawsuit?

      --

      -]Phreak Out[-
    3. Re:The cheap players might still swing it by DrEldarion · · Score: 1

      That only applies if there's a monoply. Sony doesn't have a monopoly. Why should there be a lawsuit?

      Blu-ray is far, far more companies than just Sony, anyway.

    4. Re:The cheap players might still swing it by mahlerfan999 · · Score: 1

      The problem is that there are around 9 million PS3s in consumer hands, and this number is growing at a much faster rate than HD-DVD player sales are. That doesn't include standalone players, either. Except only a small fraction of PS3 owners are buying bluray discs. The PS3 doesn't actually have much of a role in the format war. The large majority of PS3 owners only use their PS3s for gaming. And as a matter of fact, the HD-DVD players sell more than the Blu-Ray players. Blu-Ray has the edge not because of the player adoption, it has the edge because it sells more discs.
    5. Re:The cheap players might still swing it by aliquis · · Score: 1

      I would say it may have been a rather shitty move, because it made the PS3 much pricer to make and sell, and that's why or atleast one out of two reason why it's losing a lot to Wii. Noone will argue against that a PS3 with DVD-player would be much cheaper, thought not as future proof and good. (Kind of like 360.. ;/)

      Yeah, it helped them win, even more so if PS3 had sold better, but no, people won't buy PS3 because it's a blu-ray player, atleast I doubt that. Not many bought PS2 or Xbox for DVD-playing, or? Thought atleast the PS3 doesn't make a lot of noice.

      I'll probably get a Wii and PS3 sometime later when prices is lower, and if you can copy games on PS3..

  54. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by stonecypher · · Score: 4, Informative

    So did CD, 3.5" discs, DAT and a bunch of computer tape formats.

    --
    StoneCypher is Full of BS
  55. Dear DVR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "At the end of the day I would much rather deal with Sony, because I can easily use someone else's player but if Microsoft controls the software in the living room then history shows we will be in for decades of crap."

    You mean like with the upcoming 360 DVR?

  56. Not there yet. by Animats · · Score: 5, Informative

    I'd been hoping we'd skip HD and Blu-Ray and go to one of those higher-density mediums one hears about on Slashdot every few weeks. Both formats still require too much compression.

    We're not there yet. We're probably there when we get 2K high images at 72FPS without compression artifacts. Somewhere around 72FPS, the annoying strobing on pans disappears. Or, in other words, football games finally look right. Football games are hard because the background is moving, there's action moving in different directions, and viewers care about the detail. The motion compression algorithms can't really handle that situation.

    The digital cinema industry has a standard for this. They have two formats, "2K", which is simply 1080p, that is, 1080x2048 pixels, and "4K", which is 2160x4096 pixels. They define two speeds; 24FPS and 48FPS. Color depth is 12 bits. Compression is JPEG 2000. Maximum image data per frame is 1,302,083 bytes (which is actually smaller than you'd expect). Audio is sampled at 96KHz with a depth of 24 bits, and is not compressed. There are 16 audio channels. That's the Hollywood/SMTPE definition of a "movie" in the digital era.

    In actual practice, most films now being distributed digitally are going out in "2K" mode, at 24 FPS,with 8 audio channels. The spec has headroom to double each of those numbers.

    A 2-hour movie at all the highest ratings is about 500GB. So that's what needs to be delivered to the consumer. Neither HD nor Blu-Ray can do that yet.

    1. Re:Not there yet. by ChaoticLimbs · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The consuming public has no need for what is essentially a studio master uncompressed copy. What is suitable for public exhibition is not the same as what's suitable for buying at Wal-Mart. Those 2k exhibition copies cost thousands of dollars, don't they? I would think that 1080p DV with MP4 compression or equivalent would be plenty for movies. For sports and other things, even true 60fps is better than nothing. Perhaps a standard with 75 fps at 720p resolutions would be better for sports broadcasts and highlights.

    2. Re:Not there yet. by IdeaMan · · Score: 1

      What the heck?
      The consuming public has no need for:
      - DAT
      - Mixing tables
      - Professional power tools vs consumer grade
      - Video Cameras

      yeah right.

      There are a LOT of people that want the tools to do a professional job.

      --
      They ARE out to get you simply because They are in it for themselves and they don't care about you.
    3. Re:Not there yet. by Doppler00 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I know most of my friends still don't care about the difference between DVD and HD quality, how on earth are you going to convince people that they need 2160p and 48 fps? I think trying to standardize long term on 1080p for everything is going to be hard enough.

    4. Re:Not there yet. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why don't you show us a link to an affordable 2160p TV?

    5. Re:Not there yet. by peas_n_carrots · · Score: 1

      Uncompressed video is unnecessary for the consumer market. It's a nice utopia for video/audiophile geeks, but the cost of storage and distribution just isn't worth it.
      The reason for multi-channel audio in the consumer space is to recreate surround sound, not to preserve individual instruments/voices. 6-channel (5.1) surround is plenty good, and 8-channel (7.1) is available at a marginal improvement. 16-channel for end-user consumption is absurd.
      Your wishlist is kind of like asking magazine publishers to distribute all their prints with 4-color separations. Consumers don't care about preserving all the intermediary information, they just want the end product.

    6. Re:Not there yet. by jim3e8 · · Score: 1

      You argue for higher-density 500GB video media. Fine, though it will be many years before such a disc is available. But then you say this would improve broadcast football games (I assume you mean broadcast, unless you're Netflixing last season). Which is it, disc or broadcast? Distributing a 500GB movie on discs is currently a bit fanciful, but distributing a 500GB movie over the air (in real time? that's 560 Mbps, compared to 19Mbps OTA HD broadcast), or over cable, is laughable.

  57. Wanna buy a zip drive ? by speedlaw · · Score: 1

    Formats come and go so quickly. I was backing up some data to my terabyte drive, and some USB thumb drives. I came across a set of zip discs that had fallen behind the desk a while back. The date stamp of 2001 was not that long ago. I have a nice widescreen, full 1080p. DVD's look good, to the point you can critique the transfer. Still, in an A/B comparison with Star Wars, (ABC ran it, I tossed in the DVD for a quick a/b) the HD signal is better. We also get channel 13 and 13-1 here, and sometimes they show the same show, letterboxed on the SD channel and full screen on the -1 channel. There is a clear difference. Of course, if you don't have a big screen, you would not tell, so there goes 99 % of the market. Wanna buy a zip drive ?

  58. Misinterpretation of data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think WB suffers from some of the same misinterpretation of Bluray sales data that has been rampant.

    Bluray player sales are almost entirely PS3 based (73%). HDDVD are almost entirely standalone (people buying them to watch movies). Disc SALES are currently misleading because as a popular holiday gift en liu of the Wii, the PS3 was gifted along with the gift of movies to PS3 owners, which include a large number of kids under 18. The likelihood that these kids are going to go buy discs on their own is not great.

    A better indication of adoption is the number of standalone player sales and the rental market. Netflix web site statistics show a 3:1 format preference for HD-DVD. It shows that while more people viewed information on BluRay discs (expected since there are currently more available), they select HD-DVD as their default shipped format by 3:1.

    So the interpretation of that data suggests that HD-DVD players have become the home player of choice and people are renting their movies and not buying. The "sales" of bluray would appear to be tied to the sales of PS3's as gifts. This may be bad for WB since they want people to buy movies and not rent, but WB and others are misrepresenting what is really going on to try to direct the format to the one that makes the most money right now. Unfortunately, that is a temporary phenomenon and will subside over time since a large portion of PS3 users aren't old enough to posses a credit card.

    I don't think WB will make it to May (the date they chose to change over to bluray exclusive) before they change their mind and continue making both. Q1 Sales data and rental data will speak volumes.

    1. Re:Misinterpretation of data by Boogaroo · · Score: 1

      Would it be possible that the shipped HD-DVD rate from Netflix is because people are so nervous about HD-DVD that they're not willing to buy them? They don't want to get the shaft when the switch comes.

      I almost never rent, by the time I rent, it's almost worth buying a movie.

    2. Re:Misinterpretation of data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thats funny, the majority of the people I know rarely buy DVDs for themselves. They buy them as gifts, as in gifts for their grandchildren who got a PS3 for Christmas.

      I own maybe 20 DVDs, 7 of which came with my player 10 years ago. The only ones I've watched more than once were concert videos. Its like books...who reads them more than once? And its not like I can loan them out because all the people I know get their pick of DVDs delivered to their door and would rather do that than have to return them to me.

      The flaw in your theory is that they already bought an HD-DVD player. That is the biggest investment they could "get the shaft" with and they've already taken the plunge. The reality is that when the PS3 breaks, goes off the college, or is subsequently ebayed to buy the latest next-gen offering from Nintendo or Microsoft, and mommy and daddy need a real dedicated player, that 1 or 2 movies grandma or auntie gave the child as Christmas gifts is not going to make them pay $200 more for a BluRay player.

    3. Re:Misinterpretation of data by Boogaroo · · Score: 1

      The flaw in your theory is in the assumption that the player is the most expensive part.

      I have over 200 DVDs and I have at least three friends with probably 100+ each. Even if you get them from the pawn shop for $5 each that's more than $1000. Far more than any player.

      Seriously, the movies ARE everything. Movie studios dont' give a flying leap for a player. They want to sell movies. If you've got a PS3 sitting on the shelf, who would buy HD-DVD? Also, after that PS3 goes to college, guess what, most of the movies are still at the house, prompting purchase of another BluRay player.

  59. Now that its out by BradWarden · · Score: 0

    If more than a few people like the format it will die just like my laser disc, OS/2, AS400, Amiga...Long and slow. I can still buy laser disc and the support for repairs is solid. Even if a few people make HD DVDs a hobby it will be here for while. For me DVD is good enough and I find laser disc at garage sales and flea markets.

  60. Oh for fuck's sake, why zones/regions again by Brummund · · Score: 1

    I got a rather good home cinema setup (100" canvas, projector, large surround speakers etc), and I couldn't care less for who wins this war, except for one tiny thing:

    The fucktards from Sony who:

    * Killed SACD
    * Bacs Blu-Ray which, like DVDs, got this inane region/zone scheme

    Why zones all over again? It is such a joy to just order HD-DVDs from anywhere and they just work on my HD-DVD player. Gahhhhh, I guess people really want this crap.

    1. Re:Oh for fuck's sake, why zones/regions again by benzapp · · Score: 1

      I don't think SACD is dead just yet. A lot of great classical music comes out on it still. I just ordered $200 of SACDs from amazon today. All new.

      --
      I don't read or respond to AC posts
  61. Re:Welcome to slashdong! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I can suck it long OR I can suck it hard, but I can't do BOTH!

  62. Pros and Cons? by Midnight+Thunder · · Score: 1

    Can anyone the relative advantages to each format, especially as a data storage solution?

    IMHO the battle is not over until the 'loser' concedes.

    --
    Jumpstart the tartan drive.
    1. Re:Pros and Cons? by myz24 · · Score: 1

      The HD-DVD camp is canceling their appearance at CES, this to me is as good as conceding as anything

  63. sure they look fine... by Reverend528 · · Score: 4, Funny

    DVDs look great on my HDTV (40" LCD).
    Sure they look fine, but they don't support the 96 kHz audio sampling rate. By sticking with DVDs, you're missing out on a vast spectrum of inaudible sound.
    1. Re:sure they look fine... by mrsteveman1 · · Score: 1

      blah

    2. Re:sure they look fine... by coolbox · · Score: 1

      You'd be wrong sir - you just need the proper audio equipment, just like the kit I bought from a fine gentleman on ebay. My volume can go up to 11, which already helps a great deal, but the real clincher is the wooden knobs - really brings out the full spectrum like you wouldn't believe. I can almost SEE the inaudible sound now, it's so clear! He also said when I have enough money he'll sell me a SUPER SPECIAL already-listened-in cable, which will make my sound system the envy of the neigbourhood! Nice to know there's still such helpful individuals around.

    3. Re:sure they look fine... by antibryce · · Score: 2, Funny

      That added spectrum sounds like nothing else. I can't wait till a remastered version of John Cage's 4'33" is released for it.

    4. Re:sure they look fine... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      John and Yoko's Two Minutes Silence is way better than that pop-art dreck that Cage came up with.

    5. Re:sure they look fine... by gallondr00nk · · Score: 1
      Sure they look fine, but they don't support the 96 kHz audio sampling rate. By sticking with DVDs, you're missing out on a vast spectrum of inaudible sound.

      Actually DVD does support 96khz audio, you just can't hear it.

    6. Re:sure they look fine... by tabby · · Score: 1

      *cups hand to ear* WHAT?!

      --
      I've experiments to run, there is research to be done on the people who are still alive.
    7. Re:sure they look fine... by Trogre · · Score: 1

      Actually what I'm more interested in is hearing movies at 24fps.

      I live in a country that uses 25fps PAL. When converting a 24fps movie to PAL, they don't bother with any juddery 3:2 pulldown like with NTSC, they just speed up the film four percent. This has the effect of raising the pitch of every voice, musical piece and sound effect by one semitone. Rather distracting for someone with an ear for good music.

      The picture quality is still better than NTSC, so there's a bit of a tradeoff there I guess.

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    8. Re:sure they look fine... by dellcom · · Score: 1

      Sure they look fine, but they don't support the 96 kHz audio sampling rate. By sticking with DVDs, you're missing out on a vast spectrum of inaudible sound.
      Yeah but i don't want my dogs to miss out on that great audio... To bad they will miss out on the that stunning video quality...
      --
      Any problem caused by a tank can be solved by a tank.
    9. Re:sure they look fine... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      INAUDIBLE? Then the only consequence will be his dog thankin him....

  64. HD DVD is consumer commodity and Blu-Ray is pricy by Zen · · Score: 1

    Personally, I just went out yesterday and bought myself an A30. 7-10 free DVD's for $200-$250 and the player supports everything possible except for bitstream audio output? Count me in. If the format dies tomorrow, and my player lasts the 6+ years that my cheapy Apex has, and I can't buy a single extra HD DVD disk, I'll still be happy and consider the price a great deal.

    Blu-Ray format does not seem to be managed well. I want both formats because I don't believe that either format will die in the next 18 months. However, HD's specs are well established, and work well. Blu-Ray's specs are ever changing. Profile 1.1 was ratified a while back, but as far as I know there is nothing available in the consumer markets that meets this spec today. Profile 2 is out there as well, and while I haven't dona a lot of research, I didn't find any release dates specified from any manufacturer on when they were going to meet the new profile specs. Things like on board memory and expansion ports for adding things later are in the new specs. Seems to me that the Blu-Ray commission seems to think there's big things coming down the pipe for the platform if they are adding expansion to it. I am not willing to plunk down $400 to get a decent Blu-Ray player that only comes with 5 free movies today. That comes out to $150 more for the player, plus $130 for the extra 5 disks to match what my HD player comes with. That is a huge price difference just to get shafted with a player that doesn't meet the latest Blu-Ray specs and probably will never be able to be upgraded to meet them, either.

    Thanks, but no thanks. I plan to support both formats since there are movies on each that I want. But I'll wait a few months for Blu-Ray to figure out if they're actually going to put out a product that meets their customers needs, and drop the price on it in the meantime.

  65. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by Cannelloni · · Score: 1

    Indeed. And the original SuperDrive in the old Macs (I'm talking about the "bird feeder" compact models from the 1980s) were made by Sony. That company has had many, many wins and hugely successful technologies, such as Trinitron, Betacam SP, the Walkman and Discman of course, and, like you have already mentioned, the CD (in cooperation with Philips), 3.5" floppies, DAT and MiniDisc to name but a few. Betamax was a sad intermssion...

    --
    Beauty is in the beholder of the eye.
  66. Rocking chair? by tivoKlr · · Score: 1

    Well, I just rocked over a cd installer for my daughter's "Barbie digital camera" and guess what, it broke.

    Don't keep those backups on the floor!

    --
    Ocean is land, covered with water.
  67. BluRay is slightly better for sw players by Terje+Mathisen · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I have spent a couple of months optimizing code for HD decoding, and mostly the format doesn't really matter:

    Both use the same codecs, they support the same resolutions, and the maximum bitrate is more or less the same (30 vs 40 Mbit/s for HD vs BR).

    The one important difference is that a "full HD" 1080x1920 BR frame will always be encoded as four quadrants, each at 540x960.

    This does lead to marginally lower compression rates, since you get more borders, but the great benefit is that you can have multiple CPU cores (up to 4) work in parallel on each of the parts!

    You can of course do the same with a multi-core decoder for HD-DVD, but only by starting each cpu/thread at a different key frame, and since each 1080p picture requires 2 Mpixels, it is far too easy to trash both the TLB tables and the L2 caches when doing the motion compensation step which normally requires multiple source frames to be available to generate each target frame.

    Terje

    --
    "almost all programming can be viewed as an exercise in caching"
    1. Re:BluRay is slightly better for sw players by h4rm0ny · · Score: 2, Interesting


      This is interesting. It's an area I know little about. Isn't the decoding of the content off-loaded to the graphics card normally, and doesn't this mean that a quad-core CPU doesn't help?

      Not meant as a challenge - interested in more information.

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    2. Re:BluRay is slightly better for sw players by bugg · · Score: 1

      Except BD discs have a higher capacity than HD-DVD discs, so you'd be able to encode the blu-ray content at a higher bitrate, holding all else the same.

      Am I missing something?

      --
      -bugg
    3. Re:BluRay is slightly better for sw players by Terje+Mathisen · · Score: 1

      BluRay disks needs to be higher capacity, since they (as I noted in my first post) also allow higher encoding bitrates: 40 vs 30 Mbit/s.

      However, even with 1080p content, HD-DVD's 30 Mbit/s seems to be enough to encode even very dynamic content with no visual errors.

      I have watched many times a number of 720p and 1080p test videos, of stuff like shuttle takeoffs and fighter aircraft exhibitions, encoded with various bitrates from 15 to 40 Mbit, and the difference (at least to my 50-year old eyes) is actually _very_ small, with the step from 30 to 40 seemingly giving no actual improvement.

      The 40 Mbit cap might become important when even higher resolutions, like 1440p or 2160p become available at some point in the (far off?) future.

      Terje

      --
      "almost all programming can be viewed as an exercise in caching"
    4. Re:BluRay is slightly better for sw players by sjames · · Score: 1

      Perhaps not on your desktop, but the eventual low-cost embedded players will sure appreciate it. In that environment, not needing cooling fans is a huge win, so multiple lower power processors is great if you can get away with it.

    5. Re:BluRay is slightly better for sw players by pete-classic · · Score: 1

      Both use the same codecs, they support the same resolutions, and the maximum bitrate is more or less the same (30 vs 40 Mbit/s for HD vs BR).


      Sure. What's a 30% increase between friends? My boss offered me a 30% raise, and I was like, "Why bother?".

      (Blu-ray actually has 29.7% more video bandwith.)

      -Peter
  68. Compulsory DRM? by Zobeid · · Score: 1

    Not sure what you mean by compulsory DRM. I was aware that Blu-ray has region codes and HD-DVD does not, but otherwise I thought their DRM schemes were basically the same. Are you saying it's not possible to create a non-DRM Blu-ray disc even if you wanted to? And that it's possible to do with HD-DVD?

    1. Re:Compulsory DRM? by squiggleslash · · Score: 2, Informative

      Are you saying it's not possible to create a non-DRM Blu-ray disc even if you wanted to? And that it's possible to do with HD-DVD?

      Yes. AACS is an optional feature of HD-DVD discs, but a compulsory feature of (Blue laser) Blu-ray discs.

      It is possible to master a type of red-laser (DVD) Blu-ray (data) format disc without AACS, but for obvious reasons this isn't exactly an attractive option.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    2. Re:Compulsory DRM? by dangitman · · Score: 1

      It is possible to master a type of red-laser (DVD) Blu-ray (data) format disc without AACS, but for obvious reasons this isn't exactly an attractive option.

      Sound pretty attractive to me. For home movies, and short films (students, no budget experimenters) - you get the very cheap cost of DVD media, but are able to show the content in High Definition.

      --
      ... and then they built the supercollider.
    3. Re:Compulsory DRM? by dangitman · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah, it also sounds as if it would be possible to author these discs on existing red-laser DVD burners. Which means all of our existing Final Cut Pro/DVD Studio Pro workstations are able to produce High-Def discs without any hardware upgrades. All we'd need is the players in the screening rooms. The only way we'd be able to do that otherwise would be to hook up a computer in every screening room, which isn't the most attractive solution.

      --
      ... and then they built the supercollider.
    4. Re:Compulsory DRM? by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      Both HD-DVD and Blu-ray support red laser discs. What I'm saying is that for blue-laser media, only HD-DVD supports it in DRM-free form.

      Yes, it's attractive in the sense that if you're doing a short movie and have little budget, it's technically possible to use. But that doesn't mean that every low budget movie is going to find the approach attractive. Do you really want to be forced to license AACS, or else ship two discs and force viewers to swap them in the middle of the movie, if you want to distribute a high-def movie that's more than a little under an hour and a half long?

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
  69. WTF by Vadim+Makarov · · Score: 1

    Frankly, I don't understand what the fuss is about. I download hi-def movied that have either "HD" or "blu-ray" as a part of the filename. Both formats play just fine. I don't see any difference. Who ever needs to buy a drive and optical disks when we have fast internet, large hard drives and thepiratebay.org?

    --
    17779 eligible voters in a district, 17779 'vote' as one. This is Russia.
    1. Re:WTF by sl3xd · · Score: 1

      That's because there is no difference in the actual movie - same codecs for both audio and video, and when all is said, the same bitrates too; it costs more to make a dual layer disc than a single layer, so there's always the pressure to keep the bitrates as low as possible.

      When all is said & done, the only difference is:
      1.) The physical disc. HD DVD's spec has up to 3 layers, each in roughly 15 GB increments. The BD spec has 2 layers, each about 25 (the "experimental" discs that are 10 layer aren't actually compliant with the specification)
      2.) The menu system. HD DVD uses HDi, designed by Disney (who is oddly in the BD camp), and is more or less a web browser, using web technologies. BD uses BD-Java (A subset of Java). Both have advantages - it's a heck of a lot easier to make a menu for HD DVD than for BD. HD DVD was released with the full HDi spec finished and published - BD took over a year after release before BD-J was finalized.
      3.) HD DVD has more Mandatory codecs - ie. the player is required to be able to read & play more codecs). So while both have the same codecs, they're mandatory on HD DVD, and optional on BD.

      --
      -- Sometimes you have to turn the lights off in order to see.
  70. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by Stormwatch · · Score: 1

    DAT and MiniDisc were successful?!

  71. I have both formats by BarFly143 · · Score: 1

    And I honestly prefer HD-DVD; I have had less problems with playback. Blu-Ray playback is choppy (varies from disc to disc) unless I use something like AnyDVD to remove the encryption.

  72. It's about time! by Kaldaien · · Score: 1

    Honestly, I have long resented Toshiba for refusing to cooperate with SONY / Phillips on merging the two standards. If you spend any time thinking about the two disc formats, it's clear which one has the most potential. On the one hand we have an intermediate, quick fix solution with just enough capacity to store High Definition mpeg4 video; on the other, a revolutionary disc format that does for optical storage what DVDs were to CDs. When the industry finally decides to adopt Blu-Ray as the standard, we'll begin to see prices for players, burners, media and (hopefully) movies drop. Eventually we'll see PC / console games (non-PS3) that take 3+ DVDs shipping on single discs, or game developers offering higher resolution content because the storage medium has surplus capacity.

  73. Conspiracy Theories by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Did they purposely degrade the dvd so you payed more for the HD-DVD version? They do this all the time on cable. Sports shows are seriously poor compared to very detailed news shows

  74. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by Per+Wigren · · Score: 4, Informative

    DAT and MiniDisc were successful?! Yes, very much so. MiniDisc is still a very common and popular format in asia and DAT has been THE way to store the masters in small-to-medium sized music studios for 20 years and it's still going strong. Maybe it's popular in big-name studios also but I don't have any experience with them so I don't know.
    --
    My other account has a 3-digit UID.
  75. +5 INSIGHTFUL by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Absolutely spot on chap. This absolutely sucks donkey balls.

  76. I don't buy Sony products, Period. by newgalactic · · Score: 1

    Guess I'll be downloading HD movies or up-converting DVD's because I'm not going to be buying a BD player. The Sony DVD players I've owned I've hated. I won't be making the same mistake. If BD ends up being the only game in town, then I'll be sitting this one out ...until something else comes around.

    1. Re:I don't buy Sony products, Period. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What? There are more vendors making Blu-Ray Players thanHD-DVD Players. Samsung, LG, Phillips, and Panasonic all make Blu-Ray players.

    2. Re:I don't buy Sony products, Period. by lsolano · · Score: 0

      The Sony DVD players I've owned I've hated.

      I've never had a Sony DVD player, but I can not be happier now that I own a PS3 (the cheapest) only for playing Blu-ray discs. I bought the "dvd" remote control, of course.

      Some gigs of pictures in the hard drive is a nice thing too.
  77. To be fair... by hudsonhawk · · Score: 2, Informative

    You're not talking 44K vs 96K like you were with CD vs. DVD-Audio.

    With DVD vs. HD-DVD / Blu-Ray you're talking lossy Dolby Digital (roughtly equivalent to a 96kbps mp3 per channel) vs. lossless 5 channel (either via LPCM, MLP, or the DTS and Dolby Digital lossless formats).

    There's a huge difference there.

    1. Re:To be fair... by mangu · · Score: 0

      lossless 5 channel

      I use headphones, you insensitive clod! To listen to 5 channel sound I would have to grow three more ears...
    2. Re:To be fair... by Bertie · · Score: 1

      Not with dialogue, there isn't. That's plenty of bandwidth to reproduce a conversation with complete fidelity. And that's what movie soundtracks primarily consist of. The other stuff isn't that challenging either.

      Lossless audio reproduction is very important for music, but it really isn't for movies.

    3. Re:To be fair... by AaronLawrence · · Score: 1

      So there is very little music in movies then?
      Well actually music is one huge component of movies that can make the difference between average and great. So I think it's pretty important to have good sound reproduction for movies too.

      --
      For every expert, there is an equal and opposite expert. - Arthur C. Clarke
  78. The PS3 is 1.1 profile by Quila · · Score: 1

    The software update for that came out a while ago.

    The hardware specs were set, the small questions being software. The differences between 1.0 and 1.1 were pretty big, but could all be done in software except the 256 MB local storage.

    The differences between 1.1 and 1.2 are related to online interactivity, the only hardware differences being 1 GB local storage and Ethernet. The PS3 has both of those, so 1.2 profile compatibility is only a system update away.

    1. Re:The PS3 is 1.1 profile by DaveCBio · · Score: 1

      It isn't just software from what I've heard. 1.0 profile players are also missing the capability to decode a second stream to do things like PiP and that can't be resolved with a firmware update.

    2. Re:The PS3 is 1.1 profile by Zen · · Score: 1

      Right, you're correct. I forgot about that. I don't own a PS3 and have no current plans to own one, so since that one is not a standalone player it isn't even a consideration for me. The PS3 player seems like a great option for people who already have a PS3 and are also people who just want Blu-Ray and not necessarily the best Blu-Ray picture available.

      From what I've read, the PS3 does not do 1080p24 output, which should be the display choice of the future once more TV's start supporting it (My tv does support it, and so does my HD player, so that's a major consideration for me). I don't think a framerate change is possible to do via a software update - it probably requires a different chip. It also doesn't have a dedicated onboard chip that does upconversion of DVD's. On the plus side, they do allow bitstream audio output.

      So, not a good deal at all if you're only interested in playing movies and not games. $500 for the unit with a remote is even more then the mediocre non profile 1.1 standalone players. It's an even worse deal when you take into consideration a couple key features of next gen players that the PS3 unit does not have and likely will never have.

    3. Re:The PS3 is 1.1 profile by Quila · · Score: 1

      It would depend on the player design. They're screwed if they've put all of their stream decoding in hardware, otherwise, not.

  79. Neither wins by JumperCable · · Score: 1

    I still say the hard drive wins out in the long run... or at least until Flash drives come down in price.

  80. DRM Soapbox & Comparison Chart by Amigori · · Score: 2, Informative
    Fellow geeks, the only people who really care about DRM (on movies) is us geeks. Joe Sixpack just wants the disc to work when they put it in the player. Since we seem to debate DRM at least weekly, Here is a chart comparing the two plus SD-DVD. If you notice, ALL THREE have DRM. So the argument of HD-DVD having better/no DRM is pointless. Any of the formats can be DRM free if the author of the disc allows it.

    Notable facts:
    • DRM: AACS-128 on Both; BD+, ROM-Mark optional on Blu-ray
    • Larger aperture on Blu-ray, allowing for the higher capacity
    • 3 layer HD-DVD is v2.0 spec, 3 x 17GB = 51GB, currently unknown compatibility
    • Max bitrates (total, audio, video) are higher on Blu-ray
    • DD+ and Dolby TrueHD are mandatory on HD-DVD, optional on Blu-ray
    • HD-DVD is region free; Blu-ray has 3 regions; SD-DVD has 7 regions
    • Microsoft's HDi in HD-DVD vs. Sun's BD-J in Blu-ray
    • Stand-alone component manufacturers: HD-DVD: 5; Blu-ray: 5
    • LG has a player that supports both discs but is expensive
    • Blu-ray discs are hard-coated
    Most people I know that have an HDTV are quite satisfied with an upconverting DVD player and SD-DVDs. They're cheaper to buy at $BIGBOXRETAIL, look good enough scaled, and sound great. For most, DD 5.1 or DTS 5.1 are good enough for their setups. Even with the DD+/DTS-HD/TrueHD/DTS-HD Master, unless you have better speakers (think bought seperately, not a home-theater-in-a-box), you probably won't notice the difference in codecs.

    Also interesting to note how many geeks here are praising HD-DVD even though its an MS product. Isn't MS = Bad? Did I miss the MS = Good decision? Is it the lesser of two evils? Subjective, so you decide for yourself.
    --
    "The quality of life is determined by its activites."--Aristotle
    1. Re:DRM Soapbox & Comparison Chart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      HD-DVD is a Toshiba product. And anyone is better than Sony.

    2. Re:DRM Soapbox & Comparison Chart by Amigori · · Score: 1

      Look at the link. HD-DVD may be manufactured by Toshiba, but the software on the discs, HDi, is an MS thing. Or here is another link. The fact in question is reference point 24 under the "Attempts to avoid a format war." In this case, Toshiba = hardware development, Microsoft = software development. Even though royalties are involved with Blu-ray, the consortium decided Java was the way to go and didn't want to deal with Microsoft and HDi.

      I'm not defending them, but there are worse companies than Sony, and personally Microsoft is worse. Rootkit this, proprietary that, ad nauseum... Have you used Windows? Sony does have some nice products. This looks neat. Expensive, sure, and plenty of geeks around here I'm sure could build a 'better' one, but still for a non-geek with money, probably a solid purchase. prompt for comments about the MacMini, EyeTV, MythTV, box in the basement/closet/garage, with 2TB of RAID5, 4GB RAM, *NIX flavor of the day, etc... Like I said, for the non-geeks with money.

      --
      "The quality of life is determined by its activites."--Aristotle
  81. Of course they are going to say that by 2ms · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You people act like Warner is some kind of independent expert and accurate fortune teller. Of course they are going to say "We expect HD DVD to 'die' a quick death." That's what they want to happen because they are a Blu-ray only studio and they're obviously going to say it is going to happen because the more people say that then the more likely it is for it to actually happen.

  82. Streaming Video will kill Blu-ray... by stardude82 · · Score: 1

    I think these format wars will be moot in a few years due to the rise in Streaming Hi-Def. Has anybody else used NetFlix Watch Instantly with a good connection? To me the video and sound look better than DVD. They also coming out with set-top boxes this year. Sure its DRM laden with a crummy selection, but it cost nothing on top of the normal service.

    1. Re:Streaming Video will kill Blu-ray... by aristotle-dude · · Score: 1

      I think these format wars will be moot in a few years due to the rise in Streaming Hi-Def. Has anybody else used NetFlix Watch Instantly with a good connection? To me the video and sound look better than DVD. They also coming out with set-top boxes this year. Sure its DRM laden with a crummy selection, but it cost nothing on top of the normal service. How pray tell do all those people without the ability to even order broadband in their area do this? You are settling for DVD resolution and HD resolution streaming is not practical today.
      --
      Jesus was a compassionate social conservative who called individuals to sin no more.
  83. But... by Junta · · Score: 1

    Once a player is revoked for future titles, doesn't that mean they must intentionally break existing players? So far, since they've compromised keys of programs running on general purpose PCs, they've felt justified because, *relatively* speaking, customers getting a patch from the vendor isn't too difficult (but still, why should those customers suffer for the sake of the studios they gave money to already?). What happens when someone compromises a player's security, and that player is a widely used set top box without any network capabilities?

    I know that (perhaps the real reason for companies to leave HD-DVD behind) blu ray has this BD+ scheme which isn't yet demonstrated to be compromised in a general sense. Of course, nothing quite assures me like a Sony-backed standard talking about executable code being installed by a player from the disc, just so you couldn't possibly skip executing it. Sony has never abused such capability before, after all. I know, they *say* BD+ scheme shouldn't change anything persistently and a player *should* roll-back on disk eject to pre-disk state, but who knows.

    I wish that studios would recognize that for the illegal scene, they will certainly lose the DRM struggle. All it takes in that arena is for a handful of people to be willing to invest time and effort to break the protection and make a single drm-free copy in order for it to mean absolutely nothing to illegal distribution. They may not even elect to break the disk protection, instead having setups where they break any other part of the digital chain and laboriously copy it over. Meanwhile, for customers that wish to abide by the law, DRM provides no end of extreme headache. Want to make a private copy for backup purposes (i.e. you have young children and you want them to not manipulate the original), whoops, sorry. Want to copy it to hard drive for performance above and beyond any possible disc changer, that won't be valid either. Want to merely play it back on your system and don't run Vista, well, the studios don't like that, so no. Some arbitrary cracker a thousand miles away just *happened* to crack the protection in a way such that the studios will blacklist your playback methods, congratulations, they may make your player useless just to spite the cracker. Want to move it to a portable player that requires some transcoding, no, not allowed. And the studios answer to limitations is essentially they *might* allow common-sense private moving/modification, but only if devices doing this call home and beg for permission first. It's an insane world.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
    1. Re:But... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Once a player is revoked for future titles, doesn't that mean they must intentionally break existing players?

      Yes.

      Well, they'll be useless for new films anyway. Once again the legitimate consumer suffers.

  84. Re:eyestrain by IdeaMan · · Score: 1

    Up the refresh rate on your monitor to >=85hz, and make sure the room isn't completely dark.
    -Just something I've learned from 20 years of using a computer.

    --
    They ARE out to get you simply because They are in it for themselves and they don't care about you.
  85. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by The+Clockwork+Troll · · Score: 2, Funny

    I am a big fan of their screwdrivers work. My understanding is that they had a lot of influence over the design of the popular cammed cross tool.

    --

    There are no karma whores, only moderation johns
  86. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by ehrichweiss · · Score: 2, Interesting

    What's stunning me is that we're seriously discussing whether we want Sony or Microsoft to "win". It's like the choice between a giant douche, or a turd sandwich. Have we so quickly forgotten Microsoft is responsible for the horrendous DRM in Vista, and Sony was responsible for the rootkit fiasco?

    Vote Cthulu when you're tired of choosing from the lesser of two evils.

    --
    0x09F911029D74E35BD84156C5635688C0
  87. Issues with current HD situation by Whatsmynickname · · Score: 1

    I know I will get modded down because I say I generally don't agree with the parent, but here are some my observations:

    1) There's too many ways to actually receive HD when you're actually getting SD: stations have broadcast stations in both HD and SD on the same cable box, wrong source to TV connections, HDCP downsampling, HD-Lite, badly adjusted HDTV (especially LCD!), etc etc etc. Unless your an HD ultra-geek that knows EXACTLY what's up, chances are you think you're seeing HD, but actually are seeing SD.

    2) Have an older Sony 34XBR910 CRT HDTV and the thing that hits me the most about HD over SD is NOT the resolution, but the greatly increased color gamut! Although some shows / stations (ex: Discovery HD) oversaturate the color, in general it's the combination of increased color gamut with the 16:9 wide-screen and somewhat increased resolution that makes a better picture for me over SD.

    3) Whatever you do, do _NOT_ I repeat do _NOT_ compare HDTV based on what you see at Best Buy, Costco et. al.!!!! When I bought my TV a long time ago, went a a "real" high end TV store and compared pictures and our TV looked great. Went to Best Buy and the same TV looked like crap because of the input feed.

    4) I'll agree with this. I cannot tell the difference between 720p and 1080i at a casual glance. Fox HD transmits 720p and it looks as good as CBS HD.

  88. Offloading HD/BR decoding to the graphics card? by Terje+Mathisen · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) are very good at doing repetitive fp and fixed-point operations, and much less good a bit-twiddling. I.e. the motion compensation stage of video decoding, where you copy (possibly sub-pixel-located) source blocks into the target frame has been handled by graphics hw since the very first sw DVD players, like Zoran's SoftDVD which was the first.

    (In fact, SoftDVD was capable of handling 30 fps even without hw assists, running on a PentiumMMX 300 Mhz cpu, and without dropping any frames, but having the motion comp hw made it much easier to avoid drops. BTW, I did a very small bit of asm optimization work on that sw player.)

    High bitrate HD/BR video is encoded using the CABAC (Content-Adaptive Binary Arithmetic Coding) algorithm, which provides slightly better compression rates, but which is also particularly unsuited to a GPU: Each decoding step requires multiple if/then/else stages, just to decode a single bit of information. It is also completely serial, in that you normally cannot determine the context to use for the next decoded bit until you've finished the current bit and possibly even branched on the result!

    When you need to do this more than 50 million times/second, CABAC becomes the real bottleneck.

    OK?

    Terje

    --
    "almost all programming can be viewed as an exercise in caching"
    1. Re:Offloading HD/BR decoding to the graphics card? by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1


      That made a lot of sense (though I'm well aware of the gap between a summary and practical knowledge). Am glad I asked. Thanks!

      -H.

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    2. Re:Offloading HD/BR decoding to the graphics card? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      The latest generation of GPUs supports decoding of CAVLC/CABAC in hardware (NVIDIA calls it a Bitstream Processor).

  89. Um, no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Check your facts and stop being a fucking idiot. From wikipedia:

    Although widely considered to be Microsoft's product, there are actually 15 companies in the VC-1 patent pool (as of August 17, 2006). As an SMPTE standard, VC-1 is open to implementation by anyone, although implementers are hypothetically required to pay licensing fees to the MPEG LA, LLC licensing body or directly to its members, who claim to hold essential patents on the format (since it is a non-exclusive licensing body).[1]

  90. Sony NEVER made a 3.5" floppy disk. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It was actually 90mm.

    1. Re:Sony NEVER made a 3.5" floppy disk. by 91degrees · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yes, I know. They were 90x94mm, but most people in the US and UK knew them as 3.5 inch disks so I'll stick with the well known convention.

  91. Re: Warner "Pretends"... by rossifer · · Score: 1

    Even beyond the announcements being PR fluffery, this whole conflict is much ado about nothing.

    My HD DVD player makes regular DVD's look absolutely amazing in my HD system (40" 1080p LCD). Enough so that I still buy almost everything on DVD. Take Ratatouille for instance. The fact that it's a "Blu Ray Only" title is completely and utterly irrelevant when I can still watch it on my HD DVD player, it looks great, and I saved a few bucks besides (currently a $5 difference on Amazon between the BluRay and DVD versions).

    Actually, since I rip all of my movies to storage, I feel a little stupid when I spend money on an HD DVD since I don't have the software to rip HD DVD's, and if I did, I'd have to trade the space for 3-4 DVD's to save that one HD DVD. So, by several metrics, HD DVD's offer me less utility than DVD's in exchange for an incremental improvement in playback quality.

    Until direct network distribution of HD movie content becomes the norm, DVD's are plenty good enough for me.

  92. Don't forget the porn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As far as I know the Porn industry is still supporting HD DVD, and I suspect a lot of early adopters are also avid porn fans :)

  93. Mistake on Microsoft's part by Fishdoctor · · Score: 1

    Had MS added the HD player with the Xbox 360, we would not be having this conversation. I realize the price would have been higher for the 360. Simply having a HD-DVD add-on as an option is not a good strategy. The reason is obvious why WB went with Blue-Ray, all the PS3's out there. I will wait till prices drop even more, it is not worth paying the higher price for players at this time.

    1. Re:Mistake on Microsoft's part by DaveCBio · · Score: 1

      They really couldn't as the spec was not close enough to final when they needed it for their design plan. THey could have delayed the 360 another year, but that would have been a bigger mistake.

  94. eh.. by PenguinGuy · · Score: 1

    I can live without either format. I don't have a HDTV so it wouldn't do me any good and all of the DRM stuff makes me not want to get either one. I'll just stick with the regular DVD until I can't buy it anymore.

    --
    Computers are like Old Testament gods; lots of rules and no mercy.
  95. Re:Looks like the writing is on the wall for HD DV by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    That's a fast turn-around. I found this note posted on 23 November 2007:

    If Amazon is any indication it looks like a pretty good week for HD DVD sales. Out of the top 100 bestsellers, http://www.amazon.com/gp/bestsellers/dvd/ref=pd_ts_pg_1?ie=UTF8&pg=1 , HD DVD currently has nine on the list with none for Blu-Ray. Source: http://www.hometheatershack.com/forums/high-definition-hd-dvd-blu-ray/7556-amazon-dvd-bestsellers.html

    How did it turn around so fast?
  96. Re:Looks like the writing is on the wall for HD DV by sl3xd · · Score: 1

    The amazon scores change hourly - just after christmas the HD DVD titles were in the top 25, and no blu ray titles were there. It goes back and forth.

    Amazon isn't exactly the most useful metric for who's selling what.

    --
    -- Sometimes you have to turn the lights off in order to see.
  97. Note - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Those lap-dancing places don't count as restaurants.

  98. Significant figures by tepples · · Score: 1

    It was actually 90mm. If you want to be pedantic about the size of Sony's microfloppy form factor, please let me play along: 90.000 mm = 3.5433 inches, but 90. mm = 3.5 inches due to the significant figure rule.
    1. Re:Significant figures by Timmmm · · Score: 1

      Rubbish. In that context he clearly meant *exactly* 90 mm in the same way that CDs are 120 mm (not 120.000 mm). Don't be so pedantic.

    2. Re:Significant figures by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      I'm sure there are some tolerances allowed. I'd even bet that of one hundred randomly chosen "3.5 inch" floppy disks, at least ninety nine differ from 90 millimeters by at least 1 nanometer.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  99. The Blu-Ray vs. HD DVD war is far from over by willbry · · Score: 1

    For now, I'm waiting out the Blu-Ray vs. HD DVD war and loving my DVD Upconverting Player. The resolution is not as great as Blu-Ray or HD DVD, but it's an acceptable compromise. Besides, I can't afford to upgrade my existing DVD collection to either Blu-Ray or HD DVD discs. :(

    1. Re:The Blu-Ray vs. HD DVD war is far from over by aristotle-dude · · Score: 1

      For now, I'm waiting out the Blu-Ray vs. HD DVD war and loving my DVD Upconverting Player. The resolution is not as great as Blu-Ray or HD DVD, but it's an acceptable compromise. Besides, I can't afford to upgrade my existing DVD collection to either Blu-Ray or HD DVD discs. :( You do realize that blu-ray players will upconvert DVDs don't you? Nobody is expecting everyone to rebuy everything. I've been buying new releases that I wanted and catalogue titles that I did not own on DVD already.
      --
      Jesus was a compassionate social conservative who called individuals to sin no more.
    2. Re:The Blu-Ray vs. HD DVD war is far from over by willbry · · Score: 1
      Yes, but what if HD DVD wins and Blu-Ray goes the way of BetaMax?

      Call me cynical, but I do believe re-buying everything is exactly what the marketers of these products want us to do. It happened in the audio world: 8 track, vinyl, CD, digital, and we've seen it in the video world: VHS, DVD and, now, HD DVD/Blu-Ray.

      Or, perhaps, there is enough room for both Blu-Ray and HD DVD to survive in the marketplace.

      For now, DVD Upconverting works for me.
      http://dvdupconvert.wordpress.com/

    3. Re:The Blu-Ray vs. HD DVD war is far from over by aristotle-dude · · Score: 1

      Yes, but what if HD DVD wins and Blu-Ray goes the way of BetaMax? How exactly is that going to happen given that Blu-ray was created by a partnership between Panasonic and Sony with the former as the larger partner and now has all major CE's as licensees or BDA members save for Toshiba? To contrast that with HD DVD, Toshiba is the main patent holder and manufacturer of HD DVD drive assemblies and standalone units. Even some of the other brands of HD DVD standalones announced were just rebranded Toshiba units with slightly altered specs. It would seem to me that Sony learned from the BetaMax fiasco by involving/licensing the format to a wide variety of companies while Toshiba is repeating Sony's BetaMax mistake by trying to go it out alone and then alienating their partners by trying to undercut everyone on price by a wide margin.

      The blu-ray format now has 70% of the major studio support exclusively whereas HD DVD has less than 30% given that there are some smaller studios such as Magnolia which are currently neutral. Given this development and Toshiba trying to sell players for 99 bucks and giving away 7-10 free movies but still being beaten by sales of blu-ray players for 300 dollars plus 5 free movies, how pray tell could they now possibly win? Have you every owned a Toshiba DVD player? They suck. I've heard of people recently tell of their Toshiba HD-A1 biting the dust the day of the Warner announcement. I went through two upscaling Toshiba DVD players and I'm not too happy with my HD-A2 DVD player either. I bought the player to have access to Universal titles but I fully expect the remaining studios to abandon HD DVD before the year is out.

      BTW. Go to wikipedia and read up on each format and look at the comparison article there. You will learn how how Toshiba almost gave up a little over a year ago but MSFT convinced them to continue on. You will also learn there that outside of the US, blu-ray has a disc sales lead anywhere from 3:1 to 9 :1.

      --
      Jesus was a compassionate social conservative who called individuals to sin no more.
    4. Re:The Blu-Ray vs. HD DVD war is far from over by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let me get this straight: you don't want to go with either HD DVD or Blu-Ray because one of them *might* lose? However, the thing you are sticking with (standard DVD) *will* lose with almost 100% certainty. At least with HD DVD or Blu-Ray your odds are somewhere around 50/50. With standard DVD, no matter which HD disc wins, you end up with the inferior product and you lose. Your odds are better gambling on one of the HD formats.

      Now as far as re-buying, yes if you want the stuff you already own on DVD in 1080p you will have to rebuy, but if you have, say, HD DVD and Blu-Ray wins, all you have to do is convert your HD DVD movies to Blu-Ray. You know that all this stuff has been hacked, right? And any particular disc that hasn't yet been hacked will be in short order.

    5. Re:The Blu-Ray vs. HD DVD war is far from over by willbry · · Score: 1

      Good info to have, thanks. I agree about Toshiba, I don't buy their crappy products. All signs are pointing to Blu-Ray now. Still, I'm holding off on upgrading beyond DVD upconversion until the final nail hits the coffin.

  100. Inaudible sound? by Stickerboy · · Score: 1

    >Sure they look fine, but they don't support the 96 kHz audio sampling rate. By sticking with DVDs, you're missing out on a vast spectrum of inaudible sound.

    His dog, at least, thanks him for sticking with DVDs!

    --
    Light a fire for a man and he'll be warm for a day. Light a man on fire and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
  101. What will Microsoft do then? by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    There is one player left who will likely fight on, that being microsoft.

    Microsoft doesn't make movies - with Blu-Ray now having 70% of all movies exclusive to that format, what exactly is it even possible for Microsoft to do? Subsidize player sales for Toshiba so they are super cheap? Done. Buy out a studio? None are left to be purchased, and Paramount had almost no impact because Spielburg wouldn't let them release the most popular titles they have.

    Microsoft could have put an HD-DVD drive in the 360, last year when there was still a question of who was going to win. But they didn't even do that.

    There was a rumor that Microsoft laid down an ultimatum this week - the HD-DVD partner studios had to agree to give Microsoft exclusive access to download movies, or Microsoft would move on. So I think the only fight left in Microsoft is to move to Blu-Ray to spite the remaining HD-DVD studios!

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  102. 1 & 2 satisfied by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    1) Format war is over. Warner did it.

    2) Player prices have fallen below $300, low enough to where in December Blu-Ray players were outselling HD-DVD players.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  103. Trinitron by aliquis · · Score: 1

    I must add trinitron to the list aswell.

    I have no idea if Sony have had anything to do with DV, Firewire, HDMI, some LCD technique, and so on. But I guess hey have done some more stuff right which I don't know about.

  104. New Line already announced they are Blu-Ray only by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Informative

    In a number of the press releases you'll see New Line is Blu-Ray only as well. LOTR will only be on Blu-Ray now.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  105. Most discs no region coded, and after a year none by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Informative

    Blu-Ray isn't nearly as bad as DVD was:

    1) Most Blu-Ray discs today have no region codes enabled.

    2) All Bly-Ray discs are required to drop the region code a year after first sale.

    So the majority of content you buy except for the very latest releases will be region free.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  106. Read speed by aliquis · · Score: 1

    Who was complaining about the data rate of the two formats a few posts back? What difference does that make? My very first CD-Rom was 300k/s. The one I use now is 7800k/s. Give it some time. And still no music player or producer can rely on data traveling over 150kB/s because that's the smallest common determiner(?)

    How does it matter if a HD-DVD player released 10 years after the first one uses 12x if all movies have to be playable at 1x anyway? You can never use the bitrate of 12x playback in movies anyway if you want them to play on all players.
  107. Not Warner sayng that by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    It's independent journalists, media analysts, and people who understand what it means to have 70% exclusive market share on your side.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  108. New Line has confirmed Blu-ray exclusive as well by Verxion · · Score: 1

    I found an article in Variety that has an interesting quote in it:

    "Warner sister company New Line confirmed it will shift allegiance to Blu-ray only as well."

    http://www.variety.com/article/VR1117978461.html?categoryid=1009&cs=1&query=blu+ray

    That seems to confirm that New Line is -*ALSO*- blu-ray exclusive.

  109. And now they are returning them by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    We've had cheap players selling for months now, and Blu-Ray still was outselling HD-DVD 2:1. Last month, Blu-Ray standalone players (not counting the PS3) outsold even the cheap HD-DVD players. So there's no way whatever influx happened last month would improve sales ratios, and move any Blu-Ray studio - but now, with 70% of movies being Blu-Ray exclusive lots of those very latest HD-DVD player owners have a great incentive to return the players and go Blu-Ray instead. You see messages to that effect in forums everywhere now.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  110. AVS laced with bitter fanboys by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    AVS has been the stronghold of the most fanatical HD-DVD supporters. Of course they are spinning conspiracy theories.

    Tell me, what market forces would have led to Warner (let alone Fox) going HD-DVD exclusive. For every title that came out in both formats, the Blu-Ray version outsold the HD-DVD version. The entire past year, Blu-Ray was outselling HD-DVD buy 2:1 or 3:1. So why on earth would either of them have switched? Since it made no business sense for them to do so, the only lure would have been money from HD-DVD (see: Paramount). So then even if there was money from the Blu-Ray side that was just balancing out what HD-DVD was offering - and Warner chose not to take. Sine Warner was making a money neutral choice with or without payments involved, the motives are what they say they are - Warner wants one format so consumers can finally start adopting instead of staying away.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:AVS laced with bitter fanboys by Fezmid · · Score: 1

      Well, the fact that industry insiders were saying that Fox and Warner were prepared to switch to HD DVD leads me to believe it's not some major conspiracy theory. Combine that with the big presentation Toshiba had prepared (with Warner, no less), and I do believe it was an 11th hour sweetheart deal offered by Sony that changed the landscape.

      One key stat was that Harry Potter sold nearly as well on HD DVD as on Blu-Ray (55:45). I thought that, combined with HD DVD players far outselling BD players (PS3 not withstanding) would push Warner to HD DVD - and it looks like it almost did, but if Sony really did offer both Fox and Warner $500M each (whether it's cash or, more likely, promotional support like HD DVD did with Paramount), and HD DVD didn't/couldn't match it, then that's how the chips call. Money changing hands is business, no conspiracy theory needed.

  111. Nobody being you by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Movie buffs care a great deal about HD formats. Look at the drama from both HD-DVD and Blu-Ray sides. Obviously a lot of people care a great deal - so your feigned indifference is shown up my the masses of people that do care.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  112. Players already cheap enough by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Last month, Blu-Ray standalone players (not counting the PS3) outsold HD-DVD players.

    Players are already cheap enough people are willing to buy them now. Player price is not really an issue anymore (not that it ever was, something that never stuck in the heads of HD-DVD supporters).

    Now that we can have stronger consumer update of HD formats, the many Blu-Ray hardware makers can reduce prices even further in competition, and media prices can get lower with more plants pressing Blu-Ray discs.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  113. The "number" is two by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    There are two studios left, Paramount and Universal. Universal will shortly swing to Blu-Ray so they are not on the short end of the stick. The Paramount will invoke the escape clause and leave as well.

    Look for one of them to make the break at CES.

    As an aside, I find the fact the studios are trying to decide on the format war somewhat depressing.

    It sure does suck to finally only have one format instead of a stupid war that benefitted nobody. Oh wait, it doesn't - Warner is a hero here. They put the finishing touches on a game that was already over.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  114. Blu-ray players not cheap enough by metamatic · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Where can I get an affordable multi-region Blu-ray player?

    --
    GCHQ Quantum Insert installed. If only our tongues were made of glass, how much more careful we would be when we speak
    1. Re:Blu-ray players not cheap enough by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Same place you could get cheap multi-region format players 3 years into DVD's lifetime.

    2. Re:Blu-ray players not cheap enough by metamatic · · Score: 1

      One year into DVD's life I got a Pioneer player and trivially hacked it for multi-region play.

      So, I repeat my question. Where do I buy a multi-region Blu-ray player, or one trivially hackable to be multi-region?

      --
      GCHQ Quantum Insert installed. If only our tongues were made of glass, how much more careful we would be when we speak
  115. The real winner of the format war is... BitTorrent by stickyc · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It's disappointing that studios are willing to choose the quick payola for format exclusivity over long term customer satisfaction. As broadband and storage tech gets cheaper and more pervasive, you can bet more and more customers alienated by choosing the "losing format" will turn to solutions that require less financial commitment and even provide a little spiteful satisfaction. Namely illegal downloading. Sure, Comcast can try to throttle downloads and Microsoft can try to DRM-lock their OS, but there will always be a way around these draconian restrictions and they seem to be getting more consumer friendly, rather than less. The record labels are slowly learning, but at least their follies aren't costing the general music consumer money (I'm talking about obsoleting an entire format, not DRM-crippled/rootkit costs). November 2007 numbers indicated 750,000 HD-DVD players, that's a whole lot of pissed off customers.

  116. Misinformed by SuperKendall · · Score: 5, Informative

    Not in practice. Both formats have similar capacities in their most common forms (dual layer HD-DVD vs single layer Blu-ray)

    100% of Blu-Rays released in the last two months have been dual layer (50GB discs). Of all Blu-Ray discs on the market now, something around 20% of them are single layer (basically some of the ones release in the first few months of the year).

    More space, means more room for higher bitrates and lossless audio. 100% of Disney and Fox Blu-Ray discs have lossless audio. What percentage of Universal or Paramount titles offer that on Blu-Ray?

    You're treating this as if 100,000 Blu-ray discs take half as much storage as 50,000 Blu-ray discs and 50,000 HD-DVD discs. That's clearly not the case.

    They take up the same space but are half as complex to track and distribute, all being just one unit instead of two different kinds.

    And what marketing costs are you looking at that are saved by ditching HD DVD?

    If you'd been paying attention you'd have seen multiple full-page ads from Warner - some for HD-DVD only, some for Blu-Ray only. They can reduce the full page ads by half now.

    Up to a point. I don't think this would have been an issue if studios had all supported both formats

    The issue would have been both formats dying because people continued to stay away until there was one. No-one wants two players. No-one wants an overly expensive combo player.

    Here's something worth bearing in mind: I'm not doing Blu-ray. I looked at the three formats a month or two ago, DVD, HD-DVD, and Blu-ray, and decided that I felt HD-DVD was a clear step up from DVD, whereas Blu-ray was a step down. (For my logic, see here.)

    Your "logic" there is equally as flawed as your post was.

    Some points:

    1) AACS is not mandatory on Blu-Ray, and in any case all HD-DVD discs to date have made use of it.

    2) As noted, Blu-Ray has more space for higher bitrates and also a higher maximum bitrate.

    3) Blu-Ray the format also supports managed copy.

    4) If Blu-Ray discs are cheaper to manufacture how come movies on both formats costs the same, except for the horrible HD-DVD combo discs that are $5 more?

    Every single point you have would have gone to Blu-Ray had you got the facts straight. You boght into the FUD and misinformation campaign that so many HD-DVD backers were pushing the whole year.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Misinformed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      1) AACS is not mandatory on Blu-Ray, and in any case all HD-DVD discs to date have made use of it.

      Wrong. New discs will soon use the 1.1 profile. And the players for it (like the newest PowerDVD) will NOT play AACS-less BD+ titles! And BD+ isn't hacked. The were rumors last month, but nothing surfaced yet. And the latest AnyDVD HD doesn't do it either.

      2) As noted, Blu-Ray has more space for higher bitrates and also a higher maximum bitrate.

      Bitrate doesn't automatically translate into superior quality. I suggest you read this. At some point you get diminishing returns. Tons of groups are releasing HD rips in DVD9 format (x264, some even in WMV-HD) already and they have GREAT quality. You don't need 50GB at all to have excellent quality.

      The main differences between the 2 (other than studio backing) are:

      -Blu-Ray has more DRM (BD+, which STILL isn't publicly hacked, notice how the latest Fox titles aren't pirated yet) and I think that's the main reason some studios are switching (that, or major sums of $)
      -The Blu-Ray players are more expensive, especially those that support the newer profiles or are region free
      -Blu-Ray uses BD-J, which might be a real nightmare (I won't be surprised if some VMs have issues with new titles, the performance isn't good at all seemingly, etc) versus simple, elegant web-like markup for HD DVD

      The war is far from being over. A studio changed their mind. Any of them can change it again anytime soon. Dual format players are getting cheaper (ncix.com has a dual format drive for your PC for $250). Sometimes the market changes very quickly. DVD-R had a pretty big lead for a while, then +R came out with faster discs quicker and got more sales. Now we have dual formats.

    2. Re:Misinformed by Trogre · · Score: 1

      What the hell is PowerDVD? I won't buy any media until it will play in VLC.

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    3. Re:Misinformed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      100% of Disney and Fox Blu-Ray discs have lossless audio. What percentage of Universal or Paramount titles offer that on Blu-Ray?
      Universal has been HD DVD exclusive from the start, and Paramount made the decision to be HD DVD exclusive months ago, so the percentage you inquired about is %0.

      The Blu side was in doom-and-gloom mode when Paramount went red. Now Warner may go blue (they haven't yet, and contractual issues may prevent them from making the move as soon as they have said). Unless Warner is the only studio everyone cares about, the dichotomy continues...
    4. Re:Misinformed by pan0k · · Score: 1

      "4) If Blu-Ray discs are cheaper to manufacture how come movies on both formats costs the same, except for the horrible HD-DVD combo discs that are $5 more?"

      Since when? This is one of reason why I like blu-ray. HD-DVD is cheaper to produce than blu-ray. That's their push. But as you pointed out, both format costs the same. Who pocketed the difference? Not the consumer, that's for sure.

    5. Re:Misinformed by Kjella · · Score: 1

      More space, means more room for higher bitrates and lossless audio. 100% of Disney and Fox Blu-Ray discs have lossless audio. What percentage of Universal or Paramount titles offer that on Blu-Ray? That'd be NaN, since they're HDDVD exclusives but at any rate - I think whoever cares is looking at specs. I think most agree that the threshold for human hearing is somewhere below 256kbps for stereo - I dare you to find a study where people can distinguish iTunes 256kbps from uncompressed. Even if ignore the stereo and give each channel in a 7.1 setup 256kbps, that's 2mbps for 8 channels. And most HDDVDs I've seen comes with 3mbps DD+ tracks. In short, even when you add in huge margins of errors the only people that'll hear the 96KHz/24bit audio is bats and dogs. At least the resolution is bordering the visual acuity dead center in a healthy eye, using 10GB+ for audio that Blu-Ray does is a joke. Then again I guess they have to use the space for something.
      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    6. Re:Misinformed by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      That'd be NaN, since they're HDDVD exclusives but at any rate - I think whoever cares is looking at specs.

      It was obvious I meant HD-DVD. And "whoever cares" is anyone with gear that supports lossless audio, AV forums already have a lot of people complaining about this.

      I know a few people who can tell the differences.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    7. Re:Misinformed by phision · · Score: 0

      (basically some of the ones release in the first few months of the year).
      Which year?
  117. Death is a chain reaction by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    This is, frankly, hyperbole. Even WB is going to be releasing new content on HD-DVD for the next six months, so saying it's dead in a month or weeks is completely ridiculous

    Unsiversal and paramount do not want the short end of the marketshare stick, so they will move to at least support Blu-Ray as quickly as possible , possibly this week but certainly within weeks.

    Consumers will not buy a new HD-DVD player past this point. Who would buy into a format now that, best case, has 30% of movie titles you could get?

    Consumers not buying players means large chains like Best Buy and Walmart drastically reducing shelf space for the HD-DVD format.

    Warner is just the tip of the iceburg, and you're saying the band sounds pretty good so why not sit and listen for a while.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  118. Severe Slashdot Myopia by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Do you perhaps think that the "Slow HD uptake" referred to in the article might be as a consequence of the overwhelming cost of, and over-restrictive DRM associated with HD video?

    This is a great example of the severe myopia that so many Slashdot posters seem to have early on when major shifts occur. For most people, DRM does not register - and do not forget that even the Blu-Ray DRM is less restrictive than DVD DRM was/is!! (fewer regions (which most discs don't even bother with), and we are in the same region as Japan).

    Have you thought perhaps that for the vast majority of spice-girl-loving, Shrek-3 adoring consumers, DVD is more than "Good enough"?

    Now that's a totally different and perhaps valid point. But even the most non-technical people notice HD differences. For a while my HD cable feed was out (Iuse only Clear QAM HD feeds and the cable company likes to screw with them, the bastards) and so we had to watch one of her favorite TV shows in HD for a few days. As soon as she sat down she said "Why is this so blurry"?

    People notice. The thing that kept people away, and rightfully so, was the war itself. Who would be stupid enough to buy into a format early, when either (or both) of them might die? Both might yet die but lots more people are able to think that a single format will simply not go away and buy into it.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  119. The truth about this war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    I think we all should acknowledge the naked truth about this format war.

    Blu-ray is winning against HD-DVD because it has a cooler name and a cooler logo.

    1. Re:The truth about this war by lsolano · · Score: 0

      You know what, yours is a good point.

      HD-DVD sounds like "the DVDs we have now, but with something better".

      Blu-ray sounds like "something really new...a technology based on a futuristic laser beam from out of space" :-)

  120. Format war is over, sorry by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    The format war is *not* over because a couple of 'experts' say so

    No, it's over because one format now has 70% of studio support which included all the Pixar films, LOTR, Batman, Spiderman, Matrix, Pirates, etc. etc.

    You don't need an expert to tell you which way this gale is blowing. As usual they only report the obvious.

    * Until the war is over, don't build a large library (rent)

    It would be a good idea to rent HD-DVD's, but Blu-Rays are now a go to buy (though I would actually not buy Warner Blu-Ray discs until the remaster them to make better use of the space). I generally rent most titles anyway and only buy the few I really love. Buying HD-DVDs' at this point makes no sense since the rest of the studios will be switching soon, and you can then look forward as I said to better remasters of the same content.

    The cost of the player for a few years use is modest

    You have to look at current and remaining future releases to decide if the cost per title is low enough for what you want to see in HD-DVD at this point. It's not for me.

    Amazon started selling discounted Bluray players with the same 10 disc offer a couple of weeks after the HD-DVD offer, so it is not part of a dumping scheme by either format.

    I agree, both of these were attempts to build marketshare and improve sales.

    I agree there's no reason to really be concerned or annoyed if you already have an HD-DVD player. But if it's possible to return the one you have, or not to buy one in the first place - that seems like the better choice now.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  121. Storage is irrelevant. by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1

    I don't know if the peak bandwidth is changing with it, but there are now triple-layer HD-DVDs, which are actually slightly larger than Blu-Ray discs.

    --
    Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
  122. Analog switchoff by tepples · · Score: 1

    Viewing a DVD is 10X as hard as viewing a video Cassette How? A DVD doesn't need to be rewound, and DVD players are small enough to be practical on a bus or train. Does your assertion have something to do with the fact that most VCRs had a coaxial RF output in an era when composite video input was far from universal, whereas few DVD players have RF?

    and most DVD players can't even record. Nor can a VHS VCR after the U.S. analog switchoff in 2009 Q1 (and foreign counterparts). In fact, after the U.S. government started mandating digital tuners in video recorders for home use, many VHS VCR manufacturers just stopped making VCRs and started making only VCPs.
  123. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by SP33doh · · Score: 2, Funny

    just like spdif (Sony/Philips Digital Interconnect Format)

  124. Hopeully Warner's not done, either. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This smells very much like a top-down decision. As in, Sony gave Warner a large chunk of cash (though how large that would have to be is just scary), or sweet-talked some execs, etc. The actual engineers at Warner hate working with Blu-Ray, and the actual movies they've put out have more features (and more robust features) on HD-DVD.

    Example: There have been Warner Blu-Ray discs which actually include several versions of the video stream -- that is, they store the entire movie at least twice -- one with the picture-in-picture burned in to the video. I mean, ok, that's one way to waste those 50 gigs...

    Also note that the announcement has absolutely no mention of anything other than that Warner wants some format to win. There's no explanation of why they want Blu-Ray to win, rather than HD-DVD. When Paramount went HD-DVD exclusive, they actually included an explanation of why they thought it was the technically superior format.

  125. UOP: Press a key, see a Danish letter by tepples · · Score: 2, Funny

    [With DVD] I don't(generally) have fast forward through ten minutes of outdated ads Instead, you may have to sit through them. On some discs, pressing next chapter, search forward, menu, or title during the commercials results in a big Ø in the corner of the screen.
    1. Re:UOP: Press a key, see a Danish letter by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      That's why I said generally. I know there's a few out there.

      I even returned one because of that. They didn't like it, but I managed to complain enough.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  126. Who controls the BDA by tepples · · Score: 1

    Sony controls the standard, or does the BDA? I think the claim is that Sony controls the BDA, despite other companies' membership therein.
  127. Vault Disney by tepples · · Score: 1

    Any HD DVD you purchase in the next few years will continue to be playable until your player dies. By that time they'll all be available in the bargain bin. Blu-ray, on the other hand, has support from a major American movie studio that does not use bargain bins: Buena Vista. This studio makes copies of its movies available for three to six months and then pulls them out of print for five to ten years before rereleasing them.
  128. "I wanna see Sin-duh-weh-wuh again" by tepples · · Score: 1

    Until the war is over, don't build a large library (rent) I don't see how renting alone can satisfy the under-10-year-old child who wants to watch the same movie 50 times in one year. How should a parent asked to put on Disney's Cinderella after having returned it to Netflix explain the situation to the child?
    1. Re:"I wanna see Sin-duh-weh-wuh again" by yulek · · Score: 1

      what a ridiculous argument. you think said kid cares that said film is in high definition???

      --
      in this age of communication i'm just not getting through
  129. Child care while seeing an R movie? by tepples · · Score: 1

    If I want to pay $20 each to watch high-quality movies I can go to a theater and still have enough money left over for a nice dinner. In families with children, I don't think relying on theatrical exhibition can easily work, due in part to children's viewing habits. If these movies are suitable for children, then your viewing experience might be interrupted by someone else's crying children, and your children will likely demand to see the movie again. If these movies are not suitable for children, you'll likely have to pay the babysitter while you watch. How does your family handle this?
    1. Re:Child care while seeing an R movie? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's a good point, children can alter the dynamic a lot.

      As for how my family handles it, I watch maybe two major releases a year and I have no children, so "handling" consists of convincing myself and my wife that the movie is worth getting up early enough to make it to a cheap pre-noon weekend show.

  130. but we are geeks by reiisi · · Score: 1

    Read your analysis in your journal. It sort of makes sense, if, as someone says below, you haven't bought fud about DRM being optional in one and not in the other, etc.

    But we are geeks.

    We know how to access the hardware.

    We don't have to care that much about most of the movies coming out in high-def. We don't have to watch any one movie so many times that it's going to make the studios any money to prevent us from copying them, at least, not in high-def. We can make our own movies, and we can make drivers that access the raw stream from a drive with no intent to break DRM. We don't have to choose between one or the other.

    That illusion of two choices is the kool-aid.

    Do you see what I'm saying?

    --
    Computer memory is just fancy paper, CPUs just fancy pens with fancy erasers; the 'net is just a fancy backyard fence.
  131. Cartel by tepples · · Score: 1

    That only applies if there's a monoply. Sony doesn't have a monopoly. Monopoly is not the only situation that triggers antitrust provisions. Cartels do as well. Do Sony, Microsoft, and Nintendo together have a cartel? If not, on which platform should the smaller developer of a video game designed to be played by multiple people in person market this game?
  132. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by 91degrees · · Score: 1

    Minidisc was never a huge success. The small form factor made it reasonably popular for portable players for a time, but Sony wanted it to replace CD. DAT was seen as a digital successor to the compact cassette but was never as successful. They found their niches but neither did as well as might be hoped.

    Most of Sony's biggest successes are in equipment that's compatible with existing technology.

  133. .avs? by tepples · · Score: 1

    Furthermore, HD-DVD is supposedly compatible with China's new CH-DVD standard. From that page:

    Audio Video Standard, or AVS, is a compression codec for digital audio and video, and a possible alternative to H.264/AAC/Vorbis, meant to potentially replace MPEG-2. Chinese companies own 90% of AVS patents. The audio and video files have an .avs extension as a container format So does .avs mean something is an Audio Video Standard file or AviSynth file?
  134. Re: Warner "Pretends"... by Squozen · · Score: 1

    No offense, but your display is really too small to see a big difference. I assure you that a high-def movie looks far better than an upscaled DVD on my 92" 1080p screen. On a bigger screen the difference is even more obvious.

    You may only have a 40" display now, but do you want to rebuy all your films when you get a 60" or larger display in the future? It's your money of course, but I won't be buying another DVD again, just as I didn't buy VHS when a laserdisc player was available, or laserdiscs once DVD had arrived.

  135. Re:HD DVD is consumer commodity and Blu-Ray is pri by aristotle-dude · · Score: 2, Informative
    The player you bought is artificially underpriced. Toshiba was trying to capture a hardware monopoly by selling below cost and makeup the money on disc royalties. The BDA group wanted to have a profitable business plan where prices would fall as economies of scale kicked in.

    I feel sorry for you that you were tricked into buying hardware yesterday and that you cannot see how 7 to 10 free movies for a device that costs the same as the retail price of the movies is a big scam to product dump and lock you into Toshiba hardware and their HD DVD format.

    If you really want to know more about the formats rather than FUD, check out wikipedia.org.

    --
    Jesus was a compassionate social conservative who called individuals to sin no more.
  136. Re:It's assholes like you by MBraynard · · Score: 3, Funny

    So you got burned on betamax, did you?

  137. Re: Warner "Pretends"... by MBraynard · · Score: 1

    What kind of TV do you have that is 60"?

  138. DVD = blurry by antdude · · Score: 1

    Blurry to me. I can tell the differences between HD and DVD's video quality.

    --
    Ant(Dude) @ Quality Foraged Links (AQFL.net) & The Ant Farm (antfarm.ma.cx / antfarm.home.dhs.org).
  139. Re:HD DVD is consumer commodity and Blu-Ray is pri by Zen · · Score: 1

    Nice FUD. Take your anti HD-DVD propoganda elsewhere please and re-read my post. Yeah, Yeah, I know. Don't feed the trolls. Don't worry, I won't bother replying again unless it's to an intelligent comment.

    I, along with many other people do not care who wins the HD war. I am buying both, but the two combo units currently on the market are more expensive then two separate units and do not come with free DVD's of either format. I don't care if the price on HD is currently artifically low, and neither does anyone who's buying it. A non educated consumer going into a store will look at both options and wonder why Blu-Ray thinks their stuff is worth almost 2x as much as HD, and will likely buy the HD option unless they have compelling information from a trusted family member or friend to get Blu-Ray despite the price.

    I do not consider published hardware specs with players that support them (or the lack thereof) that I mentioned in my post to be FUD and neither should any educated consumer.

  140. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by rwhealey · · Score: 1

    MiniDisc is often used in theater because you can edit tracks on the disc without a computer. I use it to make back-up recordings and play sound effects simply because it's easier to use than CDs.

  141. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by Nazlfrag · · Score: 2, Funny

    Yes, we here at slashdot have forgiven Microsoft all their evils. That borg look we gave Bill is just because robots are cool, almost as cool as Microsoft. 2008 will be the year of the Microsoft desktop as we wipe linux off for the awesomely secure power of Vista. Sony taught us that it is right and good that powerful multinationals treat their customers as criminals, as it should be. All is well in slashland, all we need now is to bring the ponies back.

    Oh, and Cthulu needs not the puny votes of mortal flesh.

  142. Re:HD DVD is consumer commodity and Blu-Ray is pri by Basehart · · Score: 1

    "are more expensive then two separate units and do not come with free DVD's of either format"

    In my experience anything that comes bundled with "free" stuff from a third party is an offer too good to be true. What's the catch?? Go into a music store and compare D/A converters for example. The one that doesn't have free software sellotaped to it will usually be the better piece of kit.

    Show me a HD-DVD player that comes with a coupon for ten DVD's and all I see is a turd.

  143. It's there by Quila · · Score: 1

    The PS3 does 24p, the 1.9 update fixed the last of the problems with it.

    As of firmware 1.8 it upsampled DVDs and PS2 games through software.

    As of 2.1 it's Blu-Ray 1.1 profile, and supports DiVX and WMV.

    Remember, the Cell processor is powerful enough to do any of this, so the PS3 doesn't require a dedicated chip for anything.

    It's one of the best and most flexible Blu-Ray players on the market.

    1. Re:It's there by Zen · · Score: 1

      Nice! I had no idea. I might have to pick a used one or something.

      Thanks!

    2. Re:It's there by Quila · · Score: 1

      Just remember it has a few downsides: It uses more power than your average player, it doesn't stack due to its shape, and it puts out a little fan noise. The main advantage is that it's expandable to do just about anything with a system update as long as it can logically be done in software alone.

  144. Replacement Blue Ray sales? by Lost+Penguin · · Score: 1

    How many Blue Ray disc sales are replacements?
    If a Blue Ray disc is scratched there is no recovery, you cannot put it in a disc doctor like an HD-DVD, DVD or CD-ROM.
    There is no scratch resistance in BlueRay discs.
    This was such a problem that special coatings for the surface were developed just for use in BlueRay, however, everything gets scratched eventually; with BlueRay you need to buy another disc.

    --
    I am the unwilling control for my Origin.
    1. Re:Replacement Blue Ray sales? by Malc · · Score: 1

      Twaddle. The special coating on BD discs IS scratch resistance.

    2. Re:Replacement Blue Ray sales? by aristotle-dude · · Score: 1

      How many Blue Ray disc sales are replacements?
      If a Blue Ray disc is scratched there is no recovery, you cannot put it in a disc doctor like an HD-DVD, DVD or CD-ROM.
      There is no scratch resistance in BlueRay discs.
      This was such a problem that special coatings for the surface were developed just for use in BlueRay, however, everything gets scratched eventually; with BlueRay you need to buy another disc. FUD. The protective coating is specifically for scratch resistance. There is a very simple experiment that you can try that will only cost you under 20 dollars. Go find a copy of Total Recall on blu-ray which you should be able to find for 14 bucks or less in some stores. Now take that disc and try to abuse the surface with your keys, steel wool and razor blades. After you are done, find a friend with a standalone blu-ray or dual format player or a PS3 and try to playback the disc.

      You will find that the disc plays back fine because no noticeable scratched appeared after all that abuse which was way beyond normal wear and tear. Please stop spreading FUD that you have heard from other HD DVD fanboys or paid shills.

      --
      Jesus was a compassionate social conservative who called individuals to sin no more.
  145. comical quality quibbles by epine · · Score: 1

    Did I just read one poster claim improved "stubble" resolution? HD wins by a facial hair?

    Want something you can distinguish on that 12" TV you can see through the window of your neighbour's house? Refresh rate on a horizontal pan shot. Every movie director alive has learned to pan the camera sideways *very* slowly, or with carefully chosen composition to minimize the stroboscopic effect. In action movies, the action is always coming straight at you. Any other direction will make you sick.

    When are we going to finally get a true 72Hz frame rate? Beta (particle) ray? Higgs Boson ray? I'm sure the actor's guild wishes to maintain the 24Hz standard. Probably hard to get enough light to film at 72 fps. But rather trivial to animate at 72 fps. Real life celebrity babes are temperamental, soon become old fat ugly and imprisoned. Animated digital babes stay young forever, like Mickey Mouse, have a new dress every day, and need never wear the same hairstyle twice, unless they feel like it. When a digital babes goes looking for the bourbon, she never forgets her lines.

    These quality quibbles make my head spin.

    1. Re:comical quality quibbles by earlymon · · Score: 1

      Dooooood .... I hope you meant Minnie Mouse...

      --
      Pathological kinda promises Path + Logical - but instead, you get stuck with pathetic.
  146. Re:It's assholes like you by alan.briolat · · Score: 1

    Best. Comeback. Ever. There are a few semi-correct points in that guy's post, but they are hidden very well in a nice fluffy insanity-suit. I'm sure there is a way that what he said could be rephrased as something insightful (and get modded appropriately), but not in this discussion, and not with that attitude.

    --
    I swear we should be allowed to give mod points to sigs... "-1, Offtopic"
  147. Re:New Line already announced they are Blu-Ray onl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    see the updated chart to get an idea of the now current situation

  148. And not a moment too soon by Trogre · · Score: 1

    Now that there's only one serious contender for next-gen (or should I say current-gen) home movie formats, let's start working on that awful DRM.

    --
    "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    1. Re:And not a moment too soon by DaveCBio · · Score: 2, Informative

      No sure what you mean, but BR and HD-DVD security has already been cracked.

    2. Re:And not a moment too soon by Trogre · · Score: 1

      Really? BD+ has been cracked? I'm not so sure about that.

      But it's kind of moot anyway. As long as the DRM is present, this leapfrogging will continue, and people wanting to legitimately watch and back up content will be put out. Try watching a movie in full HD without an "approved" HDMI cable, or streaming the movie to two or three tellys at once.

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
  149. Players launched cheaply by alexhmit01 · · Score: 1

    Players are already cheap enough people are willing to buy them now. Player price is not really an issue anymore (not that it ever was, something that never stuck in the heads of HD-DVD supporters).

    When VHS was becoming popular, players were $1000. With 25 years of inflation that's like $3500. The BR Players launched at what, $1000 and HD DVD at $500? For early adopters and Home Theatre buffs, that's nothing... $400-$500 is routine to pay for the remote control at the high end. They launched CHEAP for the early adopter market, and inside of a year were pretty cheap.

    Players are a one time cost. The Gamecube was routinely half the price of the PS2 and Xbox, and didn't outsell them. Cheaper doesn't always win. Once the object is "cheap enough" then it's not about price, it's about whether people want it.

    For early adopters in 2005-2006, $500-$1000 for a new digital toy is reasonable... My DirecTV HD Tivo cost $1000, and they sold them as fast as they could make them for a while, then dropped the price to $400 and sold them to the next tier of buyers, and kept dropping from there.

    The player price matters, but to the early adopter, $1000 was reasonable in year one, $500 in year two. Once you get to the advanced side of the market that isn't willing to pay anything to play (people with $10k - $30k home theatres, the early adopter market, could buy a $1000 BR player AND a $500 HD Player), but has $5000 sets, $200-$300 for a good player gets reasonable.

    Under $200, you compete for mass market, and under $100 for the late adopters. By $50, you are going after the technology avoiders.

    If BR launched at $5000 and HD DVD at $1000, I'd buy the player price, but at $1000 and $500, that dropped to $500/$300 or so after about two years... player price didn't matter. People buying a $500 TV won't spend more than $100 for the player, but the market for the $3000 sets isn't gone, and $500 for a player isn't unreasonable there. All the big box stores are pushing BR, technophiles pushing BR, etc. The only people pushing HD that I can see are Slashdot anti-DRM people that for some reason think that HD-DVD is better DRM-wise which doesn't appear to be the case in reality.

  150. Re:New Line already announced they are Blu-Ray onl by Trogre · · Score: 1

    Yes, but I've yet to see the only one whos decision that really matters:

    Lucasfilm.

    Or is that covered by 20th Century Fox?

    --
    "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
  151. Upconverting != Hi Def by lsolano · · Score: 0

    I strongly disagree about saying that upconverting is "similar" to real hi def.

    Not true at all. *Maybe* in small TVs, but in general, the difference can be easily seen.

    I upconvert my dvd collection and they look very good, but, as soon as I see a Blu-ray movie, 1080p, difference get obvious.

  152. Re: Warner "Pretends"... by keltor · · Score: 1

    He actually said 92", but 60" displays are very common and there are some larger flat panel TVs and RPTVs, but at 92" most likely he's referring to a projector onto a screen, where 92" is if anything, small. My 1080p projector is projecting onto 120" screen. To be honest not all HD material is created equally.

  153. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by coppice · · Score: 1

    Not only was mini-disc very successful, mini-disc players and discs were made by just about any japanese consumer electronics maker you ever heard of. Sony definitely got everyone on board with this one. They were great little devices, until flash storage made them irrelevant.

  154. Re:HD DVD is consumer commodity and Blu-Ray is pri by aristotle-dude · · Score: 1

    You don't have to take my word for it. Go to wikipedia.org here -> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blu-ray_Disc to read up on Blu-ray, history of the format and attempts made to avoid the format war here -> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blu-ray_Disc#Attempts_to_avoid_a_format_war . You can also read the comparison of the formats here -> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comparison_of_high_definition_optical_disc_formats . I'm not expecting you to believe me but I ask you to educate yourself and to stop spreading FUD.

    --
    Jesus was a compassionate social conservative who called individuals to sin no more.
  155. Phy$ical formats becomming irrelevant in the 10's by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wonder if we are truly seeing the end of the ridiculous format wars and all the nonsense that come with physical media distribution. Physical formats have already become mostly irrelevant in the music arena with more and more people purchasing their music on line. Video and movies cannot be that far behind.

  156. Monitors are already much faster than 24/30 by Animats · · Score: 1

    Many 1080p monitors can already go much faster than 24/30FPS. When being driven by game consoles, they use that speed. The PS3 can in theory output 1080p 60FPS, although it doesn't really have enough crunch power to deliver 60 different frames per second on most games. The point, though, is that monitors now have much higher frame rate capabilities than movie storage media.

    It's going to be embarrassing when EA Football looks better than NFL football.

    1. Re:Monitors are already much faster than 24/30 by Doppler00 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but directors won't use greater than 24 FPS. It doesn't look "thematic" anymore. I hate watching battle sequences in movies because of this. It's like, there's a lot of action going on, but you can't see any of it because it's happening at 24 fps so it's just a big blur. I know that most LCD monitors/drivers only go up to 60Hz now. I wish they would consider enabling 85Hz with the 2ms monitors, but that probably won't happen.

  157. Well, at least the pirates are happy by randyjg · · Score: 1

    Since Blu Ray has already been cracked, what will happen is that the pirate industry starts transferring Blu Ray movies to HD-DVD, and without studio competition, there will be a MAJOR loss in revenue to those studios that support only Blu Ray.

    Aw comon...did you think the piracy markets wouldn't notice this opportunity? There is a market, cheap production costs, cheap distribution costs (i.e. internet iso's) and one more major factor.

    The Chinese HATE the Japanese for their atrocities in World War 2, one of which, the Rape of Nanjing, stirs incredibly strong emotions in Chinese worldwide even today. Because of Sony, Blu ray is perceived as Japanese. Screwing over a Japanese corporation would be widely popular in those provinces. A pirating operation in Nanjing would be effectively immune to government intervention, it is doubtful the government could even find enough officials willing to speak against it, let alone take action which would spark a major riot. In addition, most overseas Chinese would support a distribution channel.

    Uhuh. It is pretty much a given that this will be a disaster for the studios. Piracy right now is just about convenience, once it become a political statement for a billion Chinese, however...

    Of course, a major studio that supported HD-DVD, were to release a movie about the Rape of Nanjing, well, they would gain an enormous amount of good will with the billion plus moviegoers in the Chinese movie market, which would establish the dominance of HD-DVD regardles of what the west does. More importantly the Chinese might actually BUY rather than pirate the movie, just to make a point to the Japanese. Since it also would probably be the single most funded production in cinematic history, it is pretty much a given that it will happen sooner or later. The Chinese government has been trying to downplay this festering abcess in sino japanese relations, it has not been noticeably successful.

    P.S. The Chinese suffering of World War 2 atrocities is not very well known in the west, which concentrated on the Nazi's. Among the Chinese, the memories are still fresh, the Japanese still treat the matter with denial (visiting the Yasukuni Shrine http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yasukuni_Shrine)
    and, if you are a westerner, you should read something about it, because it is going to be a major force in China's dealings with the world.

    Can't say I am happy about such a destabilizing force in world politics, but ignoring it is like ignoring cancer, it is just going to make it a lot worse later.

  158. Re: Warner "Pretends"... by rossifer · · Score: 1

    No offense, but your display is really too small to see a big difference. I assure you that a high-def movie looks far better than an upscaled DVD on my 92" 1080p screen. On a bigger screen the difference is even more obvious.
    No offense taken. I tried larger screens, and I've sat really close to mine (the first row of seating is about six feet from the screen) and I'm still incredibly satisfied with SD DVD upconverted in the HD DVD player and sent via HDMI to the screen. It looks substantially better than progressive scan DVD to component video and upconverted in the TV (which looked darned good on the previous screen).

    You may only have a 40" display now, but do you want to rebuy all your films when you get a 60" or larger display in the future?
    You may not find it funny, but I use exactly that argument to argue that rebuying my existing films in HD or Blu Ray is a complete waste of time when the next revolutionary format will be available via download (and it's going to happen pretty quickly). Along those lines, I'm already converting my DVD's to electronic storage without spending an additional penny on the content.
  159. It's not about "DRM", it's about *restrictions* by urdak · · Score: 1

    Sure, Joe Sixpack doesn't care about the DRM, in the sense of technology meant to prevent copying. After all, none of the DRM schemes ever invented *ever* prevented copying, and in fact, the stronger DRM methods only encouraged new ways of copying (since it is hard copying a movie to a friend, methods were invented to copy it to 1000 strangers on the Internet).

    But Joe Sixpack *does* care about *restrictions* that DRM allow. He cares about his collection of 200 legally-bought DVDs not working any more when he moves to another country. He cares about a DVD he legally bought over the Internet doesn't work. He cares about a DVD he bought for his kids (for full money) having ads that cannot be skipped. He cares about buying a large, expensive collection of music and videos for one device (e.g., think of an iPod), and a year later when he buys another device, he can no longer play the content he bought.

    All these problems are caused by just one thing: DRM. Without DRM, the player market would have killed all these restrictions - if Sony's player doesn't skip ads, Toshiba's will and nobody would buy Sony's players. DRM is what allows these restrictions, and why the consumers hate it (even if they don't know on who to put the blame). It's not just us "penguin-huggers" that hate DRM - us penguin-huggers are just more accutely aware of what causes the restrictions we hate.

    1. Re:It's not about "DRM", it's about *restrictions* by Amigori · · Score: 1

      Look, I'm no advocate for DRM. Personally, DRM is pointless. If they want to crack down on piracy, go after the street vendors peddling screeners for $3. But once again, DRM on commercial discs is completely up to the discs author. DVD, Blu-ray, and HD-DVD is the realm of discussion, all 3 of which have available DRM. Digital download DRM is a similar, but different argument, of which I say use standards and no DRM.

      If Joe Sixpack has 200 legal Region 1 DVDs, chances are good that if he's moving to Region 2 and taking the discs, he's taking his player and tv too. Certainly this is a <1% factor in the big picture of DVD sales. The ads that cannot be skipped are certainly annoying, especially the "You wouldn't steal..." ones. And again, why they're there falls back to the discs author. Don't like commercials on the DVD, don't buy the disc. Not sure if the disc has commercials, wait a week, check some forums, then decide. If your kids won't leave you alone until you buy it for them, well, you decide, you're the parent.

      Digital Downloads are more complicated. Sure, when you buy stuff from iTMS, you're locked to iPods. What about MS's PlaysForSure? That worked well for customers. Sony Connect? Nope. Walmart? No. Amazon, some. Physical Examples: Laserdisc, Cassette Tapes, VHS/Betamax, DAT, MiniDisc, $FavObsoleteFormatHere. Early adopters of technology frequently get screwed as the market develops and their product, physical or digital, becomes obsolete. At least with music, burn a CD and rerip it if you are so concerned about FairPlay/DRM. There are three solutions 1) Not participate, i.e. don't buy any media, physical or digital, 2) Accept the rules of the vendor lock-in and hope it is compatible in the future, or 3) Buy the physical media (DVD or CD), Rip it to the format you're most comfortable with (MP3, MP4, etc.). Duplicity, yes; time-consuming, yes; convenient, only for geeks, but getting better.

      --
      "The quality of life is determined by its activites."--Aristotle
    2. Re:It's not about "DRM", it's about *restrictions* by urdak · · Score: 1

      Hi Amigori. You're American, right? I hate to be blunt, but Americans rarely feel that there are other zones, any more than they feel that there are other languages (everyone speaks English). At lot of us non-Americans face this problem all the time - when we buy DVDs on the Internet (often of American movies, from the US) and need to play them in our country, when we go abroad and buy DVDs, or when we relocate temporarily or permanently to another country. Bringing a DVD player with you is non-realistic: what happens when it breaks? And if I spent 2 years in the US and bought there 100 DVDs and want to bring them with me and play them in my country for the next 20 years, do I need to travel every few years back to the US to buy a new DVD player?

      Almost everyone I know faces the zone problem very often. Over here, when you buy a DVD player, the first thing you're told (and if you're not told, you always ask) is how to "fix" it to be zone-free (which is against the DVD's cartel's laws, but nobody really cares). A DVD player that can't be "fixed" that way simply cannot be sold here. For computer drives, the Internet is filled with programs to break the zone limitation. So obviously, the DVD zones are real problem for much more than 1% of the people.

      The fact that DVD producers can choose not to use zones, ad anti-forwarding, and so on doesn't mean anything. The DVD producers are often greedy bastards, or simply ignorant (as the saying goes, never attribute to malice what can be attributed to stupidity). DVD zones were originally meant for two things. First, as a way to allow DVDs to come out first in one area of the world (e.g., the US) and only a few months later in other areas of the world where the movie was still in theaters. Second, zones were a way to allow different pricing in different regions of the world. But how can you explain the fact that almost no DVD is sold without a zone? Even DVDs of 20 year old movies, and DVDs which aren't sold outside the US, have Zone 1. Why?
      Similarly, for ads anti-skipping. What does a DVD producer benefit from me not being able to skip his ad, 10 years after I bought the DVD and when the ad is completely irrelevant?

    3. Re:It's not about "DRM", it's about *restrictions* by Amigori · · Score: 1

      Hi urdak. Yes, I am American, but I agree with you. And yes, most Americans (95%+ I'd say) have a very American-centric view of the globe. That is very unfortunate and annoying. I wish all Americans spoke 2+ languages and had a better understanding of the globe, but they don't. Its just part of our country's culture and history, for better or worse. Different argument for a different thread though. I have an International Business degree, some fluency in French and Spanish, live near the Canadian border, and spent time in Quebec; I'm trying to spend more time abroad, but my job is keeping me here in the US...grrr... I did leave out the world traveler and foreigner-buying-USA-discs points of view, but those stats are difficult to find and are a small percentage compared to American's buying Region 1 discs.

      Region coding is certainly a PITA, no argument there, but you do state that solutions, legal or not, are readily available to unlock players. And eBay + FedEx I'm sure is cheaper than a plane ticket; especially with the decline in our dollar. The technical spec doesn't require it, but studios' business models depend on it. Again, certainly not defending Region coding, just stating a fact. You are right about the reasons for Region Codes, greedy bastards in Hollywood, distribution control, and price control. HD-DVD is region-free, good, and Blu-ray has 3 regions, not good but better than the 7 of DVD. I'd love to see no region locking on anything, or to compromise, only on movies newer than 3 years, but that'll never happen. They have to be greedy bastards and release the uber-special-directors-cut-nth-anniversary set with special packaging and 30-sec of newly discovered extra footage. That's Hollywood for you.

      --
      "The quality of life is determined by its activites."--Aristotle
  160. Re:Looks like the writing is on the wall for HD DV by bommai · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Actually, the main reason for that is the BOGO (Buy one get one). Previously it was for HD-DVD and now it is for BD. However, it will be interesting to see the stats when no specials for either format is going on.

  161. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by Cannelloni · · Score: 1

    On the contrary. DAT and MiniDisc were big and were used by most studios. Just because a technology is phased out after, say, ten years doesn't mean it was a success at one time.

    --
    Beauty is in the beholder of the eye.
  162. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by 91degrees · · Score: 1

    Both were expected to be major consumer formats as well. Studio use is a relatively tiny market. Neither managed to replace the consumer format the studios wanted them to. Billions of CDs have been sold. Minidisc sales peaked at something like 2% of CD sales. Finding a niche doesn't really make them a huge success.

  163. They are all multi-region by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Informative

    Since almost no titles include region codes today, and any titles that do have region codes will not after a year, AND there are only three region codes (unlike DVD's seven) AND Japan is in the same region as the US - any Blu-Ray player will do.

    But you didn't really want an answer, you just wanted to look smart. Sorry I foiled your little plan.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:They are all multi-region by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      The region codes for blu-ray seem rather weired to me. They don't seem to line up with either political boundries (they split china in half!). geographical boundries (why is a small corner of aisa in the american region rather than the asian one) or financial boundries (they grouped europe with africa!).

      I wonder what critera were used to set those boundries.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    2. Re:They are all multi-region by metamatic · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but you fail. I don't give a crap about Japan; I want to continue buying and watching UK movies and TV shows.

      And what makes you think that region codes disappear after a year? [citation needed]

      --
      GCHQ Quantum Insert installed. If only our tongues were made of glass, how much more careful we would be when we speak
  164. Covered by Fox by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Where George comes in is that he has the permission to say Go in producing the actual disc(s). So while the existence of a Blu-Ray disc is under his control, the choice of format is not.

    This is very similar to the situation at Paramount where Spielburg has denied Paramount the right to produce any of his movies in HD-DVD. That's a big reason why the Paramount exclusivity ended up being a non-starter, if you look at the actual impact it had - it really ended up meaning the loss of one title, Transformers.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  165. Losleses, not exclusive by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    I realize you HD-DVD chaps are particularly dense (as evidenced by not understanding just what 70% movie share working against that format means) but if you read the very bit you quoted, I was asking how many HD-DVD discs shipped with lossless audio. You could easily understand what I meant by the question even though I misspoke and labeled HD-DVD as Blu-Ray, but you simply chose to ignore that along with the obvious impact of the Warner switch which is so much larger than Paramount was.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  166. Dream on by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Wrong. New discs will soon use the 1.1 profile.

    What are you talking about? 1.1 has nothing to do with BD+. Sorry your chosen lameoid software player that .0000001% of the market cares about can't handle it, but updates will obviously appear.

    Bitrate doesn't automatically translate into superior quality

    Yes there are diminishing returns. That's why HD-DVD titles generally run the bitrate up to that point and then drop lossless audio... as I said, more space means better quality in the end, instead of having to chose between great audio or great video.

    Blu-Ray has more DRM

    Effectively less DRM than current DVD's for consumers. Not a consumer issue anyway.

    The Blu-Ray players are more expensive,

    Mass adoption will lower prices quickly, and people are already buying more of them at $300 than $100 Toshiba players.

    Blu-Ray uses BD-J, which might be a real nightmare (I won't be surprised if some VMs have issues with new titles, the performance isn't good at all seemingly, etc) versus simple, elegant web-like markup for HD DVD

    Pure FUD, BD-J has been working OK and is a lot more flexible in what you can do vs. simple markup.

    The war is far from being over.

    War was over Friday. This will be so much more clear even to people such as yourself, by the end of the week...

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Dream on by GamerCowboy · · Score: 1

      Effectively less DRM than current DVD's for consumers. Not a consumer issue anyway.

      I was reading intently up until this point. Consumers may be ignorant about DRM but it is nevertheless a very important issue.

      --
      void
    2. Re:Dream on by Moonpie+Madness · · Score: 1

      The blu-ray is harder to rip and transfer. Most consumers don't want to do that. Sucks for me, but the average person does not want to backup their collection of 25 gb, nearly invincible discs. Also, blu-rays actually permit you to transfer the movie to portable devices or memory sticks, so the consumer is actually getting more use. Also, the regions are twice as big, if that matters to more than a handful of people.

      Is blu-ray worse on drm than HD DVD? Yeah. But the customer didn't care, and we need one format. Hd DVD became more of a roadblock to buying movies than anything else, an obvious parry to attempt to screw up the disc selling market so Microsoft could jump in with downloadable rentals. Another example of that company trying to destroy competitors instead of competing with better products. In a fair world, this HD DVD crap would be another billion dollar lawsuit.

      As soon as MS got behind HD DVD, the studios knew that HD DVD would not win. As soon as it took the lead, MS would hamper it to keep the race going as long as possible. Only blu-ray could win, as soon as MS got in the ring. So really, MS killed HD DVD, and also ripped off all those people buying players and Toshiba for subsidizing them.

  167. Walmart by neuromancer2701 · · Score: 1

    My mother-in-law dragged my wife and I into a Walmart for some random reason over the holidays. It was interesting to note that all of the Blu-ray players were out of stock and there was a whole stack of cheaper HD-DVD players ($299 vs $385). Who knows what it really means they could have only had 10 BR player compared to 30 HD-DVD but I thought it was interesting.

    A sidenote: my inlaws just got a HD tv and when my mother inlaw saw the two choices of the players between a Toshiba and a Sony she went with the Sony without a thought. With all the crap we give Sony on /., I wonder if the public just doesn't care as much as we do.

    --
    "If you like Battlestar Galactica, you're probably a huge nerd." -Stephen Colbert
  168. What studioS? by bstoneaz · · Score: 1

    Have to call you out on that open ended comment. The reality is that only two of the six major studios support HD DVD. Dude, it's over.

  169. No it won't by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

    People don't buy consoles to watch movies for the most part. At least, that's not why they buy a 360.

    1. Re:No it won't by antibryce · · Score: 1

      Right, but it's something they consider. Would you buy an XBox with a VHS player in it, or a Playstation with a DVD player? Even if you aren't using it for either you're going to go for the technology that will last longer.

  170. Re:It's assholes like you by coop247 · · Score: 1

    Parent +1 Funny. I said, wha...huh...aaahhhh

    --
    //TODO: Insert catchy phrase
  171. Re: Warner "Pretends"... by MBraynard · · Score: 1
    Oh - I see. Personally, I dislike projectors of any kind (front/rear). They just don't look right. And I'm not crazy about LCDs because they look like flip books. I've seen some plasmas that look nice.

    I have a 1080i capable 32' CRT. It weighs a ton, is square, and is about 6 years old - but HD looks great on it - much better than any LCD I've seen.

  172. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by petermgreen · · Score: 1

    minidisc wasn't too successfull int the american or british consumer because they were quite expensive and there was little prerecorded music on the format. SCMS probablly didn't help much either

    In the proffesional and semi proffesional market market though they were very popular because of easy editing and small size. SCMS was annoying but those at the lower end of the market probablly just used analog copying (which was still WAY better than tape to tape copying) and those at the higher end of the market had proffesional decks that did not enforce SCMS.

    --
    note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
  173. PlayStation 3 is a major factor... by Capeman · · Score: 1

    As we know the PS3 has a Blu-ray drive, according to WikiPedia, 5.59 million units have been sold as of Sept. 30. I guess all of the consumers aren't currently using the console mainly for movies, but they are potential costumers. So this could be another major reason for Warner and other studios to release their movies only in Blu-ray.

  174. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by Cannelloni · · Score: 1

    BMW has something like 5% of the auto market, but who wouldn't say that BMW - or indeed Apple - are hugely successful?

    --
    Beauty is in the beholder of the eye.
  175. Yes, very odd... by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    I think honestly they were selected primarily to keep NA and the EU separated, both in terms of timed american releases of movies, and also to let the BBC have the control it desires to keep most titles in the EU and control when they get out. Not sure why a third one came into play, probably just to punish the chinese. (and/or Russia for AllOfMP3).

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  176. Re:Hell Freezing Over? Sony Actually WON!? by 91degrees · · Score: 1

    I would say they were hugely unsuccessful if they launched a car that they wanted to have 50% of the market and they ended up with 5%.

  177. About time.. by tuyen · · Score: 1

    Good riddance to HD-DVD. About fucking time. I can't believe it took this long to put HD-DVD out of its misery. I thought for sure we would've reached this point two years ago. Blu-Ray is clearly better in every way that matters 1) it has considerably more storage space 2) it just sounds a hundred times cooler

  178. And you can by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Sorry, but you fail. I don't give a crap about Japan; I want to continue buying and watching UK movies and TV shows.

    And what makes you think that region codes disappear after a year? [citation needed]


    I read this in a few places last year - but I can't find references now. So I'll withdraw that assertion until I can prove it. I too like to watch UK content, and so far BBC discs I've seen (though not wanted to watch) seem to be region free.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  179. How many 'L's? by tepples · · Score: 1

    I am a big fan of their screwdrivers work. You're thinking of Phillips Screw, not Koninklijke Philips Electronics. One of them has more 'L's.
  180. HD-DVD success strategy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    HD-DVD has a big opportunity to win.

    1. Continuously leak information that whill help fully crack AACS and BD+
    2. Release cheap HD-DVD Burners
    3. Finance secretely a HD-DVDShrink program

    HD-DVD will take off. It will be families best tool to "back-up" their Blu-Ray discs.

  181. Re:Welcome to slashdong! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I can suck it long OR I can suck it hard, but I can't do BOTH! What if it's Schrödinger's penis? If nobody's watching, you could very well be doing both!
  182. Important but not effective by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    I was reading intently up until this point. Consumers may be ignorant about DRM but it is nevertheless a very important issue.

    It's not an issue that affects consumer buying habits much today. It's an issue that effects what is possible for consumers to do. Very different things. I contribute to the EFF every year to fight DRM, it's not like I don't want to be rid of it either. It's just that I can separate that from realizing the impact it has on the average consumer, and for the new formats it is less impactful from the standpoint of region coding and controls that effect what most people can do with content.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  183. Now all the Microsoft/XBox fanboys can focus on... by gamer4Life · · Score: 1

    ... crying sour grapes and how the war didn't matter anyways.

    At least they can focus all their energy on promoting the XBox 360 rather than promoting HD-DVD and the XBox 360.

    So c'mon fanboys, let's hear how Sony is evil and blah blah blah while ignoring everything Microsoft has ever done.

  184. Nonsense. by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 1

    When you get enough money, burning it, sometimes without a specific reason, becomes almost a habit.

    Or what? Do you count all the 1 cent (or pence, or whatever) coins you have in your purse? For some people a $100 bill comes to be equivalent in importance.

    --
    IANAL but write like a drunk one.