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Sony May Delay PS3 Until 2007

GodFather writes "ArsTechnica posted an article that claims the PS3 may be pushed back as far as 2007 if the Xbox 360 launch flops. The reasoning behind it? If Microsoft comes out with a weak set of titles at launch Sony could delay and build a larger launch library to lay the smack down on Microsoft."

352 of 457 comments (clear)

  1. Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by Adrilla · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I can't imagine this being a good idea, Sony would be giving Microsoft a chance to keep moving next gen units and Nintendo a chance to leapfrog them with the Revolution while they sit idle just so they can have a larger library on launch? Every moment they sit without units on the shelves gives MS the chance to release the next Halo, plus they'll have next gen titles that would've been ported to both systems. Madden '06 may not be the difference maker, but '07 just might, EA will have had time to tweak to the system more, and make the games better on the 360, but Sony fanboys will be stuck with the weaker PS2 game. My suggestion is kill this idea immediately and get that PS3 out as soon as it's ready for production. Even if the 360 doesn't have a good launch, doesn't mean it wont be successful throughout it's lifetime, something they should think about with reference to their own PSP.

    --

    "Plans are for fools! Oglethorpe, the plutonian (Aqua Teen Hunger Force)
    1. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by MeanE · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It might not sound the smartest idea, but Sony has done it before ...see Dreamcast.

    2. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by Klar · · Score: 1

      I totally agree with you. Also for me, I know that I'll have enough cash laying around for a ps3 this winter/spring.. but 2007, I'm not so sure about.

    3. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by aussie_a · · Score: 4, Informative

      You completely misunderstood the parent's point. He meant, they let Dreamcast release first, delayed a bit, then released the playstation. Dreamcast is dead, PS3 is being made.

    4. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by RedWizzard · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You're not thinkingly like a marketing department. You're thinking "this is a bad reason to delay release", when you should be thinking "this is an excuse for a release that's going to be delayed because the product is not ready".

    5. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by AFairlyNormalPerson · · Score: 1

      "I can't imagine this being a good idea, Sony would be giving Microsoft a chance to keep moving next gen units..."

      Sega Dreamcast

    6. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by stryck9 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The comparison doesn't hold... Sega wasn't in the best financial situation and the Dreamcast had to be a financial success for them. To MS the XBOX is just one front in their effort own the living room, and as we all know the have deep pockets.

    7. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by despisethesun · · Score: 1

      Do you think that would still be the case had they waited until after the Dreamcast, XBox, and Gamecube had been released before releasing the PS2?

      --
      This poo is cold.
    8. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by stephenisu · · Score: 1

      Ya know... If you have money now, and find out for fact you won't need it next year... You could say, invest it in something like a CD (Certificate of Deposit, not Compact Disk) That way your money won't sit there losing value...

      --
      Sigs? We don't need no stinking sigs!
    9. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by nickj6282 · · Score: 1

      Oh, duh. I digress.

    10. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by rtb61 · · Score: 3, Insightful
      No company ever has deep enough pockets to continually throw away shareholders money on products that are failing to generate a profit.

      Microsoft's continual failure to dominate with the xbox and their growing unpopularity with the general market place leaves them little hope of gaining significant access to the living room.

      They have managed to do considerable damage to their brand name and when it comes to accessing the living room that is terminal, except for the cheap junk market (microsoft's destiny?).

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    11. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by MDGordon · · Score: 1
      Dreamcast is dead[...]
      Depends on who you ask.. ;)
    12. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by WannabeTechHead · · Score: 1

      and where exactly is Dreamcast today???

    13. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      It's still kicking. Just because it was stop being manuifactured doesn't mean Dreamcast is dead. DC is very alive and kicking in home brewing.

      Oh and I still play my DC every week.

    14. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by HeroreV · · Score: 1

      MeanE was refering to the competion between Sony and the Dreamcast ya dumbass.

    15. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by Loonacy · · Score: 1

      Netcraft confirms it.

    16. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by NanoGator · · Score: 1

      "You're not thinkingly like a marketing department. You're thinking "this is a bad reason to delay release", when you should be thinking "this is an excuse for a release that's going to be delayed because the product is not ready"."

      It's also worth mentioning that the longer the PS3 waits, the cheaper the components get. From a business point of view, there's some reason to be had, here.

      Besides, the closer the PS3 launches to the 360, the more directly the two will compete. It's a lot easier to spend $400 on a PS3 when it's a year after spending $300 on a 360, as opposed to only being 6 months later.

      Personally, I think it'd be a good move for Sony. It gives people a little time to get sick of the 360 and want something 'new'. I don't think it's a big deal, though. The PS2 still has some life to it.

      --
      "Derp de derp."
    17. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by Harlockjds · · Score: 1

      this is more than 'delayed a bit' this would be about 1.5-2 years AFTER the xbox 360.

      If Sony waited that long for the ps3 they would end up dead, when they started coming out with their 1'st Gen titles the xbox would already be out with their 3'rd Gen titles, and that is when the true must own games start coming out. Heck ps2 games already look dated and old next to the xbox and gamecube, after 1.5-2 years of the 360 being out it will look BAD.

    18. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by blahplusplus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Let's just be clear on why the dreamcast failed, sega had a history of burning their customers, witness:

      -Sega CD - no 3rd part support, then abandonment altogether

      -32X - Same deal

      -Saturn - once again 3rd party support support was non-existent

      Dreamcast was dead after Sega's constant stream of releasing bad/expensive hardware then abandoning it. When you burn your own customers they wont return, Nintendo so far is doing the exact same thing sega has been doing since the N64 in terms of 3rd party support. Developers are totally abandoning the platform over time because the Playstation 1 basically sucked up all the former SNES players with all those formerly on snes franchies like Castvania, Megaman, Final fantasy and all the other Japanese RPG's that were being made for SNES all went to the Playstation 1 since the CD-ROM storage capacity versus cartridge was so enormous, over 100x the storage of a rom cartridge, you could never do gigantic game like FF7 on the N64 without the storage. FF7 was 3 CD's by the way, there is simply no way a cartridge could ever come close to the amount of graphics and animations PS1 era RPG's were using, not to mention countless other games that could never have been done simply do the storage limitations.

    19. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by Deusy · · Score: 1

      Oh for the love of...

      Think of the context. "Sony delays PS3 despite XBox 360 release." The comment being, "They did it before with the Dreamcast." He was comparing this to how Sony did not rush the PS1 when Sega released the Dreamcast.

      This was not a difficult concept to grasp.

      --

      Free Gamer - Free games list and commentary

    20. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by FidelCatsro · · Score: 1

      Actually Since the N64 , Nintendo have been slowly rebuilding a lot of ties with 3rd party developers.
      Konami , Namco , Sega ,EA , Square-Enix ,THQ to name but a few .
      'The Dreamcast did not fail , it sold really well and had a mass of great games , The reason why its reign ended quite sharply i believe, was that Sega did not have the reserves to keep making consoles and decided (Wisely) to change focus and become a games developer only.
      Nintendo made a mistake going with cartridge based games on the N64 , there is no doubt about that.
      But the GameCube corrected this mistake and has sold well consistently, and has rebuilt relations with many Third party developers (in no small way due also to the GBA)

      --
      The only things certain in war are Propaganda and Death. You can never be sure which is which though
    21. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by TheSneak · · Score: 1

      My living room denies it.

      --
      Nasa spent billions making a pen capable of writing in space. The Russians just use a pencil.
    22. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by TheScorpion420 · · Score: 1

      Naa i'm pretty sure he is talking about the PS2 launch, Sony launched Final Fantasy IX(I believe) the same day as the DC to poke fun at their sales of their new console, kinda sad though, I personally liked the dreamcast and I own one myself and still occasionally play it.

      --
      If you pay your taxes you support terrorism!
    23. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by FictionPimp · · Score: 1

      And it makes a great streaming media server/mame box for the living room.

    24. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by DrHogie · · Score: 1

      Dreamcast was dead after Sega's constant stream of releasing bad/expensive hardware then abandoning it. When you burn your own customers they wont return, Nintendo so far is doing the exact same thing sega has been doing since the N64 in terms of 3rd party support.

      As FidelCatsro pointed out, Nintendo is doing just fine with 3rd party support. There's also one big difference between Sega and Nintendo (and Sony/MS and Nintendo for that matter):

      Nintendo is still making a profit.

      --
      --DrH, the Sandwich with the Ph.D.
    25. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by wed128 · · Score: 1

      Don't you mean Frampton comes alive? i mean...franklin's been dead for years, and i'm pretty sure he wasn't a musician

    26. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by Khuffie · · Score: 2, Informative
      their growing unpopularity with the general market place

      Growing unpopularity in the general market? Wait, since when was the general market slashdot geeks who put jabs at MS in their sigs? The Xbox is far from 'unpopular', and far from a 'failure'.

    27. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by Turkey+Trotter · · Score: 1, Informative

      Actually, they have about a 45% share of the non-japan market. That's not particularly bad for a first gen console, especially for one that's as large, loud and ugly as the xbox

      As usual an AC is talking bollocks.

      In a C&VG artical there is a section that tells us how many units (of each current console) have been sold.

      Here is a snippet Sony's PS2 is the undisputed leader of the current gen console pack, having sold over 90 million units worldwide since it launched in 2000. As of December 2004 the Xbox had moved 20 million units, and the GameCube had shifted 18 million.

      Now even with my rudimentary math skills I make them figures:

      PS2: 70.3125%
      Xbox:15.625%
      Cube:14.0625%

      For your figures of 45% that would mean that the PS2 has sold 45.6m units in Japan alone and the other 44.4m units in the rest of the world and that Xbox to have sold none at all in Japan.

      Now forgive me for being a bit sceptical but somehow these figures don't seem to add up, why?

      BECAUSE YOU'RE A MICRO$OFT FANBOY WHO'S TALKING BOLLOCKS LIKE ALWAYS.

    28. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      FF7 only takes three CDs for one reason: FMV. If you were to replace those cutscenes with real-time graphics, you could easily lose a disc and probably get the content under 1 GB. And guess what? 1 GB cartridges are easily possible these days.

      FF7 may be good, but let's be realistic - while a lot of developers did move to CDs because of the space limitations of cartridges, they were (and are - see GBA and DS) doing just fine with cartridges. Code didn't *need* the extra space - it simply swelled to fit the given size. This is evident in the "transition" from CD to DVD games. Most of the PS2 library is under 1 GB.

    29. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by Hogwash+McFly · · Score: 1

      Sony hasn't done 'it' before. Sure, they released PS2 later than the Dreamcast, but the 'it' we are talking about here is purposefully delaying to build up a strong launch library as described in the summary and article.

      IIRC, the PS2 launch lineup was one of the weakest in history (unless you love fireworks simulators), and many people just used the machine for DVD movie playback until the quality titles started being released a few months after.

      --
      Mother, do you think they'll like this sig?
    30. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by SnprBoB86 · · Score: 1

      "Every moment they sit without units on the shelves gives MS the chance to release the next Halo"

      As I understand it, Halo 3 is scheduled to be released at practically the same time as the PS3.

      From IGN:

      "Capitalizing on the blockbuster FPS from Bungie, Microsoft is planning its third edition in the epic series as a full-fledged next-gen title, to be released in time to compete with the release of the rival PlayStation 3 system -- day and date, Sony will be facing with its new system the release of one of the most anticipated games of the next-gen system wars. Further info is being kept secret by Microsoft and developer Bungie."

      --
      http://brandonbloom.name
    31. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by mink · · Score: 1
      "Of all my inventions, the glass armonica has given me the greatest personal satisfaction." - Ben Franklin

      While this is a commercial link, it is on topic as this guy makes them. There is a good history here at the Franklin Institute (go there IRL if you ever have the chance) website.

      --
      Well I've wrestled with reality for thirty five years doctor, and I'm happy to say I finally won out over it.
    32. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative
      FF7 only takes three CDs for one reason: FMV. If you were to replace those cutscenes with real-time graphics, you could easily lose a disc and probably get the content under 1 GB. And guess what? 1 GB cartridges are easily possible these days.

      Yeah, except 1GB cartridges were most definitely not easily possible back during the PS/N64 generation, so your argument doesn't hold any water.

    33. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by NickCatal · · Score: 1
      Worldwide numbers... yes... those are correct... but remember: XBOX flopped in Japan...

      My point is: The Xbox has hardly "flopped." For a first generation console it has done extremely well.

      --
      -nick
    34. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by jbo5112 · · Score: 1

      It's quite the failure in East Asia. Almost all of their sales are US and Europe. It started as an all-around failure because of PS2's head start, but it's finally recovering.

    35. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      Sony launched Final Fantasy IX(I believe) the same day as the DC to poke fun at their sales of their new console

      and yet, the DC release (in the US, anyway) was (to that date) the biggest retail sales day for entertainment ever... since eclipse, of course.

      People forget that the DC debuted very well in the US, and yet still failed ultimately.

    36. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by AlexMax2742 · · Score: 1

      It worked in that situation because Sega was almost out of money at that point, plus Sega had a bad history of failures behind it, so people were skittish.

      However, Microsoft only effort so far has been considered a success in terms of building up image and brand name (Honestly, the only people who still don't take it seriously...nevermind actually having one...are the fanboys), and they have DEEP pockets.

      If Sony thinks they can pull another Dreamcast-like takeover with Microsoft, then they are sorely mistaken. Though I doubt they're that stupid...there is something else going on here.

      --
      I'm the guy with the unpopular opinion
    37. Re:Not the Smartest Idea I've heard by rtb61 · · Score: 1
      Technically speaking my signature it not a jab a microsoft, "YOU" based upon "YOUR" experiences with and knowledge of microsoft have chosen to interpret it that way (Don't blame me for your bad experience's with microsoft. The only people that can are those people, that to my never ending shame, I reccommended microsoft products to in the late eighties and early ninties).

      Oh yes and thankyou for the compliment, I enjoy being a /. geek and take pride in my /. (slashdot for you of course) geekiness ;-).

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
  2. Not unless it's leaked by Xeger · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If Sony insists on delaying ths long, they're having serious trouble.

    1. Re:Not unless it's leaked by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Sony is having serious trouble financially. The company announced recently that they are trimming revenue forecasts for the year by 80%. That is just astronomically bad considering they can't seem to turn a profit as it is. Not all analysts are wrong, so just keep watching to see what happens.

    2. Re:Not unless it's leaked by EnigmaticSource · · Score: 1

      Crap, I thought you were a troll till I read this: "Sony Leads String of Gloomy Forecasts"

      --
      The Geek in Black
      I know my BCD's (when I'm Sober)
    3. Re:Not unless it's leaked by rpdillon · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but their gaming division is something like 60% up from last year. They are experiencing the exact opposite of what MS is experiencing. =)

    4. Re:Not unless it's leaked by ChatHuant · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but their gaming division is something like 60% up from last year. They are experiencing the exact opposite of what MS is experiencing. =)

      Actually, the revenue for MS's Home and Entertainment division has also grown by something like 12%. More interesting is the fact that the operating loss for MS's H&E division has shrunk, while Sony's gaming segment operating loss has more than doubled (though it's still trivial compared to MS's). Numbers here: Sony and Microsoft. Actually, the division that made most money for Sony was the financial arm; both electronics and games are losers.

    5. Re:Not unless it's leaked by Dunarie · · Score: 1

      I beg your pardon, but how the hell can hardware be leaked on a large enough scale to matter? First of all, Sony has to manufacture the PS3s, which won't start untill it's close enough to launch. Then all the units are in Sony's hands, and when it's shipped to retailer warehouses, the retailers will be under legal presure to keep them secure. Once they are in actual stores a week/few days prior to release, they'll still have legal presure, and by then it won't matter all that much if it's leaked'.

      Maybe I just misundertood what you said?

    6. Re:Not unless it's leaked by rpdillon · · Score: 1

      Gaming wasn't a "loser" at +64%, but I get your point. Thanks for the numbers. I didn't remember where I read it, and was too lazy to look it up. =)

    7. Re:Not unless it's leaked by Xeger · · Score: 1

      Actually, no. I simply wanted a provocative subject line that would make people read the post, and that's the best I could think of on short notice. :) The subject line hasn't got dilly to do with the comment.

    8. Re:Not unless it's leaked by ChatHuant · · Score: 1

      Gaming wasn't a "loser" at +64%, but I get your point.

      Well, the revenue did grow a lot, but the expenses for the segment grew even more, so the whole segment showed an even bigger operating loss than last year. That does make the segment a loser.

  3. ...according to an analyst. by mcc · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The source for this is "an analyst".

    In other words, some random guy who doesn't work for Sony is predicting that Sony may delay the PS3, based basically on having read the same news reports you and I do.

    This should be taken with exactly as much credence as if you'd heard "well this guy on the internet thinks that Sony is going to..."

    Which is to say.

    None.

    1. Re:...according to an analyst. by ameoba · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's somewhat believable if you look at how Sony treated the Dreamcast. Sony was pushing the PSX while hyping the PS2, doing whatever they could to stop people from buying a DC until they could roll out their competition for it, almost a year after the DC shipped.

      --
      my sig's at the bottom of the page.
    2. Re:...according to an analyst. by icepick72 · · Score: 1
      This should be taken with exactly as much credence as if you'd heard "well this guy on the internet thinks that Sony is going to..."

      Or like if some guy on Slashdot said "well I think Sony is going to..."

    3. Re:...according to an analyst. by Captain+Chaos · · Score: 1

      Many were calling the original Playstation the PSX for years which is why I was puzzled when Sony chose that name for a new product. It caused a lot of confusion when the PSX was first announced with many claiming they had owned one for years. Frankly calling it PS or PS1 after the PS2 was announced made more sense to me than PSX ever did.

    4. Re:...according to an analyst. by Doomstalk · · Score: 1

      Frankly calling it PS or PS1 after the PS2 was announced made more sense to me than PSX ever did.

      Except that invites confusion with the PSOne. Go Sony marketing!

    5. Re:...according to an analyst. by fredistheking · · Score: 1

      Because the same business tactics that worked with Sega are supposed to work with Microsoft? The dreamcast killed sega; The company ran out of money. I doubt the XBOX 360 is going to bankrupt Microsoft.

    6. Re:...according to an analyst. by mwvdlee · · Score: 1

      Indeed it is.

      One thing that has me puzzled is that if Sony would be able to make a decission to launch later, they also have the option of launching as originally planned, apparently the speed of manufacturing does not come into the equation.

      If they would delay the launch, would they take the opportunity to try lower production cost of the machine?

      I just can't imagine they would need a delay to get good launch titles. At the presentations at E3, PS3 seemed to have more "complete" games so they probably wouldn't need the time for their current line-up. If they delay, X360 will have 2nd generation titles coming out, assuming X360 and PS3 are equally matched with regards to performance (which is reasonable to assume from the presentation footage) then the "experience" of the developers will make a lot of difference in the first batches of games.

      --
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    7. Re:...according to an analyst. by Icicle509 · · Score: 1
      Im sorry, my honest take on it is this.....

      The PS3 wont be ready, and thats the real reason for the delay....

      It wont gain any customers, but it may lose some, my reasoning is this....

      People who owned xboxes, guess what theyll be buying, 360s, people who own PS2s, guess what theyll be buying, you guessed it PS3s (unless tehy get tired of waiting)

      I just dont see market share changing much for these two, the machines are just too close...

    8. Re:...according to an analyst. by Harlockjds · · Score: 1

      > At the presentations at E3, PS3 seemed to have more "complete" games

      heh all i saw was what looked like pre rendered videos. Yeah they said it was all game play features but i remember the 'real time live' ff8 dance scene in the ps2 demos that still look better than anything that's ever come out on the system.

    9. Re:...according to an analyst. by mwvdlee · · Score: 1

      I guess it's just a matter of opinion. The PS3 presentation's games looked a lot more "realistic" than the X360's.

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    10. Re:...according to an analyst. by Atomic+Fro · · Score: 1

      Only because of their Windows/Office monopoly.
      Without that, the Xbox would be dead this generation.

      --

      ==================
      Hippie Logger Jock
      ==================
    11. Re:...according to an analyst. by Andy_R · · Score: 1

      It's not necessary to bankrupt Microsoft, all that's needed is to get them to realise that it's no longer worth throwing good money after bad. At any point, Microsoft could deciude get out of games and carry on with their core business, Sega couldn't do that.

      --
      A pizza of radius z and thickness a has a volume of pi z z a
    12. Re:...according to an analyst. by Destoo · · Score: 1

      This should be taken with exactly as much credence as if you'd heard "well this guy on the internet thinks that Sony is going to..."

      Which has much more cred than if Sony stepped in and said it.

      Which is to say.

      None.

      Minus 1.

      --
      Nouvelles de jeux et technologies en français. TC
    13. Re:...according to an analyst. by apoc06 · · Score: 1

      i take it all with a grain of salt. the games looked more complete in the sense that you had a general overall idea of what the final game was to look like. x360 doesnt have FMV to show that is all that impressive. all we get are nicely rendered screenshots here and there. ive seen a little from gears of war and project gotham [both look like they are progressing quite nicely], but for a system thats going to be released in two/ three months from now, thats not alot. what gameplay i /have/ seen looks quite unimpressive.

      i just want a basic idea of what the final game is going to look like and play like. i want to see the full elegant blueprint, even if its all in theory and you fall short, i want to see where you want to go. dont show me a shoddy markup model made of popsicle sticks. i have no idea of how good its supposed to be.

      in afterthought, im sure this is all merely part of MS's marketing plan. they havent shown what the final product will be like for many of its games. im assuming that they want people to imagine how their games will look when done, based only on in progress shots now. this is so that people will have a harder time contrasting their games with anything sony or nintendo might have coming along down the pipe. especially if either of those systems look better.

    14. Re:...according to an analyst. by chrismcdirty · · Score: 1

      I believe it was called the PSX because when it was still being developed for the SNES, it's code name was the PlayStationX. Then the name kinda stuck since the name used was the codename minus the X.

      --
      It's like sex, except I'm having it!
    15. Re:...according to an analyst. by Destoo · · Score: 1

      There has been tons of speculation about whether or not the videos that Sony had shown at their press conference were pre-rendered or done in real-time. Well, Epic Games's Mark Rein has gone on record to say that "in addition to the Sony demos being shown by Phil Harrison, the Epic and EA presentations were the only third party portions actually running on the PS3 in real-time." IGN: Killzone PS3

      Hype machine.

      --
      Nouvelles de jeux et technologies en français. TC
    16. Re:...according to an analyst. by Pollardito · · Score: 1

      does that mean that they were ready and holding back the PS2 (which is claimed to be the strategy here) or that they weren't ready and tried to fill the gap with talk? it seems like it's the latter from your description

  4. Xbox 360 Flop? by nickj6282 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    IF the 360 flops? Of course the 360 launch is going to flop. Let's not forget that Microsoft announced that 360s will ship with standard DVD drives and the HD-DVDs will be coming later (next year most likely). I was going to go out and get a 360 at launch, but now I'm going to wait for HD-DVD, as I suspect many other people are. A bad move on Microsoft's part is going to end up giving Sony the opportunity to delay their console without losing much market share. I do think, however, that the aging PS2 hardware is nearing the end of it's lifecycle. Consumers are ready for something new, and as far as I'm concerned, the PSP is a niche market.

    1. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by stryck9 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I applaud your restraint, and if enough consumers had it we would get better products all around. However Microsoft's model is predicated on reoccurring revenue streams. Office does not change to drastically version from version yet enough people buy it to make MS tons o' cash. I bet enough people are going to buy the XBOX 360 and then turn around and buy the XBOX 360.5 to make them more than enough money to justify the launch of the 360 with out the HD-DVD. As long as MS has something out there can can create FUD with this is a lose for Sony.

    2. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Pulzar · · Score: 1, Insightful

      IF the 360 flops? Of course the 360 launch is going to flop. Let's not forget that Microsoft announced that 360s will ship with standard DVD drives and the HD-DVDs will be coming later (next year most likely).

      I, for one, couldn't care less about the lack of HD-DVD on Xbox 360. I'm going to get an Xbox 360 to play the games, and when in some distant future HD-DVD movies start becoming widely available, I'll get the Xbox upgrade or buy an HD-DVD player.

      Do you not think Microsoft did some market research to see how many people would hold out on getting their new gaming platform because of the lack of HD-DVD support? I'm pretty sure a good number of people didn't care, or you'd be seeing an HD-DVD drive in the Xbox.

      --
      Never underestimate the bandwidth of a 747 filled with CD-ROMs.
    3. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Volvogga · · Score: 1

      But don't forget Sony's business model in all of this. Sony makes high end audio and video equipment (HDTVs, amps, and the like), and will be making the BlueRay (spell?) drives and disks, all of which the PS3 will support the use and adoption of in a big way. More waiting time on the PS3 means that manufacturing prices may go down for the PS3's componets, and the TVs, amps, and other such componets which may be sold along side it. Of course, I would assume that Sony would start using BlueRay and Cell in their computers, so refining and making a good showing of these componets on the PS3 will also be good for business.

      With or without the delay, Sony has set themselves up nice.

      --
      Vol~
    4. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by stryck9 · · Score: 1

      yes... but as we have all learned Sony's love of proprietary formats can bite them in the ass... See Betamax and MiniDisc.

    5. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by nickj6282 · · Score: 1

      Somehow I don't think HD-DVD will be limited to movies. If Microsoft decides to use this as a format for deploying their games, they will gain an edge over Nintendo at least, and Sony if they decide not to take the same route. All that data, however, will be limited by Xbox 360's lackluster hardware specs, so it remains to be seen yet what exactly they will do with HD-DVD (other than movies).

    6. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by radish · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why this surprise about HD DVD? The Xbox360 has NEVER been advertised as supporting HD-DVD. When the specs we out back in May it said regular DVD. So if you only just decided not to buy one, well you haven't been paying attention.

      Of course the 360 launch is going to flop

      No, it won't. Microsoft's marketing machine will not let that occur.

      --

      ---- Den ene knappen er powerknapp, den andre er Bender voice knapp "Bite My Shiny Metal Ass"

    7. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Volvogga · · Score: 1

      he he. Ya, good point. Beta was supposedly better and Sony killed it (from what I've read), and I hate Minidisk.

      However, I don't think Blu-ray (spelled it right this time) is Sony's format. According to their site, http://www.blu-ray.com/info/, it is a partnership. Although, I wouldn't be supprised if one company (like Sony or maybe HP) had more control over production and the technology than the others. Some of these companys are probably just financing (like it says 20th Century Fox is on the board, what do they know about hardware?).

      --
      Vol~
    8. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I do think, however, that the aging PS2 hardware is nearing the end of it's lifecycle. Consumers are ready for something new, and as far as I'm concerned, the PSP is a niche market.

      I hope your post is preserved so we can laugh at it in 4 years when PS2 software is still a significant portion of the market.

      If history is any indication, which it probably is, PS2 is long from dead. PS1 launched in 1994. Game inventories were not agressively liquidated until 2003. That's 9 years of effective retail life.

      Now lets do a little analysis (emphasis on little). The difference between the PS1 and the previous generation (SNES) was huge. The difference between the PS1 and the PS2 was less. Now the difference between the PS2 and the PS3 is well, even less. Also, the installed base has been growing with each generation. PS2 has sold over 90 million units and they are still selling them.

      It seems reasonable that the PS2 will last as long or longer than the PS1. Agreed?

      Now, the PS2 was launched in 2000. Add 9 years... it looks like PS2 will be around until at least 2009. Last time I checked this was 2005.

    9. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Sancho · · Score: 1

      The point is, Microsoft recently announced that future 360s will have HD-DVD. That's telling their entire customerbase that early-adopters are actually going to be penalized. That's like a big fat sticker on a DVD case saying, "Coming in a few months, the super-spiffy edition with tons of extra content!" Who's going to buy that DVD when they know ahead of time that a better version will be released?

    10. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by nickj6282 · · Score: 1

      I said the PS2 hardware was aging. As I write this I'm in the middle of a heated dogfight in the gorgeous game Ace Combat 04 from 2001. I still play a great many of my old PS1 games on a regular basis too. I'm not saying the PS2 isn't a valid piece of machinery with plenty of punch left in it. What I'm saying is that I, like many other consumers, are ready for a little more, and the PS3 and 360 promise to deliver that. I plan on keeping my PS2 (even if PS3 is backwards compatible, I can't remember offhand if it's supposed to be or not) and expanding my library. Some of my favorite PS2 games are titles that came out shortly after launch. Hell, I never give up on a good game. I played Metroid earlier today too!

    11. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by DeeKayWon · · Score: 4, Informative
      Let's not forget that Microsoft announced that 360s will ship with standard DVD drives and the HD-DVDs will be coming later (next year most likely).

      No, they didn't.

      Read this.

    12. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Suddenly_Dead · · Score: 1

      How did this comment get raised to a 4? While I think it's a dumb idea for them to go with plain ol' DVD, it by no means indicates that the 360 launch is a definate flop.

      I mean, most people don't honestly give a crap about what format the drive is. Most people likely don't know the difference (and with consoles, you're not expected to know all the different components).

      And having an HD-DVD in the 360 won't make a big difference to the owner, compared with the DVD version, other than being able to play HD-DVDs. There are no or few HD-DVDs out right now, the format has a good chance of losing the upcoming format war, and a majority of people don't have HD TVs yet. The drive won't limit the games a person will be able to play, that piss off too many people for Microsoft to attempt. Not to mention that standalone DVD players have tended to be better quality (and more often used) than the ones included in the PS2 and Xbox, so I doubt people who have and can afford an HD TV and all won't go for a nice standalone player.

    13. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by kreyg · · Score: 1

      When the PS2 shipped, I'm fairly certain that all titles were on CD, even though it was a DVD drive. Once there is manufacturing capacity for HD-DVDs, I imagine that's what they will ship on. It would be beyond stupid for MS to have two incompatible units sold under the same name. I'd be willing to bet the hardware will be HD-DVD even if the initial discs are DVD, which may be the source of the confusion.

      --
      sig fault
    14. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Hatchback+Mustang · · Score: 1

      I, for one, couldn't care less about the lack of HD-DVD on Xbox 360. I'm going to get an Xbox 360 to play the games, and when in some distant future HD-DVD movies start becoming widely available, I'll get the Xbox upgrade or buy an HD-DVD player. You think after 5 million people or more bought a 360, they would come out with a differnt format? Think teh Sega 32x and how bad that turned out...

    15. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Sofa+King+Cold · · Score: 1

      Okay, I feel you have a valid point there, but let us consider the Dreamcast... Okay, okay, I can hear the hisses, but hear me through. The Dreamcast was a fairly powerful machine, but one reason people chose the PS2 over it is because Sega didn't include a DVD drive (if you do some research, you will find that Sega was going to release a form of DVD-playback). I was of the same mindset as you, thinking "Oh, DVD playback won't be that important." But since Sony had it and Sega didn't, well, we see what happened...

      --
      I'll see your computer nerd, and raise you two Chess Clubbers and a role player
    16. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Jarnis · · Score: 1

      No.

      Most titles were CDs because the game fitted onto one, but there were DVD games. Kessen comes to mind, and I'm quite sure there was one or two others at launch (or very soon after it).

    17. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by da_matta · · Score: 1

      I've never understood the HD-DVD-issue with Xbox360. You don't really need 20-30Gb for games. Most current generation titles fit in 2-3Gb with demos and other extras, and increasing polygons and textures is not going to make a big difference. Also, the standard DVD-rom drive is dirt cheap compared to HD/Blueray that's not even in mass production yet. And we're not going to see large scale HD-DVD movie adaptation any time soon. Why pay extra for something you don't need?

    18. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by NeMon'ess · · Score: 1

      How much was the 32x? About $150? You don't really think MS would charge that much just for a drive that plugs in or piggybacks on the 360, do you?

      Do you really think MS would encourage developers to produce HD-DVD only games? The 32x failed because it splintered the Genesis market. There were a handful of games that used the 32x but not the Sega CD. Another handful required both.

      Rather than bring up the 32x, you should look instead at the Sega CD, which was in terms of games, a relatively successful addition to the Genesis.

      If only Sega had been willing or able to lose money on the Sega CD and included 16-bit color capability to it's video, it would have been a smash hit. Instead it could only output 64 colors on screen at once, crippling video and the SNES maintained it's better looking sprite graphics.

    19. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by NeMon'ess · · Score: 1

      But unlike DVD, where is the consumer excitement for HD-DVD? 90% don't have HDTV despite glowing reports of how wonderful DVDs look when played on them. The visual leap up from VHS was so great, and the additions like commentaries were so compelling that people purchased DVD's of videos they already owned. With HD-DVD or Blu-ray I don't expect this to happen to anywhere near the same extent.

    20. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That's completely incorrect. Unlike Office, Microsoft loses money on each console sold. If everyone threw out their old Xbox 360 and bought an xbox 360.5 when the new edition came out, Microsoft would lose obscene amounts of cash with 0 return. If microsoft had it's way, you would only buy one console and share it with like 10 friends who all still bought games. Everyone seems to think microsoft is out to sell Xboxes... they aren't, they just happen to have to sell them in order to charge license fees from developers.

    21. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by NeMon'ess · · Score: 1

      More like "coming in a year, for the low price of $59, or 79, or 99 dollars." What, you don't think MS will sell an add-on drive?

      BTW, some Lord of the Rings fans paid twice for new editions released months later.

      Also, early-adopters who bought a first generation PS or PS2 got stuck with more faulty hardware than the later versions.

    22. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Chandon+Seldon · · Score: 1

      Once HDTVs are reasonably cheap and you can buy movies in HD format, I expect the switch to happen at least as quickly as the VHS to DVD switch occured. The reason we're not seeing any sign of interest yet is that HDTVs still cost $700 and the HD format media doesn't exist yet.

      --
      -- The act of censorship is always worse than whatever is being censored. Always.
    23. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Donny+Smith · · Score: 1

      > Who's going to buy that DVD when they know ahead of time that a better version will be released?

      Well when one can't get anything comparable on the market, I think many people will buy whatever is available.
      Even with Sony's console comes out earlier, it will most likely be more expensive than the 360 + add-on HD-DVD.
      http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=ps3+expensive &btnG=Google+Search

      Where are now all those PS3 Cell zealots?
      If Apple dumped IBM earlier, perhaps Sony would have gotten a clue. Heh, heh....

    24. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by evilviper · · Score: 1
      But unlike DVD, where is the consumer excitement for HD-DVD?

      There wasn't any consumer excitment over DVD a year before the earliest hardware came to market. In fact, there wasn't too much interest for the first year or two after hardware was introduced. After all, other high-end formats that were just as high quality had come claiming to be the next big thing, and gone away with a wimper. People weren't anxious to jump on the DVD bandwagon.

      The visual leap up from VHS was so great,

      And the visual leap from DVDs will be even greater... By a LONGSHOT.

      DVDs are about 2X the resolution of VHS tapes. Meanwhile, HDTV at 1080i is 6X the resolution of DVDs.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    25. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by evilviper · · Score: 1
      WARNING: Power-down all sarcasm meters before progessing any further. They may explode, causing serious injury...

      I, for one, couldn't care less about the lack of HD-DVD on Xbox 360. I'm going to get an Xbox 360 to play the games, and when in some distant future HD-DVD movies start becoming widely available, I'll get the Xbox upgrade or buy an HD-DVD player.

      Yes, because the only possible uses a high-capacity optical disc could have on a game console would be for watching movies. You couldn't possibly use the much higher-capacity discs for games on this gaming system, right?

      Do you not think Microsoft did some market research to see how many people would hold out on getting their new gaming platform because of the lack of HD-DVD support?

      Right, and marketing research is always 100% accurate... Nobody has ever done marketing research that said a product would be a great success, only to have it become a terrible failure, right?
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    26. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by kreyg · · Score: 1

      Ah yes, I remember Kessen being on DVD. From what I recall from a developer's standpoint though, Sony didn't have the manufacturing capacity for DVDs at launch (i.e. only able to support a few titles), DVDs were more expensive anyway, and we could have blown past a CD limit easily with audio data but trimmed back to fit on a CD.

      --
      sig fault
    27. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by GeoffP · · Score: 1

      Which is why Apple sales have suddenly dried up due to the fact that they're seriously boosting the line in a year.

      Oh, wait, they didn't.

    28. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Sancho · · Score: 1

      I believe the Lord of the Rings promised different sets of features on each set. Was that not the case?

      And I'd be a little surprised if there was an add-on drive, but who knows. I guess it could happen.

    29. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Sofa+King+Cold · · Score: 1

      One thing you fail to notice is the fact that their even talking about adding a HD-DVD feture means that there is a market for it. Plus, if I remember correctly, the reason the Dreamcast didn't have DVD playback was because, Survey says.... the DVD comunity was a nitch market 'til 1999...

      --
      I'll see your computer nerd, and raise you two Chess Clubbers and a role player
    30. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Hallucienda · · Score: 1

      How can Sony use Cell in their PC's? surely it would mean all software would need to be rewritten to function and i cant see that happening any time soon.

    31. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by adam31 · · Score: 1
      "Of course the 360 Launch will flop." That's what Sony is thinking at least. They're saying "Our big competition is PGR3? Nobody's buying new hardware for that."


      So what do you do when someone fires a spitwad at you? Fire one back... or wait a minute to compose yourself and then assault them with overwhelming force? Sony's not dumb. They saw what happened with the PSP... it's a niche market because 8 months after launch it'll finally be a launchable platform.


      With the PS3, there isn't leeway. They'll get all their ducks in a row... launch titles, blu-ray, online, Blu-Movies, middleware... they'll get names in the pipeline to hit stores at the right times. Microsoft has shown their hand: "XBox 2 this Fall. Another Halo released the same day as PS3..." Sony has decided there is no point to engage that fight, so we'll see what they do and whether it pays off.

    32. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by maxpublic · · Score: 1

      But unlike DVD, where is the consumer excitement for HD-DVD?

      There wasn't any consumer excitement over the DVD, except among the bleeding-edge niche market. In fact, there's NEVER been any excitement over the DVD when it comes to Joe and Jane Consumer; the DVD has consistently made slow gains over the course of years, so slowly that VHS players and tapes are still ubiquitous.

      If you need a real-world example of this, just take a look at any video rental store. Every year more and more VHS titles are being replaced with DVD/VHS releases, or DVD-only releases. But the process is slow and very, very few stores rent only DVDs; in most stores theres still a mish-mash of DVDs and videos precisely because Joe and Jane aren't rushing out in huge numbers to replace their perfectly functional VCRs.

      Joe and Jane, you see, just don't give a shit. Don't expect them to jones over HD-DVD any more than they've been raving over HDTV. The only people who think that HD-DVD or HDTV are going to 'explode' are the same idiots who thought DVD was 'taking over the market' because they thought it was cool, and their friends did too. It never occurred to the idiots that neither they nor their friends constituted a representative sample of the population.

      Max

      --
      My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
    33. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by NeMon'ess · · Score: 1

      VHS is analog, so it's hard to say if the quality was closer to 640x240 or 320x240. If it was the latter than DVD is over 4X the resolution.

      It's also important to look at DVDs when stretched properly on an HD screen. On SDTV a 2.39:1 image stored anamorphically gets squished down to 640x268. That is just 50% of the 720x480 original image. So people upgrading to HDTV get to now enjoy those DVDs with 2X more detail.

      Consider the few years in the late 90s when many 3D computer games could be displayed all the way from 320x240 up to 1280x960. Going from 320 to 640 had much more impact than 640 to 1280, even though both steps quadruple the number of pixels. If 640 helps the viewer comprehend objects on screen 4x better than 320, than going to 1280 there is less than 4x improvement in comprehention because perhaps 50% has already been discerned.

      At 320 when driving I couldn't read a sign in the distance warning me of a turn. At 640 I could, but at 1280 since I already could see the sign, there is less improvement in comprehention.

      So the more pixels are visible, the less valuable additional pixels become. HD-DVD will bring more than double the image quality compared to VHS --> DVD, but the higher resolution will not be as appreciated as much as it was when switching to DVD.

    34. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Sofa+King+Cold · · Score: 1

      what I want to know is how the games will support HD without a HD-dvd drive...

      --
      I'll see your computer nerd, and raise you two Chess Clubbers and a role player
    35. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Sofa+King+Cold · · Score: 1

      If Apple dumped IBM earlier, perhaps Sony would have gotten a clue. Heh, heh...

      One problem with that statement.... the 360 is the console running off of the powerPC cores...

      --
      I'll see your computer nerd, and raise you two Chess Clubbers and a role player
    36. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by NeMon'ess · · Score: 1

      Circuit City doesn't sell VHS players anymore.

      HD-DVD won't take off until Joe and Jane consumer have a HDTV capable set. The majority of which are in reality limited to 720p or throw away half the fields in 1080i and line double the rest, resulting in 1920x540 at 30fps.

      The problem is in a few years when $500 buys a 32" screen, from six feet away the clarity improvement of HD won't match going from VHS to DVD on a 27" screen. The pixels on the HD are so small that the benefit won't be as much as mathematically predicted. HD-DVD will do wonders for really big screens, but for the low and midrange market which is most consumers, 640x480 is enough detail. Or when they do get an HDTV, their DVDs will instantly show 33 to 50% more detail.

    37. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by korielgraculus · · Score: 1

      Because having an HD-DVD drive has nothing to do with the ability to produce an HD video signal.

      Don't forget that the XBox360 will also run games that can generate images at arbitary resolutions, as well as being able to play HD Video files either from the hard drive or across the network from a Windows PC or media centre box. (and that spelling is correct because the language I am writing in is English! :D ) HD is simply a defined combination of resolution and signal frequency etc. that signals should be produced to in order to enable viewing on, for example, an HDTV set.

    38. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by ggy · · Score: 1

      (like it says 20th Century Fox is on the board, what do they know about hardware?).
      Hey, there must be some reason for Fox to kill all good SciFi shows. Maybe the shows started revealing too much about Fox's 2020 christmas lineup?

    39. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by maxpublic · · Score: 1

      Circuit City doesn't sell VHS players anymore.

      Which doesn't address the original point. And regardless of what Circuit City does, nearly every chain that used to sell VCRs still does.

      Fact is, VCRs tend to be tough and highly functional pieces of equipment. They last for years. And years. And years. The failure rate of the average cheap VCR is tiny.

      Joe and Jane don't see what the fuss is. The DVD just isn't that exciting. The 'extra content' on most DVDs is boring schlock not worth watching in the first place. Games still come on CDs, so there's no motivation to throw out the CD-ROM and replace it.

      So what if DVDs store more data? Joe and Jane don't do much in the way of backup, and if they do the CD is just fine for 99% of 'average consumer' jobs. What's the big deal if DVD movies are (marginally) clearer? Improved quality or not, Joe and Jane are perfectly satisfied with the movie that comes on the VCR tape. Why should they replace a perfectly good VCR *and* TV set (you need the HDTV, otherwise the DVD player is mostly a dick-measuring item) when what they have works, works well, and suits them just fine?

      Joe and Jane are not bleeding-edge consumers. Joe and Jane don't give a shit about what a bunch of pasty-faced, fat-assed geeks drool over. Joe and Jane aren't going to drop a bundle of hard-earned cash on technology which makes them yawn.

      And Joe and Jane hold the purse strings. For any product to thrive they're the folks that have to buy it; the niche bleeding-edgers don't have the purchase power to do the trick themselves.

      HD-DVD and HDTV won't be taking off, or exploding, or doing much of anything any time soon. Like the DVD they'll gradually - over the space of years - take over the market as older VCRs/CD-ROMS/DVDs/TVs break down and need to be replaced. And they'll do it this way because the vast majority of consumers are Joes and Janes, and they'll greet the HD-DVD and HDTV with just as much enthusiasm as they did the DVD - which is to say, very little at all.

      Max

      --
      My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
    40. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by NanoGator · · Score: 1

      " I was going to go out and get a 360 at launch, but now I'm going to wait for HD-DVD, as I suspect many other people are."

      I think you over-estimate how many people are ready to start watching HD-DVD movies. I think you also underestimate how many people MUST HAVE NEW SYSTEM AT LAUNCH. *Grunt grunt* I think a lot of people are overestimating the importance of the HD-DVD. They've never actually said it was intended for games. Worse, it's unlikely that most publishers would publish to a lesser-installed format. The 360, however, is a media machine, hence the reason why MS would want it to play HD-DVDs once the format is settled on.

      "I do think, however, that the aging PS2 hardware is nearing the end of it's lifecycle. Consumers are ready for something new...."

      Which is exactly why the XBOX 360 stands a decent chance at having a good launch. Though I found it inexplicable (the games don't look that much better than what we have now...), there is a lot of hype over in Microsoft's camp. If Sony's not there, then guess where the money goes.

      My point? There is no 'of course' about the 360's launch being a flop or not. I don't know, you don't know, nobody knows. What we do know is that the XBOX has a decent sized installed base. We also know that people are interested in the next generation of hardware. On top of all that, it's well known that MS has quite the marketing budget. It could flop, but it doesn't seem all that likely. The real question is whether or not the existing user base is happy enough with the XBOX to want to upgrade. Sadly, I've only heard from both pro and anti MS zealots on the topic.

      --
      "Derp de derp."
    41. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by ErikZ · · Score: 1


      Are you kidding me?

      Reports from people using a well tuned HDTV set are "It's like looking through a window."

      It's a huge step up from DVDs.

      --
      Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
    42. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by NeMon'ess · · Score: 1

      Depends on how we look at it. If we trust this Google Answer, 50% of households had a DVD player at the end of 2003, and 65% did at the end of 2004.

      (you need the HDTV, otherwise the DVD player is mostly a dick-measuring item)

      Justify that. Going from 640x240 (VHS best case) or 320x240 (VHS worst case) up to 640x480 doubles or quadruples the number of pixels. That's a lot more clarity and detail.

      HD-DVD and HDTV won't be taking off, or exploding, or doing much of anything any time soon.

      Well yeah, I was replying to the grandparent who thought the Dreamcast lacking DVD playback was a mistake. I replied saying the market situation was different this time around.

    43. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by NeMon'ess · · Score: 1

      I never said it wasn't.

      Compare that step to the one going from VHS to DVD. That doubled or quadrupled the visible pixels and wowed everyone too.

    44. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by birder · · Score: 1

      Not to mention, the hard drive can be used to copy over data say from a second dvd if needed.

    45. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by kesuki · · Score: 1

      Mpeg-4 compression will do wonders for that. Technically speaking, the 'current' xbox supports 'high definition' resolutions (480p, 720i) High definition is a pretty 'broad' term, so the 360 will likely support 1080p, that doesn't mean games will have to use it, they could opt for 720p, which would be a vast improvment over current '480i' standard definition signals. also, due to marketing reasons etc, most 'cheap' DTV sets lack a 1080p mode, while still supporting 720p. I'd rather watch a 720p signal than a 1080i, myself so most likely when they say xbox 360 will support HD, they mean many game developers will support 720p, at least for cinematics...

    46. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Pulzar · · Score: 1

      Yes, because the only possible uses a high-capacity optical disc could have on a game console would be for watching movies. You couldn't possibly use the much higher-capacity discs for games on this gaming system, right?

      Is that going to make you not buy a gaming system? Poor game developers, they'll have to cram the game onto one DVD! Even though the game is good, just imagine how much better it could've been with all that extra space on the media!

      Bah, look at the PC games with all the high-resolution graphics, still doing fine with the regular DVD media. If I see the games suffering dramatically from the lack of space, then I'll decide to sell my xbox and buy more ps3 games, but it's not going to stop me from buying xbox at launch if the games are good.

      Right, and marketing research is always 100% accurate... Nobody has ever done marketing research that said a product would be a great success, only to have it become a terrible failure, right?

      It's much harder to do research to figure out if a product will be a success than to ask people do you want HD-DVD on your xbox. If I may be so bold to say, I believe that research will be accurate enough.

      And, as you believe, the HD-DVD is important for the extra space on the media, then that research is even easier to do -- call up all your game developers and ask them what they can do with it.

      --
      Never underestimate the bandwidth of a 747 filled with CD-ROMs.
    47. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by R.D.Olivaw · · Score: 1

      I remember having a few games on a single floppy then a few floppies were required for a single game, in came CDROMs, afterwards, a few CDROMs were needed for a single game. Now we have the DVDs. In a short while you'll need a few DVDs for a game and game will start coming on a HD-DVD sooner or later.

    48. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Shadow99_1 · · Score: 1

      Um you do realize that the HD-DVD bit we've all no heard repeated here was taken completely out of context and the actual quote was more like "If their is a need for HD-DVD we will release an updated Xbox 360 with that feature".

      I'm completely serious, go back and read the comments from the first slashdot article that started this annoying idiocy and look for a (Score:5, Insightful) comment saying exactly what I am with the links to back it up...

      Really some of you will do anything to beat on MS...

      --
      we are all invisible unless we choose otherwise
    49. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Cereal+Box · · Score: 2, Informative

      If microsoft had it's way, you would only buy one console and share it with like 10 friends who all still bought games.

      Uh, no. I think Microsoft would prefer that those ten friends also buy XBoxes in addition to all those games.

      I don't see why so many people have such a hard time grasping this "loss leader" concept. Microsoft loses money on each console sold, which they intend to recoup by game sales. However, Microsoft loses MORE money when those consoles AREN'T bought.

      It seems most Slashdotters think that the reverse is true, that Microsoft makes money when XBoxes sit on the shelf, and only lose money when an XBox is bought. Mind-boggling.

    50. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by douceur · · Score: 1

      Every 360 game will fit on a regular DVD, so you'd be set for games. How many of your current games get anywhere *near* 9 gigs? As for movies, there isn't even a winner between HD-DVD and Blu-Ray, so would it really make sense for Microsoft to spend the extra cash and include the drive?

    51. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by maynard · · Score: 1

      Output resolution (480p, 720p, 1080i) is not really relevant here (output can just be scaled to the display device). The primary problem with HD-DVD is a bandwidth limitation of ~7 - ~8mbits/sec from the red laser out the drive. So, the question becomes: will ~7mbits/sec throughput be enough bandwidth for acceptable visual quality High Definition MPEG4 media? This is the problem with HD-DVD that Blue-Ray, with its ~29mbits/sec throughput, solves. Any additional storage capacity Blue-Ray offers is cake.

      RE: the potential for MS to push Windows Media 9 via their product: it has yet to be accepted as a standard High Definition format, so even if the XBox 360 supports it that doesn't mean media (film titles) will become available. MPEG4 has already been accepted as a standard, which is why satellite and cable companies are currently planning a migration from MPEG2 to MPEG4 in their next generation STBs. WM9 looks DOA at this point. --M

    52. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Rod+Beauvex · · Score: 1

      Sony doesn't make high end anything. Haven't for a little over two decades.

    53. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by TheoMurpse · · Score: 1

      However, if they sold enough of both systems due to people buying both 360 and 360.5, then they could charge higher licensing fees because "look how many consoles are out there!!!"

    54. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      "Is the Xbox 360 going to flop? Of course it's going to flop! This is Slashdot and the product is manufactured by Microsoft, so regardless of how many people buy it, we're going to declare it flopped anyway. After all, almost everyone here on Slashdot considers the original Xbox a flop despite exceeding Microsoft's sales estimates by a good margin."

    55. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Richthofen80 · · Score: 1

      Seriously, I think you're absolutely on target

      About xbox launch time I had two friends working in what was then a FuncoLand. They aggressively steered people away from the Xbox, because they were anti-MS in general and pro-nintendo / sony.

      However, the Xbox has been a great success. It pioneered hard disk drives and ethernet in systems as a requirement, and helped greatly bring about support for other-than-480i resolutions. Its also got some great games, albeit a smaller library than PS2.

      a lot of people said the same thing in 1994. Big non-game company like Sony stepping into a market filled with old-faithfuls like nintendo and sega. But if done right, companies can be successful. I LOVE my xbox. I have a live subscription, I play MLB 2005, Crimson Skies, Halo 2, and Need For Speed very frequently. I can't WAIT for xbox2.

      --
      Reason, free market capitalism, and individualism
    56. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by tgibbs · · Score: 1

      what I want to know is how the games will support HD without a HD-dvd drive...

      You can store HD video on a regular DVD--or even a CD, for that matter. You can just fit more of it onto a HD-DVD. And remember that most of the video for games is not stored on the disk as videos, but generated on the fly from digital models. This can be done to whatever resolution is desired. Many PC games already generate HD-quality displays.

    57. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      Many PC games already generate HD-quality displays.

      A few Xbox games already do 720p or 1080i, and nearly *all* Xbox games do 480p.

      (The only Xbox game that runs in 480i that I know of is Metal Slug... because my TV doesn't support 480i and 480p on the same video input that means I get only gibberish on the screen for the Metal Slug demo. I wonder how many sales they lost because they made their game incompatible with so many TVs...)

    58. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by tgibbs · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, the Xbox generally doesn't provide aspect ratio control in 480p, so with a 16:9 TV games get stretched horizontally. I'm encouraged the XBox360 games are all supposed to support widescreen TVs

    59. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by RoLi · · Score: 1
      No, it won't. Microsoft's marketing machine will not let that occur.

      You are 100% correct, although in a different way than you probably meant.

      The XBox failed miserably and was sold less than half as often as Microsoft forecast.

      Microsoft's marketing machine did not let that failure occur and after 4 years this miserable failure is seen as a big success by a lot of people.

    60. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by mink · · Score: 1

      You are forgetting S-VHS only a little lower in resolution then regular DVD.

      --
      Well I've wrestled with reality for thirty five years doctor, and I'm happy to say I finally won out over it.
    61. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by mink · · Score: 1

      I dont care what console it comes out for but I hope we get an update on Skygunner, or maybe the PS3 can play it without having to use the code that disables all visuals so the framerate does not drop into slideshow mode. It's a great game that IMO should have been ported to the Gamecube like Ikurga was (DC version suffered slowdowns).

      --
      Well I've wrestled with reality for thirty five years doctor, and I'm happy to say I finally won out over it.
    62. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Babbster · · Score: 1

      "Joe and Jane" adopted DVDs faster than any other piece of consumer electronics in history. What was your point again?

    63. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by NeMon'ess · · Score: 1

      Going by wikipedia, it was 240x480, so DVD is 3 times as good.

      For the aspect ratio stuff, remember a 1.85:1 or 2.39:1 movie has black bars on the the top and bottom of it when displayed on a 4:3 screen. So despite being stored at 720x480, it gets resized and only takes up 268 of the scanlines. That's if it's 2.39:1.

    64. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by Saige · · Score: 1

      My first console purchase this generation was a GameCube - I didn't even get an Xbox until January. I held off at first because it was a MS product, and even after ending up working at MS, I still skipped over it. Then I played a couple games at a friend's house, and picked one up - I've barely touched any other console since then. I may well have already logged more time on it then my GameCube - and Xbox Live has gone a long way toward keeping me playing a lot.

      I've had the opportunity to see the 360 in action, and even got to play around with one just a couple days ago. (Perks of working a MS and knowing people on the Xbox team) I am so getting a 360 right away, and I am very excited about it. Everything I have seen tells me they've learned a lot from what's happened with the first Xbox, and the new one is definitely going to be more impressive.

      I suspect the Xbox team knows they don't need to beat Sony (as much as I'm sure they want to), but to just close the gap substantially. I don't see how that could NOT happen. A team full of gamers trying to create the best gaming machine they can? Seems like the ideal way to do things!

      --
      "You know your god is man-made when he hates all the same people you do."
    65. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by evilviper · · Score: 1
      On SDTV a 2.39:1 image stored anamorphically gets squished down to 640x268.

      TVs generally display about 704 columns, not 640. But it's completely besides the point. Yes, DVDs will look better on HDTVs (not twice as good, but there's no reason to argue the point). However, BluRay/HD-DVDs will still look 6Xs better.

      Also, it's quite ironic that you say that DVDs are a 2X improvement over VHS tapes, then mention that DVDs are usually widescreen, which means people really only get half that increased resolution anyhow.

      So the more pixels are visible, the less valuable additional pixels become. [...] but the higher resolution will not be as appreciated as much as it was when switching to DVD.

      There is such a thing as diminishing returns, but that doesn't mean NO returns. Even with diminishing returns, that 6X improvement is going to big a huge difference, and diminishing returns will not have a big enough effect to negate that.

      HD-DVD will bring more than double the image quality compared to VHS --> DVD,

      What?
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    66. Re:Xbox 360 Flop? by kesuki · · Score: 1

      I don't think you understand the importance of output resolution. Have you Ever, used a TV output device (eg All-in-wonder) on a 480i (standard def) scanline tv? have you ever used a TV input device with a progessive scan display eg: PC Monitor, High def TV? You CANNOT scale between progressive and interlaced images period. the interface will either work on a progressive display device, and be completely unusable on an interlaced device, or it will work on an interlaced device, and look boxy and stupid on a progressive scan device. For movies, it's
      'fine' to go progressive scan, and simply loose quality on interlaced modes, but for game engines, you run into usability problems unless you design two seperate game interfaces, one for progessive scan users, and one for interlaced users.

      And as far as WM9 goes, it's an 'extension' of the mpeg-4 spec. I don't see a single reason for a licensed developer of x-box 360 to not use wmv9 unless they are planning to cross-port to ps3, and wanted to keep both systems using the same stock mpeg-4 footage.

      keep in mind the xbox 360 is shipping with a standard DVD-rom, just because microsft is 'considering' using hd-dvd at some point doesn't mean they ever will.

  5. Perhaps a response from Sony to MS.. by Sv-Manowar · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Its interesting that this comes quite soon after Bill Gates himself announced that the first next-gen Xboxes would ship with non-HD DVD drives, effectively limiting the launch software to dvd media, and perhaps even limiting all games throughout the lifetime of the platform. If Sony do choose to take extra time in ensuring the launch titles make the absolute most out of the additional storage capacity and performance available on the PS3, it could be enough to provide a killer blow even to a successful xbox 360. If the PS3 manages to blow the xbox away in terms of game visuals/depth, then they'll almost have skipped a generation and taken the fight right back to microsoft.

    1. Re:Perhaps a response from Sony to MS.. by stryck9 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The net-gain in visuals on the next gen platforms is negligible to the point that I think it will be hard for either to distinguish amongst themselves.

    2. Re:Perhaps a response from Sony to MS.. by radish · · Score: 4, Informative

      Its interesting that this comes quite soon after Bill Gates himself announced that the first next-gen Xboxes would ship with non-HD DVD drives

      He did no such thing. It has ALWAYS been specified that the Xbox360 would have a regular DVD drive (see this article from May), because the next gen formats would not be available in time. What he announced recently was that in the future, they may ship new models with HD DVD drives.

      --

      ---- Den ene knappen er powerknapp, den andre er Bender voice knapp "Bite My Shiny Metal Ass"

    3. Re:Perhaps a response from Sony to MS.. by metricmusic · · Score: 1

      The fact that you KNOW they might come out with a HD-DVD enabled xbox somehwere along the track is good enough reason to delay getting a xbox 360 until you are sure ms won't come out with one.

      For me, I'm gonna stick with the current gen consoles until the Ps3 is out and then wait see what evolves out of the 360.

      --
      http://www.livejournal.com/users/metricmusic
    4. Re:Perhaps a response from Sony to MS.. by douceur · · Score: 1

      Erm, that was announced at or before E3. All Gates said is that they were looking into other options for the future of the console. With regard to limiting software to to regular DVDs, I fail to see why that's a problem. When was the last time you bought a game that was near the full capacity of a DVD9? And if they needed the extra space, two discs would not be a big deal. There have been plenty of great games that came on two CDs. Final Fantasy 7, Final Fantasy 8, and Skies of Arcadia, just to name a few. Nobody considered that a "bad" thing, though..

  6. Larger library does not mean better library by ReformedExCon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Disclaimer: I do not own the Playstation 2.

    I used to own a Playstation years ago, and one of my favorite things about it was that the library of games for the system was incredibly vast. However, scratching the surface revealed that many of the games were cheap ripoffs of each other and that truly original games were few and far between.

    Nintendo has always seemed to have a talent for coming up with a decent library of original games that keeps the devoted coming back. Sony, on the other hand, seems to push quantity over quality when it comes to their library. If they are going to take 2 years to fill out their launch library, I wonder how much of that will be really good games and how much of it will be cutscene movies (Final Fantasy), sequels (anything by Rockstar), and played out genres (the FPS comes to mind).

    I really like Sony. I owned many of their walkmans years ago, and I enjoyed the gaming I did on the original Playstation. But both they and the audience must learn that just because you have many times the number of games as your competitor, it is not a very good metric because the number of good, original games in that library may be only a fraction of that amount.

    --
    Jesus saved me from my past. He can save you as well.
    1. Re:Larger library does not mean better library by Knetzar · · Score: 4, Insightful

      See, that's what I loved about the playstation. They published anything and everything, so you could find games that fit you, not games that fit the "average person".

    2. Re:Larger library does not mean better library by CashCarSTAR · · Score: 1

      Too bad making HDTV compatibility is going to basically end that for Sony.

      Jump Ball!

    3. Re:Larger library does not mean better library by xenocide2 · · Score: 1

      It's not like Sony independently bankrolled and published these obscure games you cherish, or that many of these games found their way to the states...

      --
      I Browse at +4 Flamebait

      Open Source Sysadmin

    4. Re:Larger library does not mean better library by evilviper · · Score: 1
      Nintendo has always seemed to have a talent for coming up with a decent library of original games that keeps the devoted coming back. Sony, on the other hand, seems to push quantity over quality when it comes to their library.

      I agree. Unfortunately, the numbers speak for themselves. Nintendo isn't doing nearly as well as Sony or Microsoft, so I doubt they are going to change their strategy completely around and follow the lead of the last-place competitor.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    5. Re:Larger library does not mean better library by SetupWeasel · · Score: 1

      Easily the least creative game house? They love their franchises, but come on. Take a look at Microsoft.

      Halo - UT/Quake clone
      Dungeon Seige - Diablo Clone
      Top Spin - Virtua Tennis Clone
      Conker Live and Reloaded - Sequel to an awful game
      Perfect Dark Zero - Remember when Rare was special. It may be the Alzheimer's, but I'm having trouble remembering back that far. I think they were working for Nintendo then.
      Forza Motorsport/Project Gotham Racing - Don't get more original than these two, I'll tell you.
      Fable - All right we get the point.
      True Fantasy Online - We really get the point even though they didn't finish it.
      Halo 2 - You keep delivering the point, but we keep saying no. Get a clue.

      On the other hand, you say Nintendo isn't creative. Yet they INVENT most of the genres all these other games fall into. Have you played Kirby Canvas Curse and Yoshi's Touch and Go? There is a brand new genre in the past couple months. What about Brain Training for Adults? Odama? I could go on and on.

    6. Re:Larger library does not mean better library by Mad_Rain · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, the numbers speak for themselves. Nintendo isn't doing nearly as well as Sony or Microsoft, so I doubt they are going to change their strategy completely around and follow the lead of the last-place competitor.

      Dude. I don't know what you're smokin', but from a financial standpoint, I'd much rather be in Nintendo's shoes.

      While the Slashdot title says "Profits are down 80%", Nintendo still remains profitable. However, the game divisions of Microsoft and Sony have LOST money. (they just happened to be profitable in their other monop- errr, divisions.)

      --
      "What do you think?" "I think 'What, do you think?!'"
    7. Re:Larger library does not mean better library by Xarius · · Score: 1

      Your interpretation of "original" may be vastly different than someone elses, the advantage of a vast library is not to have a lot of games that you want, but to have a lot of games that a lot of different people will want.

      --
      C17H21NO4
    8. Re:Larger library does not mean better library by asb · · Score: 1

      I wonder how much of that will be really good games and how much of it will be cutscene movies (Final Fantasy), sequels (anything by Rockstar), and played out genres (the FPS comes to mind).

      You mentioned that you don't own a PS2. Have you played these games then? If no, what makes you qualified to comment on their quality?

      --
      Antti S. Brax - Old school - http://www.iki.fi/asb/
    9. Re:Larger library does not mean better library by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      Ok, this is posted at +5 insightful, but what does this post have to do about the article whatsoever? It doesn't even address the prediction that the PS3 may be delayed, it's just a nice little "hey, I like Nintendo" explaination. That's great, but what is it doing in this discussion? it doesn't even mention the Xbox 360.

    10. Re:Larger library does not mean better library by H0D_G · · Score: 1

      one word-rez. the reason that all games companies publish 'clones' is that they're proven genres. It's how you get money for your next game, which can be innovative and new. nintendo, however, keep much of the development in house, so the already have that money to develop.

      --
      Kids! Bringing about Armageddon can be dangerous. Do not attempt it in your home!
  7. disastrous for Sony by stryck9 · · Score: 1

    This would be a disastrous move on Sony's part. No matter how crappy the XBOX launch titles are launching the PS3 in 2007 will give MS two Q4s to push out games and get traction. Microsoft is no Sega and there is no way that Sony could repeat its success in the PS2 vs Dreamcast fight. The fact that this idea is even floating suggests that Sony is having serious problems at some stage (I guess manufacturing) of the PS3 development.

    1. Re:disastrous for Sony by stryck9 · · Score: 1

      Umm no. What you are not grasping is how completely irrelevant a bad launch of the 360 is to Microsoft. If there is one thing MS is good at doing it is getting inferior products to market and then use Fear Undoubt and Deception against the opposition to cement a lead. If you think that the best product wins get a clue and feel free to attach your name to comments coward.

    2. Re:disastrous for Sony by stryck9 · · Score: 1

      good catch, -1 to me for incorrectly remembering marketing terms and making up a new word! replace undoubt with uncertainty ;)

  8. I hope they do by Sawbones · · Score: 1
    I'd love it if sony took a little while longer to work on the PS3 before releaseing it, we (customers) will get a better product.

    Another year might not mean launching with drastically better hardware (think the newer slim ps2 vs the original layout) but we'll probably have fewer heat distribution problems, better wireless technology, all of that.

    Realistically though, all of the publishers working on games for a mid 2006 launch are unlikely to site on potential profits for a year so sony can have a PR "trouncing", no matter how big sony is.

    --

    Ad in classifieds: Pandora's Box (no box) $5
  9. Personally by LowbrowDeluxe · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I don't think it's all that bad of a move. First off, both the Xbox 2 (Quick, give it a name with a 3 in it or it'll look bad compared to Sony...feh.) and the PS3 were rushed due to competition with each other. If the Xbox fails because of that, and because they rushed to undercut even Sony's timetable, then it clearly makes sense. Above and beyond that, though, Sony is really more about franchise loyalty and the flavor of games produced for it, and they have plenty of games slated all the way through next year for the PS2. They're not going to lose their core audience to Xbox. Most Playstation fans who want a game that comes out on XBox will wait and buy it for their actual computer. Meanwhile, if they did delay, the PS3 might actually manage to live up to part of it's hype, something I don't have a lot of hope for given the release-date war between Sony and Microsoft. Eventually it reached some obscure level of corporate triple-dog-dare, and Sony called them on it. If they succeed Sony will have to launch, if not they can stand their laughing and calling MS a dumbass for trying it. I can only imagine the screams of pain from engineers everytime MS and Sony's marketing teams released a revised release date.

    1. Re:Personally by radish · · Score: 1

      I can only imagine the screams of pain from engineers everytime MS and Sony's marketing teams released a revised release date.

      AFAIK none of the dates have been announced yet. That aside, Microsoft have always (again, AFAIK) said "end of 2005", and that's what it looks like we're getting. Sony countered with a "H1 2006" (IIRC, from E3) and now some people are predicting that may change. I don't see either marketing dept partaking in "corporate triple-dog-dare" unless it's behind closed doors.

      --

      ---- Den ene knappen er powerknapp, den andre er Bender voice knapp "Bite My Shiny Metal Ass"

    2. Re:Personally by stratjakt · · Score: 1

      The franchise loyalty is the key here. IGN was running some big "story" on how in their online poll, 30% thought PS3 would be the most powerful vs 26% thought xbox 2.. Or something like that, the numbers arent important.

      Whats this mean? It's a count of fanboys, since nobody voting has any real information to go on.

      They could release a dogturd with a sony logo on it, and fanboys would lap it up. So could MS. So all this "supercomputer mega powerful OMG megaflips" are just to feed fanboys. People who enjoy video games know that the games are what'll matter in the end.

      I'm more interested in what Nintendo is up to, since they seem to be the only company left who's dedicated to hardware for playing video games, and creating or licensing good games for that hardware.

      --
      I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
    3. Re:Personally by J0re · · Score: 1

      the Xbox 2 (Quick, give it a name with a 3 in it or it'll look bad compared to Sony...feh.)

      It will, if fact, be called the Xbox 360. It must about 120 times better than the PS3.

    4. Re:Personally by Morinaga · · Score: 1
      I'm not sure where you get this impression of a "release-date war" nor the impression of Microsoft rushing their product out.

      Microsoft has been clear about the developement time-line on their console and the fact they've been investing and developing for the last four years. Several articles have been published that expound on how long they worked on and developed things such as the physical design of the console itself and the user interface of the software.

      Microsoft has never officially given a release date but has always said the end of '05. As far as I know this has never changed.

      In conclusion, what support do you have that Microsoft is rushing their developement or release dates?

      My personal observation about this most recent rumor of delaying the PS3 so they can develope a stronger title library to crush MS, is that it just doesn't make sense. Delaying a release just gives Xbox360 developers more time to release additional titles and to bridge that gap (if any) between developed titles between the two consoles. I suppose you could look at this one of two ways depending on which side of the fence you stand on in so far that you could infer that Sony is delaying release so they have more time to get their titles developed to begin with.

      Sony is a public company and not a professional sports franchise. It may be true that Sony wishes to crush the Xbox360 to gain greater market share and increase their revenue but in my corporate experience you do not delay revenue generation out of some competitive desire to "win" over your competition. You strive to generate as much revenue as quickly as possible because stockholders demand of their board that they do so. I simply don't see the powers that be at Sony happily waiting for Microsoft to gain new customers while they delay release so they can "win". Also, Sony can't be Jonesing to give Halo3 more production time.

  10. Hold 'em back by Hobbes897 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I wouldn't mind seeing both of these consoles delayed for a year or so. It seems like both systems were hyped far too much to even begin meeting the expectations of gamers and programmers. This way the hardware might be upgraded some and developers would have more time to fiddle with it. This actually seems like a good move for overall quality.

    --
    Normality is now: overrated.
  11. May backfire at first, but ultimately succeed by Icarus1919 · · Score: 1

    Sure, at first the lack of another next generation system could allow Microsoft to grab more market share in the beginning, but it is the truth that if sony were to take this track, then when they do launch, many people will be more than willing to shell out the money for a next gen system with an extensive launch title list, rather than one with a short list that slowly grows. Additionally, with the extra time allowed to work on their games, many of the launch titles would probably be of high quality.

    1. Re:May backfire at first, but ultimately succeed by EggyToast · · Score: 1
      The only problem is that Sony develops a very small portion of their own games. Not a problem once a console is out and running, but for launch it's exceedingly hard to get 3rd parties working on titles right up to launch. Usually they're games that have been finished for a while, so they're short or underdeveloped (as they focused on a launch date rather than featureset) or do not utilize the hardware efficiently.

      Plus, they released a year after the Dreamcast, stating similar reasons, but still had an appauling launch. They were, in my opinion, saved only because they had that year of time to get some good games out against the next console's launch titles (which, again, were short or had other qualities that made them very "launch title" titles).

      If they delay, that just gives the Xbox 360 more chances to really hurt them. All they need to do is delay a few key games until the PS3 launch. The more time Sony gives them, the better the Xbox game(s) will be.

  12. Might be stupid by NekoXP · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The guy I mean.

    How can Sony delay for a year and have more games on launch than a console
    which will have had an 18 month head start?

    Neko

    1. Re:Might be stupid by HawaiianSophie · · Score: 1

      By having a years worth of "new" games, derfy.

    2. Re:Might be stupid by zorostron · · Score: 1

      A whole year+ for developers to create titles for a system that doesn't exist in any household? I see a whole lot of new nothing coming out of that.

      On the otherhand, with an 18 month headstart and a console in public use, game developers would be able to tap the vein of the gamer community and find out what "works."

      Has anyone noticed how each console launches with one "power title" game and a handful of trash games? For XBox it was PGR. That was a wicked game for that console - when it launched! Now look at the titles that are released for the XBox and how much better the graphics and gameplay are for games in the same genre. I mean, compare PGR at launch and NFS: Underground 2. The difference is amazing.

      I guess my point is that with a box out first, developers can improve upon the code, graphics, etc. ad nauseum to get the absolute most out of the console. Plus the feedback from the gamers is invaluable. By delaying, yes Sony can benefit from that data as well, but only so much. No matter how good they are, developers still need time to make it play and even more time to make it play hard. It gets worse when they're trying to develop for a console that's "almost ready" for launch.

      That 18 month headstart will give M$ and all their minion game makers a chance to dig their heels in and get ready for the blitz. And like someone commented earlier, we are talking about M$ and not Sega. If there is one thing that M$ has proven time and time again, they can take hits on the chin that would normally crush a corporation. Just look at how they rebound from punches thrown by world governments for crying out loud.

      I think this is going to be interesting to see play out, but in the words of Hans Solo, "I got a bad feeling about this."

    3. Re:Might be stupid by Keeper · · Score: 1

      Its simple if you use Sony fanboy math. :p

    4. Re:Might be stupid by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      Not to mention, even if you have the time to give a game company an extra 18 months to work... you can't necessarily afford to give a game company an extra 18 months to work.

  13. I wouldn't be surpirsed by HawaiianSophie · · Score: 1

    After Bloombergs false report in 2003 saying that production would begin that year. Remember that?

  14. Bah, bottom line tactics by Bananatree3 · · Score: 2, Funny
    If Microsoft comes out with a weak set of titles at launch Sony could delay and build a larger launch library to lay the smack down on Microsoft."

    [subconscious rant]so it is all about who can make the biggest buck!?! I know I may be playing against the grain, but is money all they really think about these days?! What about the 12 year olds who were dying for this on their next birthday, and they will have to wait another year, just because of the bottom line! Insane I tell you![/subconscious rant]

    1. Re:Bah, bottom line tactics by ilovepolymorphism · · Score: 1

      [blockquote]so it is all about who can make the biggest buck!?[/blockquote] yes

    2. Re:Bah, bottom line tactics by NitsujTPU · · Score: 1

      Oh no, someone's folks didn't buy them a new toy.

      I guess that they'll have to read, or play outside, or learn that the world isn't handed to them on a silver platter.

  15. Strange logic... by CatGrep · · Score: 1

    It seems to me that this is just a smokescreen. Maybe they're having problems getting the PS3 going? Maybe they're having yield problems with the Cell processor? Who knows, but a delay like this would really send the message that PS3 is vapor and lead to more people going out to buy the XBox 360.

  16. Stupid article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Come on, whats the point of even debating this. Microsoft is not going to be weak at release anyway. Even the games are complete turds people are going to lap it up because they have the jump on the next gen.

    Crapshoot.

    If anything would inspire delayed release I would say it would be prohibitive release cost - which they have alluded to somewhat.

    Honestly there are too many articles about these new consoles that are just clear efforts by the guys in marketing to keep the tongues wagging. I believe this wasted to fark like 24 hours ago too.

    1. Re:Stupid article by SScorpio · · Score: 1
      Is there any question that the Xbox 360 will suck? Microsoft doesn't get thing right until the 3rd version. Win95, Win98 (Me was just a slighty upgrade to 98), WinXP. NT3.1, NT4, Win2k.

      The issue I see with this generation is that many people will be under welmed. We had the 8bit generation -> 16bit with more colors and better sound -> 32bit with amazing 2d and primative 3d -> current gen which just makes the 3d look sharper. The next gen games will have better graphics, but the main draw to them is higher resolution. We've had that on the PC for years and we have it now.

      People will get bored as game creators try to make games look more an more realistic. I can only hope the revolution Nintendo is trying to head will give us more games like Shadow of the Colasis and Okami. Shadow is the next game from the team that make ICO for the PS2 which had a beautiful environment and simple but fun gameplay, Shadow looks like more of the game. You have to experience the game before you pass judgement on it from just screenshots. And if you can't solve the simple puzzles in it, go back to Halo or some other mindless drival. The other game Okami is made by Capcom and is using the Viewtiful Joe engine which was a sweet game in its own right. The graphics in Okami look like tradional Japanese brush art, and the gameplay of being able to draw with the controls like with a brush looks unique and fun. Too bad the masses will just buy the next Halo and Madden and never expand there experiences into these new areas.

    2. Re:Stupid article by jasonditz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Come on, whats the point of even debating this. Microsoft is not going to be weak at release anyway. Even the games are complete turds people are going to lap it up because they have the jump on the next gen.

      Like they did with the Dreamcast... or the CDi, or the Turbo-Graphix 16...

      why does everyone seem to think "first to market" is a silver bullet that trumps all other issues?

    3. Re:Stupid article by BackInIraq · · Score: 1

      Even the games are complete turds people are going to lap it up because they have the jump on the next gen.

      This has been proven time and time again, and in my opinion never more so than with the launch of the PS2. So I'm guessing Sony would know better than to let anybody get the jump on them this next generation...look how well that lead worked out for them with the PS2.

    4. Re:Stupid article by CleverNickedName · · Score: 1

      why does everyone seem to think "first to market" is a silver bullet that trumps all other issues?

      I agree with you, but if Sony delay it won't just mean MS are first ones to market. It will mean MS are the only ones to market.

      Just the opinion of this "analyst".

      --


      Unfortunately, I am not Wil Wheaton
    5. Re:Stupid article by douceur · · Score: 1

      Because it worked for Sony with the PS2, and most people have short memories.. I'm not saying I agree with it, but that's got to be the reason.

    6. Re:Stupid article by megarich · · Score: 1
      why does everyone seem to think "first to market" is a silver bullet that trumps all other issues?

      Great point and we only have to look at xbox to prove this. Xbox came to the market a full year later than ps2 and the xbox seems to be doing ok for itself.....

  17. Well, boo-hoo! by vain+gloria · · Score: 1
    Having RTFA, these guys are anticipating a probable mid-2006 launch stateside even without a delay. That's something which equates to a token handful on the shelves for Christmas '06 and an '07 launch here in Europe anyway.

    Jingle all the way...

    1. Re:Well, boo-hoo! by daspriest · · Score: 1

      But don't worry, you'll be able to pick one up on E-bay for a few hundred to a few thousand more dollars then launch price for the kiddies at christmas.

  18. this might be the opportunity by WormholeFiend · · Score: 4, Funny

    that the Phantom console has been waiting for!

    1. Re:this might be the opportunity by __aailob1448 · · Score: 1

      Thanks for that comment. I've read it 3 times and it made me chuckle every one of them.

    2. Re:this might be the opportunity by Soul-Burn666 · · Score: 1

      It is coming, in a sort of way. Its codename is the Nintendo Revolution.
      The Phantom promised a huge downloadable library, then using some sort of emulation to play them. The Nintendo console is planned to do just that, but only with titles previously released on Nintendo systems, first party games and probably many third party games aswell.
      I hope they'll succeed in this, and also include GBA games.

      --
      ^_^
  19. not too long, please by mcn · · Score: 1

    sony could have determined its own release date of ps3 if there is no xbox 360 (or xbox in the first place). m$ cannot be underestimated though its products are usually buggy and not the best.

    the problem of having 2 mighty forces in the console market is that both of them must play catch up to each other, and if one declared that it will ship a major product soon, the other cannot just sit still and let it pass.

    the ps3's current estimated timing of a few months after xbox 360's end 05 release is just nice, i thought. anything longer might give m$ a huge window to enlarge its installed base. and i do not want to see this happening. m$ is too entrenched in many markets, and console is not what i want to see m$ to be top in.

    1. Re:not too long, please by Shadow99_1 · · Score: 1

      Um you do realize that they launch at different times in different markets right? Because currently Xbox 360 launches in the US this fall and then launches in spring next year in Japan. Why do I mention that? Well because Sony launches PS3 in spring next year in Japan and Europe fall next year (with no announcement yet about a US launch at all).

      That means for the US at least MS could be all alone in the Next-Gen market for a year (or more since Sony has been silent on a US launch). In Japan though they will see a nearly identical launch date making 'first to market' in Japan a draw between the two.

      --
      we are all invisible unless we choose otherwise
    2. Re:not too long, please by phxbadash · · Score: 1

      Actually M$ is planning on relseasing the Xbox360 in NA and JP on the same day...possible in EU as well as I believe they are going for a worldwide release.

  20. Microsoft finally becoming borg... by PetoskeyGuy · · Score: 4, Funny
    We believe that the company will attempt to disrupt the Xbox 360 launch with a price cut, and as a result may succeed in diverting attention away from the higher priced next generation console. We expect the Microsoft to attempt to engineer the Xbox 360 to be compatible with the current generation Xbox, and as a result, believe that Microsoft will maintain $149 pricing for its money-losing hardware.

    We are the Microsoft. You will be assimilated. The exact date of assimilation has slipped once again, but we expect to be at your planet sometime Q1 next year. Be sure to watch for us.

    We will bring your total cost of living down through universal cybernetic hardware implants. Periodic software updates may be purchased to allow you to control the new hardware that will periodically sprout from your body. Your normal motor functions will be replaced with an expensive yet inferior system that will only allow you to shuffle along like a crippled old man.

    You will have access to the ultimate Peer-to-Peer network with secure music downloads direct to the brain with properly activated frontal lobes.

    We will tell you where you want to go.
  21. Questionable logic... by TheWart · · Score: 1

    I could easily see where this could backfire. Sure, Xbox might have weak launch titles, but while Sony is preparing their launch, the Xbox will have had time to not only build upon their library as well as possibly lower their price.

    I am more inclined to think that any delay would be more indicative of a difficulty in churning out the required hardware rather than some willingness to delay the launch.

  22. Re:Nintendo the winner? by Cheapy · · Score: 1

    Well, it depends on how many people buy the Revolution really.

    Makes sense, doesn't it?

    --
    Would you kindly mod me +1 insightful?
  23. Smarter than that by Chuck+Chunder · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If the 360 "flops" at launch then a lot of that may be because people have high(er) expectations of the PS3 and are prepared to wait and see before spending their hard earned cash.

    Possibly the worst thing they could do in that situation is to launch a PS3 that doesn't meet those expectations. If you do that then the main reason people haven't been buying the 360 suddenly disappears. As long as people do appear willing to wait it would make sense to use that time to ensure your product is better placed than the competitors when buyers finally get to make their choice.

    It's a balance of whether you will lose more customers who get tired of hanging on or will lose more through releasing a product that isn't clearly more attractive than the alternative.

    --
    Boffoonery - downloadable Comedy Benefit for Bletchley Park
    1. Re:Smarter than that by Tibor+the+Hun · · Score: 1

      count me as one of those people.

      this will be the first time i'll be buying a console, and i'll be waiting for a PS3.
      Why?
      because i was terribly disappointed by their "release" MTV gig, and because of their fumbling on the whole HD issue.
      as long as sony releases a solid console where I won't have to worry about hardware upgrades, i'll have no trouble waiting...

      --
      If you don't know what AltaVista is (was), get off my lawn.
    2. Re:Smarter than that by gilesjuk · · Score: 1

      The only reason I would support a delayed launch is if they used the extra time to improve the hardware, but then they can't now since the console spec is frozen.

      I can't see the problem in releasing a console without games. They could allow for mail order until games appear. That way you don't have retailers complaining of poor sales sue to lack of titles.

    3. Re:Smarter than that by apoc06 · · Score: 1

      actually, in articles that have been on slashdot for the past couple of days, it appears that sony is still tweaking the internals of the ps3. namely adding more usable memory, and im assuming adding more and more functionality to the box. when the dust settles and we see a playable box, then we will know for sure.

      as for the x360, it still kinda bothers me that its only three months until its launch and we havent really seen any playably breathtaking games. gears of war and perfect dark look very good, but the latest clips ive seen dont look like they are ready for release in the next two months. assuming that they need a month of time for pressing.

    4. Re:Smarter than that by aichpvee · · Score: 1
      Maybe he was talking about HD-DVD support and how Bill Gates has been quoted as saying that they would offer an HD-DVD drive as an upgrade later on. Which seems to be the case, since he mentioned not having to upgrade with the PS3.

      Of course, he must not be planning on using the PS3 harddrive if that is the case. Though if Sony were to delay into late 2006 or early 2007 they might also change their mind on packing in the harddrive, which looks pretty damn likely to fail as an addon since that's usually what console addons do.

      --
      The Farewell Tour II
  24. Nintendo's probably farthest behind of all by mcc · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There's no indications anyone outside the company even has something looks like a dev kit yet, they haven't revealed what the machine even is to the public and I don't think they've revealed it to most developers. Microsoft's got, like, near-finished games. Sony's got devkits going out and they're publicly apologizing to developers for not being able to manufacture enough of them. Ask Nintendo what they're up to? They talk about the DS and its online plans.

    I don't think Nintendo's anywhere near ready to ship this thing.

    Also their memory supplier let slip that they believed the revolution would ship in "mid-2006". Take that however you want.

    My personal suspicion would probably be that the Revolution is going to be released last. Nintendo's either got the most amazing show of secrecy ever constructed among men, or they aren't nearly as far along as Sony and Microsoft. And I doubt Sony will delay a console release just because they don't have any games. They didn't delay the PS2 launch for lack of games, they didn't delay the Japan PSP launch for lack of games, and when they delayed the American PSP launch (for lack of games at the time of Japanese launch?) it didn't really help them much.

    If I'm right about this, though, Nintendo probably won't suffer much for coming out last. They seem to be going for a very different sort of strategy next generation than Sony and Microsoft.

    1. Re:Nintendo's probably farthest behind of all by Justin205 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nintendo has a lot of first party games, remember. They could be easily getting those ready to go. If memory serves, the Gamecube launched on mainly first-party titles, and it did pretty well.

      And the one thing that we don't know anything about for the Revolution is the controller. Which, again if memory serves, Nintendo said they wanted to keep very, very secret. Xbox360 controller? Slightly-less-massive than Xbox controller. PS3 controller? Looks like it'd make a good sex toy and/or boomerang. Revolution controller? Don't know yet...

      The other thing is, Nintendo is not overhyping the Revolution, which could be a great benefit. If it launches with features no one heard any rumours about, people could easily be quite stunned and surprised, and that surprise could turn into purchases. Compared to an overhyped product, which doesn't have rumoured features - PS3/Xbox360 could easily loose sales because of overhyping...

      --
      "Your effort to remain what you are is what limits you."
    2. Re:Nintendo's probably farthest behind of all by Kaenneth · · Score: 1

      My brother is NOT buying an X-Box.

      Why?, because the new X-Box is coming out 'soon'

      Hyping non-existant products hurts sales of your current products.

      Nintendo knows when to keep it's mouth shut.

      Think about Intels hype for it's new processors, helping to kill the market for competing architectures (Alpha, PPC, etc.) Never believe the competitions announced plans.

      Heck, with the influence that such announcements can have, perhaps it should be considered a type of fraud to overstate planned product specs, if your companies lies get people to buy your stock...

      Imagine if Microsoft announced that Lornhorn/Vista/Whatever server performance was planned to be 2-3 times better than Linux servers, causing a slowdown in Linux migration while everyone waited to see if it was true, y'all would be pissed.

      That's basically what Sony is doing.

    3. Re:Nintendo's probably farthest behind of all by Murasaki+Skies · · Score: 1

      PS3 controller? Looks like it'd make a good sex toy and/or boomerang.

      I hear the PS4 controller is a giant dildo made entirely out of hype.

      --
      Waiiii!!!!!! I have bad karma!
    4. Re:Nintendo's probably farthest behind of all by k0llin · · Score: 1

      If memory serves, the Gamecube launched on mainly first-party titles, and it did pretty well.

      In the UK at least (I don't know about anywhere else), the GameCube was the first Nintendo console to have a third-party title as its best seller at launch (Rogue Leader). It was also, I believe, the first Nintendo console to not have a Mario game at launch.

    5. Re:Nintendo's probably farthest behind of all by PeelBoy · · Score: 1

      Just because somebody wants to keep something a secret doesn't mean they don't have something to show at all.

      Sony isn't much further behind than Nintendo. They're not even sure which blu-ray drive they're going to use yet and last I heard their video card AND CPU were NOT ready yet.

    6. Re:Nintendo's probably farthest behind of all by mcc · · Score: 1

      Retro studios is owned by Nintendo, so very likely they have access to stuff "normal" developers wouldn't.

      Still, it's interesting to hear the rumors that the 3-second Metroid Prime 3 clip from E3 was.. running on a Gamecube.

      I think I agree with you about the secrecy thing.

  25. Nahhh by Maserati · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Can't be a good idea. All the 3rd party publishers are waiting on the PS3 launch to start getting their investment back. An extra year before you can sell your game ? They'd scream bloody murder.

    --
    Veteran, Bermuda Triangle Expeditionary Force, 1992-1951
  26. Re:Yeah Right! by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Tell that to the XBox 360....

    While the Analyst may have some things wrong.... what IS correct is that Sony cannot afford another lackluster launch with crappy titles. And it cannot afford another disastrous Christmas where demand for their console can't be met... It was appallingly bad to see such a problem with a mature item like the PS2.

    If the 360 has a title drought like the PS2, people will be more likely to avoid the PS3 if it comes out in Spring with the same drought (or a similar one...) It's the games... and Sony knows that. Their position would be strengthened by waiting 8 months and going for a 2007 launch with oodles of titles and a decent supply of consoles to boot.

    It's a win-win. But Sony's not been known to be "all that bright" in recent years....

    --
    It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
  27. Re:Fire all those sony bastids by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You missed the point of the article. That is not Sony's intention at all by delaying. It has nothing to do with component pricing and trying to squeeze more profit out of the consumer. It has to do with sustainability. If the XBox 360 has a dearth of decent titles at launch, it might signal a backlash (we've seen the dearth of titles at launch with the PS2... Unless everyone has ADD, I don't think it'll repeat itself.)

    Microsoft better have a decent stable of non-shovelware with their new 360, or they might be looking at a long trench battle for 3rd place.

    Do you want the hardware now with no games? That seems to be what you're implying...

    I'm in no hurry to replace my PS2/XBox/Gamecube. Why is everyone else rushing to do so?

    --
    It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
  28. More titles? by Hellken242 · · Score: 1

    They want to launch with more titles? How many titles will people want to buy with the $300 hardware? They really just need one really good launch title with others trickling in to keep interest up. If Sony launches with a bunch of new titles people will only buy 1-3 of them and then buy the newer titles that come out after the launch and forget about most of the launch titles.
    I just looked at the back of my PS2 box today and recognized maybe one game. Of course...their last launch was abismal so that doesnt say much.
    But really...how many people buy a lot of games right after they buy a new console?

    1. Re:More titles? by xero314 · · Score: 1

      I don't think it is a matter of one person buy alot of games but of each person buying one specific game. Most launch titles are worthless repetitions of the last generation. It would be great to have a launch library that would meet the desires of more than just the Racer and Shooter fans.

  29. Whatever... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1, Interesting

    As long as I can get a $100 XBox out of the deal.

  30. Err.. guys... by its_me_ken_lai · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We're 1 month past mid 2005. I know I'm gonna be getting a haircut in 2007 and I know that's good planning, but I know for a fact that my hair is gonna grow longer then (if I'm not bald then). Who knows what's gonna happen to the console world 1.5 years down the road? Maybe this will be out then? ---> http://www.phantom.net/

    --
    Ken Lai
    1. Re:Err.. guys... by Kaenneth · · Score: 1

      Hopefully all the males 18-35 won't be drafted for the Iran invasion in 2007, that might put a crimp in the market.

  31. Titles make the difference by herolad · · Score: 2, Insightful

    People have already pointed this out, but titles make so much of a difference. The problem with Xbox 360 right now is that the only strong title it has for itself is Halo 3. Sure some of the other titles look pretty, but who the hell knows if the actual game play is any good. Then they also have a good amount of titles that will probably be on the PC to, which wont turn people into dumping $300 when they can play it on their pc. Now add on top of that the Xbox 360 might add a HD-DVD down the line, and developers will either have to develop for it or not use the capibilites at all. This in turn will probably result in 3 main groups:

    1. People who will be waiting and seeing how the whole HD-DVD pans out.

    2. People who don't just want to buy the Xbox 360 for 1 or 2 titles.

    3. People who want the latest hardware will undoubtly buy it similiar to dreamcast.

    The only hope that Xbox 360 has is by convert a lot of the good main console developers to them. Like Square, Namco, Capcom, and Konami to develop Xbox 360 only titles. Or they develop a lot of good titles themselves.

    Maybe its just me but looking at the Xbox 360 future releases that are coming out it doesn't look to great for them right now. Most of them looks as though they will come out on the PC, and theres just not enough intresting titles there for now. But who knows maybe there might be some suprising new developers that might help push Xbox 360 to the top.

    1. Re:Titles make the difference by DaveCBio · · Score: 1

      The PS2 had the weakest launch line up that I can remember in Japan and North America. How does that figure into your argument?

    2. Re:Titles make the difference by herolad · · Score: 1

      The problem I see is that in the title line ups for the futures for both consoles so far. PS3 still has most of the console only developers developing exclusive titles for them, and not for the competitors. Either MS is not trying to convert these developers hard enough, or Sony has locked them in already.

    3. Re:Titles make the difference by MoriaOrc · · Score: 1

      XBox has a few other titles I think you're neglecting.

      One of the strong titles on the PSX and PS2 has been the Gran Turismo series. However, about the same time as GT4 on PS2, Forza Motor Sport came out on XBox. It got alot of press as being a big rival to GT4 (sort of like a "Halo Killer" on a smaller scale), and honestly it lived up to most of it (a little bit of annoyonce in single player "unlocking", but way better multiplayer then GT4).

      Also, XBox has been so far the best system for Splinter Cell by a long shot (technically it's multiplatform, but the XBox has been better then the others by a larger margin each time, with Live in PT and the coop mode of CT being barely playable in the PS2 version, but great on XBox). Of course, that could change in the next generation since the hardware on both systems will be alot closer in terms of abilities.

      They're also the only system Bethsoft has ported TES3: Morrowind too. Granted it's not exclusive (and infact PC came first), but it gives the XBox at least one strong RPG title. (Disclaimer: On this one, I prefer the PC version for its modability, but a few of my friends played it on XBox). Furthermore, TES4: Oblivion is already slated for release on XBox360 (and PC, but still no other next-gen).

      Finally, in the fighting games category, DOA (both DOA 3 and Ultimate - aka DOA2++) were exclusive XBox Titles. Tecmo hasn't thrown much Sony's way since DOA2 Hardcore (PS2 launch), but has announced DOA4 as a 360 title.

      Granted MS doesn't have quite as many well known franchises as Sony and Nintendo do, but they have atleast a few good games either as exclusives or as the best version.

  32. Hello rampant speculation by DaveCBio · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Wow,once again the clueless analysts have shown us the light. Honestly, if these people were really all that good at spotting industry trends and making accurate predictions they'd be working in the industry.

    1. Re:Hello rampant speculation by asb · · Score: 1

      Honestly, if these people were really all that good at spotting industry trends and making accurate predictions they'd be working in the industry.

      Since you can accurately predict that the clueless analyst's prediction is incorrect, why don't YOU work in the industry?

      --
      Antti S. Brax - Old school - http://www.iki.fi/asb/
    2. Re:Hello rampant speculation by DaveCBio · · Score: 1

      Actually I have for the last 6 years. Is that good enough for you?

  33. Sony use Cell in their computers? by Joseph_Daniel_Zukige · · Score: 1

    Desktops and laptops?

    Mind-boggling.

    Linux?

    FreeBSD, just to show Apple up?

    (No, I'm not really biting here, but the phantasy is, well, maybe I'm biting. Lousy troll.)

    1. Re:Sony use Cell in their computers? by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      The Cell processor is going to replace all of their servers and desktop PCs running on the emotion engine.

  34. Be first or... by spagetti_code · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There's an old marketing adage...

    Be first, or
    be second and be happy with that, or
    go play elsewhere.

    You cannot underestimate the value of being first into the market with a new gadget. The '360 and PS3 are 'new generation', and therefore I'll define them as new gadgets.

    Few will care if MS titles aren't *that* strong at the get go - the graphics will apparently be awesome. And, for a while anyway, that will be important.

    Sony: you have *got* to release the PS3.

    1. Re:Be first or... by wyldeone · · Score: 2, Insightful

      (I know this has been said before, but nobody seems to hear it) Yeah, because that strategy worked wonders for sega with the dreamcast.

      --
      In the beginning the universe was created. This made a lot of people very angry and is widely considered as a bad move.
    2. Re:Be first or... by fbg111 · · Score: 1

      Be first, or be second and be happy with that, or go play elsewhere.

      You cannot underestimate the value of being first into the market with a new gadget.


      That's old economy stuff, and not necessarily true. Plenty of counter-examples, iPod and Google being the most glaring, and Netscape being another. For whatever reasons, being the first to market no longer guarantees anything, especially not the all-powerful and necessary mindshare required to dominate said market.

      --
      Flying is easy, just throw yourself at the ground and miss. -Douglas Adams
    3. Re:Be first or... by hopopee · · Score: 1

      Few will care if MS titles aren't *that* strong at the get go - the graphics will apparently be awesome. And, for a while anyway, that will be important.

      And to me, that's the saddest part. It clearly shows how unoriginal todays games are, when only better graphics in the only category they can try to compete in. I call it the EA Sport-effect.

      And back to the topic, I don't think that they are going to delay the release. Last time Dreamcast was coming out of the woods and as always people are timid to invest their money to an brand they aren't that familiar with (OK, Sega was famous, but they've always been better known from their games, not hardware). Now, even if XBox didn't sell so well in Japan (an understatement) it still did compare pretty well against PS2 in Europe and US and got a big fanbase (propably due to XBox Live). I'm saying the risk of losing market share is just too big this time around.

      And as for the PS2 release games? 90% crap.

    4. Re:Be first or... by Kijori · · Score: 1

      But eBay and QXL show that there is still some significant advantage in being first.

    5. Re:Be first or... by asb · · Score: 1

      You cannot underestimate the value of being first into the market with a new gadget.

      People seem to have forgotten that Sony would not have been the first to launch anyway. They do have the luxury of being able to see what their enemy does and then decide their own actions later.

      --
      Antti S. Brax - Old school - http://www.iki.fi/asb/
    6. Re:Be first or... by Hawkxor · · Score: 1

      I'd say it's advantageous to be second to market. The psychology is that the one that comes out later must be better, and have better technology, just because it is released later. Consumers have the idea that they can always 'wait and get the better one'. Microsoft will of course wage a huge marketing war to combat this. But for Sony, I'd say it's in their favor to release their console 2 or 3 months after Microsofts. But delaying the PS3 to 1 year after XBox360 is reaching into a grey area.

    7. Re:Be first or... by WheelDweller · · Score: 1

      CORRECT.

      This is why IBM has put $2B US into Linux. Saving 80% of the _time_ and _money_ it takes to get a new, superfast server to market is worth a bundle.

      Besides...if the Xbox comes out and little Johnny throws a tantrum for it, there'll be less money for the PS3 when it comes out.

      This isn't 'messing with heads' this is something that should cause them to roll. It's always best to be able to show up first: you can always wait.

      Thankfully Linux' development doesn't ride on it, just Sony's bottom line...

      --
      --- For a good time mail uce@ftc.gov
    8. Re:Be first or... by tolkienfan · · Score: 1
      I disagree: it's not whether the titles are great - it's whether there are sufficient titles.

      If there are only a few titles, I'd go buy the $99 playstation. Even if I have PS/2, I wouldn't get the XBox/360 until there is compelling reason to.

      Of course, I hate Microsoft, and won't be buying an XBox/360 regardless. (Actually I'm torn - they make a loss on every one. I should buy it, then load Linux on it)

      Even if I have to wait until 2007, I'll be buying PS/3 and running Linux on it.

    9. Re:Be first or... by KirkH · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So what would you suggest? MS has three choices:

      1. Launch first.
      2. Launch simulaneously.
      3. Launch second.

      #1 is what they chose, and it makes sense. People will buy because it's the first new console out in a while. If you remember the DC launch, it went very well -- most preorders and a console sales record for the time. They just got crushed later on by the PS2.

      If they went with #2, they would be going head-to-head against the PS3 and a lot of people would choose PS3 instead. Most don't have the cash to lay out for two consoles at once.

      And #3 is what they were forced to go with for the Xbox. They did okay, but they want to dominate, not come in a distant second again.

      So they're trying option #1 this time. I don't see any other rational choice.

    10. Re:Be first or... by mink · · Score: 1

      "Now, even if XBox didn't sell so well in Japan (an understatement) it still did compare pretty well against PS2 in Europe and US and got a big fanbase (propably due to XBox Live)."

      Compare pretty well to PS2 in the US (I'm not up on European figures)?
      I thought it was closer to the Gamecube then the PS2 in numbers and fan base

      --
      Well I've wrestled with reality for thirty five years doctor, and I'm happy to say I finally won out over it.
    11. Re:Be first or... by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      and Netscape being another.

      The difference there was that netscape cost $30, IE was free. And your computer already had IE. AND Microsoft added code to make Netscape not work right.

    12. Re:Be first or... by QuantumLeaper · · Score: 1

      The difference there was that netscape cost $30, IE was free. And your computer already had IE. AND Microsoft added code to make Netscape not work right.

      Netscape was $30 but you could get it for free from many ISPs, and it was available for download for free also. It was more Shareware. Netscape user from v1 to v3, v4 made IE4 look very stable...

  35. Re:Fire all those sony bastids by william_w_bush · · Score: 1

    I'm in no hurry to replace my PS2/XBox/Gamecube. Why is everyone else rushing to do so?

    duh! they, like told us to! obviously the previous, inferior products are like totally lame and stuff, what are you, like stupid? i mean those consoles can't even do... whatever... whatever the new ones do, whatever! moron.
    --
    The first rule of USENET is you do not talk about USENET.
  36. It's still too expensive for launch. by Dubpal · · Score: 5, Interesting
    After reading this Inquirer column it could be that Sony are waiting it out until they can make the console cheaper.

    From the column:
    Merrill Lynch estimated that the cost to produce a single PS3 would be a shade under $500. Considering that the Xbox 360 is expected will be priced at around $299, it was felt that even a $399 price tag on the PS3 meant Sony taking a $1bn hit on hardware costs alone in the first year.

    When you consider that they've packed Bluetooth, HDTV (a feature Nintendo ended up dropping because of cost) and the first Commercial release of Blu-Ray in there, it's not too surprising that the earlier they launch the console, the harder Sony's going to get hit in the pocket.

    --
    If you want a picture of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face forever.
    - George Orwell
    1. Re:It's still too expensive for launch. by CashCarSTAR · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "HDTV (a feature Nintendo ended up dropping because of cost)"

      Nintendo dropped the HDTV because of costs to the developers. Supporting HDTV, well..in the other two cases mandating it, forces companies, who want to make more gameplay focused games on throwing resources (i.e.$$$) that so that they make the graphics quality not look like ass on HDTV.

  37. aging hardware by cybpunks3 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Sony risks shipping hardware that is outdated at the day of launch. If it takes years for launch software to be written for a new platform then how can the hardware be bleeding edge?? The hardware spec gets finalized the day your developers start working. From that point onward you are obsolete.

    What I think Sony or others should do, if they are moving in a parallel direction, is try to anticipate this gap between initial hardware finalization and the launch of the console, and have developers write to a more stripped down version of the hardware while you anticipate the final version having more cores or an additional CPU by the time you launch. That way the initial games might not take full advantage of the hardware but the second you start making consoles you'll know you are at as close to the bleeding edge as possible. When the 2nd wave of software gets finished it will be able to take advantage of the "last minute" extra hardware.

    You either do that or you write the software to automatically elegantly upscale to theoretical extra parallelism.

    1. Re:aging hardware by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      I can tell you first hand that hardware specs are certainly NOT finalized the moment developers start working on software. Console makers release best guess estimates of what the hardware will be able to do in its final form, and provide alpha and beta development systems that are basically just souped up (i.e. extremely expensive) PCs that have wrapper APIs and roughly give the same performance. Developers working on launch titles only get final hardware to test on in the last few months of the development cycle.

    2. Re:aging hardware by Crumplecorn · · Score: 1

      Sony risks shipping hardware that is outdated at the day of launch.
      Where to start?

      1. Computer hardware obsolescence does not apply to consoles. While PC developers simply demand newer hardware, console developers use existing hardware better. Hence Ico, GT4, GTA:SA and SH3 on a console with 300Mhz processing power and 32MB RAM.

      2. Consoles only compete with each other. If you take the final specs of this generation of consoles and release one a year late, it is not obselete as it is in the correct generation. These consoles will be obseleted by the next generation, and I don't think Sony will delay quite that long.

      3. Consoles differ in power anyway. Even if the PS3 were the weakest of the three consoles (I have no idea of the specs of the new generation), that would only put it in the same position as the PSX and PS2 were in when they were released. I can't quote figures, but I've got the impression they did ok despite being underpowered.

      What could be a problem is that the process of the games getting better and better graphics wise might not start properly until the console was 'in the field'. But outdated hardware has nothing to do with anything in the console world.

    3. Re:aging hardware by cybpunks3 · · Score: 1

      My opinion is that newer consoles do not see the kind of improvement over time as you saw with older consoles. They see some, but diminishing returns show up rapidly. For instance, nothing you could do was going to be able to give you the transparency effects that the PSX could do on the Saturn. And nothing you could do could completely eliminate flickering polygons on the PSX. A lot of the graphical effects you see on today's consoles a result of the hardware and only the hardware. How MANY polygons or how fast a framerate might be helped by better coding, but it's not as simplistic as you put it.

      Sony has hyped the crap out of PS3. They are not in a position to deliver something that is not what they claim it is. Nintendo is in a better position of delivering something intentionally mediocre.

      3d0 was released a a time when technology was shifting between generations. It didn't have enough dedicated 3D hardware. It failed. Same with the Jaguar and the Saturn, and to a lesser Extent, the Dreamcast (which to my eyes was only marginally less powerful than the PS2). If you think that the console designers don't have to really think hard about what to put in these things and how often to release consoles you are crazy.

    4. Re:aging hardware by Crumplecorn · · Score: 1

      How MANY polygons or how fast a framerate might be helped by better coding, but it's not as simplistic as you put it.
      I didn't mean to infer it was particularly simple; of course every console is going to have certain limitations, and largely the increases are in polygon count or framerate. But the biggest improvments are in individual game engines, as they start to use the hardware better. The best examples I can think of are the differences between Tomb Raider I and V, and the diffrences between Silent Hill 2 and 3. Tomb Raider showed how much better you could do with the same engine, just by refining it over time. I have no idea if they used the same engine in both SH's, but I don't think there was that much of an increase in polygon count, and yet they made design changes that made a huge difference to the graphics, and it ran just as well on the same hardware.
      It's not always about increasing measurable features, either. I've seen games on the Gamecube that are higher res (both screen-wise and texture-wise) and have higher polygon counts and yet don't look as good as the likes of SH3 on the PS2, because SH3 is simply designed better. The best designers figure out the best possible way of making the game convincing, and when they do it well, it makes console specs seem virtually irrelevant.
      Compare this to the PC world, where it really is all about higher framerates/polygon counts, and using new features of new graphics cards. If a new feature is added to an engine that is a great improvment, it's usually an implementation of a new DirectX feature.

      If you think that the console designers don't have to really think hard about what to put in these things and how often to release consoles you are crazy.
      I don't think that. But if you compare two PC's, one with an inferior GPU/CPU, it's pretty obvious which one is going to give better graphics. But if you compare the weaker PS2 to it's much more powerful counterparts, you will sometimes see better graphics, because of better use of the available hardware. Not to mention the fact that there were no doubt huge sales of crap games with dismal graphics. All I'm saying is that releasing a slower console doesn't immediatly doom you.

  38. I doubt That would be wise by distantbody · · Score: 1

    "Smackdown"...? I prefer playstation over Nin and xbox, but even I am considering getting a 360 just because i could be bothered waiting 6 months (after 360 is released), and i would definitely get one if the ps3 was due in 2007. There would be no advantage to sony, but every advantage to MS as it would have over a year to become entrenched. I would happy grab a 360, as the ps2s graphics look like cat vomit!

    1. Re:I doubt That would be wise by distantbody · · Score: 1

      Make that "wouldn't" and "happily". i was rushing. "Me a speeka good ingrish." ;)

  39. Re:Yes.....the time is nearing... by Jimmy+The+Leper · · Score: 1

    You forgot the evil genuis laugh at the end of your post.
    That and the mention of octorocks with 'fricken laser beams attached to their heads.'

    Mwah ha ha ha

    --
    -You're only as clean as your towel.
  40. My own analysis based on all known facts: by imr · · Score: 1

    Maybe, but maybe not.

  41. It won't flop or do great by llZENll · · Score: 1

    Most likely the 360 won't flop, and won't do as well as MS would hope, it will probably do pretty good and have a much better shot of giving the PS3 a run for its money with the earlier launch. As seen with the PS2 having old hardware doesn't hurt your games at all.

    early launch > best hardware

  42. Hitting "multibuyers" by vga_init · · Score: 1
    My theory is that waiting until later is the best strategy for selling to people who buy more than one console. Lots of people own more than one console (I know a friend who has a PS2, XBox, AND Gamecube).

    If you release too close, you're telling consumers, "Okay, pick one." People don't want to spend too much money all at once. The company that forces this situation is the one that things it will be the first choice, and maybe Sony is having some reservations about this.

    On the other hand, if they wait some years until the novelty of the XBox has worn off and peoples' wallets have had a chance to recover, there will be a fresh consumer budget to draw from. In this way, even people who have already purchased XBoxes are more likely to buy a PS3 in addition, and those who passed up the XBox will jump on the newcomer (good things come to those who wait).

  43. The whole "launch" premise is flawed by miles_thatsme · · Score: 1

    The rationale here--presented, as someone noted, by an analyst--is not technical issues, but marketing issues. I have no idea why ArsTechnica picked the story up.

    The issue is not whether technical reasons relating to game development will delay release. Obviously delaying release of a platform does nothing to let you get more games out--it lets you get more games out at release. The issue is whether an entire platform can be sunk if its marketing on the day of its release fizzles. I don't think any platform thrives or dies on one day. The fate of Nintendo and Sega consoles was not determined by marketing (pricing, hardware, game selection, forward/backward compatibility...)

    Sony might "buy time" by slashing PS2 prices, offering forward compatibility, and persuading buyers they can wait a little longer for unspecified technology of tomorrow rather than buying XBox 360 "old technology". But that course no longer seems plausible: I don't remember it offering PS2/PS3 compatibility, and it has frozen the specs of PS3 hardware.

  44. Advantage of a wide variety of launch titles by tepples · · Score: 1

    They really just need one really good launch title with others trickling in to keep interest up.

    If the one good Xbox 360 launch title is a first-person shooter, as many people expect (rumored Halo 2 Special Edition), then the console has no chance of getting into households without fans of first-person shooters. Or even if it's not an FPS, if the one good launch title is rated M by the ESRB, then the console has no chance of getting into households with single-digit-year-old children. Point: You need a wide variety of launch titles to attract a wide variety of players.

    1. Re:Advantage of a wide variety of launch titles by Gulthek · · Score: 1

      What about Mario 64?

    2. Re:Advantage of a wide variety of launch titles by wed128 · · Score: 1

      Mario 64 (the first one, and to a lesser extent the DS remake) is/was the perfect launch title. It appealed to all ages, is FUN, and showed off the new hardware spledidly. if only more launch titles could be this way...

    3. Re:Advantage of a wide variety of launch titles by tepples · · Score: 1

      What about Mario 64?

      There were several decent titles for the North American launch of the Nintendo 64 console other than Super Mario 64. Try Pilotwings, Wave Race, and Star Wars: Shadows of the Empire.

      Or were you referring to the Nintendo DS and Super Mario 64 DS? Somebody more familiar with the North American Nintendo DS launch lineup could answer your question better than I.

    4. Re:Advantage of a wide variety of launch titles by aichpvee · · Score: 1
      Super Mario 64 is the only game I remember being available the day of launch. Though I guess Pilot Wings 64 might have been available at some stores, but the store I bought mine at only had Mario and this was not uncommon.

      As far as Shadows of the Empire and Wave Race 64 are concerned, you're just trippin'.

      --
      The Farewell Tour II
  45. Re:Fire all those sony bastids by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 1

    DUH.. how could I have missed it!

    I don't have a TV, so I don't get the important information. I just plug games into my PS2 and imagine what they look like.

    --
    It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
  46. some of us don't care about the new xbox by Ryunosuke · · Score: 1

    Considering that most Ps2 owners I know loathe anything microsoft, i doubt that waiting another year will do anything to the fanboy fanbase. Since I loathe sports games, I'll happily wait for another year so i can have my ps3 rpgs.

  47. Re:If Sony Is Smart by telstar · · Score: 1

    That may be so... but you forgot this part of the equation:

    360 in 2007 - $200 w/ a couple hundred games available
    PS3 in 2007 - $300 w/ strong launch titles

    For a lot of people, the $100 makes the decision for them, and the games available seals the deal.

  48. PSone and PStwo by tepples · · Score: 1

    Except [calling the original PlayStation the PS1] invites confusion with the PSOne.

    PlayStation (original form factor) and PSone are the same platform, just as PlayStation 2 (original form factor) and PlayStation 2 Slimline (colloquially called PStwo) are the same platform.

  49. Matches Sony's European PSP strategy by tepples · · Score: 1

    I can't imagine [delaying its product] being a good idea, Sony would be giving Microsoft a chance to keep moving next gen units and Nintendo a chance to leapfrog them with the Revolution while they sit idle just so they can have a larger library on launch?

    That's what Sony is doing in Europe, especially with the intolerance toward imports of PSP units.

  50. Larger library? by kreyg · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Sony could delay and build a larger launch library

    Delay so they can go head to head with Microsoft, who will have also increased their title library since launch, and already have an install base? We'll see how it plays out, sounds like a stupid strategy to me...

    --
    sig fault
  51. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  52. Re:Fire all those sony bastids by william_w_bush · · Score: 1

    Here's some irony for you:

    Of all the new, next-gen consoles, with HDTV support and dolby digital+ sound, just guess how many are going to be hooked up to an old color tv with an rf adapter.

    I mean it damn you, GUESS!

    progress: It's like fun, only it sucks.

    --
    The first rule of USENET is you do not talk about USENET.
  53. Christmas by Xelrach · · Score: 1

    I really doubt that Sony would wait until after Christmas 2006 to release the PS3. I could understand some delay if the XBox 360 were floundering, but I bet we'll see the PS3 sometime next year, possibly delayed until summer or fall.

  54. Blu-ray? by diamondsw · · Score: 1

    I'm amazed no one has looked at what this means for Blu-ray - that would seem to be the biggest casualty of all. If it's delayed a year, then it definitely will be the next betamax.

    --
    I don't know what kind of crack I was on, but I suspect it was decaf.
  55. They are not playing Microsoft... by Nikker · · Score: 3, Insightful

    They are playing US.

    They are telling the public (a la press release) that the M$ console is not really that big of a threat and is willing to wait while the paint dries on their product.

    Apply this to the mentality of little johnny Uber-1337, 'whoa I better make mommy and daddy wait until the sony comes out before I throw my tantrum because they already know they are better then M$!!!"

    This is all chess, its all about the moves... When some company tells the public something they are just that, telling you something. It has no warrenty, guarentee or even the assumption that they are telling you this in an unbiased whole hearted manner.

    They like M$ and pretty much evrey other high roller company is just trying to fuck with as many heads as they can and hope for the best.

    Take this with a pound of salt....

    --
    A loop, by its nature, continues. If that didn't make sense, start reading this sentence again.
    1. Re:They are not playing Microsoft... by rtb61 · · Score: 1
      Perhaps Sony might have in mind a different "vista" to target for profitability, looking not only to continue beating xbox in the living room but also to target that which spawned it (what is not spent on operating systems and office suits would most likely end up getting spent on games in a typical household).

      That stategy would of course take some carefull planning, after all do it right and a considerable portion of a particular competitor's profit would become theirs and as for that competitor, well their "vista" continues to look rather bleak.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    2. Re:They are not playing Microsoft... by tricorn · · Score: 4, Informative

      You do realize that this was some independent analyst suggesting this is what Sony MIGHT do, not a press release from Sony saying what they plan to do.

    3. Re:They are not playing Microsoft... by mikael · · Score: 1

      They played a similar game with the PSP - there was a sign outside our local video game store:

      "Pre-order your PSP today - these WILL sell out on launch day.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    4. Re:They are not playing Microsoft... by montesquieu · · Score: 1

      They are playing poker.

      Check. Your bet Bill.

      --
      C372 4AB5 1E89 36DD FF72 E0C3 2BE6 22E9 ED0F A822
    5. Re:They are not playing Microsoft... by Mapultoid · · Score: 1

      I think your analysis of little johnny 133t is completely wrong. People, children in particular, are much more likely to take immediate gratification over long term benefits. The system that is out will be the one he throws his tantrum over.

      --
      Ben Garrison, a mindless idiot who will be the first against the wall when the revolution comes.
    6. Re:They are not playing Microsoft... by Vitriol+Angst · · Score: 1

      rtb61 is right. Sony has to wait and see what Microsoft does, not only with games, but how this console "ties in" with the computer and other devices in the living room. There are a lot of Digital Rights and device issues to consider and how MS will attempt to lock out Sony. The next year is a pivitol time for change -- but what matters is what happens after 2006. That will lay the groundwork to come.

      Sony is being very smart to wait and not commit. They are probably very right to be scared and excited at the same time.

      My guess is that the winner will be decided by whichever company installs iTunes on their console.

      --
      >>"ad space available -- low rates!!!"
  56. Yeah, I dunno, not so stupid by DingerX · · Score: 1

    we could go back further. The history of gaming consoles is littered with the burnt out plastic husks of cool, sophisticated game machines released without adequate software support.

    Hell, some of them had some great titles -- TG16, for example, had some cool stuff built and released in Japan -- but nothing that really resonated.

    I'm amused by the comments here: the Xbox supporters tout technological superiority and mutters "shovelware" at the opposition; the PS crowd points to unit sales, and refers to their opposition as if it were Rommel's Afrika Korps: sure they've got fancy hardware, but not enough of it; their supply stream is messed up; besides, they are the minions of Evil intent on securing the precious oil fields of bourgeois living rooms to power the Dark Empire; the Nintendogs revel in security through obscurity and point to the "Nintendo Magic", and refuse to rule out the Seattle Mariners from this years' pennant.

    The point of the article is that right now the reality is sinking in to these companies, a reality that has hit every console company, and is probably the reason why Nintendo is the only console dynasty around: consoles reinvent their business with every generation. There's a tremendous pressure to keep pace with technology, just as there's a tremendous pressure to have "killer titles". But I challenge you to go out and find cases of when a "killer title" came out on cutting-edge technology. For that matter, I challenge you to find a successful console release when that console was technologically the most sophisticated.
    The point of the article is that developers need to acquire a familiarity with these new boxes: that doesn't mean just poking around -- that means finding the talent capable of understanding how these little buggers work and squeezing the most out of them. Two rules come to mind:

    1. The more complex the system, the more potential points of failure. Consoles can't be buggy. Developers are right now figuring out how tough these systems are.

    2. There is no science of the accidental. Okay, my boy Harry came up with this one. 3 cores? 1 core and 8 vpus (or whatever they are)? Meanwhile the code is being written top-down; when stuff from entirely different sections of codes collides with unintended consequences, it's a bitch to debug, since it doesn't follow classic philosophical cognitive rules. The article linked some comments by Gabe Newell that implies this is happening with development here.

    So whatever xbox may have at launch, if Sony's looking at their platform, and not seeing much in terms of stable software that will be ready, they'll have to defer.

  57. Nintendo Revolution Overlooked by jmm36 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I really think Nintendo is going to do well next generation, what with five excellent game consoles in one (NES, SNES, N64, GC, Revolution!) Third parties will re-release their old software via download (Square-Enix's original Final Fintasy or Tecmo's Ninja Gaiden anyone?), then have a built in customer base to sell their more recent version of classic IP to. They just announced Final Fantasy and Dragon Quest will no longer be PS2 exclusives, opening the door for the regular series to come back to Revolution...where they belong! Nintendo's is a can't miss and can't really copy strategy (because the other two systems have only ever had high-memory use CD and DVD drives and games) that will only build on its own success. And that doesn't take into account the controller and arguably the best looking and ergonomic next gen design and mass market price... Watch what happens when details are released, and even more when people actually get to play with the thing! Don't overlook Nintendo. They've got a pretty good chance of winning us back.

    1. Re:Nintendo Revolution Overlooked by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Nintendo did very well in the current generation, in fact the banks and accountants will happily tell you that Nintendo won this generation hands down.

      You can't really compare the business model of Nintendo to Sony/M$. The latter are fighting for market share at a loss, while Nintendo are fulfilling profit goals. M$ may have deep pockets but Bill didn't get rich by signing cheques and giving away money. If the Xbox fails to monopolise the console market or start turning a profit then it's bye bye Xbox, no matter how awesome the next Halo looks.

      It's all about the money, kids.

    2. Re:Nintendo Revolution Overlooked by taskforce · · Score: 1
      I actually disagree here... While the Revolution should be an interesting console, I think Nintendo are basicly admitting defeat by totally squatting out the hardware race which is going on between MS and Sony... The Revolution may well not be capable of putting out the sheer processing or graphical rendering power of the PS3 or xbox360 which would hinder any porting of the standard multiplatform fare.

      Having the NES, SNES, N64 and GC is all very well, but those games certainly aren't groundbreaking (The only game I miss on those consoles is Chrono Trigger) and I think Nintendo also might face some serious issues with Piracy from Emulators. (Time to stock up now guys!)

      --
      My 3D Texturing Skinning work (under construction)
    3. Re:Nintendo Revolution Overlooked by mink · · Score: 1

      "The Revolution may well not be capable of putting out the sheer processing or graphical rendering power of the PS3 or xbox360 which would hinder any porting of the standard multiplatform fare."

      And monkeys may fly out of my ass.
      do you have any real specs or performance comparisons based on finalized hardware and cross platform optimized for each console games?

      Do you actually believe the hype? That the PS3 will be 50 bazillion times as powerful as Deep Though, and that the Xbox360 will be comparable to the processing power of an obscure supercomputer called "The Earth".

      Realistically, looking at all the designs, I see 3 consoles that are near enough to each other that they may be indistinguishable in what they can do and how it will look. That's why they are working so hard to hype, network this, HDD that, and controller other thing.

      --
      Well I've wrestled with reality for thirty five years doctor, and I'm happy to say I finally won out over it.
    4. Re:Nintendo Revolution Overlooked by PeelBoy · · Score: 1

      I agree with everything you said and I would like to add something

      Playstation 2 being by far the least powerfull consol this generation is also by far the #1 consol this generation.

      I'm not sure what makes people think it all comes down to hardware specs. They've never made a difference in the past on any console so why whould they make a difference now?

    5. Re:Nintendo Revolution Overlooked by DaveCBio · · Score: 1

      It's the Gameboy line-up and now the DS that makes Nintendo the big dollar. The GC is an also ran far behind the PS2 in Japan and even behind the Xbox in the rest of the world.

  58. Incorrect Assumptions by AstrumPreliator · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Alright, let's assume for a moment that the Xbox 360 launch is a total flop. People just can't seem to justify the price tag for the one or two games they want to play at launch. Sony then delays the PS3 for a year so they can bolster their game library. Seems reasonable, except for the fact that the Xbox 360 will ALSO be bolstering it's game library continuously from the day of it's launch. Is the analyst just assuming no more games will be released after the launch titles? That's simply ludicrous. Hell, if Sony delays the PS3 for a year to improve it's game library then Microsoft will have a chance to lower it's console's price during the PS3's launch a year later. Then you have an interesting scenario where the Xbox 360 is cheaper and has more games that people know are good while the PS3 is more expensive with a ton of games that nobody has played yet.

    Second, I don't think the new PS2 price cut is going to take away the Xbox 360's thunder. That's just on opinion of course and I have no idea how it will pan out. But considering the PS3 launch is (supposedly) fairly soon after the 360's launch I would rather save my money and buy that than an aging PS2.

    Third, I've seen a lot of mention about the whole HD-DVD thing in this thread. Now console players are usually not as tech savvy as say a PC gamer. They don't have to be. Out of idle curiosity I asked my friend who is a major console gamer what he thought of Microsoft decision to not include an HD-DVD drive with the 360. He just sort of looked at me blankly, he had no fucking clue what it was. So will this hurt Microsoft in the slightest? Possibly if the media screams about them not having HD-DVD, but more than likely, no. I personally feel that an HD-DVD isn't even needed for the next-gen consoles, but hey, everyone can have an opinion eh?

    Now assuming Microsoft doesn't completely fuck up the launch (i.e. - letting a major bug that renders the console useless slip by them, such as exploding power supplies) then I can't even see the console flopping. But even if it does Sony would be making a huge mistake by delaying the PS3 another year.

    Besides, the Xbox has Halo and a few other decent games. The main one is Halo though. Halo 3 will sell the Xbox 360, there's no question about it. This is a moot speculation by an analyst who obviously doesn't know what he's talking about.

    1. Re:Incorrect Assumptions by Jarlsberg · · Score: 1
      Third, I've seen a lot of mention about the whole HD-DVD thing in this thread. Now console players are usually not as tech savvy as say a PC gamer. They don't have to be. Out of idle curiosity I asked my friend who is a major console gamer what he thought of Microsoft decision to not include an HD-DVD drive with the 360. He just sort of looked at me blankly, he had no fucking clue what it was. So will this hurt Microsoft in the slightest? Possibly if the media screams about them not having HD-DVD, but more than likely, no. I personally feel that an HD-DVD isn't even needed for the next-gen consoles, but hey, everyone can have an opinion eh?

      I think you're absolutely right.

      Another factor to consider is the ability to mod the console and subsequently play game backups. Ok, I know this is frowned upon, to say the least, but what would you buy? A console you can use with copied DVDs (which are getting pretty cheap now), or a console you can't do that with. Look at the Gamecube vs. PS2 and Xbox. I'm sure a lot of the people owning PS2 and Xbox bought those instead of the Gamecube because it was easy to mod and copy games for, compared to the Gamecube with its proprietary minidisc format.

    2. Re:Incorrect Assumptions by Criterion · · Score: 1

      "Halo 3 will sell the Xbox 360, there's no question about it."

      Absolutely. I hate MS, but am tingly just thinking about Halo 3 (and PGR3, and Oblivion to a slightly lesser degree). I really couldn't care less about other FPS games. I guess I'm odd, because I'm about as far from their targeted demographic as possible, being a 40 yr old female who's been a gamer since Pong, and still loves more than anything classic DOS games (oh how I love my dosbox on Debian).

      --
      We have enough youth, how about a fountain of SMART?
  59. PS3 misses Christmas 06? by NeMon'ess · · Score: 1

    Hah, that's an amusing and incredibly stupid idea. Sony wouldn't be that dumb. Yet another non-article.

  60. ...larger launch library... by Gogo0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yes, because the launch library matters.

    Wait, no it doesnt.
    The PS2 had a bunch of crap right out of the gate. The leader of the pack was a mediocre snowboarding game that was propelled to stardom by the fact that it was one of the very few games worth owning at the time.

    Yeah, the xbox had Halo at launch, but that didnt matter either. They could have released it at any time and still garnered the same results (a lot of sold hardware).

    The Gamecube had one outstanding game (Rogue Leader) at launch, and then THREE MONTHS OF NOTHING until Super Smash Bros Melee, and the console continues to be #2 worldwide.

    Two crappy launches (in regards to titles) and those are beating out a wildly successful launch in the long run.

    Now, if the consoles launch at the same time it matters... Or at least one would think so. The cube's poor launch was within days of the xbox's great one (again, in regards to games only), and they are in a dead heat now.

    So I guess my point is: "Analyst" speculation is less than worthless, and history reveals that supposedly obvious things make no sense at all.

    Quit posting what amounts to random guessing about the ps3 and 360. We dont see a story every time a new fake Revolution controller pic hits the net, so why do we still get this crap?

    1. Re:...larger launch library... by Ondo · · Score: 1

      The Gamecube had one outstanding game (Rogue Leader) at launch, and then THREE MONTHS OF NOTHING until Super Smash Bros Melee

      Since when is December 3rd THREE MONTHS after November 18th? Check your facts before you spout off.

    2. Re:...larger launch library... by Gogo0 · · Score: 1

      Cut me some slack, it was FOUR YEARS AGO, and it certainly felt like a long time before SSB:M came out. Frankly, the only reason I purchased it was because nothing else was coming out soon.

      Nonetheless, I stand corrected.

  61. The Xbox 360 launch won't flop by assassinator42 · · Score: 1

    Look at all the good games coming at or shortly after launch: Perfect Dark Zero, Kameo: Elements of Power, Project Gotham Racing 3, Ghost Recon 3, Full Auto, etc. I haven't heard too much about Full Auto, hopefully it will still be released this year.

  62. Re:Sony May Not Delay PS3 Until 2007 by Babbster · · Score: 1

    On the other hand, Ken Kutaragi was reported to say, "Well, it would give us more time to train the magic pixies we are incorporating into our console design." Mr. Kutaragi then walked away, waving his hand in front of his face.

  63. Oh? by Kagura · · Score: 1

    this would really send the message that PS3 is vapor and lead

    Isn't that what we call an oxymoron? :)

  64. Learning by example? by NeuroManson · · Score: 1

    If I recall correctly, Sega beat Sony to market twice, once with the Saturn, again with the Dreamcast. Both times, with relatively poor titles available, leading up to the time Sony released the PSX, and then the Playstation 2.

    In both cases, Sega lost enormous amounts of money, and abandoned both platforms almost the moment Sony released their competing systems.

    Of course, others could say it was economic backlash from the time Sega tried competing with Nintendo with the SegaCD, and then their severely botched 32X.

    --
    Just because you can mod me down, doesn't mean you're right. Shoes for industry!
  65. Think those figures are misleading by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    But unlike DVD, where is the consumer excitement for HD-DVD? 90% don't have HDTV despite glowing reports of how wonderful DVDs look when played on them.

    You may well be right about no more than 10% of the population viewing HDTV.

    However, that percentage is misleading as there is a larger percentage that does in fact have an HD capible set, even if they are no using the HDTV portion - mainly because DVD's look really nice on a large crisp screen. People have been buying these things at a pretty good clip for some time, egged on by really cheap financing.

    HDTV is difficult to get (unless your cable system supports it, whcih is growing). But people that do get HDTV get very excited about the quality, I've seen it in a few friends of mine. They would re-buy a lot of movies if they have a good reason to buy a player - which a game console offers.

    Just as the PS2 (and indeed also the XBox) really drove the acceptance of DVD sales, so too with the next generation consoles act as the mechanism to draw people in to HD-DVD's - which, sadly for Toshiba, will really be Blu-Ray because Microsoft has decided not to ride that train anymore.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  66. If 99% of everything is crap... by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    ...then you need a very large base of drek to produce one Katmari Damacy.

    I'll take the console with the relativley huger pile of drek please - it stand to reason if I look in a haystack three times as big I'll get three needles instead of one.

    I just wish console makers would let ordinary people in on programming for consoles, with that large a base of drek the number of gems would be untold.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  67. Only one for me by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    The only one on that whole list that I have much interest in is Gears Of War. I looked at all of the preview video I could find from E3 and nothing else really grabbed me.

    Even Halo 3 I'm not sure is a draw for me, given that I never played the first ones (apart from local lan-based multiplayer). Console shooters after Goldeneye just leave me cold now.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  68. Will this start the waiting game? by tod_miller · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Console release is like F1 pit tactics. YOu have to release a console, but when?

    PS1 relied on some great timing and release games. Will the XBOX and the PS3 both delay and build up their game offerings until one makes the first move?

    I think the PS3 will not delay to be honest - Christmas is looming, and if they can release in time for this, then they will lead in many respects.

    My newphew (who as you may have heard knows everything about every gaming platform, game and addon) sold his PS2 (for much more than the $70 described in the recent /. article) but kept his gamecube, and shrugged, I am sure someone will buy me a PS3 for Christmas. He thinks the XBOX/360 sucks, and doesn't even know who Microsoft are.

    Aaaanyway. The innocence of youth.

    This next gen of consoles may break some more competitors out of the ring. As multiplayer gets hotter, and platform exclusive games get more prevelant, then for the consumers one platform is the best choice, as kids want to play the same games together.

    Therefore this may be a case of survival of the fittest, and my money is on PS3, as sony have 2 very successful releases under their belts, and XBOX was just a couple of trillion gajillion dollars of advertising, and Halo, which was a SHIT game, and I don't care what you say. An FPS with vehicles that feels like tribes, but can the playability of a 1997 game.

    To confirm you're not a script,
    please type the word in this image: condemn

    random letters - if you are visually impaired, please email us at pater@slashdot.org

    Has anyone emailed and found out what happens if you are visually impaired?

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    1. Re:Will this start the waiting game? by Shadow99_1 · · Score: 1

      You (& hopefully your nephew) do realize SOny has no plans to launch the PS3 stateside til (at earliest) next fall right? As in a year + a month or two from now... I hope he doens't midn waiting a year for a PS3, now that hsi PS2 is gone...

      --
      we are all invisible unless we choose otherwise
    2. Re:Will this start the waiting game? by wiredlogic · · Score: 1

      My newphew (who as you may have heard knows everything about every gaming platform, game and addon) sold his PS2 ... He thinks the XBOX/360 sucks, and doesn't even know who Microsoft are.


      That's right kiddies! You too can troll /. by proxy. Just contact your nearest disgruntled nerd uncle.

      --
      I am becoming gerund, destroyer of verbs.
  69. Re:If Sony Is Smart by XaXXon · · Score: 1

    Wow, you really just pulled that out of your ass, didn't you?

    Sony wouldn't release the PS3 at $100 more than the 360 unless it had significantly more capability. Sony is consistently at or below Microsoft's console's price. Usually stealing the spotlight from Microsoft right before they do a planned price drop.

    And you think that the 360 would have a couple hundred games available? What are you smoking? I'm not sure the XBox has had a couple hundred games made for it yet, years after it came out!

    And you're right -- the games seal the deal. How many XBox exclusive games do you get excited about? I have a nice list of PS-only games.. Final Fantasy, GTA (at initial release), Gran Turismo, Metal Gear Solid..

    I think the PS3 will do just fine whenever it comes out.

  70. Xbox to be 299 not 149 as article says by tod_miller · · Score: 1

    Slashdotters. If you value your geekery, do not buy an xbox. I am pretty miffed at the numbers who did on here (you know who you are!). Just think. Cell architecture. YOU KNOW linux is going to be working on PS3 much cooler than XBOX, and you just know the best use for all this new technology is to run tux racer, so just think about it!

    Which is whack - check out:

    The Inquirer and TotalVideogames claim that Wal-Mart employees apparently have leaked the launch date and price of the Xbox 360. According to these reports, the Xbox 360 will retail for $299 and the launch will be Friday, November 4th.

    From Aug 2nd told at some site

    Now, personally, I think this article was a little FUDDY, but customers may wait out for the PS3, i.e. when making a choice, wait for the second option, when it appears, it always looks newer and sexier. Now, Christmas may make a hiccup in these strategies, but XBox is aiming for this period.

    If people decide to wait for next gen, then a 99$ pstwo may leap in sales, this christmas may be the christmas for PStwo and PSP!!

    People might step over the Xbox launch, to look at handhelds, and then wait out for the next next-gen , the PS3.

    --
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    1. Re:Xbox to be 299 not 149 as article says by fatgav · · Score: 1

      That's as long as the PSP is available by Christmas! How much more can they delay it by? I am tired of hearing about you guys in America messing about with one before I evn get a chance to touch one. (I'm in the UK BTW)

    2. Re:Xbox to be 299 not 149 as article says by iapetus · · Score: 1

      So import. I've had my PSP since the US launch - it's a brilliant machine for importing, since the charger works fine at 240V (you'll just need a new power lead, which is a standard one that you've got tons of lying around the house anyway) and the games aren't region encoded. And it's not like you exactly owe SCEE any loyalty, is it?

      --
      ++ Say to Elrond "Hello.".
      Elrond says "No.". Elrond gives you some lunch.
  71. I think this is true... by JaF893 · · Score: 3, Funny

    ...I heard they were waiting to launch it with Duke Nukem Forever.

    1. Re:I think this is true... by yRabbit · · Score: 1

      No, no.. The phantom console is the one that has the exclusive rights to Duke Nukem Forever.
      (and a moment of Googling reveals this joke has already been used.)

  72. It was Dreamcast vs. PS2... by Sofa+King+Cold · · Score: 1

    ...Not Playstation. The Dreamcast was of this generation, last generation's Sega console was the Saturn (which was buggy and prone to death). The flaws that were the Saturn was the reason the dreamcast shipped early, hence making it look like it was of the N64/Playstation gen...

    Sega fanboy for life...

    --
    I'll see your computer nerd, and raise you two Chess Clubbers and a role player
  73. maybe not ready doh by mattr · · Score: 1

    It just might also be
    that Sony has been finding
    the next generation requires
    hurdling some massive hurdles.

    Though my guess is this is a
    "leak" to try and get M$ off
    guard. Meanwhile the PS3 being
    launched earlier.. Anyway it's
    not like anybody who knows what
    they're talking about is talking
    right? Not that this silly
    bit of news is startling enough to
    make me want to RTFA.

    1. Re:maybe not ready doh by CaseM · · Score: 1

      Don't you think you should be doing something productive instead of browsing /. on your PDA? =)

  74. Re:Fire all those sony bastids by Savantissimo · · Score: 1

    Too right. For that matter, how much more fun are the PS2 games than the ones on the original Nintendo? 10%? 20%? Not that much more than that. I could go for a game of Gauntlet right now. Certainly playability is not a direct function of the processing power increase - more like a factor of 1+log(increase). Same goes for PC games. Since Doom the graphics have gotten a little better (though again, nowhere near in line with the increase in computer power) but all FPS are just the same shit in a shinier can. The imagination of the game designers is not keeping up with the hardware.

    --
    "Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
  75. So they are waiting for GTA4 to be finished? by GoatSucker · · Score: 1

    If Grand Theft Auto 4 is a PS3 launch title, I don't think Sony will have any worries.

  76. Wrong wording by grungeman · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Sony reduced the "Profits" forecast by more than 88%, not the "Revenue" forecast. "Revenue" acutally declined by 1%. Reducing a "Revenue" forecast by 80% would be like an earthquake with magnitude 8.5 in the center of Tokyo.

    --

    Signature deleted by lameness filter.
    1. Re:Wrong wording by TheoMurpse · · Score: 1

      Interestingly enough, and partially on topic ;)
      the Richter scale is not used in Japan. Instead, they use the shindo (lit. "shake degree") scale. There is no 8.5 on this scale, as it only goes to 7.

  77. That's if GTA is still legal.. by LordJezo · · Score: 1

    At the rate we're all going GTA will be outlawed and the only thing the PS3 will be allowed to publish at launch will be a new Putt Putt game.

  78. No way by DogDude · · Score: 1

    Bleeding edge hardware? Again, another classic Slashdot-ism: Assuming the entire world si populated by uber-geeks.

    No, most people don't give a shit or even know what kind of hardware is in their console game thingy. They just want it to be easy to use and be fun and have pretty graphics.

    --
    I don't respond to AC's.
    1. Re:No way by cybpunks3 · · Score: 1

      You sound like a Nintendo apologist.

  79. Re:Of Course! by nutshell42 · · Score: 1
    Well for a short time at least.

    But unfortunatly that's the only thing for Xbox anyone was interested in. (the second table is only for the US market and it's gonna be a lot worse worldwide).

    --
    Don't think of it as a flame---it's more like an argument that does 3d6 fire damage
  80. Got to feel sorry for those PS2 owners.. by EiZei · · Score: 1

    .. more than 1.5 years with that already outdated console without proper multiplayer features? Ouch.

  81. Xbox360 + Blu-Ray? by ichigo+2.0 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    When has Microsoft announced that? The only info about HD-DVD and Xbox360 I found was this quote from Bill Gates:

    "The initial shipments of Xbox 360 will be based on today's DVD format," Gates explained. "We are looking at whether future versions of Xbox 360 will incorporate an additional capability of an HD DVD player or something else."

    That could just as easily mean Blu-Ray, depending on which format takes off in the consumer market. And yes, I know Microsoft is one of the supporters of HD-DVD, but if Blu-Ray becomes a great success in the couple of years before the Xbox360 2.0 comes out, I don't really see how they could try to force HD-DVD on people.

    1. Re:Xbox360 + Blu-Ray? by Sancho · · Score: 1

      Fair enough, but the point stands. Early 360s will be crippled in comparison to later ones (probably). I suppose it's possible that they could choose not to upgrade the line, but if that's the case, making the statement you quoted seems to only harm the product line. If Bill had remained silent, there would be no expectations of a better product in the future. As it is, some people are considering waiting on their 360 purchase until they get the improved DVD player, regardless of whether that's HD or Blu-Ray.

  82. Re:Fire all those sony bastids by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 1

    Not to mention, as the article states, these machines are so new and powerful, some of the features are going to take quite a while for programmers to be able to tap into. Imagine that... releasing consoles that will take almost the units' entire lifetime to fully realize their potential. :)

    It's rather like the old days, when you'd see the first trickle of titles from say, an Amiga or C= 64. In the beginning, things pretty much looked standard, and in some cases were hard to differentiate from the competition. But as the machine matured, and as programmers learned the innards of these boxes, things got neater, games got better looking and more playable. Basically, as the programmer got efficient and skilled in the inner-workings of a system, the game quality reflected that. (Heck even the games coming from the C= 64 towards the end of its life had some amazing tricks that you wouldn't have thought possible with such a simple 6502 unit.)

    These next-gen consoles are no different. Heck, the PS2 has gotten pretty good looking titles that you'd swear it wasn't capable of playing. Even the XBox has some stand-out titles now in its twilight that you'd probably never thought possible at launch (even in spite of the overhyped "horsepower" of the unit, and the insistence on making every FPS imaginable for it.)

    The next-gen game systems are going to come and go before they're fully exploited, and like the previous generation of video cards on the PC, will never be pushed to the limit. (I don't blame developers for the most part, because they're hitting a moving target and doing the best they can, with some very sloppy exceptions. But that's to be expected with any system.)

    And despite all the hype on graphics etc... I have the most fun playing the old FF games on my PS2. (PS1 titles...) The other great fun (besides the awesomely addicting retro-arcade and 2600 titles) is the Romance of the 3 Kingdoms series. None of these titles are "A-list" graphic titles, but they're darn fun... And like any console game, I can pick up an play for a bit, without spending 3 hours in a manual learning which key does what. ...and that's what it was supposed to be about before the hype took over... fun. Nintendo "gets it", but for whatever reason cannot translate that to #1 slot dominance anymore. *shrug* Times are changing I guess. I just remember when a console was just a gaming system, and people weren't clamoring for it to be something else, like a DVD player or music box. The marketeers have successfully driven the masses to think they need a DVD/music/toaster/PVR/ez-bake-oven/Pez dispenser for game consoles. Oh yeah, it also plays games!

    --
    It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
  83. Re:Of Course! by Shadow99_1 · · Score: 1

    Well then their is the possibility of SquareEnix porting Dragon Quest and Final Fantasy to both MS and Sony platforms... See here:

    http://www.xbox365.com/news.cgi?id=GGuPGddLiP08031 329/

    --
    we are all invisible unless we choose otherwise
  84. HD DVD by cybrthng · · Score: 1

    is just a higher density dvd rom. It isn't a format change in itself. HD DVD can be used to store MP3's, that doesn't make them "HD MP3's"

    A standard dual layer dvd can hold ~9 gigs. For the games in the forseeable future that is plenty - especially considering they can have some of the data uncompressed on the hard drive or available on the network as downloadable expansion packs and updates.

    Come to think of it, most of my pc games if not all of them could fit on a dvd.

    Sony is using the PS3 as a tool to push it's hopefull blue-ray format. Microsoft is atleast waiting for a standard for a change.

  85. PS3 will be the ultimate destruction of XBOX360 by ActionAL · · Score: 1

    Sony is playing to win. They built the PS2 to destroy the Sega Dreamcast. And it worked.
    They did not however build the PS2 to defeat the XBOX. But the PS3 will be there to defeat the XBOX360. And the price reduced PS2 will be awesome competition. A 99$ PS2 will outsell a 149$ XBOX. And alot of parents can not afford to buy a new 300$ console plus extra controllers and accessories when they can spend that same 300$ to buy a PS2 and a ton of games. Sony is playing their cards well.

    1. Re:PS3 will be the ultimate destruction of XBOX360 by Babbster · · Score: 1
      a) A brand-new console only competes with an old (relatively speaking) console in the sense that they might be on the same sales charts. It would be like talking about sales of the PSP versus the GBA SP - they're in very different leagues.

      b) The PS2 is already in a ridiculous number of homes - the kinds of homes that may want to purchase an Xbox 360, assuming that the games are exciting. Why would we expect a huge upswing in the numbers of PS2s sold this late in the game?

  86. This "first to market" is BS anyway... by cybrthng · · Score: 1

    The Xbox 360 is an advancement of the existing platform.

    The xbox was the first to market xbox live services and it SMOKES ps2 hands down.

    The xbox was the first to offer true component HDTV and it SMOKES the ps2 hands down.

    First to market is a complete mis-udnerstanding of the market.

    Microsoft is delivering on it's promise, Sony is trying to play the game. simple as that. Just because it worked against Sega when they only had 500 million dollars to support the dreamcast launch i doubt it will work against Microsoft with the 4 billion they plan on having..

  87. Actually more about PS2 And Profits than 360 by dbretton · · Score: 1

    Read this article. The points made in the article I just linked make a lot of sense.

    The PS2 has *the* strongest software library of any current console. In addition, the new slim PS2 is actually profitable! This means they are making money on each system they sell.

    If Sony can ride out '06 on the PS2 sales due to a strong software library and now-profitable PS2 units, they will shore up their profits for the year, which is quite enticing for SCE.

  88. They didn't really "let" them by tkrotchko · · Score: 1

    "He meant, they let Dreamcast release first"

    But that's revisionist history.

    The Dreamcast had everyone beat. The system was good, it launched reasonably well in Japan, and Sega spent big on the 9/9/99 date.

    It was only after Sony realized they'd been beaten to the punch that they tried the "Oh, if you wait for PS2, it will so much better" whisper campaign. Meanwhile, Sony didn't even have prototypes when they started their announcements.

    This is more of the same. The difference is that MS has much deeper pockets than Sega and so this is at best damage control by Sony for being beaten to the punch.

    --
    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
  89. Saturn vs. PS1 by Psykechan · · Score: 1

    the Saturn (which was buggy and prone to death)

    Huh? From a self professed Sega fanboy, I'd expect a little better. The Saturn wasn't buggy or prone to crashing... unless you meant something else with the word "death".

    The Saturn failed because of engineering mistakes that made it hard to program and expensive to make. Sega was building a great 2D machine, saw what Sony was doing with the PS and 3D, and stuck some more processors into the mix.

    This beast was so hard to program that Sega's own Dev teams had difficulty with the system when putting together the SDK.

    When Sega of America decided to release it three months early and didn't tell third party developers who were still struggling with the dev kits, they doomed the system to it's place in history.

    The only really buggy part of the hardware was the cartridge port. That thing was worse than the NES's. The rest of the system was solid. My original JP release grey Saturn, under heavy use (including a running for a 3 day weekend non-stop) has survived 2 Playstatons, a PS2 and an Xbox.

    The system did decently enough in Japan. Both Sega and Capcom eventually put out some mighty fine software after they figured out how to program for it but most developers went with the simple PS and the public followed.

    1. Re:Saturn vs. PS1 by Sofa+King+Cold · · Score: 1

      Maybe it was just all the Saturns that I touched then, I've had the laser die in three Saturns now. Am I the Grim Reaper of the Saturn world??

      --
      I'll see your computer nerd, and raise you two Chess Clubbers and a role player
  90. SmartMove by SSoujirou · · Score: 1

    Many might think this isnt a smart move but to be honest i think this as smart as it gets. When Sony pushed back the PS2 release over and over again PS fans stood their ground and waited When most newgen consoles claimed over the years that they got better hardware/software with long technical details than most dont ppl dont even begin to understand PS fans stood their ground When almost every magazines has at least 1 articles thinking that the PS2 might or might not run a specific game or that i wont look as good as other consoles fans still stood their ground and the PS and the PS2 are still there. The truth is Sony has made one of the strongest and largers fan base by releasing not only a console that is good but a console that fits under everyone need so perfectly that they wont mind wating a year more. PS fans are the same that wait for every new Hideo Kojima game , that rush to play the latest FinalFantasy no matter how cheesy have they got, that play every rockstar games no matter how many times have they stole that same damn car and the same that go looking for obscure game like Disgaea . They might complain, but at then end Sony fans are going to wait for a better more stable more enjoyable console no matter what.

  91. Viva La Revolution by blake3737 · · Score: 1

    Blah Blah PS3, Xbox 360... What I wanna know is: How long will I have to play mario sunshine 4, or mario party 23? If you ask me.. any wait is too long. *Gag*

  92. This is why I am really starting to dislike... by netsyd · · Score: 1

    our commerce structure. This waiting to release products based on specific competitive information, or to see if a similar product bombs out so you can make yours just that little bit better and maybe take some more sales from someone else is crap. Sony - the people obviously want your product with a large library at release or not! The 200,000 sales you might gain over the course of waiting 6-8 months is realistically the 200,000 units you didn't sell during those months because the procuct wasn't on the market.

    If you have the PS3, and it is ready to go to market at Christmas, sell the dammed thing at Christmas in direct competition with the xBox. The people will buy the one they initially think they want, and if it sucks they'll buy the other one soon enough. Who cares if a console launches with 250 games, as long as it launches with Madden 2006, NHL 2006, some golf style game, (*name of current kid movie craze here*) game, and a "Halo" ripoff, the console will sell like hotcakes.
    * Begin Rant*
    Quit screwing the public out of a product they desire just so you can screw with your sales numbers a small fraction of a percent. This applies to all companies, not just Sony. */rant*

    PS. If sony really pulls some crap like this, I won't buy one.

  93. Re:Xbox price 149 as article says by Criterion · · Score: 1

    Is it reading or comprehension skills you lack? They were talking about the Xbox at the $149 pricepoint, not the Xbox360.

    --
    We have enough youth, how about a fountain of SMART?
  94. First mover "advantage" by notmartinfrobisher · · Score: 1

    The critical criterion for a winning product is not only timing but also the following:

    A. The right target market
    B. The right features/content
    C. The right price

    Let's take these each in turn, because these one liner 'sega', 'ipod' and 'virtual gameboy' proofs are simplistic and don't shed any light on this discussion.

    A. The right target market: by this I mean demographics (type of games being created and marketing perception), market timing (not in the sense of who is first, but time between generations of consoles. Also skipping ahead to 'B', the right features for the target market. After the initial wave of original home consoles such as the Atari 2600, Intellivision, there was a successful second wave: Colecovision, SNES et. all, and then there was sort of a period in the mid-ninties where people weren't ready for a new console. There wasn't a technology leap for the mass market until the advent of the first 3-D in the Playstation and N64. There was a similar period in time in the mid-eighties after the 2600. I don't have market figures handy but this timline http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Video_game_console#Ti meline illustrates the 'gaps' in the market. The consumers in this market are not always ready to shell out $300 every two years, unless they see a greatly increased perceived benefit which brings us to ...

    B. The right features. In this case this means both features and content. Sony and Microsoft included a DVD player into the PS2 whereas Nintendo didn't. For a lot of people the PS2 was their first DVD player. The HD in the Xbox is a definite differentiator for them. The next generation console might be a credible media centre, providing a hub for mp3s, digital photography and internet browsing on televsions in addition to gaming. The convergence of two key features (I call this 'point convergence') seems to be a pattern for killer apps. I'd put my money on internet browsing and gaming being the point-converged feature that characterizes the successful next-generation console.

    C. The right price. Pretty self-explanatory, but pricing is really hard. Not even Microsoft has the luxury of losing money on consoles indefinitely. It would be interesting to see the statistics of profitability (or lack of) between the 3 console makers.

  95. Re:Fire all those sony bastids by Why's_This_Fish_So_B · · Score: 1

    *If* I buy one of these consoles, it'll only be because it does serve multiple purposes, including high-def DVD playback (whether blue or red ray).

    Not to disparage your point of view about what a console ought to be, but some people do want an everything box.

  96. Killer title by phorm · · Score: 1

    You don't need a gazillion games at the beginning, just some really strong contenders. I remember back when SNES first came out, I saved my money... and actually bought Zelda before I bought the system because I wanted it so badly.

    Similarly, I bought a PS2 to play FFX.

    As you might notice, both were part of a franchise. A new game on a new system takes time to gain a following. So it might be just as good to go with the franchise and gain followers, then move to more original content.

  97. Good Idea by marcybots · · Score: 1

    Speaking as someone who just bought a PSP, and there are no games for it, waiting for a strong game lineup is a good idea. Since the initial launch of the psp only like 5 games have been released. Also all the games are already available for playstation and playstation 2 in some form or another besides metal gear acid. I dont regret buying it because I purchased it for emulators, but unlike the DS, I cant buy a good new game if I wanted too, the DS has a number of good games comming out on a regular basis and is releasing great games like advance wars: Dual strike, nintendogs and Lunar in the next month or so...but the ds cant play SNES.

  98. PS3 in trouble? by tgibbs · · Score: 1

    I read this as an admission that the PS3 is in trouble, perhaps because developers are finding its complex architecture harder to develop for than expected. So Sony needs to lay the groundwork for delaying the PS3 rollout. Now, they'll be able to say that it was because the XBox360 was a flop. That should be an easy charge to make--the initial crop of games for a new platform rarely completely live to the hype, and the XBox360 will doubtless be no exception.

  99. Strong Launch Lineup Didnt help the Dreamcast by marcybots · · Score: 1

    The dreamcast launched with the best launch lineup of the new systems, xbox, gamecube and ps2, it has soul calibur, power stone, crazy taxi, resident evil code name veronica, marvel vs capcom, etc. and in its first year it got many strong releases, but the point is that everybody was waiting to see what the PS2 was going to be like, so didnt buy a dreamcast. Also it didnt hurt that the PS2 was a dvd player, but the point is that if people want a new playstation, their going to wait for it, and it could actually hurt microsoft more if Sony DOESNT release the ps3 on time, since often anticipation is better than reality. Just look at the DS, it came out early and critics were always comparing it and its games to the PSP unfavorably, even though the PSP was not released yet and for some reason game reporters cant say anything bad about stuff thats not released yet. Now that the PSP is out they are all complaining about the lack of games, so the PSP actually was doing better before it was launched in the gamming press because it was so overhyped.

  100. Re:Fire all those sony bastids by phxbadash · · Score: 1

    See here is where we see a fundimental difference in people's tastes. Personally I find the Romance of the 3 Kingdoms series games boring as hell, As for retro games they only keep my interest for about 5 minutes before I get over the nostalgia and realize they just aren't as good as I'd originally thought. Ditto for platformers (hence why I really have very little interest in anything Nintendo for the last 6 years).

    I play games for very different reasons than I used to when I was younger. My tastes have changed.

    I like immersive enviroments, decent stories and yes I do like good graphics to go along with it. I also like multiplayer, A.I. opponents give very little if any challenge to me so anything that has multiplayer where I can play against other actual people is a major plus. Nintendo continually misses the boat on this fact and Sony's hardly better. Say what you will about the Xbox in any other respect but they "get it" when it comes to multiplayer and this will be a huge advantage in the next-gen console wars.

  101. Media Center Anyone? by Meest · · Score: 1

    Am i the only one that sees the Xbox 360 as more than just a GAMING Console? I Don't plan on buying any games for it in the first year unless they are given to me as presents. The main reason i want it is a Media Center.

    As much as everyone says "You can take an old PC and do that." Maybe i don't want a big box sitting out, or taking the time and energy to try and figure out a way to hid the dang thing. Add to that transfering all my MP3's over to a Samba Network Share just to access them with a keyboard. No thanks.

    I'm buying this for my Media Center. Not for gaming. Right now i don't realy play my Xbox much except Halo and Tony Hawk. but i use it to watch DVD's all the time and to play music in my living room. Now with the 360 i won't have to have copy's of the music i want to play on my Xbox because it will see my music share over the wireless network and i'll be able to play any of my 30,000 songs by just browsing.

    Gaming... ya thats a good secondary job. But for me no thanks.

  102. Sony will win due to graphics superiority by master_p · · Score: 1

    The PS3 graphics will be so awesome (and so hyped!), that Sony will win MS and Nintendo hands down. Remember that after 6 years of PS2 technology, the PC has only one game that has 'head and shoulders' better graphics than the PS2, and that game is Doom 3. Neither GTA-SA nor Far Cry or HL2 are quantum leaps over PS2 technology yet.

    1. Re:Sony will win due to graphics superiority by DaveCBio · · Score: 1

      Wow, what are you smoking and can I have some? If you truly think that Doom 3 is the only game that looks better than PS2 games you really need to get your eyes checked. I don't think any reasonable person could argue with me on this.

    2. Re:Sony will win due to graphics superiority by master_p · · Score: 1

      I never said "Doom 3 is the only game that looks better than PS2 games". I said that Doom 3 is the only game that is head-and-shoulders above PS2 games. Most games on the PC are better looking than the PS2 ones, but there is only one game that is a graphical quantum leap, and that is Doom 3.

      So perhaps you should be the one that needs some checking?

  103. Re:Of Course! by lowe0 · · Score: 1

    Is there really an overwhelming majority of gamers who do not like console FPS games?

    Also, I thought Gears was a 1st/3rd person mix.

    Your comment raises one very good point, however: MS needs to build up their franchises. They've got Forza, which in my opinion beats Gran Turismo by a healthy margin. They've got GTA cross-platform, and they need to do pretty much whatever Rockstar wants in order to keep it that way. Still, they need to make sure that gamers don't just know they can get "as good or better" titles - instead, MS needs to get gamers to want the Xbox franchises instead of the PS ones.

  104. Re:Of Course! by Jambon · · Score: 1
    It isn't a launch title, but it is supposed to be release right when the PS3 was going to be, which was supposed to be late spring 2006. If the development was on pace to complete the game by that time, chances are Halo 3 could be released before 2007.

    What I was pointing out was not that all the good games are FPS, but that assuming that the Xbox 360 will be a flop is a pretty naieve view. I know there are other games besides Halo. I just happen to have more experience with the popularity of Halo. It also happens to hold the record for initial video game sales (yes I know GTA: San Andreas sold more overall on the PS2 ).

    Besides, if Sony liscensed the Unreal 3 engine, and Unreal Tournament 2007 is due in 2006, why would they release it in 2007? It just doesn't make any sense.

    Oh, and will someone inform the mods of the definition of sarcasm, because I think they seem to have missed it. I seriously wasn't trying to start a flame war.

  105. This works just fine for casual console players. by Kelbear · · Score: 1

    I had gotten the playstation when it first came out, and shortly stopped buying anything console-oriented.

    I got FFX in the mail yesterday, and my ps2 will arrive on monday.

    Why am I now buying a ps2 right when ps3 is coming any day now? It's because the ps2 cost me 65 dollars, and FFX cost 12.50. I've got 5 more award-winning games coming in each at less than 15 bucks.

    The PS2's graphics aren't unplayable compared to the brand-new games I'm playing on PC. It's in my tolerance level for graphics so long as the gameplay is good. I think I'm going to stick to a strategy of only buying the console of yesteryear so I pay a fraction of the cost. The games are still new to me even if people had already beaten them 4 years ago. I also get the clarity of hindsight to see which games actually turned out to be great rather than hyped trash.

    You lose out on multiplayer experiences since there'll be fewer people online. But for those that primarily play console games alone, think about pausing the purchasing for a few years and then playing the same games you would've played, but for a much lower cost.

    I'm seeing so much buzz and a churning rumor mill on the new consoles. By the time I make the next buy, I'll be certain I picked the winning platform(s). Heh, my friend remembers buying the Neo-Geo at $300...poor guy.

  106. Sturgeon's Law by Tony · · Score: 1

    And as for the PS2 release games? 90% crap.

    But then again, 90% of everything is crap.

    --
    Microsoft is to software what Budweiser is to beer.
  107. the Xbox launch was terrible by YesIAmAScript · · Score: 1

    I'm really lost by your post. The Xbox languished for almost a year before it sold much. Partially this was because of hardware availability, but partially it was because it only had one game. Really Xbox didn't start selling well until MechAssault came out. Just look at Penny Arcade.

    http://www.penny-arcade.com/news.php?date=2002-11- 22

    On November 22, 2002 Tycho says: "It's been a good couple weeks for the Xbox, huh? It went from something I could mostly do without to something I use every day in the space of like eight days." Xbox was launched November 15, 2001. The PA guys finally turned on to a a year later. Does that seem like a great launch to you? Xbox only had one game worth having for a year, it was a good one, but one game isn't enough to make a great launch, let alone sustain a console for a year.

    Gamecube did have some bad games, but as was pointed out elsewhere, Super Smash Bros Melee was out very quickly. Also, the Cube had Super Monkey Ball, which was an excellent group-play game.

    PS2 had an average launch I would say. Despite what you say, SSX was a great game. SSX Tricky was better, once they got more time in to fix it up a bit. I still play Tricky to this day. If it weren't for Tricky, I'd still play the original SSX to this day (SSX 3 isn't as good in many ways). The rest of the PS2 titles were mediocre, as launch titles usually are.

    Anyway, I would say your conclusion is incorrect. You say two consoles with poor launches are beating out one with a great launch. But you say the Xbox launch was great, when it wasn't. Really, it's a console with a decent launch (helped by being a DVD player at a time when not everyone owned one) beating out two with medicore launches.

    Honestly, consoles never get good launches. It costs too much to delay launch until the games are good. The closest we get is when consoles come out in Japan first (with truly awful titles) and then come out in the US with 2nd gen titles. Also production usually ramps up slowly (and production costs down slowly) so it's nice to spread out adoption a little bit anyway.

    --
    http://lkml.org/lkml/2005/8/20/95
    1. Re:the Xbox launch was terrible by DaveCBio · · Score: 1

      Right... the guys at PA are the final judge of console success. How about some sales stats to back up what you are saying? Oh, that's right. You won't be able to find any because your statement is full of holes. If you think the PS2 and GC launch were so much better than the Xbox launch then you just have the typical anti-MS glasses on that so many have around here.

  108. Only reason I want one... by csoto · · Score: 1

    Is to play PS2 games now, then PS3 games when compelling titles come out. I don't own a PS2, but if the PS3 comes out next Spring, my son will be old enough to get him one. Backwards compatibility with PS2 is what will get me on that platform.

    Of course, Nintendo Revolution really interests me. If it's as backwards compatible as Nintendo is promising, I might just go that direction. Much more interesting titles on that platform...

    --
    There exists no way of exchanging information without making judgments. --Bene Gesserit Axiom
  109. Re:This works just fine for casual console players by skepticult · · Score: 1

    You could have bought a used one in 2003 after the price drop to $199 for say, $150. That's a difference of ~$85. Over the course of two years, that amounts to about $3.00 a month.

    Why do people go through such drama over such miniscule amounts of cash? It wouldn't be so annoying if you didn't boast about it like you were pulling one over on everyone who spent that $3.00.

    If you had bought it new at the launch price of $299, you'd have been out the equivalent of $5.00/month. What a bargain! Thank god you waited! That's like the tax on one game per month and you'd have had 5 years of gaming enjoyment.

    Give me a break.

  110. Re:Fire all those sony bastids by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 1

    Personally the multiplayer aspect is of little interest unless the other players are in the same room. There are too many 12 year olds on Live to make it even a passing curiosity in my book. (Or full of people with 12 year old developmental skills... I don't know which.)

    I don't mind immersive environments, but you cannot beat text adventures for immersion. Sure you have to do the imagining, but that's the beauty of it. FPSes bore the life out of me. I've seen MOTS so long, it's annoying.

    The Xbox caters to a specific kind of gamer with its multiplayer... and I am not among that group.

    --
    It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
  111. backwards compatability by H0D_G · · Score: 1

    I'm not suggesting this as a be all and end all solution, but the PS3 has been confirmed as being 100% backwards compatible, but the XBOX 360 only partially. I think even if the launch titles are weak (which I doubt) the fact that I can still boot up timesplitters ( a PS2 launch title that I enjoyed) or any of my other games will make it a better investment.

    --
    Kids! Bringing about Armageddon can be dangerous. Do not attempt it in your home!
  112. I think.... by LordVader717 · · Score: 1

    Microsoft might just have a general problem with the attractiveness of their new console.

    I don't think you can apply the same circumstances there were with this generation, to the next.

    The majority of casual gamers probably aren't looking for a new console at the moment, and with a last push from Sony and Nintendo for their current consoles, they might see the XBOX 360 as much a major console launch as Microsoft hoped.

  113. that's hilarious... by YesIAmAScript · · Score: 1

    I bought an Xbox almost the first day (refused to buy a bundle, which was required to get one first day). I had one within a month of it coming out.

    I, like the Penny Arcade guys, had an Xbox all that time, there just was no reason to turn it on. There was only one good game, and once you'd finished that one, you were stuck unless you had friends over a lot.

    I have two Xboxes, I don't have any kind of MS bias. But their launch was terrible, because they had awful availibilty and almost universally terrible games. MS had to purchase several game companies to even get those awful games produced.

    Xbox sure came on strong after MechAssault though. It's a great game, and there have been plenty of gems since. And even though RARE and the Oddworld Inhabitants still produce complete crap, other of MS' purchased companies learned a lot and are doing great now. After PGR1 was a poor game that became frustrating in no time, PGR2 is the flat-out best non-sim racer there is on any platform, and by a large margin.

    And for the record, I didn't say the GC launch was better than the Xbox one at all, I specifically said it wasn't better. I did say the PS2 one was though. You apparently didn't even take the time to read my post.

    --
    http://lkml.org/lkml/2005/8/20/95
  114. What OS? by Joseph_Daniel_Zukige · · Score: 1

    And where do you get this information?

    1. Re:What OS? by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      A little bird told me.

      I'm just saying, I remember alot of hubub about how powerful and amazing the last round of SONY hardware was, and how it would be the new standard for high performance processing... when was the last time you saw an emotion chip in anything besides a PS2?

  115. Re:Fire all those sony bastids by phxbadash · · Score: 1

    I was referring more to FPS's on PC as using a console controller to try and aim makes me want to commit sepukko (sp?). While I do like getting together with friends for a some console multiplayer (mostly racing) it's just a lot nicer not having to split the tv in half/quarters and having everyone squinting to try and make out whats happening on their piece of the screen. And are you speaking from experience about the 12 year olds on Live, or just quoting what someone once said that one time somewhere on the internet? If I want text-based adventure I'll just read a novel :)

  116. Re:Xbox price 149 as article says by tod_miller · · Score: 1

    Both, this article sucks man, talking about 360 coming out, ps3 delay, pstwo price changes, xbox price changes, argh my head, ffs.

    --
    #hostfile 0.0.0.0 primidi.com 0.0.0.0 www.primidi.com 0.0.0.0 radio.weblogs.com
  117. Re:If Sony Is Smart by telstar · · Score: 1

    I don't know why you think a couple hundred titles is so far fetched by 2007.
    According to a report from an industry research firm there are already 160 titles in development and we're still in mid-2005.