Slashdot Mirror


Environmentalists Coming Around to Nuclear Power?

Heywood J. Blaume writes "In a Washington Post editorial Patrick Moore, a founder of Greenpeace, now says he was wrong about opposing nuclear power 30 years ago. In the article he addresses common myths about nuclear power, and puts forth the position that nuclear power is the only feasible, affordable power source that can solve today's growing environmental and energy policy issues. From the article: 'Thirty years on, my views have changed, and the rest of the environmental movement needs to update its views, too, because nuclear energy may just be the energy source that can save our planet from another possible disaster: catastrophic climate change.'"

1,092 comments

  1. It's about time by DavidinAla · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The logic behind using safe forms of nuclear power has been clear for a long, long time. It's nice to see some greens finally start accepting what has been obvious to some of us for 30 or 40 years. Now I'm curious how long it will be before the same people start realizing that they have been duped about global warming -- by the same people who duped us about the "coming Ice Age" and hundreds of millions of people supposedly dying of hunger from overpopulation in the '70s. The same crackpots who have been feeding us false predictions are still being given credibility today. Why people such as Lester Brown and Paul Erlich are given any credibility is beyond logic.

    David

    1. Re:It's about time by eln · · Score: 1

      There were real safety concerns about nuclear power 30 to 40 years ago, especially about nuclear waste. Now, technology has advanced enough that modern reactors produce much less high-level waste, and the risks of meltdown or other accident have been reduced greatly with new reactor designs.

      I fully support the building of modern nuclear reactors to replace coal and other high-pollutant non-renewable sources of energy, but I would not support nuclear using the reactors that were being protested against so heavily in the 1970s, and I probably would have been protesting against them too.

    2. Re:It's about time by ndansmith · · Score: 2, Informative

      If anyone wants a good read about the environmental movement, check out Paul Driessen's Eco-Imperialism . It changed my mind. He lays out how environmental movements are holding back development in the third world (keeping poor people's living standards low) with their misguided policies.

    3. Re:It's about time by dynamo52 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      While I disagree with your comments on global warming, I also think that it is about ime environmentalists came around to nuclear energy. If managed properly, nuclear can greatly alleviate our energy problems. Waste can be stored in a safe and isolated location and modern plants have almost no chance of meltdowns.

      The environmental movement today has become a front for anti-corporate activists.

      --
      Like this comment? I accept Bitcoin! - 153sc8UUBXyp12ofQqfAWDmJrzyiKCYC1x
    4. Re:It's about time by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1

      Because it isn't just the two people you mention who talk about Global Climate Change - it's an entire section of physicists that have come to largely the same conclusions. I wonder how long you'll be in denial?

      Also, the technologies that make nuclear power safe today did not exist 40 years ago. To argue that you knew for 40 years that nuclear power is safe simply demonstrates that you argue from dogma, not science. Today's pebble reactors have nothing in common with the heavy water reactors from a couple of decades ago.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    5. Re:It's about time by Rei · · Score: 1

      He's wrong, though, at least on some points. For example:

      Three Mile Island was the only serious accident in the history of nuclear energy generation in the United States.

      Um, did you forget about Brown's Ferry? The Fermi breeder? Ginna plant? I could easily keep going.

      The multi-agency U.N. Chernobyl Forum reported last year that 56 deaths could be directly attributed to the accident, most of those from radiation or burns suffered while fighting the fire.

      The problem with the accident was the large swath of Belarus and sizable chunk of the Ukraine that it rendered uninhabitable, not the number of immediate deaths. A major problem at Indian Point would render the US's largest city uninhabitable, sending the US economy into the toilet.

      No one has died of a radiation-related accident in the history of the U.S. civilian nuclear reactor program.

      How about Wood River Junction for an example.

      Don't get me wrong - I support nuclear power. But lets support it with facts, shall we? There have been many accidents in the history of nuclear power generation, even with designs as modern as the CANDU. What has repeatedly saved us is containment structures. As long as there's a containment structure, I'm generally happy with it. But take it away (for example, PBMRs), and it's a different story.

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    6. Re:It's about time by shmlco · · Score: 1

      "Waste can be stored in a safe and isolated location."

      Actually, as per the article waste is only a big problem when you can't recycle it to make more fuel. Doing so cuts down the amount of "waste" dramatically.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    7. Re:It's about time by The+Snowman · · Score: 1

      The problem is that while technology advanced, we have not built new reactors to take advantage of it. Sure, we retrofitted our existing reactors, but modern designs such as pebble bed are incompatible with existing facilities. We have politicians to thank for this, same with our aging Peacekeeper and Minuteman III fleets of ICBMs. The "nuclear" topic has been taboo ever since Reagan's Star Wars project tanked, which is unfortunate. It is an amazing power source and an amazing deterrent to attacks on our home turf by foreign armies.

      --
      24 beers in a case, 24 hours in a day. Coincidence? I think not!
    8. Re:It's about time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bullshit. You know what's keeping the third world's living standards low? Their utter inability to control their own breeding.

      Take a look at China, ever since the government instituted the one-child policy their economy's been booming.

    9. Re:It's about time by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      It amazes me how much lack of logic there is on BOTH sides. While nukes are not the only solutions, they remain one of our best solutions; currently.

      Now, as to your going off on a rant of global warming, even the idiots inside the republican party are now accepting facts out there. Only ditto heads/fox hounds remain unaccepting of the fact of global warming ( of course, evolution did not occur, the universe revolves around earth, and the earth is flat).

      Now, if you wish to argue about what is causing it, well that is a different matter. Is it the Sun? Is it mankind? is it a simple normal cycle? Well most knowledgable scientist argue for man-kind.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    10. Re:It's about time by caffeination · · Score: 1

      The three incidents you cite were minor compared to Three Mile Island, so your definition of "serious" merely differs from the other guy's.

    11. Re:It's about time by good+soldier+svejk · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Driessen is a paid oil industry lobbyist who professionally promotes junk science through industry funded think tanks

      "Driessen has also written about the role that think tanks can play in helping corporations achieve their objectives. Such outlets "can provide research, present credible independent voices on a host of issues, indirectly influence opinion and political leaders, and promote responsible social and economic agendas," he advised companies in a 2001 essay published in Capital PR News. "They have extensive networks among scholars, academics, scientists, journalists, community leaders and politicians.... You will be amazed at how much they do with so little."

      --
      It is cowardly, and a betrayal of whatever it means to be a Jew, to act as a white man

      -James Baldwin
    12. Re:It's about time by nuzak · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      > Now I'm curious how long it will be before the same people start realizing that they have been duped about global warming

      Some believe global warming is a natural process, that we're merely still coming out of the last ice age. There's room for some debate on the subject. Only the flat-earthers and liars with vested interests actually deny it's happening at all. Forget the scientific theory -- the deniers don't even have the data on their side.

      --
      Done with slashdot, done with nerds, getting a life.
    13. Re:It's about time by StankyG · · Score: 1

      Global warming is real; read the papers, dig a little. So are there millions who are dying from hunger. Nuclear power is an reasonable option only in the face of the overwhelming evidence of global warming and the unknown consequences of it. We still can't decide what to do with the waste in this country, except to dump it on Yucca Mountain. Nuclear isn't a great solution; it's only because our politicians are not statesmen, that our leaders will not be brave and bold and do what obviously needs to be done, that nuclear energy has once again become an option.

      --
      -STankyG
      People are always blaming their circumstances for what they are. I don't believe in circumstances...
    14. Re:It's about time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Yeah, I can't wait for the republicans to announce how there were no WMDs in Iraq(or very little, which kills the M in the middle, HA! Just cuz it's a chemical weapon does not make it a WMD!). You know, what 50% of the nation already knew.

      It's amazing how "50% of the nation already knew" without ever setting foot in Iraq or, say, Syria. They "knew" when the CIA didn't even know.

      I wonder what the response will be when it finally comes to light that large quantities of anthrax and nerve gas was hidden before the invasion, either in Iraq or elsewhere. I'd guess that information will surface between now and the '08 presidential elections.

      Keep an eye on the translated intercepted communications before the war. They're being made available online. :-)

    15. Re:It's about time by the+argonaut · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Does he also lay out how multi-national corporations and their government cronies are poisoning the environment in third world countries, exploiting their labor and natural resources, and keeping their living standards low with their misguided policies? Oh wait, he probably wouldn't mention that, seeing as how he's a tool for people like this. I'm sorry your mind was so malleable that it could be changed by the rantings of this Randian nut job.

      --
      fuck you.
    16. Re:It's about time by Rei · · Score: 1

      I disagree. Read about Brown's Ferry. Here's Fermi. Ginna wass more minor, but variants of it have been repeated numerous times. There are plenty of other major nuclear power accidents to mention, however. Want more? Start at SL-1, which impaled an operator with a control rod when it exploded and fried two other people, leaving a heavily irradiated hulk behind for cleanup.

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    17. Re:It's about time by caffeination · · Score: 1

      Brown's Ferry was a fire - nothing compared to a meltdown. But yes, there are nastier examples, SL-1 being one of them. You left out the coolest detail - "pinned to the ceiling". Now that's what I call REAL ULTIMATE POWER!

    18. Re:It's about time by Rei · · Score: 1

      Hmm, it snipped the Brown's Ferry link. Lets try again.

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    19. Re:It's about time by Dasher42 · · Score: 1

      And what do the "poor" people of the world live in if not the environment? More suburbs?

    20. Re:It's about time by Stephen+Samuel · · Score: 2, Insightful
      It's nice to see some greens finally start accepting what has been obvious to some of us for 30 or 40 years.

      "Some greens" have always seen Nuclear power as a good idea (check my domain name). There's been a low-level dispute about whether or not the upsides of nuclear power exceed it's downsides.

      As the disasterous implications of global warming have loomed ever larger, the downsides of nuclear power have started to loose their bite.

      The 'badness' of Nuclear power has always been one of preference (or lack thereof), that has gotten, for some, to the point of dogma. It started as a 'mom and apple pie' hysteric fear -- in the times of fallout and bomb shelters and relatively fresh pictures of the horrors of Hiroshima and Nagaski, where "nuclear" was most often coupled with "weapons". It was all to easy to mount a convincing attack on the problems of nuclear power, since the problems were really there, and the hysteric fear of atomic weapons was enough to flip what should have been a practical argument into "oooh, nukes! keep them away from me".

      There was also the unspoken background that many US power plants were actually breeder nuclear reactors that were used as much to help manufacture weaponry as to generate power (( and weren't necessarily all to good at the latter, from some conversations that I've had with people who lived near them )).
      The downsides of nuclear power have not gone away... it's just starting to look more and more like the lesser of two evils.

      summary: anti-nuke was always a policy decision, not a scientific theory.

      Global warming, on the other hand is a scientific theory that has been slowly worked it's way from 'interesting flake idea' to 'pretty much a proven fact' over the space of about 30+ years. There is roughly zero probability of a "Perry Mason Moment(tm)" where 10,000 scientists bread down on the stand and admit that it was all just an elaborate hoax.

      --
      Free Software: Like love, it grows best when given away.
    21. Re:It's about time by Myrmidon10 · · Score: 1

      But there are no "modern" nuke reactors in the US. There haven't been any new ones since 3 Mile Island. All those "old" reactors that eco-freaks were worried about are the ones still going today (very safely). The Greenpeace crowd shot their own cause in the foot by going after an irrationaly emotional fear that wasn't supported by any data. As a result we've been through nearly 3 decades of nuclear energy stagnation. What would the % Energy Production by Source picture look like today if that wasn't the case? How many billions of tons LESS CO2 would we have been saved from today if we weren't cowed by their "nuclear technology is evil" propaganda?

      Talk about evironmental disaster. I would bet that if they hadn't gone after nuclear power generation that they would have saved more CO2 production than ANY environmental compaign they have had since! If they hadn't deomonized the technology, nuclear energy could have been their crown jewel of envirnomental success in terms of CO2 production.

    22. Re:It's about time by Rei · · Score: 1

      Brown's Ferry, had it not been for an improved pumping system, would have easily melted down. The problem there was much worse than that which led to the Three Mile Island disaster; they just dealt with it better.

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    23. Re:It's about time by langelgjm · · Score: 1

      The Wikipedia article on the Brown's Ferry doesn't mention that any radiation was released from the incident, just that the unit was shut down after a fire was started by a worker searching for air leaks with a candle.

      --
      "Anyone who [rips a CD] is probably engaging in copyright infringement." - David O. Carson
    24. Re:It's about time by dantheman82 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sorry, your circumstantial ad hominem argument against Driessen should have never received any mod points. But, if Mother Jones (who undoubtedly is seen by the world as an authoritative source) said so, then it must be true. Well, I don't want to be dismissive of them either, but see for yourself as to their bias (or lack thereof) and journalistic credentials...as that is in fact substantial grounds for dismissing their rhetoric.

      --
      This sig donated to Pater. Long live /.
    25. Re:It's about time by TheKidWho · · Score: 1

      Ohh Really? Tell me mister, what is this bold faced plan of yours that our politicans are supposed to implement? Banning of all electricity? Complete switch to wind power(lol!)?

    26. Re:It's about time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The solution is not exclusively nuclear however. The solution is a combination of nuclear, wind, hydro, and solar. I predict that wind, hydro, and solar technology will eventually become so efficient that nuclear won't even be necessary. This may not happen within our lifetimes, but it will happen. While nuclear technology is much the same as it was 30 years ago, other alternative energy sources have come a long way. What we have today is just the tip of the iceberg.

    27. Re:It's about time by Myrmidon10 · · Score: 1

      Actually it has more to do with surviving in a hostile environment. Malaria kills millions and especially children under 5. When children have such a high probability of passing in the first few years of life, you tend to have more children. How would you like to survive drought, famine, and disease in a grass hut infested with malaria carrying mosquitos and then raise a family and keep them your defenseless children alive longer than 5 years? When you don't have to fend off such crippling disease, starvation, etc you could probably find the time to work, educate yourself, and live in something better than a grass hut.

      I don't think you have any comprehension on this. The toll from malaria on a society is HORRENDOUS

      http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2001/08/01080 6074841.htm
      http://junkscience.com/malaria_cost.htm

    28. Re:It's about time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know, if you really wanted to make this argument in some convincing way, you'd have to find some better source than Mother Jones.

    29. Re:It's about time by Rei · · Score: 1

      Bleh, that should be "improvised", not "improved". :P

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    30. Re:It's about time by Flame0001 · · Score: 1

      Except the Catch-22 of using this deterrent is that Earth becomes an endangered planet.

      --
      Slashdot, the only place where intellectuals can act like idiots... and still sound intellectual.
    31. Re:It's about time by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      Actually, the last Peacekeeper MX was decommissioned in September 2005, and the rocket bodies are being converted to satellite launchers. The remaining Minutemen missiles are having their older warheads replaced with safer, more accurate warheads from the Peacekeepers, though only one warhead is going in each missile to replace the MIRV setup (three each, IIRC) that was there before. In addition, a couple of wings of Minutement were decommissioned, with some of the missiles going to other wings, but a number of them decommissioned. The majority of the nuclear deterrent remains with the Navy's boomers.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    32. Re:It's about time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      safe nuclear power is an oxymoron, nuff said

    33. Re:It's about time by Savantissimo · · Score: 1

      As far as public health is concerned, TMI was a non-event. Nor has any nuclear power plant had an accident that resulted in casualties that were even comparable to monthly deaths from automobile wrecks. The Chernyobl deaths were the result of fire, which cannot occur in a properly designed plant. Even a Chernyobl-style plant's potential danger pales in comparison to many chemical plants. The supposedly uninhabitable area near Chernyobl is actually ecologically thriving compared to when it was inhabited. Virtually all of that area is actually inhabitable, although often not usable for agriculture due to the potential for concentrating certain isotopes in food.

      The enhanced backround radiation near Chernyobl is lower than the natural radiation level in some places such as Ramsar, Iran, and the hormesis effect makes it likely that people living near Chernyobl will actually be healthier than they otherwise would have been.

      --
      "Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
    34. Re:It's about time by Stephen+Samuel · · Score: 1
      No one has died of a radiation-related accident in the history of the U.S. civilian nuclear reactor program.

      Does infant mortality and miscarriages count? Child deaths and miscarriages apparently spiked around TMI after the accident there. -- Granted, it's not as dramatic as Homer's kid choking on a radioactive nugget, but the numbers were very statistically significant.

      In other words, you don't have to go as far as wood river.

      --
      Free Software: Like love, it grows best when given away.
    35. Re:It's about time by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Misguided policies? Where to begin.

      * American farm subsidies that keep millions unemployed.
      * A laundry list of other subsidies and tariffs that lock out foreign goods.
      * Organizations like the IMF that tie development loans to absurd and punitive measures, forcing developing countries to abandon effective poverty prevention programs in the name of "smaller government", while making stupid loans that may as well be sent straight to the Caymans.
      * Only supporting abstinence-only AIDS prevention.
      * Invading countries that don't pose any threat to us.

      Frankly, I don't see how Greenpeace--with a global budget of about $150M a year--can do nearly as much damage as any one of dozens of multinational corporations, much less the federal government.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    36. Re:It's about time by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 1

      He lays out how environmental movements are holding back development in the third world (keeping poor people's living standards low) with their misguided policies.

      Social-activist types are always viciously opposed to the only credible means of achieving thier goals. It's a defining characteristic. It kind of makes me wonder what their true goals actually are.

    37. Re:It's about time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nice troll! You even got the flat-earthers to mod you up insightful.

    38. Re:It's about time by SpacePunk · · Score: 1

      Using the term 'nuclear waste' is a bit dishonest. People think it's nothing but 'glowing stuff' when in reality it's mostly things like contaminated items which is low level.

    39. Re:It's about time by Julian+Morrison · · Score: 1

      One thing I like about /. posts like this is that all the bugs crawl out of the woodwork, where I can swat them with the "foe" bat. Kersplut!

      Oh and by the way, to a pro-capitalist like me, your little quote reads like the think tanks are heroes, the last respite of a corporation which wants its views to be heard on the merits. Interesting what a change of perspective does, hmm?

    40. Re:It's about time by colmore · · Score: 1

      Regarding us greens coming around on Nuclear power: I feel the same way about nuclear power as I always have, only now it's become obvious that opposing nuclear is equivalent to supporting coal. I'm not comfortable with large scale nuclear construction, as it might invest us in a technology that we'd want to be rid of in just a few decades, as new power generation technologies become available.

      Regarding the boy who cried wolf problem of 70s environmentalism. The whole movement of and culture of environmentalism was in its youth in the 70s. Science wasn't always given due dilligence. I'm not a climatologist, but through circumstance and an odd set of family connections, I've happened across a lot of them (my dad works in the agricultural end of research bioscience, they're kind of overlapping worlds)

      Good old boy, grew up-on-the-farm-in-Georgia red-voting professors of climatology have told me (I usually ask) that they believe in global warming. The data linking average temperature and CO2 content of the atmosphere is ironclad. There's zero doubt that carbon has been entering the atmosphere from outside of the natural cycle We've converted a geologically measurable percentage of the crust's locked carbon into gas -- it's a pretty major feat if you look at the last 200 years fuel consumption as an engineering project.

      There's very little doubt that global warming is happening, that it's happening because of carbon, and that it's happening because of human fuel use. Whether depletion of carbon consumers has been a factor is debated -- there's evidence that there's been an ocean algae population explosion in response to deforestation.

      The questions are what effects will global warming have, how rapidly will it happen, and can the trend be reversed? There's a lot of debate there, but among the research community the basic fact of carbon emission related global warming is about as debated as evolution is among biologists -- very little.

      I'd be wary of discounting global warming just because you disagree with the messengers' political biases. Remember the moral of The Boy who Cried Wolf: that town got eaten by wolves.

      --
      In Capitalist America, bank robs you!
    41. Re:It's about time by drivekiller · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately this guy's day job is lobbying for the folks that destroy the environment -- that's right Greenspirit Technologies Ltd. is making money lobbying for the interests of energy companies and chemical manufacturers. He couldn't possibly be biased could he? http://www.greenspiritstrategies.com/F6.cfm

      As for the safety of nuclear energy... I consider our stellar success in keeping chemical contaminants out of the water supply, and raw sewage out of the ocean off of the coast of Southern California, as indicators that it ain't likely that nuclear energy will be safely deployed.

      Uhm, and then we could move on to the Bush administration's desire to be producing a few hundred new nukes a year as another good reason to just say no to nuclear energy.

    42. Re:It's about time by Rei · · Score: 1

      Hormesis in radiation is rejected by the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP), its U.S. counterpart, the National Council on Radiation Protection and Measurements (NCRP), the National Research Council Committees on the Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation (the BEIR Committees), and the U.S. regulatory agencies.

      As for Chernobyl casualties, Wikipedia mentions several reports - the oft cited (and criticized) UN study of only 56 counted deaths, but others like the WHO study that examined 72,000 out of 600,000 liquidators and found 212 dead due to it, and the IPPNW study that found thousands. I agree with the critics of the UN study; some of its claims are just outright batty (like the claim that 99% of those with thyroid cancer will survive).

      The chernobyl deaths were not due to fire. The immediate deaths were due to a steam explosion. The rest were due to radiation.

      Your "ecologically thriving" area is exposing animals to an average of 2.4 mGy/d. Ramsar's average dose to residents is 0.19mGy/d.

      --
      "This may be presumptuous..." "That's my favorite kind of 'This'."
    43. Re:It's about time by Decaff · · Score: 1

      Now I'm curious how long it will be before the same people start realizing that they have been duped about global warming -- by the same people who duped us about the "coming Ice Age"

      You weren't duped. There is a coming Ice Age (in fact, we are already in one - this is just an interglacial period). What global warming is likely to do is to make things very uncomfortable for millions of people before the next glacial period.

      and hundreds of millions of people supposedly dying of hunger from overpopulation in the '70s.

      Thanks to China limiting its population, and advances in crop breeding, that did not happen, but it was certainly a possibility.

    44. Re:It's about time by rseuhs · · Score: 1
      So the living standard would rise from itself and is kept artificially low by the evil imperialists? (did I summarize your theory correctly?) And the population doubling every 20 years has nothing to do with it?

      If the US had procreated as much as a typical African country in the last century, there would be now about 1.2 billion people here - and that's without any immigration.

      P.S.: Actually the poorest countries are typically those with are not touched by "multi-national corporations" at all - like Chad, Ethiopia, etc. Interesting, eh? Isn't it also interesting that Ethiopia was only a colony for less than 10 years, yet it's one of the poorest countries on earth, while Singapore was a colony for over hundred years and is rich?

    45. Re:It's about time by objwiz · · Score: 1
      It's nice to see some greens finally start accepting what has been obvious to some of us for 30 or 40 years. Now I'm curious how long it will be before the same people start realizing that they have been duped about global warming -- by the same people who duped us about the "coming Ice Age" and hundreds of millions of people supposedly dying of hunger from overpopulation in the '70s. ....


      Amen dude.

      If the mainstream green movement can embrace nuclear energy as a viable alternative to fossil fuels, I will feel more compelled to listen to their arugments and more willing to consider their view points. I have, even if incorrectly, discounted much of the green movement because of their refusal to accept the use of via alternatives such as nuclear power. I always had this impression that their only alternative to using fossil fuels was living in tents.

      I agree that we are experiencing climate change. I am not convinced it is man made. I know thats the big debate.
    46. Re:It's about time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, because Mother Jones has no credibility. He probably should have cited the New York Post or Insight.

    47. Re:It's about time by BeanThere · · Score: 1

      Don't you just love inductive fallacies. "Predictions in the past were false. Therefore future predictions are also false."

    48. Re:It's about time by pclminion · · Score: 1
      The logic behind using safe forms of nuclear power has been clear for a long, long time. It's nice to see some greens finally start accepting what has been obvious to some of us for 30 or 40 years.

      While I agree that the time for clean nuclear energy is now, I do not agree that this has been obvious for 40 years. Have you forgotten all of these incidents?

      Modern nuclear reactor designs are many times safer than those of the past. Yes, we should build them to relieve our dependence on fossil fuel sources. But to suggest that back in the 50's and 60's we should have been building as many plants as possible, when there clearly was such a propensity for terrible accidents, is crazy, IMHO. Nuclear power WAS dirty and unsafe.

    49. Re:It's about time by ccp · · Score: 1

      There is roughly zero probability of a "Perry Mason Moment(tm)" where 10,000 scientists bread down on the stand and admit that it was all just an elaborate hoax.

      Loved that! (chuckles)

      Cheers,
      CC

    50. Re:It's about time by oliverks · · Score: 1

      I have no problem if someone wants to build a nuclear reactor. I do have a problem as soon as my tax dollars start getting consumed on reactors or cleaning up after the reactors.

      You can argue that many tax dollars go to paying for supporting the oil industry, not only through tax breaks but also the large military to keep "access" to "our" oil. That's wrong too.

      My guess is, if the market space actually was allowed to function, oil would go up in price, no nuclear power plants would be built, and folks would quickly start figuring out clever ways of using energy and finding new sources.

    51. Re:It's about time by sfjoe · · Score: 1

      The logic behind using safe forms of nuclear power has been clear for a long, long time.

      The real problem lies in determining what is "safe". The regulations for safe nuclear power will be written by the same sorts of people who let Enron write US energy policy. Can the US Congress, as a wholly-owned subsidiary of corporate interests, be trusted to enact legislation that might negatively impact the earnings of GE? Are you willing to bet your life on it?

      --
      It's simple: I demand prosecution for torture.
    52. Re:It's about time by sploxx · · Score: 1

      Why people such as Lester Brown and Paul Erlich are given any credibility is beyond logic.

      I, too, don't understand this in the case of Paul Erlich. Honestly :)

    53. Re:It's about time by Dastardly · · Score: 1

      Actually, as per the article waste is only a big problem when you can't recycle it to make more fuel. Doing so cuts down the amount of "waste" dramatically.

      Just to be clear. It cuts down the waste to energy ratio. As you should end up with pretty much the same amount of waste as fuel. Even a fission reactions only converts a tiny bit of mass to energy, so that should not be a significant factor. You just get about 100x more energy out of a given amount of fuel.

    54. Re:It's about time by elrous0 · · Score: 1
      millions of people supposedly dying of hunger from overpopulation in the '70s.

      Dammit! That soylent green looked so tasty too...

      Seriously, has anyone ever met an environmentalist who WASN'T screaming "The sky is falling!!!" Those guys could put any millenialist "The End is Nigh, REPENT!!" religious nutball to shame.

      I'll take them seriously when they stop acting like fanatics and lose those goofy goatees.

      -Eric

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    55. Re:It's about time by Savantissimo · · Score: 1
      Interesting info.
      To clarify, most of the the radioisotope dispersal both inside and outside the plant was due to fire - other types of reactors would not disperse the material that way, and would not require firefighters to be put at risk to contain fire and associated radiation dispersal. I also wonder how statistically significant 212 out of 72,000 is compared to a control group and what the dose / risk curve looks like.
      Even the very high 2.4 mGy/d of animals at Cherynobl is not at all that unhealthy if it's low-Q such as x- or gamma rather than alpha. The Luckey paper below has a reference finding positive effects on rat fertility and litters even after 12 generations at 20mGy/d. Most of the abandoned area has lower doses and a large part of the animal dose can be avoided by humans by eating food grown elsewhere.

      Regarding the ICRP/NCRP et al. adherence to the linear no-threshold model, Dr. Rockwell put it well:
      It seems that money we call wasted on needless studies and "decontamination" of harmless levels of radiation is in fact someone else's income. A great deal of money is being made from the fear of radiation, and reputations are built on studying, remediating and regulating it. Physicist John Cameron quotes Tolstoy in this connection:
      I know that most men, even those who are clever and capable of understanding the most difficult scientific, mathematical or philosophical problems, can seldom discern even the most obvious truth if it be such as obliges them to admit the falsity of conclusions they have formed perhaps with much difficulty-conclusions of which they are proud, which they have taught to others, and on which they have built their lives.


      While the strength of the evidence for beneficial radiation hormesis can certainly be argued, it has to be said that the evidence for the alleged low dose* risks in properly controlled studies is very, very thin, and if it exists at all, its effect size is proven to be tiny.

      Here is a better paper than the ones in my previous post.on the evidence for radiation hormesis: Radiation Hormesis Overview by T. D. Luckey
      Some very large and well controlled studies seem to have shown statistically significant and large positive health effects.

      And another prominent radiation scientist speaks against the linear no-threshold risk model:
      a href="http://www.sepp.org/NewSEPP/case_for_nuclear _radiation.htm"WHO WILL SPEAK FOR TRUTH? The Case of Nuclear Radiation by Dr. Theodore Rockwell

      *(by "low dose" I mean roughly 100 mSv/yr = 100mGy of x or gamma = 10 rem = ~10x avg. airline crew member = ~30x avg. background = 2x the current limit for US radiation workers = 1/10th the limit for Soviet radworkers)
      --
      "Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
  2. Wow by RockModeNick · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    and I was wrong about never trying for a first post!

    1. Re:Wow by RockModeNick · · Score: 1

      Trying and failing, that is. Of course, I'm glad to hear this, because having had the brookhaven labs reactor in my backyard all my life, I'm not in the least bit worried about reactors. They are safe to operate, and the wastes the produce, while terrible, are containable.

  3. Its pronounced nukular. by Cowclops · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I've always said that nuclear is the way to go... while there are implications in the extreme long term as far as what you do with the wastes, there are no blaring short term problems like running out of coal and oil or spewing waste directly into the air.

    1. Re:Its pronounced nukular. by temojen · · Score: 1

      Unless you count highly toxic (and slightly radioactive) mine tailings and enrichment plant by-products. And what to do with old reactor parts that have been exposed to neutron flux for 30 years.

    2. Re:Its pronounced nukular. by Zerbs · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't the uranium ore radioactive to begin with when it's dug out of the ground? The difference is it has been concentrated for use as nuclear fuel in the reactor. Why can't they find a way to re-dilute the end products?

      --
      "22 astronauts were born in Ohio. What is it about your state that makes people want to flee the Earth?" Stephen Colbert
    3. Re:Its pronounced nukular. by Nef · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Those parts that are up to snuff (e.g. negligible hardening and change in NDT) should be refurbed/reused. Those that are not could be melted down, including a process to remove activated isotopes in the process, and re-used to create new parts!

    4. Re:Its pronounced nukular. by AdmiralWeirdbeard · · Score: 1

      There are, as a matter of fact, dire short-term consequences, ecologically speaking, they just dont get as much attention as shit blowing up, or the ice caps melting.
      Uranium mining is one of the more polluting forms of mining in the world. The tailings from Uranium mining are just about as radioactive as the or itself. Not enough to kill you just chillin next to it, but enough to bioaccumulate in fish in lakes and rivers and the ocean, and enough to enter the food-chain through said fish.
      Is this a good enough reason to not be using nuclear power? No. But to ignore the existence of a whole axis of pollution from something leaves a key factor out of the equation.
      People like to talk about Nuclear power as if once the yucca mountain site is set we've got negative-free nuclear power for life. Like any other system of power production, you have to look at what it takes to procure the raw materials to run the plants as well as the energy deficit incurred both getting said raw materials and in the construction of the plant. I.E. how long will a nuclear power plant have to run before it has produced the energy that went into its construction?

      Just because nuclear power doesnt immediately produce any greenhouse gasses doesnt by any means make it a "green option." have a little more common sense.

      --
      Come read my stupid blagablog. Rants and Giggles
    5. Re:Its pronounced nukular. by The+Snowman · · Score: 1

      Uranium ore is radioactive, but generally safe enough to handle with bare hands as long as you don't do it for a living. Anyway, decontamination is often very difficult. The most effective way to decontaminate is time. However, some of these components have been exposed for a very long time and have tons of radiation on them, and it would take more than the average human lifetime to decontaminate that way. I suppose some sort of smelting procedure would work, but it would be a huge pain in the ass. You're better off with a Yucca Mountain type of facility where you can just bury your waste and all your contaminated reactor parts.

      --
      24 beers in a case, 24 hours in a day. Coincidence? I think not!
    6. Re:Its pronounced nukular. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You have a couple of misunderstandings going here.

      The first is that uranium ore isn't harmless while still in the ground. If you live somewhere rich in uranium, even though it's all mixed up in the soil, you have to deal with radon gas in cellars and basements.

      Second, they aren't so much "concentrating" it as enriching it.

      Uranium Fuel Production

      It's a matter of sorting the less stable atoms out from among the more stable ones. Once you have the unstable ones all mixed up together, it's a nasty and dangerous business to try to mix in stable ones again and make it safer. If you mix in the wrong things, you end up slowing the reaction in just the way that will make the material worse... or even explosive.

      The end products of nuclear power aren't uranium at all, they're much more unpleasant. Many of them don't occur naturally.

      The main point is, you can't use your chemical intuition to estimate how nuclear products work.

    7. Re:Its pronounced nukular. by g0at · · Score: 1

      Are you going for a Troll/Flamebait on the subject line, or an Insightful on the content? :)

      -b

  4. It took 30 years... by C-Diddy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...for this "progressive" voice to come around to nuclear power. Heck, if it's good enough for socialist France, why not here in the US?

    --
    "Me fail English? That's unpossible." - Ralph
    1. Re:It took 30 years... by flink · · Score: 1

      Heck, if it's good enough for socialist France, why not here in the US?

      I wouldn't say that Socialism and enviromentalism are necessarly linked. I mean the Soviets weren't exactly green were they? ;-)

    2. Re:It took 30 years... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The soviets weren't socialist either, ever since Stalin came to power. The closest country to socialism was Yugoslavia. And the soviets didn't like them much.

    3. Re:It took 30 years... by tigersha · · Score: 1

      The whole red-green thing is an interesting issue though. A problem with environimentalist orgs even the very scientific ones are that they tend to get taken over by very leftwing types. I have worked at one for 10 years and seen this. I cannot quite say why but it has to do with a similar mentality of us-vs-them and needing an issue to use to live out a persecution complex.

      --
      The dangers of excessive individualism are nothing compared to the oppressiveness of excessive collectivism
  5. Wrong disaster by ballpoint · · Score: 1

    Global warming is not the pending disaster, energy shortage is.

    --
    Flourescent (adj): smelling like ground wheat.
    1. Re:Wrong disaster by Total_Wimp · · Score: 5, Informative

      Energy shortage is no more a disaster than most other shortages, provided you have an economy based on supply and demand.

      Look at water. Many people have claimed that there would be water shortages in the California. Everyone should conserve water because we're running out. Now look in the Middle East. People have no problem paying for desalination plants. But you never hear them talk about water conservation in the Mid East, because who on Earth would waste such an expensive resource as water? California would find it has plenty of water if people have to pay what water is worth.

      The reason we face energy shortages has nothing to do with the fact that we're running out. It has to do with the fact that we waste it. When the price gets high enough, provided of course that the government lets it get high, then you'll find out people get quite resourceful about conservation. You'll also find that there is plenty of energy to do the things we must.

      TW

    2. Re:Wrong disaster by ClamIAm · · Score: 1

      A shortage of cheap energy cannot destroy a bunch of earth's species. Global warming could.

    3. Re:Wrong disaster by buzzn · · Score: 1

      The reason why they have desalination plants in the Middle East is that (1) they don't have much fresh water and (2) they have enormous amounts of fossil fuel that they can use to pay for and power the desalination plants. They waste plenty of water.

      In California, people pay for their water. Agriculture, however, pays very little.

      --
      Join the window installer's union, where prosperity is a brick throw away!
    4. Re:Wrong disaster by TheKidWho · · Score: 1

      A bunch of Earth's species is destroyed every year.

    5. Re:Wrong disaster by smug_lisp_weenie · · Score: 1

      > When the price gets high enough...

      I think this have proven true in the past but is not guaranteed as a fact- It may be possible that no matter how ingenious humans are, there is simply no reasonable alternative for a portable fuel source (i.e. usable in vehicles) that can entirely replace the demand for gasoline, even at a higher price...

      The supply/demand model always assumes that there is another supply "out there somewhere" just waiting to be tapped at a higher price- We have never had a case of a critical global, unreplaceable resource that simply becomes unsuppliable- That is the REAL danger of the peak oil crisis.

      A law like "supply and demand" is great most of the time, but some knowledgeable people with good arguments seem to feel this may be the first exception that proves the rule...

      ...let's hope this isn't the case...

    6. Re:Wrong disaster by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      Alternative oil sources (SASOL, Oil Shale) have been profitable for a while now due to rising oil costs. My father has dealings with some people in SASOL. They aren't going crazy building factories because they would lose their shirts if the price of oil fell.

      So people in the oil industry don't believe in peak oil... but even if it's true, then you'll slowly see alternative sources coming online, once the price of oil rises high enough for them to turn a tidy profit.

    7. Re:Wrong disaster by PeelBoy · · Score: 1

      Waste? Oh please. You've obviously never been to Las Vegas.

    8. Re:Wrong disaster by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Earth would waste such an expensive resource as water

      Tell that to the Iraqis I knew that would constantly wash their feet with bottled water instead of the non-potable water from the hose!

    9. Re:Wrong disaster by patternjuggler · · Score: 1

      The reason we face energy shortages has nothing to do with the fact that we're running out. It has to do with the fact that we waste it. When the price gets high enough, provided of course that the government lets it get high, then you'll find out people get quite resourceful about conservation. You'll also find that there is plenty of energy to do the things we must.

      This 'people do stuff to respond to shortages' argument doesn't really say anything. Of course people can handle shortages. Civilization goes on, sure. But is the sort of society that take extreme measures to conserves energy because it has to preferable to the one with cheap and plentiful power? No it isn't. The thing about people responding to shortages is that they respond a lot better when they see them coming, and take steps to prepare and do so much that there isn't a shortage at all because they got started early enough to solve the problem rather than just responding in the moment to increasing prices.

    10. Re:Wrong disaster by ClamIAm · · Score: 1

      And is it due to a lack of cheap energy? I didn't think so.

    11. Re:Wrong disaster by rseuhs · · Score: 1
      Actually people in the oil industry believe very much in peak oil, they just don't know what to do about it.

      Most people just don't understand what Peak Oil really means. It does not mean that we will "run out" of oil, for the man in the street it simply means that oil will become a lot, lot more expensive than it is today - and will become even more expensive in time.

      Because almost all products (including food) are dependent on oil, almost all products will become more expensive. However, your contribution at your job won't get worth more, so it means that you can buy a lot less stuff than before.

      In other words a massively eroding living standard.

    12. Re:Wrong disaster by JollyFinn · · Score: 1
      I think this have proven true in the past but is not guaranteed as a fact- It may be possible that no matter how ingenious humans are, there is simply no reasonable alternative for a portable fuel source (i.e. usable in vehicles) that can entirely replace the demand for gasoline, even at a higher price...

      Lets first talk about the original needs. In dense cities there is no point of driving cars instead of having public transports, and electric vans for moving stuff around. What about country side? The real question isn't about delivering electricity since its delivered pretty much everywhere, the real problem now is getting the electricity to car, which shouldn't be a problem actually. Its quite simple automate. However making the transition is problem since its chicken and egg problem.

      The supply/demand model always assumes that there is another supply "out there somewhere" just waiting to be tapped at a higher price- We have never had a case of a critical global, unreplaceable resource that simply becomes unsuppliable- That is the REAL danger of the peak oil crisis.

      There is plenty of uranium. With breeder reactors and fuel reprocessing we can use over 99% of uranium that gets wasted by not using breeders and recycling fuel. Also uranium is common enough in earth crust. Actually there is over 10^13 tons of uranium in the top 10km of the crust. While nuclear power generation would consume it under ton per year, with FULL reprocessing/and breeders for a 1000MW plant. That gives us 8Billion kWh per ton of uranium. Current world electric production from fossilfuels is handled with 1000times that. If we would replace gasoline with nuclear produced electricity, The amount needed would increase by 10% . Then we could assume that worlds energy consumption could increase by 890% with improving livingstandards in thirdworld countries over next centuries. Then its 10^5 tons per year. With 10^13 tons of uranium would end in 10^7 years. And by then we probably would have perfected fusion for which we have huge reserves in our oceans ,or could import the uranium from asteroids if fusion power is still 50 year in the future ;)

      So yes, there exists uranium. But people mine it from the most economical places right now, and mining companies aren't even active in looking for additional uranium reserves since they already have enough reserves for their perspective of long time.

      --
      Emacs is good operating system, but it has one flaw: Its text editor could be better.
    13. Re:Wrong disaster by TheKidWho · · Score: 1

      Is it due to global warming? I don't think so.

    14. Re:Wrong disaster by ClamIAm · · Score: 1

      Let's see some proof, troll. Oh wait, a simple Google search will prove you wrong.

    15. Re:Wrong disaster by TheKidWho · · Score: 1

      Ok...... Im talking pre global warming here. Species have been dying every year. It happens... Big Woop.

  6. With the technology of 30 years ago... by rthille · · Score: 2, Insightful

    He was probably right to oppose nuclear power. Certainly we have better technology today to make safer nuclear power. Again, nuclear power will never be completely safe, but neither is wind, hydro, nor coal. Conservation, both thru individual action and thru technology are probably the safest 'forms of power', but they would never be enough.
    It is time to bring nuclear power back into the discourse about our energy needs, but I'm not sure it's time to start building plants as fast as we can either...

    --
    Awesome furniture, accessories and cabinetry in Santa Rosa, CA: http://humanity-home.com/
    1. Re:With the technology of 30 years ago... by TemporalBeing · · Score: 3, Insightful
      He was probably right to oppose nuclear power. Certainly we have better technology today to make safer nuclear power. Again, nuclear power will never be completely safe, but neither is wind, hydro, nor coal. Conservation, both thru individual action and thru technology are probably the safest 'forms of power', but they would never be enough.
      Actually, if you RTFA'd you'd notice that he scolds himself for being against nuclear power 30 years ago and cites how the safety aspects of the US nuclear power facilities - only major incident in US nuclear power history is PA's Three-Mile Island, which - as he states was a success, not a failure, since it completely contained the incident as it was designed to do.

      Why does he scold himself? Because, as he says in the article, the techology could be a lot further along if it was allowed to develop instead of being put on the side-burner for nearly 30 years where it got little development, at least in the US markets.

      From the article, I'm sure he'd agree that we need to get underway with starting to build new nuclear plants now.
      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
    2. Re:With the technology of 30 years ago... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And instead of building non-standard nuclear power plants, each designed for a specific location; come up with a modularized solution.

      Oh, like pebble-bed reactors.

    3. Re:With the technology of 30 years ago... by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

      Today's latest nuclear reactor designs are certainly vastly safer--the so-called pebble-bed reactor is designed that even if you cut off the coolant flow the reactor gracefully shuts down with none of the dangers of a nuclear fuel meltdown or explosion.

      People forget that the Chernobyl reactor was a disaster waiting to happen, since 1) there was NO containment structure and 2) the reactor design itself was extremely vulnerable to fire and explosion, since it was based on the operating design of the Windscale nuclear reactor that ignited in 1957 and caused a substantial radioactive output. You'd think with the KGB intelligence of Western technology the Soviets would have figured out why the Chernobyl reactor design was too dangerous to operate, but....

  7. Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by djh101010 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I've been an environmentalist all my life; planted close to 10,000 trees, maintain habitat for the critters, that sort of thing. No small expense or effort. I consider myself to be more of an environmentalist than some bozo with a "save the (whatever)" pin that only gets angry about things and doesn't actually do anything to improve the situation.

    That said, I'm puzzled at the attitude the submitter apparently has, in that he seems to be describing environmentalists, and pro-nuke-power people, as two separate groups. To me, nuke is an obvious choice. If you need no other explaination, see how the anti-nuke people resort to blatant lies and unrealistic comparisons in order to get people to _feel_ that it's bad. The pro-nuke side goes with science so people _think_ about, and _understand_ the issues.

    My point, I guess, is that this isn't surprising or new, some guy who left Greenpeace when it diverted from his POV is just saying what so many other environmentalists have known for decades. I'm not sure this is news, other than that whoever this guy is, is saying it.

    1. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are more trees now in North America than there were when Columbus landed in 1492. (source: Cato institute)

      So why are you planting trees again?

    2. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by ScentCone · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm not sure this is news, other than that whoever this guy is, is saying it.

      The real news, if you RTFA, is that his former green bretheren still treat him like a pariah for... being rational.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    3. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by bnenning · · Score: 4, Insightful

      To me, nuke is an obvious choice.

      That's because you're a rational environmentalist who wants to actually protect the environment, as opposed to the utopians who want to Change the World.

      --
      How to solve most of our problems: 1.Lots of nuclear plants. 2.Cure aging.
    4. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by EntropyXP · · Score: 0

      This comment above is the sole reason I can't freakin stand the pedantic losers that troll slashdot. OMFG! Get a life you pathetic moron. As for the guy plants all the trees... keep em' coming, Johny Appleseed. I just wish that Johny Appleseed had really been named Johny Marijuanaseed!

      --
      "No one will really be free until nerd persecution ends."
    5. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For one, because the CATO institute is not really a trustworthy source about any kind of information.

    6. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by phlegmofdiscontent · · Score: 1

      I think the mistake most people make is that every faction has sub-factions which have sub-sub-factions. Not all environmentalists are anti-nuke. Not all animal rights activists are vegan or vegetarian, not all Republicans are bible-thumpers. The list goes on.

    7. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful
      There are more trees now in North America than there were when Columbus landed in 1492. (source: Cato institute)

      That's great, as long as you assume that a 10-year-old scraggly pine tree growing on tree farm waiting to be turned into junk mail is just as good as a 200-year-old chestnut or oak tree.

    8. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Grishnakh · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Exactly. Not only that, but old-growth forest is being cut down all over the world (like the Amazon rainforest), so any extra trees here in North America can only help make up for that loss.

    9. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by RexRhino · · Score: 1

      The trouble is that anti-nuke enviornmentalists are much louder than pro-nuke enviornmentalists. Pro-nuke enviornmentalists are clearly in the minority, and play second string to the anti-nuke people.

    10. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He is a pariah because he has become a sell-out. The multinationals hire him to greenwash their bad reputations and he collects their money to do things such as write crappy editorials like this one. I am an environmentalist and I support nuclear power and Greenpeace - I do not support lying corporate whores.

    11. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by lixee · · Score: 1
      To me, nuke is an obvious choice.
      Seems like you're not the only one http://www.zmag.org/content/showarticle.cfm?Sectio nID=67&ItemID=10071
      --
      Res publica non dominetur
    12. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by robthebob · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      You are everything that is wrong with the world.

    13. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by electroniceric · · Score: 1

      You should read the response on Grist. The post's author immediately accused Moore of being a shill for industry, a fake environmentalist, etc. A hate to say it, but a lot of the environmental movement is still fueled by counterculture utopianism, and I'd put myself strongly in camp that the environmental damage of various types is a crisis-level problem. So Moore is right that environmental movement needs reform, but I'm not sure if he's done a great job delivering that message, or if he's even the right guy.

      What I believe will drive serious momentum on the environment is when a set of technologies start moving into the marketplace that give energy and other heavy industrial companies a way forward: an exit strategy from their current business, and enough of a hedge that they can start seriously thwacking their rivals with the regulatory stick. If a company can find a way to keep its own waste costs low and drive up the waste costs of others, they just need to be convinced that it's a matter of time before the public wants more costs applied to environmental degradation (generally true even in the US), and they will be compelled to move in the green direction. So seeding the energy and green technology could have a very large impact on industry in general.

    14. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by njh · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So you have no issues with Iran building new reactors? I'm personally quite puzzled to hear in the news that Australia is looking to sell Uranium to India and China, and practically in the same breath decrying Iran's extension of their nuclear fuel processing plant.

      Similarly people point out that U235 is not up to our predicted unmodified energy use (estimates of less than 70 years are commonly touted), to which nuclear advocates then suggest fast breeders - which produce easily purified plutonium, easily manufactured into bombs - or searching for more dilute sources of U235 requiring vast mining operations (and nobody mentions the oil required to power the diggers) with their attendant environmental disruption.

      Nor have we solved the waste storage problem - nuclear power produces large amounts of low grade waste (such as contaminated overalls) which we just keep shuffling around. Nuclear energy currently contributes somewhere around 10% of the total world energy, so the waste problem will get 10 times worse if we use nuclear wholesale. Considering the current handling of things like electronics waste I have no confidence that the situation will improve.

      Considering that half or more of domestic energy use is to make low grade thermal energy (space heating and DHW), and that people have demonstrated hundreds of practical and effective solar heating systems (for example, the Barra design in italy, sunspace and solar closet designs, clear attic collectors with radiant ceiling storage), I wonder why a rational environmentalist isn't promoting those instead? One reason perhaps is that solar energy is constantly hijacked by PV enthusiasts who go off talking about PV arrays in the desert and other giant projects. These cost lots of money, are dubious economically and move the problem out into some location requiring massive infrastructure investment.

      Putting energy in a centralised location automatically makes it a target for terrorist and economic attack. Most of the US's foreign policy behaviour in the last 6 years is directly linked to the fear of loss of resources, particularly oil, but energy in general. So far bombing and threatening other countries with energy resources has worked to a degree, but it is burning international good will instead. Switching from one foreign energy source to another seems rather foolish in this light.

      If we need most energy as low grade heat, why not generate that heat locally using the one resource available everywhere: the sun. The remainder might be well served by existing renewable technologies.

    15. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Chemisor · · Score: 1

      > I see environmentalists as having their priorities fucked up. Why is an owl more important
      > than a logger's family? Why is old-growth forest more important than a parking lot? Why are
      > we worried about dolphins?

      Because we like them! I personally like them too. I like dolphins and would like to see more of them. I would rather walk around in an old-growth forest than on a parking lot. And I would much rather spend time with an owl than with some logger who is a complete stranger to me. So, no, my priorities are very much in order, thank you very much!

    16. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Sebastopol · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You're only looking at the immediate reactionary argument. I felt this way too a long time ago.

      The question should not be: "Who cares about a redwood forest", the question should be: when is enough, enough?

      When there ARE no forests?

      When all of the water in undrinkable due to pollution?

      When there IS no water? (Just ask the SoCal farmers fucked by Mulholland when he diverted the watershed to LA; or the sprawling McMansion suburbs in NorCal that are running out of water).

      Where do you personally draw then line? When there are no trees left, every inch of land is covered with beige houses, and every human being has exactly 1 square yard of space left? Obviously not: but you must ask yourself: when is enough enough?

      Then you will see that the Endangered Species Act is far more powerful than it appears on the surface. Each little insignificant critter on there is nothing more than a proxy, or a negotiable "line" that represents the "enough" I am referring to above.

      --
      https://www.accountkiller.com/removal-requested
    17. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by RzUpAnmsCwrds · · Score: 4, Insightful

      FYI, I understand that there's a possibilty that your post is meant as satire, but if it is, it's not particularly good satire. For the sake of argument, I'm going to assume that you are being serious.

      In short, if there isn't a direct payoff to me, then fuck it.

      That sort of attiude is why we have corporations who cut R&D to increase the short term balance, why consumer debt is at an all-time high, and why the Feds keep spending us deeper and deeper into debt.

      It's not just irresponsible to have a "me and now" attidue, it's also downright stupid. If everyone wants to help themselves by screwing everyone else over, then we end up with a society which simply doesn't work.

      Just like you can't argue the Savior's sacrifice with an atheist, you can't use extinction to argue with us; we just don't care.

      Funny, because we find it interesting that you still choose to believe without hard evidence - and that's not something that I'm ashamed to admit.

      That and a 20% consumer tax

      There are good arguments for a VAT, but the simple fact is that sales tax generally disproportinately affects the poor. Wealthy individuals spend a much smaller percentage of their income, which means that, percentage wise, they actually pay less tax under a purely VAT system than those who have less income.

      Of course, if you're arguing for a VAT in addition to the current tax system, that's an entirely different matter. Adding money to the federal budget won't really stop our financial problems - it is runaway spending - particularly on the military (17.2%), Medicare/Medicaid (23.6%), and interest on the debt (8.10%) - that is driving our government further into debt.

      Being smart about environmentalism means that you can still eat your tuna (without killing dolphins), you can still have your deck (from a well-managed forest), you can still eat steak (without antibiotic abuse), and drive your car/SUV (hybrid, EV, hydrogen, or biofuel powered).

      Technology has the ability to solve many of our environmental problems without changing our quality of life - we just have to care enough to use it. Unfortunately, it appears that you don't.

    18. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Actually nukes need a whole bunch of justification. They may *actually* be the best solution, but this isn't clear. Even so, ... care will definitely be needed. (Pebble bed reactors may be an answer to most of the problems. MAY.)

      Before I can seriously consider nuclear reactors, the governmental limitation on damages would need to be lifted. If companies think reactors are too dangerous to build without a limitation on damages, then I think that they are too dangerous to build. Also, if the company goes bankrupt in a liability suit, then the executives personal fortunes should also be at stake. (Not just the director, but everyone above supervisory level.) I don't see any reason why the people who live near one of the things should bear all of the risk, when they only get a small fraction of the benefits.

      That said...can I talk to you about the risks of having a coal mine under your town...

      Sometimes there are no really good answers. I don't trust nukes because the industry has been too shielded from damages by the government. They may still be the correct answer, but I won't believe it until they start operating with a few fewer protections.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    19. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Bios_Hakr · · Score: 1

      >>There are good arguments for a VAT, but the simple fact is that sales tax generally disproportinately affects the poor. Wealthy individuals spend a much smaller percentage of their income, which means that, percentage wise, they actually pay less tax under a purely VAT system than those who have less income.

      Just exclude the first $15k from the VAT. Make the VAT proportional to the item being purchased.

      Want a second? 20%

      Want a third car? 30%

      Want a big-screen HDTV? 30%

      Want a yacht? 40%

      First TV, car, and computer should be tax free. As should a cell phone and land line. Groceries should also be tax free.

      The problem is that we need to directly charge the rich more without making it seem like we are charging them more. The rich tend to complain. Maybe we could just throw a few of them in the guillotine and redistribute the wealth.

      --
      I'd rather you do it wrong, than for me to have to do it at all.
    20. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by calstraycat · · Score: 1

      "In short, if there isn't a direct payoff to me, then fuck it."

      100% self-centered, selfish, shortsighted and proud of it. Nice. I could deal with that if you didn't follow it with this:

      "Just like you can't argue the Savior's sacrifice with an atheist, you can't use extinction to argue with us; we just don't care."

      I'm guessing that the Savior you are referring to is Jesus Christ. His teachings are all about selflessness and sacrifice. Your attitude towards your fellow man and all of God's creations indicate you know nothing of his teachings.

      Did you ever think that maybe your kids or your kid's kids might like to walk in a redwood forest or swim with some dolphins you selfish, shortsighted fuckwad?

      By the way, who modded this stupid redneck and faux Christian up to a five anyway?

    21. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by FhnuZoag · · Score: 1

      Indeed. A far better representative of the evironmentalist movement on this James Lovelock, best known for the Gaia hypothesis. And Lovelock differs from Moore in that he actually commands the respect of the majority of self-declared environmentalists, even if they disagree with his nuclear position.

    22. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Timothy+Brownawell · · Score: 1
      "Why is old-growth forest more important than a parking lot?"

      Because parking lots are hot, ugly, and a lousy place to go for a walk. Also as I understand it, forests tend to do good things to air quality (which you care about, because you have to breathe that air).

    23. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by DrEldarion · · Score: 1

      the one resource available everywhere

      You've never lived in Seattle, have you?

    24. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by anthony_dipierro · · Score: 1

      That said, I'm puzzled at the attitude the submitter apparently has, in that he seems to be describing environmentalists, and pro-nuke-power people, as two separate groups.

      For the most part they are. I always cringed at the anti-nuclear-power statements at the Green Party rallys, but most of the people in the audience cheered along. "Shut down nuclear power plants" is right in the platform. Now it is true that environmentalist != Green Party, but I've certainly noticed a strong correlation between anti-nuclear-power and environmentalists.

    25. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by ScentCone · · Score: 1

      So, Mr. Anonymous Environmentalist Coward, which part - exactly - of the editorial is the lie? He's right on the money, and talking about how to use less oil is "selling out?" To whom? Would you call someone that, after a "greenwashing" with too many beers in a trendy hipster Greenpeace-infested bar, suddenly starts ranting "no nukes!" in order to impress the hot eco-chick he just met a sell out? I would.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    26. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Julian+Morrison · · Score: 1

      Well, dolphins and old growth are pretty, that's reason enough to keep some around. Owls can be cute, but personally I think a more sensible way to save them would be captive breeding in zoo aviaries. Certainly, people come first!

      However, you lost me on the tax thing. Europe is taxed and regulated to fuck and back, and has "social services" out the wazoo, mainly for lazy assholes like the recent rioters in France ("if he could fire us we might have to do what the boss wants", complained one student). What it needs is: a welfare-state shutdown, a 15% flat income/corporation tax with an untaxed threshold level above the breadline, and 99% of its "public" workforce thrown out on their asses to get a real job.

      Oh, and gasoline would be cheap. Except for, here in the UK as an example, 80% of the price is pure tax.

    27. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by njh · · Score: 1

      Actually, I have :) And based on TMY data it isn't as bad as it seems. I haven't lived at the poles though.

    28. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by idsofmarch · · Score: 1
      Not that aggro-hippies are any less demented, but what you're talking about is a rediculously short-sighted view of the world based on the lack of memory for anything further than a generation or two.

      Simply put, you have to think for longer than next week and certaintly longer than the next generation.

      A few examples:
      Cut down a forrest for tooth-picks, lay down a parking lot. What happens? The heat island effect, black asphalt holds in heat at night especially in summer raising the local temperature by a degree or two. Why do you care? Your air-conditioning bill.
      Amazon Rain Forest is decimated. What happens? Local weather patterns change, the amazon valley turns to the next great desert, and crops grown in the local area suddenly become more expensive. $10 bananas.
      Dolphins are eaten like tuna, go extinct. What happens? More sharks, lots of them, and they really like to eat tuna and surfers. Florida stops being fun, fishing becomes expensive. Tuna costs $4 per can.
      Cows. Screw 'em, they're worthless genetic experiments, eat them, steak is good and burgers are awesome.
      Owls. Don't really care, except they're the canary in the coal mine, when the owls go the forrest is failing and then we get floods, invasive grasses that burn easily, plus no more deck material. It's not the owls really, but the entire forrest because ecosystems are just that, systems.
      The problem with the redneck view is it sees the environment as a resource to be used up, not as something to regenerate and steward. And, this view also refuses to see the environment as a large-scale and rediculously complex system that is more than the sum of its parts. Owls are like motor-mounts, dolphins are wiring harnesses, and forrests are your transmission. You can't bounce along a dirt road listening to Skynard without these things right? Neither can the environment, there's a reason for each and every species, they all do something.

      --
      Anyone who whines about being modded down should be.
    29. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      I'm puzzled at the attitude the submitter apparently has, in that he seems to be describing environmentalists, and pro-nuke-power people, as two separate groups.

      If I saw someone at an anti-war^H^H^HBush rally wearing Birkenstocks, ratty teeshirt, and a Greenpeace button, I would not hesitate in the least to wager $1000 that same person was also anti-nuke. No question about it. Liberals tend to be environmentalists and anti-nuke, while conservatives tend to be conservationists and pro-nuke.

      This is what happens when you environmentalists encourage your fringe elements to be your spokesmen. Greenpeace is anti-nuke, Earthfirst is anti-nuke, everyone spiking trees is anti-nuke. Today you are saying you are environmentalist and pro-nuke, but where the hell where you ten, twenty, thirty years ago? The only reason we have these dirty radioactive coal plants still around is because environmentalists blocked nuclear power at every turn.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    30. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by ipfwadm · · Score: 1

      while conservatives tend to be conservationists

      Yeah, I'm gonna have to go ahead and, ummm, disagree with you there. Those that care about the environment may tend to be conservationists instead of environmentalists, but it's been my experience that most don't care.

    31. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by SetupWeasel · · Score: 1

      As the great prophet Wesley Snipes so eloquently said:

      "The Sun shines on a dog's ass some days."

      I'll tell you something. I don't buy all that environmentalists are shouting about. I think Global Warming from fossil fuel is a red herring, and that there are too many "scientists" more invested in their next grant check than the pursuit of science.

      However, I will be damned if I allow Conservatives to trot around as if they give a shit about anything other than the size of their wallets. If conservatives are so keen on getting intelligent people to listen to their views on nuclear power, they might teach their leader how to pronounce it. We still won't listen; we're just sick of hearing "nuke-yoo-lur."

    32. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Anonymous+MadCoe · · Score: 1

      Hmm, you state:
      "I'm puzzled at the attitude the submitter apparently has, in that he seems to be describing environmentalists, and pro-nuke-power people, as two separate groups."

      For a long time this was actually quite acurate. At least here in europe all environmental organizations were anti nuke. Nukes were bad, nuke had to be banned, nukes were evil.

      Anyone in an environmentalist organiszation as far as I have seen would be persona non grata if they said nuclear energy would be a workable alternative (and yes I ahve been around those organizations but got fed up quickly with the lack of realism, but this may be a regional things).

    33. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Spellbinder · · Score: 1
      So you have no issues with Iran building new reactors? I'm personally quite puzzled to hear in the news that Australia is looking to sell Uranium to India and China, and practically in the same breath decrying Iran's extension of their nuclear fuel processing plant.
      The US Govt ( at least bush) is also trying to sell uranium to India
      http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/04/05/rice.ap/ind ex.html
      --


      stop supporting microsoft with pirating their software!!!!!
    34. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by njh · · Score: 1

      The US Govt ( at least bush) is also trying to sell uranium to India

      Ouch.

    35. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by dpilot · · Score: 1

      As someone else said, your post is probably rhetorical satire. But I'll give you a one-word rebuttal.

      Sustainability

      How long do you want your lifestyle to be available?
      Do you want your kids to have your lifestyle?
      How about your grandchildren?

      What make you so qualified that you KNOW that there is NO value to dolphins, redwood forests, baby seals, or the Amazon basin?
      When they're gone, they're gone, and it's a little too late to discover that they were valuable after all.

      What's most amazing is that people with this mindset call themselves CONSERVATIVE, which shares a root word with CONSERVATION. IMHO all they really want to CONSERVE is their own lifestyle, and apparently about the only thing they want to pass on to their kids and grandkids is money and personally-owned property.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    36. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by daigu · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty rational. I'm thinking a Chernobyl, a nuclear power plant as military target, or nuclear acceptence as a way of proliferating weapons are sufficient reasons to look for other, safer forms of power. Care to explain to me where my logic is wrong here?

    37. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your logic is paranoid.

    38. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Belgand · · Score: 1

      I'm a guy with waist-length hair and a scraggly beard. I usually wear Birkenstocks in the summer and shorts and t-shirts. I'm vehemently anti-war, anti-Bush, and anti-death penalty. I have a peace button on my old German army field jacket. My living room has a Pink Floyd poster over my bean bag, a lava lamp and a small shelf devoted to incense. While I'm out of work at the moment I've spent the past 6 months or so trying to find a job and move to San Francisco. At the same time I'm not an enviromentalist by any stretch (e.g. if my girlfriend didn't force me to I wouldn't recycle anything) and I'm very much pro-nuke. Hell, I'm largely a lassiez-faire capitalist. I'm 25 and I've never had a drink, a smoke, or done any sort of drug in my life. I love meat. "A Touch of Grey" and "Casey Jones" are the only Greatful Dead songs I can recognize and quite frankly I never really cared for anything else they did. I can't tolerate Phish or any other jam bands.

      Admittedly I'm a libertarian (small 'l' please) not the more modern American type of liberal. The point is that appearances can be pretty damn decieving. Effectively that's what the article is saying: not all enviromentalists are natural enemies of nuclear power.

    39. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Belgand · · Score: 1

      Guh! We'll live in domed cities on the moon. I can't believer people are too short-sighted to look at domed cities as the answer to all of our problems. Finally we can be free from the horible tyranny of weather (no sarcasm intended)!

    40. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by FirstOne · · Score: 1

      "Before I can seriously consider nuclear reactors, the governmental limitation on damages would need to be lifted. If companies think reactors are too dangerous to build without a limitation on damages, then I think that they are too dangerous to build. Also, if the company goes bankrupt in a liability suit, then the executives personal fortunes should also be at stake. (Not just the director, but everyone above supervisory level.) I don't see any reason why the people who live near one of the things should bear all of the risk, when they only get a small fraction of the benefits. "

      The liability claims from a class 9 meltdown would far exceed company net worth and the deep pockets than the executives.. You would also need to go after the current/former share holders and Bankers.. The concept of limited liability would have to be eliminated.

      I.E.. Damage claims would be in the Trillions of Dollars.. [ 1982 CRAC-2 study by Sandia Labs adjusted for 24 years of land inflation ].. And let's not forget that nearly every insurance policy excludes coverage for any nuclear incident.

      Additionally, each additional reactor becomes a primary target . A large scale nuclear power reactor represents a damage multiplier that is capable of removing an multi-state area from human habitation/food production for several hundred years.

      Next is the nuclear proliferation aspect. Any country/city state who has a nuclear power plant can make nuclear weapons. Imagine a world with dozens nuclear equipped N. Korea's and Iran's.. (With plenty of juicy targets.. other N-plants)..

      Lastly, there are still the thermal pollution aspects, only 1/3 of a nuclear reactors thermal output performs useful work.. the rest of the thermal output is dumped into environment (local warming). Meanwhile, renewables(wind/solar) are roughly energy neutral with no extra energy dumped into the environment, plus they have the possibility of removing energy from the ecosystem. (I.E. H2 gas pumped into depleted NG wells, etc.)

    41. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by djh101010 · · Score: 1

      So why are you planting trees again?

      Two words for you, AC, "Tree farm".

    42. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but the logger doesn't poop on my car! The owl does.

      --
      Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
    43. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by djh101010 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Chernobyl

      You _do_ know that the USA'n design has no resemblance whatsoever to the open-pile primitive disaster-waiting-to-happen that Chernobyl was, right? If you don't, please educate yourself before you make your decision firm in your own mind. It's an entirely different thing; comparing today's technology to their primitive one is like comparing today's top of the line desktop PCs to the ENIAC.

    44. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by djh101010 · · Score: 1

      So you have no issues with Iran building new reactors?

      How is pointing out that nuclear power is environmentally sound, in any way whatsoever related to a terrorist country building breeder reactors?

      Nor have we solved the waste storage problem - nuclear power produces large amounts of low grade waste (such as contaminated overalls) which we just keep shuffling around.


      Yeah, let's talk about that. Somewhere, in some storage facility, are dozens or hundreds of "contaminated overalls" worn by me when I was doing hotlab work. Also cardboard boxes, styrofoam, and all the other packaging materials. The sources in question were about equivalent to your smoke detector (you do have smoke detectors, right? I mean, let's worry about real risks here) but the NRC's rules state that if I'm handling radioactive sources, even though they're solids, encapsulated in epoxy, encased in plastic, shipped in lead surrounded by styrofoam in a cardboard box, all that stuff gets put into "low grade waste" storage. How much radiation is in there? NDA. No Detectable Activity. Zero. Zip. Same as your sandwich you brought for lunch. None at all.

      Nuclear energy currently contributes somewhere around 10% of the total world energy, so the waste problem will get 10 times worse if we use nuclear wholesale. Considering the current handling of things like electronics waste I have no confidence that the situation will improve.

      Another pointless leap of non-logic there. "used electronics are thrown in the landfill so spent nuke fuel will be too?" Give me a break. Arguments and illogic like yours are the exact reason why your point of view is impossible to take seriously.

      Considering that half or more of domestic energy use is to make low grade thermal energy (space heating and DHW), and that people have demonstrated hundreds of practical and effective solar heating systems (for example, the Barra design in italy, sunspace and solar closet designs, clear attic collectors with radiant ceiling storage), I wonder why a rational environmentalist isn't promoting those instead?


      I've got 30 acres, on a sunny hill. Great site for wind, and for solar. Not doing either. Why? Because the usual size of wind generator for home use is 400 watts. 400 WATTS. I can't spend 5 or 10 grand on a setup that will produce, at peak, on a good day, a mere 400 watts. Solar doesn't have the payback either. These are great technologies if you're forced to be off-grid and have no option. If you have the option, it's cheaper, sometimes by a factor of 10, to buy from the grid. I've done the math. I'm motivated to do the right thing. I can't justify doing it, even to myself, even including the coolness factor.

      One reason perhaps is that solar energy is constantly hijacked by PV enthusiasts who go off talking about PV arrays in the desert and other giant projects. These cost lots of money, are dubious economically and move the problem out into some location requiring massive infrastructure investment.

      You need to price out a system for a home and find out just how prohibitive it is. Oh, and how often do you get hail in your area? What's the attrition rate of panels going to be just from weather, let alone electrical and other mechanical failures?

      I'm not bothering to comment on the rest, as it's all the same stuff that shows you haven't done your homework regarding prices and payback times, which if you're lucky will be several _decades_.

    45. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by jafuser · · Score: 1

      The energy amplifier reactor seems to solve most of the problems of nuclear power; the only downside is the initial investment of building a cyclotron =/

      --
      Please consider making an automatic monthly recurring donation to the EFF
    46. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by MindStalker · · Score: 1

      As other poster said, your paranoid. Also while it may seem that nuclear acceptace leads to nuclear weapon prolifiration. Its not nessesarily that obvious. A country like the US that already has nuclear weapons would have absolutly no effect on proliferation by building more nuke power plants. While a country like Iran might build power plants as a guise to allow them to build weapons, its more of a problem of causation. Meaning the desire for weapons (and energy) leads them to create nuclear plants. The desire for nuke energy, has never caused anyone to build a nuclear weapon. Thats just silly.

    47. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by MindStalker · · Score: 1

      And we would sell uranium to Iran if they would buy it. We are trying to encourage these countries to maintain responcible power production, and discourage them from enriching their own uranium at the risk of them producing weapons grade uranium.

    48. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by MindStalker · · Score: 1

      As a Bible-thumping Republican I'm offending by that statement?? Oh the bible is not for thumping my paster in the head... Nevermind..

    49. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by MindStalker · · Score: 1

      That said...can I talk to you about the risks of having a coal mine under your town...

      EXACTLY, the coal plants are also shielded from the risk, as well as dam power, and just about any other form of power. If we forced all power companies to absorbe all the risk, we would have almost no power companies whatsoever. Sure maybe that should have been the case all along and we'd be living in a totally different society, dependant on a lot less power. But its a bit late for that now.

    50. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by MindStalker · · Score: 1

      Best way to conserve land is leave it alone.. Something hippies can almost never do to something they think that can be improved.. :)

    51. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by TommyMc · · Score: 1
      What it needs is: a welfare-state shutdown, a 15% flat income/corporation tax with an untaxed threshold level above the breadline, and 99% of its "public" workforce thrown out on their asses to get a real job.

      wow. Karl Marx eat your heart out, here's 20 or so words on a new economic theory on how to save the world. That's all it takes.

      you do realise that under your proposed scheme people with Learning Disabilities who are incapable of getting a job die? or just end up very very poor? And so do the physically disabled. And the elderly. And the single mothers. Shit, everyone who isn't fit, healthy, independant, and had the benefit of a good education is pretty much screwed. Wait, this doesn't include you does it? So i'm guessing you won't listen.

      --
      Stupid people think it's cool. Smart people thinks it's a joke; also cool.
    52. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Spellbinder · · Score: 1

      india already has nukes
      they are already enriching their own uranium
      they have not signed the anti nuke contract ( what ever it is called )
      that just means they will have more uranium
      the american stuff they will use civil but all the other stuff they have can go into nuke production
      i don't know if they think they need more nukes, or if they would be ready to sell stuff to the right price
      but more nukes means it's just more likely they will get in the wrong hands and will be used some time
      bush is just trying to keep oil and other fossil fuels cheap with encouraging india to use nuclear power to satisfy their increasing energy need
      it is just typical american foreign policy: keep supporting the not so clean guy and somewhere in the future you will have a break with him and he gets your new big problem

      --


      stop supporting microsoft with pirating their software!!!!!
    53. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by smithmc · · Score: 1

        So you have no issues with Iran building new reactors? I'm personally quite puzzled to hear in the news that Australia is looking to sell Uranium to India and China, and practically in the same breath decrying Iran's extension of their nuclear fuel processing plant.

      The US Govt ( at least bush) is also trying to sell uranium to India

      India doesn't need American or Australian uranium.

      --
      Downmodding is the refuge of the weak. Don't downmod, make a better argument!
    54. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by KDN · · Score: 1
      Similarly people point out that U235 is not up to our predicted unmodified energy use (estimates of less than 70 years are commonly touted), to which nuclear advocates then suggest fast breeders - which produce easily purified plutonium, easily manufactured into bombs - or searching for more dilute sources of U235 requiring vast mining operations (and nobody mentions the oil required to power the diggers) with their attendant environmental disruption.

      Does anyone know where this number of between 50 and 100 years comes from? I really doubt its that low, but I'll take that as a given for now. Normal reactors as well as fast breeders both produce plutonium. But both reactors produce both Pu240 as well as Pu239. Whats the difference of one neutron? Kind of like the difference between methyl and ethyl alcohol. One you can drink, the other you go blind. Pu239 you want for bomb making. Pu240 puts too many neutrons into the local environment, causing the explosion to either fizzle or go off before you want it. Neither is good for bomb making. To seperate Pu239 from Pu240 is about as hard as seperating U235 from U238. The discovery of Pu240 almost killed the original plutonum bomb. They got around it by limiting the exposure in the reactor, which is something not really viable in most power reactors.

      As for more dilute sources of uranium, the pitchblend (low grade coal) mined in Canada as more energy available as the uranium than it does in burning it as coal. Several of the beaches in India have very high concentrations of thorium, almost as useful in reactors as uranium. The lower average neutron emission rate makes reactor design very fussy, but it does work. I also recall some experimental work to use a form of algae to extract heavy metals such as gold and uranium out of seawater. No idea if its viable, but it is an interesting idea.

      Nor have we solved the waste storage problem - nuclear power produces large amounts of low grade waste (such as contaminated overalls) which we just keep shuffling around.

      Actually most of the low level radioactive waste is medical waste. So nuclear power plants or not, you will still have it. As for high level nuclear waste: you can recycle it to greatly reduce the volume needed. There are modern high neutron reactors that burn the long life nuclear waste into short life nuclear waste that becomes less radioactive far faster. If not all that, put it into a pyramid. In between 300 and 1200 years it will be less toxic than the ore it came from. (the range depends on ingestion vs inhalation threats.) The pyramids have been around for at least 2000 years, surely we can do better.

    55. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Not only that, but old-growth forest is being cut down all over the world (like the Amazon rainforest)"

      So, why aren't you down there planting trees, instead of bothering the rest of us?

    56. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      U235 is not the only nuclear fuel available.

      There are other posts that have already talked about breeder reactors that will create fuel for fast-neutron reactors that can burn up Plutonium and Thorium.

      Also, there is the CANDU design, which uses the incredibly plentiful U238, moderated by Deuterium. This design requires very little fuel processing (no enrichment), is regarded as weapon-proliferation-safe, and is a working design.

      Google "candu" for more information.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    57. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by daigu · · Score: 1

      I'm not an expert on energy and nuclear power. I am aware that there are technology differences and increased levels of safety in comparison to Chernobyl. However, the central question for me is what are the relative risks and benefits when compared to other energy options?

      I honestly don't know how they stack up, but I do know enough about nuclear energy to know that misjudging the risks has the potential to put many people's lives in danger and needs to be carefully considered. I don't have an agenda on the issue, but I don't see anything particularly compelling about nuclear energy. If that qualifies as "paranoia", then I guess that makes me paranoid.

    58. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by daigu · · Score: 1

      Let me ask you this: In the history of nuclear power, can you show me a single country that has nuclear power plants but no nuclear weapons? If such a case exists, how long did they go before acquiring nuclear weapons or how long have they had nuclear power but not a nuclear weapon?

      If no country has nuclear power without nuclear weapons or if you can find correlation between nuclear power and the eventual development of nuclear weapons, then the whole theoretical basis of your argument is flawed. I don't happen to know the history of nuclear power or nuclear weapons for those countries that have them, but intuitively, I suspect there is a correlation. I'd love to see any details that would support your argument, but I'm willing to bet that isn't supported by the facts.

      So, logically your argument may be sound. However, I question the truth of your premises.

    59. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by ipfwadm · · Score: 1

      Best way to conserve land is leave it alone..

      Exactly, and that's the problem. Neither side can seem to understand that one. The left tries to "make the wilderness better" while the right tries to develop it or drill into it or whatever. (No I'm not against all development, far from it)

    60. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by njh · · Score: 1

      You need to price out a system for a home and find out just how prohibitive it is. Oh, and how often do you get hail in your area? What's the attrition rate of panels going to be just from weather, let alone electrical and other mechanical failures?

      You've fallen in the same trap I mentioned in the previous line. I was referring to solar thermal energy (solar heating, aka passive solar). This alone can offset half or more of the domestic energy needs firstworldwide. The rest of your post indicates you haven't thought about the issues and are knee jerking without reading. The pay off of my own solar thermal system (ignoring the fact that it is useful for other reasons, such as more floor space) is about 6 months. For comparison, none of the UK nuclear power stations have 'paid off' yet, requiring constant govt subsidies.

    61. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by njh · · Score: 1

      Does anyone know where this number of between 50 and 100 years comes from?

      You take the current proven resources, the generation conversion rate of current reactors and the current world energy demand. I don't think it includes demand growth. If we assume average european energy demand times the world population it's even smaller. Without involking breeder type systems or some new low density source I think these numbers are reasonable. We use a lot of energy!

      I wasn't aware that Pu240 poisoned bombs. But I'm a fusion researcher, not a fission researcher ;)

      If we're going to be growing vast areas of algae, perhaps it would be good to combine with algaldiesel production.

      I'm told that the waste problem is actually solved by other posters, so I guess it's not an issue any more.

    62. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by njh · · Score: 1

      Very nice! This is the sort of thing we should be looking for!

    63. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by MindStalker · · Score: 1

      http://www.uic.com.au/nip07.htm

      Today, only eight countries are known to have a nuclear weapons capability. By contrast, 56 operate civil research reactors, and 30 have some 440 commercial nuclear power reactors with a total installed capacity of over 360 000 MWe (see table)

      Article defines civil research reactors as "a source of neutron beams for scientific research and the production of medical and industrial isotopes."

    64. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      At the same time I'm not an enviromentalist by any stretch (e.g. if my girlfriend didn't force me to I wouldn't recycle anything) and I'm very much pro-nuke. Hell, I'm largely a lassiez-faire capitalist.

      As someone who lives in the San Fransisco Bay Area, let me warn you that people like you are not wanted. The SFBA is the capital of tolerance, and will tolerate anything... except disagreement.

      Admittedly I'm a libertarian

      OMG! The only thing stopping San Fransisco from publicly beheading libertarians is the lack of a guillotine!

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    65. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by KDN · · Score: 1

      Its amazing what you can find with google. I'm using this as a reference: http://www.uic.com.au/nip75.htm. 3.5 million tons known reserves, will last about 50 years. Estimated reserves (in addition to known): 9.7 million tons. Phosophate extraction: 22 million tons, seawater extraction: 4 BILLION tons. So fuel will not be a problem.

      Its been a few years, but I think that Pu239 is the only isotope that is useful in a bomb. Everything else takes away. If anyone can confirm or deny this I'd appreciate it.

      I like fusion, but after 50 years it seems like a Don Quiote type quest. Frankly, I hope we get it some year. With lots of energy we can start doing fun stuff like breaking down garbage into individual atoms and start doing recycling on a tremendous scale.

    66. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Julian+Morrison · · Score: 1

      you do realise that under your proposed scheme people [...] who are incapable of getting a job die?

      Would you let them die?

      Seriously, that's what it means when you imply private charity wouldn't work.

    67. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by njh · · Score: 1
      That site doesn't give the Energy Returned on Energy Expected for the various sources though. How much energy is required to extract 3ppb U from sea water compared to the energy it delivers (this should be easy to work out, I'll leave it to you :)? It seems believable that if they think we're looking at something like $480/kg for extraction then presumably it requires no more than $480/($0.14/kWh) energy to extract. I believe that there is enough fuel around, that is not the cause for my concerns about nuclear energy.

      By fusion I was referring to the large, stable fusion reactor that powers the planet (the sun). I'm strongly of the belief that for very little expenditure and a great deal of cleverness we can meet our energy demands using the sun. This is because I think that:
      • the amount of energy we use currently is vastly greater than we need to use, without even a cost to our standard of living.
      • solar technology is still in the dark ages research wise (excluding exotic stuff like PV, there is no funding for solar technologies).
      • existing designs are woefully inefficient (a standard architect designed 'passive solar' house might offset 10% of its heating bills for 20k extra work.
      • I can design, model and test solar thermal stuff for a few hundred dollars and immediately start reducing my carbon emissions. Consider it like over-clocking, ricing or sailing, only it makes money.

      This is mostly a result of really cheap energy (including hidden subsidies), a lack of suitable materials (good, cheap glazes were unheard of 50 years ago), failure to apply proper engineering design and modeling to designs (trombe walls are commonly cited as good design when they are clearly broken even in the idealised model), and the development of lots of one off dubious contraptions made using unrepeatable resources. "My $10 solar tracker works using this dentist chair I picked up for free"...

      Breaking down a glass bottle into individual atoms seems rather silly when we might reuse it for a few joules of effort with a bottle brush. I think these ideas are more born from star trek type fantasy than real world reality. To me the measure of a civilisation is not how much they use, but how much is created, and increasing efficiency seems a better route for this. (Much like sending tiny robots to other planets rather than people) If we were careful about our resource usage to begin with, recycling wouldn't be needed.

      People spent the weekend up at the local race track doing burn outs to the extent that the air was thick with burnt rubber. Is our current use of energy a similar pointless display of affluence? Can we learn anything from the Easter islanders who cut down all their trees to make ceremonial boats? Ask Jared Diamond...
    68. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by KDN · · Score: 1
      Breaking down a glass bottle into individual atoms seems rather silly when we might reuse it for a few joules of effort with a bottle brush. I think these ideas are more born from star trek type fantasy than real world reality.

      Glass bottles are easy problems. How about the hard ones like plastics that are really repurposed, not recycled, since you can't really reuse most plastics for food and a lot of other things. How about taking things like electronics and being able to strip out the lead, the arsenic, the gold, etc, so they can be reused so that we both have less landfill and have less mining? How about being able to break composites and custom formulated materials stripping out the alloying compounds so that they can be reused over again? One of the problems of material sciences is that they start with very pure substances and very lightly alloy in other substances to change characteristics. Can't do that with current recycled substances because they are already alloyed with different and varying substances. How about being able to break down medical wastes, extracting out the steel and polymer substances, simultanously sterilizing everything to prevent the spread of disease?

      And my idea was not from Star Trek. It was from as a kid reading a book on the Manhatten project where they described uranium isotope seperation using calcatrons (?). They sent ions through a magnetic field and seperated the ions by weight. I thought that with enough power, this could be expanded to use garbage to extract out all the substances for reuse.

    69. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by njh · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I see where you are coming from, but my point was that perhaps we (society) should design things to be reused more. Breaking things down takes a lot of energy. The simpler version, thermal depolymerisation can break down most organics and separate out the inorganics, and doesn't require nearly as much energy to do so, and there are various refinement processes that break class of metals down into constituents. However, ionising everything and separating with mass spec would use hideous amounts of energy unless you could reclaim the ionisation and thermal energy at the end. It's really only viable where chemical methods fail (such as separating isotopes). If we had scadloads of energy, yes we could do it, but it is akin to renovating your house by grinding it up into little pieces and regluing them together.

      I wonder how we could work out how much energy is required? The ironisation potential of iron is 750kJ/mol or so, and I think the vapourisation energy is about the same as water, 2.5MJ/g. We would need to accelerate the ions to a fair speed (emitting unrecoverable radiation) in a high vacuum.

      Plastic recycling is fairly advanced btw, I think the big problem, as you point out, is separation. Polystyrene foam can be reused over and over with very little energy (they basically just crumble it up, wash it and remould with steam - I've seen a factory where this is done). Clear PET can be recycled as bottles for food as long as it is properly clean and dry and doesn't contain certain other plastics.

    70. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by TommyMc · · Score: 1
      And what, prey tell, other than funding sources is the difference between a private charity for all who require welfare, and the current welfare state?

      Except for the fact that the humanitarians among us would have to pay more to compensate for the more selfish ones?

      Charities undeniably do a lot of good work but the argument that 'lower taxes = more giving' is incredibly naive, even without the inevitable media driven paranoia that would follow, all that we would see is a lot more desperation in the already desperate, and a lot more pin-stripe suits in BMW's..

      also, have you considered what might happen when the country is in a recession and people don't feel like giving as much? Or when they're saving for their new fridge? I'm not using these as justification for not giving to charity but you can be damn sure others will.

      So no, in answer to your question i wouldn't "just let them die" in the short term, but just because some people pay to build their own houses, doesn't mean they can be relied on to build a library..

      take the money from everyone and monitor where it goes, it's the only way to guarantee we're all doing our bit..

      --
      Stupid people think it's cool. Smart people thinks it's a joke; also cool.
    71. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by djh101010 · · Score: 1

      I wrote:You need to price out a system for a home and find out just how prohibitive it is. Oh, and how often do you get hail in your area? What's the attrition rate of panels going to be just from weather, let alone electrical and other mechanical failures?

      to which you responded

      You've fallen in the same trap I mentioned in the previous line. I was referring to solar thermal energy (solar heating, aka passive solar).


      Sorry, but you're the one making assumptions now. I designed and built my house. Southern exposure with a glass-ceilinged room, as a sunroom. This passive solar energy is absorbed by a 16'x24'x12" concrete slab, with hydronic tubing in it. It's a textbook case of passive solar. In the ten years since I built the house, hail has taken out windows _twice_, despite them being properly rated for the application I'm using them for. Once it even penetrated and caused water damage, the other time merely was a window replacement and many hours of labor. If that had been billable time (if I hadn't done it) it would have been quite expensive indeed. Does it work? Sure, but you need to have an effective way to mitigate those same solar gains during the summer. Shades aren't effective. Vines aren't effective. The deciduous trees I've planted south of the house, will never be tall enough to block summer sun from coming in. So I need to dump excess heat from that area with an exhaust fan, completely negating the whole purpose of having a super-insulated house. Plywood covers on the outside may be an answer, but I'm on a windy hill. What I'm saying is that the logistics aren't as simple as the theory, as they never are. PV is even more of a non-starter, yes. But passive isn't the no-brainer that it would seem to be; also, it's hardly an option for city dwellers or anyone who can't design a house to take advantage of the geography.

    72. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by njh · · Score: 1

      Right, so as I've said in other responses, you followed the text book designs, which are a) expensive (particularly if you use glass!) and b) rarely give better than 10% offset to heating bills c) fail to work well even in theory. You live in your solar store, which makes it hard to keep warm in winter and hard to keep cool in summer. Living in the solar store requires far more thermal mass because you want to restrict the temperature variation which gives you less storage per J. Keeping your storage separate in an insulated box means you can heat it to say 50C with the attendant decrease in space.

      You also have your collector connected to the living area. This means that it is hard to control the heating rate. It means that you tend to lose your energy gains over night and on cloudy days. You want to use your collector as a window too, which means you need to use expensive and fragile materials.

      Here's one analysis trying to separate out the issues:

      http://www.ece.villanova.edu/~nick/solar/solar.htm l

      As an alternative, my friend's house's roof was breaking down. It was old cement tiles and they are very brittle and replacements unavailable. He was looking at zincalume/colourbond roof iron ($20/m^2), I instead proposed clear polycarbonate($10/m^2). When the sun is shining he can move heat from the roof using a large, slow ceiling type fan. Then it's colder in the roof the fan stops and the louvres close. The normal ceiling insulation provides the same insulation it did with the tiles, but now he can collect 100kW of heat when the sun is shining. In summer some 2' square louvres on the side let out the heat.

      At first he thought I was mad (well I am) but within a week he'd come back with pricing and within two weeks he'd done it. It cost him less than 3k (compared with 12k for replacement with tiles).

      He paid less for the passive solar solution than for roof iron, could install it himself without a permit, on an existing house, he can sit in the attic and look at the stars or the storm, it doesn't over heat in summer (no hotter than under tiles) and polycarbonate is quite hail proof (if it is damaged, it would have damaged the iron or tiles too, so he's still better off). The neighbours still think he's got roof iron rather than polycarbonate :)

      The basic problem is that people that came up with textbook passive solar (solar thermal) designs haven't actually done the design process. It's akin to the pain caused by web sites with javascript programmed by graphic designers, only far worse because we're talking about once off, hard to change designs. The first thing to do is to throw away your textbook and start thinking about the problem as a scientist and engineer.

    73. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by daigu · · Score: 1

      Very interesting. Thanks for posting the link. I'm still not sold on nuclear power, but it is clear I need to take a closer look and get more information on the risks and benefits.

    74. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by sjames · · Score: 1

      which produce easily purified plutonium, easily manufactured into bombs

      Actually, the plutonium produced in a breeder (or any reactor) is no easier to process into bomb grade material than it is to enrich natural uranium.

      Nor have we solved the waste storage problem - nuclear power produces large amounts of low grade waste (such as contaminated overalls) which we just keep shuffling around.

      It's more 'solved' than the waste from coal fired plants. Most of the low grade waste like overalls becomes harmless in year or 2. If the usable fuel is processed back out of the 'spent' fuel rods, the rest will become less radioactive than pitchblend within 500 years. The reprocessing can be quite safe if the facilities are adjacent to a complex of reactors.

      I am all in favor of practical solar power including simple passive solar energy for homes. However, that still leaves VAST amounts of energy that has to come from somewhere. Planes, trains, trucks, and busses certainly can't be solar powered. Industrial processes require a great deal of energy. It's not going to be all that great for the envoronment if we cut down all of the trees to make room for solar collecters.

      In other words, we need some other source in addition to solar, wind, and wave. Right now our choices are coal, oil, or nuclear. Of those, nuclear is the least likely to create widespread health problems. Coal already IS causing problems, they're just not reported that way. Burning coal releases mercury which ends up in fish. That's why pregnant women are advised to avoid eating fish. As for radiation, coal fired plants release more radiation (in the form of radon and thorium) uncontrolled into the environment than a nuclear plant.

      Just an odd aside, the chernobyl disaster has apparently been a boon to local wildlife. The radiation keeps humans out of the area allowing the animals to flourish. Since their natural lifespan is shorter than humans, they can stand a greater exposure since they will naturally die before the cumulative damage gets them. So from their POV, human habitation is far worse than nuclear waste.

    75. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by njh · · Score: 1

      Ok, I'm probably ill advised about the problems with nuclear, but I still think that we're better off reducing our energy demand rather than continuing down the path we are on. Things like lawns, shipping tomatos around the world and designing everything to be thrown away are examples of silly conspicuous consumption.

      So from their POV, human habitation is far worse than nuclear waste.

      History seems to show that human habitation is far worse for everything else. I'm suggesting we should try and reverse that, rather that bringing in more and more brute force solutions. I wish I knew how.

    76. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by Spellbinder · · Score: 1

      from your link:
      Problems include the high cost of fuel fabrication due partly to the high radioactivity of 233U which is a result of its
      contamination with traces of the short-lived 232U; the similar problems in recycling thorium due to highly radioactive
      228Th; some weapons proliferation risk of 233U; and the technical problems (not yet satisfactorily solved) in
      reprocessing. Much development work is still required before the thorium fuel cycle can be
      commercialised, and the effort
      required seems unlikely while
      (or where) abundant uranium is available.

      --


      stop supporting microsoft with pirating their software!!!!!
    77. Re:Environmentalists /= anti-nuke by sjames · · Score: 1

      Ok, I'm probably ill advised about the problems with nuclear, but I still think that we're better off reducing our energy demand rather than continuing down the path we are on. Things like lawns, shipping tomatos around the world and designing everything to be thrown away are examples of silly conspicuous consumption.

      I'm all for reducing demand wherever possible. It's just that unless we go back to living in caves and grunting, we will never reduce it to a point where we are free of the need for energy. Magically quadruple the efficiency of EVERYTHING and we will still be dependant on oil. The future looks more mechanized than ever, and that's a good thing. Machines should work, people should think. However, that means we need more energy from somewhere and it had better not destroy the planet in the process.

  8. Obvious Simpsons quote by Opportunist · · Score: 2, Funny

    Excellent...

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:Obvious Simpsons quote by ross.w · · Score: 1

      ...and we thank you O Lord for nuclear power, which has yet to cause a single proven fatality - at least in this country.

      Homer J. Simpson.

      --
      If my call is important, why am I talking to a recording?
  9. At last.. by SlyW · · Score: 1

    And I thought we were going to have to wait for colonization of Terminus before everyone agreed that Nuclear power is the best power.

  10. He came around a long time ago by moonbender · · Score: 4, Informative

    This isn't a new thing, as the article (summary) implies. Moore has had this stance for a while now. Here's a 2004 Wired article on this "Eco-Traitor."

    --
    Switch back to Slashdot's D1 system.
    1. Re:He came around a long time ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Moore is not an environmentalist. He inflates his credentials by association with Greenpeace in order to bolster his very profitable career as public relations flak for polluters and industrialists. He has taken similar stances counter to mainstream enviros before (on PBDEs, PVCs, the Three Gorges dam disaster, and many others). He speaks for fat cat capitalists and has no credibility among people who understand these issues and aren't motivated primarily by money.

      And he certainly doesn't speak for Greenpeace. To set the record straight, Greenpeace opposes his views on all of these issues.

      There are highly meritorious arguments on both sides of the nuclear debate. But for those of you in favor, it only weakens your case to have Moore in your camp because he sold out long ago.

  11. Posts? by ADRA · · Score: 1

    I think its a good step in the right direction. I think nuclear power doesn have the potential to be a very positive energy source now and to the future. I've always been a little environmentalist, but I never really understood the outcry from others about how evil nuclear is.

    The technology may have been iffy in its advent, and even though there is bi-product, try comparing it with oil/coal burning and its quantum leap forward IMHO. I think the bigger -hate- for Nuclear came from the common roots of environmentalists and anti-war crowds. It was just assumed de-facto that nuclear was an ill to this world like land mines and chemical weapons. It -can- have a positive purpose if used correctly.

    It doesn't solve the small-scale atonimous energy factory (car) problems, but it could at least cut down on the other energy waste going.

    --
    Bye!
    1. Re:Posts? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting
      It doesn't solve the small-scale atonimous energy factory (car) problems...

      Actually nuclear in conjunction with hydrogen power does just that. Hydrogen is only as dirty as the means used to produce it. So use nuclear to extract hydrogen for hydrogen fueled cars and we get a fairly significant reduction in pollution.

      That said for now hydrogen is still too early to deal with (I am a realist), but a switch to nuclear, espicaly with the very safe Pebble Bed reactor design, certainly would be a great start.

    2. Re:Posts? by ADRA · · Score: 1

      Insightful AC comment, simply amazing. I could almost swear slashdot's quality may actually be getting better.

      On topic, I can't say I have the same faith in hydrogen as I would in nuclear. Maybe its out of ignorance, but I've heard mized rumors on the environmental impact on hydrogen containment leaks and the effects on the environment. This again could be an early adopter problem with the technology, but I'm not be cheering for hydrogen quite yet.

      --
      Bye!
    3. Re:Posts? by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      The technology may have been iffy in its advent, and even though there is bi-product, try comparing it with oil/coal burning and its quantum leap forward IMHO.

      This is why I've never understood the anti-nuclear crowd. To me, it was always extremely simple: would you rather have nuclear plants producing waste that you need to bury somewhere, or would you rather have coal and oil-burning plants spewing pollutants into the atmosphere which you have to breathe? I know which one I'd pick.

      Maybe the anti-nuke people thought they could convince everyone to just not have any power plants, and go back to the days of the horse & buggy.

    4. Re:Posts? by crossconnects · · Score: 1

      >>>It doesn't solve the small-scale atonimous[sic] energy factory (car) problems, but it could at least cut down on the other energy waste going.

      Actually it could be a step in that direction if Electric vehicles could be viable. The problem with purely electric vehicles is the range and the need to charge for hours before being useful. Hybrid vehicles are not nearly as efficient as originally promised, but if they could be plugged into nuclear power plants for optional charging all around efficiency and cleaner air could result.

      --
      no big sig
    5. Re:Posts? by Anarchitect_in_oz · · Score: 1

      Can't the same be said for a number of technologies?

      From Hydrogen to bio-fuels. Not that rampant use of energy is advisable after all the Earth's energy cycle maybe about to cope allot better as we reduce our impact on the carbon cycle which it uses to balance the system, even still, we need to be careful as we will still be adding vast amounts of energy to the system which we are still relying on the Earth to waste into space at night.

      My concern with Nuclear is that like coal and oil, it is still digging up energy that the natural world locked up long ago, and we are still expecting the Earth to deal with the waste energy we produce.

      Sure it's important to reduce the amount of carbon we are taking out of the sink, but that doesn't take in to account that in the end it's atmospheric energy that causes stronger weather patterns. So if we replace all Carbon burning with Nuclear we are still having a major effect on the system. Maybe it will delay the big issues for a while. Where as the so called "Solar" Technologies (photovoltaic, wind, bio-fuels) are really just Hijacking the energy as it passes through.

      The bottom line is that we still need to look at our energy use and how we habitat our planet. I guess it still holds true that it's lots of little answers to the solution. Not even the same group of answers will suit all situations.

      --
      "Call us when the New age is old enough to drink" Beck
  12. I'm all for nuclear power by Swampfeet · · Score: 0, Insightful

    and wish we had moved to it in a big way the way France has, but this Moore fellow is an easily discredited shill for industry. He's not the representative we want to advance our cause. Richard Rhodes, James Lovelock, and Bernard Cohen have a hell of a lot better credibility.

  13. Egads! by TheJediGeek · · Score: 0
    Wouldn't that imply that they were more focused on the politics of the environmental movement rather than the science of it?

    Seriously, 30 years to realize that nuclear power is viable, and the other environmentalists still need to figure this out?

    This is the kind of thing that makes me keep my distance from most organized environmental groups. Too much political pandering without paying attention to the real situation.

    As a side note, how long do you have to wait in between posting? I can't help it if I read fast and have opinions about stories faster than the system will allow me.

  14. And in another 30 years? by Kohath · · Score: 1

    So 30 years from now, what new things will we be hearing the environmentalists say they were wrong about? And what price will we have paid for heeding their advice?

    Maybe people should use their own judgement, thoughtfully weigh all the facts, and consider the consequences instead of just doing whatever some environmental activists say.

    1. Re:And in another 30 years? by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yeah, exactly - cuz because some people in the past were wrong about a specific topic , everyone who says anything about something that makes you uncomfortable has to be wrong too.

      How about instead of grasping at straws, you actually look at the data? And I mean, all of the data, not just the one that makes you feel fuzzy and warm?

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    2. Re:And in another 30 years? by caffeination · · Score: 1
      A quote from my very crappy blog (no link = no blogspam):
      What we need is an established inactivism group, whose logo could be plastered onto some prominent, visible place, like a front door or forehead. Such a group would advocate the following complex, multi-layered belief system:
      1. You should wherever possible do the most right thing based on your best possible interpretation of a given situation based solely on the information available to you at the time and your experience as a person, and not on some stupid belief system.

      This little rule has served me well these last 2 months. Unfortunately, politicians already use it, and they tend to consider consequences like "Can I make a boatload of money off this yet?".

    3. Re:And in another 30 years? by petmo960 · · Score: 1

      What is it they are saying today, that they might turn out to be wrong about in another 30 years? Which environmentalists are we talking about? And who exactly is heeding their advice? Who else have, in retrospect, turned out to be wrong?

      The implication, of course, would be that a group of people ('A') said Nuclear Power was really dangerous 30 years ago, which, according to a person ('B'), speaking out today, was wrong; therefore the opinion of people ('C') who for a few decades have claimed Global Warming is a serious problem is something we shouldn't pay attention to.

      You're suggesting A = C, which isn't the case. C, for one thing, comprises the a majority of the scientific community (though not Michael Crichton, I grant you). Some of them might have tenure, but at least they are in their own pockets. I think the main problem is that C also includes Al Gore. This issue is bigger than him or Bush, so just leave those guys out of it.

    4. Re:And in another 30 years? by Kohath · · Score: 1

      Yeah, exactly - cuz because some people in the past were wrong about a specific topic , everyone who says anything about something that makes you uncomfortable has to be wrong too.

      They could be. It's worth considering that they are. That's why I argue for a thoughtful approach. For some reason there are always people who argue against a thoughtful approach. I wonder what their motives are?

    5. Re:And in another 30 years? by timbit · · Score: 1

      How dare you suggest that we slashdotters do our own thinking! You ought to sell your uid for such blasphemy against the groupthink. We have some excellent rhetoric and overdramatization going on here, and you have the gall to suggest that we approach something critically? For shame Kohath, for shame...

    6. Re:And in another 30 years? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When are people going to stop listening to the capitalists, the corporations, and the government to actually make decisions that are good for themselves and their communities? When will people stop being slaves to consumerism, racism, sexism, homophobia, speciesism, religion, government, bosses, etc? I'd like people to be able to think for themselves too. but we need to get rid of these too, and environmentalists would fall closer to the bottom of this list in importance.

    7. Re:And in another 30 years? by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1

      They could be wrong - of course. But all too often, this cry for "a thoughtful approach" is done before the data behind the initial claim has been analyzed. Or worse, when the data has been already analyzed in a thoughtful and careful fashion.

      I don't have a problem with a thoughtful approach. I have a problem with people hiding behind the call for a thoughtful approach when the thoughtful approach is right in front of them.

      Seriously, what do you expect to see before you would call the conclusions reached by climatologists worldwide as based on a "thoughtful approach"? Peer reviews? Done. Up the wazoo. Cross-referenced data from multiple sources? Done. Everything from modern technology to historical accounts have been combed over. Is there a hypothesis, complete with predictive power? Done. Has the hypothesis been tested against new data? Done. Has the data been analyzed by multiple people for accuracy? Done. Have the conclusions been verified against data sets not in the original study? Done.

      So now that we know that the process is sound, what's missing? The "right" conclusion, maybe?

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    8. Re:And in another 30 years? by Kohath · · Score: 1

      what's missing?

      A set of possible plans of specific action, together with an honest cost/benefit analysis of those plans.

      Also, a little less pimping of the global warming cause. Why not argue for an improved future rather than a horrible, horrible future that will still be bad if we listen to environmentalists, but not quite as bad? Some places will be better off with warmer temperatures. Which ones? How much better off?

      In the reasonable-case (not the worst-case, which is all we ever hear about) how big of a problem is global warming? Then we can weigh that against how big of a problem the proposed "solutions" are and decide.

      The whole thing would be a lot more believable without all the doomsday talk. Doomsday predictions have so-far always been wrong.

    9. Re:And in another 30 years? by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      s/environmental activists/oil industry lobbyists/

      The fact is, as hard as you try to paint yourself as the only rational, thinking person left in a world gone mad, you're actually just using one admission of error as a tool to discredit the entire movement. Faced with this sort of "rationality", what environmentalist is going to be persuaded to candidly consider his views on other subjects? Why should he, when he knows that making his peace with nuclear power is going to hurt every other cause he believes in?

      Better for him that he stays the course, refuses to admit error, and tells his supporters exactly what they want to hear. I don't mean better for his ego, but better for the causes he believes in.

      You're not being a judicious, even-handed thinker. You're being a partisan hack. Feel free to stop it, while considering that the environmentalists have been on the right side of history on plenty of occasions. The fact is, we'd be much worse off without the EPA, without the Endangered Species Act, or without the National Parks system (the people who set those up were considered obstacles to economic progress back in their day as well). I think they're on the right side of history in the global warming debate as well, but with so many forces arrayed on the wrong side, we're in for a few rough decades.

      You remind me (whether with good reason or not) of the selfish, power-hungry bastards who managed to convict John Kerry of the unforgivable sin of nuanced thinking in the eyes of the American people. When you don't allow your opposition the ability to be right once in a while, or use their admissions of one error as a weapon against everything they believe in, do you know what you end up with? A country without debate, without compromise, and without good ideas. We might as well just make Ann Coulter our Supreme Dictator for Life and be done with it.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    10. Re:And in another 30 years? by Kohath · · Score: 1

      what environmentalist is going to be persuaded to candidly consider his views on other subjects? Why should he, when he knows that making his peace with nuclear power is going to hurt every other cause he believes in?

      See, the cure for this is not to be so wrong in the first place. Had opposition to nuclear power been thoughtful rather than fearful, no one would be admitting they were wrong about anything. Nuclear power would have thrived instead of stagnated. California wouldn't have had those brownouts. There would be far less pollution. Gas would probably be a little cheaper because less crude would be used for home-heating oil. Industry could afford to pay workers more because they're spending less on power. But dishonest fearmongering won and everyone lost.

      Feel free to stop it, while considering that the environmentalists have been on the right side of history on plenty of occasions.

      Yes, they've helped some things. They've been right sometimes. Good for them when they are. It even excuses some of the minor excesses.

      But the fight's been won. The air is clean. The water is clean. The people won't be allowing it to go back to dirty.

      You're not being a judicious, even-handed thinker.

      What if I'm not? I'm still correct. The environmental fearmongering is wrong. Even if it weren't factually wrong, it's wrong to lie, exaggerate, appeal to hate, demonize, and terrify people for your own fund-raising or political benefit.

      Appeals to thoughtfulness are better than appeals to hate and fear. Period.

    11. Re:And in another 30 years? by phaggood · · Score: 1

      Doomsday predictions have so-far always been wrong.


      I predict the Earth will be completely uninhabitable in 5B years.

      You can quote me on this.

  15. Patrick Moore is not a modern environmentalist... by daVinci1980 · · Score: 1

    ...but he is what they should be.

    Patrick Moore was a founder of Green Peace, and he shows up on Penn & Teller Bullshit from time to time.

    Although, it's sort of unfair to label him an environmentalist these days... It's not that he's against the environment or anything, just that he has nothing to do with the enivormental movement anymore (he became disenfranchised when he realized the organization he had helped to found became a vehicle for political bashing). So he doesn't really share the views common of modern "environmentalists."

    He explains all of this in one of the P&T episodes. I don't remember which one, though.

    --
    I currently have no clever signature witicism to add here.
  16. Shill! by rjung2k · · Score: 5, Informative

    I'd be more impressed if Moore would admit that he's now serving as a consultant for the mining, logging, and energy industries.

    Hell, I'd settle for the Washington Post admitting that they're trying to pull one over its readership.

    1. Re:Shill! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What if he IS, and is advising those industries on what is ecologically sound?

    2. Re:Shill! by _newwave_ · · Score: 1

      Why don't you stop with the ad hominem and address the point of what he is saying about nuclear power?

    3. Re:Shill! by Qwavel · · Score: 2, Insightful


      That would be fine, but then you can't go and write an opinion piece in the paper without full disclosure. Billing him as 'co-founder of greenpeace' is totally misleading.

      The idea that people don't know what is wrong with this is very depressing.

    4. Re:Shill! by deesine · · Score: 1

      Because he, like the other eco-Nazis here, can't stand the fact that one of their trusted leaders has turned pragmatic.

      --
      damaged by dogma
    5. Re:Shill! by Qwavel · · Score: 1


      The authority and motivation of the source is very relevant, as we can tell by how prominently he is being billed as 'co-founder of Greenpeace' both by the Washington Post and by Slashdot. I'm not in a position to judge and debate every statement made in the article so I need to start with some idea about whether the source is trust-worthy.

      I agree with what he wrote, but I am thankful to the person who started this thread for making me aware that I should not take the article seriously. I gained great respect for the Washington Post based on a book I read about it, but their billing of this OP has made me lose a bit of that.

    6. Re:Shill! by 2short · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What he's saying about nuclear power is not particularly notable.

      The fact that a "Founder of Greenpeace" is saying it is what is news-worthy. Who he (supposedly) is is the story. So it's perfectly reasonable to point out that "Founder" is a stretch, and "longtime paid lobbyist for any well-heeled industry with eco-image problems that will cut him a check" is a much more relevant description of who he is.

      What he is actually saying about nuclear power is not terribly worth discussing; it's the nuke-industry party line he's paid to spout. It's as irrationally pro-nuclear as the actual founders of Greenpeace are anti-nuclear. Neither makes a good starting point for discussion.

    7. Re:Shill! by Mr.+Flibble · · Score: 1

      I would settle for the Daily Kos to cease using Ad-Hominim attacks in their posts. So much of their message is undermined by this.

      It is almost as if Daily Kos is opposed to the fundamentals of economics in their pursuit of being anti-republican/pro-democrat. And, as a Canadian I don't care much about either party either way. I just find that Daily Kos undermines their position with pointless personal attacks. But then again, Daily Kos is a popular blog because of it, and Fox is popular for a similar reason.

      Sad really, it is otherwise an excellent source of political news.

      --
      Try to hack my 31337 firewall!
    8. Re:Shill! by nicedayout · · Score: 1

      exactly

    9. Re:Shill! by spiritu · · Score: 1

      The parent (ironically titled "Shill!") is repeating a talking point being spread about by the eco-nuts themselves, thus shilling for the enviro-nuts. The WaPo printed this as the disclosure on the end of the article, clearly showing Moore's industry ties: "Patrick Moore, co-founder of Greenpeace, is chairman and chief scientist of Greenspirit Strategies Ltd. He and Christine Todd Whitman are co-chairs of a new industry-funded initiative, the Clean and Safe Energy Coalition, which supports increased use of nuclear energy." (emphasis mine).

      This is full disclosure from the WaPo, people. The Kos Kidz are split on this issue, but the anti-nuke kidz seem to be rallying around hearsay whilst the pro-nuke kidz seem to be rallying around, dare I say it, science.

      The anti-nuke folks, to their shame, are on the same side of science as the anti-evolution folks.

    10. Re:Shill! by DreadPiratePizz · · Score: 1

      From your link: - Moore was "on retainer to the Canadian Pulp and Paper Association to tour European countries to counter advocacy by environmental groups for a boycott of British Columbian forest products" from 1992-1996. - Moore acted as "consultant to the National Association of Forest Industries in Australia for a national tour defending the logging of native forests" Logging is NOT BAD for the environment. If done properly, more trees will be planted, and no animals will lose their habitats. Most paper is made from trees grown for specifically that purpose. Of the forests that are cut down, the trees are replaced, and the logging rotated. In fact, we have more forest now than we have ever had. Similar things can be said about mining and energy, the point is that the man should not be critisized for doing this. He cares for the environment, but simply isn't anti-corporation/globalization like so many that have perverted his once fine greenpeace organization.

    11. Re:Shill! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even though I am very pro-nuclear power (in a "not really sure what the end results would be, but I can see the end results of oil dependance, and they ain't pretty", kind of way), I thought this post on DailyKos was very appropriate.
      In opinion pieces like this, a person's credentials are really what make the story notable or not, and this was being sold as "peacenik activist learns to love nuclear", when it was really "well paid lobbyist for anti-environmental industries learns to love nuclear". Just look at the Slashdot headline. We already know most people don't RTFA, let alone the DailyKos link about the article, so now you've got 10,000 slashdotters who think environmentalists are "coming around to nuclear power", which is way off the mark for the story.
      In this case, The Washington Post is at fault, because they clearly sold the story in an inaccurate way. Perhaps if they had sold it as what is was, it might have been more likely to generate substantiative debate, rather than controversy over the author.

    12. Re:Shill! by plilja · · Score: 1

      Actually, there is disclosure on this. It is stated outright at the bottom of the article (One does need to read the whole thing to find out...) From the article: "Patrick Moore, co-founder of Greenpeace, is chairman and chief scientist of Greenspirit Strategies Ltd. He and Christine Todd Whitman are co-chairs of a new industry-funded initiative, the Clean and Safe Energy Coalition, which supports increased use of nuclear energy."

  17. The amount of uranium by Peter+Cooper · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I seem to recall that something similar to this was brought up a few months ago here at Slashdot and several seemingly very intelligent posters made citations and pointed out that the amount of uranium we have available that can be processed will last for only a very limited timespan and that nuclear perhaps isn't the best way to go.

    Of course, there's always the "we'll run out of oil by 1995" theories running around, but the arguments seemed quite compelling. I can't find them again now, but what's the real deal with this? If the whole world went nuclear, would we all be desperate for sources of uranium in fifty years' time?

    1. Re:The amount of uranium by Cybert8 · · Score: 1

      I remember around a two-century time. It is, of course, a lot more energy dense so new sources would go a big way. The future might be in sea water fusion which is practically limitless.

    2. Re:The amount of uranium by moonbender · · Score: 1

      Yes, that's correct as far as I know. But you know how this will turn out: a couple of people will post the numbers, another few will bash them for those numbers, saying they're either incorrect or irrelevant. And around and around. In the end, no one will be any smarter and the side with more time on their hands will win the debate by having the last word.

      --
      Switch back to Slashdot's D1 system.
    3. Re:The amount of uranium by DirePickle · · Score: 5, Informative
      I don't have the figures or a link on me at the moment, but a little googling should lead the way. I had heard the same thing a number of times, and believed it. But I found some info (on wikipedia, maybe. Not that that should be a sole source) that said that although the amount of cheap and easy nuclear fuel could be expended in fifty years, it's possible to use breeder reactors and the more plentiful Uranium-238 and such to give us sufficient nuclear fuel for another few thousand years.

      Went ahead and hunted for the link:

      Wikipedia: Nuclear Power

      I am not a nuclear physicist, so it could be full of crap, but wiki's science info is generally pretty sound.

    4. Re:The amount of uranium by partofthething · · Score: 2, Interesting

      While it is true that at the supply of cheap fissile Uranium-235 (the fuel for conventional nuclear reactors) could possibly run out within 50-100 years, options such as fast breeder reactors and thorium-based fuel cycles have the capability to continue fueling conventional reactors for hundreds of years. The advanced reactors can run on abundant resources while producing excess fissile material. They actually produce more fuel than they burn. They also can process spent fuel (nuclear waste), converting most of it into usable fuel and the rest of it to a form that will only be of concern for 500 years as opposed to 100s of thousands. The advanced reactors could produce enough electricity using only the accumulated nuclear waste in the USA to power the whole country for at least 200 years. That's something worth looking into.

      Believe it or not, but George Bush has already proposed and funded the Global Nuclear Energy Partnership (GNEP), which utilizes advanced reactors to ensure a supply of nuclear fuel well into the future. Development of the advanced reactors has been underway since the 60s but now it is really picking up again. In my Nuclear Engineering department at The University of Michigan, for one, there are a group of professors and graduate students devoting lots of time to designing fuel cycles and looking at safety concerns of sodium-cooled fast-reactors, one particular option for the advanced reactors.

      The advanced concepts will not be ready to be deployed for at least 15 years at best. So keep up the good words for nuclear power and we'll have an environmentally safe energy source. For more information on what the nuclear community is looking into, check out the generation 4 roadmap at: http://gif.inel.gov/roadmap/

    5. Re:The amount of uranium by cartman · · Score: 1

      I've been doing alot of reading on this subject, and according to what I can determine, the supply of nuclear fuel is practically inexhaustible. The "50 year" figure is based on currently known reserves using once-through reactors. That 50-year figure is wildly inaccurate, for several reasons:

      1. Advanced breeder reactors can use U-238 fuel, not just U-235 like conventional reactors. U-238 is much more plentiful than U235--there's more than 100x as much. And breeder reactors are not a "pie in the sky" technology. France operated a 1GW commercial breeder reactor for years; and although it wasn't cost-competitive it did power hundreds of thousands of homes. Further refinements to the technology could make it cost-competitive.

      2. We haven't searched for Uranium very hard yet, because it's always been plentiful and inexpensive. If corporations started seriously searching for the stuff (in response to price increases) then they'd likely find that the available reserves are many times what we know about now.

      3. Particulate uranium is present in the oceans, in massive quantities. There's thousands of times as much uranium available in seawater as in terrestrial reserves. True, Uranium extracted from seawater costs $400/kg. But the cost of Uranium is a very small portion of the cost of nuclear power as a whole (most of the cost is for the reactors), so the cost of nuclear power would increase only 10% or so if we had to gather Uranium from the oceans.

      4. Uranium is not the only fissile element. Thorium can also be bred into U-233 which can be used in nuclear reactors. There's more than 3x as much thorium as uranium.

      ...So let's calculate how much Uranium we have. We have enough for 50 years in known reserves using once-through reactors. But breeder reactors increase that amount by 100x, leaving enough for 5,000 years. And then we can start searching for Uranium in earnest, and if we assume (conservatively) that 3x as much exists in unknown reserves, we have enough for 15,000 years. Then we can filter Uranium from ocean water, leaving enough for a few hundren thousand years. Then we can use Thorium for nuclear fuel, leaving enough for ~1 million years.

      By that time, there will be other options.

    6. Re:The amount of uranium by quanminoan · · Score: 1
      I seem to recall that something similar to this was brought up a few months ago here at Slashdot and several seemingly very intelligent posters made citations and pointed out that the amount of uranium we have available that can be processed will last for only a very limited timespan and that nuclear perhaps isn't the best way to go.

      The uranium used in slow neutron reactors, or most commercial US reactors, is in fact in limited supply - but even if we just used that uranium we would have thousands of years of energy available. Using the newer reactor designs with other isotopes/elements we have hundreds of thousands of years available (using fast neutron or breeder reactors). Surely by then we'll have figured out fusion ;)

      Of course, there's always the "we'll run out of oil by 1995" theories running around, but the arguments seemed quite compelling.

      You're probably referring to peak oil production, which most agree now is very real. Peak oil may have already passed us in the 90s, or maybe it's coming within a decade - either way it's soon (just look at the oil prices now). Hubbert was the economist that came up with the theory of peak oil, and though people were originally very critical of his theory after seeing data correlate very closely to his projections they listened.

      Economists have run simulations using system dynamics and so forth to find the "weak points" of the US economy - basically simulating various catastrophes and seeing if the economy as a whole could adjust. Surprisingly, our economy was shown to be remarkably strong with the exception of one area - our oil market. Destroy some refineries and cut back the supply and the economy couldn't recover.

      Mind you those were just simulations, but they helped to illustrate a point. Our nation is in fact addicted to oil, and while other countries have realized this and lowered their dependence through alternative energy we are lagging far behind. Nuclear energy is the only answer.

    7. Re:The amount of uranium by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I seem to recall that something similar to this was brought up a few months ago here at Slashdot and several seemingly very intelligent posters made citations and pointed out that the amount of uranium we have available that can be processed will last for only a very limited timespan and that nuclear perhaps isn't the best way to go.

      Those numbers are correct if you're using the stupid and wasteful nuclear technology used in America. The numbers are extremely incorrect if you're using the nuclear technology used in the rest of the world.

      Nuclear power is not sustainable unless you use breeder reactors, and breeder reactors are illegal in America.

    8. Re:The amount of uranium by srw · · Score: 4, Informative

      Disclaimer: I own stock in the world's largest uranium mining company.

      It has been stated that the world will run out of uranium in 50 years, or variations thereof. The problem with this statement is you have to ignore a lot of facts to come up with it. This statement assumes that the uranium deposits currently being mined are all that there is. The fact is, we're currently sitting on at least 50 years worth, and there is no real reason to start mining new deposits at this time. As these deposits get depleted, and as (if) the market price of uranium rises, more exploration will be done, and more deposits will be mined. If the price rises high enough, it becomes feasable to "mine" the uranium dissolved in the oceans. If it rises even higher, it becomes feasable to produce it in breeder reactors. In short, the world is _not_ running out of uranium. Second, the "50 year" statement assumes that we will not improve our reactor technology. In north america, we're still running 30+ year old reactors that only remove 5% of the available energy in the uranium. The "waste" that comes out of these reactors can be processed and put through again, or can be used in newer designs to extract more energy from the same uranium. So, ignoring the idea of finding new reserves to mine, if we improve our efficiency to even 50%, we'll now have 500 years worth. (of course, now _I'm_ ignoring the inevitable fact that we will consume more than our current rate over the next 500 years.)

    9. Re:The amount of uranium by AaronW · · Score: 1

      There was actually a good article on this in the December Scientific American. There would be no shortage of fuel if we were to build breeder reactors which can convert U238, where we have a large supply, to plutonium and other fissionable fuels. The article goes on to say that the amount of dangerous radioactive waste from this type of reactor is a small fraction of other types of reactors (including pebble bed). The article can be found at Scientific American: Smarter Use of Nuclear Waste [ ENERGY ]
      Unfortunately, it requires registration to read.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    10. Re:The amount of uranium by synergy3000 · · Score: 1

      There is also thorium as well.

    11. Re:The amount of uranium by blank+axolotl · · Score: 1

      Old post of mine:

      'uranium reserves' only includes discovered resources: The more good locations we discover, the more our reserves increase.

      From http://www.uic.com.au/nip75.htm [uic.com.au] Current usage is about 68,000 tU/yr. Thus the world's present measured resources of uranium in the lower cost category (3.5 Mt) and used only in conventional reactors, are enough to last for some 50 years. This represents a higher level of assured resources than is normal for most minerals. Further exploration and higher prices will certainly, on the basis of present geological knowledge, yield further resources as present ones are used up. There was very little uranium exploration between 1985 and 2005, so a significant increase in exploration effort could readily double the known economic resources, and a doubling of price from present levels could be expected to create about a tenfold increase in measured resources, over time.

      From http://www.magma.ca/~jalrober/Chapter14c.htm [magma.ca] Large amounts of uranium exist: it is about as abundant as tin. At the current rate of consumption (35,000 tonnes per year) and prices, known uranium resources of four million tonnes represent about 65 years consumption at current rates, comparable with about 42 years for oil and 62 years for natural gas.

      I read a lot of estimates of the 'true' amount of uranium, so I'm not sure anyone really knows. Most estimates are around a couple hundred years (more than fossil fuel, but still not a long term solution)

    12. Re:The amount of uranium by Chris+Oz · · Score: 1

      While I acknowledge that there are some undiscovered uranium deposits, I do not believe that there are significant amounts yet to be discovered. As I understand it uranium occurs with other minerals that we have been actively looking for for the last 50 years or more. So it is a bit miss leading to suggest that just because we haven't been looking for it explicitly then we should be able to find a mother load somewhere when we start to use it. Regarding running out, I think this is more of an issue for space travel; there are plenty of other energy strategies on Earth. At present nuclear looks to be one of the better power sources for prolonged space travel so why use it all up down here before we can use it in the safety of space. It is my view that the reason that industry likes nuclear is that it does not go against there broader message "consumption is good". The alternatives are to consume less and use less profitable alternatives (for industry that is). Hence they are simply saying consume more we have clean nuclear, rather than saying consume less ie turn off your lights when you don't need them, catch public transport, ride a bike, and don't buy our crap energy hungry disposable product.

    13. Re:The amount of uranium by starman97 · · Score: 1

      Is that 50 years at our current rates of use?
      or 50 years at nukes replace all oil, coal and natural gas rates of use?

      Big difference.

      --
      Starman97@Gmail.com (bring it on spammers)
    14. Re:The amount of uranium by srw · · Score: 1
      According to another post in this thread: ( http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=183356&cid=151 45896 )
      The Earth's crust is estimated to contain over 30 trillion tonnes of Uranium. To date we've mined 2 million tonnes of this.


      As for your anti-consumption/anti-profit message... what's wrong with consumption, provided we find clean ways to consume? I find it interesting that you see "industry" as a cohesive group with a clear agenda.

      What "plenty of" other strategies are there for clean energy on earth? (Please don't say wind... do the math. it doesn't work.)

    15. Re:The amount of uranium by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The same can be said of oil and gas reserves...

      "As these deposits get depleted, and as the price of [oil or gas] rises, more exploration will be done, and more deposits will be mined"

      "...the '50 year' statement assumes we will not improve our [internal combustion engine or fuel cell] technology"

      Now, I agree that nuclear would address climate change concerns and may be a better solution. But, looking at it objectively, it's still a non-renewable, non-sustainable natural resource that produces undesireable byproducts.

    16. Re:The amount of uranium by srw · · Score: 1
      Is that 50 years at our current rates of use?
      or 50 years at nukes replace all oil, coal and natural gas rates of use?

      Does it really matter? Apparently, so far, we have mined about 0.000007% of the available uranium in the earth's crust.

      Eventually, we will be able to use breeder reactors, so we can use the abundant U-238 (99.3%) instead of the much less abundant U-235. (0.7%)

      I do believe the one propaganda piece I read indicated it was 50 years at the current rate of consumption if we replaced all our energy with nuclear.

      Here is a short discussion of the issue: http://www.nuclearfaq.ca/cnf_sectionG.htm#uranium_ supply

      Wikipedia also contains a discussion here:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power

    17. Re:The amount of uranium by srw · · Score: 1

      > The same can be said of oil and gas reserves...

      Except that we've already sucked half of the available oil out of the ground. (Read: almost all the easy stuff) Now that the price is higher, we're going after the harder stuff like the oilsands in northern Alberta and Saskatchewan.

      We're nowhere close to that when it comes to uranium. Using U238 in breeder reactor designs, estimates of our supply range from 10,000 years to 5,000,000,000 years. With any luck we'll have fusion figured out before then.

    18. Re:The amount of uranium by Nocterro · · Score: 1

      Hard to know, given we are still finding more deposits whenever we look, whether they are all there are. In fact, here in South Australia (with most of the uranium deposits of the worlds second largest uranium producer, the industry is growing rapidly. The major reason no-one knows how much uranium we have so far has simply been that until recently uranium exploration has been politically unpopular.
      (Irony: The australian government intended to create a dump site for low level waste, and had agreed with WMC (now owned by BHP) to establish a low level site at their roxby downs mine, once a site could be found where there was insufficent uranium to be cost-effective to mine for. The only problem; two years later they still have not found the edges of the deposit.)

      --
      [clever sig]
    19. Re:The amount of uranium by cliffski · · Score: 1

      Maybe im missing something, but im damned SURE we arent running out of tides or sun or wind. All 3 technologies are 100% safe, and here in the UK, the tidal and wind energy potential is huge. This also makes for a much more decentralised and distributed system, resistant to mass failure / attack.
      Sure these energy sources are expensive, but recent quotes put the decommissioning costs for our current nukes at 70 billion pounds , thats around 120 billion dollars. When we are talking sums like that, I cant help thinking we could build a serious amount of large offshore wind and tidal barrages and get the same power.
      Given that the safety record of nuclear stations in the UK is disgracefull, id prefer to have penny pinching companies cut safety corners on wind turbines than reactor cooling systems.

      --
      DRM-free indie games for the PC and Mac: Positech Games
    20. Re:The amount of uranium by Llywelyn · · Score: 1

      Wind power will not work for most large-scale power grids for one simple reason.

      The amount of power produced is proportional to the speed of wind CUBED.

      What this means is that, if for some reason the wind speed drops by half for one day, the company will get blackouts since the system cannot adapt to its wind generators now producing only 12.5% of the power they produced the day before.

      Wind power is all fine and good, but power companies have trouble using it as a primary source of power in most places simply because it is too unpredictable.

      --
      Integrate Keynote and LaTeX
    21. Re:The amount of uranium by cliffski · · Score: 1

      agreed. But solar, wind, tidal all combined must be pretty close to infallible as a combined solution?

      --
      DRM-free indie games for the PC and Mac: Positech Games
    22. Re:The amount of uranium by Dastardly · · Score: 1

      Yes, we are. First, all of that is solar. Second we eat a significant portion of that solar, and if we don't want to be the only living creatures aside from those that live off us, other animals eeat that solar. Plus, their are inedible polants that eat that solar.

      And, we do need fresh water so a significant portion of that energy converts salt water to freshwater. And, if we want rivers and lakes we should waste some of that solar energy to let the water flow down hill. And, to avoid weather disruption some needs to be wasted on heating the planet normally.

      Terrestial solar is definitely a finite resource, and could be much more finite than you think. Have you mutiplied the solar energy in an American diet times 6 billion people. Then compare that to total solar insolation.

      Space based solar is a much bigger resource and effectivly infinite until we figure some really neat new things to use all that energy for.

  18. born-again big business shill by SledgeHBK · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I used to think Big Macs were the bomb until I ate a Whopper. Whopper's are much better.

  19. Amazing by AKAImBatman · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Wow. I mean... just... wow. I knew that the anti-nuclear movement had long been losing steam, but to get a Greenpeace founder on board? Wow.

    Perhaps even more amazing is that he really does understand the pros and cons. His article spells out in plain language that Nuclear power is not dangerous, and that the chance for nuclear weapons is a small risk to take to reduce the amount of pollution coming from coal plants. To read this, you'd think he was a regular on NuclearSpace.com!

    Some excellent sound-bites: ... Nuclear energy is the only large-scale, cost-effective energy source that can reduce these emissions while continuing to satisfy a growing demand for power ... ... What nobody noticed [...] was that Three Mile Island was in fact a success story: The concrete containment structure did [...] prevent radiation from escaping into the environment ...

    ... Wind and solar power have their place, but because they are intermittent and unpredictable they simply can't replace big baseload plants such as coal, nuclear and hydroelectric ...

    ... Within 40 years, used fuel has less than one-thousandth of the radioactivity it had when it was removed from the reactor. And it is incorrect to call it waste, because 95 percent of the potential energy is still contained in the used fuel after the first cycle. ...

    (The emphasis is mine. This is the first time I've ever heard a hard-core environmentalist promote nuclear recycling. It's just incredible!)

    ... And even if a jumbo jet did crash into a reactor and breach the containment, the reactor would not explode. There are many types of facilities that are far more vulnerable, including liquid natural gas plants, chemical plants and numerous political targets. ...

    ... If we banned everything that can be used to kill people, we would never have harnessed fire. The only practical approach to the issue of nuclear weapons proliferation is [...] to use diplomacy and, where necessary, force ...

    Everything he says in his article is basically true. I never thought I'd find myself in 100% agreement with Greenpeace, but at this very moment I can't disagree with anything he's said. Kudos to you, Mr. Moore!

    1. Re:Amazing by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 1

      >Nuclear power is not dangerous

      Of course it is. All energy generation is. Nuclear has the advantage of being compact and easier to isolate from the environmemt. It's simply less dangerous than anything you could replace it with.

    2. Re:Amazing by A+Bugg · · Score: 1

      I would like to correct something you said. While dose rates on irradiated fuel are substantially lower after 40 years they aren't exactly negligible and they are not 1000 times less.

      www.riverkeeper.org/document.php/293/Policy_Paper_ _S.doc

      In this paper you can see what the does rates are 1, 5, 10, and 50 years after being removed from the core.

      And trust me 8,640 REM on contact after 50 years is a ton. It's a lethal does for most people in five minutes.

      Don't take this to mean that I am anti-nuclear, actually I am the exact opposite. I work in a nuke plant. I just wanted to get the facts out.

    3. Re:Amazing by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      Anything concentrated is potentially dangerous: chemical fuels, fissionable materials, money, political power. It is that high concentration that makes them useful, you just have to watch your step.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    4. Re:Amazing by arpk4n3 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it's absolutely amazing; an 'environmentalist' believes the media spin provided by the United States government and media following the TMI accident. The accident released 2.4 million curies into the atmosphere, including radioactive noble gases! For those of you non-chemists, a curie is equal to 3.7x10^10 decays per second. That's not significant radiation?
       
      Now, Cesium-137 (which was being tracked to determine the extent of radioactive fallout) has a half-life of 30 years. After 4 decades, therefore, the radioactivity of the fallout would not be 1/1,000 the strength, but just under one half! In terms of spent nuclear fuel from nuclear reactors, where the hell do expect to be able to store it if we continue at this pace? The entire bedrock and soil would be radioactive, as well as water seepage and atmospheric pollution! The half-life of Pu-240 is 6,560 years, and the half-life of Pu-239 is 24,110 years! That's longer than steel or iron will last, my friend.
       
      If you follow the Chernobyl accident, the problem they're facing now is that the sarcophagus they placed around the core (which melted down 60% in the accident, devastating the USSR and especially Finland and the rest of Scandanavia) is buckling and falling apart. This lobbyist really doesn't know the facts; rather, he formed his opinion a priori and shunted all other relevant facts and interdisciplinary persepctives which may suggest the duplicitous misinformation of his words.
       
      Amazing, isn't it?

    5. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah, yes. Another hippie who's brutally ignorant of the meaning of "half-life".

      Hint: the longer the half-life something has, the LESS RADIOACTIVE IT IS. BY DEFINITION.

    6. Re:Amazing by arpk4n3 · · Score: 1

      No, the longer the half-life means the longer it is radioactive...by definition.

      Plutonium's atomic mass is greater than Cesium or Strontium's, and thus it has more to decay. Radioactivity is the discharge of energy in the form of alpha, beta, and gamma radiation: gamma being the most deadly. A half-life has very little to do with exactly how radioactive an atom is. Just because it takes longer to break down doesn't mean that it doesn't emit fewer hazardous particles. Some of the noble gasses, for example, are unstable and with half lives of mere minutes, but they do not emit the alpha, beta, gamma radiation which makes plutonium, uranium, strontium, cesium, radium, etc deadly.

      Insert complementary and reactionary ad hominem here.

      Please, I encourage you to read.

    7. Re:Amazing by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      I would like to correct something you said.

      You mean, something he said. I was just quoting.

      While dose rates on irradiated fuel are substantially lower after 40 years they aren't exactly negligible and they are not 1000 times less.

      That depends on the state the fuel is in. Unused fuel does not decrease a 1000 fold because it has an extremely long half-life. But then again, it's nowhere near as dangerous. The state of fuel after being burned is extremely radioactive, but then it tends to have a shorter half life. The really hot stuff disappears within minutes, days, or months. (Depending on the precise material.) Many of the remaining materials have a half-life short enough to lose massive potency within 40 years. (e.g. Pu-238 has a half-life of 87 years.)

      So his figure of "1000 fold" isn't necessarily incorrect, but it is perhaps naive as it lacks proper context.

    8. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just because it takes longer to break down doesn't mean that it doesn't emit fewer hazardous particles.

      What the fuck is wrong with you? You're right in the fact that because it takes longer to "break down", dosen't mean that it dosen't release fewer ionizing particles. Nobody argues that! The point is, it releases less particles per second/minute/hour/day/month/year/$timeframe. That's pretty intuitive, isn't it?! In that sense, yes, materials that have longer half-lives ARE LESS RADIOACTIVE, because you can safely be around them longer than materials that emit more particles FASTER, if all else were equal... You're line of thinking is analogous to watts i.e. Joules/second, Joules on their own are pretty useless measurement. WE LIVE IN A UNIVERSE WITH MORE THAN 3 DIMESNISONS, you know.


      Some of the noble gasses, for example, are unstable and with half lives of mere minutes, but they do not emit the alpha, beta, gamma radiation which makes plutonium, uranium, strontium, cesium, radium, etc deadly.


      Okay, so if these noble gasses don't release alphas, they don't release betas, and they don't release gammas, THEN WHAT MAKES THEM HAVE A HALFLIFE? Do they release some magical pixie dust particles that science has yet to come to grips with? Are magical pixie particles responsible for black holes, and all that matter out there in space that we can't seem to locate? Is it responsible for GRAVITY?

      I've met middleschoolers that have had a better understanding of nuclear physics than you seem to posess, hell, I've met homeless bums out on the street that would blow your mind!

  20. It is real, look out the window by brunes69 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Global warming and climate change are real and undenyable. All it takes is some sampling of weather patterns over the past few hundred years (since we have been recording them) to note the drastic shifts in the past few decades.

    It is absolutely not refutable that change is occuring. What is refuta ble is whether or not it is because of a natural cycle, or because of man-made change.

    But the thing is, it does not matter what the cause is. If the cycle continues it will certainly, without a doubt, lead to the death of us as a civilization, whether we were the cause or not.

    Hence the concern. It doesn't matter if we are the root cause or not, we're the only species on the planet with the capability to reduce and possibly reverse the cycle.

    1. Re:It is real, look out the window by ndansmith · · Score: 4, Funny

      I concur! There seems to be a lot more hot air circulating around Slashdot . . .

    2. Re:It is real, look out the window by Kohath · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If the cycle continues it will certainly, without a doubt, lead to the death of us as a civilization, whether we were the cause or not.

      Yeah, shorter winters and longer growing seasons. I'm out of my mind with panic already.

    3. Re:It is real, look out the window by Tackhead · · Score: 2, Insightful
      > It is absolutely not refutable that change is occuring. What is refuta ble is whether or not it is because of a natural cycle, or because of man-made change.
      >
      >But the thing is, it does not matter what the cause is. If the cycle continues it will certainly, without a doubt, lead to the death of us as a civilization, whether we were the cause or not.
      >
      >Hence the concern. It doesn't matter if we are the root cause or not, we're the only species on the planet with the capability to reduce and possibly reverse the cycle.

      Boy, am I glad you weren't gloabl emperor in the 70s when "it was absolutely not refutable" that the problem was global cooling, and not warming.

      That's the indelicate way of saying that it bloody well does matter what the cause is, because unless you understand the cause, you're likely to apply the wrong solution, because the correct solution to "natural" global cooling in the 70s would have been to ignite every coal seam on fire in order to dump as much CO2 into the atmosphere as possible to keep things warm.

    4. Re:It is real, look out the window by caffeination · · Score: 2, Insightful
      It's not a question of whether or not we can do anything about it, it's whether we should. Why should we tune the ecosystem to our own benefit, when the planet has gone through things like ice-ages which have only served to refine the life here?

      A lot hinges on the question of whether the changes are our doing. If they're not, we should adapt ourselves, not the planet. If they are, we need to start controlling ourselves. Your view of the solution sounds a bit external to humans ("reverse the cycle") for my tastes, though my impression may be wrong.

    5. Re:It is real, look out the window by sendtwogrey · · Score: 1

      But the thing is, it does not matter what the cause is. If the cycle continues it will certainly, without a doubt, lead to the death of us as a civilization, whether we were the cause or not.

      No, life will go on. If we slip into and Ice age the landmasses on the equator will be habitable or the northern and southern extremes should we slip the other way. A nuclear winter from the fight over who will own the land masses may be another story.

    6. Re:It is real, look out the window by moro_666 · · Score: 1

      not everywhere the winters get shorter by this.

      and besides, you know the domino theory, if the domino starts to fall, and it will eventually 'fall on your crops' so there's no environment for your stuff to grow in, what exactly will the long summer be good for ?

      i wouldn't be so obsessed with end-of-the-world theory though, things are just going to change and we'll see what's going to happen. it aint good but right now we can't anymore do much about it neither, too little too late.

      ps. if you drive a suv and drive it alone to get to your office which 2km away and you take a 10km route to do it, i still hate you :)

      --

      I'd tell you the chances of this story being a dupe, but you wouldn't like it.
    7. Re:It is real, look out the window by DirePickle · · Score: 1, Insightful

      And droughts. And more powerful storms. And the melting of the glaciers on Greenland and Antarctica, and the resulting 10' rise in oceans heights. And the disruption of the jet stream to northern Europe. And the ensuing famines. And the flooding of coastal areas.

      Certainly, as a people the world can surely overcome the coming troubles, but it won't be pleasant. You want to take in the tens of millions of displaced people? If you're in the US, do you remember the trouble that the loss of part of one city caused, last year?

      Sure, maybe the hundreds of scientists are wrong. But, you know, maybe they're right too? Shouldn't an attempt be made to curtail some of this?

    8. Re:It is real, look out the window by Golias · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But the thing is, it does not matter what the cause is. If the cycle continues it will certainly, without a doubt, lead to the death of us as a civilization, whether we were the cause or not.

      I was with you up until that point.

      We don't know whether another three degrees of warming over the next century (which is what the most pessimistic of Global Warming predictors are saying will happen regardless of what changes we make) will, on balance, be a Good Thing or a Bad Thing.

      Historically, periods of warm climates have been more prosperous for mankind than cool eras, because most of the land in the world lies outside the tropics.

      All the Ice melting off Greenland might suck if you live in Venice, New Orleans, or some other port town that is mostly below sea level, but it's the best news ever if you've invested in any arctic real estate.

      I'm a big fan of going to nuclear as an incrimental step towards Solar, fusion, or some other, better power source... not because I buy in to "greenhouse" climate models, but rather because I like the idea of cleaner air in our cities. It just plain makes sense, no matter which side of the Global Warming debate you are on.

      --

      Information wants to be anthropomorphized.

    9. Re:It is real, look out the window by irablum · · Score: 1
      ps. if you drive a suv and drive it alone to get to your office which 2km away and you take a 10km route to do it, i still hate you :)
      I have an SUV. a Suburban. A Big one. and I drive alone to work every day. but not in that. at $3 per gallon it sits in the driveway for those times when my wife must go to the store dragging kids (which isn't more than 2 or 3 times a week) I drive an old 300 ZX that gets >20 mpg (sorry, can't afford a better car w/ better mileage). And I drive 55 miles to work each direction.

      Ira

    10. Re:It is real, look out the window by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

      Ah, the old scientists in the 1970s believed in global cooling myth rears its ugly head again.

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    11. Re:It is real, look out the window by fm6 · · Score: 0

      It takes a real idiot to make that kind of inference only a few months after the worst hurricane season on record.

    12. Re:It is real, look out the window by moonbender · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Congratulations for buying into the global cooling myth!

      Every now and again, the myth that "we shouldn't believe global warming predictions now, because in the 1970's they were predicting an ice age and/or cooling" surfaces. Recently, George Will mentioned it in his column (see Will-full ignorance) and the egregious Crichton manages to say "in the 1970's all the climate scientists believed an ice age was coming" (see Michael Crichtons State of Confusion ). You can find it in various other places too [here, mildly here, etc]. But its not an argument used by respectable and knowledgeable skeptics, because it crumbles under analysis. That doesn't stop it repeatedly cropping up in newsgroups though.

      --
      Switch back to Slashdot's D1 system.
    13. Re:It is real, look out the window by moonbender · · Score: 1

      Are you implying you don't "buy into" the Greenhouse climate model? Not "believing" in global warming it one thing, but that's just hilarious. What's next, you don't "buy into" gravity?

      --
      Switch back to Slashdot's D1 system.
    14. Re:It is real, look out the window by Rei · · Score: 1

      Anybody else reminded of this article?

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    15. Re:It is real, look out the window by Martin+Blank · · Score: 5, Informative

      Does it bother you that hurricane researchers have said repeatedly that global warming had little or nothing to do with it, and that there was an expected upswell of activity due starting last year, give or take? Or that the US coastline had been dodging the averages for the better part of 20 years, with a far smaller fraction of hurricane strikes than the historic record would otherwise suggest? What will you be saying if the next hurricane season shows lower activity than the last?

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    16. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And droughts. And more powerful storms. And the melting of the glaciers on Greenland and Antarctica, and the resulting 10' rise in oceans heights. And the disruption of the jet stream to northern Europe. And the ensuing famines. And the flooding of coastal areas.

      And the moon shall turn blood-red and toads shall rain from the heavens!

      Just getting in the spirit.

      By the way, melt Greenland dry with the same amount of melting in the Antarctic Circle, and it only gets you a 3' Ocean rise, so to get 10' you will need to come up with 4 and 1/3 more polar ice caps from somewhere.

    17. Re:It is real, look out the window by fm6 · · Score: 1

      That's a separate argument. Stop and take a look at the post I was responding to. He wasn't claiming that GW was a myth. He was trotting out a very tired and stupid argument that GW is beneficial.

    18. Re:It is real, look out the window by the+argonaut · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      And I drive 55 miles to work each direction.

      And I hate you for this.

      --
      fuck you.
    19. Re:It is real, look out the window by Golias · · Score: 2, Informative

      The funny thing is, the guy who was in charge in the 70s, President Carter, urged a ramp-up of coal burning as a solution to the oil crisis.

      (The "crisis" being that the Arabs actually wanted to sell oil for what it was worth, and nuclear power plants still scared the bejeezus out of everybody.)

      --

      Information wants to be anthropomorphized.

    20. Re:It is real, look out the window by gumnam · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Quote *Global warming and climate change are real and undenyable. *

      Is there undeniable evidence of global warming. Is there undeniable evidence that human race if the primary reason for this phenomena (if it exists!) Is there is undeniable proof that steps being taken to reduce greenhouse gases will actually reduce greenhouse gases and will reverse global warming ?

      If we lack the tools and understanding to predict weather no more than 10 days in advance for small regions, how can we even begin to understand the global level variables that affect climate over several years ?

      I believe we all need to periodically re-evaluate our opinions and beliefs and also reconsider the assumptions on which those opinions and beliefs are based and not just get fixated with certain ideas.

      Nothing is undeniable, nothing is certain. What you think true today can be positively wrong tomorrow. Earth is not flat, earth is not the center of the universe.

      --
      I post, therefore I am
    21. Re:It is real, look out the window by the+argonaut · · Score: 1

      A lot hinges on the question of whether the changes are our doing. If they're not, we should adapt ourselves, not the planet. If they are, we need to start controlling ourselves.

      That would certainly be a first.

      --
      fuck you.
    22. Re:It is real, look out the window by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

      I hadn't seen that in a few years ... thanks for the laugh.

      In case anyone is wondering what it is (and is so lazy they can't click on it), it's titled "Christian Right Lobbies To Overturn Second Law Of Thermodynamics."

      The top photo is really priceless, though.

      --
      "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    23. Re:It is real, look out the window by shawnce · · Score: 1

      He was trotting out a very tired and stupid argument that GW is beneficial.

      GW is potentially beneficial and potentially harmful depending on local effects of GW...

    24. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ucklak · · Score: 1

      I understand the feel-good SUV haters point but in reality, those SUV haters don't have kids and I mean kid(s), plural.
      SUV's are extremely practical for those with 2 or more kids especialy if activities are involved and/or people who haul stuff that needs to stay out of the weather.

      If they want to hate a gas guzzler, hate airplanes, jet ones. Just hate people who use airplanes as a form of transportation.
      While they are hating them, they can hate interstate truckers too. And if you want to continue to hate any mechanical form of locomotion, hate oceaninc barges that leak fuel in the ocean.
      In the mean time, we should just grow our own food.
      SUV haters are so full of hate, I hate them.

      disclaimer: I am a pilot, I love airplanes, and jets are cool. I don't drive an SUV but I'm all for SUV drivers uniting against hippies.

      --
      if you steal from one source, that is plagiarism, if you steal from many, well, that's just research.
    25. Re:It is real, look out the window by AusIV · · Score: 1
      If the cycle continues it will certainly, without a doubt, lead to the death of us as a civilization, whether we were the cause or not.

      Doesn't the term cycle imply that something is cyclical? That term would imply that it will go up for a while, then back down, if the cycle continues. The concern is the cycle not continuing, and the temperature rising continuously. Also, you're implying that without human interference, the temperature would continue rising, unchecked, forever. That's bogus.

      If this is part of a natural cycle (which I believe it is from some statistics I've seen of the past 3,000 years), it will continue rising for a while, then whatever has caused the cycles in the past will cause temperature drops.

      If this is not part of a natural cycle, but is infact man made (a poorly supported theory), its still likely that whatever checks and balances the Earth has in place will kick in and bring the temperature back down.

      The thing most people don't seem to take into consideration when watching the temperature rise is long term history. The statistics I've seen put us right at the average for the past 3,000 years. And warmer isn't necessarily worse. A thousand years ago, Greenland was populated by the vikings and it was very fertile. Good luck getting anything edible to grow there now. The parts of the Earth that would be most greatly effected by global warming have very little land. More land will be fertile if the Earth gets warmer.

    26. Re:It is real, look out the window by Golias · · Score: 1

      A lot hinges on the question of whether the changes are our doing. If they're not, we should adapt ourselves, not the planet. If they are, we need to start controlling ourselves. Your view of the solution sounds a bit external to humans ("reverse the cycle") for my tastes, though my impression may be wrong.

      Mankind is part of nature, therefore any changes we make are natural.

      Spiders and beavers also change their environments to suit their needs, often at the expense of other species. We just happen to be the animal which is most effective at doing so.

      Environmentalism has merit to the extent which the ways we impact our environment damage us. Smog in LA, acid rain in Canada, Kenny G in restaurant sound systems... We can all agree that these are Bad Things. As for global warming, the debate has not been completely settled.

      Even among those who agree that there's a desease, not everybody agrees that the cure would be better.

      --

      Information wants to be anthropomorphized.

    27. Re:It is real, look out the window by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      Nothing is undeniable, nothing is certain. What you think true today can be positively wrong tomorrow. Earth is not flat, earth is not the center of the universe.

      True, but if I drop this hammer on my foot I can pretty positively guarantee that I'm going to say, "Ow! Son of a BITCH!"

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    28. Re:It is real, look out the window by b17bmbr · · Score: 0

      well, of course the earth has been warming. it got out of the last ice age about 150 years ago. nothing we did caused the ice age to begin (early 14th century) and nothing we did caused it to end (mid 19th century). just as nothing we are doing to day casued the earth to warm, nor anything we can do will cause it to cool. it is beyond our control. for me, nukes can rid us of our addiction to oil, and i see it as a national security issue.

      --
      My problem? I was perfectly gruntled, until some numbnuts came by and dissed me.
    29. Re:It is real, look out the window by HappyEngineer · · Score: 2, Insightful
      SUV's are extremely practical for those with 2 or more kids especialy if activities are involved and/or people who haul stuff that needs to stay out of the weather.
      I'm not advocating SUV hating, but your reply is a bit silly. You can use a station wagon (or whatever they call 6 seat cars these days) for every reason you just mentioned unless by "haul stuff" you mean hauling firewood (as opposed to just hauling hockey equipment or anything else that'll fit in a station wagon just fine).
    30. Re:It is real, look out the window by Andy+Gardner · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Why should we tune the ecosystem to our own benefit, when the planet has gone through things like ice-ages which have only served to refine the life here?

      The question of whether we should is irrelevant. If we can do something to maintain the status quo, we will. It's the nature of natural selection that life forms do everything in their power to survive. It's beside the point that no species in Earth history has had the capability (assuming we do) to consiously affect a change in the global climate before.

      You can bet if the dinosaurs could have prevented the K-T extinction event they would have. It wouldn't have been good news for the mammals but from the perspective of the dinosaurs it would've been the smart evolutionary move. And that's what natural selection is all about.

      A lot hinges on the question of whether the changes are our doing. If they're not, we should adapt ourselves, not the planet.

      Again one of the things that has boosted man up the evolutionary scale is his/her ability to fashion tools and modify his environment. Are you saying we should throw away the thing that has given us our 'edge', so to speak?

    31. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
      > Ah, the old scientists in the 1970s believed in global cooling myth rears its ugly head again.

      The argument isn't "Global cooling was wrong then, global warming's wrong now".

      It's "If we'd tried to fix global cooling, we'd have been wrong", and "If we try to fix global warming, we may very well do wrong again."

      There are times to use the precautionary principle, and there are times not to use it, and the global warming debate is a bitch for both sides, precisely because it is one of the times that it's probably best to use it. Unfortunately, that may very well mean "do nothing", which is the answer anti-industrialists don't like. (Scientist == Believer in global warming, but believer in global warming != anti-industrialist. And for the record, Environmentalist != anti-industrialist either.)

    32. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oddly, Richard Lindzen, Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Atmospheric Science at MIT seems to think that it's not only "denyable", but that it's become a cult that stifles any dissent.

      But hey, what does he know, right?

    33. Re:It is real, look out the window by caffeination · · Score: 1
      Thanks for bringing the balance - I'd sort of forgot to include any in my post.

      Sticking with the spiders and beavers... we're like beavers that are so good at making dams that we dry up our water supply. What I'm saying is that the solution isn't to bring in more water, it's to build less dams.

      "Mankind is part of nature, therefore any changes we make are natural." is something I agree with 100%, and I take this even further and say that it doesn't matter if we wipe ourselves out. At the end of the day, though, it's just semantics and speculation. It's pretty useful for shutting up dumbasses talking about humans being "bad for nature" and stupid shit like that, but when one kind of solution is better than another (in my opinion), I still feel that it's worth saying so.

    34. Re:It is real, look out the window by einhverfr · · Score: 1

      But the thing is, it does not matter what the cause is. If the cycle continues it will certainly, without a doubt, lead to the death of us as a civilization, whether we were the cause or not.

      Who are you calling "us as a civilization?" The Dutch? The Floridians? The residents of the Maldives (or what is left of them after the tsunami anyway)?

      I am quite worried about climate change, but this seems a little extreme to me.

      Obviously there are parts of our economy, such as ski resorts would be hurt badly. There are also regions such as Florida or the Netherlands which would suffer widespread damage from rising seas.

      But economic damage != death of a civilization. Unless you are from the Netherlands , the Aleutian Islands, or the Maldives, global warming, while a serious economic threat, is not the end of the end of our civilization (well, maybe if you are a polar bear). It is not going to wipe us off the map. It is not going to destroy our cultural cohesian. Some will have to head for higher ground. There will be shifts in agricultural possibilities. And water availability will change.

      But it is not the end of civilization as we know it. Just a very costly mistake that we in the developed world will likely bear the brunt of due to our insistance that we rule nature rather than the other way around.

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    35. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ucklak · · Score: 1

      I know some artists that haul some pretty big pieces that won't fit in a station wagon.
      They could have used a van but there was something about the seating. I don't remember the conversation.
      Agree on the station wagon as they were chic with wood paneling when I was a kid.

      --
      if you steal from one source, that is plagiarism, if you steal from many, well, that's just research.
    36. Re:It is real, look out the window by Kohath · · Score: 1, Insightful

      We already have droughts, floods, powerful storms, varying jet streams, famines, and lots of other weather. Why should we expect next century's droughts to be drier than last century's? When was the time when the weather was perfect for everyone? What makes you think that you can have the weather you want?

      You want to take in the tens of millions of displaced people? If you're in the US, do you remember the trouble that the loss of part of one city caused, last year?

      Are they all going to be displaced in one day? Or is it going to happen over the course of a century? Displacement of people already happens over the course of a century based on lots of different factors. Why is this so much worse than if people move from New York to Florida for warm weather and low taxes?

      Shouldn't an attempt be made to curtail some of this?

      No one has put forth a workable plan. So no. Random, pointless, flailing attempts shouldn't be made. Because it hurts people and doesn't solve the problem.

    37. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If winter is when much of the precipitation occurs, and summer is already hot and dry enough to cause some concern for farmers, yeah, it might be cause for some panic.

      There is more to the equation than your comfort with the seasons.

    38. Re:It is real, look out the window by einhverfr · · Score: 1

      Boy, am I glad you weren't gloabl emperor in the 70s when "it was absolutely not refutable" that the problem was global cooling, and not warming.

      We solved that one, didn't we?

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    39. Re:It is real, look out the window by dougmc · · Score: 2, Funny
      GW is potentially beneficial and potentially harmful depending on local effects of GW...
      GWB?
    40. Re:It is real, look out the window by afidel · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It's called a minivan, it can haul more people, has more cargo room, and on average gets about 50% better fuel economy. Hell I wish Ford hadn't changed the Windstar, with the older model's you can haul 4'x8' sheets of sheet rock and plywood, try that with most SUV's! There is very little justification for a solid framed enclosed truck, for the people who need them I am fine with it, for the other 95 percent I resent their terrorist loving butts.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    41. Re:It is real, look out the window by Savantissimo · · Score: 3, Informative
      Isn't realclimate.org by the guy who fudged his analysis to generate the discredited "hockey-stick" graph of temperature predictions?

      Even so, your link does not refute the GP poster's point at all. In fact, it reinforces it.
      From the concluding paragraph:
      Finally, its clear that there were concerns,[about a potential new ice age] perhaps quite strong, in the minds of a number of scientists of the time. And yet, the papers of the time present a clear consensus that future climate change could not be predicted with the knowledge then available.

      [and present climate knowledge still does not allow reliable predictions]

      So are you attempting to say that: because the concern was not unanimous (it never is) and scientists believed further study was warranted (they always say that) that the concern about global cooling was not common among climate researchers? It can't be denied that global cooling concerns were widely reported in the popular press in the 1970s, while global warming concerns were not.

      If press reports of the 1970s are not to be taken seriously, those of today regarding the nature and origins of climate change should also be viewed with healthy skepticism.
      --
      "Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
    42. Re:It is real, look out the window by Golias · · Score: 1

      Are you implying you don't "buy into" the Greenhouse climate model? Not "believing" in global warming it one thing, but that's just hilarious. What's next, you don't "buy into" gravity?

      I'm implying that I have not bought into some of the specific models of climate change that have been put out there, and with good reason. Many of them have been shown to be deeply flawed by the simple "rewind test" (where you feed the prediction models past data and ask it to predict today's climate.)

      I never said I disbelieved in the concept that rising CO2 levels in a closed system will trap more solar heat. That's simple fact. It's also fairly evident that CO2 levels are higher now than they have been in a very long time. There is still a lot of room for debate about what conclusions you can draw from this informaiton, however. In particular, nobody seems to be able to make a accurate guess regarding how quickly CO2 levels will normallize when we decrease our fossil fuel burning. Nobdoy seems to be able to predict how much the likely increase in vegitation is likely to off-set our exess CO2 production or how long it will take for the biosphere to react to it. Nobody seems to be able to say whether it's even possible for us to do anything about the current predicted warming trends.

      In other words, we don't know shit about anything, and any "solution" we try to apply might actually do more harm than good.

      Besides, you missed my main point, which is that shifting to energy solutions which do not spew crap into the air & water is a Good Idea whether you are alarmed about Global Warming or not.

      --

      Information wants to be anthropomorphized.

    43. Re:It is real, look out the window by Have+Blue · · Score: 2

      Why shouldn't we? Every other animal attempts to make itself most likely to survive at the expense of other organisms. What makes humans an exception? What life form would you rather see survive and reproduce than yourself?

    44. Re:It is real, look out the window by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      I haul alfalfa, grain, pellets, and pine shavings, two kids, a wife, and sometimes friends.
      I can not afford a second vehicle to drive to work and back, so tough I drive what I use.
      Cheers,
      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    45. Re:It is real, look out the window by TitanBL · · Score: 1

      Our planet's climate has always been in constant flux and there is nothing, you, or anyone else for that matter, can do about it. Someone needs to keep a list of everyone who is whining about our impending doom due fossile fuel emmission induced global warming, so in 25 years they can be ostracized.

      It is sad really. There are a multitude of serious problems we face which we can solve, but yet some people try to impede this progress by pointing to a situation which we have no control over. Maybe western civilazation just does not want to face the frightening problems around them, so instead whine "GLOBAL WARMING! BIG OIL!".

      Displacement: An unconscious defense mechanism, whereby the mind redirects emotion from a 'dangerous' object to a 'safe' object.

    46. Re:It is real, look out the window by That's+Unpossible! · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Global climate change scares me. Not for the usual reasons, but because humans are notoriously bad at "managing" the environment, and I sure hope whatever we come up with to "fix" the problem is not worse than nature's own course.

      Granted, we are generating a lot of pollution, and it would be great if we could stop without majorly fucking something else up in the process.

      But that last part there has been VERY DIFFICULT for us humans to do.

      The chinese curse is alive and well. Whenever I hear the latest global warming scaremongering, I can't help but think of it. "May you live in interesting times." Indeed!

      --
      Ironically, the word ironically is often used incorrectly.
    47. Re:It is real, look out the window by fm6 · · Score: 1

      TMGDA!

    48. Re:It is real, look out the window by fish_in_the_c · · Score: 1, Interesting

      well, the cause of global warming is in some ways very much at
      issue. Because if we are warming as part of the natural cycle of glaciation then:
      a) there is nothing we can do about it
      b) it is unlikely to end the spiecies.

      On the the other hand if we are the cause:
      a) we can definatly do something about it.
      b) it is possible (although extreemly unlikely) we are causing natural changes to happen far too rapidly and we are doing enough enviormental damage(also unlikely) do to speed of change that we jepordize the food supply of higher mamals including humans.

      --
      âoeTolerance applies only to persons, but never to truth. Intolerance applies only to truth, but never to persons.
    49. Re:It is real, look out the window by iamlucky13 · · Score: 2

      Glad to see some people coming around to the fact that we aren't really certain any changes that may be occurring to the climate are human-related. There's some good evidence in favor of it, and some good evidence against it.

      But it actually is debatable whether or not change is really happening. The global averages temperatures probably really have risen 2/3 of a degree in the past 120 years. There is some uncertainty to that, largely (to the best of my knowledge) due to questions of whether systematic errors exist in the temperature record, but those numbers appear to reflect proper science. Looking at short term trends and saying that it's irrefutable that change is happening, however, is unfounded. Swings of 4-5 degrees have happened over the last 100,000 years or so, lending serious credence to suggestions that current changes are part of a larger trend and not something new.

      That the cycle should kill us off in anything resembling the near future (ie, before the sun dies or an asteroid hits us) has little merit. The temperatures rose and fell significantly throughout history without getting out of control. Although some species have died off, none have really shown the same degree of adaptability to change that humans have, since our building skills enable us to create favorable environments even in really unfavorable regions, ranging from the polar tundras to the equatorial deserts.

    50. Re:It is real, look out the window by tsm_sf · · Score: 1, Funny

      For example, if you live in a coastal town anywhere on the globe... possibly harmful. If you live inland, on a mountaintop, in Alaska... possibly beneficial. You glass half-empty people need to cheer the fuck up.

      --
      Literalism isn't a form of humor, it's you being irritating.
    51. Re:It is real, look out the window by twitchingbug · · Score: 1
      I think GP is trying to make the same point at you are. Assuming global warming exists, do we know the cause of it? of course not. There are way too many variables to take into account. I think GP states this.

      I think the only point of contention you have with GP is if global warming is happening or not. This can easily been seen just by looking at the record of the temperatures around the world. I don't know the numbers, but if the temps are increasing, then global warming is happening. Why? who the hell knows?

    52. Re:It is real, look out the window by Golias · · Score: 1

      Someone needs to keep a list of everyone who is whining about our impending doom due fossile fuel emmission induced global warming, so in 25 years they can be ostracized.

      College kids still sometimes read Malthus, and Erlich still steals his arguments, so crackpots can survive wrong predictions.

      It's like the old joke about the prophet who was so far-seeing that after 400 years none of his predictions have come true yet.

      --

      Information wants to be anthropomorphized.

    53. Re:It is real, look out the window by caffeination · · Score: 1

      Maybe my attitude is just a projection of my doormat personality, but I liken this to the scenario of the bathtub. You turn on the hot tap, it's a little too hot, so on goes the cold. You go on incrementing each tap in search of the optimum temperature, until suddenly they won't turn any further. The problem isn't an underpowered boiler, it's a reluctance to rethink your temperature calibration methodology.

    54. Re:It is real, look out the window by Rei · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Nice job of truncating the last paragraph without mentioning it:

      "Apparently, the peer review and editing process involved in scientific publication was sufficient to provide a sober view. This episode shows the scientific press in a very good light; and a clear contrast to the lack of any such process in the popular press, then and now."

      The article previously described those concerns: that, *excluding* anthropogenic alterations, which they *specifically stated that they could not model well at the time* (quite the contrast to the present, where the papers state that we *can* model quite accurately**), there would be another ice age in *tens of thousands of years*.

      How did you read the article and miss all of that?

      ** - If you want to get into a debate over present day climate modelling, go ahead and light the match. After watching a long presentation by the director of NCAR (Tim Killeen) and speaking with him at length afterwards, I'd be more than happy to discuss this with you. We can start with the fact that present day computing per dollar buys you about one million times as much computing power, progress into the fact that the amount of funding available for that computing has skyrocketted (their advancing computing needs easily beat Moore's law), and continue into the details of the climate models (datapoints every county or two, collecting data down to how dust lifted off the Sahara affects algal blooms) and the verification of the models.

      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    55. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous+Brave+Guy · · Score: 1

      Oh, but what's really going to bake your noodle later on is: would it still have hurt if you hadn't written that? :-)

      --
      If you disagree, post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like.
    56. Re:It is real, look out the window by lionheart1327 · · Score: 1

      And in 30 years, "scientists in the 2000s believed in global warming" will be considered a myth also, since all the actual scientists don't believe in it now.

    57. Re:It is real, look out the window by FhnuZoag · · Score: 5, Informative

      Oh really?

      http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=181

      The argument, IIRC, is centred on the intensity of hurricanes. Activity based on numbers of hurricanes do not capture such an effect, while intensity graphs show a pretty good correlation. Though things are still sketchy at the moment, you can't make a handwave motion and suggest that all hurricane researchers are of the same opinion.

    58. Re:It is real, look out the window by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      If the cycle continues it will certainly, without a doubt, lead to the death of us as a civilization, whether we were the cause or not.

      Why? If our civilization is so unadaptable that it can't respond to natural (assuming they are natural) climate changes, then perhaps it deserves to die. Ideally maybe it will be given a nice hard blow, fix some of it's problems, and be stronger for it. Assuming of course that we don't just adapt.

    59. Re:It is real, look out the window by Rei · · Score: 4, Informative
      --
      The Spanish-English dictionary is out of ink.
    60. Re:It is real, look out the window by diegocgteleline.es · · Score: 1

      Look at the good side: Girls will dress with less and less clothes before the world ends. Man, that's a nice way of dying.

    61. Re:It is real, look out the window by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      Excellent. Now if only we could get this post copied about three hundred times into every global warming story.

      I'm so sick of hearing the "first it's cooling, now it's warming, would you quote/unquote scientists make up your foolish little minds" crap.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    62. Re:It is real, look out the window by ademaskoo · · Score: 0

      A thousand years ago, Greenland was populated by the vikings and it was very fertile.

      Yeah, and Iceland was a barran wasteland. Give me a break. They only named it "Green"-land because they wanted people to start colonies there. If your country has human settlements in a territory, it becomes easier to claim the land as your own. Greenland is and has always been just a frozen hunk of ice.

    63. Re:It is real, look out the window by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Nonsense. Not technically one species, but http://www.ucmp.berkeley.edu/bacteria/cyanointro.h tml.

      Those guys are the REAL masters of climate and atmosphere manipulation!

    64. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

      And yet they still can't accurately tell me if it will rain within the next few hours.

      Detailed models my ass.

    65. Re:It is real, look out the window by chriso11 · · Score: 1

      Mankind is part of nature

      What a load of BS. I fail to see anything natural about a major city, or a car, or an oil spill, or a computer....

      There is no effective check on our actions. Everything natural has an intrinsic balance to it - too many foxes eat too many rabbits, which cause many foxes to starve to death, which results in a lot of rabbits surviving, which means more foxes are born... that is nature.

      The only constraint that nature provides is that there is a finite amount of resources available on this planet.

      As for global warming, an overwhelming majority of scientists agree that global warming is due to our activities.

      My solution? It's crazy, but about 10000tons of mylar could block 1% of the sunlight reaching the earth's surface, allowing it to cool a bit.

      --
      No, I don't trust in god. He'll have to pay up front, like everybody else.
    66. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We can start with the fact that present day computing per dollar buys you about one million times as much computing power

      So do your models now take into account water vapor?

    67. Re:It is real, look out the window by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      They handle better on ice and snow too. I was up north on the Alaska highway near the Yukon border at the beginning of February (I grew up a bit further south, but still way further north than most people have ever been). The locals (except for the ones in pickups with snowplow blades) all drive around in minivans because they can haul three months worth of groceries and can handle a highway where the pavement (or gravel) doesn't see the light of day (not that there is much in the winter) for six months a year.

    68. Re:It is real, look out the window by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>But the thing is, it does not matter what the cause is. If the cycle continues it will
      >>certainly, without a doubt, lead to the death of us as a civilization, whether we were
      >> the cause or not.

      Wait... when a cycle continues, doesn't that mean we end up back where we started? =)

      I highly doubt it will lead to the death of us as a civilization. Human beings are quite adaptable creatures. A rise of 1 degree celcius and a 1M rise of sea levels by 2100 won't collapse civilization. It will cause problems. But humans are good at solving problems. Venice and Denmark have dealt with sinking buildings and high ocean levels.

      Things that could collapse civilization and lead to untold misery and suffering include such things as banning all non-renewable energy production. We should just invest in fusion research (essentially unlimited energy) and then keep using non-renewable energy (oil and uranium) in the meantime until science brings fusion online.

      What I have the most issue with are not the scientific debates, but how people frame the data. For example:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Global_Warming_ Predictions_Map.jpg

      Presents the results of a common climate prediction model. This I have no issue with. What I have an issue with is the color choice: the yellows and reds imply that the earth will be a giant sahara-style desert within 100 years.

      I recommend everyone read "How to Lie With Statistics":
      http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0393310728/104-62 62100-2753503?v=glance&n=283155

      As it helps you spot bad science, or bad presentations of science.

    69. Re:It is real, look out the window by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      I expect you don't live in the middle of a city, know how to drive in the dark without street lights and you clearly don't have your SUV because "it's safer." You're not the problem.

    70. Re:It is real, look out the window by ademaskoo · · Score: 0

      Except that humanity's exponentially growing population wouldn't be able to support itself when some previously furtile land turns to desert and all our coastal cities are destroyed by rising waters, which would cause billions of people to develop the heartland (which is where the farms are). While it may not whipe out our species, it will be the death of the modern lifestyle. The resources will just be too expensive.

    71. Re:It is real, look out the window by HiThere · · Score: 1

      I think the problem it you have your time scales confused. Yes, we should expect global cooling. Yes, we are experiencing global warming.

      The confusion is because it isn't quite clear yet when we should start experiencing global cooling. And Ice ages can be preceded by periods of extreme warmth.

      That said, it *is* important to get the reasons correct. This helps one to avoid the confusion in which you find yourself. That we ARE experiencing global warming is not in contradiction to that we should expect (soon, for some definition of soon) an Ice Age.

      Actually, I would expect the ice age to occur soon after the end of the melting of the glaciers. At this point the oceans will be warmer and the surface area of the oceans will be larger. This will result in more water evaporating per year. There will be "eventually" a year with an inclement winter. Lots of clouds, lots of snow, etc. which lasts late into the spring. This will mean that more snow falls than melts. If this repeats a few years in a row (each time is more likely than the previous time...it's not a drunkard's walk) then the AIR of the globe will become cooler while the water remains warm. This will rapidly lead to a glaciation.

      You will notice that I was vague about the time scale. I don't think anyone can be very precise, but the onset is expected to be rather rapid. A few decades wouldn't be surprisingly quickly. Once the glaciers start walking, they won't stop until the ocean has lost it's excess heat.

      May I recommend a combination orbital sun-shade/heater? It's an orbital mirror, and by adjusting it's parameters you can either warm or cool your world slightly, as necessary to stabilize your perferred position in the cycle of glaciation. Without it, you can expect to experience an inclement climate over a period of epochs.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    72. Re:It is real, look out the window by canadian_right · · Score: 1

      The last ice age ended about 10,000 years ago. It did not start in the 14th century and end in the mid 19th. There is a great deal of evidence indicating that we have actually had an impact on the global environment by burning fossil fuels. Most evidence indiactes that humans have actually increased the rate at which the earth is warming. We do have the power, if we chose to wield it, to affect the global climate.

      --
      Anarchists never rule
    73. Re:It is real, look out the window by Pig+Hogger · · Score: 1
      What life form would you rather see survive and reproduce than yourself?
      Spotted owls???
    74. Re:It is real, look out the window by hackstraw · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And droughts. And more powerful storms. And the melting of the glaciers on Greenland and Antarctica, and the resulting 10' rise in oceans heights. And the disruption of the jet stream to northern Europe. And the ensuing famines. And the flooding of coastal areas.

      Face it. Most people in the US are bored. They on average spend 4 hours a day in front of the tv, 8 hours working, 8 hours sleeping, and 4 hours unexplained.

      From what I hear, New Orleans is a blessing since the hurricane. Crime is almost non-existant, and people are focused on rebuilding the city, working, and being nice to each other.

      Maybe a shifting environment and real estate changes will be good for us.

    75. Re:It is real, look out the window by wrfelts · · Score: 1
      Are you implying you don't "buy into" the Greenhouse climate model? Not "believing" in global warming it one thing, but that's just hilarious. What's next, you don't "buy into" gravity?

      The model IS the part that is questionable. The best weather prediction models for forcasting are only close within a few days period, and sometimes not even close within those few days. The climate computer models are predictive mathematical models overlayed on a four dimensional map with innumerable variables that the based on best guess scenarios. It is a given that the models are incomplete and innacurate due to the complexity of the problem and the scarcity of data mapped over the same given points. The history of modelling weather is not anywhere near past its infancy.

      Is there global warming going on? Yes and no, depending on where you live. Are the changes just a part of an ancient on-going cycle that will repeat itself? Yes, maybe. We only have a few centuries of semi-accurate, but largely incomplete historical readings. Most of the historical data is anecdotal. Is industry effecting climate change? Yes and no, depending on whether the percentage of change is negligable or not.

      As it stands, most "rabid greenhousers" have a very "left-wing" social political agenda to push (with very little to do with the environment) while most "rabid naysayers" have a very "right-wing" economic politcal agenda to push (with very little to do with the environment.) Most scientists are firmly in the middle with a slight lean to global warming.

      It is also important to note that a major world-wide warming cycle will melt much of the standing ice around the world. Along with over-warming some areas and POSSIBLY sinking some coastal cities, it will both benefit and harm crop yields, depending on location. A major shift upwards will also reduce the saline content of the oceans, which will slow down ocean currents, which will temporarily worsen some of the symptoms. It will also, however, cause a major ice buildup at the poles, bringing regional mini-ice ages. This in turn, will cause an increase in ocean salinity, thus rebuilding the lost current cycle, thus making weather milder all around.

      In short, there is more that we don't know about weather pattern changes than we do know. Our current weather models are woefully lacking on needed historical data to give accurate predictable results.

      The main reasons to switch to renewable energy are as follows:

      1. Removal of foreign control of our energy! Russia's recent abuse of the Ukrain is a great case in point.
      2. Cleaner air to breath, which means less health problems in general and a much more pleasent environment in which to live.
      3. Clearer skies mean more collectable clean power from the sun reaches solar collectors, further increasing their effectiveness, which, in turn, further reduces our reliance on fossil or nuclear energy.
      4. Better use of renewables on a personal level means more personal freedom from the extortion prices that are generally charged by the energy conglomerates.

      The science part is still, as yet, undefined, and, therefore, cannot yet be relied upon for any rational decisions. This doesn't mean that the conclusions of the models are wrong. When all things are considered, they are at least within the range of remotely possible, though not probable. Adding this REMOTE possibility to the known and rational reasons does give a good enough reason to push HARD for a decisive and fast switch to renewable energy. We don't need end-of-the-world scenarios. Common sense is enough... at least for me.

    76. Re:It is real, look out the window by ravenshrike · · Score: 1

      Most aren't saying to abolish SUVs, just that the majority of the people driving them don't need to be.

    77. Re:It is real, look out the window by Andy+Gardner · · Score: 1

      That's why I said, "to consiously affect a change in the global climate"

    78. Re:It is real, look out the window by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      Thank you, good read.

    79. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Though things are still sketchy at the moment, you can't make a handwave motion and suggest that all hurricane researchers are of the same opinion.

      Why? You have no problem doing that with climatologists.

    80. Re:It is real, look out the window by a_nonamiss · · Score: 1

      Yeah... tell that to the people in east Africa. Worst drought in recorded history, amazingly coinciding with highest average temperatures in recorded history. One fact you seem to have missed, crops tend not to grow when water stops falling from the sky.

      --
      -Arthur
      Cave ne ante ullas catapultas ambules
    81. Re:It is real, look out the window by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Hm... true, must have missed that word.

      The little cyanobacteria were just spewing their waste into the atmosphere so it wouldn't poison them. Which is what we're doing. Except there were more of them.

    82. Re:It is real, look out the window by Kohath · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Let's make a deal:

      Global warming caused last year's record number of hurricanes. So this year, when the number of hurricanes is fewer, we'll know it's because global warming has peaked and is no longer a problem. Do we have a deal?

    83. Re:It is real, look out the window by slashname3 · · Score: 1

      There are going to be a number of benefits to global warming. We should embrace the change. Think about all the opportunities. Construction companies specializing in flood control walls and pumps. And with the melting of major ice sheets and glaciers there is the possibility of discovery of lost cities and other archaeological artifacts and fossils. And don't forget all the additional water front property and the new resorts that will be available.

    84. Re:It is real, look out the window by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 1

      All the Ice melting off Greenland might suck if you live in Venice, New Orleans

      Are you sure that three degrees is going to do accomplish this?

      But, if you are rebuilding in New Orleans, then you *deserve* to lose everything.

    85. Re:It is real, look out the window by FhnuZoag · · Score: 1

      Um, what did I just say?

      The argument, IIRC, is centred on the intensity of hurricanes. Activity based on numbers of hurricanes do not capture such an effect, while intensity graphs show a pretty good correlation.

      The hypothesis is that ocean temperature is affecting the intensity of the hurricanes, not the number of them. And global warming is affecting the ocean temperature.

    86. Re:It is real, look out the window by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And you know what? That's fine, too. Heck, a friend of mine runs a parasailing school. Needless to say, he has to take a lot of shit to the top of a mountain. Thus, he has a big-honkin' SUV. More power to him. I know people who use have SUVs because they have a boat and they need to tow it. As I've said before, I want those people to have SUVs. I've been stuck behind people with passenger cars trying to tow a trailer uphill. It isn't fun. So for those people, I'll stand up and applaud when they buy an SUV.

      According to statistics I've seen, that's about 2% of SUV owners.

      Part of the issue that I have with most SUV owners is that they basically have what I call "Macho Minivans." They don't go off-roading. They don't go camping--or if they do, it's to campsites barely off the highway and they do it for a week in the summer. They like the SUV because they can carry lots of groceries and the kids' stuff. Yet there are other vehicles which could be used instead--namely the minivan--but Dad doesn't want to drive them because they are not considered "manly" vehicles. If you see a guy driving a minivan, he obviously has a job, a wife, some kids, etc. etc. It may not be true in certain cases, but that's how society "sees" you.

      As for things that you carry, some of it might also depend on how often you need to do this. Now I'll admit, I live in a metropolitan area, but I grew up in the country and I understand it's different. But, for example, I recently needed to carry a lot of stuff. Y'know what I did? I went to Enterprise, conveniently located down the block, and rented an SUV for the day. Moved the stuff from Point-A to Point-B and then returned the vehicle. Cost me about $60. A couple of years ago, my Dad bought a cord of wood for his shop's woodstove. They actually delivered it right to the woodshed. Cost him an extra $100 or so.

      Now, don't get me wrong. If you're going out every weekend for an SUV load of alfalfa, pellets, or pine shavings, it might be cost-effective to own one. If you do this once-a-year or so, it might be cheaper to just rent an SUV from the local Enterprise or see if they'll deliver it to you.

    87. Re:It is real, look out the window by Kohath · · Score: 1

      I remember they had a drought in East Africa about 20 years ago. There was a big "We are the world" music fundraiser for it. I'm not sure how that made it rain though.

      Droughts are not new. Droughts in East Africa have been happening for 1000s of years.

      What's the plan for ending them, BTW? Stop driving SUVs?

    88. Re:It is real, look out the window by budgenator · · Score: 1, Troll

      Sure, maybe the hundreds of scientists are wrong. But, you know, maybe they're right too? Shouldn't an attempt be made to curtail some of this?
      I got a news flash for you cupcake, We were sold out by those hundreds of scientists who were more interested in scarfing up some grant money, than they were about fixing the problem. If human activity is really causing "global warming" it's 30 - 50 years to late to do anything; Read the article the red dye #2 is bad style ecologists have destroyed the only world we have by "saving" us from the evil(tm) nuclear power and the result is we're now choking on the radioactive contamination spewed from our coal fired plant, and looking for summer vaction property in greenland

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    89. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The knobs turn both ways you dumbfuck.

    90. Re:It is real, look out the window by Kohath · · Score: 1

      So the first year they're less intense, global warming is fixed.

      (I know, it's stupid. The whole "global warming caused last year's weather to make me sad" argument is just silly. One year's weather in the Atlantic Ocean is not a "climate".)

    91. Re:It is real, look out the window by sbaker · · Score: 2, Informative

      According to Wikipedia:

      Average passenger-miles per gallon:

      Automobiles 34.9
      Personal trucks 30.8
      Motorcycles 55.0
      Transit Buses 30.3
      Airlines 33.8
      Intercity trains 25.9
      Commuter trains 46.1

      So Airlines are better than AVERAGE cars - but an SUV is much worse than an average car.

      Motorcycles and commuter trains win.

      But a FUEL EFFICIENT car is the best option. You can fit an adult, 3 kids and a bunch of kid stuff into a 35mpg MINI Cooper - I do it all the time. Then you're up to 140 passenger miles per gallon - but even when you drive alone, you're still doing a shade better than average. With a typical SUV - even with three kids - you are only just barely making the average - but when you drive it alone (as I'm SURE you do) - you're dragging the average down so far...

      --
      www.sjbaker.org
    92. Re:It is real, look out the window by ShaneThePain · · Score: 0

      except that minivans are retarded...

      --
      Fascism is the greatest political ideology ever conceived. Sorry.
    93. Re:It is real, look out the window by gnuorder · · Score: 1

      > It's "If we'd tried to fix global cooling, we'd have been wrong", and "If we try to fix global warming, we may very well do wrong again."

      It never was a case of "all scientists were wrong to believe in global cooling in the 1970's" so there would have been nothing to attempt to fix. It is a myth being spread now that scientists in the 70's believed global cooling and were wrong. The few bits of evidence being cited is either not quoted from scientific journals, misquoted from scientific journals, or completely fabricated. There was some talk about nuclear winter which would occur "if" we blew each other up with nukes. There was also talk of historic patterns suggesting we are due for an ice age soon. Nether of those state that the earth is, or was in the 70's, cooling down. Scientists did not believe in global cooling in the 70's, period.

      The difference now is that Scientists from differing fields of study are all finding evidence of global warming. They are publishing their findings in scientific journals so that their findings are subject to peer review. Other scientists have compared the studies and looked for causes. They all agree that the earth is without a doubt warming up and all evidence points to a drastic increase in green house gasses, in particular, CO2.

      You can believe the politicians if you like but I prefer to believe the scientists, the ones who are the experts, the ones we count on to research this stuff, the ones who don't have a vested interest in the outcome of their studies. If there was a belief of global cooling, this would have been brought up in the 80's while the 70's were still fresh in our minds.

    94. Re:It is real, look out the window by Y0tsuya · · Score: 1

      You're welcome to buy him a house closer to work, or buy him a car that burns less gas. I bet you hate the homeless too because they sleep outside and stink up the streets.

    95. Re:It is real, look out the window by FhnuZoag · · Score: 1

      Well, of course. The hypothesis cited would be meaningless if it was just mentioning one year. What makes it interesting is the long term correlation they present:

      http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v436/n7051/im ages/nature03906-f1.2.jpg

      One line is sea surface temperatures. The other is hurricane intensity (more or less). The matching of the squiggles does appear persuasive, but it can still be a conincidence.

    96. Re:It is real, look out the window by humina · · Score: 1

      Well I'm looking forward to global warming. Maybe Canada will finally be warm enough so that I can move my ass up there. I like the idea of a government that spends it's money on social programs instead of the military. It's just too cold up there for me. I require California weather.

      --
      check out the best blog ever:
      http://oehlberg.com
    97. Re:It is real, look out the window by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      In much the same way as most general climatologists agree that global warming is caused largely by humans, most hurricane researchers seem to agree that the upswing was expected, and while it was quite the wild ride, it was probably an anomaly and not directly related to global warming. It will be interesting to see how many storms come through this year, and how strong they are overall.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    98. Re:It is real, look out the window by Pseudonym · · Score: 1

      Next time you fill up your SUV, spare a thought for the people of Kiribati. If the sea levels rise much further, their whole country will disappear.

      --
      sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f(q{sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f});
    99. Re:It is real, look out the window by FhnuZoag · · Score: 1

      Yeah. There isn't enough data for this one. (Unlike, I would say, for GW). At this point, it's an interesting possibility, that is all.

    100. Re:It is real, look out the window by ChrisGilliard · · Score: 1

      Global warming and climate change are real and undenyable. All it takes is some sampling of weather patterns over the past few hundred years (since we have been recording them) to note the drastic shifts in the past few decades.

      You are absolutly right. Global warming IS happening. The temperatures have risen about 1 degree celcius in the last hundred years. The questions are:
      1.) Why?
      2.) Is it even possible for us to effect it?
      Some people see Global Warming as a religion and want people to not even look at the facts. Even if we just did what we've been doing for the last hundred years, for the next one hundred years, temperatures will only rise by one degree. When they do rise by one degree, we will surely be out of Oil and probably even out of Coal beacuse the total supply for each at current usage levels is well under 100 years, so that leaves only a few options that can generate enough energy to fill our needs: Nuclear Fission, Hot Nuclear Fusion, Solar, Wind, Hydroelectric. What's interesting about all these choices? None of them give off CO2, the dreaded thing that causes Global Warming. So in conclusion: if you believe that that answer to question 1 is that we are causing global warming and you believe that the answer to number 2 is that we can effect global warming, why not allow humans to use up all the Oil/Coal over the next 100 years? Then we will be forced to use renewable energy sources anyhow! The temperature would probably only rise about 1 degree. I know some people will respond and say that 1 degree will destroy the earth or something, but all I know is that 1 degree didn't seem to destroy us over the last 100 years. There are many more of us here now. So unless we're teetering on some sort of plateu of death in terms of temperatures, everything will work its way out.

      --
      No Sigs!
    101. Re:It is real, look out the window by the+argonaut · · Score: 1

      I have no problems with homeless people, it's HOA whoring suburbanites I despise. They're the ones ruining the world.

      --
      fuck you.
    102. Re:It is real, look out the window by Pseudonym · · Score: 1
      You can fit an adult, 3 kids and a bunch of kid stuff into a 35mpg MINI Cooper - I do it all the time.

      I play the cello, you insensitive clod. (Still, even I only need a decent-sized sedan or station wagon at most.)

      --
      sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f(q{sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f});
    103. Re:It is real, look out the window by pingveno · · Score: 1

      Additional warmth itself won't do much harm. It's the effects. For an example, start with a map of the world. Stockholm is on the same latitude as Greenland. It should be frozen solid. The only thing that keeps Stockholm just cold, not glacial, is the Gulf Stream (or, rather, the North Atlantic Drift). It brings nice, warm water from the Gulf of Mexico to northern Europe. That means that Britian and the Scandinavian countries are quite a few degrees warmer. There are signs that, because of global warming, the Gulf Stream is slowing. A lot. That means less warmth coming from the Gulf of Mexico. Longer growing seasons? Wheat doesn't grow on glaciers.

      --
      "it's not about aptitude, it's the way you're viewed" - Galinda
    104. Re:It is real, look out the window by georgewilliamherbert · · Score: 1
      According to statistics I've seen, that's about 2% of SUV owners.
      20 years ago, you had things like the Suburban, the various Jeeps (Cherokee, Wagoneer, Grand Wagoneer etc), the Blazer, etc. You saw a few normal people driving them, but by and large they were a slightly nicer more enclosed pickup truck for people who had legit offroad or hauling or 4x4 needs. Most of those people drove pickup trucks, though. Some with camper shells, but pickups not protoSUVs.

      SUVs now have taken over the role of the family van or station wagon. And that, that's a shame, because vans have more space and wagons are a lot safer to drive and get a lot better mileage.

      I didn't mind it when friends had a Jeep Grand Wagoneer that was used to haul a horse trailer every weekend, or the other GW we were using to support amateur filmmaking up in the hills (and once, slid backwards down a 30 degree slope in the mud and rain, bumping the uphill cliff the whole way down...). I didn't mind it when mom got an Explorer for Search and Rescue work. I don't mind it that my best friend has a big honking pickup truck; he rolls out to volunteer fire department calls in it all the time, and sometimes that's in the rain or snow or off road.

      I mind the thousand other SUVs I drive past on the way to work, which do roughly none of those things to justify being build that way.

    105. Re:It is real, look out the window by Savantissimo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Apparently, the peer review and editing process involved in scientific publication was sufficient to provide a sober view. This episode shows the scientific press in a very good light; and a clear contrast to the lack of any such process in the popular press, then and now."

      I didn't quote that because it was pure opinion not supported by the sources cited. Curiously, taken at face value that quote also undermines your and the author's contention that the current press coverage of climate change is more responsible than it was in the '70s. Given the present popular press' continual doomsday drumbeat regarding supposedly anthropogenic and severe global warming, the press' admitted present lack of scientific rigor tends to call the current conventional climate wisdom into futher question rather than support it.

      "there would be another ice age in *tens of thousands of years*."
      You mean "within" not "in". Also note the 1940s-1970s cooling trend mentioned as the occasion for concern at the time.

      The climate either gets cooler or warmer - the one thing it NEVER does is stay exactly the same. Taking changes in climate as evidence of anything has to be taken with a huge grain of salt.

      As for the climate models, the problem scales as what, perhaps n^(3.x) at best? So even if there is 1E9 times more power available, the simulation is at best only 1000 times faster than in the '70s. And you're still talking about a chaotic system modeled at >1km resolution with complicated ad-hoc algorithms that are usually not fully available for independent review, so you're just running a more obfuscated kind of garbage faster. Particularly when the models still don't fully predict the behavior of the most impotant greenhouse gas, water vapor, and its interdependence with the most major cooling factor, clouds. Can these computer climate models retrodict past obervations? Can they do so with a code complexity less than the prediction complexity and produce robust predictions despite small variations in the initial states? No? Then don't ask anyone to take their predictions seriously.

      --
      "Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
    106. Re:It is real, look out the window by Pseudonym · · Score: 1

      I have two kids, and I play the cello. Believe me, I know all about the amount of stuff you have to haul.

      We get along just fine with a decent-sized sedan (for those taking notes, it's an Australian '89 model Ford Falcon EA, bought some years ago). We used to have a station wagon, and as the kids get older I'll definitely consider going back to one.

      Oh, for those rare occasions when we need to move something big (e.g. getting rid of the kids' old cot), we have a trailer, though they're also quite cheap to hire.

      --
      sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f(q{sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f});
    107. Re:It is real, look out the window by geminidomino · · Score: 1

      I mind the thousand other SUVs I drive past on the way to work, which do roughly none of those things to justify being build that way.

      Look on the bright side: a lot of those idiots think they can drive them like cars, and subsequently kill themselves. Mmmm... karma.

    108. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Consider the humble bicycle.

    109. Re:It is real, look out the window by Wavicle · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That article is a fine example of the bullshit logic that pro-GW forces like to use when backed into a corner:

      Due to this semi-random nature of weather, it is wrong to blame any one event such as Katrina specifically on global warming - and of course it is just as indefensible to blame Katrina on a long-term natural cycle in the climate.

      Sorry, where I come from we have what's called the null hypothesis. In any research asking "was this caused by humans?" the null hypothesis is "no." This sort of language is the crap you see when they don't want to come out and knock a block out of the humans-caused-global-warming super structure. Unless you have evidence to suggest that it was not natural, the assumption is that it was. They've turned a normal statistical test bad by asking it both ways: "was this caused by humans?" and "was this natural?" Since neither will get your confidence interval you say "oh, see, we just don't know." Like hell, you only do that sort of thing when the answer to the first question doesn't fit your agenda.

      --
      Education is a better safeguard of liberty than a standing army.
      Edward Everett (1794 - 1865)
    110. Re:It is real, look out the window by dheltzel · · Score: 1

      Wow, this is a real revelation. I never thought of it that way!

      If I got a few of them "blow up dolls", would that increase my passenger miles per gallon enough to offset the recent rise in gas prices? Or would I need to haul around real people to make this work ?

      If everyone did this, our national average passenger miles per gallon would increase so much that we might not need to import any more oil -- what a great idea!!

      [note for the humor impaired - this is supposed to be funny, so go ahead and laugh, pointing out the flaws in this logic is entirely optional]

    111. Re:It is real, look out the window by Tri0de · · Score: 1

      I have an upright bass and can get that, two violins, a guitar, an accordian and three people wround in my Honda CRV. At 26mpg. Not a bad compromise, overall.

      --
      "Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts."
    112. Re:It is real, look out the window by geminidomino · · Score: 1

      Ties in with the recent StarControl story...

      To paraphrase: "If we're dead, that's the RIGHT way to be dead..."

    113. Re:It is real, look out the window by anthony_dipierro · · Score: 1

      Except that humanity's exponentially growing population wouldn't be able to support itself when some previously furtile land turns to desert and all our coastal cities are destroyed by rising waters, which would cause billions of people to develop the heartland (which is where the farms are). While it may not whipe out our species, it will be the death of the modern lifestyle. The resources will just be too expensive.

      Or maybe people will just have fewer children in the future.

    114. Re:It is real, look out the window by anthony_dipierro · · Score: 1

      If the cycle continues it will certainly, without a doubt, lead to the death of us as a civilization, whether we were the cause or not.

      Depends how long it continues, and how quickly things heat up. In any reasonable models I've seen, the "death of us as a civilization" wasn't predicted. No more Florida in 100 years, maybe.

    115. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately, not enough of them actually manage that.

    116. Re:It is real, look out the window by chriso11 · · Score: 1

      I completely disagree with the statement that every change we make is consistant with Nature. Any other species is intrinsically held in check by other natural forces. We are now the most significant evolutionary force on the planet. It is an absolute fact we are pretty much bad for 90+% of the species on this planet. No other species comes even close to to what we can do. That, combined with our past history of large scale mistakes, means that maybe we should perform at least a bit of analysis on the effects of our actions.

      Maybe you don't think it matters if we wipe ourselves out - but I do. Your lack of understanding of the value of life pretty much marks you as a dumbass.

      --
      No, I don't trust in god. He'll have to pay up front, like everybody else.
    117. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sure you contribute nothing to the problem.

    118. Re:It is real, look out the window by Y0tsuya · · Score: 1
      There are places in California (or SF Bay Area where I live) where cities enact building ordinances that discourage high-density housing, such as max building height, traffic impact, etc. The effect has been a string of large (SF, Oakland, San Jose) and small cities circling the bay. Due to scarcity and high price of housing, many people are forced to live far away from where they go to work. 30-min commute is the average. For the smaller cities, most homes are the "suburban" single-family type.

      Also, it's not unusual for your next job to be a different city. Suppose you live 10 mins away from your job in downtown Oakland. You've lived in your house for the past 10 years. But your next job may well be in San Jose. Due to Proposition 13 and the insane real estate price increases in the last decade, you'd want to stay put in your house close to Oakland and do the 45-60 min commute to SJ. Otherwise, even if you find a house with same market value in SJ, you'll end up paying 3-4X in property taxes as you do now. With a median price of over $600K, that's $500/month for real-estate taxes alone, vs about $125 before. You'll then be faced with weighing a $375/month increase vs the shorter commute. For many people, it's not an easy choice to make.

    119. Re:It is real, look out the window by Rickler · · Score: 1

      Look on the bright side: a lot of those idiots think they can drive them like cars, and subsequently kill themselves. Mmmm... karma. I drive a 5 thousand pound Land Rover Discovery. In collision you'r going to have a much larger impulse then me; that just might result in your demise.

      --

      The human race is artificial intelligence created using object orientated programming.
    120. Re:It is real, look out the window by the+argonaut · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't say I contribute nothing, but I do live in the city, I use public transit or bike, and I do not own a car.

      --
      fuck you.
    121. Re:It is real, look out the window by letxa2000 · · Score: 1
      If the cycle continues it will certainly, without a doubt, lead to the death of us as a civilization, whether we were the cause or not.

      The death of our civilization? This is exactly the kind of fear-mongering that causes environmentalists to lose any shred of credibility they may have had.

    122. Re:It is real, look out the window by letxa2000 · · Score: 1
      That's the great thing about capitalism. Everyone gets to decide what he or she buys; even if it's something you wish he wouldn't.

    123. Re:It is real, look out the window by Capsaicin · · Score: 1

      while it was quite the wild ride, it was probably an anomaly and not directly related to global warming

      Can you prove the assertion that the wild ride was (probably or otherwise) not directly related to global warming? What evidence do you have for making what is a positive claim?

      In fact modelling is predicting a increase in storm (and hurricane) activitiy as a result of global warming. However, because of the large interseasonal variation and the relative paucity of good data, it is anticipated that it will be some decades (from memory, I read up to 70 years in one study) before the link between increased hurricane activity and global warming will be firmly established. Note that this is not the same thing as saying that the two are unrelated. On the contrary, modelling suggests they are.

      So the "wild ride" was probably (using 'probably' in a sense not importing any notion of statistical significance) directly related to global warming, we just can't be sure yet. Of course it was also directly related to already well established cycles and scientists, being in the main cautious creatures, will stress the established over the merely probable. (Though judging from the anti-science drivel flowing from the keyboards of too many shlashdotters, one could be forgiven for thinking otherwise).

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    124. Re:It is real, look out the window by the+argonaut · · Score: 1

      It wouldn't be such a hard choice if we would end the insane policies that favor automobile-centric travel and invested in real mass transit. Unfortunately, we're stuck now with a half century plus legacy of neglecting our cities and transit infrastructure and favoring insanely low-density development patterns that favor automobiles over people. It's not commuting that bothers me, it's commuting by cars, which incidentally are one of the major contributors to global warming.

      --
      fuck you.
    125. Re:It is real, look out the window by letxa2000 · · Score: 1
      And the moon shall turn blood-red and toads shall rain from the heavens!

      Dogs and cats living together... MASS HYSTERIA! :)

    126. Re:It is real, look out the window by dwater · · Score: 1

      Miles/gallon != emissions

      I'd like to see similar data for emissions. I was a motorcycle rider in Mountain View when I lived there, and I heard that motorcycles had more emissions than cars - esp. for short journeys. Something to do with them not (often) having catalytic converters?

      Anyone?

      --
      Max.
    127. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      HOA? Sorry, the acronym doesn't ring any bells...

    128. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Droughts in East Africa have been happening for 1000s of years.

      Africa?! Africa doesn't even exist, it's all being filmed in a backlot in Hollywood. Canada and Mexico exist, and maybe even France, but all that stuff about famines in all those other countries is just a big lie used by humanitarian organizations to get money, that's all!

    129. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I haul alfalfa, grain, pellets, and pine shavings, two kids, a wife, and sometimes friends.

      Are you some kind of hamster or gerbil by any chance?

    130. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Myth? Really? I was there. It was no myth.

    131. Re:It is real, look out the window by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      1) I don't think they make station wagons (as I remember them) anymore. 2) Station wagons (as any large car) aren't significantly more fuel efficient than an SUV. Yes, his reply reflects that mentally challenged SUV rationalization. Two kids? There is a non-SUV car designed for those kinds of family. It has its own category: 4-door sedan. (Toyota Corolla comes to mind.) Hell, many 2 door subcompacts will have seats in the back for passengers. As for more than 2 kids, I'd just say they are avowed environmental locusts. Its called birth control, dumbasses.

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    132. Re:It is real, look out the window by Y0tsuya · · Score: 1

      Yes, but you were directing your anger at people, not govt policies. There are still folks here that has been around since 1970's, when houses cost around $70,000. Now those same houses usually cost a cool $1.5 million (or more), due to larger parcels of land. That's a 20X increase, whereas their salaries maybe increased 5x. They literally woke up one day to find themselves stuck where they are, and their children priced out of the city where they grew up in.

    133. Re:It is real, look out the window by geminidomino · · Score: 1

      In collision you'r going to have a much larger impulse then me; that just might result in your demise.

      Hell, in a collision with a VW Bug I'm going to have a much larger impulse. I ride a motorcycle. But by "driving them like cars" I was referring to doing things like taking sharp corners at 60mph and rolling over or fishtailing into oncoming traffic, etc.

      I know I can't ride my bike like driving a car. A lot of SUV drivers don't make the same distinction.

    134. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1) They aren't as safe as an SUV. Lighter minivan is more vulnerable to rollover. 2) They aren't significantly more fuel efficient than an SUV. I doubt that 50% efficiency. Even if it were true, 3mpg isn't much better than 2mpg. Drive a normal, fuel-efficient car like everyone else.

    135. Re:It is real, look out the window by eonlabs · · Score: 1

      "...are real and undenyable."

      Dude, everything's deniable.
      d'nile is also a river in Africa.

      Why do you think people are just getting through to these people NOW about nuclear energy and global warming.

      Thirty or Fifty years from now, we STILL will have people in denial about these things.

      --
      I wouldn't consider the mad hatter mad. Just reality impaired. He sure can make a mean cup of tea.
    136. Re:It is real, look out the window by Reaperducer · · Score: 4, Informative
      --
      -- I'm old enough to have lived through six different meanings of the word "hacker."
    137. Re:It is real, look out the window by Y0tsuya · · Score: 1

      ok, maybe not "woke up one day" but you get the gist.

    138. Re:It is real, look out the window by xSauronx · · Score: 4, Insightful
      or because they "liked it".

      two months ago my sister bought a pacifica. she has 1 kid and no need to haul much more than some groceries most of the time. i have 2 kids and am comfy in my sable, though id kinda like a wagon again, but only sometimes.

      anyway, we were helping her move last month and i got very upset with her. were at a mini storage place, and have things strewn about dciding where to put what in a u-haul, and she says shes gonna get the guys some sodas. groovy.

      then she asks us to move everything out of her way, because she *Cant* back the pacifica up. you get inside, and windows are tiny, in addition to her being short. she literally couldnt fucking see to drive in reverse. she admitted it, she even knew it when she bought it, that she could barely see out of it to drive well.

      i tore into her, moved her stupid fucking car, and told her to go buy a civic that she could actually take somewhere. she doesnt have a good reason for an SUV, or whatever you call that pathetic atrocity, she bought it because she thought it looked nice; despite that she was moving from north carolina to alabama, and intended to make the drive at least once every 6 weeks or so (even with gas on the rise) back home to visit, and had nothing she *has* to haul besides a baby, a diaper bag, and what not, all of which could easily fit into a mid-size sedan that she could actually *drive properly*.

      some people are just selfishly fucking stupid. i know some guys like to tout the freedom of choice, and yes, its great. we all fuck up with that freedom from time to time, but to make a practically permanent stupid fucking decision just because you could? nice, sis. you cant drive it, dont need it, intend to put thousands of miles on it and the mileage is shitty.

      --
      By and large, language is a tool for concealing the truth. -- George Carlin
    139. Re:It is real, look out the window by the+argonaut · · Score: 2, Funny

      Homeowners' Association. Created by CCR's (Covenants, Conditions, and Restrictions), these delightful little private fiefdoms were originally used to keep blacks and Jews from moving into neighborhoods. Now they're used to keep out anybody who might want a basketball hoop in their front yard or paint their house any color besides the four approved colors.

      --
      fuck you.
    140. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not putting my kids in a Mini. If I'm rolling the proverbial dice with millions of cell-phoned, asshat drivers on the road, I'm going with some armor. Or at least not a fully guaranteed pinball trip to my death bed.
      Seriously, break down the "car" class for licensing purposes. That person who knows how to drive a CRX, may damn well not have a clue how to drive the new Yukon they just bought. I mean, you have to have an "M" class license in many states to ride a motoribike and we're talking the lightest, most fuel-efficient practical vehicle around. An old concept vehicle that really does work.

      But HOLY SHIT! You need your 'M' class to ride that two-wheeled donorcycle! You'll kill yourself! There should be a "HOLY SHIT!, You'll kill a family!" clause with asswipes who don't know how to drive 4 wheels on pavement. But I guess its all about press exposure.....

    141. Re:It is real, look out the window by Xyrus · · Score: 2

      "If press reports of the 1970s are not to be taken seriously, those of today regarding the nature and origins of climate change should also be viewed with healthy skepticism."

      Let's see...1970...1970...why that was 30 years ago. Do you honestly think that meteorological scientists are using the same models? Do you think the increase in computational capacity has had no impact on the science? Do you think all the new data, from ice-cores to global monitoring has not aided in better describing the weather patterns of this planet? Do you think that not one thing has changed since then?

      Yeah, nothing changes in 3 decades.

      This is an extremely weak argument. Actually, it's not even an argument. But I digress.

      Fine, you want to be skeptic. That's just being lazy. Why be skeptic when you can get off your ass and figure it out for yourself.

      There are many many sites where you can go and peruse meteorological data, and download it as well. There are even visualization packages (free) that you can download and program yourself.

      These data include multiple atmospheric layers of data over time, GOES satellite imagery, IR, water vapor, etc. Just about any parameter you'd care to look at.

      The data are quite clear. The global temperature is indeed rising. The weather patterns are changing. What remains to be seen is how much and what impact it has.

      Cause is irrelevant at this point. Not much could be done whether human induced or not.

      So the choice is yours. You can go and look at the data yourself. Or, you can continue with your irrelevant drivel about 30-year-old met models.

      ~X~

      --
      ~X~
    142. Re:It is real, look out the window by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      On one hand, you're absolutely right. Climatology is hardly a "hard" science. On the other hand, by freshman Bio professor took a lecture day out to talk about "global warming" back in the early '80s. His position was: the laws of physics are pretty much set in stone. Civilization is pumping out a significant amount of CO2. That rate will skyrocket as the 3rd world, with many times more population than the US, industrialize. It doesn't matter if there will be global warming or cooling. What matters is the laws of physics dictate a change in environment with the increase of CO2. Do you live in Canada or the USSR? Well, then maybe the change will be good. The US generates a ton of agricultural product, due to its favorable climate. Do you want this to change? Keep generating CO2 like we currently do.

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    143. Re:It is real, look out the window by the+argonaut · · Score: 1

      I'm angry at people because they are (in one way or another) responsible for the government policies.

      --
      fuck you.
    144. Re:It is real, look out the window by DirePickle · · Score: 1

      Sorry. You're wrong. I know you're an AC and so will never see this, and you were just trolling anyway, but:

      "Geographic region: Greenland

      Percent: 10.82

      Volume: 2,600,000 km3

      Percent: 7.9

      Maximum sea level rise potential: 6.5 m

      Area: 1,736,095 km2"

      And if you don't believe Random-Website (I wouldn't), you can find the figure of 23 feet on Wikipedia, from Greenland alone. And if you don't trust that, you can do the math yourself. Volume of ice on Greenland: 2.6*10^6 km^3. Surface area of Earth's oceans: 360*10^6 km^2. Density of ice: ~.92 times that of water. So, (2.6*.92)/360=.0066 km. Or, 6.6 m rise. Or, ~22 feet.

    145. Re:It is real, look out the window by walt-sjc · · Score: 1

      If you live where I do, a minivan or other small car just doesn't hold up. The roads are in horrible shape. People around here drive lots of pickups and SUV's because they are the only things that can withstand the potholes, frost heaves, and just plain old poor road construction. After replacing a few struts, motor mounts, and an axel, not to mention getting an alignment once every two months, you tend to understand these things.

      Furthermore, most minivans are designed for 5'5" women with children. Get a few big men in the car with long legs and you get a large SUV. I always drive with the seat either all the way back, or almost all the way (depending on the vehicle.) This means that the back seat has ZERO leg room unless it's a big SUV, which is designed with more legroom in the back.

      Frankly, the problem is that auto manufacturers don't build smaller autos that a) hold up to bad roads b) have a smooth ride or comfortable seats, and c) fit tall people. I think B is the bigger problem however.

    146. Re:It is real, look out the window by brianerst · · Score: 0
      But the thing is, it does not matter what the cause is. If the cycle continues it will certainly, without a doubt, lead to the death of us as a civilization, whether we were the cause or not.
      This is the part of the climate change (a better term than global warming) hysteria that I simply don't understand.

      I am fairly certain, given the existing data, that there has been and will continue to be some level of anthropogenic climate change in the past 150 years. The amount and direction of the change, and its root causes, are still far from clear (does recent warming have more to do with decreased particulate matter [soot] than with increased carbon dioxide? why have there been notable periods of cooling or stasis during this period?).

      The problem I have is why this change (even if you take the higher estimates of a 4-6 degrees Celsius increase from 1950-2100) inevitably leads to the death of our civilization. It would undoubtedly be disruptive (especially in coastal areas and oceanic islands), but why would civilization collapse? Civilization blossomed during the Little Ice Age of 1550-1850, where some estimates place the global cooling at 3-6 degrees Celsius - a similarly disruptive and sudden climate change.

      Higher global carbon dioxide and temperatures will likely increase crop yields. Lands lost to desertification will likely be offset by increasingly fertile areas of former tundra in Canada and Asia. Technology will undoubted advance (and at an ever increasing rate) - with 22nd century technology, power production surely be much more environmentally benign and, if needed, we'll probably have tech that will allow us to reverse the carbon trends (given real fusion power, carbon sequestration and environmental cleanup become a lot cheaper and easier).

      I have no worries that climate change will wipe out our civilization. An escalating clash of civilizations, increasingly simple biotech that can be used for bad ends as well as good and nuclear proliferation are what keep me up at night. Climate change just requires some technology and willpower - once (if) it hurts enough, the willpower will be there, and I'm sure the tech will be. The important thing to do is to mitigate the damage that occurs between then and now - especially on various fragile ecosystems. We need massive biological assays (start gathering a LOT of DNA and seeds now and store them safely), protected eco-preserves and a host of other things are some things you can help do right now. I personally donate to The Nature Conservancy because they put money directly into those kinds of projects rather than activism, but there are plenty of other outlets. You could buy personal carbon offsets, invest in wind power, or buy sustainable electricity.

      Stop waiting for politicians to do the right thing - do it yourself!

    147. Re:It is real, look out the window by ademaskoo · · Score: 0

      Say that to the mexicans.

    148. Re:It is real, look out the window by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      I think you are missing the humour/sarcasm in his post. I am going to have to bill him for a new keyboard and another cup of coffee though.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    149. Re:It is real, look out the window by Metex · · Score: 1

      Global Warming = Global Energy Increase. ie The energy the world has to work with is increased. You need energy to freeze your food, and energy to use your fan and so does the earth. So while people think Global Warming means hotter summers and warmer winters it is more likely it means hotter summers and colder winters. Also the energy goes into more intense wind. The number of hurricanes doesnt matter, but their total distructive power is.

      --
      Never could figure out why my girl liked my bitch tits, then I found out she was a lesbian.
    150. Re:It is real, look out the window by Nutria · · Score: 1

      but Dad doesn't want to drive them because they are not considered "manly" vehicles. If you see a guy driving a minivan, he obviously has a job, a wife, some kids, etc. etc.

      What's Dad got to be ashamed of? Am I the only husband/father who is proud that I am a husband/father?

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    151. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From what I hear, New Orleans is a blessing since the hurricane. Crime is almost non-existant, and people are focused on rebuilding the city, working, and being nice to each other.

      Yup, cause all the nigs came to GA. You think I'm kidding. There have been cases where GA residents shared the houses they live in with the refugees and when it came time to leave the police had to be called to force them out!

      Hell, I wouldn't want to go back either; New Orleans was an incredibly evil place with many scandelous people. They got every bit of what was coming to them. Funny how the same thing happend to India :o

    152. Re:It is real, look out the window by CaptainCarrot · · Score: 1

      As long as we're debunking myths, that's not really a Chinese curse.

      --
      And the brethren went away edified.
    153. Re:It is real, look out the window by diablomonic · · Score: 1

      Obviously you need that much larger car to offset the imbalance caused by your much smaller penis (and brain it seems). In fact, it's so small it has a negative mass (maybe we could harvest it and use it for time travel, only useful thing it will ever do ), so I guess together you and your SUV add up to the equivalent of one large idiot.

      --
      watch "the money masters" on google video
    154. Re:It is real, look out the window by sol_geek77 · · Score: 1
      All it takes is some sampling of weather patterns over the past few hundred years (since we have been recording them)


      This is one problem that I have about "global warming". We have only been recording, officially, historical temperature records since around 1860. This is about 60 years after the end of a "Little Ice Age". For 500 years prior to the 1800's we were in a "Little Ice Age" with very inaccurate records. We only know that the tempuratures were much cooler then today. This is one reason the Norse stoped comming to Eastern North America. So for 500 years we were in a "Little Ice Age" and now the last 200 years shows that the temperatures of the Earth warming.

      The real fact about global warming is that we know the mean tempuratures have increased over the last few decades. However, we don't know what the mean tempurature should be do to lack of historical data (150 years of data after a "Little Ice Age" of 500 years is bunk data). We also have no idea of the impact of natural disasters such as volcanos (like it snowing in Isreal in the mid 1990's) versus human impact. It could very well be that in a little over 100 years we will see the tempurature start droping again.

      http://www.whoi.edu/institutes/occi/currenttopics/ abruptclimate_15misconceptions.html
    155. Re:It is real, look out the window by Nutria · · Score: 1

      I mind the thousand other SUVs I drive past on the way to work, which do roughly none of those things to justify being build that way.

      You mean Women driving SUVs, yacking on cell phones in the middle of suburbia? Me too.

      That's why we bought a minivan... And when it wears out, we'll buy another one. By the time that one wears out, the kids will be in College, and we'll get something nicer.

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    156. Re:It is real, look out the window by heavy_metal_chemist · · Score: 0

      Same thing happened in Hiroshima in 1945 but with a nuclear bomb instead of a hurricane. Why wait for global warming?

    157. Re:It is real, look out the window by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I hate the safety reason because it's a zero sum game. They are hoping to get in a head-on collision (the only case where it could actually be safer for them) and survive by killing the occupants of the more practical fuel efficient car driven by the folks that can't afford to pay for all that petrol. Your survival rate increases only to the extent that the survival rate of the occupants of the other vehicle decreases. Every man for himself indeed.

      They don't like to discuss the roll-over dangers or side collisions. I think I was reading somewhere that the belief is that the greater safety in a head-on collision is offset by the greater probability of a roll-over in an otherwise non-fatal accident.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    158. Re:It is real, look out the window by gnuorder · · Score: 1

      What makes you think the models don't take water vapor into account? Besides, what is the magical property of water vapor that somehow invalidates GW? That's like telling the fire Marshal you pouring gasoline though out your house had nothing to do with the fire because his investigation didn't take into account the wood that was already in the house.

    159. Re:It is real, look out the window by Skynyrd · · Score: 1

      Homeowners' Association. Created by CCR's (Covenants, Conditions, and Restrictions), these delightful little private fiefdoms were originally used to keep blacks and Jews from moving into neighborhoods. Now they're used to keep out anybody who might want a basketball hoop in their front yard or paint their house any color besides the four approved colors.

      I don't like HOA as much as you do, but they are voted in by the land owners who live there. If you don't like their rules (can't ride a motorcycle in the neighborhood, can't change your own oil...) don't buy a house/condo there.

      HOA rules aren't a secret, and they'll be happy to share them with you before you buy a house.

      That being said, I would never live in an area with a HOA, as they usually have rules to "my kind" from moving in. My kind has a fascination with internal combustion engines and large, loud tools.

      I'm currently in the process of moving to Southern Oregon, where the local government won't issue building permits on parcels of land smaller than five acres (20,234 square meters for our Euro Friends).

    160. Re:It is real, look out the window by b17bmbr · · Score: 1

      please don't try to confuse people with the facts.

      --
      My problem? I was perfectly gruntled, until some numbnuts came by and dissed me.
    161. Re:It is real, look out the window by ozmanjusri · · Score: 1
      It's called a minivan, it can haul more people, has more cargo room, and on average gets about 50% better fuel economy.

      Yep, I've just bought a Mercedes Vito 115CDi, and I'm amazed by how good those things are getting. It only has a 2.2l diesel, but you wouldn't know it by the performance. It's a big vehicle, but it feels compact while you're driving it, and gets about 8l/100km for a mix of city/country driving.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    162. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Environmentalism has merit to the extent which the ways we impact our environment damage us. Smog in LA, acid rain in Canada, Kenny G in restaurant sound systems... We can all agree that these are Bad Things.

      I don't. I hate LA. I hate Canada. I like eating to Kenny G. I'm a proud George W Bush voter.

    163. Re:It is real, look out the window by Skynyrd · · Score: 1

      Miles/gallon != emissions

      I'd like to see similar data for emissions. I was a motorcycle rider in Mountain View when I lived there, and I heard that motorcycles had more emissions than cars - esp. for short journeys. Something to do with them not (often) having catalytic converters?

      Anyone


      I don'tt have specific answers for you, but you're on the right track.

      Screw the hippies who claim that their VW Microbus is "better for the environment" than a new SUV. Sure, the SUV gets crappy mileage, but so does a VW Microbus. At the same time, the VW has no catalytic converter and is carburated and air cooled (I'm talking about the really old ones). Carburated, air cooled vehicle simply don't run as cleanly as a water cooled, fuel injected engine. New emmision controolled engines are so much cleaner than anything we've ever had.

      If you want to get rid of the big polluters, get rid of lawnmowers. They are horrible for many reasons. Very few of them are correctly tuned, and tend to run rich (a greater fuel:air ratio than is needed), they have no emmision controlls.

      Motorcycles are a mixed bag. New bikes are almost always fuel injected, have cats and meet the Euro specs that are cleaner that those in the US. There are, of course, a lot of older bikes with no cats that pollute more than a current car. However, the majority of bikes are ridden far fewer miles than the average car. I recently bought a '98 Kawasaki KLR650 with 15,000 miles on it. That's an average of not much more than 100 miles a month.

      I think that we should all but new motorcycles as a way to save fuel, un-clog the roads and weed out the crappy drivers.

    164. Re:It is real, look out the window by myth24601 · · Score: 1

      I wonder if the same thing is happening in other hurricane basins?

      --
      No matter where you go, there you are.
    165. Re:It is real, look out the window by colmore · · Score: 1

      I'm sure glad you two will have settled this debate in a few months. Let us know who was right, OK?

      --
      In Capitalist America, bank robs you!
    166. Re:It is real, look out the window by CheeseTroll · · Score: 1

      Whoa, hang on there. I'm no SUV fan, either, but come on, a 6-seat car? 1982 called - it wants its Ford Country Squire back.

      --
      A post a day keeps productivity at bay.
    167. Re:It is real, look out the window by dwater · · Score: 1

      I used to have a ZX6 (aka ZZR600) when I lived in CA (actually, I still have it, sitting there doing nothing, if anyone wants to buy it).

      I know CA has strict emissions laws, even for bikes. "How does that compare with the Eurolaws?", I wonder.

      --
      Max.
    168. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Where better to find so many misinformed geeks than slashdot. "Hey, it rained more today, we are doomed!" Get a grip, nerds.

    169. Re:It is real, look out the window by Zen+Punk · · Score: 1

      Hell yeah, it looks damned persuasive. The relationship looks almost linear in the later parts of the graph. But there are some anomalies in the earlier part of the graph where the two plots look almost inverse, so if you average it out, the correlation isn't as strong as it seems at first glance. Definitely eye-raising stuff, though.

      --
      Sleep is futile.
    170. Re:It is real, look out the window by qkslvr846 · · Score: 2, Funny

      uh, you divided a volume by an area. you need the surface area and the volumes of both to figure this out correctly (although props on remembering the density). i dont feel like looking them up, you're welcome to if you wish.

    171. Re:It is real, look out the window by einhverfr · · Score: 1

      Except that humanity's exponentially growing population wouldn't be able to support itself when some previously furtile land turns to desert and all our coastal cities are destroyed by rising waters, which would cause billions of people to develop the heartland (which is where the farms are).

      Desertification could be a problem with or without global warming. Improper fertilization and irrigation are the causes there.

      Rising ocean levels are a threat to coastal cities, but this is mere economic damage in the sense that it causes damage to residences and commercial structures (including ports). It is not a threat in the sense you are speaking. The amount of land covered by this rising water is extremely small. Yes, there is economic damage but that is it.

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    172. Re:It is real, look out the window by aevan · · Score: 1

      wah wah wah The country being below sea level doesn't seem to bother the dutch much =P

    173. Re:It is real, look out the window by Bill+Dog · · Score: 1

      Terrorist logic?!?

      --
      Attention zealots and haters: 00100 00100
    174. Re:It is real, look out the window by patternjuggler · · Score: 1

      We don't know whether another three degrees of warming over the next century (which is what the most pessimistic of Global Warming predictors are saying will happen regardless of what changes we make) will, on balance, be a Good Thing or a Bad Thing.

      Historically, periods of warm climates have been more prosperous for mankind than cool eras, because most of the land in the world lies outside the tropics.

      All the Ice melting off Greenland might suck if you live in Venice, New Orleans, or some other port town that is mostly below sea level, but it's the best news ever if you've invested in any arctic real estate.


      I don't really buy into the 'take the long view' type of reasonings. The problem remains that trillions of dollars worth of real estate and infrastructure are threatened. Change may not be inherently bad, but it's hard. And potentially very painful. We know how to get by the way things are right now (well, except if the way we're getting by is causing the whole problem to begin with...). It's going to cost a fucking lot of money to restructure society to take advantage of this potential pleasant change in the weather. Taking millions of people and having them move somewhere else is also pretty expensive- sure, maybe it happens over decades, but it's not going to be trivial.

      The thing about change, is that we don't really understand what's going on and all the ramifications. It's easy to say, in my dumb-simple model, add three degrees results in a little melted ice here, more temperate climates here, and slightly raised sea level there. Doesn't look to bad to me. But the weather and climate and ecology and economy and everything else is that will be perturbed is very messy and chaotic- it's messy and chaotic enough when it's in a stable mode, but you add ramp up some of the inputs to the system and it could go anywhere.

    175. Re:It is real, look out the window by mortonda · · Score: 2, Insightful
      What's Dad got to be ashamed of? Am I the only husband/father who is proud that I am a husband/father?


      Amen! Being a father is the best and most important job I can imagine. I just wish I had more children so that I *need* a minivan. Some of the minivans I've driven are quite comfy, and drive nice. Maybe after the next child, the need will outweigh the expense. :)
    176. Re:It is real, look out the window by dbIII · · Score: 1
      I'm a big fan of going to nuclear as an incrimental step towards
      It takes years to plan and construct a big coal fired thermal plant to existing designs let alone a cutting edge nuclear plant. If you don't want a 1950's style nuclear white elephant you have to take a risk on a new design - so you can add a few more years. In purely practical terms nuclear is not short term by any stretch of the imagination - it's going to take you many years to build it and it has to be designed to last for a very long time if you are going to justify the huge capital cost by a saving on fuel costs over a very long time.

      It can't be "just a step" - you're in for the long haul or why bother.

    177. Re:It is real, look out the window by Wyrmy · · Score: 0

      Can we use facts rather than band wagon hyperbole? The fact is nuclear power is a good idea even if the latest end of the world scare turns out to be BS.

      --
      Every act of conscious learning requires the willingness to suffer an injury to one's self-esteem.-Thomas Szasz
    178. Re:It is real, look out the window by Bill+Dog · · Score: 1

      The flaw in your logic is that "blow up" dolls only help terrorists.

      --
      Attention zealots and haters: 00100 00100
    179. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      [P]rivate fiefdoms were originally used to keep blacks and Jews from moving into neighborhoods.
      And with good cause, mein Freund: with Jews come blacks, and thither peace and prosperity.
    180. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whinge whinge, fucking whinge. I really couldn't give a fuck what
      you do. What makes you think you should get special treatment?

    181. Re:It is real, look out the window by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's funny: I grew up in a place where a pickup was a definite asset. Middle of nowhere around latitude 56. Nothing but farms, a few highways, gravel roads (if you're lucky) and lots of mud. People used their trucks to haul stuff constantly. Whenever anyone from home moves to the city, the FIRST thing they do is get rid of their truck and buy a little car. They plan it when they're planning the move. "Yeah, I've got to get rid of my truck, find a place, move my stuff down...." If we're planning a road trip to the city, whoever has the car drives.

      People who really drive trucks know what a liability they are in the city.

    182. Re:It is real, look out the window by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      At least offset. I read a huge study looking at SUV safety. I think the risk was about the same, SUV vs. midsize car before taking into account the SUV's penchant to roll. In a head on (or nearly head on) collision the SUV driver and passengers had about the same risk as someone in a car hitting a car. The car in the car vs. SUV situation naturally had something like an 80% greater chance of fatal injuries. When you count in rolling SUVs are particularly dangerous for children. I guess children tend to get hurt much worse in rollovers.

      So it's not a zero sum game. SUVs are a negative in crashes.

    183. Re:It is real, look out the window by popeguilty · · Score: 1

      All actions of man are natural. Many are irresponsible, but that does not make them "unnatural".

      Unless you want to discuss God, ghosts, magic, etc, nothing is "unnatural". It's nothing more than a stupid slur word.

    184. Re:It is real, look out the window by M0b1u5 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      IDIOT!

      We simply have very little idea what the past climate has been like. Human record keeping is a joke: inaccurate at best, hopelessly flawed at worst. "Weather Stations" which were in open country, are now within suburbia, and the measurements taken have done nothing except record the predictable changes inmicroclimate (NOT CLIMATE!!) due to urbanisation.

      Also, please note: WEATHER IS NOT CLIMATE. Ipso facto, all "weather stations" record is a tiny bunch of data which has almost nothing to do with climate, but quite a bit to do with weather.

      Note also: to date, NO ONE has made an accurate prediction about what will happen to our climate, OR long term weather. In fact, all (bar none!) predictions to date have been incredibly wrong.

      Sheeit - we can't predict the weather more than 10 days in advance - and that's with an incredible array of weather satelites, ground stations, weather balloons, observers and hostorical records, all plugged into super computers, and the results interpreted by specially trained weather people!

      Given this fact, it's weather predicters who must have the only job on the planet where they can get their job wrong 50% (or more) of the time, AND STILL HAVE A JOB TO GO TO NEXT WEEK!

      How on earth can you have any faith in any of these fools when they can;t make a single accurate prediction about ANYTHING? Oooops, sorry, they can predict their funding levels for the next 10 years pretty accurately, but beyond that? NOTHING.

      "Global Warming" must be approaching a trillion dollar a year industry - and boy, I wish I could get my hands on some of that cash too!

      1. Spurious Global Warming Predictions
      2. FUD
      3. ......
      3. Profit!

      --
      How many escape pods are there? "NONE,SIR!" You counted them? "TWICE, SIR!"
    185. Re:It is real, look out the window by Aqua+OS+X · · Score: 1

      Although I know "hurricane researcher" is a fairly credible position... especially when you have a degree from hurricane researcher school, or online hurricane researcher school.

      That said, most climatologist and meteorologists are well aware that warmer oceans and an atmosphere with an increased CO2 density increases the possibility of stronger storms.

      --
      "Things are more moderner than before- bigger, and yet smaller- it's computers-- San Dimas High School football RULES!"
    186. Re:It is real, look out the window by SaDan · · Score: 1
      You can fit an adult, 3 kids and a bunch of kid stuff into a 35mpg MINI Cooper - I do it all the time.


      Yeah, but can you put the adult, three kids and a bunch of stuff into the Mini at the same time?

      The adult plus three kids I can see, but there's not a lot of room for "a bunch of stuff" left in that vehicle.

      Yes, I've been in one.
    187. Re:It is real, look out the window by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      It's a niche study, and so I trust the hurricane researchers on the subject more than a general climatologist, much as I would trust a vulcanologist about when an eruption might occur more than I would trust a general-study geologist. The former may have a wider breadth of knowledge, but sometimes depth trumps breadth.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    188. Re:It is real, look out the window by Drakonian · · Score: 2, Insightful
      All the Ice melting off Greenland might suck if you live in Venice, New Orleans, or some other port town that is mostly below sea level, but it's the best news ever if you've invested in any arctic real estate.

      Give me a break. If the Greenland ice shelf melted, it would submerge maybe 40-50% of Florida. You saw the fuss created for 100,000 Katrina refugees? Imagine 200 million of them, worldwide.

      --
      Random is the New Order.
    189. Re:It is real, look out the window by SaDan · · Score: 1

      Speaking as someone who used to work in Boulder, CO for people who did weather modeling and atmospheric sciences (at NCAR and elsewhere), I can say that a lot of them are a little full of themselves and their models.

      We do NOT have nearly enough information to correctly model any type of weather forcasting, even using a 1km grid resolution, not to mention the amount of modern computing power required to do anything meaningful. As the amount of detail has gone up, so has the computing requirement, substantially.

      Folks, we can't even predict local weather for a 48 hour period very accurately (temps, precip, wind). No one has the software or the hardware to do any meaningful predictions for the globe, let alone Colorado.

      Lastly, the thing that kills me are these enviro-hippies who live in Boulder, work for institutions like NCAR, claim global warming is happening, are tooling around town in their Jeep Cherokees, Subaru Foresters, etc... Way to live by example and save the environment.

      I'm posting AC because I do have friends who still work at NCAR/UCAR and other various scientific institutions in that area, and some of their bosses.

    190. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That he drives the same distance both ways? If he didn't then I'd have to hate him, because he'd have 2 houses.

      Now a good reason to hate him would be if he drove 55 *mph* in the fast lane.

    191. Re:It is real, look out the window by rob_squared · · Score: 1

      But you are increasing the amount of CO2 emissions in the atmosphere by breathing! Shame on you, I stopped breathing 3 minutes ago when I read this posssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss

      --
      I don't get it.
    192. Re:It is real, look out the window by ademaskoo · · Score: 0

      The amount of land covered by this rising water is extremely small.

      Lester Brown estimated that for every meter rise in ocean levels, you would lose a kilometer of coastland. I've heard estimates that the ocean level could rise by 8 meters over the next 100 years, which would (by Lester's formula) flood out most of downtown L.A. And that is just one city. Most of the earth's 6 billion residents live within a few kilometers of the coast. Rising waters would be catastrophic, and if New Orleans is any reminder, the price will not be merely economic. How many people do you think will die in storm surges when mostly every large city on the planet is below sea level? A great many indeed.

    193. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Actually, you are the idiot. All glaciers are melting save the heart of the south pole. Some of these are 100K y.o. For ALL of them to be melting requires that the average temp be increasing. In fact, it means that the temp is warmer than 100K years ago ( of course, that does not mean that the temp is at its absolute highest ). BTW, since you are a bushie, let me explain that a number of these glaciers are on the north side of steep ravins. i.e. they do not get direct sun. So pollution on top does not change the situation. They are melting due to climate change.

    194. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ahh, otherwise referred to as SMPs (small minded pricks) who have given themselves the power to tell you how you should live.

    195. Re:It is real, look out the window by Hugonz · · Score: 1
      Why should we tune the ecosystem to our own benefit, when the planet has gone through things like ice-ages which have only served to refine the life here?

      Cause we are expected to be diligent about becoming the fittest.

    196. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Puppies? (:

    197. Re:It is real, look out the window by russellh · · Score: 1

      Hell I wish Ford hadn't changed the Windstar, with the older model's you can haul 4'x8' sheets of sheet rock and plywood

      the honda odyssey can.

      --
      must... stay... awake...
    198. Re:It is real, look out the window by Simon+Garlick · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but in 30 years all the scientists who presently don't believe in global warming will have drowned.

    199. Re:It is real, look out the window by MadUndergrad · · Score: 1

      Incidentally, that's the same reason I got my car. Granted, my car is tiny (it's a Miata), so the compensation works the other way around, but the principle is the same. Plus, putting the top down on a hot day is great fun. Also, gets excellent mileage. Really, it's a win-win-win situation.

    200. Re:It is real, look out the window by c_forq · · Score: 1

      They do when weighted down. As a Michigan driver I can tell you in my experience minivans have the best and worst handling in the winter. With a few 50 pound bags of salt or sand in the back they are great, but when empty and/or on non-winter tires they are the last thing I want to drive on the road (small pickups are also bad with nothing in the back, but our family minivan was much worse in snow when empty than the pick-up).

      --
      Computers allow humans to make mistakes at the fastest speeds known, with the possible exception of tequila and handguns
    201. Re:It is real, look out the window by moro_666 · · Score: 1

      didn't quite get your point.

      most universal body volvo's and saab's fit more into them than 75% of the suv's do ...

      suv is a just stupid tank unless you really live in the forest where you need a big jeep.

      --

      I'd tell you the chances of this story being a dupe, but you wouldn't like it.
    202. Re:It is real, look out the window by DirePickle · · Score: 1
      I'm touched that you think of me dearly enough to use cute little names, but it is really unneeded. Anyway, I don't think I actually said that it was human caused, but I do believe that "climate change" is actually happening, and that it won't be beneficial to my comfort. Regardless of whether we're the cause, I think we should be... you know... trying to think of what we're going to do to allay the ill effects.

      Of course, that won't actually happen, and things will just slowly get crummy, people will wonder why we didn't see it coming, and we'll scurry (likely successfuly) to keep things running in some manner or other without a collapse of society. But, it'll probably hurt my retirement a little. Sigh.

    203. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here's your intrinsic balance: man pollutes too much, which poisons the land and himself, population declines, pollution eventually goes away, man repopulates. Nice, natural cycle.

    204. Re:It is real, look out the window by DirePickle · · Score: 1

      Yes. I did, in fact, divide a voume by an area. And I got back out a length (height, in this case)! km^3/km^2=km.

    205. Re:It is real, look out the window by wagnerer · · Score: 1

      Just look at the long term core ice studies. Going back many thousands of years they reflect very well what was expected given on the three frequencies of orbital oscillation, until around 6000 years ago. At that point there are deviations from the cycle starting right about the time rice was first domestically farmed in Asia. Right around the period of one of the worst outbreaks of the Plague, right in the middle of the deforestation of Europe it returns to the expected trends for about a hundred years. Perhaps because the population pressures driving deforestation had stalled due to the massive die off? Then you see that last couple hundred years and the curve is nothing if not exponential.

      Or look at the coral die-offs. No change found in their environment except temperature change.

      Species migration patterns upslope in mountain ranges. Glaciers vanishing. Slowdown of the gulf stream.

      The Earth is warming when the orbital oscillations indicate that it should be cooling. To claim otherwise with the mountain of evidence growing each day is just burying your head in the sand. Just watch out when those sea's start to rise.

    206. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You'd sure hate me. My car gets about 20 mpg and I live about 15 miles from work. At work I drive a vehicle that only gets about 8 miles to the gallon, and I drive it about 200 miles per day. So, that's about 25-26 gallons per day 5 days a week (wow, 125 gallons PER WEEK!) The offending commuter car is a Subaru that has to get me to work in any weather while carring any nmumber of supplies, and the offending work vehicle is an ambulance. If you're so worried about the environment, next time you're dying, please save some EMT or Paramedic your diatribes and ride your skateboard to the emergency room.

    207. Re:It is real, look out the window by MadUndergrad · · Score: 1

      Hmm, according to the Homer Simpson, " ...but Florida is America's wang!"

      So, if the rising waters caused by global warming caused it to apparently become maybe half its size, would that be shrinkage?

    208. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Since you are passing the SUVs, you are obviously wasting fuel by driving faster than needed and contributing excessively to global warming. Be more responsible and slow down to the flow of traffic - else our grandchildren will die of global warming and YOU will be responsible for it. Your time really can't be that important if you have time to brag on /. about your excessive energy use.

    209. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most Americans are embarassed that the government seems to be unable to temporarily house everyone, let alone rebuild completely. Imagine if your community was destroyed, and you learned that your local government ignored scientists and engineers and built weak levees. Now imagine the same government tells you that you can't rebuild and you're just out of luck, for their failure.

      Sir, I think that you speak out of arrogance rather than understanding.

      Or perhaps you believe it is okay because those affected are poor blacks, or Americans?

    210. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How much does ExxonMobil pay you? Just kidding. I can tell you have given much thought to the subject. Good to see intelligent skeptics do exist. Let me briefly disagree...

      I happen to think that you overstate the uncertainty and infancy of the scientific community. Further, you seem to discount the significance of ice testing, which shows that the earth has never warmed this fast, ever. Of course, any previous dramatic warming was followed by a drastic cooling, aka ice age.

      I agree that alternative energy should be pushed to reduce pollution, but recent research suggests that pollution likely decreases the intensity of CO2 warming. In other words, eliminating pollution could increase warming (although perhaps stop its long-term growth).

      Of course it is important to understand that global warming will affect regions differently, which I believe you described well.

      In the end, debating it may be pointless right now because of the time scale the change occurs on. With politicians on a 4 year election cycle and no major party support, the danger of global warming doesn't seem pressing.

    211. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's more like the telling the fire marshal that your votive candles had nothing to do with the fire because he failed to consider the gasoline soaked fireplace piled high with logs and perchlorate candles.

    212. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but when the pyramids were built, Egypt wasn't a desert. You won't be able to sustain the current population densities, meaning lots of people have to die of hunger. Eventually, people will probably fight wars over the remaining good land. Hell, they already fight wars over enough shitty land *cough*Jerusalem*cough*.

      Sure, maybe most people will still be able to eke out an existance, but on the whole, would you rather live in a temperate climate or an arctic one?

      And imagine the psychological impact of knowing people in the past could have done something to stop it, but never bothered. They didn't act on their knowledge because they were too busy benifitting from the status quo or fighting with each other. I think a lot of knowledge will be lost if earth goes this way, but I doubt anyone, anywhere on the planet will forget that fact.

    213. Re:It is real, look out the window by DrMrLordX · · Score: 1

      I have a plan, though you might not like it. Would you like to hear it? Would anyone? At this point, I don't know that anyone is willing to listen. Everyone's factionalized to the point that new ideas or new arrangements of old ideas will be ignored.

    214. Re:It is real, look out the window by Kokuyo · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but this is completely wrong in my opinion.

      Yes, climatic change is happening. But it has happened several times in the history of this planet. "Ice Age" doesn't mean it will bi minus 20C in Africa. Ice Age means a temperature drop of a few degrees on average. It DOES have drastic consequences on weather and stuff but it WILL NOT wipe us off the planet just like that. And what are a few hundred years? AFAIK we're recording temperature for less than those "few hundred" years. This temperature problem might even be just a little fluctuation that will be over in another 50 years. We just don't know.

      We should protect the environment for far more pressing reasons than climatic change. All the dirt in the air and water comes to mind. Higher UV intensity because of a thin ozone layer comes to mind. Fuck climatic change, those things can harm us long before climatic change will.

    215. Re:It is real, look out the window by willy_me · · Score: 1
      All the Ice melting off Greenland might suck if you live in Venice, New Orleans, or some other port town that is mostly below sea level, but it's the best news ever if you've invested in any arctic real estate.

      Most of the arctic is made up of islands. As water level increases, those islands will either shrink or submerge. Not very good for arctic real estate.

      Willy

    216. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and then watch as the US decides it needs that land and annexes Canada.

    217. Re:It is real, look out the window by jedrek · · Score: 1

      and 4 hours unexplained.

      Commuting.

    218. Re:It is real, look out the window by Decaff · · Score: 2

      And yet they still can't accurately tell me if it will rain within the next few hours.

      Detailed models my ass.


      Why do people keep bringing up this irrelevant point?

      Long term prediction of trends is about exactly that - trends. Whether or not weather can be predicted to within hours is irrelevant. It is like, say, applying heat to a pan of water. You can't predict all the turbulence that will result, but you know that it is definitely going to heat up and boil. Would you take someone seriously if they said 'how can you know it will boil - you can't preduct when the next bubble appears?'

    219. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're really fucking quick. Shit poo piss bastard dumbfuck.

    220. Re:It is real, look out the window by dheltzel · · Score: 1

      So, when you blow up a doll, the terrorists win?

    221. Re:It is real, look out the window by geminidomino · · Score: 1

      . Be more responsible and slow down to the flow of traffic - else our grandchildren will die of global warming and YOU will be responsible for it.

      Snarky: Hey, less Anonymous Coward spawn in two generations can only be a good thing.

      Serious: I rarely outpace traffic by more than I need to keep the tailgating asshats (usually in SUVs. Coincidence?) off, more out of concern for my milage when gas is $3+/gal. I'm with Penn and Teller when it comes to Global Warming.

    222. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      nonce?!?

    223. Re:It is real, look out the window by daem0n1x · · Score: 1

      I use a motorcycle, and ride 6 Km to work everyday, and 6 Km back. But most people I know use a car and drive much longer distances.

      But gas here in Europe is over € 1 a litre, which gives us about 6 or 7 dollars a gallon. The average salary specifically in my country is under € 1000/month. So, what are you complaining about?

    224. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ponies_OMG · · Score: 1

      I've got a station wagon - I can carry up to 8 people, and I used it this weekend to pick up a 50 gallon water heater (in its shipping box) with room to spare. It is low enough that I can easily put our kayaks on top, and it out handles SUVs. And I get 26-27 mpg (driving to work, shopping, and running the kids around).

    225. Re:It is real, look out the window by xSauronx · · Score: 1
      im married with 2 kids, and weve got an aveo and a sable. the aveo was a mistake, that i had nothing to do with, and why we have it is unimportant, but it sucks because its cramped. the sable is comfy enough, with plenty of space, and though the mileage isnt as good as the aveo, its not awful; could probably use a tune-up though.

      personally, i often wish i still had the station wagon we used to own. im ok with a van, but i dont really like the way vans and suvs handle, and hate driving them. id much prefer to own a station wagon for the times i need to move things about along with the kids. shame people dont drive them as much anymore, so many people jump straight into an suv because its trendy, when they could get what they needed from something they could actually use properly (see my post elsewhere in here about my sister and her suv!)

      --
      By and large, language is a tool for concealing the truth. -- George Carlin
    226. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ignominious · · Score: 1

      The surface temperature of the sea which hurricanes such as Katrina passed over has gone up by 0.5 degrees C. There is conclusive evidence that surface sea temperature is directly proportional to energy in the weather systems. It makes sense that if there is extreme weather due anyway (due to the chaotic global weather patterns, hence somewhat unpredictable) then it will undoubtedly be made worse by higher surface temperatures in the sea.

      It'd be much more substantial if you bet that average sea surface temperatures in the region will actually go down over the next decade.

    227. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your comment on renting a trailer for occasional use is right-on. I know several people who drive big full-size pickup trucks (F-150, Silverado, etc), who say they need one for the 3 or 4 times a year when they need to do some hauling. One loves to say "when you need a truck, you REALLY need a truck, so I will always drive a pickup."

      Around here, you can rent a very large Ford F-350 work truck for about $35 a day. That's what I do whenever I need to haul junk to the landfill or city's yardwaste center. My regular day-to-day vehicle is just a small Toyota Corolla that gets me from A to B just fine.

    228. Re:It is real, look out the window by skam240 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Humans are bad at managing the environment? I would argue to the contrary. The massive systems of dykes, canals, and dams that have been engineered for the last several thousand years are a testament to humanities ability to successfully manipulate its environment to its own benefit.

      Also, please explain why we should not attempt to halt or reduce air pollution (as you seem to be suggesting) because we're worried about causing other problems that may or may not exist. With that logic I wouldn't leave the house for fear of creating potential problems for others or myself since me leaving the house could fuck things up on both fronts.

      --
      I ignore Anonymous Coward posts. If you want to discuss something, that's awesome. Log in.
    229. Re:It is real, look out the window by lowrydr310 · · Score: 1

      Not all motorcycles are good on fuel. In fact most motorcycles in the US aren't much better than a compact car. The little 50cc-250cc bikes are good, but the performance-oriented motorcycles or cruisers (Like Harley-Davidson) are thirsty machines. One bike I considered purchasing, the Honda RC51, gets approx. 28 MPG, which is less than what my midsize car gets! Then again, the RC51 has more horsepower than some cars (~130)!

    230. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Such fine automobiles as the Chevy Impala, Ford Crown Vic and Ford Taurus all seat six . Don't see what the complaining is about.

    231. Re:It is real, look out the window by mrchaotica · · Score: 1
      You can fit an adult, 3 kids and a bunch of kid stuff into a 35mpg MINI Cooper - I do it all the time.
      And you can fit 4 adults and a bunch of stuff into a 44mpg Volkswagen Golf TDI. In other words, you could get better milage and have more space for (almost) the same price.
      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    232. Re:It is real, look out the window by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      I used to play the cello, so I know how big they are. Let me tell you, a cello would fit in a Mini Cooper if you fold the rear seats down, and could even fit in a slightly bigger economy car (such as my Hyundai Accent hatchback) without doing so.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    233. Re:It is real, look out the window by mrchaotica · · Score: 1
      I don't mind it that my best friend has a big honking pickup truck; he rolls out to volunteer fire department calls in it all the time, and sometimes that's in the rain or snow or off road.
      Unless you're hauling a bunch of stuff, you don't need a big honking anything, ever. That volunteer firefighter just needs a Subaru economy car, or at best, a compact 4wd pickup truck.
      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    234. Re:It is real, look out the window by mrchaotica · · Score: 1
      ...all of which could easily fit into a mid-size sedan...
      Worse, all that stuff would fit in that Civic you suggested (which is compact, not mid-size), or even a subcompact like the Hyundai Accent or new Honda Fit.
      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    235. Re:It is real, look out the window by mrchaotica · · Score: 1
      Your survival rate increases only to the extent that the survival rate of the occupants of the other vehicle decreases. Every man for himself indeed.
      I got an idea: let's punch SUV drivers who give that reason in the face, and then when they ask why we did it, say "because by beating the shit out of you, I increase my own survival rate!" Maybe they'll understand then!
      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    236. Re:It is real, look out the window by cayenne8 · · Score: 1
      "I don't like HOA as much as you do, but they are voted in by the land owners who live there. If you don't like their rules (can't ride a motorcycle in the neighborhood, can't change your own oil."

      I've started hearing about these things...and I just wonder how they can legally enforce this? I mean, if you OWN the land and the house, how can they tell you what you can and cannot do (shy of city zoning and laws). I've heard arguments on /. that you can't 'sign away' your rights....you can't sign yourself away into slavery, so, how can you sign away your rights as a landowner? Can this not be taken to court and won on Freedom of Speech rights or something?

      I thought I saw in the recent past where some lady wanted to fly the US flag on a pole outside her home, and home assoc. said she couldn't ....she sued and won?

      Anyway, just wondering how they can truly enforce this...

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    237. Re:It is real, look out the window by BigDogCH · · Score: 1

      Better yet, he could buy his own car. Couldn't he sell the big vehicle, buy a smaller one, be money ahead instantly (not to mention insurance), and start saving even more every time he filled up?

      BUT WAIT, I'm just clouding the issue with common sense and facts. It makes more sense to get 8mpg, pay $3 per gallon, and complain about gas prices every chance we get.

    238. Re:It is real, look out the window by BigDogCH · · Score: 1

      How far do you drive? If you are driving far enough, then it would save you money.....so in that case you can't afford not to buy a 2nd vehicle. If you are not driving very far to work, then it doesn't really matter.

    239. Re:It is real, look out the window by AndersOSU · · Score: 1

      When my grandmother passes away my aunt inherited the house, which belonged to an older housing development. It is probably one of the older properties with deed restrictions (from the late '40s- early '50s). Anyhow, they recently discovered the deed, and one restriction in particular reads, "These premises shall not be inhabited by any person of color or chinaman unless employed in domestic service."

    240. Re:It is real, look out the window by trentblase · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think all the people replying to your post "you should get a station wagon" are missing the point. 2 or more kids??? The world population just passed 6.5 billion. We don't need any more stinkin' kids! Think about how many resources each kid will consume, including the apparent requirement of you to purchase an SUV. Ok, so you already have the kids and I guess you can't kill them. And I guess you have a right to pursure... uh happiness or something. So just get a station wagon ok?

    241. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fact: Global warming and cooling was going on long before we got here and will be going on long after we're gone.

    242. Re:It is real, look out the window by Temkin · · Score: 1



      I believe its enforced under contract law. Basicly, you agreed to the contract when you purchase the property.

      I am highly critical of HOA's and CC&R's. I have no need of another unaccountable layer of government. As a Ham Radio operator, the antenna restrictions alone drive me away from new housing. But most HOA's I've seen also take an interest in all kinds of mundane activities, right down to how tall the lawn is in millimeters. I have no interest in owning a piece of land with these kind of restrictions. But this is all they build now days.

    243. Re:It is real, look out the window by utexaspunk · · Score: 1

      The fuss with the Katrina refugees was that they were all dislocated overnight. Even then, most of them have already managed to get settled here in Houston or elsewhere, and it's only been 6 months. If the Greenland ice shelf melts, it will likely do so over the course of several decades. It's not like a wall of water will suddenly come rushing over Florida. This is not The Day After Tomorrow.

    244. Re:It is real, look out the window by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      > You can use a station wagon (or whatever they call 6 seat cars these days)

      And what makes you think that these are going to be any more efficient? SUVs for this purpose are bought because they have suitable interior space. Any other vehicle with a similar amount of usable interior space will have the same fuel efficiency issues due to their size.

      The typical American-style compact or sub-compact is not actually built to be used by the general population. They are little more than teasers for the larger American-style cars. Even if such a car did have a suitable number of seats, it would be otherwise be unsuitable for use for any family. Such cars are intended to be cheaply made deathtraps meant to encourage you to buy a larger car.

      Perhaps you could import some of the European (sub)compacts directly...

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    245. Re:It is real, look out the window by SubtleNuance · · Score: 1

      Wow. I'll make you a deal. Global Warming is real. And Global Warming is going to cause increased hurrican activity. You stop the reactionary rhetoric and I'll not suggest you are not paying attention, insane, myopic to reality outside your worldview, or someother cause of your ignoring clear information. Deal?

      Surface Heat on the ocean causes storms to be more intense. Global Warming -- regardless of the cause (anthropogenic or otherwise) will increase surface heat.

      To wit "The strongest hurricanes in the present climate may be upstaged by even more intense hurricanes over the next century as the earth's climate is warmed by increasing levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. ".

      From this article at the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration's Geophysical Fludi Dynamics Laboratory at Princeton

      And, just for clarity, the page concludes "An implication of these studies is that if the frequency of tropical cyclones remains the same over the coming century, a greenhouse-gas induced warming may lead to an increasing risk in the occurrence of highly destructive category-5 storms."

      So, deal?

    246. Re:It is real, look out the window by halber_mensch · · Score: 1
      There seems to be a lot more hot air circulating around Slashdot . . .

      ... and it's this vortex of hot air that is undeniably melting the polar ice caps at an alarming rate ...

      --
      perl -e "eval pack(q{H*},join q{},qw{70 72696e74207061636b28717b482a7d2c717b343 637323635363534323533343430617d293b})"
    247. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I could, I would mod you up just for the Discworld reference.

    248. Re:It is real, look out the window by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 1

      Four colors? I thought it was only two, white and off-white. As much as I'd like to get out of my 100 year old house in the "bad" part of town, you couldn't pay me to move where I had to put up with a HomeOwners Ass.

      --
      Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
    249. Re:It is real, look out the window by DuckDodgers · · Score: 1

      My 1950 square foot house cost $186,000 in 2002 and was a 45 minute drive (sorry, no public transit available) from my previous job. I pay $3100 per year in property taxes. Mortgage + property taxes + car payments on my sedan + homeowner's insurance + car insurance + gas (even at $3.00 per gallon) = $2500/month.

      A similarly sized house along a route with easy access public transit to my old place of work cost over $300,000 with a proportionately higher property tax. Mortgage + property taxes + car payments + homeowner's insurance + car insurance + (less) gas = $3300/month.

      A similarly sized house actually in the neighborhood where I used to work cost $400,000 in 2002 with more than $6,000 in annual property taxes. Mortgage + property taxes + car payments + homeowner's insurance = $3600/month, and I would probably have a car anyway for when I needed to travel off the public transit routes.

      I know people that live in eastern Pennsylvania and commute 2.5 hours each way every single day into New York City because they can get a nice single family home for $50,000 in the economically depressed coal regions.

      Trust me, I don't like wasting 10+ hours a week sitting in a car, bored out of my mind. If I could afford a nice home within a short walk or a public transit commute of my job, I would take it. It's a safe bet that a lot of other Americans - millions, even - find themselves in a similar situation. Until public transit is a lot more common (and who's going to pay for it?) or housing gets a lot cheaper, it won't change.

    250. Re:It is real, look out the window by a_nonamiss · · Score: 1

      Yes, there are droughts in Africa all the time. Maybe you missed the part in my post where I said worst drought in recorded history. It's not something I put in there for effect. It's quantifiable. There are numbers to back it up.

      And for the plan for ending them? Well, the first step of my plan is that we need to acknowledge that there is a problem, not go around pretending that this stuff isn't happening by telling anecdotal stories about 80's musical fundraisers. After you've got the first step down, I'll tell you the rest of my plan.

      --
      -Arthur
      Cave ne ante ullas catapultas ambules
    251. Re:It is real, look out the window by SirLanse · · Score: 1

      If the warming is caused by the Sun's cycles,
      how are humans going to change that?

    252. Re:It is real, look out the window by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      30 mi round trip in the rather rapidly growing city of Sacramento (more properly the outlying area).
      I've done the math and when the engine on this thing dies I'm going to borrow a friends truck for hauling, and be a single car family for a few months while I convert it to electric**. I'd then get "free gas" at my employer, the whole system would pay for its self within 3-5 years depending on how much I took advantage of charging at my place of work.
      -nB

      ** Please note that an electric conversion is _not_ to be environmentally friendly, it is to feed my inner geek.

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    253. Re:It is real, look out the window by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 1

      Sir, I think that you speak out of arrogance rather than understanding.

      My understanding is that water flows downhill. Please correct me if I'm wrong about this.

    254. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've seen cases where they *can't* enforce HOA policies and dues; therefore, they expend much effort in making your life a living hell until you cave or leave. It sucks, but if you can put up with everyone hating you and preventing you from using conveniences and services provided to members of the HOA (such as snow removal or similar service, road or trail access, waterfront or waterway services, etc.), then you might be able to get away with it. In general, it might be better not to move to a place where you can't come to a consensus with your neighbors. Sometimes disagreements are about money (paid to the HOA) and sometimes about lifestyle, but consider that an HOA can be a way to guard personal and family values, and preferred lifestyle, in the community.

    255. Re:It is real, look out the window by harl · · Score: 1

      Your "past few hundred years" is all of nothing on a geological scale. Your sample set is statisticly insignificant.

      There is geological evidence that the world has been both warmer and colder than it currently is.

      Climate change is a regular part of a healthy and dynamic ecosystem.

      --
      I find being offended by me offensive.
    256. Re:It is real, look out the window by Whumpsnatz · · Score: 1

      I see that, in the fine tradition of Slashdot, you read neither the referenced article, nor the comment that pointed out the increase in intensity.

      Let's make a deal:

      When the lone hurricane of 2006 strikes Florida at Category 6 intensity, that you'll be surfing there where the eyewall arrives.

    257. Re:It is real, look out the window by gurps_npc · · Score: 1
      You need a lesson in supply and demand. Arabs don't get to decide what Oil is worth. The market does over the long term. As demonstrated by the fact that prices went down after the crisis, the Arabs were attempting to charge MORE than it was worth at that time, not what it was worth.

      The crisis was caused by Arab countries suddenly realizing the power that they were developing, and attempting to exercise it with a heavy hand to get more money for their product than it was worth. Eventually they realized their mistake and reduced the price to a value that the consumers were actually willing to spend.

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    258. Re:It is real, look out the window by ccp · · Score: 1

      You saw the fuss created for 100,000 Katrina refugees? Imagine 200 million of them, worldwide.

      Maybe you lost a zero somewhere?

      Because if you look at a world map, and count just seaports, you reach 200 million really,really fast.
      And that's without taking in account that with just a few meters of increase in sea level whole countries (i.e. the Netherlands, or Bangladesh) are goners.
      I suspect the real number is counted in billions.

      Cheers,

      Oh, wait...Cheers?

      CC

    259. Re:It is real, look out the window by Damek · · Score: 1

      ...it's the best news ever if you've invested in any arctic real estate.

      Why? Just because it gets warmer and the shore moves inland doesn't automatically give you proper:

      A) beaches
      B) soil for farming
      C) lots of other things dependent on more than just warmth and sea level

      Besides, one of the whole points of global warming science is that the changes can be more than just higher temperatures and rising sea levels. Freshwater melting into the ocean, ocean conveyer belts... climate change doesn't just mean the ports, beaches and farmland move north.

    260. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    261. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They also (on the whole) have the turning radius of a semi truck, the road-to-undercarriage clearance of a lizard, and the 4-wheel-drive and towing capabilities of a bicycle.

      I agree that many (most?) people wouldn't miss much of that in their daily transportation needs, but for some of us, an SUV is the only logical direction to go. There is no way a minivan would have survived what my family does to a car (poor things) the way our Xterra has.

    262. Re:It is real, look out the window by AgentPaper · · Score: 1

      Minivans make great people haulers or stuff haulers, but generally not both simultaneously. When I was a kid, we carpooled to school (which was 17 miles away), and Mom had a 1986 Mercury Grand Marquis station wagon. She could load eight kids PLUS their associated backpacks, musical instruments, science fair projects and Girl Scout cookies in that thing. Grant you, it got maybe 20 MPG on a good day, but I have yet to see that old beast beat for cargo capacity. Many people in my area (SE Michigan) say they drive SUVs because they "can't get through the snow with anything else". I currently drive a station wagon with AWD, and I can get through snow that makes the neighbor's Hummer H2 choke and die. Plus, I get 3x the gas mileage and I can STILL haul more stuff than him.

      --
      First rule of trauma: Bleeding always stops.
    263. Re:It is real, look out the window by Suidae · · Score: 1

      My "Town and Country" minivan gets 17MPG in the city. It's one of the worst performers, but when I was checking them out before a bought I found that most minivans were below 20mpg. So, yep, they are pretty crappy as far as milage.

      I imagine we'll start seeing some hybred minivans before too long though, I'd hope they'll do better than the hybred SUV's.

    264. Re:It is real, look out the window by Politburo · · Score: 1

      In addition to traditional car renting, if it's available in your area, Flexcar/Zipcar is very useful. I've used it to pickup furniture purchases and it is cheaper than traditional (all-day+fuel) rentals.

    265. Re:It is real, look out the window by Politburo · · Score: 1

      What idiots modded this up? Show yourselves, filthy defecators!

    266. Re:It is real, look out the window by eam · · Score: 1

      My kids are 7,5, & 3. I have 2 in booster seats, and one still in a baby seat. While I agree that I can fit all three kids in a MINI Cooper, I have trouble believing it will hold the three car seats. Or do they come with integrated booster/baby seats?

    267. Re:It is real, look out the window by Gruneun · · Score: 1

      it can haul more people
      My parents' minivan sat 7 people.
      My SUV seats 7 people.

      has more cargo room
      I have not noticed this to be true. As far as weight, though, there is no comparison between the suspension of a minivan and an SUV.

      on average gets about 50% better fuel economy
      Simply not true. A quick check of the Edmunds website will show that most minivans are on par with the SUVs. If anything, any disparity is a function of engine size, not vehicle type, and there are usually more engines choices available with an SUV.

      I wish Ford hadn't changed the Windstar
      I'll go one step further and wish they hadn't abandoned the Aerostar. Do you know how difficult it is to find a stick-shift in a minivan?

    268. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

      Well, gas prices should take care of that in the near future. Gas prices of +$3/gallon, 60 mile commutes in heavy traffic, 20mpg vehicles, all add up to spending hundreds of dollars a month for gasoline to make the commute.

      So, maybe if you live in Oakland, you can't really afford to take that job in San Jose. Or maybe you should do most of your work at the end of a wire and make the drive once a week for meetings. Telecommuting doesn't use much gas.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
    269. Re:It is real, look out the window by swillden · · Score: 1

      But a FUEL EFFICIENT car is the best option. You can fit an adult, 3 kids and a bunch of kid stuff into a 35mpg MINI Cooper - I do it all the time. Then you're up to 140 passenger miles per gallon

      My Dodge Durango typically gets about 132 passenger miles per gallon. Of course, for my family a minivan would probably get about 170 pmpg, which would be better, but at the expense of requiring us to also purchase a quad-cab pickup truck for our frequent camping and boating trips.

      SUVs do make sense for some.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    270. Re:It is real, look out the window by irablum · · Score: 1

      got one of those too, and my roomate drives it to work. on weekends we often take the minivan for groceries. We have one other car too. But it combines bad gas mileage, lots of emissions, doesn't carry more than 4 people plus stuff in the back, isn't very comfortable with not being very fast. So why have it? Well, 1965 Mustangs still turn heads. :)

      oh, and as far as why a Suburban? well, if my wife, roomate, his kid, and all our kids all want to travel together, the 8 of us barely fit into the suburban, usually with either someone squeezed in, or someone riding in the trunk, and that's if we don't bring any friends. 15 MPG is cheaper than driving 2 cars which get 20 MPG.

      Ira

    271. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

      Come visit me in L.A.; there's a lot to hate here!

      Over the past few years, my neighborhood has gotten "hot", i.e., in demand with yuppies and industry types. There has been a huge increase in SUVs, but the worst offenders, imho, are the owners of the SUVs with the huge flashy rims*. They're not even pretending that they ever hope to take their SUV off road; the SUV is a symbol of conspicuous consumption.

      *We're talking can't-even-pull-into-a-driveway-normally rims here.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
    272. Re:It is real, look out the window by dajak · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but in 30 years all the scientists who presently don't believe in global warming will have drowned.

      By that time they have sold their house and moved into the hills. Do as they do, not as they say. Don't tell others because you don't want to cause a panic before you have sold your house.

    273. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

      You can fit an adult, 3 kids and a bunch of kid stuff into a 35mpg MINI Cooper - I do it all the time.

      These are your sister's kids, right? Because I thought all Mini drivers were FAGS!

      Just kidding. I like the minis.

      I don't have kids, so the solution for me was to get a motorcycle. Not only does it get amazing MPG, but it's incredibly fun to ride, even in the insane L.A. traffic. I've even taught my dog to sit on the gas tank, so he can go riding with me. Buying this bike was the best thing I ever did. Now my truck sits in the driveway. It hasn't moved in over a year. It's not registered or insured anymore. I should just sell it.

      If and when I start a family, I'll have to get a sidecar.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
    274. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

      Yeah, and these artists need to move their huge artworks around everyday.

      Poor excuse. When they need a bigger vehicle to haul big things occasionally, they can borrow or rent one.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
    275. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

      The numbers of SUVs on the road vs. VW micro busses on the road, make your argument meaningless.

      However, I do like your motorcycle proposal. I've never ridden one of those dual sports, but they are way frikkin' cool.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
    276. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

      Most people don't buy race cars, so your comparison is not apt. "Performance oriented" are based on race bikes. Nothing wrong with them, per se, but don't argue that most motorcycles don't get better milage than a compact. If you want to compare a RC51 or a Hayabusa to something, compare it to it's automotive equivalent.

      Besides which, more often then not, many people buying these bikes are either buying them to show off (and not ride much) or quickly take themselves out of the picture.

      Ouside of track days, is there any reason for a liter sportbike?

      For cruisers, unless you're a great fat ass (as many cruiser riders are), is there any real need for more than a liter? 1.5 liter at most? I don't think so. It's all more performance than 99% of the riders out there can actually use.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
    277. Re:It is real, look out the window by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1

      You ride a motorcycle *6* Km?!? Jebus, dude, get a bicycle. It's probably about as safe, and at least you'll get some exercise.

    278. Re:It is real, look out the window by CheeseTroll · · Score: 1

      6 in a Taurus may be possible, in theory, but not exactly comfortable. Factor in a carseat or two, and you'll hear lots of complaining. As for the other two on your list of "fine" automobiles, their mileage is hardly any different than a full-size SUV. The 2004 Crown Vic, for example, is rated at 13/18 mpg. A 2004 Chevy Tahoe 4WD is rated at 14/18.

      --
      A post a day keeps productivity at bay.
    279. Re:It is real, look out the window by einhverfr · · Score: 1


      Lester Brown estimated that for every meter rise in ocean levels, you would lose a kilometer of coastland. I've heard estimates that the ocean level could rise by 8 meters over the next 100 years, which would (by Lester's formula) flood out most of downtown L.A. And that is just one city. Most of the earth's 6 billion residents live within a few kilometers of the coast. Rising waters would be catastrophic, and if New Orleans is any reminder, the price will not be merely economic. How many people do you think will die in storm surges when mostly every large city on the planet is below sea level? A great many indeed.


      Unless you live in the Maldives, a meter of coastland isn't that big a deal.

      What would happen over time is that you would have a slow migration to higher ground. Rising oceans aren't going to occur overnight. And are not going to want to live where they are at risk. Simple.

      Even if you are right that we will see a much larger number of deaths from storm surges, this is still not the end of our civilization. Hurricanes are not going to simultaneously take out all our major cities. And even the worst hurricanes in history have only had a passing influence (what destroyed Galveston's economy as a port city was the dredging of the Houston Channel-- Galveston actually recovered for a time after the hurricane). If over 6000 people can be killed in Galviston without the effect lasting for very long, I fail to see how this translates to the end of civilization.

      I am not arguing that global warming would not be painful. It would be. However, your claims of it being the end of civilization are a bit overblown.

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    280. Re:It is real, look out the window by sean.peters · · Score: 1

      You need to read Collapse, by Jared Diamond (no link, it's easily found at Amazon, etc...). Just because it would be to our advantage, in the long term, to get a handle on global warming, doesn't mean we'll do it. People (and societies) frequently make non-optimal choices - and are thus wiped out. Also, I think you're confused about natural selection. Individuals trying to survive != natural selection - even poorly adapted individuals will make every effort to survive. It doesn't make sense to talk about any individual's motivations from an evolutionary perspective - the idea that that we (or the dinosaurs) make choices based on the "smart evolutionary move" is incorrect. Evolution isn't an end in itself, it's a by-product of the struggle to survive under changing conditions. Sean

    281. Re:It is real, look out the window by xSauronx · · Score: 1

      her husband is 6'1" and would probably feel cramped in a civic. a Fit, or a compact would be great for her, but she sucks at life and wanted the pcifica because she thought it looked nice, again, despite being unable to properly handle the vehicle. of course, i dont thin *anyone* can properly handle that thing, from the inside, the windows are tiny and its a serious pain in the ass to people who like to actually *see* whats around them.

      --
      By and large, language is a tool for concealing the truth. -- George Carlin
    282. Re:It is real, look out the window by Richard+Steiner · · Score: 1

      My 1994 Accord gets 30MPG in non-freeway city traffic, and it wouldn't be that expensive today.

      --
      Mainframe/UNIX Bit Twiddler and long time Windows/Linux Hobbyist.
      The Theorem Theorem: If If, Then Then.
    283. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ponies_OMG · · Score: 1

      I grew up in Michigan a loooong time ago. Very few people had 4 wheel drive vehicles, and front wheel drive was almost unheard of. But we still got around in the snow - just slap on a pair of snow tires and go.

    284. Re:It is real, look out the window by daem0n1x · · Score: 1

      I though about buying a bike, and using it to go to work, many times. That would be really cool. Unfortunately, I don't live in the Netherlands.

      I live in a valley, with a very steep road to get out, and half of the way to work is highway, where bycicles are forbidden. I could use a secondary road, but it's a much longer distance. Anyway, riding a bike on the road, where I live, is almost suicide. Death rate among cyclists is very high.

    285. Re:It is real, look out the window by qeveren · · Score: 1

      And longer, more widespread droughts.

      And shifting rainfall patterns.

      And more powerful storms.

      And rising ocean levels.

      And weakening of ocean currents...

      --
      Don't just stand there, get that other dog!
    286. Re:It is real, look out the window by Y0tsuya · · Score: 1

      Back until a few months ago many people will take whatever job they could find. For most jobs telecommuting isn't an option. Maybe after a few months of heavy commute some people will make the jump and switch to a house that will cost him/her hundreds more per month, but not until he/she's good and ready. What's "ready"? Depends on financial situations. Many /. readers have this view of how the world would be so much nicer if everybody would just be a software engineer and telecommute. Sorry, buddy, that's not how things are out here in the real world.

    287. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I drive a car that only gets 24MPG for my 25 mile route to school. What would you have me do, ask my mother to move her house closer to my college so that she can drive farther and I can walk to school?

      The whole "Take a shorter route" philosophy is retarded. You know how long it would take me to get to school by a "shorter" route? I'll give you an idea. My morning route consists of driving along surface streets at about 35 miles per hour. If I took the freeway, it would consist of driving along a very long stretch of road at a blazing 10 miles per hour, or even at a dead stop. How much fuel am I wasting then?

      Public transportation is useless. It would take me almost twice as long to get to school by bus as by car, and I cant study in any of that time because of the constant jostling and the smell. Not only that, I wouldnt even be able to take morning classes because bus service doesnt start until they are in session.

      Neither of those two options is viable. Oh, there's carpooling, except that I'm the only person in my hick town that is going to college, and anyone who I would be carpooling with would have to go out of their way to pick me up. None of those solutions can effectively remove me from the road without a huge inconvenience on my part.

    288. Re:It is real, look out the window by Xonstantine · · Score: 0

      Hmmm, so not only are you telling people what they can and can't buy, you are also telling them how many kids they can have also. Awesome.

    289. Re:It is real, look out the window by Xonstantine · · Score: 0

      Why stop with punching them in the face? Why not exterminate them, and their children to keep them from further harming the planet by breathing the air that everyone else needs? All hail mrchaotica, who will decide what is, and is not allowed. All othes bow before him.

    290. Re:It is real, look out the window by Y0tsuya · · Score: 1

      Didn't the guy say he can't afford a new car?

    291. Re:It is real, look out the window by lowrydr310 · · Score: 1
      Whenever there's nice weather, I can't count how many Harleys and sportbikes I see. I do see your point - these aren't everyday commuter machines. Many bikes in the USA do get good fuel economy, but the majority of bikes that I see on a regular basis do not. From what I observe, many people in the USA ride motorcycles as a hobby or a 'fun' way to commute to work, as opposed to other places in the world (definitely in the places I've visited - Greece, Thailand, and the Philippines, and probably many other places) where people ride motorcycles because they're a somewhat economical and practical means of transportation.

      The RC51 isn't exactly a monster like a 'busa. Keep in mind it's a V-twin. It's peak power is similar to that of a 750cc inline 4. It's designed to make lots of torque at low RPMs, giving it an advantage on tracks with lots of turns and short straights. I only considered it because I love the sound and a friend was selling one for a good price. Realistically, for the type of riding I'm interested in, a VFR would be better for me. The SV650 is also a possibility.

      Ouside of track days, is there any reason for a liter sportbike?

      I don't even think liter sportbikes are worthwhile for most people, even on track days. A lot of riders can't even push a 600cc bike to it's limits on the track.

    292. Re:It is real, look out the window by Dastardly · · Score: 1

      If you see a guy driving a minivan, he obviously has a job, a wife, some kids, etc. etc. It may not be true in certain cases, but that's how society "sees" you.

      And, why is this a bad thing? Talk about a societal problem. How is it a bad thing for a MAN to have a job, a wife, and kids. I guess it is more important to not get ripped on by other men without those things, than to have a lot of women wish you were their MAN.

    293. Re:It is real, look out the window by mrchaotica · · Score: 1
      Why stop with punching them in the face?
      Because there's a difference between ranting on Slashdot and committing genocide, maybe?
      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    294. Re:It is real, look out the window by Dastardly · · Score: 1

      The article previously described those concerns: that, *excluding* anthropogenic alterations, which they *specifically stated that they could not model well at the time* (quite the contrast to the present, where the papers state that we *can* model quite accurately**), there would be another ice age in *tens of thousands of years*.

      Interestingly read recently that anthropogenic alterations actually started approximately 8000 years ago with the advent of agriculture. And, that the result of said modification is humanity avoided the ice age that we should be in the middle of right now due to orbital factors. So, modern information suggests the prediction of a glacial period in about 10,000 years was also wrong as that woul dbe time for another interglacial period. (The orbital cycle in question is ~22,000 years)

    295. Re:It is real, look out the window by BluedemonX · · Score: 1

      Speak for yourself. The only time my Shovelhead is parked is when there's ICE on the road.

      --

      --- Jump!! Fire!! Bullet time!! - Lego version of the Matrix
    296. Re:It is real, look out the window by CohibaVancouver · · Score: 1
      SUV's are extremely practical for those with 2 or more kids especialy if activities are involved and/or people who haul stuff that needs to stay out of the weather

      I agree that this type of vehicle is needed, however I don't think they need to be so over-engineered. Most people with families and SUVs don't need 4WD, nor do they need V8 engines or huge alternators to drive the many unnecessary electronic accessories in a modern SUV. In fact, I would guess that many SUVs would work fine with a 4-cylinder engine and a manual gearbox. Sure it might take a little longer to get up to 65 mph, but most of the time it would be fine.

    297. Re:It is real, look out the window by elrous0 · · Score: 1
      it would submerge maybe 40-50% of Florida.

      Have you BEEN to Florida?

      -Eric

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    298. Re:It is real, look out the window by Skynyrd · · Score: 1

      The numbers of SUVs on the road vs. VW micro busses on the road, make your argument meaningless.

      I used to live in a town with lots of VWs and lots of hippies (actually just unwashed unemployed kids) claiming they were "more green" because of their VW. I cover them with black smoke from my hotrodded Diesel truck and drive away.

      However, I do like your motorcycle proposal. I've never ridden one of those dual sports, but they are way frikkin' cool.

      The least expensive, most bulletproof bike is the KLR 650. You can buy a used one (which is identical to new ones) for $2,000 - $3,000 and are super cheap to maintain. They get 40-50 mpg, can cruise at 70+ mph and can jump curbs if needed. They are really tall, so you can see over traffic in front of you. You also need to be kind of tall to ride one.

      Try http://klr650.net/ for more info. I have one and love it.

    299. Re:It is real, look out the window by BigDogCH · · Score: 1

      Sweet idea! I live less than 2 miles from my employer. I could get all of my juice entirely from them! Now you have me thinking, maybe I should get an electric scooter or something! Thanks!

    300. Re:It is real, look out the window by Koiu+Lpoi · · Score: 1

      ...do you happen to be a professor at Western Michigan University?

    301. Re:It is real, look out the window by KeensMustard · · Score: 1
      The wikipedia article http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_ice_age that your colleague so helpfully provided below says:

      Some global warming skeptics believe that the Earth's climate is still recovering from the Little Ice Age and that human activity has nothing to do with present temperature trends. There is a wide consensus among climate scientists, however, that the present sharp upturn in temperatures is primarily caused by the increased proportion of CO2 in the atmosphere caused by human activity.

      Also noted in the article:

      1. Little Ice Age was not part of the regular climate cycle (causation linked instead to discrete natural phenomena or possibly anthropogenic influences - or a mix of both) - so the earth is NOT, as you assert, coming out of an ice age that peaked in the middle ages.

      2. The LIA was probably not as widespread as some would have us believe - for example http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=32 indicates that many of the phenomena described can be explained by other causes.

      3. The LIA caused massive loss of human life. If something as minor and short lived as the little ice age can cause such devastation, it is difficult to see why you would present it as a reason to be blase about a more widespread and severe event, such as global warming - particularly given that we are fully utilising the resources we expect to be affected by climate change (arable land, fresh water) and we have lost much of the mobility we had 400 years ago.

    302. Re:It is real, look out the window by irablum · · Score: 1

      ok, I have 4 cars in my house (that's for 3 drivers with 2 more going to be driving VERY soon)

      65 Mustang: seats 5, MPG 13, Passenger-MPG 65, not normally used.
      02 Windstar: seats 7, MPG 19, Passenger-MPG 143, normally used by one going back and forth to work.
      87 Z: seats 2, MPG 23, Passenger-MPG 46, normally used by one going back and forth to work.
      96 Suburban: seats 8, MPG 15, Passenger-MPG 120, normally used 2-3 times a week for groceries, park, etc.

      Some notes: The Windstar is great, and you can carry 4x8 sheets of either plywood or drywall in it (but you have to take all he seats out.) You can do this in the suburban too. The suburban can still carry 2 bicycles inside with 8 people, something the Windstar can't do with 7 people. Oh, and Passenger-MPG is a crock, as being fuel efficient and only carrying 2 people is fine if 99.9% it only carries one person.

      However, the Minivan is the best overall ride in the house, as my Z is not terribly comfortable.... But at the same time, there ain't no people-mover like a Suburban.

      Ira

    303. Re:It is real, look out the window by M0b1u5 · · Score: 1

      No - you're the idiot.

      Show me how man is responsible for global warming when clouds make up over 60% of all global warming gasses.

      Now, if you can (which of course you can't), show me how we can change the climate by changing the 1% of global warming gasses which we emit into the atmosphere.

      Now, even if you could show that we COULD change the climate (which, remember NO ONE knows!) can you show that spending a dollar on preventing global warming EVER pays more than 1 dollar in return?

      No - of course you can't, but what you ARE suggesting, is that the earth should spend TRILLIONS of dollars to stop something we can't stop, or affect in any knowable way. All on a "hunch" that it's our fault?

      Jesus, I suppose you'd vote for a clairvoyant for president!

      I am NOT saying global warming doesn't exist - clearly it does!

      The big questions are:

      1) Is it us that is causing it?
      2) What percentage of the climate change is atributable to us?
      3) Is it POSSIBLE for us to slow or reverse the trend?
      4) is it FEASIBLE for us to try?
      5) Is there a benefit to man by attempting to try?

      See - no one has ANY of those answers - and until we do, it is silly to throw a significant percentage of the Global Domestic Product into this bottomless pit.

      --
      How many escape pods are there? "NONE,SIR!" You counted them? "TWICE, SIR!"
    304. Re:It is real, look out the window by catprog · · Score: 1

      As for more than 2 kids, I'd just say they are avowed environmental locusts. Its called birth control, dumbasses.

      Well. You need a average birth rate of 2.1(about) per couple for replacment(pre child bearing accidents). So therefore some families will need to have 3

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
      Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
    305. Re:It is real, look out the window by That's+Unpossible! · · Score: 1

      Humans are bad at managing the environment? I would argue to the contrary.

      And if I had hours to waste, I could cite a million examples of how we have tried to tame nature and fucked something else up in the process.

      You mention dykes, canals, and dams as examples of our success. All of these have had substantial influences, but my point is the results are not all positive. Consider the animals affected by dams. I'm not saying we shouldn't make dams, but the results are not always what we imagine.

      Also, please explain why we should not attempt to halt or reduce air pollution (as you seem to be suggesting) because we're worried about causing other problems that may or may not exist.

      I didn't say we shouldn't attempt to reduce air pollution. However, imagine if a law was passed that you weren't allowed to operate your car more than X miles per day. Now you're reducing air pollution, but at a great cost to our economy, which could do far worse damage in the long run. What if we destroy our economy fixing air pollution, only to send us back in history to a point where people are burning wood, coal, and noxious substances in their homes in order to stay warm?

      The point is ... be careful what you wish for.

      --
      Ironically, the word ironically is often used incorrectly.
    306. Re:It is real, look out the window by the+argonaut · · Score: 1

      This is so far off topic, but I can't help but respond (I hate HOAs more than I hate SUVs, or nuclear power for that matter)

      As posted here, it's essentially a contract attached to the property, and they're generally enforceable to the same extent that contracts are enforceable, with the added caveat that states can regulate what can and cannot be enforced. Most of the discriminatory restrictions like barring blacks and such have been struck down by courts, and thought they can still be found in CCRs, they're unenforceable. I remember something with somebody wanting to put up a flag pole post Sept. 11th in AZ, and the HOA raising a fuss, and so the state legislature passed a law specifically stating that they couldn't ban flying U.S. flags, as well as forbidding HOAs from banning campaign signs:

      In Arizona, lawmakers responded to the practice of boards meeting outside the state -- an attempt to keep members from voting -- by passing a bill requiring those gatherings to be held in Arizona.
      Update: In 2004, the Arizona State Legislature amended existing legislation to protect homeowners' and condominium residents' right to fly flags. The revised statues (33-1261 and 33-1808) allow for residents to fly flags that are consistent in size with dimensions noted in the federal flag code (P.L. 94-344; 90 Stat. 810; 4 U.S. Code sections 4-10). Arizona homeowners' associations may not prohibit the installation of a flagpole, but may dictate its height and placement.

      The revised statute 33-1808, which concerns homeowners in planned communities, also secured the right to post political signs. Signs may be displayed unless regulated by the association. All sign prohibitions must be consistent with and not exceed restrictions in local sign ordinances. Political signs may never be prohibited 45 days before or 7 days after an election.


      Full article here

      Incidentally, AZ law also forbids HOAs from banning solar panels on homes (more info here and here)

      The problem with HOAs is that they are private little governments that are unencumbered by many of the constitutional restrictions that the federal and state governments have to follow. In response to the person who said "well, don't move into a neighborhood with a HOA," I'd like to point out that it's getting increasingly difficult to do that. Almost every new house built in the last 10-20 years is covered by a HOA because people are silly enough to believe their hype that they'll keep neighborhoods clean and safe and protect property values (property values that would be better protected if they actually built quality homes and better neighborhoods). In fast-growing cities like Phoenix, that's a huge percentage of the housing stock (I've read as high as 50% of all houses in metro Phoenix).

      --
      fuck you.
    307. Re:It is real, look out the window by the+argonaut · · Score: 1

      A couple of more insane examples of HOAs Gone Wild:

      New Fla. town could be governed by Catholic principles
      Celebration, FL, the only HOA in the country with Mickey Mouse and Goofy on the Board of Directors.

      --
      fuck you.
    308. Re:It is real, look out the window by georgewilliamherbert · · Score: 1
      ...he rolls out to volunteer fire department calls in it all the time...
      Unless you're hauling a bunch of stuff, ...
      I would guess that you aren't familiar with that volounteer fire department people have to carry sometimes, and the sort of truck it can sometimes take to get in and out of places with several thousand feet of vertical gradient between towns.
    309. Re:It is real, look out the window by mrchaotica · · Score: 1
      I would guess that you aren't familiar with that volounteer fire department people have to carry sometimes
      That's why I qualified my statement with "unless you need to haul a bunch of stuff." But what do volunteer firefighters carry, pray tell? An axe and firefighter's suit (with air tank, etc.)? Maybe a hose? All that stuff should fit in the trunk of a car, you know.
      the sort of truck it can sometimes take to get in and out of places with several thousand feet of vertical gradient between towns.
      You're right, I'm not familiar with what sort of truck it would take to go up (or down) a hill, because as far as I know, a car will do that just fine! Hell, an AWD car (any Subaru, an Audi with Quattro, etc.) ought to be able to do just as well as a truck even on steep off-road trails. The only thing you'd need an actual truck or SUV for would be fording streams or climbing over things that require a lot of ground clearance.
      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    310. Re:It is real, look out the window by afidel · · Score: 1

      I'm 6'4" and live in Cleveland, don't tell me minivan's are just for small women and kids in fair weather! If I'm in the front or middle row's I'm fine for leg room, though admitadly the back is a bit cramped even when pulled all the way back. As for the potholes, our state bird is the orange barrel yet I have never had to replace any suspension pieces, pay attention when you drive and you'll be fine =)

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    311. Re:It is real, look out the window by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One: did your hear him about intensity, not frequency?

      Two: a single data point does not a trend make. However, it is worth examination.

    312. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

      No doubt that many are weekend riders, at least here in L.A. But I also see a fair amount of what I assume are commuter riders.

      I didn't know the RC51 was good in the turns. I'd heard that it didn't turn quite as easily as gsxrs and others like that.

      About the SV650: Every rider I've met has said they're very happy with it.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
    313. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

      My next vacation is going to be riding a motorcycle in Mexico. I've been reading a lot about 650 dual sports in Mexico. The problem for me is that I want to take my dog, and the gas tanks on the dual sports are too small for him to sit on. So I'm thinking cruiser in the 650 - 800 cc range, something with a big fat flat tank, like the Honda ACE or the Suzi Volusia.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
    314. Re:It is real, look out the window by lowrydr310 · · Score: 1
      I just left LA about a year ago (and can't wait to get back). I worked in a company with about 500 employees, and there were close to 60 motorcycles in the parking lot! Most of the riders I knew who commuted to work on a bike didn't do it for the fuel economy, but did so because of the ability to split lanes with the added benefit of having fun on the way to and from work.

      The RC51 is heavier than the GSXRs (~430lbs dry) so it doesn't turn as easily as the GSXrs and the CBRs, but that smoothly-delivered low end torque from the V twin really helps it pull out of the turns faster. If you're racing on a track with long straights, the inline 4s will scream past it. I came so close to buying one, but in the two weeks before I was about to buy I witnessed a drunk guy wreck his Harley in front of my house, two of my wife's coworkers had their husbands/boyfriends die while riding and getting hit by other cars, and I got into a minor car accident myself. I'm sticking to the dirt for now (well sort of, I have a dual-sport that I ride on the road to get to the trails from my house)

      Do you know what the fuel economy is like on a SV650?

    315. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

      I don't know what sort of MPG the SV650 gets. Right now I'm riding a cruiser style putt putt, a Suzuki GZ 250. It's really fun in the city, but as you might easily guess, a real dog at freeway speeds. (I did ride it up 101 to SF, though.) It's like a toy, its so small, but it makes it really good for moving around in traffic.

      I've kind of limited myself to what sort of bike I can get since teaching my dog to ride on the tank. No joke! He gets upset when I go riding without him! I'm planning a vacation (actually I plan to blow off work for the next 6 months to a year) riding in Mexico, and I plan to bring Iggy. So I'm looking for a touring cruiser with good mileage and a big, flat, fat gas tank for both fuel capacity and to give Iggy a more secure perch.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
    316. Re:It is real, look out the window by Ignorant+Aardvark · · Score: 1

      Nothing is undeniable, nothing is certain. What you think true today can be positively wrong tomorrow. Earth is not flat, earth is not the center of the universe.

      Might as well just fucking give up on ever knowing anything at all then, right? You're using a logical fallacy. Let me demonstrate. If we can't ever really know anything for sure, then we can't even really know for sure that we don't know anything for sure.

      It's a paradox. It's a garbage argument.

  21. what about nuclear waste? by RelliK · · Score: 1

    Is nuclear waste any better than the CO2 emissions?

    Oh, and according to the current projections, how long will the nuclear reserves last?

    --
    ___
    If you think big enough, you'll never have to do it.
    1. Re:what about nuclear waste? by Gates82 · · Score: 1
      Yes "nuclear waste" (or waster from a nuclear reactor) is better then the pollution from a coal power plant. With nuclear energy you get hot water and a contained, concentrated radioactive substance. From a coal powerplant you get millions of tons of air pollutants as well as radioactivty. There is plenty of uranium and other radioactive materials locked in coal that is released when burned. A coal powerplant release more radioactive particles in to the atmosphere then nuclear plants do.

      --
      So who is hotter? Ali or Ali's Sister?

    2. Re:what about nuclear waste? by bevo14 · · Score: 1

      Nuclear waste is much easier to manage than fossil fuel emmissions. Radioactive waste can be buried deep underground in secure and hardened structures. C02 and hydrocarbon emmissions just gets released into the air with no form of management or containment at all. So yeah, I think nuclear waste is better.

    3. Re:what about nuclear waste? by Peter+Mork · · Score: 1

      According to this site, we may have up to 1000 years worth of uranium. Now, this article clearly has an agenda to push, but that figure does not include recycling the uranium. According to the original article, uranium retains 95% of its energy and can be recycled. Thus, even if we assume that 1000 years is an exaggeration, once we factor in the benefits of recycling, a millenium doesn't seem so outrageous.

    4. Re:what about nuclear waste? by quarkscat · · Score: 0

      I would be very happy to jump on the pro-nuclear power bandwagon myself, just
      as soon as the USA's nuclear power industry and their cheerleaders/shills can
      explain the long term (250,000 year) cost-benefit ratio. Continuous recorded
      human history hardly exceeds 5,000 years -- so how does this industry group
      plan to handle rising materials, healthcare, and labor costs for the continuous
      monitoring and every 5,000 year re-casking project that our as-yet-to-be-
      determined "radiation religious order" will require in 20,000 years.

      Oh, wait. Dealing with a known hazard over a 250,000 year period at an unknown
      cost equals NO COST. Just ignore this cost; it falls from the cost/benefit equation,
      and suddenly nuclear power looks "cheap and clean". Our current neo-Con(artist)
      government, and the industries (oil, energy, defense, banking) that own them,
      continue to show their disrespect to the American voter's intelligence with so many
      of their policies.

    5. Re:what about nuclear waste? by jcr · · Score: 1

      Is nuclear waste any better than the CO2 emissions?

      Yes, because you can stash it under a mountain in Nevada.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    6. Re:what about nuclear waste? by freakasor · · Score: 1

      Nuclear plants produce less radioactive waste than coal burning power plants. The coal contains trace amounts of uraniam that is released into the air when it is burned. Even though it is a trace amount, there is enough coal burned yearly that more radioactive material is belched into the atmosphere than is stored in containers from nuclear reactors.

      As far as nuclear reserves, the European Nuclear society states that there is an estimated 15-20 million tons while only 12,000 tons is used annually. I think that the coal will run out long before the uranium does.

  22. Yes to more nuke plants! by jmorris42 · · Score: 1

    Not only would more nuke plants cut burning coal, the goal of the article's author, if we were aggressive enough in building plants we just might be able to generate enough energy cleaply enough to consider using some of it to get a hydrogen enonomy going. That breaks our dependency on oil imported from nations that range from neutral, at the most optimistic reading, to violently hostile to our very survival.

    No guys, biodeisel isn't the answer. Solar isn't the answer. Wind power is promising but it isn't the answer. As the article points out hydro is already maxxed out. Until fusion becomes viable our only sources of energy are fossil fuels, with their polution and political instability or the big N. I vote for building em as fast as we can safely bring em online.

    --
    Democrat delenda est
    1. Re:Yes to more nuke plants! by sacdelta · · Score: 1

      It might break our dependency on oil, but it will just replace that with a dependency on uranium. It would certainly alleviate some of the current problems but new ones would arise (though probably not as severe). But imagine how aggressive a country might be if we end up contaminating their water because the company we have mining it decides to cut corners..

      --

      Brought to you by: "Al"toids - the curiously weird mint.

  23. me too by robgue · · Score: 1

    i'v e changed my position fairly recently too. it was to do with not only how modern practices are not as dangerous and wasteful as i was lead to believe it once was. really it's about the electrification of the rest of the world. think of china and india. What would be the the ecological consequences of the rest of the world also developing their own electrical infrastructure and to just industrialize in general. Fossil fuel is not the way forward for humanity.

  24. "Nucular" by Thomas+Henden · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Nuclear power will probably get much safer the day America no longer has a president who thinks it's spelled 'nucular'...

    1. Re:"Nucular" by bevo14 · · Score: 1

      It's pronouced nucular.

  25. NIMBYs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
    Not In My Back Yard (TM Economist Magazine)

    These are the folks that are going to impede nuclear power. just look at the news when the Federal Gov. wants to put waste in some hole somewhere. The locals just go apeshit and start massive legal challenges.

    I have to say, I'd be one of them. Regardless of how safe the waste storage is, I don't want to be a home owner who lives near a waste storage facility. I'd be afraid that I'd never be able to sell the house.

    1. Re:NIMBYs by shywolf9982 · · Score: 1

      So true. Happened recently here in Italy aswell: a site has been detected by European authorities as a safe place where nuke waste might be stored.

      That was enough to bring entire villages on war, blocking trains and and roads and protesting against that. And the funny thing is, they were not greens at all.

      They didn't give a shit about the environment, they were just worried their houses might lose price.

      So it's not green nor communists that blocks nuclear, it's just the common people (not like me, but just because I pay a rent :P) that doesn't want certain things to be built near their homes. They're ok with building it elsewhere in the country.

      On final note, they're gonna make the site there the European way: they'll say "we are rethinking the whole program" and then one day voila! The site is there, built and fully functional, and you have to swallow it

      --
      nbody2002:If you can read this you may be addicted to the internet
    2. Re:NIMBYs by uncanny · · Score: 1

      You're right, because it's so much nicer to have it in your air, IN your home, etc that you get from air pollution.

    3. Re:NIMBYs by Stroman+Rebar · · Score: 1
      Myself, I would store a cask in my back yard, if I could get a high enough storage fee. However, it is not likely that the city of St. Louis will actually let me begin storing dry storage casks in the middle of a densely populated area, no matter how useful it would be for heating my house in the winter :)

      These days, the locals of the places selected to act as storage facilities (low rainfall, low seismic activity, low pop density, low median income) often welcome the opportunity for an increase in the tax base and decent paying jobs that come with these types of industrial facilities. Unfortunately, they are often halted in permitting process, not by the locals, but by people many miles away whose emotional (read - Luddite, or at least scientifically educated) responses carry far more weight then they should. Lets not even get into the issue of national/international special interest groups forcing their agendas upon the process.

    4. Re:NIMBYs by russellh · · Score: 1

      I have to say, I'd be one of them. Regardless of how safe the waste storage is, I don't want to be a home owner who lives near a waste storage facility. I'd be afraid that I'd never be able to sell the house.

      Funny thing is, the NIMBY group is pretty much universal, including strong nuke supporters. So it ends up in the BYs of the poor and/or politically weak.

      --
      must... stay... awake...
  26. ROTFLMFAO: Ludicrous article! by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 1
    "3 mile island was a success story".

    Was this article written by the nuke PR folks?

    So many holes, so little time.....

    1. Re:ROTFLMFAO: Ludicrous article! by ScentCone · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Was this article written by the nuke PR folks?

      Nope. But you're clearly the exact sort of person he's talking about - who can't see the fundamental difference between the Chernobyl and TMI events.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    2. Re:ROTFLMFAO: Ludicrous article! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "3 mile island was a success story".

      Was this article written by the nuke PR folks?


      It was a failure on the part of the folks operating the reactor, but it was a success for people who designed it. Even though the reactor was permitted to overheat, the containment vessel did its job and no radioactive material was released, and nobody was hurt - which means that the safety features were pretty darned successful.

    3. Re:ROTFLMFAO: Ludicrous article! by mla_anderson · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes TMI was a success.

      TMI illustrated that a nuclear plant can be designed to fail safely. Despite human error the plant shutdown safely, that is a success but a success by the designers not the operators. Stop spreading FUD about TMI and do some actual reading about it.

      --
      Sig is on vacation
    4. Re:ROTFLMFAO: Ludicrous article! by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 1
      >a nuclear plant can be designed to fail safely.

      Try reading the Kemeny report:

      • Many multiple redundant layers of safety devices "designed in" were part of the problem.
      • Too many blinking warning lights,.
      • a computer that was running 22 minutes behind in printing out warning messages.
      • A main bleed valve that stuck, partly because it was based on a MILK FLOW CONTROL VALVE, and the designers didnt think that maybe hot high pressure radioactive water might not be as good a lubricant as butterfat-laden cool milk.
      • Fifteen out of sixteen radioactivity sensors inside the containment that failed.
      • A crew that didnt have a clue as to the most critical parameter-- the water level in the reactor.
      • A core that partially melted down, and nobody knew about it til years later.

      It's a bit of a stretch to call this a "success story". More like a major monument to human fallibilities, wishful thinking, and greed.

  27. Unfortunately by Silent+sound · · Score: 1, Troll

    Unfortunately that's A FOUNDER of greenpeace, not greenpeace itself. Greenpeace itself will continue its crusade against nuclear power, despite the clear environmental benefits nuclear power offers over the current standard of fossil fuels. And the media will continue to present greenpeace as if it speaks for the entire environmental movement.

    Greenpeace and PETA are between the two of them doing more damage to environmentalism than anyone else in the entire world except the Bush administration itself.

    1. Re:Unfortunately by DeadChobi · · Score: 1

      Why is this modded troll? He's making a perfectly valid point that PETA and Greenpeace, are actually doing more damage than they prevent by extreme Green-ism.

      I, for one, agree with him. I've never seen PETA support their claims with studies, or any other form of admissable scientific data. I've not seen one shred of evidence from them that their movement would help save animals. Maddox, even though what he writes is usually flamebait, presents data, from an authority. Who's laughing now, PETA?

      http://maddox.xmission.com/hatemail.cgi

      http://www.thebestpageintheuniverse.net/c.cgi?u=gr ill

      And what about Greenpeace? What do they have to gain by opposing all forms of unclean power? What about the damage done to the ecosystem by hydroelectric power, as the new resevoirs drastically change local climates? How is that any better than storing a little bit of radioactive material underground, in sealed casques? If these casques are properly designed, how much of that radioactivity will ever leak out? None. Compare this to the ecological damage caused by hydroelectric power.

      I would move that Greenpeace should be modded Troll.

      It's okay to promote environmental ethics, but protesting nuclear power because of two accidents out of several-hundred plants is like being afraid of plane travel because a few planes out of several-thousand have crashed; Especially with what we know about engineering for safe, economical nuclear power. A lot of lives could be saved--lives that are lost due to pollution-related ilnesses--if we would only lose our fear of nuclear power. Thank you Greenpeace for undermining the one form of power that has the potential, in tandem with other technologies, to enable clean, economical transportation for our children and their children.

      I would like my children to know what a tree looks like, not what it looked like.

      --
      SRSLY.
  28. I don't think he was wrong... by i_want_you_to_throw_ · · Score: 1, Interesting

    after all nuclear power has come a ways in the last 30 years.

    Is it our savior now? Yep it is. I know that there are people who seem to feel that we should use less power, kumbaya, blah blah,.. but realistically that is NEVER going to happen. We are junkies for the stuff.

    Question is how are we going to continue making the energy we need to keep our habit up.

    Nuclear is it.

    Why now? Because we have reached a point where even if we don't know what to do with the waste, we're going to have to switch to it anyway and hope that we find a solution in the future. We are fast approaching the point of no return regarding global warming (opinions of G.O.P. lackies not withstanding) so if we're going to keep up this consumption then that's our only choice.

    Yeh I Know what some of you are thinking, hydrogen! Don't forget that using current technology it takes a tremendous amount of power to make hydrogen. And how are we going to do that? Solar and wind? Getting there, but not there yet.

    So is deferring the issue of dealing with waste going to be THAT bad? Well it's a moot point, we have no choice.

    1. Re:I don't think he was wrong... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I could never understand the mentality of a strange portion of the anti-nuke crowd: they have no serious objection to its safety, no real objection to its expense, and they may even admit that it would be better for the environment...

      What bugs them is that nuclear power will let people "use as much power as they want!" This notion of people "consuming" is what chaps their asses! They think that suffering shortages and living in want is some symbol of stoic virtue and character, I guess.

      Totally bizarre.

  29. Re:Patrick Moore is not a modern environmentalist. by ettlz · · Score: 1

    And I thought Patrick Moore was the monacled presenter of The Sky at Night!

  30. Iranian environmentalists by ppp · · Score: 1

    ... need not apply!

  31. Star Wreck by JimXugle · · Score: 0

    Tschernobyl? Tschernobyl!!

    Fukov!!!!!!!


    - Star Wreck

    --
    -jX

    Don't you just love politics? It's like a comedy of errors.
  32. What a breath of fresh air (um, literally). by ScentCone · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It's always funny to hear the greenies make fun of the all-too-Texan quirk of mispronouncing "new-cue-ler" while they make the actually meaningful error of not understanding the actual issues at hand. Too bad this guy's old buddies have so rabidly excommunicated him, but they're just as blind in their faith and their Nukes = Evil mantra as they would suggest that an oil-burning, SUV-driving Texan is in his own world view. Critical thinking, people! (both of you!)

    --
    Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    1. Re:What a breath of fresh air (um, literally). by patternjuggler · · Score: 1

      It's always funny to hear the greenies make fun of the all-too-Texan quirk of mispronouncing "new-cue-ler" while they make the actually meaningful error of not understanding the actual issues at hand. Too bad this guy's old buddies have so rabidly excommunicated him, but they're just as blind in their faith and their Nukes = Evil mantra as they would suggest that an oil-burning, SUV-driving Texan is in his own world view. Critical thinking, people! (both of you!)

      I don't really see anything adding to the discussion in here at all, there's no new facts or data reference, and barely any opinion expressed: 'it's funny' and 'too bad'. An admonishment to think better... fantastic, that really helps. Why is this '+1 interesting'? Everybody be better than before! (all of you, especially those moderators!)

    2. Re:What a breath of fresh air (um, literally). by ScentCone · · Score: 1

      I don't really see anything adding to the discussion in here at all, there's no new facts or data reference, and barely any opinion expressed

      I've always considered the Greenpeace-types, especially the No Nukes Orthodox Sect, to be a little loony. But it was reading up on the history of this guy's division from that group, and their quite crazy behavior... that made me see the stark (to me, now) parallels between them and more traditional religious types. To me it's the irony of the "normal" true believers (usually, the righty-type conservatives) that catch flack from the left, and in this case, from people that are just as dogmatic about something baseless and fantasy-driven. The clarity of the situation just wasn't as obvious (to me, anyway) until I understood (from reading and following up on this article) how out to lunch this particular group can be.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
  33. Not emission-free by Bazman · · Score: 1

    I'm not sure he addresses the contention that the whole nuclear power lifecycle, from mining the uranium to decommissioning end-of-life power stations, is a net producer of CO2.

    I suspect this is just because we still have fossil fuel-based mining machinery and transport systems, but if we can switch them all to electricity (or hydrogen power derived from electricity) generated from nuclear power then that might squash that objection.

    B

    1. Re:Not emission-free by ScentCone · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure he addresses the contention that the whole nuclear power lifecycle, from mining the uranium to decommissioning end-of-life power stations, is a net producer of CO2.

      But he does mention something way, way more important: that 95% of the potential energy is still sitting there in the post-reactor material... and that we're just scratching the surface of re-processing the waste and getting many, many times more energy out of the current byproducts ("waste").

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    2. Re:Not emission-free by nuke-alwin · · Score: 1

      Take a look at National Geographic April 2006. All forms of energy produce some CO2, but nuclear prodces the least per kilowatt hour of electricity. Wind is worse by a factor of three, and hydro is almost as bad as fossils. And if you are wondering how wind produces so much CO2, consider the amount of concrete required per pylon.

      --
      "Have no fear for Atomic Energy" - Bob Marley in Redemption Song
    3. Re:Not emission-free by msarela · · Score: 1

      The question is not whether nuclear power is net producer of co2. Heck, both you and I are net producers of co2. The real question is whether nuclear power produces significantly less co2 per kilowatt than fossile fuels.

    4. Re:Not emission-free by Bazman · · Score: 1

      Ah ha. This is the kind of report I was looking for:

      http://www.uic.com.au/nip100.htm

  34. The sad part? by Badgerman · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The sad thing is it's now news when someone rationally thinks over their position and changes their mind based on reasoning and evidence.

    --
    "The Sage treasures Unity and measures all things by it" - Lao Tzu
  35. Yes by abscissa · · Score: 2, Insightful

    As an environmentalist, I have always supported nuclear power. However, to suggest that global warming isn't taking place or that it is another "crackpot" idea of the environmentalist movement is simply flat out wrong.

    The people who were leading the anti-nuclear movement thirty years ago were not leading scientists and they did not have the equivelent access to information that we do now.

    I do not force my views about electrical engineering or molecular physics on everyone, having never stuided these things. Why does everyone feel compelled to contribute to the environmental debate when very, very few have studed environmental science?

    1. Re:Yes by caffeination · · Score: 1
      I can actually answer your rhetorical question.

      It's because people feel very much a part of global warming. Unlike electrical engineering, everybody is affected by the environment, everyone watches the gloomy news reports, and everybody does things which they could stop doing that they know harm the environment.

      Everyone has an opinion because everyone feels it's a part of their lives.

    2. Re:Yes by evilviper · · Score: 1
      Why does everyone feel compelled to contribute to the environmental debate when very, very few have studed environmental science?

      The same reason they feel compelled to contribute to the debate when a new study comes out that says smoking and drinking is good for your health...

      Most people are not scientists of any kind, but that doesn't make them idiots, unable to contribute anything useful to a scientific debate.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    3. Re:Yes by pnewhook · · Score: 1
      I do not force my views about electrical engineering or molecular physics on everyone, having never stuided these things. Why does everyone feel compelled to contribute to the environmental debate when very, very few have studed environmental science?
      Probably for the same reason that many people insist on voting without having studied Political Science.
      --
      Tesla was a genius. Edison however was a overrated hack who liked to torture puppies.
  36. enough with this crap! by Meniconi,Nando · · Score: 1

    From DailyKos http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/4/16/183226/505 Bluntly put, Patrick Moore is a paid consultant for the mining, logging, biotech and energy industries, and putting him out as "ex-Greenpeace" is a lot like calling Scooter Libby an "ex-Hill staffer." Moore is indeed more significantly described as founder of Greenspirit Strategies Ltd -- a firm that, if you are a company in the extraction or other environmentally damaging industries, can "assist in communicating your issues".

    1. Re:enough with this crap! by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1

      Sooooooo......... what part is he exactly wrong about? Or is there a reason that the dailykos was so busy ripping into Moore's business alliances that they didn't have time to actually talk about why Moore is wrong when he says that Nuclear Power is the way to go? Or maybe it's just so much easier to attack someone personally than to dissect why they're wrong?

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    2. Re:enough with this crap! by Dachannien · · Score: 1

      Your linked article is great at casting aspersions, but doesn't actually prove that his views are anti-environment in any way. Even if he is firmly in the pocket of these companies, there's nothing saying that a timber company, a GM crops company, or a nuclear power plant company can't have positive environmental practices or make use of the environment without abusing it.

    3. Re:enough with this crap! by Steve+B · · Score: 1
      there's nothing saying that a timber company, a GM crops company, or a nuclear power plant company can't have positive environmental practices or make use of the environment without abusing it

      The contrary view expressed by some dogmatic leftists (not to be confused with rational liberals) reminds me of the description of the evil enemy from some kid's cartoon: "M.A.D.: A group of mad scientists out to destroy the world for their own gain!"

      --
      /. If the government wants us to respect the law, it should set a better example.
    4. Re:enough with this crap! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To quote:

      Moore, is, of course, allowed to advocate any darn thing he wants. And the pros and cons of nuclear power, especially insofar as global warming is concerned, are worth a hard look. But to give Moore any special credence because of his "about-face" is just dumb.

      Go Google-it now.

  37. slashdot punked by dbs_sf · · Score: 1

    It's sad to see Slashdot so easily punked. The liberal blogs chewed up this canard yesterday and spit it out. See http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/4/16/183226/505 --Dan

  38. Not Quite by Angst+Badger · · Score: 0, Troll

    Moore is a paid lobbyist who specializes is garnering favorable press for environmentally destructive mining and energy industries. He's not just ex-Greenpeace, he's an ex-environmentalist who parlayed his prior experience working for Greenpeace into working against it. If you are a major polluter, Moore is the go-to guy for whitewashing your corporate image.

    --
    Proud member of the Weirdo-American community.
    1. Re:Not Quite by abefij · · Score: 1

      Ok, but what is Moore wrong about in this particular article? Will building nuclear power plants reduce emissions and global warming? How will nuclear power damage the environment? How does this compare to the emissions from the burning of coal and Oil. Lets deal with the substance please, because I would like to know.

    2. Re:Not Quite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perfect example of subjective over objective thinking. He refuses to look at the content of the message and figure out if it's right because this guy is paid by the "evil" people. Most people see Moore as being reasonable.

  39. That's putting it mildly. by FooAtWFU · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Doesn't really share the views? That's putting it mildly.
    When I helped to create Greenpeace from a church basement in Vancouver in 1971 I had no idea that I would spend the next 15 years as an international director and leader of many Greenpeace campaigns. I also had no idea that after I left in 1986 they would evolve into a band of scientific illiterates who use Gestapo tactics to silence people who wish to express their views in a civilized forum. And I could never have guessed that my former colleague and then teen-age founder of Greenpeace France, Remi Parmentier, would be the one issuing the orders to silence me.
    http://www.greenspirit.com/printable.cfm?msid=26
    --
    The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
  40. Good news by drgonzo59 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It seems like the French already figured it out years before. And now are making money selling the electricity from their many nuclear power plants to others (read "Germany" where the Green Peace hippies managed to stop the building of nuclear power plants years ago). Whas is really that hard to predict that nuclear power can be made safe and will be a better option than becoming addicted to overseas oil? Sure Chernobyl happened (I was pretty close to it too) but they should have just looked at it that and said "let's see what they did wrong and fix and move on". Oh, no, they all freaked out: "OMG! Teh nucular power is teh evil -- must burn more oil and coal!".

    1. Re:Good news by Gothmolly · · Score: 0

      Would it be as profitable were it not for the hippies in the surrounding countries? i.e. is France insightful, or less retarded than its peers?

      --
      I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
    2. Re:Good news by Lazy+Jones · · Score: 2, Informative
      And now are making money selling the electricity from their many nuclear power plants to others (read "Germany" where the Green Peace hippies managed to stop the building of nuclear power plants years ago).

      Germany has been exporting electricity since 2003 (i.e. more exports than imports) according to this official report. In fact, in 2003, France had to import power from Germany because of the hot summer. Europe already has a larger production capacity than its projected needs and France will have to look for new markets soon.

      --
      "I love my job, but I hate talking to people like you" (Freddie Mercury)
  41. This is what it took... by ZSpade · · Score: 1

    So, the only way these people can overcome sensationalist fear is by exposing them to another *new* sensationalist fear? What really irks me is that because of these people, *if* conditions are as they are because of fossil fuels, things will have been made far worse than they ever would have been with Nuclear.

    So it took melting icecaps with an eternaly rising summer to finally scare these people away from the nuclear winter hype?

    --
    Go ahead and call me unreliable; reliable is just a synonym for predictable.
  42. Me too by stinerman · · Score: 1

    I'm coming around to nuclear power, but only because if we don't get with the program, we'll be living in the stone age.

  43. As opposed to coal, yes by Locke2005 · · Score: 1

    Many people beleive that coal fired electric generation emits more radioactive material into the environment than nuclear plants do. See this article

    --
    I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
  44. It is a rare thing to see anyone admit by Ogemaniac · · Score: 1

    their mistakes in politics, so seeing this admission really made my day recently. I generally consider myself pro-environment, but have taken issue with the environmental movement many times, precisely because of issues like this. Far too often, the environmental movement is based on warm, fuzzy "it feels good/bad" mentality, facts be darned. Nuclear energy is one such issue. GMOs are another. So is their zero-tolerance approach to hazardous chemicals, or opposition to drilling in ANWR. In these cases, environmentalism is little different than a religion.

    I am glad to see more of them are starting to base their politics on facts and balance, rather than childish notions of purity and perfection.

    1. Re:It is a rare thing to see anyone admit by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm all in favor of facts and balance in environmental questions as well. But when it comes to this particular commentator, I think you give Moore too much credit for conviction. It seems he turned his back on the entire environmental movement decades ago. Rather than being a case of a grizzled veteran of the environmental movement taking a hard look at the facts and coming to an uncomfortable conclusion, I think it's a case of a disgruntled ex-employee using his credentials to give his opinions more credibility than they warrant.

      The ANWR doesn't have enough oil in it to provide much aid for energy independence. I'm guessing the supporters of drilling fall into four camps: Exxon-Mobil, people who think there is fifty years of oil instead of one, people who want to piss off the hippies, and people who hate moose.

      I'm still ambivalent about nuclear energy. Probably safer and cleaner than coal, but anything that makes it easier to get nukes into the hands of crazy people is worrying.

      I want my glow-in-the-dark mutant carrots. I'm not really worried about the health effects of GMOs, but I do worry about the monocultures that arise from the hypermechanization of food production. It leaves us extremely vulnerable to disruptions in the food supply.

      Finally, I think that much of the anti-environmental movement come from similarly childish notions. In this case, it's the idea that the free market and human grit will overcome all, or that God Almighty gave us dominion over nature, or that we're too puny to have any real effects. There is too much religion on both sides.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    2. Re:It is a rare thing to see anyone admit by Ogemaniac · · Score: 1

      Rather than being a case of a grizzled veteran of the environmental movement taking a hard look at the facts and coming to an uncomfortable conclusion, I think it's a case of a disgruntled ex-employee using his credentials to give his opinions more credibility than they warrant.

      When someone admits they were wrong, it is usually strong evidence that the facts were overwhelmingly against their prior position. Anything less and people don't change their minds. The fact that Moore long ago abandoned the group that he helped found clearly means he perceives that it has lost its way.

      The ANWR doesn't have enough oil in it to provide much aid for energy independence. I'm guessing the supporters of drilling fall into four camps: Exxon-Mobil, people who think there is fifty years of oil instead of one, people who want to piss off the hippies, and people who hate moose.

      There is no single solution to energy dependence. Would you still buy your argument if I said "Energy efficiency cannot provide much aid to energy independance"? We need twenty solutions contributing 5% each, one of which is ANWR. Likewise, I would say there are only two types of people who oppose drilling in ANWR: this mis-informed and the environmentally religious. We have been drilling in nearby Prudhoe for decades, without any significant harm to the "environment" or animal populations. Indeed, caribou populations are much higher now than before drilling. Neither ANWR nor Prudhoe are much used for recreation, and given that they are so big, what little difference drilling would make to the handful of hikers each year is trivial. Indeed, drilling in ANWR would INCREASE human enjoyment by increasing access to the area. There is virtually no downside to drilling in ANWR, other than the vague "it feels bad" notion of the enviro-religious. Of course, I "feel bad" knowing children are going hungry because their father can't get one of those high-paying jobs, and everyone is paying more for oil than is necessary. So I guess the vague "feeling bad" cancels on both sides. As a compromise, I have regularly suggested that we use 100% of the royalties from ANWR to further real environmental issues, such as superfund clean-up, Everglades restoration, or renewable energy research. We are talking about billions of dollars which could be used to solve REAL environmental problems rather than wasted in a vain effort to prevent a phantom one. Ultimately, most of those who oppose drilling start resorting to words like "pristine" and "pure", which in my book have no more place in a political debate than "holy".

      I'm still ambivalent about nuclear energy. Probably safer and cleaner than coal, but anything that makes it easier to get nukes into the hands of crazy people is worrying.

      It is highly improbably that any whacko is going to get weapons-grade material from anything to do with a modern nuke plant. I would be much more worried about Iran.

      I want my glow-in-the-dark mutant carrots. I'm not really worried about the health effects of GMOs, but I do worry about the monocultures that arise from the hypermechanization of food production. It leaves us extremely vulnerable to disruptions in the food supply.

      We have monocultures with or without GMO.

      Finally, I think that much of the anti-environmental movement come from similarly childish notions. In this case, it's the idea that the free market and human grit will overcome all, or that God Almighty gave us dominion over nature, or that we're too puny to have any real effects. There is too much religion on both sides.

      You would be surprised. Most rapid free-market libertarian types strongly believe in polluter-pays. I wish more people, those on the left included, really did. Unfortunately, most people believe something closer to "Polluters should pay, unless I am the polluter", as can be seen when anyone suggests a pollution tax on gasoline.

    3. Re:It is a rare thing to see anyone admit by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      No, there is no one single solution to the energy crisis, and we do need a wide variety of approaches. But given that it's futile to discuss the energy crisis independent of the global warming crisis, I don't think the development of new oil fields should have any part in the solution. We'd do far better for ourselves and the environment if we raised CAFTA standards. Better still, scrap the CAFTA standards and replaced them with a hefty carbon tax on automotive fuel. ANWR only does a little to promote energy independence, while making the global warming problems worse.

      Now, if they came up with a plan that appeared to have minimal impact on the environment, and the proceeds were being put toward the sort of programs you suggested, I think I could get behind that. But I do think that energy conservation is a much bigger part of the solution. For example, California has been at the forefront of the conservation movement for decades. While the average American's energy consumption has gone up about 50% since 1970, the average Californian's consumption has remained flat. Their electrical utilities providers are under a regime where their profits are only loosely coupled to the amount of energy they provide, and when they need new capacity they look to conservation first, then renewables, then fossil fuels.

      My impression of most libertarians is that few of them would even consider allowing a government the sort of power necessary to enforce a pollution tax on gasoline. Of the ones I've talked to, only a handful recognize that externalities are a problem. I'm in favor of using auctions and cap-and-trade systems, which seem to yield better results than normal regulation.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

  45. Re:smug? -- makes two of you by ameline · · Score: 1

    Your post is probably the first I've read on /. that I would use mod points to mod down. It is your good fortune (and possibly everyone else's bad) that I don't happen to have any at the moment.

    I guess I'm feeling like I have karma to burn today :-)

    --
    Ian Ameline
  46. The shape of things to come? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuclear power

    The shape of things to come?

    Jul 7th 2005
    From The Economist print edition

    Climate change is helping a revival of the nuclear industry, though its economics still look dodgy

    [Image] (Alamy)

    THINGS have not gone well for the nuclear industry over the past quarter century or so. First came the Three Mile Island accident in America in 1979, then the disaster at the Chernobyl plant in Ukraine in 1986. In Japan, Tokyo Electric Power, the world’s largest private electricity company, shut its 17 nuclear reactors after it was caught falsifying safety records to hide cracks at some of its plants in 2002. And the attacks on September 11th 2001 were a sharp reminder that the risks of nuclear power generation were not only those inherent in the technology.

    Nor was safety the only worry: there were financial problems too. British Energy, Britain’s nuclear-energy operator, required successive government bail-outs. Britain also recently finalised a £50 billion ($90 billion) scheme to deal with the nuclear-waste liabilities of British Nuclear Fuels (BNFL), an inept re-processor of nuclear waste that is itself bust.

    But lately, things have brightened for the nuclear industry. In Asia, which never turned against it in the way the West did, the prospects are excellent. China already has nine nuclear reactors, and is planning to commission a further 30. New capacity is being built or considered in India, Japan, Taiwan and South Korea. Russia has several plants under construction.

    Now western governments are increasingly looking anew at nuclear energy. A few weeks ago TVO, a Finnish consortium, started work on the first new nuclear plant to be built on either side of the Atlantic in a decade. Pertti Simola, TVO’s chief executive, proclaims that, “Finland has opened the door to a new nuclear era! Many western countries will come behind us.”

    France’s parliament has recently given its approval for a new nuclear plant. Guillaume Dureau of Areva, the world’s largest nuclear supplier, captures the dizzy mood that has overtaken vendors: “We are pretty convinced of a nuclear revival and [we] need to prepare for it. We need to hire 1,000 engineers.”

    Despite its earlier doldrums, the nuclear industry is still a sizeable business. In 2004 Areva had sales of €6.6 billion ($8.2 billion). That figure includes mining uranium, designing power plants and reprocessing waste fuel. General Electric’s nuclear division, which designs and builds plants but does not handle fuel or waste, turned over about $1.1 billion last year (its turnover was double that figure if sales of non-nuclear bits of nuclear plants, such as generators and turbines, are included). Westinghouse, an American brand currently owned by BNFL, which recently put it up for sale, had sales of around £1.1 billion ($2 billion).

    The main reason for the shift is climate change. As it has risen up the political agenda, so the impetus for a nuclear revival has grown.

    More, and more respected, voices have been making the case that nuclear energy is essential if the rate of change is to be slowed. As a result, there is an unlikely alliance between the nuclear industry and many environmentalists, as a growing number of greens have come to believe that nuclear energy is the best way to reduce carbon emissions. Industry lobbyists are finding support from unexpected areas. Keith Parker of the Nuclear Industry Association, a British trade group, points to a recent quote from James Lovelock, a founder of Greenpeace: “Only nuclear power can halt global warming.”

    Scientists are also lending their support. Sir David King, Tony Blair’s chief scientist, recently argued that one further generation of nuclear power stations is needed (in Britain at least) to buy time, in ord

  47. It's good to see Moore writing this by gluteus · · Score: 1

    Why? The obvious point is that he's a respected environmentalist, and not a bought and paid for lobbyist of the nuclear industry. Many people will listen to him just for who is he. Second, it shows he doesn't live with blinders on. A summary of his article is that many huge problems have been dealt with to the point that dumping coal for uranium is a no brainer. No hysteria, no name-calling, just an intelligent opinion.

    1. Re:It's good to see Moore writing this by nomadic · · Score: 2, Funny

      The obvious point is that he's a respected environmentalist, and not a bought and paid for lobbyist of the nuclear industry.

      Ummm, no, he IS a bought and paid for lobbyist of the nuclear industry.

  48. Patrick Moore plays the xylophone though! by drgonzo59 · · Score: 2, Funny

    /Sorry, mandatory Patrick Moore link

    1. Re:Patrick Moore plays the xylophone though! by Swix · · Score: 0

      That's referring to the astronomer, Patrick Moore: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patrick_Moore.

  49. 2 Questions to the pro nuclear folks: by klingens · · Score: 3, Insightful

    a) Is there any commercial insurance company which will insure a nuclear reactor? Here in Germany all reactors must be insured against meltdown, etc. Since no insurance company will write a police for a reactor, the government steps in and "insures" it. All of our reactors here are insured that way.

    b) Is there a place in any western democracy (russia and china probably have less problems in that area) for finally depositing the resulting nuclear waste? A proper finaly resting place for the stuff?

    1. Re:2 Questions to the pro nuclear folks: by hunterx11 · · Score: 1

      As for b, Yucca mountain is scheduled to open in 2010.

      --
      English is easier said than done.
    2. Re:2 Questions to the pro nuclear folks: by Pendersempai · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Is there a place in any western democracy (russia and china probably have less problems in that area) for finally depositing the resulting nuclear waste? A proper finaly resting place for the stuff?

      Nope. Or at least, none that doesn't require some sort of ongoing upkeep. But here's my question for the anti-nuclear folks: what's your plan for the tons of radioactive soot that is pumped into our air currently from coal and oil power? At least the nuclear stuff comes packaged in barrels rather than people's lungs. There's less of it, pound for pound, and it's less harmful per pound.

      You can't evaluate nuclear power in a vacuum, you have to measure it against its alternatives... and when you do that, it beats them handily.

    3. Re:2 Questions to the pro nuclear folks: by wagnerer · · Score: 1

      a) Is there any commercial insurance company which will insure a nuclear reactor? Here in Germany all reactors must be insured against meltdown, etc. Since no insurance company will write a police for a reactor, the government steps in and "insures" it. All of our reactors here are insured that way. Ultimately, yes. See here for the whole process. Basically the industry is self insured as a whole up to a set limit. Little hard to determine what the limit should be since there's never been a significant release in the western world. So the act defined a limit of liability after which the government reevaluates the situation. As for the self-insurance the industry has bought several insurance policies in the reinsurance market. Given the saftey record and the risks its a pretty good buy compared to reinsuring flood insurance in coastal areas. b) Is there a place in any western democracy (russia and china probably have less problems in that area) for finally depositing the resulting nuclear waste? A proper finaly resting place for the stuff? Define finaly. Stick spent fuel in the ground for a thousand years and you end up with a bunch of low specific activity trans-uranics, most of which would make great fuel for a reactor with little processing. At that point the stuff will be worth more than Platinum. I don't expect it to stay in the ground at that point unless you have a really good guard sitting on top of the pile.

  50. Wrong again! by caffeination · · Score: 1
    No wait, it's overpopulation!

    No, now it's Iran's nuclear program!

    Argh, it's changed again! Now it's back to global warming!

    Now the sky is falling!

    Lack of drinkable water!

    Now we're getting cancer from ozone depletion!

    1. Re:Wrong again! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what about human-animal hybrids?

  51. That "progressive" voice by sterno · · Score: 1

    I don't necessarily disagree with his thinking, but it's worth having some perspective on how "progressive" his voice really is. I saw mention of this editorial on DailyKOS in this article yesterday. Notable quote:

    "Moore may indeed have been an early Greenpeace member, in the distant mists, but more recently can be better described as the founder of Greenspirit Enterprises, a consulting organization focused on improving the environmental PR of his mining, logging, biotech and energy industry clients."

    I'm not saying he's full of it, but before we say that even environmental progressives are re-thinking nuclear, it might be useful to actually get the thoughts of people still in the progressive environmental movement.

    --
    This sig has been temporarily disconnected or is no longer in service
    1. Re:That "progressive" voice by Golias · · Score: 1


      I'm not saying he's full of it, but before we say that even environmental progressives are re-thinking nuclear, it might be useful to actually get the thoughts of people still in the progressive environmental movement.


      "People still in the progressive environmental movement" are, by definition, not re-thinking the axioms of the movement.

      It's just like, the minute you say that gay marriages and/or abortion should be legal, you are no longer a part of the Fundamentalist Christian Right in the US, no matter how active you may have been in the movement earlier in your life.

      --

      Information wants to be anthropomorphized.

    2. Re:That "progressive" voice by OhHellWithIt · · Score: 1
      I don't necessarily disagree with his thinking, but it's worth having some perspective on how "progressive" his voice really is.

      That's true. People change. President Bush went from being a partying drunk to a born-again teetotaller. One of my best friends' dad went from being a staunch Republican to a rabid liberal who makes my excoriations of the GOP and their camp-followers look like praise.

      FWIW, I'm less against nuclear power than I was 30 years ago. The post about reprocessing the waste sooner brings up an idea that certainly has merit. But I wish they'd quit dumping it in South Carolina.

      --
      "Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past." -- George Orwell
  52. Read up on Patrick Moore please. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For christ sakes, do some reading.

    Although he once did, this guy hasn't worked for Greenpeace in decades. He is now a paid public relations flack for the lumber, mining and nuclear industries. He uses his "founder of greenpeace" title specifically to hoodwink people like yourself into thinking that he is an envrionmentalist who has "seen the light", all the while conveniently overlooking the fact that he makes a substantial amount of money selling that title to the highest bidder.

  53. My only reservations by Y-Crate · · Score: 1

    I long ago made peace with the science of nuclear power as I found it a bit absurd to retain a strong dislike of it after considering the facts.

    That being said, I don't exactly have an abundance of faith when it comes to the idea that The Powers That Be managing the plants and disposal sites take safety procedures to heart as much as they should. We've seen corruption before in the industry and the whole energy sector is infested with money-grabbing executives with little regard for anything other than the stock price and who they can br...lobby effectively to remove the burdens of oversight from their shoulders.

    I'm not trying to spread FUD, but simply state that history does not leave me with a lot of confidence in the corporate decision makers or the regulatory bodies that oversee them.

    It's a difficult place to be in. The alternatives are either crap, or are permanently 20 years away, but the kind of corruption in the energy sector and government makes me hesitant to be very enthusiastic.

  54. Yes BUT... Peak Oil & Peak Uranium by Jakeg · · Score: 1
    Yes, I accept for the sake of argument all of Paul's points... apart from one: cost. We are currently seeing rising oil prices as our production of oil reaches a physically-determined peak (peak oil). Oil is a non-renewable resource which we use up. As it depletes, eventually we reach a maximum production level after which production declines and if demand remains high (which it does) prices increase. Hence why oil is currently at its highest price ever.

    The same will happen with nuclear. Our estimates of nuclear cost are based around our current low demand for nuclear energy. As supply increases dramatically as governments attempt to switch to nuclear due to peak oil, so the cost of nuclear increases. Uranium is also a non-renewable resource faced with the same fate as oil. We will reach peak uranium production and prices will rise dramatically.

    THE answer is with renewables which don't face physically-determined production peaks. Yes, we need a *lot* of solar and wind power, but that's what we have to do. And yes, we'll also have to reduce our demand for energy.

    1. Re:Yes BUT... Peak Oil & Peak Uranium by DrDitto · · Score: 1

      But the majority of the world's supply of Uranium isn't located in the Middle East with its political problems.

    2. Re:Yes BUT... Peak Oil & Peak Uranium by Jakeg · · Score: 1

      ... which doesn't mean that there's unlimited supply.

    3. Re:Yes BUT... Peak Oil & Peak Uranium by shmlco · · Score: 1

      "Hence why oil is currently at its highest price ever."

      No, it's because speculators are driving up the price due to possible disruptions in supply in Iran, Niger, and South America.

      "THE answer is with renewables which don't face physically-determined production peaks."

      No, they just face naturally-determined production limitations: night time and calm skies. As the article states, and as should be obvious to anyone, wind and solar can help, but can not be counted on to maintain baseline loads 365/24/7.

      "And yes, we'll also have to reduce our demand for energy."

      Agreed. I suggest you turn off your computer.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    4. Re:Yes BUT... Peak Oil & Peak Uranium by Dis*abstraction · · Score: 1

      No source on earth is inexhaustible. Even the sun will flame out someday, if you want to extrapolate to absurdity. If nuclear's the best we have today, let's use it, and maybe tomorrow we'll discover how to delay the end by another fifty years.

      All life is staving off the inevitable, but that doesn't mean it's not worth doing.

    5. Re:Yes BUT... Peak Oil & Peak Uranium by Jakeg · · Score: 1

      My computer draws just 15W of power, and my screen 20W. I suggest you get a more energy efficient computer.

    6. Re:Yes BUT... Peak Oil & Peak Uranium by shmlco · · Score: 1

      Wow. Way to respond to the salient points of the argument.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
  55. Re:smug? by shadow-9 · · Score: 1

    If this guy can change so completely after finding proof, what else is he wrong about right now? Maybe whale killing isn't as bad as it's seemed to him either all those years ago . . .

  56. When you can't attack the message... by Ogemaniac · · Score: 1

    attack the messenger.

    Ahhh, the wonders of getting your butt kicked in a debate...

    1. Re:When you can't attack the message... by tsm_sf · · Score: 1

      attack the messenger.

      The flip-side to that koan is "what the fuck do you know, buddy?"

      --
      Literalism isn't a form of humor, it's you being irritating.
    2. Re:When you can't attack the message... by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      You've obviously experienced those wonders first-hand, because anyone who didn't crash and burn in high school debate knows that your argument lives and dies by the credibility of its sources. The fact is, the only reason we care what Patrick Moore has to say is because SHOCK! a prominent environmentalist has come out in favor of nuclear power.

      That means nuclear power can't be bad for the environment, right?

      I mean, if someone radical enough to have been a founder of Greenpeace is in favor, we should take notice, right?

      Right?

      Then we find out that he's been making a living these last two decades by providing moral support and PR for the mining, logging, and energy industries.

      If Patrick Moore sold out twenty years ago, then this is a non-story. When the current leadership of Greenpeace comes out in favor of nukes, then we'll have a story that should give people something to think about.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    3. Re:When you can't attack the message... by B_Realll · · Score: 1

      This entire thread is a good example of what is killing the environmental movement these days. As soon as someone from your cause associates with the enemy, they are an instant pariah. How do you ever expect anything to be fixed this way?

      Seems to me like compromise is off the table. Why should big oil invest in making things better when no one will trust anyone they work with? On the other side, who from the enviro side wants to help big oil make things better if it will just cause them to be labeled a shill? You guys are shooting yourselves in the foot by taking the "our way or no way" route.

      --
      now you see that evil will always triumph because good is dumb.
    4. Re:When you can't attack the message... by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      I have no problem with constructive dialogue between environmental interest groups and industry. The two sides need to hear the other side out, and it's possible for them to hammer out outstanding compromises.

      That's not what this guy is part of.

      It's pretty obvious that this guy isn't engaging these industries to help them improve their practices. Instead, he's using his former environmentalist creds to help them promote their agenda while whitewashing destructive behaviors.

      The environmentalists aren't the only ones who are insufficiently willing to compromise. If a corporation hires this guy to do what he does, they're not dealing honestly with us, full stop.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

  57. Hardware - Sould be Politics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who is classifying these - Zonk ?

  58. Nuclear Power more like a storage device by MonsterMasher · · Score: 1


    As I understand it there is a lot of power which goes into processing the nuclear rods that are used. A value like 80% of power ultimately produced comes to mind - taken from hydropower as I recall.

    If that is in fact true - wouldn't a better power storage device be almost as good?

  59. the big difference: pebble bed reactors by circletimessquare · · Score: 4, Informative

    pebble bed reactors make all the difference

    because they are super safe. they don't melt down. no china syndrome, no 3 mile island, no chernobyl, no silkwood. the fuel is packed in glass pebbles. meltdown is not possible by accidental means

    explain this to people and their old understanding of nuclear's dangers, based on 1970s era thinking fade away. which is also about the time that nuclear itself faded away, because of the dangers. but in a world of oil-funded islamic extremism and oil-fueled global warming, super-safe pebble bed nuclear energy looks mighty attractive. now all we need to do is wait for popular wisdom and political will to catch up

    and with breeder reactors, we can reprocess the nuclear waste from the bygone era of old-style reactors and do away with all of that left-over pollution. imagine that: run new reactors off of a previous generation's waste. old-style reactors only use 10% of available fuel, the rest sits unused and radiocative for tens of thousands of years. with reprocessing, 95% of the fuel can be used, and left over are isotopes with radioactive half lives measured in a century or two, not tens of thousands of years

    and don't let anyone tell you there would be a fuel shortage with the nuclear option like with oil. there is no peak uranium like there is peak oil. mainly because we can run nuclear power off of thorium as well as uranium. go look up the numbers on thorium reserves. we'd be fine for centuries. and the reserves are in more geopolitically friendly places

    the problem is still psychological for people though. nuclear IS scary. it's the same thing as flying: it's safer than driving, but people prefer to drive than fly, and feel safer driving than flying. even though the reverse is true. why? the illusion of familiarity and control. people stick with what they are comfortable with, even if what they are comfortable with sucks in comparison

    for the longest time i've tried to convince my gf to have laser eye treatment for her myopia. it's the best thing i ever did. but she is scared of the procedure. i tell her that she has more chance of getting an infection that will make her blind via contacts than via a laser screw up. but she wouldn't have any of it

    and just this month, they found a connection between bausch and lomb's renu, which she uses, and a sudden surge in cases of an eye fungus that blinds people. sure enough, on her very own, she made inquiries as to laser eye treatment last week

    so even though nuclear is safer in this world than oil due to hurricane katrina-making global warming and oil-funded 9/11 terrorism, people are more scared of nuclear than oil. they are familiar with oil, and there is an inertia about their reluctance to embrace nuclear

    so we're stuck in the inertia now, and we suffer for the inertia of the general public and the politicians. all of the nimby's who wouldn't let these things be built would apparently prefer to ship their children to falluja to protect oil than build a completely safe pebble bed reactor. meanwhile, china is investing heavily in this technology. so while the usa wears itself down fighting islamonazi wackjobs sitting on top of their precious oil, places like china will enjoy air pollution free totally safe pebble bed reactor power

    some morons don't understand the science, but know how to yell loudly and chain themselves to train tracks to prevent uranium shipments

    and we all suffer for that

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:the big difference: pebble bed reactors by MrZaius · · Score: 1

      As a side note, NPR had an interesting piece on pebble bed reactors just this morning.
      http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?story Id=5345501

      Older piece from '04, on Living on Earth:
      http://www.loe.org/shows/shows.htm?programID=06-P1 3-00008#feature3

      Any claim to the first link's S.African detractor/environmentalist that pebble beds create more nuclear waste per killowatt generated? Can the spent fuel of a pebble bed reactor recycled?

      The wiki doesn't seem to answer either question (yet).

    2. Re:the big difference: pebble bed reactors by MrZaius · · Score: 1

      "Any claim to" = "Any truth to the claim of"

      Any truth to the claim of the first link's S.African detractor/environmentalist that pebble beds create more nuclear waste per killowatt generated?

      Grr... where's an edit button when you need it.

    3. Re:the big difference: pebble bed reactors by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 2, Insightful
      pebble bed reactors make all the difference...because they are super safe.

      Except, they're not. Surrounding your fissionable with graphite - the stuff that fueled the Chernobyl fire - is not really bright. And a 1986 accident in Germany with a damaged "pebble" led to the release of radiation.

      and with breeder reactors, we can reprocess the nuclear waste from the bygone era of old-style reactors and do away with all of that left-over pollution

      Reprocessing leaves around plenty of thorium, radium, radon, and radioactive lead isotopes.

      there is no peak uranium like there is peak oil. mainly because we can run nuclear power off of thorium as well as uranium.

      Of course there's a "peak uranium", thorium doesn't change that. But thorium is a lousy fuel, it has to be "bred" into U233. And then you've still got a "peak thorium"; as thorium is about three times as abundant as uranium, maybe that's in 150 years instead of 50. (But then you need more thorium to get the same energy, so maybe sooner.)

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    4. Re:the big difference: pebble bed reactors by HermanAB · · Score: 1

      Uhmmm - Pebble bed reactors are still somewhat unproven. I don't know of any commercial one in operation yet. One of the things that can go wrong is a breakup of the 'pebbles', which can cause problems.

      --
      Oh well, what the hell...
    5. Re:the big difference: pebble bed reactors by Julian+Morrison · · Score: 1

      If in 50 + 150 years, we can't find another good source of energy, we deserve to starve from laziness.

      Consider that, a comparable period of time ago now, Napoleon was raging in Europe, the USA was newly founded, and the steam engine was bleeding edge technology.

    6. Re:the big difference: pebble bed reactors by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1
      If in 50 + 150 years, we can't find another good source of energy, we deserve to starve from laziness.

      I don't think pushing the problem onto future generations is a responsible solution. Fix it the right way now; rather that putting resources towards fission power, put them into the development of fusion, renewables, and efficiency.

      Thinking about the future of the human race on this planet calls for long term planning.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    7. Re:the big difference: pebble bed reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      laser surgery on the cornea may lead to the eye muscle not beeing able to focus for reading vision within 5 years of surgery! if true is a scary thought. like old people with bifocals or progressive which are not that good. if the problem is light or incapacitating i do not know or am willing to risk! the eye is a very sencitive organ. are all the facts really told to us?

    8. Re:the big difference: pebble bed reactors by DongleFondle · · Score: 1

      "the problem is still psychological for people though. nuclear IS scary. it's the same thing as flying: it's safer than driving, but people prefer to drive than fly, and feel safer driving than flying. even though the reverse is true. why? the illusion of familiarity and control. people stick with what they are comfortable with, even if what they are comfortable with sucks in comparison"

      This is a little nit-pickey because I understand your point and its a valid one. You just chose a bad example. Flying is not safer than driving. Commerical flying is safer than driving. General aviation is much more dangerous. Statistically, its more dangerous than driving. Hell, statistically, its more dangerous than skydiving. Commercial flight is safer than driving because it is heavily regulated and only performed by highly trained professionals in much smaller quantities than driving. If all driving traffic were to take to the sky, regulations and professionals or not, lots of people would start dying. Think about it. Crashing on the ground or crashing at 5,000 ft? Driving is obviously inherently more safe. I think its a valid question to ask if this would be true if all energy consumption were to become nuclear. Yes, we've done alright not blowing ourselves up so far and we *think* we've kind of got this figured out. But do we truly jump headlong into nuclear energy? If we do screw up, the costs are immediately evident and very high.

      At least, I think this is the idea that plays through people's minds and push them away from embracing nuclear completely. Not just that its unfamiliar. But I'm sure the consequences of the alternatives (GW, oil wars, etc) have the potential to be just as bad. They just somehow seem less likely, even though they're already evident.

    9. Re:the big difference: pebble bed reactors by dbIII · · Score: 1
      The whole reason to use thermal power is it scales up so well - double the size and you get a lot more than double the amount of energy out. Pebble bed achieves it's safety by a few mechanisms - one of which is a small unit size. Straight away you lose the economy of scale which is the only reason to consider something as mind bogglingly expensive as a civilian nuclear plant - which is probably one of the main reasons why we haven't yet seen anything other than pebble bed prototypes. There may well be some cunning method to use a lot of pebble bed units in series to get a lot of really hot high pressure steam, but it has not yet been built anywhere even in prototype form.

      The answer will probably be something other than pebble bed - it may even be a thorium plant developed in India to solve the high grade Uranium shortage problem. Whatever it is you have to consider it for a very long plant lifetime to get some of that huge capital cost back in fuel savings. Spending some of the huge amount of money spent on disinformation, subsidies and bribes on actual development would be a start. It took a lot less money to develop the Synrock waste storage technology over decades than was probably spent in a year of telling people an industrial process with toxic materials is "clean".

    10. Re:the big difference: pebble bed reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Best rant I've heard in ages!

    11. Re:the big difference: pebble bed reactors by Fear+the+Clam · · Score: 1

      no silkwood

      Karen Silkwood was blowing the whistle on unsafe conditions in a plutonium processing plant, not about nuclear power itself.

    12. Re:the big difference: pebble bed reactors by hr+raattgift · · Score: 1

      they don't melt down. no china syndrome, no 3 mile island, no chernobyl, no silkwood.

      You've got one right (no Three Mile Island).

      However, pebble-bed reactors certainly could melt down. The pebbles are extremely thermally stable and a critical pile of them will happily produce temperatures up to ca. 2700K before they deform (due to melting of the pyrolitic carbon). The fissile materials are stable oxides or carbides of Uranium, are heavy, and will happily sustain a critical reaction in a melted pool of neutron moderator (e.g., carbon). The major limits to heat are doppler broadening (which won't stop "China Syndrome" meltdowns), which depends enormously on the arrangement of the neutron moderating material, or the arrival of Oxygen to burn away the moderator in a fire.

      Thus the safety engineering challenge of pebble bed reactors is to minimize the reactivity in the core (which means carefully balancing the number and "age" of pebbles in the bed through constant (re)fuelling) and to prevent any deformation of the pellets themselves, as that would permit neutron passage through the graphite in the pellet. Moreover, the reactor must be able to deal with long-term operation at the high "idle" temperature at which a reasonable worst-case runaway chain reaction will reach. Underdesign in any of these areas would be risky in terms of meltdown, or entry into the core of normal Oxygen-containing, fire-enabling atmosphere.

      A fire would be different from Chernobyl, where the fire itself released many TBq of radioactive fuel particles -- the fissiles are in heavy pellets which won't disperse easily even in a raging hot fire, however there is likely to be some radioactive (and merely chemically poisonous) material in the smoke anyway.

      Karen Silkwood was (allegedly) offed because she had evidence of accidents at the chemical level thanks to shoddy management at a fuel processing plant. The pebble manufacturing facility may also suffer from chemical (rather than nuclear) risk as well -- there are many dangerous and toxic substances involved in producing the pebbles and their input components.

      Although the pebble bed design is efficient (especially in terms of thermal gradient) and possibly much safer than highly pressurized light water reactors, it is not as passively safe as a pressurized heavy water reactor. Current PHWRs run with a much smaller pressure vessel thanks to constraints on heavy industry in Canada during the development of early CANDU. This practically eliminates any dangerous phase-change steam explsions. A breech of the pressure vessel dumps the moderator, terminating the reaction entirely. The heavy water moderator is not thermally stable, and if it does not simply leak out it will boil off at temperatures much lower than the melting points of the fuel assemblies. Fuelling irregularities are well-tolerated (unlike in pebble-bed reactors).

      The amount of heavy water needed in modern PHWR designs has decreased enough that it is no longer a massive cost constraint on the design; the thermal gradient disadvantage of running cooler has also been improved.

      Finally, PHWRs in general can burn all sorts of fuels from highly enriched or slightly enriched Uranium, to natural Uranium ore, to Plutonium, to waste from pressurized light water reactors or weapons. The small-fuel-assembly/small-pressure-vessel design of CANDU makes arranging different fuel cycles a problem of calculating the appropriate geometry and rearranging the materials from time to time while the reactor is in operation. This also allows for breeding fissile fuels from e.g. Thorium, but it also allows breeding weapons materials, and this proliferation aspect has been abused (by India, for one). Pebble-beds by requiring tight pebble tolerances to avoid accidents are much less likely to be used as breeder reactors, however they can be, by adjusting the mix of pebbles conveyed through the contiuous (re)fuelling process. This might

  60. Wrong question by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Is fission less dangerous to the environment than coal? Perhaps. If it were a choice between only between building more coal plants and building fission ones, it's possible that fission might win out. (Though I think it would have to depend of the specifics of the technologies and implementations involved.)

    But that's the wrong question.

    At best, fission is still a stop-gap: supplies of fissionables are limited, on the order of a century or two at most, perhaps much less. So is it not more reasonable to divert resources to solving the problem right - with fusion reseach, renewables (i.e., using that big fusion reactor in the sky, including ideas like orbital photovoltaics) and better energy efficiency - than to build fission reactors and pushing the problem onto our great-grandchildren? (Or rather, for us non-breeders, our friends' great-grandchildren?)

    The TFA mentions the Iran situation only to gloss over it, but there are massive security concerns with fission technology.

    Also TFA is inaccurate in talking about nuclear waste; the problem is not the U and Pu in spent fuel, which can be processed and reused, but thorium, radium, radon, and radioactive lead isotopes.

    Is some of the opposition to fission irrational? Yes. But so is some of its support, based on an almost romantic notion of "man harnassing the mighty power of the atom!"

    --
    Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
    You cannot wash away blood with blood
    1. Re:Wrong question by IvyKing · · Score: 2, Insightful
      At best, fission is still a stop-gap: supplies of fissionables are limited, on the order of a century or two at most, perhaps much less.

      We've got plenty of fissionables (which include U-238 and Th-232), but the supply of fissiles (e.g U-235) is much more limited. Uranium is actually quite common, typical granite has about 1 gram per tonne. Anyway, the whole issue of limited supply of fissile material versus fissionable was what was behind the development of breeder reactors - with the integral fast reactor having some intriguing attributes (and significant engineering challenges).

      Also TFA is inaccurate in talking about nuclear waste; the problem is not the U and Pu in spent fuel, which can be processed and reused, but thorium, radium, radon, and radioactive lead isotopes.

      WTF are you talking about??? Thorium is naturally occuring, radium and radon are part of the natural decay chain of U-238, and the only way lead becomes radioactive is by activation (typically by neutrons). The radioactive waste from reactors consists of fission products and transuranics (plutonium, americium, curium, etc.) - fisson products typically have short half lifes, while the transuranics often have very long half-lifes.

  61. But... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Safety", in the sense of plants exploding and releasing radiation like Three Mile Island or Chernobyl was never the issue for me, because despite these two serious incidents, the safety record is quite good. It was always:

    1) Where to put the worst nuclear waste, which is both radioactive and toxic, so that it would be safe for thousands of years, and where to put the decommissioned nuclear stations as they mature;
    2) Security. You have to be concerned about: A) monitoring for intentional attempts at nuclear weapons diversions in every country that installs a nuclear power station; and B) the possibility of diverting any kind of radiological material to make a "dirty bomb" -- and you have to commit to avoiding these risks potentially for centuries after;
    3) Uranium/Thorium supply is finite too. It just puts the energy problem off for a century or two (if nuclear is used more, the resource lasts a shorter time), unless you resort to breeder systems, which generate more waste and offer more opportunities for diversion.

    Don't get me wrong -- I'm all for exploring every energy option available, and nuclear is one that I trust reasonably well in the short term. BUT it still comes at a significant cost and risk beyond the monetary and immediate safety issues. For me, when I look at those other costs, the possibility of mass adoption of hydroelectric, solar, wind and other renewable options doesn't look so bad, even though they are more expensive and have plenty of their own problems. I'd rather conserve than be forced to build more nuclear plants.

    Basically, I think nuclear is a cheap shortcut with alot of the bigger costs pushed on the next generation. Your children's children's children are still going to be paying, one way or another, for the cheap kilowatt-hours of power you get out of a nuclear plant today. They'll be paying for the waste storage sites and the security of them for years to come -- and that's assuming any big mistakes aren't made in the disposal attempts.

    Basically, I don't regard nuclear as a real, long-term solution, even if it is attractive for the moment, and I'd rather not invest heavily into it when other options are still available.

  62. Re:And in another 30 years? you're right by shadow-9 · · Score: 1

    > Maybe people should use their own judgement, thoughtfully weigh all the
    > facts, and consider the consequences instead of just doing whatever some
    > environmental activists say.

    All good advice, and not only about activists, but about everything in life.

    Any one blindly following someone else without researching the facts themselves is little better than a robot.

  63. No F'ing way by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 1

    I'm really hoping he's talking about the new FUSION reactors using pebble-beds.

    But I'm not willing to let the government install a uranium reactor in my neighborhood.

    1. Re:No F'ing way by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FUSION? you must be utterly stupid dude

    2. Re:No F'ing way by Treacle+Treatment · · Score: 1

      Great, another NIMBY.

      --
      TT
  64. Re:smug? -- makes two of you by Larkvi · · Score: 2, Informative

    Trolls are hardly uncommon on /.--you must be using quite a filter if this is the first you have seen.

  65. Hardly a shock by arpy · · Score: 1

    Man funced by nuke power industry supports nuke power...

  66. Nope. by Bill,+Shooter+of+Bul · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Certainly we have better technology today to make safer nuclear power.

    No, we don't. The technology is pretty much the same. There haven't been any new nuclear plants in the past 20 years and they really haven't updated much of the safety systems. There still isn't a long term way of dealing with the tons of radioactive waste being produced. Don't get me wrong, I think Nuclear is the way to go, but I would really like the storage system to be fixed soon.

    --
    Well.. maybe. Or Maybe not. But Definitely not sort of.
    1. Re:Nope. by Jherek+Carnelian · · Score: 4, Interesting

      No, we don't. The technology is pretty much the same.

      Yes we do! It hasn't seen much commercial development (none inside the US) but the Integral Fast Reactor produces waste that only takes about 300 years to return to the original level of radioactivity as the fuel that went into the reactor.

      Storing radioactive waste for only 300 years is is many orders of mangitude more feasible than the storage of current waste for tens of thousands of years.

    2. Re:Nope. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      this is one of the reasons we need a space elevator, think of the the waste we could just dump into the sun and never have to worry about. and with a space elevator, getting it out of orbit to set on a path to the sun shouldn't be very hard at all, and very inexpensive.

      "Ok Earl, give 'er a push!" :P

      and yes, when we have an elivator there will be minimum wage workers in outspace named Earl. they might possibly be the space janitors.

    3. Re:Nope. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      holy shit man what have you been smoking! 300 years my ass, more like 300 million years lol! that waste will radiate you and your children and your children's children and so on for hundreds of generations, have fun in the sun mate!

    4. Re:Nope. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not true. See the Dec 2005 issue of Scientific American (http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?chanID=sa006&col ID=1&articleID=000D5560-D9B2-137C-99B283414B7F0000 ). There are plenty of other countries that have built reactors for electric power generation in recent years and have an excellent safety record. (eg France and Japan) The US needs to have better standardized plants. We don't need to reinvent each plant each time we build a new one. Yes, look at the last one and make incrimental safety improvements etc. Don't reinvent the design each time.

      Think about a nuclear sub or a nuclear aircraft carrier. In their 20 to 30 year life cycle they only refuel their reactors a couple of times. That gives you an idea of how much energy is stored in nuclear power.

    5. Re:Nope. by LnxAddct · · Score: 1

      First of all, yes the technology is significantly better today than 20 years ago. We have the possibility to literally start up a reactor and walk away from it now, when its out of fuel it'll naturally extinguish itself. Second of all, the majority of the "radioactive waste" is no more radioactive than your jeans. There are rules and regulations (at least in the U.S.) that says anything that comes in contact or within a certain distance must be treated as nuclear waste, when in reality only a small percentage of it is dangerous at all. Regardless, its better in the ground than in the air as current coal burning does. Nuclear is a very clean source of energy and its good to see people finally realizing this.
      Regards,
      Steve

    6. Re:Nope. by Mr.+Flibble · · Score: 1

      No, we don't. The technology is pretty much the same. There haven't been any new nuclear plants in the past 20 years and they really haven't updated much of the safety systems. There still isn't a long term way of dealing with the tons of radioactive waste being produced. Don't get me wrong, I think Nuclear is the way to go, but I would really like the storage system to be fixed soon.

      Instead of a storage system, Breeder reactors should be used: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Breeder_reactor

      This eliminates the problem of "only" 50 years more Uranium, and uses "waste" as fuel.

      --
      Try to hack my 31337 firewall!
    7. Re:Nope. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even if it is only 300 years, the commercial nuclear
      power industry is not right now being asked to
      bear the costs of disposal and safekeeping over
      that period. If they were made to assume those costs,
      they would probably have to price energy from their
      plants at a prohibitive price. It is ironic that the
      current administration, which favors free markets
      or so they say, protects the nuclear industry from the
      true costs of doing business.

    8. Re:Nope. by einhverfr · · Score: 1


      Yes we do! It hasn't seen much commercial development (none inside the US) but the Integral Fast Reactor produces waste that only takes about 300 years to return to the original level of radioactivity as the fuel that went into the reactor.

      Storing radioactive waste for only 300 years is is many orders of mangitude more feasible than the storage of current waste for tens of thousands of years.


      So you would not mind, say, having your drinking water contaminated with fuel for nuclear reactors?

      I don't think that it is fair to say you only need to store the waste for 300 years in this case. Plus you have issues with toxicity and other issues that just looking at radioactivity won't tell you. The wikipedia doesn't really cover this area.

      Now regarding nuclear energy as a whole, I remain very undecided about it. The waste disposal issue is a very serious one-- potentially more economically serious than global warming. Yet there are no "good" sources of energy that can sustain our economy. Coal produces radioactive emissions, greenhouse gasses, and other air polution. Hydroelectricity has serious consequences for the wildlife that depend on our rivers and even for our quality of water. So in the end, what are we to do?

      I think that the most important aspect of any energy plan is the reuse and recycling of existing energy sources. Methane from manure heaps in farms, for example. Agricultural waste. Etc. Conservation also needs to be a major issue. And once these have the attention they deserve, then we can talk about generating the rest of the energy we need. I would likely support a moderate amount of nuclear power in such a circumstance but we are nowhere near that point yet.

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    9. Re:Nope. by Jherek+Carnelian · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So you would not mind, say, having your drinking water contaminated with fuel for nuclear reactors?

      Maybe you missed the point - after 300 years there is no net increase in radioactivity.

      Put the waste back where the original fuel came from and there is no change in radiation levels. If you want to argue about externals having an impact and that you can't just put it back without additional effects on the environment, then sit on the stuff for 900 years and you are down way BELOW the original level of radioactivity. 900 years is still hugely easier to manage than 90,000 years.

    10. Re:Nope. by peacefinder · · Score: 1

      The pebble-bed concept is relatively new (in production, anyway) and represents a big advance in reactor safety. The fuel will be contained even in the event of complete coolant failure.

      While nothing involving such high temps and radioactivity can ever be called completely safe, I'd have little worry living downwind of a reactor based on this sort of design.

      --
      With reasonable men I will reason; with humane men I will plead; but to tyrants I will give no quarter. -- William Lloyd
    11. Re:Nope. by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      I'm not familiar with the Fast Reactor, but another point to consider is that we can also recycle used fuel, as was mentioned in the article. Also, the World Nuclear Association has pretty much everything you ever wanted to know about nuclear waste, and more. (Page may appear blank -- scroll down).

    12. Re:Nope. by Savantissimo · · Score: 1

      Well, it would be hard to get any safer. What other big US industry has such a spotless safety record? Not coal or any of the other fossil fuels, that's for sure.

      The "storage problem" was artificially created by the decision not to reprocess spent fuel and not to construct reactors which could use reprocessed fuel. The rest of the high-level waste can be transmuted in a reactor or if not, vitrified and buried, perhaps even in a mid-ocean subduction zone, if the excessively paranoid have to be humored. The higher the radioactivity, the shorter the half life, so long-term disposal isn't really that big a need. It's far more likely that we'd eventually find some good use for such unusual isotopes than that they would cause any health or environmental problems if they are stored in proper containers at a nuclear lab.

      Low-level waste isn't a problem either - dilute and recycle it into construction and consumer goods. A moderate amount of extra radiation has been proven to be remarkably beneficial to health.

      --
      "Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
    13. Re:Nope. by einhverfr · · Score: 1


      Maybe you missed the point - after 300 years there is no net increase in radioactivity.


      Sure, but when you are transforming one metal other elements, radioactivity is only one concern.

      Take uranium for example. It is not only radioactive, but chemically toxic as a heavy metal. Radon as it decays eventually becomes lead, so even non-metals are not immune.

      Radioactivity is only one small part of the equation. I have not found adequate information to determine whether or not this is safe. That was my point. It would not necessarily be safe if we were reducing the levels of temporary (on a geologic scale) radiation hazards for permanent chemical hazards.

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
    14. Re:Nope. by 4of12 · · Score: 1
      There still isn't a long term way of dealing with the tons of radioactive waste being produced.

      I saw a talk recently where this issue was addressed. I'm presuming the safety aspects are conquerable, especially after people can see the implications of Chernobyl.

      The biggest problem with nuclear waste is two fold: the quantity produced and the mix of isotopes, including some very long-lived products that persist over thousands of years that need to be kept away from the biosphere until the radioactive decay is sufficient to render them harmless. A lot of stuff for a looong time. Very problematic.

      However, it is possible to further "burn" those long half-life isotopes in another reactor (transmute them to shorter half-life isotopes). Along with a separation of the different waste products so that you only have to store the 1 percent or so of the original waste that cannot be further reduced in a repository, those products only have several hundred year half-lives so they wouldn't tie up the planet with poisonous places. A better situation. Not perfect. And, the separation probably still costs too much relative to using alternative energy sources. But it's a step forward, it seems.

      Of course, on the political front you need different ambassadors to nuclear power than the current US administration which has a severe credibility and competency deficit. Like Nixon going to China, you need a certifiable pro-environment administration pushing forward on nuclear energy development ( and even then you'll still never convince some fraction of the population for whom even the word nuclear is a bogeyman).

      --
      "Provided by the management for your protection."
  67. Depends on what fuel cycle you use. by Kadin2048 · · Score: 2, Informative

    I never saw this, but I have seen a lot of variation in the "number of years nuclear energy will power us for" figures. I think there are a few different things that get done to the statistics depending on which outcome you want to show.

    Probably the biggest is whether you just take today's energy consumption figures and use them for the future, or whether you project the rate of increase of energy into the future, in order to get your numbers. Obviously a source of energy that could power us for 100 years in 1955 might only last 15 today, and might only last 1 in another 40 or 50 years.

    The other major issue is whether you pretend that we'll use the uranium intelligently, or we'll keep squandering it in wasteful reactors like we do today. Right now, our nuclear reactors here in the US (and pretty much everywhere else in the world) are the atomic-age equivalents of an open-hearth coal-fired boiler, giant and inefficient. We shovel enriched uranium into them, use it to make some electricity, and out comes waste. It's terrible, and it wastes a non-renewable resource (fissile uranium). Although I don't know exactly how long we'd last doing this, if you told me it was less than a generation or two before we used up all the fissile uranium, I'd believe you. It's a hellacious waste.

    If we were using all that uranium in breeder reactors, using it's neutrons to enrich naturally non-fissile uranium into plutonium, then we'd greatly extend the length of time we'd be able to run on atoms as a civilization. I'm not sure exactly how much plutonium you can produce per pound of fissile uranium, but if you compare it to just wasting those neutrons by crashing them into the shielding, it's basically like making free fuel.

    Although I generally dislike the French government, I have to give them kudos in this area for being the only government with the balls to continue civilian research in this area, when the US decided to ban it (thanks, President Carter!) and hitch our wagon to the horses of Persian Gulf oil. Ironically, although the excuse for banning fuel reprocessing was because it could be used to create nuclear weapons, it was the breeder reactors used for creating nuclear weapons (and not peaceful energy) that remained in operation, both here and in the Soviet Union.

    I'm a pretty big proponent of nuclear technologies, but I seriously wonder whether it's good in the long run (multi-generational outlook here) for us to build nuclear reactors that do nothing but "burn" U-235 and produce waste, rather than waiting until we come to grips with breeder technology and decide to build facilities that encompass the whole nuclear fuel cycle. I have this fear that if we don't do that, our (grand)children will be left fighting over the world's remaining stocks of U-235, wondering why we wasted all of it so quickly, or digging up Yucca Mountain for the U-238 that we so casually threw away.

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    1. Re:Depends on what fuel cycle you use. by thePig · · Score: 1

      Although I generally dislike the French government, I have to give them kudos in this area for being the only government with the balls to continue civilian research in this area, when the US decided to ban it

      I guess India India and China were also doing civilian research in fast breeder reactors.

      Also i think India is only one which tried Thorium as a fuel. And she has quite a lot of it too...

      --
      rajmohan_h@yahoo.com
    2. Re:Depends on what fuel cycle you use. by WindBourne · · Score: 1
      when the US decided to ban it (thanks, President Carter!) and hitch our wagon to the horses of Persian Gulf oil.

      Actually, you need to take a good long look at what JC did. He banned it for power for several reasons:

      1. He did not feel that in 1977 that our technology was good enough for lots of production breeders. As nuke. engineer, I assume that he was capable of making that assesement.
      2. He did not want to accumulate bomb making material BY other nations. By doing a breeder here, it is hard to argue against them in other nations.
      Since that time, research has continuted in breeders. At this time, we are ready to restart these. Of course, now, we will have other nations pushing it as well, including Iran and North Korea.

      JC did not hitch us to oil. That was done during the 30's-50. JC DID try to move us off of oil by starting up alternative research as well as pushing standard nuclear generators. OTH, the following presidents removed a number of those incentives and then our current one gave incentives for more oil searching and research (while cutting back on alternative energy and offering nothing to nukes).

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:Depends on what fuel cycle you use. by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

      I wasn't sure whether India or China were doing research in that area when the US clamped down on it in the late-70s, that's why I didn't mention them (it was "continue" research, although I should have been more clear) in terms of countries that basically defied the US when we said such things were verboten domestically.

      The Thorium stuff in India is fairly interesting (if you're a country that has a lot of Thorium and not a whole lot of Uranium), although I've been following the news recently the shift in relations between the Australians and the Indians; I wonder whether they'll still continue to develop Th technology if they are allowed to import U-235 from Australia. I hope so, just from a technical standpoint.

      --
      "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    4. Re:Depends on what fuel cycle you use. by radtea · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Ironically, although the excuse for banning fuel reprocessing was because it could be used to create nuclear weapons, it was the breeder reactors used for creating nuclear weapons (and not peaceful energy) that remained in operation, both here and in the Soviet Union.

      There are legitimate issues with the widespread use of breeder reactors for power generation. I'm not familiar with the details of modern civilian breeder technology, but current weapons reactors run on a three month fuel cycle, and this is likely to be the case for civilian reactors too (the 238U jacket will have to be cycled roughly every 90 days.) This is because 240Pu starts to build up significantly after that time, making the fuel difficult to handle. The rate of this process is fixed by the cross-sections. There's not a whole lot you can do about it.

      So one is necessarily moving rather a lot of quite radioactive material around. Ideally one would like to do reprocessing on site for this reason, but that is expensive: it means you need to have as many reprocessing plants as you have reactors. On the other hand, advances in gas centrifuge technology in the past fifteen years have made isotopic separation so easy that a country run by wingnuts who believe a funny picture is worth rioting over can do it, so local reprocessing may be more practical now than it once was.

      Central reprocessing would be cheaper, but it would mean moving all that hot fuel by truck or train. Accidents will happen, and theft is a definite possibility, but the real problem is inventory control. If you think about moving say 100,000 kg of fuel around for reprocessing every year, and your inventory control is good to 0.1%, you have a slop of 100 kg per year. It's moderately hard to feel safe in a world like that.

      Thorium-cycle technology has a lot of appeal, although any technology other than CANDU-type D2O moderated natural uranium piles are going to necessarily involve materials and technologies that could be used for bombs. We should probably consider ourselves fortunate that it's so hard to make plutonium explode, given how much of it is likely to be sloshing around loose.

      So my view is: slow neutron technology is a lousy investment because it only buys us a century. Fast neutron technlogy is worth some investment, particularly thorium-cycle stuff, but it should only be one area of focus, and not the primary one.

      My own belief is that algal biodeisel or something like it is far more likely to be the long-term fuel of the future. Hydrocarbons are just too damned convenient. They have a human scale--a high enough power density to be really useful, but low enough that they rarely level more than a city block (although anyone who has seen a tank farm fire will be aware that they have dangers of their own.)

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    5. Re:Depends on what fuel cycle you use. by IvyKing · · Score: 1
      I'm not familiar with the details of modern civilian breeder technology, but current weapons reactors run on a three month fuel cycle, and this is likely to be the case for civilian reactors too (the 238U jacket will have to be cycled roughly every 90 days.) This is because 240Pu starts to build up significantly after that time, making the fuel difficult to handle.

      240Pu is a problem for making weapons, but not that big a deal for reactors.

      Normal light-water plants have a 3 year fuel cyle, where 1/3rd of the fuel gets swapped out each year. The lifetime limits for breeder reactor fuel is based on the material damage from fast neutrons.

    6. Re:Depends on what fuel cycle you use. by sjames · · Score: 1

      240Pu is a problem for making weapons, but not that big a deal for reactors.

      That's exactly the key to anti-proliferation. The Pu240 is much harder to seperate out in an enrichment system. Fuel rods from re-processing will be 'poisoned' with it preventing it's effective diversion for weapons programs. A breeder such as IFR will be more than happy with it, and will produce more fuel than it uses. The produced fuel will also be 'poisoned'

      Currently in the U.S. ALL of the 'spent' fuel rods from existing reactors are stored in water pools on site. The right type of reactor built on the site of existing plants can be fueled from the stored 'waste' for decades. Their waste will be shorter lived than the original 'waste' resulting in a net REDUCTION in the disposal problem AND avoiding the burning of many billion tons of coal. That sounds like a big environmental win to me.

      Further, stockpiles of depleted uranium can be fed in to breed more fuel rather than mining it. Yet another double win.

      It's important to keep in mind that ANY energy source will have some environmental impact. Out clean 'environmental' hydro is causing problems for the salmon population as well as destroying downstream river ecosystems. Wind farms kill birds and require cleared land. Solar is an environmental win when fitted onto buildings that would be built anyway, but it's an environmental loss (compared to nuclear) when we raze land for purpose built solar generators.

  68. I hate hippies by Ucklak · · Score: 0, Troll

    There, I've said it, I've said it before, and I'll say it again.

    This type of loudmouth, foul based tripe has caused us 30 years of progression as far as our energy. What if by today we all could have small nuclear batteries to give us heat in our homes and runing our transportation?

    The oil companies would have/are going to spread as much FUD about it as possible unless it's their energy but we could've had this all along if it weren't for the hippies actually helping the oil companies keep feeding us their product.

    --
    if you steal from one source, that is plagiarism, if you steal from many, well, that's just research.
  69. Nice ad hom by bravehamster · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This is a textbook example of an ad hominem attack. If you have anything to say about his actual message, I'd be interested to hear it.

    --
    ---- El diablo esta en mis pantalones! Mire, mire!
    1. Re:Nice ad hom by Angst+Badger · · Score: 1

      The substance of his message wasn't really addressed in the original story. A great deal of noise was made about his former role in Greenpeace, implying inaccurately that he is an environmentalist. He is, in fact, not. The advantages and disadvantages of nuclear power are a separate issue and have been dealt with exhaustively elsewhere; Moore isn't making any novel arguments. The initial fallacy, which I was addressing, was dual: first, that a fallacious appeal to authority was being made, and second, that the appeal was based on equivocation in the first place.

      --
      Proud member of the Weirdo-American community.
    2. Re:Nice ad hom by swillden · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This is a textbook example of an ad hominem attack.

      No, it isn't. If the GP claimed Moore has a foul body odor, is involved in a sexual relationship with his brother, or employs undocumented domestic staff, those would be ad hominem attacks (whether true or not, BTW -- I picked examples that are probably untrue, but claims need not be false to be ad hominem).

      Questioning your opponent's person, habits or general history is ad hominem. Questioning his motivations and rationale for taking a given position is not ad hominem. Of course, it's still better to simply address his arguments head-on, but sometimes its necessary to analyze motivations to detect subtly slanted arguments.

      In this particular case, I happen to think Moore is absolutely right with his stance on nuclear power, whatever his reasons for taking that position, and I also think it's useful to know that many environmentalists are going to discount his words because of his anti-environmental lobbying efforts. Reading the headline, I was hopeful that perhaps we were actually seeing environmentalists realizing that nuclear power is less risky than the alternatives. Reading the GP's post about Moore made me realize that this article, at least, doesn't provide evidence of that hoped-for change of opinion.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    3. Re:Nice ad hom by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "This is a textbook example of an ad hominem attack."

      Yeah, but it was kind of an ad hominem story, wasn't it? "Patrick Moore, a founder of Greenpeace, now says he was wrong about opposing nuclear power...." "If you have anything to say about his actual message, I'd be interested to hear it." Well, ditto, of course.

    4. Re:Nice ad hom by kindbud · · Score: 1

      Just because a statement is an ad hominem does not necessarily mean it is fallacious. An ad hominem attack can be based in fact, and those facts may serve to impeach the person's credibility.

      --
      Edith Keeler Must Die
    5. Re:Nice ad hom by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would be ad-hominem if the poster was engaged in a debate. In a public forum like slashdot, that post suggests additional and relevent background information. There should be no hidden agendas in this debate, we're potentially condemning the future of the species to babysitting our waste.

    6. Re:Nice ad hom by Elwood+P+Dowd · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up.

      --

      There are no trails. There are no trees out here.
    7. Re:Nice ad hom by BluedemonX · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Actually it is. Though you're thinking of an abusive ad hominem "he smells, and his mom dresses him funny" there is also circumstantial ad hominem: "Circumstantial: A Circumstantial Ad Hominem is one in which some irrelevant personal circumstance surrounding the opponent is offered as evidence against the opponent's position. This fallacy is often introduced by phrases such as: "Of course, that's what you'd expect him to say." The fallacy claims that the only reason why he argues as he does is because of personal circumstances, such as standing to gain from the argument's acceptance."

      Here, once again, is what was said:

      "Moore is a paid lobbyist who specializes is garnering favorable press for environmentally destructive mining and energy industries. He's not just ex-Greenpeace, he's an ex-environmentalist who parlayed his prior experience working for Greenpeace into working against it. If you are a major polluter, Moore is the go-to guy for whitewashing your corporate image."

      The response didn't rebut the position in any way shape or form, it was EXACTLY what the Circumstantial Ad Hominem fallacy represents. It says nothing about what the man said or didn't say, it seeks to attack the man and/or his circumstances.

      --

      --- Jump!! Fire!! Bullet time!! - Lego version of the Matrix
    8. Re:Nice ad hom by Vellmont · · Score: 1

      Any argument is partially based on trust. You simply can't look up every statistic, challenge every statement because it's just impractical. This is what the people who cry "ad hominem! ad hominem!" at every turn seem to miss. If the guy smells and dresses funny that really has no bearing on whether you trust his facts, or even willing to listen to him. If the person in question is dis-trustful or his motivations are in question, that's quite relevent.

      --
      AccountKiller
    9. Re:Nice ad hom by BluedemonX · · Score: 1, Insightful

      RE: Any argument is partially based on trust. You simply can't look up every statistic, challenge every statement because it's just impractical.

      Of course you can. And trust me, if I was to point out that the dreaded spaghetti weevil has been eliminated from the Earth, about 0.00001sec later someone will point out that I just made that up.

      RE: This is what the people who cry "ad hominem! ad hominem!" at every turn seem to miss. If the guy smells and dresses funny that really has no bearing on whether you trust his facts, or even willing to listen to him. If the person in question is dis-trustful or his motivations are in question, that's quite relevent.

      I don't think you understand how ad hominem works. Hitler may have been an evil human being with many misguided ideas, but he did at one point say 2+2=4, and 2+2 do in fact equal four, the fact that he was a toothbrush moustached syphilitic tweaker with genocidal tendencies don't change that fact. If you wish to attack what the man said, attack what he said. All we are saying when we claim ad hominem is that in a discussion about what the man actually said, throwing in that the guy likes to club baby seals for fun or whatever IS IRRELEVANT.

      Don't please bring up Godwin's Law. That is reserved for a deliberate appeal to the gallery relating something about the other person's argument to the Nazis.

      --

      --- Jump!! Fire!! Bullet time!! - Lego version of the Matrix
    10. Re:Nice ad hom by elpapacito · · Score: 1

      Maybe we can use a different wording : ad hominem is used to attack the messenger when attacking him distracts from hearing and analyzing the message.

      By analogy

      a) if we observw that the messenger (the one who brings the message) smells
      b) that doesn't imply the message (what he states/says) itself smells

      similarly

      a) if we observe that the messenger has a track record of spewing false information
      b) that doesn't imply the message (what he says) is necessarily false

      The facts that the messenger is known to be a misleading person just makes us him trust less and double and triple check his message even more then usual. Ad hominem exploits the logical fallacy of thinking that property of the messenger are the same property of the message, for the purpose of distracting from a deeper analysis of the message.

    11. Re:Nice ad hom by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      Done and done!

      Oh crap...

    12. Re:Nice ad hom by Damek · · Score: 1

      Somebody else here made the point that the whole focus of the story is that a noted environmentalist has "changed his tune" and now supports nuclear power. Given that, it is very relevant to point out that the "noted environmentalist" is now employed by industry in a PR capacity. Therefore, the story of "noted environmentalist turned nuclear supporter" is somewhat changed to "guy who was once connected with Greenpeace but now works for industry repeats industry point of view."

      Now, I happen to agree with the arguments for nuclear power, but I think it's worth noting the guy's true affiliations and allegiances when his whole shtick revolves around his Greenpeace cred.

    13. Re:Nice ad hom by Chilltowner · · Score: 1

      The problem isn't that it's an ad hominem attack trying to disprove his points--it's try to point out the absurdity of the headline. Moore is not, by any stretch of the imagination, an environmentalist. That's the draw of the article, both here on /. and in the Washington Post. Dear Lord, an environmentalist is supporting nuclear power? Well, golly, maybe it ain't so bad!

      Fact is, he's a PR man. Regardless of whether he makes good points or bad, calling him a "Green" or an "environmentalist" is flat out inaccurate.

  70. mod parent troll by sentientbrendan · · Score: 1

    His comments about global warming are utter lies. It is a verifiable fact that climate change is happening as we speak, for whatever reason.

  71. Chernobyl, 20 years ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The problem with nuclear power is that people don't handle risks well that have a very low probability of a catastrophic mistake. The operators of Chernobyl didn't handle the risks appropriately and the operators of most (not all) nuclear plants worldwide have just been very lucky. Managers keep telling us that nuclear power is safe, but we have proof in our gardens that it isn't. We do recognize that nuclear power has some strong arguments in its favor: It's CO2 neutral and it's practically unlimited. The problem is that the combination of human selfishness and shortsightedness with the inherent technological risks creates a significant disaster potential.

    Personally I find it bizarre that almost exactly 20 years after Chernobyl, while that "once in a billion years accident" keeps generating new problems, people are supposed to buy into nuclear power again.

    1. Re:Chernobyl, 20 years ago by FusionDragon2099 · · Score: 1

      Chernobyl is a bad comparison to the modern nuclear power for three reasons:

      -It was a reactor designed for the production of weapons-grade uranium that had been converted to produce power.
      -The situation that caused the reactor to explode was caused by tests. These tests are not part of standard operating procedure for any modern nuclear power plant. -The safety systems were INTENTIONALLY DISABLED to prevent them from interfering with tests.

      If anything, Chernobyl wasn't the failure of the reactor, but a failure of common sense.

    2. Re:Chernobyl, 20 years ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It still happened, didn't it? We were told back then that nuclear power is safe, but that was a lie, provably. It doesn't matter if it was a technological flaw or hubris. People haven't changed. They're still greedy, selfish and shortsighted. Nuclear plant managers, engineers and operators are human like everybody else. This property of every complex system needs to be considered, and to me the only sane consequence is to avoid systems which have such catastrophic failure modes.

    3. Re:Chernobyl, 20 years ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you're saying that one old, retro-fitted, crumbling, nuclear reactor that had its safety measures deliberately turned off is the barometer of how we should measure all nuclear power forever?

    4. Re:Chernobyl, 20 years ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, I'm saying that the people who told us that nuclear power was safe back then are the sames ones whom we're supposed to trust now. They're telling you what they need you to believe, nothing else.

      It's not that one couldn't build a safe nuclear reactor. I know enough physics to believe that the risk can be reduced well below the risk of a cosmic freak accident. It won't be quite as cheap as you'd want it to be, but technically it can be done. The problem is that, since inevitably human beings will be designing, building, directing, operating, maintaining and controlling the reactors, there will be major fuckups. It's human nature. We're all greedy, selfish and full of it to some degree. Not taking that into account is the biggest mistake of them all. You wrote it yourself: Chernobyl blew up because somebody deliberately turned off safety measures. The effects of idiocy are inevitable. Making something foolproof only causes nature to produce better fools.

    5. Re:Chernobyl, 20 years ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, what's your solution? Go back to living in caves? We need power. Thousands die every year from the coal and oil production efforts. Nuclear has had a much better record than either of them.

      Do you believe that we should have entirely stopped all airline flights forever because of 9/11?

    6. Re:Chernobyl, 20 years ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First of all, if you're in the USA, you're using much more power than necessary. Conserve. The statistics are undeniable (total, per capita, per GBP: all worse than many other countries, and they're not living in caves either).

      Second, what one believes with regard to the victims of nuclear power is mostly a matter of the propaganda that one is exposed to. I'm not going to go into that debate, but let me tell you that even twenty years after Chernobyl people in large parts of Europe ingest significantly more than the natural amount of radioisotopes when they eat certain foods. That's the result of one failure which wasn't even as catastrophic as it could have been. The Chernobyl reactor wasn't in a densely populated area. A similar accident in the proximity of a population center would have killed many more people directly and would have made many more people homeless. In my humble opinion, even with Chernobyl I think we're still very lucky.

      Now to the crucial question about the alternatives. That's a tricky one, of course, and I'm not sure we can replace all nuclear reactors right away. On the other hand we might have had viable full-scale alternatives sooner if the political decisions had taken the "total cost of ownership" of nuclear power into account and directed financial support to finding and developing other sources of energy, instead of subsidising the supposedly cost-effective nuclear power generation.

      Iceland uses mostly geothermal energy. Germany is a big proponent of wind energy. Photoelectric power generation is continuously becoming more efficient and durable. Other forms of solar power are also making inroads. Water power is an important and constant source of energy. Biomass is looking good as a replacement for fossile fuel peak power production. All in all it's going to require a more diverse range of technologies which complement eachother, not just "one more nuclear plant", to meet our energy demands. But diversity is good because it removes the single point of failure and none of the technologies that I mentioned have failure modes that are nearly as catastrophic as with nuclear power.

  72. No one's bothered to look. by WoTG · · Score: 1

    There hasn't been a financial incentive for companies to explore for uranium for the last two decades. Prices have been very low - partly because there were no new reactors built, and partly due to a lot of decomissioned (mostly Russian) warheads that were dilluted to power plant specs. Now that prices for uranium have doubled or trippled over the last couple years, there has been a surge in new exploration companies. I'm pretty sure that supplies will last a lot longer than whatever estimates have been made in the past. The same thing applied to oil, we've been running out of oil for 50 years now. Besides, uranium isn't the only source of radioactives - IIRC, breeder reactors producting plutonium can boost reserves by a factor or three.

  73. The problem with nuclear power... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...isn't the day to day running of the plants. It isn't even 3 mile island/chernoble.

    The problem is that WE STILL HAVEN'T WORKED OUT HOW TO DISPOSE OF THE WASTE OR DECOMMISION OBSOLETE PLANTS.

    Solve those problems (no, really solve them, don't just say that in X years magic will happen and all the problems will go away) and I'd be in favor of it too.

  74. He's a lobbyist by 2short · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Patrick Moore is not a modern environmentalist, he is a paid lobbyist for the energy industry.

    He consistently presents himself as a "founder of Green Peace"; while he may have been an early member, "founder" is, as far as I can tell, a stretch. It is rather disingenous of him to keep mentioning his now quite distant association with the enviromental movement, without ever mentioning who's paying his salary today.

    Mind you, he's welcome to express whatever views he has, and I don't even necessarily disagree about nuclear power. But the news outlets that continue to identify him as "Patric Moore, founder of Greenpeace" instead of "Patrick Moore, Exxon-Mobil shill" need a lesson in journalism.

    Greenpeace got too political, so he left to become a lobbyist? Right. He found out what side of the debate paid better.

    1. Re:He's a lobbyist by VGR · · Score: 1

      Why would an "Exxon-Mobil shill" promote nuclear power?

      --
      The Internet is full. Go away.
    2. Re:He's a lobbyist by 2short · · Score: 2, Insightful

      See, now that's an interesting discussion we could have, were he identified that way, rather than trying to discuss why a "Greenpeace Founder" would promote nuclear power.

      From what I can tell, an "Exxon-Mobil shill" would promote nuclear power because he's a whore, and will promote whatever he's paid to promote. Since the thing he's got going for him is the ability to get news outlets to identify him as a "Greenpeace founder", the people who will pay him to promote stuff is anyone who needs to spike an eco-image problem. So he has lobbied in favor of gas & mining companuies, nuke plants, bio-tech, etc.

  75. hello... logic? by wall0159 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    With all due respect, just because _one_ self-proclaimed environmentalist, ex-anti-nuclear 'activist' now says he was wrong, and nuclear is good, this doesn't suddenly count as a huge weight of evidence against every person who's ever spoken against nuclear.

    Some people are quick to forget that it's possible to weigh the benefits of nuclear objectively, and conclude that it is NOT THE BEST OPTION. Sure - there will be opinions that differ, but that doesn't make anyone who is against nuclear power a tree-hugging hippy!

    Personally, I think it's curious that humans think we need a SINGLE source of energy. why can't we make as much use of efficiency/wind/solar/hydro as is reasonable/practical/possible and then 'top-up' with nuclear on an as-needs basis? To my mind, that would be a much better solution than just replacing every fossil-fuel power plant with a nuclear substitute.

  76. Katrina factor by opencity · · Score: 1

    (As a long time green) my main problem with nuclear power has always been what I used to call the Chernobyl factor: That the bureaucratic culture that thrived in the Soviet Union and unfortanutly is alive and well at FEMA doesn't have the moral or professional responsibilty to be entrusted with the power plants. A 'china syndrome' jumps off and the suits in charge would run around covering their own asses rather than taking care of business.

    --
    Physics is like sex: sure, it may give some practical results, but that's not why we do it.
  77. what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per plant by SuperBanana · · Score: 3, Insightful
    The logic behind using safe forms of nuclear power has been clear for a long, long time. It's nice to see some greens finally start accepting what has been obvious to some of us for 30 or 40 years.

    You can sell nuclear energy to me when you can answer the question "What do we do with 48 tons of nuclear waste generated per year per plant"? Arrogant people think nuclear power is perfectly safe. Paranoid people think nuclear power will destroy the planet. Intelligent people see plant designs that are intrinsically safe, but want to know what we're going to do with the waste.

    The ONLY solution the industry has right now is "bury it" (Yucca), "make it someone else's problem" (Arizona's) and "hope we're not around if it is a problem"(whoever is on the planet when Yucca breaks open, or is attacked, or a society 1,000 years from now, which can't read English, trundles into the mysterious cave and comes out with Magical Glowing Glass.)

    Industry never changes. Their solutions to waste never change; it's always about hiding it or making it someone else's problem, because those are the cheapest and easiest.

    We've got about 50,000 tons of nuclear waste sitting around in various stockpiles across the nation; more than any other hazardous waste, and if you want to get really scared- some of it is sitting in pools of water (because it heats itself constantly) in STEEL CONTAINERS.

    The only solution on the table right now is Yucca; only problem is, we're just extending the parameters of "bury a hole" and "be long gone when it becomes a problem." The stuff in Yucca mountain will be around for 100,000 years. There are serious problems with making stuff last that long, making signs that people will understand even 1,000 years from now, geological changes over just a few thousand years, etc.

  78. I think we've been asking the wrong question by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Instead of just asking "what can we do to pollute less to produce energy", we should ask "what can we do to WASTE less energy?"

    I mean, we can have the most efficient power plants in the world and generate only 10% CO2, but if we keep using incandescent lightbulbs, CRT televisions and XTRA-HOT CPU's, i doubt it'll help.

    Instead I'd welcome more investment in solar cells, ultra-efficient lighting and low-heat CPU's.

  79. Next Step by WebHostingGuy · · Score: 1

    Block out the sun...

    --
    Quality Hosting e3 Servers
    1. Re:Next Step by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I sure wouldn't mind. That yellow thing up on the ceiling of the blue box is far too bright anyway.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  80. Too little too late by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nice that this guy has finally come around, just so late to the party. Reasonable people have known for years that nuclear power could be our best hope for relatively clean energy.

    But this guy and his outspoken ilk caused us to lag decades behind. So now he has offered his "mea culpa". Maybe he can sleep at night knowing he was a prime cause of global warming, I hope god will spare his soul for the damage he and his kind may have caused.

  81. Environmental McCarthyism by deesine · · Score: 1
    Environmental McCarthyism - practice of publicizing accusations of environmental disloyalty or subversion with insufficient regard to evidence.

    Don't suppose you have any evidence do back up those accusations do you?

    --
    damaged by dogma
    1. Re:Environmental McCarthyism by swillden · · Score: 1

      Don't suppose you have any evidence do back up those accusations do you?

      Evidence that Moore has done the things claimed is actually irrelevant in this case. What would be interesting is to know if this perception of Moore is widespread in the environmental community. If it is, then his status as a co-founder of Greenpeace means nothing, and his article isn't going to sway anyone who wouldn't have been affected by an op-ed piece from any other random nuke supporter.

      If the perception is not widespread, then perhaps Moore does speak with some authority in the environmental community, and his article actually may mean something.

      The truth of whether or not Moore is an ex-environmentalist in the pocket of Big Energy is pretty much completely irrelevant. Unless he's actually begun pushing nuclear power at the request of the big players in the energy industry, which would be an interesting change because they haven't been much interested in it, either.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
  82. Nuclear is not a green technology by Dram · · Score: 2, Interesting

    World Changing had a post last week explaining why nuclear power is not a great solution to fossil fuels. There are three main reasons why they say nuclear is not the answer: 1) They bring up the issue of safety, not only for the reactors but of storing the radioactive waste. 2) Mining the ore needed is a very high impact activity, so the environmental impact might not be any less, although it would likely be concentrated in a few locations. 3) The money to develop and build new nuclear reactors could be more efficiently spent on greener technologies.

    When it comes to climate change, nuclear is probably a better option. But in no way is nuclear a green technology, it just alleviates the most pressing issue facing fossil fuel use. What we need to do is develop truly green and renewable energy sources, which doesn't include nuclear.

    1. Re:Nuclear is not a green technology by Oswald · · Score: 1
      ...it just alleviates the most pressing issue...

      I'm afraid that will always have to be good enough for human beings. Just be glad there is something that will alleviate the problem while we work on better solutions.

    2. Re:Nuclear is not a green technology by Geoff+St.+Germaine · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well, the reasons given in that article are actually good reasons to go with nuclear. Reactor safety is basically a non-issue for third generation nuclear reactors (which have passive safety systems). As far as waste management goes, the thing to wait for is the fourth generation nuclear reactors which offer the possibility of burning actinides, which would significantly reduce the amount of high-level waste. It seems that when groups bring up the fact that mining of uranium ore causes environmental damage they ignore the fact that coal is also mined and that mountain-top removal has a massive environmental impact. The scale of mining required to remove coal is monstrous compared with uranium, considering that uranium has about 3.6 million times the energy density of coal (90 000 000 MJ/kg for uranium compared with 23-29 MJ/kg for coal). IMO, nuclear represents a step forward, but certainly not a permanent solution. At this point, many "greener" technologies are not suitable for use in as many locations as nuclear.

    3. Re:Nuclear is not a green technology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      1) They bring up the issue of safety, not only for the reactors but of storing the radioactive waste.

      Reactor safety is effectively solved, and has been for decades. Refer to Three Mile Island - even when everyone messes up, nothing escapes from the containment vessel. The radioactive waste is not as big a problem as is commonly supposed. Other people have addressed this in more detail, so I'll just mention a few possibilities - the waste can be recycled as new reactor fuel, or its latent heat can be used for hot water systems, or it can just be buried where the radioactive uranium was sitting for the last few billion years in the first place.

      2) Mining the ore needed is a very high impact activity, so the environmental impact might not be any less, although it would likely be concentrated in a few locations.

      True - and having been involved with the mining industry, I know how big a disruption a kilometre-wide hole is to the local ecosystem. However, this applies not just to nuclear power but to just about everything in modern society - you need the resources from mining in order to make cars, bridges, computers, toothbrushes, etc. For that matter, you need to mine in order to make solar panels, windmills or hydroelectric dams.

      3) The money to develop and build new nuclear reactors could be more efficiently spent on greener technologies.

      Possibly, and possibly not - this one's very hard to disprove since it's inherently impossible to predict the cost-effectiveness of research on improved methods of generating power. The obvious solution, however, is to let the market sort it out. If solar power is more cost effective, companies will invest in it. If nuclear power is more cost effective, companies will invest in it instead. We just need a carbon tax to make the market account for the external cost of greenhouse gas emissions, or it will gravitate towards fossil fuels for the next few decades until they start becoming scarce.

      When it comes to climate change, nuclear is probably a better option. But in no way is nuclear a green technology, it just alleviates the most pressing issue facing fossil fuel use. What we need to do is develop truly green and renewable energy sources, which doesn't include nuclear.

      Nor does it include hydroelectric (look at the ecological damage caused by dams!), solar (some nasty chemicals are involved in the manufacture of photovoltaic cells), wind (damage to wildlife, plus the mining required for the materials comprising many, many windmills), etc, etc.

      There is no truly zero-environmental-impact way of supplying our power needs short of wiping ourselves off the planet. If you look at all the factors involved in some of the supposedly green forms of power like solar and hydroelectric, nuclear power actually compares pretty well.

    4. Re:Nuclear is not a green technology by deadweight · · Score: 1

      Dude, you REALLY need to go visit West Virginia and see "mountain top removal mining" and then get back to us. Coal has to win the all time NOT GREEN energy source award. FYI, coal burning plants release more uranium into the environment than any nuke plant that isn't designed by Russians and operated by retards.

    5. Re:Nuclear is not a green technology by Spinalcold · · Score: 1

      Of course you impact the enviroment when you mine out resources, your doing the same when you take anything, coal, oil, copper, gold, wood, etc. But many renewable resources have the same impact, look at the major enviromental changes hydro power causes, or the massive amount of land wind power uses. No, nuclear isn't a magical resource that is perfect in ever respect, but I beleive it has a lot fewer drawbacks than many other forms of power including many renewable resources (although I still do like some of those, geothermal is great in my opinion).

  83. Re:smug? by caffeination · · Score: 1

    This sounds like it's just a rationalisation of your intuitive dislike of the guy. More objectively, the ability to change one's mind is important. Punishing people for it is bad for progress.

  84. Nuclear power is viable.. by Newer+Guy · · Score: 1
    I've always thought that nuclear power was viable, but NOT the way it has been done in the past in the USA. Too many types of plants, most stick built and one of a kind.

    I'd prefer the way that France does it, where there's many smaller reactors, all the same type. This way spare parts are always available "off the shelf" and there's always a pool of well trained plant operators.

    One big problem though is disposing of nuclear waste. Trucking it across the country to Nevada is NOT a good plan to dispose of these.
    1. Re:Nuclear power is viable.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And why is trucking it to Nevada not a good idea? Do you have any conception of the kinds of things that get trucked across our country every single day? There are things that are far, far worse than spent nuclear fuel that are probably passing by your house on the nearest highway TODAY. The containers for the fuel have an insane amount of engineering effort put into them, and even if one of them breaks it is not a big deal. A hazmat team could clean it up and NO ONE WOULD BE HURT (aside from perhaps the driver in the crash.) Whereas, an inhalation hazard truck crashes and a noxious gas cloud could potentially kill hundreds before they are evacutated.

      Spent Nuclear Fuel != Weapons Grade or highly reactive.

    2. Re:Nuclear power is viable.. by amliebsch · · Score: 1
      Trucking it across the country to Nevada is NOT a good plan to dispose of these.

      Why? Hazardous stuff is trucked every day with a very good safety record. The casks they use can survive truly ludicrous amounts of abuse. And the amount of material we are talking about is actually quite small.

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
  85. Uranium Reserves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Here is an estimate of our Uranium reserves

  86. Breeder? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A breeder reactor can pretty much run indefinately off it's own fuel (sort of, there's always a trade off).

    Of course it needs uranium to get started but after that it starts making more fuel than it consumes. It can then run off its own fuel and send the excess to other plants.

  87. Change of view by gfilion · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It's interesting/funny to read Patrick Moore describing his former colleague in environmental groups:

    [...] They rejected consensus politics and sustainable development in favor of continued confrontation and ever-increasing extremism. They ushered in an era of zero tolerance and left-wing politics. Some of the features of this environmental extremism are:

    Environmental extremists are anti-human. Humans are characterized as a cancer on the Earth. To quote eco-extremist Herb Hammond, "of all the components of the ecosystem, humans are the only ones we know to be completely optional". Isn't that a lovely thought?

    They are anti-science and technology. All large machines are seen as inherently destructive and unnatural. Science is invoked to justify positions that have nothing to do with science. Unfounded opinion is accepted over demonstrated fact.

    They are anti-business. All large corporations are depicted as inherently driven by greed and corruption. Profits are definitely not politically correct. The liberal democratic, market-based model is rejected even though no viable alternative is proposed to provide for the material needs of 6 billion people. As expressed by the Native Forest Network, "it is necessary to adopt a global phase out strategy of consumer based industrial capitalism."

    I think they mean civilization.

    And they are just plain anti-civilization. In the final analysis, eco- extremists project a naive vision of returning to the supposedly utopian existence in the garden of Eden, conveniently forgetting that in the old days people lived to an average age of 35, and there were no dentists. In their Brave New World there will be no more chemicals, no more airplanes, and certainly no more polyester suits.

    Ref: Patrick Moore's Nuclear Statement to the US Congressional Committee

    1. Re:Change of view by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      let me act just like you then and make up a strawman argument of the craziest ideas I've seen anyone say to point out why anyone who disagrees with me is wrong.

      need I point out that people in the bible lived long beyond 35 if you believe in the source -- they lived hundreds of years in Eden. Hell, they even had talking snakes -- are you planing to bring that back too?

    2. Re:Change of view by geobeck · · Score: 1
      In their Brave New World there will be no more...polyester suits.

      Well, at least there would be one benefit.

      --
      Find environmentally and socially responsible products on http://buy-right.net
    3. Re:Change of view by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and if you really want to be consequent in being against human civilization, you should finally be pro-nuclear. The circle is closing.

  88. BS by danimrich · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I call bullshit on this one. He clearly has the facts wrong.

    The article states that the Chernobyl disaster killed just a few firemen who were fighting the fire. In fact many tens of thousands of people already died or will die of some form of cancer as a consequence of the disaster. For the religious among you: it is estimated that there have been 100000 and 200000 abortions because of Chernobyl.

    I read the article because I thought it might offer some sensible views on the topic, but in reality it is just a bad piece of lobbying. I wonder why the editors let this slip into the paper.

    --
    where's all that Karma?
    1. Re:BS by Treacle+Treatment · · Score: 1

      The article didn't say anything about firemen. Chernobyl was a POLITICAL failure not a technological one.

      --
      TT
    2. Re:BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      exactly why we should be investing in cold fusion research

    3. Re:BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Chernobyl was the result of an unauthorized after hours experiment. It wasn't because the SOPs were wrong.

    4. Re:BS by Mr.+Flibble · · Score: 2, Informative

      According to Wikipedia:

      Ukraine, put the total predicted number of deaths due to the accident at 4,000 (of which 2,200 deaths are expected to be in the ranks of 200 000 "liquidators") . This predicted death toll includes the 47 workers who died of acute radiation syndrome as a direct result of radiation from the disaster, nine children who died from thyroid cancer and an estimated 3,940 people who could die from cancer as a result of exposure to radiation.

      Perhaps he is talking about direct result here?

      --
      Try to hack my 31337 firewall!
    5. Re:BS by khallow · · Score: 1
      The article states that the Chernobyl disaster killed just a few firemen who were fighting the fire. In fact many tens of thousands of people already died or will die of some form of cancer as a consequence of the disaster. For the religious among you: it is estimated that there have been 100000 and 200000 abortions because of Chernobyl.

      Do you have a source for this claim? One based on studies of what actually happened not scary projections? I've heard these figures before, but never saw a credible source for them.

    6. Re:BS by NearlyHeadless · · Score: 4, Informative
      In fact many tens of thousands of people already died or will die of some form of cancer as a consequence of the disaster.
      Sorry but the best estimate of the scientists is that a total of 4000 deaths will be caused by Chernobyl, not "tens of thousands".

      By contrast the Corporate Average Fuel Economy standards were estimated to have cost 1,300 to 2,600 lives in the United States just during 1993 according to a National Academy of Sciences study.

    7. Re:BS by RomulusNR · · Score: 1

      Come on, you can't prove that. Don't you know that there are dozens of respected scientists who can show that the Chernobylian people had been successfully dodging cancer for 100 years? The massive upswing in cancer after the spewing of radioactive smoke over the countryside was just the result of the natural cancer cycle catching up to the statistics.

      </sarcasm>

      --
      Terrorists can attack freedom, but only Congress can destroy it.
    8. Re:BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The article states that the Chernobyl disaster killed just a few firemen who were fighting the fire. In fact many tens of thousands of people already died or will die of some form of cancer as a consequence of the disaster. For the religious among you: it is estimated that there have been 100000 and 200000 abortions because of Chernobyl.


      Unless you give me a source for those numbers, I'd call them out of proportion. Even with a source, the range of 100000-200000 indicates a HUGE error margin.
      In any case, what bothers me is that there are a chemical accidents of WORSE proportions that those people who scream and yell whenever someone mentions the word "nuclear" apparently give a rodent's posterior about. Take, for example, the Bhopal disaster (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bhopal_disaster) which was of at least similar proportions like Chernobyl, yet way less people care about when a paint factory (or some other chemical plant) is build, but if a small-scale research reactor is build, you have people protesting and screaming.
    9. Re:BS by danimrich · · Score: 2, Informative

      The source for "tens of thousands" and for the claims relating to the abortions is the German wikipedia, which has a more detailed article discussing the studies as well. There seem to be quite a lot of people criticising the IAEO, UN & Co. report (which I believe is the base of some numbers on the English wikipedia) for wrong methodologies and purposely disregarding studies with larger death counts. The source for what I cited should be a recent meta-study based on Russian data. http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Katastrophe_von_Tsche rnobyl#Ergebnisse_anderer_Studien
      The true number of dead might be somewhere in between the different estimates.

      --
      where's all that Karma?
    10. Re:BS by master_p · · Score: 0

      The BBC article does not tell the whole story. There are already more than 40,000 deaths in the greater area of Chernobyl due to the accident; not direct deaths, but also indirect from cancer and mutations. After 20 years, deformed children are continuously being born. The increase in cancer has been 500% in the Balkans alone in the last 50 years (not all of it attributed to Chernobyl, of course).

      The best position on nuclear energy is that if there is a kind of reactor that guarrantees no meltdown (like the pebble bed thing), then let's go nuclear. But how certain can we be that the whole world can do pebble bed reactors? it is not just the USA, you know, and a big meltdown in the other side of the globe can affect the USA as well, in the long run (either directly or indirectly).

    11. Re:BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Apparently a lot of women did have abortions, unecessarily, out of fear and ignorance of the risks. In fact the primary health effect on the population has been down to the stress of living with the fear and ignorance (which up until recently the media scaremongering hasn't really helped with). The actual physical effects of radiation have been tiny in comparison.

      I wish more people would read the IAEA/WHO/UN report on this - or at least the press release.

      And it is quite possible that the actual death toll was lower than the estimate of 4000. The 4000 estimate is based on extrapolating the known effects of high dosage radiation down to the very low dosages experienced by most of the population. The assumption is that there is no threshold which is "safe". However the exposure for most of the population near chernobyl was well within normal background levels elsewhere on the planet. If the "no-safe-threshold" assumption is true we would expect to see higher cancer rates in areas of high background radiation, and lower rates where background is lower. But we don't.

      It is possible that low dosage radiation, such as in most of the chernobyl population, has no detrimental effect at all.

    12. Re:BS by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 1
      There are already more than 40,000 deaths in the greater area of Chernobyl due to the accident; not direct deaths, but also indirect from cancer and mutations. After 20 years, deformed children are continuously being born. The increase in cancer has been 500% in the Balkans alone in the last 50 years (not all of it attributed to Chernobyl, of course).

      Site your scientific source for this information. No, an environmentalist, anti-nuclear website will not do. It must be a scientific study.

      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
    13. Re:BS by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 2, Informative

      I ask for scientific studies and you give me a opinion piece from the Tuesday, April 23, 1991 issue of the MIT Tech encouraging people to attend the "City of Boston Earth Day event remembering the Chernobyl human and environmental victims".

      This is nothing more than op/ed piece. It has no scientific value.

      Care to try again?

      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
    14. Re:BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bzzzt. Try 100k. Greenpeace says that's a low estimate.

    15. Re:BS by danimrich · · Score: 1

      Yes, he's probably talking about the direct results. However, there are numerous other studies who are claiming the Chernobyl death toll is a lot higher than the studies that are the base of the English Wikipedia article (see the German Wikipedia, linked from my other post). Naturally Europeans have a bit of a different view on this subject since they are and were affected by the disaster.

      --
      where's all that Karma?
    16. Re:BS by master_p · · Score: 0

      Come on, don't be so nitpicking. When someone says "scientists say X", it means he has knowledge of a scientist that has said so. There is a study behind it.

      There are also thousands of articles saying the exact same thing: that thousands of people have suffered or are suffering from Chernobyl. They can not all be stupid, can they?

      What do you attribute to the rise of cancer in the area?

      I would search the internet for a scientific study, but I am too lazy to do that. By clicking a few links in Google, one can find the following, for example:

      http://www.brightsurf.com/news/headlines/view.arti cle.php?ArticleID=20830

      How about the digest report, "Chernobyl's Legacy: Health, Environmental and Socio-Economic Impacts," released by the Chernobyl Forum? The Forum is made up of 8 UN specialized agencies, including the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), World Health Organization (WHO), United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UN-OCHA), United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR), and the World Bank, as well as the governments of Belarus, Russia and Ukraine.

      It can not get more scientific than that, can it?

      These people claim that more than 4,000 people may die as a result of the accident. Many more suffer from thyroid cancer.

      An estimated five million people currently live in areas of Belarus, Russia and Ukraine that are contaminated with radionuclides due to the accident.

      All the above are copy-paste from the link, not my own words. As you can see, Chernobyl was a serious accident affecting millions of people.

      I am all for nuclear energy, provided that it is 100% safe. If the pebble bed reactor works as they say, then let's just go for it. But knowing about how facts can be twisted in favor of one side, especially when big contracts are involved, I have my reservations; especially if nuclear power is proposed by the same people who brought War Against Terrorism (TM), WMDs that do not exist etc.

    17. Re:BS by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 2, Interesting
      From the same report, emphasis added:
      Approximately 1,000 on-site reactor staff and emergency workers were heavily exposed to high-level radiation on the first day of the accident; among the more than 200,000 emergency and recovery operation workers exposed during the period from 1986-1987, an estimated 2,200 radiation-caused deaths can be expected during their lifetime.

      An estimated five million people currently live in areas of Belarus, Russia and Ukraine that are contaminated with radionuclides due to the accident; about 100,000 of them live in areas classified in the past by government authorities as areas of "strict control". The existing "zoning" definitions need to be revisited and relaxed in light of the new findings.

      About 4,000 cases of thyroid cancer, mainly in children and adolescents at the time of the accident, have resulted from the accident's contamination and at least nine children died of thyroid cancer; however the survival rate among such cancer victims, judging from experience in Belarus, has been almost 99%.

      Poverty, "lifestyle" diseases now rampant in the former Soviet Union and mental health problems pose a far greater threat to local communities than does radiation exposure.


      In other words, the article does not support your arguement and actually states that the people effected by the radiation are at more risk from their lifestyles and poverty than from radiation.
      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
  89. It's about time by el_munkie · · Score: 1

    If the Green movement hadn't opposed nuclear power so mindlessly in the past, the US would have spent the last 30 years building more nuclear plants and fewer coal and gas plants. The extent of our current dependence on middle eastern oil and dirty coal would be much less today if we could have constructed a single nuclear plant in the last three decades.

  90. Yes. by 2short · · Score: 1

    "Was this article written by the nuke PR folks?"

    Quite simply, Yes. The author is a proffesional PR man for the nuke/mining/biotech/etc. industries. He had a brief assosciation with Greenpeace a long time ago, and since has been calling himself a "Founder of Greenpeace" while selling his advocacy to anyone with anti-envrioment image problems big enough to pay him. His "conversion" isn't news; it happened a long time ago in the presence of a big check.

  91. Forget peak oil, we already have peak Uranium by GroeFaZ · · Score: 0, Troll

    Widely unnoticed by the general public, which is all caught up in Peak Oil yes-or-no discussions, Uranium faces the very same problems as fossil fuels, but they seem to be worse.

    From this article: In 2001 the European Commission said that at the current level of uranium consumption, known uranium resources would last 42 years. With military and secondary sources, this life span could be stretched to 72 years. Yet this rate of usage assumes that nuclear power continues to provide only a fraction of the worlds energy supply.

    And here is the actual development of Uranium price over the last century:
    http://www.uranium.info/prices/monthly.html (note that the peak around '78 about coincides with the peak of the US and Soviet nuclear arsenal during the Cold War)

    And here you have, again, the development of Uranium prices over the past 4 years:http://www.cameco.com/investor_relations/ux_ history/historical_ux.php(flash required for the small graphic, but the numbers are there in plain text)

    Now if not only China builds dozens of reactors, but the western industrialized world as well, nuclear (i.e. fission) energy stops looking to be very attractive in the long run. Give us fusion (hot or cold), or give us renewable energy as our main source, but don't try to balance two resources which are ultimately limited and might well be seeing their practical end within our century. Don't floor the gas pedal if you know you will have to stop eventually, either by slowing down yourself or by being slowed down by a concrete wall.

    --
    The grass is always greener on the other side of the light cone.
    1. Re:Forget peak oil, we already have peak Uranium by caffeination · · Score: 1
      Don't floor the gas pedal if you know you will have to stop eventually, either by slowing down yourself or by being slowed down by a concrete wall.
      Depends on whether you want to be awake to feel the pain of the crash...

      GAH! The car metaphor! It lives!

    2. Re:Forget peak oil, we already have peak Uranium by mark_hill97 · · Score: 1

      Ah but the problem is that we currently only use ~5% of the potential energy in fuel rods.
      Obviously this is extremely wasteful and should nuclear power become widespread there is no reason to belive that out efficency will remain static.
      Furthermore prices may increase but more than likely the increased effeciency will lower the demand, thus offsetting the price.

      Now dont get me wrong, I am not saying that uranium is the end all of our energy problems, I am simply saying its not wise to dismiss this out of current usage. We definately should be looking into more renewable resources and researching other (most likely non-renewable) power sources.

      P.S. look into pebble core reactors

  92. AT LAST! by 4D6963 · · Score: 0, Redundant

    At last! Some common sence! sorry but that's all I got to say, and that's all there's to say. Opposing nuclear power was and still is un-understandable from nature lovers.

    --
    You just got troll'd!
  93. Reads like industry propoganda by Two99Point80 · · Score: 1
    The pro-nuclear arguments this guy gives are far from new, and have the same holes in them now as then.

    Nuclear power is extremely capital-intensive, and starves other alternatives for capital, and I'm not just talking about power plants. The sensible thing to do is to reduce demand first - not by "freezing in the dark", as nuclear industry honchos characterized conservation in the '70s, but by efficiency improvements. Lighting, for example, is headed toward LEDs vastly more efficient than conventional lamps. So we have a choice: pay more for the bulbs and recoup the cost in energy savings, or keep using cheap bulbs and pay more for shiny nuclear power plants. Which one makes better economic sense to the consumer?

    Watch for detailed rebuttal of the op-ed piece from places like the Rocky Mountain Institute.

  94. Excellent! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Perhaps we can move forward then, and finally get some prototypes of safe reactors that can reduce the (now undesirable) waste products into energy, instead of wasting tremendous resources burying them.

    *cough* IFRs *cough*

  95. Is that the best source on the subject? by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

    If you're looking to talk about how biased someone is, it's more than a little bit ironic to try and do it by quoting "Mother Jones Magazine," which isn't exactly a paragon of journalistic neutrality. They make NPR look like a bastion of conservative thought.

    Your point may have merit, but that's somewhat less than convincing.

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
  96. Pebble Core Reactors by 605dave · · Score: 1

    I read an article in Wired that really piqued my interest in a form of Nuclear Power plant that the Chinese had been working on. These are called Pebble Core Reactors, and basically look like a big tylenol capsule stood on its side. I am by no means an expert in this area, but in layman's terms the system works like this. Instead of radioactive rods, the system uses radioactive pellets. As the pellets heat up they fall through a grating system to the storage below. If the thing overheats, the system collapses onto itself. MIT continues to work on this, along side the Chinese and many others. One interesting thing from the Wired article, this technology goes all the way back to the 50s. The decision to go with the water cooled system was partly based on the Navy's desire for Nuclear submarines and ships. Of course the others were waaay more expensive, so naturally business wanted those.

    --
    Be kind, for everyone you meet is fighting a difficult battle. - Plato
  97. global warming is good! by pxuongl · · Score: 1

    hey, anything that makes it hotter so as to cause the spontaneous shedding of clothing by women is ok in my books

  98. Solar Future by MrSteveSD · · Score: 1

    In principle solar panels could be produced very cheaply and they really could meet all of our energy demands. Given the enormous potential of solar power, I find it shocking that there is so little government investment. We should be pumping billions into solar research instead of spending billions on Middle Eastern adventures. We can't rely on propaganda efforts like "BP Solar" to bring us cheap solar power. It will take a lot of money and research. If I were an "oil man" I would see solar power as a massive future threat and would lobby against any government funding of solar research. I wonder if this lobbying has really been going on, and if not, why not?

    1. Re:Solar Future by craznar · · Score: 1

      "In principle solar panels could be produced very cheaply and they really could meet all of our energy demands."

      Two comments here...
      1. Not a chance solar panels in their current technology could meet 1% of our entire energy needs
      and
      2. Did you know what crap and environmentally unfriendly energy is required to make a solar panel :)

      Nuclear needs to keep us going for only 30-40 years before we works something else out.

      --
      EMail: 0110001101100010010000000110001101110010 0110000101111010011011100110000101110010 0010111001100011011011110110
    2. Re:Solar Future by MrSteveSD · · Score: 2, Insightful

      1. Not a chance solar panels in their current technology could meet 1% of our entire energy needs and. They could. It would just be too expensive. 2. Did you know what crap and environmentally unfriendly energy is required to make a solar panel :) Yes, that's why research is needed. Nuclear needs to keep us going for only 30-40 years before we works something else out Maybe nuclear is our only current option, but we should still invest massively in solar research now. Ask yourself why that isn't happening.

    3. Re:Solar Future by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 2, Informative

      Your information is way out of date (if it ever was true). PV is relatively clean and cost effective now, and per unit these advantages will only improve with increasing volume. We just don't need centralized nukes in the next few decades, propping up a nuclear industry with a history of lies, murder (Silkwood), and pollution, built on government subsidies for R&D and insurance, and initmately associated with WMD production.

      On scalability, PV solar systems work well especially when integrated with a system that gets some of its energy during cloudy or nighttime from cogeneration, which could be fueled using hydrogen made elsewhere by solar panels, or by biodiesel fuelds derived from farms, or from synthetic carbon based fuels (like synthetic propane) created from power from solar panels deployed in equatorial areas or the ocean. To see such an solar and cogeneration system working cost effectively in a major northern city, consider:
      http://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/popup/hhtoronto/works.h tm
      "What is truly amazing is that CMHC's Healthy House in Toronto provides all the comforts of home - without using municipal services. It has been designed to rely on sun and precipitation as the basis of its heating, electrical, water and waste water management systems. And right from the start, the way it is built and the materials used in construction mean more comfort, less maintenance and lower operating costs. That goes for the landscaping, too. CMHC's Healthy House in Toronto is located near public transportation, and is designed to provide maximum usable space on a minimum amount of land, to limit air and water pollution, and to use locally available materials and durable renewable resources wherever possible. It is an affordable solution to housing now that will keep on working for many years to come."

      On pollution:
      http://greennature.com/article641.html
      "These differences, however, may not be particularly meaningful, according to Vasilis Fthenakis, a senior chemical engineer at Brookhaven National Laboratory who specializes in the potential environmental impacts of solar cells. "There are no significant environmental and safety hazards with any of [the types of solar cells] to the scale that they are manufactured today," he explains. And although there are some hazardous materials used, such as silane gas, cadmium, carbon tetrafluoride, and lead, he says, "if you look at the quantities in relation to their use in other industries, they are very, very small." But these risks will become more significant as the industry grows, he adds."

      Still, the fact remains that either we clean up all manufacturing towards zero emissions, or we will be burried in waste and pollution no matter what our energy source. R&D into all forms of low pollution manufacuring in the future will benefit PV.

      Overall they make sense right now compare to what we have:
      http://www.azom.com/details.asp?ArticleID=1119
      "An average U.S. household uses 830 kilowatt-hours of electricity per month. On average, producing 1000 kWh of electricity with solar power reduces emissions by nearly 8 pounds of sulfur dioxide, 5 pounds of nitrogen oxides, and more than 1,400 pounds of carbon dioxide. During its projected 28 years of clean energy production, a rooftop system with 2-year payback and meeting half of a household's electricity use would avoid conventional electrical plant emissions of more than half a ton of sulfur dioxide, one-third a ton of nitrogen oxides, and 100 tons of carbon dioxide. PV is clearly a wise energy investment with great environmental benefits!"

      And consider innovative approaches towards lifetime recycling of PV products:
      http://www.renewableenergyacc

      --
      A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  99. You can't really believe that? by johnbr · · Score: 1
    The concept that we're ever going to "run out" of oil is just so spectacularly dumb it boggles the mind. Let's say that tommorow we discover that we have reached our peak capacity and we are never going to be able to produce as much oil as we did last Tuesday.

    First, gas prices will rise modestly, into the $3 - $4 range. Industries that can switch away (trains instead of trucks, etc) will start to do so. More people will choose hybrids, more people will ride the bus. It won't be enough, and gas prices will continue to rise over the course of a year or so, probably into the $5 - $6 range. People will start driving even less. More hybrids and motorcycles will be sold. SUV sales will dry up significantly. Trains will continue to subsitute for trucks. Venezuela's massive heavy oil deposits will become profitable to operate. This will cause the rise to dampen, but not stop. Let's say over the next two years the price will rise to $8/gallon. New condos in large urban centers will become more attractive, and more will be built. Many more people will telecommute and take mass transit to work. New drilling platforms will be opened in the Gulf and around Alaska. Signicant advances in fuel efficiency will provide major improvements to car mpg. Grocery and other delivery services will become common again. People will spend more time at and near their homes, and more parks and sidewalks will spring up. around the neighborhoods. Carbon forcing into the atmosphere will drop dramatically.

    Let's say this still isn't enough, and the price rises to, say, $10/gallon over the next three years after that. More telecommuting. More delivery services. More intown renewal. More mass transit. Continued innovation in oil extraction from other sources (Shale and tar sands, for example). More electric vehicles with improved battery technology.

    Your lifestyle will be somewhat different. You will have to pay more for gas, but you will buy less of it. You are not an automaton, with no ability to respond to financial incentives and disincentives. Why is it that you believe that everyone else is? Why is it that you believe that soccer moms will gleefully pay $100/gallon for gas in a frenzied drive to purchase the last few drops? (which, btw, is also a myth - it's a long slow decline after the peak, not a cliff). Why is it that you have convinced yourself that technology does not advance, that entrepreneurs do not find ways to make money helping people save money? Why is it that you have convinced yourself that governments will not respond to the needs of their citizens with increased funding of mass transit? How can you be old enough to read and write articles on Slashdot and not understand the concept of supply, demand and prices? In the month after Katrina, gasoline use plummeted in the US even though there were no shortages outside of the hurricane-struck areas. People stopped driving so much. And that was at $3/gallon gas. Can you imagine how frugal people will be with their driving if it doubles from that?

    1. Re:You can't really believe that? by electroniceric · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's quite clear that we haven't gotten every last drop of the stuff out of the ground, nor will we ever. The problems are this. One, our current economic well-being is pretty closely tied to cheap energy, and much of our industrial infrastructure is built around oil. So the calm transitions you describe in the consumer space are in fact tremendously wrenching events over most of the economy, requiring an extraordinary amount of capital investment to retool a lot of things. The other area where you're being a little too sunny is _how_ the prices go up. If a political faction in Turkmenistan knocks out a major pipeline to Europe, world oil prices double overnight, and that decimates oh, say, 64% of the American airline industry, who happened to bet on modest price increases rather than stratospheric ones. You're probably right that oil won't go away, but even forced reductions in its use could be tremendously disruptive.

      As you might guess I happen to think the price of energy will in fact go up, and that oil price shocks are a real threat. I also think infrastructure changes and their corresponding investments take a long time, so we'd better get started early and not wait until the market obligates us to move quickly. We can mitigate both the threat of global warming and of oil shocks by having the government make it economically reasonable to plunk down some do-re-mi on a less oil-dependent infrastructure. I've been scoffed at countless times by conservatarian market "purists" who insist that the government can't possibly do something like this, but it's hard to argue away the obligation of good stewardship, both of the economy and of the environment.

    2. Re:You can't really believe that? by stinerman · · Score: 1

      The concept that we're ever going to "run out" of oil is just so spectacularly dumb it boggles the mind.

      A finite resource over an infinite time will run out. That is a straw-man argument anyway. Peak Oil is about not having enough oil to run the economy, not running out
      completely.

      First, gas prices will rise modestly, into the $3 - $4 range. Industries that can switch away (trains instead of trucks, etc) will start to do so. More people will choose hybrids, more people will ride the bus. It won't be enough, and gas prices will continue to rise over the course of a year or so, probably into the $5 - $6 range. People will start driving even less. More hybrids and motorcycles will be sold. SUV sales will dry up significantly. Trains will continue to subsitute for trucks. Venezuela's massive heavy oil deposits will become profitable to operate. This will cause the rise to dampen, but not stop. Let's say over the next two years the price will rise to $8/gallon. New condos in large urban centers will become more attractive, and more will be built. Many more people will telecommute and take mass transit to work.

      Based on your response I think you live in an area where mass transit is readily available. In many areas this isn't the case. I grew up in one such area. In many cases these people really have no choice but to pay whatever the prices are. Some people will have the capital to move to a cheaper area, but some simply won't.

      You also speak of new construction in urban areas. New construction is done mostly by machines that run on ... oil. Increased oil prices = increased construction prices for those new condos. This is what we call massive inflation.

      Your lifestyle will be somewhat different. You will have to pay more for gas, but you will buy less of it.

      Of course. I never said any different. I'm just saying my lifestyle will be very different. I will buy gas so long as I can afford it. Sooner or later I will buy only what is necessary for me to continue to work. At last, it will not be worth the gas to get back and forth to work.

      What you describe is a massive retooling of our economy, transportation industry, and the demographics of the nation in a very conservative estimate of 20 years. I think it can be done, but only if we get ahead of it now. My linking to the article doesn't mean I endorse every position on there. In a best case scenario, we're going to have some serious economic problems on the horizon. In the worst, Mad Max.

      The rest assumes that the market cures all and that there is always a viable alternative for any resource. You are certainly free to believe whatever you like, but I'm going to take the safe road and learn from the history of Easter Island.

    3. Re:You can't really believe that? by patternjuggler · · Score: 1

      Wow, that's everything I'm always trying to say. I think most everyone else around here just spouts out dumb nonsense solutions to complicated problems because their models of reality that generate the easy solutions are just too simple-minded. Usually the model something that results in a solution like 'it's always worked out before, so let's not do anything different...'.

  100. You are right, here are some links by GroeFaZ · · Score: 1
    --
    The grass is always greener on the other side of the light cone.
  101. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by hunterx11 · · Score: 3, Insightful
    The only solution on the table right now is Yucca; only problem is, we're just extending the parameters of "bury a hole" and "be long gone when it becomes a problem." The stuff in Yucca mountain will be around for 100,000 years. There are serious problems with making stuff last that long, making signs that people will understand even 1,000 years from now, geological changes over just a few thousand years, etc.

    The problem is time. Radioactive material is radioactive--it decays into stable elements over time. The most radioactive elements will have decayed in less than a thousand years. Nothing is perfectly safe--crossing the street is a greater hazard to you than Yucca mountain will be to anyone. More on topic, spewing radioactive material into the air is probably a tad less safe than depositing it underground, too. And where do you think we get more stable forms of uranium in the first place? It's been in the ground all over the world for a lot longer than 100,000 years.

    --
    English is easier said than done.
  102. Correction by Stroman+Rebar · · Score: 1

    Should have read: (Luddite, or at least scientifically uneducated)

  103. thank you, propagandized partisan by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    i will sidestep all of your suppositions, as flimsy and wrong as they are, by simply saying this:

    no energy source is perfect

    you can't hold out on switching energy supplies until you find one that works 100% right. because there is no such energy source. ever. you'll wait forever

    so you simply find the source with the lowest level of associated negatives. this thinking realistically rather than idealistically.

    it's simply a matter of adding up all of the negatives for each energy source, and finding the one with the lowest level of negatives

    and right now, due to orders of magnitude advances in nuclear technology safety and fuel usage and pollution limiting, and advances in global warming and islamic extremism and oil prices, nuclear is looking better than oil

    in other words, all of your imagined detractions on nuclear, right in principle but wrong on scope (150 years of thorium only? HA! pebble reactors!=100% safe. nothing=100% safe. duh), do not rise to the level of detractions on oil and fossil fuels (hurricane katrina and 9/11: oil-fueled global warming and oil-funded religious extremism)

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:thank you, propagandized partisan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i will sidestep all of your suppositions, as flimsy and wrong as they are, by simply saying this:

      no energy source is perfect


      uh, he didn't say that any energy source was perfect. he was just pointing out that you were wrong when you said pebble beds are 'super safe'. you don't have to be a pissy b!tch everytime someone points out you're wrong, you know.

    2. Re:thank you, propagandized partisan by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1
      and right now, due to orders of magnitude advances in nuclear technology safety and fuel usage and pollution limiting, and advances in global warming and islamic extremism and oil prices, nuclear is looking better than oil

      You fail to factor in the connection between nuclear power, nuclear weapons, and extremism. Scan the headlines for "Iran".

      And very little electric power comes from oil, it's mostly coal with some natural gas. So "Islamic extremism" and oil prices don't figure in the question of how to best generate electric power.

      However, it was pointed out elsewhere in this thread that I got the math wrong wrt thorium reserves. So I will tentatively modify my stance to say that uranium fission is at best a short-term stopgap, and we'd be better served putting those resources into renewables, efficiency, and research into the possibilities of fusion and thorium-based fission.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
  104. But he himself is the message. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The slashdot summary promotes Moore himself based solely on himself, not his message. From reading the summary and headline it's clearly not what Moore says that is important, but who Moore is. The very headline says nothing about whether nuclear power is good or bad; it only talks about whether environmentalists approve of it. While whether Moore is a good or bad person is entirely irrelivant to whether nuclear power is good for the environment, whether Moore is an environmentalist or not is entirely relevant to whether "Environmentalists [are] coming around to nuclear power", as the headline says.

    If it is reasonable for slashdot to promote this guy's opinion based solely on his environmental-movement activities 30 years ago-- and this slashdot article does-- then surely it is reasonable for commenters to disparage his opinion based solely on his environmental-movement activities today? If one is valid then so is the other. Logical fallacies do not exist in a vacuum, and you've forgotten about "ad hominem"'s brother, "appeal to authority".

    If you have anything to say about his actual message

    Perhaps it is possible to disagree with the article's depiction of Moore without actually disagreeing with Moore's message in the article?

    Myself, I don't know anything about Moore's past or present. I do agree with the idea that nuclear power is both a good thing, and a positive force for the environment, and I consider the anti-nuclear forces within the environmental movement at present to be largely a matter of luddite hysteria. However, I don't agree at all with the tactic, popular among corporate shills, of trying to disparage the entirely valid practice of remembering to consider the source and the source's bias when using some source to form judgements, by confusing it with the very different and wholly invalid practice of ad hominem arguments.

  105. Oops by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 1

    OK, i misread. I thought pebble bed reactors used fusion, I don't know where I got that idea from.

    Thanks for the correction :)

  106. TFA is an argument from authority by FhnuZoag · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So really, the two things cancel out.

    The only reason we are expected to hear what this guy has to say is because he's advertised as an environmentalist, and primarily identified as the cofounder of greenpeace - I mean, go read the summary to see what is being emphasised. Undermine that, as the GP has done, and he becomes just another average Joe, and one who has little to say that hasn't been said, and who doesn't really have enough experience in the field to make professional judgements. If he believes his arguments can stand on their own two feet, then he shouldn't have misled about his allegiance in the first place.

    That said, I am personally ambivalent on the nuclear issue. I don't think there is alot of real information out there on what the full costs/benefits are - supporters and detractors seem to constantly give contradictory assertions, and there doesn't seem to be a strong scientific consensus on it.

  107. PBMRs by Baby+Duck · · Score: 1

    Just make them all Pebble Bed Modular Reactors and we'll all be safely rockin'

    --

    "Love heals scars love left." -- Henry Rollins

  108. the problem by penguin-collective · · Score: 1

    The problem with nuclear power is that there is still no safe long-term waste storage (something the article avoids talking about). Furthermore, our current nuclear reactors only utilize a small fraction of the power contained in uranium.

    The solution is breeder reactors. Unfortunately, that's something the right wing is opposed to because the consider it a proliferation risk.

    The obstacle to safe nuclear power isn't the left, it's the right.

    1. Re:the problem by amliebsch · · Score: 1
      Unfortunately, that's something the right wing is opposed to because the consider it a proliferation risk.

      You mean like that infamous, right-wing nut Jimmy Carter?

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    2. Re:the problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Carter was generally against nuclear energy, not just breeders.

  109. Some items seem strangely uninformed [Was:Shill!] by zmahk31 · · Score: 1
    I second the previous poster. There are strange over-generalizations and omissions in Moore's statements that make me suspect that money rather than conviction is driving him.

    Here a list, maybe other Slashdotters have more current information on these points (it's basically what I remember from observing this issue from the distance over more than 20 years or so).

    • No mention of geothermal energy, although it apparently has very significant potential (I have seen estimates in the range of 100% of the current global electricity consumption).
    • No discussion of the potential to intelligently schedule energy usage to best match the predicted supply curve from wind/solar and other non-constant sources.
    • The impact of the Chernobyl desaster on millions of people and the economy of many countries is inadequately described by mentioning just the 56 people whos "deaths could be directly attributed to the accident."
    • One of the big problems with reprocessing spent nuclear fuel is that the volume of nuclear waste is increased sharply (I remember reading the factor of 10 some time ago in connection with current plants in England and France). The specific radioactivity is obviously decreased in this process, but the waste still needs to be stored safely and is contaminated with all sorts of aggresive chemicals used in reprocessing that make handling tricky. I am not saying that this cannot be done, but stating that "it will be possible to use that energy and to greatly reduce the amount of waste that needs treatment and disposal" sounds more like an industry advert.
    • There are a bunch of alternative reactor designs which have the following properties: No chain reaction possible even when all control is lost, use of low grade uranium an/or thorium (the latter being more ubiquitous and less toxic than uranium) so that the fuel is not weapon grade, relatively cold nuclear waste which can be be permanently locked away after a short cool-down period and doesn't give economic incentive for reprosessing (much less of a mess, and no plutonium cycle with its unfortunate non-peaceful dual use). Some designs have prototype implementations (one example is the Thorium High Temperature Reactor design; a commercial version was built in Germany, but quickly dismantled because of engineering screw-ups - the thing kept breaking down and was leaking small amounts of radioactivity - local opposition and apparently uncertain economic prospects due to its breaking down all the time, but the basic design was, as far as I know, validated). A lot of this is not well tested, none without drawbacks (an uncontrolled THTR accident cannot melt the core, but would apparently cause the concrete shield to chemically decompose on a time scale of weeks or so, so there is no magical universal safety). I believe that anybody seriously discussing "green" nuclear energy with a long-term perspective must take such developments into consideration, in particular because of the obvious advantage for nonproliferation (e.g., if Iran had currently access to well-developed economically sound THTR technology, there would be absolutely no ambiguity with regards to their nuclear ambition).
    • The denial of vulnerability to terrorist attack is very naive. Even if the reactor core was safe from a direct hit (which is not the case with many currently existing reactors, but this is not the point here), there are plenty of vulnerable points in the supply and waste processing chain that could wreck at the very least economic havoc in densly populated areas (and most regions on this planet are, or will be shortly, in this category).

    That said, I personally believe that there is a good case for nuclear power as a long term energy source, but let's not get fooled by the global warming scares from an ex-Greenpeacer-turned-industry-consultant into accepting short term profit-maximizing all-out nuclear solutions.
  110. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    shoot it into the motherfucking sun!!!

  111. Please don't feed the hurricanes by jthill · · Score: 1
    ... seems to me like a pretty good summary of the arguments against dumping gigatons of greenhouse gases into our atmosphere. Can someone provide pointers to the evidence that says what we're seeing amounts to more than just a bump on the log that is this cycle?

    Whatever's causing it now, all the predicted changes I've seen or heard of (Limited Research Warning) land well within the recorded variations, with a consistent, roughly hundred-thousand-year period, over the last ... several ... million ... years. And we're not just due for the next spike, we're in it. What comes next, within the next few thousand years, is a precipitous drop of more than 6 C.

    And that drop will continue a much longer, deeper trend. What we're doing now may be the right thing.

    --
    As always, all IMO. Insert "I think" everywhere grammatically possible.
  112. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by rcw-work · · Score: 1
    making signs that people will understand even 1,000 years from now

    If there are people living around Yucca one thousand years from now, and they aren't capable of understanding English, recognizing the "nuclear" icon, or using a geiger counter, then how are they going to know to blame us?

  113. 290-29,000 year HALF LIFE, not "gone-by date" by SuperBanana · · Score: 1
    The most radioactive elements will have decayed in less than a thousand years.

    Uh, no. Radioactive waste is made of many different isotopes. Some have a half-life of 290 years, and some of it has a half-life of 29,000 years.

    Half-life does NOT mean "it's safe after" or "it disappears and is harmless after". It means HALF of it decays into something else.

    Please see The Bane of Nuclear Energy

    Also, if you bothered to read the article in my original post, you'd see that we have 50,000 tons of waste right NOW, and Yucca would only have 77,000 tons of capacity. Yucca, IF it opens, will open at the earliest in 2014. It will only process at BEST 3,000 tons of waste a year. The industry currently generates 2,000 tons a year.

    That means by 2014, there will be 66,000 tons of waste, and it'd take 66 years for Yucca to catch up- but five years after Yucca was completed, we'd again have more nuclear waste than storage capacity (it would not be full until 2039, by which point, we would have generated another 50,000 tons of waste, assuming we keep the same level of nuclear power, which is unlikely given petroleum will be completely gone in 20-30 years.)

    1. Re:290-29,000 year HALF LIFE, not "gone-by date" by amliebsch · · Score: 1
      Uh, no. Radioactive waste is made of many different isotopes. Some have a half-life of 290 years, and some of it has a half-life of 29,000 years.

      He was more right than you are. The more energetic the radioactive decay is (the most relavent characteristic of dangerousness), the more rapid the decay. Substances with extremely long half-lifes are usually only weakly radioactive, or emit low-energy alpha particles which cannot even penetrate a sheet of paper.

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    2. Re:290-29,000 year HALF LIFE, not "gone-by date" by Penguinoflight · · Score: 1

      From what I understand plutonium is significantly worse than uranium for decay times, that and it's poisonous. The problem that people are failing to realize is that now we have no option but to use Nuclear power. If crackheads like the man featured for the article hadn't been complaining about nuclear plants, we'd have cleaner air, and less radiation to worry about.

      While we are trying to build bigger fusion plants now, and understanding how bubble fusion works it only makes sense to continue to build fission plants to meet current demand. With the public behind new methods there wont be such a problem bringing these better, cleaner ideas to market.

      --
      "And we have seen and do testify that the Father sent the Son to be the Savior of the World"
      1 John 4:14
    3. Re:290-29,000 year HALF LIFE, not "gone-by date" by BeanThere · · Score: 1

      That means by 2014, there will be 66,000 tons of waste, and it'd take 66 years for Yucca to catch up- but five years after Yucca was completed, we'd again have more nuclear waste than storage capacity

      OK, fine and well, but where will we be by 2014 if Yucca doesn't open at all?

  114. Re:Nice ad hom.. NOT by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

    The attack is relevant and thus not adhominem.

    They are not attacking him for being ugly, a bolshevik, or a pedaphile.

    They are pointing out that he works for industry. Thus, his position is influenced and if he were a judge, he would have to recuse himself.

    --
    She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
  115. Doesn't have to be 48 tons/year. by Kadin2048 · · Score: 5, Informative

    That 48 tons of waste per plant per year could be greatly reduced with spent fuel reprocessing. Most other nuclear nations, including the UK and France, go this route, which is a lot more sensible than just burying everything, however due to some really boneheaded decisions made by President Carter, it's never been done recently in the United States.

    Until it was banned, we had a whole system under construction for reprocessing spent fuel that would have reduced the scope of the problem we're now faced with. However, in 1977 the research was cut off, and further development and implementation was banned; although President Reagan quietly reversed the ban, nobody has been willing to put money into it. Except of course the military, their ability to manufacture plutonium for weapons purposes was never affected, something which strikes me as endlessly ironic, given that Carter's justification for banning reprocessing was ostensibly to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons.

    By processing the spent fuel assemblies promptly (before they sit around and create a lot of secondary contamination) you reduce the volume of waste that has to be stored for long periods, and you also get a non-trivial amount of new fuel back (even out of reactors that aren't specifically designed to breed new fuel). Either one of those goals would make the procedure worthwhile in my opinion, pick your favorite and count the other one as a bonus. Right now we're burying tons of waste which isn't itself that radioactive or long-lived or even toxic, but because it's physically joined to stuff that is. The actual volume of long-lived high-level waste produced by a plant isn't that much, if you do the right reprocessing first.

    The plan in the United States was a process called PUREX; you can Google it for more information. The French do their reprocessing at COGMA LaHague, and the Brits do it at a commercial facility called THORP.

    More information here as well:
    http://chemcases.com/nuclear/nc-13.htm

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    1. Re:Doesn't have to be 48 tons/year. by rabiddeity · · Score: 1

      Someone mod parent informative, please. Nails it right on the head.

    2. Re:Doesn't have to be 48 tons/year. by patternjuggler · · Score: 1

      Except of course the military, their ability to manufacture plutonium for weapons purposes was never affected, something which strikes me as endlessly ironic, given that Carter's justification for banning reprocessing was ostensibly to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons.

      I don't think you know what 'spread' means, it doesn't mean that one country continues to make weapons, it means other countries and say terrorists don't acquire weapons they didn't already possess.

      Not reprocessing our fuel does two things- it reduces the total amount of reprocessed fuel lying around, presumably the military gets as much as it needs anyway so making more just adds to the risk that someone else will get their hands on it. The second thing is that it sets a better example for countries that possess nuclear power plants or are interested in them but who don't have nuclear weapons- we wouldn't want them producing the weaponizable stuff, which again might fall into the wrong hands, or those countries might decide to make bombs after all after they abruptly change their minds and decide it's the only way to truly defend their country or whatever.

    3. Re:Doesn't have to be 48 tons/year. by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1
      Good post, this is exactly what I was thinking. The heavy elements that are removed during reprocessing are the ones with the really long half-lives. The stuff that remains, like radioactive iodine, is still nasty but decays quickly.

      I'm a big fan of breeder reactors, it just seems like the responsible way to treat our fuel. I think the reason they have been sidelined is that we don't want other countries to think that reprocessing is "normal" - so we have to invent some myth about how it's a bad idea. If it became standard practice around the world, it really would make a distinction between civilian and military nuclear power completely disappear. That's arguably bad. But I think belching out soot and carbon dioxide is worse.

    4. Re:Doesn't have to be 48 tons/year. by wagnerer · · Score: 1

      Even better news is that after reprocessing many of the remaining waste isotopes have a relatively short half life (~30 years). So after a thousand years those are essentially gone with 33 half lives passing. Ideally we would just put the waste into storage for a few hundred years if not a thousand and then reprocess. It'll be a much easier and cleaner process at that point.

    5. Re:Doesn't have to be 48 tons/year. by taharvey · · Score: 1

      Nuclear is irrelevant.

      Even if nuclear waste, materials proliferation, operational risk, terrorism targeting could be all addressed (which of course they can't), fundamentally nuclear is MORE expensive that currently available renewable alternatives - despite that fact that the nuclear industry has received 1000 times the public investment over the last 50 years!

      Not to mention that nuclear is only feasible as centralized power stations, and just like computing, power production over the last 30 years has proven decentralized power to be more economical and reliable.

    6. Re:Doesn't have to be 48 tons/year. by radio4fan · · Score: 2, Interesting
      and the Brits do it at a commercial facility called THORP

      Unfortunately, THORP is currently closed due to a large leak of radioactive material. It's now planned to be decommissioned (at the taxpayer's expense).

      In any case, the financial and environmental benefits were massively overstated, and -- like the rest of the UK nuclear power industry -- has turned out to be a huge white elephant.

      I'm in favour of nuclear power in principle, but in practice it has cost the UK taxpayer untold billions for little benefit.

      We should have just burnt the money and used that to generate the steam!

    7. Re:Doesn't have to be 48 tons/year. by Suidae · · Score: 1

      power production over the last 30 years has proven decentralized power to be more economical and reliable.

      Can you cite some sources to verify this claim?

    8. Re:Doesn't have to be 48 tons/year. by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      Unfortunately, THORP is currently closed due to a large leak of radioactive material.

      Note that when we say 'leak', we're not talking about 'into the outside world', or anything. The stuff leaked out of a pipe, into a backup chamber which was intended to... contain any leaks. Which it did, just fine.

      The trouble here is the sheer quantity of the stuff, and the fact that nobody noticed the leak for so long.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    9. Re:Doesn't have to be 48 tons/year. by taharvey · · Score: 1
      Can you cite some sources to verify this claim?
      As I remember, it came from a DOE report. But a quick google search pulled up this:

      "As competition returns to the electricity business, the average size of a new power plant fell from 200 megawatts in the mid-eighties to 100 megawatts in 1992 to 21 megawatts in 1998, about the same size as a plant in 1915."

      The reason is several fold:

      1. Large plants tie up lots of capital for years before producing any revenue. This was one of the main killers of the nuclear industry. Some of the last plants cost hundreds of millions of dollars, took several years to build, and any economic change in the mean time could essentially bankrupt the project before it generated its first watt. The IROI is very bad. Look at solar and wind technologies for example. They come off an mass produced assembly line in small modules. Power plants can be assembled ad-hoc to any size with each module having a 1 day construction turn-around to producing energy and thus income. You don't have to build the whole gigawatt plant before generating any power, you are generating power with every small addition to the plant. Very good IROI. (for geeks: notice similarity to mainframe versus rack of PCs economics)

      2. Power production is economically cheap compared to distribution. The closer the generator is to the consumer, the cheaper the electricity. This is huge driver behind why power plant sizes have become smaller. Its not economically cost-effective to have huge nuclear plants in an isolated locations with big power transmission lines to the end-users. This is why photovoltaics are making such inroads in rural electrification. Where you don't have 100 years of government subsidized grid infrastructure, solar is by far cheaper than any option because building the grid is 10 times the cost of building the power plants. I'm guessing it will never go over with people to have nuclear power plants in their basement, but most everyone would think it fine to put photovoltaics on their roof. And yet the cost of both systems are the about same - with one difference, the cost of photovoltaics are coming down!

      And here is something really to like:
      Photovoltaics ARE nuclear power! Only the power plant is at safe distance, guaranteed to always work (for the next few billion years anyway), no maintanance, and wirelessly distributes its energy fairly equally over the earths surface (for example the best location in Arizona is only twice as good as the worst overcast location in Washington. And 80% the US has 70-85% of the solar insolation as the best location in Arizona - pretty equitable!). The wireless transmission energy density is perfectly balenced to be dense enough to be practical, but safe (Solar on an average american roof at 15% efficiency produces 5-6 times the average home electricity consumption - any that doesn't even address newer more efficient technologies or energy efficiency!)

    10. Re:Doesn't have to be 48 tons/year. by Suidae · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the data.

      I've often heard that bigger is better in power generation, so your comment about the move to smaller, more distributed energy was interesting. I know that the price per watt for solar is reasonable in remote locations where it would be necessary to install power lines, but until solar prices go down or grid electricity goes way up it won't be competitive in urban areas.

      I'm all for solar collection, and since I'm building a new home right now, I wish there was a cheap way to add a renewable power generation system, but its hard to beat the local electric company!

      Anyway, thanks again.

    11. Re:Doesn't have to be 48 tons/year. by taharvey · · Score: 1
      I've often heard that bigger is better in power generation, so your comment about the move to smaller, more distributed energy was interesting. I know that the price per watt for solar is reasonable in remote locations where it would be necessary to install power lines, but until solar prices go down or grid electricity goes way up it won't be competitive in urban areas.
      Yeah, solar is certainly more expensive than coal (wind though is very on par with coal). But my comments were mostly in relation to nuclear. Solar costs are similar to nuclear, if not lower if you count other external costs like nuclear storage. Though interestingly, I've seen new construction were the electric hook-up/meter costs were significant enough to make going solar worth doing (in an efficient house at least, with owner-builder labor).
  116. Read the article again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    The article absolutely said:
    Chernobyl Forum reported last year that 56 deaths could be directly attributed to the accident, most of those from radiation or burns suffered while fighting the fire. Tragic as those deaths were, they pale in comparison to the more than 5,000 coal-mining deaths that occur worldwide every year.
    And the article was absolutely being dishonest. Yes, 56 direct deaths. This leaves out the calculated 9000 indirect deaths, as well as varied and significant side effects for people across the continent who didn't die but were still negatively impacted.

    Trying to promote the benefits of nuclear power by whitewashing the Chernobyl tragedy does not help you. It is like trying to promote the benefits of air travel by whitewashing the September 11 attacks. No, of course the September 11 attacks don't by themselves mean that airplanes are bad and should stop being used. But that doesn't mean that what happened was any less of a horrific tragedy, and if you try to belittle the scope of that tragedy you're only going to make yourself look stupid.
  117. Economics matters! by fortinbras47 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    I think a huge problem for the environmental movement has been that it has ignored economics, ignored costs, and been too quick to ask for heavy handed governt intervention. Sound economics and "conservative" (in American politics sense of the word) policies can be quite beneficial to the environment, such as allowing nuclear power plants. Just for kicks, I'll list a few examples:

    Problem: Too much sulfur dioxide is getting into the atmosphere.
    Leftist environmentalist solution: Require installation of scrubbers on powerplants when they are upgraded.
    What happens?: Powerplants don't upgrade their powerplants. Those that do upgrade then burn cheaper&dirtier coal leaving net pollution even worse.

    Conservative environmentalist solution: Implement pollution trading credits.
    What happens?: Pollution reduced in the most cost effective way.

    Problem: Power production is heavilly dependent on on fossil fuels... long term issue of global warming.
    Leftist environmentalist solution: Subsidize wind, solar, geothermal. Campaign against nuclear, hydropower dams, etc...
    What happens?: Power prices go up because wind, solar, and geothermal is massively expensive. Also, these alternative energy sources can't produce enough electricity and today we are more reliant on coal than we have been before.

    Conservative environmentalist solution: Implement a modest carbon tax and let the market sort the problem out.
    What happens?: Unclear because it hasn't been tried! Theory would predict a slow shift towards nuclear, and low carbon emitting technologies.

    Problem: A number of species in the United States are close to extinction.
    Leftist environmentalist solution: Ban all construction/anything ANYWHERE these species are found.
    What happens?: Developers/landowners have huge incentives to follow a policy of "Shoot, Shovel, and Shut-Up" If the federal government finds that a *insertspeciesnamehere* is living on your land, then your land will become worthless. Therefore, if you see a *insertspeciesnamehere* you shoot it, bury it, and don't tell anyone about it. (Don't think this doesn't happen.)

    Conservative environmentalist solution:
    Pay landowners some fee if *insertspeciesnamehere* is living on their land. They will then have an incentive not to kill it. Also, the government can try to buy the land from the landowner if it is critical habitat for the animal.
    What happens?: Species are protected and society as a WHOLE (not just a few unlucky landowners) is paying the cost of protecting the endagered species. This is a more effective and fair solution.

    1. Re:Economics matters! by dreamer-of-rules · · Score: 1

      Right.. blame it all on the lefties. It's not like they can pass any laws without the approval of the conservatives, and for the last six years, Congress and the President have been satisfying big business and the ultra-conservative right. That big energy bill was all for the benefit of big oil companies which are already making record profits. Whereas the conservatives have decided to say "up yours" to the Kyoto Treaty.

      I agree that the current species-protection laws aren't perfect. They are better than nothing, and can be much improved. Experience helps with that.

      I'll bet that a lot of the loopholes (not all) were added as amendments to the original proposals. That's how politics works, unfortunately. Convince the ultra-rights that we should actually conserve our resources for our grand-children, and there's have the battle. There's hope! My parents no longer think recycling is a pagan-hippie thing as of last year, though they still think that the Rapture will come in their lifetime, so why conserve.

      --
      Everyone is entitled to his own opinions, but not his own facts.
    2. Re:Economics matters! by otis+wildflower · · Score: 1

      Whereas the conservatives have decided to say "up yours" to the Kyoto Treaty.

      Erm, Kyoto was bullshit from day one, that's indisputable fact. How many signatories have ever satisfied its requirements? Also, any agreement that doesn't cover China or other 'developing economies' is a total nonstarter.

      A true market-style population based international carbon credit scheme makes a lot more sense.


      I agree that the current species-protection laws aren't perfect. They are better than nothing, and can be much improved.

      Bullshit!

      They're _not_ better than nothing.

      Convince the ultra-rights that we should actually conserve our resources for our grand-children, and there's have the battle.

      Oh those nuts don't give a damn, they're eagerly awaiting the Rapture and are stoking the Iranian nutjobs to bring Armageddon. There are fair and rational free-market arguments for conservation, the oldest being 'waste not want not'. Of course the duckspeakers on the left would never want to give subsidies to actually pay the expensive costs of making "big corporations" able to conserve and increase profits at the same time, and the duckspeakers on the right won't invest in conservation that has long-term profitability since it doesn't guarantee short-term "shareholder value".

  118. Something funny by pHatidic · · Score: 1

    Did anyone else notice the submitter's name was Heywood J. Blaume?

  119. Useful ad hom by peacefinder · · Score: 1

    Well, that's true.

    But the fellow in TFA is playing on his name and background to lend his message credibility. He's making an ad hominem appeal to credibility, as it were. Inasmuch as that is so, it's appropriate for others to question if his background as a Greenpeace founder is still relevant to this discussion, or if it really means as much as it tries to imply. In this case, an ad hominem riposte is a completely appropriate way to counter that part of TFA's message... other parts of TFA's message may be addressed separately.

    (That said, I'm inclined to agree that careful use of nuclear power is looking like a good idea these days.)

    --
    With reasonable men I will reason; with humane men I will plead; but to tyrants I will give no quarter. -- William Lloyd
  120. Misleading headline by gorbachev · · Score: 1

    The headline should say: "An environmentalist coming around to nuclear power".

    Other environmentalists are not quite siding with Mr. Moore, and are in fact quite adamant about it:

    http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/12.03/moore.htm l

    --
    In Soviet Russia, I ruled you
  121. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  122. Actually safety technology HAS improved by fortinbras47 · · Score: 3, Informative
    You need to read about a pebble bed reactor. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pebble_bed_reactor or http://web.mit.edu/pebble-bed/ (if you don't trust wikipedia :P) Pebble bed reactors can be designed so that it is impossible for it to meltdown.

    Qouting Wikipedia: The primary advantage of a pebble bed reactor is that it can be designed to be inherently safe. As the reactor gets hotter, the rate of neutron capture by 238U increases, reducing the number of neutrons available to cause nuclear fission.

    1. Re:Actually safety technology HAS improved by MountainLogic · · Score: 1

      PBR are the biggest waste creators

  123. mod article troll by sentientbrendan · · Score: 2, Interesting

    As many have pointed out, while Moore may once have been with greenpeace, he is no longer any sort of environmentalist. Currently he's working for the timber lobby among others and using his former title as founder of greenpeace to dupe people into thinking that he represents the environmentalist movement. A quick search for "Patrick Moore timber" on google will give you the real story.

    That said, I personally agree that nuclear power is the best option in most places in the world. It is certainly *not* the perfect option, but the technology has slowly but steadily improved over time, whereas the alternative, fossil fuels, have become more expensive and not a whole lot cleaner.

    Solar power has also improved greatly in efficiency over the years, but solar power is only viable in certain places. The same could be said of wind, geo thermal, and hydro power. They are great options where available... but nuclear power represents the only general purpose replacement for hydrocarbons.

    My state, Washington, is run almost entirely on hydro power, which provides us with cheap and reliable power. However, even with the large number of damable rivers, there's still excess need for power, which is split pretty evenly between coal and nuclear power. The thing is, that while nuclear is more environmentally friendly, and doesn't rise in cost with increasing fossil fuel prices, it still comes with its own problems. Additionally, cleaning up the hanford nuclear site has been a nightmare, especially for the people downwind... and the federal government has been remarkably slow to clean up the mess they made. This has done a lot to sour public perception of nuclear technology.

    If you are interested in nuclear power, hanford is important to consider. The site was of course used for developing weapons (enriching uranium specifically I believe...), but there's a lot to be learned from the cleanup effort... specifically, that it goes very slowly, and that the federal government pinches every dime they can in the effort. I think that the estimated end of the cleanup is sometime in 2030, not counting further delays... Considering that other messes are likely to happen with widespread enough nuclear power, no matter how careful we are, the slowness of federal cleanup efforts could really become a problem.

  124. I worked at a nuclear plant... by gansch · · Score: 1

    And I can tell you that not only was electricity cheaper (roughly half of what I pay now two hours away), but the plant was extremely well-guarded. In addition to the actual plant design (I witnessed a test jet crash into a half-size model that didn't even crack the walls), security is strict on the ground, in thr air, and on the water. It took two badges and two forms of id to get into the place. Our worst problem was dealing with sea lions that decided our cooling tubes were the place to catch fish.

  125. Thank you Will Wright by silvermorph · · Score: 1

    I can't help but think that if he'd played Sim City he would have arrived at this conclusion a lot earlier . . .

  126. ad hominem by ndansmith · · Score: 1

    Driessen's occupation and beliefs are irrelevant. He certainly is idealistic in his vision that corporations will solve all the world's problems. However, his argumentation against green policies is very compelling, and until you actually read his work, you may want to reserve judgement.

  127. That's no myth... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I for a fact remember my father had a mimeographed copy of an official-looking document from the CIA regarding the coming ice age. The date was sometime in the 1970s.

    I remember asking him about it when I found it in the garage in the late 70s.

    I have no idea where it came from, but he had access to weird stuff from working with Military Air Command via the airline industry.

  128. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by TheKidWho · · Score: 1

    Don't mean to sound rude, but are you stupid?

    Nuclear Fuel can easily be reused many many many times.

    That stuff you call waste is perfectly good fuel.

    PS what do you do with the thousands of tons of CO2 and other such things that are released from coal plants?

    Yucca Mountain vs Thousands of tons of junk and CO2 into the atmosphere

    You choose.

  129. Re:Your Rush Limbaugh inspired rant by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wow. You read the article in under 4 minutes. Good for you. You might want to know that the author of the article is a representative for the industry he is supporting. His job or role 30 years ago is not at all in line with what he does today. Today he makes money by promoting what you say he came around on. Nah. He is just a whore today. Like you. And your crackpot, non-scientifically supported "theory" about how Global Climate Change must be a myth because it is bad for industry and the neo-conservative movement told me so (also told me invading Iraq GOOD GOOD GOOD). Yep, you the man, Davey in Alabamba. You. The. Man.

    I know they stopped teaching people to think for themselves, but you don't have to make yourself their leader.

  130. More climate hysteria by amightywind · · Score: 1

    It is absolutely not refutable that change is occuring. What is refuta ble is whether or not it is because of a natural cycle, or because of man-made change.

    Climate is continuously variable, yes. It has always been like that. There are very many components: variablity in solar output, orbital obliquity cycles, volcanic, biogenic, and man-made components.

    But the thing is, it does not matter what the cause is. If the cycle continues it will certainly, without a doubt, lead to the death of us as a civilization, whether we were the cause or not.

    Why is that? Life has endured unfathomable climate change over 3.5Gyr. Hominids have endured great change in the past 5 million. Since the ice ages did not kill homo sapiens in the past 100,000 years, why do you think slight warming should? The climate has been warming for 12,000 years during which we have had the rise of civilization. Your argument is completely hollow. Change is good. Here in Minnesota I look forward to milder winters and a longer growing season.

    Hence the concern. It doesn't matter if we are the root cause or not, we're the only species on the planet with the capability to reduce and possibly reverse the cycle.

    Seems to me that plants have the greatest effect on atmospheric composition. You are overstating again.

    --
    an ill wind that blows no good
    1. Re:More climate hysteria by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Change is good. Here in Minnesota I look forward to milder winters and a longer growing season.

      It'll become your problem when half of the state of New Jersey moves to Minnesota because NJ is underwater. And we are bringing Tony Soprano with us. I hope you like calzones and AK47s.

    2. Re:More climate hysteria by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1
      Change is good. Here in Minnesota I look forward to milder winters and a longer growing season.

      ...Assuming you still get enough consistent rain to have a viable growing season.

  131. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by langelgjm · · Score: 1

    You can sell nuclear energy to me when you can answer the question "What do we do with 48 tons of nuclear waste generated per year per plant"?

    RTFA. He specifically addresses the issue of waste. And in case you don't want to read the article, here is what he has to say (addressing common myths about nuclear power):

    Nuclear waste will be dangerous for thousands of years. Within 40 years, used fuel has less than one-thousandth of the radioactivity it had when it was removed from the reactor. And it is incorrect to call it waste, because 95 percent of the potential energy is still contained in the used fuel after the first cycle. Now that the United States has removed the ban on recycling used fuel, it will be possible to use that energy and to greatly reduce the amount of waste that needs treatment and disposal. Last month, Japan joined France, Britain and Russia in the nuclear-fuel-recycling business. The United States will not be far behind.

    --
    "Anyone who [rips a CD] is probably engaging in copyright infringement." - David O. Carson
  132. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by tsm_sf · · Score: 1

    The problem is time. Radioactive material is radioactive--it decays into stable elements over time. The most radioactive elements will have decayed in less than a thousand years. Nothing is perfectly safe--crossing the street is a greater hazard to you than Yucca mountain will be to anyone. More on topic, spewing radioactive material into the air is probably a tad less safe than depositing it underground, too. And where do you think we get more stable forms of uranium in the first place? It's been in the ground all over the world for a lot longer than 100,000 years.

    Pan to the high school science teacher shedding a single tear.

    --
    Literalism isn't a form of humor, it's you being irritating.
  133. And this addresses? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And how does this address:

    1) The limited nature of fissionable material?
    2) The waste product?

  134. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by splante · · Score: 5, Informative
    Hmm, because this says:
    High energy means a small volume of used fuel Every 12-24 months, U.S. plants are shut down and the oldest fuel assemblies are removed and replaced. All of the country's nuclear power plants together produce about 2,000 metric tons of used fuel annually. To put this in perspective, all the used fuel produced to date by the U.S. nuclear energy industry in more than 40 years of operation--some 40,000 metric tons--would cover an area the size of a football field to a depth of about five yards, if the fuel assemblies were stacked side by side and laid end to end.
    And anyway, the only reason the only solution the industry has right now is because Carter banned reprocessing of the used fuel.

    If we'd just get them going, Department of Energy laboratories could pretty much eliminate the problem, but anytime someone proposes doing that, who do you think blocks it? But then, if you let them create a way to eliminate the waste, you couldn't block nuclear plants by complaining there's nothing to do with the waste.

  135. But you know.. by Belial6 · · Score: 1

    But you know that our usage will go up. You can expect the average household to use 10x as much power by the time we cap our useage. That means that we will only have ~100,000 years. We must conserve now! Think of the children that are born 99,950 years from now! What are we going to leave to them!?!?!?

  136. Parent Post is Ad Hominem Attack & Blatantly f by fortinbras47 · · Score: 2, Informative
    The parent post asserts that Driessen is a paid oil industry lobbyist. NOWHERE in the Motherjones article does it say that. NOWHERE.

    The parent posts asserts that Driissen promotes junk science. Again, NOWHERE in the Motherjones article does it say that. NOWHERE.

    All the article says is that Driessen is a global warming skeptic, is critical of the environmentalist movement, and participants in events put on by conservative think tanks. It's hard to find anything nefarious or evil in that.

    Motherjones is a magazine of the political far left, but even it is honest enough not to say the factually incorrect statements svejk is attributing to it.

  137. Water vapor is the main culprit in global warming by Gary+Destruction · · Score: 1

    Water Vapor is the main culprit to global warming, not CO2. The site mentions how the DOE has omitted water vapor as a greenhouse gas.

  138. GOD BLESS AMERICA!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "In short, if there isn't a direct payoff to me, then fuck it."

    That is it right there, a concise summation of how America is destroying the world.

  139. talk about ego by c6gunner · · Score: 1
    Thirty years on, my views have changed, and the rest of the environmental movement needs to update its views, too, because nuclear energy may just be the energy source that can save our planet from another possible disaster: catastrophic climate change.'"
    So 30 years ago, he was right and all the capitalist pigs were just trying to keep him down and poison the environment. Today, he's right, and the rest of the environmentalist movement "needs to update it's views".

    Typical.
  140. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by gorbachev · · Score: 1

    "Yucca Mountain vs Thousands of tons of junk and CO2 into the atmosphere"

    It won't be (just) a Yucca Mountain.

    It'll be some equivalent of a woodshed hidden deep inside some developing country, whose leaders are too corrupt or stupid to not care about what happens to people living in the woodshed.

    It's ok, though. It's Not Our Problem (tm).

    --
    In Soviet Russia, I ruled you
  141. People who make assumptions aren't too bright by DavidinAla · · Score: 1

    First, I read the article when it first came out Sunday, you idiot. Second, to assume that I'm a conservative (or Rush Limbaugh fan) is even more stupid. I'm neither.

    David

    1. Re:People who make assumptions aren't too bright by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I noticed you posted your drivel early. You set it up for the reaction you got. Ha ha ha. I also noticed you have been rated down since my post. Ho ho ho. Okay, so maybe you are misrepresenting your actual views in your post. Good for you. Assuming you are not, you have much too much in common with Rush Limbaugh and the neo-conservative dreck.

      I wish you would admit your ignorance of the article's author's current profession. You know, so we would all be informed that you commented from an uninformed position.

  142. Re: YARR KILLING IS MANLY!! by moultano · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Why is an owl more important than a logger's family?
    It is most likely very easy for the logger to find other work.
    Why is old-growth forest more important than a parking lot? ... Redwood forest? That shit would look really good as a new deck.
    Old growth forests are beautiful. They have the capacity to inspire. They smell like you wouldn't believe. There are other places much less valuable to society to build your parking lot, or to get the wood for your deck. Would you knock down St. Peter's to build a parking lot?
    Why are we worried about dolphins?
    A lot of people spend money to go on boat tours for the chance of seeing dolphins in the wild. This happens just about everywhere in the pacific that cruise ships stop. That should give you some indication that they valuable to society in general.
    Poverty in Africa? Fuck them! We have poverty in America.
    Apparantly you've never heard of diminishing returns. An investment in Africa could fulfill basic needs for an order of magnitude more people than the same investment in America. Some of us don't subscribe to the belief that American lives are worth more than others.
    Cows? Good for boots and steaks; and milk's ok too.
    I eat cow too, and go hiking in boots made of cow.

    In the rest of your points you seem to want to destroy things without getting anything useful out of them, so I'm going to assume you aren't trying to go anywhere with those.
  143. "It's the waste, stupid." by alex_guy_CA · · Score: 1

    Being an anti global warming guy, I follow these issues very closely. I would love to also embrace nuclear power, just to have something besides fossil fuels and their attendant emissions. And then, every time I hear read a new article, I am let down all over again, because the waste issue has not been dealt with in a new way since the beginning. Until we have a waste free nuke plant, or a can of "Nuke away" (remember Mork and Mindy?) then we really have a bad bad idea.

    1. Re:"It's the waste, stupid." by amliebsch · · Score: 1

      I disagree. The waste problem may not have any easy solutions, but it is definitely a manageable problem. There are several practical ways to dispose of it in a safe manner. The problem is you're judging nuclear power against a utopian ideal - the perfect power source which emits nothing anywhere! - instead of our present solutions - giant furnaces burning mind-boggling amounts of coal and belching huge quantities of greenhouse gasses, particulate matter, and radiactive particles into the atmosphere.

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    2. Re:"It's the waste, stupid." by chivo243 · · Score: 1

      Put it in a rocket and shoot it towards the sun.... the radiation from the sun would surely burn it up no? Way before it ever got to the sun... In a perfect space launch world this might hold water.... but not on this planet, now.... no way, but we can dream....

      --
      Sig Hansen?
  144. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    you also need to take into account concentration of radioactive material.

  145. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by TheKidWho · · Score: 1

    Or maybe just maybe the fuel could go into a breeder reactor and be umm REUSED?

  146. the problem is human pscyhology by circletimessquare · · Score: 2, Insightful

    it matters scientifically what the cause is in order to find the right antidote, that's true. but psychologically, the blame game is used to defer responsibility

    we all have the responsibility to put our hand on the global thermostat and start twiddling. whether its natural or unnatural that the earth is warming is besides the point. its warming. so lets fix that. it might be natural that the earth is warming up, but we like our ecosystems the way they are, so we're going to fight it. which means that mankind is probably going to preserve the earth's global temperature the way it is from 1500-2000 forever, even if naturally it would waver about, hot and cold. and so what?

    an asteroid heading towards earth is natural too. but that's not an argument for not deflecting the thing. same with global warming: who cares if its natural or unnatural. it's more important that it's bad, and that we need to fix it. we can apportion cost and blame later. the point is to not apportion blame first, and then do nothing about the problem based on that

    if the river is rising because the dam broke, well we better start slinging sand bags. we can find out later if the dam broke because someone dynamited it or it just broke on its own. but it does no good to say "that psycho fred dynamited the dam, so he should fix it!" and then sit back and watch our houses flood

    in other words: ok, there's global warming. why? natural processes? or the industrial revolution? well, we know that if we seed dead areas of the ocean with iron, we cause phytoplankton blooms that sequester tons of CO2. so we should do that, regardless of why the world is warming. get it?

    of course it still matters why, but we can start fixing the problem, since we all agree there is a problem, before we figure out why we have a problem. this is just being prudent, and having a set of priorities: fix the problem first, apportion blame later. not apportion blame first, and defer responsibility based on that

    simple common sense

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:the problem is human pscyhology by Braino420 · · Score: 1

      an asteroid heading towards earth is natural too. but that's not an argument for not deflecting the thing. same with global warming: who cares if its natural or unnatural. it's more important that it's bad, and that we need to fix it. we can apportion cost and blame later. the point is to not apportion blame first, and then do nothing about the problem based on that

      Common sense tells me the best way to solve a problem is to know its cause. No one is stopping you from seeding dead areas of the ocean with iron. It sounds like a very noble plan. Nuclear power plants? I'm all for it. But when you begin to speak Kyoto nonsense (I'm not talking about you inparticular), it looks like it's getting a little too political.

      Drastic measures need to hold off for now. This includes the destruction of the US' economy; which would also prevent us from being able to spend money on research such as this. Sometimes I just think the greenies want us to live in a world with no modern machinery and only vegitables on the menu. Sorry, I don't have what it takes (and vegitables feel pain too!).

      It just seems to me this planet has been through a little more than a 3 degree change per year. Look for yourselves, it's on those pretty color-coded charts. I have this faint memory of hearing something about an iceage before the 'industrial revolution', must have been from the lack of man-made pollution that warmed the place up!

      Forgive me if I'm a bit bitter, but I'm really very tired of weeding through bullshit research to find information from someone who doesn't have an agenda to push.

      --
      They call me the wookie man, I guess that's what I am
  147. Stop the propaganda by LibrePensador · · Score: 1
    Nuclear power is not safe!

    Please go tell how safe it is to the thousands of people affected by the Chernobyl accident. Up to 40% of Europe's land mass and population were affected by the radioactive cloud produced by that disaster and much of this land is still contaminated with high levels of cancer among children, land that you can't grow shit on, and animals that you cannot sell and need to be quarantined.

    El Pais is Spain's most prominent newspaper, the equivalent of the Nytimes or the Washingtonpost. Check this out

    :

    --
    Pragmatism as an ideology is not particularly pragmatic in the long term. Keep it in mind when you dismiss Free Software
    1. Re:Stop the propaganda by bnenning · · Score: 3, Informative

      Nuclear power is not safe!

      Crossing the street is not safe. But often the benefits outweigh the risks.

      Please go tell how safe it is to the thousands of people affected by the Chernobyl accident.

      Chernobyl was a disaster for many reasons, most of which have no relevance to modern nuclear plants not run by Communist dictatorships. It is also instructive to look at the number of people killed in coal mining accidents.

      --
      How to solve most of our problems: 1.Lots of nuclear plants. 2.Cure aging.
    2. Re:Stop the propaganda by chivo243 · · Score: 1

      What if there were a time machine, that saved you LOTS of time, enabled you to travel places 100's of times faster than previously known, but IT had a draw back, there were many deaths in using this new "time machine". Later it becomes discovered that it is also harming the environment. It's already in use, get the hell out of your CAR!!!

      --
      Sig Hansen?
  148. what to do with the nuclear waste? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    The problem with nuclear power isn't accidents. Obviously there have been some, but it's a design issue that can be worked out. The real problem is nuclear waste disposal. If all the power plants converted to nuclear power, where would we store all the nuclear waste? Do you want it "disposed of" in your state? Yucca Mountain has been under study since 1978 and to this day it's still under study. Nevada doesn't want radioactive waste stored there, so it's been stalled many many times, with no end in sight as far as Nevada is concerned.
    [ from http://hyperphysics.phy-astr.gsu.edu/hbase/nucene/ nucprob.html#c3 ]
    The nuclear fission of uranium-235 produces large quantities of intermediate mass radioisotopes. The mass distribution of these radioisotopes peaks at about mass numbers 95 and 137 , and most of them are radioactive. The most dangerous for environmental release are probably cesium and strontium because of their intermediate half-lives and propensity for reconcentration in the food chain.

    When spent fuel assemblies are removed from nuclear reactors, they are transported to "swimming pool" storage facilities to dissipate the heat of decay of short-lived isotopes as well as for isolation from the environment. The long term disposal of these wastes remains a major problem. It was assumed that these wastes would be encased in glass and placed in geologic disposal sites in underground salt domes. The site at Yucca Mountain was chosen as a first site, but both technical and political problems have thus far blocked its implementation.

    Nuclear power isn't the answer. We need to find a cleaner and safer method of producing power.
  149. Love Canal by Aqua+OS+X · · Score: 1

    As someone who has also been an active environmentalist for the better part of his live, I would say that the main issue revolving nuclear power revolves around the NIMBY movement, and more importantly, the related waste storage / transportation concerns. Nuclear power is far from a cradle to cradle solution.

    First and foremost, there is the issue of building a plant. Most people do not want a nuclear power plants anywhere near their home... if only for the reason that their very existence devalues one's property considerably.

    Yet, from an environmental perspective, the issue is not really the fuel in the plant... it's the waste outside of the plant. First their is the issue of limited storage in spent fuel rod pools. Temporary (and questionable) storage solutions are being applied, but space is limited and this stuff needs to be shipped someplace (Yucka Mountain). Then there is the issue of placing spent fuel rods on rail cars traveling through major US cities. We've yet to develop a safe secure method of transportation.

    Moreover, there is also the issue of the safety of depleted fuels. Several peer reviewed medical and scientific journals have revealed the dangers of depleted fuels.

    --
    "Things are more moderner than before- bigger, and yet smaller- it's computers-- San Dimas High School football RULES!"
    1. Re:Love Canal by ipfwadm · · Score: 1

      Most people do not want a nuclear power plants anywhere near their home... if only for the reason that their very existence devalues one's property considerably.

      But the only reason it devalues one's property considerably is because most people do not want a nuclear power plant anywhere near their home. So if the only reason for concern is property value then it wouldn't be a concern if the cycle could be broken. However, I think most people have other concerns (such as safety), be they valid or not.

    2. Re:Love Canal by MindStalker · · Score: 1

      I'm sure a nuclear plant would devalue your property much less than a coal plant. So a rundown coal plant would be a great site. As well they are building coal plants currently, without much problem, so this obviously can't be as huge of a factor as you make it.

  150. nuclear power means wealth concentration by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This renewed push from industry shills is expected and predicted. It is also conveniently when their partners, the oil cartel (mostly all the same global billionaires at the top) are rolling in oil profits, yet look around, do you see any of the alternative design cars being produced in mass quantities? Nope, they keep needing "more studies". Even the hybrids are selling so well they are taken aback, because at the top levels they "didn't think" there weas a market for them. REALLY People have been begging for all electrics and hybrids for years and years, finally a TRICKLE get produced and they sold out.

        There is nothing magical about nuclear power, it *doesn't generate electricity*, steam turbines generate electricity when you throw heat at them. Nuclear fission is a way to generate a lot of heat in a concentrated area. But it is just "heat" and MAN it also concentrates a lot of the nastiest most dangerous and poisonous stuff ever conceived of..

        Heat we have plenty of, the planet is awash in heat sources. We have huge hot areas, we have deep geothermal, we have mid level geothermal, we HAVE heat just going begging. And it DOESN'T pollute, it is there already, we don't have to do anything beyond collecting it and using it to generate some useful electricty with it.

    THEY DON'T WANT YOU TO EVEN THINK ABOUT THAT

      We have wind, so much wind all over that one might think the planet earth was covered in "wind"-oh wait, it IS. We have sunshine, we have FUSION POWER already, it is right there, go outside, look, FUSION POWER, it shines down on us all over.

    What nuclear power really means is that the concentrated humongous gobs of wealth currently in the hands of the electric cartels will stay there.

        Follow the money! This is like any number of other realities, follow the dang money! The past few years have shown tremendous strides in solar PV and wind generated power, a DECENTRALIZED CARTEL BUSTING way to generate electricity that opens up a lot more people to electric generational facility ownership on the small commercial scale, if not just the personal scale. Good press after good press after scientific breakthrough, undeniable and in spite of only token amounts put towards it compared to nukes over the decades, despite the electric "OPEC" cartel doing everything they could to try and make it not happen. The electric cartel lobbied long and hard to do everything they could to squash solar and wind, they had to be LEGISLATED into accepting "outsiders" power into "their" so called grid by the smaller scale commercial wind developers, they DIDN'T want the competition.

    I will say that again, they DIDN'T WANT THE COMPETITION. They will spend, say and do anything they can to try and squash the competiton, including mass astroturfing and shilling. The alternatives scare the socks off of the entrenched ELECTRIC-OPEC cartel, they are seeing that people have finally figured out a way to break their century old monopoly, and they don't like that!

    They are pushing nukes-not because it is better, it is not, the true costs of nukes are around three times what they claim if you add in minining and decommssioning, and that leaves out the potential for some huge catstrophes- but because it keeps YOUR money and your children's money and your grandchildren's money in THEIR pockets-forever and a day.

    We are *this close* to really having much cleaner and efficient and powerful and cheaper decentralized energy all over the planet, I mean wicked close, it is staring us in the face, *please* don't blow this chance and go back to the old ways of turning billionaires into multibillionaires based on junk economic science, mass nasty pollution and mass propoganda efforts. We have real science, clean science, ways to do things that benefit the all, not just the entrenched and powerful few.

    1. Re:nuclear power means wealth concentration by Hartree · · Score: 1

      nuclear power means wealth concentration

      My impression of at least part of the antinuclear movement was that this and centralization in general was the larger reason for their opposition. The waste and safety issue was just a convenient way to sell a more general decentralization philosophy.

      For example, when asked what he would feel about a truly cheap clean source of energy, Amory Lovins (a respected figure in the antinuclear movement) said that it would be a disaster.

      Why? Because concentrated centralized sources of power give humanity the ability to wreak more havoc on nature. He felt that small diffuse sources of power would limit mankind's ability to damage the environment.

      Now, that's a viewpoint that can reasonably be argued for. I disagree with it rather strongly. *shrug* People disagree about lots of things.

      What I found disengenuous was using the waste issue and the safety issue, which are both greatly exagerated, as a stalking horse to sell a wider philosophy which the audience was largely unaware of.

      Some religious groups use similar tactics of using one issue to sell a broader agenda. An example would be using the gay marriage issue in order to get candidates into office that would then push for a broad repeal of separation of church and state.

  151. Whitewashing by Treacle+Treatment · · Score: 1

    Despite missing the fire fighting reference I still maintain that Chernobyl deaths were for the most part precipitated by a government bent on hiding the problem rather than looking out for it's citizens. Using your logic ship travel would be considerably unsafe because of the Titanic. Pointing out that Chernobyl was a failure of POLITICS rather than technology is not whitewashing.

    --
    TT
  152. We won't be able to Global Warm soon anyway... by Em+Adespoton · · Score: 1

    Of course, we don't really have to worry about burning fossil fuels, as it appears they'll all be gone within 50 years anyway :)

  153. Re:Water vapor is the main culprit in global warmi by nagora · · Score: 2, Informative
    Water vapour is an important magnifier but it is the rise in CO2 which triggers more evaporation, which increases h2O. The two are part of a vicious circle. As long as CO2, and other "minor" greenhouse gasses are pumped into the atmosphere there is no chance that the water vapour levels will stabilise.

    The whole H2O thing is just a distraction being pushed by big multi-nationals to try and confuse the issue and prevent them being reined.

    TWW

    --
    "Encyclopedia" is to "Wikipedia" what "Library" is to "Some people at a bus stop"
  154. So safe, the things run without a hitch! by RomulusNR · · Score: 2, Informative
    --
    Terrorists can attack freedom, but only Congress can destroy it.
  155. Intermittency not a problem by caviare · · Score: 1

    Patrick Moore says that wind and solar cannot replace coal because of intermittency problems. This is not correct: electric storage is becoming cheaper and more efficient all the time. Check out Vanadium redox batteries: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vanadium_redox_batter y In addition the solar tower generates power continuously because of the re-radiation of energy from the ground under the canopy. http://www.enviromission.com.au/faqs/faqs.htm

  156. Hubris == we understand plutonium by rickst29 · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Here's a delicious quote... not too long, I think, to show in full. From the 2006 edge.org question, "what is your dangerous idea", answer from Jeremy Bernstein:

    "The most dangerous idea I have come across recently is the idea that we understand plutonium. Plutonium is the most complex element in the periodic table. It has six different crystal phases between room temperature and its melting point. It can catch fire spontaneously in the presence of water vapor and if you inhale minuscule amounts you will die of lung cancer. It is the principle element in the "pits" that are the explosive cores of nuclear weapons. In these pits it is alloyed with gallium. No one knows why this works and no one can be sure how stable this alloy is. These pits, in the thousands, are now decades old. What is dangerous is the idea that they have retained their integrity and can be safely stored into the indefinite future."

    No nuclear power station has ever been fully decommissioned successfully. All of human civilization has a history of about 5000 years, and yet we imagine that we can successfully manage this incredibly deadly poison for thousands of years into the future. And, on the basis of barely 60 years, some so-called experts express "confidence" that there won't be enormous disasters, both accidental and intentional, in the future.

    Instead of huge taxpayer subsidies to make more Nukes, and continuing to never really clean them up afterwards, why not spend some research and pricing support $$$ to get solar panels as a standard roofing material on people's houses? (Or, at least stop building and re-roofing houses with black asphalt shingles in hot geographical regions.... an incredibly wasteful practice.)

    1. Re:Hubris == we understand plutonium by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      No nuclear power station has ever been fully decommissioned successfully.
      Prove this statement.
      All of human civilization has a history of about 5000 years, and yet we imagine that we can successfully manage this incredibly deadly poison for thousands of years into the future
      You offer no reason why such a feat would not be possible.
      And, on the basis of barely 60 years, some so-called experts express "confidence" that there won't be enormous disasters, both accidental and intentional, in the future.
      Yes, experts with more experience and knowledge than yourself. Who should we believe, people who actually have knowledge, or you who only has rhetoric.

      Outrage is not a substitute for knowledge and facts.
      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
    2. Re:Hubris == we understand plutonium by gone.fishing · · Score: 1

      I do not know where you got your information from but it is incorrect.

      The nuclear power plant in Elk River, Minnesota was decommissioned and tore down many years ago. There is another builing in it's place now. I'd call that a successful decommisioning wouldn't you?

    3. Re:Hubris == we understand plutonium by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >No nuclear power station has ever been fully decommissioned successfully.

      Incorrect.

      In the United States:
      "Four nuclear power plants have completed the decommissioning process and have had their operating license terminated. These are:
      -- Fort St. Vrain Nuclear Generating Station
      -- Shoreham Nuclear Power Station
      -- CTVR (Pressurized Tube, Heavy Water); and
      -- Pathfinder (Superheat BWR)."
      From:
      http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/fact -sheets/decommissioning.html

      In Canada, Dougles Point Nuclear Power Plant has been fully decommissioned, from personal experience.

  157. Re:Old is New, Even Propaganda by amliebsch · · Score: 1
    It was about nuclear power and gave a number of documented examples about how certain key environmentalists were very pro-nuclear (because it reduces reliance on dams, coal, oil, etc.) until they made some key political alliances and changed their stance.

    It's a long observed phenomenon that even has a name: the Red-Green Alliance. (No, not that Red Green.) It was an easy alliance for the greens to fall into, because opposition to specific development and promotion of sustainability can very easily and quickly morphs into opposition to capitalism and promotion of socialist policy. Throw in an intense desire to modify the behavior of people by force, and an alliance is born.

    --
    If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
  158. Get off the hype by DarkNemesis618 · · Score: 1

    Like it or not, Nuclear power is here to stay...at least until something newer and better comes along. Either way, Nuclear power is an efficient and powerful way to generate quite a bit of electricity. With it, there's no smoke to pollute the air and add more greenhouse gasses to the atmosphere. There are only 2 major waste products. One is steam...okay, that's just water no big deal. The other is the more controversial waste, the nuclear waste, which I don't believe is actually that much, I think it's more hype than anything else. Given some more time, I think the scientific and nuclear community will find a good, clean, efficient way to do away with the nuclear by-product. And if you're concerned with safety, realize this. US Nuclear plants, and probably most around the world have several safeties and failsafes to help prevent any sort of meltdown. And each of those probably have at LEAST one backup, more than likely, more. With all the warnings, indicators, gauges, computers, etc there, the workers know about potential problems well in advance, before they become critical. They use and utilize every method and possibility to keep the plants as safe as physically possible. If they didn't, they wouldn't be in operation. Realize that Homer Simpson doesn't maintain the safety at the plants.

    --
    What's the matter, James? No glib remark? No pithy comeback?
  159. Lots more Uranium to be found. by msevior · · Score: 1

    The Earth's crust is estimated to contain over 30 trillion tonnes of Uranium. To date we've mined 2 million tonnes of this. That's less than one ten millionth of what we've got (compared to about half of all the conventional Oil).

    We've published a study on the web that estimates how much of the remaining Uranium we can effectively extract using current mining and milling technology and current light water reactors by looking at the energy cost of mining vs the energy gain in a reactor.

    The answer? Very conservatively, 300 times more than our current 50 year supply of proven reserves.

    It all here: http://www.nuclearinfo.net/Nuclearpower/WebHomeEne rgyLifecycleOfNuclear_Power

  160. This is a none issue by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Even without running breeder reactors (which I suspect that a president will soon override the JC ban), we have plenty. When some places speak of running out, they are speaking of high-grade veins. There are loads of low-grade sites, and it is easy enough to take from the ocean.
    Even disregarding all that, we can switch to other supplies such as thorium, which is even more abundant. Basically, nuke (fission today, fusion tomorrow) is the way to go combined with alternative.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  161. The big fat liar by koona · · Score: 1

    I'm glad to see the big fat liar is coming around to making points that finaly make sense. The dork is from my home turf and for more than a decade has been nothing other than a sellout and an albatros around our necks.. "Log the rainforest so it will become more systemicaly productive"... Inefingdeed you jerk Glad to see someone else caught on. Anyway yah nuclear, The self dicipline to solve these problems devolves down to a miniscule percentile of the populace in actual practice (I know) so the unwashed must pay. We don't have any more big rivers up here we're willing to mess up with dams so it will have to be Big expensive nuclear plants gentlemen. And yes please do build that wall on the border, the higher the better.

    1. Re:The big fat liar by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      Assuming that "self-discipline" will even solve the problem as posited, you'd have to actually give something up. Something that uses energy. Something like.. broadband..

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
  162. MOD PARENT DOWN by FhnuZoag · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Seriously. Is there a cabal of fanatically anti-GW mods in action, or something?

    Let's dissect this piece by piece.

    Isn't realclimate.org by the guy who fudged his analysis to generate the discredited "hockey-stick" graph of temperature predictions?

    Ad hominem attack. And wrong, because realclimate is a group blog, and the author in question has nothing to do with the hockey stick. And the hockey stick isn't discredited, except in the eyes of a certain small group of people who are often accused of fudging their own maths.

    Finally, its clear that there were concerns,[about a potential new ice age] perhaps quite strong, in the minds of a number of scientists of the time. And yet, the papers of the time present a clear consensus that future climate change could not be predicted with the knowledge then available.

    And then the page goes on to mention that the knowledge then available was in the absence of GW. i.e. scientists were considering that the Earth would be naturally cooling, if there wasn't a GW effect.

    [and present climate knowledge still does not allow reliable predictions]

    This line, or sentiment, isn't present in the article at all. It's a direct fallacy of inserting words into someone else's mouth.

    So are you attempting to say that: because the concern was not unanimous (it never is) and scientists believed further study was warranted (they always say that) that the concern about global cooling was not common among climate researchers? ... If press reports of the 1970s are not to be taken seriously, those of today regarding the nature and origins of climate change should also be viewed with healthy skepticism.

    No. The point being made by the article was that such concerns were not exhibited in peer reviewed journals. Climate change is. Popular press does not equal peer reviewed journals. Hence, a direct argument that the present situation is identical to that of 'global cooling' is false.

    And before some idiot mods this post as troll (like they did earlier to another of mine), can someone please justify precisely what information the parent offers that makes it so 'informative'?

    1. Re:MOD PARENT DOWN by tsm_sf · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Seriously. Is there a cabal of fanatically anti-GW mods in action, or something?

      No, it's just that the fanboy phenomenon isn't limited to Mac vs. PC. It's maddening, but you can't really blame them for not having access to a trustworthy news source. The S/BS ratio in our country sucks ass right now.

      --
      Literalism isn't a form of humor, it's you being irritating.
  163. Culture shock? by amightywind · · Score: 1

    Compared with those of previous millennia, the changes in GSL occurring today are tiny.

    It'll become your problem when half of the state of New Jersey moves to Minnesota because NJ is underwater. And we are bringing Tony Soprano with us. I hope you like calzones and AK47s.

    You goombas won't cause culture shock up here. There is a fair bit of diversity here. You won't scare us with gunplay either. The woods are mayhem during hunting season. People drive around wasted drunk on the logging roads in their pickups shooting anything that moves.

    --
    an ill wind that blows no good
  164. James Lovelock is a much better spokesperson by boutell · · Score: 1

    James Lovelock is an environmentalist and serious scientist who supports nuclear power.

    http://www.ecolo.org/media/articles/articles.in.en glish/love-indep-24-05-04.htm

    Patrick Moore is a paid lobbyist for the logging industry, who used to be an environmentalist a long time ago.

    http://www.fanweb.org/patrick-moore/liar.html

    There's a big difference in credibility. Moore has so little that I'm not sure a quote from him helps the cause any.

    --
    Check out the Apostrophe open-source CMS: http://www.apostrophenow.com/
  165. Yucca Mtn by WesternRed · · Score: 1

    One of the reasons nuclear energy remains so inexpensive is that disposal costs are largely subsidized by the federal government. Once the Yucca Mountain permanent disposal site is up an running, it may be practical to expand the country's nuclear energy program. The various "temporary" storage sites around the country simply do not have the infrastructure to take on more.

  166. Billions starving by the 1980s by Julian+Morrison · · Score: 1

    by the same people who duped us about [...] hundreds of millions of people supposedly dying of hunger from overpopulation in the '70s.

    The thing is, out of all the 1960s doomy predictions, those were the ones that were right. People would have died. There wasn't an error in the calculations - people were saved, in very large numbers, by the "green revolution" of improved hybrid crops and farming techniques.

    Frankenstein foods, intensive agriculture, chemical fertilizers, pesticides and herbicides saved the planet. Ponder, o hippies, the world your "scruples" would have left you in!

    In fact, chances are the world's luddite opposition to GM is holding back as much improvement again.

  167. in 30 years he'll change his mind again ... by Lazy+Jones · · Score: 1
    Nuclear power is neither cheap nor "clean". It was only widely adopted because the lobbyists managed to hide a large part of the cost for building power plants in research budgets and because noone's ever pointing out the problems with finding safe storage for nuclear waste.

    Germany and Sweden have already decided to stop using nuclear power and more countries will follow, so the lobbyists are struggling to find new support and spread FUD everywhere. Don't believe them, there are plenty of perfectly clean, safe and renewable alternatives which won't burden following generations with the dangers of ageing technology and nuclear waste.

    --
    "I love my job, but I hate talking to people like you" (Freddie Mercury)
  168. 3 mile island and Chenobyl by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

    I bet most young slashdotters dont remember or were not born yet when these events took place.

    Nuclear energy is cleaner but certainly not as safe.

    The plant at 3 mile island in Pennsylvania was just 20 minutes from going critical and blowing a cloud of radioactive steam that would have hit northern new jersey and New York City. Pretty scare stuff.

    To this day the land around Chenobyl is abandonded and highly radioactive and is sealed off.

    People today are angry about the radiation from coal powerplants and more than happy to mention they are more environmentally harmful than nuclear power but they are safe.

    That is something to consider

    1. Re:3 mile island and Chenobyl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Coal plants are safe? I guess it is if you don't get their acid rain and you don't count coal mine fatalities. Why is it that 3 Mile Island was a national disaster even though nobody was hurt, but a coal mine accident that kills 100 men is forgotten a couple weeks later?

      Even Chernobyl, which was obviously a disaster, probably resulted in no more people dead or injured than if it was a coal plant. And that land around Chernobyl? No people live there, but the plant and animal life is no doubt better off than they would be if humans still inhabited the area.

      dom

  169. My Bad by Bill,+Shooter+of+Bul · · Score: 1

    * removes foot from mount*
    This is the problem with slashdot. I took some basic classes in nuclear enegineering. I read scientific magazines. The parent of my reply stated a that there were improvements without mentioning what they were. I thought about the issue for two seconds, couldn't think of any improvements and replied. I suppose I could have asked if anyone had rather than just stating that there weren't, but I was in the middle of cooking so I just hit submit. Next time, I'll just ask. I do remeber reading about pebble reactors now that I think about it.

    --
    Well.. maybe. Or Maybe not. But Definitely not sort of.
    1. Re:My Bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "* removes foot from mount*"
      I'm sure your horse appreciates it, too :)

  170. Patrick Moore not liked by the Enviromentalists by rashanon · · Score: 1

    Im not sure if you guys have touched base with this one, but Patrick is now a spokeman for the Lumber Industry. Im not saying he is wrong or right, actually i agree with him thats we need to re-examine nuclear, but Patrick is not liked by many of his past associates. I suppose as time passes, we all need to look twice at the soapboxes we stand on.

  171. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Wehesheit · · Score: 1

    or you could answer his question as to what you'd prefer. Thousands of tonnes per year spewed right into the air or thousands of tonnes stuck in a hole somewhere.

    --
    This P.I.G. will walk on the water, This P.I.G. will walk on the sea, This P.I.G. will walk whereever he wants.
  172. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If 1000 years from now, society has completly reverted to some pre-historic time, why should we care?

  173. Serious, simple question. by bill_kress · · Score: 1

    Have the actions of the industry in this country led anyone to believe that they could be trusted with any significant responsibility?

    Let's see--Fishing?
    Well, apparently we have fished out most of the streams and oceans of many of the breeds of fish that we like. "Fish and Chips" fish has changed repeatedly because we keep destroying populations. We discovered huge quantities of "Orange Rufe" and immediately set upon it... Turns out it's amazingly long-lived and slow to breed. Whoops? Who knew (or could be bothered to check)?

    How about Forests?
    Does anyone here doubt that we would be completely out of old-growth forests if we didn't have regulations? It's a fact that we would. They have tried to cut the last few remaining forests again and again. Sure, sustainable foresting may work, I have no doubt, but if so, why do they continue to try for our last few acres of old-growth???

    Hmm, how about telephone lines?
    We deregulated AT&T, now they are trying to set tiered service charges on the net because they see google making money. Why don't they do the same thing with phones, as a company makes more phone calls they should start paying to receive calls in a timely manner?

    Does everyone trust industry with our IP?
    Is Disney going to place Mickey and Winnie the Pooh in the public domain as per our original agreement, or are they going to keep paying to have the agreement re-written to suit their income requirements? Can record companies be trusted to write our copyright laws?

    Then (and here's the question) why the HELL would you want to, in any way, trust industry with Nuclear energy??? I don't contend that it CAN be safe, but honestly, will it?

    And what's the real advantage? Like cupboard space, if you provide more, it'll get used and more will be required.

    I'm not saying there is a simple solution--but actually there may be one. What is wrong with us moving towards small, local energy creation? I'm not saying solar panels, water power, geo-thermal, natural gas, wind power or conservation alone will solve the problem, but maybe some combination thereof (combined with increasing production efficiency) will.

    Ask someone who lives in an energy co-op area how they like their prices, generally they are very reasonable without investors skimming all the profits.

    Chances are, we could be well on our way to this if it wasn't for the energy industrialists trying to protect their profits. That is the ONE "advantage" to nuclear energy--it can be centralized, controlled and monopolized by industrialists.

    Personally, I don't see anything wrong with it technically, but why don't we think before giving yet another responsibility to those who are driven by nothing but financial interests?

  174. Oh blah by Julian+Morrison · · Score: 2, Funny

    Says the species who lives everywhere from the Arctic to the Sahara: "three degrees of warming will kill our civilization".

    And if you bought that one, I have some seafront land in Kansas going cheap...

  175. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by gorbachev · · Score: 0, Troll

    Sure.

    I've got a question for you as well. Here goes:

    Did you stop beating your wife yet? Yes or no.

    --
    In Soviet Russia, I ruled you
  176. Let's compare apples to apples. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let's make a fair comparison on the disposal of waste.

    Given the amount of coal and natural gas burning stations that spew tons of waste into the air (including lots of radioactive stuff from coal) let's crush spent nuke fuel into a fine powder, built a really big stack, and blow it high into the air.

    What? Don't like that idea? Sure. Neither do I. So to make it fair the other way I say require a coal/gas plant to package all emissions (including all CO2) into some form of containment and disposal system. What? Too expensive? Sheesh. Make up your bloody mind.

  177. Thorium by DRAGONWEEZEL · · Score: 1

    I haven't seen any thorium veins walking around, but I do know that it can be "enriched" by a lvl 300 enchanter.

    Enchanted Thorium is very expensive...

    --
    How much is your data worth? Back it up now.
  178. wrong, twice by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    1. you can't break these things easily. they don't crumble. they are rather durable

    2. even if you did, you have a broken pebble. ok, fine. you remove it from the system. you haven't released any more radioactivity than was already at work in the system, and you haven't gotten anywhere near a meltdown or any other such scary scenario from pre-pebble bed reactor days. that's the whole point. a bunch of pebbles by nature of its essential design is immune to runaway chain reactions

    it's superior technology. it's progress. it's safer, by orders of magnitude

    it's not some far out wacky concept that needs deep-level analysis to see the superiority. a bunch of small spheres can immediately be appreciated as superior in terms of durability and resistance to chain reactions. no PhD in nuclear physics is needed to appreciate the superiority of this technology over something dependent upon graphite rods and active human intervention to prevent bad things from happening. the only thing you need to appreciate is the concept of designing safety into the basic fundamental units of operation.

    it's like this: babies have been found to strangle themselves in a crib's bars. does that mean you stop using cribs? no. does that mean you have someone monitoring the baby at all times to make sure they are not stuck in the bars? no. what you do is you design a crib from the ground up where the bars are spaced wider. now you can put your kid in a crib, and rest assured the baby can't strangle themselves, period

    once you appreciate the concept of designing safety into the fundamental functionality of a system, you appreciate the superiority of pebble bed reactors

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:wrong, twice by HermanAB · · Score: 1

      The crumbling of the pebbles is a very real problem. It is not as simple as you are trying to make it out.

      --
      Oh well, what the hell...
  179. The weather we want by hackwrench · · Score: 1

    The thing is, nobody is going after the weather we want. Instead of taking our lives into our own hands, we have been throwing ourselves at the mercy of "nature".

  180. Re: Place for nuclear waste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's called "The Ocean"

  181. As an environmentalist myself... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    As an environmentalist, I have always supported nuclear power. However, to suggest that global warming isn't taking place or that it is another "crackpot" idea of the environmentalist movement is simply flat out wrong.

    Then as an environmentalist, you know that no one is arguing over whether or not the mean global temperature has increased in the last X number of years. The argument is over whether or not human activity is the cause of it. There is also some disagreement over what effects the increase in global temperatures will have/are having. For instance, global warming crackpots like to blame our recent spat of hurricanes on global warming. World renowned professor of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University, Dr. William Gray says, and I quote:

    I mean, there's almost an equation you can write the degree to which you believe global warming is causing major hurricanes to increase is inversely proportional to your knowledge about these storms.

    ...

    You know, most of meteorological research is funded by the federal government. And boy, if you want to get federal funding, you better not come out and say human-induced global warming is a hoax because you stand the chance of not getting funded.


    So much for the "everyone agrees" B.S. you read here on Slashdot constantly. Quickly now Global Warming Jihadist! Find a link between the professor and an oil company or the whole sham will collapse!!

    Why does everyone feel compelled to contribute to the environmental debate when very, very few have studed environmental science?

    I have a four year degree in Environmental Science. I am also a registered Democrat, if that makes any difference to you... I think global warming theory (Humans->Greenhouse Gasses->Global Temp Increases) is unmitigated crap. I agree with you though: "Debating" global warming here on Slashdot, if you can call it that, is absolutely pointless, because not one of these nut jobs can be bothered to offer any evidence to support their theory. Further, their suggested solutions, assuming their theory is correct, are generally unrealistic *and* inadequate at the same time. Watching these people parrot each other is disgusting, really.

    Posting anonymously because I have already modded down several "Oh Noes!!1! Teh SKY IS TEH FALING!!ONE!ONE!!1" rhetoric wielding crackpots and posting under my login name would undo those mods.

  182. The Apocalypse by jazman_777 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The West has mostly left orthodox Christian belief, but it is still inherits the culture. Part of that is the need for Apocalypic End Time accounts. The Christians have Revelation, the rest have what lies to hand--the Environmentalists are happy to fill the need. Note: I am not making an argument for or against global warming, but just making a point about the apocalypic language surrounding it.

    --
    Slashdot: Failed Car Analogies. Amateur Lawyering. Anecdote Battles.
  183. Uranium supplies no constriction on bomb by Goonie · · Score: 2, Informative
    If I had a dollar for every time I heard this in the Australian political blogosphere, I'd be a rich man. Australia selling uranium to China (sales to India have not yet been approved) doesn't pose any additional proliferation risk, and, by discouraging reprocessing, may actually help reduce wider proliferation risks.

    As for passive solar, I'm all in favour, but there are several issues:

    • it's not enough
    • There's an enormous existing housing stock that will take many decades to rebuild.
    • Passive solar makes SFA difference in high-density living. Do you think 2+ billion Chinese and Indians will be living in American-style McMansions, or apartments?
    • Jevon's paradox. In this case, Americans spend their energy savings on bigger houses, negating the efficiency gains.

    As to your objections to nuclear, low-level waste is really a nonissue...the stuff is simply not that dangerous compared to the myriad other waste we dump into landfills or spray into the atmosphere. Compared to the thousands of lung cancers caused by radon annually, LLW is a piffling risk. High-level waste is the problem, if mostly a political one. See how Sweden is dealing with it.

    Finally, terrorism. Nuclear plants are a pretty tough target. How well defended is the Maroondah reservoir?

    --

    Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
    --Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)
    1. Re:Uranium supplies no constriction on bomb by njh · · Score: 1

      I don't read the blogosphere, I came independantly to this conclusion. Would selling uranium to Iran, Syria, North Korea or $other_evil_axis_country constitute a proliferation risk? They all need clean energy too.

      In what way is passive solar (I personally dislike the term 'passive solar', lets call it solar thermal instead) not enough? Heating demand diminishes as density increases and it seems reasonable to assume that if people actually considered such issues for building permits the system would settle to an appropriate equilibrium.

      Jeavons paradox would imply that solar thermal is a good thing - by reducing the cost of energy new things are possible (you suggest larger houses). That sounds like a good thing to me, certainly no different to the claims of too-cheap-to-meter electricity. If people started seriously using solar thermal maybe we could avoid building new power stations for many years?

      Ok, it's good to know that the waste issue has been solved. If only we could do the same with low level consumer wastes.

      I'm not concerned about the nuclear power station itself but instead the 100km of transmission lines in between, the 1000km supply train and the 1000km waste disposal train. The longford gas disaster shows the danger of centralised energy (and your point about the water supply similarly the problems with centralised water). I think it is better to try and use energy available locally before bringing energy around the world.

    2. Re:Uranium supplies no constriction on bomb by Steve525 · · Score: 1

      Would selling uranium to Iran, Syria, North Korea or $other_evil_axis_country constitute a proliferation risk?

      You seem to be missing the central point about selling/giving uranium to a country vs. lettting the coutry develop the capablity to process it. Weapons grade uranium is much more "pure" (much more of the active isotope) than uranium for reactors. If you give a country reactor grade uranium it can only be used for reactors or maybe a dirty bomb - you can't make an atomic bomb out of it without further processing. If a country develops the capability of processing uranium, they can process it to either reactor or bomb strength.

      By giving reactor uranium to a country, the country can have capability of running nuclear reactors without the capability of making bombs. There is no reason for a country to need to make it's own uranium when it can buy it except: (a) to be independent and (b) to make bombs. Countries, such as N. Korea and Iran will claim they need to make there own uranium because of (a), but everyone knows that's BS and they are really after (b).

      The reality is, it's going to get increasing tough to avoid any country developing the capability of doing something we did 60 years ago. MAD should keep the countries in check. It's the OBLs of the world, who don't have a country to worry about, that frighten me.

    3. Re:Uranium supplies no constriction on bomb by MindStalker · · Score: 1

      Would selling uranium to Iran, Syria, North Korea or $other_evil_axis_country constitute a proliferation risk? They can already obtain the uranium, its the weapons grade vs power grade that is the issue. If we can get countries that have already shown responsibility with nuclear technology to sell power grade uranium, then countries like Iran have no excuse to be reprocessing this uranium. We've been trying to get Iran to buy enriched uranium for a while but they refuse to do it, instead they want to enrich it themselves.. Thus is the danger, the ability to enrich.. Not the uranium itself.

    4. Re:Uranium supplies no constriction on bomb by njh · · Score: 1

      I was not aware that australia did the refinement here. In that case I think you are probably right. I'm not convinced that it is fair to assume that Iran wants to make bombs rather than be energy independant. Not every country can afford to go to war with every other country that threatens their standard of living.

  184. Pick your poison... by Temujin_12 · · Score: 1
    You can sell nuclear energy to me when you can answer the question "What do we do with 48 tons of nuclear waste generated per year per plant"?


    You do the same thing we do with the carbon dioxide (green house gas), sulfur oxides and nitrogen oxides (acid rain), uranium, and thorium that are ALL BYPRODUCTS OF COAL POWER PLANTS.... you manage/store them best you can and hope that it doesn't get out of control.

    The fact of the matter is that there are very few power generating technologies that we can deploy NOW that will meet our energy needs besides fossil fuels and nuclear energy. So, PICK YOUR POISON.

    In the mean time, lets work on problems that will solve our energy crisis like economical mass deployment of environmentally safe technologies (wind, ocean, solar) or fusion/fission possibilities (still a long way off).
    --
    Faith is a willingness to accept something w/o complete proof and to act on it. Reason allows you to correct that faith.
  185. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Except that the new fast neutron/breeder reactors can use something like 98% of the waste of the old style reactors, and the waste generated by these needs to be kept safe for a few hundreds years, and is many times less.

  186. The more things change. . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Note that the substance of the environmentalist's views have flipped completely. OK, so it's different. Yet he still believes he's totally right and everyone should do what he thinks. At least there's some consistency.

  187. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Nothing is perfectly safe--crossing the street is a greater hazard to you than Yucca mountain will be to anyone."

    I don't believe you.

  188. Patrick Moore is not an "environmentalist" by humble · · Score: 1

    While Patrick Moore was around for the founding of Greenpeace he has been a highly-paid "consultant" to industry for years. No one with an ounce of concern for matters of ecology will have anything to do with Patrick Moore anymore. His recent work includes and wholesale abandonment of anything close to the precautionary principle including the promotion of untested genetic engineering, fish farming, and industrial scale forestry.

    His Wikipedia entry can be reduced to the mere descriptor: "Judas of the environmental movement."

  189. Patrick Moore's credentials by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

    Patrick Moore has for many years made a living by offering himself to industry as an "environmentalist" who will argue industry's side of the issue. He is universally loathed as a sellout turncoat by people who truly care for ecological sustainabilty. I'm surprised that the usually savvy editors of slashdot headlines were taken in by him.
    If you want to understand Patrick Moore, go see the movie "Thank You For Smoking."
    I would say that George Bush is as much of an environmentalist as Patrick Moore is.

    If you ever hear him speak or read his writing, you should ask how much he's being paid to do it. He really is dirty destructive industry's whore.

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
  190. Re: what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pl by Dolda2000 · · Score: 1

    There may not be any current solutions, but there are tons of scientific groups looking at methods for burning the waste further, until it becomes stable lead, at a gain. Even though none have succeeded right now, I think there's little doubt that someone will succeed within the next couple of hundred years (a relatively short time), and then all that needs to be done is dig up the waste again and use it to generate more energy. Thus, I don't think nuclear waste is a great problem.

  191. Those 4 unexplained hours? by LibertineR · · Score: 5, Funny
    If you run Windows, you spend it repairing your system in between gaming lockups.
    If you run Linux, you spend it masterbating and looking for more fuel for masterbation on the Internet until the the re-compile is done.
    If you run MacOS, you spend it bragging about running MacOS until Starbucks closes.
    If you run Solaris, you spend it looking for a job where you can still run Solaris.

    If you run none of the above, you spend it having a life, playing with your children, or humping your wife.

    I run Windows, but I'm getting a divorce, so I will soon be switching to Linux.

    1. Re:Those 4 unexplained hours? by Lord+Kano · · Score: 1

      I run Windows, MacOS, OSX AND Linux. I have no kids, I'm divorced, and I have a girlfriend that I can hump.

      --
      "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
    2. Re:Those 4 unexplained hours? by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

      So, in other words, you spend that 4 hours lying to people on slashdot. =)

      I run Windows, MacOS, OSX AND Linux. . . . I have a girlfriend that I can hump.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
    3. Re:Those 4 unexplained hours? by Lord+Kano · · Score: 1

      So, in other words, you spend that 4 hours lying to people on slashdot. =)

      Not me, I unmask liars.

      LK

      --
      "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
    4. Re:Those 4 unexplained hours? by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

      Oh, man, that is hilarious! And the comments are too much.

      But you claim that it only took you fifteen minutes, which leaves three hours and forty-five minutes unaccounted for.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
  192. another argument by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well. It is about freakin' time. As anyone who's ever gotten me started on the car problem knows, I am pretty opinionated and pretty radical when it comes to environmental issues. This is one area where I have disagreed with the rest of the treehuggers since almost day one.

    I think even the Sea Shepherd types could get on board with nuclear power if presented with the right argument. I would not debate the safety, cleanliness or cost. I would point out the location. Nukes are not built on estuaries, wetlands, swamps or old growth forests. They are clean and quiet so they can be built right where they are needed: in urbanized areas. In the unlikely event that the FUD is true and another plant goes kablooey, I think that Paul Watson would still have no trouble sacrificing a chunk of New Jersey if it meant one less pit mine. Heck, I doubt you'd have to throw in the mine.

  193. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by jridley · · Score: 1

    Well, if we were building sensible systems, we'd reprocess the fuel. We could reduce the waste to a fraction of the volume by doing that AND what we finally did throw away would be much lower level fuel.

    As far as someone playing with the magic glowing glass, that's not an environmental disaster, that's a few people getting killed. Not to sound too crass about it, but people get killed all the time. I don't think it's a very good choice to not use nuclear power because a handful of idiots might get radiation poisoning in 1000 years, and instead continue to puke coal smoke into the air by the tons per day. Even if Yucca were breached, the stuff's still encapsulated and won't get into the water en masse and cause huge contamination anyway.

    I'm pretty darned environmentally minded myself, to the point where I ride a bike 20 miles a day to keep from coughing out 20 pounds of CO2; and I've always been in favor of nuclear power. I wish we'd go to a decent FULL CYCLE nuclear system including fuel reprocessing. What we have now is like killing a cow just to get the flank steak, and throwing the rest away. Terribly inefficient.

    It's precisely BECAUSE I want to leave the planet cleaner for future generations that I'm in favor of nuclear power.

  194. And I know where to put the reactors' waste... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... too bad your head is already taking up that space.

  195. Great News! by jim_mcneely · · Score: 1

    Now that an environmentalist, the icon of all science, culture, sexuality, and politics, has OK'd it, NOW can I have my nuclear powered car, my nuclear powered house, my nuclear powered laptop, and maybe even my own nuclear powered spaceship? I'm sick of pausing every 300 to 400 miles to restock with smelly chemicals processed from deep earth ooze.

  196. wind power is a disgrace by distantbody · · Score: 1

    No matter how good a solution nuclear power is, the energy consumers across numerous nations will be left with hundreds/thousands of wind turbines. And to add insult to injury, the same greens who left us with their horrid wind farms, also got, and are getting, many essential nuclear plants closed.

    I am sick and tired of nuclear advocates who preach technological 'coexistance' with wind. Stop calling for mediocre energy solutions. Wind is an awful technology and deserves to be critisized regardless of how personally the 'green' community might take it. I have withessed other such pandering-compromises from the past. No one wins.

  197. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by pilkul · · Score: 1

    If we really cared about these postapocalyptic primitives, we'd use nuclear power and leave the oil in the ground to give them an easy power source for redevelopment.

  198. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by blank+axolotl · · Score: 1

    Quite probably, the difference between your quoted number and the grandparent's is that you are talking about weight of fuel used, while the grandparent is talking about the weight of waste generated. Nuclear waste is not pure expended uranium, there is also a lot of other junk that is contaminated.


    Also, I always think that it is more relevant to talk about the volume of these things, rather than weight, since no one has an inutituve feel for the weight of uranium in their hands.

    Your '2000 metric tons' translates to a cube a little under 5 meters on each side (assuming pure uranium) (will change slightly depending on whether it is enriched or not). Small, eh?

    The grandparents '48 tons' (american tons, I assume), if we assume waste is 25% the density of uranium (I have no clue what it really is), comes to a cube half a meter per side per year per power plant. Also very small, right?

    Then you can consider that the waste is encased in glass, so is in solid form and not free to roam around our enironment, unlike the fumes generated in fossil fuel plants, which we breathe, and would anyway be much greater in volume if packed into cubes.

  199. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    That's just the high-level waste -- the worst part of the problem, for certain, but there's plenty of other waste that isn't as potent, takes up much more space, and that is still a challenge to store.

    I'm not all that impressed by the analogy. If that much high-level nuclear waste were densely packed together on a football field, alot of it (the more recent stuff) it would be dang hot (temperature-wise & radiation). The analogy excludes all the heavy shielding that has to go around it to make it possible to handle, and it ignores the requirement to keep it cool. In reality, it takes alot more space to place it anywhere or to transport it to that site. You would need a large mine to store all this stuff, and it would be an ever-growing problem. You'd need at least as much secure space for the next 40 years of operation, and the next after that, and so on, assuming no expansion (and I wonder what fraction was generated by the last 20 years versus the first 20 - it is interesting that 40000 tonnes / 2000 tonnes per year is only 20 years).

    Can you recommend a site in the U.S. for the reprocessing plant, assuming the legislative obstacles were removed? And, while you're at it, a transportation route to and from it for those 40000 tonnes -- preferably one along the way that everyone would be happy with? In fairness, final storage has the same challenge, but at least you can tell people it won't be coming back.

    Keep in mind that while it recovers unused fuel and reduces waste volume, reprocessing generates a fair amount of useless waste itself, which still has to be transported and stored somewhere, and it is usually *alot* hotter than the original, unused fuel bundles were that went into the reactors.

    Yes, reprocessing is a solution, but it has its own challenges that make one wonder if generating more new waste is really a good idea.

  200. Nothing wrong with trees by Julian+Morrison · · Score: 1

    They're pretty. That would be reason enough for me to plant them, anyhow.

  201. Hell yeah! by spiritraveller · · Score: 1

    shoot it into the motherfucking sun!!!

    In a plane... a plane with motherfucking snakes on it!

  202. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by FusionDragon2099 · · Score: 1

    And humanity would wind up repeating the vicious cycle...

  203. Please, let's not get all excited abou this! by Britz · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Unfortunately nuclear energy might be the only viable short term solution. There is no way China, Europe or the US will cut their energy consumption to reasonable levels (reasonable as in all the world's population could use the same lever per capita and the world would not melt or blow to pieces like Melmac when they all turned on their hair dryers at the same time). Sustainable energy sources like wind and water energy can't cover the demand. And coal and oil just add too much CO2 to the atmosphere. So we are left with no choice (until we get fusion, cold or hot) but fission.

    But please don't get all excited about it. There seem to be accidents in Japanese plants on a regular basis. Pebble reactors are fine, until you count in terrorism. Uranium is also a limited resource. We produce waste. And even if we refurbish the waste (and take care of the last two points) it still produces waste and it will still run out at some point.

    There are new studies coming out every month that either radiation from power plants does or does not make a difference in cancer rates. Until we have that figured out we are still in doubt about that one. So I count that as not being very excited about the prospect of nuclear energy.

    But you guys are right about one thing. People need to realize that nuclear energy IS the least worse choice out there now. I come from Germany and it is not possible to build power plants here for political reasons. Nobody will! This is rediculous.

    1. Re:Please, let's not get all excited abou this! by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 1
      There seem to be accidents in Japanese plants on a regular basis.
      Please list the accidents for the last 10 years.
      Pebble reactors are fine, until you count in terrorism
      Please explain what you mean. Exactly what is the danger? Are you just fear mongering, or do you have an actual account of a terrorist attack on a nuclear reactor?
      There are new studies coming out every month that either radiation from power plants does or does not make a difference in cancer rates. Until we have that figured out we are still in doubt about that one. So I count that as not being very excited about the prospect of nuclear energy.
      It is a proven fact that peanut butter causes cancer as does smoking, artificial sweetners, sunlight,etc. Are you not very excited about the prospects of those as well?
      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
    2. Re:Please, let's not get all excited abou this! by Britz · · Score: 1

      Gosh, are you getting paid by the industry? Look it up yourself. And for fear mongering, I am from Germany and I am still awstruck how the f... 9/11 seems to get to almost all of America. It changed world history simply because it happened to the US. If it would have happened to ANY other country it would have been big news - for a month. Until the next story came up.

      Terror has been with the rest of the world for some time. But because the US are the largest economy and the biggest military power (the US military budget is more than what the rest of the world spends on weapons) and for some reason Americans seem much more upset by it than any other population terror went from somewhere at the bottom to the top of the agenda in international relations on 9/11 and has staid there ever since. So by stating that terror attacks are on the balance sheet I just made a simple oberservation. I certainly didn't put it there.

    3. Re:Please, let's not get all excited abou this! by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 1
      You made a statement, I asked for proof, and your response is to suggest I am getting paid by the nuclear industry and to tell me to look it up myself. Well, I did. I found two incidents in the last 20 years. That makes you either ignorant or a liar.

      Judging from your response about terrorism, I can only guess that you were fear mongering.

      the US military budget is more than what the rest of the world spends on weapons

      Prove this statement from verifiable, knowledgable sources. That means people who would actually KNOW the information. Say, something that shows a breakdown of the budgets of the 100 largest countries.
      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
  204. So do something about it! by PoconoPCDoctor · · Score: 1

    It's all linked - maybe not all of us can directly impact global warming by switching to nuclear power, but there are concrete alternatives to reduce our dependence on fossil fuels.

    For instance, I just picked up my 2006 Toyota Prius today. It's replacing a five year old Toyota Rav 4 - nice car, but can't hold a candle to 55 MPG. My wife and I plan on commuting with the car and would not have done so because of the escalating cost of gas.

    This option is not a cheap one and not for everyone, and yet it will almost double the fuel economy of the vehicle it replaced. Imagine the energy savings if the price of hybrid cars drops so that more people can afford them!

    Think globally - act locally.

    --
    "Let us raise a standard to which the wise and honest can repair" - George Washington
  205. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why don't we just do what we do with the Uranium in coal?!

    According to this paper (which just happens to be the first sort-of-remotely-useful source I've seen in Google, rather than an exhaustive study):

    Coal Samples: Coal from Stockheim, Franken, Federal Republic of Germany, having a uranium content of 554 microgramme/gramme of coal was used.

    According to a US DoE report on coal production and consumption states that on 2005 prelimary data shows total coal consumption to be around 1.1 billion short tons.

    If we assume that the uranium content of 554 microgrammes/gramme is rather typical then:

    1.1 billion short tons is about 997,700,000 tonnes of coal, which is 997,700,000,000,000 grammes.
    Multiply that by 554 microgrammes/gramme to get 552,725,800,000,000,000 microgrammes of uranium...

    Which is (drum roll) 552,725.8 TONNES (about 609,400 short tons) of URANIUM!

    And what happens to it all? Well, some of it is in the airborne smokey stuff, and some of it remains as part of the coal ash. And what happens to the millions and millions of tonnes of coal ash? I wonder.

    Are you sure that 50,000 tons of nuclear waste is really that much of a problem in comparison?

  206. OB Smartass by StikyPad · · Score: 1

    what you do is you design a crib from the ground up where the bars are spaced wider. now you can put your kid in a crib, and rest assured the baby can't strangle themselves, period

    I'm pretty sure they actually made the spacing more narrow. Sort of defeats the purpose of having bars if the baby can just slip through, although at least such an arrangement would preserve the natural selection feature...

  207. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by NeuroManson · · Score: 1

    Have you seen just exactly what's at Yucca Flats? It sits right in the location where hundreds (if not more) of above and underground nuclear bomb testing has already taken place. Hardly an area where any additional radiation would make much of a difference.

    --
    Just because you can mod me down, doesn't mean you're right. Shoes for industry!
  208. We TOLD them this years ago! by bar-agent · · Score: 1

    We told them that nuclear power was safe, it was the answer, it was short-sighted (environmentally speaking) to hold the technology back.

    Even right after Three Mile Island, we were saying that yeah, everything worked properly, no injuries, no leakage, it was a nice happy meltdown.

    I just want to take the entire environmentalist movement, smack them upside the head into next week, saying "Bi**h, I done tol' your ass, but you just don't know how to listen, do you!? Now you gotta make me hurt you."

    --
    i'd hit it so hard, if you pulled me out you'd be the king of britain [bash.org]
  209. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Xyrus · · Score: 1

    "What do we do with 48 tons of nuclear waste generated per year per plant?"

    48 tons of radiocative waste per plant per year? OH NOES!!!!11!!

    Wow, that's about the same as a coal plant fart, but I don't see you complaining about the amount of radiocative crap those plants are dumping STRAIGHT INTO THE ATMOSPHERE. And that's just the radioactive crap. That doesn't include the mercury, lead and other lovely crud you get from burning coal.

    "Arrogant people think nuclear power is perfectly safe. Paranoid people think nuclear power will destroy the planet. Intelligent people see plant designs that are intrinsically safe, but want to know what we're going to do with the waste."

    Well, I can guarentee they're not going to dump it in the air. And it's energy to waste ratio is a hell of a lot better looking than fossil fuels. Wanna guess how many tons of toxic waste your average coal plant makes a year?

    "The ONLY solution the industry has right now is "bury it" (Yucca), "make it someone else's problem" (Arizona's) and "hope we're not around if it is a problem"(whoever is on the planet when Yucca breaks open, or is attacked, or a society 1,000 years from now, which can't read English, trundles into the mysterious cave and comes out with Magical Glowing Glass.)"

    Short of breeder reactors, the best option is to just bury it. And it doesn't even take a lot of space to contain all the waste that would ever be generated. As far as a society in a 1000 years, you are arrogantly assuming that a) We'll actually make it another 1000 years (50/50 at best) and b) Society will have completely forgotten about the concept of a geiger counter.

    I'm far more concerned about the wastes being generated from our fossil power plants than nuclear waste.

    ~X~

    --
    ~X~
  210. of course they do by r00t · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You don't get a research grant for saying everything is OK.

    You get one like this: "We're doomed. Everybody panic!"

    You get the second one like this: "Maybe we have a chance, if I do more research."

    1. Re:of course they do by de+Selby · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "You don't get a research grant for saying everything is OK."

      If all the scientists' complaints of censorship are any indication, you don't get much for saying things aren't OK.

    2. Re:of course they do by r00t · · Score: 1

      As far as I can tell, that isn't about grants. It's about people on the government payroll (at NASA for example) who damn well shouldn't be taking advantage of their government positions to push their personal agendas.

      Quit the government job, become a research professor at a private university, and apply for grants. Make the evening news. Profit.

    3. Re:of course they do by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, they do it for the money. 20 years of matriculation so they could get rich in some obscure area of science.

  211. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by njh · · Score: 1

    The grandparents '48 tons' (american tons, I assume), if we assume waste is 25% the density of uranium (I have no clue what it really is), comes to a cube half a meter per side per year per power plant. Also very small, right?

    You have: 48ton / ((0.5m)^3)
    You want:
                    Definition: 348358.94 kg / m^3

    Compare with water, density 1000ishkg/m^3 and osmium (the densest substance known, I think) at 22000kg/m^3

    I think you made a mistake. Or you are converting the waste to pure neutrons.

  212. Breeder Reactors? by mosb1000 · · Score: 4, Informative

    "The only solution on the table right now is Yucca"

    Well, there's always the reprocessing route. If you use a breeder reactor and waste reprocessing fuel cycle, you can eliminate all of the high level, won't go away for thousands of years waste. Of course, you still have the "low level" waste, but that will go away after a few hundred years (maybe 500 or so to be safe). The great part is that they've figured out how to convert conventional PWR's and BWR's into breeders through advanced computer modeling, so there's no need for any new R&D. The only problem is that it's a lot more expensive than the once through fuel cycle. I guess you can have it clean, or you can have it cheap. Its cheaper and cleaner than coal anyway.

    Storing the high level waste isn't really as much as a problem as you think, either. 48 tons of nuclear waste may sound like a lot, but it's really only a few cubic meters. There are salt domes in new mexico that will probably be geologically stable for millions of years (look up the waste isolation pilot plant, WIPP). The only reason yucca mountain is at yucca mountain is politics, it's really a pretty bad location. At any rate, 48 tons of waste per year compares favorably to the hundreds of tones of waste generated daily by a coal plant, in my opinion.

    1. Re:Breeder Reactors? by petsounds · · Score: 1

      Japan's new reprocessing nuclear facility suffered a leakage after being turned on recently. Not exactly the best mascot for safe nuclear power.

      As for storage, it's not as much about where the nuclear waste ends up, but how it travels there safely.

    2. Re:Breeder Reactors? by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      "High level" and "low level" are insufficient terms to describe the waste produced.

      There are at least two axes that we must look at when describing the waste:

      density of the material radioactive part
      radioactivity of the material

      Some waste will decay very rapidly. In fact, the shorter the half life, the greater the radioactivity. In the limiting case of infinite half life, there is no danger from decay products whatsoever.

      So, when you refer to "high level" do you mean, high density, long half life; low density, short half life, or high density, high half life?

      similar for "low level"

      and this is before you take into account the CHEMICAL toxicity of the elements & compounds involved.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    3. Re:Breeder Reactors? by Dastardly · · Score: 1

      This is why a proposal fo ronsite pyroprocessing of spent fuel is a proposal. The pyro facility should be small enough and efficient enough to be located at the same site as the reactors. Pyroprocessing while I guess it can be tuned to put out pure Plutonium, I understand it is much easier to do when the result is a fuel mix of Pu-239 and U-238, which cannot be used for a weapon without a lot of additional processing, but is great for a fast neutron reactor.

      The waste is highly radioactive but relatively short lived products. Something like 1,000 year to reach the same radioactivity as the original Uranium ore, instead of 10,000 year like the unprocessed waste. Plus, reprocessing allows the use of about 100x more of the energy avaiable in the original ore. Basically, translating to 1/100th of the waste per MWh.

    4. Re:Breeder Reactors? by bob+frost · · Score: 1

      I remember touring the French breeder when it was under construction in 1980. The shock to me was the coolant: liquid sodium, pumped through the core to the tune of tons per hour. And sodium is, of course, extremely corrosive, so a leak can be if not catastrophic, a real major mess.

      What is worse, however, is that unlike "classic" PWRs and PWRs, under LOCAs (loss of coolant accidents), breeders blow up, not melt down. They contain sufficient fissile material closely enough packed to sustain an explosive chain reaction. Admittedly, the odds of that are long, but the costs would be astronomical, so IMHO, they are not worth the risk. What the Hell, the French scaled their fuel cycle to accommodate being the world's sole fuel reprocessor, so they have ample capacity for reprocessing--let them take the risk and bear the expense and ship our spent fuel to them.

      Except for one problem: is there a safe way to transport spent fuel, be it to Yucca or to Bretagne? Maybe, maybe not. A shipment of spent fuel would make a dandy terrorist target (those individual terrorists, not the state ones sitting on thousands of nuclear weapons sited in NDAK and on Poseidons). Or just a train wreck. It's not out of paranoia that many states have passed laws (admittedly prolly unconstitutional) forbidding the transport of nuke waste across their states.

      All that said, I'm almost where the original writer is on the issue of nukes. I was an anti-nuke activist in the late 1970s and that actually was in part behind my doctoral work. In the interim, nukes look better today from a risk standpoint, thanks to some interesting redesigns. For P/BWRs of the '70s generation, the dominant failure mode is a LOCA and melt-down. Newer designs' failure mode is cold, fast shutdown. ABB was designing those 20 years back. So plant-specific risks are possibly pretty low today, but risks in the fuel cycle remain. So make your choices. I'm still not convinced either way.

  213. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by hunterx11 · · Score: 1

    No one argues that Yucca mountain is less safe than the on-site storage of nuclear waste that currently exists. But how many people have died from exposure to this more dangerously stored waste, compared to how many pedestrians are killed by vehicles?

    --
    English is easier said than done.
  214. Patrick Moore is hardly an environmentalist by FredFnord · · Score: 2, Informative

    It's worth noting that, while Patrick Moore was indeed a significant part of the start of Greenpeace, he's basically been in the pocket of industry for ages. He's run a salmon farm and called claims that they pollute 'hogwash'. (They do, in fact, pollute.) He's been a front man for the lumber company involved in the deforestation of much of Canada for a long time. He was instrumental in persuading the Pew Charitable Trust not to 'waste its money' on funding environmental groups.

    He's the one who said "We found that the Amazon rainforest is more than 90 percent intact." Which is, of course, total bunk. He's basically a greenwasher now... someone who you hire who tells you how to make your industry look more green without actually changing your practices, or whom you hire to do damage control when your industry has just been exposed as a gross polluter, or in some cases even when your industry is about to get much worse and you don't want any flack from it.

    Moore's clients have included:
    B.C. Hazardous Waste Management Corporation
    BHP Minerals (Canada) Ltd. (To claim that dumping mine tailings in a river is not harmful.)
    National Association of Forest Industries (heavy loggers)
    Westcoast Energy and BC Gas (to play down global warming concerns)

    Some sources:
    http://www.fanweb.org/patrick-moore/liar.html
    http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Patrick _Moore

    My favorite quote:
    Trees and wood are both good! A world without forests is as unthinkable as a day without wood.

    Got wood?

    -fred

    --
    Sign #11 of Slashdot overdose: You see the phrase 'moderate Republican' and you wonder if that would be a +1 or a -1.
    1. Re:Patrick Moore is hardly an environmentalist by Gorshkov · · Score: 1

      He's been a front man for the lumber company involved in the deforestation of much of Canada for a long time.

      Canada is being "deforested"? (looking around in confustion)

      Well, it's about freaking time ...... All those damned trees are getting in the way of the scenery.

  215. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by blank+axolotl · · Score: 1

    ..uhh, damn. You're right.

    I forgot to multiply by 48: One ton of waste is a half meter (0.57 m) cubed, but I want 48 tons, which is (48)^(1/3) times as big per side, giving 2 meters cubed. Still very small. (you method then gives 5442 kg / m^3)

    I just had to forget the most obvious thing...

  216. No, it doesn't by Julian+Morrison · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Thinking about the future of the human race on this planet calls for long term planning.

    Nope. Not so. That would be entirely analogous to the 18th century folks trying to pre-plan the 20th century. Worse than useless!

    "Pushing the problem onto future generations" is exactly the correct strategy. It's like one of those computational problems that you can solve fastest by letting it alone for a few years while Moore's law catches up. Future techological problems are best solved with future technology - our best course is to attempt to reach that future as soon as possible. To which end, fuel the economy! Because economic growth is basically the wave-front that's pushing scientific growth.

  217. that doesn't sound like waste actually by r00t · · Score: 1

    You have something that gives off heat. We don't have to do anything to it. It just sits there making heat.

    Nice. You could power an engine with that heat. There are many suitable engines: steam turbine, stirling, steam piston, RTG... Replace "steam" as needed, with a temperature-appropriate choice as needed: helium, sodium, neon, freon, ammonia, butane...

    Nuclear waste is free energy. Use it.

  218. What do you mean "We"? by tlambert · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "The problem is that while technology advanced, we have not built new reactors to take advantage of it."

    By "We", I assume you mean the United States, since France and others have been using fast breeder reactors and fuel recycling that never results in weapons grade Plutonium at any point in the cycle, and reduces the actual long term waste to nearly nothing.

    The US has held itself back over its continuing collective guilt over ending WWII by using nuclear weapons on Japan. Japan, on the other hand, has 34% of it's electical power coming form 53 reactors, of which the majority are breeder reactors (generate their own plutonium for use as fuel in themselves and other reactors), so it seems they're a heck of a lot less fearful of it than the US is (the US only gets 10% of our electrical power from reactors). http://www.cscap.nuctrans.org/Nuc_Trans/locations/ japan/wna-japan.jpg

    -- Terry

    1. Re:What do you mean "We"? by Peter+Lake · · Score: 2, Informative

      Japan, on the other hand, has 34% of it's electical power coming form 53 reactors, of which the majority are breeder reactors (generate their own plutonium for use as fuel in themselves and other reactors), so it seems they're a heck of a lot less fearful of it than the US is

      And Japan has a great track record on nuclear safety!

      Arrests over Japan nuclear accident "The accident was caused by three workers at the plant who mixed excess amounts of liquefied uranium in steel buckets, setting off a nuclear chain reaction."
      Two were killed and over 600 exposed to radiation.

      Accident at Japan nuclear plant "At least four people have been killed in the deadliest accident to have hit a Japanese nuclear power plant."
      Five were killed.
      Kepco, which manages the Mihama plant, has admitted since the accident that it had not properly checked the pipe which burst, fatally scalding five workers, since it was installed in 1976.(here)

      Bosses quit in Japan nuclear scandal "Top executives at Japanese electricity producer Tepco are to quit, after the firm admitted possibly having falsified nuclear safety records."

      Blaze at Japanese nuclear plant "A fire has broken out at a nuclear plant in western Japan, injuring two people but causing no radiation leak, officials say."

      Japan court orders reactor closed "A court has ordered Japan's newest nuclear reactor to be shut down over fears about its safety in the event of an earthquake."

      Japan's shaky nuclear record

      But you're right, they *do* seem a heck of a lot less fearful of it - at least those guys mixing uranium in buckets! :)

      --

      All Rights Reversed.
  219. simple facts by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    we're human beings. we're unique because unlike other animals that alter themselves to survive in an environment, we alter the environment to fit our needs. our needs are the earth climate as it is, year 1500-2000. if things get hotter, or colder, we're going to remedy that

    when and if we have the ability to alter the thermostat economically, we will. not if, but when. it doesn't matter who is to blame. and it isn't going to matter how much it is going to cost either. why? because when we alter the environment, we will do it because of economic incentive

    it doesn't make sense for a car company to spend the extra money to add seat belts to a car. it DOES make sense for the insurance company to only insure cars that have seat belts, and therefore compel car companies to add seat belts, because they can't sell cars no one will want to buy if they won't be able to get insurance

    likewise, it's only a matter of technological progress before the economic incentive to alter the hurricane season for insurance reasons on coastal real estate becomes a done deal

    if we can't afford it, we won't do it. whatever "it" is. but if there is economic incentive, we will do it. so you have to stop being trolled by people who have no economic consideration in their agenda. economics are all that the agenda is about. you can't compel people to do things that aren't in their best interest. all you have to do is change the technological skills and the environmental pressures (need for water, need to avoid bad weather) and people's best interest becomes "we must mess with the environment." so you have to stop believing that we aren't going to be more proactive on our attempts to control the environment

    its not a question of whether we should or should not. its simply a matter of human nature: we alter our environments to suit our needs. we build clothes out of animal hides when its cold, we build fires when it is cold, we build huts out of mud when its hot, we build canals with dynamite when we need water. and someday we will seed dead areas of the ocean with iron to sequester CO2. we mess with our environment to suit our needs. that's what we do. we're human beings. we mess with our world. always did, always will

    we're way beyond "is the world getting hotter? is the world getting colder?" and we're way beyond whose fault it is. none of those questions matter anymore. we're going to control our environment, and we're going to do it for economic incentives. blame games, climate trends: doesn't matter. moot points. we know what we want, and when we get the tech to make it that way, we'll use it. end of story. every other argument on the issue is secondary and ultimately pointless

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:simple facts by Whiney+Mac+Fanboy · · Score: 1

      it doesn't make sense for a car company to spend the extra money to add seat belts to a car. it DOES make sense for the insurance company to only insure cars that have seat belts, and therefore compel car companies to add seat belts, because they can't sell cars no one will want to buy if they won't be able to get insurance

      what an utterly retarded comment.

      it took government regulatory intervention to get seat belts into cars - not free market forces.

      the same will be needed for climate change.

      (you will note that of course im using your no-capitalization, one idea per paragraph formatting to make you feel comfortable reading this)

      --
      There are shills on slashdot. Apparently, I'm one of them.
  220. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And while we're at it, why has nobody observed that 48 tons/yr/plant is a drop in the bucket compared to the many millions of tons of conventional waste being generated annually. Sure its not radioactive (well, most of it isn't) but it sure as hell is toxic and it isn't particuarly friendly to the environment or in a hurry to break down into something less objectional. Its a big planet but its going to fill up with garbage long before we can fill it with nuclear waste.

  221. false sense of control by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    people don't like to fly because they put their lives in someone else's hands. when they are behind the driver's wheel, they feel like they are in control. that makes them feel safer. except it's illusion of control. because in reality, their lives are now under the control of about 500 other assholes they drive by every day. the guy falling asleep. the woman putting on her make up. the drunk guy. the chick on the cell phone. one flick of the wrist from any of those people and you are dead or maimed.

    if you were the only car on the ground, then yes, driving is safer than flying, as with all sources of mechanical failure being equal, falling out of the air is worse than running into a tree ;-P

    but in reality, where you share the road with 500 assholes completely beyond your control, and in the air, where the other planes are far and few between and regimented to an air traffic authority, you're safer

    and your analogy to nuclear power is wrong. reality today is one or two commercial jetliners in the air only. to make the analogy to a more nuclear future accurate, you simply have to scale up the number of plants to the current number of commercial jets, which you have already agreed is safe, and you have a more accurate analogy

    just reference france and japan. they are heavily dependent on nuclear power. using the old school technology. with no three mile island or chernobyl level incidents. heavily regimented contro, just like commercial airliners. now stir in orders of magnitude more safety with pebble bed reactors. compare that to hurricane katrina (global warming) and 9/11 (islamonazi petrol money)

    it's a no brainer

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:false sense of control by DongleFondle · · Score: 1

      I never said it wasn't a no-brainer you knee jerk dickhead.

  222. Learjet liberals, kiss my ass by ccmay · · Score: 1, Flamebait
    And droughts. And more powerful storms. And the melting of the glaciers on Greenland and Antarctica, and the resulting 10' rise in oceans heights. And the disruption of the jet stream to northern Europe. And the ensuing famines. And the flooding of coastal areas.

    You might believe this, but the fact is that many of the jackasses braying the loudest about anthropogenic global warming evidently do not.

    Robert F Kennedy Jr. has been piously lecturing us rubes about environmental correctness for lo these many years, but still flies around in private jets, and is doing his best to scuttle the offshore wind farm in Nantucket Sound because it spoils the view from his yacht.

    Laurie David and Barbara Streisand and a hundred more Hollywood dingbats are full of coercive Luddite prescriptions for us little people in flyover country, but can't seem give up their Gulfstream V jets and limousines and 20,000 sq. ft. mansions with sixteen air conditioner units.

    Ariana Huffington loves to badger the common man about global warming, but is addicted to private jets and fancy cars up the wazoo. Al Gore? Ditto, plus has four children, doubling the footprint of himself and his wife on Earth's limited resources. And of course the Kennedys breed like rats in a granary too.

    Listening to these people hectoring us rednecks and hicks, you'd think they actually believed there was some kind of serious problem, but their actions say otherwise, loud and clear. If these dumb shit lefties think that dismantling modern civilization to prevent warming is so important, I say let them go first, or shut the fuck up.

    Unless these limousine liberal loudmouths begin walking the walk, I am going to go on believing that the whole thing is a conspiracy by the authoritarian collectivist Left to gain by subterfuge and propaganda that which has been loudly and clearly repudiated at the ballot box.

    -ccm

    --
    Too much Law; not enough Order.
    1. Re:Learjet liberals, kiss my ass by DirePickle · · Score: 1

      Yeah, hypocrites suck. No arguments there. But you sound a touch angry. Relax a little, man.

    2. Re:Learjet liberals, kiss my ass by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "fancy cars up the wazoo"

      Man, that's one big wazoo.

      Sorry, couldn't resist.

  223. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by eggsome · · Score: 1

    Who says the next dominant life form on the planet would be human?? :)

    --
    If they made a movie of your life, would anybody buy a ticket?
  224. Rogue States by sugarmotor · · Score: 1

    He writes, "And although I don't want to underestimate the very real dangers of nuclear technology in the hands of rogue states". I think it naive to use the term "rogue states" this way. Rogue in respect to what? They don't like to torture their people or other nations? They don't like to bomb civilians?

    Then he continues, "Nuclear fuel can be diverted to make nuclear weapons. This is the most serious issue associated with nuclear energy and the most difficult to address, as the example of Iran shows." I can't follow. Why talk about Iran, and not Pakistan, India, Israel, the US? I think he hasn't seen enough of the world.

    Stephan

    --
    http://stephan.sugarmotor.org
    1. Re:Rogue States by sugarmotor · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Ok sorry, reading on, he writes, "The only practical approach to the issue of nuclear weapons proliferation is to put it higher on the international agenda and to use diplomacy and, where necessary, force to prevent countries or terrorists from using nuclear materials for destructive ends." Force to prevent countries from what?

      People don't seem to quite grasp that the only country in the world to have used nuclear weapons and still possesses lots of nuclear weaponsm, is not even able to run a decent democracy, with Bush, the Torturer in Chief at the head.

      Mr. Patrick Moore is definitely unreliable.

      Sorry.

      Stephan

      --
      http://stephan.sugarmotor.org
  225. The greens are coming around by Freedom451 · · Score: 1

    because the evidence in favor of applying modern nuclear power technology to solve the world's energy problem has become overwhelming.

    I wonder how long it will take neo-con ideologues to realize that we can't burn all the carbon that has been sequestered over hundreds of millions of years without a noticeable effect on the world's climate.

    Myself, I'm betting that Crighton and his ilk will hold out until sea level has risen at least 1 foot.

    As a wise man once said:

    "It's a wonder we can even feed ourselves."

    --
    When the country falls into chaos, politicians talk about 'patriotism'. Lao-Tzu
  226. no, Saudia Arabia uses nuclear for desalination by r00t · · Score: 3, Informative

    Use fossil fuel? Hell no! It's better to sell that to the west.

    Saudia Arabia actually uses nuclear for desalination.

  227. Easiest and undenyable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All of the glaciers throughout the world are melting except for heart of the south pole. While some people will claim that it is caused by pollution, then why is edges of the south poles melting, or Everst and K2? The answer is that even if you deny all the other evidence, you can not ignore that even glaciers in crevises and not exposed to the sun are melting.

  228. So much for AC. :-) by SaDan · · Score: 1

    Oops, wrong checkbox... Doh!

  229. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Col+Bat+Guano · · Score: 1
    The ONLY solution the industry has right now is "bury it" (Yucca), "make it someone else's problem" (Arizona's) and "hope we're not around if it is a problem"(whoever is on the planet when Yucca breaks open, or is attacked, or a society 1,000 years from now, which can't read English, trundles into the mysterious cave and comes out with Magical Glowing Glass.)

    I have heard that throwing it into the oceans at the subduction point (where tectonic plates meet) is an effective way to get rid of it. Anyone know the pros/cons of this?

  230. Now, Now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why ruin a perfectly good lie, with facts. Conservatives run around saying whatever they want and point to their own made up data to prove it.

    1. Re:Now, Now by That's+Unpossible! · · Score: 1

      Hilarious. First of all, I'm not a conservative, I'm a libertarian. Second of all, every political hack from every part of the spectrum says whatever they want with no data to prove it. That's what you get when you deal in politics.

      --
      Ironically, the word ironically is often used incorrectly.
    2. Re:Now, Now by CaptainCarrot · · Score: 1

      What's particularly conservative about expressing the self-evident truth that when we mess with the environment we tend to screw it up even when our intentions are good?

      --
      And the brethren went away edified.
  231. Nuclear is not the Future by FinMacCool · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Solar, wind, hydroelectric, tide power, and other technologies _can_ take the place of nuclear and coal power.

    I see the future as one without nuclear waste and with decentralized power coming from safe and clean sources. Just because our houses today have high energy demands it does not mean that is how it has to be.

    What is wrong with more efficient heating and cooling combined with renewable sources for the future? To hear a bunch of techies debating nuclear technology as the energy source of the future is a little dissapointing.

    The author of the Washington Post article is also a spokesman for- drumroll please....the timber industry, the plastics industry, the Three Gorges dam, genetically modified foods [this guys karma is shot so why not shill for the nuclear industry while he is at it?!].

    "In an email, former Greenpeace director Paul Watson charges, "You're a corporate whore, Pat, an eco-Judas, a lowlife bottom-sucking parasite who has grown rich from sacrificing environmentalist principles for plain old money." http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/12.03/moore.htm l

    Ouch!

    1. Re:Nuclear is not the Future by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 1
      What is wrong with more efficient heating and cooling combined with renewable sources for the future?
      What more efficient heating and cooling?

      As for the methods of power generation, show me how much electricity could be generated using solar, wind and tide generation techniques in reasonable distribution. That means you can't:
      • use areas that are used by endangered species
      • use wind in low wind areas, areas where birds migrate, nature preserves, suburbs, or metropolitian areas
      • use solar in areas that are overcast most of the time
      • use large solar fields in preserves, parks, crop growing fields, etc.
      • use tide power in area with endangered fish, insufficient tidal action, areas reserved for recreation or areas that are privately owned
      • use areas that have a large upper-class population, or a strong NIMBY coalition
      • destroy large tracts of animal habitation, forest, desert, etc.
      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
    2. Re:Nuclear is not the Future by FinMacCool · · Score: 1

      Don't be shortsighted:

      More efficient heating includes: radiant heat instead of forced air [not exactly new technology]; better insulation techniques; making use of geo-regulation of heating and cooling costs; amoung many others. Do a Google search for sustainable development or check this out: http://www.arch.hku.hk/research/BEER/sustain.htm#1 .1

      The excuses listed for not using renewable resources almost don't make sense!

      Endangered Species protection areas are definately the exception to land use and don't warrant a response.

      Wind studies have shown that many areas that were previously though to not have enough wind to support a turbine may contain areas (such as on a ridge) where the winds are consistant enough

      Solar is a great way to offset air conditioning demand since availabilty is high when demand is high. Solar is also used in many remote locations to power lights and safety equipment

      The other arguments are just plain negative thinking! Oceans are not privately owned, upper class populations are probably more likely to invest in alternative energy (like w/hybrid cars), and who said anything about destroying habitats?

      There are definately NIMBY cases where people complain about windmills etc. but I always say I would rather see a windmill than not be able to see the whole mountain because of the smog.

  232. Patrick Moore by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Moore left Greenpeace in 1986, on account of their views becoming far too extreme for his liking.

    Modern-day environmentalists (in the way that the layman would classify them) and Moore do not co-exist, so we are still miles away from Greenpeace or other various organizations ever thinking about nuclear energy. He came by to talk at my college, and I like how he thinks, but he is not indicative of the average environmentalist today.

  233. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1
    Look, I agree, this was a bad decision by Carter. But someone should remind you that you can't blame Carter and his party for why this is still in effect - they're long out of power! Our leaders just don't care very much about the environment - after all, their terms will be over by the time the shit really hits the fan! I consider myself rather far on the political left but I feel very strongly that we must be building nuclear plants as fast as possible, not only in our own country but also in places like Africa. I say we give our great but ailing manufacturers a contract to mass-produce parts for breeder reactors with on-site, highly-automated fuel reprocessing. Our ultimate goal should be zero burning of fossil fuels for electricity. Yeah, it sounds like a Utopian fantasy and I guess I really do have those tendencies, but ubiquitous fission power is definitely is a part.

    I know many people on the left feel differently, but this is one place where their sensible instincts let them down. Nuclear power is big, corporate-industrial, complicated, easily vilified and in general not on the wavelength of the standard hippie. (Hippies get windmills and sunshine, stuff that's small, decentralized and not intimidating.) Many big, centralized things like that really are bad and worth opposing, so if you need a quick rule of thumb, you can do worse. But the rule fails in this case. There is no hippie solution for our power needs, don't talk to me about solar panels and windmills (as a replacement for what we now have). So it's time for the people on the left to judge this issue with their heads and not their guts.

  234. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by graffix_jones · · Score: 1

    The most radioactive elements will have decayed in less than a thousand years.

    Sorry, but you're wrong. The half-life or Uranium 238 (the most common variety) is 4.5 billion years... so I don't think I'd want to smell the number you presented, because I think I know where you pulled it from... even lesser isotopes of Uranium (234) have a half-life of 245,000 years. Of course you could be correct with some of the lesser isotopes created during the fission process, but the vast majority (like 90%) will still be Uranium 238.

    Nothing is perfectly safe--crossing the street is a greater hazard to you than Yucca mountain will be to anyone.

    LOL. So, are you speaking facetiously, or do you take yourself seriously? Take into account the numbers I just corrected you with, and then say, once again, with a straight face, that the nuclear waste present at Yucca Mountain will not ever be a serious danger to anyone.
    While saying this, keep in mind that Yucca Mountain is about 100 miles north of Las Vegas, the fastest growing city in the United States. The nuclear waste facility will also be located in a salt mine... which is evidence that water has been present in this area at one time or another, and the seismic conditions at this site are still unknown.

    More on topic, spewing radioactive material into the air is probably a tad less safe than depositing it underground, too.

    So, pulling the trigger of a shotgun while it's aimed at your head is probably more dangerous than pulling the trigger of a .38 aimed at your head, yet I'd prefer to do neither.

    And where do you think we get more stable forms of uranium in the first place? It's been in the ground all over the world for a lot longer than 100,000 years.

    I found this line hilariously funny... with this one sentence, you completely contradict your "1,000 year half-life" claim in your first. If Uranium only had a half-life of 1,000 years, we wouldn't find any of it, we'd have to make it all, because it would have decayed into other isotopes.
    Uranium ore is also not found naturally in the concentrations in which it is used in nuclear power plants, otherwise why the hell would they need to 'enrich' it? It is certainly radioactive, but not at the lethal levels after it has been refined.
    I think somebody really needs to hit the books again before they go making outlandish claims... and same for the mods that gave you an 'Insightful' rating...

  235. Let's Ask Roland by Ranger · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Ever since they stopped posting Roland Piquepaille stories, the quality of slashdot headlines has dropped precipitously. I was never much of a fan of Roland's. And I enjoyed the bashing, but he leveraged himself into a better website. ZDNet, I think. Much like when I read rec.art.sf.written and had a huge killfile to filter out all the Robert Jordan posts. Then they got their own rec.art.sf.written.robert-jordan-sucks-er-I-mean-i s-awesome newsgroup. Half of the traffic went away overnight. I wouldn't say rarsw got worse. nor did it get better, but I missed making fun of the robert-jordanistas and the satisfaction of watching my killfile nuke hundreds upon hundreds of wheel of time posts.

    But I digress. Nuclear environmentalists? Pshaw! Never! This has my vote for the worst headline ever. There is no bottom to this place. I don't know what has happened to slashdot, but it sucketh mightily of late. Misleading headlines, incoherent blurbs, and tardy story postings. I will read about what used to be a slashdot worthy posting days before slashdot posts it.

    I'll go nuclear when I can have an atomic powered helicopter. So I take it the green these nuclear environmentalists will come from another source besides plants?

    --
    "You'll get nothing, and you'll like it!"
  236. Carter is a nuclear engineer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    due to some really boneheaded decisions made by President Carter, it's never been done recently in the United States.

    You do know that he was/is a nuclear engineer don't you, and that his post graduate work was in nuclear physics and reactor technology? I assume you are not a nuclear engineer nor have a post graduate education in the same. That just leaves the question, what is it exactly that makes Carter's decisions with regard to nuclear power boneheaded and your ideas NOT boneheaded?

  237. Why nuclear is okay now by memmel2 · · Score: 1

    I think its a bit funny that nuclear energy is okay now basically it comes down to fucking up some fairly small areas of the planet for 100,000 years or the whole planet for 5,000 years. Friggin funny except we already fucked the whole planet.

  238. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by hunterx11 · · Score: 1
    Sorry, but you're wrong. The half-life or Uranium 238 (the most common variety) is 4.5 billion years... so I don't think I'd want to smell the number you presented, because I think I know where you pulled it from... even lesser isotopes of Uranium (234) have a half-life of 245,000 years. Of course you could be correct with some of the lesser isotopes created during the fission process, but the vast majority (like 90%) will still be Uranium 238.

    So the vast majority of radioactive waste is pretty stable? That's not exactly an argument for the dangers of radioactive waste. Hell, beta radiation can safely be shielded against with household materials.

    So, pulling the trigger of a shotgun while it's aimed at your head is probably more dangerous than pulling the trigger of a .38 aimed at your head, yet I'd prefer to do neither.

    Heroin is more dangerous than methadone, too. I'd rather do neither, but I'd also like to keep rehab clinics open. The fact is that energy from fossil fuel has a human cost associated with it far greater than that of nuclear energy. Saying that we shouldn't improve our situation unless we can make it perfect is utopian.

    --
    English is easier said than done.
  239. Lies. by StarKruzr · · Score: 1

    My girlfriend is Jewish (not to mention hot), and so far no blacks have come knocking on my door.

    Also, I just got a $6000 student loan disbursement. So I think you've got it wrong on that one.

    --

    +++ATH0
  240. Stereotyped hate FTL by Frangible · · Score: 1
    I have a Honda CR-V, a SUV that gets better fuel economy than your mini-van. It's not a truck frame either... it's basically a tall, AWD hatchback Honda Civic, built on the Civic's frame. (the running joke is CR-V = Civic Recreational Vehicle)

    Point being, don't lump all SUVs into the Excursion / H2 category. The facts don't support your hate. And I'll go head-to-head with any MPG argument with modern compact SUVs any day.

    1. Re:Stereotyped hate FTL by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

      Don't get bent all out of shape. When someone complains about SUVs, they're really not complaining about the mini-SUVs such as the one you drive, which is basically a 4WD hatchback.

      --
      It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
  241. I think its called recycling by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just like that blue box thingy on your front porch, you can recycle nuclear waste into new fuel.

    Just let the stuff 'cool' a few years, run it through the enrichment process again, and voila, 'new' fuel. Of course you get some low level muck out of it, but thats not much compared with what you had before, and at the end of the day, you more or less get a continuous cycle.

  242. Moore does not speak for environmentalists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    as a group. He is widely considered a traitor to the movement, so I wouldn't take his opinions to represent anybody but himself (and the corporations he works for).

  243. Limited applicability:Carter is a nuclear engineer by Hartree · · Score: 2, Informative

    Because much like the Bush administration's restrictions on stem cell research is based on political reasons rather than engineering or science, the Carter administration's position was also based more on politics than science or engineering.

    There were groups that wanted it stopped due to opposition to nuclear power in general. There were also groups that wanted it stopped because they thought it was a proliferation risk. The civilian nuclear power industry didn't fight so strongly for it as it was looking to be expensive and it appeared to be easier just to deal with the waste problem later. i.e Kick the can down the road.

    I remember when the decision was made. I disagreed then as well. Unfortunately, the political conditions were such that it went ahead. I think it was quite a bad idea.

    The claim of shutting reprocessing down for proliferation reasons was questionable.

    Yes, being able to do the chemical separation is one part of making plutonium for bomb fuel. However, it's relatively difficult to get useable bomb fuel plutonium from reactor fuel that's been in a normal type power reactor. It has too much of Pu 240 and other higher weight isotopes of Pu. (What you want is relatively pure Pu 239.)

    Bomb fuel is made in a reactor specifically engineered to produce less of the higher weight isotopes of plutonium. Normal power reactors produce too much Pu 240.

    That makes the engineering for building a bomb out of it much tougher, since the core has to be crushed more quickly (due to large amount of spontaneous neutrons from Pu 240). The material is also much more dimensionally unstable. Pu is a weird metal in many ways and with the higher decay rate (and higher heat production) of the Pu 240, it changes phases and shape. Some of the dimensions of bomb cores are fairly tight tolerance.

    The British apparently had a program to make a plutonium bomb from Pu with a high level of heavier isotopes, but gave it up.

    This is why the US offered to build light water reactors for North Korea. It wasn't a major proliferation risk. The US reneged on it, but that's another sad tail of international relations.

    So, just having reprocessing plants is a bit less of a direct problem for proliferation than is often alleged, since the product of them (unless it came from a special reactor) isn't easy to use as bomb fuel.

    It's not that big a worry as far as nongovernment entities. It would be tough for even an advanced terrorist group to make use of the usual output material from a reprocessing plant.

    The indirect problem is that if a country has reprocessing plants already, it's harder to monitor that they aren't secretly setting up one of their reactors to make bomb fuel.

    So, that's the longwinded explanation of why I agree with the earlier poster that the Carter administration's decision was shortsighted.

    Just like I feel that the Clinton administration's decision to shut down research on the IFR was also a shortsighted payback to a political constituency. (The IFR was an advanced reactor that would have produced far less waste, and much shorter lived waste.)

  244. "duh duh duh" like carlos mencia says by eneye.seekay · · Score: 1

    does anyone really think we can grow a lot of corn and convert it into enough fuel to even make a blip on the global demand for fossil fuels?

    lots of windmills, eh?

    nuclear energy is the most abundant form of energy in the universe...we have a huge nuclear reactor in the sky that gives us daylight everytime our planet faces towards it! maybe we should try to understand it a little better and provide everyone on the planet with cheap cheap cheap energy.

    this article from 19 months ago pretty much spells it out...

    http://wired-vig.wired.com/wired/archive/12.09/chi na.html?pg=1&topic=china&topic_set=

  245. Terrorists?? by scsirob · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Pebble reactors are fine, until you count in terrorism.

    Just the fact that you mention this means that terrorists have already accomplished their goal. They try to make people terrified by stuff that *might* happen by having smaller events happen every now and then.

    --
    To Terminate, or not to Terminate, that's the question - SCSIROB
  246. Re: what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pl by zippthorne · · Score: 1

    Only iron is stable.

    --
    Can you be Even More Awesome?!
  247. The Real Cost of Nuclear Energy by arpk4n3 · · Score: 1

    ...Is paid in human lives. We're too stupid to use this technology.

  248. What a fucking asshole! by XB-70 · · Score: 0, Troll

    Patrick Moore is a fucking asshole! Reason? The fact that he did not do his due-diligence all those years ago. When you factor in the real cost to life of the various methods of the production of power, they all suck. Nuclear tends to suck less. If you want to find out why, just read all the other arguments, I'm too tired to go through all the pros and cons again, but I'm sure you'll find it there.

    My issue has always been with knee-jerk reactionaries like this who really don't think the problem through. This guy has been an asshole so long that he does not realize the harm he had directly or indirectly caused to the environment by his short-sighted actions. My question is: will he take responsibility for his role in degrading our enviroment? What will he do to rectify the situation?

    Regardless, I have no use for people like him and his cronies and I hope that they have a nasty bout of of some sort of lung ailment due to the pollution they're responsible for. Moreover, if it kill them, it will increase the amount of oxygen needed for the rest of us and reduce the pollution due to their methane-producing flatulence and halitosis.

    But, apart from that, I have no opinion!!

    --
    *** Don't be dull.***
  249. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by zippthorne · · Score: 1

    Pro: lots of nuclear waste shipping through either Los Angeles or San Franscisco
    con: it'll probably be very well shielded for the trip...

    --
    Can you be Even More Awesome?!
  250. There are other none too bright things... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Like people with your attitude wondering why their viewpoint doesn't sell well with the red state types they diss at every turn and consider barely human. You just couldn't resist assuming things because he was from Alabama.

    I think I can sum up most of your comment as "I pWned YoU!"

    Now, go back to myspace where you belong.

  251. meanwhile in soviet russia... by iogan · · Score: 1

    ... http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/4917526.stm

    no but seriously, I know Chernobyl could never happen "here" (wherever that is) because our designs are so different yada yada, but the fact is that Chernobyl was considered safe until such a time that the meltdown occured. People had simply not thought of that particular problem until it actually happened. Unfortunately, the same "this is completely safe and can under no circumstances have an accident" attitudes are still prevalent now.

    The point is, we don't really know if it's 100% safe, for the simple reason that we don't know all the factors involved infinitely well. Hence, for me, the problem with Nuclear power will always be that while it's almost 100% safe, if for some unforeseen reason it does fuck up, we'll be really really fucked afterwards.

    We might be sort of fucked anyway, but I think mitigating the risks couldn't hurt.

    my $0.02 anyway

    1. Re:meanwhile in soviet russia... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Hence, for me, the problem with Nuclear power will always be that while it's almost 100% safe, if for some unforeseen reason it does fuck up, we'll be really really fucked afterwards.


      On the contrary. Globally we could survive a vast number of nuclear disasters with no long-term, global effects from radiation.


      Consider, back in the sixties at the height of the cold war when we were surface-testing nuclear weapons we were generating the equivalent of one Chernobyl sized release every couple of weeks for months on end.


      Average background radiation worldwide is about 2mSv (milliSieverts) per annum. Global average exposure from the legacy of weapons fallout is now about 0.02mSv. Global average exposure from Chernobyl (20 years on) is 0.002mSv.


      We could have a Chernobyl-sized accident every year, indefinitely, and it would only be a problem locally. At least as far as radiation is concerned. (The loss of electrical generating capacity would be more catastrophic - and I guess that's the point.)

    2. Re:meanwhile in soviet russia... by TheOldBear · · Score: 1

      Soviet designed, graphite moderated, breeder / power reactors were considered 'safe'?

      --
      Caution: Do not stare into laser with remaining eye.
  252. They gotta get this in France by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

    Last week demonstrators (some from Greenpeace) opposed the construction of a last generation power plant at Cherbourg, saying that the only viable solution is in solar and wind energy. That and wood-burning too. Sigh, we lack pragmatic ecologists.

    Or maybe, with 70% of our electricity coming from a nuclear source, they are begining to promote the "next step".

    --
    The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
  253. Chernobyl 100,000 cancer deaths by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The BBC reports that:Chernobyl death figures 'too low'

    The health effects of the Chernobyl nuclear disaster in Ukraine 20 years ago have been grossly under-estimated, says an environmental charity.
    Recent studies estimate there will be 100,000 extra cancer deaths.
    A Doctor 300km (190 miles) west of Chernobyl, said "we now have to deal with people who are a lot weaker than their fathers and grandfathers were. They're falling ill at an age when they really should still be quite fit."
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/4917526.stm

  254. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Shoot it into the sun.. after we've found a way of getting it into orbit safely. It's goddamn obvious.

  255. Re:BS - BS my ass by Tarmas · · Score: 1

    No, you got your facts wrong.

    The United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR) stated in the year 2000 that only 31 people died because of the disaster, and 134 people could have been potentialy exposed to radiation. Furthermore, it's quite possible that most of the 1800 cases of thyroidal cancer diagnosed after the disaster in Ukraine, Russia and Belarus where not the effect of radiation, but rather the result of a scrupulous medical research that was never conducted before on such a mass scale.

    The next time you quote some figures, make sure you have offcial scientific documents to back up your theories. The UNSCEAR report I quoted has almost identical statistics and conclusions as reports from WHO, UNDP, UNICEF, and UN-OCHA.

    --
    Signature has left the building.
  256. Short term Fission, Long term Fusion? by mulhall · · Score: 1

    As we're discussing long term solutions, should we bring fusion into the mix?

    ITER (and the other tokamak projects) are talking about producing commercial power in the near term, and should at least solve the problem of waste...even if there are other issues.

    http://www.iter.org/ (Check out the cheesy front page)

  257. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Archtech · · Score: 1

    "What do we do with 48 tons of nuclear waste generated per year per plant"?

    Well, where did the uranium or other original fuel come from in the first place? It was dug up from underground, right? How much harm was it doing us before we dug it up?

    That should provide a clue. We simply put it back underground - naturally, choosing the safest places to do so. Bear in mind, as others have pointed out, that nuclear waste includes some highly radioactive material, and some that will remain radioactive for hundreds of thousands of years - but the long-lived stuff is low-level, and the high-level stuff isn't (relatively) long-lived.

    Besides, that 48 tons of waste isn't as big as it might sound. It's mostly heavy stuff. Now, 48 tons of water will fit in a cubic space less than 12 feet on a side; in other words, you could load it all on a single big container truck. 48 tons of nuclear waste takes up less space than that, because it is denser.

    Lastly, you have to compare apples with apples. In this universe, you are never going to get huge amounts of energy for nothing. How much waste does a coal-fired, gas-fired, or oil-fired power station emit in a year? In Britain at least, it was impossible to build nuclear power stations on the land previously occupied by coal-fired stations. The reason was that the ground was too radioactive. The tiny amounts of radioactivity in those millions of tons of coal ash built up to a residual level that was illegal for a nuclear plant - but nobody ever even thought of measuring it when the plant was coal-fired. If we insist on having far more stringent safety standards for nuclear than for other forms of energy, of course it is going to be very difficult and expensive.

    Note that I am not complaining about high levels of safety. But the nuclear industry has been bedevilled by a combination of unrealistically high standards and unacceptably slipshod delivery. We insist on containment structures with very big margins of safety - which are then built by contractors who have been known to leave bubbles inside big enough to accommodate a small vehicle. We regulate every part of the process to the nth degree, resulting in controls and procedures that are too complex for staff to cope with in emergency. But all of these precautions are vitiated (occasionally) by cynical, greedy management and lazy, incompetent workers.

    It would be better to specify realistic safety levels, but make absolutely sure they are always adhered to without exception.

    --
    I am sure that there are many other solipsists out there.
  258. The Adaptability the Human Race by Tempest451 · · Score: 1

    Global warming or Ice Age, it doesnt matter. As we have throughout history and as other species are capable of, we will adapt to whatever climate changes befall us. It seems to me most who clammor about Global Warming wish for others to imagine some End-of-Days senario where millions of people die because of a sudden and abrupt weather uphevil. Many species of plant and animal life that depend of frigile ecco-system will perish as may some primative human cultures, but humanity will carry one with little disruption. Is there a need for us to ween ourselves off fossil fuels? Yes. Is it because we'll all die if we dont? No.

    1. Re:The Adaptability the Human Race by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 1
      Oh boy. You're in for a shocker.

      Denial doesn't prevent you from getting whacked. There are more interesting things than global temperature change going on out there. Humanity will continue, as you say, but that doesn't preclude massive die-offs. Darwinism works largely on that principal.


      -Fl

  259. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by olman · · Score: 1

    You can sell nuclear energy to me when you can answer the question "What do we do with 48 tons of nuclear waste generated per year per plant"? Arrogant people think nuclear power is perfectly safe. Paranoid people think nuclear power will destroy the planet. Intelligent people see plant designs that are intrinsically safe, but want to know what we're going to do with the waste.

    Easy. Put it into the national nuclear waste repository http://www.posiva.fi/englanti/tutkimus_esittely.ht ml. Don't have one of those? Well too bad, pardner, vote smarter representatives.

    And to put things into perspective, 48 metric tons is a really minor amount when it's packed into containers. You can fit that into 2 standard 20' shipping containers, where the limiting factor is weight, not volume.

    48 tons sounds kinda much, by the way. 4 local reactors produce 70 tons combined annually.

  260. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by PatrickThomson · · Score: 1
    Nothing is perfectly safe--crossing the street is a greater hazard to you than Yucca mountain will be to anyone.

    LOL. So, are you speaking facetiously, or do you take yourself seriously?

    Ok, I'll bite. Has anyone in your community been killed by Yucca mountain? How many people a year worldwide are killed by Yucca mountain?

    --
    I am one of many. My idea is not unique, nor do I expect my voice alone to sway you. I speak in a chorus of opinion.
  261. HE'S RIGHT JUST LOOK AT FRANCE ! by RabidTrucker · · Score: 1
    So, this guy just sort of KNOWS there aren't any other energy sources eh? And of course, there's NOTHING WRONG WITH BEING SURROUNDED BY NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS. All you have to do is LOOK AT FRANCE. Maybe, just maybe, this guy doesn't know everything.

    http://www.newpath4.com/spacecolonization2006riley fountainofyouthsystemopensspacetourismspacelivings pacetravelspaceaerobicsspacehealthspacebabiesweigh tlessnessnotanissueanymoreflight.pdf

    Maybe then we should CLOSE ALL THE
    PATENT OFFICES since they aren't needed anymore.
    We just need to raise face mask production.

  262. a possible solution by master_p · · Score: 1

    A possible solution would be to send the waste to space...most propably the Sun would be a good solution. Of course it is assumed that a cheap way of launching nuclear waste to space has been invented; the space elevator, for example.

  263. The problem is Human Sentience. by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 1
    we're the only species on the planet with the capability to reduce and possibly reverse the cycle.

    I'd reword that as "we are the only species on the planet with the conscious capability..."

    Other species regulate the climate. Plants, in particular, could respond to climatic change by growing vigourously in the higher CO2 atmposhere and greater heat, sequestering the carbon and counteracting the greenhouse effect of CO2.

    For a simple treatment of the concept of ecological homeostasis, see Daisyworld

    This brings the real problem into sharper focus : Human "Free Will" and ingenuity. As Agent Smith says, every other mammal achieves an instinctive balance with its environment. He neglects to mention the mechanism ; typically, the animal will run up against the limitations of its habitat, and population regulation will occur through competition and scarcity of resources. Human intelligence makes our effective habitat the entire globe, and our only comptetition is each other. So unless we manage to develop a more global worldview, we are going to run up against the limitations of the entire globe, probably damaging the ecosystem further in the process, and fighting resource wars along the way.

    Some would say that we are already exceeding the limits of the globe, and that it's only a matter of time before the pain really kicks in.

    Since humans are the only species that effects the ecosystem with technology, and those effects are uniquely powerful in comparison to biological effects, it follows that the only comparable opposing force is also human technology. Here's hoping that we learn to distinguish the price of intervention from the cost of apathy, before it's too late.

  264. Well..... by kaiwai · · Score: 1

    I think the biggest dishonesty that the environmental movement have pushed is this idea that we can maintain the same standard of living if we some how pushed all the power plants into the ocean and started using biomass, geothermal (hotrock using water pumped down, and using the steam; as well as naturally occuring steam process), wind, solar and the likes.

    I'm sorry, but to cut down on output of CO2s, we first have to hault the growth in energy demand - some how come up with more efficient means of product THEN we must go in the reverse in respects to our energy usage. Now sure, we can go around, turn off lights, keep the temperate level rather than what I see in the US - the house so warm that people are walking around in singlets on.

    But with all that 'noble' energy savings, all this will come at a cost to our standard of living; now, I'm quite happy to ride my bike to work, use public transport, use less electricity, but at the same time, are the 6.9billion other inhabitants willing to do that? thats the thing they never answer.

    They never answer the amount of CO2 put out during the production of these 'renewable facilities' - as a UK environmentalist said, more pollution is put out during the production of these damn wind farms than the amount of CO2 they would have saved - it seems that these things, and sponsored by government, are nothing more than big bits of propaganda to hide the real problems which we face.

    Whilst all this is occuring we have GWB running off to Iraq, spending $500billion of US funds for a war that needn't be fought - imagine if that $500billion was all redirected into R&D for Fusion power - imagine where we would be NOW if that occured; we would already be seeing them designed for coming online in 10 years, hydrogen powered car prototypes would be getting tested, and we would be on the road to sustainable power.

    The EU, rather than spending billions upon billions supporting inefficient farmers, they redirected it towards Fusion power, same situation; it seems that government are all very willing to spend money on vote winners like corporate or agricultural welfare, but when it comes to long term funding to address long term, unsexy issues, they seem to go AWOL.

  265. ok about US, but what about the rest of the world? by master_p · · Score: 1

    For example, how should the energy needs of "rogue" countries be covered? Will a future Iran be trusted with nuclear reactors? and what if they are not? there are not only political consequences, but also environmental ones. If 3rd world countries can not sustain the operation of safe nuclear plants or use them as an excuse for nuclear weapons, then not much good will come out of using nuclear energy.

    Of course by using nuclear energy, many political problems will be solved (dependency on oil), but it has got to be worldwide, otherwise there are going to be great consequences.

  266. Netcraft Confirms It by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1970's scientists predicted global cooling.

  267. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    The most radioactive elements will have decayed in less than a thousand years.

    Sorry, but you're wrong. The half-life or Uranium 238 (the most common variety) is 4.5 billion years... so I don't think I'd want to smell the number you presented, because I think I know where you pulled it from... even lesser isotopes of Uranium (234) have a half-life of 245,000 years. Of course you could be correct with some of the lesser isotopes created during the fission process, but the vast majority (like 90%) will still be Uranium 238.

    Sorry, but he's right. In fact, thank you for proving his point. U-238 is called depleted uranium, and due to its long half-life, is not very radioactive. If you have N radioactive atoms with a half-life of Y years, you will get about N/(2*Y) radiation particles per year. To reduce radioactivity, decrease N or increase Y.

    The stuff that makes nuclear waste really hot - lots of radiation particles per second - is hot because it has a short half-life. Burning hot equals burning fast. In ten years, much less a hundred, "high-level" waste is a LOT less radioactive.

    If you think long half-life is bad, please go to the drug store and protest Pepto-Bismol. It's made with Bismuth-209, which is very slightly radioactive. Its half life is around 1.9e19 years, about a billion times the present age of the universe. And it's an alpha emitter. And it's sold for people to take internally. Oh, my!

  268. Nuclear Nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Patrick Moore is a nuclear lobbyist, hardly an 'environmentalist' though he loves to trumpet his green credentials. This whole environmentalist argument for nuclear has been roundly debunked already. Don't believe the hype.

  269. How do you keep an Environmentalist in suspense by trigggl · · Score: 1
    Put them on a sine wave.

    It's an Ice Age. Wait, it's global warming. Hold on, it's an Ice age...global warming...

    --
    Ops, I shuld have usd the prevuwe but in.
  270. Asking seriously... by cfx666 · · Score: 1
    Can you tell me what happens if some of the pebbles break? How do prevent a critical mass if the graphite and the fuel are mixed up?

    Cfx

    --
    You have 2 nucular Moderator Points! Use 'em or loose 'em!
  271. A Caution by Makarakalax · · Score: 1

    The scientists at RealClimate are biased and their conclusions should be taken with a grain of salt. Yes I'm a scientist. You don't have to respect my opinion but I'd ask people don't automatically assume they are telling truths just because they are scientists.

    Most scientists have some agenda they are trying to push, just like everyone else.

  272. Do the math right by extract · · Score: 1

    There is 3-4 times as much Thorium as Uranium. All uranium that is. Only the U235 isotope is fissionable and makes up 0.7% of all Uranium. However it is only possible through enrichment to extract 0.5%. And since U233 is 40x as energy rich as U235, the proper calculation looks like this:

    3 x (0,5/100) x 40 = 24,000

    There is at least 24,000 x as much energy in the world's Thorium deposits as there is in the world's U235.
    With a conservative estimate it will take 1,000,000 years to burn all that U233 breeded from Thorium.

    1. Re:Do the math right by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1
      With a conservative estimate it will take 1,000,000 years to burn all that U233 breeded from Thorium.

      You are correct that I got the math wrong.

      It does seem that if a safe and practical method is found to run fission from thorium, it would be a long-lived solution. (Modulo reactor safety, security/proliferation, and waste issues; which are all less with thorium than uranium, but still significant.)

      I'd tentatively move it into the same category as fusion, then; currently theoretically promising, but needing much more research to be practical. So I'll modify my stance to say that uranium fission is at best a short-term stopgap, and we'd be better served putting those resources into renewables, efficiency, and research into fusion and thorium-based fission.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
  273. Nuclear waste or electrical waste? by stephenlhicks · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Its outrageous that not once in Patrick Moore's article did he mention that we should be doing all we can to REDUCE the amount of electricity we use.

    Who has a huge inefficient fridge? Who has a 500 watt powersupply, a fat TV, bar radiators and central heating? Who leaves their computers on when they leave work, or even when they go to bed?!

    We need to stop looking for replacements for our massive appetite for power and use our brains to develop devices that are energy efficient. Nuclear power will only replace one environmental problem with another, the long term legacy of radioactive waste.


    "I may bend your precious airplane, but I'll get it down." Ted Striker
  274. Re: what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pl by Dolda2000 · · Score: 1

    No, that is utterly incorrect. Iron-56 is the most stable isotope (of great natural abundance -- Nickel-62 is actually the most stable isotope, but due to circumstances unknown to me it is not produced in stellar fusion), but it is by no means the only stable isotope. In this context, X being "more stable" than Y means that the binding energy per nucleon is greater in X than in Y. Being "stable", however, means that the subject does not undergo spontaneous decay. If you want to prove me wrong, how about presenting me with the half-life of e.g. Hydrogen-1? (And no, proton decay does not count -- primarily because it would affect Iron as well)

  275. Next gen reactors (available now-ish) by msevior · · Score: 1

    There have been improvements in safety systems. The Westinghouse AP1000 recently approved by the NRC and proposed for deployment at 5 locations in the States within the next 8 years is projected to be 100 times safer than current reactors (and less than half the price to build).

    See:

    http://www.nuclearinfo.net/Nuclearpower/WebHomeAcc identsAtNuclearPowerPlants

    and

    http://www.nuclearinfo.net/Nuclearpower/WebHomeCos tOfNuclearPower

    Regarding waste storage, Yucca is undergoing final review. In the longer term the US proposes to build next generation "burner" reactors to transmute the trans Uranics to shorter-lived waste. Current plans are for prototypes in 2014, commercial deployment in the 2020's.

    It remains to be seen if the US can maintain the funding required to see these projects to frution. Long term development projects in the States have to have their funding reviewed every year and there is always some senator with an axe to grind...

    Anyway, see:

    http://www.gnep.energy.gov/

  276. When is enough, enough? by dpilot · · Score: 1

    According to some, let the market decide.

    As forests disappear, the marketplace will increase their value, and that increased value will lead to the preservation of what's left.
    As clean water disappears, its value will increase, etc.

    Yeah, right. I see 3 problems with this stance:

    1: Marketplace arguments presume that everything is fungible and flexible. I won't say absolutely that forests aren't, but I have this hunch that they're not. It's kind of like the line between quantum and classical mechanics. How small can you make a forest until it's just a bunch of trees, and not really a forest? Or more to the point, how small can you make a forest until it can't really sustain itself or its local ecosystem?

    2: Marketplace arguments also presume that if an opportunity exists, someone will step up to fill it. But let's say that after the forest is gone, we decide we really wanted it after all. Someone can try to step up to the plate and rebuild a forest, but I suspect we really don't know enough to rebuild the local ecosystem. Even if we did, there's the question of whether the "base components" still exist, whether they can be transplanted. We might still only be able to rebuild a clump of trees, not a true forest. Beyond that, and assuming we can hurdle all of those challenges, there is the element of TIME. Nature works on many time scales, and some of them just aren't human.

    3: People often do just plain stupid things, driven by the marketplace. Let's say that forests dwindle and become scarce. For some that will drive their value up, and drive the urge to preserve. OTOH, others have been making their living exploiting the forests, and while they *should* be motivated to preserve their livelihood for the long haul, it's far more likely that they'll just be more motivated to continue their current business plans on what little's left. Then no doubt after having fought government regulatory "interference" that would have preserved the forests, they'll cry for a government handout when it's all gone. By the way, guess who is in the position to do what they want, the fastest - the people already exploiting the forests, or the people who newly value and want to move to preserve them? (I'm discounting those who currently value and want to preserve forests, obviously.)

    As for the endangered species act, isn't that the thing that there's all sorts of court action going on now, in order to gut/limit it? This so that landowners can do what THEY want with THEIR land.

    Yesterday there was a report on NPR, about the collapse of the Atlantic marine ecosystem. It turns out that the biggest problem isn't even the fish we think about, but a small fish near the bottom of the food chain. Turns out that there is a company harvesting this (nameforgotten) fish practically out of existence, for uses that are completely replacable by other more sustainable means. In the process they're destroying the ability of the Atlantic marine ecosystem to sustain other industries. Inertia.

    --
    The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
  277. Three words by Gleemonex · · Score: 1

    About. Fucking. Time.

    -Glee

    --
    Many a true word hath been spoken in jest -- mod funny posts "Informative".
  278. visit in the night by Maalstrom+Aran · · Score: 1

    The writer of this article had a midnight visit with Bush, or at least some of Bush's croneys.

    --
    Truth is a matter of perspective. Wear the other guy's shoes before you dismiss him.
  279. Japan has nothing to do with it by istartedi · · Score: 1

    The US has held itself back over its continuing collective guilt over ending WWII by using nuclear weapons on Japan

    That's way off base. If the US was holding it self back, how do you explain the massive nuclear arsenal we built to counter the Soviet threat during the Cold War? I can tell you what holds back civilian nuclear construction by the US in three words: Three Mile Island.

    I was a kid when that happened, but old enough to remember them showing fallout radii on the 6 o'clock news. It was nothing compared to Chernobyl, but the media feeding frenzy that followed firmly etched nuclear power as unsafe in the American mind. The Springfield Nuclear Power Plant on The Simpsons isn't something Groening et. al. invented--it's just an exagerated look at the way many Americans feel about nuclear.

    Until attitudes change and something is done to reassure the public that new plants can be run safely, we will build no new plants.

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
  280. It's the butterfly effect! by hanshotfirst · · Score: 1

    According to the Butterfly Effect, when a butterfly flaps its wings in one part of the world it causes a chain reaction resulting in a hurricane in another part.

    Observation: We have been having more and higher-intensity hurricanes in the US.

    Observation: We violently oppose the destruction of wildlife habitats, and the conservation of species that might otherwise have gone extinct as victims of natural selection.

    Conclusion: By protecting rare butterfly species and their exclusive environments we have increased the number of butterflies in the world, thus increasing the frequency and intensity of the hurricanes by the Butterfly Effect.

    --
    Why, oh why, didn't I take the Blue Pill?
  281. You underestimate the destruction by Kombat · · Score: 1

    Why is an owl more important than a logger's family? Why is old-growth forest more important than a parking lot?

    This guy is an obvious troll, but I thought it was a good opportunity to highlight just how
    decimated the South American rainforests have become. Personally, I'm a woodworker (see my sig), so I appreciate being able to create beautiful and exotic gifts and heirlooms from unique and natural woods, but it's clear from this that the loggers are acting completely irresponsibly. I understand that in North America, we build our homes out of wood instead of stone and concrete, because it is cheaper. And there's nothing wrong with that, because forests are a renewable resource. The problem, however, comes when the trees are not replanted.

    Honestly. Look at this. That blows my mind. Look at the zoom bar on the left, look how far out you're zoomed. Don't you agree that when you can see such massive deforestation from outer space, that maybe it's time to look at our lumber importation policies and ensure that we're only buying wood from loggers who are replanting? Sure, maybe it'll cost a little more, but what are the alternatives? We're going to run out, and it's so stupid, because it doesn't have to happen that way. Trees are renewable! I say chop down as many as you want, just replant them. What's happening right now is just irresponsible, selfish, and short-sighted.

    --
    Like woodworking? Build your own picture frames.
  282. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Luscious868 · · Score: 1
    Look, I agree, this was a bad decision by Carter. But someone should remind you that you can't blame Carter and his party for why this is still in effect - they're long out of power!
    Oh yes you can. You can blame Carter and his party and all of the other tree huggers for demagoging the issue so much as to make the majority of Americans think that nuclear energy is "bad". It doesn't take much to scare the average American into doing something stupid and counter-productive. See Iraq.
  283. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by vtcodger · · Score: 1
    ***You can sell nuclear energy to me when you can answer the question "What do we do with 48 tons of nuclear waste generated per year per plant ***

    The short answer is that you load it into two eighteen wheelers or one railroad car and cart it off to Yucca Mountain where it occupies maybe the volume of a suburban living room (after packaging). Even if the number of US nukes were to quadruple -- which is probably pushing what can be done with current technology and site availability -- that's about three truckloads a day arriving at the storage facility. I'd imagine that 100 guys working with hand tools could excavate enough storage space to handle the likely load. Obviously, that's not the way excavation will be done, but it should help to make the point that storage space is not the issue that it seems to be. With reprocessing, (a proven technology that has been used in Europe for more than a decade) the weight and volume of this stuff can be reduced by a lot, BTW.

    Why Yucca Mountain? Because, if it leaks, there is essentially no one downstream. The drainage is into one of two closed basins -- Yucca Flat or -- via the Armagosa River (which carries a trace of surface water maybe five days a year) to Death Valley. Considering the number of Nuclear devices that were tested in the Nevada Test Range in the 1950s, I'm not sure that even a defective waste repository at Yucca Mountain would be the worst nuclear polluter in the area.

    The long answer is a lot longer, and takes into account waste from Uranium mining (toxic heavy metals as well as radioactives); the radon and other radioactives released by alternatives like petroleum and coal; half lives of everything; the liklihood that damn fools will blow up a reactor by doing something mistaken (Three Mile Island--which, in the long run, did not blow) or incredibly stupid (Chernobyl -- which did) etc, etc, etc.

    I don't know the answer -- and neither does anyone else. But I do know that if the planet plans to support 6 or 7 billion folks in reasonable comfort, it will take a lot of joules (about a thousandth of a BTU for us Americans). Probably not the million BTUs a day that each American or Canadian consumes, but way more than the few thousand a day currently used by the average person in say Somolia. My take is that trying to provide all that energy from fossil fuels is going to be a lot worse than nuclear power even if free market forces and the general stupidity of mankind manage to take a few power plants critical I also think that fission power plants are the only proven, available, source that is likely to be able to provide that much energy short term.

    I'm not against ethanol, windpower, tidal generation, and solar power, but it's clear that both proponents and opponents of those technologies are lying nonstop about their virtues and defects. When one of them proves itself, and is clearly capable of massive deployment, maybe I'll change my mind about nukes. But for now, fossil fuels are a disaster in progress. Nuclear power is a solvable engineering problem. Other alternatives are betting on unproven technology.

    --
    You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
  284. Plan for building Nuclear Power Plants by laughing_gorilla · · Score: 1

    Lets build a circular artificial reef 7 miles off the coast. Place 3 reactors, each in their own hardened containment structure x2, then you can do maintenance on each of them independently without killing the sea life attracted to the thermalk plume your cooling plant produces. Use the electricity to make Hydrogen, and pipe it back to shore. If the pipeline breaks you have hydrogen bubbles that will be absorbed, and at worst if it catches fire you have water in the ocean.

  285. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by j-beda · · Score: 1

    You can sell nuclear energy to me when you can answer the question "What do we do with 48 tons of nuclear waste generated per year per plant [sfgate.com]"? Arrogant people think nuclear power is perfectly safe. Paranoid people think nuclear power will destroy the planet. Intelligent people see plant designs that are intrinsically safe, but want to know what we're going to do with the waste.

    How about we grind it up fine and release it to the atmosphere? Or make big piles of the radioactive waste and leave them laying around?

    Oh, that's how the radioactive elements in most coal is dealt with... from wikipedia we learn: Coal also contains many trace elements, including arsenic and mercury, which are dangerous if released into the environment. Coal also contains low levels of uranium, thorium, and other naturally-occurring radioactive isotopes whose release into the environment may lead to radioactive contamination.[6][7] While these substances are trace impurities, enough coal is burned that significant amounts of these substances are released, paradoxically resulting in more radioactive waste than nuclear power.

    I suppose that using current "waste" in reactors designed to extract energy from it is out of the question?

  286. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by graffix_jones · · Score: 1

    Okay, I'll bite back...

    How many of your friends/family were killed and/or permanently injured at the Chernobyl incident (or insert any other disaster here).

    Oh, none? Well, that means that it must not have been dangerous then, correct?

    People's inability to think beyond the next ten years never ceases to amaze me.

    The point I was trying to make is this... what happens if there's an earthquake that collapses whole sections of the facility, then this waste leaches down into the water table, and traverses it's way down to Las Vegas?

    Would you like to have a nuclear contaminated water supply? I wouldn't.

  287. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by brother.sand · · Score: 1

    Those aren't the ONLY solutions. I'll tell you what to do with it, and this isn't my idea, it's been floated around before. You take one standard issue ocean oil drilling platform and you postition it at an Atlantic subduction zone. Using its ability to drill down up to 30 miles deep you create a 30 mile deep hole. Then ships bring the nuclear waste material to the platform where it is then packed into the hole. It may be a good idea to leave the top 5 miles or so empty or just stuffed with sand just to prevent morons from tampering with it. When the hole is full move 200 yards to the left and repeat the process. Over the next thousand years geological forces will pull the nuclear material down below the crust of planet Earth.

    At this point the problem is effectively gone. There is an outside chance that the material may come back up in a volcano in a billion years or so, but that is well past the half-life of our material and really a volcano is a much bigger issue. Actually, the mantle is higher in radioactive content then the crust anyways. I think this would provide permanent disposal.

  288. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by graffix_jones · · Score: 1

    I'm not saying that we should try for a Utopian society, I just think we should look elsewhere for sources of energy.

    I have a degree in environmental economics, which deals primarily with energy and natural resource use. Now if we take the billions and billions of dollars that would be invested in nuclear facilities and waste containment, and instead invested that into real green solutions, we could solve our energy problems within the next 20 years.

    Instead, people would rather look to the past and try to ressurrect failed attempts at 'green' energy production than look to the future.

    I'll admit that nuclear energy is a safe way to 'produce' energy, but containing the waste from production is the big hurdle, and we have no idea what consequences we could face in the next 4.5 billion years. To me, that's too large of a risk to take, when we can develop better sources of energy within an eyeblink (in geologic time).

  289. Re:smug? by shadow-9 · · Score: 1

    Absolutely, I agree that learning more and at some points changing your mind about things that are incorrect is a great thing. No problem there.

    What I dislike is not the guy, but the fanaticism he has about issues that he might not be correct on. I also dislike the blindness that the people who follow him have about the reality of what he is promoting.

    The problem I see here, which his change in belief shows, is how these activist groups go off and blaze into the public, demanding changes, when they cannot be sure that these things are really the right things to do. There is no calm reflection and research into these things once the followers get into it; it's all mobs and protests and bullying. That changes our society, sometimes for the wrong, and then it's more difficult to retract later because these things are accepted and the 'norm'.

  290. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The point I was trying to make is this... what happens if there's an earthquake that collapses whole sections of the facility, then this waste leaches down into the water table, and traverses it's way down to Las Vegas?

    That's what the giant stainless steel casks are for.

  291. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by PatrickThomson · · Score: 1

    "What happens when, what could happen, what might happen if."

    I will grant you one thing, people who forget the past are doomed to repeat it. It's only through the continual references to the one "victory" for anti-nuclear protestors that the rest of the world realises that safety is always a top priority.

    --
    I am one of many. My idea is not unique, nor do I expect my voice alone to sway you. I speak in a chorus of opinion.
  292. Sustainability by BeanThere · · Score: 1

    Sustainability

    If you really follow the ideas and cause-and-effect through to their logical conclusion, it's evident that non-sustainability is basically just time-shifted murder - stealing something from someone in the future or killing them for it. There is little difference between Bios_Hakr saying something like "In short, if there isn't a direct payoff to me, then fuck it.", and someone saying something like "In short, it's OK to kill Bios_Hakr for his wallet because there's a direct payoff to me".

  293. Huh? by BeanThere · · Score: 1

    Of course, there's always the "we'll run out of oil by 1995" theories running around

    Where did you get this? Even the most pessimistic peak oil projections put us "running out" of oil at the very earliest around the 2040's.

  294. Limited liability by jjo · · Score: 1

    This is a recurrent refrain from the wooly-headed left: the limited-liability corporation must be abolished, so that everyone associated with the corporation will have to pay when the corporation does bad things. Well, all I can say is that anyone who entertains such a thought, while living in modern society and enjoying the benefits of the modern economic system, had better realize that it would bring the level of economic activity back 200 years, causing mass starvation as one of the least objectionable effects.

    The point is that if investors, or managers, are fully liable for the actions of other people who they don't control, the only prudent thing for them to do is to withdraw: dont't invest, or don't accept employment, with any company larger than your family or intimate friends. Even that is not particularly safe: before the widespread use of limited-liability corporations, people were regularly bankrupted by the actions (corrupt or merely incompetent) of their partners.

    1. Re:Limited liability by HiThere · · Score: 1

      No. I'm not saying the investors should be liable, unless they hold seats on the board, or over 10% of the stock I don't consider investors to be to blame. I'm saying the executives, the people who have control over what the corporation does, should be liable.

      Please understand the distinction.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  295. It's just me, flogging Malcolm Gladwell again by smellsofbikes · · Score: 1

    His brilliant article about SUV's and minivans comparing their safety. It's not just that the SUV passenger has many times higher risk of getting injured once a crash has happened, it's that the SUV has a higher chance of getting in a crash. And it's not just that the SUV's crash more often, it's that, if you factor out the handling differences, people who choose to buy SUV's drive in a manner more likely to lead to a crash than people who choose to drive minivans.

    --
    Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
    1. Re:It's just me, flogging Malcolm Gladwell again by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Ah, thank you. I don't think that's the article I was thinking of, but it makes the point nicely.

      I've driven full size trucks and vans... when you're driving one of those you KNOW it's a truck. Not a sports car. SUVs try to bill themselves as sports cars, but they're really trucks. If you drive a truck like you would a sports car, you're going to get into trouble.

    2. Re:It's just me, flogging Malcolm Gladwell again by smellsofbikes · · Score: 1

      Yep. And if you buy a car with the expectation that it's better-constructed to survive a crash, you just might drive in a manner more liable to result in a crash -- even if it's *not* a better car for a crash. As the man says, if you think you're safe, you make yourself unsafe; if you think you're at risk you make yourself safer. Car manufacturers could game this system, but if they do, we don't buy their products (FSVO 'we'.)

      --
      Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
  296. Solar Thermal Power by MZdoctor · · Score: 1

    Quotation from the article: "Wind and solar power have their place, but because they are intermittent and unpredictable they simply can't replace big baseload plants such as coal, nuclear and hydroelectric."
    Apparently Moore has never heard of Concentrating Solar Power. This is a proven technology which, combined with heat storage, can replace all the baseload plants in the world. Although the heat storage part is still in a more or less experimental phase, there is no doubt that it can be done.
    The best and most economical place to build CSP power stations happens to be in hot arid areas, where nobody wants to live anyway. Instead of being detrimental to the environment, the shade of the collector fields will probably be beneficial to the local environment. The current state of High Voltage Direct Current technology is such that one cable can transport over 6 gigawatts of electricity over thousands of kilometers. This is already being done in China.

    Moore and the collective Slashdot crowd should be ashamed of themselves for completely ignoring this option.

  297. Revolutions by SeanDuggan · · Score: 1

    You sacrifice some small piece of your ideology in exchange for real political power, until piece by piece you haven't got any ideology left, and it turns out you've become everything you set out to change.
    Like the quote goes, "The problem with revolutions is that they generally turn you 360 degrees."

    --
    This sig has absolutely no significance and serves only to take up screen space and waste the time of the reader.
  298. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by nuzak · · Score: 1

    To put this in perspective, all the used fuel produced to date by the U.S. nuclear energy industry in more than 40 years of operation--some 40,000 metric tons--would cover an area the size of a football field to a depth of about five yards, if the fuel assemblies were stacked side by side and laid end to end.

    Wow. That does put it in perspective, i.e. it's quite a lot a lot less than I had previously thought. Hell, the average landfill dwarfs that.

    Of course it gets a lot bigger once you stick it into barrels, and said landfill has to be pretty deep and in a geologically stable area...

    Anyway, isn't there a lot more than used fuel to deal with? Stuff like used coolant is pretty hot too, isn't it?

    --
    Done with slashdot, done with nerds, getting a life.
  299. Correction by einhverfr · · Score: 1

    I meant to say a meter of rising water, not a meter of coastland. And it varies city by city.

    A 1m rise would have very little effect on Seattle, but might have a serious impact on Miami.

    --

    LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
  300. You are forgetting that it's a chaotic system by FhnuZoag · · Score: 1

    Um, no.

    The quote says that it is wrong to blame a single weather event specifically on global warming, full stop. Because weather is so complicated that there are dozens of possible input factors, the removal of any one of which would prevent that single specific event.

    Would Katrina have happened without GW, based solely on a natural cycle effect? Probably not.
    Would Katrina have happened without a natural cycle effect, based solely on GW? Probably not.
    Would Katrina have happened without a small boy in Eastern Africa coughing at precisely 1300 on new year's day, 2000? Probably not.

    So who's to blame? Is not blaming the third option an example of an evil pro-GW agenda? Is this a terrible lapse of logic? The statement is saying that if GW has any effect, it would be that of increasing the likelihood of Katrina, and so we could blame it for a long term trend of increased Hurricane frequencies. But if our data point is one single dot, then it would be fallacious to declare any single factor as 'the one'.

    What the statement says is that asking 'was this caused by humans' is the wrong question, because if you are talking about single events in chaotic systems like the weather, you can ask 'was this caused by X' for practically any X and get 'yes' with a near 100% confidence interval.

    1. Re:You are forgetting that it's a chaotic system by Wavicle · · Score: 1

      The quote says that it is wrong to blame a single weather event specifically on global warming, full stop.

      No read it again. The sentence continues after that.

      Would Katrina have happened without GW, based solely on a natural cycle effect? Probably not.

      No, but weather is most definitely a natural process. Thus in absence of convincing evidence otherwise, nature is the assumption.

      Would Katrina have happened without a natural cycle effect, based solely on GW? Probably not.

      No. That's the first question that was proposed, and the answer was no.

      Would Katrina have happened without a small boy in Eastern Africa coughing at precisely 1300 on new year's day, 2000? Probably not.

      No. That could be shown with any reasonable confidence interval to be a non-causal factor.

      But if our data point is one single dot, then it would be fallacious to declare any single factor as 'the one'.

      No.

      What the statement says is that asking 'was this caused by humans' is the wrong question

      No.

      because if you are talking about single events in chaotic systems like the weather, you can ask 'was this caused by X' for practically any X and get 'yes' with a near 100% confidence interval.

      Most emphatically no.

      Did you ever take a formal course in statistics? One requiring differential calculus or better?

      --
      Education is a better safeguard of liberty than a standing army.
      Edward Everett (1794 - 1865)
  301. In related news by Cargo+Cult+Islander · · Score: 2, Informative

    Greenpeace just issued a report made in collaboration with 40 ukranian, russian and white russian scientists where they claim that the estimated death toll from the Chernobyl accident has been extremely underestimated by the International Atomic Energy Agency. The IAEA estimated the total death toll to 4000 people. Greenpeace and the east european scientists estimated that 93,000 people died from Chernobyl related cancer cases. Added to that is the immense social costs from the forced relocation of 300,000 people from the local area.

    http://www.greenpeace.org/international/news/chern obyl-deaths-180406

    Now, I have a few questions.

    Why doesn't /. bring news from the anti-nuclear lobby and only news planted by the pro-nuclear lobby?

    How long are the /. crowd going to accept being tricked by the pro-nuclear power plant lobby? That industry have more money than M$. The last two years increased interest is a classic case of an industry manipulating the public opinion. Do the friendly Linux crowd accept to be manipulated by big business and slick spin doctors? Does anybody?

    And regarding the article: How do we remove the CO2 emissions from the mining, transport and processing of the nuclear fuel? In reality those emissions are so big that nuclear power plants only emits 30% as much CO2 as a traditional coal powered plant.

    Nuclear Power is a non-renewable power source. Why not just skip directly to investments in renewable power sources instead of relying on costly, risky, centralized Nuclear Power plants?

  302. Nuclear Energy Is No Solution by h4ck7h3p14n37 · · Score: 1
    The article fails to mention two extremely important problems regarding the substitution of nuclear energy for petroleum.

    1. There's a limited supply of Uranium.
    2. It takes a lot of oil to build a nuclear power plant.

    I can't find a reference at the moment, but I seem to recall hearing something like we only have a 20 year supply of Uranium if we use it to replace oil. Likewise, I can't find a pretty chart showing how, in about a hundred years, we've managed to deplete an amount of oil that took millions of years to generate.

    I don't want to be a pessimist, but I don't think there is a solution to our energy problems other than either (a) a dramatic change in how we live, (b) a massive reduction in World population, or (c) aliens stopping by and helping us out. As I see it, "b" is the most likely to occur as governments fight for possesion of a dwindling supply of natural resources. The bottom line is that our current lifestyle is completely unsustainable and will have to go sooner or later. I'm just glad I'll be dead before the shit really hits the fan.

  303. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by hunterx11 · · Score: 1
    we have no idea what consequences we could face in the next 4.5 billion years

    We know exactly what we face--the Sun will expand as it depletes its hydrogen, and all life on Earth will die.

    --
    English is easier said than done.
  304. Elk River not a REAL reactor (not a powerstation) by rickst29 · · Score: 1
    Elk River was a tiny 22 Megawatt reactor, which was only running for 4 years. It is best characterized as a "research" reactor. (Hint: Google the exact phrase "Elk River Research"... it was research, not production.

    Real-world powerstations are typically up to 50x as powerful, and (more important) they are typically run for about 8 times as long (i.e., a lifespan of 30-40 years). The scale and scope of the decommission problem is DIRECTLY related to how long the installation was running... that's what determines the radioactivity of the structural materials in the reactor building. And a production reactor also has an enormous volume of radioactive material to deal with-- according to CCNR http://www.ccnr.org/me_worry_2.html, typically about 7000 cubic meters.

    They state that Elk River cost only $6 million to build (a pipsqueek; a typical production nuclear site costs $50M+). But they they list a cost of $57 million to dismantle it! This is a success story ???

    Another "success story", Shippingport, cost "only $91 million". But that number is fraudulent, because (a) the reactor vessel was shipped intact to Hanford WA, where nearly all of the dismantling work was done for free (i.e., on the TAXPAYERS' dime); (b) the vessel and other disposed materials were disposed in Federal WA and ID facilities at fees far below those of commercial sites like Barnwell; (c) only the "nuclear parts" were dismantled, not the "conventional parts" (they didn't do the whole job!); and (d) like Elk River, Shippingport was a pipsqueek, only 72 MegaWatts.

    The only other decommissioned and dismantled reactor in USA history is Shoreham. (I exclude the tiny and irrelevant Sodium-Experimental at Santa Susana.) Shoreham was 100% easy, because it was in 'production' for less than a month: hardly any of the non-nuclear parts had time to develop any radiation at all.

    All other USA reactors, AFAIK, are entombed, SAFSTOR, or DECON in progress. Basically, we're waiting several decades for the radiation to "work its way downwards", and inflict the costs on our Grandchildren and Great-Grandchildren.

    However, it ISmy opinion that this is a great streategy for all of the Nukes which are already built and running (or built, done running, and shut down). Letting all of this hot stuff sit in place for a while, to cool down, is far better than schemes such as packing it while still really hot into "permanent disposal" containers at Yucca Mountain... containers which we might find horribly difficult to dismantle and re-entomb if/when they fail. (Kinda like the Chernyobl concrete entombment failing.)

    - - - -

    I'd mod gonefishing up... he had a real point of discussion. Dave's post is not "insightful", it's just nasty and thoughtless.

    • Dave, you can't PROVE a "there exist none" generalization such as I made, you DISPROVE it by counterexample (as gonefishing does). That's how way logic works. Heard of Aristotle?
    • 5000 years of 'civilization': First, it's not one civilization, but many separate civilizations. Historically, none have lasted more than a few hundred years. And yet, you ask me to provide "a reason why such a feat would not be possible". Again, you use childish sophistry... because I won't make a guarantee that it's 100% impossible, you snear that my scenario (failure only 80% likely? 95% likely?) doesn't matter. How many 'lost' languages don't we understand? But for a few dedicated monks in Ireland, we'd be without lots of significant writings from Roman times. And yet, you aren't worried that our maps and lists of where not to go won't be lost? Even in 10,000 years?
    • My '60 years experience' point is this: In the history of mankind, no weapon of war has preiously been invented and noteventually used. We have a 60-year old uneasy truce in place on nukes.... but the nuclear power station fuel rod business uses the same technology as the nuclear warhead materials busines
  305. Death toll: Coal, 21,500 per year; Nuclear, 0.62 by GPS+Pilot · · Score: 1

    The recent loss off 12 coal miners in West Virginia was tragic, but what the media doesn't tell us is that in 2004, the worldwide death toll among coal miners was a whopping 21,500!! (Most of the accidents happened in China.) That's as many deaths, every single year, as seven World Trade Centers stacked atop each other.

    Contrast the coal industry with the nuclear power industry; in its entire history, there's been only one incident with fatalities. (Chernobyl, a reactor that was orders of magnitude less safe than modern designs, killed 31 people. Divide that by the 50-year existance of the nuke power industry, and you get an annual death toll of 0.62 persons.)

    If all coal-fired power plants were converted to nuclear, we'd immediately surpass the goals of the Kyoto Protocol. Environmentalists spend a lot more time criticizing nuclear power than coal; the facts show they are barking up the wrong tree. Even when they criticize coal, they do so for the wrong reasons - like acid rain, which pales in comparison to the massive death toll among miners.

    --
    That that is is that that that that is not is not.
  306. Re:what to do with 48T/yr of nuclear waste per pla by chud67 · · Score: 1

    You can sell nuclear energy to me when you can answer the question "What do we do with 48 tons of nuclear waste generated per year per plant?"

      I have a truly marvelous solution to this nuclear waste problem, which this margin is too narrow to contain.

  307. Nukular = nuke weapons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuclear "power" means weapons technology. Whether it is dirty bombs (our "depleted" uranium weapons) or atomic explosives.

    What environmentalist wants that? A paid off one.

    We have come up with the way to dispose of Uranium from reactors, we pump it into habited areas of Iraq and the
    former Yugoslavia by sending burning rounds into buildings,
    cities and farm land. And soon into Iran. Or we store it
    in river valleys and next to the oceans (the normal location for water hungry nuke plants)

    As Greenpeace Russia cites studies of 90,000 plus casualties
    from Chernobyl, nukular "power" would be a great solution in
    the poorer or richer cultures where lax regulation, corruption or expediency allows an "oops" to happen. A reactor breach, a sale of some enriched stuff to ??, an export of technology from our "friends" (Pakistan) to our "enemies" (anyone who controls their own oil resources).

    Technology hubrists will claim that all the above are
    just minor problems because:

    a. outdated tech caused it.
    b. one time abberation.
    c. never really happened.
    d. can't ever happen again.
    e. depleted Uranium is reeeelly reeally reeally safe.

    Riiiight.

  308. Re: 4 USA "nuclear power plants" decommissioned by rickst29 · · Score: 1
    Nice post, nice reference! But each of these is a really bad example of a "decommissioned nuclear power plant":

    • Fort St. Vrain: An HTGR reactor, technically way different from typical power stations now in operation. It only ran for 13 years, almost NEVER at anywhere near it's rated output, because it kept having breakdowns and operational failures. (The short lifespan, and running at extremely low power, prevented the building materials from being irradiated in the way that the building of a "successful" power station would be.) The record of this reactor was a safety nightmare, and it was a financial nightmare for it's Colorado customers. Also, the "cost" of dealing with the high-level waste was hidden via sending it to the National Lab facility in ID (i.e., TAXPAYER subsidy). Here's a reference for some history: http://fsv.homestead.com/FSVHistory.html Note that although they claim to be fully decommissioned, the building is still sitting there, apparently not in use for anything which would expose people for exgtended periods.

    • Shoreham: Gadzooks, want to you label this as a success story ??? It cost $6 Billion to build, it completed it's 5% power test successfully, and then it was promptly shut down forever (after less than 1 month). I agree that a nuclear power plant is easy to decommission, if you never actually use it to generate any electric power! But we're hopefully talking about power plants which actually generate electricity, right?

    • CTVR Yes, the NRC fact sheet lists it as a decommissioned reactor... but a quick Google shows nothing about this reactor, except a copies of the NRC list. I don't think that this was a Civilian Electrical power station. Possibly, NRC and Military came up with some backroom "let's mark it cleaned up" deal to hide a mess. If you can find a URL for a public utility which operated it, please advise!

    • Pathfinder only ran for 13 months http://www.nrc.gov/info-finder/decommissioning/com plex/pathfinder.html, and was characterized by the GAO as "a small demonstration plant" (although it's actually listed as way larger than the CVTR toy, see GAO/RCED-99-75 'Nuclear Regulation'). Small output and barely a year of operating time == extremely simple and cheap to clean up. This is another "example" which hardly generated any electrical power at all.

    • Douglas Point Per this PDF dated October 2004, http://www.nea.fr/html/rwm/wpdd/canada.pdf "No commercial nuclear power reactors are undergoing active decommissioning in Canada. Three prototype power reactors (NPD, Douglas Point, and Gentilly-1) have been partially decommissioned and put into storage with surveillance mode pending final decommissioning at an undetermined future date." Looks to me like it wasn't a commercial nuclear power station, (just an AECL prototype), and it hasn't yet been decommissioned..

    Still... If you've got other candidates which (a) weren't "toy-sized"; and (b) ran for at least 20 years, let's discuss them!

  309. CAFTA standards are the wrong way to go by Ogemaniac · · Score: 1

    because they approach the problem backwards. It is literally telling the car companies "build cars people do not want". That makes no sense. You have to change what the consumer wants for this strategy to have any significant impact. This requires a gas tax, which politicians do not have the spine to implement. As for libertarian/free-marketers, most would prefer a gas tax (a tax on a sin) to an income tax (a tax on productivity). Offer them a 1:1 trade and few will turn it down, unless you are talking to teenagers that still do not have coherent thoughts about anything. Odds are, you have only discussed a gas tax in the context of raising total taxes, to which they would be opposed.

    As for California, its demographic and climate issues are so different than most of the rest of the country that it is really hard to make a meaningful comparision. I would use a lot less energy, too, if it was 80 outside in the summer and 70 in the winter. CA also has had a tremendous influx of relatively poor people, who use much less energy on average than the rich or middle-class. This alone might account for the trend. CA clearly has a lot of failings, however. Any place with that high of a population density and relatively linear area of heavy population should have a tremendous public transportation network (like the one in Japan, where I live). There is no excuse for the virtual lack that is found in CA or the east coast.

  310. The only reactors we built... by Grog6 · · Score: 1

    ... like Chernobyl was the Graphite Reactor in Oak Ridge, (My hometown) and the production reactors at Hanford. These were build-as-fast-as-possible-to-save-the-world designs, built during wartime, and seriously contaminated the planet, even during relatively problem free operation. There is still an ongoing effort to remediate the Hanford site, and some areas are (radiologically)inaccessable to humans to this day. But the Graphite Reactor has Historic Register status.

    But, nothing good comes without a price. The legacy of 'Nuclear' in general is inextricably linked to the atomic weapons that drove the development of reactor design. We didn't spend billions of 1940 era dollars to light our houses, we did it to blow the fuck out of whoever pisses us off enough. If it hadn't taken longer than it did, we would have used them in Europe, with everyones blessing, (at the time) because we didn't yet have an appreciation, or even definition of, 'fallout'.

    We learned about reactor design, and built in safety systems to prevent most problems, and learned to put a shell around the core to contain most of the forseeable crap. I am unsure how a modern reactor shell would hold up to the series of errors involved in the Chernobly disaster, however. Three Mile Island vented some gases, but was relatively insignificant, even tho the core was laying in a lump of slag at the bottom.

    The public, as a whole, only remembers the big events, even if the story is only partially true, from a certain viewpoint, and no other. In a war, the winner generally gets to write the history books. Politicians score points anyway they think they can; latch onto a popular cause, a newsworthy topic, or belief and make it their own. Wring it for all it's worth.

    Nuclear power became a topic of protest for mostly political reasons; people seem to only see it from extreme viewpoints, and the older, entrenched politicians found it hard to counter the mushroom-cloud mentality that was the nuclear movement in the late seventies. At that time, there were tens of thousands more nukes pointed at us than there are today, so no one liked nuclear anything.

    I've always read SF, and many potantial outcomes of human society have been written. Even with nuclear power, we will eventually use enough energy that we will have to cool our planet, or the seas will boil, just from our energy usage. This won't happen for a long time, but it happens before the sun goes out. Of course, some enterprising individual will make a fortune beaming the heat off as infrared, but I digress...

    Chernobyl (remember Chernobyl?) was a really bad industrial accident. If we improve designs (google pebble bed reactor) and have better oversight of operations, we can use nuclear power to eliminate power problems for good. Excess capacity could make hydrogen, and if there enough excess power, we could form gasoline. (a bitch, but doable) We just need to get our shit together.

    --
    Truth isn't Truth - Guliani
  311. Parent is what's wrong with slashdot by internic · · Score: 1

    That's right, the parent post is exactly what's wrong with slashdot. Why? It's well thought out, well articulated, seems to contain lots of useful information, and it currently has a score of 1 and is likely to say there. Meanwhile, posts heavy on opinion and light on both fact and thought are modded to +5, probably mostly because they showed up faster (not having to think saves precious minutes).

    Well, here's one person at least who read the parent post and appreciated it anyway.

    --
    "You call it a new way of thinking; I call it regression to ignorance!" -- Operation Ivy
  312. Still no pragmatic discussion about nuclear here by MrKaos · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Why is it so difficult to have a pragmatic discussion about nuclear power on slashdot?

    Fesible nuclear technology like Integral Fast reactors, a proven and operational concept, and newer Sub critical reactor technology, like thorium based reactors are ignored in these discussions. These are the REAL nuclear alternatives.

    It seems to me that these discussions are heavily politicised in favour of the current generation of nuclear plants with no regard to the newer and safer nuclear technologies. Facts ignored, like the gross inefficiencies of the current generation of nuclear reactors, the production of Plutonium as a waste product and the amount of time those waste products are deadly for do nothing to promote an argument in favour of nuclear as an alternative. In particular the Half Life of those isotope's, before it becomes the next deadly element - with an even longer halflife in the millions or billions of years, are treated with a 'head in the sand' attitude that illustrates the ignorance prelavent in these discussions.

    Furthermore baseload arguments are used to write off wind and solar technology simply because solutions to these baseload issues, i.e Solar and Wind production of Hydrogen for example, have not been explored.

    Attacks on Green groups are made because they make arguments about 'Evil Corporations' (even though corporations are LEGALLY OBLIGED to externalise risk to protect shareholder interest), and while I have no interest in the emotional attachment some green groups have to their arguments, it's at least equivalent to the emotional attachment I see here wrt discussions about current nuclear technology.

    Which is to externalise the waste component of nuclear power generation to some other generation and just let them deal with it. How can anyone justify such short term thinking and claim it as a viable solutions to the worlds energy demands.

    I wonder how many of you in favour of nuclear power are prepared to put your own money into building a new concrete bunker over Chernobyl or your time lobbying your politicians into supporting contributions to same? How can anyone be expected to take nuclear seriously when the current mess still hasn't been cleaned up properly.

    Until a realistic look at newer nuclear technology that has better inherrent saftey is conducted, Chernobyl scale events should be expected to occur every few decades, and there is no way this can be considered 'Viable' or 'Environmentally Friendly'.

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  313. And The Dumb & Dumber Award Goes To ..... Patr by cannuck · · Score: 0

    Dr. John Gofman - worked on the Atomic Bomb's Manhatten Project - and now is the one of the world's foremost experts on health/illness related to the nuclear industry: THE TOP 10 PRONUCLEAR ARGUMENTS ... ANSWERED ARGUMENT 1: We receive more radiation sitting in our living rooms than is given off by nuclear power plants. A brick wall puts out 3.5 millirems of radiation per year but a nuclear power plant releases only 0.3 millirem in the same time period. In fact you can stand right next to a nuclear power plant and receive no radiation at all. GOFMAN: First let me agree that certain building materials do give off enough radiation doses to deserve consideration. Let me also agree that there is a very low dose of radiation emitted at the fenceline of a nuclear power plant that is functioning normally. If this were not the case, workers couldn't park their cars nearby or even approach such utilities at all. However, the "no dose at fenceline" statement doesn't consider the radiation people can receive from the entire nuclear power fuel cycle. We need to take into account all of the steps that make up the atomic energy process including the production of mountains of uranium tailings (unshielded piles that are continuously releasing radioactive radon) ... the inventory of radioactive poisons - such as cesium 137 strontium 90 and iodine 131 - that "leak" or "puff" into the atmosphere when a power plant is not functioning normally ... the quantities of radioactive wastes being moved in fallible vehicles that can (and do) leak ... and the so-called burial sites which have also been shown to leak and spread their material into the environment at large. Now let's come to the claim that a nuclear power plant itself releases only 3/10 of a millirem per year. Were that radiation dose - coupled of course with other fuel cycle emissions - truly always so small I would hardly waste my time concerning myself with the hazards of nuclear power. But the proof that advocates of this energy source have no confidence whatsoever in their estimate of the plants' releases lies in their behavior with respect to the legal radiation standards. As late as 1979, nuclear power plants were, legally, allowed to bombard the public with 170 millirems per year. When my colleague Arthur Tamplin and I proposed a tenfold reduction in that standard, the nuclear industry and pronuclear government agencies fought us tooth and nail. Now it has to be regarded as the acme of strange behavior for an industry to say, "Look, we're never going to give you more than 3/10 of a millirem per year" ... and then demand that the permissible standard remain more than 500 times as high as that limit! So I would say that as long as the industry fights against reducing legal standards to a level comparable to the 3/10 millirem per year that nuclear power advocates claim is the maximum dose per plant, any member of the public can dismiss such ludicrously low estimates. (The legal standard was changed in 1979. It now permits 25 millirems per year of ionizing radiation to be passed on to the general public, under normal operating conditions! The Catch-22 here is that if anything occurs to make the operating conditions "abnormal", a nuclear facility is permitted to release an increased - and unrestricted - quantity of radiation.) ARGUMENT 2: People living in high altitude cities, such as Denver, receive twice as much natural radiation as do those living at low altitudes ... yet the residents of such cosmically bombarded locales don't display double the average incidence of cancer. GOFMAN: The answer to this favorite pronuclear argument is that the cosmic radiation hitting the people in Denver probably does cause an increase in the number of cancer cases per capita. (One should not expect to find twice as many cases of cancer, of course, because radiation is not the only cause of the disease.) But to statistically demonstrate such a reality, we would first have to know [

  314. Sellout, perhaps. by abb3w · · Score: 1
    What he is actually saying about nuclear power is not terribly worth discussing; it's the nuke-industry party line he's paid to spout. It's as irrationally pro-nuclear as the actual founders of Greenpeace are anti-nuclear.

    That he is likely paid to be spouting this position does not change that the issue is worth discussing. It's not irrationally pro-nuclear; the "Here's why" paragraph presents a coherent reasoned argument. It is oversimplified — at a glance, there are gross oversimplifications and/or assumptions regarding future power requirements, the measurement of radioactive waste hazards, the weaponization risks associated with reprocessing, the total costs of nuclear electricity, the usability of nuclear fuel, and substitutibility of energy sources (including the uselessness of nuclear for peak load). This is because it's a brief editorial, not a two semester undergraduate course sequence. And, were anyone willing to devote the column inches to it, most of those oversimplifications could be fleshed out with the gory details, even with mathematical rigor.

    This isn't to say that those arguments are necessarily dead right, either. The weaponization hazards are far too trivially dismissed, and nuclear power is not fully substitutable for some carbon resource applications. But the debate urgently needs to be held. If a decision is not made, inaction seems certain to lead to unpleasant — or even disastrous — results.

    There are alternatives to nuclear power... but all require more work before being useful as carbon-fuel substitutes. Biodiesel is promising, but will likely cut into available food cropland. Solar and wind would require improvements in energy storage methods, due to their intermittency. Nuclear power's problems are at this point 99.44% political. And, as a peak oil kook, I think the problem is imminent.

    So, yeah, it's a puff piece, and probably paid. Maybe some of the marching morons (who don't realize that) will be swayed enough by the initial appeal to authority to be willing to listen to a reasoned argument, rather than just saying "NIMBY NIMBY NIMBY!" all the time.

    --
    //Information does not want to be free; it wants to breed.
  315. Iran signed non proliferation treaty.... by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 1

    That is why they are in so much trouble. If they had not signed (like Israel, India or Pakistan) the UN could do nothing about it (the US can and maybe will, but at least it has the comfort of UN backup so far).

    Many countries signed this treaty stating that they will use nuclear energy for peaceful purposes only.

    --
    IANAL but write like a drunk one.
  316. Civics are not cramped by benhocking · · Score: 1

    I'm 6'2" and have never felt cramped in a Civic. The Toyota Prius, OTOH, is cramped if I sit in the back seat. Very roomy in the driver's seat, though.

    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?